1965-66 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

8.96 points above expected

42 points · 33.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Barreirense

4.97 points below expected

14 points · 18.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	18	6	2	42	70	21	+49	33.0	+8.96
2	Benfica	26	18	5	3	41	73	30	+43	36.8	+4.24
3	Porto	26	14	6	6	34	41	25	+16	31.1	+2.88
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	14	5	7	33	58	47	+11	29.1	+3.87
5	Vitoria Setubal	26	11	7	8	29	51	36	+15	28.7	+0.31
6	Academica de Coimbra	26	9	8	9	26	58	48	+10	27.1	-1.05
7	Varzim	26	9	7	10	25	40	38	+2	24.4	+0.60
8	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	9	7	10	25	28	29	-1	26.0	-0.96
9	Fabril	26	8	8	10	24	37	46	-9	27.8	-3.84
10	Braga	26	7	7	12	21	39	64	-25	20.9	+0.14
11	Leixoes	26	7	4	15	18	28	39	-11	21.8	-3.77
12	Beira-Mar	26	6	6	14	18	31	65	-34	20.3	-2.33
13	Barreirense	26	5	4	17	14	32	65	-33	19.0	-4.97
14	Lusitano de Evora	26	4	6	16	14	27	60	-33	18.1	-4.08

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	1935	41	36.76	+4.24	91.0%	27	30	35	37	39	43	45
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1866	42	33.04	+8.96	100.0%	26	27	30	33	35	38	40
Porto	1793	34	31.12	+2.88	75.0%	22	25	29	31	34	36	39
Vitoria Setubal	1755	29	28.69	+0.31	57.0%	16	21	26	28	32	36	40
Vitoria Guimaraes	1713	33	29.13	+3.87	83.0%	20	22	26	29	33	35	38
Academica de Coimbra	1689	26	27.05	-1.05	41.0%	16	19	24	27	30	33	38
Os Belenenses (1st)	1653	25	25.96	-0.96	49.0%	17	20	23	26	28	32	34
Fabril	1648	24	27.84	-3.84	20.0%	16	21	25	28	31	35	36
Varzim	1629	25	24.40	+0.60	64.0%	16	18	22	24	27	30	32
Leixoes	1597	18	21.77	-3.77	21.0%	13	15	19	21	25	29	30
Braga	1524	21	20.86	+0.14	55.0%	10	14	18	21	24	26	28
Beira-Mar	1483	18	20.33	-2.33	29.0%	12	14	18	20	23	27	30
Lusitano de Evora	1458	14	18.08	-4.08	19.0%	8	11	15	18	21	25	30
Barreirense	1454	14	18.97	-4.97	13.0%	11	13	16	19	22	26	27

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	BAR	BEI	BEN	BRA	FAB	LEI	LDE	OB(	POR	SCDP	VAR	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-1-0 3.98	2-0-0 3.40	0-1-1 1.82	1-0-1 3.40	0-2-0 2.77	1-1-0 3.54	1-1-0 3.95	0-0-2 3.02	0-0-2 2.38	0-0-2 2.04	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.66
Barreirense	0-1-1 1.60	—	0-1-1 2.69	0-0-2 0.91	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-2 1.81	1-0-1 2.33	0-0-2 3.04	0-1-1 2.00	2-0-0 1.38	0-0-2 1.67	1-0-1 2.34	0-1-1 1.62	0-0-2 1.45
Beira-Mar	0-0-2 2.16	1-1-0 2.87	—	0-1-1 1.28	1-0-1 2.72	0-0-2 2.06	1-1-0 2.47	1-1-0 3.03	0-1-1 2.00	0-0-2 1.38	0-1-1 1.39	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 1.91	1-0-1 1.93
Benfica	1-1-0 3.75	2-0-0 4.71	1-1-0 4.35	—	1-1-0 4.64	2-0-0 3.66	2-0-0 4.33	2-0-0 4.63	2-0-0 4.11	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 3.15	1-1-0 4.19	1-0-1 3.92	1-1-0 3.62
Braga	1-0-1 2.17	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.82	0-1-1 0.99	—	1-1-0 2.13	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 3.33	1-1-0 2.19	0-1-1 1.75	0-1-1 1.38	0-1-1 2.52	0-0-2 1.90	1-0-1 1.78
Fabril	0-2-0 2.78	2-0-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.51	0-0-2 1.91	0-1-1 3.44	—	1-0-1 3.56	1-1-0 3.74	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.35	0-1-1 1.72	0-0-2 3.08	0-1-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.73
Leixoes	0-1-1 2.02	1-0-1 3.22	0-1-1 3.08	0-0-2 1.29	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 1.99	—	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-2 2.07	0-0-2 1.57	0-1-1 2.56	1-0-1 1.90	0-0-2 2.00
Lusitano de Evora	0-1-1 1.63	2-0-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.52	0-0-2 1.02	1-0-1 2.22	0-1-1 1.85	0-0-2 2.40	—	0-1-1 1.72	0-1-1 1.13	0-0-2 1.79	1-0-1 1.63	0-1-1 1.31	0-0-2 1.79
Os Belenenses (1st)	2-0-0 2.53	1-1-0 3.59	1-1-0 3.56	0-0-2 1.47	0-1-1 3.36	0-1-1 2.69	1-0-1 3.33	1-1-0 3.86	—	1-0-1 2.22	0-1-1 1.97	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.27	0-0-2 2.56
Porto	2-0-0 3.17	0-0-2 4.21	2-0-0 4.22	1-0-1 2.09	1-1-0 3.82	1-1-0 3.23	2-0-0 3.51	1-1-0 4.50	1-0-1 3.34	—	0-1-1 2.56	1-0-1 3.72	2-0-0 3.02	0-2-0 3.05
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 3.53	2-0-0 3.94	1-1-0 4.19	1-0-1 2.41	1-1-0 4.20	1-1-0 3.85	2-0-0 4.00	2-0-0 3.82	1-1-0 3.59	1-1-0 2.99	—	2-0-0 3.99	0-1-1 3.08	2-0-0 3.15
Varzim	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 3.13	0-1-1 1.40	1-1-0 3.03	2-0-0 2.47	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 3.94	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 1.84	0-0-2 1.59	—	1-0-1 2.37	0-2-0 2.33
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-0-1 3.13	1-1-0 3.97	2-0-0 3.67	1-0-1 1.65	2-0-0 3.67	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.67	1-1-0 4.29	1-0-1 3.28	0-0-2 2.55	1-1-0 2.47	1-0-1 3.19	—	1-1-0 2.86
Vitoria Setubal	0-1-1 2.90	2-0-0 4.12	1-0-1 3.65	0-1-1 1.95	1-0-1 3.80	1-0-1 2.82	2-0-0 3.56	2-0-0 3.80	2-0-0 2.99	0-2-0 2.51	0-0-2 2.40	0-2-0 3.22	0-1-1 2.69	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.40%	6.04%	6.04%	2.75%	1.65%	2.20%	23.08%
1	6.04%	13.74%	4.95%	3.85%	1.92%	2.20%	32.69%
2	6.04%	4.95%	4.95%	3.02%	1.10%	1.37%	21.43%
3	2.75%	3.85%	3.02%	—	0.55%	0.55%	10.71%
4	1.65%	1.92%	1.10%	0.55%	0.55%	—	5.77%
5+	2.20%	2.20%	1.37%	0.55%	—	—	6.32%
Total	23.08%	32.69%	21.43%	10.71%	5.77%	6.32%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.68
Mean allowed	1.68
StdDev scored	1.60
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	3.37
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.046
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	—	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	7.69%	38.46%	30.77%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.75
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	4.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.300
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	30.77%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	30.77%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	2.20
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.080
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	11.54%	26.92%
1	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	50.00%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	—	—	11.54%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	7.69%	26.92%	30.77%	11.54%	3.85%	19.23%	100%

Beira-Mar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.94
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.300
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
1	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
2	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	34.62%	34.62%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.81
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	2.02
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.163
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%	26.92%
2	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	23.08%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.46
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	2.25
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.013
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
1	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	30.77%	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.065
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	42.31%
1	7.69%	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
2	11.54%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	46.15%	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	—	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.62
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.199
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%	—	—	11.54%	42.31%
1	—	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	30.77%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	23.08%	38.46%	7.69%	—	19.23%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	2.31
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.89
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.241
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
1	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
2	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	53.85%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.12
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	2.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.093
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.15%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.011
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
2	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
5+	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	42.31%	38.46%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.69
Mean allowed	0.81
StdDev scored	1.69
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.043
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	42.31%
2	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	30.77%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	—	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.470
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	15.38%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	26.92%	38.46%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	4.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.092
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	46.15%
2	11.54%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	38.46%	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	15.38%	—	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	2.09
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.047
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	42	33.0	+8.96
2	Benfica	41	36.8	+4.24
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	33	29.1	+3.87
4	Porto	34	31.1	+2.88
5	Varzim	25	24.4	+0.60

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Barreirense	14	19.0	-4.97
2	Lusitano de Evora	14	18.1	-4.08
3	Fabril	24	27.8	-3.84
4	Leixoes	18	21.8	-3.77
5	Beira-Mar	18	20.3	-2.33

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	Oct 3 – Dec 19	1 in 1,314
2	Braga	4	Jan 2 – Jan 23	1 in 121
3	Varzim	3	Mar 6 – Mar 20	1 in 32
4	Barreirense	2	Sep 12 – Sep 19	1 in 31
5	Leixoes	2	Feb 20 – Feb 27	1 in 18

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fabril	4	Jan 9 – Jan 30	1 in 61
2	Porto	1	Sep 12 – Sep 12	1 in 16
3	Beira-Mar	4	Dec 12 – Jan 2	1 in 16
4	Lusitano de Evora	5	Feb 20 – Mar 20	1 in 15
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Jan 2 – Jan 16	1 in 14

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	14	Sep 12 – Jan 9	1 in 175
2	Lusitano de Evora	4	Nov 28 – Dec 19	1 in 62
3	Benfica	16	Nov 14 – Mar 6	1 in 34
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	8	Sep 12 – Nov 28	1 in 24
5	Vitoria Setubal	7	Jan 9 – Feb 20	1 in 19

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fabril	9	Jan 9 – Mar 6	1 in 122
2	Leixoes	9	Oct 10 – Jan 2	1 in 40
3	Academica de Coimbra	7	Oct 3 – Dec 12	1 in 35
4	Barreirense	12	Jan 16 – May 1	1 in 32
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	Mar 6 – May 1	1 in 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Sporting Clube de Portugal	19.00%	34.00%	15.00%	16.00%	9.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Benfica	68.00%	17.00%	9.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	7.00%	13.00%	24.00%	17.00%	17.00%	9.00%	8.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	1.00%	12.00%	9.00%	19.00%	11.00%	13.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	—
Vitoria Setubal	1.00%	15.00%	15.00%	10.00%	14.00%	10.00%	13.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Academica de Coimbra	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	12.00%	19.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Varzim	—	—	1.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	13.00%	11.00%	15.00%	20.00%	9.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	—	1.00%	8.00%	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	11.00%	15.00%	19.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—
Fabril	3.00%	4.00%	10.00%	8.00%	13.00%	24.00%	11.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Braga	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	16.00%	14.00%	10.00%	9.00%	20.00%	14.00%	13.00%
Leixoes	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	10.00%	5.00%	20.00%	17.00%	15.00%	7.00%	11.00%
Beira-Mar	—	—	—	—	2.00%	—	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	27.00%	13.00%	21.00%	13.00%
Barreirense	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	15.00%	30.00%	22.00%
Lusitano de Evora	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	20.00%	21.00%	36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	100%	—
Vitoria Setubal	99.0%	1.0%
Academica de Coimbra	98.0%	2.0%
Os Belenenses (1st)	98.0%	2.0%
Fabril	97.0%	3.0%
Varzim	96.0%	4.0%
Leixoes	82.0%	18.0%
Braga	73.0%	27.0%
Beira-Mar	66.0%	34.0%
Barreirense	48.0%	52.0%
Lusitano de Evora	43.0%	57.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1965-09-12	Benfica	D 2-2	1673	1850	37.2%	22.7%	40.1%	+0.1	1
1965-09-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1850	1673	40.1%	22.7%	37.2%	-0.1	1
1965-09-12	Braga	D 0-0	1654	1571	66.0%	21.5%	12.6%	-3.8	1
1965-09-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1571	1654	12.6%	21.5%	66.0%	+3.8	1
1965-09-12	Leixoes	W 3-1	1718	1636	65.9%	21.5%	12.6%	+6.7	3
1965-09-12	@ Fabril	L 1-3	1636	1718	12.6%	21.5%	65.9%	-6.7	0
1965-09-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1558	1689	43.6%	22.9%	33.5%	-23.4	0
1965-09-12	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 5-2	1689	1558	33.5%	22.9%	43.6%	+23.4	3
1965-09-12	Barreirense	L 0-1	1746	1524	74.7%	19.0%	6.4%	-19.1	0
1965-09-12	@ Porto	W 1-0	1524	1746	6.4%	19.0%	74.7%	+19.1	3
1965-09-12	Beira-Mar	W 6-0	1593	1597	58.6%	22.4%	19.0%	+31.1	3
1965-09-12	@ Varzim	L 0-6	1597	1593	19.0%	22.4%	58.6%	-31.1	0
1965-09-12	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1686	1702	57.2%	22.5%	20.2%	+14.5	3
1965-09-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-4	1702	1686	20.2%	22.5%	57.2%	-14.5	0
1965-09-19	Varzim	W 3-1	1544	1624	50.0%	22.9%	27.1%	+13.1	6
1965-09-19	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1624	1544	27.1%	22.9%	50.0%	-13.1	3
1965-09-19	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1565	1535	61.7%	22.1%	16.2%	+9.7	3
1965-09-19	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1535	1565	16.2%	22.1%	61.7%	-9.7	0
1965-09-19	Fabril	W 6-1	1849	1725	69.0%	20.8%	10.2%	+12.2	4
1965-09-19	@ Benfica	L 1-6	1725	1849	10.2%	20.8%	69.0%	-12.2	3
1965-09-19	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1575	1673	47.9%	22.9%	29.2%	-11.3	1
1965-09-19	@ Braga	W 3-2	1673	1575	29.2%	22.9%	47.9%	+11.3	4
1965-09-19	Porto	L 2-3	1629	1727	48.0%	22.9%	29.2%	-11.3	0
1965-09-19	@ Leixoes	W 3-2	1727	1629	29.2%	22.9%	48.0%	+11.3	3
1965-09-19	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1712	1701	60.0%	22.3%	17.7%	-2.6	4
1965-09-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1701	1712	17.7%	22.3%	60.0%	+2.6	4
1965-09-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1688	1650	62.4%	22.0%	15.6%	+5.0	3
1965-09-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1650	1688	15.6%	22.0%	62.4%	-5.0	1
1965-09-26	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1684	1693	58.0%	22.5%	19.5%	+14.0	7
1965-09-26	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1693	1684	19.5%	22.5%	58.0%	-14.0	3
1965-09-26	Braga	D 1-1	1713	1564	70.5%	20.4%	9.1%	-3.9	4
1965-09-26	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1564	1713	9.1%	20.4%	70.5%	+3.9	2
1965-09-26	Barreirense	W 3-0	1525	1557	55.7%	22.6%	21.7%	+18.2	3
1965-09-26	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-3	1557	1525	21.7%	22.6%	55.7%	-18.2	6
1965-09-26	Benfica	W 2-0	1738	1862	44.5%	22.9%	32.6%	+17.5	6
1965-09-26	@ Porto	L 0-2	1862	1738	32.6%	22.9%	44.5%	-17.5	4
1965-09-26	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1710	1575	69.6%	20.7%	9.7%	-3.8	5
1965-09-26	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1575	1710	9.7%	20.7%	69.6%	+3.8	4
1965-09-26	Leixoes	W 2-0	1611	1618	58.2%	22.5%	19.3%	+11.4	6
1965-09-26	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1618	1611	19.3%	22.5%	58.2%	-11.3	0
1965-09-26	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1703	1645	64.1%	21.8%	14.1%	+4.1	7
1965-09-26	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1645	1703	14.1%	21.8%	64.1%	-4.1	1
1965-10-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1538	1706	38.5%	22.8%	38.7%	-17.2	6
1965-10-03	@ Barreirense	W 3-1	1706	1538	38.7%	22.8%	38.5%	+17.2	8
1965-10-03	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1579	1707	43.9%	22.9%	33.2%	-11.1	4
1965-10-03	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1707	1579	33.2%	22.9%	43.9%	+11.1	10
1965-10-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1641	1698	52.8%	22.8%	24.5%	+12.0	4
1965-10-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1698	1641	24.5%	22.8%	52.8%	-12.0	7
1965-10-03	Varzim	W 1-0	1844	1623	74.7%	19.0%	6.4%	+2.1	7
1965-10-03	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1623	1844	6.4%	19.0%	74.7%	-2.0	6
1965-10-03	Porto	D 0-0	1567	1755	35.7%	22.7%	41.7%	+0.4	3
1965-10-03	@ Braga	D 0-0	1755	1567	41.7%	22.7%	35.7%	-0.4	7
1965-10-03	Lusitano de Evora	W 8-1	1606	1544	64.4%	21.7%	13.8%	+22.2	3
1965-10-03	@ Leixoes	L 1-8	1544	1606	13.8%	21.7%	64.4%	-22.2	3
1965-10-03	Fabril	L 1-2	1679	1709	55.8%	22.6%	21.5%	-13.7	3
1965-10-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1709	1679	21.5%	22.6%	55.8%	+13.7	7
1965-10-10	Barreirense	W 3-2	1568	1521	63.1%	21.9%	15.0%	+4.3	7
1965-10-10	@ Beira-Mar	L 2-3	1521	1568	15.0%	21.9%	63.1%	-4.3	6
1965-10-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1722	1653	65.0%	21.7%	13.4%	+4.3	10
1965-10-10	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1653	1722	13.4%	21.7%	65.0%	-4.3	4
1965-10-10	Benfica	L 1-2	1521	1846	20.0%	21.2%	58.8%	-5.7	3
1965-10-10	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1846	1521	58.8%	21.2%	20.0%	+5.7	10
1965-10-10	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1755	1665	66.5%	21.4%	12.1%	-3.8	8
1965-10-10	@ Porto	D 0-0	1665	1755	12.1%	21.4%	66.5%	+3.8	4
1965-10-10	Leixoes	W 4-0	1723	1629	66.8%	21.3%	11.8%	+13.8	11
1965-10-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1629	1723	11.8%	21.3%	66.8%	-13.8	3
1965-10-10	Braga	W 3-0	1621	1568	63.6%	21.9%	14.5%	+12.8	9
1965-10-10	@ Varzim	L 0-3	1568	1621	14.5%	21.9%	63.6%	-12.8	3
1965-10-10	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1718	1686	61.8%	22.1%	16.1%	+4.6	13
1965-10-10	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1686	1718	16.1%	22.1%	61.8%	-4.6	7
1965-10-17	Fabril	D 1-1	1682	1727	54.2%	22.7%	23.1%	-1.8	8
1965-10-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1727	1682	23.1%	22.7%	54.2%	+1.8	11
1965-10-17	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1517	1723	33.3%	22.5%	44.2%	+0.6	7
1965-10-17	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1723	1517	44.2%	22.5%	33.3%	-0.6	14
1965-10-17	Porto	W 2-1	1648	1751	47.3%	22.9%	29.8%	+8.2	7
1965-10-17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1751	1648	29.8%	22.9%	47.3%	-8.2	8
1965-10-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1852	1737	68.3%	21.0%	10.7%	-25.8	10
1965-10-17	@ Benfica	W 4-2	1737	1852	10.7%	21.0%	68.3%	+25.8	14
1965-10-17	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1555	1516	62.5%	22.0%	15.5%	+4.7	6
1965-10-17	@ Braga	L 1-2	1516	1555	15.5%	22.0%	62.5%	-4.7	3
1965-10-17	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1615	1572	62.8%	22.0%	15.2%	-2.9	4
1965-10-17	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1572	1615	15.2%	22.0%	62.8%	+2.9	8
1965-10-17	Varzim	D 1-1	1669	1633	62.1%	22.1%	15.8%	-2.9	5
1965-10-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1633	1669	15.8%	22.1%	62.1%	+2.9	10
1965-11-14	Leixoes	W 4-0	1518	1612	48.3%	22.9%	28.8%	+30.1	10
1965-11-14	@ Barreirense	L 0-4	1612	1518	28.8%	22.9%	48.3%	-30.1	4
1965-11-14	Benfica	D 1-1	1575	1826	27.7%	22.1%	50.2%	+1.3	9
1965-11-14	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1826	1575	50.2%	22.1%	27.7%	-1.3	11
1965-11-14	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-5	1511	1666	40.2%	22.8%	36.9%	-48.2	3
1965-11-14	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 5-0	1666	1511	36.9%	22.8%	40.2%	+48.2	8
1965-11-14	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-3	1743	1680	64.5%	21.7%	13.8%	+3.9	11
1965-11-14	@ Porto	L 3-4	1680	1743	13.8%	21.7%	64.5%	-3.9	8
1965-11-14	Braga	W 5-0	1763	1560	73.7%	19.4%	7.0%	+9.9	17
1965-11-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1560	1763	7.0%	19.4%	73.7%	-9.9	6
1965-11-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1636	1657	56.8%	22.6%	20.6%	-2.2	11
1965-11-14	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1657	1636	20.6%	22.6%	56.8%	+2.2	8
1965-11-14	Fabril	W 3-0	1722	1729	58.2%	22.5%	19.3%	+16.5	17
1965-11-14	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1729	1722	19.3%	22.5%	58.2%	-16.5	11
1965-11-28	Varzim	D 2-2	1676	1634	62.7%	22.0%	15.3%	-2.2	9
1965-11-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1634	1676	15.3%	22.0%	62.7%	+2.2	12
1965-11-28	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1659	1463	73.3%	19.5%	7.2%	-4.3	9
1965-11-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1463	1659	7.2%	19.5%	73.3%	+4.3	4
1965-11-28	Barreirense	W 8-2	1825	1548	77.4%	17.7%	4.8%	+5.5	14
1965-11-28	@ Benfica	L 2-8	1548	1825	4.8%	17.7%	77.4%	-5.5	10
1965-11-28	Beira-Mar	W 3-1	1550	1576	56.2%	22.6%	21.2%	+10.7	9
1965-11-28	@ Braga	L 1-3	1576	1550	21.2%	22.6%	56.2%	-10.7	9
1965-11-28	Porto	D 1-1	1712	1747	55.3%	22.7%	22.1%	-2.0	12
1965-11-28	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1747	1712	22.1%	22.7%	55.3%	+2.0	12
1965-11-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1582	1739	40.0%	22.8%	37.2%	-10.9	4
1965-11-28	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1739	1582	37.2%	22.8%	40.0%	+10.9	20
1965-11-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1714	1773	52.7%	22.8%	24.6%	-13.0	8
1965-11-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1773	1714	24.6%	22.8%	52.7%	+13.0	20
1965-12-05	Braga	W 2-1	1542	1560	57.0%	22.6%	20.4%	+6.0	13
1965-12-05	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1560	1542	20.4%	22.6%	57.0%	-6.0	9
1965-12-05	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1566	1701	43.0%	22.9%	34.2%	+9.6	12
1965-12-05	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1701	1566	34.2%	22.9%	43.0%	-9.6	8
1965-12-05	Benfica	L 0-1	1571	1830	26.7%	22.1%	51.2%	-7.8	4
1965-12-05	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1830	1571	51.2%	22.1%	26.7%	+7.8	17
1965-12-05	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1467	1674	33.1%	22.5%	44.3%	+0.6	5
1965-12-05	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1674	1467	44.3%	22.5%	33.1%	-0.6	10
1965-12-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1786	1655	69.4%	20.7%	9.9%	+8.8	23
1965-12-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1655	1786	9.9%	20.7%	69.4%	-8.8	9
1965-12-05	Fabril	W 2-1	1636	1710	50.9%	22.8%	26.3%	+7.4	15
1965-12-05	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1710	1636	26.3%	22.8%	50.9%	-7.4	12
1965-12-05	Porto	L 1-2	1750	1749	58.9%	22.4%	18.7%	-14.4	20
1965-12-05	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1749	1750	18.7%	22.4%	58.9%	+14.4	15
1965-12-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1673	1795	44.9%	22.9%	32.3%	-11.3	10
1965-12-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1795	1673	32.3%	22.9%	44.9%	+11.3	26
1965-12-12	Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1646	1575	65.0%	21.6%	13.3%	+4.3	12
1965-12-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1575	1646	13.3%	21.6%	65.0%	-4.3	12
1965-12-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-2	1838	1735	67.5%	21.2%	11.4%	+5.4	20
1965-12-12	@ Benfica	L 2-4	1735	1838	11.4%	21.2%	67.5%	-5.4	20
1965-12-12	Leixoes	D 1-1	1555	1563	58.0%	22.5%	19.5%	-2.3	10
1965-12-12	@ Braga	D 1-1	1563	1555	19.5%	22.5%	58.0%	+2.3	5
1965-12-12	Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1703	1468	75.4%	18.7%	5.9%	-3.3	13
1965-12-12	@ Fabril	D 2-2	1468	1703	5.9%	18.7%	75.4%	+3.3	6
1965-12-12	Varzim	W 3-0	1763	1644	68.6%	20.9%	10.5%	+9.3	18
1965-12-12	@ Porto	L 0-3	1644	1763	10.5%	20.9%	68.6%	-9.3	15
1965-12-12	Barreirense	W 2-0	1692	1548	70.2%	20.5%	9.3%	+5.7	11
1965-12-12	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1548	1692	9.3%	20.5%	70.2%	-5.7	13
1965-12-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1542	1650	46.7%	22.9%	30.4%	-12.4	13
1965-12-19	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1650	1542	30.4%	22.9%	46.7%	+12.4	15
1965-12-19	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1571	1662	48.8%	22.9%	28.3%	-38.3	12
1965-12-19	@ Beira-Mar	W 5-1	1662	1571	28.3%	22.9%	48.8%	+38.3	13
1965-12-19	Braga	W 4-1	1843	1552	78.1%	17.4%	4.5%	+3.3	23
1965-12-19	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1552	1843	4.5%	17.4%	78.1%	-3.3	10
1965-12-19	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1566	1697	43.4%	22.9%	33.7%	-11.6	5
1965-12-19	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1697	1566	33.7%	22.9%	43.4%	+11.6	14
1965-12-19	Porto	D 0-0	1471	1773	22.2%	21.5%	56.3%	+2.3	7
1965-12-19	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1773	1471	56.3%	21.5%	22.2%	-2.3	19
1965-12-19	Fabril	W 4-1	1806	1699	67.7%	21.1%	11.2%	+8.4	29
1965-12-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1699	1806	11.2%	21.1%	67.7%	-8.4	13
1965-12-19	Varzim	W 4-1	1730	1634	66.9%	21.3%	11.8%	+8.9	23
1965-12-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-4	1634	1730	11.8%	21.3%	66.9%	-8.9	15
1965-12-26	Barreirense	W 2-1	1700	1530	71.8%	20.0%	8.2%	+2.5	16
1965-12-26	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1530	1700	8.2%	20.0%	71.8%	-2.5	13
1965-12-26	Leixoes	W 3-0	1662	1554	67.8%	21.1%	11.1%	+9.9	18
1965-12-26	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1554	1662	11.1%	21.1%	67.8%	-9.9	5
1965-12-26	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1691	1533	71.1%	20.2%	8.7%	+5.3	16
1965-12-26	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1533	1691	8.7%	20.2%	71.1%	-5.3	12
1965-12-26	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1770	1814	54.3%	22.7%	23.0%	-1.9	20
1965-12-26	@ Porto	D 1-1	1814	1770	23.0%	22.7%	54.3%	+1.9	30
1965-12-26	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1625	1473	70.7%	20.3%	8.9%	+5.5	18
1965-12-26	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1473	1625	8.9%	20.3%	70.7%	-5.5	7
1965-12-26	Braga	W 6-2	1739	1549	72.9%	19.6%	7.4%	+6.1	26
1965-12-26	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-6	1549	1739	7.4%	19.6%	72.9%	-6.1	10
1965-12-26	Benfica	D 4-4	1709	1847	42.7%	22.9%	34.5%	-0.2	15
1965-12-26	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 4-4	1847	1709	34.5%	22.9%	42.7%	+0.2	24
1966-01-02	Fabril	L 0-1	1528	1696	38.3%	22.8%	38.9%	-10.5	13
1966-01-02	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1696	1528	38.9%	22.8%	38.3%	+10.5	19
1966-01-02	Porto	L 1-3	1527	1769	28.8%	22.2%	48.9%	-13.6	12
1966-01-02	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-1	1769	1527	48.9%	22.2%	28.8%	+13.6	23
1966-01-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1847	1672	72.1%	19.9%	8.0%	+4.9	27
1966-01-02	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1672	1847	8.0%	19.9%	72.1%	-4.9	18
1966-01-02	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1543	1709	38.7%	22.8%	38.5%	+9.4	13
1966-01-02	@ Braga	L 2-3	1709	1543	38.5%	22.8%	38.7%	-9.4	15
1966-01-02	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1544	1703	39.7%	22.8%	37.5%	-0.1	6
1966-01-02	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1703	1544	37.5%	22.8%	39.7%	+0.1	17
1966-01-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1468	1745	24.8%	21.9%	53.4%	+1.7	8
1966-01-02	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1745	1468	53.4%	21.9%	24.8%	-1.7	27
1966-01-02	Varzim	W 4-0	1816	1631	72.7%	19.7%	7.6%	+8.8	33
1966-01-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1631	1816	7.6%	19.7%	72.7%	-8.8	18
1966-01-09	Porto	W 2-0	1517	1782	26.0%	22.0%	52.0%	+25.5	16
1966-01-09	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1782	1517	52.0%	22.0%	26.0%	-25.5	23
1966-01-09	Varzim	W 3-2	1514	1622	46.6%	22.9%	30.6%	+7.9	15
1966-01-09	@ Beira-Mar	L 2-3	1622	1514	30.6%	22.9%	46.6%	-7.9	18
1966-01-09	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1852	1703	70.5%	20.4%	9.1%	+10.6	30
1966-01-09	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1703	1852	9.1%	20.4%	70.5%	-10.6	17
1966-01-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1552	1667	45.7%	22.9%	31.4%	+8.5	16
1966-01-09	@ Braga	L 1-2	1667	1552	31.4%	22.9%	45.7%	-8.5	18
1966-01-09	Fabril	W 2-1	1544	1707	39.1%	22.8%	38.1%	+9.9	9
1966-01-09	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1707	1544	38.1%	22.8%	39.1%	-9.9	19
1966-01-09	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-0	1825	1469	80.9%	15.8%	3.3%	+4.4	36
1966-01-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1469	1825	3.3%	15.8%	80.9%	-4.4	8
1966-01-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1699	1743	54.3%	22.7%	22.9%	-1.4	16
1966-01-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1743	1699	22.9%	22.7%	54.3%	+1.4	28
1966-01-16	Braga	L 1-2	1692	1561	69.4%	20.7%	9.9%	-16.9	17
1966-01-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1561	1692	9.9%	20.7%	69.4%	+16.9	19
1966-01-16	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1659	1698	54.8%	22.7%	22.5%	-14.3	18
1966-01-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1698	1659	22.5%	22.7%	54.8%	+14.3	19
1966-01-16	Benfica	L 1-3	1697	1862	38.8%	22.8%	38.4%	-17.3	19
1966-01-16	@ Fabril	W 3-1	1862	1697	38.4%	22.8%	38.8%	+17.3	33
1966-01-16	Beira-Mar	D 2-2	1465	1522	52.9%	22.8%	24.4%	-1.2	9
1966-01-16	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1522	1465	24.4%	22.8%	52.9%	+1.2	16
1966-01-16	Leixoes	W 1-0	1757	1554	73.7%	19.4%	7.0%	+2.2	26
1966-01-16	@ Porto	L 0-1	1554	1757	7.0%	19.4%	73.7%	-2.2	9
1966-01-16	Barreirense	W 4-1	1614	1542	65.1%	21.6%	13.2%	+9.9	21
1966-01-16	@ Varzim	L 1-4	1542	1614	13.2%	21.6%	65.1%	-9.9	16
1966-01-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1744	1829	49.5%	22.9%	27.6%	+7.3	31
1966-01-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1829	1744	27.6%	22.9%	49.5%	-7.3	36
1966-01-23	Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1533	1464	64.9%	21.7%	13.4%	-15.9	16
1966-01-23	@ Barreirense	W 2-1	1464	1533	13.4%	21.7%	64.9%	+15.9	12
1966-01-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1523	1822	22.5%	21.6%	56.0%	-15.6	16
1966-01-23	@ Beira-Mar	W 4-1	1822	1523	56.0%	21.6%	22.5%	+15.5	39
1966-01-23	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1645	1752	46.7%	22.9%	30.4%	+8.3	21
1966-01-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1752	1645	30.4%	22.9%	46.7%	-8.3	31
1966-01-23	Porto	W 3-1	1880	1759	68.7%	20.9%	10.4%	+5.5	36
1966-01-23	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1759	1880	10.4%	20.9%	68.7%	-5.5	26
1966-01-23	Fabril	W 4-2	1578	1680	47.4%	22.9%	29.7%	+12.6	22
1966-01-23	@ Braga	L 2-4	1680	1578	29.7%	22.9%	47.4%	-12.6	19
1966-01-23	Varzim	D 1-1	1552	1624	51.0%	22.8%	26.2%	-1.5	10
1966-01-23	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1624	1552	26.2%	22.8%	51.0%	+1.4	22
1966-01-23	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1712	1675	62.3%	22.1%	15.7%	-2.1	20
1966-01-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1675	1712	15.7%	22.1%	62.3%	+2.2	18
1966-01-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1678	1653	61.2%	22.2%	16.6%	-15.9	18
1966-01-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1653	1678	16.6%	22.2%	61.2%	+15.9	24
1966-01-30	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1667	1710	54.4%	22.7%	22.9%	-26.8	19
1966-01-30	@ Fabril	W 2-0	1710	1667	22.9%	22.7%	54.4%	+26.8	23
1966-01-30	Leixoes	L 0-2	1480	1550	51.3%	22.8%	25.9%	-25.3	12
1966-01-30	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1550	1480	25.9%	22.8%	51.3%	+25.4	13
1966-01-30	Braga	W 4-2	1753	1590	71.4%	20.2%	8.5%	+4.0	29
1966-01-30	@ Porto	L 2-4	1590	1753	8.5%	20.2%	71.4%	-4.0	22
1966-01-30	Barreirense	W 3-0	1838	1517	79.4%	16.7%	3.9%	+3.3	42
1966-01-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1517	1838	3.9%	16.7%	79.4%	-3.3	16
1966-01-30	Benfica	D 1-1	1626	1885	26.7%	22.1%	51.3%	+1.4	23
1966-01-30	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1885	1626	51.3%	22.1%	26.7%	-1.4	37
1966-01-30	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1743	1507	75.4%	18.7%	5.9%	+3.6	34
1966-01-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1507	1743	5.9%	18.7%	75.4%	-3.6	16
1966-02-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 7-2	1662	1747	49.5%	22.9%	27.7%	+24.9	21
1966-02-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-7	1747	1662	27.7%	22.9%	49.5%	-24.9	34
1966-02-06	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1513	1504	59.8%	22.3%	17.9%	-2.6	17
1966-02-06	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1504	1513	17.9%	22.3%	59.8%	+2.6	17
1966-02-06	Fabril	D 0-0	1669	1640	61.5%	22.1%	16.3%	-3.1	25
1966-02-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1640	1669	16.3%	22.1%	61.5%	+3.1	20
1966-02-06	Lusitano de Evora	W 1-0	1884	1454	83.8%	14.0%	2.3%	+0.7	40
1966-02-06	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1454	1884	2.3%	14.0%	83.8%	-0.7	12
1966-02-06	Varzim	D 2-2	1586	1627	54.7%	22.7%	22.7%	-1.4	23
1966-02-06	@ Braga	D 2-2	1627	1586	22.7%	22.7%	54.7%	+1.4	24
1966-02-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1575	1841	26.0%	22.0%	52.0%	-7.7	13
1966-02-06	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1841	1575	52.0%	22.0%	26.0%	+7.6	45
1966-02-06	Porto	D 1-1	1737	1757	56.8%	22.6%	20.6%	-2.2	24
1966-02-06	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1757	1737	20.6%	22.6%	56.8%	+2.2	30
1966-02-13	Leixoes	W 3-2	1506	1568	52.3%	22.8%	24.9%	+6.7	20
1966-02-13	@ Beira-Mar	L 2-3	1568	1506	24.9%	22.8%	52.3%	-6.7	13
1966-02-13	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1643	1687	54.4%	22.7%	22.9%	-1.9	21
1966-02-13	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1687	1643	22.9%	22.7%	54.4%	+1.9	22
1966-02-13	Braga	W 6-1	1454	1585	43.5%	22.9%	33.6%	+34.7	15
1966-02-13	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-6	1585	1454	33.6%	22.9%	43.5%	-34.7	23
1966-02-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1760	1666	66.8%	21.3%	11.9%	+3.9	33
1966-02-13	@ Porto	L 0-1	1666	1760	11.9%	21.3%	66.8%	-3.9	25
1966-02-13	Benfica	L 0-2	1849	1885	55.2%	22.7%	22.2%	-27.1	45
1966-02-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1885	1849	22.2%	22.7%	55.2%	+27.1	43
1966-02-13	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1628	1735	46.8%	22.9%	30.3%	-0.9	25
1966-02-13	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1735	1628	30.3%	22.9%	46.8%	+0.9	25
1966-02-13	Barreirense	W 4-3	1722	1511	74.1%	19.2%	6.7%	+1.9	37
1966-02-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 3-4	1511	1722	6.7%	19.2%	74.1%	-1.9	17
1966-02-20	Porto	L 0-3	1688	1764	50.7%	22.8%	26.5%	-36.4	22
1966-02-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1764	1688	26.5%	22.8%	50.7%	+36.4	36
1966-02-20	Varzim	W 3-1	1662	1627	62.0%	22.1%	15.9%	+8.3	28
1966-02-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1627	1662	15.9%	22.1%	62.0%	-8.3	25
1966-02-20	Beira-Mar	W 5-0	1912	1513	82.6%	14.7%	2.7%	+3.5	46
1966-02-20	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1513	1912	2.7%	14.7%	82.6%	-3.5	20
1966-02-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1550	1821	25.4%	21.9%	52.7%	+1.8	24
1966-02-20	@ Braga	D 0-0	1821	1550	52.7%	21.9%	25.4%	-1.8	46
1966-02-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1641	1724	49.8%	22.9%	27.3%	-1.0	22
1966-02-20	@ Fabril	D 2-2	1724	1641	27.3%	22.9%	49.8%	+1.0	38
1966-02-20	Barreirense	W 2-0	1561	1509	63.5%	21.9%	14.6%	+8.8	16
1966-02-20	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1509	1561	14.6%	21.9%	63.5%	-8.8	17
1966-02-20	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1736	1488	76.0%	18.4%	5.6%	+3.4	28
1966-02-20	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1488	1736	5.6%	18.4%	76.0%	-3.4	15
1966-02-27	Benfica	L 1-7	1500	1915	13.2%	19.6%	67.2%	-17.7	17
1966-02-27	@ Barreirense	W 7-1	1915	1500	67.2%	19.6%	13.2%	+17.7	49
1966-02-27	Braga	W 5-1	1510	1552	54.5%	22.7%	22.8%	+20.7	23
1966-02-27	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-5	1552	1510	22.8%	22.7%	54.5%	-20.7	24
1966-02-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1485	1670	36.1%	22.7%	41.3%	-16.4	15
1966-02-27	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1670	1485	41.3%	22.7%	36.1%	+16.4	31
1966-02-27	Fabril	W 3-0	1800	1640	71.2%	20.2%	8.6%	+7.7	39
1966-02-27	@ Porto	L 0-3	1640	1800	8.6%	20.2%	71.2%	-7.7	22
1966-02-27	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-0	1820	1739	65.8%	21.5%	12.7%	+14.7	49
1966-02-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1739	1820	12.7%	21.5%	65.8%	-14.7	28
1966-02-27	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1619	1652	55.5%	22.7%	21.8%	-13.6	25
1966-02-27	@ Varzim	W 2-1	1652	1619	21.8%	22.7%	55.5%	+13.6	25
1966-02-27	Leixoes	L 0-1	1725	1570	70.9%	20.3%	8.8%	-18.3	38
1966-02-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1570	1725	8.8%	20.3%	70.9%	+18.3	19
1966-03-06	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-0	1666	1469	73.4%	19.5%	7.2%	+10.2	28
1966-03-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-5	1469	1666	7.2%	19.5%	73.4%	-10.2	15
1966-03-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1686	1834	41.2%	22.8%	35.9%	-0.3	32
1966-03-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1834	1686	35.9%	22.8%	41.2%	+0.3	50
1966-03-06	Leixoes	W 2-0	1933	1588	80.4%	16.1%	3.5%	+2.0	52
1966-03-06	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1588	1933	3.5%	16.1%	80.4%	-2.0	19
1966-03-06	Barreirense	W 5-0	1531	1483	63.3%	21.9%	14.8%	+21.0	27
1966-03-06	@ Braga	L 0-5	1483	1531	14.8%	21.9%	63.3%	-20.9	17
1966-03-06	Varzim	L 0-2	1633	1606	61.4%	22.2%	16.4%	-30.1	22
1966-03-06	@ Fabril	W 2-0	1606	1633	16.4%	22.2%	61.4%	+30.1	28
1966-03-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1808	1707	67.3%	21.2%	11.5%	+10.2	42
1966-03-06	@ Porto	L 0-3	1707	1808	11.5%	21.2%	67.3%	-10.2	38
1966-03-06	Beira-Mar	W 8-1	1724	1530	73.2%	19.6%	7.3%	+11.8	31
1966-03-06	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-8	1530	1724	7.3%	19.6%	73.2%	-11.8	23
1966-03-13	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1462	1736	25.0%	21.9%	53.1%	-7.4	17
1966-03-13	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1736	1462	53.1%	21.9%	25.0%	+7.4	34
1966-03-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1519	1686	38.5%	22.8%	38.7%	+0.0	24
1966-03-13	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1686	1519	38.7%	22.8%	38.5%	-0.0	33
1966-03-13	Braga	W 1-0	1586	1552	62.0%	22.1%	15.9%	+5.1	22
1966-03-13	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1552	1586	15.9%	22.1%	62.0%	-5.1	27
1966-03-13	Fabril	L 1-3	1458	1603	41.7%	22.9%	35.4%	-18.4	15
1966-03-13	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1603	1458	35.4%	22.9%	41.7%	+18.4	25
1966-03-13	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-2	1835	1676	71.1%	20.2%	8.6%	+5.6	53
1966-03-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1676	1835	8.6%	20.2%	71.1%	-5.6	28
1966-03-13	Porto	W 1-0	1636	1818	36.4%	22.7%	40.9%	+11.1	31
1966-03-13	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1818	1636	40.9%	22.7%	36.4%	-11.0	42
1966-03-13	Benfica	W 3-2	1696	1935	29.1%	22.3%	48.6%	+11.4	41
1966-03-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1935	1696	48.6%	22.3%	29.1%	-11.4	52
1966-03-20	Beira-Mar	W 5-0	1670	1519	70.7%	20.4%	8.9%	+12.9	31
1966-03-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-5	1519	1670	8.9%	20.4%	70.7%	-12.9	24
1966-03-20	Barreirense	D 1-1	1686	1454	75.2%	18.8%	6.0%	-4.5	34
1966-03-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1454	1686	6.0%	18.8%	75.2%	+4.5	18
1966-03-20	Benfica	D 0-0	1547	1923	15.8%	20.3%	63.9%	+3.3	28
1966-03-20	@ Braga	D 0-0	1923	1547	63.9%	20.3%	15.8%	-3.3	53
1966-03-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1621	1840	31.5%	22.4%	46.0%	+0.9	26
1966-03-20	@ Fabril	D 0-0	1840	1621	46.0%	22.4%	31.5%	-0.9	54
1966-03-20	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1807	1440	81.3%	15.6%	3.1%	+1.8	45
1966-03-20	@ Porto	L 0-2	1440	1807	3.1%	15.6%	81.3%	-1.8	15
1966-03-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1647	1708	52.4%	22.8%	24.9%	+14.1	34
1966-03-20	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1708	1647	24.9%	22.8%	52.4%	-14.1	41
1966-03-20	Leixoes	W 1-0	1744	1591	70.7%	20.3%	8.9%	+2.9	37
1966-03-20	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1591	1744	8.9%	20.3%	70.7%	-2.9	22
1966-04-24	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1459	1683	30.9%	22.4%	46.7%	+0.7	19
1966-04-24	@ Barreirense	D 2-2	1683	1459	46.7%	22.4%	30.9%	-0.7	32
1966-04-24	Fabril	L 1-3	1506	1622	45.5%	22.9%	31.6%	-19.8	24
1966-04-24	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-1	1622	1506	31.6%	22.9%	45.5%	+19.8	29
1966-04-24	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1920	1746	72.0%	20.0%	8.0%	+2.3	56
1966-04-24	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1746	1920	8.0%	20.0%	72.0%	-2.3	37
1966-04-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 3-5	1550	1694	41.9%	22.9%	35.3%	-15.6	28
1966-04-24	@ Braga	W 5-3	1694	1550	35.3%	22.9%	41.9%	+15.6	44
1966-04-24	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1588	1682	48.5%	22.9%	28.6%	+15.8	25
1966-04-24	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1682	1588	28.6%	22.9%	48.5%	-15.8	34
1966-04-24	Varzim	W 2-0	1438	1661	31.1%	22.4%	46.5%	+23.1	18
1966-04-24	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-2	1661	1438	46.5%	22.4%	31.1%	-23.1	34
1966-04-24	Porto	W 4-0	1839	1809	61.7%	22.1%	16.2%	+18.4	57
1966-04-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1809	1839	16.2%	22.1%	61.7%	-18.4	45
1966-05-01	Leixoes	W 3-1	1682	1604	65.6%	21.5%	12.8%	+6.8	35
1966-05-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1604	1682	12.8%	21.5%	65.6%	-6.8	25
1966-05-01	Benfica	L 1-3	1666	1922	27.0%	22.1%	50.9%	-12.9	34
1966-05-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1922	1666	50.9%	22.1%	27.0%	+12.9	59
1966-05-01	Barreirense	W 7-3	1642	1459	72.5%	19.8%	7.7%	+5.8	32
1966-05-01	@ Fabril	L 3-7	1459	1642	7.7%	19.8%	72.5%	-5.8	19
1966-05-01	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1790	1486	78.7%	17.1%	4.2%	+2.5	48
1966-05-01	@ Porto	L 0-2	1486	1790	4.2%	17.1%	78.7%	-2.5	24
1966-05-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1638	1858	31.4%	22.4%	46.2%	-8.4	34
1966-05-01	@ Varzim	W 2-1	1858	1638	46.2%	22.4%	31.4%	+8.5	60
1966-05-01	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1709	1461	76.0%	18.4%	5.6%	+3.4	47
1966-05-01	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1461	1709	5.6%	18.4%	76.0%	-3.4	18
1966-05-01	Braga	W 8-1	1744	1535	74.0%	19.2%	6.8%	+10.9	40
1966-05-01	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-8	1535	1744	6.8%	19.2%	74.0%	-10.9	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1965-09-12	6.36%	Barreirense	1524	1	@ Porto	1746	0
2	1966-02-27	8.80%	Leixoes	1570	1	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1725	0
3	1966-01-16	9.88%	Braga	1561	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1692	1
4	1965-10-17	10.72%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1737	4	@ Benfica	1852	2
5	1966-01-23	13.43%	Lusitano de Evora	1464	2	@ Barreirense	1533	1
6	1966-03-06	16.43%	Varzim	1606	2	@ Fabril	1633	0
7	1966-01-30	16.63%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1653	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1678	0
8	1965-12-05	18.66%	Porto	1749	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1750	1
9	1965-10-03	21.53%	Fabril	1709	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1679	1
10	1966-02-27	21.83%	Academica de Coimbra	1652	2	@ Varzim	1619	1
11	1966-02-13	22.16%	Benfica	1885	2	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1849	0
12	1966-01-16	22.48%	Vitoria Setubal	1698	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1659	0
13	1966-01-30	22.90%	Vitoria Setubal	1710	2	@ Fabril	1667	0
14	1965-11-28	24.55%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1773	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1714	1
15	1966-01-30	25.91%	Leixoes	1550	2	@ Lusitano de Evora	1480	0
16	1966-01-09	26.04%	@ Barreirense	1517	2	Porto	1782	0
17	1966-02-20	26.46%	Porto	1764	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1688	0
18	1965-12-19	28.34%	Academica de Coimbra	1662	5	@ Beira-Mar	1571	1
19	1966-03-13	29.15%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1696	3	Benfica	1935	2
20	1965-09-19	29.16%	Porto	1727	3	@ Leixoes	1629	2
21	1965-09-19	29.25%	Academica de Coimbra	1673	3	@ Braga	1575	2
22	1965-12-19	30.45%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1650	1	@ Barreirense	1542	0
23	1966-04-24	31.11%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1438	2	Varzim	1661	0
24	1966-04-24	31.60%	Fabril	1622	3	@ Beira-Mar	1506	1
25	1965-12-12	32.27%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1795	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1673	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1965-11-14	48.21	Vitoria Setubal	5	1666	36.94%	@ Lusitano de Evora	0	1511	40.24%
2	1965-12-19	38.34	Academica de Coimbra	5	1662	28.34%	@ Beira-Mar	1	1571	48.79%
3	1966-02-20	36.44	Porto	3	1764	26.46%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1688	50.71%
4	1966-02-13	34.71	@ Lusitano de Evora	6	1454	43.53%	Braga	1	1585	33.60%
5	1965-09-12	31.11	@ Varzim	6	1593	58.55%	Beira-Mar	0	1597	19.00%
6	1965-11-14	30.10	@ Barreirense	4	1518	48.33%	Leixoes	0	1612	28.79%
7	1966-03-06	30.06	Varzim	2	1606	16.43%	@ Fabril	0	1633	61.41%
8	1966-02-13	27.12	Benfica	2	1885	22.16%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1849	55.17%
9	1966-01-30	26.76	Vitoria Setubal	2	1710	22.90%	@ Fabril	0	1667	54.39%
10	1965-10-17	25.81	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1737	10.72%	@ Benfica	2	1852	68.29%
11	1966-01-09	25.46	@ Barreirense	2	1517	26.04%	Porto	0	1782	51.97%
12	1966-01-30	25.35	Leixoes	2	1550	25.91%	@ Lusitano de Evora	0	1480	51.26%
13	1966-02-06	24.89	@ Academica de Coimbra	7	1662	49.47%	Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1747	27.67%
14	1965-09-12	23.35	Sporting Clube de Portugal	5	1689	33.52%	@ Lusitano de Evora	2	1558	43.61%
15	1966-04-24	23.13	@ Lusitano de Evora	2	1438	31.11%	Varzim	0	1661	46.48%
16	1965-10-03	22.23	@ Leixoes	8	1606	64.44%	Lusitano de Evora	1	1544	13.82%
17	1966-03-06	20.95	@ Braga	5	1531	63.27%	Barreirense	0	1483	14.81%
18	1966-02-27	20.72	@ Beira-Mar	5	1510	54.48%	Braga	1	1552	22.82%
19	1966-04-24	19.77	Fabril	3	1622	31.60%	@ Beira-Mar	1	1506	45.51%
20	1965-09-12	19.12	Barreirense	1	1524	6.36%	@ Porto	0	1746	74.65%
21	1966-04-24	18.40	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1839	61.72%	Porto	0	1809	16.16%
22	1966-03-13	18.39	Fabril	3	1603	35.42%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1	1458	41.74%
23	1966-02-27	18.30	Leixoes	1	1570	8.80%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1725	70.90%
24	1965-09-26	18.23	@ Lusitano de Evora	3	1525	55.67%	Barreirense	0	1557	21.69%
25	1966-02-27	17.67	Benfica	7	1915	67.21%	@ Barreirense	1	1500	13.22%