2005 Tippeligaen Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Valerenga

46 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Start

13.68 points above expected

45 points · 31.32 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bodo Glimt

8.83 points below expected

24 points · 32.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Valerenga	26	13	7	6	46	40	27	+13	42.1	+3.91
2	Start	26	13	6	7	45	47	35	+12	31.3	+13.68
3	Lyn Oslo	26	12	8	6	44	37	21	+16	38.3	+5.67
4	Lillestrom	26	12	6	8	42	37	31	+6	39.5	+2.49
5	Viking	26	12	5	9	41	37	32	+5	38.4	+2.63
6	Brann	26	10	7	9	37	43	32	+11	39.5	-2.49
7	Rosenborg	26	10	4	12	34	50	42	+8	40.3	-6.34
8	Tromso	26	8	10	8	34	31	30	+1	35.6	-1.64
9	Odd Grenland	26	9	6	11	33	28	51	-23	33.4	-0.36
10	Hamarkameratene	26	8	7	11	31	31	37	-6	35.1	-4.07
11	Fredrikstad	26	8	7	11	31	35	44	-9	33.0	-2.05
12	Molde	26	8	6	12	30	40	46	-6	34.7	-4.74
13	Aalesund	26	6	9	11	27	30	42	-12	28.3	-1.29
14	Bodo Glimt	26	6	6	14	24	29	45	-16	32.8	-8.83

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Valerenga	1697	46	42.09	+3.91	75.4%	18	31	38	42	46	53	68
Rosenborg	1692	34	40.34	-6.34	18.8%	13	30	36	40	45	51	65
Lyn Oslo	1682	44	38.33	+5.67	82.6%	16	27	34	38	43	49	64
Lillestrom	1677	42	39.51	+2.49	67.9%	15	29	35	40	44	50	68
Brann	1672	37	39.49	-2.49	38.0%	16	29	35	40	44	50	66
Viking	1660	41	38.37	+2.63	68.5%	11	28	34	38	43	49	65
Tromso	1646	34	35.64	-1.64	43.1%	9	25	31	36	40	46	59
Molde	1635	30	34.74	-4.74	26.0%	12	24	30	35	39	46	57
Hamarkameratene	1620	31	35.07	-4.07	29.7%	10	24	31	35	39	46	60
Start	1602	45	31.32	+13.68	98.4%	10	21	27	31	36	42	58
Fredrikstad	1591	31	33.05	-2.05	41.2%	10	23	29	33	37	44	58
Odd Grenland	1587	33	33.36	-0.36	51.2%	10	23	29	33	38	44	57
Bodo Glimt	1579	24	32.83	-8.83	9.5%	12	22	28	33	37	43	54
Aalesund	1558	27	28.29	-1.29	46.4%	8	18	24	28	33	39	51

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BG	BRA	FRE	HAM	LIL	LO	MOL	OG	ROS	STA	TRO	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	0-2-0 2.37	0-1-1 2.08	2-0-0 2.34	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 1.97	0-2-0 2.03	0-1-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.34	1-1-0 1.90	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.23	0-0-2 1.85	0-0-2 2.07
Bodo Glimt	0-2-0 3.16	—	2-0-0 2.26	0-0-2 2.83	1-0-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.31	0-0-2 2.34	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.23	0-1-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.54	0-0-2 2.17	0-0-2 2.42
Brann	1-1-0 3.49	0-0-2 3.25	—	2-0-0 3.07	1-1-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 3.05	0-2-0 3.42	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 3.33	0-2-0 2.99	0-0-2 2.66	1-1-0 2.90
Fredrikstad	0-0-2 3.17	2-0-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.46	—	0-2-0 2.67	0-1-1 2.21	1-1-0 2.47	0-1-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.79	2-0-0 2.24	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.11	1-0-1 2.43
Hamarkameratene	1-1-0 3.24	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 2.37	0-2-0 2.84	—	0-0-2 2.48	1-0-1 2.44	1-1-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.94	0-0-2 2.44	0-0-2 3.05	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.41	1-1-0 2.50
Lillestrom	1-0-1 3.59	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.77	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.02	—	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 3.48	0-1-1 3.05	1-1-0 2.48	1-0-1 2.77
Lyn Oslo	0-2-0 3.52	2-0-0 3.20	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 3.03	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.63	—	2-0-0 2.94	1-0-1 3.12	2-0-0 2.63	0-2-0 3.26	0-1-1 2.96	1-1-0 2.48	1-1-0 2.76
Molde	1-1-0 3.16	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.44	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.33	0-0-2 2.56	—	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.43	0-0-2 3.16	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.29	1-0-1 2.44
Odd Grenland	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 2.91	0-2-0 2.13	1-1-0 2.69	0-1-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.58	—	0-0-2 2.41	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 2.65	0-1-1 2.02	1-0-1 2.38
Rosenborg	0-1-1 3.67	2-0-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.81	0-0-2 3.29	2-0-0 3.10	0-1-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.85	0-1-1 3.09	2-0-0 3.10	—	1-0-1 3.42	1-1-0 3.12	1-0-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.87
Start	1-0-1 3.06	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.81	2-0-0 2.49	1-0-1 2.05	0-2-0 2.28	2-0-0 2.39	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.15	—	0-1-1 2.52	1-1-0 1.97	1-1-0 2.16
Tromso	1-1-0 3.30	0-1-1 2.97	0-2-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.48	1-1-0 2.57	1-0-1 2.89	0-1-1 2.89	0-1-1 2.40	1-1-0 2.97	—	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.63
Valerenga	2-0-0 3.73	2-0-0 3.40	2-0-0 2.84	1-1-0 3.42	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 3.04	0-1-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.54	1-0-1 2.82	0-1-1 3.59	1-1-0 3.16	—	0-1-1 3.07
Viking	2-0-0 3.48	2-0-0 3.07	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 3.10	0-1-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.75	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.13	2-0-0 2.67	0-1-1 3.37	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.44	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.59%	6.87%	5.22%	2.47%	1.37%	0.82%	23.35%
1	6.87%	15.38%	9.34%	3.85%	1.65%	0.82%	37.91%
2	5.22%	9.34%	3.85%	3.30%	0.27%	0.82%	22.80%
3	2.47%	3.85%	3.30%	—	—	—	9.62%
4	1.37%	1.65%	0.27%	—	—	0.27%	3.57%
5+	0.82%	0.82%	0.82%	—	0.27%	—	2.75%
Total	23.35%	37.91%	22.80%	9.62%	3.57%	2.75%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.41
Mean allowed	1.41
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.050
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
1	7.69%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	50.00%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	30.77%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	—	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.267
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	34.62%
1	—	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	34.62%	34.62%	15.38%	—	3.85%	100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.250
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.115
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	23.08%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	46.15%
2	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	7.69%	46.15%	26.92%	7.69%	11.54%	—	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.204
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
1	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	50.00%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Hamarkameratene — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.185
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
2	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	34.62%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	30.77%	15.38%	11.54%	—	3.85%	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	0.90
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.004
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	19.23%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	46.15%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	38.46%	46.15%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	0.81
StdDev scored	1.63
StdDev allowed	0.80
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.027
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	—	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	46.15%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	42.31%	30.77%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.332
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	34.62%
1	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	3.85%	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	—	34.62%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	30.77%	30.77%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Odd Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	0.93
StdDev allowed	1.64
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.416
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	34.62%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	30.77%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	30.77%	26.92%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.380
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	23.08%	—	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
5+	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	42.31%	19.23%	11.54%	—	3.85%	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.085
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
1	15.38%	26.92%	11.54%	—	—	—	53.85%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	46.15%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	0.75
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.420
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	42.31%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.128
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	19.23%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	30.77%
3	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	34.62%	23.08%	7.69%	—	3.85%	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.164
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Start	45	31.3	+13.68
2	Lyn Oslo	44	38.3	+5.67
3	Valerenga	46	42.1	+3.91
4	Viking	41	38.4	+2.63
5	Lillestrom	42	39.5	+2.49

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Bodo Glimt	24	32.8	-8.83
2	Rosenborg	34	40.3	-6.34
3	Molde	30	34.7	-4.74
4	Hamarkameratene	31	35.1	-4.07
5	Brann	37	39.5	-2.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Odd Grenland	5	Aug 7 – Sep 18	1 in 315
2	Tromso	5	Sep 18 – Oct 23	1 in 159
3	Viking	5	Jun 18 – Jul 31	1 in 111
4	Valerenga	5	Apr 17 – May 8	1 in 97
5	Aalesund	3	Sep 25 – Oct 15	1 in 65

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	6	Aug 3 – Sep 17	1 in 445
2	Odd Grenland	5	May 5 – May 29	1 in 198
3	Molde	5	Jul 31 – Sep 10	1 in 70
4	Tromso	4	Jun 27 – Jul 31	1 in 55
5	Fredrikstad	4	Aug 29 – Sep 25	1 in 38

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Start	8	May 8 – Jul 3	1 in 122
2	Viking	9	May 16 – Jul 31	1 in 70
3	Valerenga	10	Jun 27 – Sep 18	1 in 31
4	Tromso	6	Sep 18 – Oct 29	1 in 29
5	Aalesund	5	Sep 18 – Oct 23	1 in 22

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tromso	11	May 16 – Aug 6	1 in 215
2	Bodo Glimt	10	May 8 – Jul 31	1 in 80
3	Valerenga	6	Sep 18 – Oct 29	1 in 44
4	Hamarkameratene	7	May 1 – Jun 12	1 in 28
5	Brann	5	Jul 23 – Aug 14	1 in 20

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Valerenga	23.42%	16.33%	12.63%	10.08%	8.53%	6.82%	5.40%	4.95%	3.50%	3.22%	2.22%	1.48%	0.95%	0.47%
Start	1.26%	1.92%	2.64%	3.99%	4.19%	5.40%	5.78%	7.32%	8.37%	9.36%	10.43%	12.21%	13.23%	13.90%
Lyn Oslo	10.13%	9.88%	10.71%	9.78%	9.61%	8.70%	8.04%	6.79%	6.21%	5.69%	4.93%	4.57%	3.19%	1.77%
Lillestrom	12.33%	11.80%	11.39%	10.55%	9.41%	8.51%	7.65%	6.66%	5.66%	5.06%	3.84%	3.27%	2.53%	1.34%
Viking	8.76%	10.19%	10.15%	9.80%	9.28%	9.10%	8.16%	7.44%	6.91%	5.70%	5.18%	4.40%	2.99%	1.94%
Brann	12.54%	12.06%	11.63%	10.36%	9.68%	8.35%	7.18%	6.61%	5.79%	4.83%	4.02%	3.14%	2.60%	1.21%
Rosenborg	15.70%	13.39%	11.59%	10.71%	9.01%	7.96%	7.02%	6.27%	5.09%	4.23%	3.41%	2.84%	1.67%	1.11%
Tromso	3.88%	5.88%	6.43%	7.10%	7.85%	8.74%	8.69%	8.62%	8.86%	8.56%	7.60%	7.47%	5.95%	4.37%
Odd Grenland	1.87%	3.10%	3.77%	4.52%	5.77%	6.85%	7.16%	7.60%	8.52%	9.24%	10.37%	10.34%	10.44%	10.45%
Hamarkameratene	3.50%	4.86%	5.74%	6.43%	7.09%	8.03%	8.27%	8.58%	8.54%	8.64%	8.73%	8.25%	7.50%	5.84%
Fredrikstad	1.78%	2.74%	3.48%	4.69%	5.72%	5.89%	7.68%	7.83%	8.84%	9.22%	10.02%	11.43%	11.07%	9.61%
Molde	2.99%	4.54%	5.44%	6.43%	6.73%	7.18%	8.34%	8.67%	8.96%	9.11%	9.15%	8.14%	8.01%	6.31%
Aalesund	0.26%	0.73%	0.94%	1.46%	2.27%	2.55%	3.69%	4.67%	5.49%	7.60%	9.79%	11.86%	18.30%	30.39%
Bodo Glimt	1.58%	2.58%	3.46%	4.10%	4.86%	5.92%	6.94%	7.99%	9.26%	9.54%	10.31%	10.60%	11.57%	11.29%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Valerenga	97.1%	1.2%	0.3%	1.4%
Rosenborg	94.4%	2.2%	0.6%	2.8%
Brann	93.0%	2.4%	0.8%	3.8%
Lillestrom	92.9%	2.5%	0.8%	3.9%
Lyn Oslo	90.5%	3.6%	1.0%	5.0%
Viking	90.7%	3.4%	1.0%	4.9%
Tromso	82.2%	5.7%	1.8%	10.3%
Hamarkameratene	78.4%	5.6%	2.6%	13.3%
Molde	77.5%	5.5%	2.6%	14.3%
Odd Grenland	68.8%	7.0%	3.3%	20.9%
Fredrikstad	67.9%	7.6%	3.9%	20.7%
Bodo Glimt	66.5%	6.9%	3.7%	22.9%
Start	60.7%	8.7%	3.5%	27.1%
Aalesund	39.5%	7.4%	4.5%	48.7%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2005-04-10	Valerenga	W 3-1	1643	1675	44.0%	26.2%	29.8%	+5.8	3
2005-04-10	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-3	1675	1643	29.8%	26.2%	44.0%	-5.8	0
2005-04-10	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1640	1615	52.6%	23.1%	24.3%	-0.7	1
2005-04-10	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1615	1640	24.3%	23.1%	52.6%	+0.7	1
2005-04-10	Tromso	D 1-1	1651	1642	50.0%	24.2%	25.8%	-0.6	1
2005-04-10	@ Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1642	1651	25.8%	24.2%	50.0%	+0.5	1
2005-04-10	Aalesund	D 2-2	1679	1575	64.3%	16.7%	19.0%	-0.8	1
2005-04-10	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1575	1679	19.0%	16.7%	64.3%	+0.8	1
2005-04-10	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1542	1665	31.3%	26.7%	42.1%	+7.5	3
2005-04-10	@ Start	L 1-3	1665	1542	42.1%	26.7%	31.3%	-7.5	0
2005-04-10	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1647	1621	52.6%	23.1%	24.3%	+2.7	3
2005-04-10	@ Viking	L 1-2	1621	1647	24.3%	23.1%	52.6%	-2.7	0
2005-04-11	Molde	W 2-0	1653	1642	50.4%	24.1%	25.5%	+5.7	3
2005-04-11	@ Brann	L 0-2	1642	1653	25.5%	24.1%	50.4%	-5.7	0
2005-04-16	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1576	1650	37.8%	27.2%	35.1%	+3.8	4
2005-04-16	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1650	1576	35.1%	27.2%	37.8%	-3.8	1
2005-04-17	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1619	1679	39.8%	27.0%	33.2%	-4.4	0
2005-04-17	@ Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1679	1619	33.2%	27.0%	39.8%	+4.4	4
2005-04-17	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1657	1639	51.4%	23.6%	24.9%	+3.0	3
2005-04-17	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1639	1657	24.9%	23.6%	51.4%	-3.0	1
2005-04-17	Start	L 0-1	1636	1550	61.7%	18.3%	20.0%	-6.0	0
2005-04-17	@ Molde	W 1-0	1550	1636	20.0%	18.3%	61.7%	+6.0	6
2005-04-17	Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	1643	1649	47.8%	25.1%	27.1%	+3.2	4
2005-04-17	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1649	1643	27.1%	25.1%	47.8%	-3.2	3
2005-04-17	Brann	W 2-1	1669	1659	50.4%	24.1%	25.6%	+2.9	3
2005-04-17	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1659	1669	25.6%	24.1%	50.4%	-2.9	3
2005-04-18	Viking	W 2-1	1615	1649	43.7%	26.3%	30.0%	+3.3	4
2005-04-18	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1649	1615	30.0%	26.3%	43.7%	-3.4	3
2005-04-24	Aalesund	W 2-1	1646	1580	58.7%	20.0%	21.3%	+2.3	6
2005-04-24	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-2	1580	1646	21.3%	20.0%	58.7%	-2.3	4
2005-04-24	Start	D 1-1	1636	1556	60.8%	18.8%	20.4%	-1.0	2
2005-04-24	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1556	1636	20.4%	18.8%	60.8%	+0.9	7
2005-04-24	Valerenga	L 1-3	1630	1672	42.5%	26.6%	30.9%	-7.6	0
2005-04-24	@ Molde	W 3-1	1672	1630	30.9%	26.6%	42.5%	+7.6	6
2005-04-24	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1646	1614	53.6%	22.6%	23.8%	+2.7	4
2005-04-24	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1614	1646	23.8%	22.6%	53.6%	-2.7	0
2005-04-24	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1683	1619	58.4%	20.1%	21.5%	-5.8	4
2005-04-24	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1619	1683	21.5%	20.1%	58.4%	+5.8	7
2005-04-24	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1646	1660	46.7%	25.5%	27.9%	+5.4	6
2005-04-24	@ Viking	L 1-3	1660	1646	27.9%	25.5%	46.7%	-5.4	3
2005-04-25	Tromso	D 0-0	1656	1646	50.2%	24.1%	25.6%	-0.6	4
2005-04-25	@ Brann	D 0-0	1646	1656	25.6%	24.1%	50.2%	+0.6	5
2005-05-01	Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	1612	1648	43.3%	26.4%	30.3%	+6.8	3
2005-05-01	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1648	1612	30.3%	26.4%	43.3%	-6.8	6
2005-05-01	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1625	1649	45.1%	25.9%	28.9%	-0.4	8
2005-05-01	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1649	1625	28.9%	25.9%	45.1%	+0.4	5
2005-05-01	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1655	1677	45.4%	25.9%	28.8%	-0.4	4
2005-05-01	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1677	1655	28.8%	25.9%	45.4%	+0.4	5
2005-05-01	Molde	W 6-1	1635	1623	50.7%	23.9%	25.4%	+11.0	5
2005-05-01	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-6	1623	1635	25.4%	23.9%	50.7%	-11.0	0
2005-05-01	Viking	W 5-2	1557	1651	34.8%	27.2%	38.0%	+8.6	10
2005-05-01	@ Start	L 2-5	1651	1557	38.0%	27.2%	34.8%	-8.6	6
2005-05-01	Valerenga	L 0-1	1647	1680	43.8%	26.3%	29.9%	-4.8	5
2005-05-01	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1680	1647	29.9%	26.3%	43.8%	+4.8	9
2005-05-02	Brann	L 1-3	1577	1655	37.2%	27.2%	35.6%	-6.9	4
2005-05-02	@ Aalesund	W 3-1	1655	1577	35.6%	27.2%	37.2%	+6.9	7
2005-05-05	Bodo Glimt	L 2-3	1662	1618	55.4%	21.8%	22.9%	-5.0	7
2005-05-05	@ Brann	W 3-2	1618	1662	22.9%	21.8%	55.4%	+5.0	6
2005-05-05	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1642	1624	51.4%	23.6%	25.0%	-0.6	7
2005-05-05	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1624	1642	25.0%	23.6%	51.4%	+0.6	9
2005-05-05	Tromso	W 2-1	1612	1642	44.2%	26.2%	29.6%	+3.3	3
2005-05-05	@ Molde	L 1-2	1642	1612	29.6%	26.2%	44.2%	-3.3	5
2005-05-05	Lillestrom	L 0-2	1649	1654	48.0%	25.0%	27.0%	-9.6	5
2005-05-05	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1654	1649	27.0%	25.0%	48.0%	+9.6	7
2005-05-05	Start	W 3-0	1678	1565	65.5%	16.0%	18.5%	+5.5	8
2005-05-05	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1565	1678	18.5%	16.0%	65.5%	-5.6	10
2005-05-05	Aalesund	W 3-1	1685	1570	65.7%	15.9%	18.4%	+3.3	12
2005-05-05	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1570	1685	18.4%	15.9%	65.7%	-3.3	4
2005-05-05	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1643	1646	48.2%	24.9%	26.9%	-0.5	7
2005-05-05	@ Viking	D 0-0	1646	1643	26.9%	24.9%	48.2%	+0.5	6
2005-05-08	Tromso	L 0-1	1567	1639	38.1%	27.2%	34.7%	-4.3	4
2005-05-08	@ Aalesund	W 1-0	1639	1567	34.7%	27.2%	38.1%	+4.3	8
2005-05-08	Valerenga	L 0-1	1623	1688	39.2%	27.1%	33.8%	-4.4	6
2005-05-08	@ Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1688	1623	33.8%	27.1%	39.2%	+4.4	15
2005-05-08	Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	1664	1641	52.2%	23.3%	24.5%	+2.9	10
2005-05-08	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1641	1664	24.5%	23.3%	52.2%	-2.9	7
2005-05-08	Rosenborg	W 3-2	1647	1683	43.4%	26.4%	30.3%	+3.2	9
2005-05-08	@ Lyn Oslo	L 2-3	1683	1647	30.3%	26.4%	43.4%	-3.2	8
2005-05-08	Odd Grenland	W 4-0	1560	1640	36.9%	27.2%	35.9%	+14.7	13
2005-05-08	@ Start	L 0-4	1640	1560	35.9%	27.2%	36.9%	-14.7	5
2005-05-08	Molde	L 2-3	1642	1615	52.9%	23.0%	24.2%	-4.9	7
2005-05-08	@ Viking	W 3-2	1615	1642	24.2%	23.0%	52.9%	+4.9	6
2005-05-09	Brann	L 2-3	1625	1657	43.9%	26.2%	29.8%	-4.2	9
2005-05-09	@ Fredrikstad	W 3-2	1657	1625	29.8%	26.2%	43.9%	+4.2	10
2005-05-16	Lillestrom	W 6-2	1661	1667	48.0%	25.0%	27.0%	+8.2	13
2005-05-16	@ Brann	L 2-6	1667	1661	27.0%	25.0%	48.0%	-8.2	10
2005-05-16	Start	L 0-2	1638	1574	58.3%	20.2%	21.5%	-11.0	7
2005-05-16	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	1574	1638	21.5%	20.2%	58.3%	+11.0	16
2005-05-16	Aalesund	D 2-2	1620	1563	57.3%	20.7%	21.9%	-0.6	7
2005-05-16	@ Molde	D 2-2	1563	1620	21.9%	20.7%	57.3%	+0.6	5
2005-05-16	Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1625	1650	45.0%	26.0%	29.0%	-9.1	5
2005-05-16	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1650	1625	29.0%	26.0%	45.0%	+9.1	12
2005-05-16	Viking	L 0-2	1680	1638	55.1%	21.9%	23.0%	-10.5	8
2005-05-16	@ Rosenborg	W 2-0	1638	1680	23.0%	21.9%	55.1%	+10.5	10
2005-05-16	Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1643	1619	52.4%	23.2%	24.4%	-0.5	9
2005-05-16	@ Tromso	D 2-2	1619	1643	24.4%	23.2%	52.4%	+0.5	7
2005-05-16	Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1692	1621	59.5%	19.5%	21.0%	-1.0	16
2005-05-16	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1621	1692	21.0%	19.5%	59.5%	+1.0	10
2005-05-22	Aalesund	D 0-0	1619	1563	57.2%	20.8%	22.0%	-0.9	8
2005-05-22	@ Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1563	1619	22.0%	20.8%	57.2%	+0.9	6
2005-05-22	Valerenga	W 2-1	1659	1691	43.9%	26.3%	29.9%	+3.3	13
2005-05-22	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1691	1659	29.9%	26.3%	43.9%	-3.3	16
2005-05-22	Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	1659	1627	53.6%	22.6%	23.8%	+2.8	15
2005-05-22	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1627	1659	23.8%	22.6%	53.6%	-2.8	7
2005-05-22	Molde	D 1-1	1669	1619	56.3%	21.3%	22.4%	-0.8	9
2005-05-22	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1619	1669	22.4%	21.3%	56.3%	+0.8	8
2005-05-22	Brann	W 3-2	1585	1670	36.3%	27.2%	36.5%	+3.7	19
2005-05-22	@ Start	L 2-3	1670	1585	36.5%	27.2%	36.3%	-3.7	13
2005-05-22	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1648	1616	53.6%	22.6%	23.8%	+2.8	13
2005-05-22	@ Viking	L 0-1	1616	1648	23.8%	22.6%	53.6%	-2.8	5
2005-05-23	Tromso	W 4-2	1622	1643	45.6%	25.8%	28.6%	+5.0	13
2005-05-23	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-4	1643	1622	28.6%	25.8%	45.6%	-5.0	9
2005-05-29	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1564	1627	39.5%	27.0%	33.5%	+3.9	9
2005-05-29	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1627	1564	33.5%	27.0%	39.5%	-3.9	13
2005-05-29	Lyn Oslo	W 3-0	1666	1662	49.3%	24.5%	26.2%	+8.5	16
2005-05-29	@ Brann	L 0-3	1662	1666	26.2%	24.5%	49.3%	-8.6	15
2005-05-29	Viking	D 0-0	1624	1651	44.8%	26.0%	29.2%	-0.4	8
2005-05-29	@ Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1651	1624	29.2%	26.0%	44.8%	+0.4	14
2005-05-29	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1620	1619	49.0%	24.6%	26.4%	-0.5	9
2005-05-29	@ Molde	D 1-1	1619	1620	26.4%	24.6%	49.0%	+0.5	9
2005-05-29	Rosenborg	L 0-5	1613	1669	40.5%	26.9%	32.6%	-19.8	5
2005-05-29	@ Odd Grenland	W 5-0	1669	1613	32.6%	26.9%	40.5%	+19.8	12
2005-05-29	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1638	1662	45.1%	25.9%	28.9%	-0.4	10
2005-05-29	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1662	1638	28.9%	25.9%	45.1%	+0.4	14
2005-05-30	Start	D 1-1	1688	1589	63.5%	17.2%	19.3%	-1.0	17
2005-05-30	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1589	1688	19.3%	17.2%	63.5%	+1.0	20
2005-06-12	Bodo Glimt	W 3-2	1623	1619	49.3%	24.5%	26.2%	+2.8	16
2005-06-12	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-3	1619	1623	26.2%	24.5%	49.3%	-2.8	9
2005-06-12	Aalesund	W 3-0	1662	1568	62.8%	17.6%	19.6%	+6.0	17
2005-06-12	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1568	1662	19.6%	17.6%	62.8%	-6.0	9
2005-06-12	Valerenga	D 1-1	1654	1687	43.8%	26.3%	29.9%	-0.3	16
2005-06-12	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1687	1654	29.9%	26.3%	43.8%	+0.3	18
2005-06-12	Molde	W 2-1	1593	1620	44.8%	26.0%	29.1%	+3.3	8
2005-06-12	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1620	1593	29.1%	26.0%	44.8%	-3.3	9
2005-06-12	Hamarkameratene	W 4-0	1688	1624	58.4%	20.1%	21.4%	+8.9	15
2005-06-12	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	1624	1688	21.4%	20.1%	58.4%	-8.9	8
2005-06-12	Tromso	D 1-1	1590	1637	41.7%	26.7%	31.6%	-0.2	21
2005-06-12	@ Start	D 1-1	1637	1590	31.6%	26.7%	41.7%	+0.2	11
2005-06-13	Brann	D 0-0	1651	1674	45.3%	25.9%	28.8%	-0.4	15
2005-06-13	@ Viking	D 0-0	1674	1651	28.8%	25.9%	45.3%	+0.4	17
2005-06-18	Viking	L 1-2	1687	1651	54.2%	22.3%	23.4%	-5.2	18
2005-06-18	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1651	1687	23.4%	22.3%	54.2%	+5.2	18
2005-06-19	Start	L 1-2	1562	1590	44.6%	26.1%	29.3%	-4.5	9
2005-06-19	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1590	1562	29.3%	26.1%	44.6%	+4.5	24
2005-06-19	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1616	1668	41.0%	26.8%	32.1%	-0.2	10
2005-06-19	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1668	1616	32.1%	26.8%	41.0%	+0.2	18
2005-06-19	Rosenborg	W 4-1	1675	1697	45.4%	25.9%	28.7%	+7.9	20
2005-06-19	@ Brann	L 1-4	1697	1675	28.7%	25.9%	45.4%	-7.9	15
2005-06-19	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1615	1597	51.5%	23.6%	24.9%	+2.8	11
2005-06-19	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-2	1597	1615	24.9%	23.6%	51.5%	-2.8	8
2005-06-19	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1616	1625	47.4%	25.2%	27.4%	+3.1	12
2005-06-19	@ Molde	L 1-2	1625	1616	27.4%	25.2%	47.4%	-3.1	16
2005-06-19	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1638	1653	46.4%	25.5%	28.1%	-0.5	12
2005-06-19	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1653	1638	28.1%	25.5%	46.4%	+0.5	17
2005-06-26	Molde	W 4-1	1618	1619	48.5%	24.8%	26.7%	+7.4	14
2005-06-26	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-4	1619	1618	26.7%	24.8%	48.5%	-7.3	12
2005-06-26	Fredrikstad	W 3-0	1669	1622	55.7%	21.6%	22.7%	+7.3	21
2005-06-26	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1622	1669	22.7%	21.6%	55.7%	-7.3	16
2005-06-26	Aalesund	D 0-0	1654	1558	63.1%	17.4%	19.5%	-1.1	18
2005-06-26	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1558	1654	19.5%	17.4%	63.1%	+1.1	10
2005-06-26	Brann	D 0-0	1594	1683	35.6%	27.2%	37.2%	+0.0	9
2005-06-26	@ Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1683	1594	37.2%	27.2%	35.6%	-0.0	21
2005-06-26	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1594	1616	45.5%	25.8%	28.7%	+6.4	27
2005-06-26	@ Start	L 0-2	1616	1594	28.7%	25.8%	45.5%	-6.4	10
2005-06-27	Valerenga	L 2-3	1689	1682	49.9%	24.3%	25.8%	-4.7	15
2005-06-27	@ Rosenborg	W 3-2	1682	1689	25.8%	24.3%	49.9%	+4.7	21
2005-06-27	Tromso	W 3-2	1656	1637	51.6%	23.5%	24.8%	+2.6	21
2005-06-27	@ Viking	L 2-3	1637	1656	24.8%	23.5%	51.6%	-2.6	12
2005-07-03	Viking	L 1-2	1559	1659	34.1%	27.1%	38.8%	-3.7	10
2005-07-03	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1659	1559	38.8%	27.1%	34.1%	+3.7	24
2005-07-03	Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1610	1653	42.3%	26.6%	31.1%	-7.6	10
2005-07-03	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	1653	1610	31.1%	26.6%	42.3%	+7.6	21
2005-07-03	Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	1683	1625	57.4%	20.7%	21.9%	+4.8	24
2005-07-03	@ Brann	L 0-2	1625	1683	21.9%	20.7%	57.4%	-4.8	14
2005-07-03	Start	L 1-2	1615	1601	50.9%	23.8%	25.2%	-5.0	16
2005-07-03	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1601	1615	25.2%	23.8%	50.9%	+5.0	30
2005-07-03	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1612	1676	39.3%	27.1%	33.7%	+7.4	15
2005-07-03	@ Molde	L 0-2	1676	1612	33.7%	27.1%	39.3%	-7.4	21
2005-07-03	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1634	1685	41.3%	26.8%	31.9%	-4.3	12
2005-07-03	@ Tromso	W 2-1	1685	1634	31.9%	26.8%	41.3%	+4.3	18
2005-07-04	Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1687	1594	62.6%	17.7%	19.7%	+6.0	24
2005-07-04	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1594	1687	19.7%	17.7%	62.6%	-6.0	9
2005-07-23	Brann	W 3-1	1619	1688	38.6%	27.1%	34.2%	+6.5	18
2005-07-23	@ Molde	L 1-3	1688	1619	34.2%	27.1%	38.6%	-6.5	24
2005-07-23	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1693	1620	59.6%	19.5%	20.9%	+2.3	27
2005-07-23	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1620	1693	20.9%	19.5%	59.6%	-2.3	14
2005-07-24	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1555	1689	29.9%	26.3%	43.8%	+4.5	13
2005-07-24	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1689	1555	43.8%	26.3%	29.9%	-4.5	18
2005-07-24	Viking	L 0-3	1602	1662	39.8%	27.0%	33.2%	-12.1	10
2005-07-24	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1662	1602	33.2%	27.0%	39.8%	+12.1	27
2005-07-24	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1610	1660	41.3%	26.8%	31.9%	+3.5	19
2005-07-24	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1660	1610	31.9%	26.8%	41.3%	-3.5	21
2005-07-24	Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1630	1588	55.1%	21.9%	23.0%	-5.6	12
2005-07-24	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1588	1630	23.0%	21.9%	55.1%	+5.6	12
2005-07-25	Start	W 2-0	1668	1606	58.2%	20.3%	21.6%	+4.7	24
2005-07-25	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1606	1668	21.6%	20.3%	58.2%	-4.7	30
2005-07-30	Valerenga	L 1-2	1681	1695	46.7%	25.4%	27.9%	-4.7	24
2005-07-30	@ Brann	W 2-1	1695	1681	27.9%	25.4%	46.7%	+4.7	30
2005-07-30	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1657	1673	46.3%	25.6%	28.1%	+3.3	24
2005-07-30	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1673	1657	28.1%	25.6%	46.3%	-3.4	24
2005-07-31	Tromso	W 3-2	1618	1625	47.8%	25.1%	27.1%	+2.9	17
2005-07-31	@ Hamarkameratene	L 2-3	1625	1618	27.1%	25.1%	47.8%	-2.9	12
2005-07-31	Aalesund	W 2-1	1593	1560	53.8%	22.5%	23.6%	+2.6	15
2005-07-31	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1560	1593	23.6%	22.5%	53.8%	-2.6	13
2005-07-31	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1685	1590	62.9%	17.6%	19.6%	+4.1	21
2005-07-31	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1590	1685	19.6%	17.6%	62.9%	-4.1	10
2005-07-31	Molde	W 1-0	1601	1626	45.1%	25.9%	29.0%	+3.5	33
2005-07-31	@ Start	L 0-1	1626	1601	29.0%	25.9%	45.1%	-3.4	18
2005-07-31	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1675	1614	57.9%	20.4%	21.7%	+2.4	30
2005-07-31	@ Viking	L 1-2	1614	1675	21.7%	20.4%	57.9%	-2.4	19
2005-08-03	Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1557	1621	39.2%	27.1%	33.7%	-0.1	14
2005-08-03	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1621	1557	33.7%	27.1%	39.2%	+0.1	18
2005-08-03	Odd Grenland	W 5-1	1586	1596	47.2%	25.3%	27.5%	+9.8	13
2005-08-03	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-5	1596	1586	27.5%	25.3%	47.2%	-9.8	15
2005-08-03	Rosenborg	W 5-1	1611	1689	37.3%	27.2%	35.5%	+12.1	22
2005-08-03	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-5	1689	1611	35.5%	27.2%	37.3%	-12.1	21
2005-08-03	Viking	W 2-0	1670	1677	47.7%	25.1%	27.2%	+6.1	27
2005-08-03	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1677	1670	27.2%	25.1%	47.7%	-6.1	30
2005-08-03	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1604	1660	40.5%	26.9%	32.6%	-0.2	34
2005-08-03	@ Start	D 1-1	1660	1604	32.6%	26.9%	40.5%	+0.2	25
2005-08-03	Brann	D 1-1	1622	1676	40.6%	26.9%	32.5%	-0.2	13
2005-08-03	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1676	1622	32.5%	26.9%	40.6%	+0.2	25
2005-08-06	Tromso	D 1-1	1700	1621	60.5%	19.0%	20.6%	-0.9	31
2005-08-06	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1621	1700	20.6%	19.0%	60.5%	+0.9	14
2005-08-07	Aalesund	D 0-0	1677	1557	66.5%	15.4%	18.1%	-1.3	26
2005-08-07	@ Brann	D 0-0	1557	1677	18.1%	15.4%	66.5%	+1.3	15
2005-08-07	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1621	1596	52.6%	23.1%	24.3%	+5.4	21
2005-08-07	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-2	1596	1621	24.3%	23.1%	52.6%	-5.4	13
2005-08-07	Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1622	1660	43.1%	26.4%	30.4%	-7.7	18
2005-08-07	@ Molde	W 3-1	1660	1622	30.4%	26.4%	43.1%	+7.7	28
2005-08-07	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1586	1623	43.2%	26.4%	30.4%	+3.4	18
2005-08-07	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1623	1586	30.4%	26.4%	43.2%	-3.4	22
2005-08-07	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1677	1676	48.9%	24.7%	26.5%	-4.8	21
2005-08-07	@ Rosenborg	W 2-1	1676	1677	26.5%	24.7%	48.9%	+4.8	30
2005-08-08	Start	D 1-1	1671	1604	58.7%	20.0%	21.3%	-0.9	31
2005-08-08	@ Viking	D 1-1	1604	1671	21.3%	20.0%	58.7%	+0.9	35
2005-08-13	Valerenga	L 0-2	1558	1699	29.2%	26.0%	44.8%	-6.5	15
2005-08-13	@ Aalesund	W 2-0	1699	1558	44.8%	26.0%	29.2%	+6.5	34
2005-08-13	Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1620	1627	47.8%	25.1%	27.1%	-0.5	23
2005-08-13	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1627	1620	27.1%	25.1%	47.8%	+0.5	22
2005-08-13	Odd Grenland	L 2-3	1681	1590	62.4%	17.9%	19.8%	-5.4	30
2005-08-13	@ Lillestrom	W 3-2	1590	1681	19.8%	17.9%	62.4%	+5.4	21
2005-08-13	Rosenborg	W 5-2	1605	1672	38.9%	27.1%	34.0%	+7.9	38
2005-08-13	@ Start	L 2-5	1672	1605	34.0%	27.1%	38.9%	-7.9	21
2005-08-14	Brann	W 2-1	1590	1675	36.2%	27.2%	36.6%	+3.9	16
2005-08-14	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1675	1590	36.6%	27.2%	36.2%	-3.9	26
2005-08-14	Viking	W 2-1	1668	1670	48.5%	24.8%	26.7%	+3.0	31
2005-08-14	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1670	1668	26.7%	24.8%	48.5%	-3.0	31
2005-08-14	Molde	W 2-1	1622	1615	49.9%	24.3%	25.8%	+2.9	17
2005-08-14	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1615	1622	25.8%	24.3%	49.9%	-2.9	18
2005-08-28	Lillestrom	L 2-3	1627	1675	41.6%	26.8%	31.7%	-4.1	22
2005-08-28	@ Hamarkameratene	W 3-2	1675	1627	31.7%	26.8%	41.6%	+4.1	33
2005-08-28	Viking	L 1-2	1612	1667	40.6%	26.9%	32.5%	-4.2	18
2005-08-28	@ Molde	W 2-1	1667	1612	32.5%	26.9%	40.6%	+4.2	34
2005-08-28	Start	W 2-0	1595	1613	46.1%	25.7%	28.3%	+6.4	24
2005-08-28	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1613	1595	28.3%	25.7%	46.1%	-6.4	38
2005-08-28	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1664	1671	47.7%	25.1%	27.2%	-5.0	21
2005-08-28	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1671	1664	27.2%	25.1%	47.7%	+5.0	34
2005-08-28	Aalesund	D 1-1	1625	1551	59.8%	19.4%	20.8%	-0.9	18
2005-08-28	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1551	1625	20.8%	19.4%	59.8%	+0.9	16
2005-08-28	Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	1705	1594	65.3%	16.2%	18.6%	+3.3	37
2005-08-28	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1594	1705	18.6%	16.2%	65.3%	-3.3	16
2005-08-29	Fredrikstad	W 4-0	1671	1620	56.5%	21.1%	22.3%	+9.3	29
2005-08-29	@ Brann	L 0-4	1620	1671	22.3%	21.1%	56.5%	-9.3	23
2005-09-10	Molde	W 3-1	1709	1608	63.8%	17.0%	19.2%	+3.5	40
2005-09-10	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1608	1709	19.2%	17.0%	63.8%	-3.5	18
2005-09-10	Rosenborg	W 3-2	1671	1659	50.6%	24.0%	25.4%	+2.7	37
2005-09-10	@ Viking	L 2-3	1659	1671	25.4%	24.0%	50.6%	-2.7	21
2005-09-11	Tromso	W 2-1	1591	1624	43.7%	26.3%	30.0%	+3.3	19
2005-09-11	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1624	1591	30.0%	26.3%	43.7%	-3.4	18
2005-09-11	Brann	W 1-0	1679	1681	48.6%	24.8%	26.6%	+3.2	36
2005-09-11	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1681	1679	26.6%	24.8%	48.6%	-3.2	29
2005-09-11	Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1676	1601	59.9%	19.3%	20.8%	-5.6	34
2005-09-11	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1601	1676	20.8%	19.3%	59.9%	+5.6	27
2005-09-11	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1607	1623	46.3%	25.6%	28.1%	+3.2	41
2005-09-11	@ Start	L 1-2	1623	1607	28.1%	25.6%	46.3%	-3.2	22
2005-09-13	Molde	L 1-4	1552	1604	41.1%	26.8%	32.1%	-10.5	16
2005-09-13	@ Aalesund	W 4-1	1604	1552	32.1%	26.8%	41.1%	+10.5	21
2005-09-13	Valerenga	L 0-4	1610	1712	33.9%	27.1%	39.0%	-14.0	23
2005-09-13	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-0	1712	1610	39.0%	27.1%	33.9%	+14.1	43
2005-09-17	Rosenborg	W 4-1	1615	1656	42.6%	26.6%	30.9%	+8.4	24
2005-09-17	@ Molde	L 1-4	1656	1615	30.9%	26.6%	42.6%	-8.4	21
2005-09-18	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1542	1594	41.0%	26.8%	32.2%	-0.2	17
2005-09-18	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1594	1542	32.2%	26.8%	41.0%	+0.2	20
2005-09-18	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1620	1670	41.2%	26.8%	32.0%	+3.8	25
2005-09-18	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-1	1670	1620	32.0%	26.8%	41.2%	-3.8	34
2005-09-18	Viking	W 1-0	1607	1674	38.8%	27.1%	34.1%	+4.0	30
2005-09-18	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1674	1607	34.1%	27.1%	38.8%	-3.9	37
2005-09-18	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1621	1596	52.5%	23.1%	24.4%	+5.5	21
2005-09-18	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1596	1621	24.4%	23.1%	52.5%	-5.5	23
2005-09-18	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1726	1683	55.3%	21.8%	22.9%	-0.8	44
2005-09-18	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1683	1726	22.9%	21.8%	55.3%	+0.8	37
2005-09-19	Start	W 1-0	1678	1610	58.9%	19.9%	21.2%	+2.4	32
2005-09-19	@ Brann	L 0-1	1610	1678	21.2%	19.9%	58.9%	-2.4	41
2005-09-24	Tromso	L 1-2	1683	1626	57.3%	20.7%	22.0%	-5.4	37
2005-09-24	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1626	1683	22.0%	20.7%	57.3%	+5.4	24
2005-09-25	Aalesund	L 1-4	1591	1542	56.1%	21.4%	22.5%	-13.1	23
2005-09-25	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-1	1542	1591	22.5%	21.4%	56.1%	+13.1	20
2005-09-25	Brann	W 1-0	1667	1680	46.8%	25.4%	27.8%	+3.3	37
2005-09-25	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1680	1667	27.8%	25.4%	46.8%	-3.3	32
2005-09-25	Odd Grenland	W 6-0	1648	1611	54.3%	22.3%	23.4%	+14.5	24
2005-09-25	@ Rosenborg	L 0-6	1611	1648	23.4%	22.3%	54.3%	-14.5	30
2005-09-25	Valerenga	W 3-0	1607	1725	31.8%	26.8%	41.4%	+12.5	44
2005-09-25	@ Start	L 0-3	1725	1607	41.4%	26.8%	31.8%	-12.5	44
2005-09-25	Hamarkameratene	L 1-3	1670	1624	55.7%	21.6%	22.7%	-9.2	37
2005-09-25	@ Viking	W 3-1	1624	1670	22.7%	21.6%	55.7%	+9.2	28
2005-09-26	Molde	W 2-0	1594	1623	44.5%	26.1%	29.4%	+6.6	23
2005-09-26	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1623	1594	29.4%	26.1%	44.5%	-6.6	24
2005-10-02	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1555	1678	31.2%	26.6%	42.2%	+4.6	23
2005-10-02	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1678	1555	42.2%	26.6%	31.2%	-4.6	37
2005-10-02	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1601	1578	52.3%	23.3%	24.5%	-5.1	23
2005-10-02	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1578	1601	24.5%	23.3%	52.3%	+5.1	26
2005-10-02	Rosenborg	L 0-3	1633	1662	44.4%	26.1%	29.5%	-13.1	28
2005-10-02	@ Hamarkameratene	W 3-0	1662	1633	29.5%	26.1%	44.4%	+13.1	27
2005-10-02	Odd Grenland	W 4-0	1616	1596	51.8%	23.5%	24.8%	+10.5	27
2005-10-02	@ Molde	L 0-4	1596	1616	24.8%	23.5%	51.8%	-10.5	30
2005-10-02	Start	W 3-1	1632	1620	50.6%	24.0%	25.4%	+4.9	27
2005-10-02	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1620	1632	25.4%	24.0%	50.6%	-4.9	44
2005-10-02	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1713	1670	55.2%	21.8%	23.0%	-5.6	44
2005-10-02	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1670	1713	23.0%	21.8%	55.2%	+5.6	40
2005-10-03	Viking	W 2-1	1677	1661	51.2%	23.7%	25.1%	+2.8	35
2005-10-03	@ Brann	L 1-2	1661	1677	25.1%	23.7%	51.2%	-2.8	37
2005-10-15	Aalesund	L 4-5	1615	1559	57.1%	20.8%	22.1%	-4.9	44
2005-10-15	@ Start	W 5-4	1559	1615	22.1%	20.8%	57.1%	+4.9	26
2005-10-16	Molde	D 1-1	1583	1627	42.2%	26.6%	31.2%	-0.2	27
2005-10-16	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1627	1583	31.2%	26.6%	42.2%	+0.2	28
2005-10-16	Tromso	L 0-1	1675	1637	54.6%	22.1%	23.3%	-5.5	40
2005-10-16	@ Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1637	1675	23.3%	22.1%	54.6%	+5.6	30
2005-10-16	Hamarkameratene	D 2-2	1586	1620	43.7%	26.3%	30.0%	-0.2	31
2005-10-16	@ Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1620	1586	30.0%	26.3%	43.7%	+0.2	29
2005-10-16	Brann	W 4-1	1675	1679	48.1%	24.9%	26.9%	+7.4	30
2005-10-16	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1679	1675	26.9%	24.9%	48.1%	-7.4	35
2005-10-16	Valerenga	D 0-0	1658	1707	41.4%	26.8%	31.8%	-0.2	38
2005-10-16	@ Viking	D 0-0	1707	1658	31.8%	26.8%	41.4%	+0.2	45
2005-10-17	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1673	1596	60.4%	19.0%	20.6%	+4.4	40
2005-10-17	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1596	1673	20.6%	19.0%	60.4%	-4.4	23
2005-10-23	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1564	1670	33.4%	27.0%	39.6%	+0.1	27
2005-10-23	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1670	1564	39.6%	27.0%	33.4%	-0.1	41
2005-10-23	Start	D 1-1	1591	1610	46.0%	25.7%	28.3%	-0.4	24
2005-10-23	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1610	1591	28.3%	25.7%	46.0%	+0.4	45
2005-10-23	Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1672	1586	61.7%	18.3%	20.1%	-0.7	36
2005-10-23	@ Brann	D 2-2	1586	1672	20.1%	18.3%	61.7%	+0.7	32
2005-10-23	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1582	1678	34.8%	27.2%	38.1%	+0.1	28
2005-10-23	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1678	1582	38.1%	27.2%	34.8%	-0.1	41
2005-10-23	Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1627	1620	49.9%	24.3%	25.9%	-0.6	29
2005-10-23	@ Molde	D 1-1	1620	1627	25.9%	24.3%	49.9%	+0.5	30
2005-10-23	Viking	W 1-0	1642	1658	46.5%	25.5%	28.0%	+3.3	33
2005-10-23	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1658	1642	28.0%	25.5%	46.5%	-3.3	38
2005-10-23	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1707	1683	52.5%	23.2%	24.4%	-10.2	45
2005-10-23	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	1683	1707	24.4%	23.2%	52.5%	+10.2	33
2005-10-29	Brann	D 1-1	1620	1671	41.2%	26.8%	32.0%	-0.2	31
2005-10-29	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1671	1620	32.0%	26.8%	41.2%	+0.2	37
2005-10-29	Molde	D 2-2	1678	1627	56.4%	21.2%	22.4%	-0.6	42
2005-10-29	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1627	1678	22.4%	21.2%	56.4%	+0.6	30
2005-10-29	Bodo Glimt	W 6-0	1670	1591	60.6%	18.9%	20.5%	+12.2	44
2005-10-29	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-6	1591	1670	20.5%	18.9%	60.6%	-12.2	24
2005-10-29	Valerenga	D 2-2	1586	1697	32.7%	26.9%	40.4%	+0.1	33
2005-10-29	@ Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1697	1586	40.4%	26.9%	32.7%	-0.1	46
2005-10-29	Tromso	D 1-1	1693	1646	55.8%	21.5%	22.7%	-0.8	34
2005-10-29	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1646	1693	22.7%	21.5%	55.8%	+0.8	34
2005-10-29	Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1610	1583	52.9%	22.9%	24.1%	-8.9	45
2005-10-29	@ Start	W 3-1	1583	1610	24.1%	22.9%	52.9%	+8.9	31
2005-10-29	Aalesund	W 3-0	1654	1564	62.2%	18.0%	19.8%	+6.1	41
2005-10-29	@ Viking	L 0-3	1564	1654	19.8%	18.0%	62.2%	-6.1	27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2005-08-13	19.76%	Odd Grenland	1590	3	@ Lillestrom	1681	2
2	2005-04-17	20.03%	Start	1550	1	@ Molde	1636	0
3	2005-09-11	20.79%	Odd Grenland	1601	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1676	1
4	2005-04-24	21.46%	Fredrikstad	1619	1	@ Rosenborg	1683	0
5	2005-05-16	21.50%	Start	1574	2	@ Hamarkameratene	1638	0
6	2005-09-24	21.96%	Tromso	1626	2	@ Lillestrom	1683	1
7	2005-10-15	22.06%	Aalesund	1559	5	@ Start	1615	4
8	2005-09-25	22.52%	Aalesund	1542	4	@ Fredrikstad	1591	1
9	2005-09-25	22.71%	Hamarkameratene	1624	3	@ Viking	1670	1
10	2005-05-05	22.89%	Bodo Glimt	1618	3	@ Brann	1662	2
11	2005-10-02	22.96%	Lyn Oslo	1670	1	@ Valerenga	1713	0
12	2005-05-16	22.99%	Viking	1638	2	@ Rosenborg	1680	0
13	2005-07-24	23.00%	Odd Grenland	1588	1	@ Tromso	1630	0
14	2005-10-16	23.28%	Tromso	1637	1	@ Lyn Oslo	1675	0
15	2005-06-18	23.45%	Viking	1651	2	@ Valerenga	1687	1
16	2005-10-29	24.12%	Fredrikstad	1583	3	@ Start	1610	1
17	2005-05-08	24.16%	Molde	1615	3	@ Viking	1642	2
18	2005-10-23	24.36%	Rosenborg	1683	2	@ Valerenga	1707	0
19	2005-10-02	24.49%	Fredrikstad	1578	2	@ Bodo Glimt	1601	1
20	2005-07-03	25.24%	Start	1601	2	@ Fredrikstad	1615	1
21	2005-06-27	25.84%	Valerenga	1682	3	@ Rosenborg	1689	2
22	2005-08-07	26.46%	Lillestrom	1676	2	@ Rosenborg	1677	1
23	2005-05-05	27.00%	Lillestrom	1654	2	@ Odd Grenland	1649	0
24	2005-08-28	27.19%	Lyn Oslo	1671	1	@ Rosenborg	1664	0
25	2005-07-30	27.87%	Valerenga	1695	2	@ Brann	1681	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-05-29	19.75	Rosenborg	5	1669	32.60%	@ Odd Grenland	0	1613	40.48%
2	2005-05-08	14.68	@ Start	4	1560	36.92%	Odd Grenland	0	1640	35.87%
3	2005-09-25	14.48	@ Rosenborg	6	1648	54.28%	Odd Grenland	0	1611	23.42%
4	2005-09-13	14.05	Valerenga	4	1712	39.03%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1610	33.88%
5	2005-10-02	13.11	Rosenborg	3	1662	29.50%	@ Hamarkameratene	0	1633	44.36%
6	2005-09-25	13.06	Aalesund	4	1542	22.52%	@ Fredrikstad	1	1591	56.11%
7	2005-09-25	12.47	@ Start	3	1607	31.83%	Valerenga	0	1725	41.39%
8	2005-10-29	12.24	@ Lyn Oslo	6	1670	60.55%	Bodo Glimt	0	1591	20.52%
9	2005-08-03	12.14	@ Fredrikstad	5	1611	37.29%	Rosenborg	1	1689	35.51%
10	2005-07-24	12.11	Viking	3	1662	33.21%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1602	39.78%
11	2005-05-01	11.04	@ Lyn Oslo	6	1635	50.68%	Molde	1	1623	25.37%
12	2005-05-16	10.95	Start	2	1574	21.50%	@ Hamarkameratene	0	1638	58.31%
13	2005-05-16	10.54	Viking	2	1638	22.99%	@ Rosenborg	0	1680	55.14%
14	2005-10-02	10.53	@ Molde	4	1616	51.76%	Odd Grenland	0	1596	24.76%
15	2005-09-13	10.46	Molde	4	1604	32.11%	@ Aalesund	1	1552	41.06%
16	2005-10-23	10.18	Rosenborg	2	1683	24.36%	@ Valerenga	0	1707	52.49%
17	2005-08-03	9.79	@ Bodo Glimt	5	1586	47.24%	Odd Grenland	1	1596	27.49%
18	2005-05-05	9.56	Lillestrom	2	1654	27.00%	@ Odd Grenland	0	1649	48.00%
19	2005-08-29	9.33	@ Brann	4	1671	56.54%	Fredrikstad	0	1620	22.32%
20	2005-09-25	9.19	Hamarkameratene	3	1624	22.71%	@ Viking	1	1670	55.73%
21	2005-05-16	9.12	Lyn Oslo	2	1650	29.05%	@ Odd Grenland	0	1625	44.98%
22	2005-10-29	8.87	Fredrikstad	3	1583	24.12%	@ Start	1	1610	52.95%
23	2005-06-12	8.86	@ Rosenborg	4	1688	58.44%	Hamarkameratene	0	1624	21.44%
24	2005-05-01	8.56	@ Start	5	1557	34.82%	Viking	2	1651	38.02%
25	2005-05-29	8.56	@ Brann	3	1666	49.32%	Lyn Oslo	0	1662	26.17%