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1964-65 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Benfica

43 points · 14th Title

Last Title: 1963-64

Relegated

Uniao Torreense

7 pts

Seixal · 8 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Academica de Coimbra

7.18 points above expected

34 points · 26.82 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Seixal

6.50 points below expected

8 points · 14.50 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Benfica Champion 26 19 5 2 43 88 21 +67 41.57 +1.43
2 Porto 26 17 3 6 37 47 27 +20 35.22 +1.78
3 Fabril 26 15 5 6 35 49 29 +20 30.91 +4.09
4 Academica de Coimbra 26 16 2 8 34 58 40 +18 26.82 +7.18
5 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 12 8 6 32 39 35 +4 31.04 +0.96
6 Vitoria Setubal 26 15 2 9 32 61 30 +31 28.43 +3.57
7 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 12 5 9 29 44 36 +8 30.83 -1.83
8 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 12 2 12 26 39 40 -1 27.02 -1.02
9 Leixoes 26 8 5 13 21 50 51 -1 24.50 -3.50
10 Braga 26 8 4 14 20 36 51 -15 20.18 -0.18
11 Lusitano de Evora 26 9 2 15 20 30 51 -21 18.51 +1.49
12 Varzim 26 8 4 14 20 39 55 -16 21.34 -1.34
13 Seixal Relegated 26 3 2 21 8 16 84 -68 14.50 -6.50
14 Uniao Torreense Relegated 26 3 1 22 7 18 64 -46 13.13 -6.13

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Academica de Coimbra 34 26.82 +7.18
2 Fabril 35 30.91 +4.09
3 Vitoria Setubal 32 28.43 +3.57
4 Porto 37 35.22 +1.78
5 Lusitano de Evora 20 18.51 +1.49

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Seixal 8 14.50 -6.50
2 Uniao Torreense 7 13.13 -6.13
3 Leixoes 21 24.50 -3.50
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 29 30.83 -1.83
5 Varzim 20 21.34 -1.34

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Academica de Coimbra 4 Nov 22 – Dec 13 1 in 132
2 Fabril 5 Jan 10 – Feb 14 1 in 55
3 Braga 3 Mar 28 – May 2 1 in 30
4 Lusitano de Evora 2 Mar 21 – Mar 28 1 in 24
5 Vitoria Guimaraes 5 Nov 1 – Dec 6 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Porto 3 Nov 8 – Nov 29 1 in 94
2 Seixal 10 Feb 14 – May 9 1 in 59
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 Jan 17 – Feb 14 1 in 26
4 Vitoria Setubal 3 Nov 29 – Dec 13 1 in 19
5 Uniao Torreense 9 Feb 21 – May 9 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 12 Jan 10 – Apr 4 1 in 499
2 Vitoria Setubal 10 Jan 17 – Mar 28 1 in 100
3 Academica de Coimbra 5 Nov 8 – Dec 13 1 in 59
4 Fabril 7 Oct 25 – Dec 13 1 in 47
5 Varzim 4 Oct 11 – Nov 1 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Braga 11 Jan 3 – Mar 21 1 in 61
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 Nov 22 – Dec 13 1 in 60
3 Benfica 3 Oct 25 – Nov 8 1 in 34
4 Varzim 8 Nov 8 – Jan 3 1 in 18
5 Porto 3 Nov 8 – Nov 29 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Benfica 2051 43 +6 8 7.3 +0.7
Porto 1899 37 -7 8 7.3 +0.7
Fabril 1834 35 +12 7 6.2 +0.8
Academica de Coimbra 1761 34 +0 6 5.8 +0.2
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1809 32 -14 6 6.6 -0.6
Vitoria Setubal 1793 32 +21 6 5.2 +0.8
Vitoria Guimaraes 1793 29 -28 3 5.3 -2.3
Os Belenenses (1st) 1737 26 +33 7 5.4 +1.6
Leixoes 1702 21 +20 5 4.9 +0.1
Braga 1601 20 +33 6 3.8 +2.2
Lusitano de Evora 1577 20 -25 4 4.2 -0.2
Varzim 1633 20 +1 4 4.0 -0.0
Seixal 1426 8 -34 0 2.1 -2.1
Uniao Torreense 1446 7 -18 0 1.7 -1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC BEN BRA FAB LEI LDE OB( POR SEI SCDP UT VAR VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
0-1-1
1.07
2-0-0
3.46
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
3.40
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
1.89
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
2.43
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
3.30
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
2.61
Benfica
1-1-0
4.65
—
2-0-0
5.05
0-1-1
4.35
1-1-0
4.57
1-1-0
5.09
2-0-0
4.33
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
5.24
1-1-0
4.25
2-0-0
5.32
2-0-0
4.97
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.45
Braga
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
0.68
—
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
2.01
1-1-0
1.27
1-0-1
3.72
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
3.91
0-2-0
2.67
2-0-0
1.56
1-0-1
1.99
Fabril
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
1.37
1-0-1
3.84
—
1-1-0
3.57
0-0-2
4.38
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.20
1-1-0
4.59
0-1-1
2.90
2-0-0
4.82
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.11
Leixoes
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.15
1-1-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.14
—
1-0-1
3.56
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.80
2-0-0
4.02
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
4.42
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.39
Lusitano de Evora
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
0.64
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
1.34
1-0-1
2.16
—
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.13
2-0-0
3.11
0-1-1
1.39
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.43
0-0-2
1.78
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-2
1.39
2-0-0
3.71
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.67
—
0-0-2
1.82
2-0-0
4.38
0-0-2
2.48
2-0-0
4.32
2-0-0
3.42
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.61
Porto
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
4.45
1-0-1
3.51
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.59
2-0-0
3.89
—
2-0-0
5.03
0-1-1
3.31
2-0-0
5.05
1-0-1
4.52
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.55
Seixal
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
0.51
1-0-1
1.99
0-1-1
1.13
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
0.70
—
0-1-1
1.11
2-0-0
3.32
0-0-2
2.31
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
1.55
Sporting Clube de Portugal
0-0-2
3.28
0-1-1
1.47
2-0-0
3.89
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
4.61
—
1-0-1
4.91
1-0-1
4.04
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.21
Uniao Torreense
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
0.44
1-0-1
1.80
0-0-2
0.90
1-0-1
1.30
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
0.69
0-0-2
2.39
1-0-1
0.82
—
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
0.93
0-0-2
1.42
Varzim
0-0-2
2.41
0-0-2
0.76
0-2-0
3.03
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
1.20
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
1.67
1-1-0
3.84
—
0-1-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.04
Vitoria Guimaraes
2-0-0
3.28
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
4.15
0-0-2
2.96
1-1-0
3.64
2-0-0
4.29
1-1-0
3.40
0-1-1
2.37
2-0-0
4.40
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
4.80
1-1-0
3.88
—
0-0-2
3.34
Vitoria Setubal
0-1-1
3.11
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.16
2-0-0
4.16
0-1-1
2.50
2-0-0
4.30
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
2.37
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +5.0
Allowed 0.90 -6.0
Differential 0.90 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%6.59%4.67%4.12%2.47%4.12%25.82%
16.59%6.04%9.34%3.85%1.92%2.20%29.95%
24.67%9.34%2.75%2.47%0.55%0.27%20.05%
34.12%3.85%2.47%1.10%—0.55%12.09%
42.47%1.92%0.55%———4.95%
5+4.12%2.20%0.27%0.55%——7.14%
Total25.82%29.95%20.05%12.09%4.95%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.69 +0.00
SD 1.68 1.68 2.72
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 11 11 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
1—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
27.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
311.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
Total23.08%34.62%19.23%15.38%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.54 +0.69
SD 1.50 1.33 2.36
CV 0.67 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
1—7.69%————7.69%
2—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
37.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
411.54%3.85%————15.38%
5+23.08%——3.85%——26.92%
Total46.15%30.77%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.38 0.81 +2.58
SD 2.45 0.90 2.66
CV 0.72 1.11 —
Max 11 3 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%3.85%—7.69%19.23%
13.85%11.54%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%50.00%
27.69%7.69%—3.85%——19.23%
3——3.85%———3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%19.23%30.77%11.54%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.96 -0.58
SD 1.33 1.78 2.67
CV 0.96 0.91 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
27.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
37.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%50.00%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.12 +0.77
SD 1.21 0.86 1.53
CV 0.64 0.77 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
1—11.54%7.69%7.69%—3.85%30.77%
2—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
315.38%——7.69%—3.85%26.92%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total23.08%26.92%7.69%26.92%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.96 -0.04
SD 1.60 1.66 2.75
CV 0.83 0.85 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%7.69%42.31%
17.69%3.85%11.54%——3.85%26.92%
27.69%7.69%———3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%26.92%26.92%3.85%3.85%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.96 -0.81
SD 1.46 1.99 2.86
CV 1.27 1.01 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%3.85%—3.85%23.08%
111.54%3.85%15.38%—3.85%—34.62%
23.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total19.23%38.46%26.92%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.54 -0.04
SD 1.36 1.36 2.18
CV 0.91 0.89 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—11.54%—3.85%—19.23%
119.23%7.69%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
211.54%7.69%————19.23%
3—11.54%————11.54%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total38.46%30.77%23.08%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.04 +0.77
SD 1.60 1.08 2.07
CV 0.89 1.04 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%3.85%7.69%3.85%23.08%61.54%
13.85%—7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
33.85%————3.85%7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%23.08%15.38%11.54%7.69%30.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 3.23 -2.62
SD 0.94 2.75 2.86
CV 1.53 0.85 —
Max 3 11 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%——11.54%——23.08%
115.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
23.85%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—23.08%
3—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%23.08%19.23%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.35 +0.15
SD 1.17 1.26 1.69
CV 0.78 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%15.38%7.69%15.38%7.69%61.54%
1——11.54%11.54%3.85%—26.92%
2———————
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total15.38%11.54%26.92%19.23%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 2.46 -1.77
SD 1.23 1.68 2.52
CV 1.77 0.68 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%11.54%38.46%
23.85%3.85%—7.69%——15.38%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total19.23%34.62%11.54%15.38%3.85%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.12 -0.62
SD 1.58 2.05 2.90
CV 1.05 0.97 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
111.54%7.69%11.54%7.69%——38.46%
27.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%34.62%19.23%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.38 +0.31
SD 1.41 1.24 2.02
CV 0.83 0.89 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
111.54%3.85%11.54%—3.85%—30.77%
23.85%15.38%—7.69%——26.92%
3——3.85%———3.85%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+7.69%7.69%————15.38%
Total34.62%34.62%15.38%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 1.15 +1.19
SD 2.33 1.16 2.91
CV 0.99 1.00 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Benfica 2051 43 41.57 +1.43 75.0% 33 36 39 42 43 47 50
Porto 1899 37 35.22 +1.78 72.0% 25 29 33 35 38 41 44
Fabril 1834 35 30.91 +4.09 89.0% 19 24 28 30 34 37 41
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1809 32 31.04 +0.96 64.0% 22 25 29 31 34 37 40
Vitoria Guimaraes 1793 29 30.83 -1.83 40.0% 21 24 28 31 33 38 40
Vitoria Setubal 1793 32 28.43 +3.57 83.0% 17 21 25 29 31 35 40
Academica de Coimbra 1761 34 26.82 +7.18 98.0% 17 21 24 27 30 33 37
Os Belenenses (1st) 1737 26 27.02 -1.02 46.0% 17 20 24 27 30 33 36
Leixoes 1702 21 24.50 -3.50 24.0% 14 17 22 25 27 32 35
Varzim 1633 20 21.34 -1.34 39.0% 10 15 19 22 24 28 30
Braga 1601 20 20.18 -0.18 48.0% 9 13 17 21 23 27 29
Lusitano de Evora 1577 20 18.51 +1.49 69.0% 8 12 16 18 21 25 31
Uniao Torreense 1446 7 13.13 -6.13 3.0% 5 8 11 13 15 18 21
Seixal 1426 8 14.50 -6.50 6.0% 6 8 12 14 17 20 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21% * Slight Edge: 21% to 28% * Clear Edge: 28% to 34.5% * Strong Edge: 34.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.73%
Slight Edge
55.49%13.74%30.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge
134 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
087.72400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.05 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.65+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
84%
Benfica, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Runaway
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.17 * Some Luck: 3.17 to 4.76 * Lucky: 4.76 to 6.35 * Wild Swing: 6.35 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.15 * Close: 1.15 to 1.73 * Off: 1.73 to 2.31 * Way Off: 2.31 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.51 * A Surprise: 0.51 to 0.82 * Several Surprises: 0.82 to 1.12 * Many Surprises: 1.12 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.66 points
Some Luck
03.9710
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.443
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.00%
Academica de Coimbra
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
3.00%
Uniao Torreense
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.52

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.95 * Moderate Separation: 1.95 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 67.5% * Slight Edge: 67.5% to 73% * Clear Edge: 73% to 82% * Wide Edge: 82% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93.5% * Clear Edge: 93.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 97% * Dominant: 97% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 170.86
2.23
Strong Separation
11.952.252.75
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%67.5%82%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Some Drama
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
31%
Very Frequent
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.59 * Lopsided: 0.59 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Strong Carryover: 0.7 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 17% * Upset-Prone: 17% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.47
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Slight Separation
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.92
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.87
Near-Lock
00.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.11
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1080.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Benfica84.00%13.00%2.00%1.00%——————————
Porto11.00%48.00%20.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%—1.00%——————
Fabril3.00%9.00%21.00%16.00%18.00%15.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%————
Academica de Coimbra—1.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%19.00%18.00%11.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—
Sporting Clube de Portugal1.00%11.00%14.00%28.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%————
Vitoria Setubal—6.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%21.00%16.00%7.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%——
Vitoria Guimaraes1.00%9.00%17.00%20.00%18.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%————
Os Belenenses (1st)—3.00%4.00%3.00%15.00%14.00%18.00%18.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%———
Leixoes——3.00%1.00%6.00%12.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%23.00%11.00%5.00%—1.00%
Braga—————1.00%1.00%8.00%19.00%20.00%17.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%
Lusitano de Evora————2.00%—1.00%1.00%7.00%14.00%28.00%26.00%14.00%7.00%
Varzim————3.00%3.00%2.00%12.00%16.00%17.00%26.00%11.00%9.00%1.00%
Seixal————————1.00%2.00%6.00%24.00%33.00%34.00%
Uniao Torreense—————————1.00%2.00%15.00%33.00%49.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Fabril 100% —
Os Belenenses (1st) 100% —
Porto 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Vitoria Guimaraes 100% —
Vitoria Setubal 100% —
Academica de Coimbra 99.00% 1.00%
Leixoes 99.00% 1.00%
Varzim 90.00% 10.00%
Braga 82.00% 18.00%
Lusitano de Evora 79.00% 21.00%
Seixal 33.00% 67.00%
Uniao Torreense 18.00% 82.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1964-10-11 Lusitano de Evora W 5-043.3 1979 1582 83.64% 12.93% 3.43%+3.61 +3.5 2
1964-10-11 @ Benfica L 0-543.3 1582 1979 3.43% 12.93% 83.64%-3.61 -3.5 0
1964-10-11 Academica de Coimbra W 3-155.3 1766 1668 69.36% 14.31% 16.32%+1.38 +6.0 2
1964-10-11 @ Fabril L 1-355.3 1668 1766 16.32% 14.31% 69.36%-1.38 -5.9 0
1964-10-11 Braga W 2-156.6 1720 1636 68.24% 14.35% 17.41%+1.28 +3.6 2
1964-10-11 @ Leixoes L 1-256.6 1636 1720 17.41% 14.35% 68.24%-1.28 -3.6 0
1964-10-11 Varzim L 1-265.2 1577 1636 52.67% 14.56% 32.76%+0.21 -9.8 0
1964-10-11 @ Seixal W 2-165.2 1636 1577 32.76% 14.56% 52.67%-0.21 +9.8 2
1964-10-11 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-053.3 1845 1761 68.27% 14.35% 17.38%+1.28 +3.8 2
1964-10-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-153.3 1761 1845 17.38% 14.35% 68.27%-1.28 -3.9 0
1964-10-11 Vitoria Setubal L 0-448.5 1482 1711 29.66% 14.42% 55.92%-1.05 -22.4 0
1964-10-11 @ Uniao Torreense W 4-048.5 1711 1482 55.92% 14.42% 29.66%+1.05 +22.4 2
1964-10-11 Porto D 0-071.4 1805 1892 49.00% 14.57% 36.43%+0.01 -0.6 1
1964-10-11 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-071.4 1892 1805 36.43% 14.57% 49.00%-0.01 +0.6 1
1964-10-18 Uniao Torreense W 2-043.2 1662 1459 76.42% 13.95% 9.63%+2.17 +4.1 2
1964-10-18 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-243.2 1459 1662 9.63% 13.95% 76.42%-2.17 -4.1 0
1964-10-18 Leixoes W 3-263.7 1757 1724 63.46% 14.46% 22.08%+0.90 +4.3 2
1964-10-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-363.7 1724 1757 22.08% 14.46% 63.46%-0.90 -4.3 2
1964-10-18 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-048.5 1982 1849 72.08% 14.21% 13.71%+1.65 +8.5 4
1964-10-18 @ Benfica L 0-348.5 1849 1982 13.71% 14.21% 72.08%-1.65 -8.5 2
1964-10-18 Fabril W 2-165.0 1632 1772 41.53% 14.55% 43.92%-0.39 +8.3 2
1964-10-18 @ Braga L 1-265.0 1772 1632 43.92% 14.55% 41.53%+0.39 -8.3 2
1964-10-18 Lusitano de Evora W 1-049.0 1893 1579 81.23% 13.41% 5.36%+3.00 +1.2 3
1964-10-18 @ Porto L 0-149.0 1579 1893 5.36% 13.41% 81.23%-3.00 -1.2 0
1964-10-18 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-174.5 1646 1805 38.83% 14.53% 46.64%-0.53 +0.3 3
1964-10-18 @ Varzim D 1-174.5 1805 1646 46.64% 14.53% 38.83%+0.53 -0.3 2
1964-10-18 Seixal W 8-045.1 1733 1567 74.31% 14.09% 11.60%+1.89 +18.1 4
1964-10-18 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-845.1 1567 1733 11.60% 14.09% 74.31%-1.89 -18.1 0
1964-10-25 Braga W 2-157.8 1666 1640 62.72% 14.47% 22.81%+0.85 +4.7 4
1964-10-25 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-257.8 1640 1666 22.81% 14.47% 62.72%-0.85 -4.7 2
1964-10-25 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-174.7 1764 1761 60.14% 14.51% 25.35%+0.67 -1.6 3
1964-10-25 @ Fabril D 1-174.7 1761 1764 25.35% 14.51% 60.14%-0.67 +1.6 3
1964-10-25 Benfica D 1-175.1 1719 1991 24.75% 14.32% 60.93%-1.37 +1.7 3
1964-10-25 @ Leixoes D 1-175.1 1991 1719 60.93% 14.32% 24.75%+1.37 -1.7 5
1964-10-25 Varzim L 0-160.6 1578 1646 51.45% 14.57% 33.98%+0.14 -10.2 0
1964-10-25 @ Lusitano de Evora W 1-060.6 1646 1578 33.98% 14.57% 51.45%-0.14 +10.2 5
1964-10-25 Porto D 1-175.0 1841 1894 53.44% 14.56% 32.00%+0.26 -1.0 3
1964-10-25 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-175.0 1894 1841 32.00% 14.56% 53.44%-0.26 +1.0 4
1964-10-25 Seixal L 0-152.9 1455 1549 48.09% 14.57% 37.34%-0.04 -9.6 0
1964-10-25 @ Uniao Torreense W 1-052.9 1549 1455 37.34% 14.57% 48.09%+0.04 +9.6 2
1964-10-25 Vitoria Setubal L 1-272.0 1804 1751 65.40% 14.42% 20.17%+1.05 -12.1 2
1964-10-25 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-172.0 1751 1804 20.17% 14.42% 65.40%-1.05 +12.1 6
1964-11-01 Academica de Coimbra W 3-048.7 1763 1671 68.87% 14.33% 16.80%+1.34 +10.2 5
1964-11-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-348.7 1671 1763 16.80% 14.33% 68.87%-1.34 -10.2 4
1964-11-01 Fabril D 1-175.3 1989 1762 77.67% 13.84% 8.48%+2.35 -3.5 6
1964-11-01 @ Benfica D 1-175.3 1762 1989 8.48% 13.84% 77.67%-2.35 +3.5 4
1964-11-01 Uniao Torreense W 4-039.3 1636 1446 75.70% 14.00% 10.29%+2.07 +8.4 4
1964-11-01 @ Braga L 0-439.3 1446 1636 10.29% 14.00% 75.70%-2.07 -8.4 0
1964-11-01 Leixoes W 3-154.2 1895 1721 74.78% 14.06% 11.15%+1.95 +4.1 6
1964-11-01 @ Porto L 1-354.2 1721 1895 11.15% 14.06% 74.78%-1.95 -4.1 3
1964-11-01 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-155.6 1558 1792 29.05% 14.41% 56.54%-1.09 -6.1 2
1964-11-01 @ Seixal W 1-055.6 1792 1558 56.54% 14.41% 29.05%+1.09 +6.1 4
1964-11-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-165.7 1656 1840 35.48% 14.50% 50.02%-0.71 +16.2 7
1964-11-01 @ Varzim L 1-365.7 1840 1656 50.02% 14.50% 35.48%+0.71 -16.2 3
1964-11-01 Lusitano de Evora W 8-044.9 1764 1567 76.06% 13.98% 9.97%+2.12 +15.6 8
1964-11-01 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-844.9 1567 1764 9.97% 13.98% 76.06%-2.12 -15.6 0
1964-11-08 Benfica D 2-280.0 1661 1986 19.47% 14.15% 66.38%-1.77 +1.7 5
1964-11-08 @ Academica de Coimbra D 2-280.0 1986 1661 66.38% 14.15% 19.47%+1.77 -1.7 7
1964-11-08 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-264.8 1644 1773 43.08% 14.56% 42.36%-0.31 -8.2 4
1964-11-08 @ Braga W 2-164.8 1773 1644 42.36% 14.56% 43.08%+0.31 +8.2 7
1964-11-08 Porto W 2-059.0 1765 1899 42.39% 14.55% 43.05%-0.34 +16.4 6
1964-11-08 @ Fabril L 0-259.0 1899 1765 43.05% 14.55% 42.39%+0.34 -16.4 6
1964-11-08 Varzim W 3-049.8 1717 1672 64.56% 14.44% 21.00%+0.98 +12.6 5
1964-11-08 @ Leixoes L 0-349.8 1672 1717 21.00% 14.44% 64.56%-0.98 -12.6 7
1964-11-08 Seixal W 4-150.8 1552 1552 59.82% 14.51% 25.66%+0.65 +12.8 2
1964-11-08 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-450.8 1552 1552 25.66% 14.51% 59.82%-0.65 -12.8 2
1964-11-08 Vitoria Setubal W 3-263.7 1824 1779 64.58% 14.44% 20.99%+0.99 +4.1 5
1964-11-08 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-363.7 1779 1824 20.99% 14.44% 64.58%-0.99 -4.1 8
1964-11-08 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-353.0 1437 1799 16.39% 14.02% 69.59%-2.04 -5.9 0
1964-11-08 @ Uniao Torreense W 3-153.0 1799 1437 69.59% 14.02% 16.39%+2.04 +5.9 6
1964-11-22 Uniao Torreense W 1-045.9 1781 1431 82.36% 13.21% 4.42%+3.26 +1.0 9
1964-11-22 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-145.9 1431 1781 4.42% 13.21% 82.36%-3.26 -1.0 0
1964-11-22 Braga W 7-044.1 1984 1636 82.32% 13.22% 4.46%+3.25 +6.2 9
1964-11-22 @ Benfica L 0-744.1 1636 1984 4.46% 13.22% 82.32%-3.25 -6.2 4
1964-11-22 Academica de Coimbra L 1-275.4 1883 1663 77.33% 13.88% 8.80%+2.30 -14.4 6
1964-11-22 @ Porto W 2-175.4 1663 1883 8.80% 13.88% 77.33%-2.30 +14.4 7
1964-11-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-070.4 1539 1828 23.00% 14.27% 62.73%-1.50 +2.1 3
1964-11-22 @ Seixal D 0-070.4 1828 1539 62.73% 14.27% 23.00%+1.50 -2.1 6
1964-11-22 Fabril L 2-370.1 1660 1782 44.11% 14.56% 41.33%-0.25 -7.9 7
1964-11-22 @ Varzim W 3-270.1 1782 1660 41.33% 14.56% 44.11%+0.25 +7.9 8
1964-11-22 Lusitano de Evora W 2-047.2 1804 1564 78.28% 13.79% 7.94%+2.44 +3.4 8
1964-11-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-247.2 1564 1804 7.94% 13.79% 78.28%-2.44 -3.4 2
1964-11-22 Leixoes W 1-054.1 1775 1729 64.69% 14.44% 20.87%+0.99 +4.6 10
1964-11-22 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-154.1 1729 1775 20.87% 14.44% 64.69%-0.99 -4.6 5
1964-11-29 Varzim W 5-153.0 1677 1652 62.60% 14.47% 22.93%+0.84 +14.9 9
1964-11-29 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-553.0 1652 1677 22.93% 14.47% 62.60%-0.84 -14.9 7
1964-11-29 Benfica L 0-652.7 1782 1990 32.28% 14.46% 53.25%-0.90 -35.4 9
1964-11-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 6-052.7 1990 1782 53.25% 14.46% 32.28%+0.90 +35.4 11
1964-11-29 Porto W 2-062.9 1630 1869 28.47% 14.40% 57.13%-1.13 +21.1 6
1964-11-29 @ Braga L 0-262.9 1869 1630 57.13% 14.40% 28.47%+1.13 -21.1 6
1964-11-29 Vitoria Setubal W 3-051.6 1790 1780 60.99% 14.50% 24.51%+0.73 +14.5 10
1964-11-29 @ Fabril L 0-351.6 1780 1790 24.51% 14.50% 60.99%-0.73 -14.5 10
1964-11-29 Seixal W 6-043.8 1725 1542 75.32% 14.03% 10.65%+2.02 +12.7 7
1964-11-29 @ Leixoes L 0-643.8 1542 1725 10.65% 14.03% 75.32%-2.02 -12.7 3
1964-11-29 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-271.1 1826 1808 61.83% 14.49% 23.69%+0.79 -11.4 6
1964-11-29 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-171.1 1808 1826 23.69% 14.49% 61.83%-0.79 +11.4 10
1964-11-29 Lusitano de Evora L 1-255.3 1430 1561 42.86% 14.56% 42.59%-0.32 -8.2 0
1964-11-29 @ Uniao Torreense W 2-155.3 1561 1430 42.59% 14.56% 42.86%+0.32 +8.2 4
1964-12-06 Uniao Torreense W 6-041.9 2026 1422 87.41% 11.48% 1.11%+5.15 +1.3 13
1964-12-06 @ Benfica L 0-641.9 1422 2026 1.11% 11.48% 87.41%-5.15 -1.3 0
1964-12-06 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-174.1 1569 1814 27.75% 14.38% 57.87%-1.17 +1.4 5
1964-12-06 @ Lusitano de Evora D 1-174.1 1814 1569 57.87% 14.38% 27.75%+1.17 -1.4 7
1964-12-06 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-050.8 1847 1747 69.59% 14.31% 16.10%+1.40 +6.8 8
1964-12-06 @ Porto L 0-250.8 1747 1847 16.10% 14.31% 69.59%-1.40 -6.8 9
1964-12-06 Fabril D 2-278.6 1529 1804 24.36% 14.31% 61.33%-1.40 +1.3 4
1964-12-06 @ Seixal D 2-278.6 1804 1529 61.33% 14.31% 24.36%+1.40 -1.3 11
1964-12-06 Braga D 0-069.5 1637 1651 58.30% 14.53% 27.17%+0.55 -1.6 8
1964-12-06 @ Varzim D 0-069.5 1651 1637 27.17% 14.53% 58.30%-0.55 +1.6 7
1964-12-06 Leixoes W 4-048.4 1819 1737 68.03% 14.36% 17.61%+1.26 +14.0 12
1964-12-06 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-448.4 1737 1819 17.61% 14.36% 68.03%-1.26 -14.0 7
1964-12-06 Academica de Coimbra L 1-272.3 1765 1692 67.28% 14.38% 18.34%+1.20 -12.5 10
1964-12-06 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-172.3 1692 1765 18.34% 14.38% 67.28%-1.20 +12.4 11
1964-12-13 Seixal W 5-043.3 1704 1530 74.78% 14.06% 11.16%+1.95 +11.2 13
1964-12-13 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-543.3 1530 1704 11.16% 14.06% 74.78%-1.95 -11.2 4
1964-12-13 Varzim W 2-156.3 1740 1635 69.93% 14.29% 15.78%+1.43 +3.3 11
1964-12-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-256.3 1635 1740 15.78% 14.29% 69.93%-1.43 -3.3 8
1964-12-13 Porto W 4-046.6 2027 1854 74.70% 14.07% 11.23%+1.94 +9.1 15
1964-12-13 @ Benfica L 0-446.6 1854 2027 11.23% 14.07% 74.70%-1.94 -9.1 8
1964-12-13 Vitoria Setubal W 2-163.3 1652 1753 47.14% 14.57% 38.29%-0.09 +7.4 9
1964-12-13 @ Braga L 1-263.3 1753 1652 38.29% 14.57% 47.14%+0.09 -7.4 10
1964-12-13 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-159.8 1803 1833 56.30% 14.55% 29.15%+0.43 +10.1 13
1964-12-13 @ Fabril L 1-359.8 1833 1803 29.15% 14.55% 56.30%-0.43 -10.1 12
1964-12-13 Lusitano de Evora W 4-045.1 1724 1571 73.44% 14.14% 12.42%+1.79 +10.0 9
1964-12-13 @ Leixoes L 0-445.1 1571 1724 12.42% 14.14% 73.44%-1.79 -10.0 5
1964-12-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-063.0 1421 1813 14.12% 13.89% 71.99%-2.27 +38.6 2
1964-12-13 @ Uniao Torreense L 0-363.0 1813 1421 71.99% 13.89% 14.12%+2.27 -38.6 7
1964-12-20 Fabril W 3-167.6 1561 1813 26.90% 14.37% 58.74%-1.23 +18.8 7
1964-12-20 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-367.6 1813 1561 58.74% 14.37% 26.90%+1.23 -18.8 13
1964-12-20 Uniao Torreense W 2-045.0 1845 1460 83.35% 13.00% 3.65%+3.53 +1.6 10
1964-12-20 @ Porto L 0-245.0 1460 1845 3.65% 13.00% 83.35%-3.53 -1.6 2
1964-12-20 Braga W 3-053.6 1519 1660 41.41% 14.55% 44.04%-0.40 +24.3 6
1964-12-20 @ Seixal L 0-353.6 1660 1519 44.04% 14.55% 41.41%+0.40 -24.3 9
1964-12-20 Leixoes W 1-054.3 1774 1734 64.19% 14.45% 21.36%+0.96 +4.7 9
1964-12-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-154.3 1734 1774 21.36% 14.45% 64.19%-0.96 -4.7 9
1964-12-20 Benfica L 1-453.0 1632 2036 13.30% 13.84% 72.86%-2.36 -6.9 8
1964-12-20 @ Varzim W 4-153.0 2036 1632 72.86% 13.84% 13.30%+2.36 +6.9 17
1964-12-20 Academica de Coimbra W 1-052.5 1823 1715 70.17% 14.29% 15.54%+1.46 +3.5 14
1964-12-20 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-152.5 1715 1823 15.54% 14.29% 70.17%-1.46 -3.5 13
1964-12-20 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-055.4 1745 1743 60.08% 14.51% 25.41%+0.67 +5.5 12
1964-12-20 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-155.4 1743 1745 25.41% 14.51% 60.08%-0.67 -5.5 11
1964-12-27 Lusitano de Evora W 3-046.5 1712 1579 72.04% 14.21% 13.75%+1.64 +8.5 15
1964-12-27 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-346.5 1579 1712 13.75% 14.21% 72.04%-1.64 -8.5 7
1964-12-27 Seixal W 5-148.4 1738 1543 75.98% 13.98% 10.04%+2.11 +6.8 13
1964-12-27 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-548.4 1543 1738 10.04% 13.98% 75.98%-2.11 -6.8 6
1964-12-27 Vitoria Setubal W 3-259.1 2043 1751 80.45% 13.53% 6.02%+2.83 +1.2 19
1964-12-27 @ Benfica L 2-359.1 1751 2043 6.02% 13.53% 80.45%-2.83 -1.2 12
1964-12-27 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-063.0 1636 1827 34.47% 14.49% 51.04%-0.77 +10.1 11
1964-12-27 @ Braga L 0-163.0 1827 1636 51.04% 14.49% 34.47%+0.77 -10.1 14
1964-12-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-166.5 1794 1779 61.56% 14.49% 23.95%+0.77 -12.1 13
1964-12-27 @ Fabril W 1-066.5 1779 1794 23.95% 14.49% 61.56%-0.77 +12.1 11
1964-12-27 Varzim W 3-153.0 1847 1625 77.38% 13.87% 8.75%+2.30 +3.3 12
1964-12-27 @ Porto L 1-353.0 1625 1847 8.75% 13.87% 77.38%-2.30 -3.3 8
1964-12-27 Leixoes W 3-058.7 1458 1729 24.84% 14.32% 60.84%-1.37 +32.6 4
1964-12-27 @ Uniao Torreense L 0-358.7 1729 1458 60.84% 14.32% 24.84%+1.37 -32.6 9
1965-01-03 Fabril D 3-383.8 1696 1782 49.13% 14.57% 36.30%+0.01 -0.4 10
1965-01-03 @ Leixoes D 3-383.8 1782 1696 36.30% 14.57% 49.13%-0.01 +0.4 14
1965-01-03 Braga W 2-053.4 1571 1646 50.63% 14.57% 34.80%+0.10 +13.6 9
1965-01-03 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-253.4 1646 1571 34.80% 14.57% 50.63%-0.10 -13.6 11
1965-01-03 Benfica L 0-445.2 1536 2044 7.83% 13.31% 78.86%-3.13 -6.4 6
1965-01-03 @ Seixal W 4-045.2 2044 1536 78.86% 13.31% 7.83%+3.13 +6.4 21
1965-01-03 Academica de Coimbra L 2-475.1 1791 1720 67.03% 14.38% 18.59%+1.18 -19.2 11
1965-01-03 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 4-275.1 1720 1791 18.59% 14.38% 67.03%-1.18 +19.2 17
1965-01-03 Varzim D 0-065.5 1491 1622 42.75% 14.56% 42.69%-0.33 -0.0 5
1965-01-03 @ Uniao Torreense D 0-065.5 1622 1491 42.69% 14.56% 42.75%+0.33 +0.0 9
1965-01-03 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-158.0 1817 1745 67.14% 14.38% 18.48%+1.19 +3.9 16
1965-01-03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-258.0 1745 1817 18.48% 14.38% 67.14%-1.19 -3.8 13
1965-01-03 Porto L 0-162.2 1750 1850 47.14% 14.57% 38.29%-0.09 -9.4 12
1965-01-03 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-062.2 1850 1750 38.29% 14.57% 47.14%+0.09 +9.4 14
1965-01-10 Leixoes W 5-363.4 1740 1696 64.50% 14.44% 21.06%+0.98 +6.4 19
1965-01-10 @ Academica de Coimbra L 3-563.4 1696 1740 21.06% 14.44% 64.50%-0.98 -6.4 10
1965-01-10 Lusitano de Evora W 2-154.7 1741 1584 73.67% 14.13% 12.20%+1.82 +2.6 15
1965-01-10 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-254.7 1584 1741 12.20% 14.13% 73.67%-1.82 -2.6 9
1965-01-10 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-045.7 2051 1820 77.81% 13.83% 8.36%+2.37 +6.8 23
1965-01-10 @ Benfica L 0-445.7 1820 2051 8.36% 13.83% 77.81%-2.37 -6.9 16
1965-01-10 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-264.3 1632 1772 41.55% 14.55% 43.90%-0.39 -7.9 11
1965-01-10 @ Braga W 2-164.3 1772 1632 43.90% 14.55% 41.55%+0.39 +7.9 13
1965-01-10 Uniao Torreense W 4-148.6 1782 1491 80.43% 13.53% 6.04%+2.83 +3.2 16
1965-01-10 @ Fabril L 1-448.6 1491 1782 6.04% 13.53% 80.43%-2.83 -3.2 5
1965-01-10 Seixal W 6-043.2 1859 1530 81.73% 13.33% 4.94%+3.11 +6.0 16
1965-01-10 @ Porto L 0-643.2 1530 1859 4.94% 13.33% 81.73%-3.11 -6.0 6
1965-01-10 Vitoria Setubal W 4-160.4 1622 1740 44.64% 14.56% 40.80%-0.23 +19.2 11
1965-01-10 @ Varzim L 1-460.4 1740 1622 40.80% 14.56% 44.64%+0.23 -19.2 12
1965-01-17 Fabril L 1-268.9 1746 1786 55.16% 14.55% 30.28%+0.36 -10.2 19
1965-01-17 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-168.9 1786 1746 30.28% 14.55% 55.16%-0.36 +10.2 18
1965-01-17 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-269.0 1744 1780 55.60% 14.55% 29.85%+0.38 -10.3 15
1965-01-17 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-169.0 1780 1744 29.85% 14.55% 55.60%-0.38 +10.3 15
1965-01-17 Leixoes D 1-173.4 1624 1690 51.85% 14.57% 33.58%+0.17 -0.8 12
1965-01-17 @ Braga D 1-173.4 1690 1624 33.58% 14.57% 51.85%-0.17 +0.8 11
1965-01-17 Benfica D 0-071.7 1582 2057 9.26% 13.49% 77.25%-2.89 +3.8 10
1965-01-17 @ Lusitano de Evora D 0-071.7 2057 1582 77.25% 13.49% 9.26%+2.89 -3.8 24
1965-01-17 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-261.4 1865 1814 65.27% 14.42% 20.31%+1.04 +6.5 18
1965-01-17 @ Porto L 2-461.4 1814 1865 20.31% 14.42% 65.27%-1.04 -6.5 16
1965-01-17 Seixal W 6-043.0 1641 1524 70.89% 14.26% 14.85%+1.53 +17.4 13
1965-01-17 @ Varzim L 0-643.0 1524 1641 14.85% 14.26% 70.89%-1.53 -17.4 6
1965-01-17 Uniao Torreense W 4-042.2 1721 1487 77.97% 13.82% 8.21%+2.39 +6.7 14
1965-01-17 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-442.2 1487 1721 8.21% 13.82% 77.97%-2.39 -6.7 5
1965-01-31 Braga W 4-151.8 1796 1623 74.69% 14.07% 11.24%+1.94 +5.9 20
1965-01-31 @ Fabril L 1-451.8 1623 1796 11.24% 14.07% 74.69%-1.94 -5.9 12
1965-01-31 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-052.9 1690 1733 54.77% 14.56% 30.68%+0.33 +17.7 13
1965-01-31 @ Leixoes L 0-352.9 1733 1690 30.68% 14.56% 54.77%-0.33 -17.7 15
1965-01-31 Porto L 2-559.0 1586 1872 23.23% 14.28% 62.49%-1.48 -10.1 10
1965-01-31 @ Lusitano de Evora W 5-259.0 1872 1586 62.49% 14.28% 23.23%+1.48 +10.0 20
1965-01-31 Vitoria Setubal L 0-154.5 1507 1728 30.65% 14.44% 54.92%-0.99 -6.5 6
1965-01-31 @ Seixal W 1-054.5 1728 1507 54.92% 14.44% 30.65%+0.99 +6.5 16
1965-01-31 Benfica D 2-280.1 1790 2054 25.63% 14.34% 60.03%-1.31 +1.2 16
1965-01-31 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-280.1 2054 1790 60.03% 14.34% 25.63%+1.31 -1.2 25
1965-01-31 Academica de Coimbra L 0-349.1 1481 1736 26.60% 14.36% 59.04%-1.25 -15.6 5
1965-01-31 @ Uniao Torreense W 3-049.1 1736 1481 59.04% 14.36% 26.60%+1.25 +15.6 21
1965-01-31 Varzim W 7-148.7 1807 1659 73.14% 14.16% 12.70%+1.76 +12.4 18
1965-01-31 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-748.7 1659 1807 12.70% 14.16% 73.14%-1.76 -12.4 13
1965-02-07 Fabril L 1-267.1 1716 1802 49.07% 14.57% 36.36%+0.01 -9.2 15
1965-02-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-167.1 1802 1716 36.36% 14.57% 49.07%-0.01 +9.2 22
1965-02-07 Leixoes W 5-044.0 2052 1708 82.20% 13.24% 4.56%+3.22 +4.6 27
1965-02-07 @ Benfica L 0-544.0 1708 2052 4.56% 13.24% 82.20%-3.22 -4.6 13
1965-02-07 Academica de Coimbra L 2-369.1 1617 1751 42.37% 14.55% 43.07%-0.35 -7.7 12
1965-02-07 @ Braga W 3-269.1 1751 1617 43.07% 14.55% 42.37%+0.35 +7.7 23
1965-02-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-371.6 1882 1791 68.78% 14.33% 16.89%+1.33 -22.0 20
1965-02-07 @ Porto W 3-171.6 1791 1882 16.89% 14.33% 68.78%-1.33 +22.0 18
1965-02-07 Uniao Torreense W 2-148.0 1500 1465 63.64% 14.46% 21.91%+0.92 +4.5 8
1965-02-07 @ Seixal L 1-248.0 1465 1500 21.91% 14.46% 63.64%-0.92 -4.5 5
1965-02-07 Lusitano de Evora L 0-165.2 1646 1576 67.03% 14.38% 18.58%+1.18 -13.2 13
1965-02-07 @ Varzim W 1-065.2 1576 1646 18.58% 14.38% 67.03%-1.18 +13.2 12
1965-02-07 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-163.3 1734 1819 49.20% 14.57% 36.23%+0.02 +7.1 18
1965-02-07 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-263.3 1819 1734 36.23% 14.57% 49.20%-0.02 -7.1 18
1965-02-14 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-154.8 1759 1706 65.37% 14.42% 20.21%+1.05 +10.2 25
1965-02-14 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-454.8 1706 1759 20.21% 14.42% 65.37%-1.05 -10.2 15
1965-02-14 Benfica W 2-063.6 1811 2057 27.63% 14.38% 57.99%-1.18 +21.5 24
1965-02-14 @ Fabril L 0-263.6 2057 1811 57.99% 14.38% 27.63%+1.18 -21.5 27
1965-02-14 Porto L 1-362.7 1703 1860 39.22% 14.54% 46.24%-0.51 -13.1 13
1965-02-14 @ Leixoes W 3-162.7 1860 1703 46.24% 14.54% 39.22%+0.51 +13.1 22
1965-02-14 Vitoria Setubal L 0-256.6 1589 1741 39.76% 14.54% 45.70%-0.48 -15.3 12
1965-02-14 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-056.6 1741 1589 45.70% 14.54% 39.76%+0.48 +15.3 20
1965-02-14 Varzim W 3-260.0 1813 1633 75.14% 14.04% 10.82%+2.00 +2.2 20
1965-02-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-360.0 1633 1813 10.82% 14.04% 75.14%-2.00 -2.2 13
1965-02-14 Braga W 5-049.2 1461 1610 40.24% 14.54% 45.22%-0.46 +40.0 7
1965-02-14 @ Uniao Torreense L 0-549.2 1610 1461 45.22% 14.54% 40.24%+0.46 -40.0 12
1965-02-14 Seixal W 1-047.9 1812 1505 81.00% 13.45% 5.55%+2.95 +1.3 20
1965-02-14 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-147.9 1505 1812 5.55% 13.45% 81.00%-2.95 -1.3 8
1965-02-21 Braga W 2-154.5 1696 1570 71.59% 14.23% 14.18%+1.60 +3.0 17
1965-02-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-254.5 1570 1696 14.18% 14.23% 71.59%-1.60 -3.0 12
1965-02-21 Academica de Coimbra W 3-046.3 2036 1769 79.43% 13.66% 6.91%+2.64 +4.4 29
1965-02-21 @ Benfica L 0-346.3 1769 2036 6.91% 13.66% 79.43%-2.64 -4.3 25
1965-02-21 Fabril W 2-052.5 1873 1832 64.17% 14.45% 21.38%+0.96 +8.8 24
1965-02-21 @ Porto L 0-252.5 1832 1873 21.38% 14.45% 64.17%-0.96 -8.8 24
1965-02-21 Lusitano de Evora L 0-254.4 1503 1573 51.26% 14.57% 34.17%+0.13 -19.1 8
1965-02-21 @ Seixal W 2-054.4 1573 1503 34.17% 14.57% 51.26%-0.13 +19.1 14
1965-02-21 Leixoes W 5-155.9 1631 1690 52.63% 14.56% 32.80%+0.21 +20.5 15
1965-02-21 @ Varzim L 1-555.9 1690 1631 32.80% 14.56% 52.63%-0.21 -20.5 13
1965-02-21 Uniao Torreense W 2-045.8 1814 1501 81.19% 13.42% 5.39%+2.99 +2.3 22
1965-02-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-245.8 1501 1814 5.39% 13.42% 81.19%-2.99 -2.3 7
1965-02-21 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-071.3 1756 1815 52.71% 14.56% 32.73%+0.21 -1.0 21
1965-02-21 @ Vitoria Setubal D 0-071.3 1815 1756 32.73% 14.56% 52.71%-0.21 +1.0 21
1965-02-28 Porto L 1-462.7 1765 1882 44.84% 14.56% 40.60%-0.22 -20.8 25
1965-02-28 @ Academica de Coimbra W 4-162.7 1882 1765 40.60% 14.56% 44.84%+0.22 +20.8 26
1965-02-28 Benfica L 1-255.0 1567 2040 9.36% 13.50% 77.14%-2.87 -2.0 12
1965-02-28 @ Braga W 2-155.0 2040 1567 77.14% 13.50% 9.36%+2.87 +2.0 31
1965-02-28 Varzim W 2-155.4 1824 1651 74.67% 14.07% 11.26%+1.94 +2.4 26
1965-02-28 @ Fabril L 1-255.4 1651 1824 11.26% 14.07% 74.67%-1.94 -2.4 15
1965-02-28 Vitoria Setubal L 2-371.6 1670 1755 49.18% 14.57% 36.25%+0.02 -8.7 13
1965-02-28 @ Leixoes W 3-271.6 1755 1670 36.25% 14.57% 49.18%-0.02 +8.7 23
1965-02-28 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-260.9 1593 1816 30.35% 14.43% 55.22%-1.01 -6.0 14
1965-02-28 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-160.9 1816 1593 55.22% 14.43% 30.35%+1.01 +6.0 24
1965-02-28 Seixal W 1-047.5 1816 1484 81.82% 13.31% 4.87%+3.13 +1.1 23
1965-02-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-147.5 1484 1816 4.87% 13.31% 81.82%-3.13 -1.1 8
1965-02-28 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-252.5 1498 1699 33.21% 14.47% 52.32%-0.84 -13.1 7
1965-02-28 @ Uniao Torreense W 2-052.5 1699 1498 52.32% 14.47% 33.21%+0.84 +13.1 19
1965-03-07 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-258.7 2042 1712 81.75% 13.33% 4.93%+3.11 +1.0 33
1965-03-07 @ Benfica L 2-358.7 1712 2042 4.93% 13.33% 81.75%-3.11 -1.0 19
1965-03-07 Uniao Torreense W 6-040.5 1587 1485 69.67% 14.30% 16.03%+1.41 +18.7 16
1965-03-07 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-640.5 1485 1587 16.03% 14.30% 69.67%-1.41 -18.7 7
1965-03-07 Braga D 1-174.9 1902 1565 82.00% 13.28% 4.72%+3.17 -3.9 27
1965-03-07 @ Porto D 1-174.9 1565 1902 4.72% 13.28% 82.00%-3.17 +3.9 13
1965-03-07 Leixoes L 0-350.3 1483 1661 36.24% 14.51% 49.26%-0.67 -20.5 8
1965-03-07 @ Seixal W 3-050.3 1661 1483 49.26% 14.51% 36.24%+0.67 +20.5 15
1965-03-07 Academica de Coimbra L 0-259.6 1649 1744 47.85% 14.57% 37.58%-0.06 -18.0 15
1965-03-07 @ Varzim W 2-059.6 1744 1649 37.58% 14.57% 47.85%+0.06 +18.0 27
1965-03-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-279.9 1822 1818 60.38% 14.51% 25.12%+0.69 -1.2 25
1965-03-07 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-279.9 1818 1822 25.12% 14.51% 60.38%-0.69 +1.2 24
1965-03-07 Fabril W 2-162.5 1764 1826 52.34% 14.57% 33.10%+0.19 +6.5 25
1965-03-07 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-262.5 1826 1764 33.10% 14.57% 52.34%-0.19 -6.5 26
1965-03-14 Vitoria Setubal D 1-174.8 1762 1771 58.89% 14.52% 26.59%+0.59 -1.5 28
1965-03-14 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-174.8 1771 1762 26.59% 14.52% 58.89%-0.59 +1.5 26
1965-03-14 Porto L 0-158.6 1711 1899 34.97% 14.50% 50.53%-0.74 -7.2 19
1965-03-14 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-058.6 1899 1711 50.53% 14.50% 34.97%+0.74 +7.3 29
1965-03-14 Varzim D 1-171.5 1569 1631 52.27% 14.57% 33.16%+0.19 -0.9 14
1965-03-14 @ Braga D 1-171.5 1631 1569 33.16% 14.57% 52.27%-0.19 +0.9 16
1965-03-14 Seixal W 3-043.2 1820 1463 82.57% 13.17% 4.26%+3.31 +2.7 28
1965-03-14 @ Fabril L 0-343.2 1463 1820 4.26% 13.17% 82.57%-3.31 -2.7 8
1965-03-14 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-174.7 1682 1821 41.64% 14.55% 43.81%-0.38 +0.1 16
1965-03-14 @ Leixoes D 1-174.7 1821 1682 43.81% 14.55% 41.64%+0.38 -0.1 26
1965-03-14 Lusitano de Evora W 2-048.0 1819 1605 76.98% 13.90% 9.11%+2.25 +3.9 26
1965-03-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-248.0 1605 1819 9.11% 13.90% 76.98%-2.25 -3.9 16
1965-03-14 Benfica L 1-351.9 1466 2043 5.45% 12.90% 81.65%-3.64 -2.0 7
1965-03-14 @ Uniao Torreense W 3-151.9 2043 1466 81.65% 12.90% 5.45%+3.64 +2.0 35
1965-03-21 Leixoes W 2-161.3 1601 1682 49.87% 14.57% 35.56%+0.05 +6.9 18
1965-03-21 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-261.3 1682 1601 35.56% 14.57% 49.87%-0.05 -6.9 16
1965-03-21 Benfica W 1-061.4 1906 2045 41.63% 14.55% 43.82%-0.38 +8.8 31
1965-03-21 @ Porto L 0-161.4 2045 1906 43.82% 14.55% 41.63%+0.38 -8.8 35
1965-03-21 Academica de Coimbra L 1-354.4 1460 1761 21.77% 14.23% 64.00%-1.59 -7.7 8
1965-03-21 @ Seixal W 3-154.4 1761 1460 64.00% 14.23% 21.77%+1.59 +7.7 30
1965-03-21 Uniao Torreense W 4-042.2 1823 1464 82.61% 13.16% 4.23%+3.32 +3.5 28
1965-03-21 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-442.2 1464 1823 4.23% 13.16% 82.61%-3.32 -3.5 7
1965-03-21 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-162.1 1632 1704 50.99% 14.57% 34.45%+0.12 -10.1 16
1965-03-21 @ Varzim W 1-062.1 1704 1632 34.45% 14.57% 50.99%-0.12 +10.1 21
1965-03-21 Fabril L 1-368.9 1821 1822 59.71% 14.51% 25.78%+0.64 -19.1 26
1965-03-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-168.9 1822 1821 25.78% 14.51% 59.71%-0.64 +19.1 30
1965-03-21 Braga W 5-148.9 1772 1568 76.51% 13.94% 9.55%+2.18 +6.5 28
1965-03-21 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-548.9 1568 1772 9.55% 13.94% 76.51%-2.18 -6.5 14
1965-03-28 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-269.3 1768 1802 55.95% 14.55% 29.50%+0.41 -10.4 30
1965-03-28 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-169.3 1802 1768 29.50% 14.55% 55.95%-0.41 +10.4 28
1965-03-28 Vitoria Setubal L 1-267.9 1714 1779 51.95% 14.57% 33.48%+0.17 -9.7 21
1965-03-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-167.9 1779 1714 33.48% 14.57% 51.95%-0.17 +9.7 30
1965-03-28 Varzim W 5-043.3 2036 1622 84.06% 12.82% 3.12%+3.74 +3.1 37
1965-03-28 @ Benfica L 0-543.3 1622 2036 3.12% 12.82% 84.06%-3.74 -3.1 16
1965-03-28 Seixal W 6-038.2 1561 1452 70.26% 14.28% 15.46%+1.47 +18.1 16
1965-03-28 @ Braga L 0-638.2 1452 1561 15.46% 14.28% 70.26%-1.47 -18.1 8
1965-03-28 Lusitano de Evora L 0-170.8 1841 1608 77.95% 13.82% 8.23%+2.39 -15.4 30
1965-03-28 @ Fabril W 1-070.8 1608 1841 8.23% 13.82% 77.95%-2.39 +15.4 20
1965-03-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 3-383.9 1675 1826 39.90% 14.54% 45.56%-0.47 +0.2 17
1965-03-28 @ Leixoes D 3-383.9 1826 1675 45.56% 14.54% 39.90%+0.47 -0.2 29
1965-03-28 Porto L 1-254.5 1461 1915 10.35% 13.60% 76.04%-2.73 -2.2 7
1965-03-28 @ Uniao Torreense W 2-154.5 1915 1461 76.04% 13.60% 10.35%+2.73 +2.2 33
1965-04-04 Uniao Torreense W 3-041.6 1675 1459 77.12% 13.89% 8.98%+2.27 +5.6 19
1965-04-04 @ Leixoes L 0-341.6 1459 1675 8.98% 13.89% 77.12%-2.27 -5.6 7
1965-04-04 Academica de Coimbra L 1-264.4 1624 1758 42.34% 14.55% 43.10%-0.35 -8.1 20
1965-04-04 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-164.4 1758 1624 43.10% 14.55% 42.34%+0.35 +8.1 32
1965-04-04 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-150.5 1434 1704 24.93% 14.32% 60.75%-1.36 -5.4 8
1965-04-04 @ Seixal W 1-050.5 1704 1434 60.75% 14.32% 24.93%+1.36 +5.4 23
1965-04-04 Fabril D 0-071.4 1826 1826 59.89% 14.51% 25.60%+0.65 -1.8 30
1965-04-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-071.4 1826 1826 25.60% 14.51% 59.89%-0.65 +1.8 31
1965-04-04 Porto W 2-064.9 1619 1917 22.00% 14.24% 63.76%-1.57 +23.5 18
1965-04-04 @ Varzim L 0-264.9 1917 1619 63.76% 14.24% 22.00%+1.57 -23.5 33
1965-04-04 Braga L 2-379.8 1812 1579 77.93% 13.82% 8.25%+2.39 -13.8 28
1965-04-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-279.8 1579 1812 8.25% 13.82% 77.93%-2.39 +13.8 18
1965-04-04 Benfica L 1-260.8 1788 2039 27.07% 14.37% 58.56%-1.22 -5.4 30
1965-04-04 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-160.8 2039 1788 58.56% 14.37% 27.07%+1.22 +5.5 39
1965-05-02 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-054.1 1766 1824 52.80% 14.56% 32.64%+0.22 +18.7 34
1965-05-02 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-354.1 1824 1766 32.64% 14.56% 52.80%-0.22 -18.7 30
1965-05-02 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-279.6 1710 1798 48.76% 14.57% 36.67%-0.01 -0.4 24
1965-05-02 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-279.6 1798 1710 36.67% 14.57% 48.76%+0.01 +0.4 29
1965-05-02 Seixal W 11-344.1 2045 1429 87.58% 11.38% 1.03%+5.24 +0.9 41
1965-05-02 @ Benfica L 3-1144.1 1429 2045 1.03% 11.38% 87.58%-5.24 -0.9 8
1965-05-02 Lusitano de Evora W 2-051.2 1593 1616 57.25% 14.54% 28.21%+0.49 +11.3 20
1965-05-02 @ Braga L 0-251.2 1616 1593 28.21% 14.54% 57.25%-0.49 -11.3 20
1965-05-02 Leixoes W 2-156.0 1828 1681 73.05% 14.16% 12.79%+1.75 +2.7 33
1965-05-02 @ Fabril L 1-256.0 1681 1828 12.79% 14.16% 73.05%-1.75 -2.7 19
1965-05-02 Vitoria Setubal W 1-052.7 1893 1783 70.37% 14.28% 15.35%+1.48 +3.4 35
1965-05-02 @ Porto L 0-152.7 1783 1893 15.35% 14.28% 70.37%-1.48 -3.4 30
1965-05-02 Uniao Torreense W 3-147.5 1642 1453 75.65% 14.01% 10.34%+2.06 +3.9 20
1965-05-02 @ Varzim L 1-347.5 1453 1642 10.34% 14.01% 75.65%-2.06 -3.8 7
1965-05-09 Academica de Coimbra W 5-158.9 1678 1785 46.24% 14.57% 39.20%-0.14 +23.9 21
1965-05-09 @ Leixoes L 1-558.9 1785 1678 39.20% 14.57% 46.24%+0.14 -23.9 34
1965-05-09 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-559.9 1604 1709 46.50% 14.57% 38.93%-0.13 -27.7 20
1965-05-09 @ Lusitano de Evora W 5-159.9 1709 1604 38.93% 14.57% 46.50%+0.13 +27.7 26
1965-05-09 Porto L 1-253.7 1428 1897 9.58% 13.52% 76.89%-2.84 -2.0 8
1965-05-09 @ Seixal W 2-153.7 1897 1428 76.89% 13.52% 9.58%+2.84 +2.0 37
1965-05-09 Braga W 3-153.0 1806 1604 76.33% 13.96% 9.71%+2.15 +3.6 32
1965-05-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-353.0 1604 1806 9.71% 13.96% 76.33%-2.15 -3.6 20
1965-05-09 Fabril L 0-150.4 1449 1830 14.88% 13.94% 71.19%-2.19 -3.3 7
1965-05-09 @ Uniao Torreense W 1-050.4 1830 1449 71.19% 13.94% 14.88%+2.19 +3.3 35
1965-05-09 Benfica L 1-260.9 1799 2046 27.52% 14.38% 58.10%-1.19 -5.5 29
1965-05-09 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-160.9 2046 1799 58.10% 14.38% 27.52%+1.19 +5.5 43
1965-05-09 Varzim W 7-148.8 1780 1646 72.11% 14.21% 13.68%+1.65 +13.3 32
1965-05-09 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-748.8 1646 1780 13.68% 14.21% 72.11%-1.65 -13.3 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1965-03-28 8.23% Lusitano de Evora 1608 1 @ Fabril 1841 0
2 1965-04-04 8.25% Braga 1579 3 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1812 2
3 1964-11-22 8.80% Academica de Coimbra 1663 2 @ Porto 1883 1
4 1964-12-13 14.12% @ Uniao Torreense 1421 3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1813 0
5 1965-02-07 16.89% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1791 3 @ Porto 1882 1
6 1964-12-06 18.34% Academica de Coimbra 1692 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1765 1
7 1965-02-07 18.58% Lusitano de Evora 1576 1 @ Varzim 1646 0
8 1965-01-03 18.59% Academica de Coimbra 1720 4 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1791 2
9 1964-10-25 20.17% Vitoria Setubal 1751 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1804 1
10 1965-04-04 22.00% @ Varzim 1619 2 Porto 1917 0
11 1964-11-29 23.69% Vitoria Guimaraes 1808 2 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1826 1
12 1964-12-27 23.95% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1779 1 @ Fabril 1794 0
13 1964-12-27 24.84% @ Uniao Torreense 1458 3 Leixoes 1729 0
14 1965-03-21 25.78% Fabril 1822 3 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1821 1
15 1964-12-20 26.90% @ Lusitano de Evora 1561 3 Fabril 1813 1
16 1965-02-14 27.63% @ Fabril 1811 2 Benfica 2057 0
17 1964-11-29 28.47% @ Braga 1630 2 Porto 1869 0
18 1965-03-28 29.50% Vitoria Guimaraes 1802 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1768 1
19 1965-01-17 29.85% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1780 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1744 1
20 1965-01-17 30.28% Fabril 1786 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1746 1
21 1964-10-11 32.76% Varzim 1636 2 @ Seixal 1577 1
22 1965-03-28 33.48% Vitoria Setubal 1779 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1714 1
23 1964-10-25 33.98% Varzim 1646 1 @ Lusitano de Evora 1578 0
24 1965-02-21 34.17% Lusitano de Evora 1573 2 @ Seixal 1503 0
25 1965-03-21 34.45% Os Belenenses (1st) 1704 1 @ Varzim 1632 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1965-02-14 39.96 @ Uniao Torreense 5 1461 40.24% Braga 0 1610 45.22% 14.54%
2 1964-12-13 38.63 @ Uniao Torreense 3 1421 14.12% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1813 71.99% 13.89%
3 1964-11-29 35.41 Benfica 6 1990 53.25% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1782 32.28% 14.46%
4 1964-12-27 32.63 @ Uniao Torreense 3 1458 24.84% Leixoes 0 1729 60.84% 14.32%
5 1965-05-09 27.70 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 1709 38.93% @ Lusitano de Evora 1 1604 46.50% 14.57%
6 1964-12-20 24.26 @ Seixal 3 1519 41.41% Braga 0 1660 44.04% 14.55%
7 1965-05-09 23.90 @ Leixoes 5 1678 46.24% Academica de Coimbra 1 1785 39.20% 14.57%
8 1965-04-04 23.53 @ Varzim 2 1619 22.00% Porto 0 1917 63.76% 14.24%
9 1964-10-11 22.43 Vitoria Setubal 4 1711 55.92% @ Uniao Torreense 0 1482 29.66% 14.42%
10 1965-02-07 22.05 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1791 16.89% @ Porto 1 1882 68.78% 14.33%
11 1965-02-14 21.45 @ Fabril 2 1811 27.63% Benfica 0 2057 57.99% 14.38%
12 1964-11-29 21.14 @ Braga 2 1630 28.47% Porto 0 1869 57.13% 14.40%
13 1965-02-28 20.78 Porto 4 1882 40.60% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1765 44.84% 14.56%
14 1965-03-07 20.49 Leixoes 3 1661 49.26% @ Seixal 0 1483 36.24% 14.51%
15 1965-02-21 20.46 @ Varzim 5 1631 52.63% Leixoes 1 1690 32.80% 14.56%
16 1965-01-03 19.20 Academica de Coimbra 4 1720 18.59% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1791 67.03% 14.38%
17 1965-01-10 19.16 @ Varzim 4 1622 44.64% Vitoria Setubal 1 1740 40.80% 14.56%
18 1965-03-21 19.14 Fabril 3 1822 25.78% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1821 59.71% 14.51%
19 1965-02-21 19.13 Lusitano de Evora 2 1573 34.17% @ Seixal 0 1503 51.26% 14.57%
20 1964-12-20 18.81 @ Lusitano de Evora 3 1561 26.90% Fabril 1 1813 58.74% 14.37%
21 1965-03-07 18.74 @ Lusitano de Evora 6 1587 69.67% Uniao Torreense 0 1485 16.03% 14.30%
22 1965-05-02 18.72 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1766 52.80% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1824 32.64% 14.56%
23 1964-10-18 18.11 @ Vitoria Setubal 8 1733 74.31% Seixal 0 1567 11.60% 14.09%
24 1965-03-28 18.11 @ Braga 6 1561 70.26% Seixal 0 1452 15.46% 14.28%
25 1965-03-07 17.96 Academica de Coimbra 2 1744 37.58% @ Varzim 0 1649 47.85% 14.57%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1965-03-28 83.9 @ Leixoes 3 1675 39.90% Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1826 45.56% 14.54%
2 1965-01-03 83.8 @ Leixoes 3 1696 49.13% Fabril 3 1782 36.30% 14.57%
3 1965-01-31 80.1 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1790 25.63% Benfica 2 2054 60.03% 14.34%
4 1964-11-08 80.0 @ Academica de Coimbra 2 1661 19.47% Benfica 2 1986 66.38% 14.15%
5 1965-03-07 79.9 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1822 60.38% Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1818 25.12% 14.51%
6 1965-04-04 79.8 Braga 3 1579 8.25% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1812 77.93% 13.82%
7 1965-05-02 79.6 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1710 48.76% Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1798 36.67% 14.57%
8 1964-12-06 78.6 @ Seixal 2 1529 24.36% Fabril 2 1804 61.33% 14.31%
9 1964-11-22 75.4 Academica de Coimbra 2 1663 8.80% @ Porto 1 1883 77.33% 13.88%
10 1964-11-01 75.3 @ Benfica 1 1989 77.67% Fabril 1 1762 8.48% 13.84%
11 1964-10-25 75.1 @ Leixoes 1 1719 24.75% Benfica 1 1991 60.93% 14.32%
12 1965-01-03 75.1 Academica de Coimbra 4 1720 18.59% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1791 67.03% 14.38%
13 1964-10-25 75.0 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1841 53.44% Porto 1 1894 32.00% 14.56%
14 1965-03-07 74.9 @ Porto 1 1902 82.00% Braga 1 1565 4.72% 13.28%
15 1965-03-14 74.8 @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1762 58.89% Vitoria Setubal 1 1771 26.59% 14.52%
16 1964-10-25 74.7 @ Fabril 1 1764 60.14% Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1761 25.35% 14.51%
17 1965-03-14 74.7 @ Leixoes 1 1682 41.64% Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1821 43.81% 14.55%
18 1964-10-18 74.5 @ Varzim 1 1646 38.83% Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1805 46.64% 14.53%
19 1964-12-06 74.1 @ Lusitano de Evora 1 1569 27.75% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1814 57.87% 14.38%
20 1965-01-17 73.4 @ Braga 1 1624 51.85% Leixoes 1 1690 33.58% 14.57%
21 1964-12-06 72.3 Academica de Coimbra 2 1692 18.34% @ Vitoria Setubal 1 1765 67.28% 14.38%
22 1964-10-25 72.0 Vitoria Setubal 2 1751 20.17% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1804 65.40% 14.42%
23 1965-01-17 71.7 @ Lusitano de Evora 0 1582 9.26% Benfica 0 2057 77.25% 13.49%
24 1965-02-07 71.6 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1791 16.89% @ Porto 1 1882 68.78% 14.33%
25 1965-02-28 71.6 Vitoria Setubal 3 1755 36.25% @ Leixoes 2 1670 49.18% 14.57%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1965-03-28 38.2 @ Braga 6 1561 70.26% Seixal 0 1452 15.46% 14.28%
2 1964-11-01 39.3 @ Braga 4 1636 75.70% Uniao Torreense 0 1446 10.29% 14.00%
3 1965-03-07 40.5 @ Lusitano de Evora 6 1587 69.67% Uniao Torreense 0 1485 16.03% 14.30%
4 1965-04-04 41.6 @ Leixoes 3 1675 77.12% Uniao Torreense 0 1459 8.98% 13.89%
5 1964-12-06 41.9 @ Benfica 6 2026 87.41% Uniao Torreense 0 1422 1.11% 11.48%
6 1965-01-17 42.2 @ Vitoria Setubal 4 1721 77.97% Uniao Torreense 0 1487 8.21% 13.82%
7 1965-03-21 42.2 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1823 82.61% Uniao Torreense 0 1464 4.23% 13.16%
8 1965-01-17 43.0 @ Varzim 6 1641 70.89% Seixal 0 1524 14.85% 14.26%
9 1964-10-18 43.2 @ Academica de Coimbra 2 1662 76.42% Uniao Torreense 0 1459 9.63% 13.95%
10 1965-01-10 43.2 @ Porto 6 1859 81.73% Seixal 0 1530 4.94% 13.33%
11 1965-03-14 43.2 @ Fabril 3 1820 82.57% Seixal 0 1463 4.26% 13.17%
12 1964-10-11 43.3 @ Benfica 5 1979 83.64% Lusitano de Evora 0 1582 3.43% 12.93%
13 1964-12-13 43.3 @ Academica de Coimbra 5 1704 74.78% Seixal 0 1530 11.16% 14.06%
14 1965-03-28 43.3 @ Benfica 5 2036 84.06% Varzim 0 1622 3.12% 12.82%
15 1964-11-29 43.8 @ Leixoes 6 1725 75.32% Seixal 0 1542 10.65% 14.03%
16 1965-02-07 44.0 @ Benfica 5 2052 82.20% Leixoes 0 1708 4.56% 13.24%
17 1964-11-22 44.1 @ Benfica 7 1984 82.32% Braga 0 1636 4.46% 13.22%
18 1965-05-02 44.1 @ Benfica 11 2045 87.58% Seixal 3 1429 1.03% 11.38%
19 1964-11-01 44.9 @ Vitoria Setubal 8 1764 76.06% Lusitano de Evora 0 1567 9.97% 13.98%
20 1964-12-20 45.0 @ Porto 2 1845 83.35% Uniao Torreense 0 1460 3.65% 13.00%
21 1964-10-18 45.1 @ Vitoria Setubal 8 1733 74.31% Seixal 0 1567 11.60% 14.09%
22 1964-12-13 45.1 @ Leixoes 4 1724 73.44% Lusitano de Evora 0 1571 12.42% 14.14%
23 1965-01-03 45.2 Benfica 4 2044 78.86% @ Seixal 0 1536 7.83% 13.31%
24 1965-01-10 45.7 @ Benfica 4 2051 77.81% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1820 8.36% 13.83%
25 1965-02-21 45.8 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1814 81.19% Uniao Torreense 0 1501 5.39% 13.42%