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2007-08 Liga de Honra Season

240 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Trofense

6.95 points above expected

52 points · 45.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fatima

12.38 points below expected

25 points · 37.38 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Trofense 30 13 13 4 52 35 22 +13 45.05 +6.95
2 Rio Ave 30 13 12 5 51 38 26 +12 44.80 +6.20
3 Vizela 30 13 11 6 50 40 22 +18 44.22 +5.78
4 Gil Vicente 30 13 11 6 50 43 34 +9 48.66 +1.34
5 Olhanense 30 12 9 9 45 33 33 0 39.77 +5.23
6 Beira-Mar 30 10 12 8 42 30 32 -2 37.40 +4.60
7 Estoril 30 11 8 11 41 41 38 +3 44.86 -3.86
8 Aves 30 10 9 11 39 42 38 +4 35.81 +3.19
9 Varzim 30 9 11 10 38 29 27 +2 43.15 -5.15
10 Portimonense 30 8 13 9 37 26 30 -4 35.51 +1.49
11 Santa Clara 30 10 7 13 37 30 49 -19 38.75 -1.75
12 Gondomar 30 8 11 11 35 37 37 0 39.57 -4.57
13 Freamunde 30 9 8 13 35 42 49 -7 40.62 -5.62
14 Feirense 30 8 9 13 33 25 27 -2 37.61 -4.61
15 Penafiel 30 7 8 15 29 28 39 -11 31.64 -2.64
16 Fatima 30 5 10 15 25 25 41 -16 37.38 -12.38

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Trofense 1655 52 45.05 +6.95 86.5% 21 34 40 45 50 56 72
Gil Vicente 1640 50 48.66 +1.34 60.8% 23 38 44 49 53 60 73
Vizela 1638 50 44.22 +5.78 82.6% 20 33 40 44 49 55 68
Rio Ave 1629 51 44.80 +6.20 84.2% 19 34 40 45 49 56 69
Estoril 1592 41 44.86 -3.86 31.2% 16 34 40 45 49 56 68
Gondomar 1580 35 39.57 -4.57 27.5% 10 29 35 40 44 51 65
Aves 1578 39 35.81 +3.19 71.7% 11 25 31 36 40 47 63
Varzim 1575 38 43.15 -5.15 24.9% 21 32 39 43 48 54 68
Portimonense 1570 37 35.51 +1.49 62.1% 10 25 31 35 40 46 63
Olhanense 1570 45 39.77 +5.23 80.0% 17 29 35 40 44 51 63
Beira-Mar 1551 42 37.40 +4.60 78.4% 16 27 33 37 42 49 61
Feirense 1541 33 37.61 -4.61 26.9% 11 27 33 38 42 49 60
Freamunde 1531 35 40.62 -5.62 22.1% 17 30 36 41 45 52 67
Penafiel 1504 29 31.64 -2.64 38.1% 9 21 27 31 36 43 60
Santa Clara 1495 37 38.75 -1.75 43.0% 17 28 34 39 43 50 66
Fatima 1465 25 37.38 -12.38 3.1% 16 27 33 37 42 48 64

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AVE BEI EST FAT FEI FRE GV GON OLH PEN POR RA SC TRO VAR VIZ
Aves —
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.51
1-1-0
1.80
1-1-0
2.36
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
3.19
1-1-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.13
2-0-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.20
Beira-Mar
1-1-0
2.69
 —
2-0-0
2.17
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
2.14
0-1-1
2.47
1-1-0
2.23
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.49
Estoril
1-1-0
3.27
0-0-2
3.23
 —
1-1-0
3.33
0-0-2
3.21
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
3.50
0-1-1
3.28
0-0-2
2.64
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.72
Fatima
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.04
 —
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.60
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
3.06
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.49
1-0-1
2.11
Feirense
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.17
1-1-0
2.62
 —
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-2
2.60
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.98
1-1-0
2.12
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
2.06
1-1-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.35
Freamunde
0-0-2
2.83
0-1-1
3.10
0-0-2
2.51
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.75
 —
0-0-2
2.25
0-1-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.24
2-0-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.40
Gil Vicente
0-1-1
3.62
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.13
 —
1-1-0
3.25
0-2-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
3.40
0-1-1
2.99
2-0-0
3.24
0-1-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.94
0-1-1
3.00
Gondomar
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.13
 —
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.29
Olhanense
2-0-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
3.04
2-0-0
2.75
0-0-2
2.63
0-2-0
2.13
1-0-1
2.71
 —
1-1-0
3.10
0-0-2
3.08
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.35
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.31
Penafiel
1-1-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
1.90
2-0-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
2.25
0-1-1
2.26
 —
1-1-0
2.36
0-0-2
1.98
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.95
1-1-0
1.89
0-1-1
1.90
Portimonense
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.09
1-1-0
2.49
1-1-0
2.40
0-0-2
2.47
0-1-1
1.99
1-1-0
2.36
2-0-0
2.28
0-1-1
3.01
 —
1-1-0
2.04
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.37
0-2-0
2.18
Rio Ave
1-1-0
3.24
0-2-0
3.23
2-0-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
3.25
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.37
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-0
3.41
0-1-1
3.33
 —
1-0-1
3.36
0-2-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.65
Santa Clara
0-0-2
2.72
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.39
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.05
 —
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.23
Trofense
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
3.14
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.33
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
3.03
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.44
0-2-0
2.67
1-1-0
3.22
 —
1-1-0
2.90
0-2-0
2.76
Varzim
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.60
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
3.10
1-1-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.89
0-1-1
3.50
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.09
0-1-1
2.44
 —
0-1-1
2.81
Vizela
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.51
0-2-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
3.20
0-2-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.59
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.32 +7.0
Allowed 0.34 -5.6
Differential 0.70 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.42%11.88%5.00%1.88%0.62%—29.79%
111.88%16.25%7.92%1.88%0.62%0.42%38.96%
25.00%7.92%6.67%2.50%0.21%—22.29%
31.88%1.88%2.50%—0.21%—6.46%
40.62%0.62%0.21%0.21%0.42%—2.08%
5+—0.42%————0.42%
Total29.79%38.96%22.29%6.46%2.08%0.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.13 +0.00
SD 1.01 1.01 1.34
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%6.67%———16.67%
16.67%16.67%23.33%———46.67%
23.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%——23.33%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total20.00%36.67%40.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.27 +0.13
SD 1.07 0.83 1.33
CV 0.76 0.65 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
120.00%26.67%6.67%——3.33%56.67%
26.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%——16.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%36.67%16.67%6.67%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.07 -0.07
SD 0.74 1.17 1.31
CV 0.74 1.10 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
16.67%6.67%10.00%———23.33%
26.67%10.00%13.33%3.33%——33.33%
3—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total20.00%40.00%33.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.27 +0.10
SD 1.22 0.87 1.40
CV 0.89 0.69 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%10.00%6.67%——43.33%
16.67%16.67%10.00%———33.33%
23.33%3.33%10.00%3.33%——20.00%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%40.00%33.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.37 -0.53
SD 0.87 0.89 1.17
CV 1.05 0.65 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%30.00%6.67%———43.33%
110.00%16.67%6.67%———33.33%
210.00%3.33%6.67%———20.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%50.00%20.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 0.90 -0.07
SD 0.87 0.71 1.23
CV 1.05 0.79 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%——20.00%
16.67%16.67%6.67%6.67%——36.67%
23.33%10.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%—30.00%
3—10.00%————10.00%
4————3.33%—3.33%
5+———————
Total13.33%43.33%16.67%20.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.63 -0.23
SD 1.04 1.16 1.38
CV 0.74 0.71 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
110.00%23.33%6.67%—3.33%—43.33%
23.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
33.33%—10.00%———13.33%
4—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%43.33%23.33%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.13 +0.30
SD 1.17 0.97 1.26
CV 0.81 0.86 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%6.67%———30.00%
110.00%16.67%6.67%———33.33%
26.67%—10.00%6.67%——23.33%
3——6.67%—3.33%—10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%30.00%30.00%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.23 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.07 1.26
CV 0.90 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
116.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%——36.67%
23.33%13.33%10.00%———26.67%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%23.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.10 +0.00
SD 0.92 0.99 1.23
CV 0.84 0.90 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%13.33%———40.00%
110.00%6.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%3.33%10.00%3.33%——20.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%26.67%30.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.30 -0.37
SD 0.94 1.12 1.47
CV 1.01 0.86 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%10.00%—3.33%—40.00%
110.00%16.67%10.00%———36.67%
23.33%10.00%6.67%———20.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%33.33%26.67%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.00 -0.13
SD 0.86 0.98 1.33
CV 0.99 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%3.33%———23.33%
123.33%23.33%3.33%———50.00%
2—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
4—3.33%——3.33%—6.67%
5+———————
Total36.67%46.67%13.33%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.87 +0.40
SD 1.14 0.90 1.10
CV 0.90 1.04 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%—3.33%6.67%—20.00%
120.00%16.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%60.00%
2—13.33%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%36.67%10.00%16.67%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.63 -0.63
SD 0.64 1.45 1.67
CV 0.64 0.89 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
123.33%23.33%3.33%———50.00%
26.67%10.00%10.00%———26.67%
3———————
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total43.33%40.00%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.73 +0.43
SD 0.87 0.74 1.10
CV 0.75 1.01 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%16.67%—6.67%——46.67%
13.33%10.00%6.67%———20.00%
210.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total40.00%40.00%10.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 0.90 +0.07
SD 1.10 0.96 1.46
CV 1.14 1.07 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%————30.00%
16.67%16.67%6.67%———30.00%
210.00%10.00%3.33%———23.33%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total40.00%46.67%13.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.73 +0.60
SD 1.24 0.69 1.33
CV 0.93 0.94 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Trofense 52 45.05 +6.95
2 Rio Ave 51 44.80 +6.20
3 Vizela 50 44.22 +5.78
4 Olhanense 45 39.77 +5.23
5 Beira-Mar 42 37.40 +4.60

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fatima 25 37.38 -12.38
2 Freamunde 35 40.62 -5.62
3 Varzim 38 43.15 -5.15
4 Feirense 33 37.61 -4.61
5 Gondomar 35 39.57 -4.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aves 5 Apr 5 – May 4 1 in 279
2 Portimonense 3 Jan 27 – Feb 17 1 in 58
3 Estoril 4 Aug 26 – Sep 23 1 in 38
4 Beira-Mar 3 Aug 26 – Sep 16 1 in 25
5 Trofense 4 Dec 16 – Jan 13 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Estoril 4 Apr 13 – May 4 1 in 152
2 Freamunde 4 Sep 2 – Sep 30 1 in 101
3 Varzim 3 Dec 16 – Jan 6 1 in 61
4 Fatima 4 Jan 13 – Feb 17 1 in 50
5 Aves 4 Aug 18 – Sep 16 1 in 43

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vizela 12 Sep 2 – Dec 22 1 in 139
2 Portimonense 9 Jan 13 – Mar 30 1 in 118
3 Trofense 12 Oct 28 – Feb 17 1 in 73
4 Rio Ave 10 Feb 2 – Apr 20 1 in 36
5 Aves 7 Mar 16 – May 4 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fatima 11 Nov 25 – Mar 2 1 in 84
2 Portimonense 11 Aug 19 – Nov 25 1 in 51
3 Gondomar 9 Aug 18 – Nov 4 1 in 34
4 Santa Clara 9 Jan 26 – Apr 5 1 in 29
5 Gil Vicente 6 Dec 23 – Feb 16 1 in 29

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Trofense13.23%12.74%11.36%10.22%9.63%7.66%6.89%5.71%5.18%4.44%3.66%3.14%2.48%1.86%1.20%0.60%
Rio Ave12.38%12.27%11.18%10.19%9.09%8.11%6.83%6.16%5.69%4.78%3.71%3.15%2.52%1.87%1.31%0.76%
Vizela11.36%10.93%10.79%10.26%9.33%7.82%6.77%6.61%5.83%4.89%4.17%3.63%3.10%1.94%1.75%0.82%
Gil Vicente27.85%17.15%12.88%9.53%7.89%6.08%4.61%3.87%3.00%2.33%1.58%1.19%0.82%0.63%0.40%0.19%
Olhanense2.84%3.92%5.74%6.39%6.44%6.72%7.35%7.49%7.61%8.16%7.81%7.39%6.57%6.35%5.06%4.16%
Beira-Mar1.40%2.20%3.10%3.91%4.46%5.35%5.87%6.56%7.28%7.81%8.71%8.71%8.97%9.15%9.00%7.52%
Estoril11.41%11.90%10.56%9.92%9.08%8.80%7.37%6.69%5.44%4.96%4.13%3.00%2.63%1.94%1.31%0.86%
Aves0.83%1.51%2.03%2.59%3.36%4.57%4.94%5.73%6.90%7.21%7.97%9.03%9.99%11.05%11.64%10.65%
Varzim7.63%9.47%9.15%8.94%8.29%7.84%8.33%7.50%6.48%6.02%5.32%4.46%4.02%2.97%2.17%1.41%
Portimonense0.73%1.15%1.75%2.45%3.20%3.95%4.37%5.68%6.37%6.98%8.15%9.19%10.36%11.44%11.79%12.44%
Santa Clara2.01%3.03%3.65%4.34%5.22%6.26%7.18%7.14%7.61%7.92%8.20%8.03%7.91%7.78%7.62%6.10%
Gondomar2.62%4.07%5.04%6.04%6.59%7.23%7.30%7.28%7.28%7.85%7.75%7.15%7.11%6.86%5.54%4.29%
Freamunde3.21%4.93%6.15%6.87%7.27%7.37%7.32%7.74%7.74%7.33%7.36%7.11%6.03%5.61%4.87%3.09%
Feirense1.30%2.44%3.36%3.93%4.84%5.36%6.70%6.57%7.26%7.94%7.74%8.85%9.14%8.93%8.29%7.35%
Penafiel0.13%0.39%0.44%0.94%1.09%1.58%2.30%2.47%3.26%3.99%5.57%7.11%9.08%12.14%18.16%31.35%
Fatima1.07%1.90%2.82%3.48%4.22%5.30%5.87%6.80%7.07%7.39%8.17%8.86%9.27%9.48%9.89%8.41%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.25%
Clear Edge
41.25%33.75%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 56.96 Elo pts.
317 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.23 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.9
Wide Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
13%
Trofense, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.3 * Some Luck: 5.3 to 7.95 * Lucky: 7.95 to 10.6 * Wild Swing: 10.6 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.75 * Close: 2.75 to 4.13 * Off: 4.13 to 5.5 * Way Off: 5.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.36 points
Some Luck
06.6317
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.25
Close
03.448
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
86.54%
Trofense
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
3.12%
Fatima
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
0.98
Coin-Flip Parity
01.003
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
75%
Clear Edge
50%76%100%
Close Games
Expected
79%
Very Frequent
0%74%100%
Blowouts
Expected 6%
7%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.66
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.09
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.53
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.76
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.091
Well Within Noise
00.1080.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Gil Vicente 45.00% 54.41% 0.59%
Trofense 25.97% 72.23% 1.80%
Rio Ave 24.65% 73.28% 2.07%
Estoril 23.31% 74.52% 2.17%
Vizela 22.29% 75.14% 2.57%
Varzim 17.10% 79.32% 3.58%
Freamunde 8.14% 83.90% 7.96%
Olhanense 6.76% 84.02% 9.22%
Gondomar 6.69% 83.48% 9.83%
Santa Clara 5.04% 81.24% 13.72%
Feirense 3.74% 80.62% 15.64%
Beira-Mar 3.60% 79.88% 16.52%
Fatima 2.97% 78.73% 18.30%
Aves 2.34% 75.37% 22.29%
Portimonense 1.88% 73.89% 24.23%
Penafiel 0.52% 49.97% 49.51%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2007-08-18 Beira-Mar W 5-1 1548 1543 44.2% 31.9% 23.9% +18.8 3
2007-08-18 @ Vizela L 1-5 1543 1548 23.9% 31.9% 44.2% -18.8 0
2007-08-18 Estoril W 3-0 1625 1597 47.2% 31.1% 21.7% +15.9 3
2007-08-18 @ Gil Vicente L 0-3 1597 1625 21.7% 31.1% 47.2% -15.9 0
2007-08-18 Feirense W 1-0 1601 1549 50.3% 30.0% 19.6% +5.3 3
2007-08-18 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1549 1601 19.6% 30.0% 50.3% -5.3 0
2007-08-18 Olhanense L 1-2 1528 1570 37.6% 33.0% 29.4% -8.2 0
2007-08-18 @ Aves W 2-1 1570 1528 29.4% 33.0% 37.6% +8.2 3
2007-08-18 Rio Ave L 2-3 1582 1570 45.1% 31.7% 23.2% -8.9 0
2007-08-18 @ Gondomar W 3-2 1570 1582 23.2% 31.7% 45.1% +8.9 3
2007-08-19 Penafiel W 3-1 1582 1509 52.9% 29.0% 18.1% +8.0 3
2007-08-19 @ Freamunde L 1-3 1509 1582 18.1% 29.0% 52.9% -8.0 0
2007-08-19 Trofense W 2-0 1582 1582 43.5% 32.0% 24.4% +12.1 3
2007-08-19 @ Fatima L 0-2 1582 1582 24.4% 32.0% 43.5% -12.1 0
2007-08-19 Varzim L 0-4 1569 1576 42.5% 32.2% 25.2% -34.1 0
2007-08-19 @ Portimonense W 4-0 1576 1569 25.2% 32.2% 42.5% +34.1 3
2007-08-25 Portimonense D 0-0 1579 1535 49.3% 30.4% 20.3% -1.5 4
2007-08-25 @ Rio Ave D 0-0 1535 1579 20.3% 30.4% 49.3% +1.5 1
2007-08-26 Aves W 1-0 1524 1519 44.2% 31.9% 23.9% +6.3 3
2007-08-26 @ Beira-Mar L 0-1 1519 1524 23.9% 31.9% 44.2% -6.3 0
2007-08-26 Fatima W 2-0 1610 1594 45.7% 31.5% 22.8% +11.4 6
2007-08-26 @ Varzim L 0-2 1594 1610 22.8% 31.5% 45.7% -11.4 3
2007-08-26 Freamunde L 0-1 1578 1590 42.0% 32.4% 25.7% -9.4 3
2007-08-26 @ Olhanense W 1-0 1590 1578 25.7% 32.4% 42.0% +9.4 6
2007-08-26 Gil Vicente W 1-0 1570 1641 33.6% 33.1% 33.3% +8.0 3
2007-08-26 @ Trofense L 0-1 1641 1570 33.3% 33.1% 33.6% -8.0 3
2007-08-26 Gondomar W 2-0 1544 1573 39.5% 32.7% 27.7% +13.3 3
2007-08-26 @ Feirense L 0-2 1573 1544 27.7% 32.7% 39.5% -13.3 0
2007-08-26 Santa Clara L 1-2 1501 1606 28.9% 32.9% 38.2% -6.9 0
2007-08-26 @ Penafiel W 2-1 1606 1501 38.2% 32.9% 28.9% +6.9 6
2007-08-26 Vizela W 2-1 1581 1567 45.4% 31.6% 23.0% +5.8 3
2007-08-26 @ Estoril L 1-2 1567 1581 23.0% 31.6% 45.4% -5.8 3
2007-09-02 Beira-Mar L 0-1 1599 1531 52.4% 29.2% 18.3% -11.1 6
2007-09-02 @ Freamunde W 1-0 1531 1599 18.3% 29.2% 52.4% +11.1 6
2007-09-02 Estoril L 2-3 1513 1587 33.2% 33.1% 33.7% -7.2 0
2007-09-02 @ Aves W 3-2 1587 1513 33.7% 33.1% 33.2% +7.2 6
2007-09-02 Feirense D 1-1 1536 1557 40.7% 32.6% 26.7% -0.6 2
2007-09-02 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1557 1536 26.7% 32.6% 40.7% +0.6 4
2007-09-02 Gondomar W 1-0 1613 1560 50.5% 30.0% 19.5% +5.3 9
2007-09-02 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1560 1613 19.5% 30.0% 50.5% -5.3 0
2007-09-02 Olhanense D 0-0 1494 1569 33.1% 33.1% 33.8% +0.0 1
2007-09-02 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1569 1494 33.8% 33.1% 33.1% -0.0 4
2007-09-02 Rio Ave D 1-1 1583 1577 44.2% 31.9% 23.9% -0.9 4
2007-09-02 @ Fatima D 1-1 1577 1583 23.9% 31.9% 44.2% +0.9 5
2007-09-02 Trofense D 2-2 1561 1578 41.2% 32.5% 26.3% -0.5 4
2007-09-02 @ Vizela D 2-2 1578 1561 26.3% 32.5% 41.2% +0.5 4
2007-09-02 Varzim D 1-1 1633 1622 45.0% 31.7% 23.3% -1.0 4
2007-09-02 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1622 1633 23.3% 31.7% 45.0% +1.0 7
2007-09-15 Vizela D 0-0 1623 1561 51.6% 29.6% 18.8% -1.7 8
2007-09-15 @ Varzim D 0-0 1561 1623 18.8% 29.6% 51.6% +1.7 5
2007-09-16 Aves W 2-1 1578 1506 52.9% 29.0% 18.1% +4.6 7
2007-09-16 @ Trofense L 1-2 1506 1578 18.1% 29.0% 52.9% -4.6 0
2007-09-16 Fatima D 2-2 1558 1582 40.2% 32.6% 27.1% -0.4 5
2007-09-16 @ Feirense D 2-2 1582 1558 27.1% 32.6% 40.2% +0.4 5
2007-09-16 Freamunde W 3-2 1594 1588 44.3% 31.9% 23.8% +5.6 9
2007-09-16 @ Estoril L 2-3 1588 1594 23.8% 31.9% 44.3% -5.6 6
2007-09-16 Gil Vicente W 1-0 1578 1632 36.1% 33.1% 30.9% +7.6 8
2007-09-16 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1632 1578 30.9% 33.1% 36.1% -7.6 4
2007-09-16 Penafiel W 1-0 1542 1495 49.7% 30.3% 20.0% +5.4 9
2007-09-16 @ Beira-Mar L 0-1 1495 1542 20.0% 30.3% 49.7% -5.4 1
2007-09-16 Portimonense D 0-0 1554 1536 46.0% 31.4% 22.6% -1.2 1
2007-09-16 @ Gondomar D 0-0 1536 1554 22.6% 31.4% 46.0% +1.2 3
2007-09-16 Santa Clara D 2-2 1569 1619 36.6% 33.0% 30.3% -0.2 5
2007-09-16 @ Olhanense D 2-2 1619 1569 30.3% 33.0% 36.6% +0.2 10
2007-09-22 Portimonense W 2-1 1619 1537 54.0% 28.5% 17.4% +4.4 13
2007-09-22 @ Santa Clara L 1-2 1537 1619 17.4% 28.5% 54.0% -4.4 3
2007-09-23 Beira-Mar D 0-0 1569 1547 46.4% 31.3% 22.3% -1.2 6
2007-09-23 @ Olhanense D 0-0 1547 1569 22.3% 31.3% 46.4% +1.2 10
2007-09-23 Estoril L 1-2 1489 1600 28.3% 32.8% 38.9% -6.8 1
2007-09-23 @ Penafiel W 2-1 1600 1489 38.9% 32.8% 28.3% +6.8 12
2007-09-23 Feirense W 1-0 1624 1557 52.2% 29.3% 18.5% +5.0 7
2007-09-23 @ Gil Vicente L 0-1 1557 1624 18.5% 29.3% 52.2% -5.0 5
2007-09-23 Gondomar W 3-2 1582 1553 47.4% 31.1% 21.6% +5.2 8
2007-09-23 @ Fatima L 2-3 1553 1582 21.6% 31.1% 47.4% -5.2 1
2007-09-23 Rio Ave W 2-0 1562 1586 40.3% 32.6% 27.1% +13.1 8
2007-09-23 @ Vizela L 0-2 1586 1562 27.1% 32.6% 40.3% -13.1 8
2007-09-23 Trofense L 0-2 1583 1583 43.5% 32.1% 24.5% -18.3 6
2007-09-23 @ Freamunde W 2-0 1583 1583 24.5% 32.1% 43.5% +18.3 10
2007-09-23 Varzim W 2-1 1501 1621 27.2% 32.6% 40.2% +8.6 3
2007-09-23 @ Aves L 1-2 1621 1501 40.2% 32.6% 27.2% -8.6 8
2007-09-30 Aves W 2-1 1573 1510 51.7% 29.5% 18.8% +4.8 11
2007-09-30 @ Rio Ave L 1-2 1510 1573 18.8% 29.5% 51.7% -4.8 3
2007-09-30 Fatima D 0-0 1533 1587 35.9% 33.1% 31.0% -0.2 4
2007-09-30 @ Portimonense D 0-0 1587 1533 31.0% 33.1% 35.9% +0.2 9
2007-09-30 Freamunde W 2-0 1612 1564 49.9% 30.2% 19.9% +10.1 11
2007-09-30 @ Varzim L 0-2 1564 1612 19.9% 30.2% 49.9% -10.1 6
2007-09-30 Gil Vicente D 1-1 1548 1629 32.1% 33.1% 34.8% +0.1 2
2007-09-30 @ Gondomar D 1-1 1629 1548 34.8% 33.1% 32.1% -0.1 8
2007-09-30 Olhanense L 1-2 1606 1568 48.6% 30.6% 20.7% -9.9 12
2007-09-30 @ Estoril W 2-1 1568 1606 20.7% 30.6% 48.6% +9.9 9
2007-09-30 Penafiel W 1-0 1601 1482 58.5% 26.4% 15.1% +4.0 13
2007-09-30 @ Trofense L 0-1 1482 1601 15.1% 26.4% 58.5% -4.0 1
2007-09-30 Santa Clara L 1-2 1548 1623 33.0% 33.1% 33.9% -7.5 10
2007-09-30 @ Beira-Mar W 2-1 1623 1548 33.9% 33.1% 33.0% +7.5 16
2007-09-30 Vizela L 1-2 1552 1575 40.4% 32.6% 27.0% -8.6 5
2007-09-30 @ Feirense W 2-1 1575 1552 27.0% 32.6% 40.4% +8.6 11
2007-10-06 Fatima D 0-0 1631 1587 49.2% 30.4% 20.3% -1.5 17
2007-10-06 @ Santa Clara D 0-0 1587 1631 20.3% 30.4% 49.2% +1.5 10
2007-10-07 Estoril W 3-2 1541 1596 35.8% 33.1% 31.1% +6.9 13
2007-10-07 @ Beira-Mar L 2-3 1596 1541 31.1% 33.1% 35.8% -6.9 12
2007-10-07 Feirense D 1-1 1505 1544 38.2% 32.9% 28.9% -0.4 4
2007-10-07 @ Aves D 1-1 1544 1505 28.9% 32.9% 38.2% +0.4 6
2007-10-07 Gondomar W 2-1 1584 1548 48.3% 30.8% 21.0% +5.3 14
2007-10-07 @ Vizela L 1-2 1548 1584 21.0% 30.8% 48.3% -5.3 2
2007-10-07 Portimonense W 2-1 1629 1532 55.9% 27.7% 16.4% +4.2 11
2007-10-07 @ Gil Vicente L 1-2 1532 1629 16.4% 27.7% 55.9% -4.2 4
2007-10-07 Rio Ave D 4-4 1554 1578 40.3% 32.6% 27.1% -0.3 7
2007-10-07 @ Freamunde D 4-4 1578 1554 27.1% 32.6% 40.3% +0.3 12
2007-10-07 Trofense W 1-0 1577 1605 39.7% 32.7% 27.6% +7.0 12
2007-10-07 @ Olhanense L 0-1 1605 1577 27.6% 32.7% 39.7% -7.0 13
2007-10-07 Varzim D 0-0 1478 1623 24.4% 32.0% 43.6% +1.0 2
2007-10-07 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1623 1478 43.6% 32.0% 24.4% -1.0 12
2007-10-28 Aves D 1-1 1543 1505 48.5% 30.7% 20.8% -1.3 3
2007-10-28 @ Gondomar D 1-1 1505 1543 20.8% 30.7% 48.5% +1.3 5
2007-10-28 Beira-Mar D 1-1 1598 1548 50.1% 30.1% 19.8% -1.4 14
2007-10-28 @ Trofense D 1-1 1548 1598 19.8% 30.1% 50.1% +1.4 14
2007-10-28 Freamunde L 0-1 1544 1554 42.2% 32.3% 25.5% -9.5 6
2007-10-28 @ Feirense W 1-0 1554 1544 25.5% 32.3% 42.2% +9.5 10
2007-10-28 Gil Vicente D 1-1 1589 1633 37.4% 33.0% 29.6% -0.3 11
2007-10-28 @ Fatima D 1-1 1633 1589 29.6% 33.0% 37.4% +0.3 12
2007-10-28 Olhanense D 0-0 1622 1584 48.4% 30.7% 20.9% -1.4 13
2007-10-28 @ Varzim D 0-0 1584 1622 20.9% 30.7% 48.4% +1.4 13
2007-10-28 Penafiel W 4-1 1578 1479 56.1% 27.6% 16.3% +10.1 15
2007-10-28 @ Rio Ave L 1-4 1479 1578 16.3% 27.6% 56.1% -10.1 2
2007-10-28 Santa Clara W 5-1 1590 1629 38.0% 32.9% 29.1% +21.8 15
2007-10-28 @ Estoril L 1-5 1629 1590 29.1% 32.9% 38.0% -21.8 17
2007-10-28 Vizela D 1-1 1528 1589 35.0% 33.1% 31.9% -0.1 5
2007-10-28 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1589 1528 31.9% 33.1% 35.0% +0.1 15
2007-11-04 Fatima W 1-0 1590 1589 43.6% 32.0% 24.3% +6.4 18
2007-11-04 @ Vizela L 0-1 1589 1590 24.3% 32.0% 43.6% -6.4 11
2007-11-04 Feirense L 0-1 1469 1535 34.4% 33.1% 32.5% -8.2 2
2007-11-04 @ Penafiel W 1-0 1535 1469 32.5% 33.1% 34.4% +8.2 9
2007-11-04 Gil Vicente L 1-4 1607 1634 39.9% 32.7% 27.4% -21.0 17
2007-11-04 @ Santa Clara W 4-1 1634 1607 27.4% 32.7% 39.9% +21.0 15
2007-11-04 Gondomar D 0-0 1563 1542 46.4% 31.3% 22.3% -1.2 11
2007-11-04 @ Freamunde D 0-0 1542 1563 22.3% 31.3% 46.4% +1.2 4
2007-11-04 Portimonense W 2-0 1506 1528 40.5% 32.6% 26.9% +13.0 8
2007-11-04 @ Aves L 0-2 1528 1506 26.9% 32.6% 40.5% -13.0 5
2007-11-04 Rio Ave L 0-3 1586 1588 43.2% 32.1% 24.7% -26.4 13
2007-11-04 @ Olhanense W 3-0 1588 1586 24.7% 32.1% 43.2% +26.4 18
2007-11-04 Trofense D 1-1 1611 1597 45.5% 31.6% 22.9% -1.0 16
2007-11-04 @ Estoril D 1-1 1597 1611 22.9% 31.6% 45.5% +1.0 15
2007-11-04 Varzim D 1-1 1549 1620 33.6% 33.1% 33.3% -0.0 15
2007-11-04 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1620 1549 33.3% 33.1% 33.6% +0.0 14
2007-11-11 Aves W 2-1 1582 1519 51.7% 29.5% 18.8% +4.8 14
2007-11-11 @ Fatima L 1-2 1519 1582 18.8% 29.5% 51.7% -4.8 8
2007-11-11 Beira-Mar D 1-1 1614 1549 52.0% 29.4% 18.6% -1.6 19
2007-11-11 @ Rio Ave D 1-1 1549 1614 18.6% 29.4% 52.0% +1.6 16
2007-11-11 Estoril D 0-0 1620 1610 44.9% 31.7% 23.4% -1.1 15
2007-11-11 @ Varzim D 0-0 1610 1620 23.4% 31.7% 44.9% +1.1 17
2007-11-11 Freamunde L 0-2 1515 1562 37.0% 33.0% 30.0% -16.3 5
2007-11-11 @ Portimonense W 2-0 1562 1515 30.0% 33.0% 37.0% +16.3 14
2007-11-11 Olhanense L 0-1 1543 1559 41.2% 32.5% 26.3% -9.3 9
2007-11-11 @ Feirense W 1-0 1559 1543 26.3% 32.5% 41.2% +9.3 16
2007-11-11 Penafiel W 2-0 1543 1461 54.0% 28.5% 17.4% +8.9 7
2007-11-11 @ Gondomar L 0-2 1461 1543 17.4% 28.5% 54.0% -8.9 2
2007-11-11 Santa Clara D 1-1 1598 1586 45.0% 31.7% 23.3% -1.0 16
2007-11-11 @ Trofense D 1-1 1586 1598 23.3% 31.7% 45.0% +1.0 18
2007-11-11 Vizela D 1-1 1655 1596 51.2% 29.7% 19.1% -1.5 16
2007-11-11 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1596 1655 19.1% 29.7% 51.2% +1.5 19
2007-11-25 Fatima W 2-1 1578 1587 42.3% 32.3% 25.4% +6.2 17
2007-11-25 @ Freamunde L 1-2 1587 1578 25.4% 32.3% 42.3% -6.2 14
2007-11-25 Feirense D 0-0 1551 1533 45.8% 31.5% 22.7% -1.2 17
2007-11-25 @ Beira-Mar D 0-0 1533 1551 22.7% 31.5% 45.8% +1.2 10
2007-11-25 Gil Vicente D 1-1 1514 1653 25.0% 32.2% 42.8% +0.8 9
2007-11-25 @ Aves D 1-1 1653 1514 42.8% 32.2% 25.0% -0.8 17
2007-11-25 Gondomar L 0-1 1569 1552 45.8% 31.5% 22.7% -10.1 16
2007-11-25 @ Olhanense W 1-0 1552 1569 22.7% 31.5% 45.8% +10.1 10
2007-11-25 Portimonense W 1-0 1452 1499 37.0% 33.0% 30.0% +7.5 5
2007-11-25 @ Penafiel L 0-1 1499 1452 30.0% 33.0% 37.0% -7.5 5
2007-11-25 Rio Ave L 1-2 1611 1613 43.3% 32.1% 24.6% -9.1 17
2007-11-25 @ Estoril W 2-1 1613 1611 24.6% 32.1% 43.3% +9.1 22
2007-11-25 Varzim W 1-0 1597 1619 40.5% 32.6% 26.9% +6.9 19
2007-11-25 @ Trofense L 0-1 1619 1597 26.9% 32.6% 40.5% -6.9 15
2007-11-25 Vizela D 1-1 1587 1597 42.2% 32.3% 25.5% -0.7 19
2007-11-25 @ Santa Clara D 1-1 1597 1587 25.5% 32.3% 42.2% +0.7 20
2007-12-02 Aves W 2-0 1598 1515 54.2% 28.5% 17.3% +8.8 23
2007-12-02 @ Vizela L 0-2 1515 1598 17.3% 28.5% 54.2% -8.8 9
2007-12-02 Beira-Mar W 1-0 1562 1550 45.1% 31.7% 23.2% +6.1 13
2007-12-02 @ Gondomar L 0-1 1550 1562 23.2% 31.7% 45.1% -6.1 17
2007-12-02 Estoril W 2-1 1535 1602 34.1% 33.1% 32.8% +7.5 13
2007-12-02 @ Feirense L 1-2 1602 1535 32.8% 33.1% 34.1% -7.5 17
2007-12-02 Freamunde W 1-0 1652 1585 52.3% 29.3% 18.4% +5.0 20
2007-12-02 @ Gil Vicente L 0-1 1585 1652 18.4% 29.3% 52.3% -5.0 17
2007-12-02 Olhanense W 2-1 1491 1559 34.1% 33.1% 32.8% +7.5 8
2007-12-02 @ Portimonense L 1-2 1559 1491 32.8% 33.1% 34.1% -7.5 16
2007-12-02 Penafiel L 0-3 1581 1460 58.8% 26.3% 15.0% -33.2 14
2007-12-02 @ Fatima W 3-0 1460 1581 15.0% 26.3% 58.8% +33.2 8
2007-12-02 Santa Clara W 3-1 1612 1587 46.9% 31.2% 21.9% +9.5 18
2007-12-02 @ Varzim L 1-3 1587 1612 21.9% 31.2% 46.9% -9.6 19
2007-12-02 Trofense D 1-1 1622 1604 46.0% 31.4% 22.6% -1.0 23
2007-12-02 @ Rio Ave D 1-1 1604 1622 22.6% 31.4% 46.0% +1.1 20
2007-12-15 Aves L 1-2 1577 1506 52.7% 29.1% 18.2% -10.6 19
2007-12-15 @ Santa Clara W 2-1 1506 1577 18.2% 29.1% 52.7% +10.5 12
2007-12-16 Fatima D 1-1 1551 1548 44.0% 31.9% 24.1% -0.9 17
2007-12-16 @ Olhanense D 1-1 1548 1551 24.1% 31.9% 44.0% +0.9 15
2007-12-16 Feirense W 2-1 1605 1542 51.7% 29.5% 18.8% +4.8 23
2007-12-16 @ Trofense L 1-2 1542 1605 18.8% 29.5% 51.7% -4.8 13
2007-12-16 Gil Vicente L 2-3 1493 1657 22.4% 31.4% 46.3% -5.3 8
2007-12-16 @ Penafiel W 3-2 1657 1493 46.3% 31.4% 22.4% +5.3 23
2007-12-16 Gondomar W 2-0 1595 1568 47.1% 31.1% 21.8% +11.0 20
2007-12-16 @ Estoril L 0-2 1568 1595 21.8% 31.1% 47.1% -11.0 13
2007-12-16 Portimonense W 2-0 1543 1499 49.4% 30.4% 20.2% +10.3 20
2007-12-16 @ Beira-Mar L 0-2 1499 1543 20.2% 30.4% 49.4% -10.3 8
2007-12-16 Rio Ave L 0-1 1622 1621 43.6% 32.0% 24.3% -9.7 18
2007-12-16 @ Varzim W 1-0 1621 1622 24.3% 32.0% 43.6% +9.7 26
2007-12-16 Vizela D 1-1 1580 1607 39.8% 32.7% 27.5% -0.5 18
2007-12-16 @ Freamunde D 1-1 1607 1580 27.5% 32.7% 39.8% +0.5 24
2007-12-22 Estoril D 2-2 1489 1606 27.5% 32.7% 39.9% +0.4 9
2007-12-22 @ Portimonense D 2-2 1606 1489 39.9% 32.7% 27.5% -0.4 21
2007-12-22 Penafiel D 0-0 1608 1487 58.6% 26.3% 15.0% -2.3 25
2007-12-22 @ Vizela D 0-0 1487 1608 15.0% 26.3% 58.6% +2.3 9
2007-12-22 Rio Ave W 1-0 1567 1631 34.6% 33.1% 32.3% +7.9 22
2007-12-22 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1631 1567 32.3% 33.1% 34.6% -7.9 26
2007-12-23 Beira-Mar D 2-2 1548 1554 42.8% 32.2% 25.0% -0.6 16
2007-12-23 @ Fatima D 2-2 1554 1548 25.0% 32.2% 42.8% +0.6 21
2007-12-23 Freamunde W 3-0 1517 1579 34.8% 33.1% 32.0% +21.4 15
2007-12-23 @ Aves L 0-3 1579 1517 32.0% 33.1% 34.8% -21.4 18
2007-12-23 Olhanense D 0-0 1663 1550 57.7% 26.8% 15.5% -2.3 24
2007-12-23 @ Gil Vicente D 0-0 1550 1663 15.5% 26.8% 57.7% +2.3 18
2007-12-23 Trofense L 1-2 1557 1610 36.2% 33.1% 30.8% -8.0 13
2007-12-23 @ Gondomar W 2-1 1610 1557 30.8% 33.1% 36.2% +8.0 26
2007-12-23 Varzim W 3-0 1537 1612 33.0% 33.1% 33.8% +22.2 16
2007-12-23 @ Feirense L 0-3 1612 1537 33.8% 33.1% 33.0% -22.2 18
2008-01-05 Gil Vicente D 0-0 1554 1660 28.8% 32.9% 38.3% +0.5 22
2008-01-05 @ Beira-Mar D 0-0 1660 1554 38.3% 32.9% 28.8% -0.5 25
2008-01-06 Aves D 2-2 1490 1538 36.8% 33.0% 30.2% -0.2 10
2008-01-06 @ Penafiel D 2-2 1538 1490 30.2% 33.0% 36.8% +0.2 16
2008-01-06 Fatima D 2-2 1605 1548 51.0% 29.8% 19.2% -1.1 22
2008-01-06 @ Estoril D 2-2 1548 1605 19.2% 29.8% 51.0% +1.1 17
2008-01-06 Feirense L 0-1 1623 1560 51.7% 29.5% 18.8% -11.0 26
2008-01-06 @ Rio Ave W 1-0 1560 1623 18.8% 29.5% 51.7% +11.0 19
2008-01-06 Gondomar L 2-3 1590 1549 48.9% 30.5% 20.5% -9.5 18
2008-01-06 @ Varzim W 3-2 1549 1590 20.5% 30.5% 48.9% +9.5 16
2008-01-06 Portimonense W 1-0 1618 1489 59.6% 25.8% 14.6% +3.9 29
2008-01-06 @ Trofense L 0-1 1489 1618 14.6% 25.8% 59.6% -3.9 9
2008-01-06 Santa Clara W 3-1 1558 1574 41.2% 32.5% 26.3% +11.1 21
2008-01-06 @ Freamunde L 1-3 1574 1558 26.3% 32.5% 41.2% -11.1 22
2008-01-06 Vizela W 1-0 1553 1605 36.2% 33.1% 30.7% +7.6 21
2008-01-06 @ Olhanense L 0-1 1605 1553 30.7% 33.1% 36.2% -7.6 25
2008-01-13 Aves W 2-1 1560 1538 46.4% 31.3% 22.3% +5.6 24
2008-01-13 @ Olhanense L 1-2 1538 1560 22.3% 31.3% 46.4% -5.6 16
2008-01-13 Fatima W 1-0 1621 1549 52.9% 29.0% 18.1% +4.9 32
2008-01-13 @ Trofense L 0-1 1549 1621 18.1% 29.0% 52.9% -4.9 17
2008-01-13 Freamunde D 2-2 1490 1569 32.4% 33.1% 34.5% +0.1 11
2008-01-13 @ Penafiel D 2-2 1569 1490 34.5% 33.1% 32.4% -0.1 22
2008-01-13 Gil Vicente W 2-0 1604 1660 35.8% 33.1% 31.2% +14.5 25
2008-01-13 @ Estoril L 0-2 1660 1604 31.2% 33.1% 35.8% -14.5 25
2008-01-13 Gondomar D 2-2 1612 1558 50.5% 30.0% 19.5% -1.1 27
2008-01-13 @ Rio Ave D 2-2 1558 1612 19.5% 30.0% 50.5% +1.1 17
2008-01-13 Portimonense D 0-0 1580 1485 55.7% 27.8% 16.5% -2.1 19
2008-01-13 @ Varzim D 0-0 1485 1580 16.5% 27.8% 55.7% +2.1 10
2008-01-13 Santa Clara L 0-1 1571 1563 44.5% 31.8% 23.7% -9.9 19
2008-01-13 @ Feirense W 1-0 1563 1571 23.7% 31.8% 44.5% +9.9 25
2008-01-13 Vizela L 0-3 1555 1598 37.6% 33.0% 29.5% -23.9 22
2008-01-13 @ Beira-Mar W 3-0 1598 1555 29.5% 33.0% 37.6% +23.9 28
2008-01-26 Penafiel L 0-3 1573 1490 54.3% 28.4% 17.3% -31.3 25
2008-01-26 @ Santa Clara W 3-0 1490 1573 17.3% 28.4% 54.3% +31.3 14
2008-01-27 Beira-Mar D 1-1 1533 1531 43.8% 32.0% 24.2% -0.9 17
2008-01-27 @ Aves D 1-1 1531 1533 24.2% 32.0% 43.8% +0.9 23
2008-01-27 Estoril D 0-0 1621 1619 43.9% 32.0% 24.1% -1.0 29
2008-01-27 @ Vizela D 0-0 1619 1621 24.1% 32.0% 43.9% +1.0 26
2008-01-27 Feirense D 2-2 1559 1561 43.3% 32.1% 24.6% -0.6 18
2008-01-27 @ Gondomar D 2-2 1561 1559 24.6% 32.1% 43.3% +0.6 20
2008-01-27 Olhanense W 3-1 1569 1566 43.9% 32.0% 24.1% +10.4 25
2008-01-27 @ Freamunde L 1-3 1566 1569 24.1% 32.0% 43.9% -10.4 24
2008-01-27 Rio Ave W 2-1 1487 1611 26.7% 32.6% 40.7% +8.7 13
2008-01-27 @ Portimonense L 1-2 1611 1487 40.7% 32.6% 26.7% -8.7 27
2008-01-27 Trofense D 1-1 1645 1626 46.1% 31.4% 22.5% -1.1 26
2008-01-27 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1626 1645 22.5% 31.4% 46.1% +1.1 33
2008-01-27 Varzim L 1-2 1544 1578 38.8% 32.8% 28.4% -8.4 17
2008-01-27 @ Fatima W 2-1 1578 1544 28.4% 32.8% 38.8% +8.4 22
2008-02-02 Fatima W 1-0 1602 1536 52.1% 29.3% 18.5% +5.0 30
2008-02-02 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1536 1602 18.5% 29.3% 52.1% -5.0 17
2008-02-03 Aves D 2-2 1620 1532 54.8% 28.2% 17.0% -1.3 27
2008-02-03 @ Estoril D 2-2 1532 1620 17.0% 28.2% 54.8% +1.3 18
2008-02-03 Freamunde D 1-1 1532 1579 37.0% 33.0% 30.0% -0.3 24
2008-02-03 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1579 1532 30.0% 33.0% 37.0% +0.3 26
2008-02-03 Gil Vicente W 2-1 1587 1644 35.5% 33.1% 31.4% +7.3 25
2008-02-03 @ Varzim L 1-2 1644 1587 31.4% 33.1% 35.5% -7.3 26
2008-02-03 Penafiel W 3-1 1555 1521 48.1% 30.8% 21.1% +9.2 27
2008-02-03 @ Olhanense L 1-3 1521 1555 21.1% 30.8% 48.1% -9.2 14
2008-02-03 Portimonense L 0-2 1561 1496 52.0% 29.4% 18.6% -20.9 20
2008-02-03 @ Feirense W 2-0 1496 1561 18.6% 29.4% 52.0% +20.9 16
2008-02-03 Santa Clara W 4-0 1559 1542 45.8% 31.5% 22.7% +21.6 21
2008-02-03 @ Gondomar L 0-4 1542 1559 22.7% 31.5% 45.8% -21.6 25
2008-02-03 Vizela D 0-0 1627 1620 44.5% 31.8% 23.7% -1.0 34
2008-02-03 @ Trofense D 0-0 1620 1627 23.7% 31.8% 44.5% +1.0 30
2008-02-16 Olhanense L 2-3 1520 1565 37.4% 33.0% 29.7% -7.8 25
2008-02-16 @ Santa Clara W 3-2 1565 1520 29.7% 33.0% 37.4% +7.8 30
2008-02-16 Rio Ave D 1-1 1637 1607 47.5% 31.0% 21.5% -1.2 27
2008-02-16 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1607 1637 21.5% 31.0% 47.5% +1.2 31
2008-02-17 Beira-Mar W 1-0 1512 1531 40.8% 32.6% 26.6% +6.8 17
2008-02-17 @ Penafiel L 0-1 1531 1512 26.6% 32.6% 40.8% -6.9 24
2008-02-17 Estoril L 1-3 1579 1618 38.1% 32.9% 29.0% -14.4 26
2008-02-17 @ Freamunde W 3-1 1618 1579 29.0% 32.9% 38.1% +14.4 30
2008-02-17 Feirense L 0-2 1531 1540 42.2% 32.3% 25.5% -17.9 17
2008-02-17 @ Fatima W 2-0 1540 1531 25.5% 32.3% 42.2% +17.9 23
2008-02-17 Gondomar W 1-0 1517 1580 34.6% 33.1% 32.2% +7.9 19
2008-02-17 @ Portimonense L 0-1 1580 1517 32.2% 33.1% 34.6% -7.9 21
2008-02-17 Trofense D 1-1 1533 1626 30.5% 33.0% 36.4% +0.3 19
2008-02-17 @ Aves D 1-1 1626 1533 36.4% 33.0% 30.5% -0.3 35
2008-02-17 Varzim W 3-0 1622 1594 47.2% 31.1% 21.7% +15.9 33
2008-02-17 @ Vizela L 0-3 1594 1622 21.7% 31.1% 47.2% -15.9 25
2008-02-24 Aves W 2-1 1578 1534 49.4% 30.4% 20.2% +5.1 28
2008-02-24 @ Varzim L 1-2 1534 1578 20.2% 30.4% 49.4% -5.1 19
2008-02-24 Fatima D 1-1 1573 1513 51.3% 29.7% 19.0% -1.5 22
2008-02-24 @ Gondomar D 1-1 1513 1573 19.0% 29.7% 51.3% +1.5 18
2008-02-24 Freamunde L 1-2 1626 1565 51.5% 29.6% 18.9% -10.4 35
2008-02-24 @ Trofense W 2-1 1565 1626 18.9% 29.6% 51.5% +10.4 29
2008-02-24 Gil Vicente L 0-1 1558 1636 32.6% 33.1% 34.2% -7.9 23
2008-02-24 @ Feirense W 1-0 1636 1558 34.2% 33.1% 32.6% +7.9 30
2008-02-24 Olhanense W 2-0 1525 1572 36.9% 33.0% 30.1% +14.1 27
2008-02-24 @ Beira-Mar L 0-2 1572 1525 30.1% 33.0% 36.9% -14.1 30
2008-02-24 Penafiel D 2-2 1633 1519 58.0% 26.7% 15.4% -1.5 31
2008-02-24 @ Estoril D 2-2 1519 1633 15.4% 26.7% 58.0% +1.5 18
2008-02-24 Santa Clara D 1-1 1525 1513 45.1% 31.7% 23.2% -1.0 20
2008-02-24 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1513 1525 23.2% 31.7% 45.1% +1.0 26
2008-02-24 Vizela W 1-0 1608 1637 39.5% 32.8% 27.8% +7.1 34
2008-02-24 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1637 1608 27.8% 32.8% 39.5% -7.1 33
2008-03-01 Beira-Mar D 1-1 1514 1539 40.1% 32.7% 27.3% -0.5 27
2008-03-01 @ Santa Clara D 1-1 1539 1514 27.3% 32.7% 40.1% +0.5 28
2008-03-02 Estoril L 1-2 1558 1631 33.3% 33.1% 33.6% -7.6 30
2008-03-02 @ Olhanense W 2-1 1631 1558 33.6% 33.1% 33.3% +7.6 34
2008-03-02 Feirense W 1-0 1630 1550 53.8% 28.6% 17.5% +4.7 36
2008-03-02 @ Vizela L 0-1 1550 1630 17.5% 28.6% 53.8% -4.8 23
2008-03-02 Gondomar W 4-3 1644 1571 52.9% 29.0% 18.0% +4.3 33
2008-03-02 @ Gil Vicente L 3-4 1571 1644 18.0% 29.0% 52.9% -4.3 22
2008-03-02 Portimonense L 0-3 1514 1524 42.2% 32.3% 25.4% -26.0 18
2008-03-02 @ Fatima W 3-0 1524 1514 25.4% 32.3% 42.2% +26.0 23
2008-03-02 Rio Ave D 0-0 1528 1615 31.4% 33.1% 35.5% +0.2 20
2008-03-02 @ Aves D 0-0 1615 1528 35.5% 33.1% 31.4% -0.2 35
2008-03-02 Trofense L 0-1 1520 1616 30.2% 33.0% 36.8% -7.5 18
2008-03-02 @ Penafiel W 1-0 1616 1520 36.8% 33.0% 30.2% +7.5 38
2008-03-02 Varzim D 1-1 1575 1583 42.4% 32.3% 25.3% -0.8 30
2008-03-02 @ Freamunde D 1-1 1583 1575 25.3% 32.3% 42.4% +0.8 29
2008-03-09 Aves W 2-0 1546 1529 45.8% 31.5% 22.7% +11.4 26
2008-03-09 @ Feirense L 0-2 1529 1546 22.7% 31.5% 45.8% -11.4 20
2008-03-09 Beira-Mar L 0-1 1639 1539 56.2% 27.5% 16.2% -11.7 34
2008-03-09 @ Estoril W 1-0 1539 1639 16.2% 27.5% 56.2% +11.7 31
2008-03-09 Freamunde W 3-1 1615 1575 48.9% 30.6% 20.6% +9.0 38
2008-03-09 @ Rio Ave L 1-3 1575 1615 20.6% 30.6% 48.9% -9.0 30
2008-03-09 Gil Vicente D 0-0 1550 1648 29.8% 33.0% 37.2% +0.4 24
2008-03-09 @ Portimonense D 0-0 1648 1550 37.2% 33.0% 29.8% -0.3 34
2008-03-09 Olhanense D 2-2 1623 1551 52.9% 29.0% 18.1% -1.2 39
2008-03-09 @ Trofense D 2-2 1551 1623 18.1% 29.0% 52.9% +1.2 31
2008-03-09 Penafiel L 0-1 1584 1513 52.8% 29.1% 18.1% -11.2 29
2008-03-09 @ Varzim W 1-0 1513 1584 18.1% 29.1% 52.8% +11.2 21
2008-03-09 Santa Clara W 1-0 1488 1513 40.1% 32.7% 27.2% +7.0 21
2008-03-09 @ Fatima L 0-1 1513 1488 27.2% 32.7% 40.1% -7.0 27
2008-03-09 Vizela D 0-0 1567 1635 34.0% 33.1% 32.9% -0.0 23
2008-03-09 @ Gondomar D 0-0 1635 1567 32.9% 33.1% 34.0% +0.1 37
2008-03-15 Estoril D 1-1 1506 1627 27.0% 32.6% 40.4% +0.6 28
2008-03-15 @ Santa Clara D 1-1 1627 1506 40.4% 32.6% 27.0% -0.6 35
2008-03-16 Fatima W 3-2 1648 1495 62.4% 24.3% 13.3% +3.1 37
2008-03-16 @ Gil Vicente L 2-3 1495 1648 13.3% 24.3% 62.4% -3.1 21
2008-03-16 Feirense D 1-1 1565 1557 44.6% 31.8% 23.6% -0.9 31
2008-03-16 @ Freamunde D 1-1 1557 1565 23.6% 31.8% 44.6% +1.0 27
2008-03-16 Gondomar W 1-0 1517 1567 36.7% 33.0% 30.3% +7.5 23
2008-03-16 @ Aves L 0-1 1567 1517 30.3% 33.0% 36.7% -7.5 23
2008-03-16 Portimonense D 1-1 1635 1550 54.5% 28.3% 17.2% -1.8 38
2008-03-16 @ Vizela D 1-1 1550 1635 17.2% 28.3% 54.5% +1.8 25
2008-03-16 Rio Ave L 0-1 1524 1624 29.6% 33.0% 37.5% -7.4 21
2008-03-16 @ Penafiel W 1-0 1624 1524 37.5% 33.0% 29.6% +7.4 41
2008-03-16 Trofense W 1-0 1551 1622 33.6% 33.1% 33.3% +8.0 34
2008-03-16 @ Beira-Mar L 0-1 1622 1551 33.3% 33.1% 33.6% -8.0 39
2008-03-16 Varzim W 2-1 1552 1573 40.7% 32.6% 26.8% +6.5 34
2008-03-16 @ Olhanense L 1-2 1573 1552 26.8% 32.6% 40.7% -6.5 29
2008-03-29 Freamunde W 3-2 1559 1565 42.8% 32.2% 25.0% +5.8 26
2008-03-29 @ Gondomar L 2-3 1565 1559 25.0% 32.2% 42.8% -5.8 31
2008-03-30 Aves D 0-0 1552 1525 47.1% 31.1% 21.8% -1.3 26
2008-03-30 @ Portimonense D 0-0 1525 1552 21.8% 31.1% 47.1% +1.3 24
2008-03-30 Beira-Mar W 2-0 1566 1559 44.5% 31.8% 23.7% +11.8 32
2008-03-30 @ Varzim L 0-2 1559 1566 23.7% 31.8% 44.5% -11.8 34
2008-03-30 Estoril W 2-0 1614 1626 41.8% 32.4% 25.8% +12.6 42
2008-03-30 @ Trofense L 0-2 1626 1614 25.8% 32.4% 41.8% -12.6 35
2008-03-30 Olhanense D 1-1 1631 1558 53.0% 29.0% 18.0% -1.6 42
2008-03-30 @ Rio Ave D 1-1 1558 1631 18.0% 29.0% 53.0% +1.6 35
2008-03-30 Penafiel D 1-1 1558 1516 49.0% 30.5% 20.5% -1.3 28
2008-03-30 @ Feirense D 1-1 1516 1558 20.5% 30.5% 49.0% +1.3 22
2008-03-30 Santa Clara W 2-1 1651 1507 61.4% 24.8% 13.7% +3.4 40
2008-03-30 @ Gil Vicente L 1-2 1507 1651 13.7% 24.8% 61.4% -3.4 28
2008-03-30 Vizela W 1-0 1492 1633 24.7% 32.1% 43.1% +9.6 24
2008-03-30 @ Fatima L 0-1 1633 1492 43.1% 32.1% 24.7% -9.6 38
2008-04-05 Fatima W 1-0 1526 1502 46.8% 31.2% 22.0% +5.9 27
2008-04-05 @ Aves L 0-1 1502 1526 22.0% 31.2% 46.8% -5.9 24
2008-04-05 Trofense L 0-4 1503 1627 26.7% 32.6% 40.7% -24.6 28
2008-04-05 @ Santa Clara W 4-0 1627 1503 40.7% 32.6% 26.7% +24.6 45
2008-04-06 Feirense W 2-0 1560 1557 44.0% 31.9% 24.1% +12.0 38
2008-04-06 @ Olhanense L 0-2 1557 1560 24.1% 31.9% 44.0% -12.0 28
2008-04-06 Gil Vicente W 2-1 1624 1654 39.3% 32.8% 27.9% +6.7 41
2008-04-06 @ Vizela L 1-2 1654 1624 27.9% 32.8% 39.3% -6.7 40
2008-04-06 Gondomar L 0-2 1518 1565 37.0% 33.0% 30.0% -16.3 22
2008-04-06 @ Penafiel W 2-0 1565 1518 30.0% 33.0% 37.0% +16.3 29
2008-04-06 Portimonense W 2-1 1559 1550 44.6% 31.8% 23.6% +5.9 34
2008-04-06 @ Freamunde L 1-2 1550 1559 23.6% 31.8% 44.6% -5.9 26
2008-04-06 Rio Ave D 1-1 1547 1630 31.9% 33.1% 35.0% +0.1 35
2008-04-06 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1630 1547 35.0% 33.1% 31.9% -0.1 43
2008-04-06 Varzim W 1-0 1614 1578 48.3% 30.8% 21.0% +5.6 38
2008-04-06 @ Estoril L 0-1 1578 1614 21.0% 30.8% 48.3% -5.6 32
2008-04-13 Aves L 1-4 1648 1532 58.1% 26.6% 15.3% -27.8 40
2008-04-13 @ Gil Vicente W 4-1 1532 1648 15.3% 26.6% 58.1% +27.8 30
2008-04-13 Beira-Mar L 0-1 1545 1547 43.2% 32.1% 24.7% -9.6 28
2008-04-13 @ Feirense W 1-0 1547 1545 24.7% 32.1% 43.2% +9.6 38
2008-04-13 Estoril W 1-0 1630 1620 44.9% 31.7% 23.4% +6.2 46
2008-04-13 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1620 1630 23.4% 31.7% 44.9% -6.2 38
2008-04-13 Freamunde D 1-1 1496 1565 33.9% 33.1% 33.0% -0.0 25
2008-04-13 @ Fatima D 1-1 1565 1496 33.0% 33.1% 33.9% +0.0 35
2008-04-13 Olhanense L 0-1 1581 1572 44.8% 31.8% 23.5% -9.9 29
2008-04-13 @ Gondomar W 1-0 1572 1581 23.5% 31.8% 44.8% +9.9 41
2008-04-13 Penafiel D 1-1 1545 1501 49.2% 30.4% 20.3% -1.3 27
2008-04-13 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1501 1545 20.3% 30.4% 49.2% +1.3 23
2008-04-13 Santa Clara L 0-1 1630 1479 62.3% 24.3% 13.4% -12.6 41
2008-04-13 @ Vizela W 1-0 1479 1630 13.4% 24.3% 62.3% +12.6 31
2008-04-13 Trofense D 0-0 1572 1651 32.5% 33.1% 34.4% +0.1 33
2008-04-13 @ Varzim D 0-0 1651 1572 34.4% 33.1% 32.5% -0.1 46
2008-04-19 Varzim W 1-0 1491 1573 32.1% 33.1% 34.8% +8.3 34
2008-04-19 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1573 1491 34.8% 33.1% 32.1% -8.3 33
2008-04-20 Fatima W 2-0 1503 1496 44.4% 31.8% 23.7% +11.8 26
2008-04-20 @ Penafiel L 0-2 1496 1503 23.7% 31.8% 44.4% -11.8 25
2008-04-20 Feirense L 0-1 1613 1535 53.6% 28.7% 17.7% -11.3 38
2008-04-20 @ Estoril W 1-0 1535 1613 17.7% 28.7% 53.6% +11.3 31
2008-04-20 Gil Vicente L 1-2 1565 1620 35.8% 33.1% 31.1% -8.0 35
2008-04-20 @ Freamunde W 2-1 1620 1565 31.1% 33.1% 35.8% +8.0 43
2008-04-20 Gondomar D 1-1 1557 1571 41.5% 32.4% 26.0% -0.7 39
2008-04-20 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1571 1557 26.0% 32.4% 41.5% +0.7 30
2008-04-20 Portimonense L 0-1 1582 1543 48.6% 30.6% 20.7% -10.5 41
2008-04-20 @ Olhanense W 1-0 1543 1582 20.7% 30.6% 48.6% +10.5 30
2008-04-20 Rio Ave D 0-0 1651 1636 45.6% 31.6% 22.9% -1.1 47
2008-04-20 @ Trofense D 0-0 1636 1651 22.9% 31.6% 45.6% +1.1 47
2008-04-20 Vizela W 2-1 1560 1618 35.4% 33.1% 31.5% +7.3 33
2008-04-20 @ Aves L 1-2 1618 1560 31.5% 33.1% 35.4% -7.3 41
2008-04-27 Beira-Mar W 2-1 1554 1556 43.2% 32.1% 24.7% +6.1 33
2008-04-27 @ Portimonense L 1-2 1556 1554 24.7% 32.1% 43.2% -6.1 39
2008-04-27 Estoril W 1-0 1572 1602 39.4% 32.8% 27.8% +7.1 33
2008-04-27 @ Gondomar L 0-1 1602 1572 27.8% 32.8% 39.4% -7.1 38
2008-04-27 Freamunde W 3-2 1611 1557 50.6% 30.0% 19.5% +4.7 44
2008-04-27 @ Vizela L 2-3 1557 1611 19.5% 30.0% 50.6% -4.7 35
2008-04-27 Olhanense L 0-1 1484 1571 31.3% 33.1% 35.6% -7.7 25
2008-04-27 @ Fatima W 1-0 1571 1484 35.6% 33.1% 31.3% +7.7 44
2008-04-27 Penafiel W 2-0 1628 1515 57.8% 26.7% 15.4% +7.8 46
2008-04-27 @ Gil Vicente L 0-2 1515 1628 15.4% 26.7% 57.8% -7.8 26
2008-04-27 Santa Clara W 3-1 1567 1500 52.3% 29.3% 18.4% +8.1 36
2008-04-27 @ Aves L 1-3 1500 1567 18.4% 29.3% 52.3% -8.1 34
2008-04-27 Trofense L 0-1 1546 1650 29.1% 32.9% 37.9% -7.3 31
2008-04-27 @ Feirense W 1-0 1650 1546 37.9% 32.9% 29.1% +7.3 50
2008-04-27 Varzim L 0-1 1637 1564 52.9% 29.0% 18.0% -11.2 47
2008-04-27 @ Rio Ave W 1-0 1564 1637 18.0% 29.0% 52.9% +11.2 36
2008-05-04 Aves L 2-4 1552 1575 40.3% 32.6% 27.0% -13.4 35
2008-05-04 @ Freamunde W 4-2 1575 1552 27.0% 32.6% 40.3% +13.4 39
2008-05-04 Fatima W 2-1 1550 1476 53.1% 29.0% 18.0% +4.6 42
2008-05-04 @ Beira-Mar L 1-2 1476 1550 18.0% 29.0% 53.1% -4.6 25
2008-05-04 Feirense D 0-0 1575 1539 48.3% 30.7% 20.9% -1.4 37
2008-05-04 @ Varzim D 0-0 1539 1575 20.9% 30.7% 48.3% +1.4 32
2008-05-04 Gil Vicente D 2-2 1579 1636 35.6% 33.1% 31.3% -0.1 45
2008-05-04 @ Olhanense D 2-2 1636 1579 31.3% 33.1% 35.6% +0.1 47
2008-05-04 Gondomar D 1-1 1657 1579 53.6% 28.7% 17.7% -1.7 51
2008-05-04 @ Trofense D 1-1 1579 1657 17.7% 28.7% 53.6% +1.7 34
2008-05-04 Portimonense L 0-1 1595 1560 48.2% 30.8% 21.1% -10.5 38
2008-05-04 @ Estoril W 1-0 1560 1595 21.1% 30.8% 48.2% +10.5 36
2008-05-04 Santa Clara W 1-0 1626 1491 60.3% 25.4% 14.2% +3.8 50
2008-05-04 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1491 1626 14.2% 25.4% 60.3% -3.8 34
2008-05-04 Vizela L 0-2 1507 1615 28.5% 32.9% 38.6% -13.6 26
2008-05-04 @ Penafiel W 2-0 1615 1507 38.6% 32.9% 28.5% +13.6 47
2008-05-11 Beira-Mar W 3-2 1636 1555 53.9% 28.6% 17.5% +4.2 50
2008-05-11 @ Gil Vicente L 2-3 1555 1636 17.5% 28.6% 53.9% -4.2 42
2008-05-11 Estoril L 0-1 1472 1584 28.0% 32.8% 39.2% -7.1 25
2008-05-11 @ Fatima W 1-0 1584 1472 39.2% 32.8% 28.0% +7.1 41
2008-05-11 Freamunde W 2-1 1488 1539 36.4% 33.0% 30.5% +7.1 37
2008-05-11 @ Santa Clara L 1-2 1539 1488 30.5% 33.0% 36.4% -7.1 35
2008-05-11 Olhanense W 3-1 1629 1579 50.1% 30.1% 19.8% +8.7 50
2008-05-11 @ Vizela L 1-3 1579 1629 19.8% 30.1% 50.1% -8.7 45
2008-05-11 Penafiel L 1-2 1589 1493 55.7% 27.8% 16.5% -11.0 39
2008-05-11 @ Aves W 2-1 1493 1589 16.5% 27.8% 55.7% +11.0 29
2008-05-11 Rio Ave D 1-1 1541 1630 31.1% 33.1% 35.9% +0.2 33
2008-05-11 @ Feirense D 1-1 1630 1541 35.9% 33.1% 31.1% -0.2 51
2008-05-11 Trofense D 2-2 1570 1656 31.6% 33.1% 35.3% +0.1 37
2008-05-11 @ Portimonense D 2-2 1656 1570 35.3% 33.1% 31.6% -0.1 52
2008-05-11 Varzim D 2-2 1581 1574 44.4% 31.8% 23.7% -0.7 35
2008-05-11 @ Gondomar D 2-2 1574 1581 23.7% 31.8% 44.4% +0.7 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-04-13 13.37% Santa Clara 1479 1 @ Vizela 1630 0
2 2007-12-02 14.97% Penafiel 1460 3 @ Fatima 1581 0
3 2008-04-13 15.29% Aves 1532 4 @ Gil Vicente 1648 1
4 2008-03-09 16.25% Beira-Mar 1539 1 @ Estoril 1639 0
5 2008-05-11 16.51% Penafiel 1493 2 @ Aves 1589 1
6 2008-01-26 17.29% Penafiel 1490 3 @ Santa Clara 1573 0
7 2008-04-20 17.66% Feirense 1535 1 @ Estoril 1613 0
8 2008-04-27 18.04% Varzim 1564 1 @ Rio Ave 1637 0
9 2008-03-09 18.14% Penafiel 1513 1 @ Varzim 1584 0
10 2007-12-15 18.18% Aves 1506 2 @ Santa Clara 1577 1
11 2007-09-02 18.34% Beira-Mar 1531 1 @ Freamunde 1599 0
12 2008-02-03 18.57% Portimonense 1496 2 @ Feirense 1561 0
13 2008-01-06 18.75% Feirense 1560 1 @ Rio Ave 1623 0
14 2008-02-24 18.90% Freamunde 1565 2 @ Trofense 1626 1
15 2008-01-06 20.53% Gondomar 1549 3 @ Varzim 1590 2
16 2007-09-30 20.72% Olhanense 1568 2 @ Estoril 1606 1
17 2008-04-20 20.73% Portimonense 1543 1 @ Olhanense 1582 0
18 2008-05-04 21.05% Portimonense 1560 1 @ Estoril 1595 0
19 2007-11-25 22.70% Gondomar 1552 1 @ Olhanense 1569 0
20 2007-08-18 23.21% Rio Ave 1570 3 @ Gondomar 1582 2
21 2008-04-13 23.48% Olhanense 1572 1 @ Gondomar 1581 0
22 2008-01-13 23.68% Santa Clara 1563 1 @ Feirense 1571 0
23 2007-12-16 24.35% Rio Ave 1621 1 @ Varzim 1622 0
24 2007-09-23 24.48% Trofense 1583 2 @ Freamunde 1583 0
25 2007-11-25 24.59% Rio Ave 1613 2 @ Estoril 1611 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-08-19 34.12 Varzim 4 1576 25.21% @ Portimonense 0 1569 42.54% 32.25%
2 2007-12-02 33.19 Penafiel 3 1460 14.97% @ Fatima 0 1581 58.77% 26.26%
3 2008-01-26 31.32 Penafiel 3 1490 17.29% @ Santa Clara 0 1573 54.28% 28.44%
4 2008-04-13 27.77 Aves 4 1532 15.29% @ Gil Vicente 1 1648 58.11% 26.60%
5 2007-11-04 26.43 Rio Ave 3 1588 24.66% @ Olhanense 0 1586 43.23% 32.11%
6 2008-03-02 25.99 Portimonense 3 1524 25.44% @ Fatima 0 1514 42.25% 32.31%
7 2008-04-05 24.58 Trofense 4 1627 40.71% @ Santa Clara 0 1503 26.71% 32.57%
8 2008-01-13 23.90 Vizela 3 1598 29.46% @ Beira-Mar 0 1555 37.58% 32.95%
9 2007-12-23 22.23 @ Feirense 3 1537 33.04% Varzim 0 1612 33.83% 33.13%
10 2007-10-28 21.79 @ Estoril 5 1590 38.02% Santa Clara 1 1629 29.06% 32.91%
11 2008-02-03 21.60 @ Gondomar 4 1559 45.78% Santa Clara 0 1542 22.73% 31.50%
12 2007-12-23 21.44 @ Aves 3 1517 34.83% Freamunde 0 1579 32.05% 33.11%
13 2007-11-04 21.04 Gil Vicente 4 1634 27.38% @ Santa Clara 1 1607 39.93% 32.69%
14 2008-02-03 20.90 Portimonense 2 1496 18.57% @ Feirense 0 1561 52.04% 29.39%
15 2007-08-18 18.78 @ Vizela 5 1548 44.19% Beira-Mar 1 1543 23.91% 31.90%
16 2007-09-23 18.27 Trofense 2 1583 24.48% @ Freamunde 0 1583 43.46% 32.06%
17 2008-02-17 17.88 Feirense 2 1540 25.49% @ Fatima 0 1531 42.19% 32.32%
18 2007-11-11 16.27 Freamunde 2 1562 30.00% @ Portimonense 0 1515 36.99% 33.00%
19 2008-04-06 16.26 Gondomar 2 1565 30.05% @ Penafiel 0 1518 36.95% 33.01%
20 2008-02-17 15.91 @ Vizela 3 1622 47.18% Varzim 0 1594 21.72% 31.10%
21 2007-08-18 15.87 @ Gil Vicente 3 1625 47.25% Estoril 0 1597 21.67% 31.08%
22 2008-01-13 14.48 @ Estoril 2 1604 35.76% Gil Vicente 0 1660 31.16% 33.08%
23 2008-02-17 14.39 Estoril 3 1618 28.98% @ Freamunde 1 1579 38.12% 32.90%
24 2008-02-24 14.14 @ Beira-Mar 2 1525 36.87% Olhanense 0 1572 30.12% 33.01%
25 2008-05-04 13.59 Vizela 2 1615 38.63% @ Penafiel 0 1507 28.52% 32.85%