2014 Tippeligaen Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Molde

71 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Molde

16.64 points above expected

71 points · 54.36 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sogndal

11.18 points below expected

24 points · 35.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Molde	30	22	5	3	71	62	24	+38	54.4	+16.64
2	Rosenborg	30	18	6	6	60	64	43	+21	51.6	+8.41
3	Odds	30	17	7	6	58	52	32	+20	46.4	+11.59
4	Stromsgodset	30	15	5	10	50	48	42	+6	51.3	-1.28
5	Lillestrom	30	13	7	10	46	49	35	+14	42.9	+3.11
6	Valerenga	30	11	9	10	42	59	53	+6	43.5	-1.46
7	Aalesund	30	11	8	11	41	40	39	+1	41.8	-0.81
8	Sarpsborg 08	30	10	10	10	40	41	48	-7	37.0	+2.98
9	Stabaek	30	11	6	13	39	44	52	-8	31.5	+7.49
10	Viking	30	8	12	10	36	42	42	0	44.4	-8.37
11	Haugesund	30	10	6	14	36	43	49	-6	40.5	-4.51
12	Start	30	10	5	15	35	47	60	-13	38.1	-3.12
13	Bodo Glimt	30	10	5	15	35	45	60	-15	35.7	-0.68
14	Brann	30	8	5	17	29	41	54	-13	38.0	-8.95
15	Sogndal	30	6	6	18	24	31	49	-18	35.2	-11.18
16	Sandnes Ulf	30	4	10	16	22	27	53	-26	31.4	-9.40

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Molde	1674	71	54.36	+16.64	99.4%	26	43	50	54	59	66	78
Rosenborg	1637	60	51.59	+8.41	89.5%	24	40	47	52	56	63	77
Odds	1596	58	46.41	+11.59	95.6%	19	35	42	46	51	58	76
Stromsgodset	1580	50	51.28	-1.28	45.6%	24	40	46	51	56	63	80
Lillestrom	1550	46	42.89	+3.11	69.6%	20	31	38	43	48	55	68
Aalesund	1548	41	41.81	-0.81	48.4%	17	30	37	42	47	54	68
Valerenga	1528	42	43.46	-1.46	45.0%	19	32	39	43	48	55	70
Viking	1515	36	44.37	-8.37	13.0%	20	33	40	44	49	56	72
Haugesund	1506	36	40.51	-4.51	28.4%	15	29	36	40	45	52	67
Sarpsborg 08	1479	40	37.02	+2.98	69.5%	14	26	32	37	42	48	64
Start	1471	35	38.12	-3.12	36.3%	12	27	33	38	43	50	67
Brann	1464	29	37.95	-8.95	11.0%	11	27	33	38	43	49	65
Stabaek	1446	39	31.51	+7.49	88.0%	11	21	27	31	36	43	60
Bodo Glimt	1440	35	35.68	-0.68	49.4%	12	25	31	36	40	47	62
Sogndal	1427	24	35.18	-11.18	5.4%	10	24	30	35	40	47	67
Sandnes Ulf	1398	22	31.40	-9.40	8.7%	9	21	27	31	36	43	57

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BG	BRA	HAU	LIL	MOL	ODD	ROS	SU	S0	SOG	STA	STA	STR	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	1-1-0 3.17	0-0-2 3.05	2-0-0 2.70	0-2-0 2.74	0-0-2 1.92	0-1-1 2.36	0-1-1 2.29	2-0-0 3.55	0-1-1 3.02	0-2-0 3.22	2-0-0 3.42	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.62
Bodo Glimt	0-1-1 2.34	—	2-0-0 2.52	2-0-0 2.41	0-0-2 2.35	0-1-1 1.57	0-0-2 2.02	0-1-1 1.87	0-1-1 3.16	0-0-2 2.74	2-0-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 1.96	1-0-1 2.33	2-0-0 2.14
Brann	2-0-0 2.45	0-0-2 2.98	—	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 1.66	0-0-2 2.21	1-0-1 1.96	0-2-0 3.26	0-0-2 2.94	1-0-1 2.93	0-1-1 3.28	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 1.98	0-1-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.20
Haugesund	0-0-2 2.79	0-0-2 3.11	1-0-1 2.88	—	0-1-1 2.73	1-1-0 1.69	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 1.99	1-1-0 3.25	2-0-0 2.89	0-0-2 3.20	2-0-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.04	0-1-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.63
Lillestrom	0-2-0 2.75	2-0-0 3.19	1-0-1 3.03	1-1-0 2.79	—	0-0-2 2.07	2-0-0 2.47	0-0-2 2.33	1-1-0 3.41	0-1-1 3.31	2-0-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.59	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 2.25	1-1-0 2.62	0-1-1 2.65
Molde	2-0-0 3.64	1-1-0 4.06	2-0-0 3.93	0-1-1 3.92	2-0-0 3.47	—	1-0-1 3.12	2-0-0 2.76	2-0-0 3.98	2-0-0 3.70	2-0-0 4.09	1-1-0 3.93	1-1-0 3.70	0-1-1 3.14	2-0-0 3.40	2-0-0 3.56
Odds	1-1-0 3.14	2-0-0 3.55	2-0-0 3.33	1-1-0 3.06	0-0-2 3.03	1-0-1 2.40	—	0-0-2 2.50	1-1-0 3.52	1-1-0 3.40	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.69	2-0-0 3.31	1-0-1 2.36	1-1-0 3.02	1-1-0 2.81
Rosenborg	1-1-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.69	1-0-1 3.58	1-0-1 3.56	2-0-0 3.19	0-0-2 2.76	2-0-0 3.02	—	2-0-0 4.09	1-1-0 3.62	2-0-0 3.76	0-0-2 4.17	2-0-0 3.59	1-1-0 2.83	1-1-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.13
Sandnes Ulf	0-0-2 1.98	1-1-0 2.35	0-2-0 2.29	0-1-1 2.28	0-1-1 2.10	0-0-2 1.64	0-1-1 2.06	0-0-2 1.54	—	0-0-2 2.39	1-0-1 2.41	1-1-0 2.70	0-1-1 2.25	0-0-2 1.58	1-0-1 2.01	0-2-0 1.77
Sarpsborg 08	1-1-0 2.49	2-0-0 2.75	2-0-0 2.56	0-0-2 2.60	1-1-0 2.20	0-0-2 1.85	0-1-1 2.12	0-1-1 1.93	2-0-0 3.11	—	1-1-0 2.94	0-1-1 3.21	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 1.93	1-1-0 2.35	0-1-1 2.34
Sogndal	0-2-0 2.29	0-0-2 2.81	1-0-1 2.58	2-0-0 2.31	0-0-2 2.29	0-0-2 1.52	0-1-1 2.22	0-0-2 1.81	1-0-1 3.10	0-1-1 2.56	—	0-0-2 3.02	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 1.75	1-0-1 2.17	0-1-1 2.23
Stabaek	0-0-2 2.12	1-1-0 2.53	1-1-0 2.24	0-0-2 2.19	1-0-1 1.94	0-1-1 1.69	0-0-2 1.86	2-0-0 1.46	0-1-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.30	2-0-0 2.48	—	1-0-1 2.41	2-0-0 1.55	0-0-2 1.95	0-1-1 2.03
Start	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 1.85	0-0-2 2.23	0-0-2 1.95	1-1-0 3.27	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.11	—	0-0-2 1.99	0-1-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.40
Stromsgodset	1-0-1 3.33	2-0-0 3.60	1-0-1 3.56	1-0-1 3.51	1-0-1 3.26	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 3.17	0-1-1 2.69	2-0-0 4.02	1-1-0 3.63	1-1-0 3.83	0-0-2 4.07	2-0-0 3.55	—	0-0-2 3.49	1-1-0 3.23
Valerenga	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 3.17	1-1-0 3.20	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.11	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.23	1-0-1 3.51	0-1-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.36	2-0-0 3.62	1-1-0 3.11	2-0-0 2.03	—	0-2-0 2.67
Viking	1-0-1 2.87	0-0-2 3.38	1-0-1 3.33	1-1-0 2.87	1-1-0 2.85	0-0-2 1.97	0-1-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.39	0-2-0 3.80	1-1-0 3.17	1-1-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.53	1-0-1 3.13	0-1-1 2.28	0-2-0 2.82	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.58%	5.00%	6.88%	3.12%	0.83%	0.21%	20.62%
1	5.00%	11.67%	9.58%	3.96%	2.50%	0.62%	33.33%
2	6.88%	9.58%	5.83%	3.33%	1.04%	0.21%	26.88%
3	3.12%	3.96%	3.33%	0.83%	0.83%	0.21%	12.29%
4	0.83%	2.50%	1.04%	0.83%	—	—	5.21%
5+	0.21%	0.62%	0.21%	0.21%	—	0.42%	1.67%
Total	20.62%	33.33%	26.88%	12.29%	5.21%	1.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	3.06
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.000
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	30.00%
1	—	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	43.33%	20.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.374
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	16.67%
1	3.33%	13.33%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
2	—	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	13.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.33%	33.33%	36.67%	13.33%	13.33%	—	100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.056
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	13.33%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	36.67%	23.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.80
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.127
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	43.33%
2	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	26.67%	26.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Haugesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.130
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
2	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	26.67%	20.00%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.63
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.004
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	23.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	40.00%
3	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	43.33%	33.33%	23.33%	—	—	—	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.07
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	0.81
Mean total goals/game	2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.022
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	3.33%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	43.33%	26.67%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Odds — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.015
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
1	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
Total	23.33%	30.00%	30.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.13
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.007
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	53.33%
2	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	30.00%	26.67%	26.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Sandnes Ulf — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	0.76
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.136
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	—	16.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	26.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	33.33%	26.67%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.60
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.036
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
1	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	36.67%	20.00%	20.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Sogndal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.038
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
1	—	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	36.67%
2	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	36.67%	33.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.335
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
1	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	6.67%	3.33%	33.33%
2	—	16.67%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	36.67%
3	—	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.33%	43.33%	23.33%	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.000
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
1	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	23.33%
2	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	33.33%	20.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.60
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.163
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
1	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	30.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%
Total	20.00%	16.67%	43.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.97
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.017
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	16.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%
Total	26.67%	30.00%	30.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.480
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Molde	71	54.4	+16.64
2	Odds	58	46.4	+11.59
3	Rosenborg	60	51.6	+8.41
4	Stabaek	39	31.5	+7.49
5	Lillestrom	46	42.9	+3.11

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sogndal	24	35.2	-11.18
2	Sandnes Ulf	22	31.4	-9.40
3	Brann	29	38.0	-8.95
4	Viking	36	44.4	-8.37
5	Haugesund	36	40.5	-4.51

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bodo Glimt	4	May 10 – May 25	1 in 98
2	Haugesund	4	Oct 5 – Nov 2	1 in 94
3	Stabaek	3	May 11 – May 20	1 in 81
4	Rosenborg	6	Sep 28 – Nov 9	1 in 81
5	Viking	4	Apr 12 – May 1	1 in 64

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brann	5	May 16 – Jun 12	1 in 107
2	Viking	5	Aug 31 – Oct 4	1 in 103
3	Stromsgodset	3	Aug 23 – Sep 13	1 in 94
4	Bodo Glimt	5	Jul 6 – Aug 3	1 in 73
5	Sogndal	5	Oct 5 – Nov 9	1 in 53

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Molde	24	Apr 13 – Oct 4	1 in 1,108
2	Odds	15	May 16 – Sep 13	1 in 198
3	Viking	9	Mar 29 – May 16	1 in 76
4	Lillestrom	8	Jul 12 – Aug 31	1 in 23
5	Sogndal	6	May 11 – Jun 12	1 in 22

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Viking	8	Aug 22 – Oct 26	1 in 55
2	Sogndal	11	Jul 5 – Sep 21	1 in 50
3	Sandnes Ulf	12	Jun 12 – Sep 19	1 in 31
4	Start	7	Apr 27 – May 25	1 in 25
5	Valerenga	5	Aug 2 – Aug 30	1 in 19

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Molde	38.80%	21.57%	13.57%	8.62%	5.97%	4.01%	2.74%	1.63%	1.24%	0.74%	0.44%	0.35%	0.17%	0.09%	0.05%	0.01%
Rosenborg	21.42%	20.33%	16.41%	11.99%	8.78%	6.34%	4.75%	3.28%	2.41%	1.53%	1.01%	0.93%	0.41%	0.24%	0.13%	0.04%
Odds	6.66%	10.47%	11.88%	12.82%	11.53%	9.53%	9.17%	6.73%	6.05%	4.42%	3.82%	2.65%	1.81%	1.50%	0.67%	0.29%
Stromsgodset	18.66%	19.59%	16.43%	12.70%	9.31%	7.23%	4.84%	4.05%	2.55%	1.85%	1.16%	0.79%	0.34%	0.26%	0.19%	0.05%
Lillestrom	2.71%	5.26%	7.36%	8.66%	9.76%	9.35%	9.57%	9.18%	8.18%	7.11%	6.05%	5.52%	4.57%	3.42%	2.25%	1.05%
Valerenga	3.08%	5.39%	7.53%	9.47%	9.92%	9.88%	9.22%	9.84%	7.98%	6.82%	6.12%	4.95%	4.20%	2.63%	1.81%	1.16%
Aalesund	1.85%	3.74%	5.71%	7.16%	8.17%	9.19%	8.95%	9.33%	8.82%	8.16%	7.62%	6.62%	5.19%	4.25%	3.31%	1.93%
Sarpsborg 08	0.36%	0.95%	1.76%	2.32%	3.81%	4.84%	6.26%	6.70%	8.51%	9.43%	9.39%	10.13%	9.93%	9.87%	8.63%	7.11%
Stabaek	0.04%	0.08%	0.33%	0.52%	0.87%	1.39%	2.24%	2.77%	3.79%	5.27%	6.64%	8.48%	10.64%	14.32%	18.51%	24.11%
Viking	3.61%	6.58%	8.30%	9.51%	10.66%	10.89%	9.87%	8.63%	7.53%	6.48%	6.16%	3.97%	3.24%	2.42%	1.38%	0.77%
Haugesund	1.38%	2.42%	3.83%	5.89%	6.87%	7.67%	9.10%	8.42%	9.84%	9.14%	8.65%	7.69%	6.75%	5.35%	4.41%	2.59%
Start	0.59%	1.20%	2.18%	3.46%	4.60%	6.09%	6.53%	7.78%	8.07%	8.72%	9.27%	10.10%	9.65%	8.36%	7.82%	5.58%
Bodo Glimt	0.22%	0.68%	1.09%	1.56%	2.61%	3.53%	4.52%	6.07%	7.10%	8.27%	9.41%	10.02%	11.49%	11.56%	11.76%	10.11%
Brann	0.42%	1.09%	2.36%	3.15%	4.18%	5.62%	6.32%	7.76%	8.10%	9.54%	9.66%	9.87%	9.42%	9.08%	7.99%	5.44%
Sogndal	0.12%	0.50%	1.05%	1.72%	2.18%	3.24%	4.13%	5.18%	6.58%	7.71%	8.85%	10.01%	11.84%	12.24%	12.09%	12.56%
Sandnes Ulf	0.08%	0.15%	0.21%	0.45%	0.78%	1.20%	1.79%	2.65%	3.25%	4.81%	5.75%	7.92%	10.35%	14.41%	19.00%	27.20%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Molde	99.9%	0.1%	<0.1%	0.1%
Rosenborg	99.6%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.2%
Stromsgodset	99.5%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.2%
Odds	97.5%	1.1%	0.4%	1.0%
Viking	95.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.1%
Valerenga	94.4%	1.8%	0.9%	3.0%
Lillestrom	93.3%	2.5%	0.9%	3.3%
Aalesund	90.5%	3.0%	1.2%	5.2%
Haugesund	87.6%	3.6%	1.7%	7.0%
Brann	77.5%	6.2%	2.9%	13.4%
Start	78.2%	5.1%	3.3%	13.4%
Sarpsborg 08	74.4%	6.2%	3.7%	15.7%
Bodo Glimt	66.6%	6.9%	4.7%	21.9%
Sogndal	63.1%	6.5%	5.8%	24.6%
Stabaek	43.1%	8.0%	6.3%	42.6%
Sandnes Ulf	39.4%	7.3%	7.1%	46.2%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2014-03-28	Valerenga	W 2-0	1558	1505	54.0%	22.8%	23.2%	+7.3	3
2014-03-28	@ Molde	L 0-2	1505	1558	23.2%	22.8%	54.0%	-7.3	0
2014-03-29	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1535	1506	50.7%	23.9%	25.4%	-0.8	1
2014-03-29	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1506	1535	25.4%	23.9%	50.7%	+0.8	1
2014-03-29	Viking	D 2-2	1599	1532	55.9%	22.1%	22.0%	-0.8	1
2014-03-29	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1532	1599	22.0%	22.1%	55.9%	+0.8	1
2014-03-30	Aalesund	D 1-1	1483	1537	38.9%	25.9%	35.2%	-0.1	1
2014-03-30	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1537	1483	35.2%	25.9%	38.9%	+0.1	1
2014-03-30	Odds	D 1-1	1473	1530	38.5%	25.9%	35.6%	-0.1	1
2014-03-30	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1530	1473	35.6%	25.9%	38.5%	+0.1	1
2014-03-30	Brann	W 3-0	1482	1519	41.4%	25.7%	32.9%	+14.6	3
2014-03-30	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-3	1519	1482	32.9%	25.7%	41.4%	-14.6	0
2014-03-30	Sogndal	W 3-0	1424	1484	38.1%	25.9%	36.0%	+15.6	3
2014-03-30	@ Stabaek	L 0-3	1484	1424	36.0%	25.9%	38.1%	-15.7	0
2014-03-30	Start	W 4-2	1605	1505	60.2%	20.2%	19.6%	+4.7	3
2014-03-30	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-4	1505	1605	19.6%	20.2%	60.2%	-4.7	0
2014-04-04	Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1532	1610	35.7%	25.9%	38.4%	+0.1	2
2014-04-04	@ Viking	D 0-0	1610	1532	38.4%	25.9%	35.7%	-0.1	4
2014-04-05	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1538	1598	38.0%	25.9%	36.1%	-0.1	2
2014-04-05	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1598	1538	36.1%	25.9%	38.0%	+0.1	2
2014-04-05	Molde	W 2-1	1530	1565	41.7%	25.7%	32.6%	+5.0	4
2014-04-05	@ Odds	L 1-2	1565	1530	32.6%	25.7%	41.7%	-5.0	3
2014-04-06	Stabaek	L 1-2	1504	1440	55.5%	22.2%	22.2%	-7.5	0
2014-04-06	@ Brann	W 2-1	1440	1504	22.2%	22.2%	55.5%	+7.5	6
2014-04-06	Sandnes Ulf	W 4-1	1507	1473	51.4%	23.7%	24.9%	+9.7	4
2014-04-06	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	1473	1507	24.9%	23.7%	51.4%	-9.7	1
2014-04-06	Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1468	1496	42.7%	25.6%	31.8%	-0.3	1
2014-04-06	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1496	1468	31.8%	25.6%	42.7%	+0.3	4
2014-04-06	Haugesund	W 3-1	1501	1534	41.9%	25.7%	32.4%	+8.6	3
2014-04-06	@ Start	L 1-3	1534	1501	32.4%	25.7%	41.9%	-8.6	1
2014-04-06	Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	1498	1483	48.8%	24.4%	26.8%	+7.3	3
2014-04-06	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1483	1498	26.8%	24.4%	48.8%	-7.3	1
2014-04-11	Brann	D 1-1	1463	1497	41.9%	25.7%	32.4%	-0.3	2
2014-04-11	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1497	1463	32.4%	25.7%	41.9%	+0.3	1
2014-04-12	Valerenga	D 1-1	1525	1505	49.5%	24.2%	26.3%	-0.8	2
2014-04-12	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1505	1525	26.3%	24.2%	49.5%	+0.8	4
2014-04-12	Viking	L 0-1	1516	1533	44.4%	25.3%	30.3%	-6.7	4
2014-04-12	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1533	1516	30.3%	25.3%	44.4%	+6.7	5
2014-04-13	Sogndal	W 4-2	1475	1468	47.8%	24.7%	27.6%	+6.7	4
2014-04-13	@ Bodo Glimt	L 2-4	1468	1475	27.6%	24.7%	47.8%	-6.7	1
2014-04-13	Odds	W 2-0	1598	1535	55.4%	22.3%	22.3%	+7.1	5
2014-04-13	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1535	1598	22.3%	22.3%	55.4%	-7.1	4
2014-04-13	Start	D 1-1	1497	1509	44.9%	25.2%	29.8%	-0.5	5
2014-04-13	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1509	1497	29.8%	25.2%	44.9%	+0.5	4
2014-04-13	Molde	L 0-2	1447	1560	30.9%	25.4%	43.6%	-9.6	6
2014-04-13	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1560	1447	43.6%	25.4%	30.9%	+9.6	6
2014-04-13	Aalesund	W 2-0	1610	1538	56.6%	21.8%	21.6%	+6.8	7
2014-04-13	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1538	1610	21.6%	21.8%	56.6%	-6.8	2
2014-04-21	Start	L 1-2	1531	1510	49.6%	24.2%	26.2%	-6.9	2
2014-04-21	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1510	1531	26.2%	24.2%	49.6%	+6.9	7
2014-04-21	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1482	1605	29.8%	25.2%	45.0%	+0.4	5
2014-04-21	@ Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1605	1482	45.0%	25.2%	29.8%	-0.4	6
2014-04-21	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1497	1510	44.9%	25.2%	29.9%	+9.3	4
2014-04-21	@ Brann	L 0-2	1510	1497	29.9%	25.2%	44.9%	-9.3	4
2014-04-21	Sarpsborg 08	W 5-1	1570	1496	56.8%	21.7%	21.5%	+10.7	9
2014-04-21	@ Molde	L 1-5	1496	1570	21.5%	21.7%	56.8%	-10.7	5
2014-04-21	Stabaek	W 2-1	1528	1437	59.0%	20.8%	20.2%	+3.2	7
2014-04-21	@ Odds	L 1-2	1437	1528	20.2%	20.8%	59.0%	-3.2	6
2014-04-21	Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1461	1616	26.3%	24.2%	49.5%	-7.2	1
2014-04-21	@ Sogndal	W 3-1	1616	1461	49.5%	24.2%	26.3%	+7.2	10
2014-04-21	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-0	1506	1463	52.6%	23.3%	24.1%	+11.1	7
2014-04-21	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1463	1506	24.1%	23.3%	52.6%	-11.1	2
2014-04-21	Haugesund	W 2-0	1539	1525	48.7%	24.4%	26.9%	+8.5	8
2014-04-21	@ Viking	L 0-2	1525	1539	26.9%	24.4%	48.7%	-8.5	2
2014-04-27	Sogndal	L 0-3	1516	1454	55.3%	22.3%	22.4%	-21.7	2
2014-04-27	@ Haugesund	W 3-0	1454	1516	22.4%	22.3%	55.3%	+21.7	4
2014-04-27	Brann	W 5-2	1605	1506	60.1%	20.3%	19.6%	+6.5	9
2014-04-27	@ Rosenborg	L 2-5	1506	1605	19.6%	20.3%	60.1%	-6.5	4
2014-04-27	Molde	L 1-3	1452	1581	29.1%	25.1%	45.8%	-7.9	2
2014-04-27	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 3-1	1581	1452	45.8%	25.1%	29.1%	+7.9	12
2014-04-27	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1434	1483	39.8%	25.8%	34.4%	+5.2	9
2014-04-27	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1483	1434	34.4%	25.8%	39.8%	-5.2	5
2014-04-27	Viking	L 0-2	1517	1548	42.3%	25.6%	32.1%	-12.2	7
2014-04-27	@ Start	W 2-0	1548	1517	32.1%	25.6%	42.3%	+12.2	11
2014-04-27	Odds	W 2-1	1624	1531	59.2%	20.7%	20.1%	+3.1	13
2014-04-27	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1531	1624	20.1%	20.7%	59.2%	-3.1	7
2014-04-28	Aalesund	D 0-0	1500	1524	43.3%	25.5%	31.2%	-0.4	5
2014-04-28	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1524	1500	31.2%	25.5%	43.3%	+0.4	3
2014-04-28	Valerenga	W 3-0	1486	1517	42.2%	25.6%	32.2%	+14.3	8
2014-04-28	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 0-3	1517	1486	32.2%	25.6%	42.2%	-14.3	7
2014-04-30	Haugesund	L 1-3	1500	1494	47.4%	24.7%	27.9%	-11.5	4
2014-04-30	@ Brann	W 3-1	1494	1500	27.9%	24.7%	47.4%	+11.5	5
2014-04-30	Stabaek	W 2-1	1444	1440	47.3%	24.8%	27.9%	+4.4	5
2014-04-30	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-2	1440	1444	27.9%	24.8%	47.3%	-4.4	9
2014-05-01	Viking	L 1-2	1524	1560	41.6%	25.7%	32.7%	-6.0	3
2014-05-01	@ Aalesund	W 2-1	1560	1524	32.7%	25.7%	41.6%	+6.0	14
2014-05-01	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1477	1500	43.5%	25.5%	31.1%	-6.2	5
2014-05-01	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1500	1477	31.1%	25.5%	43.5%	+6.2	8
2014-05-01	Start	W 2-0	1589	1504	58.2%	21.2%	20.7%	+6.5	15
2014-05-01	@ Molde	L 0-2	1504	1589	20.7%	21.2%	58.2%	-6.5	7
2014-05-01	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1528	1500	50.6%	23.9%	25.5%	+8.1	10
2014-05-01	@ Odds	L 0-2	1500	1528	25.5%	23.9%	50.6%	-8.1	8
2014-05-01	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1476	1611	28.3%	24.9%	46.8%	-4.4	4
2014-05-01	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	1611	1476	46.8%	24.9%	28.3%	+4.4	12
2014-05-01	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1503	1627	29.7%	25.2%	45.1%	+18.6	10
2014-05-01	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1627	1503	45.1%	25.2%	29.7%	-18.6	13
2014-05-04	Aalesund	L 1-2	1506	1518	45.0%	25.2%	29.8%	-6.4	5
2014-05-04	@ Haugesund	W 2-1	1518	1506	29.8%	25.2%	45.0%	+6.4	6
2014-05-04	Sogndal	W 2-0	1506	1471	51.5%	23.6%	24.8%	+7.9	11
2014-05-04	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1471	1506	24.8%	23.6%	51.5%	-7.9	4
2014-05-04	Molde	L 0-2	1616	1595	49.6%	24.2%	26.2%	-13.8	12
2014-05-04	@ Rosenborg	W 2-0	1595	1616	26.2%	24.2%	49.6%	+13.8	18
2014-05-04	Sandnes Ulf	W 2-1	1492	1448	52.7%	23.2%	24.0%	+3.8	11
2014-05-04	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1448	1492	24.0%	23.2%	52.7%	-3.8	5
2014-05-04	Brann	D 1-1	1498	1488	48.0%	24.6%	27.4%	-0.7	8
2014-05-04	@ Start	D 1-1	1488	1498	27.4%	24.6%	48.0%	+0.7	5
2014-05-04	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1608	1471	65.0%	17.9%	17.1%	+5.2	16
2014-05-04	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1471	1608	17.1%	17.9%	65.0%	-5.2	5
2014-05-05	Valerenga	L 0-3	1435	1521	34.4%	25.8%	39.7%	-15.1	9
2014-05-05	@ Stabaek	W 3-0	1521	1435	39.7%	25.8%	34.4%	+15.1	13
2014-05-05	Odds	D 1-1	1566	1536	50.8%	23.8%	25.3%	-0.8	15
2014-05-05	@ Viking	D 1-1	1536	1566	25.3%	23.8%	50.8%	+0.8	11
2014-05-10	Brann	L 0-1	1525	1489	51.7%	23.6%	24.8%	-7.5	6
2014-05-10	@ Aalesund	W 1-0	1489	1525	24.8%	23.6%	51.7%	+7.5	8
2014-05-10	Haugesund	W 2-1	1466	1500	41.9%	25.7%	32.5%	+5.0	8
2014-05-10	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1500	1466	32.5%	25.7%	41.9%	-5.0	5
2014-05-11	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1609	1613	46.0%	25.0%	28.9%	-0.4	19
2014-05-11	@ Molde	D 2-2	1613	1609	28.9%	25.0%	46.0%	+0.4	17
2014-05-11	Lillestrom	L 0-2	1537	1514	49.9%	24.1%	26.0%	-13.8	11
2014-05-11	@ Odds	W 2-0	1514	1537	26.0%	24.1%	49.9%	+13.8	14
2014-05-11	Start	W 2-1	1463	1497	41.9%	25.7%	32.5%	+5.0	7
2014-05-11	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1497	1463	32.5%	25.7%	41.9%	-5.0	8
2014-05-11	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-2	1420	1496	35.9%	25.9%	38.2%	+5.3	12
2014-05-11	@ Stabaek	L 2-3	1496	1420	38.2%	25.9%	35.9%	-5.4	11
2014-05-11	Viking	D 1-1	1536	1565	42.6%	25.6%	31.8%	-0.3	14
2014-05-11	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1565	1536	31.8%	25.6%	42.6%	+0.3	16
2014-05-12	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1444	1602	26.0%	24.1%	49.9%	-8.2	5
2014-05-12	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 2-0	1602	1444	49.9%	24.1%	26.0%	+8.2	15
2014-05-16	Sogndal	D 2-2	1517	1468	53.4%	23.0%	23.6%	-0.7	7
2014-05-16	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1468	1517	23.6%	23.0%	53.4%	+0.7	8
2014-05-16	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1496	1471	50.2%	24.0%	25.8%	-6.9	8
2014-05-16	@ Brann	W 2-1	1471	1496	25.8%	24.0%	50.2%	+6.9	11
2014-05-16	Odds	L 1-2	1495	1523	42.6%	25.6%	31.8%	-6.1	5
2014-05-16	@ Haugesund	W 2-1	1523	1495	31.8%	25.6%	42.6%	+6.1	14
2014-05-16	Molde	L 1-2	1528	1608	35.2%	25.9%	38.9%	-5.3	14
2014-05-16	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1608	1528	38.9%	25.9%	35.2%	+5.3	22
2014-05-16	Stabaek	L 1-3	1610	1425	70.8%	14.8%	14.4%	-15.5	15
2014-05-16	@ Rosenborg	W 3-1	1425	1610	14.4%	14.8%	70.8%	+15.5	15
2014-05-16	Valerenga	D 2-2	1492	1536	40.5%	25.8%	33.8%	-0.2	9
2014-05-16	@ Start	D 2-2	1536	1492	33.8%	25.8%	40.5%	+0.2	15
2014-05-16	Sarpsborg 08	W 4-1	1614	1490	63.3%	18.8%	18.0%	+6.8	20
2014-05-16	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-4	1490	1614	18.0%	18.8%	63.3%	-6.8	11
2014-05-16	Sandnes Ulf	D 2-2	1565	1436	64.0%	18.4%	17.6%	-1.2	17
2014-05-16	@ Viking	D 2-2	1436	1565	17.6%	18.4%	64.0%	+1.2	6
2014-05-19	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1484	1595	31.2%	25.5%	43.3%	+0.4	12
2014-05-19	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1595	1484	43.3%	25.5%	31.2%	-0.4	16
2014-05-19	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1536	1522	48.6%	24.4%	26.9%	-0.5	16
2014-05-19	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1522	1536	26.9%	24.4%	48.6%	+0.5	15
2014-05-20	Start	W 2-1	1478	1492	44.6%	25.3%	30.1%	+4.7	14
2014-05-20	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1492	1478	30.1%	25.3%	44.6%	-4.7	9
2014-05-20	Viking	W 1-0	1614	1564	53.5%	23.0%	23.5%	+3.9	25
2014-05-20	@ Molde	L 0-1	1564	1614	23.5%	23.0%	53.5%	-4.0	17
2014-05-20	Aalesund	W 2-1	1529	1516	48.5%	24.5%	27.0%	+4.3	17
2014-05-20	@ Odds	L 1-2	1516	1529	27.0%	24.5%	48.5%	-4.2	7
2014-05-20	Haugesund	D 0-0	1437	1489	39.4%	25.9%	34.8%	-0.2	7
2014-05-20	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 0-0	1489	1437	34.8%	25.9%	39.4%	+0.2	6
2014-05-20	Brann	W 2-1	1469	1489	43.8%	25.4%	30.8%	+4.8	11
2014-05-20	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1489	1469	30.8%	25.4%	43.8%	-4.8	8
2014-05-20	Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1441	1620	23.9%	23.2%	52.9%	+7.2	18
2014-05-20	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1620	1441	52.9%	23.2%	23.9%	-7.2	20
2014-05-23	Molde	D 1-1	1489	1618	29.1%	25.1%	45.8%	+0.5	7
2014-05-23	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1618	1489	45.8%	25.1%	29.1%	-0.5	26
2014-05-24	Stabaek	W 5-1	1523	1448	57.0%	21.7%	21.4%	+10.7	18
2014-05-24	@ Lillestrom	L 1-5	1448	1523	21.4%	21.7%	57.0%	-10.7	18
2014-05-24	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1613	1594	49.3%	24.3%	26.4%	-0.7	21
2014-05-24	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1594	1613	26.4%	24.3%	49.3%	+0.7	17
2014-05-25	Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1512	1484	50.6%	23.9%	25.5%	-0.9	8
2014-05-25	@ Aalesund	D 0-0	1484	1512	25.5%	23.9%	50.6%	+0.9	13
2014-05-25	Valerenga	L 2-3	1485	1536	39.4%	25.9%	34.8%	-5.5	8
2014-05-25	@ Brann	W 3-2	1536	1485	34.8%	25.9%	39.4%	+5.5	19
2014-05-25	Sandnes Ulf	W 1-0	1474	1437	51.8%	23.6%	24.7%	+4.2	14
2014-05-25	@ Sogndal	L 0-1	1437	1474	24.7%	23.6%	51.8%	-4.1	7
2014-05-25	Odds	L 0-1	1488	1534	40.1%	25.8%	34.1%	-6.2	9
2014-05-25	@ Start	W 1-0	1534	1488	34.1%	25.8%	40.1%	+6.2	20
2014-05-25	Bodo Glimt	L 2-3	1560	1483	57.3%	21.5%	21.2%	-7.3	17
2014-05-25	@ Viking	W 3-2	1483	1560	21.2%	21.5%	57.3%	+7.3	17
2014-06-09	Brann	W 4-2	1617	1479	65.1%	17.8%	17.1%	+4.0	29
2014-06-09	@ Molde	L 2-4	1479	1617	17.1%	17.8%	65.1%	-4.0	8
2014-06-09	Sogndal	D 0-0	1540	1478	55.2%	22.4%	22.4%	-1.2	21
2014-06-09	@ Odds	D 0-0	1478	1540	22.4%	22.4%	55.2%	+1.2	15
2014-06-09	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1595	1534	55.2%	22.4%	22.5%	+6.2	20
2014-06-09	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1534	1595	22.5%	22.4%	55.2%	-6.2	18
2014-06-09	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1433	1490	38.6%	25.9%	35.5%	+5.7	10
2014-06-09	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 0-1	1490	1433	35.5%	25.9%	38.6%	-5.7	17
2014-06-09	Viking	D 1-1	1485	1553	36.9%	25.9%	37.1%	+0.0	14
2014-06-09	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1553	1485	37.1%	25.9%	36.9%	-0.0	18
2014-06-09	Start	L 1-2	1437	1481	40.4%	25.8%	33.8%	-5.9	18
2014-06-09	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1481	1437	33.8%	25.8%	40.4%	+5.9	12
2014-06-09	Haugesund	W 2-1	1612	1489	63.2%	18.8%	18.0%	+2.8	24
2014-06-09	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1489	1612	18.0%	18.8%	63.2%	-2.8	7
2014-06-09	Aalesund	W 3-0	1541	1511	50.8%	23.8%	25.3%	+11.6	22
2014-06-09	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1511	1541	25.3%	23.8%	50.8%	-11.6	8
2014-06-12	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-0	1500	1439	55.0%	22.4%	22.5%	+10.4	11
2014-06-12	@ Aalesund	L 0-3	1439	1500	22.5%	22.4%	55.0%	-10.3	10
2014-06-12	Molde	D 1-1	1484	1621	28.2%	24.8%	47.0%	+0.6	18
2014-06-12	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1621	1484	47.0%	24.8%	28.2%	-0.6	30
2014-06-12	Odds	L 0-1	1475	1539	37.6%	25.9%	36.5%	-5.9	8
2014-06-12	@ Brann	W 1-0	1539	1475	36.5%	25.9%	37.6%	+5.9	24
2014-06-12	Sarpsborg 08	W 4-0	1486	1485	46.9%	24.9%	28.2%	+16.8	10
2014-06-12	@ Haugesund	L 0-4	1485	1486	28.2%	24.9%	46.9%	-16.8	14
2014-06-12	Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1527	1615	34.2%	25.8%	40.0%	+16.9	21
2014-06-12	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1615	1527	40.0%	25.8%	34.2%	-16.9	24
2014-06-12	Valerenga	W 2-0	1479	1553	36.1%	25.9%	37.9%	+11.2	18
2014-06-12	@ Sogndal	L 0-2	1553	1479	37.9%	25.9%	36.1%	-11.2	22
2014-06-12	Rosenborg	L 2-4	1487	1601	30.8%	25.4%	43.8%	-7.4	12
2014-06-12	@ Start	W 4-2	1601	1487	43.8%	25.4%	30.8%	+7.4	23
2014-06-12	Stabaek	W 4-1	1553	1432	63.0%	18.9%	18.1%	+6.8	21
2014-06-12	@ Viking	L 1-4	1432	1553	18.1%	18.9%	63.0%	-6.8	18
2014-07-05	Sogndal	W 3-0	1620	1490	64.1%	18.4%	17.5%	+7.8	33
2014-07-05	@ Molde	L 0-3	1490	1620	17.5%	18.4%	64.1%	-7.8	18
2014-07-06	Haugesund	W 5-3	1609	1503	61.0%	19.9%	19.1%	+4.4	26
2014-07-06	@ Rosenborg	L 3-5	1503	1609	19.1%	19.9%	61.0%	-4.3	10
2014-07-06	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1468	1485	44.3%	25.3%	30.3%	+4.7	17
2014-07-06	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1485	1468	30.3%	25.3%	44.3%	-4.7	18
2014-07-06	Aalesund	L 0-2	1425	1510	34.5%	25.9%	39.6%	-10.5	18
2014-07-06	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1510	1425	39.6%	25.9%	34.5%	+10.5	14
2014-07-06	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1480	1544	37.4%	25.9%	36.6%	+9.5	15
2014-07-06	@ Start	L 1-3	1544	1480	36.6%	25.9%	37.4%	-9.5	21
2014-07-06	Sandnes Ulf	W 1-0	1598	1428	69.0%	15.8%	15.2%	+2.4	27
2014-07-06	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1428	1598	15.2%	15.8%	69.0%	-2.4	10
2014-07-06	Brann	L 0-2	1560	1469	59.0%	20.8%	20.2%	-15.7	21
2014-07-06	@ Viking	W 2-0	1469	1560	20.2%	20.8%	59.0%	+15.7	11
2014-07-07	Valerenga	D 2-2	1544	1542	47.1%	24.8%	28.1%	-0.5	25
2014-07-07	@ Odds	D 2-2	1542	1544	28.1%	24.8%	47.1%	+0.5	23
2014-07-11	Molde	L 0-1	1520	1628	31.6%	25.6%	42.9%	-5.2	14
2014-07-11	@ Aalesund	W 1-0	1628	1520	42.9%	25.6%	31.6%	+5.2	36
2014-07-12	Odds	L 0-3	1480	1544	37.5%	25.9%	36.5%	-16.2	18
2014-07-12	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1544	1480	36.5%	25.9%	37.5%	+16.2	28
2014-07-12	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1485	1601	30.6%	25.4%	44.0%	-5.0	11
2014-07-12	@ Brann	W 1-0	1601	1485	44.0%	25.4%	30.6%	+5.0	30
2014-07-12	Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1535	1473	55.2%	22.3%	22.4%	-1.2	22
2014-07-12	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1473	1535	22.4%	22.3%	55.2%	+1.2	18
2014-07-12	Start	L 1-2	1426	1489	37.6%	25.9%	36.4%	-5.6	10
2014-07-12	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 2-1	1489	1426	36.4%	25.9%	37.6%	+5.6	18
2014-07-12	Viking	D 0-0	1483	1544	37.9%	25.9%	36.2%	-0.1	19
2014-07-12	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1544	1483	36.2%	25.9%	37.9%	+0.0	22
2014-07-13	Stabaek	W 2-0	1499	1414	58.2%	21.1%	20.6%	+6.5	13
2014-07-13	@ Haugesund	L 0-2	1414	1499	20.6%	21.1%	58.2%	-6.5	18
2014-07-13	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1542	1613	36.5%	25.9%	37.6%	+0.0	24
2014-07-13	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1613	1542	37.6%	25.9%	36.5%	-0.0	27
2014-07-18	Brann	D 1-1	1408	1480	36.4%	25.9%	37.7%	+0.0	19
2014-07-18	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1480	1408	37.7%	25.9%	36.4%	-0.0	12
2014-07-19	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1495	1464	51.0%	23.8%	25.2%	+4.0	21
2014-07-19	@ Start	L 1-2	1464	1495	25.2%	23.8%	51.0%	-4.0	18
2014-07-19	Valerenga	L 0-2	1606	1542	55.4%	22.3%	22.3%	-15.0	30
2014-07-19	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1542	1606	22.3%	22.3%	55.4%	+15.0	27
2014-07-20	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-1	1633	1420	74.1%	12.9%	13.0%	+3.2	39
2014-07-20	@ Molde	L 1-3	1420	1633	13.0%	12.9%	74.1%	-3.2	10
2014-07-20	Haugesund	D 0-0	1560	1505	54.2%	22.7%	23.0%	-1.1	29
2014-07-20	@ Odds	D 0-0	1505	1560	23.0%	22.7%	54.2%	+1.1	14
2014-07-20	Sogndal	W 1-0	1613	1483	64.2%	18.3%	17.5%	+2.8	30
2014-07-20	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1483	1613	17.5%	18.3%	64.2%	-2.8	19
2014-07-20	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1544	1534	48.1%	24.6%	27.3%	-0.7	23
2014-07-20	@ Viking	D 0-0	1534	1544	27.3%	24.6%	48.1%	+0.7	23
2014-07-22	Aalesund	W 3-2	1474	1515	40.8%	25.8%	33.4%	+4.8	21
2014-07-22	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 2-3	1515	1474	33.4%	25.8%	40.8%	-4.8	14
2014-07-26	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1510	1534	43.3%	25.5%	31.2%	-0.4	15
2014-07-26	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1534	1510	31.2%	25.5%	43.3%	+0.4	24
2014-07-26	Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1417	1591	24.5%	23.5%	52.0%	-6.7	10
2014-07-26	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 3-1	1591	1417	52.0%	23.5%	24.5%	+6.7	33
2014-07-27	Sarpsborg 08	L 3-4	1460	1479	44.0%	25.4%	30.6%	-5.8	18
2014-07-27	@ Bodo Glimt	W 4-3	1479	1460	30.6%	25.4%	44.0%	+5.8	24
2014-07-27	Viking	L 0-1	1480	1543	37.6%	25.9%	36.5%	-5.9	12
2014-07-27	@ Brann	W 1-0	1543	1480	36.5%	25.9%	37.6%	+5.9	26
2014-07-27	Start	W 5-1	1507	1499	47.8%	24.7%	27.6%	+13.7	17
2014-07-27	@ Haugesund	L 1-5	1499	1507	27.6%	24.7%	47.8%	-13.7	21
2014-07-27	Rosenborg	W 3-1	1637	1616	49.6%	24.2%	26.2%	+7.2	42
2014-07-27	@ Molde	L 1-3	1616	1637	26.2%	24.2%	49.6%	-7.2	30
2014-07-27	Odds	L 1-3	1480	1559	35.4%	25.9%	38.8%	-9.2	19
2014-07-27	@ Sogndal	W 3-1	1559	1480	38.8%	25.9%	35.4%	+9.2	32
2014-07-29	Stabaek	W 3-2	1557	1408	66.5%	17.1%	16.4%	+2.3	30
2014-07-29	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1408	1557	16.4%	17.1%	66.5%	-2.3	19
2014-08-01	Brann	W 4-3	1535	1474	55.1%	22.4%	22.5%	+3.3	27
2014-08-01	@ Lillestrom	L 3-4	1474	1535	22.5%	22.4%	55.1%	-3.3	12
2014-08-02	Sogndal	D 1-1	1597	1470	63.7%	18.6%	17.7%	-1.5	34
2014-08-02	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1470	1597	17.7%	18.6%	63.7%	+1.5	20
2014-08-02	Valerenga	D 5-5	1549	1559	45.3%	25.2%	29.6%	-0.2	27
2014-08-02	@ Viking	D 5-5	1559	1549	29.6%	25.2%	45.3%	+0.2	31
2014-08-03	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1510	1454	54.4%	22.7%	22.9%	+3.6	18
2014-08-03	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1454	1510	22.9%	22.7%	54.4%	-3.6	18
2014-08-03	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-1	1568	1411	67.5%	16.6%	15.9%	+4.1	35
2014-08-03	@ Odds	L 1-3	1411	1568	15.9%	16.6%	67.5%	-4.1	10
2014-08-03	Haugesund	L 0-2	1485	1520	41.6%	25.7%	32.7%	-12.0	24
2014-08-03	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1520	1485	32.7%	25.7%	41.6%	+12.0	20
2014-08-03	Rosenborg	W 4-1	1405	1609	21.9%	22.0%	56.1%	+18.5	22
2014-08-03	@ Stabaek	L 1-4	1609	1405	56.1%	22.0%	21.9%	-18.5	30
2014-08-03	Molde	D 1-1	1485	1644	25.9%	24.1%	50.0%	+0.8	22
2014-08-03	@ Start	D 1-1	1644	1485	50.0%	24.1%	25.9%	-0.8	43
2014-08-08	Aalesund	W 1-0	1471	1514	40.6%	25.8%	33.7%	+5.4	15
2014-08-08	@ Brann	L 0-1	1514	1471	33.7%	25.8%	40.6%	-5.4	18
2014-08-09	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1572	1596	43.3%	25.5%	31.2%	+5.1	38
2014-08-09	@ Odds	L 0-1	1596	1572	31.2%	25.5%	43.3%	-5.1	34
2014-08-09	Sarpsborg 08	D 2-2	1560	1473	58.6%	21.0%	20.5%	-0.9	32
2014-08-09	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1473	1560	20.5%	21.0%	58.6%	+0.9	25
2014-08-10	Viking	D 1-1	1532	1549	44.3%	25.3%	30.4%	-0.4	21
2014-08-10	@ Haugesund	D 1-1	1549	1532	30.4%	25.3%	44.3%	+0.4	28
2014-08-10	Stabaek	D 2-2	1643	1424	74.7%	12.5%	12.7%	-1.5	44
2014-08-10	@ Molde	D 2-2	1424	1643	12.7%	12.5%	74.7%	+1.5	23
2014-08-10	Start	W 3-2	1590	1486	60.8%	20.0%	19.2%	+2.8	33
2014-08-10	@ Rosenborg	L 2-3	1486	1590	19.2%	20.0%	60.8%	-2.8	22
2014-08-10	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1407	1538	28.8%	25.0%	46.2%	+0.6	11
2014-08-10	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 0-0	1538	1407	46.2%	25.0%	28.8%	-0.6	28
2014-08-10	Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1472	1450	49.7%	24.2%	26.1%	-7.3	20
2014-08-10	@ Sogndal	W 1-0	1450	1472	26.1%	24.2%	49.7%	+7.3	21
2014-08-15	Stromsgodset	L 2-3	1483	1591	31.6%	25.6%	42.8%	-4.6	22
2014-08-15	@ Start	W 3-2	1591	1483	42.8%	25.6%	31.6%	+4.6	37
2014-08-16	Haugesund	W 3-0	1508	1532	43.3%	25.5%	31.2%	+14.0	21
2014-08-16	@ Aalesund	L 0-3	1532	1508	31.2%	25.5%	43.3%	-14.0	21
2014-08-16	Sogndal	W 4-2	1550	1465	58.3%	21.1%	20.6%	+5.0	31
2014-08-16	@ Viking	L 2-4	1465	1550	20.6%	21.1%	58.3%	-5.0	20
2014-08-17	Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1458	1407	53.7%	22.9%	23.4%	-1.0	22
2014-08-17	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1407	1458	23.4%	22.9%	53.7%	+1.0	12
2014-08-17	Rosenborg	W 3-1	1476	1593	30.5%	25.4%	44.1%	+10.9	18
2014-08-17	@ Brann	L 1-3	1593	1476	44.1%	25.4%	30.5%	-10.9	33
2014-08-17	Valerenga	W 2-1	1538	1559	43.7%	25.4%	30.9%	+4.8	31
2014-08-17	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1559	1538	30.9%	25.4%	43.7%	-4.8	32
2014-08-17	Molde	L 0-2	1474	1641	25.0%	23.7%	51.3%	-7.9	25
2014-08-17	@ Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1641	1474	51.3%	23.7%	25.0%	+7.9	47
2014-08-17	Odds	L 1-3	1426	1577	26.6%	24.3%	49.1%	-7.3	23
2014-08-17	@ Stabaek	W 3-1	1577	1426	49.1%	24.3%	26.6%	+7.3	41
2014-08-22	Viking	D 2-2	1408	1555	27.2%	24.5%	48.3%	+0.5	13
2014-08-22	@ Sandnes Ulf	D 2-2	1555	1408	48.3%	24.5%	27.2%	-0.5	32
2014-08-23	Stabaek	L 2-3	1595	1418	69.9%	15.3%	14.8%	-8.4	37
2014-08-23	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1418	1595	14.8%	15.3%	69.9%	+8.4	26
2014-08-23	Brann	D 3-3	1554	1487	55.9%	22.1%	22.0%	-0.7	33
2014-08-23	@ Valerenga	D 3-3	1487	1554	22.0%	22.1%	55.9%	+0.7	19
2014-08-24	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1518	1457	55.1%	22.4%	22.5%	-7.5	21
2014-08-24	@ Haugesund	W 2-1	1457	1518	22.5%	22.4%	55.1%	+7.5	25
2014-08-24	Aalesund	W 5-0	1649	1522	63.7%	18.5%	17.7%	+12.7	50
2014-08-24	@ Molde	L 0-5	1522	1649	17.7%	18.5%	63.7%	-12.7	21
2014-08-24	Start	W 4-1	1585	1478	61.1%	19.9%	19.1%	+7.3	44
2014-08-24	@ Odds	L 1-4	1478	1585	19.1%	19.9%	61.1%	-7.3	22
2014-08-24	Sarpsborg 08	W 2-0	1582	1466	62.4%	19.2%	18.4%	+5.7	36
2014-08-24	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1466	1582	18.4%	19.2%	62.4%	-5.7	25
2014-08-24	Lillestrom	L 0-1	1460	1542	34.9%	25.9%	39.2%	-5.6	20
2014-08-24	@ Sogndal	W 1-0	1542	1460	39.2%	25.9%	34.9%	+5.6	34
2014-08-30	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1510	1587	35.6%	25.9%	38.5%	+11.3	24
2014-08-30	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1587	1510	38.5%	25.9%	35.6%	-11.3	37
2014-08-30	Valerenga	W 4-3	1464	1553	34.1%	25.8%	40.1%	+5.4	28
2014-08-30	@ Bodo Glimt	L 3-4	1553	1464	40.1%	25.8%	34.1%	-5.4	33
2014-08-30	Odds	D 2-2	1460	1592	28.7%	25.0%	46.3%	+0.4	26
2014-08-30	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 2-2	1592	1460	46.3%	25.0%	28.7%	-0.4	45
2014-08-31	Molde	L 0-1	1488	1662	24.4%	23.4%	52.2%	-4.1	19
2014-08-31	@ Brann	W 1-0	1662	1488	52.2%	23.4%	24.4%	+4.1	53
2014-08-31	Haugesund	W 2-0	1548	1510	51.9%	23.5%	24.6%	+7.8	37
2014-08-31	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1510	1548	24.6%	23.5%	51.9%	-7.8	21
2014-08-31	Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1427	1409	49.2%	24.3%	26.5%	-0.7	27
2014-08-31	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1409	1427	26.5%	24.3%	49.2%	+0.7	14
2014-08-31	Sogndal	W 3-2	1471	1454	49.1%	24.3%	26.6%	+4.0	25
2014-08-31	@ Start	L 2-3	1454	1471	26.6%	24.3%	49.1%	-4.0	20
2014-08-31	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1554	1588	41.9%	25.7%	32.5%	-6.0	32
2014-08-31	@ Viking	W 2-1	1588	1554	32.5%	25.7%	41.9%	+6.0	39
2014-09-12	Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	1594	1470	63.4%	18.7%	17.9%	+4.8	42
2014-09-12	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1470	1594	17.9%	18.7%	63.4%	-4.8	28
2014-09-13	Viking	W 4-1	1592	1548	52.7%	23.2%	24.0%	+9.3	48
2014-09-13	@ Odds	L 1-4	1548	1592	24.0%	23.2%	52.7%	-9.3	32
2014-09-13	Brann	L 1-4	1576	1484	59.2%	20.7%	20.1%	-19.3	37
2014-09-13	@ Stromsgodset	W 4-1	1484	1576	20.1%	20.7%	59.2%	+19.3	22
2014-09-14	Lillestrom	W 3-2	1666	1556	61.6%	19.6%	18.8%	+2.8	56
2014-09-14	@ Molde	L 2-3	1556	1666	18.8%	19.6%	61.6%	-2.8	37
2014-09-14	Sarpsborg 08	L 0-2	1409	1460	39.4%	25.9%	34.7%	-11.5	14
2014-09-14	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 2-0	1460	1409	34.7%	25.9%	39.4%	+11.5	29
2014-09-14	Aalesund	D 1-1	1450	1521	36.6%	25.9%	37.5%	+0.0	21
2014-09-14	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1521	1450	37.5%	25.9%	36.6%	-0.0	25
2014-09-14	Stabaek	L 2-3	1475	1426	53.5%	23.0%	23.5%	-6.9	25
2014-09-14	@ Start	W 3-2	1426	1475	23.5%	23.0%	53.5%	+6.9	30
2014-09-14	Haugesund	W 4-1	1548	1503	52.9%	23.2%	23.9%	+9.3	36
2014-09-14	@ Valerenga	L 1-4	1503	1548	23.9%	23.2%	52.9%	-9.3	21
2014-09-19	Sandnes Ulf	D 1-1	1503	1398	60.9%	19.9%	19.2%	-1.4	23
2014-09-19	@ Brann	D 1-1	1398	1503	19.2%	19.9%	60.9%	+1.4	15
2014-09-20	Stromsgodset	L 0-4	1465	1556	33.7%	25.8%	40.5%	-19.5	28
2014-09-20	@ Bodo Glimt	W 4-0	1556	1465	40.5%	25.8%	33.7%	+19.5	40
2014-09-20	Molde	L 0-2	1557	1669	31.1%	25.5%	43.4%	-9.6	36
2014-09-20	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	1669	1557	43.4%	25.5%	31.1%	+9.6	59
2014-09-21	Stabaek	W 3-0	1521	1433	58.7%	20.9%	20.4%	+9.3	28
2014-09-21	@ Aalesund	L 0-3	1433	1521	20.4%	20.9%	58.7%	-9.3	30
2014-09-21	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1493	1599	31.9%	25.6%	42.5%	+6.1	24
2014-09-21	@ Haugesund	L 1-2	1599	1493	42.5%	25.6%	31.9%	-6.1	42
2014-09-21	Odds	W 2-0	1553	1601	39.8%	25.8%	34.3%	+10.4	40
2014-09-21	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1601	1553	34.3%	25.8%	39.8%	-10.4	48
2014-09-21	Sogndal	W 3-1	1472	1450	49.7%	24.2%	26.1%	+7.1	32
2014-09-21	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 1-3	1450	1472	26.1%	24.2%	49.7%	-7.1	21
2014-09-21	Start	L 0-1	1539	1468	56.4%	21.9%	21.7%	-8.0	32
2014-09-21	@ Viking	W 1-0	1468	1539	21.7%	21.9%	56.4%	+8.0	28
2014-09-26	Valerenga	W 2-1	1399	1547	27.0%	24.5%	48.5%	+6.8	18
2014-09-26	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 1-2	1547	1399	48.5%	24.5%	27.0%	-6.8	36
2014-09-27	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1679	1445	76.3%	11.7%	12.1%	+1.7	62
2014-09-27	@ Molde	L 1-2	1445	1679	12.1%	11.7%	76.3%	-1.7	28
2014-09-27	Haugesund	W 4-1	1443	1499	38.6%	25.9%	35.5%	+13.1	24
2014-09-27	@ Sogndal	L 1-4	1499	1443	35.5%	25.9%	38.6%	-13.1	24
2014-09-27	Viking	W 2-1	1576	1531	52.9%	23.2%	23.9%	+3.8	43
2014-09-27	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1531	1576	23.9%	23.2%	52.9%	-3.8	32
2014-09-28	Brann	W 4-0	1590	1501	58.8%	20.9%	20.3%	+12.1	51
2014-09-28	@ Odds	L 0-4	1501	1590	20.3%	20.9%	58.8%	-12.1	23
2014-09-28	Aalesund	W 3-0	1593	1530	55.3%	22.3%	22.4%	+10.3	45
2014-09-28	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1530	1593	22.4%	22.3%	55.3%	-10.3	28
2014-09-28	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1424	1563	27.9%	24.8%	47.4%	+13.3	33
2014-09-28	@ Stabaek	L 0-2	1563	1424	47.4%	24.8%	27.9%	-13.3	40
2014-09-28	Sarpsborg 08	W 3-1	1476	1479	46.3%	25.0%	28.7%	+7.8	31
2014-09-28	@ Start	L 1-3	1479	1476	28.7%	25.0%	46.3%	-7.8	32
2014-10-03	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1550	1603	39.1%	25.9%	35.0%	-11.5	40
2014-10-03	@ Lillestrom	W 2-0	1603	1550	35.0%	25.9%	39.1%	+11.5	48
2014-10-04	Odds	D 2-2	1520	1603	34.9%	25.9%	39.2%	+0.1	29
2014-10-04	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1603	1520	39.2%	25.9%	34.9%	-0.1	52
2014-10-04	Molde	L 1-2	1527	1680	26.5%	24.3%	49.3%	-4.2	32
2014-10-04	@ Viking	W 2-1	1680	1527	49.3%	24.3%	26.5%	+4.2	65
2014-10-05	Stabaek	D 1-1	1444	1437	47.6%	24.7%	27.7%	-0.6	29
2014-10-05	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1437	1444	27.7%	24.7%	47.6%	+0.6	34
2014-10-05	Start	L 1-2	1489	1484	47.4%	24.7%	27.8%	-6.6	23
2014-10-05	@ Brann	W 2-1	1484	1489	27.8%	24.7%	47.4%	+6.6	34
2014-10-05	Sandnes Ulf	W 2-0	1486	1406	57.7%	21.4%	21.0%	+6.6	27
2014-10-05	@ Haugesund	L 0-2	1406	1486	21.0%	21.4%	57.7%	-6.6	18
2014-10-05	Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1471	1580	31.5%	25.5%	42.9%	+0.4	33
2014-10-05	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 0-0	1580	1471	42.9%	25.5%	31.5%	-0.4	44
2014-10-05	Sogndal	W 2-1	1541	1456	58.2%	21.1%	20.6%	+3.2	39
2014-10-05	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1456	1541	20.6%	21.1%	58.2%	-3.2	24
2014-10-17	Sarpsborg 08	L 1-2	1483	1472	48.2%	24.6%	27.2%	-6.7	23
2014-10-17	@ Brann	W 2-1	1472	1483	27.2%	24.6%	48.2%	+6.7	36
2014-10-18	Haugesund	L 1-2	1684	1493	71.6%	14.3%	14.1%	-9.0	65
2014-10-18	@ Molde	W 2-1	1493	1684	14.1%	14.3%	71.6%	+9.0	30
2014-10-18	Aalesund	L 1-2	1491	1520	42.5%	25.6%	31.9%	-6.1	34
2014-10-18	@ Start	W 2-1	1520	1491	31.9%	25.6%	42.5%	+6.1	32
2014-10-19	Bodo Glimt	W 4-3	1602	1443	67.7%	16.4%	15.8%	+2.2	55
2014-10-19	@ Odds	L 3-4	1443	1602	15.8%	16.4%	67.7%	-2.2	29
2014-10-19	Valerenga	W 3-2	1614	1544	56.3%	21.9%	21.8%	+3.2	51
2014-10-19	@ Rosenborg	L 2-3	1544	1614	21.8%	21.9%	56.3%	-3.3	39
2014-10-19	Sogndal	W 1-0	1399	1453	39.1%	25.9%	35.1%	+5.6	21
2014-10-19	@ Sandnes Ulf	L 0-1	1453	1399	35.1%	25.9%	39.1%	-5.6	24
2014-10-19	Viking	D 1-1	1437	1523	34.5%	25.9%	39.6%	+0.2	35
2014-10-19	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1523	1437	39.6%	25.9%	34.5%	-0.2	33
2014-10-19	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1579	1539	52.3%	23.4%	24.3%	+3.8	47
2014-10-19	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1539	1579	24.3%	23.4%	52.3%	-3.8	40
2014-10-24	Odds	L 1-2	1541	1605	37.5%	25.9%	36.5%	-5.6	39
2014-10-24	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1605	1541	36.5%	25.9%	37.5%	+5.6	58
2014-10-25	Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1502	1583	35.1%	25.9%	39.0%	+5.4	33
2014-10-25	@ Haugesund	L 2-3	1583	1502	39.0%	25.9%	35.1%	-5.4	47
2014-10-26	Brann	W 2-1	1441	1476	41.7%	25.7%	32.6%	+5.0	32
2014-10-26	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1476	1441	32.6%	25.7%	41.7%	-5.0	23
2014-10-26	Start	W 4-1	1535	1485	53.6%	22.9%	23.4%	+9.1	43
2014-10-26	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	1485	1535	23.4%	22.9%	53.6%	-9.1	34
2014-10-26	Sandnes Ulf	W 3-1	1618	1405	74.0%	13.0%	13.0%	+3.2	54
2014-10-26	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1405	1618	13.0%	13.0%	74.0%	-3.2	21
2014-10-26	Stabaek	D 1-1	1478	1438	52.3%	23.4%	24.3%	-0.9	37
2014-10-26	@ Sarpsborg 08	D 1-1	1438	1478	24.3%	23.4%	52.3%	+0.9	36
2014-10-26	Molde	L 0-1	1447	1675	20.0%	20.6%	59.4%	-3.3	24
2014-10-26	@ Sogndal	W 1-0	1675	1447	59.4%	20.6%	20.0%	+3.3	68
2014-10-26	Aalesund	L 1-2	1523	1526	46.2%	25.0%	28.8%	-6.5	33
2014-10-26	@ Viking	W 2-1	1526	1523	28.8%	25.0%	46.2%	+6.5	35
2014-11-02	Valerenga	W 4-1	1533	1535	46.3%	25.0%	28.7%	+11.0	38
2014-11-02	@ Aalesund	L 1-4	1535	1533	28.7%	25.0%	46.3%	-11.0	39
2014-11-02	Sogndal	W 2-1	1471	1444	50.5%	23.9%	25.6%	+4.0	26
2014-11-02	@ Brann	L 1-2	1444	1471	25.6%	23.9%	50.5%	-4.0	24
2014-11-02	Bodo Glimt	W 4-0	1544	1446	60.0%	20.3%	19.7%	+11.7	46
2014-11-02	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	1446	1544	19.7%	20.3%	60.0%	-11.6	32
2014-11-02	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1610	1621	45.2%	25.2%	29.6%	-6.8	58
2014-11-02	@ Odds	W 1-0	1621	1610	29.6%	25.2%	45.2%	+6.8	57
2014-11-02	Haugesund	L 0-1	1439	1507	36.8%	25.9%	37.2%	-5.8	36
2014-11-02	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1507	1439	37.2%	25.9%	36.8%	+5.8	36
2014-11-02	Sandnes Ulf	D 3-3	1476	1402	56.8%	21.7%	21.5%	-0.7	35
2014-11-02	@ Start	D 3-3	1402	1476	21.5%	21.7%	56.8%	+0.7	22
2014-11-02	Molde	W 2-0	1578	1679	32.5%	25.7%	41.9%	+12.1	50
2014-11-02	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-2	1679	1578	41.9%	25.7%	32.5%	-12.1	68
2014-11-02	Sarpsborg 08	W 1-0	1516	1477	52.0%	23.5%	24.5%	+4.1	36
2014-11-02	@ Viking	L 0-1	1477	1516	24.5%	23.5%	52.0%	-4.1	37
2014-11-09	Viking	W 3-2	1434	1520	34.5%	25.8%	39.7%	+5.5	35
2014-11-09	@ Bodo Glimt	L 2-3	1520	1434	39.7%	25.8%	34.5%	-5.5	36
2014-11-09	Brann	L 2-3	1513	1475	52.0%	23.5%	24.5%	-6.8	36
2014-11-09	@ Haugesund	W 3-2	1475	1513	24.5%	23.5%	52.0%	+6.8	29
2014-11-09	Odds	W 2-0	1667	1603	55.4%	22.3%	22.3%	+7.1	71
2014-11-09	@ Molde	L 0-2	1603	1667	22.3%	22.3%	55.4%	-7.1	58
2014-11-09	Stromsgodset	W 4-1	1628	1590	51.9%	23.5%	24.6%	+9.5	60
2014-11-09	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1590	1628	24.6%	23.5%	51.9%	-9.5	50
2014-11-09	Aalesund	L 1-2	1403	1544	27.8%	24.7%	47.5%	-4.4	22
2014-11-09	@ Sandnes Ulf	W 2-1	1544	1403	47.5%	24.7%	27.8%	+4.4	41
2014-11-09	Lillestrom	W 3-2	1473	1555	35.0%	25.9%	39.1%	+5.5	40
2014-11-09	@ Sarpsborg 08	L 2-3	1555	1473	39.1%	25.9%	35.0%	-5.5	46
2014-11-09	Stabaek	L 0-2	1440	1433	47.7%	24.7%	27.6%	-13.3	24
2014-11-09	@ Sogndal	W 2-0	1433	1440	27.6%	24.7%	47.7%	+13.3	39
2014-11-09	Start	W 1-0	1524	1475	53.5%	23.0%	23.5%	+4.0	42
2014-11-09	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1475	1524	23.5%	23.0%	53.5%	-4.0	35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-10-18	14.09%	Haugesund	1493	2	@ Molde	1684	1
2	2014-05-16	14.42%	Stabaek	1425	3	@ Rosenborg	1610	1
3	2014-08-23	14.83%	Stabaek	1418	3	@ Stromsgodset	1595	2
4	2014-09-13	20.09%	Brann	1484	4	@ Stromsgodset	1576	1
5	2014-07-06	20.20%	Brann	1469	2	@ Viking	1560	0
6	2014-05-25	21.16%	Bodo Glimt	1483	3	@ Viking	1560	2
7	2014-09-21	21.74%	Start	1468	1	@ Viking	1539	0
8	2014-08-03	21.91%	@ Stabaek	1405	4	Rosenborg	1609	1
9	2014-04-06	22.23%	Stabaek	1440	2	@ Brann	1504	1
10	2014-07-19	22.29%	Valerenga	1542	2	@ Stromsgodset	1606	0
11	2014-04-27	22.41%	Sogndal	1454	3	@ Haugesund	1516	0
12	2014-08-24	22.51%	Bodo Glimt	1457	2	@ Haugesund	1518	1
13	2014-09-14	23.53%	Stabaek	1426	3	@ Start	1475	2
14	2014-05-20	23.93%	@ Stabaek	1441	2	Stromsgodset	1620	1
15	2014-11-09	24.54%	Brann	1475	3	@ Haugesund	1513	2
16	2014-05-10	24.75%	Brann	1489	1	@ Aalesund	1525	0
17	2014-05-16	25.76%	Bodo Glimt	1471	2	@ Brann	1496	1
18	2014-05-11	25.99%	Lillestrom	1514	2	@ Odds	1537	0
19	2014-08-10	26.14%	Bodo Glimt	1450	1	@ Sogndal	1472	0
20	2014-04-21	26.20%	Start	1510	2	@ Aalesund	1531	1
21	2014-05-04	26.21%	Molde	1595	2	@ Rosenborg	1616	0
22	2014-09-26	26.98%	@ Sandnes Ulf	1399	2	Valerenga	1547	1
23	2014-10-17	27.22%	Sarpsborg 08	1472	2	@ Brann	1483	1
24	2014-11-09	27.64%	Stabaek	1433	2	@ Sogndal	1440	0
25	2014-10-05	27.84%	Start	1484	2	@ Brann	1489	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2014-04-27	21.71	Sogndal	3	1454	22.41%	@ Haugesund	0	1516	55.26%
2	2014-09-20	19.45	Stromsgodset	4	1556	40.50%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1465	33.71%
3	2014-09-13	19.29	Brann	4	1484	20.09%	@ Stromsgodset	1	1576	59.22%
4	2014-05-01	18.59	@ Valerenga	3	1503	29.66%	Stromsgodset	0	1627	45.15%
5	2014-08-03	18.52	@ Stabaek	4	1405	21.91%	Rosenborg	1	1609	56.08%
6	2014-06-12	16.94	@ Lillestrom	3	1527	34.21%	Stromsgodset	0	1615	39.97%
7	2014-06-12	16.81	@ Haugesund	4	1486	46.90%	Sarpsborg 08	0	1485	28.25%
8	2014-07-12	16.16	Odds	3	1544	36.54%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1480	37.54%
9	2014-07-06	15.71	Brann	2	1469	20.20%	@ Viking	0	1560	59.02%
10	2014-03-30	15.66	@ Stabaek	3	1424	38.12%	Sogndal	0	1484	35.97%
11	2014-05-16	15.47	Stabaek	3	1425	14.42%	@ Rosenborg	1	1610	70.83%
12	2014-05-05	15.14	Valerenga	3	1521	39.73%	@ Stabaek	0	1435	34.43%
13	2014-07-19	14.98	Valerenga	2	1542	22.29%	@ Stromsgodset	0	1606	55.44%
14	2014-03-30	14.59	@ Sarpsborg 08	3	1482	41.44%	Brann	0	1519	32.85%
15	2014-04-28	14.35	@ Sarpsborg 08	3	1486	42.21%	Valerenga	0	1517	32.16%
16	2014-08-16	14.00	@ Aalesund	3	1508	43.33%	Haugesund	0	1532	31.19%
17	2014-05-11	13.82	Lillestrom	2	1514	25.99%	@ Odds	0	1537	49.90%
18	2014-05-04	13.76	Molde	2	1595	26.21%	@ Rosenborg	0	1616	49.60%
19	2014-07-27	13.71	@ Haugesund	5	1507	47.76%	Start	1	1499	27.58%
20	2014-11-09	13.35	Stabaek	2	1433	27.64%	@ Sogndal	0	1440	47.68%
21	2014-09-28	13.28	@ Stabaek	2	1424	27.88%	Lillestrom	0	1563	47.37%
22	2014-09-27	13.07	@ Sogndal	4	1443	38.62%	Haugesund	1	1499	35.48%
23	2014-08-24	12.68	@ Molde	5	1649	63.74%	Aalesund	0	1522	17.72%
24	2014-04-27	12.17	Viking	2	1548	32.12%	@ Start	0	1517	42.26%
25	2014-11-02	12.08	@ Stromsgodset	2	1578	32.47%	Molde	0	1679	41.87%