2013 Tippeligaen Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Stromsgodset

63 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Stromsgodset

10.95 points above expected

63 points · 52.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tromso

14.32 points below expected

29 points · 43.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Stromsgodset	30	19	6	5	63	66	26	+40	52.0	+10.95
2	Rosenborg	30	18	8	4	62	50	25	+25	54.5	+7.45
3	Haugesund	30	15	6	9	51	41	39	+2	43.3	+7.74
4	Aalesund	30	14	7	9	49	55	44	+11	44.0	+5.00
5	Viking	30	12	10	8	46	41	36	+5	43.8	+2.22
6	Molde	30	12	8	10	44	47	38	+9	46.9	-2.91
7	Odds	30	11	7	12	40	43	39	+4	41.5	-1.53
8	Brann	30	11	6	13	39	46	46	0	42.3	-3.27
9	Start	30	10	8	12	38	43	46	-3	34.4	+3.63
10	Lillestrom	30	9	9	12	36	37	44	-7	39.1	-3.13
11	Valerenga	30	10	6	14	36	41	50	-9	39.3	-3.27
12	Sogndal	30	8	9	13	33	33	48	-15	36.8	-3.83
13	Sandnes Ulf	30	9	6	15	33	36	58	-22	34.9	-1.86
14	Sarpsborg 08	30	8	7	15	31	40	58	-18	31.8	-0.84
15	Tromso	30	7	8	15	29	41	50	-9	43.3	-14.32
16	Honefoss	30	6	11	13	29	34	47	-13	34.6	-5.58

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Stromsgodset	1677	63	52.05	+10.95	95.1%	28	41	47	52	57	63	75
Rosenborg	1673	62	54.55	+7.45	87.3%	24	43	50	55	59	66	78
Molde	1592	44	46.91	-2.91	37.2%	19	36	42	47	52	59	73
Aalesund	1557	49	44.00	+5.00	78.5%	19	33	39	44	49	55	67
Haugesund	1555	51	43.26	+7.74	87.9%	17	32	38	43	48	55	71
Viking	1546	46	43.78	+2.22	65.5%	20	32	39	44	48	55	68
Odds	1542	40	41.53	-1.53	44.1%	15	30	37	41	46	53	68
Brann	1522	39	42.27	-3.27	34.9%	17	31	37	42	47	54	67
Tromso	1505	29	43.32	-14.32	2.2%	21	32	39	43	48	55	71
Lillestrom	1497	36	39.13	-3.13	35.6%	15	28	34	39	44	50	66
Valerenga	1496	36	39.27	-3.27	35.3%	14	28	34	39	44	51	65
Start	1496	38	34.37	+3.63	73.1%	12	23	30	34	39	46	64
Sogndal	1455	33	36.83	-3.83	32.1%	13	26	32	37	42	48	65
Honefoss	1454	29	34.58	-5.58	23.3%	12	24	30	34	39	46	58
Sarpsborg 08	1450	31	31.84	-0.84	49.3%	9	21	27	32	36	43	56
Sandnes Ulf	1436	33	34.86	-1.86	42.7%	11	24	30	35	39	46	60

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BRA	HAU	HON	LIL	MOL	ODD	ROS	SU	S0	SOG	STA	STR	TRO	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	0-1-1 2.86	2-0-0 2.69	2-0-0 3.29	1-1-0 2.94	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 3.04	0-1-1 2.15	1-0-1 3.27	2-0-0 3.50	1-1-0 3.29	0-2-0 3.62	0-0-2 2.02	1-1-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.14	2-0-0 2.67
Brann	1-1-0 2.63	—	0-0-2 2.69	0-2-0 3.28	0-1-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.46	2-0-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.10	1-0-1 3.37	1-0-1 3.45	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 3.33	0-1-1 2.13	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.57
Haugesund	0-0-2 2.79	2-0-0 2.80	—	2-0-0 3.24	1-0-1 3.14	1-1-0 2.47	1-0-1 2.95	1-1-0 1.99	1-1-0 3.19	0-0-2 3.63	0-1-1 3.13	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 2.02	1-0-1 2.75	2-0-0 3.09	0-2-0 2.69
Honefoss	0-0-2 2.22	0-2-0 2.24	0-0-2 2.29	—	2-0-0 2.46	0-0-2 1.97	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 1.62	0-1-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 1.92	0-2-0 2.15	1-0-1 2.50	0-2-0 2.09
Lillestrom	0-1-1 2.56	1-1-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.36	0-0-2 3.08	—	2-0-0 2.22	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 1.72	0-2-0 3.06	1-1-0 3.12	1-1-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.97	0-1-1 2.05	1-0-1 2.53	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.53
Molde	2-0-0 2.83	1-0-1 3.03	0-1-1 3.02	2-0-0 3.55	0-0-2 3.30	—	0-2-0 3.02	1-1-0 2.23	1-1-0 3.56	1-0-1 3.83	1-0-1 3.35	0-1-1 3.44	0-0-2 2.49	2-0-0 3.03	1-1-0 3.15	0-1-1 3.04
Odds	1-0-1 2.47	0-0-2 2.79	1-0-1 2.54	1-1-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.80	0-2-0 2.47	—	0-0-2 2.08	2-0-0 3.18	1-1-0 3.46	0-1-1 3.14	1-0-1 3.29	0-1-1 2.12	1-0-1 2.50	2-0-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.65
Rosenborg	1-1-0 3.38	2-0-0 3.42	0-1-1 3.56	1-1-0 4.01	2-0-0 3.87	0-1-1 3.29	2-0-0 3.47	—	1-0-1 3.99	2-0-0 4.24	2-0-0 3.82	1-1-0 3.97	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 3.51	1-1-0 3.76	1-1-0 3.52
Sandnes Ulf	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.32	1-1-0 2.85	0-2-0 2.42	0-1-1 2.01	0-0-2 2.30	1-0-1 1.61	—	1-0-1 2.93	0-0-2 2.56	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 1.82	2-0-0 2.12	0-0-2 2.56	0-1-1 2.17
Sarpsborg 08	0-0-2 2.06	1-0-1 2.08	2-0-0 1.91	0-1-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.39	1-0-1 1.73	0-1-1 2.09	0-0-2 1.40	1-0-1 2.57	—	0-1-1 2.37	1-1-0 2.51	0-1-1 1.69	1-0-1 1.94	0-1-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.12
Sogndal	0-1-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.39	1-1-0 2.41	0-1-1 2.92	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.18	1-1-0 2.38	0-0-2 1.77	2-0-0 2.94	1-1-0 3.12	—	0-1-1 2.98	0-0-2 1.82	0-2-0 2.30	0-0-2 2.56	1-0-1 2.34
Start	0-2-0 1.94	0-1-1 2.17	0-0-2 2.17	2-0-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.11	1-0-1 2.21	0-1-1 1.63	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 3.02	1-1-0 2.53	—	0-0-2 1.74	1-1-0 2.29	2-0-0 2.39	0-0-2 2.19
Stromsgodset	2-0-0 3.50	1-1-0 3.37	1-0-1 3.52	1-0-1 3.65	1-1-0 3.47	2-0-0 3.03	1-1-0 3.42	0-1-1 2.62	1-0-1 3.72	1-1-0 3.88	2-0-0 3.74	2-0-0 3.86	—	1-1-0 3.57	2-0-0 3.45	1-0-1 3.25
Tromso	0-1-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.75	0-2-0 3.38	1-0-1 2.99	0-0-2 2.51	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.01	0-0-2 3.41	1-0-1 3.59	0-2-0 3.20	0-1-1 3.21	0-1-1 1.95	—	0-1-1 3.13	1-0-1 2.63
Valerenga	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.41	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.36	0-0-2 2.65	0-1-1 1.82	2-0-0 2.96	1-1-0 3.26	2-0-0 2.95	0-0-2 3.15	0-0-2 2.14	1-1-0 2.37	—	0-1-1 2.43
Viking	0-0-2 2.83	1-0-1 2.93	0-2-0 2.79	0-2-0 3.42	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 2.45	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.03	1-1-0 3.38	1-0-1 3.43	1-0-1 3.17	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 3.08	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.42%	9.38%	4.38%	1.46%	1.25%	0.83%	22.71%
1	9.38%	12.50%	8.54%	4.58%	1.04%	1.04%	37.08%
2	4.38%	8.54%	6.25%	2.92%	0.62%	0.42%	23.12%
3	1.46%	4.58%	2.92%	1.25%	0.62%	0.21%	11.04%
4	1.25%	1.04%	0.62%	0.62%	—	—	3.54%
5+	0.83%	1.04%	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	2.50%
Total	22.71%	37.08%	23.12%	11.04%	3.54%	2.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.45
Mean allowed	1.45
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.89
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.021
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	33.33%
2	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	23.33%	33.33%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.83
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.51
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	3.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.006
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	13.33%	—	—	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	16.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	26.67%	30.00%	16.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.064
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	23.33%
1	16.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	43.33%
2	—	13.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	50.00%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Haugesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.216
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	23.33%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	53.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Honefoss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.277
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	33.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	43.33%	30.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.007
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	3.33%	43.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	10.00%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	43.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	6.67%	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.011
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	43.33%	23.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Odds — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.104
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
1	13.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	40.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.32
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.229
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	23.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	43.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	20.00%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Sandnes Ulf — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	3.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.123
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	23.33%
1	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	30.00%	26.67%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.185
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	26.67%
1	10.00%	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	30.00%	33.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Sogndal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.60
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.177
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	20.00%
1	16.67%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	30.00%	26.67%	16.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.146
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
Total	33.33%	46.67%	20.00%	—	—	—	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.20
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.73
StdDev allowed	0.73
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.087
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	36.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	23.33%	30.00%	23.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.043
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
1	6.67%	3.33%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	—	—	—	6.67%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	16.67%	30.00%	26.67%	23.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.238
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	46.67%
2	—	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	33.33%	26.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.285
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Stromsgodset	63	52.0	+10.95
2	Haugesund	51	43.3	+7.74
3	Rosenborg	62	54.5	+7.45
4	Aalesund	49	44.0	+5.00
5	Start	38	34.4	+3.63

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Tromso	29	43.3	-14.32
2	Honefoss	29	34.6	-5.58
3	Sogndal	33	36.8	-3.83
4	Brann	39	42.3	-3.27
5	Valerenga	36	39.3	-3.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Start	4	Sep 1 – Sep 29	1 in 76
2	Sandnes Ulf	3	Jul 7 – Jul 27	1 in 44
3	Stromsgodset	4	Apr 13 – May 5	1 in 37
4	Aalesund	4	Mar 16 – Apr 14	1 in 36
5	Haugesund	4	Aug 4 – Aug 25	1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sarpsborg 08	8	Jun 29 – Aug 25	1 in 353
2	Molde	4	Mar 15 – Apr 13	1 in 159
3	Honefoss	5	Jul 12 – Aug 18	1 in 73
4	Sandnes Ulf	4	May 21 – Jun 29	1 in 35
5	Sogndal	4	Aug 30 – Sep 27	1 in 33

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	16	May 4 – Aug 31	1 in 112
2	Lillestrom	8	Jul 14 – Sep 14	1 in 106
3	Sogndal	7	May 20 – Jul 28	1 in 54
4	Haugesund	7	Sep 14 – Nov 3	1 in 32
5	Start	6	Aug 25 – Oct 6	1 in 30

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tromso	9	Jun 29 – Sep 1	1 in 167
2	Molde	7	Mar 15 – May 6	1 in 58
3	Aalesund	7	Aug 25 – Oct 20	1 in 41
4	Honefoss	9	May 25 – Aug 18	1 in 35
5	Brann	7	Sep 15 – Nov 3	1 in 35

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Stromsgodset	28.43%	23.33%	13.71%	10.10%	6.98%	5.45%	3.75%	2.76%	1.73%	1.27%	1.12%	0.59%	0.41%	0.21%	0.12%	0.04%
Rosenborg	42.23%	22.54%	12.54%	7.65%	5.05%	3.49%	2.04%	1.74%	1.00%	0.57%	0.41%	0.45%	0.17%	0.07%	0.04%	0.01%
Haugesund	3.22%	5.86%	8.43%	8.57%	9.60%	9.11%	8.95%	8.91%	7.82%	6.87%	6.36%	5.24%	4.47%	3.06%	2.37%	1.16%
Aalesund	3.64%	7.52%	9.94%	10.36%	10.24%	9.20%	9.14%	8.26%	6.87%	5.96%	5.52%	4.35%	3.52%	2.66%	1.82%	1.00%
Viking	3.83%	6.80%	8.75%	10.06%	9.83%	9.19%	8.91%	8.44%	7.55%	6.64%	5.42%	4.87%	3.79%	2.92%	1.94%	1.06%
Molde	8.55%	12.74%	13.56%	11.51%	10.72%	9.52%	7.34%	6.48%	5.35%	4.46%	3.05%	2.64%	1.79%	1.33%	0.71%	0.25%
Odds	1.74%	4.00%	6.15%	7.51%	7.55%	8.32%	9.48%	8.66%	8.59%	8.15%	7.53%	6.62%	5.33%	4.66%	3.46%	2.25%
Brann	2.55%	4.56%	6.84%	8.34%	8.27%	8.95%	8.59%	8.57%	8.28%	7.67%	6.87%	6.02%	5.36%	4.34%	3.03%	1.76%
Start	0.14%	0.47%	0.85%	1.59%	2.22%	2.84%	3.35%	4.52%	6.19%	7.07%	8.79%	9.25%	11.67%	12.60%	14.24%	14.21%
Lillestrom	0.68%	2.01%	3.46%	4.90%	5.65%	6.22%	7.04%	8.09%	8.40%	8.47%	8.98%	8.90%	8.48%	7.80%	6.38%	4.54%
Valerenga	0.89%	2.11%	3.57%	4.63%	5.69%	6.59%	7.14%	7.54%	8.52%	9.07%	8.45%	8.53%	8.17%	7.65%	6.85%	4.60%
Sogndal	0.41%	1.16%	1.92%	2.47%	3.57%	4.27%	5.61%	6.03%	7.14%	8.08%	8.84%	10.13%	10.48%	10.76%	9.93%	9.20%
Sandnes Ulf	0.16%	0.46%	1.03%	1.77%	2.11%	3.13%	4.06%	4.52%	5.72%	7.21%	8.00%	9.53%	10.64%	12.48%	14.04%	15.14%
Sarpsborg 08	0.08%	0.20%	0.38%	0.70%	1.01%	1.39%	1.94%	2.83%	3.22%	4.39%	6.09%	7.66%	10.15%	13.55%	18.01%	28.40%
Tromso	3.31%	5.86%	7.79%	8.28%	9.27%	9.35%	9.13%	8.11%	7.73%	7.53%	6.51%	5.74%	4.38%	3.41%	2.40%	1.20%
Honefoss	0.14%	0.38%	1.08%	1.56%	2.24%	2.98%	3.53%	4.54%	5.89%	6.59%	8.06%	9.48%	11.19%	12.50%	14.66%	15.18%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	99.9%	0.1%	<0.1%	0.1%
Stromsgodset	99.6%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.2%
Molde	97.7%	1.1%	0.3%	1.0%
Aalesund	94.5%	2.0%	0.6%	2.8%
Viking	94.1%	2.3%	0.6%	3.0%
Haugesund	93.4%	2.2%	0.8%	3.5%
Tromso	93.0%	2.3%	1.1%	3.6%
Brann	90.9%	3.2%	1.1%	4.8%
Odds	89.6%	3.5%	1.2%	5.7%
Lillestrom	81.3%	5.5%	2.3%	10.9%
Valerenga	80.9%	5.2%	2.5%	11.5%
Sogndal	70.1%	6.8%	4.0%	19.1%
Start	59.0%	8.8%	3.8%	28.4%
Sandnes Ulf	58.3%	7.7%	4.8%	29.2%
Honefoss	57.7%	7.6%	4.9%	29.8%
Sarpsborg 08	40.0%	8.4%	5.2%	46.4%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2013-03-15	Molde	W 2-1	1534	1589	40.2%	26.8%	33.0%	+4.8	3
2013-03-15	@ Viking	L 1-2	1589	1534	33.0%	26.8%	40.2%	-4.8	0
2013-03-16	Haugesund	W 3-0	1520	1547	44.2%	26.2%	29.5%	+12.6	3
2013-03-16	@ Aalesund	L 0-3	1547	1520	29.5%	26.2%	44.2%	-12.6	0
2013-03-16	Valerenga	W 3-1	1532	1533	48.0%	25.3%	26.7%	+6.9	3
2013-03-16	@ Brann	L 1-3	1533	1532	26.7%	25.3%	48.0%	-6.9	0
2013-03-17	Sarpsborg 08	D 2-2	1510	1460	55.2%	22.6%	22.1%	-0.8	1
2013-03-17	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1460	1510	22.1%	22.6%	55.2%	+0.8	1
2013-03-17	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1528	1610	36.3%	27.0%	36.7%	-5.4	0
2013-03-17	@ Odds	W 1-0	1610	1528	36.7%	27.0%	36.3%	+5.4	3
2013-03-17	Tromso	D 2-2	1495	1561	38.6%	27.0%	34.4%	-0.1	1
2013-03-17	@ Sogndal	D 2-2	1561	1495	34.4%	27.0%	38.6%	+0.1	1
2013-03-17	Honefoss	W 3-2	1480	1480	48.1%	25.2%	26.6%	+3.8	3
2013-03-17	@ Start	L 2-3	1480	1480	26.6%	25.2%	48.1%	-3.8	0
2013-03-17	Sandnes Ulf	W 2-0	1567	1491	58.9%	20.9%	20.2%	+5.9	3
2013-03-17	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1491	1567	20.2%	20.9%	58.9%	-5.9	0
2013-04-01	Brann	W 4-0	1616	1539	58.9%	20.9%	20.2%	+11.2	6
2013-04-01	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	1539	1616	20.2%	20.9%	58.9%	-11.2	3
2013-04-01	Aalesund	L 0-1	1485	1532	41.4%	26.7%	31.9%	-6.0	0
2013-04-01	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 1-0	1532	1485	31.9%	26.7%	41.4%	+6.0	6
2013-04-01	Viking	W 2-1	1461	1539	37.0%	27.0%	36.0%	+5.1	4
2013-04-01	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1539	1461	36.0%	27.0%	37.0%	-5.1	3
2013-04-01	Odds	W 2-1	1562	1522	53.7%	23.3%	23.0%	+3.4	4
2013-04-01	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1522	1562	23.0%	23.3%	53.7%	-3.4	0
2013-04-01	Sogndal	W 1-0	1526	1495	52.6%	23.7%	23.7%	+3.8	3
2013-04-01	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1495	1526	23.7%	23.7%	52.6%	-3.8	1
2013-04-02	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1476	1573	34.3%	26.9%	38.8%	+10.7	3
2013-04-02	@ Honefoss	L 0-2	1573	1476	38.8%	26.9%	34.3%	-10.7	3
2013-04-02	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1585	1509	58.7%	21.0%	20.3%	-7.3	0
2013-04-02	@ Molde	W 2-1	1509	1585	20.3%	21.0%	58.7%	+7.3	4
2013-04-05	Valerenga	W 2-0	1519	1530	46.6%	25.7%	27.7%	+8.2	3
2013-04-05	@ Odds	L 0-2	1530	1519	27.7%	25.7%	46.6%	-8.2	3
2013-04-06	Molde	W 1-0	1527	1577	41.0%	26.7%	32.2%	+5.0	6
2013-04-06	@ Brann	L 0-1	1577	1527	32.2%	26.7%	41.0%	-5.0	0
2013-04-06	Tromso	D 2-2	1484	1565	36.4%	27.0%	36.5%	+0.0	4
2013-04-06	@ Start	D 2-2	1565	1484	36.5%	27.0%	36.4%	+0.0	5
2013-04-07	Honefoss	W 4-3	1538	1487	55.4%	22.6%	22.1%	+3.0	9
2013-04-07	@ Aalesund	L 3-4	1487	1538	22.1%	22.6%	55.4%	-3.0	3
2013-04-07	Viking	L 0-1	1517	1534	45.8%	25.9%	28.4%	-6.4	4
2013-04-07	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1534	1517	28.4%	25.9%	45.8%	+6.4	6
2013-04-07	Haugesund	D 1-1	1479	1535	40.2%	26.8%	33.0%	-0.2	1
2013-04-07	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1535	1479	33.0%	26.8%	40.2%	+0.2	1
2013-04-07	Rosenborg	L 0-4	1492	1627	29.5%	26.2%	44.3%	-16.5	1
2013-04-07	@ Sogndal	W 4-0	1627	1492	44.3%	26.2%	29.5%	+16.5	9
2013-04-07	Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1562	1466	61.6%	19.5%	18.9%	-1.3	4
2013-04-07	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1466	1562	18.9%	19.5%	61.6%	+1.3	5
2013-04-12	Start	D 1-1	1643	1484	69.9%	14.9%	15.3%	-1.7	10
2013-04-12	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1484	1643	15.3%	14.9%	69.9%	+1.7	5
2013-04-13	Sogndal	L 1-2	1572	1475	61.7%	19.5%	18.8%	-7.5	0
2013-04-13	@ Molde	W 2-1	1475	1572	18.8%	19.5%	61.7%	+7.5	4
2013-04-13	Stromsgodset	L 0-3	1522	1561	42.5%	26.5%	30.9%	-16.7	3
2013-04-13	@ Valerenga	W 3-0	1561	1522	30.9%	26.5%	42.5%	+16.7	7
2013-04-14	Haugesund	L 0-1	1484	1535	40.9%	26.8%	32.4%	-5.9	3
2013-04-14	@ Honefoss	W 1-0	1535	1484	32.4%	26.8%	40.9%	+5.9	4
2013-04-14	Brann	W 2-0	1510	1532	45.0%	26.1%	29.0%	+8.5	7
2013-04-14	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1532	1510	29.0%	26.1%	45.0%	-8.5	6
2013-04-14	Aalesund	L 0-2	1467	1541	37.5%	27.0%	35.5%	-10.5	5
2013-04-14	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1541	1467	35.5%	27.0%	37.5%	+10.5	12
2013-04-14	Sandnes Ulf	L 0-1	1565	1479	60.2%	20.2%	19.5%	-7.9	5
2013-04-14	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1479	1565	19.5%	20.2%	60.2%	+7.9	4
2013-04-14	Odds	W 1-0	1540	1527	50.0%	24.7%	25.3%	+4.0	9
2013-04-14	@ Viking	L 0-1	1527	1540	25.3%	24.7%	50.0%	-4.0	3
2013-04-19	Valerenga	W 1-0	1485	1505	45.3%	26.0%	28.7%	+4.5	8
2013-04-19	@ Start	L 0-1	1505	1485	28.7%	26.0%	45.3%	-4.5	3
2013-04-20	Viking	W 2-0	1524	1544	45.3%	26.0%	28.7%	+8.5	9
2013-04-20	@ Brann	L 0-2	1544	1524	28.7%	26.0%	45.3%	-8.5	9
2013-04-20	Molde	D 1-1	1523	1565	42.2%	26.6%	31.2%	-0.3	4
2013-04-20	@ Odds	D 1-1	1565	1523	31.2%	26.6%	42.2%	+0.3	1
2013-04-21	Tromso	D 0-0	1552	1557	47.4%	25.5%	27.1%	-0.7	13
2013-04-21	@ Aalesund	D 0-0	1557	1552	27.1%	25.5%	47.4%	+0.7	6
2013-04-21	Rosenborg	W 3-1	1541	1641	33.8%	26.9%	39.3%	+9.4	7
2013-04-21	@ Haugesund	L 1-3	1641	1541	39.3%	26.9%	33.8%	-9.4	10
2013-04-21	Honefoss	D 1-1	1487	1478	49.4%	24.9%	25.7%	-0.7	5
2013-04-21	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1478	1487	25.7%	24.9%	49.4%	+0.7	4
2013-04-21	Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1483	1457	51.8%	24.0%	24.1%	-0.9	5
2013-04-21	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1457	1483	24.1%	24.0%	51.8%	+0.9	6
2013-04-21	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1578	1519	56.5%	22.1%	21.4%	+3.4	10
2013-04-21	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1519	1578	21.4%	22.1%	56.5%	-3.4	7
2013-04-24	Start	W 3-2	1550	1490	56.7%	22.0%	21.3%	+3.0	10
2013-04-24	@ Haugesund	L 2-3	1490	1550	21.3%	22.0%	56.7%	-3.0	8
2013-04-26	Odds	W 2-0	1532	1523	49.5%	24.8%	25.7%	+7.6	12
2013-04-26	@ Brann	L 0-2	1523	1532	25.7%	24.8%	49.5%	-7.7	4
2013-04-27	Start	W 3-2	1515	1487	52.2%	23.9%	23.9%	+3.4	10
2013-04-27	@ Lillestrom	L 2-3	1487	1515	23.9%	23.9%	52.2%	-3.4	8
2013-04-27	Aalesund	W 2-1	1501	1551	40.9%	26.8%	32.3%	+4.7	6
2013-04-27	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1551	1501	32.3%	26.8%	40.9%	-4.7	13
2013-04-28	Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1565	1581	45.9%	25.9%	28.3%	-6.1	1
2013-04-28	@ Molde	W 2-1	1581	1565	28.3%	25.9%	45.9%	+6.1	13
2013-04-28	Sandnes Ulf	L 0-1	1632	1486	68.2%	15.9%	16.0%	-8.6	10
2013-04-28	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1486	1632	16.0%	15.9%	68.2%	+8.6	8
2013-04-28	Honefoss	D 1-1	1458	1479	45.1%	26.0%	28.8%	-0.5	7
2013-04-28	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1479	1458	28.8%	26.0%	45.1%	+0.5	5
2013-04-28	Haugesund	W 2-1	1558	1553	48.8%	25.0%	26.1%	+3.9	9
2013-04-28	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1553	1558	26.1%	25.0%	48.8%	-3.9	10
2013-04-28	Sogndal	W 4-1	1536	1482	55.8%	22.4%	21.8%	+7.9	12
2013-04-28	@ Viking	L 1-4	1482	1536	21.8%	22.4%	55.8%	-7.9	5
2013-05-04	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1546	1624	37.1%	27.0%	35.9%	-0.0	14
2013-05-04	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1624	1546	35.9%	27.0%	37.1%	+0.0	11
2013-05-04	Valerenga	L 1-2	1495	1505	46.7%	25.7%	27.7%	-6.2	8
2013-05-04	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 2-1	1505	1495	27.7%	25.7%	46.7%	+6.2	9
2013-05-05	Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1549	1457	61.0%	19.8%	19.1%	-8.0	10
2013-05-05	@ Haugesund	W 1-0	1457	1549	19.1%	19.8%	61.0%	+8.0	10
2013-05-05	Tromso	D 1-1	1479	1562	36.3%	27.0%	36.7%	+0.0	6
2013-05-05	@ Honefoss	D 1-1	1562	1479	36.7%	27.0%	36.3%	-0.0	10
2013-05-05	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1515	1519	47.7%	25.4%	26.9%	+4.0	7
2013-05-05	@ Odds	L 1-2	1519	1515	26.9%	25.4%	47.7%	-4.0	10
2013-05-05	Brann	W 3-1	1474	1540	38.6%	27.0%	34.4%	+8.5	8
2013-05-05	@ Sogndal	L 1-3	1540	1474	34.4%	27.0%	38.6%	-8.5	12
2013-05-05	Viking	W 3-1	1587	1543	54.4%	23.0%	22.6%	+5.8	16
2013-05-05	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1543	1587	22.6%	23.0%	54.4%	-5.8	12
2013-05-06	Molde	D 1-1	1483	1559	37.3%	27.0%	35.7%	-0.0	9
2013-05-06	@ Start	D 1-1	1559	1483	35.7%	27.0%	37.3%	+0.0	2
2013-05-08	Tromso	W 2-1	1624	1562	56.9%	21.9%	21.2%	+3.1	14
2013-05-08	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1562	1624	21.2%	21.9%	56.9%	-3.1	10
2013-05-08	Honefoss	L 1-2	1511	1479	52.7%	23.7%	23.6%	-6.8	9
2013-05-08	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1479	1511	23.6%	23.7%	52.7%	+6.8	9
2013-05-09	Start	W 2-0	1532	1483	55.0%	22.7%	22.3%	+6.6	15
2013-05-09	@ Brann	L 0-2	1483	1532	22.3%	22.7%	55.0%	-6.6	9
2013-05-09	Sogndal	D 2-2	1515	1482	52.8%	23.6%	23.6%	-0.7	11
2013-05-09	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1482	1515	23.6%	23.6%	52.8%	+0.7	9
2013-05-09	Aalesund	W 4-1	1559	1546	50.0%	24.7%	25.4%	+9.3	5
2013-05-09	@ Molde	L 1-4	1546	1559	25.4%	24.7%	50.0%	-9.3	14
2013-05-09	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1519	1593	37.5%	27.0%	35.5%	-0.1	8
2013-05-09	@ Odds	D 1-1	1593	1519	35.5%	27.0%	37.5%	+0.0	17
2013-05-09	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-2	1465	1488	44.8%	26.1%	29.1%	+4.1	13
2013-05-09	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 2-3	1488	1465	29.1%	26.1%	44.8%	-4.1	8
2013-05-09	Haugesund	D 0-0	1538	1541	47.6%	25.4%	27.0%	-0.7	13
2013-05-09	@ Viking	D 0-0	1541	1538	27.0%	25.4%	47.6%	+0.7	11
2013-05-12	Valerenga	W 1-0	1542	1505	53.4%	23.4%	23.2%	+3.7	14
2013-05-12	@ Haugesund	L 0-1	1505	1542	23.2%	23.4%	53.4%	-3.7	9
2013-05-12	Molde	D 0-0	1484	1568	36.1%	27.0%	36.9%	+0.0	9
2013-05-12	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 0-0	1568	1484	36.9%	27.0%	36.1%	-0.0	6
2013-05-12	Odds	W 2-0	1483	1519	43.0%	26.5%	30.6%	+8.9	12
2013-05-12	@ Sogndal	L 0-2	1519	1483	30.6%	26.5%	43.0%	-9.0	8
2013-05-12	Viking	L 1-2	1477	1537	39.5%	26.9%	33.6%	-5.5	9
2013-05-12	@ Start	W 2-1	1537	1477	33.6%	26.9%	39.5%	+5.4	16
2013-05-12	Brann	W 2-0	1593	1538	55.9%	22.3%	21.8%	+6.4	20
2013-05-12	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1538	1593	21.8%	22.3%	55.9%	-6.4	15
2013-05-12	Sarpsborg 08	W 5-0	1559	1469	60.7%	20.0%	19.3%	+13.1	13
2013-05-12	@ Tromso	L 0-5	1469	1559	19.3%	20.0%	60.7%	-13.1	13
2013-05-13	Lillestrom	W 7-1	1537	1514	51.5%	24.1%	24.4%	+16.7	17
2013-05-13	@ Aalesund	L 1-7	1514	1537	24.4%	24.1%	51.5%	-16.7	11
2013-05-13	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1486	1627	28.9%	26.0%	45.1%	-4.3	9
2013-05-13	@ Honefoss	W 2-1	1627	1486	45.1%	26.0%	28.9%	+4.3	17
2013-05-16	Aalesund	W 2-0	1532	1554	45.0%	26.1%	28.9%	+8.5	18
2013-05-16	@ Brann	L 0-2	1554	1532	28.9%	26.1%	45.0%	-8.5	17
2013-05-16	Sandnes Ulf	D 2-2	1497	1484	50.0%	24.7%	25.3%	-0.6	12
2013-05-16	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1484	1497	25.3%	24.7%	50.0%	+0.6	10
2013-05-16	Haugesund	L 1-5	1568	1546	51.4%	24.2%	24.4%	-20.9	6
2013-05-16	@ Molde	W 5-1	1546	1568	24.4%	24.2%	51.4%	+20.9	17
2013-05-16	Start	L 0-1	1510	1471	53.7%	23.3%	23.0%	-7.2	8
2013-05-16	@ Odds	W 1-0	1471	1510	23.0%	23.3%	53.7%	+7.3	12
2013-05-16	Sarpsborg 08	W 4-2	1631	1456	71.8%	13.8%	14.5%	+3.0	20
2013-05-16	@ Rosenborg	L 2-4	1456	1631	14.5%	13.8%	71.8%	-3.0	13
2013-05-16	Sogndal	W 3-1	1600	1492	63.1%	18.7%	18.2%	+4.5	23
2013-05-16	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1492	1600	18.2%	18.7%	63.1%	-4.5	12
2013-05-16	Tromso	W 2-0	1501	1572	38.0%	27.0%	35.0%	+10.0	12
2013-05-16	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1572	1501	35.0%	27.0%	38.0%	-10.0	13
2013-05-16	Honefoss	D 0-0	1542	1482	56.7%	22.0%	21.3%	-1.2	17
2013-05-16	@ Viking	D 0-0	1482	1542	21.3%	22.0%	56.7%	+1.2	10
2013-05-20	Odds	W 2-0	1545	1503	54.2%	23.1%	22.8%	+6.8	20
2013-05-20	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1503	1545	22.8%	23.1%	54.2%	-6.8	8
2013-05-20	Sogndal	L 0-1	1567	1487	59.3%	20.7%	20.0%	-7.8	17
2013-05-20	@ Haugesund	W 1-0	1487	1567	20.0%	20.7%	59.3%	+7.8	15
2013-05-20	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1483	1497	46.2%	25.8%	28.0%	+4.4	13
2013-05-20	@ Honefoss	L 0-1	1497	1483	28.0%	25.8%	46.2%	-4.4	12
2013-05-20	Molde	D 0-0	1634	1547	60.3%	20.2%	19.5%	-1.4	21
2013-05-20	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1547	1634	19.5%	20.2%	60.3%	+1.4	7
2013-05-20	Stromsgodset	L 0-6	1479	1604	30.6%	26.5%	42.9%	-24.9	12
2013-05-20	@ Start	W 6-0	1604	1479	42.9%	26.5%	30.6%	+24.9	26
2013-05-20	Brann	W 2-0	1562	1540	51.2%	24.2%	24.5%	+7.3	16
2013-05-20	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1540	1562	24.5%	24.2%	51.2%	-7.3	18
2013-05-21	Viking	L 0-1	1485	1541	40.1%	26.8%	33.1%	-5.8	10
2013-05-21	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 1-0	1541	1485	33.1%	26.8%	40.1%	+5.8	20
2013-05-21	Valerenga	D 3-3	1453	1511	39.8%	26.9%	33.3%	-0.1	14
2013-05-21	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 3-3	1511	1453	33.3%	26.9%	39.8%	+0.1	13
2013-05-24	Aalesund	W 2-1	1629	1552	59.0%	20.9%	20.2%	+3.0	29
2013-05-24	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1552	1629	20.2%	20.9%	59.0%	-3.0	20
2013-05-25	Honefoss	W 4-0	1549	1487	56.8%	21.9%	21.3%	+11.9	10
2013-05-25	@ Molde	L 0-4	1487	1549	21.3%	21.9%	56.8%	-11.9	13
2013-05-25	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1511	1632	31.1%	26.6%	42.3%	-4.5	13
2013-05-25	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1632	1511	42.3%	26.6%	31.1%	+4.5	24
2013-05-26	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-1	1533	1453	59.4%	20.7%	20.0%	+5.0	21
2013-05-26	@ Brann	L 1-3	1453	1533	20.0%	20.7%	59.4%	-5.0	14
2013-05-26	Haugesund	W 3-0	1492	1559	38.6%	27.0%	34.4%	+14.3	15
2013-05-26	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1559	1492	34.4%	27.0%	38.6%	-14.3	17
2013-05-26	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-0	1496	1479	50.6%	24.5%	24.9%	+10.8	11
2013-05-26	@ Odds	L 0-3	1479	1496	24.9%	24.5%	50.6%	-10.8	10
2013-05-26	Start	D 1-1	1495	1454	54.0%	23.1%	22.8%	-1.0	16
2013-05-26	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1454	1495	22.8%	23.1%	54.0%	+1.0	13
2013-05-26	Tromso	W 2-1	1547	1569	45.0%	26.1%	28.9%	+4.3	23
2013-05-26	@ Viking	L 1-2	1569	1547	28.9%	26.1%	45.0%	-4.3	16
2013-06-22	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1637	1632	48.9%	25.0%	26.1%	+4.1	27
2013-06-22	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1632	1637	26.1%	25.0%	48.9%	-4.1	29
2013-06-22	Start	W 2-1	1448	1455	47.2%	25.5%	27.3%	+4.0	17
2013-06-22	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1455	1448	27.3%	25.5%	47.2%	-4.1	13
2013-06-22	Molde	D 3-3	1507	1561	40.4%	26.8%	32.8%	-0.1	14
2013-06-22	@ Valerenga	D 3-3	1561	1507	32.8%	26.8%	40.4%	+0.1	11
2013-06-23	Viking	W 2-1	1549	1551	47.9%	25.3%	26.8%	+4.0	23
2013-06-23	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1551	1549	26.8%	25.3%	47.9%	-4.0	23
2013-06-23	Brann	W 2-1	1544	1538	49.1%	25.0%	25.9%	+3.9	20
2013-06-23	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1538	1544	25.9%	25.0%	49.1%	-3.9	21
2013-06-23	Odds	D 1-1	1476	1507	43.7%	26.3%	30.0%	-0.4	14
2013-06-23	@ Honefoss	D 1-1	1507	1476	30.0%	26.3%	43.7%	+0.4	12
2013-06-23	Sogndal	L 1-3	1468	1494	44.5%	26.2%	29.4%	-10.3	10
2013-06-23	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 3-1	1494	1468	29.4%	26.2%	44.5%	+10.3	19
2013-06-23	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1565	1507	56.4%	22.1%	21.5%	+6.4	19
2013-06-23	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1507	1565	21.5%	22.1%	56.4%	-6.4	15
2013-06-29	Sandnes Ulf	W 6-1	1534	1458	58.8%	20.9%	20.2%	+11.5	24
2013-06-29	@ Brann	L 1-6	1458	1534	20.2%	20.9%	58.8%	-11.5	10
2013-06-29	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-1	1561	1452	63.3%	18.6%	18.1%	+4.5	14
2013-06-29	@ Molde	L 1-3	1452	1561	18.1%	18.6%	63.3%	-4.5	17
2013-06-29	Honefoss	D 1-1	1504	1475	52.3%	23.8%	23.8%	-0.9	20
2013-06-29	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1475	1504	23.8%	23.8%	52.3%	+0.9	15
2013-06-29	Tromso	W 3-1	1628	1571	56.2%	22.2%	21.6%	+5.5	32
2013-06-29	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1571	1628	21.6%	22.2%	56.2%	-5.5	19
2013-06-30	Valerenga	L 0-1	1500	1506	47.3%	25.5%	27.2%	-6.6	15
2013-06-30	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1506	1500	27.2%	25.5%	47.3%	+6.6	17
2013-06-30	Haugesund	W 4-0	1507	1548	42.3%	26.6%	31.1%	+17.2	15
2013-06-30	@ Odds	L 0-4	1548	1507	31.1%	26.6%	42.3%	-17.2	20
2013-06-30	Aalesund	D 2-2	1451	1553	33.5%	26.9%	39.6%	+0.1	14
2013-06-30	@ Start	D 2-2	1553	1451	39.6%	26.9%	33.5%	-0.1	24
2013-06-30	Rosenborg	D 0-0	1547	1641	34.7%	27.0%	38.4%	+0.1	24
2013-06-30	@ Viking	D 0-0	1641	1547	38.4%	27.0%	34.7%	-0.1	28
2013-07-06	Sogndal	D 2-2	1553	1504	55.1%	22.7%	22.2%	-0.8	25
2013-07-06	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1504	1553	22.2%	22.7%	55.1%	+0.8	21
2013-07-06	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1531	1633	33.6%	26.9%	39.5%	+5.4	23
2013-07-06	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1633	1531	39.5%	26.9%	33.6%	-5.4	32
2013-07-07	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1641	1494	68.3%	15.8%	15.9%	+2.3	31
2013-07-07	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1494	1641	15.9%	15.8%	68.3%	-2.3	15
2013-07-07	Start	W 3-1	1447	1451	47.6%	25.4%	27.0%	+7.0	13
2013-07-07	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-3	1451	1447	27.0%	25.4%	47.6%	-7.0	14
2013-07-07	Odds	L 0-1	1448	1525	37.1%	27.0%	35.9%	-5.5	17
2013-07-07	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1525	1448	35.9%	27.0%	37.1%	+5.5	18
2013-07-07	Molde	L 2-3	1566	1565	48.2%	25.2%	26.6%	-6.0	19
2013-07-07	@ Tromso	W 3-2	1565	1566	26.6%	25.2%	48.2%	+6.0	17
2013-07-07	Viking	D 2-2	1513	1547	43.2%	26.4%	30.3%	-0.3	18
2013-07-07	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1547	1513	30.3%	26.4%	43.2%	+0.3	25
2013-07-08	Brann	D 1-1	1476	1546	38.2%	27.0%	34.9%	-0.1	16
2013-07-08	@ Honefoss	D 1-1	1546	1476	34.9%	27.0%	38.2%	+0.1	25
2013-07-12	Valerenga	L 1-2	1476	1513	42.9%	26.5%	30.6%	-5.8	16
2013-07-12	@ Honefoss	W 2-1	1513	1476	30.6%	26.5%	42.9%	+5.8	21
2013-07-13	Viking	D 1-1	1571	1548	51.5%	24.1%	24.3%	-0.8	18
2013-07-13	@ Molde	D 1-1	1548	1571	24.3%	24.1%	51.5%	+0.8	26
2013-07-13	Brann	D 3-3	1444	1546	33.6%	26.9%	39.5%	+0.1	15
2013-07-13	@ Start	D 3-3	1546	1444	39.5%	26.9%	33.6%	-0.1	26
2013-07-14	Aalesund	L 1-2	1537	1552	45.9%	25.9%	28.2%	-6.1	23
2013-07-14	@ Haugesund	W 2-1	1552	1537	28.2%	25.9%	45.9%	+6.1	28
2013-07-14	Odds	W 3-2	1643	1530	63.9%	18.3%	17.8%	+2.4	34
2013-07-14	@ Rosenborg	L 2-3	1530	1643	17.8%	18.3%	63.9%	-2.4	18
2013-07-14	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1454	1628	25.4%	24.7%	49.9%	+6.5	16
2013-07-14	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-2	1628	1454	49.9%	24.7%	25.4%	-6.5	32
2013-07-14	Lillestrom	L 0-1	1442	1491	41.1%	26.7%	32.2%	-5.9	17
2013-07-14	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1491	1442	32.2%	26.7%	41.1%	+5.9	18
2013-07-14	Sogndal	D 2-2	1560	1504	56.0%	22.3%	21.7%	-0.8	20
2013-07-14	@ Tromso	D 2-2	1504	1560	21.7%	22.3%	56.0%	+0.8	22
2013-07-27	Sandnes Ulf	L 2-3	1558	1460	61.9%	19.4%	18.8%	-7.2	28
2013-07-27	@ Aalesund	W 3-2	1460	1558	18.8%	19.4%	61.9%	+7.2	19
2013-07-27	Molde	W 2-0	1497	1570	37.6%	27.0%	35.4%	+10.0	21
2013-07-27	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1570	1497	35.4%	27.0%	37.6%	-10.0	18
2013-07-28	Rosenborg	L 1-4	1546	1646	33.8%	26.9%	39.3%	-11.9	26
2013-07-28	@ Brann	W 4-1	1646	1546	39.3%	26.9%	33.8%	+11.9	37
2013-07-28	Tromso	W 3-1	1528	1559	43.7%	26.3%	30.0%	+7.6	21
2013-07-28	@ Odds	L 1-3	1559	1528	30.0%	26.3%	43.7%	-7.6	20
2013-07-28	Haugesund	D 1-1	1505	1530	44.5%	26.2%	29.3%	-0.5	23
2013-07-28	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1530	1505	29.3%	26.2%	44.5%	+0.5	24
2013-07-28	Honefoss	W 6-1	1621	1470	68.8%	15.5%	15.7%	+8.3	35
2013-07-28	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-6	1470	1621	15.7%	15.5%	68.8%	-8.3	16
2013-07-28	Start	W 3-0	1548	1444	62.7%	18.9%	18.4%	+7.6	29
2013-07-28	@ Viking	L 0-3	1444	1548	18.4%	18.9%	62.7%	-7.6	15
2013-07-29	Sarpsborg 08	W 5-3	1519	1436	59.7%	20.5%	19.8%	+4.2	24
2013-07-29	@ Valerenga	L 3-5	1436	1519	19.8%	20.5%	59.7%	-4.2	17
2013-08-03	Brann	W 2-0	1560	1534	52.0%	24.0%	24.1%	+7.2	21
2013-08-03	@ Molde	L 0-2	1534	1560	24.1%	24.0%	52.0%	-7.2	26
2013-08-03	Odds	L 0-1	1436	1535	34.0%	26.9%	39.1%	-5.2	15
2013-08-03	@ Start	W 1-0	1535	1436	39.1%	26.9%	34.0%	+5.2	24
2013-08-03	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1556	1507	55.0%	22.7%	22.2%	-0.8	30
2013-08-03	@ Viking	D 2-2	1507	1556	22.2%	22.7%	55.0%	+0.8	22
2013-08-04	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-1	1531	1467	57.1%	21.8%	21.1%	+5.4	27
2013-08-04	@ Haugesund	L 1-3	1467	1531	21.1%	21.8%	57.1%	-5.4	19
2013-08-04	Aalesund	L 2-5	1462	1551	35.3%	27.0%	37.7%	-10.6	16
2013-08-04	@ Honefoss	W 5-2	1551	1462	37.7%	27.0%	35.3%	+10.6	31
2013-08-04	Sogndal	W 2-0	1658	1505	69.0%	15.4%	15.6%	+4.2	40
2013-08-04	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1505	1658	15.6%	15.4%	69.0%	-4.2	23
2013-08-04	Stromsgodset	L 2-4	1432	1630	23.3%	23.5%	53.2%	-5.4	17
2013-08-04	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 4-2	1630	1432	53.2%	23.5%	23.3%	+5.4	38
2013-08-04	Valerenga	D 2-2	1551	1523	52.2%	23.9%	23.9%	-0.6	21
2013-08-04	@ Tromso	D 2-2	1523	1551	23.9%	23.9%	52.2%	+0.6	25
2013-08-09	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1526	1508	50.8%	24.4%	24.8%	-0.8	27
2013-08-09	@ Brann	D 1-1	1508	1526	24.8%	24.4%	50.8%	+0.8	23
2013-08-10	Viking	D 1-1	1541	1555	46.1%	25.8%	28.1%	-0.5	25
2013-08-10	@ Odds	D 1-1	1555	1541	28.1%	25.8%	46.1%	+0.5	31
2013-08-10	Molde	L 1-2	1500	1568	38.5%	27.0%	34.5%	-5.3	23
2013-08-10	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	1568	1500	34.5%	27.0%	38.5%	+5.3	24
2013-08-11	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-1	1562	1427	66.8%	16.7%	16.6%	+4.0	34
2013-08-11	@ Aalesund	L 1-3	1427	1562	16.6%	16.7%	66.8%	-4.0	17
2013-08-11	Honefoss	W 1-0	1536	1451	60.1%	20.3%	19.6%	+3.0	30
2013-08-11	@ Haugesund	L 0-1	1451	1536	19.6%	20.3%	60.1%	-3.0	16
2013-08-11	Tromso	W 2-1	1462	1551	35.4%	27.0%	37.6%	+5.2	22
2013-08-11	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-2	1551	1462	37.6%	27.0%	35.4%	-5.2	21
2013-08-11	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1635	1662	44.3%	26.2%	29.5%	-0.3	39
2013-08-11	@ Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1662	1635	29.5%	26.2%	44.3%	+0.3	41
2013-08-11	Start	L 1-3	1523	1431	61.1%	19.8%	19.1%	-13.0	25
2013-08-11	@ Valerenga	W 3-1	1431	1523	19.1%	19.8%	61.1%	+13.0	18
2013-08-17	Odds	D 1-1	1573	1540	52.8%	23.6%	23.5%	-0.9	25
2013-08-17	@ Molde	D 1-1	1540	1573	23.5%	23.6%	52.8%	+0.9	26
2013-08-17	Valerenga	D 0-0	1662	1510	68.9%	15.4%	15.7%	-1.8	42
2013-08-17	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1510	1662	15.7%	15.4%	68.9%	+1.8	26
2013-08-18	Sandnes Ulf	L 0-1	1448	1467	45.5%	25.9%	28.6%	-6.4	16
2013-08-18	@ Honefoss	W 1-0	1467	1448	28.6%	25.9%	45.5%	+6.4	25
2013-08-18	Sogndal	L 0-1	1423	1495	37.7%	27.0%	35.3%	-5.6	17
2013-08-18	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1495	1423	35.3%	27.0%	37.7%	+5.6	26
2013-08-18	Haugesund	L 1-2	1444	1539	34.5%	27.0%	38.5%	-4.9	18
2013-08-18	@ Start	W 2-1	1539	1444	38.5%	27.0%	34.5%	+4.9	33
2013-08-18	Aalesund	L 1-2	1545	1566	45.2%	26.0%	28.7%	-6.0	21
2013-08-18	@ Tromso	W 2-1	1566	1545	28.7%	26.0%	45.2%	+6.0	37
2013-08-18	Brann	W 3-2	1556	1526	52.5%	23.8%	23.8%	+3.4	34
2013-08-18	@ Viking	L 2-3	1526	1556	23.8%	23.8%	52.5%	-3.4	27
2013-08-19	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1509	1635	30.6%	26.5%	43.0%	+0.4	24
2013-08-19	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1635	1509	43.0%	26.5%	30.6%	-0.4	40
2013-08-24	Brann	L 1-3	1541	1522	50.8%	24.4%	24.8%	-11.4	26
2013-08-24	@ Odds	W 3-1	1522	1541	24.8%	24.4%	50.8%	+11.4	30
2013-08-24	Viking	W 1-0	1501	1559	39.8%	26.9%	33.4%	+5.1	29
2013-08-24	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	1559	1501	33.4%	26.9%	39.8%	-5.1	34
2013-08-25	Start	D 1-1	1572	1439	66.4%	16.9%	16.7%	-1.5	38
2013-08-25	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1439	1572	16.7%	16.9%	66.4%	+1.5	19
2013-08-25	Tromso	W 1-0	1544	1539	48.9%	25.0%	26.1%	+4.1	36
2013-08-25	@ Haugesund	L 0-1	1539	1544	26.1%	25.0%	48.9%	-4.1	21
2013-08-25	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-1	1442	1417	51.7%	24.1%	24.2%	+6.3	19
2013-08-25	@ Honefoss	L 1-3	1417	1442	24.2%	24.1%	51.7%	-6.3	17
2013-08-25	Rosenborg	L 2-3	1473	1660	24.2%	24.1%	51.7%	-3.4	25
2013-08-25	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 3-2	1660	1473	51.7%	24.1%	24.2%	+3.4	45
2013-08-25	Molde	W 5-2	1634	1572	56.9%	21.9%	21.2%	+6.6	43
2013-08-25	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-5	1572	1634	21.2%	21.9%	56.9%	-6.6	25
2013-08-25	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1512	1509	48.6%	25.1%	26.3%	-0.7	27
2013-08-25	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1509	1512	26.3%	25.1%	48.6%	+0.7	25
2013-08-30	Sogndal	W 1-0	1534	1506	52.1%	23.9%	24.0%	+3.8	33
2013-08-30	@ Brann	L 0-1	1506	1534	24.0%	23.9%	52.1%	-3.8	29
2013-08-31	Odds	W 1-0	1510	1530	45.4%	26.0%	28.6%	+4.5	28
2013-08-31	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1530	1510	28.6%	26.0%	45.4%	-4.5	26
2013-08-31	Aalesund	W 2-1	1664	1570	61.2%	19.7%	19.1%	+2.8	48
2013-08-31	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1570	1664	19.1%	19.7%	61.2%	-2.8	38
2013-09-01	Valerenga	W 4-0	1565	1512	55.8%	22.4%	21.9%	+12.3	28
2013-09-01	@ Molde	L 0-4	1512	1565	21.9%	22.4%	55.8%	-12.3	27
2013-09-01	Haugesund	W 2-1	1411	1548	29.2%	26.1%	44.7%	+6.0	20
2013-09-01	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1548	1411	44.7%	26.1%	29.2%	-6.0	36
2013-09-01	Sandnes Ulf	W 7-0	1441	1470	44.0%	26.3%	29.8%	+28.1	22
2013-09-01	@ Start	L 0-7	1470	1441	29.8%	26.3%	44.0%	-28.1	25
2013-09-01	Honefoss	D 1-1	1535	1448	60.3%	20.2%	19.5%	-1.3	22
2013-09-01	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1448	1535	19.5%	20.2%	60.3%	+1.3	20
2013-09-01	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1554	1641	35.7%	27.0%	37.3%	+5.5	37
2013-09-01	@ Viking	L 0-1	1641	1554	37.3%	27.0%	35.7%	-5.5	43
2013-09-13	Molde	L 1-3	1567	1578	46.7%	25.7%	27.6%	-10.7	38
2013-09-13	@ Aalesund	W 3-1	1578	1567	27.6%	25.7%	46.7%	+10.7	31
2013-09-14	Viking	D 1-1	1542	1560	45.7%	25.9%	28.4%	-0.5	37
2013-09-14	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1560	1542	28.4%	25.9%	45.7%	+0.5	38
2013-09-14	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1502	1514	46.4%	25.7%	27.9%	-6.1	29
2013-09-14	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	1514	1502	27.9%	25.7%	46.4%	+6.1	31
2013-09-15	Start	L 0-1	1449	1469	45.4%	26.0%	28.6%	-6.4	20
2013-09-15	@ Honefoss	W 1-0	1469	1449	28.6%	26.0%	45.4%	+6.4	25
2013-09-15	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1442	1417	51.8%	24.0%	24.2%	+7.2	28
2013-09-15	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 0-2	1417	1442	24.2%	24.0%	51.8%	-7.2	20
2013-09-15	Odds	W 3-1	1635	1525	63.5%	18.5%	18.0%	+4.4	46
2013-09-15	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1525	1635	18.0%	18.5%	63.5%	-4.4	26
2013-09-15	Rosenborg	W 1-0	1534	1667	29.8%	26.3%	43.9%	+6.2	25
2013-09-15	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1667	1534	43.9%	26.3%	29.8%	-6.2	48
2013-09-15	Brann	W 4-3	1499	1538	42.7%	26.5%	30.8%	+4.2	30
2013-09-15	@ Valerenga	L 3-4	1538	1499	30.8%	26.5%	42.7%	-4.2	33
2013-09-20	Haugesund	D 1-1	1660	1542	64.5%	17.9%	17.5%	-1.5	49
2013-09-20	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1542	1660	17.5%	17.9%	64.5%	+1.4	38
2013-09-21	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1533	1640	33.0%	26.8%	40.2%	+0.2	34
2013-09-21	@ Brann	D 1-1	1640	1533	40.2%	26.8%	33.0%	-0.2	47
2013-09-21	Honefoss	L 1-2	1521	1443	59.1%	20.8%	20.1%	-7.3	31
2013-09-21	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1443	1521	20.1%	20.8%	59.1%	+7.3	23
2013-09-22	Sandnes Ulf	W 4-1	1588	1449	67.3%	16.4%	16.4%	+5.5	34
2013-09-22	@ Molde	L 1-4	1449	1588	16.4%	16.4%	67.3%	-5.5	28
2013-09-22	Aalesund	W 5-1	1521	1557	43.0%	26.5%	30.6%	+14.1	29
2013-09-22	@ Odds	L 1-5	1557	1521	30.6%	26.5%	43.0%	-14.1	38
2013-09-22	Tromso	W 3-0	1409	1540	30.0%	26.3%	43.7%	+17.0	23
2013-09-22	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-3	1540	1409	43.7%	26.3%	30.0%	-17.0	25
2013-09-22	Sogndal	W 2-0	1475	1496	45.2%	26.0%	28.8%	+8.5	28
2013-09-22	@ Start	L 0-2	1496	1475	28.8%	26.0%	45.2%	-8.5	29
2013-09-22	Valerenga	W 1-0	1560	1503	56.2%	22.2%	21.6%	+3.4	41
2013-09-22	@ Viking	L 0-1	1503	1560	21.6%	22.2%	56.2%	-3.4	30
2013-09-27	Stromsgodset	L 0-5	1487	1640	27.6%	25.6%	46.8%	-19.2	29
2013-09-27	@ Sogndal	W 5-0	1640	1487	46.8%	25.6%	27.6%	+19.1	50
2013-09-28	Brann	D 0-0	1543	1534	49.5%	24.8%	25.7%	-0.8	39
2013-09-28	@ Aalesund	D 0-0	1534	1543	25.7%	24.8%	49.5%	+0.8	35
2013-09-28	Viking	D 2-2	1450	1564	32.1%	26.7%	41.1%	+0.2	24
2013-09-28	@ Honefoss	D 2-2	1564	1450	41.1%	26.7%	32.1%	-0.2	42
2013-09-29	Molde	D 1-1	1543	1594	40.9%	26.8%	32.3%	-0.2	39
2013-09-29	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1594	1543	32.3%	26.8%	40.9%	+0.2	35
2013-09-29	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1444	1513	38.1%	27.0%	34.9%	-0.1	29
2013-09-29	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1513	1444	34.9%	27.0%	38.1%	+0.1	32
2013-09-29	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1426	1659	20.6%	21.3%	58.0%	-3.0	23
2013-09-29	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 2-1	1659	1426	58.0%	21.3%	20.6%	+3.0	52
2013-09-29	Start	L 2-3	1523	1484	53.8%	23.3%	23.0%	-6.5	25
2013-09-29	@ Tromso	W 3-2	1484	1523	23.0%	23.3%	53.8%	+6.5	31
2013-09-29	Odds	L 1-2	1500	1535	43.2%	26.4%	30.4%	-5.8	30
2013-09-29	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1535	1500	30.4%	26.4%	43.2%	+5.8	32
2013-10-04	Haugesund	L 0-1	1534	1543	46.9%	25.6%	27.5%	-6.6	35
2013-10-04	@ Brann	W 1-0	1543	1534	27.5%	25.6%	46.9%	+6.6	42
2013-10-05	Valerenga	W 2-1	1659	1494	70.5%	14.5%	15.0%	+2.0	53
2013-10-05	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1494	1659	15.0%	14.5%	70.5%	-2.0	30
2013-10-05	Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1563	1444	64.7%	17.8%	17.4%	-1.5	43
2013-10-05	@ Viking	D 1-1	1444	1563	17.4%	17.8%	64.7%	+1.5	30
2013-10-06	Aalesund	D 1-1	1513	1542	44.1%	26.2%	29.7%	-0.4	33
2013-10-06	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1542	1513	29.7%	26.2%	44.1%	+0.4	40
2013-10-06	Tromso	W 1-0	1594	1517	59.0%	20.8%	20.1%	+3.1	38
2013-10-06	@ Molde	L 0-1	1517	1594	20.1%	20.8%	59.0%	-3.1	25
2013-10-06	Sogndal	D 0-0	1541	1468	58.3%	21.2%	20.5%	-1.3	33
2013-10-06	@ Odds	D 0-0	1468	1541	20.5%	21.2%	58.3%	+1.3	30
2013-10-06	Honefoss	D 0-0	1662	1450	76.1%	11.2%	12.7%	-2.2	53
2013-10-06	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1450	1662	12.7%	11.2%	76.1%	+2.2	25
2013-10-06	Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1490	1423	57.6%	21.6%	20.9%	-1.1	32
2013-10-06	@ Start	D 1-1	1423	1490	20.9%	21.6%	57.6%	+1.1	24
2013-10-18	Brann	W 3-2	1425	1528	33.4%	26.9%	39.7%	+5.2	27
2013-10-18	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 2-3	1528	1425	39.7%	26.9%	33.4%	-5.2	35
2013-10-19	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1489	1660	25.8%	24.9%	49.4%	-4.1	32
2013-10-19	@ Start	W 1-0	1660	1489	49.4%	24.9%	25.8%	+4.1	56
2013-10-19	Viking	W 4-3	1513	1562	41.2%	26.7%	32.1%	+4.3	28
2013-10-19	@ Tromso	L 3-4	1562	1513	32.1%	26.7%	41.2%	-4.3	43
2013-10-20	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1542	1661	31.5%	26.6%	41.9%	-4.9	40
2013-10-20	@ Aalesund	W 1-0	1661	1542	41.9%	26.6%	31.5%	+4.9	56
2013-10-20	Lillestrom	W 3-2	1550	1513	53.4%	23.4%	23.2%	+3.3	45
2013-10-20	@ Haugesund	L 2-3	1513	1550	23.2%	23.4%	53.4%	-3.3	33
2013-10-20	Molde	L 0-1	1453	1597	28.4%	25.9%	45.7%	-4.5	25
2013-10-20	@ Honefoss	W 1-0	1597	1453	45.7%	25.9%	28.4%	+4.5	41
2013-10-20	Odds	L 2-4	1445	1539	34.6%	27.0%	38.4%	-7.7	30
2013-10-20	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 4-2	1539	1445	38.4%	27.0%	34.6%	+7.7	36
2013-10-20	Valerenga	L 1-2	1470	1492	44.9%	26.1%	29.0%	-6.0	30
2013-10-20	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	1492	1470	29.0%	26.1%	44.9%	+6.0	33
2013-10-25	Aalesund	L 1-3	1558	1537	51.0%	24.3%	24.6%	-11.4	43
2013-10-25	@ Viking	W 3-1	1537	1558	24.6%	24.3%	51.0%	+11.4	43
2013-10-26	Rosenborg	W 1-0	1602	1664	39.2%	26.9%	33.9%	+5.1	44
2013-10-26	@ Molde	L 0-1	1664	1602	33.9%	26.9%	39.2%	-5.2	56
2013-10-26	Haugesund	L 1-2	1498	1553	40.3%	26.8%	32.9%	-5.5	33
2013-10-26	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1553	1498	32.9%	26.8%	40.3%	+5.5	48
2013-10-27	Honefoss	D 0-0	1523	1448	58.6%	21.1%	20.3%	-1.3	36
2013-10-27	@ Brann	D 0-0	1448	1523	20.3%	21.1%	58.6%	+1.3	26
2013-10-27	Tromso	W 3-2	1510	1518	47.0%	25.6%	27.4%	+3.9	36
2013-10-27	@ Lillestrom	L 2-3	1518	1510	27.4%	25.6%	47.0%	-3.9	28
2013-10-27	Sarpsborg 08	D 2-2	1547	1430	64.4%	18.0%	17.6%	-1.1	37
2013-10-27	@ Odds	D 2-2	1430	1547	17.6%	18.0%	64.4%	+1.1	28
2013-10-27	Sandnes Ulf	W 2-1	1464	1437	51.9%	24.0%	24.1%	+3.6	33
2013-10-27	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1437	1464	24.1%	24.0%	51.9%	-3.6	30
2013-10-27	Start	W 1-0	1666	1485	72.5%	13.3%	14.2%	+2.0	59
2013-10-27	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1485	1666	14.2%	13.3%	72.5%	-2.0	32
2013-11-03	Valerenga	W 1-0	1549	1493	56.1%	22.2%	21.7%	+3.4	46
2013-11-03	@ Aalesund	L 0-1	1493	1549	21.7%	22.2%	56.1%	-3.4	33
2013-11-03	Odds	W 3-1	1558	1546	50.0%	24.7%	25.4%	+6.5	51
2013-11-03	@ Haugesund	L 1-3	1546	1558	25.4%	24.7%	50.0%	-6.5	37
2013-11-03	Sogndal	W 3-1	1450	1467	45.6%	25.9%	28.4%	+7.3	29
2013-11-03	@ Honefoss	L 1-3	1467	1450	28.4%	25.9%	45.6%	-7.3	33
2013-11-03	Viking	W 2-1	1659	1546	63.7%	18.4%	17.9%	+2.5	59
2013-11-03	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1546	1659	17.9%	18.4%	63.7%	-2.5	43
2013-11-03	Brann	W 3-1	1434	1521	35.6%	27.0%	37.4%	+9.0	33
2013-11-03	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-3	1521	1434	37.4%	27.0%	35.6%	-9.0	36
2013-11-03	Molde	W 1-0	1431	1607	25.2%	24.6%	50.1%	+6.9	31
2013-11-03	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-1	1607	1431	50.1%	24.6%	25.2%	-6.9	44
2013-11-03	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1483	1514	43.8%	26.3%	29.9%	+4.7	35
2013-11-03	@ Start	L 0-1	1514	1483	29.9%	26.3%	43.8%	-4.7	36
2013-11-03	Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1514	1668	27.5%	25.6%	47.0%	+0.6	29
2013-11-03	@ Tromso	D 0-0	1668	1514	47.0%	25.6%	27.5%	-0.7	60
2013-11-10	Tromso	W 4-1	1512	1515	47.8%	25.3%	26.8%	+9.8	39
2013-11-10	@ Brann	L 1-4	1515	1512	26.8%	25.3%	47.8%	-9.8	29
2013-11-10	Rosenborg	L 0-3	1509	1661	27.6%	25.6%	46.8%	-11.9	36
2013-11-10	@ Lillestrom	W 3-0	1661	1509	46.8%	25.6%	27.6%	+11.9	62
2013-11-10	Start	L 0-1	1600	1488	63.7%	18.4%	17.9%	-8.2	44
2013-11-10	@ Molde	W 1-0	1488	1600	17.9%	18.4%	63.7%	+8.2	38
2013-11-10	Honefoss	W 3-2	1539	1457	59.7%	20.5%	19.8%	+2.7	40
2013-11-10	@ Odds	L 2-3	1457	1539	19.8%	20.5%	59.7%	-2.7	29
2013-11-10	Aalesund	L 1-2	1460	1552	34.9%	27.0%	38.1%	-5.0	33
2013-11-10	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	1552	1460	38.1%	27.0%	34.9%	+5.0	49
2013-11-10	Haugesund	W 4-0	1667	1565	62.4%	19.1%	18.5%	+10.1	63
2013-11-10	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-4	1565	1667	18.5%	19.1%	62.4%	-10.1	51
2013-11-10	Sandnes Ulf	W 2-0	1489	1443	54.8%	22.8%	22.4%	+6.7	36
2013-11-10	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1443	1489	22.4%	22.8%	54.8%	-6.7	33
2013-11-10	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-1	1544	1438	62.9%	18.8%	18.3%	+2.6	46
2013-11-10	@ Viking	L 1-2	1438	1544	18.3%	18.8%	62.9%	-2.6	31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2013-04-28	15.98%	Sandnes Ulf	1486	1	@ Rosenborg	1632	0
2	2013-11-10	17.89%	Start	1488	1	@ Molde	1600	0
3	2013-07-27	18.75%	Sandnes Ulf	1460	3	@ Aalesund	1558	2
4	2013-04-13	18.82%	Sogndal	1475	2	@ Molde	1572	1
5	2013-08-11	19.14%	Start	1431	3	@ Valerenga	1523	1
6	2013-05-05	19.15%	Sarpsborg 08	1457	1	@ Haugesund	1549	0
7	2013-04-14	19.54%	Sandnes Ulf	1479	1	@ Tromso	1565	0
8	2013-05-20	20.01%	Sogndal	1487	1	@ Haugesund	1567	0
9	2013-09-21	20.12%	Honefoss	1443	2	@ Lillestrom	1521	1
10	2013-04-02	20.28%	Lillestrom	1509	2	@ Molde	1585	1
11	2013-09-29	22.99%	Start	1484	3	@ Tromso	1523	2
12	2013-05-16	23.03%	Start	1471	1	@ Odds	1510	0
13	2013-05-08	23.61%	Honefoss	1479	2	@ Valerenga	1511	1
14	2013-05-16	24.43%	Haugesund	1546	5	@ Molde	1568	1
15	2013-10-25	24.65%	Aalesund	1537	3	@ Viking	1558	1
16	2013-08-24	24.80%	Brann	1522	3	@ Odds	1541	1
17	2013-11-03	25.24%	@ Sarpsborg 08	1431	1	Molde	1607	0
18	2013-07-14	25.40%	@ Sandnes Ulf	1454	2	Stromsgodset	1628	1
19	2013-07-07	26.56%	Molde	1565	3	@ Tromso	1566	2
20	2013-06-30	27.21%	Valerenga	1506	1	@ Lillestrom	1500	0
21	2013-10-04	27.49%	Haugesund	1543	1	@ Brann	1534	0
22	2013-09-13	27.64%	Molde	1578	3	@ Aalesund	1567	1
23	2013-05-04	27.69%	Valerenga	1505	2	@ Sandnes Ulf	1495	1
24	2013-09-14	27.87%	Lillestrom	1514	2	@ Sogndal	1502	1
25	2013-07-14	28.22%	Aalesund	1552	2	@ Haugesund	1537	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2013-09-01	28.13	@ Start	7	1441	43.96%	Sandnes Ulf	0	1470	29.76%
2	2013-05-20	24.89	Stromsgodset	6	1604	42.91%	@ Start	0	1479	30.63%
3	2013-05-16	20.94	Haugesund	5	1546	24.43%	@ Molde	1	1568	51.40%
4	2013-09-27	19.15	Stromsgodset	5	1640	46.77%	@ Sogndal	0	1487	27.60%
5	2013-06-30	17.24	@ Odds	4	1507	42.29%	Haugesund	0	1548	31.14%
6	2013-09-22	17.02	@ Sarpsborg 08	3	1409	30.01%	Tromso	0	1540	43.66%
7	2013-04-13	16.70	Stromsgodset	3	1561	30.94%	@ Valerenga	0	1522	42.53%
8	2013-05-13	16.67	@ Aalesund	7	1537	51.46%	Lillestrom	1	1514	24.39%
9	2013-04-07	16.47	Rosenborg	4	1627	44.31%	@ Sogndal	0	1492	29.48%
10	2013-05-26	14.28	@ Lillestrom	3	1492	38.62%	Haugesund	0	1559	34.43%
11	2013-09-22	14.14	@ Odds	5	1521	42.98%	Aalesund	1	1557	30.57%
12	2013-05-12	13.10	@ Tromso	5	1559	60.65%	Sarpsborg 08	0	1469	19.33%
13	2013-08-11	12.99	Start	3	1431	19.14%	@ Valerenga	1	1523	61.05%
14	2013-03-16	12.63	@ Aalesund	3	1520	44.23%	Haugesund	0	1547	29.55%
15	2013-09-01	12.28	@ Molde	4	1565	55.76%	Valerenga	0	1512	21.85%
16	2013-05-25	11.91	@ Molde	4	1549	56.80%	Honefoss	0	1487	21.28%
17	2013-11-10	11.90	Rosenborg	3	1661	46.77%	@ Lillestrom	0	1509	27.60%
18	2013-07-28	11.88	Rosenborg	4	1646	39.26%	@ Brann	1	1546	33.84%
19	2013-06-29	11.46	@ Brann	6	1534	58.83%	Sandnes Ulf	1	1458	20.23%
20	2013-10-25	11.41	Aalesund	3	1537	24.65%	@ Viking	1	1558	51.05%
21	2013-08-24	11.37	Brann	3	1522	24.80%	@ Odds	1	1541	50.82%
22	2013-04-01	11.19	@ Rosenborg	4	1616	58.94%	Brann	0	1539	20.17%
23	2013-05-26	10.81	@ Odds	3	1496	50.60%	Sandnes Ulf	0	1479	24.94%
24	2013-04-02	10.73	@ Honefoss	2	1476	34.30%	Stromsgodset	0	1573	38.76%
25	2013-09-13	10.68	Molde	3	1578	27.64%	@ Aalesund	1	1567	46.72%