2007-08 Liga Portugal 2 Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vizela

7.22 points above expected

50 points · 42.78 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fatima

12.18 points below expected

25 points · 37.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Trofense	30	13	13	4	52	35	22	+13	45.1	+6.90
2	Rio Ave	30	13	12	5	51	38	26	+12	45.0	+5.97
3	Vizela	30	13	11	6	50	40	22	+18	42.8	+7.22
4	Gil Vicente	30	13	11	6	50	43	34	+9	46.9	+3.15
5	Olhanense	30	12	9	9	45	33	33	0	40.6	+4.40
6	Beira-Mar	30	10	12	8	42	30	32	-2	38.0	+4.04
7	Estoril	30	11	8	11	41	41	38	+3	43.8	-2.80
8	Aves	30	10	9	11	39	42	38	+4	36.8	+2.19
9	Varzim	30	9	11	10	38	29	27	+2	42.9	-4.86
10	Portimonense	30	8	13	9	37	26	30	-4	37.1	-0.06
11	Santa Clara	30	10	7	13	37	30	49	-19	39.1	-2.12
12	Gondomar	30	8	11	11	35	37	37	0	40.2	-5.16
13	Freamunde	30	9	8	13	35	42	49	-7	40.5	-5.52
14	Feirense	30	8	9	13	33	25	27	-2	38.3	-5.27
15	Penafiel	30	7	8	15	29	28	39	-11	33.5	-4.55
16	Fatima	30	5	10	15	25	25	41	-16	37.2	-12.18

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Trofense	1639	52	45.10	+6.90	81.0%	27	33	40	45	49	58	63
Gil Vicente	1632	50	46.85	+3.15	70.0%	29	36	42	46	52	59	68
Rio Ave	1626	51	45.03	+5.97	82.0%	28	33	40	46	49	56	64
Vizela	1624	50	42.78	+7.22	85.0%	27	32	39	42	47	53	56
Estoril	1591	41	43.80	-2.80	38.0%	28	31	40	43	49	53	57
Varzim	1577	38	42.86	-4.86	26.0%	25	32	38	41	48	56	62
Gondomar	1576	35	40.16	-5.16	22.0%	27	30	36	40	44	49	63
Aves	1570	39	36.81	+2.19	68.0%	20	25	31	37	41	49	52
Olhanense	1568	45	40.60	+4.40	76.0%	24	30	34	40	45	53	58
Portimonense	1567	37	37.06	-0.06	51.0%	23	27	33	37	41	45	57
Beira-Mar	1552	42	37.96	+4.04	74.0%	25	27	33	38	43	49	54
Feirense	1543	33	38.27	-5.27	23.0%	24	28	34	38	42	50	53
Freamunde	1539	35	40.52	-5.52	18.0%	23	30	36	40	44	50	58
Penafiel	1514	29	33.55	-4.55	29.0%	17	22	29	32	40	44	49
Santa Clara	1511	37	39.12	-2.12	40.0%	26	30	35	39	43	49	54
Fatima	1485	25	37.18	-12.18	5.0%	23	25	32	38	43	48	52

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AVE	BEI	EST	FAT	FEI	FRE	GV	GON	OLH	PEN	POR	RA	SC	TRO	VAR	VIZ
Aves	—	0-1-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.51	2-0-0 2.51	1-1-0 1.91	1-1-0 2.41	0-0-2 2.49	0-1-1 3.07	1-1-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.15	2-0-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.13	1-0-1 2.27
Beira-Mar	1-1-0 2.71	—	2-0-0 2.25	1-1-0 2.91	1-1-0 2.75	1-1-0 2.37	0-1-1 2.09	0-1-1 2.60	1-1-0 2.49	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.82	0-2-0 2.17	0-1-1 2.46	1-1-0 2.32	0-1-1 2.39	0-0-2 2.54
Estoril	1-1-0 3.21	0-0-2 3.17	—	1-1-0 3.24	0-0-2 3.16	2-0-0 2.83	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.05	1-1-0 3.36	0-1-1 3.19	0-0-2 2.60	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.75
Fatima	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.14	—	0-1-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.17	1-1-0 2.63	0-1-1 2.40	0-0-2 3.01	0-1-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.46	1-1-0 2.45	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-2 2.49	1-0-1 2.22
Feirense	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.62	2-0-0 2.24	1-1-0 2.62	—	0-1-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.21	1-1-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.62	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.15	0-0-2 2.52	0-0-2 2.17	1-1-0 2.30	0-0-2 2.41
Freamunde	0-0-2 2.82	0-1-1 3.02	0-0-2 2.52	1-1-0 2.86	1-1-0 2.75	—	0-0-2 2.29	0-1-1 2.77	2-0-0 2.74	1-1-0 3.09	2-0-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.46
Gil Vicente	0-1-1 3.54	1-1-0 3.31	1-0-1 2.94	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.18	2-0-0 3.10	—	1-1-0 3.19	0-2-0 3.24	2-0-0 3.58	1-1-0 3.32	0-1-1 2.88	2-0-0 3.18	0-1-1 3.00	0-1-1 2.88	0-1-1 2.99
Gondomar	0-1-1 2.96	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.79	0-1-1 2.77	1-1-0 2.61	0-1-1 2.20	—	1-0-1 2.68	2-0-0 3.04	0-1-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.32	1-1-0 2.56	0-1-1 2.37
Olhanense	2-0-0 2.87	0-1-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.32	1-1-0 2.94	2-0-0 2.74	0-0-2 2.62	0-2-0 2.19	1-0-1 2.70	—	1-1-0 2.96	0-0-2 2.98	0-1-1 2.41	1-1-0 2.58	1-1-0 2.41	1-1-0 2.47	1-0-1 2.38
Penafiel	1-1-0 2.34	1-0-1 2.53	0-1-1 2.07	2-0-0 2.44	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.29	0-0-2 1.87	0-0-2 2.35	0-1-1 2.40	—	1-1-0 2.44	0-0-2 2.06	1-0-1 2.14	0-0-2 2.12	1-1-0 2.04	0-1-1 2.05
Portimonense	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.18	1-1-0 2.54	1-1-0 2.49	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 2.09	1-1-0 2.44	2-0-0 2.38	0-1-1 2.93	—	1-1-0 2.10	0-1-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.10	0-1-1 2.41	0-2-0 2.29
Rio Ave	1-1-0 3.25	0-2-0 3.22	2-0-0 2.77	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-1 3.25	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 2.48	1-1-0 2.91	1-1-0 3.01	2-0-0 3.35	0-1-1 3.28	—	1-0-1 3.31	0-2-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.75
Santa Clara	0-0-2 2.80	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.42	0-1-1 2.93	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.29	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.75	1-0-1 3.27	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.14	—	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.35	1-1-0 2.36
Trofense	1-1-0 3.20	0-1-1 3.05	1-1-0 2.58	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.36	1-1-0 3.08	0-1-1 2.99	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.33	0-2-0 2.62	1-1-0 3.05	—	1-1-0 2.81	0-2-0 2.75
Varzim	1-0-1 3.25	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.64	2-0-0 2.87	0-1-1 3.07	1-1-0 2.89	1-1-0 2.47	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.91	0-1-1 3.36	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 3.00	0-1-1 2.52	—	0-1-1 2.84
Vizela	1-0-1 3.13	2-0-0 2.81	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 3.12	2-0-0 3.00	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.40	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.38	0-2-0 3.11	1-0-1 2.59	0-1-1 3.12	0-2-0 2.61	1-1-0 2.58	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.42%	11.88%	5.00%	1.88%	0.62%	—	29.79%
1	11.88%	16.25%	7.92%	1.88%	0.62%	0.42%	38.96%
2	5.00%	7.92%	6.67%	2.50%	0.21%	—	22.29%
3	1.88%	1.88%	2.50%	—	0.21%	—	6.46%
4	0.62%	0.62%	0.21%	0.21%	0.42%	—	2.08%
5+	—	0.42%	—	—	—	—	0.42%
Total	29.79%	38.96%	22.29%	6.46%	2.08%	0.42%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.129
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	6.67%	16.67%	23.33%	—	—	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	36.67%	40.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Aves — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.031
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	20.00%	26.67%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	56.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Beira-Mar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.74
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.119
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	40.00%	33.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.133
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	40.00%	33.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Fatima — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	0.87
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.126
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	30.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	43.33%
1	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	50.00%	20.00%	—	—	—	100%

Feirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	0.87
StdDev allowed	0.71
Mean total goals/game	1.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.194
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	30.00%
3	—	10.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	3.33%	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	43.33%	16.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Freamunde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.212
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	10.00%	23.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	43.33%	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Gil Vicente — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.312
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	30.00%	30.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Gondomar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.331
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	16.67%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Olhanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.177
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	26.67%	30.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Penafiel — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.013
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	33.33%	26.67%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Portimonense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.041
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	23.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	46.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Rio Ave — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	0.90
Mean total goals/game	2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.438
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	20.00%
1	20.00%	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	60.00%
2	—	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	36.67%	10.00%	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	100%

Santa Clara — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	0.64
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.148
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	23.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	40.00%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Trofense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	0.87
StdDev allowed	0.74
Mean total goals/game	1.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.071
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	16.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	46.67%
1	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	40.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	1.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.003
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	40.00%	46.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	100%

Vizela — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	0.69
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.147
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vizela	50	42.8	+7.22
2	Trofense	52	45.1	+6.90
3	Rio Ave	51	45.0	+5.97
4	Olhanense	45	40.6	+4.40
5	Beira-Mar	42	38.0	+4.04

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fatima	25	37.2	-12.18
2	Freamunde	35	40.5	-5.52
3	Feirense	33	38.3	-5.27
4	Gondomar	35	40.2	-5.16
5	Varzim	38	42.9	-4.86

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aves	5	Apr 5 – May 4	1 in 258
2	Portimonense	3	Jan 27 – Feb 17	1 in 47
3	Estoril	4	Aug 26 – Sep 23	1 in 44
4	Beira-Mar	3	Aug 26 – Sep 16	1 in 22
5	Trofense	4	Dec 16 – Jan 13	1 in 22

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Estoril	4	Apr 13 – May 4	1 in 127
2	Freamunde	4	Sep 2 – Sep 30	1 in 87
3	Varzim	3	Dec 16 – Jan 6	1 in 55
4	Fatima	4	Jan 13 – Feb 17	1 in 51
5	Aves	4	Aug 18 – Sep 16	1 in 48

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vizela	12	Sep 2 – Dec 22	1 in 170
2	Portimonense	9	Jan 13 – Mar 30	1 in 110
3	Trofense	12	Oct 28 – Feb 17	1 in 94
4	Rio Ave	10	Feb 2 – Apr 20	1 in 36
5	Gil Vicente	11	Sep 23 – Jan 5	1 in 33

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fatima	11	Nov 25 – Mar 2	1 in 94
2	Portimonense	11	Aug 19 – Nov 25	1 in 59
3	Santa Clara	9	Jan 26 – Apr 5	1 in 37
4	Gondomar	9	Aug 18 – Nov 4	1 in 35
5	Gil Vicente	6	Dec 23 – Feb 16	1 in 27

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Trofense	21.00%	9.00%	7.00%	14.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Rio Ave	14.00%	12.00%	14.00%	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%	3.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Vizela	8.00%	14.00%	3.00%	5.00%	12.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	5.00%	—
Gil Vicente	23.00%	15.00%	11.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	2.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	2.00%	1.00%
Olhanense	3.00%	10.00%	4.00%	10.00%	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Beira-Mar	—	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%	1.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	13.00%	11.00%	6.00%	11.00%	7.00%
Estoril	12.00%	10.00%	11.00%	4.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Aves	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	11.00%	10.00%	11.00%	11.00%
Varzim	7.00%	9.00%	11.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	11.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Portimonense	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%	11.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	6.00%	11.00%	9.00%	7.00%
Santa Clara	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	10.00%	4.00%	3.00%	9.00%	14.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%
Gondomar	2.00%	2.00%	11.00%	7.00%	4.00%	10.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Freamunde	4.00%	1.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Feirense	—	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	10.00%	6.00%	2.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	12.00%	13.00%	4.00%	7.00%
Penafiel	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	31.00%
Fatima	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	15.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Gil Vicente	38.0%	59.0%	3.0%
Trofense	30.0%	68.0%	2.0%
Rio Ave	26.0%	70.0%	4.0%
Estoril	22.0%	74.0%	4.0%
Vizela	22.0%	73.0%	5.0%
Varzim	16.0%	79.0%	5.0%
Olhanense	13.0%	80.0%	7.0%
Feirense	5.0%	84.0%	11.0%
Freamunde	5.0%	84.0%	11.0%
Gondomar	4.0%	85.0%	11.0%
Santa Clara	5.0%	81.0%	14.0%
Portimonense	2.0%	82.0%	16.0%
Beira-Mar	3.0%	79.0%	18.0%
Aves	5.0%	73.0%	22.0%
Fatima	3.0%	72.0%	25.0%
Penafiel	1.0%	57.0%	42.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2007-08-18	Olhanense	L 1-2	1533	1565	38.8%	33.4%	27.8%	-6.5	0
2007-08-18	@ Aves	W 2-1	1565	1533	27.8%	33.4%	38.8%	+6.5	3
2007-08-18	Estoril	W 3-0	1615	1593	47.2%	30.0%	22.7%	+12.5	3
2007-08-18	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-3	1593	1615	22.7%	30.0%	47.2%	-12.5	0
2007-08-18	Rio Ave	L 2-3	1576	1581	42.9%	32.1%	25.0%	-6.6	0
2007-08-18	@ Gondomar	W 3-2	1581	1576	25.0%	32.1%	42.9%	+6.6	3
2007-08-18	Feirense	W 1-0	1599	1550	51.3%	27.7%	21.0%	+4.1	3
2007-08-18	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1550	1599	21.0%	27.7%	51.3%	-4.1	0
2007-08-18	Beira-Mar	W 5-1	1549	1548	44.0%	31.6%	24.4%	+14.7	3
2007-08-18	@ Vizela	L 1-5	1548	1549	24.4%	31.6%	44.0%	-14.7	0
2007-08-19	Trofense	W 2-0	1576	1576	43.7%	31.7%	24.6%	+9.3	3
2007-08-19	@ Fatima	L 0-2	1576	1576	24.6%	31.7%	43.7%	-9.3	0
2007-08-19	Penafiel	W 3-1	1576	1528	51.1%	27.8%	21.1%	+6.8	3
2007-08-19	@ Freamunde	L 1-3	1528	1576	21.1%	27.8%	51.1%	-6.8	0
2007-08-19	Varzim	L 0-4	1569	1578	42.3%	32.3%	25.4%	-26.2	0
2007-08-19	@ Portimonense	W 4-0	1578	1569	25.4%	32.3%	42.3%	+26.2	3
2007-08-25	Portimonense	D 0-0	1588	1543	50.7%	28.1%	21.2%	-1.2	4
2007-08-25	@ Rio Ave	D 0-0	1543	1588	21.2%	28.1%	50.7%	+1.2	1
2007-08-26	Aves	W 1-0	1533	1527	44.6%	31.3%	24.0%	+4.8	3
2007-08-26	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1527	1533	24.0%	31.3%	44.6%	-4.8	0
2007-08-26	Vizela	W 2-1	1580	1564	46.2%	30.6%	23.3%	+4.4	3
2007-08-26	@ Estoril	L 1-2	1564	1580	23.3%	30.6%	46.2%	-4.4	3
2007-08-26	Gondomar	W 2-0	1546	1570	40.0%	33.1%	26.9%	+10.1	3
2007-08-26	@ Feirense	L 0-2	1570	1546	26.9%	33.1%	40.0%	-10.1	0
2007-08-26	Freamunde	L 0-1	1572	1583	41.9%	32.4%	25.6%	-7.3	3
2007-08-26	@ Olhanense	W 1-0	1583	1572	25.6%	32.4%	41.9%	+7.3	6
2007-08-26	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1522	1603	31.6%	34.2%	34.2%	-5.7	0
2007-08-26	@ Penafiel	W 2-1	1603	1522	34.2%	34.2%	31.6%	+5.7	6
2007-08-26	Gil Vicente	W 1-0	1567	1628	34.5%	34.2%	31.4%	+6.0	3
2007-08-26	@ Trofense	L 0-1	1628	1567	31.4%	34.2%	34.5%	-6.0	3
2007-08-26	Fatima	W 2-0	1604	1586	46.6%	30.4%	23.0%	+8.7	6
2007-08-26	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1586	1604	23.0%	30.4%	46.6%	-8.7	3
2007-09-02	Estoril	L 2-3	1522	1584	34.2%	34.2%	31.6%	-5.7	0
2007-09-02	@ Aves	W 3-2	1584	1522	31.6%	34.2%	34.2%	+5.7	6
2007-09-02	Rio Ave	D 1-1	1577	1587	42.1%	32.4%	25.5%	-0.6	4
2007-09-02	@ Fatima	D 1-1	1587	1577	25.5%	32.4%	42.1%	+0.6	5
2007-09-02	Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1590	1538	51.9%	27.3%	20.8%	-8.4	6
2007-09-02	@ Freamunde	W 1-0	1538	1590	20.8%	27.3%	51.9%	+8.4	6
2007-09-02	Varzim	D 1-1	1622	1613	45.1%	31.1%	23.8%	-0.7	4
2007-09-02	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1613	1622	23.8%	31.1%	45.1%	+0.7	7
2007-09-02	Olhanense	D 0-0	1516	1564	36.3%	33.9%	29.7%	-0.2	1
2007-09-02	@ Penafiel	D 0-0	1564	1516	29.7%	33.9%	36.3%	+0.2	4
2007-09-02	Feirense	D 1-1	1544	1556	41.9%	32.5%	25.7%	-0.5	2
2007-09-02	@ Portimonense	D 1-1	1556	1544	25.7%	32.5%	41.9%	+0.6	4
2007-09-02	Gondomar	W 1-0	1608	1559	51.3%	27.7%	21.0%	+4.1	9
2007-09-02	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1559	1608	21.0%	27.7%	51.3%	-4.1	0
2007-09-02	Trofense	D 2-2	1560	1573	41.6%	32.5%	25.8%	-0.4	4
2007-09-02	@ Vizela	D 2-2	1573	1560	25.8%	32.5%	41.6%	+0.4	4
2007-09-15	Vizela	D 0-0	1614	1559	52.2%	27.2%	20.6%	-1.2	8
2007-09-15	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1559	1614	20.6%	27.2%	52.2%	+1.2	5
2007-09-16	Penafiel	W 1-0	1546	1516	48.4%	29.4%	22.2%	+4.4	9
2007-09-16	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1516	1546	22.2%	29.4%	48.4%	-4.4	1
2007-09-16	Freamunde	W 3-2	1590	1582	45.0%	31.2%	23.9%	+4.3	9
2007-09-16	@ Estoril	L 2-3	1582	1590	23.9%	31.2%	45.0%	-4.3	6
2007-09-16	Fatima	D 2-2	1556	1576	40.6%	32.9%	26.5%	-0.4	5
2007-09-16	@ Feirense	D 2-2	1576	1556	26.5%	32.9%	40.6%	+0.3	5
2007-09-16	Portimonense	D 0-0	1555	1543	45.5%	30.9%	23.6%	-0.8	1
2007-09-16	@ Gondomar	D 0-0	1543	1555	23.6%	30.9%	45.5%	+0.8	3
2007-09-16	Santa Clara	D 2-2	1565	1613	36.4%	33.9%	29.6%	-0.2	5
2007-09-16	@ Olhanense	D 2-2	1613	1565	29.6%	33.9%	36.4%	+0.2	10
2007-09-16	Gil Vicente	W 1-0	1587	1621	38.5%	33.5%	28.0%	+5.5	8
2007-09-16	@ Rio Ave	L 0-1	1621	1587	28.0%	33.5%	38.5%	-5.5	4
2007-09-16	Aves	W 2-1	1573	1516	52.6%	26.9%	20.5%	+3.8	7
2007-09-16	@ Trofense	L 1-2	1516	1573	20.5%	26.9%	52.6%	-3.8	0
2007-09-22	Portimonense	W 2-1	1613	1544	54.4%	25.7%	19.9%	+3.6	13
2007-09-22	@ Santa Clara	L 1-2	1544	1613	19.9%	25.7%	54.4%	-3.6	3
2007-09-23	Varzim	W 2-1	1512	1613	29.1%	33.8%	37.0%	+6.3	3
2007-09-23	@ Aves	L 1-2	1613	1512	37.0%	33.8%	29.1%	-6.3	8
2007-09-23	Gondomar	W 3-2	1577	1554	47.1%	30.1%	22.8%	+4.1	8
2007-09-23	@ Fatima	L 2-3	1554	1577	22.8%	30.1%	47.1%	-4.1	1
2007-09-23	Trofense	L 0-2	1578	1577	43.8%	31.7%	24.5%	-14.1	6
2007-09-23	@ Freamunde	W 2-0	1577	1578	24.5%	31.7%	43.8%	+14.1	10
2007-09-23	Feirense	W 1-0	1616	1556	53.0%	26.6%	20.3%	+4.0	7
2007-09-23	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1556	1616	20.3%	26.6%	53.0%	-4.0	5
2007-09-23	Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1565	1551	45.9%	30.7%	23.4%	-0.9	6
2007-09-23	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1551	1565	23.4%	30.7%	45.9%	+0.9	10
2007-09-23	Estoril	L 1-2	1511	1594	31.3%	34.2%	34.5%	-5.7	1
2007-09-23	@ Penafiel	W 2-1	1594	1511	34.5%	34.2%	31.3%	+5.7	12
2007-09-23	Rio Ave	W 2-0	1561	1593	38.8%	33.4%	27.8%	+10.4	8
2007-09-23	@ Vizela	L 0-2	1593	1561	27.8%	33.4%	38.8%	-10.4	8
2007-09-30	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1551	1616	33.9%	34.2%	31.9%	-6.0	10
2007-09-30	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1616	1551	31.9%	34.2%	33.9%	+6.0	16
2007-09-30	Olhanense	L 1-2	1600	1564	49.4%	28.9%	21.8%	-7.6	12
2007-09-30	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1564	1600	21.8%	28.9%	49.4%	+7.6	9
2007-09-30	Vizela	L 1-2	1552	1571	40.8%	32.9%	26.4%	-6.8	5
2007-09-30	@ Feirense	W 2-1	1571	1552	26.4%	32.9%	40.8%	+6.8	11
2007-09-30	Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1550	1620	33.3%	34.2%	32.5%	-0.0	2
2007-09-30	@ Gondomar	D 1-1	1620	1550	32.5%	34.2%	33.3%	+0.0	8
2007-09-30	Fatima	D 0-0	1541	1581	37.6%	33.7%	28.7%	-0.3	4
2007-09-30	@ Portimonense	D 0-0	1581	1541	28.7%	33.7%	37.6%	+0.3	9
2007-09-30	Aves	W 2-1	1582	1519	53.7%	26.2%	20.1%	+3.7	11
2007-09-30	@ Rio Ave	L 1-2	1519	1582	20.1%	26.2%	53.7%	-3.7	3
2007-09-30	Penafiel	W 1-0	1591	1506	57.1%	23.9%	19.0%	+3.6	13
2007-09-30	@ Trofense	L 0-1	1506	1591	19.0%	23.9%	57.1%	-3.6	1
2007-09-30	Freamunde	W 2-0	1606	1563	50.3%	28.3%	21.4%	+8.0	11
2007-09-30	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1563	1606	21.4%	28.3%	50.3%	-8.0	6
2007-10-06	Fatima	D 0-0	1622	1581	50.1%	28.4%	21.5%	-1.1	17
2007-10-06	@ Santa Clara	D 0-0	1581	1622	21.5%	28.4%	50.1%	+1.1	10
2007-10-07	Feirense	D 1-1	1515	1545	39.0%	33.4%	27.6%	-0.4	4
2007-10-07	@ Aves	D 1-1	1545	1515	27.6%	33.4%	39.0%	+0.4	6
2007-10-07	Estoril	W 3-2	1545	1593	36.5%	33.9%	29.6%	+5.2	13
2007-10-07	@ Beira-Mar	L 2-3	1593	1545	29.6%	33.9%	36.5%	-5.2	12
2007-10-07	Rio Ave	D 4-4	1555	1586	39.0%	33.4%	27.6%	-0.2	7
2007-10-07	@ Freamunde	D 4-4	1586	1555	27.6%	33.4%	39.0%	+0.2	12
2007-10-07	Portimonense	W 2-1	1620	1540	56.1%	24.6%	19.3%	+3.5	11
2007-10-07	@ Gil Vicente	L 1-2	1540	1620	19.3%	24.6%	56.1%	-3.5	4
2007-10-07	Trofense	W 1-0	1571	1595	40.1%	33.1%	26.9%	+5.4	12
2007-10-07	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1595	1571	26.9%	33.1%	40.1%	-5.4	13
2007-10-07	Varzim	D 0-0	1502	1614	27.8%	33.4%	38.8%	+0.4	2
2007-10-07	@ Penafiel	D 0-0	1614	1502	38.8%	33.4%	27.8%	-0.4	12
2007-10-07	Gondomar	W 2-1	1578	1550	47.9%	29.7%	22.4%	+4.2	14
2007-10-07	@ Vizela	L 1-2	1550	1578	22.4%	29.7%	47.9%	-4.2	2
2007-10-28	Santa Clara	W 5-1	1587	1621	38.5%	33.5%	28.0%	+16.5	15
2007-10-28	@ Estoril	L 1-5	1621	1587	28.0%	33.5%	38.5%	-16.5	17
2007-10-28	Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1582	1623	37.4%	33.7%	28.8%	-0.3	11
2007-10-28	@ Fatima	D 1-1	1623	1582	28.8%	33.7%	37.4%	+0.3	12
2007-10-28	Freamunde	L 0-1	1546	1555	42.2%	32.3%	25.5%	-7.3	6
2007-10-28	@ Feirense	W 1-0	1555	1546	25.5%	32.3%	42.2%	+7.3	10
2007-10-28	Aves	D 1-1	1546	1515	48.6%	29.3%	22.1%	-0.9	3
2007-10-28	@ Gondomar	D 1-1	1515	1546	22.1%	29.3%	48.6%	+0.9	5
2007-10-28	Vizela	D 1-1	1537	1582	36.8%	33.9%	29.3%	-0.2	5
2007-10-28	@ Portimonense	D 1-1	1582	1537	29.3%	33.9%	36.8%	+0.2	15
2007-10-28	Penafiel	W 4-1	1586	1502	56.9%	24.1%	19.1%	+8.3	15
2007-10-28	@ Rio Ave	L 1-4	1502	1586	19.1%	24.1%	56.9%	-8.3	2
2007-10-28	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1589	1551	49.7%	28.6%	21.6%	-1.0	14
2007-10-28	@ Trofense	D 1-1	1551	1589	21.6%	28.6%	49.7%	+1.0	14
2007-10-28	Olhanense	D 0-0	1614	1577	49.5%	28.8%	21.7%	-1.1	13
2007-10-28	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1577	1614	21.7%	28.8%	49.5%	+1.1	13
2007-11-04	Portimonense	W 2-0	1516	1537	40.4%	33.0%	26.6%	+10.0	8
2007-11-04	@ Aves	L 0-2	1537	1516	26.6%	33.0%	40.4%	-10.0	5
2007-11-04	Varzim	D 1-1	1552	1613	34.5%	34.2%	31.4%	-0.1	15
2007-11-04	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1613	1552	31.4%	34.2%	34.5%	+0.1	14
2007-11-04	Trofense	D 1-1	1604	1588	46.1%	30.6%	23.3%	-0.8	16
2007-11-04	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1588	1604	23.3%	30.6%	46.1%	+0.8	15
2007-11-04	Gondomar	D 0-0	1563	1545	46.4%	30.5%	23.1%	-0.9	11
2007-11-04	@ Freamunde	D 0-0	1545	1563	23.1%	30.5%	46.4%	+0.9	4
2007-11-04	Rio Ave	L 0-3	1578	1595	41.1%	32.7%	26.2%	-19.7	13
2007-11-04	@ Olhanense	W 3-0	1595	1578	26.2%	32.7%	41.1%	+19.7	18
2007-11-04	Feirense	L 0-1	1494	1538	37.0%	33.8%	29.2%	-6.7	2
2007-11-04	@ Penafiel	W 1-0	1538	1494	29.2%	33.8%	37.0%	+6.7	9
2007-11-04	Gil Vicente	L 1-4	1605	1623	40.8%	32.8%	26.4%	-16.6	17
2007-11-04	@ Santa Clara	W 4-1	1623	1605	26.4%	32.8%	40.8%	+16.5	15
2007-11-04	Fatima	W 1-0	1582	1582	43.7%	31.7%	24.6%	+4.9	18
2007-11-04	@ Vizela	L 0-1	1582	1582	24.6%	31.7%	43.7%	-4.9	11
2007-11-11	Aves	W 2-1	1577	1526	51.7%	27.5%	20.8%	+3.9	14
2007-11-11	@ Fatima	L 1-2	1526	1577	20.8%	27.5%	51.7%	-3.9	8
2007-11-11	Olhanense	L 0-1	1545	1558	41.7%	32.5%	25.8%	-7.3	9
2007-11-11	@ Feirense	W 1-0	1558	1545	25.8%	32.5%	41.7%	+7.3	16
2007-11-11	Vizela	D 1-1	1640	1587	51.9%	27.3%	20.7%	-1.1	16
2007-11-11	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1587	1640	20.7%	27.3%	51.9%	+1.1	19
2007-11-11	Penafiel	W 2-0	1546	1487	52.9%	26.7%	20.4%	+7.5	7
2007-11-11	@ Gondomar	L 0-2	1487	1546	20.4%	26.7%	52.9%	-7.5	2
2007-11-11	Freamunde	L 0-2	1527	1562	38.3%	33.6%	28.1%	-13.0	5
2007-11-11	@ Portimonense	W 2-0	1562	1527	28.1%	33.6%	38.3%	+13.0	14
2007-11-11	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1614	1551	53.5%	26.3%	20.2%	-1.2	19
2007-11-11	@ Rio Ave	D 1-1	1551	1614	20.2%	26.3%	53.5%	+1.2	16
2007-11-11	Santa Clara	D 1-1	1589	1588	43.9%	31.7%	24.5%	-0.7	16
2007-11-11	@ Trofense	D 1-1	1588	1589	24.5%	31.7%	43.9%	+0.7	18
2007-11-11	Estoril	D 0-0	1613	1603	45.2%	31.1%	23.8%	-0.8	15
2007-11-11	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1603	1613	23.8%	31.1%	45.2%	+0.8	17
2007-11-25	Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1522	1639	27.2%	33.2%	39.6%	+0.4	9
2007-11-25	@ Aves	D 1-1	1639	1522	39.6%	33.2%	27.2%	-0.4	17
2007-11-25	Feirense	D 0-0	1553	1538	46.0%	30.7%	23.3%	-0.9	17
2007-11-25	@ Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1538	1553	23.3%	30.7%	46.0%	+0.9	10
2007-11-25	Rio Ave	L 1-2	1604	1613	42.2%	32.3%	25.4%	-6.9	17
2007-11-25	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1613	1604	25.4%	32.3%	42.2%	+6.9	22
2007-11-25	Fatima	W 2-1	1575	1581	42.7%	32.1%	25.1%	+4.8	17
2007-11-25	@ Freamunde	L 1-2	1581	1575	25.1%	32.1%	42.7%	-4.8	14
2007-11-25	Gondomar	L 0-1	1565	1554	45.5%	30.9%	23.6%	-7.7	16
2007-11-25	@ Olhanense	W 1-0	1554	1565	23.6%	30.9%	45.5%	+7.7	10
2007-11-25	Portimonense	W 1-0	1480	1514	38.5%	33.5%	28.0%	+5.5	5
2007-11-25	@ Penafiel	L 0-1	1514	1480	28.0%	33.5%	38.5%	-5.5	5
2007-11-25	Vizela	D 1-1	1589	1588	43.8%	31.7%	24.5%	-0.7	19
2007-11-25	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1588	1589	24.5%	31.7%	43.8%	+0.7	20
2007-11-25	Varzim	W 1-0	1589	1612	40.1%	33.1%	26.8%	+5.4	19
2007-11-25	@ Trofense	L 0-1	1612	1589	26.8%	33.1%	40.1%	-5.4	15
2007-12-02	Penafiel	L 0-3	1576	1485	57.9%	23.3%	18.7%	-24.5	14
2007-12-02	@ Fatima	W 3-0	1485	1576	18.7%	23.3%	57.9%	+24.5	8
2007-12-02	Estoril	W 2-1	1539	1597	34.9%	34.1%	31.0%	+5.6	13
2007-12-02	@ Feirense	L 1-2	1597	1539	31.0%	34.1%	34.9%	-5.6	17
2007-12-02	Freamunde	W 1-0	1638	1579	52.9%	26.7%	20.4%	+4.0	20
2007-12-02	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1579	1638	20.4%	26.7%	52.9%	-4.0	17
2007-12-02	Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1561	1552	45.1%	31.1%	23.8%	+4.8	13
2007-12-02	@ Gondomar	L 0-1	1552	1561	23.8%	31.1%	45.1%	-4.8	17
2007-12-02	Olhanense	W 2-1	1508	1558	36.2%	34.0%	29.9%	+5.5	8
2007-12-02	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1558	1508	29.9%	34.0%	36.2%	-5.5	16
2007-12-02	Trofense	D 1-1	1620	1594	47.8%	29.8%	22.5%	-0.9	23
2007-12-02	@ Rio Ave	D 1-1	1594	1620	22.5%	29.8%	47.8%	+0.9	20
2007-12-02	Santa Clara	W 3-1	1607	1588	46.6%	30.4%	23.1%	+7.6	18
2007-12-02	@ Varzim	L 1-3	1588	1607	23.1%	30.4%	46.6%	-7.6	19
2007-12-02	Aves	W 2-0	1589	1522	54.2%	25.9%	20.0%	+7.3	23
2007-12-02	@ Vizela	L 0-2	1522	1589	20.0%	25.9%	54.2%	-7.3	9
2007-12-15	Aves	L 1-2	1581	1515	54.0%	26.0%	20.0%	-8.1	19
2007-12-15	@ Santa Clara	W 2-1	1515	1581	20.0%	26.0%	54.0%	+8.1	12
2007-12-16	Portimonense	W 2-0	1547	1514	48.9%	29.1%	22.0%	+8.3	20
2007-12-16	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1514	1547	22.0%	29.1%	48.9%	-8.3	8
2007-12-16	Gondomar	W 2-0	1591	1566	47.6%	29.8%	22.6%	+8.5	20
2007-12-16	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1566	1591	22.6%	29.8%	47.6%	-8.5	13
2007-12-16	Vizela	D 1-1	1575	1596	40.5%	32.9%	26.6%	-0.5	18
2007-12-16	@ Freamunde	D 1-1	1596	1575	26.6%	32.9%	40.5%	+0.5	24
2007-12-16	Fatima	D 1-1	1552	1552	43.8%	31.7%	24.5%	-0.7	17
2007-12-16	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1552	1552	24.5%	31.7%	43.8%	+0.7	15
2007-12-16	Gil Vicente	L 2-3	1510	1642	25.6%	32.4%	41.9%	-4.6	8
2007-12-16	@ Penafiel	W 3-2	1642	1510	41.9%	32.4%	25.6%	+4.6	23
2007-12-16	Feirense	W 2-1	1595	1544	51.6%	27.5%	20.9%	+3.9	23
2007-12-16	@ Trofense	L 1-2	1544	1595	20.9%	27.5%	51.6%	-3.9	13
2007-12-16	Rio Ave	L 0-1	1614	1619	42.9%	32.1%	25.0%	-7.4	18
2007-12-16	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1619	1614	25.0%	32.1%	42.9%	+7.4	26
2007-12-22	Estoril	D 2-2	1505	1600	29.8%	34.0%	36.2%	+0.2	9
2007-12-22	@ Portimonense	D 2-2	1600	1505	36.2%	34.0%	29.8%	-0.2	21
2007-12-22	Rio Ave	W 1-0	1572	1627	35.5%	34.1%	30.5%	+5.9	22
2007-12-22	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1627	1572	30.5%	34.1%	35.5%	-5.9	26
2007-12-22	Penafiel	D 0-0	1597	1505	58.1%	23.2%	18.7%	-1.6	25
2007-12-22	@ Vizela	D 0-0	1505	1597	18.7%	23.2%	58.1%	+1.6	9
2007-12-23	Freamunde	W 3-0	1523	1575	35.8%	34.0%	30.2%	+16.1	15
2007-12-23	@ Aves	L 0-3	1575	1523	30.2%	34.0%	35.8%	-16.1	18
2007-12-23	Beira-Mar	D 2-2	1552	1555	43.2%	31.9%	24.9%	-0.5	16
2007-12-23	@ Fatima	D 2-2	1555	1552	24.9%	31.9%	43.2%	+0.5	21
2007-12-23	Varzim	W 3-0	1540	1607	33.7%	34.2%	32.1%	+16.8	16
2007-12-23	@ Feirense	L 0-3	1607	1540	32.1%	34.2%	33.7%	-16.8	18
2007-12-23	Olhanense	D 0-0	1647	1551	58.7%	22.8%	18.5%	-1.6	24
2007-12-23	@ Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1551	1647	18.5%	22.8%	58.7%	+1.6	18
2007-12-23	Trofense	L 1-2	1558	1599	37.4%	33.8%	28.8%	-6.4	13
2007-12-23	@ Gondomar	W 2-1	1599	1558	28.8%	33.8%	37.4%	+6.4	26
2008-01-05	Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1556	1645	30.5%	34.1%	35.5%	+0.2	22
2008-01-05	@ Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1645	1556	35.5%	34.1%	30.5%	-0.2	25
2008-01-06	Fatima	D 2-2	1600	1552	51.2%	27.8%	21.0%	-0.8	22
2008-01-06	@ Estoril	D 2-2	1552	1600	21.0%	27.8%	51.2%	+0.8	17
2008-01-06	Santa Clara	W 3-1	1559	1578	40.7%	32.9%	26.4%	+8.6	21
2008-01-06	@ Freamunde	L 1-3	1578	1559	26.4%	32.9%	40.7%	-8.6	22
2008-01-06	Vizela	W 1-0	1553	1595	37.3%	33.8%	28.9%	+5.7	21
2008-01-06	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1595	1553	28.9%	33.8%	37.3%	-5.7	25
2008-01-06	Aves	D 2-2	1507	1539	38.8%	33.4%	27.8%	-0.3	10
2008-01-06	@ Penafiel	D 2-2	1539	1507	27.8%	33.4%	38.8%	+0.3	16
2008-01-06	Feirense	L 0-1	1621	1557	53.6%	26.2%	20.1%	-8.5	26
2008-01-06	@ Rio Ave	W 1-0	1557	1621	20.1%	26.2%	53.6%	+8.5	19
2008-01-06	Portimonense	W 1-0	1605	1505	59.4%	22.3%	18.3%	+3.4	29
2008-01-06	@ Trofense	L 0-1	1505	1605	18.3%	22.3%	59.4%	-3.4	9
2008-01-06	Gondomar	L 2-3	1590	1551	49.7%	28.6%	21.6%	-7.3	18
2008-01-06	@ Varzim	W 3-2	1551	1590	21.6%	28.6%	49.7%	+7.3	16
2008-01-13	Vizela	L 0-3	1556	1589	38.6%	33.5%	27.9%	-18.9	22
2008-01-13	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1589	1556	27.9%	33.5%	38.6%	+18.9	28
2008-01-13	Gil Vicente	W 2-0	1599	1645	36.6%	33.9%	29.5%	+10.9	25
2008-01-13	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1645	1599	29.5%	33.9%	36.6%	-10.9	25
2008-01-13	Santa Clara	L 0-1	1566	1570	43.1%	32.0%	24.9%	-7.4	19
2008-01-13	@ Feirense	W 1-0	1570	1566	24.9%	32.0%	43.1%	+7.4	25
2008-01-13	Aves	W 2-1	1559	1539	46.7%	30.3%	23.0%	+4.4	24
2008-01-13	@ Olhanense	L 1-2	1539	1559	23.0%	30.3%	46.7%	-4.4	16
2008-01-13	Freamunde	D 2-2	1507	1568	34.5%	34.2%	31.4%	-0.1	11
2008-01-13	@ Penafiel	D 2-2	1568	1507	31.4%	34.2%	34.5%	+0.1	22
2008-01-13	Gondomar	D 2-2	1612	1558	52.1%	27.2%	20.7%	-0.8	27
2008-01-13	@ Rio Ave	D 2-2	1558	1612	20.7%	27.2%	52.1%	+0.8	17
2008-01-13	Fatima	W 1-0	1608	1552	52.4%	27.0%	20.6%	+4.0	32
2008-01-13	@ Trofense	L 0-1	1552	1608	20.6%	27.0%	52.4%	-4.0	17
2008-01-13	Portimonense	D 0-0	1583	1502	56.4%	24.4%	19.2%	-1.5	19
2008-01-13	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1502	1583	19.2%	24.4%	56.4%	+1.5	10
2008-01-26	Penafiel	L 0-3	1577	1506	54.8%	25.5%	19.7%	-23.7	25
2008-01-26	@ Santa Clara	W 3-0	1506	1577	19.7%	25.5%	54.8%	+23.7	14
2008-01-27	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1535	1537	43.3%	31.9%	24.8%	-0.6	17
2008-01-27	@ Aves	D 1-1	1537	1535	24.8%	31.9%	43.3%	+0.6	23
2008-01-27	Varzim	L 1-2	1548	1581	38.7%	33.5%	27.9%	-6.5	17
2008-01-27	@ Fatima	W 2-1	1581	1548	27.9%	33.5%	38.7%	+6.5	22
2008-01-27	Olhanense	W 3-1	1568	1563	44.4%	31.4%	24.2%	+8.0	25
2008-01-27	@ Freamunde	L 1-3	1563	1568	24.2%	31.4%	44.4%	-8.0	24
2008-01-27	Trofense	D 1-1	1634	1612	47.1%	30.1%	22.8%	-0.8	26
2008-01-27	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1612	1634	22.8%	30.1%	47.1%	+0.8	33
2008-01-27	Feirense	D 2-2	1559	1558	43.8%	31.7%	24.5%	-0.5	18
2008-01-27	@ Gondomar	D 2-2	1558	1559	24.5%	31.7%	43.8%	+0.5	20
2008-01-27	Rio Ave	W 2-1	1504	1611	28.2%	33.6%	38.2%	+6.5	13
2008-01-27	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1611	1504	38.2%	33.6%	28.2%	-6.5	27
2008-01-27	Estoril	D 0-0	1608	1610	43.4%	31.8%	24.7%	-0.7	29
2008-01-27	@ Vizela	D 0-0	1610	1608	24.7%	31.8%	43.4%	+0.7	26
2008-02-02	Fatima	W 1-0	1605	1542	53.5%	26.3%	20.2%	+3.9	30
2008-02-02	@ Rio Ave	L 0-1	1542	1605	20.2%	26.3%	53.5%	-3.9	17
2008-02-03	Freamunde	D 1-1	1538	1576	37.9%	33.7%	28.5%	-0.3	24
2008-02-03	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1576	1538	28.5%	33.7%	37.9%	+0.3	26
2008-02-03	Aves	D 2-2	1611	1534	55.7%	24.9%	19.4%	-1.0	27
2008-02-03	@ Estoril	D 2-2	1534	1611	19.4%	24.9%	55.7%	+1.0	18
2008-02-03	Portimonense	L 0-2	1559	1510	51.3%	27.7%	21.0%	-15.6	20
2008-02-03	@ Feirense	W 2-0	1510	1559	21.0%	27.7%	51.3%	+15.7	16
2008-02-03	Santa Clara	W 4-0	1559	1553	44.5%	31.4%	24.1%	+17.4	21
2008-02-03	@ Gondomar	L 0-4	1553	1559	24.1%	31.4%	44.5%	-17.4	25
2008-02-03	Penafiel	W 3-1	1555	1530	47.6%	29.9%	22.6%	+7.4	27
2008-02-03	@ Olhanense	L 1-3	1530	1555	22.6%	29.9%	47.6%	-7.4	14
2008-02-03	Vizela	D 0-0	1613	1608	44.6%	31.4%	24.1%	-0.8	34
2008-02-03	@ Trofense	D 0-0	1608	1613	24.1%	31.4%	44.6%	+0.8	30
2008-02-03	Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1588	1634	36.7%	33.9%	29.4%	+5.4	25
2008-02-03	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1634	1588	29.4%	33.9%	36.7%	-5.4	26
2008-02-16	Rio Ave	D 1-1	1628	1609	46.7%	30.3%	23.0%	-0.8	27
2008-02-16	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1609	1628	23.0%	30.3%	46.7%	+0.8	31
2008-02-16	Olhanense	L 2-3	1536	1563	39.6%	33.2%	27.2%	-6.3	25
2008-02-16	@ Santa Clara	W 3-2	1563	1536	27.2%	33.2%	39.6%	+6.3	30
2008-02-17	Trofense	D 1-1	1535	1613	32.1%	34.2%	33.7%	+0.0	19
2008-02-17	@ Aves	D 1-1	1613	1535	33.7%	34.2%	32.1%	-0.0	35
2008-02-17	Feirense	L 0-2	1538	1543	42.9%	32.1%	25.0%	-14.0	17
2008-02-17	@ Fatima	W 2-0	1543	1538	25.0%	32.1%	42.9%	+14.0	23
2008-02-17	Estoril	L 1-3	1576	1610	38.5%	33.5%	28.0%	-11.3	26
2008-02-17	@ Freamunde	W 3-1	1610	1576	28.0%	33.5%	38.5%	+11.3	30
2008-02-17	Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1523	1537	41.4%	32.6%	25.9%	+5.2	17
2008-02-17	@ Penafiel	L 0-1	1537	1523	25.9%	32.6%	41.4%	-5.2	24
2008-02-17	Gondomar	W 1-0	1526	1576	36.0%	34.0%	30.0%	+5.8	19
2008-02-17	@ Portimonense	L 0-1	1576	1526	30.0%	34.0%	36.0%	-5.8	21
2008-02-17	Varzim	W 3-0	1608	1593	46.0%	30.6%	23.3%	+12.8	33
2008-02-17	@ Vizela	L 0-3	1593	1608	23.3%	30.6%	46.0%	-12.9	25
2008-02-24	Olhanense	W 2-0	1532	1569	38.1%	33.6%	28.3%	+10.6	27
2008-02-24	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1569	1532	28.3%	33.6%	38.1%	-10.5	30
2008-02-24	Penafiel	D 2-2	1621	1528	58.3%	23.1%	18.6%	-1.1	31
2008-02-24	@ Estoril	D 2-2	1528	1621	18.6%	23.1%	58.3%	+1.1	18
2008-02-24	Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1557	1627	33.1%	34.2%	32.6%	-6.2	23
2008-02-24	@ Feirense	W 1-0	1627	1557	32.6%	34.2%	33.1%	+6.3	30
2008-02-24	Fatima	D 1-1	1570	1524	50.9%	28.0%	21.1%	-1.0	22
2008-02-24	@ Gondomar	D 1-1	1524	1570	21.1%	28.0%	50.9%	+1.1	18
2008-02-24	Santa Clara	D 1-1	1531	1530	43.9%	31.6%	24.4%	-0.7	20
2008-02-24	@ Portimonense	D 1-1	1530	1531	24.4%	31.6%	43.9%	+0.7	26
2008-02-24	Vizela	W 1-0	1610	1621	41.9%	32.5%	25.7%	+5.2	34
2008-02-24	@ Rio Ave	L 0-1	1621	1610	25.7%	32.5%	41.9%	-5.2	33
2008-02-24	Freamunde	L 1-2	1612	1565	51.2%	27.8%	21.0%	-7.8	35
2008-02-24	@ Trofense	W 2-1	1565	1612	21.0%	27.8%	51.2%	+7.8	29
2008-02-24	Aves	W 2-1	1580	1535	50.7%	28.1%	21.2%	+4.0	28
2008-02-24	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1535	1580	21.2%	28.1%	50.7%	-4.0	19
2008-03-01	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1530	1543	41.8%	32.5%	25.7%	-0.5	27
2008-03-01	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1543	1530	25.7%	32.5%	41.8%	+0.5	28
2008-03-02	Rio Ave	D 0-0	1531	1615	31.3%	34.2%	34.6%	+0.1	20
2008-03-02	@ Aves	D 0-0	1615	1531	34.6%	34.2%	31.3%	-0.1	35
2008-03-02	Portimonense	L 0-3	1525	1531	42.8%	32.1%	25.1%	-20.2	18
2008-03-02	@ Fatima	W 3-0	1531	1525	25.1%	32.1%	42.8%	+20.2	23
2008-03-02	Varzim	D 1-1	1572	1584	41.9%	32.5%	25.7%	-0.6	30
2008-03-02	@ Freamunde	D 1-1	1584	1572	25.7%	32.5%	41.9%	+0.5	29
2008-03-02	Gondomar	W 4-3	1634	1569	53.8%	26.2%	20.1%	+3.4	33
2008-03-02	@ Gil Vicente	L 3-4	1569	1634	20.1%	26.2%	53.8%	-3.4	22
2008-03-02	Estoril	L 1-2	1558	1620	34.4%	34.2%	31.4%	-6.0	30
2008-03-02	@ Olhanense	W 2-1	1620	1558	31.4%	34.2%	34.4%	+6.0	34
2008-03-02	Trofense	L 0-1	1529	1605	32.4%	34.2%	33.4%	-6.2	18
2008-03-02	@ Penafiel	W 1-0	1605	1529	33.4%	34.2%	32.4%	+6.1	38
2008-03-02	Feirense	W 1-0	1616	1551	53.9%	26.1%	20.0%	+3.9	36
2008-03-02	@ Vizela	L 0-1	1551	1616	20.0%	26.1%	53.9%	-3.9	23
2008-03-09	Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1626	1543	56.7%	24.2%	19.1%	-8.8	34
2008-03-09	@ Estoril	W 1-0	1543	1626	19.1%	24.2%	56.7%	+8.8	31
2008-03-09	Santa Clara	W 1-0	1505	1530	39.8%	33.1%	27.0%	+5.4	21
2008-03-09	@ Fatima	L 0-1	1530	1505	27.0%	33.1%	39.8%	-5.4	27
2008-03-09	Aves	W 2-0	1547	1531	46.1%	30.6%	23.3%	+8.8	26
2008-03-09	@ Feirense	L 0-2	1531	1547	23.3%	30.6%	46.1%	-8.8	20
2008-03-09	Vizela	D 0-0	1566	1620	35.5%	34.1%	30.4%	-0.2	23
2008-03-09	@ Gondomar	D 0-0	1620	1566	30.4%	34.1%	35.5%	+0.2	37
2008-03-09	Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1551	1637	31.0%	34.1%	34.9%	+0.1	24
2008-03-09	@ Portimonense	D 0-0	1637	1551	34.9%	34.1%	31.0%	-0.1	34
2008-03-09	Freamunde	W 3-1	1615	1572	50.4%	28.3%	21.4%	+6.9	38
2008-03-09	@ Rio Ave	L 1-3	1572	1615	21.4%	28.3%	50.4%	-6.9	30
2008-03-09	Olhanense	D 2-2	1611	1552	52.8%	26.7%	20.4%	-0.9	39
2008-03-09	@ Trofense	D 2-2	1552	1611	20.4%	26.7%	52.8%	+0.9	31
2008-03-09	Penafiel	L 0-1	1585	1523	53.4%	26.4%	20.2%	-8.5	29
2008-03-09	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1523	1585	20.2%	26.4%	53.4%	+8.5	21
2008-03-15	Estoril	D 1-1	1525	1617	30.1%	34.0%	35.9%	+0.2	28
2008-03-15	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1617	1525	35.9%	34.0%	30.1%	-0.2	35
2008-03-16	Gondomar	W 1-0	1523	1566	37.1%	33.8%	29.1%	+5.7	23
2008-03-16	@ Aves	L 0-1	1566	1523	29.1%	33.8%	37.1%	-5.7	23
2008-03-16	Trofense	W 1-0	1552	1610	34.9%	34.1%	30.9%	+6.0	34
2008-03-16	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1610	1552	30.9%	34.1%	34.9%	-6.0	39
2008-03-16	Feirense	D 1-1	1565	1556	45.1%	31.1%	23.8%	-0.7	31
2008-03-16	@ Freamunde	D 1-1	1556	1565	23.8%	31.1%	45.1%	+0.7	27
2008-03-16	Fatima	W 3-2	1637	1510	63.6%	19.3%	17.1%	+2.7	37
2008-03-16	@ Gil Vicente	L 2-3	1510	1637	17.1%	19.3%	63.6%	-2.7	21
2008-03-16	Varzim	W 2-1	1553	1576	40.1%	33.1%	26.8%	+5.0	34
2008-03-16	@ Olhanense	L 1-2	1576	1553	26.8%	33.1%	40.1%	-5.0	29
2008-03-16	Rio Ave	L 0-1	1531	1622	30.4%	34.1%	35.5%	-5.9	21
2008-03-16	@ Penafiel	W 1-0	1622	1531	35.5%	34.1%	30.4%	+5.9	41
2008-03-16	Portimonense	D 1-1	1620	1551	54.5%	25.7%	19.8%	-1.2	38
2008-03-16	@ Vizela	D 1-1	1551	1620	19.8%	25.7%	54.5%	+1.2	25
2008-03-29	Freamunde	W 3-2	1560	1564	43.0%	32.0%	25.0%	+4.5	26
2008-03-29	@ Gondomar	L 2-3	1564	1560	25.0%	32.0%	43.0%	-4.5	31
2008-03-30	Vizela	W 1-0	1508	1619	27.8%	33.5%	38.7%	+6.9	24
2008-03-30	@ Fatima	L 0-1	1619	1508	38.7%	33.5%	27.8%	-6.9	38
2008-03-30	Penafiel	D 1-1	1557	1525	48.5%	29.3%	22.1%	-0.9	28
2008-03-30	@ Feirense	D 1-1	1525	1557	22.1%	29.3%	48.5%	+0.9	22
2008-03-30	Santa Clara	W 2-1	1639	1525	61.7%	20.6%	17.6%	+3.0	40
2008-03-30	@ Gil Vicente	L 1-2	1525	1639	17.6%	20.6%	61.7%	-3.0	28
2008-03-30	Aves	D 0-0	1552	1528	47.4%	29.9%	22.6%	-1.0	26
2008-03-30	@ Portimonense	D 0-0	1528	1552	22.6%	29.9%	47.4%	+1.0	24
2008-03-30	Olhanense	D 1-1	1627	1558	54.6%	25.6%	19.8%	-1.2	42
2008-03-30	@ Rio Ave	D 1-1	1558	1627	19.8%	25.6%	54.6%	+1.2	35
2008-03-30	Estoril	W 2-0	1604	1617	41.7%	32.5%	25.8%	+9.8	42
2008-03-30	@ Trofense	L 0-2	1617	1604	25.8%	32.5%	41.7%	-9.8	35
2008-03-30	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1571	1558	45.7%	30.8%	23.5%	+8.9	32
2008-03-30	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1558	1571	23.5%	30.8%	45.7%	-8.9	34
2008-04-05	Fatima	W 1-0	1529	1514	46.0%	30.7%	23.4%	+4.7	27
2008-04-05	@ Aves	L 0-1	1514	1529	23.4%	30.7%	46.0%	-4.7	24
2008-04-05	Trofense	L 0-4	1522	1614	30.2%	34.0%	35.8%	-21.0	28
2008-04-05	@ Santa Clara	W 4-0	1614	1522	35.8%	34.0%	30.2%	+21.0	45
2008-04-06	Rio Ave	D 1-1	1549	1626	32.2%	34.2%	33.6%	+0.1	35
2008-04-06	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1626	1549	33.6%	34.2%	32.2%	-0.0	43
2008-04-06	Varzim	W 1-0	1607	1580	47.9%	29.7%	22.4%	+4.5	38
2008-04-06	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1580	1607	22.4%	29.7%	47.9%	-4.5	32
2008-04-06	Portimonense	W 2-1	1560	1551	45.0%	31.2%	23.9%	+4.5	34
2008-04-06	@ Freamunde	L 1-2	1551	1560	23.9%	31.2%	45.0%	-4.5	26
2008-04-06	Feirense	W 2-0	1559	1556	44.3%	31.5%	24.2%	+9.2	38
2008-04-06	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1556	1559	24.2%	31.5%	44.3%	-9.2	28
2008-04-06	Gondomar	L 0-2	1526	1564	37.9%	33.7%	28.5%	-12.9	22
2008-04-06	@ Penafiel	W 2-0	1564	1526	28.5%	33.7%	37.9%	+12.9	29
2008-04-06	Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1612	1642	39.0%	33.4%	27.6%	+5.2	41
2008-04-06	@ Vizela	L 1-2	1642	1612	27.6%	33.4%	39.0%	-5.2	40
2008-04-13	Freamunde	D 1-1	1510	1564	35.4%	34.1%	30.5%	-0.2	25
2008-04-13	@ Fatima	D 1-1	1564	1510	30.5%	34.1%	35.4%	+0.2	35
2008-04-13	Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1546	1549	43.2%	31.9%	24.8%	-7.4	28
2008-04-13	@ Feirense	W 1-0	1549	1546	24.8%	31.9%	43.2%	+7.4	38
2008-04-13	Aves	L 1-4	1637	1534	59.9%	21.9%	18.1%	-21.1	40
2008-04-13	@ Gil Vicente	W 4-1	1534	1637	18.1%	21.9%	59.9%	+21.1	30
2008-04-13	Olhanense	L 0-1	1577	1569	45.0%	31.1%	23.8%	-7.6	29
2008-04-13	@ Gondomar	W 1-0	1569	1577	23.8%	31.1%	45.0%	+7.6	41
2008-04-13	Penafiel	D 1-1	1547	1514	48.9%	29.1%	22.0%	-0.9	27
2008-04-13	@ Portimonense	D 1-1	1514	1547	22.0%	29.1%	48.9%	+1.0	23
2008-04-13	Estoril	W 1-0	1626	1612	45.9%	30.7%	23.4%	+4.7	46
2008-04-13	@ Rio Ave	L 0-1	1612	1626	23.4%	30.7%	45.9%	-4.7	38
2008-04-13	Trofense	D 0-0	1576	1635	34.8%	34.1%	31.1%	-0.1	33
2008-04-13	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1635	1576	31.1%	34.1%	34.8%	+0.1	46
2008-04-13	Santa Clara	L 0-1	1617	1501	62.0%	20.5%	17.5%	-9.3	41
2008-04-13	@ Vizela	W 1-0	1501	1617	17.5%	20.5%	62.0%	+9.3	31
2008-04-19	Varzim	W 1-0	1510	1576	33.8%	34.2%	32.0%	+6.1	34
2008-04-19	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1576	1510	32.0%	34.2%	33.8%	-6.1	33
2008-04-20	Vizela	W 2-1	1555	1608	35.7%	34.0%	30.3%	+5.5	33
2008-04-20	@ Aves	L 1-2	1608	1555	30.3%	34.0%	35.7%	-5.5	41
2008-04-20	Gondomar	D 1-1	1557	1570	41.7%	32.5%	25.8%	-0.5	39
2008-04-20	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1570	1557	25.8%	32.5%	41.7%	+0.5	30
2008-04-20	Feirense	L 0-1	1607	1539	54.3%	25.8%	19.9%	-8.6	38
2008-04-20	@ Estoril	W 1-0	1539	1607	19.9%	25.8%	54.3%	+8.6	31
2008-04-20	Gil Vicente	L 1-2	1564	1616	35.8%	34.0%	30.1%	-6.2	35
2008-04-20	@ Freamunde	W 2-1	1616	1564	30.1%	34.0%	35.8%	+6.2	43
2008-04-20	Portimonense	L 0-1	1576	1546	48.4%	29.4%	22.2%	-8.0	41
2008-04-20	@ Olhanense	W 1-0	1546	1576	22.2%	29.4%	48.4%	+8.0	30
2008-04-20	Fatima	W 2-0	1514	1510	44.4%	31.4%	24.2%	+9.2	26
2008-04-20	@ Penafiel	L 0-2	1510	1514	24.2%	31.4%	44.4%	-9.2	25
2008-04-20	Rio Ave	D 0-0	1635	1631	44.3%	31.5%	24.2%	-0.8	47
2008-04-20	@ Trofense	D 0-0	1631	1635	24.2%	31.5%	44.3%	+0.8	47
2008-04-27	Santa Clara	W 3-1	1561	1516	50.6%	28.1%	21.3%	+6.9	36
2008-04-27	@ Aves	L 1-3	1516	1561	21.3%	28.1%	50.6%	-6.9	34
2008-04-27	Olhanense	L 0-1	1500	1568	33.5%	34.2%	32.3%	-6.3	25
2008-04-27	@ Fatima	W 1-0	1568	1500	32.3%	34.2%	33.5%	+6.3	44
2008-04-27	Trofense	L 0-1	1548	1634	30.9%	34.1%	35.0%	-6.0	31
2008-04-27	@ Feirense	W 1-0	1634	1548	35.0%	34.1%	30.9%	+6.0	50
2008-04-27	Penafiel	W 2-0	1622	1524	59.2%	22.4%	18.3%	+6.4	46
2008-04-27	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-2	1524	1622	18.3%	22.4%	59.2%	-6.4	26
2008-04-27	Estoril	W 1-0	1570	1598	39.4%	33.3%	27.3%	+5.4	33
2008-04-27	@ Gondomar	L 0-1	1598	1570	27.3%	33.3%	39.4%	-5.4	38
2008-04-27	Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1554	1556	43.4%	31.9%	24.8%	+4.7	33
2008-04-27	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1556	1554	24.8%	31.9%	43.4%	-4.7	39
2008-04-27	Varzim	L 0-1	1632	1569	53.4%	26.4%	20.2%	-8.5	47
2008-04-27	@ Rio Ave	W 1-0	1569	1632	20.2%	26.4%	53.4%	+8.5	36
2008-04-27	Freamunde	W 3-2	1602	1558	50.6%	28.1%	21.3%	+3.8	44
2008-04-27	@ Vizela	L 2-3	1558	1602	21.3%	28.1%	50.6%	-3.8	35
2008-05-04	Fatima	W 2-1	1551	1494	52.6%	26.9%	20.5%	+3.8	42
2008-05-04	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-2	1494	1551	20.5%	26.9%	52.6%	-3.8	25
2008-05-04	Portimonense	L 0-1	1593	1559	49.0%	29.1%	21.9%	-8.1	38
2008-05-04	@ Estoril	W 1-0	1559	1593	21.9%	29.1%	49.0%	+8.1	36
2008-05-04	Aves	L 2-4	1554	1567	41.7%	32.5%	25.8%	-10.6	35
2008-05-04	@ Freamunde	W 4-2	1567	1554	25.8%	32.5%	41.7%	+10.6	39
2008-05-04	Gil Vicente	D 2-2	1575	1629	35.5%	34.1%	30.5%	-0.1	45
2008-05-04	@ Olhanense	D 2-2	1629	1575	30.5%	34.1%	35.5%	+0.1	47
2008-05-04	Vizela	L 0-2	1517	1606	30.6%	34.1%	35.4%	-11.2	26
2008-05-04	@ Penafiel	W 2-0	1606	1517	35.4%	34.1%	30.6%	+11.2	47
2008-05-04	Santa Clara	W 1-0	1623	1509	61.6%	20.8%	17.6%	+3.2	50
2008-05-04	@ Rio Ave	L 0-1	1509	1623	17.6%	20.8%	61.6%	-3.2	34
2008-05-04	Gondomar	D 1-1	1640	1576	53.8%	26.1%	20.1%	-1.2	51
2008-05-04	@ Trofense	D 1-1	1576	1640	20.1%	26.1%	53.8%	+1.2	34
2008-05-04	Feirense	D 0-0	1578	1542	49.4%	28.9%	21.8%	-1.1	37
2008-05-04	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1542	1578	21.8%	28.9%	49.4%	+1.1	32
2008-05-11	Penafiel	L 1-2	1578	1506	55.0%	25.4%	19.7%	-8.2	39
2008-05-11	@ Aves	W 2-1	1506	1578	19.7%	25.4%	55.0%	+8.2	29
2008-05-11	Estoril	L 0-1	1490	1585	29.9%	34.0%	36.2%	-5.8	25
2008-05-11	@ Fatima	W 1-0	1585	1490	36.2%	34.0%	29.9%	+5.8	41
2008-05-11	Rio Ave	D 1-1	1543	1626	31.3%	34.2%	34.6%	+0.1	33
2008-05-11	@ Feirense	D 1-1	1626	1543	34.6%	34.2%	31.3%	-0.1	51
2008-05-11	Beira-Mar	W 3-2	1629	1555	55.3%	25.1%	19.6%	+3.3	50
2008-05-11	@ Gil Vicente	L 2-3	1555	1629	19.6%	25.1%	55.3%	-3.4	42
2008-05-11	Varzim	D 2-2	1577	1577	43.7%	31.7%	24.6%	-0.5	35
2008-05-11	@ Gondomar	D 2-2	1577	1577	24.6%	31.7%	43.7%	+0.5	38
2008-05-11	Trofense	D 2-2	1567	1639	32.9%	34.2%	32.9%	+0.0	37
2008-05-11	@ Portimonense	D 2-2	1639	1567	32.9%	34.2%	32.9%	-0.0	52
2008-05-11	Freamunde	W 2-1	1506	1544	37.9%	33.6%	28.4%	+5.3	37
2008-05-11	@ Santa Clara	L 1-2	1544	1506	28.4%	33.6%	37.9%	-5.3	35
2008-05-11	Olhanense	W 3-1	1617	1574	50.4%	28.3%	21.4%	+6.9	50
2008-05-11	@ Vizela	L 1-3	1574	1617	21.4%	28.3%	50.4%	-6.9	45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2008-04-13	17.54%	Santa Clara	1501	1	@ Vizela	1617	0
2	2008-04-13	18.13%	Aves	1534	4	@ Gil Vicente	1637	1
3	2007-12-02	18.73%	Penafiel	1485	3	@ Fatima	1576	0
4	2008-03-09	19.12%	Beira-Mar	1543	1	@ Estoril	1626	0
5	2008-05-11	19.67%	Penafiel	1506	2	@ Aves	1578	1
6	2008-01-26	19.74%	Penafiel	1506	3	@ Santa Clara	1577	0
7	2008-04-20	19.89%	Feirense	1539	1	@ Estoril	1607	0
8	2007-12-15	20.01%	Aves	1515	2	@ Santa Clara	1581	1
9	2008-01-06	20.13%	Feirense	1557	1	@ Rio Ave	1621	0
10	2008-04-27	20.20%	Varzim	1569	1	@ Rio Ave	1632	0
11	2008-03-09	20.22%	Penafiel	1523	1	@ Varzim	1585	0
12	2007-09-02	20.76%	Beira-Mar	1538	1	@ Freamunde	1590	0
13	2008-02-03	20.98%	Portimonense	1510	2	@ Feirense	1559	0
14	2008-02-24	21.04%	Freamunde	1565	2	@ Trofense	1612	1
15	2008-01-06	21.62%	Gondomar	1551	3	@ Varzim	1590	2
16	2007-09-30	21.77%	Olhanense	1564	2	@ Estoril	1600	1
17	2008-05-04	21.93%	Portimonense	1559	1	@ Estoril	1593	0
18	2008-04-20	22.20%	Portimonense	1546	1	@ Olhanense	1576	0
19	2007-11-25	23.59%	Gondomar	1554	1	@ Olhanense	1565	0
20	2008-04-13	23.84%	Olhanense	1569	1	@ Gondomar	1577	0
21	2007-09-23	24.53%	Trofense	1577	2	@ Freamunde	1578	0
22	2008-04-13	24.83%	Beira-Mar	1549	1	@ Feirense	1546	0
23	2008-01-13	24.94%	Santa Clara	1570	1	@ Feirense	1566	0
24	2007-08-18	25.04%	Rio Ave	1581	3	@ Gondomar	1576	2
25	2007-12-16	25.04%	Rio Ave	1619	1	@ Varzim	1614	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-08-19	26.25	Varzim	4	1578	25.41%	@ Portimonense	0	1569	42.28%
2	2007-12-02	24.48	Penafiel	3	1485	18.73%	@ Fatima	0	1576	57.93%
3	2008-01-26	23.67	Penafiel	3	1506	19.74%	@ Santa Clara	0	1577	54.77%
4	2008-04-13	21.06	Aves	4	1534	18.13%	@ Gil Vicente	1	1637	59.94%
5	2008-04-05	20.97	Trofense	4	1614	35.82%	@ Santa Clara	0	1522	30.17%
6	2008-03-02	20.25	Portimonense	3	1531	25.09%	@ Fatima	0	1525	42.80%
7	2007-11-04	19.72	Rio Ave	3	1595	26.17%	@ Olhanense	0	1578	41.08%
8	2008-01-13	18.92	Vizela	3	1589	27.94%	@ Beira-Mar	0	1556	38.57%
9	2008-02-03	17.39	@ Gondomar	4	1559	44.49%	Santa Clara	0	1553	24.12%
10	2007-12-23	16.76	@ Feirense	3	1540	33.71%	Varzim	0	1607	32.09%
11	2007-11-04	16.55	Gil Vicente	4	1623	26.36%	@ Santa Clara	1	1605	40.80%
12	2007-10-28	16.53	@ Estoril	5	1587	38.52%	Santa Clara	1	1621	27.98%
13	2007-12-23	16.07	@ Aves	3	1523	35.79%	Freamunde	0	1575	30.19%
14	2008-02-03	15.65	Portimonense	2	1510	20.98%	@ Feirense	0	1559	51.31%
15	2007-08-18	14.67	@ Vizela	5	1549	43.97%	Beira-Mar	1	1548	24.41%
16	2007-09-23	14.14	Trofense	2	1577	24.53%	@ Freamunde	0	1578	43.76%
17	2008-02-17	13.96	Feirense	2	1543	25.04%	@ Fatima	0	1538	42.89%
18	2007-11-11	12.97	Freamunde	2	1562	28.13%	@ Portimonense	0	1527	38.32%
19	2008-04-06	12.88	Gondomar	2	1564	28.47%	@ Penafiel	0	1526	37.88%
20	2008-02-17	12.85	@ Vizela	3	1608	46.04%	Varzim	0	1593	23.31%
21	2007-08-18	12.50	@ Gil Vicente	3	1615	47.24%	Estoril	0	1593	22.73%
22	2008-02-17	11.28	Estoril	3	1610	27.97%	@ Freamunde	1	1576	38.54%
23	2008-05-04	11.17	Vizela	2	1606	35.35%	@ Penafiel	0	1517	30.58%
24	2008-01-13	10.87	@ Estoril	2	1599	36.65%	Gil Vicente	0	1645	29.46%
25	2008-05-04	10.62	Aves	4	1567	25.79%	@ Freamunde	2	1554	41.68%