1992 Tippeligaen Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

46 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 1990

Relegated

Mjondalen

18 pts

Sogndal · 20 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Kongsvinger

7.38 points above expected

40 points · 32.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Viking

9.65 points below expected

21 points · 30.65 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg Champion	22	14	4	4	46	58	19	+39	39.09	+6.91
2	Kongsvinger	22	12	4	6	40	43	27	+16	32.62	+7.38
3	Start	22	11	6	5	39	38	28	+10	34.56	+4.44
4	Lillestrom	22	11	5	6	38	48	28	+20	35.54	+2.46
5	Lyn Oslo	22	11	4	7	37	33	29	+4	31.53	+5.47
6	Molde	22	11	3	8	36	30	30	0	29.79	+6.21
7	Brann	22	4	12	6	24	26	30	-4	30.37	-6.37
8	Tromso	22	6	6	10	24	22	37	-15	27.52	-3.52
9	Viking	22	4	9	9	21	25	34	-9	30.65	-9.65
10	Hamarkameratene	22	5	5	12	20	30	46	-16	24.57	-4.57
11	Sogndal Relegated	22	5	5	12	20	30	53	-23	26.16	-6.16
12	Mjondalen Relegated	22	5	3	14	18	20	42	-22	21.22	-3.22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kongsvinger	40	32.62	+7.38
2	Rosenborg	46	39.09	+6.91
3	Molde	36	29.79	+6.21
4	Lyn Oslo	37	31.53	+5.47
5	Start	39	34.56	+4.44

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Viking	21	30.65	-9.65
2	Brann	24	30.37	-6.37
3	Sogndal	20	26.16	-6.16
4	Hamarkameratene	20	24.57	-4.57
5	Tromso	24	27.52	-3.52

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kongsvinger	7	Jun 28 – Aug 23	1 in 786
2	Molde	6	Jul 26 – Aug 30	1 in 526
3	Mjondalen	3	Sep 13 – Sep 27	1 in 91
4	Hamarkameratene	3	May 16 – Jun 8	1 in 27
5	Start	3	Aug 23 – Sep 13	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lillestrom	4	Aug 23 – Sep 20	1 in 365
2	Tromso	5	Jul 5 – Aug 16	1 in 165
3	Mjondalen	5	Apr 26 – May 24	1 in 43
4	Sogndal	4	Jul 19 – Aug 16	1 in 21
5	Brann	3	Jun 14 – Jun 28	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brann	8	Aug 16 – Oct 18	1 in 54
2	Molde	7	Jul 5 – Aug 30	1 in 42
3	Kongsvinger	8	Jun 28 – Aug 30	1 in 35
4	Start	10	Apr 26 – Jul 5	1 in 30
5	Lillestrom	9	May 24 – Jul 26	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brann	10	Jul 26 – Oct 18	1 in 98
2	Lillestrom	6	Aug 9 – Sep 20	1 in 84
3	Mjondalen	13	Apr 26 – Jul 26	1 in 41
4	Tromso	7	Jun 28 – Aug 16	1 in 28
5	Viking	7	Apr 25 – Jun 14	1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rosenborg	1455	46	+57	13	8.9	+4.1
Kongsvinger	1331	40	-11	7	7.6	-0.6
Start	1325	39	-20	6	7.3	-1.3
Lillestrom	1369	38	+5	9	8.3	+0.7
Lyn Oslo	1291	37	+2	7	7.7	-0.7
Molde	1280	36	-43	4	7.2	-3.2
Tromso	1230	24	+32	8	6.0	+2.0
Brann	1273	24	+1	5	6.4	-1.4
Viking	1273	21	+19	7	6.7	+0.3
Sogndal	1183	20	-34	4	5.3	-1.3
Hamarkameratene	1183	20	-30	2	6.1	-4.1
Mjondalen	1162	18	+22	10	5.0	+5.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRA	HAM	KON	LIL	LO	MJO	MOL	ROS	SOG	STA	TRO	VIK
Brann	—	1-0-1 3.29	0-2-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.39	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 3.61	0-1-1 2.85	0-1-1 1.84	0-2-0 3.13	0-1-1 2.42	0-1-1 3.18	1-1-0 2.74
Hamarkameratene	1-0-1 2.20	—	0-0-2 2.18	0-0-2 1.82	0-0-2 2.28	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 2.20	0-1-1 1.61	0-1-1 2.74	0-1-1 1.87	2-0-0 2.45	0-2-0 2.20
Kongsvinger	0-2-0 2.95	2-0-0 3.32	—	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.99	2-0-0 3.48	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.14	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 2.59	0-1-1 3.41	1-1-0 2.95
Lillestrom	1-1-0 3.13	2-0-0 3.71	1-0-1 3.10	—	0-1-1 3.15	1-0-1 4.08	1-0-1 3.11	0-1-1 2.55	1-1-0 3.77	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 3.59	2-0-0 3.10
Lyn Oslo	0-1-1 2.75	2-0-0 3.22	1-0-1 2.51	1-1-0 2.36	—	2-0-0 3.57	0-1-1 2.99	0-0-2 2.09	2-0-0 3.11	0-0-2 2.45	1-1-0 3.09	2-0-0 2.79
Mjondalen	0-1-1 1.92	1-0-1 2.25	0-0-2 2.05	1-0-1 1.49	0-0-2 1.93	—	0-0-2 1.90	1-0-1 1.36	0-1-1 2.23	1-0-1 1.55	1-0-1 2.02	0-1-1 1.89
Molde	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 3.31	0-0-2 2.50	1-0-1 2.39	1-1-0 2.51	2-0-0 3.61	—	1-0-1 1.99	2-0-0 2.89	0-0-2 2.38	2-0-0 2.74	0-1-1 2.91
Rosenborg	1-1-0 3.67	1-1-0 3.93	1-0-1 3.36	1-1-0 2.94	2-0-0 3.41	1-0-1 4.24	1-0-1 3.51	—	2-0-0 3.79	2-0-0 3.00	1-1-0 3.43	1-0-1 3.62
Sogndal	0-2-0 2.37	1-1-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.13	0-1-1 1.76	0-0-2 2.39	1-1-0 3.27	0-0-2 2.59	0-0-2 1.74	—	0-0-2 2.26	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.40
Start	1-1-0 3.07	1-1-0 3.66	1-0-1 2.90	0-1-1 2.55	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 4.01	2-0-0 3.14	0-0-2 2.49	2-0-0 3.23	—	1-1-0 3.59	0-2-0 3.04
Tromso	1-1-0 2.32	0-0-2 3.08	1-1-0 2.08	1-0-1 1.91	0-1-1 2.43	1-0-1 3.49	0-0-2 2.75	0-1-1 2.11	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 1.94	—	1-1-0 2.51
Viking	0-1-1 2.75	0-2-0 3.29	0-1-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.38	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 3.63	1-1-0 2.56	1-0-1 1.91	1-0-1 3.10	0-2-0 2.47	0-1-1 2.98	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.72	+7.4
Allowed	0.71	-8.9
Differential	0.87	+4.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.30%	8.33%	4.17%	3.03%	2.27%	2.65%	25.76%
1	8.33%	14.39%	4.92%	5.30%	2.65%	0.76%	36.36%
2	4.17%	4.92%	3.79%	1.52%	—	1.52%	15.91%
3	3.03%	5.30%	1.52%	1.52%	—	0.38%	11.74%
4	2.27%	2.65%	—	—	—	—	4.92%
5+	2.65%	0.76%	1.52%	0.38%	—	—	5.30%
Total	25.76%	36.36%	15.91%	11.74%	4.92%	5.30%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	1.53	+0.00
SD	1.48	1.48	2.29
CV	0.97	0.97	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	31.82%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	50.00%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	45.45%	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.36	-0.18
SD	0.96	1.18	1.30
CV	0.81	0.86	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	22.73%
1	—	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	40.91%
2	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%
3	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	22.73%	18.18%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	2.09	-0.73
SD	1.09	1.54	2.25
CV	0.80	0.74	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	40.91%	27.27%	13.64%	13.64%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.23	+0.73
SD	1.79	1.51	2.43
CV	0.91	1.23	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	27.27%	18.18%	13.64%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	1.27	+0.91
SD	1.59	1.35	2.31
CV	0.73	1.06	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	45.45%	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.32	+0.18
SD	1.57	1.21	1.84
CV	1.04	0.92	—
Max	7	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	22.73%	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	45.45%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	40.91%	27.27%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.91	-1.00
SD	1.02	1.48	1.83
CV	1.12	0.77	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	31.82%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.36	+0.00
SD	1.36	1.40	2.39
CV	1.00	1.03	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	—	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
Total	31.82%	50.00%	18.18%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.64	0.86	+1.77
SD	2.08	0.71	2.29
CV	0.79	0.82	—
Max	6	2	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	22.73%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	45.45%
2	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	27.27%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	2.41	-1.05
SD	1.18	1.97	2.42
CV	0.86	0.82	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
1	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	50.00%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.27	+0.45
SD	1.49	1.45	2.39
CV	0.86	1.14	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	40.91%
1	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	27.27%	9.09%	22.73%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.68	-0.68
SD	1.38	1.81	2.59
CV	1.38	1.08	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	50.00%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	40.91%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.55	-0.41
SD	1.17	1.44	1.82
CV	1.03	0.93	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1455	46	39.09	+6.91	90.0%	27	29	35	39	43	50	58
Lillestrom	1369	38	35.54	+2.46	70.0%	17	26	32	35	40	45	49
Kongsvinger	1331	40	32.62	+7.38	87.0%	21	23	28	32	36	44	49
Start	1325	39	34.56	+4.44	80.0%	20	25	30	35	39	44	46
Lyn Oslo	1291	37	31.53	+5.47	83.0%	16	22	27	32	35	42	43
Molde	1280	36	29.79	+6.21	91.0%	16	19	26	30	34	40	44
Viking	1273	21	30.65	-9.65	8.0%	16	20	26	30	35	40	46
Brann	1273	24	30.37	-6.37	15.0%	14	19	27	29	35	41	47
Tromso	1230	24	27.52	-3.52	29.0%	18	19	24	27	31	37	43
Sogndal	1183	20	26.16	-6.16	12.0%	13	17	23	26	30	35	40
Hamarkameratene	1183	20	24.57	-4.57	25.0%	12	15	20	25	29	33	35
Mjondalen	1162	18	21.22	-3.22	33.0%	6	12	17	21	25	30	40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+25.00%

Strong Edge

50.00%25.00%25.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge

115 Elo

0.009 goals per Elo point

088.74300

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.78 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.77+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.5

Open

134610

Champion Preseason Odds

40%

Rosenborg, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.27/gm

Comfortable

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.71 * Some Luck: 4.71 to 7.07 * Lucky: 7.07 to 9.43 * Wild Swing: 9.43 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.84 * Close: 1.84 to 2.76 * Off: 2.76 to 3.68 * Way Off: 3.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1 * A Surprise: 1 to 1.6 * Several Surprises: 1.6 to 2.2 * Many Surprises: 2.2 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.86 points

Some Luck

05.8915

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

02.305

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

91.00%

Molde

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

8.00%

Viking

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

A Surprise

01.02

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Top-Heavy

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 84.59

1.61

Strong Separation

0.91.351.551.752.5

Interquartile Edge

65%

Clear Edge

50%61.5%69.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

84%

Clear Edge

50%84%100%

Close Games

Expected

55%

Some Drama

0%49%100%

Blowouts

Expected

27%

Very Frequent

0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Slight Separation

00.320.380.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.59

Strong Carryover

00.280.481

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Chalky

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Solid Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.68

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.16

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.084

Well Within Noise

00.1320.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rosenborg	40.00%	21.00%	14.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Kongsvinger	6.00%	13.00%	12.00%	14.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	9.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—
Start	13.00%	18.00%	17.00%	13.00%	8.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Lillestrom	17.00%	13.00%	21.00%	14.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Lyn Oslo	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	8.00%	18.00%	14.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	2.00%
Molde	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	15.00%	11.00%	6.00%	14.00%	7.00%	9.00%	14.00%	3.00%	8.00%
Brann	5.00%	9.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	13.00%	11.00%	11.00%	12.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Tromso	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	12.00%	8.00%	15.00%	16.00%	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%
Viking	4.00%	6.00%	12.00%	8.00%	13.00%	5.00%	12.00%	16.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	4.00%
Hamarkameratene	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	10.00%	15.00%	14.00%	20.00%	18.00%
Sogndal	—	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	13.00%	17.00%	17.00%	13.00%
Mjondalen	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	15.00%	22.00%	40.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	100%	—	—
Lillestrom	97.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Kongsvinger	91.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Start	96.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Lyn Oslo	86.00%	6.00%	8.00%
Brann	83.00%	6.00%	11.00%
Molde	75.00%	14.00%	11.00%
Viking	81.00%	5.00%	14.00%
Tromso	67.00%	12.00%	21.00%
Sogndal	53.00%	17.00%	30.00%
Hamarkameratene	48.00%	14.00%	38.00%
Mjondalen	23.00%	15.00%	62.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1992-04-25	Viking	W 2-1	44.9	1297	1308	47.57%	25.72%	26.71%	+0.68	+4.9	3
1992-04-25	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	44.9	1308	1297	26.71%	25.72%	47.57%	-0.68	-4.9	0
1992-04-26	Brann	W 3-1	45.4	1208	1297	36.66%	26.51%	36.83%	-0.01	+10.9	3
1992-04-26	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-3	45.4	1297	1208	36.83%	26.51%	36.66%	+0.01	-10.9	0
1992-04-26	Kongsvinger	L 0-2	41.1	1206	1272	40.01%	26.44%	33.55%	+0.20	-13.4	0
1992-04-26	@ Mjondalen	W 2-0	41.1	1272	1206	33.55%	26.44%	40.01%	-0.20	+13.4	3
1992-04-26	Tromso	W 1-0	39.9	1285	1296	47.58%	25.71%	26.70%	+0.68	+5.2	3
1992-04-26	@ Molde	L 0-1	39.9	1296	1285	26.70%	25.71%	47.58%	-0.68	-5.2	0
1992-04-26	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	34.6	1342	1273	57.42%	23.47%	19.12%	+1.37	+7.2	3
1992-04-26	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	34.6	1273	1342	19.12%	23.47%	57.42%	-1.37	-7.2	0
1992-04-26	Sogndal	W 4-1	38.1	1307	1262	54.63%	24.26%	21.11%	+1.17	+9.8	3
1992-04-26	@ Start	L 1-4	38.1	1262	1307	21.11%	24.26%	54.63%	-1.17	-9.8	0
1992-05-02	Hamarkameratene	W 3-0	32.2	1286	1219	57.15%	23.55%	19.31%	+1.35	+10.6	6
1992-05-02	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-3	32.2	1219	1286	19.31%	23.55%	57.15%	-1.35	-10.6	3
1992-05-03	Lillestrom	D 0-0	48.9	1286	1302	46.86%	25.82%	27.32%	+0.63	-0.8	1
1992-05-03	@ Brann	D 0-0	48.9	1302	1286	27.32%	25.82%	46.86%	-0.63	+0.8	4
1992-05-03	Mjondalen	W 1-0	36.3	1265	1193	57.81%	23.34%	18.85%	+1.40	+3.8	3
1992-05-03	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	36.3	1193	1265	18.85%	23.34%	57.81%	-1.40	-3.8	0
1992-05-03	Molde	L 0-1	44.9	1252	1290	43.85%	26.17%	29.97%	+0.44	-7.7	0
1992-05-03	@ Sogndal	W 1-0	44.9	1290	1252	29.97%	26.17%	43.85%	-0.44	+7.7	6
1992-05-03	Rosenborg	D 1-1	53.1	1290	1349	41.03%	26.39%	32.58%	+0.26	-0.3	1
1992-05-03	@ Tromso	D 1-1	53.1	1349	1290	32.58%	26.39%	41.03%	-0.26	+0.3	4
1992-05-03	Start	D 1-1	53.1	1303	1317	47.12%	25.78%	27.09%	+0.65	-0.7	1
1992-05-03	@ Viking	D 1-1	53.1	1317	1303	27.09%	25.78%	47.12%	-0.65	+0.7	4
1992-05-10	Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	41.3	1208	1269	40.70%	26.41%	32.89%	+0.24	-13.6	3
1992-05-10	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	41.3	1269	1208	32.89%	26.41%	40.70%	-0.24	+13.6	6
1992-05-10	Kongsvinger	W 1-0	39.3	1303	1296	49.84%	25.33%	24.83%	+0.83	+4.9	7
1992-05-10	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	39.3	1296	1303	24.83%	25.33%	49.84%	-0.83	-4.9	6
1992-05-10	Tromso	L 0-1	42.2	1189	1290	35.01%	26.49%	38.51%	-0.11	-6.5	0
1992-05-10	@ Mjondalen	W 1-0	42.2	1290	1189	38.51%	26.49%	35.01%	+0.11	+6.4	4
1992-05-10	Molde	W 2-0	35.5	1349	1298	55.34%	24.07%	20.59%	+1.22	+7.8	7
1992-05-10	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	35.5	1298	1349	20.59%	24.07%	55.34%	-1.22	-7.8	6
1992-05-10	Viking	W 4-1	42.1	1244	1302	41.13%	26.38%	32.49%	+0.27	+14.1	3
1992-05-10	@ Sogndal	L 1-4	42.1	1302	1244	32.49%	26.38%	41.13%	-0.27	-14.1	1
1992-05-10	Brann	D 0-0	49.3	1318	1286	53.03%	24.66%	22.31%	+1.05	-1.3	5
1992-05-10	@ Start	D 0-0	49.3	1286	1318	22.31%	24.66%	53.03%	-1.05	+1.3	2
1992-05-16	Viking	W 3-1	42.1	1287	1288	48.77%	25.52%	25.71%	+0.76	+8.2	5
1992-05-16	@ Brann	L 1-3	42.1	1288	1287	25.71%	25.52%	48.77%	-0.76	-8.2	1
1992-05-16	Start	L 1-3	48.5	1291	1317	45.64%	25.98%	28.38%	+0.55	-12.9	6
1992-05-16	@ Kongsvinger	W 3-1	48.5	1317	1291	28.38%	25.98%	45.64%	-0.55	+12.9	8
1992-05-16	Lillestrom	W 3-1	43.2	1283	1308	45.63%	25.98%	28.39%	+0.55	+8.9	9
1992-05-16	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	43.2	1308	1283	28.39%	25.98%	45.63%	-0.55	-8.9	7
1992-05-16	Mjondalen	W 2-0	32.6	1290	1183	61.70%	22.00%	16.30%	+1.71	+6.2	9
1992-05-16	@ Molde	L 0-2	32.6	1183	1290	16.30%	22.00%	61.70%	-1.71	-6.2	0
1992-05-16	Sogndal	W 5-1	34.9	1357	1258	60.74%	22.36%	16.91%	+1.63	+10.1	10
1992-05-16	@ Rosenborg	L 1-5	34.9	1258	1357	16.91%	22.36%	60.74%	-1.63	-10.1	3
1992-05-16	Hamarkameratene	L 0-3	44.3	1297	1195	61.10%	22.22%	16.68%	+1.66	-27.5	4
1992-05-16	@ Tromso	W 3-0	44.3	1195	1297	16.68%	22.22%	61.10%	-1.66	+27.5	6
1992-05-24	Molde	W 3-0	37.7	1222	1296	38.82%	26.48%	34.70%	+0.13	+17.6	9
1992-05-24	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-3	37.7	1296	1222	34.70%	26.48%	38.82%	-0.13	-17.5	9
1992-05-24	Tromso	W 6-0	33.2	1299	1269	52.74%	24.73%	22.53%	+1.03	+23.5	10
1992-05-24	@ Lillestrom	L 0-6	33.2	1269	1299	22.53%	24.73%	52.74%	-1.03	-23.5	4
1992-05-24	Rosenborg	L 0-1	38.7	1177	1367	24.16%	25.18%	50.66%	-0.89	-4.8	0
1992-05-24	@ Mjondalen	W 1-0	38.7	1367	1177	50.66%	25.18%	24.16%	+0.89	+4.8	13
1992-05-24	Brann	D 1-1	52.5	1248	1295	42.69%	26.28%	31.03%	+0.37	-0.4	4
1992-05-24	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	52.5	1295	1248	31.03%	26.28%	42.69%	-0.37	+0.4	6
1992-05-24	Lyn Oslo	W 5-0	32.9	1329	1292	53.68%	24.50%	21.81%	+1.10	+19.2	11
1992-05-24	@ Start	L 0-5	32.9	1292	1329	21.81%	24.50%	53.68%	-1.10	-19.2	9
1992-05-24	Kongsvinger	D 1-1	52.8	1280	1278	49.16%	25.46%	25.38%	+0.79	-0.9	2
1992-05-24	@ Viking	D 1-1	52.8	1278	1280	25.38%	25.46%	49.16%	-0.79	+0.9	7
1992-05-31	Brann	D 3-3	62.1	1279	1295	46.84%	25.82%	27.34%	+0.63	-0.4	8
1992-05-31	@ Kongsvinger	D 3-3	62.1	1295	1279	27.34%	25.82%	46.84%	-0.63	+0.4	7
1992-05-31	Viking	W 3-1	42.2	1273	1279	48.10%	25.63%	26.27%	+0.71	+8.4	12
1992-05-31	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	42.2	1279	1273	26.27%	25.63%	48.10%	-0.71	-8.4	2
1992-05-31	Sogndal	D 1-1	52.1	1172	1248	38.54%	26.49%	34.97%	+0.11	-0.1	1
1992-05-31	@ Mjondalen	D 1-1	52.1	1248	1172	34.97%	26.49%	38.54%	-0.11	+0.1	5
1992-05-31	Lillestrom	L 0-4	39.7	1279	1323	43.10%	26.24%	30.66%	+0.39	-27.0	9
1992-05-31	@ Molde	W 4-0	39.7	1323	1279	30.66%	26.24%	43.10%	-0.39	+27.0	13
1992-05-31	Start	D 2-2	57.9	1246	1349	34.73%	26.48%	38.79%	-0.12	+0.1	5
1992-05-31	@ Tromso	D 2-2	57.9	1349	1246	38.79%	26.48%	34.73%	+0.12	-0.1	12
1992-06-08	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	38.9	1296	1281	50.87%	25.13%	23.99%	+0.90	+4.8	10
1992-06-08	@ Brann	L 0-1	38.9	1281	1296	23.99%	25.13%	50.87%	-0.90	-4.8	12
1992-06-08	Mjondalen	W 3-1	39.0	1240	1172	57.29%	23.50%	19.20%	+1.36	+6.3	12
1992-06-08	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-3	39.0	1172	1240	19.20%	23.50%	57.29%	-1.36	-6.3	1
1992-06-08	Sogndal	W 5-0	32.6	1279	1248	52.85%	24.70%	22.44%	+1.04	+19.7	11
1992-06-08	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-5	32.6	1248	1279	22.44%	24.70%	52.85%	-1.04	-19.7	5
1992-06-08	Rosenborg	D 1-1	54.2	1350	1372	46.00%	25.94%	28.07%	+0.58	-0.6	14
1992-06-08	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	54.2	1372	1350	28.07%	25.94%	46.00%	-0.58	+0.7	14
1992-06-08	Molde	W 2-1	41.0	1349	1252	60.52%	22.43%	17.05%	+1.61	+3.2	15
1992-06-08	@ Start	L 1-2	41.0	1252	1349	17.05%	22.43%	60.52%	-1.61	-3.2	9
1992-06-14	Kongsvinger	W 3-2	50.1	1276	1299	46.00%	25.93%	28.07%	+0.58	+4.8	15
1992-06-14	@ Lyn Oslo	L 2-3	50.1	1299	1276	28.07%	25.93%	46.00%	-0.58	-4.9	11
1992-06-14	Lillestrom	L 0-4	33.5	1165	1349	24.90%	25.35%	49.75%	-0.83	-17.5	1
1992-06-14	@ Mjondalen	W 4-0	33.5	1349	1165	49.75%	25.35%	24.90%	+0.83	+17.5	17
1992-06-14	Viking	D 0-0	48.5	1249	1271	46.03%	25.93%	28.04%	+0.58	-0.7	10
1992-06-14	@ Molde	D 0-0	48.5	1271	1249	28.04%	25.93%	46.03%	-0.58	+0.7	3
1992-06-14	Hamarkameratene	W 3-1	42.4	1228	1246	46.65%	25.85%	27.50%	+0.62	+8.7	8
1992-06-14	@ Sogndal	L 1-3	42.4	1246	1228	27.50%	25.85%	46.65%	-0.62	-8.7	12
1992-06-14	Brann	W 3-1	44.1	1246	1301	41.55%	26.36%	32.10%	+0.29	+9.9	8
1992-06-14	@ Tromso	L 1-3	44.1	1301	1246	32.10%	26.36%	41.55%	-0.29	-9.9	10
1992-06-21	Molde	L 2-3	57.3	1291	1248	54.33%	24.34%	21.33%	+1.15	-8.1	10
1992-06-21	@ Brann	W 3-2	57.3	1248	1291	21.33%	24.34%	54.33%	-1.15	+8.1	13
1992-06-21	Tromso	L 0-2	44.9	1294	1256	53.75%	24.49%	21.76%	+1.10	-17.0	11
1992-06-21	@ Kongsvinger	W 2-0	44.9	1256	1294	21.76%	24.49%	53.75%	-1.10	+17.0	11
1992-06-21	Hamarkameratene	W 4-0	29.7	1366	1237	64.00%	21.10%	14.90%	+1.90	+10.6	20
1992-06-21	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	29.7	1237	1366	14.90%	21.10%	64.00%	-1.90	-10.6	12
1992-06-21	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	49.5	1237	1281	43.07%	26.24%	30.69%	+0.39	-7.1	8
1992-06-21	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	49.5	1281	1237	30.69%	26.24%	43.07%	-0.39	+7.1	18
1992-06-21	Mjondalen	W 4-1	32.8	1352	1148	71.28%	17.76%	10.96%	+2.55	+4.8	18
1992-06-21	@ Start	L 1-4	32.8	1148	1352	10.96%	17.76%	71.28%	-2.55	-4.8	1
1992-06-21	Rosenborg	W 1-0	44.1	1272	1373	34.98%	26.49%	38.53%	-0.11	+6.9	6
1992-06-21	@ Viking	L 0-1	44.1	1373	1272	38.53%	26.49%	34.98%	+0.11	-6.9	14
1992-06-28	Start	D 1-1	52.7	1227	1357	31.14%	26.28%	42.58%	-0.36	+0.4	13
1992-06-28	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	52.7	1357	1227	42.58%	26.28%	31.14%	+0.36	-0.4	19
1992-06-28	Sogndal	D 3-3	64.0	1377	1230	65.83%	20.32%	13.85%	+2.05	-1.3	21
1992-06-28	@ Lillestrom	D 3-3	64.0	1230	1377	13.85%	20.32%	65.83%	-2.05	+1.3	9
1992-06-28	Viking	D 2-2	57.4	1143	1278	30.44%	26.22%	43.34%	-0.41	+0.3	2
1992-06-28	@ Mjondalen	D 2-2	57.4	1278	1143	43.34%	26.22%	30.44%	+0.41	-0.4	7
1992-06-28	Kongsvinger	L 0-2	43.0	1256	1277	46.22%	25.91%	27.87%	+0.59	-15.0	13
1992-06-28	@ Molde	W 2-0	43.0	1277	1256	27.87%	25.91%	46.22%	-0.59	+15.0	14
1992-06-28	Brann	W 2-0	34.4	1366	1283	59.01%	22.95%	18.04%	+1.50	+6.8	17
1992-06-28	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	34.4	1283	1366	18.04%	22.95%	59.01%	-1.50	-6.8	10
1992-06-28	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	48.7	1273	1288	46.92%	25.81%	27.27%	+0.64	-0.8	12
1992-06-28	@ Tromso	D 0-0	48.7	1288	1273	27.27%	25.81%	46.92%	-0.64	+0.8	19
1992-07-01	Hamarkameratene	W 5-2	38.0	1373	1227	65.68%	20.39%	13.93%	+2.04	+5.5	20
1992-07-01	@ Rosenborg	L 2-5	38.0	1227	1373	13.93%	20.39%	65.68%	-2.04	-5.5	13
1992-07-01	Tromso	D 0-0	48.8	1278	1272	49.77%	25.35%	24.89%	+0.83	-1.0	8
1992-07-01	@ Viking	D 0-0	48.8	1272	1278	24.89%	25.35%	49.77%	-0.83	+1.0	13
1992-07-05	Mjondalen	W 2-0	31.7	1276	1143	64.34%	20.95%	14.70%	+1.93	+5.5	13
1992-07-05	@ Brann	L 0-2	31.7	1143	1276	14.70%	20.95%	64.34%	-1.93	-5.5	2
1992-07-05	Rosenborg	W 1-0	43.7	1292	1378	37.10%	26.51%	36.40%	+0.02	+6.6	17
1992-07-05	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-1	43.7	1378	1292	36.40%	26.51%	37.10%	-0.02	-6.6	20
1992-07-05	Molde	D 1-1	53.1	1289	1241	54.94%	24.18%	20.88%	+1.19	-1.3	20
1992-07-05	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	53.1	1241	1289	20.88%	24.18%	54.94%	-1.19	+1.3	14
1992-07-05	Tromso	W 3-0	36.3	1231	1273	43.39%	26.22%	30.39%	+0.41	+15.8	12
1992-07-05	@ Sogndal	L 0-3	36.3	1273	1231	30.39%	26.22%	43.39%	-0.41	-15.8	13
1992-07-05	Lillestrom	D 2-2	59.6	1356	1376	46.37%	25.89%	27.74%	+0.60	-0.5	20
1992-07-05	@ Start	D 2-2	59.6	1376	1356	27.74%	25.89%	46.37%	-0.60	+0.5	22
1992-07-05	Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	53.0	1277	1222	55.83%	23.93%	20.23%	+1.26	-1.3	9
1992-07-05	@ Viking	D 1-1	53.0	1222	1277	20.23%	23.93%	55.83%	-1.26	+1.4	14
1992-07-08	Start	W 6-0	35.3	1371	1356	50.98%	25.11%	23.91%	+0.91	+24.8	23
1992-07-08	@ Rosenborg	L 0-6	35.3	1356	1371	23.91%	25.11%	50.98%	-0.91	-24.8	20
1992-07-19	Hamarkameratene	W 3-1	39.6	1281	1223	56.18%	23.84%	19.99%	+1.28	+6.6	16
1992-07-19	@ Brann	L 1-3	39.6	1223	1281	19.99%	23.84%	56.18%	-1.28	-6.6	14
1992-07-19	Mjondalen	W 6-2	34.3	1298	1138	67.18%	19.72%	13.10%	+2.17	+6.5	20
1992-07-19	@ Kongsvinger	L 2-6	34.3	1138	1298	13.10%	19.72%	67.18%	-2.17	-6.5	2
1992-07-19	Rosenborg	L 1-3	45.8	1288	1396	33.96%	26.46%	39.58%	-0.17	-10.3	20
1992-07-19	@ Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	45.8	1396	1288	39.58%	26.46%	33.96%	+0.17	+10.3	26
1992-07-19	Start	L 1-2	48.2	1247	1331	37.46%	26.50%	36.04%	+0.04	-6.4	12
1992-07-19	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	48.2	1331	1247	36.04%	26.50%	37.46%	-0.04	+6.4	23
1992-07-19	Lillestrom	L 0-2	40.6	1276	1376	35.06%	26.49%	38.45%	-0.10	-12.2	9
1992-07-19	@ Viking	W 2-0	40.6	1376	1276	38.45%	26.49%	35.06%	+0.10	+12.2	25
1992-07-26	Kongsvinger	L 1-2	47.7	1216	1305	36.76%	26.51%	36.73%	+0.00	-6.3	14
1992-07-26	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	47.7	1305	1216	36.73%	26.51%	36.76%	+0.00	+6.3	23
1992-07-26	Brann	W 4-1	37.1	1389	1288	60.95%	22.28%	16.77%	+1.65	+7.8	28
1992-07-26	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	37.1	1288	1389	16.77%	22.28%	60.95%	-1.65	-7.8	16
1992-07-26	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	40.1	1131	1277	29.13%	26.08%	44.80%	-0.50	-5.6	2
1992-07-26	@ Mjondalen	W 1-0	40.1	1277	1131	44.80%	26.08%	29.13%	+0.50	+5.6	23
1992-07-26	Sogndal	W 3-0	34.5	1242	1241	49.16%	25.46%	25.38%	+0.79	+13.7	17
1992-07-26	@ Molde	L 0-3	34.5	1241	1242	25.38%	25.46%	49.16%	-0.79	-13.7	12
1992-07-26	Tromso	W 6-1	32.6	1407	1257	66.08%	20.22%	13.71%	+2.07	+9.9	29
1992-07-26	@ Rosenborg	L 1-6	32.6	1257	1407	13.71%	20.22%	66.08%	-2.07	-9.9	13
1992-07-26	Viking	D 1-1	53.7	1337	1264	57.95%	23.30%	18.75%	+1.41	-1.5	24
1992-07-26	@ Start	D 1-1	53.7	1264	1337	18.75%	23.30%	57.95%	-1.41	+1.5	10
1992-08-05	Molde	L 1-3	48.5	1247	1256	47.81%	25.68%	26.51%	+0.70	-13.4	13
1992-08-05	@ Tromso	W 3-1	48.5	1256	1247	26.51%	25.68%	47.81%	-0.70	+13.4	20
1992-08-09	Start	L 0-1	44.7	1280	1336	41.45%	26.36%	32.19%	+0.29	-7.3	16
1992-08-09	@ Brann	W 1-0	44.7	1336	1280	32.19%	26.36%	41.45%	-0.29	+7.3	27
1992-08-09	Lillestrom	W 5-2	47.6	1311	1396	37.28%	26.51%	36.21%	+0.03	+13.2	26
1992-08-09	@ Kongsvinger	L 2-5	47.6	1396	1311	36.21%	26.51%	37.28%	-0.03	-13.2	28
1992-08-09	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	41.2	1283	1210	57.86%	23.33%	18.81%	+1.41	+3.6	26
1992-08-09	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	41.2	1210	1283	18.81%	23.33%	57.86%	-1.41	-3.6	14
1992-08-09	Rosenborg	W 2-0	43.8	1269	1416	29.00%	26.06%	44.94%	-0.51	+14.7	23
1992-08-09	@ Molde	L 0-2	43.8	1416	1269	44.94%	26.06%	29.00%	+0.51	-14.7	29
1992-08-09	Mjondalen	L 0-3	44.1	1234	1126	61.76%	21.98%	16.26%	+1.71	-27.7	13
1992-08-09	@ Tromso	W 3-0	44.1	1126	1234	16.26%	21.98%	61.76%	-1.71	+27.7	5
1992-08-09	Sogndal	W 3-1	40.3	1265	1227	53.73%	24.49%	21.78%	+1.10	+7.1	13
1992-08-09	@ Viking	L 1-3	40.3	1227	1265	21.78%	24.49%	53.73%	-1.10	-7.1	12
1992-08-16	Tromso	W 3-0	34.4	1206	1206	49.01%	25.48%	25.51%	+0.78	+13.7	17
1992-08-16	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-3	34.4	1206	1206	25.51%	25.48%	49.01%	-0.78	-13.7	13
1992-08-16	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	54.6	1383	1287	60.50%	22.44%	17.06%	+1.61	-1.7	29
1992-08-16	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	54.6	1287	1383	17.06%	22.44%	60.50%	-1.61	+1.7	27
1992-08-16	Molde	L 0-4	35.4	1153	1284	31.05%	26.28%	42.67%	-0.36	-21.1	5
1992-08-16	@ Mjondalen	W 4-0	35.4	1284	1153	42.67%	26.28%	31.05%	+0.36	+21.0	26
1992-08-16	Rosenborg	L 1-3	42.2	1220	1402	25.09%	25.39%	49.52%	-0.81	-8.1	12
1992-08-16	@ Sogndal	W 3-1	42.2	1402	1220	49.52%	25.39%	25.09%	+0.81	+8.1	32
1992-08-16	Kongsvinger	L 0-1	47.8	1343	1324	51.33%	25.04%	23.63%	+0.93	-8.7	27
1992-08-16	@ Start	W 1-0	47.8	1324	1343	23.63%	25.04%	51.33%	-0.93	+8.7	29
1992-08-16	Brann	D 1-1	52.7	1272	1273	48.87%	25.51%	25.62%	+0.77	-0.9	14
1992-08-16	@ Viking	D 1-1	52.7	1273	1272	25.62%	25.51%	48.87%	-0.77	+0.9	17
1992-08-23	Sogndal	D 2-2	58.3	1274	1212	56.57%	23.72%	19.71%	+1.31	-1.1	18
1992-08-23	@ Brann	D 2-2	58.3	1212	1274	19.71%	23.72%	56.57%	-1.31	+1.1	13
1992-08-23	Viking	W 4-1	37.8	1333	1271	56.58%	23.72%	19.70%	+1.31	+9.1	32
1992-08-23	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-4	37.8	1271	1333	19.70%	23.72%	56.58%	-1.31	-9.1	14
1992-08-23	Start	L 1-2	50.0	1288	1334	42.77%	26.27%	30.96%	+0.37	-7.1	27
1992-08-23	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	50.0	1334	1288	30.96%	26.27%	42.77%	-0.37	+7.1	30
1992-08-23	Hamarkameratene	W 4-1	36.5	1305	1220	59.21%	22.89%	17.90%	+1.51	+8.3	29
1992-08-23	@ Molde	L 1-4	36.5	1220	1305	17.90%	22.89%	59.21%	-1.51	-8.3	17
1992-08-23	Mjondalen	L 1-2	56.4	1410	1132	77.50%	14.46%	8.04%	+3.19	-11.2	32
1992-08-23	@ Rosenborg	W 2-1	56.4	1132	1410	8.04%	14.46%	77.50%	-3.19	+11.2	8
1992-08-23	Lillestrom	W 1-0	46.8	1192	1381	24.34%	25.22%	50.44%	-0.87	+8.6	16
1992-08-23	@ Tromso	L 0-1	46.8	1381	1192	50.44%	25.22%	24.34%	+0.87	-8.6	29
1992-08-29	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	45.6	1262	1281	46.46%	25.87%	27.67%	+0.61	-8.0	14
1992-08-29	@ Viking	W 1-0	45.6	1281	1262	27.67%	25.87%	46.46%	-0.61	+8.0	30
1992-08-30	Kongsvinger	D 0-0	48.9	1273	1342	39.47%	26.46%	34.07%	+0.17	-0.2	19
1992-08-30	@ Brann	D 0-0	48.9	1342	1273	34.07%	26.46%	39.47%	-0.17	+0.2	33
1992-08-30	Rosenborg	D 1-1	53.2	1212	1399	24.58%	25.28%	50.14%	-0.85	+1.0	18
1992-08-30	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	53.2	1399	1212	50.14%	25.28%	24.58%	+0.85	-1.0	33
1992-08-30	Molde	L 1-2	53.9	1373	1313	56.29%	23.80%	19.91%	+1.29	-8.8	29
1992-08-30	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	53.9	1313	1373	19.91%	23.80%	56.29%	-1.29	+8.8	32
1992-08-30	Mjondalen	W 1-0	36.2	1213	1144	57.44%	23.46%	19.10%	+1.38	+3.8	16
1992-08-30	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	36.2	1144	1213	19.10%	23.46%	57.44%	-1.38	-3.8	8
1992-08-30	Tromso	W 1-0	34.4	1341	1201	65.17%	20.61%	14.22%	+2.00	+2.8	33
1992-08-30	@ Start	L 0-1	34.4	1201	1341	14.22%	20.61%	65.17%	-2.00	-2.8	16
1992-09-12	Lillestrom	W 3-1	42.9	1398	1364	53.20%	24.62%	22.18%	+1.07	+7.2	36
1992-09-12	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	42.9	1364	1398	22.18%	24.62%	53.20%	-1.07	-7.2	29
1992-09-13	Brann	D 1-1	53.0	1289	1272	51.10%	25.09%	23.81%	+0.92	-1.0	31
1992-09-13	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	53.0	1272	1289	23.81%	25.09%	51.10%	-0.92	+1.0	20
1992-09-13	Hamarkameratene	W 3-2	51.5	1140	1213	38.99%	26.48%	34.54%	+0.14	+5.7	11
1992-09-13	@ Mjondalen	L 2-3	51.5	1213	1140	34.54%	26.48%	38.99%	-0.14	-5.7	18
1992-09-13	Start	L 0-1	46.4	1322	1344	46.05%	25.93%	28.02%	+0.58	-8.0	32
1992-09-13	@ Molde	W 1-0	46.4	1344	1322	28.02%	25.93%	46.05%	-0.58	+8.0	36
1992-09-13	Kongsvinger	W 1-0	44.5	1217	1343	31.67%	26.33%	42.00%	-0.32	+7.4	19
1992-09-13	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	44.5	1343	1217	42.00%	26.33%	31.67%	+0.32	-7.4	33
1992-09-13	Viking	W 1-0	41.2	1198	1254	41.39%	26.37%	32.24%	+0.28	+6.1	19
1992-09-13	@ Tromso	L 0-1	41.2	1254	1198	32.24%	26.37%	41.39%	-0.28	-6.1	14
1992-09-19	Rosenborg	L 0-4	41.2	1352	1405	41.87%	26.34%	31.79%	+0.31	-26.4	36
1992-09-19	@ Start	W 4-0	41.2	1405	1352	31.79%	26.34%	41.87%	-0.31	+26.4	39
1992-09-20	Tromso	D 1-1	53.1	1273	1204	57.44%	23.46%	19.10%	+1.38	-1.5	21
1992-09-20	@ Brann	D 1-1	53.1	1204	1273	19.10%	23.46%	57.44%	-1.38	+1.5	20
1992-09-20	Sogndal	D 2-2	57.5	1207	1224	46.72%	25.84%	27.44%	+0.62	-0.5	19
1992-09-20	@ Hamarkameratene	D 2-2	57.5	1224	1207	27.44%	25.84%	46.72%	-0.62	+0.5	20
1992-09-20	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	38.0	1335	1288	54.82%	24.21%	20.97%	+1.18	+4.2	36
1992-09-20	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-1	38.0	1288	1335	20.97%	24.21%	54.82%	-1.18	-4.2	31
1992-09-20	Mjondalen	L 1-2	55.4	1357	1145	71.94%	17.43%	10.63%	+2.61	-10.7	29
1992-09-20	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	55.4	1145	1357	10.63%	17.43%	71.94%	-2.61	+10.7	14
1992-09-20	Molde	W 5-0	36.6	1248	1314	39.97%	26.44%	33.59%	+0.20	+27.6	17
1992-09-20	@ Viking	L 0-5	36.6	1314	1248	33.59%	26.44%	39.97%	-0.20	-27.6	32
1992-09-27	Lillestrom	L 1-4	41.3	1207	1346	29.94%	26.17%	43.89%	-0.44	-13.2	19
1992-09-27	@ Hamarkameratene	W 4-1	41.3	1346	1207	43.89%	26.17%	29.94%	+0.44	+13.2	32
1992-09-27	Sogndal	W 7-3	38.6	1284	1225	56.27%	23.81%	19.92%	+1.29	+9.2	34
1992-09-27	@ Lyn Oslo	L 3-7	38.6	1225	1284	19.92%	23.81%	56.27%	-1.29	-9.2	20
1992-09-27	Start	W 1-0	45.8	1156	1326	26.40%	25.66%	47.94%	-0.70	+8.2	17
1992-09-27	@ Mjondalen	L 0-1	45.8	1326	1156	47.94%	25.66%	26.40%	+0.70	-8.2	36
1992-09-27	Brann	D 1-1	52.9	1287	1272	50.84%	25.14%	24.02%	+0.90	-1.0	33
1992-09-27	@ Molde	D 1-1	52.9	1272	1287	24.02%	25.14%	50.84%	-0.90	+1.0	22
1992-09-27	Viking	W 5-2	38.8	1431	1276	66.68%	19.95%	13.37%	+2.13	+5.3	42
1992-09-27	@ Rosenborg	L 2-5	38.8	1276	1431	13.37%	19.95%	66.68%	-2.13	-5.3	17
1992-09-27	Kongsvinger	D 1-1	52.5	1206	1339	30.66%	26.24%	43.10%	-0.39	+0.4	21
1992-09-27	@ Tromso	D 1-1	52.5	1339	1206	43.10%	26.24%	30.66%	+0.39	-0.4	37
1992-10-04	Rosenborg	D 1-1	54.1	1273	1436	27.09%	25.78%	47.13%	-0.65	+0.7	23
1992-10-04	@ Brann	D 1-1	54.1	1436	1273	47.13%	25.78%	27.09%	+0.65	-0.7	43
1992-10-04	Molde	W 3-0	33.3	1339	1286	55.56%	24.01%	20.43%	+1.24	+11.2	40
1992-10-04	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-3	33.3	1286	1339	20.43%	24.01%	55.56%	-1.24	-11.2	33
1992-10-04	Tromso	W 2-1	40.8	1293	1206	59.46%	22.80%	17.74%	+1.53	+3.4	37
1992-10-04	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	40.8	1206	1293	17.74%	22.80%	59.46%	-1.53	-3.4	21
1992-10-04	Lillestrom	L 0-1	40.8	1215	1359	29.41%	26.11%	44.48%	-0.48	-5.6	20
1992-10-04	@ Sogndal	W 1-0	40.8	1359	1215	44.48%	26.11%	29.41%	+0.48	+5.6	35
1992-10-04	Hamarkameratene	W 4-0	29.4	1318	1193	63.48%	21.31%	15.21%	+1.85	+10.9	39
1992-10-04	@ Start	L 0-4	29.4	1193	1318	15.21%	21.31%	63.48%	-1.85	-10.9	19
1992-10-04	Mjondalen	W 2-1	40.0	1270	1164	61.54%	22.06%	16.40%	+1.69	+3.1	20
1992-10-04	@ Viking	L 1-2	40.0	1164	1270	16.40%	22.06%	61.54%	-1.69	-3.1	17
1992-10-18	Viking	D 0-0	48.2	1183	1273	36.43%	26.51%	37.07%	-0.02	+0.0	20
1992-10-18	@ Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	48.2	1273	1183	37.07%	26.51%	36.43%	+0.02	-0.0	21
1992-10-18	Start	W 3-2	48.8	1365	1328	53.54%	24.54%	21.93%	+1.09	+3.9	38
1992-10-18	@ Lillestrom	L 2-3	48.8	1328	1365	21.93%	24.54%	53.54%	-1.09	-3.9	39
1992-10-18	Brann	D 1-1	52.1	1161	1274	33.44%	26.43%	40.12%	-0.21	+0.2	18
1992-10-18	@ Mjondalen	D 1-1	52.1	1274	1161	40.12%	26.43%	33.44%	+0.21	-0.2	24
1992-10-18	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	45.1	1274	1297	46.05%	25.93%	28.02%	+0.58	+5.1	36
1992-10-18	@ Molde	L 1-2	45.1	1297	1274	28.02%	25.93%	46.05%	-0.58	-5.1	37
1992-10-18	Kongsvinger	W 6-0	33.8	1436	1350	59.30%	22.86%	17.85%	+1.52	+18.8	46
1992-10-18	@ Rosenborg	L 0-6	33.8	1350	1436	17.85%	22.86%	59.30%	-1.52	-18.8	40
1992-10-18	Sogndal	W 6-0	34.1	1203	1210	48.03%	25.65%	26.33%	+0.71	+26.9	24
1992-10-18	@ Tromso	L 0-6	34.1	1210	1203	26.33%	25.65%	48.03%	-0.71	-26.9	20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1992-08-23	8.04%	Mjondalen	1132	2	@ Rosenborg	1410	1
2	1992-09-20	10.63%	Mjondalen	1145	2	@ Lillestrom	1357	1
3	1992-08-09	16.26%	Mjondalen	1126	3	@ Tromso	1234	0
4	1992-05-16	16.68%	Hamarkameratene	1195	3	@ Tromso	1297	0
5	1992-08-30	19.91%	Molde	1313	2	@ Lillestrom	1373	1
6	1992-06-21	21.33%	Molde	1248	3	@ Brann	1291	2
7	1992-06-21	21.76%	Tromso	1256	2	@ Kongsvinger	1294	0
8	1992-08-16	23.63%	Kongsvinger	1324	1	@ Start	1343	0
9	1992-08-23	24.34%	@ Tromso	1192	1	Lillestrom	1381	0
10	1992-09-27	26.40%	@ Mjondalen	1156	1	Start	1326	0
11	1992-08-05	26.51%	Molde	1256	3	@ Tromso	1247	1
12	1992-08-29	27.67%	Lyn Oslo	1281	1	@ Viking	1262	0
13	1992-06-28	27.87%	Kongsvinger	1277	2	@ Molde	1256	0
14	1992-09-13	28.02%	Start	1344	1	@ Molde	1322	0
15	1992-05-16	28.38%	Start	1317	3	@ Kongsvinger	1291	1
16	1992-08-09	29.00%	@ Molde	1269	2	Rosenborg	1416	0
17	1992-05-03	29.97%	Molde	1290	1	@ Sogndal	1252	0
18	1992-05-31	30.66%	Lillestrom	1323	4	@ Molde	1279	0
19	1992-06-21	30.69%	Lyn Oslo	1281	2	@ Sogndal	1237	1
20	1992-08-23	30.96%	Start	1334	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1288	1
21	1992-09-13	31.67%	@ Sogndal	1217	1	Kongsvinger	1343	0
22	1992-09-19	31.79%	Rosenborg	1405	4	@ Start	1352	0
23	1992-08-09	32.19%	Start	1336	1	@ Brann	1280	0
24	1992-05-10	32.89%	Lyn Oslo	1269	2	@ Hamarkameratene	1208	0
25	1992-04-26	33.55%	Kongsvinger	1272	2	@ Mjondalen	1206	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1992-08-09	27.71	Mjondalen	3	1126	16.26%	@ Tromso	0	1234	61.76%	21.98%
2	1992-09-20	27.58	@ Viking	5	1248	39.97%	Molde	0	1314	33.59%	26.44%
3	1992-05-16	27.46	Hamarkameratene	3	1195	16.68%	@ Tromso	0	1297	61.10%	22.22%
4	1992-05-31	27.01	Lillestrom	4	1323	30.66%	@ Molde	0	1279	43.10%	26.24%
5	1992-10-18	26.94	@ Tromso	6	1203	48.03%	Sogndal	0	1210	26.33%	25.65%
6	1992-09-19	26.41	Rosenborg	4	1405	31.79%	@ Start	0	1352	41.87%	26.34%
7	1992-07-08	24.79	@ Rosenborg	6	1371	50.98%	Start	0	1356	23.91%	25.11%
8	1992-05-24	23.50	@ Lillestrom	6	1299	52.74%	Tromso	0	1269	22.53%	24.73%
9	1992-08-16	21.06	Molde	4	1284	42.67%	@ Mjondalen	0	1153	31.05%	26.28%
10	1992-06-08	19.72	@ Kongsvinger	5	1279	52.85%	Sogndal	0	1248	22.44%	24.70%
11	1992-05-24	19.21	@ Start	5	1329	53.68%	Lyn Oslo	0	1292	21.81%	24.50%
12	1992-10-18	18.78	@ Rosenborg	6	1436	59.30%	Kongsvinger	0	1350	17.85%	22.86%
13	1992-05-24	17.55	@ Hamarkameratene	3	1222	38.82%	Molde	0	1296	34.70%	26.48%
14	1992-06-14	17.55	Lillestrom	4	1349	49.75%	@ Mjondalen	0	1165	24.90%	25.35%
15	1992-06-21	17.02	Tromso	2	1256	21.76%	@ Kongsvinger	0	1294	53.75%	24.49%
16	1992-07-05	15.84	@ Sogndal	3	1231	43.39%	Tromso	0	1273	30.39%	26.22%
17	1992-06-28	15.04	Kongsvinger	2	1277	27.87%	@ Molde	0	1256	46.22%	25.91%
18	1992-08-09	14.71	@ Molde	2	1269	29.00%	Rosenborg	0	1416	44.94%	26.06%
19	1992-05-10	14.08	@ Sogndal	4	1244	41.13%	Viking	1	1302	32.49%	26.38%
20	1992-08-16	13.72	@ Hamarkameratene	3	1206	49.01%	Tromso	0	1206	25.51%	25.48%
21	1992-07-26	13.66	@ Molde	3	1242	49.16%	Sogndal	0	1241	25.38%	25.46%
22	1992-05-10	13.61	Lyn Oslo	2	1269	32.89%	@ Hamarkameratene	0	1208	40.70%	26.41%
23	1992-04-26	13.44	Kongsvinger	2	1272	33.55%	@ Mjondalen	0	1206	40.01%	26.44%
24	1992-08-05	13.39	Molde	3	1256	26.51%	@ Tromso	1	1247	47.81%	25.68%
25	1992-08-09	13.23	@ Kongsvinger	5	1311	37.28%	Lillestrom	2	1396	36.21%	26.51%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1992-06-28	64.0	@ Lillestrom	3	1377	65.83%	Sogndal	3	1230	13.85%	20.32%
2	1992-05-31	62.1	@ Kongsvinger	3	1279	46.84%	Brann	3	1295	27.34%	25.82%
3	1992-07-05	59.6	@ Start	2	1356	46.37%	Lillestrom	2	1376	27.74%	25.89%
4	1992-08-23	58.3	@ Brann	2	1274	56.57%	Sogndal	2	1212	19.71%	23.72%
5	1992-05-31	57.9	@ Tromso	2	1246	34.73%	Start	2	1349	38.79%	26.48%
6	1992-09-20	57.5	@ Hamarkameratene	2	1207	46.72%	Sogndal	2	1224	27.44%	25.84%
7	1992-06-28	57.4	@ Mjondalen	2	1143	30.44%	Viking	2	1278	43.34%	26.22%
8	1992-06-21	57.3	Molde	3	1248	21.33%	@ Brann	2	1291	54.33%	24.34%
9	1992-08-23	56.4	Mjondalen	2	1132	8.04%	@ Rosenborg	1	1410	77.50%	14.46%
10	1992-09-20	55.4	Mjondalen	2	1145	10.63%	@ Lillestrom	1	1357	71.94%	17.43%
11	1992-08-16	54.6	@ Lillestrom	1	1383	60.50%	Lyn Oslo	1	1287	17.06%	22.44%
12	1992-06-08	54.2	@ Lillestrom	1	1350	46.00%	Rosenborg	1	1372	28.07%	25.94%
13	1992-10-04	54.1	@ Brann	1	1273	27.09%	Rosenborg	1	1436	47.13%	25.78%
14	1992-08-30	53.9	Molde	2	1313	19.91%	@ Lillestrom	1	1373	56.29%	23.80%
15	1992-07-26	53.7	@ Start	1	1337	57.95%	Viking	1	1264	18.75%	23.30%
16	1992-08-30	53.2	@ Hamarkameratene	1	1212	24.58%	Rosenborg	1	1399	50.14%	25.28%
17	1992-05-03	53.1	@ Tromso	1	1290	41.03%	Rosenborg	1	1349	32.58%	26.39%
18	1992-05-03	53.1	@ Viking	1	1303	47.12%	Start	1	1317	27.09%	25.78%
19	1992-07-05	53.1	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1289	54.94%	Molde	1	1241	20.88%	24.18%
20	1992-09-20	53.1	@ Brann	1	1273	57.44%	Tromso	1	1204	19.10%	23.46%
21	1992-07-05	53.0	@ Viking	1	1277	55.83%	Hamarkameratene	1	1222	20.23%	23.93%
22	1992-09-13	53.0	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1289	51.10%	Brann	1	1272	23.81%	25.09%
23	1992-09-27	52.9	@ Molde	1	1287	50.84%	Brann	1	1272	24.02%	25.14%
24	1992-05-24	52.8	@ Viking	1	1280	49.16%	Kongsvinger	1	1278	25.38%	25.46%
25	1992-06-28	52.7	@ Hamarkameratene	1	1227	31.14%	Start	1	1357	42.58%	26.28%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1992-10-04	29.4	@ Start	4	1318	63.48%	Hamarkameratene	0	1193	15.21%	21.31%
2	1992-06-21	29.7	@ Lillestrom	4	1366	64.00%	Hamarkameratene	0	1237	14.90%	21.10%
3	1992-07-05	31.7	@ Brann	2	1276	64.34%	Mjondalen	0	1143	14.70%	20.95%
4	1992-05-02	32.2	@ Kongsvinger	3	1286	57.15%	Hamarkameratene	0	1219	19.31%	23.55%
5	1992-05-16	32.6	@ Molde	2	1290	61.70%	Mjondalen	0	1183	16.30%	22.00%
6	1992-06-08	32.6	@ Kongsvinger	5	1279	52.85%	Sogndal	0	1248	22.44%	24.70%
7	1992-07-26	32.6	@ Rosenborg	6	1407	66.08%	Tromso	1	1257	13.71%	20.22%
8	1992-06-21	32.8	@ Start	4	1352	71.28%	Mjondalen	1	1148	10.96%	17.76%
9	1992-05-24	32.9	@ Start	5	1329	53.68%	Lyn Oslo	0	1292	21.81%	24.50%
10	1992-05-24	33.2	@ Lillestrom	6	1299	52.74%	Tromso	0	1269	22.53%	24.73%
11	1992-10-04	33.3	@ Kongsvinger	3	1339	55.56%	Molde	0	1286	20.43%	24.01%
12	1992-06-14	33.5	Lillestrom	4	1349	49.75%	@ Mjondalen	0	1165	24.90%	25.35%
13	1992-10-18	33.8	@ Rosenborg	6	1436	59.30%	Kongsvinger	0	1350	17.85%	22.86%
14	1992-10-18	34.1	@ Tromso	6	1203	48.03%	Sogndal	0	1210	26.33%	25.65%
15	1992-07-19	34.3	@ Kongsvinger	6	1298	67.18%	Mjondalen	2	1138	13.10%	19.72%
16	1992-06-28	34.4	@ Rosenborg	2	1366	59.01%	Brann	0	1283	18.04%	22.95%
17	1992-08-16	34.4	@ Hamarkameratene	3	1206	49.01%	Tromso	0	1206	25.51%	25.48%
18	1992-08-30	34.4	@ Start	1	1341	65.17%	Tromso	0	1201	14.22%	20.61%
19	1992-07-26	34.5	@ Molde	3	1242	49.16%	Sogndal	0	1241	25.38%	25.46%
20	1992-04-26	34.6	@ Rosenborg	2	1342	57.42%	Lyn Oslo	0	1273	19.12%	23.47%
21	1992-05-16	34.9	@ Rosenborg	5	1357	60.74%	Sogndal	1	1258	16.91%	22.36%
22	1992-07-08	35.3	@ Rosenborg	6	1371	50.98%	Start	0	1356	23.91%	25.11%
23	1992-08-16	35.4	Molde	4	1284	42.67%	@ Mjondalen	0	1153	31.05%	26.28%
24	1992-05-10	35.5	@ Rosenborg	2	1349	55.34%	Molde	0	1298	20.59%	24.07%
25	1992-08-30	36.2	@ Sogndal	1	1213	57.44%	Mjondalen	0	1144	19.10%	23.46%