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2008 Tippeligaen Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Stabaek

54 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Hamarkameratene

21 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Bodo Glimt

11.25 points above expected

42 points · 30.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hamarkameratene

8.61 points below expected

21 points · 29.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Stabaek Champion 26 16 6 4 54 58 24 +34 45.96 +8.04
2 Fredrikstad 26 14 6 6 48 38 28 +10 37.39 +10.61
3 Tromso 26 12 8 6 44 36 23 +13 39.20 +4.80
4 Bodo Glimt 26 12 6 8 42 37 38 -1 30.75 +11.25
5 Rosenborg 26 11 6 9 39 40 34 +6 41.44 -2.44
6 Viking 26 11 6 9 39 38 32 +6 37.49 +1.51
7 Lyn Oslo 26 11 5 10 38 38 34 +4 36.26 +1.74
8 Brann 26 8 9 9 33 36 36 0 38.75 -5.75
9 Molde 26 7 10 9 31 39 43 -4 32.12 -1.12
10 Valerenga 26 8 6 12 30 31 37 -6 35.92 -5.92
11 Stromsgodset 26 8 5 13 29 33 44 -11 31.61 -2.61
12 Lillestrom 26 7 7 12 28 30 40 -10 34.82 -6.82
13 Aalesund 26 7 4 15 25 29 42 -13 29.62 -4.62
14 Hamarkameratene Relegated 26 5 6 15 21 22 50 -28 29.61 -8.61

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bodo Glimt 42 30.75 +11.25
2 Fredrikstad 48 37.39 +10.61
3 Stabaek 54 45.96 +8.04
4 Tromso 44 39.20 +4.80
5 Lyn Oslo 38 36.26 +1.74

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamarkameratene 21 29.61 -8.61
2 Lillestrom 28 34.82 -6.82
3 Valerenga 30 35.92 -5.92
4 Brann 33 38.75 -5.75
5 Aalesund 25 29.62 -4.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stabaek 6 Apr 19 – Jun 1 1 in 99
2 Tromso 4 Jun 28 – Jul 20 1 in 46
3 Fredrikstad 4 Sep 28 – Oct 26 1 in 32
4 Bodo Glimt 3 Apr 27 – May 16 1 in 26
5 Viking 3 Sep 21 – Oct 5 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stromsgodset 5 Aug 31 – Oct 5 1 in 150
2 Lyn Oslo 4 Sep 21 – Oct 19 1 in 92
3 Valerenga 3 Aug 25 – Sep 15 1 in 32
4 Aalesund 4 Apr 27 – May 26 1 in 26
5 Hamarkameratene 4 Apr 13 – May 4 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stabaek 10 Mar 30 – Jun 7 1 in 31
2 Bodo Glimt 6 Aug 10 – Sep 28 1 in 29
3 Lillestrom 5 Aug 24 – Sep 27 1 in 22
4 Tromso 7 Jun 28 – Aug 6 1 in 21
5 Rosenborg 8 Aug 10 – Oct 19 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valerenga 9 Jul 19 – Sep 28 1 in 134
2 Stabaek 4 Jun 7 – Jul 13 1 in 20
3 Hamarkameratene 9 Apr 13 – Jul 6 1 in 19
4 Molde 6 Jul 27 – Sep 14 1 in 17
5 Stromsgodset 7 Aug 31 – Oct 26 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Stabaek 1784 54 +22 12 9.7 +2.3
Fredrikstad 1672 48 +5 12 8.1 +3.9
Tromso 1701 44 -9 5 7.7 -2.7
Bodo Glimt 1622 42 +7 7 6.8 +0.2
Viking 1682 39 +10 9 7.6 +1.4
Rosenborg 1677 39 -18 7 8.4 -1.4
Lyn Oslo 1653 38 +6 6 6.7 -0.7
Brann 1650 33 +7 7 6.7 +0.3
Molde 1599 31 -2 7 5.4 +1.6
Valerenga 1624 30 -8 6 6.6 -0.6
Stromsgodset 1572 29 -9 4 5.4 -1.4
Lillestrom 1611 28 -16 6 6.1 -0.1
Aalesund 1565 25 +19 9 5.7 +3.3
Hamarkameratene 1526 21 -16 4 5.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL BG BRA FRE HAM LIL LO MOL ROS STA STR TRO VAL VIK
Aalesund —
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.09
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.29
0-0-2
2.54
0-2-0
2.52
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
1.51
2-0-0
2.50
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.30
Bodo Glimt
1-0-1
2.73
—
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-1
1.87
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.22
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.34
Brann
0-0-2
3.43
1-0-1
3.18
—
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-2
3.27
0-2-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.13
0-1-1
3.28
0-2-0
2.55
2-0-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.74
Fredrikstad
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.54
—
1-1-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.72
Hamarkameratene
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.00
—
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
1.81
0-0-2
1.70
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.18
Lillestrom
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.50
1-1-0
3.13
—
0-0-2
2.57
0-2-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.80
1-1-0
2.53
Lyn Oslo
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
3.14
2-0-0
2.92
—
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
2.16
1-0-1
3.14
0-1-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.80
Molde
0-2-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.79
2-0-0
2.24
0-0-2
2.35
2-0-0
3.06
0-2-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.31
—
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
1.96
0-1-1
2.87
0-2-0
2.21
2-0-0
2.18
0-1-1
2.35
Rosenborg
2-0-0
3.73
0-1-1
3.38
0-2-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.72
1-0-1
3.13
2-0-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.29
—
0-0-2
2.23
0-1-1
3.55
0-0-2
2.88
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.00
Stabaek
2-0-0
4.04
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.31
2-0-0
3.86
1-1-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.58
2-0-0
3.26
—
1-1-0
3.89
0-0-2
3.51
1-0-1
3.54
0-1-1
3.55
Stromsgodset
0-0-2
2.99
0-0-2
2.72
1-1-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
3.10
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
1.97
0-1-1
1.65
—
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.04
Tromso
2-0-0
3.61
0-1-1
3.29
0-2-0
2.93
0-0-2
2.98
2-0-0
3.76
0-1-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.90
0-2-0
3.30
2-0-0
2.62
2-0-0
2.01
2-0-0
3.37
—
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-2
2.80
Valerenga
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.97
0-0-2
2.75
0-1-1
2.78
1-1-0
3.47
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.78
0-0-2
3.32
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.69
—
1-0-1
2.60
Viking
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.77
1-0-1
3.35
0-1-1
2.96
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.49
1-1-0
1.96
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.89
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +9.8
Allowed 0.80 -10.8
Differential 0.89 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.34%6.32%4.95%2.75%1.92%0.82%26.10%
16.32%12.64%11.26%3.30%1.10%0.55%35.16%
24.95%11.26%1.10%2.75%1.37%0.27%21.70%
32.75%3.30%2.75%1.10%0.27%—10.16%
41.92%1.10%1.37%0.27%0.55%—5.22%
5+0.82%0.55%0.27%———1.65%
Total26.10%35.16%21.70%10.16%5.22%1.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.80
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%—7.69%3.85%3.85%34.62%
17.69%3.85%26.92%7.69%——46.15%
2—3.85%————3.85%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%19.23%30.77%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.62 -0.50
SD 1.31 1.36 2.14
CV 1.17 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
13.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%—26.92%
27.69%19.23%7.69%———34.62%
3—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%26.92%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.46 -0.04
SD 1.03 1.14 1.61
CV 0.72 0.78 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
17.69%23.08%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
23.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%—19.23%
3————3.85%—3.85%
4—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%15.38%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.20 1.50
CV 0.89 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
111.54%15.38%3.85%——3.85%34.62%
27.69%26.92%——3.85%—38.46%
3———————
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total34.62%46.15%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.08 +0.38
SD 1.17 1.26 1.90
CV 0.80 1.17 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%46.15%
1—11.54%15.38%—3.85%—30.77%
2—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
3——7.69%———7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%30.77%38.46%11.54%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.92 -1.08
SD 0.97 1.20 1.67
CV 1.14 0.62 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%—7.69%7.69%—30.77%
13.85%19.23%15.38%3.85%——42.31%
23.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%34.62%19.23%11.54%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.54 -0.38
SD 1.12 1.30 1.92
CV 0.97 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—15.38%———19.23%
17.69%11.54%15.38%3.85%——38.46%
27.69%11.54%—3.85%——23.08%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%26.92%34.62%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.31 +0.15
SD 1.10 1.01 1.64
CV 0.76 0.77 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%——7.69%—26.92%
13.85%11.54%15.38%3.85%——34.62%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———3.85%3.85%—7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%26.92%23.08%15.38%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.65 -0.15
SD 1.42 1.32 1.67
CV 0.95 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%——3.85%—15.38%
13.85%19.23%11.54%3.85%——38.46%
23.85%19.23%—3.85%3.85%—30.77%
3—7.69%————7.69%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+———————
Total19.23%53.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.31 +0.23
SD 1.10 1.12 1.77
CV 0.72 0.86 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%————15.38%
13.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
27.69%15.38%——3.85%—26.92%
311.54%—————11.54%
43.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
5+3.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
Total42.31%38.46%11.54%—7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 0.92 +1.31
SD 1.75 1.13 2.07
CV 0.78 1.22 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
13.85%11.54%11.54%15.38%——42.31%
23.85%11.54%—7.69%——23.08%
3——7.69%———7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%30.77%23.08%23.08%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.69 -0.42
SD 1.04 1.38 1.84
CV 0.82 0.81 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%11.54%7.69%———34.62%
115.38%7.69%3.85%———26.92%
211.54%3.85%————15.38%
3—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
43.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
5+———————
Total46.15%30.77%15.38%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 0.88 +0.50
SD 1.39 1.07 1.42
CV 1.00 1.21 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%7.69%———30.77%
13.85%11.54%19.23%——3.85%38.46%
2—7.69%———3.85%11.54%
37.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%38.46%30.77%——7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.42 -0.23
SD 1.10 1.42 1.75
CV 0.92 1.00 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
111.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
27.69%11.54%—15.38%——34.62%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%34.62%15.38%19.23%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.23 +0.23
SD 1.10 1.11 1.37
CV 0.76 0.90 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Stabaek 1784 54 45.96 +8.04 93.0% 29 35 42 45 51 55 62
Tromso 1701 44 39.20 +4.80 85.0% 26 30 35 39 43 48 53
Viking 1682 39 37.49 +1.51 59.0% 16 27 33 37 42 48 57
Rosenborg 1677 39 41.44 -2.44 35.0% 23 30 37 42 45 50 55
Fredrikstad 1672 48 37.39 +10.61 95.0% 21 24 33 38 41 48 53
Lyn Oslo 1653 38 36.26 +1.74 68.0% 17 27 33 35 40 48 52
Brann 1650 33 38.75 -5.75 20.0% 20 28 35 38 44 49 53
Valerenga 1624 30 35.92 -5.92 22.0% 19 24 31 35 40 47 57
Bodo Glimt 1622 42 30.75 +11.25 94.0% 13 18 26 30 35 43 47
Lillestrom 1611 28 34.82 -6.82 19.0% 20 25 30 34 40 46 53
Molde 1599 31 32.12 -1.12 49.0% 15 22 28 32 37 42 50
Aalesund 1591 25 29.62 -4.62 25.0% 9 19 25 29 34 41 44
Stromsgodset 1572 29 31.61 -2.61 38.0% 17 20 27 32 36 41 47
Hamarkameratene 1526 21 29.61 -8.61 9.0% 15 18 25 30 34 40 46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.63%
Strong Edge
49.45%24.73%25.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge
144 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
083.67400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.64 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.58+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Top-Heavy
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
48%
Stabaek, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.19 * Some Luck: 5.19 to 7.79 * Lucky: 7.79 to 10.38 * Wild Swing: 10.38 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.32 * Close: 2.32 to 3.48 * Off: 3.48 to 4.63 * Way Off: 4.63 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.30 points
Some Luck
06.4916
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.86
Pinpoint
02.906
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
95.00%
Fredrikstad
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
9.00%
Hamarkameratene
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected 0.0
1 of 1
Several Surprises
01

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 65.12
1.38
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%79%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Very Even
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.92
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.22
Weak Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.82
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.79
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.069
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Stabaek48.00%19.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Fredrikstad5.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%
Tromso5.00%10.00%17.00%13.00%13.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—
Bodo Glimt1.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%8.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%15.00%17.00%14.00%
Rosenborg10.00%23.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Viking5.00%9.00%7.00%9.00%15.00%6.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%
Lyn Oslo4.00%4.00%8.00%3.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%10.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%
Brann11.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%13.00%11.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%
Molde1.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%
Valerenga5.00%3.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%
Stromsgodset1.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%
Lillestrom3.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%
Aalesund——2.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%10.00%12.00%18.00%17.00%15.00%
Hamarkameratene1.00%1.00%—2.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%14.00%17.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Stabaek 100% — —
Tromso 99.00% 1.00% —
Rosenborg 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Brann 96.00% 2.00% 2.00%
Viking 94.00% 2.00% 4.00%
Lyn Oslo 92.00% 4.00% 4.00%
Fredrikstad 91.00% 5.00% 4.00%
Valerenga 91.00% 4.00% 5.00%
Lillestrom 88.00% 7.00% 5.00%
Stromsgodset 77.00% 11.00% 12.00%
Molde 76.00% 11.00% 13.00%
Bodo Glimt 69.00% 17.00% 14.00%
Hamarkameratene 62.00% 17.00% 21.00%
Aalesund — 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2008-03-29 Aalesund W 1-053.7 1654 1611 53.79% 24.43% 21.77%+0.88 +4.8 3
2008-03-29 @ Valerenga L 0-153.7 1611 1654 21.77% 24.43% 53.79%-0.88 -4.8 0
2008-03-30 Fredrikstad W 4-259.9 1673 1620 54.99% 24.16% 20.86%+0.95 +6.7 3
2008-03-30 @ Brann L 2-459.9 1620 1673 20.86% 24.16% 54.99%-0.95 -6.7 0
2008-03-30 Hamarkameratene W 2-052.6 1584 1628 42.45% 26.05% 31.50%+0.27 +12.3 3
2008-03-30 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-252.6 1628 1584 31.50% 26.05% 42.45%-0.27 -12.3 0
2008-03-30 Stabaek D 0-065.8 1599 1687 36.37% 26.23% 37.40%-0.03 +0.0 1
2008-03-30 @ Molde D 0-065.8 1687 1599 37.40% 26.23% 36.37%+0.03 -0.0 1
2008-03-30 Stromsgodset W 1-052.9 1658 1597 55.81% 23.95% 20.24%+1.00 +4.5 3
2008-03-30 @ Viking L 0-152.9 1597 1658 20.24% 23.95% 55.81%-1.00 -4.5 0
2008-03-30 Tromso D 1-171.2 1673 1643 52.16% 24.78% 23.06%+0.79 -1.2 1
2008-03-30 @ Lillestrom D 1-171.2 1643 1673 23.06% 24.78% 52.16%-0.79 +1.2 1
2008-03-31 Lyn Oslo W 2-159.4 1682 1627 55.11% 24.12% 20.76%+0.96 +4.3 3
2008-03-31 @ Rosenborg L 1-259.4 1627 1682 20.76% 24.12% 55.11%-0.96 -4.3 0
2008-04-05 Brann W 4-264.8 1606 1680 38.26% 26.22% 35.52%+0.07 +10.5 3
2008-04-05 @ Aalesund L 2-464.8 1680 1606 35.52% 26.22% 38.26%-0.07 -10.5 3
2008-04-06 Bodo Glimt W 3-155.7 1623 1596 51.75% 24.86% 23.39%+0.77 +8.3 3
2008-04-06 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-355.7 1596 1623 23.39% 24.86% 51.75%-0.77 -8.3 3
2008-04-06 Lillestrom W 4-262.0 1687 1672 50.31% 25.12% 24.56%+0.69 +7.8 4
2008-04-06 @ Stabaek L 2-462.0 1672 1687 24.56% 25.12% 50.31%-0.69 -7.8 1
2008-04-06 Molde W 2-159.3 1613 1599 50.15% 25.15% 24.70%+0.68 +5.0 3
2008-04-06 @ Fredrikstad L 1-259.3 1599 1613 24.70% 25.15% 50.15%-0.68 -5.0 1
2008-04-06 Valerenga W 2-052.9 1644 1659 46.45% 25.68% 27.86%+0.48 +11.2 4
2008-04-06 @ Tromso L 0-252.9 1659 1644 27.86% 25.68% 46.45%-0.48 -11.2 3
2008-04-06 Viking W 3-268.0 1616 1662 42.17% 26.07% 31.76%+0.26 +5.9 3
2008-04-06 @ Hamarkameratene L 2-368.0 1662 1616 31.76% 26.07% 42.17%-0.26 -5.9 3
2008-04-07 Rosenborg W 3-270.0 1593 1686 35.54% 26.22% 38.24%-0.07 +6.8 3
2008-04-07 @ Stromsgodset L 2-370.0 1686 1593 38.24% 26.22% 35.54%+0.07 -6.8 3
2008-04-12 Fredrikstad L 1-269.8 1679 1618 55.89% 23.93% 20.18%+1.01 -9.7 3
2008-04-12 @ Rosenborg W 2-169.8 1618 1679 20.18% 23.93% 55.89%-1.01 +9.7 6
2008-04-13 Aalesund W 2-159.4 1657 1616 53.41% 24.52% 22.07%+0.86 +4.6 6
2008-04-13 @ Viking L 1-259.4 1616 1657 22.07% 24.52% 53.41%-0.86 -4.6 3
2008-04-13 Hamarkameratene W 2-160.3 1631 1622 49.59% 25.25% 25.17%+0.65 +5.1 6
2008-04-13 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-260.3 1622 1631 25.17% 25.25% 49.59%-0.65 -5.1 3
2008-04-13 Stabaek D 1-170.3 1588 1694 33.72% 26.17% 40.11%-0.16 +0.2 4
2008-04-13 @ Bodo Glimt D 1-170.3 1694 1588 40.11% 26.17% 33.72%+0.16 -0.2 5
2008-04-13 Tromso D 0-065.3 1594 1655 40.14% 26.17% 33.69%+0.16 -0.3 2
2008-04-13 @ Molde D 0-065.3 1655 1594 33.69% 26.17% 40.14%-0.16 +0.3 5
2008-04-13 Valerenga L 0-357.6 1664 1648 50.44% 25.10% 24.46%+0.69 -25.8 1
2008-04-13 @ Lillestrom W 3-057.6 1648 1664 24.46% 25.10% 50.44%-0.69 +25.8 6
2008-04-14 Stromsgodset D 1-170.9 1670 1600 56.88% 23.66% 19.45%+1.07 -1.6 4
2008-04-14 @ Brann D 1-170.9 1600 1670 19.45% 23.66% 56.88%-1.07 +1.6 4
2008-04-19 Brann W 3-049.9 1694 1668 51.70% 24.87% 23.43%+0.76 +14.0 8
2008-04-19 @ Stabaek L 0-349.9 1668 1694 23.43% 24.87% 51.70%-0.76 -14.0 4
2008-04-20 Hamarkameratene W 5-049.8 1612 1617 47.73% 25.52% 26.75%+0.55 +25.2 6
2008-04-20 @ Aalesund L 0-549.8 1617 1612 26.75% 25.52% 47.73%-0.55 -25.2 3
2008-04-20 Lyn Oslo W 2-161.8 1601 1636 43.71% 25.96% 30.33%+0.34 +6.0 7
2008-04-20 @ Stromsgodset L 1-261.8 1636 1601 30.33% 25.96% 43.71%-0.34 -6.0 6
2008-04-20 Molde D 1-170.0 1638 1594 53.86% 24.42% 21.72%+0.89 -1.3 2
2008-04-20 @ Lillestrom D 1-170.0 1594 1638 21.72% 24.42% 53.86%-0.89 +1.3 3
2008-04-20 Rosenborg D 1-171.3 1673 1670 48.88% 25.36% 25.77%+0.61 -0.9 7
2008-04-20 @ Valerenga D 1-171.3 1670 1673 25.77% 25.36% 48.88%-0.61 +0.9 4
2008-04-20 Viking L 0-162.5 1656 1661 47.66% 25.53% 26.81%+0.54 -9.0 5
2008-04-20 @ Tromso W 1-062.5 1661 1656 26.81% 25.53% 47.66%-0.54 +9.0 9
2008-04-21 Bodo Glimt W 2-049.4 1628 1588 53.33% 24.54% 22.13%+0.86 +9.1 9
2008-04-21 @ Fredrikstad L 0-249.4 1588 1628 22.13% 24.54% 53.33%-0.86 -9.1 4
2008-04-26 Tromso L 0-163.5 1671 1647 51.44% 24.92% 23.64%+0.75 -9.6 4
2008-04-26 @ Rosenborg W 1-063.5 1647 1671 23.64% 24.92% 51.44%-0.75 +9.6 8
2008-04-27 Aalesund W 2-162.3 1579 1637 40.57% 26.15% 33.28%+0.18 +6.4 7
2008-04-27 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-262.3 1637 1579 33.28% 26.15% 40.57%-0.18 -6.4 6
2008-04-27 Fredrikstad D 0-065.8 1630 1637 47.54% 25.55% 26.92%+0.54 -0.9 7
2008-04-27 @ Lyn Oslo D 0-065.8 1637 1630 26.92% 25.55% 47.54%-0.54 +0.9 10
2008-04-27 Lillestrom W 2-160.5 1654 1637 50.60% 25.07% 24.32%+0.70 +5.0 7
2008-04-27 @ Brann L 1-260.5 1637 1654 24.32% 25.07% 50.60%-0.70 -5.0 2
2008-04-27 Stabaek L 0-254.3 1592 1708 32.36% 26.10% 41.54%-0.23 -12.6 3
2008-04-27 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-054.3 1708 1592 41.54% 26.10% 32.36%+0.23 +12.6 11
2008-04-27 Stromsgodset D 0-064.5 1595 1607 46.84% 25.64% 27.53%+0.50 -0.9 4
2008-04-27 @ Molde D 0-064.5 1607 1595 27.53% 25.64% 46.84%-0.50 +0.9 8
2008-04-28 Valerenga L 2-373.5 1670 1673 48.07% 25.47% 26.45%+0.57 -8.1 9
2008-04-28 @ Viking W 3-273.5 1673 1670 26.45% 25.47% 48.07%-0.57 +8.1 10
2008-05-03 Brann D 0-066.4 1656 1659 48.01% 25.48% 26.50%+0.56 -1.0 9
2008-05-03 @ Tromso D 0-066.4 1659 1656 26.50% 25.48% 48.01%-0.56 +1.0 8
2008-05-04 Bodo Glimt L 1-266.8 1608 1586 51.25% 24.96% 23.79%+0.74 -9.0 8
2008-05-04 @ Stromsgodset W 2-166.8 1586 1608 23.79% 24.96% 51.25%-0.74 +9.0 10
2008-05-04 Hamarkameratene W 2-157.8 1638 1579 55.62% 24.00% 20.38%+0.99 +4.2 13
2008-05-04 @ Fredrikstad L 1-257.8 1579 1638 20.38% 24.00% 55.62%-0.99 -4.2 3
2008-05-04 Lyn Oslo L 0-456.1 1631 1630 48.52% 25.41% 26.07%+0.59 -32.6 6
2008-05-04 @ Aalesund W 4-056.1 1630 1631 26.07% 25.41% 48.52%-0.59 +32.6 10
2008-05-04 Molde L 1-270.0 1681 1595 58.71% 23.14% 18.15%+1.18 -10.1 10
2008-05-04 @ Valerenga W 2-170.0 1595 1681 18.15% 23.14% 58.71%-1.18 +10.1 7
2008-05-04 Rosenborg W 1-054.5 1721 1661 55.71% 23.97% 20.32%+1.00 +4.5 14
2008-05-04 @ Stabaek L 0-154.5 1661 1721 20.32% 23.97% 55.71%-1.00 -4.5 4
2008-05-05 Viking W 2-053.4 1632 1662 44.37% 25.90% 29.73%+0.37 +11.8 5
2008-05-05 @ Lillestrom L 0-253.4 1662 1632 29.73% 25.90% 44.37%-0.37 -11.8 9
2008-05-16 Aalesund W 5-048.1 1642 1598 53.89% 24.41% 21.69%+0.89 +21.0 16
2008-05-16 @ Fredrikstad L 0-548.1 1598 1642 21.69% 24.41% 53.89%-0.89 -21.0 6
2008-05-16 Lillestrom W 4-049.5 1657 1643 50.07% 25.17% 24.76%+0.67 +19.2 7
2008-05-16 @ Rosenborg L 0-449.5 1643 1657 24.76% 25.17% 50.07%-0.67 -19.2 5
2008-05-16 Stabaek L 0-257.5 1662 1725 39.84% 26.18% 33.99%+0.14 -14.7 10
2008-05-16 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-057.5 1725 1662 33.99% 26.18% 39.84%-0.14 +14.7 17
2008-05-16 Tromso W 2-054.0 1595 1655 40.19% 26.17% 33.65%+0.16 +12.9 13
2008-05-16 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-254.0 1655 1595 33.65% 26.17% 40.19%-0.16 -13.0 9
2008-05-16 Valerenga W 1-056.6 1660 1671 47.01% 25.62% 27.38%+0.51 +5.8 11
2008-05-16 @ Brann L 0-156.6 1671 1660 27.38% 25.62% 47.01%-0.51 -5.8 10
2008-05-16 Viking L 2-370.8 1605 1650 42.27% 26.06% 31.67%+0.26 -7.3 7
2008-05-16 @ Molde W 3-270.8 1650 1605 31.67% 26.06% 42.27%-0.26 +7.3 12
2008-05-19 Stromsgodset D 1-168.3 1575 1599 45.18% 25.82% 29.00%+0.41 -0.6 4
2008-05-19 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-168.3 1599 1575 29.00% 25.82% 45.18%-0.41 +0.6 9
2008-05-24 Rosenborg L 1-264.6 1597 1676 37.64% 26.23% 36.13%+0.04 -7.0 7
2008-05-24 @ Molde W 2-164.6 1676 1597 36.13% 26.23% 37.64%-0.04 +7.0 10
2008-05-25 Bodo Glimt D 0-066.3 1665 1608 55.42% 24.05% 20.53%+0.98 -1.6 11
2008-05-25 @ Valerenga D 0-066.3 1608 1665 20.53% 24.05% 55.42%-0.98 +1.6 14
2008-05-25 Brann L 1-268.0 1658 1666 47.31% 25.58% 27.11%+0.52 -8.4 12
2008-05-25 @ Viking W 2-168.0 1666 1658 27.11% 25.58% 47.31%-0.52 +8.4 14
2008-05-25 Fredrikstad W 1-057.9 1600 1663 39.78% 26.18% 34.04%+0.14 +6.9 12
2008-05-25 @ Stromsgodset L 0-157.9 1663 1600 34.04% 26.18% 39.78%-0.14 -6.9 16
2008-05-25 Hamarkameratene D 0-064.9 1624 1574 54.59% 24.25% 21.16%+0.93 -1.5 6
2008-05-25 @ Lillestrom D 0-064.9 1574 1624 21.16% 24.25% 54.59%-0.93 +1.6 5
2008-05-25 Lyn Oslo W 2-052.3 1642 1647 47.70% 25.53% 26.77%+0.55 +10.8 12
2008-05-25 @ Tromso L 0-252.3 1647 1642 26.77% 25.53% 47.70%-0.55 -10.8 10
2008-05-26 Aalesund W 2-156.1 1740 1577 66.62% 20.25% 13.13%+1.72 +2.7 20
2008-05-26 @ Stabaek L 1-256.1 1577 1740 13.13% 20.25% 66.62%-1.72 -2.7 6
2008-05-31 Molde L 3-477.7 1674 1590 58.47% 23.21% 18.32%+1.17 -9.3 14
2008-05-31 @ Brann W 4-377.7 1590 1674 18.32% 23.21% 58.47%-1.17 +9.3 10
2008-06-01 Stabaek L 0-354.5 1656 1743 36.51% 26.23% 37.26%-0.02 -20.0 16
2008-06-01 @ Fredrikstad W 3-054.5 1743 1656 37.26% 26.23% 36.51%+0.02 +20.0 23
2008-06-01 Stromsgodset W 3-157.1 1574 1607 44.08% 25.93% 30.00%+0.36 +10.3 9
2008-06-01 @ Aalesund L 1-357.1 1607 1574 30.00% 25.93% 44.08%-0.36 -10.2 12
2008-06-01 Valerenga W 2-053.3 1637 1663 44.90% 25.85% 29.25%+0.40 +11.6 13
2008-06-01 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-253.3 1663 1637 29.25% 25.85% 44.90%-0.40 -11.6 11
2008-06-01 Viking W 2-051.4 1683 1649 52.62% 24.69% 22.69%+0.82 +9.4 13
2008-06-01 @ Rosenborg L 0-251.4 1649 1683 22.69% 24.69% 52.62%-0.82 -9.4 12
2008-06-02 Lillestrom W 1-055.3 1609 1623 46.62% 25.66% 27.72%+0.49 +5.9 17
2008-06-02 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-155.3 1623 1609 27.72% 25.66% 46.62%-0.49 -5.9 6
2008-06-04 Brann D 1-171.6 1692 1665 51.83% 24.85% 23.32%+0.77 -1.2 14
2008-06-04 @ Rosenborg D 1-171.6 1665 1692 23.32% 24.85% 51.83%-0.77 +1.2 15
2008-06-05 Hamarkameratene W 3-046.3 1652 1576 57.55% 23.48% 18.97%+1.11 +11.5 14
2008-06-05 @ Valerenga L 0-346.3 1576 1652 18.97% 23.48% 57.55%-1.11 -11.5 5
2008-06-07 Stabaek D 0-066.9 1597 1763 26.33% 25.45% 48.22%-0.57 +1.0 13
2008-06-07 @ Stromsgodset D 0-066.9 1763 1597 48.22% 25.45% 26.33%+0.57 -1.0 24
2008-06-08 Aalesund W 3-047.3 1617 1585 52.45% 24.72% 22.82%+0.81 +13.7 9
2008-06-08 @ Lillestrom L 0-347.3 1585 1617 22.82% 24.72% 52.45%-0.81 -13.7 9
2008-06-08 Bodo Glimt W 2-050.7 1640 1615 51.52% 24.91% 23.58%+0.75 +9.7 15
2008-06-08 @ Viking L 0-250.7 1615 1640 23.58% 24.91% 51.52%-0.75 -9.7 17
2008-06-08 Fredrikstad L 0-162.9 1653 1636 50.52% 25.09% 24.39%+0.70 -9.4 12
2008-06-08 @ Tromso W 1-062.9 1636 1653 24.39% 25.09% 50.52%-0.70 +9.4 19
2008-06-08 Lyn Oslo L 0-159.9 1600 1648 41.85% 26.09% 32.07%+0.24 -8.1 10
2008-06-08 @ Molde W 1-059.9 1648 1600 32.07% 26.09% 41.85%-0.24 +8.1 16
2008-06-27 Rosenborg D 1-170.5 1605 1691 36.61% 26.23% 37.16%-0.01 +0.0 18
2008-06-27 @ Bodo Glimt D 1-170.5 1691 1605 37.16% 26.23% 36.61%+0.01 -0.0 15
2008-06-28 Brann D 0-064.9 1564 1666 34.33% 26.19% 39.48%-0.13 +0.2 6
2008-06-28 @ Hamarkameratene D 0-064.9 1666 1564 39.48% 26.19% 34.33%+0.13 -0.2 16
2008-06-28 Lillestrom W 2-161.5 1598 1631 44.00% 25.93% 30.07%+0.35 +5.9 16
2008-06-28 @ Stromsgodset L 1-261.5 1631 1598 30.07% 25.93% 44.00%-0.35 -5.9 9
2008-06-28 Molde D 1-168.0 1571 1592 45.67% 25.77% 28.56%+0.44 -0.7 10
2008-06-28 @ Aalesund D 1-168.0 1592 1571 28.56% 25.77% 45.67%-0.44 +0.7 11
2008-06-28 Tromso L 2-472.7 1762 1644 62.14% 22.01% 15.86%+1.40 -16.4 24
2008-06-28 @ Stabaek W 4-272.7 1644 1762 15.86% 22.01% 62.14%-1.40 +16.4 15
2008-06-28 Viking D 1-170.9 1656 1649 49.28% 25.30% 25.43%+0.63 -1.0 17
2008-06-28 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-170.9 1649 1656 25.43% 25.30% 49.28%-0.63 +1.0 16
2008-06-30 Valerenga W 2-162.1 1646 1663 46.12% 25.72% 28.16%+0.46 +5.6 22
2008-06-30 @ Fredrikstad L 1-262.1 1663 1646 28.16% 25.72% 46.12%-0.46 -5.6 14
2008-07-02 Aalesund W 3-153.2 1691 1570 62.42% 21.90% 15.67%+1.42 +5.7 18
2008-07-02 @ Rosenborg L 1-353.2 1570 1691 15.67% 21.90% 62.42%-1.42 -5.7 10
2008-07-05 Bodo Glimt W 4-152.7 1666 1605 55.81% 23.95% 20.24%+1.00 +10.3 19
2008-07-05 @ Brann L 1-452.7 1605 1666 20.24% 23.95% 55.81%-1.00 -10.3 18
2008-07-06 Hamarkameratene W 2-048.4 1592 1565 51.89% 24.83% 23.28%+0.77 +9.6 14
2008-07-06 @ Molde L 0-248.4 1565 1592 23.28% 24.83% 51.89%-0.77 -9.6 6
2008-07-06 Lyn Oslo L 1-266.6 1625 1655 44.30% 25.91% 29.80%+0.37 -8.0 9
2008-07-06 @ Lillestrom W 2-166.6 1655 1625 29.80% 25.91% 44.30%-0.37 +8.0 20
2008-07-06 Stabaek W 2-165.9 1657 1745 36.29% 26.23% 37.48%-0.03 +7.0 17
2008-07-06 @ Valerenga L 1-265.9 1745 1657 37.48% 26.23% 36.29%+0.03 -7.0 24
2008-07-06 Stromsgodset W 2-049.7 1660 1603 55.35% 24.07% 20.59%+0.98 +8.6 18
2008-07-06 @ Tromso L 0-249.7 1603 1660 20.59% 24.07% 55.35%-0.98 -8.6 16
2008-07-07 Fredrikstad D 1-170.8 1650 1651 48.27% 25.45% 26.28%+0.58 -0.9 17
2008-07-07 @ Viking D 1-170.8 1651 1650 26.28% 25.45% 48.27%-0.58 +0.9 23
2008-07-09 Rosenborg W 2-166.4 1555 1697 29.16% 25.84% 45.00%-0.40 +8.1 9
2008-07-09 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-266.4 1697 1555 45.00% 25.84% 29.16%+0.40 -8.1 18
2008-07-12 Tromso L 1-359.5 1565 1668 34.04% 26.18% 39.78%-0.14 -11.3 10
2008-07-12 @ Aalesund W 3-159.5 1668 1565 39.78% 26.18% 34.04%+0.14 +11.3 21
2008-07-13 Lillestrom W 4-048.2 1652 1617 52.86% 24.64% 22.50%+0.83 +17.6 26
2008-07-13 @ Fredrikstad L 0-448.2 1617 1652 22.50% 24.64% 52.86%-0.83 -17.6 9
2008-07-13 Molde D 2-274.7 1595 1602 47.52% 25.55% 26.93%+0.54 -0.6 19
2008-07-13 @ Bodo Glimt D 2-274.7 1602 1595 26.93% 25.55% 47.52%-0.54 +0.6 15
2008-07-13 Valerenga L 1-361.5 1595 1664 38.91% 26.21% 34.88%+0.10 -12.5 16
2008-07-13 @ Stromsgodset W 3-161.5 1664 1595 34.88% 26.21% 38.91%-0.10 +12.5 20
2008-07-13 Viking D 0-067.9 1738 1650 58.99% 23.05% 17.96%+1.20 -2.0 25
2008-07-13 @ Stabaek D 0-067.9 1650 1738 17.96% 23.05% 58.99%-1.20 +2.0 18
2008-07-14 Brann D 1-171.2 1663 1676 46.71% 25.65% 27.63%+0.49 -0.8 21
2008-07-14 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-171.2 1676 1663 27.63% 25.65% 46.71%-0.49 +0.8 20
2008-07-19 Valerenga W 5-156.7 1602 1677 38.20% 26.22% 35.58%+0.06 +21.3 18
2008-07-19 @ Molde L 1-556.7 1677 1602 35.58% 26.22% 38.20%-0.06 -21.3 20
2008-07-20 Aalesund L 1-270.1 1677 1553 62.73% 21.79% 15.48%+1.44 -10.6 20
2008-07-20 @ Brann W 2-170.1 1553 1677 15.48% 21.79% 62.73%-1.44 +10.6 13
2008-07-20 Bodo Glimt W 3-048.2 1599 1595 48.97% 25.34% 25.69%+0.61 +15.1 12
2008-07-20 @ Lillestrom L 0-348.2 1595 1599 25.69% 25.34% 48.97%-0.61 -15.1 19
2008-07-20 Hamarkameratene W 2-156.4 1680 1563 62.01% 22.05% 15.94%+1.39 +3.3 24
2008-07-20 @ Tromso L 1-256.4 1563 1680 15.94% 22.05% 62.01%-1.39 -3.3 9
2008-07-20 Stromsgodset W 3-262.7 1663 1582 58.06% 23.33% 18.61%+1.14 +3.7 24
2008-07-20 @ Lyn Oslo L 2-362.7 1582 1663 18.61% 23.33% 58.06%-1.14 -3.7 16
2008-07-21 Fredrikstad W 5-152.5 1736 1670 56.49% 23.77% 19.74%+1.04 +13.0 28
2008-07-21 @ Stabaek L 1-552.5 1670 1736 19.74% 23.77% 56.49%-1.04 -13.0 26
2008-07-23 Rosenborg L 0-161.6 1652 1689 43.45% 25.98% 30.57%+0.32 -8.3 18
2008-07-23 @ Viking W 1-061.6 1689 1652 30.57% 25.98% 43.45%-0.32 +8.3 21
2008-07-26 Brann W 1-056.5 1657 1666 47.15% 25.60% 27.25%+0.52 +5.8 29
2008-07-26 @ Fredrikstad L 0-156.5 1666 1657 27.25% 25.60% 47.15%-0.52 -5.8 20
2008-07-27 Lillestrom L 1-263.6 1560 1614 41.04% 26.13% 32.83%+0.20 -7.5 9
2008-07-27 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-163.6 1614 1560 32.83% 26.13% 41.04%-0.20 +7.5 15
2008-07-27 Lyn Oslo W 2-164.1 1579 1666 36.41% 26.23% 37.36%-0.02 +7.0 22
2008-07-27 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-264.1 1666 1579 37.36% 26.23% 36.41%+0.02 -7.0 24
2008-07-27 Molde W 4-050.1 1579 1624 42.35% 26.06% 31.60%+0.27 +23.4 19
2008-07-27 @ Stromsgodset L 0-450.1 1624 1579 31.60% 26.06% 42.35%-0.27 -23.4 18
2008-07-27 Viking L 1-263.4 1564 1643 37.52% 26.23% 36.26%+0.03 -7.0 13
2008-07-27 @ Aalesund W 2-163.4 1643 1564 36.26% 26.23% 37.52%-0.03 +7.0 21
2008-07-28 Tromso D 0-066.6 1656 1683 44.74% 25.87% 29.40%+0.39 -0.7 21
2008-07-28 @ Valerenga D 0-066.6 1683 1656 29.40% 25.87% 44.74%-0.39 +0.7 25
2008-08-02 Fredrikstad D 1-171.0 1655 1663 47.37% 25.57% 27.06%+0.53 -0.8 22
2008-08-02 @ Valerenga D 1-171.0 1663 1655 27.06% 25.57% 47.37%-0.53 +0.8 30
2008-08-02 Hamarkameratene W 4-150.1 1661 1552 61.12% 22.36% 16.52%+1.34 +8.5 23
2008-08-02 @ Brann L 1-450.1 1552 1661 16.52% 22.36% 61.12%-1.34 -8.5 9
2008-08-03 Bodo Glimt W 4-150.3 1749 1586 66.62% 20.25% 13.13%+1.72 +6.6 31
2008-08-03 @ Stabaek L 1-450.3 1586 1749 13.13% 20.25% 66.62%-1.72 -6.6 22
2008-08-03 Lyn Oslo W 2-052.7 1650 1659 47.20% 25.59% 27.21%+0.52 +10.9 24
2008-08-03 @ Viking L 0-252.7 1659 1650 27.21% 25.59% 47.20%-0.52 -10.9 24
2008-08-03 Rosenborg W 4-051.3 1684 1697 46.68% 25.66% 27.67%+0.49 +21.0 28
2008-08-03 @ Tromso L 0-451.3 1697 1684 27.67% 25.66% 46.68%-0.49 -21.0 21
2008-08-03 Stromsgodset W 3-156.0 1622 1602 50.88% 25.03% 24.10%+0.72 +8.5 18
2008-08-03 @ Lillestrom L 1-356.0 1602 1622 24.10% 25.03% 50.88%-0.72 -8.5 19
2008-08-04 Aalesund D 0-063.8 1600 1557 53.81% 24.43% 21.76%+0.88 -1.5 19
2008-08-04 @ Molde D 0-063.8 1557 1600 21.76% 24.43% 53.81%-0.88 +1.5 14
2008-08-06 Stabaek L 1-266.1 1676 1756 37.41% 26.23% 36.36%+0.03 -7.0 21
2008-08-06 @ Rosenborg W 2-166.1 1756 1676 36.36% 26.23% 37.41%-0.03 +7.0 34
2008-08-06 Tromso L 0-155.3 1544 1705 26.88% 25.54% 47.58%-0.54 -5.7 9
2008-08-06 @ Hamarkameratene W 1-055.3 1705 1544 47.58% 25.54% 26.88%+0.54 +5.8 31
2008-08-09 Brann W 2-054.8 1594 1669 38.07% 26.22% 35.71%+0.06 +13.5 22
2008-08-09 @ Stromsgodset L 0-254.8 1669 1594 35.71% 26.22% 38.07%-0.06 -13.5 23
2008-08-10 Lillestrom W 1-054.8 1648 1630 50.71% 25.06% 24.24%+0.71 +5.3 27
2008-08-10 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-154.8 1630 1648 24.24% 25.06% 50.71%-0.71 -5.3 18
2008-08-10 Molde W 3-155.0 1669 1599 56.90% 23.66% 19.44%+1.07 +7.0 24
2008-08-10 @ Rosenborg L 1-355.0 1599 1669 19.44% 23.66% 56.90%-1.07 -7.0 19
2008-08-10 Stabaek L 1-260.2 1558 1763 22.35% 24.60% 53.05%-0.84 -4.6 14
2008-08-10 @ Aalesund W 2-160.2 1763 1558 53.05% 24.60% 22.35%+0.84 +4.6 37
2008-08-10 Valerenga D 1-168.7 1538 1654 32.41% 26.11% 41.48%-0.23 +0.3 10
2008-08-10 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-168.7 1654 1538 41.48% 26.11% 32.41%+0.23 -0.3 23
2008-08-10 Viking W 3-268.9 1580 1661 37.22% 26.23% 36.56%+0.02 +6.5 25
2008-08-10 @ Bodo Glimt L 2-368.9 1661 1580 36.56% 26.23% 37.22%-0.02 -6.5 24
2008-08-11 Tromso W 2-054.9 1663 1711 42.06% 26.07% 31.86%+0.25 +12.4 33
2008-08-11 @ Fredrikstad L 0-254.9 1711 1663 31.86% 26.07% 42.06%-0.25 -12.4 31
2008-08-23 Lyn Oslo D 1-172.9 1767 1654 61.70% 22.16% 16.14%+1.37 -2.0 38
2008-08-23 @ Stabaek D 1-172.9 1654 1767 16.14% 22.16% 61.70%-1.37 +1.9 28
2008-08-24 Aalesund W 1-050.2 1698 1554 64.82% 20.99% 14.19%+1.59 +3.1 34
2008-08-24 @ Tromso L 0-150.2 1554 1698 14.19% 20.99% 64.82%-1.59 -3.1 14
2008-08-24 Bodo Glimt L 1-265.9 1592 1586 49.10% 25.32% 25.57%+0.62 -8.7 19
2008-08-24 @ Molde W 2-165.9 1586 1592 25.57% 25.32% 49.10%-0.62 +8.7 28
2008-08-24 Fredrikstad D 1-169.2 1538 1676 29.67% 25.89% 44.44%-0.37 +0.6 11
2008-08-24 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-169.2 1676 1538 44.44% 25.89% 29.67%+0.37 -0.6 34
2008-08-24 Lillestrom D 0-066.2 1655 1625 52.13% 24.79% 23.08%+0.79 -1.3 25
2008-08-24 @ Viking D 0-066.2 1625 1655 23.08% 24.79% 52.13%-0.79 +1.3 19
2008-08-24 Rosenborg D 0-066.5 1655 1676 45.70% 25.77% 28.53%+0.44 -0.8 24
2008-08-24 @ Brann D 0-066.5 1676 1655 28.53% 25.77% 45.70%-0.44 +0.8 25
2008-08-25 Stromsgodset L 1-268.8 1654 1607 54.18% 24.35% 21.47%+0.91 -9.4 23
2008-08-25 @ Valerenga W 2-168.8 1607 1654 21.47% 24.35% 54.18%-0.91 +9.4 25
2008-08-30 Fredrikstad D 0-064.9 1551 1675 31.29% 26.03% 42.68%-0.29 +0.5 15
2008-08-30 @ Aalesund D 0-064.9 1675 1551 42.68% 26.03% 31.29%+0.29 -0.5 35
2008-08-31 Brann W 3-159.7 1595 1655 40.30% 26.16% 33.54%+0.17 +11.2 31
2008-08-31 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-359.7 1655 1595 33.54% 26.16% 40.30%-0.17 -11.2 24
2008-08-31 Hamarkameratene L 1-267.3 1617 1539 57.76% 23.42% 18.82%+1.12 -9.9 25
2008-08-31 @ Stromsgodset W 2-167.3 1539 1617 18.82% 23.42% 57.76%-1.12 +9.9 14
2008-08-31 Molde D 3-380.0 1653 1583 56.92% 23.66% 19.43%+1.07 -1.0 26
2008-08-31 @ Viking D 3-380.0 1583 1653 19.43% 23.66% 56.92%-1.07 +1.0 20
2008-08-31 Tromso D 3-380.9 1656 1701 42.26% 26.06% 31.68%+0.26 -0.3 29
2008-08-31 @ Lyn Oslo D 3-380.9 1701 1656 31.68% 26.06% 42.26%-0.26 +0.3 35
2008-08-31 Valerenga W 2-160.4 1677 1644 52.46% 24.72% 22.82%+0.81 +4.7 28
2008-08-31 @ Rosenborg L 1-260.4 1644 1677 22.82% 24.72% 52.46%-0.81 -4.7 23
2008-09-01 Stabaek D 1-171.5 1626 1766 29.46% 25.87% 44.67%-0.39 +0.6 20
2008-09-01 @ Lillestrom D 1-171.5 1766 1626 44.67% 25.87% 29.46%+0.39 -0.6 39
2008-09-13 Bodo Glimt D 0-067.2 1702 1606 59.73% 22.82% 17.45%+1.25 -2.0 36
2008-09-13 @ Tromso D 0-067.2 1606 1702 17.45% 22.82% 59.73%-1.25 +2.0 32
2008-09-14 Aalesund W 2-156.9 1549 1551 48.10% 25.47% 26.43%+0.57 +5.3 17
2008-09-14 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-256.9 1551 1549 26.43% 25.47% 48.10%-0.57 -5.3 15
2008-09-14 Lillestrom D 1-169.1 1584 1627 42.67% 26.03% 31.30%+0.28 -0.5 21
2008-09-14 @ Molde D 1-169.1 1627 1584 31.30% 26.03% 42.67%-0.28 +0.4 21
2008-09-14 Rosenborg D 1-171.4 1675 1681 47.54% 25.55% 26.91%+0.54 -0.8 36
2008-09-14 @ Fredrikstad D 1-171.4 1681 1675 26.91% 25.55% 47.54%-0.54 +0.8 29
2008-09-14 Stromsgodset W 6-047.0 1765 1607 66.19% 20.43% 13.38%+1.68 +15.3 42
2008-09-14 @ Stabaek L 0-647.0 1607 1765 13.38% 20.43% 66.19%-1.68 -15.3 25
2008-09-14 Viking D 1-170.7 1643 1652 47.24% 25.59% 27.17%+0.52 -0.8 25
2008-09-14 @ Brann D 1-170.7 1652 1643 27.17% 25.59% 47.24%-0.52 +0.8 27
2008-09-15 Lyn Oslo L 1-267.4 1640 1655 46.32% 25.70% 27.98%+0.47 -8.3 23
2008-09-15 @ Valerenga W 2-167.4 1655 1640 27.98% 25.70% 46.32%-0.47 +8.3 32
2008-09-20 Fredrikstad W 2-163.8 1608 1674 39.44% 26.19% 34.37%+0.12 +6.6 35
2008-09-20 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-263.8 1674 1608 34.37% 26.19% 39.44%-0.12 -6.6 36
2008-09-21 Hamarkameratene W 4-044.6 1682 1554 63.16% 21.63% 15.21%+1.47 +12.0 32
2008-09-21 @ Rosenborg L 0-444.6 1554 1682 15.21% 21.63% 63.16%-1.47 -12.0 17
2008-09-21 Molde L 1-366.1 1664 1584 58.02% 23.34% 18.63%+1.14 -17.3 32
2008-09-21 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-166.1 1584 1664 18.63% 23.34% 58.02%-1.14 +17.3 24
2008-09-21 Stabaek W 4-161.7 1653 1780 30.97% 26.01% 43.02%-0.30 +19.1 30
2008-09-21 @ Viking L 1-461.7 1780 1653 43.02% 26.01% 30.97%+0.30 -19.1 42
2008-09-21 Tromso L 1-360.3 1591 1700 33.45% 26.16% 40.39%-0.17 -11.2 25
2008-09-21 @ Stromsgodset W 3-160.3 1700 1591 40.39% 26.16% 33.45%+0.17 +11.2 39
2008-09-21 Valerenga D 0-063.8 1546 1631 36.62% 26.23% 37.15%-0.01 +0.0 16
2008-09-21 @ Aalesund D 0-063.8 1631 1546 37.15% 26.23% 36.62%+0.01 -0.0 24
2008-09-22 Brann D 1-170.3 1627 1643 46.38% 25.69% 27.93%+0.48 -0.7 22
2008-09-22 @ Lillestrom D 1-170.3 1643 1627 27.93% 25.69% 46.38%-0.48 +0.7 26
2008-09-27 Lillestrom L 0-165.3 1711 1627 58.49% 23.20% 18.30%+1.17 -10.7 39
2008-09-27 @ Tromso W 1-065.3 1627 1711 18.30% 23.20% 58.49%-1.17 +10.7 25
2008-09-28 Bodo Glimt D 2-273.5 1542 1615 38.48% 26.21% 35.31%+0.08 -0.1 18
2008-09-28 @ Hamarkameratene D 2-273.5 1615 1542 35.31% 26.21% 38.48%-0.08 +0.1 36
2008-09-28 Lyn Oslo W 2-052.2 1643 1646 48.01% 25.48% 26.51%+0.56 +10.7 29
2008-09-28 @ Brann L 0-252.2 1646 1643 26.51% 25.48% 48.01%-0.56 -10.7 32
2008-09-28 Rosenborg L 1-261.1 1546 1694 28.36% 25.75% 45.89%-0.45 -5.6 16
2008-09-28 @ Aalesund W 2-161.1 1694 1546 45.89% 25.75% 28.36%+0.45 +5.7 35
2008-09-28 Stromsgodset W 2-157.4 1667 1580 58.85% 23.10% 18.06%+1.19 +3.8 39
2008-09-28 @ Fredrikstad L 1-257.4 1580 1667 18.06% 23.10% 58.85%-1.19 -3.8 25
2008-09-28 Viking L 0-161.1 1631 1672 42.92% 26.02% 31.06%+0.30 -8.2 24
2008-09-28 @ Valerenga W 1-061.1 1672 1631 31.06% 26.02% 42.92%-0.30 +8.3 33
2008-09-29 Molde W 4-045.3 1761 1601 66.36% 20.36% 13.28%+1.70 +10.4 45
2008-09-29 @ Stabaek L 0-445.3 1601 1761 13.28% 20.36% 66.36%-1.70 -10.4 24
2008-10-04 Hamarkameratene W 3-043.1 1772 1542 72.63% 17.46% 9.91%+2.18 +5.7 48
2008-10-04 @ Stabaek L 0-343.1 1542 1772 9.91% 17.46% 72.63%-2.18 -5.7 18
2008-10-05 Aalesund L 0-159.6 1576 1540 52.92% 24.62% 22.45%+0.83 -9.8 25
2008-10-05 @ Stromsgodset W 1-059.6 1540 1576 22.45% 24.62% 52.92%-0.83 +9.8 19
2008-10-05 Fredrikstad L 1-266.9 1637 1671 43.87% 25.94% 30.18%+0.35 -7.9 25
2008-10-05 @ Lillestrom W 2-166.9 1671 1637 30.18% 25.94% 43.87%-0.35 +7.9 42
2008-10-05 Rosenborg L 1-266.0 1636 1700 39.67% 26.18% 34.15%+0.14 -7.3 32
2008-10-05 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-166.0 1700 1636 34.15% 26.18% 39.67%-0.14 +7.3 38
2008-10-05 Tromso W 2-162.9 1680 1700 45.81% 25.76% 28.43%+0.45 +5.7 36
2008-10-05 @ Viking L 1-262.9 1700 1680 28.43% 25.76% 45.81%-0.45 -5.7 39
2008-10-05 Valerenga L 1-266.7 1615 1623 47.32% 25.58% 27.10%+0.53 -8.4 36
2008-10-05 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-166.7 1623 1615 27.10% 25.58% 47.32%-0.53 +8.4 27
2008-10-06 Brann W 3-268.2 1591 1654 39.76% 26.18% 34.06%+0.14 +6.2 27
2008-10-06 @ Molde L 2-368.2 1654 1591 34.06% 26.18% 39.76%-0.14 -6.2 29
2008-10-18 Molde D 4-482.9 1694 1597 59.97% 22.74% 17.29%+1.26 -1.0 40
2008-10-18 @ Tromso D 4-482.9 1597 1694 17.29% 22.74% 59.97%-1.26 +1.0 28
2008-10-19 Bodo Glimt W 1-055.3 1550 1606 40.76% 26.14% 33.10%+0.19 +6.8 22
2008-10-19 @ Aalesund L 0-155.3 1606 1550 33.10% 26.14% 40.76%-0.19 -6.8 36
2008-10-19 Lyn Oslo W 3-267.6 1536 1628 35.71% 26.22% 38.07%-0.06 +6.7 21
2008-10-19 @ Hamarkameratene L 2-367.6 1628 1536 38.07% 26.22% 35.71%+0.06 -6.7 32
2008-10-19 Stabaek L 1-264.0 1648 1777 30.70% 25.99% 43.32%-0.32 -6.0 29
2008-10-19 @ Brann W 2-164.0 1777 1648 43.32% 25.99% 30.70%+0.32 +6.0 51
2008-10-19 Stromsgodset D 1-171.7 1707 1567 64.45% 21.14% 14.41%+1.56 -2.2 39
2008-10-19 @ Rosenborg D 1-171.7 1567 1707 14.41% 21.14% 64.45%-1.56 +2.2 26
2008-10-19 Viking W 1-056.8 1679 1686 47.48% 25.56% 26.97%+0.53 +5.8 45
2008-10-19 @ Fredrikstad L 0-156.8 1686 1679 26.97% 25.56% 47.48%-0.53 -5.8 36
2008-10-20 Lillestrom W 3-157.4 1631 1629 48.66% 25.39% 25.95%+0.60 +9.1 30
2008-10-20 @ Valerenga L 1-357.4 1629 1631 25.95% 25.39% 48.66%-0.60 -9.1 25
2008-10-26 Aalesund W 3-045.6 1622 1557 56.32% 23.82% 19.87%+1.03 +12.0 35
2008-10-26 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-345.6 1557 1622 19.87% 23.82% 56.32%-1.03 -12.0 22
2008-10-26 Fredrikstad L 1-264.4 1598 1685 36.40% 26.23% 37.37%-0.02 -6.9 28
2008-10-26 @ Molde W 2-164.4 1685 1598 37.37% 26.23% 36.40%+0.02 +6.9 48
2008-10-26 Hamarkameratene W 3-044.3 1680 1543 64.10% 21.27% 14.62%+1.54 +8.8 39
2008-10-26 @ Viking L 0-344.3 1543 1680 14.62% 21.27% 64.10%-1.54 -8.8 21
2008-10-26 Rosenborg W 4-265.8 1620 1705 36.73% 26.23% 37.04%-0.01 +10.8 28
2008-10-26 @ Lillestrom L 2-465.8 1705 1620 37.04% 26.23% 36.73%+0.01 -10.8 39
2008-10-26 Stromsgodset W 3-262.8 1600 1569 52.29% 24.76% 22.96%+0.80 +4.5 39
2008-10-26 @ Bodo Glimt L 2-362.8 1569 1600 22.96% 24.76% 52.29%-0.80 -4.5 26
2008-10-26 Tromso D 1-171.0 1642 1693 41.45% 26.11% 32.44%+0.22 -0.4 30
2008-10-26 @ Brann D 1-171.0 1693 1642 32.44% 26.11% 41.45%-0.22 +0.3 41
2008-10-26 Valerenga W 6-251.9 1783 1641 64.65% 21.06% 14.29%+1.58 +8.0 54
2008-10-26 @ Stabaek L 2-651.9 1641 1783 14.29% 21.06% 64.65%-1.58 -8.0 30
2008-11-02 Bodo Glimt L 1-367.1 1694 1604 59.15% 23.00% 17.85%+1.21 -17.6 39
2008-11-02 @ Rosenborg W 3-167.1 1604 1694 17.85% 23.00% 59.15%-1.21 +17.6 42
2008-11-02 Brann L 0-161.8 1633 1642 47.22% 25.59% 27.19%+0.52 -8.9 30
2008-11-02 @ Valerenga W 1-061.8 1642 1633 27.19% 25.59% 47.22%-0.52 +8.9 33
2008-11-02 Lillestrom W 3-051.5 1545 1631 36.51% 26.23% 37.26%-0.02 +20.3 25
2008-11-02 @ Aalesund L 0-351.5 1631 1545 37.26% 26.23% 36.51%+0.02 -20.3 28
2008-11-02 Lyn Oslo L 0-261.0 1692 1634 55.54% 24.02% 20.44%+0.99 -19.2 48
2008-11-02 @ Fredrikstad W 2-061.0 1634 1692 20.44% 24.02% 55.54%-0.99 +19.2 38
2008-11-02 Molde L 0-156.7 1534 1591 40.74% 26.14% 33.12%+0.19 -7.9 21
2008-11-02 @ Hamarkameratene W 1-056.7 1591 1534 33.12% 26.14% 40.74%-0.19 +7.9 31
2008-11-02 Stabaek W 1-061.3 1694 1791 34.93% 26.21% 38.86%-0.10 +7.7 44
2008-11-02 @ Tromso L 0-161.3 1791 1694 38.86% 26.21% 34.93%+0.10 -7.7 54
2008-11-02 Viking W 3-270.9 1564 1689 31.25% 26.03% 42.72%-0.29 +7.3 29
2008-11-02 @ Stromsgodset L 2-370.9 1689 1564 42.72% 26.03% 31.25%+0.29 -7.4 39

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2008-11-08 Aalesund L 1-4 1527 1565 43.29% 25.99% 30.72%+0.32 -19.2 0-1
2008-11-08 @ Sogndal W 4-1 1565 1527 30.72% 25.99% 43.29%-0.32 +19.2 1-0
2008-11-12 Sogndal W 3-1 1584 1508 57.65% 23.45% 18.90%+1.12 +6.8 2-0
2008-11-12 @ Aalesund L 1-3 1508 1584 18.90% 23.45% 57.65%-1.12 -6.8 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-07-20 15.48% Aalesund 1553 2 @ Brann 1677 1
2 2008-06-28 15.86% Tromso 1644 4 @ Stabaek 1762 2
3 2008-11-02 17.85% Bodo Glimt 1604 3 @ Rosenborg 1694 1
4 2008-05-04 18.15% Molde 1595 2 @ Valerenga 1681 1
5 2008-09-27 18.30% Lillestrom 1627 1 @ Tromso 1711 0
6 2008-05-31 18.32% Molde 1590 4 @ Brann 1674 3
7 2008-09-21 18.63% Molde 1584 3 @ Lyn Oslo 1664 1
8 2008-08-31 18.82% Hamarkameratene 1539 2 @ Stromsgodset 1617 1
9 2008-04-12 20.18% Fredrikstad 1618 2 @ Rosenborg 1679 1
10 2008-11-02 20.44% Lyn Oslo 1634 2 @ Fredrikstad 1692 0
11 2008-08-25 21.47% Stromsgodset 1607 2 @ Valerenga 1654 1
12 2008-10-05 22.45% Aalesund 1540 1 @ Stromsgodset 1576 0
13 2008-04-26 23.64% Tromso 1647 1 @ Rosenborg 1671 0
14 2008-05-04 23.79% Bodo Glimt 1586 2 @ Stromsgodset 1608 1
15 2008-06-08 24.39% Fredrikstad 1636 1 @ Tromso 1653 0
16 2008-04-13 24.46% Valerenga 1648 3 @ Lillestrom 1664 0
17 2008-08-24 25.57% Bodo Glimt 1586 2 @ Molde 1592 1
18 2008-05-04 26.07% Lyn Oslo 1630 4 @ Aalesund 1631 0
19 2008-04-28 26.45% Valerenga 1673 3 @ Viking 1670 2
20 2008-04-20 26.81% Viking 1661 1 @ Tromso 1656 0
21 2008-10-05 27.10% Valerenga 1623 2 @ Bodo Glimt 1615 1
22 2008-05-25 27.11% Brann 1666 2 @ Viking 1658 1
23 2008-11-02 27.19% Brann 1642 1 @ Valerenga 1633 0
24 2008-09-15 27.98% Lyn Oslo 1655 2 @ Valerenga 1640 1
25 2008-07-09 29.16% @ Hamarkameratene 1555 2 Rosenborg 1697 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-05-04 32.61 Lyn Oslo 4 1630 26.07% @ Aalesund 0 1631 48.52% 25.41%
2 2008-04-13 25.77 Valerenga 3 1648 24.46% @ Lillestrom 0 1664 50.44% 25.10%
3 2008-04-20 25.22 @ Aalesund 5 1612 47.73% Hamarkameratene 0 1617 26.75% 25.52%
4 2008-07-27 23.41 @ Stromsgodset 4 1579 42.35% Molde 0 1624 31.60% 26.06%
5 2008-07-19 21.34 @ Molde 5 1602 38.20% Valerenga 1 1677 35.58% 26.22%
6 2008-08-03 21.04 @ Tromso 4 1684 46.68% Rosenborg 0 1697 27.67% 25.66%
7 2008-05-16 21.01 @ Fredrikstad 5 1642 53.89% Aalesund 0 1598 21.69% 24.41%
8 2008-11-02 20.30 @ Aalesund 3 1545 36.51% Lillestrom 0 1631 37.26% 26.23%
9 2008-06-01 19.99 Stabaek 3 1743 37.26% @ Fredrikstad 0 1656 36.51% 26.23%
10 2008-11-02 19.23 Lyn Oslo 2 1634 20.44% @ Fredrikstad 0 1692 55.54% 24.02%
11 2008-05-16 19.17 @ Rosenborg 4 1657 50.07% Lillestrom 0 1643 24.76% 25.17%
12 2008-09-21 19.10 @ Viking 4 1653 30.97% Stabaek 1 1780 43.02% 26.01%
13 2008-07-13 17.61 @ Fredrikstad 4 1652 52.86% Lillestrom 0 1617 22.50% 24.64%
14 2008-11-02 17.56 Bodo Glimt 3 1604 17.85% @ Rosenborg 1 1694 59.15% 23.00%
15 2008-09-21 17.28 Molde 3 1584 18.63% @ Lyn Oslo 1 1664 58.02% 23.34%
16 2008-06-28 16.36 Tromso 4 1644 15.86% @ Stabaek 2 1762 62.14% 22.01%
17 2008-09-14 15.32 @ Stabaek 6 1765 66.19% Stromsgodset 0 1607 13.38% 20.43%
18 2008-07-20 15.14 @ Lillestrom 3 1599 48.97% Bodo Glimt 0 1595 25.69% 25.34%
19 2008-05-16 14.69 Stabaek 2 1725 33.99% @ Lyn Oslo 0 1662 39.84% 26.18%
20 2008-04-19 13.98 @ Stabaek 3 1694 51.70% Brann 0 1668 23.43% 24.87%
21 2008-06-08 13.66 @ Lillestrom 3 1617 52.45% Aalesund 0 1585 22.82% 24.72%
22 2008-08-09 13.54 @ Stromsgodset 2 1594 38.07% Brann 0 1669 35.71% 26.22%
23 2008-07-21 13.00 @ Stabaek 5 1736 56.49% Fredrikstad 1 1670 19.74% 23.77%
24 2008-05-16 12.95 @ Bodo Glimt 2 1595 40.19% Tromso 0 1655 33.65% 26.17%
25 2008-04-27 12.57 Stabaek 2 1708 41.54% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1592 32.36% 26.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-10-18 82.9 @ Tromso 4 1694 59.97% Molde 4 1597 17.29% 22.74%
2 2008-08-31 80.9 @ Lyn Oslo 3 1656 42.26% Tromso 3 1701 31.68% 26.06%
3 2008-08-31 80.0 @ Viking 3 1653 56.92% Molde 3 1583 19.43% 23.66%
4 2008-05-31 77.7 Molde 4 1590 18.32% @ Brann 3 1674 58.47% 23.21%
5 2008-07-13 74.7 @ Bodo Glimt 2 1595 47.52% Molde 2 1602 26.93% 25.55%
6 2008-04-28 73.5 Valerenga 3 1673 26.45% @ Viking 2 1670 48.07% 25.47%
7 2008-09-28 73.5 @ Hamarkameratene 2 1542 38.48% Bodo Glimt 2 1615 35.31% 26.21%
8 2008-08-23 72.9 @ Stabaek 1 1767 61.70% Lyn Oslo 1 1654 16.14% 22.16%
9 2008-06-28 72.7 Tromso 4 1644 15.86% @ Stabaek 2 1762 62.14% 22.01%
10 2008-10-19 71.7 @ Rosenborg 1 1707 64.45% Stromsgodset 1 1567 14.41% 21.14%
11 2008-06-04 71.6 @ Rosenborg 1 1692 51.83% Brann 1 1665 23.32% 24.85%
12 2008-09-01 71.5 @ Lillestrom 1 1626 29.46% Stabaek 1 1766 44.67% 25.87%
13 2008-09-14 71.4 @ Fredrikstad 1 1675 47.54% Rosenborg 1 1681 26.91% 25.55%
14 2008-04-20 71.3 @ Valerenga 1 1673 48.88% Rosenborg 1 1670 25.77% 25.36%
15 2008-03-30 71.2 @ Lillestrom 1 1673 52.16% Tromso 1 1643 23.06% 24.78%
16 2008-07-14 71.2 @ Lyn Oslo 1 1663 46.71% Brann 1 1676 27.63% 25.65%
17 2008-08-02 71.0 @ Valerenga 1 1655 47.37% Fredrikstad 1 1663 27.06% 25.57%
18 2008-10-26 71.0 @ Brann 1 1642 41.45% Tromso 1 1693 32.44% 26.11%
19 2008-04-14 70.9 @ Brann 1 1670 56.88% Stromsgodset 1 1600 19.45% 23.66%
20 2008-06-28 70.9 @ Lyn Oslo 1 1656 49.28% Viking 1 1649 25.43% 25.30%
21 2008-11-02 70.9 @ Stromsgodset 3 1564 31.25% Viking 2 1689 42.72% 26.03%
22 2008-05-16 70.8 Viking 3 1650 31.67% @ Molde 2 1605 42.27% 26.06%
23 2008-07-07 70.8 @ Viking 1 1650 48.27% Fredrikstad 1 1651 26.28% 25.45%
24 2008-09-14 70.7 @ Brann 1 1643 47.24% Viking 1 1652 27.17% 25.59%
25 2008-06-27 70.5 @ Bodo Glimt 1 1605 36.61% Rosenborg 1 1691 37.16% 26.23%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-10-04 43.1 @ Stabaek 3 1772 72.63% Hamarkameratene 0 1542 9.91% 17.46%
2 2008-10-26 44.3 @ Viking 3 1680 64.10% Hamarkameratene 0 1543 14.62% 21.27%
3 2008-09-21 44.6 @ Rosenborg 4 1682 63.16% Hamarkameratene 0 1554 15.21% 21.63%
4 2008-09-29 45.3 @ Stabaek 4 1761 66.36% Molde 0 1601 13.28% 20.36%
5 2008-10-26 45.6 @ Lyn Oslo 3 1622 56.32% Aalesund 0 1557 19.87% 23.82%
6 2008-06-05 46.3 @ Valerenga 3 1652 57.55% Hamarkameratene 0 1576 18.97% 23.48%
7 2008-09-14 47.0 @ Stabaek 6 1765 66.19% Stromsgodset 0 1607 13.38% 20.43%
8 2008-06-08 47.3 @ Lillestrom 3 1617 52.45% Aalesund 0 1585 22.82% 24.72%
9 2008-05-16 48.1 @ Fredrikstad 5 1642 53.89% Aalesund 0 1598 21.69% 24.41%
10 2008-07-13 48.2 @ Fredrikstad 4 1652 52.86% Lillestrom 0 1617 22.50% 24.64%
11 2008-07-20 48.2 @ Lillestrom 3 1599 48.97% Bodo Glimt 0 1595 25.69% 25.34%
12 2008-07-06 48.4 @ Molde 2 1592 51.89% Hamarkameratene 0 1565 23.28% 24.83%
13 2008-04-21 49.4 @ Fredrikstad 2 1628 53.33% Bodo Glimt 0 1588 22.13% 24.54%
14 2008-05-16 49.5 @ Rosenborg 4 1657 50.07% Lillestrom 0 1643 24.76% 25.17%
15 2008-07-06 49.7 @ Tromso 2 1660 55.35% Stromsgodset 0 1603 20.59% 24.07%
16 2008-04-20 49.8 @ Aalesund 5 1612 47.73% Hamarkameratene 0 1617 26.75% 25.52%
17 2008-04-19 49.9 @ Stabaek 3 1694 51.70% Brann 0 1668 23.43% 24.87%
18 2008-07-27 50.1 @ Stromsgodset 4 1579 42.35% Molde 0 1624 31.60% 26.06%
19 2008-08-02 50.1 @ Brann 4 1661 61.12% Hamarkameratene 1 1552 16.52% 22.36%
20 2008-08-24 50.2 @ Tromso 1 1698 64.82% Aalesund 0 1554 14.19% 20.99%
21 2008-08-03 50.3 @ Stabaek 4 1749 66.62% Bodo Glimt 1 1586 13.13% 20.25%
22 2008-06-08 50.7 @ Viking 2 1640 51.52% Bodo Glimt 0 1615 23.58% 24.91%
23 2008-08-03 51.3 @ Tromso 4 1684 46.68% Rosenborg 0 1697 27.67% 25.66%
24 2008-06-01 51.4 @ Rosenborg 2 1683 52.62% Viking 0 1649 22.69% 24.69%
25 2008-11-02 51.5 @ Aalesund 3 1545 36.51% Lillestrom 0 1631 37.26% 26.23%