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1996 Tippeligaen Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

59 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 1995

Relegated

Start

18 pts

Valerenga · 28 pts

Moss · 29 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Moss

12.32 points above expected

29 points · 16.68 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Start

14.91 points below expected

18 points · 32.91 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rosenborg Champion 26 18 5 3 59 82 26 +56 56.71 +2.29
2 Lillestrom 26 13 7 6 46 54 33 +21 47.00 -1.00
3 Viking 26 12 7 7 43 50 32 +18 44.64 -1.64
4 Brann 26 11 9 6 42 64 50 +14 39.74 +2.26
5 Tromso 26 11 8 7 41 46 41 +5 40.29 +0.71
6 Stabaek 26 9 9 8 36 47 45 +2 36.09 -0.09
7 Kongsvinger 26 9 7 10 34 38 48 -10 31.79 +2.21
8 Molde 26 9 6 11 33 45 38 +7 36.65 -3.65
9 Skeid 26 10 2 14 32 33 59 -26 22.42 +9.58
10 Bodo Glimt 26 9 4 13 31 44 49 -5 39.45 -8.45
11 Stromsgodset 26 8 5 13 29 40 59 -19 24.78 +4.22
12 Moss Relegated 26 7 8 11 29 28 47 -19 16.68 +12.32
13 Valerenga Relegated 26 6 10 10 28 30 40 -10 35.68 -7.68
14 Start Relegated 26 5 3 18 18 37 71 -34 32.91 -14.91

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Moss 29 16.68 +12.32
2 Skeid 32 22.42 +9.58
3 Stromsgodset 29 24.78 +4.22
4 Rosenborg 59 56.71 +2.29
5 Brann 42 39.74 +2.26

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Start 18 32.91 -14.91
2 Bodo Glimt 31 39.45 -8.45
3 Valerenga 28 35.68 -7.68
4 Molde 33 36.65 -3.65
5 Viking 43 44.64 -1.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skeid 3 Jul 21 – Aug 18 1 in 187
2 Brann 5 May 19 – Jun 17 1 in 87
3 Bodo Glimt 4 Aug 3 – Aug 25 1 in 85
4 Rosenborg 7 May 27 – Jul 14 1 in 30
5 Molde 3 May 5 – May 12 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bodo Glimt 5 May 5 – May 19 1 in 603
2 Molde 5 Aug 11 – Sep 8 1 in 274
3 Start 5 May 1 – May 16 1 in 169
4 Skeid 8 Aug 25 – Oct 20 1 in 129
5 Tromso 2 May 5 – May 9 1 in 47

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Moss 5 May 1 – May 16 1 in 603
2 Skeid 5 May 1 – May 16 1 in 123
3 Molde 7 May 5 – Jun 5 1 in 26
4 Valerenga 5 Jun 9 – Jul 21 1 in 22
5 Tromso 7 Aug 24 – Oct 20 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bodo Glimt 9 May 1 – Jun 9 1 in 347
2 Lillestrom 6 Jul 14 – Aug 28 1 in 72
3 Rosenborg 4 May 9 – May 19 1 in 48
4 Molde 6 Aug 11 – Sep 15 1 in 27
5 Start 9 Jul 7 – Sep 8 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rosenborg 1891 59 +4 12 12.0 +0.0
Lillestrom 1765 46 +18 10 9.8 +0.2
Viking 1723 43 -10 12 9.8 +2.2
Brann 1698 42 +15 9 8.3 +0.7
Tromso 1710 41 +19 9 7.2 +1.8
Stabaek 1633 36 -14 7 6.5 +0.5
Kongsvinger 1605 34 +6 6 5.3 +0.7
Molde 1642 33 +2 6 6.9 -0.9
Skeid 1465 32 -34 0 4.5 -4.5
Bodo Glimt 1685 31 +38 6 5.5 +0.5
Moss 1441 29 +10 10 4.6 +5.4
Stromsgodset 1517 29 -4 3 4.5 -1.5
Valerenga 1620 28 -20 3 6.8 -3.8
Start 1536 18 -8 6 6.5 -0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BG BRA KON LIL MOL MOS ROS SKE STA STA STR TRO VAL VIK
Bodo Glimt —
0-0-2
2.79
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
4.54
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
4.30
0-0-2
2.94
0-2-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.89
0-0-2
2.67
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.16
Brann
2-0-0
2.71
—
1-1-0
3.32
0-2-0
2.15
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
4.32
0-1-1
1.41
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
3.13
2-0-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.74
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.34
Kongsvinger
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
2.17
—
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
3.89
1-0-1
1.12
0-1-1
3.70
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.55
1-1-0
3.31
0-1-1
2.03
1-1-0
2.38
1-0-1
1.66
Lillestrom
1-0-1
3.09
0-2-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.78
—
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
4.77
1-0-1
1.86
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
3.54
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
4.23
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.54
0-1-1
3.02
Molde
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
2.08
—
1-1-0
4.30
0-0-2
1.60
1-0-1
3.91
0-2-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.19
Moss
0-0-2
1.09
1-1-0
1.28
0-1-1
1.65
1-0-1
0.92
0-1-1
1.29
—
0-2-0
0.58
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.32
1-0-1
1.59
2-0-0
2.11
0-1-1
1.05
0-1-1
1.40
1-0-1
0.95
Rosenborg
2-0-0
4.09
1-1-0
4.16
1-0-1
4.52
1-0-1
3.66
2-0-0
3.95
0-2-0
5.20
—
2-0-0
4.92
1-1-0
4.16
1-0-1
4.42
2-0-0
4.82
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
4.17
1-1-0
3.71
Skeid
1-0-1
1.29
1-0-1
1.72
1-1-0
1.84
0-0-2
1.10
1-0-1
1.64
1-0-1
3.19
0-0-2
0.79
—
1-1-0
1.75
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-0
1.28
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.25
Stabaek
2-0-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
3.13
0-0-2
1.97
0-2-0
2.71
1-1-0
4.27
0-1-1
1.42
0-1-1
3.79
—
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.55
0-0-2
2.41
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
2.16
Start
0-2-0
2.34
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
3.95
1-0-1
1.21
1-0-1
3.51
0-1-1
2.68
—
0-0-2
3.43
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
2.77
0-0-2
1.82
Stromsgodset
0-1-1
1.67
0-0-2
1.80
0-1-1
2.18
0-1-1
1.36
1-0-1
1.81
0-0-2
3.39
0-0-2
0.88
2-0-0
3.06
0-1-1
1.97
2-0-0
2.07
—
2-0-0
1.51
0-1-1
1.95
1-0-1
1.27
Tromso
2-0-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
4.60
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
4.31
2-0-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.24
0-0-2
4.06
—
0-2-0
3.40
0-2-0
2.60
Valerenga
0-1-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
3.11
1-0-1
1.96
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
4.18
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
3.68
0-1-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.71
1-1-0
3.56
0-2-0
2.10
—
0-1-1
2.16
Viking
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
3.88
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
4.72
0-1-1
1.82
2-0-0
4.36
0-1-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.69
1-0-1
4.34
0-2-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.33
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +6.0
Allowed 0.64 -6.6
Differential 0.89 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.04%6.32%4.12%4.67%2.20%2.47%25.82%
16.32%6.04%5.77%3.30%1.65%1.92%25.00%
24.12%5.77%8.24%1.10%1.92%1.37%22.53%
34.67%3.30%1.10%3.85%0.27%0.27%13.46%
42.20%1.65%1.92%0.27%0.55%0.27%6.87%
5+2.47%1.92%1.37%0.27%0.27%—6.32%
Total25.82%25.00%22.53%13.46%6.87%6.32%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.75 +0.00
SD 1.64 1.64 2.51
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%—26.92%
13.85%7.69%7.69%15.38%——34.62%
2—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%——3.85%——7.69%
Total11.54%30.77%23.08%26.92%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.88 -0.19
SD 1.78 1.18 2.45
CV 1.05 0.62 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.85%—3.85%7.69%
1—7.69%7.69%—7.69%—23.08%
219.23%—11.54%———30.77%
3—3.85%—15.38%——19.23%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
Total26.92%19.23%23.08%19.23%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.46 1.92 +0.54
SD 1.77 2.10 3.19
CV 0.72 1.09 —
Max 7 10 +6
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%34.62%
17.69%3.85%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
2—7.69%11.54%———19.23%
33.85%3.85%———3.85%11.54%
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+————3.85%—3.85%
Total23.08%19.23%34.62%7.69%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.85 -0.38
SD 1.48 1.57 1.88
CV 1.01 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%——3.85%—19.23%
1—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
211.54%3.85%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
315.38%11.54%—7.69%——34.62%
4———————
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total38.46%30.77%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.27 +0.81
SD 1.41 1.61 2.28
CV 0.68 1.27 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%3.85%11.54%3.85%—42.31%
1—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
27.69%———3.85%—11.54%
37.69%7.69%—7.69%——23.08%
4———————
5+3.85%7.69%————11.54%
Total30.77%30.77%7.69%23.08%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.46 +0.27
SD 2.05 1.36 2.74
CV 1.18 0.93 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%——7.69%30.77%
119.23%7.69%7.69%—7.69%—42.31%
2—3.85%15.38%—3.85%—23.08%
3———————
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total26.92%23.08%30.77%—11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.81 -0.73
SD 1.09 1.90 2.20
CV 1.01 1.05 —
Max 5 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%——3.85%——11.54%
13.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
211.54%11.54%————23.08%
37.69%——3.85%3.85%—15.38%
47.69%—3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
5+11.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
Total50.00%23.08%11.54%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.15 1.00 +2.15
SD 2.36 1.30 2.74
CV 0.75 1.30 —
Max 10 4 +10
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—7.69%26.92%
17.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%—11.54%34.62%
2—19.23%—7.69%——26.92%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%11.54%19.23%—19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.27 -1.00
SD 1.08 2.03 2.56
CV 0.85 0.89 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
17.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
2—3.85%7.69%—7.69%—19.23%
3——7.69%3.85%——11.54%
43.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%23.08%26.92%11.54%15.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.73 +0.08
SD 1.52 1.37 2.02
CV 0.84 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%—30.77%
1—3.85%11.54%—7.69%7.69%30.77%
23.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total7.69%15.38%30.77%15.38%15.38%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.73 -1.31
SD 1.42 1.76 2.35
CV 1.00 0.64 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%26.92%
115.38%7.69%—11.54%——34.62%
2——7.69%—3.85%7.69%19.23%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+——7.69%———7.69%
Total15.38%19.23%23.08%23.08%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.27 -0.73
SD 1.58 1.64 2.29
CV 1.03 0.72 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
111.54%3.85%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
23.85%7.69%19.23%—3.85%3.85%38.46%
33.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%34.62%23.08%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.58 +0.19
SD 1.14 1.45 1.83
CV 0.65 0.92 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%3.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%46.15%
13.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
2—3.85%15.38%3.85%——23.08%
37.69%—————7.69%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total30.77%15.38%38.46%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.54 -0.38
SD 1.32 1.45 2.06
CV 1.14 0.94 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%—3.85%—3.85%19.23%
17.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
2—7.69%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
411.54%—————11.54%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total38.46%30.77%15.38%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.23 +0.69
SD 1.65 1.56 2.72
CV 0.86 1.27 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rosenborg 1891 59 56.71 +2.29 67.0% 44 45 53 57 61 63 70
Lillestrom 1765 46 47.00 -1.00 47.0% 34 39 43 47 51 55 65
Viking 1723 43 44.64 -1.64 42.0% 30 35 40 44 49 55 56
Tromso 1710 41 40.29 +0.71 51.0% 21 29 35 41 46 50 53
Brann 1698 42 39.74 +2.26 61.0% 26 29 35 40 44 49 61
Bodo Glimt 1685 31 39.45 -8.45 9.0% 26 29 35 40 43 48 59
Molde 1642 33 36.65 -3.65 30.0% 21 28 32 37 41 47 56
Stabaek 1633 36 36.09 -0.09 54.0% 21 26 32 35 40 44 51
Valerenga 1620 28 35.68 -7.68 9.0% 21 26 32 36 39 43 49
Kongsvinger 1605 34 31.79 +2.21 69.0% 17 21 27 32 36 42 47
Start 1536 18 32.91 -14.91 0.0% 19 24 29 32 36 42 50
Stromsgodset 1517 29 24.78 +4.22 78.0% 9 15 21 24 28 34 41
Skeid 1465 32 22.42 +9.58 95.0% 11 14 19 22 25 32 38
Moss 1441 29 16.68 +12.32 98.0% 5 7 13 16 20 27 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.93%
Slight Edge
45.60%24.73%29.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
167 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
055.84500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.62 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.5
One-Team Race
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
81%
Rosenborg, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.50/gm
Runaway
00.280.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.73 * Some Luck: 4.73 to 7.1 * Lucky: 7.1 to 9.47 * Wild Swing: 9.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.35 * Close: 1.35 to 2.02 * Off: 2.02 to 2.69 * Way Off: 2.69 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.54 * A Surprise: 0.54 to 0.86 * Several Surprises: 0.86 to 1.19 * Many Surprises: 1.19 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.79 points
Some Luck
05.9215
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
01.684
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.00%
Moss
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.00%
Start
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
Many Surprises
00.53

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 122.03
1.47
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
71%
Wide Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Few
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
29%
Very Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Lopsided
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.43
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.45
Some Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.15
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.52
Overconfident
0.3822051.001.6178
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.089
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Rosenborg81.00%14.00%3.00%2.00%——————————
Lillestrom6.00%39.00%20.00%14.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%——————
Viking10.00%22.00%18.00%18.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%—2.00%———
Brann2.00%4.00%18.00%19.00%5.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Tromso1.00%9.00%19.00%13.00%14.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%——
Stabaek—1.00%4.00%2.00%17.00%11.00%13.00%16.00%16.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%—
Kongsvinger—1.00%1.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%22.00%18.00%11.00%4.00%2.00%
Molde—1.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%20.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%—
Skeid——————1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%11.00%23.00%35.00%25.00%
Bodo Glimt—6.00%9.00%13.00%18.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%——
Stromsgodset—————1.00%—4.00%6.00%6.00%16.00%32.00%29.00%6.00%
Moss—————————3.00%1.00%7.00%24.00%65.00%
Valerenga—3.00%3.00%2.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%20.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%—
Start———4.00%6.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%13.00%17.00%21.00%11.00%1.00%2.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Lillestrom 100% —
Rosenborg 100% —
Viking 100% —
Bodo Glimt 98.00% 2.00%
Brann 98.00% 2.00%
Tromso 98.00% 2.00%
Molde 96.00% 4.00%
Valerenga 94.00% 6.00%
Stabaek 93.00% 7.00%
Start 86.00% 14.00%
Kongsvinger 83.00% 17.00%
Stromsgodset 33.00% 67.00%
Skeid 17.00% 83.00%
Moss 4.00% 96.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1996-04-13 Stromsgodset L 2-359.4 1454 1525 34.78% 26.20% 39.03%-0.09 -5.2 0
1996-04-13 @ Skeid W 3-259.4 1525 1454 39.03% 26.20% 34.78%+0.09 +5.2 3
1996-04-14 Valerenga W 2-054.0 1721 1663 52.38% 24.48% 23.14%+0.68 +7.8 3
1996-04-14 @ Lillestrom L 0-254.0 1663 1721 23.14% 24.48% 52.38%-0.68 -7.9 0
1996-04-14 Bodo Glimt L 0-147.9 1422 1735 12.86% 18.74% 68.41%-1.55 -2.2 0
1996-04-14 @ Moss W 1-047.9 1735 1422 68.41% 18.74% 12.86%+1.55 +2.2 3
1996-04-14 Molde W 2-050.6 1802 1634 64.93% 20.30% 14.77%+1.34 +5.0 3
1996-04-14 @ Rosenborg L 0-250.6 1634 1802 14.77% 20.30% 64.93%-1.34 -5.0 0
1996-04-14 Tromso D 2-274.7 1706 1706 44.74% 25.80% 29.47%+0.33 -0.4 1
1996-04-14 @ Viking D 2-274.7 1706 1706 29.47% 25.80% 44.74%-0.33 +0.4 1
1996-04-21 Start D 3-379.3 1738 1681 52.11% 24.54% 23.35%+0.67 -0.6 4
1996-04-21 @ Bodo Glimt D 3-379.3 1681 1738 23.35% 24.54% 52.11%-0.67 +0.6 1
1996-04-21 Skeid L 1-265.6 1623 1449 65.64% 19.99% 14.37%+1.38 -9.1 0
1996-04-21 @ Kongsvinger W 2-165.6 1449 1623 14.37% 19.99% 65.64%-1.38 +9.1 3
1996-04-21 Moss W 8-039.7 1629 1420 69.19% 18.37% 12.45%+1.59 +15.0 3
1996-04-21 @ Molde L 0-839.7 1420 1629 12.45% 18.37% 69.19%-1.59 -15.0 0
1996-04-21 Viking D 1-169.4 1627 1705 33.68% 26.15% 40.17%-0.14 +0.2 1
1996-04-21 @ Stabaek D 1-169.4 1705 1627 40.17% 26.15% 33.68%+0.14 -0.2 2
1996-04-21 Lillestrom L 1-356.1 1530 1729 20.53% 23.55% 55.92%-0.86 -6.1 3
1996-04-21 @ Stromsgodset W 3-156.1 1729 1530 55.92% 23.55% 20.53%+0.86 +6.1 6
1996-04-21 Brann L 0-260.7 1655 1632 47.80% 25.38% 26.82%+0.47 -14.0 0
1996-04-21 @ Valerenga W 2-060.7 1632 1655 26.82% 25.38% 47.80%-0.47 +14.0 3
1996-04-27 Molde W 4-263.0 1682 1644 49.78% 25.03% 25.19%+0.56 +6.6 4
1996-04-27 @ Start L 2-463.0 1644 1682 25.19% 25.03% 49.78%-0.56 -6.6 3
1996-04-28 Brann D 3-379.3 1735 1646 56.11% 23.50% 20.39%+0.87 -0.8 7
1996-04-28 @ Lillestrom D 3-379.3 1646 1735 20.39% 23.50% 56.11%-0.87 +0.8 4
1996-04-28 Tromso L 0-146.9 1405 1706 13.49% 19.28% 67.23%-1.47 -2.4 0
1996-04-28 @ Moss W 1-046.9 1706 1405 67.23% 19.28% 13.49%+1.47 +2.4 4
1996-04-28 Stabaek W 4-258.9 1807 1627 66.21% 19.74% 14.05%+1.41 +3.6 6
1996-04-28 @ Rosenborg L 2-458.9 1627 1807 14.05% 19.74% 66.21%-1.41 -3.7 1
1996-04-28 Bodo Glimt L 1-352.1 1458 1737 14.80% 20.32% 64.88%-1.34 -4.3 3
1996-04-28 @ Skeid W 3-152.1 1737 1458 64.88% 20.32% 14.80%+1.34 +4.3 7
1996-04-28 Kongsvinger D 1-165.7 1524 1614 32.18% 26.06% 41.76%-0.21 +0.3 4
1996-04-28 @ Stromsgodset D 1-165.7 1614 1524 41.76% 26.06% 32.18%+0.21 -0.3 1
1996-04-28 Valerenga W 2-159.9 1705 1641 53.13% 24.30% 22.57%+0.72 +3.8 5
1996-04-28 @ Viking L 1-259.9 1641 1705 22.57% 24.30% 53.13%-0.72 -3.8 0
1996-05-01 Stromsgodset D 1-171.0 1741 1525 69.87% 18.04% 12.09%+1.64 -2.1 8
1996-05-01 @ Bodo Glimt D 1-171.0 1525 1741 12.09% 18.04% 69.87%-1.64 +2.1 5
1996-05-01 Viking D 1-169.6 1647 1709 36.02% 26.22% 37.76%-0.04 +0.1 5
1996-05-01 @ Brann D 1-169.6 1709 1647 37.76% 26.22% 36.02%+0.04 -0.0 6
1996-05-01 Lillestrom L 1-556.8 1614 1734 28.43% 25.65% 45.92%-0.39 -14.8 1
1996-05-01 @ Kongsvinger W 5-156.8 1734 1614 45.92% 25.65% 28.43%+0.39 +14.8 10
1996-05-01 Skeid L 0-162.3 1638 1454 66.62% 19.56% 13.82%+1.44 -9.7 3
1996-05-01 @ Molde W 1-062.3 1454 1638 13.82% 19.56% 66.62%-1.44 +9.7 6
1996-05-01 Moss D 2-269.0 1623 1402 70.27% 17.84% 11.88%+1.66 -1.5 2
1996-05-01 @ Stabaek D 2-269.0 1402 1623 11.88% 17.84% 70.27%-1.66 +1.5 1
1996-05-01 Start W 3-053.7 1709 1689 47.45% 25.43% 27.12%+0.46 +13.1 7
1996-05-01 @ Tromso L 0-353.7 1689 1709 27.12% 25.43% 47.45%-0.46 -13.1 4
1996-05-01 Rosenborg L 0-451.3 1637 1810 22.83% 24.39% 52.78%-0.70 -14.7 0
1996-05-01 @ Valerenga W 4-051.3 1810 1637 52.78% 24.39% 22.83%+0.70 +14.7 9
1996-05-05 Bodo Glimt W 2-167.9 1599 1739 26.21% 25.26% 48.53%-0.50 +7.1 4
1996-05-05 @ Kongsvinger L 1-267.9 1739 1599 48.53% 25.26% 26.21%+0.50 -7.1 8
1996-05-05 Viking L 0-459.7 1749 1709 50.08% 24.97% 24.95%+0.58 -27.7 10
1996-05-05 @ Lillestrom W 4-059.7 1709 1749 24.95% 24.97% 50.08%-0.58 +27.7 9
1996-05-05 Valerenga D 2-267.5 1404 1623 18.91% 22.83% 58.26%-0.98 +1.0 2
1996-05-05 @ Moss D 2-267.5 1623 1404 58.26% 22.83% 18.91%+0.98 -1.0 1
1996-05-05 Brann W 10-049.0 1825 1647 66.00% 19.83% 14.17%+1.40 +21.5 12
1996-05-05 @ Rosenborg L 0-1049.0 1647 1825 14.17% 19.83% 66.00%-1.40 -21.5 5
1996-05-05 Tromso W 1-064.3 1464 1722 16.09% 21.22% 62.69%-1.21 +9.3 9
1996-05-05 @ Skeid L 0-164.3 1722 1464 62.69% 21.22% 16.09%+1.21 -9.3 7
1996-05-05 Stabaek L 1-268.2 1675 1622 51.82% 24.61% 23.57%+0.66 -7.5 4
1996-05-05 @ Start W 2-168.2 1622 1675 23.57% 24.61% 51.82%-0.66 +7.5 5
1996-05-05 Molde L 1-357.6 1527 1628 30.74% 25.94% 43.32%-0.27 -8.6 5
1996-05-05 @ Stromsgodset W 3-157.6 1628 1527 43.32% 25.94% 30.74%+0.27 +8.6 6
1996-05-09 Lillestrom L 1-366.2 1732 1722 46.17% 25.62% 28.21%+0.40 -11.8 8
1996-05-09 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-166.2 1722 1732 28.21% 25.62% 46.17%-0.40 +11.8 13
1996-05-09 Moss D 1-164.6 1626 1405 70.27% 17.84% 11.89%+1.66 -2.1 6
1996-05-09 @ Brann D 1-164.6 1405 1626 11.89% 17.84% 70.27%-1.66 +2.1 3
1996-05-09 Kongsvinger W 2-053.4 1637 1606 48.79% 25.21% 25.99%+0.52 +8.7 9
1996-05-09 @ Molde L 0-253.4 1606 1637 25.99% 25.21% 48.79%-0.52 -8.7 4
1996-05-09 Skeid D 1-166.2 1629 1473 63.75% 20.79% 15.46%+1.27 -1.7 6
1996-05-09 @ Stabaek D 1-166.2 1473 1629 15.46% 20.79% 63.75%-1.27 +1.7 10
1996-05-09 Stromsgodset L 0-166.1 1712 1518 67.70% 19.07% 13.23%+1.50 -9.9 7
1996-05-09 @ Tromso W 1-066.1 1518 1712 13.23% 19.07% 67.70%-1.50 +9.8 8
1996-05-09 Start W 1-059.6 1622 1668 38.23% 26.22% 35.55%+0.06 +5.9 4
1996-05-09 @ Valerenga L 0-159.6 1668 1622 35.55% 26.22% 38.23%-0.06 -5.9 4
1996-05-09 Rosenborg D 1-170.8 1737 1847 29.69% 25.82% 44.49%-0.32 +0.5 10
1996-05-09 @ Viking D 1-170.8 1847 1737 44.49% 25.82% 29.69%+0.32 -0.5 13
1996-05-12 Molde L 1-367.7 1720 1645 54.45% 23.96% 21.59%+0.78 -13.5 8
1996-05-12 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-167.7 1645 1720 21.59% 23.96% 54.45%-0.78 +13.5 12
1996-05-12 Tromso D 2-273.7 1598 1703 30.28% 25.89% 43.83%-0.29 +0.3 5
1996-05-12 @ Kongsvinger D 2-273.7 1703 1598 43.83% 25.89% 30.28%+0.29 -0.3 8
1996-05-12 Rosenborg W 3-059.8 1733 1846 29.34% 25.78% 44.88%-0.34 +19.4 16
1996-05-12 @ Lillestrom L 0-359.8 1846 1733 44.88% 25.78% 29.34%+0.34 -19.4 13
1996-05-12 Viking W 1-064.5 1407 1737 12.00% 17.95% 70.05%-1.65 +10.1 6
1996-05-12 @ Moss L 0-164.5 1737 1407 70.05% 17.95% 12.00%+1.65 -10.1 10
1996-05-12 Brann L 0-261.1 1662 1624 49.85% 25.02% 25.13%+0.57 -14.5 4
1996-05-12 @ Start W 2-061.1 1624 1662 25.13% 25.02% 49.85%-0.57 +14.5 9
1996-05-12 Stabaek D 2-270.8 1528 1627 30.95% 25.96% 43.09%-0.26 +0.3 9
1996-05-12 @ Stromsgodset D 2-270.8 1627 1528 43.09% 25.96% 30.95%+0.26 -0.3 7
1996-05-13 Valerenga W 2-163.5 1475 1627 24.84% 24.95% 50.21%-0.58 +7.3 13
1996-05-13 @ Skeid L 1-263.5 1627 1475 50.21% 24.95% 24.84%+0.58 -7.3 4
1996-05-16 Skeid L 1-266.8 1638 1482 63.75% 20.79% 15.46%+1.27 -8.9 9
1996-05-16 @ Brann W 2-166.8 1482 1638 15.46% 20.79% 63.75%-1.27 +8.9 16
1996-05-16 Lillestrom D 0-066.7 1659 1753 31.68% 26.03% 42.29%-0.23 +0.4 13
1996-05-16 @ Molde D 0-066.7 1753 1659 42.29% 26.03% 31.68%+0.23 -0.4 17
1996-05-16 Moss D 0-069.7 1827 1417 84.99% 9.76% 5.25%+2.79 -3.1 14
1996-05-16 @ Rosenborg D 0-069.7 1417 1827 5.25% 9.76% 84.99%-2.79 +3.1 7
1996-05-16 Kongsvinger W 5-049.8 1627 1598 48.66% 25.24% 26.11%+0.51 +20.4 10
1996-05-16 @ Stabaek L 0-549.8 1598 1627 26.11% 25.24% 48.66%-0.51 -20.4 5
1996-05-16 Bodo Glimt W 2-163.1 1702 1707 44.14% 25.86% 30.00%+0.31 +4.9 11
1996-05-16 @ Tromso L 1-263.1 1707 1702 30.00% 25.86% 44.14%-0.31 -4.9 8
1996-05-16 Stromsgodset W 3-047.0 1620 1528 56.51% 23.38% 20.11%+0.89 +10.0 7
1996-05-16 @ Valerenga L 0-347.0 1528 1620 20.11% 23.38% 56.51%-0.89 -10.0 9
1996-05-16 Start W 4-050.2 1727 1648 55.01% 23.81% 21.18%+0.81 +13.7 13
1996-05-16 @ Viking L 0-450.2 1648 1727 21.18% 23.81% 55.01%-0.81 -13.7 4
1996-05-19 Stabaek L 0-164.7 1702 1648 51.87% 24.60% 23.53%+0.66 -8.0 8
1996-05-19 @ Bodo Glimt W 1-064.7 1648 1702 23.53% 24.60% 51.87%-0.66 +8.0 13
1996-05-19 Valerenga W 1-058.4 1578 1630 37.35% 26.23% 36.42%+0.02 +6.0 8
1996-05-19 @ Kongsvinger L 0-158.4 1630 1578 36.42% 26.23% 37.35%-0.02 -6.0 7
1996-05-19 Moss W 2-042.5 1752 1420 79.77% 12.79% 7.44%+2.33 +2.2 20
1996-05-19 @ Lillestrom L 0-242.5 1420 1752 7.44% 12.79% 79.77%-2.33 -2.2 7
1996-05-19 Tromso W 3-056.3 1659 1707 38.01% 26.22% 35.77%+0.05 +16.3 16
1996-05-19 @ Molde L 0-356.3 1707 1659 35.77% 26.22% 38.01%-0.05 -16.3 11
1996-05-19 Viking L 1-255.7 1491 1741 16.63% 21.56% 61.80%-1.17 -2.8 16
1996-05-19 @ Skeid W 2-155.7 1741 1491 61.80% 21.56% 16.63%+1.17 +2.8 16
1996-05-19 Rosenborg W 2-170.2 1634 1824 21.31% 23.86% 54.83%-0.80 +7.9 7
1996-05-19 @ Start L 1-270.2 1824 1634 54.83% 23.86% 21.31%+0.80 -7.9 14
1996-05-19 Brann L 0-252.4 1518 1629 29.51% 25.80% 44.68%-0.33 -9.7 9
1996-05-19 @ Stromsgodset W 2-052.4 1629 1518 44.68% 25.80% 29.51%+0.33 +9.7 12
1996-05-27 Kongsvinger W 2-052.0 1639 1584 52.03% 24.56% 23.41%+0.67 +7.9 15
1996-05-27 @ Brann L 0-252.0 1584 1639 23.41% 24.56% 52.03%-0.67 -7.9 8
1996-05-27 Start W 1-059.8 1418 1642 18.52% 22.63% 58.85%-1.01 +8.8 10
1996-05-27 @ Moss L 0-159.8 1642 1418 58.85% 22.63% 18.52%+1.01 -8.8 7
1996-05-27 Skeid W 6-145.2 1816 1488 79.43% 12.98% 7.58%+2.30 +4.4 17
1996-05-27 @ Rosenborg L 1-645.2 1488 1816 7.58% 12.98% 79.43%-2.30 -4.4 16
1996-05-27 Molde D 3-378.1 1656 1676 41.98% 26.05% 31.97%+0.22 -0.2 14
1996-05-27 @ Stabaek D 3-378.1 1676 1656 31.97% 26.05% 41.98%-0.22 +0.2 17
1996-05-27 Lillestrom W 1-061.7 1691 1755 35.76% 26.22% 38.02%-0.05 +6.2 14
1996-05-27 @ Tromso L 0-161.7 1755 1691 38.02% 26.22% 35.76%+0.05 -6.2 20
1996-05-27 Bodo Glimt D 1-169.2 1624 1694 34.92% 26.20% 38.88%-0.08 +0.1 8
1996-05-27 @ Valerenga D 1-169.2 1694 1624 38.88% 26.20% 34.92%+0.08 -0.1 9
1996-05-27 Stromsgodset L 0-167.1 1744 1508 71.62% 17.17% 11.21%+1.75 -10.3 16
1996-05-27 @ Viking W 1-067.1 1508 1744 11.21% 17.17% 71.62%-1.75 +10.3 12
1996-06-05 Brann L 1-366.6 1694 1647 50.93% 24.80% 24.27%+0.62 -12.8 9
1996-06-05 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-166.6 1647 1694 24.27% 24.80% 50.93%-0.62 +12.8 18
1996-06-05 Viking W 3-166.3 1576 1733 24.34% 24.82% 50.84%-0.61 +12.8 11
1996-06-05 @ Kongsvinger L 1-366.3 1733 1576 50.84% 24.82% 24.34%+0.61 -12.8 16
1996-06-05 Valerenga W 2-053.4 1676 1624 51.53% 24.67% 23.80%+0.64 +8.0 20
1996-06-05 @ Molde L 0-253.4 1624 1676 23.80% 24.67% 51.53%-0.64 -8.0 8
1996-06-05 Moss W 2-148.4 1484 1427 52.20% 24.52% 23.28%+0.68 +3.9 19
1996-06-05 @ Skeid L 1-248.4 1427 1484 23.28% 24.52% 52.20%-0.68 -3.9 10
1996-06-05 Rosenborg L 0-151.5 1519 1820 13.49% 19.29% 67.22%-1.47 -2.4 12
1996-06-05 @ Stromsgodset W 1-051.5 1820 1519 67.22% 19.29% 13.49%+1.47 +2.4 20
1996-06-05 Stabaek W 1-056.7 1697 1655 50.29% 24.93% 24.78%+0.59 +4.4 17
1996-06-05 @ Tromso L 0-156.7 1655 1697 24.78% 24.93% 50.29%-0.59 -4.4 14
1996-06-06 Start W 3-050.0 1748 1633 59.24% 22.50% 18.26%+1.03 +9.1 23
1996-06-06 @ Lillestrom L 0-350.0 1633 1748 18.26% 22.50% 59.24%-1.03 -9.1 7
1996-06-09 Molde W 4-054.0 1660 1684 41.42% 26.09% 32.50%+0.19 +19.8 21
1996-06-09 @ Brann L 0-454.0 1684 1660 32.50% 26.09% 41.42%-0.19 -19.8 20
1996-06-09 Stabaek W 2-158.9 1757 1651 58.21% 22.84% 18.95%+0.97 +3.2 26
1996-06-09 @ Lillestrom L 1-258.9 1651 1757 18.95% 22.84% 58.21%-0.97 -3.2 14
1996-06-09 Stromsgodset W 5-255.1 1423 1516 31.74% 26.03% 42.23%-0.23 +13.5 13
1996-06-09 @ Moss L 2-555.1 1516 1423 42.23% 26.03% 31.74%+0.23 -13.5 12
1996-06-09 Kongsvinger W 3-046.5 1823 1588 71.52% 17.22% 11.26%+1.74 +5.3 23
1996-06-09 @ Rosenborg L 0-346.5 1588 1823 11.26% 17.22% 71.52%-1.74 -5.3 11
1996-06-09 Skeid L 1-266.2 1624 1487 61.58% 21.65% 16.77%+1.15 -8.6 7
1996-06-09 @ Start W 2-166.2 1487 1624 16.77% 21.65% 61.58%-1.15 +8.6 22
1996-06-09 Tromso D 2-273.8 1616 1702 32.80% 26.11% 41.09%-0.18 +0.2 9
1996-06-09 @ Valerenga D 2-273.8 1702 1616 41.09% 26.11% 32.80%+0.18 -0.2 18
1996-06-09 Bodo Glimt W 4-051.9 1721 1681 50.02% 24.99% 24.99%+0.57 +16.0 19
1996-06-09 @ Viking L 0-451.9 1681 1721 24.99% 24.99% 50.02%-0.57 -16.0 9
1996-06-17 Stabaek W 4-051.5 1680 1648 49.01% 25.18% 25.82%+0.53 +16.4 24
1996-06-17 @ Brann L 0-451.5 1648 1680 25.82% 25.18% 49.01%-0.53 -16.4 14
1996-06-17 Kongsvinger L 4-575.6 1615 1583 49.02% 25.17% 25.80%+0.53 -6.5 7
1996-06-17 @ Start W 5-475.6 1583 1615 25.80% 25.17% 49.02%-0.53 +6.5 14
1996-06-30 Moss W 4-145.8 1665 1436 71.01% 17.48% 11.52%+1.71 +4.6 12
1996-06-30 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-445.8 1436 1665 11.52% 17.48% 71.01%-1.71 -4.6 13
1996-06-30 Start L 0-257.5 1590 1609 42.13% 26.04% 31.84%+0.22 -12.7 14
1996-06-30 @ Kongsvinger W 2-057.5 1609 1590 31.84% 26.04% 42.13%-0.22 +12.7 10
1996-06-30 Rosenborg L 0-352.9 1664 1828 23.73% 24.65% 51.62%-0.65 -11.7 20
1996-06-30 @ Molde W 3-052.9 1828 1664 51.62% 24.65% 23.73%+0.65 +11.7 26
1996-06-30 Brann W 4-161.2 1631 1696 35.62% 26.22% 38.16%-0.05 +14.4 17
1996-06-30 @ Stabaek L 1-461.2 1696 1631 38.16% 26.22% 35.62%+0.05 -14.4 24
1996-06-30 Skeid W 1-049.4 1503 1496 45.65% 25.69% 28.66%+0.38 +5.0 15
1996-06-30 @ Stromsgodset L 0-149.4 1496 1503 28.66% 25.69% 45.65%-0.38 -5.0 22
1996-06-30 Viking D 2-274.8 1701 1737 39.83% 26.17% 34.00%+0.12 -0.1 19
1996-06-30 @ Tromso D 2-274.8 1737 1701 34.00% 26.17% 39.83%-0.12 +0.1 20
1996-07-03 Rosenborg L 1-557.1 1701 1839 26.39% 25.30% 48.31%-0.49 -13.9 19
1996-07-03 @ Tromso W 5-157.1 1839 1701 48.31% 25.30% 26.39%+0.49 +13.9 29
1996-07-03 Lillestrom W 2-168.4 1616 1761 25.74% 25.16% 49.10%-0.53 +7.2 12
1996-07-03 @ Valerenga L 1-268.4 1761 1616 49.10% 25.16% 25.74%+0.53 -7.2 26
1996-07-07 Rosenborg L 0-451.2 1670 1853 21.83% 24.05% 54.11%-0.77 -14.1 12
1996-07-07 @ Bodo Glimt W 4-051.2 1853 1670 54.11% 24.05% 21.83%+0.77 +14.1 32
1996-07-07 Moss W 2-148.8 1577 1432 62.56% 21.27% 16.17%+1.21 +2.8 17
1996-07-07 @ Kongsvinger L 1-248.8 1432 1577 16.17% 21.27% 62.56%-1.21 -2.8 13
1996-07-07 Viking W 3-058.0 1652 1737 32.93% 26.11% 40.96%-0.17 +18.1 23
1996-07-07 @ Molde L 0-358.0 1737 1652 40.96% 26.11% 32.93%+0.17 -18.0 20
1996-07-07 Valerenga D 0-065.4 1646 1624 47.73% 25.39% 26.88%+0.47 -0.8 18
1996-07-07 @ Stabaek D 0-065.4 1624 1646 26.88% 25.39% 47.73%-0.47 +0.8 13
1996-07-07 Start W 4-159.2 1508 1621 29.24% 25.77% 44.99%-0.35 +16.4 18
1996-07-07 @ Stromsgodset L 1-459.2 1621 1508 44.99% 25.77% 29.24%+0.35 -16.4 10
1996-07-07 Brann W 4-158.6 1687 1682 45.52% 25.70% 28.78%+0.37 +11.6 22
1996-07-07 @ Tromso L 1-458.6 1682 1687 28.78% 25.70% 45.52%-0.37 -11.6 24
1996-07-10 Lillestrom L 1-353.7 1491 1753 15.82% 21.04% 63.15%-1.24 -4.6 22
1996-07-10 @ Skeid W 3-153.7 1753 1491 63.15% 21.04% 15.82%+1.24 +4.7 29
1996-07-14 Valerenga D 2-273.9 1670 1624 50.78% 24.83% 24.38%+0.61 -0.7 25
1996-07-14 @ Brann D 2-273.9 1624 1670 24.38% 24.83% 50.78%-0.61 +0.7 14
1996-07-14 Stromsgodset D 3-380.2 1758 1524 71.50% 17.23% 11.27%+1.74 -1.3 30
1996-07-14 @ Lillestrom D 3-380.2 1524 1758 11.27% 17.23% 71.50%-1.74 +1.3 19
1996-07-14 Molde D 1-165.8 1429 1670 17.23% 21.93% 60.84%-1.11 +1.5 14
1996-07-14 @ Moss D 1-165.8 1670 1429 60.84% 21.93% 17.23%+1.11 -1.5 24
1996-07-14 Tromso W 2-157.5 1868 1699 65.05% 20.25% 14.70%+1.35 +2.5 35
1996-07-14 @ Rosenborg L 1-257.5 1699 1868 14.70% 20.25% 65.05%-1.35 -2.5 22
1996-07-14 Kongsvinger D 0-060.0 1486 1580 31.77% 26.03% 42.20%-0.22 +0.4 23
1996-07-14 @ Skeid D 0-060.0 1580 1486 42.20% 26.03% 31.77%+0.22 -0.4 18
1996-07-14 Bodo Glimt D 2-273.0 1605 1655 37.66% 26.22% 36.12%+0.03 -0.0 11
1996-07-14 @ Start D 2-273.0 1655 1605 36.12% 26.22% 37.66%-0.03 +0.0 13
1996-07-14 Stabaek L 2-374.1 1719 1645 54.30% 24.00% 21.70%+0.78 -7.4 20
1996-07-14 @ Viking W 3-274.1 1645 1719 21.70% 24.00% 54.30%-0.78 +7.4 21
1996-07-21 Skeid L 0-359.4 1655 1487 65.05% 20.25% 14.70%+1.35 -26.2 13
1996-07-21 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-059.4 1487 1655 14.70% 20.25% 65.05%-1.35 +26.2 26
1996-07-21 Stromsgodset W 3-047.1 1579 1526 51.82% 24.61% 23.57%+0.66 +11.6 21
1996-07-21 @ Kongsvinger L 0-347.1 1526 1579 23.57% 24.61% 51.82%-0.66 -11.6 19
1996-07-21 Start W 5-153.7 1669 1605 53.09% 24.31% 22.60%+0.72 +12.1 27
1996-07-21 @ Molde L 1-553.7 1605 1669 22.60% 24.31% 53.09%-0.72 -12.2 11
1996-07-21 Rosenborg D 4-482.8 1652 1870 18.99% 22.86% 58.15%-0.97 +0.7 22
1996-07-21 @ Stabaek D 4-482.8 1870 1652 58.15% 22.86% 18.99%+0.97 -0.7 36
1996-07-21 Moss D 2-273.1 1696 1431 74.38% 15.75% 9.87%+1.93 -1.7 23
1996-07-21 @ Tromso D 2-273.1 1431 1696 9.87% 15.75% 74.38%-1.93 +1.7 15
1996-07-21 Viking D 0-066.1 1625 1711 32.68% 26.10% 41.22%-0.18 +0.3 15
1996-07-21 @ Valerenga D 0-066.1 1711 1625 41.22% 26.10% 32.68%+0.18 -0.3 21
1996-08-03 Bodo Glimt L 2-460.8 1514 1629 29.02% 25.74% 45.24%-0.36 -7.4 19
1996-08-03 @ Stromsgodset W 4-260.8 1629 1514 45.24% 25.74% 29.02%+0.36 +7.4 16
1996-08-04 Kongsvinger D 0-067.9 1757 1591 64.76% 20.37% 14.87%+1.33 -2.0 31
1996-08-04 @ Lillestrom D 0-067.9 1591 1757 14.87% 20.37% 64.76%-1.33 +2.0 22
1996-08-04 Stabaek L 2-455.0 1432 1653 18.74% 22.74% 58.51%-0.99 -5.0 15
1996-08-04 @ Moss W 4-255.0 1653 1432 58.51% 22.74% 18.74%+0.99 +5.0 25
1996-08-04 Valerenga W 6-045.6 1869 1625 72.43% 16.76% 10.81%+1.80 +9.6 39
1996-08-04 @ Rosenborg L 0-645.6 1625 1869 10.81% 16.76% 72.43%-1.80 -9.6 15
1996-08-04 Tromso L 1-458.4 1593 1695 30.67% 25.93% 43.40%-0.28 -12.2 11
1996-08-04 @ Start W 4-158.4 1695 1593 43.40% 25.93% 30.67%+0.28 +12.2 26
1996-08-04 Brann W 3-052.7 1711 1669 50.27% 24.94% 24.79%+0.59 +12.1 24
1996-08-04 @ Viking L 0-352.7 1669 1711 24.79% 24.94% 50.27%-0.59 -12.1 25
1996-08-11 Kongsvinger W 5-363.9 1637 1593 50.54% 24.88% 24.58%+0.60 +6.1 19
1996-08-11 @ Bodo Glimt L 3-563.9 1593 1637 24.58% 24.88% 50.54%-0.60 -6.1 22
1996-08-11 Rosenborg D 3-380.3 1657 1879 18.67% 22.71% 58.62%-1.00 +0.9 26
1996-08-11 @ Brann D 3-380.3 1879 1657 58.62% 22.71% 18.67%+1.00 -0.9 40
1996-08-11 Stromsgodset L 0-164.9 1681 1507 65.65% 19.99% 14.36%+1.38 -9.6 27
1996-08-11 @ Molde W 1-064.9 1507 1681 14.36% 19.99% 65.65%-1.38 +9.6 22
1996-08-11 Start D 1-168.7 1658 1581 54.76% 23.88% 21.36%+0.80 -1.1 26
1996-08-11 @ Stabaek D 1-168.7 1581 1658 21.36% 23.88% 54.76%-0.80 +1.2 12
1996-08-11 Skeid L 2-472.3 1707 1513 67.63% 19.10% 13.27%+1.50 -14.4 26
1996-08-11 @ Tromso W 4-272.3 1513 1707 13.27% 19.10% 67.63%-1.50 +14.4 29
1996-08-11 Moss W 4-144.9 1616 1427 67.08% 19.35% 13.57%+1.47 +5.5 18
1996-08-11 @ Valerenga L 1-444.9 1427 1616 13.57% 19.35% 67.08%-1.47 -5.5 15
1996-08-11 Lillestrom D 2-275.0 1723 1755 40.32% 26.15% 33.53%+0.14 -0.2 25
1996-08-11 @ Viking D 2-275.0 1755 1723 33.53% 26.15% 40.32%-0.14 +0.2 32
1996-08-17 Molde W 1-060.7 1587 1671 32.92% 26.11% 40.97%-0.17 +6.6 25
1996-08-17 @ Kongsvinger L 0-160.7 1671 1587 40.97% 26.11% 32.92%+0.17 -6.6 27
1996-08-17 Bodo Glimt L 1-270.7 1755 1643 58.87% 22.62% 18.51%+1.01 -8.3 32
1996-08-17 @ Lillestrom W 2-170.7 1643 1755 18.51% 22.62% 58.87%-1.01 +8.3 22
1996-08-18 Brann W 2-164.9 1422 1658 17.59% 22.13% 60.28%-1.08 +8.5 18
1996-08-18 @ Moss L 1-264.9 1658 1422 60.28% 22.13% 17.59%+1.08 -8.5 26
1996-08-18 Viking W 2-158.0 1878 1723 63.62% 20.84% 15.53%+1.27 +2.6 43
1996-08-18 @ Rosenborg L 1-258.0 1723 1878 15.53% 20.84% 63.62%-1.27 -2.6 25
1996-08-18 Stabaek W 3-163.1 1527 1657 27.37% 25.48% 47.15%-0.44 +12.0 32
1996-08-18 @ Skeid L 1-363.1 1657 1527 47.15% 25.48% 27.37%+0.44 -12.0 26
1996-08-18 Tromso W 5-266.6 1516 1693 22.53% 24.29% 53.18%-0.72 +16.2 25
1996-08-18 @ Stromsgodset L 2-566.6 1693 1516 53.18% 24.29% 22.53%+0.72 -16.2 26
1996-08-19 Valerenga L 2-465.5 1582 1621 39.23% 26.19% 34.58%+0.10 -9.3 12
1996-08-19 @ Start W 4-265.5 1621 1582 34.58% 26.19% 39.23%-0.10 +9.3 21
1996-08-24 Kongsvinger W 2-158.3 1676 1593 55.40% 23.70% 20.90%+0.83 +3.6 29
1996-08-24 @ Tromso L 1-258.3 1593 1676 20.90% 23.70% 55.40%-0.83 -3.6 25
1996-08-25 Start W 7-150.7 1650 1572 54.72% 23.89% 21.39%+0.80 +16.7 29
1996-08-25 @ Brann L 1-750.7 1572 1650 21.39% 23.89% 54.72%-0.80 -16.7 12
1996-08-25 Bodo Glimt L 1-267.2 1665 1651 46.59% 25.56% 27.84%+0.42 -6.9 27
1996-08-25 @ Molde W 2-167.2 1651 1665 27.84% 25.56% 46.59%-0.42 +6.9 25
1996-08-25 Lillestrom W 7-254.2 1881 1747 61.32% 21.75% 16.93%+1.14 +9.3 46
1996-08-25 @ Rosenborg L 2-754.2 1747 1881 16.93% 21.75% 61.32%-1.14 -9.4 32
1996-08-25 Stromsgodset W 4-045.9 1645 1532 58.89% 22.62% 18.50%+1.01 +12.0 29
1996-08-25 @ Stabaek L 0-445.9 1532 1645 18.50% 22.62% 58.89%-1.01 -12.0 25
1996-08-25 Skeid W 3-047.6 1630 1539 56.39% 23.41% 20.19%+0.88 +10.0 24
1996-08-25 @ Valerenga L 0-347.6 1539 1630 20.19% 23.41% 56.39%-0.88 -10.0 32
1996-08-25 Moss W 1-045.3 1720 1430 76.44% 14.64% 8.92%+2.08 +1.5 28
1996-08-25 @ Viking L 0-145.3 1430 1720 8.92% 14.64% 76.44%-2.08 -1.5 18
1996-08-28 Lillestrom D 2-274.6 1666 1737 34.74% 26.20% 39.07%-0.09 +0.1 30
1996-08-28 @ Brann D 2-274.6 1737 1666 39.07% 26.20% 34.74%+0.09 -0.1 33
1996-09-04 Tromso L 1-364.2 1658 1680 41.71% 26.07% 32.22%+0.20 -10.9 25
1996-09-04 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-164.2 1680 1658 32.22% 26.07% 41.71%-0.20 +10.9 32
1996-09-04 Stabaek W 4-266.2 1590 1657 35.31% 26.21% 38.48%-0.07 +9.2 28
1996-09-04 @ Kongsvinger L 2-466.2 1657 1590 38.48% 26.21% 35.31%+0.07 -9.2 29
1996-09-04 Molde W 3-051.4 1737 1658 54.99% 23.82% 21.20%+0.81 +10.5 36
1996-09-04 @ Lillestrom L 0-351.4 1658 1737 21.20% 23.82% 54.99%-0.81 -10.5 27
1996-09-04 Rosenborg D 0-070.1 1429 1890 6.89% 12.07% 81.04%-2.43 +2.9 19
1996-09-04 @ Moss D 0-070.1 1890 1429 81.04% 12.07% 6.89%+2.43 -2.9 47
1996-09-04 Brann L 1-652.7 1529 1666 26.54% 25.32% 48.14%-0.49 -17.2 32
1996-09-04 @ Skeid W 6-152.7 1666 1529 48.14% 25.32% 26.54%+0.49 +17.2 33
1996-09-04 Viking L 0-351.1 1556 1722 23.51% 24.59% 51.90%-0.66 -11.6 12
1996-09-04 @ Start W 3-051.1 1722 1556 51.90% 24.59% 23.51%+0.66 +11.6 31
1996-09-04 Valerenga D 2-271.0 1520 1641 28.46% 25.66% 45.88%-0.39 +0.4 26
1996-09-04 @ Stromsgodset D 2-271.0 1641 1520 45.88% 25.66% 28.46%+0.39 -0.4 25
1996-09-07 Bodo Glimt W 1-057.7 1648 1647 44.83% 25.79% 29.38%+0.34 +5.1 32
1996-09-07 @ Stabaek L 0-157.7 1647 1648 29.38% 25.79% 44.83%-0.34 -5.1 25
1996-09-08 Stromsgodset W 6-251.6 1684 1521 64.42% 20.51% 15.07%+1.31 +6.8 36
1996-09-08 @ Brann L 2-651.6 1521 1684 15.07% 20.51% 64.42%-1.31 -6.8 26
1996-09-08 Lillestrom W 1-065.2 1432 1748 12.71% 18.61% 68.68%-1.56 +10.0 22
1996-09-08 @ Moss L 0-165.2 1748 1432 68.68% 18.61% 12.71%+1.56 -10.0 36
1996-09-08 Start W 2-152.3 1887 1544 80.56% 12.34% 7.09%+2.39 +1.1 50
1996-09-08 @ Rosenborg L 1-252.3 1544 1887 7.09% 12.34% 80.56%-2.39 -1.0 12
1996-09-08 Molde W 3-158.7 1691 1647 50.50% 24.89% 24.61%+0.60 +7.2 35
1996-09-08 @ Tromso L 1-358.7 1647 1691 24.61% 24.89% 50.50%-0.60 -7.2 27
1996-09-08 Kongsvinger D 0-065.1 1640 1599 50.19% 24.95% 24.86%+0.58 -0.9 26
1996-09-08 @ Valerenga D 0-065.1 1599 1640 24.86% 24.95% 50.19%-0.58 +1.0 29
1996-09-08 Skeid W 7-044.4 1733 1512 70.29% 17.83% 11.88%+1.66 +12.5 34
1996-09-08 @ Viking L 0-744.4 1512 1733 11.88% 17.83% 70.29%-1.66 -12.5 32
1996-09-14 Rosenborg L 0-247.2 1500 1888 9.43% 15.25% 75.32%-2.00 -3.0 32
1996-09-14 @ Skeid W 2-047.2 1888 1500 75.32% 15.25% 9.43%+2.00 +2.9 53
1996-09-15 Valerenga W 3-053.2 1642 1639 45.12% 25.75% 29.13%+0.35 +13.9 28
1996-09-15 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-353.2 1639 1642 29.13% 25.75% 45.12%-0.35 -13.9 26
1996-09-15 Brann D 2-273.5 1600 1690 32.15% 26.06% 41.79%-0.21 +0.2 30
1996-09-15 @ Kongsvinger D 2-273.5 1690 1600 41.79% 26.06% 32.15%+0.21 -0.2 37
1996-09-15 Tromso D 1-170.5 1738 1698 50.04% 24.98% 24.98%+0.57 -0.8 37
1996-09-15 @ Lillestrom D 1-170.5 1698 1738 24.98% 24.98% 50.04%-0.57 +0.8 36
1996-09-15 Stabaek D 0-065.6 1640 1653 43.01% 25.97% 31.03%+0.26 -0.4 28
1996-09-15 @ Molde D 0-065.6 1653 1640 31.03% 25.97% 43.01%-0.26 +0.4 33
1996-09-15 Moss W 5-039.7 1543 1442 57.62% 23.04% 19.35%+0.94 +15.5 15
1996-09-15 @ Start L 0-539.7 1442 1543 19.35% 23.04% 57.62%-0.94 -15.5 22
1996-09-15 Viking L 1-354.9 1514 1746 17.93% 22.32% 59.76%-1.06 -5.3 26
1996-09-15 @ Stromsgodset W 3-154.9 1746 1514 59.76% 22.32% 17.93%+1.06 +5.3 37
1996-09-18 Molde L 1-552.0 1497 1640 25.89% 25.19% 48.92%-0.52 -13.7 32
1996-09-18 @ Skeid W 5-152.0 1640 1497 48.92% 25.19% 25.89%+0.52 +13.7 31
1996-09-28 Molde D 0-065.4 1625 1653 40.83% 26.12% 33.05%+0.17 -0.3 27
1996-09-28 @ Valerenga D 0-065.4 1653 1625 33.05% 26.12% 40.83%-0.17 +0.3 32
1996-09-29 Bodo Glimt W 2-054.6 1690 1656 49.32% 25.12% 25.56%+0.54 +8.6 40
1996-09-29 @ Brann L 0-254.6 1656 1690 25.56% 25.12% 49.32%-0.54 -8.6 28
1996-09-29 Skeid W 1-048.8 1426 1483 36.72% 26.23% 37.05%-0.01 +6.1 25
1996-09-29 @ Moss L 0-148.8 1483 1426 37.05% 26.23% 36.72%+0.01 -6.1 32
1996-09-29 Stromsgodset W 5-041.6 1891 1509 83.28% 10.77% 5.95%+2.63 +4.0 56
1996-09-29 @ Rosenborg L 0-541.6 1509 1891 5.95% 10.77% 83.28%-2.63 -4.0 26
1996-09-29 Tromso L 0-258.8 1653 1699 38.36% 26.21% 35.43%+0.06 -11.8 33
1996-09-29 @ Stabaek W 2-058.8 1699 1653 35.43% 26.21% 38.36%-0.06 +11.8 39
1996-09-29 Kongsvinger W 1-052.8 1751 1600 63.16% 21.03% 15.81%+1.24 +2.8 40
1996-09-29 @ Viking L 0-152.8 1600 1751 15.81% 21.03% 63.16%-1.24 -2.8 30
1996-10-01 Lillestrom L 0-252.8 1559 1737 22.34% 24.22% 53.44%-0.74 -7.6 15
1996-10-01 @ Start W 2-052.8 1737 1559 53.44% 24.22% 22.34%+0.74 +7.6 40
1996-10-13 Viking W 7-058.3 1647 1754 30.07% 25.87% 44.06%-0.31 +42.3 31
1996-10-13 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-758.3 1754 1647 44.06% 25.87% 30.07%+0.31 -42.3 40
1996-10-13 Rosenborg W 4-380.6 1597 1895 13.70% 19.46% 66.84%-1.45 +8.5 33
1996-10-13 @ Kongsvinger L 3-480.6 1895 1597 66.84% 19.46% 13.70%+1.45 -8.5 56
1996-10-13 Brann D 3-378.3 1654 1699 38.45% 26.21% 35.34%+0.07 -0.1 33
1996-10-13 @ Molde D 3-378.3 1699 1654 35.34% 26.21% 38.45%-0.07 +0.1 41
1996-10-13 Start L 2-361.0 1477 1551 34.35% 26.18% 39.47%-0.11 -5.2 32
1996-10-13 @ Skeid W 3-261.0 1551 1477 39.47% 26.18% 34.35%+0.11 +5.2 18
1996-10-13 Lillestrom L 0-354.8 1641 1745 30.52% 25.92% 43.57%-0.28 -14.4 33
1996-10-13 @ Stabaek W 3-054.8 1745 1641 43.57% 25.92% 30.52%+0.28 +14.4 43
1996-10-13 Moss L 0-154.3 1505 1432 54.15% 24.04% 21.81%+0.77 -8.2 26
1996-10-13 @ Stromsgodset W 1-054.3 1432 1505 21.81% 24.04% 54.15%-0.77 +8.2 28
1996-10-13 Valerenga D 0-066.8 1711 1625 55.74% 23.60% 20.65%+0.85 -1.3 40
1996-10-13 @ Tromso D 0-066.8 1625 1711 20.65% 23.60% 55.74%-0.85 +1.4 28
1996-10-20 Tromso D 3-378.8 1699 1709 43.30% 25.94% 30.76%+0.27 -0.2 42
1996-10-20 @ Brann D 3-378.8 1709 1699 30.76% 25.94% 43.30%-0.27 +0.2 41
1996-10-20 Skeid W 5-041.7 1759 1472 76.19% 14.78% 9.03%+2.06 +6.6 46
1996-10-20 @ Lillestrom L 0-541.7 1472 1759 9.03% 14.78% 76.19%-2.06 -6.6 32
1996-10-20 Kongsvinger D 2-267.7 1440 1606 23.57% 24.61% 51.82%-0.66 +0.7 29
1996-10-20 @ Moss D 2-267.7 1606 1440 51.82% 24.61% 23.57%+0.66 -0.7 34
1996-10-20 Bodo Glimt W 2-050.1 1887 1690 67.95% 18.95% 13.10%+1.52 +4.4 59
1996-10-20 @ Rosenborg L 0-250.1 1690 1887 13.10% 18.95% 67.95%-1.52 -4.3 31
1996-10-20 Stromsgodset L 2-659.5 1556 1496 52.55% 24.44% 23.01%+0.69 -20.4 18
1996-10-20 @ Start W 6-259.5 1496 1556 23.01% 24.44% 52.55%-0.69 +20.4 29
1996-10-20 Stabaek L 2-370.4 1626 1627 44.66% 25.80% 29.54%+0.33 -6.3 28
1996-10-20 @ Valerenga W 3-270.4 1627 1626 29.54% 25.80% 44.66%-0.33 +6.3 36
1996-10-20 Molde W 3-052.0 1712 1654 52.35% 24.49% 23.17%+0.68 +11.4 43
1996-10-20 @ Viking L 0-352.0 1654 1712 23.17% 24.49% 52.35%-0.68 -11.4 33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1996-05-27 11.21% Stromsgodset 1508 1 @ Viking 1744 0
2 1996-05-12 12.00% @ Moss 1407 1 Viking 1737 0
3 1996-09-08 12.71% @ Moss 1432 1 Lillestrom 1748 0
4 1996-05-09 13.23% Stromsgodset 1518 1 @ Tromso 1712 0
5 1996-08-11 13.27% Skeid 1513 4 @ Tromso 1707 2
6 1996-10-13 13.70% @ Kongsvinger 1597 4 Rosenborg 1895 3
7 1996-05-01 13.82% Skeid 1454 1 @ Molde 1638 0
8 1996-08-11 14.36% Stromsgodset 1507 1 @ Molde 1681 0
9 1996-04-21 14.37% Skeid 1449 2 @ Kongsvinger 1623 1
10 1996-07-21 14.70% Skeid 1487 3 @ Bodo Glimt 1655 0
11 1996-05-16 15.46% Skeid 1482 2 @ Brann 1638 1
12 1996-05-05 16.09% @ Skeid 1464 1 Tromso 1722 0
13 1996-06-09 16.77% Skeid 1487 2 @ Start 1624 1
14 1996-08-18 17.59% @ Moss 1422 2 Brann 1658 1
15 1996-08-17 18.51% Bodo Glimt 1643 2 @ Lillestrom 1755 1
16 1996-05-27 18.52% @ Moss 1418 1 Start 1642 0
17 1996-05-19 21.31% @ Start 1634 2 Rosenborg 1824 1
18 1996-05-12 21.59% Molde 1645 3 @ Bodo Glimt 1720 1
19 1996-07-14 21.70% Stabaek 1645 3 @ Viking 1719 2
20 1996-10-13 21.81% Moss 1432 1 @ Stromsgodset 1505 0
21 1996-08-18 22.53% @ Stromsgodset 1516 5 Tromso 1693 2
22 1996-10-20 23.01% Stromsgodset 1496 6 @ Start 1556 2
23 1996-05-19 23.53% Stabaek 1648 1 @ Bodo Glimt 1702 0
24 1996-05-05 23.57% Stabaek 1622 2 @ Start 1675 1
25 1996-06-05 24.27% Brann 1647 3 @ Bodo Glimt 1694 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-10-13 42.31 @ Bodo Glimt 7 1647 30.07% Viking 0 1754 44.06% 25.87%
2 1996-05-05 27.67 Viking 4 1709 24.95% @ Lillestrom 0 1749 50.08% 24.97%
3 1996-07-21 26.18 Skeid 3 1487 14.70% @ Bodo Glimt 0 1655 65.05% 20.25%
4 1996-05-05 21.49 @ Rosenborg 10 1825 66.00% Brann 0 1647 14.17% 19.83%
5 1996-05-16 20.42 @ Stabaek 5 1627 48.66% Kongsvinger 0 1598 26.11% 25.24%
6 1996-10-20 20.36 Stromsgodset 6 1496 23.01% @ Start 2 1556 52.55% 24.44%
7 1996-06-09 19.81 @ Brann 4 1660 41.42% Molde 0 1684 32.50% 26.09%
8 1996-05-12 19.40 @ Lillestrom 3 1733 29.34% Rosenborg 0 1846 44.88% 25.78%
9 1996-07-07 18.06 @ Molde 3 1652 32.93% Viking 0 1737 40.96% 26.11%
10 1996-09-04 17.15 Brann 6 1666 48.14% @ Skeid 1 1529 26.54% 25.32%
11 1996-08-25 16.71 @ Brann 7 1650 54.72% Start 1 1572 21.39% 23.89%
12 1996-06-17 16.41 @ Brann 4 1680 49.01% Stabaek 0 1648 25.82% 25.18%
13 1996-07-07 16.39 @ Stromsgodset 4 1508 29.24% Start 1 1621 44.99% 25.77%
14 1996-05-19 16.31 @ Molde 3 1659 38.01% Tromso 0 1707 35.77% 26.22%
15 1996-08-18 16.25 @ Stromsgodset 5 1516 22.53% Tromso 2 1693 53.18% 24.29%
16 1996-06-09 15.96 @ Viking 4 1721 50.02% Bodo Glimt 0 1681 24.99% 24.99%
17 1996-09-15 15.47 @ Start 5 1543 57.62% Moss 0 1442 19.35% 23.04%
18 1996-04-21 14.96 @ Molde 8 1629 69.19% Moss 0 1420 12.45% 18.37%
19 1996-05-01 14.83 Lillestrom 5 1734 45.92% @ Kongsvinger 1 1614 28.43% 25.65%
20 1996-05-01 14.71 Rosenborg 4 1810 52.78% @ Valerenga 0 1637 22.83% 24.39%
21 1996-05-12 14.53 Brann 2 1624 25.13% @ Start 0 1662 49.85% 25.02%
22 1996-06-30 14.43 @ Stabaek 4 1631 35.62% Brann 1 1696 38.16% 26.22%
23 1996-10-13 14.43 Lillestrom 3 1745 43.57% @ Stabaek 0 1641 30.52% 25.92%
24 1996-08-11 14.38 Skeid 4 1513 13.27% @ Tromso 2 1707 67.63% 19.10%
25 1996-07-07 14.12 Rosenborg 4 1853 54.11% @ Bodo Glimt 0 1670 21.83% 24.05%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-07-21 82.8 @ Stabaek 4 1652 18.99% Rosenborg 4 1870 58.15% 22.86%
2 1996-10-13 80.6 @ Kongsvinger 4 1597 13.70% Rosenborg 3 1895 66.84% 19.46%
3 1996-08-11 80.3 @ Brann 3 1657 18.67% Rosenborg 3 1879 58.62% 22.71%
4 1996-07-14 80.2 @ Lillestrom 3 1758 71.50% Stromsgodset 3 1524 11.27% 17.23%
5 1996-04-21 79.3 @ Bodo Glimt 3 1738 52.11% Start 3 1681 23.35% 24.54%
6 1996-04-28 79.3 @ Lillestrom 3 1735 56.11% Brann 3 1646 20.39% 23.50%
7 1996-10-20 78.8 @ Brann 3 1699 43.30% Tromso 3 1709 30.76% 25.94%
8 1996-10-13 78.3 @ Molde 3 1654 38.45% Brann 3 1699 35.34% 26.21%
9 1996-05-27 78.1 @ Stabaek 3 1656 41.98% Molde 3 1676 31.97% 26.05%
10 1996-06-17 75.6 Kongsvinger 5 1583 25.80% @ Start 4 1615 49.02% 25.17%
11 1996-08-11 75.0 @ Viking 2 1723 40.32% Lillestrom 2 1755 33.53% 26.15%
12 1996-06-30 74.8 @ Tromso 2 1701 39.83% Viking 2 1737 34.00% 26.17%
13 1996-04-14 74.7 @ Viking 2 1706 44.74% Tromso 2 1706 29.47% 25.80%
14 1996-08-28 74.6 @ Brann 2 1666 34.74% Lillestrom 2 1737 39.07% 26.20%
15 1996-07-14 74.1 Stabaek 3 1645 21.70% @ Viking 2 1719 54.30% 24.00%
16 1996-07-14 73.9 @ Brann 2 1670 50.78% Valerenga 2 1624 24.38% 24.83%
17 1996-06-09 73.8 @ Valerenga 2 1616 32.80% Tromso 2 1702 41.09% 26.11%
18 1996-05-12 73.7 @ Kongsvinger 2 1598 30.28% Tromso 2 1703 43.83% 25.89%
19 1996-09-15 73.5 @ Kongsvinger 2 1600 32.15% Brann 2 1690 41.79% 26.06%
20 1996-07-21 73.1 @ Tromso 2 1696 74.38% Moss 2 1431 9.87% 15.75%
21 1996-07-14 73.0 @ Start 2 1605 37.66% Bodo Glimt 2 1655 36.12% 26.22%
22 1996-08-11 72.3 Skeid 4 1513 13.27% @ Tromso 2 1707 67.63% 19.10%
23 1996-05-01 71.0 @ Bodo Glimt 1 1741 69.87% Stromsgodset 1 1525 12.09% 18.04%
24 1996-09-04 71.0 @ Stromsgodset 2 1520 28.46% Valerenga 2 1641 45.88% 25.66%
25 1996-05-09 70.8 @ Viking 1 1737 29.69% Rosenborg 1 1847 44.49% 25.82%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-04-21 39.7 @ Molde 8 1629 69.19% Moss 0 1420 12.45% 18.37%
2 1996-09-15 39.7 @ Start 5 1543 57.62% Moss 0 1442 19.35% 23.04%
3 1996-09-29 41.6 @ Rosenborg 5 1891 83.28% Stromsgodset 0 1509 5.95% 10.77%
4 1996-10-20 41.7 @ Lillestrom 5 1759 76.19% Skeid 0 1472 9.03% 14.78%
5 1996-05-19 42.5 @ Lillestrom 2 1752 79.77% Moss 0 1420 7.44% 12.79%
6 1996-09-08 44.4 @ Viking 7 1733 70.29% Skeid 0 1512 11.88% 17.83%
7 1996-08-11 44.9 @ Valerenga 4 1616 67.08% Moss 1 1427 13.57% 19.35%
8 1996-05-27 45.2 @ Rosenborg 6 1816 79.43% Skeid 1 1488 7.58% 12.98%
9 1996-08-25 45.3 @ Viking 1 1720 76.44% Moss 0 1430 8.92% 14.64%
10 1996-08-04 45.6 @ Rosenborg 6 1869 72.43% Valerenga 0 1625 10.81% 16.76%
11 1996-06-30 45.8 @ Bodo Glimt 4 1665 71.01% Moss 1 1436 11.52% 17.48%
12 1996-08-25 45.9 @ Stabaek 4 1645 58.89% Stromsgodset 0 1532 18.50% 22.62%
13 1996-06-09 46.5 @ Rosenborg 3 1823 71.52% Kongsvinger 0 1588 11.26% 17.22%
14 1996-04-28 46.9 Tromso 1 1706 67.23% @ Moss 0 1405 13.49% 19.28%
15 1996-05-16 47.0 @ Valerenga 3 1620 56.51% Stromsgodset 0 1528 20.11% 23.38%
16 1996-07-21 47.1 @ Kongsvinger 3 1579 51.82% Stromsgodset 0 1526 23.57% 24.61%
17 1996-09-14 47.2 Rosenborg 2 1888 75.32% @ Skeid 0 1500 9.43% 15.25%
18 1996-08-25 47.6 @ Valerenga 3 1630 56.39% Skeid 0 1539 20.19% 23.41%
19 1996-04-14 47.9 Bodo Glimt 1 1735 68.41% @ Moss 0 1422 12.86% 18.74%
20 1996-06-05 48.4 @ Skeid 2 1484 52.20% Moss 1 1427 23.28% 24.52%
21 1996-07-07 48.8 @ Kongsvinger 2 1577 62.56% Moss 1 1432 16.17% 21.27%
22 1996-09-29 48.8 @ Moss 1 1426 36.72% Skeid 0 1483 37.05% 26.23%
23 1996-05-05 49.0 @ Rosenborg 10 1825 66.00% Brann 0 1647 14.17% 19.83%
24 1996-06-30 49.4 @ Stromsgodset 1 1503 45.65% Skeid 0 1496 28.66% 25.69%
25 1996-05-16 49.8 @ Stabaek 5 1627 48.66% Kongsvinger 0 1598 26.11% 25.24%