2010 Tippeligaen Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

68 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Valerenga

13.36 points above expected

61 points · 47.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sandefjord

19.70 points below expected

12 points · 31.70 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	30	19	11	0	68	58	24	+34	56.5	+11.45
2	Valerenga	30	19	4	7	61	69	36	+33	47.6	+13.36
3	Tromso	30	14	8	8	50	36	30	+6	45.1	+4.86
4	Aalesund	30	14	5	11	47	46	37	+9	43.6	+3.41
5	Odd Grenland	30	12	10	8	46	48	41	+7	43.1	+2.86
6	Haugesund	30	12	9	9	45	51	39	+12	40.2	+4.77
7	Stromsgodset	30	13	4	13	43	51	59	-8	39.0	+3.99
8	Start	30	11	9	10	42	57	60	-3	40.2	+1.84
9	Viking	30	10	11	9	41	48	41	+7	43.5	-2.46
10	Lillestrom	30	9	13	8	40	51	44	+7	43.4	-3.36
11	Molde	30	10	10	10	40	42	45	-3	42.2	-2.19
12	Stabaek	30	11	6	13	39	46	47	-1	45.6	-6.64
13	Brann	30	8	10	12	34	48	50	-2	41.0	-7.03
14	Honefoss	30	7	6	17	27	28	62	-34	30.4	-3.37
15	Kongsvinger	30	4	8	18	20	27	58	-31	29.4	-9.40
16	Sandefjord	30	2	6	22	12	25	58	-33	31.7	-19.70

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1731	68	56.55	+11.45	96.5%	27	45	52	57	61	67	82
Valerenga	1654	61	47.64	+13.36	97.9%	23	36	43	48	52	59	73
Odd Grenland	1593	46	43.14	+2.86	68.9%	17	32	38	43	48	55	72
Haugesund	1582	45	40.23	+4.77	78.5%	14	29	36	40	45	52	69
Molde	1573	40	42.19	-2.19	40.9%	17	31	37	42	47	54	67
Aalesund	1572	47	43.59	+3.41	71.9%	21	32	39	44	48	55	70
Tromso	1560	50	45.14	+4.86	78.3%	19	34	40	45	50	56	71
Brann	1558	34	41.03	-7.03	16.9%	18	30	36	41	46	52	66
Stabaek	1554	39	45.64	-6.64	18.0%	22	34	41	46	50	57	70
Lillestrom	1554	40	43.36	-3.36	33.7%	16	32	39	43	48	55	69
Viking	1553	41	43.46	-2.46	39.1%	14	32	39	44	48	55	71
Start	1534	42	40.16	+1.84	63.5%	14	29	35	40	45	52	65
Stromsgodset	1515	43	39.01	+3.99	74.8%	15	28	34	39	44	50	64
Sandefjord	1392	12	31.70	-19.70	0.1%	7	21	27	32	36	43	61
Kongsvinger	1384	20	29.40	-9.40	7.8%	7	19	25	29	34	40	55
Honefoss	1372	27	30.37	-3.37	34.0%	9	20	26	30	35	41	57

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BRA	HAU	HON	KON	LIL	MOL	OG	ROS	SAN	STA	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 3.58	1-0-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.93	0-0-2 2.78	0-2-0 1.97	1-1-0 3.53	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 3.25	2-0-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.48	2-0-0 2.77
Brann	1-0-1 2.55	—	0-2-0 3.00	1-0-1 3.56	2-0-0 3.57	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.73	0-2-0 2.64	0-0-2 1.84	2-0-0 3.08	0-1-1 2.47	0-0-2 2.80	1-1-0 2.67	1-0-1 2.43	0-1-1 2.33	0-1-1 2.72
Haugesund	1-0-1 2.51	0-2-0 2.52	—	2-0-0 3.34	2-0-0 3.50	0-2-0 2.65	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 1.73	2-0-0 3.73	1-1-0 2.64	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.12	1-0-1 2.29
Honefoss	1-0-1 2.13	1-0-1 1.99	0-0-2 2.15	—	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.04	0-1-1 1.89	1-0-1 1.87	0-0-2 1.12	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 1.86	0-1-1 1.99	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.01	1-1-0 1.42	0-0-2 1.91
Kongsvinger	0-0-2 1.96	0-0-2 2.01	0-0-2 2.00	1-1-0 2.64	—	0-2-0 1.96	1-0-1 1.85	0-1-1 2.04	0-1-1 1.02	2-0-0 2.62	0-0-2 1.77	0-1-1 1.93	0-0-2 2.30	0-1-1 1.79	0-0-2 1.74	0-1-1 1.86
Lillestrom	1-0-1 2.67	1-1-0 2.94	0-2-0 2.88	1-0-1 3.47	0-2-0 3.60	—	0-2-0 2.93	0-1-1 2.77	0-1-1 1.97	2-0-0 3.64	0-1-1 2.54	2-0-0 2.91	1-0-1 3.18	1-1-0 2.54	0-0-2 2.45	0-2-0 2.82
Molde	1-1-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.78	2-0-0 2.79	1-1-0 3.65	1-0-1 3.71	0-2-0 2.56	—	0-2-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.17	0-1-1 3.28	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.86	2-0-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.42	0-1-1 2.63
Odd Grenland	2-0-0 2.73	0-2-0 2.84	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.68	1-1-0 3.53	1-1-0 2.73	0-2-0 2.76	—	0-1-1 2.08	1-1-0 3.48	1-0-1 2.52	1-1-0 2.90	2-0-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.52	1-0-1 2.82
Rosenborg	0-2-0 3.59	2-0-0 3.71	1-1-0 3.84	2-0-0 4.56	1-1-0 4.69	1-1-0 3.56	2-0-0 3.41	1-1-0 3.46	—	2-0-0 4.43	2-0-0 3.44	1-1-0 3.73	1-1-0 3.78	1-1-0 3.54	1-1-0 3.23	1-1-0 3.57
Sandefjord	0-1-1 2.04	0-0-2 2.39	0-0-2 1.79	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.89	0-0-2 1.88	1-1-0 2.25	0-1-1 2.12	0-0-2 1.23	—	0-1-1 1.73	0-0-2 2.50	0-0-2 2.29	0-0-2 1.89	0-0-2 2.12	0-2-0 1.93
Stabaek	1-1-0 2.90	1-1-0 3.03	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.71	2-0-0 3.78	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.97	0-0-2 2.08	1-1-0 3.86	—	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 3.18	0-0-2 2.92	0-1-1 2.75	0-0-2 2.93
Start	1-0-1 2.51	2-0-0 2.68	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 3.54	1-1-0 3.59	0-0-2 2.58	1-1-0 2.63	0-1-1 2.62	0-1-1 1.80	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.52	—	1-0-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.47	0-2-0 2.48
Stromsgodset	1-0-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.86	1-1-0 3.21	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 2.33	0-0-2 2.77	0-0-2 2.63	0-1-1 1.75	2-0-0 3.19	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.72	—	1-0-1 2.09	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.60
Tromso	0-0-2 2.99	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 3.06	1-1-0 3.49	1-1-0 3.74	0-1-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.86	1-1-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.03	2-0-0 3.62	2-0-0 2.60	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 3.41	—	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 2.87
Valerenga	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.19	1-0-1 3.38	0-1-1 4.19	2-0-0 3.86	2-0-0 3.09	2-0-0 3.05	2-0-0 2.97	0-1-1 2.28	2-0-0 3.48	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 2.98	—	2-0-0 3.01
Viking	0-0-2 2.74	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 3.20	2-0-0 3.65	1-1-0 3.70	0-2-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.68	0-1-1 1.98	0-2-0 3.62	2-0-0 2.56	0-2-0 3.01	1-0-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.47	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.75%	6.04%	4.38%	3.33%	1.67%	0.42%	24.58%
1	6.04%	11.25%	7.71%	4.79%	1.25%	0.83%	31.88%
2	4.38%	7.71%	4.17%	3.33%	0.83%	0.42%	20.83%
3	3.33%	4.79%	3.33%	2.92%	0.83%	0.42%	15.62%
4	1.67%	1.25%	0.83%	0.83%	—	0.21%	4.79%
5+	0.42%	0.83%	0.42%	0.42%	0.21%	—	2.29%
Total	24.58%	31.88%	20.83%	15.62%	4.79%	2.29%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.52
Mean allowed	1.52
StdDev scored	1.32
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	3.05
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.096
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	10.00%	3.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
2	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	30.00%	26.67%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.203
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
1	—	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	36.67%	16.67%	23.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.045
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	23.33%
3	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	20.00%	23.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Haugesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.158
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	46.67%
1	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	6.67%	26.67%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	26.67%	26.67%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	100%

Honefoss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	2.07
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.110
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	20.00%	30.00%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Kongsvinger — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.233
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	13.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	16.67%	30.00%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.246
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
1	10.00%	16.67%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	50.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	33.33%	20.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	0.93
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	2.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.393
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	3.33%	20.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	43.33%
2	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	40.00%	13.33%	16.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Odd Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.222
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	40.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.93
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.462
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	26.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	56.67%
1	—	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
2	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	10.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	10.00%	40.00%	20.00%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.158
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
1	—	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	33.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	36.67%	30.00%	20.00%	—	—	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.025
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	26.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	16.67%	26.67%	16.67%	33.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.64
Mean total goals/game	3.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.133
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	13.33%
1	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%
Total	13.33%	33.33%	13.33%	23.33%	16.67%	—	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	1.97
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.254
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	36.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.116
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
4	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
Total	30.00%	40.00%	16.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.30
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.97
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.151
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
4	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	33.33%	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.013
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Valerenga	61	47.6	+13.36
2	Rosenborg	68	56.5	+11.45
3	Tromso	50	45.1	+4.86
4	Haugesund	45	40.2	+4.77
5	Stromsgodset	43	39.0	+3.99

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sandefjord	12	31.7	-19.70
2	Kongsvinger	20	29.4	-9.40
3	Brann	34	41.0	-7.03
4	Stabaek	39	45.6	-6.64
5	Honefoss	27	30.4	-3.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valerenga	5	Aug 23 – Sep 26	1 in 31
2	Start	3	Jul 10 – Jul 25	1 in 30
3	Rosenborg	5	May 16 – Jul 10	1 in 15
4	Tromso	3	Mar 28 – Apr 11	1 in 14
5	Viking	3	Jul 4 – Jul 18	1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sandefjord	7	Apr 11 – May 9	1 in 668
2	Honefoss	6	Mar 14 – Apr 17	1 in 175
3	Stromsgodset	4	May 5 – May 24	1 in 37
4	Stabaek	3	Jul 25 – Aug 8	1 in 27
5	Kongsvinger	4	Mar 14 – Apr 5	1 in 23

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	30	Mar 14 – Nov 7	1 in 3,407
2	Lillestrom	13	Mar 21 – Jun 6	1 in 292
3	Tromso	11	Mar 28 – May 24	1 in 134
4	Molde	8	Sep 13 – Nov 7	1 in 53
5	Odd Grenland	6	May 2 – Jun 6	1 in 20

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sandefjord	27	Mar 29 – Oct 31	1 in 6,116
2	Lillestrom	9	May 16 – Aug 9	1 in 116
3	Molde	10	May 24 – Aug 29	1 in 112
4	Viking	8	Jul 25 – Sep 26	1 in 51
5	Tromso	5	Jun 5 – Jul 25	1 in 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Rosenborg	59.70%	17.65%	8.76%	5.00%	3.11%	1.89%	1.48%	1.04%	0.52%	0.33%	0.25%	0.09%	0.13%	0.02%	0.03%	—
Valerenga	10.49%	16.68%	13.52%	11.99%	9.66%	7.62%	6.71%	5.90%	4.98%	3.92%	2.89%	2.42%	1.74%	0.87%	0.42%	0.19%
Tromso	4.98%	9.94%	10.38%	10.03%	9.99%	9.26%	8.06%	7.73%	6.65%	6.45%	5.09%	4.30%	3.43%	2.15%	1.09%	0.47%
Aalesund	3.49%	7.25%	8.83%	8.64%	9.01%	8.63%	8.50%	8.04%	8.42%	6.76%	6.86%	5.77%	4.36%	2.91%	1.63%	0.90%
Odd Grenland	3.00%	6.34%	8.05%	8.46%	8.77%	8.70%	8.59%	8.45%	7.85%	7.18%	7.16%	5.99%	5.32%	3.13%	2.10%	0.91%
Haugesund	1.29%	3.49%	4.39%	5.21%	6.21%	7.37%	7.10%	8.47%	8.98%	9.19%	8.62%	8.63%	7.96%	6.89%	4.05%	2.15%
Stromsgodset	0.58%	2.28%	3.14%	3.89%	4.78%	5.45%	6.27%	7.36%	7.49%	9.08%	10.24%	10.34%	10.88%	8.91%	6.11%	3.20%
Start	1.27%	2.95%	4.16%	5.11%	5.84%	6.73%	7.06%	7.33%	8.24%	9.33%	9.26%	9.64%	8.82%	7.18%	4.85%	2.23%
Viking	3.17%	7.27%	8.29%	8.41%	8.66%	8.90%	8.98%	8.07%	7.62%	7.86%	6.40%	5.88%	4.70%	3.05%	2.12%	0.62%
Lillestrom	3.19%	6.92%	8.25%	8.26%	8.49%	8.91%	8.74%	8.35%	7.92%	7.64%	6.80%	6.15%	4.52%	3.26%	1.84%	0.76%
Molde	1.90%	5.37%	5.93%	7.14%	7.55%	7.64%	7.89%	8.58%	8.36%	8.34%	8.20%	7.65%	6.64%	4.86%	2.62%	1.33%
Stabaek	5.25%	10.03%	10.55%	11.24%	9.75%	9.46%	8.49%	7.37%	6.83%	5.47%	4.92%	4.18%	3.06%	1.92%	1.12%	0.36%
Brann	1.63%	3.49%	5.20%	5.74%	6.56%	7.30%	8.18%	8.28%	8.58%	8.40%	9.00%	8.29%	7.53%	5.89%	4.27%	1.66%
Honefoss	0.01%	0.11%	0.20%	0.32%	0.47%	0.70%	1.16%	1.74%	2.40%	3.35%	4.66%	7.08%	9.77%	16.38%	22.44%	29.21%
Kongsvinger	0.01%	0.06%	0.09%	0.19%	0.36%	0.39%	0.90%	1.20%	2.14%	2.53%	3.68%	5.70%	9.12%	15.20%	24.44%	33.99%
Sandefjord	0.04%	0.17%	0.26%	0.37%	0.79%	1.05%	1.89%	2.09%	3.02%	4.17%	5.97%	7.89%	12.02%	17.38%	20.87%	22.02%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	100%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
Valerenga	98.5%	0.6%	0.3%	0.6%
Stabaek	96.6%	1.1%	0.8%	1.5%
Tromso	96.3%	1.2%	1.0%	1.6%
Aalesund	94.6%	1.8%	1.1%	2.5%
Viking	94.2%	1.9%	1.2%	2.7%
Lillestrom	94.1%	1.8%	1.5%	2.6%
Odd Grenland	93.9%	1.9%	1.2%	3.0%
Molde	91.2%	3.0%	1.9%	4.0%
Brann	88.2%	3.4%	2.5%	5.9%
Haugesund	86.9%	4.2%	2.7%	6.2%
Start	85.7%	3.8%	3.4%	7.1%
Stromsgodset	81.8%	4.3%	4.6%	9.3%
Sandefjord	39.7%	5.8%	11.6%	42.9%
Honefoss	32.0%	5.3%	11.0%	51.6%
Kongsvinger	26.4%	4.6%	10.6%	58.4%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2010-03-13	Haugesund	D 0-0	1555	1502	57.2%	22.8%	20.0%	-1.8	1
2010-03-13	@ Brann	D 0-0	1502	1555	20.0%	22.8%	57.2%	+1.8	1
2010-03-14	Lillestrom	W 3-0	1534	1539	49.6%	25.5%	25.0%	+15.0	3
2010-03-14	@ Aalesund	L 0-3	1539	1534	25.0%	25.5%	49.6%	-15.0	0
2010-03-14	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1587	1620	45.6%	26.4%	28.0%	-8.3	0
2010-03-14	@ Molde	W 2-1	1620	1587	28.0%	26.4%	45.6%	+8.3	3
2010-03-14	Stabaek	L 2-3	1552	1594	44.5%	26.6%	28.9%	-7.7	0
2010-03-14	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-2	1594	1552	28.9%	26.6%	44.5%	+7.7	3
2010-03-14	Sandefjord	W 2-0	1531	1532	50.1%	25.3%	24.6%	+10.2	3
2010-03-14	@ Start	L 0-2	1532	1531	24.6%	25.3%	50.1%	-10.2	0
2010-03-14	Kongsvinger	W 2-0	1544	1479	58.6%	22.2%	19.2%	+7.9	3
2010-03-14	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1479	1544	19.2%	22.2%	58.6%	-7.9	0
2010-03-14	Honefoss	W 2-0	1551	1498	57.2%	22.8%	20.0%	+8.3	3
2010-03-14	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1498	1551	20.0%	22.8%	57.2%	-8.3	0
2010-03-15	Viking	W 2-0	1544	1546	49.9%	25.4%	24.8%	+10.2	3
2010-03-15	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1546	1544	24.8%	25.4%	49.9%	-10.2	0
2010-03-20	Valerenga	D 1-1	1601	1554	56.5%	23.1%	20.4%	-1.5	4
2010-03-20	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1554	1601	20.4%	23.1%	56.5%	+1.5	4
2010-03-21	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1504	1552	43.6%	26.7%	29.7%	-0.4	2
2010-03-21	@ Haugesund	D 2-2	1552	1504	29.7%	26.7%	43.6%	+0.4	4
2010-03-21	Aalesund	L 0-2	1490	1549	42.0%	26.9%	31.1%	-15.6	0
2010-03-21	@ Honefoss	W 2-0	1549	1490	31.1%	26.9%	42.0%	+15.6	6
2010-03-21	Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1471	1544	40.1%	27.1%	32.8%	-7.5	0
2010-03-21	@ Kongsvinger	W 2-1	1544	1471	32.8%	27.1%	40.1%	+7.5	3
2010-03-21	Tromso	W 2-0	1524	1560	45.3%	26.4%	28.3%	+11.5	3
2010-03-21	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1560	1524	28.3%	26.4%	45.3%	-11.5	3
2010-03-21	Molde	W 3-1	1522	1579	42.3%	26.9%	30.8%	+10.7	3
2010-03-21	@ Sandefjord	L 1-3	1579	1522	30.8%	26.9%	42.3%	-10.7	0
2010-03-21	Brann	W 4-0	1536	1553	47.8%	25.9%	26.2%	+20.5	3
2010-03-21	@ Viking	L 0-4	1553	1536	26.2%	25.9%	47.8%	-20.5	1
2010-03-22	Start	D 3-3	1629	1542	61.5%	20.9%	17.6%	-1.2	4
2010-03-22	@ Rosenborg	D 3-3	1542	1629	17.6%	20.9%	61.5%	+1.2	4
2010-03-27	Molde	D 1-1	1543	1568	46.8%	26.2%	27.1%	-0.8	5
2010-03-27	@ Start	D 1-1	1568	1543	27.1%	26.2%	46.8%	+0.8	1
2010-03-28	Stabaek	D 2-2	1565	1600	45.4%	26.4%	28.2%	-0.5	7
2010-03-28	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1600	1565	28.2%	26.4%	45.4%	+0.5	5
2010-03-28	Honefoss	W 6-0	1535	1474	58.2%	22.4%	19.4%	+22.2	6
2010-03-28	@ Lillestrom	L 0-6	1474	1535	19.4%	22.4%	58.2%	-22.2	0
2010-03-28	Haugesund	W 4-1	1552	1503	56.6%	23.1%	20.3%	+10.3	6
2010-03-28	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-4	1503	1552	20.3%	23.1%	56.6%	-10.3	2
2010-03-28	Viking	W 2-1	1552	1556	49.6%	25.4%	24.9%	+5.2	7
2010-03-28	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1556	1552	24.9%	25.4%	49.6%	-5.2	3
2010-03-28	Kongsvinger	W 1-0	1548	1464	61.1%	21.1%	17.8%	+3.9	6
2010-03-28	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1464	1548	17.8%	21.1%	61.1%	-3.9	0
2010-03-28	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1555	1628	40.1%	27.1%	32.8%	-0.3	5
2010-03-28	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1628	1555	32.8%	27.1%	40.1%	+0.3	5
2010-03-29	Sandefjord	W 3-2	1533	1532	50.2%	25.3%	24.5%	+4.8	4
2010-03-29	@ Brann	L 2-3	1532	1533	24.5%	25.3%	50.2%	-4.8	3
2010-04-05	Honefoss	W 5-1	1493	1452	55.6%	23.5%	20.9%	+13.7	5
2010-04-05	@ Haugesund	L 1-5	1452	1493	20.9%	23.5%	55.6%	-13.7	0
2010-04-05	Aalesund	L 1-2	1460	1564	35.5%	27.2%	37.2%	-6.9	0
2010-04-05	@ Kongsvinger	W 2-1	1564	1460	37.2%	27.2%	35.5%	+6.9	10
2010-04-05	Brann	W 3-2	1569	1537	54.4%	23.9%	21.7%	+4.3	4
2010-04-05	@ Molde	L 2-3	1537	1569	21.7%	23.9%	54.4%	-4.3	4
2010-04-05	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1628	1557	59.4%	21.9%	18.7%	+11.2	8
2010-04-05	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1557	1628	18.7%	21.9%	59.4%	-11.2	7
2010-04-05	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1528	1562	45.5%	26.4%	28.1%	-0.7	4
2010-04-05	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1562	1528	28.1%	26.4%	45.5%	+0.7	7
2010-04-05	Tromso	L 0-1	1600	1552	56.6%	23.1%	20.3%	-10.4	5
2010-04-05	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1552	1600	20.3%	23.1%	56.6%	+10.4	9
2010-04-05	Valerenga	W 5-3	1542	1555	48.4%	25.8%	25.8%	+7.8	8
2010-04-05	@ Start	L 3-5	1555	1542	25.8%	25.8%	48.4%	-7.8	5
2010-04-05	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1551	1558	49.3%	25.5%	25.1%	-1.1	4
2010-04-05	@ Viking	D 0-0	1558	1551	25.1%	25.5%	49.3%	+1.1	7
2010-04-10	Stabaek	D 0-0	1559	1590	45.9%	26.3%	27.8%	-0.8	8
2010-04-10	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1590	1559	27.8%	26.3%	45.9%	+0.8	6
2010-04-11	Viking	W 3-1	1571	1550	53.0%	24.4%	22.6%	+8.1	13
2010-04-11	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1550	1571	22.6%	24.4%	53.0%	-8.1	4
2010-04-11	Start	L 3-4	1533	1550	47.9%	25.9%	26.2%	-8.0	4
2010-04-11	@ Brann	W 4-3	1550	1533	26.2%	25.9%	47.9%	+8.0	11
2010-04-11	Kongsvinger	L 1-2	1438	1453	48.2%	25.8%	26.0%	-8.7	0
2010-04-11	@ Honefoss	W 2-1	1453	1438	26.0%	25.8%	48.2%	+8.7	3
2010-04-11	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1563	1639	39.6%	27.2%	33.3%	-12.9	7
2010-04-11	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1639	1563	33.3%	27.2%	39.6%	+12.9	11
2010-04-11	Sandefjord	W 4-2	1546	1527	52.8%	24.5%	22.7%	+7.3	10
2010-04-11	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-4	1527	1546	22.7%	24.5%	52.8%	-7.3	4
2010-04-11	Haugesund	W 2-0	1562	1507	57.5%	22.7%	19.8%	+8.2	12
2010-04-11	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1507	1562	19.8%	22.7%	57.5%	-8.2	5
2010-04-12	Molde	W 2-1	1547	1573	46.7%	26.2%	27.2%	+5.6	8
2010-04-12	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1573	1547	27.2%	26.2%	46.7%	-5.6	4
2010-04-14	Aalesund	W 2-1	1498	1579	38.9%	27.2%	33.9%	+6.7	8
2010-04-14	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1579	1498	33.9%	27.2%	38.9%	-6.7	13
2010-04-14	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1462	1558	36.7%	27.3%	36.0%	-0.0	4
2010-04-14	@ Kongsvinger	D 0-0	1558	1462	36.0%	27.3%	36.7%	+0.0	9
2010-04-14	Brann	W 3-0	1652	1525	66.3%	18.4%	15.2%	+8.8	14
2010-04-14	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1525	1652	15.2%	18.4%	66.3%	-8.7	4
2010-04-14	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1558	1550	51.2%	25.0%	23.8%	-1.1	12
2010-04-14	@ Start	D 1-1	1550	1558	23.8%	25.0%	51.2%	+1.1	8
2010-04-14	Tromso	D 1-1	1542	1570	46.3%	26.2%	27.5%	-0.8	5
2010-04-14	@ Viking	D 1-1	1570	1542	27.5%	26.2%	46.3%	+0.8	13
2010-04-15	Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1567	1553	52.1%	24.7%	23.2%	+4.6	7
2010-04-15	@ Molde	L 2-3	1553	1567	23.2%	24.7%	52.1%	-4.6	10
2010-04-15	Valerenga	L 0-1	1519	1553	45.6%	26.4%	28.0%	-8.8	4
2010-04-15	@ Sandefjord	W 1-0	1553	1519	28.0%	26.4%	45.6%	+8.8	11
2010-04-17	Viking	L 0-1	1430	1541	34.5%	27.2%	38.2%	-7.2	0
2010-04-17	@ Honefoss	W 1-0	1541	1430	38.2%	27.2%	34.5%	+7.2	8
2010-04-18	Valerenga	D 1-1	1516	1562	44.0%	26.7%	29.4%	-0.6	5
2010-04-18	@ Brann	D 1-1	1562	1516	29.4%	26.7%	44.0%	+0.6	12
2010-04-18	Haugesund	D 1-1	1558	1505	57.2%	22.9%	20.0%	-1.6	10
2010-04-18	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1505	1558	20.0%	22.9%	57.2%	+1.6	9
2010-04-18	Molde	D 1-1	1551	1572	47.3%	26.0%	26.7%	-0.8	9
2010-04-18	@ Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1572	1551	26.7%	26.0%	47.3%	+0.9	8
2010-04-18	Kongsvinger	W 4-2	1591	1462	66.5%	18.3%	15.1%	+4.6	9
2010-04-18	@ Stabaek	L 2-4	1462	1591	15.1%	18.3%	66.5%	-4.6	4
2010-04-18	Start	W 3-1	1549	1557	49.1%	25.6%	25.3%	+9.0	13
2010-04-18	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1557	1549	25.3%	25.6%	49.1%	-9.0	12
2010-04-19	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1573	1661	37.9%	27.2%	34.9%	-0.1	14
2010-04-19	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1661	1573	34.9%	27.2%	37.9%	+0.1	15
2010-04-21	Honefoss	L 0-1	1595	1423	71.6%	15.5%	12.9%	-12.3	9
2010-04-21	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1423	1595	12.9%	15.5%	71.6%	+12.3	3
2010-04-21	Sandefjord	W 2-1	1571	1511	58.1%	22.4%	19.4%	+4.0	16
2010-04-21	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1511	1571	19.4%	22.4%	58.1%	-4.0	4
2010-04-24	Stabaek	W 2-0	1548	1583	45.4%	26.4%	28.1%	+11.5	11
2010-04-24	@ Viking	L 0-2	1583	1548	28.1%	26.4%	45.4%	-11.5	9
2010-04-25	Stromsgodset	W 4-0	1516	1558	44.4%	26.6%	29.0%	+22.3	8
2010-04-25	@ Brann	L 0-4	1558	1516	29.0%	26.6%	44.4%	-22.3	13
2010-04-25	Kongsvinger	W 3-0	1507	1457	56.7%	23.0%	20.2%	+12.2	12
2010-04-25	@ Haugesund	L 0-3	1457	1507	20.2%	23.0%	56.7%	-12.2	4
2010-04-25	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1661	1556	63.6%	19.9%	16.5%	-2.3	16
2010-04-25	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1556	1661	16.5%	19.9%	63.6%	+2.3	11
2010-04-25	Aalesund	L 0-1	1507	1573	41.0%	27.0%	31.9%	-8.1	4
2010-04-25	@ Sandefjord	W 1-0	1573	1507	31.9%	27.0%	41.0%	+8.1	17
2010-04-25	Honefoss	W 2-0	1548	1435	64.6%	19.4%	16.0%	+6.4	15
2010-04-25	@ Start	L 0-2	1435	1548	16.0%	19.4%	64.6%	-6.4	3
2010-04-25	Odd Grenland	W 6-1	1562	1550	51.8%	24.8%	23.4%	+18.8	15
2010-04-25	@ Valerenga	L 1-6	1550	1562	23.4%	24.8%	51.8%	-18.8	9
2010-04-26	Tromso	L 2-3	1573	1575	49.9%	25.4%	24.7%	-8.5	8
2010-04-26	@ Molde	W 3-2	1575	1573	24.7%	25.4%	49.9%	+8.5	19
2010-05-01	Valerenga	W 1-0	1535	1581	43.9%	26.7%	29.4%	+6.3	16
2010-05-01	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1581	1535	29.4%	26.7%	43.9%	-6.3	15
2010-05-02	Molde	D 1-1	1428	1564	31.3%	27.0%	41.8%	+0.4	4
2010-05-02	@ Honefoss	D 1-1	1564	1428	41.8%	27.0%	31.3%	-0.4	9
2010-05-02	Viking	D 1-1	1445	1560	34.1%	27.2%	38.7%	+0.2	5
2010-05-02	@ Kongsvinger	D 1-1	1560	1445	38.7%	27.2%	34.1%	-0.2	12
2010-05-02	Sandefjord	W 4-0	1559	1499	58.1%	22.5%	19.5%	+15.2	14
2010-05-02	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	1499	1559	19.5%	22.5%	58.1%	-15.2	4
2010-05-02	Brann	D 0-0	1531	1538	49.3%	25.5%	25.2%	-1.1	10
2010-05-02	@ Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1538	1531	25.2%	25.5%	49.3%	+1.1	9
2010-05-02	Haugesund	D 0-0	1572	1519	57.1%	22.9%	20.0%	-1.8	10
2010-05-02	@ Stabaek	D 0-0	1519	1572	20.0%	22.9%	57.1%	+1.8	13
2010-05-02	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1584	1659	39.8%	27.1%	33.1%	-0.3	20
2010-05-02	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1659	1584	33.1%	27.1%	39.8%	+0.3	17
2010-05-03	Start	W 2-0	1581	1554	53.8%	24.1%	22.1%	+9.2	20
2010-05-03	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1554	1581	22.1%	24.1%	53.8%	-9.2	15
2010-05-05	Tromso	L 0-1	1539	1583	44.1%	26.6%	29.2%	-8.6	9
2010-05-05	@ Brann	W 1-0	1583	1539	29.2%	26.6%	44.1%	+8.6	23
2010-05-05	Stabaek	W 2-0	1659	1570	61.7%	20.8%	17.5%	+7.1	20
2010-05-05	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1570	1659	17.5%	20.8%	61.7%	-7.1	10
2010-05-05	Kongsvinger	L 0-1	1483	1445	55.2%	23.6%	21.1%	-10.2	4
2010-05-05	@ Sandefjord	W 1-0	1445	1483	21.1%	23.6%	55.2%	+10.2	8
2010-05-05	Odd Grenland	L 0-4	1542	1530	51.7%	24.8%	23.4%	-34.8	16
2010-05-05	@ Stromsgodset	W 4-0	1530	1542	23.4%	24.8%	51.7%	+34.8	13
2010-05-05	Honefoss	D 0-0	1575	1429	68.5%	17.2%	14.2%	-2.6	16
2010-05-05	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1429	1575	14.2%	17.2%	68.5%	+2.6	5
2010-05-05	Haugesund	W 1-0	1560	1521	55.4%	23.6%	21.1%	+4.6	15
2010-05-05	@ Viking	L 0-1	1521	1560	21.1%	23.6%	55.4%	-4.6	13
2010-05-06	Aalesund	W 2-1	1564	1590	46.7%	26.2%	27.2%	+5.6	12
2010-05-06	@ Molde	L 1-2	1590	1564	27.2%	26.2%	46.7%	-5.6	20
2010-05-06	Lillestrom	L 2-3	1545	1574	46.2%	26.3%	27.5%	-8.0	15
2010-05-06	@ Start	W 3-2	1574	1545	27.5%	26.3%	46.2%	+8.0	17
2010-05-08	Valerenga	L 1-2	1455	1572	33.8%	27.2%	39.0%	-6.7	8
2010-05-08	@ Kongsvinger	W 2-1	1572	1455	39.0%	27.2%	33.8%	+6.7	19
2010-05-09	Odd Grenland	L 2-3	1584	1565	52.8%	24.5%	22.7%	-8.8	20
2010-05-09	@ Aalesund	W 3-2	1565	1584	22.7%	24.5%	52.8%	+8.8	16
2010-05-09	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1516	1666	29.6%	26.7%	43.7%	+0.6	14
2010-05-09	@ Haugesund	D 0-0	1666	1516	43.7%	26.7%	29.6%	-0.6	21
2010-05-09	Sandefjord	W 1-0	1431	1473	44.5%	26.6%	28.9%	+6.2	8
2010-05-09	@ Honefoss	L 0-1	1473	1431	28.9%	26.6%	44.5%	-6.2	4
2010-05-09	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1582	1507	60.0%	21.6%	18.4%	+6.5	20
2010-05-09	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1507	1582	18.4%	21.6%	60.0%	-6.5	16
2010-05-09	Brann	W 2-1	1563	1531	54.5%	23.9%	21.6%	+4.5	13
2010-05-09	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1531	1563	21.6%	23.9%	54.5%	-4.5	9
2010-05-09	Start	W 1-0	1592	1537	57.5%	22.7%	19.8%	+4.3	26
2010-05-09	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1537	1592	19.8%	22.7%	57.5%	-4.3	15
2010-05-10	Molde	W 4-1	1564	1570	49.5%	25.5%	25.0%	+12.7	18
2010-05-10	@ Viking	L 1-4	1570	1564	25.0%	25.5%	49.5%	-12.7	12
2010-05-16	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1526	1588	41.6%	27.0%	31.5%	-0.4	10
2010-05-16	@ Brann	D 1-1	1588	1526	31.5%	27.0%	41.6%	+0.4	21
2010-05-16	Haugesund	W 2-1	1557	1517	55.5%	23.5%	21.0%	+4.3	15
2010-05-16	@ Molde	L 1-2	1517	1557	21.0%	23.5%	55.5%	-4.3	14
2010-05-16	Tromso	D 1-1	1574	1596	47.1%	26.1%	26.8%	-0.8	17
2010-05-16	@ Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1596	1574	26.8%	26.1%	47.1%	+0.8	27
2010-05-16	Honefoss	W 3-0	1665	1438	77.5%	12.0%	10.5%	+5.4	24
2010-05-16	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1438	1665	10.5%	12.0%	77.5%	-5.4	8
2010-05-16	Viking	D 0-0	1467	1577	34.7%	27.2%	38.0%	+0.2	5
2010-05-16	@ Sandefjord	D 0-0	1577	1467	38.0%	27.2%	34.7%	-0.2	19
2010-05-16	Kongsvinger	W 3-0	1532	1449	61.1%	21.1%	17.8%	+10.6	18
2010-05-16	@ Start	L 0-3	1449	1532	17.8%	21.1%	61.1%	-10.6	8
2010-05-16	Stabaek	L 1-3	1500	1567	40.9%	27.0%	32.0%	-13.3	16
2010-05-16	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1567	1500	32.0%	27.0%	40.9%	+13.3	16
2010-05-16	Aalesund	W 3-0	1579	1576	50.6%	25.2%	24.2%	+14.6	22
2010-05-16	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1576	1579	24.2%	25.2%	50.6%	-14.6	20
2010-05-24	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1561	1487	59.8%	21.7%	18.5%	+6.6	23
2010-05-24	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1487	1561	18.5%	21.7%	59.8%	-6.6	16
2010-05-24	Sandefjord	W 2-0	1512	1467	56.2%	23.2%	20.6%	+8.5	17
2010-05-24	@ Haugesund	L 0-2	1467	1512	20.6%	23.2%	56.2%	-8.5	5
2010-05-24	Brann	W 2-0	1432	1526	37.1%	27.2%	35.6%	+13.8	11
2010-05-24	@ Honefoss	L 0-2	1526	1432	35.6%	27.2%	37.1%	-13.8	10
2010-05-24	Molde	W 3-1	1438	1561	33.0%	27.1%	39.9%	+13.0	11
2010-05-24	@ Kongsvinger	L 1-3	1561	1438	39.9%	27.1%	33.0%	-13.0	15
2010-05-24	Start	W 3-0	1580	1543	55.1%	23.6%	21.2%	+12.8	19
2010-05-24	@ Stabaek	L 0-3	1543	1580	21.2%	23.6%	55.1%	-12.8	18
2010-05-24	Valerenga	W 2-1	1597	1593	50.7%	25.1%	24.1%	+5.0	30
2010-05-24	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1593	1597	24.1%	25.1%	50.7%	-5.0	22
2010-05-24	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1577	1671	37.0%	27.3%	35.7%	-7.1	19
2010-05-24	@ Viking	W 2-1	1671	1577	35.7%	27.3%	37.0%	+7.1	27
2010-05-25	Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1589	1573	52.3%	24.6%	23.0%	-0.9	22
2010-05-25	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1573	1589	23.0%	24.6%	52.3%	+0.9	18
2010-06-05	Tromso	W 2-1	1481	1602	33.2%	27.1%	39.7%	+7.5	19
2010-06-05	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1602	1481	39.7%	27.1%	33.2%	-7.5	30
2010-06-06	Aalesund	W 2-1	1512	1568	42.5%	26.9%	30.6%	+6.2	13
2010-06-06	@ Brann	L 1-2	1568	1512	30.6%	26.9%	42.5%	-6.2	23
2010-06-06	Lillestrom	D 3-3	1548	1588	44.8%	26.5%	28.7%	-0.4	16
2010-06-06	@ Molde	D 3-3	1588	1548	28.7%	26.5%	44.8%	+0.4	23
2010-06-06	Honefoss	W 1-0	1574	1446	66.4%	18.4%	15.2%	+3.2	21
2010-06-06	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1446	1574	15.2%	18.4%	66.4%	-3.2	11
2010-06-06	Kongsvinger	W 4-0	1678	1451	77.4%	12.1%	10.5%	+7.1	30
2010-06-06	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	1451	1678	10.5%	12.1%	77.4%	-7.1	11
2010-06-06	Stabaek	D 1-1	1458	1593	31.5%	27.0%	41.6%	+0.4	6
2010-06-06	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1593	1458	41.6%	27.0%	31.5%	-0.4	20
2010-06-06	Haugesund	W 5-2	1588	1521	59.0%	22.1%	18.9%	+8.3	25
2010-06-06	@ Valerenga	L 2-5	1521	1588	18.9%	22.1%	59.0%	-8.3	17
2010-06-07	Viking	D 1-1	1530	1570	44.8%	26.5%	28.7%	-0.7	19
2010-06-07	@ Start	D 1-1	1570	1530	28.7%	26.5%	44.8%	+0.6	20
2010-07-03	Sandefjord	W 1-0	1685	1459	77.3%	12.1%	10.6%	+2.0	33
2010-07-03	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1459	1685	10.6%	12.1%	77.3%	-2.0	6
2010-07-04	Start	W 4-2	1512	1530	47.9%	25.9%	26.2%	+8.4	20
2010-07-04	@ Haugesund	L 2-4	1530	1512	26.2%	25.9%	47.9%	-8.4	19
2010-07-04	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1443	1488	44.0%	26.7%	29.4%	-0.6	12
2010-07-04	@ Honefoss	D 1-1	1488	1443	29.4%	26.7%	44.0%	+0.6	20
2010-07-04	Brann	L 0-3	1444	1518	39.9%	27.1%	33.0%	-21.8	11
2010-07-04	@ Kongsvinger	W 3-0	1518	1444	33.0%	27.1%	39.9%	+21.8	16
2010-07-04	Valerenga	L 1-4	1588	1597	49.1%	25.6%	25.3%	-21.5	23
2010-07-04	@ Lillestrom	W 4-1	1597	1588	25.3%	25.6%	49.1%	+21.5	28
2010-07-04	Aalesund	L 0-1	1595	1561	54.6%	23.8%	21.5%	-10.1	30
2010-07-04	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1561	1595	21.5%	23.8%	54.6%	+10.1	26
2010-07-04	Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1570	1577	49.3%	25.6%	25.2%	+9.0	23
2010-07-04	@ Viking	L 1-3	1577	1570	25.2%	25.6%	49.3%	-9.0	21
2010-07-05	Molde	W 4-3	1593	1548	56.1%	23.3%	20.6%	+4.0	23
2010-07-05	@ Stabaek	L 3-4	1548	1593	20.6%	23.3%	56.1%	-3.9	16
2010-07-10	Molde	D 0-0	1572	1544	53.9%	24.1%	22.0%	-1.5	27
2010-07-10	@ Aalesund	D 0-0	1544	1572	22.0%	24.1%	53.9%	+1.5	17
2010-07-10	Brann	D 1-1	1521	1540	47.6%	26.0%	26.4%	-0.9	21
2010-07-10	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1540	1521	26.4%	26.0%	47.6%	+0.9	17
2010-07-10	Tromso	D 2-2	1442	1585	30.5%	26.9%	42.6%	+0.4	13
2010-07-10	@ Honefoss	D 2-2	1585	1442	42.6%	26.9%	30.5%	-0.4	31
2010-07-10	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1567	1687	33.4%	27.2%	39.5%	-6.6	23
2010-07-10	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1687	1567	39.5%	27.2%	33.4%	+6.6	36
2010-07-10	Start	L 1-2	1457	1521	41.3%	27.0%	31.7%	-7.7	6
2010-07-10	@ Sandefjord	W 2-1	1521	1457	31.7%	27.0%	41.3%	+7.7	22
2010-07-10	Viking	L 2-3	1597	1579	52.5%	24.6%	22.9%	-8.8	23
2010-07-10	@ Stabaek	W 3-2	1579	1597	22.9%	24.6%	52.5%	+8.8	26
2010-07-11	Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1422	1489	41.0%	27.0%	32.0%	-15.3	11
2010-07-11	@ Kongsvinger	W 2-0	1489	1422	32.0%	27.0%	41.0%	+15.3	23
2010-07-12	Valerenga	L 1-2	1568	1618	43.3%	26.8%	29.9%	-8.0	21
2010-07-12	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1618	1568	29.9%	26.8%	43.3%	+8.0	31
2010-07-17	Kongsvinger	W 5-2	1626	1407	76.6%	12.6%	10.8%	+4.1	34
2010-07-17	@ Valerenga	L 2-5	1407	1626	10.8%	12.6%	76.6%	-4.1	11
2010-07-18	Stabaek	D 2-2	1541	1588	43.7%	26.7%	29.6%	-0.4	18
2010-07-18	@ Brann	D 2-2	1588	1541	29.6%	26.7%	43.7%	+0.4	24
2010-07-18	Sandefjord	D 0-0	1545	1449	62.6%	20.4%	17.0%	-2.2	18
2010-07-18	@ Molde	D 0-0	1449	1545	17.0%	20.4%	62.6%	+2.2	7
2010-07-18	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1694	1560	67.1%	18.0%	14.9%	-2.2	37
2010-07-18	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1560	1694	14.9%	18.0%	67.1%	+2.2	22
2010-07-18	Aalesund	W 1-0	1529	1570	44.5%	26.6%	28.9%	+6.2	25
2010-07-18	@ Start	L 0-1	1570	1529	28.9%	26.6%	44.5%	-6.2	27
2010-07-18	Haugesund	W 2-1	1504	1520	48.0%	25.9%	26.1%	+5.4	26
2010-07-18	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1520	1504	26.1%	25.9%	48.0%	-5.4	21
2010-07-18	Honefoss	W 4-0	1588	1443	68.5%	17.2%	14.2%	+10.5	29
2010-07-18	@ Viking	L 0-4	1443	1588	14.2%	17.2%	68.5%	-10.5	13
2010-07-19	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1584	1560	53.4%	24.3%	22.3%	-1.5	32
2010-07-19	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1560	1584	22.3%	24.3%	53.4%	+1.4	24
2010-07-24	Valerenga	W 1-0	1564	1630	41.0%	27.0%	32.0%	+6.8	30
2010-07-24	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1630	1564	32.0%	27.0%	41.0%	-6.8	34
2010-07-25	Viking	W 4-0	1515	1599	38.5%	27.2%	34.3%	+25.5	24
2010-07-25	@ Haugesund	L 0-4	1599	1515	34.3%	27.2%	38.5%	-25.5	29
2010-07-25	Tromso	D 1-1	1403	1583	26.2%	25.9%	47.9%	+0.9	12
2010-07-25	@ Kongsvinger	D 1-1	1583	1403	47.9%	25.9%	26.2%	-0.9	33
2010-07-25	Start	L 1-2	1543	1535	51.3%	25.0%	23.8%	-9.1	18
2010-07-25	@ Molde	W 2-1	1535	1543	23.8%	25.0%	51.3%	+9.1	28
2010-07-25	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1562	1509	57.2%	22.9%	20.0%	+8.3	25
2010-07-25	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1509	1562	20.0%	22.9%	57.2%	-8.3	26
2010-07-25	Brann	L 1-4	1451	1540	37.8%	27.2%	35.0%	-17.7	7
2010-07-25	@ Sandefjord	W 4-1	1540	1451	35.0%	27.2%	37.8%	+17.7	21
2010-07-25	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1588	1691	35.7%	27.3%	37.0%	-6.9	24
2010-07-25	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1691	1588	37.0%	27.3%	35.7%	+6.9	40
2010-07-26	Lillestrom	W 3-2	1432	1562	32.1%	27.1%	40.8%	+7.2	16
2010-07-26	@ Honefoss	L 2-3	1562	1432	40.8%	27.1%	32.1%	-7.2	24
2010-07-31	Kongsvinger	D 2-2	1554	1404	69.1%	16.9%	14.0%	-1.8	25
2010-07-31	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1404	1554	14.0%	16.9%	69.1%	+1.8	13
2010-08-01	Molde	D 1-1	1558	1534	53.4%	24.3%	22.3%	-1.3	22
2010-08-01	@ Brann	D 1-1	1534	1558	22.3%	24.3%	53.4%	+1.3	19
2010-08-01	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1439	1571	31.9%	27.0%	41.1%	+7.7	19
2010-08-01	@ Honefoss	L 1-2	1571	1439	41.1%	27.0%	31.9%	-7.7	25
2010-08-01	Haugesund	W 4-3	1698	1540	70.0%	16.4%	13.6%	+2.4	43
2010-08-01	@ Rosenborg	L 3-4	1540	1698	13.6%	16.4%	70.0%	-2.4	24
2010-08-01	Aalesund	W 3-1	1501	1571	40.5%	27.1%	32.4%	+11.1	29
2010-08-01	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1571	1501	32.4%	27.1%	40.5%	-11.1	30
2010-08-01	Stabaek	W 3-0	1582	1581	50.2%	25.3%	24.5%	+14.7	36
2010-08-01	@ Tromso	L 0-3	1581	1582	24.5%	25.3%	50.2%	-14.7	24
2010-08-01	Sandefjord	D 0-0	1573	1434	67.8%	17.6%	14.6%	-2.6	30
2010-08-01	@ Viking	D 0-0	1434	1573	14.6%	17.6%	67.8%	+2.6	8
2010-08-02	Start	W 8-1	1623	1544	60.5%	21.4%	18.1%	+19.6	37
2010-08-02	@ Valerenga	L 1-8	1544	1623	18.1%	21.4%	60.5%	-19.6	28
2010-08-07	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1436	1701	18.9%	22.1%	59.0%	-6.8	8
2010-08-07	@ Sandefjord	W 3-1	1701	1436	59.0%	22.1%	18.9%	+6.8	46
2010-08-08	Tromso	W 2-0	1559	1597	45.1%	26.5%	28.4%	+11.6	33
2010-08-08	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1597	1559	28.4%	26.5%	45.1%	-11.6	36
2010-08-08	Valerenga	W 2-0	1538	1643	35.4%	27.2%	37.4%	+14.3	27
2010-08-08	@ Haugesund	L 0-2	1643	1538	37.4%	27.2%	35.4%	-14.3	37
2010-08-08	Honefoss	D 3-3	1405	1447	44.5%	26.6%	28.9%	-0.4	14
2010-08-08	@ Kongsvinger	D 3-3	1447	1405	28.9%	26.6%	44.5%	+0.4	20
2010-08-08	Viking	D 2-2	1535	1571	45.4%	26.4%	28.2%	-0.5	20
2010-08-08	@ Molde	D 2-2	1571	1535	28.2%	26.4%	45.4%	+0.5	31
2010-08-08	Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1567	1512	57.4%	22.8%	19.9%	-9.9	24
2010-08-08	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1512	1567	19.9%	22.8%	57.4%	+9.9	32
2010-08-08	Brann	W 3-1	1525	1557	45.8%	26.3%	27.9%	+9.9	31
2010-08-08	@ Start	L 1-3	1557	1525	27.9%	26.3%	45.8%	-9.9	22
2010-08-09	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1563	1553	51.6%	24.9%	23.5%	+4.9	28
2010-08-09	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1553	1563	23.5%	24.9%	51.6%	-4.9	25
2010-08-21	Brann	D 1-1	1522	1547	46.8%	26.1%	27.0%	-0.8	33
2010-08-21	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1547	1522	27.0%	26.1%	46.8%	+0.8	23
2010-08-22	Stabaek	L 0-4	1447	1557	34.8%	27.2%	37.9%	-25.8	20
2010-08-22	@ Honefoss	W 4-0	1557	1447	37.9%	27.2%	34.8%	+25.8	27
2010-08-22	Haugesund	L 0-1	1405	1552	29.9%	26.8%	43.3%	-6.4	14
2010-08-22	@ Kongsvinger	W 1-0	1552	1405	43.3%	26.8%	29.9%	+6.4	30
2010-08-22	Aalesund	W 1-0	1548	1571	47.0%	26.1%	26.9%	+5.8	28
2010-08-22	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1571	1548	26.9%	26.1%	47.0%	-5.9	33
2010-08-22	Molde	W 3-1	1707	1535	71.6%	15.5%	12.9%	+4.2	49
2010-08-22	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1535	1707	12.9%	15.5%	71.6%	-4.2	20
2010-08-22	Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1585	1568	52.5%	24.6%	22.9%	+8.2	39
2010-08-22	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1568	1585	22.9%	24.6%	52.5%	-8.2	28
2010-08-22	Start	D 2-2	1571	1534	55.0%	23.7%	21.3%	-1.1	32
2010-08-22	@ Viking	D 2-2	1534	1571	21.3%	23.7%	55.0%	+1.1	32
2010-08-23	Sandefjord	W 3-0	1629	1429	74.5%	13.8%	11.7%	+6.2	40
2010-08-23	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1429	1629	11.7%	13.8%	74.5%	-6.2	8
2010-08-28	Tromso	D 0-0	1558	1593	45.4%	26.4%	28.2%	-0.8	31
2010-08-28	@ Haugesund	D 0-0	1593	1558	28.2%	26.4%	45.4%	+0.8	40
2010-08-29	Honefoss	L 1-3	1565	1422	68.3%	17.4%	14.3%	-19.5	33
2010-08-29	@ Aalesund	W 3-1	1422	1565	14.3%	17.4%	68.3%	+19.5	23
2010-08-29	Valerenga	L 0-1	1531	1635	35.5%	27.2%	37.2%	-7.3	20
2010-08-29	@ Molde	W 1-0	1635	1531	37.2%	27.2%	35.5%	+7.3	43
2010-08-29	Kongsvinger	D 0-0	1560	1399	70.3%	16.2%	13.5%	-2.7	29
2010-08-29	@ Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1399	1560	13.5%	16.2%	70.3%	+2.7	15
2010-08-29	Stromsgodset	L 0-3	1423	1521	36.4%	27.3%	36.3%	-20.4	8
2010-08-29	@ Sandefjord	W 3-0	1521	1423	36.3%	27.3%	36.4%	+20.4	36
2010-08-29	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1583	1554	54.1%	24.1%	21.9%	+4.6	30
2010-08-29	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1554	1583	21.9%	24.1%	54.1%	-4.5	28
2010-08-29	Rosenborg	L 2-3	1536	1712	26.6%	26.0%	47.3%	-5.2	32
2010-08-29	@ Start	W 3-2	1712	1536	47.3%	26.0%	26.6%	+5.2	52
2010-08-30	Viking	D 3-3	1548	1570	47.1%	26.1%	26.8%	-0.5	24
2010-08-30	@ Brann	D 3-3	1570	1548	26.8%	26.1%	47.1%	+0.5	33
2010-09-11	Brann	L 0-3	1594	1547	56.4%	23.2%	20.4%	-28.5	40
2010-09-11	@ Tromso	W 3-0	1547	1594	20.4%	23.2%	56.4%	+28.4	27
2010-09-12	Haugesund	L 0-2	1441	1558	33.9%	27.2%	39.0%	-13.3	23
2010-09-12	@ Honefoss	W 2-0	1558	1441	39.0%	27.2%	33.9%	+13.3	34
2010-09-12	Sandefjord	W 1-0	1401	1403	50.0%	25.4%	24.6%	+5.4	18
2010-09-12	@ Kongsvinger	L 0-1	1403	1401	24.6%	25.4%	50.0%	-5.4	8
2010-09-12	Start	W 3-2	1549	1530	52.7%	24.5%	22.8%	+4.5	31
2010-09-12	@ Lillestrom	L 2-3	1530	1549	22.8%	24.5%	52.7%	-4.5	32
2010-09-12	Aalesund	W 2-1	1557	1546	51.7%	24.9%	23.5%	+4.9	32
2010-09-12	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1546	1557	23.5%	24.9%	51.7%	-4.9	33
2010-09-12	Viking	D 1-1	1717	1571	68.6%	17.2%	14.2%	-2.3	53
2010-09-12	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1571	1717	14.2%	17.2%	68.6%	+2.3	34
2010-09-12	Stabaek	W 3-2	1642	1587	57.5%	22.7%	19.8%	+3.9	46
2010-09-12	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1587	1642	19.8%	22.7%	57.5%	-3.9	30
2010-09-13	Molde	L 1-3	1542	1523	52.7%	24.5%	22.8%	-16.1	36
2010-09-13	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1523	1542	22.8%	24.5%	52.7%	+16.1	23
2010-09-18	Valerenga	L 3-4	1573	1646	40.0%	27.1%	32.9%	-7.0	34
2010-09-18	@ Viking	W 4-3	1646	1573	32.9%	27.1%	40.0%	+7.0	49
2010-09-19	Kongsvinger	W 2-0	1541	1407	67.2%	18.0%	14.8%	+5.8	36
2010-09-19	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1407	1541	14.8%	18.0%	67.2%	-5.8	18
2010-09-19	Rosenborg	L 2-3	1576	1714	30.9%	26.9%	42.2%	-5.9	27
2010-09-19	@ Brann	W 3-2	1714	1576	42.2%	26.9%	30.9%	+5.9	56
2010-09-19	Honefoss	W 1-0	1539	1428	64.5%	19.4%	16.1%	+3.4	26
2010-09-19	@ Molde	L 0-1	1428	1539	16.1%	19.4%	64.5%	-3.4	23
2010-09-19	Tromso	L 3-5	1397	1566	27.5%	26.2%	46.3%	-8.2	8
2010-09-19	@ Sandefjord	W 5-3	1566	1397	46.3%	26.2%	27.5%	+8.2	43
2010-09-19	Odd Grenland	L 0-3	1583	1562	53.1%	24.4%	22.5%	-27.2	30
2010-09-19	@ Stabaek	W 3-0	1562	1583	22.5%	24.4%	53.1%	+27.2	35
2010-09-19	Stromsgodset	W 4-2	1526	1526	50.2%	25.3%	24.5%	+7.9	35
2010-09-19	@ Start	L 2-4	1526	1526	24.5%	25.3%	50.2%	-7.9	36
2010-09-20	Lillestrom	D 3-3	1571	1554	52.5%	24.6%	22.9%	-0.8	35
2010-09-20	@ Haugesund	D 3-3	1554	1571	22.9%	24.6%	52.5%	+0.8	32
2010-09-25	Molde	D 1-1	1554	1543	51.7%	24.8%	23.4%	-1.2	33
2010-09-25	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1543	1554	23.4%	24.8%	51.7%	+1.2	27
2010-09-26	Haugesund	W 2-1	1547	1570	47.0%	26.1%	26.9%	+5.5	39
2010-09-26	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1570	1547	26.9%	26.1%	47.0%	-5.5	35
2010-09-26	Stabaek	L 1-2	1401	1556	29.0%	26.6%	44.4%	-5.9	18
2010-09-26	@ Kongsvinger	W 2-1	1556	1401	44.4%	26.6%	29.0%	+5.9	33
2010-09-26	Sandefjord	W 5-0	1589	1389	74.6%	13.8%	11.7%	+10.0	38
2010-09-26	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-5	1389	1589	11.7%	13.8%	74.6%	-10.0	8
2010-09-26	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1518	1720	24.0%	25.1%	50.9%	+1.1	37
2010-09-26	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1720	1518	50.9%	25.1%	24.0%	-1.1	57
2010-09-26	Viking	W 1-0	1574	1566	51.3%	25.0%	23.8%	+5.2	46
2010-09-26	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1566	1574	23.8%	25.0%	51.3%	-5.2	34
2010-09-26	Brann	W 1-0	1653	1570	61.0%	21.1%	17.8%	+3.9	52
2010-09-26	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1570	1653	17.8%	21.1%	61.0%	-3.9	27
2010-09-27	Start	D 0-0	1424	1534	34.8%	27.2%	37.9%	+0.1	24
2010-09-27	@ Honefoss	D 0-0	1534	1424	37.9%	27.2%	34.8%	-0.1	36
2010-10-02	Honefoss	W 3-2	1566	1425	68.0%	17.5%	14.5%	+2.7	30
2010-10-02	@ Brann	L 2-3	1425	1566	14.5%	17.5%	68.0%	-2.7	24
2010-10-03	Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1565	1599	45.5%	26.4%	28.1%	+16.6	38
2010-10-03	@ Haugesund	L 0-3	1599	1565	28.1%	26.4%	45.5%	-16.6	38
2010-10-03	Kongsvinger	W 2-0	1544	1395	68.9%	17.0%	14.1%	+5.4	30
2010-10-03	@ Molde	L 0-2	1395	1544	14.1%	17.0%	68.9%	-5.4	18
2010-10-03	Valerenga	W 3-1	1719	1657	58.4%	22.3%	19.3%	+6.9	60
2010-10-03	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1657	1719	19.3%	22.3%	58.4%	-6.9	52
2010-10-03	Lillestrom	L 0-1	1379	1553	26.9%	26.1%	47.0%	-5.9	8
2010-10-03	@ Sandefjord	W 1-0	1553	1379	47.0%	26.1%	26.9%	+5.9	36
2010-10-03	Aalesund	W 2-1	1562	1552	51.5%	24.9%	23.6%	+4.9	36
2010-10-03	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1552	1562	23.6%	24.9%	51.5%	-4.9	39
2010-10-03	Tromso	D 1-1	1534	1579	43.9%	26.7%	29.4%	-0.6	37
2010-10-03	@ Start	D 1-1	1579	1534	29.4%	26.7%	43.9%	+0.6	47
2010-10-04	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1561	1519	55.7%	23.4%	20.8%	+7.5	37
2010-10-04	@ Viking	L 1-3	1519	1561	20.8%	23.4%	55.7%	-7.5	37
2010-10-16	Stromsgodset	W 4-1	1650	1511	67.7%	17.7%	14.6%	+7.0	55
2010-10-16	@ Valerenga	L 1-4	1511	1650	14.6%	17.7%	67.7%	-7.0	37
2010-10-17	Sandefjord	D 2-2	1547	1373	71.7%	15.4%	12.8%	-1.9	40
2010-10-17	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1373	1547	12.8%	15.4%	71.7%	+1.9	9
2010-10-17	Stabaek	W 2-1	1581	1567	52.1%	24.7%	23.2%	+4.8	41
2010-10-17	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1567	1581	23.2%	24.7%	52.1%	-4.8	36
2010-10-17	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1422	1726	16.4%	19.7%	63.9%	-6.6	24
2010-10-17	@ Honefoss	W 2-0	1726	1422	63.9%	19.7%	16.4%	+6.6	63
2010-10-17	Start	D 3-3	1390	1533	30.4%	26.8%	42.8%	+0.3	19
2010-10-17	@ Kongsvinger	D 3-3	1533	1390	42.8%	26.8%	30.4%	-0.3	38
2010-10-17	Brann	W 3-2	1559	1568	48.9%	25.6%	25.4%	+5.0	39
2010-10-17	@ Lillestrom	L 2-3	1568	1559	25.4%	25.6%	48.9%	-5.0	30
2010-10-17	Viking	W 2-1	1582	1568	52.1%	24.7%	23.2%	+4.8	41
2010-10-17	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1568	1582	23.2%	24.7%	52.1%	-4.8	37
2010-10-18	Molde	L 0-1	1580	1549	54.2%	24.0%	21.8%	-10.1	47
2010-10-18	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1549	1580	21.8%	24.0%	54.2%	+10.1	33
2010-10-23	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1657	1564	62.2%	20.5%	17.2%	+3.5	58
2010-10-23	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1564	1657	17.2%	20.5%	62.2%	-3.5	39
2010-10-24	Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1560	1587	46.4%	26.2%	27.4%	-0.9	34
2010-10-24	@ Molde	D 0-0	1587	1560	27.4%	26.2%	46.4%	+0.9	42
2010-10-24	Tromso	W 1-0	1733	1570	70.5%	16.1%	13.4%	+2.7	66
2010-10-24	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1570	1733	13.4%	16.1%	70.5%	-2.7	47
2010-10-24	Haugesund	L 0-1	1375	1586	23.2%	24.7%	52.1%	-5.1	9
2010-10-24	@ Sandefjord	W 1-0	1586	1375	52.1%	24.7%	23.2%	+5.1	44
2010-10-24	Stabaek	W 3-2	1533	1562	46.2%	26.3%	27.6%	+5.3	41
2010-10-24	@ Start	L 2-3	1562	1533	27.6%	26.3%	46.2%	-5.3	36
2010-10-24	Honefoss	W 4-1	1504	1415	61.7%	20.8%	17.5%	+8.7	40
2010-10-24	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-4	1415	1504	17.5%	20.8%	61.7%	-8.7	24
2010-10-24	Aalesund	L 1-3	1563	1545	52.6%	24.6%	22.9%	-16.1	37
2010-10-24	@ Viking	W 3-1	1545	1563	22.9%	24.6%	52.6%	+16.1	43
2010-10-25	Kongsvinger	W 3-1	1563	1390	71.7%	15.4%	12.9%	+4.2	33
2010-10-25	@ Brann	L 1-3	1390	1563	12.9%	15.4%	71.7%	-4.2	19
2010-10-31	Brann	W 3-1	1561	1568	49.4%	25.5%	25.1%	+9.0	46
2010-10-31	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1568	1561	25.1%	25.5%	49.4%	-9.0	33
2010-10-31	Molde	L 1-2	1591	1559	54.5%	23.9%	21.6%	-9.5	44
2010-10-31	@ Haugesund	W 2-1	1559	1591	21.6%	23.9%	54.5%	+9.5	37
2010-10-31	Valerenga	W 3-1	1407	1661	19.7%	22.6%	57.7%	+17.2	27
2010-10-31	@ Honefoss	L 1-3	1661	1407	57.7%	22.6%	19.7%	-17.3	58
2010-10-31	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1386	1735	13.9%	16.8%	69.3%	+2.7	20
2010-10-31	@ Kongsvinger	D 0-0	1735	1386	69.3%	16.8%	13.9%	-2.7	67
2010-10-31	Viking	D 1-1	1560	1547	52.0%	24.8%	23.3%	-1.2	40
2010-10-31	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1547	1560	23.3%	24.8%	52.0%	+1.2	38
2010-10-31	Start	W 2-1	1588	1538	56.8%	23.0%	20.2%	+4.2	45
2010-10-31	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1538	1588	20.2%	23.0%	56.8%	-4.2	41
2010-10-31	Sandefjord	W 2-1	1557	1370	73.1%	14.6%	12.3%	+2.3	39
2010-10-31	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1370	1557	12.3%	14.6%	73.1%	-2.3	9
2010-10-31	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1567	1513	57.3%	22.8%	19.9%	+4.1	50
2010-10-31	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1513	1567	19.9%	22.8%	57.3%	-4.1	40
2010-11-07	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1559	1592	45.6%	26.4%	28.0%	-0.7	34
2010-11-07	@ Brann	D 1-1	1592	1559	28.0%	26.4%	45.6%	+0.7	46
2010-11-07	Stabaek	W 1-0	1568	1559	51.4%	24.9%	23.6%	+5.2	40
2010-11-07	@ Molde	L 0-1	1559	1568	23.6%	24.9%	51.4%	-5.2	39
2010-11-07	Aalesund	D 2-2	1733	1570	70.4%	16.2%	13.4%	-1.8	68
2010-11-07	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1570	1733	13.4%	16.2%	70.4%	+1.8	47
2010-11-07	Honefoss	W 6-1	1368	1424	42.4%	26.9%	30.7%	+23.9	12
2010-11-07	@ Sandefjord	L 1-6	1424	1368	30.7%	26.9%	42.4%	-23.9	27
2010-11-07	Haugesund	D 3-3	1534	1582	43.6%	26.7%	29.7%	-0.3	42
2010-11-07	@ Start	D 3-3	1582	1534	29.7%	26.7%	43.6%	+0.3	45
2010-11-07	Lillestrom	W 5-4	1509	1559	43.3%	26.8%	30.0%	+5.5	43
2010-11-07	@ Stromsgodset	L 4-5	1559	1509	30.0%	26.8%	43.3%	-5.5	40
2010-11-07	Tromso	W 3-0	1643	1571	59.6%	21.8%	18.6%	+11.1	61
2010-11-07	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1571	1643	18.6%	21.8%	59.6%	-11.1	50
2010-11-07	Kongsvinger	W 3-1	1548	1388	70.2%	16.3%	13.5%	+4.5	41
2010-11-07	@ Viking	L 1-3	1388	1548	13.5%	16.3%	70.2%	-4.5	20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2010-04-21	12.90%	Honefoss	1423	1	@ Stabaek	1595	0
2	2010-08-29	14.35%	Honefoss	1422	3	@ Aalesund	1565	1
3	2010-10-31	19.69%	@ Honefoss	1407	3	Valerenga	1661	1
4	2010-08-08	19.87%	Stromsgodset	1512	2	@ Stabaek	1567	1
5	2010-04-05	20.33%	Tromso	1552	1	@ Stabaek	1600	0
6	2010-09-11	20.44%	Brann	1547	3	@ Tromso	1594	0
7	2010-05-05	21.14%	Kongsvinger	1445	1	@ Sandefjord	1483	0
8	2010-07-04	21.53%	Aalesund	1561	1	@ Tromso	1595	0
9	2010-10-31	21.60%	Molde	1559	2	@ Haugesund	1591	1
10	2010-10-18	21.79%	Molde	1549	1	@ Tromso	1580	0
11	2010-09-19	22.53%	Odd Grenland	1562	3	@ Stabaek	1583	0
12	2010-05-09	22.72%	Odd Grenland	1565	3	@ Aalesund	1584	2
13	2010-09-13	22.81%	Molde	1523	3	@ Stromsgodset	1542	1
14	2010-10-24	22.85%	Aalesund	1545	3	@ Viking	1563	1
15	2010-07-10	22.89%	Viking	1579	3	@ Stabaek	1597	2
16	2010-05-05	23.43%	Odd Grenland	1530	4	@ Stromsgodset	1542	0
17	2010-07-25	23.75%	Start	1535	2	@ Molde	1543	1
18	2010-04-26	24.74%	Tromso	1575	3	@ Molde	1573	2
19	2010-07-04	25.32%	Valerenga	1597	4	@ Lillestrom	1588	1
20	2010-04-11	26.00%	Kongsvinger	1453	2	@ Honefoss	1438	1
21	2010-04-11	26.18%	Start	1550	4	@ Brann	1533	3
22	2010-05-06	27.53%	Lillestrom	1574	3	@ Start	1545	2
23	2010-04-15	27.99%	Valerenga	1553	1	@ Sandefjord	1519	0
24	2010-03-14	28.01%	Rosenborg	1620	2	@ Molde	1587	1
25	2010-03-14	28.94%	Stabaek	1594	3	@ Odd Grenland	1552	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2010-05-05	34.78	Odd Grenland	4	1530	23.43%	@ Stromsgodset	0	1542	51.74%
2	2010-09-11	28.45	Brann	3	1547	20.44%	@ Tromso	0	1594	56.40%
3	2010-09-19	27.15	Odd Grenland	3	1562	22.53%	@ Stabaek	0	1583	53.07%
4	2010-08-22	25.79	Stabaek	4	1557	37.93%	@ Honefoss	0	1447	34.84%
5	2010-07-25	25.51	@ Haugesund	4	1515	38.46%	Viking	0	1599	34.34%
6	2010-11-07	23.86	@ Sandefjord	6	1368	42.45%	Honefoss	1	1424	30.68%
7	2010-04-25	22.33	@ Brann	4	1516	44.42%	Stromsgodset	0	1558	28.99%
8	2010-03-28	22.23	@ Lillestrom	6	1535	58.21%	Honefoss	0	1474	19.39%
9	2010-07-04	21.82	Brann	3	1518	32.97%	@ Kongsvinger	0	1444	39.90%
10	2010-07-04	21.55	Valerenga	4	1597	25.32%	@ Lillestrom	1	1588	49.08%
11	2010-03-21	20.51	@ Viking	4	1536	47.84%	Brann	0	1553	26.25%
12	2010-08-29	20.40	Stromsgodset	3	1521	36.32%	@ Sandefjord	0	1423	36.43%
13	2010-08-02	19.64	@ Valerenga	8	1623	60.49%	Start	1	1544	18.13%
14	2010-08-29	19.46	Honefoss	3	1422	14.35%	@ Aalesund	1	1565	68.26%
15	2010-04-25	18.81	@ Valerenga	6	1562	51.80%	Odd Grenland	1	1550	23.38%
16	2010-07-25	17.66	Brann	4	1540	35.02%	@ Sandefjord	1	1451	37.75%
17	2010-10-31	17.26	@ Honefoss	3	1407	19.69%	Valerenga	1	1661	57.68%
18	2010-10-03	16.65	@ Haugesund	3	1565	45.50%	Odd Grenland	0	1599	28.10%
19	2010-09-13	16.09	Molde	3	1523	22.81%	@ Stromsgodset	1	1542	52.66%
20	2010-10-24	16.08	Aalesund	3	1545	22.85%	@ Viking	1	1563	52.59%
21	2010-03-21	15.60	Aalesund	2	1549	31.10%	@ Honefoss	0	1490	41.97%
22	2010-07-11	15.32	Stromsgodset	2	1489	31.99%	@ Kongsvinger	0	1422	40.98%
23	2010-05-02	15.25	@ Lillestrom	4	1559	58.08%	Sandefjord	0	1499	19.46%
24	2010-03-14	15.00	@ Aalesund	3	1534	49.58%	Lillestrom	0	1539	24.96%
25	2010-08-01	14.73	@ Tromso	3	1582	50.25%	Stabaek	0	1581	24.47%