1961-62 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Porto

7.89 points above expected

41 points · 33.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Salgueiros

9.23 points below expected

7 points · 16.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	19	5	2	43	66	17	+49	39.0	+3.99
2	Porto	26	18	5	3	41	57	16	+41	33.1	+7.89
3	Benfica	26	14	8	4	36	69	38	+31	37.5	-1.45
4	Fabril	26	14	5	7	33	44	34	+10	29.4	+3.55
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	12	7	7	31	51	35	+16	29.2	+1.78
6	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	11	4	11	26	41	42	-1	25.4	+0.65
7	Leixoes	26	10	3	13	23	47	55	-8	24.6	-1.57
8	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	9	4	13	22	44	47	-3	24.5	-2.49
9	Olhanense	26	8	6	12	22	33	41	-8	17.0	+5.02
10	Academica de Coimbra	26	9	4	13	22	44	54	-10	24.7	-2.71
11	Beira-Mar	26	8	5	13	21	43	61	-18	19.4	+1.65
12	Lusitano de Evora	26	9	2	15	20	31	42	-11	23.6	-3.58
13	Sporting Covilha	26	6	5	15	17	30	48	-18	20.5	-3.50
14	Salgueiros	26	2	3	21	7	17	87	-70	16.2	-9.23

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2027	43	39.01	+3.99	92.0%	29	34	37	39	41	44	47
Benfica	1959	36	37.45	-1.45	41.0%	28	31	35	38	40	43	45
Porto	1949	41	33.11	+7.89	100.0%	25	27	31	33	36	39	41
Os Belenenses (1st)	1822	31	29.22	+1.78	70.0%	20	22	26	29	32	36	37
Fabril	1798	33	29.45	+3.55	83.0%	19	22	27	29	32	36	42
Leixoes	1702	23	24.57	-1.57	37.0%	17	19	22	25	27	30	32
Vitoria Guimaraes	1655	22	24.49	-2.49	32.0%	12	18	22	25	27	30	36
Academica de Coimbra	1634	22	24.71	-2.71	28.0%	16	18	22	25	27	31	33
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1618	26	25.35	+0.65	59.0%	15	18	23	25	28	32	35
Beira-Mar	1616	21	19.35	+1.65	76.0%	11	13	17	19	21	26	29
Lusitano de Evora	1597	20	23.58	-3.58	16.0%	14	15	22	24	26	30	37
Sporting Covilha	1536	17	20.50	-3.50	30.0%	11	14	17	21	23	27	32
Olhanense	1533	22	16.98	+5.02	88.0%	9	10	14	17	19	24	25
Salgueiros	1344	7	16.23	-9.23	3.0%	5	10	13	16	18	24	29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BEI	BEN	FAB	LEI	LDE	OLH	OB(	POR	SAL	SCDP	SC	VG
Academica de Coimbra	—	0-1-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.24	1-0-1 1.59	0-0-2 2.32	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 3.04	0-1-1 3.80	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.20	2-0-0 3.42	0-0-2 1.17	1-1-0 3.39	1-0-1 2.82
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1-1-0 2.92	—	2-0-0 3.71	0-0-2 1.55	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 3.05	2-0-0 3.07	1-0-1 3.97	1-0-1 2.24	0-0-2 1.61	1-1-0 3.49	0-0-2 1.58	1-0-1 3.52	1-1-0 2.85
Beira-Mar	0-1-1 2.43	0-0-2 1.97	—	0-0-2 0.93	0-1-1 1.99	1-0-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 3.36	0-0-2 1.77	0-1-1 1.62	2-0-0 2.97	0-1-1 0.91	1-1-0 2.90	2-0-0 2.05
Benfica	1-0-1 4.09	2-0-0 4.13	2-0-0 4.78	—	1-1-0 3.68	2-0-0 4.23	2-0-0 4.32	1-1-0 5.02	0-2-0 3.72	0-1-1 3.24	2-0-0 4.88	0-1-1 2.60	0-1-1 4.69	1-1-0 4.45
Fabril	2-0-0 3.36	1-1-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.69	0-1-1 1.99	—	1-0-1 3.33	1-1-0 3.48	1-1-0 4.31	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.11	2-0-0 4.12	0-0-2 1.85	2-0-0 3.88	1-0-1 3.28
Leixoes	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 3.48	0-0-2 1.46	1-0-1 2.34	—	1-0-1 2.95	1-1-0 3.75	0-1-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.04	2-0-0 3.91	1-0-1 0.99	1-0-1 3.59	0-0-2 2.87
Lusitano de Evora	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 2.60	1-0-1 3.15	0-0-2 1.36	0-1-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.72	—	2-0-0 3.51	0-0-2 2.38	0-0-2 1.93	1-0-1 3.33	0-1-1 1.19	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 2.67
Olhanense	1-1-0 1.89	1-0-1 1.71	1-0-1 2.31	0-1-1 0.70	0-1-1 1.38	0-1-1 1.92	0-0-2 2.17	—	1-0-1 1.51	0-1-1 1.16	2-0-0 3.02	0-1-1 0.70	1-0-1 2.14	1-0-1 1.98
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 3.17	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 3.91	0-2-0 1.95	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 3.53	2-0-0 3.29	1-0-1 4.18	—	0-1-1 2.17	2-0-0 4.68	0-0-2 1.85	1-1-0 3.80	0-2-0 3.21
Porto	2-0-0 3.49	2-0-0 4.07	1-1-0 4.07	1-1-0 2.43	1-0-1 3.56	1-1-0 3.64	2-0-0 3.76	1-1-0 4.54	1-1-0 3.50	—	2-0-0 4.60	1-0-1 2.31	2-0-0 4.39	1-0-1 4.42
Salgueiros	0-0-2 2.26	0-1-1 2.20	0-0-2 2.70	0-0-2 0.83	0-0-2 1.56	0-0-2 1.76	1-0-1 2.35	0-0-2 2.66	0-0-2 1.01	0-0-2 1.09	—	0-1-1 0.86	0-1-1 2.03	1-0-1 2.25
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 4.53	2-0-0 4.11	1-1-0 4.82	1-1-0 3.07	2-0-0 3.83	1-0-1 4.71	1-1-0 4.50	1-1-0 5.02	2-0-0 3.83	1-0-1 3.37	1-1-0 4.87	—	2-0-0 4.79	2-0-0 4.57
Sporting Covilha	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.16	0-1-1 2.77	1-1-0 1.01	0-0-2 1.80	1-0-1 2.08	0-0-2 2.49	1-0-1 3.53	0-1-1 1.88	0-0-2 1.30	1-1-0 3.64	0-0-2 0.93	—	1-0-1 2.32
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.83	0-0-2 3.62	0-1-1 1.24	1-0-1 2.39	2-0-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.70	0-2-0 2.46	1-0-1 1.27	1-0-1 3.43	0-0-2 1.13	1-0-1 3.35	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.40%	6.04%	5.22%	4.95%	2.75%	2.20%	25.55%
1	6.04%	9.34%	5.77%	4.95%	2.20%	1.92%	30.22%
2	5.22%	5.77%	2.75%	1.37%	1.37%	1.10%	17.58%
3	4.95%	4.95%	1.37%	1.65%	0.55%	0.27%	13.74%
4	2.75%	2.20%	1.37%	0.55%	—	0.27%	7.14%
5+	2.20%	1.92%	1.10%	0.27%	0.27%	—	5.77%
Total	25.55%	30.22%	17.58%	13.74%	7.14%	5.77%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.70
Mean allowed	1.70
StdDev scored	1.62
StdDev allowed	1.62
Mean total goals/game	3.39
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.144
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	42.31%
1	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
2	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	11.54%	34.62%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	2.08
StdDev scored	2.15
StdDev allowed	1.62
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.302
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	23.08%	11.54%	23.08%	11.54%	—	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.427
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	—	7.69%	7.69%	42.31%
2	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	26.92%	19.23%	19.23%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Beira-Mar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	2.35
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	2.10
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.270
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
Total	15.38%	42.31%	26.92%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.65
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	2.21
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	4.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.091
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	46.15%	15.38%	15.38%	15.38%	—	7.69%	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.57
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.146
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%
1	—	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	30.77%	15.38%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	2.07
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.327
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	46.15%
1	3.85%	—	—	15.38%	—	—	19.23%
2	—	15.38%	—	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	38.46%	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.303
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	38.46%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	38.46%	23.08%	3.85%	15.38%	—	100%

Olhanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.084
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	30.77%	30.77%	19.23%	15.38%	—	3.85%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.104
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	53.85%	34.62%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.19
Mean allowed	0.62
StdDev scored	1.55
StdDev allowed	0.80
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.131
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	50.00%
1	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	11.54%	42.31%
2	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	19.23%	15.38%	11.54%	19.23%	26.92%	100%

Salgueiros — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.65
Mean allowed	3.35
StdDev scored	0.89
StdDev allowed	2.33
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.060
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	15.38%	19.23%	—	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	46.15%	46.15%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.54
Mean allowed	0.65
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	0.75
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.228
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
4	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	26.92%	38.46%	11.54%	11.54%	—	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.108
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	19.23%	26.92%	7.69%	—	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.095
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Porto	41	33.1	+7.89
2	Olhanense	22	17.0	+5.02
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	43	39.0	+3.99
4	Fabril	33	29.4	+3.55
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	31	29.2	+1.78

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Salgueiros	7	16.2	-9.23
2	Lusitano de Evora	20	23.6	-3.58
3	Sporting Covilha	17	20.5	-3.50
4	Academica de Coimbra	22	24.7	-2.71
5	Vitoria Guimaraes	22	24.5	-2.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	8	Jan 14 – Mar 18	1 in 74
2	Beira-Mar	4	Mar 18 – Apr 15	1 in 50
3	Olhanense	2	Sep 24 – Oct 1	1 in 48
4	Academica de Coimbra	3	Oct 15 – Nov 5	1 in 15
5	Fabril	5	Mar 4 – Apr 8	1 in 11

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Salgueiros	16	Dec 17 – May 20	1 in 4,190
2	Academica de Coimbra	5	Nov 12 – Dec 17	1 in 57
3	Sporting Covilha	7	Mar 4 – May 13	1 in 57
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Jan 7 – Jan 21	1 in 35
5	Lusitano de Evora	6	Mar 11 – May 13	1 in 25

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	13	Jan 14 – May 20	1 in 79
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	14	Sep 24 – Jan 21	1 in 64
3	Olhanense	3	Sep 24 – Oct 15	1 in 31
4	Fabril	7	Mar 4 – May 13	1 in 16
5	Beira-Mar	5	Mar 18 – May 13	1 in 15

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Salgueiros	19	Dec 3 – May 27	1 in 184
2	Benfica	4	Oct 15 – Nov 12	1 in 166
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	5	Sep 24 – Nov 5	1 in 17
4	Lusitano de Evora	6	Nov 19 – Jan 7	1 in 17
5	Beira-Mar	8	Dec 10 – Feb 11	1 in 12

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Sporting Clube de Portugal	67.00%	30.00%	2.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	7.00%	12.00%	41.00%	24.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Benfica	26.00%	48.00%	20.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Fabril	—	3.00%	13.00%	23.00%	24.00%	15.00%	9.00%	4.00%	—	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	—	4.00%	16.00%	24.00%	18.00%	14.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	—	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	12.00%	14.00%	11.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Leixoes	—	—	2.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	18.00%	13.00%	13.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	9.00%	18.00%	13.00%	14.00%	11.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Olhanense	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	9.00%	22.00%	21.00%	33.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	10.00%	15.00%	15.00%	11.00%	13.00%	15.00%	9.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Beira-Mar	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	9.00%	22.00%	18.00%	22.00%	12.00%
Lusitano de Evora	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	15.00%	19.00%	13.00%	11.00%	6.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Sporting Covilha	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	13.00%	8.00%	10.00%	16.00%	22.00%	15.00%	5.00%
Salgueiros	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	23.00%	45.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Fabril	99.0%	1.0%
Os Belenenses (1st)	99.0%	1.0%
Academica de Coimbra	94.0%	6.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	93.0%	7.0%
Leixoes	89.0%	11.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	89.0%	11.0%
Lusitano de Evora	87.0%	13.0%
Sporting Covilha	58.0%	42.0%
Beira-Mar	48.0%	52.0%
Olhanense	24.0%	76.0%
Salgueiros	20.0%	80.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1961-09-24	Porto	D 1-1	1604	1805	40.5%	16.6%	42.9%	+0.1	1
1961-09-24	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1805	1604	42.9%	16.6%	40.5%	-0.1	1
1961-09-24	Fabril	W 5-1	1769	1737	67.6%	16.4%	16.0%	+14.8	3
1961-09-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1737	1769	16.0%	16.4%	67.6%	-14.8	0
1961-09-24	Benfica	L 1-2	1689	1936	34.2%	16.5%	49.3%	-9.2	0
1961-09-24	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1936	1689	49.3%	16.5%	34.2%	+9.2	3
1961-09-24	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1436	1605	45.0%	16.7%	38.3%	+10.7	3
1961-09-24	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1605	1436	38.3%	16.7%	45.0%	-10.8	0
1961-09-24	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1617	1708	55.2%	16.7%	28.1%	-14.0	0
1961-09-24	@ Salgueiros	W 2-1	1708	1617	28.1%	16.7%	55.2%	+14.0	3
1961-09-24	Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1897	1645	80.0%	14.8%	5.2%	-5.7	1
1961-09-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1645	1897	5.2%	14.8%	80.0%	+5.7	1
1961-09-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1703	1642	69.9%	16.2%	13.8%	-30.6	0
1961-09-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1642	1703	13.8%	16.2%	69.9%	+30.6	3
1961-10-01	Olhanense	L 1-2	1722	1446	80.8%	14.6%	4.6%	-20.4	3
1961-10-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1446	1722	4.6%	14.6%	80.8%	+20.4	6
1961-10-01	Beira-Mar	W 4-1	1672	1604	70.4%	16.2%	13.4%	+9.7	6
1961-10-01	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1604	1672	13.4%	16.2%	70.4%	-9.7	1
1961-10-01	Salgueiros	W 8-1	1945	1603	82.9%	13.9%	3.2%	+5.1	6
1961-10-01	@ Benfica	L 1-8	1603	1945	3.2%	13.9%	82.9%	-5.1	0
1961-10-01	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1722	1673	69.0%	16.3%	14.7%	+4.6	3
1961-10-01	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1673	1722	14.7%	16.3%	69.0%	-4.6	0
1961-10-01	Leixoes	W 4-0	1651	1679	62.1%	16.6%	21.3%	+23.1	4
1961-10-01	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-4	1679	1651	21.3%	16.6%	62.1%	-23.1	0
1961-10-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1804	1891	55.7%	16.7%	27.6%	-28.2	1
1961-10-01	@ Porto	W 2-0	1891	1804	27.6%	16.7%	55.7%	+28.2	4
1961-10-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1594	1784	42.1%	16.7%	41.3%	-0.1	1
1961-10-01	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1784	1594	41.3%	16.7%	42.1%	+0.0	4
1961-10-15	Fabril	L 0-3	1594	1727	49.9%	16.7%	33.4%	-37.0	1
1961-10-15	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1727	1594	33.4%	16.7%	49.9%	+37.0	6
1961-10-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1784	1668	73.5%	15.9%	10.5%	-4.2	5
1961-10-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1668	1784	10.5%	15.9%	73.5%	+4.2	1
1961-10-15	Porto	D 0-0	1656	1776	51.6%	16.7%	31.7%	-1.4	1
1961-10-15	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1776	1656	31.7%	16.7%	51.6%	+1.4	2
1961-10-15	Benfica	D 1-1	1467	1950	11.8%	15.1%	73.1%	+4.1	7
1961-10-15	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1950	1467	73.1%	15.1%	11.8%	-4.1	7
1961-10-15	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1598	1674	56.9%	16.7%	26.4%	+7.8	3
1961-10-15	@ Salgueiros	L 0-1	1674	1598	26.4%	16.7%	56.9%	-7.8	4
1961-10-15	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1920	1682	79.4%	15.0%	5.6%	+6.4	7
1961-10-15	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1682	1920	5.6%	15.0%	79.4%	-6.4	6
1961-10-15	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1594	1701	53.2%	16.7%	30.1%	-13.5	1
1961-10-15	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1701	1594	30.1%	16.7%	53.2%	+13.5	6
1961-10-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1715	1779	58.3%	16.7%	25.1%	+7.0	9
1961-10-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1779	1715	25.1%	16.7%	58.3%	-7.0	5
1961-10-29	Leixoes	W 4-1	1675	1655	66.7%	16.4%	16.9%	+12.1	9
1961-10-29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1655	1675	16.9%	16.4%	66.7%	-12.1	1
1961-10-29	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1946	1580	83.5%	13.7%	2.9%	-5.5	8
1961-10-29	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1580	1946	2.9%	13.7%	83.5%	+5.5	2
1961-10-29	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1764	1926	46.0%	16.7%	37.3%	-20.5	6
1961-10-29	@ Fabril	W 3-1	1926	1764	37.3%	16.7%	46.0%	+20.5	10
1961-10-29	Olhanense	W 2-1	1666	1471	77.7%	15.3%	7.0%	+2.1	7
1961-10-29	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1471	1666	7.0%	15.3%	77.7%	-2.1	7
1961-10-29	Salgueiros	W 1-0	1778	1605	76.6%	15.5%	7.9%	+2.5	5
1961-10-29	@ Porto	L 0-1	1605	1778	7.9%	15.5%	76.6%	-2.5	3
1961-10-29	Beira-Mar	L 2-3	1672	1557	73.5%	15.9%	10.6%	-17.6	1
1961-10-29	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1557	1672	10.6%	15.9%	73.5%	+17.6	4
1961-11-05	Benfica	W 3-1	1722	1940	38.0%	16.6%	45.4%	+20.2	12
1961-11-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1940	1722	45.4%	16.6%	38.0%	-20.2	8
1961-11-05	Beira-Mar	W 4-1	1772	1575	77.8%	15.3%	6.9%	+5.1	8
1961-11-05	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1575	1772	6.9%	15.3%	77.8%	-5.1	4
1961-11-05	Fabril	W 2-1	1643	1743	54.0%	16.7%	29.2%	+8.1	4
1961-11-05	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1743	1643	29.2%	16.7%	54.0%	-8.1	6
1961-11-05	Porto	D 1-1	1469	1780	26.3%	16.3%	57.5%	+2.0	8
1961-11-05	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1780	1469	57.5%	16.3%	26.3%	-2.0	6
1961-11-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1603	1687	56.0%	16.7%	27.4%	-1.8	4
1961-11-05	@ Salgueiros	D 1-1	1687	1603	27.4%	16.7%	56.0%	+1.8	10
1961-11-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1946	1655	81.3%	14.4%	4.2%	+1.3	13
1961-11-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1655	1946	4.2%	14.4%	81.3%	-1.3	1
1961-11-05	Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1586	1668	56.2%	16.7%	27.1%	-14.2	2
1961-11-05	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1668	1586	27.1%	16.7%	56.2%	+14.2	10
1961-11-12	Olhanense	W 3-0	1689	1471	78.7%	15.1%	6.2%	+5.4	13
1961-11-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1471	1689	6.2%	15.1%	78.7%	-5.4	8
1961-11-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1570	1948	19.6%	15.9%	64.6%	+2.9	5
1961-11-12	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1948	1570	64.6%	15.9%	19.6%	-2.9	14
1961-11-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1920	1778	75.1%	15.7%	9.2%	-5.0	9
1961-11-12	@ Benfica	D 0-0	1778	1920	9.2%	15.7%	75.1%	+5.0	9
1961-11-12	Salgueiros	W 4-0	1735	1601	74.6%	15.8%	9.6%	+10.9	9
1961-11-12	@ Fabril	L 0-4	1601	1735	9.6%	15.8%	74.6%	-10.9	4
1961-11-12	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-0	1682	1742	58.8%	16.7%	24.6%	+32.3	13
1961-11-12	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-5	1742	1682	24.6%	16.7%	58.8%	-32.3	12
1961-11-12	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1778	1572	78.2%	15.2%	6.6%	+4.0	9
1961-11-12	@ Porto	L 0-2	1572	1778	6.6%	15.2%	78.2%	-4.0	2
1961-11-12	Leixoes	W 3-2	1653	1651	65.1%	16.5%	18.4%	+5.1	4
1961-11-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1651	1653	18.4%	16.5%	65.1%	-5.1	4
1961-11-19	Porto	L 0-2	1710	1782	57.4%	16.7%	25.9%	-29.0	12
1961-11-19	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1782	1710	25.9%	16.7%	57.4%	+29.0	12
1961-11-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1782	1945	45.9%	16.7%	37.4%	-12.5	9
1961-11-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1945	1782	37.4%	16.7%	45.9%	+12.5	17
1961-11-19	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1915	1715	77.9%	15.3%	6.8%	+3.6	12
1961-11-19	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1715	1915	6.8%	15.3%	77.9%	-3.5	13
1961-11-19	Beira-Mar	W 3-2	1646	1573	70.8%	16.2%	13.1%	+3.7	7
1961-11-19	@ Leixoes	L 2-3	1573	1646	13.1%	16.2%	70.8%	-3.7	5
1961-11-19	Fabril	D 0-0	1465	1746	29.9%	16.4%	53.7%	+1.7	9
1961-11-19	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1746	1465	53.7%	16.4%	29.9%	-1.7	10
1961-11-19	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1590	1658	57.9%	16.7%	25.5%	+7.6	7
1961-11-19	@ Salgueiros	L 0-1	1658	1590	25.5%	16.7%	57.9%	-7.6	4
1961-11-19	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1568	1695	50.7%	16.7%	32.6%	+9.4	5
1961-11-19	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1695	1568	32.6%	16.7%	50.7%	-9.4	13
1961-12-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1685	1681	65.3%	16.5%	18.3%	+15.4	16
1961-12-03	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1681	1685	18.3%	16.5%	65.3%	-15.4	12
1961-12-03	Salgueiros	W 3-0	1569	1598	62.1%	16.6%	21.3%	+17.7	8
1961-12-03	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-3	1598	1569	21.3%	16.6%	62.1%	-17.7	7
1961-12-03	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1745	1577	76.4%	15.5%	8.1%	+4.9	13
1961-12-03	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1577	1745	8.1%	15.5%	76.4%	-4.9	5
1961-12-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1711	1770	58.9%	16.7%	24.5%	-25.7	13
1961-12-03	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1770	1711	24.5%	16.7%	58.9%	+25.7	12
1961-12-03	Benfica	W 2-1	1811	1919	53.2%	16.7%	30.1%	+8.3	15
1961-12-03	@ Porto	L 1-2	1919	1811	30.1%	16.7%	53.2%	-8.3	12
1961-12-03	Leixoes	W 5-0	1957	1650	81.8%	14.3%	3.9%	+5.4	20
1961-12-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1650	1957	3.9%	14.3%	81.8%	-5.4	7
1961-12-03	Olhanense	W 2-0	1651	1467	77.1%	15.4%	7.4%	+4.5	7
1961-12-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1467	1651	7.4%	15.4%	77.1%	-4.5	9
1961-12-10	Fabril	L 0-1	1665	1749	56.0%	16.7%	27.3%	-15.0	12
1961-12-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1749	1665	27.3%	16.7%	56.0%	+15.0	16
1961-12-10	Leixoes	W 6-3	1796	1644	75.5%	15.7%	8.8%	+5.2	15
1961-12-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 3-6	1644	1796	8.8%	15.7%	75.5%	-5.2	7
1961-12-10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1910	1701	78.3%	15.2%	6.5%	+1.9	15
1961-12-10	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1701	1910	6.5%	15.2%	78.3%	-2.0	16
1961-12-10	Porto	L 0-2	1685	1819	49.8%	16.7%	33.5%	-25.4	13
1961-12-10	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1819	1685	33.5%	16.7%	49.8%	+25.4	18
1961-12-10	Beira-Mar	W 6-2	1462	1587	51.0%	16.7%	32.2%	+23.5	12
1961-12-10	@ Olhanense	L 2-6	1587	1462	32.2%	16.7%	51.0%	-23.5	8
1961-12-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1580	1963	19.1%	15.8%	65.0%	+3.0	8
1961-12-10	@ Salgueiros	D 1-1	1963	1580	65.0%	15.8%	19.1%	-3.0	21
1961-12-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-2	1572	1655	56.1%	16.7%	27.2%	+11.7	8
1961-12-10	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-4	1655	1572	27.2%	16.7%	56.1%	-11.7	7
1961-12-17	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1699	1660	68.2%	16.3%	15.5%	+4.8	19
1961-12-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1660	1699	15.5%	16.3%	68.2%	-4.8	13
1961-12-17	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1563	1584	62.9%	16.6%	20.6%	-2.7	9
1961-12-17	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1584	1563	20.6%	16.6%	62.9%	+2.7	9
1961-12-17	Benfica	L 1-3	1764	1912	47.9%	16.7%	35.4%	-21.2	16
1961-12-17	@ Fabril	W 3-1	1912	1764	35.4%	16.7%	47.9%	+21.2	18
1961-12-17	Salgueiros	W 5-0	1639	1583	69.5%	16.2%	14.2%	+19.6	10
1961-12-17	@ Leixoes	L 0-5	1583	1639	14.2%	16.2%	69.5%	-19.6	8
1961-12-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 5-0	1845	1801	68.6%	16.3%	15.1%	+20.7	21
1961-12-17	@ Porto	L 0-5	1801	1845	15.1%	16.3%	68.6%	-20.7	15
1961-12-17	Olhanense	W 4-1	1960	1486	86.0%	12.4%	1.6%	+1.1	24
1961-12-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1486	1960	1.6%	12.4%	86.0%	-1.1	12
1961-12-17	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1644	1650	64.2%	16.5%	19.3%	+16.1	10
1961-12-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1650	1644	19.3%	16.5%	64.2%	-16.1	12
1961-12-24	Beira-Mar	W 7-1	1634	1560	70.8%	16.2%	13.0%	+17.7	15
1961-12-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-7	1560	1634	13.0%	16.2%	70.8%	-17.7	9
1961-12-24	Salgueiros	W 4-0	1780	1563	78.6%	15.1%	6.3%	+7.1	18
1961-12-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1563	1780	6.3%	15.1%	78.6%	-7.1	8
1961-12-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1934	1660	80.8%	14.6%	4.6%	+1.5	21
1961-12-24	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1660	1934	4.6%	14.6%	80.8%	-1.5	10
1961-12-24	Fabril	D 0-0	1655	1743	55.5%	16.7%	27.8%	-1.9	14
1961-12-24	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1743	1655	27.8%	16.7%	55.5%	+2.0	17
1961-12-24	Leixoes	D 0-0	1485	1659	44.3%	16.7%	39.0%	-0.4	13
1961-12-24	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1659	1485	39.0%	16.7%	44.3%	+0.4	11
1961-12-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1866	1704	76.1%	15.6%	8.3%	+6.1	24
1961-12-24	@ Porto	L 1-4	1704	1866	8.3%	15.6%	76.1%	-6.1	19
1961-12-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1587	1961	19.9%	15.9%	64.2%	-11.3	9
1961-12-24	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1961	1587	64.2%	15.9%	19.9%	+11.3	27
1962-01-07	Benfica	L 2-3	1543	1935	18.3%	15.8%	65.9%	-5.0	9
1962-01-07	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-2	1935	1543	65.9%	15.8%	18.3%	+5.0	24
1962-01-07	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1787	1697	71.9%	16.1%	12.0%	-36.3	18
1962-01-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1697	1787	12.0%	16.1%	71.9%	+36.3	22
1962-01-07	Porto	W 2-1	1745	1872	50.7%	16.7%	32.5%	+8.8	20
1962-01-07	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1872	1745	32.5%	16.7%	50.7%	-8.8	24
1962-01-07	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1659	1575	71.5%	16.1%	12.4%	+3.7	14
1962-01-07	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1575	1659	12.4%	16.1%	71.5%	-3.7	9
1962-01-07	Olhanense	L 1-3	1556	1484	70.7%	16.2%	13.2%	-30.9	8
1962-01-07	@ Salgueiros	W 3-1	1484	1556	13.2%	16.2%	70.7%	+30.9	16
1962-01-07	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1972	1652	82.2%	14.1%	3.6%	+4.1	30
1962-01-07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1652	1972	3.6%	14.1%	82.2%	-4.1	15
1962-01-07	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-2	1658	1653	65.3%	16.5%	18.2%	+11.2	13
1962-01-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-5	1653	1658	18.2%	16.5%	65.3%	-11.2	14
1962-01-14	Leixoes	W 5-2	1648	1663	63.5%	16.5%	20.0%	+12.2	18
1962-01-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-5	1663	1648	20.0%	16.5%	63.5%	-12.2	14
1962-01-14	Fabril	D 0-0	1734	1754	62.9%	16.6%	20.5%	-3.1	23
1962-01-14	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1754	1734	20.5%	16.6%	62.9%	+3.1	21
1962-01-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1940	1976	61.3%	16.6%	22.1%	-1.5	25
1962-01-14	@ Benfica	D 3-3	1976	1940	22.1%	16.6%	61.3%	+1.5	31
1962-01-14	Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1642	1538	72.8%	16.0%	11.2%	+3.3	17
1962-01-14	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1538	1642	11.2%	16.0%	72.8%	-3.3	9
1962-01-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1515	1751	35.7%	16.6%	47.7%	+21.1	19
1962-01-14	@ Olhanense	L 1-3	1751	1515	47.7%	16.6%	35.7%	-21.2	18
1962-01-14	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1863	1669	77.6%	15.3%	7.1%	+6.2	27
1962-01-14	@ Porto	L 0-3	1669	1863	7.1%	15.3%	77.6%	-6.2	13
1962-01-14	Salgueiros	W 4-2	1572	1525	68.8%	16.3%	14.9%	+6.8	12
1962-01-14	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-4	1525	1572	14.9%	16.3%	68.8%	-6.8	8
1962-01-21	Salgueiros	W 8-1	1660	1518	75.0%	15.7%	9.2%	+14.7	21
1962-01-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-8	1518	1660	9.2%	15.7%	75.0%	-14.7	8
1962-01-21	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 3-3	1731	1663	70.4%	16.2%	13.5%	-2.3	24
1962-01-21	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1663	1731	13.5%	16.2%	70.4%	+2.3	14
1962-01-21	Leixoes	W 7-1	1938	1650	81.2%	14.5%	4.3%	+5.9	28
1962-01-21	@ Benfica	L 1-7	1650	1938	4.3%	14.5%	81.2%	-5.9	14
1962-01-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1757	1730	67.2%	16.4%	16.4%	+9.6	24
1962-01-21	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1730	1757	16.4%	16.4%	67.2%	-9.6	18
1962-01-21	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1645	1978	24.0%	16.2%	59.9%	-11.6	17
1962-01-21	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1978	1645	59.9%	16.2%	24.0%	+11.6	34
1962-01-21	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1869	1534	82.6%	14.0%	3.4%	+2.0	30
1962-01-21	@ Porto	L 0-2	1534	1869	3.4%	14.0%	82.6%	-2.0	9
1962-01-21	Olhanense	W 2-0	1578	1537	68.4%	16.3%	15.3%	+8.9	15
1962-01-21	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1537	1578	15.3%	16.3%	68.4%	-9.0	19
1962-02-04	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1532	1728	41.2%	16.7%	42.1%	-11.4	9
1962-02-04	@ Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1728	1532	42.1%	16.7%	41.2%	+11.4	27
1962-02-04	Sporting Covilha	W 4-2	1720	1587	74.5%	15.8%	9.7%	+4.5	21
1962-02-04	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-4	1587	1720	9.7%	15.8%	74.5%	-4.5	15
1962-02-04	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-0	1645	1634	65.8%	16.4%	17.7%	+14.9	17
1962-02-04	@ Leixoes	L 0-3	1634	1645	17.7%	16.4%	65.8%	-15.0	17
1962-02-04	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1528	1675	48.0%	16.7%	35.3%	-0.6	20
1962-02-04	@ Olhanense	D 2-2	1675	1528	35.3%	16.7%	48.0%	+0.6	22
1962-02-04	Benfica	L 4-5	1504	1944	14.5%	15.4%	70.0%	-3.8	8
1962-02-04	@ Salgueiros	W 5-4	1944	1504	70.0%	15.4%	14.5%	+3.8	31
1962-02-04	Porto	L 0-1	1989	1871	73.7%	15.9%	10.4%	-19.8	34
1962-02-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1871	1989	10.4%	15.9%	73.7%	+19.8	33
1962-02-04	Fabril	W 2-0	1666	1767	54.0%	16.7%	29.3%	+16.1	17
1962-02-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1767	1666	29.3%	16.7%	54.0%	-16.1	24
1962-02-11	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1675	1583	72.1%	16.1%	11.9%	-4.5	23
1962-02-11	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1583	1675	11.9%	16.1%	72.1%	+4.5	16
1962-02-11	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1740	1970	36.5%	16.6%	47.0%	-28.2	27
1962-02-11	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1970	1740	47.0%	16.6%	36.5%	+28.2	37
1962-02-11	Olhanense	W 4-2	1948	1527	84.9%	13.0%	2.1%	+1.0	34
1962-02-11	@ Benfica	L 2-4	1527	1948	2.1%	13.0%	84.9%	-1.0	20
1962-02-11	Beira-Mar	D 2-2	1750	1521	79.1%	15.0%	5.9%	-3.7	25
1962-02-11	@ Fabril	D 2-2	1521	1750	5.9%	15.0%	79.1%	+3.7	10
1962-02-11	Salgueiros	W 2-1	1619	1500	73.7%	15.9%	10.4%	+3.1	20
1962-02-11	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1500	1619	10.4%	15.9%	73.7%	-3.1	8
1962-02-11	Leixoes	W 3-1	1891	1660	79.2%	15.0%	5.8%	+3.0	36
1962-02-11	@ Porto	L 1-3	1660	1891	5.8%	15.0%	79.2%	-3.0	17
1962-02-11	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1682	1725	60.6%	16.6%	22.8%	-2.4	18
1962-02-11	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1725	1682	22.8%	16.6%	60.6%	+2.4	22
1962-02-18	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1525	1679	47.0%	16.7%	36.3%	+16.8	13
1962-02-18	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-3	1679	1525	36.3%	16.7%	47.0%	-16.8	18
1962-02-18	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1727	1671	69.5%	16.2%	14.2%	+8.4	25
1962-02-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1671	1727	14.2%	16.2%	69.5%	-8.4	23
1962-02-18	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1656	1712	59.3%	16.6%	24.0%	+13.6	20
1962-02-18	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1712	1656	24.0%	16.6%	59.3%	-13.6	27
1962-02-18	Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1526	1622	54.6%	16.7%	28.7%	-14.7	20
1962-02-18	@ Olhanense	W 1-0	1622	1526	28.7%	16.7%	54.6%	+14.7	23
1962-02-18	Porto	L 0-1	1497	1894	17.9%	15.7%	66.3%	-5.4	8
1962-02-18	@ Salgueiros	W 1-0	1894	1497	66.3%	15.7%	17.9%	+5.4	39
1962-02-18	Fabril	W 3-0	1998	1747	79.9%	14.8%	5.2%	+4.6	40
1962-02-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1747	1998	5.2%	14.8%	79.9%	-4.5	25
1962-02-18	Benfica	W 2-1	1587	1949	21.1%	16.0%	63.0%	+15.8	19
1962-02-18	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1949	1587	63.0%	16.0%	21.1%	-15.8	34
1962-03-04	Salgueiros	W 7-0	1698	1491	78.2%	15.2%	6.6%	+12.8	30
1962-03-04	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-7	1491	1698	6.6%	15.2%	78.2%	-12.8	8
1962-03-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1542	1735	41.5%	16.7%	41.9%	-31.5	13
1962-03-04	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1735	1542	41.9%	16.7%	41.5%	+31.5	28
1962-03-04	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-2	1933	1662	80.7%	14.6%	4.7%	+2.2	37
1962-03-04	@ Benfica	L 2-4	1662	1933	4.7%	14.6%	80.7%	-2.2	23
1962-03-04	Leixoes	W 2-1	1742	1670	70.7%	16.2%	13.1%	+3.9	28
1962-03-04	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1670	1742	13.1%	16.2%	70.7%	-3.9	20
1962-03-04	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1636	1603	67.7%	16.4%	15.9%	+13.5	26
1962-03-04	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-3	1603	1636	15.9%	16.4%	67.7%	-13.5	19
1962-03-04	Olhanense	W 4-0	1899	1511	84.1%	13.4%	2.5%	+2.8	42
1962-03-04	@ Porto	L 0-4	1511	1899	2.5%	13.4%	84.1%	-2.8	20
1962-03-04	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1663	2002	23.2%	16.1%	60.7%	-11.3	18
1962-03-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	2002	1663	60.7%	16.1%	23.2%	+11.3	43
1962-03-11	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1660	1650	65.8%	16.4%	17.8%	+10.3	26
1962-03-11	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1650	1660	17.8%	16.4%	65.8%	-10.3	26
1962-03-11	Benfica	D 2-2	1767	1936	45.1%	16.7%	38.2%	-0.3	29
1962-03-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1936	1767	38.2%	16.7%	45.1%	+0.3	38
1962-03-11	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1666	1651	66.2%	16.4%	17.4%	-15.8	20
1962-03-11	@ Leixoes	W 3-2	1651	1666	17.4%	16.4%	66.2%	+15.8	21
1962-03-11	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1509	1711	40.3%	16.6%	43.1%	+19.4	23
1962-03-11	@ Olhanense	L 1-3	1711	1509	43.1%	16.6%	40.3%	-19.3	30
1962-03-11	Fabril	L 0-2	1479	1746	31.6%	16.4%	52.0%	-17.1	8
1962-03-11	@ Salgueiros	W 2-0	1746	1479	52.0%	16.4%	31.6%	+17.1	31
1962-03-11	Beira-Mar	W 2-1	2014	1510	86.6%	12.0%	1.4%	+0.4	46
1962-03-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1510	2014	1.4%	12.0%	86.6%	-0.4	13
1962-03-11	Porto	L 1-4	1590	1902	26.2%	16.2%	57.6%	-17.8	19
1962-03-11	@ Sporting Covilha	W 4-1	1902	1590	57.6%	16.2%	26.2%	+17.8	45
1962-03-18	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1691	1572	73.8%	15.9%	10.3%	+3.1	33
1962-03-18	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1572	1691	10.3%	15.9%	73.8%	-3.1	19
1962-03-18	Leixoes	W 3-1	1510	1650	48.9%	16.7%	34.4%	+16.0	16
1962-03-18	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-3	1650	1510	34.4%	16.7%	48.9%	-16.0	20
1962-03-18	Olhanense	W 4-3	1763	1528	79.3%	15.0%	5.7%	+1.6	34
1962-03-18	@ Fabril	L 3-4	1528	1763	5.7%	15.0%	79.3%	-1.6	23
1962-03-18	Benfica	L 0-1	1640	1936	28.0%	16.3%	55.6%	-8.2	26
1962-03-18	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1936	1640	55.6%	16.3%	28.0%	+8.2	41
1962-03-18	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1920	1671	79.9%	14.8%	5.3%	+1.7	48
1962-03-18	@ Porto	L 0-1	1671	1920	5.3%	14.8%	79.9%	-1.7	26
1962-03-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	2014	1767	79.8%	14.9%	5.3%	+2.8	49
1962-03-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1767	2014	5.3%	14.9%	79.8%	-2.8	29
1962-03-18	Salgueiros	W 6-1	1667	1462	78.1%	15.2%	6.6%	+7.7	24
1962-03-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-6	1462	1667	6.6%	15.2%	78.1%	-7.7	8
1962-04-01	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1669	1695	62.4%	16.6%	21.0%	-2.0	27
1962-04-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1695	1669	21.0%	16.6%	62.4%	+2.0	34
1962-04-01	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1764	1632	74.5%	15.8%	9.7%	+3.1	32
1962-04-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1632	1764	9.7%	15.8%	74.5%	-3.1	26
1962-04-01	Porto	D 1-1	1944	1922	66.8%	16.4%	16.8%	-3.3	42
1962-04-01	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1922	1944	16.8%	16.4%	66.8%	+3.3	49
1962-04-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1634	2017	19.1%	15.8%	65.0%	+16.3	23
1962-04-01	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	2017	1634	65.0%	15.8%	19.1%	-16.3	49
1962-04-01	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1526	1675	47.8%	16.7%	35.5%	+10.1	26
1962-04-01	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1675	1526	35.5%	16.7%	47.8%	-10.1	24
1962-04-01	Beira-Mar	L 0-4	1454	1526	57.4%	16.7%	25.9%	-55.0	8
1962-04-01	@ Salgueiros	W 4-0	1526	1454	25.9%	16.7%	57.4%	+55.0	19
1962-04-01	Fabril	L 0-2	1569	1765	41.2%	16.7%	42.2%	-21.5	19
1962-04-01	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1765	1569	42.2%	16.7%	41.2%	+21.5	37
1962-04-08	Benfica	L 0-3	1697	1941	34.5%	16.5%	48.9%	-26.9	34
1962-04-08	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1941	1697	48.9%	16.5%	34.5%	+26.9	45
1962-04-08	Olhanense	W 1-0	1581	1536	68.6%	16.3%	15.1%	+4.7	22
1962-04-08	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1536	1581	15.1%	16.3%	68.6%	-4.7	26
1962-04-08	Academica de Coimbra	W 6-2	1786	1667	73.8%	15.9%	10.3%	+8.3	40
1962-04-08	@ Fabril	L 2-6	1667	1786	10.3%	15.9%	73.8%	-8.3	27
1962-04-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1651	1767	52.0%	16.7%	31.2%	-1.3	24
1962-04-08	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1767	1651	31.2%	16.7%	52.0%	+1.3	33
1962-04-08	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-0	1925	1628	81.5%	14.4%	4.1%	+4.7	52
1962-04-08	@ Porto	L 0-4	1628	1925	4.1%	14.4%	81.5%	-4.7	26
1962-04-08	Salgueiros	W 6-0	2001	1399	88.4%	10.7%	0.8%	+1.2	52
1962-04-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1399	2001	0.8%	10.7%	88.4%	-1.2	8
1962-04-08	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1665	1547	73.7%	15.9%	10.5%	+5.4	27
1962-04-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1547	1665	10.5%	15.9%	73.7%	-5.4	19
1962-04-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1659	1670	63.8%	16.5%	19.7%	+16.5	30
1962-04-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1670	1659	19.7%	16.5%	63.8%	-16.5	27
1962-04-15	Porto	D 3-3	1768	1929	46.1%	16.7%	37.2%	-0.3	34
1962-04-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 3-3	1929	1768	37.2%	16.7%	46.1%	+0.3	53
1962-04-15	Fabril	D 1-1	1968	1795	76.6%	15.5%	7.9%	-4.7	46
1962-04-15	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1795	1968	7.9%	15.5%	76.6%	+4.7	41
1962-04-15	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1624	1670	60.3%	16.6%	23.1%	-16.1	26
1962-04-15	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1670	1624	23.1%	16.6%	60.3%	+16.1	37
1962-04-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1532	2002	12.6%	15.2%	72.2%	+4.0	27
1962-04-15	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	2002	1532	72.2%	15.2%	12.6%	-3.9	53
1962-04-15	Leixoes	L 0-4	1398	1649	33.6%	16.5%	49.9%	-34.3	8
1962-04-15	@ Salgueiros	W 4-0	1649	1398	49.9%	16.5%	33.6%	+34.3	27
1962-04-15	Beira-Mar	L 3-4	1542	1585	60.6%	16.6%	22.8%	-14.1	19
1962-04-15	@ Sporting Covilha	W 4-3	1585	1542	22.8%	16.6%	60.6%	+14.1	25
1962-05-13	Porto	L 1-4	1686	1930	34.6%	16.5%	48.9%	-22.7	37
1962-05-13	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1930	1686	48.9%	16.5%	34.6%	+22.7	56
1962-05-13	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1600	1675	57.0%	16.7%	26.3%	-1.9	26
1962-05-13	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1675	1600	26.3%	16.7%	57.0%	+1.9	31
1962-05-13	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1799	1608	77.5%	15.3%	7.1%	+3.7	44
1962-05-13	@ Fabril	L 1-3	1608	1799	7.1%	15.3%	77.5%	-3.7	26
1962-05-13	Olhanense	W 2-0	1684	1536	75.4%	15.7%	8.9%	+5.4	30
1962-05-13	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1536	1684	8.9%	15.7%	75.4%	-5.4	27
1962-05-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1363	1768	17.3%	15.7%	67.0%	-14.4	8
1962-05-13	@ Salgueiros	W 3-0	1768	1363	67.0%	15.7%	17.3%	+14.4	37
1962-05-13	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1998	1528	86.0%	12.4%	1.6%	+1.4	56
1962-05-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1528	1998	1.6%	12.4%	86.0%	-1.4	19
1962-05-13	Benfica	D 2-2	1654	1963	26.5%	16.3%	57.2%	+1.4	28
1962-05-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1963	1654	57.2%	16.3%	26.5%	-1.4	47
1962-05-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1677	1999	25.1%	16.2%	58.7%	-20.3	31
1962-05-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1999	1677	58.7%	16.2%	25.1%	+20.3	59
1962-05-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1663	1782	51.7%	16.7%	31.6%	-38.1	37
1962-05-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1782	1663	31.6%	16.7%	51.7%	+38.2	40
1962-05-20	Beira-Mar	W 8-1	1962	1598	83.5%	13.7%	2.9%	+4.5	50
1962-05-20	@ Benfica	L 1-8	1598	1962	2.9%	13.7%	83.5%	-4.5	26
1962-05-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1604	1655	59.7%	16.6%	23.6%	+16.3	29
1962-05-20	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-4	1655	1604	23.6%	16.6%	59.7%	-16.4	28
1962-05-20	Salgueiros	W 2-0	1530	1349	77.0%	15.4%	7.5%	+4.5	30
1962-05-20	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1349	1530	7.5%	15.4%	77.0%	-4.5	8
1962-05-20	Fabril	W 5-0	1952	1803	75.4%	15.7%	8.9%	+12.5	59
1962-05-20	@ Porto	L 0-5	1803	1952	8.9%	15.7%	75.4%	-12.5	44
1962-05-20	Leixoes	W 2-1	1526	1689	45.9%	16.7%	37.4%	+9.9	22
1962-05-20	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1689	1526	37.4%	16.7%	45.9%	-9.9	30
1962-05-27	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-0	1593	1620	62.3%	16.6%	21.2%	+23.0	29
1962-05-27	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-4	1620	1593	21.2%	16.6%	62.3%	-23.0	29
1962-05-27	Olhanense	W 1-0	1820	1535	81.1%	14.5%	4.4%	+1.4	43
1962-05-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1535	1820	4.4%	14.5%	81.1%	-1.4	30
1962-05-27	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1791	1625	76.3%	15.6%	8.2%	+7.1	47
1962-05-27	@ Fabril	L 0-3	1625	1791	8.2%	15.6%	76.3%	-7.1	37
1962-05-27	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-0	1679	1657	66.8%	16.4%	16.8%	+22.9	33
1962-05-27	@ Leixoes	L 0-5	1657	1679	16.8%	16.4%	66.8%	-22.9	31
1962-05-27	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1344	1536	41.8%	16.7%	41.6%	-0.0	9
1962-05-27	@ Salgueiros	D 1-1	1536	1344	41.6%	16.7%	41.8%	+0.0	23
1962-05-27	Benfica	W 3-1	2020	1966	69.3%	16.3%	14.4%	+7.4	62
1962-05-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1966	2020	14.4%	16.3%	69.3%	-7.3	50
1962-05-27	Porto	W 1-0	1639	1965	24.7%	16.2%	59.2%	+15.8	31
1962-05-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1965	1639	59.2%	16.2%	24.7%	-15.8	59

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1961-10-01	4.60%	Olhanense	1446	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1722	1
2	1962-02-04	10.41%	Porto	1871	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1989	0
3	1961-10-29	10.59%	Beira-Mar	1557	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1672	2
4	1962-01-07	12.03%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1697	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1787	0
5	1962-01-07	13.17%	Olhanense	1484	3	@ Salgueiros	1556	1
6	1961-09-24	13.84%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1642	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1703	1
7	1962-03-11	17.39%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1651	3	@ Leixoes	1666	2
8	1962-04-01	19.13%	@ Leixoes	1634	2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2017	1
9	1962-02-18	21.05%	@ Sporting Covilha	1587	2	Benfica	1949	1
10	1962-04-15	22.84%	Beira-Mar	1585	4	@ Sporting Covilha	1542	3
11	1962-04-15	23.07%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1670	1	@ Lusitano de Evora	1624	0
12	1961-12-03	24.46%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1770	3	@ Lusitano de Evora	1711	1
13	1962-05-27	24.67%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1639	1	Porto	1965	0
14	1962-04-01	25.89%	Beira-Mar	1526	4	@ Salgueiros	1454	0
15	1961-11-19	25.95%	Porto	1782	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1710	0
16	1961-11-05	27.08%	Lusitano de Evora	1668	2	@ Sporting Covilha	1586	1
17	1961-12-10	27.28%	Fabril	1749	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1665	0
18	1961-10-01	27.63%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1891	2	@ Porto	1804	0
19	1961-09-24	28.13%	Academica de Coimbra	1708	2	@ Salgueiros	1617	1
20	1962-02-18	28.68%	Lusitano de Evora	1622	1	@ Olhanense	1526	0
21	1961-10-15	30.12%	Academica de Coimbra	1701	2	@ Sporting Covilha	1594	1
22	1962-05-20	31.61%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1782	3	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1663	0
23	1961-10-15	33.36%	Fabril	1727	3	@ Beira-Mar	1594	0
24	1961-12-10	33.54%	Porto	1819	2	@ Lusitano de Evora	1685	0
25	1961-12-17	35.39%	Benfica	1912	3	@ Fabril	1764	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1962-04-01	55.03	Beira-Mar	4	1526	25.89%	@ Salgueiros	0	1454	57.44%
2	1962-05-20	38.15	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1782	31.61%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1663	51.68%
3	1961-10-15	36.97	Fabril	3	1727	33.36%	@ Beira-Mar	0	1594	49.93%
4	1962-01-07	36.34	Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	1697	12.03%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1787	71.91%
5	1962-04-15	34.30	Leixoes	4	1649	49.94%	@ Salgueiros	0	1398	33.55%
6	1961-11-12	32.30	@ Lusitano de Evora	5	1682	58.80%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1742	24.55%
7	1962-03-04	31.46	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1735	41.87%	@ Beira-Mar	0	1542	41.48%
8	1962-01-07	30.91	Olhanense	3	1484	13.17%	@ Salgueiros	1	1556	70.66%
9	1961-09-24	30.59	Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	1642	13.84%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1703	69.94%
10	1961-11-19	28.98	Porto	2	1782	25.95%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1710	57.38%
11	1962-02-11	28.20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1970	46.97%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1740	36.46%
12	1961-10-01	28.16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1891	27.63%	@ Porto	0	1804	55.68%
13	1962-04-08	26.92	Benfica	3	1941	48.94%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1697	34.53%
14	1961-12-03	25.74	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1770	24.46%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1	1711	58.90%
15	1961-12-10	25.37	Porto	2	1819	33.54%	@ Lusitano de Evora	0	1685	49.75%
16	1961-12-10	23.50	@ Olhanense	6	1462	51.05%	Beira-Mar	2	1587	32.24%
17	1961-10-01	23.13	@ Lusitano de Evora	4	1651	62.07%	Leixoes	0	1679	21.35%
18	1962-05-27	22.97	@ Beira-Mar	4	1593	62.25%	Lusitano de Evora	0	1620	21.18%
19	1962-05-27	22.87	@ Leixoes	5	1679	66.83%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1657	16.77%
20	1962-05-13	22.71	Porto	4	1930	48.91%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1	1686	34.56%
21	1962-04-01	21.53	Fabril	2	1765	42.17%	@ Sporting Covilha	0	1569	41.18%
22	1961-12-17	21.24	Benfica	3	1912	35.39%	@ Fabril	1	1764	47.90%
23	1962-01-14	21.15	@ Olhanense	3	1515	35.70%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1751	47.74%
24	1961-12-17	20.74	@ Porto	5	1845	68.59%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1801	15.10%
25	1961-10-29	20.48	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1926	37.34%	@ Fabril	1	1764	45.96%