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1969-70 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

46 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

9.05 points above expected

46 points · 36.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Porto

5.16 points below expected

22 points · 27.16 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 21 4 1 46 61 17 +44 36.95 +9.05
2 Benfica 26 17 4 5 38 58 14 +44 36.22 +1.78
3 Vitoria Setubal 26 16 4 6 36 58 26 +32 34.25 +1.75
4 Barreirense 26 11 6 9 28 42 33 +9 23.48 +4.52
5 Varzim 26 10 8 8 28 31 26 +5 26.64 +1.36
6 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 12 4 10 28 38 36 +2 28.91 -0.91
7 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 9 5 12 23 23 34 -11 24.66 -1.66
8 Fabril 26 9 5 12 23 24 38 -14 21.45 +1.55
9 Academica de Coimbra 26 8 6 12 22 42 46 -4 26.12 -4.12
10 Porto 26 8 6 12 22 30 37 -7 27.16 -5.16
11 Leixoes 26 10 1 15 21 33 47 -14 22.56 -1.56
12 Boavista 26 6 6 14 18 35 61 -26 17.09 +0.91
13 Braga 26 6 5 15 17 25 52 -27 19.97 -2.97
14 Uniao Tomar 26 5 4 17 14 20 53 -33 18.54 -4.54

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1973 46 36.95 +9.05 99.8% 20 31 35 37 39 43 49
Vitoria Setubal 1946 36 34.25 +1.75 72.1% 20 28 32 34 37 41 49
Benfica 1928 38 36.22 +1.78 72.2% 22 30 34 36 39 42 48
Vitoria Guimaraes 1706 28 28.91 -0.91 45.3% 14 23 26 29 32 35 43
Barreirense 1678 28 23.48 +4.52 90.0% 10 17 21 23 26 30 38
Varzim 1621 28 26.64 +1.36 69.1% 14 21 24 27 29 33 42
Academica de Coimbra 1612 22 26.12 -4.12 17.2% 11 20 24 26 29 32 41
Porto 1584 22 27.16 -5.16 11.6% 13 21 25 27 30 34 41
Fabril 1567 23 21.45 +1.55 70.2% 9 15 19 21 24 28 35
Leixoes 1538 21 22.56 -1.56 39.9% 6 16 20 23 25 29 37
Os Belenenses (1st) 1517 23 24.66 -1.66 38.5% 11 18 22 25 27 31 43
Boavista 1506 18 17.09 +0.91 65.6% 4 11 15 17 20 23 30
Braga 1460 17 19.97 -2.97 26.5% 7 14 17 20 23 26 34
Uniao Tomar 1429 14 18.54 -4.54 13.9% 5 13 16 18 21 25 33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC BAR BEN BOA BRA FAB LEI OB( POR SCDP UT VAR VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
0-0-2
3.32
0-0-2
1.50
1-1-0
3.95
0-1-1
3.88
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
3.87
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.26
Barreirense
2-0-0
2.29
 —
0-1-1
1.48
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
3.07
0-2-0
2.72
0-0-2
1.34
1-1-0
3.18
2-0-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
1.50
Benfica
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
4.13
 —
1-1-0
4.75
2-0-0
4.62
1-0-1
4.15
1-0-1
4.01
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
4.31
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
4.74
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.63
1-0-1
3.05
Boavista
0-1-1
1.66
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
0.88
 —
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
1.36
0-1-1
0.86
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
1.44
0-1-1
1.22
Braga
1-1-0
1.74
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.00
1-0-1
2.97
 —
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.78
0-0-2
1.37
0-2-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
1.81
0-1-1
1.77
Fabril
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
1.47
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
2.97
 —
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.02
0-0-2
1.15
0-1-1
3.09
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
1.29
Leixoes
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.89
 —
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
0.99
2-0-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
1.49
Os Belenenses (1st)
0-0-2
3.16
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.38
 —
0-2-0
2.39
0-0-2
1.08
1-0-1
3.56
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
2.47
1-0-1
1.22
Porto
1-1-0
3.22
0-2-0
2.89
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
4.25
1-1-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.60
1-0-1
3.06
0-2-0
3.22
 —
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
3.87
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.22
Sporting Clube de Portugal
1-0-1
4.03
2-0-0
4.28
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
4.77
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
4.47
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
3.83
 —
2-0-0
4.62
0-2-0
4.03
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
2.75
Uniao Tomar
1-0-1
1.74
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
0.88
1-0-1
3.20
0-2-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
1.74
0-0-2
1.00
 —
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
1.06
Varzim
0-1-1
2.92
0-0-2
3.29
0-0-2
1.81
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.00
0-2-0
1.58
2-0-0
3.63
 —
1-1-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.15
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
1.98
1-1-0
4.17
1-0-1
3.80
1-0-1
3.74
2-0-0
3.37
0-0-2
3.13
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
1.90
2-0-0
4.01
0-1-1
3.15
 —
1-0-1
2.14
Vitoria Setubal
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
4.40
1-1-0
3.84
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.12
1-0-1
4.39
2-0-0
3.39
0-0-2
2.86
2-0-0
4.55
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.47
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +5.7
Allowed 0.81 -5.8
Differential 0.95 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.95%8.79%6.59%4.67%2.20%1.65%28.85%
18.79%9.34%8.24%2.47%1.65%1.92%32.42%
26.59%8.24%3.30%1.37%0.27%0.55%20.33%
34.67%2.47%1.37%1.10%0.27%—9.89%
42.20%1.65%0.27%0.27%——4.40%
5+1.65%1.92%0.55%———4.12%
Total28.85%32.42%20.33%9.89%4.40%4.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.22
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%—26.92%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
2—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
311.54%——7.69%——19.23%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%30.77%19.23%19.23%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.77 -0.15
SD 1.47 1.39 2.38
CV 0.91 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%——26.92%
17.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
211.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
33.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total30.77%34.62%15.38%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.27 +0.35
SD 1.42 1.19 2.02
CV 0.88 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
111.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
211.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+15.38%—————15.38%
Total57.69%30.77%11.54%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 0.54 +1.69
SD 2.03 0.71 2.43
CV 0.91 1.31 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—3.85%11.54%—3.85%26.92%
1—7.69%15.38%—7.69%—30.77%
27.69%—7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
3——11.54%———11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%11.54%38.46%15.38%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 2.35 -1.00
SD 1.13 1.83 2.30
CV 0.84 0.78 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%11.54%—3.85%3.85%26.92%
111.54%19.23%7.69%11.54%—7.69%57.69%
2—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%19.23%15.38%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 2.00 -1.04
SD 0.82 1.74 2.11
CV 0.86 0.87 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%15.38%3.85%7.69%—46.15%
115.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
2—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%34.62%23.08%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.46 -0.54
SD 1.13 1.21 1.70
CV 1.22 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
115.38%—3.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%38.46%
211.54%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%23.08%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total30.77%23.08%11.54%15.38%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.81 -0.54
SD 1.46 1.74 2.32
CV 1.15 0.96 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%—3.85%3.85%—30.77%
119.23%7.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%53.85%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%26.92%15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.31 -0.42
SD 0.77 1.46 1.75
CV 0.87 1.12 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%—3.85%34.62%
13.85%15.38%11.54%———30.77%
215.38%7.69%—3.85%——26.92%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%38.46%19.23%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.42 -0.27
SD 1.19 1.24 1.91
CV 1.03 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%——3.85%——11.54%
111.54%7.69%————19.23%
23.85%19.23%————23.08%
315.38%11.54%————26.92%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
Total46.15%46.15%3.85%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 0.65 +1.69
SD 1.50 0.75 1.67
CV 0.64 1.14 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%19.23%7.69%7.69%7.69%53.85%
13.85%7.69%15.38%———26.92%
2—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%—————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%23.08%42.31%7.69%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.04 -1.27
SD 1.07 1.46 2.11
CV 1.39 0.71 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
17.69%15.38%7.69%———30.77%
211.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total30.77%42.31%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.00 +0.19
SD 1.20 0.85 1.50
CV 1.01 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
17.69%7.69%11.54%—3.85%3.85%34.62%
27.69%15.38%————23.08%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+———————
Total30.77%34.62%19.23%3.85%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.38 +0.08
SD 1.21 1.47 2.15
CV 0.83 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
27.69%19.23%7.69%———34.62%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+3.85%7.69%————11.54%
Total30.77%42.31%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.00 +1.23
SD 1.68 0.85 2.20
CV 0.75 0.85 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 46 36.95 +9.05
2 Barreirense 28 23.48 +4.52
3 Benfica 38 36.22 +1.78
4 Vitoria Setubal 36 34.25 +1.75
5 Fabril 23 21.45 +1.55

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Porto 22 27.16 -5.16
2 Uniao Tomar 14 18.54 -4.54
3 Academica de Coimbra 22 26.12 -4.12
4 Braga 17 19.97 -2.97
5 Os Belenenses (1st) 23 24.66 -1.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fabril 3 Feb 8 – Mar 1 1 in 929
2 Braga 2 Mar 29 – Apr 5 1 in 24
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 6 Dec 28 – Feb 8 1 in 17
4 Vitoria Setubal 6 Jan 25 – Mar 8 1 in 15
5 Leixoes 3 Oct 19 – Nov 9 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Feb 22 – Mar 29 1 in 120
2 Academica de Coimbra 4 Dec 21 – Jan 18 1 in 87
3 Fabril 6 Sep 28 – Nov 22 1 in 49
4 Varzim 2 Mar 29 – Apr 5 1 in 22
5 Barreirense 4 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fabril 7 Feb 1 – Mar 29 1 in 132
2 Barreirense 6 Oct 26 – Dec 14 1 in 74
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 7 Dec 21 – Feb 8 1 in 57
4 Varzim 6 Sep 28 – Nov 22 1 in 29
5 Sporting Clube de Portugal 16 Dec 14 – Apr 19 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Uniao Tomar 10 Sep 20 – Dec 21 1 in 76
2 Porto 7 Feb 1 – Mar 29 1 in 45
3 Academica de Coimbra 8 Dec 14 – Feb 8 1 in 37
4 Benfica 3 Feb 8 – Mar 1 1 in 33
5 Varzim 4 Mar 29 – Apr 19 1 in 16

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sporting Clube de Portugal44.49%32.04%15.84%4.82%1.64%0.72%0.25%0.11%0.04%0.02%0.02%0.01%——
Benfica36.67%33.03%19.46%6.49%2.50%1.10%0.50%0.14%0.10%—0.01%———
Vitoria Setubal16.11%25.28%34.50%13.11%5.66%2.74%1.36%0.70%0.28%0.20%0.04%0.02%——
Barreirense0.07%0.26%1.23%4.83%7.37%9.51%11.33%13.28%13.63%12.22%10.52%8.26%5.03%2.46%
Varzim0.36%1.45%5.05%13.39%15.98%15.92%13.93%11.21%8.86%6.36%4.03%2.10%0.98%0.38%
Vitoria Guimaraes1.40%4.04%11.85%23.35%19.27%13.41%9.97%6.77%4.40%2.99%1.66%0.60%0.21%0.08%
Os Belenenses (1st)0.14%0.54%1.75%5.99%8.13%11.12%13.06%14.72%13.30%11.38%8.75%6.36%3.33%1.43%
Fabril—0.09%0.32%1.10%2.61%4.58%6.34%8.80%11.31%15.22%15.60%14.68%11.81%7.54%
Academica de Coimbra0.26%1.02%3.64%10.37%14.00%14.58%14.89%13.07%10.21%7.57%5.03%3.21%1.63%0.52%
Porto0.50%2.06%5.65%13.35%16.63%16.25%13.52%10.74%8.79%5.47%3.69%2.10%0.93%0.32%
Leixoes—0.15%0.55%2.40%4.47%6.81%8.38%10.81%13.04%15.08%14.15%11.76%7.85%4.55%
Boavista———0.04%0.17%0.32%0.97%1.56%2.78%5.00%9.10%15.21%24.81%40.04%
Braga—0.03%0.13%0.53%1.12%1.98%3.63%5.17%8.34%11.25%15.27%18.47%18.90%15.18%
Uniao Tomar—0.01%0.03%0.23%0.45%0.96%1.87%2.92%4.92%7.24%12.13%17.22%24.52%27.50%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+32.97%
Strong Edge
57.14%18.68%24.18%
Elo Value
Home Edge
170 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0118.98500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.90 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.70+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
Sporting Clube de Portugal, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.31/gm
Tight Race
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.07 * Some Luck: 3.07 to 4.6 * Lucky: 4.6 to 6.13 * Wild Swing: 6.13 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.38 * Close: 1.38 to 2.07 * Off: 2.07 to 2.77 * Way Off: 2.77 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.71 points
Some Luck
03.8310
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.71
Close
01.734
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.77%
Sporting Clube de Portugal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
11.64%
Porto
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.74
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Very Frequent
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Very Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.54
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.87
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1070.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Vitoria Setubal 100% —
Vitoria Guimaraes 99.71% 0.29%
Porto 98.75% 1.25%
Varzim 98.64% 1.36%
Academica de Coimbra 97.85% 2.15%
Os Belenenses (1st) 95.24% 4.76%
Barreirense 92.51% 7.49%
Leixoes 87.60% 12.40%
Fabril 80.65% 19.35%
Braga 65.92% 34.08%
Uniao Tomar 47.98% 52.02%
Boavista 35.15% 64.85%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1969-09-06 Barreirense L 1-3 1715 1505 74.7% 18.9% 6.3% -57.9 0
1969-09-06 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1505 1715 6.3% 18.9% 74.7% +57.9 2
1969-09-06 Porto D 1-1 1651 1746 51.4% 19.8% 28.8% -2.4 1
1969-09-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1746 1651 28.8% 19.8% 51.4% +2.4 1
1969-09-06 Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1492 1775 26.4% 19.6% 54.0% +2.2 1
1969-09-06 @ Boavista D 2-2 1775 1492 54.0% 19.6% 26.4% -2.2 1
1969-09-06 Uniao Tomar L 1-2 1626 1565 66.6% 19.6% 13.8% -29.6 0
1969-09-06 @ Fabril W 2-1 1565 1626 13.8% 19.6% 66.6% +29.6 2
1969-09-06 Benfica W 2-0 1593 1791 37.4% 19.8% 42.8% +39.0 2
1969-09-06 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1791 1593 42.8% 19.8% 37.4% -39.0 0
1969-09-06 Braga W 4-0 1718 1548 73.0% 19.1% 7.9% +16.7 2
1969-09-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1548 1718 7.9% 19.1% 73.0% -16.7 0
1969-09-06 Varzim D 0-0 1745 1597 72.0% 19.2% 8.8% -8.3 1
1969-09-06 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1597 1745 8.8% 19.2% 72.0% +8.3 1
1969-09-14 Fabril L 3-4 1563 1596 58.3% 19.8% 21.9% -23.9 2
1969-09-14 @ Barreirense W 4-3 1596 1563 21.9% 19.8% 58.3% +23.9 2
1969-09-14 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-0 1752 1737 62.9% 19.7% 17.4% +42.8 2
1969-09-14 @ Benfica L 0-5 1737 1752 17.4% 19.7% 62.9% -42.8 1
1969-09-14 Leixoes W 3-1 1531 1632 50.6% 19.8% 29.6% +25.0 2
1969-09-14 @ Braga L 1-3 1632 1531 29.6% 19.8% 50.6% -25.0 2
1969-09-14 Academica de Coimbra D 3-3 1748 1657 68.7% 19.4% 11.9% -4.1 2
1969-09-14 @ Porto D 3-3 1657 1748 11.9% 19.4% 68.7% +4.1 1
1969-09-14 Boavista W 4-2 1594 1494 69.2% 19.4% 11.3% +9.6 4
1969-09-14 @ Uniao Tomar L 2-4 1494 1594 11.3% 19.4% 69.2% -9.6 1
1969-09-14 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1605 1649 57.2% 19.8% 23.0% -3.8 2
1969-09-14 @ Varzim D 1-1 1649 1605 23.0% 19.8% 57.2% +3.8 2
1969-09-14 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1773 1734 64.9% 19.6% 15.5% -57.5 1
1969-09-14 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1734 1773 15.5% 19.6% 64.9% +57.5 4
1969-09-20 Varzim W 3-0 1661 1601 66.5% 19.6% 13.9% +21.8 3
1969-09-20 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1601 1661 13.9% 19.6% 66.5% -21.8 2
1969-09-20 Benfica L 0-1 1653 1795 45.2% 19.8% 35.0% -21.7 2
1969-09-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1795 1653 35.0% 19.8% 45.2% +21.7 4
1969-09-20 Barreirense W 3-2 1484 1539 56.1% 19.8% 24.1% +11.5 3
1969-09-20 @ Boavista L 2-3 1539 1484 24.1% 19.8% 56.1% -11.5 2
1969-09-20 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1556 1715 42.9% 19.8% 37.3% -0.6 3
1969-09-20 @ Braga D 1-1 1715 1556 37.3% 19.8% 42.9% +0.6 2
1969-09-20 Porto W 2-1 1620 1744 47.6% 19.8% 32.6% +15.6 4
1969-09-20 @ Fabril L 1-2 1744 1620 32.6% 19.8% 47.6% -15.6 2
1969-09-20 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1607 1694 52.3% 19.8% 27.8% -24.7 2
1969-09-20 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1694 1607 27.8% 19.8% 52.3% +24.7 3
1969-09-20 Uniao Tomar W 5-0 1792 1604 73.8% 19.1% 7.1% +18.7 6
1969-09-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1604 1792 7.1% 19.1% 73.8% -18.7 4
1969-09-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1527 1810 26.4% 19.6% 54.0% -38.0 2
1969-09-28 @ Barreirense W 3-0 1810 1527 54.0% 19.6% 26.4% +38.0 8
1969-09-28 Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1816 1683 71.2% 19.3% 9.5% +15.3 6
1969-09-28 @ Benfica L 0-3 1683 1816 9.5% 19.3% 71.2% -15.3 3
1969-09-28 Boavista W 2-1 1728 1496 75.5% 18.8% 5.6% +3.2 4
1969-09-28 @ Porto L 1-2 1496 1728 5.6% 18.8% 75.5% -3.2 3
1969-09-28 Braga D 1-1 1585 1556 64.1% 19.6% 16.2% -5.4 5
1969-09-28 @ Uniao Tomar D 1-1 1556 1585 16.2% 19.6% 64.1% +5.4 4
1969-09-28 Fabril W 2-0 1580 1636 55.9% 19.8% 24.3% +24.5 4
1969-09-28 @ Varzim L 0-2 1636 1580 24.3% 19.8% 55.9% -24.5 4
1969-09-28 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1719 1631 68.5% 19.5% 12.1% -30.4 3
1969-09-28 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1631 1719 12.1% 19.5% 68.5% +30.4 4
1969-09-28 Leixoes W 2-1 1716 1583 71.2% 19.3% 9.5% +5.3 4
1969-09-28 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1583 1716 9.5% 19.3% 71.2% -5.3 2
1969-10-19 Vitoria Guimaraes D 3-3 1667 1688 59.6% 19.7% 20.7% -2.7 4
1969-10-19 @ Academica de Coimbra D 3-3 1688 1667 20.7% 19.7% 59.6% +2.7 4
1969-10-19 Varzim L 1-2 1493 1604 49.3% 19.8% 30.9% -22.0 3
1969-10-19 @ Boavista W 2-1 1604 1493 30.9% 19.8% 49.3% +22.0 6
1969-10-19 Barreirense W 1-0 1561 1489 67.4% 19.5% 13.1% +7.5 6
1969-10-19 @ Braga L 0-1 1489 1561 13.1% 19.5% 67.4% -7.5 2
1969-10-19 Benfica L 0-2 1611 1832 34.2% 19.7% 46.0% -32.5 4
1969-10-19 @ Fabril W 2-0 1832 1611 46.0% 19.7% 34.2% +32.6 8
1969-10-19 Os Belenenses (1st) W 5-1 1577 1661 52.7% 19.8% 27.5% +43.0 4
1969-10-19 @ Leixoes L 1-5 1661 1577 27.5% 19.8% 52.7% -43.0 4
1969-10-19 Porto W 2-1 1848 1732 70.3% 19.4% 10.4% +5.7 10
1969-10-19 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1732 1848 10.4% 19.4% 70.3% -5.7 4
1969-10-19 Uniao Tomar W 2-0 1721 1580 71.6% 19.3% 9.1% +10.1 6
1969-10-19 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1580 1721 9.1% 19.3% 71.6% -10.1 5
1969-10-26 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1482 1731 30.5% 19.7% 49.8% +44.5 4
1969-10-26 @ Barreirense L 0-2 1731 1482 49.8% 19.7% 30.5% -44.5 6
1969-10-26 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1618 1665 57.0% 19.8% 23.3% -25.2 4
1969-10-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1665 1618 23.3% 19.8% 57.0% +25.2 6
1969-10-26 Boavista W 8-0 1864 1471 79.9% 17.8% 2.4% +9.7 10
1969-10-26 @ Benfica L 0-8 1471 1864 2.4% 17.8% 79.9% -9.7 3
1969-10-26 Braga W 2-0 1726 1569 72.4% 19.2% 8.4% +9.4 6
1969-10-26 @ Porto L 0-2 1569 1726 8.4% 19.2% 72.4% -9.4 6
1969-10-26 Leixoes L 0-1 1569 1620 56.5% 19.8% 23.8% -26.5 5
1969-10-26 @ Uniao Tomar W 1-0 1620 1569 23.8% 19.8% 56.5% +26.5 6
1969-10-26 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1626 1854 33.2% 19.7% 47.0% +1.6 7
1969-10-26 @ Varzim D 0-0 1854 1626 47.0% 19.7% 33.2% -1.6 11
1969-10-26 Fabril W 4-0 1691 1579 70.0% 19.4% 10.6% +22.2 6
1969-10-26 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-4 1579 1691 10.6% 19.4% 70.0% -22.2 4
1969-11-09 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1461 1713 30.2% 19.7% 50.2% +2.1 4
1969-11-09 @ Boavista D 1-1 1713 1461 50.2% 19.7% 30.2% -2.1 7
1969-11-09 Varzim L 1-2 1559 1628 54.5% 19.8% 25.7% -24.2 6
1969-11-09 @ Braga W 2-1 1628 1559 25.7% 19.8% 54.5% +24.2 9
1969-11-09 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1556 1593 58.0% 19.8% 22.3% -51.3 4
1969-11-09 @ Fabril W 2-0 1593 1556 22.3% 19.8% 58.0% +51.3 6
1969-11-09 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1647 1690 57.3% 19.8% 22.9% +12.4 8
1969-11-09 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1690 1647 22.9% 19.8% 57.3% -12.3 6
1969-11-09 Benfica W 1-0 1853 1874 59.6% 19.7% 20.7% +11.3 13
1969-11-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1874 1853 20.7% 19.7% 59.6% -11.3 10
1969-11-09 Barreirense D 2-2 1543 1526 63.1% 19.7% 17.2% -3.9 6
1969-11-09 @ Uniao Tomar D 2-2 1526 1543 17.2% 19.7% 63.1% +3.8 5
1969-11-09 Porto W 5-0 1687 1735 56.7% 19.8% 23.5% +55.6 8
1969-11-09 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-5 1735 1687 23.5% 19.8% 56.7% -55.6 6
1969-11-16 Fabril W 1-0 1678 1505 73.1% 19.1% 7.8% +4.6 8
1969-11-16 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1505 1678 7.8% 19.1% 73.1% -4.6 4
1969-11-16 Leixoes W 4-0 1530 1659 46.9% 19.8% 33.2% +60.3 7
1969-11-16 @ Barreirense L 0-4 1659 1530 33.2% 19.8% 46.9% -60.3 8
1969-11-16 Boavista W 3-0 1644 1463 73.5% 19.1% 7.4% +12.0 8
1969-11-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1463 1644 7.4% 19.1% 73.5% -12.0 4
1969-11-16 Braga W 5-0 1863 1535 78.4% 18.2% 3.4% +8.9 12
1969-11-16 @ Benfica L 0-5 1535 1863 3.4% 18.2% 78.4% -8.9 6
1969-11-16 Uniao Tomar W 2-0 1680 1539 71.5% 19.3% 9.2% +10.2 8
1969-11-16 @ Porto L 0-2 1539 1680 9.2% 19.3% 71.5% -10.2 6
1969-11-16 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1652 1742 51.9% 19.8% 28.3% -2.5 10
1969-11-16 @ Varzim D 1-1 1742 1652 28.3% 19.8% 51.9% +2.5 9
1969-11-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1711 1864 43.7% 19.8% 36.5% -19.9 7
1969-11-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1864 1711 36.5% 19.8% 43.7% +19.9 15
1969-11-22 Porto D 1-1 1590 1690 50.8% 19.8% 29.4% -2.3 8
1969-11-22 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1690 1590 29.4% 19.8% 50.8% +2.3 9
1969-11-22 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1451 1682 32.9% 19.7% 47.4% +1.1 5
1969-11-22 @ Boavista D 2-2 1682 1451 47.4% 19.7% 32.9% -1.1 9
1969-11-22 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1526 1691 42.0% 19.8% 38.1% +17.8 8
1969-11-22 @ Braga L 1-2 1691 1526 38.1% 19.8% 42.0% -17.8 7
1969-11-22 Fabril W 1-0 1599 1500 69.1% 19.4% 11.4% +6.6 10
1969-11-22 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1500 1599 11.4% 19.4% 69.1% -6.6 4
1969-11-22 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1884 1656 75.4% 18.9% 5.8% +3.3 17
1969-11-22 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1656 1884 5.8% 18.9% 75.4% -3.3 8
1969-11-22 Varzim L 0-2 1529 1649 48.1% 19.8% 32.1% -43.1 6
1969-11-22 @ Uniao Tomar W 2-0 1649 1529 32.1% 19.8% 48.1% +43.1 12
1969-11-22 Benfica W 1-0 1745 1871 47.3% 19.8% 32.9% +16.7 11
1969-11-22 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1871 1745 32.9% 19.8% 47.3% -16.7 12
1969-11-30 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1681 1887 36.2% 19.8% 44.0% +58.0 11
1969-11-30 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1887 1681 44.0% 19.8% 36.2% -58.0 17
1969-11-30 Braga W 1-0 1653 1544 69.8% 19.4% 10.8% +6.3 10
1969-11-30 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1544 1653 10.8% 19.4% 69.8% -6.3 8
1969-11-30 Uniao Tomar W 6-0 1855 1486 79.4% 17.9% 2.7% +8.4 14
1969-11-30 @ Benfica L 0-6 1486 1855 2.7% 17.9% 79.4% -8.4 6
1969-11-30 Boavista W 2-1 1494 1452 65.1% 19.6% 15.3% +8.1 6
1969-11-30 @ Fabril L 1-2 1452 1494 15.3% 19.6% 65.1% -8.1 5
1969-11-30 Leixoes W 5-1 1692 1606 68.4% 19.5% 12.2% +20.9 11
1969-11-30 @ Porto L 1-5 1606 1692 12.2% 19.5% 68.4% -20.9 10
1969-11-30 Barreirense L 1-2 1693 1588 69.5% 19.4% 11.1% -30.9 12
1969-11-30 @ Varzim W 2-1 1588 1693 11.1% 19.4% 69.5% +30.9 10
1969-11-30 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1673 1762 52.2% 19.8% 28.0% +13.8 9
1969-11-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1762 1673 28.0% 19.8% 52.2% -13.8 11
1969-12-14 Benfica D 2-2 1619 1863 31.1% 19.7% 49.2% +1.4 11
1969-12-14 @ Barreirense D 2-2 1863 1619 49.2% 19.7% 31.1% -1.4 15
1969-12-14 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1538 1739 36.9% 19.8% 43.4% +0.7 9
1969-12-14 @ Braga D 1-1 1739 1538 43.4% 19.8% 36.9% -0.7 12
1969-12-14 Boavista W 6-2 1585 1444 71.5% 19.3% 9.2% +13.7 12
1969-12-14 @ Leixoes L 2-6 1444 1585 9.2% 19.3% 71.5% -13.7 5
1969-12-14 Varzim L 0-1 1713 1662 65.9% 19.6% 14.5% -31.0 11
1969-12-14 @ Porto W 1-0 1662 1713 14.5% 19.6% 65.9% +31.0 14
1969-12-14 Fabril W 3-0 1829 1502 78.4% 18.2% 3.4% +5.6 19
1969-12-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1502 1829 3.4% 18.2% 78.4% -5.5 6
1969-12-14 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1477 1687 35.7% 19.8% 44.5% -16.8 6
1969-12-14 @ Uniao Tomar W 2-1 1687 1477 44.5% 19.8% 35.7% +16.8 11
1969-12-14 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-0 1748 1660 68.5% 19.5% 12.0% +24.9 13
1969-12-14 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1660 1748 12.0% 19.5% 68.5% -24.9 10
1969-12-21 Vitoria Setubal L 0-3 1738 1773 58.2% 19.8% 22.0% -74.9 12
1969-12-21 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1773 1738 22.0% 19.8% 58.2% +74.9 15
1969-12-21 Uniao Tomar W 2-1 1635 1461 73.2% 19.1% 7.7% +4.3 12
1969-12-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1461 1635 7.7% 19.1% 73.2% -4.3 6
1969-12-21 Porto W 2-0 1862 1682 73.5% 19.1% 7.5% +8.3 17
1969-12-21 @ Benfica L 0-2 1682 1862 7.5% 19.1% 73.5% -8.4 11
1969-12-21 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1430 1835 15.0% 19.1% 65.9% +6.5 6
1969-12-21 @ Boavista D 0-0 1835 1430 65.9% 19.1% 15.0% -6.5 20
1969-12-21 Braga W 3-1 1496 1538 57.4% 19.8% 22.8% +20.1 8
1969-12-21 @ Fabril L 1-3 1538 1496 22.8% 19.8% 57.4% -20.1 9
1969-12-21 Varzim L 0-1 1598 1693 51.4% 19.8% 28.8% -24.3 12
1969-12-21 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1693 1598 28.8% 19.8% 51.4% +24.3 16
1969-12-21 Barreirense W 3-0 1704 1620 68.2% 19.5% 12.3% +19.5 13
1969-12-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-3 1620 1704 12.3% 19.5% 68.2% -19.5 11
1969-12-28 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1601 1639 57.9% 19.8% 22.4% -4.3 12
1969-12-28 @ Barreirense D 0-0 1639 1601 22.4% 19.8% 57.9% +4.3 13
1969-12-28 Boavista W 3-0 1518 1437 68.0% 19.5% 12.5% +19.7 11
1969-12-28 @ Braga L 0-3 1437 1518 12.5% 19.5% 68.0% -19.7 6
1969-12-28 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1674 1723 56.6% 19.8% 23.6% +12.7 13
1969-12-28 @ Porto L 0-1 1723 1674 23.6% 19.8% 56.6% -12.7 13
1969-12-28 Leixoes W 4-1 1828 1574 76.3% 18.7% 5.0% +6.9 22
1969-12-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1574 1828 5.0% 18.7% 76.3% -6.9 12
1969-12-28 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1456 1664 36.0% 19.8% 44.2% +21.2 8
1969-12-28 @ Uniao Tomar L 0-1 1664 1456 44.2% 19.8% 36.0% -21.2 12
1969-12-28 Benfica L 0-1 1717 1870 43.7% 19.8% 36.5% -21.0 16
1969-12-28 @ Varzim W 1-0 1870 1717 36.5% 19.8% 43.7% +21.1 19
1969-12-28 Fabril D 2-2 1847 1516 78.5% 18.2% 3.3% -6.8 16
1969-12-28 @ Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1516 1847 3.3% 18.2% 78.5% +6.8 9
1970-01-04 Academica de Coimbra W 4-1 1597 1642 57.0% 19.8% 23.2% +28.8 14
1970-01-04 @ Barreirense L 1-4 1642 1597 23.2% 19.8% 57.0% -28.8 12
1970-01-04 Leixoes W 3-0 1891 1567 78.3% 18.3% 3.4% +5.6 21
1970-01-04 @ Benfica L 0-3 1567 1891 3.4% 18.3% 78.3% -5.6 12
1970-01-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1538 1835 24.9% 19.6% 55.6% -21.5 11
1970-01-04 @ Braga W 3-1 1835 1538 55.6% 19.6% 24.9% +21.5 24
1970-01-04 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1686 1643 65.2% 19.6% 15.2% -6.4 14
1970-01-04 @ Porto D 0-0 1643 1686 15.2% 19.6% 65.2% +6.4 14
1970-01-04 Fabril D 0-0 1477 1523 57.0% 19.8% 23.2% -4.1 9
1970-01-04 @ Uniao Tomar D 0-0 1523 1477 23.2% 19.8% 57.0% +4.1 10
1970-01-04 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-1 1696 1711 60.2% 19.7% 20.1% +25.4 18
1970-01-04 @ Varzim L 1-4 1711 1696 20.1% 19.7% 60.2% -25.4 13
1970-01-04 Boavista W 2-1 1841 1417 80.5% 17.5% 2.0% +1.1 18
1970-01-04 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1417 1841 2.0% 17.5% 80.5% -1.1 6
1970-01-18 Porto L 1-2 1613 1680 54.7% 19.8% 25.5% -24.3 12
1970-01-18 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1680 1613 25.5% 19.8% 54.7% +24.3 16
1970-01-18 Varzim W 1-0 1650 1721 54.1% 19.8% 26.1% +13.8 16
1970-01-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1721 1650 26.1% 19.8% 54.1% -13.8 18
1970-01-18 Uniao Tomar W 2-0 1416 1473 55.8% 19.8% 24.4% +24.6 8
1970-01-18 @ Boavista L 0-2 1473 1416 24.4% 19.8% 55.8% -24.6 9
1970-01-18 Barreirense L 0-1 1527 1625 51.0% 19.8% 29.2% -24.1 10
1970-01-18 @ Fabril W 1-0 1625 1527 29.2% 19.8% 51.0% +24.1 16
1970-01-18 Braga W 2-1 1561 1517 65.4% 19.6% 15.0% +8.0 14
1970-01-18 @ Leixoes L 1-2 1517 1561 15.0% 19.6% 65.4% -8.0 11
1970-01-18 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1857 1842 62.9% 19.7% 17.4% +15.9 26
1970-01-18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1842 1857 17.4% 19.7% 62.9% -15.9 18
1970-01-18 Benfica W 2-1 1685 1897 35.5% 19.8% 44.8% +20.3 15
1970-01-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1897 1685 44.8% 19.8% 35.5% -20.2 21
1970-01-25 Boavista W 2-0 1649 1441 74.7% 18.9% 6.4% +7.2 18
1970-01-25 @ Barreirense L 0-2 1441 1649 6.4% 18.9% 74.7% -7.2 8
1970-01-25 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1877 1663 74.8% 18.9% 6.2% -9.2 22
1970-01-25 @ Benfica D 0-0 1663 1877 6.2% 18.9% 74.8% +9.2 17
1970-01-25 Fabril W 2-0 1704 1503 74.4% 19.0% 6.7% +7.5 18
1970-01-25 @ Porto L 0-2 1503 1704 6.7% 19.0% 74.4% -7.5 10
1970-01-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1449 1872 13.6% 19.1% 67.3% -21.1 9
1970-01-25 @ Uniao Tomar W 3-0 1872 1449 67.3% 19.1% 13.6% +21.1 28
1970-01-25 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1707 1589 70.3% 19.4% 10.3% -5.2 19
1970-01-25 @ Varzim D 2-2 1589 1707 10.3% 19.4% 70.3% +5.2 13
1970-01-25 Leixoes W 2-0 1706 1569 71.3% 19.3% 9.4% +10.4 17
1970-01-25 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1569 1706 9.4% 19.3% 71.3% -10.4 14
1970-01-25 Braga W 7-1 1826 1508 78.1% 18.3% 3.6% +9.2 20
1970-01-25 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-7 1508 1826 3.6% 18.3% 78.1% -9.2 11
1970-02-01 Benfica L 0-2 1594 1867 27.6% 19.6% 52.8% -27.2 13
1970-02-01 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1867 1594 52.8% 19.6% 27.6% +27.2 24
1970-02-01 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1673 1716 57.3% 19.8% 23.0% +12.4 19
1970-02-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1716 1673 23.0% 19.8% 57.3% -12.4 17
1970-02-01 Porto W 3-2 1434 1712 27.0% 19.6% 53.4% +22.5 10
1970-02-01 @ Boavista L 2-3 1712 1434 53.4% 19.6% 27.0% -22.5 18
1970-02-01 Uniao Tomar D 1-1 1499 1428 67.4% 19.5% 13.1% -6.2 12
1970-02-01 @ Braga D 1-1 1428 1499 13.1% 19.5% 67.4% +6.2 10
1970-02-01 Varzim D 1-1 1496 1702 36.2% 19.8% 44.1% +0.8 11
1970-02-01 @ Fabril D 1-1 1702 1496 44.1% 19.8% 36.2% -0.8 20
1970-02-01 Vitoria Setubal L 1-3 1559 1835 27.2% 19.6% 53.2% -23.3 14
1970-02-01 @ Leixoes W 3-1 1835 1559 53.2% 19.6% 27.2% +23.3 22
1970-02-01 Barreirense W 1-0 1894 1657 75.7% 18.8% 5.5% +3.3 30
1970-02-01 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1657 1894 5.5% 18.8% 75.7% -3.3 18
1970-02-08 Braga W 5-1 1653 1493 72.5% 19.2% 8.3% +14.6 20
1970-02-08 @ Barreirense L 1-5 1493 1653 8.3% 19.2% 72.5% -14.6 12
1970-02-08 Leixoes W 1-0 1685 1536 72.0% 19.2% 8.8% +5.2 21
1970-02-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1536 1685 8.8% 19.2% 72.0% -5.2 14
1970-02-08 Fabril L 0-1 1895 1497 80.0% 17.7% 2.3% -37.9 24
1970-02-08 @ Benfica W 1-0 1497 1895 2.3% 17.7% 80.0% +37.9 13
1970-02-08 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1689 1897 36.0% 19.8% 44.2% -18.0 18
1970-02-08 @ Porto W 1-0 1897 1689 44.2% 19.8% 36.0% +18.0 32
1970-02-08 Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1434 1858 13.5% 19.1% 67.4% -7.2 10
1970-02-08 @ Uniao Tomar W 2-1 1858 1434 67.4% 19.1% 13.5% +7.2 24
1970-02-08 Boavista W 4-1 1701 1456 76.0% 18.8% 5.2% +7.3 22
1970-02-08 @ Varzim L 1-4 1456 1701 5.2% 18.8% 76.0% -7.3 10
1970-02-08 Academica de Coimbra W 4-0 1704 1567 71.3% 19.3% 9.4% +19.7 19
1970-02-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-4 1567 1704 9.4% 19.3% 71.3% -19.7 13
1970-02-22 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-0 1548 1690 45.1% 19.8% 35.0% +48.2 15
1970-02-22 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1690 1548 35.0% 19.8% 45.1% -48.2 21
1970-02-22 Benfica D 1-1 1449 1857 14.7% 19.1% 66.2% +5.9 11
1970-02-22 @ Boavista D 1-1 1857 1449 66.2% 19.1% 14.7% -5.9 25
1970-02-22 Porto D 1-1 1478 1671 38.1% 19.8% 42.1% +0.4 13
1970-02-22 @ Braga D 1-1 1671 1478 42.1% 19.8% 38.1% -0.4 19
1970-02-22 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1534 1723 38.6% 19.8% 41.6% +20.2 15
1970-02-22 @ Fabril L 0-1 1723 1534 41.6% 19.8% 38.6% -20.2 19
1970-02-22 Uniao Tomar W 1-0 1531 1427 69.5% 19.4% 11.1% +6.5 16
1970-02-22 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1427 1531 11.1% 19.4% 69.5% -6.5 10
1970-02-22 Varzim D 1-1 1915 1709 74.6% 19.0% 6.5% -8.1 33
1970-02-22 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1709 1915 6.5% 19.0% 74.6% +8.1 23
1970-02-22 Barreirense W 2-1 1866 1668 74.2% 19.0% 6.8% +3.8 26
1970-02-22 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1668 1866 6.8% 19.0% 74.2% -3.8 20
1970-03-01 Leixoes W 5-1 1596 1537 66.5% 19.6% 14.0% +23.8 17
1970-03-01 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-5 1537 1596 14.0% 19.6% 66.5% -23.8 16
1970-03-01 Uniao Tomar W 3-0 1664 1420 75.9% 18.8% 5.3% +8.7 22
1970-03-01 @ Barreirense L 0-3 1420 1664 5.3% 18.8% 75.9% -8.7 10
1970-03-01 Fabril L 1-3 1642 1555 68.4% 19.5% 12.1% -52.7 21
1970-03-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1555 1642 12.1% 19.5% 68.4% +52.7 17
1970-03-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1851 1907 55.9% 19.8% 24.3% -3.4 26
1970-03-01 @ Benfica D 1-1 1907 1851 24.3% 19.8% 55.9% +3.4 34
1970-03-01 Vitoria Setubal L 0-3 1671 1869 37.2% 19.8% 43.0% -50.6 19
1970-03-01 @ Porto W 3-0 1869 1671 43.0% 19.8% 37.2% +50.6 28
1970-03-01 Braga W 3-2 1717 1479 75.7% 18.8% 5.5% +2.9 25
1970-03-01 @ Varzim L 2-3 1479 1717 5.5% 18.8% 75.7% -2.9 13
1970-03-01 Boavista W 3-2 1703 1455 76.1% 18.7% 5.2% +2.8 21
1970-03-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1455 1703 5.2% 18.7% 76.1% -2.8 11
1970-03-08 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-1 1452 1589 45.8% 19.8% 34.3% +40.0 13
1970-03-08 @ Boavista L 1-4 1589 1452 34.3% 19.8% 45.8% -40.0 21
1970-03-08 Benfica L 1-3 1476 1847 17.6% 19.3% 63.1% -15.9 13
1970-03-08 @ Braga W 3-1 1847 1476 63.1% 19.3% 17.6% +15.9 28
1970-03-08 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1607 1620 60.4% 19.7% 19.8% -4.5 18
1970-03-08 @ Fabril D 1-1 1620 1607 19.8% 19.7% 60.4% +4.5 18
1970-03-08 Barreirense W 2-0 1513 1673 42.8% 19.8% 37.4% +35.0 18
1970-03-08 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1673 1513 37.4% 19.8% 42.8% -35.0 22
1970-03-08 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-1 1910 1706 74.5% 19.0% 6.6% +11.7 36
1970-03-08 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1706 1910 6.6% 19.0% 74.5% -11.7 21
1970-03-08 Porto W 3-0 1412 1620 35.9% 19.8% 44.4% +58.4 12
1970-03-08 @ Uniao Tomar L 0-3 1620 1412 44.4% 19.8% 35.9% -58.4 19
1970-03-08 Varzim W 2-1 1920 1720 74.3% 19.0% 6.7% +3.8 30
1970-03-08 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1720 1920 6.7% 19.0% 74.3% -3.8 25
1970-03-15 Boavista W 4-1 1624 1492 71.1% 19.3% 9.6% +13.0 20
1970-03-15 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-4 1492 1624 9.6% 19.3% 71.1% -13.0 13
1970-03-15 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1549 1922 17.5% 19.3% 63.2% -9.1 21
1970-03-15 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1922 1549 63.2% 19.3% 17.5% +9.1 38
1970-03-15 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1863 1924 55.4% 19.8% 24.8% +12.5 30
1970-03-15 @ Benfica L 1-2 1924 1863 24.8% 19.8% 55.4% -12.5 30
1970-03-15 Leixoes W 1-0 1603 1548 66.1% 19.6% 14.3% +8.1 20
1970-03-15 @ Fabril L 0-1 1548 1603 14.3% 19.6% 66.1% -8.1 18
1970-03-15 Barreirense D 1-1 1562 1638 53.6% 19.8% 26.6% -2.9 20
1970-03-15 @ Porto D 1-1 1638 1562 26.6% 19.8% 53.6% +2.9 23
1970-03-15 Uniao Tomar W 2-0 1716 1470 76.0% 18.7% 5.2% +5.9 27
1970-03-15 @ Varzim L 0-2 1470 1716 5.2% 18.7% 76.0% -5.9 12
1970-03-15 Braga W 2-0 1694 1460 75.6% 18.8% 5.6% +6.3 23
1970-03-15 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1460 1694 5.6% 18.8% 75.6% -6.3 13
1970-03-29 Varzim W 2-0 1641 1722 53.0% 19.8% 27.2% +26.9 25
1970-03-29 @ Barreirense L 0-2 1722 1641 27.2% 19.8% 53.0% -26.9 27
1970-03-29 Fabril D 0-0 1479 1611 46.5% 19.8% 33.6% -1.5 14
1970-03-29 @ Boavista D 0-0 1611 1479 33.6% 19.8% 46.5% +1.5 21
1970-03-29 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1454 1540 52.4% 19.8% 27.8% +14.5 15
1970-03-29 @ Braga L 0-1 1540 1454 27.8% 19.8% 52.4% -14.5 21
1970-03-29 Porto W 2-0 1540 1559 59.8% 19.7% 20.5% +21.1 20
1970-03-29 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1559 1540 20.5% 19.7% 59.8% -21.1 20
1970-03-29 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1931 1637 77.5% 18.5% 4.0% +2.3 40
1970-03-29 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1637 1931 4.0% 18.5% 77.5% -2.3 20
1970-03-29 Benfica L 0-4 1464 1876 14.4% 19.1% 66.5% -29.1 12
1970-03-29 @ Uniao Tomar W 4-0 1876 1464 66.5% 19.1% 14.4% +29.1 32
1970-03-29 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1911 1701 74.7% 18.9% 6.3% +7.1 32
1970-03-29 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1701 1911 6.3% 18.9% 74.7% -7.1 23
1970-04-05 Braga L 0-1 1635 1468 72.8% 19.1% 8.0% -34.5 20
1970-04-05 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1468 1635 8.0% 19.1% 72.8% +34.5 17
1970-04-05 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1526 1919 15.8% 19.2% 65.0% +30.4 23
1970-04-05 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1919 1526 65.0% 19.2% 15.8% -30.4 32
1970-04-05 Barreirense W 3-0 1905 1668 75.7% 18.8% 5.5% +9.0 34
1970-04-05 @ Benfica L 0-3 1668 1905 5.5% 18.8% 75.7% -9.0 25
1970-04-05 Leixoes W 3-2 1477 1561 52.7% 19.8% 27.5% +12.9 16
1970-04-05 @ Boavista L 2-3 1561 1477 27.5% 19.8% 52.7% -12.9 20
1970-04-05 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1613 1933 22.3% 19.5% 58.2% -19.6 21
1970-04-05 @ Fabril W 3-1 1933 1613 58.2% 19.5% 22.3% +19.6 42
1970-04-05 Porto L 0-2 1695 1538 72.4% 19.2% 8.4% -64.7 27
1970-04-05 @ Varzim W 2-0 1538 1695 8.4% 19.2% 72.4% +64.7 22
1970-04-05 Uniao Tomar W 2-1 1693 1435 76.4% 18.7% 4.9% +2.8 25
1970-04-05 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1435 1693 4.9% 18.7% 76.4% -2.8 12
1970-04-12 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1659 1696 57.9% 19.8% 22.4% -3.9 26
1970-04-12 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1696 1659 22.4% 19.8% 57.9% +3.9 26
1970-04-12 Fabril L 0-1 1503 1593 51.9% 19.8% 28.3% -24.5 17
1970-04-12 @ Braga W 1-0 1593 1503 28.3% 19.8% 51.9% +24.5 23
1970-04-12 Benfica L 1-2 1602 1914 23.3% 19.5% 57.2% -11.8 22
1970-04-12 @ Porto W 2-1 1914 1602 57.2% 19.5% 23.3% +11.8 36
1970-04-12 Boavista W 3-0 1953 1490 81.2% 17.2% 1.6% +2.6 44
1970-04-12 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1490 1953 1.6% 17.2% 81.2% -2.6 16
1970-04-12 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1432 1556 47.7% 19.8% 32.5% +15.6 14
1970-04-12 @ Uniao Tomar L 1-2 1556 1432 32.5% 19.8% 47.7% -15.6 23
1970-04-12 Leixoes D 0-0 1630 1548 68.1% 19.5% 12.4% -7.2 28
1970-04-12 @ Varzim D 0-0 1548 1630 12.4% 19.5% 68.1% +7.2 21
1970-04-12 Academica de Coimbra W 5-1 1888 1600 77.3% 18.5% 4.2% +7.5 34
1970-04-12 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-5 1600 1888 4.2% 18.5% 77.3% -7.5 20
1970-04-19 Uniao Tomar W 4-0 1593 1448 71.8% 19.2% 9.0% +18.9 22
1970-04-19 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-4 1448 1593 9.0% 19.2% 71.8% -18.9 14
1970-04-19 Barreirense L 0-1 1540 1655 48.9% 19.8% 31.3% -23.2 23
1970-04-19 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1655 1540 31.3% 19.8% 48.9% +23.2 28
1970-04-19 Varzim W 1-0 1926 1623 77.7% 18.4% 3.9% +2.3 38
1970-04-19 @ Benfica L 0-1 1623 1926 3.9% 18.4% 77.7% -2.3 28
1970-04-19 Braga W 2-0 1488 1478 62.4% 19.7% 17.9% +18.8 18
1970-04-19 @ Boavista L 0-2 1478 1488 17.9% 19.7% 62.4% -18.8 17
1970-04-19 Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1617 1896 27.0% 19.6% 53.4% -50.6 23
1970-04-19 @ Fabril W 4-0 1896 1617 53.4% 19.6% 27.0% +50.6 36
1970-04-19 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1556 1955 15.3% 19.2% 65.5% -17.2 21
1970-04-19 @ Leixoes W 5-2 1955 1556 65.5% 19.2% 15.3% +17.1 46
1970-04-19 Porto W 1-0 1700 1591 69.8% 19.4% 10.8% +6.3 28
1970-04-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1591 1700 10.8% 19.4% 69.8% -6.3 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1970-02-08 2.30% Fabril 1497 1 @ Benfica 1895 0
2 1969-09-06 6.35% Barreirense 1505 3 @ Academica de Coimbra 1715 1
3 1970-04-05 8.01% Braga 1468 1 @ Academica de Coimbra 1635 0
4 1970-04-05 8.41% Porto 1538 2 @ Varzim 1695 0
5 1969-11-30 11.08% Barreirense 1588 2 @ Varzim 1693 1
6 1969-09-28 12.07% Os Belenenses (1st) 1631 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1719 1
7 1970-03-01 12.11% Fabril 1555 3 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1642 1
8 1969-09-06 13.84% Uniao Tomar 1565 2 @ Fabril 1626 1
9 1969-12-14 14.53% Varzim 1662 1 @ Porto 1713 0
10 1969-09-14 15.50% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1734 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1773 0
11 1970-04-05 15.83% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1526 1 Vitoria Setubal 1919 0
12 1969-09-14 21.92% Fabril 1596 4 @ Barreirense 1563 3
13 1969-12-21 22.00% Vitoria Setubal 1773 3 @ Academica de Coimbra 1738 0
14 1969-11-09 22.26% Os Belenenses (1st) 1593 2 @ Fabril 1556 0
15 1969-10-26 23.28% Academica de Coimbra 1665 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1618 1
16 1969-10-26 23.75% Leixoes 1620 1 @ Uniao Tomar 1569 0
17 1970-01-18 25.47% Porto 1680 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1613 1
18 1969-11-09 25.69% Varzim 1628 2 @ Braga 1559 1
19 1970-02-01 27.00% @ Boavista 1434 3 Porto 1712 2
20 1969-09-20 27.84% Vitoria Guimaraes 1694 1 @ Leixoes 1607 0
21 1970-04-12 28.26% Fabril 1593 1 @ Braga 1503 0
22 1969-12-21 28.77% Varzim 1693 1 @ Leixoes 1598 0
23 1970-01-18 29.23% Barreirense 1625 1 @ Fabril 1527 0
24 1969-10-26 30.48% @ Barreirense 1482 2 Vitoria Setubal 1731 0
25 1969-10-19 30.90% Varzim 1604 2 @ Boavista 1493 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1969-12-21 74.87 Vitoria Setubal 3 1773 22.00% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1738 58.24% 19.76%
2 1970-04-05 64.66 Porto 2 1538 8.41% @ Varzim 0 1695 72.40% 19.19%
3 1969-11-16 60.33 @ Barreirense 4 1530 46.94% Leixoes 0 1659 33.25% 19.82%
4 1970-03-08 58.40 @ Uniao Tomar 3 1412 35.87% Porto 0 1620 44.38% 19.75%
5 1969-11-30 57.99 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1681 36.24% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1887 44.01% 19.76%
6 1969-09-06 57.92 Barreirense 3 1505 6.35% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1715 74.71% 18.94%
7 1969-09-14 57.52 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1734 15.50% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1773 64.89% 19.61%
8 1969-11-09 55.60 @ Vitoria Setubal 5 1687 56.72% Porto 0 1735 23.50% 19.78%
9 1970-03-01 52.68 Fabril 3 1555 12.11% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1642 68.42% 19.47%
10 1969-11-09 51.32 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1593 22.26% @ Fabril 0 1556 57.98% 19.76%
11 1970-03-01 50.63 Vitoria Setubal 3 1869 42.99% @ Porto 0 1671 37.25% 19.77%
12 1970-04-19 50.60 Vitoria Setubal 4 1896 53.40% @ Fabril 0 1617 26.99% 19.61%
13 1970-02-22 48.22 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1548 45.14% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1690 35.05% 19.81%
14 1969-10-26 44.47 @ Barreirense 2 1482 30.48% Vitoria Setubal 0 1731 49.84% 19.68%
15 1969-11-22 43.13 Varzim 2 1649 32.09% @ Uniao Tomar 0 1529 48.09% 19.82%
16 1969-10-19 42.97 @ Leixoes 5 1577 52.67% Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1661 27.52% 19.81%
17 1969-09-14 42.76 @ Benfica 5 1752 62.95% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1737 17.39% 19.67%
18 1970-03-08 39.99 @ Boavista 4 1452 45.84% Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1589 34.34% 19.82%
19 1969-09-06 39.05 @ Leixoes 2 1593 37.39% Benfica 0 1791 42.84% 19.77%
20 1969-09-28 38.01 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1810 54.01% @ Barreirense 0 1527 26.40% 19.59%
21 1970-02-08 37.88 Fabril 1 1497 2.30% @ Benfica 0 1895 79.96% 17.74%
22 1970-03-08 35.00 @ Leixoes 2 1513 42.78% Barreirense 0 1673 37.41% 19.80%
23 1970-04-05 34.52 Braga 1 1468 8.01% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1635 72.84% 19.15%
24 1969-10-19 32.55 Benfica 2 1832 46.02% @ Fabril 0 1611 34.25% 19.73%
25 1969-12-14 31.00 Varzim 1 1662 14.53% @ Porto 0 1713 65.90% 19.58%