1960-61 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

46 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

6.18 points above expected

46 points · 39.82 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Barreirense

11.77 points below expected

8 points · 19.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	22	2	2	46	92	21	+71	39.8	+6.18
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	19	4	3	42	61	19	+42	38.9	+3.08
3	Porto	26	14	5	7	33	51	28	+23	34.1	-1.13
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	14	2	10	30	48	44	+4	24.1	+5.91
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	12	4	10	28	45	37	+8	33.9	-5.87
6	Fabril	26	10	6	10	26	38	28	+10	27.7	-1.70
7	Academica de Coimbra	26	10	6	10	26	31	29	+2	25.4	+0.55
8	Leixoes	26	10	3	13	23	38	44	-6	22.7	+0.30
9	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	8	5	13	21	35	54	-19	20.7	+0.28
10	Lusitano de Evora	26	9	3	14	21	29	51	-22	20.9	+0.07
11	Sporting Covilha	26	8	5	13	21	27	55	-28	18.7	+2.28
12	Salgueiros	26	8	4	14	20	34	64	-30	17.6	+2.36
13	Braga	26	8	3	15	19	41	62	-21	19.5	-0.54
14	Barreirense	26	3	2	21	8	26	60	-34	19.8	-11.77

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	2027	46	39.82	+6.18	96.0%	30	33	38	40	42	46	49
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1962	42	38.92	+3.08	82.0%	30	33	36	39	41	45	49
Porto	1817	33	34.13	-1.13	44.0%	23	29	32	34	36	40	41
Os Belenenses (1st)	1766	28	33.87	-5.87	11.0%	23	25	31	34	37	41	46
Fabril	1718	26	27.70	-1.70	36.0%	19	21	25	28	30	35	37
Academica de Coimbra	1675	26	25.45	+0.55	59.0%	15	18	22	25	29	33	36
Vitoria Guimaraes	1670	30	24.09	+5.91	91.0%	14	16	21	24	28	32	34
Leixoes	1646	23	22.70	+0.30	57.0%	14	15	19	23	26	29	33
Lusitano de Evora	1586	21	20.93	+0.07	55.0%	11	14	18	21	24	28	32
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1578	21	20.72	+0.28	59.0%	8	14	18	21	23	27	30
Braga	1576	19	19.54	-0.54	52.0%	11	13	17	19	22	26	29
Salgueiros	1545	20	17.64	+2.36	76.0%	9	12	15	17	20	23	26
Sporting Covilha	1533	21	18.72	+2.28	76.0%	10	12	16	18	21	25	28
Barreirense	1514	8	19.77	-11.77	0.0%	9	12	17	20	23	26	31

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BAR	BEN	BRA	FAB	LEI	LDE	OB(	POR	SAL	SCDP	SC	VG
Academica de Coimbra	—	0-0-2 3.53	2-0-0 3.48	0-0-2 1.11	2-0-0 3.26	0-1-1 2.54	0-2-0 3.20	0-1-1 3.34	0-1-1 1.85	2-0-0 1.76	2-0-0 3.59	0-0-2 1.35	1-1-0 3.70	1-0-1 2.76
Atletico Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 2.18	—	0-2-0 2.97	0-1-1 0.97	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 1.88	0-0-2 2.64	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 1.43	0-0-2 1.64	0-1-1 3.24	0-0-2 0.99	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.33
Barreirense	0-0-2 2.23	0-2-0 2.73	—	0-0-2 1.20	0-0-2 2.92	1-0-1 2.06	0-0-2 2.28	0-0-2 2.78	0-0-2 1.31	0-0-2 1.25	0-0-2 3.19	1-0-1 0.75	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.49
Benfica	2-0-0 4.62	1-1-0 4.77	2-0-0 4.54	—	2-0-0 4.86	2-0-0 4.32	2-0-0 4.55	2-0-0 4.90	2-0-0 4.00	1-0-1 3.83	2-0-0 4.85	1-1-0 3.07	2-0-0 4.96	1-0-1 4.61
Braga	0-0-2 2.44	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 2.79	0-0-2 0.89	—	0-1-1 2.06	1-0-1 2.48	0-0-2 2.97	0-1-1 1.40	0-1-1 1.56	2-0-0 3.02	0-0-2 0.89	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.28
Fabril	1-1-0 3.16	0-0-2 3.83	1-0-1 3.66	0-0-2 1.40	1-1-0 3.65	—	2-0-0 3.32	1-0-1 3.72	0-1-1 2.10	0-1-1 2.26	1-0-1 3.99	1-0-1 1.55	0-2-0 3.59	2-0-0 3.06
Leixoes	0-2-0 2.51	2-0-0 3.06	2-0-0 3.42	0-0-2 1.17	1-0-1 3.22	0-0-2 2.39	—	2-0-0 3.14	1-0-1 1.66	1-0-1 1.65	0-0-2 3.49	0-0-2 1.15	1-1-0 3.15	0-0-2 2.77
Lusitano de Evora	1-1-0 2.36	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 2.92	0-0-2 0.83	2-0-0 2.73	1-0-1 1.99	0-0-2 2.57	—	1-0-1 1.37	0-0-2 1.42	0-2-0 3.17	0-0-2 0.95	0-0-2 3.06	1-0-1 2.27
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-1-0 3.86	1-1-0 4.28	2-0-0 4.41	0-0-2 1.71	1-1-0 4.32	1-1-0 3.60	1-0-1 4.06	1-0-1 4.35	—	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 4.57	0-0-2 2.22	1-0-1 4.25	1-0-1 4.11
Porto	0-0-2 3.95	2-0-0 4.07	2-0-0 4.48	1-0-1 1.87	1-1-0 4.16	1-1-0 3.45	1-0-1 4.06	2-0-0 4.30	1-0-1 2.96	—	1-0-1 4.60	0-2-0 2.17	2-0-0 4.46	0-1-1 4.02
Salgueiros	0-0-2 2.12	1-1-0 2.46	2-0-0 2.52	0-0-2 0.89	0-0-2 2.68	1-0-1 1.72	2-0-0 2.22	0-2-0 2.54	1-0-1 1.15	1-0-1 1.12	—	0-0-2 0.85	0-1-1 2.57	0-0-2 1.98
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 4.38	2-0-0 4.75	1-0-1 4.99	0-1-1 2.63	2-0-0 4.84	1-0-1 4.16	2-0-0 4.58	2-0-0 4.77	2-0-0 3.49	0-2-0 3.54	2-0-0 4.89	—	2-0-0 4.91	1-1-0 4.53
Sporting Covilha	0-1-1 2.00	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.91	0-0-2 0.79	1-0-1 2.94	0-2-0 2.12	0-1-1 2.56	2-0-0 2.64	1-0-1 1.47	0-0-2 1.26	1-1-0 3.13	0-0-2 0.83	—	1-0-1 2.09
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.37	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 1.11	1-0-1 3.43	0-0-2 2.65	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.44	1-0-1 1.60	1-1-0 1.69	2-0-0 3.73	0-1-1 1.20	1-0-1 3.62	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.75%	8.24%	5.22%	4.12%	2.47%	0.82%	23.63%
1	8.24%	7.14%	7.14%	4.67%	2.20%	2.20%	31.59%
2	5.22%	7.14%	4.40%	2.47%	1.92%	0.55%	21.70%
3	4.12%	4.67%	2.47%	0.55%	0.27%	0.27%	12.36%
4	2.47%	2.20%	1.92%	0.27%	—	—	6.87%
5+	0.82%	2.20%	0.55%	0.27%	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.63%	31.59%	21.70%	12.36%	6.87%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.168
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	—	38.46%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	46.15%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.12
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.086
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
3	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	23.08%	19.23%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	2.08
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.72
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.282
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	23.08%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	42.31%
1	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	26.92%	23.08%	15.38%	23.08%	3.85%	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	2.31
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.242
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
2	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
Total	46.15%	34.62%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.54
Mean allowed	0.81
StdDev scored	2.06
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	4.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.014
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	23.08%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	38.46%
2	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	7.69%	26.92%	23.08%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	2.38
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.272
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	34.62%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	2.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.096
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	34.62%	30.77%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.295
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
1	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	42.31%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	15.38%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.91
Mean total goals/game	3.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.174
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	34.62%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	38.46%	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.76
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.039
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	42.31%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.184
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	11.54%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	15.38%	53.85%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	19.23%	34.62%	11.54%	3.85%	15.38%	100%

Salgueiros — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	2.46
StdDev scored	0.79
StdDev allowed	2.27
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.083
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	26.92%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	42.31%	46.15%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.35
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	1.74
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	3.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.072
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	46.15%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	23.08%	11.54%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	0.82
StdDev allowed	1.93
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.381
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	—	—	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
2	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	30.77%	42.31%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.241
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Benfica	46	39.8	+6.18
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	30	24.1	+5.91
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	42	38.9	+3.08
4	Salgueiros	20	17.6	+2.36
5	Sporting Covilha	21	18.7	+2.28

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Barreirense	8	19.8	-11.77
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	28	33.9	-5.87
3	Fabril	26	27.7	-1.70
4	Porto	33	34.1	-1.13
5	Braga	19	19.5	-0.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Leixoes	5	Jan 1 – Feb 5	1 in 105
2	Barreirense	2	Mar 5 – Mar 12	1 in 104
3	Academica de Coimbra	4	Feb 5 – Mar 5	1 in 55
4	Benfica	10	Nov 6 – Jan 15	1 in 32
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	Dec 4 – Dec 18	1 in 29

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barreirense	6	Oct 30 – Dec 4	1 in 210
2	Porto	2	May 14 – May 28	1 in 51
3	Braga	6	Jan 1 – Feb 12	1 in 51
4	Fabril	3	Feb 19 – Mar 12	1 in 22
5	Sporting Covilha	6	Nov 20 – Jan 1	1 in 14

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Guimaraes	6	Dec 11 – Jan 22	1 in 74
2	Academica de Coimbra	6	Feb 5 – Apr 9	1 in 23
3	Leixoes	5	Jan 1 – Feb 5	1 in 21
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	Oct 16 – Oct 30	1 in 19
5	Salgueiros	4	Nov 6 – Nov 27	1 in 19

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barreirense	10	Sep 17 – Dec 4	1 in 189
2	Porto	4	Feb 5 – Mar 5	1 in 83
3	Academica de Coimbra	5	Mar 12 – May 14	1 in 36
4	Fabril	5	Feb 5 – Mar 12	1 in 30
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Apr 9 – Apr 30	1 in 25

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	55.00%	29.00%	10.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	33.00%	41.00%	16.00%	8.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	6.00%	12.00%	37.00%	32.00%	9.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	—	7.00%	15.00%	14.00%	13.00%	18.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	6.00%	15.00%	29.00%	26.00%	14.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Fabril	—	1.00%	5.00%	11.00%	35.00%	19.00%	12.00%	6.00%	7.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Academica de Coimbra	—	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	14.00%	19.00%	15.00%	13.00%	6.00%	9.00%	3.00%	7.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Leixoes	—	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	16.00%	9.00%	13.00%	17.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	—	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	15.00%	18.00%	15.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Lusitano de Evora	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	16.00%	11.00%	10.00%	16.00%	11.00%	8.00%	15.00%	6.00%
Sporting Covilha	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	14.00%	16.00%	17.00%	20.00%
Salgueiros	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	14.00%	13.00%	18.00%	30.00%
Braga	—	—	—	—	—	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	14.00%	5.00%	15.00%	19.00%	15.00%	13.00%
Barreirense	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	14.00%	16.00%	12.00%	17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Fabril	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Academica de Coimbra	97.0%	3.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	92.0%	8.0%
Leixoes	90.0%	10.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	84.0%	16.0%
Lusitano de Evora	79.0%	21.0%
Braga	72.0%	28.0%
Barreirense	71.0%	29.0%
Sporting Covilha	63.0%	37.0%
Salgueiros	52.0%	48.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1960-09-17	Fabril	D 0-0	1646	1686	56.8%	14.9%	28.3%	-1.6	1
1960-09-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1686	1646	28.3%	14.9%	56.8%	+1.6	1
1960-09-17	Benfica	L 0-1	1642	1897	28.4%	14.6%	57.0%	-6.4	0
1960-09-17	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1897	1642	57.0%	14.6%	28.4%	+6.4	3
1960-09-17	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1836	1633	77.3%	13.8%	8.9%	+2.0	3
1960-09-17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1633	1836	8.9%	13.8%	77.3%	-2.0	0
1960-09-17	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1619	1604	63.0%	14.8%	22.2%	+14.1	3
1960-09-17	@ Braga	L 0-3	1604	1619	22.2%	14.8%	63.0%	-14.1	0
1960-09-17	Leixoes	W 1-0	1777	1641	73.3%	14.3%	12.4%	+3.0	3
1960-09-17	@ Porto	L 0-1	1641	1777	12.4%	14.3%	73.3%	-3.0	0
1960-09-17	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-2	1890	1596	81.4%	13.1%	5.5%	+1.9	3
1960-09-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1596	1890	5.5%	13.1%	81.4%	-1.9	0
1960-09-17	Salgueiros	W 2-0	1588	1557	64.6%	14.7%	20.7%	+9.1	3
1960-09-17	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1557	1588	20.7%	14.7%	64.6%	-9.1	0
1960-09-25	Porto	L 1-2	1590	1780	36.7%	14.8%	48.5%	-7.6	0
1960-09-25	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1780	1590	48.5%	14.8%	36.7%	+7.6	6
1960-09-25	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1904	1644	80.0%	13.4%	6.6%	+3.7	6
1960-09-25	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1644	1904	6.6%	13.4%	80.0%	-3.7	1
1960-09-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1688	1892	34.7%	14.8%	50.5%	+10.0	4
1960-09-25	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1892	1688	50.5%	14.8%	34.7%	-10.0	3
1960-09-25	Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1638	1597	65.7%	14.7%	19.6%	-1.7	1
1960-09-25	@ Leixoes	D 2-2	1597	1638	19.6%	14.7%	65.7%	+1.7	4
1960-09-25	Braga	W 3-2	1594	1633	57.0%	14.9%	28.1%	+5.7	3
1960-09-25	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-3	1633	1594	28.1%	14.9%	57.0%	-5.7	3
1960-09-25	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1548	1838	24.5%	14.5%	61.0%	+11.3	3
1960-09-25	@ Salgueiros	L 2-3	1838	1548	61.0%	14.5%	24.5%	-11.3	3
1960-09-25	Barreirense	W 3-1	1631	1636	61.0%	14.8%	24.2%	+9.1	3
1960-09-25	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1636	1631	24.2%	14.8%	61.0%	-9.1	0
1960-10-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1583	1827	29.7%	14.7%	55.6%	+1.3	1
1960-10-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1827	1583	55.6%	14.7%	29.7%	-1.3	4
1960-10-16	Porto	L 1-2	1698	1788	50.6%	14.9%	34.5%	-10.0	4
1960-10-16	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1788	1698	34.5%	14.9%	50.6%	+10.0	9
1960-10-16	Barreirense	W 1-0	1637	1627	62.5%	14.8%	22.7%	+5.2	4
1960-10-16	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1627	1637	22.7%	14.8%	62.5%	-5.2	0
1960-10-16	Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1599	1598	61.6%	14.8%	23.6%	-12.8	3
1960-10-16	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1598	1599	23.6%	14.8%	61.6%	+12.8	7
1960-10-16	Benfica	L 0-2	1560	1907	18.9%	14.2%	67.0%	-8.3	3
1960-10-16	@ Salgueiros	W 2-0	1907	1560	67.0%	14.2%	18.9%	+8.3	9
1960-10-16	Braga	W 6-1	1882	1627	79.8%	13.5%	6.8%	+6.0	6
1960-10-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1627	1882	6.8%	13.5%	79.8%	-6.0	3
1960-10-16	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1640	1640	61.5%	14.8%	23.7%	+10.3	6
1960-10-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1640	1640	23.7%	14.8%	61.5%	-10.3	1
1960-10-23	Braga	W 3-1	1630	1622	62.4%	14.8%	22.8%	+8.6	4
1960-10-23	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1622	1630	22.8%	14.8%	62.4%	-8.6	3
1960-10-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1622	1584	65.3%	14.7%	20.0%	-1.7	1
1960-10-23	@ Barreirense	D 2-2	1584	1622	20.0%	14.7%	65.3%	+1.7	2
1960-10-23	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1825	1587	79.1%	13.6%	7.4%	+3.3	7
1960-10-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1587	1825	7.4%	13.6%	79.1%	-3.4	3
1960-10-23	Leixoes	W 4-1	1916	1642	80.6%	13.3%	6.1%	+3.4	12
1960-10-23	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1642	1916	6.1%	13.3%	80.6%	-3.4	4
1960-10-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1798	1888	50.5%	14.9%	34.6%	-0.9	10
1960-10-23	@ Porto	D 0-0	1888	1798	34.6%	14.9%	50.5%	+0.9	7
1960-10-23	Fabril	D 0-0	1611	1688	52.3%	14.9%	32.8%	-1.1	8
1960-10-23	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1688	1611	32.8%	14.9%	52.3%	+1.1	5
1960-10-23	Salgueiros	W 2-1	1650	1551	70.6%	14.4%	14.9%	+3.3	9
1960-10-23	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1551	1650	14.9%	14.4%	70.6%	-3.4	3
1960-10-30	Benfica	D 3-3	1586	1919	20.2%	14.2%	65.6%	+1.4	3
1960-10-30	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1919	1586	65.6%	14.2%	20.2%	-1.4	13
1960-10-30	Porto	L 0-4	1613	1797	37.5%	14.8%	47.7%	-29.2	3
1960-10-30	@ Braga	W 4-0	1797	1613	47.7%	14.8%	37.5%	+29.2	13
1960-10-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1689	1829	43.7%	14.9%	41.4%	-0.1	6
1960-10-30	@ Fabril	D 2-2	1829	1689	41.4%	14.9%	43.7%	+0.1	8
1960-10-30	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1638	1654	59.8%	14.8%	25.4%	-23.5	4
1960-10-30	@ Leixoes	W 2-0	1654	1638	25.4%	14.8%	59.8%	+23.5	12
1960-10-30	Barreirense	W 1-0	1583	1620	57.3%	14.9%	27.8%	+6.3	6
1960-10-30	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1620	1583	27.8%	14.9%	57.3%	-6.3	1
1960-10-30	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1548	1639	50.5%	14.9%	34.6%	-17.3	3
1960-10-30	@ Salgueiros	W 3-1	1639	1548	34.6%	14.9%	50.5%	+17.3	7
1960-10-30	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1889	1610	80.8%	13.2%	6.0%	+1.3	10
1960-10-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1610	1889	6.0%	13.2%	80.8%	-1.3	8
1960-11-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1656	1891	30.9%	14.7%	54.4%	-6.9	7
1960-11-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1891	1656	54.4%	14.7%	30.9%	+6.9	13
1960-11-06	Salgueiros	L 1-2	1614	1531	69.3%	14.5%	16.1%	-13.6	1
1960-11-06	@ Barreirense	W 2-1	1531	1614	16.1%	14.5%	69.3%	+13.6	6
1960-11-06	Leixoes	W 1-0	1829	1615	77.9%	13.8%	8.4%	+2.0	11
1960-11-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1615	1829	8.4%	13.8%	77.9%	-2.0	4
1960-11-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-0	1918	1677	79.1%	13.6%	7.3%	+6.3	16
1960-11-06	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1677	1918	7.3%	13.6%	79.1%	-6.3	12
1960-11-06	Fabril	D 1-1	1584	1689	48.5%	14.9%	36.6%	-0.6	4
1960-11-06	@ Braga	D 1-1	1689	1584	36.6%	14.9%	48.5%	+0.6	7
1960-11-06	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-0	1826	1589	79.0%	13.6%	7.4%	+6.4	16
1960-11-06	@ Porto	L 0-4	1589	1826	7.4%	13.6%	79.0%	-6.4	6
1960-11-06	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1609	1587	63.7%	14.8%	21.5%	+5.0	11
1960-11-06	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1587	1609	21.5%	14.8%	63.7%	-5.0	3
1960-11-13	Porto	W 2-1	1649	1833	37.5%	14.8%	47.6%	+9.5	10
1960-11-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1833	1649	47.6%	14.8%	37.5%	-9.5	16
1960-11-13	Fabril	L 0-1	1600	1690	50.6%	14.9%	34.4%	-10.6	1
1960-11-13	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1690	1600	34.4%	14.9%	50.6%	+10.6	10
1960-11-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1831	1897	53.6%	14.9%	31.5%	-21.1	11
1960-11-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1897	1831	31.5%	14.9%	53.6%	+21.1	16
1960-11-13	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-0	1924	1583	83.0%	12.7%	4.3%	+4.5	19
1960-11-13	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1583	1924	4.3%	12.7%	83.0%	-4.5	6
1960-11-13	Leixoes	W 1-0	1544	1613	53.4%	14.9%	31.7%	+7.1	9
1960-11-13	@ Salgueiros	L 0-1	1613	1544	31.7%	14.9%	53.4%	-7.1	4
1960-11-13	Braga	W 2-0	1614	1583	64.6%	14.7%	20.6%	+9.1	14
1960-11-13	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1583	1614	20.6%	14.7%	64.6%	-9.1	4
1960-11-13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1671	1582	69.8%	14.5%	15.7%	+5.4	15
1960-11-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-4	1582	1671	15.7%	14.5%	69.8%	-5.4	3
1960-11-20	Salgueiros	D 2-2	1577	1551	64.1%	14.7%	21.1%	-1.6	4
1960-11-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1551	1577	21.1%	14.7%	64.1%	+1.6	10
1960-11-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1574	1810	30.7%	14.7%	54.6%	+1.2	5
1960-11-20	@ Braga	D 1-1	1810	1574	54.6%	14.7%	30.7%	-1.2	12
1960-11-20	Benfica	L 1-3	1700	1928	31.6%	14.7%	53.6%	-11.5	10
1960-11-20	@ Fabril	W 3-1	1928	1700	53.6%	14.7%	31.6%	+11.5	22
1960-11-20	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1606	1659	55.4%	14.9%	29.7%	-1.3	5
1960-11-20	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1659	1606	29.7%	14.9%	55.4%	+1.3	11
1960-11-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1578	1676	49.5%	14.9%	35.6%	+21.4	9
1960-11-20	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-3	1676	1578	35.6%	14.9%	49.5%	-21.4	15
1960-11-20	Sporting Covilha	W 4-0	1823	1623	77.2%	13.9%	9.0%	+7.8	19
1960-11-20	@ Porto	L 0-4	1623	1823	9.0%	13.9%	77.2%	-7.8	14
1960-11-20	Barreirense	W 4-0	1919	1589	82.6%	12.8%	4.6%	+3.9	19
1960-11-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1589	1919	4.6%	12.8%	82.6%	-3.9	1
1960-11-27	Sporting Covilha	W 4-2	1660	1615	66.0%	14.7%	19.3%	+6.6	14
1960-11-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-4	1615	1660	19.3%	14.7%	66.0%	-6.6	14
1960-11-27	Braga	L 2-4	1585	1575	62.6%	14.8%	22.7%	-19.0	1
1960-11-27	@ Barreirense	W 4-2	1575	1585	22.7%	14.8%	62.6%	+19.0	8
1960-11-27	Porto	W 1-0	1808	1831	59.0%	14.8%	26.2%	+6.0	15
1960-11-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1831	1808	26.2%	14.8%	59.0%	-6.0	19
1960-11-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1940	1922	63.3%	14.8%	21.9%	+5.1	25
1960-11-27	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1922	1940	21.9%	14.8%	63.3%	-5.1	19
1960-11-27	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1605	1575	64.5%	14.7%	20.8%	+7.9	8
1960-11-27	@ Leixoes	L 1-3	1575	1605	20.8%	14.7%	64.5%	-7.9	4
1960-11-27	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1553	1600	56.1%	14.9%	29.0%	-1.3	11
1960-11-27	@ Salgueiros	D 1-1	1600	1553	29.0%	14.9%	56.1%	+1.3	10
1960-11-27	Fabril	L 0-3	1655	1689	57.7%	14.9%	27.5%	-32.9	15
1960-11-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1689	1655	27.5%	14.9%	57.7%	+32.9	13
1960-12-04	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1567	1666	49.4%	14.9%	35.7%	+12.8	7
1960-12-04	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1666	1567	35.7%	14.9%	49.4%	-12.8	14
1960-12-04	Benfica	L 0-4	1594	1945	18.6%	14.1%	67.3%	-15.5	8
1960-12-04	@ Braga	W 4-0	1945	1594	67.3%	14.1%	18.6%	+15.5	28
1960-12-04	Salgueiros	W 4-2	1722	1552	75.5%	14.1%	10.5%	+3.7	16
1960-12-04	@ Fabril	L 2-4	1552	1722	10.5%	14.1%	75.5%	-3.7	11
1960-12-04	Leixoes	L 1-2	1601	1613	60.2%	14.8%	24.9%	-11.8	10
1960-12-04	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1613	1601	24.9%	14.8%	60.2%	+11.8	11
1960-12-04	Barreirense	W 4-1	1825	1566	79.9%	13.4%	6.6%	+3.7	22
1960-12-04	@ Porto	L 1-4	1566	1825	6.6%	13.4%	79.9%	-3.7	1
1960-12-04	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1917	1622	81.4%	13.1%	5.5%	+3.0	22
1960-12-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1622	1917	5.5%	13.1%	81.4%	-3.0	15
1960-12-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1608	1814	34.5%	14.8%	50.7%	-17.6	14
1960-12-04	@ Sporting Covilha	W 4-1	1814	1608	50.7%	14.8%	34.5%	+17.6	18
1960-12-11	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1654	1832	38.2%	14.8%	46.9%	-8.3	14
1960-12-11	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1832	1654	46.9%	14.8%	38.2%	+8.3	21
1960-12-11	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-0	1580	1589	60.5%	14.8%	24.7%	+15.5	10
1960-12-11	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1589	1580	24.7%	14.8%	60.5%	-15.5	10
1960-12-11	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1563	1591	58.3%	14.9%	26.8%	+11.5	4
1960-12-11	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1591	1563	26.8%	14.9%	58.3%	-11.5	14
1960-12-11	Porto	W 2-0	1961	1829	73.0%	14.3%	12.7%	+5.7	31
1960-12-11	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1829	1961	12.7%	14.3%	73.0%	-5.7	22
1960-12-11	Fabril	L 0-2	1624	1725	49.1%	14.9%	35.9%	-19.5	11
1960-12-11	@ Leixoes	W 2-0	1725	1624	35.9%	14.9%	49.1%	+19.5	19
1960-12-11	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-7	1548	1920	16.8%	14.0%	69.2%	-17.0	11
1960-12-11	@ Salgueiros	W 7-1	1920	1548	69.2%	14.0%	16.8%	+17.0	25
1960-12-11	Braga	W 4-1	1619	1579	65.6%	14.7%	19.7%	+10.7	18
1960-12-11	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-4	1579	1619	19.7%	14.7%	65.6%	-10.7	8
1960-12-18	Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1645	1574	68.4%	14.6%	17.1%	-2.9	15
1960-12-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1574	1645	17.1%	14.6%	68.4%	+2.9	11
1960-12-18	Barreirense	W 4-0	1840	1574	80.3%	13.4%	6.4%	+5.5	24
1960-12-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1574	1840	6.4%	13.4%	80.3%	-5.5	4
1960-12-18	Salgueiros	W 5-1	1568	1531	65.3%	14.7%	20.1%	+14.0	11
1960-12-18	@ Braga	L 1-5	1531	1568	20.1%	14.7%	65.3%	-14.0	11
1960-12-18	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1745	1596	74.2%	14.2%	11.7%	-14.6	19
1960-12-18	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1596	1745	11.7%	14.2%	74.2%	+14.6	13
1960-12-18	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1823	1630	76.8%	13.9%	9.3%	-2.6	23
1960-12-18	@ Porto	D 2-2	1630	1823	9.3%	13.9%	76.8%	+2.6	19
1960-12-18	Leixoes	W 3-1	1937	1605	82.7%	12.8%	4.5%	+1.8	28
1960-12-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1605	1937	4.5%	12.8%	82.7%	-1.8	11
1960-12-18	Benfica	L 1-3	1579	1966	15.7%	13.9%	70.4%	-6.0	14
1960-12-18	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1966	1579	70.4%	13.9%	15.7%	+6.0	34
1961-01-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1610	1939	20.5%	14.3%	65.2%	-13.0	13
1961-01-01	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1939	1610	65.2%	14.3%	20.5%	+13.0	31
1961-01-01	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1569	1642	52.7%	14.9%	32.4%	-20.8	4
1961-01-01	@ Barreirense	W 2-0	1642	1569	32.4%	14.9%	52.7%	+20.8	18
1961-01-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-2	1972	1846	72.7%	14.3%	13.0%	+4.5	37
1961-01-01	@ Benfica	L 2-4	1846	1972	13.0%	14.3%	72.7%	-4.5	24
1961-01-01	Braga	W 3-2	1603	1582	63.7%	14.8%	21.6%	+4.5	14
1961-01-01	@ Leixoes	L 2-3	1582	1603	21.6%	14.8%	63.7%	-4.5	11
1961-01-01	Fabril	W 2-1	1577	1730	41.8%	14.9%	43.4%	+8.7	14
1961-01-01	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1730	1577	43.4%	14.9%	41.8%	-8.7	19
1961-01-01	Porto	L 1-2	1517	1820	23.1%	14.4%	62.5%	-5.0	11
1961-01-01	@ Salgueiros	W 2-1	1820	1517	62.5%	14.4%	23.1%	+5.0	26
1961-01-01	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1632	1573	67.3%	14.6%	18.1%	+6.9	22
1961-01-01	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1573	1632	18.1%	14.6%	67.3%	-6.9	14
1961-01-08	Braga	W 3-1	1597	1578	63.5%	14.8%	21.7%	+8.2	16
1961-01-08	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1578	1597	21.7%	14.8%	63.5%	-8.2	11
1961-01-08	Barreirense	W 3-0	1977	1548	85.5%	11.8%	2.7%	+1.8	40
1961-01-08	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1548	1977	2.7%	11.8%	85.5%	-1.8	4
1961-01-08	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1721	1663	67.2%	14.6%	18.1%	+8.0	22
1961-01-08	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1663	1721	18.1%	14.6%	67.2%	-8.0	18
1961-01-08	Porto	W 3-2	1608	1825	33.0%	14.8%	52.3%	+9.8	17
1961-01-08	@ Leixoes	L 2-3	1825	1608	52.3%	14.8%	33.0%	-9.8	26
1961-01-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1586	1952	17.3%	14.1%	68.7%	-11.0	14
1961-01-08	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 3-0	1952	1586	68.7%	14.1%	17.3%	+11.0	34
1961-01-08	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1512	1566	55.2%	14.9%	29.9%	-1.2	12
1961-01-08	@ Salgueiros	D 1-1	1566	1512	29.9%	14.9%	55.2%	+1.2	15
1961-01-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1639	1841	35.0%	14.8%	50.1%	+9.4	25
1961-01-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1841	1639	50.1%	14.8%	35.0%	-9.4	24
1961-01-15	Benfica	L 0-2	1655	1979	21.1%	14.3%	64.6%	-9.2	18
1961-01-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1979	1655	64.6%	14.3%	21.1%	+9.2	43
1961-01-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1546	1649	48.9%	14.9%	36.2%	-9.7	4
1961-01-15	@ Barreirense	W 2-1	1649	1546	36.2%	14.9%	48.9%	+9.7	28
1961-01-15	Salgueiros	W 8-1	1832	1511	82.3%	12.9%	4.8%	+5.7	27
1961-01-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-8	1511	1832	4.8%	12.9%	82.3%	-5.7	12
1961-01-15	Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1569	1575	60.9%	14.8%	24.3%	-12.7	11
1961-01-15	@ Braga	W 1-0	1575	1569	24.3%	14.8%	60.9%	+12.7	17
1961-01-15	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-0	1815	1605	77.7%	13.8%	8.5%	+9.1	29
1961-01-15	@ Porto	L 0-5	1605	1815	8.5%	13.8%	77.7%	-9.1	16
1961-01-15	Fabril	W 1-0	1963	1729	78.8%	13.6%	7.6%	+1.8	37
1961-01-15	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1729	1963	7.6%	13.6%	78.8%	-1.8	22
1961-01-15	Leixoes	L 1-5	1568	1617	55.7%	14.9%	29.4%	-34.7	15
1961-01-15	@ Sporting Covilha	W 5-1	1617	1568	29.4%	14.9%	55.7%	+34.7	20
1961-01-22	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1596	1533	67.7%	14.6%	17.7%	+11.4	19
1961-01-22	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1533	1596	17.7%	14.6%	67.7%	-11.4	15
1961-01-22	Braga	W 2-0	1728	1557	75.5%	14.1%	10.4%	+4.7	25
1961-01-22	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1557	1728	10.4%	14.1%	75.5%	-4.7	11
1961-01-22	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1652	1838	37.3%	14.8%	47.9%	+19.0	23
1961-01-22	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1838	1652	47.9%	14.8%	37.3%	-19.0	27
1961-01-22	Porto	L 0-1	1587	1825	30.5%	14.7%	54.8%	-6.8	17
1961-01-22	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1825	1587	54.8%	14.7%	30.5%	+6.8	32
1961-01-22	Barreirense	W 1-0	1505	1536	58.0%	14.9%	27.2%	+6.2	15
1961-01-22	@ Salgueiros	L 0-1	1536	1505	27.2%	14.9%	58.0%	-6.2	4
1961-01-22	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1965	1646	82.3%	12.9%	4.8%	+1.2	40
1961-01-22	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1646	1965	4.8%	12.9%	82.3%	-1.2	18
1961-01-22	Benfica	W 2-1	1658	1988	20.5%	14.3%	65.2%	+12.7	31
1961-01-22	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1988	1658	65.2%	14.3%	20.5%	-12.7	43
1961-02-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1645	1671	58.5%	14.9%	26.6%	+5.7	21
1961-02-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1671	1645	26.6%	14.9%	58.5%	-5.7	31
1961-02-05	Leixoes	L 2-3	1530	1671	43.6%	14.9%	41.5%	-8.3	4
1961-02-05	@ Barreirense	W 3-2	1671	1530	41.5%	14.9%	43.6%	+8.3	26
1961-02-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1818	1608	77.7%	13.8%	8.5%	+1.9	30
1961-02-05	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1608	1818	8.5%	13.8%	77.7%	-1.9	19
1961-02-05	Salgueiros	W 8-1	1975	1511	86.3%	11.5%	2.2%	+2.6	46
1961-02-05	@ Benfica	L 1-8	1511	1975	2.2%	11.5%	86.3%	-2.6	15
1961-02-05	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1552	1966	13.7%	13.7%	72.5%	-5.3	11
1961-02-05	@ Braga	W 3-1	1966	1552	72.5%	13.7%	13.7%	+5.3	43
1961-02-05	Fabril	D 1-1	1831	1732	70.6%	14.4%	14.9%	-2.9	33
1961-02-05	@ Porto	D 1-1	1732	1831	14.9%	14.4%	70.6%	+2.9	26
1961-02-05	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1522	1580	54.6%	14.9%	30.5%	+11.2	18
1961-02-05	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1580	1522	30.5%	14.9%	54.6%	-11.1	17
1961-02-12	Barreirense	D 2-2	1606	1522	69.4%	14.5%	16.1%	-2.0	20
1961-02-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1522	1606	16.1%	14.5%	69.4%	+2.0	5
1961-02-12	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1547	1650	48.7%	14.9%	36.4%	-19.4	11
1961-02-12	@ Braga	W 2-0	1650	1547	36.4%	14.9%	48.7%	+19.4	24
1961-02-12	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1735	1533	77.3%	13.8%	8.9%	-3.6	27
1961-02-12	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1533	1735	8.9%	13.8%	77.3%	+3.6	19
1961-02-12	Benfica	L 0-3	1679	1978	23.6%	14.4%	62.0%	-14.8	26
1961-02-12	@ Leixoes	W 3-0	1978	1679	62.0%	14.4%	23.6%	+14.8	49
1961-02-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1569	1820	28.8%	14.6%	56.5%	+11.8	20
1961-02-12	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1820	1569	56.5%	14.6%	28.8%	-11.8	30
1961-02-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1509	1665	41.3%	14.9%	43.8%	-8.0	15
1961-02-12	@ Salgueiros	W 3-2	1665	1509	43.8%	14.9%	41.3%	+7.9	34
1961-02-12	Porto	D 1-1	1972	1829	73.8%	14.2%	12.0%	-3.2	44
1961-02-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1829	1972	12.0%	14.2%	73.8%	+3.2	34
1961-02-19	Salgueiros	W 2-0	1670	1501	75.4%	14.1%	10.5%	+4.8	27
1961-02-19	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1501	1670	10.5%	14.1%	75.4%	-4.8	15
1961-02-19	Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1524	1581	54.9%	14.9%	30.2%	-11.5	5
1961-02-19	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1581	1524	30.2%	14.9%	54.9%	+11.5	23
1961-02-19	Fabril	W 1-0	1809	1732	68.8%	14.5%	16.6%	+3.9	33
1961-02-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1732	1809	16.6%	14.5%	68.8%	-3.9	27
1961-02-19	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 7-2	1992	1604	84.4%	12.2%	3.3%	+2.4	52
1961-02-19	@ Benfica	L 2-7	1604	1992	3.3%	12.2%	84.4%	-2.4	20
1961-02-19	Braga	D 1-1	1832	1527	81.8%	13.0%	5.2%	-4.1	35
1961-02-19	@ Porto	D 1-1	1527	1832	5.2%	13.0%	81.8%	+4.1	12
1961-02-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1536	1968	12.6%	13.6%	73.8%	-8.1	19
1961-02-19	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1968	1536	73.8%	13.6%	12.6%	+8.1	47
1961-02-19	Leixoes	W 2-1	1673	1665	62.4%	14.8%	22.8%	+5.0	37
1961-02-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1665	1673	22.8%	14.8%	62.4%	-5.0	26
1961-03-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1601	1678	52.3%	14.9%	32.8%	+7.3	23
1961-03-05	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1678	1601	32.8%	14.9%	52.3%	-7.3	37
1961-03-05	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1531	1528	61.8%	14.8%	23.4%	+14.8	15
1961-03-05	@ Braga	L 0-3	1528	1531	23.4%	14.8%	61.8%	-14.8	19
1961-03-05	Barreirense	L 0-1	1728	1513	77.9%	13.8%	8.3%	-16.2	27
1961-03-05	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1513	1728	8.3%	13.8%	77.9%	+16.2	8
1961-03-05	Salgueiros	L 1-3	1660	1496	75.1%	14.1%	10.8%	-25.5	26
1961-03-05	@ Leixoes	W 3-1	1496	1660	10.8%	14.1%	75.1%	+25.5	18
1961-03-05	Benfica	L 1-2	1592	1995	14.5%	13.8%	71.6%	-3.2	23
1961-03-05	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1995	1592	71.6%	13.8%	14.5%	+3.2	55
1961-03-05	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1828	1675	74.4%	14.2%	11.4%	-15.5	35
1961-03-05	@ Porto	W 1-0	1675	1828	11.4%	14.2%	74.4%	+15.5	30
1961-03-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1976	1813	75.1%	14.1%	10.8%	+2.5	50
1961-03-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1813	1976	10.8%	14.1%	75.1%	-2.4	33
1961-03-12	Leixoes	D 1-1	1690	1634	67.0%	14.6%	18.4%	-2.5	31
1961-03-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1634	1690	18.4%	14.6%	67.0%	+2.5	27
1961-03-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1529	1979	11.5%	13.5%	75.0%	+25.3	11
1961-03-12	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1979	1529	75.0%	13.5%	11.5%	-25.3	50
1961-03-12	Braga	W 2-1	1810	1546	80.2%	13.4%	6.5%	+1.5	36
1961-03-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1546	1810	6.5%	13.4%	80.2%	-1.5	15
1961-03-12	Fabril	W 4-1	1998	1712	81.1%	13.2%	5.7%	+3.2	58
1961-03-12	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1712	1998	5.7%	13.2%	81.1%	-3.2	27
1961-03-12	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1521	1609	51.0%	14.9%	34.1%	+7.5	21
1961-03-12	@ Salgueiros	L 0-1	1609	1521	34.1%	14.9%	51.0%	-7.5	23
1961-03-12	Porto	L 1-3	1513	1812	23.5%	14.4%	62.0%	-8.8	19
1961-03-12	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1812	1513	62.0%	14.4%	23.5%	+8.8	38
1961-03-12	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-2	1671	1589	69.3%	14.5%	16.2%	+7.7	40
1961-03-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-5	1589	1671	16.2%	14.5%	69.3%	-7.7	23
1961-04-09	Leixoes	L 0-3	1601	1637	57.5%	14.9%	27.7%	-32.8	23
1961-04-09	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1637	1601	27.7%	14.9%	57.5%	+32.8	30
1961-04-09	Barreirense	W 5-3	1545	1554	60.4%	14.8%	24.7%	+7.8	18
1961-04-09	@ Braga	L 3-5	1554	1545	24.7%	14.8%	60.4%	-7.8	11
1961-04-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1708	1679	64.5%	14.7%	20.8%	+9.1	30
1961-04-09	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1679	1708	20.8%	14.7%	64.5%	-9.1	40
1961-04-09	Salgueiros	D 2-2	1582	1529	66.7%	14.6%	18.6%	-1.8	24
1961-04-09	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1529	1582	18.6%	14.6%	66.7%	+1.8	22
1961-04-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1821	1812	62.5%	14.8%	22.7%	+5.2	41
1961-04-09	@ Porto	L 0-1	1812	1821	22.7%	14.8%	62.5%	-5.2	36
1961-04-09	Benfica	D 1-1	1954	2001	56.0%	14.9%	29.1%	-1.3	51
1961-04-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	2001	1954	29.1%	14.9%	56.0%	+1.3	59
1961-04-09	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1505	1688	37.6%	14.8%	47.5%	+0.5	20
1961-04-09	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1688	1505	47.5%	14.8%	37.6%	-0.5	32
1961-04-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1687	1568	72.1%	14.3%	13.5%	-15.0	32
1961-04-23	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1568	1687	13.5%	14.3%	72.1%	+15.0	26
1961-04-23	Porto	L 1-4	1546	1826	25.6%	14.5%	59.9%	-13.4	11
1961-04-23	@ Barreirense	W 4-1	1826	1546	59.9%	14.5%	25.6%	+13.4	44
1961-04-23	Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1806	1505	81.6%	13.1%	5.3%	-17.0	36
1961-04-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1505	1806	5.3%	13.1%	81.6%	+17.0	23
1961-04-23	Braga	W 7-1	2003	1552	86.0%	11.6%	2.4%	+2.5	62
1961-04-23	@ Benfica	L 1-7	1552	2003	2.4%	11.6%	86.0%	-2.4	18
1961-04-23	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1669	1580	69.9%	14.5%	15.6%	+6.1	33
1961-04-23	@ Leixoes	L 1-3	1580	1669	15.6%	14.5%	69.9%	-6.0	24
1961-04-23	Fabril	W 1-0	1531	1717	37.1%	14.8%	48.0%	+10.1	25
1961-04-23	@ Salgueiros	L 0-1	1717	1531	48.0%	14.8%	37.1%	-10.1	30
1961-04-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1670	1952	25.3%	14.5%	60.2%	+1.9	41
1961-04-23	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1952	1670	60.2%	14.5%	25.3%	-1.9	52
1961-04-30	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1789	1672	72.0%	14.4%	13.7%	-2.3	37
1961-04-30	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1672	1789	13.7%	14.4%	72.0%	+2.2	33
1961-04-30	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1550	1672	46.3%	14.9%	38.8%	+8.0	21
1961-04-30	@ Braga	L 1-2	1672	1550	38.8%	14.9%	46.3%	-7.9	41
1961-04-30	Leixoes	W 3-0	1707	1675	64.8%	14.7%	20.5%	+13.1	33
1961-04-30	@ Fabril	L 0-3	1675	1707	20.5%	14.7%	64.8%	-13.1	33
1961-04-30	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1574	1583	60.4%	14.8%	24.8%	+20.3	27
1961-04-30	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-4	1583	1574	24.8%	14.8%	60.4%	-20.3	26
1961-04-30	Benfica	W 3-2	1840	2005	40.1%	14.9%	45.1%	+8.6	47
1961-04-30	@ Porto	L 2-3	2005	1840	45.1%	14.9%	40.1%	-8.6	62
1961-04-30	Salgueiros	W 2-1	1950	1541	85.0%	12.0%	3.0%	+0.7	55
1961-04-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1541	1950	3.0%	12.0%	85.0%	-0.7	25
1961-04-30	Barreirense	W 2-1	1522	1533	60.3%	14.8%	24.9%	+5.4	26
1961-04-30	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1533	1522	24.9%	14.8%	60.3%	-5.4	11
1961-05-14	Fabril	W 2-0	1563	1720	41.2%	14.9%	43.9%	+17.7	29
1961-05-14	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1720	1563	43.9%	14.9%	41.2%	-17.7	33
1961-05-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-4	1528	1787	27.9%	14.6%	57.6%	-5.5	11
1961-05-14	@ Barreirense	W 4-3	1787	1528	57.6%	14.6%	27.9%	+5.5	40
1961-05-14	Sporting Covilha	W 8-0	1996	1527	86.4%	11.4%	2.2%	+3.5	65
1961-05-14	@ Benfica	L 0-8	1527	1996	2.2%	11.4%	86.4%	-3.5	26
1961-05-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1662	1951	24.6%	14.5%	60.9%	-9.2	33
1961-05-14	@ Leixoes	W 3-1	1951	1662	60.9%	14.5%	24.6%	+9.2	58
1961-05-14	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1594	1674	51.8%	14.9%	33.2%	+7.4	30
1961-05-14	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1674	1594	33.2%	14.9%	51.8%	-7.4	33
1961-05-14	Braga	L 2-3	1540	1558	59.5%	14.8%	25.6%	-11.1	25
1961-05-14	@ Salgueiros	W 3-2	1558	1540	25.6%	14.8%	59.5%	+11.1	24
1961-05-14	Porto	W 4-2	1664	1848	37.4%	14.8%	47.8%	+14.7	44
1961-05-14	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-4	1848	1664	47.8%	14.8%	37.4%	-14.7	47
1961-05-28	Barreirense	W 3-0	1667	1522	73.9%	14.2%	11.9%	+7.8	36
1961-05-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1522	1667	11.9%	14.2%	73.9%	-7.8	11
1961-05-28	Benfica	L 0-4	1793	2000	34.3%	14.8%	50.9%	-27.1	40
1961-05-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-0	2000	1793	50.9%	14.8%	34.3%	+27.1	68
1961-05-28	Leixoes	W 2-1	1569	1653	51.4%	14.9%	33.7%	+7.0	27
1961-05-28	@ Braga	L 1-2	1653	1569	33.7%	14.9%	51.4%	-7.0	33
1961-05-28	Lusitano de Evora	W 7-1	1703	1601	70.8%	14.4%	14.8%	+15.2	36
1961-05-28	@ Fabril	L 1-7	1601	1703	14.8%	14.4%	70.8%	-15.2	30
1961-05-28	Salgueiros	L 1-2	1834	1529	81.7%	13.0%	5.2%	-16.0	47
1961-05-28	@ Porto	W 2-1	1529	1834	5.2%	13.0%	81.7%	+16.0	28
1961-05-28	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1960	1581	84.2%	12.3%	3.5%	+2.3	61
1961-05-28	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1581	1960	3.5%	12.3%	84.2%	-2.3	29
1961-05-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1524	1678	41.6%	14.9%	43.5%	+8.8	29
1961-05-28	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1678	1524	43.5%	14.9%	41.6%	-8.8	44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1961-05-28	5.22%	Salgueiros	1529	2	@ Porto	1834	1
2	1961-04-23	5.31%	Sporting Covilha	1505	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1806	0
3	1961-03-05	8.32%	Barreirense	1513	1	@ Fabril	1728	0
4	1961-03-05	10.82%	Salgueiros	1496	3	@ Leixoes	1660	1
5	1961-03-05	11.42%	Academica de Coimbra	1675	1	@ Porto	1828	0
6	1961-03-12	11.51%	@ Barreirense	1529	3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1979	1
7	1960-12-18	11.65%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1596	2	@ Fabril	1745	1
8	1961-04-23	13.54%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1568	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1687	0
9	1960-11-06	16.14%	Salgueiros	1531	2	@ Barreirense	1614	1
10	1961-01-22	20.53%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1658	2	Benfica	1988	1
11	1960-11-27	22.65%	Braga	1575	4	@ Barreirense	1585	2
12	1960-10-16	23.61%	Sporting Covilha	1598	1	@ Lusitano de Evora	1599	0
13	1961-01-15	24.27%	Lusitano de Evora	1575	1	@ Braga	1569	0
14	1960-09-25	24.51%	@ Salgueiros	1548	3	Os Belenenses (1st)	1838	2
15	1960-12-04	24.93%	Leixoes	1613	2	@ Lusitano de Evora	1601	1
16	1960-10-30	25.37%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1654	2	@ Leixoes	1638	0
17	1961-05-14	25.63%	Braga	1558	3	@ Salgueiros	1540	2
18	1960-11-27	27.45%	Fabril	1689	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1655	0
19	1961-04-09	27.67%	Leixoes	1637	3	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1601	0
20	1961-02-12	28.84%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1569	1	Os Belenenses (1st)	1820	0
21	1961-01-15	29.36%	Leixoes	1617	5	@ Sporting Covilha	1568	1
22	1961-02-19	30.25%	Lusitano de Evora	1581	1	@ Barreirense	1524	0
23	1960-11-13	31.47%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1897	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1831	0
24	1961-01-01	32.35%	Academica de Coimbra	1642	2	@ Barreirense	1569	0
25	1961-01-08	32.99%	@ Leixoes	1608	3	Porto	1825	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1961-01-15	34.67	Leixoes	5	1617	29.36%	@ Sporting Covilha	1	1568	55.74%
2	1960-11-27	32.89	Fabril	3	1689	27.45%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1655	57.68%
3	1961-04-09	32.77	Leixoes	3	1637	27.67%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1601	57.45%
4	1960-10-30	29.23	Porto	4	1797	47.71%	@ Braga	0	1613	37.46%
5	1961-05-28	27.09	Benfica	4	2000	50.88%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1793	34.34%
6	1961-03-05	25.54	Salgueiros	3	1496	10.82%	@ Leixoes	1	1660	75.09%
7	1961-03-12	25.34	@ Barreirense	3	1529	11.51%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1979	75.03%
8	1960-10-30	23.45	Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1654	25.37%	@ Leixoes	0	1638	59.79%
9	1960-11-20	21.41	@ Lusitano de Evora	3	1578	49.51%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1676	35.56%
10	1960-11-13	21.14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1897	31.47%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1831	53.62%
11	1961-01-01	20.81	Academica de Coimbra	2	1642	32.35%	@ Barreirense	0	1569	52.73%
12	1961-04-30	20.30	@ Lusitano de Evora	4	1574	60.43%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1583	24.75%
13	1960-12-11	19.50	Fabril	2	1725	35.95%	@ Leixoes	0	1624	49.12%
14	1961-02-12	19.36	Academica de Coimbra	2	1650	36.36%	@ Braga	0	1547	48.71%
15	1961-01-22	19.05	@ Leixoes	2	1652	37.27%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1838	47.90%
16	1960-11-27	19.00	Braga	4	1575	22.65%	@ Barreirense	2	1585	62.57%
17	1961-05-14	17.67	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	1563	41.18%	Fabril	0	1720	43.93%
18	1960-12-04	17.57	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1814	50.70%	@ Sporting Covilha	1	1608	34.52%
19	1960-10-30	17.32	Academica de Coimbra	3	1639	34.58%	@ Salgueiros	1	1548	50.50%
20	1960-12-11	16.97	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	1920	69.19%	@ Salgueiros	1	1548	16.79%
21	1961-04-23	16.96	Sporting Covilha	1	1505	5.31%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1806	81.63%
22	1961-03-05	16.23	Barreirense	1	1513	8.32%	@ Fabril	0	1728	77.93%
23	1961-05-28	16.01	Salgueiros	2	1529	5.22%	@ Porto	1	1834	81.74%
24	1960-12-11	15.51	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	1580	60.46%	Lusitano de Evora	0	1589	24.71%
25	1961-03-05	15.49	Academica de Coimbra	1	1675	11.42%	@ Porto	0	1828	74.43%