1990 Tippeligaen Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

44 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 1988

Relegated

Moss

13 pts

Valerenga · 16 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Brann

8.20 points above expected

39 points · 30.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Moss

12.90 points below expected

13 points · 25.90 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg Champion	22	13	5	4	44	60	24	+36	41.28	+2.72
2	Tromso	22	12	6	4	42	36	21	+15	36.87	+5.13
3	Molde	22	12	4	6	40	34	29	+5	32.72	+7.28
4	Brann	22	11	6	5	39	34	25	+9	30.80	+8.20
5	Viking	22	10	5	7	35	41	30	+11	31.90	+3.10
6	Start	22	9	4	9	31	39	34	+5	29.81	+1.19
7	Fyllingen	22	7	7	8	28	23	30	-7	29.31	-1.31
8	Kongsvinger	22	7	6	9	27	24	32	-8	28.38	-1.38
9	Stromsgodset	22	8	3	11	27	29	45	-16	23.53	+3.47
10	Lillestrom	22	7	4	11	25	30	30	0	36.67	-11.67
11	Valerenga Relegated	22	4	4	14	16	26	53	-27	19.37	-3.37
12	Moss Relegated	22	3	4	15	13	24	47	-23	25.90	-12.90

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Brann	39	30.80	+8.20
2	Molde	40	32.72	+7.28
3	Tromso	42	36.87	+5.13
4	Stromsgodset	27	23.53	+3.47
5	Viking	35	31.90	+3.10

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Moss	13	25.90	-12.90
2	Lillestrom	25	36.67	-11.67
3	Valerenga	16	19.37	-3.37
4	Kongsvinger	27	28.38	-1.38
5	Fyllingen	28	29.31	-1.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stromsgodset	2	Aug 2 – Aug 12	1 in 58
2	Brann	4	Sep 2 – Sep 30	1 in 40
3	Molde	4	Jun 24 – Jul 29	1 in 21
4	Viking	3	May 16 – May 27	1 in 14
5	Rosenborg	5	Aug 19 – Sep 23	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Moss	6	Aug 19 – Sep 30	1 in 53
2	Lillestrom	3	Jul 29 – Aug 12	1 in 52
3	Stromsgodset	4	Jun 24 – Jul 29	1 in 18
4	Start	4	May 27 – Jun 17	1 in 16
5	Molde	2	Aug 5 – Aug 12	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brann	8	May 27 – Jul 29	1 in 57
2	Stromsgodset	5	Aug 2 – Sep 2	1 in 40
3	Fyllingen	6	May 20 – Jun 22	1 in 28
4	Molde	4	May 20 – Jun 10	1 in 11
5	Tromso	7	Jul 29 – Sep 9	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kongsvinger	9	May 27 – Aug 5	1 in 41
2	Moss	7	Jun 10 – Aug 5	1 in 13
3	Tromso	3	Sep 2 – Sep 22	1 in 8
4	Valerenga	8	May 27 – Jul 29	1 in 8
5	Fyllingen	5	May 6 – May 27	1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Rosenborg	1514	44	+64	13	10.2	+2.8
Tromso	1360	42	-13	6	8.8	-2.8
Molde	1302	40	-33	7	7.0	-0.0
Brann	1343	39	+51	12	6.6	+5.4
Viking	1324	35	+0	5	6.4	-1.4
Start	1292	31	-19	5	6.6	-1.6
Fyllingen	1205	28	-27	7	7.8	-0.8
Kongsvinger	1250	27	+37	9	7.4	+1.6
Stromsgodset	1182	27	-12	7	6.2	+0.8
Lillestrom	1283	25	-33	4	6.9	-2.9
Valerenga	1106	16	+5	6	4.7	+1.3
Moss	1142	13	-21	3	4.9	-1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRA	FYL	KON	LIL	MOL	MOS	ROS	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Brann	—	0-1-1 2.92	0-1-1 2.98	1-1-0 2.67	0-1-1 2.59	1-1-0 3.45	1-0-1 1.91	0-1-1 2.85	2-0-0 3.38	2-0-0 2.17	2-0-0 3.82	2-0-0 2.47
Fyllingen	1-1-0 2.63	—	1-1-0 2.71	0-2-0 2.08	0-1-1 2.32	2-0-0 3.15	0-1-1 1.83	1-1-0 2.85	1-0-1 3.11	0-0-2 2.30	1-0-1 3.68	0-0-2 2.79
Kongsvinger	1-1-0 2.55	0-1-1 2.83	—	1-0-1 2.15	0-0-2 2.50	1-0-1 3.25	0-0-2 1.77	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 3.32	0-1-1 2.46	1-1-0 3.62	1-1-0 2.68
Lillestrom	0-1-1 2.89	0-2-0 3.48	1-0-1 3.39	—	1-0-1 3.02	2-0-0 3.45	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.24	0-0-2 4.13	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 4.25	0-0-2 3.17
Molde	1-1-0 2.95	1-1-0 3.22	2-0-0 3.04	1-0-1 2.52	—	1-1-0 3.41	1-0-1 1.92	1-0-1 3.17	1-0-1 3.55	1-1-0 2.37	2-0-0 3.75	0-0-2 3.00
Moss	0-1-1 2.09	0-0-2 2.40	1-0-1 2.29	0-0-2 2.11	0-1-1 2.13	—	0-1-1 1.82	1-0-1 2.39	0-0-2 2.96	0-0-2 1.81	1-1-0 3.11	0-0-2 2.27
Rosenborg	1-0-1 3.65	1-1-0 3.74	2-0-0 3.79	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.63	1-1-0 3.77	—	2-0-0 3.92	1-0-1 4.28	1-1-0 3.12	2-0-0 4.43	0-2-0 3.81
Start	1-1-0 2.69	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 3.14	0-0-2 1.65	—	1-1-0 3.20	0-1-1 2.24	2-0-0 3.60	1-0-1 2.59
Stromsgodset	0-0-2 2.19	1-0-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.23	2-0-0 1.46	1-0-1 2.01	2-0-0 2.58	1-0-1 1.31	0-1-1 2.37	—	0-0-2 1.72	0-1-1 3.41	1-0-1 1.75
Tromso	0-0-2 3.38	2-0-0 3.24	1-1-0 3.10	1-1-0 3.02	0-1-1 3.18	2-0-0 3.77	0-1-1 2.43	1-1-0 3.31	2-0-0 3.84	—	2-0-0 4.23	1-1-0 3.20
Valerenga	0-0-2 1.74	1-0-1 1.88	0-1-1 1.93	1-0-1 1.33	0-0-2 1.83	0-1-1 2.43	0-0-2 1.19	0-0-2 1.94	1-1-0 2.14	0-0-2 1.35	—	1-1-0 1.80
Viking	0-0-2 3.08	2-0-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.89	2-0-0 2.36	2-0-0 2.54	2-0-0 3.29	0-2-0 1.75	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 3.81	0-1-1 2.34	0-1-1 3.78	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.51	+6.8
Allowed	0.75	-8.7
Differential	0.82	+5.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.58%	7.58%	5.30%	3.03%	2.27%	—	25.76%
1	7.58%	10.61%	5.30%	5.68%	2.65%	1.52%	33.33%
2	5.30%	5.30%	3.79%	2.65%	1.14%	1.52%	19.70%
3	3.03%	5.68%	2.65%	—	—	0.38%	11.74%
4	2.27%	2.65%	1.14%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	1.52%	1.52%	0.38%	—	—	3.41%
Total	25.76%	33.33%	19.70%	11.74%	6.06%	3.41%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.52	+0.00
SD	1.40	1.40	2.05
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	40.91%	31.82%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.14	+0.41
SD	1.34	1.46	1.74
CV	0.86	1.28	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	36.36%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.36	-0.32
SD	1.13	1.09	1.76
CV	1.08	0.80	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	36.36%
1	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	40.91%	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.45	-0.36
SD	1.11	1.26	2.01
CV	1.02	0.87	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	22.73%	—	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	50.00%	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.36	+0.00
SD	1.43	1.26	2.00
CV	1.05	0.92	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	27.27%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	40.91%	18.18%	27.27%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.32	+0.23
SD	1.50	1.64	2.14
CV	0.97	1.25	—
Max	6	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	40.91%
1	—	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	27.27%	27.27%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	2.14	-1.05
SD	1.31	1.36	1.99
CV	1.20	0.63	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
5+	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	31.82%	36.36%	22.73%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.73	1.09	+1.64
SD	1.96	0.97	2.15
CV	0.72	0.89	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	13.64%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	31.82%	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.55	+0.23
SD	1.63	1.41	2.22
CV	0.92	0.91	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	18.18%	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	2.05	-0.73
SD	1.04	1.86	2.00
CV	0.79	0.91	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
1	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	9.09%	22.73%	9.09%	—	—	—	40.91%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	50.00%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.95	+0.68
SD	1.33	0.90	1.55
CV	0.81	0.94	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	45.45%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	31.82%	18.18%	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	2.41	-1.23
SD	0.96	1.79	2.05
CV	0.81	0.74	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	9.09%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
2	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	40.91%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.36	+0.50
SD	1.25	0.95	1.54
CV	0.67	0.70	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1514	44	41.28	+2.72	73.0%	28	30	37	41	45	51	55
Tromso	1360	42	36.87	+5.13	85.0%	20	27	34	37	40	47	50
Brann	1343	39	30.80	+8.20	91.0%	18	21	26	30	35	40	46
Viking	1324	35	31.90	+3.10	74.0%	20	22	28	32	36	42	47
Molde	1302	40	32.72	+7.28	93.0%	21	23	29	33	36	41	45
Start	1292	31	29.81	+1.19	59.0%	15	21	25	30	33	38	45
Lillestrom	1283	25	36.67	-11.67	0.0%	26	27	32	36	42	48	52
Kongsvinger	1250	27	28.38	-1.38	37.0%	13	17	24	29	32	38	43
Fyllingen	1205	28	29.31	-1.31	40.0%	16	19	26	29	33	37	42
Stromsgodset	1182	27	23.53	+3.47	75.0%	9	13	19	24	27	33	36
Moss	1142	13	25.90	-12.90	2.0%	12	15	21	26	30	37	43
Valerenga	1106	16	19.37	-3.37	26.0%	8	12	16	19	22	29	31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+26.52%

Strong Edge

52.27%21.97%25.76%

Elo Value

Home Edge

144 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

094.38400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.70 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.66+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.2

Top-Heavy

134610

Champion Preseason Odds

49%

Rosenborg, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Tight Race

00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.59 * Some Luck: 4.59 to 6.89 * Lucky: 6.89 to 9.18 * Wild Swing: 9.18 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.61 * Close: 1.61 to 2.41 * Off: 2.41 to 3.22 * Way Off: 3.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations: Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.82 * A Surprise: 0.82 to 1.31 * Several Surprises: 1.31 to 1.8 * Many Surprises: 1.8 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.42 points

Some Luck

05.7414

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

Pinpoint

02.015

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.00%

Molde

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

Lillestrom

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Unexpected Relegations

Expected

1 of 2

A Surprise

00.82

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Top-Heavy

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 109.78

1.57

Strong Separation

0.91.351.551.752.5

Interquartile Edge

68%

Clear Edge

50%61.5%69.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

91%

Strong Edge

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

53%

Few

0%53%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Notable Separation

00.320.380.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.13

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.32

Some Carryover

00.280.481

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

As Expected

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.95

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.85

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.057

Well Within Noise

00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Rosenborg	49.00%	24.00%	13.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Tromso	17.00%	21.00%	20.00%	15.00%	12.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Molde	4.00%	11.00%	10.00%	17.00%	11.00%	15.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Brann	2.00%	6.00%	15.00%	11.00%	7.00%	5.00%	13.00%	14.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Viking	4.00%	15.00%	13.00%	10.00%	6.00%	12.00%	11.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Start	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	12.00%	12.00%	15.00%	16.00%	4.00%	12.00%	16.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Fyllingen	—	2.00%	4.00%	10.00%	15.00%	9.00%	9.00%	16.00%	15.00%	11.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Kongsvinger	—	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	13.00%	20.00%	15.00%	8.00%	6.00%	12.00%	7.00%
Stromsgodset	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	11.00%	13.00%	20.00%	20.00%	21.00%
Lillestrom	21.00%	13.00%	15.00%	13.00%	12.00%	12.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Valerenga	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	13.00%	24.00%	53.00%
Moss	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	8.00%	4.00%	12.00%	8.00%	15.00%	12.00%	24.00%	9.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Lillestrom	98.00%	2.00%	—
Rosenborg	100%	—	—
Molde	96.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Tromso	96.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Start	79.00%	16.00%	5.00%
Viking	87.00%	8.00%	5.00%
Brann	85.00%	8.00%	7.00%
Fyllingen	80.00%	11.00%	9.00%
Kongsvinger	75.00%	6.00%	19.00%
Moss	55.00%	12.00%	33.00%
Stromsgodset	39.00%	20.00%	41.00%
Valerenga	10.00%	13.00%	77.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1990-04-29	Start	W 4-1	36.2	1264	1231	54.93%	22.47%	22.59%	+0.89	+17.2	3
1990-04-29	@ Fyllingen	L 1-4	36.2	1231	1264	22.59%	22.47%	54.93%	-0.89	-17.2	0
1990-04-29	Viking	W 1-0	36.9	1312	1253	57.77%	22.11%	20.12%	+1.06	+6.7	3
1990-04-29	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-1	36.9	1253	1312	20.12%	22.11%	57.77%	-1.06	-6.7	0
1990-04-29	Lillestrom	L 1-3	45.6	1280	1358	40.72%	23.29%	36.00%	+0.12	-19.6	0
1990-04-29	@ Moss	W 3-1	45.6	1358	1280	36.00%	23.29%	40.72%	-0.12	+19.6	3
1990-04-29	Tromso	D 0-0	51.7	1374	1302	59.16%	21.91%	18.94%	+1.16	-2.9	1
1990-04-29	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	51.7	1302	1374	18.94%	21.91%	59.16%	-1.16	+2.9	1
1990-04-29	Brann	L 0-1	44.6	1212	1251	45.97%	23.15%	30.89%	+0.38	-13.2	0
1990-04-29	@ Stromsgodset	W 1-0	44.6	1251	1212	30.89%	23.15%	45.97%	-0.38	+13.2	3
1990-04-29	Molde	L 0-1	41.8	1179	1287	36.42%	23.29%	40.29%	-0.09	-11.0	0
1990-04-29	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	41.8	1287	1179	40.29%	23.29%	36.42%	+0.09	+11.0	3
1990-05-06	Kongsvinger	L 1-2	49.3	1264	1319	43.97%	23.22%	32.81%	+0.28	-12.0	3
1990-05-06	@ Brann	W 2-1	49.3	1319	1264	32.81%	23.22%	43.97%	-0.28	+12.0	6
1990-05-06	Rosenborg	W 2-1	45.4	1378	1371	51.87%	22.77%	25.35%	+0.70	+7.7	6
1990-05-06	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	45.4	1371	1378	25.35%	22.77%	51.87%	-0.70	-7.7	1
1990-05-06	Moss	D 1-1	54.6	1298	1261	55.40%	22.42%	22.19%	+0.91	-2.1	4
1990-05-06	@ Molde	D 1-1	54.6	1261	1298	22.19%	22.42%	55.40%	-0.91	+2.1	1
1990-05-06	Valerenga	W 6-2	35.9	1214	1168	56.37%	22.30%	21.33%	+0.97	+17.9	3
1990-05-06	@ Start	L 2-6	35.9	1168	1214	21.33%	22.30%	56.37%	-0.97	-17.9	0
1990-05-06	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	29.2	1305	1198	62.49%	21.31%	16.20%	+1.39	+15.0	4
1990-05-06	@ Tromso	L 0-3	29.2	1198	1305	16.20%	21.31%	62.49%	-1.39	-15.0	0
1990-05-06	Fyllingen	W 1-0	40.1	1247	1281	46.63%	23.12%	30.26%	+0.42	+9.5	3
1990-05-06	@ Viking	L 0-1	40.1	1281	1247	30.26%	23.12%	46.63%	-0.42	-9.5	3
1990-05-13	Brann	D 0-0	50.4	1272	1252	53.34%	22.64%	24.02%	+0.79	-2.1	4
1990-05-13	@ Fyllingen	D 0-0	50.4	1252	1272	24.02%	22.64%	53.34%	-0.79	+2.1	4
1990-05-13	Tromso	D 0-0	51.2	1331	1320	52.39%	22.73%	24.88%	+0.73	-2.0	7
1990-05-13	@ Kongsvinger	D 0-0	51.2	1320	1331	24.88%	22.73%	52.39%	-0.73	+1.9	5
1990-05-13	Start	W 1-0	36.6	1296	1232	58.32%	22.03%	19.65%	+1.10	+6.6	7
1990-05-13	@ Molde	L 0-1	36.6	1232	1296	19.65%	22.03%	58.32%	-1.10	-6.6	3
1990-05-13	Rosenborg	D 2-2	59.9	1263	1363	37.51%	23.30%	39.18%	-0.04	+0.1	2
1990-05-13	@ Moss	D 2-2	59.9	1363	1263	39.18%	23.30%	37.51%	+0.04	-0.1	2
1990-05-13	Lillestrom	W 1-0	46.9	1183	1386	24.65%	22.70%	52.65%	-0.75	+14.9	3
1990-05-13	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	46.9	1386	1183	52.65%	22.70%	24.65%	+0.75	-14.9	6
1990-05-13	Viking	D 2-2	59.0	1150	1256	36.69%	23.30%	40.01%	-0.08	+0.2	1
1990-05-13	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	59.0	1256	1150	40.01%	23.30%	36.69%	+0.08	-0.1	4
1990-05-16	Valerenga	W 1-0	35.1	1255	1150	62.31%	21.35%	16.34%	+1.38	+5.5	7
1990-05-16	@ Brann	L 0-1	35.1	1150	1255	16.34%	21.35%	62.31%	-1.38	-5.5	1
1990-05-16	Kongsvinger	W 4-0	31.6	1371	1329	55.91%	22.36%	21.74%	+0.95	+25.7	9
1990-05-16	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	31.6	1329	1371	21.74%	22.36%	55.91%	-0.95	-25.7	7
1990-05-16	Stromsgodset	W 6-3	37.1	1363	1198	67.56%	20.10%	12.34%	+1.80	+7.8	5
1990-05-16	@ Rosenborg	L 3-6	37.1	1198	1363	12.34%	20.10%	67.56%	-1.80	-7.8	3
1990-05-16	Moss	W 3-0	34.0	1225	1263	46.19%	23.14%	30.67%	+0.39	+26.3	6
1990-05-16	@ Start	L 0-3	34.0	1263	1225	30.67%	23.14%	46.19%	-0.39	-26.3	2
1990-05-16	Fyllingen	W 3-0	31.2	1322	1270	57.04%	22.21%	20.75%	+1.02	+18.9	8
1990-05-16	@ Tromso	L 0-3	31.2	1270	1322	20.75%	22.21%	57.04%	-1.02	-18.9	4
1990-05-16	Molde	W 2-0	37.2	1256	1302	45.05%	23.18%	31.77%	+0.33	+18.6	7
1990-05-16	@ Viking	L 0-2	37.2	1302	1256	31.77%	23.18%	45.05%	-0.33	-18.6	7
1990-05-20	Rosenborg	D 1-1	54.8	1251	1371	34.73%	23.27%	42.01%	-0.18	+0.4	5
1990-05-20	@ Fyllingen	D 1-1	54.8	1371	1251	42.01%	23.27%	34.73%	+0.18	-0.4	6
1990-05-20	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	39.8	1303	1190	63.10%	21.19%	15.72%	+1.44	+5.0	10
1990-05-20	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-2	39.8	1190	1303	15.72%	21.19%	63.10%	-1.44	-5.0	3
1990-05-20	Tromso	W 1-0	41.6	1284	1340	43.64%	23.23%	33.13%	+0.26	+10.2	10
1990-05-20	@ Molde	L 0-1	41.6	1340	1284	33.13%	23.23%	43.64%	-0.26	-10.2	8
1990-05-20	Viking	L 1-2	49.6	1237	1275	46.20%	23.14%	30.67%	+0.39	-12.5	2
1990-05-20	@ Moss	W 2-1	49.6	1275	1237	30.67%	23.14%	46.20%	-0.39	+12.5	10
1990-05-20	Brann	W 3-1	40.6	1251	1260	49.97%	22.92%	27.11%	+0.60	+14.2	9
1990-05-20	@ Start	L 1-3	40.6	1260	1251	27.11%	22.92%	49.97%	-0.60	-14.2	7
1990-05-20	Lillestrom	W 1-0	48.2	1145	1396	19.75%	22.05%	58.19%	-1.09	+16.3	4
1990-05-20	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	48.2	1396	1145	58.19%	22.05%	19.75%	+1.09	-16.3	9
1990-05-27	Molde	D 0-0	50.3	1246	1294	44.83%	23.19%	31.98%	+0.32	-0.9	8
1990-05-27	@ Brann	D 0-0	50.3	1294	1246	31.98%	23.19%	44.83%	-0.32	+0.9	11
1990-05-27	Fyllingen	D 1-1	55.6	1380	1251	64.55%	20.87%	14.58%	+1.55	-3.3	10
1990-05-27	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	55.6	1251	1380	14.58%	20.87%	64.55%	-1.55	+3.3	6
1990-05-27	Kongsvinger	W 2-0	34.2	1370	1308	58.12%	22.06%	19.82%	+1.09	+12.5	9
1990-05-27	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	34.2	1308	1370	19.82%	22.06%	58.12%	-1.09	-12.5	10
1990-05-27	Moss	W 1-0	39.9	1185	1224	46.08%	23.14%	30.78%	+0.39	+9.6	6
1990-05-27	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	39.9	1224	1185	30.78%	23.14%	46.08%	-0.39	-9.6	2
1990-05-27	Valerenga	W 3-1	35.2	1330	1161	67.92%	20.00%	12.08%	+1.83	+6.7	11
1990-05-27	@ Tromso	L 1-3	35.2	1161	1330	12.08%	20.00%	67.92%	-1.83	-6.7	4
1990-05-27	Start	W 2-0	34.6	1287	1266	53.61%	22.61%	23.78%	+0.80	+14.7	13
1990-05-27	@ Viking	L 0-2	34.6	1266	1287	23.78%	22.61%	53.61%	-0.80	-14.6	9
1990-06-04	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	33.0	1254	1195	57.83%	22.10%	20.07%	+1.07	+12.6	9
1990-06-04	@ Fyllingen	L 0-2	33.0	1195	1254	20.07%	22.10%	57.83%	-1.07	-12.6	6
1990-06-04	Lillestrom	W 3-2	52.6	1295	1377	40.14%	23.29%	36.57%	+0.09	+9.9	14
1990-06-04	@ Molde	L 2-3	52.6	1377	1295	36.57%	23.29%	40.14%	-0.09	-9.9	10
1990-06-04	Kongsvinger	W 3-0	35.9	1215	1296	40.23%	23.29%	36.48%	+0.09	+30.2	5
1990-06-04	@ Moss	L 0-3	35.9	1296	1215	36.48%	23.29%	40.23%	-0.09	-30.2	10
1990-06-04	Tromso	L 1-3	44.8	1251	1337	39.55%	23.30%	37.15%	+0.06	-19.2	9
1990-06-04	@ Start	W 3-1	44.8	1337	1251	37.15%	23.30%	39.55%	-0.06	+19.2	14
1990-06-04	Rosenborg	L 1-6	33.6	1154	1383	21.91%	22.38%	55.71%	-0.93	-26.4	4
1990-06-04	@ Valerenga	W 6-1	33.6	1383	1154	55.71%	22.38%	21.91%	+0.93	+26.4	12
1990-06-04	Brann	L 1-2	52.9	1302	1245	57.54%	22.14%	20.31%	+1.05	-15.2	13
1990-06-04	@ Viking	W 2-1	52.9	1245	1302	20.31%	22.14%	57.54%	-1.05	+15.2	11
1990-06-10	Moss	D 0-0	50.3	1260	1245	52.90%	22.68%	24.42%	+0.76	-2.0	12
1990-06-10	@ Brann	D 0-0	50.3	1245	1260	24.42%	22.68%	52.90%	-0.76	+2.0	6
1990-06-10	Fyllingen	D 1-1	54.4	1266	1267	50.85%	22.86%	26.29%	+0.65	-1.5	11
1990-06-10	@ Kongsvinger	D 1-1	54.4	1267	1266	26.29%	22.86%	50.85%	-0.65	+1.6	10
1990-06-10	Start	W 1-0	34.9	1367	1232	65.08%	20.75%	14.18%	+1.59	+4.8	13
1990-06-10	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	34.9	1232	1367	14.18%	20.75%	65.08%	-1.59	-4.8	9
1990-06-10	Molde	L 0-1	50.7	1409	1305	62.34%	21.34%	16.31%	+1.38	-17.4	12
1990-06-10	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	50.7	1305	1409	16.31%	21.34%	62.34%	-1.38	+17.4	17
1990-06-10	Valerenga	D 2-2	59.2	1182	1128	57.32%	22.17%	20.50%	+1.04	-1.8	7
1990-06-10	@ Stromsgodset	D 2-2	59.2	1128	1182	20.50%	22.17%	57.32%	-1.04	+1.8	5
1990-06-10	Viking	W 3-1	38.7	1356	1287	58.90%	21.95%	19.16%	+1.14	+10.5	17
1990-06-10	@ Tromso	L 1-3	38.7	1287	1356	19.16%	21.95%	58.90%	-1.14	-10.5	13
1990-06-17	Tromso	W 3-0	37.7	1258	1367	36.35%	23.29%	40.35%	-0.10	+32.6	15
1990-06-17	@ Brann	L 0-3	37.7	1367	1258	40.35%	23.29%	36.35%	+0.10	-32.6	17
1990-06-17	Stromsgodset	L 0-2	46.3	1322	1181	65.63%	20.61%	13.76%	+1.64	-34.3	17
1990-06-17	@ Molde	W 2-0	46.3	1181	1322	13.76%	20.61%	65.63%	-1.64	+34.3	10
1990-06-17	Fyllingen	L 1-2	50.2	1247	1269	48.28%	23.03%	28.69%	+0.50	-13.0	6
1990-06-17	@ Moss	W 2-1	50.2	1269	1247	28.69%	23.03%	48.28%	-0.50	+13.0	13
1990-06-17	Rosenborg	L 2-4	45.8	1227	1392	28.92%	23.04%	48.03%	-0.49	-13.4	9
1990-06-17	@ Start	W 4-2	45.8	1392	1227	48.03%	23.04%	28.92%	+0.49	+13.4	15
1990-06-17	Kongsvinger	D 1-1	53.9	1130	1264	32.80%	23.22%	43.98%	-0.28	+0.7	6
1990-06-17	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	53.9	1264	1130	43.98%	23.22%	32.80%	+0.28	-0.7	12
1990-06-17	Lillestrom	W 1-0	43.4	1276	1372	38.18%	23.30%	38.52%	-0.01	+11.5	16
1990-06-17	@ Viking	L 0-1	43.4	1372	1276	38.52%	23.30%	38.18%	+0.01	-11.5	13
1990-06-22	Valerenga	W 2-0	30.3	1282	1130	66.47%	20.40%	13.13%	+1.71	+8.4	16
1990-06-22	@ Fyllingen	L 0-2	30.3	1130	1282	13.13%	20.40%	66.47%	-1.71	-8.5	6
1990-06-22	Viking	D 2-2	61.2	1405	1288	63.56%	21.09%	15.35%	+1.47	-2.4	16
1990-06-22	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	61.2	1288	1405	15.35%	21.09%	63.56%	-1.47	+2.4	17
1990-06-24	Molde	L 1-3	47.1	1263	1288	47.97%	23.05%	28.99%	+0.49	-22.4	12
1990-06-24	@ Kongsvinger	W 3-1	47.1	1288	1263	28.99%	23.05%	47.97%	-0.49	+22.4	20
1990-06-24	Brann	D 1-1	55.4	1360	1291	58.86%	21.95%	19.19%	+1.14	-2.6	14
1990-06-24	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	55.4	1291	1360	19.19%	21.95%	58.86%	-1.14	+2.6	16
1990-06-24	Tromso	L 1-2	47.3	1234	1334	37.51%	23.30%	39.19%	-0.04	-10.6	6
1990-06-24	@ Moss	W 2-1	47.3	1334	1234	39.19%	23.30%	37.51%	+0.04	+10.6	20
1990-06-24	Start	L 1-5	43.0	1215	1214	51.21%	22.83%	25.96%	+0.67	-43.3	10
1990-06-24	@ Stromsgodset	W 5-1	43.0	1214	1215	25.96%	22.83%	51.21%	-0.67	+43.3	12
1990-07-15	Rosenborg	W 3-1	46.1	1293	1403	36.20%	23.29%	40.51%	-0.11	+19.5	19
1990-07-15	@ Brann	L 1-3	46.1	1403	1293	40.51%	23.29%	36.20%	+0.11	-19.5	16
1990-07-15	Fyllingen	W 2-0	34.9	1310	1290	53.44%	22.63%	23.94%	+0.79	+14.7	23
1990-07-15	@ Molde	L 0-2	34.9	1290	1310	23.94%	22.63%	53.44%	-0.79	-14.7	16
1990-07-15	Kongsvinger	W 4-0	31.0	1257	1241	52.96%	22.68%	24.37%	+0.77	+28.4	15
1990-07-15	@ Start	L 0-4	31.0	1241	1257	24.37%	22.68%	52.96%	-0.77	-28.4	12
1990-07-15	Lillestrom	W 2-1	45.4	1345	1358	49.42%	22.96%	27.62%	+0.57	+8.3	23
1990-07-15	@ Tromso	L 1-2	45.4	1358	1345	27.62%	22.96%	49.42%	-0.57	-8.3	14
1990-07-15	Moss	D 1-1	53.8	1122	1223	37.37%	23.30%	39.33%	-0.05	+0.1	7
1990-07-15	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	53.8	1223	1122	39.33%	23.30%	37.37%	+0.05	-0.1	7
1990-07-15	Stromsgodset	W 4-0	27.7	1290	1172	63.60%	21.08%	15.32%	+1.48	+18.6	20
1990-07-15	@ Viking	L 0-4	27.7	1172	1290	15.32%	21.08%	63.60%	-1.48	-18.6	10
1990-07-22	Stromsgodset	W 5-2	35.5	1313	1153	67.16%	20.21%	12.62%	+1.77	+8.6	22
1990-07-22	@ Brann	L 2-5	35.5	1153	1313	12.62%	20.21%	67.16%	-1.77	-8.6	10
1990-07-22	Moss	W 4-0	28.0	1349	1223	64.31%	20.92%	14.76%	+1.53	+18.0	17
1990-07-22	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	28.0	1223	1349	14.76%	20.92%	64.31%	-1.53	-18.0	7
1990-07-22	Valerenga	W 4-1	31.4	1325	1122	70.46%	19.22%	10.32%	+2.07	+8.1	26
1990-07-22	@ Molde	L 1-4	31.4	1122	1325	10.32%	19.22%	70.46%	-2.07	-8.1	7
1990-07-22	Fyllingen	D 1-1	54.5	1285	1275	52.24%	22.74%	25.02%	+0.72	-1.7	16
1990-07-22	@ Start	D 1-1	54.5	1275	1285	25.02%	22.74%	52.24%	-0.72	+1.7	17
1990-07-22	Rosenborg	L 1-3	48.6	1353	1383	47.17%	23.09%	29.75%	+0.44	-22.1	23
1990-07-22	@ Tromso	W 3-1	48.6	1383	1353	29.75%	23.09%	47.17%	-0.44	+22.1	19
1990-07-22	Kongsvinger	D 1-1	54.7	1309	1213	61.52%	21.50%	16.98%	+1.32	-3.0	21
1990-07-22	@ Viking	D 1-1	54.7	1213	1309	16.98%	21.50%	61.52%	-1.32	+3.0	13
1990-07-29	Viking	L 1-3	47.1	1277	1306	47.42%	23.08%	29.50%	+0.46	-22.2	17
1990-07-29	@ Fyllingen	W 3-1	47.1	1306	1277	29.50%	23.08%	47.42%	-0.46	+22.2	24
1990-07-29	Brann	D 1-1	54.2	1216	1322	36.69%	23.30%	40.01%	-0.08	+0.2	14
1990-07-29	@ Kongsvinger	D 1-1	54.2	1322	1216	40.01%	23.30%	36.69%	+0.08	-0.2	23
1990-07-29	Molde	L 0-1	41.2	1205	1333	33.67%	23.24%	43.08%	-0.23	-10.3	7
1990-07-29	@ Moss	W 1-0	41.2	1333	1205	43.08%	23.24%	33.67%	+0.23	+10.3	29
1990-07-29	Lillestrom	W 3-0	33.8	1406	1367	55.53%	22.40%	22.07%	+0.92	+19.9	22
1990-07-29	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	33.8	1367	1406	22.07%	22.40%	55.53%	-0.92	-19.9	17
1990-07-29	Tromso	L 2-3	48.3	1144	1331	26.40%	22.86%	50.73%	-0.64	-7.6	10
1990-07-29	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-2	48.3	1331	1144	50.73%	22.86%	26.40%	+0.64	+7.6	26
1990-07-29	Start	L 0-1	39.2	1114	1284	28.35%	23.01%	48.65%	-0.52	-9.0	7
1990-07-29	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	39.2	1284	1114	48.65%	23.01%	28.35%	+0.52	+9.0	19
1990-08-02	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	51.0	1347	1137	71.00%	19.04%	9.96%	+2.12	-19.5	17
1990-08-02	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	51.0	1137	1347	9.96%	19.04%	71.00%	-2.12	+19.5	13
1990-08-05	Fyllingen	L 2-3	58.1	1321	1255	58.57%	22.00%	19.44%	+1.12	-14.7	23
1990-08-05	@ Brann	W 3-2	58.1	1255	1321	19.44%	22.00%	58.57%	-1.12	+14.7	20
1990-08-05	Moss	W 4-0	25.8	1425	1195	72.42%	18.53%	9.05%	+2.26	+10.9	25
1990-08-05	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	25.8	1195	1425	9.05%	18.53%	72.42%	-2.26	-10.9	7
1990-08-05	Molde	W 2-0	37.9	1293	1343	44.47%	23.20%	32.33%	+0.30	+18.9	22
1990-08-05	@ Start	L 0-2	37.9	1343	1293	32.33%	23.20%	44.47%	-0.30	-18.9	29
1990-08-05	Kongsvinger	W 3-1	36.6	1338	1216	64.00%	20.99%	15.01%	+1.51	+8.3	29
1990-08-05	@ Tromso	L 1-3	36.6	1216	1338	15.01%	20.99%	64.00%	-1.51	-8.3	14
1990-08-05	Valerenga	L 1-2	55.8	1328	1105	71.88%	18.73%	9.39%	+2.20	-18.6	24
1990-08-05	@ Viking	W 2-1	55.8	1105	1328	9.39%	18.73%	71.88%	-2.20	+18.6	10
1990-08-12	Tromso	L 0-2	40.3	1270	1347	40.80%	23.29%	35.91%	+0.12	-22.7	20
1990-08-12	@ Fyllingen	W 2-0	40.3	1347	1270	35.91%	23.29%	40.80%	-0.12	+22.7	32
1990-08-12	Lillestrom	W 3-1	45.3	1207	1328	34.70%	23.27%	42.03%	-0.18	+20.1	17
1990-08-12	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-3	45.3	1328	1207	42.03%	23.27%	34.70%	+0.18	-20.1	17
1990-08-12	Viking	L 2-3	57.0	1324	1309	52.87%	22.68%	24.45%	+0.76	-13.4	29
1990-08-12	@ Molde	W 3-2	57.0	1309	1324	24.45%	22.68%	52.87%	-0.76	+13.4	27
1990-08-12	Start	W 3-2	53.5	1184	1311	33.70%	23.24%	43.06%	-0.23	+11.2	10
1990-08-12	@ Moss	L 2-3	53.5	1311	1184	43.06%	23.24%	33.70%	+0.23	-11.2	22
1990-08-12	Rosenborg	W 2-1	54.0	1156	1436	17.36%	21.58%	61.06%	-1.29	+16.1	16
1990-08-12	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	54.0	1436	1156	61.06%	21.58%	17.36%	+1.29	-16.1	25
1990-08-12	Brann	L 1-2	43.5	1123	1307	26.76%	22.89%	50.35%	-0.62	-8.1	10
1990-08-12	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	43.5	1307	1123	50.35%	22.89%	26.76%	+0.62	+8.1	26
1990-08-19	Start	D 0-0	50.9	1315	1300	52.79%	22.69%	24.52%	+0.76	-2.0	27
1990-08-19	@ Brann	D 0-0	50.9	1300	1315	24.52%	22.69%	52.79%	-0.76	+2.0	23
1990-08-19	Valerenga	W 4-1	31.6	1308	1115	69.68%	19.47%	10.85%	+1.99	+8.5	20
1990-08-19	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	31.6	1115	1308	10.85%	19.47%	69.68%	-1.99	-8.5	10
1990-08-19	Fyllingen	W 4-0	27.5	1420	1247	68.24%	19.91%	11.85%	+1.86	+14.5	28
1990-08-19	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	27.5	1247	1420	11.85%	19.91%	68.24%	-1.86	-14.5	20
1990-08-19	Kongsvinger	D 0-0	49.9	1172	1228	43.88%	23.22%	32.89%	+0.27	-0.7	17
1990-08-19	@ Stromsgodset	D 0-0	49.9	1228	1172	32.89%	23.22%	43.88%	-0.27	+0.7	18
1990-08-19	Molde	D 0-0	51.7	1369	1311	57.72%	22.12%	20.16%	+1.06	-2.7	33
1990-08-19	@ Tromso	D 0-0	51.7	1311	1369	20.16%	22.12%	57.72%	-1.06	+2.7	30
1990-08-19	Moss	W 5-2	36.5	1323	1195	64.43%	20.90%	14.67%	+1.54	+10.0	30
1990-08-19	@ Viking	L 2-5	36.5	1195	1323	14.67%	20.90%	64.43%	-1.54	-10.0	10
1990-08-26	Lillestrom	D 0-0	50.3	1232	1316	39.88%	23.30%	36.83%	+0.07	-0.2	21
1990-08-26	@ Fyllingen	D 0-0	50.3	1316	1232	36.83%	23.30%	39.88%	-0.07	+0.2	21
1990-08-26	Rosenborg	L 0-2	35.5	1228	1435	24.18%	22.66%	53.17%	-0.78	-14.8	18
1990-08-26	@ Kongsvinger	W 2-0	35.5	1435	1228	53.17%	22.66%	24.18%	+0.78	+14.9	31
1990-08-26	Brann	W 6-2	38.4	1314	1313	51.16%	22.83%	26.01%	+0.66	+21.2	33
1990-08-26	@ Molde	L 2-6	38.4	1313	1314	26.01%	22.83%	51.16%	-0.66	-21.2	27
1990-08-26	Stromsgodset	L 2-4	51.9	1185	1172	52.64%	22.71%	24.66%	+0.75	-21.7	10
1990-08-26	@ Moss	W 4-2	51.9	1172	1185	24.66%	22.71%	52.64%	-0.75	+21.8	20
1990-08-26	Viking	W 3-2	50.2	1302	1333	47.19%	23.09%	29.72%	+0.45	+8.4	26
1990-08-26	@ Start	L 2-3	50.2	1333	1302	29.72%	23.09%	47.19%	-0.45	-8.4	30
1990-08-26	Tromso	L 2-3	45.8	1107	1367	19.03%	21.92%	59.04%	-1.15	-5.7	10
1990-08-26	@ Valerenga	W 3-2	45.8	1367	1107	59.04%	21.92%	19.03%	+1.15	+5.7	36
1990-09-02	Viking	W 2-1	45.3	1292	1324	46.88%	23.10%	30.01%	+0.43	+8.9	30
1990-09-02	@ Brann	L 1-2	45.3	1324	1292	30.01%	23.10%	46.88%	-0.43	-8.9	30
1990-09-02	Moss	W 3-0	30.6	1213	1163	56.83%	22.24%	20.93%	+1.00	+19.0	21
1990-09-02	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-3	30.6	1163	1213	20.93%	22.24%	56.83%	-1.00	-19.0	10
1990-09-02	Molde	W 3-1	41.9	1316	1335	48.70%	23.00%	28.30%	+0.53	+14.7	24
1990-09-02	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	41.9	1335	1316	28.30%	23.00%	48.70%	-0.53	-14.7	33
1990-09-02	Valerenga	W 4-1	29.1	1450	1101	79.40%	15.43%	5.17%	+3.08	+3.8	34
1990-09-02	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	29.1	1101	1450	5.17%	15.43%	79.40%	-3.08	-3.8	10
1990-09-02	Fyllingen	W 2-0	36.4	1194	1232	46.07%	23.14%	30.78%	+0.39	+18.2	23
1990-09-02	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	36.4	1232	1194	30.78%	23.14%	46.07%	-0.39	-18.2	21
1990-09-02	Start	D 1-1	55.7	1372	1311	58.07%	22.07%	19.86%	+1.08	-2.5	37
1990-09-02	@ Tromso	D 1-1	55.7	1311	1372	19.86%	22.07%	58.07%	-1.08	+2.5	27
1990-09-08	Rosenborg	L 1-7	39.5	1320	1453	32.98%	23.22%	43.80%	-0.27	-44.0	33
1990-09-08	@ Molde	W 7-1	39.5	1453	1320	43.80%	23.22%	32.98%	+0.27	+44.0	37
1990-09-09	Kongsvinger	W 2-1	44.0	1214	1232	48.74%	23.00%	28.26%	+0.53	+8.5	24
1990-09-09	@ Fyllingen	L 1-2	44.0	1232	1214	28.26%	23.00%	48.74%	-0.53	-8.5	21
1990-09-09	Brann	L 0-2	36.2	1144	1300	30.00%	23.10%	46.90%	-0.43	-17.8	10
1990-09-09	@ Moss	W 2-0	36.2	1300	1144	46.90%	23.10%	30.00%	+0.43	+17.8	33
1990-09-09	Lillestrom	W 1-0	40.2	1313	1331	48.79%	23.00%	28.21%	+0.53	+9.0	30
1990-09-09	@ Start	L 0-1	40.2	1331	1313	28.21%	23.00%	48.79%	-0.53	-9.0	24
1990-09-09	Stromsgodset	W 4-1	41.7	1097	1212	35.53%	23.28%	41.19%	-0.14	+28.0	13
1990-09-09	@ Valerenga	L 1-4	41.7	1212	1097	41.19%	23.28%	35.53%	+0.14	-28.0	23
1990-09-09	Tromso	D 1-1	55.4	1315	1370	43.94%	23.22%	32.84%	+0.28	-0.7	31
1990-09-09	@ Viking	D 1-1	55.4	1370	1315	32.84%	23.22%	43.94%	-0.28	+0.7	38
1990-09-22	Brann	L 0-1	49.1	1371	1318	57.07%	22.21%	20.72%	+1.02	-16.0	38
1990-09-22	@ Tromso	W 1-0	49.1	1318	1371	20.72%	22.21%	57.07%	-1.02	+16.0	36
1990-09-23	Moss	W 1-0	35.2	1223	1126	61.54%	21.50%	16.97%	+1.32	+5.7	27
1990-09-23	@ Fyllingen	L 0-1	35.2	1126	1223	16.97%	21.50%	61.54%	-1.32	-5.7	10
1990-09-23	Valerenga	W 3-0	29.0	1224	1125	61.78%	21.45%	16.77%	+1.34	+15.5	24
1990-09-23	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-3	29.0	1125	1224	16.77%	21.45%	61.78%	-1.34	-15.5	13
1990-09-23	Viking	L 2-4	52.8	1322	1315	51.94%	22.77%	25.29%	+0.71	-21.5	24
1990-09-23	@ Lillestrom	W 4-2	52.8	1315	1322	25.29%	22.77%	51.94%	-0.71	+21.5	34
1990-09-23	Start	W 4-1	35.8	1497	1322	68.39%	19.87%	11.74%	+1.87	+9.2	40
1990-09-23	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	35.8	1322	1497	11.74%	19.87%	68.39%	-1.87	-9.2	30
1990-09-23	Molde	L 1-3	44.0	1184	1276	38.60%	23.30%	38.10%	+0.01	-18.8	23
1990-09-23	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-1	44.0	1276	1184	38.10%	23.30%	38.60%	-0.01	+18.8	36
1990-09-30	Lillestrom	W 4-1	37.0	1334	1301	55.01%	22.46%	22.53%	+0.89	+17.1	39
1990-09-30	@ Brann	L 1-4	37.0	1301	1334	22.53%	22.46%	55.01%	-0.89	-17.1	24
1990-09-30	Kongsvinger	W 1-0	36.9	1295	1239	57.43%	22.16%	20.41%	+1.04	+6.8	39
1990-09-30	@ Molde	L 0-1	36.9	1239	1295	20.41%	22.16%	57.43%	-1.04	-6.8	24
1990-09-30	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	54.9	1313	1165	66.18%	20.47%	13.34%	+1.68	-3.6	31
1990-09-30	@ Start	D 1-1	54.9	1165	1313	13.34%	20.47%	66.18%	-1.68	+3.6	24
1990-09-30	Moss	W 3-1	33.7	1355	1121	72.63%	18.45%	8.92%	+2.28	+4.9	41
1990-09-30	@ Tromso	L 1-3	33.7	1121	1355	8.92%	18.45%	72.63%	-2.28	-4.9	10
1990-09-30	Fyllingen	W 2-0	39.7	1110	1228	34.95%	23.27%	41.78%	-0.17	+23.1	16
1990-09-30	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	39.7	1228	1110	41.78%	23.27%	34.95%	+0.17	-23.1	27
1990-09-30	Rosenborg	D 1-1	58.4	1336	1507	28.25%	23.00%	48.75%	-0.53	+1.3	35
1990-09-30	@ Viking	D 1-1	58.4	1507	1336	48.75%	23.00%	28.25%	+0.53	-1.3	41
1990-10-07	Molde	D 2-2	59.2	1205	1302	38.02%	23.30%	38.68%	-0.02	+0.0	28
1990-10-07	@ Fyllingen	D 2-2	59.2	1302	1205	38.68%	23.30%	38.02%	+0.02	-0.0	40
1990-10-07	Start	W 3-1	43.5	1233	1309	40.88%	23.29%	35.83%	+0.12	+17.7	27
1990-10-07	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-3	43.5	1309	1233	35.83%	23.29%	40.88%	-0.12	-17.7	31
1990-10-07	Tromso	D 0-0	51.0	1283	1359	40.97%	23.28%	35.74%	+0.13	-0.4	25
1990-10-07	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	51.0	1359	1283	35.74%	23.28%	40.97%	-0.13	+0.3	42
1990-10-07	Valerenga	W 5-1	35.9	1116	1133	48.90%	22.99%	28.11%	+0.54	+26.7	13
1990-10-07	@ Moss	L 1-5	35.9	1133	1116	28.11%	22.99%	48.90%	-0.54	-26.7	16
1990-10-07	Brann	W 2-0	35.1	1505	1351	66.68%	20.34%	12.97%	+1.73	+8.3	44
1990-10-07	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	35.1	1351	1505	12.97%	20.34%	66.68%	-1.73	-8.3	39
1990-10-07	Viking	W 2-1	50.3	1168	1337	28.44%	23.01%	48.54%	-0.52	+13.1	27
1990-10-07	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	50.3	1337	1168	48.54%	23.01%	28.44%	+0.52	-13.1	35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1990-08-05	9.39%	Valerenga	1105	2	@ Viking	1328	1
2	1990-08-02	9.96%	Stromsgodset	1137	1	@ Lillestrom	1347	0
3	1990-06-17	13.76%	Stromsgodset	1181	2	@ Molde	1322	0
4	1990-06-10	16.31%	Molde	1305	1	@ Rosenborg	1409	0
5	1990-08-12	17.36%	@ Stromsgodset	1156	2	Rosenborg	1436	1
6	1990-08-05	19.44%	Fyllingen	1255	3	@ Brann	1321	2
7	1990-05-20	19.75%	@ Valerenga	1145	1	Lillestrom	1396	0
8	1990-06-04	20.31%	Brann	1245	2	@ Viking	1302	1
9	1990-09-22	20.72%	Brann	1318	1	@ Tromso	1371	0
10	1990-08-12	24.45%	Viking	1309	3	@ Molde	1324	2
11	1990-05-13	24.65%	@ Stromsgodset	1183	1	Lillestrom	1386	0
12	1990-08-26	24.66%	Stromsgodset	1172	4	@ Moss	1185	2
13	1990-09-23	25.29%	Viking	1315	4	@ Lillestrom	1322	2
14	1990-06-24	25.96%	Start	1214	5	@ Stromsgodset	1215	1
15	1990-10-07	28.44%	@ Stromsgodset	1168	2	Viking	1337	1
16	1990-06-17	28.69%	Fyllingen	1269	2	@ Moss	1247	1
17	1990-06-24	28.99%	Molde	1288	3	@ Kongsvinger	1263	1
18	1990-07-29	29.50%	Viking	1306	3	@ Fyllingen	1277	1
19	1990-07-22	29.75%	Rosenborg	1383	3	@ Tromso	1353	1
20	1990-05-20	30.67%	Viking	1275	2	@ Moss	1237	1
21	1990-04-29	30.89%	Brann	1251	1	@ Stromsgodset	1212	0
22	1990-05-06	32.81%	Kongsvinger	1319	2	@ Brann	1264	1
23	1990-08-12	33.70%	@ Moss	1184	3	Start	1311	2
24	1990-08-12	34.70%	@ Kongsvinger	1207	3	Lillestrom	1328	1
25	1990-09-30	34.95%	@ Valerenga	1110	2	Fyllingen	1228	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1990-09-08	43.98	Rosenborg	7	1453	43.80%	@ Molde	1	1320	32.98%	23.22%
2	1990-06-24	43.33	Start	5	1214	25.96%	@ Stromsgodset	1	1215	51.21%	22.83%
3	1990-06-17	34.35	Stromsgodset	2	1181	13.76%	@ Molde	0	1322	65.63%	20.61%
4	1990-06-17	32.63	@ Brann	3	1258	36.35%	Tromso	0	1367	40.35%	23.29%
5	1990-06-04	30.18	@ Moss	3	1215	40.23%	Kongsvinger	0	1296	36.48%	23.29%
6	1990-07-15	28.38	@ Start	4	1257	52.96%	Kongsvinger	0	1241	24.37%	22.68%
7	1990-09-09	27.97	@ Valerenga	4	1097	35.53%	Stromsgodset	1	1212	41.19%	23.28%
8	1990-10-07	26.67	@ Moss	5	1116	48.90%	Valerenga	1	1133	28.11%	22.99%
9	1990-06-04	26.42	Rosenborg	6	1383	55.71%	@ Valerenga	1	1154	21.91%	22.38%
10	1990-05-16	26.31	@ Start	3	1225	46.19%	Moss	0	1263	30.67%	23.14%
11	1990-05-16	25.70	@ Lillestrom	4	1371	55.91%	Kongsvinger	0	1329	21.74%	22.36%
12	1990-09-30	23.10	@ Valerenga	2	1110	34.95%	Fyllingen	0	1228	41.78%	23.27%
13	1990-08-12	22.67	Tromso	2	1347	35.91%	@ Fyllingen	0	1270	40.80%	23.29%
14	1990-06-24	22.42	Molde	3	1288	28.99%	@ Kongsvinger	1	1263	47.97%	23.05%
15	1990-07-29	22.20	Viking	3	1306	29.50%	@ Fyllingen	1	1277	47.42%	23.08%
16	1990-07-22	22.10	Rosenborg	3	1383	29.75%	@ Tromso	1	1353	47.17%	23.09%
17	1990-08-26	21.75	Stromsgodset	4	1172	24.66%	@ Moss	2	1185	52.64%	22.71%
18	1990-09-23	21.49	Viking	4	1315	25.29%	@ Lillestrom	2	1322	51.94%	22.77%
19	1990-08-26	21.21	@ Molde	6	1314	51.16%	Brann	2	1313	26.01%	22.83%
20	1990-08-12	20.10	@ Kongsvinger	3	1207	34.70%	Lillestrom	1	1328	42.03%	23.27%
21	1990-07-29	19.94	@ Rosenborg	3	1406	55.53%	Lillestrom	0	1367	22.07%	22.40%
22	1990-04-29	19.60	Lillestrom	3	1358	36.00%	@ Moss	1	1280	40.72%	23.29%
23	1990-07-15	19.52	@ Brann	3	1293	36.20%	Rosenborg	1	1403	40.51%	23.29%
24	1990-08-02	19.52	Stromsgodset	1	1137	9.96%	@ Lillestrom	0	1347	71.00%	19.04%
25	1990-06-04	19.15	Tromso	3	1337	37.15%	@ Start	1	1251	39.55%	23.30%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1990-06-22	61.2	@ Rosenborg	2	1405	63.56%	Viking	2	1288	15.35%	21.09%
2	1990-05-13	59.9	@ Moss	2	1263	37.51%	Rosenborg	2	1363	39.18%	23.30%
3	1990-06-10	59.2	@ Stromsgodset	2	1182	57.32%	Valerenga	2	1128	20.50%	22.17%
4	1990-10-07	59.2	@ Fyllingen	2	1205	38.02%	Molde	2	1302	38.68%	23.30%
5	1990-05-13	59.0	@ Valerenga	2	1150	36.69%	Viking	2	1256	40.01%	23.30%
6	1990-09-30	58.4	@ Viking	1	1336	28.25%	Rosenborg	1	1507	48.75%	23.00%
7	1990-08-05	58.1	Fyllingen	3	1255	19.44%	@ Brann	2	1321	58.57%	22.00%
8	1990-08-12	57.0	Viking	3	1309	24.45%	@ Molde	2	1324	52.87%	22.68%
9	1990-08-05	55.8	Valerenga	2	1105	9.39%	@ Viking	1	1328	71.88%	18.73%
10	1990-09-02	55.7	@ Tromso	1	1372	58.07%	Start	1	1311	19.86%	22.07%
11	1990-05-27	55.6	@ Lillestrom	1	1380	64.55%	Fyllingen	1	1251	14.58%	20.87%
12	1990-06-24	55.4	@ Lillestrom	1	1360	58.86%	Brann	1	1291	19.19%	21.95%
13	1990-09-09	55.4	@ Viking	1	1315	43.94%	Tromso	1	1370	32.84%	23.22%
14	1990-09-30	54.9	@ Start	1	1313	66.18%	Stromsgodset	1	1165	13.34%	20.47%
15	1990-05-20	54.8	@ Fyllingen	1	1251	34.73%	Rosenborg	1	1371	42.01%	23.27%
16	1990-07-22	54.7	@ Viking	1	1309	61.52%	Kongsvinger	1	1213	16.98%	21.50%
17	1990-05-06	54.6	@ Molde	1	1298	55.40%	Moss	1	1261	22.19%	22.42%
18	1990-07-22	54.5	@ Start	1	1285	52.24%	Fyllingen	1	1275	25.02%	22.74%
19	1990-06-10	54.4	@ Kongsvinger	1	1266	50.85%	Fyllingen	1	1267	26.29%	22.86%
20	1990-07-29	54.2	@ Kongsvinger	1	1216	36.69%	Brann	1	1322	40.01%	23.30%
21	1990-08-12	54.0	@ Stromsgodset	2	1156	17.36%	Rosenborg	1	1436	61.06%	21.58%
22	1990-06-17	53.9	@ Valerenga	1	1130	32.80%	Kongsvinger	1	1264	43.98%	23.22%
23	1990-07-15	53.8	@ Valerenga	1	1122	37.37%	Moss	1	1223	39.33%	23.30%
24	1990-08-12	53.5	@ Moss	3	1184	33.70%	Start	2	1311	43.06%	23.24%
25	1990-06-04	52.9	Brann	2	1245	20.31%	@ Viking	1	1302	57.54%	22.14%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1990-08-05	25.8	@ Rosenborg	4	1425	72.42%	Moss	0	1195	9.05%	18.53%
2	1990-08-19	27.5	@ Rosenborg	4	1420	68.24%	Fyllingen	0	1247	11.85%	19.91%
3	1990-07-15	27.7	@ Viking	4	1290	63.60%	Stromsgodset	0	1172	15.32%	21.08%
4	1990-07-22	28.0	@ Lillestrom	4	1349	64.31%	Moss	0	1223	14.76%	20.92%
5	1990-09-23	29.0	@ Kongsvinger	3	1224	61.78%	Valerenga	0	1125	16.77%	21.45%
6	1990-09-02	29.1	@ Rosenborg	4	1450	79.40%	Valerenga	1	1101	5.17%	15.43%
7	1990-05-06	29.2	@ Tromso	3	1305	62.49%	Stromsgodset	0	1198	16.20%	21.31%
8	1990-06-22	30.3	@ Fyllingen	2	1282	66.47%	Valerenga	0	1130	13.13%	20.40%
9	1990-09-02	30.6	@ Kongsvinger	3	1213	56.83%	Moss	0	1163	20.93%	22.24%
10	1990-07-15	31.0	@ Start	4	1257	52.96%	Kongsvinger	0	1241	24.37%	22.68%
11	1990-05-16	31.2	@ Tromso	3	1322	57.04%	Fyllingen	0	1270	20.75%	22.21%
12	1990-07-22	31.4	@ Molde	4	1325	70.46%	Valerenga	1	1122	10.32%	19.22%
13	1990-05-16	31.6	@ Lillestrom	4	1371	55.91%	Kongsvinger	0	1329	21.74%	22.36%
14	1990-08-19	31.6	@ Lillestrom	4	1308	69.68%	Valerenga	1	1115	10.85%	19.47%
15	1990-06-04	33.0	@ Fyllingen	2	1254	57.83%	Stromsgodset	0	1195	20.07%	22.10%
16	1990-06-04	33.6	Rosenborg	6	1383	55.71%	@ Valerenga	1	1154	21.91%	22.38%
17	1990-09-30	33.7	@ Tromso	3	1355	72.63%	Moss	1	1121	8.92%	18.45%
18	1990-07-29	33.8	@ Rosenborg	3	1406	55.53%	Lillestrom	0	1367	22.07%	22.40%
19	1990-05-16	34.0	@ Start	3	1225	46.19%	Moss	0	1263	30.67%	23.14%
20	1990-05-27	34.2	@ Rosenborg	2	1370	58.12%	Kongsvinger	0	1308	19.82%	22.06%
21	1990-05-27	34.6	@ Viking	2	1287	53.61%	Start	0	1266	23.78%	22.61%
22	1990-06-10	34.9	@ Lillestrom	1	1367	65.08%	Start	0	1232	14.18%	20.75%
23	1990-07-15	34.9	@ Molde	2	1310	53.44%	Fyllingen	0	1290	23.94%	22.63%
24	1990-05-16	35.1	@ Brann	1	1255	62.31%	Valerenga	0	1150	16.34%	21.35%
25	1990-10-07	35.1	@ Rosenborg	2	1505	66.68%	Brann	0	1351	12.97%	20.34%