1967-68 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vitoria Setubal

4.55 points above expected

34 points · 29.45 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Barreirense

5.78 points below expected

10 points · 15.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	18	5	3	41	75	19	+56	37.3	+3.69
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	17	3	6	37	48	24	+24	33.1	+3.93
3	Porto	26	16	4	6	36	60	24	+36	35.1	+0.89
4	Academica de Coimbra	26	15	5	6	35	53	24	+29	34.2	+0.83
5	Vitoria Setubal	26	14	6	6	34	43	20	+23	29.4	+4.55
6	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	12	3	11	27	31	34	-3	25.4	+1.60
7	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	10	5	11	25	38	40	-2	24.8	+0.25
8	Leixoes	26	10	4	12	24	29	39	-10	23.6	+0.35
9	Fabril	26	7	7	12	21	28	37	-9	21.0	-0.02
10	Sanjoanense	26	7	7	12	21	22	40	-18	20.0	+0.99
11	Braga	26	9	3	14	21	29	48	-19	21.8	-0.83
12	Varzim	26	7	3	16	17	27	50	-23	22.2	-5.22
13	Tirsense	26	5	5	16	15	17	53	-36	20.2	-5.23
14	Barreirense	26	3	4	19	10	24	72	-48	15.8	-5.78

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	1886	41	37.31	+3.69	87.0%	26	30	35	37	40	42	45
Porto	1815	36	35.11	+0.89	62.0%	26	28	32	35	38	42	44
Academica de Coimbra	1813	35	34.17	+0.83	62.0%	25	28	31	34	37	41	42
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1758	37	33.07	+3.93	90.0%	23	27	31	34	36	38	42
Vitoria Setubal	1744	34	29.45	+4.55	89.0%	19	22	27	30	33	35	38
Os Belenenses (1st)	1642	25	24.75	+0.25	56.0%	15	18	22	25	28	31	33
Vitoria Guimaraes	1624	27	25.40	+1.60	69.0%	13	19	23	25	28	31	35
Braga	1577	21	21.83	-0.83	46.0%	12	15	19	22	24	29	33
Fabril	1571	21	21.02	-0.02	56.0%	13	14	19	21	24	27	31
Leixoes	1556	24	23.65	+0.35	64.0%	13	18	21	23	25	32	34
Varzim	1506	17	22.22	-5.22	9.0%	14	17	20	22	24	28	31
Sanjoanense	1499	21	20.01	+0.99	68.0%	11	14	17	19	22	27	32
Tirsense	1468	15	20.23	-5.23	10.0%	9	14	17	20	23	27	30
Barreirense	1375	10	15.78	-5.78	10.0%	7	9	13	16	18	21	26

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	BAR	BEN	BRA	FAB	LEI	OB(	POR	SAN	SCDP	TIR	VAR	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-1-0 4.85	0-1-1 2.46	1-1-0 4.24	2-0-0 4.28	2-0-0 4.06	1-0-1 3.80	0-1-1 2.84	1-1-0 4.35	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 3.93	2-0-0 4.41	1-0-1 3.99	1-0-1 3.22
Barreirense	0-1-1 0.86	—	0-0-2 1.16	0-0-2 2.28	1-0-1 2.10	0-1-1 1.79	0-0-2 2.19	0-0-2 0.91	0-0-2 2.23	0-1-1 1.00	1-0-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.11	0-0-2 1.55	0-1-1 1.41
Benfica	1-1-0 3.22	2-0-0 4.56	—	2-0-0 4.32	1-0-1 4.69	2-0-0 4.36	1-1-0 4.06	1-1-0 3.20	2-0-0 4.54	1-0-1 3.37	1-1-0 4.59	1-1-0 4.64	2-0-0 3.91	1-0-1 3.89
Braga	0-1-1 1.45	2-0-0 3.40	0-0-2 1.38	—	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.38	0-0-2 1.51	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 1.40	2-0-0 3.05	0-1-1 2.96	0-0-2 2.43	0-0-2 2.04
Fabril	0-0-2 1.41	1-0-1 3.58	1-0-1 1.01	0-1-1 2.87	—	0-2-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 1.21	1-0-1 3.00	0-0-2 1.76	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.72	1-1-0 2.38	0-1-1 1.83
Leixoes	0-0-2 1.63	1-1-0 3.90	0-0-2 1.34	1-0-1 3.00	0-2-0 3.01	—	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 1.59	2-0-0 3.17	0-0-2 1.96	2-0-0 3.06	1-0-1 2.96	1-1-0 2.67	0-0-2 2.10
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 1.89	2-0-0 3.50	0-1-1 1.63	1-0-1 3.29	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.13	—	0-0-2 1.85	1-1-0 3.39	1-0-1 1.85	0-0-2 3.43	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.70	0-2-0 2.31
Porto	1-1-0 2.84	2-0-0 4.81	0-1-1 2.48	2-0-0 4.19	1-0-1 4.48	1-0-1 4.10	2-0-0 3.83	—	1-1-0 4.41	0-1-1 3.03	2-0-0 4.23	1-0-1 4.46	1-0-1 3.92	2-0-0 3.20
Sanjoanense	0-1-1 1.35	2-0-0 3.45	0-0-2 1.17	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 2.29	0-1-1 1.29	—	0-0-2 1.37	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.34	0-1-1 1.67
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 4.72	1-0-1 2.30	1-0-1 4.29	2-0-0 3.94	2-0-0 3.73	1-0-1 3.83	1-1-0 2.65	2-0-0 4.32	—	1-1-0 4.28	2-0-0 4.01	1-0-1 3.97	1-0-1 3.15
Tirsense	0-0-2 1.76	1-0-1 3.49	0-1-1 1.12	0-0-2 2.63	0-1-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.62	2-0-0 2.25	0-0-2 1.47	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 1.41	—	2-0-0 2.55	0-0-2 2.43	0-1-1 1.60
Varzim	0-0-2 1.29	1-0-1 3.56	0-1-1 1.07	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 1.23	0-1-1 3.01	0-0-2 1.69	0-0-2 3.13	—	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 2.02
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-0-1 1.70	2-0-0 4.14	0-0-2 1.77	2-0-0 3.24	0-1-1 3.30	0-1-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 1.76	0-1-1 3.34	1-0-1 1.71	2-0-0 3.25	2-0-0 3.30	—	0-0-2 2.61
Vitoria Setubal	1-0-1 2.46	1-1-0 4.28	1-0-1 1.79	2-0-0 3.64	1-1-0 3.85	2-0-0 3.58	0-2-0 3.37	0-0-2 2.48	1-1-0 4.02	1-0-1 2.53	1-1-0 4.09	1-0-1 3.65	2-0-0 3.07	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	9.89%	5.77%	4.95%	1.92%	3.02%	32.69%
1	9.89%	9.34%	5.22%	3.57%	1.10%	1.10%	30.22%
2	5.77%	5.22%	1.10%	3.57%	0.27%	0.27%	16.21%
3	4.95%	3.57%	3.57%	—	0.27%	0.27%	12.64%
4	1.92%	1.10%	0.27%	0.27%	—	—	3.57%
5+	3.02%	1.10%	0.27%	0.27%	—	—	4.67%
Total	32.69%	30.22%	16.21%	12.64%	3.57%	4.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.58
StdDev allowed	1.58
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.174
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	42.31%	34.62%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.343
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	15.38%	—	7.69%	46.15%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
2	—	—	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	11.54%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	30.77%	11.54%	23.08%	7.69%	19.23%	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.92
Mean allowed	2.77
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	2.20
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.041
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	19.23%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
Total	50.00%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.88
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	2.47
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.237
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
1	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	11.54%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.207
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	38.46%
1	3.85%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	30.77%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	—	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.180
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	3.85%	34.62%
1	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	26.92%	30.77%	3.85%	—	7.69%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.206
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	42.31%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	38.46%	19.23%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.380
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	38.46%	34.62%	23.08%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.31
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.93
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.171
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	—	3.85%	42.31%
1	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.31%	11.54%	11.54%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Sanjoanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.85
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.65
Mean total goals/game	2.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.188
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
1	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	42.31%	38.46%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.095
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	61.54%
1	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Tirsense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.65
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	2.20
Mean total goals/game	2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.025
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	—	7.69%	46.15%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	38.46%	15.38%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.79
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.296
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	42.31%
2	7.69%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	26.92%	15.38%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	0.90
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.161
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	26.92%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	50.00%
2	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	53.85%	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.96
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.187
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vitoria Setubal	34	29.4	+4.55
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	37	33.1	+3.93
3	Benfica	41	37.3	+3.69
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	27	25.4	+1.60
5	Sanjoanense	21	20.0	+0.99

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Barreirense	10	15.8	-5.78
2	Tirsense	15	20.2	-5.23
3	Varzim	17	22.2	-5.22
4	Braga	21	21.8	-0.83
5	Fabril	21	21.0	-0.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	Dec 31 – Mar 3	1 in 86
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	4	Dec 24 – Jan 14	1 in 37
3	Braga	3	Jan 14 – Feb 11	1 in 27
4	Sanjoanense	3	Mar 10 – Apr 7	1 in 19
5	Fabril	2	Oct 29 – Nov 5	1 in 10

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Varzim	5	Feb 25 – Apr 7	1 in 33
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	Apr 28 – May 12	1 in 25
3	Vitoria Setubal	4	Dec 31 – Feb 4	1 in 19
4	Fabril	4	Sep 17 – Oct 22	1 in 19
5	Braga	5	Sep 17 – Oct 29	1 in 17

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Setubal	11	Feb 11 – May 5	1 in 100
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	13	Oct 29 – Mar 3	1 in 40
3	Sanjoanense	4	Oct 22 – Dec 3	1 in 21
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	Sep 24 – Oct 29	1 in 19
5	Porto	9	Sep 10 – Dec 10	1 in 14

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fabril	9	Dec 3 – Feb 18	1 in 37
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	4	Sep 10 – Oct 1	1 in 11
3	Tirsense	7	Dec 24 – Feb 18	1 in 7
4	Varzim	5	Feb 25 – Apr 7	1 in 7
5	Academica de Coimbra	3	Feb 25 – Mar 10	1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	54.00%	26.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2.00%	18.00%	34.00%	19.00%	14.00%	9.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Porto	25.00%	30.00%	16.00%	13.00%	13.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Academica de Coimbra	15.00%	22.00%	24.00%	24.00%	9.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Vitoria Setubal	2.00%	3.00%	15.00%	19.00%	21.00%	21.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	1.00%	—	1.00%	7.00%	9.00%	18.00%	23.00%	14.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	—	—	—	6.00%	12.00%	16.00%	16.00%	16.00%	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	—	3.00%
Leixoes	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	10.00%	14.00%	13.00%	20.00%	13.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Fabril	—	—	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	10.00%	14.00%	16.00%	12.00%	19.00%	10.00%	6.00%
Sanjoanense	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	10.00%	22.00%	18.00%	15.00%	13.00%
Braga	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	13.00%	13.00%	12.00%	17.00%	14.00%	11.00%	4.00%
Varzim	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	10.00%	12.00%	10.00%	16.00%	15.00%	12.00%	14.00%	1.00%
Tirsense	—	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	9.00%	15.00%	10.00%	13.00%	19.00%	15.00%
Barreirense	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	7.00%	9.00%	24.00%	55.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Academica de Coimbra	100%	—
Benfica	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Vitoria Setubal	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	97.0%	3.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	96.0%	4.0%
Leixoes	94.0%	6.0%
Braga	85.0%	15.0%
Varzim	85.0%	15.0%
Fabril	84.0%	16.0%
Sanjoanense	72.0%	28.0%
Tirsense	66.0%	34.0%
Barreirense	21.0%	79.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1967-09-10	Porto	L 0-2	1589	1763	43.4%	16.4%	40.2%	-19.0	0
1967-09-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1763	1589	40.2%	16.4%	43.4%	+19.0	3
1967-09-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1805	1637	76.3%	15.2%	8.5%	+2.2	3
1967-09-10	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1637	1805	8.5%	15.2%	76.3%	-2.1	0
1967-09-10	Barreirense	W 4-3	1589	1519	70.3%	15.9%	13.9%	+3.2	3
1967-09-10	@ Braga	L 3-4	1519	1589	13.9%	15.9%	70.3%	-3.2	0
1967-09-10	Sanjoanense	W 3-2	1557	1505	68.8%	16.0%	15.2%	+3.6	3
1967-09-10	@ Fabril	L 2-3	1505	1557	15.2%	16.0%	68.8%	-3.6	0
1967-09-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1577	1721	47.5%	16.4%	36.1%	-10.3	0
1967-09-10	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1721	1577	36.1%	16.4%	47.5%	+10.3	3
1967-09-10	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-4	1581	1752	43.8%	16.4%	39.8%	-36.4	0
1967-09-10	@ Tirsense	W 4-0	1752	1581	39.8%	16.4%	43.8%	+36.4	3
1967-09-10	Varzim	W 1-0	1658	1582	70.7%	15.8%	13.5%	+3.6	3
1967-09-10	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1582	1658	13.5%	15.8%	70.7%	-3.6	0
1967-09-17	Fabril	W 1-0	1789	1560	79.1%	14.6%	6.2%	+1.7	6
1967-09-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1560	1789	6.2%	14.6%	79.1%	-1.7	3
1967-09-17	Benfica	L 0-3	1516	1807	27.8%	16.0%	56.1%	-18.8	0
1967-09-17	@ Barreirense	W 3-0	1807	1516	56.1%	16.0%	27.8%	+18.8	6
1967-09-17	Leixoes	W 1-0	1782	1566	78.6%	14.8%	6.6%	+1.8	6
1967-09-17	@ Porto	L 0-1	1566	1782	6.6%	14.8%	78.6%	-1.8	0
1967-09-17	Braga	W 3-0	1501	1592	54.4%	16.4%	29.2%	+19.7	3
1967-09-17	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-3	1592	1501	29.2%	16.4%	54.4%	-19.7	3
1967-09-17	Tirsense	D 0-0	1731	1545	77.3%	15.0%	7.7%	-4.5	4
1967-09-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1545	1731	7.7%	15.0%	77.3%	+4.5	1
1967-09-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1578	1570	65.1%	16.2%	18.7%	+13.2	3
1967-09-17	@ Varzim	L 0-3	1570	1578	18.7%	16.2%	65.1%	-13.2	0
1967-09-17	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1635	1662	61.7%	16.3%	22.0%	-26.3	0
1967-09-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1662	1635	22.0%	16.3%	61.7%	+26.3	6
1967-09-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1556	1609	58.9%	16.4%	24.7%	+5.6	3
1967-09-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1609	1556	24.7%	16.4%	58.9%	-5.6	0
1967-09-24	Benfica	L 0-1	1573	1826	32.5%	16.2%	51.3%	-7.9	3
1967-09-24	@ Braga	W 1-0	1826	1573	51.3%	16.2%	32.5%	+7.9	9
1967-09-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1559	1727	44.2%	16.4%	39.4%	-10.3	3
1967-09-24	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1727	1559	39.4%	16.4%	44.2%	+10.3	7
1967-09-24	Varzim	W 3-0	1564	1591	61.7%	16.3%	22.0%	+15.4	3
1967-09-24	@ Leixoes	L 0-3	1591	1564	22.0%	16.3%	61.7%	-15.4	3
1967-09-24	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1521	1790	30.5%	16.1%	53.4%	+1.3	4
1967-09-24	@ Sanjoanense	D 0-0	1790	1521	53.4%	16.1%	30.5%	-1.3	7
1967-09-24	Porto	L 1-3	1549	1783	35.0%	16.2%	48.8%	-13.7	1
1967-09-24	@ Tirsense	W 3-1	1783	1549	48.8%	16.2%	35.0%	+13.7	9
1967-09-24	Barreirense	W 8-0	1688	1497	77.5%	15.0%	7.5%	+13.9	9
1967-09-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-8	1497	1688	7.5%	15.0%	77.5%	-13.9	0
1967-10-01	Braga	W 5-1	1789	1565	79.0%	14.7%	6.3%	+5.1	10
1967-10-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1565	1789	6.3%	14.7%	79.0%	-5.1	3
1967-10-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-6	1483	1562	55.9%	16.4%	27.7%	-66.4	0
1967-10-01	@ Barreirense	W 6-0	1562	1483	27.7%	16.4%	55.9%	+66.4	6
1967-10-01	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1834	1702	74.3%	15.5%	10.2%	+2.6	12
1967-10-01	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1702	1834	10.2%	15.5%	74.3%	-2.6	9
1967-10-01	Fabril	W 4-0	1797	1549	80.0%	14.4%	5.6%	+5.3	12
1967-10-01	@ Porto	L 0-4	1549	1797	5.6%	14.4%	80.0%	-5.3	3
1967-10-01	Sanjoanense	W 3-1	1737	1522	78.6%	14.8%	6.7%	+2.9	10
1967-10-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1522	1737	6.7%	14.8%	78.6%	-2.9	4
1967-10-01	Tirsense	L 0-1	1576	1536	67.9%	16.0%	16.1%	-15.4	3
1967-10-01	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1536	1576	16.1%	16.0%	67.9%	+15.4	4
1967-10-01	Leixoes	D 1-1	1603	1580	66.5%	16.1%	17.4%	-2.7	1
1967-10-01	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1580	1603	17.4%	16.1%	66.5%	+2.7	4
1967-10-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1794	1740	69.0%	16.0%	15.0%	+7.4	13
1967-10-22	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1740	1794	15.0%	16.0%	69.0%	-7.4	10
1967-10-22	Benfica	D 0-0	1628	1836	38.6%	16.3%	45.1%	+0.4	7
1967-10-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1836	1628	45.1%	16.3%	38.6%	-0.4	13
1967-10-22	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1560	1699	48.1%	16.4%	35.4%	-18.1	3
1967-10-22	@ Braga	W 3-1	1699	1560	35.4%	16.4%	48.1%	+18.0	12
1967-10-22	Varzim	L 1-2	1543	1561	62.6%	16.3%	21.1%	-13.4	3
1967-10-22	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1561	1543	21.1%	16.3%	62.6%	+13.4	6
1967-10-22	Barreirense	W 3-0	1583	1416	76.2%	15.2%	8.6%	+6.3	7
1967-10-22	@ Leixoes	L 0-3	1416	1583	8.6%	15.2%	76.2%	-6.3	0
1967-10-22	Porto	D 1-1	1519	1802	28.8%	16.1%	55.1%	+1.4	5
1967-10-22	@ Sanjoanense	D 1-1	1802	1519	55.1%	16.1%	28.8%	-1.4	13
1967-10-22	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1551	1601	59.2%	16.4%	24.4%	-12.7	4
1967-10-22	@ Tirsense	W 2-1	1601	1551	24.4%	16.4%	59.2%	+12.7	4
1967-10-29	Tirsense	W 1-0	1410	1538	49.7%	16.4%	33.9%	+8.2	3
1967-10-29	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1538	1410	33.9%	16.4%	49.7%	-8.2	4
1967-10-29	Leixoes	W 6-0	1836	1589	79.9%	14.4%	5.6%	+7.9	16
1967-10-29	@ Benfica	L 0-6	1589	1836	5.6%	14.4%	79.9%	-7.9	7
1967-10-29	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1801	1801	64.3%	16.2%	19.5%	+5.0	16
1967-10-29	@ Porto	L 0-1	1801	1801	19.5%	16.2%	64.3%	-5.0	13
1967-10-29	Braga	W 6-0	1733	1542	77.5%	15.0%	7.5%	+10.6	13
1967-10-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1542	1733	7.5%	15.0%	77.5%	-10.6	3
1967-10-29	Sanjoanense	D 0-0	1574	1521	68.9%	16.0%	15.1%	-3.4	7
1967-10-29	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1521	1574	15.1%	16.0%	68.9%	+3.4	6
1967-10-29	Fabril	L 2-3	1613	1530	71.2%	15.8%	13.0%	-14.4	4
1967-10-29	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1530	1613	13.0%	15.8%	71.2%	+14.4	6
1967-10-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1717	1629	71.6%	15.8%	12.7%	-3.3	13
1967-10-29	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1629	1717	12.7%	15.8%	71.6%	+3.3	8
1967-11-05	Varzim	W 5-0	1796	1571	79.1%	14.6%	6.3%	+7.4	16
1967-11-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-5	1571	1796	6.3%	14.6%	79.1%	-7.4	7
1967-11-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1531	1632	53.2%	16.4%	30.4%	+7.5	6
1967-11-05	@ Braga	L 0-1	1632	1531	30.4%	16.4%	53.2%	-7.5	8
1967-11-05	Barreirense	W 1-0	1544	1418	74.0%	15.5%	10.5%	+2.8	9
1967-11-05	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1418	1544	10.5%	15.5%	74.0%	-2.8	3
1967-11-05	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1581	1714	49.0%	16.4%	34.5%	-11.2	7
1967-11-05	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1714	1581	34.5%	16.4%	49.0%	+11.2	16
1967-11-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1524	1599	56.4%	16.4%	27.2%	-1.7	7
1967-11-05	@ Sanjoanense	D 0-0	1599	1524	27.2%	16.4%	56.4%	+1.7	5
1967-11-05	Porto	D 0-0	1743	1806	57.7%	16.4%	25.9%	-1.9	14
1967-11-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1806	1743	25.9%	16.4%	57.7%	+1.9	17
1967-11-05	Benfica	D 0-0	1530	1844	25.3%	15.9%	58.8%	+2.0	5
1967-11-05	@ Tirsense	D 0-0	1844	1530	58.8%	15.9%	25.3%	-2.0	17
1967-12-03	Sanjoanense	L 0-1	1416	1522	52.4%	16.4%	31.1%	-11.9	3
1967-12-03	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1522	1416	31.1%	16.4%	52.4%	+12.0	10
1967-12-03	Leixoes	W 2-1	1625	1570	69.1%	16.0%	15.0%	+3.7	11
1967-12-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1570	1625	15.0%	16.0%	69.1%	-3.7	7
1967-12-03	Fabril	W 3-1	1842	1547	81.7%	13.9%	4.4%	+1.9	20
1967-12-03	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1547	1842	4.4%	13.9%	81.7%	-1.9	9
1967-12-03	Braga	W 4-2	1808	1539	80.8%	14.2%	5.0%	+1.9	20
1967-12-03	@ Porto	L 2-4	1539	1808	5.0%	14.2%	80.8%	-1.9	6
1967-12-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1563	1741	42.8%	16.4%	40.8%	-9.4	7
1967-12-03	@ Varzim	W 2-1	1741	1563	40.8%	16.4%	42.8%	+9.4	17
1967-12-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1601	1804	39.2%	16.4%	44.5%	+19.4	8
1967-12-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1804	1601	44.5%	16.4%	39.2%	-19.4	16
1967-12-03	Tirsense	W 1-0	1725	1532	77.6%	15.0%	7.4%	+2.0	19
1967-12-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1532	1725	7.4%	15.0%	77.6%	-2.0	5
1967-12-10	Barreirense	W 2-0	1784	1404	84.3%	12.9%	2.8%	+1.4	19
1967-12-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1404	1784	2.8%	12.9%	84.3%	-1.4	3
1967-12-10	Leixoes	L 0-1	1537	1566	61.4%	16.3%	22.3%	-13.9	6
1967-12-10	@ Braga	W 1-0	1566	1537	22.3%	16.3%	61.4%	+13.9	10
1967-12-10	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1545	1727	42.2%	16.4%	41.4%	-0.0	10
1967-12-10	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1727	1545	41.4%	16.4%	42.2%	+0.0	20
1967-12-10	Varzim	W 3-0	1810	1554	80.3%	14.3%	5.4%	+3.9	23
1967-12-10	@ Porto	L 0-3	1554	1810	5.4%	14.3%	80.3%	-3.9	7
1967-12-10	Benfica	L 1-4	1534	1844	25.8%	15.9%	58.3%	-14.8	10
1967-12-10	@ Sanjoanense	W 4-1	1844	1534	58.3%	15.9%	25.8%	+14.8	23
1967-12-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1751	1620	74.3%	15.5%	10.3%	+2.6	20
1967-12-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1620	1751	10.3%	15.5%	74.3%	-2.6	8
1967-12-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1530	1628	53.5%	16.4%	30.0%	+7.0	8
1967-12-10	@ Tirsense	L 1-2	1628	1530	30.0%	16.4%	53.5%	-7.0	11
1967-12-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1402	1753	21.5%	15.7%	62.9%	+2.2	4
1967-12-24	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1753	1402	62.9%	15.7%	21.5%	-2.2	21
1967-12-24	Fabril	W 2-1	1621	1545	70.7%	15.8%	13.5%	+3.4	14
1967-12-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1545	1621	13.5%	15.8%	70.7%	-3.4	10
1967-12-24	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1859	1786	70.4%	15.9%	13.7%	+5.9	26
1967-12-24	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1786	1859	13.7%	15.9%	70.4%	-5.9	19
1967-12-24	Tirsense	W 2-0	1580	1537	68.1%	16.0%	15.9%	+7.8	13
1967-12-24	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1537	1580	15.9%	16.0%	68.1%	-7.8	8
1967-12-24	Braga	W 2-1	1550	1523	66.8%	16.1%	17.1%	+4.2	10
1967-12-24	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1523	1550	17.1%	16.1%	66.8%	-4.2	6
1967-12-24	Porto	W 2-1	1617	1814	40.2%	16.4%	43.5%	+9.5	11
1967-12-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1814	1617	43.5%	16.4%	40.2%	-9.5	23
1967-12-24	Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1727	1520	78.3%	14.8%	6.9%	+1.9	23
1967-12-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1520	1727	6.9%	14.8%	78.3%	-1.8	10
1967-12-31	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1780	1729	68.8%	16.0%	15.3%	+11.0	22
1967-12-31	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1729	1780	15.3%	16.0%	68.8%	-11.0	23
1967-12-31	Tirsense	W 3-0	1519	1529	63.3%	16.2%	20.4%	+14.4	9
1967-12-31	@ Braga	L 0-3	1529	1519	20.4%	16.2%	63.3%	-14.4	8
1967-12-31	Leixoes	D 1-1	1542	1588	59.6%	16.4%	24.0%	-1.9	11
1967-12-31	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1588	1542	24.0%	16.4%	59.6%	+1.9	14
1967-12-31	Barreirense	W 3-2	1804	1405	84.8%	12.7%	2.5%	+0.6	26
1967-12-31	@ Porto	L 2-3	1405	1804	2.5%	12.7%	84.8%	-0.6	4
1967-12-31	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1518	1625	52.4%	16.4%	31.1%	-1.1	11
1967-12-31	@ Sanjoanense	D 1-1	1625	1518	31.1%	16.4%	52.4%	+1.1	15
1967-12-31	Benfica	W 3-1	1751	1864	51.6%	16.4%	32.0%	+12.7	24
1967-12-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1864	1751	32.0%	16.4%	51.6%	-12.7	26
1967-12-31	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1554	1627	56.6%	16.4%	27.0%	-12.8	10
1967-12-31	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1627	1554	27.0%	16.4%	56.6%	+12.8	14
1968-01-07	Varzim	W 4-1	1404	1541	48.4%	16.4%	35.1%	+19.5	7
1968-01-07	@ Barreirense	L 1-4	1541	1404	35.1%	16.4%	48.4%	-19.5	10
1968-01-07	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1626	1791	44.6%	16.4%	39.0%	+8.3	18
1968-01-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1791	1626	39.0%	16.4%	44.6%	-8.2	22
1968-01-07	Porto	W 3-2	1852	1805	68.4%	16.0%	15.6%	+3.6	29
1968-01-07	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1805	1852	15.6%	16.0%	68.4%	-3.7	26
1968-01-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1533	1640	52.4%	16.4%	31.1%	-12.0	9
1968-01-07	@ Braga	W 1-0	1640	1533	31.1%	16.4%	52.4%	+12.0	17
1968-01-07	Sanjoanense	W 2-1	1590	1517	70.5%	15.9%	13.7%	+3.4	17
1968-01-07	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1517	1590	13.7%	15.9%	70.5%	-3.4	11
1968-01-07	Fabril	D 0-0	1515	1540	61.9%	16.3%	21.9%	-2.4	9
1968-01-07	@ Tirsense	D 0-0	1540	1515	21.9%	16.3%	61.9%	+2.4	12
1968-01-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1718	1764	59.7%	16.4%	24.0%	-13.5	23
1968-01-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1764	1718	24.0%	16.4%	59.7%	+13.5	27
1968-01-14	Leixoes	W 2-1	1783	1593	77.4%	15.0%	7.6%	+1.9	25
1968-01-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1593	1783	7.6%	15.0%	77.4%	-1.9	17
1968-01-14	Braga	L 1-2	1542	1521	66.3%	16.1%	17.6%	-14.1	12
1968-01-14	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1521	1542	17.6%	16.1%	66.3%	+14.1	12
1968-01-14	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1801	1705	72.1%	15.7%	12.2%	+6.1	29
1968-01-14	@ Porto	L 0-2	1705	1801	12.2%	15.7%	72.1%	-6.1	23
1968-01-14	Tirsense	W 1-0	1513	1512	64.4%	16.2%	19.4%	+5.0	14
1968-01-14	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-1	1512	1513	19.4%	16.2%	64.4%	-5.0	9
1968-01-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1777	1634	75.0%	15.4%	9.6%	+7.0	30
1968-01-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1634	1777	9.6%	15.4%	75.0%	-7.0	18
1968-01-14	Benfica	D 1-1	1522	1855	23.2%	15.8%	61.0%	+2.0	11
1968-01-14	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1855	1522	61.0%	15.8%	23.2%	-2.0	30
1968-01-14	Barreirense	W 3-0	1652	1423	79.2%	14.6%	6.2%	+4.5	20
1968-01-14	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1423	1652	6.2%	14.6%	79.2%	-4.5	7
1968-02-04	Tirsense	W 4-1	1785	1507	81.1%	14.1%	4.8%	+3.0	28
1968-02-04	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1507	1785	4.8%	14.1%	81.1%	-3.0	9
1968-02-04	Braga	L 0-1	1419	1535	51.2%	16.4%	32.3%	-11.7	7
1968-02-04	@ Barreirense	W 1-0	1535	1419	32.3%	16.4%	51.2%	+11.7	15
1968-02-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-0	1807	1627	77.0%	15.1%	8.0%	+7.6	32
1968-02-04	@ Porto	L 0-4	1627	1807	8.0%	15.1%	77.0%	-7.6	18
1968-02-04	Fabril	W 2-0	1518	1528	63.4%	16.2%	20.4%	+9.9	17
1968-02-04	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-2	1528	1518	20.4%	16.2%	63.4%	-9.9	12
1968-02-04	Leixoes	W 3-2	1784	1591	77.6%	15.0%	7.4%	+1.8	33
1968-02-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1591	1784	7.4%	15.0%	77.6%	-1.8	17
1968-02-04	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1524	1699	43.2%	16.4%	40.4%	+15.5	14
1968-02-04	@ Varzim	L 1-3	1699	1524	40.4%	16.4%	43.2%	-15.5	23
1968-02-04	Benfica	L 0-4	1656	1853	40.1%	16.4%	43.6%	-33.8	20
1968-02-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-0	1853	1656	43.6%	16.4%	40.1%	+33.8	33
1968-02-11	Varzim	W 3-1	1619	1539	71.0%	15.8%	13.2%	+5.7	21
1968-02-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1539	1619	13.2%	15.8%	71.0%	-5.7	14
1968-02-11	Barreirense	W 8-2	1887	1407	86.7%	11.7%	1.6%	+1.5	36
1968-02-11	@ Benfica	L 2-8	1407	1887	1.6%	11.7%	86.7%	-1.5	7
1968-02-11	Sanjoanense	W 2-0	1547	1528	66.0%	16.1%	17.8%	+8.7	18
1968-02-11	@ Braga	L 0-2	1528	1547	17.8%	16.1%	66.0%	-8.7	17
1968-02-11	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1518	1787	30.5%	16.1%	53.4%	-20.4	12
1968-02-11	@ Fabril	W 3-0	1787	1518	53.4%	16.1%	30.5%	+20.4	31
1968-02-11	Porto	W 2-1	1589	1815	36.1%	16.3%	47.6%	+10.3	20
1968-02-11	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1815	1589	47.6%	16.3%	36.1%	-10.3	32
1968-02-11	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 3-5	1504	1786	29.0%	16.1%	54.9%	-9.8	9
1968-02-11	@ Tirsense	W 5-3	1786	1504	54.9%	16.1%	29.0%	+9.8	36
1968-02-11	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1683	1622	69.5%	15.9%	14.6%	+3.8	26
1968-02-11	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1622	1683	14.6%	15.9%	69.5%	-3.8	20
1968-02-18	Sanjoanense	W 3-0	1808	1519	81.5%	14.0%	4.5%	+3.3	34
1968-02-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1519	1808	4.5%	14.0%	81.5%	-3.3	17
1968-02-18	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1406	1687	29.0%	16.1%	54.9%	+1.4	8
1968-02-18	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1687	1406	54.9%	16.1%	29.0%	-1.4	27
1968-02-18	Braga	W 3-0	1889	1556	82.9%	13.5%	3.6%	+2.6	39
1968-02-18	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1556	1889	3.6%	13.5%	82.9%	-2.6	18
1968-02-18	Tirsense	W 9-0	1805	1495	82.2%	13.8%	4.0%	+8.2	35
1968-02-18	@ Porto	L 0-9	1495	1805	4.0%	13.8%	82.2%	-8.2	9
1968-02-18	Fabril	W 4-0	1796	1498	81.8%	13.9%	4.3%	+4.1	39
1968-02-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1498	1796	4.3%	13.9%	81.8%	-4.1	12
1968-02-18	Leixoes	W 2-0	1534	1600	57.4%	16.4%	26.2%	+12.4	17
1968-02-18	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1600	1534	26.2%	16.4%	57.4%	-12.4	20
1968-02-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1619	1625	63.7%	16.2%	20.1%	+5.2	23
1968-02-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1625	1619	20.1%	16.2%	63.7%	-5.2	21
1968-02-25	Barreirense	W 4-1	1620	1407	78.5%	14.8%	6.7%	+4.2	24
1968-02-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1407	1620	6.7%	14.8%	78.5%	-4.2	8
1968-02-25	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1553	1811	31.9%	16.2%	52.0%	+1.0	19
1968-02-25	@ Braga	D 1-1	1811	1553	52.0%	16.2%	31.9%	-1.0	35
1968-02-25	Porto	W 2-1	1494	1813	24.7%	15.9%	59.4%	+12.6	15
1968-02-25	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1813	1494	59.4%	15.9%	24.7%	-12.6	35
1968-02-25	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1587	1624	60.7%	16.3%	23.0%	+9.5	23
1968-02-25	@ Leixoes	L 1-3	1624	1587	23.0%	16.3%	60.7%	-9.5	23
1968-02-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1516	1800	28.7%	16.1%	55.2%	-19.4	17
1968-02-25	@ Sanjoanense	W 3-0	1800	1516	55.2%	16.1%	28.7%	+19.4	42
1968-02-25	Varzim	W 2-0	1486	1546	58.1%	16.4%	25.5%	+12.1	12
1968-02-25	@ Tirsense	L 0-2	1546	1486	25.5%	16.4%	58.1%	-12.1	17
1968-02-25	Benfica	W 2-0	1686	1891	38.9%	16.3%	44.8%	+19.5	30
1968-02-25	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1891	1686	44.8%	16.3%	38.9%	-19.6	39
1968-03-03	Leixoes	D 0-0	1403	1597	40.5%	16.4%	43.1%	+0.1	9
1968-03-03	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1597	1403	43.1%	16.4%	40.5%	-0.1	24
1968-03-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 7-0	1872	1624	79.9%	14.4%	5.6%	+9.1	42
1968-03-03	@ Benfica	L 0-7	1624	1872	5.6%	14.4%	79.9%	-9.1	24
1968-03-03	Sanjoanense	W 3-0	1800	1497	82.0%	13.8%	4.2%	+3.0	38
1968-03-03	@ Porto	L 0-3	1497	1800	4.2%	13.8%	82.0%	-3.0	17
1968-03-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1819	1810	65.2%	16.2%	18.6%	+7.9	45
1968-03-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1810	1819	18.6%	16.2%	65.2%	-7.9	35
1968-03-03	Fabril	L 0-2	1534	1506	66.8%	16.1%	17.1%	-28.5	17
1968-03-03	@ Varzim	W 2-0	1506	1534	17.1%	16.1%	66.8%	+28.5	18
1968-03-03	Tirsense	W 1-0	1614	1498	73.4%	15.6%	11.1%	+3.0	26
1968-03-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1498	1614	11.1%	15.6%	73.4%	-3.0	12
1968-03-03	Braga	W 4-0	1705	1554	75.4%	15.3%	9.2%	+8.9	33
1968-03-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1554	1705	9.2%	15.3%	75.4%	-8.8	19
1968-03-10	Porto	D 1-1	1802	1803	64.2%	16.2%	19.6%	-2.5	36
1968-03-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1803	1802	19.6%	16.2%	64.2%	+2.4	39
1968-03-10	Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1615	1714	53.4%	16.4%	30.1%	-0.9	25
1968-03-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1714	1615	30.1%	16.4%	53.4%	+0.9	34
1968-03-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1545	1827	28.9%	16.1%	55.0%	+20.3	22
1968-03-10	@ Braga	L 1-3	1827	1545	55.0%	16.1%	28.9%	-20.3	45
1968-03-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1535	1617	55.5%	16.4%	28.1%	-1.5	19
1968-03-10	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1617	1535	28.1%	16.4%	55.5%	+1.5	27
1968-03-10	Benfica	L 0-2	1597	1881	28.7%	16.1%	55.2%	-13.3	24
1968-03-10	@ Leixoes	W 2-0	1881	1597	55.2%	16.1%	28.7%	+13.3	45
1968-03-10	Varzim	W 2-0	1494	1505	63.2%	16.2%	20.5%	+9.9	20
1968-03-10	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-2	1505	1494	20.5%	16.2%	63.2%	-9.9	17
1968-03-10	Barreirense	W 3-2	1495	1403	71.8%	15.7%	12.4%	+3.0	15
1968-03-10	@ Tirsense	L 2-3	1403	1495	12.4%	15.7%	71.8%	-2.9	9
1968-03-31	Fabril	W 3-2	1400	1533	49.0%	16.4%	34.6%	+7.5	12
1968-03-31	@ Barreirense	L 2-3	1533	1400	34.6%	16.4%	49.0%	-7.5	19
1968-03-31	Braga	W 2-0	1614	1566	68.6%	16.0%	15.4%	+7.6	28
1968-03-31	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1566	1614	15.4%	16.0%	68.6%	-7.6	22
1968-03-31	Tirsense	W 5-0	1894	1498	84.7%	12.8%	2.6%	+3.0	48
1968-03-31	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1498	1894	2.6%	12.8%	84.7%	-2.9	15
1968-03-31	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1806	1807	64.2%	16.2%	19.6%	-14.5	39
1968-03-31	@ Porto	W 1-0	1807	1806	19.6%	16.2%	64.2%	+14.5	48
1968-03-31	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1495	1800	26.4%	15.9%	57.7%	-5.9	17
1968-03-31	@ Varzim	W 3-2	1800	1495	57.7%	15.9%	26.4%	+5.9	39
1968-03-31	Sanjoanense	L 0-1	1619	1504	73.3%	15.6%	11.1%	-16.6	27
1968-03-31	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1504	1619	11.1%	15.6%	73.3%	+16.6	23
1968-03-31	Leixoes	W 7-1	1715	1583	74.3%	15.5%	10.2%	+11.8	37
1968-03-31	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-7	1583	1715	10.2%	15.5%	74.3%	-11.8	24
1968-04-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1806	1602	78.1%	14.9%	7.1%	+5.2	42
1968-04-07	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1602	1806	7.1%	14.9%	78.1%	-5.2	27
1968-04-07	Porto	L 2-3	1558	1791	35.1%	16.3%	48.6%	-7.5	22
1968-04-07	@ Braga	W 3-2	1791	1558	48.6%	16.3%	35.1%	+7.5	42
1968-04-07	Benfica	W 2-0	1526	1897	19.6%	15.5%	64.9%	+27.5	22
1968-04-07	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1897	1526	64.9%	15.5%	19.6%	-27.5	48
1968-04-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1572	1622	59.2%	16.4%	24.4%	+6.2	27
1968-04-07	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1622	1572	24.4%	16.4%	59.2%	-6.2	28
1968-04-07	Barreirense	W 1-0	1520	1408	73.2%	15.6%	11.2%	+3.0	26
1968-04-07	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-1	1408	1520	11.2%	15.6%	73.2%	-3.0	12
1968-04-07	Varzim	W 1-0	1821	1490	82.9%	13.5%	3.6%	+1.0	51
1968-04-07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1490	1821	3.6%	13.5%	82.9%	-1.0	17
1968-04-07	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1495	1727	35.4%	16.3%	48.3%	+0.7	16
1968-04-07	@ Tirsense	D 0-0	1727	1495	48.3%	16.3%	35.4%	-0.8	38
1968-04-14	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1405	1811	16.7%	15.2%	68.1%	+2.8	13
1968-04-14	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1811	1405	68.1%	15.2%	16.7%	-2.8	43
1968-04-14	Tirsense	L 0-1	1616	1496	73.6%	15.6%	10.9%	-16.7	28
1968-04-14	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1496	1616	10.9%	15.6%	73.6%	+16.7	19
1968-04-14	Sanjoanense	W 6-0	1869	1523	83.3%	13.4%	3.3%	+4.6	51
1968-04-14	@ Benfica	L 0-6	1523	1869	3.3%	13.4%	83.3%	-4.6	26
1968-04-14	Braga	L 0-2	1578	1550	66.8%	16.1%	17.1%	-28.5	27
1968-04-14	@ Leixoes	W 2-0	1550	1578	17.1%	16.1%	66.8%	+28.5	25
1968-04-14	Porto	W 1-0	1489	1799	25.7%	15.9%	58.4%	+13.2	20
1968-04-14	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1799	1489	58.4%	15.9%	25.7%	-13.2	42
1968-04-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1597	1822	36.1%	16.3%	47.6%	+10.9	30
1968-04-14	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1822	1597	47.6%	16.3%	36.1%	-10.9	51
1968-04-14	Fabril	W 1-0	1726	1553	76.6%	15.1%	8.3%	+2.2	41
1968-04-14	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1553	1726	8.3%	15.1%	76.6%	-2.2	22
1968-04-21	Benfica	D 1-1	1808	1874	57.4%	16.4%	26.2%	-1.7	44
1968-04-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1874	1808	26.2%	16.4%	57.4%	+1.7	52
1968-04-21	Varzim	D 1-1	1579	1502	70.8%	15.8%	13.4%	-3.2	26
1968-04-21	@ Braga	D 1-1	1502	1579	13.4%	15.8%	70.8%	+3.2	21
1968-04-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1551	1599	59.5%	16.4%	24.2%	-2.1	23
1968-04-21	@ Fabril	D 0-0	1599	1551	24.2%	16.4%	59.5%	+2.1	29
1968-04-21	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1786	1608	76.8%	15.1%	8.1%	+3.5	45
1968-04-21	@ Porto	L 1-3	1608	1786	8.1%	15.1%	76.8%	-3.5	30
1968-04-21	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1519	1728	38.4%	16.3%	45.3%	+0.4	27
1968-04-21	@ Sanjoanense	D 0-0	1728	1519	45.3%	16.3%	38.4%	-0.4	42
1968-04-21	Barreirense	W 3-0	1811	1407	84.9%	12.6%	2.5%	+1.7	54
1968-04-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1407	1811	2.5%	12.6%	84.9%	-1.8	13
1968-04-21	Leixoes	L 0-1	1513	1549	60.7%	16.3%	23.0%	-13.7	19
1968-04-21	@ Tirsense	W 1-0	1549	1513	23.0%	16.3%	60.7%	+13.7	30
1968-04-28	Porto	L 1-5	1406	1789	18.5%	15.4%	66.1%	-14.1	13
1968-04-28	@ Barreirense	W 5-1	1789	1406	66.1%	15.4%	18.5%	+14.1	48
1968-04-28	Sanjoanense	W 3-0	1601	1519	71.1%	15.8%	13.1%	+9.5	32
1968-04-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1519	1601	13.1%	15.8%	71.1%	-9.5	27
1968-04-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1876	1813	69.7%	15.9%	14.4%	+3.8	55
1968-04-28	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1813	1876	14.4%	15.9%	69.7%	-3.8	54
1968-04-28	Fabril	D 0-0	1563	1549	65.6%	16.2%	18.2%	-2.9	31
1968-04-28	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1549	1563	18.2%	16.2%	65.6%	+2.9	24
1968-04-28	Braga	L 0-1	1499	1576	56.2%	16.4%	27.4%	-12.8	19
1968-04-28	@ Tirsense	W 1-0	1576	1499	27.4%	16.4%	56.2%	+12.7	29
1968-04-28	Varzim	W 3-2	1604	1505	72.3%	15.7%	12.0%	+2.8	33
1968-04-28	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1505	1604	12.0%	15.7%	72.3%	-2.9	21
1968-04-28	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1728	1806	55.9%	16.4%	27.7%	+13.0	45
1968-04-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1806	1728	27.7%	16.4%	55.9%	-13.0	44
1968-05-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1793	1610	77.1%	15.0%	7.9%	+3.4	47
1968-05-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1610	1793	7.9%	15.0%	77.1%	-3.4	32
1968-05-05	Tirsense	W 5-0	1552	1486	69.9%	15.9%	14.2%	+16.5	27
1968-05-05	@ Fabril	L 0-5	1486	1552	14.2%	15.9%	69.9%	-16.5	19
1968-05-05	Benfica	D 1-1	1803	1880	56.2%	16.4%	27.4%	-1.5	49
1968-05-05	@ Porto	D 1-1	1880	1803	27.4%	16.4%	56.2%	+1.5	56
1968-05-05	Leixoes	L 2-3	1510	1560	59.1%	16.4%	24.5%	-12.0	27
1968-05-05	@ Sanjoanense	W 3-2	1560	1510	24.5%	16.4%	59.1%	+12.0	34
1968-05-05	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1809	1741	70.1%	15.9%	14.0%	-15.9	54
1968-05-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1741	1809	14.0%	15.9%	70.1%	+15.9	48
1968-05-05	Barreirense	W 5-1	1502	1392	73.0%	15.6%	11.4%	+9.0	24
1968-05-05	@ Varzim	L 1-5	1392	1502	11.4%	15.6%	73.0%	-9.0	13
1968-05-05	Braga	W 2-0	1607	1588	66.0%	16.1%	17.8%	+8.7	36
1968-05-05	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1588	1607	17.8%	16.1%	66.0%	-8.7	29
1968-05-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1383	1616	35.1%	16.3%	48.6%	-7.9	13
1968-05-12	@ Barreirense	W 2-1	1616	1383	48.6%	16.3%	35.1%	+8.0	39
1968-05-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1607	1794	41.6%	16.4%	42.0%	+35.2	35
1968-05-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1794	1607	42.0%	16.4%	41.6%	-35.2	54
1968-05-12	Varzim	W 8-0	1881	1511	84.0%	13.1%	2.9%	+5.3	59
1968-05-12	@ Benfica	L 0-8	1511	1881	2.9%	13.1%	84.0%	-5.3	24
1968-05-12	Fabril	D 1-1	1580	1569	65.4%	16.2%	18.5%	-2.6	30
1968-05-12	@ Braga	D 1-1	1569	1580	18.5%	16.2%	65.4%	+2.6	28
1968-05-12	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1572	1797	36.3%	16.3%	47.5%	-16.3	34
1968-05-12	@ Leixoes	W 2-0	1797	1572	47.5%	16.3%	36.3%	+16.3	50
1968-05-12	Sanjoanense	D 2-2	1470	1498	61.6%	16.3%	22.1%	-1.6	20
1968-05-12	@ Tirsense	D 2-2	1498	1470	22.1%	16.3%	61.6%	+1.6	28
1968-05-12	Porto	L 1-2	1757	1802	59.7%	16.4%	23.9%	-12.8	48
1968-05-12	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1802	1757	23.9%	16.4%	59.7%	+12.8	52

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1968-04-14	10.87%	Tirsense	1496	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1616	0
2	1968-03-31	11.11%	Sanjoanense	1504	1	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1619	0
3	1967-10-29	13.01%	Fabril	1530	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1613	2
4	1968-05-05	13.98%	Vitoria Setubal	1741	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1809	0
5	1967-10-01	16.06%	Tirsense	1536	1	@ Varzim	1576	0
6	1968-03-03	17.09%	Fabril	1506	2	@ Varzim	1534	0
7	1968-04-14	17.10%	Braga	1550	2	@ Leixoes	1578	0
8	1968-01-14	17.60%	Braga	1521	2	@ Fabril	1542	1
9	1968-03-31	19.56%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1807	1	@ Porto	1806	0
10	1968-04-07	19.62%	@ Fabril	1526	2	Benfica	1897	0
11	1967-10-22	21.10%	Varzim	1561	2	@ Fabril	1543	1
12	1967-09-17	21.99%	Vitoria Setubal	1662	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1635	0
13	1967-12-10	22.28%	Leixoes	1566	1	@ Braga	1537	0
14	1968-04-21	23.00%	Leixoes	1549	1	@ Tirsense	1513	0
15	1968-05-12	23.93%	Porto	1802	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1757	1
16	1968-01-07	23.97%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1764	1	@ Vitoria Setubal	1718	0
17	1967-10-22	24.40%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1601	2	@ Tirsense	1551	1
18	1968-05-05	24.50%	Leixoes	1560	3	@ Sanjoanense	1510	2
19	1968-02-25	24.73%	@ Fabril	1494	2	Porto	1813	1
20	1968-04-14	25.70%	@ Varzim	1489	1	Porto	1799	0
21	1967-12-31	27.00%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1627	1	@ Varzim	1554	0
22	1968-04-28	27.42%	Braga	1576	1	@ Tirsense	1499	0
23	1967-10-01	27.73%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1562	6	@ Barreirense	1483	0
24	1968-03-10	28.94%	@ Braga	1545	3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1827	1
25	1968-01-07	31.12%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1640	1	@ Braga	1533	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1967-10-01	66.40	Os Belenenses (1st)	6	1562	27.73%	@ Barreirense	0	1483	55.86%
2	1967-09-10	36.41	Academica de Coimbra	4	1752	39.81%	@ Tirsense	0	1581	43.78%
3	1968-05-12	35.17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1607	41.58%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1794	42.04%
4	1968-02-04	33.79	Benfica	4	1853	43.56%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1656	40.08%
5	1968-03-03	28.51	Fabril	2	1506	17.09%	@ Varzim	0	1534	66.81%
6	1968-04-14	28.51	Braga	2	1550	17.10%	@ Leixoes	0	1578	66.81%
7	1968-04-07	27.49	@ Fabril	2	1526	19.62%	Benfica	0	1897	64.86%
8	1967-09-17	26.33	Vitoria Setubal	2	1662	21.99%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1635	61.71%
9	1968-02-11	20.42	Academica de Coimbra	3	1787	53.38%	@ Fabril	0	1518	30.50%
10	1968-03-10	20.34	@ Braga	3	1545	28.94%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1827	55.01%
11	1967-09-17	19.74	@ Sanjoanense	3	1501	54.39%	Braga	0	1592	29.18%
12	1968-02-25	19.55	@ Vitoria Setubal	2	1686	38.88%	Benfica	0	1891	44.78%
13	1968-01-07	19.52	@ Barreirense	4	1404	48.44%	Varzim	1	1541	35.12%
14	1967-12-03	19.43	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1601	39.20%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1804	44.45%
15	1968-02-25	19.36	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1800	55.24%	@ Sanjoanense	0	1516	28.71%
16	1967-09-10	19.04	Porto	2	1763	40.24%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1589	43.36%
17	1967-09-17	18.83	Benfica	3	1807	56.15%	@ Barreirense	0	1516	27.84%
18	1967-10-22	18.06	Vitoria Setubal	3	1699	35.42%	@ Braga	1	1560	48.14%
19	1968-04-14	16.68	Tirsense	1	1496	10.87%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1616	73.58%
20	1968-03-31	16.62	Sanjoanense	1	1504	11.11%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1619	73.31%
21	1968-05-05	16.50	@ Fabril	5	1552	69.90%	Tirsense	0	1486	14.20%
22	1968-05-12	16.34	Academica de Coimbra	2	1797	47.46%	@ Leixoes	0	1572	36.26%
23	1968-05-05	15.89	Vitoria Setubal	1	1741	13.98%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1809	70.14%
24	1968-02-04	15.51	@ Varzim	3	1524	43.24%	Vitoria Setubal	1	1699	40.35%
25	1967-09-24	15.38	@ Leixoes	3	1564	61.67%	Varzim	0	1591	22.03%