1991 Tippeligaen Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Viking

41 points · 8th Title

Last Title: 1982

Relegated

Stromsgodset

21 pts

Fyllingen · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Lyn Oslo

8.02 points above expected

34 points · 25.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Brann

5.75 points below expected

26 points · 31.75 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Viking Champion	22	12	5	5	41	37	27	+10	33.19	+7.81
2	Rosenborg	22	10	6	6	36	38	28	+10	37.87	-1.87
3	Start	22	10	4	8	34	31	21	+10	31.31	+2.69
4	Lyn Oslo	22	8	10	4	34	26	26	0	25.98	+8.02
5	Lillestrom	22	9	4	9	31	31	27	+4	31.15	-0.15
6	Tromso	22	9	4	9	31	28	34	-6	32.09	-1.09
7	Molde	22	7	6	9	27	33	38	-5	28.71	-1.71
8	Kongsvinger	22	7	6	9	27	26	34	-8	29.37	-2.37
9	Sogndal	22	7	6	9	27	22	31	-9	26.16	+0.84
10	Brann	22	6	8	8	26	22	25	-3	31.75	-5.75
11	Fyllingen Relegated	22	6	7	9	25	21	21	0	26.28	-1.28
12	Stromsgodset Relegated	22	5	6	11	21	30	33	-3	26.23	-5.23

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lyn Oslo	34	25.98	+8.02
2	Viking	41	33.19	+7.81
3	Start	34	31.31	+2.69
4	Sogndal	27	26.16	+0.84
5	Lillestrom	31	31.15	-0.15

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Brann	26	31.75	-5.75
2	Stromsgodset	21	26.23	-5.23
3	Kongsvinger	27	29.37	-2.37
4	Rosenborg	36	37.87	-1.87
5	Molde	27	28.71	-1.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Viking	6	Jul 28 – Sep 7	1 in 332
2	Start	4	May 16 – Jun 9	1 in 52
3	Lillestrom	4	Sep 8 – Oct 6	1 in 50
4	Fyllingen	3	Sep 29 – Oct 13	1 in 42
5	Tromso	4	Jun 16 – Jul 7	1 in 38

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Viking	3	Sep 22 – Oct 6	1 in 55
2	Tromso	3	Aug 4 – Aug 18	1 in 46
3	Molde	3	May 20 – Jun 9	1 in 31
4	Start	3	Apr 27 – May 12	1 in 29
5	Lillestrom	3	Jul 21 – Aug 4	1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lyn Oslo	10	Jul 28 – Oct 13	1 in 280
2	Viking	10	Apr 28 – Jun 30	1 in 41
3	Kongsvinger	6	Apr 28 – May 26	1 in 18
4	Lillestrom	7	Aug 11 – Oct 6	1 in 18
5	Sogndal	4	May 20 – Jun 16	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	6	Apr 28 – May 26	1 in 57
2	Brann	8	Jul 28 – Sep 29	1 in 53
3	Molde	7	May 12 – Jun 22	1 in 28
4	Fyllingen	8	Jul 21 – Sep 22	1 in 21
5	Start	6	Sep 1 – Oct 13	1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Viking	1352	41	-13	4	8.4	-4.4
Rosenborg	1413	36	-7	8	9.3	-1.3
Lyn Oslo	1277	34	+5	7	5.7	+1.3
Start	1342	34	-14	2	6.7	-4.7
Lillestrom	1324	31	+18	12	6.6	+5.4
Tromso	1325	31	-11	9	7.7	+1.3
Molde	1301	27	+26	12	6.5	+5.5
Kongsvinger	1276	27	-8	5	6.3	-1.3
Sogndal	1255	27	-9	4	5.9	-1.9
Brann	1324	26	+3	8	7.5	+0.5
Fyllingen	1285	25	+15	9	5.4	+3.6
Stromsgodset	1273	21	-6	3	5.8	-2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRA	FYL	KON	LIL	LO	MOL	ROS	SOG	STA	STR	TRO	VIK
Brann	—	0-1-1 3.19	1-1-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 3.16	0-2-0 2.95	0-1-1 2.16	0-1-1 3.23	1-0-1 2.59	2-0-0 3.16	0-1-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.60
Fyllingen	1-1-0 2.25	—	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.80	0-2-0 2.51	0-0-2 1.70	2-0-0 2.90	0-0-2 2.34	0-1-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.20	1-1-0 2.10
Kongsvinger	0-1-1 2.52	1-1-0 2.89	—	1-0-1 2.61	0-2-0 2.85	0-0-2 2.86	0-1-1 1.92	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.51	0-1-1 3.04	2-0-0 2.39	1-0-1 2.23
Lillestrom	1-0-1 2.51	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.82	—	0-1-1 3.01	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.04	1-0-1 3.10	1-0-1 2.48	1-1-0 3.03	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 2.53
Lyn Oslo	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.63	0-2-0 2.57	1-1-0 2.42	—	1-0-1 2.43	0-1-1 1.76	1-1-0 2.79	1-1-0 2.29	2-0-0 2.70	0-2-0 2.24	1-1-0 2.03
Molde	0-2-0 2.48	0-2-0 2.93	2-0-0 2.57	0-1-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.99	—	1-0-1 1.91	1-1-0 2.84	0-0-2 2.56	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.34	0-0-2 2.26
Rosenborg	1-1-0 3.28	2-0-0 3.80	1-1-0 3.55	1-0-1 3.41	1-1-0 3.74	1-0-1 3.56	—	1-0-1 3.83	0-1-1 3.39	1-0-1 3.78	1-1-0 3.20	0-1-1 3.26
Sogndal	1-1-0 2.22	0-0-2 2.53	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.34	0-1-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 1.67	—	2-0-0 2.17	0-2-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.10	0-1-1 2.03
Start	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 3.09	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.94	0-1-1 3.16	2-0-0 2.89	1-1-0 2.06	0-0-2 3.29	—	1-1-0 3.25	0-0-2 2.76	1-1-0 2.63
Stromsgodset	0-0-2 2.27	1-1-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.40	0-1-1 2.40	0-0-2 2.72	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 1.72	0-2-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.20	—	0-0-2 2.24	1-0-1 2.14
Tromso	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 3.25	0-0-2 3.05	1-0-1 2.94	0-2-0 3.20	1-0-1 3.10	0-1-1 2.24	1-0-1 3.35	2-0-0 2.67	2-0-0 3.20	—	0-0-2 2.77
Viking	2-0-0 2.83	0-1-1 3.35	1-0-1 3.21	2-0-0 2.90	0-1-1 3.43	2-0-0 3.18	1-1-0 2.19	1-1-0 3.43	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 2.66	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.39	+6.2
Allowed	0.09	-3.1
Differential	0.53	+5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.85%	9.85%	5.68%	3.41%	1.52%	0.76%	31.06%
1	9.85%	12.12%	6.06%	3.41%	1.52%	0.38%	33.33%
2	5.68%	6.06%	4.55%	1.89%	0.38%	0.76%	19.32%
3	3.41%	3.41%	1.89%	0.76%	0.38%	0.38%	10.23%
4	1.52%	1.52%	0.38%	0.38%	—	—	3.79%
5+	0.76%	0.38%	0.76%	0.38%	—	—	2.27%
Total	31.06%	33.33%	19.32%	10.23%	3.79%	2.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.31	+0.00
SD	1.29	1.29	1.86
CV	0.99	0.99	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	9.09%	18.18%	18.18%	—	—	—	45.45%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	31.82%	31.82%	—	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.14	-0.14
SD	0.93	1.04	1.52
CV	0.93	0.91	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	22.73%	—	—	—	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	36.36%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	0.95	+0.00
SD	0.95	0.90	1.23
CV	1.00	0.94	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	27.27%	9.09%	18.18%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.55	-0.36
SD	1.30	1.47	1.81
CV	1.10	0.95	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	40.91%	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.23	+0.18
SD	1.40	0.92	1.59
CV	1.00	0.75	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	13.64%	31.82%	—	—	—	—	45.45%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	40.91%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.18	+0.00
SD	1.10	1.18	1.57
CV	0.93	1.00	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
2	9.09%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	31.82%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.73	-0.23
SD	1.41	1.67	2.56
CV	0.94	0.97	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	40.91%	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.27	+0.45
SD	1.64	1.45	2.48
CV	0.95	1.14	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	—	36.36%
1	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	22.73%	36.36%	—	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.41	-0.41
SD	0.98	1.47	1.47
CV	0.98	1.04	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	22.73%	—	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
1	18.18%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	45.45%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	0.95	+0.45
SD	1.56	1.00	1.99
CV	1.11	1.05	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	31.82%	27.27%	13.64%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.50	-0.14
SD	1.73	1.26	2.40
CV	1.27	0.84	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	45.45%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	40.91%	4.55%	18.18%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.55	-0.27
SD	0.88	1.65	1.78
CV	0.69	1.07	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	27.27%	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.23	+0.45
SD	1.32	1.27	1.57
CV	0.79	1.03	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1413	36	37.87	-1.87	38.0%	21	26	35	38	41	46	55
Viking	1352	41	33.19	+7.81	89.0%	15	22	28	32	39	43	49
Start	1342	34	31.31	+2.69	69.0%	14	22	27	31	35	41	48
Tromso	1325	31	32.09	-1.09	42.0%	17	21	28	32	36	41	50
Lillestrom	1324	31	31.15	-0.15	52.0%	16	21	27	31	36	40	50
Brann	1324	26	31.75	-5.75	18.0%	17	21	28	31	36	41	48
Molde	1301	27	28.71	-1.71	42.0%	16	19	24	29	33	37	49
Fyllingen	1285	25	26.28	-1.28	49.0%	12	17	22	26	30	35	42
Lyn Oslo	1277	34	25.98	+8.02	94.0%	13	17	22	25	29	35	45
Kongsvinger	1276	27	29.37	-2.37	38.0%	13	19	25	30	34	37	44
Stromsgodset	1273	21	26.23	-5.23	23.0%	12	17	22	26	31	36	40
Sogndal	1255	27	26.16	+0.84	63.0%	12	18	22	25	30	35	43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+10.61%

No Edge

41.67%27.27%31.06%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 36.99 Elo pts.

334 Elo

0.003 goals per Elo point

01000

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.27 goals

Neutral

-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.5

Open

134610

Champion Preseason Odds

20%

Viking, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.23/gm

Comfortable

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.82 * Some Luck: 4.82 to 7.23 * Lucky: 7.23 to 9.64 * Wild Swing: 9.64 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.2 * Close: 2.2 to 3.3 * Off: 3.3 to 4.4 * Way Off: 4.4 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.37 * A Surprise: 1.37 to 2.19 * Several Surprises: 2.19 to 3.01 * Many Surprises: 3.01 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.17 points

As Expected

06.0215

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.50

02.756

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

94.00%

Lyn Oslo

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

18.00%

Brann

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

As Expected

01.42

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.10

Balanced

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 43.89

0.91

Coin-Flip Parity

0.91.351.551.752.5

Interquartile Edge

57%

Even

50%61.5%69.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

71%

Even

50%71%100%

Close Games

Expected

64%

Very Frequent

0%58%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.66

Coin-Flip

00.642

Matchup Imbalance

0.21

Very Even

00.320.380.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.49

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.49

Strong Carryover

00.280.481

Upset Rate

Expected

34%

Very Upset-Prone

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

29%

Very Shaky

0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.

Probability calibration

0.65

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.35

Overconfident

0.1540051.001.846

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.075

Well Within Noise

00.1420.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Viking	20.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	13.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Rosenborg	32.00%	36.00%	9.00%	10.00%	3.00%	—	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Start	9.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	11.00%	11.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Lyn Oslo	2.00%	—	6.00%	3.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	14.00%	11.00%	17.00%	17.00%	12.00%
Lillestrom	9.00%	10.00%	10.00%	4.00%	16.00%	11.00%	6.00%	13.00%	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Tromso	8.00%	13.00%	8.00%	13.00%	16.00%	11.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	6.00%
Molde	3.00%	3.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	12.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	14.00%
Kongsvinger	2.00%	3.00%	10.00%	16.00%	6.00%	9.00%	10.00%	5.00%	14.00%	7.00%	11.00%	7.00%
Sogndal	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	18.00%	17.00%	15.00%
Brann	12.00%	5.00%	12.00%	12.00%	9.00%	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Fyllingen	—	3.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%	19.00%
Stromsgodset	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	15.00%	11.00%	13.00%	17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	98.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Viking	92.00%	3.00%	5.00%
Start	87.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Brann	87.00%	6.00%	7.00%
Tromso	88.00%	4.00%	8.00%
Lillestrom	82.00%	6.00%	12.00%
Kongsvinger	75.00%	7.00%	18.00%
Molde	71.00%	8.00%	21.00%
Lyn Oslo	54.00%	17.00%	29.00%
Stromsgodset	59.00%	11.00%	30.00%
Fyllingen	57.00%	12.00%	31.00%
Sogndal	50.00%	18.00%	32.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1991-04-27	Start	W 1-0	43.6	1264	1316	33.54%	28.89%	37.58%	-0.04	+3.7	3
1991-04-27	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	43.6	1316	1264	37.58%	28.89%	33.54%	+0.04	-3.7	0
1991-04-28	Lillestrom	L 1-2	51.3	1338	1313	44.36%	28.13%	27.51%	+0.19	-4.0	0
1991-04-28	@ Brann	W 2-1	51.3	1313	1338	27.51%	28.13%	44.36%	-0.19	+4.0	3
1991-04-28	Fyllingen	D 0-0	48.4	1296	1276	43.73%	28.24%	28.03%	+0.17	-0.3	1
1991-04-28	@ Kongsvinger	D 0-0	48.4	1276	1296	28.03%	28.24%	43.73%	-0.17	+0.3	1
1991-04-28	Molde	W 2-0	40.5	1265	1319	33.12%	28.87%	38.01%	-0.05	+7.1	3
1991-04-28	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	40.5	1319	1265	38.01%	28.87%	33.12%	+0.05	-7.1	0
1991-04-28	Tromso	D 1-1	55.7	1423	1346	51.39%	26.33%	22.28%	+0.34	-0.6	1
1991-04-28	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	55.7	1346	1423	22.28%	26.33%	51.39%	-0.34	+0.6	1
1991-04-28	Stromsgodset	W 5-2	40.8	1330	1263	50.06%	26.75%	23.19%	+0.31	+5.1	3
1991-04-28	@ Viking	L 2-5	40.8	1263	1330	23.19%	26.75%	50.06%	-0.31	-5.1	0
1991-05-04	Rosenborg	W 4-1	46.8	1312	1423	26.24%	27.81%	45.95%	-0.22	+10.0	3
1991-05-04	@ Molde	L 1-4	46.8	1423	1312	45.95%	27.81%	26.24%	+0.22	-10.0	1
1991-05-05	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	41.1	1276	1272	41.39%	28.58%	30.04%	+0.12	+3.2	4
1991-05-05	@ Fyllingen	L 0-1	41.1	1272	1276	30.04%	28.58%	41.39%	-0.12	-3.2	3
1991-05-05	Viking	L 1-2	49.6	1317	1335	38.22%	28.86%	32.93%	+0.06	-3.6	3
1991-05-05	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	49.6	1335	1317	32.93%	28.86%	38.22%	-0.06	+3.6	6
1991-05-05	Kongsvinger	L 0-3	40.0	1312	1296	43.03%	28.35%	28.62%	+0.16	-11.3	0
1991-05-05	@ Start	W 3-0	40.0	1296	1312	28.62%	28.35%	43.03%	-0.16	+11.3	4
1991-05-05	Sogndal	D 0-0	48.0	1258	1268	39.33%	28.78%	31.89%	+0.08	-0.2	1
1991-05-05	@ Stromsgodset	D 0-0	48.0	1268	1258	31.89%	28.78%	39.33%	-0.08	+0.2	4
1991-05-05	Brann	D 1-1	53.8	1347	1334	42.59%	28.42%	28.99%	+0.15	-0.3	2
1991-05-05	@ Tromso	D 1-1	53.8	1334	1347	28.99%	28.42%	42.59%	-0.15	+0.3	1
1991-05-12	Rosenborg	D 1-1	54.6	1334	1413	29.98%	28.57%	41.45%	-0.12	+0.2	2
1991-05-12	@ Brann	D 1-1	54.6	1413	1334	41.45%	28.57%	29.98%	+0.12	-0.2	2
1991-05-12	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	53.1	1307	1257	47.74%	27.39%	24.87%	+0.26	-0.5	5
1991-05-12	@ Kongsvinger	D 1-1	53.1	1257	1307	24.87%	27.39%	47.74%	-0.26	+0.5	2
1991-05-12	Start	W 1-0	42.7	1269	1301	36.30%	28.92%	34.78%	+0.02	+3.5	6
1991-05-12	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	42.7	1301	1269	34.78%	28.92%	36.30%	-0.02	-3.5	0
1991-05-12	Fyllingen	D 1-1	53.3	1322	1279	46.78%	27.62%	25.60%	+0.24	-0.4	4
1991-05-12	@ Molde	D 1-1	53.3	1279	1322	25.60%	27.62%	46.78%	-0.24	+0.4	5
1991-05-12	Lillestrom	L 0-2	39.4	1268	1313	34.41%	28.92%	36.68%	-0.02	-6.6	4
1991-05-12	@ Sogndal	W 2-0	39.4	1313	1268	36.68%	28.92%	34.41%	+0.02	+6.6	6
1991-05-12	Tromso	W 2-0	39.4	1339	1346	39.72%	28.75%	31.53%	+0.09	+6.2	9
1991-05-12	@ Viking	L 0-2	39.4	1346	1339	31.53%	28.75%	39.72%	-0.09	-6.2	2
1991-05-16	Molde	D 2-2	58.9	1335	1322	42.64%	28.41%	28.95%	+0.15	-0.2	3
1991-05-16	@ Brann	D 2-2	58.9	1322	1335	28.95%	28.41%	42.64%	-0.15	+0.2	5
1991-05-16	Kongsvinger	L 0-1	45.3	1320	1307	42.63%	28.41%	28.96%	+0.15	-4.1	6
1991-05-16	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	45.3	1307	1320	28.96%	28.41%	42.63%	-0.15	+4.1	8
1991-05-16	Viking	D 0-0	50.8	1413	1345	50.12%	26.73%	23.15%	+0.31	-0.6	3
1991-05-16	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	50.8	1345	1413	23.15%	26.73%	50.12%	-0.31	+0.6	10
1991-05-16	Fyllingen	W 1-0	40.7	1297	1280	43.26%	28.31%	28.42%	+0.16	+3.0	3
1991-05-16	@ Start	L 0-1	40.7	1280	1297	28.42%	28.31%	43.26%	-0.16	-3.0	5
1991-05-16	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	43.7	1258	1272	38.76%	28.82%	32.41%	+0.07	-3.8	2
1991-05-16	@ Stromsgodset	W 1-0	43.7	1272	1258	32.41%	28.82%	38.76%	-0.07	+3.8	9
1991-05-16	Sogndal	W 1-0	38.4	1340	1262	51.55%	26.28%	22.17%	+0.35	+2.4	5
1991-05-16	@ Tromso	L 0-1	38.4	1262	1340	22.17%	26.28%	51.55%	-0.35	-2.4	4
1991-05-20	Stromsgodset	L 1-2	50.4	1277	1254	43.97%	28.20%	27.83%	+0.18	-4.0	5
1991-05-20	@ Fyllingen	W 2-1	50.4	1254	1277	27.83%	28.20%	43.97%	-0.18	+4.0	5
1991-05-20	Tromso	W 5-3	50.8	1311	1343	36.31%	28.92%	34.77%	+0.02	+4.9	11
1991-05-20	@ Kongsvinger	L 3-5	50.8	1343	1311	34.77%	28.92%	36.31%	-0.02	-4.9	5
1991-05-20	Lillestrom	W 3-2	53.3	1276	1316	35.17%	28.93%	35.90%	-0.01	+3.2	12
1991-05-20	@ Lyn Oslo	L 2-3	53.3	1316	1276	35.90%	28.93%	35.17%	+0.01	-3.2	6
1991-05-20	Start	L 0-4	39.8	1322	1300	43.89%	28.21%	27.90%	+0.18	-15.0	5
1991-05-20	@ Molde	W 4-0	39.8	1300	1322	27.90%	28.21%	43.89%	-0.18	+15.0	6
1991-05-20	Rosenborg	W 3-1	49.9	1259	1412	22.15%	26.27%	51.58%	-0.35	+7.7	7
1991-05-20	@ Sogndal	L 1-3	49.9	1412	1259	51.58%	26.27%	22.15%	+0.35	-7.8	3
1991-05-20	Brann	W 2-1	47.1	1345	1334	42.38%	28.45%	29.17%	+0.14	+2.9	13
1991-05-20	@ Viking	L 1-2	47.1	1334	1345	29.17%	28.45%	42.38%	-0.14	-2.9	3
1991-05-26	Sogndal	D 0-0	49.0	1331	1267	49.69%	26.86%	23.45%	+0.30	-0.6	4
1991-05-26	@ Brann	D 0-0	49.0	1267	1331	23.45%	26.86%	49.69%	-0.30	+0.6	8
1991-05-26	Fyllingen	W 1-0	39.8	1312	1273	46.37%	27.72%	25.92%	+0.23	+2.8	9
1991-05-26	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	39.8	1273	1312	25.92%	27.72%	46.37%	-0.23	-2.8	5
1991-05-26	Kongsvinger	D 0-0	50.5	1404	1316	52.82%	25.85%	21.33%	+0.37	-0.7	4
1991-05-26	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	50.5	1316	1404	21.33%	25.85%	52.82%	-0.37	+0.7	12
1991-05-26	Start	L 1-3	44.2	1258	1315	32.75%	28.85%	38.40%	-0.06	-5.5	5
1991-05-26	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-1	44.2	1315	1258	38.40%	28.85%	32.75%	+0.06	+5.5	9
1991-05-26	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	53.6	1338	1279	48.87%	27.09%	24.04%	+0.29	-0.5	6
1991-05-26	@ Tromso	D 1-1	53.6	1279	1338	24.04%	27.09%	48.87%	-0.29	+0.5	13
1991-05-26	Molde	W 3-2	50.3	1348	1307	46.59%	27.67%	25.74%	+0.23	+2.5	16
1991-05-26	@ Viking	L 2-3	50.3	1307	1348	25.74%	27.67%	46.59%	-0.23	-2.5	5
1991-06-09	Tromso	W 3-0	39.1	1270	1337	31.37%	28.73%	39.90%	-0.09	+10.7	8
1991-06-09	@ Fyllingen	L 0-3	39.1	1337	1270	39.90%	28.73%	31.37%	+0.09	-10.7	6
1991-06-09	Brann	L 1-2	49.8	1317	1331	38.80%	28.82%	32.38%	+0.07	-3.6	12
1991-06-09	@ Kongsvinger	W 2-1	49.8	1331	1317	32.38%	28.82%	38.80%	-0.07	+3.6	7
1991-06-09	Rosenborg	L 0-4	34.4	1280	1404	24.91%	27.40%	47.69%	-0.26	-9.7	13
1991-06-09	@ Lyn Oslo	W 4-0	34.4	1404	1280	47.69%	27.40%	24.91%	+0.26	+9.7	7
1991-06-09	Stromsgodset	L 0-7	42.1	1304	1253	48.00%	27.32%	24.68%	+0.27	-27.2	5
1991-06-09	@ Molde	W 7-0	42.1	1253	1304	24.68%	27.32%	48.00%	-0.27	+27.2	8
1991-06-09	Viking	D 1-1	53.1	1268	1351	29.38%	28.48%	42.14%	-0.14	+0.2	9
1991-06-09	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	53.1	1351	1268	42.14%	28.48%	29.38%	+0.14	-0.2	17
1991-06-09	Lillestrom	W 1-0	41.6	1321	1315	41.56%	28.56%	29.88%	+0.13	+3.2	12
1991-06-09	@ Start	L 0-1	41.6	1315	1321	29.88%	28.56%	41.56%	-0.13	-3.2	9
1991-06-16	Lyn Oslo	W 3-0	33.6	1334	1270	49.66%	26.87%	23.48%	+0.30	+7.0	10
1991-06-16	@ Brann	L 0-3	33.6	1270	1334	23.48%	26.87%	49.66%	-0.30	-7.0	13
1991-06-16	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	53.1	1312	1280	45.35%	27.94%	26.72%	+0.21	-0.4	10
1991-06-16	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	53.1	1280	1312	26.72%	27.94%	45.35%	-0.21	+0.4	9
1991-06-16	Fyllingen	W 2-1	42.5	1413	1280	58.43%	23.60%	17.97%	+0.51	+1.8	10
1991-06-16	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	42.5	1280	1413	17.97%	23.60%	58.43%	-0.51	-1.8	8
1991-06-16	Molde	D 0-0	48.1	1268	1277	39.49%	28.77%	31.74%	+0.08	-0.2	10
1991-06-16	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	48.1	1277	1268	31.74%	28.77%	39.49%	-0.08	+0.2	6
1991-06-16	Start	W 3-1	44.0	1327	1324	41.23%	28.60%	30.17%	+0.12	+5.2	9
1991-06-16	@ Tromso	L 1-3	44.0	1324	1327	30.17%	28.60%	41.23%	-0.12	-5.2	12
1991-06-16	Kongsvinger	W 1-0	40.5	1351	1313	46.06%	27.79%	26.16%	+0.22	+2.8	20
1991-06-16	@ Viking	L 0-1	40.5	1313	1351	26.16%	27.79%	46.06%	-0.22	-2.8	12
1991-06-22	Lillestrom	D 3-3	61.9	1277	1312	35.90%	28.93%	35.17%	+0.01	-0.0	7
1991-06-22	@ Molde	D 3-3	61.9	1312	1277	35.17%	28.93%	35.90%	-0.01	+0.0	11
1991-06-23	Brann	D 0-0	48.5	1279	1342	31.97%	28.79%	39.24%	-0.08	+0.1	9
1991-06-23	@ Fyllingen	D 0-0	48.5	1342	1279	39.24%	28.79%	31.97%	+0.08	-0.2	11
1991-06-23	Sogndal	W 2-0	36.4	1310	1268	46.74%	27.63%	25.63%	+0.24	+5.2	15
1991-06-23	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-2	36.4	1268	1310	25.63%	27.63%	46.74%	-0.24	-5.2	10
1991-06-23	Viking	D 1-1	53.2	1263	1353	28.55%	28.34%	43.11%	-0.16	+0.3	14
1991-06-23	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	53.2	1353	1263	43.11%	28.34%	28.55%	+0.16	-0.3	21
1991-06-23	Tromso	L 0-2	39.3	1280	1332	33.47%	28.88%	37.65%	-0.04	-6.5	9
1991-06-23	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-0	39.3	1332	1280	37.65%	28.88%	33.47%	+0.04	+6.5	12
1991-06-24	Rosenborg	W 5-0	41.5	1318	1415	27.82%	28.19%	43.99%	-0.18	+18.5	15
1991-06-24	@ Start	L 0-5	41.5	1415	1318	43.99%	28.19%	27.82%	+0.18	-18.5	10
1991-06-30	Start	L 0-1	45.5	1341	1337	41.43%	28.57%	29.99%	+0.12	-4.0	11
1991-06-30	@ Brann	W 1-0	45.5	1337	1341	29.99%	28.57%	41.43%	-0.12	+4.0	18
1991-06-30	Molde	L 1-4	45.4	1315	1277	46.13%	27.77%	26.10%	+0.22	-10.0	15
1991-06-30	@ Kongsvinger	W 4-1	45.4	1277	1315	26.10%	27.77%	46.13%	-0.22	+10.1	10
1991-06-30	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	31.9	1397	1274	57.22%	24.13%	18.65%	+0.48	+5.6	13
1991-06-30	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	31.9	1274	1397	18.65%	24.13%	57.22%	-0.48	-5.6	9
1991-06-30	Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	40.9	1262	1263	40.67%	28.66%	30.67%	+0.11	-7.5	10
1991-06-30	@ Sogndal	W 2-0	40.9	1263	1262	30.67%	28.66%	40.67%	-0.11	+7.5	17
1991-06-30	Lillestrom	W 2-0	37.6	1338	1312	44.53%	28.09%	27.38%	+0.19	+5.5	15
1991-06-30	@ Tromso	L 0-2	37.6	1312	1338	27.38%	28.09%	44.53%	-0.19	-5.5	11
1991-06-30	Fyllingen	D 0-0	49.3	1353	1279	51.00%	26.46%	22.54%	+0.33	-0.6	22
1991-06-30	@ Viking	D 0-0	49.3	1279	1353	22.54%	26.46%	51.00%	-0.33	+0.6	10
1991-07-07	Sogndal	W 2-1	45.5	1279	1255	44.26%	28.14%	27.60%	+0.18	+2.8	13
1991-07-07	@ Fyllingen	L 1-2	45.5	1255	1279	27.60%	28.14%	44.26%	-0.18	-2.8	10
1991-07-07	Rosenborg	W 2-0	43.2	1306	1402	27.89%	28.21%	43.90%	-0.18	+7.9	14
1991-07-07	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	43.2	1402	1306	43.90%	28.21%	27.89%	+0.18	-7.9	13
1991-07-07	Kongsvinger	D 0-0	48.2	1271	1305	35.90%	28.93%	35.17%	+0.01	-0.0	18
1991-07-07	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	48.2	1305	1271	35.17%	28.93%	35.90%	-0.01	+0.0	16
1991-07-07	Tromso	L 1-2	47.8	1287	1344	32.83%	28.85%	38.32%	-0.06	-3.2	10
1991-07-07	@ Molde	W 2-1	47.8	1344	1287	38.32%	28.85%	32.83%	+0.06	+3.2	18
1991-07-07	Viking	W 4-1	42.4	1341	1352	39.19%	28.79%	32.02%	+0.08	+7.7	21
1991-07-07	@ Start	L 1-4	42.4	1352	1341	32.02%	28.79%	39.19%	-0.08	-7.7	22
1991-07-07	Brann	L 0-1	41.8	1268	1337	31.13%	28.71%	40.16%	-0.10	-3.2	9
1991-07-07	@ Stromsgodset	W 1-0	41.8	1337	1268	40.16%	28.71%	31.13%	+0.10	+3.3	14
1991-07-21	Kongsvinger	L 1-2	48.9	1282	1305	37.52%	28.89%	33.59%	+0.04	-3.5	13
1991-07-21	@ Fyllingen	W 2-1	48.9	1305	1282	33.59%	28.89%	37.52%	-0.04	+3.5	19
1991-07-21	Brann	L 0-1	44.0	1314	1341	37.05%	28.91%	34.05%	+0.03	-3.7	14
1991-07-21	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	44.0	1341	1314	34.05%	28.91%	37.05%	-0.03	+3.7	17
1991-07-21	Lyn Oslo	W 3-0	35.4	1284	1271	42.69%	28.40%	28.91%	+0.15	+8.4	13
1991-07-21	@ Molde	L 0-3	35.4	1271	1284	28.91%	28.40%	42.69%	-0.15	-8.4	18
1991-07-21	Sogndal	L 0-1	47.6	1349	1252	53.88%	25.46%	20.65%	+0.40	-4.9	21
1991-07-21	@ Start	W 1-0	47.6	1252	1349	20.65%	25.46%	53.88%	-0.40	+4.9	13
1991-07-21	Viking	W 3-1	47.1	1265	1345	29.78%	28.54%	41.68%	-0.13	+6.6	12
1991-07-21	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	47.1	1345	1265	41.68%	28.54%	29.78%	+0.13	-6.6	22
1991-07-21	Rosenborg	L 0-1	44.3	1347	1394	34.08%	28.91%	37.01%	-0.03	-3.5	18
1991-07-21	@ Tromso	W 1-0	44.3	1394	1347	37.01%	28.91%	34.08%	+0.03	+3.5	16
1991-07-28	Tromso	L 1-2	50.8	1344	1344	40.93%	28.63%	30.44%	+0.11	-3.8	17
1991-07-28	@ Brann	W 2-1	50.8	1344	1344	30.44%	28.63%	40.93%	-0.11	+3.8	21
1991-07-28	Start	L 1-3	45.8	1309	1344	35.84%	28.93%	35.23%	+0.01	-5.9	19
1991-07-28	@ Kongsvinger	W 3-1	45.8	1344	1309	35.23%	28.93%	35.84%	-0.01	+5.9	24
1991-07-28	Fyllingen	W 1-0	41.9	1262	1279	38.52%	28.84%	32.65%	+0.06	+3.4	21
1991-07-28	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	41.9	1279	1262	32.65%	28.84%	38.52%	-0.06	-3.4	13
1991-07-28	Molde	W 3-0	32.8	1398	1293	54.98%	25.05%	19.97%	+0.43	+6.0	19
1991-07-28	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	32.8	1293	1398	19.97%	25.05%	54.98%	-0.43	-6.0	13
1991-07-28	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	57.9	1257	1271	38.79%	28.82%	32.39%	+0.07	-0.1	14
1991-07-28	@ Sogndal	D 2-2	57.9	1271	1257	32.39%	28.82%	38.79%	-0.07	+0.1	13
1991-07-28	Lillestrom	W 2-1	46.1	1338	1310	44.71%	28.06%	27.23%	+0.19	+2.8	25
1991-07-28	@ Viking	L 1-2	46.1	1310	1338	27.23%	28.06%	44.71%	-0.19	-2.8	14
1991-08-04	Molde	D 2-2	58.1	1275	1287	39.22%	28.79%	31.99%	+0.08	-0.1	14
1991-08-04	@ Fyllingen	D 2-2	58.1	1287	1275	31.99%	28.79%	39.22%	-0.08	+0.1	14
1991-08-04	Sogndal	L 0-1	46.2	1308	1257	47.85%	27.36%	24.79%	+0.26	-4.5	14
1991-08-04	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	46.2	1257	1308	24.79%	27.36%	47.85%	-0.26	+4.5	17
1991-08-04	Brann	W 4-0	34.7	1404	1341	49.52%	26.91%	23.57%	+0.30	+9.2	22
1991-08-04	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	34.7	1341	1404	23.57%	26.91%	49.52%	-0.30	-9.2	17
1991-08-04	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	49.3	1350	1266	52.23%	26.05%	21.71%	+0.36	-0.7	25
1991-08-04	@ Start	D 0-0	49.3	1266	1350	21.71%	26.05%	52.23%	-0.36	+0.7	22
1991-08-04	Kongsvinger	W 4-0	36.9	1271	1303	36.31%	28.92%	34.77%	+0.02	+12.6	16
1991-08-04	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-4	36.9	1303	1271	34.77%	28.92%	36.31%	-0.02	-12.6	19
1991-08-04	Viking	L 0-1	45.7	1347	1341	41.70%	28.54%	29.76%	+0.13	-4.0	21
1991-08-04	@ Tromso	W 1-0	45.7	1341	1347	29.76%	28.54%	41.70%	-0.13	+4.0	28
1991-08-11	Start	L 1-3	43.9	1275	1349	30.56%	28.65%	40.79%	-0.11	-5.2	14
1991-08-11	@ Fyllingen	W 3-1	43.9	1349	1275	40.79%	28.65%	30.56%	+0.11	+5.2	28
1991-08-11	Lillestrom	L 2-3	54.2	1290	1303	39.00%	28.81%	32.19%	+0.07	-3.4	19
1991-08-11	@ Kongsvinger	W 3-2	54.2	1303	1290	32.19%	28.81%	39.00%	-0.07	+3.4	17
1991-08-11	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	44.1	1267	1284	38.33%	28.85%	32.82%	+0.06	+5.5	25
1991-08-11	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	44.1	1284	1267	32.82%	28.85%	38.33%	-0.06	-5.5	16
1991-08-11	Brann	D 1-1	53.0	1287	1331	34.45%	28.92%	36.63%	-0.02	+0.0	15
1991-08-11	@ Molde	D 1-1	53.0	1331	1287	36.63%	28.92%	34.45%	+0.02	-0.0	18
1991-08-11	Tromso	W 3-2	55.0	1261	1343	29.56%	28.51%	41.93%	-0.13	+3.6	20
1991-08-11	@ Sogndal	L 2-3	55.0	1343	1261	41.93%	28.51%	29.56%	+0.13	-3.6	21
1991-08-11	Rosenborg	W 2-1	51.6	1345	1413	31.30%	28.73%	39.97%	-0.09	+3.7	31
1991-08-11	@ Viking	L 1-2	51.6	1413	1345	39.97%	28.73%	31.30%	+0.09	-3.7	22
1991-08-18	Viking	L 0-2	41.4	1331	1349	38.34%	28.85%	32.81%	+0.06	-7.2	18
1991-08-18	@ Brann	W 2-0	41.4	1349	1331	32.81%	28.85%	38.34%	-0.06	+7.1	34
1991-08-18	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	53.1	1307	1272	45.64%	27.88%	26.49%	+0.21	-0.4	18
1991-08-18	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	53.1	1272	1307	26.49%	27.88%	45.64%	-0.21	+0.4	26
1991-08-18	Sogndal	W 6-2	36.1	1409	1265	59.84%	22.96%	17.20%	+0.54	+4.7	25
1991-08-18	@ Rosenborg	L 2-6	36.1	1265	1409	17.20%	22.96%	59.84%	-0.54	-4.7	20
1991-08-18	Molde	W 1-0	39.1	1354	1287	50.09%	26.74%	23.17%	+0.31	+2.5	31
1991-08-18	@ Start	L 0-1	39.1	1287	1354	23.17%	26.74%	50.09%	-0.31	-2.5	15
1991-08-18	Fyllingen	D 0-0	48.2	1279	1270	42.02%	28.50%	29.48%	+0.14	-0.3	17
1991-08-18	@ Stromsgodset	D 0-0	48.2	1270	1279	29.48%	28.50%	42.02%	-0.14	+0.3	15
1991-08-18	Kongsvinger	L 2-3	56.7	1340	1287	48.10%	27.30%	24.60%	+0.27	-4.0	21
1991-08-18	@ Tromso	W 3-2	56.7	1287	1340	24.60%	27.30%	48.10%	-0.27	+4.0	22
1991-08-31	Tromso	D 1-1	53.0	1272	1336	31.94%	28.79%	39.28%	-0.08	+0.1	27
1991-08-31	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	53.0	1336	1272	39.28%	28.79%	31.94%	+0.08	-0.1	22
1991-09-01	Lillestrom	D 2-2	58.1	1270	1306	35.68%	28.93%	35.39%	+0.00	-0.0	16
1991-09-01	@ Fyllingen	D 2-2	58.1	1306	1270	35.39%	28.93%	35.68%	+0.00	+0.0	19
1991-09-01	Rosenborg	L 1-4	40.0	1291	1414	24.96%	27.42%	47.62%	-0.26	-6.3	22
1991-09-01	@ Kongsvinger	W 4-1	40.0	1414	1291	47.62%	27.42%	24.96%	+0.26	+6.3	28
1991-09-01	Viking	L 0-3	36.7	1284	1356	30.83%	28.68%	40.49%	-0.10	-8.9	15
1991-09-01	@ Molde	W 3-0	36.7	1356	1284	40.49%	28.68%	30.83%	+0.10	+8.9	37
1991-09-01	Brann	W 2-1	49.5	1260	1324	31.84%	28.78%	39.38%	-0.08	+3.6	23
1991-09-01	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	49.5	1324	1260	39.38%	28.78%	31.84%	+0.08	-3.6	18
1991-09-01	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	59.3	1357	1278	51.54%	26.28%	22.17%	+0.35	-0.4	32
1991-09-01	@ Start	D 2-2	59.3	1278	1357	22.17%	26.28%	51.54%	-0.35	+0.4	18
1991-09-07	Sogndal	W 4-2	43.5	1365	1264	54.42%	25.26%	20.32%	+0.41	+3.3	40
1991-09-07	@ Viking	L 2-4	43.5	1264	1365	20.32%	25.26%	54.42%	-0.41	-3.3	23
1991-09-08	Kongsvinger	D 0-0	48.7	1320	1285	45.81%	27.84%	26.35%	+0.22	-0.4	19
1991-09-08	@ Brann	D 0-0	48.7	1285	1320	26.35%	27.84%	45.81%	-0.22	+0.4	23
1991-09-08	Start	W 1-0	44.2	1306	1356	33.69%	28.89%	37.42%	-0.04	+3.7	22
1991-09-08	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	44.2	1356	1306	37.42%	28.89%	33.69%	+0.04	-3.7	32
1991-09-08	Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	61.0	1420	1273	60.25%	22.77%	16.98%	+0.55	-0.7	29
1991-09-08	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	61.0	1273	1420	16.98%	22.77%	60.25%	-0.55	+0.7	28
1991-09-08	Molde	L 0-2	41.2	1279	1275	41.30%	28.59%	30.11%	+0.12	-7.5	18
1991-09-08	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-0	41.2	1275	1279	30.11%	28.59%	41.30%	-0.12	+7.6	18
1991-09-08	Fyllingen	W 1-0	38.9	1335	1270	49.78%	26.83%	23.39%	+0.31	+2.6	25
1991-09-08	@ Tromso	L 0-1	38.9	1270	1335	23.39%	26.83%	49.78%	-0.31	-2.6	16
1991-09-21	Tromso	L 0-1	46.0	1353	1338	42.87%	28.37%	28.75%	+0.15	-4.1	32
1991-09-21	@ Start	W 1-0	46.0	1338	1353	28.75%	28.37%	42.87%	-0.15	+4.1	28
1991-09-22	Rosenborg	L 0-1	39.2	1268	1420	22.22%	26.31%	51.47%	-0.34	-2.4	16
1991-09-22	@ Fyllingen	W 1-0	39.2	1420	1268	51.47%	26.31%	22.22%	+0.34	+2.4	32
1991-09-22	Viking	W 2-1	50.7	1285	1368	29.44%	28.49%	42.07%	-0.14	+3.8	26
1991-09-22	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-2	50.7	1368	1285	42.07%	28.49%	29.44%	+0.14	-3.8	40
1991-09-22	Brann	D 1-1	52.8	1273	1320	34.15%	28.91%	36.94%	-0.03	+0.0	29
1991-09-22	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	52.8	1320	1273	36.94%	28.91%	34.15%	+0.03	-0.0	20
1991-09-22	Sogndal	W 2-0	37.0	1283	1261	43.93%	28.20%	27.86%	+0.18	+5.6	21
1991-09-22	@ Molde	L 0-2	37.0	1261	1283	27.86%	28.20%	43.93%	-0.18	-5.6	23
1991-09-28	Molde	W 1-0	40.6	1310	1289	43.83%	28.22%	27.95%	+0.17	+3.0	25
1991-09-28	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	40.6	1289	1310	27.95%	28.22%	43.83%	-0.17	-3.0	21
1991-09-29	Fyllingen	L 0-2	43.1	1320	1265	48.38%	27.22%	24.39%	+0.27	-8.5	20
1991-09-29	@ Brann	W 2-0	43.1	1265	1320	24.39%	27.22%	48.38%	-0.27	+8.5	19
1991-09-29	Start	D 1-1	55.7	1422	1348	50.89%	26.49%	22.61%	+0.33	-0.6	33
1991-09-29	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	55.7	1348	1422	22.61%	26.49%	50.89%	-0.33	+0.6	33
1991-09-29	Kongsvinger	W 1-0	42.7	1255	1289	35.98%	28.93%	35.09%	+0.01	+3.6	26
1991-09-29	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	42.7	1289	1255	35.09%	28.93%	35.98%	-0.01	-3.5	26
1991-09-29	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	38.7	1342	1271	50.55%	26.60%	22.85%	+0.32	+2.5	31
1991-09-29	@ Tromso	L 0-1	38.7	1271	1342	22.85%	26.60%	50.55%	-0.32	-2.5	18
1991-09-29	Lyn Oslo	L 3-4	60.4	1364	1273	53.14%	25.74%	21.12%	+0.38	-4.2	40
1991-09-29	@ Viking	W 4-3	60.4	1273	1364	21.12%	25.74%	53.14%	-0.38	+4.2	32
1991-10-02	Lillestrom	L 1-2	48.0	1269	1313	34.49%	28.92%	36.59%	-0.02	-3.3	18
1991-10-02	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	48.0	1313	1269	36.59%	28.92%	34.49%	+0.02	+3.3	28
1991-10-06	Viking	W 2-0	42.1	1274	1360	29.04%	28.43%	42.53%	-0.15	+7.7	22
1991-10-06	@ Fyllingen	L 0-2	42.1	1360	1274	42.53%	28.43%	29.04%	+0.15	-7.7	40
1991-10-06	Tromso	W 6-1	40.5	1316	1345	36.78%	28.91%	34.31%	+0.03	+12.8	31
1991-10-06	@ Lillestrom	L 1-6	40.5	1345	1316	34.31%	28.91%	36.78%	-0.03	-12.8	31
1991-10-06	Sogndal	D 1-1	52.7	1278	1259	43.48%	28.28%	28.24%	+0.17	-0.3	33
1991-10-06	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	52.7	1259	1278	28.24%	28.28%	43.48%	-0.17	+0.3	27
1991-10-06	Kongsvinger	W 3-0	36.1	1286	1285	40.84%	28.64%	30.52%	+0.11	+8.8	24
1991-10-06	@ Molde	L 0-3	36.1	1285	1286	30.52%	28.64%	40.84%	-0.11	-8.8	26
1991-10-06	Brann	L 1-3	48.6	1349	1311	46.06%	27.79%	26.16%	+0.22	-7.1	33
1991-10-06	@ Start	W 3-1	48.6	1311	1349	26.16%	27.79%	46.06%	-0.22	+7.1	23
1991-10-06	Rosenborg	W 3-0	42.7	1265	1422	21.85%	26.12%	52.02%	-0.36	+13.1	21
1991-10-06	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-3	42.7	1422	1265	52.02%	26.12%	21.85%	+0.36	-13.1	33
1991-10-13	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	36.6	1319	1278	46.41%	27.71%	25.88%	+0.23	+5.3	26
1991-10-13	@ Brann	L 0-2	36.6	1278	1319	25.88%	27.71%	46.41%	-0.23	-5.3	21
1991-10-13	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	52.7	1277	1277	40.73%	28.65%	30.62%	+0.11	-0.2	27
1991-10-13	@ Kongsvinger	D 1-1	52.7	1277	1277	30.62%	28.65%	40.73%	-0.11	+0.2	34
1991-10-13	Lillestrom	W 2-0	36.5	1408	1329	51.66%	26.25%	22.10%	+0.35	+4.6	36
1991-10-13	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	36.5	1329	1408	22.10%	26.25%	51.66%	-0.35	-4.6	31
1991-10-13	Fyllingen	L 1-2	48.7	1259	1281	37.61%	28.89%	33.51%	+0.04	-3.5	27
1991-10-13	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	48.7	1281	1259	33.51%	28.89%	37.61%	-0.04	+3.5	25
1991-10-13	Molde	L 1-3	48.3	1332	1294	46.05%	27.79%	26.16%	+0.22	-7.1	31
1991-10-13	@ Tromso	W 3-1	48.3	1294	1332	26.16%	27.79%	46.05%	-0.22	+7.1	27
1991-10-13	Start	D 0-0	49.4	1352	1342	42.26%	28.46%	29.27%	+0.14	-0.3	41
1991-10-13	@ Viking	D 0-0	49.4	1342	1352	29.27%	28.46%	42.26%	-0.14	+0.3	34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1991-07-21	20.65%	Sogndal	1252	1	@ Start	1349	0
2	1991-09-29	21.12%	Lyn Oslo	1273	4	@ Viking	1364	3
3	1991-10-06	21.85%	@ Stromsgodset	1265	3	Rosenborg	1422	0
4	1991-05-20	22.15%	@ Sogndal	1259	3	Rosenborg	1412	1
5	1991-09-29	24.39%	Fyllingen	1265	2	@ Brann	1320	0
6	1991-08-18	24.60%	Kongsvinger	1287	3	@ Tromso	1340	2
7	1991-06-09	24.68%	Stromsgodset	1253	7	@ Molde	1304	0
8	1991-08-04	24.79%	Sogndal	1257	1	@ Lillestrom	1308	0
9	1991-06-30	26.10%	Molde	1277	4	@ Kongsvinger	1315	1
10	1991-10-06	26.16%	Brann	1311	3	@ Start	1349	1
11	1991-10-13	26.16%	Molde	1294	3	@ Tromso	1332	1
12	1991-05-04	26.24%	@ Molde	1312	4	Rosenborg	1423	1
13	1991-04-28	27.51%	Lillestrom	1313	2	@ Brann	1338	1
14	1991-06-24	27.82%	@ Start	1318	5	Rosenborg	1415	0
15	1991-05-20	27.83%	Stromsgodset	1254	2	@ Fyllingen	1277	1
16	1991-07-07	27.89%	@ Lillestrom	1306	2	Rosenborg	1402	0
17	1991-05-20	27.90%	Start	1300	4	@ Molde	1322	0
18	1991-05-05	28.62%	Kongsvinger	1296	3	@ Start	1312	0
19	1991-09-21	28.75%	Tromso	1338	1	@ Start	1353	0
20	1991-05-16	28.96%	Kongsvinger	1307	1	@ Lillestrom	1320	0
21	1991-10-06	29.04%	@ Fyllingen	1274	2	Viking	1360	0
22	1991-09-22	29.44%	@ Kongsvinger	1285	2	Viking	1368	1
23	1991-08-11	29.56%	@ Sogndal	1261	3	Tromso	1343	2
24	1991-08-04	29.76%	Viking	1341	1	@ Tromso	1347	0
25	1991-07-21	29.78%	@ Stromsgodset	1265	3	Viking	1345	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1991-06-09	27.20	Stromsgodset	7	1253	24.68%	@ Molde	0	1304	48.00%	27.32%
2	1991-06-24	18.51	@ Start	5	1318	27.82%	Rosenborg	0	1415	43.99%	28.19%
3	1991-05-20	15.00	Start	4	1300	27.90%	@ Molde	0	1322	43.89%	28.21%
4	1991-10-06	13.08	@ Stromsgodset	3	1265	21.85%	Rosenborg	0	1422	52.02%	26.12%
5	1991-10-06	12.78	@ Lillestrom	6	1316	36.78%	Tromso	1	1345	34.31%	28.91%
6	1991-08-04	12.64	@ Stromsgodset	4	1271	36.31%	Kongsvinger	0	1303	34.77%	28.92%
7	1991-05-05	11.31	Kongsvinger	3	1296	28.62%	@ Start	0	1312	43.03%	28.35%
8	1991-06-09	10.69	@ Fyllingen	3	1270	31.37%	Tromso	0	1337	39.90%	28.73%
9	1991-06-30	10.06	Molde	4	1277	26.10%	@ Kongsvinger	1	1315	46.13%	27.77%
10	1991-05-04	10.02	@ Molde	4	1312	26.24%	Rosenborg	1	1423	45.95%	27.81%
11	1991-06-09	9.70	Rosenborg	4	1404	47.69%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1280	24.91%	27.40%
12	1991-08-04	9.24	@ Rosenborg	4	1404	49.52%	Brann	0	1341	23.57%	26.91%
13	1991-09-01	8.85	Viking	3	1356	40.49%	@ Molde	0	1284	30.83%	28.68%
14	1991-10-06	8.78	@ Molde	3	1286	40.84%	Kongsvinger	0	1285	30.52%	28.64%
15	1991-09-29	8.51	Fyllingen	2	1265	24.39%	@ Brann	0	1320	48.38%	27.22%
16	1991-07-21	8.42	@ Molde	3	1284	42.69%	Lyn Oslo	0	1271	28.91%	28.40%
17	1991-07-07	7.91	@ Lillestrom	2	1306	27.89%	Rosenborg	0	1402	43.90%	28.21%
18	1991-05-20	7.75	@ Sogndal	3	1259	22.15%	Rosenborg	1	1412	51.58%	26.27%
19	1991-10-06	7.72	@ Fyllingen	2	1274	29.04%	Viking	0	1360	42.53%	28.43%
20	1991-07-07	7.68	@ Start	4	1341	39.19%	Viking	1	1352	32.02%	28.79%
21	1991-09-08	7.55	Molde	2	1275	30.11%	@ Stromsgodset	0	1279	41.30%	28.59%
22	1991-06-30	7.46	Lyn Oslo	2	1263	30.67%	@ Sogndal	0	1262	40.67%	28.66%
23	1991-08-18	7.15	Viking	2	1349	32.81%	@ Brann	0	1331	38.34%	28.85%
24	1991-04-28	7.11	@ Lyn Oslo	2	1265	33.12%	Molde	0	1319	38.01%	28.87%
25	1991-10-13	7.10	Molde	3	1294	26.16%	@ Tromso	1	1332	46.05%	27.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1991-06-22	61.9	@ Molde	3	1277	35.90%	Lillestrom	3	1312	35.17%	28.93%
2	1991-09-08	61.0	@ Rosenborg	2	1420	60.25%	Lyn Oslo	2	1273	16.98%	22.77%
3	1991-09-29	60.4	Lyn Oslo	4	1273	21.12%	@ Viking	3	1364	53.14%	25.74%
4	1991-09-01	59.3	@ Start	2	1357	51.54%	Stromsgodset	2	1278	22.17%	26.28%
5	1991-05-16	58.9	@ Brann	2	1335	42.64%	Molde	2	1322	28.95%	28.41%
6	1991-08-04	58.1	@ Fyllingen	2	1275	39.22%	Molde	2	1287	31.99%	28.79%
7	1991-09-01	58.1	@ Fyllingen	2	1270	35.68%	Lillestrom	2	1306	35.39%	28.93%
8	1991-07-28	57.9	@ Sogndal	2	1257	38.79%	Stromsgodset	2	1271	32.39%	28.82%
9	1991-08-18	56.7	Kongsvinger	3	1287	24.60%	@ Tromso	2	1340	48.10%	27.30%
10	1991-04-28	55.7	@ Rosenborg	1	1423	51.39%	Tromso	1	1346	22.28%	26.33%
11	1991-09-29	55.7	@ Rosenborg	1	1422	50.89%	Start	1	1348	22.61%	26.49%
12	1991-08-11	55.0	@ Sogndal	3	1261	29.56%	Tromso	2	1343	41.93%	28.51%
13	1991-05-12	54.6	@ Brann	1	1334	29.98%	Rosenborg	1	1413	41.45%	28.57%
14	1991-08-11	54.2	Lillestrom	3	1303	32.19%	@ Kongsvinger	2	1290	39.00%	28.81%
15	1991-05-05	53.8	@ Tromso	1	1347	42.59%	Brann	1	1334	28.99%	28.42%
16	1991-05-26	53.6	@ Tromso	1	1338	48.87%	Lyn Oslo	1	1279	24.04%	27.09%
17	1991-05-12	53.3	@ Molde	1	1322	46.78%	Fyllingen	1	1279	25.60%	27.62%
18	1991-05-20	53.3	@ Lyn Oslo	3	1276	35.17%	Lillestrom	2	1316	35.90%	28.93%
19	1991-06-23	53.2	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1263	28.55%	Viking	1	1353	43.11%	28.34%
20	1991-05-12	53.1	@ Kongsvinger	1	1307	47.74%	Stromsgodset	1	1257	24.87%	27.39%
21	1991-06-09	53.1	@ Sogndal	1	1268	29.38%	Viking	1	1351	42.14%	28.48%
22	1991-06-16	53.1	@ Lillestrom	1	1312	45.35%	Stromsgodset	1	1280	26.72%	27.94%
23	1991-08-18	53.1	@ Lillestrom	1	1307	45.64%	Lyn Oslo	1	1272	26.49%	27.88%
24	1991-08-11	53.0	@ Molde	1	1287	34.45%	Brann	1	1331	36.63%	28.92%
25	1991-08-31	53.0	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1272	31.94%	Tromso	1	1336	39.28%	28.79%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1991-06-30	31.9	@ Rosenborg	3	1397	57.22%	Stromsgodset	0	1274	18.65%	24.13%
2	1991-07-28	32.8	@ Rosenborg	3	1398	54.98%	Molde	0	1293	19.97%	25.05%
3	1991-06-16	33.6	@ Brann	3	1334	49.66%	Lyn Oslo	0	1270	23.48%	26.87%
4	1991-06-09	34.4	Rosenborg	4	1404	47.69%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1280	24.91%	27.40%
5	1991-08-04	34.7	@ Rosenborg	4	1404	49.52%	Brann	0	1341	23.57%	26.91%
6	1991-07-21	35.4	@ Molde	3	1284	42.69%	Lyn Oslo	0	1271	28.91%	28.40%
7	1991-08-18	36.1	@ Rosenborg	6	1409	59.84%	Sogndal	2	1265	17.20%	22.96%
8	1991-10-06	36.1	@ Molde	3	1286	40.84%	Kongsvinger	0	1285	30.52%	28.64%
9	1991-06-23	36.4	@ Kongsvinger	2	1310	46.74%	Sogndal	0	1268	25.63%	27.63%
10	1991-10-13	36.5	@ Rosenborg	2	1408	51.66%	Lillestrom	0	1329	22.10%	26.25%
11	1991-10-13	36.6	@ Brann	2	1319	46.41%	Stromsgodset	0	1278	25.88%	27.71%
12	1991-09-01	36.7	Viking	3	1356	40.49%	@ Molde	0	1284	30.83%	28.68%
13	1991-08-04	36.9	@ Stromsgodset	4	1271	36.31%	Kongsvinger	0	1303	34.77%	28.92%
14	1991-09-22	37.0	@ Molde	2	1283	43.93%	Sogndal	0	1261	27.86%	28.20%
15	1991-06-30	37.6	@ Tromso	2	1338	44.53%	Lillestrom	0	1312	27.38%	28.09%
16	1991-05-16	38.4	@ Tromso	1	1340	51.55%	Sogndal	0	1262	22.17%	26.28%
17	1991-09-29	38.7	@ Tromso	1	1342	50.55%	Stromsgodset	0	1271	22.85%	26.60%
18	1991-09-08	38.9	@ Tromso	1	1335	49.78%	Fyllingen	0	1270	23.39%	26.83%
19	1991-06-09	39.1	@ Fyllingen	3	1270	31.37%	Tromso	0	1337	39.90%	28.73%
20	1991-08-18	39.1	@ Start	1	1354	50.09%	Molde	0	1287	23.17%	26.74%
21	1991-09-22	39.2	Rosenborg	1	1420	51.47%	@ Fyllingen	0	1268	22.22%	26.31%
22	1991-06-23	39.3	Tromso	2	1332	37.65%	@ Stromsgodset	0	1280	33.47%	28.88%
23	1991-05-12	39.4	Lillestrom	2	1313	36.68%	@ Sogndal	0	1268	34.41%	28.92%
24	1991-05-12	39.4	@ Viking	2	1339	39.72%	Tromso	0	1346	31.53%	28.75%
25	1991-05-20	39.8	Start	4	1300	27.90%	@ Molde	0	1322	43.89%	28.21%