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1969-70 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

46 points · 13th Title

Last Title: 1965-66

Relegated

Uniao Tomar

14 pts

Braga · 17 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

8.39 points above expected

46 points · 37.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Porto

5.32 points below expected

22 points · 27.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal Champion 26 21 4 1 46 61 17 +44 37.61 +8.39
2 Benfica 26 17 4 5 38 58 14 +44 36.75 +1.25
3 Vitoria Setubal 26 16 4 6 36 58 26 +32 33.97 +2.03
4 Barreirense 26 11 6 9 28 42 33 +9 23.23 +4.77
5 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 12 4 10 28 38 36 +2 28.99 -0.99
6 Varzim 26 10 8 8 28 31 26 +5 27.09 +0.91
7 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 9 5 12 23 23 34 -11 24.26 -1.26
8 Fabril 26 9 5 12 23 24 38 -14 20.56 +2.44
9 Porto 26 8 6 12 22 30 37 -7 27.32 -5.32
10 Academica de Coimbra 26 8 6 12 22 42 46 -4 25.63 -3.63
11 Leixoes 26 10 1 15 21 33 47 -14 22.09 -1.09
12 Boavista 26 6 6 14 18 35 61 -26 17.03 +0.97
13 Braga Relegated 26 6 5 15 17 25 52 -27 20.16 -3.16
14 Uniao Tomar Relegated 26 5 4 17 14 20 53 -33 19.31 -5.31

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 46 37.61 +8.39
2 Barreirense 28 23.23 +4.77
3 Fabril 23 20.56 +2.44
4 Vitoria Setubal 36 33.97 +2.03
5 Benfica 38 36.75 +1.25

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Porto 22 27.32 -5.32
2 Uniao Tomar 14 19.31 -5.31
3 Academica de Coimbra 22 25.63 -3.63
4 Braga 17 20.16 -3.16
5 Os Belenenses (1st) 23 24.26 -1.26

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fabril 3 Feb 8 – Mar 1 1 in 929
2 Braga 2 Mar 29 – Apr 5 1 in 24
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 6 Dec 28 – Feb 8 1 in 17
4 Vitoria Setubal 6 Jan 25 – Mar 8 1 in 15
5 Leixoes 3 Oct 19 – Nov 9 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Feb 22 – Mar 29 1 in 121
2 Academica de Coimbra 4 Dec 21 – Jan 18 1 in 87
3 Fabril 6 Sep 28 – Nov 22 1 in 49
4 Barreirense 4 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 22
5 Varzim 2 Mar 29 – Apr 5 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fabril 7 Feb 1 – Mar 29 1 in 131
2 Barreirense 6 Oct 26 – Dec 14 1 in 74
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 7 Dec 21 – Feb 8 1 in 57
4 Varzim 6 Sep 28 – Nov 22 1 in 29
5 Sporting Clube de Portugal 16 Dec 14 – Apr 19 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Uniao Tomar 10 Sep 20 – Dec 21 1 in 75
2 Porto 7 Feb 1 – Mar 29 1 in 45
3 Academica de Coimbra 8 Dec 14 – Feb 8 1 in 37
4 Benfica 3 Feb 8 – Mar 1 1 in 34
5 Varzim 4 Mar 29 – Apr 19 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1978 46 +51 10 7.8 +2.2
Benfica 1933 38 +65 10 7.6 +2.4
Vitoria Setubal 1952 36 +22 6 6.9 -0.9
Vitoria Guimaraes 1712 28 +12 7 6.0 +1.0
Barreirense 1683 28 +40 6 4.5 +1.5
Varzim 1626 28 -95 3 5.9 -2.9
Fabril 1572 23 -36 5 4.5 +0.5
Os Belenenses (1st) 1522 23 -32 2 3.8 -1.8
Academica de Coimbra 1617 22 -12 4 5.4 -1.4
Porto 1590 22 +23 3 3.3 -0.3
Leixoes 1544 21 -10 3 3.6 -0.6
Boavista 1511 18 +15 5 4.4 +0.6
Braga 1465 17 -1 4 3.7 +0.3
Uniao Tomar 1434 14 -41 2 2.6 -0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC BAR BEN BOA BRA FAB LEI OB( POR SCDP UT VAR VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
0-0-2
3.32
0-0-2
1.50
1-1-0
3.95
0-1-1
3.88
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
3.87
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.26
Barreirense
2-0-0
2.29
—
0-1-1
1.48
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
3.07
0-2-0
2.72
0-0-2
1.34
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
1.51
Benfica
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
4.13
—
1-1-0
4.75
2-0-0
4.62
1-0-1
4.15
1-0-1
4.01
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
4.31
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.63
1-0-1
3.04
Boavista
0-1-1
1.66
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
0.88
—
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
1.98
1-0-1
1.36
0-1-1
0.86
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
1.44
0-1-1
1.22
Braga
1-1-0
1.74
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.00
1-0-1
2.97
—
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.78
0-0-2
1.37
0-2-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
1.81
0-1-1
1.77
Fabril
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
1.47
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
2.97
—
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.15
0-1-1
3.09
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
1.29
Leixoes
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.89
—
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
0.99
2-0-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
1.49
Os Belenenses (1st)
0-0-2
3.16
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
3.63
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.38
—
0-2-0
2.39
0-0-2
1.08
1-0-1
3.56
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
2.47
1-0-1
1.22
Porto
1-1-0
3.22
0-2-0
2.89
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
4.26
1-1-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.60
1-0-1
3.06
0-2-0
3.22
—
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
3.87
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.22
Sporting Clube de Portugal
1-0-1
4.03
2-0-0
4.27
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
4.78
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
4.47
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
3.83
—
2-0-0
4.62
0-2-0
4.04
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
2.75
Uniao Tomar
1-0-1
1.74
0-1-1
2.43
0-0-2
0.88
1-0-1
3.21
0-2-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
1.74
0-0-2
1.00
—
0-0-2
1.98
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
1.06
Varzim
0-1-1
2.92
0-0-2
3.29
0-0-2
1.81
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.00
0-2-0
1.58
2-0-0
3.63
—
1-1-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.15
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
1.98
1-1-0
4.18
1-0-1
3.80
1-0-1
3.74
2-0-0
3.37
0-0-2
3.13
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
1.90
2-0-0
4.01
0-1-1
3.15
—
1-0-1
2.14
Vitoria Setubal
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
4.41
1-1-0
3.84
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.12
1-0-1
4.39
2-0-0
3.39
0-0-2
2.86
2-0-0
4.55
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.47
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +5.7
Allowed 0.81 -5.8
Differential 0.95 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.95%8.79%6.59%4.67%2.20%1.65%28.85%
18.79%9.34%8.24%2.47%1.65%1.92%32.42%
26.59%8.24%3.30%1.37%0.27%0.55%20.33%
34.67%2.47%1.37%1.10%0.27%—9.89%
42.20%1.65%0.27%0.27%——4.40%
5+1.65%1.92%0.55%———4.12%
Total28.85%32.42%20.33%9.89%4.40%4.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.22
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%—26.92%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
2—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
311.54%——7.69%——19.23%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%30.77%19.23%19.23%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.77 -0.15
SD 1.47 1.39 2.38
CV 0.91 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%——26.92%
17.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
211.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
33.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total30.77%34.62%15.38%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.27 +0.35
SD 1.42 1.19 2.02
CV 0.88 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
111.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
211.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+15.38%—————15.38%
Total57.69%30.77%11.54%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 0.54 +1.69
SD 2.03 0.71 2.43
CV 0.91 1.31 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—3.85%11.54%—3.85%26.92%
1—7.69%15.38%—7.69%—30.77%
27.69%—7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
3——11.54%———11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%11.54%38.46%15.38%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 2.35 -1.00
SD 1.13 1.83 2.30
CV 0.84 0.78 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%11.54%—3.85%3.85%26.92%
111.54%19.23%7.69%11.54%—7.69%57.69%
2—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%19.23%15.38%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 2.00 -1.04
SD 0.82 1.74 2.11
CV 0.86 0.87 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%15.38%3.85%7.69%—46.15%
115.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
2—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%34.62%23.08%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.46 -0.54
SD 1.13 1.21 1.70
CV 1.22 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
115.38%—3.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%38.46%
211.54%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%23.08%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total30.77%23.08%11.54%15.38%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.81 -0.54
SD 1.46 1.74 2.32
CV 1.15 0.96 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%—3.85%3.85%—30.77%
119.23%7.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%53.85%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%26.92%15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.31 -0.42
SD 0.77 1.46 1.75
CV 0.87 1.12 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%—3.85%34.62%
13.85%15.38%11.54%———30.77%
215.38%7.69%—3.85%——26.92%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%38.46%19.23%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.42 -0.27
SD 1.19 1.24 1.91
CV 1.03 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%——3.85%——11.54%
111.54%7.69%————19.23%
23.85%19.23%————23.08%
315.38%11.54%————26.92%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
Total46.15%46.15%3.85%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 0.65 +1.69
SD 1.50 0.75 1.67
CV 0.64 1.14 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%19.23%7.69%7.69%7.69%53.85%
13.85%7.69%15.38%———26.92%
2—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%—————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%23.08%42.31%7.69%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.04 -1.27
SD 1.07 1.46 2.11
CV 1.39 0.71 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
17.69%15.38%7.69%———30.77%
211.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total30.77%42.31%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.00 +0.19
SD 1.20 0.85 1.50
CV 1.01 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
17.69%7.69%11.54%—3.85%3.85%34.62%
27.69%15.38%————23.08%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+———————
Total30.77%34.62%19.23%3.85%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.38 +0.08
SD 1.21 1.47 2.15
CV 0.83 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
27.69%19.23%7.69%———34.62%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+3.85%7.69%————11.54%
Total30.77%42.31%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.00 +1.23
SD 1.68 0.85 2.20
CV 0.75 0.85 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1978 46 37.61 +8.39 100.0% 30 32 35 37 40 43 46
Vitoria Setubal 1952 36 33.97 +2.03 68.0% 21 28 31 33 37 41 46
Benfica 1933 38 36.75 +1.25 66.0% 27 31 34 37 39 43 45
Vitoria Guimaraes 1712 28 28.99 -0.99 46.0% 21 23 26 29 31 35 40
Barreirense 1683 28 23.23 +4.77 95.0% 10 17 21 23 25 28 33
Varzim 1626 28 27.09 +0.91 66.0% 18 22 25 27 29 33 35
Academica de Coimbra 1617 22 25.63 -3.63 22.0% 18 20 23 25 29 31 34
Porto 1590 22 27.32 -5.32 9.0% 20 21 25 27 30 33 35
Fabril 1572 23 20.56 +2.44 83.0% 12 14 18 21 23 26 27
Leixoes 1544 21 22.09 -1.09 41.0% 13 14 19 22 25 28 31
Os Belenenses (1st) 1522 23 24.26 -1.26 40.0% 13 18 22 24 27 31 35
Boavista 1511 18 17.03 +0.97 59.0% 7 10 14 17 20 23 26
Braga 1465 17 20.16 -3.16 23.0% 13 15 18 20 22 26 29
Uniao Tomar 1434 14 19.31 -5.31 10.0% 12 13 16 19 22 25 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21% * Slight Edge: 21% to 28% * Clear Edge: 28% to 34.5% * Strong Edge: 34.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+32.97%
Clear Edge
57.14%18.68%24.18%
Elo Value
Home Edge
170 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0118.98500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.90 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.70+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
Sporting Clube de Portugal, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.31/gm
Runaway
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.99 * Some Luck: 2.99 to 4.49 * Lucky: 4.49 to 5.98 * Wild Swing: 5.98 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.34 * Close: 1.34 to 2.01 * Off: 2.01 to 2.67 * Way Off: 2.67 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.92 * A Surprise: 0.92 to 1.47 * Several Surprises: 1.47 to 2.02 * Many Surprises: 2.02 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.68 points
Some Luck
03.749
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.57
Close
01.674
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Sporting Clube de Portugal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
9.00%
Porto
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.95 * Moderate Separation: 1.95 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 67.5% * Slight Edge: 67.5% to 73% * Clear Edge: 73% to 82% * Wide Edge: 82% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93.5% * Clear Edge: 93.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 97% * Dominant: 97% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 180.29
1.93
Coin-Flip Parity
11.952.252.75
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%67.5%82%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Some Drama
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.59 * Lopsided: 0.59 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Strong Carryover: 0.7 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 17% * Upset-Prone: 17% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.54
Notable Separation
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.11
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Some Carryover
00.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Upset-Prone
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Very Shaky
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1070.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sporting Clube de Portugal50.00%34.00%13.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%————————
Benfica35.00%36.00%20.00%8.00%1.00%—————————
Vitoria Setubal13.00%23.00%32.00%20.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%———1.00%———
Barreirense———4.00%5.00%10.00%12.00%17.00%18.00%8.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes2.00%2.00%15.00%20.00%20.00%18.00%6.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Varzim——7.00%12.00%20.00%20.00%18.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—
Os Belenenses (1st)——3.00%4.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%19.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%
Fabril————1.00%—6.00%6.00%13.00%20.00%13.00%20.00%13.00%8.00%
Porto—4.00%7.00%12.00%23.00%14.00%16.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%—1.00%—
Academica de Coimbra—1.00%3.00%15.00%10.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%
Leixoes———2.00%3.00%11.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%
Boavista——————1.00%3.00%1.00%5.00%14.00%17.00%17.00%42.00%
Braga———2.00%—3.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%4.00%16.00%25.00%21.00%11.00%
Uniao Tomar——————3.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%24.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Vitoria Guimaraes 100% —
Vitoria Setubal 100% —
Porto 99.00% 1.00%
Varzim 99.00% 1.00%
Academica de Coimbra 97.00% 3.00%
Os Belenenses (1st) 94.00% 6.00%
Barreirense 92.00% 8.00%
Leixoes 80.00% 20.00%
Fabril 79.00% 21.00%
Braga 68.00% 32.00%
Uniao Tomar 51.00% 49.00%
Boavista 41.00% 59.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1969-09-06 Barreirense L 1-371.7 1720 1510 74.70% 18.94% 6.36%+1.93 -57.9 0
1969-09-06 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-171.7 1510 1720 6.36% 18.94% 74.70%-1.93 +57.9 2
1969-09-06 Porto D 1-173.6 1657 1751 51.39% 19.81% 28.80%+0.14 -2.4 1
1969-09-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-173.6 1751 1657 28.80% 19.81% 51.39%-0.14 +2.4 1
1969-09-06 Vitoria Setubal D 2-278.1 1495 1780 26.18% 19.59% 54.23%-0.98 +2.2 1
1969-09-06 @ Boavista D 2-278.1 1780 1495 54.23% 19.59% 26.18%+0.98 -2.2 1
1969-09-06 Uniao Tomar L 1-271.2 1631 1570 66.63% 19.55% 13.82%+1.06 -29.6 0
1969-09-06 @ Fabril W 2-171.2 1570 1631 13.82% 19.55% 66.63%-1.06 +29.6 2
1969-09-06 Benfica W 2-058.7 1599 1796 37.39% 19.77% 42.84%-0.46 +39.0 2
1969-09-06 @ Leixoes L 0-258.7 1796 1599 42.84% 19.77% 37.39%+0.46 -39.0 0
1969-09-06 Braga W 4-044.1 1723 1553 72.98% 19.14% 7.88%+1.69 +16.7 2
1969-09-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-444.1 1553 1723 7.88% 19.14% 72.98%-1.69 -16.7 0
1969-09-06 Varzim D 0-069.0 1750 1602 71.95% 19.23% 8.81%+1.57 -8.3 1
1969-09-06 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-069.0 1602 1750 8.81% 19.23% 71.95%-1.57 +8.3 1
1969-09-14 Fabril L 3-476.0 1568 1601 58.36% 19.76% 21.89%+0.50 -23.9 2
1969-09-14 @ Barreirense W 4-376.0 1601 1568 21.89% 19.76% 58.36%-0.50 +23.9 2
1969-09-14 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-049.0 1757 1742 62.95% 19.67% 17.39%+0.79 +42.8 2
1969-09-14 @ Benfica L 0-549.0 1742 1757 17.39% 19.67% 62.95%-0.79 -42.8 1
1969-09-14 Leixoes W 3-157.2 1537 1638 50.59% 19.82% 29.60%+0.11 +25.0 2
1969-09-14 @ Braga L 1-357.2 1638 1537 29.60% 19.82% 50.59%-0.11 -25.0 2
1969-09-14 Academica de Coimbra D 3-383.5 1754 1662 68.69% 19.45% 11.86%+1.24 -4.1 2
1969-09-14 @ Porto D 3-383.5 1662 1754 11.86% 19.45% 68.69%-1.24 +4.1 1
1969-09-14 Boavista W 4-253.3 1599 1497 69.36% 19.42% 11.22%+1.30 +9.5 4
1969-09-14 @ Uniao Tomar L 2-453.3 1497 1599 11.22% 19.42% 69.36%-1.30 -9.5 1
1969-09-14 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-172.1 1611 1654 57.24% 19.77% 22.99%+0.44 -3.7 2
1969-09-14 @ Varzim D 1-172.1 1654 1611 22.99% 19.77% 57.24%-0.44 +3.8 2
1969-09-14 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-265.9 1778 1740 64.89% 19.61% 15.50%+0.92 -57.5 1
1969-09-14 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-065.9 1740 1778 15.50% 19.61% 64.89%-0.92 +57.5 4
1969-09-20 Varzim W 3-046.8 1666 1607 66.51% 19.55% 13.94%+1.05 +21.8 3
1969-09-20 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-346.8 1607 1666 13.94% 19.55% 66.51%-1.05 -21.8 2
1969-09-20 Benfica L 0-162.5 1658 1800 45.20% 19.81% 34.98%-0.14 -21.7 2
1969-09-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-062.5 1800 1658 34.98% 19.81% 45.20%+0.14 +21.7 4
1969-09-20 Barreirense W 3-258.6 1488 1544 55.84% 19.79% 24.37%+0.37 +11.6 3
1969-09-20 @ Boavista L 2-358.6 1544 1488 24.37% 19.79% 55.84%-0.37 -11.6 2
1969-09-20 Vitoria Setubal D 1-172.4 1562 1721 42.90% 19.81% 37.29%-0.23 -0.6 3
1969-09-20 @ Braga D 1-172.4 1721 1562 37.29% 19.81% 42.90%+0.23 +0.6 2
1969-09-20 Porto W 2-163.6 1625 1749 47.61% 19.82% 32.57%-0.03 +15.6 4
1969-09-20 @ Fabril L 1-263.6 1749 1625 32.57% 19.82% 47.61%+0.03 -15.6 2
1969-09-20 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-163.5 1613 1699 52.35% 19.81% 27.84%+0.19 -24.7 2
1969-09-20 @ Leixoes W 1-063.5 1699 1613 27.84% 19.81% 52.35%-0.19 +24.7 3
1969-09-20 Uniao Tomar W 5-045.2 1797 1609 73.82% 19.05% 7.13%+1.81 +18.7 6
1969-09-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-545.2 1609 1797 7.13% 19.05% 73.82%-1.81 -18.7 4
1969-09-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-351.5 1533 1816 26.42% 19.59% 53.98%-0.96 -38.0 2
1969-09-28 @ Barreirense W 3-051.5 1816 1533 53.98% 19.59% 26.42%+0.96 +38.0 8
1969-09-28 Academica de Coimbra W 3-047.2 1822 1688 71.19% 19.29% 9.52%+1.48 +15.3 6
1969-09-28 @ Benfica L 0-347.2 1688 1822 9.52% 19.29% 71.19%-1.48 -15.3 3
1969-09-28 Boavista W 2-153.3 1734 1500 75.62% 18.81% 5.57%+2.08 +3.1 4
1969-09-28 @ Porto L 1-253.3 1500 1734 5.57% 18.81% 75.62%-2.08 -3.2 3
1969-09-28 Braga D 1-169.7 1590 1561 64.12% 19.64% 16.25%+0.87 -5.4 5
1969-09-28 @ Uniao Tomar D 1-169.7 1561 1590 16.25% 19.64% 64.12%-0.87 +5.4 4
1969-09-28 Fabril W 2-051.1 1585 1641 55.91% 19.79% 24.31%+0.37 +24.5 4
1969-09-28 @ Varzim L 0-251.1 1641 1585 24.31% 19.79% 55.91%-0.37 -24.5 4
1969-09-28 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-274.1 1724 1636 68.46% 19.46% 12.07%+1.21 -30.4 3
1969-09-28 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-174.1 1636 1724 12.07% 19.46% 68.46%-1.21 +30.4 4
1969-09-28 Leixoes W 2-155.8 1721 1588 71.16% 19.30% 9.55%+1.48 +5.3 4
1969-09-28 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-255.8 1588 1721 9.55% 19.30% 71.16%-1.48 -5.3 2
1969-10-19 Vitoria Guimaraes D 3-383.1 1673 1694 59.60% 19.74% 20.66%+0.58 -2.7 4
1969-10-19 @ Academica de Coimbra D 3-383.1 1694 1673 20.66% 19.74% 59.60%-0.58 +2.7 4
1969-10-19 Varzim L 1-263.4 1496 1609 49.04% 19.82% 31.14%+0.03 -21.9 3
1969-10-19 @ Boavista W 2-163.4 1609 1496 31.14% 19.82% 49.04%-0.03 +22.0 6
1969-10-19 Barreirense W 1-045.6 1567 1495 67.39% 19.52% 13.09%+1.12 +7.5 6
1969-10-19 @ Braga L 0-145.6 1495 1567 13.09% 19.52% 67.39%-1.12 -7.5 2
1969-10-19 Benfica L 0-256.5 1616 1837 34.25% 19.73% 46.01%-0.60 -32.5 4
1969-10-19 @ Fabril W 2-056.5 1837 1616 46.01% 19.73% 34.25%+0.60 +32.5 8
1969-10-19 Os Belenenses (1st) W 5-153.8 1583 1667 52.67% 19.81% 27.52%+0.21 +43.0 4
1969-10-19 @ Leixoes L 1-553.8 1667 1583 27.52% 19.81% 52.67%-0.21 -43.0 4
1969-10-19 Porto W 2-157.7 1854 1737 70.26% 19.36% 10.38%+1.39 +5.7 10
1969-10-19 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-257.7 1737 1854 10.38% 19.36% 70.26%-1.39 -5.7 4
1969-10-19 Uniao Tomar W 2-047.7 1726 1585 71.61% 19.26% 9.13%+1.53 +10.1 6
1969-10-19 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-247.7 1585 1726 9.13% 19.26% 71.61%-1.53 -10.1 5
1969-10-26 Vitoria Setubal W 2-058.6 1487 1737 30.51% 19.68% 49.82%-0.77 +44.5 4
1969-10-26 @ Barreirense L 0-258.6 1737 1487 49.82% 19.68% 30.51%+0.77 -44.5 6
1969-10-26 Academica de Coimbra L 1-270.0 1624 1670 56.95% 19.77% 23.27%+0.43 -25.2 4
1969-10-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-170.0 1670 1624 23.27% 19.77% 56.95%-0.43 +25.2 6
1969-10-26 Boavista W 8-044.1 1870 1474 79.91% 17.76% 2.33%+3.02 +9.6 10
1969-10-26 @ Benfica L 0-844.1 1474 1870 2.33% 17.76% 79.91%-3.02 -9.6 3
1969-10-26 Braga W 2-047.4 1731 1574 72.39% 19.19% 8.41%+1.62 +9.4 6
1969-10-26 @ Porto L 0-247.4 1574 1731 8.41% 19.19% 72.39%-1.62 -9.4 6
1969-10-26 Leixoes L 0-162.8 1575 1626 56.44% 19.78% 23.78%+0.40 -26.5 5
1969-10-26 @ Uniao Tomar W 1-062.8 1626 1575 23.78% 19.78% 56.44%-0.40 +26.5 6
1969-10-26 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-069.7 1631 1860 33.23% 19.72% 47.05%-0.64 +1.6 7
1969-10-26 @ Varzim D 0-069.7 1860 1631 47.05% 19.72% 33.23%+0.64 -1.6 11
1969-10-26 Fabril W 4-045.1 1696 1584 69.99% 19.38% 10.63%+1.36 +22.2 6
1969-10-26 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-445.1 1584 1696 10.63% 19.38% 69.99%-1.36 -22.2 4
1969-11-09 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-170.5 1465 1718 29.96% 19.67% 50.38%-0.79 +2.2 4
1969-11-09 @ Boavista D 1-170.5 1718 1465 50.38% 19.67% 29.96%+0.79 -2.2 7
1969-11-09 Varzim L 1-267.6 1565 1633 54.52% 19.80% 25.68%+0.30 -24.2 6
1969-11-09 @ Braga W 2-167.6 1633 1565 25.68% 19.80% 54.52%-0.30 +24.2 9
1969-11-09 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-259.6 1562 1599 57.97% 19.76% 22.26%+0.48 -51.3 4
1969-11-09 @ Fabril W 2-059.6 1599 1562 22.26% 19.76% 57.97%-0.48 +51.3 6
1969-11-09 Academica de Coimbra W 1-055.0 1652 1695 57.30% 19.77% 22.93%+0.45 +12.3 8
1969-11-09 @ Leixoes L 0-155.0 1695 1652 22.93% 19.77% 57.30%-0.45 -12.4 6
1969-11-09 Benfica W 1-055.6 1858 1879 59.56% 19.74% 20.70%+0.57 +11.3 13
1969-11-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-155.6 1879 1858 20.70% 19.74% 59.56%-0.57 -11.3 10
1969-11-09 Barreirense D 2-273.2 1548 1532 63.06% 19.67% 17.28%+0.80 -3.8 6
1969-11-09 @ Uniao Tomar D 2-273.2 1532 1548 17.28% 19.67% 63.06%-0.80 +3.8 5
1969-11-09 Porto W 5-050.5 1692 1741 56.72% 19.78% 23.50%+0.41 +55.6 8
1969-11-09 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-550.5 1741 1692 23.50% 19.78% 56.72%-0.41 -55.6 6
1969-11-16 Fabril W 1-047.8 1683 1510 73.13% 19.12% 7.75%+1.71 +4.6 8
1969-11-16 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-147.8 1510 1683 7.75% 19.12% 73.13%-1.71 -4.6 4
1969-11-16 Leixoes W 4-050.5 1536 1665 46.95% 19.82% 33.23%-0.06 +60.3 7
1969-11-16 @ Barreirense L 0-450.5 1665 1536 33.23% 19.82% 46.95%+0.06 -60.3 8
1969-11-16 Boavista W 3-041.1 1650 1467 73.59% 19.07% 7.34%+1.77 +11.9 8
1969-11-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-341.1 1467 1650 7.34% 19.07% 73.59%-1.77 -11.9 4
1969-11-16 Braga W 5-043.9 1868 1541 78.38% 18.24% 3.38%+2.62 +8.9 12
1969-11-16 @ Benfica L 0-543.9 1541 1868 3.38% 18.24% 78.38%-2.62 -8.9 6
1969-11-16 Uniao Tomar W 2-046.4 1685 1544 71.57% 19.26% 9.17%+1.53 +10.2 8
1969-11-16 @ Porto L 0-246.4 1544 1685 9.17% 19.26% 71.57%-1.53 -10.2 6
1969-11-16 Vitoria Setubal D 1-173.6 1657 1748 51.89% 19.81% 28.30%+0.17 -2.5 10
1969-11-16 @ Varzim D 1-173.6 1748 1657 28.30% 19.81% 51.89%-0.17 +2.5 9
1969-11-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-267.8 1716 1869 43.70% 19.81% 36.49%-0.20 -19.9 7
1969-11-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-167.8 1869 1716 36.49% 19.81% 43.70%+0.20 +19.9 15
1969-11-22 Porto D 1-172.5 1596 1695 50.79% 19.82% 29.39%+0.12 -2.3 8
1969-11-22 @ Barreirense D 1-172.5 1695 1596 29.39% 19.82% 50.79%-0.12 +2.3 9
1969-11-22 Academica de Coimbra D 2-275.2 1455 1688 32.65% 19.71% 47.64%-0.67 +1.2 5
1969-11-22 @ Boavista D 2-275.2 1688 1455 47.64% 19.71% 32.65%+0.67 -1.2 9
1969-11-22 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-163.3 1532 1696 42.05% 19.80% 38.15%-0.27 +17.8 8
1969-11-22 @ Braga L 1-263.3 1696 1532 38.15% 19.80% 42.05%+0.27 -17.8 7
1969-11-22 Fabril W 1-046.7 1604 1506 69.14% 19.43% 11.43%+1.28 +6.6 10
1969-11-22 @ Leixoes L 0-146.7 1506 1604 11.43% 19.43% 69.14%-1.28 -6.6 4
1969-11-22 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-156.0 1889 1662 75.37% 18.85% 5.79%+2.03 +3.3 17
1969-11-22 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-256.0 1662 1889 5.79% 18.85% 75.37%-2.03 -3.3 8
1969-11-22 Varzim L 0-257.4 1534 1655 48.07% 19.82% 32.11%-0.01 -43.1 6
1969-11-22 @ Uniao Tomar W 2-057.4 1655 1534 32.11% 19.82% 48.07%+0.01 +43.1 12
1969-11-22 Benfica W 1-059.2 1750 1877 47.28% 19.82% 32.90%-0.04 +16.7 11
1969-11-22 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-159.2 1877 1750 32.90% 19.82% 47.28%+0.04 -16.7 12
1969-11-30 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-057.9 1686 1892 36.24% 19.76% 44.01%-0.51 +58.0 11
1969-11-30 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-357.9 1892 1686 44.01% 19.76% 36.24%+0.51 -58.0 17
1969-11-30 Braga W 1-049.2 1659 1549 69.79% 19.39% 10.82%+1.34 +6.3 10
1969-11-30 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-149.2 1549 1659 10.82% 19.39% 69.79%-1.34 -6.3 8
1969-11-30 Uniao Tomar W 6-043.5 1860 1491 79.36% 17.95% 2.69%+2.87 +8.4 14
1969-11-30 @ Benfica L 0-643.5 1491 1860 2.69% 17.95% 79.36%-2.87 -8.4 6
1969-11-30 Boavista W 2-147.7 1499 1456 65.25% 19.60% 15.15%+0.95 +8.1 6
1969-11-30 @ Fabril L 1-247.7 1456 1499 15.15% 19.60% 65.25%-0.95 -8.1 5
1969-11-30 Leixoes W 5-150.0 1697 1611 68.38% 19.47% 12.15%+1.21 +20.9 11
1969-11-30 @ Porto L 1-550.0 1611 1697 12.15% 19.47% 68.38%-1.21 -20.9 10
1969-11-30 Barreirense L 1-273.6 1698 1594 69.50% 19.41% 11.09%+1.31 -30.9 12
1969-11-30 @ Varzim W 2-173.6 1594 1698 11.09% 19.41% 69.50%-1.31 +30.9 10
1969-11-30 Vitoria Setubal W 2-162.6 1679 1767 52.16% 19.81% 28.03%+0.18 +13.8 9
1969-11-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-262.6 1767 1679 28.03% 19.81% 52.16%-0.18 -13.8 11
1969-12-14 Benfica D 2-279.8 1624 1869 31.18% 19.69% 49.14%-0.73 +1.4 11
1969-12-14 @ Barreirense D 2-279.8 1869 1624 49.14% 19.69% 31.18%+0.73 -1.4 15
1969-12-14 Academica de Coimbra D 1-172.5 1543 1744 36.88% 19.76% 43.36%-0.48 +0.7 9
1969-12-14 @ Braga D 1-172.5 1744 1543 43.36% 19.76% 36.88%+0.48 -0.7 12
1969-12-14 Boavista W 6-244.0 1590 1448 71.63% 19.26% 9.11%+1.53 +13.6 12
1969-12-14 @ Leixoes L 2-644.0 1448 1590 9.11% 19.26% 71.63%-1.53 -13.6 5
1969-12-14 Varzim L 0-168.2 1718 1667 65.90% 19.58% 14.52%+1.00 -31.0 11
1969-12-14 @ Porto W 1-068.2 1667 1718 14.52% 19.58% 65.90%-1.00 +31.0 14
1969-12-14 Fabril W 3-044.1 1834 1507 78.38% 18.24% 3.38%+2.62 +5.5 19
1969-12-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-344.1 1507 1834 3.38% 18.24% 78.38%-2.62 -5.5 6
1969-12-14 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-261.4 1483 1692 35.69% 19.75% 44.56%-0.53 -16.8 6
1969-12-14 @ Uniao Tomar W 2-161.4 1692 1483 44.56% 19.75% 35.69%+0.53 +16.8 11
1969-12-14 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-046.9 1753 1665 68.49% 19.46% 12.04%+1.22 +24.9 13
1969-12-14 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-446.9 1665 1753 12.04% 19.46% 68.49%-1.22 -24.9 10
1969-12-21 Vitoria Setubal L 0-362.0 1744 1778 58.24% 19.76% 22.00%+0.50 -74.9 12
1969-12-21 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-062.0 1778 1744 22.00% 19.76% 58.24%-0.50 +74.9 15
1969-12-21 Uniao Tomar W 2-150.8 1640 1466 73.20% 19.12% 7.68%+1.72 +4.3 12
1969-12-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-250.8 1466 1640 7.68% 19.12% 73.20%-1.72 -4.3 6
1969-12-21 Porto W 2-048.6 1867 1687 73.45% 19.09% 7.46%+1.75 +8.4 17
1969-12-21 @ Benfica L 0-248.6 1687 1867 7.46% 19.09% 73.45%-1.75 -8.3 11
1969-12-21 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-068.1 1435 1840 14.89% 19.15% 65.97%-1.68 +6.5 6
1969-12-21 @ Boavista D 0-068.1 1840 1435 65.97% 19.15% 14.89%+1.68 -6.5 20
1969-12-21 Braga W 3-151.1 1502 1544 57.42% 19.77% 22.81%+0.45 +20.1 8
1969-12-21 @ Fabril L 1-351.1 1544 1502 22.81% 19.77% 57.42%-0.45 -20.1 9
1969-12-21 Varzim L 0-163.1 1604 1698 51.41% 19.81% 28.77%+0.14 -24.3 12
1969-12-21 @ Leixoes W 1-063.1 1698 1604 28.77% 19.81% 51.41%-0.14 +24.3 16
1969-12-21 Barreirense W 3-047.1 1709 1626 68.17% 19.48% 12.35%+1.19 +19.5 13
1969-12-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-347.1 1626 1709 12.35% 19.48% 68.17%-1.19 -19.5 11
1969-12-28 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-067.5 1606 1644 57.86% 19.76% 22.37%+0.48 -4.4 12
1969-12-28 @ Barreirense D 0-067.5 1644 1606 22.37% 19.76% 57.86%-0.48 +4.3 13
1969-12-28 Boavista W 3-037.3 1524 1441 68.12% 19.48% 12.39%+1.18 +19.6 11
1969-12-28 @ Braga L 0-337.3 1441 1524 12.39% 19.48% 68.12%-1.18 -19.5 6
1969-12-28 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-055.7 1679 1729 56.58% 19.78% 23.64%+0.41 +12.7 13
1969-12-28 @ Porto L 0-155.7 1729 1679 23.64% 19.78% 56.58%-0.41 -12.7 13
1969-12-28 Leixoes W 4-150.4 1833 1579 76.29% 18.70% 5.01%+2.19 +6.9 22
1969-12-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-450.4 1579 1833 5.01% 18.70% 76.29%-2.19 -6.9 12
1969-12-28 Academica de Coimbra W 1-057.3 1461 1669 36.02% 19.75% 44.22%-0.52 +21.3 8
1969-12-28 @ Uniao Tomar L 0-157.3 1669 1461 44.22% 19.75% 36.02%+0.52 -21.3 12
1969-12-28 Benfica L 0-162.4 1722 1875 43.66% 19.81% 36.53%-0.20 -21.0 16
1969-12-28 @ Varzim W 1-062.4 1875 1722 36.53% 19.81% 43.66%+0.20 +21.0 19
1969-12-28 Fabril D 2-279.6 1853 1522 78.48% 18.21% 3.31%+2.64 -6.8 16
1969-12-28 @ Vitoria Setubal D 2-279.6 1522 1853 3.31% 18.21% 78.48%-2.64 +6.8 9
1970-01-04 Academica de Coimbra W 4-154.4 1602 1648 57.04% 19.77% 23.19%+0.43 +28.8 14
1970-01-04 @ Barreirense L 1-454.4 1648 1602 23.19% 19.77% 57.04%-0.43 -28.8 12
1970-01-04 Leixoes W 3-045.0 1896 1572 78.31% 18.26% 3.43%+2.60 +5.6 21
1970-01-04 @ Benfica L 0-345.0 1572 1896 3.43% 18.26% 78.31%-2.60 -5.6 12
1970-01-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-358.9 1543 1840 24.84% 19.55% 55.61%-1.05 -21.5 11
1970-01-04 @ Braga W 3-158.9 1840 1543 55.61% 19.55% 24.84%+1.05 +21.5 24
1970-01-04 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-068.8 1692 1649 65.26% 19.60% 15.14%+0.95 -6.4 14
1970-01-04 @ Porto D 0-068.8 1649 1692 15.14% 19.60% 65.26%-0.95 +6.4 14
1970-01-04 Fabril D 0-060.6 1483 1529 57.00% 19.77% 23.22%+0.43 -4.1 9
1970-01-04 @ Uniao Tomar D 0-060.6 1529 1483 23.22% 19.77% 57.00%-0.43 +4.1 10
1970-01-04 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-155.3 1701 1716 60.17% 19.73% 20.10%+0.61 +25.4 18
1970-01-04 @ Varzim L 1-455.3 1716 1701 20.10% 19.73% 60.17%-0.61 -25.5 13
1970-01-04 Boavista W 2-152.5 1846 1422 80.47% 17.54% 1.99%+3.19 +1.1 18
1970-01-04 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-252.5 1422 1846 1.99% 17.54% 80.47%-3.19 -1.1 6
1970-01-18 Porto L 1-269.5 1619 1685 54.73% 19.80% 25.48%+0.31 -24.3 12
1970-01-18 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-169.5 1685 1619 25.48% 19.80% 54.73%-0.31 +24.3 16
1970-01-18 Varzim W 1-056.3 1655 1727 54.13% 19.80% 26.07%+0.28 +13.8 16
1970-01-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-156.3 1727 1655 26.07% 19.80% 54.13%-0.28 -13.8 18
1970-01-18 Uniao Tomar W 2-040.6 1420 1479 55.66% 19.79% 24.55%+0.36 +24.7 8
1970-01-18 @ Boavista L 0-240.6 1479 1420 24.55% 19.79% 55.66%-0.36 -24.7 9
1970-01-18 Barreirense L 0-160.3 1533 1631 50.95% 19.81% 29.24%+0.12 -24.1 10
1970-01-18 @ Fabril W 1-060.3 1631 1533 29.24% 19.81% 50.95%-0.12 +24.1 16
1970-01-18 Braga W 2-152.6 1567 1522 65.40% 19.60% 15.01%+0.96 +8.0 14
1970-01-18 @ Leixoes L 1-252.6 1522 1567 15.01% 19.60% 65.40%-0.96 -8.0 11
1970-01-18 Vitoria Setubal W 3-157.7 1862 1847 62.91% 19.67% 17.42%+0.79 +15.9 26
1970-01-18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-357.7 1847 1862 17.42% 19.67% 62.91%-0.79 -15.9 18
1970-01-18 Benfica W 2-168.1 1691 1902 35.48% 19.75% 44.77%-0.54 +20.2 15
1970-01-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-268.1 1902 1691 44.77% 19.75% 35.48%+0.54 -20.2 21
1970-01-25 Boavista W 2-042.1 1655 1445 74.71% 18.94% 6.36%+1.93 +7.1 18
1970-01-25 @ Barreirense L 0-242.1 1445 1655 6.36% 18.94% 74.71%-1.93 -7.1 8
1970-01-25 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-070.1 1882 1669 74.83% 18.92% 6.24%+1.95 -9.2 22
1970-01-25 @ Benfica D 0-070.1 1669 1882 6.24% 18.92% 74.83%-1.95 +9.2 17
1970-01-25 Fabril W 2-045.4 1710 1509 74.35% 18.99% 6.67%+1.88 +7.5 18
1970-01-25 @ Porto L 0-245.4 1509 1710 6.67% 18.99% 74.35%-1.88 -7.5 10
1970-01-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-347.3 1454 1878 13.58% 19.06% 67.36%-1.79 -21.0 9
1970-01-25 @ Uniao Tomar W 3-047.3 1878 1454 67.36% 19.06% 13.58%+1.79 +21.0 28
1970-01-25 Academica de Coimbra D 2-278.6 1713 1595 70.33% 19.35% 10.32%+1.39 -5.2 19
1970-01-25 @ Varzim D 2-278.6 1595 1713 10.32% 19.35% 70.33%-1.39 +5.2 13
1970-01-25 Leixoes W 2-047.4 1711 1575 71.33% 19.28% 9.39%+1.50 +10.4 17
1970-01-25 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-247.4 1575 1711 9.39% 19.28% 71.33%-1.50 -10.4 14
1970-01-25 Braga W 7-145.7 1831 1514 78.14% 18.30% 3.56%+2.56 +9.2 20
1970-01-25 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-745.7 1514 1831 3.56% 18.30% 78.14%-2.56 -9.2 11
1970-02-01 Benfica L 0-254.5 1600 1873 27.62% 19.62% 52.76%-0.90 -27.2 13
1970-02-01 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-054.5 1873 1600 52.76% 19.62% 27.62%+0.90 +27.2 24
1970-02-01 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-055.4 1678 1721 57.27% 19.77% 22.96%+0.44 +12.4 19
1970-02-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-155.4 1721 1678 22.96% 19.77% 57.27%-0.44 -12.4 17
1970-02-01 Porto W 3-271.3 1438 1717 26.88% 19.61% 53.51%-0.94 +22.5 10
1970-02-01 @ Boavista L 2-371.3 1717 1438 53.51% 19.61% 26.88%+0.94 -22.5 18
1970-02-01 Uniao Tomar D 1-162.3 1505 1433 67.38% 19.52% 13.11%+1.12 -6.3 12
1970-02-01 @ Braga D 1-162.3 1433 1505 13.11% 19.52% 67.38%-1.12 +6.2 10
1970-02-01 Varzim D 1-171.1 1501 1708 36.18% 19.75% 44.07%-0.51 +0.8 11
1970-02-01 @ Fabril D 1-171.1 1708 1501 44.07% 19.75% 36.18%+0.51 -0.8 20
1970-02-01 Vitoria Setubal L 1-359.8 1564 1841 27.22% 19.61% 53.16%-0.92 -23.3 14
1970-02-01 @ Leixoes W 3-159.8 1841 1564 53.16% 19.61% 27.22%+0.92 +23.3 22
1970-02-01 Barreirense W 1-050.6 1899 1662 75.70% 18.80% 5.50%+2.09 +3.3 30
1970-02-01 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-150.6 1662 1899 5.50% 18.80% 75.70%-2.09 -3.3 18
1970-02-08 Braga W 5-145.8 1659 1498 72.56% 19.18% 8.26%+1.64 +14.6 20
1970-02-08 @ Barreirense L 1-545.8 1498 1659 8.26% 19.18% 72.56%-1.64 -14.6 12
1970-02-08 Leixoes W 1-049.0 1690 1541 72.00% 19.23% 8.77%+1.58 +5.2 21
1970-02-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-149.0 1541 1690 8.77% 19.23% 72.00%-1.58 -5.2 14
1970-02-08 Fabril L 0-171.9 1900 1502 79.96% 17.74% 2.30%+3.04 -37.9 24
1970-02-08 @ Benfica W 1-071.9 1502 1900 2.30% 17.74% 79.96%-3.04 +37.9 13
1970-02-08 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-160.1 1695 1902 36.01% 19.75% 44.23%-0.52 -18.0 18
1970-02-08 @ Porto W 1-060.1 1902 1695 44.23% 19.75% 36.01%+0.52 +18.0 32
1970-02-08 Vitoria Setubal L 1-256.9 1439 1864 13.52% 19.06% 67.42%-1.80 -7.2 10
1970-02-08 @ Uniao Tomar W 2-156.9 1864 1439 67.42% 19.06% 13.52%+1.80 +7.2 24
1970-02-08 Boavista W 4-146.9 1707 1460 76.03% 18.74% 5.23%+2.15 +7.2 22
1970-02-08 @ Varzim L 1-446.9 1460 1707 5.23% 18.74% 76.03%-2.15 -7.2 10
1970-02-08 Academica de Coimbra W 4-044.7 1709 1573 71.33% 19.28% 9.38%+1.50 +19.7 19
1970-02-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-444.7 1573 1709 9.38% 19.28% 71.33%-1.50 -19.7 13
1970-02-22 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-052.8 1553 1695 45.14% 19.81% 35.04%-0.14 +48.2 15
1970-02-22 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-352.8 1695 1553 35.04% 19.81% 45.14%+0.14 -48.2 21
1970-02-22 Benfica D 1-173.0 1453 1862 14.64% 19.13% 66.23%-1.70 +5.9 11
1970-02-22 @ Boavista D 1-173.0 1862 1453 66.23% 19.13% 14.64%+1.70 -5.9 25
1970-02-22 Porto D 1-169.9 1484 1677 38.07% 19.77% 42.16%-0.43 +0.4 13
1970-02-22 @ Braga D 1-169.9 1677 1484 42.16% 19.77% 38.07%+0.43 -0.4 19
1970-02-22 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-059.6 1540 1729 38.63% 19.78% 41.59%-0.41 +20.2 15
1970-02-22 @ Fabril L 0-159.6 1729 1540 41.59% 19.78% 38.63%+0.41 -20.2 19
1970-02-22 Uniao Tomar W 1-041.5 1536 1432 69.49% 19.41% 11.10%+1.31 +6.4 16
1970-02-22 @ Leixoes L 0-141.5 1432 1536 11.10% 19.41% 69.49%-1.31 -6.4 10
1970-02-22 Varzim D 1-174.6 1920 1714 74.56% 18.96% 6.48%+1.91 -8.1 33
1970-02-22 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-174.6 1714 1920 6.48% 18.96% 74.56%-1.91 +8.1 23
1970-02-22 Barreirense W 2-156.4 1871 1673 74.22% 19.00% 6.78%+1.86 +3.8 26
1970-02-22 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-256.4 1673 1871 6.78% 19.00% 74.22%-1.86 -3.8 20
1970-03-01 Leixoes W 5-147.3 1601 1542 66.45% 19.56% 14.00%+1.04 +23.8 17
1970-03-01 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-547.3 1542 1601 14.00% 19.56% 66.45%-1.04 -23.8 16
1970-03-01 Uniao Tomar W 3-039.7 1670 1425 75.96% 18.75% 5.29%+2.13 +8.7 22
1970-03-01 @ Barreirense L 0-339.7 1425 1670 5.29% 18.75% 75.96%-2.13 -8.7 10
1970-03-01 Fabril L 1-369.5 1647 1560 68.42% 19.47% 12.11%+1.21 -52.7 21
1970-03-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-169.5 1560 1647 12.11% 19.47% 68.42%-1.21 +52.7 17
1970-03-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-174.5 1856 1912 55.92% 19.78% 24.30%+0.37 -3.4 26
1970-03-01 @ Benfica D 1-174.5 1912 1856 24.30% 19.78% 55.92%-0.37 +3.4 34
1970-03-01 Vitoria Setubal L 0-355.8 1676 1875 37.24% 19.77% 42.99%-0.47 -50.6 19
1970-03-01 @ Porto W 3-055.8 1875 1676 42.99% 19.77% 37.24%+0.47 +50.6 28
1970-03-01 Braga W 3-257.9 1722 1484 75.75% 18.79% 5.47%+2.10 +2.9 25
1970-03-01 @ Varzim L 2-357.9 1484 1722 5.47% 18.79% 75.75%-2.10 -2.9 13
1970-03-01 Boavista W 3-256.9 1708 1459 76.14% 18.72% 5.14%+2.16 +2.8 21
1970-03-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-356.9 1459 1708 5.14% 18.72% 76.14%-2.16 -2.8 11
1970-03-08 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-152.4 1456 1595 45.72% 19.82% 34.46%-0.11 +40.1 13
1970-03-08 @ Boavista L 1-452.4 1595 1456 34.46% 19.82% 45.72%+0.11 -40.1 21
1970-03-08 Benfica L 1-356.2 1481 1853 17.58% 19.29% 63.13%-1.48 -15.9 13
1970-03-08 @ Braga W 3-156.2 1853 1481 63.13% 19.29% 17.58%+1.48 +15.9 28
1970-03-08 Academica de Coimbra D 1-171.7 1613 1625 60.44% 19.72% 19.83%+0.63 -4.5 18
1970-03-08 @ Fabril D 1-171.7 1625 1613 19.83% 19.72% 60.44%-0.63 +4.5 18
1970-03-08 Barreirense W 2-054.4 1519 1678 42.77% 19.80% 37.42%-0.24 +35.0 18
1970-03-08 @ Leixoes L 0-254.4 1678 1519 37.42% 19.80% 42.77%+0.24 -35.0 22
1970-03-08 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-149.8 1915 1711 74.48% 18.97% 6.55%+1.90 +11.6 36
1970-03-08 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-549.8 1711 1915 6.55% 18.97% 74.48%-1.90 -11.7 21
1970-03-08 Porto W 3-049.8 1417 1626 35.85% 19.75% 44.40%-0.53 +58.4 12
1970-03-08 @ Uniao Tomar L 0-349.8 1626 1417 44.40% 19.75% 35.85%+0.53 -58.4 19
1970-03-08 Varzim W 2-156.5 1925 1725 74.33% 18.99% 6.68%+1.88 +3.8 30
1970-03-08 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-256.5 1725 1925 6.68% 18.99% 74.33%-1.88 -3.8 25
1970-03-15 Boavista W 4-147.2 1629 1496 71.16% 19.30% 9.55%+1.48 +12.9 20
1970-03-15 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-447.2 1496 1629 9.55% 19.30% 71.16%-1.48 -12.9 13
1970-03-15 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-259.5 1554 1927 17.48% 19.29% 63.23%-1.49 -9.1 21
1970-03-15 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-159.5 1927 1554 63.23% 19.29% 17.48%+1.49 +9.1 38
1970-03-15 Vitoria Setubal W 2-162.3 1869 1929 55.38% 19.79% 24.83%+0.34 +12.5 30
1970-03-15 @ Benfica L 1-262.3 1929 1869 24.83% 19.79% 55.38%-0.34 -12.5 30
1970-03-15 Leixoes W 1-049.2 1608 1554 66.14% 19.57% 14.29%+1.02 +8.1 20
1970-03-15 @ Fabril L 0-149.2 1554 1608 14.29% 19.57% 66.14%-1.02 -8.1 18
1970-03-15 Barreirense D 1-171.1 1567 1643 53.60% 19.80% 26.59%+0.25 -2.9 20
1970-03-15 @ Porto D 1-171.1 1643 1567 26.59% 19.80% 53.60%-0.25 +2.9 23
1970-03-15 Uniao Tomar W 2-044.4 1721 1475 76.03% 18.74% 5.23%+2.14 +5.9 27
1970-03-15 @ Varzim L 0-244.4 1475 1721 5.23% 18.74% 76.03%-2.14 -5.9 12
1970-03-15 Braga W 2-043.7 1700 1465 75.61% 18.81% 5.58%+2.07 +6.3 23
1970-03-15 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-243.7 1465 1700 5.58% 18.81% 75.61%-2.07 -6.3 13
1970-03-29 Varzim W 2-053.9 1646 1727 53.02% 19.81% 27.18%+0.22 +26.9 25
1970-03-29 @ Barreirense L 0-253.9 1727 1646 27.18% 19.81% 53.02%-0.22 -26.9 27
1970-03-29 Fabril D 0-063.7 1483 1616 46.44% 19.82% 33.74%-0.08 -1.5 14
1970-03-29 @ Boavista D 0-063.7 1616 1483 33.74% 19.82% 46.44%+0.08 +1.5 21
1970-03-29 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-048.0 1459 1545 52.39% 19.81% 27.80%+0.19 +14.5 15
1970-03-29 @ Braga L 0-148.0 1545 1459 27.80% 19.81% 52.39%-0.19 -14.5 21
1970-03-29 Porto W 2-046.9 1545 1564 59.80% 19.73% 20.46%+0.59 +21.1 20
1970-03-29 @ Leixoes L 0-246.9 1564 1545 20.46% 19.73% 59.80%-0.59 -21.1 20
1970-03-29 Academica de Coimbra W 2-155.5 1936 1642 77.50% 18.46% 4.05%+2.42 +2.3 40
1970-03-29 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-255.5 1642 1936 4.05% 18.46% 77.50%-2.42 -2.3 20
1970-03-29 Benfica L 0-447.0 1469 1881 14.42% 19.12% 66.46%-1.72 -29.1 12
1970-03-29 @ Uniao Tomar W 4-047.0 1881 1469 66.46% 19.12% 14.42%+1.72 +29.1 32
1970-03-29 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-048.3 1917 1706 74.74% 18.93% 6.32%+1.94 +7.1 32
1970-03-29 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-248.3 1706 1917 6.32% 18.93% 74.74%-1.94 -7.1 23
1970-04-05 Braga L 0-165.2 1640 1474 72.84% 19.15% 8.01%+1.68 -34.5 20
1970-04-05 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-065.2 1474 1640 8.01% 19.15% 72.84%-1.68 +34.5 17
1970-04-05 Vitoria Setubal W 1-068.2 1531 1924 15.82% 19.20% 64.98%-1.61 +30.4 23
1970-04-05 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-168.2 1924 1531 64.98% 19.20% 15.82%+1.61 -30.4 32
1970-04-05 Barreirense W 3-046.1 1910 1673 75.71% 18.79% 5.49%+2.09 +9.0 34
1970-04-05 @ Benfica L 0-346.1 1673 1910 5.49% 18.79% 75.71%-2.09 -9.0 25
1970-04-05 Leixoes W 3-260.2 1482 1567 52.60% 19.81% 27.59%+0.20 +12.9 16
1970-04-05 @ Boavista L 2-360.2 1567 1482 27.59% 19.81% 52.60%-0.20 -12.9 20
1970-04-05 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-358.9 1618 1938 22.34% 19.48% 58.18%-1.18 -19.6 21
1970-04-05 @ Fabril W 3-158.9 1938 1618 58.18% 19.48% 22.34%+1.18 +19.6 42
1970-04-05 Porto L 0-265.6 1700 1543 72.40% 19.19% 8.41%+1.62 -64.7 27
1970-04-05 @ Varzim W 2-065.6 1543 1700 8.41% 19.19% 72.40%-1.62 +64.7 22
1970-04-05 Uniao Tomar W 2-150.8 1699 1440 76.44% 18.67% 4.89%+2.22 +2.8 25
1970-04-05 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-250.8 1440 1699 4.89% 18.67% 76.44%-2.22 -2.8 12
1970-04-12 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-173.3 1664 1702 57.89% 19.76% 22.34%+0.48 -3.9 26
1970-04-12 @ Barreirense D 1-173.3 1702 1664 22.34% 19.76% 57.89%-0.48 +3.9 26
1970-04-12 Fabril L 0-158.9 1508 1598 51.93% 19.81% 28.26%+0.17 -24.5 17
1970-04-12 @ Braga W 1-058.9 1598 1508 28.26% 19.81% 51.93%-0.17 +24.5 23
1970-04-12 Benfica L 1-261.4 1608 1919 23.30% 19.51% 57.19%-1.13 -11.8 22
1970-04-12 @ Porto W 2-161.4 1919 1608 57.19% 19.51% 23.30%+1.13 +11.8 36
1970-04-12 Boavista W 3-044.0 1958 1495 81.16% 17.23% 1.61%+3.42 +2.6 44
1970-04-12 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-344.0 1495 1958 1.61% 17.23% 81.16%-3.42 -2.6 16
1970-04-12 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-154.6 1437 1561 47.65% 19.82% 32.53%-0.03 +15.6 14
1970-04-12 @ Uniao Tomar L 1-254.6 1561 1437 32.53% 19.82% 47.65%+0.03 -15.6 23
1970-04-12 Leixoes D 0-066.3 1636 1554 68.08% 19.48% 12.43%+1.18 -7.2 28
1970-04-12 @ Varzim D 0-066.3 1554 1636 12.43% 19.48% 68.08%-1.18 +7.2 21
1970-04-12 Academica de Coimbra W 5-148.6 1893 1606 77.33% 18.49% 4.18%+2.39 +7.5 34
1970-04-12 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-548.6 1606 1893 4.18% 18.49% 77.33%-2.39 -7.5 20
1970-04-19 Uniao Tomar W 4-038.6 1598 1453 71.79% 19.25% 8.96%+1.55 +18.9 22
1970-04-19 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-438.6 1453 1598 8.96% 19.25% 71.79%-1.55 -18.9 14
1970-04-19 Barreirense L 0-160.7 1546 1660 48.86% 19.82% 31.32%+0.03 -23.2 23
1970-04-19 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-060.7 1660 1546 31.32% 19.82% 48.86%-0.03 +23.2 28
1970-04-19 Varzim W 1-050.0 1931 1628 77.74% 18.40% 3.86%+2.48 +2.3 38
1970-04-19 @ Benfica L 0-150.0 1628 1931 3.86% 18.40% 77.74%-2.48 -2.3 28
1970-04-19 Braga W 2-041.3 1492 1484 62.38% 19.68% 17.94%+0.75 +18.8 18
1970-04-19 @ Boavista L 0-241.3 1484 1492 17.94% 19.68% 62.38%-0.75 -18.8 17
1970-04-19 Vitoria Setubal L 0-451.8 1623 1901 26.99% 19.61% 53.40%-0.94 -50.6 23
1970-04-19 @ Fabril W 4-051.8 1901 1623 53.40% 19.61% 26.99%+0.94 +50.6 36
1970-04-19 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-556.9 1561 1961 15.30% 19.17% 65.53%-1.65 -17.1 21
1970-04-19 @ Leixoes W 5-256.9 1961 1561 65.53% 19.17% 15.30%+1.65 +17.1 46
1970-04-19 Porto W 1-050.7 1705 1596 69.82% 19.39% 10.80%+1.34 +6.3 28
1970-04-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-150.7 1596 1705 10.80% 19.39% 69.82%-1.34 -6.3 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1970-02-08 2.30% Fabril 1502 1 @ Benfica 1900 0
2 1969-09-06 6.36% Barreirense 1510 3 @ Academica de Coimbra 1720 1
3 1970-04-05 8.01% Braga 1474 1 @ Academica de Coimbra 1640 0
4 1970-04-05 8.41% Porto 1543 2 @ Varzim 1700 0
5 1969-11-30 11.09% Barreirense 1594 2 @ Varzim 1698 1
6 1969-09-28 12.07% Os Belenenses (1st) 1636 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1724 1
7 1970-03-01 12.11% Fabril 1560 3 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1647 1
8 1969-09-06 13.82% Uniao Tomar 1570 2 @ Fabril 1631 1
9 1969-12-14 14.52% Varzim 1667 1 @ Porto 1718 0
10 1969-09-14 15.50% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1740 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1778 0
11 1970-04-05 15.82% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1531 1 Vitoria Setubal 1924 0
12 1969-09-14 21.89% Fabril 1601 4 @ Barreirense 1568 3
13 1969-12-21 22.00% Vitoria Setubal 1778 3 @ Academica de Coimbra 1744 0
14 1969-11-09 22.26% Os Belenenses (1st) 1599 2 @ Fabril 1562 0
15 1969-10-26 23.27% Academica de Coimbra 1670 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1624 1
16 1969-10-26 23.78% Leixoes 1626 1 @ Uniao Tomar 1575 0
17 1970-01-18 25.48% Porto 1685 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1619 1
18 1969-11-09 25.68% Varzim 1633 2 @ Braga 1565 1
19 1970-02-01 26.88% @ Boavista 1438 3 Porto 1717 2
20 1969-09-20 27.84% Vitoria Guimaraes 1699 1 @ Leixoes 1613 0
21 1970-04-12 28.26% Fabril 1598 1 @ Braga 1508 0
22 1969-12-21 28.77% Varzim 1698 1 @ Leixoes 1604 0
23 1970-01-18 29.24% Barreirense 1631 1 @ Fabril 1533 0
24 1969-10-26 30.51% @ Barreirense 1487 2 Vitoria Setubal 1737 0
25 1969-10-19 31.14% Varzim 1609 2 @ Boavista 1496 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1969-12-21 74.87 Vitoria Setubal 3 1778 22.00% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1744 58.24% 19.76%
2 1970-04-05 64.66 Porto 2 1543 8.41% @ Varzim 0 1700 72.40% 19.19%
3 1969-11-16 60.30 @ Barreirense 4 1536 46.95% Leixoes 0 1665 33.23% 19.82%
4 1970-03-08 58.43 @ Uniao Tomar 3 1417 35.85% Porto 0 1626 44.40% 19.75%
5 1969-11-30 58.00 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1686 36.24% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1892 44.01% 19.76%
6 1969-09-06 57.91 Barreirense 3 1510 6.36% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1720 74.70% 18.94%
7 1969-09-14 57.51 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1740 15.50% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1778 64.89% 19.61%
8 1969-11-09 55.61 @ Vitoria Setubal 5 1692 56.72% Porto 0 1741 23.50% 19.78%
9 1970-03-01 52.68 Fabril 3 1560 12.11% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1647 68.42% 19.47%
10 1969-11-09 51.32 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1599 22.26% @ Fabril 0 1562 57.97% 19.76%
11 1970-03-01 50.63 Vitoria Setubal 3 1875 42.99% @ Porto 0 1676 37.24% 19.77%
12 1970-04-19 50.60 Vitoria Setubal 4 1901 53.40% @ Fabril 0 1623 26.99% 19.61%
13 1970-02-22 48.21 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1553 45.14% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1695 35.04% 19.81%
14 1969-10-26 44.45 @ Barreirense 2 1487 30.51% Vitoria Setubal 0 1737 49.82% 19.68%
15 1969-11-22 43.12 Varzim 2 1655 32.11% @ Uniao Tomar 0 1534 48.07% 19.82%
16 1969-10-19 42.98 @ Leixoes 5 1583 52.67% Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1667 27.52% 19.81%
17 1969-09-14 42.76 @ Benfica 5 1757 62.95% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1742 17.39% 19.67%
18 1970-03-08 40.10 @ Boavista 4 1456 45.72% Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1595 34.46% 19.82%
19 1969-09-06 39.05 @ Leixoes 2 1599 37.39% Benfica 0 1796 42.84% 19.77%
20 1969-09-28 38.04 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1816 53.98% @ Barreirense 0 1533 26.42% 19.59%
21 1970-02-08 37.88 Fabril 1 1502 2.30% @ Benfica 0 1900 79.96% 17.74%
22 1970-03-08 35.01 @ Leixoes 2 1519 42.77% Barreirense 0 1678 37.42% 19.80%
23 1970-04-05 34.52 Braga 1 1474 8.01% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1640 72.84% 19.15%
24 1969-10-19 32.55 Benfica 2 1837 46.01% @ Fabril 0 1616 34.25% 19.73%
25 1969-12-14 31.00 Varzim 1 1667 14.52% @ Porto 0 1718 65.90% 19.58%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1969-09-14 83.5 @ Porto 3 1754 68.69% Academica de Coimbra 3 1662 11.86% 19.45%
2 1969-10-19 83.1 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1673 59.60% Vitoria Guimaraes 3 1694 20.66% 19.74%
3 1969-12-14 79.8 @ Barreirense 2 1624 31.18% Benfica 2 1869 49.14% 19.69%
4 1969-12-28 79.6 @ Vitoria Setubal 2 1853 78.48% Fabril 2 1522 3.31% 18.21%
5 1970-01-25 78.6 @ Varzim 2 1713 70.33% Academica de Coimbra 2 1595 10.32% 19.35%
6 1969-09-06 78.1 @ Boavista 2 1495 26.18% Vitoria Setubal 2 1780 54.23% 19.59%
7 1969-09-14 76.0 Fabril 4 1601 21.89% @ Barreirense 3 1568 58.36% 19.76%
8 1969-11-22 75.2 @ Boavista 2 1455 32.65% Academica de Coimbra 2 1688 47.64% 19.71%
9 1970-02-22 74.6 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1920 74.56% Varzim 1 1714 6.48% 18.96%
10 1970-03-01 74.5 @ Benfica 1 1856 55.92% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1912 24.30% 19.78%
11 1969-09-28 74.1 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1636 12.07% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1724 68.46% 19.46%
12 1969-09-06 73.6 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1657 51.39% Porto 1 1751 28.80% 19.81%
13 1969-11-16 73.6 @ Varzim 1 1657 51.89% Vitoria Setubal 1 1748 28.30% 19.81%
14 1969-11-30 73.6 Barreirense 2 1594 11.09% @ Varzim 1 1698 69.50% 19.41%
15 1970-04-12 73.3 @ Barreirense 1 1664 57.89% Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1702 22.34% 19.76%
16 1969-11-09 73.2 @ Uniao Tomar 2 1548 63.06% Barreirense 2 1532 17.28% 19.67%
17 1970-02-22 73.0 @ Boavista 1 1453 14.64% Benfica 1 1862 66.23% 19.13%
18 1969-11-22 72.5 @ Barreirense 1 1596 50.79% Porto 1 1695 29.39% 19.82%
19 1969-12-14 72.5 @ Braga 1 1543 36.88% Academica de Coimbra 1 1744 43.36% 19.76%
20 1969-09-20 72.4 @ Braga 1 1562 42.90% Vitoria Setubal 1 1721 37.29% 19.81%
21 1969-09-14 72.1 @ Varzim 1 1611 57.24% Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1654 22.99% 19.77%
22 1970-02-08 71.9 Fabril 1 1502 2.30% @ Benfica 0 1900 79.96% 17.74%
23 1969-09-06 71.7 Barreirense 3 1510 6.36% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1720 74.70% 18.94%
24 1970-03-08 71.7 @ Fabril 1 1613 60.44% Academica de Coimbra 1 1625 19.83% 19.72%
25 1970-02-01 71.3 @ Boavista 3 1438 26.88% Porto 2 1717 53.51% 19.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1969-12-28 37.3 @ Braga 3 1524 68.12% Boavista 0 1441 12.39% 19.48%
2 1970-04-19 38.6 @ Academica de Coimbra 4 1598 71.79% Uniao Tomar 0 1453 8.96% 19.25%
3 1970-03-01 39.7 @ Barreirense 3 1670 75.96% Uniao Tomar 0 1425 5.29% 18.75%
4 1970-01-18 40.6 @ Boavista 2 1420 55.66% Uniao Tomar 0 1479 24.55% 19.79%
5 1969-11-16 41.1 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 3 1650 73.59% Boavista 0 1467 7.34% 19.07%
6 1970-04-19 41.3 @ Boavista 2 1492 62.38% Braga 0 1484 17.94% 19.68%
7 1970-02-22 41.5 @ Leixoes 1 1536 69.49% Uniao Tomar 0 1432 11.10% 19.41%
8 1970-01-25 42.1 @ Barreirense 2 1655 74.71% Boavista 0 1445 6.36% 18.94%
9 1969-11-30 43.5 @ Benfica 6 1860 79.36% Uniao Tomar 0 1491 2.69% 17.95%
10 1970-03-15 43.7 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1700 75.61% Braga 0 1465 5.58% 18.81%
11 1969-11-16 43.9 @ Benfica 5 1868 78.38% Braga 0 1541 3.38% 18.24%
12 1969-12-14 44.0 @ Leixoes 6 1590 71.63% Boavista 2 1448 9.11% 19.26%
13 1970-04-12 44.0 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1958 81.16% Boavista 0 1495 1.61% 17.23%
14 1969-09-06 44.1 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1723 72.98% Braga 0 1553 7.88% 19.14%
15 1969-10-26 44.1 @ Benfica 8 1870 79.91% Boavista 0 1474 2.33% 17.76%
16 1969-12-14 44.1 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1834 78.38% Fabril 0 1507 3.38% 18.24%
17 1970-03-15 44.4 @ Varzim 2 1721 76.03% Uniao Tomar 0 1475 5.23% 18.74%
18 1970-02-08 44.7 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 4 1709 71.33% Academica de Coimbra 0 1573 9.38% 19.28%
19 1970-01-04 45.0 @ Benfica 3 1896 78.31% Leixoes 0 1572 3.43% 18.26%
20 1969-10-26 45.1 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 4 1696 69.99% Fabril 0 1584 10.63% 19.38%
21 1969-09-20 45.2 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 5 1797 73.82% Uniao Tomar 0 1609 7.13% 19.05%
22 1970-01-25 45.4 @ Porto 2 1710 74.35% Fabril 0 1509 6.67% 18.99%
23 1969-10-19 45.6 @ Braga 1 1567 67.39% Barreirense 0 1495 13.09% 19.52%
24 1970-01-25 45.7 @ Vitoria Setubal 7 1831 78.14% Braga 1 1514 3.56% 18.30%
25 1970-02-08 45.8 @ Barreirense 5 1659 72.56% Braga 1 1498 8.26% 19.18%