1962-63 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

48 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

8.90 points above expected

48 points · 39.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fabril

8.74 points below expected

18 points · 26.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	23	2	1	48	81	25	+56	39.1	+8.90
2	Porto	26	19	4	3	42	61	24	+37	37.8	+4.25
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	18	2	6	38	71	31	+40	39.5	-1.53
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	16	4	6	36	47	30	+17	30.7	+5.28
5	Leixoes	26	10	10	6	30	34	33	+1	27.6	+2.42
6	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	12	3	11	27	47	43	+4	25.4	+1.55
7	Lusitano de Evora	26	9	5	12	23	33	41	-8	23.2	-0.25
8	Olhanense	26	7	7	12	21	29	38	-9	20.9	+0.09
9	Vitoria Setubal	26	6	8	12	20	33	39	-6	16.8	+3.19
10	Academica de Coimbra	26	8	3	15	19	49	50	-1	24.7	-5.74
11	Fabril	26	6	6	14	18	37	40	-3	26.7	-8.74
12	Barreirense	26	5	8	13	18	20	56	-36	17.6	+0.35
13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	8	1	17	17	33	65	-32	18.2	-1.24
14	Feirense	26	3	1	22	7	21	81	-60	15.5	-8.53

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	2066	48	39.10	+8.90	100.0%	27	33	37	39	42	45	48
Porto	1969	42	37.75	+4.25	91.0%	29	31	35	37	40	44	46
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1963	38	39.53	-1.53	38.0%	30	32	37	40	42	45	48
Os Belenenses (1st)	1868	36	30.72	+5.28	93.0%	23	25	28	30	34	37	43
Leixoes	1772	30	27.58	+2.42	73.0%	18	21	25	27	31	34	37
Vitoria Guimaraes	1762	27	25.45	+1.55	69.0%	13	19	23	25	29	32	35
Fabril	1676	18	26.74	-8.74	3.0%	18	19	24	27	30	32	38
Lusitano de Evora	1629	23	23.25	-0.25	59.0%	15	16	20	23	26	30	33
Academica de Coimbra	1616	19	24.74	-5.74	7.0%	12	18	22	25	27	31	33
Olhanense	1613	21	20.91	+0.09	56.0%	12	14	18	21	23	27	30
Barreirense	1557	18	17.65	+0.35	65.0%	8	11	16	18	19	23	32
Vitoria Setubal	1544	20	16.81	+3.19	80.0%	9	11	14	17	19	23	25
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1516	17	18.24	-1.24	44.0%	9	11	15	18	20	26	29
Feirense	1393	7	15.53	-8.53	0.0%	8	10	12	15	18	21	27

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BAR	BEN	FAB	FEI	LEI	LDE	OLH	OB(	POR	SCDP	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-0-1 3.66	1-0-1 3.83	0-0-2 1.15	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 3.92	0-2-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.98	1-0-1 3.24	0-0-2 1.74	0-0-2 1.31	1-0-1 1.24	0-0-2 2.62	2-0-0 3.87
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 1.98	—	1-0-1 2.93	0-0-2 0.67	1-0-1 2.03	1-0-1 3.48	1-1-0 1.67	0-0-2 2.11	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 1.79	0-0-2 0.92	0-0-2 0.80	1-0-1 1.83	1-0-1 2.93
Barreirense	1-0-1 1.81	1-0-1 2.71	—	0-0-2 0.71	1-1-0 1.65	1-1-0 3.09	0-2-0 1.82	0-2-0 2.06	1-0-1 2.03	0-0-2 1.14	0-1-1 0.72	0-0-2 0.70	0-0-2 2.06	0-1-1 3.13
Benfica	2-0-0 4.51	2-0-0 5.02	2-0-0 4.99	—	2-0-0 4.27	2-0-0 5.12	1-1-0 4.25	2-0-0 4.78	1-1-0 4.67	2-0-0 3.56	1-0-1 2.91	2-0-0 2.88	2-0-0 4.39	2-0-0 5.00
Fabril	1-0-1 3.35	1-0-1 3.63	0-1-1 4.00	0-0-2 1.38	—	2-0-0 3.95	0-1-1 2.65	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.46	0-1-1 2.62	0-0-2 1.67	0-0-2 1.38	0-2-0 2.79	0-0-2 4.04
Feirense	1-0-1 1.73	1-0-1 2.16	0-1-1 2.55	0-0-2 0.58	0-0-2 1.71	—	0-0-2 1.12	0-0-2 1.73	1-0-1 2.05	0-0-2 1.35	0-0-2 0.78	0-0-2 0.66	0-0-2 1.98	0-0-2 2.35
Leixoes	0-2-0 3.16	0-1-1 3.98	0-2-0 3.83	0-1-1 1.41	1-1-0 2.98	2-0-0 4.54	—	1-1-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.64	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 1.26	1-0-1 1.43	1-1-0 2.81	1-1-0 3.96
Lusitano de Evora	1-1-0 2.67	2-0-0 3.53	0-2-0 3.58	0-0-2 0.89	1-0-1 2.45	2-0-0 3.92	0-1-1 2.59	—	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 1.77	0-0-2 1.11	0-0-2 1.12	0-0-2 2.56	1-1-0 3.82
Olhanense	1-0-1 2.40	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 3.61	0-1-1 1.00	0-1-1 2.18	1-0-1 3.59	1-0-1 2.00	1-0-1 2.48	—	0-1-1 1.63	0-1-1 1.14	0-1-1 0.96	1-0-1 2.12	0-2-0 3.51
Os Belenenses (1st)	2-0-0 3.91	2-0-0 3.87	2-0-0 4.52	0-0-2 2.08	1-1-0 3.02	2-0-0 4.31	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.88	1-1-0 4.02	—	0-1-1 1.95	1-0-1 1.78	2-0-0 3.23	1-1-0 4.35
Porto	2-0-0 4.35	2-0-0 4.78	1-1-0 4.96	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 3.98	2-0-0 4.90	1-0-1 4.40	2-0-0 4.55	1-1-0 4.53	1-1-0 3.70	—	1-0-1 2.63	2-0-0 4.12	1-1-0 4.92
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 4.43	2-0-0 4.88	2-0-0 4.98	0-0-2 2.75	2-0-0 4.28	2-0-0 5.03	1-0-1 4.23	2-0-0 4.54	1-1-0 4.71	1-0-1 3.87	1-0-1 3.01	—	2-0-0 4.29	1-1-0 4.97
Vitoria Guimaraes	2-0-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.82	2-0-0 3.59	0-0-2 1.27	0-2-0 2.85	2-0-0 3.67	0-1-1 2.82	2-0-0 3.08	1-0-1 3.52	0-0-2 2.41	0-0-2 1.53	0-0-2 1.37	—	2-0-0 3.83
Vitoria Setubal	0-0-2 1.77	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 2.52	0-0-2 0.69	2-0-0 1.61	2-0-0 3.29	0-1-1 1.69	0-1-1 1.82	0-2-0 2.13	0-1-1 1.31	0-1-1 0.77	0-1-1 0.72	0-0-2 1.81	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.49%	6.87%	5.22%	3.30%	1.37%	3.30%	25.55%
1	6.87%	8.79%	7.97%	4.67%	1.37%	2.20%	31.87%
2	5.22%	7.97%	1.65%	2.20%	0.82%	0.55%	18.41%
3	3.30%	4.67%	2.20%	1.65%	0.82%	0.55%	13.19%
4	1.37%	1.37%	0.82%	0.82%	—	—	4.40%
5+	3.30%	2.20%	0.55%	0.55%	—	—	6.59%
Total	25.55%	31.87%	18.41%	13.19%	4.40%	6.59%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	1.59
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.175
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	—	7.69%	42.31%
2	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
3	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	11.54%	—	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	23.08%	30.77%	23.08%	—	7.69%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	2.34
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.432
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	19.23%	11.54%	—	11.54%	46.15%
1	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
2	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	3.85%	23.08%	34.62%	19.23%	—	19.23%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.130
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	46.15%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	15.38%	—	7.69%	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	19.23%	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	2.15
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	2.39
Mean total goals/game	2.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.241
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
2	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
4	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
Total	34.62%	42.31%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.12
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	1.88
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	4.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.281
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	—	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	34.62%	23.08%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.385
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	11.54%	34.62%
1	3.85%	—	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	50.00%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	7.69%	26.92%	15.38%	15.38%	23.08%	100%

Feirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.81
Mean allowed	3.12
StdDev scored	0.69
StdDev allowed	2.12
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.256
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	15.38%	26.92%	3.85%	—	—	—	46.15%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	38.46%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.078
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	19.23%	—	—	—	7.69%	38.46%
1	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	42.31%	19.23%	11.54%	—	7.69%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.059
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	19.23%	19.23%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Olhanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.102
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	38.46%
2	—	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	50.00%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.150
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	38.46%	38.46%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.35
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.262
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
Total	26.92%	50.00%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.73
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	1.91
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.006
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
3	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	38.46%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.336
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	3.85%	—	11.54%	—	—	30.77%
1	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	19.23%	19.23%	30.77%	—	—	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.064
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Benfica	48	39.1	+8.90
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	36	30.7	+5.28
3	Porto	42	37.8	+4.25
4	Vitoria Setubal	20	16.8	+3.19
5	Leixoes	30	27.6	+2.42

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fabril	18	26.7	-8.74
2	Feirense	7	15.5	-8.53
3	Academica de Coimbra	19	24.7	-5.74
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	38	39.5	-1.53
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	17	18.2	-1.24

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	10	Feb 24 – May 12	1 in 141
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	7	Feb 24 – Apr 7	1 in 87
3	Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	May 5 – May 12	1 in 28
4	Porto	8	Dec 30 – Feb 17	1 in 25
5	Lusitano de Evora	3	Jan 6 – Jan 20	1 in 24

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fabril	5	Nov 25 – Dec 30	1 in 313
2	Academica de Coimbra	7	Jan 6 – Feb 17	1 in 272
3	Feirense	7	Oct 21 – Dec 9	1 in 66
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	6	Jan 20 – Feb 24	1 in 38
5	Benfica	1	Nov 18 – Nov 18	1 in 5

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	22	Nov 25 – May 12	1 in 66
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	12	Feb 10 – May 12	1 in 47
3	Leixoes	6	Oct 21 – Dec 2	1 in 33
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	Apr 28 – May 12	1 in 24
5	Vitoria Setubal	3	Dec 9 – Dec 30	1 in 23

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lusitano de Evora	8	Mar 10 – May 12	1 in 40
2	Fabril	5	Nov 25 – Dec 30	1 in 24
3	Academica de Coimbra	7	Jan 6 – Feb 17	1 in 22
4	Leixoes	4	Mar 24 – Apr 28	1 in 20
5	Olhanense	6	Oct 21 – Dec 2	1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	36.00%	36.00%	24.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	20.00%	34.00%	37.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	43.00%	27.00%	25.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	37.00%	21.00%	16.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Leixoes	—	—	2.00%	18.00%	19.00%	16.00%	20.00%	17.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	2.00%	9.00%	12.00%	17.00%	22.00%	11.00%	12.00%	10.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Lusitano de Evora	—	—	—	1.00%	11.00%	11.00%	10.00%	11.00%	22.00%	13.00%	13.00%	3.00%	5.00%	—
Olhanense	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	12.00%	18.00%	20.00%	14.00%	13.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	8.00%	3.00%	8.00%	21.00%	13.00%	23.00%	23.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	—	7.00%	12.00%	13.00%	16.00%	17.00%	19.00%	8.00%	1.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Fabril	—	—	1.00%	14.00%	18.00%	17.00%	16.00%	14.00%	6.00%	9.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—
Barreirense	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	7.00%	8.00%	19.00%	22.00%	24.00%	16.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	15.00%	13.00%	25.00%	14.00%	18.00%
Feirense	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	11.00%	17.00%	24.00%	37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Fabril	99.0%	1.0%
Leixoes	99.0%	1.0%
Academica de Coimbra	98.0%	2.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	98.0%	2.0%
Lusitano de Evora	95.0%	5.0%
Olhanense	90.0%	10.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	68.0%	32.0%
Barreirense	60.0%	40.0%
Vitoria Setubal	54.0%	46.0%
Feirense	39.0%	61.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1962-10-21	Olhanense	W 1-0	1670	1603	64.8%	17.8%	17.4%	+6.3	3
1962-10-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1603	1670	17.4%	17.8%	64.8%	-6.3	0
1962-10-21	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1596	1484	68.4%	17.6%	14.0%	-4.7	1
1962-10-21	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1484	1596	14.0%	17.6%	68.4%	+4.7	1
1962-10-21	Benfica	L 1-4	1797	1886	47.3%	18.2%	34.5%	-34.7	0
1962-10-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-1	1886	1797	34.5%	18.2%	47.3%	+34.7	3
1962-10-21	Fabril	W 3-1	1647	1777	41.5%	18.1%	40.4%	+21.4	3
1962-10-21	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1777	1647	40.4%	18.1%	41.5%	-21.4	0
1962-10-21	Feirense	W 3-1	1886	1601	78.1%	16.1%	5.8%	+3.5	3
1962-10-21	@ Porto	L 1-3	1601	1886	5.8%	16.1%	78.1%	-3.6	0
1962-10-21	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-3	1936	1659	77.8%	16.2%	6.0%	+3.1	3
1962-10-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 3-5	1659	1936	6.0%	16.2%	77.8%	-3.1	0
1962-10-21	Leixoes	D 1-1	1685	1716	54.8%	18.1%	27.1%	-2.0	1
1962-10-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1716	1685	27.1%	18.1%	54.8%	+2.0	1
1962-10-28	Barreirense	W 3-1	1656	1591	64.6%	17.8%	17.6%	+10.5	3
1962-10-28	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1591	1656	17.6%	17.8%	64.6%	-10.5	1
1962-10-28	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1921	1677	76.3%	16.5%	7.1%	+8.0	6
1962-10-28	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1677	1921	7.1%	16.5%	76.3%	-8.0	3
1962-10-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1598	1683	47.7%	18.2%	34.1%	-24.7	0
1962-10-28	@ Feirense	W 3-1	1683	1598	34.1%	18.2%	47.7%	+24.7	4
1962-10-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1756	1762	57.5%	18.1%	24.4%	-2.4	1
1962-10-28	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1762	1756	24.4%	18.1%	57.5%	+2.4	1
1962-10-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1718	1939	29.3%	17.9%	52.8%	+16.5	4
1962-10-28	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1939	1718	52.8%	17.9%	29.3%	-16.5	3
1962-10-28	Porto	D 3-3	1597	1890	21.5%	17.5%	60.9%	+1.8	1
1962-10-28	@ Olhanense	D 3-3	1890	1597	60.9%	17.5%	21.5%	-1.8	4
1962-10-28	Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1489	1668	34.8%	18.1%	47.2%	+1.0	2
1962-10-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1668	1489	47.2%	18.1%	34.8%	-1.0	4
1962-11-11	Fabril	W 4-1	1669	1754	47.8%	18.2%	34.0%	+26.3	6
1962-11-11	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1754	1669	34.0%	18.2%	47.8%	-26.3	1
1962-11-11	Leixoes	D 1-1	1581	1734	38.2%	18.1%	43.6%	+0.4	2
1962-11-11	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1734	1581	43.6%	18.1%	38.2%	-0.4	5
1962-11-11	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1765	1490	77.7%	16.2%	6.1%	+3.8	4
1962-11-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1490	1765	6.1%	16.2%	77.7%	-3.8	2
1962-11-11	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1667	1666	58.3%	18.1%	23.6%	+13.6	7
1962-11-11	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1666	1667	23.6%	18.1%	58.3%	-13.6	3
1962-11-11	Benfica	L 0-1	1599	1929	18.1%	17.3%	64.6%	-6.5	1
1962-11-11	@ Olhanense	W 1-0	1929	1599	64.6%	17.3%	18.1%	+6.5	9
1962-11-11	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1888	1708	73.0%	17.1%	9.9%	+3.5	7
1962-11-11	@ Porto	L 1-2	1708	1888	9.9%	17.1%	73.0%	-3.5	4
1962-11-11	Feirense	W 7-0	1923	1573	80.5%	15.4%	4.1%	+9.3	6
1962-11-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-7	1573	1923	4.1%	15.4%	80.5%	-9.3	0
1962-11-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1652	1769	43.5%	18.2%	38.3%	-13.2	3
1962-11-18	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1769	1652	38.3%	18.2%	43.5%	+13.2	7
1962-11-18	Porto	L 1-2	1935	1891	62.7%	17.9%	19.4%	-18.4	9
1962-11-18	@ Benfica	W 2-1	1891	1935	19.4%	17.9%	62.7%	+18.4	10
1962-11-18	Barreirense	L 1-2	1564	1581	56.3%	18.1%	25.6%	-16.6	0
1962-11-18	@ Feirense	W 2-1	1581	1564	25.6%	18.1%	56.3%	+16.6	5
1962-11-18	Olhanense	W 2-1	1727	1592	70.1%	17.4%	12.4%	+4.4	4
1962-11-18	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1592	1727	12.4%	17.4%	70.1%	-4.4	1
1962-11-18	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1734	1681	63.6%	17.9%	18.6%	-3.4	6
1962-11-18	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1681	1734	18.6%	17.9%	63.6%	+3.4	8
1962-11-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1705	1932	28.6%	17.9%	53.5%	-9.8	4
1962-11-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1932	1705	53.5%	17.9%	28.6%	+9.8	9
1962-11-18	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1486	1695	30.9%	18.0%	51.1%	-9.4	2
1962-11-18	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1695	1486	51.1%	18.0%	30.9%	+9.4	9
1962-11-25	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 6-0	1704	1639	64.6%	17.8%	17.5%	+33.4	12
1962-11-25	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-6	1639	1704	17.5%	17.8%	64.6%	-33.4	3
1962-11-25	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1598	1695	46.2%	18.2%	35.6%	-24.0	5
1962-11-25	@ Barreirense	W 3-1	1695	1598	35.6%	18.2%	46.2%	+24.0	7
1962-11-25	Leixoes	L 0-1	1782	1730	63.4%	17.9%	18.7%	-19.8	7
1962-11-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1730	1782	18.7%	17.9%	63.4%	+19.8	9
1962-11-25	Fabril	W 3-1	1917	1732	73.3%	17.0%	9.7%	+5.9	12
1962-11-25	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1732	1917	9.7%	17.0%	73.3%	-5.9	4
1962-11-25	Feirense	W 2-1	1684	1547	70.3%	17.4%	12.3%	+4.3	11
1962-11-25	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1547	1684	12.3%	17.4%	70.3%	-4.3	0
1962-11-25	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1588	1477	68.4%	17.6%	14.0%	-4.7	2
1962-11-25	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1477	1588	14.0%	17.6%	68.4%	+4.7	3
1962-11-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1910	1942	54.5%	18.1%	27.3%	-27.9	10
1962-11-25	@ Porto	W 3-1	1942	1910	27.3%	18.1%	54.5%	+27.9	12
1962-12-02	Olhanense	W 2-1	1606	1583	60.6%	18.0%	21.4%	+7.2	6
1962-12-02	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1583	1606	21.4%	18.0%	60.6%	-7.2	2
1962-12-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1543	1762	29.6%	17.9%	52.5%	-16.5	0
1962-12-02	@ Feirense	W 3-1	1762	1543	52.5%	17.9%	29.6%	+16.5	10
1962-12-02	Porto	L 1-2	1726	1882	37.9%	18.1%	44.0%	-11.7	4
1962-12-02	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1882	1726	44.0%	18.1%	37.9%	+11.7	13
1962-12-02	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1750	1738	59.5%	18.0%	22.4%	-2.7	10
1962-12-02	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1738	1750	22.4%	18.0%	59.5%	+2.7	13
1962-12-02	Barreirense	W 2-0	1970	1574	81.9%	14.9%	3.2%	+2.2	15
1962-12-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1574	1970	3.2%	14.9%	81.9%	-2.2	5
1962-12-02	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1719	1688	61.4%	17.9%	20.7%	+7.0	10
1962-12-02	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1688	1719	20.7%	17.9%	61.4%	-7.0	11
1962-12-02	Benfica	L 0-3	1482	1923	10.5%	16.4%	73.1%	-10.6	3
1962-12-02	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1923	1482	73.1%	16.4%	10.5%	+10.6	15
1962-12-09	Feirense	W 8-0	1740	1526	74.9%	16.8%	8.3%	+21.6	16
1962-12-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-8	1526	1740	8.3%	16.8%	74.9%	-21.6	0
1962-12-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 6-0	1779	1726	63.5%	17.9%	18.6%	+35.3	13
1962-12-09	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-6	1726	1779	18.6%	17.9%	63.5%	-35.3	10
1962-12-09	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1933	1613	79.5%	15.8%	4.8%	+3.4	18
1962-12-09	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1613	1933	4.8%	15.8%	79.5%	-3.4	6
1962-12-09	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1714	1471	76.3%	16.5%	7.2%	-23.8	4
1962-12-09	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1471	1714	7.2%	16.5%	76.3%	+23.8	6
1962-12-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1681	1972	21.7%	17.6%	60.7%	-7.7	11
1962-12-09	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1972	1681	60.7%	17.6%	21.7%	+7.7	18
1962-12-09	Leixoes	W 2-0	1576	1747	35.8%	18.1%	46.1%	+27.7	5
1962-12-09	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1747	1576	46.1%	18.1%	35.8%	-27.7	10
1962-12-09	Barreirense	W 3-0	1894	1571	79.5%	15.7%	4.8%	+4.9	16
1962-12-09	@ Porto	L 0-3	1571	1894	4.8%	15.7%	79.5%	-4.9	5
1962-12-16	Fabril	W 3-2	1610	1690	48.4%	18.2%	33.4%	+10.0	9
1962-12-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1690	1610	33.4%	18.2%	48.4%	-10.0	4
1962-12-16	Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1566	1674	44.8%	18.2%	37.0%	-0.6	6
1962-12-16	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1674	1566	37.0%	18.2%	44.8%	+0.6	12
1962-12-16	Olhanense	W 1-0	1505	1604	45.9%	18.2%	35.9%	+11.9	3
1962-12-16	@ Feirense	L 0-1	1604	1505	35.9%	18.2%	45.9%	-11.9	5
1962-12-16	Benfica	D 0-0	1720	1937	29.9%	17.9%	52.2%	+1.8	11
1962-12-16	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1937	1720	52.2%	17.9%	29.9%	-1.8	19
1962-12-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1980	1814	72.2%	17.2%	10.7%	+11.0	21
1962-12-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1814	1980	10.7%	17.2%	72.2%	-11.0	13
1962-12-16	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1690	1762	49.6%	18.2%	32.2%	+10.3	13
1962-12-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1762	1690	32.2%	18.2%	49.6%	-10.3	16
1962-12-16	Porto	D 1-1	1495	1899	12.7%	16.7%	70.6%	+4.5	7
1962-12-16	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1899	1495	70.6%	16.7%	12.7%	-4.5	17
1962-12-30	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1752	1991	27.3%	17.8%	54.9%	+15.0	19
1962-12-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 3-4	1991	1752	54.9%	17.8%	27.3%	-15.0	21
1962-12-30	Barreirense	W 4-0	1803	1566	76.0%	16.6%	7.4%	+10.0	16
1962-12-30	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1566	1803	7.4%	16.6%	76.0%	-10.0	6
1962-12-30	Feirense	W 6-0	1935	1516	82.5%	14.6%	2.9%	+5.5	22
1962-12-30	@ Benfica	L 0-6	1516	1935	2.9%	14.6%	82.5%	-5.5	3
1962-12-30	Leixoes	L 0-1	1680	1722	53.4%	18.1%	28.4%	-16.8	4
1962-12-30	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1722	1680	28.4%	18.1%	53.4%	+16.8	14
1962-12-30	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1592	1701	44.6%	18.2%	37.3%	+23.2	8
1962-12-30	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1701	1592	37.3%	18.2%	44.6%	-23.2	13
1962-12-30	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-0	1894	1674	75.2%	16.8%	8.1%	+13.5	20
1962-12-30	@ Porto	L 0-5	1674	1894	8.1%	16.8%	75.2%	-13.5	12
1962-12-30	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1499	1620	43.0%	18.2%	38.9%	+34.8	10
1962-12-30	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1620	1499	38.9%	18.2%	43.0%	-34.9	9
1963-01-06	Porto	L 2-3	1585	1908	18.7%	17.3%	63.9%	-6.0	9
1963-01-06	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1908	1585	63.9%	17.3%	18.7%	+6.0	23
1963-01-06	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1556	1767	30.6%	17.9%	51.4%	+16.2	9
1963-01-06	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1767	1556	51.4%	17.9%	30.6%	-16.1	19
1963-01-06	Fabril	L 0-2	1511	1663	38.4%	18.1%	43.5%	-23.7	3
1963-01-06	@ Feirense	W 2-0	1663	1511	43.5%	18.1%	38.4%	+23.7	7
1963-01-06	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1738	1534	74.3%	16.9%	8.8%	+3.1	17
1963-01-06	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1534	1738	8.8%	16.9%	74.3%	-3.1	10
1963-01-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1661	1813	38.5%	18.1%	43.4%	+12.5	15
1963-01-06	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-3	1813	1661	43.4%	18.1%	38.5%	-12.5	16
1963-01-06	Olhanense	W 5-1	1976	1615	80.8%	15.3%	3.9%	+4.3	24
1963-01-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1615	1976	3.9%	15.3%	80.8%	-4.3	8
1963-01-06	Benfica	L 3-4	1678	1940	24.6%	17.7%	57.7%	-7.5	13
1963-01-06	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-3	1940	1678	57.7%	17.7%	24.6%	+7.5	25
1963-01-13	Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1751	1673	65.7%	17.8%	16.5%	-33.5	19
1963-01-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1673	1751	16.5%	17.8%	65.7%	+33.5	18
1963-01-13	Leixoes	W 4-2	1579	1741	37.0%	18.1%	44.9%	+20.9	12
1963-01-13	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1741	1579	44.9%	18.1%	37.0%	-20.9	17
1963-01-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1948	1980	54.5%	18.1%	27.3%	+8.2	28
1963-01-13	@ Benfica	L 3-4	1980	1948	27.3%	18.1%	54.5%	-8.3	24
1963-01-13	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1687	1670	60.0%	18.0%	22.0%	-2.8	8
1963-01-13	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1670	1687	22.0%	18.0%	60.0%	+2.8	14
1963-01-13	Barreirense	W 4-0	1611	1572	62.2%	17.9%	19.9%	+25.6	11
1963-01-13	@ Olhanense	L 0-4	1572	1611	19.9%	17.9%	62.2%	-25.6	9
1963-01-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 5-1	1914	1800	68.6%	17.5%	13.9%	+15.3	26
1963-01-13	@ Porto	L 1-5	1800	1914	13.9%	17.5%	68.6%	-15.3	16
1963-01-13	Feirense	W 5-1	1531	1487	62.7%	17.9%	19.4%	+20.9	13
1963-01-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-5	1487	1531	19.4%	17.9%	62.7%	-20.9	3
1963-01-20	Benfica	L 1-3	1546	1956	12.3%	16.7%	71.0%	-7.4	9
1963-01-20	@ Barreirense	W 3-1	1956	1546	71.0%	16.7%	12.3%	+7.4	31
1963-01-20	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1785	1717	64.9%	17.8%	17.3%	+10.3	19
1963-01-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1717	1785	17.3%	17.8%	64.9%	-10.3	19
1963-01-20	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1466	1600	41.1%	18.1%	40.7%	+24.9	6
1963-01-20	@ Feirense	L 0-2	1600	1466	40.7%	18.1%	41.1%	-24.9	12
1963-01-20	Olhanense	W 2-0	1707	1636	65.1%	17.8%	17.1%	+11.8	21
1963-01-20	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-2	1636	1707	17.1%	17.8%	65.1%	-11.8	11
1963-01-20	Leixoes	W 2-0	1929	1720	74.6%	16.9%	8.6%	+6.1	29
1963-01-20	@ Porto	L 0-2	1720	1929	8.6%	16.9%	74.6%	-6.1	17
1963-01-20	Fabril	W 2-1	1972	1684	78.2%	16.1%	5.7%	+2.0	27
1963-01-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1684	1972	5.7%	16.1%	78.2%	-2.0	8
1963-01-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1673	1552	69.1%	17.5%	13.4%	+13.6	17
1963-01-20	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1552	1673	13.4%	17.5%	69.1%	-13.6	13
1963-01-27	Porto	L 0-2	1707	1935	28.5%	17.9%	53.6%	-18.5	19
1963-01-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1935	1707	53.6%	17.9%	28.5%	+18.5	32
1963-01-27	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-5	1575	1686	44.2%	18.2%	37.6%	-62.4	12
1963-01-27	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-0	1686	1575	37.6%	18.2%	44.2%	+62.4	20
1963-01-27	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1964	1719	76.4%	16.5%	7.1%	+2.5	34
1963-01-27	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1719	1964	7.1%	16.5%	76.4%	-2.5	21
1963-01-27	Barreirense	D 1-1	1682	1539	70.7%	17.3%	11.9%	-4.5	9
1963-01-27	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1539	1682	11.9%	17.3%	70.7%	+4.5	10
1963-01-27	Feirense	W 3-2	1714	1491	75.3%	16.7%	8.0%	+2.7	20
1963-01-27	@ Leixoes	L 2-3	1491	1714	8.0%	16.7%	75.3%	-2.7	6
1963-01-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1624	1795	35.9%	18.1%	46.1%	+0.8	12
1963-01-27	@ Olhanense	D 0-0	1795	1624	46.1%	18.1%	35.9%	-0.8	20
1963-01-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1538	1974	10.8%	16.4%	72.7%	+3.6	14
1963-01-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1974	1538	72.7%	16.4%	10.8%	-3.6	28
1963-02-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1512	1970	9.7%	16.2%	74.1%	-6.7	12
1963-02-03	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1970	1512	74.1%	16.2%	9.7%	+6.7	31
1963-02-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1966	1795	72.5%	17.2%	10.4%	+3.9	37
1963-02-03	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1795	1966	10.4%	17.2%	72.5%	-3.9	20
1963-02-03	Porto	L 1-2	1489	1953	9.3%	16.1%	74.5%	-3.2	6
1963-02-03	@ Feirense	W 2-1	1953	1489	74.5%	16.1%	9.3%	+3.2	35
1963-02-03	Lusitano de Evora	W 6-0	1678	1716	53.8%	18.1%	28.1%	+50.7	12
1963-02-03	@ Fabril	L 0-6	1716	1678	28.1%	18.1%	53.8%	-50.7	21
1963-02-03	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1717	1749	54.6%	18.1%	27.3%	+9.5	23
1963-02-03	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1749	1717	27.3%	18.1%	54.6%	-9.5	20
1963-02-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1625	1688	50.7%	18.2%	31.1%	+29.0	15
1963-02-03	@ Olhanense	L 0-3	1688	1625	31.1%	18.2%	50.7%	-29.0	19
1963-02-03	Barreirense	W 3-1	1542	1544	58.0%	18.1%	23.9%	+13.8	17
1963-02-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1544	1542	23.9%	18.1%	58.0%	-13.8	10
1963-02-10	Benfica	L 0-2	1659	1970	19.8%	17.4%	62.7%	-13.3	19
1963-02-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1970	1659	62.7%	17.4%	19.8%	+13.3	40
1963-02-10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1530	1506	60.8%	18.0%	21.3%	+14.3	13
1963-02-10	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1506	1530	21.3%	18.0%	60.8%	-14.3	12
1963-02-10	Fabril	W 1-0	1791	1728	64.4%	17.8%	17.8%	+6.5	23
1963-02-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1728	1791	17.8%	17.8%	64.4%	-6.5	12
1963-02-10	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1665	1556	68.3%	17.6%	14.1%	+5.2	24
1963-02-10	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1556	1665	14.1%	17.6%	68.3%	-5.2	17
1963-02-10	Olhanense	W 4-0	1957	1654	78.8%	15.9%	5.3%	+7.1	38
1963-02-10	@ Porto	L 0-4	1654	1957	5.3%	15.9%	78.8%	-7.1	15
1963-02-10	Leixoes	W 6-0	1977	1726	76.6%	16.5%	6.9%	+13.7	34
1963-02-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1726	1977	6.9%	16.5%	76.6%	-13.7	23
1963-02-10	Feirense	W 2-1	1739	1485	76.8%	16.4%	6.8%	+2.4	23
1963-02-10	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1485	1739	6.8%	16.4%	76.8%	-2.4	6
1963-02-17	Lusitano de Evora	L 3-5	1491	1671	34.7%	18.1%	47.2%	-16.0	12
1963-02-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-3	1671	1491	47.2%	18.1%	34.7%	+16.0	27
1963-02-17	Olhanense	D 1-1	1983	1647	80.0%	15.6%	4.4%	-6.0	41
1963-02-17	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1647	1983	4.4%	15.6%	80.0%	+6.0	16
1963-02-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1483	1991	7.5%	15.7%	76.8%	-6.4	6
1963-02-17	@ Feirense	W 4-1	1991	1483	76.8%	15.7%	7.5%	+6.4	37
1963-02-17	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1722	1646	65.6%	17.8%	16.7%	+11.5	15
1963-02-17	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1646	1722	16.7%	17.8%	65.6%	-11.5	19
1963-02-17	Barreirense	D 0-0	1713	1544	72.3%	17.2%	10.5%	-5.4	24
1963-02-17	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1544	1713	10.5%	17.2%	72.3%	+5.4	14
1963-02-17	Porto	L 0-3	1742	1964	29.3%	17.9%	52.8%	-27.4	23
1963-02-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1964	1742	52.8%	17.9%	29.3%	+27.4	41
1963-02-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1550	1797	26.4%	17.8%	55.8%	+2.1	18
1963-02-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1797	1550	55.8%	17.8%	26.4%	-2.1	24
1963-02-24	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1635	1553	66.1%	17.7%	16.2%	+5.6	22
1963-02-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1553	1635	16.2%	17.7%	66.1%	-5.6	18
1963-02-24	Feirense	D 0-0	1549	1477	65.3%	17.8%	16.9%	-4.1	15
1963-02-24	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1477	1549	16.9%	17.8%	65.3%	+4.1	7
1963-02-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1795	1475	79.4%	15.8%	4.8%	+1.8	27
1963-02-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1475	1795	4.8%	15.8%	79.4%	-1.8	12
1963-02-24	Leixoes	L 1-2	1687	1707	55.9%	18.1%	26.1%	-16.5	27
1963-02-24	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1707	1687	26.1%	18.1%	55.9%	+16.5	27
1963-02-24	Fabril	D 2-2	1653	1733	48.4%	18.2%	33.4%	-0.8	17
1963-02-24	@ Olhanense	D 2-2	1733	1653	33.4%	18.2%	48.4%	+0.8	16
1963-02-24	Benfica	L 1-2	1991	1977	59.7%	18.0%	22.3%	-17.5	41
1963-02-24	@ Porto	W 2-1	1977	1991	22.3%	18.0%	59.7%	+17.6	44
1963-02-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-2	1997	1714	78.0%	16.2%	5.8%	+3.2	40
1963-02-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1714	1997	5.8%	16.2%	78.0%	-3.2	23
1963-03-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1474	1640	36.4%	18.1%	45.5%	+14.5	15
1963-03-03	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1640	1474	45.5%	18.1%	36.4%	-14.5	22
1963-03-03	Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1481	1670	33.4%	18.0%	48.6%	-10.5	7
1963-03-03	@ Feirense	W 2-1	1670	1481	48.6%	18.0%	33.4%	+10.5	30
1963-03-03	Benfica	L 2-3	1734	1995	24.8%	17.7%	57.4%	-7.7	16
1963-03-03	@ Fabril	W 3-2	1995	1734	57.4%	17.7%	24.8%	+7.8	47
1963-03-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1724	1797	49.4%	18.2%	32.4%	-14.7	27
1963-03-03	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1797	1724	32.4%	18.2%	49.4%	+14.7	30
1963-03-03	Porto	L 0-1	2000	1974	61.0%	18.0%	21.0%	-19.0	40
1963-03-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1974	2000	21.0%	18.0%	61.0%	+19.0	44
1963-03-03	Barreirense	W 5-0	1711	1545	72.1%	17.2%	10.7%	+17.6	26
1963-03-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-5	1545	1711	10.7%	17.2%	72.1%	-17.6	15
1963-03-03	Olhanense	D 0-0	1547	1652	45.1%	18.2%	36.8%	-0.6	19
1963-03-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1652	1547	36.8%	18.2%	45.1%	+0.7	18
1963-03-10	Leixoes	D 1-1	1626	1709	48.0%	18.2%	33.8%	-1.0	23
1963-03-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1709	1626	33.8%	18.2%	48.0%	+1.0	28
1963-03-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1528	1981	9.9%	16.2%	73.9%	-10.9	15
1963-03-10	@ Barreirense	W 5-1	1981	1528	73.9%	16.2%	9.9%	+10.9	43
1963-03-10	Feirense	W 4-1	1812	1470	80.2%	15.5%	4.3%	+3.7	33
1963-03-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1470	1812	4.3%	15.5%	80.2%	-3.7	7
1963-03-10	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	2003	1546	83.6%	14.1%	2.3%	+0.8	50
1963-03-10	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1546	2003	2.3%	14.1%	83.6%	-0.8	19
1963-03-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1681	1729	52.6%	18.1%	29.3%	-16.5	30
1963-03-10	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1729	1681	29.3%	18.1%	52.6%	+16.5	29
1963-03-10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1653	1488	72.1%	17.2%	10.7%	+7.6	21
1963-03-10	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1488	1653	10.7%	17.2%	72.1%	-7.6	15
1963-03-10	Fabril	W 2-0	1993	1727	77.3%	16.3%	6.4%	+4.5	47
1963-03-10	@ Porto	L 0-2	1727	1993	6.4%	16.3%	77.3%	-4.5	16
1963-03-17	Benfica	L 0-3	1480	2003	7.0%	15.5%	77.5%	-7.0	15
1963-03-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	2003	1480	77.5%	15.5%	7.0%	+7.0	53
1963-03-17	Porto	D 1-1	1517	1997	8.6%	16.0%	75.4%	+5.2	16
1963-03-17	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1997	1517	75.4%	16.0%	8.6%	-5.2	48
1963-03-17	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1466	1625	37.6%	18.1%	44.3%	+13.4	10
1963-03-17	@ Feirense	L 1-2	1625	1466	44.3%	18.1%	37.6%	-13.4	23
1963-03-17	Olhanense	W 4-1	1710	1661	63.2%	17.9%	18.9%	+15.8	31
1963-03-17	@ Leixoes	L 1-4	1661	1710	18.9%	17.9%	63.2%	-15.8	21
1963-03-17	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1992	1664	79.7%	15.7%	4.6%	+1.6	46
1963-03-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1664	1992	4.6%	15.7%	79.7%	-1.6	30
1963-03-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1745	1815	49.8%	18.2%	32.0%	-14.8	29
1963-03-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1815	1745	32.0%	18.2%	49.8%	+14.8	36
1963-03-17	Fabril	W 1-0	1546	1722	35.1%	18.1%	46.8%	+14.9	22
1963-03-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1722	1546	46.8%	18.1%	35.1%	-14.9	16
1963-03-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1611	1730	43.1%	18.2%	38.7%	-26.1	23
1963-03-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1730	1611	38.7%	18.2%	43.1%	+26.1	32
1963-03-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1830	1994	36.9%	18.1%	45.1%	+14.4	39
1963-03-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1994	1830	45.1%	18.1%	36.9%	-14.4	46
1963-03-24	Leixoes	W 2-0	2010	1726	78.1%	16.1%	5.8%	+4.1	56
1963-03-24	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1726	2010	5.8%	16.1%	78.1%	-4.1	31
1963-03-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1707	1473	75.8%	16.6%	7.5%	+7.8	19
1963-03-24	@ Fabril	L 0-3	1473	1707	7.5%	16.6%	75.8%	-7.8	15
1963-03-24	Barreirense	D 0-0	1662	1522	70.5%	17.4%	12.1%	-5.0	31
1963-03-24	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1522	1662	12.1%	17.4%	70.5%	+5.0	17
1963-03-24	Feirense	W 1-0	1645	1480	72.1%	17.2%	10.7%	+4.0	24
1963-03-24	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1480	1645	10.7%	17.2%	72.1%	-4.0	10
1963-03-24	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1992	1560	82.9%	14.4%	2.7%	+0.9	51
1963-03-24	@ Porto	L 2-3	1560	1992	2.7%	14.4%	82.9%	-0.9	22
1963-03-31	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1466	1560	46.6%	18.2%	35.2%	+11.0	18
1963-03-31	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1560	1466	35.2%	18.2%	46.6%	-11.0	22
1963-03-31	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1527	1844	19.2%	17.4%	63.4%	-6.9	17
1963-03-31	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1844	1527	63.4%	17.4%	19.2%	+6.9	42
1963-03-31	Benfica	L 1-6	1476	2015	6.4%	15.3%	78.3%	-8.6	10
1963-03-31	@ Feirense	W 6-1	2015	1476	78.3%	15.3%	6.4%	+8.6	59
1963-03-31	Fabril	D 1-1	1722	1715	59.0%	18.0%	23.0%	-2.6	32
1963-03-31	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1715	1722	23.0%	18.0%	59.0%	+2.6	20
1963-03-31	Porto	L 0-1	1657	1993	17.6%	17.3%	65.1%	-6.4	31
1963-03-31	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1993	1657	65.1%	17.3%	17.6%	+6.4	54
1963-03-31	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1979	1585	81.8%	14.9%	3.3%	+3.6	49
1963-03-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1585	1979	3.3%	14.9%	81.8%	-3.6	23
1963-03-31	Olhanense	W 2-1	1757	1649	68.2%	17.6%	14.3%	+5.0	35
1963-03-31	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1649	1757	14.3%	17.6%	68.2%	-5.0	24
1963-04-07	Barreirense	W 8-0	1582	1520	64.3%	17.8%	17.9%	+44.7	26
1963-04-07	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-8	1520	1582	17.9%	17.8%	64.3%	-44.7	17
1963-04-07	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1851	1651	74.1%	16.9%	8.9%	+3.4	45
1963-04-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1651	1851	8.9%	16.9%	74.1%	-3.4	31
1963-04-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 6-2	2023	1762	77.1%	16.4%	6.5%	+6.2	62
1963-04-07	@ Benfica	L 2-6	1762	2023	6.5%	16.4%	77.1%	-6.2	35
1963-04-07	Feirense	W 4-0	1718	1467	76.6%	16.5%	6.9%	+9.3	23
1963-04-07	@ Fabril	L 0-4	1467	1718	6.9%	16.5%	76.6%	-9.3	10
1963-04-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1644	1983	17.3%	17.2%	65.4%	+3.6	25
1963-04-07	@ Olhanense	D 1-1	1983	1644	65.4%	17.2%	17.3%	-3.6	50
1963-04-07	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-0	1999	1477	85.1%	13.2%	1.7%	+2.6	57
1963-04-07	@ Porto	L 0-5	1477	1999	1.7%	13.2%	85.1%	-2.6	18
1963-04-07	Leixoes	D 3-3	1548	1719	35.9%	18.1%	46.0%	+0.4	23
1963-04-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 3-3	1719	1548	46.0%	18.1%	35.9%	-0.4	33
1963-04-28	Olhanense	W 3-0	1476	1647	35.7%	18.1%	46.2%	+40.2	20
1963-04-28	@ Barreirense	L 0-3	1647	1476	46.2%	18.1%	35.7%	-40.2	25
1963-04-28	Porto	D 1-1	1855	2002	39.1%	18.1%	42.7%	+0.2	46
1963-04-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	2002	1855	42.7%	18.1%	39.1%	-0.2	58
1963-04-28	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1458	1549	47.0%	18.2%	34.8%	-28.1	10
1963-04-28	@ Feirense	W 2-0	1549	1458	34.8%	18.2%	47.0%	+28.1	26
1963-04-28	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1719	1474	76.4%	16.5%	7.1%	-5.5	34
1963-04-28	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1474	1719	7.1%	16.5%	76.4%	+5.5	19
1963-04-28	Academica de Coimbra	D 3-3	1648	1626	60.5%	18.0%	21.6%	-1.8	32
1963-04-28	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 3-3	1626	1648	21.6%	18.0%	60.5%	+1.8	27
1963-04-28	Benfica	L 1-3	1979	2029	52.3%	18.1%	29.5%	-26.8	50
1963-04-28	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	2029	1979	29.5%	18.1%	52.3%	+26.8	65
1963-04-28	Fabril	D 2-2	1755	1727	61.2%	18.0%	20.8%	-2.2	36
1963-04-28	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1727	1755	20.8%	18.0%	61.2%	+2.2	24
1963-05-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1628	1855	28.7%	17.9%	53.4%	-9.3	27
1963-05-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1855	1628	53.4%	17.9%	28.7%	+9.3	49
1963-05-05	Feirense	W 5-2	1480	1430	63.3%	17.9%	18.9%	+13.6	22
1963-05-05	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1430	1480	18.9%	17.9%	63.3%	-13.6	10
1963-05-05	Barreirense	W 8-1	2056	1516	85.5%	13.0%	1.5%	+2.7	68
1963-05-05	@ Benfica	L 1-8	1516	2056	1.5%	13.0%	85.5%	-2.7	20
1963-05-05	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1729	1952	29.1%	17.9%	53.0%	-9.4	24
1963-05-05	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1952	1729	53.0%	17.9%	29.1%	+9.4	53
1963-05-05	Porto	W 2-0	1713	2002	22.0%	17.6%	60.5%	+35.4	37
1963-05-05	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	2002	1713	60.5%	17.6%	22.0%	-35.4	58
1963-05-05	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1607	1646	53.8%	18.1%	28.1%	+9.7	28
1963-05-05	@ Olhanense	L 0-1	1646	1607	28.1%	18.1%	53.8%	-9.7	32
1963-05-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1577	1753	35.2%	18.1%	46.8%	-32.0	26
1963-05-05	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1753	1577	46.8%	18.1%	35.2%	+32.0	39
1963-05-12	Fabril	W 3-0	1513	1720	31.2%	18.0%	50.8%	+43.8	23
1963-05-12	@ Barreirense	L 0-3	1720	1513	50.8%	18.0%	31.2%	-43.8	24
1963-05-12	Olhanense	W 4-2	1864	1617	76.5%	16.5%	7.0%	+3.9	52
1963-05-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-4	1617	1864	7.0%	16.5%	76.5%	-3.9	28
1963-05-12	Leixoes	L 0-4	1416	1749	17.9%	17.3%	64.8%	-23.0	10
1963-05-12	@ Feirense	W 4-0	1749	1416	64.8%	17.3%	17.9%	+23.0	40
1963-05-12	Benfica	L 1-3	1636	2059	11.6%	16.5%	71.9%	-6.9	32
1963-05-12	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	2059	1636	71.9%	16.5%	11.6%	+6.9	71
1963-05-12	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1966	1619	80.4%	15.4%	4.2%	+2.5	61
1963-05-12	@ Porto	L 1-3	1619	1966	4.2%	15.4%	80.4%	-2.5	27
1963-05-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1962	1545	82.5%	14.6%	2.9%	+1.0	56
1963-05-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1545	1962	2.9%	14.6%	82.5%	-1.0	26
1963-05-12	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1785	1493	78.4%	16.1%	5.6%	-23.0	39
1963-05-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1493	1785	5.6%	16.1%	78.4%	+23.0	25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1963-05-12	5.57%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1493	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1785	1
2	1962-12-09	7.18%	Vitoria Setubal	1471	1	@ Fabril	1714	0
3	1963-01-13	16.54%	Lusitano de Evora	1673	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1751	1
4	1962-11-25	18.73%	Leixoes	1730	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1782	0
5	1962-11-18	19.42%	Porto	1891	2	@ Benfica	1935	1
6	1963-03-03	21.04%	Porto	1974	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	2000	0
7	1963-05-05	21.96%	@ Leixoes	1713	2	Porto	2002	0
8	1963-02-24	22.30%	Benfica	1977	2	@ Porto	1991	1
9	1962-11-18	25.64%	Barreirense	1581	2	@ Feirense	1564	1
10	1963-02-24	26.05%	Leixoes	1707	2	@ Lusitano de Evora	1687	1
11	1962-12-30	27.29%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1752	4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1991	3
12	1962-11-25	27.32%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1942	3	@ Porto	1910	1
13	1962-12-30	28.45%	Leixoes	1722	1	@ Fabril	1680	0
14	1963-03-10	29.27%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1729	1	@ Lusitano de Evora	1681	0
15	1962-10-28	29.33%	@ Leixoes	1718	1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1939	0
16	1963-04-28	29.51%	Benfica	2029	3	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1979	1
17	1963-01-06	30.63%	@ Barreirense	1556	1	Academica de Coimbra	1767	0
18	1963-05-12	31.18%	@ Barreirense	1513	3	Fabril	1720	0
19	1963-03-17	32.02%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1815	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1745	1
20	1963-03-03	32.40%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1797	2	@ Leixoes	1724	1
21	1962-10-28	34.10%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1683	3	@ Feirense	1598	1
22	1962-10-21	34.52%	Benfica	1886	4	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1797	1
23	1963-04-28	34.83%	Vitoria Setubal	1549	2	@ Feirense	1458	0
24	1963-03-17	35.11%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1546	1	Fabril	1722	0
25	1962-11-25	35.65%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1695	3	@ Barreirense	1598	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1963-01-27	62.38	Vitoria Guimaraes	5	1686	37.65%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1575	44.18%
2	1963-02-03	50.70	@ Fabril	6	1678	53.79%	Lusitano de Evora	0	1716	28.07%
3	1963-04-07	44.67	@ Academica de Coimbra	8	1582	64.32%	Barreirense	0	1520	17.86%
4	1963-05-12	43.77	@ Barreirense	3	1513	31.18%	Fabril	0	1720	50.85%
5	1963-04-28	40.23	@ Barreirense	3	1476	35.73%	Olhanense	0	1647	46.20%
6	1963-05-05	35.42	@ Leixoes	2	1713	21.96%	Porto	0	2002	60.47%
7	1962-12-09	35.26	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	6	1779	63.53%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1726	18.60%
8	1962-12-30	34.85	@ Vitoria Setubal	3	1499	42.96%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1620	38.88%
9	1962-10-21	34.66	Benfica	4	1886	34.52%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1797	47.31%
10	1963-01-13	33.46	Lusitano de Evora	3	1673	16.54%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1751	65.71%
11	1962-11-25	33.43	@ Academica de Coimbra	6	1704	64.65%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1639	17.55%
12	1963-05-05	32.03	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	1753	46.78%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1577	35.16%
13	1963-02-03	28.97	@ Olhanense	3	1625	50.69%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1688	31.15%
14	1963-04-28	28.14	Vitoria Setubal	2	1549	34.83%	@ Feirense	0	1458	47.00%
15	1962-11-25	27.90	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1942	27.32%	@ Porto	1	1910	54.55%
16	1962-12-09	27.66	@ Olhanense	2	1576	35.80%	Leixoes	0	1747	46.13%
17	1963-02-17	27.39	Porto	3	1964	52.82%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1742	29.27%
18	1963-04-28	26.84	Benfica	3	2029	29.51%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1979	52.34%
19	1962-11-11	26.30	@ Academica de Coimbra	4	1669	47.83%	Fabril	1	1754	33.99%
20	1963-03-24	26.14	Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1730	38.70%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1611	43.14%
21	1963-01-13	25.58	@ Olhanense	4	1611	62.20%	Barreirense	0	1572	19.88%
22	1963-01-20	24.93	@ Feirense	2	1466	41.11%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1600	40.74%
23	1962-10-28	24.70	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	1683	34.10%	@ Feirense	1	1598	47.73%
24	1962-11-25	24.00	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	1695	35.65%	@ Barreirense	1	1598	46.18%
25	1962-12-09	23.83	Vitoria Setubal	1	1471	7.18%	@ Fabril	0	1714	76.28%