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2003 Tippeligaen Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

61 points · 18th Title

Last Title: 2002

Relegated

Bryne

22 pts

Aalesund · 28 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Rosenborg

10.20 points above expected

61 points · 50.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bryne

10.36 points below expected

22 points · 32.36 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rosenborg Champion 26 19 4 3 61 68 28 +40 50.80 +10.20
2 Bodo Glimt 26 14 5 7 47 45 30 +15 36.97 +10.03
3 Stabaek 26 11 9 6 42 51 35 +16 40.13 +1.87
4 Odd Grenland 26 11 5 10 38 46 43 +3 37.58 +0.42
5 Viking 26 9 10 7 37 46 34 +12 41.09 -4.09
6 Brann 26 10 7 9 37 45 47 -2 30.30 +6.70
7 Lillestrom 26 10 7 9 37 33 35 -2 38.43 -1.43
8 Sogndal 26 9 8 9 35 43 46 -3 35.10 -0.10
9 Molde 26 9 4 13 31 32 41 -9 37.72 -6.72
10 Lyn Oslo 26 8 6 12 30 34 45 -11 32.65 -2.65
11 Tromso 26 8 5 13 29 30 52 -22 28.92 +0.08
12 Valerenga 26 6 10 10 28 30 33 -3 35.47 -7.47
13 Aalesund Relegated 26 7 7 12 28 30 43 -13 24.52 +3.48
14 Bryne Relegated 26 7 1 18 22 35 56 -21 32.36 -10.36

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rosenborg 61 50.80 +10.20
2 Bodo Glimt 47 36.97 +10.03
3 Brann 37 30.30 +6.70
4 Aalesund 28 24.52 +3.48
5 Stabaek 42 40.13 +1.87

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bryne 22 32.36 -10.36
2 Valerenga 28 35.47 -7.47
3 Molde 31 37.72 -6.72
4 Viking 37 41.09 -4.09
5 Lyn Oslo 30 32.65 -2.65

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rosenborg 7 Apr 12 – May 25 1 in 133
2 Bodo Glimt 4 Jul 31 – Aug 24 1 in 67
3 Tromso 3 Aug 24 – Sep 14 1 in 65
4 Aalesund 2 Sep 28 – Oct 5 1 in 22
5 Sogndal 3 Apr 13 – Apr 26 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bryne 10 Aug 16 – Nov 1 1 in 2,724
2 Lyn Oslo 7 Jul 20 – Aug 31 1 in 498
3 Viking 3 Sep 29 – Oct 19 1 in 41
4 Tromso 4 May 25 – Jun 15 1 in 19
5 Lillestrom 3 Apr 21 – May 4 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brann 7 Jul 21 – Aug 31 1 in 126
2 Lyn Oslo 6 Sep 14 – Oct 26 1 in 48
3 Tromso 5 Aug 24 – Sep 28 1 in 31
4 Rosenborg 12 Apr 12 – Jun 29 1 in 30
5 Lillestrom 7 May 12 – Jun 22 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lyn Oslo 10 Jun 22 – Sep 14 1 in 72
2 Sogndal 8 Aug 10 – Oct 5 1 in 48
3 Tromso 10 Apr 21 – Jun 22 1 in 38
4 Lillestrom 7 May 16 – Jun 29 1 in 35
5 Bryne 10 Aug 16 – Nov 1 1 in 34

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rosenborg 1784 61 -30 9 10.7 -1.7
Bodo Glimt 1660 47 +9 9 6.8 +2.2
Stabaek 1702 42 +47 10 7.5 +2.5
Odd Grenland 1629 38 -19 5 7.7 -2.7
Brann 1595 37 +11 12 7.1 +4.9
Lillestrom 1644 37 +26 9 7.1 +1.9
Viking 1674 37 -5 6 7.6 -1.6
Sogndal 1568 35 -18 4 6.5 -2.5
Molde 1609 31 -12 4 6.3 -2.3
Lyn Oslo 1564 30 +13 10 6.0 +4.0
Tromso 1526 29 -11 6 5.4 +0.6
Aalesund 1522 28 +29 10 5.2 +4.8
Valerenga 1588 28 +1 7 7.4 -0.4
Bryne 1508 22 -40 0 5.4 -5.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL BG BRA BRY LIL LO MOL OG ROS SOG STA TRO VAL VIK
Aalesund —
1-0-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
1.86
1-0-1
2.10
1-1-0
1.93
0-1-1
1.84
0-0-2
1.15
1-1-0
1.93
0-1-1
1.56
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.04
0-1-1
1.55
Bodo Glimt
1-0-1
3.70
—
2-0-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-2
2.62
2-0-0
2.76
2-0-0
2.39
2-0-0
2.75
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.47
0-1-1
3.43
0-2-0
3.02
1-1-0
2.42
Brann
1-1-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.35
—
1-1-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.29
2-0-0
2.11
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.01
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
2.42
0-1-1
1.95
Bryne
1-0-1
3.10
0-0-2
2.42
0-1-1
2.87
—
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
3.01
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.21
Lillestrom
0-1-1
3.67
2-0-0
2.89
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
3.09
—
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
3.51
0-2-0
2.99
1-1-0
2.31
Lyn Oslo
1-0-1
3.42
0-0-2
2.73
0-1-1
3.09
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.57
—
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.56
0-0-2
1.78
2-0-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.15
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
2.58
0-2-0
2.10
Molde
0-1-1
3.61
0-0-2
3.11
1-0-1
3.23
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.15
—
0-0-2
2.96
0-0-2
1.64
2-0-0
2.93
0-2-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.37
Odd Grenland
1-1-0
3.70
0-0-2
2.75
0-0-2
3.40
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
2.53
—
0-0-2
1.82
0-1-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
2.99
1-1-0
2.41
Rosenborg
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.88
2-0-0
4.29
1-1-0
3.79
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.72
—
1-1-0
3.93
0-1-1
3.69
0-0-2
4.48
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.28
Sogndal
0-1-1
3.60
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
2.56
1-1-0
2.33
0-1-1
1.62
—
2-0-0
2.28
1-1-0
3.21
0-2-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.11
Stabaek
1-1-0
4.01
0-1-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.28
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
3.35
0-2-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
1.85
0-0-2
3.22
—
1-1-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.90
Tromso
1-0-1
3.15
1-1-0
2.10
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
2.20
2-0-0
1.16
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.96
—
0-1-1
2.15
0-1-1
1.98
Valerenga
2-0-0
3.48
0-2-0
2.48
0-0-2
3.09
2-0-0
2.88
0-2-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-2
1.83
0-2-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.28
1-1-0
3.35
—
0-1-1
2.27
Viking
1-1-0
4.02
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.57
1-0-1
3.29
0-1-1
3.19
0-2-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.14
0-1-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.23
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +8.0
Allowed 0.51 -8.3
Differential 0.89 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%5.77%7.97%5.49%1.65%1.65%26.37%
15.77%10.99%4.12%4.40%1.10%1.37%27.75%
27.97%4.12%5.49%3.30%0.55%—21.43%
35.49%4.40%3.30%3.85%0.27%—17.31%
41.65%1.10%0.55%0.27%—0.27%3.85%
5+1.65%1.37%——0.27%—3.30%
Total26.37%27.75%21.43%17.31%3.85%3.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.56 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 2.15
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%—30.77%
13.85%19.23%3.85%7.69%——34.62%
211.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%26.92%26.92%23.08%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.65 -0.50
SD 1.01 1.16 1.77
CV 0.87 0.70 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
13.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
219.23%7.69%————26.92%
37.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
4——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
5+———————
Total38.46%26.92%23.08%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.15 +0.58
SD 1.28 1.26 1.63
CV 0.74 1.09 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%11.54%—3.85%34.62%
13.85%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%15.38%
23.85%—3.85%———7.69%
311.54%7.69%3.85%11.54%——34.62%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%23.08%15.38%26.92%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.81 -0.08
SD 1.64 1.70 2.65
CV 0.95 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%19.23%11.54%7.69%—42.31%
13.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
23.85%——7.69%3.85%—15.38%
33.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total15.38%15.38%26.92%23.08%19.23%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 2.15 -0.81
SD 1.57 1.35 2.40
CV 1.17 0.63 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%—3.85%7.69%30.77%
17.69%19.23%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
27.69%—————7.69%
311.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total38.46%26.92%19.23%3.85%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.35 -0.08
SD 1.22 1.62 2.45
CV 0.96 1.21 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—19.23%7.69%3.85%—34.62%
17.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
23.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%——26.92%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%23.08%30.77%19.23%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.73 -0.42
SD 1.29 1.22 1.98
CV 0.99 0.70 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%15.38%7.69%—3.85%42.31%
13.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
23.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
33.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%30.77%30.77%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.58 -0.35
SD 1.27 1.21 2.00
CV 1.04 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—7.69%—3.85%15.38%
111.54%11.54%—7.69%3.85%—34.62%
27.69%—3.85%7.69%3.85%—23.08%
37.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
4———————
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total34.62%19.23%7.69%26.92%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.65 +0.12
SD 1.37 1.57 2.45
CV 0.77 0.95 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
111.54%7.69%3.85%——3.85%26.92%
215.38%—7.69%———23.08%
37.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
4—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
5+7.69%3.85%——3.85%—15.38%
Total42.31%30.77%19.23%—3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.62 1.08 +1.54
SD 1.65 1.41 2.20
CV 0.63 1.31 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%——11.54%——15.38%
13.85%15.38%7.69%7.69%—3.85%38.46%
23.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total19.23%30.77%15.38%30.77%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.77 -0.12
SD 1.26 1.42 2.16
CV 0.76 0.80 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—3.85%———11.54%
17.69%11.54%3.85%11.54%——34.62%
27.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%——26.92%
3—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total26.92%30.77%23.08%19.23%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.35 +0.62
SD 1.56 1.09 1.98
CV 0.80 0.81 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
111.54%7.69%3.85%7.69%—7.69%38.46%
27.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%26.92%19.23%19.23%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 2.00 -0.85
SD 0.92 1.67 2.03
CV 0.80 0.84 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
1—15.38%—7.69%——23.08%
27.69%—7.69%———15.38%
37.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%38.46%15.38%19.23%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.27 -0.12
SD 1.26 1.08 1.56
CV 1.09 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
1—15.38%7.69%—3.85%—26.92%
27.69%7.69%15.38%———30.77%
37.69%3.85%—7.69%——19.23%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%38.46%26.92%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.31 +0.46
SD 1.18 1.05 1.75
CV 0.67 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rosenborg 1784 61 50.80 +10.20 96.0% 35 41 47 50 55 60 65
Stabaek 1702 42 40.13 +1.87 62.0% 15 28 36 40 44 52 55
Viking 1674 37 41.09 -4.09 29.0% 29 31 37 41 45 49 56
Bodo Glimt 1660 47 36.97 +10.03 94.0% 22 27 32 37 41 48 53
Lillestrom 1644 37 38.43 -1.43 46.0% 22 29 33 38 43 48 59
Odd Grenland 1629 38 37.58 +0.42 59.0% 21 25 34 37 42 49 55
Molde 1609 31 37.72 -6.72 24.0% 21 26 32 38 42 50 55
Brann 1595 37 30.30 +6.70 92.0% 17 20 26 30 34 40 44
Valerenga 1588 28 35.47 -7.47 14.0% 19 25 31 36 40 45 49
Sogndal 1568 35 35.10 -0.10 55.0% 18 25 30 35 39 46 49
Lyn Oslo 1564 30 32.65 -2.65 36.0% 17 23 28 33 37 42 51
Tromso 1526 29 28.92 +0.08 53.0% 9 18 23 29 35 41 46
Aalesund 1522 28 24.52 +3.48 72.0% 9 15 20 24 29 34 42
Bryne 1508 22 32.36 -10.36 6.0% 17 22 28 33 37 42 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.48%
Slight Edge
46.15%24.18%29.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
150 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
057.80400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.39+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
69%
Rosenborg, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.54/gm
Runaway
00.220.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.2 * Some Luck: 5.2 to 7.79 * Lucky: 7.79 to 10.39 * Wild Swing: 10.39 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.07 * Close: 2.07 to 3.11 * Off: 3.11 to 4.14 * Way Off: 4.14 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.94 * A Surprise: 0.94 to 1.5 * Several Surprises: 1.5 to 2.07 * Many Surprises: 2.07 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.97 points
Some Luck
06.4916
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.43
Close
02.596
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.00%
Rosenborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
6.00%
Bryne
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 76.66
1.44
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Clear Edge
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Few
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.90
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.53
Strong Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.97
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.033
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Rosenborg69.00%17.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%———————
Bodo Glimt3.00%7.00%10.00%17.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%
Stabaek7.00%14.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%—1.00%
Odd Grenland2.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%
Viking6.00%18.00%17.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%——
Brann—1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%17.00%8.00%12.00%17.00%18.00%6.00%
Lillestrom4.00%10.00%8.00%13.00%13.00%9.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%—
Sogndal1.00%6.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%12.00%16.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%2.00%4.00%
Molde3.00%8.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%
Lyn Oslo2.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%16.00%7.00%8.00%15.00%10.00%13.00%9.00%4.00%
Tromso—1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%18.00%23.00%
Valerenga3.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%
Aalesund————1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%25.00%40.00%
Bryne—3.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%18.00%8.00%8.00%14.00%4.00%10.00%13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Rosenborg 100% — —
Viking 98.00% 2.00% —
Stabaek 95.00% 4.00% 1.00%
Lillestrom 95.00% 2.00% 3.00%
Bodo Glimt 89.00% 7.00% 4.00%
Odd Grenland 90.00% 5.00% 5.00%
Sogndal 83.00% 11.00% 6.00%
Valerenga 86.00% 8.00% 6.00%
Molde 85.00% 6.00% 9.00%
Lyn Oslo 74.00% 13.00% 13.00%
Bryne 73.00% 4.00% 23.00%
Brann 59.00% 17.00% 24.00%
Tromso 48.00% 11.00% 41.00%
Aalesund 25.00% 10.00% 65.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2003-04-12 Valerenga W 1-054.2 1688 1609 55.44% 23.25% 21.31%+0.91 +3.7 3
2003-04-12 @ Rosenborg L 0-154.2 1609 1688 21.31% 23.25% 55.44%-0.91 -3.7 0
2003-04-13 Bodo Glimt W 1-054.3 1651 1595 52.64% 23.95% 23.41%+0.76 +4.0 3
2003-04-13 @ Lillestrom L 0-154.3 1595 1651 23.41% 23.95% 52.64%-0.76 -4.0 0
2003-04-13 Bryne W 3-049.1 1649 1591 52.93% 23.88% 23.19%+0.77 +10.9 3
2003-04-13 @ Viking L 0-349.1 1591 1649 23.19% 23.88% 52.93%-0.77 -10.9 0
2003-04-13 Molde W 1-058.9 1624 1666 39.32% 25.61% 35.07%+0.10 +5.6 3
2003-04-13 @ Odd Grenland L 0-158.9 1666 1624 35.07% 25.61% 39.32%-0.10 -5.6 0
2003-04-13 Stabaek W 2-164.0 1574 1644 35.44% 25.62% 38.94%-0.08 +5.7 3
2003-04-13 @ Sogndal L 1-264.0 1644 1574 38.94% 25.62% 35.44%+0.08 -5.7 0
2003-04-13 Tromso L 2-365.3 1515 1573 37.10% 25.64% 37.26%+0.00 -5.2 0
2003-04-13 @ Aalesund W 3-265.3 1573 1515 37.26% 25.64% 37.10%+0.00 +5.2 3
2003-04-14 Brann D 0-064.6 1619 1577 50.87% 24.32% 24.81%+0.66 -0.9 1
2003-04-14 @ Lyn Oslo D 0-064.6 1577 1619 24.81% 24.32% 50.87%-0.66 +0.9 1
2003-04-21 Aalesund W 3-152.3 1606 1510 57.50% 22.66% 19.84%+1.02 +5.6 3
2003-04-21 @ Valerenga L 1-352.3 1510 1606 19.84% 22.66% 57.50%-1.02 -5.6 0
2003-04-21 Lillestrom W 4-051.6 1661 1655 46.07% 25.10% 28.83%+0.42 +17.2 3
2003-04-21 @ Molde L 0-451.6 1655 1661 28.83% 25.10% 46.07%-0.42 -17.1 3
2003-04-21 Lyn Oslo W 3-267.4 1591 1618 41.62% 25.51% 32.87%+0.21 +4.8 3
2003-04-21 @ Bodo Glimt L 2-367.4 1618 1591 32.87% 25.51% 41.62%-0.21 -4.8 1
2003-04-21 Odd Grenland W 4-156.9 1638 1629 46.51% 25.04% 28.45%+0.44 +10.9 3
2003-04-21 @ Stabaek L 1-456.9 1629 1638 28.45% 25.04% 46.51%-0.44 -10.9 3
2003-04-21 Sogndal L 0-159.3 1580 1579 45.36% 25.18% 29.46%+0.39 -6.8 0
2003-04-21 @ Bryne W 1-059.3 1579 1580 29.46% 25.18% 45.36%-0.39 +6.8 6
2003-04-21 Viking D 2-274.8 1578 1660 33.89% 25.56% 40.55%-0.16 +0.1 4
2003-04-21 @ Tromso D 2-274.8 1660 1578 40.55% 25.56% 33.89%+0.16 -0.2 4
2003-04-22 Rosenborg L 1-654.7 1578 1692 29.72% 25.21% 45.06%-0.37 -17.9 1
2003-04-22 @ Brann W 6-154.7 1692 1578 45.06% 25.21% 29.72%+0.37 +17.9 6
2003-04-26 Brann D 3-374.4 1504 1560 37.47% 25.64% 36.89%+0.01 -0.0 1
2003-04-26 @ Aalesund D 3-374.4 1560 1504 36.89% 25.64% 37.47%-0.01 +0.0 2
2003-04-26 Bryne W 3-264.1 1618 1573 51.28% 24.24% 24.48%+0.69 +3.7 6
2003-04-26 @ Odd Grenland L 2-364.1 1573 1618 24.48% 24.24% 51.28%-0.69 -3.7 0
2003-04-26 Molde W 2-057.4 1596 1678 33.81% 25.56% 40.63%-0.16 +11.8 6
2003-04-26 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-257.4 1678 1596 40.63% 25.56% 33.81%+0.16 -11.8 3
2003-04-26 Stabaek L 0-258.5 1638 1649 43.80% 25.34% 30.86%+0.31 -12.5 3
2003-04-26 @ Lillestrom W 2-058.5 1649 1638 30.86% 25.34% 43.80%-0.31 +12.5 6
2003-04-26 Tromso W 3-157.1 1586 1579 46.35% 25.06% 28.59%+0.44 +7.8 9
2003-04-26 @ Sogndal L 1-357.1 1579 1586 28.59% 25.06% 46.35%-0.44 -7.8 4
2003-04-26 Valerenga W 2-052.0 1660 1611 51.70% 24.15% 24.15%+0.71 +7.8 7
2003-04-26 @ Viking L 0-252.0 1611 1660 24.15% 24.15% 51.70%-0.71 -7.8 3
2003-04-27 Rosenborg L 0-353.4 1613 1709 31.90% 25.44% 42.66%-0.26 -14.2 1
2003-04-27 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-053.4 1709 1613 42.66% 25.44% 31.90%+0.26 +14.2 9
2003-05-04 Aalesund W 1-048.5 1724 1504 70.62% 17.43% 11.95%+1.85 +2.0 12
2003-05-04 @ Rosenborg L 0-148.5 1504 1724 11.95% 17.43% 70.62%-1.85 -2.0 1
2003-05-04 Bodo Glimt D 0-066.1 1662 1608 52.36% 24.01% 23.63%+0.74 -1.0 7
2003-05-04 @ Stabaek D 0-066.1 1608 1662 23.63% 24.01% 52.36%-0.74 +1.0 7
2003-05-04 Lillestrom W 3-160.5 1569 1626 37.40% 25.64% 36.96%+0.01 +9.5 3
2003-05-04 @ Bryne L 1-360.5 1626 1569 36.96% 25.64% 37.40%-0.01 -9.5 3
2003-05-04 Lyn Oslo D 2-275.9 1666 1599 54.06% 23.61% 22.33%+0.83 -0.8 4
2003-05-04 @ Molde D 2-275.9 1599 1666 22.33% 23.61% 54.06%-0.83 +0.8 2
2003-05-04 Odd Grenland L 0-255.2 1571 1622 38.14% 25.63% 36.23%+0.04 -11.2 4
2003-05-04 @ Tromso W 2-055.2 1622 1571 36.23% 25.63% 38.14%-0.04 +11.2 9
2003-05-04 Sogndal D 3-378.5 1603 1594 46.58% 25.03% 28.39%+0.45 -0.4 4
2003-05-04 @ Valerenga D 3-378.5 1594 1603 28.39% 25.03% 46.58%-0.45 +0.3 10
2003-05-05 Viking L 0-351.5 1560 1667 30.49% 25.30% 44.21%-0.33 -13.7 2
2003-05-05 @ Brann W 3-051.5 1667 1560 44.21% 25.30% 30.49%+0.33 +13.7 10
2003-05-10 Rosenborg L 0-258.3 1681 1726 39.08% 25.62% 35.31%+0.09 -11.4 10
2003-05-10 @ Viking W 2-058.3 1726 1681 35.31% 25.62% 39.08%-0.09 +11.5 15
2003-05-11 Aalesund W 2-154.3 1600 1502 57.69% 22.60% 19.71%+1.04 +3.2 5
2003-05-11 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-254.3 1502 1600 19.71% 22.60% 57.69%-1.04 -3.2 1
2003-05-11 Brann W 2-049.2 1594 1546 51.67% 24.16% 24.17%+0.71 +7.8 13
2003-05-11 @ Sogndal L 0-249.2 1546 1594 24.17% 24.16% 51.67%-0.71 -7.8 2
2003-05-11 Bryne W 3-156.8 1609 1579 49.32% 24.61% 26.07%+0.59 +7.2 10
2003-05-11 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-356.8 1579 1609 26.07% 24.61% 49.32%-0.59 -7.2 3
2003-05-11 Stabaek D 0-066.5 1665 1660 45.98% 25.11% 28.92%+0.42 -0.6 5
2003-05-11 @ Molde D 0-066.5 1660 1665 28.92% 25.11% 45.98%-0.42 +0.6 8
2003-05-11 Valerenga W 3-157.8 1633 1603 49.34% 24.61% 26.06%+0.59 +7.2 12
2003-05-11 @ Odd Grenland L 1-357.8 1603 1633 26.06% 24.61% 49.34%-0.59 -7.2 4
2003-05-12 Tromso W 3-263.3 1616 1560 52.70% 23.93% 23.36%+0.76 +3.6 6
2003-05-12 @ Lillestrom L 2-363.3 1560 1616 23.36% 23.93% 52.70%-0.76 -3.6 4
2003-05-16 Bodo Glimt D 3-377.7 1556 1616 36.86% 25.64% 37.50%-0.01 +0.0 5
2003-05-16 @ Tromso D 3-377.7 1616 1556 37.50% 25.64% 36.86%+0.01 -0.0 11
2003-05-16 Lillestrom D 1-168.7 1596 1620 42.02% 25.48% 32.50%+0.23 -0.3 5
2003-05-16 @ Valerenga D 1-168.7 1620 1596 32.50% 25.48% 42.02%-0.23 +0.3 7
2003-05-16 Lyn Oslo L 1-366.1 1661 1603 52.93% 23.88% 23.19%+0.77 -12.6 8
2003-05-16 @ Stabaek W 3-166.1 1603 1661 23.19% 23.88% 52.93%-0.77 +12.6 8
2003-05-16 Molde W 3-055.2 1572 1665 32.32% 25.47% 42.22%-0.24 +17.6 6
2003-05-16 @ Bryne L 0-355.2 1665 1572 42.22% 25.47% 32.32%+0.24 -17.6 5
2003-05-16 Odd Grenland W 3-054.3 1538 1640 31.18% 25.37% 43.45%-0.29 +18.0 5
2003-05-16 @ Brann L 0-354.3 1640 1538 43.45% 25.37% 31.18%+0.29 -18.0 12
2003-05-16 Sogndal W 3-155.5 1737 1602 61.95% 21.15% 16.90%+1.29 +4.7 18
2003-05-16 @ Rosenborg L 1-355.5 1602 1737 16.90% 21.15% 61.95%-1.29 -4.7 13
2003-05-16 Viking D 1-168.1 1499 1670 23.48% 23.97% 52.55%-0.75 +1.0 2
2003-05-16 @ Aalesund D 1-168.1 1670 1499 52.55% 23.97% 23.48%+0.75 -1.0 11
2003-05-25 Aalesund D 1-166.4 1597 1500 57.70% 22.60% 19.71%+1.04 -1.3 14
2003-05-25 @ Sogndal D 1-166.4 1500 1597 19.71% 22.60% 57.70%-1.04 +1.3 3
2003-05-25 Brann D 0-064.3 1620 1556 53.59% 23.72% 22.69%+0.81 -1.1 8
2003-05-25 @ Lillestrom D 0-064.3 1556 1620 22.69% 23.72% 53.59%-0.81 +1.1 6
2003-05-25 Rosenborg L 2-368.3 1622 1742 29.03% 25.12% 45.84%-0.41 -4.3 12
2003-05-25 @ Odd Grenland W 3-268.3 1742 1622 45.84% 25.12% 29.03%+0.41 +4.3 21
2003-05-25 Tromso W 2-157.3 1647 1556 56.93% 22.83% 20.24%+0.99 +3.3 8
2003-05-25 @ Molde L 1-257.3 1556 1647 20.24% 22.83% 56.93%-0.99 -3.3 5
2003-05-25 Valerenga D 0-064.8 1616 1596 48.06% 24.82% 27.12%+0.52 -0.8 12
2003-05-25 @ Bodo Glimt D 0-064.8 1596 1616 27.12% 24.82% 48.06%-0.52 +0.7 6
2003-05-25 Viking D 3-379.9 1615 1669 37.83% 25.64% 36.53%+0.03 -0.0 9
2003-05-25 @ Lyn Oslo D 3-379.9 1669 1615 36.53% 25.64% 37.83%-0.03 +0.0 12
2003-05-26 Bryne W 2-159.2 1648 1589 53.05% 23.85% 23.10%+0.78 +3.7 11
2003-05-26 @ Stabaek L 1-259.2 1589 1648 23.10% 23.85% 53.05%-0.78 -3.7 6
2003-05-28 Lillestrom D 1-172.0 1746 1619 61.10% 21.46% 17.43%+1.23 -1.5 22
2003-05-28 @ Rosenborg D 1-172.0 1619 1746 17.43% 21.46% 61.10%-1.23 +1.5 9
2003-05-28 Sogndal W 2-159.1 1669 1596 54.70% 23.44% 21.85%+0.87 +3.5 15
2003-05-28 @ Viking L 1-259.1 1596 1669 21.85% 23.44% 54.70%-0.87 -3.5 14
2003-05-29 Bodo Glimt L 0-254.4 1557 1615 37.19% 25.64% 37.18%+0.00 -11.0 6
2003-05-29 @ Brann W 2-054.4 1615 1557 37.18% 25.64% 37.19%+0.00 +11.0 15
2003-05-29 Lyn Oslo W 4-051.2 1585 1615 41.16% 25.53% 33.31%+0.19 +19.2 9
2003-05-29 @ Bryne L 0-451.2 1615 1585 33.31% 25.53% 41.16%-0.19 -19.2 9
2003-05-29 Molde W 2-055.8 1596 1650 37.70% 25.64% 36.66%+0.02 +10.9 9
2003-05-29 @ Valerenga L 0-255.8 1650 1596 36.66% 25.64% 37.70%-0.02 -10.9 8
2003-05-29 Odd Grenland D 2-272.0 1501 1618 29.34% 25.17% 45.49%-0.39 +0.4 4
2003-05-29 @ Aalesund D 2-272.0 1618 1501 45.49% 25.17% 29.34%+0.39 -0.4 13
2003-05-29 Stabaek L 1-359.1 1553 1652 31.51% 25.40% 43.08%-0.28 -8.4 5
2003-05-29 @ Tromso W 3-159.1 1652 1553 43.08% 25.40% 31.51%+0.28 +8.4 14
2003-06-01 Aalesund D 1-167.4 1620 1501 60.14% 21.80% 18.06%+1.18 -1.4 10
2003-06-01 @ Lillestrom D 1-167.4 1501 1620 18.06% 21.80% 60.14%-1.18 +1.4 5
2003-06-01 Rosenborg L 0-353.0 1626 1745 29.17% 25.14% 45.69%-0.40 -13.2 15
2003-06-01 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-053.0 1745 1626 45.69% 25.14% 29.17%+0.40 +13.2 25
2003-06-01 Sogndal W 3-050.2 1596 1593 45.79% 25.13% 29.08%+0.41 +13.2 12
2003-06-01 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-350.2 1593 1596 29.08% 25.13% 45.79%-0.41 -13.2 14
2003-06-01 Tromso W 6-149.7 1605 1544 53.20% 23.82% 22.98%+0.79 +14.4 12
2003-06-01 @ Bryne L 1-649.7 1544 1605 22.98% 23.82% 53.20%-0.79 -14.4 5
2003-06-01 Valerenga W 1-054.7 1661 1607 52.32% 24.02% 23.66%+0.74 +4.0 17
2003-06-01 @ Stabaek L 0-154.7 1607 1661 23.66% 24.02% 52.32%-0.74 -4.0 9
2003-06-01 Viking D 1-169.9 1618 1672 37.63% 25.64% 36.73%+0.02 -0.0 14
2003-06-01 @ Odd Grenland D 1-169.9 1672 1618 36.73% 25.64% 37.63%-0.02 +0.0 16
2003-06-02 Brann W 3-046.7 1640 1546 57.16% 22.76% 20.08%+1.01 +9.5 11
2003-06-02 @ Molde L 0-346.7 1546 1640 20.08% 22.76% 57.16%-1.01 -9.5 6
2003-06-14 Molde W 5-048.9 1758 1649 59.01% 22.18% 18.81%+1.11 +14.3 28
2003-06-14 @ Rosenborg L 0-548.9 1649 1758 18.81% 22.18% 59.01%-1.11 -14.3 11
2003-06-15 Bodo Glimt L 0-250.6 1503 1613 30.17% 25.27% 44.57%-0.35 -9.4 5
2003-06-15 @ Aalesund W 2-050.6 1613 1503 44.57% 25.27% 30.17%+0.35 +9.4 18
2003-06-15 Lillestrom D 1-170.4 1672 1619 52.33% 24.02% 23.66%+0.74 -0.9 17
2003-06-15 @ Viking D 1-170.4 1619 1672 23.66% 24.02% 52.33%-0.74 +0.9 11
2003-06-15 Lyn Oslo L 0-155.5 1530 1609 34.15% 25.58% 40.27%-0.14 -5.5 5
2003-06-15 @ Tromso W 1-055.5 1609 1530 40.27% 25.58% 34.15%+0.14 +5.5 15
2003-06-15 Odd Grenland W 5-051.8 1579 1618 39.98% 25.59% 34.44%+0.13 +24.3 17
2003-06-15 @ Sogndal L 0-551.8 1618 1579 34.44% 25.59% 39.98%-0.13 -24.3 14
2003-06-15 Stabaek D 3-378.6 1537 1665 28.08% 24.98% 46.93%-0.47 +0.4 7
2003-06-15 @ Brann D 3-378.6 1665 1537 46.93% 24.98% 28.08%+0.47 -0.4 18
2003-06-16 Bryne W 3-051.7 1603 1619 43.11% 25.40% 31.49%+0.28 +14.1 12
2003-06-16 @ Valerenga L 0-351.7 1619 1603 31.49% 25.40% 43.11%-0.28 -14.1 12
2003-06-22 Aalesund L 2-372.8 1635 1493 62.63% 20.90% 16.47%+1.33 -7.9 11
2003-06-22 @ Molde W 3-272.8 1493 1635 16.47% 20.90% 62.63%-1.33 +7.9 8
2003-06-22 Odd Grenland L 0-258.3 1615 1593 48.21% 24.80% 27.00%+0.53 -13.5 15
2003-06-22 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-058.3 1593 1615 27.00% 24.80% 48.21%-0.53 +13.5 17
2003-06-22 Rosenborg D 2-277.1 1664 1772 30.44% 25.30% 44.26%-0.33 +0.3 19
2003-06-22 @ Stabaek D 2-277.1 1772 1664 44.26% 25.30% 30.44%+0.33 -0.3 29
2003-06-22 Sogndal D 1-169.1 1620 1604 47.47% 24.91% 27.62%+0.49 -0.6 12
2003-06-22 @ Lillestrom D 1-169.1 1604 1620 27.62% 24.91% 47.47%-0.49 +0.6 18
2003-06-22 Valerenga D 1-166.9 1524 1617 32.37% 25.47% 42.15%-0.23 +0.3 6
2003-06-22 @ Tromso D 1-166.9 1617 1524 42.15% 25.47% 32.37%+0.23 -0.3 13
2003-06-22 Viking D 1-170.0 1622 1671 38.45% 25.63% 35.92%+0.06 -0.1 19
2003-06-22 @ Bodo Glimt D 1-170.0 1671 1622 35.92% 25.63% 38.45%-0.06 +0.1 18
2003-06-23 Brann D 1-167.5 1605 1537 54.09% 23.60% 22.31%+0.84 -1.0 13
2003-06-23 @ Bryne D 1-167.5 1537 1605 22.31% 23.60% 54.09%-0.84 +1.1 8
2003-06-29 Bodo Glimt W 2-162.0 1604 1622 42.83% 25.42% 31.75%+0.27 +4.9 21
2003-06-29 @ Sogndal L 1-262.0 1622 1604 31.75% 25.42% 42.83%-0.27 -4.9 19
2003-06-29 Bryne W 4-152.4 1772 1604 65.47% 19.76% 14.77%+1.50 +5.8 32
2003-06-29 @ Rosenborg L 1-452.4 1604 1772 14.77% 19.76% 65.47%-1.50 -5.8 13
2003-06-29 Lillestrom W 5-051.3 1607 1619 43.61% 25.36% 31.03%+0.30 +22.4 20
2003-06-29 @ Odd Grenland L 0-551.3 1619 1607 31.03% 25.36% 43.61%-0.30 -22.4 12
2003-06-29 Stabaek D 1-168.0 1501 1665 24.24% 24.18% 51.58%-0.70 +0.9 9
2003-06-29 @ Aalesund D 1-168.0 1665 1501 51.58% 24.18% 24.24%+0.70 -0.9 20
2003-06-29 Tromso L 0-156.7 1538 1525 47.15% 24.95% 27.90%+0.48 -7.0 8
2003-06-29 @ Brann W 1-056.7 1525 1538 27.90% 24.95% 47.15%-0.48 +7.0 9
2003-06-30 Valerenga D 1-168.8 1601 1617 43.16% 25.40% 31.44%+0.28 -0.4 16
2003-06-30 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-168.8 1617 1601 31.44% 25.40% 43.16%-0.28 +0.4 14
2003-07-19 Sogndal W 3-158.3 1627 1609 47.67% 24.88% 27.45%+0.50 +7.5 14
2003-07-19 @ Molde L 1-358.3 1609 1627 27.45% 24.88% 47.67%-0.50 -7.5 21
2003-07-20 Aalesund W 2-046.2 1598 1502 57.49% 22.66% 19.85%+1.02 +6.4 16
2003-07-20 @ Bryne L 0-246.2 1502 1598 19.85% 22.66% 57.49%-1.02 -6.4 9
2003-07-20 Lyn Oslo W 2-052.7 1597 1601 44.72% 25.25% 30.03%+0.36 +9.3 15
2003-07-20 @ Lillestrom L 0-252.7 1601 1597 30.03% 25.25% 44.72%-0.36 -9.3 16
2003-07-20 Odd Grenland W 1-057.0 1617 1629 43.69% 25.35% 30.96%+0.31 +5.1 22
2003-07-20 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-157.0 1629 1617 30.96% 25.35% 43.69%-0.31 -5.1 20
2003-07-20 Rosenborg W 2-171.0 1532 1778 17.23% 21.35% 61.43%-1.25 +8.2 12
2003-07-20 @ Tromso L 1-271.0 1778 1532 61.43% 21.35% 17.23%+1.25 -8.2 32
2003-07-20 Viking L 0-259.2 1664 1671 44.24% 25.30% 30.46%+0.33 -12.6 20
2003-07-20 @ Stabaek W 2-059.2 1671 1664 30.46% 25.30% 44.24%-0.33 +12.6 21
2003-07-21 Brann L 0-258.7 1617 1531 56.31% 23.01% 20.68%+0.96 -15.3 14
2003-07-21 @ Valerenga W 2-058.7 1531 1617 20.68% 23.01% 56.31%-0.96 +15.4 11
2003-07-27 Aalesund L 0-156.7 1540 1496 51.15% 24.27% 24.58%+0.68 -7.5 12
2003-07-27 @ Tromso W 1-056.7 1496 1540 24.58% 24.27% 51.15%-0.68 +7.5 12
2003-07-27 Lillestrom L 0-258.5 1623 1606 47.53% 24.90% 27.57%+0.50 -13.3 22
2003-07-27 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-058.5 1606 1623 27.57% 24.90% 47.53%-0.50 +13.3 18
2003-07-27 Lyn Oslo W 4-156.2 1547 1592 39.03% 25.62% 35.36%+0.09 +13.0 14
2003-07-27 @ Brann L 1-456.2 1592 1547 35.36% 25.62% 39.03%-0.09 -13.0 16
2003-07-27 Odd Grenland L 0-161.8 1634 1624 46.68% 25.02% 28.30%+0.45 -7.0 14
2003-07-27 @ Molde W 1-061.8 1624 1634 28.30% 25.02% 46.68%-0.45 +7.0 23
2003-07-27 Rosenborg L 0-156.0 1602 1769 23.81% 24.06% 52.13%-0.73 -4.1 14
2003-07-27 @ Valerenga W 1-056.0 1769 1602 52.13% 24.06% 23.81%+0.73 +4.1 35
2003-07-27 Sogndal L 2-373.5 1651 1602 51.81% 24.13% 24.06%+0.71 -6.8 20
2003-07-27 @ Stabaek W 3-273.5 1602 1651 24.06% 24.13% 51.81%-0.71 +6.8 24
2003-07-27 Viking W 1-060.5 1605 1684 34.15% 25.57% 40.27%-0.14 +6.2 19
2003-07-27 @ Bryne L 0-160.5 1684 1605 40.27% 25.57% 34.15%+0.14 -6.2 21
2003-07-30 Molde L 1-268.9 1678 1627 51.96% 24.10% 23.95%+0.72 -7.2 21
2003-07-30 @ Viking W 2-168.9 1627 1678 23.95% 24.10% 51.96%-0.72 +7.2 17
2003-07-31 Bodo Glimt L 1-264.0 1579 1609 41.07% 25.54% 33.39%+0.18 -6.0 16
2003-07-31 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-164.0 1609 1579 33.39% 25.54% 41.07%-0.18 +5.9 25
2003-08-03 Brann D 2-278.5 1774 1560 70.05% 17.70% 12.25%+1.81 -1.5 36
2003-08-03 @ Rosenborg D 2-278.5 1560 1774 12.25% 17.70% 70.05%-1.81 +1.5 15
2003-08-03 Bryne W 4-050.4 1608 1611 44.99% 25.22% 29.79%+0.37 +17.6 27
2003-08-03 @ Sogndal L 0-450.4 1611 1608 29.79% 25.22% 44.99%-0.37 -17.6 19
2003-08-03 Molde W 3-052.3 1619 1634 43.23% 25.39% 31.38%+0.28 +14.1 21
2003-08-03 @ Lillestrom L 0-352.3 1634 1619 31.38% 25.39% 43.23%-0.28 -14.0 17
2003-08-03 Tromso W 4-044.9 1671 1533 62.29% 21.03% 16.69%+1.31 +10.2 24
2003-08-03 @ Viking L 0-444.9 1533 1671 16.69% 21.03% 62.29%-1.31 -10.2 12
2003-08-03 Valerenga L 0-250.7 1503 1598 32.15% 25.46% 42.40%-0.24 -9.9 12
2003-08-03 @ Aalesund W 2-050.7 1598 1503 42.40% 25.46% 32.15%+0.24 +9.9 17
2003-08-04 Stabaek D 1-169.8 1631 1644 43.50% 25.37% 31.14%+0.30 -0.4 24
2003-08-04 @ Odd Grenland D 1-169.8 1644 1631 31.14% 25.37% 43.50%-0.30 +0.4 21
2003-08-10 Aalesund W 3-043.6 1561 1493 54.10% 23.60% 22.30%+0.84 +10.5 18
2003-08-10 @ Brann L 0-343.6 1493 1561 22.30% 23.60% 54.10%-0.84 -10.5 12
2003-08-10 Lillestrom W 1-056.5 1645 1633 46.83% 25.00% 28.18%+0.46 +4.7 24
2003-08-10 @ Stabaek L 0-156.5 1633 1645 28.18% 25.00% 46.83%-0.46 -4.7 21
2003-08-10 Lyn Oslo W 2-047.8 1772 1573 68.65% 18.36% 12.99%+1.71 +4.1 39
2003-08-10 @ Rosenborg L 0-247.8 1573 1772 12.99% 18.36% 68.65%-1.71 -4.1 16
2003-08-10 Odd Grenland W 3-268.1 1593 1631 40.08% 25.58% 34.33%+0.14 +4.9 22
2003-08-10 @ Bryne L 2-368.1 1631 1593 34.33% 25.58% 40.08%-0.14 -4.9 24
2003-08-10 Sogndal D 1-167.1 1522 1626 30.96% 25.35% 43.69%-0.31 +0.4 13
2003-08-10 @ Tromso D 1-167.1 1626 1522 43.69% 25.35% 30.96%+0.31 -0.4 28
2003-08-10 Viking D 2-275.6 1608 1681 35.02% 25.61% 39.38%-0.10 +0.1 18
2003-08-10 @ Valerenga D 2-275.6 1681 1608 39.38% 25.61% 35.02%+0.10 -0.1 25
2003-08-11 Bodo Glimt L 0-258.3 1620 1615 46.03% 25.10% 28.87%+0.42 -13.0 17
2003-08-11 @ Molde W 2-058.3 1615 1620 28.87% 25.10% 46.03%-0.42 +13.0 28
2003-08-15 Stabaek W 3-160.6 1628 1649 42.37% 25.46% 32.17%+0.24 +8.6 31
2003-08-15 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-360.6 1649 1628 32.17% 25.46% 42.37%-0.24 -8.5 24
2003-08-16 Brann D 3-380.5 1681 1572 59.03% 22.17% 18.79%+1.11 -0.8 26
2003-08-16 @ Viking D 3-380.5 1572 1681 18.79% 22.17% 59.03%-1.11 +0.8 19
2003-08-16 Bryne W 4-049.3 1629 1598 49.39% 24.60% 26.01%+0.59 +15.7 24
2003-08-16 @ Lillestrom L 0-449.3 1598 1629 26.01% 24.60% 49.39%-0.59 -15.7 22
2003-08-16 Rosenborg L 0-247.4 1483 1776 14.21% 19.34% 66.46%-1.57 -4.5 12
2003-08-16 @ Aalesund W 2-047.4 1776 1483 66.46% 19.34% 14.21%+1.57 +4.5 42
2003-08-16 Tromso W 5-045.0 1626 1523 58.34% 22.40% 19.27%+1.07 +14.6 27
2003-08-16 @ Odd Grenland L 0-545.0 1523 1626 19.27% 22.40% 58.34%-1.07 -14.6 13
2003-08-16 Valerenga D 0-065.2 1626 1608 47.71% 24.87% 27.42%+0.50 -0.7 29
2003-08-16 @ Sogndal D 0-065.2 1608 1626 27.42% 24.87% 47.71%-0.50 +0.7 19
2003-08-17 Molde L 0-255.3 1569 1607 39.90% 25.59% 34.51%+0.13 -11.6 16
2003-08-17 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-055.3 1607 1569 34.51% 25.59% 39.90%-0.13 +11.6 20
2003-08-23 Viking W 4-155.2 1781 1680 58.06% 22.49% 19.46%+1.06 +7.7 45
2003-08-23 @ Rosenborg L 1-455.2 1680 1781 19.46% 22.49% 58.06%-1.06 -7.7 26
2003-08-24 Bodo Glimt L 0-255.6 1582 1637 37.69% 25.64% 36.67%+0.02 -11.1 22
2003-08-24 @ Bryne W 2-055.6 1637 1582 36.67% 25.64% 37.69%-0.02 +11.1 34
2003-08-24 Lillestrom W 2-056.9 1508 1644 27.09% 24.81% 48.10%-0.52 +13.5 16
2003-08-24 @ Tromso L 0-256.9 1644 1508 48.10% 24.81% 27.09%+0.52 -13.5 24
2003-08-24 Lyn Oslo W 2-050.9 1478 1557 34.28% 25.58% 40.14%-0.14 +11.7 15
2003-08-24 @ Aalesund L 0-250.9 1557 1478 40.14% 25.58% 34.28%+0.14 -11.7 16
2003-08-24 Molde D 1-169.7 1641 1619 48.23% 24.79% 26.98%+0.53 -0.7 25
2003-08-24 @ Stabaek D 1-169.7 1619 1641 26.98% 24.79% 48.23%-0.53 +0.7 21
2003-08-24 Odd Grenland L 0-355.1 1609 1640 40.89% 25.55% 33.57%+0.17 -17.2 19
2003-08-24 @ Valerenga W 3-055.1 1640 1609 33.57% 25.55% 40.89%-0.17 +17.2 30
2003-08-25 Sogndal W 6-155.5 1572 1625 37.94% 25.64% 36.42%+0.04 +21.0 22
2003-08-25 @ Brann L 1-655.5 1625 1572 36.42% 25.64% 37.94%-0.04 -21.0 29
2003-08-31 Aalesund W 4-042.5 1672 1490 66.92% 19.14% 13.95%+1.60 +8.4 29
2003-08-31 @ Viking L 0-442.5 1490 1672 13.95% 19.14% 66.92%-1.60 -8.4 15
2003-08-31 Brann L 1-366.1 1658 1594 53.66% 23.71% 22.64%+0.81 -12.8 30
2003-08-31 @ Odd Grenland W 3-166.1 1594 1658 22.64% 23.71% 53.66%-0.81 +12.8 25
2003-08-31 Bryne W 3-264.0 1620 1571 51.69% 24.15% 24.16%+0.71 +3.7 24
2003-08-31 @ Molde L 2-364.0 1571 1620 24.16% 24.15% 51.69%-0.71 -3.7 22
2003-08-31 Rosenborg D 1-171.6 1604 1788 22.20% 23.56% 54.24%-0.84 +1.0 30
2003-08-31 @ Sogndal D 1-171.6 1788 1604 54.24% 23.56% 22.20%+0.84 -1.1 46
2003-08-31 Stabaek L 2-366.6 1545 1640 32.11% 25.45% 42.44%-0.25 -4.7 16
2003-08-31 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-266.6 1640 1545 42.44% 25.45% 32.11%+0.25 +4.7 28
2003-08-31 Tromso L 1-268.3 1648 1522 60.98% 21.51% 17.52%+1.23 -8.2 34
2003-08-31 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-168.3 1522 1648 17.52% 21.51% 60.98%-1.23 +8.2 19
2003-09-01 Valerenga D 0-065.1 1631 1591 50.56% 24.38% 25.06%+0.65 -0.9 25
2003-09-01 @ Lillestrom D 0-065.1 1591 1631 25.06% 24.38% 50.56%-0.65 +0.9 20
2003-09-13 Odd Grenland W 3-156.0 1787 1645 62.76% 20.85% 16.39%+1.33 +4.6 49
2003-09-13 @ Rosenborg L 1-356.0 1645 1787 16.39% 20.85% 62.76%-1.33 -4.6 30
2003-09-14 Bodo Glimt D 1-169.0 1592 1640 38.68% 25.62% 35.69%+0.07 -0.1 21
2003-09-14 @ Valerenga D 1-169.0 1640 1592 35.69% 25.62% 38.68%-0.07 +0.1 35
2003-09-14 Lyn Oslo D 2-275.9 1681 1541 62.49% 20.95% 16.56%+1.32 -1.2 30
2003-09-14 @ Viking D 2-275.9 1541 1681 16.56% 20.95% 62.49%-1.32 +1.2 17
2003-09-14 Molde W 1-058.3 1530 1623 32.26% 25.46% 42.28%-0.24 +6.5 22
2003-09-14 @ Tromso L 0-158.3 1623 1530 42.28% 25.46% 32.26%+0.24 -6.5 24
2003-09-14 Sogndal W 3-052.4 1482 1605 28.60% 25.06% 46.34%-0.44 +19.0 18
2003-09-14 @ Aalesund L 0-352.4 1605 1482 46.34% 25.06% 28.60%+0.44 -19.0 30
2003-09-14 Stabaek L 0-254.5 1568 1645 34.46% 25.59% 39.96%-0.13 -10.4 22
2003-09-14 @ Bryne W 2-054.5 1645 1568 39.96% 25.59% 34.46%+0.13 +10.4 31
2003-09-15 Lillestrom L 1-362.9 1606 1630 42.02% 25.48% 32.50%+0.23 -10.5 25
2003-09-15 @ Brann W 3-162.9 1630 1606 32.50% 25.48% 42.02%-0.23 +10.5 28
2003-09-21 Aalesund W 3-043.9 1640 1501 62.44% 20.97% 16.59%+1.31 +7.8 33
2003-09-21 @ Odd Grenland L 0-343.9 1501 1640 16.59% 20.97% 62.44%-1.31 -7.8 18
2003-09-21 Brann W 3-049.6 1640 1596 51.11% 24.27% 24.61%+0.68 +11.5 38
2003-09-21 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-349.6 1596 1640 24.61% 24.27% 51.11%-0.68 -11.5 25
2003-09-21 Bryne W 2-050.4 1542 1557 43.18% 25.39% 31.42%+0.28 +9.7 20
2003-09-21 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-250.4 1557 1542 31.42% 25.39% 43.18%-0.28 -9.7 22
2003-09-21 Rosenborg L 0-652.4 1641 1792 25.45% 24.48% 50.07%-0.62 -22.6 28
2003-09-21 @ Lillestrom W 6-052.4 1792 1641 50.07% 24.48% 25.45%+0.62 +22.6 52
2003-09-21 Tromso D 2-275.0 1655 1536 60.16% 21.79% 18.04%+1.18 -1.0 32
2003-09-21 @ Stabaek D 2-275.0 1536 1655 18.04% 21.79% 60.16%-1.18 +1.0 23
2003-09-21 Valerenga W 1-054.7 1617 1592 48.62% 24.73% 26.65%+0.55 +4.5 27
2003-09-21 @ Molde L 0-154.7 1592 1617 26.65% 24.73% 48.62%-0.55 -4.5 21
2003-09-22 Viking D 2-275.3 1586 1679 32.29% 25.47% 42.25%-0.24 +0.2 31
2003-09-22 @ Sogndal D 2-275.3 1679 1586 42.25% 25.47% 32.29%+0.24 -0.2 31
2003-09-27 Stabaek D 2-274.9 1588 1654 35.95% 25.63% 38.42%-0.06 +0.1 22
2003-09-27 @ Valerenga D 2-274.9 1654 1588 38.42% 25.63% 35.95%+0.06 -0.1 33
2003-09-28 Bodo Glimt W 5-467.6 1814 1651 64.99% 19.96% 15.05%+1.47 +2.2 55
2003-09-28 @ Rosenborg L 4-567.6 1651 1814 15.05% 19.96% 64.99%-1.47 -2.2 38
2003-09-28 Bryne W 2-049.7 1537 1547 43.90% 25.33% 30.77%+0.32 +9.5 26
2003-09-28 @ Tromso L 0-249.7 1547 1537 30.77% 25.33% 43.90%-0.32 -9.5 22
2003-09-28 Lillestrom W 2-163.4 1493 1618 28.39% 25.03% 46.58%-0.45 +6.6 21
2003-09-28 @ Aalesund L 1-263.4 1618 1493 46.58% 25.03% 28.39%+0.45 -6.6 28
2003-09-28 Lyn Oslo L 1-265.0 1586 1551 49.94% 24.50% 25.56%+0.62 -7.0 31
2003-09-28 @ Sogndal W 2-165.0 1551 1586 25.56% 24.50% 49.94%-0.62 +7.0 23
2003-09-28 Molde W 3-267.8 1584 1621 40.14% 25.58% 34.28%+0.14 +4.9 28
2003-09-28 @ Brann L 2-367.8 1621 1584 34.28% 25.58% 40.14%-0.14 -4.9 27
2003-09-29 Odd Grenland L 0-163.4 1679 1648 49.47% 24.59% 25.95%+0.59 -7.3 31
2003-09-29 @ Viking W 1-063.4 1648 1679 25.95% 24.59% 49.47%-0.59 +7.3 36
2003-10-04 Brann W 6-049.2 1654 1589 53.75% 23.69% 22.57%+0.82 +20.2 36
2003-10-04 @ Stabaek L 0-649.2 1589 1654 22.57% 23.69% 53.75%-0.82 -20.2 28
2003-10-05 Aalesund L 0-260.1 1649 1500 63.51% 20.55% 15.93%+1.38 -16.9 38
2003-10-05 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-060.1 1500 1649 15.93% 20.55% 63.51%-1.38 +16.9 24
2003-10-05 Rosenborg L 0-252.2 1617 1817 20.80% 23.05% 56.15%-0.95 -6.7 27
2003-10-05 @ Molde W 2-052.2 1817 1617 56.15% 23.05% 20.80%+0.95 +6.7 58
2003-10-05 Sogndal D 3-379.8 1655 1579 55.13% 23.33% 21.54%+0.89 -0.7 37
2003-10-05 @ Odd Grenland D 3-379.8 1579 1655 21.54% 23.33% 55.13%-0.89 +0.7 32
2003-10-05 Valerenga L 3-470.0 1538 1588 38.33% 25.63% 36.04%+0.05 -5.2 22
2003-10-05 @ Bryne W 4-370.0 1588 1538 36.04% 25.63% 38.33%-0.05 +5.2 25
2003-10-05 Viking W 1-059.6 1611 1672 36.79% 25.64% 37.57%-0.02 +5.9 31
2003-10-05 @ Lillestrom L 0-159.6 1672 1611 37.57% 25.64% 36.79%+0.02 -5.9 31
2003-10-06 Tromso W 5-151.2 1558 1547 46.88% 24.99% 28.13%+0.46 +14.0 26
2003-10-06 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-551.2 1547 1558 28.13% 24.99% 46.88%-0.46 -14.0 26
2003-10-18 Molde D 1-166.4 1516 1610 32.31% 25.47% 42.23%-0.24 +0.3 25
2003-10-18 @ Aalesund D 1-166.4 1610 1516 42.23% 25.47% 32.31%+0.24 -0.3 28
2003-10-19 Bodo Glimt L 1-268.3 1666 1632 49.83% 24.52% 25.65%+0.61 -6.9 31
2003-10-19 @ Viking W 2-168.3 1632 1666 25.65% 24.52% 49.83%-0.61 +6.9 41
2003-10-19 Bryne W 3-046.4 1569 1533 50.13% 24.46% 25.41%+0.63 +11.8 31
2003-10-19 @ Brann L 0-346.4 1533 1569 25.41% 24.46% 50.13%-0.63 -11.8 22
2003-10-19 Lillestrom W 2-162.2 1580 1617 40.11% 25.58% 34.31%+0.14 +5.2 35
2003-10-19 @ Sogndal L 1-262.2 1617 1580 34.31% 25.58% 40.11%-0.14 -5.2 31
2003-10-19 Lyn Oslo D 1-169.7 1655 1572 55.88% 23.13% 20.99%+0.93 -1.2 38
2003-10-19 @ Odd Grenland D 1-169.7 1572 1655 20.99% 23.13% 55.88%-0.93 +1.1 27
2003-10-19 Stabaek L 1-665.4 1823 1674 63.48% 20.57% 15.95%+1.38 -32.8 58
2003-10-19 @ Rosenborg W 6-165.4 1674 1823 15.95% 20.57% 63.48%-1.38 +32.8 39
2003-10-20 Tromso W 3-046.3 1593 1533 53.18% 23.82% 23.00%+0.79 +10.8 28
2003-10-20 @ Valerenga L 0-346.3 1533 1593 23.00% 23.82% 53.18%-0.79 -10.8 26
2003-10-26 Aalesund W 3-152.1 1707 1517 67.75% 18.76% 13.48%+1.65 +3.7 42
2003-10-26 @ Stabaek L 1-352.1 1517 1707 13.48% 18.76% 67.75%-1.65 -3.7 25
2003-10-26 Brann L 0-155.3 1522 1581 37.03% 25.64% 37.33%-0.01 -5.8 26
2003-10-26 @ Tromso W 1-055.3 1581 1522 37.33% 25.64% 37.03%+0.01 +5.8 34
2003-10-26 Lyn Oslo L 0-160.8 1604 1574 49.34% 24.61% 26.05%+0.59 -7.3 28
2003-10-26 @ Valerenga W 1-060.8 1574 1604 26.05% 24.61% 49.34%-0.59 +7.3 30
2003-10-26 Odd Grenland W 3-053.6 1612 1654 39.52% 25.60% 34.87%+0.11 +15.3 34
2003-10-26 @ Lillestrom L 0-353.6 1654 1612 34.87% 25.60% 39.52%-0.11 -15.3 38
2003-10-26 Rosenborg L 2-458.9 1521 1791 15.63% 20.35% 64.01%-1.41 -3.9 22
2003-10-26 @ Bryne W 4-258.9 1791 1521 64.01% 20.35% 15.63%+1.41 +3.9 61
2003-10-26 Sogndal W 3-049.0 1639 1585 52.37% 24.01% 23.62%+0.74 +11.0 44
2003-10-26 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-349.0 1585 1639 23.62% 24.01% 52.37%-0.74 -11.0 35
2003-10-27 Viking L 1-264.8 1609 1659 38.36% 25.63% 36.01%+0.05 -5.6 28
2003-10-27 @ Molde W 2-164.8 1659 1609 36.01% 25.63% 38.36%-0.05 +5.6 34
2003-11-01 Bodo Glimt L 2-468.5 1638 1650 43.69% 25.35% 30.96%+0.31 -9.7 38
2003-11-01 @ Odd Grenland W 4-268.5 1650 1638 30.96% 25.35% 43.69%-0.31 +9.7 47
2003-11-01 Bryne W 2-047.5 1513 1517 44.76% 25.25% 29.99%+0.36 +9.3 28
2003-11-01 @ Aalesund L 0-247.5 1517 1513 29.99% 25.25% 44.76%-0.36 -9.3 22
2003-11-01 Lillestrom L 0-353.7 1581 1627 38.80% 25.62% 35.58%+0.08 -16.5 30
2003-11-01 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-053.7 1627 1581 35.58% 25.62% 38.80%-0.08 +16.5 37
2003-11-01 Molde L 2-369.2 1574 1604 41.19% 25.53% 33.28%+0.19 -5.6 35
2003-11-01 @ Sogndal W 3-269.2 1604 1574 33.28% 25.53% 41.19%-0.19 +5.7 31
2003-11-01 Stabaek W 3-162.7 1665 1711 38.86% 25.62% 35.52%+0.08 +9.2 37
2003-11-01 @ Viking L 1-362.7 1711 1665 35.52% 25.62% 38.86%-0.08 -9.2 42
2003-11-01 Tromso L 0-168.2 1795 1516 75.87% 14.77% 9.36%+2.24 -10.2 61
2003-11-01 @ Rosenborg W 1-068.2 1516 1795 9.36% 14.77% 75.87%-2.24 +10.2 29
2003-11-01 Valerenga W 3-158.3 1587 1596 43.96% 25.33% 30.72%+0.32 +8.2 37
2003-11-01 @ Brann L 1-358.3 1596 1587 30.72% 25.33% 43.96%-0.32 -8.2 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2003-11-01 9.36% Tromso 1516 1 @ Rosenborg 1795 0
2 2003-10-05 15.93% Aalesund 1500 2 @ Bodo Glimt 1649 0
3 2003-10-19 15.95% Stabaek 1674 6 @ Rosenborg 1823 1
4 2003-06-22 16.47% Aalesund 1493 3 @ Molde 1635 2
5 2003-07-20 17.23% @ Tromso 1532 2 Rosenborg 1778 1
6 2003-08-31 17.52% Tromso 1522 2 @ Bodo Glimt 1648 1
7 2003-07-21 20.68% Brann 1531 2 @ Valerenga 1617 0
8 2003-08-31 22.64% Brann 1594 3 @ Odd Grenland 1658 1
9 2003-05-16 23.19% Lyn Oslo 1603 3 @ Stabaek 1661 1
10 2003-07-30 23.95% Molde 1627 2 @ Viking 1678 1
11 2003-07-27 24.06% Sogndal 1602 3 @ Stabaek 1651 2
12 2003-07-27 24.58% Aalesund 1496 1 @ Tromso 1540 0
13 2003-09-28 25.56% Lyn Oslo 1551 2 @ Sogndal 1586 1
14 2003-10-19 25.65% Bodo Glimt 1632 2 @ Viking 1666 1
15 2003-09-29 25.95% Odd Grenland 1648 1 @ Viking 1679 0
16 2003-10-26 26.05% Lyn Oslo 1574 1 @ Valerenga 1604 0
17 2003-06-22 27.00% Odd Grenland 1593 2 @ Lyn Oslo 1615 0
18 2003-08-24 27.09% @ Tromso 1508 2 Lillestrom 1644 0
19 2003-07-27 27.57% Lillestrom 1606 2 @ Bodo Glimt 1623 0
20 2003-06-29 27.90% Tromso 1525 1 @ Brann 1538 0
21 2003-07-27 28.30% Odd Grenland 1624 1 @ Molde 1634 0
22 2003-09-28 28.39% @ Aalesund 1493 2 Lillestrom 1618 1
23 2003-09-14 28.60% @ Aalesund 1482 3 Sogndal 1605 0
24 2003-08-11 28.87% Bodo Glimt 1615 2 @ Molde 1620 0
25 2003-04-21 29.46% Sogndal 1579 1 @ Bryne 1580 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-10-19 32.75 Stabaek 6 1674 15.95% @ Rosenborg 1 1823 63.48% 20.57%
2 2003-06-15 24.34 @ Sogndal 5 1579 39.98% Odd Grenland 0 1618 34.44% 25.59%
3 2003-09-21 22.57 Rosenborg 6 1792 50.07% @ Lillestrom 0 1641 25.45% 24.48%
4 2003-06-29 22.44 @ Odd Grenland 5 1607 43.61% Lillestrom 0 1619 31.03% 25.36%
5 2003-08-25 21.03 @ Brann 6 1572 37.94% Sogndal 1 1625 36.42% 25.64%
6 2003-10-04 20.25 @ Stabaek 6 1654 53.75% Brann 0 1589 22.57% 23.69%
7 2003-05-29 19.25 @ Bryne 4 1585 41.16% Lyn Oslo 0 1615 33.31% 25.53%
8 2003-09-14 19.00 @ Aalesund 3 1482 28.60% Sogndal 0 1605 46.34% 25.06%
9 2003-05-16 18.04 @ Brann 3 1538 31.18% Odd Grenland 0 1640 43.45% 25.37%
10 2003-04-22 17.94 Rosenborg 6 1692 45.06% @ Brann 1 1578 29.72% 25.21%
11 2003-05-16 17.64 @ Bryne 3 1572 32.32% Molde 0 1665 42.22% 25.47%
12 2003-08-03 17.61 @ Sogndal 4 1608 44.99% Bryne 0 1611 29.79% 25.22%
13 2003-08-24 17.21 Odd Grenland 3 1640 33.57% @ Valerenga 0 1609 40.89% 25.55%
14 2003-04-21 17.15 @ Molde 4 1661 46.07% Lillestrom 0 1655 28.83% 25.10%
15 2003-10-05 16.93 Aalesund 2 1500 15.93% @ Bodo Glimt 0 1649 63.51% 20.55%
16 2003-11-01 16.54 Lillestrom 3 1627 35.58% @ Lyn Oslo 0 1581 38.80% 25.62%
17 2003-08-16 15.71 @ Lillestrom 4 1629 49.39% Bryne 0 1598 26.01% 24.60%
18 2003-07-21 15.35 Brann 2 1531 20.68% @ Valerenga 0 1617 56.31% 23.01%
19 2003-10-26 15.26 @ Lillestrom 3 1612 39.52% Odd Grenland 0 1654 34.87% 25.60%
20 2003-08-16 14.63 @ Odd Grenland 5 1626 58.34% Tromso 0 1523 19.27% 22.40%
21 2003-06-01 14.36 @ Bryne 6 1605 53.20% Tromso 1 1544 22.98% 23.82%
22 2003-06-14 14.28 @ Rosenborg 5 1758 59.01% Molde 0 1649 18.81% 22.18%
23 2003-04-27 14.24 Rosenborg 3 1709 42.66% @ Lyn Oslo 0 1613 31.90% 25.44%
24 2003-06-16 14.10 @ Valerenga 3 1603 43.11% Bryne 0 1619 31.49% 25.40%
25 2003-08-03 14.05 @ Lillestrom 3 1619 43.23% Molde 0 1634 31.38% 25.39%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-08-16 80.5 @ Viking 3 1681 59.03% Brann 3 1572 18.79% 22.17%
2 2003-05-25 79.9 @ Lyn Oslo 3 1615 37.83% Viking 3 1669 36.53% 25.64%
3 2003-10-05 79.8 @ Odd Grenland 3 1655 55.13% Sogndal 3 1579 21.54% 23.33%
4 2003-06-15 78.6 @ Brann 3 1537 28.08% Stabaek 3 1665 46.93% 24.98%
5 2003-05-04 78.5 @ Valerenga 3 1603 46.58% Sogndal 3 1594 28.39% 25.03%
6 2003-08-03 78.5 @ Rosenborg 2 1774 70.05% Brann 2 1560 12.25% 17.70%
7 2003-05-16 77.7 @ Tromso 3 1556 36.86% Bodo Glimt 3 1616 37.50% 25.64%
8 2003-06-22 77.1 @ Stabaek 2 1664 30.44% Rosenborg 2 1772 44.26% 25.30%
9 2003-05-04 75.9 @ Molde 2 1666 54.06% Lyn Oslo 2 1599 22.33% 23.61%
10 2003-09-14 75.9 @ Viking 2 1681 62.49% Lyn Oslo 2 1541 16.56% 20.95%
11 2003-08-10 75.6 @ Valerenga 2 1608 35.02% Viking 2 1681 39.38% 25.61%
12 2003-09-22 75.3 @ Sogndal 2 1586 32.29% Viking 2 1679 42.25% 25.47%
13 2003-09-21 75.0 @ Stabaek 2 1655 60.16% Tromso 2 1536 18.04% 21.79%
14 2003-09-27 74.9 @ Valerenga 2 1588 35.95% Stabaek 2 1654 38.42% 25.63%
15 2003-04-21 74.8 @ Tromso 2 1578 33.89% Viking 2 1660 40.55% 25.56%
16 2003-04-26 74.4 @ Aalesund 3 1504 37.47% Brann 3 1560 36.89% 25.64%
17 2003-07-27 73.5 Sogndal 3 1602 24.06% @ Stabaek 2 1651 51.81% 24.13%
18 2003-06-22 72.8 Aalesund 3 1493 16.47% @ Molde 2 1635 62.63% 20.90%
19 2003-05-28 72.0 @ Rosenborg 1 1746 61.10% Lillestrom 1 1619 17.43% 21.46%
20 2003-05-29 72.0 @ Aalesund 2 1501 29.34% Odd Grenland 2 1618 45.49% 25.17%
21 2003-08-31 71.6 @ Sogndal 1 1604 22.20% Rosenborg 1 1788 54.24% 23.56%
22 2003-07-20 71.0 @ Tromso 2 1532 17.23% Rosenborg 1 1778 61.43% 21.35%
23 2003-06-15 70.4 @ Viking 1 1672 52.33% Lillestrom 1 1619 23.66% 24.02%
24 2003-06-22 70.0 @ Bodo Glimt 1 1622 38.45% Viking 1 1671 35.92% 25.63%
25 2003-10-05 70.0 Valerenga 4 1588 36.04% @ Bryne 3 1538 38.33% 25.63%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-08-31 42.5 @ Viking 4 1672 66.92% Aalesund 0 1490 13.95% 19.14%
2 2003-08-10 43.6 @ Brann 3 1561 54.10% Aalesund 0 1493 22.30% 23.60%
3 2003-09-21 43.9 @ Odd Grenland 3 1640 62.44% Aalesund 0 1501 16.59% 20.97%
4 2003-08-03 44.9 @ Viking 4 1671 62.29% Tromso 0 1533 16.69% 21.03%
5 2003-08-16 45.0 @ Odd Grenland 5 1626 58.34% Tromso 0 1523 19.27% 22.40%
6 2003-07-20 46.2 @ Bryne 2 1598 57.49% Aalesund 0 1502 19.85% 22.66%
7 2003-10-20 46.3 @ Valerenga 3 1593 53.18% Tromso 0 1533 23.00% 23.82%
8 2003-10-19 46.4 @ Brann 3 1569 50.13% Bryne 0 1533 25.41% 24.46%
9 2003-06-02 46.7 @ Molde 3 1640 57.16% Brann 0 1546 20.08% 22.76%
10 2003-08-16 47.4 Rosenborg 2 1776 66.46% @ Aalesund 0 1483 14.21% 19.34%
11 2003-11-01 47.5 @ Aalesund 2 1513 44.76% Bryne 0 1517 29.99% 25.25%
12 2003-08-10 47.8 @ Rosenborg 2 1772 68.65% Lyn Oslo 0 1573 12.99% 18.36%
13 2003-05-04 48.5 @ Rosenborg 1 1724 70.62% Aalesund 0 1504 11.95% 17.43%
14 2003-06-14 48.9 @ Rosenborg 5 1758 59.01% Molde 0 1649 18.81% 22.18%
15 2003-10-26 49.0 @ Bodo Glimt 3 1639 52.37% Sogndal 0 1585 23.62% 24.01%
16 2003-04-13 49.1 @ Viking 3 1649 52.93% Bryne 0 1591 23.19% 23.88%
17 2003-05-11 49.2 @ Sogndal 2 1594 51.67% Brann 0 1546 24.17% 24.16%
18 2003-10-04 49.2 @ Stabaek 6 1654 53.75% Brann 0 1589 22.57% 23.69%
19 2003-08-16 49.3 @ Lillestrom 4 1629 49.39% Bryne 0 1598 26.01% 24.60%
20 2003-09-21 49.6 @ Bodo Glimt 3 1640 51.11% Brann 0 1596 24.61% 24.27%
21 2003-06-01 49.7 @ Bryne 6 1605 53.20% Tromso 1 1544 22.98% 23.82%
22 2003-09-28 49.7 @ Tromso 2 1537 43.90% Bryne 0 1547 30.77% 25.33%
23 2003-06-01 50.2 @ Lyn Oslo 3 1596 45.79% Sogndal 0 1593 29.08% 25.13%
24 2003-08-03 50.4 @ Sogndal 4 1608 44.99% Bryne 0 1611 29.79% 25.22%
25 2003-09-21 50.4 @ Lyn Oslo 2 1542 43.18% Bryne 0 1557 31.42% 25.39%