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2005 Tippeligaen Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Valerenga

46 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 1984

Relegated

Bodo Glimt

24 pts

Aalesung · 27 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Start

15.69 points above expected

45 points · 29.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bodo Glimt

7.79 points below expected

24 points · 31.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valerenga Champion 26 13 7 6 46 40 27 +13 43.29 +2.71
2 Start 26 13 6 7 45 47 35 +12 29.31 +15.69
3 Lyn Oslo 26 12 8 6 44 37 21 +16 37.72 +6.28
4 Lillestrom 26 12 6 8 42 37 31 +6 40.20 +1.80
5 Viking 26 12 5 9 41 37 32 +5 38.02 +2.98
6 Brann 26 10 7 9 37 43 32 +11 40.06 -3.06
7 Rosenborg 26 10 4 12 34 50 42 +8 39.67 -5.67
8 Tromso 26 8 10 8 34 31 30 +1 34.62 -0.62
9 Odd Grenland 26 9 6 11 33 28 51 -23 32.36 +0.64
10 Hamarkameratene 26 8 7 11 31 31 37 -6 35.66 -4.66
11 Fredrikstad 26 8 7 11 31 35 44 -9 32.89 -1.89
12 Molde 26 8 6 12 30 40 46 -6 35.28 -5.28
13 Aalesund 26 6 9 11 27 30 42 -12 28.59 -1.59
14 Bodo Glimt Relegated 26 6 6 14 24 29 45 -16 31.79 -7.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Start 45 29.31 +15.69
2 Lyn Oslo 44 37.72 +6.28
3 Viking 41 38.02 +2.98
4 Valerenga 46 43.29 +2.71
5 Lillestrom 42 40.20 +1.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bodo Glimt 24 31.79 -7.79
2 Rosenborg 34 39.67 -5.67
3 Molde 30 35.28 -5.28
4 Hamarkameratene 31 35.66 -4.66
5 Brann 37 40.06 -3.06

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odd Grenland 5 Aug 7 – Sep 18 1 in 476
2 Tromso 5 Sep 18 – Oct 23 1 in 200
3 Viking 5 Jun 18 – Jul 31 1 in 119
4 Valerenga 5 Apr 17 – May 8 1 in 93
5 Aalesund 3 Sep 25 – Oct 15 1 in 77

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rosenborg 6 Aug 3 – Sep 17 1 in 469
2 Odd Grenland 5 May 5 – May 29 1 in 217
3 Molde 5 Jul 31 – Sep 10 1 in 71
4 Tromso 4 Jun 27 – Jul 31 1 in 62
5 Fredrikstad 4 Aug 29 – Sep 25 1 in 42

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Start 8 May 8 – Jul 3 1 in 149
2 Viking 9 May 16 – Jul 31 1 in 62
3 Tromso 6 Sep 18 – Oct 29 1 in 27
4 Valerenga 10 Jun 27 – Sep 18 1 in 23
5 Aalesund 5 Sep 18 – Oct 23 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tromso 11 May 16 – Aug 6 1 in 191
2 Bodo Glimt 10 May 8 – Jul 31 1 in 65
3 Valerenga 6 Sep 18 – Oct 29 1 in 48
4 Hamarkameratene 7 May 1 – Jun 12 1 in 26
5 Brann 5 Jul 23 – Aug 14 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Valerenga 1710 46 -36 2 8.1 -6.1
Start 1597 45 -6 4 6.9 -2.9
Lyn Oslo 1695 44 +18 10 7.9 +2.1
Lillestrom 1686 42 -8 5 8.9 -3.9
Viking 1668 41 -12 4 7.5 -3.5
Brann 1682 37 -11 5 7.2 -2.2
Rosenborg 1703 34 +55 13 7.5 +5.5
Tromso 1654 34 +25 13 6.0 +7.0
Odd Grenland 1581 33 -29 3 5.3 -2.3
Fredrikstad 1593 31 +1 8 6.6 +1.4
Hamarkameratene 1622 31 -4 6 6.1 -0.1
Molde 1631 30 +5 6 6.8 -0.8
Aalesund 1561 27 +21 10 4.9 +5.1
Bodo Glimt 1574 24 -18 4 6.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL BG BRA FRE HAM LIL LO MOL OG ROS STA TRO VAL VIK
Aalesund —
0-2-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.04
2-0-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
1.92
0-2-0
1.97
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
1.84
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
2.03
Bodo Glimt
0-2-0
3.12
—
2-0-0
2.16
0-0-2
2.79
1-0-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.24
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.15
0-1-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
2.36
Brann
1-1-0
3.48
0-0-2
3.33
—
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
3.10
0-2-0
3.52
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.45
0-2-0
3.03
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
2.92
Fredrikstad
0-0-2
3.19
2-0-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.44
—
0-2-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.16
1-1-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.41
Hamarkameratene
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.30
0-2-0
2.80
—
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.41
0-0-2
3.11
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.45
Lillestrom
1-0-1
3.59
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.03
—
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
3.22
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
3.63
0-1-1
3.06
1-1-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.75
Lyn Oslo
0-2-0
3.54
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.62
—
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
2.65
0-2-0
3.37
0-1-1
2.98
1-1-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.76
Molde
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.27
0-0-2
2.51
—
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
2.40
0-0-2
3.25
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.38
Odd Grenland
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.91
0-2-0
1.99
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.52
—
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.29
Rosenborg
0-1-1
3.68
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
3.29
2-0-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
3.09
2-0-0
3.12
—
1-0-1
3.49
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.84
Start
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.40
1-0-1
1.88
0-2-0
2.14
2-0-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.04
—
0-1-1
2.44
1-1-0
1.81
1-1-0
1.99
Tromso
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
2.98
0-2-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.36
1-1-0
3.03
—
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.61
Valerenga
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.17
0-1-1
3.09
0-1-1
3.06
2-0-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.63
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.72
1-1-0
3.21
—
0-1-1
3.12
Viking
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
3.09
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
3.51
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.37
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.27 +5.4
Allowed 0.57 -6.2
Differential 0.67 +4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.59%6.87%5.22%2.47%1.37%0.82%23.35%
16.87%15.38%9.34%3.85%1.65%0.82%37.91%
25.22%9.34%3.85%3.30%0.27%0.82%22.80%
32.47%3.85%3.30%———9.62%
41.37%1.65%0.27%——0.27%3.57%
5+0.82%0.82%0.82%—0.27%—2.75%
Total23.35%37.91%22.80%9.62%3.57%2.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.83
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
17.69%15.38%15.38%7.69%3.85%—50.00%
2—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
3———————
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+————3.85%—3.85%
Total19.23%30.77%26.92%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.62 -0.46
SD 1.19 1.20 1.45
CV 1.03 0.74 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%15.38%3.85%—3.85%34.62%
1—15.38%11.54%7.69%——34.62%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total11.54%34.62%34.62%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.73 -0.62
SD 1.18 1.25 1.92
CV 1.06 0.72 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%————23.08%
13.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
27.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total34.62%26.92%23.08%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.23 +0.42
SD 1.50 1.18 1.79
CV 0.90 0.96 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%—23.08%
13.85%23.08%15.38%—3.85%—46.15%
2—11.54%—3.85%——15.38%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total7.69%46.15%26.92%7.69%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.69 -0.35
SD 1.26 1.12 1.85
CV 0.94 0.66 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
13.85%19.23%7.69%———30.77%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%50.00%26.92%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.42 -0.23
SD 1.17 0.95 1.63
CV 0.98 0.66 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
111.54%15.38%3.85%7.69%——38.46%
215.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%34.62%
37.69%—3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%30.77%15.38%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.19 +0.23
SD 0.90 1.41 1.68
CV 0.63 1.19 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%—3.85%——26.92%
119.23%19.23%7.69%———46.15%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total38.46%46.15%11.54%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.81 +0.62
SD 1.63 0.80 1.83
CV 1.14 0.99 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
1—15.38%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%46.15%
23.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+———————
Total7.69%42.31%30.77%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.77 -0.23
SD 1.21 1.27 2.03
CV 0.78 0.72 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%7.69%34.62%
17.69%7.69%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
23.85%19.23%11.54%———34.62%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%30.77%3.85%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.96 -0.88
SD 0.93 1.64 2.20
CV 0.87 0.83 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
13.85%11.54%7.69%—7.69%3.85%34.62%
27.69%3.85%3.85%11.54%—3.85%30.77%
37.69%—————7.69%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total30.77%26.92%15.38%11.54%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.62 +0.31
SD 1.49 1.60 2.57
CV 0.78 0.99 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
17.69%23.08%—7.69%——38.46%
27.69%11.54%————19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%————3.85%7.69%
5+——7.69%———7.69%
Total23.08%42.31%19.23%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.35 +0.46
SD 1.47 1.20 1.82
CV 0.81 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%————15.38%
115.38%26.92%11.54%———53.85%
23.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%—26.92%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%46.15%15.38%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.15 +0.04
SD 0.75 1.05 1.00
CV 0.63 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
17.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
23.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
33.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%42.31%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.04 +0.50
SD 1.21 0.92 1.61
CV 0.78 0.88 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%3.85%———26.92%
13.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
23.85%19.23%—3.85%—3.85%30.77%
37.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%34.62%23.08%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.23 +0.19
SD 1.10 1.21 1.50
CV 0.77 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valerenga 1710 46 43.29 +2.71 71.0% 26 32 38 44 47 55 63
Rosenborg 1703 34 39.67 -5.67 19.0% 26 30 36 39 43 51 54
Lyn Oslo 1695 44 37.72 +6.28 80.0% 22 27 32 37 43 49 52
Lillestrom 1686 42 40.20 +1.80 67.0% 25 30 36 40 44 50 60
Brann 1682 37 40.06 -3.06 38.0% 22 31 36 40 45 50 51
Viking 1668 41 38.02 +2.98 72.0% 20 28 34 38 42 47 55
Tromso 1654 34 34.62 -0.62 46.0% 17 22 30 35 39 47 51
Molde 1641 30 35.28 -5.28 27.0% 20 25 30 36 39 47 50
Hamarkameratene 1622 31 35.66 -4.66 30.0% 22 27 31 35 41 46 49
Start 1597 45 29.31 +15.69 100.0% 13 18 25 30 34 40 44
Fredrikstad 1593 31 32.89 -1.89 38.0% 16 23 29 33 37 44 52
Odd Grenland 1581 33 32.36 +0.64 56.0% 15 23 28 32 37 42 47
Bodo Glimt 1574 24 31.79 -7.79 12.0% 22 23 27 31 36 41 44
Aalesund 1561 27 28.59 -1.59 46.0% 12 19 23 28 32 41 46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 14.5% * Slight Edge: 14.5% to 17.5% * Clear Edge: 17.5% to 23% * Strong Edge: 23% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.63%
Strong Edge
48.90%25.82%25.27%
Elo Value
Home Edge
195 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
083.67500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.54 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.43+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.9
Open
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
Valerenga, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.12 * Some Luck: 5.12 to 7.68 * Lucky: 7.68 to 10.23 * Wild Swing: 10.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.37 * Close: 2.37 to 3.55 * Off: 3.55 to 4.73 * Way Off: 4.73 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.76 points
Some Luck
06.4016
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.57
Close
02.966
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Start
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
12.00%
Bodo Glimt
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 2
Many Surprises
00.42

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61.5% * Slight Edge: 61.5% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82% * Clear Edge: 82% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 52.04
1.04
Coin-Flip Parity
0.91.351.551.752.5
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%61.5%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
70%
Even
50%75%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Rare
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.32 * Slight Separation: 0.32 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.38 * Lopsided: 0.38 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.28 * Some Carryover: 0.28 to 0.48 * Strong Carryover: 0.48 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23.5% * As Expected: 23.5% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 27.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 27.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 22% * Shaky Favorites: 22% to 25% * Very Shaky: 25% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Very Even
00.320.380.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.83
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.34
Some Carryover
00.280.481
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.05
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.12
Overconfident
01.002.14497
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.122
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1120.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Valerenga30.00%16.00%14.00%11.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%——
Start—1.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%22.00%
Lyn Oslo11.00%13.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%
Lillestrom17.00%9.00%8.00%16.00%11.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Viking9.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%1.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%
Brann14.00%16.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%—1.00%1.00%
Rosenborg9.00%14.00%13.00%6.00%13.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Tromso4.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%12.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%
Odd Grenland1.00%5.00%—2.00%10.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%17.00%13.00%13.00%6.00%
Hamarkameratene2.00%4.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%
Fredrikstad1.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%
Molde2.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%
Aalesund—2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%20.00%27.00%
Bodo Glimt—1.00%2.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%12.00%15.00%14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Brann 98.00% — 2.00%
Lillestrom 97.00% 1.00% 2.00%
Rosenborg 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Valerenga 97.00% 3.00% —
Viking 92.00% 4.00% 4.00%
Lyn Oslo 84.00% 8.00% 8.00%
Hamarkameratene 82.00% 10.00% 8.00%
Tromso 77.00% 7.00% 16.00%
Fredrikstad 73.00% 7.00% 20.00%
Odd Grenland 68.00% 13.00% 19.00%
Bodo Glimt 59.00% 12.00% 29.00%
Start 56.00% 10.00% 34.00%
Aalesund 40.00% 13.00% 47.00%
Molde — 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-04-10 Aalesund D 2-277.1 1689 1580 62.17% 21.18% 16.64%+0.99 -1.0 1
2005-04-10 @ Rosenborg D 2-277.1 1580 1689 16.64% 21.18% 62.17%-0.99 +1.0 1
2005-04-10 Bodo Glimt W 2-159.6 1653 1623 52.37% 24.95% 22.67%+0.58 +3.2 3
2005-04-10 @ Viking L 1-259.6 1623 1653 22.67% 24.95% 52.37%-0.58 -3.2 0
2005-04-10 Fredrikstad D 1-170.1 1646 1622 51.66% 25.17% 23.18%+0.56 -0.8 1
2005-04-10 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-170.1 1622 1646 23.18% 25.17% 51.66%-0.56 +0.8 1
2005-04-10 Lillestrom W 3-162.4 1517 1673 27.33% 26.48% 46.20%-0.37 +10.0 3
2005-04-10 @ Start L 1-362.4 1673 1517 46.20% 26.48% 27.33%+0.37 -10.0 0
2005-04-10 Tromso D 1-170.4 1658 1648 49.62% 25.72% 24.66%+0.48 -0.7 1
2005-04-10 @ Odd Grenland D 1-170.4 1648 1658 24.66% 25.72% 49.62%-0.48 +0.7 1
2005-04-10 Valerenga W 3-160.1 1651 1689 43.17% 26.96% 29.88%+0.23 +7.2 3
2005-04-10 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-360.1 1689 1651 29.88% 26.96% 43.17%-0.23 -7.2 0
2005-04-11 Molde W 2-051.9 1662 1648 50.17% 25.58% 24.25%+0.50 +6.9 3
2005-04-11 @ Brann L 0-251.9 1648 1662 24.25% 25.58% 50.17%-0.50 -6.9 0
2005-04-16 Odd Grenland W 2-163.4 1581 1657 37.76% 27.38% 34.86%+0.04 +4.7 4
2005-04-16 @ Aalesund L 1-263.4 1657 1581 34.86% 27.38% 37.76%-0.04 -4.7 1
2005-04-17 Brann W 2-161.2 1682 1669 50.10% 25.60% 24.30%+0.49 +3.5 3
2005-04-17 @ Valerenga L 1-261.2 1669 1682 24.30% 25.60% 50.10%-0.49 -3.5 3
2005-04-17 Hamarkameratene W 1-056.1 1649 1658 47.15% 26.29% 26.56%+0.38 +4.0 4
2005-04-17 @ Tromso L 0-156.1 1658 1649 26.56% 26.29% 47.15%-0.38 -4.0 3
2005-04-17 Lyn Oslo W 1-055.1 1663 1646 50.69% 25.44% 23.87%+0.52 +3.6 3
2005-04-17 @ Lillestrom L 0-155.1 1646 1663 23.87% 25.44% 50.69%-0.52 -3.6 1
2005-04-17 Rosenborg L 0-160.1 1620 1688 38.78% 27.34% 33.88%+0.08 -5.3 0
2005-04-17 @ Bodo Glimt W 1-060.1 1688 1620 33.88% 27.34% 38.78%-0.08 +5.3 4
2005-04-17 Start L 0-162.8 1641 1527 62.79% 20.90% 16.31%+1.02 -7.7 0
2005-04-17 @ Molde W 1-062.8 1527 1641 16.31% 20.90% 62.79%-1.02 +7.7 6
2005-04-18 Viking W 2-162.3 1622 1656 43.74% 26.88% 29.38%+0.26 +4.1 4
2005-04-18 @ Fredrikstad L 1-262.3 1656 1622 29.38% 26.88% 43.74%-0.26 -4.1 3
2005-04-24 Aalesund W 2-157.6 1654 1586 57.23% 23.28% 19.50%+0.78 +2.8 6
2005-04-24 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-257.6 1586 1654 19.50% 23.28% 57.23%-0.78 -2.8 4
2005-04-24 Bodo Glimt W 2-159.2 1652 1614 53.38% 24.64% 21.98%+0.62 +3.2 4
2005-04-24 @ Odd Grenland L 1-259.2 1614 1652 21.98% 24.64% 53.38%-0.62 -3.2 0
2005-04-24 Fredrikstad L 0-164.5 1694 1627 57.07% 23.33% 19.59%+0.77 -7.2 4
2005-04-24 @ Rosenborg W 1-064.5 1627 1694 19.59% 23.33% 57.07%-0.77 +7.2 7
2005-04-24 Lillestrom W 3-158.9 1652 1667 46.42% 26.43% 27.15%+0.35 +6.6 6
2005-04-24 @ Viking L 1-358.9 1667 1652 27.15% 26.43% 46.42%-0.35 -6.6 3
2005-04-24 Start D 1-169.4 1642 1534 61.95% 21.29% 16.77%+0.98 -1.3 2
2005-04-24 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-169.4 1534 1642 16.77% 21.29% 61.95%-0.98 +1.3 7
2005-04-24 Valerenga L 1-363.4 1634 1685 41.27% 27.17% 31.56%+0.17 -9.1 0
2005-04-24 @ Molde W 3-163.4 1685 1634 31.56% 27.17% 41.27%-0.17 +9.1 6
2005-04-25 Tromso D 0-066.1 1665 1653 50.01% 25.62% 24.37%+0.49 -0.8 4
2005-04-25 @ Brann D 0-066.1 1653 1665 24.37% 25.62% 50.01%-0.49 +0.8 5
2005-05-01 Hamarkameratene W 2-053.7 1611 1657 42.06% 27.09% 30.85%+0.19 +8.5 3
2005-05-01 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-253.7 1657 1611 30.85% 27.09% 42.06%-0.19 -8.5 6
2005-05-01 Molde W 6-152.4 1641 1625 50.52% 25.49% 23.99%+0.51 +13.3 5
2005-05-01 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-652.4 1625 1641 23.99% 25.49% 50.52%-0.51 -13.3 0
2005-05-01 Odd Grenland D 1-169.9 1634 1655 45.43% 26.61% 27.96%+0.32 -0.5 8
2005-05-01 @ Fredrikstad D 1-169.9 1655 1634 27.96% 26.61% 45.43%-0.32 +0.5 5
2005-05-01 Rosenborg D 1-170.6 1660 1687 44.74% 26.73% 28.53%+0.29 -0.5 4
2005-05-01 @ Lillestrom D 1-170.6 1687 1660 28.53% 26.73% 44.74%-0.29 +0.5 5
2005-05-01 Valerenga L 0-161.7 1654 1694 42.82% 27.00% 30.18%+0.22 -5.8 5
2005-05-01 @ Tromso W 1-061.7 1694 1654 30.18% 27.00% 42.82%-0.22 +5.8 9
2005-05-01 Viking W 5-261.6 1536 1659 31.28% 27.14% 41.58%-0.20 +11.3 10
2005-05-01 @ Start L 2-561.6 1659 1536 41.58% 27.14% 31.28%+0.20 -11.3 6
2005-05-02 Brann L 1-361.1 1583 1664 36.95% 27.40% 35.65%+0.01 -8.4 4
2005-05-02 @ Aalesund W 3-161.1 1664 1583 35.65% 27.40% 36.95%-0.01 +8.4 7
2005-05-05 Aalesund W 3-153.0 1700 1574 64.03% 20.32% 15.65%+1.07 +3.8 12
2005-05-05 @ Valerenga L 1-353.0 1574 1700 15.65% 20.32% 64.03%-1.07 -3.8 4
2005-05-05 Bodo Glimt L 2-374.6 1673 1620 55.33% 23.98% 20.69%+0.70 -6.3 7
2005-05-05 @ Brann W 3-274.6 1620 1673 20.69% 23.98% 55.33%-0.70 +6.3 6
2005-05-05 Fredrikstad D 1-170.2 1648 1633 50.39% 25.52% 24.09%+0.51 -0.7 7
2005-05-05 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-170.2 1633 1648 24.09% 25.52% 50.39%-0.51 +0.8 9
2005-05-05 Lillestrom L 0-259.2 1656 1660 47.88% 26.13% 25.99%+0.41 -11.8 5
2005-05-05 @ Odd Grenland W 2-059.2 1660 1656 25.99% 26.13% 47.88%-0.41 +11.8 7
2005-05-05 Lyn Oslo D 0-065.8 1648 1654 47.51% 26.21% 26.27%+0.40 -0.7 7
2005-05-05 @ Viking D 0-065.8 1654 1648 26.27% 26.21% 47.51%-0.40 +0.7 6
2005-05-05 Start W 3-044.1 1687 1547 65.67% 19.52% 14.81%+1.15 +6.0 8
2005-05-05 @ Rosenborg L 0-344.1 1547 1687 14.81% 19.52% 65.67%-1.15 -6.0 10
2005-05-05 Tromso W 2-162.1 1611 1648 43.33% 26.94% 29.74%+0.24 +4.1 3
2005-05-05 @ Molde L 1-262.1 1648 1611 29.74% 26.94% 43.33%-0.24 -4.1 5
2005-05-08 Hamarkameratene W 1-054.9 1671 1648 51.53% 25.20% 23.27%+0.55 +3.5 10
2005-05-08 @ Lillestrom L 0-154.9 1648 1671 23.27% 25.20% 51.53%-0.55 -3.5 7
2005-05-08 Molde L 2-373.6 1647 1615 52.54% 24.90% 22.56%+0.59 -6.0 7
2005-05-08 @ Viking W 3-273.6 1615 1647 22.56% 24.90% 52.54%-0.59 +6.0 6
2005-05-08 Odd Grenland W 4-052.4 1541 1644 33.93% 27.35% 38.73%-0.10 +19.1 13
2005-05-08 @ Start L 0-452.4 1644 1541 38.73% 27.35% 33.93%+0.10 -19.1 5
2005-05-08 Rosenborg W 3-268.5 1655 1693 43.09% 26.97% 29.94%+0.23 +3.9 9
2005-05-08 @ Lyn Oslo L 2-368.5 1693 1655 29.94% 26.97% 43.09%-0.23 -3.9 8
2005-05-08 Tromso L 0-158.4 1571 1644 38.14% 27.37% 34.49%+0.05 -5.3 4
2005-05-08 @ Aalesund W 1-058.4 1644 1571 34.49% 27.37% 38.14%-0.05 +5.3 8
2005-05-08 Valerenga L 0-160.0 1626 1704 37.49% 27.39% 35.13%+0.03 -5.2 6
2005-05-08 @ Bodo Glimt W 1-060.0 1704 1626 35.13% 27.39% 37.49%-0.03 +5.2 15
2005-05-09 Brann L 2-372.1 1634 1667 43.92% 26.85% 29.23%+0.26 -5.2 9
2005-05-09 @ Fredrikstad W 3-272.1 1667 1634 29.23% 26.85% 43.92%-0.26 +5.2 10
2005-05-16 Aalesund D 2-274.7 1621 1565 55.69% 23.85% 20.46%+0.72 -0.8 7
2005-05-16 @ Molde D 2-274.7 1565 1621 20.46% 23.85% 55.69%-0.72 +0.8 5
2005-05-16 Bodo Glimt D 2-275.9 1649 1621 52.16% 25.02% 22.82%+0.57 -0.6 9
2005-05-16 @ Tromso D 2-275.9 1621 1649 22.82% 25.02% 52.16%-0.57 +0.6 7
2005-05-16 Fredrikstad D 0-067.2 1709 1629 58.66% 22.70% 18.63%+0.84 -1.3 16
2005-05-16 @ Valerenga D 0-067.2 1629 1709 18.63% 22.70% 58.66%-0.84 +1.3 10
2005-05-16 Lillestrom W 6-256.5 1672 1675 47.95% 26.12% 25.93%+0.41 +9.9 13
2005-05-16 @ Brann L 2-656.5 1675 1672 25.93% 26.12% 47.95%-0.41 -9.9 10
2005-05-16 Lyn Oslo L 0-257.8 1625 1658 43.77% 26.87% 29.35%+0.26 -11.0 5
2005-05-16 @ Odd Grenland W 2-057.8 1658 1625 29.35% 26.87% 43.77%-0.26 +11.0 12
2005-05-16 Start L 0-259.6 1644 1560 59.13% 22.51% 18.36%+0.86 -14.0 7
2005-05-16 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-059.6 1560 1644 18.36% 22.51% 59.13%-0.86 +14.0 16
2005-05-16 Viking L 0-260.8 1689 1641 54.69% 24.20% 21.11%+0.68 -13.1 8
2005-05-16 @ Rosenborg W 2-060.8 1641 1689 21.11% 24.20% 54.69%-0.68 +13.1 10
2005-05-22 Aalesund D 0-064.4 1621 1566 55.57% 23.89% 20.54%+0.71 -1.1 8
2005-05-22 @ Bodo Glimt D 0-064.4 1566 1621 20.54% 23.89% 55.57%-0.71 +1.1 6
2005-05-22 Brann W 3-270.2 1574 1682 33.31% 27.31% 39.38%-0.12 +4.8 19
2005-05-22 @ Start L 2-370.2 1682 1574 39.38% 27.31% 33.31%+0.12 -4.8 13
2005-05-22 Hamarkameratene W 1-054.1 1670 1630 53.56% 24.58% 21.86%+0.63 +3.3 15
2005-05-22 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-154.1 1630 1670 21.86% 24.58% 53.56%-0.63 -3.3 7
2005-05-22 Molde D 1-170.9 1676 1621 55.58% 23.89% 20.53%+0.71 -1.0 9
2005-05-22 @ Rosenborg D 1-170.9 1621 1676 20.53% 23.89% 55.58%-0.71 +1.0 8
2005-05-22 Odd Grenland W 1-053.6 1654 1614 53.64% 24.55% 21.80%+0.63 +3.3 13
2005-05-22 @ Viking L 0-153.6 1614 1654 21.80% 24.55% 53.64%-0.63 -3.3 5
2005-05-22 Valerenga W 2-163.7 1665 1708 42.51% 27.04% 30.45%+0.21 +4.2 13
2005-05-22 @ Lillestrom L 1-263.7 1708 1665 30.45% 27.04% 42.51%-0.21 -4.2 16
2005-05-23 Tromso W 4-262.6 1630 1649 45.86% 26.54% 27.60%+0.33 +6.0 13
2005-05-23 @ Fredrikstad L 2-462.6 1649 1630 27.60% 26.54% 45.86%-0.33 -6.0 9
2005-05-29 Bodo Glimt D 1-169.4 1622 1620 48.59% 25.97% 25.44%+0.44 -0.7 9
2005-05-29 @ Molde D 1-169.4 1620 1622 25.44% 25.97% 48.59%-0.44 +0.7 9
2005-05-29 Fredrikstad W 1-056.9 1567 1636 38.78% 27.34% 33.88%+0.08 +4.8 9
2005-05-29 @ Aalesund L 0-156.9 1636 1567 33.88% 27.34% 38.78%-0.08 -4.8 13
2005-05-29 Lillestrom D 1-170.2 1643 1669 44.73% 26.73% 28.54%+0.29 -0.4 10
2005-05-29 @ Tromso D 1-170.2 1669 1643 28.54% 26.73% 44.73%-0.29 +0.5 14
2005-05-29 Lyn Oslo W 3-050.8 1677 1673 48.90% 25.90% 25.20%+0.45 +10.4 16
2005-05-29 @ Brann L 0-350.8 1673 1677 25.20% 25.90% 48.90%-0.45 -10.4 15
2005-05-29 Rosenborg L 0-555.1 1611 1675 39.43% 27.31% 33.26%+0.10 -23.8 5
2005-05-29 @ Odd Grenland W 5-055.1 1675 1611 33.26% 27.31% 39.43%-0.10 +23.8 12
2005-05-29 Viking D 0-065.3 1627 1657 44.20% 26.81% 28.99%+0.27 -0.5 8
2005-05-29 @ Hamarkameratene D 0-065.3 1657 1627 28.99% 26.81% 44.20%-0.27 +0.5 14
2005-05-30 Start D 1-171.7 1703 1579 63.92% 20.37% 15.71%+1.07 -1.4 17
2005-05-30 @ Valerenga D 1-171.7 1579 1703 15.71% 20.37% 63.92%-1.07 +1.4 20
2005-06-12 Aalesund W 3-045.7 1670 1572 60.77% 21.81% 17.42%+0.93 +7.2 17
2005-06-12 @ Lillestrom L 0-345.7 1572 1670 17.42% 21.81% 60.77%-0.93 -7.2 9
2005-06-12 Bodo Glimt W 3-265.2 1631 1621 49.78% 25.68% 24.54%+0.48 +3.3 16
2005-06-12 @ Fredrikstad L 2-365.2 1621 1631 24.54% 25.68% 49.78%-0.48 -3.3 9
2005-06-12 Hamarkameratene W 4-047.6 1699 1626 57.71% 23.08% 19.20%+0.80 +10.4 15
2005-06-12 @ Rosenborg L 0-447.6 1626 1699 19.20% 23.08% 57.71%-0.80 -10.4 8
2005-06-12 Molde W 2-161.0 1587 1621 43.67% 26.89% 29.44%+0.25 +4.1 8
2005-06-12 @ Odd Grenland L 1-261.0 1621 1587 29.44% 26.89% 43.67%-0.25 -4.1 9
2005-06-12 Tromso D 1-168.6 1580 1642 39.78% 27.29% 32.93%+0.11 -0.2 21
2005-06-12 @ Start D 1-168.6 1642 1580 32.93% 27.29% 39.78%-0.11 +0.2 11
2005-06-12 Valerenga D 1-170.7 1662 1702 42.93% 26.99% 30.08%+0.23 -0.4 16
2005-06-12 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-170.7 1702 1662 30.08% 26.99% 42.93%-0.23 +0.4 18
2005-06-13 Brann D 0-066.1 1658 1687 44.35% 26.79% 28.86%+0.28 -0.5 15
2005-06-13 @ Viking D 0-066.1 1687 1658 28.86% 26.79% 44.35%-0.28 +0.5 17
2005-06-18 Viking L 1-269.9 1702 1657 54.29% 24.34% 21.37%+0.66 -6.5 18
2005-06-18 @ Valerenga W 2-169.9 1657 1702 21.37% 24.34% 54.29%-0.66 +6.5 18
2005-06-19 Fredrikstad W 2-161.2 1617 1635 45.98% 26.52% 27.50%+0.34 +3.9 12
2005-06-19 @ Molde L 1-261.2 1635 1617 27.50% 26.52% 45.98%-0.34 -3.9 16
2005-06-19 Lillestrom D 1-169.8 1617 1677 40.13% 27.26% 32.61%+0.12 -0.2 10
2005-06-19 @ Bodo Glimt D 1-169.8 1677 1617 32.61% 27.26% 40.13%-0.12 +0.2 18
2005-06-19 Lyn Oslo D 0-065.7 1642 1662 45.68% 26.57% 27.75%+0.33 -0.5 12
2005-06-19 @ Tromso D 0-065.7 1662 1642 27.75% 26.57% 45.68%-0.33 +0.6 17
2005-06-19 Odd Grenland W 2-158.6 1616 1591 51.70% 25.15% 23.14%+0.56 +3.3 11
2005-06-19 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-258.6 1591 1616 23.14% 25.15% 51.70%-0.56 -3.3 8
2005-06-19 Rosenborg W 4-157.4 1688 1709 45.44% 26.61% 27.94%+0.32 +9.6 20
2005-06-19 @ Brann L 1-457.4 1709 1688 27.94% 26.61% 45.44%-0.32 -9.6 15
2005-06-19 Start L 1-264.4 1565 1580 46.31% 26.46% 27.24%+0.35 -5.8 9
2005-06-19 @ Aalesund W 2-164.4 1580 1565 27.24% 26.46% 46.31%-0.35 +5.8 24
2005-06-26 Aalesund D 0-065.9 1663 1559 61.47% 21.50% 17.03%+0.96 -1.5 18
2005-06-26 @ Lyn Oslo D 0-065.9 1559 1663 17.03% 21.50% 61.47%-0.96 +1.5 10
2005-06-26 Bodo Glimt W 2-051.9 1586 1617 44.07% 26.83% 29.09%+0.27 +8.1 27
2005-06-26 @ Start L 0-251.9 1617 1586 29.09% 26.83% 44.07%-0.27 -8.1 10
2005-06-26 Brann D 0-065.2 1588 1697 33.03% 27.29% 39.68%-0.13 +0.2 9
2005-06-26 @ Odd Grenland D 0-065.2 1697 1588 39.68% 27.29% 33.03%+0.13 -0.2 21
2005-06-26 Fredrikstad W 3-048.6 1677 1631 54.45% 24.28% 21.27%+0.67 +8.9 21
2005-06-26 @ Lillestrom L 0-348.6 1631 1677 21.27% 24.28% 54.45%-0.67 -8.9 16
2005-06-26 Molde W 4-154.7 1619 1621 48.16% 26.07% 25.77%+0.42 +8.9 14
2005-06-26 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-454.7 1621 1619 25.77% 26.07% 48.16%-0.42 -8.9 12
2005-06-27 Tromso W 3-265.6 1664 1642 51.31% 25.27% 23.43%+0.54 +3.2 21
2005-06-27 @ Viking L 2-365.6 1642 1664 23.43% 25.27% 51.31%-0.54 -3.2 12
2005-06-27 Valerenga L 2-374.3 1700 1696 48.88% 25.90% 25.22%+0.45 -5.7 15
2005-06-27 @ Rosenborg W 3-274.3 1696 1700 25.22% 25.90% 48.88%-0.45 +5.7 21
2005-07-03 Hamarkameratene W 2-049.9 1697 1628 57.28% 23.25% 19.47%+0.78 +5.6 24
2005-07-03 @ Brann L 0-249.9 1628 1697 19.47% 23.25% 57.28%-0.78 -5.6 14
2005-07-03 Lillestrom W 2-055.4 1612 1686 38.04% 27.37% 34.59%+0.05 +9.3 15
2005-07-03 @ Molde L 0-255.4 1686 1612 34.59% 27.37% 38.04%-0.05 -9.3 21
2005-07-03 Lyn Oslo L 1-362.7 1609 1661 41.18% 27.18% 31.65%+0.16 -9.1 10
2005-07-03 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-162.7 1661 1609 31.65% 27.18% 41.18%-0.16 +9.1 21
2005-07-03 Rosenborg L 1-266.4 1639 1694 40.71% 27.22% 32.07%+0.15 -5.2 12
2005-07-03 @ Tromso W 2-166.4 1694 1639 32.07% 27.22% 40.71%-0.15 +5.2 18
2005-07-03 Start L 1-267.4 1622 1594 52.07% 25.04% 22.88%+0.57 -6.3 16
2005-07-03 @ Fredrikstad W 2-167.4 1594 1622 22.88% 25.04% 52.07%-0.57 +6.3 30
2005-07-03 Viking L 1-262.7 1561 1667 33.47% 27.32% 39.21%-0.12 -4.5 10
2005-07-03 @ Aalesund W 2-162.7 1667 1561 39.21% 27.32% 33.47%+0.12 +4.5 24
2005-07-04 Odd Grenland W 3-045.9 1702 1588 62.67% 20.95% 16.37%+1.01 +6.7 24
2005-07-04 @ Valerenga L 0-345.9 1588 1702 16.37% 20.95% 62.67%-1.01 -6.7 9
2005-07-23 Brann W 3-161.8 1621 1703 36.97% 27.40% 35.63%+0.01 +8.2 18
2005-07-23 @ Molde L 1-361.8 1703 1621 35.63% 27.40% 36.97%-0.01 -8.2 24
2005-07-23 Hamarkameratene W 2-158.2 1708 1623 59.33% 22.43% 18.24%+0.87 +2.6 27
2005-07-23 @ Valerenga L 1-258.2 1623 1708 18.24% 22.43% 59.33%-0.87 -2.6 14
2005-07-24 Lyn Oslo W 2-163.3 1616 1670 40.79% 27.21% 32.00%+0.15 +4.4 19
2005-07-24 @ Fredrikstad L 1-263.3 1670 1616 32.00% 27.21% 40.79%-0.15 -4.4 21
2005-07-24 Odd Grenland L 0-162.5 1633 1581 55.21% 24.02% 20.77%+0.70 -7.0 12
2005-07-24 @ Tromso W 1-062.5 1581 1633 20.77% 24.02% 55.21%-0.70 +7.0 12
2005-07-24 Rosenborg W 2-166.4 1556 1699 28.84% 26.79% 44.38%-0.30 +5.6 13
2005-07-24 @ Aalesund L 1-266.4 1699 1556 44.38% 26.79% 28.84%+0.30 -5.6 18
2005-07-24 Viking L 0-354.2 1600 1672 38.41% 27.36% 34.23%+0.06 -14.5 10
2005-07-24 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-054.2 1672 1600 34.23% 27.36% 38.41%-0.06 +14.5 27
2005-07-25 Start W 2-049.0 1677 1600 58.20% 22.89% 18.91%+0.82 +5.4 24
2005-07-25 @ Lillestrom L 0-249.0 1600 1677 18.91% 22.89% 58.20%-0.82 -5.4 30
2005-07-30 Lillestrom W 1-056.9 1666 1682 46.18% 26.48% 27.34%+0.35 +4.1 24
2005-07-30 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-156.9 1682 1666 27.34% 26.48% 46.18%-0.35 -4.1 24
2005-07-30 Valerenga L 1-268.5 1694 1711 46.15% 26.49% 27.37%+0.34 -5.8 24
2005-07-30 @ Brann W 2-168.5 1711 1694 27.37% 26.49% 46.15%-0.34 +5.8 30
2005-07-31 Aalesund W 2-157.1 1588 1562 51.88% 25.10% 23.02%+0.56 +3.3 15
2005-07-31 @ Odd Grenland L 1-257.1 1562 1588 23.02% 25.10% 51.88%-0.56 -3.3 13
2005-07-31 Bodo Glimt W 2-047.9 1694 1585 62.00% 21.26% 16.74%+0.98 +4.7 21
2005-07-31 @ Rosenborg L 0-247.9 1585 1694 16.74% 21.26% 62.00%-0.98 -4.7 10
2005-07-31 Fredrikstad W 2-158.7 1686 1620 56.94% 23.39% 19.68%+0.77 +2.8 30
2005-07-31 @ Viking L 1-258.7 1620 1686 19.68% 23.39% 56.94%-0.77 -2.8 19
2005-07-31 Molde W 1-055.8 1595 1629 43.64% 26.89% 29.46%+0.25 +4.3 33
2005-07-31 @ Start L 0-155.8 1629 1595 29.46% 26.89% 43.64%-0.25 -4.3 18
2005-07-31 Tromso W 3-265.8 1620 1626 47.52% 26.21% 26.27%+0.40 +3.5 17
2005-07-31 @ Hamarkameratene L 2-365.8 1626 1620 26.27% 26.21% 47.52%-0.40 -3.5 12
2005-08-03 Brann D 1-170.0 1623 1689 39.21% 27.32% 33.47%+0.09 -0.1 13
2005-08-03 @ Tromso D 1-170.0 1689 1623 33.47% 27.32% 39.21%-0.09 +0.1 25
2005-08-03 Hamarkameratene D 1-167.7 1558 1624 39.31% 27.32% 33.38%+0.09 -0.2 14
2005-08-03 @ Aalesund D 1-167.7 1624 1558 33.38% 27.32% 39.31%-0.09 +0.2 18
2005-08-03 Lyn Oslo D 1-169.4 1599 1670 38.50% 27.35% 34.15%+0.07 -0.1 34
2005-08-03 @ Start D 1-169.4 1670 1599 34.15% 27.35% 38.50%-0.07 +0.1 25
2005-08-03 Odd Grenland W 5-152.2 1581 1591 46.94% 26.33% 26.73%+0.37 +11.9 13
2005-08-03 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-552.2 1591 1581 26.73% 26.33% 46.94%-0.37 -11.9 15
2005-08-03 Rosenborg W 5-157.8 1617 1698 37.01% 27.40% 35.59%+0.01 +15.0 22
2005-08-03 @ Fredrikstad L 1-557.8 1698 1617 35.59% 27.40% 37.01%-0.01 -15.0 21
2005-08-03 Viking W 2-053.4 1678 1689 46.91% 26.34% 26.76%+0.37 +7.5 27
2005-08-03 @ Lillestrom L 0-253.4 1689 1678 26.76% 26.34% 46.91%-0.37 -7.5 30
2005-08-06 Tromso D 1-171.9 1717 1623 60.32% 22.01% 17.67%+0.91 -1.3 31
2005-08-06 @ Valerenga D 1-171.9 1623 1717 17.67% 22.01% 60.32%-0.91 +1.2 14
2005-08-07 Aalesund D 0-066.8 1689 1558 64.61% 20.04% 15.35%+1.10 -1.6 26
2005-08-07 @ Brann D 0-066.8 1558 1689 15.35% 20.04% 64.61%-1.10 +1.6 15
2005-08-07 Bodo Glimt W 2-049.7 1624 1593 52.47% 24.92% 22.60%+0.59 +6.5 21
2005-08-07 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-249.7 1593 1624 22.60% 24.92% 52.47%-0.59 -6.5 13
2005-08-07 Fredrikstad W 2-161.9 1579 1632 41.10% 27.18% 31.72%+0.16 +4.3 18
2005-08-07 @ Odd Grenland L 1-261.9 1632 1579 31.72% 27.18% 41.10%-0.16 -4.3 22
2005-08-07 Lillestrom L 1-268.7 1683 1686 48.07% 26.09% 25.84%+0.42 -5.9 21
2005-08-07 @ Rosenborg W 2-168.7 1686 1683 25.84% 26.09% 48.07%-0.42 +5.9 30
2005-08-07 Lyn Oslo L 1-363.3 1625 1670 42.15% 27.08% 30.77%+0.20 -9.3 18
2005-08-07 @ Molde W 3-163.3 1670 1625 30.77% 27.08% 42.15%-0.20 +9.3 28
2005-08-08 Start D 1-171.0 1681 1599 58.91% 22.60% 18.49%+0.85 -1.2 31
2005-08-08 @ Viking D 1-171.0 1599 1681 18.49% 22.60% 58.91%-0.85 +1.2 35
2005-08-13 Hamarkameratene D 1-169.6 1628 1630 48.04% 26.10% 25.86%+0.42 -0.6 23
2005-08-13 @ Fredrikstad D 1-169.6 1630 1628 25.86% 26.10% 48.04%-0.42 +0.6 22
2005-08-13 Odd Grenland L 2-375.5 1691 1584 61.96% 21.28% 16.76%+0.98 -6.9 30
2005-08-13 @ Lillestrom W 3-275.5 1584 1691 16.76% 21.28% 61.96%-0.98 +6.8 21
2005-08-13 Rosenborg W 5-261.3 1600 1677 37.60% 27.38% 35.02%+0.03 +9.9 38
2005-08-13 @ Start L 2-561.3 1677 1600 35.02% 27.38% 37.60%-0.03 -9.9 21
2005-08-13 Valerenga L 0-252.6 1560 1715 27.41% 26.50% 46.10%-0.37 -7.7 15
2005-08-13 @ Aalesund W 2-052.6 1715 1560 46.10% 26.50% 27.41%+0.37 +7.7 34
2005-08-14 Brann W 2-165.0 1586 1687 34.21% 27.36% 38.43%-0.09 +5.0 16
2005-08-14 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-265.0 1687 1586 38.43% 27.36% 34.21%+0.09 -5.0 26
2005-08-14 Molde W 2-159.9 1624 1616 49.47% 25.76% 24.77%+0.47 +3.5 17
2005-08-14 @ Tromso L 1-259.9 1616 1624 24.77% 25.76% 49.47%-0.47 -3.5 18
2005-08-14 Viking W 2-161.8 1679 1680 48.28% 26.04% 25.67%+0.43 +3.6 31
2005-08-14 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-261.8 1680 1679 25.67% 26.04% 48.28%-0.43 -3.6 31
2005-08-28 Aalesund D 1-169.0 1627 1552 58.08% 22.94% 18.98%+0.81 -1.1 18
2005-08-28 @ Tromso D 1-169.0 1552 1627 18.98% 22.94% 58.08%-0.81 +1.1 16
2005-08-28 Bodo Glimt W 3-153.4 1723 1591 64.74% 19.97% 15.29%+1.10 +3.7 37
2005-08-28 @ Valerenga L 1-353.4 1591 1723 15.29% 19.97% 64.74%-1.10 -3.7 16
2005-08-28 Lillestrom L 2-371.5 1631 1685 40.92% 27.20% 31.88%+0.15 -5.0 22
2005-08-28 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-271.5 1685 1631 31.88% 27.20% 40.92%-0.15 +5.0 33
2005-08-28 Lyn Oslo L 0-162.5 1667 1683 46.26% 26.47% 27.28%+0.35 -6.1 21
2005-08-28 @ Rosenborg W 1-062.5 1683 1667 27.28% 26.47% 46.26%-0.35 +6.1 34
2005-08-28 Start W 2-051.4 1591 1610 45.71% 26.56% 27.72%+0.33 +7.8 24
2005-08-28 @ Odd Grenland L 0-251.4 1610 1591 27.72% 26.56% 45.71%-0.33 -7.8 38
2005-08-28 Viking L 1-265.5 1612 1676 39.44% 27.31% 33.26%+0.10 -5.1 18
2005-08-28 @ Molde W 2-165.5 1676 1612 33.26% 27.31% 39.44%-0.10 +5.1 34
2005-08-29 Fredrikstad W 4-048.1 1682 1627 55.56% 23.90% 20.54%+0.71 +11.2 29
2005-08-29 @ Brann L 0-448.1 1627 1682 20.54% 23.90% 55.56%-0.71 -11.2 23
2005-09-10 Molde W 3-154.0 1727 1607 63.35% 20.64% 16.01%+1.04 +3.9 40
2005-09-10 @ Valerenga L 1-354.0 1607 1727 16.01% 20.64% 63.35%-1.04 -3.9 18
2005-09-10 Rosenborg W 3-266.1 1682 1661 51.06% 25.34% 23.60%+0.53 +3.2 37
2005-09-10 @ Viking L 2-366.1 1661 1682 23.60% 25.34% 51.06%-0.53 -3.2 21
2005-09-11 Brann W 1-056.7 1690 1693 47.86% 26.14% 26.00%+0.41 +3.9 36
2005-09-11 @ Lillestrom L 0-156.7 1693 1690 26.00% 26.14% 47.86%-0.41 -3.9 29
2005-09-11 Hamarkameratene W 2-161.0 1602 1626 45.18% 26.66% 28.16%+0.31 +3.9 41
2005-09-11 @ Start L 1-261.0 1626 1602 28.16% 26.66% 45.18%-0.31 -3.9 22
2005-09-11 Odd Grenland L 1-270.1 1689 1598 59.95% 22.17% 17.88%+0.89 -7.0 34
2005-09-11 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-170.1 1598 1689 17.88% 22.17% 59.95%-0.89 +7.1 27
2005-09-11 Tromso W 2-161.3 1588 1626 43.05% 26.97% 29.98%+0.23 +4.2 19
2005-09-11 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-261.3 1626 1588 29.98% 26.97% 43.05%-0.23 -4.1 18
2005-09-13 Molde L 1-457.9 1553 1603 41.47% 27.15% 31.38%+0.17 -13.0 16
2005-09-13 @ Aalesund W 4-157.9 1603 1553 31.38% 27.15% 41.47%-0.17 +13.0 21
2005-09-13 Valerenga L 0-453.0 1616 1731 32.37% 27.24% 40.39%-0.16 -16.7 23
2005-09-13 @ Fredrikstad W 4-053.0 1731 1616 40.39% 27.24% 32.37%+0.16 +16.7 43
2005-09-17 Rosenborg W 4-157.0 1616 1658 42.59% 27.03% 30.38%+0.21 +10.3 24
2005-09-17 @ Molde L 1-457.0 1658 1616 30.38% 27.03% 42.59%-0.21 -10.3 21
2005-09-18 Bodo Glimt D 1-166.4 1540 1592 41.26% 27.17% 31.57%+0.16 -0.3 17
2005-09-18 @ Aalesund D 1-166.4 1592 1540 31.57% 27.17% 41.26%-0.16 +0.3 20
2005-09-18 Fredrikstad W 2-050.1 1622 1599 51.43% 25.23% 23.34%+0.55 +6.7 21
2005-09-18 @ Tromso L 0-250.1 1599 1622 23.34% 25.23% 51.43%-0.55 -6.7 23
2005-09-18 Lillestrom D 0-067.6 1747 1694 55.40% 23.96% 20.65%+0.70 -1.1 44
2005-09-18 @ Valerenga D 0-067.6 1694 1747 20.65% 23.96% 55.40%-0.70 +1.1 37
2005-09-18 Lyn Oslo W 1-058.2 1622 1682 40.01% 27.27% 32.72%+0.12 +4.7 25
2005-09-18 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-158.2 1682 1622 32.72% 27.27% 40.01%-0.12 -4.7 34
2005-09-18 Viking W 1-058.9 1605 1685 37.28% 27.39% 35.33%+0.02 +5.0 30
2005-09-18 @ Odd Grenland L 0-158.9 1685 1605 35.33% 27.39% 37.28%-0.02 -5.0 37
2005-09-19 Start W 1-052.4 1690 1606 59.03% 22.55% 18.42%+0.85 +2.8 32
2005-09-19 @ Brann L 0-152.4 1606 1690 18.42% 22.55% 59.03%-0.85 -2.8 41
2005-09-24 Tromso L 1-270.1 1695 1629 56.89% 23.40% 19.70%+0.77 -6.8 37
2005-09-24 @ Lillestrom W 2-170.1 1629 1695 19.70% 23.40% 56.89%-0.77 +6.8 24
2005-09-25 Aalesund L 1-460.4 1592 1540 55.23% 24.01% 20.76%+0.70 -16.2 23
2005-09-25 @ Fredrikstad W 4-160.4 1540 1592 20.76% 24.01% 55.23%-0.70 +16.2 20
2005-09-25 Brann W 1-057.0 1677 1692 46.36% 26.45% 27.20%+0.35 +4.1 37
2005-09-25 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-157.0 1692 1677 27.20% 26.45% 46.36%-0.35 -4.1 32
2005-09-25 Hamarkameratene L 1-366.5 1680 1627 55.32% 23.98% 20.70%+0.70 -11.5 37
2005-09-25 @ Viking W 3-166.5 1627 1680 20.70% 23.98% 55.32%-0.70 +11.5 28
2005-09-25 Odd Grenland W 6-049.6 1648 1610 53.31% 24.66% 22.03%+0.62 +17.5 24
2005-09-25 @ Rosenborg L 0-649.6 1610 1648 22.03% 24.66% 53.31%-0.62 -17.6 30
2005-09-25 Valerenga W 3-056.8 1604 1746 28.89% 26.80% 44.32%-0.30 +16.2 44
2005-09-25 @ Start L 0-356.8 1746 1604 44.32% 26.80% 28.89%+0.30 -16.2 44
2005-09-26 Molde W 2-052.4 1592 1626 43.64% 26.89% 29.46%+0.25 +8.2 23
2005-09-26 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-252.4 1626 1592 29.46% 26.89% 43.64%-0.25 -8.2 24
2005-10-02 Fredrikstad L 1-266.4 1600 1576 51.54% 25.20% 23.26%+0.55 -6.3 23
2005-10-02 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-166.4 1576 1600 23.26% 25.20% 51.54%-0.55 +6.3 26
2005-10-02 Lillestrom W 1-060.3 1556 1688 30.21% 27.01% 42.78%-0.25 +5.8 23
2005-10-02 @ Aalesund L 0-160.3 1688 1556 42.78% 27.01% 30.21%+0.25 -5.8 37
2005-10-02 Lyn Oslo L 0-164.9 1730 1681 54.73% 24.19% 21.08%+0.68 -7.0 44
2005-10-02 @ Valerenga W 1-064.9 1681 1730 21.08% 24.19% 54.73%-0.68 +7.0 40
2005-10-02 Odd Grenland W 4-047.6 1618 1593 51.74% 25.14% 23.12%+0.56 +12.5 27
2005-10-02 @ Molde L 0-447.6 1593 1618 23.12% 25.14% 51.74%-0.56 -12.5 30
2005-10-02 Rosenborg L 0-356.3 1638 1665 44.63% 26.75% 28.62%+0.29 -16.3 28
2005-10-02 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-056.3 1665 1638 28.62% 26.75% 44.63%-0.29 +16.3 27
2005-10-02 Start W 3-156.8 1636 1620 50.49% 25.49% 24.01%+0.51 +5.9 27
2005-10-02 @ Tromso L 1-356.8 1620 1636 24.01% 25.49% 50.49%-0.51 -5.9 44
2005-10-03 Viking W 2-161.0 1688 1668 51.03% 25.35% 23.63%+0.53 +3.4 35
2005-10-03 @ Brann L 1-261.0 1668 1688 23.63% 25.35% 51.03%-0.53 -3.4 37
2005-10-15 Aalesund L 4-576.1 1614 1562 55.14% 24.04% 20.81%+0.69 -6.0 44
2005-10-15 @ Start W 5-476.1 1562 1614 20.81% 24.04% 55.14%-0.69 +6.0 26
2005-10-16 Brann W 4-156.7 1682 1692 47.04% 26.31% 26.65%+0.38 +9.2 30
2005-10-16 @ Rosenborg L 1-456.7 1692 1682 26.65% 26.31% 47.04%-0.38 -9.2 35
2005-10-16 Hamarkameratene D 2-274.1 1580 1622 42.67% 27.02% 30.31%+0.22 -0.2 31
2005-10-16 @ Odd Grenland D 2-274.1 1622 1580 30.31% 27.02% 42.67%-0.22 +0.2 29
2005-10-16 Molde D 1-168.5 1583 1631 41.71% 27.13% 31.16%+0.18 -0.3 27
2005-10-16 @ Fredrikstad D 1-168.5 1631 1583 31.16% 27.13% 41.71%-0.18 +0.3 28
2005-10-16 Tromso L 0-164.2 1688 1642 54.52% 24.26% 21.22%+0.67 -7.0 40
2005-10-16 @ Lyn Oslo W 1-064.2 1642 1688 21.22% 24.26% 54.52%-0.67 +6.9 30
2005-10-16 Valerenga D 0-066.3 1665 1723 40.31% 27.25% 32.44%+0.13 -0.2 38
2005-10-16 @ Viking D 0-066.3 1723 1665 32.44% 27.25% 40.31%-0.13 +0.2 45
2005-10-17 Bodo Glimt W 2-048.6 1682 1594 59.64% 22.30% 18.06%+0.88 +5.2 40
2005-10-17 @ Lillestrom L 0-248.6 1594 1682 18.06% 22.30% 59.64%-0.88 -5.1 23
2005-10-23 Hamarkameratene D 1-169.6 1631 1622 49.59% 25.73% 24.68%+0.47 -0.7 29
2005-10-23 @ Molde D 1-169.6 1622 1631 24.68% 25.73% 49.59%-0.47 +0.7 30
2005-10-23 Lillestrom D 1-169.4 1582 1687 33.67% 27.33% 39.00%-0.11 +0.1 28
2005-10-23 @ Fredrikstad D 1-169.4 1687 1582 39.00% 27.33% 33.67%+0.11 -0.1 41
2005-10-23 Lyn Oslo D 1-169.1 1568 1682 32.53% 27.26% 40.22%-0.15 +0.2 27
2005-10-23 @ Aalesund D 1-169.1 1682 1568 40.22% 27.26% 32.53%+0.15 -0.2 41
2005-10-23 Odd Grenland D 2-276.9 1682 1580 61.32% 21.57% 17.11%+0.95 -1.0 36
2005-10-23 @ Brann D 2-276.9 1580 1682 17.11% 21.57% 61.32%-0.95 +1.0 32
2005-10-23 Rosenborg L 0-261.1 1723 1691 52.65% 24.87% 22.48%+0.59 -12.8 45
2005-10-23 @ Valerenga W 2-061.1 1691 1723 22.48% 24.87% 52.65%-0.59 +12.7 33
2005-10-23 Start D 1-168.3 1589 1608 45.78% 26.55% 27.66%+0.33 -0.5 24
2005-10-23 @ Bodo Glimt D 1-168.3 1608 1589 27.66% 26.55% 45.78%-0.33 +0.5 45
2005-10-23 Viking W 1-056.5 1648 1665 46.17% 26.48% 27.35%+0.35 +4.1 33
2005-10-23 @ Tromso L 0-156.5 1665 1648 27.35% 26.48% 46.17%-0.35 -4.1 38
2005-10-29 Aalesund W 3-045.7 1661 1568 60.15% 22.08% 17.77%+0.90 +7.3 41
2005-10-29 @ Viking L 0-345.7 1568 1661 17.77% 22.08% 60.15%-0.90 -7.3 27
2005-10-29 Bodo Glimt W 6-047.7 1681 1588 60.22% 22.05% 17.73%+0.91 +14.0 44
2005-10-29 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-647.7 1588 1681 17.73% 22.05% 60.22%-0.91 -14.0 24
2005-10-29 Brann D 1-169.9 1623 1681 40.23% 27.26% 32.51%+0.13 -0.2 31
2005-10-29 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-169.9 1681 1623 32.51% 27.26% 40.23%-0.13 +0.2 37
2005-10-29 Fredrikstad L 1-363.7 1608 1582 51.80% 25.13% 23.07%+0.56 -10.9 45
2005-10-29 @ Start W 3-163.7 1582 1608 23.07% 25.13% 51.80%-0.56 +10.9 31
2005-10-29 Molde D 2-276.9 1687 1630 55.76% 23.82% 20.42%+0.72 -0.8 42
2005-10-29 @ Lillestrom D 2-276.9 1630 1687 20.42% 23.82% 55.76%-0.72 +0.8 30
2005-10-29 Tromso D 1-171.5 1704 1653 55.05% 24.08% 20.87%+0.69 -1.0 34
2005-10-29 @ Rosenborg D 1-171.5 1653 1704 20.87% 24.08% 55.05%-0.69 +1.0 34
2005-10-29 Valerenga D 2-275.7 1581 1711 30.48% 27.04% 42.48%-0.23 +0.2 33
2005-10-29 @ Odd Grenland D 2-275.7 1711 1581 42.48% 27.04% 30.48%+0.23 -0.2 46

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2005-11-13 Molde L 2-3 1540 1631 35.58% 27.39% 37.03%-0.04 -4.5 0-1
2005-11-13 @ Moss W 3-2 1631 1540 37.03% 27.39% 35.58%+0.04 +4.5 1-0
2005-11-19 Moss W 2-0 1636 1535 61.07% 21.68% 17.25%+0.94 +4.9 2-0
2005-11-19 @ Molde L 0-2 1535 1636 17.25% 21.68% 61.07%-0.94 -4.9 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-04-17 16.31% Start 1527 1 @ Molde 1641 0
2 2005-08-13 16.76% Odd Grenland 1584 3 @ Lillestrom 1691 2
3 2005-09-11 17.88% Odd Grenland 1598 2 @ Lyn Oslo 1689 1
4 2005-05-16 18.36% Start 1560 2 @ Hamarkameratene 1644 0
5 2005-04-24 19.59% Fredrikstad 1627 1 @ Rosenborg 1694 0
6 2005-09-24 19.70% Tromso 1629 2 @ Lillestrom 1695 1
7 2005-05-05 20.69% Bodo Glimt 1620 3 @ Brann 1673 2
8 2005-09-25 20.70% Hamarkameratene 1627 3 @ Viking 1680 1
9 2005-09-25 20.76% Aalesund 1540 4 @ Fredrikstad 1592 1
10 2005-07-24 20.77% Odd Grenland 1581 1 @ Tromso 1633 0
11 2005-10-15 20.81% Aalesund 1562 5 @ Start 1614 4
12 2005-10-02 21.08% Lyn Oslo 1681 1 @ Valerenga 1730 0
13 2005-05-16 21.11% Viking 1641 2 @ Rosenborg 1689 0
14 2005-10-16 21.22% Tromso 1642 1 @ Lyn Oslo 1688 0
15 2005-06-18 21.37% Viking 1657 2 @ Valerenga 1702 1
16 2005-10-23 22.48% Rosenborg 1691 2 @ Valerenga 1723 0
17 2005-05-08 22.56% Molde 1615 3 @ Viking 1647 2
18 2005-07-03 22.88% Start 1594 2 @ Fredrikstad 1622 1
19 2005-10-29 23.07% Fredrikstad 1582 3 @ Start 1608 1
20 2005-10-02 23.26% Fredrikstad 1576 2 @ Bodo Glimt 1600 1
21 2005-06-27 25.22% Valerenga 1696 3 @ Rosenborg 1700 2
22 2005-08-07 25.84% Lillestrom 1686 2 @ Rosenborg 1683 1
23 2005-05-05 25.99% Lillestrom 1660 2 @ Odd Grenland 1656 0
24 2005-06-19 27.24% Start 1580 2 @ Aalesund 1565 1
25 2005-08-28 27.28% Lyn Oslo 1683 1 @ Rosenborg 1667 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-05-29 23.85 Rosenborg 5 1675 33.26% @ Odd Grenland 0 1611 39.43% 27.31%
2 2005-05-08 19.09 @ Start 4 1541 33.93% Odd Grenland 0 1644 38.73% 27.35%
3 2005-09-25 17.55 @ Rosenborg 6 1648 53.31% Odd Grenland 0 1610 22.03% 24.66%
4 2005-09-13 16.72 Valerenga 4 1731 40.39% @ Fredrikstad 0 1616 32.37% 27.24%
5 2005-10-02 16.27 Rosenborg 3 1665 28.62% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1638 44.63% 26.75%
6 2005-09-25 16.21 Aalesund 4 1540 20.76% @ Fredrikstad 1 1592 55.23% 24.01%
7 2005-09-25 16.19 @ Start 3 1604 28.89% Valerenga 0 1746 44.32% 26.80%
8 2005-08-03 14.96 @ Fredrikstad 5 1617 37.01% Rosenborg 1 1698 35.59% 27.40%
9 2005-07-24 14.52 Viking 3 1672 34.23% @ Bodo Glimt 0 1600 38.41% 27.36%
10 2005-10-29 14.01 @ Lyn Oslo 6 1681 60.22% Bodo Glimt 0 1588 17.73% 22.05%
11 2005-05-16 13.96 Start 2 1560 18.36% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1644 59.13% 22.51%
12 2005-05-01 13.27 @ Lyn Oslo 6 1641 50.52% Molde 1 1625 23.99% 25.49%
13 2005-05-16 13.14 Viking 2 1641 21.11% @ Rosenborg 0 1689 54.69% 24.20%
14 2005-09-13 12.97 Molde 4 1603 31.38% @ Aalesund 1 1553 41.47% 27.15%
15 2005-10-23 12.75 Rosenborg 2 1691 22.48% @ Valerenga 0 1723 52.65% 24.87%
16 2005-10-02 12.55 @ Molde 4 1618 51.74% Odd Grenland 0 1593 23.12% 25.14%
17 2005-08-03 11.92 @ Bodo Glimt 5 1581 46.94% Odd Grenland 1 1591 26.73% 26.33%
18 2005-05-05 11.83 Lillestrom 2 1660 25.99% @ Odd Grenland 0 1656 47.88% 26.13%
19 2005-09-25 11.48 Hamarkameratene 3 1627 20.70% @ Viking 1 1680 55.32% 23.98%
20 2005-05-01 11.26 @ Start 5 1536 31.28% Viking 2 1659 41.58% 27.14%
21 2005-08-29 11.18 @ Brann 4 1682 55.56% Fredrikstad 0 1627 20.54% 23.90%
22 2005-05-16 11.04 Lyn Oslo 2 1658 29.35% @ Odd Grenland 0 1625 43.77% 26.87%
23 2005-10-29 10.90 Fredrikstad 3 1582 23.07% @ Start 1 1608 51.80% 25.13%
24 2005-06-12 10.42 @ Rosenborg 4 1699 57.71% Hamarkameratene 0 1626 19.20% 23.08%
25 2005-05-29 10.40 @ Brann 3 1677 48.90% Lyn Oslo 0 1673 25.20% 25.90%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-04-10 77.1 @ Rosenborg 2 1689 62.17% Aalesund 2 1580 16.64% 21.18%
2 2005-10-23 76.9 @ Brann 2 1682 61.32% Odd Grenland 2 1580 17.11% 21.57%
3 2005-10-29 76.9 @ Lillestrom 2 1687 55.76% Molde 2 1630 20.42% 23.82%
4 2005-10-15 76.1 Aalesund 5 1562 20.81% @ Start 4 1614 55.14% 24.04%
5 2005-05-16 75.9 @ Tromso 2 1649 52.16% Bodo Glimt 2 1621 22.82% 25.02%
6 2005-10-29 75.7 @ Odd Grenland 2 1581 30.48% Valerenga 2 1711 42.48% 27.04%
7 2005-08-13 75.5 Odd Grenland 3 1584 16.76% @ Lillestrom 2 1691 61.96% 21.28%
8 2005-05-16 74.7 @ Molde 2 1621 55.69% Aalesund 2 1565 20.46% 23.85%
9 2005-05-05 74.6 Bodo Glimt 3 1620 20.69% @ Brann 2 1673 55.33% 23.98%
10 2005-06-27 74.3 Valerenga 3 1696 25.22% @ Rosenborg 2 1700 48.88% 25.90%
11 2005-10-16 74.1 @ Odd Grenland 2 1580 42.67% Hamarkameratene 2 1622 30.31% 27.02%
12 2005-05-08 73.6 Molde 3 1615 22.56% @ Viking 2 1647 52.54% 24.90%
13 2005-05-09 72.1 Brann 3 1667 29.23% @ Fredrikstad 2 1634 43.92% 26.85%
14 2005-08-06 71.9 @ Valerenga 1 1717 60.32% Tromso 1 1623 17.67% 22.01%
15 2005-05-30 71.7 @ Valerenga 1 1703 63.92% Start 1 1579 15.71% 20.37%
16 2005-08-28 71.5 Lillestrom 3 1685 31.88% @ Hamarkameratene 2 1631 40.92% 27.20%
17 2005-10-29 71.5 @ Rosenborg 1 1704 55.05% Tromso 1 1653 20.87% 24.08%
18 2005-08-08 71.0 @ Viking 1 1681 58.91% Start 1 1599 18.49% 22.60%
19 2005-05-22 70.9 @ Rosenborg 1 1676 55.58% Molde 1 1621 20.53% 23.89%
20 2005-06-12 70.7 @ Lyn Oslo 1 1662 42.93% Valerenga 1 1702 30.08% 26.99%
21 2005-05-01 70.6 @ Lillestrom 1 1660 44.74% Rosenborg 1 1687 28.53% 26.73%
22 2005-04-10 70.4 @ Odd Grenland 1 1658 49.62% Tromso 1 1648 24.66% 25.72%
23 2005-05-05 70.2 @ Hamarkameratene 1 1648 50.39% Fredrikstad 1 1633 24.09% 25.52%
24 2005-05-22 70.2 @ Start 3 1574 33.31% Brann 2 1682 39.38% 27.31%
25 2005-05-29 70.2 @ Tromso 1 1643 44.73% Lillestrom 1 1669 28.54% 26.73%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-05-05 44.1 @ Rosenborg 3 1687 65.67% Start 0 1547 14.81% 19.52%
2 2005-06-12 45.7 @ Lillestrom 3 1670 60.77% Aalesund 0 1572 17.42% 21.81%
3 2005-10-29 45.7 @ Viking 3 1661 60.15% Aalesund 0 1568 17.77% 22.08%
4 2005-07-04 45.9 @ Valerenga 3 1702 62.67% Odd Grenland 0 1588 16.37% 20.95%
5 2005-06-12 47.6 @ Rosenborg 4 1699 57.71% Hamarkameratene 0 1626 19.20% 23.08%
6 2005-10-02 47.6 @ Molde 4 1618 51.74% Odd Grenland 0 1593 23.12% 25.14%
7 2005-10-29 47.7 @ Lyn Oslo 6 1681 60.22% Bodo Glimt 0 1588 17.73% 22.05%
8 2005-07-31 47.9 @ Rosenborg 2 1694 62.00% Bodo Glimt 0 1585 16.74% 21.26%
9 2005-08-29 48.1 @ Brann 4 1682 55.56% Fredrikstad 0 1627 20.54% 23.90%
10 2005-06-26 48.6 @ Lillestrom 3 1677 54.45% Fredrikstad 0 1631 21.27% 24.28%
11 2005-10-17 48.6 @ Lillestrom 2 1682 59.64% Bodo Glimt 0 1594 18.06% 22.30%
12 2005-07-25 49.0 @ Lillestrom 2 1677 58.20% Start 0 1600 18.91% 22.89%
13 2005-09-25 49.6 @ Rosenborg 6 1648 53.31% Odd Grenland 0 1610 22.03% 24.66%
14 2005-08-07 49.7 @ Hamarkameratene 2 1624 52.47% Bodo Glimt 0 1593 22.60% 24.92%
15 2005-07-03 49.9 @ Brann 2 1697 57.28% Hamarkameratene 0 1628 19.47% 23.25%
16 2005-09-18 50.1 @ Tromso 2 1622 51.43% Fredrikstad 0 1599 23.34% 25.23%
17 2005-05-29 50.8 @ Brann 3 1677 48.90% Lyn Oslo 0 1673 25.20% 25.90%
18 2005-08-28 51.4 @ Odd Grenland 2 1591 45.71% Start 0 1610 27.72% 26.56%
19 2005-04-11 51.9 @ Brann 2 1662 50.17% Molde 0 1648 24.25% 25.58%
20 2005-06-26 51.9 @ Start 2 1586 44.07% Bodo Glimt 0 1617 29.09% 26.83%
21 2005-08-03 52.2 @ Bodo Glimt 5 1581 46.94% Odd Grenland 1 1591 26.73% 26.33%
22 2005-05-01 52.4 @ Lyn Oslo 6 1641 50.52% Molde 1 1625 23.99% 25.49%
23 2005-05-08 52.4 @ Start 4 1541 33.93% Odd Grenland 0 1644 38.73% 27.35%
24 2005-09-19 52.4 @ Brann 1 1690 59.03% Start 0 1606 18.42% 22.55%
25 2005-09-26 52.4 @ Bodo Glimt 2 1592 43.64% Molde 0 1626 29.46% 26.89%