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2007 Tippeligaen Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Brann

54 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1963

Relegated

Odd Grenland

Start ·

Sandefjord ·

Biggest Overachiever

Brann

15.26 points above expected

54 points · 38.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sandefjord

12.21 points below expected

16 points · 28.21 expected points

League Changes

  • playoff
  • 26
  • 16

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Brann Champion 26 17 3 6 54 59 39 +20 38.74 +15.26
2 Stabaek 26 14 6 6 48 53 35 +18 42.16 +5.84
3 Viking 26 14 5 7 47 50 40 +10 36.77 +10.23
4 Lillestrom 26 12 8 6 44 47 28 +19 42.39 +1.61
5 Rosenborg 26 12 5 9 41 53 39 +14 45.54 -4.54
6 Tromso 26 12 4 10 40 45 44 +1 35.62 +4.38
7 Valerenga 26 10 6 10 36 34 34 0 41.93 -5.93
8 Fredrikstad 26 9 9 8 36 37 40 -3 34.00 +2.00
9 Lyn Oslo 26 10 4 12 34 43 46 -3 36.44 -2.44
10 Stromsgodset 26 8 6 12 30 34 47 -13 31.34 -1.34
11 Aalesund 26 9 3 14 30 40 56 -16 31.85 -1.85
12 Odd Grenland Relegated 26 8 3 15 27 33 43 -10 30.54 -3.54
13 Start Relegated 26 6 8 12 26 34 44 -10 32.59 -6.59
14 Sandefjord Relegated 26 4 4 18 16 26 53 -27 28.21 -12.21

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Brann 54 38.74 +15.26
2 Viking 47 36.77 +10.23
3 Stabaek 48 42.16 +5.84
4 Tromso 40 35.62 +4.38
5 Fredrikstad 36 34.00 +2.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sandefjord 16 28.21 -12.21
2 Start 26 32.59 -6.59
3 Valerenga 36 41.93 -5.93
4 Rosenborg 41 45.54 -4.54
5 Odd Grenland 27 30.54 -3.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tromso 4 Sep 16 – Oct 7 1 in 85
2 Brann 5 Sep 2 – Oct 8 1 in 46
3 Viking 4 May 16 – Jun 17 1 in 41
4 Stabaek 5 Jun 10 – Jul 1 1 in 29
5 Valerenga 4 Sep 2 – Sep 30 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sandefjord 9 Aug 12 – Oct 28 1 in 449
2 Start 6 Jun 17 – Jul 29 1 in 244
3 Lillestrom 3 Sep 16 – Sep 30 1 in 56
4 Odd Grenland 4 May 6 – May 28 1 in 27
5 Stromsgodset 4 Jul 29 – Aug 26 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stabaek 12 Apr 15 – Jul 1 1 in 177
2 Fredrikstad 7 Jul 1 – Sep 3 1 in 53
3 Lillestrom 9 Jun 21 – Sep 2 1 in 37
4 Start 6 Apr 9 – May 10 1 in 31
5 Brann 7 Aug 11 – Oct 8 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Start 10 Jun 17 – Sep 2 1 in 83
2 Valerenga 5 Jun 20 – Jul 29 1 in 25
3 Sandefjord 10 Aug 12 – Nov 3 1 in 23
4 Aalesund 6 Apr 9 – May 13 1 in 17
5 Stabaek 4 Jul 22 – Aug 13 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Brann 1696 54 +13 9 8.1 +0.9
Stabaek 1720 48 +38 9 8.2 +0.8
Viking 1660 47 +4 9 7.7 +1.3
Lillestrom 1686 44 -2 8 8.4 -0.4
Rosenborg 1706 41 +1 9 8.5 +0.5
Tromso 1627 40 +12 10 7.0 +3.0
Fredrikstad 1576 36 -9 7 7.6 -0.6
Valerenga 1651 36 -12 6 7.7 -1.7
Lyn Oslo 1591 34 +14 9 6.0 +3.0
Stromsgodset 1528 30 -18 5 5.5 -0.5
Aalesund 1557 30 -13 3 5.4 -2.4
Odd Grenland 1554 27 +16 9 6.3 +2.7
Start 1550 26 +0 7 6.3 +0.7
Sandefjord 1459 16 -45 1 5.2 -4.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL BRA FRE LIL LO OG ROS SAN STA STA STR TRO VAL VIK
Aalesund —
1-0-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.97
1-1-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.11
1-0-1
2.83
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.53
Brann
1-0-1
3.59
—
1-1-0
3.04
2-0-0
2.61
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
2.31
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
2.27
0-2-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.93
Fredrikstad
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.55
—
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.48
0-1-1
3.04
1-1-0
1.96
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.63
Lillestrom
2-0-0
3.63
0-0-2
2.97
1-1-0
3.33
—
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.46
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
4.00
0-1-1
2.93
1-1-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.46
0-0-2
3.50
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.40
Lyn Oslo
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
3.10
0-0-2
2.40
—
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
3.49
1-0-1
2.17
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.37
0-0-2
2.67
Odd Grenland
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.19
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.39
—
0-0-2
1.72
2-0-0
3.06
0-0-2
2.17
2-0-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.79
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
2.52
Rosenborg
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.27
0-1-1
3.64
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.90
—
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.69
0-1-1
3.80
1-0-1
3.52
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.33
Sandefjord
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
2.09
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
1.75
—
0-1-1
1.97
0-0-2
2.49
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.02
1-1-0
2.14
Stabaek
2-0-0
3.49
0-0-2
3.32
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
3.41
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
3.63
—
0-2-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.31
0-2-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.07
Start
1-0-1
2.75
0-2-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
3.13
1-0-1
1.90
2-0-0
3.09
0-2-0
2.23
—
0-0-2
2.98
0-2-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.54
Stromsgodset
0-0-2
2.85
0-0-2
2.49
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.79
1-1-0
1.80
2-0-0
2.99
0-0-2
1.86
2-0-0
2.61
—
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
2.31
Tromso
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.10
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-2
2.27
0-2-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.12
—
1-1-0
2.35
1-0-1
2.56
Valerenga
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
3.21
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
3.57
0-2-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
3.36
0-1-1
3.23
—
0-0-2
2.86
Viking
2-0-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.19
2-0-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
3.45
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.73
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.86 +9.9
Allowed 0.45 -9.3
Differential 0.89 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%4.40%4.95%3.57%1.65%1.10%19.51%
14.40%11.54%9.07%5.49%3.02%0.55%34.07%
24.95%9.07%4.40%3.30%1.65%0.27%23.63%
33.57%5.49%3.30%0.55%0.82%—13.74%
41.65%3.02%1.65%0.82%——7.14%
5+1.10%0.55%0.27%———1.92%
Total19.51%34.07%23.63%13.74%7.14%1.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.62 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 2.00
CV 0.79 0.79 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%11.54%—3.85%23.08%
13.85%—15.38%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
23.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%—30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%19.23%26.92%23.08%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.15 -0.62
SD 1.21 1.59 2.32
CV 0.78 0.74 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%7.69%—3.85%15.38%
17.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
23.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
47.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total23.08%30.77%30.77%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.50 +0.77
SD 1.54 1.33 2.44
CV 0.68 0.89 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—7.69%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
13.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
211.54%7.69%11.54%———30.77%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%23.08%26.92%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.54 -0.12
SD 1.10 1.27 1.75
CV 0.77 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
17.69%23.08%3.85%7.69%—3.85%46.15%
27.69%—————7.69%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total34.62%46.15%3.85%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.08 +0.73
SD 1.65 1.23 2.32
CV 0.91 1.14 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
17.69%3.85%3.85%19.23%——34.62%
2—3.85%—7.69%3.85%—15.38%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
4—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%19.23%11.54%34.62%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.77 -0.12
SD 1.52 1.39 2.21
CV 0.92 0.79 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
1—11.54%15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%46.15%
215.38%3.85%————19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%23.08%7.69%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.65 -0.38
SD 1.12 1.44 2.12
CV 0.88 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—15.38%23.08%—3.85%—42.31%
27.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
311.54%———3.85%—15.38%
4—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
5+———————
Total19.23%34.62%30.77%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.50 +0.54
SD 1.11 1.14 1.68
CV 0.55 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%19.23%3.85%7.69%—42.31%
1—7.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%—30.77%
2—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%26.92%30.77%23.08%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.04 -1.04
SD 1.13 1.15 1.82
CV 1.13 0.56 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
17.69%19.23%3.85%———30.77%
2—11.54%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
3—3.85%11.54%———15.38%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+7.69%3.85%————11.54%
Total15.38%46.15%26.92%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.35 +0.69
SD 1.59 0.89 2.04
CV 0.78 0.66 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
13.85%23.08%7.69%—7.69%—42.31%
2—3.85%3.85%11.54%——19.23%
3—11.54%————11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%46.15%23.08%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.69 -0.38
SD 1.09 1.09 1.50
CV 0.83 0.64 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
17.69%15.38%11.54%3.85%——38.46%
2—11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%—26.92%
3——7.69%———7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%26.92%15.38%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.81 -0.50
SD 1.05 1.33 1.84
CV 0.80 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
17.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%——30.77%
2—23.08%7.69%—3.85%—34.62%
37.69%—3.85%—7.69%—19.23%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%38.46%26.92%3.85%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.69 +0.04
SD 1.04 1.35 1.78
CV 0.60 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
13.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%—30.77%
211.54%11.54%7.69%———30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%19.23%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.09 1.09 1.55
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%———7.69%
1—11.54%7.69%—7.69%—26.92%
27.69%15.38%3.85%—3.85%3.85%34.62%
37.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%42.31%23.08%—11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.54 +0.38
SD 1.02 1.36 1.83
CV 0.53 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Stabaek 1720 48 42.16 +5.84 85.0% 23 32 38 42 46 52 64
Rosenborg 1706 41 45.54 -4.54 27.0% 31 33 41 46 50 54 59
Brann 1696 54 38.74 +15.26 100.0% 24 27 34 39 43 48 51
Lillestrom 1686 44 42.39 +1.61 64.0% 28 32 38 43 46 53 59
Viking 1660 47 36.77 +10.23 94.0% 22 26 31 37 41 48 52
Valerenga 1651 36 41.93 -5.93 21.0% 24 31 37 41 46 53 60
Tromso 1627 40 35.62 +4.38 75.0% 20 24 31 35 40 45 47
Lyn Oslo 1591 34 36.44 -2.44 42.0% 21 27 32 36 40 47 52
Fredrikstad 1576 36 34.00 +2.00 68.0% 19 23 29 33 40 45 49
Aalesund 1557 30 31.85 -1.85 34.0% 18 22 29 31 36 41 47
Start 1550 26 32.59 -6.59 23.0% 13 22 27 32 36 44 50
Odd Grenland 1539 27 30.54 -3.54 26.0% 16 20 27 31 34 39 48
Stromsgodset 1528 30 31.34 -1.34 41.0% 15 20 27 32 35 42 48
Sandefjord 1459 16 28.21 -12.21 3.0% 14 17 24 28 32 41 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.02%
Strong Edge
53.85%20.33%25.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge
163 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0100.03500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.61+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.6
Open
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
4%
Brann, 5th of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.13 * Some Luck: 5.13 to 7.69 * Lucky: 7.69 to 10.26 * Wild Swing: 10.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.16 * Close: 2.16 to 3.25 * Off: 3.25 to 4.33 * Way Off: 4.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.93 * A Surprise: 0.93 to 1.49 * Several Surprises: 1.49 to 2.05 * Many Surprises: 2.05 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.91 points
Some Luck
06.4116
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Pinpoint
02.716
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Brann
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
3.00%
Sandefjord
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
00.93

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 78.25
1.48
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
67%
Clear Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Even
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Slight Separation
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Near-Lock
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Solid Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.32
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.055
Well Within Noise
00.1090.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Brann4.00%16.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%3.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%
Stabaek16.00%16.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%8.00%14.00%1.00%1.00%5.00%——3.00%—
Viking3.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%8.00%11.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%
Lillestrom15.00%20.00%11.00%16.00%4.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%——
Rosenborg38.00%19.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%——
Tromso—3.00%12.00%4.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%
Valerenga15.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%15.00%9.00%5.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%——
Fredrikstad3.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%4.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%
Lyn Oslo3.00%2.00%13.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%
Stromsgodset1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%15.00%
Aalesund1.00%—3.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%15.00%14.00%8.00%18.00%8.00%
Odd Grenland——1.00%2.00%—6.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%13.00%15.00%
Start1.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%16.00%11.00%12.00%
Sandefjord——3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%9.00%19.00%21.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Rosenborg 99.00% 1.00% —
Lillestrom 98.00% 2.00% —
Valerenga 98.00% 2.00% —
Stabaek 97.00% — 3.00%
Brann 95.00% 1.00% 4.00%
Viking 90.00% 4.00% 6.00%
Lyn Oslo 89.00% 5.00% 6.00%
Tromso 83.00% 3.00% 14.00%
Fredrikstad 70.00% 13.00% 17.00%
Aalesund 66.00% 8.00% 26.00%
Stromsgodset 63.00% 13.00% 24.00%
Start 61.00% 16.00% 23.00%
Sandefjord 32.00% 19.00% 49.00%
Odd Grenland — 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-04-09 Fredrikstad W 3-045.5 1645 1583 59.94% 19.82% 20.24%+0.99 +10.5 3
2007-04-09 @ Lillestrom L 0-345.5 1583 1645 20.24% 19.82% 59.94%-0.99 -10.5 0
2007-04-09 Odd Grenland W 2-157.0 1585 1580 53.38% 20.80% 25.82%+0.65 +4.5 3
2007-04-09 @ Stromsgodset L 1-257.0 1580 1585 25.82% 20.80% 53.38%-0.65 -4.5 0
2007-04-09 Rosenborg D 1-171.0 1601 1693 40.24% 21.56% 38.20%+0.04 -0.1 1
2007-04-09 @ Viking D 1-171.0 1693 1601 38.20% 21.56% 40.24%-0.04 +0.1 1
2007-04-09 Sandefjord W 3-044.6 1606 1560 58.22% 20.13% 21.65%+0.90 +11.2 3
2007-04-09 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-344.6 1560 1606 21.65% 20.13% 58.22%-0.90 -11.1 0
2007-04-09 Start L 2-467.6 1594 1588 53.56% 20.78% 25.66%+0.65 -12.8 0
2007-04-09 @ Aalesund W 4-267.6 1588 1594 25.66% 20.78% 53.56%-0.65 +12.8 3
2007-04-09 Valerenga W 1-056.9 1599 1672 43.00% 21.51% 35.48%+0.16 +6.2 3
2007-04-09 @ Tromso L 0-156.9 1672 1599 35.48% 21.51% 43.00%-0.16 -6.2 0
2007-04-10 Brann L 0-163.6 1660 1597 60.00% 19.81% 20.18%+1.00 -9.7 0
2007-04-10 @ Stabaek W 1-063.6 1597 1660 20.18% 19.81% 60.00%-1.00 +9.7 3
2007-04-14 Lyn Oslo W 3-156.8 1572 1617 46.92% 21.35% 31.73%+0.34 +9.3 3
2007-04-14 @ Fredrikstad L 1-356.8 1617 1572 31.73% 21.35% 46.92%-0.34 -9.3 3
2007-04-15 Aalesund W 3-046.5 1549 1581 48.58% 21.25% 30.17%+0.41 +15.0 3
2007-04-15 @ Sandefjord L 0-346.5 1581 1549 30.17% 21.25% 48.58%-0.41 -15.0 0
2007-04-15 Lillestrom L 0-158.2 1575 1655 42.10% 21.54% 36.37%+0.12 -7.2 0
2007-04-15 @ Odd Grenland W 1-058.2 1655 1575 36.37% 21.54% 42.10%-0.12 +7.2 6
2007-04-15 Stabaek D 1-171.6 1666 1650 54.71% 20.64% 24.65%+0.71 -1.1 1
2007-04-15 @ Valerenga D 1-171.6 1650 1666 24.65% 20.64% 54.71%-0.71 +1.1 1
2007-04-15 Tromso W 4-365.7 1694 1605 62.78% 19.24% 17.98%+1.16 +3.0 4
2007-04-15 @ Rosenborg L 3-465.7 1605 1694 17.98% 19.24% 62.78%-1.16 -3.0 3
2007-04-15 Viking D 1-169.6 1601 1601 52.76% 20.87% 26.36%+0.61 -1.0 4
2007-04-15 @ Start D 1-169.6 1601 1601 26.36% 20.87% 52.76%-0.61 +1.0 2
2007-04-16 Stromsgodset W 3-154.5 1607 1589 54.93% 20.61% 24.45%+0.72 +7.4 6
2007-04-16 @ Brann L 1-354.5 1589 1607 24.45% 20.61% 54.93%-0.72 -7.4 3
2007-04-21 Rosenborg W 2-162.1 1651 1697 46.85% 21.36% 31.80%+0.33 +5.4 4
2007-04-21 @ Stabaek L 1-262.1 1697 1651 31.80% 21.36% 46.85%-0.33 -5.4 4
2007-04-22 Fredrikstad D 3-378.9 1567 1582 50.83% 21.07% 28.10%+0.52 -0.5 1
2007-04-22 @ Aalesund D 3-378.9 1582 1567 28.10% 21.07% 50.83%-0.52 +0.5 4
2007-04-22 Odd Grenland W 3-153.3 1608 1568 57.53% 20.24% 22.23%+0.86 +6.8 6
2007-04-22 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-353.3 1568 1608 22.23% 20.24% 57.53%-0.86 -6.8 0
2007-04-22 Sandefjord D 0-064.9 1602 1564 57.25% 20.28% 22.47%+0.85 -1.5 3
2007-04-22 @ Viking D 0-064.9 1564 1602 22.47% 20.28% 57.25%-0.85 +1.5 4
2007-04-22 Start D 1-169.6 1602 1600 53.05% 20.84% 26.11%+0.63 -1.0 4
2007-04-22 @ Tromso D 1-169.6 1600 1602 26.11% 20.84% 53.05%-0.63 +1.0 5
2007-04-22 Valerenga W 4-156.2 1615 1665 46.20% 21.39% 32.41%+0.31 +13.4 9
2007-04-22 @ Brann L 1-456.2 1665 1615 32.41% 21.39% 46.20%-0.31 -13.4 1
2007-04-23 Lillestrom D 1-170.3 1582 1662 42.02% 21.54% 36.44%+0.12 -0.2 4
2007-04-23 @ Stromsgodset D 1-170.3 1662 1582 36.44% 21.54% 42.02%-0.12 +0.2 7
2007-04-28 Stromsgodset D 0-066.6 1651 1582 60.81% 19.65% 19.53%+1.04 -1.8 2
2007-04-28 @ Valerenga D 0-066.6 1582 1651 19.53% 19.65% 60.81%-1.04 +1.8 5
2007-04-29 Aalesund W 3-045.3 1561 1566 52.16% 20.94% 26.91%+0.59 +13.6 3
2007-04-29 @ Odd Grenland L 0-345.3 1566 1561 26.91% 20.94% 52.16%-0.59 -13.6 1
2007-04-29 Brann W 3-046.8 1691 1628 60.11% 19.79% 20.10%+1.00 +10.4 7
2007-04-29 @ Rosenborg L 0-346.8 1628 1691 20.10% 19.79% 60.11%-1.00 -10.4 9
2007-04-29 Stabaek D 1-170.5 1601 1656 45.45% 21.43% 33.13%+0.27 -0.4 6
2007-04-29 @ Start D 1-170.5 1656 1601 33.13% 21.43% 45.45%-0.27 +0.4 5
2007-04-29 Tromso W 2-158.6 1565 1601 48.17% 21.27% 30.56%+0.40 +5.2 7
2007-04-29 @ Sandefjord L 1-258.6 1601 1565 30.56% 21.27% 48.17%-0.40 -5.2 4
2007-04-29 Viking W 2-049.5 1582 1600 50.51% 21.09% 28.40%+0.51 +9.8 7
2007-04-29 @ Fredrikstad L 0-249.5 1600 1582 28.40% 21.09% 50.51%-0.51 -9.8 3
2007-04-30 Lyn Oslo W 3-155.0 1662 1615 58.38% 20.10% 21.52%+0.91 +6.6 10
2007-04-30 @ Lillestrom L 1-355.0 1615 1662 21.52% 20.10% 58.38%-0.91 -6.6 6
2007-05-05 Start D 2-276.1 1618 1600 54.87% 20.62% 24.51%+0.72 -0.8 10
2007-05-05 @ Brann D 2-276.1 1600 1618 24.51% 20.62% 54.87%-0.72 +0.8 7
2007-05-06 Fredrikstad W 4-152.4 1596 1592 53.22% 20.82% 25.96%+0.64 +11.1 7
2007-05-06 @ Tromso L 1-452.4 1592 1596 25.96% 20.82% 53.22%-0.64 -11.1 7
2007-05-06 Lyn Oslo D 1-169.3 1583 1608 49.58% 21.17% 29.25%+0.46 -0.7 6
2007-05-06 @ Stromsgodset D 1-169.3 1608 1583 29.25% 21.17% 49.58%-0.46 +0.7 7
2007-05-06 Odd Grenland W 2-156.6 1590 1575 54.65% 20.65% 24.70%+0.71 +4.3 6
2007-05-06 @ Viking L 1-256.6 1575 1590 24.70% 20.65% 54.65%-0.71 -4.3 3
2007-05-06 Rosenborg W 2-162.4 1650 1702 45.97% 21.40% 32.62%+0.30 +5.5 5
2007-05-06 @ Valerenga L 1-262.4 1702 1650 32.62% 21.40% 45.97%-0.30 -5.5 7
2007-05-06 Sandefjord D 1-170.6 1657 1571 62.54% 19.29% 18.16%+1.14 -1.7 6
2007-05-06 @ Stabaek D 1-170.6 1571 1657 18.16% 19.29% 62.54%-1.14 +1.7 8
2007-05-07 Lillestrom L 1-359.1 1552 1669 36.87% 21.55% 41.58%-0.10 -10.5 1
2007-05-07 @ Aalesund W 3-159.1 1669 1552 41.58% 21.55% 36.87%+0.10 +10.5 13
2007-05-10 Valerenga W 1-055.9 1601 1655 45.68% 21.42% 32.90%+0.28 +5.9 10
2007-05-10 @ Start L 0-155.9 1655 1601 32.90% 21.42% 45.68%-0.28 -5.9 5
2007-05-12 Brann L 2-369.9 1572 1617 47.00% 21.35% 31.65%+0.34 -7.0 8
2007-05-12 @ Sandefjord W 3-269.9 1617 1572 31.65% 21.35% 47.00%-0.34 +7.0 13
2007-05-13 Aalesund D 0-064.7 1609 1542 60.53% 19.71% 19.76%+1.03 -1.7 8
2007-05-13 @ Lyn Oslo D 0-064.7 1542 1609 19.76% 19.71% 60.53%-1.03 +1.8 2
2007-05-13 Stabaek L 1-263.9 1581 1655 42.90% 21.52% 35.59%+0.16 -6.8 7
2007-05-13 @ Fredrikstad W 2-163.9 1655 1581 35.59% 21.52% 42.90%-0.16 +6.8 9
2007-05-13 Stromsgodset L 1-270.5 1696 1583 65.24% 18.65% 16.11%+1.31 -9.9 7
2007-05-13 @ Rosenborg W 2-170.5 1583 1696 16.11% 18.65% 65.24%-1.31 +9.9 9
2007-05-13 Tromso L 0-158.8 1570 1607 48.06% 21.28% 30.66%+0.39 -8.0 3
2007-05-13 @ Odd Grenland W 1-058.8 1607 1570 30.66% 21.28% 48.06%-0.39 +8.0 10
2007-05-13 Viking W 4-151.3 1680 1595 62.41% 19.32% 18.27%+1.14 +8.0 16
2007-05-13 @ Lillestrom L 1-451.3 1595 1680 18.27% 19.32% 62.41%-1.14 -8.0 6
2007-05-16 Aalesund L 0-454.4 1593 1544 58.53% 20.08% 21.40%+0.91 -34.0 9
2007-05-16 @ Stromsgodset W 4-054.4 1544 1593 21.40% 20.08% 58.53%-0.91 +34.0 5
2007-05-16 Fredrikstad D 2-275.8 1624 1574 58.60% 20.06% 21.33%+0.92 -1.1 14
2007-05-16 @ Brann D 2-275.8 1574 1624 21.33% 20.06% 58.60%-0.92 +1.0 8
2007-05-16 Lillestrom W 2-162.7 1615 1688 43.11% 21.51% 35.38%+0.17 +5.9 13
2007-05-16 @ Tromso L 1-262.7 1688 1615 35.38% 21.51% 43.11%-0.17 -5.9 16
2007-05-16 Lyn Oslo W 4-260.5 1587 1607 50.12% 21.13% 28.75%+0.49 +7.7 9
2007-05-16 @ Viking L 2-460.5 1607 1587 28.75% 21.13% 50.12%-0.49 -7.7 8
2007-05-16 Odd Grenland W 1-049.9 1662 1562 63.88% 18.99% 17.13%+1.23 +3.3 12
2007-05-16 @ Stabaek L 0-149.9 1562 1662 17.13% 18.99% 63.88%-1.23 -3.3 3
2007-05-16 Sandefjord W 2-046.6 1649 1565 62.30% 19.34% 18.35%+1.13 +6.6 8
2007-05-16 @ Valerenga L 0-246.6 1565 1649 18.35% 19.34% 62.30%-1.13 -6.6 8
2007-05-16 Start W 4-151.7 1686 1607 61.82% 19.45% 18.73%+1.10 +8.2 10
2007-05-16 @ Rosenborg L 1-451.7 1607 1686 18.73% 19.45% 61.82%-1.10 -8.2 10
2007-05-25 Stromsgodset L 2-371.9 1599 1559 57.54% 20.24% 22.22%+0.86 -8.4 10
2007-05-25 @ Start W 3-271.9 1559 1599 22.22% 20.24% 57.54%-0.86 +8.4 12
2007-05-26 Valerenga W 1-056.6 1575 1656 41.99% 21.54% 36.48%+0.12 +6.4 11
2007-05-26 @ Fredrikstad L 0-156.6 1656 1575 36.48% 21.54% 41.99%-0.12 -6.4 8
2007-05-27 Rosenborg L 1-261.6 1559 1694 34.26% 21.48% 44.26%-0.22 -5.7 8
2007-05-27 @ Sandefjord W 2-161.6 1694 1559 44.26% 21.48% 34.26%+0.22 +5.7 13
2007-05-28 Brann L 0-254.4 1559 1623 44.40% 21.47% 34.13%+0.23 -14.1 3
2007-05-28 @ Odd Grenland W 2-054.4 1623 1559 34.13% 21.47% 44.40%-0.23 +14.1 17
2007-05-28 Stabaek D 1-171.9 1682 1665 54.76% 20.64% 24.60%+0.72 -1.1 17
2007-05-28 @ Lillestrom D 1-171.9 1665 1682 24.60% 20.64% 54.76%-0.72 +1.1 13
2007-05-28 Tromso W 4-368.3 1600 1621 50.07% 21.13% 28.80%+0.48 +4.6 11
2007-05-28 @ Lyn Oslo L 3-468.3 1621 1600 28.80% 21.13% 50.07%-0.48 -4.6 13
2007-05-28 Viking L 0-255.9 1578 1594 50.66% 21.08% 28.26%+0.51 -15.8 5
2007-05-28 @ Aalesund W 2-055.9 1594 1578 28.26% 21.08% 50.66%-0.51 +15.8 12
2007-06-09 Viking L 1-263.8 1567 1610 47.17% 21.34% 31.49%+0.35 -7.4 12
2007-06-09 @ Stromsgodset W 2-163.8 1610 1567 31.49% 21.34% 47.17%-0.35 +7.4 15
2007-06-10 Aalesund L 0-258.2 1616 1562 59.13% 19.97% 20.90%+0.95 -18.1 13
2007-06-10 @ Tromso W 2-058.2 1562 1616 20.90% 19.97% 59.13%-0.95 +18.1 8
2007-06-10 Fredrikstad D 1-171.8 1700 1582 65.74% 18.52% 15.74%+1.34 -1.9 14
2007-06-10 @ Rosenborg D 1-171.8 1582 1700 15.74% 18.52% 65.74%-1.34 +1.9 12
2007-06-10 Lillestrom W 3-158.9 1637 1681 47.07% 21.34% 31.59%+0.35 +9.3 20
2007-06-10 @ Brann L 1-358.9 1681 1637 31.59% 21.34% 47.07%-0.35 -9.3 17
2007-06-10 Lyn Oslo W 3-262.9 1666 1604 60.00% 19.81% 20.19%+1.00 +3.4 16
2007-06-10 @ Stabaek L 2-362.9 1604 1666 20.19% 19.81% 60.00%-1.00 -3.4 11
2007-06-10 Odd Grenland D 1-170.1 1649 1545 64.36% 18.87% 16.77%+1.25 -1.8 9
2007-06-10 @ Valerenga D 1-170.1 1545 1649 16.77% 18.87% 64.36%-1.25 +1.8 4
2007-06-11 Sandefjord W 3-152.5 1590 1553 57.22% 20.29% 22.49%+0.84 +6.9 13
2007-06-11 @ Start L 1-352.5 1553 1590 22.49% 20.29% 57.22%-0.84 -6.9 8
2007-06-16 Brann W 6-051.1 1601 1646 46.89% 21.35% 31.75%+0.34 +29.9 14
2007-06-16 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-651.1 1646 1601 31.75% 21.35% 46.89%-0.34 -29.9 20
2007-06-17 Stabaek L 1-458.3 1580 1670 40.68% 21.56% 37.77%+0.06 -16.1 8
2007-06-17 @ Aalesund W 4-158.3 1670 1580 37.77% 21.56% 40.68%-0.06 +16.1 19
2007-06-17 Start W 3-047.1 1584 1597 51.02% 21.05% 27.93%+0.53 +14.0 15
2007-06-17 @ Fredrikstad L 0-347.1 1597 1584 27.93% 21.05% 51.02%-0.53 -14.0 13
2007-06-17 Stromsgodset L 0-157.6 1546 1560 51.07% 21.04% 27.89%+0.53 -8.4 8
2007-06-17 @ Sandefjord W 1-057.6 1560 1546 27.89% 21.04% 51.07%-0.53 +8.4 15
2007-06-17 Tromso W 3-154.9 1617 1598 55.11% 20.59% 24.30%+0.73 +7.4 18
2007-06-17 @ Viking L 1-354.9 1598 1617 24.30% 20.59% 55.11%-0.73 -7.4 13
2007-06-17 Valerenga L 0-163.3 1671 1648 55.63% 20.52% 23.85%+0.76 -9.1 17
2007-06-17 @ Lillestrom W 1-063.3 1648 1671 23.85% 20.52% 55.63%-0.76 +9.1 12
2007-06-18 Rosenborg L 1-260.8 1547 1698 32.23% 21.38% 46.39%-0.31 -5.4 4
2007-06-18 @ Odd Grenland W 2-160.8 1698 1547 46.39% 21.38% 32.23%+0.31 +5.4 17
2007-06-20 Aalesund W 2-155.7 1616 1564 58.90% 20.01% 21.09%+0.94 +3.7 23
2007-06-20 @ Brann L 1-255.7 1564 1616 21.09% 20.01% 58.90%-0.94 -3.8 8
2007-06-20 Fredrikstad D 2-273.8 1538 1598 44.89% 21.45% 33.65%+0.25 -0.3 9
2007-06-20 @ Sandefjord D 2-273.8 1598 1538 33.65% 21.45% 44.89%-0.25 +0.3 16
2007-06-20 Lyn Oslo D 0-067.3 1657 1631 55.90% 20.48% 23.62%+0.77 -1.4 13
2007-06-20 @ Valerenga D 0-067.3 1631 1657 23.62% 20.48% 55.90%-0.77 +1.4 15
2007-06-20 Tromso L 1-264.1 1568 1591 49.85% 21.15% 29.00%+0.47 -7.8 15
2007-06-20 @ Stromsgodset W 2-164.1 1591 1568 29.00% 21.15% 49.85%-0.47 +7.8 16
2007-06-20 Viking W 2-157.7 1686 1625 59.88% 19.83% 20.29%+0.99 +3.6 22
2007-06-20 @ Stabaek L 1-257.7 1625 1686 20.29% 19.83% 59.88%-0.99 -3.6 18
2007-06-21 Lillestrom D 1-172.2 1704 1662 57.69% 20.21% 22.10%+0.87 -1.3 18
2007-06-21 @ Rosenborg D 1-172.2 1662 1704 22.10% 20.21% 57.69%-0.87 +1.3 18
2007-06-21 Odd Grenland L 1-265.2 1583 1542 57.72% 20.21% 22.07%+0.87 -8.8 13
2007-06-21 @ Start W 2-165.2 1542 1583 22.07% 20.21% 57.72%-0.87 +8.8 7
2007-06-23 Valerenga W 1-056.9 1560 1655 39.92% 21.56% 38.52%+0.03 +6.7 11
2007-06-23 @ Aalesund L 0-156.9 1655 1560 38.52% 21.56% 39.92%-0.03 -6.7 13
2007-06-24 Brann W 3-156.0 1621 1620 52.92% 20.86% 26.23%+0.62 +7.9 21
2007-06-24 @ Viking L 1-356.0 1620 1621 26.23% 20.86% 52.92%-0.62 -7.9 23
2007-06-24 Fredrikstad W 2-158.4 1560 1598 47.90% 21.29% 30.81%+0.38 +5.2 18
2007-06-24 @ Stromsgodset L 1-258.4 1598 1560 30.81% 21.29% 47.90%-0.38 -5.2 16
2007-06-24 Sandefjord W 4-043.0 1550 1537 54.35% 20.69% 24.97%+0.69 +16.6 10
2007-06-24 @ Odd Grenland L 0-443.0 1537 1550 24.97% 20.69% 54.35%-0.69 -16.6 9
2007-06-24 Stabaek L 0-158.7 1598 1689 40.51% 21.56% 37.93%+0.06 -6.9 16
2007-06-24 @ Tromso W 1-058.7 1689 1598 37.93% 21.56% 40.51%-0.06 +6.9 25
2007-06-24 Start W 1-050.4 1664 1574 62.84% 19.23% 17.94%+1.16 +3.4 21
2007-06-24 @ Lillestrom L 0-150.4 1574 1664 17.94% 19.23% 62.84%-1.16 -3.4 13
2007-06-25 Rosenborg W 2-162.9 1632 1702 43.45% 21.50% 35.05%+0.18 +5.8 18
2007-06-25 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-262.9 1702 1632 35.05% 21.50% 43.45%-0.18 -5.8 18
2007-06-30 Viking L 1-365.2 1649 1629 55.14% 20.59% 24.27%+0.73 -14.7 13
2007-06-30 @ Valerenga W 3-165.2 1629 1649 24.27% 20.59% 55.14%-0.73 +14.7 24
2007-07-01 Lillestrom L 0-251.0 1521 1667 32.88% 21.42% 45.70%-0.28 -11.1 9
2007-07-01 @ Sandefjord W 2-051.0 1667 1521 45.70% 21.42% 32.88%+0.28 +11.1 24
2007-07-01 Lyn Oslo L 0-158.3 1571 1638 43.92% 21.49% 34.60%+0.20 -7.4 13
2007-07-01 @ Start W 1-058.3 1638 1571 34.60% 21.49% 43.92%-0.20 +7.4 21
2007-07-01 Odd Grenland D 1-168.7 1593 1567 55.86% 20.49% 23.65%+0.77 -1.2 17
2007-07-01 @ Fredrikstad D 1-168.7 1567 1593 23.65% 20.49% 55.86%-0.77 +1.2 11
2007-07-01 Stromsgodset W 3-260.7 1696 1565 66.91% 18.20% 14.89%+1.42 +2.5 28
2007-07-01 @ Stabaek L 2-360.7 1565 1696 14.89% 18.20% 66.91%-1.42 -2.5 18
2007-07-01 Tromso W 2-157.3 1612 1592 55.24% 20.57% 24.19%+0.74 +4.2 26
2007-07-01 @ Brann L 1-257.3 1592 1612 24.19% 20.57% 55.24%-0.74 -4.2 16
2007-07-02 Aalesund D 2-277.7 1696 1567 66.78% 18.24% 14.99%+1.41 -1.5 19
2007-07-02 @ Rosenborg D 2-277.7 1567 1696 14.99% 18.24% 66.78%-1.41 +1.5 12
2007-07-21 Lyn Oslo W 3-159.7 1510 1645 34.29% 21.48% 44.24%-0.22 +12.2 12
2007-07-21 @ Sandefjord L 1-359.7 1645 1510 44.24% 21.48% 34.29%+0.22 -12.2 21
2007-07-22 Aalesund L 1-264.0 1564 1568 52.16% 20.94% 26.90%+0.59 -8.1 13
2007-07-22 @ Start W 2-164.0 1568 1564 26.90% 20.94% 52.16%-0.59 +8.1 15
2007-07-22 Lillestrom D 0-066.7 1591 1678 41.13% 21.55% 37.31%+0.08 -0.1 18
2007-07-22 @ Fredrikstad D 0-066.7 1678 1591 37.31% 21.55% 41.13%-0.08 +0.2 25
2007-07-22 Stabaek W 3-052.3 1616 1699 41.69% 21.54% 36.77%+0.11 +17.6 29
2007-07-22 @ Brann L 0-352.3 1699 1616 36.77% 21.54% 41.69%-0.11 -17.6 28
2007-07-22 Stromsgodset L 0-159.0 1568 1563 53.41% 20.80% 25.79%+0.65 -8.8 11
2007-07-22 @ Odd Grenland W 1-059.0 1563 1568 25.79% 20.80% 53.41%-0.65 +8.8 21
2007-07-22 Viking W 4-260.3 1695 1644 58.78% 20.03% 21.18%+0.93 +5.8 22
2007-07-22 @ Rosenborg L 2-460.3 1644 1695 21.18% 20.03% 58.78%-0.93 -5.8 24
2007-07-23 Tromso D 2-276.3 1634 1587 58.28% 20.12% 21.60%+0.90 -1.0 14
2007-07-23 @ Valerenga D 2-276.3 1587 1634 21.60% 20.12% 58.28%-0.90 +1.0 17
2007-07-28 Odd Grenland D 1-171.1 1678 1559 65.75% 18.52% 15.73%+1.34 -1.9 26
2007-07-28 @ Lillestrom D 1-171.1 1559 1678 15.73% 18.52% 65.75%-1.34 +1.9 12
2007-07-28 Rosenborg W 2-164.2 1588 1701 37.45% 21.55% 40.99%-0.08 +6.6 20
2007-07-28 @ Tromso L 1-264.2 1701 1588 40.99% 21.55% 37.45%+0.08 -6.6 22
2007-07-29 Brann L 2-465.7 1572 1634 44.57% 21.46% 33.97%+0.23 -10.9 21
2007-07-29 @ Stromsgodset W 4-265.7 1634 1572 33.97% 21.46% 44.57%-0.23 +11.0 32
2007-07-29 Sandefjord W 4-148.1 1576 1522 59.15% 19.97% 20.88%+0.95 +9.1 18
2007-07-29 @ Aalesund L 1-448.1 1522 1576 20.88% 19.97% 59.15%-0.95 -9.1 12
2007-07-29 Start W 2-046.2 1638 1556 62.15% 19.38% 18.47%+1.12 +6.6 27
2007-07-29 @ Viking L 0-246.2 1556 1638 18.47% 19.38% 62.15%-1.12 -6.6 13
2007-07-29 Valerenga D 2-277.8 1681 1633 58.48% 20.08% 21.43%+0.91 -1.0 29
2007-07-29 @ Stabaek D 2-277.8 1633 1681 21.43% 20.08% 58.48%-0.91 +1.0 15
2007-07-30 Fredrikstad D 0-066.3 1633 1591 57.74% 20.21% 22.05%+0.87 -1.5 22
2007-07-30 @ Lyn Oslo D 0-066.3 1591 1633 22.05% 20.21% 57.74%-0.87 +1.5 19
2007-08-04 Stabaek W 3-049.0 1694 1680 54.45% 20.68% 24.87%+0.70 +12.7 25
2007-08-04 @ Rosenborg L 0-349.0 1680 1694 24.87% 20.68% 54.45%-0.70 -12.6 29
2007-08-05 Aalesund W 2-157.2 1593 1585 53.65% 20.77% 25.58%+0.66 +4.5 22
2007-08-05 @ Fredrikstad L 1-257.2 1585 1593 25.58% 20.77% 53.65%-0.66 -4.5 18
2007-08-05 Brann W 2-051.0 1634 1645 51.40% 21.01% 27.59%+0.55 +9.5 18
2007-08-05 @ Valerenga L 0-251.0 1645 1634 27.59% 21.01% 51.40%-0.55 -9.5 32
2007-08-05 Lyn Oslo W 2-051.8 1561 1632 43.45% 21.50% 35.05%+0.18 +11.7 15
2007-08-05 @ Odd Grenland L 0-251.8 1632 1561 35.05% 21.50% 43.45%-0.18 -11.7 22
2007-08-05 Tromso D 1-168.0 1549 1595 46.77% 21.36% 31.87%+0.33 -0.5 14
2007-08-05 @ Start D 1-168.0 1595 1549 31.87% 21.36% 46.77%-0.33 +0.5 21
2007-08-05 Viking W 4-157.1 1513 1645 34.79% 21.49% 43.71%-0.19 +17.0 15
2007-08-05 @ Sandefjord L 1-457.1 1645 1513 43.71% 21.49% 34.79%+0.19 -17.0 27
2007-08-06 Stromsgodset W 2-046.1 1676 1561 65.45% 18.59% 15.96%+1.32 +5.7 29
2007-08-06 @ Lillestrom L 0-246.1 1561 1676 15.96% 18.59% 65.45%-1.32 -5.7 21
2007-08-11 Rosenborg W 3-268.9 1635 1707 43.25% 21.51% 35.24%+0.17 +5.6 35
2007-08-11 @ Brann L 2-368.9 1707 1635 35.24% 21.51% 43.25%-0.17 -5.6 25
2007-08-12 Fredrikstad D 2-276.3 1628 1597 56.41% 20.41% 23.18%+0.80 -0.9 28
2007-08-12 @ Viking D 2-276.3 1597 1628 23.18% 20.41% 56.41%-0.80 +0.9 23
2007-08-12 Lillestrom L 0-454.1 1620 1682 44.59% 21.46% 33.95%+0.23 -26.8 22
2007-08-12 @ Lyn Oslo W 4-054.1 1682 1620 33.95% 21.46% 44.59%-0.23 +26.8 32
2007-08-12 Odd Grenland W 2-156.6 1581 1573 53.74% 20.76% 25.50%+0.66 +4.5 21
2007-08-12 @ Aalesund L 1-256.6 1573 1581 25.50% 20.76% 53.74%-0.66 -4.5 15
2007-08-12 Sandefjord W 2-153.8 1595 1530 60.37% 19.74% 19.89%+1.02 +3.5 24
2007-08-12 @ Tromso L 1-253.8 1530 1595 19.89% 19.74% 60.37%-1.02 -3.5 15
2007-08-12 Valerenga L 1-262.5 1555 1643 40.86% 21.56% 37.58%+0.07 -6.6 21
2007-08-12 @ Stromsgodset W 2-162.5 1643 1555 37.58% 21.56% 40.86%-0.07 +6.6 21
2007-08-13 Start D 1-170.6 1668 1548 65.81% 18.50% 15.69%+1.35 -2.0 30
2007-08-13 @ Stabaek D 1-170.6 1548 1668 15.69% 18.50% 65.81%-1.35 +2.0 15
2007-08-25 Valerenga W 2-049.7 1701 1650 58.79% 20.03% 21.18%+0.93 +7.5 28
2007-08-25 @ Rosenborg L 0-249.7 1650 1701 21.18% 20.03% 58.79%-0.93 -7.5 21
2007-08-26 Aalesund W 7-046.9 1709 1585 66.18% 18.40% 15.42%+1.37 +17.8 35
2007-08-26 @ Lillestrom L 0-746.9 1585 1709 15.42% 18.40% 66.18%-1.37 -17.8 21
2007-08-26 Brann D 1-169.2 1550 1641 40.59% 21.56% 37.85%+0.06 -0.1 16
2007-08-26 @ Start D 1-169.2 1641 1550 37.85% 21.56% 40.59%-0.06 +0.1 36
2007-08-26 Stromsgodset W 1-049.6 1593 1548 58.06% 20.15% 21.78%+0.89 +4.1 25
2007-08-26 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-149.6 1548 1593 21.78% 20.15% 58.06%-0.89 -4.1 21
2007-08-26 Tromso W 2-158.0 1598 1599 52.64% 20.89% 26.47%+0.61 +4.6 26
2007-08-26 @ Fredrikstad L 1-258.0 1599 1598 26.47% 20.89% 52.64%-0.61 -4.6 24
2007-08-26 Viking L 1-360.9 1569 1627 45.14% 21.44% 33.42%+0.26 -12.4 15
2007-08-26 @ Odd Grenland W 3-160.9 1627 1569 33.42% 21.44% 45.14%-0.26 +12.4 31
2007-08-27 Stabaek L 2-366.0 1526 1666 33.77% 21.46% 44.78%-0.24 -5.4 15
2007-08-27 @ Sandefjord W 3-266.0 1666 1526 44.78% 21.46% 33.77%+0.24 +5.4 33
2007-09-01 Rosenborg D 1-170.5 1544 1709 30.55% 21.27% 48.18%-0.40 +0.6 22
2007-09-01 @ Stromsgodset D 1-170.5 1709 1544 48.18% 21.27% 30.55%+0.40 -0.6 29
2007-09-02 Lillestrom D 1-171.8 1639 1727 41.00% 21.55% 37.44%+0.08 -0.1 32
2007-09-02 @ Viking D 1-171.8 1727 1639 37.44% 21.55% 41.00%-0.08 +0.1 36
2007-09-02 Lyn Oslo W 3-155.5 1568 1597 48.98% 21.22% 29.80%+0.43 +8.8 24
2007-09-02 @ Aalesund L 1-355.5 1597 1568 29.80% 21.22% 48.98%-0.43 -8.8 25
2007-09-02 Odd Grenland L 2-467.8 1594 1556 57.32% 20.27% 22.41%+0.85 -13.6 24
2007-09-02 @ Tromso W 4-267.8 1556 1594 22.41% 20.27% 57.32%-0.85 +13.6 18
2007-09-02 Sandefjord W 1-047.8 1641 1521 65.86% 18.49% 15.65%+1.35 +3.0 39
2007-09-02 @ Brann L 0-147.8 1521 1641 15.65% 18.49% 65.86%-1.35 -3.0 15
2007-09-02 Start W 3-260.5 1643 1550 63.16% 19.15% 17.68%+1.18 +3.0 24
2007-09-02 @ Valerenga L 2-360.5 1550 1643 17.68% 19.15% 63.16%-1.18 -3.0 16
2007-09-03 Fredrikstad L 0-260.5 1671 1603 60.66% 19.68% 19.65%+1.03 -18.5 33
2007-09-03 @ Stabaek W 2-060.5 1603 1671 19.65% 19.68% 60.66%-1.03 +18.5 29
2007-09-15 Rosenborg W 2-165.6 1547 1708 30.99% 21.31% 47.70%-0.37 +7.5 19
2007-09-15 @ Start L 1-265.6 1708 1547 47.70% 21.31% 30.99%+0.37 -7.5 29
2007-09-16 Brann L 0-455.0 1621 1644 49.88% 21.15% 28.97%+0.48 -29.5 29
2007-09-16 @ Fredrikstad W 4-055.0 1644 1621 28.97% 21.15% 49.88%-0.48 +29.5 42
2007-09-16 Stabaek L 1-556.6 1570 1653 41.68% 21.54% 36.77%+0.11 -21.1 18
2007-09-16 @ Odd Grenland W 5-156.6 1653 1570 36.77% 21.54% 41.68%-0.11 +21.2 36
2007-09-16 Tromso L 0-360.5 1727 1581 68.25% 17.81% 13.94%+1.51 -29.8 36
2007-09-16 @ Lillestrom W 3-060.5 1581 1727 13.94% 17.81% 68.25%-1.51 +29.8 27
2007-09-16 Valerenga L 1-357.3 1518 1646 35.35% 21.51% 43.13%-0.17 -10.2 15
2007-09-16 @ Sandefjord W 3-157.3 1646 1518 43.13% 21.51% 35.35%+0.17 +10.2 27
2007-09-16 Viking L 2-370.5 1588 1639 46.17% 21.39% 32.43%+0.30 -6.9 25
2007-09-16 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-270.5 1639 1588 32.43% 21.39% 46.17%-0.30 +6.9 35
2007-09-17 Stromsgodset W 3-260.6 1577 1545 56.56% 20.39% 23.05%+0.81 +3.9 27
2007-09-17 @ Aalesund L 2-360.6 1545 1577 23.05% 20.39% 56.56%-0.81 -3.9 22
2007-09-22 Aalesund W 3-045.3 1646 1580 60.34% 19.75% 19.91%+1.02 +10.3 38
2007-09-22 @ Viking L 0-345.3 1580 1646 19.91% 19.75% 60.34%-1.02 -10.3 27
2007-09-23 Lillestrom W 3-158.6 1674 1697 49.81% 21.15% 29.03%+0.47 +8.6 39
2007-09-23 @ Stabaek L 1-358.6 1697 1674 29.03% 21.15% 49.81%-0.47 -8.6 36
2007-09-23 Lyn Oslo W 2-156.8 1611 1581 56.27% 20.43% 23.30%+0.79 +4.1 30
2007-09-23 @ Tromso L 1-256.8 1581 1611 23.30% 20.43% 56.27%-0.79 -4.1 25
2007-09-23 Odd Grenland W 4-043.1 1673 1549 66.31% 18.37% 15.32%+1.38 +10.4 45
2007-09-23 @ Brann L 0-443.1 1549 1673 15.32% 18.37% 66.31%-1.38 -10.4 18
2007-09-23 Sandefjord W 2-043.5 1701 1508 72.23% 16.49% 11.28%+1.80 +4.0 32
2007-09-23 @ Rosenborg L 0-243.5 1508 1701 11.28% 16.49% 72.23%-1.80 -4.0 15
2007-09-23 Start W 3-261.4 1541 1555 51.03% 21.05% 27.92%+0.53 +4.6 25
2007-09-23 @ Stromsgodset L 2-361.4 1555 1541 27.92% 21.05% 51.03%-0.53 -4.6 19
2007-09-24 Fredrikstad W 2-047.9 1656 1592 60.19% 19.77% 20.03%+1.01 +7.1 30
2007-09-24 @ Valerenga L 0-247.9 1592 1656 20.03% 19.77% 60.19%-1.01 -7.1 29
2007-09-29 Stromsgodset W 3-043.4 1656 1546 64.95% 18.72% 16.32%+1.29 +8.5 41
2007-09-29 @ Viking L 0-343.4 1546 1656 16.32% 18.72% 64.95%-1.29 -8.5 25
2007-09-30 Brann L 1-561.9 1688 1684 53.31% 20.81% 25.88%+0.64 -26.0 36
2007-09-30 @ Lillestrom W 5-161.9 1684 1688 25.88% 20.81% 53.31%-0.64 +26.0 48
2007-09-30 Rosenborg W 4-373.5 1585 1705 36.39% 21.54% 42.08%-0.12 +6.2 32
2007-09-30 @ Fredrikstad L 3-473.5 1705 1585 42.08% 21.54% 36.39%+0.12 -6.2 32
2007-09-30 Stabaek W 3-269.2 1577 1682 38.50% 21.56% 39.93%-0.03 +6.1 28
2007-09-30 @ Lyn Oslo L 2-369.2 1682 1577 39.93% 21.56% 38.50%+0.03 -6.1 39
2007-09-30 Tromso L 2-369.8 1570 1615 46.97% 21.35% 31.69%+0.34 -7.0 27
2007-09-30 @ Aalesund W 3-269.8 1615 1570 31.69% 21.35% 46.97%-0.34 +7.0 33
2007-09-30 Valerenga L 1-455.8 1538 1663 35.76% 21.52% 42.72%-0.15 -14.5 18
2007-09-30 @ Odd Grenland W 4-155.8 1663 1538 42.72% 21.52% 35.76%+0.15 +14.5 33
2007-10-01 Start L 1-357.2 1504 1550 46.74% 21.36% 31.90%+0.33 -12.7 15
2007-10-01 @ Sandefjord W 3-157.2 1550 1504 31.90% 21.36% 46.74%-0.33 +12.7 22
2007-10-06 Fredrikstad W 3-155.2 1563 1591 49.18% 21.20% 29.62%+0.44 +8.8 25
2007-10-06 @ Start L 1-355.2 1591 1563 29.62% 21.20% 49.18%-0.44 -8.8 32
2007-10-07 Aalesund W 4-257.0 1676 1563 65.22% 18.65% 16.13%+1.31 +4.5 42
2007-10-07 @ Stabaek L 2-457.0 1563 1676 16.13% 18.65% 65.22%-1.31 -4.5 27
2007-10-07 Lillestrom L 1-365.9 1677 1662 54.62% 20.66% 24.73%+0.71 -14.6 33
2007-10-07 @ Valerenga W 3-165.9 1662 1677 24.73% 20.66% 54.62%-0.71 +14.6 39
2007-10-07 Odd Grenland W 4-147.9 1698 1524 70.74% 17.01% 12.25%+1.69 +5.3 35
2007-10-07 @ Rosenborg L 1-447.9 1524 1698 12.25% 17.01% 70.74%-1.69 -5.3 18
2007-10-07 Sandefjord W 4-039.7 1537 1491 58.21% 20.13% 21.66%+0.90 +14.6 28
2007-10-07 @ Stromsgodset L 0-439.7 1491 1537 21.66% 20.13% 58.21%-0.90 -14.6 15
2007-10-07 Viking W 2-161.2 1622 1665 47.21% 21.34% 31.46%+0.35 +5.3 36
2007-10-07 @ Tromso L 1-261.2 1665 1622 31.46% 21.34% 47.21%-0.35 -5.3 41
2007-10-08 Lyn Oslo W 3-152.8 1710 1583 66.46% 18.32% 15.21%+1.39 +4.7 51
2007-10-08 @ Brann L 1-352.8 1583 1710 15.21% 18.32% 66.46%-1.39 -4.7 28
2007-10-20 Brann W 2-165.7 1559 1714 31.63% 21.35% 47.02%-0.34 +7.4 30
2007-10-20 @ Aalesund L 1-265.7 1714 1559 47.02% 21.35% 31.63%+0.34 -7.4 51
2007-10-21 Rosenborg W 4-156.4 1677 1704 49.31% 21.19% 29.50%+0.45 +12.4 42
2007-10-21 @ Lillestrom L 1-456.4 1704 1677 29.50% 21.19% 49.31%-0.45 -12.4 35
2007-10-21 Sandefjord W 2-041.5 1582 1477 64.48% 18.84% 16.68%+1.26 +6.0 35
2007-10-21 @ Fredrikstad L 0-241.5 1477 1582 16.68% 18.84% 64.48%-1.26 -6.0 15
2007-10-21 Start W 2-048.2 1518 1572 45.80% 21.41% 32.79%+0.29 +11.0 21
2007-10-21 @ Odd Grenland L 0-248.2 1572 1518 32.79% 21.41% 45.80%-0.29 -11.0 25
2007-10-21 Stromsgodset D 2-275.6 1627 1552 61.41% 19.53% 19.06%+1.08 -1.2 37
2007-10-21 @ Tromso D 2-275.6 1552 1627 19.06% 19.53% 61.41%-1.08 +1.2 29
2007-10-21 Valerenga W 3-159.5 1579 1663 41.50% 21.55% 36.95%+0.10 +10.5 31
2007-10-21 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-359.5 1663 1579 36.95% 21.55% 41.50%-0.10 -10.5 33
2007-10-22 Stabaek W 2-161.0 1659 1681 50.02% 21.14% 28.84%+0.48 +5.0 44
2007-10-22 @ Viking L 1-261.0 1681 1659 28.84% 21.14% 50.02%-0.48 -5.0 42
2007-10-28 Aalesund W 2-155.5 1652 1566 62.54% 19.29% 18.16%+1.14 +3.2 36
2007-10-28 @ Valerenga L 1-255.5 1566 1652 18.16% 19.29% 62.54%-1.14 -3.2 30
2007-10-28 Lillestrom D 0-066.4 1561 1689 35.23% 21.51% 43.27%-0.18 +0.3 26
2007-10-28 @ Start D 0-066.4 1689 1561 43.27% 21.51% 35.23%+0.18 -0.3 43
2007-10-28 Lyn Oslo W 3-045.1 1691 1589 64.13% 18.92% 16.94%+1.24 +8.8 38
2007-10-28 @ Rosenborg L 0-345.1 1589 1691 16.94% 18.92% 64.13%-1.24 -8.8 31
2007-10-28 Odd Grenland L 0-248.6 1471 1529 45.02% 21.45% 33.54%+0.25 -14.2 15
2007-10-28 @ Sandefjord W 2-048.6 1529 1471 33.54% 21.45% 45.02%-0.25 +14.2 24
2007-10-28 Stromsgodset D 1-168.2 1588 1553 56.96% 20.33% 22.71%+0.83 -1.3 36
2007-10-28 @ Fredrikstad D 1-168.2 1553 1588 22.71% 20.33% 56.96%-0.83 +1.3 30
2007-10-28 Tromso W 5-047.4 1676 1626 58.65% 20.05% 21.30%+0.92 +17.7 45
2007-10-28 @ Stabaek L 0-547.4 1626 1676 21.30% 20.05% 58.65%-0.92 -17.7 37
2007-10-28 Viking W 5-257.0 1707 1664 57.86% 20.19% 21.95%+0.88 +8.3 54
2007-10-28 @ Brann L 2-557.0 1664 1707 21.95% 20.19% 57.86%-0.88 -8.2 44
2007-11-03 Brann W 3-053.4 1608 1715 38.19% 21.56% 40.25%-0.04 +18.9 40
2007-11-03 @ Tromso L 0-353.4 1715 1608 40.25% 21.56% 38.19%+0.04 -18.9 54
2007-11-03 Fredrikstad W 2-049.0 1544 1587 47.18% 21.34% 31.48%+0.35 +10.7 27
2007-11-03 @ Odd Grenland L 0-249.0 1587 1544 31.48% 21.34% 47.18%-0.35 -10.7 36
2007-11-03 Rosenborg L 1-261.7 1563 1700 34.03% 21.47% 44.50%-0.23 -5.7 30
2007-11-03 @ Aalesund W 2-161.7 1700 1563 44.50% 21.47% 34.03%+0.23 +5.7 41
2007-11-03 Sandefjord D 1-169.9 1689 1456 75.26% 15.33% 9.42%+2.04 -2.6 44
2007-11-03 @ Lillestrom D 1-169.9 1456 1689 9.42% 15.33% 75.26%-2.04 +2.6 16
2007-11-03 Stabaek L 0-550.8 1554 1693 33.79% 21.46% 44.75%-0.24 -26.5 30
2007-11-03 @ Stromsgodset W 5-050.8 1693 1554 44.75% 21.46% 33.79%+0.24 +26.5 48
2007-11-03 Start W 4-150.6 1580 1561 55.14% 20.59% 24.27%+0.73 +10.4 34
2007-11-03 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-450.6 1561 1580 24.27% 20.59% 55.14%-0.73 -10.4 26
2007-11-03 Valerenga W 2-159.9 1656 1656 52.80% 20.87% 26.33%+0.62 +4.6 47
2007-11-03 @ Viking L 1-259.9 1656 1656 26.33% 20.87% 52.80%-0.62 -4.6 36

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2007-11-08 Bodo Glimt L 0-1 1554 1483 60.93% 19.63% 19.44%+1.05 -9.8 0-1
2007-11-08 @ Odd Grenland W 1-0 1483 1554 19.44% 19.63% 60.93%-1.05 +9.8 1-0
2007-11-12 Odd Grenland W 3-2 1493 1545 46.07% 21.40% 32.53%+0.30 +5.2 2-0
2007-11-12 @ Bodo Glimt L 2-3 1545 1493 32.53% 21.40% 46.07%-0.30 -5.2 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-09-16 13.94% Tromso 1581 3 @ Lillestrom 1727 0
2 2007-05-13 16.11% Stromsgodset 1583 2 @ Rosenborg 1696 1
3 2007-09-03 19.65% Fredrikstad 1603 2 @ Stabaek 1671 0
4 2007-04-10 20.18% Brann 1597 1 @ Stabaek 1660 0
5 2007-06-10 20.90% Aalesund 1562 2 @ Tromso 1616 0
6 2007-05-16 21.40% Aalesund 1544 4 @ Stromsgodset 1593 0
7 2007-06-21 22.07% Odd Grenland 1542 2 @ Start 1583 1
8 2007-05-25 22.22% Stromsgodset 1559 3 @ Start 1599 2
9 2007-09-02 22.41% Odd Grenland 1556 4 @ Tromso 1594 2
10 2007-06-17 23.85% Valerenga 1648 1 @ Lillestrom 1671 0
11 2007-06-30 24.27% Viking 1629 3 @ Valerenga 1649 1
12 2007-10-07 24.73% Lillestrom 1662 3 @ Valerenga 1677 1
13 2007-04-09 25.66% Start 1588 4 @ Aalesund 1594 2
14 2007-07-22 25.79% Stromsgodset 1563 1 @ Odd Grenland 1568 0
15 2007-09-30 25.88% Brann 1684 5 @ Lillestrom 1688 1
16 2007-07-22 26.90% Aalesund 1568 2 @ Start 1564 1
17 2007-06-17 27.89% Stromsgodset 1560 1 @ Sandefjord 1546 0
18 2007-05-28 28.26% Viking 1594 2 @ Aalesund 1578 0
19 2007-09-16 28.97% Brann 1644 4 @ Fredrikstad 1621 0
20 2007-06-20 29.00% Tromso 1591 2 @ Stromsgodset 1568 1
21 2007-05-13 30.66% Tromso 1607 1 @ Odd Grenland 1570 0
22 2007-09-15 30.99% @ Start 1547 2 Rosenborg 1708 1
23 2007-06-09 31.49% Viking 1610 2 @ Stromsgodset 1567 1
24 2007-10-20 31.63% @ Aalesund 1559 2 Brann 1714 1
25 2007-05-12 31.65% Brann 1617 3 @ Sandefjord 1572 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-05-16 33.96 Aalesund 4 1544 21.40% @ Stromsgodset 0 1593 58.53% 20.08%
2 2007-06-16 29.86 @ Lyn Oslo 6 1601 46.89% Brann 0 1646 31.75% 21.35%
3 2007-09-16 29.80 Tromso 3 1581 13.94% @ Lillestrom 0 1727 68.25% 17.81%
4 2007-09-16 29.49 Brann 4 1644 28.97% @ Fredrikstad 0 1621 49.88% 21.15%
5 2007-08-12 26.83 Lillestrom 4 1682 33.95% @ Lyn Oslo 0 1620 44.59% 21.46%
6 2007-11-03 26.46 Stabaek 5 1693 44.75% @ Stromsgodset 0 1554 33.79% 21.46%
7 2007-09-30 26.04 Brann 5 1684 25.88% @ Lillestrom 1 1688 53.31% 20.81%
8 2007-09-16 21.16 Stabaek 5 1653 36.77% @ Odd Grenland 1 1570 41.68% 21.54%
9 2007-11-03 18.90 @ Tromso 3 1608 38.19% Brann 0 1715 40.25% 21.56%
10 2007-09-03 18.48 Fredrikstad 2 1603 19.65% @ Stabaek 0 1671 60.66% 19.68%
11 2007-06-10 18.07 Aalesund 2 1562 20.90% @ Tromso 0 1616 59.13% 19.97%
12 2007-08-26 17.76 @ Lillestrom 7 1709 66.18% Aalesund 0 1585 15.42% 18.40%
13 2007-10-28 17.69 @ Stabaek 5 1676 58.65% Tromso 0 1626 21.30% 20.05%
14 2007-07-22 17.60 @ Brann 3 1616 41.69% Stabaek 0 1699 36.77% 21.54%
15 2007-08-05 17.04 @ Sandefjord 4 1513 34.79% Viking 1 1645 43.71% 21.49%
16 2007-06-24 16.59 @ Odd Grenland 4 1550 54.35% Sandefjord 0 1537 24.97% 20.69%
17 2007-06-17 16.07 Stabaek 4 1670 37.77% @ Aalesund 1 1580 40.68% 21.56%
18 2007-05-28 15.76 Viking 2 1594 28.26% @ Aalesund 0 1578 50.66% 21.08%
19 2007-04-15 14.96 @ Sandefjord 3 1549 48.58% Aalesund 0 1581 30.17% 21.25%
20 2007-06-30 14.70 Viking 3 1629 24.27% @ Valerenga 1 1649 55.14% 20.59%
21 2007-10-07 14.58 @ Stromsgodset 4 1537 58.21% Sandefjord 0 1491 21.66% 20.13%
22 2007-10-07 14.57 Lillestrom 3 1662 24.73% @ Valerenga 1 1677 54.62% 20.66%
23 2007-09-30 14.51 Valerenga 4 1663 42.72% @ Odd Grenland 1 1538 35.76% 21.52%
24 2007-10-28 14.25 Odd Grenland 2 1529 33.54% @ Sandefjord 0 1471 45.02% 21.45%
25 2007-05-28 14.09 Brann 2 1623 34.13% @ Odd Grenland 0 1559 44.40% 21.47%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-04-22 78.9 @ Aalesund 3 1567 50.83% Fredrikstad 3 1582 28.10% 21.07%
2 2007-07-29 77.8 @ Stabaek 2 1681 58.48% Valerenga 2 1633 21.43% 20.08%
3 2007-07-02 77.7 @ Rosenborg 2 1696 66.78% Aalesund 2 1567 14.99% 18.24%
4 2007-07-23 76.3 @ Valerenga 2 1634 58.28% Tromso 2 1587 21.60% 20.12%
5 2007-08-12 76.3 @ Viking 2 1628 56.41% Fredrikstad 2 1597 23.18% 20.41%
6 2007-05-05 76.1 @ Brann 2 1618 54.87% Start 2 1600 24.51% 20.62%
7 2007-05-16 75.8 @ Brann 2 1624 58.60% Fredrikstad 2 1574 21.33% 20.06%
8 2007-10-21 75.6 @ Tromso 2 1627 61.41% Stromsgodset 2 1552 19.06% 19.53%
9 2007-06-20 73.8 @ Sandefjord 2 1538 44.89% Fredrikstad 2 1598 33.65% 21.45%
10 2007-09-30 73.5 @ Fredrikstad 4 1585 36.39% Rosenborg 3 1705 42.08% 21.54%
11 2007-06-21 72.2 @ Rosenborg 1 1704 57.69% Lillestrom 1 1662 22.10% 20.21%
12 2007-05-25 71.9 Stromsgodset 3 1559 22.22% @ Start 2 1599 57.54% 20.24%
13 2007-05-28 71.9 @ Lillestrom 1 1682 54.76% Stabaek 1 1665 24.60% 20.64%
14 2007-06-10 71.8 @ Rosenborg 1 1700 65.74% Fredrikstad 1 1582 15.74% 18.52%
15 2007-09-02 71.8 @ Viking 1 1639 41.00% Lillestrom 1 1727 37.44% 21.55%
16 2007-04-15 71.6 @ Valerenga 1 1666 54.71% Stabaek 1 1650 24.65% 20.64%
17 2007-07-28 71.1 @ Lillestrom 1 1678 65.75% Odd Grenland 1 1559 15.73% 18.52%
18 2007-04-09 71.0 @ Viking 1 1601 40.24% Rosenborg 1 1693 38.20% 21.56%
19 2007-05-06 70.6 @ Stabaek 1 1657 62.54% Sandefjord 1 1571 18.16% 19.29%
20 2007-08-13 70.6 @ Stabaek 1 1668 65.81% Start 1 1548 15.69% 18.50%
21 2007-04-29 70.5 @ Start 1 1601 45.45% Stabaek 1 1656 33.13% 21.43%
22 2007-05-13 70.5 Stromsgodset 2 1583 16.11% @ Rosenborg 1 1696 65.24% 18.65%
23 2007-09-01 70.5 @ Stromsgodset 1 1544 30.55% Rosenborg 1 1709 48.18% 21.27%
24 2007-09-16 70.5 Viking 3 1639 32.43% @ Lyn Oslo 2 1588 46.17% 21.39%
25 2007-04-23 70.3 @ Stromsgodset 1 1582 42.02% Lillestrom 1 1662 36.44% 21.54%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-10-07 39.7 @ Stromsgodset 4 1537 58.21% Sandefjord 0 1491 21.66% 20.13%
2 2007-10-21 41.5 @ Fredrikstad 2 1582 64.48% Sandefjord 0 1477 16.68% 18.84%
3 2007-06-24 43.0 @ Odd Grenland 4 1550 54.35% Sandefjord 0 1537 24.97% 20.69%
4 2007-09-23 43.1 @ Brann 4 1673 66.31% Odd Grenland 0 1549 15.32% 18.37%
5 2007-09-29 43.4 @ Viking 3 1656 64.95% Stromsgodset 0 1546 16.32% 18.72%
6 2007-09-23 43.5 @ Rosenborg 2 1701 72.23% Sandefjord 0 1508 11.28% 16.49%
7 2007-04-09 44.6 @ Lyn Oslo 3 1606 58.22% Sandefjord 0 1560 21.65% 20.13%
8 2007-10-28 45.1 @ Rosenborg 3 1691 64.13% Lyn Oslo 0 1589 16.94% 18.92%
9 2007-04-29 45.3 @ Odd Grenland 3 1561 52.16% Aalesund 0 1566 26.91% 20.94%
10 2007-09-22 45.3 @ Viking 3 1646 60.34% Aalesund 0 1580 19.91% 19.75%
11 2007-04-09 45.5 @ Lillestrom 3 1645 59.94% Fredrikstad 0 1583 20.24% 19.82%
12 2007-08-06 46.1 @ Lillestrom 2 1676 65.45% Stromsgodset 0 1561 15.96% 18.59%
13 2007-07-29 46.2 @ Viking 2 1638 62.15% Start 0 1556 18.47% 19.38%
14 2007-04-15 46.5 @ Sandefjord 3 1549 48.58% Aalesund 0 1581 30.17% 21.25%
15 2007-05-16 46.6 @ Valerenga 2 1649 62.30% Sandefjord 0 1565 18.35% 19.34%
16 2007-04-29 46.8 @ Rosenborg 3 1691 60.11% Brann 0 1628 20.10% 19.79%
17 2007-08-26 46.9 @ Lillestrom 7 1709 66.18% Aalesund 0 1585 15.42% 18.40%
18 2007-06-17 47.1 @ Fredrikstad 3 1584 51.02% Start 0 1597 27.93% 21.05%
19 2007-10-28 47.4 @ Stabaek 5 1676 58.65% Tromso 0 1626 21.30% 20.05%
20 2007-09-02 47.8 @ Brann 1 1641 65.86% Sandefjord 0 1521 15.65% 18.49%
21 2007-09-24 47.9 @ Valerenga 2 1656 60.19% Fredrikstad 0 1592 20.03% 19.77%
22 2007-10-07 47.9 @ Rosenborg 4 1698 70.74% Odd Grenland 1 1524 12.25% 17.01%
23 2007-07-29 48.1 @ Aalesund 4 1576 59.15% Sandefjord 1 1522 20.88% 19.97%
24 2007-10-21 48.2 @ Odd Grenland 2 1518 45.80% Start 0 1572 32.79% 21.41%
25 2007-10-28 48.6 Odd Grenland 2 1529 33.54% @ Sandefjord 0 1471 45.02% 21.45%