1966-67 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Academica de Coimbra

9.02 points above expected

40 points · 30.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Atletico Clube de Portugal

7.64 points below expected

14 points · 21.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	20	3	3	43	64	19	+45	37.0	+6.05
2	Academica de Coimbra	26	18	4	4	40	50	18	+32	31.0	+9.02
3	Porto	26	17	5	4	39	56	22	+34	33.2	+5.80
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	11	8	7	30	36	24	+12	32.1	-2.13
5	Vitoria Setubal	26	10	7	9	27	27	25	+2	26.1	+0.91
6	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	11	4	11	26	35	40	-5	27.5	-1.47
7	Leixoes	26	8	8	10	24	23	29	-6	23.5	+0.53
8	Braga	26	9	5	12	23	33	33	0	25.0	-2.03
9	Fabril	26	9	5	12	23	27	43	-16	25.1	-2.08
10	Varzim	26	8	6	12	22	29	42	-13	22.6	-0.60
11	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	7	6	13	20	26	34	-8	24.6	-4.59
12	Sanjoanense	26	4	11	11	19	23	39	-16	16.2	+2.84
13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	5	4	17	14	29	55	-26	21.6	-7.64
14	Beira-Mar	26	5	4	17	14	23	58	-35	18.6	-4.61

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	1875	43	36.95	+6.05	95.0%	27	30	34	37	40	43	45
Porto	1811	39	33.20	+5.80	96.0%	23	27	30	33	36	39	41
Academica de Coimbra	1796	40	30.98	+9.02	100.0%	17	24	28	31	33	38	40
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1748	30	32.13	-2.13	31.0%	23	25	29	33	35	39	42
Vitoria Setubal	1661	27	26.09	+0.91	68.0%	15	20	24	26	28	34	37
Vitoria Guimaraes	1631	26	27.47	-1.47	44.0%	17	21	25	27	30	33	36
Braga	1559	23	25.03	-2.03	39.0%	16	18	22	25	27	33	38
Os Belenenses (1st)	1559	20	24.59	-4.59	18.0%	13	18	22	25	27	33	36
Varzim	1553	22	22.60	-0.60	55.0%	16	17	20	22	25	30	33
Leixoes	1546	24	23.47	+0.53	59.0%	14	16	20	23	26	31	37
Fabril	1521	23	25.08	-2.08	33.0%	16	18	23	25	28	32	34
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1448	14	21.64	-7.64	3.0%	12	15	19	21	24	28	32
Sanjoanense	1443	19	16.16	+2.84	80.0%	6	9	13	16	19	24	25
Beira-Mar	1412	14	18.61	-4.61	18.0%	11	13	16	18	21	25	31

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BEI	BEN	BRA	FAB	LEI	OB(	POR	SAN	SCDP	VAR	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	2-0-0 3.55	2-0-0 4.29	0-0-2 2.18	2-0-0 3.48	1-0-1 3.50	1-1-0 3.97	2-0-0 3.47	0-2-0 2.72	1-0-1 4.57	1-1-0 2.95	2-0-0 3.87	2-0-0 3.28	2-0-0 3.20
Atletico Clube de Portugal	0-0-2 2.03	—	1-0-1 3.02	0-0-2 1.22	0-0-2 2.43	0-1-1 2.36	0-1-1 2.39	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 1.49	0-2-0 3.52	0-0-2 1.34	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-2 2.12	1-0-1 2.11
Beira-Mar	0-0-2 1.30	1-0-1 2.53	—	0-0-2 0.88	0-1-1 1.92	1-0-1 2.22	1-0-1 2.27	2-0-0 2.08	0-0-2 1.13	0-1-1 3.09	0-0-2 1.48	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 2.17	0-1-1 1.79
Benfica	2-0-0 3.39	2-0-0 4.39	2-0-0 4.76	—	1-0-1 4.26	2-0-0 4.36	2-0-0 4.09	1-0-1 4.29	1-1-0 3.19	2-0-0 4.87	1-1-0 3.41	1-1-0 4.15	2-0-0 3.61	1-0-1 4.12
Braga	0-0-2 2.08	2-0-0 3.13	1-1-0 3.65	1-0-1 1.33	—	0-1-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.89	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 1.80	1-1-0 3.75	1-1-0 1.96	0-1-1 3.04	0-0-2 2.63	1-0-1 2.66
Fabril	1-0-1 2.06	1-1-0 3.20	1-0-1 3.35	0-0-2 1.23	1-1-0 2.87	—	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 3.00	0-0-2 1.86	1-1-0 3.76	1-0-1 2.06	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.53
Leixoes	0-1-1 1.60	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.29	0-0-2 1.50	2-0-0 2.68	1-1-0 2.77	—	0-2-0 2.77	0-0-2 1.63	1-0-1 4.00	1-0-1 1.74	1-1-0 2.80	0-0-2 2.41	0-2-0 2.30
Os Belenenses (1st)	0-0-2 2.10	1-0-1 3.09	0-0-2 3.49	1-0-1 1.31	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.55	0-2-0 2.79	—	0-0-2 1.78	0-2-0 3.81	0-1-1 1.96	1-1-0 2.94	2-0-0 2.42	0-0-2 2.49
Porto	0-2-0 2.85	1-0-1 4.10	2-0-0 4.47	0-1-1 2.37	1-0-1 3.77	2-0-0 3.71	2-0-0 3.94	2-0-0 3.80	—	1-1-0 4.61	1-1-0 2.84	2-0-0 3.55	1-0-1 3.39	2-0-0 3.52
Sanjoanense	1-0-1 1.04	0-2-0 2.04	1-1-0 2.48	0-0-2 0.79	0-1-1 1.83	0-1-1 1.81	1-0-1 1.57	0-2-0 1.77	0-1-1 1.01	—	0-1-1 1.15	0-0-2 1.99	1-0-1 1.28	0-2-0 1.60
Sporting Clube de Portugal	0-1-1 2.61	2-0-0 4.24	2-0-0 4.11	0-1-1 2.15	0-1-1 3.62	1-0-1 3.53	1-0-1 3.83	1-1-0 3.61	0-1-1 2.71	1-1-0 4.47	—	1-1-0 3.69	1-0-1 3.33	1-1-0 3.11
Varzim	0-0-2 1.72	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.04	0-1-1 1.45	1-1-0 2.52	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.03	2-0-0 3.58	0-1-1 1.90	—	1-1-0 2.32	0-0-2 2.27
Vitoria Guimaraes	0-0-2 2.29	2-0-0 3.45	1-1-0 3.40	0-0-2 1.96	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.95	2-0-0 3.15	0-0-2 3.14	1-0-1 2.19	1-0-1 4.31	1-0-1 2.24	0-1-1 3.25	—	0-1-1 2.72
Vitoria Setubal	0-0-2 2.36	1-0-1 3.47	1-1-0 3.78	1-0-1 1.46	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 3.04	0-2-0 3.26	2-0-0 3.07	0-0-2 2.04	0-2-0 4.00	0-1-1 2.44	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 2.85	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.79%	10.99%	6.87%	2.47%	1.37%	1.92%	32.42%
1	10.99%	9.34%	5.77%	3.85%	2.20%	1.10%	33.24%
2	6.87%	5.77%	3.85%	1.10%	0.55%	0.27%	18.41%
3	2.47%	3.85%	1.10%	—	0.27%	0.27%	7.97%
4	1.37%	2.20%	0.55%	0.27%	—	—	4.40%
5+	1.92%	1.10%	0.27%	0.27%	—	—	3.57%
Total	32.42%	33.24%	18.41%	7.97%	4.40%	3.57%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.32
Mean allowed	1.32
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.64
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.105
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
1	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	50.00%	38.46%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	0.69
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.126
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	15.38%	15.38%	—	—	3.85%	38.46%
1	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	26.92%
2	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	23.08%	34.62%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.108
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	—	7.69%	46.15%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	23.08%	15.38%	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	100%

Beira-Mar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.88
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	2.14
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.197
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
1	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
3	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	53.85%	30.77%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.46
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	2.08
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.199
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	15.38%	—	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	34.62%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	—	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.029
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	38.46%
1	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	38.46%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	11.54%	19.23%	19.23%	—	11.54%	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.113
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	42.31%
1	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	34.62%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.88
Mean allowed	1.12
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.093
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	15.38%	19.23%	—	—	3.85%	53.85%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	26.92%	—	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	2.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.195
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
2	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	38.46%	42.31%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.15
Mean allowed	0.85
StdDev scored	1.69
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.295
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	15.38%	—	—	3.85%	—	34.62%
1	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	46.15%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	38.46%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Sanjoanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.88
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	0.82
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	2.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.382
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	46.15%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	2.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.154
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
1	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	42.31%
2	—	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	19.23%	26.92%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.037
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	34.62%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	46.15%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.335
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	42.31%
1	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	38.46%	23.08%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.001
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Academica de Coimbra	40	31.0	+9.02
2	Benfica	43	37.0	+6.05
3	Porto	39	33.2	+5.80
4	Sanjoanense	19	16.2	+2.84
5	Vitoria Setubal	27	26.1	+0.91

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Atletico Clube de Portugal	14	21.6	-7.64
2	Beira-Mar	14	18.6	-4.61
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	20	24.6	-4.59
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	30	32.1	-2.13
5	Fabril	23	25.1	-2.08

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Academica de Coimbra	10	Nov 20 – Feb 19	1 in 1,926
2	Leixoes	4	Nov 20 – Dec 11	1 in 119
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	Mar 5 – Apr 16	1 in 46
4	Braga	3	Nov 20 – Dec 4	1 in 36
5	Vitoria Setubal	3	Apr 23 – May 7	1 in 22

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Setubal	4	Oct 23 – Dec 4	1 in 150
2	Beira-Mar	8	Mar 12 – May 7	1 in 75
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	Sep 18 – Oct 2	1 in 27
4	Academica de Coimbra	2	Mar 5 – Mar 12	1 in 23
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	Nov 20 – Dec 11	1 in 22

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sanjoanense	5	Dec 11 – Feb 5	1 in 102
2	Porto	14	Jan 8 – May 7	1 in 68
3	Academica de Coimbra	11	Nov 20 – Feb 26	1 in 45
4	Braga	7	Oct 9 – Dec 11	1 in 44
5	Benfica	11	Jan 8 – Apr 16	1 in 15

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Leixoes	12	Jan 8 – Apr 23	1 in 224
2	Vitoria Setubal	8	Oct 16 – Jan 1	1 in 82
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	8	Oct 9 – Dec 18	1 in 38
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	9	Jan 1 – Mar 19	1 in 31
5	Vitoria Guimaraes	5	Jan 8 – Feb 26	1 in 29

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	58.00%	21.00%	13.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Academica de Coimbra	5.00%	20.00%	20.00%	23.00%	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—
Porto	21.00%	18.00%	21.00%	21.00%	10.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	11.00%	26.00%	23.00%	11.00%	10.00%	5.00%	8.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Vitoria Setubal	1.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	15.00%	14.00%	12.00%	16.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	5.00%	5.00%	16.00%	19.00%	9.00%	11.00%	10.00%	15.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Leixoes	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	10.00%	6.00%	11.00%	13.00%	18.00%	10.00%	7.00%	12.00%	2.00%
Braga	2.00%	—	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%	14.00%	7.00%	9.00%	12.00%	9.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Fabril	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	14.00%	15.00%	14.00%	11.00%	12.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Varzim	—	—	1.00%	—	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	13.00%	14.00%	8.00%	16.00%	22.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	6.00%	7.00%	12.00%	15.00%	8.00%	3.00%	18.00%	12.00%	10.00%	1.00%	4.00%
Sanjoanense	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	23.00%	52.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	—	—	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	11.00%	17.00%	18.00%	18.00%	8.00%
Beira-Mar	—	—	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	17.00%	30.00%	26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Academica de Coimbra	99.0%	1.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	98.0%	2.0%
Fabril	97.0%	3.0%
Vitoria Setubal	97.0%	3.0%
Braga	95.0%	5.0%
Os Belenenses (1st)	95.0%	5.0%
Varzim	90.0%	10.0%
Leixoes	86.0%	14.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	74.0%	26.0%
Beira-Mar	44.0%	56.0%
Sanjoanense	25.0%	75.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1966-09-18	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1541	1635	45.3%	22.4%	32.2%	-23.2	0
1966-09-18	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1635	1541	32.2%	22.4%	45.3%	+23.2	3
1966-09-18	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1501	1677	34.0%	22.2%	43.8%	+0.6	1
1966-09-18	@ Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1677	1501	43.8%	22.2%	34.0%	-0.6	1
1966-09-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1606	1610	56.1%	22.1%	21.8%	+12.8	3
1966-09-18	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1610	1606	21.8%	22.1%	56.1%	-12.8	0
1966-09-18	Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1576	1436	68.5%	20.6%	10.9%	+3.6	3
1966-09-18	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1436	1576	10.9%	20.6%	68.5%	-3.6	0
1966-09-18	Braga	D 0-0	1743	1528	73.2%	19.3%	7.5%	-4.8	1
1966-09-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1528	1743	7.5%	19.3%	73.2%	+4.8	1
1966-09-18	Porto	L 0-3	1595	1696	44.4%	22.4%	33.2%	-33.1	0
1966-09-18	@ Varzim	W 3-0	1696	1595	33.2%	22.4%	44.4%	+33.1	3
1966-09-18	Benfica	L 0-1	1643	1778	39.6%	22.4%	38.0%	-11.0	0
1966-09-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1778	1643	38.0%	22.4%	39.6%	+11.0	3
1966-09-25	Fabril	L 2-3	1658	1619	60.4%	21.8%	17.8%	-14.3	3
1966-09-25	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1619	1658	17.8%	21.8%	60.4%	+14.3	6
1966-09-25	Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1597	1502	65.3%	21.2%	13.5%	-32.5	0
1966-09-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1502	1597	13.5%	21.2%	65.3%	+32.5	4
1966-09-25	Leixoes	W 3-1	1789	1579	72.9%	19.4%	7.7%	+4.1	6
1966-09-25	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1579	1789	7.7%	19.4%	72.9%	-4.1	3
1966-09-25	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1532	1518	58.0%	22.0%	20.0%	+6.3	4
1966-09-25	@ Braga	L 0-1	1518	1532	20.0%	22.0%	58.0%	-6.3	0
1966-09-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1729	1738	55.6%	22.2%	22.2%	+6.9	6
1966-09-25	@ Porto	L 0-1	1738	1729	22.2%	22.2%	55.6%	-6.9	1
1966-09-25	Varzim	L 1-3	1432	1562	40.3%	22.4%	37.3%	-18.2	0
1966-09-25	@ Sanjoanense	W 3-1	1562	1432	37.3%	22.4%	40.3%	+18.2	3
1966-09-25	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1676	1632	60.8%	21.8%	17.4%	+5.6	4
1966-09-25	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1632	1676	17.4%	21.8%	60.8%	-5.6	0
1966-10-02	Braga	W 2-1	1643	1539	66.0%	21.1%	12.9%	+4.0	6
1966-10-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1539	1643	12.9%	21.1%	66.0%	-4.0	4
1966-10-02	Porto	W 2-0	1511	1736	27.9%	21.8%	50.3%	+25.2	3
1966-10-02	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1736	1511	50.3%	21.8%	27.9%	-25.2	6
1966-10-02	Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1633	1534	65.5%	21.1%	13.3%	+4.4	9
1966-10-02	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1534	1633	13.3%	21.1%	65.5%	-4.3	4
1966-10-02	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1575	1681	43.6%	22.4%	34.0%	-0.6	4
1966-10-02	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1681	1575	34.0%	22.4%	43.6%	+0.5	5
1966-10-02	Sanjoanense	W 4-1	1731	1414	78.3%	17.2%	4.5%	+3.3	4
1966-10-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1414	1731	4.5%	17.2%	78.3%	-3.3	0
1966-10-02	Benfica	D 0-0	1581	1794	29.2%	21.9%	48.8%	+1.3	4
1966-10-02	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1794	1581	48.8%	21.9%	29.2%	-1.3	7
1966-10-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1627	1565	62.5%	21.6%	15.9%	-15.6	0
1966-10-02	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1565	1627	15.9%	21.6%	62.5%	+15.6	3
1966-10-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1530	1611	46.9%	22.4%	30.7%	-20.7	4
1966-10-09	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-1	1611	1530	30.7%	22.4%	46.9%	+20.7	3
1966-10-09	Leixoes	D 0-0	1580	1575	57.1%	22.1%	20.8%	-2.5	4
1966-10-09	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1575	1580	20.8%	22.1%	57.1%	+2.5	5
1966-10-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1792	1734	62.1%	21.6%	16.2%	+14.3	10
1966-10-09	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1734	1792	16.2%	21.6%	62.1%	-14.3	4
1966-10-09	Fabril	D 1-1	1535	1637	44.1%	22.4%	33.5%	-0.6	5
1966-10-09	@ Braga	D 1-1	1637	1535	33.5%	22.4%	44.1%	+0.6	10
1966-10-09	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1711	1647	62.6%	21.6%	15.8%	-2.9	7
1966-10-09	@ Porto	D 1-1	1647	1711	15.8%	21.6%	62.6%	+3.0	7
1966-10-09	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1411	1537	40.9%	22.4%	36.7%	-0.2	1
1966-10-09	@ Sanjoanense	D 2-2	1537	1411	36.7%	22.4%	40.9%	+0.2	4
1966-10-09	Varzim	W 1-0	1682	1582	65.6%	21.1%	13.2%	+4.3	8
1966-10-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1582	1682	13.2%	21.1%	65.6%	-4.3	4
1966-10-16	Sanjoanense	W 5-3	1650	1410	74.6%	18.8%	6.7%	+3.0	10
1966-10-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 3-5	1410	1650	6.7%	18.8%	74.6%	-3.0	1
1966-10-16	Benfica	L 1-2	1537	1807	22.9%	21.4%	55.7%	-6.6	4
1966-10-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1807	1537	55.7%	21.4%	22.9%	+6.6	13
1966-10-16	Porto	W 2-0	1534	1708	34.3%	22.2%	43.5%	+22.3	8
1966-10-16	@ Braga	L 0-2	1708	1534	43.5%	22.2%	34.3%	-22.3	7
1966-10-16	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1638	1632	57.2%	22.1%	20.8%	-1.7	11
1966-10-16	@ Fabril	D 2-2	1632	1638	20.8%	22.1%	57.2%	+1.7	4
1966-10-16	Beira-Mar	W 4-1	1577	1509	63.0%	21.5%	15.5%	+11.5	8
1966-10-16	@ Leixoes	L 1-4	1509	1577	15.5%	21.5%	63.0%	-11.5	4
1966-10-16	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1720	1686	59.9%	21.9%	18.2%	-2.6	5
1966-10-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1686	1720	18.2%	21.9%	59.9%	+2.6	9
1966-10-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1577	1578	56.5%	22.1%	21.4%	-2.4	5
1966-10-16	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1578	1577	21.4%	22.1%	56.5%	+2.4	5
1966-10-23	Varzim	L 2-4	1497	1575	47.4%	22.4%	30.2%	-18.7	4
1966-10-23	@ Beira-Mar	W 4-2	1575	1497	30.2%	22.4%	47.4%	+18.7	8
1966-10-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1580	1717	39.3%	22.4%	38.3%	-0.1	6
1966-10-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1717	1580	38.3%	22.4%	39.3%	+0.1	6
1966-10-23	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1813	1653	69.9%	20.3%	9.9%	+3.1	16
1966-10-23	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1653	1813	9.9%	20.3%	69.9%	-3.1	10
1966-10-23	Fabril	W 5-0	1685	1636	61.3%	21.7%	17.0%	+24.0	10
1966-10-23	@ Porto	L 0-5	1636	1685	17.0%	21.7%	61.3%	-24.0	11
1966-10-23	Braga	D 0-0	1407	1556	37.7%	22.3%	40.0%	+0.1	2
1966-10-23	@ Sanjoanense	D 0-0	1556	1407	40.0%	22.3%	37.7%	-0.1	9
1966-10-23	Leixoes	W 2-0	1634	1589	61.0%	21.8%	17.3%	+10.4	7
1966-10-23	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1589	1634	17.3%	21.8%	61.0%	-10.4	8
1966-10-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1689	1530	69.8%	20.3%	9.9%	-34.7	9
1966-10-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1530	1689	9.9%	20.3%	69.8%	+34.7	7
1966-11-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1650	1654	56.1%	22.1%	21.8%	+18.5	13
1966-11-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1654	1650	21.8%	22.1%	56.1%	-18.5	9
1966-11-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1565	1580	54.9%	22.2%	22.9%	+6.7	10
1966-11-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1580	1565	22.9%	22.2%	54.9%	-6.7	6
1966-11-20	Benfica	W 4-0	1556	1816	23.9%	21.5%	54.6%	+51.5	12
1966-11-20	@ Braga	L 0-4	1816	1556	54.6%	21.5%	23.9%	-51.5	16
1966-11-20	Leixoes	L 0-1	1612	1578	60.0%	21.9%	18.2%	-15.9	11
1966-11-20	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1578	1612	18.2%	21.9%	60.0%	+15.9	11
1966-11-20	Sanjoanense	W 4-1	1709	1408	77.6%	17.5%	4.9%	+3.6	13
1966-11-20	@ Porto	L 1-4	1408	1709	4.9%	17.5%	77.6%	-3.6	2
1966-11-20	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1717	1479	74.5%	18.8%	6.7%	+4.1	9
1966-11-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1479	1717	6.7%	18.8%	74.5%	-4.1	4
1966-11-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1594	1644	50.8%	22.4%	26.8%	+8.1	11
1966-11-20	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1644	1594	26.8%	22.4%	50.8%	-8.1	7
1966-11-27	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1475	1572	44.9%	22.4%	32.7%	+21.9	7
1966-11-27	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-4	1572	1475	32.7%	22.4%	44.9%	-21.9	10
1966-11-27	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1573	1669	45.1%	22.4%	32.5%	-12.2	6
1966-11-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1669	1573	32.5%	22.4%	45.1%	+12.2	16
1966-11-27	Porto	W 3-0	1765	1713	61.6%	21.7%	16.7%	+14.7	19
1966-11-27	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1713	1765	16.7%	21.7%	61.6%	-14.7	13
1966-11-27	Varzim	W 2-0	1594	1602	55.7%	22.2%	22.1%	+13.0	14
1966-11-27	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1602	1594	22.1%	22.2%	55.7%	-13.0	11
1966-11-27	Fabril	L 0-4	1404	1597	31.8%	22.1%	46.1%	-33.0	2
1966-11-27	@ Sanjoanense	W 4-0	1597	1404	46.1%	22.1%	31.8%	+33.0	14
1966-11-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1636	1722	46.4%	22.4%	31.2%	+8.6	10
1966-11-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1722	1636	31.2%	22.4%	46.4%	-8.6	9
1966-11-27	Braga	L 1-2	1636	1608	59.4%	21.9%	18.7%	-14.8	9
1966-11-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1608	1636	18.7%	21.9%	59.4%	+14.8	15
1966-12-04	Beira-Mar	W 5-0	1681	1497	71.4%	19.8%	8.7%	+12.7	19
1966-12-04	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-5	1497	1681	8.7%	19.8%	71.4%	-12.7	7
1966-12-04	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1550	1645	45.2%	22.4%	32.4%	-11.5	10
1966-12-04	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1645	1550	32.4%	22.4%	45.2%	+11.5	13
1966-12-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-1	1623	1561	62.4%	21.6%	16.0%	+11.9	18
1966-12-04	@ Braga	L 1-4	1561	1623	16.0%	21.6%	62.4%	-11.9	6
1966-12-04	Varzim	W 2-0	1630	1589	60.6%	21.8%	17.6%	+10.6	17
1966-12-04	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1589	1630	17.6%	21.8%	60.6%	-10.6	11
1966-12-04	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1698	1621	63.8%	21.4%	14.8%	+9.1	16
1966-12-04	@ Porto	L 0-2	1621	1698	14.8%	21.4%	63.8%	-9.0	9
1966-12-04	Benfica	L 1-3	1371	1779	12.1%	19.2%	68.8%	-6.2	2
1966-12-04	@ Sanjoanense	W 3-1	1779	1371	68.8%	19.2%	12.1%	+6.2	22
1966-12-04	Leixoes	L 0-1	1713	1607	66.1%	21.1%	12.9%	-17.4	9
1966-12-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1607	1713	12.9%	21.1%	66.1%	+17.4	17
1966-12-11	Braga	D 0-0	1484	1634	37.4%	22.3%	40.2%	+0.2	8
1966-12-11	@ Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1634	1484	40.2%	22.3%	37.4%	-0.2	19
1966-12-11	Porto	L 1-2	1549	1707	36.4%	22.3%	41.3%	-9.7	6
1966-12-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1707	1549	41.3%	22.3%	36.4%	+9.7	19
1966-12-11	Fabril	W 3-0	1786	1640	68.9%	20.5%	10.6%	+9.6	25
1966-12-11	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1640	1786	10.6%	20.5%	68.9%	-9.6	17
1966-12-11	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1624	1538	64.5%	21.3%	14.1%	+7.5	20
1966-12-11	@ Leixoes	L 1-3	1538	1624	14.1%	21.3%	64.5%	-7.5	10
1966-12-11	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1578	1696	42.1%	22.4%	35.5%	-0.3	12
1966-12-11	@ Varzim	D 2-2	1696	1578	35.5%	22.4%	42.1%	+0.3	10
1966-12-11	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1656	1694	52.3%	22.3%	25.4%	-14.0	13
1966-12-11	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1694	1656	25.4%	22.3%	52.3%	+13.9	22
1966-12-11	Sanjoanense	D 0-0	1612	1365	74.9%	18.6%	6.4%	-5.0	10
1966-12-11	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1365	1612	6.4%	18.6%	74.9%	+5.0	3
1966-12-18	Leixoes	W 2-1	1708	1632	63.7%	21.4%	14.9%	+4.6	25
1966-12-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1632	1708	14.9%	21.4%	63.7%	-4.6	20
1966-12-18	Varzim	W 4-1	1531	1578	51.2%	22.4%	26.5%	+18.4	13
1966-12-18	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1578	1531	26.5%	22.4%	51.2%	-18.4	12
1966-12-18	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1795	1607	71.7%	19.8%	8.6%	+2.8	28
1966-12-18	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1607	1795	8.6%	19.8%	71.7%	-2.8	10
1966-12-18	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1634	1642	55.7%	22.2%	22.1%	-13.2	19
1966-12-18	@ Braga	W 3-2	1642	1634	22.1%	22.2%	55.7%	+13.2	16
1966-12-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1631	1696	49.0%	22.4%	28.6%	-21.5	17
1966-12-18	@ Fabril	W 3-1	1696	1631	28.6%	22.4%	49.0%	+21.5	13
1966-12-18	Beira-Mar	W 4-1	1717	1484	74.2%	18.9%	6.9%	+5.2	22
1966-12-18	@ Porto	L 1-4	1484	1717	6.9%	18.9%	74.2%	-5.2	8
1966-12-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1370	1540	34.8%	22.2%	43.0%	+0.5	4
1966-12-18	@ Sanjoanense	D 0-0	1540	1370	43.0%	22.2%	34.8%	-0.5	7
1967-01-01	Sanjoanense	D 1-1	1479	1370	66.3%	21.0%	12.7%	-3.4	9
1967-01-01	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1370	1479	12.7%	21.0%	66.3%	+3.4	5
1967-01-01	Benfica	W 2-1	1539	1798	24.0%	21.5%	54.5%	+13.6	10
1967-01-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1798	1539	54.5%	21.5%	24.0%	-13.5	28
1967-01-01	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1609	1604	57.1%	22.1%	20.8%	+6.5	20
1967-01-01	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1604	1609	20.8%	22.1%	57.1%	-6.5	10
1967-01-01	Braga	W 1-0	1627	1621	57.2%	22.1%	20.7%	+6.5	23
1967-01-01	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1621	1627	20.7%	22.1%	57.2%	-6.5	19
1967-01-01	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1717	1549	70.4%	20.1%	9.5%	+5.1	16
1967-01-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1549	1717	9.5%	20.1%	70.4%	-5.1	13
1967-01-01	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1559	1712	37.1%	22.3%	40.6%	-17.1	12
1967-01-01	@ Varzim	W 3-1	1712	1559	40.6%	22.3%	37.1%	+17.1	28
1967-01-01	Porto	W 2-0	1655	1722	48.8%	22.4%	28.8%	+16.1	19
1967-01-01	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1722	1655	28.8%	22.4%	48.8%	-16.1	22
1967-01-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1729	1722	57.2%	22.1%	20.7%	+6.5	31
1967-01-08	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1722	1729	20.7%	22.1%	57.2%	-6.5	16
1967-01-08	Fabril	D 0-0	1544	1616	48.2%	22.4%	29.4%	-1.2	14
1967-01-08	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1616	1544	29.4%	22.4%	48.2%	+1.2	21
1967-01-08	Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1784	1475	77.9%	17.3%	4.7%	+2.8	31
1967-01-08	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1475	1784	4.7%	17.3%	77.9%	-2.8	9
1967-01-08	Varzim	D 1-1	1615	1542	63.4%	21.5%	15.2%	-3.0	20
1967-01-08	@ Braga	D 1-1	1542	1615	15.2%	21.5%	63.4%	+3.0	13
1967-01-08	Leixoes	W 4-0	1706	1634	63.4%	21.5%	15.2%	+17.6	25
1967-01-08	@ Porto	L 0-4	1634	1706	15.2%	21.5%	63.4%	-17.6	23
1967-01-08	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1374	1671	20.2%	21.0%	58.8%	+14.5	8
1967-01-08	@ Sanjoanense	L 1-2	1671	1374	58.8%	21.0%	20.2%	-14.5	19
1967-01-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1597	1553	61.0%	21.8%	17.3%	+5.5	13
1967-01-08	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1553	1597	17.3%	21.8%	61.0%	-5.5	10
1967-02-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1736	1543	71.9%	19.7%	8.4%	+2.8	34
1967-02-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1543	1736	8.4%	19.7%	71.9%	-2.8	14
1967-02-05	Fabril	W 5-0	1547	1617	48.4%	22.4%	29.2%	+38.1	13
1967-02-05	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-5	1617	1547	29.2%	22.4%	48.4%	-38.1	21
1967-02-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 7-0	1787	1657	67.9%	20.7%	11.4%	+22.8	34
1967-02-05	@ Benfica	L 0-7	1657	1787	11.4%	20.7%	67.9%	-22.8	19
1967-02-05	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1612	1716	43.9%	22.4%	33.7%	+15.8	23
1967-02-05	@ Braga	L 1-3	1716	1612	33.7%	22.4%	43.9%	-15.8	16
1967-02-05	Varzim	W 3-1	1724	1545	71.0%	20.0%	9.0%	+4.9	28
1967-02-05	@ Porto	L 1-3	1545	1724	9.0%	20.0%	71.0%	-4.9	13
1967-02-05	Leixoes	W 2-0	1388	1616	27.5%	21.8%	50.7%	+25.4	11
1967-02-05	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-2	1616	1388	50.7%	21.8%	27.5%	-25.4	23
1967-02-05	Beira-Mar	W 5-1	1603	1472	67.9%	20.7%	11.4%	+11.2	16
1967-02-05	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-5	1472	1603	11.4%	20.7%	67.9%	-11.2	9
1967-02-12	Braga	L 0-1	1540	1627	46.2%	22.4%	31.4%	-12.5	14
1967-02-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1627	1540	31.4%	22.4%	46.2%	+12.5	26
1967-02-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1461	1585	41.2%	22.4%	36.4%	+10.3	12
1967-02-12	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1585	1461	36.4%	22.4%	41.2%	-10.3	13
1967-02-12	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1579	1739	36.1%	22.3%	41.6%	-19.3	21
1967-02-12	@ Fabril	W 2-0	1739	1579	41.6%	22.3%	36.1%	+19.3	37
1967-02-12	Benfica	L 1-2	1591	1810	28.5%	21.9%	49.6%	-7.9	23
1967-02-12	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1810	1591	49.6%	21.9%	28.5%	+7.9	37
1967-02-12	Porto	D 2-2	1700	1729	53.4%	22.3%	24.3%	-1.3	17
1967-02-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1729	1700	24.3%	22.3%	53.4%	+1.3	29
1967-02-12	Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1541	1414	67.6%	20.8%	11.6%	+3.8	16
1967-02-12	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1414	1541	11.6%	20.8%	67.6%	-3.8	11
1967-02-12	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1634	1614	58.6%	22.0%	19.4%	-2.4	20
1967-02-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1614	1634	19.4%	22.0%	58.6%	+2.4	17
1967-02-19	Fabril	W 2-0	1472	1559	46.1%	22.4%	31.5%	+17.3	15
1967-02-19	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1559	1472	31.5%	22.4%	46.1%	-17.3	21
1967-02-19	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1575	1632	50.0%	22.4%	27.6%	+7.8	16
1967-02-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1632	1575	27.6%	22.4%	50.0%	-7.8	20
1967-02-19	Varzim	W 6-2	1818	1544	76.3%	18.1%	5.6%	+4.6	40
1967-02-19	@ Benfica	L 2-6	1544	1818	5.6%	18.1%	76.3%	-4.6	16
1967-02-19	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1640	1758	42.0%	22.4%	35.6%	-18.8	26
1967-02-19	@ Braga	W 3-1	1758	1640	35.6%	22.4%	42.0%	+18.8	40
1967-02-19	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-1	1730	1527	72.5%	19.5%	8.0%	+7.9	32
1967-02-19	@ Porto	L 1-5	1527	1730	8.0%	19.5%	72.5%	-7.9	14
1967-02-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1410	1699	21.0%	21.1%	57.8%	+2.2	12
1967-02-19	@ Sanjoanense	D 1-1	1699	1410	57.8%	21.1%	21.0%	-2.2	18
1967-02-19	Leixoes	D 0-0	1617	1583	59.9%	21.9%	18.2%	-2.9	18
1967-02-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1583	1617	18.2%	21.9%	59.9%	+2.9	24
1967-02-26	Porto	D 0-0	1777	1738	60.4%	21.8%	17.8%	-3.0	41
1967-02-26	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1738	1777	17.8%	21.8%	60.4%	+3.0	33
1967-02-26	Sanjoanense	D 2-2	1520	1412	66.2%	21.0%	12.8%	-2.5	15
1967-02-26	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1412	1520	12.8%	21.0%	66.2%	+2.5	13
1967-02-26	Braga	W 1-0	1542	1621	47.3%	22.4%	30.3%	+8.9	24
1967-02-26	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1621	1542	30.3%	22.4%	47.3%	-8.9	26
1967-02-26	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1586	1583	56.9%	22.1%	21.0%	-2.4	25
1967-02-26	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1583	1586	21.0%	22.1%	56.9%	+2.5	17
1967-02-26	Benfica	D 1-1	1697	1823	40.9%	22.4%	36.7%	-0.2	19
1967-02-26	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1823	1697	36.7%	22.4%	40.9%	+0.2	41
1967-02-26	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1540	1614	47.9%	22.4%	29.7%	-12.9	16
1967-02-26	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1614	1540	29.7%	22.4%	47.9%	+12.9	21
1967-02-26	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1624	1489	68.2%	20.6%	11.2%	-3.7	21
1967-02-26	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1489	1624	11.2%	20.6%	68.2%	+3.7	16
1967-03-05	Leixoes	W 3-0	1493	1583	45.7%	22.4%	31.9%	+25.4	19
1967-03-05	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-3	1583	1493	31.9%	22.4%	45.7%	-25.4	25
1967-03-05	Varzim	W 2-0	1585	1527	62.2%	21.6%	16.2%	+9.9	20
1967-03-05	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1527	1585	16.2%	21.6%	62.2%	-9.9	16
1967-03-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1823	1517	77.8%	17.4%	4.8%	+2.9	44
1967-03-05	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1517	1823	4.8%	17.4%	77.8%	-2.9	15
1967-03-05	Braga	W 3-1	1741	1612	67.8%	20.7%	11.5%	+6.2	36
1967-03-05	@ Porto	L 1-3	1612	1741	11.5%	20.7%	67.8%	-6.2	26
1967-03-05	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1415	1774	15.2%	20.1%	64.7%	+16.9	16
1967-03-05	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-1	1774	1415	64.7%	20.1%	15.2%	-16.8	41
1967-03-05	Fabril	W 3-1	1620	1551	63.1%	21.5%	15.4%	+8.1	24
1967-03-05	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1551	1620	15.4%	21.5%	63.1%	-8.1	24
1967-03-05	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1627	1696	48.4%	22.4%	29.2%	-24.5	21
1967-03-05	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1696	1627	29.2%	22.4%	48.4%	+24.5	22
1967-03-12	Benfica	L 0-1	1757	1826	48.5%	22.4%	29.1%	-13.0	41
1967-03-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1826	1757	29.1%	22.4%	48.5%	+13.0	47
1967-03-12	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1514	1602	46.1%	22.4%	31.5%	-23.5	15
1967-03-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1602	1514	31.5%	22.4%	46.1%	+23.5	24
1967-03-12	Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1606	1432	70.8%	20.0%	9.2%	+3.0	29
1967-03-12	@ Braga	L 0-1	1432	1606	9.2%	20.0%	70.8%	-3.0	16
1967-03-12	Porto	L 1-5	1543	1747	30.4%	22.0%	47.6%	-26.5	24
1967-03-12	@ Fabril	W 5-1	1747	1543	47.6%	22.0%	30.4%	+26.5	39
1967-03-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1558	1628	48.3%	22.4%	29.2%	-13.0	25
1967-03-12	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1628	1558	29.2%	22.4%	48.3%	+13.0	27
1967-03-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1721	1595	67.5%	20.8%	11.7%	+3.8	25
1967-03-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1595	1721	11.7%	20.8%	67.5%	-3.8	20
1967-03-12	Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1517	1518	56.4%	22.1%	21.4%	+6.7	19
1967-03-12	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1518	1517	21.4%	22.1%	56.4%	-6.7	19
1967-03-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1511	1725	29.2%	21.9%	48.9%	-8.1	19
1967-03-19	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1725	1511	48.9%	21.9%	29.2%	+8.1	28
1967-03-19	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 7-1	1591	1491	65.7%	21.1%	13.2%	+18.7	23
1967-03-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-7	1491	1591	13.2%	21.1%	65.7%	-18.7	15
1967-03-19	Braga	W 4-0	1839	1609	74.0%	19.0%	7.0%	+8.2	50
1967-03-19	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1609	1839	7.0%	19.0%	74.0%	-8.2	29
1967-03-19	Fabril	D 0-0	1545	1516	59.4%	21.9%	18.7%	-2.8	26
1967-03-19	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1516	1545	18.7%	21.9%	59.4%	+2.8	25
1967-03-19	Porto	D 1-1	1429	1773	16.3%	20.3%	63.4%	+3.0	17
1967-03-19	@ Sanjoanense	D 1-1	1773	1429	63.4%	20.3%	16.3%	-3.0	40
1967-03-19	Varzim	D 2-2	1641	1524	67.0%	20.9%	12.2%	-2.6	28
1967-03-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1524	1641	12.2%	20.9%	67.0%	+2.6	20
1967-03-19	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1626	1744	42.0%	22.4%	35.6%	-11.5	24
1967-03-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1744	1626	35.6%	22.4%	42.0%	+11.5	44
1967-04-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 6-0	1755	1610	68.9%	20.5%	10.6%	+18.3	47
1967-04-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-6	1610	1755	10.6%	20.5%	68.9%	-18.3	23
1967-04-02	Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1472	1503	53.1%	22.3%	24.6%	+20.6	18
1967-04-02	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1503	1472	24.6%	22.3%	53.1%	-20.6	19
1967-04-02	Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1601	1614	55.1%	22.2%	22.7%	-13.1	29
1967-04-02	@ Braga	W 3-2	1614	1601	22.7%	22.2%	55.1%	+13.1	27
1967-04-02	Sanjoanense	D 0-0	1519	1431	64.7%	21.3%	14.1%	-3.6	26
1967-04-02	@ Fabril	D 0-0	1431	1519	14.1%	21.3%	64.7%	+3.6	18
1967-04-02	Benfica	D 1-1	1770	1847	47.5%	22.4%	30.0%	-1.0	41
1967-04-02	@ Porto	D 1-1	1847	1770	30.0%	22.4%	47.5%	+1.0	51
1967-04-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1733	1639	65.1%	21.2%	13.6%	+12.2	31
1967-04-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1639	1733	13.6%	21.2%	65.1%	-12.2	28
1967-04-02	Leixoes	D 1-1	1526	1542	54.8%	22.2%	23.0%	-1.9	21
1967-04-02	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1542	1526	23.0%	22.2%	54.8%	+1.9	27
1967-04-09	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1483	1774	20.8%	21.1%	58.1%	-17.6	19
1967-04-09	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1774	1483	58.1%	21.1%	20.8%	+17.6	50
1967-04-09	Braga	W 1-0	1592	1588	56.9%	22.1%	21.0%	+6.6	26
1967-04-09	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1588	1592	21.0%	22.1%	56.9%	-6.6	29
1967-04-09	Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1848	1435	82.3%	14.9%	2.8%	+0.9	54
1967-04-09	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1435	1848	2.8%	14.9%	82.3%	-0.9	18
1967-04-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1544	1745	30.8%	22.0%	47.2%	-9.0	27
1967-04-09	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1745	1544	47.2%	22.0%	30.8%	+9.0	34
1967-04-09	Fabril	W 1-0	1524	1516	57.4%	22.1%	20.5%	+6.4	24
1967-04-09	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1516	1524	20.5%	22.1%	57.4%	-6.4	26
1967-04-09	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1627	1493	68.1%	20.7%	11.2%	+7.0	31
1967-04-09	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1493	1627	11.2%	20.7%	68.1%	-7.0	18
1967-04-09	Porto	L 0-1	1627	1769	38.6%	22.4%	39.0%	-10.8	27
1967-04-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1769	1627	39.0%	22.4%	38.6%	+10.8	44
1967-04-16	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1791	1634	69.7%	20.3%	10.0%	+3.1	53
1967-04-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1634	1791	10.0%	20.3%	69.7%	-3.1	31
1967-04-16	Leixoes	D 2-2	1486	1535	50.9%	22.4%	26.7%	-1.1	19
1967-04-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1535	1486	26.7%	22.4%	50.9%	+1.1	28
1967-04-16	Beira-Mar	W 4-2	1581	1465	66.8%	20.9%	12.2%	+5.9	32
1967-04-16	@ Braga	L 2-4	1465	1581	12.2%	20.9%	66.8%	-5.9	19
1967-04-16	Benfica	L 1-2	1509	1849	16.7%	20.4%	62.9%	-4.9	26
1967-04-16	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1849	1509	62.9%	20.4%	16.7%	+4.9	57
1967-04-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1780	1598	71.3%	19.9%	8.8%	+5.5	47
1967-04-16	@ Porto	L 0-2	1598	1780	8.8%	19.9%	71.3%	-5.5	26
1967-04-16	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1434	1616	33.1%	22.2%	44.7%	+0.7	19
1967-04-16	@ Sanjoanense	D 1-1	1616	1434	44.7%	22.2%	33.1%	-0.7	28
1967-04-16	Varzim	W 4-0	1754	1531	73.6%	19.1%	7.2%	+8.5	37
1967-04-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1531	1754	7.2%	19.1%	73.6%	-8.5	24
1967-04-23	Porto	L 0-2	1459	1786	17.7%	20.6%	61.7%	-10.4	19
1967-04-23	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-0	1786	1459	61.7%	20.6%	17.7%	+10.4	50
1967-04-23	Sanjoanense	D 1-1	1593	1435	69.7%	20.3%	10.0%	-3.9	27
1967-04-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1435	1593	10.0%	20.3%	69.7%	+3.9	20
1967-04-23	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1536	1794	24.1%	21.5%	54.4%	+1.8	29
1967-04-23	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1794	1536	54.4%	21.5%	24.1%	-1.8	54
1967-04-23	Fabril	L 0-1	1762	1504	75.5%	18.4%	6.1%	-19.7	37
1967-04-23	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1504	1762	6.1%	18.4%	75.5%	+19.7	29
1967-04-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-0	1522	1485	60.3%	21.8%	17.9%	+25.1	27
1967-04-23	@ Varzim	L 0-5	1485	1522	17.9%	21.8%	60.3%	-25.2	19
1967-04-23	Braga	W 2-1	1630	1587	60.8%	21.8%	17.4%	+5.2	34
1967-04-23	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1587	1630	17.4%	21.8%	60.8%	-5.2	32
1967-04-23	Benfica	W 3-2	1616	1854	26.3%	21.7%	52.0%	+12.3	31
1967-04-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1854	1616	52.0%	21.7%	26.3%	-12.3	57
1967-04-30	Varzim	W 2-1	1793	1548	74.8%	18.7%	6.5%	+2.0	57
1967-04-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1548	1793	6.5%	18.7%	74.8%	-2.0	27
1967-04-30	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1459	1743	21.6%	21.2%	57.2%	-6.6	19
1967-04-30	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1743	1459	57.2%	21.2%	21.6%	+6.6	40
1967-04-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1842	1589	75.2%	18.5%	6.2%	+3.8	60
1967-04-30	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1589	1842	6.2%	18.5%	75.2%	-3.8	27
1967-04-30	Leixoes	L 1-2	1582	1538	60.8%	21.8%	17.4%	-15.2	32
1967-04-30	@ Braga	W 2-1	1538	1582	17.4%	21.8%	60.8%	+15.2	32
1967-04-30	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1796	1636	69.9%	20.2%	9.8%	+7.5	53
1967-04-30	@ Porto	L 1-4	1636	1796	9.8%	20.2%	69.9%	-7.5	34
1967-04-30	Beira-Mar	W 1-0	1439	1449	55.5%	22.2%	22.4%	+6.9	23
1967-04-30	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-1	1449	1439	22.4%	22.2%	55.5%	-6.9	19
1967-04-30	Fabril	W 3-1	1628	1524	65.9%	21.1%	13.0%	+7.0	34
1967-04-30	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1524	1628	13.0%	21.1%	65.9%	-7.0	29
1967-05-07	Benfica	L 0-9	1442	1845	12.4%	19.3%	68.4%	-30.1	19
1967-05-07	@ Beira-Mar	W 9-0	1845	1442	68.4%	19.3%	12.4%	+30.1	63
1967-05-07	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1585	1635	50.8%	22.4%	26.8%	-25.6	27
1967-05-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1635	1585	26.8%	22.4%	50.8%	+25.6	37
1967-05-07	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1517	1453	62.7%	21.6%	15.8%	+4.5	32
1967-05-07	@ Fabril	L 3-4	1453	1517	15.8%	21.6%	62.7%	-4.4	19
1967-05-07	Porto	L 0-1	1553	1804	24.9%	21.6%	53.5%	-7.5	32
1967-05-07	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1804	1553	53.5%	21.6%	24.9%	+7.5	56
1967-05-07	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1749	1795	51.4%	22.4%	26.2%	-1.7	41
1967-05-07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1795	1749	26.2%	22.4%	51.4%	+1.7	58
1967-05-07	Braga	W 1-0	1546	1567	54.2%	22.2%	23.5%	+7.2	30
1967-05-07	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1567	1546	23.5%	22.2%	54.2%	-7.2	32
1967-05-07	Sanjoanense	W 2-1	1628	1446	71.3%	19.9%	8.8%	+2.8	37
1967-05-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1446	1628	8.8%	19.9%	71.3%	-2.8	23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1967-04-23	6.08%	Fabril	1504	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1762	0
2	1966-10-23	9.93%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1530	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1689	0
3	1966-12-04	12.86%	Leixoes	1607	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1713	0
4	1966-09-25	13.52%	Beira-Mar	1502	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1597	0
5	1967-03-05	15.23%	@ Sanjoanense	1415	1	Academica de Coimbra	1774	0
6	1966-10-02	15.91%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1565	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1627	1
7	1967-04-30	17.38%	Leixoes	1538	2	@ Braga	1582	1
8	1966-09-25	17.78%	Fabril	1619	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1658	2
9	1966-11-20	18.18%	Leixoes	1578	1	@ Fabril	1612	0
10	1966-11-27	18.73%	Braga	1608	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1636	1
11	1967-01-08	20.21%	@ Sanjoanense	1374	2	Vitoria Guimaraes	1671	1
12	1966-12-18	22.14%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1642	3	@ Braga	1634	2
13	1967-04-02	22.71%	Vitoria Setubal	1614	3	@ Braga	1601	2
14	1966-11-20	23.92%	@ Braga	1556	4	Benfica	1816	0
15	1967-01-01	24.03%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1539	2	Benfica	1798	1
16	1966-12-11	25.36%	Academica de Coimbra	1694	1	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1656	0
17	1967-04-23	26.30%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1616	3	Benfica	1854	2
18	1967-05-07	26.78%	Vitoria Setubal	1635	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1585	0
19	1967-02-05	27.45%	@ Sanjoanense	1388	2	Leixoes	1616	0
20	1966-10-02	27.88%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1511	2	Porto	1736	0
21	1966-12-18	28.60%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1696	3	@ Fabril	1631	1
22	1967-03-12	29.06%	Benfica	1826	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1757	0
23	1967-03-05	29.16%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1696	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1627	0
24	1967-03-12	29.25%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1628	1	@ Leixoes	1558	0
25	1967-02-26	29.69%	Vitoria Setubal	1614	1	@ Varzim	1540	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1966-11-20	51.53	@ Braga	4	1556	23.92%	Benfica	0	1816	54.61%
2	1967-02-05	38.12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1547	48.41%	Fabril	0	1617	29.17%
3	1966-10-23	34.65	Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	1530	9.93%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1689	69.80%
4	1966-09-18	33.07	Porto	3	1696	33.17%	@ Varzim	0	1595	44.40%
5	1966-11-27	33.01	Fabril	4	1597	46.11%	@ Sanjoanense	0	1404	31.80%
6	1966-09-25	32.50	Beira-Mar	2	1502	13.52%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1597	65.29%
7	1967-05-07	30.13	Benfica	9	1845	68.38%	@ Beira-Mar	0	1442	12.36%
8	1967-03-12	26.48	Porto	5	1747	47.63%	@ Fabril	1	1543	30.36%
9	1967-05-07	25.62	Vitoria Setubal	2	1635	26.78%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1585	50.85%
10	1967-02-05	25.44	@ Sanjoanense	2	1388	27.45%	Leixoes	0	1616	50.74%
11	1967-03-05	25.41	@ Beira-Mar	3	1493	45.70%	Leixoes	0	1583	31.87%
12	1966-10-02	25.24	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	1511	27.88%	Porto	0	1736	50.29%
13	1967-04-23	25.16	@ Varzim	5	1522	60.30%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1485	17.87%
14	1967-03-05	24.54	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1696	29.16%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1627	48.43%
15	1966-10-23	23.99	@ Porto	5	1685	61.33%	Fabril	0	1636	16.95%
16	1967-03-12	23.50	Vitoria Setubal	2	1602	31.49%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1514	46.07%
17	1966-09-18	23.17	Academica de Coimbra	2	1635	32.25%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1541	45.31%
18	1967-02-05	22.78	@ Benfica	7	1787	67.88%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1657	11.41%
19	1966-10-16	22.34	@ Braga	2	1534	34.27%	Porto	0	1708	43.52%
20	1966-11-27	21.86	@ Beira-Mar	4	1475	44.88%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1	1572	32.68%
21	1966-12-18	21.47	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1696	28.60%	@ Fabril	1	1631	48.99%
22	1966-10-09	20.67	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	1611	30.66%	@ Beira-Mar	1	1530	46.91%
23	1967-04-02	20.60	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	1472	53.07%	Beira-Mar	0	1503	24.63%
24	1967-04-23	19.68	Fabril	1	1504	6.08%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1762	75.49%
25	1967-02-12	19.30	Academica de Coimbra	2	1739	41.57%	@ Fabril	0	1579	36.15%