2009-10 Liga Portugal 2 Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Portimonense

12.02 points above expected

54 points · 41.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Carregado

15.95 points below expected

24 points · 39.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Beira-Mar	30	16	6	8	54	44	30	+14	42.3	+11.74
2	Portimonense	30	16	6	8	54	43	34	+9	42.0	+12.02
3	Feirense	30	14	10	6	52	37	24	+13	43.4	+8.63
4	Santa Clara	30	13	12	5	51	45	29	+16	47.2	+3.83
5	Oliveirense	30	14	7	9	49	38	27	+11	43.5	+5.47
6	Trofense	30	13	6	11	45	44	45	-1	43.3	+1.73
7	Penafiel	30	10	11	9	41	35	34	+1	35.9	+5.15
8	Gil Vicente	30	9	11	10	38	36	32	+4	40.3	-2.29
9	Aves	30	9	11	10	38	33	33	0	37.8	+0.16
10	Fatima	30	8	14	8	38	31	31	0	36.3	+1.68
11	Estoril	30	7	14	9	35	26	29	-3	40.7	-5.72
12	Freamunde	30	9	8	13	35	43	50	-7	38.2	-3.21
13	Varzim	30	6	13	11	31	25	38	-13	35.3	-4.31
14	Sporting Covilha	30	7	9	14	30	35	49	-14	38.0	-8.05
15	Chaves	30	6	10	14	28	28	37	-9	42.1	-14.09
16	Carregado	30	6	6	18	24	26	47	-21	40.0	-15.95

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Santa Clara	1653	51	47.17	+3.83	67.0%	32	34	41	46	54	60	64
Beira-Mar	1631	54	42.26	+11.74	97.0%	27	32	37	42	47	52	58
Feirense	1631	52	43.37	+8.63	93.0%	26	32	39	43	48	54	58
Oliveirense	1617	49	43.53	+5.47	81.0%	21	32	40	44	49	53	62
Portimonense	1611	54	41.98	+12.02	96.0%	23	27	37	42	47	54	58
Trofense	1595	45	43.27	+1.73	58.0%	16	32	38	43	49	54	60
Gil Vicente	1578	38	40.29	-2.29	41.0%	23	29	36	40	45	52	56
Penafiel	1577	41	35.85	+5.15	77.0%	19	22	31	35	41	49	56
Estoril	1561	35	40.72	-5.72	22.0%	26	29	36	40	46	52	60
Aves	1550	38	37.84	+0.16	51.0%	24	28	34	37	42	47	51
Fatima	1548	38	36.32	+1.68	60.0%	21	26	31	36	41	46	56
Chaves	1523	28	42.09	-14.09	4.0%	21	30	38	43	46	53	61
Freamunde	1521	35	38.21	-3.21	38.0%	24	26	33	38	43	50	58
Carregado	1506	24	39.95	-15.95	0.0%	25	28	35	39	45	51	55
Sporting Covilha	1504	30	38.05	-8.05	12.0%	19	27	34	38	42	49	61
Varzim	1492	31	35.31	-4.31	29.0%	21	23	31	35	40	45	50

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AVE	BEI	CAR	CHA	EST	FAT	FEI	FRE	GV	OLI	PEN	POR	SC	SC	TRO	VAR
Aves	—	0-0-2 2.42	1-1-0 2.59	1-1-0 2.21	0-0-2 2.63	0-0-2 2.96	0-1-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.41	1-0-1 2.45	1-1-0 2.81	0-2-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.09	2-0-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.20	1-1-0 3.12
Beira-Mar	2-0-0 2.95	—	2-0-0 3.22	1-1-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 3.10	2-0-0 2.55	1-0-1 3.03	1-1-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 3.10	1-0-1 2.63	0-2-0 2.37	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.70	1-1-0 3.18
Carregado	0-1-1 2.85	0-0-2 2.21	—	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 2.52	1-1-0 2.99	0-0-2 2.31	1-0-1 2.76	2-0-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.51	0-1-1 3.28	0-0-2 2.66	0-0-2 2.63	0-1-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.64	1-1-0 3.02
Chaves	0-1-1 3.19	0-1-1 2.80	2-0-0 2.85	—	0-2-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.99	0-1-1 3.08	1-1-0 2.53	1-1-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.90	0-1-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.42	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 2.50	0-0-2 3.35
Estoril	2-0-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.88	0-2-0 2.52	—	0-1-1 2.97	0-1-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 3.01	0-0-2 2.80	0-2-0 2.41	1-0-1 2.89	0-2-0 2.58	0-2-0 3.13
Fatima	2-0-0 2.41	1-0-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.37	1-1-0 2.44	1-1-0 2.41	—	1-1-0 2.19	0-2-0 2.45	0-2-0 2.29	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.37	0-0-2 2.24	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.00	0-2-0 3.03
Feirense	1-1-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.80	2-0-0 3.05	2-0-0 2.39	1-1-0 2.93	0-1-1 3.21	—	1-1-0 3.13	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.66	0-2-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.62	1-1-0 3.27	2-0-0 2.40	1-0-1 3.22
Freamunde	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.58	1-1-0 2.29	0-1-1 2.58	0-2-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.27	—	1-1-0 2.39	0-0-2 2.44	1-0-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.48	0-0-2 1.98	2-0-0 2.64	0-0-2 2.38	1-1-0 2.93
Gil Vicente	0-1-1 2.95	0-1-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.77	0-2-0 3.12	1-1-0 2.43	0-1-1 2.99	—	1-1-0 2.44	1-1-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.74	0-2-0 2.13	2-0-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.33	0-0-2 3.19
Oliveirense	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.73	1-1-0 3.17	0-1-1 2.69	2-0-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.91	—	2-0-0 3.02	0-0-2 2.79	2-0-0 2.51	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.02
Penafiel	0-1-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.29	1-1-0 2.10	1-0-1 2.48	1-1-0 2.39	1-1-0 2.73	0-2-0 2.16	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.21	0-0-2 2.36	—	2-0-0 2.23	1-1-0 2.05	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.23	0-2-0 2.94
Portimonense	0-2-0 2.83	1-0-1 2.74	2-0-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.49	2-0-0 2.57	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.54	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.61	2-0-0 2.58	0-0-2 3.17	—	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.60	1-1-0 3.34
Santa Clara	1-1-0 3.31	0-2-0 3.01	2-0-0 2.84	2-0-0 2.93	0-2-0 2.95	2-0-0 3.15	0-1-1 2.73	2-0-0 3.46	0-2-0 3.26	0-0-2 2.85	0-1-1 3.40	1-1-0 2.85	—	0-2-0 3.47	1-0-1 2.96	2-0-0 3.31
Sporting Covilha	0-0-2 2.65	1-1-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.53	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.11	0-0-2 2.74	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.25	0-2-0 1.98	—	1-1-0 2.38	0-1-1 2.93
Trofense	0-1-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.65	2-0-0 2.71	1-1-0 2.87	0-2-0 2.78	1-0-1 3.40	0-0-2 2.95	2-0-0 3.00	0-0-2 3.04	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 3.19	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.39	0-1-1 3.01	—	2-0-0 3.19
Varzim	0-1-1 2.28	0-1-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.34	2-0-0 2.06	0-2-0 2.25	0-2-0 2.34	1-0-1 2.16	0-1-1 2.44	2-0-0 2.23	0-1-1 2.37	0-2-0 2.42	0-1-1 2.08	0-0-2 2.10	1-1-0 2.44	0-0-2 2.20	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.58%	9.79%	4.38%	3.75%	0.62%	—	28.12%
1	9.79%	17.08%	8.33%	3.54%	0.21%	—	38.96%
2	4.38%	8.33%	5.00%	2.71%	0.21%	0.42%	21.04%
3	3.75%	3.54%	2.71%	0.42%	—	—	10.42%
4	0.62%	0.21%	0.21%	—	—	—	1.04%
5+	—	—	0.42%	—	—	—	0.42%
Total	28.12%	38.96%	21.04%	10.42%	1.04%	0.42%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.37
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.019
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Aves — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.213
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
1	13.33%	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
2	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	43.33%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Beira-Mar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.193
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	20.00%	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	43.33%
1	6.67%	16.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
2	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
3	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	43.33%	26.67%	20.00%	—	—	100%

Carregado — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.026
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
1	—	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	50.00%	26.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Chaves — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	0.82
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.272
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	26.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	53.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	40.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	0.68
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.098
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
1	20.00%	26.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	56.67%
2	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	13.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	43.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Fatima — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.03
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.426
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	16.67%	30.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	3.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	60.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	100%

Feirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	0.61
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.151
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	20.00%
1	—	16.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	30.00%	36.67%	16.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Freamunde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.021
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	6.67%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	26.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Gil Vicente — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.102
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
3	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	43.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Oliveirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.102
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	30.00%	26.67%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Penafiel — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.116
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
1	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	40.00%
2	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	33.33%	10.00%	20.00%	—	—	100%

Portimonense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.134
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
1	6.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	26.67%
3	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	40.00%	20.00%	—	—	3.33%	100%

Santa Clara — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.277
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
2	3.33%	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	36.67%	23.33%	26.67%	—	—	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.63
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.076
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	23.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	30.00%	26.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Trofense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.135
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	—	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	26.67%	23.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	0.79
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.235
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Portimonense	54	42.0	+12.02
2	Beira-Mar	54	42.3	+11.74
3	Feirense	52	43.4	+8.63
4	Oliveirense	49	43.5	+5.47
5	Penafiel	41	35.9	+5.15

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Carregado	24	40.0	-15.95
2	Chaves	28	42.1	-14.09
3	Sporting Covilha	30	38.0	-8.05
4	Estoril	35	40.7	-5.72
5	Varzim	31	35.3	-4.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oliveirense	6	Jan 17 – Feb 20	1 in 303
2	Freamunde	4	Dec 20 – Jan 31	1 in 85
3	Trofense	4	Apr 11 – May 1	1 in 77
4	Beira-Mar	4	Dec 8 – Jan 10	1 in 56
5	Penafiel	2	Jan 31 – Feb 7	1 in 26

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chaves	4	Jan 17 – Feb 14	1 in 185
2	Carregado	4	Nov 1 – Nov 29	1 in 145
3	Trofense	3	Sep 19 – Oct 4	1 in 40
4	Freamunde	3	Apr 3 – Apr 18	1 in 23
5	Oliveirense	3	Sep 26 – Oct 24	1 in 21

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Santa Clara	13	Sep 20 – Jan 17	1 in 122
2	Feirense	12	Feb 14 – May 8	1 in 62
3	Estoril	9	Sep 26 – Dec 12	1 in 58
4	Fatima	8	Oct 24 – Jan 10	1 in 43
5	Beira-Mar	8	Nov 29 – Feb 6	1 in 29

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chaves	13	Jan 10 – Apr 18	1 in 328
2	Carregado	10	Oct 25 – Jan 17	1 in 146
3	Penafiel	9	Nov 1 – Jan 17	1 in 25
4	Varzim	9	Nov 1 – Jan 23	1 in 19
5	Sporting Covilha	8	Dec 6 – Feb 13	1 in 19

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Beira-Mar	5.00%	10.00%	14.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Portimonense	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%	6.00%	11.00%	7.00%	3.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Feirense	5.00%	16.00%	14.00%	5.00%	4.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Santa Clara	31.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Oliveirense	11.00%	10.00%	9.00%	16.00%	4.00%	6.00%	14.00%	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—	3.00%
Trofense	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	7.00%	7.00%	3.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	2.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Penafiel	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	2.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	19.00%
Gil Vicente	4.00%	4.00%	12.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	1.00%
Aves	—	—	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	6.00%	4.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	10.00%	5.00%
Fatima	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	15.00%	10.00%
Estoril	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Freamunde	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	7.00%	7.00%	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	9.00%
Varzim	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	3.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	20.00%
Sporting Covilha	—	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	10.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	10.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	11.00%
Chaves	8.00%	3.00%	5.00%	11.00%	10.00%	12.00%	6.00%	4.00%	11.00%	6.00%	6.00%	—	2.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Carregado	4.00%	8.00%	5.00%	1.00%	4.00%	11.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Santa Clara	40.0%	59.0%	1.0%
Oliveirense	21.0%	76.0%	3.0%
Feirense	21.0%	74.0%	5.0%
Trofense	19.0%	76.0%	5.0%
Beira-Mar	15.0%	81.0%	4.0%
Portimonense	20.0%	69.0%	11.0%
Chaves	11.0%	80.0%	9.0%
Carregado	12.0%	77.0%	11.0%
Estoril	10.0%	81.0%	9.0%
Gil Vicente	8.0%	80.0%	12.0%
Freamunde	6.0%	80.0%	14.0%
Sporting Covilha	6.0%	78.0%	16.0%
Aves	—	85.0%	15.0%
Fatima	4.0%	71.0%	25.0%
Penafiel	4.0%	68.0%	28.0%
Varzim	3.0%	65.0%	32.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2009-08-13	Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1552	1575	38.0%	32.6%	29.4%	-8.5	0
2009-08-13	@ Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1575	1552	29.4%	32.6%	38.0%	+8.5	3
2009-08-16	Feirense	L 0-1	1606	1555	48.7%	29.3%	22.0%	-10.1	0
2009-08-16	@ Chaves	W 1-0	1555	1606	22.0%	29.3%	48.7%	+10.1	3
2009-08-16	Portimonense	L 1-3	1578	1544	46.3%	30.3%	23.4%	-15.9	0
2009-08-16	@ Estoril	W 3-1	1544	1578	23.4%	30.3%	46.3%	+15.9	3
2009-08-16	Aves	D 0-0	1554	1542	43.1%	31.4%	25.4%	-0.8	1
2009-08-16	@ Freamunde	D 0-0	1542	1554	25.4%	31.4%	43.1%	+0.8	1
2009-08-16	Penafiel	W 3-1	1567	1540	45.3%	30.7%	24.0%	+9.8	3
2009-08-16	@ Gil Vicente	L 1-3	1540	1567	24.0%	30.7%	45.3%	-9.8	0
2009-08-16	Fatima	W 1-0	1577	1521	49.6%	28.9%	21.5%	+5.4	3
2009-08-16	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1521	1577	21.5%	28.9%	49.6%	-5.4	0
2009-08-16	Carregado	W 3-0	1629	1661	36.6%	32.8%	30.6%	+20.0	3
2009-08-16	@ Trofense	L 0-3	1661	1629	30.6%	32.8%	36.6%	-20.0	0
2009-08-16	Oliveirense	D 0-0	1532	1564	36.8%	32.7%	30.5%	-0.3	1
2009-08-16	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1564	1532	30.5%	32.7%	36.8%	+0.3	1
2009-08-23	Chaves	D 2-2	1543	1596	33.8%	32.9%	33.3%	-0.0	2
2009-08-23	@ Aves	D 2-2	1596	1543	33.3%	32.9%	33.8%	+0.0	1
2009-08-23	Gil Vicente	W 1-0	1641	1576	50.8%	28.3%	20.9%	+5.2	3
2009-08-23	@ Carregado	L 0-1	1576	1641	20.9%	28.3%	50.8%	-5.2	3
2009-08-23	Trofense	W 2-1	1516	1649	24.2%	30.8%	45.0%	+9.0	3
2009-08-23	@ Fatima	L 1-2	1649	1516	45.0%	30.8%	24.2%	-9.0	3
2009-08-23	Varzim	W 4-0	1565	1532	46.2%	30.3%	23.4%	+21.0	6
2009-08-23	@ Feirense	L 0-4	1532	1565	23.4%	30.3%	46.2%	-21.0	1
2009-08-23	Estoril	D 0-0	1564	1562	41.8%	31.8%	26.4%	-0.7	2
2009-08-23	@ Oliveirense	D 0-0	1562	1564	26.4%	31.8%	41.8%	+0.7	1
2009-08-23	Santa Clara	D 2-2	1530	1583	33.8%	32.9%	33.3%	-0.0	1
2009-08-23	@ Penafiel	D 2-2	1583	1530	33.3%	32.9%	33.8%	+0.0	4
2009-08-23	Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1560	1543	43.8%	31.2%	25.0%	+5.9	6
2009-08-23	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1543	1560	25.0%	31.2%	43.8%	-5.9	0
2009-08-23	Freamunde	L 2-3	1584	1553	45.8%	30.5%	23.7%	-8.6	3
2009-08-23	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1553	1584	23.7%	30.5%	45.8%	+8.6	4
2009-08-28	Varzim	D 1-1	1562	1511	48.9%	29.2%	21.9%	-1.2	2
2009-08-28	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1511	1562	21.9%	29.2%	48.9%	+1.2	2
2009-08-30	Feirense	W 1-0	1537	1586	34.3%	32.9%	32.8%	+7.7	3
2009-08-30	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1586	1537	32.8%	32.9%	34.3%	-7.7	6
2009-08-30	Portimonense	D 1-1	1596	1566	45.8%	30.5%	23.7%	-1.0	2
2009-08-30	@ Chaves	D 1-1	1566	1596	23.7%	30.5%	45.8%	+1.0	7
2009-08-30	Fatima	D 1-1	1562	1525	46.8%	30.1%	23.1%	-1.0	5
2009-08-30	@ Freamunde	D 1-1	1525	1562	23.1%	30.1%	46.8%	+1.0	4
2009-08-30	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1571	1575	40.9%	32.0%	27.1%	+18.3	6
2009-08-30	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-3	1575	1571	27.1%	32.0%	40.9%	-18.3	3
2009-08-30	Carregado	D 1-1	1530	1646	25.9%	31.6%	42.5%	+0.7	2
2009-08-30	@ Penafiel	D 1-1	1646	1530	42.5%	31.6%	25.9%	-0.7	4
2009-08-30	Oliveirense	L 1-2	1583	1564	44.2%	31.1%	24.7%	-8.9	4
2009-08-30	@ Santa Clara	W 2-1	1564	1583	24.7%	31.1%	44.2%	+8.9	5
2009-08-30	Aves	D 2-2	1640	1543	55.3%	25.8%	18.8%	-1.2	4
2009-08-30	@ Trofense	D 2-2	1543	1640	18.8%	25.8%	55.3%	+1.2	3
2009-09-06	Estoril	W 3-1	1557	1561	40.7%	32.1%	27.2%	+10.9	6
2009-09-06	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1561	1557	27.2%	32.1%	40.7%	-10.9	2
2009-09-19	Trofense	W 3-0	1579	1638	32.8%	32.9%	34.3%	+21.7	9
2009-09-19	@ Feirense	L 0-3	1638	1579	34.3%	32.9%	32.8%	-21.7	4
2009-09-19	Gil Vicente	L 0-3	1567	1589	38.1%	32.6%	29.3%	-23.3	7
2009-09-19	@ Portimonense	W 3-0	1589	1567	29.3%	32.6%	38.1%	+23.3	9
2009-09-19	Chaves	W 1-0	1512	1595	29.8%	32.6%	37.6%	+8.4	5
2009-09-19	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1595	1512	37.6%	32.6%	29.8%	-8.4	2
2009-09-20	Penafiel	W 3-2	1544	1531	43.4%	31.3%	25.3%	+5.6	6
2009-09-20	@ Aves	L 2-3	1531	1544	25.3%	31.3%	43.4%	-5.6	2
2009-09-20	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1646	1574	51.8%	27.8%	20.4%	-9.9	4
2009-09-20	@ Carregado	W 2-1	1574	1646	20.4%	27.8%	51.8%	+9.9	7
2009-09-20	Beira-Mar	L 1-2	1526	1545	38.6%	32.5%	28.9%	-8.1	4
2009-09-20	@ Fatima	W 2-1	1545	1526	28.9%	32.5%	38.6%	+8.1	6
2009-09-20	Freamunde	W 2-1	1573	1561	43.1%	31.4%	25.5%	+6.0	8
2009-09-20	@ Oliveirense	L 1-2	1561	1573	25.5%	31.4%	43.1%	-6.0	5
2009-09-24	Feirense	D 1-1	1584	1600	39.0%	32.4%	28.6%	-0.4	8
2009-09-24	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1600	1584	28.6%	32.4%	39.0%	+0.4	10
2009-09-26	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1553	1579	37.7%	32.6%	29.7%	+7.2	9
2009-09-26	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1579	1553	29.7%	32.6%	37.7%	-7.2	8
2009-09-26	Aves	D 0-0	1636	1550	53.8%	26.7%	19.5%	-1.7	5
2009-09-26	@ Carregado	D 0-0	1550	1636	19.5%	26.7%	53.8%	+1.7	7
2009-09-26	Estoril	D 1-1	1586	1550	46.6%	30.2%	23.2%	-1.0	3
2009-09-26	@ Chaves	D 1-1	1550	1586	23.2%	30.2%	46.6%	+1.0	3
2009-09-26	Varzim	W 2-1	1555	1521	46.4%	30.3%	23.3%	+5.5	8
2009-09-26	@ Freamunde	L 1-2	1521	1555	23.3%	30.3%	46.4%	-5.5	5
2009-09-26	Fatima	D 1-1	1613	1518	55.2%	25.9%	18.9%	-1.6	10
2009-09-26	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1518	1613	18.9%	25.9%	55.2%	+1.6	5
2009-09-26	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1525	1568	35.3%	32.9%	31.9%	+7.5	5
2009-09-26	@ Penafiel	L 0-1	1568	1525	31.9%	32.9%	35.3%	-7.5	6
2009-09-26	Portimonense	L 0-3	1617	1543	52.0%	27.7%	20.3%	-28.9	4
2009-09-26	@ Trofense	W 3-0	1543	1617	20.3%	27.7%	52.0%	+28.9	10
2009-10-03	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1551	1560	40.1%	32.2%	27.7%	+12.8	6
2009-10-03	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1560	1551	27.7%	32.2%	40.1%	-12.8	9
2009-10-04	Carregado	L 1-2	1519	1634	26.0%	31.6%	42.4%	-6.1	5
2009-10-04	@ Fatima	W 2-1	1634	1519	42.4%	31.6%	26.0%	+6.1	8
2009-10-04	Penafiel	D 1-1	1601	1533	51.3%	28.1%	20.7%	-1.4	11
2009-10-04	@ Feirense	D 1-1	1533	1601	20.7%	28.1%	51.3%	+1.4	6
2009-10-04	Chaves	L 1-3	1571	1585	39.4%	32.4%	28.2%	-14.2	8
2009-10-04	@ Oliveirense	W 3-1	1585	1571	28.2%	32.4%	39.4%	+14.2	6
2009-10-04	Freamunde	W 1-0	1572	1561	43.1%	31.4%	25.5%	+6.3	13
2009-10-04	@ Portimonense	L 0-1	1561	1572	25.5%	31.4%	43.1%	-6.3	8
2009-10-04	Trofense	W 2-1	1560	1588	37.4%	32.7%	29.9%	+6.8	9
2009-10-04	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1588	1560	29.9%	32.7%	37.4%	-6.8	4
2009-10-04	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1515	1583	31.6%	32.9%	35.5%	-7.1	5
2009-10-04	@ Varzim	W 2-1	1583	1515	35.5%	32.9%	31.6%	+7.1	11
2009-10-05	Gil Vicente	D 2-2	1552	1611	32.8%	32.9%	34.3%	+0.0	8
2009-10-05	@ Aves	D 2-2	1611	1552	34.3%	32.9%	32.8%	-0.0	11
2009-10-24	Fatima	L 0-1	1552	1513	47.0%	30.0%	22.9%	-9.8	8
2009-10-24	@ Aves	W 1-0	1513	1552	22.9%	30.0%	47.0%	+9.8	8
2009-10-24	Chaves	W 2-1	1547	1599	33.9%	32.9%	33.2%	+7.3	12
2009-10-24	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-2	1599	1547	33.2%	32.9%	33.9%	-7.3	6
2009-10-24	Varzim	L 1-2	1611	1508	56.3%	25.3%	18.4%	-10.5	11
2009-10-24	@ Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1508	1611	18.4%	25.3%	56.3%	+10.5	8
2009-10-24	Portimonense	W 1-0	1534	1578	35.0%	32.9%	32.1%	+7.6	9
2009-10-24	@ Penafiel	L 0-1	1578	1534	32.1%	32.9%	35.0%	-7.6	13
2009-10-24	Estoril	D 1-1	1590	1564	45.2%	30.7%	24.1%	-0.9	12
2009-10-24	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1564	1590	24.1%	30.7%	45.2%	+0.9	7
2009-10-24	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1581	1557	44.9%	30.8%	24.3%	+6.1	7
2009-10-24	@ Trofense	L 0-1	1557	1581	24.3%	30.8%	44.9%	-6.1	8
2009-10-25	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1640	1567	52.0%	27.7%	20.3%	-1.4	9
2009-10-25	@ Carregado	D 1-1	1567	1640	20.3%	27.7%	52.0%	+1.4	10
2009-10-25	Feirense	L 1-2	1554	1599	34.8%	32.9%	32.3%	-7.5	8
2009-10-25	@ Freamunde	W 2-1	1599	1554	32.3%	32.9%	34.8%	+7.5	14
2009-10-31	Santa Clara	D 0-0	1571	1590	38.7%	32.5%	28.8%	-0.5	14
2009-10-31	@ Portimonense	D 0-0	1590	1571	28.8%	32.5%	38.7%	+0.5	13
2009-11-01	Freamunde	D 1-1	1592	1547	48.0%	29.6%	22.4%	-1.1	7
2009-11-01	@ Chaves	D 1-1	1547	1592	22.4%	29.6%	48.0%	+1.1	9
2009-11-01	Trofense	D 1-1	1565	1587	38.2%	32.6%	29.2%	-0.4	8
2009-11-01	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1587	1565	29.2%	32.6%	38.2%	+0.4	8
2009-11-01	Penafiel	D 2-2	1523	1542	38.7%	32.5%	28.8%	-0.3	9
2009-11-01	@ Fatima	D 2-2	1542	1523	28.8%	32.5%	38.7%	+0.3	10
2009-11-01	Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1607	1601	42.4%	31.6%	26.0%	-9.2	14
2009-11-01	@ Feirense	W 1-0	1601	1607	26.0%	31.6%	42.4%	+9.2	14
2009-11-01	Carregado	W 3-0	1551	1639	29.1%	32.5%	38.4%	+23.4	11
2009-11-01	@ Oliveirense	L 0-3	1639	1551	38.4%	32.5%	29.1%	-23.4	9
2009-11-01	Aves	L 1-2	1568	1542	45.2%	30.7%	24.1%	-9.0	10
2009-11-01	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1542	1568	24.1%	30.7%	45.2%	+9.0	11
2009-11-01	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1519	1555	36.2%	32.8%	31.0%	-0.2	9
2009-11-01	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1555	1519	31.0%	32.8%	36.2%	+0.2	13
2009-11-07	Portimonense	L 1-3	1615	1570	47.9%	29.6%	22.4%	-16.3	9
2009-11-07	@ Carregado	W 3-1	1570	1615	22.4%	29.6%	47.9%	+16.3	17
2009-11-08	Feirense	D 1-1	1551	1598	34.6%	32.9%	32.5%	-0.1	12
2009-11-08	@ Aves	D 1-1	1598	1551	32.5%	32.9%	34.6%	+0.1	15
2009-11-08	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1523	1559	36.1%	32.8%	31.1%	+20.3	12
2009-11-08	@ Fatima	L 0-3	1559	1523	31.1%	32.8%	36.1%	-20.3	10
2009-11-08	Beira-Mar	L 1-2	1548	1555	40.4%	32.1%	27.5%	-8.3	9
2009-11-08	@ Freamunde	W 2-1	1555	1548	27.5%	32.1%	40.4%	+8.3	16
2009-11-08	Estoril	L 0-2	1610	1565	47.9%	29.6%	22.4%	-18.8	14
2009-11-08	@ Gil Vicente	W 2-0	1565	1610	22.4%	29.6%	47.9%	+18.8	11
2009-11-08	Oliveirense	L 0-2	1542	1575	36.7%	32.8%	30.6%	-15.6	10
2009-11-08	@ Penafiel	W 2-0	1575	1542	30.6%	32.8%	36.7%	+15.6	14
2009-11-08	Chaves	W 3-0	1590	1591	41.3%	31.9%	26.8%	+18.1	16
2009-11-08	@ Santa Clara	L 0-3	1591	1590	26.8%	31.9%	41.3%	-18.1	7
2009-11-08	Varzim	W 2-1	1587	1518	51.4%	28.0%	20.6%	+4.8	11
2009-11-08	@ Trofense	L 1-2	1518	1587	20.6%	28.0%	51.4%	-4.9	9
2009-11-14	Freamunde	D 0-0	1584	1539	47.8%	29.7%	22.5%	-1.2	12
2009-11-14	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1539	1584	22.5%	29.7%	47.8%	+1.2	10
2009-11-15	Trofense	L 1-2	1563	1592	37.2%	32.7%	30.1%	-7.9	16
2009-11-15	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1592	1563	30.1%	32.7%	37.2%	+7.9	14
2009-11-15	Penafiel	W 2-0	1573	1526	48.1%	29.5%	22.3%	+10.6	10
2009-11-15	@ Chaves	L 0-2	1526	1573	22.3%	29.5%	48.1%	-10.6	10
2009-11-15	Carregado	W 1-0	1598	1599	41.2%	31.9%	26.8%	+6.6	18
2009-11-15	@ Feirense	L 0-1	1599	1598	26.8%	31.9%	41.2%	-6.6	9
2009-11-15	Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1590	1591	41.3%	31.9%	26.8%	-0.6	15
2009-11-15	@ Oliveirense	D 1-1	1591	1590	26.8%	31.9%	41.3%	+0.6	15
2009-11-15	Aves	D 0-0	1514	1551	36.0%	32.8%	31.2%	-0.2	10
2009-11-15	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1551	1514	31.2%	32.8%	36.0%	+0.2	13
2009-11-16	Fatima	D 3-3	1587	1543	47.8%	29.7%	22.5%	-0.7	18
2009-11-16	@ Portimonense	D 3-3	1543	1587	22.5%	29.7%	47.8%	+0.7	13
2009-11-17	Santa Clara	D 2-2	1539	1608	31.5%	32.8%	35.7%	+0.1	11
2009-11-17	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1608	1539	35.7%	32.8%	31.5%	-0.1	17
2009-11-29	Oliveirense	W 2-1	1551	1590	35.8%	32.8%	31.3%	+7.0	16
2009-11-29	@ Aves	L 1-2	1590	1551	31.3%	32.8%	35.8%	-7.0	15
2009-11-29	Estoril	L 1-2	1592	1582	42.9%	31.5%	25.6%	-8.7	9
2009-11-29	@ Carregado	W 2-1	1582	1592	25.6%	31.5%	42.9%	+8.7	15
2009-11-29	Chaves	L 0-3	1592	1583	42.6%	31.6%	25.8%	-25.2	15
2009-11-29	@ Gil Vicente	W 3-0	1583	1592	25.8%	31.6%	42.6%	+25.2	13
2009-11-29	Varzim	D 0-0	1516	1513	41.8%	31.8%	26.4%	-0.7	11
2009-11-29	@ Penafiel	D 0-0	1513	1516	26.4%	31.8%	41.8%	+0.7	11
2009-11-29	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1608	1555	49.0%	29.1%	21.8%	-1.2	18
2009-11-29	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1555	1608	21.8%	29.1%	49.0%	+1.2	17
2009-11-29	Portimonense	W 3-1	1539	1586	34.6%	32.9%	32.5%	+12.5	14
2009-11-29	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1586	1539	32.5%	32.9%	34.6%	-12.5	18
2009-11-29	Freamunde	W 4-0	1600	1541	50.0%	28.7%	21.3%	+19.1	17
2009-11-29	@ Trofense	L 0-4	1541	1600	21.3%	28.7%	50.0%	-19.1	10
2009-12-01	Feirense	W 1-0	1544	1605	32.6%	32.9%	34.5%	+7.9	16
2009-12-01	@ Fatima	L 0-1	1605	1544	34.5%	32.9%	32.6%	-8.0	18
2009-12-05	Penafiel	D 0-0	1591	1515	52.4%	27.5%	20.1%	-1.6	16
2009-12-05	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1515	1591	20.1%	27.5%	52.4%	+1.6	12
2009-12-06	Trofense	D 1-1	1609	1619	39.9%	32.3%	27.9%	-0.5	14
2009-12-06	@ Chaves	D 1-1	1619	1609	27.9%	32.3%	39.9%	+0.5	18
2009-12-06	Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1597	1552	47.9%	29.6%	22.4%	+5.0	21
2009-12-06	@ Feirense	L 2-3	1552	1597	22.4%	29.6%	47.9%	-5.0	14
2009-12-06	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1522	1607	29.4%	32.6%	38.0%	-6.7	10
2009-12-06	@ Freamunde	W 2-1	1607	1522	38.0%	32.6%	29.4%	+6.7	21
2009-12-06	Aves	D 1-1	1574	1558	43.6%	31.3%	25.1%	-0.8	19
2009-12-06	@ Portimonense	D 1-1	1558	1574	25.1%	31.3%	43.6%	+0.8	17
2009-12-06	Carregado	D 1-1	1514	1584	31.4%	32.8%	35.8%	+0.2	12
2009-12-06	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1584	1514	35.8%	32.8%	31.4%	-0.2	10
2009-12-08	Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1557	1566	40.0%	32.2%	27.8%	+6.4	20
2009-12-08	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-2	1566	1557	27.8%	32.2%	40.0%	-6.4	15
2009-12-10	Feirense	W 1-0	1573	1602	37.2%	32.7%	30.1%	+7.2	22
2009-12-10	@ Portimonense	L 0-1	1602	1573	30.1%	32.7%	37.2%	-7.2	21
2009-12-12	Estoril	L 0-1	1559	1589	37.0%	32.7%	30.3%	-8.3	17
2009-12-12	@ Aves	W 1-0	1589	1559	30.3%	32.7%	37.0%	+8.3	19
2009-12-13	Chaves	L 1-2	1584	1608	37.8%	32.6%	29.5%	-8.0	10
2009-12-13	@ Carregado	W 2-1	1608	1584	29.5%	32.6%	37.8%	+8.0	17
2009-12-13	Varzim	D 0-0	1552	1514	46.8%	30.1%	23.1%	-1.2	17
2009-12-13	@ Fatima	D 0-0	1514	1552	23.1%	30.1%	46.8%	+1.2	13
2009-12-13	Freamunde	D 1-1	1560	1515	47.9%	29.6%	22.4%	-1.1	16
2009-12-13	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1515	1560	22.4%	29.6%	47.9%	+1.1	11
2009-12-13	Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1517	1563	34.7%	32.9%	32.4%	-15.0	12
2009-12-13	@ Penafiel	W 2-0	1563	1517	32.4%	32.9%	34.7%	+15.0	23
2009-12-13	Trofense	W 3-1	1613	1620	40.5%	32.1%	27.4%	+11.0	24
2009-12-13	@ Santa Clara	L 1-3	1620	1613	27.4%	32.1%	40.5%	-11.0	18
2009-12-13	Oliveirense	D 1-1	1547	1583	36.2%	32.8%	31.0%	-0.2	15
2009-12-13	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1583	1547	31.0%	32.8%	36.2%	+0.2	16
2009-12-19	Fatima	L 0-1	1598	1550	48.3%	29.5%	22.2%	-10.0	19
2009-12-19	@ Estoril	W 1-0	1550	1598	22.2%	29.5%	48.3%	+10.0	20
2009-12-19	Portimonense	D 0-0	1515	1580	32.1%	32.9%	35.0%	+0.1	14
2009-12-19	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1580	1515	35.0%	32.9%	32.1%	-0.1	23
2009-12-20	Aves	W 3-2	1578	1551	45.4%	30.6%	23.9%	+5.4	26
2009-12-20	@ Beira-Mar	L 2-3	1551	1578	23.9%	30.6%	45.4%	-5.4	17
2009-12-20	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1616	1546	51.5%	27.9%	20.5%	+8.4	20
2009-12-20	@ Chaves	L 1-3	1546	1616	20.5%	27.9%	51.5%	-8.4	15
2009-12-20	Carregado	W 3-0	1516	1576	32.8%	32.9%	34.3%	+21.7	14
2009-12-20	@ Freamunde	L 0-3	1576	1516	34.3%	32.9%	32.8%	-21.7	10
2009-12-20	Feirense	D 0-0	1583	1594	39.7%	32.3%	28.0%	-0.5	17
2009-12-20	@ Oliveirense	D 0-0	1594	1583	28.0%	32.3%	39.7%	+0.5	22
2009-12-20	Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1624	1559	50.9%	28.2%	20.8%	-1.5	25
2009-12-20	@ Santa Clara	D 0-0	1559	1624	20.8%	28.2%	50.9%	+1.5	17
2009-12-20	Penafiel	D 0-0	1609	1502	56.9%	24.9%	18.2%	-2.0	19
2009-12-20	@ Trofense	D 0-0	1502	1609	18.2%	24.9%	56.9%	+2.0	13
2010-01-07	Santa Clara	D 0-0	1545	1623	30.3%	32.7%	36.9%	+0.3	18
2010-01-07	@ Aves	D 0-0	1623	1545	36.9%	32.7%	30.3%	-0.3	26
2010-01-09	Trofense	W 4-0	1560	1607	34.7%	32.9%	32.5%	+27.3	20
2010-01-09	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-4	1607	1560	32.5%	32.9%	34.7%	-27.3	19
2010-01-10	Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1554	1583	37.1%	32.7%	30.2%	-15.8	10
2010-01-10	@ Carregado	W 2-0	1583	1554	30.2%	32.7%	37.1%	+15.8	29
2010-01-10	Chaves	D 0-0	1560	1624	32.2%	32.9%	34.9%	+0.1	21
2010-01-10	@ Fatima	D 0-0	1624	1560	34.9%	32.9%	32.2%	-0.1	21
2010-01-10	Estoril	D 1-1	1595	1588	42.5%	31.6%	25.9%	-0.7	23
2010-01-10	@ Feirense	D 1-1	1588	1595	25.9%	31.6%	42.5%	+0.7	20
2010-01-10	Freamunde	L 2-3	1504	1538	36.5%	32.8%	30.8%	-7.4	13
2010-01-10	@ Penafiel	W 3-2	1538	1504	30.8%	32.8%	36.5%	+7.4	17
2010-01-10	Oliveirense	W 3-1	1580	1582	41.1%	32.0%	27.0%	+10.9	26
2010-01-10	@ Portimonense	L 1-3	1582	1580	27.0%	32.0%	41.1%	-10.9	17
2010-01-15	Beira-Mar	D 2-2	1538	1599	32.5%	32.9%	34.6%	+0.1	16
2010-01-15	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1599	1538	34.6%	32.9%	32.5%	-0.1	30
2010-01-16	Freamunde	L 1-2	1546	1545	41.5%	31.9%	26.6%	-8.5	18
2010-01-16	@ Aves	W 2-1	1545	1546	26.6%	31.9%	41.5%	+8.5	20
2010-01-17	Trofense	L 2-3	1538	1580	35.4%	32.9%	31.7%	-7.2	10
2010-01-17	@ Carregado	W 3-2	1580	1538	31.7%	32.9%	35.4%	+7.2	22
2010-01-17	Santa Clara	L 2-5	1561	1623	32.4%	32.9%	34.7%	-15.2	21
2010-01-17	@ Fatima	W 5-2	1623	1561	34.7%	32.9%	32.4%	+15.2	29
2010-01-17	Chaves	W 1-0	1594	1624	37.0%	32.7%	30.2%	+7.3	26
2010-01-17	@ Feirense	L 0-1	1624	1594	30.2%	32.7%	37.0%	-7.3	21
2010-01-17	Varzim	W 3-0	1571	1516	49.5%	28.9%	21.6%	+14.8	20
2010-01-17	@ Oliveirense	L 0-3	1516	1571	21.6%	28.9%	49.5%	-14.8	14
2010-01-17	Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1496	1588	28.6%	32.4%	38.9%	+0.5	14
2010-01-17	@ Penafiel	D 0-0	1588	1496	38.9%	32.4%	28.6%	-0.5	21
2010-01-17	Estoril	W 2-1	1591	1588	41.7%	31.8%	26.4%	+6.2	29
2010-01-17	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1588	1591	26.4%	31.8%	41.7%	-6.2	20
2010-01-23	Varzim	D 0-0	1538	1501	46.8%	30.1%	23.1%	-1.2	17
2010-01-23	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1501	1538	23.1%	30.1%	46.8%	+1.2	15
2010-01-24	Fatima	W 1-0	1586	1545	47.3%	29.9%	22.8%	+5.7	23
2010-01-24	@ Oliveirense	L 0-1	1545	1586	22.8%	29.9%	47.3%	-5.7	21
2010-01-28	Portimonense	W 2-0	1599	1597	41.7%	31.8%	26.5%	+12.3	33
2010-01-28	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1597	1599	26.5%	31.8%	41.7%	-12.3	29
2010-01-30	Oliveirense	L 0-1	1582	1592	40.0%	32.2%	27.8%	-8.8	20
2010-01-30	@ Estoril	W 1-0	1592	1582	27.8%	32.2%	40.0%	+8.8	26
2010-01-31	Aves	L 0-1	1617	1537	53.0%	27.2%	19.9%	-10.7	21
2010-01-31	@ Chaves	W 1-0	1537	1617	19.9%	27.2%	53.0%	+10.7	21
2010-01-31	Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1554	1537	43.9%	31.2%	25.0%	+5.6	23
2010-01-31	@ Freamunde	L 2-3	1537	1554	25.0%	31.2%	43.9%	-5.6	17
2010-01-31	Carregado	L 0-1	1587	1531	49.6%	28.9%	21.5%	-10.2	21
2010-01-31	@ Gil Vicente	W 1-0	1531	1587	21.5%	28.9%	49.6%	+10.2	13
2010-01-31	Penafiel	L 0-1	1638	1497	61.7%	21.9%	16.4%	-11.8	29
2010-01-31	@ Santa Clara	W 1-0	1497	1638	16.4%	21.9%	61.7%	+11.8	17
2010-01-31	Fatima	W 1-0	1587	1540	48.2%	29.5%	22.2%	+5.6	25
2010-01-31	@ Trofense	L 0-1	1540	1587	22.2%	29.5%	48.2%	-5.6	21
2010-01-31	Feirense	W 2-1	1502	1602	27.7%	32.2%	40.1%	+8.3	18
2010-01-31	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1602	1502	40.1%	32.2%	27.7%	-8.3	26
2010-02-06	Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1593	1611	38.8%	32.5%	28.8%	-16.2	26
2010-02-06	@ Feirense	W 2-0	1611	1593	28.8%	32.5%	38.8%	+16.2	36
2010-02-06	Estoril	D 0-0	1510	1573	32.3%	32.9%	34.8%	+0.1	19
2010-02-06	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1573	1510	34.8%	32.9%	32.3%	-0.1	21
2010-02-07	Trofense	W 1-0	1548	1592	34.9%	32.9%	32.2%	+7.6	24
2010-02-07	@ Aves	L 0-1	1592	1548	32.2%	32.9%	34.9%	-7.6	25
2010-02-07	Penafiel	L 0-3	1541	1509	46.1%	30.4%	23.5%	-26.6	13
2010-02-07	@ Carregado	W 3-0	1509	1541	23.5%	30.4%	46.1%	+26.6	20
2010-02-07	Freamunde	D 1-1	1534	1559	37.8%	32.6%	29.6%	-0.3	22
2010-02-07	@ Fatima	D 1-1	1559	1534	29.6%	32.6%	37.8%	+0.3	24
2010-02-07	Santa Clara	W 1-0	1601	1626	37.7%	32.6%	29.7%	+7.2	29
2010-02-07	@ Oliveirense	L 0-1	1626	1601	29.7%	32.6%	37.7%	-7.2	29
2010-02-07	Chaves	W 2-1	1585	1606	38.2%	32.6%	29.2%	+6.7	32
2010-02-07	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1606	1585	29.2%	32.6%	38.2%	-6.7	21
2010-02-07	Gil Vicente	L 1-2	1531	1577	34.8%	32.9%	32.3%	-7.5	17
2010-02-07	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1577	1531	32.3%	32.9%	34.8%	+7.5	24
2010-02-11	Oliveirense	L 1-2	1560	1608	34.4%	32.9%	32.7%	-7.5	24
2010-02-11	@ Freamunde	W 2-1	1608	1560	32.7%	32.9%	34.4%	+7.5	32
2010-02-13	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1573	1524	48.6%	29.3%	22.1%	+5.5	24
2010-02-13	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1524	1573	22.1%	29.3%	48.6%	-5.5	17
2010-02-14	Fatima	L 0-1	1628	1534	55.0%	26.0%	19.0%	-10.9	36
2010-02-14	@ Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1534	1628	19.0%	26.0%	55.0%	+10.9	25
2010-02-14	Varzim	L 0-1	1600	1510	54.3%	26.4%	19.2%	-10.9	21
2010-02-14	@ Chaves	W 1-0	1510	1600	19.2%	26.4%	54.3%	+10.9	22
2010-02-14	Portimonense	L 0-2	1584	1591	40.4%	32.1%	27.4%	-16.7	24
2010-02-14	@ Gil Vicente	W 2-0	1591	1584	27.4%	32.1%	40.4%	+16.7	35
2010-02-14	Aves	D 1-1	1535	1555	38.5%	32.5%	29.0%	-0.4	21
2010-02-14	@ Penafiel	D 1-1	1555	1535	29.0%	32.5%	38.5%	+0.4	25
2010-02-14	Carregado	W 1-0	1619	1515	56.5%	25.1%	18.4%	+4.5	32
2010-02-14	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1515	1619	18.4%	25.1%	56.5%	-4.5	13
2010-02-14	Feirense	L 0-2	1585	1577	42.5%	31.6%	25.9%	-17.3	25
2010-02-14	@ Trofense	W 2-0	1577	1585	25.9%	31.6%	42.5%	+17.3	29
2010-02-20	Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1615	1617	41.2%	31.9%	26.9%	+6.2	35
2010-02-20	@ Oliveirense	L 1-2	1617	1615	26.9%	31.9%	41.2%	-6.2	36
2010-02-21	Carregado	W 2-1	1556	1510	48.0%	29.6%	22.4%	+5.3	28
2010-02-21	@ Aves	L 1-2	1510	1556	22.4%	29.6%	48.0%	-5.3	13
2010-02-21	Chaves	D 2-2	1579	1589	40.0%	32.2%	27.8%	-0.4	25
2010-02-21	@ Estoril	D 2-2	1589	1579	27.8%	32.2%	40.0%	+0.4	22
2010-02-21	Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1545	1568	38.0%	32.6%	29.4%	-0.4	26
2010-02-21	@ Fatima	D 0-0	1568	1545	29.4%	32.6%	38.0%	+0.4	25
2010-02-21	Santa Clara	W 2-1	1594	1623	37.2%	32.7%	30.1%	+6.8	32
2010-02-21	@ Feirense	L 1-2	1623	1594	30.1%	32.7%	37.2%	-6.8	32
2010-02-21	Trofense	L 1-3	1608	1567	47.3%	29.9%	22.8%	-16.1	35
2010-02-21	@ Portimonense	W 3-1	1567	1608	22.8%	29.9%	47.3%	+16.1	28
2010-02-21	Penafiel	W 2-1	1518	1535	39.0%	32.4%	28.6%	+6.6	20
2010-02-21	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1535	1518	28.6%	32.4%	39.0%	-6.6	21
2010-02-21	Freamunde	D 2-2	1521	1552	36.9%	32.7%	30.3%	-0.2	23
2010-02-21	@ Varzim	D 2-2	1552	1521	30.3%	32.7%	36.9%	+0.2	25
2010-02-27	Oliveirense	D 0-0	1589	1622	36.7%	32.8%	30.5%	-0.3	23
2010-02-27	@ Chaves	D 0-0	1622	1589	30.5%	32.8%	36.7%	+0.3	36
2010-02-27	Aves	L 0-2	1568	1561	42.4%	31.6%	25.9%	-17.3	25
2010-02-27	@ Gil Vicente	W 2-0	1561	1568	25.9%	31.6%	42.4%	+17.3	31
2010-02-28	Fatima	D 1-1	1505	1544	35.7%	32.8%	31.5%	-0.2	14
2010-02-28	@ Carregado	D 1-1	1544	1505	31.5%	32.8%	35.7%	+0.2	27
2010-02-28	Portimonense	L 0-3	1552	1592	35.7%	32.8%	31.5%	-22.3	25
2010-02-28	@ Freamunde	W 3-0	1592	1552	31.5%	32.8%	35.7%	+22.3	38
2010-02-28	Feirense	D 1-1	1528	1601	31.0%	32.8%	36.2%	+0.2	22
2010-02-28	@ Penafiel	D 1-1	1601	1528	36.2%	32.8%	31.0%	-0.2	33
2010-02-28	Varzim	W 2-1	1617	1521	55.2%	25.9%	18.9%	+4.4	35
2010-02-28	@ Santa Clara	L 1-2	1521	1617	18.9%	25.9%	55.2%	-4.4	23
2010-02-28	Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1584	1525	49.9%	28.7%	21.3%	-0.9	29
2010-02-28	@ Trofense	D 2-2	1525	1584	21.3%	28.7%	49.9%	+1.0	21
2010-03-04	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1589	1611	38.3%	32.5%	29.2%	-0.4	24
2010-03-04	@ Chaves	D 1-1	1611	1589	29.2%	32.5%	38.3%	+0.4	37
2010-03-07	Santa Clara	D 0-0	1578	1621	35.2%	32.9%	31.9%	-0.2	26
2010-03-07	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1621	1578	31.9%	32.9%	35.2%	+0.2	36
2010-03-07	Aves	W 1-0	1544	1578	36.5%	32.8%	30.8%	+7.3	30
2010-03-07	@ Fatima	L 0-1	1578	1544	30.8%	32.8%	36.5%	-7.3	31
2010-03-07	Freamunde	D 1-1	1601	1530	51.7%	27.8%	20.5%	-1.4	34
2010-03-07	@ Feirense	D 1-1	1530	1601	20.5%	27.8%	51.7%	+1.4	26
2010-03-07	Trofense	W 3-1	1622	1583	47.1%	30.0%	22.9%	+9.4	39
2010-03-07	@ Oliveirense	L 1-3	1583	1622	22.9%	30.0%	47.1%	-9.4	29
2010-03-07	Penafiel	L 1-3	1614	1528	53.8%	26.7%	19.5%	-17.6	38
2010-03-07	@ Portimonense	W 3-1	1528	1614	19.5%	26.7%	53.8%	+17.6	25
2010-03-07	Carregado	W 1-0	1526	1505	44.5%	31.0%	24.5%	+6.1	24
2010-03-07	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1505	1526	24.5%	31.0%	44.5%	-6.1	14
2010-03-07	Gil Vicente	W 2-1	1517	1551	36.4%	32.8%	30.8%	+6.9	26
2010-03-07	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1551	1517	30.8%	32.8%	36.4%	-6.9	25
2010-03-10	Estoril	W 3-1	1611	1578	46.1%	30.4%	23.5%	+9.6	40
2010-03-10	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-3	1578	1611	23.5%	30.4%	46.1%	-9.6	26
2010-03-13	Portimonense	W 3-0	1621	1596	45.0%	30.8%	24.2%	+16.6	39
2010-03-13	@ Santa Clara	L 0-3	1596	1621	24.2%	30.8%	45.0%	-16.6	38
2010-03-14	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1571	1532	47.1%	30.0%	22.9%	+15.8	34
2010-03-14	@ Aves	L 0-3	1532	1571	22.9%	30.0%	47.1%	-15.8	24
2010-03-14	Varzim	W 3-0	1621	1524	55.4%	25.8%	18.8%	+12.6	43
2010-03-14	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-3	1524	1621	18.8%	25.8%	55.4%	-12.6	26
2010-03-14	Oliveirense	W 4-1	1498	1631	24.2%	30.8%	45.0%	+22.0	17
2010-03-14	@ Carregado	L 1-4	1631	1498	45.0%	30.8%	24.2%	-22.0	39
2010-03-14	Chaves	W 2-0	1531	1589	33.1%	32.9%	34.0%	+14.8	29
2010-03-14	@ Freamunde	L 0-2	1589	1531	34.0%	32.9%	33.1%	-14.8	24
2010-03-14	Feirense	D 1-1	1544	1600	33.4%	32.9%	33.7%	+0.0	26
2010-03-14	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1600	1544	33.7%	32.9%	33.4%	-0.0	35
2010-03-14	Fatima	W 2-1	1546	1552	40.6%	32.1%	27.3%	+6.3	28
2010-03-14	@ Penafiel	L 1-2	1552	1546	27.3%	32.1%	40.6%	-6.3	30
2010-03-14	Estoril	D 1-1	1573	1569	42.1%	31.7%	26.2%	-0.7	30
2010-03-14	@ Trofense	D 1-1	1569	1573	26.2%	31.7%	42.1%	+0.7	27
2010-03-27	Gil Vicente	L 0-2	1569	1544	45.1%	30.8%	24.1%	-18.0	27
2010-03-27	@ Estoril	W 2-0	1544	1569	24.1%	30.8%	45.1%	+18.0	29
2010-03-28	Freamunde	L 1-3	1633	1546	54.0%	26.6%	19.4%	-17.6	43
2010-03-28	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-1	1546	1633	19.4%	26.6%	54.0%	+17.6	32
2010-03-28	Santa Clara	L 0-3	1574	1638	32.2%	32.9%	34.9%	-20.8	24
2010-03-28	@ Chaves	W 3-0	1638	1574	34.9%	32.9%	32.2%	+20.8	42
2010-03-28	Aves	W 1-0	1599	1587	43.3%	31.4%	25.4%	+6.3	38
2010-03-28	@ Feirense	L 0-1	1587	1599	25.4%	31.4%	43.3%	-6.3	34
2010-03-28	Penafiel	W 2-0	1609	1552	49.7%	28.8%	21.5%	+10.2	42
2010-03-28	@ Oliveirense	L 0-2	1552	1609	21.5%	28.8%	49.7%	-10.2	28
2010-03-28	Carregado	W 1-0	1580	1520	50.0%	28.7%	21.3%	+5.3	41
2010-03-28	@ Portimonense	L 0-1	1520	1580	21.3%	28.7%	50.0%	-5.3	17
2010-03-28	Fatima	D 2-2	1516	1545	37.1%	32.7%	30.2%	-0.2	25
2010-03-28	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1545	1516	30.2%	32.7%	37.1%	+0.2	31
2010-03-28	Trofense	L 0-1	1511	1573	32.5%	32.9%	34.6%	-7.6	26
2010-03-28	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1573	1511	34.6%	32.9%	32.5%	+7.6	33
2010-04-02	Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1580	1616	36.3%	32.8%	30.9%	-8.2	33
2010-04-02	@ Trofense	W 1-0	1616	1580	30.9%	32.8%	36.3%	+8.2	46
2010-04-03	Varzim	W 2-0	1580	1503	52.6%	27.4%	20.1%	+9.4	37
2010-04-03	@ Aves	L 0-2	1503	1580	20.1%	27.4%	52.6%	-9.4	26
2010-04-03	Feirense	L 0-1	1515	1606	28.7%	32.5%	38.8%	-7.0	17
2010-04-03	@ Carregado	W 1-0	1606	1515	38.8%	32.5%	28.7%	+7.0	41
2010-04-03	Portimonense	L 0-1	1546	1585	35.7%	32.8%	31.5%	-8.1	31
2010-04-03	@ Fatima	W 1-0	1585	1546	31.5%	32.8%	35.7%	+8.1	44
2010-04-03	Estoril	L 0-2	1564	1551	43.2%	31.4%	25.4%	-17.5	32
2010-04-03	@ Freamunde	W 2-0	1551	1564	25.4%	31.4%	43.2%	+17.5	30
2010-04-03	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1562	1619	33.1%	32.9%	34.0%	+7.9	32
2010-04-03	@ Gil Vicente	L 0-1	1619	1562	34.0%	32.9%	33.1%	-7.9	42
2010-04-03	Chaves	W 2-0	1542	1553	39.8%	32.3%	27.9%	+12.9	31
2010-04-03	@ Penafiel	L 0-2	1553	1542	27.9%	32.3%	39.8%	-12.9	24
2010-04-03	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1659	1516	61.9%	21.8%	16.3%	-2.1	43
2010-04-03	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1516	1659	16.3%	21.8%	61.9%	+2.1	26
2010-04-10	Santa Clara	D 1-1	1624	1656	36.6%	32.8%	30.6%	-0.2	47
2010-04-10	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1656	1624	30.6%	32.8%	36.6%	+0.2	44
2010-04-10	Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1540	1570	37.1%	32.7%	30.2%	-0.3	25
2010-04-10	@ Chaves	D 1-1	1570	1540	30.2%	32.7%	37.1%	+0.3	33
2010-04-10	Carregado	D 1-1	1569	1508	50.2%	28.6%	21.2%	-1.3	31
2010-04-10	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1508	1569	21.2%	28.6%	50.2%	+1.3	18
2010-04-11	Fatima	D 1-1	1613	1537	52.3%	27.5%	20.2%	-1.4	42
2010-04-11	@ Feirense	D 1-1	1537	1613	20.2%	27.5%	52.3%	+1.4	32
2010-04-11	Trofense	L 2-3	1546	1572	37.7%	32.6%	29.7%	-7.5	32
2010-04-11	@ Freamunde	W 3-2	1572	1546	29.7%	32.6%	37.7%	+7.5	36
2010-04-11	Aves	W 3-1	1612	1590	44.6%	30.9%	24.5%	+10.0	45
2010-04-11	@ Oliveirense	L 1-3	1590	1612	24.5%	30.9%	44.6%	-10.0	37
2010-04-11	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1593	1518	52.3%	27.5%	20.2%	+9.5	47
2010-04-11	@ Portimonense	L 0-2	1518	1593	20.2%	27.5%	52.3%	-9.5	26
2010-04-11	Penafiel	D 2-2	1494	1555	32.6%	32.9%	34.5%	+0.1	27
2010-04-11	@ Varzim	D 2-2	1555	1494	34.5%	32.9%	32.6%	-0.1	32
2010-04-15	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1570	1623	33.7%	32.9%	33.4%	-0.0	34
2010-04-15	@ Gil Vicente	D 1-1	1623	1570	33.4%	32.9%	33.7%	+0.0	48
2010-04-17	Feirense	D 1-1	1508	1611	27.3%	32.1%	40.6%	+0.6	27
2010-04-17	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1611	1508	40.6%	32.1%	27.3%	-0.6	43
2010-04-18	Portimonense	D 1-1	1580	1603	38.1%	32.6%	29.4%	-0.4	38
2010-04-18	@ Aves	D 1-1	1603	1580	29.4%	32.6%	38.1%	+0.4	48
2010-04-18	Varzim	W 3-2	1509	1494	43.7%	31.2%	25.1%	+5.6	21
2010-04-18	@ Carregado	L 2-3	1494	1509	25.1%	31.2%	43.7%	-5.6	27
2010-04-18	Oliveirense	D 1-1	1539	1622	29.7%	32.6%	37.6%	+0.3	33
2010-04-18	@ Fatima	D 1-1	1622	1539	37.6%	32.6%	29.7%	-0.3	46
2010-04-18	Estoril	W 1-0	1555	1568	39.6%	32.3%	28.1%	+6.9	35
2010-04-18	@ Penafiel	L 0-1	1568	1555	28.1%	32.3%	39.6%	-6.9	31
2010-04-18	Freamunde	W 3-2	1657	1539	58.4%	24.0%	17.6%	+3.8	47
2010-04-18	@ Santa Clara	L 2-3	1539	1657	17.6%	24.0%	58.4%	-3.8	32
2010-04-18	Chaves	W 2-1	1580	1540	47.2%	29.9%	22.9%	+5.4	39
2010-04-18	@ Trofense	L 1-2	1540	1580	22.9%	29.9%	47.2%	-5.4	25
2010-04-24	Aves	W 1-0	1561	1579	38.7%	32.5%	28.8%	+7.0	34
2010-04-24	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1579	1561	28.8%	32.5%	38.7%	-7.0	38
2010-04-24	Portimonense	W 2-1	1611	1603	42.5%	31.6%	25.9%	+6.1	46
2010-04-24	@ Feirense	L 1-2	1603	1611	25.9%	31.6%	42.5%	-6.1	48
2010-04-25	Penafiel	L 1-2	1623	1562	50.3%	28.5%	21.1%	-9.7	48
2010-04-25	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1562	1623	21.1%	28.5%	50.3%	+9.7	38
2010-04-25	Carregado	W 2-0	1534	1515	44.2%	31.1%	24.7%	+11.6	28
2010-04-25	@ Chaves	L 0-2	1515	1534	24.7%	31.1%	44.2%	-11.6	21
2010-04-25	Gil Vicente	W 3-2	1535	1570	36.3%	32.8%	30.9%	+6.6	35
2010-04-25	@ Freamunde	L 2-3	1570	1535	30.9%	32.8%	36.3%	-6.6	34
2010-04-25	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1621	1509	57.6%	24.5%	17.9%	+11.8	49
2010-04-25	@ Oliveirense	L 0-3	1509	1621	17.9%	24.5%	57.6%	-11.8	27
2010-04-25	Santa Clara	W 5-2	1585	1660	30.6%	32.8%	36.6%	+16.6	42
2010-04-25	@ Trofense	L 2-5	1660	1585	36.6%	32.8%	30.6%	-16.6	47
2010-04-25	Fatima	D 1-1	1488	1539	34.0%	32.9%	33.1%	-0.0	28
2010-04-25	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1539	1488	33.1%	32.9%	34.0%	+0.0	34
2010-05-01	Beira-Mar	L 1-3	1572	1614	35.4%	32.9%	31.7%	-13.2	38
2010-05-01	@ Aves	W 3-1	1614	1572	31.7%	32.9%	35.4%	+13.2	51
2010-05-01	Freamunde	W 3-2	1503	1542	35.9%	32.8%	31.3%	+6.7	24
2010-05-01	@ Carregado	L 2-3	1542	1503	31.3%	32.8%	35.9%	-6.7	35
2010-05-01	Estoril	D 1-1	1539	1568	37.3%	32.7%	30.0%	-0.3	35
2010-05-01	@ Fatima	D 1-1	1568	1539	30.0%	32.7%	37.3%	+0.3	35
2010-05-01	Oliveirense	W 2-1	1617	1633	39.1%	32.4%	28.5%	+6.6	49
2010-05-01	@ Feirense	L 1-2	1633	1617	28.5%	32.4%	39.1%	-6.5	49
2010-05-01	Santa Clara	D 0-0	1564	1644	30.0%	32.7%	37.3%	+0.3	35
2010-05-01	@ Gil Vicente	D 0-0	1644	1564	37.3%	32.7%	30.0%	-0.3	48
2010-05-01	Trofense	L 0-1	1572	1602	37.1%	32.7%	30.2%	-8.3	38
2010-05-01	@ Penafiel	W 1-0	1602	1572	30.2%	32.7%	37.1%	+8.3	45
2010-05-01	Varzim	W 3-2	1597	1488	57.1%	24.8%	18.1%	+3.9	51
2010-05-01	@ Portimonense	L 2-3	1488	1597	18.1%	24.8%	57.1%	-3.9	28
2010-05-01	Chaves	W 2-0	1497	1546	34.3%	32.9%	32.8%	+14.5	30
2010-05-01	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1546	1497	32.8%	32.9%	34.3%	-14.5	28
2010-05-08	Carregado	W 1-0	1627	1510	58.3%	24.1%	17.7%	+4.2	54
2010-05-08	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1510	1627	17.7%	24.1%	58.3%	-4.2	24
2010-05-08	Fatima	L 0-1	1532	1539	40.3%	32.2%	27.5%	-8.8	28
2010-05-08	@ Chaves	W 1-0	1539	1532	27.5%	32.2%	40.3%	+8.8	38
2010-05-08	Feirense	L 1-2	1568	1623	33.4%	32.9%	33.7%	-7.3	35
2010-05-08	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1623	1568	33.7%	32.9%	33.4%	+7.3	52
2010-05-08	Penafiel	L 1-3	1535	1563	37.3%	32.7%	30.0%	-13.7	35
2010-05-08	@ Freamunde	W 3-1	1563	1535	30.0%	32.7%	37.3%	+13.7	41
2010-05-08	Portimonense	L 0-1	1626	1601	45.1%	30.8%	24.1%	-9.6	49
2010-05-08	@ Oliveirense	W 1-0	1601	1626	24.1%	30.8%	45.1%	+9.6	54
2010-05-08	Aves	W 2-0	1644	1559	53.6%	26.8%	19.6%	+9.1	51
2010-05-08	@ Santa Clara	L 0-2	1559	1644	19.6%	26.8%	53.6%	-9.1	38
2010-05-08	Gil Vicente	L 2-4	1610	1564	48.1%	29.6%	22.4%	-14.6	45
2010-05-08	@ Trofense	W 4-2	1564	1610	22.4%	29.6%	48.1%	+14.6	38
2010-05-08	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1484	1512	37.5%	32.7%	29.9%	+7.2	31
2010-05-08	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1512	1484	29.9%	32.7%	37.5%	-7.2	30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2010-01-31	16.41%	Penafiel	1497	1	@ Santa Clara	1638	0
2	2009-10-24	18.44%	Varzim	1508	2	@ Gil Vicente	1611	1
3	2010-02-14	18.97%	Fatima	1534	1	@ Beira-Mar	1628	0
4	2010-02-14	19.25%	Varzim	1510	1	@ Chaves	1600	0
5	2010-03-28	19.41%	Freamunde	1546	3	@ Beira-Mar	1633	1
6	2010-03-07	19.49%	Penafiel	1528	3	@ Portimonense	1614	1
7	2010-01-31	19.86%	Aves	1537	1	@ Chaves	1617	0
8	2009-09-26	20.30%	Portimonense	1543	3	@ Trofense	1617	0
9	2009-09-20	20.41%	Santa Clara	1574	2	@ Carregado	1646	1
10	2010-04-25	21.14%	Penafiel	1562	2	@ Beira-Mar	1623	1
11	2010-01-31	21.54%	Carregado	1531	1	@ Gil Vicente	1587	0
12	2009-08-16	21.99%	Feirense	1555	1	@ Chaves	1606	0
13	2009-12-19	22.24%	Fatima	1550	1	@ Estoril	1598	0
14	2010-05-08	22.35%	Gil Vicente	1564	4	@ Trofense	1610	2
15	2009-11-08	22.43%	Estoril	1565	2	@ Gil Vicente	1610	0
16	2009-11-07	22.44%	Portimonense	1570	3	@ Carregado	1615	1
17	2010-02-21	22.80%	Trofense	1567	3	@ Portimonense	1608	1
18	2009-10-24	22.95%	Fatima	1513	1	@ Aves	1552	0
19	2009-08-16	23.37%	Portimonense	1544	3	@ Estoril	1578	1
20	2010-02-07	23.49%	Penafiel	1509	3	@ Carregado	1541	0
21	2009-08-23	23.70%	Freamunde	1553	3	@ Sporting Covilha	1584	2
22	2009-11-01	24.06%	Aves	1542	2	@ Sporting Covilha	1568	1
23	2010-05-08	24.13%	Portimonense	1601	1	@ Oliveirense	1626	0
24	2010-03-27	24.14%	Gil Vicente	1544	2	@ Estoril	1569	0
25	2009-08-23	24.23%	@ Fatima	1516	2	Trofense	1649	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-09-26	28.88	Portimonense	3	1543	20.30%	@ Trofense	0	1617	52.04%
2	2010-01-09	27.29	@ Gil Vicente	4	1560	34.66%	Trofense	0	1607	32.45%
3	2010-02-07	26.59	Penafiel	3	1509	23.49%	@ Carregado	0	1541	46.14%
4	2009-11-29	25.16	Chaves	3	1583	25.83%	@ Gil Vicente	0	1592	42.59%
5	2009-11-01	23.42	@ Oliveirense	3	1551	29.09%	Carregado	0	1639	38.39%
6	2009-09-19	23.29	Gil Vicente	3	1589	29.35%	@ Portimonense	0	1567	38.08%
7	2010-02-28	22.27	Portimonense	3	1592	31.50%	@ Freamunde	0	1552	35.66%
8	2010-03-14	22.02	@ Carregado	4	1498	24.24%	Oliveirense	1	1631	44.95%
9	2009-09-19	21.70	@ Feirense	3	1579	32.77%	Trofense	0	1638	34.32%
10	2009-12-20	21.70	@ Freamunde	3	1516	32.78%	Carregado	0	1576	34.31%
11	2009-08-23	21.04	@ Feirense	4	1565	46.23%	Varzim	0	1532	23.44%
12	2010-03-28	20.77	Santa Clara	3	1638	34.95%	@ Chaves	0	1574	32.16%
13	2009-11-08	20.28	@ Fatima	3	1523	36.09%	Sporting Covilha	0	1559	31.10%
14	2009-08-16	20.05	@ Trofense	3	1629	36.64%	Carregado	0	1661	30.60%
15	2009-11-29	19.09	@ Trofense	4	1600	50.03%	Freamunde	0	1541	21.30%
16	2009-11-08	18.80	Estoril	2	1565	22.43%	@ Gil Vicente	0	1610	47.94%
17	2009-08-30	18.29	@ Gil Vicente	3	1571	40.86%	Sporting Covilha	0	1575	27.11%
18	2009-11-08	18.12	@ Santa Clara	3	1590	41.26%	Chaves	0	1591	26.80%
19	2010-03-27	18.02	Gil Vicente	2	1544	24.14%	@ Estoril	0	1569	45.10%
20	2010-03-28	17.65	Freamunde	3	1546	19.41%	@ Beira-Mar	1	1633	53.99%
21	2010-03-07	17.61	Penafiel	3	1528	19.49%	@ Portimonense	1	1614	53.81%
22	2010-04-03	17.50	Estoril	2	1551	25.39%	@ Freamunde	0	1564	43.22%
23	2010-02-14	17.31	Feirense	2	1577	25.87%	@ Trofense	0	1585	42.54%
24	2010-02-27	17.28	Aves	2	1561	25.94%	@ Gil Vicente	0	1568	42.44%
25	2010-02-14	16.71	Portimonense	2	1591	27.44%	@ Gil Vicente	0	1584	40.43%