1949 I liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Wisla Krakow

30 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Polonia Warsaw

4.08 points above expected

27 points · 22.92 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lechia Gdansk

5.18 points below expected

11 points · 16.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Wisla Krakow	22	13	4	5	30	50	21	+29	28.68	+1.32
2	Cracovia	22	10	9	3	29	44	29	+15	25.37	+3.63
3	Lech Poznan	22	10	7	5	27	60	37	+23	24.43	+2.57
4	Polonia Warsaw	22	11	5	6	27	43	29	+14	22.92	+4.08
5	AKS Chorzow	22	9	5	8	23	40	44	-4	21.57	+1.43
6	LKS Lodz	22	8	6	8	22	49	48	+1	22.39	-0.39
7	Warta Poznan	22	7	7	8	21	36	35	+1	21.00	+0.00
8	Ruch Chorzow	22	7	5	10	19	42	48	-6	22.28	-3.28
9	Legia Warsaw	22	7	5	10	19	37	43	-6	20.71	-1.71
10	Szombierki Bytom	22	7	5	10	19	34	54	-20	18.80	+0.20
11	Polonia Bytom	22	6	5	11	17	37	43	-6	19.67	-2.67
12	Lechia Gdansk	22	4	3	15	11	26	67	-41	16.18	-5.18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Polonia Warsaw	27	22.92	+4.08
2	Cracovia	29	25.37	+3.63
3	Lech Poznan	27	24.43	+2.57
4	AKS Chorzow	23	21.57	+1.43
5	Wisla Krakow	30	28.68	+1.32

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lechia Gdansk	11	16.18	-5.18
2	Ruch Chorzow	19	22.28	-3.28
3	Polonia Bytom	17	19.67	-2.67
4	Legia Warsaw	19	20.71	-1.71
5	LKS Lodz	22	22.39	-0.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Wisla Krakow	7	Mar 20 – May 22	1 in 105
2	Polonia Warsaw	4	Aug 28 – Sep 18	1 in 76
3	Polonia Bytom	3	Sep 15 – Sep 25	1 in 64
4	Szombierki Bytom	3	Aug 14 – Sep 4	1 in 60
5	AKS Chorzow	3	May 26 – Jun 25	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Szombierki Bytom	4	Sep 15 – Oct 9	1 in 81
2	Lechia Gdansk	6	Sep 18 – Nov 13	1 in 60
3	Legia Warsaw	4	May 15 – May 29	1 in 40
4	Wisla Krakow	2	Aug 28 – Sep 4	1 in 31
5	Polonia Bytom	3	Apr 10 – May 15	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cracovia	12	Apr 3 – Aug 28	1 in 90
2	Szombierki Bytom	8	May 26 – Sep 4	1 in 67
3	AKS Chorzow	5	May 15 – Jun 25	1 in 15
4	Legia Warsaw	6	Sep 18 – Nov 13	1 in 15
5	Lech Poznan	7	Apr 3 – May 29	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Polonia Bytom	12	Mar 20 – Aug 7	1 in 130
2	LKS Lodz	8	May 29 – Sep 15	1 in 48
3	Warta Poznan	5	Aug 27 – Sep 25	1 in 13
4	Szombierki Bytom	7	Sep 15 – Nov 13	1 in 13
5	Wisla Krakow	3	Aug 28 – Sep 15	1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Wisla Krakow	1353	30	+8	6	6.4	-0.4
Cracovia	1311	29	+5	6	6.2	-0.2
Lech Poznan	1275	27	+1	5	5.0	+0.0
Polonia Warsaw	1283	27	-20	4	5.4	-1.4
AKS Chorzow	1212	23	+21	7	5.0	+2.0
LKS Lodz	1235	22	+19	6	5.0	+1.0
Warta Poznan	1209	21	+15	6	5.3	+0.7
Legia Warsaw	1223	19	+32	7	5.1	+1.9
Ruch Chorzow	1236	19	+35	6	4.2	+1.8
Szombierki Bytom	1110	19	-61	1	3.6	-2.6
Polonia Bytom	1186	17	+9	6	4.9	+1.1
Lechia Gdansk	1032	11	-64	0	3.9	-3.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AC	CRA	LL	LP	LG	LW	PB	PW	RC	SB	WP	WK
AKS Chorzow	—	1-0-1 2.14	1-1-0 2.50	0-1-1 2.45	2-0-0 3.22	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.95	1-1-0 2.25	1-0-1 2.51	0-1-1 3.00	2-0-0 2.73	0-0-2 1.80
Cracovia	1-0-1 3.34	—	1-1-0 3.24	1-1-0 2.91	1-1-0 3.82	1-1-0 3.24	2-0-0 3.34	1-0-1 2.99	0-2-0 3.10	1-1-0 3.67	0-1-1 3.26	1-1-0 2.40
LKS Lodz	0-1-1 2.97	0-1-1 2.24	—	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 3.43	1-1-0 2.69	0-1-1 3.20	1-0-1 2.50	2-0-0 2.55	1-1-0 3.04	1-1-0 2.76	0-0-2 2.06
Lech Poznan	1-1-0 3.02	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.96	—	1-1-0 3.78	2-0-0 3.04	0-2-0 3.32	1-1-0 2.82	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.44	1-1-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.02
Lechia Gdansk	0-0-2 2.27	0-1-1 1.68	1-0-1 2.05	0-1-1 1.72	—	0-1-1 2.00	1-0-1 2.26	0-0-2 2.20	1-0-1 1.97	0-0-2 2.36	1-0-1 2.07	0-0-2 1.36
Legia Warsaw	1-1-0 2.64	0-1-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.80	0-0-2 2.45	1-1-0 3.49	—	2-0-0 2.78	0-0-2 2.39	1-0-1 2.40	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 1.78
Polonia Bytom	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.16	1-1-0 2.28	0-2-0 2.16	1-0-1 3.23	0-0-2 2.70	—	0-0-2 2.55	1-1-0 2.27	1-0-1 2.61	1-1-0 2.54	0-0-2 1.72
Polonia Warsaw	0-1-1 3.23	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 2.66	2-0-0 3.29	2-0-0 3.10	2-0-0 2.94	—	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 3.48	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 1.94
Ruch Chorzow	1-0-1 2.96	0-2-0 2.37	0-0-2 2.93	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 3.52	1-0-1 3.08	0-1-1 3.21	0-1-1 2.55	—	2-0-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.91	0-1-1 1.93
Szombierki Bytom	1-1-0 2.49	0-1-1 1.84	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.05	2-0-0 3.12	1-0-1 2.36	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 2.01	0-0-2 2.42	—	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 1.57
Warta Poznan	0-0-2 2.75	1-1-0 2.23	0-1-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.32	1-0-1 3.42	1-0-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.56	1-1-0 3.04	—	1-1-0 1.72
Wisla Krakow	2-0-0 3.70	0-1-1 3.08	2-0-0 3.44	1-0-1 3.47	2-0-0 4.18	1-1-0 3.73	2-0-0 3.79	1-0-1 3.55	1-1-0 3.57	1-0-1 3.94	0-1-1 3.79	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.61	+4.9
Allowed	0.80	-4.0
Differential	0.89	+2.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	2.65%	4.55%	5.68%	1.14%	1.14%	19.70%
1	2.65%	9.09%	8.71%	1.89%	1.89%	3.03%	27.27%
2	4.55%	8.71%	6.06%	3.03%	1.52%	0.76%	24.62%
3	5.68%	1.89%	3.03%	3.03%	—	1.14%	14.77%
4	1.14%	1.89%	1.52%	—	2.27%	0.38%	7.20%
5+	1.14%	3.03%	0.76%	1.14%	0.38%	—	6.44%
Total	19.70%	27.27%	24.62%	14.77%	7.20%	6.44%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.89	1.89	+0.00
SD	1.63	1.63	2.40
CV	0.87	0.87	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	13.64%	27.27%	27.27%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	2.00	-0.18
SD	1.26	1.66	1.79
CV	0.69	0.83	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	—	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	45.45%	27.27%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.32	+0.68
SD	1.45	0.99	1.84
CV	0.72	0.75	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	31.82%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.23	2.18	+0.05
SD	1.63	2.26	2.75
CV	0.73	1.04	—
Max	5	8	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
Total	9.09%	40.91%	31.82%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.73	1.68	+1.05
SD	2.62	1.09	2.73
CV	0.96	0.65	—
Max	8	4	+8
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	4.55%	22.73%	13.64%	18.18%	18.18%	22.73%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	3.05	-1.86
SD	1.37	1.91	2.49
CV	1.16	0.63	—
Max	5	8	+2
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	27.27%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	22.73%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.95	-0.27
SD	1.39	1.73	2.37
CV	0.83	0.89	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	—	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	—	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	40.91%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	22.73%	31.82%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.95	-0.27
SD	1.70	1.29	2.45
CV	1.01	0.66	—
Max	8	5	+8
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	40.91%
3	18.18%	—	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	40.91%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.32	+0.64
SD	1.25	1.25	1.81
CV	0.64	0.95	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	27.27%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
2	9.09%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	18.18%	36.36%	22.73%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	2.18	-0.27
SD	1.57	1.76	2.23
CV	0.82	0.81	—
Max	6	8	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	18.18%
1	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	27.27%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	2.45	-0.91
SD	1.10	2.09	2.71
CV	0.71	0.85	—
Max	4	8	+3
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	22.73%	31.82%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.59	+0.05
SD	1.33	1.18	1.84
CV	0.81	0.74	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	40.91%	31.82%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.27	0.95	+1.32
SD	2.16	1.00	2.25
CV	0.95	1.05	—
Max	8	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Wisla Krakow	1353	30	28.68	+1.32	69.0%	21	23	26	28	31	35	40
Cracovia	1311	29	25.37	+3.63	81.0%	18	19	23	25	28	31	33
Polonia Warsaw	1283	27	22.92	+4.08	89.0%	10	16	21	23	25	30	31
Lech Poznan	1275	27	24.43	+2.57	78.0%	15	18	22	25	27	30	31
Ruch Chorzow	1236	19	22.28	-3.28	23.0%	12	15	20	23	25	28	34
LKS Lodz	1235	22	22.39	-0.39	53.0%	14	17	20	22	24	28	31
Legia Warsaw	1223	19	20.71	-1.71	38.0%	12	13	18	21	23	27	34
AKS Chorzow	1212	23	21.57	+1.43	73.0%	13	15	19	21	24	29	31
Warta Poznan	1209	21	21.00	+0.00	56.0%	11	16	18	21	24	27	30
Polonia Bytom	1186	17	19.67	-2.67	27.0%	10	13	17	20	22	25	29
Szombierki Bytom	1110	19	18.80	+0.20	55.0%	11	13	16	19	21	24	27
Lechia Gdansk	1032	11	16.18	-5.18	11.0%	9	10	14	16	18	22	25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 26% * Clear Edge: 26% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+23.48%

Slight Edge

49.24%25.00%25.76%

Elo Value

Home Edge

126 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

083.15400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.59 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.66+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.2 * Runaway: 0.2 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.1

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

52%

Wisla Krakow, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.95 * Some Luck: 2.95 to 4.42 * Lucky: 4.42 to 5.9 * Wild Swing: 5.9 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.83 * Close: 1.83 to 2.75 * Off: 2.75 to 3.67 * Way Off: 3.67 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.71 points

As Expected

03.699

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.67

Pinpoint

02.295

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

89.00%

Polonia Warsaw

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

11.00%

Lechia Gdansk

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.2 * Moderate Separation: 1.2 to 1.45 * Strong Separation: 1.45 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 62.5% * Clear Edge: 62.5% to 66.5% * Wide Edge: 66.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80% * Clear Edge: 80% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 89% * Dominant: 89% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 61% * Some Drama: 61% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 12.5% * Occasional: 12.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17% * Very Frequent: 17% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Top-Heavy

00.110.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 86.54

1.36

Moderate Separation

0.71.21.451.752.5

Interquartile Edge

60%

Slight Edge

50%60%66.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Strong Edge

50%85%100%

Close Games

Expected

54%

Few

0%47%100%

Blowouts

Expected

29%

Very Frequent

0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.52 * Lopsided: 0.52 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.62 * Near-Lock: 0.62 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 19.5% * Shaky Favorites: 19.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Slight Separation

00.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.55

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.47

Some Carryover

00.380.50.621

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Very Shaky

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.93

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.00

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.086

Well Within Noise

00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Wisla Krakow	52.00%	18.00%	15.00%	6.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Cracovia	18.00%	22.00%	8.00%	17.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—
Lech Poznan	11.00%	19.00%	17.00%	19.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Polonia Warsaw	4.00%	11.00%	12.00%	16.00%	18.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%	5.00%
AKS Chorzow	1.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	11.00%	16.00%	16.00%	8.00%	11.00%	6.00%	4.00%
LKS Lodz	3.00%	5.00%	10.00%	10.00%	11.00%	16.00%	11.00%	12.00%	12.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Warta Poznan	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	15.00%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	15.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Ruch Chorzow	3.00%	8.00%	11.00%	7.00%	16.00%	9.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Legia Warsaw	5.00%	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	15.00%	8.00%	14.00%	8.00%
Szombierki Bytom	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	8.00%	11.00%	13.00%	19.00%	18.00%	18.00%
Polonia Bytom	2.00%	—	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	9.00%	10.00%	15.00%	11.00%	17.00%	13.00%	10.00%
Lechia Gdansk	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	10.00%	10.00%	24.00%	45.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Cracovia	100%	—
Wisla Krakow	100%	—
LKS Lodz	95.00%	5.00%
Lech Poznan	95.00%	5.00%
Polonia Warsaw	94.00%	6.00%
AKS Chorzow	90.00%	10.00%
Ruch Chorzow	88.00%	12.00%
Warta Poznan	88.00%	12.00%
Legia Warsaw	78.00%	22.00%
Polonia Bytom	77.00%	23.00%
Szombierki Bytom	64.00%	36.00%
Lechia Gdansk	31.00%	69.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1949-03-20	Lechia Gdansk	W 5-1	31.7	1273	1149	64.07%	24.18%	11.75%	+1.65	+7.8	2
1949-03-20	@ Cracovia	L 1-5	31.7	1149	1273	11.75%	24.18%	64.07%	-1.65	-7.8	0
1949-03-20	AKS Chorzow	W 7-3	39.5	1218	1221	52.27%	26.14%	21.59%	+0.64	+10.5	2
1949-03-20	@ Lech Poznan	L 3-7	39.5	1221	1218	21.59%	26.14%	52.27%	-0.64	-10.5	0
1949-03-20	Wisla Krakow	L 2-8	42.1	1221	1307	42.13%	26.51%	31.36%	-0.02	-27.1	0
1949-03-20	@ LKS Lodz	W 8-2	42.1	1307	1221	31.36%	26.51%	42.13%	+0.02	+27.1	2
1949-03-20	Warta Poznan	D 0-0	47.7	1201	1206	52.00%	26.16%	21.84%	+0.62	-1.3	1
1949-03-20	@ Polonia Warsaw	D 0-0	47.7	1206	1201	21.84%	26.16%	52.00%	-0.62	+1.3	1
1949-03-20	Polonia Bytom	D 2-2	55.6	1274	1211	58.91%	25.32%	15.77%	+1.16	-1.3	1
1949-03-20	@ Ruch Chorzow	D 2-2	55.6	1211	1274	15.77%	25.32%	58.91%	-1.16	+1.3	1
1949-03-20	Legia Warsaw	L 1-2	47.5	1149	1233	42.44%	26.51%	31.05%	+0.00	-7.2	0
1949-03-20	@ Szombierki Bytom	W 2-1	47.5	1233	1149	31.05%	26.51%	42.44%	+0.00	+7.2	2
1949-03-27	Szombierki Bytom	L 1-3	49.9	1211	1142	59.49%	25.21%	15.29%	+1.21	-16.8	0
1949-03-27	@ AKS Chorzow	W 3-1	49.9	1142	1211	15.29%	25.21%	59.49%	-1.21	+16.8	2
1949-03-27	Ruch Chorzow	W 5-3	50.8	1141	1273	35.77%	26.37%	37.86%	-0.39	+9.6	2
1949-03-27	@ Lechia Gdansk	L 3-5	50.8	1273	1141	37.86%	26.37%	35.77%	+0.39	-9.6	1
1949-03-27	LKS Lodz	L 1-5	45.9	1240	1194	57.35%	25.57%	17.09%	+1.03	-29.6	2
1949-03-27	@ Legia Warsaw	W 5-1	45.9	1194	1240	17.09%	25.57%	57.35%	-1.03	+29.6	2
1949-03-27	Polonia Warsaw	L 1-2	50.9	1213	1199	54.06%	25.98%	19.96%	+0.77	-8.9	1
1949-03-27	@ Polonia Bytom	W 2-1	50.9	1199	1213	19.96%	25.98%	54.06%	-0.77	+8.9	3
1949-03-27	Cracovia	W 4-0	33.9	1207	1281	43.81%	26.50%	29.69%	+0.08	+20.8	3
1949-03-27	@ Warta Poznan	L 0-4	33.9	1281	1207	29.69%	26.50%	43.81%	-0.08	-20.8	2
1949-03-27	Lech Poznan	W 2-0	32.0	1334	1229	62.56%	24.57%	12.87%	+1.50	+5.4	4
1949-03-27	@ Wisla Krakow	L 0-2	32.0	1229	1334	12.87%	24.57%	62.56%	-1.50	-5.4	2
1949-04-03	AKS Chorzow	W 3-1	36.9	1260	1194	59.18%	25.27%	15.55%	+1.18	+5.6	4
1949-04-03	@ Cracovia	L 1-3	36.9	1194	1260	15.55%	25.27%	59.18%	-1.18	-5.6	0
1949-04-03	Polonia Bytom	D 3-3	59.4	1223	1204	54.67%	25.91%	19.41%	+0.81	-0.8	3
1949-04-03	@ Lech Poznan	D 3-3	59.4	1204	1223	19.41%	25.91%	54.67%	-0.81	+0.9	2
1949-04-03	Warta Poznan	W 3-0	32.5	1223	1228	52.05%	26.16%	21.79%	+0.62	+12.5	4
1949-04-03	@ LKS Lodz	L 0-3	32.5	1228	1223	21.79%	26.16%	52.05%	-0.62	-12.5	3
1949-04-03	Wisla Krakow	L 0-1	42.1	1208	1339	35.90%	26.38%	37.73%	-0.38	-6.7	3
1949-04-03	@ Polonia Warsaw	W 1-0	42.1	1339	1208	37.73%	26.38%	35.90%	+0.38	+6.7	6
1949-04-03	Legia Warsaw	W 3-2	44.0	1263	1210	58.03%	25.46%	16.51%	+1.08	+3.2	3
1949-04-03	@ Ruch Chorzow	L 2-3	44.0	1210	1263	16.51%	25.46%	58.03%	-1.08	-3.2	2
1949-04-03	Lechia Gdansk	W 3-0	31.9	1158	1151	53.46%	26.04%	20.51%	+0.72	+11.9	4
1949-04-03	@ Szombierki Bytom	L 0-3	31.9	1151	1158	20.51%	26.04%	53.46%	-0.72	-11.9	2
1949-04-10	LKS Lodz	W 1-0	38.9	1188	1236	47.12%	26.43%	26.44%	+0.29	+5.3	2
1949-04-10	@ AKS Chorzow	L 0-1	38.9	1236	1188	26.44%	26.43%	47.12%	-0.29	-5.3	4
1949-04-10	Polonia Warsaw	L 0-3	39.4	1139	1201	45.18%	26.48%	28.34%	+0.16	-22.0	2
1949-04-10	@ Lechia Gdansk	W 3-0	39.4	1201	1139	28.34%	26.48%	45.18%	-0.16	+22.0	5
1949-04-10	Lech Poznan	L 1-3	47.7	1207	1222	50.87%	26.25%	22.88%	+0.54	-14.5	2
1949-04-10	@ Legia Warsaw	W 3-1	47.7	1222	1207	22.88%	26.25%	50.87%	-0.54	+14.5	5
1949-04-10	Cracovia	L 1-2	48.5	1205	1266	45.43%	26.48%	28.09%	+0.18	-7.6	2
1949-04-10	@ Polonia Bytom	W 2-1	48.5	1266	1205	28.09%	26.48%	45.43%	-0.18	+7.6	6
1949-04-10	Ruch Chorzow	W 3-0	34.2	1216	1267	46.67%	26.45%	26.88%	+0.26	+14.8	5
1949-04-10	@ Warta Poznan	L 0-3	34.2	1267	1216	26.88%	26.45%	46.67%	-0.26	-14.8	3
1949-04-10	Szombierki Bytom	W 4-1	32.4	1346	1170	67.82%	23.00%	9.19%	+2.06	+4.8	8
1949-04-10	@ Wisla Krakow	L 1-4	32.4	1170	1346	9.19%	23.00%	67.82%	-2.06	-4.8	4
1949-04-23	LKS Lodz	W 8-1	33.8	1237	1230	53.33%	26.05%	20.62%	+0.71	+21.8	7
1949-04-23	@ Lech Poznan	L 1-8	33.8	1230	1237	20.62%	26.05%	53.33%	-0.71	-21.8	4
1949-04-24	Wisla Krakow	L 1-2	44.8	1194	1351	32.40%	26.20%	41.40%	-0.59	-5.8	2
1949-04-24	@ AKS Chorzow	W 2-1	44.8	1351	1194	41.40%	26.20%	32.40%	+0.59	+5.8	10
1949-04-24	Ruch Chorzow	D 3-3	59.7	1273	1252	54.87%	25.89%	19.24%	+0.83	-0.9	7
1949-04-24	@ Cracovia	D 3-3	59.7	1252	1273	19.24%	25.89%	54.87%	-0.83	+0.9	4
1949-04-24	Legia Warsaw	L 0-3	41.8	1197	1192	53.14%	26.07%	20.80%	+0.70	-25.4	2
1949-04-24	@ Polonia Bytom	W 3-0	41.8	1192	1197	20.80%	26.07%	53.14%	-0.70	+25.4	4
1949-04-24	Szombierki Bytom	W 2-1	39.3	1223	1166	58.45%	25.39%	16.15%	+1.12	+3.3	7
1949-04-24	@ Polonia Warsaw	L 1-2	39.3	1166	1223	16.15%	25.39%	58.45%	-1.12	-3.3	4
1949-04-24	Lechia Gdansk	L 0-2	46.5	1231	1117	63.27%	24.39%	12.34%	+1.57	-20.5	5
1949-04-24	@ Warta Poznan	W 2-0	46.5	1117	1231	12.34%	24.39%	63.27%	-1.57	+20.5	4
1949-05-15	Polonia Warsaw	W 3-2	44.7	1259	1227	55.95%	25.76%	18.29%	+0.91	+3.5	9
1949-05-15	@ Lech Poznan	L 2-3	44.7	1227	1259	18.29%	25.76%	55.95%	-0.91	-3.5	7
1949-05-15	AKS Chorzow	L 2-4	50.5	1137	1188	46.68%	26.45%	26.87%	+0.26	-12.1	4
1949-05-15	@ Lechia Gdansk	W 4-2	50.5	1188	1137	26.87%	26.45%	46.68%	-0.26	+12.1	4
1949-05-15	Cracovia	L 1-4	44.5	1218	1272	46.21%	26.46%	27.33%	+0.23	-18.9	4
1949-05-15	@ Legia Warsaw	W 4-1	44.5	1272	1218	27.33%	26.46%	46.21%	-0.23	+18.9	9
1949-05-15	LKS Lodz	L 2-3	56.2	1253	1209	57.15%	25.60%	17.25%	+1.01	-8.9	4
1949-05-15	@ Ruch Chorzow	W 3-2	56.2	1209	1253	17.25%	25.60%	57.15%	-1.01	+8.9	6
1949-05-15	Warta Poznan	D 1-1	50.7	1162	1210	47.05%	26.44%	26.51%	+0.28	-0.8	5
1949-05-15	@ Szombierki Bytom	D 1-1	50.7	1210	1162	26.51%	26.44%	47.05%	-0.28	+0.8	6
1949-05-15	Polonia Bytom	W 4-2	38.5	1357	1172	68.44%	22.77%	8.79%	+2.13	+2.9	12
1949-05-15	@ Wisla Krakow	L 2-4	38.5	1172	1357	8.79%	22.77%	68.44%	-2.13	-2.9	2
1949-05-21	Szombierki Bytom	W 3-1	36.4	1244	1161	60.65%	24.99%	14.36%	+1.32	+5.2	6
1949-05-21	@ Ruch Chorzow	L 1-3	36.4	1161	1244	14.36%	24.99%	60.65%	-1.32	-5.2	5
1949-05-22	Lechia Gdansk	D 1-1	51.5	1262	1125	65.06%	23.90%	11.04%	+1.75	-2.2	10
1949-05-22	@ Lech Poznan	D 1-1	51.5	1125	1262	11.04%	23.90%	65.06%	-1.75	+2.2	5
1949-05-22	Cracovia	D 2-2	55.3	1217	1291	43.76%	26.50%	29.74%	+0.08	-0.4	7
1949-05-22	@ LKS Lodz	D 2-2	55.3	1291	1217	29.74%	26.50%	43.76%	-0.08	+0.4	10
1949-05-22	Warta Poznan	D 2-2	55.1	1169	1211	47.77%	26.41%	25.82%	+0.33	-0.6	3
1949-05-22	@ Polonia Bytom	D 2-2	55.1	1211	1169	25.82%	26.41%	47.77%	-0.33	+0.6	7
1949-05-22	AKS Chorzow	D 4-4	62.2	1223	1200	55.07%	25.87%	19.07%	+0.84	-0.8	8
1949-05-22	@ Polonia Warsaw	D 4-4	62.2	1200	1223	19.07%	25.87%	55.07%	-0.84	+0.8	5
1949-05-22	Legia Warsaw	W 4-0	27.2	1359	1199	66.78%	23.36%	9.86%	+1.94	+7.9	14
1949-05-22	@ Wisla Krakow	L 0-4	27.2	1199	1359	9.86%	23.36%	66.78%	-1.94	-7.9	4
1949-05-26	Ruch Chorzow	W 1-0	39.0	1201	1249	47.00%	26.44%	26.57%	+0.28	+5.4	7
1949-05-26	@ AKS Chorzow	L 0-1	39.0	1249	1201	26.57%	26.44%	47.00%	-0.28	-5.3	6
1949-05-26	Warta Poznan	W 2-1	39.7	1260	1211	57.58%	25.53%	16.89%	+1.05	+3.5	12
1949-05-26	@ Lech Poznan	L 1-2	39.7	1211	1260	16.89%	25.53%	57.58%	-1.05	-3.5	7
1949-05-26	Polonia Warsaw	L 0-2	42.9	1191	1222	49.01%	26.36%	24.64%	+0.41	-16.2	4
1949-05-26	@ Legia Warsaw	W 2-0	42.9	1222	1191	24.64%	26.36%	49.01%	-0.41	+16.2	10
1949-05-26	Lechia Gdansk	W 5-1	32.5	1217	1127	61.27%	24.86%	13.87%	+1.37	+9.2	9
1949-05-26	@ LKS Lodz	L 1-5	32.5	1127	1217	13.87%	24.86%	61.27%	-1.37	-9.2	5
1949-05-26	Szombierki Bytom	L 1-2	50.7	1168	1156	53.90%	25.99%	20.10%	+0.76	-8.8	3
1949-05-26	@ Polonia Bytom	W 2-1	50.7	1156	1168	20.10%	25.99%	53.90%	-0.76	+8.9	7
1949-05-26	Cracovia	L 0-1	49.8	1367	1292	60.08%	25.10%	14.82%	+1.26	-10.4	14
1949-05-26	@ Wisla Krakow	W 1-0	49.8	1292	1367	14.82%	25.10%	60.08%	-1.26	+10.4	12
1949-05-29	Polonia Bytom	W 3-2	44.0	1206	1159	57.40%	25.56%	17.04%	+1.03	+3.3	9
1949-05-29	@ AKS Chorzow	L 2-3	44.0	1159	1206	17.04%	25.56%	57.40%	-1.03	-3.3	3
1949-05-29	Lech Poznan	D 1-1	51.5	1302	1263	56.60%	25.67%	17.73%	+0.97	-1.6	13
1949-05-29	@ Cracovia	D 1-1	51.5	1263	1302	17.73%	25.67%	56.60%	-0.97	+1.5	13
1949-05-29	Wisla Krakow	L 1-5	35.5	1118	1357	22.84%	25.16%	51.99%	-1.24	-13.9	5
1949-05-29	@ Lechia Gdansk	W 5-1	35.5	1357	1118	51.99%	25.16%	22.84%	+1.24	+13.9	16
1949-05-29	Ruch Chorzow	D 2-2	55.3	1239	1244	52.06%	26.16%	21.78%	+0.62	-0.9	11
1949-05-29	@ Polonia Warsaw	D 2-2	55.3	1244	1239	21.78%	26.16%	52.06%	-0.62	+0.9	7
1949-05-29	LKS Lodz	D 3-3	59.2	1165	1226	45.38%	26.48%	28.14%	+0.18	-0.4	8
1949-05-29	@ Szombierki Bytom	D 3-3	59.2	1226	1165	28.14%	26.48%	45.38%	-0.18	+0.4	10
1949-05-29	Legia Warsaw	W 2-0	33.4	1208	1175	56.09%	25.74%	18.17%	+0.93	+7.4	9
1949-05-29	@ Warta Poznan	L 0-2	33.4	1175	1208	18.17%	25.74%	56.09%	-0.93	-7.4	4
1949-06-25	AKS Chorzow	L 2-3	55.1	1215	1209	53.24%	26.06%	20.70%	+0.71	-8.3	9
1949-06-25	@ Warta Poznan	W 3-2	55.1	1209	1215	20.70%	26.06%	53.24%	-0.71	+8.3	11
1949-06-26	Polonia Bytom	D 0-0	48.0	1227	1156	59.61%	25.19%	15.20%	+1.22	-2.0	11
1949-06-26	@ LKS Lodz	D 0-0	48.0	1156	1227	15.20%	25.19%	59.61%	-1.22	+2.0	4
1949-06-26	Wisla Krakow	L 0-3	37.8	1245	1371	36.57%	26.40%	37.03%	-0.34	-18.6	7
1949-06-26	@ Ruch Chorzow	W 3-0	37.8	1371	1245	37.03%	26.40%	36.57%	+0.34	+18.6	18
1949-06-26	Lech Poznan	W 2-1	44.8	1165	1265	40.20%	26.49%	33.31%	-0.14	+6.0	10
1949-06-26	@ Szombierki Bytom	L 1-2	44.8	1265	1165	33.31%	26.49%	40.20%	+0.14	-6.0	13
1949-07-03	Legia Warsaw	L 0-3	43.0	1218	1167	57.77%	25.50%	16.73%	+1.06	-27.4	11
1949-07-03	@ AKS Chorzow	W 3-0	43.0	1167	1218	16.73%	25.50%	57.77%	-1.06	+27.4	6
1949-07-03	Ruch Chorzow	W 8-4	39.2	1259	1226	56.07%	25.74%	18.19%	+0.92	+8.5	15
1949-07-03	@ Lech Poznan	L 4-8	39.2	1226	1259	18.19%	25.74%	56.07%	-0.92	-8.5	7
1949-07-03	Polonia Bytom	W 3-1	40.5	1104	1158	46.30%	26.46%	27.24%	+0.23	+8.9	7
1949-07-03	@ Lechia Gdansk	L 1-3	40.5	1158	1104	27.24%	26.46%	46.30%	-0.23	-8.9	4
1949-07-03	LKS Lodz	W 2-1	40.7	1238	1225	54.03%	25.98%	19.99%	+0.77	+4.0	13
1949-07-03	@ Polonia Warsaw	L 1-2	40.7	1225	1238	19.99%	25.98%	54.03%	-0.77	-4.0	11
1949-07-03	Cracovia	D 2-2	55.2	1171	1300	36.10%	26.38%	37.51%	-0.37	+0.0	11
1949-07-03	@ Szombierki Bytom	D 2-2	55.2	1300	1171	37.51%	26.38%	36.10%	+0.37	-0.0	14
1949-07-03	Warta Poznan	D 1-1	52.5	1389	1207	68.28%	22.83%	8.89%	+2.11	-2.5	19
1949-07-03	@ Wisla Krakow	D 1-1	52.5	1207	1389	8.89%	22.83%	68.28%	-2.11	+2.5	10
1949-07-17	Polonia Warsaw	W 4-2	41.5	1300	1242	58.51%	25.39%	16.11%	+1.13	+5.2	16
1949-07-17	@ Cracovia	L 2-4	41.5	1242	1300	16.11%	25.39%	58.51%	-1.13	-5.2	13
1949-07-17	Lechia Gdansk	D 4-4	62.3	1195	1113	60.56%	25.01%	14.43%	+1.31	-1.0	7
1949-07-17	@ Legia Warsaw	D 4-4	62.3	1113	1195	14.43%	25.01%	60.56%	-1.31	+1.0	8
1949-08-06	Wisla Krakow	W 2-1	46.7	1268	1387	37.55%	26.43%	36.02%	-0.29	+6.3	17
1949-08-06	@ Lech Poznan	L 1-2	46.7	1387	1268	36.02%	26.43%	37.55%	+0.29	-6.3	19
1949-08-07	Warta Poznan	D 1-1	51.6	1305	1210	61.81%	24.74%	13.45%	+1.42	-2.0	17
1949-08-07	@ Cracovia	D 1-1	51.6	1210	1305	13.45%	24.74%	61.81%	-1.42	+2.0	11
1949-08-07	Legia Warsaw	D 0-0	47.9	1221	1194	55.46%	25.82%	18.72%	+0.88	-1.6	12
1949-08-07	@ LKS Lodz	D 0-0	47.9	1194	1221	18.72%	25.82%	55.46%	-0.88	+1.6	8
1949-08-07	Polonia Bytom	W 3-0	29.7	1237	1149	61.09%	24.90%	14.01%	+1.36	+8.5	15
1949-08-07	@ Polonia Warsaw	L 0-3	29.7	1149	1237	14.01%	24.90%	61.09%	-1.36	-8.5	4
1949-08-07	Lechia Gdansk	W 2-0	31.4	1217	1114	62.40%	24.61%	12.99%	+1.48	+5.5	9
1949-08-07	@ Ruch Chorzow	L 0-2	31.4	1114	1217	12.99%	24.61%	62.40%	-1.48	-5.5	8
1949-08-07	AKS Chorzow	D 0-0	47.6	1171	1190	50.41%	26.28%	23.31%	+0.50	-1.2	12
1949-08-07	@ Szombierki Bytom	D 0-0	47.6	1190	1171	23.31%	26.28%	50.41%	-0.50	+1.2	12
1949-08-13	LKS Lodz	W 5-3	42.1	1381	1219	66.85%	23.34%	9.82%	+1.94	+3.0	21
1949-08-13	@ Wisla Krakow	L 3-5	42.1	1219	1381	9.82%	23.34%	66.85%	-1.94	-3.0	12
1949-08-14	Lech Poznan	D 1-1	50.9	1192	1274	42.61%	26.51%	30.88%	+0.01	-0.4	13
1949-08-14	@ AKS Chorzow	D 1-1	50.9	1274	1192	30.88%	26.51%	42.61%	-0.01	+0.4	18
1949-08-14	Cracovia	D 1-1	51.0	1109	1304	27.67%	25.80%	46.52%	-0.89	+0.7	9
1949-08-14	@ Lechia Gdansk	D 1-1	51.0	1304	1109	46.52%	25.80%	27.67%	+0.89	-0.7	18
1949-08-14	Szombierki Bytom	L 2-4	53.0	1195	1170	55.31%	25.84%	18.85%	+0.86	-14.0	8
1949-08-14	@ Legia Warsaw	W 4-2	53.0	1170	1195	18.85%	25.84%	55.31%	-0.86	+14.0	14
1949-08-14	Ruch Chorzow	W 2-1	44.0	1141	1223	42.64%	26.51%	30.85%	+0.01	+5.6	6
1949-08-14	@ Polonia Bytom	L 1-2	44.0	1223	1141	30.85%	26.51%	42.64%	-0.01	-5.6	9
1949-08-14	Polonia Warsaw	W 2-1	42.3	1212	1245	48.76%	26.37%	24.88%	+0.39	+4.8	13
1949-08-14	@ Warta Poznan	L 1-2	42.3	1245	1212	24.88%	26.37%	48.76%	-0.39	-4.8	15
1949-08-20	Legia Warsaw	W 4-1	34.1	1274	1181	61.57%	24.80%	13.63%	+1.40	+7.0	20
1949-08-20	@ Lech Poznan	L 1-4	34.1	1181	1274	13.63%	24.80%	61.57%	-1.40	-7.0	8
1949-08-27	Warta Poznan	W 3-0	32.3	1217	1216	52.71%	26.10%	21.18%	+0.67	+12.2	11
1949-08-27	@ Ruch Chorzow	L 0-3	32.3	1216	1217	21.18%	26.10%	52.71%	-0.67	-12.2	13
1949-08-28	Polonia Bytom	W 1-0	33.1	1303	1146	66.48%	23.46%	10.06%	+1.90	+2.3	20
1949-08-28	@ Cracovia	L 0-1	33.1	1146	1303	10.06%	23.46%	66.48%	-1.90	-2.3	6
1949-08-28	AKS Chorzow	D 1-1	51.0	1216	1191	55.24%	25.85%	18.92%	+0.86	-1.4	13
1949-08-28	@ LKS Lodz	D 1-1	51.0	1191	1216	18.92%	25.85%	55.24%	-0.86	+1.4	14
1949-08-28	Lechia Gdansk	W 5-1	31.5	1240	1110	64.59%	24.03%	11.37%	+1.70	+7.6	17
1949-08-28	@ Polonia Warsaw	L 1-5	31.5	1110	1240	11.37%	24.03%	64.59%	-1.70	-7.6	9
1949-08-28	Wisla Krakow	W 2-0	42.7	1184	1384	27.05%	25.74%	47.22%	-0.93	+15.6	16
1949-08-28	@ Szombierki Bytom	L 0-2	42.7	1384	1184	47.22%	25.74%	27.05%	+0.93	-15.6	21
1949-09-03	Ruch Chorzow	W 2-0	36.4	1174	1229	46.12%	26.46%	27.42%	+0.22	+10.3	10
1949-09-03	@ Legia Warsaw	L 0-2	36.4	1229	1174	27.42%	26.46%	46.12%	-0.22	-10.3	11
1949-09-04	Cracovia	W 2-1	45.5	1193	1305	38.51%	26.46%	35.03%	-0.23	+6.2	16
1949-09-04	@ AKS Chorzow	L 1-2	45.5	1305	1193	35.03%	26.46%	38.51%	+0.23	-6.2	20
1949-09-04	Szombierki Bytom	L 1-2	46.8	1102	1199	40.60%	26.50%	32.90%	-0.11	-6.9	9
1949-09-04	@ Lechia Gdansk	W 2-1	46.8	1199	1102	32.90%	26.50%	40.60%	+0.11	+6.9	18
1949-09-04	Lech Poznan	D 2-2	55.2	1144	1281	35.05%	26.34%	38.61%	-0.43	+0.1	7
1949-09-04	@ Polonia Bytom	D 2-2	55.2	1281	1144	38.61%	26.34%	35.05%	+0.43	-0.1	21
1949-09-04	LKS Lodz	D 4-4	62.1	1204	1215	51.45%	26.21%	22.34%	+0.58	-0.6	14
1949-09-04	@ Warta Poznan	D 4-4	62.1	1215	1204	22.34%	26.21%	51.45%	-0.58	+0.6	14
1949-09-04	Polonia Warsaw	L 0-3	45.3	1368	1248	63.75%	24.27%	11.98%	+1.61	-30.1	21
1949-09-04	@ Wisla Krakow	W 3-0	45.3	1248	1368	11.98%	24.27%	63.75%	-1.61	+30.0	19
1949-09-15	Wisla Krakow	D 0-0	48.7	1299	1338	48.10%	26.40%	25.50%	+0.35	-1.0	21
1949-09-15	@ Cracovia	D 0-0	48.7	1338	1299	25.50%	26.40%	48.10%	-0.35	+1.0	22
1949-09-15	LKS Lodz	W 2-1	45.5	1095	1215	37.44%	26.43%	36.13%	-0.29	+6.3	11
1949-09-15	@ Lechia Gdansk	L 1-2	45.5	1215	1095	36.13%	26.43%	37.44%	+0.29	-6.4	14
1949-09-15	Legia Warsaw	W 2-1	38.5	1278	1185	61.61%	24.79%	13.61%	+1.40	+2.9	21
1949-09-15	@ Polonia Warsaw	L 1-2	38.5	1185	1278	13.61%	24.79%	61.61%	-1.40	-2.9	10
1949-09-15	AKS Chorzow	W 3-2	44.9	1219	1199	54.77%	25.90%	19.33%	+0.82	+3.7	13
1949-09-15	@ Ruch Chorzow	L 2-3	44.9	1199	1219	19.33%	25.90%	54.77%	-0.82	-3.7	16
1949-09-15	Polonia Bytom	L 0-3	43.2	1206	1144	58.83%	25.33%	15.84%	+1.15	-27.9	18
1949-09-15	@ Szombierki Bytom	W 3-0	43.2	1144	1206	15.84%	25.33%	58.83%	-1.15	+27.9	9
1949-09-15	Lech Poznan	D 2-2	55.2	1203	1281	43.22%	26.51%	30.27%	+0.04	-0.4	15
1949-09-15	@ Warta Poznan	D 2-2	55.2	1281	1203	30.27%	26.51%	43.22%	-0.04	+0.3	22
1949-09-18	Cracovia	L 1-2	50.5	1282	1298	50.79%	26.25%	22.96%	+0.53	-8.4	22
1949-09-18	@ Lech Poznan	W 2-1	50.5	1298	1282	22.96%	26.25%	50.79%	-0.53	+8.4	23
1949-09-18	Warta Poznan	W 2-0	35.2	1182	1203	50.20%	26.29%	23.51%	+0.49	+9.2	12
1949-09-18	@ Legia Warsaw	L 0-2	35.2	1203	1182	23.51%	26.29%	50.20%	-0.49	-9.1	15
1949-09-18	Szombierki Bytom	W 5-2	39.2	1209	1178	55.80%	25.78%	18.42%	+0.90	+7.9	16
1949-09-18	@ LKS Lodz	L 2-5	39.2	1178	1209	18.42%	25.78%	55.80%	-0.90	-7.9	18
1949-09-18	AKS Chorzow	W 2-1	41.8	1172	1195	50.02%	26.30%	23.68%	+0.48	+4.6	11
1949-09-18	@ Polonia Bytom	L 1-2	41.8	1195	1172	23.68%	26.30%	50.02%	-0.48	-4.6	16
1949-09-18	Polonia Warsaw	L 0-3	39.9	1223	1281	45.76%	26.47%	27.77%	+0.20	-22.2	13
1949-09-18	@ Ruch Chorzow	W 3-0	39.9	1281	1223	27.77%	26.47%	45.76%	-0.20	+22.2	23
1949-09-18	Lechia Gdansk	W 4-0	25.3	1339	1101	71.79%	21.36%	6.85%	+2.55	+5.4	24
1949-09-18	@ Wisla Krakow	L 0-4	25.3	1101	1339	6.85%	21.36%	71.79%	-2.55	-5.4	11
1949-09-25	Polonia Warsaw	W 3-0	36.7	1190	1303	38.48%	26.46%	35.06%	-0.24	+18.1	18
1949-09-25	@ AKS Chorzow	L 0-3	36.7	1303	1190	35.06%	26.46%	38.48%	+0.24	-18.1	23
1949-09-25	LKS Lodz	W 2-1	38.8	1306	1217	61.27%	24.86%	13.87%	+1.37	+2.9	25
1949-09-25	@ Cracovia	L 1-2	38.8	1217	1306	13.87%	24.86%	61.27%	-1.37	-2.9	16
1949-09-25	Lech Poznan	L 0-1	39.7	1096	1273	29.78%	26.00%	44.21%	-0.75	-5.8	11
1949-09-25	@ Lechia Gdansk	W 1-0	39.7	1273	1096	44.21%	26.00%	29.78%	+0.75	+5.8	24
1949-09-25	Wisla Krakow	D 0-0	48.1	1191	1344	32.84%	26.22%	40.93%	-0.56	+0.3	13
1949-09-25	@ Legia Warsaw	D 0-0	48.1	1344	1191	40.93%	26.22%	32.84%	+0.56	-0.3	25
1949-09-25	Ruch Chorzow	L 1-6	42.7	1170	1201	49.18%	26.35%	24.47%	+0.42	-31.6	18
1949-09-25	@ Szombierki Bytom	W 6-1	42.7	1201	1170	24.47%	26.35%	49.18%	-0.42	+31.5	15
1949-09-25	Polonia Bytom	L 1-2	50.9	1194	1177	54.45%	25.94%	19.61%	+0.80	-8.9	15
1949-09-25	@ Warta Poznan	W 2-1	50.9	1177	1194	19.61%	25.94%	54.45%	-0.80	+8.9	13
1949-10-09	Lechia Gdansk	W 2-0	31.0	1209	1090	63.62%	24.30%	12.08%	+1.60	+5.1	20
1949-10-09	@ AKS Chorzow	L 0-2	31.0	1090	1209	12.08%	24.30%	63.62%	-1.60	-5.1	11
1949-10-09	Legia Warsaw	D 1-1	51.6	1309	1191	63.60%	24.31%	12.10%	+1.60	-2.1	26
1949-10-09	@ Cracovia	D 1-1	51.6	1191	1309	12.10%	24.31%	63.60%	-1.60	+2.1	14
1949-10-09	Ruch Chorzow	W 2-0	35.2	1214	1232	50.56%	26.27%	23.17%	+0.52	+9.0	18
1949-10-09	@ LKS Lodz	L 0-2	35.2	1232	1214	23.17%	26.27%	50.56%	-0.52	-9.0	15
1949-10-09	Wisla Krakow	L 0-2	38.1	1186	1344	32.20%	26.18%	41.62%	-0.60	-11.6	13
1949-10-09	@ Polonia Bytom	W 2-0	38.1	1344	1186	41.62%	26.18%	32.20%	+0.60	+11.6	27
1949-10-09	Lech Poznan	D 1-1	51.4	1285	1279	53.27%	26.05%	20.67%	+0.71	-1.3	24
1949-10-09	@ Polonia Warsaw	D 1-1	51.4	1279	1285	20.67%	26.05%	53.27%	-0.71	+1.3	25
1949-10-09	Szombierki Bytom	W 3-2	44.0	1185	1139	57.35%	25.57%	17.08%	+1.03	+3.3	17
1949-10-09	@ Warta Poznan	L 2-3	44.0	1139	1185	17.08%	25.57%	57.35%	-1.03	-3.3	18
1949-10-16	Warta Poznan	L 1-4	42.2	1085	1188	39.78%	26.48%	33.73%	-0.16	-16.7	11
1949-10-16	@ Lechia Gdansk	W 4-1	42.2	1188	1085	33.73%	26.48%	39.78%	+0.16	+16.7	19
1949-10-16	Polonia Bytom	W 5-1	34.5	1193	1174	54.66%	25.91%	19.42%	+0.81	+12.4	16
1949-10-16	@ Legia Warsaw	L 1-5	34.5	1174	1193	19.42%	25.91%	54.66%	-0.81	-12.4	13
1949-10-16	Lech Poznan	W 4-1	38.9	1223	1280	45.85%	26.47%	27.68%	+0.20	+12.8	20
1949-10-16	@ LKS Lodz	L 1-4	38.9	1280	1223	27.68%	26.47%	45.85%	-0.20	-12.8	25
1949-10-16	Cracovia	D 2-2	55.4	1223	1307	42.40%	26.51%	31.09%	-0.01	-0.3	16
1949-10-16	@ Ruch Chorzow	D 2-2	55.4	1307	1223	31.09%	26.51%	42.40%	+0.01	+0.3	27
1949-10-16	Polonia Warsaw	D 1-1	50.8	1136	1284	33.53%	26.26%	40.20%	-0.52	+0.2	19
1949-10-16	@ Szombierki Bytom	D 1-1	50.8	1284	1136	40.20%	26.26%	33.53%	+0.52	-0.2	25
1949-10-16	AKS Chorzow	W 3-0	28.9	1356	1214	65.43%	23.79%	10.78%	+1.79	+6.6	29
1949-10-16	@ Wisla Krakow	L 0-3	28.9	1214	1356	10.78%	23.79%	65.43%	-1.79	-6.6	20
1949-10-23	Warta Poznan	W 3-2	45.4	1207	1205	52.82%	26.10%	21.09%	+0.68	+4.0	22
1949-10-23	@ AKS Chorzow	L 2-3	45.4	1205	1207	21.09%	26.10%	52.82%	-0.68	-4.0	19
1949-10-23	Szombierki Bytom	W 8-0	28.9	1268	1136	64.66%	24.02%	11.32%	+1.71	+17.5	27
1949-10-23	@ Lech Poznan	L 0-8	28.9	1136	1268	11.32%	24.02%	64.66%	-1.71	-17.5	19
1949-10-23	Legia Warsaw	L 0-3	36.3	1068	1206	35.03%	26.34%	38.63%	-0.43	-18.0	11
1949-10-23	@ Lechia Gdansk	W 3-0	36.3	1206	1068	38.63%	26.34%	35.03%	+0.43	+18.0	18
1949-10-23	LKS Lodz	W 2-1	43.7	1162	1236	43.72%	26.50%	29.78%	+0.07	+5.5	15
1949-10-23	@ Polonia Bytom	L 1-2	43.7	1236	1162	29.78%	26.50%	43.72%	-0.07	-5.5	20
1949-10-23	Cracovia	W 2-1	42.5	1284	1307	49.93%	26.31%	23.76%	+0.47	+4.6	27
1949-10-23	@ Polonia Warsaw	L 1-2	42.5	1307	1284	23.76%	26.31%	49.93%	-0.47	-4.6	27
1949-10-23	Ruch Chorzow	D 1-1	52.2	1362	1223	65.24%	23.85%	10.91%	+1.77	-2.3	30
1949-10-23	@ Wisla Krakow	D 1-1	52.2	1223	1362	10.91%	23.85%	65.24%	-1.77	+2.3	17
1949-11-13	Szombierki Bytom	W 5-0	26.1	1303	1118	68.42%	22.78%	8.81%	+2.13	+8.7	29
1949-11-13	@ Cracovia	L 0-5	26.1	1118	1303	8.81%	22.78%	68.42%	-2.13	-8.7	19
1949-11-13	AKS Chorzow	D 3-3	59.4	1224	1211	53.98%	25.99%	20.04%	+0.76	-0.8	19
1949-11-13	@ Legia Warsaw	D 3-3	59.4	1211	1224	20.04%	25.99%	53.98%	-0.76	+0.8	23
1949-11-13	Polonia Warsaw	W 2-1	43.4	1230	1288	45.76%	26.47%	27.77%	+0.20	+5.2	22
1949-11-13	@ LKS Lodz	L 1-2	43.4	1288	1230	27.77%	26.47%	45.76%	-0.20	-5.2	27
1949-11-13	Lechia Gdansk	W 8-0	29.1	1167	1050	63.50%	24.33%	12.16%	+1.59	+18.7	17
1949-11-13	@ Polonia Bytom	L 0-8	29.1	1050	1167	12.16%	24.33%	63.50%	-1.59	-18.7	11
1949-11-13	Lech Poznan	W 2-0	36.9	1225	1285	45.52%	26.48%	28.00%	+0.18	+10.5	19
1949-11-13	@ Ruch Chorzow	L 0-2	36.9	1285	1225	28.00%	26.48%	45.52%	-0.18	-10.5	27
1949-11-13	Wisla Krakow	W 1-0	43.9	1201	1360	32.13%	26.18%	41.69%	-0.60	+7.5	21
1949-11-13	@ Warta Poznan	L 0-1	43.9	1360	1201	41.69%	26.18%	32.13%	+0.60	-7.5	30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1949-09-04	11.98%	Polonia Warsaw	1248	3	@ Wisla Krakow	1368	0
2	1949-04-24	12.34%	Lechia Gdansk	1117	2	@ Warta Poznan	1231	0
3	1949-05-26	14.82%	Cracovia	1292	1	@ Wisla Krakow	1367	0
4	1949-03-27	15.29%	Szombierki Bytom	1142	3	@ AKS Chorzow	1211	1
5	1949-09-15	15.84%	Polonia Bytom	1144	3	@ Szombierki Bytom	1206	0
6	1949-07-03	16.73%	Legia Warsaw	1167	3	@ AKS Chorzow	1218	0
7	1949-03-27	17.09%	LKS Lodz	1194	5	@ Legia Warsaw	1240	1
8	1949-05-15	17.25%	LKS Lodz	1209	3	@ Ruch Chorzow	1253	2
9	1949-08-14	18.85%	Szombierki Bytom	1170	4	@ Legia Warsaw	1195	2
10	1949-09-25	19.61%	Polonia Bytom	1177	2	@ Warta Poznan	1194	1
11	1949-03-27	19.96%	Polonia Warsaw	1199	2	@ Polonia Bytom	1213	1
12	1949-05-26	20.10%	Szombierki Bytom	1156	2	@ Polonia Bytom	1168	1
13	1949-06-25	20.70%	AKS Chorzow	1209	3	@ Warta Poznan	1215	2
14	1949-04-24	20.80%	Legia Warsaw	1192	3	@ Polonia Bytom	1197	0
15	1949-04-10	22.88%	Lech Poznan	1222	3	@ Legia Warsaw	1207	1
16	1949-09-18	22.96%	Cracovia	1298	2	@ Lech Poznan	1282	1
17	1949-09-25	24.47%	Ruch Chorzow	1201	6	@ Szombierki Bytom	1170	1
18	1949-05-26	24.64%	Polonia Warsaw	1222	2	@ Legia Warsaw	1191	0
19	1949-05-15	26.87%	AKS Chorzow	1188	4	@ Lechia Gdansk	1137	2
20	1949-08-28	27.05%	@ Szombierki Bytom	1184	2	Wisla Krakow	1384	0
21	1949-05-15	27.33%	Cracovia	1272	4	@ Legia Warsaw	1218	1
22	1949-09-18	27.77%	Polonia Warsaw	1281	3	@ Ruch Chorzow	1223	0
23	1949-04-10	28.09%	Cracovia	1266	2	@ Polonia Bytom	1205	1
24	1949-04-10	28.34%	Polonia Warsaw	1201	3	@ Lechia Gdansk	1139	0
25	1949-03-20	31.05%	Legia Warsaw	1233	2	@ Szombierki Bytom	1149	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1949-09-25	31.55	Ruch Chorzow	6	1201	24.47%	@ Szombierki Bytom	1	1170	49.18%	26.35%
2	1949-09-04	30.06	Polonia Warsaw	3	1248	11.98%	@ Wisla Krakow	0	1368	63.75%	24.27%
3	1949-03-27	29.63	LKS Lodz	5	1194	17.09%	@ Legia Warsaw	1	1240	57.35%	25.57%
4	1949-09-15	27.88	Polonia Bytom	3	1144	15.84%	@ Szombierki Bytom	0	1206	58.83%	25.33%
5	1949-07-03	27.41	Legia Warsaw	3	1167	16.73%	@ AKS Chorzow	0	1218	57.77%	25.50%
6	1949-03-20	27.14	Wisla Krakow	8	1307	31.36%	@ LKS Lodz	2	1221	42.13%	26.51%
7	1949-04-24	25.37	Legia Warsaw	3	1192	20.80%	@ Polonia Bytom	0	1197	53.14%	26.07%
8	1949-09-18	22.24	Polonia Warsaw	3	1281	27.77%	@ Ruch Chorzow	0	1223	45.76%	26.47%
9	1949-04-10	22.01	Polonia Warsaw	3	1201	28.34%	@ Lechia Gdansk	0	1139	45.18%	26.48%
10	1949-04-23	21.77	@ Lech Poznan	8	1237	53.33%	LKS Lodz	1	1230	20.62%	26.05%
11	1949-03-27	20.84	@ Warta Poznan	4	1207	43.81%	Cracovia	0	1281	29.69%	26.50%
12	1949-04-24	20.55	Lechia Gdansk	2	1117	12.34%	@ Warta Poznan	0	1231	63.27%	24.39%
13	1949-05-15	18.91	Cracovia	4	1272	27.33%	@ Legia Warsaw	1	1218	46.21%	26.46%
14	1949-11-13	18.74	@ Polonia Bytom	8	1167	63.50%	Lechia Gdansk	0	1050	12.16%	24.33%
15	1949-06-26	18.62	Wisla Krakow	3	1371	37.03%	@ Ruch Chorzow	0	1245	36.57%	26.40%
16	1949-09-25	18.06	@ AKS Chorzow	3	1190	38.48%	Polonia Warsaw	0	1303	35.06%	26.46%
17	1949-10-23	18.02	Legia Warsaw	3	1206	38.63%	@ Lechia Gdansk	0	1068	35.03%	26.34%
18	1949-10-23	17.49	@ Lech Poznan	8	1268	64.66%	Szombierki Bytom	0	1136	11.32%	24.02%
19	1949-03-27	16.80	Szombierki Bytom	3	1142	15.29%	@ AKS Chorzow	1	1211	59.49%	25.21%
20	1949-10-16	16.74	Warta Poznan	4	1188	33.73%	@ Lechia Gdansk	1	1085	39.78%	26.48%
21	1949-05-26	16.25	Polonia Warsaw	2	1222	24.64%	@ Legia Warsaw	0	1191	49.01%	26.36%
22	1949-08-28	15.62	@ Szombierki Bytom	2	1184	27.05%	Wisla Krakow	0	1384	47.22%	25.74%
23	1949-04-10	14.79	@ Warta Poznan	3	1216	46.67%	Ruch Chorzow	0	1267	26.88%	26.45%
24	1949-04-10	14.54	Lech Poznan	3	1222	22.88%	@ Legia Warsaw	1	1207	50.87%	26.25%
25	1949-08-14	14.04	Szombierki Bytom	4	1170	18.85%	@ Legia Warsaw	2	1195	55.31%	25.84%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1949-07-17	62.3	@ Legia Warsaw	4	1195	60.56%	Lechia Gdansk	4	1113	14.43%	25.01%
2	1949-05-22	62.2	@ Polonia Warsaw	4	1223	55.07%	AKS Chorzow	4	1200	19.07%	25.87%
3	1949-09-04	62.1	@ Warta Poznan	4	1204	51.45%	LKS Lodz	4	1215	22.34%	26.21%
4	1949-04-24	59.7	@ Cracovia	3	1273	54.87%	Ruch Chorzow	3	1252	19.24%	25.89%
5	1949-04-03	59.4	@ Lech Poznan	3	1223	54.67%	Polonia Bytom	3	1204	19.41%	25.91%
6	1949-11-13	59.4	@ Legia Warsaw	3	1224	53.98%	AKS Chorzow	3	1211	20.04%	25.99%
7	1949-05-29	59.2	@ Szombierki Bytom	3	1165	45.38%	LKS Lodz	3	1226	28.14%	26.48%
8	1949-05-15	56.2	LKS Lodz	3	1209	17.25%	@ Ruch Chorzow	2	1253	57.15%	25.60%
9	1949-03-20	55.6	@ Ruch Chorzow	2	1274	58.91%	Polonia Bytom	2	1211	15.77%	25.32%
10	1949-10-16	55.4	@ Ruch Chorzow	2	1223	42.40%	Cracovia	2	1307	31.09%	26.51%
11	1949-05-22	55.3	@ LKS Lodz	2	1217	43.76%	Cracovia	2	1291	29.74%	26.50%
12	1949-05-29	55.3	@ Polonia Warsaw	2	1239	52.06%	Ruch Chorzow	2	1244	21.78%	26.16%
13	1949-07-03	55.2	@ Szombierki Bytom	2	1171	36.10%	Cracovia	2	1300	37.51%	26.38%
14	1949-09-04	55.2	@ Polonia Bytom	2	1144	35.05%	Lech Poznan	2	1281	38.61%	26.34%
15	1949-09-15	55.2	@ Warta Poznan	2	1203	43.22%	Lech Poznan	2	1281	30.27%	26.51%
16	1949-05-22	55.1	@ Polonia Bytom	2	1169	47.77%	Warta Poznan	2	1211	25.82%	26.41%
17	1949-06-25	55.1	AKS Chorzow	3	1209	20.70%	@ Warta Poznan	2	1215	53.24%	26.06%
18	1949-08-14	53.0	Szombierki Bytom	4	1170	18.85%	@ Legia Warsaw	2	1195	55.31%	25.84%
19	1949-07-03	52.5	@ Wisla Krakow	1	1389	68.28%	Warta Poznan	1	1207	8.89%	22.83%
20	1949-10-23	52.2	@ Wisla Krakow	1	1362	65.24%	Ruch Chorzow	1	1223	10.91%	23.85%
21	1949-08-07	51.6	@ Cracovia	1	1305	61.81%	Warta Poznan	1	1210	13.45%	24.74%
22	1949-10-09	51.6	@ Cracovia	1	1309	63.60%	Legia Warsaw	1	1191	12.10%	24.31%
23	1949-05-22	51.5	@ Lech Poznan	1	1262	65.06%	Lechia Gdansk	1	1125	11.04%	23.90%
24	1949-05-29	51.5	@ Cracovia	1	1302	56.60%	Lech Poznan	1	1263	17.73%	25.67%
25	1949-10-09	51.4	@ Polonia Warsaw	1	1285	53.27%	Lech Poznan	1	1279	20.67%	26.05%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1949-09-18	25.3	@ Wisla Krakow	4	1339	71.79%	Lechia Gdansk	0	1101	6.85%	21.36%
2	1949-11-13	26.1	@ Cracovia	5	1303	68.42%	Szombierki Bytom	0	1118	8.81%	22.78%
3	1949-05-22	27.2	@ Wisla Krakow	4	1359	66.78%	Legia Warsaw	0	1199	9.86%	23.36%
4	1949-10-16	28.9	@ Wisla Krakow	3	1356	65.43%	AKS Chorzow	0	1214	10.78%	23.79%
5	1949-10-23	28.9	@ Lech Poznan	8	1268	64.66%	Szombierki Bytom	0	1136	11.32%	24.02%
6	1949-11-13	29.1	@ Polonia Bytom	8	1167	63.50%	Lechia Gdansk	0	1050	12.16%	24.33%
7	1949-08-07	29.7	@ Polonia Warsaw	3	1237	61.09%	Polonia Bytom	0	1149	14.01%	24.90%
8	1949-10-09	31.0	@ AKS Chorzow	2	1209	63.62%	Lechia Gdansk	0	1090	12.08%	24.30%
9	1949-08-07	31.4	@ Ruch Chorzow	2	1217	62.40%	Lechia Gdansk	0	1114	12.99%	24.61%
10	1949-08-28	31.5	@ Polonia Warsaw	5	1240	64.59%	Lechia Gdansk	1	1110	11.37%	24.03%
11	1949-03-20	31.7	@ Cracovia	5	1273	64.07%	Lechia Gdansk	1	1149	11.75%	24.18%
12	1949-04-03	31.9	@ Szombierki Bytom	3	1158	53.46%	Lechia Gdansk	0	1151	20.51%	26.04%
13	1949-03-27	32.0	@ Wisla Krakow	2	1334	62.56%	Lech Poznan	0	1229	12.87%	24.57%
14	1949-08-27	32.3	@ Ruch Chorzow	3	1217	52.71%	Warta Poznan	0	1216	21.18%	26.10%
15	1949-04-10	32.4	@ Wisla Krakow	4	1346	67.82%	Szombierki Bytom	1	1170	9.19%	23.00%
16	1949-04-03	32.5	@ LKS Lodz	3	1223	52.05%	Warta Poznan	0	1228	21.79%	26.16%
17	1949-05-26	32.5	@ LKS Lodz	5	1217	61.27%	Lechia Gdansk	1	1127	13.87%	24.86%
18	1949-08-28	33.1	@ Cracovia	1	1303	66.48%	Polonia Bytom	0	1146	10.06%	23.46%
19	1949-05-29	33.4	@ Warta Poznan	2	1208	56.09%	Legia Warsaw	0	1175	18.17%	25.74%
20	1949-04-23	33.8	@ Lech Poznan	8	1237	53.33%	LKS Lodz	1	1230	20.62%	26.05%
21	1949-03-27	33.9	@ Warta Poznan	4	1207	43.81%	Cracovia	0	1281	29.69%	26.50%
22	1949-08-20	34.1	@ Lech Poznan	4	1274	61.57%	Legia Warsaw	1	1181	13.63%	24.80%
23	1949-04-10	34.2	@ Warta Poznan	3	1216	46.67%	Ruch Chorzow	0	1267	26.88%	26.45%
24	1949-10-16	34.5	@ Legia Warsaw	5	1193	54.66%	Polonia Bytom	1	1174	19.42%	25.91%
25	1949-09-18	35.2	@ Legia Warsaw	2	1182	50.20%	Warta Poznan	0	1203	23.51%	26.29%