1955-56 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Porto

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

7.81 points above expected

43 points · 35.19 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Braga

7.92 points below expected

13 points · 20.92 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Porto	26	18	7	1	43	77	20	+57	36.2	+6.81
2	Benfica	26	19	5	2	43	76	31	+45	35.2	+7.81
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	16	5	5	37	67	25	+42	33.2	+3.78
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	15	6	5	36	54	27	+27	31.4	+4.65
5	Sporting Covilha	26	11	7	8	29	52	44	+8	25.7	+3.27
6	Barreirense	26	8	7	11	23	40	60	-20	21.9	+1.12
7	Uniao Torreense	26	7	8	11	22	32	42	-10	25.6	-3.58
8	Lusitano de Evora	26	6	9	11	21	38	55	-17	21.8	-0.78
9	Vitoria Setubal	26	7	6	13	20	57	64	-7	22.8	-2.78
10	Fabril	26	6	8	12	20	33	58	-25	22.2	-2.17
11	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	6	7	13	19	47	62	-15	22.5	-3.48
12	Academica de Coimbra	26	8	3	15	19	36	52	-16	21.1	-2.08
13	Caldas	26	6	7	13	19	29	50	-21	23.6	-4.65
14	Braga	26	5	3	18	13	36	84	-48	20.9	-7.92

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Porto	1764	43	36.19	+6.81	97.0%	25	30	34	36	38	42	46
Benfica	1757	43	35.19	+7.81	99.0%	27	29	33	35	38	40	46
Os Belenenses (1st)	1712	37	33.22	+3.78	90.0%	27	27	30	34	36	38	40
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1666	36	31.35	+4.65	91.0%	22	23	28	31	34	38	41
Sporting Covilha	1487	29	25.73	+3.27	85.0%	15	19	24	26	28	32	34
Barreirense	1408	23	21.88	+1.12	70.0%	13	17	20	22	24	27	29
Academica de Coimbra	1374	19	21.08	-2.08	40.0%	11	14	18	21	24	29	33
Uniao Torreense	1364	22	25.58	-3.58	18.0%	17	18	24	25	28	31	34
Lusitano de Evora	1362	21	21.78	-0.78	43.0%	11	14	20	22	24	28	34
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1350	19	22.48	-3.48	22.0%	11	14	20	23	25	29	34
Caldas	1344	19	23.65	-4.65	15.0%	17	18	21	23	26	30	33
Vitoria Setubal	1340	20	22.78	-2.78	25.0%	15	17	20	23	25	28	32
Fabril	1301	20	22.17	-2.17	31.0%	14	15	20	23	24	28	30
Braga	1219	13	20.92	-7.92	1.0%	11	16	18	20	23	27	30

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BAR	BEN	BRA	CAL	FAB	LDE	OB(	POR	SCDP	SC	UT	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 1.06	2-0-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.59	0-1-1 2.66	0-0-2 1.65	0-0-2 0.98	0-1-1 1.34	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 1.86	1-0-1 2.47
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 2.96	—	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-2 1.08	1-0-1 3.40	0-1-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.86	0-2-0 2.88	0-1-1 1.93	0-1-1 1.05	0-0-2 1.69	1-1-0 2.23	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.77
Barreirense	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.68	—	0-0-2 1.37	1-1-0 2.88	1-1-0 2.70	0-2-0 3.06	1-1-0 2.80	1-0-1 1.29	0-0-2 1.39	0-0-2 2.01	0-1-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.64	2-0-0 2.75
Benfica	1-0-1 4.54	2-0-0 4.53	2-0-0 4.21	—	2-0-0 3.59	2-0-0 3.73	2-0-0 4.25	1-1-0 4.29	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.65	2-0-0 2.97	1-1-0 3.86	1-1-0 4.36	2-0-0 4.15
Braga	0-0-2 2.64	1-0-1 2.16	0-1-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.03	—	1-1-0 2.37	1-1-0 2.38	0-0-2 2.65	0-0-2 0.90	0-0-2 1.45	0-0-2 1.72	0-0-2 2.06	1-0-1 1.97	1-0-1 2.26
Caldas	1-1-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.87	0-0-2 1.87	0-1-1 3.20	—	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.82	0-0-2 1.96	0-1-1 0.93	0-0-2 1.51	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.50	1-0-1 3.00
Fabril	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.71	0-2-0 2.50	0-0-2 1.37	0-1-1 3.19	0-1-1 2.57	—	0-2-0 2.49	0-0-2 1.43	0-0-2 2.15	0-1-1 1.87	0-1-1 2.23	2-0-0 2.14	1-0-1 2.68
Lusitano de Evora	1-1-0 2.91	0-2-0 2.69	0-1-1 2.77	0-1-1 1.31	2-0-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.75	0-2-0 3.07	—	0-0-2 1.35	0-0-2 1.36	0-1-1 1.84	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.29	0-1-1 2.70
Os Belenenses (1st)	2-0-0 3.93	1-1-0 3.68	1-0-1 4.30	0-1-1 2.62	2-0-0 4.71	2-0-0 3.65	2-0-0 4.15	2-0-0 4.24	—	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 3.59	1-1-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.94
Porto	2-0-0 4.66	1-1-0 4.55	2-0-0 4.23	1-1-0 2.91	2-0-0 4.20	1-1-0 4.68	2-0-0 3.48	2-0-0 4.26	1-1-0 2.99	—	1-0-1 3.39	1-1-0 3.55	1-1-0 4.10	1-1-0 3.86
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-1-0 4.25	2-0-0 3.89	2-0-0 3.59	0-0-2 2.61	2-0-0 3.89	2-0-0 4.07	1-1-0 3.73	1-1-0 3.76	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.19	—	1-1-0 3.58	0-1-1 3.40	1-1-0 3.61
Sporting Covilha	1-0-1 3.31	0-1-1 3.34	1-1-0 2.93	0-1-1 1.72	2-0-0 3.53	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.33	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 1.99	0-1-1 2.05	0-1-1 2.00	—	2-0-0 2.77	1-1-0 3.14
Uniao Torreense	1-0-1 3.71	1-1-0 2.98	1-1-0 2.94	0-1-1 1.23	1-0-1 3.61	1-1-0 3.06	0-0-2 3.44	1-0-1 3.28	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 1.48	1-1-0 2.18	0-0-2 2.79	—	0-1-1 2.98
Vitoria Setubal	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.80	0-0-2 2.81	0-0-2 1.46	1-0-1 3.31	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.89	1-1-0 2.86	0-1-1 1.63	0-1-1 1.75	0-1-1 1.98	0-1-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.59	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.75%	4.67%	4.12%	4.12%	1.92%	1.37%	18.96%
1	4.67%	12.64%	4.67%	3.85%	3.30%	3.02%	32.14%
2	4.12%	4.67%	6.59%	2.47%	1.65%	1.65%	21.15%
3	4.12%	3.85%	2.47%	2.20%	0.55%	0.55%	13.74%
4	1.92%	3.30%	1.65%	0.55%	—	—	7.42%
5+	1.37%	3.02%	1.65%	0.55%	—	—	6.59%
Total	18.96%	32.14%	21.15%	13.74%	7.42%	6.59%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	1.64
Mean total goals/game	3.70
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.091
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	7.69%	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	42.31%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	34.62%	26.92%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.308
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	11.54%	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	7.69%	19.23%	42.31%	15.38%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	2.38
StdDev scored	1.60
StdDev allowed	1.83
Mean total goals/game	4.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.026
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%
1	11.54%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	61.54%
2	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	34.62%	11.54%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.31
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	2.29
Mean total goals/game	3.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.234
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
1	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
2	—	—	11.54%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
Total	26.92%	34.62%	30.77%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.92
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	1.76
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	4.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.106
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	26.92%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	15.38%	15.38%	15.38%	26.92%	19.23%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	3.23
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	2.05
Mean total goals/game	4.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.221
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	—	3.85%	42.31%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	34.62%	19.23%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Caldas — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.65
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.005
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	42.31%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	30.77%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.58
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.009
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	26.92%
1	—	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	38.46%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	7.69%	38.46%	19.23%	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.61
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.102
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
Total	26.92%	53.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.58
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	1.92
StdDev allowed	0.77
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.038
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
4	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	38.46%	50.00%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.96
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	2.05
StdDev allowed	0.76
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.020
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
2	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	42.31%	23.08%	23.08%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	1.81
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.043
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
2	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
3	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	30.77%	19.23%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.312
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	46.15%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Uniao Torreense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.58
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.097
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	7.69%	26.92%	19.23%	23.08%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.19
Mean allowed	2.46
StdDev scored	1.98
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	4.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.232
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Benfica	43	35.2	+7.81
2	Porto	43	36.2	+6.81
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	36	31.4	+4.65
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	37	33.2	+3.78
5	Sporting Covilha	29	25.7	+3.27

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Braga	13	20.9	-7.92
2	Caldas	19	23.6	-4.65
3	Uniao Torreense	22	25.6	-3.58
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	19	22.5	-3.48
5	Vitoria Setubal	20	22.8	-2.78

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	11	Oct 23 – Jan 29	1 in 403
2	Benfica	8	Jan 1 – Feb 19	1 in 52
3	Academica de Coimbra	3	Feb 12 – Feb 26	1 in 44
4	Uniao Torreense	3	Sep 18 – Oct 2	1 in 23
5	Fabril	2	Feb 19 – Feb 26	1 in 18

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Uniao Torreense	4	Feb 12 – Mar 4	1 in 120
2	Academica de Coimbra	7	Nov 13 – Jan 22	1 in 92
3	Caldas	5	Feb 5 – Mar 4	1 in 48
4	Braga	5	Oct 9 – Nov 6	1 in 24
5	Barreirense	4	Oct 30 – Nov 27	1 in 17

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	24	Sep 18 – Apr 15	1 in 681
2	Uniao Torreense	6	Nov 6 – Jan 8	1 in 25
3	Lusitano de Evora	5	Sep 25 – Oct 23	1 in 22
4	Vitoria Setubal	4	Oct 16 – Nov 6	1 in 17
5	Sporting Covilha	7	Feb 5 – Mar 18	1 in 17

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barreirense	10	Oct 2 – Jan 1	1 in 120
2	Uniao Torreense	9	Jan 8 – Mar 4	1 in 80
3	Braga	11	Jan 1 – Mar 11	1 in 37
4	Caldas	10	Jan 22 – Apr 15	1 in 33
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	8	Jan 8 – Feb 26	1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Porto	47.00%	26.00%	15.00%	9.00%	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Benfica	34.00%	33.00%	16.00%	15.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	11.00%	23.00%	38.00%	14.00%	12.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	8.00%	16.00%	18.00%	28.00%	14.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Sporting Covilha	—	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	20.00%	24.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Barreirense	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	7.00%	17.00%	9.00%	19.00%	8.00%	10.00%
Uniao Torreense	—	—	2.00%	10.00%	16.00%	20.00%	11.00%	13.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Lusitano de Evora	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	15.00%	8.00%	23.00%	4.00%	11.00%	10.00%	12.00%
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	7.00%	4.00%	15.00%	6.00%	20.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	12.00%	4.00%
Fabril	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	10.00%	11.00%	15.00%	8.00%	15.00%	5.00%	17.00%	11.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	12.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	12.00%	5.00%	6.00%	11.00%	17.00%	9.00%	22.00%
Caldas	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	13.00%	13.00%	14.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Braga	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	13.00%	15.00%	23.00%	21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Caldas	98.0%	2.0%
Sporting Covilha	97.0%	3.0%
Uniao Torreense	97.0%	3.0%
Vitoria Setubal	96.0%	4.0%
Barreirense	90.0%	10.0%
Fabril	89.0%	11.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	88.0%	12.0%
Lusitano de Evora	88.0%	12.0%
Braga	79.0%	21.0%
Academica de Coimbra	78.0%	22.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1955-09-18	Barreirense	W 3-2	1413	1397	63.4%	21.5%	15.1%	+5.9	3
1955-09-18	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1397	1413	15.1%	21.5%	63.4%	-5.9	0
1955-09-18	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1540	1404	71.4%	20.3%	8.3%	+6.2	3
1955-09-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1404	1540	8.3%	20.3%	71.4%	-6.1	0
1955-09-18	Benfica	L 2-3	1462	1557	52.4%	22.0%	25.5%	-16.9	0
1955-09-18	@ Braga	W 3-2	1557	1462	25.5%	22.0%	52.4%	+16.9	3
1955-09-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1439	1598	44.5%	22.0%	33.5%	-1.0	1
1955-09-18	@ Fabril	D 0-0	1598	1439	33.5%	22.0%	44.5%	+1.0	1
1955-09-18	Porto	D 2-2	1398	1509	50.7%	22.0%	27.3%	-1.4	1
1955-09-18	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1509	1398	27.3%	22.0%	50.7%	+1.4	1
1955-09-18	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1470	1391	68.0%	21.0%	11.0%	+9.4	3
1955-09-18	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-2	1391	1470	11.0%	21.0%	68.0%	-9.3	0
1955-09-18	Caldas	W 3-0	1400	1470	55.3%	22.0%	22.8%	+26.0	3
1955-09-18	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1470	1400	22.8%	22.0%	55.3%	-26.0	0
1955-09-25	Fabril	L 3-4	1398	1438	58.4%	21.8%	19.8%	-18.3	0
1955-09-25	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 4-3	1438	1398	19.8%	21.8%	58.4%	+18.3	4
1955-09-25	Braga	W 7-0	1391	1445	57.0%	21.9%	21.1%	+54.1	3
1955-09-25	@ Barreirense	L 0-7	1445	1391	21.1%	21.9%	57.0%	-54.1	0
1955-09-25	Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1574	1397	73.5%	19.8%	6.7%	-4.5	4
1955-09-25	@ Benfica	D 2-2	1397	1574	6.7%	19.8%	73.5%	+4.5	2
1955-09-25	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1444	1419	64.2%	21.4%	14.4%	+6.4	3
1955-09-25	@ Caldas	L 0-1	1419	1444	14.4%	21.4%	64.2%	-6.4	3
1955-09-25	Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1382	1426	58.0%	21.9%	20.2%	-2.3	1
1955-09-25	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1426	1382	20.2%	21.9%	58.0%	+2.3	4
1955-09-25	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1510	1546	58.8%	21.8%	19.4%	-3.3	2
1955-09-25	@ Porto	D 1-1	1546	1510	19.4%	21.8%	58.8%	+3.3	4
1955-09-25	Uniao Torreense	L 0-1	1599	1479	70.5%	20.5%	9.0%	-25.3	1
1955-09-25	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1479	1599	9.0%	20.5%	70.5%	+25.3	6
1955-10-02	Lusitano de Evora	D 3-3	1412	1379	64.8%	21.4%	13.8%	-2.7	4
1955-10-02	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1379	1412	13.8%	21.4%	64.8%	+2.7	2
1955-10-02	Barreirense	W 4-1	1570	1445	70.8%	20.5%	8.7%	+9.2	7
1955-10-02	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1445	1570	8.7%	20.5%	70.8%	-9.2	3
1955-10-02	Caldas	W 4-1	1391	1450	56.4%	21.9%	21.7%	+21.1	3
1955-10-02	@ Braga	L 1-4	1450	1391	21.7%	21.9%	56.4%	-21.1	3
1955-10-02	Porto	L 0-4	1456	1507	57.4%	21.9%	20.8%	-73.6	4
1955-10-02	@ Fabril	W 4-0	1507	1456	20.8%	21.9%	57.4%	+73.6	5
1955-10-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1401	1549	46.0%	22.1%	32.0%	+23.7	5
1955-10-02	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1549	1401	32.0%	22.1%	46.0%	-23.7	4
1955-10-02	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1505	1380	70.8%	20.5%	8.7%	+7.5	9
1955-10-02	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-2	1380	1505	8.7%	20.5%	70.8%	-7.5	0
1955-10-02	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1428	1573	46.3%	22.1%	31.6%	-0.8	5
1955-10-02	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1573	1428	31.6%	22.1%	46.3%	+0.9	2
1955-10-09	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1372	1427	56.9%	21.9%	21.2%	+8.5	3
1955-10-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1427	1372	21.2%	21.9%	56.9%	-8.5	5
1955-10-09	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1436	1425	63.0%	21.6%	15.4%	-4.1	4
1955-10-09	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1425	1436	15.4%	21.6%	63.0%	+4.1	6
1955-10-09	Fabril	W 3-0	1525	1383	71.8%	20.2%	8.0%	+9.9	7
1955-10-09	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1383	1525	8.0%	20.2%	71.8%	-9.9	4
1955-10-09	Benfica	L 0-1	1429	1579	45.7%	22.1%	32.2%	-16.7	3
1955-10-09	@ Caldas	W 1-0	1579	1429	32.2%	22.1%	45.7%	+16.7	10
1955-10-09	Braga	W 4-3	1382	1412	59.4%	21.8%	18.8%	+7.1	5
1955-10-09	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 3-4	1412	1382	18.8%	21.8%	59.4%	-7.1	3
1955-10-09	Uniao Torreense	W 2-0	1580	1512	67.3%	21.1%	11.6%	+9.8	8
1955-10-09	@ Porto	L 0-2	1512	1580	11.6%	21.1%	67.3%	-9.8	9
1955-10-09	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-2	1574	1410	72.9%	20.0%	7.1%	+6.5	5
1955-10-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1410	1574	7.1%	20.0%	72.9%	-6.5	4
1955-10-16	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-2	1403	1381	63.9%	21.5%	14.6%	+9.4	7
1955-10-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1381	1403	14.6%	21.5%	63.9%	-9.4	3
1955-10-16	Caldas	D 1-1	1432	1413	63.7%	21.5%	14.8%	-4.2	5
1955-10-16	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1413	1432	14.8%	21.5%	63.7%	+4.2	4
1955-10-16	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1596	1389	74.9%	19.4%	5.8%	-6.2	11
1955-10-16	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1389	1596	5.8%	19.4%	74.9%	+6.2	6
1955-10-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1405	1581	42.2%	22.0%	35.8%	-14.0	3
1955-10-16	@ Braga	W 3-2	1581	1405	35.8%	22.0%	42.2%	+14.0	8
1955-10-16	Fabril	W 2-1	1429	1373	66.5%	21.2%	12.3%	+5.2	9
1955-10-16	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1373	1429	12.3%	21.2%	66.5%	-5.2	4
1955-10-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1502	1535	59.1%	21.8%	19.1%	-3.4	10
1955-10-16	@ Uniao Torreense	D 1-1	1535	1502	19.1%	21.8%	59.1%	+3.3	8
1955-10-16	Porto	D 1-1	1419	1590	42.8%	22.0%	35.2%	-0.6	6
1955-10-16	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1590	1419	35.2%	22.0%	42.8%	+0.6	9
1955-10-23	Braga	W 4-1	1372	1391	60.4%	21.7%	17.9%	+17.9	6
1955-10-23	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1391	1372	17.9%	21.7%	60.4%	-17.9	3
1955-10-23	Vitoria Setubal	D 3-3	1539	1418	70.5%	20.5%	8.9%	-3.4	9
1955-10-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 3-3	1418	1539	8.9%	20.5%	70.5%	+3.4	7
1955-10-23	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1417	1434	60.5%	21.7%	17.8%	+14.5	7
1955-10-23	@ Caldas	L 0-2	1434	1417	17.8%	21.7%	60.5%	-14.5	9
1955-10-23	Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1368	1499	48.0%	22.1%	29.9%	+19.4	7
1955-10-23	@ Fabril	L 1-3	1499	1368	29.9%	22.1%	48.0%	-19.4	10
1955-10-23	Barreirense	D 1-1	1395	1428	59.1%	21.8%	19.1%	-3.4	7
1955-10-23	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1428	1395	19.1%	21.8%	59.1%	+3.4	6
1955-10-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1591	1413	73.6%	19.8%	6.6%	+5.7	12
1955-10-23	@ Porto	L 0-2	1413	1591	6.6%	19.8%	73.6%	-5.7	7
1955-10-23	Benfica	L 1-3	1595	1589	62.5%	21.6%	15.9%	-36.6	8
1955-10-23	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1589	1595	15.9%	21.6%	62.5%	+36.6	14
1955-10-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1407	1535	48.5%	22.1%	29.5%	-1.5	8
1955-10-30	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1535	1407	29.5%	22.1%	48.5%	+1.5	10
1955-10-30	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1431	1558	48.6%	22.1%	29.3%	-15.8	6
1955-10-30	@ Barreirense	W 3-2	1558	1431	29.3%	22.1%	48.6%	+15.8	11
1955-10-30	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1626	1389	76.2%	18.9%	4.9%	+8.0	17
1955-10-30	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1389	1626	4.9%	18.9%	76.2%	-8.0	6
1955-10-30	Porto	L 1-5	1373	1596	35.5%	21.9%	42.6%	-40.6	3
1955-10-30	@ Braga	W 5-1	1596	1373	42.6%	21.9%	35.5%	+40.6	15
1955-10-30	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1431	1392	65.2%	21.3%	13.4%	+9.8	10
1955-10-30	@ Caldas	L 1-3	1392	1431	13.4%	21.3%	65.2%	-9.8	7
1955-10-30	Uniao Torreense	W 2-1	1420	1480	56.4%	21.9%	21.7%	+8.6	12
1955-10-30	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1480	1420	21.7%	21.9%	56.4%	-8.6	10
1955-10-30	Fabril	W 2-0	1422	1387	64.9%	21.4%	13.7%	+11.5	10
1955-10-30	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1387	1422	13.7%	21.4%	64.9%	-11.5	7
1955-11-06	Barreirense	W 3-1	1381	1415	59.0%	21.8%	19.2%	+13.4	9
1955-11-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1415	1381	19.2%	21.8%	59.0%	-13.4	6
1955-11-06	Braga	W 7-2	1537	1333	74.8%	19.4%	5.8%	+8.1	13
1955-11-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-7	1333	1537	5.8%	19.4%	74.8%	-8.1	3
1955-11-06	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1376	1405	59.4%	21.8%	18.8%	+7.6	10
1955-11-06	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1405	1376	18.8%	21.8%	59.4%	-7.6	8
1955-11-06	Sporting Covilha	W 4-0	1382	1429	57.8%	21.9%	20.4%	+30.9	10
1955-11-06	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-4	1429	1382	20.4%	21.9%	57.8%	-31.0	12
1955-11-06	Benfica	W 3-0	1637	1634	62.4%	21.6%	16.1%	+19.2	18
1955-11-06	@ Porto	L 0-3	1634	1637	16.1%	21.6%	62.4%	-19.2	17
1955-11-06	Caldas	W 2-0	1574	1441	71.3%	20.4%	8.4%	+7.2	14
1955-11-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1441	1574	8.4%	20.4%	71.3%	-7.2	10
1955-11-06	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1471	1433	65.1%	21.3%	13.5%	-4.5	11
1955-11-06	@ Uniao Torreense	D 1-1	1433	1471	13.5%	21.3%	65.1%	+4.5	11
1955-11-13	Uniao Torreense	D 0-0	1398	1467	55.4%	21.9%	22.6%	-3.0	9
1955-11-13	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1467	1398	22.6%	21.9%	55.4%	+3.0	12
1955-11-13	Porto	L 1-4	1402	1656	31.4%	21.7%	46.9%	-28.5	6
1955-11-13	@ Barreirense	W 4-1	1656	1402	46.9%	21.7%	31.4%	+28.5	21
1955-11-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1615	1545	67.4%	21.1%	11.5%	+5.2	20
1955-11-13	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1545	1615	11.5%	21.1%	67.4%	-5.2	13
1955-11-13	Fabril	W 4-1	1324	1383	56.5%	21.9%	21.6%	+21.0	6
1955-11-13	@ Braga	L 1-4	1383	1324	21.6%	21.9%	56.5%	-21.0	10
1955-11-13	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1434	1395	65.2%	21.3%	13.4%	+5.6	13
1955-11-13	@ Caldas	L 1-2	1395	1434	13.4%	21.3%	65.2%	-5.6	9
1955-11-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1413	1581	43.3%	22.0%	34.7%	-0.7	11
1955-11-13	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1581	1413	34.7%	22.0%	43.3%	+0.7	15
1955-11-13	Vitoria Setubal	W 7-1	1398	1438	58.4%	21.8%	19.8%	+36.5	15
1955-11-13	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-7	1438	1398	19.8%	21.8%	58.4%	-36.5	11
1955-11-27	Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1389	1413	60.0%	21.8%	18.3%	-20.3	9
1955-11-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1413	1389	18.3%	21.8%	60.0%	+20.3	14
1955-11-27	Barreirense	W 3-0	1540	1373	73.0%	19.9%	7.1%	+8.8	16
1955-11-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1373	1540	7.1%	19.9%	73.0%	-8.8	6
1955-11-27	Benfica	L 1-5	1362	1620	31.0%	21.7%	47.4%	-36.3	10
1955-11-27	@ Fabril	W 5-1	1620	1362	47.4%	21.7%	31.0%	+36.3	23
1955-11-27	Caldas	W 5-0	1685	1440	76.5%	18.8%	4.7%	+9.4	24
1955-11-27	@ Porto	L 0-5	1440	1685	4.7%	18.8%	76.5%	-9.4	13
1955-11-27	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1582	1434	72.0%	20.2%	7.8%	+9.7	18
1955-11-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1434	1582	7.8%	20.2%	72.0%	-9.7	15
1955-11-27	Braga	W 3-0	1470	1345	70.8%	20.5%	8.8%	+10.9	15
1955-11-27	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-3	1345	1470	8.8%	20.5%	70.8%	-10.9	6
1955-11-27	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 9-2	1401	1395	62.6%	21.6%	15.8%	+28.4	14
1955-11-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-9	1395	1401	15.8%	21.6%	62.6%	-28.4	9
1955-12-04	Fabril	D 1-1	1365	1326	65.2%	21.3%	13.5%	-4.5	7
1955-12-04	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1326	1365	13.5%	21.3%	65.2%	+4.5	11
1955-12-04	Uniao Torreense	D 2-2	1656	1480	73.5%	19.8%	6.7%	-4.5	24
1955-12-04	@ Benfica	D 2-2	1480	1656	6.7%	19.8%	73.5%	+4.5	16
1955-12-04	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-2	1335	1430	52.5%	22.0%	25.5%	+15.3	9
1955-12-04	@ Braga	L 2-4	1430	1335	25.5%	22.0%	52.5%	-15.3	14
1955-12-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1430	1548	49.7%	22.1%	28.2%	-33.9	13
1955-12-04	@ Caldas	W 2-0	1548	1430	28.2%	22.1%	49.7%	+33.9	19
1955-12-04	Porto	L 0-3	1433	1694	30.5%	21.6%	47.8%	-33.0	14
1955-12-04	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 3-0	1694	1433	47.8%	21.6%	30.5%	+33.0	27
1955-12-04	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1591	1369	75.6%	19.1%	5.3%	+2.3	21
1955-12-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1369	1591	5.3%	19.1%	75.6%	-2.3	9
1955-12-04	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1424	1366	66.6%	21.2%	12.2%	-3.5	16
1955-12-04	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1366	1424	12.2%	21.2%	66.6%	+3.5	10
1956-01-01	Braga	W 4-0	1370	1350	63.8%	21.5%	14.8%	+23.3	13
1956-01-01	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1350	1370	14.8%	21.5%	63.8%	-23.3	9
1956-01-01	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-0	1582	1400	73.8%	19.7%	6.5%	+13.0	22
1956-01-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-5	1400	1582	6.5%	19.7%	73.8%	-13.0	14
1956-01-01	Caldas	D 1-1	1330	1396	55.7%	21.9%	22.3%	-2.8	12
1956-01-01	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1396	1330	22.3%	21.9%	55.7%	+2.8	14
1956-01-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1727	1594	71.3%	20.4%	8.3%	+6.2	30
1956-01-01	@ Porto	L 1-3	1594	1727	8.3%	20.4%	71.3%	-6.2	21
1956-01-01	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1421	1367	66.3%	21.2%	12.5%	+15.3	19
1956-01-01	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-3	1367	1421	12.5%	21.2%	66.3%	-15.3	9
1956-01-01	Barreirense	W 2-1	1485	1360	70.8%	20.5%	8.7%	+3.7	19
1956-01-01	@ Uniao Torreense	L 1-2	1360	1485	8.7%	20.5%	70.8%	-3.7	7
1956-01-01	Benfica	L 3-5	1414	1652	33.6%	21.8%	44.6%	-18.0	14
1956-01-01	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 5-3	1652	1414	44.6%	21.8%	33.6%	+18.0	27
1956-01-08	Porto	L 1-2	1351	1733	17.9%	20.5%	61.6%	-7.1	9
1956-01-08	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1733	1351	61.6%	20.5%	17.9%	+7.1	33
1956-01-08	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1356	1396	58.4%	21.8%	19.8%	+8.4	10
1956-01-08	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1396	1356	19.8%	21.8%	58.4%	-8.4	14
1956-01-08	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1670	1393	77.7%	18.3%	4.0%	+4.9	30
1956-01-08	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1393	1670	4.0%	18.3%	77.7%	-4.9	13
1956-01-08	Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1327	1436	50.7%	22.0%	27.2%	-34.6	9
1956-01-08	@ Braga	W 2-0	1436	1327	27.2%	22.0%	50.7%	+34.6	22
1956-01-08	Uniao Torreense	D 2-2	1399	1489	53.1%	22.0%	24.9%	-1.7	15
1956-01-08	@ Caldas	D 2-2	1489	1399	24.9%	22.0%	53.1%	+1.7	20
1956-01-08	Fabril	D 1-1	1387	1328	66.7%	21.2%	12.1%	-4.8	15
1956-01-08	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1328	1387	12.1%	21.2%	66.7%	+4.8	13
1956-01-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1587	1595	61.4%	21.7%	16.9%	+7.4	24
1956-01-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1595	1587	16.9%	21.7%	61.4%	-7.4	22
1956-01-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-5	1344	1588	32.8%	21.7%	45.5%	-56.3	9
1956-01-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 5-0	1588	1344	45.5%	21.7%	32.8%	+56.3	25
1956-01-15	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1365	1388	60.0%	21.8%	18.3%	+7.0	13
1956-01-15	@ Barreirense	L 2-3	1388	1365	18.3%	21.8%	60.0%	-7.1	13
1956-01-15	Braga	W 7-1	1675	1292	81.3%	16.3%	2.3%	+4.3	33
1956-01-15	@ Benfica	L 1-7	1292	1675	2.3%	16.3%	81.3%	-4.3	9
1956-01-15	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1397	1388	62.9%	21.6%	15.6%	+11.2	18
1956-01-15	@ Caldas	L 1-3	1388	1397	15.6%	21.6%	62.9%	-11.2	14
1956-01-15	Uniao Torreense	W 2-1	1382	1490	50.9%	22.0%	27.1%	+10.4	18
1956-01-15	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1490	1382	27.1%	22.0%	50.9%	-10.3	20
1956-01-15	Sporting Covilha	W 5-1	1740	1471	77.5%	18.4%	4.2%	+5.5	36
1956-01-15	@ Porto	L 1-5	1471	1740	4.2%	18.4%	77.5%	-5.6	22
1956-01-15	Fabril	W 3-0	1595	1332	77.2%	18.5%	4.3%	+5.3	27
1956-01-15	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1332	1595	4.3%	18.5%	77.2%	-5.3	13
1956-01-22	Caldas	D 1-1	1381	1408	59.6%	21.8%	18.6%	-3.4	14
1956-01-22	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1408	1381	18.6%	21.8%	59.6%	+3.5	19
1956-01-22	Porto	L 0-1	1644	1746	51.7%	22.0%	26.3%	-18.7	25
1956-01-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1746	1644	26.3%	22.0%	51.7%	+18.7	39
1956-01-22	Barreirense	D 1-1	1288	1372	53.7%	22.0%	24.3%	-2.4	10
1956-01-22	@ Braga	D 1-1	1372	1288	24.3%	22.0%	53.7%	+2.4	14
1956-01-22	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1327	1288	65.2%	21.3%	13.4%	+6.0	16
1956-01-22	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1288	1327	13.4%	21.3%	65.2%	-6.0	9
1956-01-22	Benfica	L 2-4	1465	1679	36.8%	21.9%	41.3%	-20.5	22
1956-01-22	@ Sporting Covilha	W 4-2	1679	1465	41.3%	21.9%	36.8%	+20.5	36
1956-01-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1480	1600	49.5%	22.1%	28.5%	-1.9	21
1956-01-22	@ Uniao Torreense	D 0-0	1600	1480	28.5%	22.1%	49.5%	+1.9	28
1956-01-22	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-1	1377	1392	60.7%	21.7%	17.6%	+22.7	17
1956-01-22	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-5	1392	1377	17.6%	21.7%	60.7%	-22.7	18
1956-01-29	Uniao Torreense	W 4-1	1282	1478	39.3%	21.9%	38.8%	+33.7	12
1956-01-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1478	1282	38.8%	21.9%	39.3%	-33.7	21
1956-01-29	Benfica	L 2-4	1374	1699	23.2%	21.1%	55.6%	-13.9	14
1956-01-29	@ Barreirense	W 4-2	1699	1374	55.6%	21.1%	23.2%	+13.9	39
1956-01-29	Sporting Covilha	W 4-1	1626	1445	73.7%	19.7%	6.6%	+6.9	28
1956-01-29	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1445	1626	6.6%	19.7%	73.7%	-6.9	22
1956-01-29	Braga	D 0-0	1412	1285	70.9%	20.4%	8.6%	-6.2	20
1956-01-29	@ Caldas	D 0-0	1285	1412	8.6%	20.4%	70.9%	+6.2	11
1956-01-29	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1370	1378	61.4%	21.7%	17.0%	-3.8	19
1956-01-29	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1378	1370	17.0%	21.7%	61.4%	+3.8	15
1956-01-29	Fabril	W 3-1	1765	1333	82.8%	15.4%	1.8%	+1.2	42
1956-01-29	@ Porto	L 1-3	1333	1765	1.8%	15.4%	82.8%	-1.2	16
1956-01-29	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1602	1400	74.7%	19.4%	5.9%	+5.0	31
1956-01-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1400	1602	5.9%	19.4%	74.7%	-5.0	17
1956-02-05	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1382	1607	35.2%	21.8%	42.9%	-25.5	15
1956-02-05	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1607	1382	42.9%	21.8%	35.2%	+25.5	34
1956-02-05	Caldas	W 3-0	1713	1406	78.9%	17.7%	3.4%	+4.2	42
1956-02-05	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1406	1713	3.4%	17.7%	78.9%	-4.2	20
1956-02-05	Lusitano de Evora	L 0-2	1291	1366	54.8%	22.0%	23.2%	-37.1	11
1956-02-05	@ Braga	W 2-0	1366	1291	23.2%	22.0%	54.8%	+37.1	22
1956-02-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1332	1632	25.8%	21.3%	52.8%	-9.9	16
1956-02-05	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1632	1332	52.8%	21.3%	25.8%	+9.9	31
1956-02-05	Barreirense	W 4-0	1438	1360	67.9%	21.0%	11.1%	+17.9	25
1956-02-05	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-4	1360	1438	11.1%	21.0%	67.9%	-17.9	14
1956-02-05	Porto	D 0-0	1444	1766	23.6%	21.2%	55.2%	+2.9	22
1956-02-05	@ Uniao Torreense	D 0-0	1766	1444	55.2%	21.2%	23.6%	-2.9	43
1956-02-05	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1395	1316	68.0%	21.0%	11.0%	+4.7	20
1956-02-05	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1316	1395	11.0%	21.0%	68.0%	-4.7	12
1956-02-12	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1311	1356	57.9%	21.9%	20.2%	+8.1	15
1956-02-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1356	1311	20.2%	21.9%	57.9%	-8.1	15
1956-02-12	Uniao Torreense	W 5-1	1642	1447	74.4%	19.5%	6.1%	+8.3	34
1956-02-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1447	1642	6.1%	19.5%	74.4%	-8.2	22
1956-02-12	Barreirense	L 0-1	1402	1342	66.7%	21.2%	12.2%	-23.9	20
1956-02-12	@ Caldas	W 1-0	1342	1402	12.2%	21.2%	66.7%	+23.9	17
1956-02-12	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1322	1456	47.8%	22.1%	30.2%	-1.4	17
1956-02-12	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1456	1322	30.2%	22.1%	47.8%	+1.4	26
1956-02-12	Benfica	L 0-1	1403	1717	24.3%	21.2%	54.4%	-9.9	22
1956-02-12	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1717	1403	54.4%	21.2%	24.3%	+9.9	45
1956-02-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1763	1399	80.7%	16.7%	2.6%	+2.6	46
1956-02-12	@ Porto	L 1-4	1399	1763	2.6%	16.7%	80.7%	-2.6	20
1956-02-12	Braga	W 4-2	1632	1254	81.2%	16.4%	2.4%	+1.5	37
1956-02-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1254	1632	2.4%	16.4%	81.2%	-1.5	11
1956-02-19	Porto	D 2-2	1348	1766	15.1%	20.1%	64.8%	+3.2	16
1956-02-19	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1766	1348	64.8%	20.1%	15.1%	-3.2	47
1956-02-19	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1366	1393	59.7%	21.8%	18.6%	+7.5	20
1956-02-19	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1393	1366	18.6%	21.8%	59.7%	-7.5	22
1956-02-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1727	1634	69.0%	20.8%	10.2%	+12.7	48
1956-02-19	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1634	1727	10.2%	20.8%	69.0%	-12.7	37
1956-02-19	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1253	1319	55.7%	21.9%	22.4%	-32.6	11
1956-02-19	@ Braga	W 3-1	1319	1253	22.4%	21.9%	55.7%	+32.6	18
1956-02-19	Caldas	W 3-0	1457	1378	68.1%	21.0%	11.0%	+13.5	29
1956-02-19	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-3	1378	1457	11.0%	21.0%	68.1%	-13.5	20
1956-02-19	Fabril	L 1-2	1439	1320	70.5%	20.5%	9.0%	-23.8	22
1956-02-19	@ Uniao Torreense	W 2-1	1320	1439	9.0%	20.5%	70.5%	+23.8	20
1956-02-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1397	1651	31.4%	21.7%	46.9%	-44.2	20
1956-02-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 4-0	1651	1397	46.9%	21.7%	31.4%	+44.1	37
1956-02-26	Benfica	W 1-0	1352	1740	17.4%	20.5%	62.2%	+22.0	21
1956-02-26	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1740	1352	62.2%	20.5%	17.4%	-22.0	48
1956-02-26	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-2	1695	1351	80.1%	17.1%	2.9%	+2.5	40
1956-02-26	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-5	1351	1695	2.9%	17.1%	80.1%	-2.5	16
1956-02-26	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1344	1352	61.4%	21.7%	17.0%	+6.6	23
1956-02-26	@ Fabril	L 2-3	1352	1344	17.0%	21.7%	61.4%	-6.6	20
1956-02-26	Caldas	W 7-3	1386	1364	63.9%	21.5%	14.6%	+14.9	25
1956-02-26	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 3-7	1364	1386	14.6%	21.5%	63.9%	-14.9	20
1956-02-26	Braga	W 4-0	1762	1220	85.8%	13.2%	1.0%	+1.5	50
1956-02-26	@ Porto	L 0-4	1220	1762	1.0%	13.2%	85.8%	-1.5	11
1956-02-26	Barreirense	W 7-1	1621	1374	76.6%	18.7%	4.7%	+9.1	40
1956-02-26	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-7	1374	1621	4.7%	18.7%	76.6%	-9.1	20
1956-02-26	Sporting Covilha	L 2-4	1415	1471	56.8%	21.9%	21.3%	-29.8	22
1956-02-26	@ Uniao Torreense	W 4-2	1471	1415	21.3%	21.9%	56.8%	+29.8	32
1956-03-04	Fabril	W 7-2	1349	1351	61.9%	21.6%	16.5%	+22.0	19
1956-03-04	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-7	1351	1349	16.5%	21.6%	61.9%	-22.0	23
1956-03-04	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1365	1374	61.3%	21.7%	17.0%	+12.1	23
1956-03-04	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1374	1365	17.0%	21.7%	61.3%	-12.1	21
1956-03-04	Porto	D 1-1	1718	1764	57.8%	21.9%	20.3%	-3.1	49
1956-03-04	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1764	1718	20.3%	21.9%	57.8%	+3.1	51
1956-03-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1219	1697	11.3%	19.2%	69.5%	-11.3	11
1956-03-04	@ Braga	W 4-1	1697	1219	69.5%	19.2%	11.3%	+11.3	43
1956-03-04	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1349	1630	28.1%	21.5%	50.4%	-21.2	20
1956-03-04	@ Caldas	W 2-0	1630	1349	50.4%	21.5%	28.1%	+21.2	43
1956-03-04	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1500	1401	69.4%	20.8%	9.9%	+4.5	35
1956-03-04	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1401	1500	9.9%	20.8%	69.4%	-4.5	25
1956-03-04	Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1346	1385	58.4%	21.8%	19.7%	+13.8	23
1956-03-04	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1385	1346	19.7%	21.8%	58.4%	-13.7	22
1956-03-11	Caldas	D 2-2	1362	1328	64.8%	21.4%	13.8%	-3.3	22
1956-03-11	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1328	1362	13.8%	21.4%	64.8%	+3.3	21
1956-03-11	Benfica	D 2-2	1708	1715	61.5%	21.7%	16.8%	-2.8	44
1956-03-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1715	1708	16.8%	21.7%	61.5%	+2.8	50
1956-03-11	Braga	D 2-2	1329	1207	70.6%	20.5%	8.9%	-4.1	24
1956-03-11	@ Fabril	D 2-2	1207	1329	8.9%	20.5%	70.6%	+4.1	12
1956-03-11	Barreirense	W 10-1	1767	1377	81.5%	16.2%	2.2%	+6.1	54
1956-03-11	@ Porto	L 1-10	1377	1767	2.2%	16.2%	81.5%	-6.1	23
1956-03-11	Lusitano de Evora	W 6-0	1652	1396	76.9%	18.6%	4.5%	+10.5	46
1956-03-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1396	1652	4.5%	18.6%	76.9%	-10.5	25
1956-03-11	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1372	1371	62.2%	21.6%	16.2%	+11.6	25
1956-03-11	@ Uniao Torreense	L 1-3	1371	1372	16.2%	21.6%	62.2%	-11.6	19
1956-03-11	Sporting Covilha	D 3-3	1360	1505	46.3%	22.1%	31.7%	-0.7	24
1956-03-11	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 3-3	1505	1360	31.7%	22.1%	46.3%	+0.7	36
1956-03-18	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1359	1359	62.1%	21.6%	16.3%	+11.6	22
1956-03-18	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1359	1359	16.3%	21.6%	62.1%	-11.6	24
1956-03-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1371	1706	22.2%	21.1%	56.7%	+20.2	26
1956-03-18	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1706	1371	56.7%	21.1%	22.2%	-20.2	44
1956-03-18	Fabril	W 3-2	1718	1325	81.6%	16.1%	2.2%	+0.9	53
1956-03-18	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1325	1718	2.2%	16.1%	81.6%	-0.8	24
1956-03-18	Uniao Torreense	W 1-0	1212	1383	42.7%	22.0%	35.3%	+13.6	15
1956-03-18	@ Braga	L 0-1	1383	1212	35.3%	22.0%	42.7%	-13.6	25
1956-03-18	Porto	D 3-3	1331	1773	13.5%	19.8%	66.8%	+2.8	22
1956-03-18	@ Caldas	D 3-3	1773	1331	66.8%	19.8%	13.5%	-2.8	55
1956-03-18	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1386	1358	64.3%	21.4%	14.3%	-4.3	26
1956-03-18	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1358	1386	14.3%	21.4%	64.3%	+4.3	23
1956-03-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1506	1662	44.8%	22.0%	33.2%	-0.9	37
1956-03-18	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1662	1506	33.2%	22.0%	44.8%	+0.9	47
1956-04-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1363	1663	25.9%	21.4%	52.7%	+2.2	24
1956-04-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1663	1363	52.7%	21.4%	25.9%	-2.2	48
1956-04-15	Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1371	1505	47.7%	22.1%	30.2%	+10.7	25
1956-04-15	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1505	1371	30.2%	22.1%	47.7%	-10.7	37
1956-04-15	Caldas	W 3-1	1685	1334	80.3%	16.9%	2.7%	+1.9	47
1956-04-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1334	1685	2.7%	16.9%	80.3%	-1.9	22
1956-04-15	Barreirense	D 1-1	1324	1391	55.6%	21.9%	22.4%	-2.7	25
1956-04-15	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1391	1324	22.4%	21.9%	55.6%	+2.7	27
1956-04-15	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-1	1770	1381	81.5%	16.2%	2.3%	+2.2	58
1956-04-15	@ Porto	L 1-4	1381	1770	2.3%	16.2%	81.5%	-2.2	26
1956-04-15	Benfica	L 2-5	1370	1719	20.8%	20.9%	58.2%	-17.4	25
1956-04-15	@ Uniao Torreense	W 5-2	1719	1370	58.2%	20.9%	20.8%	+17.3	56
1956-04-15	Braga	W 6-1	1347	1225	70.7%	20.5%	8.8%	+14.7	27
1956-04-15	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-6	1225	1347	8.8%	20.5%	70.7%	-14.7	15
1956-04-22	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1365	1494	48.4%	22.1%	29.6%	+11.8	27
1956-04-22	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1494	1365	29.6%	22.1%	48.4%	-11.8	37
1956-04-22	Uniao Torreense	D 1-1	1394	1352	65.4%	21.3%	13.3%	-4.5	28
1956-04-22	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1352	1394	13.3%	21.3%	65.4%	+4.5	26
1956-04-22	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-1	1736	1362	81.1%	16.5%	2.4%	+3.1	59
1956-04-22	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1362	1736	2.4%	16.5%	81.1%	-3.1	27
1956-04-22	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1210	1381	42.8%	22.0%	35.2%	+12.8	18
1956-04-22	@ Braga	L 1-2	1381	1210	35.2%	22.0%	42.8%	-12.8	25
1956-04-22	Fabril	W 3-0	1332	1321	63.0%	21.6%	15.4%	+18.6	25
1956-04-22	@ Caldas	L 0-3	1321	1332	15.4%	21.6%	63.0%	-18.6	25
1956-04-22	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1379	1687	25.0%	21.3%	53.7%	-19.2	26
1956-04-22	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1687	1379	53.7%	21.3%	25.0%	+19.2	50
1956-04-22	Porto	W 1-0	1661	1772	50.5%	22.0%	27.5%	+11.1	51
1956-04-22	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1772	1661	27.5%	22.0%	50.5%	-11.1	58
1956-04-29	Benfica	L 1-4	1369	1739	18.9%	20.7%	60.4%	-18.3	25
1956-04-29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1739	1369	60.4%	20.7%	18.9%	+18.3	62
1956-04-29	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1707	1672	64.9%	21.4%	13.7%	+5.8	53
1956-04-29	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1672	1707	13.7%	21.4%	64.9%	-5.8	51
1956-04-29	Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1303	1360	56.6%	21.9%	21.4%	-2.2	26
1956-04-29	@ Fabril	D 2-2	1360	1303	21.4%	21.9%	56.6%	+2.2	27
1956-04-29	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1761	1377	81.4%	16.3%	2.3%	+2.7	61
1956-04-29	@ Porto	L 0-3	1377	1761	2.3%	16.3%	81.4%	-2.7	27
1956-04-29	Braga	W 4-1	1482	1223	77.1%	18.6%	4.4%	+4.6	40
1956-04-29	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-4	1223	1482	4.4%	18.6%	77.1%	-4.6	18
1956-04-29	Caldas	W 1-0	1357	1351	62.6%	21.6%	15.8%	+6.9	29
1956-04-29	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-1	1351	1357	15.8%	21.6%	62.6%	-6.9	25
1956-04-29	Barreirense	L 2-3	1359	1389	59.3%	21.8%	18.9%	-19.0	27
1956-04-29	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1389	1359	18.9%	21.8%	59.3%	+19.0	31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1955-09-25	8.97%	Uniao Torreense	1479	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1599	0
2	1956-02-19	9.00%	Fabril	1320	2	@ Uniao Torreense	1439	1
3	1956-02-12	12.15%	Barreirense	1342	1	@ Caldas	1402	0
4	1955-10-23	15.88%	Benfica	1589	3	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1595	1
5	1956-02-26	17.38%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1352	1	Benfica	1740	0
6	1955-11-27	18.26%	Lusitano de Evora	1413	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1389	1
7	1956-04-29	18.88%	Barreirense	1389	3	@ Vitoria Setubal	1359	2
8	1955-09-25	19.75%	Fabril	1438	4	@ Academica de Coimbra	1398	3
9	1955-10-02	20.76%	Porto	1507	4	@ Fabril	1456	0
10	1956-02-26	21.26%	Sporting Covilha	1471	4	@ Uniao Torreense	1415	2
11	1956-03-18	22.22%	@ Barreirense	1371	1	Os Belenenses (1st)	1706	0
12	1956-02-19	22.38%	Academica de Coimbra	1319	3	@ Braga	1253	1
13	1956-02-05	23.23%	Lusitano de Evora	1366	2	@ Braga	1291	0
14	1955-09-18	25.53%	Benfica	1557	3	@ Braga	1462	2
15	1956-01-22	26.27%	Porto	1746	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1644	0
16	1956-01-08	27.20%	Sporting Covilha	1436	2	@ Braga	1327	0
17	1955-12-04	28.25%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1548	2	@ Caldas	1430	0
18	1955-10-30	29.33%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1558	3	@ Barreirense	1431	2
19	1955-10-09	32.25%	Benfica	1579	1	@ Caldas	1429	0
20	1955-10-16	35.83%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1581	3	@ Braga	1405	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1955-10-02	73.61	Porto	4	1507	20.76%	@ Fabril	0	1456	57.35%
2	1956-01-15	56.29	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1588	45.48%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1344	32.78%
3	1955-09-25	54.09	@ Barreirense	7	1391	56.98%	Braga	0	1445	21.12%
4	1956-02-19	44.15	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1651	46.87%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1397	31.45%
5	1955-10-30	40.61	Porto	5	1596	42.65%	@ Braga	1	1373	35.50%
6	1956-02-05	37.14	Lusitano de Evora	2	1366	23.23%	@ Braga	0	1291	54.79%
7	1955-10-23	36.61	Benfica	3	1589	15.88%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1595	62.53%
8	1955-11-13	36.46	@ Sporting Covilha	7	1398	58.37%	Vitoria Setubal	1	1438	19.79%
9	1955-11-27	36.33	Benfica	5	1620	47.36%	@ Fabril	1	1362	30.98%
10	1956-01-08	34.59	Sporting Covilha	2	1436	27.20%	@ Braga	0	1327	50.75%
11	1955-12-04	33.94	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	1548	28.25%	@ Caldas	0	1430	49.70%
12	1956-01-29	33.73	@ Academica de Coimbra	4	1282	39.30%	Uniao Torreense	1	1478	38.75%
13	1955-12-04	32.99	Porto	3	1694	47.82%	@ Lusitano de Evora	0	1433	30.54%
14	1956-02-19	32.65	Academica de Coimbra	3	1319	22.38%	@ Braga	1	1253	55.68%
15	1955-11-06	30.95	@ Lusitano de Evora	4	1382	57.77%	Sporting Covilha	0	1429	20.36%
16	1956-02-26	29.79	Sporting Covilha	4	1471	21.26%	@ Uniao Torreense	2	1415	56.83%
17	1955-11-13	28.46	Porto	4	1656	46.92%	@ Barreirense	1	1402	31.40%
18	1955-11-27	28.36	@ Vitoria Setubal	9	1401	62.64%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	1395	15.78%
19	1955-09-18	26.05	@ Vitoria Setubal	3	1400	55.27%	Caldas	0	1470	22.78%
20	1956-02-05	25.52	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1607	42.93%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1382	35.23%
21	1955-09-25	25.29	Uniao Torreense	1	1479	8.97%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1599	70.50%
22	1956-02-12	23.92	Barreirense	1	1342	12.15%	@ Caldas	0	1402	66.69%
23	1956-02-19	23.84	Fabril	2	1320	9.00%	@ Uniao Torreense	1	1439	70.46%
24	1955-10-02	23.69	@ Sporting Covilha	2	1401	45.96%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1549	31.99%
25	1956-01-01	23.29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	4	1370	63.76%	Braga	0	1350	14.75%