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1965-66 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

8.80 points above expected

42 points · 33.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Barreirense

4.89 points below expected

14 points · 18.89 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 18 6 2 42 70 21 +49 33.20 +8.80
2 Benfica 26 18 5 3 41 73 30 +43 36.44 +4.56
3 Porto 26 14 6 6 34 41 25 +16 31.23 +2.77
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 14 5 7 33 58 47 +11 29.63 +3.37
5 Vitoria Setubal 26 11 7 8 29 51 36 +15 28.49 +0.51
6 Academica de Coimbra 26 9 8 9 26 58 48 +10 27.20 -1.20
7 Varzim 26 9 7 10 25 40 38 +2 24.43 +0.57
8 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 9 7 10 25 28 29 -1 26.17 -1.17
9 Fabril 26 8 8 10 24 37 46 -9 26.90 -2.90
10 Braga 26 7 7 12 21 39 64 -25 21.26 -0.26
11 Leixoes 26 7 4 15 18 28 39 -11 21.86 -3.86
12 Beira-Mar 26 6 6 14 18 31 65 -34 20.66 -2.66
13 Barreirense 26 5 4 17 14 32 65 -33 18.89 -4.89
14 Lusitano de Evora 26 4 6 16 14 27 60 -33 17.66 -3.66

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Benfica 1938 41 36.44 +4.56 92.4% 22 30 34 36 39 42 51
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1874 42 33.20 +8.80 99.4% 19 27 31 33 36 39 46
Porto 1794 34 31.23 +2.77 80.3% 15 25 29 31 34 37 47
Vitoria Setubal 1755 29 28.49 +0.51 60.1% 14 22 26 29 31 35 43
Vitoria Guimaraes 1714 33 29.63 +3.37 84.3% 16 23 27 30 32 36 45
Academica de Coimbra 1689 26 27.20 -1.20 43.0% 13 21 25 27 30 34 43
Os Belenenses (1st) 1654 25 26.17 -1.17 43.5% 12 20 24 26 29 33 41
Fabril 1642 24 26.90 -2.90 26.7% 13 20 24 27 30 33 43
Varzim 1631 25 24.43 +0.57 60.7% 12 18 22 24 27 31 41
Leixoes 1598 18 21.86 -3.86 19.5% 8 15 19 22 24 28 37
Braga 1523 21 21.26 -0.26 53.2% 7 15 19 21 24 28 36
Beira-Mar 1482 18 20.66 -2.66 28.9% 6 14 18 21 23 27 36
Lusitano de Evora 1455 14 17.66 -3.66 20.0% 3 12 15 18 20 24 33
Barreirense 1449 14 18.89 -4.89 11.9% 7 13 16 19 21 25 35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC BAR BEI BEN BRA FAB LEI LDE OB( POR SCDP VAR VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
1-1-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.32
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
3.31
0-2-0
2.77
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.90
0-0-2
2.96
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
1.97
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.65
Barreirense
0-1-1
1.59
 —
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
0.94
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
3.02
0-1-1
1.99
2-0-0
1.38
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.59
0-0-2
1.45
Beira-Mar
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-0
2.87
 —
0-1-1
1.34
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.09
1-1-0
2.48
1-1-0
3.03
0-1-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
1.37
1-0-1
2.42
0-0-2
1.93
1-0-1
1.98
Benfica
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
4.63
1-1-0
4.23
 —
1-1-0
4.55
2-0-0
3.63
2-0-0
4.25
2-0-0
4.52
2-0-0
4.05
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
4.11
1-0-1
3.86
1-1-0
3.58
Braga
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
1.01
 —
1-1-0
2.18
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-0
2.19
0-1-1
1.78
0-1-1
1.37
0-1-1
2.51
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
1.82
Fabril
0-2-0
2.73
2-0-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.42
0-0-2
1.88
0-1-1
3.34
 —
1-0-1
3.50
1-1-0
3.65
1-1-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.63
0-0-2
2.99
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.70
Leixoes
0-1-1
2.00
1-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
3.02
0-0-2
1.31
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.01
 —
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
1.52
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
1.86
0-0-2
2.01
Lusitano de Evora
0-1-1
1.63
2-0-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
1.06
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
2.39
 —
0-1-1
1.70
0-1-1
1.13
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
1.58
0-1-1
1.29
0-0-2
1.83
Os Belenenses (1st)
2-0-0
2.54
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.52
0-0-2
1.48
0-1-1
3.32
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
3.83
 —
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
1.94
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.24
0-0-2
2.59
Porto
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
4.16
2-0-0
4.15
1-0-1
2.09
1-1-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
4.44
1-0-1
3.30
 —
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
2.97
0-2-0
3.04
Sporting Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
4.16
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
4.17
1-1-0
3.89
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
3.58
1-1-0
2.99
 —
2-0-0
3.96
0-1-1
3.07
2-0-0
3.18
Varzim
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
3.09
0-1-1
1.43
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.94
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
1.84
0-0-2
1.57
 —
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
2.37
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-0-1
3.15
1-1-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
1.65
2-0-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
4.25
1-0-1
3.27
0-0-2
2.55
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
3.15
 —
1-1-0
2.89
Vitoria Setubal
0-1-1
2.86
2-0-0
4.07
1-0-1
3.54
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
3.71
1-0-1
2.80
2-0-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
2.92
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
2.33
0-2-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.61
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +5.0
Allowed 0.61 -4.6
Differential 0.92 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.40%6.04%6.04%2.75%1.65%2.20%23.08%
16.04%13.74%4.95%3.85%1.92%2.20%32.69%
26.04%4.95%4.95%3.02%1.10%1.37%21.43%
32.75%3.85%3.02%—0.55%0.55%10.71%
41.65%1.92%1.10%0.55%0.55%—5.77%
5+2.20%2.20%1.37%0.55%——6.32%
Total23.08%32.69%21.43%10.71%5.77%6.32%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.68 +0.00
SD 1.60 1.60 2.41
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—3.85%3.85%—11.54%
1—15.38%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
2—7.69%15.38%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+7.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
Total7.69%38.46%30.77%11.54%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.85 +0.38
SD 1.75 1.22 2.42
CV 0.78 0.66 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%7.69%7.69%—3.85%30.77%
13.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%——3.85%3.85%11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%30.77%19.23%15.38%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.50 -1.27
SD 1.14 2.20 2.39
CV 0.93 0.88 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%11.54%——11.54%26.92%
13.85%19.23%3.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%50.00%
23.85%—3.85%———7.69%
3——11.54%———11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total7.69%26.92%30.77%11.54%3.85%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 2.50 -1.31
SD 1.20 1.94 2.57
CV 1.01 0.78 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%———7.69%
111.54%7.69%————19.23%
211.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
3—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
5+3.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
Total34.62%34.62%19.23%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.81 1.15 +1.65
SD 2.02 1.19 2.17
CV 0.72 1.03 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%26.92%
1—7.69%3.85%—3.85%11.54%26.92%
2—11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
3—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total19.23%26.92%15.38%7.69%7.69%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.46 -0.96
SD 1.33 2.25 2.63
CV 0.89 0.91 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—7.69%7.69%——23.08%
17.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%42.31%
23.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%—19.23%
3—11.54%————11.54%
4———————
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total19.23%30.77%23.08%15.38%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.77 -0.35
SD 1.47 1.48 2.02
CV 1.04 0.84 —
Max 7 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—23.08%7.69%3.85%7.69%—42.31%
17.69%15.38%—7.69%——30.77%
211.54%3.85%—7.69%——23.08%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%46.15%7.69%19.23%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.50 -0.42
SD 1.62 1.24 2.23
CV 1.51 0.83 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%23.08%——11.54%42.31%
1—11.54%7.69%7.69%—3.85%30.77%
23.85%3.85%7.69%——3.85%19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total11.54%23.08%38.46%7.69%—19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 2.31 -1.27
SD 1.34 1.89 2.57
CV 1.29 0.82 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
111.54%19.23%3.85%3.85%——38.46%
2—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%53.85%11.54%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.12 -0.04
SD 1.06 0.91 1.46
CV 0.98 0.81 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
17.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
211.54%3.85%————15.38%
315.38%3.85%3.85%———23.08%
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+———————
Total46.15%26.92%15.38%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.96 +0.62
SD 1.33 1.15 1.77
CV 0.84 1.19 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—3.85%———11.54%
13.85%15.38%————19.23%
2—11.54%—3.85%——15.38%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
415.38%7.69%3.85%———26.92%
5+7.69%—7.69%———15.38%
Total42.31%38.46%15.38%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.69 0.81 +1.88
SD 1.69 0.85 1.93
CV 0.63 1.05 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
13.85%19.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%—42.31%
215.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
33.85%—————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%30.77%19.23%15.38%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.46 +0.08
SD 1.30 1.27 2.21
CV 0.85 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
13.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
27.69%3.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%26.92%
33.85%—15.38%———19.23%
4—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
5+——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
Total15.38%26.92%38.46%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.81 +0.42
SD 1.53 1.47 2.02
CV 0.69 0.81 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
119.23%11.54%7.69%—7.69%—46.15%
211.54%—7.69%7.69%——26.92%
3———————
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+3.85%7.69%————11.54%
Total38.46%23.08%15.38%7.69%15.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.38 +0.58
SD 2.09 1.47 2.61
CV 1.06 1.06 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 42 33.20 +8.80
2 Benfica 41 36.44 +4.56
3 Vitoria Guimaraes 33 29.63 +3.37
4 Porto 34 31.23 +2.77
5 Varzim 25 24.43 +0.57

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Barreirense 14 18.89 -4.89
2 Leixoes 18 21.86 -3.86
3 Lusitano de Evora 14 17.66 -3.66
4 Fabril 24 26.90 -2.90
5 Beira-Mar 18 20.66 -2.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 Oct 3 – Dec 19 1 in 1,437
2 Braga 4 Jan 2 – Jan 23 1 in 129
3 Barreirense 2 Sep 12 – Sep 19 1 in 36
4 Varzim 3 Mar 6 – Mar 20 1 in 34
5 Leixoes 2 Feb 20 – Feb 27 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fabril 4 Jan 9 – Jan 30 1 in 65
2 Beira-Mar 4 Dec 12 – Jan 2 1 in 19
3 Lusitano de Evora 5 Feb 20 – Mar 20 1 in 18
4 Porto 1 Sep 12 – Sep 12 1 in 17
5 Os Belenenses (1st) 3 Jan 2 – Jan 16 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 14 Sep 12 – Jan 9 1 in 123
2 Lusitano de Evora 4 Nov 28 – Dec 19 1 in 50
3 Benfica 16 Nov 14 – Mar 6 1 in 30
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 8 Sep 12 – Nov 28 1 in 20
5 Vitoria Setubal 7 Jan 9 – Feb 20 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fabril 9 Jan 9 – Mar 6 1 in 91
2 Leixoes 9 Oct 10 – Jan 2 1 in 33
3 Academica de Coimbra 7 Oct 3 – Dec 12 1 in 29
4 Barreirense 12 Jan 16 – May 1 1 in 27
5 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Mar 6 – May 1 1 in 18

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sporting Clube de Portugal22.36%31.51%18.22%11.51%6.74%4.34%2.50%1.58%0.67%0.36%0.16%0.05%——
Benfica59.74%23.02%9.26%4.30%2.00%0.95%0.49%0.12%0.10%0.01%0.01%———
Porto8.27%18.21%21.61%17.19%12.93%8.58%5.87%3.58%2.09%0.97%0.43%0.20%0.04%0.03%
Vitoria Guimaraes4.36%9.71%15.82%17.03%15.73%12.67%9.44%6.62%4.11%2.38%1.22%0.57%0.27%0.07%
Vitoria Setubal2.24%6.82%12.99%14.90%15.09%13.49%11.60%9.17%5.91%3.86%2.25%1.02%0.51%0.15%
Academica de Coimbra1.33%4.15%7.79%10.91%12.88%15.00%13.32%12.27%8.90%5.92%4.07%2.33%0.77%0.36%
Varzim0.12%0.95%2.38%4.41%6.76%9.08%12.22%14.09%14.59%12.23%10.08%7.21%3.66%2.22%
Os Belenenses (1st)0.51%2.29%4.76%7.49%10.43%12.77%14.05%13.81%12.52%9.44%5.85%3.54%1.86%0.68%
Fabril0.99%3.04%5.85%9.25%11.77%13.59%13.56%13.20%11.23%7.71%4.91%2.98%1.41%0.51%
Braga0.02%0.06%0.36%0.81%1.57%2.65%4.76%6.74%10.15%14.86%17.07%16.55%14.81%9.59%
Leixoes0.04%0.17%0.62%1.35%2.35%3.69%5.89%8.51%12.81%15.62%16.77%14.18%11.19%6.81%
Beira-Mar0.01%0.06%0.23%0.65%1.26%2.07%3.99%5.33%8.78%12.49%15.62%18.09%17.00%14.42%
Barreirense0.01%0.01%0.07%0.15%0.36%0.78%1.62%3.15%4.59%8.49%12.42%18.34%24.14%25.87%
Lusitano de Evora——0.04%0.05%0.13%0.34%0.69%1.83%3.55%5.66%9.14%14.94%24.34%39.29%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+30.22%
Strong Edge
53.30%23.63%23.08%
Elo Value
Home Edge
133 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0108.38400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.96 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.82+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
Sporting Clube de Portugal, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.07 * Some Luck: 3.07 to 4.6 * Lucky: 4.6 to 6.13 * Wild Swing: 6.13 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.46 * Close: 1.46 to 2.19 * Off: 2.19 to 2.92 * Way Off: 2.92 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.67 points
Some Luck
03.8310
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.57
Pinpoint
01.834
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.40%
Sporting Clube de Portugal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
11.87%
Barreirense
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.76
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Very Frequent
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.94
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.81
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.22
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.35
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.074
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Porto 99.93% 0.07%
Vitoria Guimaraes 99.66% 0.34%
Vitoria Setubal 99.34% 0.66%
Academica de Coimbra 98.87% 1.13%
Fabril 98.08% 1.92%
Os Belenenses (1st) 97.46% 2.54%
Varzim 94.12% 5.88%
Leixoes 82.00% 18.00%
Braga 75.60% 24.40%
Beira-Mar 68.58% 31.42%
Barreirense 49.99% 50.01%
Lusitano de Evora 36.37% 63.63%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1965-09-12 Benfica D 2-2 1668 1845 36.0% 24.9% 39.0% +0.1 1
1965-09-12 @ Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1845 1668 39.0% 24.9% 36.0% -0.1 1
1965-09-12 Braga D 0-0 1656 1576 64.0% 24.0% 12.0% -4.0 1
1965-09-12 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1576 1656 12.0% 24.0% 64.0% +3.9 1
1965-09-12 Leixoes W 3-1 1711 1637 63.6% 24.1% 12.3% +7.3 2
1965-09-12 @ Fabril L 1-3 1637 1711 12.3% 24.1% 63.6% -7.3 0
1965-09-12 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1560 1692 42.2% 25.1% 32.7% -24.6 0
1965-09-12 @ Lusitano de Evora W 5-2 1692 1560 32.7% 25.1% 42.2% +24.6 2
1965-09-12 Barreirense L 0-1 1745 1523 72.2% 22.0% 5.8% -20.3 0
1965-09-12 @ Porto W 1-0 1523 1745 5.8% 22.0% 72.2% +20.3 2
1965-09-12 Beira-Mar W 6-0 1595 1606 56.4% 24.8% 18.8% +34.1 2
1965-09-12 @ Varzim L 0-6 1606 1595 18.8% 24.8% 56.4% -34.1 0
1965-09-12 Vitoria Setubal W 4-1 1689 1694 57.0% 24.7% 18.3% +14.7 2
1965-09-12 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-4 1694 1689 18.3% 24.7% 57.0% -14.7 0
1965-09-19 Varzim W 3-1 1544 1629 48.4% 25.0% 26.6% +14.1 4
1965-09-19 @ Barreirense L 1-3 1629 1544 26.6% 25.0% 48.4% -14.1 2
1965-09-19 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1572 1535 60.7% 24.4% 14.8% +10.0 2
1965-09-19 @ Beira-Mar L 0-2 1535 1572 14.8% 24.4% 60.7% -10.0 0
1965-09-19 Fabril W 6-1 1845 1718 67.1% 23.5% 9.4% +12.8 3
1965-09-19 @ Benfica L 1-6 1718 1845 9.4% 23.5% 67.1% -12.8 2
1965-09-19 Academica de Coimbra L 2-3 1580 1668 48.0% 25.0% 26.9% -12.3 1
1965-09-19 @ Braga W 3-2 1668 1580 26.9% 25.0% 48.0% +12.3 3
1965-09-19 Porto L 2-3 1629 1725 47.1% 25.1% 27.9% -12.1 0
1965-09-19 @ Leixoes W 3-2 1725 1629 27.9% 25.1% 47.1% +12.1 2
1965-09-19 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1717 1704 58.7% 24.6% 16.7% -2.8 3
1965-09-19 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1704 1717 16.7% 24.6% 58.7% +2.8 3
1965-09-19 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1680 1652 60.0% 24.5% 15.5% +5.5 2
1965-09-19 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1652 1680 15.5% 24.5% 60.0% -5.5 1
1965-09-26 Vitoria Setubal W 4-1 1680 1685 57.0% 24.7% 18.2% +14.7 5
1965-09-26 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-4 1685 1680 18.2% 24.7% 57.0% -14.7 2
1965-09-26 Braga D 1-1 1706 1568 67.8% 23.3% 8.9% -4.1 3
1965-09-26 @ Fabril D 1-1 1568 1706 8.9% 23.3% 67.8% +4.1 2
1965-09-26 Barreirense W 3-0 1525 1558 54.3% 24.9% 20.9% +19.4 2
1965-09-26 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-3 1558 1525 20.9% 24.9% 54.3% -19.4 4
1965-09-26 Benfica W 2-0 1737 1858 43.8% 25.1% 31.1% +18.4 4
1965-09-26 @ Porto L 0-2 1858 1737 31.1% 25.1% 43.8% -18.4 3
1965-09-26 Beira-Mar D 1-1 1714 1582 67.5% 23.4% 9.1% -4.0 4
1965-09-26 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1582 1714 9.1% 23.4% 67.5% +4.0 3
1965-09-26 Leixoes W 2-0 1615 1617 57.2% 24.7% 18.1% +11.9 4
1965-09-26 @ Varzim L 0-2 1617 1615 18.1% 24.7% 57.2% -11.9 0
1965-09-26 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-2 1706 1646 62.6% 24.2% 13.2% +4.3 5
1965-09-26 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1646 1706 13.2% 24.2% 62.6% -4.3 1
1965-10-03 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1538 1710 36.8% 24.9% 38.3% -18.0 4
1965-10-03 @ Barreirense W 3-1 1710 1538 38.3% 24.9% 36.8% +18.0 6
1965-10-03 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1586 1711 43.3% 25.1% 31.7% -11.8 3
1965-10-03 @ Beira-Mar W 2-1 1711 1586 31.7% 25.1% 43.3% +11.8 7
1965-10-03 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1642 1695 52.1% 25.0% 23.0% +12.5 3
1965-10-03 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1695 1642 23.0% 25.0% 52.1% -12.5 5
1965-10-03 Varzim W 1-0 1839 1626 71.7% 22.2% 6.1% +2.3 5
1965-10-03 @ Benfica L 0-1 1626 1839 6.1% 22.2% 71.7% -2.3 4
1965-10-03 Porto D 0-0 1572 1755 35.2% 24.9% 39.9% +0.3 3
1965-10-03 @ Braga D 0-0 1755 1572 39.9% 24.9% 35.2% -0.3 5
1965-10-03 Lusitano de Evora W 8-1 1606 1544 62.7% 24.2% 13.1% +23.8 2
1965-10-03 @ Leixoes L 1-8 1544 1606 13.1% 24.2% 62.7% -23.8 2
1965-10-03 Fabril L 1-2 1671 1702 54.4% 24.9% 20.7% -14.5 2
1965-10-03 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1702 1671 20.7% 24.9% 54.4% +14.5 5
1965-10-10 Barreirense W 3-2 1574 1520 62.1% 24.3% 13.6% +4.4 5
1965-10-10 @ Beira-Mar L 2-3 1520 1574 13.6% 24.3% 62.1% -4.4 4
1965-10-10 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1716 1654 62.7% 24.2% 13.1% +4.8 7
1965-10-10 @ Fabril L 0-1 1654 1716 13.1% 24.2% 62.7% -4.8 3
1965-10-10 Benfica L 1-2 1521 1842 19.3% 23.8% 56.9% -6.2 2
1965-10-10 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1842 1521 56.9% 23.8% 19.3% +6.2 7
1965-10-10 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1755 1656 65.4% 23.8% 10.8% -4.2 6
1965-10-10 @ Porto D 0-0 1656 1755 10.8% 23.8% 65.4% +4.2 3
1965-10-10 Leixoes W 4-0 1728 1629 65.4% 23.8% 10.8% +14.3 8
1965-10-10 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1629 1728 10.8% 23.8% 65.4% -14.3 2
1965-10-10 Braga W 3-0 1624 1572 62.0% 24.3% 13.8% +13.6 6
1965-10-10 @ Varzim L 0-3 1572 1624 13.8% 24.3% 62.0% -13.6 3
1965-10-10 Academica de Coimbra W 3-2 1723 1682 61.0% 24.4% 14.6% +4.7 9
1965-10-10 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1682 1723 14.6% 24.4% 61.0% -4.7 5
1965-10-17 Fabril D 1-1 1678 1721 53.2% 24.9% 21.9% -2.0 6
1965-10-17 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1721 1678 21.9% 24.9% 53.2% +2.0 8
1965-10-17 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1516 1727 31.4% 24.8% 43.8% +0.8 5
1965-10-17 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1727 1516 43.8% 24.8% 31.4% -0.7 10
1965-10-17 Porto W 2-1 1650 1751 46.4% 25.1% 28.6% +8.6 5
1965-10-17 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1751 1650 28.6% 25.1% 46.4% -8.6 6
1965-10-17 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1848 1743 65.8% 23.7% 10.5% -27.1 7
1965-10-17 @ Benfica W 4-2 1743 1848 10.5% 23.7% 65.8% +27.1 10
1965-10-17 Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1559 1514 61.4% 24.4% 14.3% +4.8 5
1965-10-17 @ Braga L 1-2 1514 1559 14.3% 24.4% 61.4% -4.8 2
1965-10-17 Beira-Mar D 1-1 1615 1578 60.7% 24.4% 14.8% -3.0 3
1965-10-17 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1578 1615 14.8% 24.4% 60.7% +3.1 6
1965-10-17 Varzim D 1-1 1660 1638 59.5% 24.5% 15.9% -2.9 4
1965-10-17 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1638 1660 15.9% 24.5% 59.5% +2.9 7
1965-11-14 Leixoes W 4-0 1517 1612 47.1% 25.1% 27.9% +32.0 7
1965-11-14 @ Barreirense L 0-4 1612 1517 27.9% 25.1% 47.1% -32.0 3
1965-11-14 Benfica D 1-1 1581 1821 27.9% 24.6% 47.5% +1.2 7
1965-11-14 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1821 1581 47.5% 24.6% 27.9% -1.2 8
1965-11-14 Vitoria Setubal L 0-5 1510 1657 40.2% 25.0% 34.8% -52.2 2
1965-11-14 @ Lusitano de Evora W 5-0 1657 1510 34.8% 25.0% 40.2% +52.2 6
1965-11-14 Academica de Coimbra W 4-3 1742 1676 63.1% 24.1% 12.8% +4.1 8
1965-11-14 @ Porto L 3-4 1676 1742 12.8% 24.1% 63.1% -4.0 6
1965-11-14 Braga W 5-0 1770 1564 71.4% 22.3% 6.3% +10.4 12
1965-11-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1564 1770 6.3% 22.3% 71.4% -10.4 5
1965-11-14 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1641 1658 55.8% 24.8% 19.4% -2.3 8
1965-11-14 @ Varzim D 1-1 1658 1641 19.4% 24.8% 55.8% +2.3 6
1965-11-14 Fabril W 3-0 1727 1723 57.9% 24.7% 17.5% +16.8 12
1965-11-14 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-3 1723 1727 17.5% 24.7% 57.9% -16.8 8
1965-11-28 Varzim D 2-2 1672 1638 60.5% 24.4% 15.1% -2.2 7
1965-11-28 @ Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1638 1672 15.1% 24.4% 60.5% +2.2 9
1965-11-28 Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1661 1457 71.3% 22.4% 6.4% -4.6 7
1965-11-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1457 1661 6.4% 22.4% 71.3% +4.6 3
1965-11-28 Barreirense W 8-2 1819 1549 74.3% 21.2% 4.5% +6.0 10
1965-11-28 @ Benfica L 2-8 1549 1819 4.5% 21.2% 74.3% -6.0 7
1965-11-28 Beira-Mar W 3-1 1553 1583 54.6% 24.9% 20.5% +11.4 7
1965-11-28 @ Braga L 1-3 1583 1553 20.5% 24.9% 54.6% -11.4 7
1965-11-28 Porto D 1-1 1706 1746 53.5% 24.9% 21.6% -2.0 9
1965-11-28 @ Fabril D 1-1 1746 1706 21.6% 24.9% 53.5% +2.0 9
1965-11-28 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1580 1743 38.0% 25.0% 37.0% -11.3 3
1965-11-28 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1743 1580 37.0% 25.0% 38.0% +11.3 14
1965-11-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1710 1780 50.1% 25.0% 24.9% -13.4 6
1965-11-28 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1780 1710 24.9% 25.0% 50.1% +13.4 14
1965-12-05 Braga W 2-1 1543 1565 55.4% 24.8% 19.8% +6.4 9
1965-12-05 @ Barreirense L 1-2 1565 1543 19.8% 24.8% 55.4% -6.4 7
1965-12-05 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1571 1696 43.3% 25.1% 31.7% +9.9 9
1965-12-05 @ Beira-Mar L 0-1 1696 1571 31.7% 25.1% 43.3% -9.9 6
1965-12-05 Benfica L 0-1 1569 1825 25.9% 24.4% 49.7% -8.4 3
1965-12-05 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1825 1569 49.7% 24.4% 25.9% +8.4 12
1965-12-05 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1462 1669 31.9% 24.8% 43.3% +0.7 4
1965-12-05 @ Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1669 1462 43.3% 24.8% 31.9% -0.7 8
1965-12-05 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-0 1793 1656 67.8% 23.3% 8.9% +9.1 16
1965-12-05 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1656 1793 8.9% 23.3% 67.8% -9.1 7
1965-12-05 Fabril W 2-1 1641 1704 50.9% 25.0% 24.1% +7.5 11
1965-12-05 @ Varzim L 1-2 1704 1641 24.1% 25.0% 50.9% -7.5 9
1965-12-05 Porto L 1-2 1755 1748 58.1% 24.7% 17.3% -15.4 14
1965-12-05 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1748 1755 17.3% 24.7% 58.1% +15.5 11
1965-12-12 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1669 1803 42.1% 25.0% 32.9% -11.6 8
1965-12-12 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1803 1669 32.9% 25.0% 42.1% +11.6 18
1965-12-12 Beira-Mar W 1-0 1647 1581 63.0% 24.1% 12.8% +4.7 9
1965-12-12 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1581 1647 12.8% 24.1% 63.0% -4.7 9
1965-12-12 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-2 1834 1739 65.1% 23.8% 11.1% +6.0 14
1965-12-12 @ Benfica L 2-4 1739 1834 11.1% 23.8% 65.1% -6.0 14
1965-12-12 Leixoes D 1-1 1558 1560 57.3% 24.7% 18.0% -2.6 8
1965-12-12 @ Braga D 1-1 1560 1558 18.0% 24.7% 57.3% +2.6 4
1965-12-12 Lusitano de Evora D 2-2 1696 1463 72.7% 21.8% 5.5% -3.5 10
1965-12-12 @ Fabril D 2-2 1463 1696 5.5% 21.8% 72.7% +3.5 5
1965-12-12 Varzim W 3-0 1764 1648 66.4% 23.6% 10.0% +10.1 13
1965-12-12 @ Porto L 0-3 1648 1764 10.0% 23.6% 66.4% -10.1 11
1965-12-12 Barreirense W 2-0 1686 1549 67.8% 23.3% 8.9% +6.3 8
1965-12-12 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1549 1686 8.9% 23.3% 67.8% -6.3 9
1965-12-19 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1543 1652 45.4% 25.1% 29.6% -13.1 9
1965-12-19 @ Barreirense W 1-0 1652 1543 29.6% 25.1% 45.4% +13.1 11
1965-12-19 Academica de Coimbra L 1-5 1576 1657 48.9% 25.0% 26.1% -41.5 9
1965-12-19 @ Beira-Mar W 5-1 1657 1576 26.1% 25.0% 48.9% +41.5 10
1965-12-19 Braga W 4-1 1840 1556 74.8% 20.9% 4.2% +3.6 16
1965-12-19 @ Benfica L 1-4 1556 1840 4.2% 20.9% 74.8% -3.6 8
1965-12-19 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1563 1692 42.6% 25.1% 32.3% -12.4 4
1965-12-19 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1692 1563 32.3% 25.1% 42.6% +12.4 10
1965-12-19 Porto D 0-0 1466 1774 20.6% 23.9% 55.5% +2.5 6
1965-12-19 @ Lusitano de Evora D 0-0 1774 1466 55.5% 23.9% 20.6% -2.5 14
1965-12-19 Fabril W 4-1 1814 1693 66.8% 23.5% 9.7% +8.3 20
1965-12-19 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1693 1814 9.7% 23.5% 66.8% -8.3 10
1965-12-19 Varzim W 4-1 1733 1638 65.1% 23.8% 11.1% +9.4 16
1965-12-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-4 1638 1733 11.1% 23.8% 65.1% -9.4 11
1965-12-26 Barreirense W 2-1 1699 1530 69.5% 22.9% 7.6% +2.7 12
1965-12-26 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1530 1699 7.6% 22.9% 69.5% -2.7 9
1965-12-26 Leixoes W 3-0 1665 1550 66.3% 23.6% 10.0% +10.2 13
1965-12-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1550 1665 10.0% 23.6% 66.3% -10.2 4
1965-12-26 Beira-Mar W 2-0 1685 1535 68.5% 23.1% 8.4% +5.9 12
1965-12-26 @ Fabril L 0-2 1535 1685 8.4% 23.1% 68.5% -5.9 9
1965-12-26 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1771 1822 52.3% 24.9% 22.8% -1.9 15
1965-12-26 @ Porto D 1-1 1822 1771 22.8% 24.9% 52.3% +1.9 21
1965-12-26 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1629 1469 69.0% 23.0% 8.0% +5.6 13
1965-12-26 @ Varzim L 0-2 1469 1629 8.0% 23.0% 69.0% -5.6 6
1965-12-26 Braga W 6-2 1743 1552 70.7% 22.6% 6.8% +6.4 18
1965-12-26 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-6 1552 1743 6.8% 22.6% 70.7% -6.4 8
1965-12-26 Benfica D 4-4 1705 1843 41.4% 25.0% 33.5% -0.2 11
1965-12-26 @ Vitoria Setubal D 4-4 1843 1705 33.5% 25.0% 41.4% +0.2 17
1966-01-02 Fabril L 0-1 1527 1691 38.0% 25.0% 37.1% -11.3 9
1966-01-02 @ Barreirense W 1-0 1691 1527 37.1% 25.0% 38.0% +11.3 14
1966-01-02 Porto L 1-3 1529 1770 27.8% 24.6% 47.7% -14.5 9
1966-01-02 @ Beira-Mar W 3-1 1770 1529 47.7% 24.6% 27.8% +14.5 17
1966-01-02 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1844 1675 69.5% 22.9% 7.6% +5.4 19
1966-01-02 @ Benfica L 0-2 1675 1844 7.6% 22.9% 69.5% -5.4 13
1966-01-02 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1546 1705 38.6% 25.0% 36.4% +9.8 10
1966-01-02 @ Braga L 2-3 1705 1546 36.4% 25.0% 38.6% -9.8 11
1966-01-02 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1540 1701 38.3% 25.0% 36.7% -0.1 5
1966-01-02 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1701 1540 36.7% 25.0% 38.3% +0.1 13
1966-01-02 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1463 1749 22.7% 24.2% 53.1% +1.9 7
1966-01-02 @ Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1749 1463 53.1% 24.2% 22.7% -1.9 19
1966-01-02 Varzim W 4-0 1824 1634 70.6% 22.6% 6.8% +9.1 23
1966-01-02 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1634 1824 6.8% 22.6% 70.6% -9.1 13
1966-01-09 Porto W 2-0 1516 1784 24.6% 24.3% 51.1% +27.2 11
1966-01-09 @ Barreirense L 0-2 1784 1516 51.1% 24.3% 24.6% -27.2 17
1966-01-09 Varzim W 3-2 1514 1625 45.1% 25.1% 29.8% +8.4 11
1966-01-09 @ Beira-Mar L 2-3 1625 1514 29.8% 25.1% 45.1% -8.4 13
1966-01-09 Academica de Coimbra W 4-0 1849 1701 68.3% 23.2% 8.5% +11.3 21
1966-01-09 @ Benfica L 0-4 1701 1849 8.5% 23.2% 68.3% -11.3 13
1966-01-09 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1555 1669 44.7% 25.1% 30.2% +9.0 12
1966-01-09 @ Braga L 1-2 1669 1555 30.2% 25.1% 44.7% -9.0 13
1966-01-09 Fabril W 2-1 1540 1702 38.2% 25.0% 36.8% +10.4 7
1966-01-09 @ Leixoes L 1-2 1702 1540 36.8% 25.0% 38.2% -10.4 14
1966-01-09 Lusitano de Evora W 5-0 1833 1465 77.9% 19.3% 2.8% +4.3 25
1966-01-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1465 1833 2.8% 19.3% 77.9% -4.3 7
1966-01-09 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1695 1747 52.1% 25.0% 22.9% -1.4 12
1966-01-09 @ Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1747 1695 22.9% 25.0% 52.1% +1.4 20
1966-01-16 Braga L 1-2 1690 1564 67.1% 23.5% 9.5% -17.8 13
1966-01-16 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1564 1690 9.5% 23.5% 67.1% +17.8 14
1966-01-16 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1660 1693 54.2% 24.9% 20.9% -15.3 13
1966-01-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1693 1660 20.9% 24.9% 54.2% +15.3 14
1966-01-16 Benfica L 1-3 1691 1860 37.2% 25.0% 37.8% -18.2 14
1966-01-16 @ Fabril W 3-1 1860 1691 37.8% 25.0% 37.2% +18.2 23
1966-01-16 Beira-Mar D 2-2 1461 1523 51.0% 25.0% 24.0% -1.3 8
1966-01-16 @ Lusitano de Evora D 2-2 1523 1461 24.0% 25.0% 51.0% +1.3 12
1966-01-16 Leixoes W 1-0 1757 1551 71.4% 22.3% 6.3% +2.4 19
1966-01-16 @ Porto L 0-1 1551 1757 6.3% 22.3% 71.4% -2.3 7
1966-01-16 Barreirense W 4-1 1617 1543 63.6% 24.1% 12.3% +10.4 15
1966-01-16 @ Varzim L 1-4 1543 1617 12.3% 24.1% 63.6% -10.4 11
1966-01-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-2 1748 1838 47.8% 25.1% 27.1% +7.8 22
1966-01-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1838 1748 27.1% 25.1% 47.8% -7.8 25
1966-01-23 Lusitano de Evora L 1-2 1532 1459 63.5% 24.1% 12.4% -16.9 11
1966-01-23 @ Barreirense W 2-1 1459 1532 12.4% 24.1% 63.5% +16.9 10
1966-01-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1524 1830 20.7% 24.0% 55.3% -16.0 12
1966-01-23 @ Beira-Mar W 4-1 1830 1524 55.3% 24.0% 20.7% +16.0 27
1966-01-23 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1645 1756 45.1% 25.1% 29.9% +8.9 15
1966-01-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1756 1645 29.9% 25.1% 45.1% -8.9 22
1966-01-23 Porto W 3-1 1878 1759 66.7% 23.5% 9.8% +5.9 25
1966-01-23 @ Benfica L 1-3 1759 1878 9.8% 23.5% 66.7% -5.9 19
1966-01-23 Fabril W 4-2 1582 1673 47.6% 25.1% 27.3% +12.9 16
1966-01-23 @ Braga L 2-4 1673 1582 27.3% 25.1% 47.6% -12.9 14
1966-01-23 Varzim D 1-1 1548 1627 49.1% 25.0% 25.9% -1.4 8
1966-01-23 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1627 1548 25.9% 25.0% 49.1% +1.4 16
1966-01-23 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1709 1672 60.7% 24.4% 14.9% -2.3 15
1966-01-23 @ Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1672 1709 14.9% 24.4% 60.7% +2.3 14
1966-01-30 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1675 1654 59.4% 24.6% 16.1% -16.7 14
1966-01-30 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1654 1675 16.1% 24.6% 59.4% +16.8 17
1966-01-30 Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1660 1707 52.8% 24.9% 22.2% -28.2 14
1966-01-30 @ Fabril W 2-0 1707 1660 22.2% 24.9% 52.8% +28.2 17
1966-01-30 Leixoes L 0-2 1476 1547 50.1% 25.0% 24.9% -26.9 10
1966-01-30 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1547 1476 24.9% 25.0% 50.1% +26.9 10
1966-01-30 Braga W 4-2 1753 1595 68.9% 23.0% 8.0% +4.4 21
1966-01-30 @ Porto L 2-4 1595 1753 8.0% 23.0% 68.9% -4.4 16
1966-01-30 Barreirense W 3-0 1846 1516 76.6% 20.1% 3.4% +3.3 29
1966-01-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1516 1846 3.4% 20.1% 76.6% -3.3 11
1966-01-30 Benfica D 1-1 1628 1884 26.0% 24.4% 49.6% +1.5 17
1966-01-30 @ Varzim D 1-1 1884 1628 49.6% 24.4% 26.0% -1.5 26
1966-01-30 Beira-Mar W 2-0 1747 1508 72.9% 21.8% 5.3% +3.7 24
1966-01-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1508 1747 5.3% 21.8% 72.9% -3.7 12
1966-02-06 Vitoria Guimaraes W 7-2 1658 1751 47.3% 25.1% 27.6% +27.1 16
1966-02-06 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-7 1751 1658 27.6% 25.1% 47.3% -27.1 24
1966-02-06 Beira-Mar D 1-1 1512 1504 58.2% 24.6% 17.1% -2.7 12
1966-02-06 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1504 1512 17.1% 24.6% 58.2% +2.7 13
1966-02-06 Fabril D 0-0 1671 1632 60.9% 24.4% 14.7% -3.4 18
1966-02-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1632 1671 14.7% 24.4% 60.9% +3.4 15
1966-02-06 Lusitano de Evora W 1-0 1883 1449 80.0% 18.0% 2.0% +0.7 28
1966-02-06 @ Benfica L 0-1 1449 1883 2.0% 18.0% 80.0% -0.7 10
1966-02-06 Varzim D 2-2 1591 1630 53.6% 24.9% 21.5% -1.5 17
1966-02-06 @ Braga D 2-2 1630 1591 21.5% 24.9% 53.6% +1.5 18
1966-02-06 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1574 1849 23.8% 24.3% 51.9% -7.8 10
1966-02-06 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1849 1574 51.9% 24.3% 23.8% +7.8 31
1966-02-06 Porto D 1-1 1735 1758 55.3% 24.8% 19.9% -2.3 18
1966-02-06 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1758 1735 19.9% 24.8% 55.3% +2.3 22
1966-02-13 Leixoes W 3-2 1507 1566 51.4% 25.0% 23.6% +7.0 15
1966-02-13 @ Beira-Mar L 2-3 1566 1507 23.6% 25.0% 51.4% -7.0 10
1966-02-13 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1636 1685 52.5% 24.9% 22.6% -1.9 16
1966-02-13 @ Fabril D 1-1 1685 1636 22.6% 24.9% 52.5% +1.9 17
1966-02-13 Braga W 6-1 1449 1589 41.2% 25.0% 33.8% +37.9 12
1966-02-13 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-6 1589 1449 33.8% 25.0% 41.2% -37.9 17
1966-02-13 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1760 1667 64.9% 23.9% 11.2% +4.1 24
1966-02-13 @ Porto L 0-1 1667 1760 11.2% 23.9% 64.9% -4.1 18
1966-02-13 Benfica L 0-2 1857 1884 54.9% 24.9% 20.2% -29.3 31
1966-02-13 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1884 1857 20.2% 24.9% 54.9% +29.3 30
1966-02-13 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1631 1732 46.4% 25.1% 28.6% -1.1 19
1966-02-13 @ Varzim D 1-1 1732 1631 28.6% 25.1% 46.4% +1.1 19
1966-02-13 Barreirense W 4-3 1724 1510 71.8% 22.2% 6.0% +2.0 26
1966-02-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 3-4 1510 1724 6.0% 22.2% 71.8% -2.0 12
1966-02-20 Porto L 0-3 1687 1764 49.3% 25.0% 25.7% -38.5 17
1966-02-20 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1764 1687 25.7% 25.0% 49.3% +38.5 26
1966-02-20 Varzim W 3-1 1663 1630 60.4% 24.5% 15.1% +8.8 20
1966-02-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1630 1663 15.1% 24.5% 60.4% -8.8 19
1966-02-20 Beira-Mar W 5-0 1913 1514 78.9% 18.7% 2.4% +3.7 32
1966-02-20 @ Benfica L 0-5 1514 1913 2.4% 18.7% 78.9% -3.7 15
1966-02-20 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1551 1828 23.7% 24.3% 52.0% +2.0 18
1966-02-20 @ Braga D 0-0 1828 1551 52.0% 24.3% 23.7% -2.0 32
1966-02-20 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1634 1726 47.5% 25.1% 27.5% -0.9 17
1966-02-20 @ Fabril D 2-2 1726 1634 27.5% 25.1% 47.5% +0.9 27
1966-02-20 Barreirense W 2-0 1559 1508 61.9% 24.3% 13.8% +9.4 12
1966-02-20 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1508 1559 13.8% 24.3% 61.9% -9.4 12
1966-02-20 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1734 1487 73.3% 21.6% 5.1% +3.6 21
1966-02-20 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1487 1734 5.1% 21.6% 73.3% -3.6 12
1966-02-27 Benfica L 1-7 1498 1917 12.1% 22.5% 65.4% -18.4 12
1966-02-27 @ Barreirense W 7-1 1917 1498 65.4% 22.5% 12.1% +18.4 34
1966-02-27 Braga W 5-1 1510 1553 53.2% 24.9% 21.9% +22.0 17
1966-02-27 @ Beira-Mar L 1-5 1553 1510 21.9% 24.9% 53.2% -22.0 18
1966-02-27 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1483 1672 34.4% 24.9% 40.7% -17.1 12
1966-02-27 @ Lusitano de Evora W 3-1 1672 1483 40.7% 24.9% 34.4% +17.2 22
1966-02-27 Fabril W 3-0 1802 1633 69.6% 22.9% 7.6% +7.7 28
1966-02-27 @ Porto L 0-3 1633 1802 7.6% 22.9% 69.6% -7.7 17
1966-02-27 Vitoria Setubal W 4-0 1826 1737 64.7% 23.9% 11.4% +15.0 34
1966-02-27 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1737 1826 11.4% 23.9% 64.7% -15.0 21
1966-02-27 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1622 1648 54.9% 24.9% 20.3% -14.6 19
1966-02-27 @ Varzim W 2-1 1648 1622 20.3% 24.9% 54.9% +14.6 19
1966-02-27 Leixoes L 0-1 1727 1568 69.0% 23.0% 8.0% -19.5 27
1966-02-27 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1568 1727 8.0% 23.0% 69.0% +19.5 14
1966-03-06 Lusitano de Evora W 5-0 1663 1466 71.0% 22.4% 6.6% +10.8 21
1966-03-06 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-5 1466 1663 6.6% 22.4% 71.0% -10.9 12
1966-03-06 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1689 1841 39.6% 25.0% 35.4% -0.2 23
1966-03-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1841 1689 35.4% 25.0% 39.6% +0.2 35
1966-03-06 Leixoes W 2-0 1935 1588 77.2% 19.7% 3.1% +2.1 36
1966-03-06 @ Benfica L 0-2 1588 1935 3.1% 19.7% 77.2% -2.1 14
1966-03-06 Barreirense W 5-0 1531 1480 61.9% 24.3% 13.8% +21.9 20
1966-03-06 @ Braga L 0-5 1480 1531 13.8% 24.3% 61.9% -21.9 12
1966-03-06 Varzim L 0-2 1625 1607 59.2% 24.6% 16.3% -31.5 17
1966-03-06 @ Fabril W 2-0 1607 1625 16.3% 24.6% 59.2% +31.5 21
1966-03-06 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1810 1707 65.6% 23.8% 10.6% +10.8 30
1966-03-06 @ Porto L 0-3 1707 1810 10.6% 23.8% 65.6% -10.8 27
1966-03-06 Beira-Mar W 8-1 1722 1532 70.6% 22.6% 6.8% +12.7 23
1966-03-06 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-8 1532 1722 6.8% 22.6% 70.6% -12.7 17
1966-03-13 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1458 1735 23.6% 24.3% 52.1% -7.8 12
1966-03-13 @ Barreirense W 1-0 1735 1458 52.1% 24.3% 23.6% +7.8 25
1966-03-13 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1520 1689 37.1% 25.0% 37.9% +0.0 18
1966-03-13 @ Beira-Mar D 1-1 1689 1520 37.9% 25.0% 37.1% -0.0 24
1966-03-13 Braga W 1-0 1586 1553 60.4% 24.5% 15.2% +5.4 16
1966-03-13 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1553 1586 15.2% 24.5% 60.4% -5.4 20
1966-03-13 Fabril L 1-3 1455 1594 41.4% 25.0% 33.5% -19.8 12
1966-03-13 @ Lusitano de Evora W 3-1 1594 1455 33.5% 25.0% 41.4% +19.8 19
1966-03-13 Academica de Coimbra W 5-2 1841 1674 69.4% 22.9% 7.7% +5.7 37
1966-03-13 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1674 1841 7.7% 22.9% 69.4% -5.7 21
1966-03-13 Porto W 1-0 1638 1821 35.3% 24.9% 39.8% +11.7 23
1966-03-13 @ Varzim L 0-1 1821 1638 39.8% 24.9% 35.3% -11.7 30
1966-03-13 Benfica W 3-2 1697 1937 27.8% 24.6% 47.6% +12.1 29
1966-03-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1937 1697 47.6% 24.6% 27.8% -12.1 36
1966-03-20 Beira-Mar W 5-0 1668 1520 68.4% 23.2% 8.4% +13.9 23
1966-03-20 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-5 1520 1668 8.4% 23.2% 68.4% -13.9 18
1966-03-20 Barreirense D 1-1 1689 1450 72.9% 21.8% 5.3% -4.8 25
1966-03-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1450 1689 5.3% 21.8% 72.9% +4.8 13
1966-03-20 Benfica D 0-0 1548 1925 14.8% 23.1% 62.1% +3.5 21
1966-03-20 @ Braga D 0-0 1925 1548 62.1% 23.1% 14.8% -3.5 37
1966-03-20 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1613 1847 28.6% 24.6% 46.7% +1.2 20
1966-03-20 @ Fabril D 0-0 1847 1613 46.7% 24.6% 28.6% -1.2 38
1966-03-20 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1809 1435 78.1% 19.2% 2.7% +1.8 32
1966-03-20 @ Porto L 0-2 1435 1809 2.7% 19.2% 78.1% -1.8 12
1966-03-20 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1650 1709 51.4% 25.0% 23.6% +14.8 25
1966-03-20 @ Varzim L 0-2 1709 1650 23.6% 25.0% 51.4% -14.8 29
1966-03-20 Leixoes W 1-0 1743 1591 68.6% 23.1% 8.3% +3.1 27
1966-03-20 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1591 1743 8.3% 23.1% 68.6% -3.1 16
1966-04-24 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1455 1682 29.4% 24.7% 45.9% +0.8 14
1966-04-24 @ Barreirense D 2-2 1682 1455 45.9% 24.7% 29.4% -0.8 24
1966-04-24 Fabril L 1-3 1506 1615 45.4% 25.1% 29.6% -21.3 18
1966-04-24 @ Beira-Mar W 3-1 1615 1506 29.6% 25.1% 45.4% +21.3 22
1966-04-24 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1921 1746 69.9% 22.8% 7.3% +2.5 39
1966-04-24 @ Benfica L 2-3 1746 1921 7.3% 22.8% 69.9% -2.5 27
1966-04-24 Vitoria Guimaraes L 3-5 1551 1694 40.9% 25.0% 34.1% -16.5 21
1966-04-24 @ Braga W 5-3 1694 1551 34.1% 25.0% 40.9% +16.5 31
1966-04-24 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1588 1684 47.0% 25.1% 28.0% +16.9 18
1966-04-24 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1684 1588 28.0% 25.1% 47.0% -16.9 25
1966-04-24 Varzim W 2-0 1433 1665 28.9% 24.6% 46.5% +25.0 14
1966-04-24 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-2 1665 1433 46.5% 24.6% 28.9% -25.1 25
1966-04-24 Porto W 4-0 1846 1811 60.6% 24.4% 15.0% +19.2 40
1966-04-24 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1811 1846 15.0% 24.4% 60.6% -19.2 32
1966-05-01 Leixoes W 3-1 1681 1605 63.8% 24.1% 12.2% +7.2 26
1966-05-01 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1605 1681 12.2% 24.1% 63.8% -7.2 18
1966-05-01 Benfica L 1-3 1667 1924 25.9% 24.4% 49.7% -13.7 25
1966-05-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1924 1667 49.7% 24.4% 25.9% +13.7 41
1966-05-01 Barreirense W 7-3 1636 1456 70.1% 22.7% 7.2% +6.2 24
1966-05-01 @ Fabril L 3-7 1456 1636 7.2% 22.7% 70.1% -6.2 14
1966-05-01 Beira-Mar W 2-0 1792 1484 75.7% 20.5% 3.8% +2.6 34
1966-05-01 @ Porto L 0-2 1484 1792 3.8% 20.5% 75.7% -2.6 18
1966-05-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1640 1865 29.7% 24.7% 45.6% -8.8 25
1966-05-01 @ Varzim W 2-1 1865 1640 45.6% 24.7% 29.7% +8.8 42
1966-05-01 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1711 1459 73.5% 21.5% 5.0% +3.5 33
1966-05-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1459 1711 5.0% 21.5% 73.5% -3.5 14
1966-05-01 Braga W 8-1 1743 1535 71.5% 22.3% 6.2% +11.6 29
1966-05-01 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-8 1535 1743 6.2% 22.3% 71.5% -11.6 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1965-09-12 5.81% Barreirense 1523 1 @ Porto 1745 0
2 1966-02-27 8.00% Leixoes 1568 1 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1727 0
3 1966-01-16 9.46% Braga 1564 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1690 1
4 1965-10-17 10.51% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1743 4 @ Benfica 1848 2
5 1966-01-23 12.37% Lusitano de Evora 1459 2 @ Barreirense 1532 1
6 1966-01-30 16.09% Os Belenenses (1st) 1654 1 @ Academica de Coimbra 1675 0
7 1966-03-06 16.28% Varzim 1607 2 @ Fabril 1625 0
8 1965-12-05 17.26% Porto 1748 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1755 1
9 1966-02-13 20.25% Benfica 1884 2 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1857 0
10 1966-02-27 20.28% Academica de Coimbra 1648 2 @ Varzim 1622 1
11 1965-10-03 20.69% Fabril 1702 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1671 1
12 1966-01-16 20.89% Vitoria Setubal 1693 1 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1660 0
13 1966-01-30 22.23% Vitoria Setubal 1707 2 @ Fabril 1660 0
14 1966-01-09 24.59% @ Barreirense 1516 2 Porto 1784 0
15 1966-01-30 24.90% Leixoes 1547 2 @ Lusitano de Evora 1476 0
16 1965-11-28 24.91% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1780 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1710 1
17 1966-02-20 25.67% Porto 1764 3 @ Academica de Coimbra 1687 0
18 1965-12-19 26.10% Academica de Coimbra 1657 5 @ Beira-Mar 1576 1
19 1965-09-19 26.93% Academica de Coimbra 1668 3 @ Braga 1580 2
20 1966-03-13 27.81% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1697 3 Benfica 1937 2
21 1965-09-19 27.87% Porto 1725 3 @ Leixoes 1629 2
22 1966-04-24 28.90% @ Lusitano de Evora 1433 2 Varzim 1665 0
23 1965-12-19 29.56% Os Belenenses (1st) 1652 1 @ Barreirense 1543 0
24 1966-04-24 29.56% Fabril 1615 3 @ Beira-Mar 1506 1
25 1965-10-03 31.68% Vitoria Guimaraes 1711 2 @ Beira-Mar 1586 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1965-11-14 52.18 Vitoria Setubal 5 1657 34.79% @ Lusitano de Evora 0 1510 40.19% 25.02%
2 1965-12-19 41.55 Academica de Coimbra 5 1657 26.10% @ Beira-Mar 1 1576 48.86% 25.03%
3 1966-02-20 38.48 Porto 3 1764 25.67% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1687 49.30% 25.02%
4 1966-02-13 37.88 @ Lusitano de Evora 6 1449 41.18% Braga 1 1589 33.78% 25.03%
5 1965-09-12 34.07 @ Varzim 6 1595 56.44% Beira-Mar 0 1606 18.79% 24.77%
6 1965-11-14 32.02 @ Barreirense 4 1517 47.08% Leixoes 0 1612 27.87% 25.05%
7 1966-03-06 31.46 Varzim 2 1607 16.28% @ Fabril 0 1625 59.15% 24.57%
8 1966-02-13 29.26 Benfica 2 1884 20.25% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1857 54.90% 24.85%
9 1966-01-30 28.22 Vitoria Setubal 2 1707 22.23% @ Fabril 0 1660 52.83% 24.93%
10 1966-01-09 27.17 @ Barreirense 2 1516 24.59% Porto 0 1784 51.07% 24.34%
11 1966-02-06 27.14 @ Academica de Coimbra 7 1658 47.34% Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1751 27.61% 25.05%
12 1965-10-17 27.11 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1743 10.51% @ Benfica 2 1848 65.77% 23.72%
13 1966-01-30 26.87 Leixoes 2 1547 24.90% @ Lusitano de Evora 0 1476 50.09% 25.01%
14 1966-04-24 25.05 @ Lusitano de Evora 2 1433 28.90% Varzim 0 1665 46.47% 24.64%
15 1965-09-12 24.62 Sporting Clube de Portugal 5 1692 32.73% @ Lusitano de Evora 2 1560 42.23% 25.05%
16 1965-10-03 23.76 @ Leixoes 8 1606 62.67% Lusitano de Evora 1 1544 13.13% 24.20%
17 1966-02-27 22.02 @ Beira-Mar 5 1510 53.17% Braga 1 1553 21.91% 24.92%
18 1966-03-06 21.92 @ Braga 5 1531 61.93% Barreirense 0 1480 13.78% 24.29%
19 1966-04-24 21.35 Fabril 3 1615 29.56% @ Beira-Mar 1 1506 45.38% 25.06%
20 1965-09-12 20.28 Barreirense 1 1523 5.81% @ Porto 0 1745 72.15% 22.04%
21 1966-03-13 19.81 Fabril 3 1594 33.51% @ Lusitano de Evora 1 1455 41.45% 25.04%
22 1966-02-27 19.45 Leixoes 1 1568 8.00% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1727 68.98% 23.02%
23 1965-09-26 19.43 @ Lusitano de Evora 3 1525 54.26% Barreirense 0 1558 20.86% 24.88%
24 1966-04-24 19.18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1846 60.56% Porto 0 1811 15.00% 24.44%
25 1966-02-27 18.44 Benfica 7 1917 65.44% @ Barreirense 1 1498 12.10% 22.46%