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2008-09 Liga de Honra Season

240 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Olhanense

12.23 points above expected

58 points · 45.77 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Boavista

9.27 points below expected

32 points · 41.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Olhanense 30 18 4 8 58 52 32 +20 45.77 +12.23
2 Uniao Leiria 30 15 9 6 54 46 29 +17 45.29 +8.71
3 Santa Clara 30 15 7 8 52 45 32 +13 43.56 +8.44
4 Estoril 30 12 8 10 44 41 37 +4 42.68 +1.32
5 Feirense 30 11 9 10 42 37 34 +3 42.03 -0.03
6 Freamunde 30 11 8 11 41 32 35 -3 37.04 +3.96
7 Sporting Covilha 30 10 10 10 40 42 42 0 43.46 -3.46
8 Varzim 30 11 6 13 39 29 35 -6 39.66 -0.66
9 Gil Vicente 30 8 14 8 38 36 37 -1 44.10 -6.10
10 Vizela 30 7 16 7 37 28 33 -5 37.75 -0.75
11 Aves 30 9 9 12 36 30 36 -6 38.96 -2.96
12 Beira-Mar 30 8 11 11 35 32 32 0 39.76 -4.76
13 Portimonense 30 7 14 9 35 29 35 -6 36.84 -1.84
14 Oliveirense 30 7 11 12 32 25 33 -8 39.75 -7.75
15 Boavista 30 9 5 16 32 28 44 -16 41.27 -9.27
16 Gondomar 30 7 9 14 30 29 35 -6 35.46 -5.46

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Uniao Leiria 1695 54 45.29 +8.71 90.6% 20 34 41 45 50 57 69
Olhanense 1670 58 45.77 +12.23 96.8% 23 34 41 46 50 57 72
Santa Clara 1583 52 43.56 +8.44 90.0% 16 32 39 43 48 55 69
Estoril 1578 44 42.68 +1.32 60.3% 18 31 38 43 47 54 70
Sporting Covilha 1560 40 43.46 -3.46 33.9% 19 32 39 43 48 55 69
Freamunde 1551 41 37.04 +3.96 74.5% 11 26 32 37 42 49 64
Vizela 1549 37 37.75 -0.75 49.6% 13 27 33 38 42 49 62
Gil Vicente 1547 38 44.10 -6.10 21.3% 16 33 39 44 49 56 71
Feirense 1538 42 42.03 -0.03 53.3% 18 31 37 42 47 54 69
Oliveirense 1537 32 39.75 -7.75 14.6% 16 28 35 40 44 51 67
Beira-Mar 1532 35 39.76 -4.76 27.4% 15 29 35 40 44 51 66
Gondomar 1530 30 35.46 -5.46 23.5% 11 25 31 35 40 47 73
Portimonense 1523 35 36.84 -1.84 43.1% 13 26 32 37 41 48 61
Aves 1511 36 38.96 -2.96 36.3% 14 27 34 39 44 51 65
Varzim 1483 39 39.66 -0.66 49.8% 14 28 35 40 44 51 65
Boavista 1476 32 41.27 -9.27 10.1% 17 30 37 41 46 52 66

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AVE BEI BOA EST FEI FRE GV GON OLH OLI POR SC SC UL VAR VIZ
Aves —
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.57
0-2-0
2.67
0-1-1
3.20
0-2-0
2.20
2-0-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.90
Beira-Mar
1-0-1
2.80
 —
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.89
0-2-0
2.34
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.78
0-2-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.61
Boavista
0-1-1
2.95
0-0-2
2.78
 —
2-0-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
3.07
Estoril
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
3.16
 —
0-1-1
2.71
2-0-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.55
1-1-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.78
0-1-1
3.14
Feirense
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.73
 —
0-1-1
3.32
1-0-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
3.03
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.95
0-2-0
3.01
Freamunde
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
2.13
 —
1-1-0
2.26
2-0-0
2.75
0-0-2
2.11
1-0-1
2.39
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.41
0-2-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.40
0-2-0
2.70
Gil Vicente
0-1-1
3.11
0-2-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.89
0-1-1
3.18
 —
0-1-1
3.66
1-0-1
2.06
0-2-0
2.86
0-1-1
3.32
2-0-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.68
0-2-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.83
0-2-0
3.12
Gondomar
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.64
1-1-0
2.09
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.69
1-1-0
1.82
 —
0-0-2
1.89
0-2-0
2.60
0-2-0
2.29
0-0-2
1.98
1-1-0
2.22
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.78
Olhanense
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.40
2-0-0
3.57
 —
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.89
Oliveirense
0-2-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.42
1-0-1
3.05
0-2-0
2.59
0-2-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.24
 —
0-1-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.88
Portimonense
1-1-0
2.24
0-2-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.42
0-2-0
2.56
1-1-0
2.12
0-2-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
2.57
 —
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.57
0-2-0
2.65
Santa Clara
0-2-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.21
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
2.70
2-0-0
3.47
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.98
 —
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.10
Sporting Covilha
0-0-2
3.06
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.74
0-2-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
2.64
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.84
 —
0-1-1
2.77
0-2-0
2.92
0-1-1
3.03
Uniao Leiria
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.17
0-2-0
2.67
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.67
 —
2-0-0
2.91
0-1-1
3.22
Varzim
1-1-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.66
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.37
0-2-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.53
 —
0-1-1
2.74
Vizela
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.84
0-1-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.30
0-2-0
2.43
0-2-0
2.75
0-2-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.56
0-2-0
2.79
0-0-2
2.35
1-1-0
2.42
1-1-0
2.23
1-1-0
2.70
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +9.4
Allowed 0.21 -10.0
Differential 0.89 +8.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.25%9.58%6.04%2.08%0.42%0.21%29.58%
19.58%15.00%9.17%2.92%0.62%0.62%37.92%
26.04%9.17%4.58%1.88%0.42%0.21%22.29%
32.08%2.92%1.88%0.42%0.21%—7.50%
40.42%0.62%0.42%0.21%——1.67%
5+0.21%0.62%0.21%———1.04%
Total29.58%37.92%22.29%7.50%1.67%1.04%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.05 1.46
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%6.67%—3.33%—30.00%
110.00%16.67%10.00%3.33%——40.00%
216.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—3.33%30.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%30.00%20.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.20 -0.20
SD 0.79 1.30 1.52
CV 0.79 1.08 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%10.00%———43.33%
13.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
2—10.00%6.67%3.33%——20.00%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total26.67%46.67%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.07 +0.00
SD 1.17 0.87 1.44
CV 1.10 0.81 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%23.33%———36.67%
16.67%10.00%6.67%6.67%6.67%—36.67%
210.00%10.00%3.33%———23.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%33.33%33.33%6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.47 -0.53
SD 0.87 1.11 1.57
CV 0.93 0.75 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
16.67%3.33%10.00%3.33%——23.33%
26.67%13.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%26.67%26.67%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.23 +0.13
SD 1.03 1.14 1.48
CV 0.76 0.92 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%————23.33%
110.00%3.33%20.00%——3.33%36.67%
210.00%10.00%13.33%———33.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%30.00%33.33%——3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.13 +0.10
SD 0.90 1.11 1.32
CV 0.73 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%—6.67%—3.33%30.00%
116.67%13.33%13.33%3.33%——46.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total33.33%36.67%16.67%10.00%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.17 -0.10
SD 1.08 1.21 1.75
CV 1.01 1.03 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%3.33%6.67%——26.67%
13.33%26.67%10.00%———40.00%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
33.33%—6.67%3.33%——13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%40.00%26.67%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.23 -0.03
SD 1.00 0.94 1.30
CV 0.83 0.76 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%20.00%10.00%———43.33%
13.33%10.00%10.00%6.67%——30.00%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
36.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%40.00%23.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.17 -0.20
SD 1.07 0.95 1.40
CV 1.10 0.81 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
116.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%—3.33%40.00%
213.33%6.67%————20.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%—3.33%—16.67%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total46.67%23.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.07 +0.67
SD 1.28 1.34 1.94
CV 0.74 1.25 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%——40.00%
16.67%13.33%13.33%3.33%——36.67%
23.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%40.00%20.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.10 -0.27
SD 0.79 0.96 1.08
CV 0.95 0.87 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%10.00%—3.33%3.33%—40.00%
113.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
2—3.33%10.00%3.33%——16.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total40.00%26.67%16.67%10.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.17 -0.20
SD 1.13 1.26 1.49
CV 1.17 1.08 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%6.67%———16.67%
113.33%20.00%6.67%3.33%——43.33%
23.33%16.67%—3.33%——23.33%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total23.33%53.33%16.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.07 +0.43
SD 1.20 0.83 1.45
CV 0.80 0.78 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
16.67%26.67%6.67%6.67%——46.67%
2—10.00%—3.33%3.33%—16.67%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4—6.67%—3.33%——10.00%
5+———————
Total13.33%53.33%16.67%13.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.00 1.36
CV 0.85 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
113.33%20.00%3.33%———36.67%
210.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
33.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total33.33%40.00%23.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 0.97 +0.57
SD 1.25 0.85 1.38
CV 0.82 0.88 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%10.00%3.33%——30.00%
113.33%16.67%13.33%———43.33%
23.33%20.00%—3.33%——26.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%50.00%23.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.17 -0.20
SD 0.76 0.83 1.21
CV 0.79 0.71 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%——33.33%
110.00%26.67%6.67%——3.33%46.67%
23.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%23.33%3.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.10 -0.17
SD 0.87 1.12 1.29
CV 0.93 1.02 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Olhanense 58 45.77 +12.23
2 Uniao Leiria 54 45.29 +8.71
3 Santa Clara 52 43.56 +8.44
4 Freamunde 41 37.04 +3.96
5 Estoril 44 42.68 +1.32

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Boavista 32 41.27 -9.27
2 Oliveirense 32 39.75 -7.75
3 Gil Vicente 38 44.10 -6.10
4 Gondomar 30 35.46 -5.46
5 Beira-Mar 35 39.76 -4.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gondomar 3 Apr 5 – Apr 19 1 in 43
2 Freamunde 3 Feb 8 – Feb 22 1 in 33
3 Uniao Leiria 4 Apr 11 – May 3 1 in 25
4 Estoril 3 Jan 25 – Feb 8 1 in 19
5 Olhanense 4 Feb 22 – Mar 15 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Boavista 4 Feb 15 – Mar 8 1 in 80
2 Gondomar 5 Feb 1 – Mar 1 1 in 64
3 Olhanense 3 Jan 25 – Feb 8 1 in 37
4 Estoril 3 Mar 8 – Apr 5 1 in 30
5 Varzim 3 Dec 7 – Jan 4 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vizela 14 Nov 30 – Apr 4 1 in 1,576
2 Oliveirense 8 Feb 22 – Apr 26 1 in 54
3 Gondomar 5 Mar 8 – Apr 19 1 in 29
4 Estoril 8 Sep 28 – Dec 7 1 in 25
5 Uniao Leiria 9 Feb 22 – May 3 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vizela 10 Feb 15 – May 3 1 in 56
2 Gil Vicente 6 Mar 15 – May 2 1 in 37
3 Gondomar 10 Jan 4 – Mar 15 1 in 31
4 Sporting Covilha 6 Oct 26 – Dec 7 1 in 28
5 Portimonense 8 Nov 30 – Feb 8 1 in 22

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Olhanense16.99%13.81%10.89%9.22%8.34%6.98%6.20%5.30%4.57%4.24%3.73%3.12%2.50%1.95%1.36%0.80%
Uniao Leiria15.50%12.27%10.97%9.03%8.15%7.19%6.62%5.77%5.16%4.58%3.92%3.33%2.82%2.24%1.57%0.88%
Santa Clara9.70%9.87%8.91%8.93%8.07%7.70%7.27%6.37%6.02%5.61%5.22%4.54%4.08%3.48%2.64%1.59%
Estoril7.79%8.35%8.24%8.41%7.30%7.08%7.08%7.22%6.27%5.97%5.83%4.98%4.90%4.18%3.60%2.80%
Feirense6.82%7.10%7.40%6.97%7.66%7.36%6.95%7.08%6.82%6.37%6.10%6.03%5.35%4.58%4.12%3.29%
Freamunde1.52%2.23%2.89%3.41%3.95%4.39%4.97%5.55%6.35%6.99%7.27%8.04%8.97%10.01%11.28%12.18%
Sporting Covilha9.41%8.91%8.68%8.63%7.72%7.59%7.27%7.01%6.04%5.62%5.36%5.02%4.22%3.42%3.03%2.07%
Varzim3.56%3.72%4.98%5.54%5.42%5.95%6.29%6.32%7.03%7.61%6.86%7.16%7.70%7.56%7.58%6.72%
Gil Vicente10.68%9.75%9.46%8.71%8.20%7.51%6.83%6.57%6.33%5.64%5.20%4.17%3.63%3.18%2.41%1.73%
Vizela1.84%2.66%3.56%3.82%4.40%4.98%5.21%5.87%6.15%7.06%6.98%8.21%9.14%9.41%10.02%10.69%
Aves2.62%3.80%3.69%4.57%5.34%5.83%6.17%6.70%6.62%7.10%7.53%7.94%7.83%8.04%8.12%8.10%
Beira-Mar3.66%4.30%4.92%5.30%6.10%6.74%6.89%6.55%7.03%6.74%7.18%7.41%7.18%7.11%6.95%5.94%
Portimonense1.25%2.15%2.58%3.24%3.86%4.25%5.04%5.52%6.17%6.32%7.39%8.10%9.33%9.95%11.54%13.31%
Oliveirense3.23%4.02%5.13%4.95%5.95%6.16%6.21%6.39%7.14%7.21%8.07%7.42%6.76%7.28%7.17%6.91%
Boavista4.67%5.73%6.02%6.80%6.78%6.65%6.90%6.80%6.90%6.75%6.68%6.62%6.58%6.07%5.23%4.82%
Gondomar0.76%1.33%1.68%2.47%2.76%3.64%4.10%4.98%5.40%6.19%6.68%7.91%9.01%11.54%13.38%18.17%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.58%
Clear Edge
46.67%31.25%22.08%
Elo Value
Home Edge
294 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
087.20800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
9.9
Wide Open
124613
Champion Preseason Odds
17%
Olhanense, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.54 * Some Luck: 5.54 to 8.31 * Lucky: 8.31 to 11.08 * Wild Swing: 11.08 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.17 * Close: 3.17 to 4.76 * Off: 4.76 to 6.34 * Way Off: 6.34 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.97 points
Some Luck
06.9217
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.75
Pinpoint
03.968
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
96.83%
Olhanense
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
10.05%
Boavista
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
0.99
Coin-Flip Parity
01.003
Interquartile Edge
55%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
78%
Clear Edge
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
73%
Very Frequent
0%69%100%
Blowouts
Expected 9%
8%
Occasional
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.66
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.23
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.75
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
-0.36
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
As Expected
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.02
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.03
Overconfident
01.002.26007
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.135
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1010.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Olhanense 30.80% 67.04% 2.16%
Uniao Leiria 27.77% 69.78% 2.45%
Gil Vicente 20.43% 75.43% 4.14%
Santa Clara 19.57% 76.20% 4.23%
Sporting Covilha 18.32% 76.58% 5.10%
Estoril 16.14% 77.46% 6.40%
Feirense 13.92% 78.67% 7.41%
Boavista 10.40% 79.55% 10.05%
Beira-Mar 7.96% 79.15% 12.89%
Oliveirense 7.25% 78.67% 14.08%
Varzim 7.28% 78.42% 14.30%
Aves 6.42% 77.36% 16.22%
Vizela 4.50% 74.79% 20.71%
Freamunde 3.75% 72.79% 23.46%
Portimonense 3.40% 71.75% 24.85%
Gondomar 2.09% 66.36% 31.55%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2008-08-24 Estoril W 3-2 1536 1549 42.1% 28.1% 29.7% +9.1 3
2008-08-24 @ Olhanense L 2-3 1549 1536 29.7% 28.1% 42.1% -9.1 0
2008-08-24 Gil Vicente D 1-1 1609 1576 48.0% 27.6% 24.4% -1.5 1
2008-08-24 @ Oliveirense D 1-1 1576 1609 24.4% 27.6% 48.0% +1.5 1
2008-08-24 Gondomar W 2-0 1520 1542 40.7% 28.2% 31.1% +19.8 3
2008-08-24 @ Feirense L 0-2 1542 1520 31.1% 28.2% 40.7% -19.8 0
2008-08-24 Santa Clara D 0-0 1525 1493 47.9% 27.6% 24.5% -1.7 1
2008-08-24 @ Beira-Mar D 0-0 1493 1525 24.5% 27.6% 47.9% +1.7 1
2008-08-24 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1541 1594 36.4% 28.3% 35.3% +21.7 3
2008-08-24 @ Aves L 0-2 1594 1541 35.3% 28.3% 36.4% -21.7 0
2008-08-24 Uniao Leiria W 1-0 1514 1578 34.9% 28.3% 36.8% +11.8 3
2008-08-24 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1578 1514 36.8% 28.3% 34.9% -11.8 0
2008-08-24 Varzim W 2-1 1537 1539 43.5% 28.0% 28.5% +9.3 3
2008-08-24 @ Portimonense L 1-2 1539 1537 28.5% 28.0% 43.5% -9.3 0
2008-08-24 Vizela W 2-1 1634 1575 51.2% 27.1% 21.7% +7.4 3
2008-08-24 @ Boavista L 1-2 1575 1634 21.7% 27.1% 51.2% -7.4 0
2008-08-30 Portimonense L 0-1 1566 1546 46.4% 27.8% 25.8% -14.2 0
2008-08-30 @ Uniao Leiria W 1-0 1546 1566 25.8% 27.8% 46.4% +14.2 6
2008-08-31 Aves L 0-2 1568 1562 44.5% 27.9% 27.6% -25.9 0
2008-08-31 @ Vizela W 2-0 1562 1568 27.6% 27.9% 44.5% +25.8 6
2008-08-31 Beira-Mar D 0-0 1522 1524 43.6% 28.0% 28.3% -1.1 1
2008-08-31 @ Gondomar D 0-0 1524 1522 28.3% 28.0% 43.6% +1.1 2
2008-08-31 Boavista W 2-0 1530 1642 28.5% 28.0% 43.4% +25.4 3
2008-08-31 @ Varzim L 0-2 1642 1530 43.4% 28.0% 28.5% -25.4 3
2008-08-31 Feirense W 2-1 1578 1539 48.7% 27.5% 23.8% +8.0 4
2008-08-31 @ Gil Vicente L 1-2 1539 1578 23.8% 27.5% 48.7% -8.0 3
2008-08-31 Freamunde W 1-0 1495 1526 39.5% 28.2% 32.2% +10.8 4
2008-08-31 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1526 1495 32.2% 28.2% 39.5% -10.8 3
2008-08-31 Olhanense W 4-3 1572 1546 47.3% 27.7% 25.1% +7.8 3
2008-08-31 @ Sporting Covilha L 3-4 1546 1572 25.1% 27.7% 47.3% -7.7 3
2008-08-31 Oliveirense D 0-0 1540 1608 34.3% 28.3% 37.4% +0.2 1
2008-08-31 @ Estoril D 0-0 1608 1540 37.4% 28.3% 34.3% -0.2 2
2008-09-20 Gondomar W 2-0 1515 1521 43.0% 28.1% 29.0% +18.7 6
2008-09-20 @ Freamunde L 0-2 1521 1515 29.0% 28.1% 43.0% -18.7 1
2008-09-20 Vizela W 1-0 1538 1542 43.3% 28.0% 28.7% +9.9 6
2008-09-20 @ Olhanense L 0-1 1542 1538 28.7% 28.0% 43.3% -9.9 0
2008-09-21 Boavista L 0-1 1560 1616 36.0% 28.3% 35.7% -11.7 6
2008-09-21 @ Portimonense W 1-0 1616 1560 35.7% 28.3% 36.0% +11.7 6
2008-09-21 Estoril W 1-0 1531 1540 42.6% 28.1% 29.3% +10.0 6
2008-09-21 @ Feirense L 0-1 1540 1531 29.3% 28.1% 42.6% -10.0 1
2008-09-21 Gil Vicente D 0-0 1525 1586 35.3% 28.3% 36.4% +0.1 3
2008-09-21 @ Beira-Mar D 0-0 1586 1525 36.4% 28.3% 35.3% -0.1 5
2008-09-21 Santa Clara D 1-1 1552 1506 49.6% 27.3% 23.0% -1.7 1
2008-09-21 @ Uniao Leiria D 1-1 1506 1552 23.0% 27.3% 49.6% +1.7 5
2008-09-21 Varzim D 0-0 1588 1555 48.0% 27.6% 24.4% -1.7 7
2008-09-21 @ Aves D 0-0 1555 1588 24.4% 27.6% 48.0% +1.7 4
2008-09-28 Aves D 1-1 1628 1587 49.1% 27.4% 23.5% -1.7 7
2008-09-28 @ Boavista D 1-1 1587 1628 23.5% 27.4% 49.1% +1.7 8
2008-09-28 Beira-Mar W 2-0 1530 1525 44.5% 27.9% 27.6% +18.0 4
2008-09-28 @ Estoril L 0-2 1525 1530 27.6% 27.9% 44.5% -18.0 3
2008-09-28 Feirense D 0-0 1580 1541 48.8% 27.5% 23.8% -1.8 4
2008-09-28 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1541 1580 23.8% 27.5% 48.8% +1.8 7
2008-09-28 Freamunde D 0-0 1586 1534 50.3% 27.2% 22.4% -2.0 6
2008-09-28 @ Gil Vicente D 0-0 1534 1586 22.4% 27.2% 50.3% +2.0 7
2008-09-28 Olhanense W 2-1 1557 1548 45.0% 27.9% 27.1% +8.9 7
2008-09-28 @ Varzim L 1-2 1548 1557 27.1% 27.9% 45.0% -8.9 6
2008-09-28 Oliveirense W 2-1 1532 1608 33.3% 28.3% 38.5% +11.5 3
2008-09-28 @ Vizela L 1-2 1608 1532 38.5% 28.3% 33.3% -11.6 2
2008-09-28 Portimonense W 3-0 1507 1548 38.2% 28.3% 33.6% +30.4 8
2008-09-28 @ Santa Clara L 0-3 1548 1507 33.6% 28.3% 38.2% -30.4 6
2008-09-28 Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1503 1550 37.2% 28.3% 34.5% -12.0 1
2008-09-28 @ Gondomar W 1-0 1550 1503 34.5% 28.3% 37.2% +12.0 4
2008-10-05 Aves W 5-2 1518 1588 34.0% 28.3% 37.7% +24.1 9
2008-10-05 @ Portimonense L 2-5 1588 1518 37.7% 28.3% 34.0% -24.1 8
2008-10-05 Boavista D 1-1 1539 1626 31.7% 28.2% 40.1% +0.5 7
2008-10-05 @ Olhanense D 1-1 1626 1539 40.1% 28.2% 31.7% -0.5 8
2008-10-05 Estoril L 0-1 1536 1548 42.2% 28.1% 29.7% -13.1 7
2008-10-05 @ Freamunde W 1-0 1548 1536 29.7% 28.1% 42.2% +13.1 7
2008-10-05 Gil Vicente D 1-1 1562 1584 40.8% 28.2% 31.0% -0.6 5
2008-10-05 @ Uniao Leiria D 1-1 1584 1562 31.0% 28.2% 40.8% +0.6 7
2008-10-05 Gondomar W 2-1 1538 1491 49.8% 27.3% 22.9% +7.8 11
2008-10-05 @ Santa Clara L 1-2 1491 1538 22.9% 27.3% 49.8% -7.8 1
2008-10-05 Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1507 1578 33.8% 28.3% 37.9% -11.2 3
2008-10-05 @ Beira-Mar W 1-0 1578 1507 37.9% 28.3% 33.8% +11.1 7
2008-10-05 Varzim W 2-1 1596 1566 47.7% 27.6% 24.7% +8.3 5
2008-10-05 @ Oliveirense L 1-2 1566 1596 24.7% 27.6% 47.7% -8.3 7
2008-10-05 Vizela D 0-0 1543 1544 43.7% 28.0% 28.3% -1.1 8
2008-10-05 @ Feirense D 0-0 1544 1543 28.3% 28.0% 43.7% +1.1 4
2008-10-12 Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1604 1590 45.7% 27.8% 26.5% -13.2 5
2008-10-12 @ Oliveirense W 2-1 1590 1604 26.5% 27.8% 45.7% +13.2 10
2008-10-25 Portimonense D 0-0 1483 1542 35.6% 28.3% 36.1% +0.0 2
2008-10-25 @ Gondomar D 0-0 1542 1483 36.1% 28.3% 35.6% -0.0 10
2008-10-25 Santa Clara W 3-2 1584 1546 48.8% 27.5% 23.8% +7.6 10
2008-10-25 @ Gil Vicente L 2-3 1546 1584 23.8% 27.5% 48.8% -7.6 11
2008-10-26 Beira-Mar L 0-3 1545 1496 50.0% 27.3% 22.7% -41.3 4
2008-10-26 @ Vizela W 3-0 1496 1545 22.7% 27.3% 50.0% +41.3 6
2008-10-26 Feirense W 2-1 1558 1542 45.8% 27.8% 26.4% +8.7 10
2008-10-26 @ Varzim L 1-2 1542 1558 26.4% 27.8% 45.8% -8.7 8
2008-10-26 Freamunde D 1-1 1603 1523 53.6% 26.6% 19.8% -2.2 11
2008-10-26 @ Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1523 1603 19.8% 26.6% 53.6% +2.2 8
2008-10-26 Olhanense L 1-2 1564 1539 47.0% 27.7% 25.3% -13.5 8
2008-10-26 @ Aves W 2-1 1539 1564 25.3% 27.7% 47.0% +13.5 10
2008-10-26 Oliveirense W 1-0 1626 1591 48.2% 27.5% 24.2% +8.6 11
2008-10-26 @ Boavista L 0-1 1591 1626 24.2% 27.5% 48.2% -8.6 5
2008-10-26 Uniao Leiria D 2-2 1561 1561 43.7% 28.0% 28.3% -0.7 8
2008-10-26 @ Estoril D 2-2 1561 1561 28.3% 28.0% 43.7% +0.7 6
2008-11-01 Olhanense L 2-3 1542 1553 42.4% 28.1% 29.5% -11.8 10
2008-11-01 @ Portimonense W 3-2 1553 1542 29.5% 28.1% 42.4% +11.8 13
2008-11-02 Aves D 0-0 1582 1551 47.9% 27.6% 24.5% -1.7 6
2008-11-02 @ Oliveirense D 0-0 1551 1582 24.5% 27.6% 47.9% +1.7 9
2008-11-02 Boavista W 2-0 1533 1634 29.9% 28.1% 42.0% +24.7 11
2008-11-02 @ Feirense L 0-2 1634 1533 42.0% 28.1% 29.9% -24.7 11
2008-11-02 Estoril D 1-1 1538 1560 40.8% 28.2% 31.1% -0.6 12
2008-11-02 @ Santa Clara D 1-1 1560 1538 31.1% 28.2% 40.8% +0.6 9
2008-11-02 Gil Vicente W 3-0 1483 1592 28.9% 28.1% 43.1% +36.6 5
2008-11-02 @ Gondomar L 0-3 1592 1483 43.1% 28.1% 28.9% -36.6 10
2008-11-02 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1562 1601 38.5% 28.3% 33.2% -0.3 7
2008-11-02 @ Uniao Leiria D 1-1 1601 1562 33.2% 28.3% 38.5% +0.3 12
2008-11-02 Varzim D 1-1 1537 1566 39.8% 28.2% 32.0% -0.5 7
2008-11-02 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1566 1537 32.0% 28.2% 39.8% +0.5 11
2008-11-02 Vizela D 1-1 1525 1503 46.6% 27.7% 25.6% -1.3 9
2008-11-02 @ Freamunde D 1-1 1503 1525 25.6% 27.7% 46.6% +1.3 5
2008-11-16 Beira-Mar L 1-2 1610 1536 52.8% 26.8% 20.4% -14.9 11
2008-11-16 @ Boavista W 2-1 1536 1610 20.4% 26.8% 52.8% +14.9 10
2008-11-16 Feirense W 1-0 1552 1558 43.0% 28.1% 28.9% +9.9 12
2008-11-16 @ Aves L 0-1 1558 1552 28.9% 28.1% 43.0% -9.9 11
2008-11-16 Freamunde W 2-1 1567 1524 49.2% 27.4% 23.4% +7.9 14
2008-11-16 @ Varzim L 1-2 1524 1567 23.4% 27.4% 49.2% -7.9 9
2008-11-16 Gondomar D 0-0 1561 1520 49.1% 27.4% 23.5% -1.9 10
2008-11-16 @ Estoril D 0-0 1520 1561 23.5% 27.4% 49.1% +1.9 6
2008-11-16 Oliveirense W 3-0 1565 1581 41.6% 28.1% 30.2% +28.1 16
2008-11-16 @ Olhanense L 0-3 1581 1565 30.2% 28.1% 41.6% -28.1 6
2008-11-16 Portimonense D 0-0 1555 1530 47.0% 27.7% 25.3% -1.6 11
2008-11-16 @ Gil Vicente D 0-0 1530 1555 25.3% 27.7% 47.0% +1.6 11
2008-11-16 Santa Clara L 2-4 1601 1537 51.7% 27.0% 21.3% -22.7 12
2008-11-16 @ Sporting Covilha W 4-2 1537 1601 21.3% 27.0% 51.7% +22.7 15
2008-11-16 Uniao Leiria W 3-2 1505 1562 35.9% 28.3% 35.9% +10.4 8
2008-11-16 @ Vizela L 2-3 1562 1505 35.9% 28.3% 35.9% -10.4 7
2008-11-23 Aves W 4-0 1551 1562 42.3% 28.1% 29.6% +36.1 13
2008-11-23 @ Beira-Mar L 0-4 1562 1551 29.6% 28.1% 42.3% -36.1 12
2008-11-23 Boavista W 2-0 1516 1595 32.8% 28.2% 38.9% +23.3 12
2008-11-23 @ Freamunde L 0-2 1595 1516 38.9% 28.2% 32.8% -23.3 11
2008-11-23 Estoril D 2-2 1554 1559 43.1% 28.0% 28.8% -0.7 12
2008-11-23 @ Gil Vicente D 2-2 1559 1554 28.8% 28.0% 43.1% +0.7 11
2008-11-23 Olhanense W 3-1 1548 1593 37.6% 28.3% 34.1% +18.3 14
2008-11-23 @ Feirense L 1-3 1593 1548 34.1% 28.3% 37.6% -18.3 16
2008-11-23 Oliveirense W 1-0 1532 1553 41.0% 28.2% 30.8% +10.4 14
2008-11-23 @ Portimonense L 0-1 1553 1532 30.8% 28.2% 41.0% -10.4 6
2008-11-23 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1521 1578 35.9% 28.3% 35.8% -0.0 7
2008-11-23 @ Gondomar D 1-1 1578 1521 35.8% 28.3% 35.9% +0.0 13
2008-11-23 Varzim W 1-0 1551 1575 40.6% 28.2% 31.2% +10.5 10
2008-11-23 @ Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1575 1551 31.2% 28.2% 40.6% -10.5 14
2008-11-23 Vizela W 5-1 1560 1515 49.5% 27.4% 23.1% +24.8 18
2008-11-23 @ Santa Clara L 1-5 1515 1560 23.1% 27.4% 49.5% -24.8 8
2008-11-30 Beira-Mar W 2-0 1574 1587 42.0% 28.1% 29.8% +19.1 19
2008-11-30 @ Olhanense L 0-2 1587 1574 29.8% 28.1% 42.0% -19.2 13
2008-11-30 Feirense W 2-1 1542 1566 40.5% 28.2% 31.3% +9.9 9
2008-11-30 @ Oliveirense L 1-2 1566 1542 31.3% 28.2% 40.5% -9.9 14
2008-11-30 Freamunde L 0-1 1526 1539 42.0% 28.1% 29.9% -13.1 12
2008-11-30 @ Aves W 1-0 1539 1526 29.9% 28.1% 42.0% +13.1 15
2008-11-30 Gil Vicente L 1-2 1578 1553 47.0% 27.7% 25.3% -13.5 13
2008-11-30 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1553 1578 25.3% 27.7% 47.0% +13.5 15
2008-11-30 Gondomar W 1-0 1490 1521 39.6% 28.2% 32.2% +10.8 11
2008-11-30 @ Vizela L 0-1 1521 1490 32.2% 28.2% 39.6% -10.8 7
2008-11-30 Portimonense D 0-0 1560 1542 46.1% 27.8% 26.2% -1.4 12
2008-11-30 @ Estoril D 0-0 1542 1560 26.2% 27.8% 46.1% +1.4 15
2008-11-30 Santa Clara W 2-1 1564 1585 41.0% 28.2% 30.8% +9.8 17
2008-11-30 @ Varzim L 1-2 1585 1564 30.8% 28.2% 41.0% -9.8 18
2008-11-30 Uniao Leiria W 2-0 1571 1562 45.1% 27.9% 27.1% +17.8 14
2008-11-30 @ Boavista L 0-2 1562 1571 27.1% 27.9% 45.1% -17.8 10
2008-12-07 Aves D 1-1 1544 1513 47.8% 27.6% 24.6% -1.5 11
2008-12-07 @ Uniao Leiria D 1-1 1513 1544 24.6% 27.6% 47.8% +1.5 13
2008-12-07 Boavista W 3-1 1575 1589 41.9% 28.1% 30.0% +16.7 21
2008-12-07 @ Santa Clara L 1-3 1589 1575 30.0% 28.1% 41.9% -16.7 14
2008-12-07 Feirense L 1-3 1544 1557 42.1% 28.1% 29.8% -21.4 15
2008-12-07 @ Portimonense W 3-1 1557 1544 29.8% 28.1% 42.1% +21.4 17
2008-12-07 Olhanense L 1-3 1552 1594 38.1% 28.3% 33.6% -19.9 15
2008-12-07 @ Freamunde W 3-1 1594 1552 33.6% 28.3% 38.1% +19.9 22
2008-12-07 Oliveirense W 2-1 1568 1552 45.9% 27.8% 26.3% +8.7 16
2008-12-07 @ Beira-Mar L 1-2 1552 1568 26.3% 27.8% 45.9% -8.7 9
2008-12-07 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1558 1565 42.9% 28.1% 29.0% +16.2 15
2008-12-07 @ Estoril L 1-3 1565 1558 29.0% 28.1% 42.9% -16.2 13
2008-12-07 Varzim W 2-1 1511 1574 35.0% 28.3% 36.7% +11.2 10
2008-12-07 @ Gondomar L 1-2 1574 1511 36.7% 28.3% 35.0% -11.2 17
2008-12-07 Vizela D 1-1 1567 1501 52.0% 26.9% 21.1% -2.0 16
2008-12-07 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1501 1567 21.1% 26.9% 52.0% +2.0 12
2008-12-20 Estoril W 1-0 1503 1575 33.8% 28.3% 37.9% +12.1 15
2008-12-20 @ Vizela L 0-1 1575 1503 37.9% 28.3% 33.8% -12.1 15
2008-12-21 Beira-Mar W 2-0 1578 1577 43.9% 28.0% 28.1% +18.3 20
2008-12-21 @ Feirense L 0-2 1577 1578 28.1% 28.0% 43.9% -18.3 16
2008-12-21 Freamunde W 2-1 1543 1532 45.2% 27.9% 26.9% +8.8 12
2008-12-21 @ Oliveirense L 1-2 1532 1543 26.9% 27.9% 45.2% -8.8 15
2008-12-21 Gil Vicente L 2-3 1563 1565 43.5% 28.0% 28.5% -12.0 17
2008-12-21 @ Varzim W 3-2 1565 1563 28.5% 28.0% 43.5% +12.0 19
2008-12-21 Gondomar L 1-2 1573 1522 50.2% 27.2% 22.6% -14.3 14
2008-12-21 @ Boavista W 2-1 1522 1573 22.6% 27.2% 50.2% +14.3 13
2008-12-21 Portimonense W 4-1 1548 1522 47.2% 27.7% 25.2% +20.5 16
2008-12-21 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-4 1522 1548 25.2% 27.7% 47.2% -20.5 15
2008-12-21 Santa Clara D 1-1 1514 1592 33.1% 28.3% 38.7% +0.3 14
2008-12-21 @ Aves D 1-1 1592 1514 38.7% 28.3% 33.1% -0.3 22
2008-12-21 Uniao Leiria D 0-0 1613 1543 52.5% 26.8% 20.6% -2.4 23
2008-12-21 @ Olhanense D 0-0 1543 1613 20.6% 26.8% 52.5% +2.4 12
2009-01-04 Aves L 0-1 1536 1515 46.6% 27.7% 25.7% -14.2 13
2009-01-04 @ Gondomar W 1-0 1515 1536 25.7% 27.7% 46.6% +14.2 17
2009-01-04 Beira-Mar D 1-1 1502 1559 35.9% 28.3% 35.8% -0.0 16
2009-01-04 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1559 1502 35.8% 28.3% 35.9% +0.0 17
2009-01-04 Boavista W 2-0 1577 1558 46.2% 27.8% 26.0% +17.2 22
2009-01-04 @ Gil Vicente L 0-2 1558 1577 26.0% 27.8% 46.2% -17.2 14
2009-01-04 Feirense D 2-2 1524 1596 33.7% 28.3% 38.0% +0.2 16
2009-01-04 @ Freamunde D 2-2 1596 1524 38.0% 28.3% 33.7% -0.2 21
2009-01-04 Olhanense L 0-2 1591 1611 41.1% 28.2% 30.7% -24.3 22
2009-01-04 @ Santa Clara W 2-0 1611 1591 30.7% 28.2% 41.1% +24.3 26
2009-01-04 Oliveirense W 1-0 1545 1552 42.8% 28.1% 29.1% +10.0 15
2009-01-04 @ Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1552 1545 29.1% 28.1% 42.8% -10.0 12
2009-01-04 Varzim W 1-0 1562 1551 45.3% 27.9% 26.8% +9.3 18
2009-01-04 @ Estoril L 0-1 1551 1562 26.8% 27.9% 45.3% -9.4 17
2009-01-04 Vizela D 1-1 1569 1515 50.6% 27.2% 22.2% -1.9 17
2009-01-04 @ Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1515 1569 22.2% 27.2% 50.6% +1.9 16
2009-01-11 Estoril W 2-0 1541 1572 39.6% 28.2% 32.2% +20.3 17
2009-01-11 @ Boavista L 0-2 1572 1541 32.2% 28.2% 39.6% -20.3 18
2009-01-11 Freamunde W 1-0 1559 1524 48.2% 27.5% 24.2% +8.6 20
2009-01-11 @ Beira-Mar L 0-1 1524 1559 24.2% 27.5% 48.2% -8.6 16
2009-01-11 Gil Vicente W 2-0 1529 1594 34.7% 28.3% 37.0% +22.4 20
2009-01-11 @ Aves L 0-2 1594 1529 37.0% 28.3% 34.7% -22.4 22
2009-01-11 Gondomar W 2-0 1635 1522 57.2% 25.8% 17.0% +11.9 29
2009-01-11 @ Olhanense L 0-2 1522 1635 17.0% 25.8% 57.2% -12.0 13
2009-01-11 Santa Clara L 1-2 1542 1567 40.5% 28.2% 31.4% -12.0 12
2009-01-11 @ Oliveirense W 2-1 1567 1542 31.4% 28.2% 40.5% +12.0 25
2009-01-11 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1541 1567 40.3% 28.2% 31.5% -0.5 18
2009-01-11 @ Varzim D 1-1 1567 1541 31.5% 28.2% 40.3% +0.5 18
2009-01-11 Uniao Leiria D 0-0 1596 1555 49.0% 27.4% 23.6% -1.8 22
2009-01-11 @ Feirense D 0-0 1555 1596 23.6% 27.4% 49.0% +1.8 16
2009-01-11 Vizela D 2-2 1502 1517 41.7% 28.1% 30.1% -0.5 17
2009-01-11 @ Portimonense D 2-2 1517 1502 30.1% 28.1% 41.7% +0.5 17
2009-01-25 Aves W 3-2 1552 1551 43.8% 28.0% 28.2% +8.7 21
2009-01-25 @ Estoril L 2-3 1551 1552 28.2% 28.0% 43.8% -8.7 20
2009-01-25 Beira-Mar W 2-1 1557 1567 42.4% 28.1% 29.5% +9.5 19
2009-01-25 @ Uniao Leiria L 1-2 1567 1557 29.5% 28.1% 42.4% -9.5 20
2009-01-25 Boavista W 1-0 1568 1561 44.6% 27.9% 27.5% +9.5 21
2009-01-25 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1561 1568 27.5% 27.9% 44.6% -9.5 17
2009-01-25 Feirense W 1-0 1579 1594 41.8% 28.1% 30.1% +10.2 28
2009-01-25 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1594 1579 30.1% 28.1% 41.8% -10.2 22
2009-01-25 Olhanense W 3-0 1572 1647 33.2% 28.3% 38.5% +33.6 25
2009-01-25 @ Gil Vicente L 0-3 1647 1572 38.5% 28.3% 33.2% -33.6 29
2009-01-25 Oliveirense D 0-0 1510 1530 41.0% 28.2% 30.8% -0.7 14
2009-01-25 @ Gondomar D 0-0 1530 1510 30.8% 28.2% 41.0% +0.7 13
2009-01-25 Portimonense D 0-0 1515 1501 45.6% 27.8% 26.6% -1.4 17
2009-01-25 @ Freamunde D 0-0 1501 1515 26.6% 27.8% 45.6% +1.3 18
2009-01-25 Varzim D 1-1 1518 1541 40.6% 28.2% 31.2% -0.6 18
2009-01-25 @ Vizela D 1-1 1541 1518 31.2% 28.2% 40.6% +0.6 19
2009-02-01 Aves L 0-2 1577 1543 48.2% 27.5% 24.3% -27.6 21
2009-02-01 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1543 1577 24.3% 27.5% 48.2% +27.6 23
2009-02-01 Beira-Mar W 1-0 1589 1558 47.9% 27.6% 24.6% +8.7 31
2009-02-01 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1558 1589 24.6% 27.6% 47.9% -8.7 20
2009-02-01 Boavista D 0-0 1517 1552 39.0% 28.2% 32.7% -0.4 19
2009-02-01 @ Vizela D 0-0 1552 1517 32.7% 28.2% 39.0% +0.4 18
2009-02-01 Feirense L 0-1 1509 1584 33.4% 28.3% 38.4% -11.1 14
2009-02-01 @ Gondomar W 1-0 1584 1509 38.4% 28.3% 33.4% +11.0 25
2009-02-01 Freamunde W 3-0 1566 1514 50.4% 27.2% 22.4% +22.1 22
2009-02-01 @ Uniao Leiria L 0-3 1514 1566 22.4% 27.2% 50.4% -22.1 17
2009-02-01 Olhanense W 2-1 1560 1614 36.4% 28.3% 35.3% +10.8 24
2009-02-01 @ Estoril L 1-2 1614 1560 35.3% 28.3% 36.4% -10.9 29
2009-02-01 Oliveirense D 1-1 1605 1531 52.9% 26.8% 20.3% -2.2 26
2009-02-01 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1531 1605 20.3% 26.8% 52.9% +2.2 14
2009-02-01 Portimonense W 1-0 1541 1503 48.8% 27.5% 23.8% +8.5 22
2009-02-01 @ Varzim L 0-1 1503 1541 23.8% 27.5% 48.8% -8.5 18
2009-02-08 Estoril L 0-2 1533 1571 38.6% 28.3% 33.1% -23.2 14
2009-02-08 @ Oliveirense W 2-0 1571 1533 33.1% 28.3% 38.6% +23.2 27
2009-02-08 Gil Vicente W 2-1 1595 1603 42.7% 28.1% 29.2% +9.4 28
2009-02-08 @ Feirense L 1-2 1603 1595 29.2% 28.1% 42.7% -9.4 26
2009-02-08 Gondomar W 2-1 1549 1498 50.2% 27.2% 22.5% +7.7 23
2009-02-08 @ Beira-Mar L 1-2 1498 1549 22.5% 27.2% 50.2% -7.7 14
2009-02-08 Santa Clara W 2-1 1492 1598 29.2% 28.1% 42.7% +12.5 20
2009-02-08 @ Freamunde L 1-2 1598 1492 42.7% 28.1% 29.2% -12.5 31
2009-02-08 Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1603 1550 50.5% 27.2% 22.3% -14.3 29
2009-02-08 @ Olhanense W 2-1 1550 1603 22.3% 27.2% 50.5% +14.4 24
2009-02-08 Uniao Leiria L 0-1 1494 1588 30.8% 28.2% 41.1% -10.4 18
2009-02-08 @ Portimonense W 1-0 1588 1494 41.1% 28.2% 30.8% +10.4 25
2009-02-08 Varzim W 2-0 1552 1550 44.1% 28.0% 27.9% +18.2 21
2009-02-08 @ Boavista L 0-2 1550 1552 27.9% 28.0% 44.1% -18.2 22
2009-02-08 Vizela L 1-3 1570 1517 50.6% 27.2% 22.2% -24.9 23
2009-02-08 @ Aves W 3-1 1517 1570 22.2% 27.2% 50.6% +24.9 22
2009-02-15 Aves W 1-0 1532 1545 41.9% 28.1% 29.9% +10.2 25
2009-02-15 @ Varzim L 0-1 1545 1532 29.9% 28.1% 41.9% -10.2 23
2009-02-15 Beira-Mar D 2-2 1594 1557 48.5% 27.5% 24.0% -1.2 27
2009-02-15 @ Gil Vicente D 2-2 1557 1594 24.0% 27.5% 48.5% +1.2 24
2009-02-15 Feirense D 2-2 1594 1604 42.4% 28.1% 29.5% -0.6 28
2009-02-15 @ Estoril D 2-2 1604 1594 29.5% 28.1% 42.4% +0.6 29
2009-02-15 Freamunde L 1-3 1490 1504 41.9% 28.1% 29.9% -21.4 14
2009-02-15 @ Gondomar W 3-1 1504 1490 29.9% 28.1% 41.9% +21.4 23
2009-02-15 Olhanense D 0-0 1541 1589 37.3% 28.3% 34.4% -0.2 23
2009-02-15 @ Vizela D 0-0 1589 1541 34.4% 28.3% 37.3% +0.2 30
2009-02-15 Oliveirense W 3-2 1564 1510 50.6% 27.2% 22.2% +7.2 27
2009-02-15 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1510 1564 22.2% 27.2% 50.6% -7.2 14
2009-02-15 Portimonense L 0-1 1570 1484 54.4% 26.5% 19.2% -16.2 21
2009-02-15 @ Boavista W 1-0 1484 1570 19.2% 26.5% 54.4% +16.2 21
2009-02-15 Uniao Leiria W 2-0 1585 1599 42.0% 28.1% 29.9% +19.2 34
2009-02-15 @ Santa Clara L 0-2 1599 1585 29.9% 28.1% 42.0% -19.2 25
2009-02-22 Boavista W 2-0 1535 1554 41.2% 28.2% 30.6% +19.5 26
2009-02-22 @ Aves L 0-2 1554 1535 30.6% 28.2% 41.2% -19.5 21
2009-02-22 Estoril W 3-1 1558 1594 38.9% 28.2% 32.9% +17.8 27
2009-02-22 @ Beira-Mar L 1-3 1594 1558 32.9% 28.2% 38.9% -17.8 28
2009-02-22 Gil Vicente W 1-0 1526 1592 34.5% 28.3% 37.2% +12.0 26
2009-02-22 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1592 1526 37.2% 28.3% 34.5% -11.9 27
2009-02-22 Gondomar W 3-1 1580 1469 56.9% 25.8% 17.2% +10.5 28
2009-02-22 @ Uniao Leiria L 1-3 1469 1580 17.2% 25.8% 56.9% -10.5 14
2009-02-22 Santa Clara D 1-1 1500 1605 29.4% 28.1% 42.5% +0.8 22
2009-02-22 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1605 1500 42.5% 28.1% 29.4% -0.8 35
2009-02-22 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1605 1571 48.1% 27.5% 24.3% +8.2 32
2009-02-22 @ Feirense L 1-2 1571 1605 24.3% 27.5% 48.1% -8.2 27
2009-02-22 Varzim W 1-0 1589 1542 49.7% 27.3% 22.9% +8.2 33
2009-02-22 @ Olhanense L 0-1 1542 1589 22.9% 27.3% 49.7% -8.2 25
2009-02-22 Vizela D 0-0 1503 1541 38.5% 28.3% 33.2% -0.4 15
2009-02-22 @ Oliveirense D 0-0 1541 1503 33.2% 28.3% 38.5% +0.4 24
2009-03-01 Beira-Mar W 3-1 1563 1576 42.1% 28.1% 29.8% +16.6 30
2009-03-01 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1576 1563 29.8% 28.1% 42.1% -16.6 27
2009-03-01 Feirense D 0-0 1542 1613 33.8% 28.3% 37.9% +0.3 25
2009-03-01 @ Vizela D 0-0 1613 1542 37.9% 28.3% 33.8% -0.3 33
2009-03-01 Freamunde W 3-0 1576 1538 48.7% 27.5% 23.8% +23.3 31
2009-03-01 @ Estoril L 0-3 1538 1576 23.8% 27.5% 48.7% -23.3 26
2009-03-01 Olhanense L 1-4 1535 1597 35.1% 28.3% 36.6% -26.5 21
2009-03-01 @ Boavista W 4-1 1597 1535 36.6% 28.3% 35.1% +26.5 36
2009-03-01 Oliveirense D 1-1 1534 1503 47.8% 27.6% 24.6% -1.5 26
2009-03-01 @ Varzim D 1-1 1503 1534 24.6% 27.6% 47.8% +1.5 16
2009-03-01 Portimonense D 0-0 1555 1501 50.6% 27.2% 22.2% -2.1 27
2009-03-01 @ Aves D 0-0 1501 1555 22.2% 27.2% 50.6% +2.1 23
2009-03-01 Santa Clara L 1-2 1459 1604 24.6% 27.6% 47.8% -8.2 14
2009-03-01 @ Gondomar W 2-1 1604 1459 47.8% 27.6% 24.6% +8.2 38
2009-03-01 Uniao Leiria D 1-1 1580 1590 42.5% 28.1% 29.4% -0.8 28
2009-03-01 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1590 1580 29.4% 28.1% 42.5% +0.8 29
2009-03-08 Aves W 2-0 1623 1553 52.5% 26.8% 20.6% +14.2 39
2009-03-08 @ Olhanense L 0-2 1553 1623 20.6% 26.8% 52.5% -14.2 27
2009-03-08 Boavista W 2-0 1504 1508 43.2% 28.0% 28.7% +18.6 19
2009-03-08 @ Oliveirense L 0-2 1508 1504 28.7% 28.0% 43.2% -18.6 21
2009-03-08 Estoril W 4-2 1591 1599 42.7% 28.1% 29.2% +14.6 32
2009-03-08 @ Uniao Leiria L 2-4 1599 1591 29.2% 28.1% 42.7% -14.6 31
2009-03-08 Gil Vicente L 0-2 1612 1580 48.0% 27.6% 24.5% -27.5 38
2009-03-08 @ Santa Clara W 2-0 1580 1612 24.5% 27.6% 48.0% +27.5 31
2009-03-08 Gondomar D 2-2 1503 1450 50.4% 27.2% 22.4% -1.4 24
2009-03-08 @ Portimonense D 2-2 1450 1503 22.4% 27.2% 50.4% +1.4 15
2009-03-08 Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1514 1580 34.7% 28.3% 37.0% +0.2 27
2009-03-08 @ Freamunde D 0-0 1580 1514 37.0% 28.3% 34.7% -0.2 31
2009-03-08 Varzim L 1-2 1613 1532 53.7% 26.6% 19.7% -15.1 33
2009-03-08 @ Feirense W 2-1 1532 1613 19.7% 26.6% 53.7% +15.1 29
2009-03-08 Vizela D 1-1 1559 1542 46.0% 27.8% 26.2% -1.3 28
2009-03-08 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1542 1559 26.2% 27.8% 46.0% +1.3 26
2009-03-15 Beira-Mar W 1-0 1547 1558 42.4% 28.1% 29.5% +10.1 32
2009-03-15 @ Varzim L 0-1 1558 1547 29.5% 28.1% 42.4% -10.1 28
2009-03-15 Feirense D 2-2 1490 1598 29.0% 28.1% 43.0% +0.6 22
2009-03-15 @ Boavista D 2-2 1598 1490 43.0% 28.1% 29.0% -0.6 34
2009-03-15 Freamunde D 1-1 1543 1514 47.5% 27.6% 24.9% -1.5 27
2009-03-15 @ Vizela D 1-1 1514 1543 24.9% 27.6% 47.5% +1.4 28
2009-03-15 Gondomar D 3-3 1607 1452 61.4% 24.5% 14.1% -2.0 32
2009-03-15 @ Gil Vicente D 3-3 1452 1607 14.1% 24.5% 61.4% +2.0 16
2009-03-15 Oliveirense D 2-2 1539 1523 45.9% 27.8% 26.3% -0.9 28
2009-03-15 @ Aves D 2-2 1523 1539 26.3% 27.8% 45.9% +0.9 20
2009-03-15 Portimonense W 4-0 1638 1501 59.5% 25.1% 15.4% +20.6 42
2009-03-15 @ Olhanense L 0-4 1501 1638 15.4% 25.1% 59.5% -20.6 24
2009-03-15 Santa Clara L 1-2 1585 1585 43.8% 28.0% 28.2% -12.8 31
2009-03-15 @ Estoril W 2-1 1585 1585 28.2% 28.0% 43.8% +12.8 41
2009-03-15 Uniao Leiria L 2-3 1579 1606 40.2% 28.2% 31.6% -11.3 31
2009-03-15 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-2 1606 1579 31.6% 28.2% 40.2% +11.3 35
2009-04-04 Vizela D 1-1 1617 1542 53.0% 26.7% 20.2% -2.2 36
2009-04-04 @ Uniao Leiria D 1-1 1542 1617 20.2% 26.7% 53.0% +2.2 28
2009-04-05 Aves W 2-1 1597 1538 51.2% 27.1% 21.7% +7.4 37
2009-04-05 @ Feirense L 1-2 1538 1597 21.7% 27.1% 51.2% -7.4 28
2009-04-05 Boavista W 3-1 1548 1490 51.0% 27.1% 21.9% +13.0 31
2009-04-05 @ Beira-Mar L 1-3 1490 1548 21.9% 27.1% 51.0% -13.0 22
2009-04-05 Estoril W 3-0 1454 1572 27.8% 28.0% 44.3% +37.4 19
2009-04-05 @ Gondomar L 0-3 1572 1454 44.3% 28.0% 27.8% -37.4 31
2009-04-05 Gil Vicente W 3-0 1481 1605 27.0% 27.9% 45.1% +37.9 27
2009-04-05 @ Portimonense L 0-3 1605 1481 45.1% 27.9% 27.0% -37.9 32
2009-04-05 Olhanense W 1-0 1524 1658 25.8% 27.8% 46.4% +14.2 23
2009-04-05 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1658 1524 46.4% 27.8% 25.8% -14.2 42
2009-04-05 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1597 1568 47.6% 27.6% 24.8% -1.5 42
2009-04-05 @ Santa Clara D 1-1 1568 1597 24.8% 27.6% 47.6% +1.5 32
2009-04-05 Varzim W 2-1 1516 1557 38.1% 28.3% 33.6% +10.5 31
2009-04-05 @ Freamunde L 1-2 1557 1516 33.6% 28.3% 38.1% -10.5 32
2009-04-10 Beira-Mar W 1-0 1530 1561 39.6% 28.2% 32.1% +10.8 31
2009-04-10 @ Aves L 0-1 1561 1530 32.1% 28.2% 39.6% -10.8 31
2009-04-11 Feirense W 2-1 1644 1605 48.8% 27.5% 23.7% +8.0 45
2009-04-11 @ Olhanense L 1-2 1605 1644 23.7% 27.5% 48.8% -8.0 37
2009-04-11 Freamunde W 2-1 1477 1526 37.0% 28.3% 34.7% +10.7 25
2009-04-11 @ Boavista L 1-2 1526 1477 34.7% 28.3% 37.0% -10.7 31
2009-04-11 Gil Vicente W 2-1 1534 1567 39.3% 28.2% 32.4% +10.2 34
2009-04-11 @ Estoril L 1-2 1567 1534 32.4% 28.2% 39.3% -10.2 32
2009-04-11 Gondomar L 1-3 1570 1491 53.4% 26.7% 19.9% -26.1 32
2009-04-11 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1491 1570 19.9% 26.7% 53.4% +26.1 22
2009-04-11 Portimonense D 0-0 1538 1519 46.3% 27.8% 26.0% -1.5 24
2009-04-11 @ Oliveirense D 0-0 1519 1538 26.0% 27.8% 46.3% +1.5 28
2009-04-11 Santa Clara L 1-2 1544 1596 36.6% 28.3% 35.1% -11.1 28
2009-04-11 @ Vizela W 2-1 1596 1544 35.1% 28.3% 36.6% +11.1 45
2009-04-11 Uniao Leiria L 0-2 1547 1615 34.3% 28.3% 37.4% -21.3 32
2009-04-11 @ Varzim W 2-0 1615 1547 37.4% 28.3% 34.3% +21.3 39
2009-04-19 Aves L 1-2 1516 1541 40.4% 28.2% 31.4% -12.0 31
2009-04-19 @ Freamunde W 2-1 1541 1516 31.4% 28.2% 40.4% +12.0 34
2009-04-19 Boavista W 2-0 1636 1488 60.7% 24.7% 14.6% +10.3 42
2009-04-19 @ Uniao Leiria L 0-2 1488 1636 14.6% 24.7% 60.7% -10.3 25
2009-04-19 Estoril L 1-2 1520 1545 40.5% 28.2% 31.3% -12.0 28
2009-04-19 @ Portimonense W 2-1 1545 1520 31.3% 28.2% 40.5% +12.0 37
2009-04-19 Olhanense D 1-1 1550 1652 29.8% 28.1% 42.1% +0.8 32
2009-04-19 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1652 1550 42.1% 28.1% 29.8% -0.8 46
2009-04-19 Oliveirense L 0-1 1597 1536 51.3% 27.1% 21.6% -15.4 37
2009-04-19 @ Feirense W 1-0 1536 1597 21.6% 27.1% 51.3% +15.4 27
2009-04-19 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1557 1543 45.6% 27.8% 26.6% -1.2 33
2009-04-19 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1543 1557 26.6% 27.8% 45.6% +1.2 33
2009-04-19 Varzim W 1-0 1607 1526 53.8% 26.6% 19.7% +7.2 48
2009-04-19 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1526 1607 19.7% 26.6% 53.8% -7.2 32
2009-04-19 Vizela W 2-0 1517 1533 41.7% 28.1% 30.2% +19.3 25
2009-04-19 @ Gondomar L 0-2 1533 1517 30.2% 28.1% 41.7% -19.3 28
2009-04-25 Santa Clara W 3-1 1478 1614 25.6% 27.7% 46.7% +23.3 28
2009-04-25 @ Boavista L 1-3 1614 1478 46.7% 27.7% 25.6% -23.3 48
2009-04-26 Beira-Mar D 0-0 1552 1551 43.9% 28.0% 28.1% -1.1 28
2009-04-26 @ Oliveirense D 0-0 1551 1552 28.1% 28.0% 43.9% +1.1 33
2009-04-26 Estoril W 2-1 1545 1557 42.2% 28.1% 29.7% +9.5 36
2009-04-26 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1557 1545 29.7% 28.1% 42.2% -9.5 37
2009-04-26 Freamunde W 5-0 1651 1504 60.6% 24.7% 14.6% +24.1 49
2009-04-26 @ Olhanense L 0-5 1504 1651 14.6% 24.7% 60.6% -24.1 31
2009-04-26 Gil Vicente D 1-1 1513 1556 38.0% 28.3% 33.7% -0.3 29
2009-04-26 @ Vizela D 1-1 1556 1513 33.7% 28.3% 38.0% +0.2 34
2009-04-26 Gondomar W 1-0 1518 1537 41.3% 28.1% 30.5% +10.3 35
2009-04-26 @ Varzim L 0-1 1537 1518 30.5% 28.1% 41.3% -10.3 25
2009-04-26 Portimonense D 1-1 1581 1508 52.8% 26.8% 20.4% -2.2 38
2009-04-26 @ Feirense D 1-1 1508 1581 20.4% 26.8% 52.8% +2.2 29
2009-04-26 Uniao Leiria L 0-2 1553 1646 30.9% 28.2% 40.9% -19.7 34
2009-04-26 @ Aves W 2-0 1646 1553 40.9% 28.2% 30.9% +19.7 45
2009-05-02 Varzim L 1-2 1556 1529 47.3% 27.6% 25.0% -13.6 34
2009-05-02 @ Gil Vicente W 2-1 1529 1556 25.0% 27.6% 47.3% +13.6 38
2009-05-03 Aves D 1-1 1591 1533 51.0% 27.1% 21.9% -1.9 49
2009-05-03 @ Santa Clara D 1-1 1533 1591 21.9% 27.1% 51.0% +1.9 35
2009-05-03 Boavista D 1-1 1526 1501 47.0% 27.7% 25.3% -1.4 26
2009-05-03 @ Gondomar D 1-1 1501 1526 25.3% 27.7% 47.0% +1.4 29
2009-05-03 Feirense D 2-2 1552 1579 40.1% 28.2% 31.7% -0.4 34
2009-05-03 @ Beira-Mar D 2-2 1579 1552 31.7% 28.2% 40.1% +0.4 39
2009-05-03 Olhanense W 5-1 1666 1675 42.5% 28.1% 29.4% +30.0 48
2009-05-03 @ Uniao Leiria L 1-5 1675 1666 29.4% 28.1% 42.5% -30.0 49
2009-05-03 Oliveirense W 1-0 1480 1551 33.9% 28.3% 37.8% +12.1 34
2009-05-03 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1551 1480 37.8% 28.3% 33.9% -12.1 28
2009-05-03 Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1510 1554 37.8% 28.3% 34.0% +11.2 32
2009-05-03 @ Portimonense L 0-1 1554 1510 34.0% 28.3% 37.8% -11.2 36
2009-05-03 Vizela D 0-0 1547 1513 48.1% 27.5% 24.3% -1.7 38
2009-05-03 @ Estoril D 0-0 1513 1547 24.3% 27.5% 48.1% +1.7 30
2009-05-10 Estoril L 0-3 1542 1545 43.4% 28.0% 28.6% -36.8 38
2009-05-10 @ Varzim W 3-0 1545 1542 28.6% 28.0% 43.4% +36.8 41
2009-05-10 Freamunde L 1-5 1579 1492 54.4% 26.4% 19.1% -48.4 39
2009-05-10 @ Feirense W 5-1 1492 1579 19.1% 26.4% 54.4% +48.4 37
2009-05-10 Gil Vicente L 0-1 1502 1542 38.3% 28.3% 33.4% -12.2 29
2009-05-10 @ Boavista W 1-0 1542 1502 33.4% 28.3% 38.3% +12.2 37
2009-05-10 Gondomar L 0-1 1535 1525 45.1% 27.9% 27.0% -13.9 35
2009-05-10 @ Aves W 1-0 1525 1535 27.0% 27.9% 45.1% +13.9 29
2009-05-10 Portimonense D 0-0 1551 1522 47.6% 27.6% 24.8% -1.7 35
2009-05-10 @ Beira-Mar D 0-0 1522 1551 24.8% 27.6% 47.6% +1.7 33
2009-05-10 Santa Clara W 1-0 1645 1589 50.9% 27.1% 22.0% +8.0 52
2009-05-10 @ Olhanense L 0-1 1589 1645 22.0% 27.1% 50.9% -8.0 49
2009-05-10 Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1515 1543 40.0% 28.2% 31.8% +10.7 33
2009-05-10 @ Vizela L 0-1 1543 1515 31.8% 28.2% 40.0% -10.7 36
2009-05-10 Uniao Leiria W 2-1 1539 1696 23.4% 27.4% 49.3% +14.0 31
2009-05-10 @ Oliveirense L 1-2 1696 1539 49.3% 27.4% 23.4% -14.0 48
2009-05-17 Aves D 1-1 1555 1521 48.1% 27.6% 24.4% -1.5 38
2009-05-17 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1521 1555 24.4% 27.6% 48.1% +1.5 36
2009-05-17 Beira-Mar W 1-0 1540 1550 42.5% 28.1% 29.4% +10.1 40
2009-05-17 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1550 1540 29.4% 28.1% 42.5% -10.0 35
2009-05-17 Boavista L 1-2 1582 1490 54.9% 26.3% 18.8% -15.4 41
2009-05-17 @ Estoril W 2-1 1490 1582 18.8% 26.3% 54.9% +15.4 32
2009-05-17 Feirense W 2-1 1682 1531 61.0% 24.6% 14.4% +5.1 51
2009-05-17 @ Uniao Leiria L 1-2 1531 1682 14.4% 24.6% 61.0% -5.1 39
2009-05-17 Olhanense L 0-1 1539 1653 28.2% 28.0% 43.8% -9.7 29
2009-05-17 @ Gondomar W 1-0 1653 1539 43.8% 28.0% 28.2% +9.7 55
2009-05-17 Oliveirense W 3-1 1581 1553 47.5% 27.6% 24.9% +14.4 52
2009-05-17 @ Santa Clara L 1-3 1553 1581 24.9% 27.6% 47.5% -14.4 31
2009-05-17 Portimonense D 2-2 1526 1523 44.1% 28.0% 27.9% -0.8 34
2009-05-17 @ Vizela D 2-2 1523 1526 27.9% 28.0% 44.1% +0.8 34
2009-05-17 Varzim D 1-1 1532 1505 47.3% 27.7% 25.1% -1.4 37
2009-05-17 @ Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1505 1532 25.1% 27.7% 47.3% +1.4 39
2009-05-24 Estoril L 1-2 1523 1567 37.8% 28.3% 34.0% -11.4 36
2009-05-24 @ Aves W 2-1 1567 1523 34.0% 28.3% 37.8% +11.4 44
2009-05-24 Freamunde D 1-1 1524 1550 40.2% 28.2% 31.5% -0.5 35
2009-05-24 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1550 1524 31.5% 28.2% 40.2% +0.5 41
2009-05-24 Gil Vicente W 1-0 1663 1553 56.9% 25.9% 17.3% +6.4 58
2009-05-24 @ Olhanense L 0-1 1553 1663 17.3% 25.9% 56.9% -6.4 38
2009-05-24 Gondomar D 1-1 1538 1529 45.0% 27.9% 27.1% -1.1 32
2009-05-24 @ Oliveirense D 1-1 1529 1538 27.1% 27.9% 45.0% +1.1 30
2009-05-24 Santa Clara W 1-0 1526 1596 34.1% 28.3% 37.6% +12.0 42
2009-05-24 @ Feirense L 0-1 1596 1526 37.6% 28.3% 34.1% -12.0 52
2009-05-24 Sporting Covilha L 1-4 1506 1531 40.4% 28.2% 31.4% -29.3 32
2009-05-24 @ Boavista W 4-1 1531 1506 31.4% 28.2% 40.4% +29.3 40
2009-05-24 Uniao Leiria L 2-3 1540 1687 24.4% 27.6% 48.0% -7.8 35
2009-05-24 @ Beira-Mar W 3-2 1687 1540 48.0% 27.6% 24.4% +7.8 54
2009-05-24 Vizela L 0-2 1507 1525 41.4% 28.1% 30.5% -24.4 39
2009-05-24 @ Varzim W 2-0 1525 1507 30.5% 28.1% 41.4% +24.4 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-05-17 18.76% Boavista 1490 2 @ Estoril 1582 1
2 2009-05-10 19.11% Freamunde 1492 5 @ Feirense 1579 1
3 2009-02-15 19.19% Portimonense 1484 1 @ Boavista 1570 0
4 2009-03-08 19.72% Varzim 1532 2 @ Feirense 1613 1
5 2009-04-11 19.93% Gondomar 1491 3 @ Sporting Covilha 1570 1
6 2008-11-16 20.39% Beira-Mar 1536 2 @ Boavista 1610 1
7 2008-11-16 21.31% Santa Clara 1537 4 @ Sporting Covilha 1601 2
8 2009-04-19 21.62% Oliveirense 1536 1 @ Feirense 1597 0
9 2009-02-08 22.25% Vizela 1517 3 @ Aves 1570 1
10 2009-02-08 22.30% Sporting Covilha 1550 2 @ Olhanense 1603 1
11 2008-12-21 22.55% Gondomar 1522 2 @ Boavista 1573 1
12 2008-10-26 22.73% Beira-Mar 1496 3 @ Vizela 1545 0
13 2009-05-10 23.35% @ Oliveirense 1539 2 Uniao Leiria 1696 1
14 2009-02-01 24.26% Aves 1543 2 @ Sporting Covilha 1577 0
15 2009-03-08 24.47% Gil Vicente 1580 2 @ Santa Clara 1612 0
16 2009-05-02 25.04% Varzim 1529 2 @ Gil Vicente 1556 1
17 2008-11-30 25.30% Gil Vicente 1553 2 @ Sporting Covilha 1578 1
18 2008-10-26 25.32% Olhanense 1539 2 @ Aves 1564 1
19 2009-04-25 25.62% @ Boavista 1478 3 Santa Clara 1614 1
20 2009-01-04 25.72% Aves 1515 1 @ Gondomar 1536 0
21 2009-04-05 25.82% @ Oliveirense 1524 1 Olhanense 1658 0
22 2008-08-30 25.84% Portimonense 1546 1 @ Uniao Leiria 1566 0
23 2008-10-12 26.46% Sporting Covilha 1590 2 @ Oliveirense 1604 1
24 2009-05-10 26.97% Gondomar 1525 1 @ Aves 1535 0
25 2009-04-05 27.04% @ Portimonense 1481 3 Gil Vicente 1605 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-05-10 48.38 Freamunde 5 1492 19.11% @ Feirense 1 1579 54.45% 26.44%
2 2008-10-26 41.32 Beira-Mar 3 1496 22.73% @ Vizela 0 1545 50.00% 27.27%
3 2009-04-05 37.94 @ Portimonense 3 1481 27.04% Gil Vicente 0 1605 45.08% 27.88%
4 2009-04-05 37.39 @ Gondomar 3 1454 27.78% Estoril 0 1572 44.26% 27.95%
5 2009-05-10 36.80 Estoril 3 1545 28.59% @ Varzim 0 1542 43.39% 28.02%
6 2008-11-02 36.59 @ Gondomar 3 1483 28.87% Gil Vicente 0 1592 43.09% 28.05%
7 2008-11-23 36.12 @ Beira-Mar 4 1551 42.33% Aves 0 1562 29.58% 28.10%
8 2009-01-25 33.56 @ Gil Vicente 3 1572 33.24% Olhanense 0 1647 38.49% 28.26%
9 2008-09-28 30.38 @ Santa Clara 3 1507 38.17% Portimonense 0 1548 33.56% 28.27%
10 2009-05-03 29.95 @ Uniao Leiria 5 1666 42.52% Olhanense 1 1675 29.39% 28.08%
11 2009-05-24 29.33 Sporting Covilha 4 1531 31.44% @ Boavista 1 1506 40.36% 28.20%
12 2008-11-16 28.12 @ Olhanense 3 1565 41.62% Oliveirense 0 1581 30.24% 28.14%
13 2009-02-01 27.60 Aves 2 1543 24.26% @ Sporting Covilha 0 1577 48.21% 27.53%
14 2009-03-08 27.48 Gil Vicente 2 1580 24.47% @ Santa Clara 0 1612 47.97% 27.56%
15 2009-03-01 26.48 Olhanense 4 1597 36.58% @ Boavista 1 1535 35.13% 28.29%
16 2009-04-11 26.06 Gondomar 3 1491 19.93% @ Sporting Covilha 1 1570 53.41% 26.66%
17 2008-08-31 25.85 Aves 2 1562 27.58% @ Vizela 0 1568 44.48% 27.94%
18 2008-08-31 25.36 @ Varzim 2 1530 28.54% Boavista 0 1642 43.44% 28.02%
19 2009-02-08 24.87 Vizela 3 1517 22.25% @ Aves 1 1570 50.56% 27.18%
20 2008-11-23 24.77 @ Santa Clara 5 1560 49.51% Vizela 1 1515 23.14% 27.35%
21 2008-11-02 24.69 @ Feirense 2 1533 29.89% Boavista 0 1634 41.99% 28.12%
22 2009-05-24 24.41 Vizela 2 1525 30.46% @ Varzim 0 1507 41.38% 28.15%
23 2009-01-04 24.30 Olhanense 2 1611 30.72% @ Santa Clara 0 1591 41.12% 28.16%
24 2008-10-05 24.14 @ Portimonense 5 1518 34.01% Aves 2 1588 37.71% 28.28%
25 2009-04-26 24.13 @ Olhanense 5 1651 60.64% Freamunde 0 1504 14.62% 24.74%