2006 Tippeligaen Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

53 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rosenborg

11.93 points above expected

53 points · 41.07 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Molde

9.38 points below expected

25 points · 34.38 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	26	15	8	3	53	47	24	+23	41.1	+11.93
2	Brann	26	14	4	8	46	39	36	+3	40.6	+5.35
3	Valerenga	26	13	5	8	44	43	28	+15	39.4	+4.63
4	Lillestrom	26	12	8	6	44	44	33	+11	40.5	+3.53
5	Stabaek	26	10	9	7	39	53	36	+17	35.5	+3.47
6	Start	26	10	7	9	37	29	32	-3	34.4	+2.59
7	Lyn Oslo	26	10	5	11	35	33	36	-3	37.2	-2.19
8	Fredrikstad	26	8	8	10	32	38	46	-8	33.1	-1.08
9	Sandefjord	26	9	5	12	32	37	47	-10	28.1	+3.88
10	Tromso	26	8	5	13	29	33	39	-6	34.6	-5.56
11	Viking	26	8	5	13	29	31	37	-6	36.0	-7.04
12	Odd Grenland	26	7	8	11	29	30	38	-8	34.3	-5.27
13	Hamarkameratene	26	7	7	12	28	35	39	-4	35.7	-7.74
14	Molde	26	7	4	15	25	29	50	-21	34.4	-9.38

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1747	53	41.07	+11.93	96.9%	17	30	37	41	45	52	67
Valerenga	1721	44	39.37	+4.63	78.1%	14	29	35	39	44	50	64
Lillestrom	1703	44	40.47	+3.53	72.8%	15	30	36	40	45	51	65
Stabaek	1687	39	35.53	+3.47	72.7%	10	25	31	35	40	46	59
Brann	1669	46	40.65	+5.35	80.3%	14	30	36	41	45	51	68
Lyn Oslo	1662	35	37.19	-2.19	40.3%	14	26	33	37	42	48	62
Viking	1648	29	36.04	-7.04	16.1%	14	25	32	36	40	47	60
Tromso	1644	29	34.56	-5.56	22.3%	13	24	30	34	39	45	61
Hamarkameratene	1636	28	35.74	-7.74	13.5%	14	25	31	36	40	47	62
Start	1632	37	34.41	+2.59	68.5%	10	24	30	34	39	45	60
Fredrikstad	1622	32	33.08	-1.08	47.0%	13	23	29	33	37	44	60
Odd Grenland	1618	29	34.27	-5.27	23.5%	11	24	30	34	39	45	59
Molde	1586	25	34.38	-9.38	8.6%	11	24	30	34	39	45	61
Sandefjord	1571	32	28.12	+3.88	75.2%	7	18	24	28	32	39	54

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRA	FRE	HAM	LIL	LO	MOL	OG	ROS	SAN	STA	STA	TRO	VAL	VIK
Brann	—	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 3.12	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 3.11	2-0-0 3.13	2-0-0 3.23	0-1-1 2.74	2-0-0 3.73	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 3.15
Fredrikstad	0-1-1 2.35	—	0-1-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.71	1-1-0 2.70	0-1-1 2.03	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.38	1-1-0 2.51
Hamarkameratene	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.97	—	0-0-2 2.52	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.28	1-0-1 3.32	0-0-2 2.77	0-1-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.87	0-2-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.75
Lillestrom	1-1-0 2.69	1-1-0 3.27	2-0-0 3.03	—	1-1-0 3.03	1-0-1 3.22	1-1-0 3.25	0-1-1 2.77	0-1-1 3.76	0-2-0 3.15	1-0-1 3.27	0-0-2 3.20	2-0-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.97
Lyn Oslo	1-0-1 2.45	1-0-1 3.10	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 2.51	—	2-0-0 2.94	0-1-1 2.94	0-0-2 2.45	1-1-0 3.45	0-0-2 2.97	0-1-1 3.05	1-0-1 3.01	2-0-0 2.64	1-1-0 2.82
Molde	0-0-2 2.45	1-1-0 2.84	1-1-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.32	0-0-2 2.61	—	1-1-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.37	0-0-2 3.12	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.42	1-0-1 2.68
Odd Grenland	0-0-2 2.33	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.29	1-1-0 2.61	0-1-1 2.70	—	0-1-1 2.34	2-0-0 3.15	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 2.79	1-1-0 2.42	0-0-2 2.65
Rosenborg	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 3.53	0-1-1 3.27	1-1-0 2.76	2-0-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.16	1-1-0 3.20	—	2-0-0 3.70	1-1-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.26	1-1-0 2.85	2-0-0 3.19
Sandefjord	0-0-2 1.88	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.24	1-1-0 1.85	0-1-1 2.12	2-0-0 2.41	0-0-2 2.39	0-0-2 1.89	—	1-1-0 2.22	1-1-0 2.32	1-1-0 2.31	0-0-2 1.91	1-0-1 2.18
Stabaek	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.99	2-0-0 2.75	0-2-0 2.39	2-0-0 2.60	2-0-0 2.87	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.49	0-1-1 3.32	—	0-1-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.83
Start	1-0-1 2.38	0-1-1 2.90	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.28	1-1-0 2.49	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.35	0-1-1 3.26	1-1-0 2.67	—	0-1-1 2.69	0-0-2 2.47	2-0-0 2.62
Tromso	1-0-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.67	2-0-0 2.34	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.31	0-1-1 3.24	0-0-2 2.79	1-1-0 2.85	—	0-0-2 2.38	0-1-1 2.71
Valerenga	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 3.17	0-2-0 3.03	0-0-2 2.68	0-0-2 2.91	2-0-0 3.11	0-1-1 3.13	0-1-1 2.69	2-0-0 3.67	1-1-0 3.10	2-0-0 3.08	2-0-0 3.18	—	2-0-0 2.99
Viking	1-0-1 2.39	0-1-1 3.03	1-1-0 2.78	0-0-2 2.56	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 2.89	0-0-2 2.40	1-0-1 3.39	1-1-0 2.70	0-0-2 2.93	1-1-0 2.82	0-0-2 2.55	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.59%	6.59%	6.04%	2.20%	1.37%	0.55%	23.35%
1	6.59%	10.44%	9.62%	6.87%	0.82%	0.55%	34.89%
2	6.04%	9.62%	5.49%	2.47%	—	0.27%	23.90%
3	2.20%	6.87%	2.47%	1.65%	—	0.55%	13.74%
4	1.37%	0.82%	—	—	—	—	2.20%
5+	0.55%	0.55%	0.27%	0.55%	—	—	1.92%
Total	23.35%	34.89%	23.90%	13.74%	2.20%	1.92%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.86
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.056
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
2	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	34.62%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.199
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	—	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	38.46%
2	—	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	7.69%	50.00%	11.54%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.006
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	—	3.85%	42.31%
2	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	19.23%	30.77%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Hamarkameratene — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.377
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	—	34.62%
3	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	38.46%	26.92%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.079
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	38.46%
2	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	26.92%	30.77%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	2.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.056
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	—	3.85%	38.46%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	26.92%	23.08%	23.08%	—	7.69%	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.76
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.293
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	42.31%
1	—	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	38.46%	23.08%	15.38%	3.85%	—	100%

Odd Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.025
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	53.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	0.84
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.024
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	23.08%	38.46%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.054
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	38.46%
2	—	—	19.23%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	34.62%	34.62%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.78
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.248
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
1	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	42.31%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.150
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	38.46%	23.08%	15.38%	—	3.85%	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.291
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	34.62%	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.086
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	15.38%	7.69%	19.23%	15.38%	3.85%	—	61.54%
2	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	23.08%	23.08%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.062
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	53	41.1	+11.93
2	Brann	46	40.6	+5.35
3	Valerenga	44	39.4	+4.63
4	Sandefjord	32	28.1	+3.88
5	Lillestrom	44	40.5	+3.53

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Molde	25	34.4	-9.38
2	Hamarkameratene	28	35.7	-7.74
3	Viking	29	36.0	-7.04
4	Tromso	29	34.6	-5.56
5	Odd Grenland	29	34.3	-5.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	8	Jul 30 – Oct 1	1 in 353
2	Lillestrom	6	Apr 23 – May 16	1 in 217
3	Start	4	Jul 23 – Aug 13	1 in 105
4	Brann	4	May 13 – May 28	1 in 22
5	Valerenga	4	Oct 15 – Nov 5	1 in 19

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Odd Grenland	6	Sep 25 – Nov 5	1 in 172
2	Tromso	4	Apr 9 – Apr 30	1 in 77
3	Viking	4	Aug 6 – Sep 10	1 in 44
4	Brann	3	Aug 2 – Aug 13	1 in 22
5	Valerenga	3	Jul 22 – Aug 5	1 in 19

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brann	11	Apr 10 – Jun 5	1 in 114
2	Rosenborg	12	Jul 30 – Nov 5	1 in 82
3	Odd Grenland	8	Apr 9 – May 16	1 in 78
4	Lillestrom	9	Apr 9 – May 21	1 in 65
5	Stabaek	7	Apr 9 – May 13	1 in 43

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stabaek	7	May 4 – Jun 6	1 in 27
2	Lillestrom	5	May 21 – Jul 30	1 in 24
3	Odd Grenland	8	Sep 10 – Nov 5	1 in 21
4	Tromso	5	Apr 9 – May 3	1 in 18
5	Hamarkameratene	5	May 3 – May 22	1 in 14

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Rosenborg	19.57%	15.00%	11.82%	10.06%	8.73%	7.02%	6.55%	5.48%	4.39%	3.99%	3.02%	2.12%	1.44%	0.81%
Brann	16.87%	13.83%	11.79%	9.86%	8.83%	7.39%	6.43%	5.80%	5.12%	4.26%	3.91%	2.93%	1.98%	1.00%
Valerenga	12.89%	11.78%	11.24%	10.18%	8.97%	8.34%	6.90%	7.43%	5.82%	4.73%	4.26%	3.51%	2.49%	1.46%
Lillestrom	16.58%	13.63%	11.52%	10.29%	9.24%	7.40%	6.53%	5.83%	5.30%	4.58%	3.68%	2.36%	1.94%	1.12%
Stabaek	4.85%	5.85%	6.63%	7.57%	8.26%	7.91%	8.15%	7.98%	8.17%	7.65%	7.87%	7.45%	6.84%	4.82%
Start	2.91%	4.05%	5.52%	5.58%	6.71%	7.81%	7.76%	7.72%	8.44%	9.29%	9.26%	8.62%	8.61%	7.72%
Lyn Oslo	6.28%	7.97%	8.84%	8.22%	8.62%	8.36%	8.02%	7.97%	7.61%	7.07%	6.75%	5.89%	5.04%	3.36%
Fredrikstad	1.83%	2.81%	3.70%	4.56%	5.40%	5.93%	6.53%	7.87%	8.58%	9.07%	10.19%	10.50%	11.73%	11.30%
Sandefjord	0.32%	0.64%	1.05%	1.54%	1.87%	2.15%	3.72%	4.02%	5.18%	6.77%	8.49%	12.22%	17.54%	34.49%
Tromso	2.94%	4.61%	5.27%	5.92%	6.39%	7.30%	7.70%	7.84%	8.44%	8.80%	8.80%	9.54%	9.46%	6.99%
Viking	4.64%	6.30%	6.65%	7.75%	7.48%	8.71%	7.92%	8.21%	7.62%	8.00%	7.49%	7.57%	6.39%	5.27%
Odd Grenland	2.81%	4.11%	4.65%	6.06%	5.99%	6.75%	7.66%	7.70%	8.57%	8.94%	9.60%	9.64%	9.60%	7.92%
Hamarkameratene	4.78%	5.60%	6.40%	6.88%	7.27%	8.09%	8.54%	8.39%	8.16%	8.29%	7.80%	7.58%	7.30%	4.92%
Molde	2.73%	3.82%	4.92%	5.53%	6.24%	6.84%	7.59%	7.76%	8.60%	8.56%	8.88%	10.07%	9.64%	8.82%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	95.6%	1.7%	0.4%	2.2%
Lillestrom	94.6%	1.9%	0.4%	3.1%
Brann	94.1%	2.1%	0.9%	3.0%
Valerenga	92.5%	2.6%	0.9%	4.0%
Lyn Oslo	85.7%	4.2%	1.7%	8.4%
Stabaek	80.9%	5.6%	1.8%	11.7%
Viking	80.8%	5.4%	2.1%	11.7%
Hamarkameratene	80.2%	5.2%	2.4%	12.2%
Start	75.0%	6.0%	2.6%	16.3%
Tromso	74.0%	6.7%	2.9%	16.4%
Odd Grenland	72.8%	6.0%	3.6%	17.5%
Molde	71.5%	6.3%	3.8%	18.5%
Fredrikstad	66.5%	6.9%	3.6%	23.0%
Sandefjord	35.8%	7.2%	5.1%	52.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2006-04-09	Viking	D 0-0	1648	1666	47.6%	23.8%	28.6%	-0.5	1
2006-04-09	@ Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1666	1648	28.6%	23.8%	47.6%	+0.5	1
2006-04-09	Rosenborg	D 3-3	1674	1684	48.9%	23.5%	27.7%	-0.3	1
2006-04-09	@ Lillestrom	D 3-3	1684	1674	27.7%	23.5%	48.9%	+0.3	1
2006-04-09	Tromso	W 3-1	1655	1660	49.5%	23.3%	27.2%	+5.6	3
2006-04-09	@ Molde	L 1-3	1660	1655	27.2%	23.3%	49.5%	-5.6	0
2006-04-09	Sandefjord	D 0-0	1626	1572	57.8%	20.2%	22.0%	-1.0	1
2006-04-09	@ Stabaek	D 0-0	1572	1626	22.0%	20.2%	57.8%	+1.0	1
2006-04-09	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1638	1678	44.5%	24.5%	31.0%	-0.4	1
2006-04-09	@ Start	D 0-0	1678	1638	31.0%	24.5%	44.5%	+0.4	1
2006-04-09	Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1684	1630	57.8%	20.2%	22.0%	-1.0	1
2006-04-09	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1630	1684	22.0%	20.2%	57.8%	+1.0	1
2006-04-10	Brann	D 1-1	1635	1673	44.8%	24.4%	30.8%	-0.3	1
2006-04-10	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1673	1635	30.8%	24.4%	44.8%	+0.3	1
2006-04-17	Valerenga	W 2-1	1678	1683	49.5%	23.3%	27.2%	+3.2	4
2006-04-17	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1683	1678	27.2%	23.3%	49.5%	-3.2	1
2006-04-17	Molde	D 0-0	1631	1661	45.9%	24.2%	29.9%	-0.4	2
2006-04-17	@ Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1661	1631	29.9%	24.2%	45.9%	+0.4	4
2006-04-17	Start	W 3-0	1684	1638	56.7%	20.7%	22.7%	+7.8	4
2006-04-17	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1638	1684	22.7%	20.7%	56.7%	-7.8	1
2006-04-17	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1573	1648	39.4%	25.1%	35.5%	+4.1	4
2006-04-17	@ Sandefjord	L 1-2	1648	1573	35.5%	25.1%	39.4%	-4.1	1
2006-04-17	Stabaek	L 0-1	1654	1625	54.3%	21.6%	24.0%	-6.0	0
2006-04-17	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1625	1654	24.0%	21.6%	54.3%	+6.0	4
2006-04-17	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1667	1635	54.7%	21.5%	23.8%	-0.8	2
2006-04-17	@ Viking	D 1-1	1635	1667	23.8%	21.5%	54.7%	+0.8	2
2006-04-18	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1673	1674	50.0%	23.1%	26.9%	-0.6	2
2006-04-18	@ Brann	D 1-1	1674	1673	26.9%	23.1%	50.0%	+0.6	2
2006-04-23	Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1644	1636	51.3%	22.7%	26.0%	+5.4	4
2006-04-23	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-3	1636	1644	26.0%	22.7%	51.3%	-5.4	2
2006-04-23	Viking	W 3-1	1675	1666	51.4%	22.7%	25.9%	+5.4	5
2006-04-23	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1666	1675	25.9%	22.7%	51.4%	-5.4	2
2006-04-23	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1661	1681	47.3%	23.9%	28.8%	-5.4	4
2006-04-23	@ Molde	W 1-0	1681	1661	28.8%	23.9%	47.3%	+5.4	7
2006-04-23	Tromso	W 1-0	1577	1648	39.9%	25.0%	35.1%	+4.3	7
2006-04-23	@ Sandefjord	L 0-1	1648	1577	35.1%	25.0%	39.9%	-4.3	0
2006-04-23	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1631	1630	50.3%	23.1%	26.7%	-0.6	5
2006-04-23	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1630	1631	26.7%	23.1%	50.3%	+0.6	3
2006-04-23	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1680	1692	48.4%	23.6%	28.0%	-0.6	2
2006-04-23	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1692	1680	28.0%	23.6%	48.4%	+0.6	5
2006-04-24	Brann	L 0-1	1630	1672	44.1%	24.6%	31.4%	-5.1	1
2006-04-24	@ Start	W 1-0	1672	1630	31.4%	24.6%	44.1%	+5.1	5
2006-04-29	Start	L 1-2	1661	1625	55.3%	21.3%	23.5%	-5.7	2
2006-04-29	@ Viking	W 2-1	1625	1661	23.5%	21.3%	55.3%	+5.7	4
2006-04-30	Valerenga	W 3-1	1677	1679	50.0%	23.2%	26.9%	+5.6	8
2006-04-30	@ Brann	L 1-3	1679	1677	26.9%	23.2%	50.0%	-5.6	2
2006-04-30	Lillestrom	L 0-1	1630	1680	43.0%	24.7%	32.3%	-5.0	2
2006-04-30	@ Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1680	1630	32.3%	24.7%	43.0%	+5.0	8
2006-04-30	Stabaek	L 1-4	1687	1631	58.1%	20.1%	21.9%	-14.5	7
2006-04-30	@ Lyn Oslo	W 4-1	1631	1687	21.9%	20.1%	58.1%	+14.5	8
2006-04-30	Sandefjord	W 3-1	1631	1582	57.1%	20.5%	22.4%	+4.6	6
2006-04-30	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-3	1582	1631	22.4%	20.5%	57.1%	-4.6	7
2006-04-30	Molde	L 0-1	1692	1656	55.4%	21.2%	23.4%	-6.1	5
2006-04-30	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1656	1692	23.4%	21.2%	55.4%	+6.1	7
2006-04-30	Hamarkameratene	L 0-2	1644	1649	49.5%	23.3%	27.2%	-10.5	0
2006-04-30	@ Tromso	W 2-0	1649	1644	27.2%	23.3%	49.5%	+10.5	7
2006-05-03	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1660	1685	46.5%	24.1%	29.4%	-5.0	7
2006-05-03	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1685	1660	29.4%	24.1%	46.5%	+5.0	11
2006-05-03	Brann	L 0-2	1662	1683	47.1%	23.9%	29.0%	-10.1	7
2006-05-03	@ Molde	W 2-0	1683	1662	29.0%	23.9%	47.1%	+10.1	11
2006-05-03	Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1577	1672	36.5%	25.1%	38.4%	+0.0	8
2006-05-03	@ Sandefjord	D 2-2	1672	1577	38.4%	25.1%	36.5%	-0.0	8
2006-05-03	Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1631	1625	50.9%	22.9%	26.2%	-0.7	5
2006-05-03	@ Start	D 0-0	1625	1631	26.2%	22.9%	50.9%	+0.7	3
2006-05-03	Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1634	1635	49.9%	23.2%	26.9%	-0.6	1
2006-05-03	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1635	1634	26.9%	23.2%	49.9%	+0.6	7
2006-05-03	Viking	W 1-0	1673	1655	52.8%	22.2%	25.0%	+3.2	5
2006-05-03	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1655	1673	25.0%	22.2%	52.8%	-3.2	2
2006-05-04	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1645	1686	44.3%	24.5%	31.2%	-0.3	9
2006-05-04	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1686	1645	31.2%	24.5%	44.3%	+0.3	6
2006-05-07	Stabaek	D 2-2	1693	1645	57.0%	20.5%	22.5%	-0.7	12
2006-05-07	@ Brann	D 2-2	1645	1693	22.5%	20.5%	57.0%	+0.7	10
2006-05-07	Valerenga	W 2-1	1626	1677	42.9%	24.7%	32.4%	+3.8	6
2006-05-07	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1677	1626	32.4%	24.7%	42.9%	-3.8	5
2006-05-07	Start	W 2-1	1690	1630	58.6%	19.8%	21.6%	+2.5	14
2006-05-07	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1630	1690	21.6%	19.8%	58.6%	-2.5	5
2006-05-07	Tromso	L 1-3	1672	1633	55.7%	21.1%	23.2%	-10.0	8
2006-05-07	@ Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1633	1672	23.2%	21.1%	55.7%	+10.0	4
2006-05-07	Hamarkameratene	W 3-0	1636	1655	47.5%	23.8%	28.6%	+9.9	10
2006-05-07	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-3	1655	1636	28.6%	23.8%	47.5%	-9.9	7
2006-05-07	Sandefjord	W 3-1	1686	1577	65.3%	16.5%	18.2%	+3.6	9
2006-05-07	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1577	1686	18.2%	16.5%	65.3%	-3.6	8
2006-05-08	Molde	W 3-1	1652	1652	50.2%	23.1%	26.7%	+5.5	5
2006-05-08	@ Viking	L 1-3	1652	1652	26.7%	23.1%	50.2%	-5.5	7
2006-05-12	Lillestrom	L 0-1	1673	1693	47.3%	23.9%	28.8%	-5.4	5
2006-05-12	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1693	1673	28.8%	23.9%	47.3%	+5.4	17
2006-05-13	Start	D 2-2	1645	1627	52.6%	22.3%	25.1%	-0.5	8
2006-05-13	@ Hamarkameratene	D 2-2	1627	1645	25.1%	22.3%	52.6%	+0.5	6
2006-05-13	Fredrikstad	W 4-0	1646	1630	52.5%	22.3%	25.2%	+11.4	10
2006-05-13	@ Molde	L 0-4	1630	1646	25.2%	22.3%	52.5%	-11.4	6
2006-05-13	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1646	1662	47.9%	23.7%	28.4%	+3.4	13
2006-05-13	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1662	1646	28.4%	23.7%	47.9%	-3.4	8
2006-05-13	Brann	L 0-2	1573	1693	33.2%	24.9%	41.9%	-7.8	8
2006-05-13	@ Sandefjord	W 2-0	1693	1573	41.9%	24.9%	33.2%	+7.8	15
2006-05-13	Viking	D 1-1	1645	1658	48.4%	23.6%	28.0%	-0.5	11
2006-05-13	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1658	1645	28.0%	23.6%	48.4%	+0.5	6
2006-05-13	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1643	1690	43.4%	24.6%	32.0%	-0.3	5
2006-05-13	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1690	1643	32.0%	24.6%	43.4%	+0.3	10
2006-05-16	Tromso	W 2-1	1700	1643	58.3%	20.0%	21.8%	+2.6	18
2006-05-16	@ Brann	L 1-2	1643	1700	21.8%	20.0%	58.3%	-2.6	5
2006-05-16	Stabaek	W 2-1	1618	1645	46.4%	24.1%	29.5%	+3.5	9
2006-05-16	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1645	1618	29.5%	24.1%	46.4%	-3.5	11
2006-05-16	Molde	W 3-0	1698	1657	55.9%	21.0%	23.1%	+8.0	20
2006-05-16	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1657	1698	23.1%	21.0%	55.9%	-8.0	10
2006-05-16	Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	1659	1644	52.2%	22.4%	25.4%	+3.2	11
2006-05-16	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1644	1659	25.4%	22.4%	52.2%	-3.2	8
2006-05-16	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1690	1649	56.0%	21.0%	23.1%	-0.8	11
2006-05-16	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1649	1690	23.1%	21.0%	56.0%	+0.8	14
2006-05-16	Valerenga	L 1-2	1628	1667	44.5%	24.5%	31.0%	-4.9	6
2006-05-16	@ Start	W 2-1	1667	1628	31.0%	24.5%	44.5%	+4.8	8
2006-05-16	Sandefjord	W 1-0	1658	1566	63.0%	17.7%	19.3%	+2.4	9
2006-05-16	@ Viking	L 0-1	1566	1658	19.3%	17.7%	63.0%	-2.4	8
2006-05-21	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1662	1690	46.2%	24.1%	29.6%	-5.0	11
2006-05-21	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1690	1662	29.6%	24.1%	46.2%	+5.0	14
2006-05-21	Start	D 1-1	1650	1623	53.9%	21.8%	24.3%	-0.7	11
2006-05-21	@ Molde	D 1-1	1623	1650	24.3%	21.8%	53.9%	+0.8	7
2006-05-21	Brann	L 1-3	1650	1703	42.6%	24.8%	32.6%	-8.1	14
2006-05-21	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1703	1650	32.6%	24.8%	42.6%	+8.1	21
2006-05-21	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1563	1622	41.7%	24.9%	33.4%	+7.8	11
2006-05-21	@ Sandefjord	L 0-2	1622	1563	33.4%	24.9%	41.7%	-7.8	9
2006-05-21	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1641	1706	40.9%	25.0%	34.2%	-0.1	12
2006-05-21	@ Stabaek	D 2-2	1706	1641	34.2%	25.0%	40.9%	+0.1	21
2006-05-21	Viking	D 0-0	1640	1660	47.3%	23.9%	28.8%	-0.5	6
2006-05-21	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1660	1640	28.8%	23.9%	47.3%	+0.5	10
2006-05-22	Valerenga	D 1-1	1641	1672	45.7%	24.2%	30.1%	-0.4	9
2006-05-22	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1672	1641	30.1%	24.2%	45.7%	+0.4	9
2006-05-28	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1711	1657	57.8%	20.2%	22.0%	+5.2	24
2006-05-28	@ Brann	L 0-2	1657	1711	22.0%	20.2%	57.8%	-5.2	11
2006-05-28	Sandefjord	L 1-2	1706	1571	68.6%	14.7%	16.7%	-6.7	21
2006-05-28	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1571	1706	16.7%	14.7%	68.6%	+6.7	14
2006-05-28	Hamarkameratene	L 0-3	1694	1641	57.8%	20.2%	22.0%	-17.2	14
2006-05-28	@ Rosenborg	W 3-0	1641	1694	22.0%	20.2%	57.8%	+17.2	12
2006-05-28	Stabaek	W 1-0	1624	1641	47.7%	23.8%	28.5%	+3.6	10
2006-05-28	@ Start	L 0-1	1641	1624	28.5%	23.8%	47.7%	-3.6	12
2006-05-28	Molde	W 2-0	1673	1649	53.6%	21.9%	24.5%	+5.9	12
2006-05-28	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1649	1673	24.5%	21.9%	53.6%	-5.9	11
2006-05-28	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1661	1642	52.8%	22.2%	25.0%	+3.2	13
2006-05-28	@ Viking	L 0-1	1642	1661	25.0%	22.2%	52.8%	-3.2	14
2006-05-29	Tromso	W 5-3	1614	1640	46.5%	24.1%	29.4%	+5.1	12
2006-05-29	@ Fredrikstad	L 3-5	1640	1614	29.4%	24.1%	46.5%	-5.1	6
2006-06-05	Molde	L 1-2	1658	1643	52.3%	22.4%	25.3%	-5.5	12
2006-06-05	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1643	1658	25.3%	22.4%	52.3%	+5.5	14
2006-06-05	Viking	D 0-0	1652	1664	48.4%	23.6%	28.0%	-0.6	12
2006-06-05	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1664	1652	28.0%	23.6%	48.4%	+0.6	14
2006-06-05	Fredrikstad	D 3-3	1639	1619	53.0%	22.1%	24.9%	-0.4	15
2006-06-05	@ Odd Grenland	D 3-3	1619	1639	24.9%	22.1%	53.0%	+0.4	13
2006-06-05	Brann	D 0-0	1677	1716	44.6%	24.5%	31.0%	-0.4	15
2006-06-05	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1716	1677	31.0%	24.5%	44.6%	+0.4	25
2006-06-05	Start	D 1-1	1578	1627	43.0%	24.7%	32.3%	-0.3	15
2006-06-05	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1627	1578	32.3%	24.7%	43.0%	+0.3	11
2006-06-05	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1634	1699	40.8%	25.0%	34.2%	+4.2	9
2006-06-05	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1699	1634	34.2%	25.0%	40.8%	-4.2	21
2006-06-06	Valerenga	D 2-2	1638	1678	44.3%	24.5%	31.2%	-0.2	13
2006-06-06	@ Stabaek	D 2-2	1678	1638	31.2%	24.5%	44.3%	+0.2	13
2006-07-02	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1620	1651	45.6%	24.2%	30.1%	-4.9	13
2006-07-02	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1651	1620	30.1%	24.2%	45.6%	+4.9	15
2006-07-02	Brann	W 4-0	1652	1717	40.9%	24.9%	34.1%	+15.0	15
2006-07-02	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-4	1717	1652	34.1%	24.9%	40.9%	-15.0	25
2006-07-02	Stabaek	L 1-3	1648	1637	51.7%	22.6%	25.7%	-9.4	14
2006-07-02	@ Molde	W 3-1	1637	1648	25.7%	22.6%	51.7%	+9.4	16
2006-07-02	Sandefjord	W 4-1	1679	1577	64.2%	17.1%	18.7%	+5.2	16
2006-07-02	@ Valerenga	L 1-4	1577	1679	18.7%	17.1%	64.2%	-5.2	15
2006-07-02	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1665	1677	48.4%	23.6%	28.0%	-9.0	14
2006-07-02	@ Viking	W 3-1	1677	1665	28.0%	23.6%	48.4%	+9.0	18
2006-07-03	Tromso	D 1-1	1628	1639	48.6%	23.5%	27.9%	-0.5	12
2006-07-03	@ Start	D 1-1	1639	1628	27.9%	23.5%	48.6%	+0.5	10
2006-07-12	Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1695	1638	58.1%	20.0%	21.8%	-0.7	22
2006-07-12	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1638	1695	21.8%	20.0%	58.1%	+0.7	16
2006-07-16	Start	W 2-0	1639	1627	51.9%	22.5%	25.6%	+6.1	19
2006-07-16	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1627	1639	25.6%	22.5%	51.9%	-6.1	12
2006-07-16	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1686	1615	60.2%	19.1%	20.8%	+2.6	21
2006-07-16	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1615	1686	20.8%	19.1%	60.2%	-2.6	13
2006-07-16	Molde	W 5-2	1572	1639	40.6%	25.0%	34.5%	+8.5	18
2006-07-16	@ Sandefjord	L 2-5	1639	1572	34.5%	25.0%	40.6%	-8.5	14
2006-07-16	Hamarkameratene	W 4-0	1647	1667	47.2%	23.9%	28.9%	+13.0	19
2006-07-16	@ Stabaek	L 0-4	1667	1647	28.9%	23.9%	47.2%	-13.0	15
2006-07-16	Valerenga	L 0-1	1639	1684	43.7%	24.6%	31.7%	-5.1	10
2006-07-16	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1684	1639	31.7%	24.6%	43.7%	+5.1	19
2006-07-17	Viking	W 2-0	1702	1656	56.6%	20.7%	22.7%	+5.4	28
2006-07-17	@ Brann	L 0-2	1656	1702	22.7%	20.7%	56.6%	-5.4	14
2006-07-22	Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1631	1645	48.1%	23.7%	28.2%	+6.7	17
2006-07-22	@ Molde	L 0-2	1645	1631	28.2%	23.7%	48.1%	-6.7	19
2006-07-22	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1689	1656	54.8%	21.4%	23.7%	-5.7	19
2006-07-22	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1656	1689	23.7%	21.4%	54.8%	+5.7	18
2006-07-23	Viking	W 2-1	1612	1650	44.7%	24.4%	30.9%	+3.6	16
2006-07-23	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1650	1612	30.9%	24.4%	44.7%	-3.6	14
2006-07-23	Sandefjord	W 3-0	1654	1581	60.5%	18.9%	20.6%	+7.0	18
2006-07-23	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-3	1581	1654	20.6%	18.9%	60.5%	-7.0	18
2006-07-23	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1621	1688	40.5%	25.0%	34.6%	+4.0	15
2006-07-23	@ Start	L 1-2	1688	1621	34.6%	25.0%	40.5%	-4.0	21
2006-07-24	Tromso	W 3-1	1660	1634	53.8%	21.8%	24.3%	+5.0	22
2006-07-24	@ Stabaek	L 1-3	1634	1660	24.3%	21.8%	53.8%	-5.0	10
2006-07-29	Valerenga	W 3-2	1639	1683	43.7%	24.6%	31.7%	+3.5	22
2006-07-29	@ Odd Grenland	L 2-3	1683	1639	31.7%	24.6%	43.7%	-3.5	19
2006-07-30	Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1707	1616	62.8%	17.8%	19.4%	+3.9	31
2006-07-30	@ Brann	L 1-3	1616	1707	19.4%	17.8%	62.8%	-3.9	16
2006-07-30	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1684	1695	48.7%	23.5%	27.8%	+5.7	24
2006-07-30	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1695	1684	27.8%	23.5%	48.7%	-5.7	22
2006-07-30	Stabaek	W 3-1	1574	1665	37.0%	25.1%	37.9%	+7.4	21
2006-07-30	@ Sandefjord	L 1-3	1665	1574	37.9%	25.1%	37.0%	-7.4	22
2006-07-30	Molde	W 2-0	1629	1637	49.0%	23.4%	27.6%	+6.6	13
2006-07-30	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1637	1629	27.6%	23.4%	49.0%	-6.6	17
2006-07-30	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1647	1661	48.1%	23.7%	28.2%	+3.4	17
2006-07-30	@ Viking	L 1-2	1661	1647	28.2%	23.7%	48.1%	-3.4	18
2006-07-31	Start	L 1-2	1662	1625	55.4%	21.2%	23.4%	-5.7	18
2006-07-31	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1625	1662	23.4%	21.2%	55.4%	+5.7	18
2006-08-02	Brann	W 2-0	1689	1711	47.0%	23.9%	29.0%	+6.9	25
2006-08-02	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1711	1689	29.0%	23.9%	47.0%	-6.9	31
2006-08-05	Valerenga	W 3-2	1690	1680	51.7%	22.6%	25.7%	+2.9	27
2006-08-05	@ Rosenborg	L 2-3	1680	1690	25.7%	22.6%	51.7%	-2.9	19
2006-08-06	Start	L 0-1	1704	1631	60.4%	19.0%	20.6%	-6.5	31
2006-08-06	@ Brann	W 1-0	1631	1704	20.6%	19.0%	60.4%	+6.5	21
2006-08-06	Molde	W 2-0	1656	1631	53.8%	21.9%	24.4%	+5.8	21
2006-08-06	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1631	1656	24.4%	21.9%	53.8%	-5.8	17
2006-08-06	Stabaek	L 0-1	1642	1658	48.0%	23.7%	28.3%	-5.4	22
2006-08-06	@ Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1658	1642	28.3%	23.7%	48.0%	+5.5	25
2006-08-06	Sandefjord	D 2-2	1636	1581	57.9%	20.2%	22.0%	-0.7	14
2006-08-06	@ Tromso	D 2-2	1581	1636	22.0%	20.2%	57.9%	+0.7	22
2006-08-06	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1650	1696	43.6%	24.6%	31.8%	-4.8	17
2006-08-06	@ Viking	W 2-1	1696	1650	31.8%	24.6%	43.6%	+4.8	28
2006-08-07	Hamarkameratene	D 2-2	1612	1658	43.6%	24.6%	31.8%	-0.2	17
2006-08-07	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1658	1612	31.8%	24.6%	43.6%	+0.2	19
2006-08-12	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1700	1612	62.5%	17.9%	19.5%	-1.1	29
2006-08-12	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1612	1700	19.5%	17.9%	62.5%	+1.1	18
2006-08-13	Tromso	L 2-3	1658	1635	53.4%	22.0%	24.6%	-5.3	19
2006-08-13	@ Hamarkameratene	W 3-2	1635	1658	24.6%	22.0%	53.4%	+5.3	17
2006-08-13	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1625	1693	40.3%	25.0%	34.7%	-9.0	17
2006-08-13	@ Molde	W 2-0	1693	1625	34.7%	25.0%	40.3%	+9.0	30
2006-08-13	Odd Grenland	L 1-3	1582	1637	42.3%	24.8%	32.9%	-8.1	22
2006-08-13	@ Sandefjord	W 3-1	1637	1582	32.9%	24.8%	42.3%	+8.1	25
2006-08-13	Lyn Oslo	W 3-2	1663	1662	50.3%	23.0%	26.6%	+3.0	28
2006-08-13	@ Stabaek	L 2-3	1662	1663	26.6%	23.0%	50.3%	-3.0	21
2006-08-13	Viking	W 3-1	1637	1645	49.0%	23.4%	27.5%	+5.7	24
2006-08-13	@ Start	L 1-3	1645	1637	27.5%	23.4%	49.0%	-5.7	17
2006-08-13	Brann	W 2-1	1677	1697	47.2%	23.9%	28.9%	+3.4	22
2006-08-13	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1697	1677	28.9%	23.9%	47.2%	-3.4	31
2006-08-23	Lillestrom	D 3-3	1659	1699	44.4%	24.5%	31.1%	-0.2	22
2006-08-23	@ Lyn Oslo	D 3-3	1699	1659	31.1%	24.5%	44.4%	+0.2	30
2006-08-27	Molde	W 2-1	1694	1616	61.1%	18.6%	20.3%	+2.4	34
2006-08-27	@ Brann	L 1-2	1616	1694	20.3%	18.6%	61.1%	-2.4	17
2006-08-27	Start	W 4-0	1613	1643	45.8%	24.2%	29.9%	+13.5	21
2006-08-27	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1643	1613	29.9%	24.2%	45.8%	-13.5	24
2006-08-27	Hamarkameratene	W 3-1	1700	1653	56.8%	20.6%	22.6%	+4.6	33
2006-08-27	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1653	1700	22.6%	20.6%	56.8%	-4.6	19
2006-08-27	Sandefjord	W 2-0	1659	1574	62.0%	18.2%	19.8%	+4.6	25
2006-08-27	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1574	1659	19.8%	18.2%	62.0%	-4.6	22
2006-08-27	Tromso	W 3-2	1645	1640	50.8%	22.9%	26.3%	+3.0	28
2006-08-27	@ Odd Grenland	L 2-3	1640	1645	26.3%	22.9%	50.8%	-3.0	17
2006-08-27	Valerenga	L 1-2	1640	1680	44.3%	24.5%	31.2%	-4.8	17
2006-08-27	@ Viking	W 2-1	1680	1640	31.2%	24.5%	44.3%	+4.8	25
2006-08-28	Stabaek	W 1-0	1702	1666	55.3%	21.3%	23.4%	+3.0	33
2006-08-28	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1666	1702	23.4%	21.3%	55.3%	-3.0	28
2006-09-10	Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1648	1648	50.2%	23.1%	26.7%	+9.3	22
2006-09-10	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-3	1648	1648	26.7%	23.1%	50.2%	-9.3	28
2006-09-10	Viking	W 3-1	1613	1635	47.1%	23.9%	28.9%	+6.0	20
2006-09-10	@ Molde	L 1-3	1635	1613	28.9%	23.9%	47.1%	-6.0	17
2006-09-10	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1569	1705	31.1%	24.5%	44.4%	-7.4	22
2006-09-10	@ Sandefjord	W 2-0	1705	1569	44.4%	24.5%	31.1%	+7.4	36
2006-09-10	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1629	1704	39.4%	25.1%	35.5%	+8.2	27
2006-09-10	@ Start	L 0-2	1704	1629	35.5%	25.1%	39.4%	-8.2	33
2006-09-10	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1637	1663	46.5%	24.1%	29.5%	-5.0	17
2006-09-10	@ Tromso	W 2-1	1663	1637	29.5%	24.1%	46.5%	+5.0	28
2006-09-10	Fredrikstad	W 5-1	1685	1626	58.5%	19.9%	21.6%	+8.1	28
2006-09-10	@ Valerenga	L 1-5	1626	1685	21.6%	19.9%	58.5%	-8.1	21
2006-09-11	Brann	L 1-2	1663	1696	45.4%	24.3%	30.3%	-4.9	28
2006-09-11	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1696	1663	30.3%	24.3%	45.4%	+4.9	37
2006-09-17	Sandefjord	W 5-3	1701	1562	69.2%	14.4%	16.4%	+2.6	40
2006-09-17	@ Brann	L 3-5	1562	1701	16.4%	14.4%	69.2%	-2.6	22
2006-09-17	Molde	D 1-1	1618	1619	50.0%	23.2%	26.9%	-0.6	22
2006-09-17	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1619	1618	26.9%	23.2%	50.0%	+0.6	21
2006-09-17	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1668	1638	54.4%	21.6%	24.0%	-0.8	29
2006-09-17	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1638	1668	24.0%	21.6%	54.4%	+0.8	29
2006-09-17	Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	1638	1657	47.3%	23.9%	28.8%	+6.8	30
2006-09-17	@ Start	L 0-2	1657	1638	28.8%	23.9%	47.3%	-6.9	22
2006-09-17	Stabaek	W 3-1	1629	1658	46.0%	24.2%	29.9%	+6.1	20
2006-09-17	@ Viking	L 1-3	1658	1629	29.9%	24.2%	46.0%	-6.1	28
2006-09-18	Valerenga	W 2-1	1696	1693	50.6%	23.0%	26.5%	+3.2	36
2006-09-18	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1693	1696	26.5%	23.0%	50.6%	-3.2	28
2006-09-24	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1651	1668	47.8%	23.8%	28.5%	+3.6	25
2006-09-24	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-1	1668	1651	28.5%	23.8%	47.8%	-3.6	29
2006-09-24	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1620	1699	38.8%	25.1%	36.2%	+8.3	24
2006-09-24	@ Molde	L 0-2	1699	1620	36.2%	25.1%	38.8%	-8.3	36
2006-09-24	Viking	W 3-2	1559	1635	39.3%	25.1%	35.7%	+3.9	25
2006-09-24	@ Sandefjord	L 2-3	1635	1559	35.7%	25.1%	39.3%	-3.9	20
2006-09-24	Fredrikstad	W 3-2	1652	1618	55.0%	21.4%	23.6%	+2.7	31
2006-09-24	@ Stabaek	L 2-3	1618	1652	23.6%	21.4%	55.0%	-2.7	22
2006-09-24	Brann	W 3-1	1632	1704	39.9%	25.0%	35.1%	+7.0	20
2006-09-24	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1704	1632	35.1%	25.0%	39.9%	-7.0	40
2006-09-24	Start	W 1-0	1690	1644	56.6%	20.7%	22.7%	+2.9	31
2006-09-24	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1644	1690	22.7%	20.7%	56.6%	-2.8	30
2006-09-25	Rosenborg	L 0-4	1639	1712	39.6%	25.1%	35.4%	-16.8	29
2006-09-25	@ Odd Grenland	W 4-0	1712	1639	35.4%	25.1%	39.6%	+16.8	39
2006-09-28	Tromso	W 2-1	1729	1639	62.7%	17.8%	19.4%	+2.2	42
2006-09-28	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1639	1729	19.4%	17.8%	62.7%	-2.2	20
2006-10-01	Sandefjord	W 2-1	1615	1563	57.5%	20.3%	22.2%	+2.6	25
2006-10-01	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1563	1615	22.2%	20.3%	57.5%	-2.6	25
2006-10-01	Stabaek	D 2-2	1691	1655	55.3%	21.2%	23.4%	-0.6	37
2006-10-01	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1655	1691	23.4%	21.2%	55.3%	+0.6	32
2006-10-01	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1732	1664	59.7%	19.3%	21.0%	+2.5	45
2006-10-01	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1664	1732	21.0%	19.3%	59.7%	-2.5	29
2006-10-01	Molde	W 3-2	1642	1628	52.1%	22.5%	25.5%	+2.9	33
2006-10-01	@ Start	L 2-3	1628	1642	25.5%	22.5%	52.1%	-2.9	24
2006-10-01	Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1693	1654	55.6%	21.1%	23.2%	-0.9	32
2006-10-01	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1654	1693	23.2%	21.1%	55.6%	+0.9	26
2006-10-01	Tromso	W 1-0	1631	1637	49.3%	23.4%	27.4%	+3.5	23
2006-10-01	@ Viking	L 0-1	1637	1631	27.4%	23.4%	49.3%	-3.5	20
2006-10-02	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1697	1622	60.6%	18.9%	20.5%	+2.5	43
2006-10-02	@ Brann	L 0-1	1622	1697	20.5%	18.9%	60.6%	-2.5	29
2006-10-15	Brann	W 2-0	1661	1699	44.7%	24.4%	30.9%	+7.3	32
2006-10-15	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1699	1661	30.9%	24.4%	44.7%	-7.3	43
2006-10-15	Valerenga	L 0-3	1625	1692	40.6%	25.0%	34.4%	-13.1	24
2006-10-15	@ Molde	W 3-0	1692	1625	34.4%	25.0%	40.6%	+13.1	35
2006-10-15	Viking	L 0-1	1620	1634	48.1%	23.7%	28.2%	-5.5	29
2006-10-15	@ Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1634	1620	28.2%	23.7%	48.1%	+5.4	26
2006-10-15	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1560	1690	31.9%	24.6%	43.5%	+0.3	26
2006-10-15	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1690	1560	43.5%	24.6%	31.9%	-0.3	38
2006-10-15	Start	D 2-2	1655	1645	51.7%	22.6%	25.7%	-0.5	33
2006-10-15	@ Stabaek	D 2-2	1645	1655	25.7%	22.6%	51.7%	+0.5	34
2006-10-15	Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1634	1618	52.4%	22.3%	25.2%	+5.2	23
2006-10-15	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1618	1634	25.2%	22.3%	52.4%	-5.2	25
2006-10-16	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1655	1734	38.8%	25.1%	36.1%	-0.1	27
2006-10-16	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1734	1655	36.1%	25.1%	38.8%	+0.1	46
2006-10-22	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1692	1734	44.1%	24.5%	31.3%	-8.3	43
2006-10-22	@ Brann	W 3-1	1734	1692	31.3%	24.5%	44.1%	+8.4	49
2006-10-22	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1612	1614	49.9%	23.2%	26.9%	+3.2	28
2006-10-22	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1614	1612	26.9%	23.2%	49.9%	-3.2	29
2006-10-22	Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1612	1655	44.0%	24.6%	31.4%	-0.3	25
2006-10-22	@ Molde	D 1-1	1655	1612	31.4%	24.6%	44.0%	+0.3	28
2006-10-22	Sandefjord	L 0-2	1645	1561	61.9%	18.2%	19.8%	-12.4	34
2006-10-22	@ Start	W 2-0	1561	1645	19.8%	18.2%	61.9%	+12.4	29
2006-10-22	Stabaek	W 3-1	1705	1655	57.3%	20.4%	22.3%	+4.6	38
2006-10-22	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1655	1705	22.3%	20.4%	57.3%	-4.6	33
2006-10-22	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1640	1669	46.0%	24.2%	29.8%	-5.0	26
2006-10-22	@ Viking	W 2-1	1669	1640	29.8%	24.2%	46.0%	+5.0	35
2006-10-23	Tromso	L 1-2	1690	1639	57.4%	20.4%	22.2%	-5.9	38
2006-10-23	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1639	1690	22.2%	20.4%	57.4%	+5.9	26
2006-10-29	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1684	1655	54.2%	21.7%	24.1%	+2.9	46
2006-10-29	@ Brann	L 1-2	1655	1684	24.1%	21.7%	54.2%	-2.9	28
2006-10-29	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1674	1616	58.4%	19.9%	21.7%	-6.0	35
2006-10-29	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1616	1674	21.7%	19.9%	58.4%	+6.0	31
2006-10-29	Lillestrom	L 0-3	1611	1684	39.6%	25.0%	35.3%	-12.9	29
2006-10-29	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1684	1611	35.3%	25.0%	39.6%	+12.9	41
2006-10-29	Viking	W 4-1	1742	1635	65.0%	16.6%	18.3%	+5.1	52
2006-10-29	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1635	1742	18.3%	16.6%	65.0%	-5.1	26
2006-10-29	Valerenga	L 0-2	1573	1710	31.1%	24.5%	44.4%	-7.3	29
2006-10-29	@ Sandefjord	W 2-0	1710	1573	44.4%	24.5%	31.1%	+7.3	41
2006-10-29	Molde	W 8-0	1650	1612	55.6%	21.1%	23.3%	+20.2	36
2006-10-29	@ Stabaek	L 0-8	1612	1650	23.3%	21.1%	55.6%	-20.2	25
2006-10-29	Start	W 1-0	1645	1633	51.9%	22.5%	25.6%	+3.2	29
2006-10-29	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1633	1645	25.6%	22.5%	51.9%	-3.2	34
2006-11-05	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1622	1748	32.4%	24.7%	42.9%	+0.2	32
2006-11-05	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1748	1622	42.9%	24.7%	32.4%	-0.3	53
2006-11-05	Stabaek	L 1-5	1652	1670	47.6%	23.8%	28.6%	-16.1	28
2006-11-05	@ Hamarkameratene	W 5-1	1670	1652	28.6%	23.8%	47.6%	+16.1	39
2006-11-05	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1697	1668	54.3%	21.6%	24.0%	+5.7	44
2006-11-05	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1668	1697	24.0%	21.6%	54.3%	-5.7	35
2006-11-05	Sandefjord	L 2-3	1592	1566	53.8%	21.8%	24.3%	-5.3	25
2006-11-05	@ Molde	W 3-2	1566	1592	24.3%	21.8%	53.8%	+5.3	32
2006-11-05	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1629	1598	54.6%	21.5%	23.9%	+2.9	37
2006-11-05	@ Start	L 1-2	1598	1629	23.9%	21.5%	54.6%	-2.8	29
2006-11-05	Tromso	W 3-1	1717	1648	59.9%	19.2%	20.9%	+4.2	44
2006-11-05	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1648	1717	20.9%	19.2%	59.9%	-4.2	29
2006-11-05	Brann	W 5-0	1630	1687	42.0%	24.8%	33.2%	+18.1	29
2006-11-05	@ Viking	L 0-5	1687	1630	33.2%	24.8%	42.0%	-18.1	46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2006-05-28	16.68%	Sandefjord	1571	2	@ Lillestrom	1706	1
2	2006-10-22	19.84%	Sandefjord	1561	2	@ Start	1645	0
3	2006-08-06	20.61%	Start	1631	1	@ Brann	1704	0
4	2006-10-29	21.71%	Fredrikstad	1616	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1674	1
5	2006-04-30	21.87%	Stabaek	1631	4	@ Lyn Oslo	1687	1
6	2006-05-28	22.03%	Hamarkameratene	1641	3	@ Rosenborg	1694	0
7	2006-10-23	22.24%	Tromso	1639	2	@ Lillestrom	1690	1
8	2006-05-07	23.21%	Tromso	1633	3	@ Lyn Oslo	1672	1
9	2006-07-31	23.40%	Start	1625	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1662	1
10	2006-04-30	23.42%	Molde	1656	1	@ Rosenborg	1692	0
11	2006-04-29	23.47%	Start	1625	2	@ Viking	1661	1
12	2006-07-22	23.72%	Lyn Oslo	1656	2	@ Valerenga	1689	1
13	2006-04-17	24.04%	Stabaek	1625	1	@ Tromso	1654	0
14	2006-11-05	24.32%	Sandefjord	1566	3	@ Molde	1592	2
15	2006-08-13	24.57%	Tromso	1635	3	@ Hamarkameratene	1658	2
16	2006-06-05	25.32%	Molde	1643	2	@ Hamarkameratene	1658	1
17	2006-07-02	25.68%	Stabaek	1637	3	@ Molde	1648	1
18	2006-04-30	27.24%	Hamarkameratene	1649	2	@ Tromso	1644	0
19	2006-07-02	28.00%	Rosenborg	1677	3	@ Viking	1665	1
20	2006-10-15	28.23%	Viking	1634	1	@ Odd Grenland	1620	0
21	2006-08-06	28.32%	Stabaek	1658	1	@ Odd Grenland	1642	0
22	2006-11-05	28.59%	Stabaek	1670	5	@ Hamarkameratene	1652	1
23	2006-05-12	28.79%	Lillestrom	1693	1	@ Valerenga	1673	0
24	2006-04-23	28.83%	Lyn Oslo	1681	1	@ Molde	1661	0
25	2006-05-03	28.96%	Brann	1683	2	@ Molde	1662	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2006-10-29	20.24	@ Stabaek	8	1650	55.57%	Molde	0	1612	23.28%
2	2006-11-05	18.11	@ Viking	5	1630	41.98%	Brann	0	1687	33.18%
3	2006-05-28	17.15	Hamarkameratene	3	1641	22.03%	@ Rosenborg	0	1694	57.76%
4	2006-09-25	16.84	Rosenborg	4	1712	35.35%	@ Odd Grenland	0	1639	39.60%
5	2006-11-05	16.14	Stabaek	5	1670	28.59%	@ Hamarkameratene	1	1652	47.60%
6	2006-07-02	15.04	@ Hamarkameratene	4	1652	40.90%	Brann	0	1717	34.14%
7	2006-04-30	14.52	Stabaek	4	1631	21.87%	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1687	58.06%
8	2006-08-27	13.47	@ Fredrikstad	4	1613	45.84%	Start	0	1643	29.94%
9	2006-10-15	13.13	Valerenga	3	1692	34.45%	@ Molde	0	1625	40.57%
10	2006-07-16	13.04	@ Stabaek	4	1647	47.24%	Hamarkameratene	0	1667	28.86%
11	2006-10-29	12.90	Lillestrom	3	1684	35.31%	@ Odd Grenland	0	1611	39.64%
12	2006-10-22	12.42	Sandefjord	2	1561	19.84%	@ Start	0	1645	61.93%
13	2006-05-13	11.43	@ Molde	4	1646	52.48%	Fredrikstad	0	1630	25.19%
14	2006-04-30	10.51	Hamarkameratene	2	1649	27.24%	@ Tromso	0	1644	49.46%
15	2006-05-03	10.13	Brann	2	1683	28.96%	@ Molde	0	1662	47.11%
16	2006-05-07	9.95	Tromso	3	1633	23.21%	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1672	55.70%
17	2006-05-07	9.91	@ Odd Grenland	3	1636	47.52%	Hamarkameratene	0	1655	28.65%
18	2006-07-02	9.42	Stabaek	3	1637	25.68%	@ Molde	1	1648	51.73%
19	2006-09-10	9.28	@ Hamarkameratene	3	1648	50.24%	Odd Grenland	0	1648	26.69%
20	2006-08-13	9.00	Rosenborg	2	1693	34.68%	@ Molde	0	1625	40.32%
21	2006-07-02	8.96	Rosenborg	3	1677	28.00%	@ Viking	1	1665	48.40%
22	2006-07-16	8.47	@ Sandefjord	5	1572	40.55%	Molde	2	1639	34.47%
23	2006-10-22	8.35	Rosenborg	3	1734	31.33%	@ Brann	1	1692	44.14%
24	2006-09-24	8.29	@ Molde	2	1620	38.75%	Lillestrom	0	1699	36.16%
25	2006-09-10	8.18	@ Start	2	1629	39.39%	Lillestrom	0	1704	35.55%