2007 Tippeligaen Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Brann

54 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Brann

13.96 points above expected

54 points · 40.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sandefjord

14.17 points below expected

16 points · 30.17 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Brann	26	17	3	6	54	59	39	+20	40.0	+13.96
2	Stabaek	26	14	6	6	48	53	35	+18	40.3	+7.73
3	Viking	26	14	5	7	47	50	40	+10	37.9	+9.11
4	Lillestrom	26	12	8	6	44	47	28	+19	42.3	+1.70
5	Rosenborg	26	12	5	9	41	53	39	+14	43.5	-2.53
6	Tromso	26	12	4	10	40	45	44	+1	36.1	+3.92
7	Valerenga	26	10	6	10	36	34	34	0	40.2	-4.25
8	Fredrikstad	26	9	9	8	36	37	40	-3	35.6	+0.41
9	Lyn Oslo	26	10	4	12	34	43	46	-3	37.3	-3.26
10	Stromsgodset	26	8	6	12	30	34	47	-13	29.9	+0.06
11	Aalesund	26	9	3	14	30	40	56	-16	30.9	-0.94
12	Odd Grenland	26	8	3	15	27	33	43	-10	33.2	-6.19
13	Start	26	6	8	12	26	34	44	-10	34.9	-8.88
14	Sandefjord	26	4	4	18	16	26	53	-27	30.2	-14.17

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Stabaek	1683	48	40.27	+7.73	88.8%	13	29	36	40	45	51	65
Rosenborg	1682	41	43.53	-2.53	38.3%	18	32	39	44	48	54	71
Brann	1679	54	40.04	+13.96	98.5%	14	29	35	40	45	51	64
Lillestrom	1672	44	42.30	+1.70	62.8%	16	31	38	42	47	53	67
Viking	1647	47	37.89	+9.11	92.1%	13	27	33	38	42	49	66
Valerenga	1643	36	40.25	-4.25	29.0%	18	29	36	40	45	51	63
Tromso	1620	40	36.08	+3.92	74.3%	11	25	32	36	41	47	62
Lyn Oslo	1601	34	37.26	-3.26	34.5%	14	26	33	37	42	48	64
Fredrikstad	1586	36	35.59	+0.41	56.1%	13	25	31	36	40	46	63
Start	1569	26	34.88	-8.88	10.1%	11	24	30	35	39	46	61
Odd Grenland	1555	27	33.19	-6.19	19.7%	12	23	29	33	38	44	57
Aalesund	1549	30	30.94	-0.94	48.0%	7	20	27	31	35	42	56
Stromsgodset	1521	30	29.94	+0.06	54.1%	8	19	25	30	34	41	56
Sandefjord	1491	16	30.17	-14.17	1.6%	11	20	26	30	35	41	56

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BRA	FRE	LIL	LO	OG	ROS	SAN	STA	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	1-0-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.00	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.66	0-1-1 1.95	1-0-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.19	1-0-1 2.61	2-0-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.15	0-0-2 2.41
Brann	1-0-1 3.63	—	1-1-0 3.07	2-0-0 2.70	1-0-1 3.23	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 2.55	2-0-0 3.37	2-0-0 2.61	0-2-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.39	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.97
Fredrikstad	1-1-0 3.07	0-1-1 2.56	—	0-1-1 2.39	1-1-0 2.55	0-1-1 3.00	1-1-0 2.21	1-1-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 3.24	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.43	1-1-0 2.66
Lillestrom	2-0-0 3.65	0-0-2 2.92	1-1-0 3.23	—	2-0-0 3.08	1-1-0 3.35	1-1-0 2.69	1-1-0 3.86	0-1-1 3.01	1-1-0 3.42	1-1-0 3.61	0-0-2 3.36	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.26
Lyn Oslo	0-1-1 3.28	1-0-1 2.41	0-1-1 3.08	0-0-2 2.54	—	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 3.43	1-0-1 2.48	2-0-0 3.06	1-1-0 3.31	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 2.54	0-0-2 2.75
Odd Grenland	1-0-1 2.97	0-0-2 2.30	1-1-0 2.61	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.47	—	0-0-2 2.01	2-0-0 3.07	0-0-2 2.40	2-0-0 2.55	0-0-2 3.09	1-0-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.20	0-0-2 2.57
Rosenborg	1-1-0 3.70	1-0-1 3.07	0-1-1 3.43	0-1-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.22	2-0-0 3.65	—	2-0-0 3.71	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 3.44	0-1-1 3.80	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 3.05	1-1-0 3.14
Sandefjord	1-0-1 2.72	0-0-2 2.28	0-1-1 2.34	0-1-1 1.82	1-0-1 2.19	0-0-2 2.55	0-0-2 1.96	—	0-1-1 2.19	0-0-2 2.49	0-0-2 2.82	1-0-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.16	1-1-0 2.24
Stabaek	2-0-0 3.46	0-0-2 3.00	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 2.61	1-0-1 3.13	2-0-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.60	1-1-0 3.44	—	0-2-0 3.16	2-0-0 3.70	2-0-0 3.11	0-2-0 2.83	1-0-1 2.95
Start	1-0-1 3.01	0-2-0 2.46	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.21	0-0-2 2.56	0-0-2 3.07	1-0-1 2.19	2-0-0 3.13	0-2-0 2.48	—	0-0-2 3.21	0-2-0 2.68	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.62
Stromsgodset	0-0-2 2.78	0-0-2 2.24	1-1-0 2.39	0-1-1 2.04	0-1-1 2.32	2-0-0 2.54	1-1-0 1.86	2-0-0 2.81	0-0-2 1.95	2-0-0 2.43	—	0-1-1 2.33	0-1-1 2.14	0-0-2 2.20
Tromso	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 2.40	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 2.29	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 3.17	0-0-2 2.51	0-2-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.31	—	1-1-0 2.52	1-0-1 2.65
Valerenga	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 2.75	0-1-1 3.07	1-1-0 3.43	1-0-1 2.57	2-0-0 3.47	0-2-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.17	1-1-0 3.50	0-1-1 3.10	—	0-0-2 2.87
Viking	2-0-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.96	0-1-1 2.37	2-0-0 2.86	2-0-0 3.04	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 3.38	1-0-1 2.68	1-1-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.45	1-0-1 2.97	2-0-0 2.76	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	4.40%	4.95%	3.57%	1.65%	1.10%	19.51%
1	4.40%	11.54%	9.07%	5.49%	3.02%	0.55%	34.07%
2	4.95%	9.07%	4.40%	3.30%	1.65%	0.27%	23.63%
3	3.57%	5.49%	3.30%	0.55%	0.82%	—	13.74%
4	1.65%	3.02%	1.65%	0.82%	—	—	7.14%
5+	1.10%	0.55%	0.27%	—	—	—	1.92%
Total	19.51%	34.07%	23.63%	13.74%	7.14%	1.92%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.183
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	3.85%	—	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	19.23%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.15
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.357
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	30.77%	30.77%	11.54%	—	3.85%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.439
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	30.77%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	23.08%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	—	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.083
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	23.08%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	46.15%
2	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	46.15%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.288
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%	—	—	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	19.23%	11.54%	34.62%	7.69%	—	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.152
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	—	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	46.15%
2	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	23.08%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Odd Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	2.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.363
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	15.38%	23.08%	—	3.85%	—	42.31%
2	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	34.62%	30.77%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.110
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	—	42.31%
1	—	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	26.92%	30.77%	23.08%	11.54%	—	100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.277
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	46.15%	26.92%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.59
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.292
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	23.08%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	42.31%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	46.15%	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	—	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.049
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
2	—	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	30.77%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.186
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	—	23.08%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	34.62%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	38.46%	26.92%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.090
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	42.31%	19.23%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.016
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
1	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
3	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	42.31%	23.08%	—	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.171
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Brann	54	40.0	+13.96
2	Viking	47	37.9	+9.11
3	Stabaek	48	40.3	+7.73
4	Tromso	40	36.1	+3.92
5	Lillestrom	44	42.3	+1.70

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sandefjord	16	30.2	-14.17
2	Start	26	34.9	-8.88
3	Odd Grenland	27	33.2	-6.19
4	Valerenga	36	40.2	-4.25
5	Lyn Oslo	34	37.3	-3.26

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tromso	4	Sep 16 – Oct 7	1 in 59
2	Brann	5	Sep 2 – Oct 8	1 in 43
3	Stabaek	5	Jun 10 – Jul 1	1 in 36
4	Viking	4	May 16 – Jun 17	1 in 30
5	Valerenga	4	Sep 2 – Sep 30	1 in 17

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sandefjord	9	Aug 12 – Oct 28	1 in 526
2	Start	6	Jun 17 – Jul 29	1 in 257
3	Lillestrom	3	Sep 16 – Sep 30	1 in 41
4	Odd Grenland	4	May 6 – May 28	1 in 28
5	Tromso	3	May 28 – Jun 17	1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stabaek	12	Apr 15 – Jul 1	1 in 343
2	Fredrikstad	7	Jul 1 – Sep 3	1 in 52
3	Lillestrom	9	Jun 21 – Sep 2	1 in 52
4	Start	6	Apr 9 – May 10	1 in 29
5	Stromsgodset	4	Apr 23 – May 13	1 in 23

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Start	10	Jun 17 – Sep 2	1 in 135
2	Sandefjord	10	Aug 12 – Nov 3	1 in 34
3	Valerenga	5	Jun 20 – Jul 29	1 in 26
4	Lillestrom	5	May 16 – Jun 21	1 in 15
5	Aalesund	6	Apr 9 – May 13	1 in 14

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Brann	11.80%	11.79%	11.18%	9.87%	10.06%	8.89%	7.79%	6.51%	5.85%	5.09%	4.18%	3.12%	2.46%	1.41%
Stabaek	11.94%	11.72%	11.66%	11.19%	9.35%	8.55%	7.93%	6.86%	6.02%	4.52%	3.85%	3.04%	2.14%	1.23%
Viking	6.48%	7.59%	8.19%	9.15%	8.98%	9.21%	9.46%	8.38%	8.27%	6.84%	5.70%	5.03%	4.07%	2.65%
Lillestrom	19.31%	14.74%	13.73%	10.74%	9.54%	7.34%	6.07%	5.27%	4.07%	3.33%	2.34%	1.73%	1.25%	0.54%
Rosenborg	23.41%	17.35%	13.32%	10.75%	8.22%	7.27%	5.31%	4.32%	3.32%	2.59%	1.76%	1.43%	0.58%	0.37%
Tromso	3.62%	5.02%	6.29%	6.58%	8.19%	8.52%	8.67%	9.38%	8.78%	8.84%	8.47%	7.22%	6.03%	4.39%
Valerenga	10.53%	11.62%	11.09%	10.55%	9.41%	9.23%	8.20%	7.21%	6.01%	5.08%	4.36%	3.09%	2.28%	1.34%
Fredrikstad	2.88%	4.62%	5.64%	6.64%	7.30%	8.29%	8.02%	8.77%	9.21%	9.50%	8.80%	8.21%	7.09%	5.03%
Lyn Oslo	5.05%	6.54%	7.39%	8.43%	8.79%	8.24%	8.87%	8.69%	8.14%	8.10%	7.36%	6.54%	4.67%	3.19%
Stromsgodset	0.50%	0.99%	1.04%	2.04%	2.47%	3.32%	4.76%	5.42%	7.14%	8.66%	10.98%	13.39%	16.67%	22.62%
Aalesund	0.50%	1.06%	1.58%	2.40%	3.14%	4.31%	4.94%	6.50%	7.78%	9.30%	11.36%	13.29%	15.61%	18.23%
Odd Grenland	1.40%	2.27%	2.93%	4.23%	5.42%	6.16%	7.21%	7.57%	9.46%	9.81%	10.73%	11.00%	12.00%	9.81%
Start	2.19%	3.76%	4.69%	5.44%	6.76%	7.31%	7.96%	9.46%	9.01%	9.67%	9.13%	9.77%	8.09%	6.76%
Sandefjord	0.39%	0.93%	1.27%	1.99%	2.37%	3.36%	4.81%	5.66%	6.94%	8.67%	10.98%	13.14%	17.06%	22.43%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	97.6%	1.2%	0.3%	0.9%
Lillestrom	96.5%	1.3%	0.4%	1.8%
Stabaek	93.6%	2.4%	0.7%	3.4%
Valerenga	93.3%	2.4%	0.7%	3.6%
Brann	93.0%	2.3%	0.8%	3.9%
Viking	88.2%	3.7%	1.3%	6.7%
Lyn Oslo	85.6%	4.5%	2.0%	7.9%
Tromso	82.4%	5.2%	2.0%	10.4%
Fredrikstad	79.7%	5.5%	2.7%	12.1%
Start	75.4%	6.6%	3.2%	14.8%
Odd Grenland	67.2%	7.0%	4.0%	21.8%
Aalesund	52.9%	8.3%	5.0%	33.8%
Stromsgodset	47.3%	7.5%	5.9%	39.3%
Sandefjord	47.4%	7.4%	5.8%	39.5%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2007-04-09	Start	L 2-4	1569	1599	49.8%	19.7%	30.6%	-7.7	0
2007-04-09	@ Aalesund	W 4-2	1599	1569	30.6%	19.7%	49.8%	+7.7	3
2007-04-09	Fredrikstad	W 3-0	1640	1593	59.9%	17.4%	22.7%	+7.2	3
2007-04-09	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1593	1640	22.7%	17.4%	59.9%	-7.2	0
2007-04-09	Sandefjord	W 3-0	1616	1564	60.5%	17.2%	22.2%	+7.1	3
2007-04-09	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-3	1564	1616	22.2%	17.2%	60.5%	-7.1	0
2007-04-09	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1551	1590	48.4%	19.8%	31.7%	+3.4	3
2007-04-09	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1590	1551	31.7%	19.8%	48.4%	-3.4	0
2007-04-09	Valerenga	W 1-0	1607	1653	47.5%	19.9%	32.6%	+3.7	3
2007-04-09	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1653	1607	32.6%	19.9%	47.5%	-3.7	0
2007-04-09	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1609	1665	46.1%	20.1%	33.8%	-0.3	1
2007-04-09	@ Viking	D 1-1	1665	1609	33.8%	20.1%	46.1%	+0.3	1
2007-04-10	Brann	L 0-1	1634	1617	56.0%	18.4%	25.5%	-5.8	0
2007-04-10	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1617	1634	25.5%	18.4%	56.0%	+5.8	3
2007-04-14	Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1586	1624	48.7%	19.8%	31.5%	+5.9	3
2007-04-14	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1624	1586	31.5%	19.8%	48.7%	-5.9	3
2007-04-15	Lillestrom	L 0-1	1587	1647	45.5%	20.1%	34.4%	-4.9	0
2007-04-15	@ Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1647	1587	34.4%	20.1%	45.5%	+4.9	6
2007-04-15	Tromso	W 4-3	1665	1610	60.9%	17.1%	22.0%	+2.2	4
2007-04-15	@ Rosenborg	L 3-4	1610	1665	22.0%	17.1%	60.9%	-2.2	3
2007-04-15	Aalesund	W 3-0	1557	1561	53.3%	19.1%	27.7%	+8.8	3
2007-04-15	@ Sandefjord	L 0-3	1561	1557	27.7%	19.1%	53.3%	-8.8	0
2007-04-15	Viking	D 1-1	1606	1609	53.5%	19.0%	27.5%	-0.6	4
2007-04-15	@ Start	D 1-1	1609	1606	27.5%	19.0%	53.5%	+0.6	2
2007-04-15	Stabaek	D 1-1	1649	1628	56.5%	18.3%	25.1%	-0.8	1
2007-04-15	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1628	1649	25.1%	18.3%	56.5%	+0.8	1
2007-04-16	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1623	1555	62.6%	16.6%	20.9%	+4.0	6
2007-04-16	@ Brann	L 1-3	1555	1623	20.9%	16.6%	62.6%	-4.0	3
2007-04-21	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1629	1668	48.5%	19.8%	31.6%	+3.4	4
2007-04-21	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1668	1629	31.6%	19.8%	48.5%	-3.4	4
2007-04-22	Fredrikstad	D 3-3	1552	1592	48.4%	19.8%	31.7%	-0.2	1
2007-04-22	@ Aalesund	D 3-3	1592	1552	31.7%	19.8%	48.4%	+0.2	4
2007-04-22	Valerenga	W 4-1	1627	1649	50.9%	19.5%	29.6%	+7.9	9
2007-04-22	@ Brann	L 1-4	1649	1627	29.6%	19.5%	50.9%	-7.9	1
2007-04-22	Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1618	1582	58.4%	17.8%	23.8%	+4.5	6
2007-04-22	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1582	1618	23.8%	17.8%	58.4%	-4.5	0
2007-04-22	Start	D 1-1	1608	1606	54.1%	18.9%	27.0%	-0.7	4
2007-04-22	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1606	1608	27.0%	18.9%	54.1%	+0.7	5
2007-04-22	Sandefjord	D 0-0	1610	1566	59.5%	17.5%	23.0%	-1.0	3
2007-04-22	@ Viking	D 0-0	1566	1610	23.0%	17.5%	59.5%	+1.0	4
2007-04-23	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1551	1652	39.6%	20.4%	40.0%	+0.0	4
2007-04-23	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1652	1551	40.0%	20.4%	39.6%	-0.0	7
2007-04-28	Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1641	1551	65.1%	15.7%	19.2%	-1.3	2
2007-04-28	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1551	1641	19.2%	15.7%	65.1%	+1.3	5
2007-04-29	Viking	W 2-0	1592	1609	51.6%	19.4%	29.1%	+6.3	7
2007-04-29	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1609	1592	29.1%	19.4%	51.6%	-6.3	3
2007-04-29	Aalesund	W 3-0	1578	1552	57.1%	18.2%	24.7%	+7.9	3
2007-04-29	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-3	1552	1578	24.7%	18.2%	57.1%	-7.9	1
2007-04-29	Brann	W 3-0	1664	1635	57.6%	18.1%	24.3%	+7.8	7
2007-04-29	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1635	1664	24.3%	18.1%	57.6%	-7.8	9
2007-04-29	Tromso	W 2-1	1567	1608	48.3%	19.9%	31.9%	+3.5	7
2007-04-29	@ Sandefjord	L 1-2	1608	1567	31.9%	19.9%	48.3%	-3.5	4
2007-04-29	Stabaek	D 1-1	1606	1633	50.3%	19.6%	30.2%	-0.5	6
2007-04-29	@ Start	D 1-1	1633	1606	30.2%	19.6%	50.3%	+0.5	5
2007-04-30	Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1652	1622	57.7%	18.0%	24.3%	+4.6	10
2007-04-30	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1622	1652	24.3%	18.0%	57.7%	-4.6	6
2007-05-05	Start	D 2-2	1627	1606	56.6%	18.3%	25.1%	-0.6	10
2007-05-05	@ Brann	D 2-2	1606	1627	25.1%	18.3%	56.6%	+0.6	7
2007-05-06	Sandefjord	D 1-1	1633	1570	61.8%	16.8%	21.4%	-1.0	6
2007-05-06	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1570	1633	21.4%	16.8%	61.8%	+1.0	8
2007-05-06	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1552	1617	44.8%	20.2%	35.0%	-0.2	6
2007-05-06	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1617	1552	35.0%	20.2%	44.8%	+0.2	7
2007-05-06	Fredrikstad	W 4-1	1604	1598	54.6%	18.8%	26.7%	+7.2	7
2007-05-06	@ Tromso	L 1-4	1598	1604	26.7%	18.8%	54.6%	-7.2	7
2007-05-06	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1639	1672	49.4%	19.7%	30.9%	+3.4	5
2007-05-06	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1672	1639	30.9%	19.7%	49.4%	-3.4	7
2007-05-06	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1602	1585	56.0%	18.4%	25.6%	+2.8	6
2007-05-06	@ Viking	L 1-2	1585	1602	25.6%	18.4%	56.0%	-2.8	3
2007-05-07	Lillestrom	L 1-3	1544	1657	38.0%	20.3%	41.6%	-6.9	1
2007-05-07	@ Aalesund	W 3-1	1657	1544	41.6%	20.3%	38.0%	+6.9	13
2007-05-10	Valerenga	W 1-0	1607	1643	48.9%	19.8%	31.4%	+3.6	10
2007-05-10	@ Start	L 0-1	1643	1607	31.4%	19.8%	48.9%	-3.6	5
2007-05-12	Brann	L 2-3	1571	1627	46.2%	20.1%	33.7%	-4.5	8
2007-05-12	@ Sandefjord	W 3-2	1627	1571	33.7%	20.1%	46.2%	+4.5	13
2007-05-13	Stabaek	L 1-2	1591	1632	48.2%	19.9%	31.9%	-4.9	7
2007-05-13	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1632	1591	31.9%	19.9%	48.2%	+4.9	9
2007-05-13	Viking	W 4-1	1664	1605	61.3%	17.0%	21.7%	+5.8	16
2007-05-13	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	1605	1664	21.7%	17.0%	61.3%	-5.8	6
2007-05-13	Aalesund	D 0-0	1618	1537	64.0%	16.1%	19.9%	-1.2	8
2007-05-13	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1537	1618	19.9%	16.1%	64.0%	+1.2	2
2007-05-13	Tromso	L 0-1	1583	1611	49.9%	19.6%	30.4%	-5.3	3
2007-05-13	@ Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1611	1583	30.4%	19.6%	49.9%	+5.3	10
2007-05-13	Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1669	1552	68.2%	14.5%	17.3%	-6.5	7
2007-05-13	@ Rosenborg	W 2-1	1552	1669	17.3%	14.5%	68.2%	+6.5	9
2007-05-16	Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1631	1586	59.6%	17.5%	22.9%	-0.7	14
2007-05-16	@ Brann	D 2-2	1586	1631	22.9%	17.5%	59.6%	+0.7	8
2007-05-16	Start	W 4-1	1662	1610	60.5%	17.2%	22.3%	+6.0	10
2007-05-16	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1610	1662	22.3%	17.2%	60.5%	-6.0	10
2007-05-16	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1637	1577	61.4%	16.9%	21.6%	+2.5	12
2007-05-16	@ Stabaek	L 0-1	1577	1637	21.6%	16.9%	61.4%	-2.5	3
2007-05-16	Aalesund	L 0-4	1558	1538	56.4%	18.4%	25.2%	-21.0	9
2007-05-16	@ Stromsgodset	W 4-0	1538	1558	25.2%	18.4%	56.4%	+21.0	5
2007-05-16	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1617	1670	46.5%	20.0%	33.4%	+3.6	13
2007-05-16	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1670	1617	33.4%	20.0%	46.5%	-3.6	16
2007-05-16	Sandefjord	W 2-0	1639	1567	63.0%	16.4%	20.6%	+4.5	8
2007-05-16	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1567	1639	20.6%	16.4%	63.0%	-4.5	8
2007-05-16	Lyn Oslo	W 4-2	1599	1616	51.5%	19.4%	29.2%	+4.9	9
2007-05-16	@ Viking	L 2-4	1616	1599	29.2%	19.4%	51.5%	-4.9	8
2007-05-25	Stromsgodset	L 2-3	1604	1537	62.4%	16.6%	21.0%	-5.7	10
2007-05-25	@ Start	W 3-2	1537	1604	21.0%	16.6%	62.4%	+5.7	12
2007-05-26	Valerenga	W 1-0	1587	1644	46.0%	20.1%	33.9%	+3.9	11
2007-05-26	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1644	1587	33.9%	20.1%	46.0%	-3.9	8
2007-05-27	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1562	1668	39.0%	20.4%	40.6%	-4.1	8
2007-05-27	@ Sandefjord	W 2-1	1668	1562	40.6%	20.4%	39.0%	+4.1	13
2007-05-28	Viking	L 0-2	1560	1604	47.7%	19.9%	32.4%	-9.6	5
2007-05-28	@ Aalesund	W 2-0	1604	1560	32.4%	19.9%	47.7%	+9.6	12
2007-05-28	Stabaek	D 1-1	1666	1639	57.3%	18.1%	24.6%	-0.8	17
2007-05-28	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1639	1666	24.6%	18.1%	57.3%	+0.8	13
2007-05-28	Tromso	W 4-3	1612	1620	52.6%	19.2%	28.2%	+2.9	11
2007-05-28	@ Lyn Oslo	L 3-4	1620	1612	28.2%	19.2%	52.6%	-2.9	13
2007-05-28	Brann	L 0-2	1575	1631	46.1%	20.1%	33.8%	-9.4	3
2007-05-28	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1631	1575	33.8%	20.1%	46.1%	+9.4	17
2007-06-09	Viking	L 1-2	1543	1614	44.0%	20.2%	35.8%	-4.5	12
2007-06-09	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1614	1543	35.8%	20.2%	44.0%	+4.5	15
2007-06-10	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1640	1665	50.4%	19.6%	30.1%	+5.7	20
2007-06-10	@ Brann	L 1-3	1665	1640	30.1%	19.6%	50.4%	-5.7	17
2007-06-10	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1672	1591	64.1%	16.0%	19.8%	-1.1	14
2007-06-10	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1591	1672	19.8%	16.0%	64.1%	+1.1	12
2007-06-10	Lyn Oslo	W 3-2	1640	1614	57.2%	18.2%	24.7%	+2.6	16
2007-06-10	@ Stabaek	L 2-3	1614	1640	24.7%	18.2%	57.2%	-2.6	11
2007-06-10	Aalesund	L 0-2	1617	1550	62.4%	16.6%	21.0%	-12.0	13
2007-06-10	@ Tromso	W 2-0	1550	1617	21.0%	16.6%	62.4%	+12.0	8
2007-06-10	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1640	1565	63.2%	16.4%	20.4%	-1.1	9
2007-06-10	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1565	1640	20.4%	16.4%	63.2%	+1.1	4
2007-06-11	Sandefjord	W 3-1	1598	1558	59.0%	17.7%	23.3%	+4.4	13
2007-06-11	@ Start	L 1-3	1558	1598	23.3%	17.7%	59.0%	-4.4	8
2007-06-16	Brann	W 6-0	1612	1646	49.2%	19.7%	31.1%	+18.7	14
2007-06-16	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-6	1646	1612	31.1%	19.7%	49.2%	-18.7	20
2007-06-17	Stabaek	L 1-4	1562	1643	42.6%	20.3%	37.1%	-10.7	8
2007-06-17	@ Aalesund	W 4-1	1643	1562	37.1%	20.3%	42.6%	+10.7	19
2007-06-17	Start	W 3-0	1592	1603	52.3%	19.2%	28.4%	+9.1	15
2007-06-17	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1603	1592	28.4%	19.2%	52.3%	-9.0	13
2007-06-17	Valerenga	L 0-1	1659	1639	56.5%	18.3%	25.1%	-5.9	17
2007-06-17	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1639	1659	25.1%	18.3%	56.5%	+5.9	12
2007-06-17	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1554	1538	55.8%	18.5%	25.7%	-5.8	8
2007-06-17	@ Sandefjord	W 1-0	1538	1554	25.7%	18.5%	55.8%	+5.8	15
2007-06-17	Tromso	W 3-1	1618	1605	55.5%	18.6%	25.9%	+4.9	18
2007-06-17	@ Viking	L 1-3	1605	1618	25.9%	18.6%	55.5%	-4.9	13
2007-06-18	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1567	1671	39.2%	20.4%	40.5%	-4.1	4
2007-06-18	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1671	1567	40.5%	20.4%	39.2%	+4.1	17
2007-06-20	Aalesund	W 2-1	1627	1551	63.4%	16.3%	20.3%	+2.2	23
2007-06-20	@ Brann	L 1-2	1551	1627	20.3%	16.3%	63.4%	-2.2	8
2007-06-20	Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1548	1601	46.6%	20.0%	33.4%	-0.2	9
2007-06-20	@ Sandefjord	D 2-2	1601	1548	33.4%	20.0%	46.6%	+0.2	16
2007-06-20	Viking	W 2-1	1654	1623	57.8%	18.0%	24.2%	+2.7	22
2007-06-20	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1623	1654	24.2%	18.0%	57.8%	-2.7	18
2007-06-20	Tromso	L 1-2	1544	1600	46.1%	20.1%	33.8%	-4.7	15
2007-06-20	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1600	1544	33.8%	20.1%	46.1%	+4.7	16
2007-06-20	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1645	1631	55.6%	18.5%	25.8%	-0.8	13
2007-06-20	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1631	1645	25.8%	18.5%	55.6%	+0.8	15
2007-06-21	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1675	1654	56.6%	18.3%	25.1%	-0.8	18
2007-06-21	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1654	1675	25.1%	18.3%	56.6%	+0.8	18
2007-06-21	Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1594	1562	57.9%	18.0%	24.1%	-5.6	13
2007-06-21	@ Start	W 2-1	1562	1594	24.1%	18.0%	57.9%	+5.7	7
2007-06-23	Valerenga	W 1-0	1549	1644	40.6%	20.4%	39.1%	+4.3	11
2007-06-23	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1644	1549	39.1%	20.4%	40.6%	-4.3	13
2007-06-24	Start	W 1-0	1654	1588	62.3%	16.7%	21.1%	+2.4	21
2007-06-24	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1588	1654	21.1%	16.7%	62.3%	-2.5	13
2007-06-24	Sandefjord	W 4-0	1568	1548	56.5%	18.3%	25.2%	+10.5	10
2007-06-24	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-4	1548	1568	25.2%	18.3%	56.5%	-10.5	9
2007-06-24	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1540	1601	45.3%	20.2%	34.5%	+3.7	18
2007-06-24	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1601	1540	34.5%	20.2%	45.3%	-3.7	16
2007-06-24	Stabaek	L 0-1	1605	1656	46.8%	20.0%	33.2%	-5.0	16
2007-06-24	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1656	1605	33.2%	20.0%	46.8%	+5.0	25
2007-06-24	Brann	W 3-1	1620	1629	52.6%	19.2%	28.2%	+5.3	21
2007-06-24	@ Viking	L 1-3	1629	1620	28.2%	19.2%	52.6%	-5.3	23
2007-06-25	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1631	1675	47.9%	19.9%	32.2%	+3.5	18
2007-06-25	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1675	1631	32.2%	19.9%	47.9%	-3.5	18
2007-06-30	Viking	L 1-3	1639	1626	55.6%	18.6%	25.9%	-9.5	13
2007-06-30	@ Valerenga	W 3-1	1626	1639	25.9%	18.6%	55.6%	+9.5	24
2007-07-01	Tromso	W 2-1	1624	1600	56.9%	18.2%	24.9%	+2.7	26
2007-07-01	@ Brann	L 1-2	1600	1624	24.9%	18.2%	56.9%	-2.7	16
2007-07-01	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1597	1579	56.3%	18.4%	25.3%	-0.8	17
2007-07-01	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1579	1597	25.3%	18.4%	56.3%	+0.8	11
2007-07-01	Lillestrom	L 0-2	1537	1657	37.1%	20.3%	42.6%	-7.8	9
2007-07-01	@ Sandefjord	W 2-0	1657	1537	42.6%	20.3%	37.1%	+7.9	24
2007-07-01	Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1661	1543	68.4%	14.4%	17.2%	+1.8	28
2007-07-01	@ Stabaek	L 2-3	1543	1661	17.2%	14.4%	68.4%	-1.8	18
2007-07-01	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1586	1635	47.1%	20.0%	33.0%	-5.0	13
2007-07-01	@ Start	W 1-0	1635	1586	33.0%	20.0%	47.1%	+5.1	21
2007-07-02	Aalesund	D 2-2	1671	1553	68.3%	14.4%	17.2%	-0.9	19
2007-07-02	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1553	1671	17.2%	14.4%	68.3%	+0.9	12
2007-07-21	Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1529	1640	38.3%	20.3%	41.3%	+7.4	12
2007-07-21	@ Sandefjord	L 1-3	1640	1529	41.3%	20.3%	38.3%	-7.4	21
2007-07-22	Stabaek	W 3-0	1626	1663	48.8%	19.8%	31.4%	+9.9	29
2007-07-22	@ Brann	L 0-3	1663	1626	31.4%	19.8%	48.8%	-9.9	28
2007-07-22	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1597	1665	44.4%	20.2%	35.4%	-0.2	18
2007-07-22	@ Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1665	1597	35.4%	20.2%	44.4%	+0.2	25
2007-07-22	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1579	1542	58.7%	17.8%	23.5%	-6.1	11
2007-07-22	@ Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1542	1579	23.5%	17.8%	58.7%	+6.1	21
2007-07-22	Viking	W 4-2	1670	1635	58.3%	17.8%	23.8%	+4.1	22
2007-07-22	@ Rosenborg	L 2-4	1635	1670	23.8%	17.8%	58.3%	-4.1	24
2007-07-22	Aalesund	L 1-2	1581	1554	57.3%	18.1%	24.6%	-5.6	13
2007-07-22	@ Start	W 2-1	1554	1581	24.6%	18.1%	57.3%	+5.6	15
2007-07-23	Tromso	D 2-2	1630	1597	58.1%	17.9%	24.0%	-0.6	14
2007-07-23	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1597	1630	24.0%	17.9%	58.1%	+0.6	17
2007-07-28	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1665	1573	65.3%	15.6%	19.1%	-1.1	26
2007-07-28	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1573	1665	19.1%	15.6%	65.3%	+1.1	12
2007-07-28	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1598	1674	43.2%	20.3%	36.5%	+3.9	20
2007-07-28	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1674	1598	36.5%	20.3%	43.2%	-3.9	22
2007-07-29	Sandefjord	W 4-1	1560	1537	56.8%	18.2%	24.9%	+6.7	18
2007-07-29	@ Aalesund	L 1-4	1537	1560	24.9%	18.2%	56.8%	-6.7	12
2007-07-29	Valerenga	D 2-2	1653	1629	56.9%	18.2%	24.9%	-0.6	29
2007-07-29	@ Stabaek	D 2-2	1629	1653	24.9%	18.2%	56.9%	+0.6	15
2007-07-29	Brann	L 2-4	1548	1636	41.4%	20.3%	38.2%	-6.6	21
2007-07-29	@ Stromsgodset	W 4-2	1636	1548	38.2%	20.3%	41.4%	+6.7	32
2007-07-29	Start	W 2-0	1631	1575	61.0%	17.1%	21.9%	+4.8	27
2007-07-29	@ Viking	L 0-2	1575	1631	21.9%	17.1%	61.0%	-4.8	13
2007-07-30	Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1632	1596	58.5%	17.8%	23.7%	-1.0	22
2007-07-30	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1596	1632	23.7%	17.8%	58.5%	+1.0	19
2007-08-04	Stabaek	W 3-0	1670	1652	56.1%	18.4%	25.4%	+8.1	25
2007-08-04	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1652	1670	25.4%	18.4%	56.1%	-8.1	29
2007-08-05	Aalesund	W 2-1	1597	1567	57.8%	18.0%	24.2%	+2.7	22
2007-08-05	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1567	1597	24.2%	18.0%	57.8%	-2.7	18
2007-08-05	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1574	1632	46.0%	20.1%	34.0%	+7.3	15
2007-08-05	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1632	1574	34.0%	20.1%	46.0%	-7.3	22
2007-08-05	Viking	W 4-1	1530	1636	39.0%	20.4%	40.7%	+10.3	15
2007-08-05	@ Sandefjord	L 1-4	1636	1530	40.7%	20.4%	39.0%	-10.3	27
2007-08-05	Tromso	D 1-1	1570	1602	49.5%	19.7%	30.8%	-0.4	14
2007-08-05	@ Start	D 1-1	1602	1570	30.8%	19.7%	49.5%	+0.4	21
2007-08-05	Brann	W 2-0	1630	1643	52.0%	19.3%	28.7%	+6.3	18
2007-08-05	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1643	1630	28.7%	19.3%	52.0%	-6.3	32
2007-08-06	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1664	1541	68.9%	14.2%	16.9%	+3.6	29
2007-08-06	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1541	1664	16.9%	14.2%	68.9%	-3.6	21
2007-08-11	Rosenborg	W 3-2	1637	1678	48.1%	19.9%	32.0%	+3.3	35
2007-08-11	@ Brann	L 2-3	1678	1637	32.0%	19.9%	48.1%	-3.3	25
2007-08-12	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1564	1582	51.4%	19.4%	29.2%	+3.2	21
2007-08-12	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1582	1564	29.2%	19.4%	51.4%	-3.2	15
2007-08-12	Lillestrom	L 0-4	1624	1667	47.9%	19.9%	32.2%	-18.3	22
2007-08-12	@ Lyn Oslo	W 4-0	1667	1624	32.2%	19.9%	47.9%	+18.3	32
2007-08-12	Valerenga	L 1-2	1537	1636	40.0%	20.4%	39.6%	-4.2	21
2007-08-12	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1636	1537	39.6%	20.4%	40.0%	+4.2	21
2007-08-12	Sandefjord	W 2-1	1602	1541	61.7%	16.9%	21.4%	+2.3	24
2007-08-12	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1541	1602	21.4%	16.9%	61.7%	-2.3	15
2007-08-12	Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1626	1600	57.2%	18.2%	24.7%	-0.6	28
2007-08-12	@ Viking	D 2-2	1600	1626	24.7%	18.2%	57.2%	+0.6	23
2007-08-13	Start	D 1-1	1644	1570	63.3%	16.3%	20.4%	-1.0	30
2007-08-13	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1570	1644	20.4%	16.3%	63.3%	+1.1	15
2007-08-25	Valerenga	W 2-0	1675	1640	58.3%	17.8%	23.8%	+5.2	28
2007-08-25	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1640	1675	23.8%	17.8%	58.3%	-5.2	21
2007-08-26	Tromso	W 2-1	1601	1605	53.3%	19.1%	27.7%	+3.0	26
2007-08-26	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1605	1601	27.7%	19.1%	53.3%	-3.0	24
2007-08-26	Aalesund	W 7-0	1686	1567	68.4%	14.4%	17.2%	+11.8	35
2007-08-26	@ Lillestrom	L 0-7	1567	1686	17.2%	14.4%	68.4%	-11.8	21
2007-08-26	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1606	1533	63.1%	16.4%	20.5%	+2.4	25
2007-08-26	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1533	1606	20.5%	16.4%	63.1%	-2.4	21
2007-08-26	Viking	L 1-3	1579	1625	47.4%	20.0%	32.6%	-8.3	15
2007-08-26	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1625	1579	32.6%	20.0%	47.4%	+8.3	31
2007-08-26	Brann	D 1-1	1571	1640	44.2%	20.2%	35.5%	-0.2	16
2007-08-26	@ Start	D 1-1	1640	1571	35.5%	20.2%	44.2%	+0.2	36
2007-08-27	Stabaek	L 2-3	1538	1643	39.1%	20.4%	40.6%	-3.9	15
2007-08-27	@ Sandefjord	W 3-2	1643	1538	40.6%	20.4%	39.1%	+3.9	33
2007-09-01	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1531	1680	33.1%	20.0%	46.9%	+0.3	22
2007-09-01	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1680	1531	46.9%	20.0%	33.1%	-0.3	29
2007-09-02	Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1555	1608	46.5%	20.0%	33.4%	+6.2	24
2007-09-02	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1608	1555	33.4%	20.0%	46.5%	-6.2	25
2007-09-02	Sandefjord	W 1-0	1640	1534	67.0%	15.0%	18.0%	+2.1	39
2007-09-02	@ Brann	L 0-1	1534	1640	18.0%	15.0%	67.0%	-2.1	15
2007-09-02	Odd Grenland	L 2-4	1601	1570	57.9%	18.0%	24.1%	-8.8	24
2007-09-02	@ Tromso	W 4-2	1570	1601	24.1%	18.0%	57.9%	+8.8	18
2007-09-02	Start	W 3-2	1635	1571	62.1%	16.7%	21.2%	+2.2	24
2007-09-02	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1571	1635	21.2%	16.7%	62.1%	-2.2	16
2007-09-02	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1633	1698	45.0%	20.2%	34.9%	-0.2	32
2007-09-02	@ Viking	D 1-1	1698	1633	34.9%	20.2%	45.0%	+0.2	36
2007-09-03	Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1647	1604	59.4%	17.5%	23.0%	-11.6	33
2007-09-03	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1604	1647	23.0%	17.5%	59.4%	+11.6	29
2007-09-15	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1568	1680	38.2%	20.3%	41.5%	+4.3	19
2007-09-15	@ Start	L 1-2	1680	1568	41.5%	20.3%	38.2%	-4.3	29
2007-09-16	Brann	L 0-4	1615	1642	50.1%	19.6%	30.3%	-19.0	29
2007-09-16	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-0	1642	1615	30.3%	19.6%	50.1%	+19.0	42
2007-09-16	Tromso	L 0-3	1698	1593	66.9%	15.0%	18.1%	-18.5	36
2007-09-16	@ Lillestrom	W 3-0	1593	1698	18.1%	15.0%	66.9%	+18.5	27
2007-09-16	Viking	L 2-3	1602	1633	49.6%	19.7%	30.8%	-4.7	25
2007-09-16	@ Lyn Oslo	W 3-2	1633	1602	30.8%	19.7%	49.6%	+4.7	35
2007-09-16	Stabaek	L 1-5	1579	1636	46.0%	20.1%	33.9%	-14.8	18
2007-09-16	@ Odd Grenland	W 5-1	1636	1579	33.9%	20.1%	46.0%	+14.8	36
2007-09-16	Valerenga	L 1-3	1532	1637	39.1%	20.4%	40.5%	-7.1	15
2007-09-16	@ Sandefjord	W 3-1	1637	1532	40.5%	20.4%	39.1%	+7.1	27
2007-09-17	Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1561	1531	57.8%	18.0%	24.2%	+2.5	27
2007-09-17	@ Aalesund	L 2-3	1531	1561	24.2%	18.0%	57.8%	-2.5	22
2007-09-22	Aalesund	W 3-0	1638	1564	63.2%	16.4%	20.4%	+6.5	38
2007-09-22	@ Viking	L 0-3	1564	1638	20.4%	16.4%	63.2%	-6.5	27
2007-09-23	Odd Grenland	W 4-0	1661	1564	66.0%	15.4%	18.7%	+7.7	45
2007-09-23	@ Brann	L 0-4	1564	1661	18.7%	15.4%	66.0%	-7.7	18
2007-09-23	Sandefjord	W 2-0	1676	1525	72.0%	12.9%	15.1%	+3.2	32
2007-09-23	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1525	1676	15.1%	12.9%	72.0%	-3.2	15
2007-09-23	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1650	1679	49.9%	19.6%	30.5%	+5.7	39
2007-09-23	@ Stabaek	L 1-3	1679	1650	30.5%	19.6%	49.9%	-5.8	36
2007-09-23	Start	W 3-2	1529	1573	47.8%	19.9%	32.3%	+3.3	25
2007-09-23	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-3	1573	1529	32.3%	19.9%	47.8%	-3.3	19
2007-09-23	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1611	1597	55.6%	18.5%	25.8%	+2.8	30
2007-09-23	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1597	1611	25.8%	18.5%	55.6%	-2.8	25
2007-09-24	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1644	1596	60.0%	17.4%	22.6%	+5.0	30
2007-09-24	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1596	1644	22.6%	17.4%	60.0%	-5.0	29
2007-09-29	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1644	1532	67.7%	14.7%	17.6%	+5.5	41
2007-09-29	@ Viking	L 0-3	1532	1644	17.6%	14.7%	67.7%	-5.5	25
2007-09-30	Tromso	L 2-3	1558	1614	46.0%	20.1%	33.9%	-4.4	27
2007-09-30	@ Aalesund	W 3-2	1614	1558	33.9%	20.1%	46.0%	+4.4	33
2007-09-30	Rosenborg	W 4-3	1591	1679	41.6%	20.3%	38.1%	+3.7	32
2007-09-30	@ Fredrikstad	L 3-4	1679	1591	38.1%	20.3%	41.6%	-3.7	32
2007-09-30	Brann	L 1-5	1674	1669	54.4%	18.8%	26.8%	-17.0	36
2007-09-30	@ Lillestrom	W 5-1	1669	1674	26.8%	18.8%	54.4%	+17.0	48
2007-09-30	Stabaek	W 3-2	1595	1656	45.3%	20.2%	34.5%	+3.5	28
2007-09-30	@ Lyn Oslo	L 2-3	1656	1595	34.5%	20.2%	45.3%	-3.5	39
2007-09-30	Valerenga	L 1-4	1557	1649	40.8%	20.4%	38.8%	-10.4	18
2007-09-30	@ Odd Grenland	W 4-1	1649	1557	38.8%	20.4%	40.8%	+10.4	33
2007-10-01	Start	L 1-3	1522	1569	47.3%	20.0%	32.7%	-8.3	15
2007-10-01	@ Sandefjord	W 3-1	1569	1522	32.7%	20.0%	47.3%	+8.3	22
2007-10-06	Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1578	1595	51.5%	19.4%	29.1%	+5.5	25
2007-10-06	@ Start	L 1-3	1595	1578	29.1%	19.4%	51.5%	-5.5	32
2007-10-07	Odd Grenland	W 4-1	1675	1546	69.6%	13.9%	16.5%	+4.3	35
2007-10-07	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1546	1675	16.5%	13.9%	69.6%	-4.3	18
2007-10-07	Aalesund	W 4-2	1653	1553	66.2%	15.3%	18.5%	+3.1	42
2007-10-07	@ Stabaek	L 2-4	1553	1653	18.5%	15.3%	66.2%	-3.1	27
2007-10-07	Sandefjord	W 4-0	1526	1514	55.5%	18.6%	25.9%	+10.8	28
2007-10-07	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-4	1514	1526	25.9%	18.6%	55.5%	-10.8	15
2007-10-07	Viking	W 2-1	1618	1650	49.5%	19.7%	30.8%	+3.3	36
2007-10-07	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1650	1618	30.8%	19.7%	49.5%	-3.4	41
2007-10-07	Lillestrom	L 1-3	1660	1657	54.2%	18.9%	26.9%	-9.3	33
2007-10-07	@ Valerenga	W 3-1	1657	1660	26.9%	18.9%	54.2%	+9.3	39
2007-10-08	Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1686	1598	64.9%	15.8%	19.4%	+3.6	51
2007-10-08	@ Brann	L 1-3	1598	1686	19.4%	15.8%	64.9%	-3.6	28
2007-10-20	Brann	W 2-1	1550	1690	34.4%	20.1%	45.5%	+4.6	30
2007-10-20	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1690	1550	45.5%	20.1%	34.4%	-4.6	51
2007-10-21	Sandefjord	W 2-0	1589	1503	64.7%	15.8%	19.4%	+4.2	35
2007-10-21	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1503	1589	19.4%	15.8%	64.7%	-4.2	15
2007-10-21	Rosenborg	W 4-1	1666	1680	51.9%	19.3%	28.7%	+7.7	42
2007-10-21	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	1680	1666	28.7%	19.3%	51.9%	-7.7	35
2007-10-21	Valerenga	W 3-1	1594	1650	46.1%	20.1%	33.8%	+6.3	31
2007-10-21	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1650	1594	33.8%	20.1%	46.1%	-6.3	33
2007-10-21	Start	W 2-0	1542	1583	48.1%	19.9%	32.0%	+6.9	21
2007-10-21	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1583	1542	32.0%	19.9%	48.1%	-6.9	25
2007-10-21	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1622	1537	64.5%	15.9%	19.6%	-0.8	37
2007-10-21	@ Tromso	D 2-2	1537	1622	19.6%	15.9%	64.5%	+0.8	29
2007-10-22	Stabaek	W 2-1	1647	1656	52.6%	19.2%	28.2%	+3.1	44
2007-10-22	@ Viking	L 1-2	1656	1647	28.2%	19.2%	52.6%	-3.1	42
2007-10-28	Viking	W 5-2	1685	1650	58.4%	17.8%	23.8%	+5.5	54
2007-10-28	@ Brann	L 2-5	1650	1685	23.8%	17.8%	58.4%	-5.6	44
2007-10-28	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1594	1538	61.0%	17.1%	21.9%	-1.0	36
2007-10-28	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1538	1594	21.9%	17.1%	61.0%	+1.0	30
2007-10-28	Lyn Oslo	W 3-0	1672	1601	62.9%	16.5%	20.7%	+6.6	38
2007-10-28	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1601	1672	20.7%	16.5%	62.9%	-6.6	31
2007-10-28	Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1499	1549	46.9%	20.0%	33.1%	-9.5	15
2007-10-28	@ Sandefjord	W 2-0	1549	1499	33.1%	20.0%	46.9%	+9.5	24
2007-10-28	Tromso	W 5-0	1653	1621	57.9%	18.0%	24.1%	+12.4	45
2007-10-28	@ Stabaek	L 0-5	1621	1653	24.1%	18.0%	57.9%	-12.4	37
2007-10-28	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1576	1674	40.2%	20.4%	39.4%	-0.0	26
2007-10-28	@ Start	D 0-0	1674	1576	39.4%	20.4%	40.2%	+0.0	43
2007-10-28	Aalesund	W 2-1	1644	1555	65.1%	15.7%	19.2%	+2.1	36
2007-10-28	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1555	1644	19.2%	15.7%	65.1%	-2.1	30
2007-11-03	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1553	1678	36.2%	20.3%	43.5%	-3.8	30
2007-11-03	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1678	1553	43.5%	20.3%	36.2%	+3.9	41
2007-11-03	Sandefjord	D 1-1	1674	1489	75.5%	11.3%	13.2%	-1.5	44
2007-11-03	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1489	1674	13.2%	11.3%	75.5%	+1.5	16
2007-11-03	Start	W 4-1	1594	1576	56.1%	18.4%	25.4%	+6.9	34
2007-11-03	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-4	1576	1594	25.4%	18.4%	56.1%	-6.8	26
2007-11-03	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1558	1593	49.1%	19.7%	31.1%	+6.8	27
2007-11-03	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1593	1558	31.1%	19.7%	49.1%	-6.8	36
2007-11-03	Stabaek	L 0-5	1539	1665	36.2%	20.3%	43.5%	-18.0	30
2007-11-03	@ Stromsgodset	W 5-0	1665	1539	43.5%	20.3%	36.2%	+18.0	48
2007-11-03	Brann	W 3-0	1609	1691	42.4%	20.3%	37.3%	+11.5	40
2007-11-03	@ Tromso	L 0-3	1691	1609	37.3%	20.3%	42.4%	-11.5	54
2007-11-03	Valerenga	W 2-1	1644	1646	53.5%	19.0%	27.5%	+3.0	47
2007-11-03	@ Viking	L 1-2	1646	1644	27.5%	19.0%	53.5%	-3.0	36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2007-05-13	17.27%	Stromsgodset	1552	2	@ Rosenborg	1669	1
2	2007-09-16	18.10%	Tromso	1593	3	@ Lillestrom	1698	0
3	2007-06-10	20.97%	Aalesund	1550	2	@ Tromso	1617	0
4	2007-05-25	21.01%	Stromsgodset	1537	3	@ Start	1604	2
5	2007-09-03	23.02%	Fredrikstad	1604	2	@ Stabaek	1647	0
6	2007-07-22	23.53%	Stromsgodset	1542	1	@ Odd Grenland	1579	0
7	2007-06-21	24.13%	Odd Grenland	1562	2	@ Start	1594	1
8	2007-09-02	24.14%	Odd Grenland	1570	4	@ Tromso	1601	2
9	2007-07-22	24.60%	Aalesund	1554	2	@ Start	1581	1
10	2007-06-17	25.15%	Valerenga	1639	1	@ Lillestrom	1659	0
11	2007-05-16	25.25%	Aalesund	1538	4	@ Stromsgodset	1558	0
12	2007-04-10	25.54%	Brann	1617	1	@ Stabaek	1634	0
13	2007-06-17	25.67%	Stromsgodset	1538	1	@ Sandefjord	1554	0
14	2007-06-30	25.86%	Viking	1626	3	@ Valerenga	1639	1
15	2007-09-30	26.79%	Brann	1669	5	@ Lillestrom	1674	1
16	2007-10-07	26.92%	Lillestrom	1657	3	@ Valerenga	1660	1
17	2007-09-16	30.27%	Brann	1642	4	@ Fredrikstad	1615	0
18	2007-05-13	30.45%	Tromso	1611	1	@ Odd Grenland	1583	0
19	2007-04-09	30.59%	Start	1599	4	@ Aalesund	1569	2
20	2007-09-16	30.75%	Viking	1633	3	@ Lyn Oslo	1602	2
21	2007-05-13	31.93%	Stabaek	1632	2	@ Fredrikstad	1591	1
22	2007-08-12	32.19%	Lillestrom	1667	4	@ Lyn Oslo	1624	0
23	2007-05-28	32.38%	Viking	1604	2	@ Aalesund	1560	0
24	2007-08-26	32.63%	Viking	1625	3	@ Odd Grenland	1579	1
25	2007-10-01	32.74%	Start	1569	3	@ Sandefjord	1522	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-05-16	21.01	Aalesund	4	1538	25.25%	@ Stromsgodset	0	1558	56.40%
2	2007-09-16	19.04	Brann	4	1642	30.27%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1615	50.14%
3	2007-06-16	18.74	@ Lyn Oslo	6	1612	49.21%	Brann	0	1646	31.07%
4	2007-09-16	18.48	Tromso	3	1593	18.10%	@ Lillestrom	0	1698	66.88%
5	2007-08-12	18.34	Lillestrom	4	1667	32.19%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1624	47.91%
6	2007-11-03	17.99	Stabaek	5	1665	43.55%	@ Stromsgodset	0	1539	36.19%
7	2007-09-30	16.99	Brann	5	1669	26.79%	@ Lillestrom	1	1674	54.40%
8	2007-09-16	14.78	Stabaek	5	1636	33.90%	@ Odd Grenland	1	1579	46.02%
9	2007-10-28	12.41	@ Stabaek	5	1653	57.94%	Tromso	0	1621	24.10%
10	2007-06-10	12.04	Aalesund	2	1550	20.97%	@ Tromso	0	1617	62.41%
11	2007-08-26	11.83	@ Lillestrom	7	1686	68.43%	Aalesund	0	1567	17.16%
12	2007-09-03	11.57	Fredrikstad	2	1604	23.02%	@ Stabaek	0	1647	59.44%
13	2007-11-03	11.45	@ Tromso	3	1609	42.41%	Brann	0	1691	37.27%
14	2007-10-07	10.82	@ Stromsgodset	4	1526	55.48%	Sandefjord	0	1514	25.95%
15	2007-06-17	10.74	Stabaek	4	1643	37.12%	@ Aalesund	1	1562	42.57%
16	2007-06-24	10.53	@ Odd Grenland	4	1568	56.46%	Sandefjord	0	1548	25.20%
17	2007-09-30	10.40	Valerenga	4	1649	38.79%	@ Odd Grenland	1	1557	40.85%
18	2007-08-05	10.35	@ Sandefjord	4	1530	38.98%	Viking	1	1636	40.66%
19	2007-07-22	9.89	@ Brann	3	1626	48.83%	Stabaek	0	1663	31.39%
20	2007-05-28	9.63	Viking	2	1604	32.38%	@ Aalesund	0	1560	47.70%
21	2007-10-28	9.50	Odd Grenland	2	1549	33.07%	@ Sandefjord	0	1499	46.92%
22	2007-06-30	9.48	Viking	3	1626	25.86%	@ Valerenga	1	1639	55.59%
23	2007-05-28	9.37	Brann	2	1631	33.78%	@ Odd Grenland	0	1575	46.14%
24	2007-10-07	9.28	Lillestrom	3	1657	26.92%	@ Valerenga	1	1660	54.23%
25	2007-06-17	9.05	@ Fredrikstad	3	1592	52.32%	Start	0	1603	28.45%