1968-69 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

39 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Vitoria Guimaraes

6.31 points above expected

36 points · 29.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sanjoanense

9.28 points below expected

9 points · 18.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	16	7	3	39	49	17	+32	35.2	+3.78
2	Porto	26	15	7	4	37	39	23	+16	33.5	+3.48
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	13	10	3	36	46	17	+29	29.7	+6.31
4	Vitoria Setubal	26	13	9	4	35	45	20	+25	31.0	+3.96
5	Academica de Coimbra	26	12	6	8	30	48	32	+16	31.8	-1.75
6	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	11	8	7	30	35	20	+15	30.4	-0.38
7	Fabril	26	8	11	7	27	32	30	+2	25.8	+1.19
8	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	8	10	8	26	31	33	-2	25.1	+0.92
9	Varzim	26	7	8	11	22	32	49	-17	19.2	+2.82
10	Leixoes	26	7	7	12	21	21	30	-9	22.3	-1.29
11	Uniao Tomar	26	7	7	12	21	27	47	-20	21.2	-0.25
12	Braga	26	6	7	13	19	20	47	-27	21.6	-2.65
13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	5	2	19	12	26	49	-23	18.9	-6.86
14	Sanjoanense	26	3	3	20	9	15	52	-37	18.3	-9.28

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	1851	39	35.22	+3.78	84.0%	25	29	33	35	38	41	47
Vitoria Setubal	1808	35	31.04	+3.96	89.0%	20	24	29	31	34	38	41
Porto	1789	37	33.52	+3.48	88.0%	24	28	31	33	36	39	42
Vitoria Guimaraes	1758	36	29.69	+6.31	96.0%	18	24	27	29	32	36	41
Academica de Coimbra	1739	30	31.75	-1.75	34.0%	20	25	29	32	34	37	39
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1733	30	30.38	-0.38	49.0%	21	24	29	31	32	36	39
Os Belenenses (1st)	1633	26	25.08	+0.92	62.0%	14	19	22	25	28	31	36
Fabril	1596	27	25.81	+1.19	68.0%	19	20	24	26	28	31	34
Leixoes	1548	21	22.29	-1.29	38.0%	13	15	19	23	25	29	33
Varzim	1539	22	19.18	+2.82	85.0%	11	13	16	19	21	25	31
Uniao Tomar	1511	21	21.25	-0.25	53.0%	11	15	18	21	24	28	33
Braga	1496	19	21.65	-2.65	29.0%	9	15	19	21	25	28	32
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1436	12	18.86	-6.86	6.0%	10	12	16	19	21	25	30
Sanjoanense	1392	9	18.28	-9.28	0.0%	11	12	15	18	21	26	29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BEN	BRA	FAB	LEI	OB(	POR	SAN	SCDP	UT	VAR	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	2-0-0 4.14	0-0-2 2.40	1-1-0 3.76	0-1-1 3.50	1-1-0 3.66	1-1-0 3.29	1-0-1 2.53	2-0-0 4.04	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 3.86	1-1-0 4.29	0-1-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.81
Atletico Clube de Portugal	0-0-2 1.40	—	0-0-2 0.95	0-0-2 2.31	1-1-0 2.00	2-0-0 2.20	1-0-1 1.84	0-0-2 1.25	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 1.52	0-1-1 2.45	0-0-2 2.60	0-0-2 1.54	0-0-2 1.36
Benfica	2-0-0 3.06	2-0-0 4.64	—	2-0-0 4.02	1-0-1 3.92	1-1-0 4.20	2-0-0 3.80	0-1-1 2.86	2-0-0 4.43	0-2-0 3.31	2-0-0 4.32	1-1-0 4.60	0-1-1 3.32	1-1-0 3.23
Braga	0-1-1 1.75	2-0-0 3.15	0-0-2 1.50	—	0-2-0 2.11	0-0-2 2.71	0-0-2 2.45	0-1-1 1.54	1-0-1 3.08	0-0-2 1.71	1-1-0 2.67	1-1-0 3.13	0-1-1 1.81	1-0-1 1.88
Fabril	1-1-0 1.97	0-1-1 3.50	1-0-1 1.58	0-2-0 3.36	—	1-0-1 3.01	0-2-0 2.79	0-0-2 1.90	2-0-0 3.32	1-1-0 2.14	1-1-0 3.06	1-1-0 3.59	0-1-1 2.24	0-1-1 1.94
Leixoes	0-1-1 1.83	0-0-2 3.28	0-1-1 1.34	2-0-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.46	—	0-1-1 2.34	0-0-2 1.68	2-0-0 3.12	1-0-1 1.68	0-0-2 2.92	1-1-0 3.15	0-2-0 2.16	0-1-1 1.82
Os Belenenses (1st)	0-1-1 2.17	1-0-1 3.66	0-0-2 1.69	2-0-0 3.00	0-2-0 2.66	1-1-0 3.11	—	0-1-1 1.69	1-1-0 3.44	0-1-1 2.15	1-1-0 3.02	1-1-0 3.54	1-0-1 2.11	0-1-1 2.23
Porto	1-0-1 2.93	2-0-0 4.32	1-1-0 2.60	1-1-0 3.95	2-0-0 3.58	2-0-0 3.83	1-1-0 3.80	—	1-1-0 4.30	0-1-1 3.13	1-1-0 3.94	1-1-0 4.38	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 3.05
Sanjoanense	0-0-2 1.48	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 1.14	1-0-1 2.37	0-0-2 2.14	0-0-2 2.36	0-1-1 2.03	0-1-1 1.23	—	0-0-2 1.17	1-0-1 2.37	0-0-2 2.72	0-1-1 1.48	0-0-2 1.34
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 2.41	2-0-0 4.00	0-2-0 2.16	2-0-0 3.78	0-1-1 3.33	1-0-1 3.81	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 2.33	2-0-0 4.37	—	0-1-1 3.70	1-0-1 4.00	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.65
Uniao Tomar	1-0-1 1.64	1-1-0 3.01	0-0-2 1.22	0-1-1 2.79	0-1-1 2.41	2-0-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.44	0-1-1 1.58	1-0-1 3.08	1-1-0 1.79	—	0-0-2 3.09	1-0-1 2.01	0-1-1 1.63
Varzim	0-1-1 1.24	2-0-0 2.85	0-1-1 0.98	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 1.88	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 1.95	0-1-1 1.18	2-0-0 2.72	1-0-1 1.50	2-0-0 2.38	—	0-0-2 2.06	0-1-1 1.27
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-1-0 2.49	2-0-0 3.96	1-1-0 2.16	1-1-0 3.70	1-1-0 3.22	0-2-0 3.29	1-0-1 3.35	1-0-1 2.32	1-1-0 4.08	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 3.49	2-0-0 3.43	—	0-2-0 2.55
Vitoria Setubal	1-0-1 2.65	2-0-0 4.20	0-1-1 2.24	1-0-1 3.63	1-1-0 3.52	1-1-0 3.68	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.41	2-0-0 4.18	1-1-0 2.80	1-1-0 3.85	1-1-0 4.27	0-2-0 2.90	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.79%	9.62%	4.40%	3.30%	2.20%	1.92%	30.22%
1	9.62%	16.48%	7.69%	1.65%	1.92%	—	37.36%
2	4.40%	7.69%	2.20%	1.37%	1.10%	0.27%	17.03%
3	3.30%	1.65%	1.37%	0.55%	0.55%	—	7.42%
4	2.20%	1.92%	1.10%	0.55%	—	—	5.77%
5+	1.92%	—	0.27%	—	—	—	2.20%
Total	30.22%	37.36%	17.03%	7.42%	5.77%	2.20%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	1.28
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	2.56
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.098
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
4	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	38.46%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.59
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.018
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	42.31%
1	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	—	—	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	38.46%	23.08%	3.85%	23.08%	—	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.025
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
1	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	57.69%	26.92%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	0.65
StdDev scored	1.75
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.025
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	46.15%
1	11.54%	15.38%	—	—	7.69%	—	34.62%
2	—	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	46.15%	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.076
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	38.46%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	61.54%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	46.15%	11.54%	15.38%	—	—	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.164
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	42.31%
1	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	—	—	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	34.62%	23.08%	—	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.81
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	0.85
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	1.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.271
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	11.54%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	46.15%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	42.31%	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.124
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	19.23%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	42.31%
2	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	38.46%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	0.88
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.189
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	23.08%	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	61.54%
1	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	30.77%	15.38%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Sanjoanense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.58
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.085
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.23%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	34.62%
1	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	—	34.62%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	42.31%	38.46%	19.23%	—	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	0.76
Mean total goals/game	2.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.145
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	—	34.62%
1	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	34.62%	23.08%	7.69%	19.23%	—	100%

Uniao Tomar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.517
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	7.69%	26.92%
1	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	34.62%	30.77%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.153
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	11.54%	—	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	50.00%	38.46%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	0.65
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	0.80
Mean total goals/game	2.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.164
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	26.92%	7.69%	—	—	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	50.00%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	0.76
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.198
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vitoria Guimaraes	36	29.7	+6.31
2	Vitoria Setubal	35	31.0	+3.96
3	Benfica	39	35.2	+3.78
4	Porto	37	33.5	+3.48
5	Varzim	22	19.2	+2.82

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sanjoanense	9	18.3	-9.28
2	Atletico Clube de Portugal	12	18.9	-6.86
3	Braga	19	21.6	-2.65
4	Academica de Coimbra	30	31.8	-1.75
5	Leixoes	21	22.3	-1.29

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Varzim	3	Dec 15 – Dec 29	1 in 71
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	Jan 5 – Jan 19	1 in 19
3	Vitoria Setubal	5	Oct 13 – Nov 24	1 in 19
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	Mar 30 – Apr 20	1 in 18
5	Uniao Tomar	2	Nov 17 – Nov 24	1 in 18

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sanjoanense	10	Jan 26 – Apr 27	1 in 554
2	Academica de Coimbra	4	Nov 10 – Dec 1	1 in 72
3	Uniao Tomar	3	Dec 1 – Dec 22	1 in 30
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	6	Feb 2 – Mar 23	1 in 29
5	Varzim	5	Sep 8 – Oct 6	1 in 20

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Guimaraes	15	Oct 13 – Feb 23	1 in 290
2	Fabril	7	Nov 24 – Jan 19	1 in 32
3	Vitoria Setubal	11	Jan 19 – Apr 27	1 in 24
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	Oct 13 – Dec 15	1 in 19
5	Porto	11	Nov 17 – Feb 16	1 in 16

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sanjoanense	15	Dec 15 – Apr 27	1 in 33
2	Academica de Coimbra	6	Oct 13 – Dec 1	1 in 23
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	7	Nov 10 – Dec 29	1 in 14
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	Jan 19 – Feb 16	1 in 13
5	Braga	9	Nov 24 – Feb 2	1 in 11

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	47.00%	22.00%	14.00%	9.00%	6.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	23.00%	21.00%	18.00%	17.00%	11.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	7.00%	14.00%	8.00%	15.00%	13.00%	12.00%	14.00%	12.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—
Vitoria Setubal	10.00%	15.00%	15.00%	16.00%	13.00%	15.00%	9.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—
Academica de Coimbra	8.00%	18.00%	20.00%	12.00%	23.00%	10.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	4.00%	8.00%	20.00%	18.00%	16.00%	17.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Fabril	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	5.00%	14.00%	19.00%	22.00%	22.00%	7.00%	1.00%	4.00%	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	1.00%	—	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	13.00%	18.00%	11.00%	10.00%	14.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Varzim	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	7.00%	3.00%	15.00%	18.00%	14.00%	25.00%	14.00%
Leixoes	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	12.00%	20.00%	17.00%	10.00%	12.00%	10.00%	4.00%
Uniao Tomar	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	13.00%	14.00%	13.00%	17.00%	10.00%	11.00%
Braga	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	18.00%	16.00%	12.00%	10.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	18.00%	19.00%	17.00%	25.00%
Sanjoanense	—	—	—	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	11.00%	12.00%	21.00%	35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Academica de Coimbra	100%	—
Benfica	100%	—
Fabril	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	100%	—
Vitoria Setubal	99.0%	1.0%
Os Belenenses (1st)	95.0%	5.0%
Leixoes	86.0%	14.0%
Uniao Tomar	79.0%	21.0%
Braga	78.0%	22.0%
Varzim	61.0%	39.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	58.0%	42.0%
Sanjoanense	44.0%	56.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1968-09-08	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1743	1698	58.7%	26.6%	14.7%	+4.8	3
1968-09-08	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1698	1743	14.7%	26.6%	58.7%	-4.8	0
1968-09-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-1	1791	1630	67.9%	23.5%	8.5%	+6.9	3
1968-09-08	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1630	1791	8.5%	23.5%	67.9%	-6.9	0
1968-09-08	Sanjoanense	W 3-0	1584	1533	59.3%	26.5%	14.3%	+13.6	3
1968-09-08	@ Fabril	L 0-3	1533	1584	14.3%	26.5%	59.3%	-13.6	0
1968-09-08	Braga	W 1-0	1745	1587	67.8%	23.6%	8.6%	+3.0	3
1968-09-08	@ Porto	L 0-1	1587	1745	8.6%	23.6%	67.8%	-3.0	0
1968-09-08	Varzim	W 5-0	1703	1542	68.0%	23.5%	8.5%	+13.1	3
1968-09-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1542	1703	8.5%	23.5%	68.0%	-13.1	0
1968-09-08	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1572	1508	60.4%	26.2%	13.4%	-3.0	1
1968-09-08	@ Uniao Tomar	D 1-1	1508	1572	13.4%	26.2%	60.4%	+3.0	1
1968-09-08	Leixoes	D 0-0	1618	1572	58.8%	26.6%	14.6%	-3.1	1
1968-09-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1572	1618	14.6%	26.6%	58.8%	+3.1	1
1968-09-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1511	1716	28.9%	27.3%	43.9%	-8.8	1
1968-09-15	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1716	1511	43.9%	27.3%	28.9%	+8.8	6
1968-09-15	Uniao Tomar	D 2-2	1623	1569	59.5%	26.4%	14.1%	-2.1	1
1968-09-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1569	1623	14.1%	26.4%	59.5%	+2.1	2
1968-09-15	Benfica	L 0-1	1584	1798	27.8%	27.1%	45.1%	-8.5	0
1968-09-15	@ Braga	W 1-0	1798	1584	45.1%	27.1%	27.8%	+8.5	6
1968-09-15	Fabril	W 2-1	1575	1598	52.0%	27.6%	20.3%	+6.4	4
1968-09-15	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1598	1575	20.3%	27.6%	52.0%	-6.4	3
1968-09-15	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1519	1748	26.1%	26.9%	47.0%	-8.1	0
1968-09-15	@ Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1748	1519	47.0%	26.9%	26.1%	+8.1	6
1968-09-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-5	1529	1615	44.7%	28.0%	27.3%	-54.3	0
1968-09-15	@ Varzim	W 5-0	1615	1529	27.3%	28.0%	44.7%	+54.3	4
1968-09-15	Porto	W 3-1	1693	1748	48.5%	27.9%	23.6%	+12.5	3
1968-09-15	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1748	1693	23.6%	27.9%	48.5%	-12.4	3
1968-09-22	Leixoes	W 5-0	1756	1581	68.9%	23.1%	8.0%	+12.3	9
1968-09-22	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-5	1581	1756	8.0%	23.1%	68.9%	-12.3	4
1968-09-22	Braga	W 1-0	1621	1575	58.8%	26.6%	14.6%	+5.1	4
1968-09-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1575	1621	14.6%	26.6%	58.8%	-5.1	0
1968-09-22	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1806	1706	63.4%	25.3%	11.3%	+3.8	9
1968-09-22	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1706	1806	11.3%	25.3%	63.4%	-3.8	3
1968-09-22	Varzim	W 2-0	1591	1475	64.7%	24.9%	10.5%	+6.9	6
1968-09-22	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1475	1591	10.5%	24.9%	64.7%	-7.0	0
1968-09-22	Sanjoanense	W 2-1	1735	1511	72.2%	21.4%	6.4%	+2.0	6
1968-09-22	@ Porto	L 1-2	1511	1735	6.4%	21.4%	72.2%	-2.0	0
1968-09-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1572	1725	35.6%	27.9%	36.6%	+9.9	5
1968-09-22	@ Uniao Tomar	L 1-2	1725	1572	36.6%	27.9%	35.6%	-9.9	6
1968-09-22	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1669	1503	68.3%	23.4%	8.3%	+2.9	7
1968-09-22	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1503	1669	8.3%	23.4%	68.3%	-2.9	1
1968-09-29	Fabril	D 1-1	1500	1598	43.0%	28.1%	28.9%	-0.8	2
1968-09-29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1598	1500	28.9%	28.1%	43.0%	+0.8	7
1968-09-29	Uniao Tomar	W 2-1	1570	1582	53.2%	27.5%	19.3%	+6.1	3
1968-09-29	@ Braga	L 1-2	1582	1570	19.3%	27.5%	53.2%	-6.1	5
1968-09-29	Porto	L 0-1	1569	1737	33.5%	27.7%	38.7%	-9.9	4
1968-09-29	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1737	1569	38.7%	27.7%	33.5%	+9.9	9
1968-09-29	Benfica	L 0-1	1509	1810	19.0%	25.3%	55.7%	-6.2	0
1968-09-29	@ Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1810	1509	55.7%	25.3%	19.0%	+6.2	12
1968-09-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1715	1672	58.6%	26.6%	14.8%	-3.0	7
1968-09-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1672	1715	14.8%	26.6%	58.6%	+3.0	8
1968-09-29	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1468	1769	19.0%	25.3%	55.7%	-5.8	0
1968-09-29	@ Varzim	W 2-1	1769	1468	55.7%	25.3%	19.0%	+5.8	12
1968-09-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1702	1626	61.4%	25.9%	12.7%	-3.1	4
1968-09-29	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1626	1702	12.7%	25.9%	61.4%	+3.1	5
1968-10-06	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1774	1499	75.4%	19.5%	5.1%	+2.4	15
1968-10-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-4	1499	1774	5.1%	19.5%	75.4%	-2.4	2
1968-10-06	Sanjoanense	D 0-0	1629	1503	65.4%	24.6%	10.0%	-4.0	6
1968-10-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1503	1629	10.0%	24.6%	65.4%	+4.0	1
1968-10-06	Leixoes	W 4-0	1816	1559	74.3%	20.2%	5.5%	+6.5	15
1968-10-06	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1559	1816	5.5%	20.2%	74.3%	-6.5	4
1968-10-06	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1576	1699	39.8%	28.0%	32.2%	+9.6	6
1968-10-06	@ Braga	L 0-1	1699	1576	32.2%	28.0%	39.8%	-9.6	4
1968-10-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1599	1712	41.1%	28.0%	30.8%	+9.3	10
1968-10-06	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1712	1599	30.8%	28.0%	41.1%	-9.3	7
1968-10-06	Varzim	W 2-0	1747	1462	76.0%	19.1%	4.9%	+3.0	12
1968-10-06	@ Porto	L 0-2	1462	1747	4.9%	19.1%	76.0%	-3.0	0
1968-10-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1575	1675	42.9%	28.1%	29.0%	+14.6	8
1968-10-06	@ Uniao Tomar	L 1-3	1675	1575	29.0%	28.1%	42.9%	-14.6	8
1968-10-13	Porto	L 1-2	1496	1750	23.4%	26.4%	50.2%	-7.0	2
1968-10-13	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1750	1496	50.2%	26.4%	23.4%	+7.0	15
1968-10-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1553	1625	46.3%	28.0%	25.7%	-1.3	5
1968-10-13	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1625	1553	25.7%	28.0%	46.3%	+1.3	7
1968-10-13	Braga	W 1-0	1507	1586	45.6%	28.0%	26.4%	+8.3	4
1968-10-13	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-1	1586	1507	26.4%	28.0%	45.6%	-8.3	6
1968-10-13	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1703	1777	46.1%	28.0%	25.9%	+22.4	10
1968-10-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1777	1703	25.9%	28.0%	46.1%	-22.4	15
1968-10-13	Benfica	D 1-1	1459	1823	14.4%	23.4%	62.2%	+2.9	1
1968-10-13	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1823	1459	62.2%	23.4%	14.4%	-3.0	16
1968-10-13	Fabril	W 2-1	1660	1608	59.4%	26.4%	14.2%	+4.7	11
1968-10-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1608	1660	14.2%	26.4%	59.4%	-4.7	10
1968-10-13	Uniao Tomar	W 4-0	1689	1590	63.3%	25.3%	11.4%	+14.3	7
1968-10-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1590	1689	11.4%	25.3%	63.3%	-14.3	8
1968-11-03	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1754	1665	62.5%	25.6%	11.9%	-3.2	16
1968-11-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1665	1754	11.9%	25.6%	62.5%	+3.2	12
1968-11-03	Varzim	W 4-1	1627	1462	68.2%	23.4%	8.4%	+6.8	10
1968-11-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1462	1627	8.4%	23.4%	68.2%	-6.8	1
1968-11-03	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1820	1490	78.6%	17.4%	4.0%	+1.1	19
1968-11-03	@ Benfica	L 3-4	1490	1820	4.0%	17.4%	78.6%	-1.1	2
1968-11-03	Leixoes	L 0-1	1577	1551	57.0%	26.9%	16.1%	-15.3	6
1968-11-03	@ Braga	W 1-0	1551	1577	16.1%	26.9%	57.0%	+15.3	8
1968-11-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1757	1725	57.5%	26.8%	15.7%	-2.6	16
1968-11-03	@ Porto	D 1-1	1725	1757	15.7%	26.8%	57.5%	+2.6	11
1968-11-03	Fabril	D 1-1	1576	1604	51.4%	27.7%	20.9%	-1.8	9
1968-11-03	@ Uniao Tomar	D 1-1	1604	1576	20.9%	27.7%	51.4%	+1.8	11
1968-11-03	Sanjoanense	W 3-0	1704	1515	69.8%	22.6%	7.5%	+7.1	10
1968-11-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1515	1704	7.5%	22.6%	69.8%	-7.1	4
1968-11-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1488	1633	36.8%	27.9%	35.3%	+16.8	5
1968-11-10	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1633	1488	35.3%	27.9%	36.8%	-16.8	10
1968-11-10	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-3	1606	1751	36.7%	27.9%	35.4%	+9.0	14
1968-11-10	@ Fabril	L 3-4	1751	1606	35.4%	27.9%	36.7%	-9.0	16
1968-11-10	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1567	1711	36.9%	27.9%	35.2%	-10.0	8
1968-11-10	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1711	1567	35.2%	27.9%	36.9%	+10.0	13
1968-11-10	Uniao Tomar	W 4-1	1508	1574	47.1%	28.0%	24.9%	+18.3	7
1968-11-10	@ Sanjoanense	L 1-4	1574	1508	24.9%	28.0%	47.1%	-18.3	9
1968-11-10	Benfica	D 0-0	1728	1821	43.7%	28.1%	28.2%	-1.0	12
1968-11-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1821	1728	28.2%	28.1%	43.7%	+1.0	20
1968-11-10	Braga	D 3-3	1455	1562	41.9%	28.1%	30.0%	-0.4	2
1968-11-10	@ Varzim	D 3-3	1562	1455	30.0%	28.1%	41.9%	+0.4	7
1968-11-10	Porto	W 2-0	1668	1755	44.6%	28.0%	27.4%	+16.1	15
1968-11-10	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1755	1668	27.4%	28.0%	44.6%	-16.1	16
1968-11-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1617	1727	41.5%	28.1%	30.5%	-0.7	11
1968-11-17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1727	1617	30.5%	28.1%	41.5%	+0.7	13
1968-11-17	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1822	1684	66.2%	24.2%	9.5%	-4.1	21
1968-11-17	@ Benfica	D 0-0	1684	1822	9.5%	24.2%	66.2%	+4.1	16
1968-11-17	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1562	1505	59.8%	26.3%	13.9%	+4.6	10
1968-11-17	@ Braga	L 1-2	1505	1562	13.9%	26.3%	59.8%	-4.6	5
1968-11-17	Fabril	W 3-0	1739	1615	65.2%	24.6%	10.1%	+9.8	19
1968-11-17	@ Porto	L 0-3	1615	1739	10.1%	24.6%	65.2%	-9.8	14
1968-11-17	Leixoes	L 0-1	1527	1557	51.2%	27.7%	21.1%	-13.9	7
1968-11-17	@ Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1557	1527	21.1%	27.7%	51.2%	+13.9	11
1968-11-17	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1556	1742	31.1%	27.5%	41.3%	+10.8	12
1968-11-17	@ Uniao Tomar	L 1-2	1742	1556	41.3%	27.5%	31.1%	-10.9	16
1968-11-17	Varzim	W 2-1	1721	1455	74.9%	19.8%	5.3%	+1.6	16
1968-11-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1455	1721	5.3%	19.8%	74.9%	-1.6	2
1968-11-24	Porto	L 2-4	1731	1748	52.6%	27.6%	19.8%	-20.8	16
1968-11-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 4-2	1748	1731	19.8%	27.6%	52.6%	+20.8	22
1968-11-24	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1501	1722	26.9%	27.0%	46.1%	-8.3	5
1968-11-24	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1722	1501	46.1%	27.0%	26.9%	+8.3	19
1968-11-24	Benfica	W 3-0	1605	1818	27.9%	27.2%	45.0%	+33.6	17
1968-11-24	@ Fabril	L 0-3	1818	1605	45.0%	27.2%	27.9%	-33.6	21
1968-11-24	Uniao Tomar	L 1-2	1571	1566	54.8%	27.3%	17.9%	-13.9	11
1968-11-24	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1566	1571	17.9%	27.3%	54.8%	+13.9	15
1968-11-24	Braga	W 3-0	1728	1567	67.9%	23.5%	8.6%	+8.2	16
1968-11-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1567	1728	8.6%	23.5%	67.9%	-8.2	10
1968-11-24	Sanjoanense	W 3-2	1453	1513	47.9%	27.9%	24.2%	+7.0	5
1968-11-24	@ Varzim	L 2-3	1513	1453	24.2%	27.9%	47.9%	-6.9	7
1968-11-24	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1688	1616	61.1%	26.0%	12.9%	+8.5	19
1968-11-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1616	1688	12.9%	26.0%	61.1%	-8.5	11
1968-12-01	Fabril	D 1-1	1607	1638	51.1%	27.7%	21.2%	-1.8	12
1968-12-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1638	1607	21.2%	27.7%	51.1%	+1.8	18
1968-12-01	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1784	1711	61.2%	25.9%	12.8%	+4.0	24
1968-12-01	@ Benfica	L 2-3	1711	1784	12.8%	25.9%	61.2%	-4.0	16
1968-12-01	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1559	1697	37.7%	28.0%	34.3%	-0.2	11
1968-12-01	@ Braga	D 0-0	1697	1559	34.3%	28.0%	37.7%	+0.2	20
1968-12-01	Varzim	W 2-0	1557	1460	63.1%	25.4%	11.5%	+7.6	14
1968-12-01	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1460	1557	11.5%	25.4%	63.1%	-7.7	5
1968-12-01	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1506	1492	55.8%	27.1%	17.1%	+5.8	10
1968-12-01	@ Sanjoanense	L 0-1	1492	1506	17.1%	27.1%	55.8%	-5.8	5
1968-12-01	Porto	L 0-2	1580	1769	30.9%	27.5%	41.6%	-17.5	15
1968-12-01	@ Uniao Tomar	W 2-0	1769	1580	41.6%	27.5%	30.9%	+17.5	25
1968-12-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1731	1736	53.9%	27.4%	18.7%	-2.4	20
1968-12-01	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1736	1731	18.7%	27.4%	53.9%	+2.4	17
1968-12-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1707	1606	63.4%	25.3%	11.3%	+7.5	19
1968-12-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1606	1707	11.3%	25.3%	63.4%	-7.5	12
1968-12-15	Leixoes	W 1-0	1486	1564	45.6%	28.0%	26.3%	+8.3	8
1968-12-15	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1564	1486	26.3%	28.0%	45.6%	-8.3	14
1968-12-15	Braga	D 1-1	1640	1559	61.9%	25.8%	12.4%	-3.1	19
1968-12-15	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1559	1640	12.4%	25.8%	61.9%	+3.1	12
1968-12-15	Benfica	W 1-0	1787	1788	54.2%	27.4%	18.4%	+6.2	28
1968-12-15	@ Porto	L 0-1	1788	1787	18.4%	27.4%	54.2%	-6.2	24
1968-12-15	Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1738	1512	72.4%	21.3%	6.3%	+2.1	20
1968-12-15	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1512	1738	6.3%	21.3%	72.4%	-2.1	10
1968-12-15	Varzim	L 1-3	1563	1452	64.2%	25.0%	10.8%	-27.8	15
1968-12-15	@ Uniao Tomar	W 3-1	1452	1563	10.8%	25.0%	64.2%	+27.8	8
1968-12-15	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1697	1728	51.1%	27.7%	21.2%	-1.8	21
1968-12-15	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1728	1697	21.2%	27.7%	51.1%	+1.8	21
1968-12-22	Porto	D 1-1	1598	1793	30.1%	27.4%	42.5%	+0.7	13
1968-12-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1793	1598	42.5%	27.4%	30.1%	-0.7	29
1968-12-22	Uniao Tomar	W 4-0	1782	1535	73.7%	20.5%	5.8%	+6.9	27
1968-12-22	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1535	1782	5.8%	20.5%	73.7%	-6.9	15
1968-12-22	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1562	1714	35.8%	27.9%	36.4%	+0.0	13
1968-12-22	@ Braga	D 0-0	1714	1562	36.4%	27.9%	35.8%	-0.0	20
1968-12-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1556	1740	31.4%	27.6%	41.0%	+11.4	17
1968-12-22	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1740	1556	41.0%	27.6%	31.4%	-11.4	20
1968-12-22	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1509	1695	31.2%	27.5%	41.2%	+0.5	11
1968-12-22	@ Sanjoanense	D 1-1	1695	1509	41.2%	27.5%	31.2%	-0.5	22
1968-12-22	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1480	1495	52.9%	27.5%	19.6%	+6.5	11
1968-12-22	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1495	1480	19.6%	27.5%	52.9%	-6.5	8
1968-12-22	Fabril	D 1-1	1730	1637	62.8%	25.5%	11.7%	-3.2	22
1968-12-22	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1637	1730	11.7%	25.5%	62.8%	+3.2	20
1968-12-29	Uniao Tomar	L 0-1	1488	1528	50.1%	27.8%	22.1%	-13.6	8
1968-12-29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1528	1488	22.1%	27.8%	50.1%	+13.6	18
1968-12-29	Benfica	L 1-2	1599	1789	30.7%	27.5%	41.8%	-8.7	13
1968-12-29	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1789	1599	41.8%	27.5%	30.7%	+8.7	30
1968-12-29	Porto	D 1-1	1562	1792	25.9%	26.9%	47.2%	+1.2	14
1968-12-29	@ Braga	D 1-1	1792	1562	47.2%	26.9%	25.9%	-1.2	30
1968-12-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1567	1695	39.2%	28.0%	32.8%	-0.4	18
1968-12-29	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1695	1567	32.8%	28.0%	39.2%	+0.3	23
1968-12-29	Fabril	L 0-1	1510	1640	38.8%	28.0%	33.2%	-11.0	11
1968-12-29	@ Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1640	1510	33.2%	28.0%	38.8%	+11.0	23
1968-12-29	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1487	1729	24.6%	26.6%	48.7%	+12.4	14
1968-12-29	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1729	1487	48.7%	26.6%	24.6%	-12.4	20
1968-12-29	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1727	1714	55.7%	27.2%	17.2%	+5.5	25
1968-12-29	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1714	1727	17.2%	27.2%	55.7%	-5.5	20
1969-01-05	Sanjoanense	W 2-0	1708	1499	71.2%	21.9%	6.9%	+4.4	23
1969-01-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1499	1708	6.9%	21.9%	71.2%	-4.4	11
1969-01-05	Braga	W 5-0	1798	1563	72.9%	21.0%	6.1%	+9.0	33
1969-01-05	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1563	1798	6.1%	21.0%	72.9%	-9.0	14
1969-01-05	Leixoes	W 1-0	1651	1567	62.1%	25.7%	12.2%	+4.3	26
1969-01-05	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1567	1651	12.2%	25.7%	62.1%	-4.3	18
1969-01-05	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1791	1732	59.9%	26.3%	13.8%	+4.3	33
1969-01-05	@ Porto	L 2-3	1732	1791	13.8%	26.3%	59.9%	-4.3	25
1969-01-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1716	1475	73.3%	20.7%	5.9%	+2.9	23
1969-01-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1475	1716	5.9%	20.7%	73.3%	-2.9	8
1969-01-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1542	1590	49.2%	27.9%	23.0%	-13.4	18
1969-01-05	@ Uniao Tomar	W 1-0	1590	1542	23.0%	27.9%	49.2%	+13.4	16
1969-01-05	Varzim	W 4-2	1695	1499	70.4%	22.4%	7.3%	+3.7	26
1969-01-05	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-4	1499	1695	7.3%	22.4%	70.4%	-3.6	14
1969-01-19	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1472	1699	26.3%	26.9%	46.8%	-22.3	8
1969-01-19	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1699	1472	46.8%	26.9%	26.3%	+22.3	29
1969-01-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1554	1603	49.0%	27.9%	23.1%	-30.8	14
1969-01-19	@ Braga	W 4-1	1603	1554	23.1%	27.9%	49.0%	+30.8	19
1969-01-19	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1563	1713	36.1%	27.9%	36.1%	+0.0	19
1969-01-19	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1713	1563	36.1%	27.9%	36.1%	+0.0	24
1969-01-19	Porto	D 0-0	1495	1795	19.1%	25.3%	55.7%	+2.5	12
1969-01-19	@ Sanjoanense	D 0-0	1795	1495	55.7%	25.3%	19.1%	-2.5	34
1969-01-19	Uniao Tomar	D 1-1	1719	1528	70.0%	22.5%	7.4%	-4.0	24
1969-01-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1528	1719	7.4%	22.5%	70.0%	+4.1	19
1969-01-19	Fabril	D 2-2	1495	1656	34.6%	27.8%	37.5%	+0.1	15
1969-01-19	@ Varzim	D 2-2	1656	1495	37.5%	27.8%	34.6%	-0.1	27
1969-01-19	Benfica	D 1-1	1728	1807	45.6%	28.0%	26.4%	-1.1	26
1969-01-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1807	1728	26.4%	28.0%	45.6%	+1.1	34
1969-01-26	Varzim	D 0-0	1713	1496	71.8%	21.6%	6.6%	-4.7	25
1969-01-26	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1496	1713	6.6%	21.6%	71.8%	+4.7	16
1969-01-26	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1634	1727	43.8%	28.1%	28.2%	-22.8	19
1969-01-26	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1727	1634	28.2%	28.1%	43.8%	+22.9	29
1969-01-26	Sanjoanense	W 5-0	1808	1497	77.5%	18.1%	4.3%	+6.0	37
1969-01-26	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1497	1808	4.3%	18.1%	77.5%	-6.0	12
1969-01-26	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1656	1449	71.0%	22.0%	7.0%	-30.1	27
1969-01-26	@ Fabril	W 3-1	1449	1656	7.0%	22.0%	71.0%	+30.1	11
1969-01-26	Leixoes	W 2-1	1793	1563	72.6%	21.2%	6.2%	+2.0	37
1969-01-26	@ Porto	L 1-2	1563	1793	6.2%	21.2%	72.6%	-2.0	19
1969-01-26	Braga	D 1-1	1532	1523	55.3%	27.2%	17.5%	-2.3	20
1969-01-26	@ Uniao Tomar	D 1-1	1523	1532	17.5%	27.2%	55.3%	+2.3	15
1969-01-26	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1721	1715	55.0%	27.3%	17.7%	+5.7	32
1969-01-26	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1715	1721	17.7%	27.3%	55.0%	-5.7	24
1969-02-02	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-4	1480	1708	26.1%	26.9%	47.0%	-29.0	11
1969-02-02	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1708	1480	47.0%	26.9%	26.1%	+29.0	28
1969-02-02	Benfica	D 0-0	1561	1814	23.5%	26.4%	50.1%	+1.7	20
1969-02-02	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1814	1561	50.1%	26.4%	23.5%	-1.7	38
1969-02-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1491	1611	40.1%	28.0%	31.8%	-10.1	12
1969-02-02	@ Sanjoanense	W 3-2	1611	1491	31.8%	28.0%	40.1%	+10.1	22
1969-02-02	Fabril	D 1-1	1710	1625	62.1%	25.7%	12.2%	-3.2	25
1969-02-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1625	1710	12.2%	25.7%	62.1%	+3.2	28
1969-02-02	Porto	D 1-1	1500	1795	19.6%	25.4%	55.0%	+2.1	17
1969-02-02	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1795	1500	55.0%	25.4%	19.6%	-2.1	38
1969-02-02	Uniao Tomar	W 3-0	1727	1530	70.4%	22.3%	7.2%	+6.8	35
1969-02-02	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1530	1727	7.2%	22.3%	70.4%	-6.8	20
1969-02-02	Braga	W 3-0	1750	1525	72.2%	21.4%	6.4%	+5.9	32
1969-02-02	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1525	1750	6.4%	21.4%	72.2%	-5.9	15
1969-02-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1737	1706	57.4%	26.8%	15.8%	+5.4	31
1969-02-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1706	1737	15.8%	26.8%	57.4%	-5.4	25
1969-02-16	Leixoes	W 2-1	1622	1563	60.0%	26.3%	13.8%	+4.5	25
1969-02-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1563	1622	13.8%	26.3%	60.0%	-4.5	20
1969-02-16	Varzim	W 3-1	1812	1502	77.4%	18.2%	4.4%	+2.2	41
1969-02-16	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1502	1812	4.4%	18.2%	77.4%	-2.2	17
1969-02-16	Sanjoanense	W 1-0	1520	1481	58.1%	26.7%	15.2%	+5.3	18
1969-02-16	@ Braga	L 0-1	1481	1520	15.2%	26.7%	58.1%	-5.3	12
1969-02-16	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1629	1734	42.2%	28.1%	29.8%	-0.7	29
1969-02-16	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1734	1629	29.8%	28.1%	42.2%	+0.7	36
1969-02-16	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1793	1451	79.3%	16.9%	3.8%	+2.7	41
1969-02-16	@ Porto	L 1-4	1451	1793	3.8%	16.9%	79.3%	-2.7	11
1969-02-16	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1523	1756	25.7%	26.8%	47.5%	+1.4	21
1969-02-16	@ Uniao Tomar	D 0-0	1756	1523	47.5%	26.8%	25.7%	-1.4	33
1969-02-23	Benfica	L 0-2	1448	1814	14.2%	23.4%	62.4%	-8.8	11
1969-02-23	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1814	1448	62.4%	23.4%	14.2%	+8.8	44
1969-02-23	Uniao Tomar	W 2-0	1628	1525	63.6%	25.2%	11.2%	+7.4	32
1969-02-23	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1525	1628	11.2%	25.2%	63.6%	-7.4	21
1969-02-23	Braga	W 2-0	1558	1525	57.6%	26.8%	15.6%	+10.1	23
1969-02-23	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1525	1558	15.6%	26.8%	57.6%	-10.1	18
1969-02-23	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1476	1754	21.0%	25.8%	53.2%	-15.5	12
1969-02-23	@ Sanjoanense	W 4-1	1754	1476	53.2%	25.8%	21.0%	+15.5	36
1969-02-23	Porto	W 2-1	1701	1795	43.6%	28.1%	28.4%	+8.3	28
1969-02-23	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1795	1701	28.4%	28.1%	43.6%	-8.3	41
1969-02-23	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1500	1626	39.4%	28.0%	32.6%	-0.4	18
1969-02-23	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1626	1500	32.6%	28.0%	39.4%	+0.4	26
1969-02-23	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1734	1743	53.6%	27.5%	19.0%	+6.0	39
1969-02-23	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1743	1734	19.0%	27.5%	53.6%	-6.0	31
1969-03-02	Fabril	D 1-1	1737	1635	63.5%	25.3%	11.3%	-3.3	32
1969-03-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1635	1737	11.3%	25.3%	63.5%	+3.3	33
1969-03-02	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1626	1439	69.8%	22.7%	7.6%	+2.5	29
1969-03-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1439	1626	7.6%	22.7%	69.8%	-2.5	11
1969-03-02	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1823	1709	64.5%	24.9%	10.6%	-3.8	45
1969-03-02	@ Benfica	D 0-0	1709	1823	10.6%	24.9%	64.5%	+3.8	29
1969-03-02	Varzim	W 1-0	1515	1500	55.9%	27.1%	17.0%	+5.8	21
1969-03-02	@ Braga	L 0-1	1500	1515	17.0%	27.1%	55.9%	-5.8	18
1969-03-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1787	1740	58.9%	26.5%	14.6%	+4.8	44
1969-03-02	@ Porto	L 1-2	1740	1787	14.6%	26.5%	58.9%	-4.8	39
1969-03-02	Sanjoanense	W 3-0	1517	1460	59.8%	26.3%	13.9%	+13.3	24
1969-03-02	@ Uniao Tomar	L 0-3	1460	1517	13.9%	26.3%	59.8%	-13.3	12
1969-03-02	Leixoes	D 1-1	1770	1568	70.7%	22.2%	7.1%	-4.1	37
1969-03-02	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1568	1770	7.1%	22.2%	70.7%	+4.1	24
1969-03-16	Uniao Tomar	W 4-0	1733	1531	70.8%	22.1%	7.1%	+8.7	35
1969-03-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-4	1531	1733	7.1%	22.1%	70.8%	-8.6	24
1969-03-16	Braga	L 1-2	1437	1520	44.9%	28.0%	27.1%	-11.7	11
1969-03-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1520	1437	27.1%	28.0%	44.9%	+11.7	24
1969-03-16	Porto	L 0-1	1639	1792	35.6%	27.9%	36.5%	-10.3	33
1969-03-16	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1792	1639	36.5%	27.9%	35.6%	+10.3	47
1969-03-16	Sanjoanense	W 3-0	1572	1447	65.3%	24.6%	10.1%	+9.7	27
1969-03-16	@ Leixoes	L 0-3	1447	1572	10.1%	24.6%	65.3%	-9.7	12
1969-03-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1713	1629	62.1%	25.7%	12.2%	+3.8	32
1969-03-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1629	1713	12.2%	25.7%	62.1%	-3.8	29
1969-03-16	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1494	1766	21.6%	26.0%	52.4%	+1.8	19
1969-03-16	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1766	1494	52.4%	26.0%	21.6%	-1.8	38
1969-03-16	Benfica	W 2-0	1736	1819	44.9%	28.0%	27.0%	+15.9	42
1969-03-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1819	1736	27.0%	28.0%	44.9%	-15.9	45
1969-03-23	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1625	1752	39.3%	28.0%	32.7%	+9.7	32
1969-03-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1752	1625	32.7%	28.0%	39.3%	-9.7	42
1969-03-23	Fabril	W 1-0	1803	1628	68.9%	23.1%	8.0%	+2.8	48
1969-03-23	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1628	1803	8.0%	23.1%	68.9%	-2.8	33
1969-03-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1532	1717	31.4%	27.5%	41.1%	-21.7	24
1969-03-23	@ Braga	W 4-1	1717	1532	41.1%	27.5%	31.4%	+21.7	35
1969-03-23	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1802	1742	60.1%	26.2%	13.7%	-16.1	47
1969-03-23	@ Porto	W 1-0	1742	1802	13.7%	26.2%	60.1%	+16.0	38
1969-03-23	Varzim	L 1-2	1437	1496	48.0%	27.9%	24.1%	-12.3	12
1969-03-23	@ Sanjoanense	W 2-1	1496	1437	24.1%	27.9%	48.0%	+12.3	22
1969-03-23	Leixoes	W 2-0	1522	1582	47.8%	27.9%	24.3%	+14.7	27
1969-03-23	@ Uniao Tomar	L 0-2	1582	1522	24.3%	27.9%	47.8%	-14.7	27
1969-03-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1764	1425	79.1%	17.1%	3.8%	+4.2	41
1969-03-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1425	1764	3.8%	17.1%	79.1%	-4.2	11
1969-03-30	Benfica	L 0-2	1758	1806	49.2%	27.9%	22.9%	-25.2	38
1969-03-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1806	1758	22.9%	27.9%	49.2%	+25.2	51
1969-03-30	Sanjoanense	W 4-0	1421	1425	54.0%	27.4%	18.6%	+22.5	14
1969-03-30	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1425	1421	18.6%	27.4%	54.0%	-22.5	12
1969-03-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1625	1635	53.4%	27.5%	19.1%	-2.1	34
1969-03-30	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1635	1625	19.1%	27.5%	53.4%	+2.1	33
1969-03-30	Uniao Tomar	D 2-2	1786	1537	73.8%	20.5%	5.7%	-3.3	48
1969-03-30	@ Porto	D 2-2	1537	1786	5.7%	20.5%	73.8%	+3.3	28
1969-03-30	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1739	1768	51.3%	27.7%	21.0%	-13.9	35
1969-03-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1768	1739	21.0%	27.7%	51.3%	+13.9	44
1969-03-30	Leixoes	D 2-2	1508	1567	47.9%	27.9%	24.2%	-1.0	23
1969-03-30	@ Varzim	D 2-2	1567	1508	24.2%	27.9%	47.9%	+1.0	28
1969-03-30	Braga	W 5-0	1742	1510	72.7%	21.1%	6.2%	+9.2	45
1969-03-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-5	1510	1742	6.2%	21.1%	72.7%	-9.2	24
1969-04-20	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1637	1733	43.4%	28.1%	28.6%	-0.8	34
1969-04-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1733	1637	28.6%	28.1%	43.4%	+0.8	39
1969-04-20	Porto	D 0-0	1831	1783	59.0%	26.5%	14.5%	-3.1	52
1969-04-20	@ Benfica	D 0-0	1783	1831	14.5%	26.5%	59.0%	+3.1	49
1969-04-20	Fabril	D 1-1	1501	1623	39.9%	28.0%	32.1%	-0.4	25
1969-04-20	@ Braga	D 1-1	1623	1501	32.1%	28.0%	39.9%	+0.4	35
1969-04-20	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1568	1443	65.3%	24.6%	10.1%	-17.3	28
1969-04-20	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1443	1568	10.1%	24.6%	65.3%	+17.3	17
1969-04-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1402	1725	17.3%	24.7%	58.0%	-5.3	12
1969-04-20	@ Sanjoanense	W 2-1	1725	1402	58.0%	24.7%	17.3%	+5.3	38
1969-04-20	Uniao Tomar	W 2-1	1507	1540	50.9%	27.7%	21.3%	+6.6	26
1969-04-20	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1540	1507	21.3%	27.7%	50.9%	-6.6	28
1969-04-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1782	1751	57.4%	26.8%	15.7%	-2.6	45
1969-04-20	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1751	1782	15.7%	26.8%	57.4%	+2.6	46
1969-04-27	Braga	W 6-2	1734	1501	72.8%	21.1%	6.2%	+5.2	42
1969-04-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-6	1501	1734	6.2%	21.1%	72.8%	-5.2	25
1969-04-27	Varzim	L 0-2	1461	1514	48.6%	27.9%	23.5%	-25.0	17
1969-04-27	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1514	1461	23.5%	27.9%	48.6%	+25.0	29
1969-04-27	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1624	1780	35.3%	27.8%	36.9%	-28.1	35
1969-04-27	@ Fabril	W 3-0	1780	1624	36.9%	27.8%	35.3%	+28.1	48
1969-04-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1786	1636	67.2%	23.9%	9.0%	+3.1	52
1969-04-27	@ Porto	L 0-1	1636	1786	9.0%	23.9%	67.2%	-3.1	34
1969-04-27	Leixoes	W 1-0	1730	1551	69.2%	22.9%	7.9%	+2.7	41
1969-04-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1551	1730	7.9%	22.9%	69.2%	-2.7	28
1969-04-27	Benfica	L 0-4	1533	1828	19.5%	25.4%	55.0%	-22.6	28
1969-04-27	@ Uniao Tomar	W 4-0	1828	1533	55.0%	25.4%	19.5%	+22.6	55
1969-04-27	Sanjoanense	W 5-0	1754	1397	80.1%	16.4%	3.5%	+4.7	49
1969-04-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-5	1397	1754	3.5%	16.4%	80.1%	-4.7	12

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1969-01-26	6.95%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1449	3	@ Fabril	1656	1
2	1969-04-20	10.07%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1443	1	@ Leixoes	1568	0
3	1968-12-15	10.78%	Varzim	1452	3	@ Uniao Tomar	1563	1
4	1969-03-23	13.67%	Academica de Coimbra	1742	1	@ Porto	1802	0
5	1968-11-03	16.11%	Leixoes	1551	1	@ Braga	1577	0
6	1968-11-24	17.89%	Uniao Tomar	1566	2	@ Leixoes	1571	1
7	1968-11-24	19.80%	Porto	1748	4	@ Academica de Coimbra	1731	2
8	1969-03-30	21.02%	Vitoria Setubal	1768	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1739	0
9	1968-11-17	21.07%	Leixoes	1557	1	@ Sanjoanense	1527	0
10	1968-12-29	22.07%	Uniao Tomar	1528	1	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1488	0
11	1969-03-30	22.94%	Benfica	1806	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1758	0
12	1969-01-05	22.97%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1590	1	@ Uniao Tomar	1542	0
13	1969-01-19	23.09%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1603	4	@ Braga	1554	1
14	1969-04-27	23.49%	Varzim	1514	2	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1461	0
15	1969-03-23	24.10%	Varzim	1496	2	@ Sanjoanense	1437	1
16	1968-12-29	24.63%	@ Varzim	1487	2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1729	1
17	1969-03-16	27.06%	Braga	1520	2	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1437	1
18	1968-09-15	27.30%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1615	5	@ Varzim	1529	0
19	1968-11-24	27.91%	@ Fabril	1605	3	Benfica	1818	0
20	1969-01-26	28.17%	Vitoria Setubal	1727	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1634	0
21	1968-11-17	31.14%	@ Uniao Tomar	1556	2	Academica de Coimbra	1742	1
22	1968-12-22	31.45%	@ Leixoes	1556	1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1740	0
23	1969-02-02	31.84%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1611	3	@ Sanjoanense	1491	2
24	1968-12-29	33.22%	Fabril	1640	1	@ Sanjoanense	1510	0
25	1968-11-10	35.20%	Vitoria Setubal	1711	2	@ Leixoes	1567	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1968-09-15	54.34	Vitoria Guimaraes	5	1615	27.30%	@ Varzim	0	1529	44.66%
2	1968-11-24	33.63	@ Fabril	3	1605	27.91%	Benfica	0	1818	44.95%
3	1969-01-19	30.83	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1603	23.09%	@ Braga	1	1554	49.04%
4	1969-01-26	30.14	Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	1449	6.95%	@ Fabril	1	1656	71.02%
5	1969-02-02	28.98	Academica de Coimbra	4	1708	47.01%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1480	26.11%
6	1969-04-27	28.07	Vitoria Setubal	3	1780	36.89%	@ Fabril	0	1624	35.28%
7	1968-12-15	27.81	Varzim	3	1452	10.78%	@ Uniao Tomar	1	1563	64.20%
8	1969-03-30	25.25	Benfica	2	1806	22.94%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1758	49.20%
9	1969-04-27	24.98	Varzim	2	1514	23.49%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1461	48.61%
10	1969-01-26	22.86	Vitoria Setubal	2	1727	28.17%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1634	43.78%
11	1969-04-27	22.57	Benfica	4	1828	55.03%	@ Uniao Tomar	0	1533	19.54%
12	1969-03-30	22.46	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	4	1421	54.00%	Sanjoanense	0	1425	18.60%
13	1968-10-13	22.37	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1703	46.14%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1777	25.86%
14	1969-01-19	22.30	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	1699	46.83%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1472	26.27%
15	1969-03-23	21.66	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1717	41.08%	@ Braga	1	1532	31.38%
16	1968-11-24	20.77	Porto	4	1748	19.80%	@ Academica de Coimbra	2	1731	52.65%
17	1968-11-10	18.32	@ Sanjoanense	4	1508	47.14%	Uniao Tomar	1	1574	24.89%
18	1968-12-01	17.46	Porto	2	1769	41.65%	@ Uniao Tomar	0	1580	30.86%
19	1969-04-20	17.28	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1	1443	10.07%	@ Leixoes	0	1568	65.32%
20	1968-11-10	16.76	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	1488	36.78%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1633	35.31%
21	1968-11-10	16.08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1668	44.58%	Porto	0	1755	27.37%
22	1969-03-23	16.05	Academica de Coimbra	1	1742	13.67%	@ Porto	0	1802	60.07%
23	1969-03-16	15.93	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1736	44.94%	Benfica	0	1819	27.03%
24	1969-02-23	15.53	Vitoria Setubal	4	1754	53.18%	@ Sanjoanense	1	1476	20.99%
25	1968-11-03	15.28	Leixoes	1	1551	16.11%	@ Braga	0	1577	56.96%