1937 Campeonato da Liga Season

56 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

24 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Os Belenenses (1st)

8.15 points above expected

23 points · 14.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Leixoes

8.61 points below expected

4 points · 12.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	14	12	0	2	24	57	13	+44	16.2	+7.81
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	14	11	1	2	23	46	17	+29	14.8	+8.15
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	14	9	2	3	20	54	25	+29	15.0	+5.02
4	Porto	14	6	2	6	14	31	31	0	14.5	-0.54
5	Academica de Coimbra	14	5	1	8	11	24	30	-6	13.0	-2.02
6	Carcavelinhos	14	4	1	9	9	16	35	-19	11.6	-2.63
7	Vitoria Setubal	14	3	1	10	7	18	45	-27	14.2	-7.18
8	Leixoes	14	2	0	12	4	19	69	-50	12.6	-8.61

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	1611	24	16.19	+7.81	100.0%	7	11	14	16	18	22	24
Os Belenenses (1st)	1596	23	14.85	+8.15	100.0%	8	9	13	15	17	20	21
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1585	20	14.98	+5.02	97.0%	5	10	13	15	17	20	23
Porto	1570	14	14.54	-0.54	48.0%	7	9	12	15	16	21	23
Vitoria Setubal	1520	7	14.18	-7.18	1.0%	7	9	12	14	16	19	24
Academica de Coimbra	1513	11	13.02	-2.02	34.0%	4	8	11	12	16	18	21
Carcavelinhos	1477	9	11.63	-2.63	28.0%	6	7	9	12	14	17	20
Leixoes	1475	4	12.61	-8.61	0.0%	6	8	10	12	14	18	23

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	BEN	CAR	LEI	OB(	POR	SCDP	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	0-0-2 2.41	0-0-2 3.22	2-0-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.61	1-1-0 2.82
Benfica	2-0-0 3.45	—	2-0-0 3.57	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 3.02	2-0-0 3.05	2-0-0 3.14
Carcavelinhos	2-0-0 2.64	0-0-2 2.28	—	1-0-1 2.71	0-0-2 2.30	0-1-1 2.30	0-0-2 2.34	1-0-1 2.57
Leixoes	0-0-2 3.00	0-0-2 2.50	1-0-1 3.14	—	0-0-2 2.68	0-0-2 2.52	0-0-2 2.43	1-0-1 2.78
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 3.55	2-0-0 3.18	—	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.98	2-0-0 3.26
Porto	1-0-1 3.33	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 3.55	2-0-0 3.34	0-0-2 2.92	—	0-1-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.25
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 3.24	0-0-2 2.80	2-0-0 3.51	2-0-0 3.43	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.82	—	2-0-0 3.13
Vitoria Setubal	0-1-1 3.03	0-0-2 2.71	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 3.08	0-0-2 2.59	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.72	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.79%	2.68%	2.68%	3.57%	2.68%	6.25%	19.64%
1	2.68%	3.57%	8.04%	2.68%	1.79%	7.14%	25.89%
2	2.68%	8.04%	1.79%	2.68%	1.79%	2.68%	19.64%
3	3.57%	2.68%	2.68%	—	—	1.79%	10.71%
4	2.68%	1.79%	1.79%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	6.25%	7.14%	2.68%	1.79%	—	—	17.86%
Total	19.64%	25.89%	19.64%	10.71%	6.25%	17.86%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.37
Mean allowed	2.37
StdDev scored	2.29
StdDev allowed	2.29
Mean total goals/game	4.73
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.338
Sample size (games)	56

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
1	—	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
3	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
4	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	21.43%	42.86%	7.14%	—	14.29%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.71
Mean allowed	2.14
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.88
Mean total goals/game	3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.122
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
1	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
2	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
3	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	14.29%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	—	42.86%
Total	21.43%	64.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	4.07
Mean allowed	0.93
StdDev scored	2.79
StdDev allowed	0.62
Mean total goals/game	5.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.048
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	21.43%
1	14.29%	—	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	57.14%
2	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.57%	7.14%	14.29%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	100%

Carcavelinhos — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.14
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	2.31
Mean total goals/game	3.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.356
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	7.14%	21.43%	21.43%	50.00%
1	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
2	—	—	—	—	7.14%	14.29%	21.43%
3	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	28.57%	50.00%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	4.93
StdDev scored	1.69
StdDev allowed	2.59
Mean total goals/game	6.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.381
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
1	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
2	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
3	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	14.29%	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	35.71%
Total	35.71%	28.57%	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.29
Mean allowed	1.21
StdDev scored	2.33
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.107
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	28.57%
1	—	—	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	21.43%
2	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
Total	28.57%	14.29%	28.57%	14.29%	—	14.29%	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.21
Mean allowed	2.21
StdDev scored	2.36
StdDev allowed	2.55
Mean total goals/game	4.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.456
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	21.43%
2	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
3	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	35.71%
Total	14.29%	35.71%	28.57%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.86
Mean allowed	1.79
StdDev scored	2.82
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	5.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.467
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	28.57%
1	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%	42.86%
2	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
3	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	21.43%	14.29%	7.14%	—	42.86%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.29
Mean allowed	3.21
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	2.61
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.532
Games played	14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	23	14.8	+8.15
2	Benfica	24	16.2	+7.81
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	20	15.0	+5.02
4	Porto	14	14.5	-0.54
5	Academica de Coimbra	11	13.0	-2.02

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Leixoes	4	12.6	-8.61
2	Vitoria Setubal	7	14.2	-7.18
3	Carcavelinhos	9	11.6	-2.63
4	Academica de Coimbra	11	13.0	-2.02
5	Porto	14	14.5	-0.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	8	Mar 7 – May 2	1 in 404
2	Benfica	6	Jan 10 – Feb 28	1 in 50
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	Feb 21 – Mar 14	1 in 36
4	Academica de Coimbra	3	Jan 24 – Feb 14	1 in 13
5	Porto	3	Feb 28 – Mar 14	1 in 6

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Leixoes	9	Feb 28 – May 2	1 in 442
2	Vitoria Setubal	5	Feb 14 – Mar 14	1 in 37
3	Carcavelinhos	5	Jan 24 – Feb 28	1 in 19
4	Academica de Coimbra	3	Apr 4 – Apr 18	1 in 10
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	Feb 7 – Feb 7	1 in 4

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	8	Mar 7 – May 2	1 in 118
2	Benfica	6	Jan 10 – Feb 28	1 in 22
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	Feb 21 – Mar 14	1 in 18
4	Academica de Coimbra	3	Jan 24 – Feb 14	1 in 8
5	Porto	3	Jan 17 – Jan 31	1 in 4

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Leixoes	9	Feb 28 – May 2	1 in 123
2	Academica de Coimbra	5	Apr 4 – May 2	1 in 28
3	Carcavelinhos	6	Jan 17 – Feb 28	1 in 22
4	Vitoria Setubal	5	Feb 14 – Mar 14	1 in 18
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	Jan 24 – Feb 7	1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Benfica	30.00%	22.00%	11.00%	15.00%	12.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	20.00%	15.00%	16.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%	10.00%	3.00%
Sporting Clube de Portugal	13.00%	21.00%	17.00%	17.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	5.00%
Porto	9.00%	12.00%	18.00%	13.00%	18.00%	13.00%	4.00%	13.00%
Academica de Coimbra	9.00%	12.00%	11.00%	5.00%	11.00%	18.00%	20.00%	14.00%
Carcavelinhos	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	10.00%	21.00%	18.00%	28.00%
Vitoria Setubal	12.00%	8.00%	13.00%	14.00%	17.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%
Leixoes	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	14.00%	13.00%	11.00%	22.00%	22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level
Academica de Coimbra	100%
Benfica	100%
Carcavelinhos	100%
Leixoes	100%
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%
Porto	100%
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%
Vitoria Setubal	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1937-01-10	Academica de Coimbra	W 7-2	1559	1516	69.0%	7.3%	23.8%	+3.2	3
1937-01-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-7	1516	1559	23.8%	7.3%	69.0%	-3.2	0
1937-01-10	Benfica	L 1-2	1550	1561	62.8%	7.4%	29.8%	-2.5	0
1937-01-10	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1561	1550	29.8%	7.4%	62.8%	+2.5	3
1937-01-17	Porto	D 0-0	1490	1570	53.8%	7.4%	38.8%	-0.2	1
1937-01-17	@ Carcavelinhos	D 0-0	1570	1490	38.8%	7.4%	53.8%	+0.2	1
1937-01-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-5	1540	1561	61.5%	7.4%	31.1%	-3.5	0
1937-01-17	@ Leixoes	W 5-3	1561	1540	31.1%	7.4%	61.5%	+3.5	3
1937-01-24	Leixoes	W 4-2	1513	1536	61.2%	7.4%	31.4%	+2.0	3
1937-01-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-4	1536	1513	31.4%	7.4%	61.2%	-2.0	0
1937-01-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1565	1562	64.4%	7.3%	28.2%	-0.4	4
1937-01-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1562	1565	28.2%	7.3%	64.4%	+0.4	4
1937-01-24	Carcavelinhos	W 5-1	1564	1490	72.0%	7.2%	20.8%	+2.7	6
1937-01-24	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1490	1564	20.8%	7.2%	72.0%	-2.7	1
1937-01-24	Vitoria Setubal	W 7-0	1570	1548	66.7%	7.3%	25.9%	+6.9	4
1937-01-24	@ Porto	L 0-7	1548	1570	25.9%	7.3%	66.7%	-6.9	0
1937-01-31	Leixoes	W 10-2	1566	1534	67.8%	7.3%	24.9%	+5.0	9
1937-01-31	@ Benfica	L 2-10	1534	1566	24.9%	7.3%	67.8%	-5.0	0
1937-01-31	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1577	1562	65.8%	7.3%	26.8%	-0.3	5
1937-01-31	@ Porto	D 2-2	1562	1577	26.8%	7.3%	65.8%	+0.3	5
1937-02-07	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1565	1515	69.7%	7.3%	23.1%	-2.6	4
1937-02-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1515	1565	23.1%	7.3%	69.7%	+2.6	6
1937-02-07	Carcavelinhos	W 3-1	1541	1488	70.0%	7.3%	22.7%	+1.6	3
1937-02-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1488	1541	22.7%	7.3%	70.0%	-1.6	1
1937-02-14	Porto	W 2-1	1517	1577	56.5%	7.4%	36.1%	+1.5	9
1937-02-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1577	1517	36.1%	7.4%	56.5%	-1.5	5
1937-02-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1486	1562	54.3%	7.4%	38.3%	-2.2	1
1937-02-14	@ Carcavelinhos	W 2-1	1562	1486	38.3%	7.4%	54.3%	+2.1	7
1937-02-14	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-1	1529	1542	62.5%	7.4%	30.1%	+3.9	3
1937-02-14	@ Leixoes	L 1-5	1542	1529	30.1%	7.4%	62.5%	-3.9	3
1937-02-14	Benfica	L 1-4	1563	1571	63.1%	7.4%	29.6%	-6.1	5
1937-02-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1571	1563	29.6%	7.4%	63.1%	+6.1	12
1937-02-21	Porto	W 3-0	1564	1576	62.7%	7.4%	29.9%	+3.6	10
1937-02-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1576	1564	29.9%	7.4%	62.7%	-3.6	5
1937-02-21	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1577	1519	70.6%	7.3%	22.2%	+0.9	15
1937-02-21	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1519	1577	22.2%	7.3%	70.6%	-0.9	9
1937-02-21	Carcavelinhos	W 4-1	1533	1484	69.6%	7.3%	23.1%	+2.4	6
1937-02-21	@ Leixoes	L 1-4	1484	1533	23.1%	7.3%	69.6%	-2.3	1
1937-02-21	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1539	1557	61.9%	7.4%	30.7%	-2.3	3
1937-02-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1557	1539	30.7%	7.4%	61.9%	+2.3	8
1937-02-28	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1518	1536	61.9%	7.4%	30.8%	+2.5	12
1937-02-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1536	1518	30.8%	7.4%	61.9%	-2.5	3
1937-02-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1481	1559	54.1%	7.4%	38.5%	-2.2	1
1937-02-28	@ Carcavelinhos	W 2-1	1559	1481	38.5%	7.4%	54.1%	+2.1	11
1937-02-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1578	1568	65.4%	7.3%	27.3%	+2.2	18
1937-02-28	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1568	1578	27.3%	7.3%	65.4%	-2.2	10
1937-02-28	Porto	L 0-5	1535	1572	59.6%	7.4%	33.0%	-11.0	6
1937-02-28	@ Leixoes	W 5-0	1572	1535	33.0%	7.4%	59.6%	+11.0	8
1937-03-07	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1479	1520	59.0%	7.4%	33.6%	+1.5	4
1937-03-07	@ Carcavelinhos	L 0-1	1520	1479	33.6%	7.4%	59.0%	-1.5	12
1937-03-07	Benfica	W 2-1	1583	1581	64.4%	7.3%	28.3%	+1.2	11
1937-03-07	@ Porto	L 1-2	1581	1583	28.3%	7.3%	64.4%	-1.2	18
1937-03-07	Leixoes	W 4-0	1561	1524	68.3%	7.3%	24.4%	+3.8	14
1937-03-07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1524	1561	24.4%	7.3%	68.3%	-3.8	6
1937-03-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1534	1565	60.2%	7.4%	32.4%	-7.5	3
1937-03-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 5-1	1565	1534	32.4%	7.4%	60.2%	+7.5	13
1937-03-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1519	1565	58.3%	7.4%	34.3%	-2.3	12
1937-03-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1565	1519	34.3%	7.4%	58.3%	+2.3	17
1937-03-14	Leixoes	W 9-0	1573	1521	69.9%	7.3%	22.8%	+7.7	16
1937-03-14	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-9	1521	1573	22.8%	7.3%	69.9%	-7.7	6
1937-03-14	Vitoria Setubal	W 8-1	1579	1526	70.0%	7.3%	22.7%	+5.0	21
1937-03-14	@ Benfica	L 1-8	1526	1579	22.7%	7.3%	70.0%	-5.0	3
1937-03-14	Carcavelinhos	W 4-2	1584	1481	74.8%	7.1%	18.1%	+1.2	14
1937-03-14	@ Porto	L 2-4	1481	1584	18.1%	7.1%	74.8%	-1.2	4
1937-03-21	Benfica	L 1-3	1480	1584	50.3%	7.4%	42.3%	-3.5	4
1937-03-21	@ Carcavelinhos	W 3-1	1584	1480	42.3%	7.4%	50.3%	+3.5	24
1937-03-21	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1513	1516	63.7%	7.4%	29.0%	-7.3	6
1937-03-21	@ Leixoes	W 3-0	1516	1513	29.0%	7.4%	63.7%	+7.3	15
1937-03-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1567	1581	62.5%	7.4%	30.1%	-2.3	17
1937-03-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1581	1567	30.1%	7.4%	62.5%	+2.3	19
1937-03-21	Porto	W 3-0	1521	1585	56.0%	7.4%	36.6%	+4.3	6
1937-03-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1585	1521	36.6%	7.4%	56.0%	-4.3	14
1937-04-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-5	1524	1583	56.6%	7.4%	36.0%	-3.3	15
1937-04-04	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 5-3	1583	1524	36.0%	7.4%	56.6%	+3.3	22
1937-04-04	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1476	1526	57.9%	7.4%	34.7%	+1.5	7
1937-04-04	@ Carcavelinhos	L 0-1	1526	1476	34.7%	7.4%	57.9%	-1.5	6
1937-04-04	Benfica	L 0-6	1506	1588	53.5%	7.4%	39.1%	-11.8	6
1937-04-04	@ Leixoes	W 6-0	1588	1506	39.1%	7.4%	53.5%	+11.8	27
1937-04-04	Porto	W 9-1	1565	1581	62.2%	7.4%	30.5%	+7.5	20
1937-04-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-9	1581	1565	30.5%	7.4%	62.2%	-7.5	14
1937-04-11	Carcavelinhos	W 3-0	1586	1478	75.2%	7.1%	17.6%	+2.1	25
1937-04-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1478	1586	17.6%	7.1%	75.2%	-2.1	7
1937-04-11	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 5-1	1600	1572	67.2%	7.3%	25.5%	+3.3	30
1937-04-11	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1572	1600	25.5%	7.3%	67.2%	-3.3	20
1937-04-11	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1573	1520	70.0%	7.3%	22.8%	+1.9	17
1937-04-11	@ Porto	L 0-2	1520	1573	22.8%	7.3%	70.0%	-1.9	15
1937-04-11	Leixoes	W 4-0	1524	1494	67.5%	7.3%	25.1%	+3.9	9
1937-04-11	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1494	1524	25.1%	7.3%	67.5%	-3.9	6
1937-04-18	Benfica	L 1-3	1519	1603	53.2%	7.4%	39.4%	-3.6	15
1937-04-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1603	1519	39.4%	7.4%	53.2%	+3.6	33
1937-04-18	Leixoes	W 4-0	1475	1490	62.4%	7.4%	30.3%	+4.7	10
1937-04-18	@ Carcavelinhos	L 0-4	1490	1475	30.3%	7.4%	62.4%	-4.7	6
1937-04-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1575	1588	62.5%	7.4%	30.1%	-2.5	17
1937-04-18	@ Porto	W 2-1	1588	1575	30.1%	7.4%	62.5%	+2.5	28
1937-04-18	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-1	1569	1528	68.7%	7.3%	24.0%	+3.1	23
1937-04-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1528	1569	24.0%	7.3%	68.7%	-3.1	9
1937-04-25	Benfica	W 1-0	1591	1607	62.2%	7.4%	30.4%	+1.3	31
1937-04-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1607	1591	30.4%	7.4%	62.2%	-1.3	33
1937-04-25	Leixoes	W 6-1	1573	1485	73.4%	7.2%	19.4%	+3.1	20
1937-04-25	@ Porto	L 1-6	1485	1573	19.4%	7.2%	73.4%	-3.1	6
1937-04-25	Carcavelinhos	W 8-0	1572	1480	73.8%	7.2%	19.1%	+5.8	26
1937-04-25	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-8	1480	1572	19.1%	7.2%	73.8%	-5.8	10
1937-04-25	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1525	1515	65.3%	7.3%	27.4%	-0.4	10
1937-04-25	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1515	1525	27.4%	7.3%	65.3%	+0.4	16
1937-05-02	Carcavelinhos	L 1-2	1515	1474	68.7%	7.3%	24.0%	-2.7	16
1937-05-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1474	1515	24.0%	7.3%	68.7%	+2.7	13
1937-05-02	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-0	1592	1524	71.5%	7.2%	21.3%	+4.1	34
1937-05-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-5	1524	1592	21.3%	7.2%	71.5%	-4.1	10
1937-05-02	Porto	W 6-0	1605	1576	67.5%	7.3%	25.2%	+5.8	36
1937-05-02	@ Benfica	L 0-6	1576	1605	25.2%	7.3%	67.5%	-5.8	20
1937-05-02	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-7	1482	1578	51.6%	7.4%	41.0%	-6.6	6
1937-05-02	@ Leixoes	W 7-2	1578	1482	41.0%	7.4%	51.6%	+6.6	29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1937-02-07	23.06%	Academica de Coimbra	1515	3	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1565	2
2	1937-05-02	23.98%	Carcavelinhos	1474	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1515	1
3	1937-03-21	28.97%	Academica de Coimbra	1516	3	@ Leixoes	1513	0
4	1937-02-14	29.56%	Benfica	1571	4	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1563	1
5	1937-01-10	29.85%	Benfica	1561	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1550	1
6	1937-04-18	30.10%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1588	2	@ Porto	1575	1
7	1937-03-21	30.14%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1581	3	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1567	2
8	1937-02-21	30.73%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1557	3	@ Vitoria Setubal	1539	2
9	1937-01-17	31.15%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1561	5	@ Leixoes	1540	3
10	1937-03-07	32.41%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1565	5	@ Vitoria Setubal	1534	1
11	1937-02-28	33.02%	Porto	1572	5	@ Leixoes	1535	0
12	1937-03-14	34.27%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1565	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1519	1
13	1937-04-04	35.98%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1583	5	@ Academica de Coimbra	1524	3
14	1937-02-14	38.26%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1562	2	@ Carcavelinhos	1486	1
15	1937-02-28	38.47%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1559	2	@ Carcavelinhos	1481	1
16	1937-04-04	39.11%	Benfica	1588	6	@ Leixoes	1506	0
17	1937-04-18	39.40%	Benfica	1603	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1519	1
18	1937-05-02	41.01%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1578	7	@ Leixoes	1482	2
19	1937-03-21	42.27%	Benfica	1584	3	@ Carcavelinhos	1480	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1937-04-04	11.76	Benfica	6	1588	39.11%	@ Leixoes	0	1506	53.48%
2	1937-02-28	10.99	Porto	5	1572	33.02%	@ Leixoes	0	1535	59.59%
3	1937-03-14	7.73	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	9	1573	69.91%	Leixoes	0	1521	22.83%
4	1937-03-07	7.51	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1565	32.41%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1	1534	60.20%
5	1937-04-04	7.49	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	9	1565	62.17%	Porto	1	1581	30.46%
6	1937-03-21	7.28	Academica de Coimbra	3	1516	28.97%	@ Leixoes	0	1513	63.68%
7	1937-01-24	6.89	@ Porto	7	1570	66.73%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1548	25.95%
8	1937-05-02	6.63	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	1578	41.01%	@ Leixoes	2	1482	51.58%
9	1937-02-14	6.09	Benfica	4	1571	29.56%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1563	63.07%
10	1937-04-25	5.80	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	1572	73.77%	Carcavelinhos	0	1480	19.05%
11	1937-05-02	5.79	@ Benfica	6	1605	67.45%	Porto	0	1576	25.24%
12	1937-01-31	5.04	@ Benfica	10	1566	67.76%	Leixoes	2	1534	24.93%
13	1937-03-14	4.98	@ Benfica	8	1579	70.01%	Vitoria Setubal	1	1526	22.73%
14	1937-04-18	4.71	@ Carcavelinhos	4	1475	62.35%	Leixoes	0	1490	30.28%
15	1937-03-21	4.31	@ Vitoria Setubal	3	1521	55.96%	Porto	0	1585	36.63%
16	1937-05-02	4.14	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1592	71.46%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1524	21.30%
17	1937-04-11	3.94	@ Vitoria Setubal	4	1524	67.55%	Leixoes	0	1494	25.14%
18	1937-02-14	3.90	@ Leixoes	5	1529	62.51%	Vitoria Setubal	1	1542	30.12%
19	1937-03-07	3.83	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1561	68.26%	Leixoes	0	1524	24.44%
20	1937-04-18	3.65	Benfica	3	1603	39.40%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1519	53.19%
21	1937-02-21	3.56	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1564	62.73%	Porto	0	1576	29.91%
22	1937-01-17	3.55	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1561	31.15%	@ Leixoes	3	1540	61.47%
23	1937-03-21	3.46	Benfica	3	1584	42.27%	@ Carcavelinhos	1	1480	50.32%
24	1937-04-11	3.32	@ Benfica	5	1600	67.23%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1572	25.46%
25	1937-04-04	3.27	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1583	35.98%	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1524	56.61%