1956-57 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

5.00 points above expected

41 points · 36.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sporting Covilha

5.40 points below expected

18 points · 23.40 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	17	7	2	41	75	25	+50	36.0	+5.00
2	Porto	26	18	4	4	40	86	23	+63	38.4	+1.59
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	13	7	6	33	74	50	+24	33.5	-0.55
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	12	7	7	31	62	28	+34	32.9	-1.88
5	Lusitano de Evora	26	13	4	9	30	57	51	+6	25.7	+4.29
6	Academica de Coimbra	26	12	4	10	28	45	33	+12	25.3	+2.72
7	Uniao Torreense	26	10	4	12	24	44	50	-6	22.7	+1.29
8	Oriental de Lisboa	26	8	7	11	23	27	44	-17	20.3	+2.67
9	Fabril	26	9	3	14	21	35	69	-34	20.7	+0.30
10	Vitoria Setubal	26	8	4	14	20	40	59	-19	22.1	-2.12
11	Barreirense	26	8	4	14	20	39	62	-23	23.2	-3.21
12	Caldas	26	6	7	13	19	32	63	-31	20.7	-1.68
13	Sporting Covilha	26	7	4	15	18	33	62	-29	23.4	-5.40
14	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	6	4	16	16	32	62	-30	19.0	-3.02

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Porto	1779	40	38.41	+1.59	70.0%	29	32	36	38	41	44	46
Benfica	1731	41	36.00	+5.00	98.0%	27	31	34	36	38	40	42
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1583	31	32.88	-1.88	37.0%	25	28	31	33	35	37	42
Os Belenenses (1st)	1563	33	33.55	-0.55	45.0%	25	27	31	34	36	39	41
Academica de Coimbra	1478	28	25.28	+2.72	86.0%	17	18	23	26	27	30	37
Lusitano de Evora	1422	30	25.71	+4.29	92.0%	18	20	23	26	28	31	34
Uniao Torreense	1374	24	22.71	+1.29	70.0%	13	17	20	23	25	28	32
Sporting Covilha	1333	18	23.40	-5.40	10.0%	14	17	21	24	26	29	34
Barreirense	1322	20	23.21	-3.21	22.0%	13	17	21	24	25	29	30
Vitoria Setubal	1318	20	22.12	-2.12	36.0%	14	15	19	22	25	28	30
Fabril	1293	21	20.70	+0.30	59.0%	11	14	18	21	23	26	29
Oriental de Lisboa	1277	23	20.33	+2.67	78.0%	9	15	18	20	23	27	28
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1258	16	19.02	-3.02	25.0%	12	13	16	19	21	25	28
Caldas	1246	19	20.68	-1.68	40.0%	13	15	18	20	23	26	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BAR	BEN	CAL	FAB	LDE	ODL	OB(	POR	SCDP	SC	UT	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-0-1 3.48	1-1-0 3.08	0-1-1 1.45	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 3.23	0-1-1 1.98	0-0-2 1.48	2-0-0 1.77	1-1-0 3.04	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.04
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 2.21	—	0-2-0 2.18	0-0-2 0.98	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.54	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 1.22	0-1-1 0.97	0-0-2 1.30	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.38
Barreirense	0-1-1 2.60	0-2-0 3.51	—	0-0-2 1.58	2-0-0 3.15	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 2.69	0-0-2 3.21	1-0-1 1.93	0-1-1 1.33	1-0-1 1.61	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.84	0-0-2 3.09
Benfica	1-1-0 4.25	2-0-0 4.73	2-0-0 4.13	—	2-0-0 4.71	2-0-0 4.44	1-1-0 4.00	1-1-0 4.57	0-2-0 3.15	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 3.23	2-0-0 3.89	1-1-0 4.52	2-0-0 4.57
Caldas	1-0-1 2.37	1-1-0 2.84	0-0-2 2.54	0-0-2 1.00	—	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.09	1-1-0 2.97	0-1-1 1.33	0-1-1 1.08	0-0-2 1.80	1-1-0 2.38	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.67
Fabril	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.43	0-0-2 1.27	1-0-1 2.99	—	1-0-1 2.27	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 1.39	0-0-2 0.84	0-1-1 1.47	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.67
Lusitano de Evora	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 3.00	0-1-1 1.70	1-1-0 3.60	1-0-1 3.42	—	0-0-2 3.57	1-0-1 2.06	1-0-1 1.61	1-1-0 2.25	1-0-1 3.12	2-0-0 3.01	1-1-0 3.10
Oriental de Lisboa	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.48	0-1-1 1.14	0-1-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.90	2-0-0 2.12	—	0-1-1 1.17	0-0-2 0.88	1-0-1 1.34	1-1-0 2.64	0-1-1 2.51	1-1-0 2.61
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-1-0 3.71	2-0-0 4.48	1-0-1 3.76	0-2-0 2.54	1-1-0 4.38	1-0-1 4.31	1-0-1 3.63	1-1-0 4.54	—	1-0-1 2.17	0-2-0 2.84	1-0-1 4.10	1-0-1 4.18	2-0-0 3.97
Porto	2-0-0 4.22	1-1-0 4.76	1-1-0 4.37	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 4.65	2-0-0 4.88	1-0-1 4.10	2-0-0 4.83	1-0-1 3.52	—	1-0-1 3.58	2-0-0 4.19	1-1-0 4.04	2-0-0 4.27
Sporting Clube de Portugal	0-0-2 3.92	2-0-0 4.41	1-0-1 4.09	1-1-0 2.45	2-0-0 3.91	1-1-0 4.23	0-1-1 3.44	1-0-1 4.36	0-2-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.10	—	1-0-1 4.08	1-1-0 4.22	1-1-0 3.87
Sporting Covilha	0-1-1 2.64	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 2.74	0-0-2 1.82	0-1-1 3.31	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 3.05	1-0-1 1.60	0-0-2 1.53	1-0-1 1.61	—	0-0-2 3.09	1-0-1 2.72
Uniao Torreense	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 1.19	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 3.13	0-0-2 2.67	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 1.52	0-1-1 1.67	0-1-1 1.47	2-0-0 2.60	—	1-0-1 3.01
Vitoria Setubal	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 2.60	0-0-2 1.13	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 2.59	0-1-1 3.08	0-0-2 1.73	0-0-2 1.44	0-1-1 1.83	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.68	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	4.40%	4.67%	2.75%	3.02%	3.02%	21.70%
1	4.40%	9.89%	5.22%	4.40%	1.92%	3.02%	28.85%
2	4.67%	5.22%	4.95%	3.85%	1.37%	1.10%	21.15%
3	2.75%	4.40%	3.85%	0.55%	0.82%	0.82%	13.19%
4	3.02%	1.92%	1.37%	0.82%	—	—	7.14%
5+	3.02%	3.02%	1.10%	0.82%	—	—	7.97%
Total	21.70%	28.85%	21.15%	13.19%	7.14%	7.97%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	1.87
StdDev scored	1.72
StdDev allowed	1.72
Mean total goals/game	3.74
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.133
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	38.46%	23.08%	19.23%	15.38%	—	3.85%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.73
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.208
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	38.46%
1	7.69%	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	23.08%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	23.08%	15.38%	19.23%	15.38%	11.54%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	2.38
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.81
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.041
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	23.08%
1	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	19.23%	26.92%	26.92%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.38
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.96
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.143
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	38.46%	30.77%	26.92%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.88
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	2.21
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	3.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.239
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	11.54%	7.69%	38.46%
1	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	38.46%	19.23%	—	19.23%	15.38%	100%

Caldas — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	2.42
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.92
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.090
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%
1	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	53.85%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	19.23%	15.38%	15.38%	11.54%	19.23%	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	2.65
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	2.33
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.218
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	11.54%	30.77%	38.46%	7.69%	—	11.54%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.19
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.77
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	4.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.152
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	11.54%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	53.85%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	42.31%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Oriental de Lisboa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	0.77
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.330
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	—	7.69%	38.46%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
5+	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
Total	15.38%	26.92%	34.62%	11.54%	—	11.54%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.85
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	4.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.383
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
2	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
3	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
4	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	46.15%	34.62%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.31
Mean allowed	0.88
StdDev scored	2.07
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	4.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.054
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	34.62%	34.62%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.38
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	2.35
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.206
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	30.77%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	26.92%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	23.08%	15.38%	23.08%	3.85%	15.38%	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	2.38
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	2.17
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.094
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	26.92%	26.92%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Uniao Torreense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.72
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.237
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	23.08%
1	—	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	38.46%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	30.77%	15.38%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.71
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.309
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Benfica	41	36.0	+5.00
2	Lusitano de Evora	30	25.7	+4.29
3	Academica de Coimbra	28	25.3	+2.72
4	Oriental de Lisboa	23	20.3	+2.67
5	Porto	40	38.4	+1.59

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sporting Covilha	18	23.4	-5.40
2	Barreirense	20	23.2	-3.21
3	Atletico Clube de Portugal	16	19.0	-3.02
4	Vitoria Setubal	20	22.1	-2.12
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	31	32.9	-1.88

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oriental de Lisboa	4	Sep 30 – Oct 21	1 in 424
2	Academica de Coimbra	6	Jan 27 – Mar 17	1 in 63
3	Vitoria Setubal	3	Oct 28 – Nov 11	1 in 20
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	Dec 30 – Jan 6	1 in 19
5	Barreirense	3	Sep 16 – Oct 7	1 in 16

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barreirense	6	Jan 20 – Mar 10	1 in 126
2	Uniao Torreense	3	Nov 6 – Nov 18	1 in 63
3	Lusitano de Evora	2	Jan 6 – Jan 13	1 in 30
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	Sep 11 – Sep 11	1 in 19
5	Vitoria Setubal	4	Feb 3 – Mar 10	1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oriental de Lisboa	6	Sep 16 – Oct 28	1 in 99
2	Benfica	14	Sep 11 – Dec 16	1 in 75
3	Atletico Clube de Portugal	4	Dec 30 – Jan 20	1 in 32
4	Caldas	3	Dec 2 – Dec 16	1 in 23
5	Barreirense	4	Sep 16 – Oct 14	1 in 11

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Covilha	9	Sep 11 – Nov 11	1 in 103
2	Barreirense	8	Jan 6 – Mar 10	1 in 68
3	Oriental de Lisboa	5	Dec 2 – Dec 30	1 in 54
4	Caldas	11	Oct 21 – Dec 30	1 in 21
5	Uniao Torreense	4	Oct 28 – Nov 18	1 in 15

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	23.00%	39.00%	24.00%	14.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	67.00%	25.00%	3.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	7.00%	21.00%	32.00%	30.00%	7.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	3.00%	15.00%	37.00%	32.00%	12.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lusitano de Evora	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	22.00%	23.00%	15.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	21.00%	21.00%	16.00%	13.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—
Uniao Torreense	—	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	21.00%	11.00%	14.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Oriental de Lisboa	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%	11.00%	15.00%	13.00%	17.00%	14.00%
Fabril	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	13.00%	5.00%	15.00%	16.00%	18.00%	13.00%	13.00%
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	—	—	10.00%	11.00%	7.00%	11.00%	13.00%	8.00%	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%	9.00%
Barreirense	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	11.00%	16.00%	13.00%	11.00%	12.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%
Caldas	—	—	1.00%	—	—	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	13.00%	14.00%	16.00%	17.00%	13.00%
Sporting Covilha	—	—	—	2.00%	9.00%	8.00%	13.00%	17.00%	15.00%	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	—	—	—	2.00%	—	6.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	10.00%	21.00%	35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Lusitano de Evora	99.0%	1.0%
Academica de Coimbra	97.0%	3.0%
Sporting Covilha	90.0%	10.0%
Uniao Torreense	90.0%	10.0%
Barreirense	86.0%	14.0%
Vitoria Setubal	81.0%	19.0%
Fabril	74.0%	26.0%
Caldas	70.0%	30.0%
Oriental de Lisboa	69.0%	31.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	44.0%	56.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1956-09-11	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1602	1359	81.6%	14.4%	4.0%	+2.2	3
1956-09-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-4	1359	1602	4.0%	14.4%	81.6%	-2.2	0
1956-09-11	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-2	1352	1238	76.8%	15.2%	8.0%	+4.3	3
1956-09-11	@ Caldas	L 2-4	1238	1352	8.0%	15.2%	76.8%	-4.3	0
1956-09-11	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1322	1354	67.4%	15.8%	16.8%	+9.7	3
1956-09-11	@ Fabril	L 1-3	1354	1322	16.8%	15.8%	67.4%	-9.7	0
1956-09-11	Benfica	L 1-2	1365	1611	42.5%	16.0%	41.5%	-12.7	0
1956-09-11	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1611	1365	41.5%	16.0%	42.5%	+12.7	3
1956-09-11	Barreirense	W 4-0	1630	1395	81.3%	14.4%	4.2%	+5.6	3
1956-09-11	@ Porto	L 0-4	1395	1630	4.2%	14.4%	81.3%	-5.6	0
1956-09-11	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1565	1374	79.9%	14.7%	5.3%	-40.5	0
1956-09-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1374	1565	5.3%	14.7%	79.9%	+40.5	3
1956-09-11	Uniao Torreense	L 2-4	1447	1366	75.1%	15.4%	9.5%	-34.0	0
1956-09-11	@ Sporting Covilha	W 4-2	1366	1447	9.5%	15.4%	75.1%	+34.0	3
1956-09-16	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1414	1413	70.0%	15.7%	14.2%	-4.8	4
1956-09-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1413	1414	14.2%	15.7%	70.0%	+4.8	1
1956-09-16	Lusitano de Evora	L 3-7	1357	1352	70.3%	15.7%	14.0%	-50.2	0
1956-09-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 7-3	1352	1357	14.0%	15.7%	70.3%	+50.2	3
1956-09-16	Fabril	W 3-1	1389	1332	73.8%	15.5%	10.7%	+6.4	3
1956-09-16	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1332	1389	10.7%	15.5%	73.8%	-6.4	3
1956-09-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1623	1524	76.0%	15.3%	8.7%	-5.3	4
1956-09-16	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1524	1623	8.7%	15.3%	76.0%	+5.3	1
1956-09-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1233	1604	26.3%	15.6%	58.1%	+2.3	1
1956-09-16	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1604	1233	58.1%	15.6%	26.3%	-2.3	4
1956-09-16	Porto	D 1-1	1400	1635	44.0%	16.0%	40.0%	-0.3	4
1956-09-16	@ Uniao Torreense	D 1-1	1635	1400	40.0%	16.0%	44.0%	+0.3	4
1956-09-16	Caldas	D 1-1	1344	1356	69.0%	15.8%	15.2%	-4.1	1
1956-09-16	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1356	1344	15.2%	15.8%	69.0%	+4.1	4
1956-09-30	Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1307	1236	74.6%	15.4%	10.0%	-23.1	0
1956-09-30	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1236	1307	10.0%	15.4%	74.6%	+23.1	4
1956-09-30	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-1	1602	1340	82.1%	14.2%	3.6%	+4.0	7
1956-09-30	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1340	1602	3.6%	14.2%	82.1%	-4.0	1
1956-09-30	Barreirense	L 0-1	1361	1396	67.1%	15.8%	17.0%	-20.7	4
1956-09-30	@ Caldas	W 1-0	1396	1361	17.0%	15.8%	67.1%	+20.7	6
1956-09-30	Uniao Torreense	W 1-0	1325	1400	63.5%	15.9%	20.5%	+7.2	6
1956-09-30	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1400	1325	20.5%	15.9%	63.5%	-7.2	4
1956-09-30	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1402	1530	57.9%	16.0%	26.1%	+8.4	6
1956-09-30	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1530	1402	26.1%	16.0%	57.9%	-8.4	1
1956-09-30	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1635	1409	81.1%	14.5%	4.4%	+4.8	7
1956-09-30	@ Porto	L 1-5	1409	1635	4.4%	14.5%	81.1%	-4.8	4
1956-09-30	Benfica	L 1-3	1417	1618	48.8%	16.0%	35.2%	-24.9	1
1956-09-30	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1618	1417	35.2%	16.0%	48.8%	+24.9	7
1956-10-07	Fabril	W 8-1	1404	1332	74.6%	15.4%	10.0%	+18.1	7
1956-10-07	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-8	1332	1404	10.0%	15.4%	74.6%	-18.1	6
1956-10-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1416	1606	50.3%	16.0%	33.7%	+10.5	9
1956-10-07	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1606	1416	33.7%	16.0%	50.3%	-10.5	7
1956-10-07	Porto	W 3-2	1643	1640	70.1%	15.7%	14.1%	+4.5	10
1956-10-07	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1640	1643	14.1%	15.7%	70.1%	-4.5	7
1956-10-07	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1259	1410	55.1%	16.0%	28.9%	+15.9	7
1956-10-07	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-3	1410	1259	28.9%	16.0%	55.1%	-15.9	6
1956-10-07	Sporting Covilha	W 7-1	1521	1392	77.5%	15.1%	7.4%	+11.8	4
1956-10-07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-7	1392	1521	7.4%	15.1%	77.5%	-11.8	1
1956-10-07	Caldas	W 4-0	1393	1340	73.5%	15.5%	11.0%	+14.3	7
1956-10-07	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-4	1340	1393	11.0%	15.5%	73.5%	-14.3	4
1956-10-07	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1336	1284	73.4%	15.5%	11.0%	+14.3	4
1956-10-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1284	1336	11.0%	15.5%	73.4%	-14.3	0
1956-10-14	Barreirense	D 2-2	1270	1427	54.4%	16.0%	29.6%	-1.3	1
1956-10-14	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1427	1270	29.6%	16.0%	54.4%	+1.3	10
1956-10-14	Uniao Torreense	W 6-2	1596	1407	79.8%	14.8%	5.4%	+5.0	10
1956-10-14	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-6	1407	1596	5.4%	14.8%	79.8%	-5.0	7
1956-10-14	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1326	1423	61.3%	16.0%	22.8%	+7.9	7
1956-10-14	@ Caldas	L 0-1	1423	1326	22.8%	16.0%	61.3%	-7.9	7
1956-10-14	Benfica	L 2-3	1314	1648	30.7%	15.7%	53.5%	-9.1	6
1956-10-14	@ Fabril	W 3-2	1648	1314	53.5%	15.7%	30.7%	+9.1	13
1956-10-14	Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1395	1381	70.9%	15.7%	13.4%	+4.3	9
1956-10-14	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-3	1381	1395	13.4%	15.7%	70.9%	-4.3	1
1956-10-14	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1275	1350	63.4%	15.9%	20.6%	+6.8	10
1956-10-14	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	1350	1275	20.6%	15.9%	63.4%	-6.8	4
1956-10-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1636	1533	76.2%	15.3%	8.5%	+5.9	10
1956-10-14	@ Porto	L 0-2	1533	1636	8.5%	15.3%	76.2%	-5.9	4
1956-10-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1415	1601	50.8%	16.0%	33.2%	-1.2	8
1956-10-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1601	1415	33.2%	16.0%	50.8%	+1.2	11
1956-10-21	Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1428	1282	78.2%	15.0%	6.8%	-24.3	10
1956-10-21	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1282	1428	6.8%	15.0%	78.2%	+24.3	13
1956-10-21	Caldas	W 1-0	1657	1333	83.7%	13.7%	2.6%	+1.0	16
1956-10-21	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1333	1657	2.6%	13.7%	83.7%	-1.0	7
1956-10-21	Fabril	W 8-0	1527	1305	81.0%	14.5%	4.5%	+11.4	7
1956-10-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-8	1305	1527	4.5%	14.5%	81.0%	-11.4	6
1956-10-21	Porto	L 0-1	1376	1642	39.8%	15.9%	44.3%	-12.8	1
1956-10-21	@ Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1642	1376	44.3%	15.9%	39.8%	+12.8	13
1956-10-21	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1402	1268	77.7%	15.1%	7.2%	+2.7	10
1956-10-21	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-1	1268	1402	7.2%	15.1%	77.7%	-2.7	1
1956-10-21	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1344	1399	65.4%	15.9%	18.7%	-3.5	5
1956-10-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1399	1344	18.7%	15.9%	65.4%	+3.5	10
1956-10-28	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1266	1413	55.5%	16.0%	28.4%	+9.6	4
1956-10-28	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1413	1266	28.4%	16.0%	55.5%	-9.6	8
1956-10-28	Benfica	D 2-2	1602	1658	65.3%	15.9%	18.8%	-2.6	12
1956-10-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1658	1602	18.8%	15.9%	65.3%	+2.6	17
1956-10-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-7	1332	1539	48.1%	16.0%	35.9%	-64.9	7
1956-10-28	@ Caldas	W 7-1	1539	1332	35.9%	16.0%	48.1%	+64.9	10
1956-10-28	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1294	1364	64.0%	15.9%	20.1%	-3.3	7
1956-10-28	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1364	1294	20.1%	15.9%	64.0%	+3.3	2
1956-10-28	Porto	W 3-2	1402	1654	41.6%	16.0%	42.4%	+12.1	13
1956-10-28	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-3	1654	1402	42.4%	16.0%	41.6%	-12.0	13
1956-10-28	Uniao Torreense	D 1-1	1306	1405	61.1%	16.0%	22.9%	-2.8	14
1956-10-28	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1405	1306	22.9%	16.0%	61.1%	+2.8	11
1956-10-28	Barreirense	W 2-0	1340	1404	64.6%	15.9%	19.5%	+12.9	8
1956-10-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1404	1340	19.5%	15.9%	64.6%	-12.9	10
1956-11-06	Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-1	1404	1303	76.1%	15.3%	8.6%	+3.0	11
1956-11-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1303	1404	8.6%	15.3%	76.1%	-3.0	14
1956-11-06	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1391	1414	68.1%	15.8%	16.1%	+5.7	13
1956-11-06	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1414	1391	16.1%	15.8%	68.1%	-5.7	13
1956-11-06	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1660	1275	85.0%	13.1%	1.9%	+2.4	20
1956-11-06	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1275	1660	1.9%	13.1%	85.0%	-2.4	4
1956-11-06	Fabril	W 4-0	1642	1290	84.3%	13.4%	2.2%	+2.9	16
1956-11-06	@ Porto	L 0-4	1290	1642	2.2%	13.4%	84.3%	-2.9	7
1956-11-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1604	1599	70.2%	15.7%	14.0%	-3.2	11
1956-11-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1599	1604	14.0%	15.7%	70.2%	+3.2	13
1956-11-06	Caldas	D 0-0	1367	1268	76.0%	15.3%	8.6%	-5.9	3
1956-11-06	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1268	1367	8.6%	15.3%	76.0%	+5.9	8
1956-11-06	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1407	1353	73.6%	15.5%	10.9%	-52.6	11
1956-11-06	@ Uniao Torreense	W 4-1	1353	1407	10.9%	15.5%	73.6%	+52.6	11
1956-11-11	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1273	1600	31.4%	15.8%	52.8%	-17.0	4
1956-11-11	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1600	1273	52.8%	15.8%	31.4%	+17.0	14
1956-11-11	Uniao Torreense	W 3-0	1397	1355	72.8%	15.6%	11.6%	+11.5	16
1956-11-11	@ Barreirense	L 0-3	1355	1397	11.6%	15.6%	72.8%	-11.5	11
1956-11-11	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1602	1361	81.5%	14.4%	4.1%	+2.8	16
1956-11-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1361	1602	4.1%	14.4%	81.5%	-2.8	3
1956-11-11	Porto	D 1-1	1273	1645	26.2%	15.6%	58.2%	+2.3	9
1956-11-11	@ Caldas	D 1-1	1645	1273	58.2%	15.6%	26.2%	-2.3	17
1956-11-11	Fabril	W 3-1	1409	1287	77.1%	15.2%	7.7%	+4.6	16
1956-11-11	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1287	1409	7.7%	15.2%	77.1%	-4.6	7
1956-11-11	Benfica	D 1-1	1300	1663	27.2%	15.6%	57.2%	+2.2	15
1956-11-11	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1663	1300	57.2%	15.6%	27.2%	-2.2	21
1956-11-11	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1406	1407	69.8%	15.7%	14.4%	+8.5	14
1956-11-11	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1407	1406	14.4%	15.7%	69.8%	-8.4	11
1956-11-18	Barreirense	D 2-2	1398	1408	69.2%	15.8%	15.0%	-3.1	12
1956-11-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1408	1398	15.0%	15.8%	69.2%	+3.1	17
1956-11-18	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-0	1660	1414	81.7%	14.3%	4.0%	+5.2	24
1956-11-18	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1414	1660	4.0%	14.3%	81.7%	-5.2	14
1956-11-18	Caldas	W 1-0	1283	1276	70.4%	15.7%	13.8%	+5.0	10
1956-11-18	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1276	1283	13.8%	15.7%	70.4%	-5.0	9
1956-11-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 5-0	1643	1605	72.5%	15.6%	11.9%	+19.0	20
1956-11-18	@ Porto	L 0-5	1605	1643	11.9%	15.6%	72.5%	-19.0	16
1956-11-18	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1617	1302	83.5%	13.8%	2.7%	+1.6	17
1956-11-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1302	1617	2.7%	13.8%	83.5%	-1.6	15
1956-11-18	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1358	1256	76.2%	15.3%	8.5%	+2.9	6
1956-11-18	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1256	1358	8.5%	15.3%	76.2%	-2.9	4
1956-11-18	Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1343	1413	64.0%	15.9%	20.1%	-32.2	11
1956-11-18	@ Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1413	1343	20.1%	15.9%	64.0%	+32.2	19
1956-11-25	Porto	L 1-3	1253	1662	22.2%	15.4%	62.4%	-12.5	4
1956-11-25	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1662	1253	62.4%	15.4%	22.2%	+12.5	23
1956-11-25	Benfica	L 2-4	1411	1666	41.3%	16.0%	42.7%	-19.2	17
1956-11-25	@ Barreirense	W 4-2	1666	1411	42.7%	16.0%	41.3%	+19.2	27
1956-11-25	Fabril	W 5-1	1586	1288	83.1%	13.9%	3.0%	+3.3	19
1956-11-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1288	1586	3.0%	13.9%	83.1%	-3.3	10
1956-11-25	Caldas	W 2-0	1446	1271	79.3%	14.8%	5.8%	+4.0	22
1956-11-25	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-2	1271	1446	5.8%	14.8%	79.3%	-4.0	9
1956-11-25	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1301	1361	64.9%	15.9%	19.2%	+12.7	18
1956-11-25	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-2	1361	1301	19.2%	15.9%	64.9%	-12.7	6
1956-11-25	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1311	1395	62.6%	16.0%	21.5%	+7.0	14
1956-11-25	@ Uniao Torreense	L 1-2	1395	1311	21.5%	16.0%	62.6%	-7.0	12
1956-11-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1409	1619	47.5%	16.0%	36.5%	-0.9	15
1956-11-25	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1619	1409	36.5%	16.0%	47.5%	+0.9	18
1956-12-02	Uniao Torreense	W 3-0	1685	1318	84.6%	13.3%	2.1%	+2.0	30
1956-12-02	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1318	1685	2.1%	13.3%	84.6%	-2.0	14
1956-12-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1267	1590	32.0%	15.8%	52.2%	+1.4	10
1956-12-02	@ Caldas	D 1-1	1590	1267	52.2%	15.8%	32.0%	-1.4	20
1956-12-02	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1284	1240	73.0%	15.6%	11.5%	+4.2	13
1956-12-02	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1240	1284	11.5%	15.6%	73.0%	-4.2	4
1956-12-02	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1450	1388	74.0%	15.5%	10.5%	+6.3	25
1956-12-02	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1388	1450	10.5%	15.5%	74.0%	-6.3	12
1956-12-02	Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-0	1674	1313	84.5%	13.4%	2.1%	+3.4	26
1956-12-02	@ Porto	L 0-5	1313	1674	2.1%	13.4%	84.5%	-3.4	18
1956-12-02	Barreirense	W 3-0	1620	1392	81.1%	14.5%	4.4%	+4.4	21
1956-12-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1392	1620	4.4%	14.5%	81.1%	-4.4	17
1956-12-02	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1348	1408	65.0%	15.9%	19.1%	+12.7	9
1956-12-02	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1408	1348	19.1%	15.9%	65.0%	-12.7	15
1956-12-09	Benfica	D 0-0	1382	1687	34.4%	15.8%	49.8%	+1.2	13
1956-12-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1687	1382	49.8%	15.8%	34.4%	-1.2	31
1956-12-09	Caldas	D 2-2	1236	1268	67.4%	15.8%	16.8%	-2.9	5
1956-12-09	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1268	1236	16.8%	15.8%	67.4%	+2.8	11
1956-12-09	Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1388	1361	71.8%	15.6%	12.6%	+4.0	20
1956-12-09	@ Barreirense	L 2-3	1361	1388	12.6%	15.6%	71.8%	-4.1	9
1956-12-09	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-0	1588	1456	77.6%	15.1%	7.3%	+11.8	23
1956-12-09	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-5	1456	1588	7.3%	15.1%	77.6%	-11.8	25
1956-12-09	Fabril	D 1-1	1310	1289	71.4%	15.7%	12.9%	-4.5	19
1956-12-09	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1289	1310	12.9%	15.7%	71.4%	+4.5	14
1956-12-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1316	1624	33.9%	15.8%	50.3%	+1.3	15
1956-12-09	@ Uniao Torreense	D 0-0	1624	1316	50.3%	15.8%	33.9%	-1.3	22
1956-12-09	Porto	L 1-7	1395	1678	37.4%	15.9%	46.7%	-52.3	15
1956-12-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 7-1	1678	1395	46.7%	15.9%	37.4%	+52.3	29
1956-12-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1383	1623	43.4%	16.0%	40.6%	+24.5	16
1956-12-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1623	1383	40.6%	16.0%	43.4%	-24.5	22
1956-12-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-4	1233	1600	26.8%	15.6%	57.6%	-13.2	5
1956-12-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1600	1233	57.6%	15.6%	26.8%	+13.2	26
1956-12-16	Porto	D 1-1	1392	1730	30.1%	15.7%	54.2%	+1.7	21
1956-12-16	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1730	1392	54.2%	15.7%	30.1%	-1.7	30
1956-12-16	Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1686	1444	81.6%	14.4%	4.1%	-4.6	32
1956-12-16	@ Benfica	D 2-2	1444	1686	4.1%	14.4%	81.6%	+4.6	26
1956-12-16	Caldas	D 1-1	1305	1271	72.3%	15.6%	12.1%	-4.6	20
1956-12-16	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1271	1305	12.1%	15.6%	72.3%	+4.7	12
1956-12-16	Sporting Covilha	W 5-0	1317	1357	66.7%	15.9%	17.4%	+27.2	18
1956-12-16	@ Uniao Torreense	L 0-5	1357	1317	17.4%	15.9%	66.7%	-27.2	9
1956-12-16	Fabril	W 4-1	1343	1293	73.3%	15.5%	11.2%	+9.4	18
1956-12-16	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1293	1343	11.2%	15.5%	73.3%	-9.4	14
1956-12-23	Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-1	1613	1301	83.4%	13.8%	2.8%	+3.0	29
1956-12-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1301	1613	2.8%	13.8%	83.4%	-3.0	20
1956-12-23	Vitoria Setubal	L 3-5	1276	1352	63.3%	15.9%	20.7%	-26.9	12
1956-12-23	@ Caldas	W 5-3	1352	1276	20.7%	15.9%	63.3%	+26.9	21
1956-12-23	Barreirense	W 2-1	1284	1393	59.9%	16.0%	24.1%	+7.8	17
1956-12-23	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1393	1284	24.1%	16.0%	59.9%	-7.8	21
1956-12-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-0	1449	1220	81.2%	14.5%	4.4%	+7.1	29
1956-12-23	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-5	1220	1449	4.4%	14.5%	81.2%	-7.1	5
1956-12-23	Uniao Torreense	W 2-0	1728	1344	85.0%	13.1%	1.9%	+1.3	33
1956-12-23	@ Porto	L 0-2	1344	1728	1.9%	13.1%	85.0%	-1.3	18
1956-12-23	Benfica	W 1-0	1598	1681	62.7%	16.0%	21.3%	+7.4	25
1956-12-23	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1681	1598	21.3%	16.0%	62.7%	-7.4	32
1956-12-23	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1330	1408	63.2%	16.0%	20.8%	-19.5	9
1956-12-23	@ Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1408	1330	20.8%	16.0%	63.2%	+19.5	19
1956-12-30	Porto	L 0-3	1427	1730	34.7%	15.8%	49.5%	-31.1	19
1956-12-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1730	1427	49.5%	15.8%	34.7%	+31.1	36
1956-12-30	Caldas	W 4-3	1386	1249	77.8%	15.1%	7.1%	+2.3	24
1956-12-30	@ Barreirense	L 3-4	1249	1386	7.1%	15.1%	77.8%	-2.3	12
1956-12-30	Sporting Covilha	W 6-0	1674	1310	84.5%	13.3%	2.1%	+4.0	35
1956-12-30	@ Benfica	L 0-6	1310	1674	2.1%	13.3%	84.5%	-4.0	9
1956-12-30	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1298	1213	75.3%	15.4%	9.3%	-23.3	20
1956-12-30	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 1-0	1213	1298	9.3%	15.4%	75.3%	+23.3	8
1956-12-30	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1606	1456	78.4%	15.0%	6.6%	-5.6	26
1956-12-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1456	1606	6.6%	15.0%	78.4%	+5.6	30
1956-12-30	Fabril	W 2-1	1343	1292	73.4%	15.5%	11.1%	+3.8	21
1956-12-30	@ Uniao Torreense	L 1-2	1292	1343	11.1%	15.5%	73.4%	-3.8	17
1956-12-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1379	1616	43.8%	16.0%	40.2%	-13.1	21
1956-12-30	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1616	1379	40.2%	16.0%	43.8%	+13.1	32
1957-01-06	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1236	1366	57.7%	16.0%	26.3%	+24.5	11
1957-01-06	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1366	1236	26.3%	16.0%	57.7%	-24.5	21
1957-01-06	Barreirense	W 4-0	1629	1388	81.5%	14.4%	4.1%	+5.4	35
1957-01-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1388	1629	4.1%	14.4%	81.5%	-5.4	24
1957-01-06	Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1246	1347	60.9%	16.0%	23.1%	+13.0	15
1957-01-06	@ Caldas	L 1-3	1347	1246	23.1%	16.0%	60.9%	-13.0	21
1957-01-06	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1288	1396	60.1%	16.0%	23.9%	+7.8	20
1957-01-06	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1396	1288	23.9%	16.0%	60.1%	-7.8	19
1957-01-06	Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-2	1461	1274	79.8%	14.8%	5.5%	-46.7	30
1957-01-06	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1274	1461	5.5%	14.8%	79.8%	+46.7	23
1957-01-06	Benfica	W 3-0	1761	1678	75.2%	15.4%	9.4%	+9.4	39
1957-01-06	@ Porto	L 0-3	1678	1761	9.4%	15.4%	75.2%	-9.4	35
1957-01-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1306	1600	35.8%	15.9%	48.3%	+13.2	12
1957-01-06	@ Sporting Covilha	L 3-4	1600	1306	48.3%	15.9%	35.8%	-13.2	26
1957-01-13	Caldas	W 4-0	1388	1259	77.5%	15.1%	7.4%	+9.7	22
1957-01-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-4	1259	1388	7.4%	15.1%	77.5%	-9.7	15
1957-01-13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1383	1261	77.1%	15.2%	7.7%	-3.4	25
1957-01-13	@ Barreirense	D 3-3	1261	1383	7.7%	15.2%	77.1%	+3.4	12
1957-01-13	Fabril	W 6-0	1668	1296	84.8%	13.2%	2.0%	+3.8	38
1957-01-13	@ Benfica	L 0-6	1296	1668	2.0%	13.2%	84.8%	-3.8	20
1957-01-13	Porto	W 2-1	1587	1770	51.1%	16.0%	32.8%	+10.2	29
1957-01-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1770	1587	32.8%	16.0%	51.1%	-10.2	39
1957-01-13	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1320	1415	61.5%	16.0%	22.6%	+14.7	15
1957-01-13	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1415	1320	22.6%	16.0%	61.5%	-14.7	30
1957-01-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 6-2	1334	1635	34.9%	15.8%	49.2%	+38.8	24
1957-01-13	@ Uniao Torreense	L 2-6	1635	1334	49.2%	15.8%	34.9%	-38.8	35
1957-01-13	Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1342	1321	71.4%	15.7%	12.9%	-4.5	22
1957-01-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1321	1342	12.9%	15.7%	71.4%	+4.5	24
1957-01-20	Uniao Torreense	W 2-1	1264	1373	60.1%	16.0%	23.9%	+7.8	15
1957-01-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1373	1264	23.9%	16.0%	60.1%	-7.8	24
1957-01-20	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1596	1398	80.2%	14.7%	5.1%	+1.7	38
1957-01-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1398	1596	5.1%	14.7%	80.2%	-1.7	22
1957-01-20	Benfica	L 1-4	1250	1672	20.9%	15.3%	63.7%	-16.7	15
1957-01-20	@ Caldas	W 4-1	1672	1250	63.7%	15.3%	20.9%	+16.7	41
1957-01-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1292	1597	34.3%	15.8%	49.9%	+1.2	21
1957-01-20	@ Fabril	D 0-0	1597	1292	49.9%	15.8%	34.3%	-1.2	30
1957-01-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1400	1337	74.1%	15.5%	10.4%	+8.8	33
1957-01-20	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-4	1337	1400	10.4%	15.5%	74.1%	-8.8	22
1957-01-20	Barreirense	W 2-1	1325	1379	65.5%	15.9%	18.6%	+6.2	27
1957-01-20	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	1379	1325	18.6%	15.9%	65.5%	-6.2	25
1957-01-20	Sporting Covilha	W 8-1	1760	1334	85.8%	12.7%	1.5%	+2.7	42
1957-01-20	@ Porto	L 1-8	1334	1760	1.5%	12.7%	85.8%	-2.7	15
1957-01-27	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1396	1272	77.2%	15.2%	7.6%	+5.2	25
1957-01-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1272	1396	7.6%	15.2%	77.2%	-5.2	15
1957-01-27	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1373	1329	73.0%	15.6%	11.5%	-21.3	25
1957-01-27	@ Barreirense	W 2-1	1329	1373	11.5%	15.6%	73.0%	+21.3	25
1957-01-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1689	1597	75.6%	15.3%	9.0%	-3.9	42
1957-01-27	@ Benfica	D 2-2	1597	1689	9.0%	15.3%	75.6%	+3.9	39
1957-01-27	Lusitano de Evora	W 7-1	1763	1409	84.4%	13.4%	2.2%	+3.5	45
1957-01-27	@ Porto	L 1-7	1409	1763	2.2%	13.4%	84.4%	-3.5	33
1957-01-27	Caldas	W 6-0	1596	1233	84.5%	13.3%	2.1%	+4.0	33
1957-01-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1233	1596	2.1%	13.3%	84.5%	-4.0	15
1957-01-27	Fabril	W 2-1	1332	1293	72.6%	15.6%	11.8%	+4.0	18
1957-01-27	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1293	1332	11.8%	15.6%	72.6%	-4.0	21
1957-01-27	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-1	1365	1332	72.2%	15.6%	12.1%	+10.1	27
1957-01-27	@ Uniao Torreense	L 1-4	1332	1365	12.1%	15.6%	72.2%	-10.1	27
1957-02-03	Benfica	L 0-5	1267	1685	21.3%	15.4%	63.3%	-32.4	15
1957-02-03	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-0	1685	1267	63.3%	15.4%	21.3%	+32.4	45
1957-02-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1601	1600	70.0%	15.7%	14.2%	-3.2	40
1957-02-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1600	1601	14.2%	15.7%	70.0%	+3.2	34
1957-02-03	Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1229	1336	60.3%	16.0%	23.8%	+7.3	18
1957-02-03	@ Caldas	L 2-3	1336	1229	23.8%	16.0%	60.3%	-7.3	18
1957-02-03	Porto	L 2-5	1289	1766	16.2%	15.0%	68.8%	-11.4	21
1957-02-03	@ Fabril	W 5-2	1766	1289	68.8%	15.0%	16.2%	+11.4	48
1957-02-03	Barreirense	W 3-2	1405	1352	73.5%	15.5%	10.9%	+3.6	36
1957-02-03	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-3	1352	1405	10.9%	15.5%	73.5%	-3.6	25
1957-02-03	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1322	1402	63.0%	16.0%	21.1%	-36.6	27
1957-02-03	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-0	1402	1322	21.1%	16.0%	63.0%	+36.6	28
1957-02-03	Uniao Torreense	L 2-3	1350	1375	68.0%	15.8%	16.2%	-18.8	25
1957-02-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1375	1350	16.2%	15.8%	68.0%	+18.8	30
1957-02-10	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1438	1331	76.4%	15.3%	8.3%	+5.7	31
1957-02-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1331	1438	8.3%	15.3%	76.4%	-5.7	25
1957-02-10	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-0	1717	1285	85.9%	12.7%	1.5%	+1.4	48
1957-02-10	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1285	1717	1.5%	12.7%	85.9%	-1.4	27
1957-02-10	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-3	1278	1409	57.5%	16.0%	26.5%	+12.4	24
1957-02-10	@ Fabril	L 3-5	1409	1278	26.5%	16.0%	57.5%	-12.4	36
1957-02-10	Caldas	W 4-0	1777	1236	87.6%	11.5%	0.8%	+1.0	51
1957-02-10	@ Porto	L 0-4	1236	1777	0.8%	11.5%	87.6%	-1.0	18
1957-02-10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1603	1234	84.7%	13.3%	2.1%	+2.0	37
1957-02-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1234	1603	2.1%	13.3%	84.7%	-2.0	15
1957-02-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1328	1598	39.1%	15.9%	45.0%	+12.7	21
1957-02-10	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1598	1328	45.0%	15.9%	39.1%	-12.7	40
1957-02-10	Barreirense	W 3-2	1394	1348	73.0%	15.6%	11.4%	+3.7	33
1957-02-10	@ Uniao Torreense	L 2-3	1348	1394	11.4%	15.6%	73.0%	-3.7	25
1957-02-24	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1232	1341	60.0%	16.0%	24.0%	+13.4	18
1957-02-24	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1341	1232	24.0%	16.0%	60.0%	-13.4	21
1957-02-24	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1344	1444	61.0%	16.0%	23.0%	-16.8	25
1957-02-24	@ Barreirense	W 3-2	1444	1344	23.0%	16.0%	61.0%	+16.8	34
1957-02-24	Porto	W 4-3	1585	1778	49.8%	16.0%	34.1%	+9.8	43
1957-02-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-4	1778	1585	34.1%	16.0%	49.8%	-9.8	51
1957-02-24	Fabril	W 2-1	1235	1290	65.4%	15.9%	18.7%	+6.2	21
1957-02-24	@ Caldas	L 1-2	1290	1235	18.7%	15.9%	65.4%	-6.2	24
1957-02-24	Uniao Torreense	W 2-0	1396	1398	69.8%	15.7%	14.4%	+9.8	39
1957-02-24	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-2	1398	1396	14.4%	15.7%	69.8%	-9.8	33
1957-02-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1283	1605	32.2%	15.8%	52.0%	+16.1	30
1957-02-24	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1605	1283	52.0%	15.8%	32.2%	-16.1	37
1957-02-24	Benfica	L 2-3	1325	1719	23.8%	15.5%	60.7%	-7.3	25
1957-02-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1719	1325	60.7%	15.5%	23.8%	+7.3	51
1957-03-10	Uniao Torreense	W 4-0	1461	1388	74.7%	15.4%	9.9%	+12.9	37
1957-03-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-4	1388	1461	9.9%	15.4%	74.7%	-12.9	33
1957-03-10	Barreirense	W 10-1	1726	1328	85.2%	13.0%	1.8%	+4.0	54
1957-03-10	@ Benfica	L 1-10	1328	1726	1.8%	13.0%	85.2%	-4.0	25
1957-03-10	Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1242	1406	53.5%	16.0%	30.5%	-1.2	22
1957-03-10	@ Caldas	D 2-2	1406	1242	30.5%	16.0%	53.5%	+1.2	40
1957-03-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1284	1595	33.5%	15.8%	50.7%	+14.1	27
1957-03-10	@ Fabril	L 2-3	1595	1284	50.7%	15.8%	33.5%	-14.1	43
1957-03-10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1769	1246	87.4%	11.7%	0.9%	-7.5	52
1957-03-10	@ Porto	D 0-0	1246	1769	0.9%	11.7%	87.4%	+7.5	19
1957-03-10	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-0	1589	1318	82.4%	14.1%	3.5%	+4.6	40
1957-03-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1318	1589	3.5%	14.1%	82.4%	-4.6	25
1957-03-10	Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1328	1300	71.9%	15.6%	12.5%	-4.6	22
1957-03-10	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1300	1328	12.5%	15.6%	71.9%	+4.6	31
1957-03-17	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1474	1407	74.3%	15.5%	10.2%	+7.1	40
1957-03-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1407	1474	10.2%	15.5%	74.3%	-7.1	40
1957-03-17	Fabril	W 4-1	1253	1298	66.3%	15.9%	17.8%	+14.5	22
1957-03-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1298	1253	17.8%	15.9%	66.3%	-14.5	27
1957-03-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1324	1594	39.1%	15.9%	45.0%	+13.4	28
1957-03-17	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1594	1324	45.0%	15.9%	39.1%	-13.4	40
1957-03-17	Caldas	W 5-0	1581	1240	84.1%	13.5%	2.4%	+3.8	46
1957-03-17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-5	1240	1581	2.4%	13.5%	84.1%	-3.8	22
1957-03-17	Porto	L 0-3	1304	1761	17.8%	15.2%	67.0%	-17.0	31
1957-03-17	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-0	1761	1304	67.0%	15.2%	17.8%	+17.0	55
1957-03-17	Benfica	D 1-1	1375	1730	28.1%	15.7%	56.2%	+2.0	34
1957-03-17	@ Uniao Torreense	D 1-1	1730	1375	56.2%	15.7%	28.1%	-2.0	55
1957-03-17	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1313	1323	69.2%	15.8%	15.0%	+5.1	28
1957-03-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1323	1313	15.0%	15.8%	69.2%	-5.1	22
1957-03-31	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1728	1481	81.7%	14.3%	4.0%	+2.7	58
1957-03-31	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1481	1728	4.0%	14.3%	81.7%	-2.7	40
1957-03-31	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1237	1268	67.4%	15.8%	16.7%	+9.7	25
1957-03-31	@ Caldas	L 1-3	1268	1237	16.7%	15.8%	67.4%	-9.7	22
1957-03-31	Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-0	1283	1287	69.6%	15.8%	14.6%	+9.9	30
1957-03-31	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1287	1283	14.6%	15.8%	69.6%	-9.9	31
1957-03-31	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 5-2	1400	1585	50.9%	16.0%	33.1%	+21.8	43
1957-03-31	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-5	1585	1400	33.1%	16.0%	50.9%	-21.8	46
1957-03-31	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1778	1319	86.4%	12.4%	1.3%	+1.0	58
1957-03-31	@ Porto	L 1-4	1319	1778	1.3%	12.4%	86.4%	-1.0	28
1957-03-31	Uniao Torreense	W 3-1	1580	1377	80.3%	14.6%	5.0%	+3.0	43
1957-03-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1377	1580	5.0%	14.6%	80.3%	-3.0	34
1957-03-31	Barreirense	W 3-0	1318	1337	68.5%	15.8%	15.8%	+15.4	25
1957-03-31	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-3	1337	1318	15.8%	15.8%	68.5%	-15.4	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1956-09-11	5.33%	Academica de Coimbra	1374	3	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1565	1
2	1957-01-06	5.45%	Oriental de Lisboa	1274	2	@ Lusitano de Evora	1461	0
3	1956-10-21	6.75%	Oriental de Lisboa	1282	1	@ Barreirense	1428	0
4	1956-12-30	9.33%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1213	1	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1298	0
5	1956-09-11	9.54%	Uniao Torreense	1366	4	@ Sporting Covilha	1447	2
6	1956-09-30	10.00%	Oriental de Lisboa	1236	1	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1307	0
7	1956-11-06	10.91%	Vitoria Setubal	1353	4	@ Uniao Torreense	1407	1
8	1957-01-27	11.47%	Vitoria Setubal	1329	2	@ Barreirense	1373	1
9	1956-09-16	13.96%	Lusitano de Evora	1352	7	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1357	3
10	1957-02-03	16.23%	Uniao Torreense	1375	3	@ Vitoria Setubal	1350	2
11	1956-09-30	17.02%	Barreirense	1396	1	@ Caldas	1361	0
12	1956-11-18	20.10%	Lusitano de Evora	1413	3	@ Uniao Torreense	1343	1
13	1956-12-23	20.73%	Vitoria Setubal	1352	5	@ Caldas	1276	3
14	1956-12-23	20.85%	Academica de Coimbra	1408	1	@ Sporting Covilha	1330	0
15	1957-02-03	21.07%	Academica de Coimbra	1402	2	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1322	0
16	1957-02-24	23.02%	Academica de Coimbra	1444	3	@ Barreirense	1344	2
17	1957-02-24	32.17%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1283	1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1605	0
18	1957-03-10	33.50%	@ Fabril	1284	3	Os Belenenses (1st)	1595	2
19	1957-01-13	34.93%	@ Uniao Torreense	1334	6	Os Belenenses (1st)	1635	2
20	1956-09-30	35.19%	Benfica	1618	3	@ Sporting Covilha	1417	1
21	1957-01-06	35.84%	@ Sporting Covilha	1306	4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1600	3
22	1956-10-28	35.93%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1539	7	@ Caldas	1332	1
23	1957-03-17	39.10%	@ Barreirense	1324	2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1594	1
24	1957-02-10	39.12%	@ Sporting Covilha	1328	3	Os Belenenses (1st)	1598	2
25	1956-12-30	40.21%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1616	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1379	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1956-10-28	64.93	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	1539	35.93%	@ Caldas	1	1332	48.06%
2	1956-11-06	52.61	Vitoria Setubal	4	1353	10.91%	@ Uniao Torreense	1	1407	73.57%
3	1956-12-09	52.32	Porto	7	1678	46.71%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1	1395	37.40%
4	1956-09-16	50.19	Lusitano de Evora	7	1352	13.96%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	1357	70.32%
5	1957-01-06	46.66	Oriental de Lisboa	2	1274	5.45%	@ Lusitano de Evora	0	1461	79.78%
6	1956-09-11	40.48	Academica de Coimbra	3	1374	5.33%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1565	79.93%
7	1957-01-13	38.79	@ Uniao Torreense	6	1334	34.93%	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	1635	49.23%
8	1957-02-03	36.61	Academica de Coimbra	2	1402	21.07%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	0	1322	62.98%
9	1956-09-11	33.98	Uniao Torreense	4	1366	9.54%	@ Sporting Covilha	2	1447	75.06%
10	1957-02-03	32.39	Benfica	5	1685	63.29%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1267	21.34%
11	1956-11-18	32.20	Lusitano de Evora	3	1413	20.10%	@ Uniao Torreense	1	1343	63.97%
12	1956-12-30	31.09	Porto	3	1730	49.46%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1427	34.70%
13	1956-12-16	27.16	@ Uniao Torreense	5	1317	66.73%	Sporting Covilha	0	1357	17.41%
14	1956-12-23	26.94	Vitoria Setubal	5	1352	20.73%	@ Caldas	3	1276	63.32%
15	1956-09-30	24.88	Benfica	3	1618	35.19%	@ Sporting Covilha	1	1417	48.79%
16	1956-12-16	24.52	@ Academica de Coimbra	2	1383	43.40%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1623	40.62%
17	1957-01-06	24.50	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	1236	57.66%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1366	26.32%
18	1956-10-21	24.27	Oriental de Lisboa	1	1282	6.75%	@ Barreirense	0	1428	78.22%
19	1956-12-30	23.34	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1	1213	9.33%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	0	1298	75.29%
20	1956-09-30	23.10	Oriental de Lisboa	1	1236	10.00%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1307	74.56%
21	1957-03-31	21.83	@ Lusitano de Evora	5	1400	50.92%	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	1585	33.05%
22	1957-01-27	21.30	Vitoria Setubal	2	1329	11.47%	@ Barreirense	1	1373	72.97%
23	1956-09-30	20.72	Barreirense	1	1396	17.02%	@ Caldas	0	1361	67.14%
24	1956-12-23	19.48	Academica de Coimbra	1	1408	20.85%	@ Sporting Covilha	0	1330	63.21%
25	1956-11-25	19.25	Benfica	4	1666	42.74%	@ Barreirense	2	1411	41.31%