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1968-69 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Benfica

39 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vitoria Guimaraes

5.71 points above expected

36 points · 30.29 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sanjoanense

9.46 points below expected

9 points · 18.46 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Benfica 26 16 7 3 39 49 17 +32 35.02 +3.98
2 Porto 26 15 7 4 37 39 23 +16 33.63 +3.37
3 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 13 10 3 36 46 17 +29 30.29 +5.71
4 Vitoria Setubal 26 13 9 4 35 45 20 +25 31.41 +3.59
5 Academica de Coimbra 26 12 6 8 30 48 32 +16 31.49 -1.49
6 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 11 8 7 30 35 20 +15 30.77 -0.77
7 Fabril 26 8 11 7 27 32 30 +2 25.48 +1.52
8 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 8 10 8 26 31 33 -2 24.98 +1.02
9 Varzim 26 7 8 11 22 32 49 -17 18.43 +3.57
10 Leixoes 26 7 7 12 21 21 30 -9 22.80 -1.80
11 Uniao Tomar 26 7 7 12 21 27 47 -20 21.61 -0.61
12 Braga 26 6 7 13 19 20 47 -27 21.64 -2.64
13 Atletico Clube de Portugal 26 5 2 19 12 26 49 -23 17.98 -5.98
14 Sanjoanense 26 3 3 20 9 15 52 -37 18.46 -9.46

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Benfica 1867 39 35.02 +3.98 89.6% 21 29 33 35 37 41 47
Vitoria Setubal 1836 35 31.41 +3.59 86.5% 16 25 29 31 34 37 45
Porto 1802 37 33.63 +3.37 85.5% 20 28 31 34 36 40 46
Vitoria Guimaraes 1786 36 30.29 +5.71 95.1% 16 24 28 30 33 36 44
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1740 30 30.77 -0.77 46.8% 15 25 28 31 33 37 44
Academica de Coimbra 1738 30 31.49 -1.49 39.2% 16 25 29 32 34 38 45
Os Belenenses (1st) 1635 26 24.98 +1.02 65.4% 11 19 22 25 28 31 40
Fabril 1593 27 25.48 +1.52 69.8% 12 19 23 25 28 32 40
Varzim 1548 22 18.43 +3.57 86.6% 7 12 16 18 21 24 34
Leixoes 1539 21 22.80 -1.80 36.9% 9 17 20 23 25 29 37
Uniao Tomar 1497 21 21.61 -0.61 48.5% 8 15 19 22 24 28 37
Braga 1474 19 21.64 -2.64 29.4% 8 15 19 22 24 28 38
Atletico Clube de Portugal 1415 12 17.98 -5.98 6.5% 5 12 15 18 20 24 31
Sanjoanense 1356 9 18.46 -9.46 0.6% 6 12 16 18 21 25 33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC ACDP BEN BRA FAB LEI OB( POR SAN SCDP UT VAR VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
2-0-0
4.06
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
3.69
0-1-1
3.43
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
3.82
1-1-0
4.29
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.75
Atletico Clube de Portugal
0-0-2
1.41
 —
0-0-2
0.93
0-0-2
2.28
1-1-0
1.91
2-0-0
2.12
1-0-1
1.76
0-0-2
1.21
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
1.31
Benfica
2-0-0
3.03
2-0-0
4.58
 —
2-0-0
3.96
1-0-1
3.87
1-1-0
4.14
2-0-0
3.79
0-1-1
2.79
2-0-0
4.36
0-2-0
3.27
2-0-0
4.29
1-1-0
4.55
0-1-1
3.18
1-1-0
3.17
Braga
0-1-1
1.76
2-0-0
3.14
0-0-2
1.49
 —
0-2-0
1.94
0-0-2
2.66
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
1.46
1-0-1
3.06
0-0-2
1.62
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
1.85
Fabril
1-1-0
1.99
0-1-1
3.53
1-0-1
1.57
0-2-0
3.48
 —
1-0-1
3.01
0-2-0
2.86
0-0-2
1.89
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
2.13
1-1-0
3.07
1-1-0
3.69
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
1.88
Leixoes
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
3.30
0-1-1
1.32
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.41
 —
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
1.68
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
1.60
0-0-2
2.97
1-1-0
3.14
0-2-0
2.06
0-1-1
1.79
Os Belenenses (1st)
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
3.68
0-0-2
1.65
2-0-0
2.97
0-2-0
2.54
1-1-0
3.08
 —
0-1-1
1.56
1-1-0
3.42
0-1-1
2.05
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.52
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.19
Porto
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
4.28
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.98
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.88
 —
1-1-0
4.29
0-1-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.91
1-1-0
4.35
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.06
Sanjoanense
0-0-2
1.47
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
1.12
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
2.34
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
1.17
 —
0-0-2
1.07
1-0-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.71
0-1-1
1.37
0-0-2
1.25
Sporting Clube de Portugal
1-0-1
2.35
2-0-0
3.99
0-2-0
2.15
2-0-0
3.82
0-1-1
3.29
1-0-1
3.85
1-1-0
3.36
1-1-0
2.26
2-0-0
4.40
 —
0-1-1
3.70
1-0-1
4.00
0-1-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.62
Uniao Tomar
1-0-1
1.62
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-2
1.18
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.36
2-0-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
1.55
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
1.74
 —
0-0-2
3.08
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
1.54
Varzim
0-1-1
1.17
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-1
0.94
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.74
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
1.92
0-1-1
1.13
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
1.44
2-0-0
2.35
 —
0-0-2
2.03
0-1-1
1.19
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
2.25
1-1-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.29
0-2-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.52
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
4.12
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
3.55
2-0-0
3.41
 —
0-2-0
2.59
Vitoria Setubal
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
4.18
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.36
2-0-0
4.20
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
3.89
1-1-0
4.28
0-2-0
2.82
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +7.5
Allowed 0.82 -6.4
Differential 0.91 +3.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.79%9.62%4.40%3.30%2.20%1.92%30.22%
19.62%16.48%7.69%1.65%1.92%—37.36%
24.40%7.69%2.20%1.37%1.10%0.27%17.03%
33.30%1.65%1.37%0.55%0.55%—7.42%
42.20%1.92%1.10%0.55%——5.77%
5+1.92%—0.27%———2.20%
Total30.22%37.36%17.03%7.42%5.77%2.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.91
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—3.85%3.85%——15.38%
111.54%15.38%11.54%———38.46%
27.69%7.69%—3.85%3.85%—23.08%
3————3.85%—3.85%
47.69%—3.85%———11.54%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total38.46%23.08%23.08%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.23 +0.62
SD 1.59 1.27 2.02
CV 0.86 1.04 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—23.08%7.69%3.85%7.69%—42.31%
17.69%7.69%15.38%—3.85%—34.62%
2————7.69%—7.69%
3—7.69%——3.85%—11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%38.46%23.08%3.85%23.08%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.88 -0.88
SD 1.17 1.37 1.82
CV 1.17 0.72 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%3.85%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
111.54%7.69%————19.23%
27.69%7.69%————15.38%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
411.54%3.85%—3.85%——19.23%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total57.69%26.92%7.69%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.65 +1.23
SD 1.75 0.94 2.01
CV 0.93 1.43 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%3.85%7.69%—7.69%46.15%
111.54%15.38%——7.69%—34.62%
2—11.54%———3.85%15.38%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%46.15%3.85%11.54%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.81 -1.04
SD 0.86 1.74 1.89
CV 1.12 0.96 —
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—7.69%——15.38%
111.54%38.46%7.69%3.85%——61.54%
27.69%—3.85%———11.54%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%46.15%11.54%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.15 +0.08
SD 0.95 1.01 1.49
CV 0.77 0.87 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%3.85%—3.85%3.85%42.31%
111.54%11.54%15.38%———38.46%
27.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%34.62%23.08%—3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.15 -0.35
SD 0.85 1.26 1.70
CV 1.05 1.09 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%11.54%———26.92%
111.54%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%—46.15%
2—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%23.08%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.27 -0.08
SD 1.13 1.04 1.44
CV 0.95 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
119.23%15.38%3.85%3.85%——42.31%
27.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total38.46%38.46%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.88 +0.62
SD 1.10 0.86 1.27
CV 0.74 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%23.08%3.85%15.38%3.85%7.69%61.54%
17.69%3.85%11.54%—3.85%—26.92%
2———7.69%——7.69%
3———————
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%15.38%23.08%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 2.00 -1.42
SD 0.95 1.50 1.84
CV 1.64 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%15.38%————34.62%
111.54%11.54%11.54%———34.62%
2—7.69%————7.69%
37.69%—3.85%———11.54%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total42.31%38.46%19.23%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 0.77 +0.58
SD 1.47 0.76 1.55
CV 1.09 0.99 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%15.38%—34.62%
13.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
23.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%23.08%7.69%19.23%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.81 -0.77
SD 0.96 1.36 2.03
CV 0.92 0.75 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%11.54%——7.69%26.92%
13.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
23.85%11.54%7.69%—3.85%—26.92%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%34.62%30.77%7.69%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.88 -0.65
SD 0.99 1.40 1.83
CV 0.81 0.74 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%————19.23%
13.85%23.08%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
211.54%11.54%————23.08%
37.69%—————7.69%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+11.54%—————11.54%
Total50.00%38.46%7.69%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.65 +1.12
SD 1.56 0.80 1.86
CV 0.88 1.22 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%————11.54%
17.69%26.92%7.69%———42.31%
23.85%11.54%—3.85%——19.23%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+———————
Total38.46%50.00%7.69%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.77 +0.96
SD 1.22 0.76 1.56
CV 0.70 0.99 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vitoria Guimaraes 36 30.29 +5.71
2 Benfica 39 35.02 +3.98
3 Vitoria Setubal 35 31.41 +3.59
4 Varzim 22 18.43 +3.57
5 Porto 37 33.63 +3.37

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sanjoanense 9 18.46 -9.46
2 Atletico Clube de Portugal 12 17.98 -5.98
3 Braga 19 21.64 -2.64
4 Leixoes 21 22.80 -1.80
5 Academica de Coimbra 30 31.49 -1.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Varzim 3 Dec 15 – Dec 29 1 in 101
2 Atletico Clube de Portugal 2 Mar 30 – Apr 20 1 in 23
3 Vitoria Setubal 5 Oct 13 – Nov 24 1 in 21
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 Jan 5 – Jan 19 1 in 21
5 Uniao Tomar 2 Nov 17 – Nov 24 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sanjoanense 10 Jan 26 – Apr 27 1 in 606
2 Academica de Coimbra 4 Nov 10 – Dec 1 1 in 78
3 Uniao Tomar 3 Dec 1 – Dec 22 1 in 39
4 Atletico Clube de Portugal 6 Feb 2 – Mar 23 1 in 34
5 Varzim 5 Sep 8 – Oct 6 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vitoria Guimaraes 15 Oct 13 – Feb 23 1 in 142
2 Fabril 7 Nov 24 – Jan 19 1 in 24
3 Vitoria Setubal 11 Jan 19 – Apr 27 1 in 17
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 Oct 13 – Dec 15 1 in 16
5 Braga 4 Dec 1 – Dec 29 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sanjoanense 15 Dec 15 – Apr 27 1 in 22
2 Academica de Coimbra 6 Oct 13 – Dec 1 1 in 20
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 7 Nov 10 – Dec 29 1 in 11
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 Jan 19 – Feb 16 1 in 11
5 Porto 3 Mar 23 – Apr 20 1 in 10

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Benfica42.43%23.50%14.45%9.18%5.45%3.02%1.15%0.59%0.15%0.06%0.01%0.01%——
Porto22.17%22.02%18.43%14.79%10.89%6.69%3.26%1.14%0.41%0.12%0.06%0.02%——
Vitoria Guimaraes7.15%11.40%13.98%16.41%16.28%15.21%9.41%5.32%2.54%1.44%0.51%0.19%0.12%0.04%
Vitoria Setubal10.61%15.59%17.10%16.58%14.93%11.76%7.26%3.34%1.61%0.69%0.33%0.15%0.05%—
Academica de Coimbra9.68%14.38%16.96%16.57%15.87%12.92%6.99%3.96%1.64%0.67%0.23%0.10%0.02%0.01%
Sporting Clube de Portugal7.28%10.99%14.18%16.90%17.86%15.23%9.10%4.37%2.27%1.16%0.39%0.17%0.07%0.03%
Fabril0.39%0.95%2.06%4.11%7.64%12.25%19.36%18.42%13.56%9.13%6.02%3.60%1.79%0.72%
Os Belenenses (1st)0.16%0.81%1.84%3.39%5.73%10.57%16.86%19.43%15.06%11.11%7.33%4.27%2.49%0.95%
Varzim—0.01%—0.05%0.24%0.45%1.44%3.33%6.65%9.59%14.91%18.62%21.73%22.98%
Leixoes0.09%0.20%0.50%0.89%2.27%5.06%9.87%14.59%17.90%15.73%13.42%9.91%6.39%3.18%
Uniao Tomar0.02%0.07%0.24%0.48%1.24%2.82%6.43%9.91%14.88%17.21%15.82%13.87%10.20%6.81%
Braga0.02%0.08%0.21%0.58%1.29%3.02%6.42%9.95%12.95%16.06%16.04%14.57%11.41%7.40%
Atletico Clube de Portugal———0.03%0.14%0.40%1.01%2.55%5.00%8.57%12.54%17.35%23.06%29.35%
Sanjoanense——0.05%0.04%0.17%0.60%1.44%3.10%5.38%8.46%12.39%17.17%22.67%28.53%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+28.02%
Strong Edge
50.00%28.02%21.98%
Elo Value
Home Edge
169 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0100.03500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.63 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.59+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Benfica, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3 * Some Luck: 3 to 4.49 * Lucky: 4.49 to 5.99 * Wild Swing: 5.99 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.4 * Close: 1.4 to 2.11 * Off: 2.11 to 2.81 * Way Off: 2.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.03 points
Some Luck
03.749
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.14
Pinpoint
01.754
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
95.09%
Vitoria Guimaraes
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.56%
Sanjoanense
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.81
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.18
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.87
Near-Lock
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.51
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.34
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Porto 100% —
Academica de Coimbra 99.97% 0.03%
Vitoria Setubal 99.95% 0.05%
Sporting Clube de Portugal 99.90% 0.10%
Vitoria Guimaraes 99.84% 0.16%
Fabril 97.49% 2.51%
Os Belenenses (1st) 96.56% 3.44%
Leixoes 90.43% 9.57%
Uniao Tomar 82.99% 17.01%
Braga 81.19% 18.81%
Varzim 55.29% 44.71%
Sanjoanense 48.80% 51.20%
Atletico Clube de Portugal 47.59% 52.41%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1968-09-08 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1746 1696 57.6% 28.9% 13.6% +6.4 2
1968-09-08 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1696 1746 13.6% 28.9% 57.6% -6.4 0
1968-09-08 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-1 1791 1628 65.3% 27.2% 7.5% +9.2 2
1968-09-08 @ Benfica L 1-4 1628 1791 7.5% 27.2% 65.3% -9.2 0
1968-09-08 Sanjoanense W 3-0 1581 1536 57.2% 28.9% 13.9% +19.0 2
1968-09-08 @ Fabril L 0-3 1536 1581 13.9% 28.9% 57.2% -19.0 0
1968-09-08 Braga W 1-0 1747 1587 65.1% 27.2% 7.6% +4.1 2
1968-09-08 @ Porto L 0-1 1587 1747 7.6% 27.2% 65.1% -4.0 0
1968-09-08 Varzim W 5-0 1705 1545 65.1% 27.2% 7.7% +18.0 2
1968-09-08 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1545 1705 7.7% 27.2% 65.1% -18.0 0
1968-09-08 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1574 1499 59.6% 28.6% 11.9% -4.2 1
1968-09-08 @ Uniao Tomar D 1-1 1499 1574 11.9% 28.6% 59.6% +4.2 1
1968-09-08 Leixoes D 0-0 1619 1573 57.4% 28.9% 13.7% -4.2 1
1968-09-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1573 1619 13.7% 28.9% 57.4% +4.2 1
1968-09-15 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1503 1723 26.1% 29.2% 44.8% -11.3 1
1968-09-15 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1723 1503 44.8% 29.2% 26.1% +11.3 4
1968-09-15 Uniao Tomar D 2-2 1619 1570 57.6% 28.9% 13.6% -2.8 1
1968-09-15 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1570 1619 13.6% 28.9% 57.6% +2.8 2
1968-09-15 Benfica L 0-1 1583 1801 26.3% 29.2% 44.5% -11.4 0
1968-09-15 @ Braga W 1-0 1801 1583 44.5% 29.2% 26.3% +11.4 4
1968-09-15 Fabril W 2-1 1577 1600 50.9% 29.5% 19.6% +8.7 3
1968-09-15 @ Leixoes L 1-2 1600 1577 19.6% 29.5% 50.9% -8.7 2
1968-09-15 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1517 1752 24.3% 29.0% 46.6% -10.8 0
1968-09-15 @ Sanjoanense W 1-0 1752 1517 46.6% 29.0% 24.3% +10.8 4
1968-09-15 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-5 1527 1615 43.6% 29.7% 26.7% -73.5 0
1968-09-15 @ Varzim W 5-0 1615 1527 26.7% 29.7% 43.6% +73.5 3
1968-09-15 Porto W 3-1 1690 1752 46.7% 29.7% 23.6% +17.3 2
1968-09-15 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-3 1752 1690 23.6% 29.7% 46.7% -17.3 2
1968-09-22 Leixoes W 5-0 1763 1586 66.1% 26.9% 7.0% +16.5 6
1968-09-22 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-5 1586 1763 7.0% 26.9% 66.1% -16.5 3
1968-09-22 Braga W 1-0 1616 1571 57.2% 28.9% 13.9% +7.0 3
1968-09-22 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1571 1616 13.9% 28.9% 57.2% -7.0 0
1968-09-22 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1812 1707 61.7% 28.1% 10.2% +5.0 6
1968-09-22 @ Benfica L 1-2 1707 1812 10.2% 28.1% 61.7% -5.0 2
1968-09-22 Varzim W 2-0 1591 1454 63.8% 27.6% 8.6% +8.6 4
1968-09-22 @ Fabril L 0-2 1454 1591 8.6% 27.6% 63.8% -8.6 0
1968-09-22 Sanjoanense W 2-1 1734 1506 68.7% 25.9% 5.5% +2.7 4
1968-09-22 @ Porto L 1-2 1506 1734 5.5% 25.9% 68.7% -2.7 0
1968-09-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1572 1734 33.5% 29.6% 36.9% +13.8 4
1968-09-22 @ Uniao Tomar L 1-2 1734 1572 36.9% 29.6% 33.5% -13.8 4
1968-09-22 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1688 1492 67.1% 26.5% 6.4% +3.4 5
1968-09-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1492 1688 6.4% 26.5% 67.1% -3.4 1
1968-09-29 Fabril D 1-1 1488 1600 40.5% 29.7% 29.8% -0.8 2
1968-09-29 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1600 1488 29.8% 29.7% 40.5% +0.8 5
1968-09-29 Uniao Tomar W 2-1 1564 1586 51.1% 29.5% 19.4% +8.6 2
1968-09-29 @ Braga L 1-2 1586 1564 19.4% 29.5% 51.1% -8.6 4
1968-09-29 Porto L 0-1 1569 1737 32.7% 29.5% 37.7% -13.4 3
1968-09-29 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1737 1569 37.7% 29.5% 32.7% +13.4 6
1968-09-29 Benfica L 0-1 1504 1817 16.8% 28.0% 55.2% -8.0 0
1968-09-29 @ Sanjoanense W 1-0 1817 1504 55.2% 28.0% 16.8% +7.9 8
1968-09-29 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1720 1692 55.9% 29.1% 15.0% -3.9 5
1968-09-29 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1692 1720 15.0% 29.1% 55.9% +3.9 6
1968-09-29 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1445 1779 15.2% 27.7% 57.1% -6.9 0
1968-09-29 @ Varzim W 2-1 1779 1445 57.1% 27.7% 15.2% +6.9 8
1968-09-29 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1702 1623 59.9% 28.5% 11.6% -4.2 3
1968-09-29 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1623 1702 11.6% 28.5% 59.9% +4.2 4
1968-10-06 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-2 1786 1487 71.9% 24.3% 3.9% +2.9 10
1968-10-06 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-4 1487 1786 3.9% 24.3% 71.9% -2.9 2
1968-10-06 Sanjoanense D 0-0 1627 1496 63.4% 27.7% 8.9% -5.5 5
1968-10-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1496 1627 8.9% 27.7% 63.4% +5.5 1
1968-10-06 Leixoes W 4-0 1825 1556 70.6% 25.0% 4.5% +8.3 10
1968-10-06 @ Benfica L 0-4 1556 1825 4.5% 25.0% 70.6% -8.3 3
1968-10-06 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1573 1698 38.6% 29.7% 31.6% +13.1 4
1968-10-06 @ Braga L 0-1 1698 1573 31.6% 29.7% 38.6% -13.1 3
1968-10-06 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1601 1717 39.9% 29.7% 30.4% +12.8 7
1968-10-06 @ Fabril L 0-1 1717 1601 30.4% 29.7% 39.9% -12.8 5
1968-10-06 Varzim W 2-0 1750 1439 72.4% 24.0% 3.6% +3.5 8
1968-10-06 @ Porto L 0-2 1439 1750 3.6% 24.0% 72.4% -3.5 0
1968-10-06 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-1 1578 1696 39.6% 29.7% 30.7% +21.0 6
1968-10-06 @ Uniao Tomar L 1-3 1696 1578 30.7% 29.7% 39.6% -21.0 6
1968-10-13 Porto L 1-2 1485 1754 20.7% 28.6% 50.6% -8.9 2
1968-10-13 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1754 1485 50.6% 28.6% 20.7% +8.9 10
1968-10-13 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1547 1621 45.2% 29.7% 25.1% -1.8 4
1968-10-13 @ Leixoes D 0-0 1621 1547 25.1% 29.7% 45.2% +1.8 6
1968-10-13 Braga W 1-0 1501 1586 43.9% 29.7% 26.4% +11.5 3
1968-10-13 @ Sanjoanense L 0-1 1586 1501 26.4% 29.7% 43.9% -11.5 4
1968-10-13 Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1704 1789 43.9% 29.7% 26.4% +31.6 7
1968-10-13 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1789 1704 26.4% 29.7% 43.9% -31.6 10
1968-10-13 Benfica D 1-1 1435 1833 11.1% 26.5% 62.4% +4.5 1
1968-10-13 @ Varzim D 1-1 1833 1435 62.4% 26.5% 11.1% -4.5 11
1968-10-13 Fabril W 2-1 1675 1613 58.5% 28.7% 12.7% +6.1 8
1968-10-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1613 1675 12.7% 28.7% 58.5% -6.1 7
1968-10-13 Uniao Tomar W 4-0 1685 1599 60.4% 28.4% 11.2% +20.7 5
1968-10-13 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1599 1685 11.2% 28.4% 60.4% -20.7 6
1968-11-03 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1757 1681 59.7% 28.5% 11.8% -4.2 11
1968-11-03 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1681 1757 11.8% 28.5% 59.7% +4.2 9
1968-11-03 Varzim W 4-1 1623 1439 66.4% 26.8% 6.8% +8.3 8
1968-11-03 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-4 1439 1623 6.8% 26.8% 66.4% -8.3 1
1968-11-03 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-3 1829 1476 74.1% 22.9% 3.0% +1.3 13
1968-11-03 @ Benfica L 3-4 1476 1829 3.0% 22.9% 74.1% -1.3 2
1968-11-03 Leixoes L 0-1 1575 1546 55.9% 29.1% 15.0% -20.8 4
1968-11-03 @ Braga W 1-0 1546 1575 15.0% 29.1% 55.9% +20.8 6
1968-11-03 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1763 1735 55.8% 29.1% 15.2% -3.4 11
1968-11-03 @ Porto D 1-1 1735 1763 15.2% 29.1% 55.8% +3.4 8
1968-11-03 Fabril D 1-1 1578 1607 50.3% 29.5% 20.2% -2.4 7
1968-11-03 @ Uniao Tomar D 1-1 1607 1578 20.2% 29.5% 50.3% +2.4 8
1968-11-03 Sanjoanense W 3-0 1706 1513 66.9% 26.6% 6.5% +9.4 7
1968-11-03 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-3 1513 1706 6.5% 26.6% 66.9% -9.4 3
1968-11-10 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1474 1632 34.2% 29.6% 36.2% +23.6 4
1968-11-10 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1632 1474 36.2% 29.6% 34.2% -23.6 8
1968-11-10 Academica de Coimbra W 4-3 1610 1753 36.1% 29.6% 34.2% +12.1 10
1968-11-10 @ Fabril L 3-4 1753 1610 34.2% 29.6% 36.1% -12.1 11
1968-11-10 Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1566 1715 35.4% 29.6% 35.0% -13.4 6
1968-11-10 @ Leixoes W 2-1 1715 1566 35.0% 29.6% 35.4% +13.4 9
1968-11-10 Uniao Tomar W 4-1 1503 1575 45.4% 29.7% 24.9% +25.5 5
1968-11-10 @ Sanjoanense L 1-4 1575 1503 24.9% 29.7% 45.4% -25.5 7
1968-11-10 Benfica D 0-0 1739 1830 43.1% 29.7% 27.2% -1.4 9
1968-11-10 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1830 1739 27.2% 29.7% 43.1% +1.4 14
1968-11-10 Braga D 3-3 1431 1554 39.0% 29.7% 31.3% -0.4 2
1968-11-10 @ Varzim D 3-3 1554 1431 31.3% 29.7% 39.0% +0.4 5
1968-11-10 Porto W 2-0 1685 1759 45.2% 29.7% 25.1% +21.0 11
1968-11-10 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1759 1685 25.1% 29.7% 45.2% -21.0 11
1968-11-17 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1608 1737 38.0% 29.7% 32.3% -0.5 9
1968-11-17 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1737 1608 32.3% 29.7% 38.0% +0.5 10
1968-11-17 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1831 1706 63.0% 27.8% 9.2% -5.4 15
1968-11-17 @ Benfica D 0-0 1706 1831 9.2% 27.8% 63.0% +5.4 12
1968-11-17 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1554 1498 58.1% 28.8% 13.1% +6.2 7
1968-11-17 @ Braga L 1-2 1498 1554 13.1% 28.8% 58.1% -6.2 4
1968-11-17 Fabril W 3-0 1738 1622 62.5% 28.0% 9.6% +13.8 13
1968-11-17 @ Porto L 0-3 1622 1738 9.6% 28.0% 62.5% -13.8 10
1968-11-17 Leixoes L 0-1 1529 1553 50.8% 29.5% 19.7% -19.1 5
1968-11-17 @ Sanjoanense W 1-0 1553 1529 19.7% 29.5% 50.8% +19.1 8
1968-11-17 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1550 1741 29.6% 29.4% 41.0% +14.9 9
1968-11-17 @ Uniao Tomar L 1-2 1741 1550 41.0% 29.4% 29.6% -14.9 11
1968-11-17 Varzim W 2-1 1728 1431 71.8% 24.3% 3.9% +1.9 11
1968-11-17 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1431 1728 3.9% 24.3% 71.8% -1.9 2
1968-11-24 Porto L 2-4 1726 1752 50.6% 29.5% 19.8% -27.7 11
1968-11-24 @ Academica de Coimbra W 4-2 1752 1726 19.8% 29.5% 50.6% +27.7 15
1968-11-24 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1492 1730 23.9% 29.0% 47.1% -10.6 4
1968-11-24 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1730 1492 47.1% 29.0% 23.9% +10.6 13
1968-11-24 Benfica W 3-0 1608 1826 26.3% 29.2% 44.5% +46.2 12
1968-11-24 @ Fabril L 0-3 1826 1608 44.5% 29.2% 26.3% -46.2 15
1968-11-24 Uniao Tomar L 1-2 1572 1565 53.9% 29.3% 16.8% -19.0 8
1968-11-24 @ Leixoes W 2-1 1565 1572 16.8% 29.3% 53.9% +19.0 11
1968-11-24 Braga W 3-0 1738 1560 66.1% 26.9% 7.0% +10.2 12
1968-11-24 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1560 1738 7.0% 26.9% 66.1% -10.2 7
1968-11-24 Sanjoanense W 3-2 1429 1510 44.4% 29.7% 25.9% +10.2 4
1968-11-24 @ Varzim L 2-3 1510 1429 25.9% 29.7% 44.4% -10.2 5
1968-11-24 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1711 1607 61.6% 28.2% 10.2% +10.0 14
1968-11-24 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1607 1711 10.2% 28.2% 61.6% -10.0 9
1968-12-01 Fabril D 1-1 1597 1654 47.2% 29.6% 23.1% -1.9 10
1968-12-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1654 1597 23.1% 29.6% 47.2% +1.9 13
1968-12-01 Academica de Coimbra W 3-2 1780 1698 60.1% 28.5% 11.5% +5.3 17
1968-12-01 @ Benfica L 2-3 1698 1780 11.5% 28.5% 60.1% -5.3 11
1968-12-01 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1550 1721 32.2% 29.5% 38.2% +0.5 8
1968-12-01 @ Braga D 0-0 1721 1550 38.2% 29.5% 32.2% -0.5 15
1968-12-01 Varzim W 2-0 1553 1439 62.3% 28.0% 9.7% +9.6 10
1968-12-01 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1439 1553 9.7% 28.0% 62.3% -9.6 4
1968-12-01 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1499 1481 55.0% 29.2% 15.9% +7.8 7
1968-12-01 @ Sanjoanense L 0-1 1481 1499 15.9% 29.2% 55.0% -7.8 4
1968-12-01 Porto L 0-2 1584 1780 29.0% 29.4% 41.6% -23.2 11
1968-12-01 @ Uniao Tomar W 2-0 1780 1584 41.6% 29.4% 29.0% +23.2 17
1968-12-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1741 1748 52.5% 29.4% 18.1% -3.2 14
1968-12-01 @ Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1748 1741 18.1% 29.4% 52.5% +3.2 13
1968-12-15 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1693 1596 61.2% 28.2% 10.5% +10.3 13
1968-12-15 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1596 1693 10.5% 28.2% 61.2% -10.3 10
1968-12-15 Leixoes W 1-0 1473 1563 43.3% 29.7% 27.0% +11.7 6
1968-12-15 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1563 1473 27.0% 29.7% 43.3% -11.7 10
1968-12-15 Braga D 1-1 1656 1551 61.8% 28.1% 10.1% -4.6 14
1968-12-15 @ Fabril D 1-1 1551 1656 10.1% 28.1% 61.8% +4.6 9
1968-12-15 Benfica W 1-0 1803 1785 54.9% 29.2% 15.9% +7.8 19
1968-12-15 @ Porto L 0-1 1785 1803 15.9% 29.2% 54.9% -7.8 17
1968-12-15 Sanjoanense W 1-0 1751 1507 69.4% 25.5% 5.0% +2.7 15
1968-12-15 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1507 1751 5.0% 25.5% 69.4% -2.7 7
1968-12-15 Varzim L 1-3 1561 1430 63.4% 27.7% 8.9% -38.6 11
1968-12-15 @ Uniao Tomar W 3-1 1430 1561 8.9% 27.7% 63.4% +38.6 6
1968-12-15 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1721 1738 51.6% 29.5% 19.0% -2.7 16
1968-12-15 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1738 1721 19.0% 29.5% 51.6% +2.7 15
1968-12-22 Porto D 1-1 1585 1811 25.4% 29.1% 45.5% +1.6 11
1968-12-22 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1811 1585 45.5% 29.1% 25.4% -1.6 20
1968-12-22 Uniao Tomar W 4-0 1777 1522 70.0% 25.3% 4.8% +9.0 19
1968-12-22 @ Benfica L 0-4 1522 1777 4.8% 25.3% 70.0% -9.0 11
1968-12-22 Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1555 1703 35.4% 29.6% 34.9% -0.0 10
1968-12-22 @ Braga D 0-0 1703 1555 34.9% 29.6% 35.4% +0.0 14
1968-12-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1551 1754 28.1% 29.3% 42.6% +16.3 12
1968-12-22 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1754 1551 42.6% 29.3% 28.1% -16.3 15
1968-12-22 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1505 1718 26.8% 29.2% 44.0% +1.3 8
1968-12-22 @ Sanjoanense D 1-1 1718 1505 44.0% 29.2% 26.8% -1.3 17
1968-12-22 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1468 1485 51.6% 29.5% 19.0% +9.0 8
1968-12-22 @ Varzim L 0-1 1485 1468 19.0% 29.5% 51.6% -9.0 6
1968-12-22 Fabril D 1-1 1740 1652 60.6% 28.4% 11.1% -4.4 16
1968-12-22 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1652 1740 11.1% 28.4% 60.6% +4.4 15
1968-12-29 Uniao Tomar L 0-1 1476 1513 49.5% 29.6% 21.0% -18.6 6
1968-12-29 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1513 1476 21.0% 29.6% 49.5% +18.6 13
1968-12-29 Benfica L 1-2 1587 1786 28.5% 29.3% 42.1% -11.5 11
1968-12-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1786 1587 42.1% 29.3% 28.5% +11.5 21
1968-12-29 Porto D 1-1 1555 1809 22.3% 28.8% 48.9% +2.1 11
1968-12-29 @ Braga D 1-1 1809 1555 48.9% 28.8% 22.3% -2.1 21
1968-12-29 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1567 1717 35.3% 29.6% 35.1% -0.0 13
1968-12-29 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1717 1567 35.1% 29.6% 35.3% +0.0 18
1968-12-29 Fabril L 0-1 1506 1656 35.2% 29.6% 35.2% -14.1 8
1968-12-29 @ Sanjoanense W 1-0 1656 1506 35.2% 29.6% 35.2% +14.1 17
1968-12-29 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1477 1738 21.6% 28.7% 49.7% +17.5 10
1968-12-29 @ Varzim L 1-2 1738 1477 49.7% 28.7% 21.6% -17.5 15
1968-12-29 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1736 1704 56.2% 29.0% 14.8% +6.9 18
1968-12-29 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1704 1736 14.8% 29.0% 56.2% -6.9 14
1969-01-05 Sanjoanense W 2-0 1697 1492 67.5% 26.4% 6.1% +6.1 16
1969-01-05 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1492 1697 6.1% 26.4% 67.5% -6.1 8
1969-01-05 Braga W 5-0 1798 1557 69.3% 25.6% 5.1% +11.9 23
1969-01-05 @ Benfica L 0-5 1557 1798 5.1% 25.6% 69.3% -11.9 11
1969-01-05 Leixoes W 1-0 1670 1567 61.6% 28.2% 10.3% +5.3 19
1969-01-05 @ Fabril L 0-1 1567 1670 10.3% 28.2% 61.6% -5.3 13
1969-01-05 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1807 1743 58.8% 28.7% 12.5% +5.7 23
1969-01-05 @ Porto L 2-3 1743 1807 12.5% 28.7% 58.8% -5.7 18
1969-01-05 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-2 1720 1457 70.3% 25.1% 4.6% +3.5 17
1969-01-05 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1457 1720 4.6% 25.1% 70.3% -3.5 6
1969-01-05 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1532 1575 48.8% 29.6% 21.6% -18.3 13
1969-01-05 @ Uniao Tomar W 1-0 1575 1532 21.6% 29.6% 48.8% +18.4 13
1969-01-05 Varzim W 4-2 1717 1494 68.4% 26.0% 5.6% +4.3 20
1969-01-05 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-4 1494 1717 5.6% 26.0% 68.4% -4.3 10
1969-01-19 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-3 1454 1721 20.9% 28.7% 50.4% -26.1 6
1969-01-19 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1721 1454 50.4% 28.7% 20.9% +26.1 22
1969-01-19 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-4 1545 1594 48.2% 29.6% 22.1% -42.0 11
1969-01-19 @ Braga W 4-1 1594 1545 22.1% 29.6% 48.2% +42.0 15
1969-01-19 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1562 1703 36.5% 29.7% 33.9% -0.2 14
1969-01-19 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1703 1562 33.9% 29.7% 36.5% +0.2 17
1969-01-19 Porto D 0-0 1486 1813 15.7% 27.8% 56.5% +3.8 9
1969-01-19 @ Sanjoanense D 0-0 1813 1486 56.5% 27.8% 15.7% -3.8 24
1969-01-19 Uniao Tomar D 1-1 1724 1513 67.8% 26.2% 5.9% -5.7 18
1969-01-19 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1513 1724 5.9% 26.2% 67.8% +5.7 14
1969-01-19 Fabril D 2-2 1490 1676 30.4% 29.4% 40.2% +0.5 11
1969-01-19 @ Varzim D 2-2 1676 1490 40.2% 29.4% 30.4% -0.5 20
1969-01-19 Benfica D 1-1 1737 1810 45.4% 29.7% 24.9% -1.6 19
1969-01-19 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1810 1737 24.9% 29.7% 45.4% +1.6 24
1969-01-26 Varzim D 0-0 1703 1491 67.9% 26.2% 5.9% -6.4 18
1969-01-26 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1491 1703 5.9% 26.2% 67.9% +6.4 12
1969-01-26 Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1636 1736 42.0% 29.7% 28.3% -30.5 15
1969-01-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1736 1636 28.3% 29.7% 42.0% +30.5 21
1969-01-26 Sanjoanense W 5-0 1811 1489 72.8% 23.7% 3.4% +7.7 26
1969-01-26 @ Benfica L 0-5 1489 1811 3.4% 23.7% 72.8% -7.7 9
1969-01-26 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1675 1428 69.6% 25.5% 5.0% -41.9 20
1969-01-26 @ Fabril W 3-1 1428 1675 5.0% 25.5% 69.6% +41.9 8
1969-01-26 Leixoes W 2-1 1809 1562 69.6% 25.5% 5.0% +2.5 26
1969-01-26 @ Porto L 1-2 1562 1809 5.0% 25.5% 69.6% -2.5 14
1969-01-26 Braga D 1-1 1519 1503 54.7% 29.2% 16.1% -3.2 15
1969-01-26 @ Uniao Tomar D 1-1 1503 1519 16.1% 29.2% 54.7% +3.2 12
1969-01-26 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1747 1718 55.9% 29.1% 15.0% +7.0 24
1969-01-26 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1718 1747 15.0% 29.1% 55.9% -7.0 18
1969-02-02 Academica de Coimbra L 0-4 1470 1697 25.3% 29.1% 45.6% -39.6 8
1969-02-02 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-0 1697 1470 45.6% 29.1% 25.3% +39.6 20
1969-02-02 Benfica D 0-0 1559 1819 21.7% 28.7% 49.6% +2.5 15
1969-02-02 @ Leixoes D 0-0 1819 1559 49.6% 28.7% 21.7% -2.5 27
1969-02-02 Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1482 1605 38.9% 29.7% 31.4% -13.6 9
1969-02-02 @ Sanjoanense W 3-2 1605 1482 31.4% 29.7% 38.9% +13.6 17
1969-02-02 Fabril D 1-1 1711 1633 59.8% 28.5% 11.7% -4.2 19
1969-02-02 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1633 1711 11.7% 28.5% 59.8% +4.2 21
1969-02-02 Porto D 1-1 1497 1811 16.7% 28.0% 55.3% +3.2 13
1969-02-02 @ Varzim D 1-1 1811 1497 55.3% 28.0% 16.7% -3.2 27
1969-02-02 Uniao Tomar W 3-0 1754 1516 69.2% 25.7% 5.2% +7.5 26
1969-02-02 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-3 1516 1754 5.2% 25.7% 69.2% -7.5 15
1969-02-02 Braga W 3-0 1766 1507 70.2% 25.2% 4.7% +6.7 23
1969-02-02 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-3 1507 1766 4.7% 25.2% 70.2% -6.7 12
1969-02-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1736 1707 55.9% 29.1% 15.0% +7.4 22
1969-02-16 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1707 1736 15.0% 29.1% 55.9% -7.4 19
1969-02-16 Leixoes W 2-1 1619 1562 58.2% 28.8% 13.0% +6.2 19
1969-02-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1562 1619 13.0% 28.8% 58.2% -6.2 15
1969-02-16 Varzim W 3-1 1816 1500 72.6% 23.8% 3.5% +3.0 29
1969-02-16 @ Benfica L 1-3 1500 1816 3.5% 23.8% 72.6% -3.0 13
1969-02-16 Sanjoanense W 1-0 1500 1468 56.1% 29.1% 14.8% +7.3 14
1969-02-16 @ Braga L 0-1 1468 1500 14.8% 29.1% 56.1% -7.4 9
1969-02-16 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1637 1762 38.7% 29.7% 31.6% -0.5 22
1969-02-16 @ Fabril D 1-1 1762 1637 31.6% 29.7% 38.7% +0.5 27
1969-02-16 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-1 1808 1430 75.1% 22.3% 2.6% +3.0 29
1969-02-16 @ Porto L 1-4 1430 1808 2.6% 22.3% 75.1% -3.0 8
1969-02-16 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1508 1773 21.2% 28.7% 50.1% +2.6 16
1969-02-16 @ Uniao Tomar D 0-0 1773 1508 50.1% 28.7% 21.2% -2.6 24
1969-02-23 Benfica L 0-2 1427 1819 11.4% 26.6% 62.0% -10.6 8
1969-02-23 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1819 1427 62.0% 26.6% 11.4% +10.6 31
1969-02-23 Uniao Tomar W 2-0 1637 1511 63.0% 27.8% 9.1% +9.0 24
1969-02-23 @ Fabril L 0-2 1511 1637 9.1% 27.8% 63.0% -9.1 16
1969-02-23 Braga W 2-0 1556 1507 57.5% 28.9% 13.6% +12.9 17
1969-02-23 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1507 1556 13.6% 28.9% 57.5% -12.9 14
1969-02-23 Vitoria Setubal L 1-4 1461 1770 17.1% 28.1% 54.8% -18.6 9
1969-02-23 @ Sanjoanense W 4-1 1770 1461 54.8% 28.1% 17.1% +18.6 26
1969-02-23 Porto W 2-1 1699 1811 40.5% 29.7% 29.8% +11.9 21
1969-02-23 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1811 1699 29.8% 29.7% 40.5% -11.9 29
1969-02-23 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1497 1625 38.3% 29.7% 32.0% -0.5 14
1969-02-23 @ Varzim D 1-1 1625 1497 32.0% 29.7% 38.3% +0.5 20
1969-02-23 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1762 1744 55.0% 29.2% 15.8% +7.3 29
1969-02-23 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1744 1762 15.8% 29.2% 55.0% -7.3 22
1969-03-02 Fabril D 1-1 1736 1646 60.7% 28.3% 10.9% -4.4 23
1969-03-02 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1646 1736 10.9% 28.3% 60.7% +4.4 25
1969-03-02 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1625 1417 67.7% 26.3% 6.0% +3.0 22
1969-03-02 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1417 1625 6.0% 26.3% 67.7% -3.0 8
1969-03-02 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1830 1711 62.6% 27.9% 9.5% -5.3 32
1969-03-02 @ Benfica D 0-0 1711 1830 9.5% 27.9% 62.6% +5.3 22
1969-03-02 Varzim W 1-0 1494 1497 53.0% 29.4% 17.6% +8.5 16
1969-03-02 @ Braga L 0-1 1497 1494 17.6% 29.4% 53.0% -8.5 14
1969-03-02 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1799 1770 56.0% 29.1% 15.0% +7.0 31
1969-03-02 @ Porto L 1-2 1770 1799 15.0% 29.1% 56.0% -7.0 29
1969-03-02 Sanjoanense W 3-0 1502 1442 58.4% 28.7% 12.8% +17.8 18
1969-03-02 @ Uniao Tomar L 0-3 1442 1502 12.8% 28.7% 58.4% -17.8 9
1969-03-02 Leixoes D 1-1 1789 1568 68.3% 26.0% 5.7% -5.8 27
1969-03-02 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1568 1789 5.7% 26.0% 68.3% +5.8 18
1969-03-16 Uniao Tomar W 4-0 1732 1520 67.9% 26.2% 5.9% +11.2 25
1969-03-16 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-4 1520 1732 5.9% 26.2% 67.9% -11.2 18
1969-03-16 Braga L 1-2 1414 1503 43.4% 29.7% 26.9% -15.6 8
1969-03-16 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1503 1414 26.9% 29.7% 43.4% +15.6 18
1969-03-16 Porto L 0-1 1650 1806 34.3% 29.6% 36.1% -13.9 25
1969-03-16 @ Fabril W 1-0 1806 1650 36.1% 29.6% 34.3% +13.9 33
1969-03-16 Sanjoanense W 3-0 1574 1424 64.5% 27.4% 8.1% +11.7 20
1969-03-16 @ Leixoes L 0-3 1424 1574 8.1% 27.4% 64.5% -11.7 9
1969-03-16 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-2 1717 1628 60.5% 28.4% 11.1% +5.1 24
1969-03-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1628 1717 11.1% 28.4% 60.5% -5.1 22
1969-03-16 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1488 1783 18.4% 28.3% 53.4% +2.9 15
1969-03-16 @ Varzim D 1-1 1783 1488 53.4% 28.3% 18.4% -2.9 28
1969-03-16 Benfica W 2-0 1763 1825 46.7% 29.7% 23.7% +20.1 31
1969-03-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1825 1763 23.7% 29.7% 46.7% -20.0 32
1969-03-23 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1623 1783 33.9% 29.6% 36.5% +14.5 24
1969-03-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1783 1623 36.5% 29.6% 33.9% -14.5 31
1969-03-23 Fabril W 1-0 1805 1636 65.6% 27.1% 7.3% +3.9 34
1969-03-23 @ Benfica L 0-1 1636 1805 7.3% 27.1% 65.6% -3.9 25
1969-03-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1518 1722 28.1% 29.3% 42.6% -27.7 18
1969-03-23 @ Braga W 4-1 1722 1518 42.6% 29.3% 28.1% +27.7 26
1969-03-23 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1820 1743 59.7% 28.5% 11.7% -22.3 33
1969-03-23 @ Porto W 1-0 1743 1820 11.7% 28.5% 59.7% +22.3 27
1969-03-23 Varzim L 1-2 1413 1491 44.7% 29.7% 25.6% -16.0 9
1969-03-23 @ Sanjoanense W 2-1 1491 1413 25.6% 29.7% 44.7% +16.0 17
1969-03-23 Leixoes W 2-0 1509 1586 44.8% 29.7% 25.5% +21.2 20
1969-03-23 @ Uniao Tomar L 0-2 1586 1509 25.5% 29.7% 44.8% -21.2 20
1969-03-23 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-0 1780 1398 75.2% 22.2% 2.6% +4.5 30
1969-03-23 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1398 1780 2.6% 22.2% 75.2% -4.5 8
1969-03-30 Benfica L 0-2 1765 1809 48.8% 29.6% 21.6% -34.6 27
1969-03-30 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1809 1765 21.6% 29.6% 48.8% +34.6 36
1969-03-30 Sanjoanense W 4-0 1393 1397 52.9% 29.4% 17.7% +30.4 10
1969-03-30 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1397 1393 17.7% 29.4% 52.9% -30.4 9
1969-03-30 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1632 1638 52.7% 29.4% 17.9% -2.9 26
1969-03-30 @ Fabril D 1-1 1638 1632 17.9% 29.4% 52.7% +2.9 25
1969-03-30 Uniao Tomar D 2-2 1798 1530 70.5% 25.0% 4.5% -4.5 34
1969-03-30 @ Porto D 2-2 1530 1798 4.5% 25.0% 70.5% +4.5 21
1969-03-30 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1749 1785 49.6% 29.6% 20.8% -18.7 26
1969-03-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1785 1749 20.8% 29.6% 49.6% +18.7 32
1969-03-30 Leixoes D 2-2 1507 1565 47.2% 29.7% 23.2% -1.4 18
1969-03-30 @ Varzim D 2-2 1565 1507 23.2% 29.7% 47.2% +1.4 21
1969-03-30 Braga W 5-0 1768 1491 71.0% 24.8% 4.3% +9.8 33
1969-03-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-5 1491 1768 4.3% 24.8% 71.0% -9.8 18
1969-04-20 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1641 1731 43.3% 29.7% 27.0% -1.2 26
1969-04-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1731 1641 27.0% 29.7% 43.3% +1.2 28
1969-04-20 Porto D 0-0 1843 1793 57.6% 28.9% 13.5% -4.2 37
1969-04-20 @ Benfica D 0-0 1793 1843 13.5% 28.9% 57.6% +4.2 35
1969-04-20 Fabril D 1-1 1481 1629 35.4% 29.6% 35.0% -0.0 19
1969-04-20 @ Braga D 1-1 1629 1481 35.0% 29.6% 35.4% +0.0 27
1969-04-20 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1566 1424 64.1% 27.5% 8.4% -23.9 21
1969-04-20 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1424 1566 8.4% 27.5% 64.1% +23.9 12
1969-04-20 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1366 1731 13.1% 27.1% 59.8% -6.0 9
1969-04-20 @ Sanjoanense W 2-1 1731 1366 59.8% 27.1% 13.1% +6.0 28
1969-04-20 Uniao Tomar W 2-1 1506 1534 50.4% 29.5% 20.1% +8.8 20
1969-04-20 @ Varzim L 1-2 1534 1506 20.1% 29.5% 50.4% -8.8 21
1969-04-20 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1803 1778 55.6% 29.1% 15.3% -3.4 33
1969-04-20 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1778 1803 15.3% 29.1% 55.6% +3.4 34
1969-04-27 Braga W 6-2 1732 1481 69.8% 25.4% 4.9% +6.5 30
1969-04-27 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-6 1481 1732 4.9% 25.4% 69.8% -6.5 19
1969-04-27 Varzim L 0-2 1448 1515 46.1% 29.7% 24.3% -32.9 12
1969-04-27 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1515 1448 24.3% 29.7% 46.1% +32.9 22
1969-04-27 Vitoria Setubal L 0-3 1630 1800 32.3% 29.5% 38.1% -36.5 27
1969-04-27 @ Fabril W 3-0 1800 1630 38.1% 29.5% 32.3% +36.5 35
1969-04-27 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1798 1639 65.0% 27.3% 7.7% +4.1 37
1969-04-27 @ Porto L 0-1 1639 1798 7.7% 27.3% 65.0% -4.1 26
1969-04-27 Leixoes W 1-0 1737 1542 67.0% 26.6% 6.5% +3.4 30
1969-04-27 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1542 1737 6.5% 26.6% 67.0% -3.4 21
1969-04-27 Benfica L 0-4 1525 1839 16.8% 28.0% 55.2% -28.4 21
1969-04-27 @ Uniao Tomar W 4-0 1839 1525 55.2% 28.0% 16.8% +28.4 39
1969-04-27 Sanjoanense W 5-0 1781 1360 76.7% 21.2% 2.1% +4.5 36
1969-04-27 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-5 1360 1781 2.1% 21.2% 76.7% -4.5 9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1969-01-26 4.96% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1428 3 @ Fabril 1675 1
2 1969-04-20 8.39% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1424 1 @ Leixoes 1566 0
3 1968-12-15 8.88% Varzim 1430 3 @ Uniao Tomar 1561 1
4 1969-03-23 11.73% Academica de Coimbra 1743 1 @ Porto 1820 0
5 1968-11-03 15.03% Leixoes 1546 1 @ Braga 1575 0
6 1968-11-24 16.79% Uniao Tomar 1565 2 @ Leixoes 1572 1
7 1968-11-17 19.69% Leixoes 1553 1 @ Sanjoanense 1529 0
8 1968-11-24 19.84% Porto 1752 4 @ Academica de Coimbra 1726 2
9 1969-03-30 20.78% Vitoria Setubal 1785 1 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1749 0
10 1968-12-29 20.98% Uniao Tomar 1513 1 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1476 0
11 1968-12-29 21.59% @ Varzim 1477 2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1738 1
12 1969-03-30 21.61% Benfica 1809 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1765 0
13 1969-01-05 21.64% Os Belenenses (1st) 1575 1 @ Uniao Tomar 1532 0
14 1969-01-19 22.15% Os Belenenses (1st) 1594 4 @ Braga 1545 1
15 1969-04-27 24.26% Varzim 1515 2 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1448 0
16 1969-03-23 25.63% Varzim 1491 2 @ Sanjoanense 1413 1
17 1968-11-24 26.31% @ Fabril 1608 3 Benfica 1826 0
18 1968-09-15 26.70% Vitoria Guimaraes 1615 5 @ Varzim 1527 0
19 1969-03-16 26.93% Braga 1503 2 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1414 1
20 1968-12-22 28.12% @ Leixoes 1551 1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1754 0
21 1969-01-26 28.29% Vitoria Setubal 1736 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1636 0
22 1968-11-17 29.62% @ Uniao Tomar 1550 2 Academica de Coimbra 1741 1
23 1969-02-02 31.41% Os Belenenses (1st) 1605 3 @ Sanjoanense 1482 2
24 1968-09-22 33.53% @ Uniao Tomar 1572 2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1734 1
25 1969-03-23 33.87% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1623 1 Vitoria Guimaraes 1783 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1968-09-15 73.50 Vitoria Guimaraes 5 1615 26.70% @ Varzim 0 1527 43.58% 29.72%
2 1968-11-24 46.21 @ Fabril 3 1608 26.31% Benfica 0 1826 44.50% 29.19%
3 1969-01-19 41.97 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 1594 22.15% @ Braga 1 1545 48.23% 29.62%
4 1969-01-26 41.94 Atletico Clube de Portugal 3 1428 4.96% @ Fabril 1 1675 69.58% 25.46%
5 1969-02-02 39.60 Academica de Coimbra 4 1697 45.64% @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 0 1470 25.26% 29.11%
6 1968-12-15 38.56 Varzim 3 1430 8.88% @ Uniao Tomar 1 1561 63.39% 27.73%
7 1969-04-27 36.46 Vitoria Setubal 3 1800 38.12% @ Fabril 0 1630 32.34% 29.53%
8 1969-03-30 34.63 Benfica 2 1809 21.61% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1765 48.79% 29.60%
9 1969-04-27 32.93 Varzim 2 1515 24.26% @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 0 1448 46.06% 29.68%
10 1968-10-13 31.59 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1704 43.87% Academica de Coimbra 0 1789 26.41% 29.72%
11 1969-01-26 30.48 Vitoria Setubal 2 1736 28.29% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1636 41.98% 29.73%
12 1969-03-30 30.41 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 4 1393 52.94% Sanjoanense 0 1397 17.70% 29.36%
13 1969-04-27 28.42 Benfica 4 1839 55.23% @ Uniao Tomar 0 1525 16.76% 28.01%
14 1968-11-24 27.74 Porto 4 1752 19.84% @ Academica de Coimbra 2 1726 50.65% 29.51%
15 1969-03-23 27.70 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1722 42.61% @ Braga 1 1518 28.08% 29.31%
16 1969-01-19 26.14 Vitoria Guimaraes 3 1721 50.42% @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 0 1454 20.93% 28.66%
17 1968-11-10 25.48 @ Sanjoanense 4 1503 45.44% Uniao Tomar 1 1575 24.87% 29.70%
18 1969-04-20 23.86 Atletico Clube de Portugal 1 1424 8.39% @ Leixoes 0 1566 64.07% 27.54%
19 1968-11-10 23.57 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 3 1474 34.18% Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1632 36.22% 29.60%
20 1968-12-01 23.18 Porto 2 1780 41.63% @ Uniao Tomar 0 1584 29.00% 29.37%
21 1969-03-23 22.27 Academica de Coimbra 1 1743 11.73% @ Porto 0 1820 59.74% 28.53%
22 1969-03-23 21.18 @ Uniao Tomar 2 1509 44.82% Leixoes 0 1586 25.47% 29.71%
23 1968-10-06 20.98 @ Uniao Tomar 3 1578 39.61% Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1696 30.68% 29.71%
24 1968-11-10 20.96 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1685 45.19% Porto 0 1759 25.11% 29.70%
25 1968-11-03 20.85 Leixoes 1 1546 15.03% @ Braga 0 1575 55.89% 29.08%