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2006 Tippeligaen Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

53 points · 20th Title

Last Title: 2004

Relegated

Molde

25 pts

Hamarkameratene · 28 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Rosenborg

10.74 points above expected

53 points · 42.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hamarkameratene

8.72 points below expected

28 points · 36.72 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rosenborg Champion 26 15 8 3 53 47 24 +23 42.26 +10.74
2 Brann 26 14 4 8 46 39 36 +3 41.84 +4.16
3 Valerenga 26 13 5 8 44 43 28 +15 38.46 +5.54
4 Lillestrom 26 12 8 6 44 44 33 +11 41.62 +2.38
5 Stabaek 26 10 9 7 39 53 36 +17 37.75 +1.25
6 Start 26 10 7 9 37 29 32 -3 32.74 +4.26
7 Lyn Oslo 26 10 5 11 35 33 36 -3 35.87 -0.87
8 Fredrikstad 26 8 8 10 32 38 46 -8 31.99 +0.01
9 Sandefjord 26 9 5 12 32 37 47 -10 28.69 +3.31
10 Tromso 26 8 5 13 29 33 39 -6 32.03 -3.03
11 Viking 26 8 5 13 29 31 37 -6 34.57 -5.57
12 Odd Grenland 26 7 8 11 29 30 38 -8 34.08 -5.08
13 Hamarkameratene Relegated 26 7 7 12 28 35 39 -4 36.72 -8.72
14 Molde Relegated 26 7 4 15 25 29 50 -21 33.26 -8.26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rosenborg 53 42.26 +10.74
2 Valerenga 44 38.46 +5.54
3 Start 37 32.74 +4.26
4 Brann 46 41.84 +4.16
5 Sandefjord 32 28.69 +3.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamarkameratene 28 36.72 -8.72
2 Molde 25 33.26 -8.26
3 Viking 29 34.57 -5.57
4 Odd Grenland 29 34.08 -5.08
5 Tromso 29 32.03 -3.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rosenborg 8 Jul 30 – Oct 1 1 in 278
2 Lillestrom 6 Apr 23 – May 16 1 in 185
3 Start 4 Jul 23 – Aug 13 1 in 154
4 Tromso 3 Oct 15 – Oct 29 1 in 20
5 Brann 4 May 13 – May 28 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odd Grenland 6 Sep 25 – Nov 5 1 in 150
2 Tromso 4 Apr 9 – Apr 30 1 in 71
3 Viking 4 Aug 6 – Sep 10 1 in 35
4 Brann 3 Aug 2 – Aug 13 1 in 32
5 Lillestrom 2 May 28 – Jun 5 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brann 11 Apr 10 – Jun 5 1 in 67
2 Odd Grenland 8 Apr 9 – May 16 1 in 63
3 Lillestrom 9 Apr 9 – May 21 1 in 47
4 Rosenborg 12 Jul 30 – Nov 5 1 in 37
5 Stabaek 7 Apr 9 – May 13 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stabaek 7 May 4 – Jun 6 1 in 35
2 Lillestrom 5 May 21 – Jul 30 1 in 26
3 Odd Grenland 8 Sep 10 – Nov 5 1 in 17
4 Tromso 5 Apr 9 – May 3 1 in 14
5 Hamarkameratene 5 May 3 – May 22 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rosenborg 1812 53 +26 11 9.1 +1.9
Brann 1647 46 -65 6 7.8 -1.8
Valerenga 1768 44 +56 13 8.9 +4.1
Lillestrom 1726 44 +23 8 8.6 -0.6
Stabaek 1742 39 +59 8 6.8 +1.2
Start 1629 37 -22 7 7.7 -0.7
Lyn Oslo 1660 35 -2 6 6.3 -0.3
Fredrikstad 1620 32 +16 10 6.3 +3.7
Sandefjord 1579 32 +19 7 4.9 +2.1
Tromso 1645 29 +16 9 6.2 +2.8
Viking 1649 29 +46 9 6.1 +2.9
Odd Grenland 1557 29 -56 0 5.6 -5.6
Hamarkameratene 1630 28 -37 3 6.0 -3.0
Molde 1536 25 -78 1 6.0 -5.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRA FRE HAM LIL LO MOL OG ROS SAN STA STA TRO VAL VIK
Brann —
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.23
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.24
2-0-0
3.33
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.79
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.54
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
3.35
Fredrikstad
0-1-1
2.20
—
0-1-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.24
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.31
1-1-0
2.45
Hamarkameratene
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
3.09
—
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.02
1-0-1
3.23
0-0-2
2.65
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.02
0-2-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.88
Lillestrom
1-1-0
2.59
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.06
—
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.38
0-1-1
2.82
0-1-1
3.82
0-2-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.51
0-0-2
3.44
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.11
Lyn Oslo
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.30
—
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-0
3.29
0-0-2
2.78
0-1-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
2.54
1-1-0
2.81
Molde
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.57
—
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.84
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
2.68
Odd Grenland
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.79
—
0-1-1
2.23
2-0-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.37
0-0-2
2.73
Rosenborg
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.83
0-1-1
3.49
1-1-0
2.68
2-0-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
3.27
—
2-0-0
3.72
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.31
Sandefjord
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
1.71
0-1-1
2.22
2-0-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
1.80
—
1-1-0
2.04
1-1-0
2.36
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
2.26
Stabaek
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.37
2-0-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
3.46
—
0-1-1
3.07
2-0-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
3.24
Start
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.00
1-1-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.43
—
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.44
2-0-0
2.64
Tromso
1-0-1
1.98
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
2.06
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.05
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
2.83
—
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
2.72
Valerenga
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
3.20
0-2-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
2.97
2-0-0
3.23
0-1-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.59
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.35
—
2-0-0
3.09
Viking
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
3.05
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
3.25
1-1-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.87
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.41
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.50 +8.0
Allowed 0.61 -9.2
Differential 0.77 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.59%6.59%6.04%2.20%1.37%0.55%23.35%
16.59%10.44%9.62%6.87%0.82%0.55%34.89%
26.04%9.62%5.49%2.47%—0.27%23.90%
32.20%6.87%2.47%1.65%—0.55%13.74%
41.37%0.82%————2.20%
5+0.55%0.55%0.27%0.55%——1.92%
Total23.35%34.89%23.90%13.74%2.20%1.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.78
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%23.08%
17.69%7.69%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
215.38%15.38%3.85%———34.62%
3—11.54%————11.54%
4———————
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total26.92%38.46%15.38%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.38 +0.12
SD 1.21 1.33 1.97
CV 0.81 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
1—19.23%3.85%11.54%—3.85%38.46%
2—23.08%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
3———3.85%——3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total7.69%50.00%11.54%23.08%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.77 -0.31
SD 1.21 1.24 1.74
CV 0.83 0.70 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
13.85%11.54%19.23%3.85%—3.85%42.31%
23.85%—7.69%3.85%——15.38%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%19.23%30.77%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.50 -0.15
SD 1.13 1.36 2.07
CV 0.84 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
17.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
27.69%15.38%11.54%———34.62%
37.69%7.69%—7.69%——23.08%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%38.46%26.92%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.27 +0.42
SD 0.97 0.96 1.42
CV 0.57 0.76 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
17.69%3.85%19.23%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
211.54%19.23%3.85%3.85%——38.46%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%26.92%30.77%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.38 -0.12
SD 0.83 1.13 1.37
CV 0.65 0.82 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%19.23%7.69%—3.85%38.46%
13.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
27.69%3.85%—7.69%—3.85%23.08%
3—7.69%————7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%26.92%23.08%23.08%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.92 -0.81
SD 1.14 1.76 2.37
CV 1.02 0.92 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
1—11.54%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%23.08%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.46 -0.31
SD 1.22 1.10 1.67
CV 1.06 0.76 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
17.69%19.23%3.85%———30.77%
27.69%11.54%————19.23%
33.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total30.77%53.85%7.69%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 0.92 +0.88
SD 1.23 0.84 1.48
CV 0.68 0.92 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%15.38%3.85%——26.92%
13.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
3—3.85%7.69%——3.85%15.38%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total15.38%23.08%38.46%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.81 -0.38
SD 1.27 1.23 1.72
CV 0.89 0.68 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%————11.54%
17.69%11.54%7.69%11.54%——38.46%
2——19.23%———19.23%
3—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total19.23%34.62%34.62%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.38 +0.65
SD 1.78 0.94 2.21
CV 0.87 0.68 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
17.69%11.54%7.69%———26.92%
27.69%15.38%7.69%———30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%26.92%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.23 -0.12
SD 0.99 0.99 1.51
CV 0.89 0.81 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
17.69%7.69%11.54%11.54%——38.46%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
3—11.54%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%23.08%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.50 -0.23
SD 1.08 1.21 1.37
CV 0.85 0.81 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%————15.38%
111.54%3.85%15.38%3.85%——34.62%
27.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%——30.77%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total34.62%34.62%19.23%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.08 +0.58
SD 1.23 1.02 1.53
CV 0.74 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
115.38%7.69%19.23%15.38%3.85%—61.54%
2—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total30.77%23.08%23.08%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.42 -0.23
SD 1.10 1.24 1.70
CV 0.92 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rosenborg 1812 53 42.26 +10.74 95.0% 28 31 38 43 47 53 56
Valerenga 1768 44 38.46 +5.54 85.0% 20 26 34 39 42 50 57
Stabaek 1742 39 37.75 +1.25 59.0% 23 27 32 38 42 48 52
Lillestrom 1726 44 41.62 +2.38 66.0% 27 31 37 41 47 53 56
Lyn Oslo 1660 35 35.87 -0.87 43.0% 16 24 31 36 40 45 50
Viking 1649 29 34.57 -5.57 17.0% 19 25 31 35 38 43 47
Brann 1647 46 41.84 +4.16 82.0% 30 33 38 41 45 51 57
Tromso 1645 29 32.03 -3.03 37.0% 20 22 27 32 37 41 47
Hamarkameratene 1630 28 36.72 -8.72 11.0% 19 26 32 37 41 49 55
Start 1629 37 32.74 +4.26 77.0% 20 24 28 32 36 45 49
Fredrikstad 1620 32 31.99 +0.01 55.0% 19 21 26 32 36 44 46
Odd Grenland 1614 29 34.08 -5.08 22.0% 13 22 30 34 39 46 49
Sandefjord 1579 32 28.69 +3.31 75.0% 15 18 24 29 32 41 45
Molde 1536 25 33.26 -8.26 10.0% 17 21 29 33 37 43 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.18%
Strong Edge
50.00%24.18%25.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge
176 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
085.69500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.52 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.49+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.7
Open
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
28%
Rosenborg, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Comfortable
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.1 * Some Luck: 5.1 to 7.65 * Lucky: 7.65 to 10.19 * Wild Swing: 10.19 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.43 * Close: 2.43 to 3.65 * Off: 3.65 to 4.87 * Way Off: 4.87 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.42 points
Some Luck
06.3716
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.57
Close
03.048
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
95.00%
Rosenborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
10.00%
Molde
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 2
Many Surprises
00.42

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 79.51
1.23
Coin-Flip Parity
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Clear Edge
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.31
Very Even
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.72
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Some Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.12
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1150.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Rosenborg28.00%20.00%10.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—
Brann15.00%14.00%16.00%16.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%————
Valerenga11.00%10.00%6.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%
Lillestrom23.00%15.00%13.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%—
Stabaek6.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%—
Start2.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%
Lyn Oslo5.00%2.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%10.00%4.00%8.00%4.00%
Fredrikstad2.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%
Sandefjord—1.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%17.00%30.00%
Tromso1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%9.00%5.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%13.00%9.00%13.00%14.00%
Viking1.00%1.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%
Odd Grenland2.00%4.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%13.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%
Hamarkameratene3.00%11.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%8.00%3.00%5.00%
Molde1.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%11.00%7.00%14.00%5.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Brann 100% — —
Rosenborg 98.00% 1.00% 1.00%
Lillestrom 95.00% 3.00% 2.00%
Valerenga 92.00% 4.00% 4.00%
Stabaek 88.00% 5.00% 7.00%
Hamarkameratene 84.00% 8.00% 8.00%
Lyn Oslo 84.00% 4.00% 12.00%
Viking 84.00% 6.00% 10.00%
Molde 71.00% 11.00% 18.00%
Start 68.00% 11.00% 21.00%
Tromso 64.00% 9.00% 27.00%
Fredrikstad 59.00% 14.00% 27.00%
Sandefjord 40.00% 13.00% 47.00%
Odd Grenland — 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-04-09 Lyn Oslo D 0-066.3 1638 1686 42.85% 25.51% 31.65%+0.21 -0.7 1
2006-04-09 @ Start D 0-066.3 1686 1638 31.65% 25.51% 42.85%-0.21 +0.7 1
2006-04-09 Odd Grenland D 0-066.8 1692 1629 56.56% 23.87% 19.57%+0.84 -2.3 1
2006-04-09 @ Valerenga D 0-066.8 1629 1692 19.57% 23.87% 56.56%-0.84 +2.3 1
2006-04-09 Rosenborg D 3-381.5 1680 1691 47.87% 25.15% 26.98%+0.43 -0.7 1
2006-04-09 @ Lillestrom D 3-381.5 1691 1680 26.98% 25.15% 47.87%-0.43 +0.7 1
2006-04-09 Sandefjord D 0-065.2 1637 1583 55.58% 24.06% 20.36%+0.79 -2.2 1
2006-04-09 @ Stabaek D 0-065.2 1583 1637 20.36% 24.06% 55.58%-0.79 +2.2 1
2006-04-09 Tromso W 3-158.1 1659 1665 48.44% 25.09% 26.47%+0.45 +12.3 3
2006-04-09 @ Molde L 1-358.1 1665 1659 26.47% 25.09% 48.44%-0.45 -12.3 0
2006-04-09 Viking D 0-066.4 1651 1672 46.52% 25.27% 28.21%+0.37 -1.1 1
2006-04-09 @ Hamarkameratene D 0-066.4 1672 1651 28.21% 25.27% 46.52%-0.37 +1.1 1
2006-04-10 Brann D 1-170.8 1638 1679 43.75% 25.46% 30.79%+0.25 -0.7 1
2006-04-10 @ Fredrikstad D 1-170.8 1679 1638 30.79% 25.46% 43.75%-0.25 +0.7 1
2006-04-17 Fredrikstad D 1-171.0 1673 1637 53.45% 24.43% 22.11%+0.69 -1.8 2
2006-04-17 @ Viking D 1-171.0 1637 1673 22.11% 24.43% 53.45%-0.69 +1.7 2
2006-04-17 Hamarkameratene W 2-162.5 1585 1650 40.44% 25.60% 33.96%+0.12 +8.7 4
2006-04-17 @ Sandefjord L 1-262.5 1650 1585 33.96% 25.60% 40.44%-0.12 -8.7 1
2006-04-17 Molde D 0-066.1 1631 1672 43.82% 25.46% 30.72%+0.25 -0.8 2
2006-04-17 @ Odd Grenland D 0-066.1 1672 1631 30.72% 25.46% 43.82%-0.25 +0.8 4
2006-04-17 Stabaek L 0-162.7 1653 1635 51.36% 24.75% 23.89%+0.59 -12.8 0
2006-04-17 @ Tromso W 1-062.7 1635 1653 23.89% 24.75% 51.36%-0.59 +12.8 4
2006-04-17 Start W 3-048.0 1691 1637 55.56% 24.06% 20.38%+0.79 +16.5 4
2006-04-17 @ Rosenborg L 0-348.0 1637 1691 20.38% 24.06% 55.56%-0.79 -16.5 1
2006-04-17 Valerenga W 2-161.8 1686 1689 48.78% 25.06% 26.16%+0.47 +7.1 4
2006-04-17 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-261.8 1689 1686 26.16% 25.06% 48.78%-0.47 -7.1 1
2006-04-18 Lillestrom D 1-171.4 1680 1680 49.18% 25.01% 25.81%+0.49 -1.3 2
2006-04-18 @ Brann D 1-171.4 1680 1680 25.81% 25.01% 49.18%-0.49 +1.3 2
2006-04-23 Fredrikstad W 3-157.2 1641 1639 49.46% 24.98% 25.56%+0.50 +12.0 4
2006-04-23 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-357.2 1639 1641 25.56% 24.98% 49.46%-0.50 -12.0 2
2006-04-23 Lyn Oslo L 0-162.2 1673 1694 46.46% 25.28% 28.27%+0.37 -11.8 4
2006-04-23 @ Molde W 1-062.2 1694 1673 28.27% 25.28% 46.46%-0.37 +11.8 7
2006-04-23 Odd Grenland D 1-170.5 1647 1630 51.29% 24.76% 23.96%+0.58 -1.5 5
2006-04-23 @ Stabaek D 1-170.5 1630 1647 23.96% 24.76% 51.29%-0.58 +1.5 3
2006-04-23 Rosenborg D 0-067.0 1682 1708 45.87% 25.32% 28.81%+0.34 -1.0 2
2006-04-23 @ Valerenga D 0-067.0 1708 1682 28.81% 25.32% 45.87%-0.34 +1.0 5
2006-04-23 Tromso W 1-056.0 1594 1640 43.07% 25.50% 31.43%+0.22 +8.7 7
2006-04-23 @ Sandefjord L 0-156.0 1640 1594 31.43% 25.50% 43.07%-0.22 -8.7 0
2006-04-23 Viking W 3-157.8 1681 1671 50.38% 24.87% 24.75%+0.54 +11.7 5
2006-04-23 @ Lillestrom L 1-357.8 1671 1681 24.75% 24.87% 50.38%-0.54 -11.7 2
2006-04-24 Brann L 0-160.1 1621 1679 41.45% 25.57% 32.99%+0.16 -10.7 1
2006-04-24 @ Start W 1-060.1 1679 1621 32.99% 25.57% 41.45%-0.16 +10.7 5
2006-04-29 Start L 1-269.0 1659 1610 55.05% 24.16% 20.79%+0.77 -12.8 2
2006-04-29 @ Viking W 2-169.0 1610 1659 20.79% 24.16% 55.05%-0.77 +12.8 4
2006-04-30 Hamarkameratene L 0-257.6 1631 1653 46.29% 25.29% 28.42%+0.36 -22.1 0
2006-04-30 @ Tromso W 2-057.6 1653 1631 28.42% 25.29% 46.29%-0.36 +22.1 7
2006-04-30 Lillestrom L 0-160.0 1627 1693 40.39% 25.60% 34.01%+0.11 -10.5 2
2006-04-30 @ Fredrikstad W 1-060.0 1693 1627 34.01% 25.60% 40.39%-0.11 +10.5 8
2006-04-30 Molde L 0-164.5 1709 1661 54.88% 24.19% 20.93%+0.76 -13.5 5
2006-04-30 @ Rosenborg W 1-064.5 1661 1709 20.93% 24.19% 54.88%-0.76 +13.5 7
2006-04-30 Sandefjord W 3-155.5 1632 1602 52.74% 24.55% 22.72%+0.65 +10.8 6
2006-04-30 @ Odd Grenland L 1-355.5 1602 1632 22.72% 24.55% 52.74%-0.65 -10.9 7
2006-04-30 Stabaek L 1-464.3 1705 1646 56.14% 23.95% 19.91%+0.82 -31.9 7
2006-04-30 @ Lyn Oslo W 4-164.3 1646 1705 19.91% 23.95% 56.14%-0.82 +31.9 8
2006-04-30 Valerenga W 3-158.0 1689 1681 50.16% 24.90% 24.94%+0.53 +11.8 8
2006-04-30 @ Brann L 1-358.0 1681 1689 24.94% 24.90% 50.16%-0.53 -11.8 2
2006-05-03 Brann L 0-258.4 1674 1701 45.68% 25.34% 28.98%+0.33 -21.8 7
2006-05-03 @ Molde W 2-058.4 1701 1674 28.98% 25.34% 45.68%-0.33 +21.8 11
2006-05-03 Fredrikstad D 0-065.3 1623 1617 49.93% 24.93% 25.15%+0.52 -1.5 5
2006-05-03 @ Start D 0-065.3 1617 1623 25.15% 24.93% 49.93%-0.52 +1.5 3
2006-05-03 Lillestrom L 1-267.7 1676 1703 45.58% 25.34% 29.07%+0.33 -10.9 7
2006-05-03 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-167.7 1703 1676 29.07% 25.34% 45.58%-0.33 +10.9 11
2006-05-03 Lyn Oslo D 2-276.0 1591 1673 38.08% 25.64% 36.29%+0.02 -0.1 8
2006-05-03 @ Sandefjord D 2-276.0 1673 1591 36.29% 25.64% 38.08%-0.02 +0.1 8
2006-05-03 Odd Grenland D 0-065.4 1609 1643 44.81% 25.40% 29.79%+0.30 -0.9 1
2006-05-03 @ Tromso D 0-065.4 1643 1609 29.79% 25.40% 44.81%-0.30 +0.9 7
2006-05-03 Viking W 1-054.6 1670 1647 51.96% 24.66% 23.38%+0.62 +6.8 5
2006-05-03 @ Valerenga L 0-154.6 1647 1670 23.38% 24.66% 51.96%-0.62 -6.8 2
2006-05-04 Rosenborg D 1-171.4 1678 1695 46.93% 25.24% 27.83%+0.39 -1.0 9
2006-05-04 @ Stabaek D 1-171.4 1695 1678 27.83% 25.24% 46.93%-0.39 +1.0 6
2006-05-07 Hamarkameratene W 3-050.5 1643 1665 46.43% 25.28% 28.30%+0.37 +21.9 10
2006-05-07 @ Odd Grenland L 0-350.5 1665 1643 28.30% 25.28% 46.43%-0.37 -21.9 7
2006-05-07 Sandefjord W 3-153.9 1696 1591 60.92% 22.83% 16.24%+1.08 +8.0 9
2006-05-07 @ Rosenborg L 1-353.9 1591 1696 16.24% 22.83% 60.92%-1.08 -8.0 8
2006-05-07 Stabaek D 2-277.9 1723 1677 54.67% 24.23% 21.10%+0.75 -1.4 12
2006-05-07 @ Brann D 2-277.9 1677 1723 21.10% 24.23% 54.67%-0.75 +1.4 10
2006-05-07 Start W 2-158.2 1714 1621 59.71% 23.15% 17.14%+1.01 +4.9 14
2006-05-07 @ Lillestrom L 1-258.2 1621 1714 17.14% 23.15% 59.71%-1.01 -4.9 5
2006-05-07 Tromso L 1-366.3 1673 1608 56.79% 23.82% 19.39%+0.86 -22.8 8
2006-05-07 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-166.3 1608 1673 19.39% 23.82% 56.79%-0.86 +22.8 4
2006-05-07 Valerenga W 2-163.2 1618 1676 41.42% 25.57% 33.02%+0.16 +8.5 6
2006-05-07 @ Fredrikstad L 1-263.2 1676 1618 33.02% 25.57% 41.42%-0.16 -8.5 5
2006-05-08 Molde W 3-158.0 1640 1652 47.54% 25.18% 27.28%+0.41 +12.7 5
2006-05-08 @ Viking L 1-358.0 1652 1640 27.28% 25.18% 47.54%-0.41 -12.7 7
2006-05-12 Lillestrom L 0-161.3 1668 1719 42.41% 25.53% 32.06%+0.20 -10.9 5
2006-05-12 @ Valerenga W 1-061.3 1719 1668 32.06% 25.53% 42.41%-0.20 +10.9 17
2006-05-13 Brann L 0-253.1 1583 1722 30.38% 25.44% 44.18%-0.30 -15.9 8
2006-05-13 @ Sandefjord W 2-053.1 1722 1583 44.18% 25.44% 30.38%+0.30 +15.9 15
2006-05-13 Fredrikstad W 4-048.6 1640 1627 50.79% 24.82% 24.39%+0.56 +25.3 10
2006-05-13 @ Molde L 0-448.6 1627 1640 24.39% 24.82% 50.79%-0.56 -25.3 6
2006-05-13 Lyn Oslo W 2-160.6 1665 1651 50.96% 24.80% 24.24%+0.57 +6.6 13
2006-05-13 @ Odd Grenland L 1-260.6 1651 1665 24.24% 24.80% 50.96%-0.57 -6.6 8
2006-05-13 Rosenborg D 1-170.9 1631 1704 39.32% 25.62% 35.06%+0.07 -0.2 5
2006-05-13 @ Tromso D 1-170.9 1704 1631 35.06% 25.62% 39.32%-0.07 +0.2 10
2006-05-13 Start D 2-276.3 1643 1616 52.38% 24.60% 23.02%+0.64 -1.2 8
2006-05-13 @ Hamarkameratene D 2-276.3 1616 1643 23.02% 24.60% 52.38%-0.64 +1.2 6
2006-05-13 Viking D 1-171.2 1678 1652 52.30% 24.61% 23.08%+0.63 -1.6 11
2006-05-13 @ Stabaek D 1-171.2 1652 1678 23.08% 24.61% 52.30%-0.63 +1.6 6
2006-05-16 Hamarkameratene W 1-055.0 1644 1642 49.45% 24.98% 25.56%+0.50 +7.3 11
2006-05-16 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-155.0 1642 1644 25.56% 24.98% 49.45%-0.50 -7.3 8
2006-05-16 Molde W 3-048.2 1730 1665 56.74% 23.83% 19.43%+0.85 +15.8 20
2006-05-16 @ Lillestrom L 0-348.2 1665 1730 19.43% 23.83% 56.74%-0.85 -15.8 10
2006-05-16 Odd Grenland D 1-171.7 1704 1672 53.10% 24.49% 22.41%+0.67 -1.7 11
2006-05-16 @ Rosenborg D 1-171.7 1672 1704 22.41% 24.49% 53.10%-0.67 +1.7 14
2006-05-16 Sandefjord W 1-051.0 1654 1567 59.07% 23.31% 17.62%+0.98 +5.3 9
2006-05-16 @ Viking L 0-151.0 1567 1654 17.62% 23.31% 59.07%-0.98 -5.3 8
2006-05-16 Stabaek W 2-163.6 1601 1677 39.02% 25.63% 35.36%+0.06 +9.0 9
2006-05-16 @ Fredrikstad L 1-263.6 1677 1601 35.36% 25.63% 39.02%-0.06 -9.0 11
2006-05-16 Tromso W 2-158.0 1738 1631 61.11% 22.78% 16.11%+1.09 +4.6 18
2006-05-16 @ Brann L 1-258.0 1631 1738 16.11% 22.78% 61.11%-1.09 -4.6 5
2006-05-16 Valerenga L 1-266.1 1618 1657 44.02% 25.45% 30.54%+0.26 -10.6 6
2006-05-16 @ Start W 2-166.1 1657 1618 30.54% 25.45% 44.02%-0.26 +10.6 8
2006-05-21 Brann L 1-363.1 1674 1742 39.99% 25.61% 34.41%+0.10 -17.0 14
2006-05-21 @ Odd Grenland W 3-163.1 1742 1674 34.41% 25.61% 39.99%-0.10 +17.0 21
2006-05-21 Fredrikstad W 2-051.1 1562 1610 42.82% 25.51% 31.67%+0.21 +16.5 11
2006-05-21 @ Sandefjord L 0-251.1 1610 1562 31.67% 25.51% 42.82%-0.21 -16.5 9
2006-05-21 Lillestrom D 2-277.6 1668 1746 38.65% 25.63% 35.72%+0.04 -0.1 12
2006-05-21 @ Stabaek D 2-277.6 1746 1668 35.72% 25.63% 38.65%-0.04 +0.1 21
2006-05-21 Rosenborg L 1-266.6 1651 1703 42.37% 25.53% 32.10%+0.19 -10.3 11
2006-05-21 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-166.6 1703 1651 32.10% 25.53% 42.37%-0.19 +10.3 14
2006-05-21 Start D 1-170.3 1649 1607 54.22% 24.31% 21.47%+0.73 -1.8 11
2006-05-21 @ Molde D 1-170.3 1607 1649 21.47% 24.31% 54.22%-0.73 +1.8 7
2006-05-21 Viking D 0-065.9 1626 1659 44.85% 25.39% 29.76%+0.30 -0.9 6
2006-05-21 @ Tromso D 0-065.9 1659 1626 29.76% 25.39% 44.85%-0.30 +0.9 10
2006-05-22 Valerenga D 1-170.6 1634 1668 44.83% 25.40% 29.78%+0.30 -0.8 9
2006-05-22 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-170.6 1668 1634 29.78% 25.40% 44.83%-0.30 +0.8 9
2006-05-28 Hamarkameratene L 0-359.4 1713 1633 58.33% 23.48% 18.19%+0.94 -39.1 14
2006-05-28 @ Rosenborg W 3-059.4 1633 1713 18.19% 23.48% 58.33%-0.94 +39.1 12
2006-05-28 Lyn Oslo W 2-048.6 1759 1641 62.21% 22.47% 15.32%+1.16 +8.7 24
2006-05-28 @ Brann L 0-248.6 1641 1759 15.32% 22.47% 62.21%-1.16 -8.7 11
2006-05-28 Molde W 2-051.0 1668 1647 51.72% 24.70% 23.58%+0.60 +13.0 12
2006-05-28 @ Valerenga L 0-251.0 1647 1668 23.58% 24.70% 51.72%-0.60 -13.0 11
2006-05-28 Odd Grenland W 1-055.3 1660 1657 49.61% 24.97% 25.43%+0.51 +7.3 13
2006-05-28 @ Viking L 0-155.3 1657 1660 25.43% 24.97% 49.61%-0.51 -7.3 14
2006-05-28 Sandefjord L 1-272.3 1746 1579 66.70% 20.99% 12.30%+1.44 -15.1 21
2006-05-28 @ Lillestrom W 2-172.3 1579 1746 12.30% 20.99% 66.70%-1.44 +15.1 14
2006-05-28 Stabaek W 1-057.3 1609 1668 41.35% 25.57% 33.08%+0.15 +9.0 10
2006-05-28 @ Start L 0-157.3 1668 1609 33.08% 25.57% 41.35%-0.15 -9.0 12
2006-05-29 Tromso W 5-363.3 1594 1625 45.06% 25.38% 29.56%+0.31 +11.4 12
2006-05-29 @ Fredrikstad L 3-563.3 1625 1594 29.56% 25.38% 45.06%-0.31 -11.4 6
2006-06-05 Brann D 0-067.2 1674 1768 36.36% 25.64% 38.01%-0.05 +0.1 15
2006-06-05 @ Rosenborg D 0-067.2 1768 1674 38.01% 25.64% 36.36%+0.05 -0.1 25
2006-06-05 Fredrikstad D 3-380.4 1649 1605 54.44% 24.27% 21.29%+0.74 -1.1 15
2006-06-05 @ Odd Grenland D 3-380.4 1605 1649 21.29% 24.27% 54.44%-0.74 +1.1 13
2006-06-05 Lillestrom W 1-060.5 1614 1731 33.20% 25.57% 41.23%-0.18 +10.7 9
2006-06-05 @ Tromso L 0-160.5 1731 1614 41.23% 25.57% 33.20%+0.18 -10.7 21
2006-06-05 Molde L 1-269.2 1673 1634 53.75% 24.39% 21.87%+0.70 -12.5 12
2006-06-05 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-169.2 1634 1673 21.87% 24.39% 53.75%-0.70 +12.5 14
2006-06-05 Start D 1-169.1 1594 1618 46.04% 25.31% 28.65%+0.35 -0.9 15
2006-06-05 @ Sandefjord D 1-169.1 1618 1594 28.65% 25.31% 46.04%-0.35 +0.9 11
2006-06-05 Viking D 0-066.1 1632 1668 44.58% 25.41% 30.01%+0.29 -0.9 12
2006-06-05 @ Lyn Oslo D 0-066.1 1668 1632 30.01% 25.41% 44.58%-0.29 +0.9 14
2006-06-06 Valerenga D 2-277.1 1659 1681 46.23% 25.29% 28.47%+0.36 -0.7 13
2006-06-06 @ Stabaek D 2-277.1 1681 1659 28.47% 25.29% 46.23%-0.36 +0.7 13
2006-07-02 Brann W 4-055.1 1660 1768 34.43% 25.61% 39.96%-0.13 +37.3 15
2006-07-02 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-455.1 1768 1660 39.96% 25.61% 34.43%+0.13 -37.3 25
2006-07-02 Lyn Oslo L 1-266.1 1606 1632 45.91% 25.32% 28.77%+0.34 -11.0 13
2006-07-02 @ Fredrikstad W 2-166.1 1632 1606 28.77% 25.32% 45.91%-0.34 +11.0 15
2006-07-02 Rosenborg L 1-364.9 1668 1674 48.45% 25.09% 26.46%+0.45 -19.9 14
2006-07-02 @ Viking W 3-164.9 1674 1668 26.46% 25.09% 48.45%-0.45 +19.9 18
2006-07-02 Sandefjord W 4-151.6 1682 1593 59.33% 23.24% 17.42%+0.99 +12.1 16
2006-07-02 @ Valerenga L 1-451.6 1593 1682 17.42% 23.24% 59.33%-0.99 -12.1 15
2006-07-02 Stabaek L 1-364.3 1647 1658 47.77% 25.16% 27.07%+0.42 -19.6 14
2006-07-02 @ Molde W 3-164.3 1658 1647 27.07% 25.16% 47.77%-0.42 +19.6 16
2006-07-03 Tromso D 1-169.8 1619 1625 48.42% 25.10% 26.49%+0.45 -1.2 12
2006-07-03 @ Start D 1-169.8 1625 1619 26.49% 25.10% 48.42%-0.45 +1.2 10
2006-07-12 Odd Grenland D 2-277.9 1720 1648 57.51% 23.67% 18.82%+0.89 -1.6 22
2006-07-12 @ Lillestrom D 2-277.9 1648 1720 18.82% 23.67% 57.51%-0.89 +1.6 16
2006-07-16 Fredrikstad W 1-051.8 1694 1595 60.28% 23.00% 16.72%+1.05 +5.0 21
2006-07-16 @ Rosenborg L 0-151.8 1595 1694 16.72% 23.00% 60.28%-1.05 -5.0 13
2006-07-16 Hamarkameratene W 4-051.1 1677 1697 46.61% 25.26% 28.12%+0.37 +28.4 19
2006-07-16 @ Stabaek L 0-451.1 1697 1677 28.12% 25.26% 46.61%-0.37 -28.4 15
2006-07-16 Molde W 5-258.0 1581 1627 43.02% 25.50% 31.48%+0.22 +17.4 18
2006-07-16 @ Sandefjord L 2-558.0 1627 1581 31.48% 25.50% 43.02%-0.22 -17.4 14
2006-07-16 Start W 2-049.9 1650 1618 53.06% 24.50% 22.45%+0.67 +12.4 19
2006-07-16 @ Odd Grenland L 0-249.9 1618 1650 22.45% 24.50% 53.06%-0.67 -12.4 12
2006-07-16 Valerenga L 0-159.9 1626 1694 40.02% 25.61% 34.37%+0.10 -10.4 10
2006-07-16 @ Tromso W 1-059.9 1694 1626 34.37% 25.61% 40.02%-0.10 +10.4 19
2006-07-17 Viking W 2-049.6 1730 1649 58.57% 23.43% 18.00%+0.95 +10.2 28
2006-07-17 @ Brann L 0-249.6 1649 1730 18.00% 23.43% 58.57%-0.95 -10.1 14
2006-07-22 Lyn Oslo L 1-270.3 1704 1642 56.44% 23.89% 19.67%+0.84 -13.1 19
2006-07-22 @ Valerenga W 2-170.3 1642 1704 19.67% 23.89% 56.44%-0.84 +13.1 18
2006-07-22 Odd Grenland W 2-053.2 1610 1662 42.27% 25.53% 32.20%+0.19 +16.7 17
2006-07-22 @ Molde L 0-253.2 1662 1610 32.20% 25.53% 42.27%-0.19 -16.7 19
2006-07-23 Rosenborg W 2-164.8 1605 1699 36.40% 25.64% 37.97%-0.05 +9.5 15
2006-07-23 @ Start L 1-264.8 1699 1605 37.97% 25.64% 36.40%+0.05 -9.5 21
2006-07-23 Sandefjord W 3-046.6 1669 1598 57.39% 23.69% 18.92%+0.89 +15.5 18
2006-07-23 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-346.6 1598 1669 18.92% 23.69% 57.39%-0.89 -15.4 18
2006-07-23 Viking W 2-161.7 1590 1638 42.83% 25.51% 31.66%+0.21 +8.2 16
2006-07-23 @ Fredrikstad L 1-261.7 1638 1590 31.66% 25.51% 42.83%-0.21 -8.2 14
2006-07-24 Tromso W 3-154.8 1706 1615 59.47% 23.21% 17.32%+1.00 +8.5 22
2006-07-24 @ Stabaek L 1-354.8 1615 1706 17.32% 23.21% 59.47%-1.00 -8.5 10
2006-07-29 Valerenga W 3-268.5 1645 1691 43.13% 25.49% 31.38%+0.23 +7.8 22
2006-07-29 @ Odd Grenland L 2-368.5 1691 1645 31.38% 25.49% 43.13%-0.23 -7.8 19
2006-07-30 Fredrikstad W 3-153.4 1741 1599 64.46% 21.77% 13.76%+1.29 +6.8 31
2006-07-30 @ Brann L 1-353.4 1599 1741 13.76% 21.77% 64.46%-1.29 -6.8 16
2006-07-30 Hamarkameratene W 2-163.2 1630 1684 42.00% 25.54% 32.46%+0.18 +8.4 17
2006-07-30 @ Viking L 1-263.2 1684 1630 32.46% 25.54% 42.00%-0.18 -8.4 18
2006-07-30 Lillestrom W 3-159.7 1689 1718 45.41% 25.36% 29.23%+0.32 +13.4 24
2006-07-30 @ Rosenborg L 1-359.7 1718 1689 29.23% 25.36% 45.41%-0.32 -13.4 22
2006-07-30 Molde W 2-051.3 1607 1627 46.61% 25.26% 28.13%+0.37 +15.0 13
2006-07-30 @ Tromso L 0-251.3 1627 1607 28.13% 25.26% 46.61%-0.37 -15.0 17
2006-07-30 Stabaek W 3-162.9 1583 1714 31.22% 25.49% 43.29%-0.26 +18.1 21
2006-07-30 @ Sandefjord L 1-362.9 1714 1583 43.29% 25.49% 31.22%+0.26 -18.1 22
2006-07-31 Start L 1-268.8 1656 1615 54.07% 24.33% 21.59%+0.72 -12.6 18
2006-07-31 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-168.8 1615 1656 21.59% 24.33% 54.07%-0.72 +12.6 18
2006-08-02 Brann W 2-054.5 1705 1747 43.60% 25.47% 30.93%+0.25 +16.2 25
2006-08-02 @ Lillestrom L 0-254.5 1747 1705 30.93% 25.47% 43.60%-0.25 -16.2 31
2006-08-05 Valerenga W 3-266.5 1703 1684 51.51% 24.72% 23.76%+0.60 +6.2 27
2006-08-05 @ Rosenborg L 2-366.5 1684 1703 23.76% 24.72% 51.51%-0.60 -6.2 19
2006-08-06 Lillestrom L 1-265.4 1639 1721 37.99% 25.64% 36.37%+0.02 -9.5 17
2006-08-06 @ Viking W 2-165.4 1721 1639 36.37% 25.64% 37.99%-0.02 +9.4 28
2006-08-06 Molde W 2-049.8 1643 1612 52.95% 24.51% 22.53%+0.66 +12.5 21
2006-08-06 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-249.8 1612 1643 22.53% 24.51% 52.95%-0.66 -12.5 17
2006-08-06 Sandefjord D 2-275.6 1622 1601 51.74% 24.69% 23.57%+0.61 -1.1 14
2006-08-06 @ Tromso D 2-275.6 1601 1622 23.57% 24.69% 51.74%-0.61 +1.2 22
2006-08-06 Stabaek L 0-161.3 1653 1696 43.52% 25.47% 31.01%+0.24 -11.1 22
2006-08-06 @ Odd Grenland W 1-061.3 1696 1653 31.01% 25.47% 43.52%-0.24 +11.1 25
2006-08-06 Start L 0-165.7 1731 1627 60.83% 22.86% 16.31%+1.08 -14.8 31
2006-08-06 @ Brann W 1-065.7 1627 1731 16.31% 22.86% 60.83%-1.08 +14.8 21
2006-08-07 Hamarkameratene D 2-276.1 1592 1676 37.77% 25.64% 36.59%+0.01 -0.0 17
2006-08-07 @ Fredrikstad D 2-276.1 1676 1592 36.59% 25.64% 37.77%-0.01 +0.0 19
2006-08-12 Fredrikstad D 1-171.9 1731 1592 64.16% 21.87% 13.96%+1.27 -2.9 29
2006-08-12 @ Lillestrom D 1-171.9 1592 1731 13.96% 21.87% 64.16%-1.27 +2.9 18
2006-08-13 Brann W 2-163.4 1677 1716 44.07% 25.44% 30.49%+0.27 +8.0 22
2006-08-13 @ Valerenga L 1-263.4 1716 1677 30.49% 25.44% 44.07%-0.27 -8.0 31
2006-08-13 Lyn Oslo W 3-265.1 1707 1655 55.33% 24.11% 20.56%+0.78 +5.4 28
2006-08-13 @ Stabaek L 2-365.1 1655 1707 20.56% 24.11% 55.33%-0.78 -5.5 21
2006-08-13 Odd Grenland L 1-362.3 1602 1642 43.90% 25.45% 30.64%+0.26 -18.3 22
2006-08-13 @ Sandefjord W 3-162.3 1642 1602 30.64% 25.45% 43.90%-0.26 +18.3 25
2006-08-13 Rosenborg L 0-254.3 1599 1709 34.15% 25.60% 40.25%-0.14 -17.5 17
2006-08-13 @ Molde W 2-054.3 1709 1599 40.25% 25.60% 34.15%+0.14 +17.5 30
2006-08-13 Tromso L 2-374.9 1676 1621 55.70% 24.04% 20.27%+0.80 -12.3 19
2006-08-13 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-274.9 1621 1676 20.27% 24.04% 55.70%-0.80 +12.3 17
2006-08-13 Viking W 3-156.7 1642 1629 50.75% 24.83% 24.42%+0.56 +11.5 24
2006-08-13 @ Start L 1-356.7 1629 1642 24.42% 24.83% 50.75%-0.56 -11.5 17
2006-08-23 Lillestrom D 3-381.5 1650 1728 38.69% 25.63% 35.68%+0.05 -0.1 22
2006-08-23 @ Lyn Oslo D 3-381.5 1728 1650 35.68% 25.63% 38.69%-0.05 +0.1 30
2006-08-27 Hamarkameratene W 3-156.2 1728 1664 56.67% 23.84% 19.49%+0.85 +9.5 33
2006-08-27 @ Lillestrom L 1-356.2 1664 1728 19.49% 23.84% 56.67%-0.85 -9.5 19
2006-08-27 Molde W 2-156.6 1708 1582 63.03% 22.23% 14.75%+1.20 +4.2 34
2006-08-27 @ Brann L 1-256.6 1582 1708 14.75% 22.23% 63.03%-1.20 -4.2 17
2006-08-27 Sandefjord W 2-048.2 1650 1584 56.91% 23.80% 19.30%+0.86 +10.8 25
2006-08-27 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-248.2 1584 1650 19.30% 23.80% 56.91%-0.86 -10.8 22
2006-08-27 Start W 4-051.1 1595 1654 41.33% 25.57% 33.10%+0.15 +32.3 21
2006-08-27 @ Fredrikstad L 0-451.1 1654 1595 33.10% 25.57% 41.33%-0.15 -32.3 24
2006-08-27 Tromso W 3-265.2 1660 1633 52.50% 24.58% 22.92%+0.64 +6.0 28
2006-08-27 @ Odd Grenland L 2-365.2 1633 1660 22.92% 24.58% 52.50%-0.64 -6.0 17
2006-08-27 Valerenga L 1-265.4 1618 1685 40.08% 25.61% 34.32%+0.10 -9.8 17
2006-08-27 @ Viking W 2-165.4 1685 1618 34.32% 25.61% 40.08%-0.10 +9.8 25
2006-08-28 Stabaek W 1-055.9 1726 1713 50.83% 24.82% 24.35%+0.56 +7.0 33
2006-08-28 @ Rosenborg L 0-155.9 1713 1726 24.35% 24.82% 50.83%-0.56 -7.1 28
2006-09-10 Fredrikstad W 5-151.5 1695 1627 57.12% 23.75% 19.13%+0.87 +17.0 28
2006-09-10 @ Valerenga L 1-551.5 1627 1695 19.13% 23.75% 57.12%-0.87 -17.0 21
2006-09-10 Lillestrom W 2-057.0 1621 1737 33.31% 25.58% 41.11%-0.17 +20.1 27
2006-09-10 @ Start L 0-257.0 1737 1621 41.11% 25.58% 33.31%+0.17 -20.1 33
2006-09-10 Lyn Oslo L 1-266.5 1627 1661 44.77% 25.40% 29.83%+0.29 -10.8 17
2006-09-10 @ Tromso W 2-166.5 1661 1627 29.83% 25.40% 44.77%-0.29 +10.8 28
2006-09-10 Odd Grenland W 3-050.3 1654 1666 47.60% 25.18% 27.22%+0.42 +21.2 22
2006-09-10 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-350.3 1666 1654 27.22% 25.18% 47.60%-0.42 -21.2 28
2006-09-10 Rosenborg L 0-252.2 1573 1734 27.64% 25.22% 47.15%-0.43 -14.8 22
2006-09-10 @ Sandefjord W 2-052.2 1734 1573 47.15% 25.22% 27.64%+0.43 +14.8 36
2006-09-10 Viking W 3-156.7 1578 1608 45.25% 25.37% 29.38%+0.32 +13.4 20
2006-09-10 @ Molde L 1-356.7 1608 1578 29.38% 25.37% 45.25%-0.32 -13.4 17
2006-09-11 Brann L 1-268.8 1706 1713 48.29% 25.11% 26.60%+0.45 -11.4 28
2006-09-11 @ Stabaek W 2-168.8 1713 1706 26.60% 25.11% 48.29%-0.45 +11.4 37
2006-09-17 Hamarkameratene W 2-053.1 1641 1675 44.73% 25.40% 29.87%+0.29 +15.7 30
2006-09-17 @ Start L 0-253.1 1675 1641 29.87% 25.40% 44.73%-0.29 -15.7 22
2006-09-17 Molde D 1-169.1 1610 1591 51.49% 24.73% 23.79%+0.59 -1.5 22
2006-09-17 @ Fredrikstad D 1-169.1 1591 1610 23.79% 24.73% 51.49%-0.59 +1.5 21
2006-09-17 Odd Grenland D 1-171.0 1671 1645 52.36% 24.60% 23.04%+0.64 -1.6 29
2006-09-17 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-171.0 1645 1671 23.04% 24.60% 52.36%-0.64 +1.6 29
2006-09-17 Sandefjord W 5-357.9 1724 1558 66.60% 21.03% 12.37%+1.43 +5.1 40
2006-09-17 @ Brann L 3-557.9 1558 1724 12.37% 21.03% 66.60%-1.43 -5.1 22
2006-09-17 Stabaek W 3-161.5 1594 1694 35.50% 25.63% 38.88%-0.08 +16.7 20
2006-09-17 @ Viking L 1-361.5 1694 1594 38.88% 25.63% 35.50%+0.08 -16.7 28
2006-09-18 Valerenga W 2-161.9 1717 1712 49.76% 24.95% 25.29%+0.51 +6.9 36
2006-09-18 @ Lillestrom L 1-261.9 1712 1717 25.29% 24.95% 49.76%-0.51 -6.9 28
2006-09-24 Brann W 3-162.7 1616 1729 33.72% 25.59% 40.69%-0.15 +17.3 20
2006-09-24 @ Tromso L 1-362.7 1729 1616 40.69% 25.59% 33.72%+0.15 -17.3 40
2006-09-24 Fredrikstad W 3-263.7 1678 1608 57.22% 23.73% 19.05%+0.88 +5.1 31
2006-09-24 @ Stabaek L 2-363.7 1608 1678 19.05% 23.73% 57.22%-0.88 -5.1 22
2006-09-24 Lillestrom W 2-057.1 1593 1724 31.26% 25.49% 43.25%-0.26 +20.9 24
2006-09-24 @ Molde L 0-257.1 1724 1593 43.25% 25.49% 31.26%+0.26 -20.9 36
2006-09-24 Lyn Oslo W 1-056.0 1660 1670 47.86% 25.15% 26.99%+0.43 +7.7 25
2006-09-24 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-156.0 1670 1660 26.99% 25.15% 47.86%-0.43 -7.7 29
2006-09-24 Start W 1-054.2 1705 1657 54.92% 24.18% 20.90%+0.76 +6.2 31
2006-09-24 @ Valerenga L 0-154.2 1657 1705 20.90% 24.18% 54.92%-0.76 -6.2 30
2006-09-24 Viking W 3-266.0 1553 1611 41.45% 25.57% 32.99%+0.16 +8.1 25
2006-09-24 @ Sandefjord L 2-366.0 1611 1553 32.99% 25.57% 41.45%-0.16 -8.1 20
2006-09-25 Rosenborg L 0-453.5 1647 1748 35.31% 25.62% 39.07%-0.09 -33.9 29
2006-09-25 @ Odd Grenland W 4-053.5 1748 1647 39.07% 25.62% 35.31%+0.09 +34.0 39
2006-09-28 Tromso W 2-157.2 1782 1633 65.07% 21.57% 13.36%+1.33 +3.8 42
2006-09-28 @ Rosenborg L 1-257.2 1633 1782 13.36% 21.57% 65.07%-1.33 -3.8 20
2006-10-01 Hamarkameratene D 0-067.2 1712 1667 54.45% 24.27% 21.28%+0.74 -2.1 32
2006-10-01 @ Valerenga D 0-067.2 1667 1712 21.28% 24.27% 54.45%-0.74 +2.1 26
2006-10-01 Lyn Oslo W 2-158.1 1786 1662 62.76% 22.31% 14.93%+1.19 +4.2 45
2006-10-01 @ Rosenborg L 1-258.1 1662 1786 14.93% 22.31% 62.76%-1.19 -4.2 29
2006-10-01 Molde W 3-264.4 1651 1613 53.67% 24.40% 21.93%+0.70 +5.8 33
2006-10-01 @ Start L 2-364.4 1613 1651 21.93% 24.40% 53.67%-0.70 -5.8 24
2006-10-01 Sandefjord W 2-156.8 1603 1561 54.25% 24.30% 21.45%+0.73 +6.0 25
2006-10-01 @ Fredrikstad L 1-256.8 1561 1603 21.45% 24.30% 54.25%-0.73 -6.0 25
2006-10-01 Stabaek D 2-277.7 1703 1683 51.65% 24.71% 23.64%+0.60 -1.1 37
2006-10-01 @ Lillestrom D 2-277.7 1683 1703 23.64% 24.71% 51.65%-0.60 +1.2 32
2006-10-01 Tromso W 1-055.2 1603 1630 45.69% 25.34% 28.97%+0.33 +8.1 23
2006-10-01 @ Viking L 0-155.2 1630 1603 28.97% 25.34% 45.69%-0.33 -8.1 20
2006-10-02 Odd Grenland W 1-052.2 1712 1613 60.33% 22.99% 16.68%+1.05 +5.0 43
2006-10-02 @ Brann L 0-152.2 1613 1712 16.68% 22.99% 60.33%-1.05 -5.0 29
2006-10-15 Brann W 2-054.7 1658 1717 41.32% 25.57% 33.11%+0.15 +17.0 32
2006-10-15 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-254.7 1717 1658 33.11% 25.57% 41.32%-0.15 -17.0 43
2006-10-15 Fredrikstad W 3-156.0 1622 1609 50.66% 24.84% 24.50%+0.56 +11.6 23
2006-10-15 @ Tromso L 1-356.0 1609 1622 24.50% 24.84% 50.66%-0.56 -11.6 25
2006-10-15 Lillestrom D 1-170.0 1555 1702 29.30% 25.36% 45.34%-0.35 +0.8 26
2006-10-15 @ Sandefjord D 1-170.0 1702 1555 45.34% 25.36% 29.30%+0.35 -0.9 38
2006-10-15 Start D 2-277.3 1684 1657 52.48% 24.59% 22.94%+0.64 -1.2 33
2006-10-15 @ Stabaek D 2-277.3 1657 1684 22.94% 24.59% 52.48%-0.64 +1.2 34
2006-10-15 Valerenga L 0-352.8 1608 1710 35.25% 25.62% 39.12%-0.09 -26.0 24
2006-10-15 @ Molde W 3-052.8 1710 1608 39.12% 25.62% 35.25%+0.09 +26.0 35
2006-10-15 Viking L 0-160.8 1608 1611 48.75% 25.06% 26.19%+0.47 -12.2 29
2006-10-15 @ Odd Grenland W 1-060.8 1611 1608 26.19% 25.06% 48.75%-0.47 +12.2 26
2006-10-16 Rosenborg D 1-171.8 1669 1790 32.66% 25.55% 41.79%-0.20 +0.5 27
2006-10-16 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-171.8 1790 1669 41.79% 25.55% 32.66%+0.20 -0.5 46
2006-10-22 Hamarkameratene D 1-169.8 1582 1670 37.19% 25.64% 37.17%-0.01 +0.0 25
2006-10-22 @ Molde D 1-169.8 1670 1582 37.17% 25.64% 37.19%+0.01 +0.0 28
2006-10-22 Lyn Oslo L 1-266.0 1623 1675 42.33% 25.53% 32.14%+0.19 -10.3 26
2006-10-22 @ Viking W 2-166.0 1675 1623 32.14% 25.53% 42.33%-0.19 +10.3 35
2006-10-22 Odd Grenland W 2-158.9 1598 1596 49.42% 24.99% 25.59%+0.50 +6.9 28
2006-10-22 @ Fredrikstad L 1-258.9 1596 1598 25.59% 24.99% 49.42%-0.50 -6.9 29
2006-10-22 Rosenborg L 1-362.5 1700 1790 36.94% 25.64% 37.42%-0.02 -16.0 43
2006-10-22 @ Brann W 3-162.5 1790 1700 37.42% 25.64% 36.94%+0.02 +16.0 49
2006-10-22 Sandefjord L 0-259.9 1658 1556 60.64% 22.91% 16.45%+1.07 -27.9 34
2006-10-22 @ Start W 2-059.9 1556 1658 16.45% 22.91% 60.64%-1.07 +27.9 29
2006-10-22 Stabaek W 3-156.8 1735 1683 55.41% 24.09% 20.49%+0.79 +9.9 38
2006-10-22 @ Valerenga L 1-356.8 1683 1735 20.49% 24.09% 55.41%-0.79 -9.9 33
2006-10-23 Tromso L 1-270.3 1701 1633 57.09% 23.76% 19.15%+0.87 -13.2 38
2006-10-23 @ Lillestrom W 2-170.3 1633 1701 19.15% 23.76% 57.09%-0.87 +13.2 26
2006-10-29 Fredrikstad L 1-270.1 1685 1605 58.42% 23.46% 18.12%+0.94 -13.5 35
2006-10-29 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-170.1 1605 1685 18.12% 23.46% 58.42%-0.94 +13.5 31
2006-10-29 Hamarkameratene W 2-161.0 1684 1670 50.87% 24.81% 24.32%+0.57 +6.7 46
2006-10-29 @ Brann L 1-261.0 1670 1684 24.32% 24.81% 50.87%-0.57 -6.6 28
2006-10-29 Lillestrom L 0-352.4 1589 1688 35.62% 25.63% 38.75%-0.08 -26.2 29
2006-10-29 @ Odd Grenland W 3-052.4 1688 1589 38.75% 25.63% 35.62%+0.08 +26.2 41
2006-10-29 Molde W 8-048.9 1673 1582 59.52% 23.20% 17.28%+1.00 +35.7 36
2006-10-29 @ Stabaek L 0-848.9 1582 1673 17.28% 23.20% 59.52%-1.00 -35.7 25
2006-10-29 Start W 1-054.3 1646 1630 51.17% 24.77% 24.06%+0.58 +7.0 29
2006-10-29 @ Tromso L 0-154.3 1630 1646 24.06% 24.77% 51.17%-0.58 -7.0 34
2006-10-29 Valerenga L 0-252.5 1584 1745 27.53% 25.21% 47.27%-0.43 -14.7 29
2006-10-29 @ Sandefjord W 2-052.5 1745 1584 47.27% 25.21% 27.53%+0.43 +14.7 41
2006-10-29 Viking W 4-150.2 1806 1613 68.86% 20.16% 10.98%+1.58 +7.5 52
2006-10-29 @ Rosenborg L 1-450.2 1613 1806 10.98% 20.16% 68.86%-1.58 -7.5 26
2006-11-05 Brann W 5-053.8 1605 1690 37.64% 25.64% 36.73%+0.00 +43.1 29
2006-11-05 @ Viking L 0-553.8 1690 1605 36.73% 25.64% 37.64%+0.00 -43.1 46
2006-11-05 Lyn Oslo W 2-050.9 1714 1672 54.23% 24.30% 21.46%+0.73 +11.9 44
2006-11-05 @ Lillestrom L 0-250.9 1672 1714 21.46% 24.30% 54.23%-0.73 -11.9 35
2006-11-05 Odd Grenland W 2-156.7 1623 1563 56.27% 23.92% 19.80%+0.83 +5.5 37
2006-11-05 @ Start L 1-256.7 1563 1623 19.80% 23.92% 56.27%-0.83 -5.5 29
2006-11-05 Rosenborg D 1-171.9 1618 1813 23.82% 24.73% 51.45%-0.62 +1.5 32
2006-11-05 @ Fredrikstad D 1-171.9 1813 1618 51.45% 24.73% 23.82%+0.62 -1.5 53
2006-11-05 Sandefjord L 2-368.5 1546 1569 46.21% 25.30% 28.50%+0.36 -10.5 25
2006-11-05 @ Molde W 3-268.5 1569 1546 28.50% 25.30% 46.21%-0.36 +10.5 32
2006-11-05 Stabaek L 1-559.8 1663 1708 43.22% 25.49% 31.29%+0.23 -33.0 28
2006-11-05 @ Hamarkameratene W 5-159.8 1708 1663 31.29% 25.49% 43.22%-0.23 +33.0 39
2006-11-05 Tromso W 3-155.1 1760 1653 61.10% 22.78% 16.11%+1.09 +7.9 44
2006-11-05 @ Valerenga L 1-355.1 1653 1760 16.11% 22.78% 61.10%-1.09 -7.9 29

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2006-11-08 Bryne W 3-0 1557 1492 56.73% 23.83% 19.44%+0.85 +15.8 1-0
2006-11-08 @ Odd Grenland L 0-3 1492 1557 19.44% 23.83% 56.73%-0.85 -15.8 0-1
2006-11-11 Odd Grenland L 1-7 1477 1573 36.03% 25.63% 38.34%-0.06 -41.6 0-2
2006-11-11 @ Bryne W 7-1 1573 1477 38.34% 25.63% 36.03%+0.06 +41.6 2-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-05-28 12.30% Sandefjord 1579 2 @ Lillestrom 1746 1
2 2006-08-06 16.31% Start 1627 1 @ Brann 1731 0
3 2006-10-22 16.45% Sandefjord 1556 2 @ Start 1658 0
4 2006-10-29 18.12% Fredrikstad 1605 2 @ Lyn Oslo 1685 1
5 2006-05-28 18.19% Hamarkameratene 1633 3 @ Rosenborg 1713 0
6 2006-10-23 19.15% Tromso 1633 2 @ Lillestrom 1701 1
7 2006-05-07 19.39% Tromso 1608 3 @ Lyn Oslo 1673 1
8 2006-07-22 19.67% Lyn Oslo 1642 2 @ Valerenga 1704 1
9 2006-04-30 19.91% Stabaek 1646 4 @ Lyn Oslo 1705 1
10 2006-08-13 20.27% Tromso 1621 3 @ Hamarkameratene 1676 2
11 2006-04-29 20.79% Start 1610 2 @ Viking 1659 1
12 2006-04-30 20.93% Molde 1661 1 @ Rosenborg 1709 0
13 2006-07-31 21.59% Start 1615 2 @ Lyn Oslo 1656 1
14 2006-06-05 21.87% Molde 1634 2 @ Hamarkameratene 1673 1
15 2006-04-17 23.89% Stabaek 1635 1 @ Tromso 1653 0
16 2006-10-15 26.19% Viking 1611 1 @ Odd Grenland 1608 0
17 2006-07-02 26.46% Rosenborg 1674 3 @ Viking 1668 1
18 2006-09-11 26.60% Brann 1713 2 @ Stabaek 1706 1
19 2006-07-02 27.07% Stabaek 1658 3 @ Molde 1647 1
20 2006-04-23 28.27% Lyn Oslo 1694 1 @ Molde 1673 0
21 2006-04-30 28.42% Hamarkameratene 1653 2 @ Tromso 1631 0
22 2006-11-05 28.50% Sandefjord 1569 3 @ Molde 1546 2
23 2006-07-02 28.77% Lyn Oslo 1632 2 @ Fredrikstad 1606 1
24 2006-05-03 28.98% Brann 1701 2 @ Molde 1674 0
25 2006-05-03 29.07% Lillestrom 1703 2 @ Hamarkameratene 1676 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-11-05 43.11 @ Viking 5 1605 37.64% Brann 0 1690 36.73% 25.64%
2 2006-05-28 39.14 Hamarkameratene 3 1633 18.19% @ Rosenborg 0 1713 58.33% 23.48%
3 2006-07-02 37.28 @ Hamarkameratene 4 1660 34.43% Brann 0 1768 39.96% 25.61%
4 2006-10-29 35.69 @ Stabaek 8 1673 59.52% Molde 0 1582 17.28% 23.20%
5 2006-09-25 33.95 Rosenborg 4 1748 39.07% @ Odd Grenland 0 1647 35.31% 25.62%
6 2006-11-05 33.04 Stabaek 5 1708 31.29% @ Hamarkameratene 1 1663 43.22% 25.49%
7 2006-08-27 32.32 @ Fredrikstad 4 1595 41.33% Start 0 1654 33.10% 25.57%
8 2006-04-30 31.92 Stabaek 4 1646 19.91% @ Lyn Oslo 1 1705 56.14% 23.95%
9 2006-07-16 28.44 @ Stabaek 4 1677 46.61% Hamarkameratene 0 1697 28.12% 25.26%
10 2006-10-22 27.89 Sandefjord 2 1556 16.45% @ Start 0 1658 60.64% 22.91%
11 2006-10-29 26.17 Lillestrom 3 1688 38.75% @ Odd Grenland 0 1589 35.62% 25.63%
12 2006-10-15 25.96 Valerenga 3 1710 39.12% @ Molde 0 1608 35.25% 25.62%
13 2006-05-13 25.27 @ Molde 4 1640 50.79% Fredrikstad 0 1627 24.39% 24.82%
14 2006-05-07 22.79 Tromso 3 1608 19.39% @ Lyn Oslo 1 1673 56.79% 23.82%
15 2006-04-30 22.09 Hamarkameratene 2 1653 28.42% @ Tromso 0 1631 46.29% 25.29%
16 2006-05-07 21.87 @ Odd Grenland 3 1643 46.43% Hamarkameratene 0 1665 28.30% 25.28%
17 2006-05-03 21.85 Brann 2 1701 28.98% @ Molde 0 1674 45.68% 25.34%
18 2006-09-10 21.20 @ Hamarkameratene 3 1654 47.60% Odd Grenland 0 1666 27.22% 25.18%
19 2006-09-24 20.91 @ Molde 2 1593 31.26% Lillestrom 0 1724 43.25% 25.49%
20 2006-09-10 20.08 @ Start 2 1621 33.31% Lillestrom 0 1737 41.11% 25.58%
21 2006-07-02 19.88 Rosenborg 3 1674 26.46% @ Viking 1 1668 48.45% 25.09%
22 2006-07-02 19.64 Stabaek 3 1658 27.07% @ Molde 1 1647 47.77% 25.16%
23 2006-08-13 18.33 Odd Grenland 3 1642 30.64% @ Sandefjord 1 1602 43.90% 25.45%
24 2006-07-30 18.12 @ Sandefjord 3 1583 31.22% Stabaek 1 1714 43.29% 25.49%
25 2006-08-13 17.45 Rosenborg 2 1709 40.25% @ Molde 0 1599 34.15% 25.60%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-04-09 81.5 @ Lillestrom 3 1680 47.87% Rosenborg 3 1691 26.98% 25.15%
2 2006-08-23 81.5 @ Lyn Oslo 3 1650 38.69% Lillestrom 3 1728 35.68% 25.63%
3 2006-06-05 80.4 @ Odd Grenland 3 1649 54.44% Fredrikstad 3 1605 21.29% 24.27%
4 2006-05-07 77.9 @ Brann 2 1723 54.67% Stabaek 2 1677 21.10% 24.23%
5 2006-07-12 77.9 @ Lillestrom 2 1720 57.51% Odd Grenland 2 1648 18.82% 23.67%
6 2006-10-01 77.7 @ Lillestrom 2 1703 51.65% Stabaek 2 1683 23.64% 24.71%
7 2006-05-21 77.6 @ Stabaek 2 1668 38.65% Lillestrom 2 1746 35.72% 25.63%
8 2006-10-15 77.3 @ Stabaek 2 1684 52.48% Start 2 1657 22.94% 24.59%
9 2006-06-06 77.1 @ Stabaek 2 1659 46.23% Valerenga 2 1681 28.47% 25.29%
10 2006-05-13 76.3 @ Hamarkameratene 2 1643 52.38% Start 2 1616 23.02% 24.60%
11 2006-08-07 76.1 @ Fredrikstad 2 1592 37.77% Hamarkameratene 2 1676 36.59% 25.64%
12 2006-05-03 76.0 @ Sandefjord 2 1591 38.08% Lyn Oslo 2 1673 36.29% 25.64%
13 2006-08-06 75.6 @ Tromso 2 1622 51.74% Sandefjord 2 1601 23.57% 24.69%
14 2006-08-13 74.9 Tromso 3 1621 20.27% @ Hamarkameratene 2 1676 55.70% 24.04%
15 2006-05-28 72.3 Sandefjord 2 1579 12.30% @ Lillestrom 1 1746 66.70% 20.99%
16 2006-08-12 71.9 @ Lillestrom 1 1731 64.16% Fredrikstad 1 1592 13.96% 21.87%
17 2006-11-05 71.9 @ Fredrikstad 1 1618 23.82% Rosenborg 1 1813 51.45% 24.73%
18 2006-10-16 71.8 @ Hamarkameratene 1 1669 32.66% Rosenborg 1 1790 41.79% 25.55%
19 2006-05-16 71.7 @ Rosenborg 1 1704 53.10% Odd Grenland 1 1672 22.41% 24.49%
20 2006-04-18 71.4 @ Brann 1 1680 49.18% Lillestrom 1 1680 25.81% 25.01%
21 2006-05-04 71.4 @ Stabaek 1 1678 46.93% Rosenborg 1 1695 27.83% 25.24%
22 2006-05-13 71.2 @ Stabaek 1 1678 52.30% Viking 1 1652 23.08% 24.61%
23 2006-04-17 71.0 @ Viking 1 1673 53.45% Fredrikstad 1 1637 22.11% 24.43%
24 2006-09-17 71.0 @ Lyn Oslo 1 1671 52.36% Odd Grenland 1 1645 23.04% 24.60%
25 2006-05-13 70.9 @ Tromso 1 1631 39.32% Rosenborg 1 1704 35.06% 25.62%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-07-23 46.6 @ Hamarkameratene 3 1669 57.39% Sandefjord 0 1598 18.92% 23.69%
2 2006-04-17 48.0 @ Rosenborg 3 1691 55.56% Start 0 1637 20.38% 24.06%
3 2006-05-16 48.2 @ Lillestrom 3 1730 56.74% Molde 0 1665 19.43% 23.83%
4 2006-08-27 48.2 @ Lyn Oslo 2 1650 56.91% Sandefjord 0 1584 19.30% 23.80%
5 2006-05-13 48.6 @ Molde 4 1640 50.79% Fredrikstad 0 1627 24.39% 24.82%
6 2006-05-28 48.6 @ Brann 2 1759 62.21% Lyn Oslo 0 1641 15.32% 22.47%
7 2006-10-29 48.9 @ Stabaek 8 1673 59.52% Molde 0 1582 17.28% 23.20%
8 2006-07-17 49.6 @ Brann 2 1730 58.57% Viking 0 1649 18.00% 23.43%
9 2006-08-06 49.8 @ Lyn Oslo 2 1643 52.95% Molde 0 1612 22.53% 24.51%
10 2006-07-16 49.9 @ Odd Grenland 2 1650 53.06% Start 0 1618 22.45% 24.50%
11 2006-10-29 50.2 @ Rosenborg 4 1806 68.86% Viking 1 1613 10.98% 20.16%
12 2006-09-10 50.3 @ Hamarkameratene 3 1654 47.60% Odd Grenland 0 1666 27.22% 25.18%
13 2006-05-07 50.5 @ Odd Grenland 3 1643 46.43% Hamarkameratene 0 1665 28.30% 25.28%
14 2006-11-05 50.9 @ Lillestrom 2 1714 54.23% Lyn Oslo 0 1672 21.46% 24.30%
15 2006-05-16 51.0 @ Viking 1 1654 59.07% Sandefjord 0 1567 17.62% 23.31%
16 2006-05-28 51.0 @ Valerenga 2 1668 51.72% Molde 0 1647 23.58% 24.70%
17 2006-05-21 51.1 @ Sandefjord 2 1562 42.82% Fredrikstad 0 1610 31.67% 25.51%
18 2006-07-16 51.1 @ Stabaek 4 1677 46.61% Hamarkameratene 0 1697 28.12% 25.26%
19 2006-08-27 51.1 @ Fredrikstad 4 1595 41.33% Start 0 1654 33.10% 25.57%
20 2006-07-30 51.3 @ Tromso 2 1607 46.61% Molde 0 1627 28.13% 25.26%
21 2006-09-10 51.5 @ Valerenga 5 1695 57.12% Fredrikstad 1 1627 19.13% 23.75%
22 2006-07-02 51.6 @ Valerenga 4 1682 59.33% Sandefjord 1 1593 17.42% 23.24%
23 2006-07-16 51.8 @ Rosenborg 1 1694 60.28% Fredrikstad 0 1595 16.72% 23.00%
24 2006-09-10 52.2 Rosenborg 2 1734 47.15% @ Sandefjord 0 1573 27.64% 25.22%
25 2006-10-02 52.2 @ Brann 1 1712 60.33% Odd Grenland 0 1613 16.68% 22.99%