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1951 I liga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Wisla Krakow

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gornik Radlin

5.40 points above expected

29 points · 23.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gwardia Szczecin

7.97 points below expected

7 points · 14.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Wisla Krakow 22 13 6 3 32 43 13 +30 29.59 +2.41
2 Gornik Radlin 22 12 5 5 29 41 28 +13 23.60 +5.40
3 Legia Warsaw 22 12 3 7 27 37 31 +6 22.53 +4.47
4 Budowlani Chorzow 22 12 1 9 25 34 23 +11 24.48 +0.52
5 Cracovia 22 10 5 7 25 33 31 +2 23.08 +1.92
6 Ruch Chorzow 22 11 2 9 24 46 35 +11 24.83 -0.83
7 Polonia Warsaw 22 10 3 9 23 33 28 +5 21.89 +1.11
8 Lech Poznan 22 10 3 9 23 35 37 -2 22.78 +0.22
9 LKS Lodz 22 7 4 11 18 22 32 -10 18.70 -0.70
10 Polonia Bytom 22 5 6 11 16 16 26 -10 18.02 -2.02
11 Garbarnia Krakow 22 4 7 11 15 30 42 -12 19.53 -4.53
12 Gwardia Szczecin 22 1 5 16 7 17 61 -44 14.97 -7.97

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gornik Radlin 29 23.60 +5.40
2 Legia Warsaw 27 22.53 +4.47
3 Wisla Krakow 32 29.59 +2.41
4 Cracovia 25 23.08 +1.92
5 Polonia Warsaw 23 21.89 +1.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gwardia Szczecin 7 14.97 -7.97
2 Garbarnia Krakow 15 19.53 -4.53
3 Polonia Bytom 16 18.02 -2.02
4 Ruch Chorzow 24 24.83 -0.83
5 LKS Lodz 18 18.70 -0.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Legia Warsaw 6 Mar 18 – May 20 1 in 293
2 Ruch Chorzow 6 Jul 8 – Sep 30 1 in 224
3 Gornik Radlin 4 Sep 30 – Nov 11 1 in 22
4 LKS Lodz 3 Apr 15 – May 20 1 in 21
5 Budowlani Chorzow 4 Jun 21 – Jul 7 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gwardia Szczecin 7 Mar 18 – Jun 3 1 in 421
2 Lech Poznan 5 Jun 24 – Aug 25 1 in 57
3 Polonia Warsaw 3 Sep 2 – Sep 30 1 in 18
4 Legia Warsaw 2 Oct 21 – Oct 28 1 in 17
5 Polonia Bytom 4 Apr 15 – Jun 3 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ruch Chorzow 8 Jun 24 – Sep 30 1 in 61
2 Polonia Bytom 4 Sep 30 – Nov 4 1 in 27
3 Garbarnia Krakow 4 Sep 1 – Oct 14 1 in 25
4 LKS Lodz 5 Apr 15 – Jun 7 1 in 24
5 Legia Warsaw 6 Mar 18 – May 20 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gwardia Szczecin 21 Mar 18 – Oct 28 1 in 384
2 Garbarnia Krakow 9 Jul 7 – Nov 4 1 in 50
3 Polonia Bytom 9 Apr 1 – Jun 17 1 in 45
4 Legia Warsaw 3 Sep 23 – Oct 28 1 in 11
5 Wisla Krakow 4 Mar 18 – Apr 15 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Wisla Krakow 1431 32 +19 8 7.5 +0.5
Gornik Radlin 1320 29 +28 8 5.5 +2.5
Legia Warsaw 1241 27 -19 3 5.3 -2.3
Budowlani Chorzow 1288 25 -11 5 6.2 -1.2
Cracovia 1256 25 -6 5 5.6 -0.6
Ruch Chorzow 1299 24 -24 6 6.4 -0.4
Lech Poznan 1250 23 +27 6 4.8 +1.2
Polonia Warsaw 1236 23 -17 3 4.2 -1.2
LKS Lodz 1142 18 -17 5 4.6 +0.4
Polonia Bytom 1162 16 +19 6 3.8 +2.2
Garbarnia Krakow 1153 15 -13 3 3.7 -0.7
Gwardia Szczecin 1045 7 +14 2 2.6 -0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BC CRA GK GR GS LL LP LW PB PW RC WK
Budowlani Chorzow —
1-0-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.23
0-0-2
2.90
2-0-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.01
0-0-2
3.09
2-0-0
3.76
0-0-2
3.13
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.26
Cracovia
1-0-1
2.65
—
1-1-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
4.07
1-0-1
3.49
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
2.77
0-2-0
3.45
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.25
Garbarnia Krakow
0-0-2
2.37
0-1-1
2.29
—
0-2-0
2.18
1-1-0
3.21
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
1.67
Gornik Radlin
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.87
0-2-0
3.42
—
1-1-0
3.85
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.14
Gwardia Szczecin
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
1.54
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
1.76
—
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
1.82
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.70
1-0-1
1.20
0-0-2
0.89
LKS Lodz
0-0-2
2.11
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
2.36
0-0-2
1.94
2-0-0
3.32
—
0-0-2
2.22
0-1-1
2.47
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.14
1-0-1
1.48
Lech Poznan
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.38
—
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
3.66
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.24
Legia Warsaw
2-0-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.83
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.46
2-0-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.13
1-1-0
2.82
—
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.15
Polonia Bytom
0-0-2
1.84
0-2-0
2.15
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.31
1-1-0
3.53
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
1.95
1-0-1
2.12
—
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
1.54
Polonia Warsaw
2-0-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
2.73
2-0-0
3.91
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
2.79
1-1-0
3.29
—
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
1.89
Ruch Chorzow
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
4.42
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.13
—
0-1-1
2.32
Wisla Krakow
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.95
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
4.75
1-0-1
4.14
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.28
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +6.0
Allowed 0.66 -4.8
Differential 0.92 +3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%9.09%3.41%4.17%2.65%1.52%24.62%
19.09%13.64%7.58%6.06%1.14%1.14%38.64%
23.41%7.58%0.76%1.89%1.52%—15.15%
34.17%6.06%1.89%0.76%——12.88%
42.65%1.14%1.52%——0.38%5.68%
5+1.52%1.14%——0.38%—3.03%
Total24.62%38.64%15.15%12.88%5.68%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.35 1.35 2.12
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
118.18%4.55%13.64%9.09%——45.45%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
34.55%13.64%————18.18%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%36.36%13.64%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.05 +0.50
SD 1.26 1.05 1.95
CV 0.82 1.00 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
14.55%18.18%—9.09%——31.82%
2—18.18%————18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%54.55%18.18%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.41 +0.09
SD 1.41 1.14 1.97
CV 0.94 0.81 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%9.09%—22.73%
14.55%31.82%4.55%9.09%——50.00%
2———9.09%4.55%—13.64%
3———————
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%45.45%4.55%27.27%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.91 -0.55
SD 1.36 1.31 2.20
CV 1.00 0.68 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
113.64%13.64%13.64%———40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
39.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%27.27%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.27 +0.59
SD 0.99 1.03 1.33
CV 0.53 0.81 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%13.64%45.45%
1—18.18%13.64%—9.09%—40.91%
2————4.55%—4.55%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%18.18%13.64%22.73%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.77 -2.00
SD 0.92 1.88 2.35
CV 1.19 0.68 —
Max 3 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
19.09%13.64%9.09%9.09%——40.91%
2—13.64%————13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%50.00%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.45 -0.45
SD 1.07 1.06 1.57
CV 1.07 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%4.55%—18.18%
14.55%13.64%—18.18%——36.36%
213.64%9.09%————22.73%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%9.09%27.27%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.68 -0.09
SD 1.22 1.49 2.14
CV 0.77 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
113.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
24.55%18.18%—4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%18.18%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.41 +0.27
SD 1.09 1.22 1.52
CV 0.65 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%27.27%—4.55%4.55%—45.45%
113.64%18.18%9.09%——4.55%45.45%
2———————
39.09%—————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%45.45%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.18 -0.45
SD 0.88 1.33 1.77
CV 1.21 1.13 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%31.82%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total40.91%27.27%13.64%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.27 +0.23
SD 1.60 1.55 2.54
CV 1.06 1.22 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
19.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%——36.36%
2—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
3—18.18%4.55%———22.73%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%———4.55%—9.09%
Total18.18%36.36%18.18%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.59 +0.50
SD 1.87 1.18 2.41
CV 0.90 0.74 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
19.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total54.55%31.82%13.64%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 0.59 +1.36
SD 1.65 0.73 1.97
CV 0.84 1.24 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Wisla Krakow 1431 32 29.59 +2.41 78.0% 21 24 27 30 32 35 37
Gornik Radlin 1320 29 23.60 +5.40 97.0% 12 17 20 24 27 29 36
Ruch Chorzow 1299 24 24.83 -0.83 47.0% 17 19 22 25 27 33 35
Budowlani Chorzow 1288 25 24.48 +0.52 65.0% 13 18 21 24 27 31 35
Cracovia 1256 25 23.08 +1.92 77.0% 14 17 21 23 25 29 31
Lech Poznan 1250 23 22.78 +0.22 54.0% 11 16 20 23 25 29 33
Legia Warsaw 1241 27 22.53 +4.47 88.0% 12 15 19 22 26 30 33
Polonia Warsaw 1236 23 21.89 +1.11 64.0% 14 16 19 22 25 28 31
Polonia Bytom 1162 16 18.02 -2.02 31.0% 6 9 16 18 21 24 27
Garbarnia Krakow 1153 15 19.53 -4.53 16.0% 11 13 17 19 23 27 31
LKS Lodz 1142 18 18.70 -0.70 46.0% 7 11 16 19 21 25 31
Gwardia Szczecin 1045 7 14.97 -7.97 0.0% 8 9 13 15 17 21 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 26% * Clear Edge: 26% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.91%
No Edge
48.48%18.94%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
150 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
055.75400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.45 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.2 * Runaway: 0.2 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
56%
Wisla Krakow, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.21 * Some Luck: 3.21 to 4.81 * Lucky: 4.81 to 6.41 * Wild Swing: 6.41 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.77 * Close: 1.77 to 2.65 * Off: 2.65 to 3.54 * Way Off: 3.54 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.53 points
Some Luck
04.0110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.215
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Gornik Radlin
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Gwardia Szczecin
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.2 * Moderate Separation: 1.2 to 1.45 * Strong Separation: 1.45 to 1.75 * Wide Separation: 1.75 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 62.5% * Clear Edge: 62.5% to 66.5% * Wide Edge: 66.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80% * Clear Edge: 80% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 89% * Dominant: 89% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 61% * Some Drama: 61% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 12.5% * Occasional: 12.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17% * Very Frequent: 17% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Lopsided
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 100.00
1.63
Strong Separation
0.71.21.451.752.5
Interquartile Edge
68%
Wide Edge
50%60%66.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Dominant
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Few
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Very Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.52 * Lopsided: 0.52 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.62 * Near-Lock: 0.62 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 19.5% * Shaky Favorites: 19.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.82
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.47
Some Carryover
00.380.50.621
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.47
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.29
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.1420.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Wisla Krakow56.00%23.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%—————
Gornik Radlin8.00%12.00%14.00%14.00%7.00%13.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%
Legia Warsaw5.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%2.00%
Budowlani Chorzow13.00%9.00%21.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%—1.00%
Cracovia2.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%13.00%18.00%15.00%3.00%9.00%4.00%5.00%—
Ruch Chorzow9.00%15.00%17.00%16.00%9.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%—
Polonia Warsaw1.00%6.00%6.00%12.00%15.00%10.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%1.00%
Lech Poznan4.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%14.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%
LKS Lodz—2.00%1.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%11.00%15.00%19.00%13.00%
Polonia Bytom——3.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%16.00%16.00%14.00%20.00%15.00%
Garbarnia Krakow2.00%2.00%1.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%18.00%21.00%16.00%8.00%
Gwardia Szczecin——1.00%1.00%——3.00%5.00%4.00%14.00%19.00%53.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Wisla Krakow 100% —
Budowlani Chorzow 99.00% 1.00%
Ruch Chorzow 99.00% 1.00%
Cracovia 95.00% 5.00%
Gornik Radlin 95.00% 5.00%
Lech Poznan 93.00% 7.00%
Legia Warsaw 91.00% 9.00%
Polonia Warsaw 91.00% 9.00%
Garbarnia Krakow 76.00% 24.00%
LKS Lodz 68.00% 32.00%
Polonia Bytom 65.00% 35.00%
Gwardia Szczecin 28.00% 72.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1951-03-18 Polonia Warsaw L 1-348.3 1231 1214 53.28% 19.99% 26.73%+0.48 -19.3 0
1951-03-18 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 3-148.3 1214 1231 26.73% 19.99% 53.28%-0.48 +19.3 2
1951-03-18 Garbarnia Krakow L 1-445.3 1223 1220 51.60% 20.02% 28.38%+0.39 -26.5 0
1951-03-18 @ Gwardia Szczecin W 4-145.3 1220 1223 28.38% 20.02% 51.60%-0.39 +26.5 2
1951-03-18 LKS Lodz W 1-036.0 1234 1177 57.75% 19.86% 22.40%+0.75 +5.7 2
1951-03-18 @ Cracovia L 0-136.0 1177 1234 22.40% 19.86% 57.75%-0.75 -5.7 0
1951-03-18 Wisla Krakow W 1-041.1 1274 1335 43.21% 20.09% 36.70%-0.03 +8.6 2
1951-03-18 @ Lech Poznan L 0-141.1 1335 1274 36.70% 20.09% 43.21%+0.03 -8.6 0
1951-03-18 Ruch Chorzow W 3-253.4 1189 1299 36.25% 20.03% 43.72%-0.36 +8.9 2
1951-03-18 @ Legia Warsaw L 2-353.4 1299 1189 43.72% 20.03% 36.25%+0.36 -8.9 0
1951-03-18 Gornik Radlin W 1-039.8 1190 1236 45.28% 20.09% 34.64%+0.07 +8.2 2
1951-03-18 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-139.8 1236 1190 34.64% 20.09% 45.28%-0.07 -8.2 0
1951-04-01 Budowlani Chorzow L 0-438.6 1197 1212 49.34% 20.06% 30.60%+0.27 -39.5 0
1951-04-01 @ Gwardia Szczecin W 4-038.6 1212 1197 30.60% 20.06% 49.34%-0.27 +39.5 2
1951-04-01 Lech Poznan W 4-034.2 1247 1283 46.58% 20.08% 33.34%+0.13 +28.6 4
1951-04-01 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-434.2 1283 1247 33.34% 20.08% 46.58%-0.13 -28.6 2
1951-04-01 Wisla Krakow D 2-260.7 1227 1326 37.83% 20.05% 42.12%-0.29 +0.1 1
1951-04-01 @ Gornik Radlin D 2-260.7 1326 1227 42.12% 20.05% 37.83%+0.29 -0.1 1
1951-04-01 Legia Warsaw L 0-240.7 1172 1198 47.84% 20.07% 32.09%+0.19 -20.3 0
1951-04-01 @ LKS Lodz W 2-040.7 1198 1172 32.09% 20.07% 47.84%-0.19 +20.3 4
1951-04-01 Polonia Bytom W 5-135.4 1233 1198 55.40% 19.94% 24.66%+0.60 +18.5 4
1951-04-01 @ Polonia Warsaw L 1-535.4 1198 1233 24.66% 19.94% 55.40%-0.60 -18.5 2
1951-04-01 Cracovia L 1-252.2 1290 1239 57.16% 19.88% 22.96%+0.71 -11.9 0
1951-04-01 @ Ruch Chorzow W 2-152.2 1239 1290 22.96% 19.88% 57.16%-0.71 +11.9 4
1951-04-08 Garbarnia Krakow W 4-033.7 1251 1275 48.15% 20.07% 31.78%+0.21 +27.5 4
1951-04-08 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 0-433.7 1275 1251 31.78% 20.07% 48.15%-0.21 -27.5 4
1951-04-08 Polonia Warsaw W 3-034.1 1228 1252 48.14% 20.07% 31.79%+0.21 +21.0 3
1951-04-08 @ Gornik Radlin L 0-334.1 1252 1228 31.79% 20.07% 48.14%-0.21 -21.0 4
1951-04-08 LKS Lodz W 2-140.0 1254 1151 62.34% 19.63% 18.03%+1.05 +4.4 4
1951-04-08 @ Lech Poznan L 1-240.0 1151 1254 18.03% 19.63% 62.34%-1.05 -4.4 0
1951-04-08 Gwardia Szczecin W 4-242.8 1218 1157 58.28% 19.84% 21.89%+0.78 +8.2 6
1951-04-08 @ Legia Warsaw L 2-442.8 1157 1218 21.89% 19.84% 58.28%-0.78 -8.2 0
1951-04-08 Cracovia D 1-154.5 1180 1251 41.67% 20.08% 38.24%-0.11 -0.2 3
1951-04-08 @ Polonia Bytom D 1-154.5 1251 1180 38.24% 20.08% 41.67%+0.11 +0.2 5
1951-04-08 Ruch Chorzow D 1-155.2 1326 1278 56.78% 19.89% 23.33%+0.69 -1.7 2
1951-04-08 @ Wisla Krakow D 1-155.2 1278 1326 23.33% 19.89% 56.78%-0.69 +1.7 1
1951-04-15 Gornik Radlin L 0-335.7 1149 1249 37.67% 20.05% 42.27%-0.29 -24.1 0
1951-04-15 @ Gwardia Szczecin W 3-035.7 1249 1149 42.27% 20.05% 37.67%+0.29 +24.1 5
1951-04-15 Budowlani Chorzow W 3-034.4 1252 1279 47.79% 20.07% 32.14%+0.19 +21.2 7
1951-04-15 @ Cracovia L 0-334.4 1279 1252 32.14% 20.07% 47.79%-0.19 -21.2 4
1951-04-15 Legia Warsaw L 1-348.9 1259 1227 55.05% 19.95% 25.01%+0.58 -19.9 4
1951-04-15 @ Lech Poznan W 3-148.9 1227 1259 25.01% 19.95% 55.05%-0.58 +19.9 8
1951-04-15 Garbarnia Krakow W 4-249.1 1147 1248 37.52% 20.05% 42.43%-0.30 +14.2 2
1951-04-15 @ LKS Lodz L 2-449.1 1248 1147 42.43% 20.05% 37.52%+0.30 -14.2 4
1951-04-15 Wisla Krakow D 0-050.6 1231 1324 38.57% 20.06% 41.37%-0.25 +0.2 5
1951-04-15 @ Polonia Warsaw D 0-050.6 1324 1231 41.37% 20.06% 38.57%+0.25 -0.2 3
1951-04-15 Polonia Bytom W 1-034.8 1280 1180 62.14% 19.64% 18.22%+1.04 +4.8 3
1951-04-15 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-134.8 1180 1280 18.22% 19.64% 62.14%-1.04 -4.8 3
1951-05-05 Gornik Radlin L 2-356.3 1285 1273 52.73% 20.00% 27.27%+0.45 -10.5 3
1951-05-05 @ Ruch Chorzow W 3-256.3 1273 1285 27.27% 20.00% 52.73%-0.45 +10.5 7
1951-05-06 LKS Lodz L 1-248.6 1125 1161 46.54% 20.08% 33.38%+0.13 -9.9 0
1951-05-06 @ Gwardia Szczecin W 2-148.6 1161 1125 33.38% 20.08% 46.54%-0.13 +9.9 4
1951-05-06 Garbarnia Krakow W 3-247.5 1273 1234 55.86% 19.92% 24.22%+0.63 +5.5 9
1951-05-06 @ Cracovia L 2-347.5 1234 1273 24.22% 19.92% 55.86%-0.63 -5.5 4
1951-05-06 Polonia Warsaw W 2-034.9 1239 1231 52.18% 20.01% 27.81%+0.42 +12.9 6
1951-05-06 @ Lech Poznan L 0-234.9 1231 1239 27.81% 20.01% 52.18%-0.42 -13.0 5
1951-05-06 Budowlani Chorzow W 1-038.6 1247 1257 49.88% 20.05% 30.07%+0.30 +7.3 10
1951-05-06 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-138.6 1257 1247 30.07% 20.05% 49.88%-0.30 -7.3 4
1951-05-06 Wisla Krakow L 0-138.8 1175 1324 31.05% 19.93% 49.02%-0.62 -7.5 3
1951-05-06 @ Polonia Bytom W 1-038.8 1324 1175 49.02% 19.93% 31.05%+0.62 +7.5 5
1951-05-19 Gornik Radlin D 1-154.7 1228 1283 43.99% 20.09% 35.93%+0.00 -0.4 5
1951-05-19 @ Garbarnia Krakow D 1-154.7 1283 1228 35.93% 20.09% 43.99%+0.00 +0.4 8
1951-05-20 Lech Poznan W 3-141.1 1250 1252 51.03% 20.03% 28.94%+0.36 +11.6 6
1951-05-20 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 1-341.1 1252 1250 28.94% 20.03% 51.03%-0.36 -11.6 6
1951-05-20 Wisla Krakow D 0-050.9 1278 1332 44.22% 20.09% 35.69%+0.02 -0.5 10
1951-05-20 @ Cracovia D 0-050.9 1332 1278 35.69% 20.09% 44.22%-0.02 +0.5 6
1951-05-20 Ruch Chorzow W 3-145.2 1171 1274 37.15% 20.05% 42.80%-0.32 +16.0 6
1951-05-20 @ LKS Lodz L 1-345.2 1274 1171 42.80% 20.05% 37.15%+0.32 -16.0 3
1951-05-20 Legia Warsaw L 0-141.2 1167 1254 39.55% 20.07% 40.38%-0.20 -9.2 3
1951-05-20 @ Polonia Bytom W 1-041.2 1254 1167 40.38% 20.07% 39.55%+0.20 +9.2 12
1951-05-20 Gwardia Szczecin W 5-029.3 1218 1115 62.38% 19.63% 17.99%+1.06 +20.7 7
1951-05-20 @ Polonia Warsaw L 0-529.3 1115 1218 17.99% 19.63% 62.38%-1.06 -20.7 0
1951-06-02 Ruch Chorzow L 2-354.4 1228 1259 47.28% 20.08% 32.64%+0.17 -9.5 5
1951-06-02 @ Garbarnia Krakow W 3-254.4 1259 1228 32.64% 20.08% 47.28%-0.17 +9.5 5
1951-06-02 Gornik Radlin W 4-247.0 1240 1284 45.56% 20.09% 34.36%+0.08 +12.0 8
1951-06-02 @ Lech Poznan L 2-447.0 1284 1240 34.36% 20.09% 45.56%-0.08 -12.0 8
1951-06-03 Polonia Bytom W 3-029.7 1262 1158 62.40% 19.63% 17.98%+1.06 +12.9 8
1951-06-03 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 0-329.7 1158 1262 17.98% 19.63% 62.40%-1.06 -12.9 3
1951-06-03 Cracovia L 1-242.7 1094 1278 26.87% 19.79% 53.34%-0.85 -6.3 0
1951-06-03 @ Gwardia Szczecin W 2-142.7 1278 1094 53.34% 19.79% 26.87%+0.85 +6.3 12
1951-06-03 LKS Lodz D 1-154.5 1239 1187 57.25% 19.87% 22.87%+0.72 -1.8 8
1951-06-03 @ Polonia Warsaw D 1-154.5 1187 1239 22.87% 19.87% 57.25%-0.72 +1.8 7
1951-06-03 Legia Warsaw W 3-139.2 1332 1263 59.06% 19.80% 21.13%+0.83 +8.9 8
1951-06-03 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-339.2 1263 1332 21.13% 19.80% 59.06%-0.83 -8.9 12
1951-06-06 Wisla Krakow L 0-335.3 1218 1341 34.53% 20.01% 45.47%-0.45 -22.5 5
1951-06-06 @ Garbarnia Krakow W 3-035.3 1341 1218 45.47% 20.01% 34.53%+0.45 +22.5 10
1951-06-07 Lech Poznan D 1-154.4 1088 1252 29.20% 19.87% 50.93%-0.72 +1.1 1
1951-06-07 @ Gwardia Szczecin D 1-154.4 1252 1088 50.93% 19.87% 29.20%+0.72 -1.1 9
1951-06-07 Cracovia W 3-141.8 1272 1284 49.68% 20.05% 30.27%+0.29 +12.0 10
1951-06-07 @ Gornik Radlin L 1-341.8 1284 1272 30.27% 20.05% 49.68%-0.29 -12.0 12
1951-06-07 Polonia Warsaw W 1-037.5 1254 1237 53.33% 19.99% 26.69%+0.49 +6.6 14
1951-06-07 @ Legia Warsaw L 0-137.5 1237 1254 26.69% 19.99% 53.33%-0.49 -6.6 8
1951-06-07 LKS Lodz D 1-154.3 1145 1189 45.59% 20.08% 34.33%+0.08 -0.5 4
1951-06-07 @ Polonia Bytom D 1-154.3 1189 1145 34.33% 20.08% 45.59%-0.08 +0.5 8
1951-06-07 Budowlani Chorzow L 1-347.8 1268 1274 50.44% 20.04% 29.52%+0.33 -18.4 5
1951-06-07 @ Ruch Chorzow W 3-147.8 1274 1268 29.52% 20.04% 50.44%-0.33 +18.4 10
1951-06-10 Polonia Warsaw L 0-243.5 1272 1230 56.14% 19.91% 23.95%+0.65 -23.5 12
1951-06-10 @ Cracovia W 2-043.5 1230 1272 23.95% 19.91% 56.14%-0.65 +23.5 10
1951-06-10 Polonia Bytom W 2-139.9 1251 1145 62.65% 19.61% 17.74%+1.08 +4.4 11
1951-06-10 @ Lech Poznan L 1-239.9 1145 1251 17.74% 19.61% 62.65%-1.08 -4.4 4
1951-06-10 Garbarnia Krakow D 1-154.6 1261 1196 58.65% 19.82% 21.53%+0.80 -1.9 15
1951-06-10 @ Legia Warsaw D 1-154.6 1196 1261 21.53% 19.82% 58.65%-0.80 +1.9 6
1951-06-10 Gornik Radlin L 0-141.0 1189 1284 38.42% 20.06% 41.52%-0.26 -9.0 8
1951-06-10 @ LKS Lodz W 1-041.0 1284 1189 41.52% 20.06% 38.42%+0.26 +9.0 12
1951-06-10 Gwardia Szczecin W 8-029.4 1250 1089 67.16% 19.24% 13.59%+1.44 +25.0 7
1951-06-10 @ Ruch Chorzow L 0-829.4 1089 1250 13.59% 19.24% 67.16%-1.44 -25.0 1
1951-06-10 Budowlani Chorzow W 1-036.7 1363 1293 59.22% 19.80% 20.98%+0.84 +5.4 12
1951-06-10 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-136.7 1293 1363 20.98% 19.80% 59.22%-0.84 -5.4 10
1951-06-17 Polonia Warsaw W 5-138.9 1198 1254 43.85% 20.09% 36.06%+0.00 +25.4 8
1951-06-17 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 1-538.9 1254 1198 36.06% 20.09% 43.85%+0.00 -25.4 10
1951-06-17 Budowlani Chorzow W 2-143.8 1293 1287 51.88% 20.02% 28.10%+0.41 +6.5 14
1951-06-17 @ Gornik Radlin L 1-243.8 1287 1293 28.10% 20.02% 51.88%-0.41 -6.5 10
1951-06-17 Cracovia L 2-452.4 1259 1249 52.50% 20.01% 27.49%+0.44 -17.1 15
1951-06-17 @ Legia Warsaw W 4-252.4 1249 1259 27.49% 20.01% 52.50%-0.44 +17.1 14
1951-06-17 Wisla Krakow W 2-151.3 1180 1369 26.32% 19.77% 53.92%-0.88 +11.3 10
1951-06-17 @ LKS Lodz L 1-251.3 1369 1180 53.92% 19.77% 26.32%+0.88 -11.3 12
1951-06-17 Gwardia Szczecin D 1-154.3 1140 1064 59.82% 19.77% 20.41%+0.88 -2.1 5
1951-06-17 @ Polonia Bytom D 1-154.3 1064 1140 20.41% 19.77% 59.82%-0.88 +2.0 2
1951-06-17 Lech Poznan L 0-242.8 1275 1255 53.59% 19.98% 26.43%+0.50 -22.5 7
1951-06-17 @ Ruch Chorzow W 2-042.8 1255 1275 26.43% 19.98% 53.59%-0.50 +22.4 13
1951-06-21 LKS Lodz W 2-140.6 1281 1192 61.08% 19.70% 19.22%+0.96 +4.7 12
1951-06-21 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 1-240.6 1192 1281 19.22% 19.70% 61.08%-0.96 -4.7 10
1951-06-21 Legia Warsaw L 1-252.4 1299 1242 57.85% 19.85% 22.30%+0.75 -12.1 14
1951-06-21 @ Gornik Radlin W 2-152.4 1242 1299 22.30% 19.85% 57.85%-0.75 +12.1 17
1951-06-21 Cracovia W 2-035.0 1278 1266 52.71% 20.00% 27.28%+0.45 +12.8 15
1951-06-21 @ Lech Poznan L 0-235.0 1266 1278 27.28% 20.00% 52.71%-0.45 -12.8 14
1951-06-21 Garbarnia Krakow W 3-036.4 1138 1223 39.80% 20.07% 40.13%-0.19 +25.4 7
1951-06-21 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-336.4 1223 1138 40.13% 20.07% 39.80%+0.19 -25.4 8
1951-06-21 Ruch Chorzow W 1-039.0 1228 1252 48.20% 20.07% 31.73%+0.21 +7.7 12
1951-06-21 @ Polonia Warsaw L 0-139.0 1252 1228 31.73% 20.07% 48.20%-0.21 -7.7 7
1951-06-21 Gwardia Szczecin W 4-025.3 1358 1066 74.99% 18.01% 7.00%+2.31 +6.8 14
1951-06-21 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-425.3 1066 1358 7.00% 18.01% 74.99%-2.31 -6.8 2
1951-06-24 Gwardia Szczecin D 1-154.6 1253 1059 69.50% 18.98% 11.53%+1.66 -3.2 15
1951-06-24 @ Cracovia D 1-154.6 1059 1253 11.53% 18.98% 69.50%-1.66 +3.2 3
1951-06-24 Lech Poznan W 3-038.3 1164 1290 33.98% 19.99% 46.02%-0.47 +28.4 9
1951-06-24 @ Polonia Bytom L 0-338.3 1290 1164 46.02% 19.99% 33.98%+0.47 -28.4 15
1951-06-24 Garbarnia Krakow W 4-031.1 1236 1198 55.78% 19.92% 24.30%+0.63 +21.9 14
1951-06-24 @ Polonia Warsaw L 0-431.1 1198 1236 24.30% 19.92% 55.78%-0.63 -21.9 8
1951-06-24 Legia Warsaw W 2-143.9 1245 1254 50.06% 20.05% 29.89%+0.31 +6.9 9
1951-06-24 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-243.9 1254 1245 29.89% 20.05% 50.06%-0.31 -6.9 17
1951-06-24 Gornik Radlin W 2-141.9 1364 1287 59.89% 19.76% 20.34%+0.88 +4.9 16
1951-06-24 @ Wisla Krakow L 1-241.9 1287 1364 20.34% 19.76% 59.89%-0.88 -4.9 14
1951-06-28 Budowlani Chorzow L 0-140.8 1187 1286 37.82% 20.05% 42.12%-0.29 -8.8 10
1951-06-28 @ LKS Lodz W 1-040.8 1286 1187 42.12% 20.05% 37.82%+0.29 +8.8 14
1951-06-30 Polonia Bytom W 1-038.5 1176 1192 49.16% 20.06% 30.78%+0.26 +7.5 10
1951-06-30 @ Garbarnia Krakow L 0-138.5 1192 1176 30.78% 20.06% 49.16%-0.26 -7.5 9
1951-07-01 Wisla Krakow W 2-039.3 1294 1369 41.21% 20.08% 38.71%-0.13 +17.0 16
1951-07-01 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 0-239.3 1369 1294 38.71% 20.08% 41.21%+0.13 -17.0 16
1951-07-01 Polonia Warsaw L 0-233.9 1062 1258 25.50% 19.73% 54.77%-0.93 -12.0 3
1951-07-01 @ Gwardia Szczecin W 2-033.9 1258 1062 54.77% 19.73% 25.50%+0.93 +12.0 16
1951-07-01 Lech Poznan W 3-141.6 1250 1262 49.68% 20.05% 30.26%+0.29 +12.0 17
1951-07-01 @ Cracovia L 1-341.6 1262 1250 30.26% 20.05% 49.68%-0.29 -12.0 15
1951-07-01 Ruch Chorzow D 1-154.8 1282 1251 54.91% 19.95% 25.14%+0.58 -1.5 15
1951-07-01 @ Gornik Radlin D 1-154.8 1251 1282 25.14% 19.95% 54.91%-0.58 +1.5 10
1951-07-01 LKS Lodz D 0-050.2 1247 1178 59.06% 19.80% 21.14%+0.83 -2.2 18
1951-07-01 @ Legia Warsaw D 0-050.2 1178 1247 21.14% 19.80% 59.06%-0.83 +2.2 11
1951-07-07 Budowlani Chorzow L 0-139.7 1183 1311 33.79% 19.99% 46.22%-0.48 -8.1 10
1951-07-07 @ Garbarnia Krakow W 1-039.7 1311 1183 46.22% 19.99% 33.79%+0.48 +8.1 18
1951-07-07 Cracovia L 1-544.0 1270 1262 52.25% 20.01% 27.74%+0.43 -34.7 16
1951-07-07 @ Polonia Warsaw W 5-144.0 1262 1270 27.74% 20.01% 52.25%-0.43 +34.7 19
1951-07-08 Legia Warsaw L 1-437.2 1050 1245 25.63% 19.74% 54.63%-0.92 -14.8 3
1951-07-08 @ Gwardia Szczecin W 4-137.2 1245 1050 54.63% 19.74% 25.63%+0.92 +14.8 20
1951-07-08 Polonia Bytom W 2-140.4 1281 1185 61.71% 19.67% 18.62%+1.01 +4.6 17
1951-07-08 @ Gornik Radlin L 1-240.4 1185 1281 18.62% 19.67% 61.71%-1.01 -4.6 9
1951-07-08 LKS Lodz W 3-138.4 1253 1180 59.44% 19.79% 20.77%+0.85 +8.7 12
1951-07-08 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-338.4 1180 1253 20.77% 19.79% 59.44%-0.85 -8.7 11
1951-07-08 Lech Poznan W 2-032.5 1352 1250 62.30% 19.63% 18.07%+1.05 +8.9 18
1951-07-08 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-232.5 1250 1352 18.07% 19.63% 62.30%-1.05 -8.9 15
1951-07-14 Polonia Bytom D 1-154.7 1296 1180 63.56% 19.55% 16.89%+1.14 -2.5 20
1951-07-14 @ Cracovia D 1-154.7 1180 1296 16.89% 19.55% 63.56%-1.14 +2.5 10
1951-07-14 Polonia Warsaw L 0-142.2 1172 1235 42.77% 20.09% 37.14%-0.05 -9.8 11
1951-07-14 @ LKS Lodz W 1-042.2 1235 1172 37.14% 20.09% 42.77%+0.05 +9.8 18
1951-07-15 Gornik Radlin L 0-146.6 1319 1285 55.30% 19.94% 24.76%+0.60 -12.3 18
1951-07-15 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 1-046.6 1285 1319 24.76% 19.94% 55.30%-0.60 +12.3 19
1951-07-15 Gwardia Szczecin D 1-154.5 1175 1036 65.52% 19.40% 15.08%+1.30 -2.7 11
1951-07-15 @ Garbarnia Krakow D 1-154.5 1036 1175 15.08% 19.40% 65.52%-1.30 +2.7 4
1951-07-15 Ruch Chorzow L 4-558.9 1241 1262 48.61% 20.06% 31.32%+0.23 -9.4 15
1951-07-15 @ Lech Poznan W 5-458.9 1262 1241 31.32% 20.06% 48.61%-0.23 +9.4 14
1951-07-15 Wisla Krakow L 1-441.8 1260 1361 37.41% 20.05% 42.54%-0.31 -20.2 20
1951-07-15 @ Legia Warsaw W 4-141.8 1361 1260 42.54% 20.05% 37.41%+0.31 +20.2 20
1951-08-25 Gwardia Szczecin D 3-364.8 1298 1038 73.38% 18.36% 8.26%+2.10 -2.2 20
1951-08-25 @ Gornik Radlin D 3-364.8 1038 1298 8.26% 18.36% 73.38%-2.10 +2.2 5
1951-08-25 Lech Poznan W 3-032.7 1245 1232 52.87% 20.00% 27.13%+0.46 +18.4 20
1951-08-25 @ Polonia Warsaw L 0-332.7 1232 1245 27.13% 20.00% 52.87%-0.46 -18.4 15
1951-08-25 LKS Lodz W 4-026.8 1381 1162 71.14% 18.75% 10.11%+1.83 +9.8 22
1951-08-25 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-426.8 1162 1381 10.11% 18.75% 71.14%-1.83 -9.8 11
1951-08-26 Cracovia W 3-141.1 1307 1294 52.86% 20.00% 27.14%+0.46 +11.0 20
1951-08-26 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 1-341.1 1294 1307 27.14% 20.00% 52.86%-0.46 -11.0 20
1951-08-26 Legia Warsaw L 1-247.5 1172 1239 42.35% 20.09% 37.57%-0.07 -9.1 11
1951-08-26 @ Garbarnia Krakow W 2-147.5 1239 1172 37.57% 20.09% 42.35%+0.07 +9.1 22
1951-08-26 Ruch Chorzow L 0-435.7 1183 1271 39.27% 20.07% 40.66%-0.22 -32.6 10
1951-08-26 @ Polonia Bytom W 4-035.7 1271 1183 40.66% 20.07% 39.27%+0.22 +32.6 16
1951-09-01 Garbarnia Krakow D 1-154.7 1295 1163 64.89% 19.45% 15.66%+1.25 -2.6 21
1951-09-01 @ Gornik Radlin D 1-154.7 1163 1295 15.66% 19.45% 64.89%-1.25 +2.6 12
1951-09-02 Ruch Chorzow L 1-349.0 1318 1304 53.01% 20.00% 27.00%+0.47 -19.2 20
1951-09-02 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 3-149.0 1304 1318 27.00% 20.00% 53.01%-0.47 +19.2 18
1951-09-02 Gwardia Szczecin W 3-027.9 1213 1040 68.05% 19.15% 12.80%+1.52 +9.4 17
1951-09-02 @ Lech Poznan L 0-327.9 1040 1213 12.80% 19.15% 68.05%-1.52 -9.4 5
1951-09-02 Polonia Bytom W 1-037.8 1152 1150 51.47% 20.03% 28.50%+0.38 +7.0 13
1951-09-02 @ LKS Lodz L 0-137.8 1150 1152 28.50% 20.03% 51.47%-0.38 -7.0 10
1951-09-02 Legia Warsaw L 1-250.9 1264 1248 53.07% 20.00% 26.94%+0.47 -11.1 20
1951-09-02 @ Polonia Warsaw W 2-150.9 1248 1264 26.94% 20.00% 53.07%-0.47 +11.1 24
1951-09-02 Cracovia W 5-030.6 1391 1283 62.85% 19.60% 17.56%+1.09 +20.3 24
1951-09-02 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-530.6 1283 1391 17.56% 19.60% 62.85%-1.09 -20.3 20
1951-09-23 Wisla Krakow L 0-526.8 1031 1412 10.59% 18.25% 71.15%-2.16 -12.5 5
1951-09-23 @ Gwardia Szczecin W 5-026.8 1412 1031 71.15% 18.25% 10.59%+2.16 +12.5 26
1951-09-23 Gornik Radlin W 2-145.0 1263 1293 47.39% 20.08% 32.54%+0.17 +7.4 22
1951-09-23 @ Cracovia L 1-245.0 1293 1263 32.54% 20.08% 47.39%-0.17 -7.4 21
1951-09-23 LKS Lodz D 1-154.3 1166 1159 52.10% 20.01% 27.88%+0.42 -1.2 13
1951-09-23 @ Garbarnia Krakow D 1-154.3 1159 1166 27.88% 20.01% 52.10%-0.42 +1.2 14
1951-09-23 Lech Poznan D 1-154.6 1260 1223 55.61% 19.93% 24.46%+0.62 -1.6 25
1951-09-23 @ Legia Warsaw D 1-154.6 1223 1260 24.46% 19.93% 55.61%-0.62 +1.6 18
1951-09-23 Budowlani Chorzow L 0-138.4 1143 1299 30.20% 19.90% 49.89%-0.67 -7.3 10
1951-09-23 @ Polonia Bytom W 1-038.4 1299 1143 49.89% 19.90% 30.20%+0.67 +7.3 22
1951-09-23 Polonia Warsaw W 3-139.0 1323 1252 59.22% 19.80% 20.99%+0.84 +8.8 20
1951-09-23 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-339.0 1252 1323 20.99% 19.80% 59.22%-0.84 -8.8 20
1951-09-29 Garbarnia Krakow D 1-155.6 1424 1165 73.38% 18.36% 8.27%+2.10 -3.6 27
1951-09-29 @ Wisla Krakow D 1-155.6 1165 1424 8.27% 18.36% 73.38%-2.10 +3.6 14
1951-09-30 Polonia Bytom L 0-139.7 1019 1136 35.29% 20.02% 44.70%-0.41 -8.4 5
1951-09-30 @ Gwardia Szczecin W 1-039.7 1136 1019 44.70% 20.02% 35.29%+0.41 +8.4 12
1951-09-30 Ruch Chorzow L 0-143.0 1270 1332 43.07% 20.09% 36.84%-0.04 -9.8 22
1951-09-30 @ Cracovia W 1-043.0 1332 1270 36.84% 20.09% 43.07%+0.04 +9.8 22
1951-09-30 Lech Poznan L 0-337.2 1160 1224 42.73% 20.09% 37.19%-0.06 -26.7 14
1951-09-30 @ LKS Lodz W 3-037.2 1224 1160 37.19% 20.09% 42.73%+0.06 +26.7 20
1951-09-30 Gornik Radlin L 0-143.4 1244 1285 45.82% 20.08% 34.10%+0.09 -10.3 20
1951-09-30 @ Polonia Warsaw W 1-043.4 1285 1244 34.10% 20.08% 45.82%-0.09 +10.4 23
1951-10-14 Cracovia D 1-154.5 1168 1260 38.79% 20.06% 41.14%-0.24 +0.1 15
1951-10-14 @ Garbarnia Krakow D 1-154.5 1260 1168 41.14% 20.06% 38.79%+0.24 -0.1 23
1951-10-14 Budowlani Chorzow D 1-154.9 1251 1306 43.96% 20.09% 35.95%+0.00 -0.4 21
1951-10-14 @ Lech Poznan D 1-154.9 1306 1251 35.95% 20.09% 43.96%+0.00 +0.4 23
1951-10-14 Gwardia Szczecin W 2-139.3 1133 1010 64.16% 19.51% 16.34%+1.19 +4.1 16
1951-10-14 @ LKS Lodz L 1-239.3 1010 1133 16.34% 19.51% 64.16%-1.19 -4.1 5
1951-10-14 Polonia Warsaw D 0-050.1 1144 1233 39.16% 20.07% 40.77%-0.22 +0.1 13
1951-10-14 @ Polonia Bytom D 0-050.1 1233 1144 40.77% 20.07% 39.16%+0.22 -0.1 21
1951-10-14 Wisla Krakow L 1-249.6 1342 1420 40.64% 20.08% 39.28%-0.15 -8.8 22
1951-10-14 @ Ruch Chorzow W 2-149.6 1420 1342 39.28% 20.08% 40.64%+0.15 +8.8 29
1951-10-21 Gornik Radlin L 2-354.4 1258 1296 46.37% 20.08% 33.55%+0.12 -9.3 25
1951-10-21 @ Legia Warsaw W 3-254.4 1296 1258 33.55% 20.08% 46.37%-0.12 +9.3 25
1951-10-28 Gwardia Szczecin W 1-030.6 1307 1006 75.41% 17.91% 6.69%+2.37 +1.8 25
1951-10-28 @ Budowlani Chorzow L 0-130.6 1006 1307 6.69% 17.91% 75.41%-2.37 -1.8 5
1951-10-28 Lech Poznan W 3-139.4 1305 1251 57.53% 19.86% 22.61%+0.73 +9.4 27
1951-10-28 @ Gornik Radlin L 1-339.4 1251 1305 22.61% 19.86% 57.53%-0.73 -9.4 21
1951-10-28 Polonia Bytom L 0-147.9 1249 1144 62.51% 19.62% 17.87%+1.07 -13.8 25
1951-10-28 @ Legia Warsaw W 1-047.9 1144 1249 17.87% 19.62% 62.51%-1.07 +13.8 15
1951-10-28 Cracovia W 1-043.0 1137 1260 34.53% 20.01% 45.46%-0.44 +10.3 18
1951-10-28 @ LKS Lodz L 0-143.0 1260 1137 45.46% 20.01% 34.53%+0.44 -10.3 23
1951-11-01 Legia Warsaw L 1-252.9 1309 1235 59.54% 19.78% 20.68%+0.86 -12.4 25
1951-11-01 @ Budowlani Chorzow W 2-152.9 1235 1309 20.68% 19.78% 59.54%-0.86 +12.4 27
1951-11-01 Polonia Warsaw W 2-030.8 1429 1233 69.65% 18.96% 11.39%+1.68 +5.8 31
1951-11-01 @ Wisla Krakow L 0-230.8 1233 1429 11.39% 18.96% 69.65%-1.68 -5.8 21
1951-11-01 Ruch Chorzow W 3-044.2 1004 1333 13.71% 18.77% 67.51%-1.81 +40.7 7
1951-11-01 @ Gwardia Szczecin L 0-344.2 1333 1004 67.51% 18.77% 13.71%+1.81 -40.7 22
1951-11-01 Garbarnia Krakow W 3-138.4 1241 1168 59.44% 19.79% 20.77%+0.85 +8.7 23
1951-11-01 @ Lech Poznan L 1-338.4 1168 1241 20.77% 19.79% 59.44%-0.85 -8.7 15
1951-11-04 Garbarnia Krakow W 3-136.8 1292 1160 64.92% 19.45% 15.64%+1.25 +6.8 24
1951-11-04 @ Ruch Chorzow L 1-336.8 1160 1292 15.64% 19.45% 64.92%-1.25 -6.8 15
1951-11-04 Legia Warsaw W 2-143.5 1250 1247 51.55% 20.02% 28.42%+0.39 +6.6 25
1951-11-04 @ Cracovia L 1-243.5 1247 1250 28.42% 20.02% 51.55%-0.39 -6.6 27
1951-11-04 Budowlani Chorzow W 2-146.4 1227 1296 42.08% 20.08% 37.84%-0.09 +8.3 23
1951-11-04 @ Polonia Warsaw L 1-246.4 1296 1227 37.84% 20.08% 42.08%+0.09 -8.3 25
1951-11-04 Polonia Bytom D 0-051.3 1435 1158 74.29% 18.17% 7.54%+2.21 -4.1 32
1951-11-04 @ Wisla Krakow D 0-051.3 1158 1435 7.54% 18.17% 74.29%-2.21 +4.1 16
1951-11-11 LKS Lodz W 3-136.1 1314 1148 67.60% 19.20% 13.20%+1.48 +5.8 29
1951-11-11 @ Gornik Radlin L 1-336.1 1148 1314 13.20% 19.20% 67.60%-1.48 -5.8 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1951-11-01 13.71% @ Gwardia Szczecin 1004 3 Ruch Chorzow 1333 0
2 1951-10-28 17.87% Polonia Bytom 1144 1 @ Legia Warsaw 1249 0
3 1951-11-01 20.68% Legia Warsaw 1235 2 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1309 1
4 1951-06-21 22.30% Legia Warsaw 1242 2 @ Gornik Radlin 1299 1
5 1951-04-01 22.96% Cracovia 1239 2 @ Ruch Chorzow 1290 1
6 1951-06-10 23.95% Polonia Warsaw 1230 2 @ Cracovia 1272 0
7 1951-07-15 24.76% Gornik Radlin 1285 1 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1319 0
8 1951-04-15 25.01% Legia Warsaw 1227 3 @ Lech Poznan 1259 1
9 1951-06-17 26.32% @ LKS Lodz 1180 2 Wisla Krakow 1369 1
10 1951-06-17 26.43% Lech Poznan 1255 2 @ Ruch Chorzow 1275 0
11 1951-03-18 26.73% Polonia Warsaw 1214 3 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1231 1
12 1951-09-02 26.94% Legia Warsaw 1248 2 @ Polonia Warsaw 1264 1
13 1951-09-02 27.00% Ruch Chorzow 1304 3 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1318 1
14 1951-05-05 27.27% Gornik Radlin 1273 3 @ Ruch Chorzow 1285 2
15 1951-06-17 27.49% Cracovia 1249 4 @ Legia Warsaw 1259 2
16 1951-07-07 27.74% Cracovia 1262 5 @ Polonia Warsaw 1270 1
17 1951-03-18 28.38% Garbarnia Krakow 1220 4 @ Gwardia Szczecin 1223 1
18 1951-06-07 29.52% Budowlani Chorzow 1274 3 @ Ruch Chorzow 1268 1
19 1951-04-01 30.60% Budowlani Chorzow 1212 4 @ Gwardia Szczecin 1197 0
20 1951-07-15 31.32% Ruch Chorzow 1262 5 @ Lech Poznan 1241 4
21 1951-04-01 32.09% Legia Warsaw 1198 2 @ LKS Lodz 1172 0
22 1951-06-02 32.64% Ruch Chorzow 1259 3 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1228 2
23 1951-05-06 33.38% LKS Lodz 1161 2 @ Gwardia Szczecin 1125 1
24 1951-10-21 33.55% Gornik Radlin 1296 3 @ Legia Warsaw 1258 2
25 1951-06-24 33.98% @ Polonia Bytom 1164 3 Lech Poznan 1290 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-11-01 40.68 @ Gwardia Szczecin 3 1004 13.71% Ruch Chorzow 0 1333 67.51% 18.77%
2 1951-04-01 39.51 Budowlani Chorzow 4 1212 30.60% @ Gwardia Szczecin 0 1197 49.34% 20.06%
3 1951-07-07 34.67 Cracovia 5 1262 27.74% @ Polonia Warsaw 1 1270 52.25% 20.01%
4 1951-08-26 32.60 Ruch Chorzow 4 1271 40.66% @ Polonia Bytom 0 1183 39.27% 20.07%
5 1951-04-01 28.56 @ Garbarnia Krakow 4 1247 46.58% Lech Poznan 0 1283 33.34% 20.08%
6 1951-06-24 28.44 @ Polonia Bytom 3 1164 33.98% Lech Poznan 0 1290 46.02% 19.99%
7 1951-04-08 27.46 @ Budowlani Chorzow 4 1251 48.15% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1275 31.78% 20.07%
8 1951-09-30 26.73 Lech Poznan 3 1224 37.19% @ LKS Lodz 0 1160 42.73% 20.09%
9 1951-03-18 26.55 Garbarnia Krakow 4 1220 28.38% @ Gwardia Szczecin 1 1223 51.60% 20.02%
10 1951-06-21 25.39 @ Polonia Bytom 3 1138 39.80% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1223 40.13% 20.07%
11 1951-06-17 25.37 @ Garbarnia Krakow 5 1198 43.85% Polonia Warsaw 1 1254 36.06% 20.09%
12 1951-06-10 25.04 @ Ruch Chorzow 8 1250 67.16% Gwardia Szczecin 0 1089 13.59% 19.24%
13 1951-04-15 24.14 Gornik Radlin 3 1249 42.27% @ Gwardia Szczecin 0 1149 37.67% 20.05%
14 1951-06-10 23.45 Polonia Warsaw 2 1230 23.95% @ Cracovia 0 1272 56.14% 19.91%
15 1951-06-06 22.48 Wisla Krakow 3 1341 45.47% @ Garbarnia Krakow 0 1218 34.53% 20.01%
16 1951-06-17 22.45 Lech Poznan 2 1255 26.43% @ Ruch Chorzow 0 1275 53.59% 19.98%
17 1951-06-24 21.90 @ Polonia Warsaw 4 1236 55.78% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1198 24.30% 19.92%
18 1951-04-15 21.22 @ Cracovia 3 1252 47.79% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1279 32.14% 20.07%
19 1951-04-08 21.03 @ Gornik Radlin 3 1228 48.14% Polonia Warsaw 0 1252 31.79% 20.07%
20 1951-05-20 20.74 @ Polonia Warsaw 5 1218 62.38% Gwardia Szczecin 0 1115 17.99% 19.63%
21 1951-09-02 20.28 @ Wisla Krakow 5 1391 62.85% Cracovia 0 1283 17.56% 19.60%
22 1951-04-01 20.26 Legia Warsaw 2 1198 32.09% @ LKS Lodz 0 1172 47.84% 20.07%
23 1951-07-15 20.23 Wisla Krakow 4 1361 42.54% @ Legia Warsaw 1 1260 37.41% 20.05%
24 1951-04-15 19.94 Legia Warsaw 3 1227 25.01% @ Lech Poznan 1 1259 55.05% 19.95%
25 1951-03-18 19.34 Polonia Warsaw 3 1214 26.73% @ Budowlani Chorzow 1 1231 53.28% 19.99%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-08-25 64.8 @ Gornik Radlin 3 1298 73.38% Gwardia Szczecin 3 1038 8.26% 18.36%
2 1951-04-01 60.7 @ Gornik Radlin 2 1227 37.83% Wisla Krakow 2 1326 42.12% 20.05%
3 1951-07-15 58.9 Ruch Chorzow 5 1262 31.32% @ Lech Poznan 4 1241 48.61% 20.06%
4 1951-05-05 56.3 Gornik Radlin 3 1273 27.27% @ Ruch Chorzow 2 1285 52.73% 20.00%
5 1951-09-29 55.6 @ Wisla Krakow 1 1424 73.38% Garbarnia Krakow 1 1165 8.27% 18.36%
6 1951-04-08 55.2 @ Wisla Krakow 1 1326 56.78% Ruch Chorzow 1 1278 23.33% 19.89%
7 1951-10-14 54.9 @ Lech Poznan 1 1251 43.96% Budowlani Chorzow 1 1306 35.95% 20.09%
8 1951-07-01 54.8 @ Gornik Radlin 1 1282 54.91% Ruch Chorzow 1 1251 25.14% 19.95%
9 1951-05-19 54.7 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1 1228 43.99% Gornik Radlin 1 1283 35.93% 20.09%
10 1951-07-14 54.7 @ Cracovia 1 1296 63.56% Polonia Bytom 1 1180 16.89% 19.55%
11 1951-09-01 54.7 @ Gornik Radlin 1 1295 64.89% Garbarnia Krakow 1 1163 15.66% 19.45%
12 1951-06-10 54.6 @ Legia Warsaw 1 1261 58.65% Garbarnia Krakow 1 1196 21.53% 19.82%
13 1951-06-24 54.6 @ Cracovia 1 1253 69.50% Gwardia Szczecin 1 1059 11.53% 18.98%
14 1951-09-23 54.6 @ Legia Warsaw 1 1260 55.61% Lech Poznan 1 1223 24.46% 19.93%
15 1951-04-08 54.5 @ Polonia Bytom 1 1180 41.67% Cracovia 1 1251 38.24% 20.08%
16 1951-06-03 54.5 @ Polonia Warsaw 1 1239 57.25% LKS Lodz 1 1187 22.87% 19.87%
17 1951-07-15 54.5 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1 1175 65.52% Gwardia Szczecin 1 1036 15.08% 19.40%
18 1951-10-14 54.5 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1 1168 38.79% Cracovia 1 1260 41.14% 20.06%
19 1951-06-02 54.4 Ruch Chorzow 3 1259 32.64% @ Garbarnia Krakow 2 1228 47.28% 20.08%
20 1951-06-07 54.4 @ Gwardia Szczecin 1 1088 29.20% Lech Poznan 1 1252 50.93% 19.87%
21 1951-10-21 54.4 Gornik Radlin 3 1296 33.55% @ Legia Warsaw 2 1258 46.37% 20.08%
22 1951-06-07 54.3 @ Polonia Bytom 1 1145 45.59% LKS Lodz 1 1189 34.33% 20.08%
23 1951-06-17 54.3 @ Polonia Bytom 1 1140 59.82% Gwardia Szczecin 1 1064 20.41% 19.77%
24 1951-09-23 54.3 @ Garbarnia Krakow 1 1166 52.10% LKS Lodz 1 1159 27.88% 20.01%
25 1951-03-18 53.4 @ Legia Warsaw 3 1189 36.25% Ruch Chorzow 2 1299 43.72% 20.03%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-06-21 25.3 @ Wisla Krakow 4 1358 74.99% Gwardia Szczecin 0 1066 7.00% 18.01%
2 1951-08-25 26.8 @ Wisla Krakow 4 1381 71.14% LKS Lodz 0 1162 10.11% 18.75%
3 1951-09-23 26.8 Wisla Krakow 5 1412 71.15% @ Gwardia Szczecin 0 1031 10.59% 18.25%
4 1951-09-02 27.9 @ Lech Poznan 3 1213 68.05% Gwardia Szczecin 0 1040 12.80% 19.15%
5 1951-05-20 29.3 @ Polonia Warsaw 5 1218 62.38% Gwardia Szczecin 0 1115 17.99% 19.63%
6 1951-06-10 29.4 @ Ruch Chorzow 8 1250 67.16% Gwardia Szczecin 0 1089 13.59% 19.24%
7 1951-06-03 29.7 @ Budowlani Chorzow 3 1262 62.40% Polonia Bytom 0 1158 17.98% 19.63%
8 1951-09-02 30.6 @ Wisla Krakow 5 1391 62.85% Cracovia 0 1283 17.56% 19.60%
9 1951-10-28 30.6 @ Budowlani Chorzow 1 1307 75.41% Gwardia Szczecin 0 1006 6.69% 17.91%
10 1951-11-01 30.8 @ Wisla Krakow 2 1429 69.65% Polonia Warsaw 0 1233 11.39% 18.96%
11 1951-06-24 31.1 @ Polonia Warsaw 4 1236 55.78% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1198 24.30% 19.92%
12 1951-07-08 32.5 @ Wisla Krakow 2 1352 62.30% Lech Poznan 0 1250 18.07% 19.63%
13 1951-08-25 32.7 @ Polonia Warsaw 3 1245 52.87% Lech Poznan 0 1232 27.13% 20.00%
14 1951-04-08 33.7 @ Budowlani Chorzow 4 1251 48.15% Garbarnia Krakow 0 1275 31.78% 20.07%
15 1951-07-01 33.9 Polonia Warsaw 2 1258 54.77% @ Gwardia Szczecin 0 1062 25.50% 19.73%
16 1951-04-08 34.1 @ Gornik Radlin 3 1228 48.14% Polonia Warsaw 0 1252 31.79% 20.07%
17 1951-04-01 34.2 @ Garbarnia Krakow 4 1247 46.58% Lech Poznan 0 1283 33.34% 20.08%
18 1951-04-15 34.4 @ Cracovia 3 1252 47.79% Budowlani Chorzow 0 1279 32.14% 20.07%
19 1951-04-15 34.8 @ Ruch Chorzow 1 1280 62.14% Polonia Bytom 0 1180 18.22% 19.64%
20 1951-05-06 34.9 @ Lech Poznan 2 1239 52.18% Polonia Warsaw 0 1231 27.81% 20.01%
21 1951-06-21 35.0 @ Lech Poznan 2 1278 52.71% Cracovia 0 1266 27.28% 20.00%
22 1951-06-06 35.3 Wisla Krakow 3 1341 45.47% @ Garbarnia Krakow 0 1218 34.53% 20.01%
23 1951-04-01 35.4 @ Polonia Warsaw 5 1233 55.40% Polonia Bytom 1 1198 24.66% 19.94%
24 1951-04-15 35.7 Gornik Radlin 3 1249 42.27% @ Gwardia Szczecin 0 1149 37.67% 20.05%
25 1951-08-26 35.7 Ruch Chorzow 4 1271 40.66% @ Polonia Bytom 0 1183 39.27% 20.07%