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1993 Tippeligaen Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

47 points · 8th Title

Last Title: 1992

Relegated

Fyllingen

17 pts

Lyn Oslo · 22 pts

Molde · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Rosenborg

9.37 points above expected

47 points · 37.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Start

10.16 points below expected

23 points · 33.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rosenborg Champion 22 14 5 3 47 47 30 +17 37.63 +9.37
2 Bodo Glimt 22 14 3 5 45 51 24 +27 35.76 +9.24
3 Lillestrom 22 13 3 6 42 47 26 +21 36.08 +5.92
4 Viking 22 13 2 7 41 38 27 +11 33.51 +7.49
5 Hamarkameratene 22 10 3 9 33 42 39 +3 28.70 +4.30
6 Tromso 22 6 8 8 26 25 25 0 26.96 -0.96
7 Brann 22 7 5 10 26 31 38 -7 30.50 -4.50
8 Kongsvinger 22 7 4 11 25 33 41 -8 28.12 -3.12
9 Start 22 6 5 11 23 26 29 -3 33.16 -10.16
10 Molde Relegated 22 5 7 10 22 23 36 -13 26.08 -4.08
11 Lyn Oslo Relegated 22 6 4 12 22 39 53 -14 25.81 -3.81
12 Fyllingen Relegated 22 4 5 13 17 21 55 -34 25.57 -8.57

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rosenborg 47 37.63 +9.37
2 Bodo Glimt 45 35.76 +9.24
3 Viking 41 33.51 +7.49
4 Lillestrom 42 36.08 +5.92
5 Hamarkameratene 33 28.70 +4.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Start 23 33.16 -10.16
2 Fyllingen 17 25.57 -8.57
3 Brann 26 30.50 -4.50
4 Molde 22 26.08 -4.08
5 Lyn Oslo 22 25.81 -3.81

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamarkameratene 6 Jun 16 – Jul 25 1 in 406
2 Rosenborg 5 Aug 29 – Oct 3 1 in 30
3 Kongsvinger 3 Jul 25 – Aug 8 1 in 27
4 Bodo Glimt 5 Aug 15 – Sep 12 1 in 22
5 Viking 4 Sep 12 – Oct 17 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamarkameratene 4 Sep 4 – Oct 3 1 in 70
2 Kongsvinger 4 Aug 15 – Sep 5 1 in 42
3 Lyn Oslo 5 Jun 16 – Jul 4 1 in 32
4 Viking 3 Jul 25 – Aug 8 1 in 29
5 Brann 4 Jul 18 – Aug 8 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rosenborg 18 May 23 – Oct 3 1 in 731
2 Hamarkameratene 8 Jun 16 – Aug 8 1 in 64
3 Bodo Glimt 5 May 1 – May 23 1 in 22
4 Tromso 5 Sep 5 – Oct 17 1 in 15
5 Viking 4 Jun 20 – Jul 18 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Start 7 Aug 22 – Oct 17 1 in 34
2 Kongsvinger 7 May 23 – Jul 4 1 in 33
3 Tromso 6 Jun 20 – Aug 1 1 in 18
4 Fyllingen 8 Aug 15 – Oct 17 1 in 17
5 Molde 6 May 2 – Jun 13 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rosenborg 1450 47 +19 12 8.4 +3.6
Bodo Glimt 1422 45 +5 9 9.0 -0.0
Lillestrom 1454 42 +64 13 8.7 +4.3
Viking 1370 41 +32 12 7.7 +4.3
Hamarkameratene 1316 33 -56 3 8.0 -5.0
Tromso 1290 26 +75 11 6.7 +4.3
Brann 1245 26 -3 5 6.9 -1.9
Kongsvinger 1251 25 +18 7 6.0 +1.0
Start 1235 23 -46 2 6.5 -4.5
Molde 1219 22 -4 5 6.0 -1.0
Lyn Oslo 1201 22 +18 4 4.1 -0.1
Fyllingen 1091 17 -122 1 5.5 -4.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BG BRA FYL HAM KON LIL LO MOL ROS STA TRO VIK
Bodo Glimt —
2-0-0
3.27
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
3.72
0-0-2
2.96
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.17
0-1-1
2.71
2-0-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
3.04
Brann
0-0-2
2.30
—
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
3.60
0-1-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.05
1-1-0
2.61
0-2-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.57
Fyllingen
0-1-1
2.48
0-0-2
2.18
—
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
2.15
0-2-0
2.29
1-0-1
2.43
Hamarkameratene
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
3.47
—
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.08
2-0-0
2.42
0-2-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.50
Kongsvinger
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.61
—
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
3.02
0-2-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
3.10
2-0-0
2.50
Lillestrom
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.50
2-0-0
3.12
—
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.90
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.48
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
2.88
Lyn Oslo
0-0-2
1.76
2-0-0
1.98
1-1-0
2.94
0-0-2
3.15
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.10
—
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
2.18
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-2
1.70
Molde
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.85
0-2-0
2.57
0-2-0
2.57
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.68
—
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.08
Rosenborg
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.21
1-1-0
2.60
2-0-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.79
—
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.79
0-1-1
3.32
Start
0-0-2
2.50
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
2.09
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.36
0-1-1
2.21
—
0-2-0
3.35
0-0-2
2.71
Tromso
0-1-1
2.45
0-2-0
2.44
0-2-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.48
1-0-1
1.84
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
3.06
0-1-1
1.79
0-2-0
2.23
—
1-0-1
2.25
Viking
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.08
0-0-2
3.08
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.89
1-0-1
3.50
1-1-0
2.25
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
3.33
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +8.8
Allowed 0.46 -6.7
Differential 0.87 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%6.06%6.06%4.17%1.52%1.52%27.65%
16.06%8.33%7.95%1.89%1.52%2.27%28.03%
26.06%7.95%3.03%3.03%1.52%—21.59%
34.17%1.89%3.03%0.76%0.38%1.89%12.12%
41.52%1.52%1.52%0.38%——4.92%
5+1.52%2.27%—1.89%——5.68%
Total27.65%28.03%21.59%12.12%4.92%5.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.60 +0.00
SD 1.56 1.56 2.27
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
113.64%4.55%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
39.09%4.55%———4.55%18.18%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total36.36%36.36%18.18%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.09 +1.23
SD 1.78 1.23 2.27
CV 0.77 1.13 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
1—13.64%9.09%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%27.27%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.73 -0.32
SD 1.53 1.67 2.25
CV 1.09 0.97 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%—4.55%4.55%9.09%45.45%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%31.82%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%4.55%18.18%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 2.50 -1.55
SD 1.25 2.15 2.52
CV 1.31 0.86 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
19.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total31.82%18.18%18.18%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.77 +0.14
SD 1.72 1.80 2.78
CV 0.90 1.01 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
14.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
39.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%22.73%22.73%13.64%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.86 -0.36
SD 1.50 1.52 2.36
CV 1.00 0.82 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
1—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
213.64%13.64%—4.55%——31.82%
313.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
4———————
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total31.82%36.36%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.18 +0.95
SD 1.32 1.14 1.59
CV 0.62 0.96 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%——9.09%27.27%
1—9.09%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
29.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%————4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
Total18.18%18.18%22.73%22.73%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.41 -0.64
SD 1.88 2.11 2.90
CV 1.06 0.88 —
Max 7 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
19.09%18.18%4.55%———31.82%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total22.73%27.27%27.27%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.64 -0.59
SD 1.46 1.36 1.71
CV 1.40 0.83 —
Max 6 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
14.55%9.09%————13.64%
213.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
3——13.64%———13.64%
44.55%—13.64%———18.18%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%40.91%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.36 +0.77
SD 1.49 1.09 1.93
CV 0.70 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%22.73%—9.09%——45.45%
1——13.64%——4.55%18.18%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%22.73%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.32 -0.14
SD 1.37 1.25 2.01
CV 1.16 0.95 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%9.09%13.64%———45.45%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
2—9.09%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3———————
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total31.82%36.36%22.73%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.08 1.57
CV 1.22 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
127.27%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—45.45%
213.64%4.55%—9.09%——27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total40.91%22.73%13.64%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.23 +0.50
SD 1.45 1.31 1.92
CV 0.84 1.06 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Lillestrom 1454 42 36.08 +5.92 84.0% 19 26 32 35 39 47 51
Rosenborg 1450 47 37.63 +9.37 97.0% 26 28 34 37 42 46 51
Bodo Glimt 1422 45 35.76 +9.24 92.0% 24 26 32 35 40 46 54
Viking 1370 41 33.51 +7.49 91.0% 19 24 29 34 38 42 48
Hamarkameratene 1316 33 28.70 +4.30 78.0% 17 19 25 28 32 39 44
Tromso 1290 26 26.96 -0.96 47.0% 12 17 22 27 32 38 43
Kongsvinger 1251 25 28.12 -3.12 36.0% 11 18 24 28 32 39 42
Brann 1245 26 30.50 -4.50 27.0% 12 19 26 30 35 42 48
Start 1235 23 33.16 -10.16 4.0% 21 24 28 33 37 43 48
Molde 1219 22 26.08 -4.08 34.0% 14 18 21 26 30 36 41
Lyn Oslo 1201 22 25.81 -3.81 28.0% 13 17 22 25 30 34 36
Fyllingen 1091 17 25.57 -8.57 9.0% 8 15 22 26 30 33 40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.03%
Strong Edge
53.79%20.45%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
149 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0100.07400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.69 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.67+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.0
Open
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
32%
Rosenborg, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.76 * Some Luck: 4.76 to 7.14 * Lucky: 7.14 to 9.53 * Wild Swing: 9.53 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.97 * Close: 1.97 to 2.95 * Off: 2.95 to 3.93 * Way Off: 3.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.96 * A Surprise: 1.96 to 3.14 * Several Surprises: 3.14 to 4.31 * Many Surprises: 4.31 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.59 points
Some Luck
05.9515
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.465
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Rosenborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Start
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
02.03

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 111.07
1.64
Strong Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
71%
Wide Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Notable Separation
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.27
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
-0.07
Weak Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Solid Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.77
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.111
Well Within Noise
00.1350.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Rosenborg32.00%18.00%17.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%2.00%4.00%—2.00%——
Bodo Glimt21.00%15.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%—
Lillestrom17.00%26.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—
Viking9.00%11.00%13.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%
Hamarkameratene2.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%12.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%16.00%3.00%
Tromso2.00%—4.00%6.00%12.00%4.00%8.00%14.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%
Brann4.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%15.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%11.00%7.00%
Kongsvinger2.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%14.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%10.00%12.00%
Start11.00%10.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%—
Molde—3.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%12.00%13.00%20.00%
Lyn Oslo—1.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%17.00%18.00%
Fyllingen—2.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%10.00%9.00%15.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Rosenborg 98.00% 2.00% —
Lillestrom 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Bodo Glimt 94.00% 4.00% 2.00%
Start 91.00% 6.00% 3.00%
Viking 91.00% 5.00% 4.00%
Brann 79.00% 3.00% 18.00%
Hamarkameratene 70.00% 11.00% 19.00%
Kongsvinger 65.00% 13.00% 22.00%
Tromso 59.00% 14.00% 27.00%
Molde 55.00% 12.00% 33.00%
Lyn Oslo 50.00% 15.00% 35.00%
Fyllingen 51.00% 13.00% 36.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1993-05-01 Bodo Glimt D 1-154.0 1269 1253 54.91% 21.13% 23.97%+0.78 -2.1 1
1993-05-01 @ Tromso D 1-154.0 1253 1269 23.97% 21.13% 54.91%-0.78 +2.1 1
1993-05-02 Hamarkameratene W 2-141.5 1288 1255 56.82% 20.96% 22.22%+0.89 +7.1 3
1993-05-02 @ Brann L 1-241.5 1255 1288 22.22% 20.96% 56.82%-0.89 -7.1 0
1993-05-02 Rosenborg L 0-144.6 1295 1367 43.54% 21.66% 34.81%+0.18 -13.2 0
1993-05-02 @ Lyn Oslo W 1-044.6 1367 1295 34.81% 21.66% 43.54%-0.18 +13.2 3
1993-05-02 Fyllingen D 1-154.3 1289 1292 52.68% 21.29% 26.03%+0.65 -1.8 1
1993-05-02 @ Molde D 1-154.3 1292 1289 26.03% 21.29% 52.68%-0.65 +1.8 1
1993-05-02 Kongsvinger W 3-033.7 1308 1311 52.59% 21.29% 26.12%+0.65 +23.9 3
1993-05-02 @ Start L 0-333.7 1311 1308 26.12% 21.29% 52.59%-0.65 -23.9 0
1993-05-02 Lillestrom W 1-040.3 1288 1329 47.93% 21.53% 30.54%+0.40 +9.9 3
1993-05-02 @ Viking L 0-140.3 1329 1288 30.54% 21.53% 47.93%-0.40 -9.9 0
1993-05-08 Brann L 0-443.6 1381 1296 62.12% 20.33% 17.55%+1.24 -64.9 3
1993-05-08 @ Rosenborg W 4-043.6 1296 1381 17.55% 20.33% 62.12%-1.24 +64.9 6
1993-05-09 Bodo Glimt D 0-050.6 1294 1255 57.40% 20.90% 21.70%+0.93 -2.7 2
1993-05-09 @ Fyllingen D 0-050.6 1255 1294 21.70% 20.90% 57.40%-0.93 +2.7 2
1993-05-09 Molde D 1-154.0 1248 1288 47.97% 21.53% 30.50%+0.40 -1.1 1
1993-05-09 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-154.0 1288 1248 30.50% 21.53% 47.97%-0.40 +1.1 2
1993-05-09 Viking W 1-039.0 1287 1298 51.63% 21.35% 27.01%+0.60 +9.0 3
1993-05-09 @ Kongsvinger L 0-139.0 1298 1287 27.01% 21.35% 51.63%-0.60 -9.0 3
1993-05-09 Lyn Oslo W 2-034.5 1319 1281 57.25% 20.92% 21.84%+0.92 +14.1 3
1993-05-09 @ Lillestrom L 0-234.5 1281 1319 21.84% 20.92% 57.25%-0.92 -14.1 0
1993-05-09 Start D 0-050.7 1267 1332 44.66% 21.63% 33.70%+0.24 -0.8 2
1993-05-09 @ Tromso D 0-050.7 1332 1267 33.70% 21.63% 44.66%-0.24 +0.8 4
1993-05-16 Hamarkameratene W 3-032.6 1258 1247 54.28% 21.18% 24.54%+0.74 +22.6 5
1993-05-16 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-332.6 1247 1258 24.54% 21.18% 54.28%-0.74 -22.6 1
1993-05-16 Molde D 1-155.0 1360 1289 60.82% 20.51% 18.67%+1.15 -2.9 7
1993-05-16 @ Brann D 1-155.0 1289 1360 18.67% 20.51% 60.82%-1.15 +2.9 3
1993-05-16 Kongsvinger D 1-154.1 1267 1296 49.38% 21.47% 29.15%+0.48 -1.3 1
1993-05-16 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-154.1 1296 1267 29.15% 21.47% 49.38%-0.48 +1.3 4
1993-05-16 Fyllingen W 4-136.7 1333 1291 57.72% 20.87% 21.41%+0.95 +16.9 7
1993-05-16 @ Start L 1-436.7 1291 1333 21.41% 20.87% 57.72%-0.95 -16.9 2
1993-05-16 Tromso W 2-141.9 1289 1266 55.64% 21.07% 23.29%+0.82 +7.5 6
1993-05-16 @ Viking L 1-241.9 1266 1289 23.29% 21.07% 55.64%-0.82 -7.5 2
1993-05-20 Viking W 2-143.6 1274 1297 50.17% 21.43% 28.40%+0.52 +8.8 5
1993-05-20 @ Fyllingen L 1-243.6 1297 1274 28.40% 21.43% 50.17%-0.52 -8.8 6
1993-05-20 Start W 1-043.6 1224 1350 36.07% 21.67% 42.25%-0.17 +12.9 4
1993-05-20 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-143.6 1350 1224 42.25% 21.67% 36.07%+0.17 -12.9 7
1993-05-20 Rosenborg W 3-034.2 1298 1316 50.77% 21.40% 27.83%+0.55 +25.2 7
1993-05-20 @ Kongsvinger L 0-334.2 1316 1298 27.83% 21.40% 50.77%-0.55 -25.2 3
1993-05-20 Brann W 2-144.7 1333 1358 49.91% 21.45% 28.64%+0.50 +8.9 6
1993-05-20 @ Lillestrom L 1-244.7 1358 1333 28.64% 21.45% 49.91%-0.50 -8.9 7
1993-05-20 Bodo Glimt L 0-244.1 1292 1280 54.32% 21.17% 24.51%+0.75 -30.2 3
1993-05-20 @ Molde W 2-044.1 1280 1292 24.51% 21.17% 54.32%-0.75 +30.2 8
1993-05-20 Lyn Oslo L 0-243.3 1259 1266 52.14% 21.32% 26.54%+0.62 -29.1 2
1993-05-20 @ Tromso W 2-043.3 1266 1259 26.54% 21.32% 52.14%-0.62 +29.1 4
1993-05-23 Brann W 2-144.9 1311 1349 48.20% 21.52% 30.28%+0.41 +9.3 11
1993-05-23 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-244.9 1349 1311 30.28% 21.52% 48.20%-0.41 -9.3 7
1993-05-23 Kongsvinger W 3-033.3 1342 1323 55.18% 21.10% 23.72%+0.80 +22.0 9
1993-05-23 @ Lillestrom L 0-333.3 1323 1342 23.72% 21.10% 55.18%-0.80 -22.0 7
1993-05-23 Fyllingen W 3-032.9 1295 1283 54.42% 21.16% 24.42%+0.75 +22.5 7
1993-05-23 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-332.9 1283 1295 24.42% 21.16% 54.42%-0.75 -22.5 5
1993-05-23 Tromso W 4-241.9 1290 1230 59.69% 20.65% 19.66%+1.08 +9.9 6
1993-05-23 @ Rosenborg L 2-441.9 1230 1290 19.66% 20.65% 59.69%-1.08 -9.9 2
1993-05-23 Molde W 4-029.8 1337 1262 61.16% 20.46% 18.38%+1.17 +22.8 10
1993-05-23 @ Start L 0-429.8 1262 1337 18.38% 20.46% 61.16%-1.17 -22.8 3
1993-05-23 Hamarkameratene W 7-132.7 1288 1237 58.72% 20.76% 20.52%+1.01 +30.5 9
1993-05-23 @ Viking L 1-732.7 1237 1288 20.52% 20.76% 58.72%-1.01 -30.5 4
1993-06-04 Lillestrom D 1-154.8 1300 1364 44.84% 21.63% 33.53%+0.25 -0.7 7
1993-06-04 @ Rosenborg D 1-154.8 1364 1300 33.53% 21.63% 44.84%-0.25 +0.7 10
1993-06-13 Start W 2-144.6 1339 1360 50.50% 21.42% 28.08%+0.54 +8.7 10
1993-06-13 @ Brann L 1-244.6 1360 1339 28.08% 21.42% 50.50%-0.54 -8.7 10
1993-06-13 Tromso L 2-454.4 1301 1220 61.71% 20.39% 17.90%+1.21 -26.3 7
1993-06-13 @ Kongsvinger W 4-254.4 1220 1301 17.90% 20.39% 61.71%-1.21 +26.3 5
1993-06-13 Fyllingen W 3-137.3 1364 1260 63.88% 20.06% 16.07%+1.37 +9.2 13
1993-06-13 @ Lillestrom L 1-337.3 1260 1364 16.07% 20.06% 63.88%-1.37 -9.2 5
1993-06-13 Molde W 5-343.8 1318 1239 61.53% 20.41% 18.06%+1.20 +8.7 10
1993-06-13 @ Lyn Oslo L 3-543.8 1239 1318 18.06% 20.41% 61.53%-1.20 -8.7 3
1993-06-13 Hamarkameratene W 3-244.0 1300 1206 62.89% 20.21% 16.90%+1.29 +5.3 10
1993-06-13 @ Rosenborg L 2-344.0 1206 1300 16.90% 20.21% 62.89%-1.29 -5.3 4
1993-06-13 Bodo Glimt W 3-140.7 1318 1320 52.81% 21.28% 25.91%+0.66 +14.1 12
1993-06-13 @ Viking L 1-340.7 1320 1318 25.91% 21.28% 52.81%-0.66 -14.1 11
1993-06-16 Start W 2-145.1 1306 1351 47.29% 21.56% 31.16%+0.37 +9.5 14
1993-06-16 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-245.1 1351 1306 31.16% 21.56% 47.29%-0.37 -9.5 10
1993-06-16 Rosenborg L 0-438.2 1251 1305 46.12% 21.59% 32.28%+0.31 -49.6 5
1993-06-16 @ Fyllingen W 4-038.2 1305 1251 32.28% 21.59% 46.12%-0.31 +49.6 13
1993-06-16 Lyn Oslo W 3-145.0 1201 1326 36.13% 21.68% 42.20%-0.17 +21.0 7
1993-06-16 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-345.0 1326 1201 42.20% 21.68% 36.13%+0.17 -21.0 10
1993-06-16 Viking W 3-251.3 1230 1333 39.32% 21.69% 38.99%-0.02 +10.8 6
1993-06-16 @ Molde L 2-351.3 1333 1230 38.99% 21.69% 39.32%+0.02 -10.8 12
1993-06-16 Lillestrom W 2-148.2 1246 1374 35.85% 21.67% 42.48%-0.18 +12.2 8
1993-06-16 @ Tromso L 1-248.2 1374 1246 42.48% 21.67% 35.85%+0.18 -12.2 13
1993-06-17 Kongsvinger D 0-051.2 1348 1274 61.01% 20.48% 18.51%+1.16 -3.3 11
1993-06-17 @ Brann D 0-051.2 1274 1348 18.51% 20.48% 61.01%-1.16 +3.3 8
1993-06-20 Lyn Oslo W 8-033.4 1315 1305 54.16% 21.18% 24.66%+0.74 +57.2 17
1993-06-20 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-833.4 1305 1315 24.66% 21.18% 54.16%-0.74 -57.1 10
1993-06-20 Kongsvinger W 5-349.1 1201 1278 43.05% 21.66% 35.29%+0.16 +15.4 8
1993-06-20 @ Fyllingen L 3-549.1 1278 1201 35.29% 21.66% 43.05%-0.16 -15.4 8
1993-06-20 Lillestrom W 4-356.1 1222 1361 34.21% 21.64% 44.14%-0.26 +11.7 10
1993-06-20 @ Hamarkameratene L 3-456.1 1361 1222 44.14% 21.64% 34.21%+0.26 -11.7 13
1993-06-20 Rosenborg L 0-239.4 1241 1355 37.74% 21.69% 40.58%-0.09 -22.2 6
1993-06-20 @ Molde W 2-039.4 1355 1241 40.58% 21.69% 37.74%+0.09 +22.2 16
1993-06-20 Viking L 0-148.0 1341 1322 55.25% 21.10% 23.65%+0.80 -16.3 10
1993-06-20 @ Start W 1-048.0 1322 1341 23.65% 21.10% 55.25%-0.80 +16.3 15
1993-06-20 Brann D 1-154.3 1259 1345 41.65% 21.68% 36.67%+0.09 -0.3 9
1993-06-20 @ Tromso D 1-154.3 1345 1259 36.67% 21.68% 41.65%-0.09 +0.3 12
1993-06-27 Viking L 0-244.9 1345 1338 53.81% 21.21% 24.98%+0.72 -30.0 12
1993-06-27 @ Brann W 2-044.9 1338 1345 24.98% 21.21% 53.81%-0.72 +30.0 18
1993-06-27 Hamarkameratene L 1-251.5 1262 1234 56.28% 21.01% 22.72%+0.86 -15.6 8
1993-06-27 @ Kongsvinger W 2-151.5 1234 1262 22.72% 21.01% 56.28%-0.86 +15.6 13
1993-06-27 Molde W 3-029.3 1350 1219 66.22% 19.63% 14.15%+1.55 +13.7 16
1993-06-27 @ Lillestrom L 0-329.3 1219 1350 14.15% 19.63% 66.22%-1.55 -13.7 6
1993-06-27 Start L 1-345.5 1248 1325 42.96% 21.66% 35.37%+0.16 -21.3 10
1993-06-27 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-145.5 1325 1248 35.37% 21.66% 42.96%-0.16 +21.3 13
1993-06-27 Bodo Glimt D 2-260.7 1377 1372 53.50% 21.23% 25.27%+0.70 -1.4 17
1993-06-27 @ Rosenborg D 2-260.7 1372 1377 25.27% 21.23% 53.50%-0.70 +1.4 18
1993-06-27 Fyllingen D 0-050.3 1258 1217 57.68% 20.87% 21.44%+0.95 -2.8 10
1993-06-27 @ Tromso D 0-050.3 1217 1258 21.44% 20.87% 57.68%-0.95 +2.8 9
1993-06-30 Bodo Glimt L 0-141.9 1247 1374 35.87% 21.67% 42.46%-0.18 -11.3 8
1993-06-30 @ Kongsvinger W 1-041.9 1374 1247 42.46% 21.67% 35.87%+0.18 +11.3 21
1993-06-30 Start L 1-252.7 1363 1346 54.97% 21.12% 23.91%+0.78 -15.3 16
1993-06-30 @ Lillestrom W 2-152.7 1346 1363 23.91% 21.12% 54.97%-0.78 +15.3 16
1993-06-30 Lyn Oslo W 4-239.9 1375 1227 67.65% 19.34% 13.02%+1.67 +6.7 20
1993-06-30 @ Rosenborg L 2-439.9 1227 1375 13.02% 19.34% 67.65%-1.67 -6.7 10
1993-07-04 Lillestrom L 1-253.7 1385 1348 57.22% 20.92% 21.86%+0.92 -15.8 21
1993-07-04 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-153.7 1348 1385 21.86% 20.92% 57.22%-0.92 +15.9 19
1993-07-04 Fyllingen W 3-244.0 1315 1220 63.10% 20.18% 16.72%+1.31 +5.2 15
1993-07-04 @ Brann L 2-344.0 1220 1315 16.72% 20.18% 63.10%-1.31 -5.2 9
1993-07-04 Tromso W 2-035.5 1249 1255 52.24% 21.32% 26.44%+0.63 +16.6 16
1993-07-04 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-235.5 1255 1249 26.44% 21.32% 52.24%-0.63 -16.6 10
1993-07-04 Kongsvinger D 1-153.7 1205 1235 49.19% 21.48% 29.33%+0.47 -1.3 7
1993-07-04 @ Molde D 1-153.7 1235 1205 29.33% 21.48% 49.19%-0.47 +1.3 9
1993-07-04 Rosenborg D 2-260.6 1362 1382 50.46% 21.42% 28.12%+0.53 -1.1 17
1993-07-04 @ Start D 2-260.6 1382 1362 28.12% 21.42% 50.46%-0.53 +1.1 21
1993-07-04 Lyn Oslo W 2-031.3 1368 1220 67.60% 19.35% 13.05%+1.66 +8.7 21
1993-07-04 @ Viking L 0-231.3 1220 1368 13.05% 19.35% 67.60%-1.66 -8.7 10
1993-07-18 Hamarkameratene L 0-144.4 1214 1266 46.42% 21.59% 32.00%+0.32 -14.0 9
1993-07-18 @ Fyllingen W 1-044.4 1266 1214 32.00% 21.59% 46.42%-0.32 +13.9 19
1993-07-18 Brann W 5-140.2 1211 1320 38.39% 21.69% 39.92%-0.06 +36.7 13
1993-07-18 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-540.2 1320 1211 39.92% 21.69% 38.39%+0.06 -36.7 15
1993-07-18 Viking D 1-156.3 1383 1377 53.74% 21.22% 25.04%+0.71 -1.9 22
1993-07-18 @ Rosenborg D 1-156.3 1377 1383 25.04% 21.22% 53.74%-0.71 +1.9 22
1993-07-18 Molde L 0-147.3 1239 1204 57.02% 20.94% 22.04%+0.91 -16.8 10
1993-07-18 @ Tromso W 1-047.3 1204 1239 22.04% 20.94% 57.02%-0.91 +16.8 10
1993-07-25 Tromso W 1-034.2 1369 1222 67.53% 19.36% 13.11%+1.66 +4.6 24
1993-07-25 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-134.2 1222 1369 13.11% 19.36% 67.53%-1.66 -4.6 10
1993-07-25 Molde W 2-143.0 1200 1220 50.53% 21.41% 28.05%+0.54 +8.7 12
1993-07-25 @ Fyllingen L 1-243.0 1220 1200 28.05% 21.41% 50.53%-0.54 -8.7 10
1993-07-25 Brann W 3-033.4 1280 1284 52.53% 21.30% 26.17%+0.65 +23.9 22
1993-07-25 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-333.4 1284 1280 26.17% 21.30% 52.53%-0.65 -23.9 15
1993-07-25 Start W 3-038.4 1237 1360 36.32% 21.68% 42.00%-0.16 +35.2 12
1993-07-25 @ Kongsvinger L 0-338.4 1360 1237 42.00% 21.68% 36.32%+0.16 -35.2 17
1993-07-25 Viking W 3-035.6 1364 1379 51.17% 21.38% 27.45%+0.57 +24.9 22
1993-07-25 @ Lillestrom L 0-335.6 1379 1364 27.45% 21.38% 51.17%-0.57 -24.9 22
1993-08-01 Fyllingen W 5-131.3 1374 1209 68.89% 19.05% 12.06%+1.77 +12.7 27
1993-08-01 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-531.3 1209 1374 12.06% 19.05% 68.89%-1.77 -12.7 12
1993-08-01 Rosenborg L 0-239.5 1260 1381 36.64% 21.68% 41.68%-0.14 -21.7 15
1993-08-01 @ Brann W 2-039.5 1381 1260 41.68% 21.68% 36.64%+0.14 +21.7 25
1993-08-01 Lillestrom D 1-154.6 1248 1389 34.00% 21.64% 44.36%-0.27 +0.7 14
1993-08-01 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-154.6 1389 1248 44.36% 21.64% 34.00%+0.27 -0.7 23
1993-08-01 Hamarkameratene D 0-050.2 1212 1304 40.80% 21.69% 37.51%+0.05 -0.2 11
1993-08-01 @ Molde D 0-050.2 1304 1212 37.51% 21.69% 40.80%-0.05 +0.2 23
1993-08-01 Tromso D 0-050.9 1325 1217 64.22% 20.00% 15.78%+1.39 -3.8 18
1993-08-01 @ Start D 0-050.9 1217 1325 15.78% 20.00% 64.22%-1.39 +3.8 11
1993-08-01 Kongsvinger L 2-358.1 1354 1272 61.81% 20.37% 17.81%+1.22 -16.2 22
1993-08-01 @ Viking W 3-258.1 1272 1354 17.81% 20.37% 61.81%-1.22 +16.2 15
1993-08-08 Start W 3-038.1 1197 1322 36.15% 21.68% 42.18%-0.17 +35.3 15
1993-08-08 @ Fyllingen L 0-338.1 1322 1197 42.18% 21.68% 36.15%+0.17 -35.3 18
1993-08-08 Bodo Glimt W 2-147.0 1304 1387 42.18% 21.68% 36.15%+0.12 +10.8 26
1993-08-08 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-247.0 1387 1304 36.15% 21.68% 42.18%-0.12 -10.7 27
1993-08-08 Lyn Oslo W 2-141.2 1288 1249 57.46% 20.90% 21.64%+0.93 +7.0 18
1993-08-08 @ Kongsvinger L 1-241.2 1249 1288 21.64% 20.90% 57.46%-0.93 -7.0 14
1993-08-08 Rosenborg L 2-357.6 1388 1403 51.16% 21.38% 27.45%+0.57 -13.6 23
1993-08-08 @ Lillestrom W 3-257.6 1403 1388 27.45% 21.38% 51.16%-0.57 +13.6 28
1993-08-08 Brann W 2-036.1 1211 1238 49.68% 21.46% 28.86%+0.49 +17.9 14
1993-08-08 @ Molde L 0-236.1 1238 1211 28.86% 21.46% 49.68%-0.49 -17.9 15
1993-08-08 Viking W 2-147.4 1221 1338 37.37% 21.69% 40.94%-0.11 +11.9 14
1993-08-08 @ Tromso L 1-247.4 1338 1221 40.94% 21.69% 37.37%+0.11 -11.9 22
1993-08-15 Molde W 3-029.1 1376 1229 67.49% 19.37% 13.14%+1.65 +12.7 30
1993-08-15 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-329.1 1229 1376 13.14% 19.37% 67.49%-1.65 -12.7 14
1993-08-15 Lillestrom W 2-149.1 1220 1375 32.19% 21.59% 46.22%-0.36 +13.1 18
1993-08-15 @ Brann L 1-249.1 1375 1220 46.22% 21.59% 32.19%+0.36 -13.1 23
1993-08-15 Tromso W 2-034.9 1242 1233 53.99% 21.20% 24.81%+0.73 +15.7 17
1993-08-15 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-234.9 1233 1242 24.81% 21.20% 53.99%-0.73 -15.7 14
1993-08-15 Kongsvinger W 3-244.8 1417 1295 65.42% 19.79% 14.80%+1.48 +4.7 31
1993-08-15 @ Rosenborg L 2-344.8 1295 1417 14.80% 19.79% 65.42%-1.48 -4.7 18
1993-08-15 Hamarkameratene W 2-036.8 1286 1315 49.43% 21.47% 29.10%+0.48 +18.0 21
1993-08-15 @ Start L 0-236.8 1315 1286 29.10% 21.47% 49.43%-0.48 -18.0 26
1993-08-15 Fyllingen W 1-035.4 1326 1232 62.96% 20.20% 16.84%+1.30 +5.9 25
1993-08-15 @ Viking L 0-135.4 1232 1326 16.84% 20.20% 62.96%-1.30 -5.9 15
1993-08-22 Lyn Oslo D 0-050.2 1226 1257 49.05% 21.49% 29.47%+0.46 -1.4 16
1993-08-22 @ Fyllingen D 0-050.2 1257 1226 29.47% 21.49% 49.05%-0.46 +1.4 18
1993-08-22 Viking D 3-363.1 1297 1332 48.64% 21.50% 29.86%+0.44 -0.8 27
1993-08-22 @ Hamarkameratene D 3-363.1 1332 1297 29.86% 21.50% 48.64%-0.44 +0.8 26
1993-08-22 Lillestrom L 0-241.7 1290 1361 43.77% 21.65% 34.58%+0.19 -25.0 18
1993-08-22 @ Kongsvinger W 2-041.7 1361 1290 34.58% 21.65% 43.77%-0.19 +25.0 26
1993-08-22 Start W 1-041.7 1217 1304 41.45% 21.68% 36.87%+0.08 +11.6 17
1993-08-22 @ Molde L 0-141.7 1304 1217 36.87% 21.68% 41.45%-0.08 -11.6 21
1993-08-22 Rosenborg D 0-051.1 1217 1421 26.18% 21.30% 52.52%-0.69 +2.0 15
1993-08-22 @ Tromso D 0-051.1 1421 1217 52.52% 21.30% 26.18%+0.69 -2.0 32
1993-08-23 Bodo Glimt L 1-342.5 1233 1389 32.07% 21.59% 46.34%-0.37 -16.9 18
1993-08-23 @ Brann W 3-142.5 1389 1233 46.34% 21.59% 32.07%+0.37 +16.9 33
1993-08-29 Brann L 0-244.9 1265 1216 58.50% 20.79% 20.72%+1.00 -32.3 18
1993-08-29 @ Kongsvinger W 2-044.9 1216 1265 20.72% 20.79% 58.50%-1.00 +32.3 21
1993-08-29 Tromso W 3-242.6 1386 1219 69.07% 19.01% 11.92%+1.79 +3.8 29
1993-08-29 @ Lillestrom L 2-342.6 1219 1386 11.92% 19.01% 69.07%-1.79 -3.8 15
1993-08-29 Hamarkameratene L 0-639.1 1259 1296 48.32% 21.52% 30.16%+0.42 -75.6 18
1993-08-29 @ Lyn Oslo W 6-039.1 1296 1259 30.16% 21.52% 48.32%-0.42 +75.6 30
1993-08-29 Fyllingen W 5-131.1 1419 1224 71.07% 18.49% 10.44%+1.98 +11.0 35
1993-08-29 @ Rosenborg L 1-531.1 1224 1419 10.44% 18.49% 71.07%-1.98 -11.0 16
1993-08-29 Bodo Glimt L 0-143.3 1293 1406 37.86% 21.69% 40.45%-0.09 -11.8 21
1993-08-29 @ Start W 1-043.3 1406 1293 40.45% 21.69% 37.86%+0.09 +11.8 36
1993-08-29 Molde W 1-035.1 1332 1228 63.90% 20.05% 16.05%+1.37 +5.6 29
1993-08-29 @ Viking L 0-135.1 1228 1332 16.05% 20.05% 63.90%-1.37 -5.6 17
1993-09-04 Rosenborg L 2-453.1 1372 1430 45.48% 21.61% 32.90%+0.28 -20.0 30
1993-09-04 @ Hamarkameratene W 4-253.1 1430 1372 32.90% 21.61% 45.48%-0.28 +20.0 38
1993-09-05 Viking W 4-137.2 1417 1338 61.57% 20.41% 18.03%+1.20 +14.5 39
1993-09-05 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-437.2 1338 1417 18.03% 20.41% 61.57%-1.20 -14.5 29
1993-09-05 Lillestrom L 1-244.1 1213 1390 29.36% 21.48% 49.16%-0.51 -9.1 16
1993-09-05 @ Fyllingen W 2-144.1 1390 1213 49.16% 21.48% 29.36%+0.51 +9.1 32
1993-09-05 Lyn Oslo W 6-340.7 1223 1183 57.45% 20.90% 21.65%+0.93 +13.7 20
1993-09-05 @ Molde L 3-640.7 1183 1223 21.65% 20.90% 57.45%-0.93 -13.7 18
1993-09-05 Brann D 0-050.5 1281 1249 56.68% 20.97% 22.35%+0.89 -2.6 22
1993-09-05 @ Start D 0-050.5 1249 1281 22.35% 20.97% 56.68%-0.89 +2.6 22
1993-09-05 Kongsvinger W 4-032.3 1216 1233 50.85% 21.40% 27.75%+0.55 +32.8 18
1993-09-05 @ Tromso L 0-432.3 1233 1216 27.75% 21.40% 50.85%-0.55 -32.8 18
1993-09-11 Hamarkameratene W 2-035.9 1399 1352 58.36% 20.80% 20.84%+0.99 +13.5 35
1993-09-11 @ Lillestrom L 0-235.9 1352 1399 20.84% 20.80% 58.36%-0.99 -13.5 30
1993-09-12 Tromso D 1-153.9 1251 1248 53.31% 21.25% 25.44%+0.69 -1.9 23
1993-09-12 @ Brann D 1-153.9 1248 1251 25.44% 21.25% 53.31%-0.69 +1.9 19
1993-09-12 Fyllingen W 6-031.9 1200 1204 52.46% 21.30% 26.23%+0.64 +45.8 21
1993-09-12 @ Kongsvinger L 0-631.9 1204 1200 26.23% 21.30% 52.46%-0.64 -45.8 16
1993-09-12 Bodo Glimt L 1-241.1 1170 1432 20.18% 20.72% 59.10%-1.09 -6.5 18
1993-09-12 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-141.1 1432 1170 59.10% 20.72% 20.18%+1.09 +6.6 42
1993-09-12 Molde W 2-030.7 1450 1236 72.37% 18.11% 9.51%+2.10 +6.3 41
1993-09-12 @ Rosenborg L 0-230.7 1236 1450 9.51% 18.11% 72.37%-2.10 -6.3 20
1993-09-12 Start W 1-037.1 1324 1278 58.10% 20.83% 21.07%+0.97 +7.2 32
1993-09-12 @ Viking L 0-137.1 1278 1324 21.07% 20.83% 58.10%-0.97 -7.2 22
1993-09-25 Rosenborg L 1-255.8 1438 1457 50.74% 21.40% 27.85%+0.55 -14.2 42
1993-09-25 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-155.8 1457 1438 27.85% 21.40% 50.74%-0.55 +14.2 44
1993-09-26 Tromso D 0-049.9 1159 1250 40.87% 21.69% 37.45%+0.06 -0.2 17
1993-09-26 @ Fyllingen D 0-049.9 1250 1159 37.45% 21.69% 40.87%-0.06 +0.2 20
1993-09-26 Kongsvinger L 1-253.6 1338 1246 62.79% 20.23% 16.98%+1.29 -17.3 30
1993-09-26 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-153.6 1246 1338 16.98% 20.23% 62.79%-1.29 +17.3 24
1993-09-26 Lillestrom D 0-051.1 1230 1413 28.62% 21.44% 49.94%-0.56 +1.6 21
1993-09-26 @ Molde D 0-051.1 1413 1230 49.94% 21.44% 28.62%+0.56 -1.6 36
1993-09-26 Lyn Oslo D 2-258.7 1271 1163 64.23% 20.00% 15.77%+1.39 -2.5 23
1993-09-26 @ Start D 2-258.7 1163 1271 15.77% 20.00% 64.23%-1.39 +2.5 19
1993-09-26 Brann W 1-035.9 1331 1249 61.76% 20.38% 17.86%+1.22 +6.2 35
1993-09-26 @ Viking L 0-135.9 1249 1331 17.86% 20.38% 61.76%-1.22 -6.2 23
1993-10-03 Brann L 1-639.4 1158 1243 41.84% 21.68% 36.48%+0.10 -46.7 17
1993-10-03 @ Fyllingen W 6-139.4 1243 1158 36.48% 21.68% 41.84%-0.10 +46.7 26
1993-10-03 Molde D 2-258.6 1263 1231 56.64% 20.98% 22.39%+0.88 -1.7 25
1993-10-03 @ Kongsvinger D 2-258.6 1231 1263 22.39% 20.98% 56.64%-0.88 +1.7 22
1993-10-03 Bodo Glimt W 5-350.7 1411 1424 51.40% 21.37% 27.23%+0.58 +12.5 39
1993-10-03 @ Lillestrom L 3-550.7 1424 1411 27.23% 21.37% 51.40%-0.58 -12.5 42
1993-10-03 Viking L 2-348.3 1166 1337 30.03% 21.51% 48.46%-0.48 -8.8 19
1993-10-03 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-248.3 1337 1166 48.46% 21.51% 30.03%+0.48 +8.8 38
1993-10-03 Start W 2-138.9 1471 1268 71.59% 18.34% 10.07%+2.03 +3.4 47
1993-10-03 @ Rosenborg L 1-238.9 1268 1471 10.07% 18.34% 71.59%-2.03 -3.3 23
1993-10-03 Hamarkameratene W 4-140.5 1251 1321 43.87% 21.65% 34.48%+0.20 +25.4 23
1993-10-03 @ Tromso L 1-440.5 1321 1251 34.48% 21.65% 43.87%-0.20 -25.3 30
1993-10-17 Kongsvinger W 4-134.1 1412 1262 67.77% 19.31% 12.92%+1.68 +10.5 45
1993-10-17 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-434.1 1262 1412 12.92% 19.31% 67.77%-1.68 -10.5 25
1993-10-17 Lyn Oslo L 3-750.7 1290 1157 66.39% 19.60% 14.01%+1.56 -44.6 26
1993-10-17 @ Brann W 7-350.7 1157 1290 14.01% 19.60% 66.39%-1.56 +44.6 22
1993-10-17 Fyllingen W 6-026.6 1296 1112 70.31% 18.69% 10.99%+1.90 +20.4 33
1993-10-17 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-626.6 1112 1296 10.99% 18.69% 70.31%-1.90 -20.4 17
1993-10-17 Tromso L 0-144.8 1233 1276 47.60% 21.55% 30.85%+0.38 -14.2 22
1993-10-17 @ Molde W 1-044.8 1276 1233 30.85% 21.55% 47.60%-0.38 +14.2 26
1993-10-17 Lillestrom L 1-538.9 1265 1424 31.65% 21.57% 46.77%-0.39 -30.5 23
1993-10-17 @ Start W 5-138.9 1424 1265 46.77% 21.57% 31.65%+0.39 +30.5 42
1993-10-17 Rosenborg W 2-044.1 1346 1474 35.68% 21.67% 42.65%-0.19 +24.5 41
1993-10-17 @ Viking L 0-244.1 1474 1346 42.65% 21.67% 35.68%+0.19 -24.5 47

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1993-10-17 14.01% Lyn Oslo 1157 7 @ Brann 1290 3
2 1993-09-26 16.98% Kongsvinger 1246 2 @ Hamarkameratene 1338 1
3 1993-05-08 17.55% Brann 1296 4 @ Rosenborg 1381 0
4 1993-08-01 17.81% Kongsvinger 1272 3 @ Viking 1354 2
5 1993-06-13 17.90% Tromso 1220 4 @ Kongsvinger 1301 2
6 1993-08-29 20.72% Brann 1216 2 @ Kongsvinger 1265 0
7 1993-07-04 21.86% Lillestrom 1348 2 @ Bodo Glimt 1385 1
8 1993-07-18 22.04% Molde 1204 1 @ Tromso 1239 0
9 1993-06-27 22.72% Hamarkameratene 1234 2 @ Kongsvinger 1262 1
10 1993-06-20 23.65% Viking 1322 1 @ Start 1341 0
11 1993-06-30 23.91% Start 1346 2 @ Lillestrom 1363 1
12 1993-05-20 24.51% Bodo Glimt 1280 2 @ Molde 1292 0
13 1993-06-27 24.98% Viking 1338 2 @ Brann 1345 0
14 1993-05-20 26.54% Lyn Oslo 1266 2 @ Tromso 1259 0
15 1993-08-08 27.45% Rosenborg 1403 3 @ Lillestrom 1388 2
16 1993-09-25 27.85% Rosenborg 1457 2 @ Bodo Glimt 1438 1
17 1993-08-29 30.16% Hamarkameratene 1296 6 @ Lyn Oslo 1259 0
18 1993-10-17 30.85% Tromso 1276 1 @ Molde 1233 0
19 1993-07-18 32.00% Hamarkameratene 1266 1 @ Fyllingen 1214 0
20 1993-08-15 32.19% @ Brann 1220 2 Lillestrom 1375 1
21 1993-06-16 32.28% Rosenborg 1305 4 @ Fyllingen 1251 0
22 1993-09-04 32.90% Rosenborg 1430 4 @ Hamarkameratene 1372 2
23 1993-06-20 34.21% @ Hamarkameratene 1222 4 Lillestrom 1361 3
24 1993-08-22 34.58% Lillestrom 1361 2 @ Kongsvinger 1290 0
25 1993-05-02 34.81% Rosenborg 1367 1 @ Lyn Oslo 1295 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1993-08-29 75.60 Hamarkameratene 6 1296 30.16% @ Lyn Oslo 0 1259 48.32% 21.52%
2 1993-05-08 64.94 Brann 4 1296 17.55% @ Rosenborg 0 1381 62.12% 20.33%
3 1993-06-20 57.15 @ Bodo Glimt 8 1315 54.16% Lyn Oslo 0 1305 24.66% 21.18%
4 1993-06-16 49.63 Rosenborg 4 1305 32.28% @ Fyllingen 0 1251 46.12% 21.59%
5 1993-10-03 46.72 Brann 6 1243 36.48% @ Fyllingen 1 1158 41.84% 21.68%
6 1993-09-12 45.84 @ Kongsvinger 6 1200 52.46% Fyllingen 0 1204 26.23% 21.30%
7 1993-10-17 44.64 Lyn Oslo 7 1157 14.01% @ Brann 3 1290 66.39% 19.60%
8 1993-07-18 36.74 @ Lyn Oslo 5 1211 38.39% Brann 1 1320 39.92% 21.69%
9 1993-08-08 35.27 @ Fyllingen 3 1197 36.15% Start 0 1322 42.18% 21.68%
10 1993-07-25 35.15 @ Kongsvinger 3 1237 36.32% Start 0 1360 42.00% 21.68%
11 1993-09-05 32.84 @ Tromso 4 1216 50.85% Kongsvinger 0 1233 27.75% 21.40%
12 1993-08-29 32.35 Brann 2 1216 20.72% @ Kongsvinger 0 1265 58.50% 20.79%
13 1993-10-17 30.52 Lillestrom 5 1424 46.77% @ Start 1 1265 31.65% 21.57%
14 1993-05-23 30.50 @ Viking 7 1288 58.72% Hamarkameratene 1 1237 20.52% 20.76%
15 1993-05-20 30.21 Bodo Glimt 2 1280 24.51% @ Molde 0 1292 54.32% 21.17%
16 1993-06-27 29.95 Viking 2 1338 24.98% @ Brann 0 1345 53.81% 21.21%
17 1993-05-20 29.11 Lyn Oslo 2 1266 26.54% @ Tromso 0 1259 52.14% 21.32%
18 1993-06-13 26.35 Tromso 4 1220 17.90% @ Kongsvinger 2 1301 61.71% 20.39%
19 1993-10-03 25.35 @ Tromso 4 1251 43.87% Hamarkameratene 1 1321 34.48% 21.65%
20 1993-05-20 25.20 @ Kongsvinger 3 1298 50.77% Rosenborg 0 1316 27.83% 21.40%
21 1993-08-22 25.03 Lillestrom 2 1361 34.58% @ Kongsvinger 0 1290 43.77% 21.65%
22 1993-07-25 24.90 @ Lillestrom 3 1364 51.17% Viking 0 1379 27.45% 21.38%
23 1993-10-17 24.51 @ Viking 2 1346 35.68% Rosenborg 0 1474 42.65% 21.67%
24 1993-07-25 23.92 @ Hamarkameratene 3 1280 52.53% Brann 0 1284 26.17% 21.30%
25 1993-05-02 23.88 @ Start 3 1308 52.59% Kongsvinger 0 1311 26.12% 21.29%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1993-08-22 63.1 @ Hamarkameratene 3 1297 48.64% Viking 3 1332 29.86% 21.50%
2 1993-06-27 60.7 @ Rosenborg 2 1377 53.50% Bodo Glimt 2 1372 25.27% 21.23%
3 1993-07-04 60.6 @ Start 2 1362 50.46% Rosenborg 2 1382 28.12% 21.42%
4 1993-09-26 58.7 @ Start 2 1271 64.23% Lyn Oslo 2 1163 15.77% 20.00%
5 1993-10-03 58.6 @ Kongsvinger 2 1263 56.64% Molde 2 1231 22.39% 20.98%
6 1993-08-01 58.1 Kongsvinger 3 1272 17.81% @ Viking 2 1354 61.81% 20.37%
7 1993-08-08 57.6 Rosenborg 3 1403 27.45% @ Lillestrom 2 1388 51.16% 21.38%
8 1993-07-18 56.3 @ Rosenborg 1 1383 53.74% Viking 1 1377 25.04% 21.22%
9 1993-06-20 56.1 @ Hamarkameratene 4 1222 34.21% Lillestrom 3 1361 44.14% 21.64%
10 1993-09-25 55.8 Rosenborg 2 1457 27.85% @ Bodo Glimt 1 1438 50.74% 21.40%
11 1993-05-16 55.0 @ Brann 1 1360 60.82% Molde 1 1289 18.67% 20.51%
12 1993-06-04 54.8 @ Rosenborg 1 1300 44.84% Lillestrom 1 1364 33.53% 21.63%
13 1993-08-01 54.6 @ Lyn Oslo 1 1248 34.00% Lillestrom 1 1389 44.36% 21.64%
14 1993-06-13 54.4 Tromso 4 1220 17.90% @ Kongsvinger 2 1301 61.71% 20.39%
15 1993-05-02 54.3 @ Molde 1 1289 52.68% Fyllingen 1 1292 26.03% 21.29%
16 1993-06-20 54.3 @ Tromso 1 1259 41.65% Brann 1 1345 36.67% 21.68%
17 1993-05-16 54.1 @ Lyn Oslo 1 1267 49.38% Kongsvinger 1 1296 29.15% 21.47%
18 1993-05-01 54.0 @ Tromso 1 1269 54.91% Bodo Glimt 1 1253 23.97% 21.13%
19 1993-05-09 54.0 @ Hamarkameratene 1 1248 47.97% Molde 1 1288 30.50% 21.53%
20 1993-09-12 53.9 @ Brann 1 1251 53.31% Tromso 1 1248 25.44% 21.25%
21 1993-07-04 53.7 Lillestrom 2 1348 21.86% @ Bodo Glimt 1 1385 57.22% 20.92%
22 1993-07-04 53.7 @ Molde 1 1205 49.19% Kongsvinger 1 1235 29.33% 21.48%
23 1993-09-26 53.6 Kongsvinger 2 1246 16.98% @ Hamarkameratene 1 1338 62.79% 20.23%
24 1993-09-04 53.1 Rosenborg 4 1430 32.90% @ Hamarkameratene 2 1372 45.48% 21.61%
25 1993-06-30 52.7 Start 2 1346 23.91% @ Lillestrom 1 1363 54.97% 21.12%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1993-10-17 26.6 @ Hamarkameratene 6 1296 70.31% Fyllingen 0 1112 10.99% 18.69%
2 1993-08-15 29.1 @ Bodo Glimt 3 1376 67.49% Molde 0 1229 13.14% 19.37%
3 1993-06-27 29.3 @ Lillestrom 3 1350 66.22% Molde 0 1219 14.15% 19.63%
4 1993-05-23 29.8 @ Start 4 1337 61.16% Molde 0 1262 18.38% 20.46%
5 1993-09-12 30.7 @ Rosenborg 2 1450 72.37% Molde 0 1236 9.51% 18.11%
6 1993-08-29 31.1 @ Rosenborg 5 1419 71.07% Fyllingen 1 1224 10.44% 18.49%
7 1993-07-04 31.3 @ Viking 2 1368 67.60% Lyn Oslo 0 1220 13.05% 19.35%
8 1993-08-01 31.3 @ Bodo Glimt 5 1374 68.89% Fyllingen 1 1209 12.06% 19.05%
9 1993-09-12 31.9 @ Kongsvinger 6 1200 52.46% Fyllingen 0 1204 26.23% 21.30%
10 1993-09-05 32.3 @ Tromso 4 1216 50.85% Kongsvinger 0 1233 27.75% 21.40%
11 1993-05-16 32.6 @ Bodo Glimt 3 1258 54.28% Hamarkameratene 0 1247 24.54% 21.18%
12 1993-05-23 32.7 @ Viking 7 1288 58.72% Hamarkameratene 1 1237 20.52% 20.76%
13 1993-05-23 32.9 @ Lyn Oslo 3 1295 54.42% Fyllingen 0 1283 24.42% 21.16%
14 1993-05-23 33.3 @ Lillestrom 3 1342 55.18% Kongsvinger 0 1323 23.72% 21.10%
15 1993-06-20 33.4 @ Bodo Glimt 8 1315 54.16% Lyn Oslo 0 1305 24.66% 21.18%
16 1993-07-25 33.4 @ Hamarkameratene 3 1280 52.53% Brann 0 1284 26.17% 21.30%
17 1993-05-02 33.7 @ Start 3 1308 52.59% Kongsvinger 0 1311 26.12% 21.29%
18 1993-10-17 34.1 @ Bodo Glimt 4 1412 67.77% Kongsvinger 1 1262 12.92% 19.31%
19 1993-05-20 34.2 @ Kongsvinger 3 1298 50.77% Rosenborg 0 1316 27.83% 21.40%
20 1993-07-25 34.2 @ Bodo Glimt 1 1369 67.53% Tromso 0 1222 13.11% 19.36%
21 1993-05-09 34.5 @ Lillestrom 2 1319 57.25% Lyn Oslo 0 1281 21.84% 20.92%
22 1993-08-15 34.9 @ Lyn Oslo 2 1242 53.99% Tromso 0 1233 24.81% 21.20%
23 1993-08-29 35.1 @ Viking 1 1332 63.90% Molde 0 1228 16.05% 20.05%
24 1993-08-15 35.4 @ Viking 1 1326 62.96% Fyllingen 0 1232 16.84% 20.20%
25 1993-07-04 35.5 @ Hamarkameratene 2 1249 52.24% Tromso 0 1255 26.44% 21.32%