1969-70 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

46 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

9.40 points above expected

46 points · 36.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Porto

6.23 points below expected

22 points · 28.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	21	4	1	46	61	17	+44	36.6	+9.40
2	Benfica	26	17	4	5	38	58	14	+44	36.3	+1.70
3	Vitoria Setubal	26	16	4	6	36	58	26	+32	33.1	+2.88
4	Barreirense	26	11	6	9	28	42	33	+9	21.7	+6.28
5	Varzim	26	10	8	8	28	31	26	+5	26.2	+1.78
6	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	12	4	10	28	38	36	+2	29.1	-1.14
7	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	9	5	12	23	23	34	-11	24.7	-1.69
8	Fabril	26	9	5	12	23	24	38	-14	21.2	+1.75
9	Academica de Coimbra	26	8	6	12	22	42	46	-4	26.5	-4.46
10	Porto	26	8	6	12	22	30	37	-7	28.2	-6.23
11	Leixoes	26	10	1	15	21	33	47	-14	22.4	-1.39
12	Boavista	26	6	6	14	18	35	61	-26	17.0	+0.96
13	Braga	26	6	5	15	17	25	52	-27	20.7	-3.73
14	Uniao Tomar	26	5	4	17	14	20	53	-33	20.1	-6.11

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1928	46	36.60	+9.40	100.0%	29	31	34	37	39	42	45
Vitoria Setubal	1901	36	33.12	+2.88	79.0%	20	27	30	33	36	41	45
Benfica	1899	38	36.30	+1.70	69.0%	26	29	33	37	39	42	45
Vitoria Guimaraes	1705	28	29.14	-1.14	46.0%	21	23	27	29	32	36	42
Barreirense	1648	28	21.72	+6.28	99.0%	10	15	20	22	24	27	29
Varzim	1627	28	26.22	+1.78	76.0%	18	20	24	26	28	33	35
Academica de Coimbra	1622	22	26.46	-4.46	16.0%	18	21	23	26	29	33	34
Porto	1615	22	28.23	-6.23	8.0%	20	22	26	28	31	34	36
Fabril	1571	23	21.25	+1.75	70.0%	12	15	19	21	24	27	29
Os Belenenses (1st)	1555	23	24.69	-1.69	40.0%	14	18	22	24	27	31	37
Leixoes	1551	21	22.39	-1.39	39.0%	13	15	20	23	25	29	31
Boavista	1503	18	17.04	+0.96	61.0%	7	10	14	17	20	24	25
Braga	1485	17	20.73	-3.73	19.0%	13	15	18	21	23	26	29
Uniao Tomar	1455	14	20.11	-6.11	6.0%	13	14	17	20	23	27	28

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	BAR	BEN	BOA	BRA	FAB	LEI	OB(	POR	SCDP	UT	VAR	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	0-0-2 3.53	0-0-2 1.73	1-1-0 3.98	0-1-1 3.77	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.15	2-0-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 1.85	1-0-1 3.79	1-1-0 2.87	0-1-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.30
Barreirense	2-0-0 2.13	—	0-1-1 1.42	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 2.77	0-2-0 2.35	0-0-2 1.41	1-1-0 3.07	2-0-0 2.35	0-1-1 2.35	1-0-1 1.52
Benfica	2-0-0 3.92	1-1-0 4.25	—	1-1-0 4.75	2-0-0 4.56	1-0-1 4.08	1-0-1 3.97	1-1-0 3.67	2-0-0 4.11	0-1-1 2.82	2-0-0 4.69	2-0-0 3.89	1-0-1 3.56	1-0-1 3.10
Boavista	0-1-1 1.68	1-0-1 2.40	0-1-1 0.94	—	1-0-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.24	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 1.94	1-0-1 1.41	0-1-1 0.96	1-0-1 2.41	0-0-2 2.09	0-1-1 1.50	0-1-1 1.32
Braga	1-1-0 1.88	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 1.11	1-0-1 3.05	—	0-0-2 2.63	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.29	0-1-1 1.83	0-0-2 1.52	0-2-0 2.91	0-0-2 2.31	1-0-1 1.89	0-1-1 1.83
Fabril	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 1.60	1-1-0 3.41	2-0-0 3.01	—	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 2.08	0-0-2 1.29	0-1-1 3.10	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.01	0-1-1 1.42
Leixoes	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 1.70	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.89	—	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 2.45	0-0-2 1.15	2-0-0 3.16	0-1-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.28	0-0-2 1.69
Os Belenenses (1st)	0-0-2 2.99	0-1-1 2.88	0-1-1 1.99	1-0-1 3.72	1-0-1 3.37	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 3.31	—	0-2-0 2.41	0-0-2 1.34	1-0-1 3.58	1-1-0 2.87	2-0-0 2.51	1-0-1 1.48
Porto	1-1-0 3.17	0-2-0 3.30	0-0-2 1.55	1-0-1 4.25	1-1-0 3.83	1-0-1 3.58	1-0-1 3.20	0-2-0 3.25	—	0-0-2 2.06	1-0-1 3.86	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.41
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 3.81	2-0-0 4.26	1-1-0 2.83	1-1-0 4.73	2-0-0 4.14	2-0-0 4.38	2-0-0 4.52	2-0-0 4.32	2-0-0 3.60	—	2-0-0 4.47	0-2-0 3.95	2-0-0 3.55	2-0-0 2.81
Uniao Tomar	1-0-1 1.87	0-1-1 2.59	0-0-2 0.98	1-0-1 3.24	0-2-0 2.75	1-1-0 2.55	0-0-2 2.49	1-0-1 2.08	1-0-1 1.79	0-0-2 1.19	—	0-0-2 2.17	0-0-2 1.73	0-0-2 1.24
Varzim	0-1-1 2.78	0-0-2 3.30	0-0-2 1.78	2-0-0 3.57	2-0-0 3.35	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 3.19	0-1-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.85	0-2-0 1.71	2-0-0 3.49	—	1-1-0 2.41	0-1-1 2.12
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-1-0 3.10	1-1-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.09	1-1-0 4.16	1-0-1 3.77	1-0-1 3.65	2-0-0 3.37	0-0-2 3.15	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-2 2.10	2-0-0 3.94	0-1-1 3.24	—	1-0-1 2.28
Vitoria Setubal	2-0-0 3.37	1-0-1 4.14	1-0-1 2.54	1-1-0 4.36	1-1-0 3.83	1-1-0 4.25	2-0-0 3.97	1-0-1 4.18	2-0-0 3.23	0-0-2 2.84	2-0-0 4.43	1-1-0 3.54	1-0-1 3.38	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.95%	8.79%	6.59%	4.67%	2.20%	1.65%	28.85%
1	8.79%	9.34%	8.24%	2.47%	1.65%	1.92%	32.42%
2	6.59%	8.24%	3.30%	1.37%	0.27%	0.55%	20.33%
3	4.67%	2.47%	1.37%	1.10%	0.27%	—	9.89%
4	2.20%	1.65%	0.27%	0.27%	—	—	4.40%
5+	1.65%	1.92%	0.55%	—	—	—	4.12%
Total	28.85%	32.42%	20.33%	9.89%	4.40%	4.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.40
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	2.86
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.189
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	11.54%	—	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	30.77%	19.23%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.376
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	26.92%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	34.62%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	—	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.198
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	15.38%	—	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	57.69%	30.77%	11.54%	—	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	0.54
StdDev scored	2.03
StdDev allowed	0.71
Mean total goals/game	2.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.454
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	26.92%
1	—	7.69%	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
3	—	—	11.54%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	11.54%	38.46%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	2.35
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.83
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.157
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	11.54%	19.23%	7.69%	11.54%	—	7.69%	57.69%
2	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	34.62%	19.23%	15.38%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.96
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	0.82
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.251
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	46.15%
1	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	34.62%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	—	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.92
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.061
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	15.38%	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	38.46%
2	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	30.77%	23.08%	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	3.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.042
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	19.23%	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	53.85%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.88
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	0.77
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	2.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.146
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	34.62%
1	3.85%	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	38.46%	19.23%	15.38%	—	3.85%	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.236
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
1	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
2	3.85%	19.23%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
3	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	26.92%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	46.15%	46.15%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.35
Mean allowed	0.65
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	0.75
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.004
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	53.85%
1	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	23.08%	42.31%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Uniao Tomar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.379
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
1	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	42.31%	23.08%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	2.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.039
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	34.62%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	2.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.284
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	34.62%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	30.77%	42.31%	23.08%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.449
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	46	36.6	+9.40
2	Barreirense	28	21.7	+6.28
3	Vitoria Setubal	36	33.1	+2.88
4	Varzim	28	26.2	+1.78
5	Fabril	23	21.2	+1.75

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Porto	22	28.2	-6.23
2	Uniao Tomar	14	20.1	-6.11
3	Academica de Coimbra	22	26.5	-4.46
4	Braga	17	20.7	-3.73
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	23	24.7	-1.69

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fabril	3	Feb 8 – Mar 1	1 in 518
2	Braga	2	Mar 29 – Apr 5	1 in 20
3	Vitoria Setubal	6	Jan 25 – Mar 8	1 in 20
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	Dec 28 – Feb 8	1 in 20
5	Leixoes	3	Oct 19 – Nov 9	1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	Feb 22 – Mar 29	1 in 108
2	Academica de Coimbra	4	Dec 21 – Jan 18	1 in 79
3	Fabril	6	Sep 28 – Nov 22	1 in 49
4	Uniao Tomar	5	Nov 16 – Dec 21	1 in 19
5	Barreirense	4	Sep 14 – Oct 19	1 in 18

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fabril	7	Feb 1 – Mar 29	1 in 140
2	Barreirense	6	Oct 26 – Dec 14	1 in 103
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	7	Dec 21 – Feb 8	1 in 61
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	16	Dec 14 – Apr 19	1 in 42
5	Varzim	6	Sep 28 – Nov 22	1 in 37

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Uniao Tomar	10	Sep 20 – Dec 21	1 in 116
2	Porto	7	Feb 1 – Mar 29	1 in 74
3	Academica de Coimbra	8	Dec 14 – Feb 8	1 in 47
4	Benfica	3	Feb 8 – Mar 1	1 in 39
5	Varzim	4	Mar 29 – Apr 19	1 in 16

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Sporting Clube de Portugal	43.00%	39.00%	11.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Benfica	39.00%	29.00%	18.00%	8.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Vitoria Setubal	15.00%	21.00%	23.00%	22.00%	10.00%	7.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	1.00%	—
Barreirense	—	—	—	—	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	10.00%	20.00%	14.00%	10.00%	8.00%	13.00%	7.00%
Varzim	—	—	7.00%	10.00%	14.00%	17.00%	16.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	3.00%	4.00%	16.00%	20.00%	20.00%	13.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	17.00%	11.00%	15.00%	8.00%	13.00%	11.00%	5.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Fabril	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	12.00%	12.00%	17.00%	17.00%	13.00%	13.00%	8.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	1.00%	10.00%	8.00%	14.00%	9.00%	17.00%	14.00%	7.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—
Porto	—	5.00%	11.00%	15.00%	24.00%	12.00%	12.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	—
Leixoes	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	14.00%	10.00%	14.00%	11.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%	7.00%
Boavista	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	—	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	21.00%	19.00%	43.00%
Braga	—	—	—	2.00%	—	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	20.00%	15.00%	20.00%	14.00%
Uniao Tomar	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	11.00%	21.00%	16.00%	20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	100%	—
Academica de Coimbra	99.0%	1.0%
Varzim	99.0%	1.0%
Vitoria Setubal	99.0%	1.0%
Os Belenenses (1st)	93.0%	7.0%
Leixoes	83.0%	17.0%
Barreirense	80.0%	20.0%
Fabril	79.0%	21.0%
Braga	66.0%	34.0%
Uniao Tomar	64.0%	36.0%
Boavista	38.0%	62.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1969-09-06	Barreirense	L 1-3	1717	1504	77.1%	16.2%	6.7%	-40.2	0
1969-09-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1504	1717	6.7%	16.2%	77.1%	+40.2	3
1969-09-06	Porto	D 1-1	1652	1741	53.2%	17.7%	29.1%	-1.8	1
1969-09-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1741	1652	29.1%	17.7%	53.2%	+1.8	1
1969-09-06	Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1498	1760	30.1%	17.4%	52.5%	+1.2	1
1969-09-06	@ Boavista	D 2-2	1760	1498	52.5%	17.4%	30.1%	-1.2	1
1969-09-06	Uniao Tomar	L 1-2	1630	1576	67.7%	17.3%	15.1%	-20.3	0
1969-09-06	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1576	1630	15.1%	17.3%	67.7%	+20.3	3
1969-09-06	Benfica	W 2-0	1601	1783	40.7%	17.6%	41.7%	+25.9	3
1969-09-06	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1783	1601	41.7%	17.6%	40.7%	-25.9	0
1969-09-06	Braga	W 4-0	1715	1564	74.1%	16.7%	9.2%	+12.7	3
1969-09-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1564	1715	9.2%	16.7%	74.1%	-12.7	0
1969-09-06	Varzim	D 0-0	1730	1594	73.2%	16.8%	10.0%	-5.6	1
1969-09-06	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1594	1730	10.0%	16.8%	73.2%	+5.6	1
1969-09-14	Fabril	L 3-4	1544	1609	56.0%	17.6%	26.4%	-15.6	3
1969-09-14	@ Barreirense	W 4-3	1609	1544	26.4%	17.6%	56.0%	+15.6	3
1969-09-14	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-0	1757	1725	65.9%	17.4%	16.7%	+27.4	3
1969-09-14	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1725	1757	16.7%	17.4%	65.9%	-27.4	1
1969-09-14	Leixoes	W 3-1	1551	1627	54.8%	17.7%	27.6%	+15.8	3
1969-09-14	@ Braga	L 1-3	1627	1551	27.6%	17.7%	54.8%	-15.8	3
1969-09-14	Academica de Coimbra	D 3-3	1743	1677	68.5%	17.2%	14.3%	-2.6	2
1969-09-14	@ Porto	D 3-3	1677	1743	14.3%	17.2%	68.5%	+2.6	1
1969-09-14	Boavista	W 4-2	1596	1500	70.7%	17.1%	12.2%	+6.8	6
1969-09-14	@ Uniao Tomar	L 2-4	1500	1596	12.2%	17.1%	70.7%	-6.8	1
1969-09-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1599	1650	57.7%	17.6%	24.7%	-2.5	2
1969-09-14	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1650	1599	24.7%	17.6%	57.7%	+2.5	2
1969-09-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1758	1728	65.7%	17.4%	16.9%	-39.4	1
1969-09-14	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1728	1758	16.9%	17.4%	65.7%	+39.4	6
1969-09-20	Varzim	W 3-0	1680	1597	69.8%	17.1%	13.1%	+13.5	4
1969-09-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1597	1680	13.1%	17.1%	69.8%	-13.5	2
1969-09-20	Benfica	L 0-1	1653	1785	47.6%	17.7%	34.7%	-15.4	2
1969-09-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1785	1653	34.7%	17.7%	47.6%	+15.4	6
1969-09-20	Barreirense	W 3-2	1493	1528	59.4%	17.6%	23.0%	+7.4	4
1969-09-20	@ Boavista	L 2-3	1528	1493	23.0%	17.6%	59.4%	-7.4	3
1969-09-20	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1567	1719	45.0%	17.7%	37.4%	-0.5	4
1969-09-20	@ Braga	D 1-1	1719	1567	37.4%	17.7%	45.0%	+0.5	2
1969-09-20	Porto	W 2-1	1625	1740	49.9%	17.7%	32.4%	+10.5	6
1969-09-20	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1740	1625	32.4%	17.7%	49.9%	-10.5	2
1969-09-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1611	1697	53.6%	17.7%	28.7%	-17.1	3
1969-09-20	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1697	1611	28.7%	17.7%	53.6%	+17.1	4
1969-09-20	Uniao Tomar	W 5-0	1767	1603	74.8%	16.6%	8.6%	+14.6	9
1969-09-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1603	1767	8.6%	16.6%	74.8%	-14.6	6
1969-09-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1521	1782	30.1%	17.4%	52.5%	-28.5	3
1969-09-28	@ Barreirense	W 3-0	1782	1521	52.5%	17.4%	30.1%	+28.5	12
1969-09-28	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1800	1693	71.4%	17.0%	11.6%	+12.1	9
1969-09-28	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1693	1800	11.6%	17.0%	71.4%	-12.1	4
1969-09-28	Boavista	W 2-1	1730	1500	77.8%	16.1%	6.2%	+2.2	5
1969-09-28	@ Porto	L 1-2	1500	1730	6.2%	16.1%	77.8%	-2.2	4
1969-09-28	Braga	D 1-1	1588	1567	64.9%	17.4%	17.7%	-3.6	7
1969-09-28	@ Uniao Tomar	D 1-1	1567	1588	17.7%	17.4%	64.9%	+3.6	5
1969-09-28	Fabril	W 2-0	1583	1635	57.5%	17.6%	24.8%	+16.7	5
1969-09-28	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1635	1583	24.8%	17.6%	57.5%	-16.7	6
1969-09-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1714	1637	69.4%	17.2%	13.5%	-20.8	4
1969-09-28	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1637	1714	13.5%	17.2%	69.4%	+20.8	5
1969-09-28	Leixoes	W 2-1	1719	1594	72.6%	16.9%	10.6%	+3.8	5
1969-09-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1594	1719	10.6%	16.9%	72.6%	-3.8	3
1969-10-19	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 3-3	1681	1694	61.8%	17.5%	20.7%	-1.9	5
1969-10-19	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 3-3	1694	1681	20.7%	17.5%	61.8%	+1.9	5
1969-10-19	Varzim	L 1-2	1498	1600	51.6%	17.7%	30.7%	-15.6	4
1969-10-19	@ Boavista	W 2-1	1600	1498	30.7%	17.7%	51.6%	+15.6	8
1969-10-19	Barreirense	W 1-0	1570	1492	69.5%	17.2%	13.4%	+5.1	8
1969-10-19	@ Braga	L 0-1	1492	1570	13.4%	17.2%	69.5%	-5.0	3
1969-10-19	Benfica	L 0-2	1619	1812	39.0%	17.6%	43.4%	-24.5	6
1969-10-19	@ Fabril	W 2-0	1812	1619	43.4%	17.6%	39.0%	+24.5	12
1969-10-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 5-1	1591	1658	55.8%	17.6%	26.6%	+28.0	6
1969-10-19	@ Leixoes	L 1-5	1658	1591	26.6%	17.6%	55.8%	-28.0	5
1969-10-19	Porto	W 2-1	1810	1732	69.5%	17.2%	13.4%	+4.8	15
1969-10-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1732	1810	13.4%	17.2%	69.5%	-4.8	5
1969-10-19	Uniao Tomar	W 2-0	1723	1584	73.4%	16.8%	9.8%	+7.1	8
1969-10-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1584	1723	9.8%	16.8%	73.4%	-7.1	7
1969-10-26	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1487	1730	32.4%	17.5%	50.2%	+30.3	6
1969-10-26	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1730	1487	50.2%	17.5%	32.4%	-30.3	8
1969-10-26	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1630	1679	57.9%	17.6%	24.5%	-17.4	5
1969-10-26	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1679	1630	24.5%	17.6%	57.9%	+17.4	8
1969-10-26	Boavista	W 8-0	1837	1482	82.0%	14.8%	3.2%	+8.3	15
1969-10-26	@ Benfica	L 0-8	1482	1837	3.2%	14.8%	82.0%	-8.3	4
1969-10-26	Braga	W 2-0	1727	1575	74.1%	16.7%	9.2%	+6.7	8
1969-10-26	@ Porto	L 0-2	1575	1727	9.2%	16.7%	74.1%	-6.7	8
1969-10-26	Leixoes	L 0-1	1577	1619	58.7%	17.6%	23.7%	-18.7	7
1969-10-26	@ Uniao Tomar	W 1-0	1619	1577	23.7%	17.6%	58.7%	+18.7	9
1969-10-26	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1616	1815	38.2%	17.6%	44.2%	+0.5	9
1969-10-26	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1815	1616	44.2%	17.6%	38.2%	-0.5	16
1969-10-26	Fabril	W 4-0	1695	1594	71.0%	17.0%	11.9%	+16.2	8
1969-10-26	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-4	1594	1695	11.9%	17.0%	71.0%	-16.2	6
1969-11-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1474	1712	33.1%	17.5%	49.4%	+1.2	5
1969-11-09	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1712	1474	49.4%	17.5%	33.1%	-1.2	9
1969-11-09	Varzim	L 1-2	1569	1616	58.1%	17.6%	24.3%	-17.4	8
1969-11-09	@ Braga	W 2-1	1616	1569	24.3%	17.6%	58.1%	+17.4	12
1969-11-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1578	1613	59.4%	17.6%	23.0%	-35.6	6
1969-11-09	@ Fabril	W 2-0	1613	1578	23.0%	17.6%	59.4%	+35.6	8
1969-11-09	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1637	1697	56.7%	17.6%	25.7%	+9.1	12
1969-11-09	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1697	1637	25.7%	17.6%	56.7%	-9.1	8
1969-11-09	Benfica	W 1-0	1815	1845	59.9%	17.6%	22.5%	+8.1	19
1969-11-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1845	1815	22.5%	17.6%	59.9%	-8.1	15
1969-11-09	Barreirense	D 2-2	1559	1517	66.6%	17.3%	16.1%	-2.9	8
1969-11-09	@ Uniao Tomar	D 2-2	1517	1559	16.1%	17.3%	66.6%	+2.9	7
1969-11-09	Porto	W 5-0	1700	1734	59.6%	17.6%	22.9%	+36.3	11
1969-11-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-5	1734	1700	22.9%	17.6%	59.6%	-36.3	8
1969-11-16	Fabril	W 1-0	1688	1542	73.7%	16.7%	9.5%	+3.6	11
1969-11-16	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1542	1688	9.5%	16.7%	73.7%	-3.7	6
1969-11-16	Leixoes	W 4-0	1520	1646	48.5%	17.7%	33.9%	+41.3	10
1969-11-16	@ Barreirense	L 0-4	1646	1520	33.9%	17.7%	48.5%	-41.3	12
1969-11-16	Boavista	W 3-0	1648	1475	75.2%	16.5%	8.3%	+8.7	11
1969-11-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1475	1648	8.3%	16.5%	75.2%	-8.7	5
1969-11-16	Braga	W 5-0	1837	1551	79.9%	15.5%	4.6%	+7.7	18
1969-11-16	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1551	1837	4.6%	15.5%	79.9%	-7.8	8
1969-11-16	Uniao Tomar	W 2-0	1697	1556	73.5%	16.8%	9.7%	+7.0	11
1969-11-16	@ Porto	L 0-2	1556	1697	9.7%	16.8%	73.5%	-7.0	8
1969-11-16	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1633	1736	51.5%	17.7%	30.9%	-1.5	13
1969-11-16	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1736	1633	30.9%	17.7%	51.5%	+1.5	12
1969-11-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1710	1823	50.3%	17.7%	32.1%	-15.2	9
1969-11-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1823	1710	32.1%	17.7%	50.3%	+15.2	22
1969-11-22	Porto	D 1-1	1562	1704	46.2%	17.7%	36.1%	-0.7	11
1969-11-22	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1704	1562	36.1%	17.7%	46.2%	+0.7	12
1969-11-22	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1467	1691	34.8%	17.5%	47.7%	+0.7	6
1969-11-22	@ Boavista	D 2-2	1691	1467	47.7%	17.5%	34.8%	-0.7	12
1969-11-22	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1543	1695	45.0%	17.7%	37.4%	+11.8	11
1969-11-22	@ Braga	L 1-2	1695	1543	37.4%	17.7%	45.0%	-11.8	9
1969-11-22	Fabril	W 1-0	1605	1539	68.6%	17.2%	14.2%	+5.3	15
1969-11-22	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1539	1605	14.2%	17.2%	68.6%	-5.3	6
1969-11-22	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1838	1657	75.6%	16.5%	7.9%	+2.9	25
1969-11-22	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1657	1838	7.9%	16.5%	75.6%	-2.9	11
1969-11-22	Varzim	L 0-2	1549	1632	53.9%	17.7%	28.4%	-32.5	8
1969-11-22	@ Uniao Tomar	W 2-0	1632	1549	28.4%	17.7%	53.9%	+32.5	16
1969-11-22	Benfica	W 1-0	1738	1845	50.9%	17.7%	31.4%	+10.8	15
1969-11-22	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1845	1738	31.4%	17.7%	50.9%	-10.8	18
1969-11-30	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1691	1841	45.2%	17.7%	37.2%	+34.2	15
1969-11-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1841	1691	37.2%	17.7%	45.2%	-34.2	25
1969-11-30	Braga	W 1-0	1654	1555	70.9%	17.0%	12.1%	+4.6	14
1969-11-30	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1555	1654	12.1%	17.0%	70.9%	-4.6	11
1969-11-30	Uniao Tomar	W 6-0	1834	1516	80.9%	15.2%	3.9%	+7.7	21
1969-11-30	@ Benfica	L 0-6	1516	1834	3.9%	15.2%	80.9%	-7.7	8
1969-11-30	Boavista	W 2-1	1533	1467	68.6%	17.2%	14.2%	+5.0	9
1969-11-30	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1467	1533	14.2%	17.2%	68.6%	-5.0	6
1969-11-30	Leixoes	W 5-1	1705	1610	70.6%	17.1%	12.3%	+13.9	15
1969-11-30	@ Porto	L 1-5	1610	1705	12.3%	17.1%	70.6%	-13.9	15
1969-11-30	Barreirense	L 1-2	1664	1561	71.2%	17.0%	11.8%	-21.4	16
1969-11-30	@ Varzim	W 2-1	1561	1664	11.8%	17.0%	71.2%	+21.4	14
1969-11-30	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1683	1749	56.0%	17.6%	26.3%	+8.8	12
1969-11-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1749	1683	26.3%	17.6%	56.0%	-8.8	15
1969-12-14	Benfica	D 2-2	1582	1842	30.3%	17.4%	52.3%	+1.2	15
1969-12-14	@ Barreirense	D 2-2	1842	1582	52.3%	17.4%	30.3%	-1.2	22
1969-12-14	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1551	1725	41.8%	17.6%	40.5%	-0.1	12
1969-12-14	@ Braga	D 1-1	1725	1551	40.5%	17.6%	41.8%	+0.1	16
1969-12-14	Boavista	W 6-2	1596	1462	73.1%	16.8%	10.1%	+9.8	18
1969-12-14	@ Leixoes	L 2-6	1462	1596	10.1%	16.8%	73.1%	-9.8	6
1969-12-14	Varzim	L 0-1	1719	1643	69.3%	17.2%	13.5%	-22.1	15
1969-12-14	@ Porto	W 1-0	1643	1719	13.5%	17.2%	69.3%	+22.1	19
1969-12-14	Fabril	W 3-0	1807	1538	79.3%	15.7%	5.0%	+5.3	28
1969-12-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1538	1807	5.0%	15.7%	79.3%	-5.3	9
1969-12-14	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1508	1692	40.4%	17.6%	41.9%	-12.6	8
1969-12-14	@ Uniao Tomar	W 2-1	1692	1508	41.9%	17.6%	40.4%	+12.6	15
1969-12-14	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-0	1740	1659	69.7%	17.1%	13.2%	+17.8	18
1969-12-14	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1659	1740	13.2%	17.1%	69.7%	-17.8	14
1969-12-21	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1725	1758	59.6%	17.6%	22.8%	-51.9	16
1969-12-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1758	1725	22.8%	17.6%	59.6%	+51.9	21
1969-12-21	Uniao Tomar	W 2-1	1641	1496	73.7%	16.7%	9.5%	+3.4	17
1969-12-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1496	1641	9.5%	16.7%	73.7%	-3.4	8
1969-12-21	Porto	W 2-0	1840	1697	73.6%	16.8%	9.6%	+6.9	25
1969-12-21	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1697	1840	9.6%	16.8%	73.6%	-7.0	15
1969-12-21	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1453	1812	19.6%	16.9%	63.5%	+3.8	7
1969-12-21	@ Boavista	D 0-0	1812	1453	63.5%	16.9%	19.6%	-3.8	29
1969-12-21	Braga	W 3-1	1533	1551	61.2%	17.5%	21.2%	+12.6	12
1969-12-21	@ Fabril	L 1-3	1551	1533	21.2%	17.5%	61.2%	-12.6	12
1969-12-21	Varzim	L 0-1	1606	1665	56.8%	17.6%	25.6%	-18.1	18
1969-12-21	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1665	1606	25.6%	17.6%	56.8%	+18.1	22
1969-12-21	Barreirense	W 3-0	1705	1584	72.3%	16.9%	10.8%	+11.2	18
1969-12-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1584	1705	10.8%	16.9%	72.3%	-11.2	15
1969-12-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1572	1644	55.2%	17.6%	27.1%	-2.3	16
1969-12-28	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1644	1572	27.1%	17.6%	55.2%	+2.3	18
1969-12-28	Boavista	W 3-0	1538	1456	69.7%	17.1%	13.2%	+13.6	15
1969-12-28	@ Braga	L 0-3	1456	1538	13.2%	17.1%	69.7%	-13.6	7
1969-12-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1690	1716	60.4%	17.6%	22.1%	+8.0	18
1969-12-28	@ Porto	L 0-1	1716	1690	22.1%	17.6%	60.4%	-8.0	18
1969-12-28	Leixoes	W 4-1	1808	1588	77.4%	16.2%	6.5%	+5.7	32
1969-12-28	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1588	1808	6.5%	16.2%	77.4%	-5.8	18
1969-12-28	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1492	1673	40.9%	17.6%	41.5%	+13.7	11
1969-12-28	@ Uniao Tomar	L 0-1	1673	1492	41.5%	17.6%	40.9%	-13.7	16
1969-12-28	Benfica	L 0-1	1683	1847	43.2%	17.7%	39.1%	-14.1	22
1969-12-28	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1847	1683	39.1%	17.7%	43.2%	+14.1	28
1969-12-28	Fabril	D 2-2	1810	1546	79.1%	15.8%	5.1%	-4.5	22
1969-12-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1546	1810	5.1%	15.8%	79.1%	+4.5	13
1970-01-04	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1570	1659	53.2%	17.7%	29.2%	+23.5	19
1970-01-04	@ Barreirense	L 1-4	1659	1570	29.2%	17.7%	53.2%	-23.5	16
1970-01-04	Leixoes	W 3-0	1862	1582	79.7%	15.6%	4.8%	+5.0	31
1970-01-04	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1582	1862	4.8%	15.6%	79.7%	-5.0	18
1970-01-04	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1552	1814	29.9%	17.4%	52.6%	-16.9	15
1970-01-04	@ Braga	W 3-1	1814	1552	52.6%	17.4%	29.9%	+16.9	35
1970-01-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1698	1647	67.4%	17.3%	15.3%	-4.5	19
1970-01-04	@ Porto	D 0-0	1647	1698	15.3%	17.3%	67.4%	+4.5	19
1970-01-04	Fabril	D 0-0	1506	1550	58.4%	17.6%	24.0%	-2.9	12
1970-01-04	@ Uniao Tomar	D 0-0	1550	1506	24.0%	17.6%	58.4%	+2.9	14
1970-01-04	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1669	1708	59.0%	17.6%	23.4%	+19.4	25
1970-01-04	@ Varzim	L 1-4	1708	1669	23.4%	17.6%	59.0%	-19.4	18
1970-01-04	Boavista	W 2-1	1805	1443	82.2%	14.7%	3.0%	+1.1	25
1970-01-04	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1443	1805	3.0%	14.7%	82.2%	-1.1	7
1970-01-18	Porto	L 1-2	1636	1694	56.9%	17.6%	25.5%	-17.1	16
1970-01-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1694	1636	25.5%	17.6%	56.9%	+17.1	22
1970-01-18	Varzim	W 1-0	1651	1688	59.2%	17.6%	23.2%	+8.3	22
1970-01-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1688	1651	23.2%	17.6%	59.2%	-8.3	25
1970-01-18	Uniao Tomar	W 2-0	1442	1503	56.5%	17.6%	25.9%	+17.3	10
1970-01-18	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1503	1442	25.9%	17.6%	56.5%	-17.3	12
1970-01-18	Barreirense	L 0-1	1553	1593	58.8%	17.6%	23.6%	-18.7	14
1970-01-18	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1593	1553	23.6%	17.6%	58.8%	+18.7	22
1970-01-18	Braga	W 2-1	1577	1535	66.7%	17.3%	16.0%	+5.6	21
1970-01-18	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1535	1577	16.0%	17.3%	66.7%	-5.6	15
1970-01-18	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1831	1806	65.2%	17.4%	17.4%	+10.5	38
1970-01-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1806	1831	17.4%	17.4%	65.2%	-10.5	25
1970-01-18	Benfica	W 2-1	1689	1867	41.3%	17.6%	41.1%	+12.8	21
1970-01-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1867	1689	41.1%	17.6%	41.3%	-12.8	31
1970-01-25	Boavista	W 2-0	1612	1459	74.2%	16.7%	9.2%	+6.6	25
1970-01-25	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1459	1612	9.2%	16.7%	74.2%	-6.6	10
1970-01-25	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1854	1660	76.2%	16.4%	7.4%	-6.2	32
1970-01-25	@ Benfica	D 0-0	1660	1854	7.4%	16.4%	76.2%	+6.2	23
1970-01-25	Fabril	W 2-0	1711	1534	75.4%	16.5%	8.1%	+5.9	25
1970-01-25	@ Porto	L 0-2	1534	1711	8.1%	16.5%	75.4%	-5.9	14
1970-01-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1486	1841	19.9%	16.9%	63.2%	-19.7	12
1970-01-25	@ Uniao Tomar	W 3-0	1841	1486	63.2%	16.9%	19.9%	+19.7	41
1970-01-25	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1680	1619	68.2%	17.2%	14.5%	-3.1	26
1970-01-25	@ Varzim	D 2-2	1619	1680	14.5%	17.2%	68.2%	+3.1	17
1970-01-25	Leixoes	W 2-0	1701	1583	72.2%	16.9%	10.9%	+7.8	24
1970-01-25	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1583	1701	10.9%	16.9%	72.2%	-7.8	21
1970-01-25	Braga	W 7-1	1796	1529	79.2%	15.7%	5.1%	+8.4	28
1970-01-25	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-7	1529	1796	5.1%	15.7%	79.2%	-8.4	15
1970-02-01	Benfica	L 0-2	1622	1848	34.6%	17.5%	47.8%	-22.1	17
1970-02-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1848	1622	47.8%	17.5%	34.6%	+22.2	35
1970-02-01	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1666	1709	58.5%	17.6%	23.9%	+8.6	26
1970-02-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1709	1666	23.9%	17.6%	58.5%	-8.5	24
1970-02-01	Porto	W 3-2	1452	1716	29.7%	17.4%	52.9%	+15.1	13
1970-02-01	@ Boavista	L 2-3	1716	1452	52.9%	17.4%	29.7%	-15.1	25
1970-02-01	Uniao Tomar	D 1-1	1521	1466	67.7%	17.3%	15.0%	-4.1	16
1970-02-01	@ Braga	D 1-1	1466	1521	15.0%	17.3%	67.7%	+4.1	13
1970-02-01	Varzim	D 1-1	1529	1677	45.4%	17.7%	36.9%	-0.6	15
1970-02-01	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1677	1529	36.9%	17.7%	45.4%	+0.6	27
1970-02-01	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1575	1804	34.2%	17.5%	48.3%	-19.0	21
1970-02-01	@ Leixoes	W 3-1	1804	1575	48.3%	17.5%	34.2%	+19.0	31
1970-02-01	Barreirense	W 1-0	1861	1619	78.3%	16.0%	5.8%	+2.2	44
1970-02-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1619	1861	5.8%	16.0%	78.3%	-2.2	25
1970-02-08	Braga	W 5-1	1617	1517	71.0%	17.0%	12.0%	+13.6	28
1970-02-08	@ Barreirense	L 1-5	1517	1617	12.0%	17.0%	71.0%	-13.6	16
1970-02-08	Leixoes	W 1-0	1674	1556	72.1%	16.9%	10.9%	+4.2	29
1970-02-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1556	1674	10.9%	16.9%	72.1%	-4.2	21
1970-02-08	Fabril	L 0-1	1870	1528	81.6%	15.0%	3.4%	-25.9	35
1970-02-08	@ Benfica	W 1-0	1528	1870	3.4%	15.0%	81.6%	+25.9	18
1970-02-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1701	1863	43.5%	17.7%	38.8%	-14.2	25
1970-02-08	@ Porto	W 1-0	1863	1701	38.8%	17.7%	43.5%	+14.2	47
1970-02-08	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1470	1823	20.2%	16.9%	62.9%	-6.9	13
1970-02-08	@ Uniao Tomar	W 2-1	1823	1470	62.9%	16.9%	20.2%	+6.9	34
1970-02-08	Boavista	W 4-1	1678	1467	77.0%	16.2%	6.8%	+6.1	30
1970-02-08	@ Varzim	L 1-4	1467	1678	6.8%	16.2%	77.0%	-6.1	13
1970-02-08	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1701	1600	71.0%	17.0%	11.9%	+16.2	27
1970-02-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-4	1600	1701	11.9%	17.0%	71.0%	-16.2	17
1970-02-22	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1583	1679	52.4%	17.7%	29.9%	+28.5	20
1970-02-22	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1679	1583	29.9%	17.7%	52.4%	-28.4	29
1970-02-22	Benfica	D 1-1	1461	1844	17.6%	16.7%	65.7%	+3.7	14
1970-02-22	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1844	1461	65.7%	16.7%	17.6%	-3.7	36
1970-02-22	Porto	D 1-1	1503	1687	40.4%	17.6%	42.0%	+0.1	17
1970-02-22	@ Braga	D 1-1	1687	1503	42.0%	17.6%	40.4%	-0.1	26
1970-02-22	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1554	1717	43.4%	17.7%	39.0%	+13.0	21
1970-02-22	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1717	1554	39.0%	17.7%	43.4%	-13.0	27
1970-02-22	Uniao Tomar	W 1-0	1552	1463	70.2%	17.1%	12.7%	+4.8	24
1970-02-22	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1463	1552	12.7%	17.1%	70.2%	-4.8	13
1970-02-22	Varzim	D 1-1	1878	1684	76.2%	16.4%	7.4%	-5.5	48
1970-02-22	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1684	1878	7.4%	16.4%	76.2%	+5.5	31
1970-02-22	Barreirense	W 2-1	1830	1630	76.5%	16.3%	7.2%	+2.6	37
1970-02-22	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1630	1830	7.2%	16.3%	76.5%	-2.6	28
1970-03-01	Leixoes	W 5-1	1612	1557	67.7%	17.3%	15.0%	+16.7	23
1970-03-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1557	1612	15.0%	17.3%	67.7%	-16.7	24
1970-03-01	Uniao Tomar	W 3-0	1628	1459	75.0%	16.6%	8.4%	+8.9	31
1970-03-01	@ Barreirense	L 0-3	1459	1628	8.4%	16.6%	75.0%	-8.9	13
1970-03-01	Fabril	L 1-3	1650	1567	69.8%	17.1%	13.1%	-36.3	29
1970-03-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1567	1650	13.1%	17.1%	69.8%	+36.3	24
1970-03-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1840	1872	59.7%	17.6%	22.7%	-2.8	37
1970-03-01	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1872	1840	22.7%	17.6%	59.7%	+2.8	49
1970-03-01	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1687	1833	45.8%	17.7%	36.5%	-40.7	26
1970-03-01	@ Porto	W 3-0	1833	1687	36.5%	17.7%	45.8%	+40.7	40
1970-03-01	Braga	W 3-2	1689	1503	75.8%	16.4%	7.7%	+2.7	34
1970-03-01	@ Varzim	L 2-3	1503	1689	7.7%	16.4%	75.8%	-2.7	17
1970-03-01	Boavista	W 3-2	1704	1465	78.1%	16.0%	5.9%	+2.0	30
1970-03-01	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1465	1704	5.9%	16.0%	78.1%	-2.0	14
1970-03-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-1	1463	1614	45.1%	17.7%	37.2%	+28.9	17
1970-03-08	@ Boavista	L 1-4	1614	1463	37.2%	17.7%	45.1%	-28.9	29
1970-03-08	Benfica	L 1-3	1501	1837	21.7%	17.0%	61.3%	-12.7	17
1970-03-08	@ Braga	W 3-1	1837	1501	61.3%	17.0%	21.7%	+12.7	40
1970-03-08	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1603	1629	60.4%	17.6%	22.0%	-2.9	25
1970-03-08	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1629	1603	22.0%	17.6%	60.4%	+2.9	24
1970-03-08	Barreirense	W 2-0	1540	1636	52.3%	17.7%	30.0%	+19.7	27
1970-03-08	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1636	1540	30.0%	17.7%	52.3%	-19.7	31
1970-03-08	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-1	1875	1706	75.0%	16.6%	8.5%	+9.7	52
1970-03-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1706	1875	8.5%	16.6%	75.0%	-9.7	30
1970-03-08	Porto	W 3-0	1450	1646	38.6%	17.6%	43.8%	+39.1	16
1970-03-08	@ Uniao Tomar	L 0-3	1646	1450	43.8%	17.6%	38.6%	-39.1	26
1970-03-08	Varzim	W 2-1	1873	1692	75.6%	16.5%	7.9%	+2.9	43
1970-03-08	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1692	1873	7.9%	16.5%	75.6%	-2.9	34
1970-03-15	Boavista	W 4-1	1632	1492	73.4%	16.8%	9.8%	+8.7	27
1970-03-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-4	1492	1632	9.8%	16.8%	73.4%	-8.7	17
1970-03-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1585	1884	25.6%	17.2%	57.2%	-8.5	29
1970-03-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1884	1585	57.2%	17.2%	25.6%	+8.5	55
1970-03-15	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1850	1876	60.3%	17.6%	22.1%	+7.5	43
1970-03-15	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1876	1850	22.1%	17.6%	60.3%	-7.5	43
1970-03-15	Leixoes	W 1-0	1600	1560	66.5%	17.3%	16.1%	+6.0	28
1970-03-15	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1560	1600	16.1%	17.3%	66.5%	-6.0	27
1970-03-15	Barreirense	D 1-1	1607	1617	62.0%	17.5%	20.5%	-3.2	27
1970-03-15	@ Porto	D 1-1	1617	1607	20.5%	17.5%	62.0%	+3.2	32
1970-03-15	Uniao Tomar	W 2-0	1689	1489	76.5%	16.3%	7.2%	+5.2	37
1970-03-15	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1489	1689	7.2%	16.3%	76.5%	-5.2	16
1970-03-15	Braga	W 2-0	1696	1488	76.9%	16.2%	6.9%	+5.0	33
1970-03-15	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1488	1696	6.9%	16.2%	76.9%	-5.0	17
1970-03-29	Varzim	W 2-0	1620	1694	55.0%	17.7%	27.4%	+18.1	35
1970-03-29	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1694	1620	27.4%	17.7%	55.0%	-18.2	37
1970-03-29	Fabril	D 0-0	1483	1606	48.9%	17.7%	33.5%	-1.2	18
1970-03-29	@ Boavista	D 0-0	1606	1483	33.5%	17.7%	48.9%	+1.2	29
1970-03-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1483	1576	52.6%	17.7%	29.7%	+10.3	20
1970-03-29	@ Braga	L 0-1	1576	1483	29.7%	17.7%	52.6%	-10.3	29
1970-03-29	Porto	W 2-0	1554	1604	57.7%	17.6%	24.6%	+16.6	30
1970-03-29	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1604	1554	24.6%	17.6%	57.7%	-16.6	27
1970-03-29	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1893	1640	78.7%	15.9%	5.5%	+2.0	58
1970-03-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1640	1893	5.5%	15.9%	78.7%	-2.0	27
1970-03-29	Benfica	L 0-4	1484	1858	18.3%	16.8%	64.9%	-23.8	16
1970-03-29	@ Uniao Tomar	W 4-0	1858	1484	64.9%	16.8%	18.3%	+23.8	46
1970-03-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1869	1701	74.9%	16.6%	8.5%	+6.1	46
1970-03-29	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1701	1869	8.5%	16.6%	74.9%	-6.2	33
1970-04-05	Braga	L 0-1	1638	1493	73.7%	16.7%	9.5%	-23.5	27
1970-04-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1493	1638	9.5%	16.7%	73.7%	+23.5	23
1970-04-05	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1566	1875	24.6%	17.2%	58.2%	+18.4	32
1970-04-05	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1875	1566	58.2%	17.2%	24.6%	-18.4	46
1970-04-05	Barreirense	W 3-0	1881	1638	78.3%	16.0%	5.7%	+6.0	49
1970-04-05	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1638	1881	5.7%	16.0%	78.3%	-6.0	35
1970-04-05	Leixoes	W 3-2	1482	1570	53.3%	17.7%	29.0%	+9.1	21
1970-04-05	@ Boavista	L 2-3	1570	1482	29.0%	17.7%	53.3%	-9.1	30
1970-04-05	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1607	1895	27.0%	17.3%	55.8%	-15.4	29
1970-04-05	@ Fabril	W 3-1	1895	1607	55.8%	17.3%	27.0%	+15.4	61
1970-04-05	Porto	L 0-2	1676	1587	70.2%	17.1%	12.7%	-42.2	37
1970-04-05	@ Varzim	W 2-0	1587	1676	12.7%	17.1%	70.2%	+42.2	30
1970-04-05	Uniao Tomar	W 2-1	1695	1460	78.0%	16.0%	6.0%	+2.2	36
1970-04-05	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1460	1695	6.0%	16.0%	78.0%	-2.2	16
1970-04-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1632	1697	56.0%	17.6%	26.3%	-2.2	36
1970-04-12	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1697	1632	26.3%	17.6%	56.0%	+2.2	37
1970-04-12	Fabril	L 0-1	1517	1592	54.9%	17.7%	27.5%	-17.5	23
1970-04-12	@ Braga	W 1-0	1592	1517	27.5%	17.7%	54.9%	+17.5	32
1970-04-12	Benfica	L 1-2	1630	1887	30.5%	17.4%	52.1%	-9.9	30
1970-04-12	@ Porto	W 2-1	1887	1630	52.1%	17.4%	30.5%	+9.9	52
1970-04-12	Boavista	W 3-0	1910	1491	83.7%	14.1%	2.3%	+2.3	64
1970-04-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1491	1910	2.3%	14.1%	83.7%	-2.3	21
1970-04-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1458	1585	48.3%	17.7%	34.0%	+10.9	19
1970-04-12	@ Uniao Tomar	L 1-2	1585	1458	34.0%	17.7%	48.3%	-10.9	32
1970-04-12	Leixoes	D 0-0	1634	1561	69.0%	17.2%	13.8%	-4.8	38
1970-04-12	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1561	1634	13.8%	17.2%	69.0%	+4.8	31
1970-04-12	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1856	1615	78.3%	16.0%	5.8%	+6.6	49
1970-04-12	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-5	1615	1856	5.8%	16.0%	78.3%	-6.6	27
1970-04-19	Uniao Tomar	W 4-0	1608	1469	73.4%	16.8%	9.8%	+13.4	30
1970-04-19	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-4	1469	1608	9.8%	16.8%	73.4%	-13.4	19
1970-04-19	Barreirense	L 0-1	1574	1630	57.1%	17.6%	25.3%	-18.2	32
1970-04-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1630	1574	25.3%	17.6%	57.1%	+18.2	39
1970-04-19	Varzim	W 1-0	1897	1629	79.3%	15.7%	5.0%	+1.9	55
1970-04-19	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1629	1897	5.0%	15.7%	79.3%	-1.9	38
1970-04-19	Braga	W 2-0	1489	1499	61.9%	17.5%	20.5%	+14.1	24
1970-04-19	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1499	1489	20.5%	17.5%	61.9%	-14.1	23
1970-04-19	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1610	1863	31.1%	17.4%	51.5%	-38.3	32
1970-04-19	@ Fabril	W 4-0	1863	1610	51.5%	17.4%	31.1%	+38.3	52
1970-04-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1566	1913	20.8%	17.0%	62.3%	-14.9	31
1970-04-19	@ Leixoes	W 5-2	1913	1566	62.3%	17.0%	20.8%	+15.0	67
1970-04-19	Porto	W 1-0	1700	1620	69.6%	17.1%	13.3%	+5.0	40
1970-04-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1620	1700	13.3%	17.1%	69.6%	-5.0	30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1970-02-08	3.41%	Fabril	1528	1	@ Benfica	1870	0
2	1969-09-06	6.69%	Barreirense	1504	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1717	1
3	1970-04-05	9.54%	Braga	1493	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1638	0
4	1969-11-30	11.80%	Barreirense	1561	2	@ Varzim	1664	1
5	1970-04-05	12.72%	Porto	1587	2	@ Varzim	1676	0
6	1970-03-01	13.05%	Fabril	1567	3	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1650	1
7	1969-09-28	13.47%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1637	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1714	1
8	1969-12-14	13.54%	Varzim	1643	1	@ Porto	1719	0
9	1969-09-06	15.08%	Uniao Tomar	1576	2	@ Fabril	1630	1
10	1969-09-14	16.93%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1728	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1758	0
11	1969-12-21	22.78%	Vitoria Setubal	1758	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1725	0
12	1969-11-09	22.98%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1613	2	@ Fabril	1578	0
13	1970-01-18	23.57%	Barreirense	1593	1	@ Fabril	1553	0
14	1969-10-26	23.66%	Leixoes	1619	1	@ Uniao Tomar	1577	0
15	1969-11-09	24.32%	Varzim	1616	2	@ Braga	1569	1
16	1969-10-26	24.51%	Academica de Coimbra	1679	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1630	1
17	1970-04-05	24.60%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1566	1	Vitoria Setubal	1875	0
18	1970-04-19	25.29%	Barreirense	1630	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1574	0
19	1970-01-18	25.46%	Porto	1694	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1636	1
20	1969-12-21	25.59%	Varzim	1665	1	@ Leixoes	1606	0
21	1969-09-14	26.36%	Fabril	1609	4	@ Barreirense	1544	3
22	1970-04-12	27.49%	Fabril	1592	1	@ Braga	1517	0
23	1969-11-22	28.44%	Varzim	1632	2	@ Uniao Tomar	1549	0
24	1969-09-20	28.74%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1697	1	@ Leixoes	1611	0
25	1970-02-01	29.73%	@ Boavista	1452	3	Porto	1716	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1969-12-21	51.94	Vitoria Setubal	3	1758	22.78%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1725	59.64%
2	1970-04-05	42.16	Porto	2	1587	12.72%	@ Varzim	0	1676	70.19%
3	1969-11-16	41.30	@ Barreirense	4	1520	48.47%	Leixoes	0	1646	33.85%
4	1970-03-01	40.71	Vitoria Setubal	3	1833	36.52%	@ Porto	0	1687	45.81%
5	1969-09-06	40.17	Barreirense	3	1504	6.69%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1717	77.11%
6	1969-09-14	39.39	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1728	16.93%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1758	65.69%
7	1970-03-08	39.14	@ Uniao Tomar	3	1450	38.61%	Porto	0	1646	43.79%
8	1970-04-19	38.26	Vitoria Setubal	4	1863	51.52%	@ Fabril	0	1610	31.05%
9	1970-03-01	36.32	Fabril	3	1567	13.05%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1650	69.83%
10	1969-11-09	36.29	@ Vitoria Setubal	5	1700	59.55%	Porto	0	1734	22.87%
11	1969-11-09	35.64	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	1613	22.98%	@ Fabril	0	1578	59.43%
12	1969-11-30	34.19	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1691	45.16%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1841	37.17%
13	1969-11-22	32.46	Varzim	2	1632	28.44%	@ Uniao Tomar	0	1549	53.90%
14	1969-10-26	30.33	@ Barreirense	2	1487	32.35%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1730	50.18%
15	1970-03-08	28.88	@ Boavista	4	1463	45.08%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1614	37.25%
16	1969-09-28	28.50	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1782	52.50%	@ Barreirense	0	1521	30.09%
17	1970-02-22	28.45	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1583	52.44%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1679	29.89%
18	1969-10-19	28.01	@ Leixoes	5	1591	55.76%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1658	26.59%
19	1969-09-14	27.38	@ Benfica	5	1757	65.90%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1725	16.73%
20	1970-02-08	25.87	Fabril	1	1528	3.41%	@ Benfica	0	1870	81.63%
21	1969-09-06	25.87	@ Leixoes	2	1601	40.69%	Benfica	0	1783	41.69%
22	1969-10-19	24.50	Benfica	2	1812	43.35%	@ Fabril	0	1619	39.04%
23	1970-03-29	23.82	Benfica	4	1858	64.91%	@ Uniao Tomar	0	1484	18.29%
24	1970-04-05	23.51	Braga	1	1493	9.54%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1638	73.72%
25	1970-01-04	23.49	@ Barreirense	4	1570	53.17%	Academica de Coimbra	1	1659	29.16%