1954-55 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

39 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Os Belenenses (1st)

10.25 points above expected

39 points · 28.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

GD Fabril

4.44 points below expected

25 points · 29.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	18	3	5	39	61	20	+41	32.0	+6.99
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	17	5	4	39	63	28	+35	28.8	+10.25
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	15	7	4	37	73	27	+46	35.5	+1.47
4	Porto	26	12	6	8	30	51	34	+17	32.2	-2.19
5	Braga	26	12	5	9	29	52	42	+10	28.4	+0.59
6	Academica de Coimbra	26	10	5	11	25	53	52	+1	23.1	+1.88
7	GD Fabril	26	10	5	11	25	45	52	-7	29.4	-4.44
8	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	9	4	13	22	42	52	-10	24.8	-2.83
9	Vitoria Setubal	26	8	6	12	22	37	52	-15	24.1	-2.07
10	Lusitano de Evora	26	9	3	14	21	40	70	-30	21.4	-0.37
11	Barreirense	26	7	6	13	20	25	38	-13	23.5	-3.50
12	Sporting Covilha	26	8	4	14	20	32	53	-21	22.6	-2.64
13	Boavista	26	7	4	15	18	33	71	-38	17.6	+0.35
14	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	5	7	14	17	33	49	-16	20.5	-3.49

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1655	37	35.53	+1.47	72.0%	24	30	32	36	38	42	45
Benfica	1591	39	32.01	+6.99	98.0%	24	26	29	32	35	38	41
Os Belenenses (1st)	1567	39	28.75	+10.25	100.0%	19	22	25	29	32	36	38
Porto	1510	30	32.19	-2.19	32.0%	21	26	30	32	34	38	41
Braga	1433	29	28.41	+0.59	63.0%	20	23	26	28	31	34	38
GD Fabril	1396	25	29.44	-4.44	19.0%	19	23	26	29	33	36	40
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1350	22	24.83	-2.83	32.0%	18	18	22	24	27	32	34
Academica de Coimbra	1335	25	23.12	+1.88	71.0%	13	17	20	23	26	29	34
Vitoria Setubal	1331	22	24.07	-2.07	37.0%	11	18	21	24	27	29	34
Sporting Covilha	1328	20	22.64	-2.64	33.0%	14	16	20	22	25	30	36
Barreirense	1324	20	23.50	-3.50	19.0%	14	16	21	23	26	30	32
Lusitano de Evora	1320	21	21.37	-0.37	53.0%	10	16	19	21	24	28	30
Vitoria Guimaraes	1282	17	20.49	-3.49	23.0%	12	13	18	20	23	27	33
Boavista	1271	18	17.65	+0.35	56.0%	7	11	15	18	20	24	29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BAR	BEN	BOA	BRA	GF	LDE	OB(	POR	SCDP	SC	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.85	0-0-2 1.77	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 2.17	1-1-0 2.04	1-1-0 3.10	0-1-1 2.13	0-0-2 1.87	1-1-0 1.45	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.28	1-1-0 2.78
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 3.04	—	1-0-1 3.14	0-0-2 1.98	1-0-1 3.46	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.34	1-0-1 3.28	0-1-1 2.47	1-1-0 1.79	0-0-2 1.70	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-0 3.42	0-1-1 2.98
Barreirense	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.51	—	1-0-1 1.75	1-0-1 3.50	0-0-2 2.48	0-0-2 2.49	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 1.76	0-1-1 1.49	0-2-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 2.72
Benfica	2-0-0 3.89	2-0-0 3.68	1-0-1 3.92	—	2-0-0 4.40	1-0-1 3.39	1-1-0 3.20	2-0-0 3.71	1-1-0 3.29	1-0-1 3.04	1-1-0 2.53	2-0-0 3.98	1-0-1 3.86	1-0-1 3.84
Boavista	1-0-1 2.36	1-0-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.15	0-0-2 1.27	—	1-0-1 1.58	0-1-1 1.68	1-0-1 2.45	0-1-1 1.78	1-0-1 1.26	0-0-2 1.06	1-0-1 2.28	0-1-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.38
Braga	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 3.22	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 4.08	—	0-2-0 2.77	1-0-1 3.69	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 1.91	2-0-0 3.46	1-1-0 3.85	1-0-1 3.21
GD Fabril	0-1-1 3.62	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 3.16	0-1-1 2.45	1-1-0 3.98	0-2-0 2.89	—	2-0-0 3.68	0-0-2 2.81	0-0-2 2.37	0-0-2 1.85	1-0-1 3.54	2-0-0 3.62	1-0-1 3.38
Lusitano de Evora	0-1-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.38	1-1-0 2.58	0-0-2 1.96	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 1.97	0-0-2 1.98	—	0-0-2 1.83	1-0-1 1.48	1-0-1 1.22	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.46
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-1-0 3.52	1-1-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.23	0-1-1 2.36	1-1-0 3.89	1-0-1 3.17	2-0-0 2.83	2-0-0 3.83	—	2-0-0 2.32	1-1-0 2.22	2-0-0 3.62	2-0-0 3.56	1-0-1 3.47
Porto	2-0-0 3.79	0-1-1 3.86	2-0-0 3.89	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 4.41	1-1-0 3.33	2-0-0 3.29	1-0-1 4.19	0-0-2 3.33	—	0-1-1 2.52	1-1-0 3.93	0-2-0 4.20	1-0-1 3.70
Sporting Clube de Portugal	0-1-1 4.22	2-0-0 3.97	1-1-0 4.18	0-1-1 3.12	2-0-0 4.63	1-1-0 3.75	2-0-0 3.81	1-0-1 4.45	0-1-1 3.43	1-1-0 3.14	—	1-1-0 4.51	2-0-0 4.52	2-0-0 4.21
Sporting Covilha	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.64	0-2-0 2.73	0-0-2 1.69	1-0-1 3.37	0-0-2 2.20	1-0-1 2.12	1-0-1 3.13	0-0-2 2.04	0-1-1 1.74	0-1-1 1.18	—	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.71
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-0-1 2.37	0-1-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 1.80	1-1-0 3.05	0-1-1 1.81	0-0-2 2.04	1-0-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.10	0-2-0 1.47	0-0-2 1.16	0-0-2 2.65	—	1-1-0 2.43
Vitoria Setubal	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.67	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 1.82	1-1-0 3.27	1-0-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.27	0-1-1 3.19	1-0-1 2.18	1-0-1 1.96	0-0-2 1.45	1-0-1 2.94	0-1-1 3.22	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.20%	6.87%	4.12%	3.57%	1.92%	2.20%	20.88%
1	6.87%	9.89%	8.52%	3.57%	1.92%	1.65%	32.42%
2	4.12%	8.52%	6.59%	1.92%	0.55%	1.92%	23.63%
3	3.57%	3.57%	1.92%	0.55%	0.55%	0.82%	10.99%
4	1.92%	1.92%	0.55%	0.55%	—	0.27%	5.22%
5+	2.20%	1.65%	1.92%	0.82%	0.27%	—	6.87%
Total	20.88%	32.42%	23.63%	10.99%	5.22%	6.87%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.76
Mean allowed	1.76
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	3.52
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.037
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	11.54%	15.38%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	—	57.69%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	34.62%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.61
StdDev allowed	1.77
Mean total goals/game	4.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.126
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	19.23%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.267
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	34.62%
1	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	26.92%	15.38%	3.85%	—	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.96
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.327
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
1	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	50.00%	34.62%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.35
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	2.62
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.091
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	42.31%
1	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	3.85%	38.46%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	2.73
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	2.57
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.262
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	—	11.54%	—	46.15%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	30.77%	26.92%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.277
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	7.69%	46.15%	11.54%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

GD Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.352
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	23.08%
2	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	26.92%	15.38%	19.23%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.69
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	2.62
Mean total goals/game	4.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.160
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
1	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	34.62%	26.92%	34.62%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.42
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.63
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.109
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	—	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
2	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	30.77%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	42.31%	19.23%	3.85%	—	7.69%	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.89
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.262
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	30.77%
Total	30.77%	34.62%	34.62%	—	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.81
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	2.38
StdDev allowed	0.82
Mean total goals/game	3.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.106
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	19.23%	42.31%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.386
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	15.38%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	46.15%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	26.92%	30.77%	23.08%	7.69%	—	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.163
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	7.69%	26.92%
1	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	19.23%	7.69%	—	19.23%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	2.02
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.107
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	39	28.8	+10.25
2	Benfica	39	32.0	+6.99
3	Academica de Coimbra	25	23.1	+1.88
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	37	35.5	+1.47
5	Braga	29	28.4	+0.59

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	GD Fabril	25	29.4	-4.44
2	Barreirense	20	23.5	-3.50
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	17	20.5	-3.49
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	22	24.8	-2.83
5	Sporting Covilha	20	22.6	-2.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Covilha	4	Jan 16 – Feb 13	1 in 95
2	Benfica	5	Sep 26 – Oct 24	1 in 76
3	Academica de Coimbra	2	Oct 3 – Oct 10	1 in 44
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	Mar 6 – Apr 17	1 in 26
5	Vitoria Setubal	3	Oct 3 – Oct 17	1 in 19

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	2	Feb 27 – Mar 6	1 in 44
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	5	Oct 3 – Oct 31	1 in 37
3	Barreirense	6	Jan 16 – Feb 27	1 in 37
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	4	Mar 6 – Apr 3	1 in 31
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	Oct 10 – Oct 10	1 in 22

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	14	Jan 2 – Apr 24	1 in 1,753
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	11	Jan 23 – Apr 24	1 in 63
3	Braga	7	Oct 24 – Jan 2	1 in 54
4	Sporting Covilha	5	Jan 9 – Feb 13	1 in 46
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	6	Oct 24 – Dec 12	1 in 30

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barreirense	9	Dec 12 – Feb 27	1 in 80
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	11	Sep 26 – Jan 2	1 in 63
3	Vitoria Setubal	7	Oct 24 – Jan 2	1 in 41
4	Braga	4	Feb 27 – Mar 20	1 in 23
5	Boavista	10	Sep 19 – Dec 5	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	15.00%	29.00%	14.00%	16.00%	12.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	5.00%	11.00%	14.00%	10.00%	20.00%	7.00%	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%	2.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	56.00%	19.00%	13.00%	8.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	12.00%	24.00%	27.00%	11.00%	12.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—
Braga	4.00%	2.00%	10.00%	19.00%	17.00%	13.00%	15.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Academica de Coimbra	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	9.00%	9.00%	16.00%	12.00%	17.00%	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%
GD Fabril	6.00%	11.00%	13.00%	13.00%	15.00%	14.00%	13.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	—
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	12.00%	13.00%	9.00%	14.00%	8.00%	15.00%	6.00%	8.00%	—
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	14.00%	11.00%	9.00%	18.00%	13.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Lusitano de Evora	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	12.00%	17.00%	21.00%	20.00%	6.00%
Barreirense	—	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%	14.00%	9.00%	14.00%	15.00%	11.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Sporting Covilha	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	12.00%	14.00%	18.00%	14.00%	6.00%
Boavista	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	8.00%	24.00%	51.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%	9.00%	13.00%	18.00%	21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Braga	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
GD Fabril	99.0%	1.0%
Porto	99.0%	1.0%
Vitoria Setubal	93.0%	7.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	92.0%	8.0%
Barreirense	89.0%	11.0%
Academica de Coimbra	88.0%	12.0%
Sporting Covilha	80.0%	20.0%
Lusitano de Evora	74.0%	26.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	61.0%	39.0%
Boavista	25.0%	75.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1954-09-12	Porto	W 1-0	1423	1508	54.8%	17.8%	27.4%	+7.3	3
1954-09-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1508	1423	27.4%	17.8%	54.8%	-7.3	0
1954-09-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-0	1484	1348	73.8%	16.6%	9.6%	+12.1	3
1954-09-12	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1348	1484	9.6%	16.6%	73.8%	-12.2	0
1954-09-12	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1284	1389	52.3%	17.9%	29.8%	+21.5	3
1954-09-12	@ Boavista	L 0-3	1389	1284	29.8%	17.9%	52.3%	-21.5	0
1954-09-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1417	1594	42.7%	17.8%	39.5%	-0.1	1
1954-09-12	@ Braga	D 2-2	1594	1417	39.5%	17.8%	42.7%	+0.1	1
1954-09-12	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1489	1293	76.9%	16.0%	7.0%	-4.2	1
1954-09-12	@ GD Fabril	D 1-1	1293	1489	7.0%	16.0%	76.9%	+4.2	1
1954-09-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1358	1330	66.2%	17.4%	16.4%	+4.3	3
1954-09-12	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1330	1358	16.4%	17.4%	66.2%	-4.3	0
1954-09-12	Barreirense	D 1-1	1403	1374	66.3%	17.4%	16.2%	-2.9	1
1954-09-12	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1374	1403	16.2%	17.4%	66.3%	+2.9	1
1954-09-19	Sporting Covilha	W 5-1	1298	1400	52.7%	17.9%	29.5%	+23.1	4
1954-09-19	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1400	1298	29.5%	17.9%	52.7%	-23.1	1
1954-09-19	GD Fabril	W 1-0	1368	1485	50.8%	17.9%	31.3%	+8.2	3
1954-09-19	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1485	1368	31.3%	17.9%	50.8%	-8.2	1
1954-09-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1377	1430	58.4%	17.8%	23.8%	+6.5	4
1954-09-19	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1430	1377	23.8%	17.8%	58.4%	-6.5	3
1954-09-19	Braga	D 1-1	1500	1417	70.5%	17.1%	12.4%	-3.5	1
1954-09-19	@ Porto	D 1-1	1417	1500	12.4%	17.1%	70.5%	+3.5	2
1954-09-19	Lusitano de Evora	W 9-1	1594	1362	78.6%	15.6%	5.8%	+9.5	4
1954-09-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-9	1362	1594	5.8%	15.6%	78.6%	-9.5	3
1954-09-19	Benfica	W 2-1	1326	1496	43.7%	17.8%	38.5%	+9.1	3
1954-09-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1496	1326	38.5%	17.8%	43.7%	-9.2	3
1954-09-19	Boavista	W 4-0	1336	1305	66.5%	17.4%	16.1%	+16.2	3
1954-09-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1305	1336	16.1%	17.4%	66.5%	-16.2	3
1954-09-26	Academica de Coimbra	W 6-2	1423	1321	71.8%	16.9%	11.3%	+8.2	6
1954-09-26	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-6	1321	1423	11.3%	16.9%	71.8%	-8.2	4
1954-09-26	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1289	1335	59.2%	17.8%	23.1%	-1.5	4
1954-09-26	@ Boavista	D 2-2	1335	1289	23.1%	17.8%	59.2%	+1.5	4
1954-09-26	Barreirense	W 4-0	1421	1383	67.0%	17.4%	15.6%	+15.7	5
1954-09-26	@ Braga	L 0-4	1383	1421	15.6%	17.4%	67.0%	-15.7	4
1954-09-26	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1476	1352	73.1%	16.7%	10.1%	+2.7	4
1954-09-26	@ GD Fabril	L 1-2	1352	1476	10.1%	16.7%	73.1%	-2.8	3
1954-09-26	Benfica	L 0-2	1352	1487	48.5%	17.9%	33.6%	-22.3	3
1954-09-26	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1487	1352	33.6%	17.9%	48.5%	+22.3	6
1954-09-26	Porto	W 5-1	1604	1497	72.1%	16.9%	11.1%	+9.5	7
1954-09-26	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1497	1604	11.1%	16.9%	72.1%	-9.5	1
1954-09-26	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1377	1376	63.8%	17.6%	18.6%	-25.0	1
1954-09-26	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1376	1377	18.6%	17.6%	63.8%	+25.0	6
1954-10-03	Braga	W 4-1	1313	1436	49.9%	17.9%	32.2%	+19.3	7
1954-10-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1436	1313	32.2%	17.9%	49.9%	-19.3	5
1954-10-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1401	1432	60.8%	17.7%	21.5%	-1.7	7
1954-10-03	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1432	1401	21.5%	17.7%	60.8%	+1.7	7
1954-10-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1368	1613	33.3%	17.6%	49.1%	+1.0	5
1954-10-03	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1613	1368	49.1%	17.6%	33.3%	-1.0	8
1954-10-03	Boavista	W 11-0	1509	1288	78.1%	15.7%	6.2%	+16.6	9
1954-10-03	@ Benfica	L 0-11	1288	1509	6.2%	15.7%	78.1%	-16.6	4
1954-10-03	Lusitano de Evora	W 9-0	1487	1330	75.0%	16.4%	8.6%	+19.0	4
1954-10-03	@ Porto	L 0-9	1330	1487	8.6%	16.4%	75.0%	-19.0	3
1954-10-03	GD Fabril	L 1-2	1337	1479	47.4%	17.9%	34.7%	-10.9	4
1954-10-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1479	1337	34.7%	17.9%	47.4%	+10.9	7
1954-10-03	Sporting Covilha	W 4-0	1350	1352	63.6%	17.6%	18.8%	+18.7	6
1954-10-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1352	1350	18.8%	17.6%	63.6%	-18.7	1
1954-10-10	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1433	1368	69.2%	17.2%	13.6%	-15.7	7
1954-10-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1368	1433	13.6%	17.2%	69.2%	+15.7	9
1954-10-10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1417	1399	65.4%	17.5%	17.1%	+7.0	8
1954-10-10	@ Braga	L 2-4	1399	1417	17.1%	17.5%	65.4%	-7.0	7
1954-10-10	Benfica	L 0-1	1490	1526	60.3%	17.7%	22.0%	-14.5	7
1954-10-10	@ GD Fabril	W 1-0	1526	1490	22.0%	17.7%	60.3%	+14.5	12
1954-10-10	Boavista	W 2-1	1311	1271	67.2%	17.4%	15.4%	+4.1	6
1954-10-10	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1271	1311	15.4%	17.4%	67.2%	-4.1	4
1954-10-10	Barreirense	W 2-0	1506	1369	74.0%	16.6%	9.4%	+5.1	7
1954-10-10	@ Porto	L 0-2	1369	1506	9.4%	16.6%	74.0%	-5.1	5
1954-10-10	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1612	1332	80.5%	15.0%	4.5%	-19.2	8
1954-10-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1332	1612	4.5%	15.0%	80.5%	+19.2	10
1954-10-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1333	1326	64.4%	17.5%	18.0%	+4.7	4
1954-10-10	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1326	1333	18.0%	17.5%	64.4%	-4.7	4
1954-10-17	Porto	L 1-3	1351	1512	45.0%	17.8%	37.1%	-18.1	10
1954-10-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1512	1351	37.1%	17.8%	45.0%	+18.1	10
1954-10-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1392	1593	39.3%	17.8%	42.9%	-9.9	7
1954-10-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1593	1392	42.9%	17.8%	39.3%	+9.9	11
1954-10-17	Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1363	1315	67.9%	17.3%	14.8%	-2.3	6
1954-10-17	@ Barreirense	D 2-2	1315	1363	14.8%	17.3%	67.9%	+2.3	7
1954-10-17	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1540	1338	77.3%	15.9%	6.8%	+1.8	15
1954-10-17	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1338	1540	6.8%	15.9%	77.3%	-1.8	4
1954-10-17	GD Fabril	D 2-2	1267	1476	38.2%	17.7%	44.0%	+0.2	5
1954-10-17	@ Boavista	D 2-2	1476	1267	44.0%	17.7%	38.2%	-0.2	8
1954-10-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1321	1418	53.3%	17.9%	28.8%	-21.0	4
1954-10-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1418	1321	28.8%	17.9%	53.3%	+21.0	10
1954-10-17	Braga	W 4-1	1384	1424	59.8%	17.7%	22.4%	+14.1	12
1954-10-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1424	1384	22.4%	17.7%	59.8%	-14.2	8
1954-10-24	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1361	1333	66.3%	17.4%	16.3%	+4.3	9
1954-10-24	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1333	1361	16.3%	17.4%	66.3%	-4.3	10
1954-10-24	Benfica	L 1-2	1439	1542	52.5%	17.9%	29.6%	-12.0	10
1954-10-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1542	1439	29.6%	17.9%	52.5%	+12.0	18
1954-10-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1410	1300	72.3%	16.9%	10.9%	+5.1	11
1954-10-24	@ Braga	L 1-3	1300	1410	10.9%	16.9%	72.3%	-5.1	4
1954-10-24	GD Fabril	L 0-3	1318	1475	45.4%	17.8%	36.8%	-30.5	7
1954-10-24	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 3-0	1475	1318	36.8%	17.8%	45.4%	+30.5	11
1954-10-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1530	1382	74.5%	16.5%	9.0%	-2.5	11
1954-10-24	@ Porto	D 3-3	1382	1530	9.0%	16.5%	74.5%	+2.5	8
1954-10-24	Vitoria Setubal	W 7-2	1603	1398	77.4%	15.9%	6.7%	+5.9	14
1954-10-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-7	1398	1603	6.7%	15.9%	77.4%	-5.9	12
1954-10-24	Boavista	W 2-0	1336	1267	69.4%	17.2%	13.4%	+7.2	7
1954-10-24	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1267	1336	13.4%	17.2%	69.4%	-7.2	5
1954-10-31	Lusitano de Evora	W 7-4	1329	1287	67.4%	17.3%	15.3%	+7.6	13
1954-10-31	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 4-7	1287	1329	15.3%	17.3%	67.4%	-7.6	7
1954-10-31	Barreirense	W 1-0	1385	1365	65.5%	17.5%	17.0%	+4.8	11
1954-10-31	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1365	1385	17.0%	17.5%	65.5%	-4.8	9
1954-10-31	Braga	L 0-1	1554	1415	74.0%	16.6%	9.4%	-17.8	18
1954-10-31	@ Benfica	W 1-0	1415	1554	9.4%	16.6%	74.0%	+17.8	14
1954-10-31	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1260	1427	44.1%	17.8%	38.0%	-0.3	6
1954-10-31	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1427	1260	38.0%	17.8%	44.1%	+0.3	11
1954-10-31	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1506	1343	75.3%	16.4%	8.3%	+6.6	14
1954-10-31	@ GD Fabril	L 0-3	1343	1506	8.3%	16.4%	75.3%	-6.6	7
1954-10-31	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1295	1609	25.1%	17.2%	57.7%	-6.3	4
1954-10-31	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1609	1295	57.7%	17.2%	25.1%	+6.3	17
1954-10-31	Porto	L 0-2	1392	1527	48.4%	17.9%	33.7%	-22.3	12
1954-10-31	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1527	1392	33.7%	17.9%	48.4%	+22.3	14
1954-11-07	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1336	1390	58.4%	17.8%	23.8%	-13.2	13
1954-11-07	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1390	1336	23.8%	17.8%	58.4%	+13.2	14
1954-11-07	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1361	1370	62.9%	17.6%	19.5%	+8.8	12
1954-11-07	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1370	1361	19.5%	17.6%	62.9%	-8.8	12
1954-11-07	GD Fabril	W 4-1	1427	1513	54.7%	17.8%	27.5%	+16.9	14
1954-11-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1513	1427	27.5%	17.8%	54.7%	-16.9	14
1954-11-07	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1279	1336	58.0%	17.8%	24.2%	+17.9	10
1954-11-07	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-3	1336	1279	24.2%	17.8%	58.0%	-18.0	7
1954-11-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1549	1289	79.7%	15.2%	5.0%	-4.6	15
1954-11-07	@ Porto	D 1-1	1289	1549	5.0%	15.2%	79.7%	+4.5	5
1954-11-07	Benfica	L 0-1	1615	1536	70.2%	17.1%	12.7%	-16.9	17
1954-11-07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1536	1615	12.7%	17.1%	70.2%	+16.9	21
1954-11-14	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-2	1403	1297	72.0%	16.9%	11.1%	+2.9	17
1954-11-14	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1297	1403	11.1%	16.9%	72.0%	-2.8	10
1954-11-14	Porto	W 1-0	1553	1545	64.5%	17.5%	17.9%	+5.0	24
1954-11-14	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1545	1553	17.9%	17.5%	64.5%	-5.0	15
1954-11-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1260	1598	22.5%	17.0%	60.4%	-5.7	6
1954-11-14	@ Boavista	W 2-1	1598	1260	60.4%	17.0%	22.5%	+5.7	20
1954-11-14	Braga	D 1-1	1496	1433	69.0%	17.2%	13.8%	-3.3	15
1954-11-14	@ GD Fabril	D 1-1	1433	1496	13.8%	17.2%	69.0%	+3.3	15
1954-11-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1318	1444	49.7%	17.9%	32.4%	-11.4	7
1954-11-14	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1444	1318	32.4%	17.9%	49.7%	+11.4	17
1954-11-14	Barreirense	D 1-1	1293	1369	55.8%	17.8%	26.4%	-1.6	6
1954-11-14	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1369	1293	26.4%	17.8%	55.8%	+1.6	13
1954-11-14	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1361	1323	67.1%	17.4%	15.5%	-3.0	13
1954-11-14	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1323	1361	15.5%	17.4%	67.1%	+3.0	14
1954-11-21	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1326	1291	66.8%	17.4%	15.8%	+12.2	17
1954-11-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1291	1326	15.8%	17.4%	66.8%	-12.2	6
1954-11-21	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1406	1358	67.8%	17.3%	14.8%	-3.1	18
1954-11-21	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1358	1406	14.8%	17.3%	67.8%	+3.1	14
1954-11-21	Benfica	W 3-0	1371	1558	41.3%	17.8%	40.9%	+28.0	16
1954-11-21	@ Barreirense	L 0-3	1558	1371	40.9%	17.8%	41.3%	-28.0	24
1954-11-21	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1436	1307	73.4%	16.7%	9.9%	+2.7	18
1954-11-21	@ Braga	L 1-2	1307	1436	9.9%	16.7%	73.4%	-2.7	7
1954-11-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1294	1455	45.0%	17.8%	37.2%	-10.4	10
1954-11-21	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1455	1294	37.2%	17.8%	45.0%	+10.4	20
1954-11-21	Boavista	W 5-0	1540	1254	80.7%	14.9%	4.4%	+5.5	18
1954-11-21	@ Porto	L 0-5	1254	1540	4.4%	14.9%	80.7%	-5.5	6
1954-11-21	GD Fabril	W 6-0	1604	1492	72.4%	16.8%	10.8%	+16.2	23
1954-11-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1492	1604	10.8%	16.8%	72.4%	-16.2	15
1954-12-05	Boavista	W 1-0	1439	1248	76.7%	16.1%	7.2%	+2.1	21
1954-12-05	@ Braga	L 0-1	1248	1439	7.2%	16.1%	76.7%	-2.1	6
1954-12-12	Braga	L 2-3	1466	1441	66.0%	17.4%	16.6%	-14.2	20
1954-12-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1441	1466	16.6%	17.4%	66.0%	+14.2	24
1954-12-12	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1530	1338	76.8%	16.1%	7.2%	+3.4	27
1954-12-12	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1338	1530	7.2%	16.1%	76.8%	-3.4	17
1954-12-12	Barreirense	W 2-1	1246	1399	46.1%	17.9%	36.1%	+8.7	9
1954-12-12	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1399	1246	36.1%	17.9%	46.1%	-8.7	16
1954-12-12	Porto	L 0-2	1476	1545	56.6%	17.8%	25.6%	-25.7	15
1954-12-12	@ GD Fabril	W 2-0	1545	1476	25.6%	17.8%	56.6%	+25.7	21
1954-12-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1284	1361	55.7%	17.8%	26.5%	+13.4	13
1954-12-12	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-2	1361	1284	26.5%	17.8%	55.7%	-13.4	14
1954-12-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1304	1620	24.9%	17.2%	57.9%	+1.4	8
1954-12-12	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1620	1304	57.9%	17.2%	24.9%	-1.4	24
1954-12-12	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1279	1402	50.0%	17.9%	32.1%	-1.1	7
1954-12-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1402	1279	32.1%	17.9%	50.0%	+1.1	19
1955-01-02	Boavista	W 1-0	1335	1255	70.3%	17.1%	12.7%	+3.6	20
1955-01-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1255	1335	12.7%	17.1%	70.3%	-3.6	9
1955-01-02	Benfica	L 1-2	1404	1533	49.1%	17.9%	33.0%	-11.3	19
1955-01-02	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1533	1404	33.0%	17.9%	49.1%	+11.3	30
1955-01-02	GD Fabril	L 1-2	1390	1450	57.6%	17.8%	24.6%	-13.1	16
1955-01-02	@ Barreirense	W 2-1	1450	1390	24.6%	17.8%	57.6%	+13.1	18
1955-01-02	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-0	1455	1297	75.0%	16.4%	8.6%	+8.8	27
1955-01-02	@ Braga	L 0-4	1297	1455	8.6%	16.4%	75.0%	-8.8	13
1955-01-02	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1571	1306	79.9%	15.2%	4.9%	+2.6	24
1955-01-02	@ Porto	L 0-2	1306	1571	4.9%	15.2%	79.9%	-2.7	8
1955-01-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1619	1452	75.5%	16.3%	8.1%	-17.1	24
1955-01-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1452	1619	8.1%	16.3%	75.5%	+17.1	23
1955-01-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1348	1278	69.5%	17.2%	13.3%	-2.5	15
1955-01-02	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1278	1348	13.3%	17.2%	69.5%	+2.5	8
1955-01-09	GD Fabril	W 5-1	1339	1464	49.8%	17.9%	32.4%	+25.1	23
1955-01-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1464	1339	32.4%	17.9%	49.8%	-25.1	18
1955-01-09	Boavista	W 8-3	1392	1251	74.1%	16.6%	9.3%	+7.4	22
1955-01-09	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 3-8	1251	1392	9.3%	16.6%	74.1%	-7.4	9
1955-01-09	Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1377	1303	69.9%	17.1%	13.0%	-2.5	17
1955-01-09	@ Barreirense	D 2-2	1303	1377	13.0%	17.1%	69.9%	+2.5	9
1955-01-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1574	1469	72.0%	16.9%	11.2%	-17.3	24
1955-01-09	@ Porto	W 1-0	1469	1574	11.2%	16.9%	72.0%	+17.3	26
1955-01-09	Braga	W 5-2	1602	1464	74.0%	16.6%	9.4%	+5.4	27
1955-01-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1464	1602	9.4%	16.6%	74.0%	-5.4	27
1955-01-09	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1281	1289	63.0%	17.6%	19.4%	+5.4	11
1955-01-09	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1289	1281	19.4%	17.6%	63.0%	-5.4	13
1955-01-09	Benfica	W 1-0	1345	1545	39.5%	17.8%	42.7%	+10.6	18
1955-01-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1545	1345	42.7%	17.8%	39.5%	-10.6	30
1955-01-16	Barreirense	W 3-0	1486	1375	72.3%	16.8%	10.8%	+8.5	29
1955-01-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1375	1486	10.8%	16.8%	72.3%	-8.5	17
1955-01-16	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-0	1534	1286	79.2%	15.4%	5.4%	+5.5	33
1955-01-16	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1286	1534	5.4%	15.4%	79.2%	-5.5	11
1955-01-16	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1244	1356	51.4%	17.9%	30.7%	-1.1	10
1955-01-16	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1356	1244	30.7%	17.9%	51.4%	+1.1	19
1955-01-16	Porto	L 1-2	1458	1556	53.2%	17.9%	29.0%	-12.1	27
1955-01-16	@ Braga	W 2-1	1556	1458	29.0%	17.9%	53.2%	+12.1	27
1955-01-16	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1438	1400	67.2%	17.4%	15.5%	+10.1	21
1955-01-16	@ GD Fabril	L 1-4	1400	1438	15.5%	17.4%	67.2%	-10.1	22
1955-01-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1283	1607	24.0%	17.1%	58.8%	+13.3	16
1955-01-16	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1607	1283	58.8%	17.1%	24.0%	-13.2	27
1955-01-16	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1306	1364	57.9%	17.8%	24.3%	+5.9	12
1955-01-16	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1364	1306	24.3%	17.8%	57.9%	-5.9	23
1955-01-23	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1358	1494	48.2%	17.9%	33.9%	-0.6	24
1955-01-23	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1494	1358	33.9%	17.9%	48.2%	+0.6	30
1955-01-23	Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1390	1312	70.1%	17.1%	12.8%	-16.9	22
1955-01-23	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1312	1390	12.8%	17.1%	70.1%	+16.9	15
1955-01-23	Braga	L 1-3	1366	1446	55.4%	17.8%	26.8%	-21.8	17
1955-01-23	@ Barreirense	W 3-1	1446	1366	26.8%	17.8%	55.4%	+21.8	30
1955-01-23	Lusitano de Evora	W 7-1	1540	1296	79.0%	15.5%	5.5%	+6.8	36
1955-01-23	@ Benfica	L 1-7	1296	1540	5.5%	15.5%	79.0%	-6.8	16
1955-01-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1569	1594	61.3%	17.7%	21.0%	-2.3	28
1955-01-23	@ Porto	D 1-1	1594	1569	21.0%	17.7%	61.3%	+2.3	28
1955-01-23	Boavista	W 2-0	1280	1243	67.0%	17.4%	15.6%	+8.3	14
1955-01-23	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1243	1280	15.6%	17.4%	67.0%	-8.3	10
1955-01-23	GD Fabril	W 3-1	1357	1449	54.0%	17.8%	28.2%	+12.2	22
1955-01-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1449	1357	28.2%	17.8%	54.0%	-12.2	21
1955-02-06	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-2	1495	1373	73.0%	16.7%	10.2%	+5.9	33
1955-02-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-5	1373	1495	10.2%	16.7%	73.0%	-5.9	22
1955-02-06	Benfica	L 0-3	1235	1546	25.3%	17.2%	57.5%	-18.5	10
1955-02-06	@ Boavista	W 3-0	1546	1235	57.5%	17.2%	25.3%	+18.5	39
1955-02-06	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1468	1357	72.3%	16.8%	10.8%	+7.2	33
1955-02-06	@ Braga	L 1-4	1357	1468	10.8%	16.8%	72.3%	-7.2	24
1955-02-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-3	1436	1289	74.5%	16.5%	9.0%	+2.3	24
1955-02-06	@ GD Fabril	L 3-4	1289	1436	9.0%	16.5%	74.5%	-2.3	14
1955-02-06	Porto	W 2-1	1290	1566	29.4%	17.4%	53.2%	+12.1	19
1955-02-06	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1566	1290	53.2%	17.4%	29.4%	-12.1	28
1955-02-06	Barreirense	W 1-0	1596	1344	79.4%	15.4%	5.3%	+1.5	31
1955-02-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1344	1596	5.3%	15.4%	79.4%	-1.5	17
1955-02-06	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1328	1369	59.7%	17.7%	22.5%	+11.6	18
1955-02-06	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1369	1328	22.5%	17.7%	59.7%	-11.6	22
1955-02-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1350	1598	33.0%	17.6%	49.4%	+0.9	25
1955-02-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1598	1350	49.4%	17.6%	33.0%	-0.9	32
1955-02-13	Braga	W 2-1	1367	1475	51.9%	17.9%	30.2%	+7.5	25
1955-02-13	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1475	1367	30.2%	17.9%	51.9%	-7.5	33
1955-02-13	Porto	L 1-3	1343	1554	37.9%	17.7%	44.4%	-15.6	17
1955-02-13	@ Barreirense	W 3-1	1554	1343	44.4%	17.7%	37.9%	+15.6	31
1955-02-13	GD Fabril	D 1-1	1565	1439	73.3%	16.7%	10.0%	-3.8	40
1955-02-13	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1439	1565	10.0%	16.7%	73.3%	+3.8	25
1955-02-13	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-1	1216	1302	54.7%	17.8%	27.5%	+16.9	13
1955-02-13	@ Boavista	L 1-4	1302	1216	27.5%	17.8%	54.7%	-16.9	19
1955-02-13	Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1286	1340	58.4%	17.8%	23.8%	-12.5	14
1955-02-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1340	1286	23.8%	17.8%	58.4%	+12.6	21
1955-02-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1358	1501	47.3%	17.9%	34.8%	-11.6	22
1955-02-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1501	1358	34.8%	17.9%	47.3%	+11.6	36
1955-02-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1512	1274	78.8%	15.5%	5.6%	+4.4	39
1955-02-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1274	1512	5.6%	15.5%	78.8%	-4.4	14
1955-02-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-0	1468	1346	73.0%	16.8%	10.3%	+13.0	36
1955-02-20	@ Braga	L 0-5	1346	1468	10.3%	16.8%	73.0%	-13.0	22
1955-02-20	Boavista	W 5-1	1442	1233	77.6%	15.9%	6.6%	+5.6	28
1955-02-20	@ GD Fabril	L 1-5	1233	1442	6.6%	15.9%	77.6%	-5.6	13
1955-02-20	Barreirense	W 3-0	1285	1327	59.6%	17.7%	22.7%	+17.0	22
1955-02-20	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-3	1327	1285	22.7%	17.7%	59.6%	-16.9	17
1955-02-20	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1570	1351	78.0%	15.8%	6.2%	+1.7	34
1955-02-20	@ Porto	L 1-2	1351	1570	6.2%	15.8%	78.0%	-1.7	25
1955-02-20	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-2	1597	1374	78.2%	15.7%	6.1%	+3.5	35
1955-02-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1374	1597	6.1%	15.7%	78.2%	-3.5	25
1955-02-20	Benfica	L 0-1	1353	1561	38.2%	17.7%	44.0%	-9.7	21
1955-02-20	@ Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1561	1353	44.0%	17.7%	38.2%	+9.7	43
1955-02-27	Barreirense	W 1-0	1349	1310	67.2%	17.4%	15.5%	+4.4	28
1955-02-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1310	1349	15.5%	17.4%	67.2%	-4.4	17
1955-02-27	Porto	W 2-0	1371	1572	39.3%	17.8%	42.9%	+20.0	28
1955-02-27	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1572	1371	42.9%	17.8%	39.3%	-20.0	34
1955-02-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1571	1517	68.3%	17.3%	14.4%	-3.6	44
1955-02-27	@ Benfica	D 0-0	1517	1571	14.4%	17.3%	68.3%	+3.6	40
1955-02-27	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1227	1343	51.0%	17.9%	31.1%	+7.7	16
1955-02-27	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1343	1227	31.1%	17.9%	51.0%	-7.7	21
1955-02-27	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1448	1302	74.4%	16.5%	9.1%	+4.3	31
1955-02-27	@ GD Fabril	L 1-3	1302	1448	9.1%	16.5%	74.4%	-4.3	22
1955-02-27	Braga	D 1-1	1270	1481	37.9%	17.7%	44.4%	+0.3	15
1955-02-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1481	1270	44.4%	17.7%	37.9%	-0.4	37
1955-02-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1333	1600	30.5%	17.5%	52.0%	-15.9	22
1955-02-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 5-2	1600	1333	52.0%	17.5%	30.5%	+15.9	38
1955-03-06	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1306	1391	54.8%	17.8%	27.4%	+13.8	20
1955-03-06	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1391	1306	27.4%	17.8%	54.8%	-13.7	28
1955-03-06	Boavista	W 6-0	1520	1235	80.7%	14.9%	4.4%	+6.6	43
1955-03-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-6	1235	1520	4.4%	14.9%	80.7%	-6.6	16
1955-03-06	Benfica	L 0-1	1480	1567	54.5%	17.8%	27.6%	-13.2	37
1955-03-06	@ Braga	W 1-0	1567	1480	27.6%	17.8%	54.5%	+13.2	47
1955-03-06	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1298	1354	58.1%	17.8%	24.1%	-1.9	23
1955-03-06	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1354	1298	24.1%	17.8%	58.1%	+1.9	29
1955-03-06	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1552	1317	78.7%	15.6%	5.8%	-35.5	34
1955-03-06	@ Porto	W 2-0	1317	1552	5.8%	15.6%	78.7%	+35.5	25
1955-03-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1616	1270	82.7%	14.1%	3.2%	+1.7	41
1955-03-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1270	1616	3.2%	14.1%	82.7%	-1.7	15
1955-03-06	GD Fabril	W 3-1	1335	1452	50.8%	17.9%	31.3%	+13.4	24
1955-03-06	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1452	1335	31.3%	17.9%	50.8%	-13.4	31
1955-03-13	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1377	1355	65.7%	17.5%	16.8%	-14.9	28
1955-03-13	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1355	1377	16.8%	17.5%	65.7%	+14.9	32
1955-03-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1580	1618	60.1%	17.7%	22.2%	-2.2	48
1955-03-13	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1618	1580	22.2%	17.7%	60.1%	+2.2	42
1955-03-13	Braga	W 2-1	1228	1467	34.2%	17.6%	48.2%	+11.1	19
1955-03-13	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1467	1228	48.2%	17.6%	34.2%	-11.1	37
1955-03-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-4	1439	1527	54.4%	17.8%	27.8%	-19.2	31
1955-03-13	@ GD Fabril	W 4-2	1527	1439	27.8%	17.8%	54.4%	+19.2	46
1955-03-13	Porto	D 1-1	1268	1516	33.0%	17.6%	49.5%	+0.9	16
1955-03-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1516	1268	49.5%	17.6%	33.0%	-0.9	35
1955-03-13	Barreirense	D 1-1	1353	1320	66.7%	17.4%	15.9%	-3.0	26
1955-03-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1320	1353	15.9%	17.4%	66.7%	+3.0	21
1955-03-14	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-2	1349	1296	68.3%	17.3%	14.4%	+3.7	27
1955-03-14	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1296	1349	14.4%	17.3%	68.3%	-3.7	23
1955-03-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1370	1350	65.6%	17.5%	16.9%	+7.7	35
1955-03-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1350	1370	16.9%	17.5%	65.6%	-7.7	26
1955-03-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1323	1269	68.3%	17.3%	14.4%	+4.1	24
1955-03-20	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1269	1323	14.4%	17.3%	68.3%	-4.1	16
1955-03-20	Sporting Covilha	W 4-0	1546	1352	76.9%	16.0%	7.1%	+7.3	49
1955-03-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1352	1546	7.1%	16.0%	76.9%	-7.3	27
1955-03-20	GD Fabril	D 2-2	1456	1420	67.0%	17.4%	15.7%	-2.2	38
1955-03-20	@ Braga	D 2-2	1420	1456	15.7%	17.4%	67.0%	+2.2	32
1955-03-20	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1292	1362	56.5%	17.8%	25.7%	+6.0	26
1955-03-20	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 3-4	1362	1292	25.7%	17.8%	56.5%	-6.0	28
1955-03-20	Benfica	W 3-0	1515	1578	57.3%	17.8%	24.9%	+18.4	38
1955-03-20	@ Porto	L 0-3	1578	1515	24.9%	17.8%	57.3%	-18.4	48
1955-03-20	Boavista	W 5-0	1620	1240	83.7%	13.6%	2.7%	+3.3	45
1955-03-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1240	1620	2.7%	13.6%	83.7%	-3.3	19
1955-04-03	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1554	1298	79.5%	15.3%	5.2%	+2.8	52
1955-04-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1298	1554	5.2%	15.3%	79.5%	-2.8	26
1955-04-03	Barreirense	W 2-0	1560	1327	78.6%	15.6%	5.8%	+3.2	51
1955-04-03	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1327	1560	5.8%	15.6%	78.6%	-3.1	24
1955-04-03	Porto	W 5-2	1236	1533	26.9%	17.3%	55.7%	+26.7	22
1955-04-03	@ Boavista	L 2-5	1533	1236	55.7%	17.3%	26.9%	-26.7	38
1955-04-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1422	1623	39.2%	17.8%	43.0%	-27.0	32
1955-04-03	@ GD Fabril	W 3-0	1623	1422	43.0%	17.8%	39.2%	+27.0	48
1955-04-03	Braga	L 0-1	1345	1454	51.8%	17.9%	30.3%	-12.6	27
1955-04-03	@ Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1454	1345	30.3%	17.9%	51.8%	+12.5	41
1955-04-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1265	1378	51.3%	17.9%	30.8%	+7.6	19
1955-04-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1378	1265	30.8%	17.9%	51.3%	-7.6	35
1955-04-03	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1342	1356	62.4%	17.6%	19.9%	+5.5	29
1955-04-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1356	1342	19.9%	17.6%	62.4%	-5.5	28
1955-04-17	Benfica	L 3-7	1370	1563	40.5%	17.8%	41.7%	-23.4	35
1955-04-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 7-3	1563	1370	41.7%	17.8%	40.5%	+23.4	54
1955-04-17	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1351	1273	70.1%	17.1%	12.8%	+3.4	31
1955-04-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1273	1351	12.8%	17.1%	70.1%	-3.4	19
1955-04-17	Boavista	W 1-0	1324	1263	68.9%	17.2%	13.9%	+4.0	27
1955-04-17	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1263	1324	13.9%	17.2%	68.9%	-4.0	22
1955-04-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1466	1556	54.2%	17.8%	28.0%	-11.7	41
1955-04-17	@ Braga	W 3-2	1556	1466	28.0%	17.8%	54.2%	+11.7	55
1955-04-17	Sporting Covilha	W 4-0	1650	1332	81.8%	14.5%	3.7%	+3.8	51
1955-04-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1332	1650	3.7%	14.5%	81.8%	-3.8	27
1955-04-17	Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1348	1295	68.2%	17.3%	14.5%	-3.5	30
1955-04-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1295	1348	14.5%	17.3%	68.2%	+3.5	27
1955-04-20	GD Fabril	W 3-2	1507	1395	72.4%	16.8%	10.8%	+2.8	41
1955-04-20	@ Porto	L 2-3	1395	1507	10.8%	16.8%	72.4%	-2.8	32
1955-04-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1568	1654	54.6%	17.8%	27.5%	-1.1	56
1955-04-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1654	1568	27.5%	17.8%	54.6%	+1.1	52
1955-04-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1586	1354	78.6%	15.6%	5.8%	+4.6	57
1955-04-24	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1354	1586	5.8%	15.6%	78.6%	-4.6	31
1955-04-24	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1259	1347	54.4%	17.8%	27.8%	+12.0	25
1955-04-24	@ Boavista	L 1-3	1347	1259	27.8%	17.8%	54.4%	-12.0	35
1955-04-24	Barreirense	W 2-1	1392	1328	69.2%	17.2%	13.6%	+3.7	35
1955-04-24	@ GD Fabril	L 1-2	1328	1392	13.6%	17.2%	69.2%	-3.7	27
1955-04-24	Braga	W 4-1	1299	1455	45.6%	17.9%	36.5%	+21.5	30
1955-04-24	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-4	1455	1299	36.5%	17.9%	45.6%	-21.5	41
1955-04-24	Porto	D 2-2	1329	1509	42.1%	17.8%	40.1%	-0.1	28
1955-04-24	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1509	1329	40.1%	17.8%	42.1%	+0.1	42
1955-04-24	Vitoria Setubal	W 6-3	1269	1344	56.0%	17.8%	26.2%	+13.0	22
1955-04-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 3-6	1344	1269	26.2%	17.8%	56.0%	-13.0	30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1954-10-10	4.54%	Academica de Coimbra	1332	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1612	0
2	1955-03-06	5.76%	Vitoria Setubal	1317	2	@ Porto	1552	0
3	1955-01-02	8.14%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1452	2	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1619	1
4	1954-10-31	9.40%	Braga	1415	1	@ Benfica	1554	0
5	1955-01-09	11.15%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1469	1	@ Porto	1574	0
6	1954-11-07	12.71%	Benfica	1536	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1615	0
7	1955-01-23	12.76%	Sporting Covilha	1312	1	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1390	0
8	1954-10-10	13.61%	Vitoria Setubal	1368	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1433	1
9	1954-12-12	16.55%	Braga	1441	3	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1466	2
10	1955-03-13	16.82%	Academica de Coimbra	1355	2	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1377	1
11	1954-09-26	18.58%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1376	3	@ Sporting Covilha	1377	1
12	1954-10-10	21.98%	Benfica	1526	1	@ GD Fabril	1490	0
13	1954-11-07	23.82%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1390	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1336	1
14	1955-02-13	23.85%	Sporting Covilha	1340	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1286	2
15	1955-01-16	24.03%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1283	2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1607	1
16	1955-01-02	24.57%	GD Fabril	1450	2	@ Barreirense	1390	1
17	1954-12-12	25.59%	Porto	1545	2	@ GD Fabril	1476	0
18	1955-01-23	26.80%	Braga	1446	3	@ Barreirense	1366	1
19	1955-04-03	26.94%	@ Boavista	1236	5	Porto	1533	2
20	1955-03-06	27.61%	Benfica	1567	1	@ Braga	1480	0
21	1955-03-13	27.77%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1527	4	@ GD Fabril	1439	2
22	1955-04-17	27.98%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1556	3	@ Braga	1466	2
23	1954-10-17	28.79%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1418	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1321	1
24	1955-01-16	28.97%	Porto	1556	2	@ Braga	1458	1
25	1955-02-06	29.36%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1290	2	Porto	1566	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1955-03-06	35.54	Vitoria Setubal	2	1317	5.76%	@ Porto	0	1552	78.67%
2	1954-10-24	30.51	GD Fabril	3	1475	36.80%	@ Lusitano de Evora	0	1318	45.35%
3	1954-11-21	27.97	@ Barreirense	3	1371	41.29%	Benfica	0	1558	40.91%
4	1955-04-03	27.01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1623	42.99%	@ GD Fabril	0	1422	39.24%
5	1955-04-03	26.74	@ Boavista	5	1236	26.94%	Porto	2	1533	55.74%
6	1954-12-12	25.70	Porto	2	1545	25.59%	@ GD Fabril	0	1476	56.60%
7	1955-01-09	25.07	@ Academica de Coimbra	5	1339	49.77%	GD Fabril	1	1464	32.36%
8	1954-09-26	25.04	Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	1376	18.58%	@ Sporting Covilha	1	1377	63.85%
9	1955-04-17	23.38	Benfica	7	1563	41.72%	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1370	40.49%
10	1954-09-19	23.15	@ Academica de Coimbra	5	1298	52.68%	Sporting Covilha	1	1400	29.46%
11	1954-09-26	22.31	Benfica	2	1487	33.57%	@ Lusitano de Evora	0	1352	48.55%
12	1954-10-31	22.27	Porto	2	1527	33.68%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1392	48.45%
13	1955-01-23	21.79	Braga	3	1446	26.80%	@ Barreirense	1	1366	55.36%
14	1954-09-12	21.49	@ Boavista	3	1284	52.30%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1389	29.83%
15	1955-04-24	21.49	@ Lusitano de Evora	4	1299	45.61%	Braga	1	1455	36.53%
16	1954-10-17	21.05	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1418	28.79%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1321	53.35%
17	1955-02-27	20.02	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	1371	39.33%	Porto	0	1572	42.91%
18	1954-10-03	19.33	@ Academica de Coimbra	4	1313	49.94%	Braga	1	1436	32.19%
19	1954-10-10	19.20	Academica de Coimbra	1	1332	4.54%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1612	80.46%
20	1955-03-13	19.17	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1527	27.77%	@ GD Fabril	2	1439	54.39%
21	1954-10-03	19.02	@ Porto	9	1487	75.02%	Lusitano de Evora	0	1330	8.56%
22	1954-10-03	18.72	@ Vitoria Setubal	4	1350	63.59%	Sporting Covilha	0	1352	18.83%
23	1955-02-06	18.49	Benfica	3	1546	57.45%	@ Boavista	0	1235	25.32%
24	1955-03-20	18.39	@ Porto	3	1515	57.30%	Benfica	0	1578	24.90%
25	1954-10-17	18.07	Porto	3	1512	37.15%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1351	45.00%