1936 Campeonato da Liga Season

56 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

21 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

5.37 points above expected

21 points · 15.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Academica de Coimbra

10.00 points below expected

3 points · 13.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	14	8	5	1	21	44	23	+21	15.6	+5.37
2	Porto	14	9	2	3	20	50	18	+32	15.7	+4.33
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	14	8	2	4	18	41	31	+10	15.5	+2.46
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	14	7	3	4	17	28	22	+6	15.6	+1.40
5	Vitoria Setubal	14	7	2	5	16	32	26	+6	14.4	+1.58
6	Boavista	14	4	3	7	11	24	39	-15	11.5	-0.48
7	Carcavelinhos	14	1	4	9	6	8	30	-22	10.7	-4.66
8	Academica de Coimbra	14	1	1	12	3	13	51	-38	13.0	-10.00

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Porto	1606	20	15.67	+4.33	94.0%	9	10	13	15	19	21	24
Benfica	1596	21	15.63	+5.37	98.0%	7	11	13	16	18	21	23
Os Belenenses (1st)	1595	17	15.60	+1.40	71.0%	8	10	14	15	18	20	23
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1591	18	15.54	+2.46	84.0%	8	11	13	16	17	20	24
Vitoria Setubal	1571	16	14.42	+1.58	73.0%	8	10	12	15	17	18	21
Academica de Coimbra	1501	3	13.00	-10.00	0.0%	6	8	11	13	15	17	18
Boavista	1472	11	11.48	-0.48	54.0%	5	6	9	11	14	16	19
Carcavelinhos	1457	6	10.66	-4.66	6.0%	4	5	8	11	13	16	18

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	BEN	BOA	CAR	OB(	POR	SCDP	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	0-0-2 2.46	0-0-2 3.13	1-1-0 3.20	0-0-2 2.33	0-0-2 2.50	0-0-2 2.50	0-0-2 2.51
Benfica	2-0-0 3.21	—	1-1-0 3.58	1-1-0 3.63	0-1-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.81	2-0-0 2.81	1-1-0 2.92
Boavista	2-0-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.10	—	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.13	0-0-2 2.09	0-1-1 2.14	1-0-1 2.24
Carcavelinhos	0-1-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.05	1-0-1 2.79	—	0-1-1 2.07	0-0-2 2.01	0-1-1 2.14	0-0-2 2.23
Os Belenenses (1st)	2-0-0 3.34	1-1-0 2.86	1-1-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.61	—	1-0-1 2.85	0-0-2 2.85	1-0-1 2.97
Porto	2-0-0 3.15	0-1-1 2.84	2-0-0 3.59	2-0-0 3.67	1-0-1 2.80	—	1-0-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.92
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 3.16	0-0-2 2.85	1-1-0 3.53	1-1-0 3.54	2-0-0 2.80	1-0-1 2.86	—	1-0-1 2.93
Vitoria Setubal	2-0-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 3.44	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.72	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.57%	0.89%	3.57%	4.46%	3.57%	1.79%	17.86%
1	0.89%	8.93%	6.25%	4.46%	3.57%	5.36%	29.46%
2	3.57%	6.25%	5.36%	1.79%	1.79%	1.79%	20.54%
3	4.46%	4.46%	1.79%	1.79%	—	0.89%	13.39%
4	3.57%	3.57%	1.79%	—	—	—	8.93%
5+	1.79%	5.36%	1.79%	0.89%	—	—	9.82%
Total	17.86%	29.46%	20.54%	13.39%	8.93%	9.82%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.14
Mean allowed	2.14
StdDev scored	2.05
StdDev allowed	2.05
Mean total goals/game	4.29
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.249
Sample size (games)	56

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	14.29%	35.71%
1	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	42.86%
2	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%
3	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	35.71%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	3.64
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	2.21
Mean total goals/game	4.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.242
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
1	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
2	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	21.43%
3	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
4	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
Total	14.29%	28.57%	35.71%	21.43%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.14
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	2.28
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	4.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.392
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	14.29%	7.14%	—	21.43%
1	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	28.57%
2	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	28.57%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	21.43%	21.43%	21.43%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.71
Mean allowed	2.79
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	2.69
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.394
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%	—	50.00%
1	—	21.43%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	42.86%
2	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	35.71%	21.43%	7.14%	28.57%	—	100%

Carcavelinhos — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.57
Mean allowed	2.14
StdDev scored	0.65
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.351
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
1	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	42.86%
2	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	28.57%
3	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	35.71%	35.71%	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.92
StdDev allowed	2.41
Mean total goals/game	3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.299
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	28.57%
2	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
3	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
5+	—	21.43%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
Total	35.71%	28.57%	21.43%	7.14%	—	7.14%	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.57
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	2.85
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	4.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.268
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	21.43%
2	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	35.71%
3	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	7.14%	50.00%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.93
Mean allowed	2.21
StdDev scored	2.20
StdDev allowed	2.49
Mean total goals/game	5.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.377
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
1	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	28.57%
4	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
5+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	28.57%	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.29
Mean allowed	1.86
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	4.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.397
Games played	14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Benfica	21	15.6	+5.37
2	Porto	20	15.7	+4.33
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	18	15.5	+2.46
4	Vitoria Setubal	16	14.4	+1.58
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	17	15.6	+1.40

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Academica de Coimbra	3	13.0	-10.00
2	Carcavelinhos	6	10.7	-4.66
3	Boavista	11	11.5	-0.48
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	17	15.6	+1.40
5	Vitoria Setubal	16	14.4	+1.58

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Setubal	4	Jan 19 – Mar 1	1 in 36
2	Benfica	4	Feb 16 – Mar 15	1 in 35
3	Porto	5	Apr 12 – May 3	1 in 26
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	Jan 12 – Feb 2	1 in 20
5	Boavista	3	Mar 29 – Apr 12	1 in 18

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Academica de Coimbra	7	Mar 29 – May 3	1 in 755
2	Vitoria Setubal	3	Mar 29 – Apr 12	1 in 14
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	Apr 12 – Apr 19	1 in 8
4	Boavista	3	Apr 19 – Apr 30	1 in 5
5	Carcavelinhos	3	Apr 19 – May 3	1 in 5

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	12	Feb 2 – May 3	1 in 415
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	Jan 12 – Feb 16	1 in 10
3	Vitoria Setubal	4	Jan 19 – Mar 1	1 in 8
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Mar 22 – Apr 5	1 in 7
5	Porto	5	Apr 12 – May 3	1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Academica de Coimbra	13	Jan 19 – May 3	1 in 673
2	Carcavelinhos	11	Feb 16 – May 3	1 in 65
3	Vitoria Setubal	6	Mar 8 – Apr 12	1 in 35
4	Boavista	4	Apr 19 – May 3	1 in 5
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	Feb 16 – Mar 1	1 in 4

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Benfica	20.00%	26.00%	17.00%	10.00%	15.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Porto	31.00%	14.00%	12.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%
Sporting Clube de Portugal	19.00%	17.00%	23.00%	12.00%	8.00%	8.00%	11.00%	2.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	20.00%	16.00%	16.00%	15.00%	16.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Vitoria Setubal	6.00%	16.00%	18.00%	17.00%	11.00%	20.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Boavista	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	14.00%	17.00%	24.00%	27.00%
Carcavelinhos	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	12.00%	16.00%	19.00%	42.00%
Academica de Coimbra	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	21.00%	15.00%	19.00%	21.00%	12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
Academica de Coimbra	100%
Benfica	100%
Boavista	100%
Carcavelinhos	100%
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%
Porto	100%
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%
Vitoria Setubal	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1936-01-12	Carcavelinhos	W 3-0	1541	1475	68.9%	15.1%	16.0%	+1.9	3
1936-01-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1475	1541	16.0%	15.1%	68.9%	-1.9	0
1936-01-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-3	1579	1566	63.0%	17.1%	19.9%	+1.2	3
1936-01-12	@ Benfica	L 3-5	1566	1579	19.9%	17.1%	63.0%	-1.2	0
1936-01-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1475	1591	47.1%	19.1%	33.8%	-0.1	1
1936-01-12	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1591	1475	33.8%	19.1%	47.1%	+0.1	1
1936-01-12	Porto	W 3-2	1582	1580	61.7%	17.4%	20.9%	+0.8	3
1936-01-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1580	1582	20.9%	17.4%	61.7%	-0.8	0
1936-01-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1473	1583	47.9%	19.1%	33.0%	-1.8	0
1936-01-19	@ Carcavelinhos	W 2-1	1583	1473	33.0%	19.1%	47.9%	+1.8	6
1936-01-19	Benfica	W 3-1	1591	1580	62.7%	17.2%	20.1%	+1.4	4
1936-01-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1580	1591	20.1%	17.2%	62.7%	-1.4	3
1936-01-19	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1580	1543	65.6%	16.3%	18.1%	+2.3	3
1936-01-19	@ Porto	L 1-5	1543	1580	18.1%	16.3%	65.6%	-2.3	3
1936-01-19	Boavista	W 3-1	1565	1475	71.3%	14.1%	14.6%	+1.0	3
1936-01-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1475	1565	14.6%	14.1%	71.3%	-1.0	1
1936-02-02	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1541	1584	56.3%	18.5%	25.2%	-7.9	3
1936-02-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 6-1	1584	1541	25.2%	18.5%	56.3%	+7.9	9
1936-02-02	Boavista	W 2-1	1471	1474	61.2%	17.5%	21.2%	+0.9	3
1936-02-02	@ Carcavelinhos	L 1-2	1474	1471	21.2%	17.5%	61.2%	-0.9	1
1936-02-02	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1592	1566	64.5%	16.6%	18.9%	-2.3	4
1936-02-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1566	1592	18.9%	16.6%	64.5%	+2.3	6
1936-02-02	Benfica	D 2-2	1582	1579	61.9%	17.4%	20.8%	-0.3	4
1936-02-02	@ Porto	D 2-2	1579	1582	20.8%	17.4%	61.9%	+0.3	4
1936-02-09	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1473	1533	54.3%	18.8%	26.9%	+2.7	4
1936-02-09	@ Boavista	L 1-4	1533	1473	26.9%	18.8%	54.3%	-2.7	3
1936-02-16	Benfica	L 2-6	1530	1579	55.7%	18.6%	25.7%	-5.4	3
1936-02-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 6-2	1579	1530	25.7%	18.6%	55.7%	+5.4	7
1936-02-16	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1472	1568	49.7%	19.1%	31.2%	-4.5	3
1936-02-16	@ Carcavelinhos	W 4-1	1568	1472	31.2%	19.1%	49.7%	+4.5	9
1936-02-16	Porto	W 2-1	1590	1582	62.5%	17.2%	20.3%	+0.8	7
1936-02-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1582	1590	20.3%	17.2%	62.5%	-0.8	4
1936-02-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1476	1592	46.9%	19.1%	33.9%	-0.1	5
1936-02-16	@ Boavista	D 2-2	1592	1476	33.9%	19.1%	46.9%	+0.1	10
1936-03-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1468	1591	46.1%	19.1%	34.8%	-0.1	4
1936-03-01	@ Carcavelinhos	D 1-1	1591	1468	34.8%	19.1%	46.1%	+0.1	8
1936-03-01	Benfica	L 2-4	1592	1584	62.4%	17.2%	20.3%	-3.4	10
1936-03-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1584	1592	20.3%	17.2%	62.4%	+3.4	10
1936-03-01	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-0	1572	1525	66.8%	15.8%	17.3%	+3.3	12
1936-03-01	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-5	1525	1572	17.3%	15.8%	66.8%	-3.3	3
1936-03-08	Boavista	W 8-2	1588	1476	73.6%	13.1%	13.3%	+2.0	13
1936-03-08	@ Benfica	L 2-8	1476	1588	13.3%	13.1%	73.6%	-2.0	5
1936-03-08	Carcavelinhos	W 4-0	1581	1468	73.7%	13.1%	13.2%	+2.0	7
1936-03-08	@ Porto	L 0-4	1468	1581	13.2%	13.1%	73.7%	-2.0	4
1936-03-08	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1589	1576	63.0%	17.1%	19.9%	+1.4	13
1936-03-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1576	1589	19.9%	17.1%	63.0%	-1.4	12
1936-03-15	Carcavelinhos	W 2-1	1590	1466	74.8%	12.6%	12.7%	+0.5	16
1936-03-15	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1466	1590	12.7%	12.6%	74.8%	-0.5	4
1936-03-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-1	1590	1591	61.4%	17.5%	21.1%	+2.1	16
1936-03-15	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1591	1590	21.1%	17.5%	61.4%	-2.1	8
1936-03-15	Porto	D 1-1	1574	1583	60.5%	17.7%	21.8%	-0.3	13
1936-03-15	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1583	1574	21.8%	17.7%	60.5%	+0.3	8
1936-03-22	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1465	1522	54.7%	18.8%	26.6%	-0.2	5
1936-03-22	@ Carcavelinhos	D 1-1	1522	1465	26.6%	18.8%	54.7%	+0.2	4
1936-03-22	Boavista	W 3-0	1589	1474	73.9%	13.0%	13.1%	+1.5	11
1936-03-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1474	1589	13.1%	13.0%	73.9%	-1.5	5
1936-03-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 10-1	1583	1592	60.4%	17.7%	21.9%	+6.0	11
1936-03-22	@ Porto	L 1-10	1592	1583	21.9%	17.7%	60.4%	-6.0	16
1936-03-22	Benfica	D 3-3	1574	1590	59.6%	17.9%	22.5%	-0.2	14
1936-03-22	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 3-3	1590	1574	22.5%	17.9%	59.6%	+0.2	17
1936-03-29	Porto	L 2-4	1522	1589	53.4%	18.9%	27.7%	-3.0	4
1936-03-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 4-2	1589	1522	27.7%	18.9%	53.4%	+3.0	14
1936-03-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1591	1590	61.5%	17.5%	21.0%	-0.4	18
1936-03-29	@ Benfica	D 0-0	1590	1591	21.0%	17.5%	61.5%	+0.4	12
1936-03-29	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1472	1574	48.9%	19.1%	31.9%	+3.1	8
1936-03-29	@ Boavista	L 1-4	1574	1472	31.9%	19.1%	48.9%	-3.1	14
1936-03-29	Carcavelinhos	D 1-1	1586	1465	74.5%	12.7%	12.8%	-0.6	17
1936-03-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1465	1586	12.8%	12.7%	74.5%	+0.6	6
1936-04-05	Porto	W 5-1	1590	1592	61.3%	17.5%	21.2%	+2.7	21
1936-04-05	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1592	1590	21.2%	17.5%	61.3%	-2.7	14
1936-04-05	Carcavelinhos	W 4-0	1475	1465	62.6%	17.2%	20.2%	+3.1	11
1936-04-05	@ Boavista	L 0-4	1465	1475	20.2%	17.2%	62.6%	-3.1	6
1936-04-05	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1586	1519	68.9%	15.1%	16.0%	+1.9	20
1936-04-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1519	1586	16.0%	15.1%	68.9%	-1.9	4
1936-04-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1571	1591	59.2%	18.0%	22.8%	-4.2	14
1936-04-05	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1591	1571	22.8%	18.0%	59.2%	+4.3	15
1936-04-12	Boavista	L 0-2	1517	1478	65.9%	16.2%	17.9%	-4.7	4
1936-04-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1478	1517	17.9%	16.2%	65.9%	+4.7	14
1936-04-12	Benfica	D 0-0	1462	1593	45.1%	19.1%	35.8%	-0.1	7
1936-04-12	@ Carcavelinhos	D 0-0	1593	1462	35.8%	19.1%	45.1%	+0.1	22
1936-04-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1595	1588	62.3%	17.3%	20.4%	-2.2	15
1936-04-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1588	1595	20.4%	17.3%	62.3%	+2.2	23
1936-04-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1589	1566	64.1%	16.7%	19.1%	+2.3	17
1936-04-12	@ Porto	L 0-3	1566	1589	19.1%	16.7%	64.1%	-2.3	14
1936-04-19	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1593	1512	70.4%	14.5%	15.1%	+1.0	25
1936-04-19	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1512	1593	15.1%	14.5%	70.4%	-1.0	4
1936-04-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 9-1	1592	1593	61.4%	17.5%	21.1%	+5.2	20
1936-04-19	@ Porto	L 1-9	1593	1592	21.1%	17.5%	61.4%	-5.2	15
1936-04-19	Boavista	W 9-1	1590	1483	73.1%	13.4%	13.6%	+3.2	26
1936-04-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-9	1483	1590	13.6%	13.4%	73.1%	-3.2	14
1936-04-19	Carcavelinhos	W 4-0	1564	1462	72.5%	13.6%	13.9%	+2.1	17
1936-04-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1462	1564	13.9%	13.6%	72.5%	-2.1	7
1936-04-26	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1511	1566	54.9%	18.7%	26.4%	-4.0	4
1936-04-26	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1566	1511	26.4%	18.7%	54.9%	+4.0	20
1936-04-26	Carcavelinhos	W 2-0	1587	1460	75.1%	12.4%	12.5%	+1.0	18
1936-04-26	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1460	1587	12.5%	12.4%	75.1%	-1.0	7
1936-04-26	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1594	1593	61.6%	17.4%	20.9%	+1.5	28
1936-04-26	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1593	1594	20.9%	17.4%	61.6%	-1.5	26
1936-04-26	Porto	L 0-4	1480	1597	46.9%	19.1%	34.0%	-6.6	14
1936-04-26	@ Boavista	W 4-0	1597	1480	34.0%	19.1%	46.9%	+6.6	23
1936-04-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1507	1588	51.6%	19.0%	29.4%	-1.9	4
1936-04-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1588	1507	29.4%	19.0%	51.6%	+1.9	21
1936-04-30	Boavista	W 3-0	1603	1473	75.3%	12.3%	12.3%	+1.4	26
1936-04-30	@ Porto	L 0-3	1473	1603	12.3%	12.3%	75.3%	-1.4	14
1936-05-03	Porto	L 0-1	1459	1605	43.1%	18.9%	38.0%	-1.7	7
1936-05-03	@ Carcavelinhos	W 1-0	1605	1459	38.0%	18.9%	43.1%	+1.7	29
1936-05-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 8-0	1590	1505	70.8%	14.3%	14.9%	+4.3	24
1936-05-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-8	1505	1590	14.9%	14.3%	70.8%	-4.3	4
1936-05-03	Benfica	D 2-2	1472	1595	46.0%	19.1%	34.9%	-0.1	15
1936-05-03	@ Boavista	D 2-2	1595	1472	34.9%	19.1%	46.0%	+0.1	29
1936-05-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1570	1592	59.0%	18.1%	23.0%	+0.9	23
1936-05-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1592	1570	23.0%	18.1%	59.0%	-0.9	26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1936-04-12	17.94%	Boavista	1478	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1517	0
2	1936-02-02	18.86%	Vitoria Setubal	1566	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1592	1
3	1936-03-01	20.35%	Benfica	1584	4	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1592	2
4	1936-04-12	20.42%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1588	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1595	1
5	1936-04-05	22.83%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1591	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1571	0
6	1936-02-02	25.16%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1584	6	@ Academica de Coimbra	1541	1
7	1936-02-16	25.71%	Benfica	1579	6	@ Academica de Coimbra	1530	2
8	1936-04-26	26.37%	Vitoria Setubal	1566	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1511	0
9	1936-03-29	27.74%	Porto	1589	4	@ Academica de Coimbra	1522	2
10	1936-04-30	29.38%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1588	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1507	1
11	1936-02-16	31.19%	Vitoria Setubal	1568	4	@ Carcavelinhos	1472	1
12	1936-01-19	32.97%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1583	2	@ Carcavelinhos	1473	1
13	1936-04-26	33.97%	Porto	1597	4	@ Boavista	1480	0
14	1936-05-03	37.99%	Porto	1605	1	@ Carcavelinhos	1459	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1936-02-02	7.89	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	1584	25.16%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1541	56.31%
2	1936-04-26	6.58	Porto	4	1597	33.97%	@ Boavista	0	1480	46.89%
3	1936-03-22	5.99	@ Porto	10	1583	60.41%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1592	21.85%
4	1936-02-16	5.42	Benfica	6	1579	25.71%	@ Academica de Coimbra	2	1530	55.67%
5	1936-04-19	5.18	@ Porto	9	1592	61.38%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1593	21.11%
6	1936-04-12	4.66	Boavista	2	1478	17.94%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1517	65.88%
7	1936-02-16	4.47	Vitoria Setubal	4	1568	31.19%	@ Carcavelinhos	1	1472	49.68%
8	1936-05-03	4.32	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	8	1590	70.81%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1505	14.86%
9	1936-04-05	4.26	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	1591	22.83%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1571	59.16%
10	1936-04-26	3.99	Vitoria Setubal	2	1566	26.37%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1511	54.90%
11	1936-03-01	3.45	Benfica	4	1584	20.35%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1592	62.42%
12	1936-03-01	3.28	@ Vitoria Setubal	5	1572	66.84%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1525	17.30%
13	1936-04-19	3.20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	9	1590	73.07%	Boavista	1	1483	13.58%
14	1936-04-05	3.13	@ Boavista	4	1475	62.62%	Carcavelinhos	0	1465	20.20%
15	1936-03-29	3.09	@ Boavista	4	1472	48.92%	Vitoria Setubal	1	1574	31.94%
16	1936-03-29	3.01	Porto	4	1589	27.74%	@ Academica de Coimbra	2	1522	53.36%
17	1936-04-05	2.74	@ Benfica	5	1590	61.27%	Porto	1	1592	21.19%
18	1936-02-09	2.66	@ Boavista	4	1473	54.26%	Academica de Coimbra	1	1533	26.94%
19	1936-01-19	2.33	@ Porto	5	1580	65.62%	Academica de Coimbra	1	1543	18.11%
20	1936-02-02	2.30	Vitoria Setubal	2	1566	18.86%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1592	64.52%
21	1936-04-12	2.27	@ Porto	3	1589	64.12%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1566	19.13%
22	1936-04-12	2.23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1588	20.42%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1595	62.32%
23	1936-03-15	2.11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1590	61.44%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1591	21.07%
24	1936-04-19	2.07	@ Vitoria Setubal	4	1564	72.55%	Carcavelinhos	0	1462	13.86%
25	1936-03-08	1.97	@ Benfica	8	1588	73.60%	Boavista	2	1476	13.28%