2011 Tippeligaen Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Molde

58 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Molde

12.02 points above expected

58 points · 45.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Start

11.51 points below expected

26 points · 37.51 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Molde	30	17	7	6	58	54	38	+16	46.0	+12.02
2	Tromso	30	15	8	7	53	56	34	+22	46.5	+6.53
3	Rosenborg	30	14	7	9	49	69	44	+25	54.1	-5.09
4	Brann	30	14	6	10	48	51	49	+2	43.4	+4.63
5	Odd Grenland	30	14	6	10	48	44	44	0	42.7	+5.27
6	Haugesund	30	14	5	11	47	55	43	+12	44.1	+2.87
7	Valerenga	30	14	5	11	47	42	33	+9	47.9	-0.94
8	Stromsgodset	30	12	9	9	45	44	43	+1	40.3	+4.67
9	Aalesund	30	12	7	11	43	36	38	-2	41.2	+1.79
10	Stabaek	30	11	6	13	39	44	50	-6	39.3	-0.26
11	Viking	30	9	10	11	37	33	40	-7	39.7	-2.66
12	Fredrikstad	30	10	6	14	36	38	41	-3	38.4	-2.35
13	Lillestrom	30	9	7	14	34	46	52	-6	43.0	-9.00
14	Sogndal	30	8	10	12	34	24	31	-7	34.2	-0.24
15	Start	30	7	5	18	26	39	61	-22	37.5	-11.51
16	Sarpsborg 08	30	5	6	19	21	31	65	-34	32.3	-11.31

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1622	49	54.09	-5.09	24.9%	29	43	50	54	59	65	78
Tromso	1583	53	46.47	+6.53	83.7%	21	35	42	46	51	58	71
Molde	1580	58	45.98	+12.02	96.1%	19	34	41	46	51	58	74
Valerenga	1575	47	47.94	-0.94	47.1%	23	36	43	48	53	60	74
Haugesund	1563	47	44.13	+2.87	68.0%	20	33	39	44	49	56	70
Odd Grenland	1536	48	42.73	+5.27	79.5%	17	31	38	43	47	54	69
Brann	1518	48	43.37	+4.63	76.8%	16	32	39	43	48	55	71
Aalesund	1504	43	41.21	+1.79	63.0%	14	30	36	41	46	53	69
Stromsgodset	1504	45	40.33	+4.67	77.6%	16	29	36	40	45	52	66
Viking	1492	37	39.66	-2.66	38.3%	11	28	35	40	44	51	65
Fredrikstad	1474	36	38.35	-2.35	39.8%	13	27	34	38	43	50	64
Stabaek	1463	39	39.26	-0.26	51.5%	16	28	34	39	44	51	67
Lillestrom	1457	34	43.00	-9.00	11.1%	17	31	38	43	48	54	70
Sogndal	1456	34	34.24	-0.24	51.7%	11	23	30	34	39	46	62
Start	1413	26	37.51	-11.51	5.4%	14	26	33	37	42	49	65
Sarpsborg 08	1344	21	32.31	-11.31	4.9%	11	22	28	32	37	44	59

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BRA	FRE	HAU	LIL	MOL	OG	ROS	S0	SOG	STA	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 3.08	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 2.87	0-0-2 2.47	0-1-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.12	1-0-1 3.37	1-1-0 3.16	2-0-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 3.04
Brann	0-1-1 2.86	—	0-0-2 3.18	1-1-0 2.73	2-0-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.72	2-0-0 2.83	2-0-0 2.04	2-0-0 3.46	1-0-1 3.37	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 2.96	0-1-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 3.13
Fredrikstad	2-0-0 2.50	2-0-0 2.41	—	1-0-1 2.42	0-2-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.22	0-0-2 2.60	1-0-1 1.91	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.79	0-1-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.29	2-0-0 2.20	0-0-2 2.74
Haugesund	1-0-1 3.04	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 3.18	—	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.86	1-1-0 2.24	2-0-0 3.25	1-0-1 3.46	1-0-1 3.12	2-0-0 3.25	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.61	1-1-0 3.16
Lillestrom	0-1-1 2.69	0-0-2 2.75	0-2-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.77	—	0-0-2 2.92	1-1-0 2.95	0-1-1 1.98	2-0-0 3.38	0-0-2 3.53	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.90
Molde	2-0-0 3.10	1-1-0 2.87	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.03	2-0-0 2.68	—	0-1-1 3.07	0-0-2 2.41	1-0-1 3.76	1-0-1 3.63	1-1-0 3.29	2-0-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.11	1-1-0 2.77	2-0-0 2.69	0-2-0 3.05
Odd Grenland	1-1-0 2.79	0-0-2 2.74	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.63	1-1-0 2.52	—	0-1-1 2.18	1-0-1 3.78	2-0-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.50	1-1-0 2.39	1-1-0 2.94
Rosenborg	1-1-0 3.52	0-0-2 3.58	1-0-1 3.73	0-1-1 3.36	1-1-0 3.60	2-0-0 3.17	1-1-0 3.42	—	2-0-0 4.18	1-1-0 4.09	0-0-2 3.74	1-1-0 3.74	1-0-1 3.76	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 3.15	1-1-0 3.66
Sarpsborg 08	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-2 2.17	0-1-1 2.38	0-0-2 2.33	0-0-2 2.24	1-0-1 1.91	1-0-1 1.82	0-0-2 1.47	—	1-0-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.42	0-1-1 2.17	0-1-1 1.79	0-0-2 1.98	0-2-0 2.03
Sogndal	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.22	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.13	2-0-0 2.07	1-0-1 1.96	0-0-2 2.27	0-1-1 1.57	1-0-1 2.67	—	1-1-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.65	0-1-1 2.50	0-2-0 2.09	0-1-1 2.04	0-1-1 2.46
Stabaek	0-0-2 2.66	0-1-1 2.60	2-0-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.64	2-0-0 1.87	1-1-0 3.28	0-1-1 3.08	—	2-0-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.05	0-0-2 2.93
Start	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.43	1-1-0 2.66	0-0-2 2.32	1-0-1 2.28	0-0-2 2.29	1-0-1 2.33	0-1-1 1.92	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 2.94	0-0-2 2.77	—	1-0-1 2.77	0-0-2 2.28	0-0-2 2.14	1-1-0 2.64
Stromsgodset	0-1-1 2.78	1-1-0 2.61	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 1.84	1-1-0 3.40	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.82	—	0-1-1 2.48	1-1-0 2.36	1-1-0 2.87
Tromso	1-0-1 3.28	1-1-0 2.93	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.96	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.36	1-1-0 3.81	0-2-0 3.51	1-1-0 3.22	2-0-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.11	—	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 3.24
Valerenga	1-0-1 3.39	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-2 3.42	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 3.08	0-0-2 2.90	0-1-1 3.20	1-0-1 2.41	2-0-0 3.61	1-1-0 3.57	1-0-1 3.55	2-0-0 3.48	0-1-1 3.22	1-0-1 2.81	—	2-0-0 3.26
Viking	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.45	2-0-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.69	0-2-0 2.55	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 1.95	0-2-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.12	2-0-0 2.65	0-1-1 2.97	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.34	0-0-2 2.34	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.58%	8.75%	8.12%	1.67%	0.83%	1.04%	25.00%
1	8.75%	11.25%	5.62%	5.00%	1.67%	0.83%	33.12%
2	8.12%	5.62%	5.42%	2.29%	1.46%	0.62%	23.54%
3	1.67%	5.00%	2.29%	1.25%	0.21%	0.42%	10.83%
4	0.83%	1.67%	1.46%	0.21%	0.42%	—	4.58%
5+	1.04%	0.83%	0.62%	0.42%	—	—	2.92%
Total	25.00%	33.12%	23.54%	10.83%	4.58%	2.92%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	2.94
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.014
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	33.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	33.33%	23.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.137
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	10.00%	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	—	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
Total	23.33%	33.33%	10.00%	23.33%	10.00%	—	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.151
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	43.33%	26.67%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.067
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	20.00%
1	10.00%	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	26.67%	36.67%	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Haugesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.51
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.152
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	40.00%
1	—	16.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
2	—	6.67%	—	—	—	3.33%	10.00%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
5+	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	10.00%	43.33%	23.33%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.83
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.149
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	20.00%
1	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	26.67%	36.67%	26.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.80
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.121
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
1	26.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
2	—	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	26.67%	23.33%	16.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Odd Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.011
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	—	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
2	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	20.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
5+	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	26.67%	30.00%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.30
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.74
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.074
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	40.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	3.33%	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	26.67%	26.67%	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	2.17
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.62
Mean total goals/game	3.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.038
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	46.67%
1	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	20.00%	—	6.67%	—	100%

Sogndal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.80
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.129
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	26.67%
1	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	43.33%	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.032
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	3.33%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	50.00%
2	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	16.67%	23.33%	30.00%	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	2.03
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.237
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	36.67%	30.00%	—	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.001
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
2	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
3	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	20.00%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.011
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	46.67%
2	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	26.67%	30.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.93
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.320
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	33.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	20.00%	23.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.030
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Molde	58	46.0	+12.02
2	Tromso	53	46.5	+6.53
3	Odd Grenland	48	42.7	+5.27
4	Stromsgodset	45	40.3	+4.67
5	Brann	48	43.4	+4.63

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Start	26	37.5	-11.51
2	Sarpsborg 08	21	32.3	-11.31
3	Lillestrom	34	43.0	-9.00
4	Rosenborg	49	54.1	-5.09
5	Viking	37	39.7	-2.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Odd Grenland	5	Sep 11 – Oct 2	1 in 142
2	Molde	5	Jun 29 – Aug 4	1 in 65
3	Valerenga	4	Sep 18 – Oct 14	1 in 42
4	Stabaek	4	Jul 17 – Aug 13	1 in 36
5	Stromsgodset	3	Apr 10 – Apr 25	1 in 14

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lillestrom	6	Aug 22 – Sep 30	1 in 319
2	Sarpsborg 08	7	Jul 3 – Sep 12	1 in 85
3	Odd Grenland	4	Jun 30 – Jul 31	1 in 46
4	Stabaek	4	Aug 28 – Sep 24	1 in 42
5	Start	5	Jul 17 – Aug 21	1 in 40

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Odd Grenland	9	Sep 11 – Nov 20	1 in 105
2	Tromso	10	Mar 20 – Jun 16	1 in 45
3	Molde	10	Aug 22 – Nov 20	1 in 34
4	Brann	7	Jul 31 – Sep 16	1 in 33
5	Aalesund	6	Sep 29 – Oct 30	1 in 29

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sarpsborg 08	21	May 28 – Nov 20	1 in 1,148
2	Lillestrom	11	Aug 22 – Nov 27	1 in 291
3	Start	9	Jun 19 – Aug 21	1 in 42
4	Viking	8	Apr 11 – Jun 13	1 in 34
5	Stromsgodset	7	Aug 7 – Sep 18	1 in 28

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Molde	8.51%	11.31%	10.67%	10.84%	9.93%	8.65%	7.18%	6.49%	6.22%	5.25%	3.89%	3.83%	3.05%	2.10%	1.32%	0.76%
Tromso	9.91%	12.74%	11.90%	10.10%	9.68%	8.46%	7.06%	6.15%	5.59%	4.57%	3.85%	3.40%	2.44%	2.00%	1.46%	0.69%
Rosenborg	45.42%	18.99%	11.71%	7.20%	5.04%	3.55%	2.66%	1.95%	1.13%	0.90%	0.54%	0.43%	0.25%	0.14%	0.05%	0.04%
Brann	3.72%	6.76%	7.56%	8.61%	8.33%	8.09%	8.59%	7.65%	6.99%	7.23%	6.47%	5.97%	5.04%	4.15%	3.02%	1.82%
Odd Grenland	3.29%	5.85%	6.71%	7.46%	7.98%	7.54%	8.15%	8.02%	7.84%	7.69%	7.32%	6.02%	5.51%	4.72%	3.65%	2.25%
Haugesund	5.30%	7.80%	9.20%	9.14%	8.90%	8.47%	7.87%	7.76%	6.90%	6.24%	5.60%	5.30%	4.27%	3.43%	2.44%	1.38%
Valerenga	13.11%	14.54%	13.54%	10.84%	9.19%	7.73%	6.87%	5.45%	4.60%	3.66%	3.33%	2.63%	1.71%	1.63%	0.78%	0.39%
Stromsgodset	1.71%	3.40%	4.19%	5.10%	6.00%	6.58%	7.26%	7.96%	8.01%	7.87%	8.29%	8.12%	7.98%	6.92%	6.20%	4.41%
Aalesund	2.09%	3.84%	5.24%	5.86%	6.65%	7.32%	7.37%	7.75%	8.09%	7.73%	7.81%	7.75%	7.20%	6.58%	5.25%	3.47%
Stabaek	1.00%	2.44%	3.07%	4.47%	4.81%	5.90%	6.37%	7.19%	7.50%	7.89%	8.56%	8.73%	8.67%	8.78%	8.09%	6.53%
Viking	1.14%	2.54%	3.63%	4.43%	5.17%	6.05%	6.62%	7.44%	7.46%	8.37%	8.04%	8.51%	9.10%	8.12%	7.67%	5.71%
Fredrikstad	0.77%	1.75%	2.80%	3.66%	4.37%	5.59%	5.74%	6.67%	7.08%	7.63%	8.73%	8.86%	9.50%	9.70%	9.35%	7.80%
Lillestrom	3.34%	6.01%	6.41%	7.67%	8.11%	8.05%	8.86%	7.70%	7.67%	7.43%	7.12%	6.15%	5.19%	4.35%	3.45%	2.49%
Sogndal	0.14%	0.51%	0.79%	1.26%	1.53%	2.51%	2.88%	3.54%	4.84%	5.76%	6.99%	8.49%	10.76%	13.37%	16.58%	20.05%
Start	0.50%	1.27%	2.12%	2.67%	3.31%	4.27%	4.96%	5.60%	6.94%	7.80%	8.35%	9.11%	10.08%	10.59%	12.41%	10.02%
Sarpsborg 08	0.05%	0.25%	0.46%	0.69%	1.00%	1.24%	1.56%	2.68%	3.14%	3.98%	5.11%	6.70%	9.25%	13.42%	18.28%	32.19%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	99.9%	0.1%
Valerenga	98.8%	1.2%
Molde	97.9%	2.1%
Tromso	97.9%	2.1%
Haugesund	96.2%	3.8%
Brann	95.2%	4.8%
Odd Grenland	94.1%	5.9%
Lillestrom	94.1%	5.9%
Aalesund	91.3%	8.7%
Stromsgodset	89.4%	10.6%
Viking	86.6%	13.4%
Stabaek	85.4%	14.6%
Fredrikstad	82.8%	17.2%
Start	77.6%	22.4%
Sogndal	63.4%	36.6%
Sarpsborg 08	49.5%	50.5%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2011-03-18	Molde	W 3-0	1443	1514	43.1%	22.6%	34.2%	+15.0	3
2011-03-18	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-3	1514	1443	34.2%	22.6%	43.1%	-15.0	0
2011-03-19	Valerenga	L 0-2	1504	1556	45.8%	22.4%	31.8%	-13.0	0
2011-03-19	@ Viking	W 2-0	1556	1504	31.8%	22.4%	45.8%	+13.0	3
2011-03-20	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1507	1595	40.8%	22.7%	36.5%	+5.4	3
2011-03-20	@ Brann	L 1-2	1595	1507	36.5%	22.7%	40.8%	-5.4	0
2011-03-20	Start	L 0-2	1524	1492	57.1%	20.2%	22.8%	-15.6	0
2011-03-20	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1492	1524	22.8%	20.2%	57.1%	+15.6	3
2011-03-20	Lillestrom	L 0-7	1504	1505	52.8%	21.2%	26.0%	-46.9	0
2011-03-20	@ Stabaek	W 7-0	1505	1504	26.0%	21.2%	52.8%	+46.9	3
2011-03-20	Sogndal	W 2-1	1482	1445	57.6%	20.0%	22.4%	+3.5	3
2011-03-20	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1445	1482	22.4%	20.0%	57.6%	-3.5	0
2011-03-20	Haugesund	W 2-0	1506	1520	50.9%	21.6%	27.5%	+8.5	3
2011-03-20	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1520	1506	27.5%	21.6%	50.9%	-8.5	0
2011-03-21	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1514	1472	58.2%	19.8%	21.9%	-7.9	0
2011-03-21	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1472	1514	21.9%	19.8%	58.2%	+7.9	3
2011-04-01	Aalesund	W 2-0	1569	1506	60.9%	18.9%	20.1%	+6.3	6
2011-04-01	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1506	1569	20.1%	18.9%	60.9%	-6.3	0
2011-04-02	Viking	L 0-1	1480	1491	51.4%	21.5%	27.1%	-7.6	3
2011-04-02	@ Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1491	1480	27.1%	21.5%	51.4%	+7.6	3
2011-04-03	Sarpsborg 08	W 4-2	1512	1458	59.8%	19.3%	20.9%	+5.1	3
2011-04-03	@ Haugesund	L 2-4	1458	1512	20.9%	19.3%	59.8%	-5.1	3
2011-04-03	Tromso	D 2-2	1499	1514	50.8%	21.6%	27.5%	-0.6	1
2011-04-03	@ Molde	D 2-2	1514	1499	27.5%	21.6%	50.8%	+0.6	4
2011-04-03	Stabaek	L 1-2	1590	1457	68.9%	15.8%	15.4%	-9.0	0
2011-04-03	@ Rosenborg	W 2-1	1457	1590	15.4%	15.8%	68.9%	+9.0	3
2011-04-03	Odd Grenland	L 1-4	1442	1509	43.7%	22.6%	33.7%	-15.3	0
2011-04-03	@ Sogndal	W 4-1	1509	1442	33.7%	22.6%	43.7%	+15.3	3
2011-04-03	Stromsgodset	W 5-1	1508	1485	55.8%	20.5%	23.7%	+11.8	6
2011-04-03	@ Start	L 1-5	1485	1508	23.7%	20.5%	55.8%	-11.8	3
2011-04-04	Brann	L 1-4	1552	1513	57.9%	19.9%	22.2%	-19.3	3
2011-04-04	@ Lillestrom	W 4-1	1513	1552	22.2%	19.9%	57.9%	+19.3	6
2011-04-08	Valerenga	W 1-0	1466	1576	37.6%	22.8%	39.6%	+6.1	6
2011-04-08	@ Stabaek	L 0-1	1576	1466	39.6%	22.8%	37.6%	-6.1	6
2011-04-09	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1532	1472	60.5%	19.1%	20.4%	-8.7	6
2011-04-09	@ Brann	W 1-0	1472	1532	20.4%	19.1%	60.5%	+8.7	6
2011-04-10	Haugesund	W 1-0	1499	1517	50.6%	21.7%	27.8%	+4.6	3
2011-04-10	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1517	1499	27.8%	21.7%	50.6%	-4.6	3
2011-04-10	Lillestrom	D 4-4	1581	1533	59.0%	19.6%	21.4%	-0.7	1
2011-04-10	@ Rosenborg	D 4-4	1533	1581	21.4%	19.6%	59.0%	+0.7	4
2011-04-10	Sogndal	W 1-0	1453	1427	56.2%	20.4%	23.4%	+3.9	6
2011-04-10	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1427	1453	23.4%	20.4%	56.2%	-3.9	0
2011-04-10	Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1474	1524	46.0%	22.4%	31.6%	+9.7	6
2011-04-10	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1524	1474	31.6%	22.4%	46.0%	-9.7	3
2011-04-10	Start	W 2-0	1515	1519	52.3%	21.3%	26.4%	+8.2	7
2011-04-10	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1519	1515	26.4%	21.3%	52.3%	-8.2	6
2011-04-11	Molde	D 2-2	1499	1498	53.0%	21.2%	25.8%	-0.7	4
2011-04-11	@ Viking	D 2-2	1498	1499	25.8%	21.2%	53.0%	+0.7	2
2011-04-15	Brann	D 3-3	1512	1524	51.4%	21.5%	27.1%	-0.5	4
2011-04-15	@ Haugesund	D 3-3	1524	1512	27.1%	21.5%	51.4%	+0.5	7
2011-04-16	Viking	W 4-0	1511	1498	54.6%	20.8%	24.6%	+14.6	9
2011-04-16	@ Start	L 0-4	1498	1511	24.6%	20.8%	54.6%	-14.6	4
2011-04-17	Stabaek	W 3-2	1499	1472	56.4%	20.4%	23.3%	+3.5	5
2011-04-17	@ Molde	L 2-3	1472	1499	23.3%	20.4%	56.4%	-3.5	6
2011-04-17	Aalesund	D 2-2	1515	1504	54.3%	20.9%	24.8%	-0.7	4
2011-04-17	@ Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1504	1515	24.8%	20.9%	54.3%	+0.7	4
2011-04-17	Tromso	D 0-0	1423	1523	39.0%	22.8%	38.3%	-0.0	1
2011-04-17	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1523	1423	38.3%	22.8%	39.0%	+0.0	8
2011-04-17	Sarpsborg 08	W 5-2	1483	1456	56.4%	20.4%	23.3%	+7.8	9
2011-04-17	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-5	1456	1483	23.3%	20.4%	56.4%	-7.8	6
2011-04-17	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1570	1533	57.6%	20.0%	22.4%	-1.2	7
2011-04-17	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1533	1570	22.4%	20.0%	57.6%	+1.2	5
2011-04-18	Rosenborg	W 2-0	1481	1580	39.2%	22.8%	38.1%	+11.2	9
2011-04-18	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1580	1481	38.1%	22.8%	39.2%	-11.2	1
2011-04-25	Sogndal	W 1-0	1505	1423	63.1%	18.1%	18.7%	+3.1	7
2011-04-25	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1423	1505	18.7%	18.1%	63.1%	-3.1	1
2011-04-25	Molde	L 1-3	1524	1502	55.7%	20.5%	23.8%	-13.2	7
2011-04-25	@ Brann	W 3-1	1502	1524	23.8%	20.5%	55.7%	+13.2	8
2011-04-25	Haugesund	W 5-0	1534	1512	55.8%	20.5%	23.7%	+17.4	8
2011-04-25	@ Lillestrom	L 0-5	1512	1534	23.7%	20.5%	55.8%	-17.4	4
2011-04-25	Valerenga	W 2-0	1569	1568	52.9%	21.2%	25.9%	+8.1	4
2011-04-25	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1568	1569	25.9%	21.2%	52.9%	-8.1	7
2011-04-25	Start	W 2-0	1449	1526	42.3%	22.7%	35.0%	+10.5	9
2011-04-25	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-2	1526	1449	35.0%	22.7%	42.3%	-10.5	9
2011-04-25	Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1469	1492	49.8%	21.8%	28.4%	+7.6	9
2011-04-25	@ Stabaek	L 1-3	1492	1469	28.4%	21.8%	49.8%	-7.6	9
2011-04-25	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1523	1514	54.1%	20.9%	25.0%	+3.9	11
2011-04-25	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1514	1523	25.0%	20.9%	54.1%	-3.9	4
2011-04-25	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1484	1491	51.9%	21.4%	26.7%	-7.6	4
2011-04-25	@ Viking	W 1-0	1491	1484	26.7%	21.4%	51.9%	+7.6	12
2011-05-06	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1485	1552	43.7%	22.6%	33.7%	-0.3	10
2011-05-06	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1552	1485	33.7%	22.6%	43.7%	+0.3	9
2011-05-07	Brann	L 0-2	1560	1511	59.2%	19.5%	21.3%	-16.0	7
2011-05-07	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	1511	1560	21.3%	19.5%	59.2%	+16.0	10
2011-05-08	Stabaek	L 3-4	1495	1476	55.3%	20.7%	24.1%	-7.0	4
2011-05-08	@ Haugesund	W 4-3	1476	1495	24.1%	20.7%	55.3%	+7.0	12
2011-05-08	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1516	1577	44.5%	22.5%	33.0%	-12.7	8
2011-05-08	@ Molde	W 2-0	1577	1516	33.0%	22.5%	44.5%	+12.7	7
2011-05-08	Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1510	1459	59.4%	19.5%	21.2%	+3.5	7
2011-05-08	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1459	1510	21.2%	19.5%	59.4%	-3.5	9
2011-05-08	Aalesund	L 2-3	1515	1508	53.9%	21.0%	25.1%	-7.0	9
2011-05-08	@ Start	W 3-2	1508	1515	25.1%	21.0%	53.9%	+7.1	10
2011-05-08	Tromso	D 1-1	1499	1527	49.1%	21.9%	29.0%	-0.7	13
2011-05-08	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1527	1499	29.0%	21.9%	49.1%	+0.7	12
2011-05-09	Viking	D 0-0	1420	1476	45.2%	22.4%	32.3%	-0.5	2
2011-05-09	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1476	1420	32.3%	22.4%	45.2%	+0.5	5
2011-05-16	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1515	1498	55.1%	20.7%	24.2%	+3.8	13
2011-05-16	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1498	1515	24.2%	20.7%	55.1%	-3.8	13
2011-05-16	Start	W 2-1	1527	1508	55.3%	20.6%	24.1%	+3.8	13
2011-05-16	@ Brann	L 1-2	1508	1527	24.1%	20.6%	55.3%	-3.8	9
2011-05-16	Valerenga	W 3-1	1484	1544	44.7%	22.5%	32.8%	+8.6	13
2011-05-16	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1544	1484	32.8%	22.5%	44.7%	-8.6	7
2011-05-16	Molde	L 0-3	1552	1503	59.2%	19.5%	21.3%	-23.3	9
2011-05-16	@ Lillestrom	W 3-0	1503	1552	21.3%	19.5%	59.2%	+23.3	11
2011-05-16	Haugesund	L 0-1	1590	1487	65.4%	17.2%	17.3%	-9.2	7
2011-05-16	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1487	1590	17.3%	17.2%	65.4%	+9.2	7
2011-05-16	Sogndal	L 0-1	1483	1419	61.0%	18.9%	20.1%	-8.7	12
2011-05-16	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1419	1483	20.1%	18.9%	61.0%	+8.7	5
2011-05-16	Sarpsborg 08	D 2-2	1528	1456	61.9%	18.6%	19.5%	-1.1	13
2011-05-16	@ Tromso	D 2-2	1456	1528	19.5%	18.6%	61.9%	+1.1	10
2011-05-16	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1476	1513	47.9%	22.1%	30.0%	-0.6	6
2011-05-16	@ Viking	D 1-1	1513	1476	30.0%	22.1%	47.9%	+0.6	8
2011-05-19	Valerenga	D 1-1	1497	1536	47.6%	22.1%	30.2%	-0.6	8
2011-05-19	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1536	1497	30.2%	22.1%	47.6%	+0.6	8
2011-05-19	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1526	1493	57.2%	20.1%	22.7%	+3.6	14
2011-05-19	@ Molde	L 1-2	1493	1526	22.7%	20.1%	57.2%	-3.6	13
2011-05-19	Stabaek	L 2-3	1514	1475	58.0%	19.9%	22.1%	-7.5	8
2011-05-19	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-2	1475	1514	22.1%	19.9%	58.0%	+7.5	15
2011-05-19	Aalesund	W 2-0	1457	1519	44.4%	22.5%	33.1%	+10.0	13
2011-05-19	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-2	1519	1457	33.1%	22.5%	44.4%	-10.0	13
2011-05-19	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1428	1529	38.9%	22.8%	38.4%	+11.3	8
2011-05-19	@ Sogndal	L 0-2	1529	1428	38.4%	22.8%	38.9%	-11.3	9
2011-05-19	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1504	1580	42.5%	22.7%	34.9%	-0.2	10
2011-05-19	@ Start	D 1-1	1580	1504	34.9%	22.7%	42.5%	+0.2	8
2011-05-19	Brann	W 1-0	1494	1531	48.0%	22.1%	29.9%	+4.9	16
2011-05-19	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1531	1494	29.9%	22.1%	48.0%	-4.9	13
2011-05-19	Viking	W 3-1	1527	1476	59.4%	19.5%	21.2%	+5.8	16
2011-05-19	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1476	1527	21.2%	19.5%	59.4%	-5.8	6
2011-05-28	Lillestrom	L 2-4	1467	1518	46.0%	22.4%	31.6%	-10.1	13
2011-05-28	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 4-2	1518	1467	31.6%	22.4%	46.0%	+10.1	12
2011-05-28	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1499	1489	54.2%	20.9%	24.9%	+4.1	19
2011-05-28	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1489	1499	24.9%	20.9%	54.2%	-4.1	13
2011-05-29	Viking	W 2-0	1509	1470	57.9%	19.9%	22.2%	+7.0	16
2011-05-29	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1470	1509	22.2%	19.9%	57.9%	-7.0	6
2011-05-29	Molde	W 5-0	1496	1530	48.4%	22.1%	29.6%	+21.3	11
2011-05-29	@ Haugesund	L 0-5	1530	1496	29.6%	22.1%	48.4%	-21.4	14
2011-05-29	Valerenga	L 0-1	1439	1536	39.4%	22.8%	37.8%	-6.1	8
2011-05-29	@ Sogndal	W 1-0	1536	1439	37.8%	22.8%	39.4%	+6.1	11
2011-05-29	Stabaek	L 2-4	1504	1482	55.8%	20.5%	23.7%	-11.8	10
2011-05-29	@ Start	W 4-2	1482	1504	23.7%	20.5%	55.8%	+11.8	18
2011-05-29	Brann	W 4-0	1532	1526	53.8%	21.0%	25.2%	+15.0	19
2011-05-29	@ Tromso	L 0-4	1526	1532	25.2%	21.0%	53.8%	-15.0	13
2011-05-30	Rosenborg	D 3-3	1507	1581	42.8%	22.6%	34.6%	-0.2	9
2011-05-30	@ Odd Grenland	D 3-3	1581	1507	34.6%	22.6%	42.8%	+0.2	9
2011-06-10	Sogndal	W 2-0	1511	1433	62.6%	18.3%	19.0%	+5.9	16
2011-06-10	@ Brann	L 0-2	1433	1511	19.0%	18.3%	62.6%	-5.9	8
2011-06-13	Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1485	1457	56.6%	20.3%	23.1%	-1.1	14
2011-06-13	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1457	1485	23.1%	20.3%	56.6%	+1.1	14
2011-06-13	Viking	W 2-0	1517	1463	59.8%	19.3%	20.9%	+6.5	14
2011-06-13	@ Haugesund	L 0-2	1463	1517	20.9%	19.3%	59.8%	-6.5	6
2011-06-13	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1528	1506	55.6%	20.6%	23.8%	-1.1	13
2011-06-13	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1506	1528	23.8%	20.6%	55.6%	+1.1	10
2011-06-13	Start	W 5-1	1508	1492	55.0%	20.7%	24.3%	+12.1	17
2011-06-13	@ Molde	L 1-5	1492	1508	24.3%	20.7%	55.0%	-12.1	10
2011-06-13	Aalesund	L 1-2	1494	1516	50.0%	21.8%	28.2%	-7.0	18
2011-06-13	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1516	1494	28.2%	21.8%	50.0%	+7.0	19
2011-06-16	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1523	1581	45.0%	22.5%	32.6%	-11.1	19
2011-06-16	@ Aalesund	W 3-1	1581	1523	32.6%	22.5%	45.0%	+11.1	12
2011-06-16	Stabaek	D 1-1	1458	1487	49.0%	22.0%	29.1%	-0.6	15
2011-06-16	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1487	1458	29.1%	22.0%	49.0%	+0.6	19
2011-06-16	Haugesund	W 3-1	1427	1524	39.5%	22.8%	37.8%	+9.7	11
2011-06-16	@ Sogndal	L 1-3	1524	1427	37.8%	22.8%	39.5%	-9.7	14
2011-06-16	Fredrikstad	W 3-2	1480	1484	52.4%	21.3%	26.3%	+3.9	13
2011-06-16	@ Start	L 2-3	1484	1480	26.3%	21.3%	52.4%	-3.9	14
2011-06-16	Molde	L 0-1	1503	1520	50.6%	21.7%	27.7%	-7.5	19
2011-06-16	@ Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1520	1503	27.7%	21.7%	50.6%	+7.5	20
2011-06-16	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1547	1527	55.6%	20.6%	23.8%	+4.0	22
2011-06-16	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1527	1547	23.8%	20.6%	55.6%	-4.0	13
2011-06-16	Brann	W 3-0	1456	1517	44.7%	22.5%	32.8%	+14.5	9
2011-06-16	@ Viking	L 0-3	1517	1456	32.8%	22.5%	44.7%	-14.5	16
2011-06-19	Aalesund	D 1-1	1502	1512	51.6%	21.5%	26.9%	-0.8	17
2011-06-19	@ Brann	D 1-1	1512	1502	26.9%	21.5%	51.6%	+0.8	20
2011-06-19	Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1480	1507	49.2%	21.9%	28.8%	-7.3	14
2011-06-19	@ Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1507	1480	28.8%	21.9%	49.2%	+7.3	13
2011-06-19	Start	W 1-0	1514	1484	56.8%	20.2%	23.0%	+3.8	17
2011-06-19	@ Haugesund	L 0-1	1484	1514	23.0%	20.2%	56.8%	-3.8	13
2011-06-19	Stromsgodset	W 4-2	1523	1496	56.4%	20.4%	23.3%	+5.7	16
2011-06-19	@ Lillestrom	L 2-4	1496	1523	23.3%	20.4%	56.4%	-5.7	19
2011-06-19	Sogndal	W 2-0	1528	1437	64.2%	17.7%	18.1%	+5.6	23
2011-06-19	@ Molde	L 0-2	1437	1528	18.1%	17.7%	64.2%	-5.6	11
2011-06-19	Tromso	W 3-1	1592	1551	58.1%	19.9%	22.1%	+6.0	15
2011-06-19	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1551	1592	22.1%	19.9%	58.1%	-6.0	22
2011-06-19	Viking	L 0-1	1488	1471	55.0%	20.7%	24.2%	-8.0	19
2011-06-19	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1471	1488	24.2%	20.7%	55.0%	+8.0	12
2011-06-19	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1542	1457	63.5%	18.0%	18.5%	+5.8	14
2011-06-19	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1457	1542	18.5%	18.0%	63.5%	-5.8	15
2011-06-25	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1512	1528	50.8%	21.6%	27.6%	+4.6	23
2011-06-25	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1528	1512	27.6%	21.6%	50.8%	-4.5	16
2011-06-26	Molde	W 1-0	1515	1534	50.4%	21.7%	27.9%	+4.6	16
2011-06-26	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1534	1515	27.9%	21.7%	50.4%	-4.6	23
2011-06-26	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1431	1473	47.3%	22.2%	30.5%	-7.1	11
2011-06-26	@ Sogndal	W 1-0	1473	1431	30.5%	22.2%	47.3%	+7.1	17
2011-06-26	Valerenga	L 0-2	1480	1548	43.6%	22.6%	33.8%	-12.5	13
2011-06-26	@ Start	W 2-0	1548	1480	33.8%	22.6%	43.6%	+12.5	17
2011-06-26	Haugesund	W 3-1	1490	1518	49.1%	21.9%	28.9%	+7.8	22
2011-06-26	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1518	1490	28.9%	21.9%	49.1%	-7.8	17
2011-06-26	Stabaek	D 3-3	1545	1480	61.2%	18.9%	20.0%	-0.9	23
2011-06-26	@ Tromso	D 3-3	1480	1545	20.0%	18.9%	61.2%	+0.9	20
2011-06-26	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1479	1598	36.4%	22.7%	40.9%	+0.2	13
2011-06-26	@ Viking	D 0-0	1598	1479	40.9%	22.7%	36.4%	-0.2	16
2011-06-27	Brann	L 3-5	1451	1501	46.1%	22.3%	31.5%	-9.6	15
2011-06-27	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 5-3	1501	1451	31.5%	22.3%	46.1%	+9.6	20
2011-06-29	Haugesund	W 1-0	1480	1510	48.8%	22.0%	29.2%	+4.8	20
2011-06-29	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1510	1480	29.2%	22.0%	48.8%	-4.8	17
2011-06-29	Start	W 2-1	1524	1468	60.0%	19.3%	20.8%	+3.2	19
2011-06-29	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1468	1524	20.8%	19.3%	60.0%	-3.2	13
2011-06-29	Molde	L 1-2	1561	1529	57.0%	20.2%	22.8%	-7.8	17
2011-06-29	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1529	1561	22.8%	20.2%	57.0%	+7.8	26
2011-06-30	Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1511	1519	51.8%	21.5%	26.8%	+8.3	23
2011-06-30	@ Brann	L 0-2	1519	1511	26.8%	21.5%	51.8%	-8.4	16
2011-06-30	Sarpsborg 08	D 2-2	1479	1442	57.7%	20.0%	22.3%	-0.9	14
2011-06-30	@ Viking	D 2-2	1442	1479	22.3%	20.0%	57.7%	+0.9	16
2011-07-02	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1553	1498	59.9%	19.3%	20.8%	-1.0	18
2011-07-02	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1498	1553	20.8%	19.3%	59.9%	+1.0	23
2011-07-03	Stabaek	W 2-1	1519	1480	57.9%	19.9%	22.2%	+3.5	26
2011-07-03	@ Brann	L 1-2	1480	1519	22.2%	19.9%	57.9%	-3.5	20
2011-07-03	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1506	1511	52.2%	21.4%	26.5%	+4.1	20
2011-07-03	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1511	1506	26.5%	21.4%	52.2%	-4.1	16
2011-07-03	Viking	W 2-1	1527	1478	59.1%	19.6%	21.4%	+3.3	22
2011-07-03	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1478	1527	21.4%	19.6%	59.1%	-3.3	14
2011-07-03	Aalesund	W 5-2	1537	1517	55.5%	20.6%	23.9%	+8.0	29
2011-07-03	@ Molde	L 2-5	1517	1537	23.9%	20.6%	55.5%	-8.0	23
2011-07-03	Sarpsborg 08	W 4-0	1598	1443	71.3%	14.7%	14.1%	+8.0	19
2011-07-03	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	1443	1598	14.1%	14.7%	71.3%	-8.0	16
2011-07-03	Sogndal	D 1-1	1465	1424	58.1%	19.9%	22.0%	-1.2	14
2011-07-03	@ Start	D 1-1	1424	1465	22.0%	19.9%	58.1%	+1.2	12
2011-07-04	Tromso	L 0-2	1485	1544	44.8%	22.5%	32.8%	-12.8	20
2011-07-04	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1544	1485	32.8%	22.5%	44.8%	+12.8	26
2011-07-09	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1606	1499	66.0%	17.0%	17.0%	+5.2	22
2011-07-09	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1499	1606	17.0%	17.0%	66.0%	-5.2	23
2011-07-10	Tromso	W 2-0	1552	1557	52.2%	21.4%	26.4%	+8.2	21
2011-07-10	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1557	1552	26.4%	21.4%	52.2%	-8.2	26
2011-07-15	Lillestrom	L 1-3	1507	1530	49.8%	21.8%	28.4%	-12.1	16
2011-07-15	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1530	1507	28.4%	21.8%	49.8%	+12.0	25
2011-07-17	Haugesund	W 3-1	1545	1510	57.4%	20.1%	22.6%	+6.1	32
2011-07-17	@ Molde	L 1-3	1510	1545	22.6%	20.1%	57.4%	-6.1	20
2011-07-17	Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1425	1435	51.6%	21.5%	26.9%	+4.4	15
2011-07-17	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	1435	1425	26.9%	21.5%	51.6%	-4.4	16
2011-07-17	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1477	1611	34.3%	22.6%	43.1%	+6.2	23
2011-07-17	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1611	1477	43.1%	22.6%	34.3%	-6.2	22
2011-07-17	Start	W 3-0	1494	1463	56.8%	20.2%	23.0%	+10.5	26
2011-07-17	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-3	1463	1494	23.0%	20.2%	56.8%	-10.5	14
2011-07-17	Valerenga	W 4-1	1549	1560	51.4%	21.5%	27.1%	+10.3	29
2011-07-17	@ Tromso	L 1-4	1560	1549	27.1%	21.5%	51.4%	-10.3	21
2011-07-17	Aalesund	W 1-0	1475	1509	48.3%	22.1%	29.6%	+4.8	17
2011-07-17	@ Viking	L 0-1	1509	1475	29.6%	22.1%	48.3%	-4.9	23
2011-07-18	Brann	W 4-2	1472	1523	46.0%	22.4%	31.6%	+7.5	23
2011-07-18	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-4	1523	1472	31.6%	22.4%	46.0%	-7.5	26
2011-07-30	Valerenga	W 2-1	1551	1550	53.0%	21.2%	25.8%	+4.0	35
2011-07-30	@ Molde	L 1-2	1550	1551	25.8%	21.2%	53.0%	-4.0	21
2011-07-30	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1430	1605	29.2%	22.0%	48.8%	+0.6	16
2011-07-30	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1605	1430	48.8%	22.0%	29.2%	-0.6	23
2011-07-31	Brann	L 2-3	1495	1515	50.2%	21.8%	28.1%	-6.6	16
2011-07-31	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-2	1515	1495	28.1%	21.8%	50.2%	+6.6	29
2011-07-31	Haugesund	L 0-3	1430	1504	42.8%	22.6%	34.5%	-17.9	16
2011-07-31	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 3-0	1504	1430	34.5%	22.6%	42.8%	+17.9	23
2011-07-31	Start	W 4-1	1483	1453	56.8%	20.2%	23.0%	+8.8	26
2011-07-31	@ Stabaek	L 1-4	1453	1483	23.0%	20.2%	56.8%	-8.8	14
2011-07-31	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1504	1542	47.7%	22.1%	30.1%	+8.0	29
2011-07-31	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1542	1504	30.1%	22.1%	47.7%	-8.0	25
2011-07-31	Aalesund	W 1-0	1559	1504	59.9%	19.3%	20.8%	+3.5	32
2011-07-31	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1504	1559	20.8%	19.3%	59.9%	-3.5	23
2011-07-31	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1480	1479	52.9%	21.2%	25.9%	+8.1	20
2011-07-31	@ Viking	L 0-2	1479	1480	25.9%	21.2%	52.9%	-8.1	23
2011-08-03	Viking	W 3-2	1522	1488	57.3%	20.1%	22.6%	+3.4	32
2011-08-03	@ Brann	L 2-3	1488	1522	22.6%	20.1%	57.3%	-3.4	20
2011-08-03	Sogndal	W 4-0	1522	1430	64.2%	17.7%	18.1%	+10.6	26
2011-08-03	@ Haugesund	L 0-4	1430	1522	18.1%	17.7%	64.2%	-10.6	16
2011-08-03	Tromso	W 3-2	1534	1563	49.1%	21.9%	29.0%	+4.2	28
2011-08-03	@ Lillestrom	L 2-3	1563	1534	29.0%	21.9%	49.1%	-4.2	32
2011-08-04	Molde	L 1-2	1444	1555	37.5%	22.8%	39.8%	-5.5	14
2011-08-04	@ Start	W 2-1	1555	1444	39.8%	22.8%	37.5%	+5.5	38
2011-08-05	Stabaek	L 1-2	1471	1492	50.1%	21.8%	28.1%	-7.0	23
2011-08-05	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1492	1471	28.1%	21.8%	50.1%	+7.0	29
2011-08-07	Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1501	1488	54.5%	20.8%	24.6%	-7.9	23
2011-08-07	@ Aalesund	W 1-0	1488	1501	24.6%	20.8%	54.5%	+8.0	19
2011-08-07	Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1525	1512	54.6%	20.8%	24.6%	-1.1	33
2011-08-07	@ Brann	D 0-0	1512	1525	24.6%	20.8%	54.6%	+1.1	30
2011-08-07	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-1	1539	1412	68.2%	16.1%	15.8%	+4.2	31
2011-08-07	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1412	1539	15.8%	16.1%	68.2%	-4.2	16
2011-08-07	Molde	W 3-1	1604	1560	58.5%	19.8%	21.8%	+5.9	26
2011-08-07	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1560	1604	21.8%	19.8%	58.5%	-5.9	38
2011-08-07	Sogndal	D 1-1	1546	1420	68.1%	16.1%	15.8%	-1.8	22
2011-08-07	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1420	1546	15.8%	16.1%	68.1%	+1.8	17
2011-08-07	Tromso	W 2-1	1484	1558	42.7%	22.6%	34.6%	+5.2	23
2011-08-07	@ Viking	L 1-2	1558	1484	34.6%	22.6%	42.7%	-5.2	32
2011-08-08	Haugesund	L 1-4	1439	1532	39.9%	22.7%	37.3%	-14.3	14
2011-08-08	@ Start	W 4-1	1532	1439	37.3%	22.7%	39.9%	+14.3	29
2011-08-12	Valerenga	D 1-1	1496	1544	46.4%	22.3%	31.3%	-0.5	20
2011-08-12	@ Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1544	1496	31.3%	22.3%	46.4%	+0.5	23
2011-08-13	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1499	1513	51.0%	21.6%	27.4%	+8.5	32
2011-08-13	@ Stabaek	L 0-2	1513	1499	27.4%	21.6%	51.0%	-8.5	30
2011-08-19	Viking	W 4-2	1496	1490	53.7%	21.0%	25.3%	+6.1	23
2011-08-19	@ Odd Grenland	L 2-4	1490	1496	25.3%	21.0%	53.7%	-6.1	23
2011-08-20	Valerenga	L 0-2	1408	1544	34.0%	22.6%	43.4%	-10.3	16
2011-08-20	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1544	1408	43.4%	22.6%	34.0%	+10.3	26
2011-08-21	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1546	1610	44.2%	22.5%	33.2%	-0.3	30
2011-08-21	@ Haugesund	D 2-2	1610	1546	33.2%	22.5%	44.2%	+0.3	27
2011-08-21	Start	W 2-0	1421	1424	52.5%	21.3%	26.2%	+8.2	20
2011-08-21	@ Sogndal	L 0-2	1424	1421	26.2%	21.3%	52.5%	-8.2	14
2011-08-21	Brann	D 1-1	1507	1524	50.7%	21.7%	27.7%	-0.8	33
2011-08-21	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1524	1507	27.7%	21.7%	50.7%	+0.8	34
2011-08-21	Aalesund	D 2-2	1505	1493	54.5%	20.9%	24.7%	-0.7	31
2011-08-21	@ Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1493	1505	24.7%	20.9%	54.5%	+0.7	24
2011-08-21	Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1553	1464	63.9%	17.8%	18.2%	+4.9	35
2011-08-21	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1464	1553	18.2%	17.8%	63.9%	-4.9	23
2011-08-22	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1554	1543	54.4%	20.9%	24.7%	+4.1	41
2011-08-22	@ Molde	L 0-1	1543	1554	24.7%	20.9%	54.4%	-4.1	31
2011-08-26	Tromso	D 1-1	1525	1558	48.4%	22.0%	29.5%	-0.6	35
2011-08-26	@ Brann	D 1-1	1558	1525	29.5%	22.0%	48.4%	+0.6	36
2011-08-27	Haugesund	W 3-2	1555	1546	54.0%	21.0%	25.0%	+3.7	29
2011-08-27	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1546	1555	25.0%	21.0%	54.0%	-3.7	30
2011-08-28	Molde	L 1-3	1493	1559	44.0%	22.6%	33.5%	-10.9	24
2011-08-28	@ Aalesund	W 3-1	1559	1493	33.5%	22.6%	44.0%	+10.9	44
2011-08-28	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1459	1504	46.9%	22.2%	30.9%	-0.5	24
2011-08-28	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1504	1459	30.9%	22.2%	46.9%	+0.5	32
2011-08-28	Sogndal	L 0-3	1539	1430	66.2%	16.9%	16.9%	-25.5	31
2011-08-28	@ Lillestrom	W 3-0	1430	1539	16.9%	16.9%	66.2%	+25.5	23
2011-08-28	Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1416	1398	55.2%	20.7%	24.1%	+4.0	17
2011-08-28	@ Start	L 0-1	1398	1416	24.1%	20.7%	55.2%	-4.0	16
2011-08-28	Stabaek	W 1-0	1484	1507	49.8%	21.8%	28.4%	+4.7	26
2011-08-28	@ Viking	L 0-1	1507	1484	28.4%	21.8%	49.8%	-4.7	33
2011-08-29	Odd Grenland	W 7-0	1610	1502	66.2%	17.0%	16.9%	+16.7	30
2011-08-29	@ Rosenborg	L 0-7	1502	1610	16.9%	17.0%	66.2%	-16.7	23
2011-09-09	Tromso	L 2-4	1502	1559	45.2%	22.4%	32.4%	-10.0	33
2011-09-09	@ Stabaek	W 4-2	1559	1502	32.4%	22.4%	45.2%	+10.0	39
2011-09-10	Viking	D 2-2	1504	1488	55.0%	20.7%	24.3%	-0.8	33
2011-09-10	@ Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1488	1504	24.3%	20.7%	55.0%	+0.8	27
2011-09-11	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1542	1513	56.7%	20.3%	23.1%	+7.2	33
2011-09-11	@ Haugesund	L 0-2	1513	1542	23.1%	20.3%	56.7%	-7.2	31
2011-09-11	Brann	D 2-2	1569	1524	58.7%	19.7%	21.7%	-0.9	45
2011-09-11	@ Molde	D 2-2	1524	1569	21.7%	19.7%	58.7%	+0.9	36
2011-09-11	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1485	1459	56.3%	20.4%	23.3%	+3.7	26
2011-09-11	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-2	1459	1485	23.3%	20.4%	56.3%	-3.7	24
2011-09-11	Aalesund	D 0-0	1455	1482	49.2%	21.9%	28.9%	-0.7	24
2011-09-11	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1482	1455	28.9%	21.9%	49.2%	+0.7	25
2011-09-11	Start	W 2-1	1558	1420	69.5%	15.5%	15.0%	+2.3	32
2011-09-11	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1420	1558	15.0%	15.5%	69.5%	-2.3	17
2011-09-12	Rosenborg	L 0-6	1394	1627	23.2%	20.3%	56.4%	-20.3	16
2011-09-12	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 6-0	1627	1394	56.4%	20.3%	23.2%	+20.3	33
2011-09-14	Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1561	1489	61.9%	18.6%	19.5%	-8.8	32
2011-09-14	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1489	1561	19.5%	18.6%	61.9%	+8.8	29
2011-09-15	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1374	1504	34.8%	22.7%	42.5%	+0.2	17
2011-09-15	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1504	1374	42.5%	22.7%	34.8%	-0.2	34
2011-09-16	Haugesund	W 1-0	1525	1550	49.6%	21.9%	28.5%	+4.7	39
2011-09-16	@ Brann	L 0-1	1550	1525	28.5%	21.9%	49.6%	-4.7	33
2011-09-17	Molde	L 0-1	1455	1569	37.1%	22.7%	40.1%	-5.8	24
2011-09-17	@ Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1569	1455	40.1%	22.7%	37.1%	+5.8	48
2011-09-18	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1483	1374	66.3%	16.9%	16.8%	+5.2	28
2011-09-18	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1374	1483	16.8%	16.9%	66.3%	-5.2	17
2011-09-18	Valerenga	L 0-1	1506	1552	46.7%	22.3%	31.1%	-7.0	31
2011-09-18	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1552	1506	31.1%	22.3%	46.7%	+7.0	35
2011-09-18	Odd Grenland	L 1-3	1492	1498	52.2%	21.4%	26.5%	-12.5	33
2011-09-18	@ Stabaek	W 3-1	1498	1492	26.5%	21.4%	52.2%	+12.5	32
2011-09-18	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1569	1503	61.1%	18.9%	20.0%	+6.3	42
2011-09-18	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1503	1569	20.0%	18.9%	61.1%	-6.3	34
2011-09-18	Sogndal	W 2-0	1489	1454	57.3%	20.1%	22.6%	+7.1	30
2011-09-18	@ Viking	L 0-2	1454	1489	22.6%	20.1%	57.3%	-7.1	24
2011-09-19	Start	W 4-1	1647	1418	78.6%	11.0%	10.4%	+3.6	36
2011-09-19	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1418	1647	10.4%	11.0%	78.6%	-3.6	17
2011-09-22	Sogndal	W 2-1	1651	1447	76.2%	12.2%	11.6%	+1.7	39
2011-09-22	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1447	1651	11.6%	12.2%	76.2%	-1.7	24
2011-09-23	Viking	D 0-0	1574	1496	62.7%	18.3%	19.0%	-1.7	49
2011-09-23	@ Molde	D 0-0	1496	1574	19.0%	18.3%	62.7%	+1.7	31
2011-09-24	Stabaek	W 1-0	1497	1480	55.2%	20.7%	24.1%	+4.0	37
2011-09-24	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1480	1497	24.1%	20.7%	55.2%	-4.0	33
2011-09-25	Aalesund	W 1-0	1545	1488	60.1%	19.2%	20.7%	+3.4	36
2011-09-25	@ Haugesund	L 0-1	1488	1545	20.7%	19.2%	60.1%	-3.4	28
2011-09-25	Tromso	W 3-1	1510	1575	44.0%	22.5%	33.4%	+8.8	35
2011-09-25	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-3	1575	1510	33.4%	22.5%	44.0%	-8.8	42
2011-09-25	Brann	W 1-0	1446	1530	41.3%	22.7%	36.0%	+5.7	27
2011-09-25	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	1530	1446	36.0%	22.7%	41.3%	-5.7	39
2011-09-25	Lillestrom	W 3-0	1414	1499	41.2%	22.7%	36.1%	+15.6	20
2011-09-25	@ Start	L 0-3	1499	1414	36.1%	22.7%	41.2%	-15.6	31
2011-09-25	Rosenborg	W 1-0	1559	1652	40.0%	22.7%	37.3%	+5.9	38
2011-09-25	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1652	1559	37.3%	22.7%	40.0%	-5.9	39
2011-09-26	Fredrikstad	L 1-4	1369	1449	41.8%	22.7%	35.5%	-14.8	17
2011-09-26	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 4-1	1449	1369	35.5%	22.7%	41.8%	+14.8	27
2011-09-29	Tromso	W 1-0	1485	1566	41.7%	22.7%	35.6%	+5.7	31
2011-09-29	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1566	1485	35.6%	22.7%	41.7%	-5.7	42
2011-09-30	Rosenborg	L 2-5	1483	1647	30.6%	22.2%	47.2%	-10.0	31
2011-09-30	@ Lillestrom	W 5-2	1647	1483	47.2%	22.2%	30.6%	+10.0	42
2011-10-01	Haugesund	D 1-1	1498	1548	46.0%	22.4%	31.6%	-0.5	32
2011-10-01	@ Viking	D 1-1	1548	1498	31.6%	22.4%	46.0%	+0.5	37
2011-10-02	Valerenga	L 1-4	1524	1565	47.4%	22.2%	30.4%	-16.4	39
2011-10-02	@ Brann	W 4-1	1565	1524	30.4%	22.2%	47.4%	+16.4	41
2011-10-02	Sogndal	D 2-2	1464	1451	54.6%	20.8%	24.6%	-0.7	28
2011-10-02	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1451	1464	24.6%	20.8%	54.6%	+0.7	28
2011-10-02	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1519	1501	55.2%	20.7%	24.1%	+4.0	38
2011-10-02	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1501	1519	24.1%	20.7%	55.2%	-4.0	37
2011-10-02	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1476	1354	67.7%	16.3%	16.0%	+4.9	36
2011-10-02	@ Stabaek	L 0-2	1354	1476	16.0%	16.3%	67.7%	-4.9	17
2011-10-02	Molde	L 0-2	1561	1573	51.3%	21.6%	27.2%	-14.3	42
2011-10-02	@ Tromso	W 2-0	1573	1561	27.2%	21.6%	51.3%	+14.3	52
2011-10-03	Start	D 0-0	1491	1430	60.6%	19.1%	20.4%	-1.5	32
2011-10-03	@ Aalesund	D 0-0	1430	1491	20.4%	19.1%	60.6%	+1.5	21
2011-10-14	Viking	W 3-0	1581	1497	63.3%	18.1%	18.6%	+8.4	44
2011-10-14	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1497	1581	18.6%	18.1%	63.3%	-8.4	32
2011-10-15	Stabaek	D 1-1	1473	1480	51.9%	21.4%	26.6%	-0.8	32
2011-10-15	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1480	1473	26.6%	21.4%	51.9%	+0.8	37
2011-10-16	Fredrikstad	W 3-2	1549	1463	63.5%	18.0%	18.5%	+2.7	40
2011-10-16	@ Haugesund	L 2-3	1463	1549	18.5%	18.0%	63.5%	-2.7	28
2011-10-16	Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1587	1523	61.0%	18.9%	20.1%	-1.5	53
2011-10-16	@ Molde	D 0-0	1523	1587	20.1%	18.9%	61.0%	+1.6	39
2011-10-16	Aalesund	D 2-2	1657	1489	72.6%	14.0%	13.4%	-1.5	43
2011-10-16	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1489	1657	13.4%	14.0%	72.6%	+1.5	33
2011-10-16	Tromso	L 0-2	1349	1546	26.8%	21.4%	51.8%	-8.3	17
2011-10-16	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1546	1349	51.8%	21.4%	26.8%	+8.4	45
2011-10-16	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1452	1497	46.8%	22.3%	30.9%	-0.5	29
2011-10-16	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1497	1452	30.9%	22.3%	46.8%	+0.5	38
2011-10-17	Brann	W 3-1	1431	1508	42.4%	22.7%	34.9%	+9.1	24
2011-10-17	@ Start	L 1-3	1508	1431	34.9%	22.7%	42.4%	-9.1	39
2011-10-21	Molde	D 1-1	1481	1585	38.4%	22.8%	38.8%	+0.0	38
2011-10-21	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1585	1481	38.8%	22.8%	38.4%	-0.0	54
2011-10-23	Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1499	1341	71.6%	14.5%	13.9%	+2.2	42
2011-10-23	@ Brann	L 0-1	1341	1499	13.9%	14.5%	71.6%	-2.2	17
2011-10-23	Haugesund	W 1-0	1524	1552	49.2%	21.9%	28.8%	+4.7	42
2011-10-23	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1552	1524	28.8%	21.9%	49.2%	-4.7	40
2011-10-23	Rosenborg	W 3-1	1498	1655	31.3%	22.3%	46.4%	+11.4	41
2011-10-23	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1655	1498	46.4%	22.3%	31.3%	-11.4	43
2011-10-23	Sogndal	D 0-0	1555	1452	65.6%	17.2%	17.2%	-1.9	46
2011-10-23	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1452	1555	17.2%	17.2%	65.6%	+1.9	30
2011-10-23	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1489	1472	55.0%	20.7%	24.3%	+7.6	35
2011-10-23	@ Viking	L 0-2	1472	1489	24.3%	20.7%	55.0%	-7.6	32
2011-10-24	Valerenga	W 2-1	1491	1590	39.2%	22.8%	38.1%	+5.6	36
2011-10-24	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1590	1491	38.1%	22.8%	39.2%	-5.6	44
2011-10-26	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1644	1461	74.2%	13.3%	12.6%	+3.7	46
2011-10-26	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1461	1644	12.6%	13.3%	74.2%	-3.7	28
2011-10-27	Stabaek	W 2-0	1496	1481	54.8%	20.8%	24.4%	+7.7	39
2011-10-27	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1481	1496	24.4%	20.8%	54.8%	-7.6	38
2011-10-28	Tromso	D 1-1	1547	1553	52.1%	21.4%	26.5%	-0.9	41
2011-10-28	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1553	1547	26.5%	21.4%	52.1%	+0.8	47
2011-10-30	Aalesund	D 1-1	1465	1504	47.6%	22.1%	30.2%	-0.6	33
2011-10-30	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1504	1465	30.2%	22.1%	47.6%	+0.6	40
2011-10-30	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1585	1509	62.4%	18.4%	19.2%	-1.1	55
2011-10-30	@ Molde	D 2-2	1509	1585	19.2%	18.4%	62.4%	+1.1	42
2011-10-30	Brann	L 3-6	1647	1501	70.3%	15.1%	14.5%	-18.0	46
2011-10-30	@ Rosenborg	W 6-3	1501	1647	14.5%	15.1%	70.3%	+18.0	45
2011-10-30	Viking	D 1-1	1339	1496	31.2%	22.3%	46.5%	+0.5	18
2011-10-30	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1496	1339	46.5%	22.3%	31.2%	-0.5	36
2011-10-30	Stabaek	D 0-0	1453	1474	50.2%	21.8%	28.1%	-0.8	31
2011-10-30	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1474	1453	28.1%	21.8%	50.2%	+0.8	39
2011-10-30	Odd Grenland	L 1-3	1441	1529	40.6%	22.7%	36.6%	-10.2	24
2011-10-30	@ Start	W 3-1	1529	1441	36.6%	22.7%	40.6%	+10.2	45
2011-10-31	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1584	1457	68.2%	16.1%	15.7%	-9.0	44
2011-10-31	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1457	1584	15.7%	16.1%	68.2%	+9.0	31
2011-11-05	Start	D 1-1	1466	1430	57.5%	20.1%	22.5%	-1.2	32
2011-11-05	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1430	1466	22.5%	20.1%	57.5%	+1.2	25
2011-11-20	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1519	1464	59.8%	19.3%	20.8%	+6.5	48
2011-11-20	@ Brann	L 0-2	1464	1519	20.8%	19.3%	59.8%	-6.5	33
2011-11-20	Aalesund	W 3-1	1465	1504	47.5%	22.2%	30.3%	+8.1	35
2011-11-20	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1504	1465	30.3%	22.2%	47.5%	-8.1	40
2011-11-20	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-1	1584	1339	80.0%	10.2%	9.7%	+2.3	58
2011-11-20	@ Molde	L 1-3	1339	1584	9.7%	10.2%	80.0%	-2.3	18
2011-11-20	Sogndal	W 1-0	1539	1453	63.7%	17.9%	18.4%	+3.0	48
2011-11-20	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1453	1539	18.4%	17.9%	63.7%	-3.0	31
2011-11-20	Haugesund	L 1-2	1474	1546	43.1%	22.6%	34.3%	-6.2	39
2011-11-20	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1546	1474	34.3%	22.6%	43.1%	+6.2	44
2011-11-20	Valerenga	W 2-1	1510	1575	44.0%	22.5%	33.4%	+5.1	45
2011-11-20	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1575	1510	33.4%	22.5%	44.0%	-5.1	44
2011-11-20	Rosenborg	W 3-1	1554	1629	42.5%	22.7%	34.8%	+9.1	50
2011-11-20	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1629	1554	34.8%	22.7%	42.5%	-9.1	46
2011-11-20	Start	D 1-1	1496	1431	61.0%	18.9%	20.1%	-1.4	37
2011-11-20	@ Viking	D 1-1	1431	1496	20.1%	18.9%	61.0%	+1.4	26
2011-11-27	Brann	W 3-1	1496	1526	49.0%	22.0%	29.1%	+7.8	43
2011-11-27	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1526	1496	29.1%	22.0%	49.0%	-7.8	48
2011-11-27	Stromsgodset	W 5-1	1552	1515	57.6%	20.0%	22.4%	+11.1	47
2011-11-27	@ Haugesund	L 1-5	1515	1552	22.4%	20.0%	57.6%	-11.1	45
2011-11-27	Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1458	1473	50.9%	21.6%	27.5%	-0.9	34
2011-11-27	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1473	1458	27.5%	21.6%	50.9%	+0.9	36
2011-11-27	Viking	W 3-2	1620	1495	68.1%	16.1%	15.8%	+2.3	49
2011-11-27	@ Rosenborg	L 2-3	1495	1620	15.8%	16.1%	68.1%	-2.3	37
2011-11-27	Odd Grenland	W 3-2	1337	1542	25.9%	21.2%	52.9%	+6.9	21
2011-11-27	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 2-3	1542	1337	52.9%	21.2%	25.9%	-6.9	48
2011-11-27	Molde	W 2-1	1450	1587	33.9%	22.6%	43.5%	+6.2	34
2011-11-27	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1587	1450	43.5%	22.6%	33.9%	-6.2	58
2011-11-27	Tromso	L 1-6	1433	1563	34.9%	22.7%	42.5%	-20.3	26
2011-11-27	@ Start	W 6-1	1563	1433	42.5%	22.7%	34.9%	+20.3	53
2011-11-27	Stabaek	W 2-0	1570	1468	65.4%	17.3%	17.3%	+5.4	47
2011-11-27	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1468	1570	17.3%	17.3%	65.4%	-5.4	39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2011-10-30	14.55%	Brann	1501	6	@ Rosenborg	1647	3
2	2011-04-03	15.36%	Stabaek	1457	2	@ Rosenborg	1590	1
3	2011-10-31	15.71%	Fredrikstad	1457	2	@ Valerenga	1584	1
4	2011-08-28	16.86%	Sogndal	1430	3	@ Lillestrom	1539	0
5	2011-05-16	17.32%	Haugesund	1487	1	@ Rosenborg	1590	0
6	2011-09-14	19.49%	Odd Grenland	1489	1	@ Valerenga	1561	0
7	2011-05-16	20.08%	Sogndal	1419	1	@ Stabaek	1483	0
8	2011-04-09	20.43%	Fredrikstad	1472	1	@ Brann	1532	0
9	2011-05-07	21.28%	Brann	1511	2	@ Valerenga	1560	0
10	2011-05-16	21.31%	Molde	1503	3	@ Lillestrom	1552	0
11	2011-03-21	21.95%	Fredrikstad	1472	2	@ Aalesund	1514	1
12	2011-05-19	22.15%	Stabaek	1475	3	@ Odd Grenland	1514	2
13	2011-04-04	22.19%	Brann	1513	4	@ Lillestrom	1552	1
14	2011-03-20	22.77%	Start	1492	2	@ Odd Grenland	1524	0
15	2011-06-29	22.83%	Molde	1529	2	@ Valerenga	1561	1
16	2011-05-29	23.71%	Stabaek	1482	4	@ Start	1504	2
17	2011-04-25	23.76%	Molde	1502	3	@ Brann	1524	1
18	2011-05-08	24.09%	Stabaek	1476	4	@ Haugesund	1495	3
19	2011-06-19	24.24%	Viking	1471	1	@ Stabaek	1488	0
20	2011-08-07	24.65%	Odd Grenland	1488	1	@ Aalesund	1501	0
21	2011-05-08	25.14%	Aalesund	1508	3	@ Start	1515	2
22	2011-11-27	25.87%	@ Sarpsborg 08	1337	3	Odd Grenland	1542	2
23	2011-03-20	26.00%	Lillestrom	1505	7	@ Stabaek	1504	0
24	2011-09-18	26.46%	Odd Grenland	1498	3	@ Stabaek	1492	1
25	2011-04-25	26.68%	Stromsgodset	1491	1	@ Viking	1484	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-03-20	46.93	Lillestrom	7	1505	26.00%	@ Stabaek	0	1504	52.75%
2	2011-08-28	25.48	Sogndal	3	1430	16.86%	@ Lillestrom	0	1539	66.23%
3	2011-05-16	23.29	Molde	3	1503	21.31%	@ Lillestrom	0	1552	59.16%
4	2011-05-29	21.35	@ Haugesund	5	1496	48.38%	Molde	0	1530	29.57%
5	2011-11-27	20.29	Tromso	6	1563	42.50%	@ Start	1	1433	34.86%
6	2011-09-12	20.26	Rosenborg	6	1627	56.42%	@ Sarpsborg 08	0	1394	23.23%
7	2011-04-04	19.30	Brann	4	1513	22.19%	@ Lillestrom	1	1552	57.88%
8	2011-10-30	18.02	Brann	6	1501	14.55%	@ Rosenborg	3	1647	70.35%
9	2011-07-31	17.90	Haugesund	3	1504	34.54%	@ Sarpsborg 08	0	1430	42.83%
10	2011-04-25	17.39	@ Lillestrom	5	1534	55.81%	Haugesund	0	1512	23.68%
11	2011-08-29	16.71	@ Rosenborg	7	1610	66.16%	Odd Grenland	0	1502	16.89%
12	2011-10-02	16.38	Valerenga	4	1565	30.39%	@ Brann	1	1524	47.43%
13	2011-05-07	16.05	Brann	2	1511	21.28%	@ Valerenga	0	1560	59.20%
14	2011-09-25	15.64	@ Start	3	1414	41.22%	Lillestrom	0	1499	36.07%
15	2011-03-20	15.57	Start	2	1492	22.77%	@ Odd Grenland	0	1524	57.06%
16	2011-04-03	15.34	Odd Grenland	4	1509	33.71%	@ Sogndal	1	1442	43.72%
17	2011-03-18	15.01	@ Sarpsborg 08	3	1443	43.14%	Molde	0	1514	34.25%
18	2011-05-29	14.99	@ Tromso	4	1532	53.75%	Brann	0	1526	25.22%
19	2011-09-26	14.80	Fredrikstad	4	1449	35.52%	@ Sarpsborg 08	1	1369	41.79%
20	2011-04-16	14.63	@ Start	4	1511	54.59%	Viking	0	1498	24.59%
21	2011-06-16	14.49	@ Viking	3	1456	44.69%	Brann	0	1517	32.83%
22	2011-08-08	14.29	Haugesund	4	1532	37.31%	@ Start	1	1439	39.94%
23	2011-10-02	14.26	Molde	2	1573	27.17%	@ Tromso	0	1561	51.28%
24	2011-04-25	13.22	Molde	3	1502	23.76%	@ Brann	1	1524	55.70%
25	2011-03-19	13.01	Valerenga	2	1556	31.82%	@ Viking	0	1504	45.80%