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1950 I liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Wisla Krakow

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Wisla Krakow

6.90 points above expected

33 points · 26.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Warta Poznan

9.01 points below expected

9 points · 18.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Wisla Krakow 22 16 1 5 33 51 17 +34 26.10 +6.90
2 Ruch Chorzow 22 14 4 4 32 50 24 +26 25.39 +6.61
3 Lech Poznan 22 11 4 7 26 52 37 +15 22.85 +3.15
4 Cracovia 22 9 5 8 23 32 29 +3 23.40 -0.40
5 Gornik Radlin 22 10 3 9 23 33 31 +2 23.41 -0.41
6 Garbarnia Krakow 22 9 5 8 23 38 39 -1 24.67 -1.67
7 Polonia Warsaw 22 8 5 9 21 40 46 -6 20.96 +0.04
8 Budowlani Chorzow 22 6 7 9 19 32 29 +3 21.00 -2.00
9 LKS Lodz 22 8 3 11 19 36 46 -10 21.21 -2.21
10 Legia Warsaw 22 7 4 11 18 38 40 -2 20.58 -2.58
11 Szombierki Bytom 22 7 4 11 18 33 64 -31 16.42 +1.58
12 Warta Poznan 22 2 5 15 9 18 51 -33 18.01 -9.01

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Wisla Krakow 33 26.10 +6.90
2 Ruch Chorzow 32 25.39 +6.61
3 Lech Poznan 26 22.85 +3.15
4 Szombierki Bytom 18 16.42 +1.58
5 Polonia Warsaw 21 20.96 +0.04

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Warta Poznan 9 18.01 -9.01
2 Legia Warsaw 18 20.58 -2.58
3 LKS Lodz 19 21.21 -2.21
4 Budowlani Chorzow 19 21.00 -2.00
5 Garbarnia Krakow 23 24.67 -1.67

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lech Poznan 5 Aug 6 – Sep 10 1 in 60
2 Legia Warsaw 3 Jun 25 – Jul 30 1 in 31
3 Wisla Krakow 6 Sep 5 – Nov 12 1 in 22
4 Ruch Chorzow 4 May 18 – Jun 22 1 in 20
5 Szombierki Bytom 2 Mar 19 – Mar 26 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Legia Warsaw 6 Sep 10 – Nov 12 1 in 163
2 LKS Lodz 6 Aug 5 – Sep 24 1 in 67
3 Cracovia 4 Jun 22 – Jul 30 1 in 31
4 Lech Poznan 3 Jun 22 – Jul 2 1 in 12
5 Warta Poznan 4 Apr 23 – Jun 11 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruch Chorzow 9 Jul 2 – Oct 14 1 in 44
2 Budowlani Chorzow 5 Mar 26 – May 18 1 in 37
3 Wisla Krakow 10 Jul 30 – Nov 12 1 in 18
4 Polonia Warsaw 5 Jun 11 – Jul 9 1 in 16
5 LKS Lodz 4 Oct 1 – Nov 19 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Budowlani Chorzow 8 Mar 19 – Jun 22 1 in 50
2 Warta Poznan 9 Jun 25 – Sep 17 1 in 22
3 Legia Warsaw 7 Sep 10 – Nov 19 1 in 17
4 LKS Lodz 7 Aug 5 – Oct 1 1 in 16
5 Lech Poznan 5 May 21 – Jul 2 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Wisla Krakow 1414 33 +29 8 7.0 +1.0
Ruch Chorzow 1364 32 +22 6 5.7 +0.3
Lech Poznan 1320 26 +34 6 5.1 +0.9
Cracovia 1257 23 +10 6 4.6 +1.4
Gornik Radlin 1260 23 -25 4 5.4 -1.4
Garbarnia Krakow 1236 23 -72 3 5.0 -2.0
Polonia Warsaw 1226 21 +16 5 5.7 -0.7
LKS Lodz 1168 19 +2 6 4.8 +1.2
Budowlani Chorzow 1251 19 +12 5 5.1 -0.1
Szombierki Bytom 1081 18 +9 5 3.5 +1.5
Legia Warsaw 1184 18 -49 1 3.7 -2.7
Warta Poznan 1054 9 -51 3 4.3 -1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC CRA GK GR LL LP LW PW RC SB WP WK
Budowlani Chorzow —
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
3.10
0-1-1
2.58
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.47
0-0-2
2.13
0-1-1
3.58
1-1-0
3.23
0-0-2
2.18
Cracovia
1-1-0
3.19
 —
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.39
0-0-2
2.23
Garbarnia Krakow
0-1-1
3.05
0-1-1
3.07
 —
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
3.57
1-0-1
2.35
Gornik Radlin
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.54
 —
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.92
0-1-1
3.03
0-0-2
2.59
0-1-1
3.97
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
2.02
LKS Lodz
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.52
 —
0-0-2
2.56
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.44
0-1-1
3.56
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
2.23
Lech Poznan
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
3.04
 —
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.08
0-0-2
2.56
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.57
0-0-2
2.12
Legia Warsaw
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.30
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.37
 —
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.27
2-0-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.26
0-0-2
1.68
Polonia Warsaw
0-1-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.57
1-0-1
3.16
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.76
 —
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
3.59
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.07
Ruch Chorzow
2-0-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.86
2-0-0
3.01
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.04
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.15
 —
2-0-0
4.10
2-0-0
3.36
0-1-1
2.43
Szombierki Bytom
1-1-0
2.02
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.78
1-1-0
1.64
1-1-0
2.05
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
2.21
2-0-0
2.01
0-0-2
1.51
 —
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-2
1.92
Warta Poznan
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.04
0-1-1
1.90
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.04
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-2
2.26
0-1-1
2.92
 —
0-0-2
1.74
Wisla Krakow
2-0-0
3.43
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
3.59
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.93
1-0-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.87
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +5.9
Allowed 0.54 -3.7
Differential 0.84 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%5.68%4.55%3.41%2.27%1.52%20.45%
15.68%10.61%7.20%5.30%3.03%1.52%33.33%
24.55%7.20%4.55%3.79%0.76%—20.83%
33.41%5.30%3.79%0.76%0.38%1.14%14.77%
42.27%3.03%0.76%0.38%——6.44%
5+1.52%1.52%—1.14%——4.17%
Total20.45%33.33%20.83%14.77%6.44%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.72 +0.00
SD 1.55 1.55 2.40
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 11 11 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
14.55%18.18%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total22.73%36.36%27.27%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.32 +0.14
SD 1.74 0.99 2.23
CV 1.20 0.75 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
19.09%18.18%13.64%4.55%——45.45%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total18.18%40.91%31.82%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.32 +0.14
SD 1.37 0.89 1.42
CV 0.94 0.68 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
19.09%9.09%13.64%——9.09%40.91%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3——4.55%———4.55%
49.09%9.09%————18.18%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%4.55%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.77 -0.05
SD 1.32 1.95 2.70
CV 0.76 1.10 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%18.18%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.41 +0.09
SD 1.34 1.22 1.97
CV 0.89 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%—36.36%
29.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%18.18%18.18%13.64%22.73%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.09 -0.45
SD 1.05 1.63 1.95
CV 0.64 0.78 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
113.64%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%50.00%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total27.27%27.27%13.64%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.68 +0.68
SD 2.38 1.52 3.09
CV 1.01 0.91 —
Max 11 5 +10
Min 1 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
1—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
24.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%——36.36%
34.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%36.36%27.27%22.73%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.82 -0.09
SD 1.72 1.18 1.93
CV 1.00 0.65 —
Max 8 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
14.55%13.64%—18.18%4.55%—40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%40.91%4.55%36.36%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.09 -0.27
SD 1.44 1.60 2.51
CV 0.79 0.77 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
24.55%18.18%—4.55%——27.27%
313.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%50.00%9.09%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.09 +1.18
SD 1.28 0.97 1.82
CV 0.56 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%9.09%4.55%22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%22.73%13.64%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.91 -1.41
SD 1.19 2.58 2.99
CV 0.79 0.89 —
Max 4 11 +2
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%54.55%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
2——9.09%———9.09%
3———————
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%31.82%13.64%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.32 -1.50
SD 1.22 1.43 2.04
CV 1.49 0.62 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%—9.09%———13.64%
213.64%13.64%————27.27%
3—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total40.91%40.91%18.18%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 0.77 +1.55
SD 1.78 0.75 2.18
CV 0.77 0.97 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Wisla Krakow 1414 33 26.10 +6.90 99.0% 16 19 24 26 29 31 35
Ruch Chorzow 1364 32 25.39 +6.61 97.0% 18 20 23 25 28 31 36
Lech Poznan 1320 26 22.85 +3.15 81.0% 15 16 20 23 26 28 31
Gornik Radlin 1260 23 23.41 -0.41 55.0% 15 16 21 23 26 30 31
Cracovia 1257 23 23.40 -0.40 48.0% 14 18 21 24 26 29 31
Budowlani Chorzow 1251 19 21.00 -2.00 35.0% 11 15 18 21 24 27 28
Garbarnia Krakow 1236 23 24.67 -1.67 36.0% 15 19 22 25 27 31 35
Polonia Warsaw 1226 21 20.96 +0.04 52.0% 12 14 18 21 24 26 29
Legia Warsaw 1184 18 20.58 -2.58 30.0% 11 12 18 21 23 26 29
LKS Lodz 1168 19 21.21 -2.21 36.0% 13 16 19 21 24 27 30
Szombierki Bytom 1081 18 16.42 +1.58 75.0% 9 11 14 16 18 21 24
Warta Poznan 1054 9 18.01 -9.01 2.0% 8 12 16 18 20 23 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 26% * Clear Edge: 26% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.03%
Clear Edge
54.55%18.94%26.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge
121 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0100.07400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.80 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.83+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.2 * Runaway: 0.2 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.2
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
31%
Wisla Krakow, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.87 * Some Luck: 2.87 to 4.31 * Lucky: 4.31 to 5.75 * Wild Swing: 5.75 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.9 * Close: 1.9 to 2.84 * Off: 2.84 to 3.79 * Way Off: 3.79 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.12 points
Some Luck
03.599
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
02.375
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Wisla Krakow
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
Warta Poznan
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.2 * Moderate Separation: 1.2 to 1.45 * Strong Separation: 1.45 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 62.5% * Clear Edge: 62.5% to 66.5% * Wide Edge: 66.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80% * Clear Edge: 80% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 89% * Dominant: 89% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 61% * Some Drama: 61% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 12.5% * Occasional: 12.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17% * Very Frequent: 17% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Top-Heavy
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 104.75
1.53
Strong Separation
0.71.21.451.752.5
Interquartile Edge
63%
Clear Edge
50%60%66.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Few
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.52 * Lopsided: 0.52 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.62 * Near-Lock: 0.62 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 19.5% * Shaky Favorites: 19.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Notable Separation
00.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.39
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.79
Near-Lock
00.380.50.621
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.86
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.056
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Wisla Krakow31.00%21.00%17.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%—2.00%—
Ruch Chorzow22.00%20.00%13.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%10.00%3.00%5.00%———
Lech Poznan9.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%17.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%
Cracovia7.00%9.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%3.00%11.00%—2.00%
Gornik Radlin13.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%
Garbarnia Krakow13.00%15.00%11.00%18.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%
Polonia Warsaw1.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%14.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%
Budowlani Chorzow—9.00%12.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%7.00%8.00%
LKS Lodz1.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%14.00%18.00%13.00%9.00%3.00%
Legia Warsaw3.00%5.00%2.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%13.00%10.00%13.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%
Szombierki Bytom————1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%17.00%29.00%40.00%
Warta Poznan——1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%25.00%26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Ruch Chorzow 100% —
Cracovia 98.00% 2.00%
Wisla Krakow 98.00% 2.00%
Garbarnia Krakow 96.00% 4.00%
Gornik Radlin 96.00% 4.00%
Lech Poznan 92.00% 8.00%
LKS Lodz 88.00% 12.00%
Budowlani Chorzow 85.00% 15.00%
Polonia Warsaw 85.00% 15.00%
Legia Warsaw 82.00% 18.00%
Warta Poznan 49.00% 51.00%
Szombierki Bytom 31.00% 69.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1950-03-19 Wisla Krakow L 1-346.9 1212 1287 50.13% 20.08% 29.79%+0.21 -18.0 0
1950-03-19 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 3-146.9 1287 1212 29.79% 20.08% 50.13%-0.21 +18.0 2
1950-03-19 Lech Poznan W 4-135.5 1267 1245 60.92% 19.81% 19.27%+1.01 +11.4 2
1950-03-19 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 1-435.5 1245 1267 19.27% 19.81% 60.92%-1.01 -11.4 0
1950-03-19 Polonia Warsaw D 1-153.5 1258 1249 59.72% 19.86% 20.42%+0.91 -2.0 1
1950-03-19 @ Gornik Radlin D 1-153.5 1249 1258 20.42% 19.86% 59.72%-0.91 +2.0 1
1950-03-19 LKS Lodz W 2-140.3 1218 1225 58.10% 19.92% 21.98%+0.78 +5.2 2
1950-03-19 @ Legia Warsaw L 1-240.3 1225 1218 21.98% 19.92% 58.10%-0.78 -5.2 0
1950-03-19 Cracovia W 2-143.8 1156 1262 46.18% 20.09% 33.74%-0.05 +7.5 2
1950-03-19 @ Szombierki Bytom L 1-243.8 1262 1156 33.74% 20.09% 46.18%+0.05 -7.5 0
1950-03-19 Ruch Chorzow L 1-250.9 1211 1225 57.33% 19.95% 22.72%+0.72 -11.8 0
1950-03-19 @ Warta Poznan W 2-150.9 1225 1211 22.72% 19.95% 57.33%-0.72 +11.8 2
1950-03-26 Warta Poznan W 1-034.1 1254 1199 63.93% 19.64% 16.43%+1.29 +4.3 2
1950-03-26 @ Cracovia L 0-134.1 1199 1254 16.43% 19.64% 63.93%-1.29 -4.3 0
1950-03-26 Legia Warsaw W 3-030.2 1256 1223 61.97% 19.76% 18.27%+1.10 +12.9 3
1950-03-26 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-330.2 1223 1256 18.27% 19.76% 61.97%-1.10 -12.9 2
1950-03-26 Budowlani Chorzow D 1-153.3 1234 1194 62.59% 19.72% 17.69%+1.16 -2.3 1
1950-03-26 @ Lech Poznan D 1-153.3 1194 1234 17.69% 19.72% 62.59%-1.16 +2.3 1
1950-03-26 Wisla Krakow W 1-038.9 1219 1305 48.79% 20.08% 31.13%+0.12 +7.4 2
1950-03-26 @ LKS Lodz L 0-138.9 1305 1219 31.13% 20.08% 48.79%-0.12 -7.4 2
1950-03-26 Szombierki Bytom L 1-351.4 1251 1164 66.52% 19.44% 14.04%+1.55 -23.7 1
1950-03-26 @ Polonia Warsaw W 3-151.4 1164 1251 14.04% 19.44% 66.52%-1.55 +23.6 4
1950-03-26 Garbarnia Krakow L 1-250.2 1236 1278 54.17% 20.02% 25.80%+0.48 -11.2 2
1950-03-26 @ Ruch Chorzow W 2-150.2 1278 1236 25.80% 20.02% 54.17%-0.48 +11.1 4
1950-04-02 Cracovia D 1-153.3 1196 1259 51.70% 20.06% 28.24%+0.31 -1.2 2
1950-04-02 @ Budowlani Chorzow D 1-153.3 1259 1196 28.24% 20.06% 51.70%-0.31 +1.2 3
1950-04-02 Garbarnia Krakow D 2-258.3 1211 1289 49.67% 20.08% 30.25%+0.18 -0.7 3
1950-04-02 @ Legia Warsaw D 2-258.3 1289 1211 30.25% 20.08% 49.67%-0.18 +0.7 5
1950-04-02 Gornik Radlin W 2-034.6 1227 1269 54.09% 20.03% 25.89%+0.48 +12.0 4
1950-04-02 @ LKS Lodz L 0-234.6 1269 1227 25.89% 20.03% 54.09%-0.48 -12.0 3
1950-04-02 Lech Poznan L 1-249.8 1187 1231 53.94% 20.03% 26.03%+0.47 -11.1 4
1950-04-02 @ Szombierki Bytom W 2-149.8 1231 1187 26.03% 20.03% 53.94%-0.47 +11.1 3
1950-04-02 Polonia Warsaw L 0-145.8 1195 1227 55.28% 20.00% 24.72%+0.56 -12.1 0
1950-04-02 @ Warta Poznan W 1-045.8 1227 1195 24.72% 20.00% 55.28%-0.56 +12.1 3
1950-04-02 Ruch Chorzow W 3-136.3 1298 1225 65.36% 19.54% 15.10%+1.43 +6.5 4
1950-04-02 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-336.3 1225 1298 15.10% 19.54% 65.36%-1.43 -6.5 2
1950-04-16 Szombierki Bytom D 0-049.7 1195 1176 60.61% 19.82% 19.56%+0.99 -2.4 3
1950-04-16 @ Budowlani Chorzow D 0-049.7 1176 1195 19.56% 19.82% 60.61%-0.99 +2.4 5
1950-04-16 Polonia Warsaw W 3-137.6 1260 1239 60.79% 19.82% 19.39%+1.00 +8.1 5
1950-04-16 @ Cracovia L 1-337.6 1239 1260 19.39% 19.82% 60.79%-1.00 -8.1 3
1950-04-16 Lech Poznan L 0-145.9 1210 1242 55.24% 20.00% 24.76%+0.56 -12.0 3
1950-04-16 @ Legia Warsaw W 1-045.9 1242 1210 24.76% 20.00% 55.24%-0.56 +12.1 5
1950-04-16 Ruch Chorzow L 1-447.8 1239 1219 60.74% 19.82% 19.44%+1.00 -30.5 4
1950-04-16 @ LKS Lodz W 4-147.8 1219 1239 19.44% 19.82% 60.74%-1.00 +30.5 4
1950-04-16 Garbarnia Krakow D 2-258.3 1183 1290 45.97% 20.09% 33.95%-0.06 -0.4 1
1950-04-16 @ Warta Poznan D 2-258.3 1290 1183 33.95% 20.09% 45.97%+0.06 +0.4 6
1950-04-16 Gornik Radlin L 0-246.0 1304 1257 63.21% 19.69% 17.11%+1.22 -25.9 4
1950-04-16 @ Wisla Krakow W 2-046.0 1257 1304 17.11% 19.69% 63.21%-1.22 +25.9 5
1950-04-23 Cracovia L 1-252.3 1290 1268 60.99% 19.81% 19.20%+1.02 -12.5 6
1950-04-23 @ Garbarnia Krakow W 2-152.3 1268 1290 19.20% 19.81% 60.99%-1.02 +12.5 7
1950-04-23 Warta Poznan W 1-033.1 1283 1183 67.53% 19.35% 13.12%+1.67 +3.5 7
1950-04-23 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-133.1 1183 1283 13.12% 19.35% 67.53%-1.67 -3.5 1
1950-04-23 LKS Lodz W 3-243.7 1254 1208 63.16% 19.69% 17.15%+1.21 +4.0 7
1950-04-23 @ Lech Poznan L 2-343.7 1208 1254 17.15% 19.69% 63.16%-1.21 -4.0 4
1950-04-23 Budowlani Chorzow D 1-153.3 1231 1193 62.48% 19.73% 17.79%+1.15 -2.3 4
1950-04-23 @ Polonia Warsaw D 1-153.3 1193 1231 17.79% 19.73% 62.48%-1.15 +2.3 4
1950-04-23 Legia Warsaw D 1-153.4 1249 1198 63.62% 19.66% 16.72%+1.26 -2.5 5
1950-04-23 @ Ruch Chorzow D 1-153.4 1198 1249 16.72% 19.66% 63.62%-1.26 +2.5 4
1950-04-23 Wisla Krakow L 0-537.8 1179 1278 47.00% 20.09% 32.91%+0.01 -45.9 5
1950-04-23 @ Szombierki Bytom W 5-037.8 1278 1179 32.91% 20.09% 47.00%-0.01 +45.9 6
1950-05-18 Budowlani Chorzow D 0-050.0 1278 1195 66.21% 19.47% 14.32%+1.52 -3.1 7
1950-05-18 @ Garbarnia Krakow D 0-050.0 1195 1278 14.32% 19.47% 66.21%-1.52 +3.1 5
1950-05-18 Gornik Radlin W 3-032.7 1247 1287 54.40% 20.02% 25.58%+0.50 +17.2 7
1950-05-18 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-332.7 1287 1247 25.58% 20.02% 54.40%-0.50 -17.2 7
1950-05-18 Warta Poznan W 3-139.4 1133 1179 53.65% 20.03% 26.31%+0.45 +10.5 7
1950-05-18 @ Szombierki Bytom L 1-339.4 1179 1133 26.31% 20.03% 53.65%-0.45 -10.5 1
1950-05-18 Legia Warsaw W 2-137.2 1324 1200 69.14% 19.17% 11.69%+1.86 +2.9 8
1950-05-18 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-237.2 1200 1324 11.69% 19.17% 69.14%-1.86 -2.9 4
1950-05-21 LKS Lodz L 0-146.6 1198 1204 58.11% 19.92% 21.97%+0.78 -12.7 5
1950-05-21 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 1-046.6 1204 1198 21.97% 19.92% 58.11%-0.78 +12.7 6
1950-05-21 Ruch Chorzow L 1-252.1 1280 1264 60.39% 19.83% 19.78%+0.97 -12.4 7
1950-05-21 @ Cracovia W 2-152.1 1264 1280 19.78% 19.83% 60.39%-0.97 +12.4 9
1950-05-21 Polonia Warsaw W 3-243.8 1275 1229 63.15% 19.69% 17.16%+1.21 +4.0 9
1950-05-21 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 2-343.8 1229 1275 17.16% 19.69% 63.15%-1.21 -4.0 4
1950-05-21 Lech Poznan W 3-137.9 1269 1258 59.87% 19.86% 20.28%+0.92 +8.4 9
1950-05-21 @ Gornik Radlin L 1-337.9 1258 1269 20.28% 19.86% 59.87%-0.92 -8.4 7
1950-05-21 Szombierki Bytom W 8-334.1 1197 1143 63.84% 19.65% 16.52%+1.28 +11.8 6
1950-05-21 @ Legia Warsaw L 3-834.1 1143 1197 16.52% 19.65% 63.84%-1.28 -11.8 7
1950-05-21 Wisla Krakow L 0-238.5 1169 1327 38.81% 20.02% 41.16%-0.48 -16.7 1
1950-05-21 @ Warta Poznan W 2-038.5 1327 1169 41.16% 20.02% 38.81%+0.48 +16.7 10
1950-06-10 Gornik Radlin W 1-036.3 1268 1278 57.73% 19.94% 22.34%+0.75 +5.6 9
1950-06-10 @ Cracovia L 0-136.3 1278 1268 22.34% 19.94% 57.73%-0.75 -5.6 9
1950-06-11 Wisla Krakow W 1-038.7 1279 1344 51.43% 20.06% 28.51%+0.29 +6.9 11
1950-06-11 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-138.7 1344 1279 28.51% 20.06% 51.43%-0.29 -6.9 10
1950-06-11 Polonia Warsaw D 3-362.6 1250 1225 61.23% 19.80% 18.98%+1.04 -1.3 8
1950-06-11 @ Lech Poznan D 3-362.6 1225 1250 18.98% 19.80% 61.23%-1.04 +1.3 5
1950-06-11 Warta Poznan W 3-029.2 1217 1152 64.77% 19.58% 15.65%+1.37 +11.2 8
1950-06-11 @ LKS Lodz L 0-329.2 1152 1217 15.65% 19.58% 64.77%-1.37 -11.2 1
1950-06-11 Szombierki Bytom W 3-027.5 1276 1132 70.50% 19.00% 10.50%+2.03 +7.7 11
1950-06-11 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-327.5 1132 1276 10.50% 19.00% 70.50%-2.03 -7.7 7
1950-06-17 LKS Lodz W 5-343.7 1274 1228 63.10% 19.69% 17.20%+1.21 +6.2 11
1950-06-17 @ Cracovia L 3-543.7 1228 1274 17.20% 19.69% 63.10%-1.21 -6.1 8
1950-06-22 Szombierki Bytom D 2-258.4 1272 1124 70.72% 18.97% 10.32%+2.06 -2.4 10
1950-06-22 @ Gornik Radlin D 2-258.4 1124 1272 10.32% 18.97% 70.72%-2.06 +2.4 8
1950-06-22 Polonia Warsaw D 2-258.2 1209 1226 56.95% 19.96% 23.09%+0.69 -1.3 7
1950-06-22 @ Legia Warsaw D 2-258.2 1226 1209 23.09% 19.96% 56.95%-0.69 +1.3 6
1950-06-22 Garbarnia Krakow W 3-247.3 1222 1286 51.54% 20.06% 28.40%+0.30 +6.1 10
1950-06-22 @ LKS Lodz L 2-347.3 1286 1222 28.40% 20.06% 51.54%-0.30 -6.1 11
1950-06-22 Budowlani Chorzow W 2-030.6 1284 1185 67.40% 19.36% 13.24%+1.65 +6.6 13
1950-06-22 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-230.6 1185 1284 13.24% 19.36% 67.40%-1.65 -6.6 5
1950-06-22 Lech Poznan W 4-246.1 1141 1249 45.84% 20.09% 34.07%-0.07 +11.7 3
1950-06-22 @ Warta Poznan L 2-446.1 1249 1141 34.07% 20.09% 45.84%+0.07 -11.7 8
1950-06-22 Cracovia W 1-034.8 1337 1280 64.09% 19.63% 16.28%+1.30 +4.2 12
1950-06-22 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-134.8 1280 1337 16.28% 19.63% 64.09%-1.30 -4.2 11
1950-06-25 Gornik Radlin W 3-141.2 1179 1270 48.09% 20.09% 31.82%+0.07 +12.3 7
1950-06-25 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 1-341.2 1270 1179 31.82% 20.09% 48.09%-0.07 -12.3 10
1950-06-25 Ruch Chorzow W 3-140.4 1228 1291 51.62% 20.06% 28.32%+0.31 +11.2 8
1950-06-25 @ Polonia Warsaw L 1-340.4 1291 1228 28.32% 20.06% 51.62%-0.31 -11.2 13
1950-06-25 Garbarnia Krakow L 0-435.5 1126 1280 39.51% 20.03% 40.45%-0.44 -32.2 8
1950-06-25 @ Szombierki Bytom W 4-035.5 1280 1126 40.45% 20.03% 39.51%+0.44 +32.2 13
1950-06-25 Legia Warsaw L 0-242.4 1152 1208 52.55% 20.05% 27.40%+0.37 -21.7 3
1950-06-25 @ Warta Poznan W 2-042.4 1208 1152 27.40% 20.05% 52.55%-0.37 +21.7 9
1950-06-25 Lech Poznan W 2-137.9 1341 1237 67.77% 19.32% 12.90%+1.69 +3.2 14
1950-06-25 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-237.9 1237 1341 12.90% 19.32% 67.77%-1.69 -3.2 8
1950-07-01 Gornik Radlin W 2-032.0 1312 1257 63.87% 19.65% 16.48%+1.28 +8.1 15
1950-07-01 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-232.0 1257 1312 16.48% 19.65% 63.87%-1.28 -8.1 10
1950-07-02 Warta Poznan D 2-258.1 1191 1131 64.39% 19.61% 16.00%+1.33 -1.9 8
1950-07-02 @ Budowlani Chorzow D 2-258.1 1131 1191 16.00% 19.61% 64.39%-1.33 +1.9 4
1950-07-02 Legia Warsaw L 1-252.7 1276 1230 63.14% 19.69% 17.17%+1.21 -13.0 11
1950-07-02 @ Cracovia W 2-152.7 1230 1276 17.17% 19.69% 63.14%-1.21 +12.9 11
1950-07-02 Ruch Chorzow L 1-348.0 1234 1280 53.70% 20.03% 26.26%+0.45 -19.2 8
1950-07-02 @ Lech Poznan W 3-148.0 1280 1234 26.26% 20.03% 53.70%-0.45 +19.2 15
1950-07-02 Szombierki Bytom D 2-258.3 1228 1094 69.81% 19.09% 11.10%+1.94 -2.4 11
1950-07-02 @ LKS Lodz D 2-258.3 1094 1228 11.10% 19.09% 69.81%-1.94 +2.4 9
1950-07-02 Wisla Krakow W 2-144.4 1239 1344 46.19% 20.09% 33.73%-0.04 +7.5 10
1950-07-02 @ Polonia Warsaw L 1-244.4 1344 1239 33.73% 20.09% 46.19%+0.04 -7.5 14
1950-07-09 Cracovia W 1-037.4 1215 1263 53.45% 20.04% 26.52%+0.43 +6.5 10
1950-07-09 @ Lech Poznan L 0-137.4 1263 1215 26.52% 20.04% 53.45%-0.43 -6.5 11
1950-07-09 LKS Lodz W 4-347.8 1246 1226 60.79% 19.82% 19.39%+1.00 +4.3 12
1950-07-09 @ Polonia Warsaw L 3-447.8 1226 1246 19.39% 19.82% 60.79%-1.00 -4.3 11
1950-07-30 Szombierki Bytom W 4-025.3 1320 1096 74.74% 18.24% 7.02%+2.69 +6.8 17
1950-07-30 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-425.3 1096 1320 7.02% 18.24% 74.74%-2.69 -6.8 9
1950-07-30 Budowlani Chorzow W 3-029.4 1249 1189 64.36% 19.61% 16.02%+1.33 +11.4 12
1950-07-30 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-329.4 1189 1249 16.02% 19.61% 64.36%-1.33 -11.4 8
1950-07-30 Wisla Krakow L 2-352.4 1221 1337 44.80% 20.08% 35.11%-0.13 -8.9 10
1950-07-30 @ Lech Poznan W 3-252.4 1337 1221 35.11% 20.08% 44.80%+0.13 +8.9 16
1950-07-30 Warta Poznan W 3-028.2 1243 1133 68.20% 19.28% 12.52%+1.74 +9.1 13
1950-07-30 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-328.2 1133 1243 12.52% 19.28% 68.20%-1.74 -9.1 4
1950-07-30 Cracovia W 2-034.3 1221 1256 54.99% 20.01% 25.00%+0.54 +11.6 13
1950-07-30 @ LKS Lodz L 0-234.3 1256 1221 25.00% 20.01% 54.99%-0.54 -11.6 11
1950-07-30 Polonia Warsaw W 4-135.0 1299 1251 63.34% 19.68% 16.98%+1.23 +10.2 17
1950-07-30 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-435.0 1251 1299 16.98% 19.68% 63.34%-1.23 -10.2 12
1950-08-05 LKS Lodz W 4-027.7 1346 1233 68.38% 19.26% 12.36%+1.76 +11.8 18
1950-08-05 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-427.7 1233 1346 12.36% 19.26% 68.38%-1.76 -11.7 13
1950-08-06 Lech Poznan L 2-355.0 1178 1212 55.03% 20.01% 24.96%+0.55 -10.7 8
1950-08-06 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 3-255.0 1212 1178 24.96% 20.01% 55.03%-0.55 +10.7 12
1950-08-06 Gornik Radlin L 3-555.9 1252 1261 57.79% 19.93% 22.27%+0.75 -17.4 13
1950-08-06 @ Legia Warsaw W 5-355.9 1261 1252 22.27% 19.93% 57.79%-0.75 +17.4 14
1950-08-06 Polonia Warsaw W 1-041.2 1090 1240 39.89% 20.04% 40.07%-0.42 +9.1 11
1950-08-06 @ Szombierki Bytom L 0-141.2 1240 1090 40.07% 20.04% 39.89%+0.42 -9.1 12
1950-08-06 Cracovia D 0-049.6 1123 1244 44.07% 20.08% 35.85%-0.17 -0.4 5
1950-08-06 @ Warta Poznan D 0-049.6 1244 1123 35.85% 20.08% 44.07%+0.17 +0.4 12
1950-08-13 Budowlani Chorzow L 1-253.0 1234 1167 64.95% 19.57% 15.48%+1.39 -13.3 13
1950-08-13 @ Legia Warsaw W 2-153.0 1167 1234 15.48% 19.57% 64.95%-1.39 +13.3 10
1950-08-13 Gornik Radlin W 1-037.7 1223 1278 52.58% 20.05% 27.37%+0.37 +6.7 14
1950-08-13 @ Lech Poznan L 0-137.7 1278 1223 27.37% 20.05% 52.58%-0.37 -6.7 14
1950-08-20 Legia Warsaw L 1-344.7 1099 1221 43.90% 20.08% 36.02%-0.18 -16.0 11
1950-08-20 @ Szombierki Bytom W 3-144.7 1221 1099 36.02% 20.08% 43.90%+0.18 +16.0 15
1950-08-20 Warta Poznan W 4-025.3 1357 1123 75.24% 18.12% 6.64%+2.78 +6.4 20
1950-08-20 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-425.3 1123 1357 6.64% 18.12% 75.24%-2.78 -6.4 5
1950-08-26 Budowlani Chorzow W 2-031.3 1245 1180 64.73% 19.59% 15.69%+1.37 +7.7 14
1950-08-26 @ Cracovia L 0-231.3 1180 1245 15.69% 19.59% 64.73%-1.37 -7.7 10
1950-08-26 Warta Poznan W 4-132.9 1231 1117 68.53% 19.24% 12.23%+1.78 +7.5 14
1950-08-26 @ Polonia Warsaw L 1-432.9 1117 1231 12.23% 19.24% 68.53%-1.78 -7.5 5
1950-08-27 Legia Warsaw L 1-254.0 1327 1237 66.72% 19.42% 13.85%+1.58 -13.7 17
1950-08-27 @ Garbarnia Krakow W 2-154.0 1237 1327 13.85% 19.42% 66.72%-1.58 +13.7 17
1950-08-27 LKS Lodz W 3-136.7 1272 1221 63.51% 19.67% 16.82%+1.25 +7.1 16
1950-08-27 @ Gornik Radlin L 1-336.7 1221 1272 16.82% 19.67% 63.51%-1.25 -7.1 13
1950-08-27 Szombierki Bytom W 11-128.9 1230 1083 70.62% 18.98% 10.40%+2.05 +19.5 16
1950-08-27 @ Lech Poznan L 1-1128.9 1083 1230 10.40% 18.98% 70.62%-2.05 -19.5 11
1950-08-27 Wisla Krakow D 0-051.0 1309 1364 52.63% 20.05% 27.32%+0.37 -1.4 18
1950-08-27 @ Ruch Chorzow D 0-051.0 1364 1309 27.32% 20.05% 52.63%-0.37 +1.4 21
1950-09-02 Polonia Warsaw W 3-033.3 1173 1239 51.26% 20.07% 28.68%+0.28 +19.0 12
1950-09-02 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 0-333.3 1239 1173 28.68% 20.07% 51.26%-0.28 -19.0 14
1950-09-02 Lech Poznan L 0-341.3 1214 1249 54.98% 20.01% 25.02%+0.54 -32.9 13
1950-09-02 @ LKS Lodz W 3-041.3 1249 1214 25.02% 20.01% 54.98%-0.54 +32.8 18
1950-09-02 Gornik Radlin D 1-153.2 1109 1279 37.24% 20.00% 42.77%-0.58 +0.3 6
1950-09-02 @ Warta Poznan D 1-153.2 1279 1109 42.77% 20.00% 37.24%+0.58 -0.3 17
1950-09-03 Garbarnia Krakow D 1-153.7 1253 1313 51.96% 20.06% 27.98%+0.33 -1.2 15
1950-09-03 @ Cracovia D 1-153.7 1313 1253 27.98% 20.06% 51.96%-0.33 +1.2 18
1950-09-05 Szombierki Bytom W 4-130.2 1365 1063 78.00% 17.33% 4.67%+3.34 +2.9 23
1950-09-05 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-430.2 1063 1365 4.67% 17.33% 78.00%-3.34 -2.9 11
1950-09-10 Ruch Chorzow L 1-247.3 1192 1307 44.78% 20.08% 35.14%-0.13 -9.4 12
1950-09-10 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 2-147.3 1307 1192 35.14% 20.08% 44.78%+0.13 +9.4 20
1950-09-10 Wisla Krakow L 1-345.9 1251 1368 44.66% 20.08% 35.25%-0.14 -16.3 15
1950-09-10 @ Cracovia W 3-145.9 1368 1251 35.25% 20.08% 44.66%+0.14 +16.3 25
1950-09-10 Warta Poznan W 2-029.0 1282 1109 72.13% 18.75% 9.12%+2.26 +4.6 20
1950-09-10 @ Lech Poznan L 0-229.0 1109 1282 9.12% 18.75% 72.13%-2.26 -4.6 6
1950-09-10 Legia Warsaw W 2-141.1 1220 1251 55.43% 20.00% 24.58%+0.57 +5.7 16
1950-09-10 @ Polonia Warsaw L 1-241.1 1251 1220 24.58% 20.00% 55.43%-0.57 -5.7 17
1950-09-10 Garbarnia Krakow W 1-037.4 1278 1314 54.86% 20.01% 25.12%+0.53 +6.2 19
1950-09-10 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-137.4 1314 1278 25.12% 20.01% 54.86%-0.53 -6.2 18
1950-09-10 LKS Lodz W 4-246.5 1060 1181 44.07% 20.08% 35.85%-0.17 +12.2 13
1950-09-10 @ Szombierki Bytom L 2-446.5 1181 1060 35.85% 20.08% 44.07%+0.17 -12.2 13
1950-09-16 LKS Lodz W 1-032.4 1308 1169 70.12% 19.05% 10.83%+1.98 +2.9 20
1950-09-16 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-132.4 1169 1308 10.83% 19.05% 70.12%-1.98 -2.9 13
1950-09-17 Gornik Radlin W 3-253.0 1072 1285 31.56% 19.85% 48.59%-0.93 +9.6 15
1950-09-17 @ Szombierki Bytom L 2-353.0 1285 1072 48.59% 19.85% 31.56%+0.93 -9.6 19
1950-09-17 Cracovia L 2-356.6 1245 1235 59.74% 19.86% 20.40%+0.91 -11.6 17
1950-09-17 @ Legia Warsaw W 3-256.6 1235 1245 20.40% 19.86% 59.74%-0.91 +11.6 17
1950-09-17 Lech Poznan W 5-134.2 1317 1286 61.73% 19.77% 18.50%+1.08 +14.2 22
1950-09-17 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-534.2 1286 1317 18.50% 19.77% 61.73%-1.08 -14.2 20
1950-09-17 Budowlani Chorzow L 0-638.8 1105 1182 49.83% 20.08% 30.09%+0.19 -57.4 6
1950-09-17 @ Warta Poznan W 6-038.8 1182 1105 30.09% 20.08% 49.83%-0.19 +57.4 14
1950-09-17 Polonia Warsaw W 7-027.9 1384 1226 71.34% 18.88% 9.78%+2.15 +15.9 27
1950-09-17 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-727.9 1226 1384 9.78% 18.88% 71.34%-2.15 -15.9 16
1950-09-24 Lech Poznan L 1-347.3 1210 1272 51.68% 20.06% 28.26%+0.31 -18.5 16
1950-09-24 @ Polonia Warsaw W 3-147.3 1272 1210 28.26% 20.06% 51.68%-0.31 +18.5 22
1950-09-24 Ruch Chorzow L 2-346.5 1082 1331 27.06% 19.68% 53.27%-1.24 -5.9 15
1950-09-24 @ Szombierki Bytom W 3-246.5 1331 1082 53.27% 19.68% 27.06%+1.24 +5.9 24
1950-09-24 LKS Lodz W 4-140.1 1047 1166 44.35% 20.08% 35.57%-0.16 +19.1 8
1950-09-24 @ Warta Poznan L 1-440.1 1166 1047 35.57% 20.08% 44.35%+0.16 -19.1 13
1950-09-24 Garbarnia Krakow W 2-139.4 1400 1311 66.70% 19.43% 13.88%+1.57 +3.5 29
1950-09-24 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-239.4 1311 1400 13.88% 19.43% 66.70%-1.57 -3.5 20
1950-10-01 Budowlani Chorzow D 1-153.2 1147 1240 47.90% 20.09% 32.01%+0.06 -0.8 14
1950-10-01 @ LKS Lodz D 1-153.2 1240 1147 32.01% 20.09% 47.90%-0.06 +0.8 15
1950-10-01 Garbarnia Krakow W 5-138.8 1191 1307 44.71% 20.08% 35.21%-0.13 +24.5 18
1950-10-01 @ Polonia Warsaw L 1-538.8 1307 1191 35.21% 20.08% 44.71%+0.13 -24.5 20
1950-10-01 Warta Poznan W 4-024.6 1337 1066 76.79% 17.71% 5.50%+3.08 +5.3 26
1950-10-01 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-424.6 1066 1337 5.50% 17.71% 76.79%-3.08 -5.3 8
1950-10-07 Ruch Chorzow D 1-154.1 1283 1342 52.10% 20.06% 27.85%+0.34 -1.2 21
1950-10-07 @ Garbarnia Krakow D 1-154.1 1342 1283 27.85% 20.06% 52.10%-0.34 +1.2 27
1950-10-08 Gornik Radlin W 4-032.2 1216 1275 52.08% 20.06% 27.86%+0.34 +24.2 20
1950-10-08 @ Polonia Warsaw L 0-432.2 1275 1216 27.86% 20.06% 52.08%-0.34 -24.2 19
1950-10-08 Budowlani Chorzow W 2-030.2 1404 1240 71.60% 18.84% 9.56%+2.19 +4.8 31
1950-10-08 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-230.2 1240 1404 9.56% 18.84% 71.60%-2.19 -4.8 15
1950-10-14 Ruch Chorzow L 0-338.9 1233 1343 45.55% 20.09% 34.36%-0.08 -27.7 17
1950-10-14 @ Legia Warsaw W 3-038.9 1343 1233 34.36% 20.09% 45.55%+0.08 +27.7 29
1950-10-14 Cracovia W 2-033.1 1251 1247 59.16% 19.89% 20.95%+0.86 +10.0 21
1950-10-14 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-233.1 1247 1251 20.95% 19.89% 59.16%-0.86 -10.0 17
1950-10-14 Garbarnia Krakow W 7-031.2 1291 1282 59.67% 19.87% 20.46%+0.91 +31.5 24
1950-10-14 @ Lech Poznan L 0-731.2 1282 1291 20.46% 19.87% 59.67%-0.91 -31.5 21
1950-10-21 Legia Warsaw W 3-246.8 1146 1206 52.11% 20.06% 27.83%+0.34 +6.0 16
1950-10-21 @ LKS Lodz L 2-346.8 1206 1146 27.83% 20.06% 52.11%-0.34 -6.0 17
1950-11-05 Legia Warsaw W 1-034.6 1236 1200 62.25% 19.74% 18.01%+1.13 +4.6 17
1950-11-05 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 0-134.6 1200 1236 18.01% 19.74% 62.25%-1.13 -4.6 17
1950-11-05 Szombierki Bytom W 4-132.0 1237 1076 71.44% 18.86% 9.70%+2.16 +6.0 19
1950-11-05 @ Cracovia L 1-432.0 1076 1237 9.70% 18.86% 71.44%-2.16 -6.0 15
1950-11-09 Cracovia L 2-359.9 1371 1243 69.45% 19.14% 11.42%+1.90 -13.5 29
1950-11-09 @ Ruch Chorzow W 3-259.9 1243 1371 11.42% 19.14% 69.45%-1.90 +13.5 21
1950-11-12 Garbarnia Krakow W 6-133.9 1240 1250 57.70% 19.94% 22.37%+0.75 +20.5 19
1950-11-12 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 1-633.9 1250 1240 22.37% 19.94% 57.70%-0.75 -20.5 21
1950-11-12 Lech Poznan D 1-153.8 1256 1322 51.28% 20.07% 28.66%+0.28 -1.1 22
1950-11-12 @ Cracovia D 1-153.8 1322 1256 28.66% 20.07% 51.28%-0.28 +1.1 25
1950-11-12 Ruch Chorzow L 1-248.7 1261 1358 47.33% 20.09% 32.58%+0.03 -9.9 21
1950-11-12 @ Gornik Radlin W 2-148.7 1358 1261 32.58% 20.09% 47.33%-0.03 +9.9 31
1950-11-12 Wisla Krakow L 0-236.8 1195 1409 31.35% 19.85% 48.80%-0.94 -14.0 17
1950-11-12 @ Legia Warsaw W 2-036.8 1409 1195 48.80% 19.85% 31.35%+0.94 +14.0 33
1950-11-12 Polonia Warsaw W 3-141.0 1152 1240 48.57% 20.08% 31.35%+0.11 +12.2 18
1950-11-12 @ LKS Lodz L 1-341.0 1240 1152 31.35% 20.08% 48.57%-0.11 -12.2 20
1950-11-12 Szombierki Bytom D 1-153.0 1061 1070 57.81% 19.93% 22.26%+0.76 -1.8 9
1950-11-12 @ Warta Poznan D 1-153.0 1070 1061 22.26% 19.93% 57.81%-0.76 +1.8 16
1950-11-19 Warta Poznan W 4-131.8 1230 1059 72.01% 18.77% 9.22%+2.25 +5.7 23
1950-11-19 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 1-431.8 1059 1230 9.22% 18.77% 72.01%-2.25 -5.7 9
1950-11-19 Wisla Krakow W 2-147.9 1251 1423 36.94% 19.99% 43.07%-0.59 +9.1 23
1950-11-19 @ Gornik Radlin L 1-247.9 1423 1251 43.07% 19.99% 36.94%+0.59 -9.1 33
1950-11-19 Legia Warsaw D 1-153.8 1323 1181 70.36% 19.02% 10.63%+2.01 -3.2 26
1950-11-19 @ Lech Poznan D 1-153.8 1181 1323 10.63% 19.02% 70.36%-2.01 +3.2 18
1950-11-19 Cracovia D 1-153.4 1228 1255 55.79% 19.99% 24.22%+0.60 -1.6 21
1950-11-19 @ Polonia Warsaw D 1-153.4 1255 1228 24.22% 19.99% 55.79%-0.60 +1.6 23
1950-11-19 LKS Lodz D 1-154.0 1368 1165 73.74% 18.45% 7.81%+2.51 -3.6 32
1950-11-19 @ Ruch Chorzow D 1-154.0 1165 1368 7.81% 18.45% 73.74%-2.51 +3.6 19
1950-11-19 Budowlani Chorzow W 2-147.1 1072 1261 34.62% 19.94% 45.44%-0.74 +9.5 18
1950-11-19 @ Szombierki Bytom L 1-247.1 1261 1072 45.44% 19.94% 34.62%+0.74 -9.5 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1950-11-09 11.42% Cracovia 1243 3 @ Ruch Chorzow 1371 2
2 1950-08-27 13.85% Legia Warsaw 1237 2 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1327 1
3 1950-03-26 14.04% Szombierki Bytom 1164 3 @ Polonia Warsaw 1251 1
4 1950-08-13 15.48% Budowlani Chorzow 1167 2 @ Legia Warsaw 1234 1
5 1950-04-16 17.11% Gornik Radlin 1257 2 @ Wisla Krakow 1304 0
6 1950-07-02 17.17% Legia Warsaw 1230 2 @ Cracovia 1276 1
7 1950-04-23 19.20% Cracovia 1268 2 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1290 1
8 1950-04-16 19.44% Ruch Chorzow 1219 4 @ LKS Lodz 1239 1
9 1950-05-21 19.78% Ruch Chorzow 1264 2 @ Cracovia 1280 1
10 1950-09-17 20.40% Cracovia 1235 3 @ Legia Warsaw 1245 2
11 1950-05-21 21.97% LKS Lodz 1204 1 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1198 0
12 1950-08-06 22.27% Gornik Radlin 1261 5 @ Legia Warsaw 1252 3
13 1950-03-19 22.72% Ruch Chorzow 1225 2 @ Warta Poznan 1211 1
14 1950-04-02 24.72% Polonia Warsaw 1227 1 @ Warta Poznan 1195 0
15 1950-04-16 24.76% Lech Poznan 1242 1 @ Legia Warsaw 1210 0
16 1950-08-06 24.96% Lech Poznan 1212 3 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1178 2
17 1950-09-02 25.02% Lech Poznan 1249 3 @ LKS Lodz 1214 0
18 1950-03-26 25.80% Garbarnia Krakow 1278 2 @ Ruch Chorzow 1236 1
19 1950-04-02 26.03% Lech Poznan 1231 2 @ Szombierki Bytom 1187 1
20 1950-07-02 26.26% Ruch Chorzow 1280 3 @ Lech Poznan 1234 1
21 1950-06-25 27.40% Legia Warsaw 1208 2 @ Warta Poznan 1152 0
22 1950-09-24 28.26% Lech Poznan 1272 3 @ Polonia Warsaw 1210 1
23 1950-03-19 29.79% Wisla Krakow 1287 3 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1212 1
24 1950-09-17 30.09% Budowlani Chorzow 1182 6 @ Warta Poznan 1105 0
25 1950-09-17 31.56% @ Szombierki Bytom 1072 3 Gornik Radlin 1285 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-09-17 57.40 Budowlani Chorzow 6 1182 30.09% @ Warta Poznan 0 1105 49.83% 20.08%
2 1950-04-23 45.89 Wisla Krakow 5 1278 32.91% @ Szombierki Bytom 0 1179 47.00% 20.09%
3 1950-09-02 32.86 Lech Poznan 3 1249 25.02% @ LKS Lodz 0 1214 54.98% 20.01%
4 1950-06-25 32.21 Garbarnia Krakow 4 1280 40.45% @ Szombierki Bytom 0 1126 39.51% 20.03%
5 1950-10-14 31.48 @ Lech Poznan 7 1291 59.67% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1282 20.46% 19.87%
6 1950-04-16 30.51 Ruch Chorzow 4 1219 19.44% @ LKS Lodz 1 1239 60.74% 19.82%
7 1950-10-14 27.74 Ruch Chorzow 3 1343 34.36% @ Legia Warsaw 0 1233 45.55% 20.09%
8 1950-04-16 25.93 Gornik Radlin 2 1257 17.11% @ Wisla Krakow 0 1304 63.21% 19.69%
9 1950-10-01 24.47 @ Polonia Warsaw 5 1191 44.71% Garbarnia Krakow 1 1307 35.21% 20.08%
10 1950-10-08 24.22 @ Polonia Warsaw 4 1216 52.08% Gornik Radlin 0 1275 27.86% 20.06%
11 1950-03-26 23.65 Szombierki Bytom 3 1164 14.04% @ Polonia Warsaw 1 1251 66.52% 19.44%
12 1950-06-25 21.69 Legia Warsaw 2 1208 27.40% @ Warta Poznan 0 1152 52.55% 20.05%
13 1950-11-12 20.49 @ Budowlani Chorzow 6 1240 57.70% Garbarnia Krakow 1 1250 22.37% 19.94%
14 1950-08-27 19.48 @ Lech Poznan 11 1230 70.62% Szombierki Bytom 1 1083 10.40% 18.98%
15 1950-07-02 19.17 Ruch Chorzow 3 1280 26.26% @ Lech Poznan 1 1234 53.70% 20.03%
16 1950-09-24 19.11 @ Warta Poznan 4 1047 44.35% LKS Lodz 1 1166 35.57% 20.08%
17 1950-09-02 18.99 @ Budowlani Chorzow 3 1173 51.26% Polonia Warsaw 0 1239 28.68% 20.07%
18 1950-09-24 18.50 Lech Poznan 3 1272 28.26% @ Polonia Warsaw 1 1210 51.68% 20.06%
19 1950-03-19 17.99 Wisla Krakow 3 1287 29.79% @ Budowlani Chorzow 1 1212 50.13% 20.08%
20 1950-08-06 17.37 Gornik Radlin 5 1261 22.27% @ Legia Warsaw 3 1252 57.79% 19.93%
21 1950-05-18 17.25 @ Ruch Chorzow 3 1247 54.40% Gornik Radlin 0 1287 25.58% 20.02%
22 1950-05-21 16.74 Wisla Krakow 2 1327 41.16% @ Warta Poznan 0 1169 38.81% 20.02%
23 1950-09-10 16.27 Wisla Krakow 3 1368 35.25% @ Cracovia 1 1251 44.66% 20.08%
24 1950-08-20 16.03 Legia Warsaw 3 1221 36.02% @ Szombierki Bytom 1 1099 43.90% 20.08%
25 1950-09-17 15.92 @ Wisla Krakow 7 1384 71.34% Polonia Warsaw 0 1226 9.78% 18.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-06-11 62.6 @ Lech Poznan 3 1250 61.23% Polonia Warsaw 3 1225 18.98% 19.80%
2 1950-11-09 59.9 Cracovia 3 1243 11.42% @ Ruch Chorzow 2 1371 69.45% 19.14%
3 1950-06-22 58.4 @ Gornik Radlin 2 1272 70.72% Szombierki Bytom 2 1124 10.32% 18.97%
4 1950-04-02 58.3 @ Legia Warsaw 2 1211 49.67% Garbarnia Krakow 2 1289 30.25% 20.08%
5 1950-04-16 58.3 @ Warta Poznan 2 1183 45.97% Garbarnia Krakow 2 1290 33.95% 20.09%
6 1950-07-02 58.3 @ LKS Lodz 2 1228 69.81% Szombierki Bytom 2 1094 11.10% 19.09%
7 1950-06-22 58.2 @ Legia Warsaw 2 1209 56.95% Polonia Warsaw 2 1226 23.09% 19.96%
8 1950-07-02 58.1 @ Budowlani Chorzow 2 1191 64.39% Warta Poznan 2 1131 16.00% 19.61%
9 1950-09-17 56.6 Cracovia 3 1235 20.40% @ Legia Warsaw 2 1245 59.74% 19.86%
10 1950-08-06 55.9 Gornik Radlin 5 1261 22.27% @ Legia Warsaw 3 1252 57.79% 19.93%
11 1950-08-06 55.0 Lech Poznan 3 1212 24.96% @ Budowlani Chorzow 2 1178 55.03% 20.01%
12 1950-10-07 54.1 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1 1283 52.10% Ruch Chorzow 1 1342 27.85% 20.06%
13 1950-08-27 54.0 Legia Warsaw 2 1237 13.85% @ Garbarnia Krakow 1 1327 66.72% 19.42%
14 1950-11-19 54.0 @ Ruch Chorzow 1 1368 73.74% LKS Lodz 1 1165 7.81% 18.45%
15 1950-11-12 53.8 @ Cracovia 1 1256 51.28% Lech Poznan 1 1322 28.66% 20.07%
16 1950-11-19 53.8 @ Lech Poznan 1 1323 70.36% Legia Warsaw 1 1181 10.63% 19.02%
17 1950-09-03 53.7 @ Cracovia 1 1253 51.96% Garbarnia Krakow 1 1313 27.98% 20.06%
18 1950-03-19 53.5 @ Gornik Radlin 1 1258 59.72% Polonia Warsaw 1 1249 20.42% 19.86%
19 1950-04-23 53.4 @ Ruch Chorzow 1 1249 63.62% Legia Warsaw 1 1198 16.72% 19.66%
20 1950-11-19 53.4 @ Polonia Warsaw 1 1228 55.79% Cracovia 1 1255 24.22% 19.99%
21 1950-03-26 53.3 @ Lech Poznan 1 1234 62.59% Budowlani Chorzow 1 1194 17.69% 19.72%
22 1950-04-02 53.3 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1 1196 51.70% Cracovia 1 1259 28.24% 20.06%
23 1950-04-23 53.3 @ Polonia Warsaw 1 1231 62.48% Budowlani Chorzow 1 1193 17.79% 19.73%
24 1950-09-02 53.2 @ Warta Poznan 1 1109 37.24% Gornik Radlin 1 1279 42.77% 20.00%
25 1950-10-01 53.2 @ LKS Lodz 1 1147 47.90% Budowlani Chorzow 1 1240 32.01% 20.09%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-10-01 24.6 @ Ruch Chorzow 4 1337 76.79% Warta Poznan 0 1066 5.50% 17.71%
2 1950-07-30 25.3 @ Garbarnia Krakow 4 1320 74.74% Szombierki Bytom 0 1096 7.02% 18.24%
3 1950-08-20 25.3 @ Wisla Krakow 4 1357 75.24% Warta Poznan 0 1123 6.64% 18.12%
4 1950-06-11 27.5 @ Ruch Chorzow 3 1276 70.50% Szombierki Bytom 0 1132 10.50% 19.00%
5 1950-08-05 27.7 @ Wisla Krakow 4 1346 68.38% LKS Lodz 0 1233 12.36% 19.26%
6 1950-09-17 27.9 @ Wisla Krakow 7 1384 71.34% Polonia Warsaw 0 1226 9.78% 18.88%
7 1950-07-30 28.2 @ Legia Warsaw 3 1243 68.20% Warta Poznan 0 1133 12.52% 19.28%
8 1950-08-27 28.9 @ Lech Poznan 11 1230 70.62% Szombierki Bytom 1 1083 10.40% 18.98%
9 1950-09-10 29.0 @ Lech Poznan 2 1282 72.13% Warta Poznan 0 1109 9.12% 18.75%
10 1950-06-11 29.2 @ LKS Lodz 3 1217 64.77% Warta Poznan 0 1152 15.65% 19.58%
11 1950-07-30 29.4 @ Gornik Radlin 3 1249 64.36% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1189 16.02% 19.61%
12 1950-03-26 30.2 @ Gornik Radlin 3 1256 61.97% Legia Warsaw 0 1223 18.27% 19.76%
13 1950-09-05 30.2 @ Wisla Krakow 4 1365 78.00% Szombierki Bytom 1 1063 4.67% 17.33%
14 1950-10-08 30.2 @ Wisla Krakow 2 1404 71.60% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1240 9.56% 18.84%
15 1950-06-22 30.6 @ Ruch Chorzow 2 1284 67.40% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1185 13.24% 19.36%
16 1950-10-14 31.2 @ Lech Poznan 7 1291 59.67% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1282 20.46% 19.87%
17 1950-08-26 31.3 @ Cracovia 2 1245 64.73% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1180 15.69% 19.59%
18 1950-11-19 31.8 @ Garbarnia Krakow 4 1230 72.01% Warta Poznan 1 1059 9.22% 18.77%
19 1950-07-01 32.0 @ Garbarnia Krakow 2 1312 63.87% Gornik Radlin 0 1257 16.48% 19.65%
20 1950-11-05 32.0 @ Cracovia 4 1237 71.44% Szombierki Bytom 1 1076 9.70% 18.86%
21 1950-10-08 32.2 @ Polonia Warsaw 4 1216 52.08% Gornik Radlin 0 1275 27.86% 20.06%
22 1950-09-16 32.4 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1 1308 70.12% LKS Lodz 0 1169 10.83% 19.05%
23 1950-05-18 32.7 @ Ruch Chorzow 3 1247 54.40% Gornik Radlin 0 1287 25.58% 20.02%
24 1950-08-26 32.9 @ Polonia Warsaw 4 1231 68.53% Warta Poznan 1 1117 12.23% 19.24%
25 1950-04-23 33.1 @ Gornik Radlin 1 1283 67.53% Warta Poznan 0 1183 13.12% 19.35%