1970-71 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Porto

8.44 points above expected

37 points · 28.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vitoria Guimaraes

6.38 points below expected

19 points · 25.38 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	18	5	3	41	62	17	+45	35.7	+5.34
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	16	6	4	38	45	14	+31	35.5	+2.48
3	Porto	26	16	5	5	37	44	21	+23	28.6	+8.44
4	Vitoria Setubal	26	15	4	7	34	51	16	+35	35.0	-0.98
5	Academica de Coimbra	26	13	7	6	33	38	24	+14	28.6	+4.42
6	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	7	8	11	22	20	27	-7	22.4	-0.43
7	Boavista	26	9	4	13	22	18	38	-20	20.5	+1.48
8	Fabril	26	8	5	13	21	28	37	-9	22.2	-1.19
9	Barreirense	26	5	10	11	20	21	31	-10	22.0	-2.03
10	Farense	26	7	6	13	20	15	33	-18	23.1	-3.06
11	Tirsense	26	6	8	12	20	24	45	-21	20.6	-0.57
12	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	4	11	11	19	15	27	-12	25.4	-6.38
13	Leixoes	26	7	5	14	19	22	44	-22	21.2	-2.22
14	Varzim	26	7	4	15	18	23	52	-29	23.3	-5.30

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	1945	41	35.66	+5.34	96.0%	27	31	33	35	38	41	45
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1878	38	35.52	+2.48	83.0%	26	29	33	35	38	41	46
Vitoria Setubal	1870	34	34.98	-0.98	41.0%	24	28	32	35	38	40	43
Porto	1823	37	28.56	+8.44	100.0%	19	23	27	28	30	34	36
Academica de Coimbra	1733	33	28.58	+4.42	90.0%	19	22	26	28	31	34	40
Vitoria Guimaraes	1584	19	25.38	-6.38	7.0%	10	18	23	26	28	32	37
Boavista	1577	22	20.52	+1.48	69.0%	9	13	18	19	24	28	30
Fabril	1566	21	22.19	-1.19	46.0%	15	17	20	22	24	28	33
Barreirense	1565	20	22.03	-2.03	31.0%	13	16	20	22	25	27	29
Os Belenenses (1st)	1564	22	22.43	-0.43	49.0%	13	16	20	23	25	29	32
Farense	1550	20	23.06	-3.06	26.0%	13	17	20	23	26	29	33
Leixoes	1543	19	21.22	-2.22	33.0%	13	14	18	22	24	27	30
Tirsense	1528	20	20.57	-0.57	45.0%	12	14	18	21	23	26	28
Varzim	1474	18	23.30	-5.30	13.0%	17	17	21	23	26	30	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	BAR	BEN	BOA	FAB	FAR	LEI	OB(	POR	SCDP	TIR	VAR	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-1-0 3.85	0-1-1 2.20	2-0-0 3.61	1-0-1 3.52	1-1-0 3.27	1-1-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.43	1-1-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.00	1-0-1 3.90	1-0-1 3.08	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.01
Barreirense	0-1-1 1.75	—	0-0-2 1.56	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.54	1-1-0 2.62	0-1-1 2.89	0-2-0 2.76	0-1-1 2.23	1-0-1 1.87	0-1-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.59	0-2-0 2.49	0-0-2 1.48
Benfica	1-1-0 3.41	2-0-0 4.08	—	2-0-0 4.43	2-0-0 4.01	1-0-1 4.17	2-0-0 4.53	1-1-0 4.01	0-1-1 3.65	1-1-0 2.66	2-0-0 4.33	2-0-0 4.50	1-1-0 3.70	1-0-1 2.82
Boavista	0-0-2 1.98	1-0-1 2.66	0-0-2 1.20	—	2-0-0 2.58	0-1-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.72	0-0-2 1.73	1-0-1 1.14	1-0-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 1.15
Fabril	1-0-1 2.06	0-1-1 3.06	0-0-2 1.60	0-0-2 3.01	—	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 1.82	0-0-2 1.46	1-1-0 3.04	1-1-0 2.64	1-1-0 2.43	0-0-2 1.37
Farense	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.96	1-0-1 1.46	1-1-0 2.94	0-1-1 2.86	—	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 1.30	1-0-1 3.09	0-1-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 1.33
Leixoes	0-1-1 2.40	1-1-0 2.70	0-0-2 1.11	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.52	—	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 1.73	0-0-2 1.39	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.77	0-2-0 2.29	1-0-1 1.19
Os Belenenses (1st)	0-1-1 2.18	0-2-0 2.83	0-1-1 1.62	0-1-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 3.00	—	0-0-2 2.44	0-1-1 1.08	0-1-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 2.37	1-1-0 1.54
Porto	0-1-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.36	1-1-0 1.95	2-0-0 3.87	1-0-1 3.77	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 3.86	2-0-0 3.15	—	1-0-1 2.24	2-0-0 3.26	2-0-0 3.74	0-2-0 3.22	1-0-1 2.27
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-1-0 3.61	1-0-1 3.77	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 4.50	2-0-0 4.17	2-0-0 4.33	2-0-0 4.24	1-1-0 4.55	1-0-1 3.38	—	1-1-0 4.53	2-0-0 4.06	1-1-0 4.07	1-1-0 2.86
Tirsense	1-0-1 1.71	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 1.29	1-0-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.86	1-1-0 2.59	0-0-2 2.35	0-1-1 1.11	—	0-1-1 2.67	0-2-0 2.36	0-1-1 1.21
Varzim	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 3.00	0-0-2 1.12	1-1-0 3.01	0-1-1 2.95	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.70	0-0-2 1.85	0-0-2 1.56	1-1-0 2.91	—	0-0-2 2.67	0-0-2 1.59
Vitoria Guimaraes	0-0-2 2.62	0-2-0 3.10	0-1-1 1.92	1-0-1 3.24	0-1-1 3.16	1-0-1 2.90	0-2-0 3.30	0-0-2 3.22	0-2-0 2.39	0-1-1 1.56	0-2-0 3.23	2-0-0 2.92	—	0-0-2 2.01
Vitoria Setubal	1-0-1 3.59	2-0-0 4.15	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 4.48	2-0-0 4.24	1-1-0 4.29	1-0-1 4.45	0-1-1 4.09	1-0-1 3.34	0-1-1 2.74	1-1-0 4.42	2-0-0 4.02	2-0-0 3.61	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.84%	11.54%	7.42%	3.30%	2.20%	1.37%	40.66%
1	11.54%	7.14%	4.67%	2.75%	0.55%	2.20%	28.85%
2	7.42%	4.67%	2.20%	1.37%	0.55%	—	16.21%
3	3.30%	2.75%	1.37%	—	—	—	7.42%
4	2.20%	0.55%	0.55%	—	—	—	3.30%
5+	1.37%	2.20%	—	—	—	—	3.57%
Total	40.66%	28.85%	16.21%	7.42%	3.30%	3.57%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.40
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	2.34
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.062
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.08%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	30.77%
1	11.54%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	46.15%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.118
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.23%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	53.85%
1	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	30.77%	19.23%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.81
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.095
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
Total	57.69%	26.92%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.38
Mean allowed	0.65
StdDev scored	1.98
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.238
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	46.15%
1	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	34.62%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.69
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	0.79
StdDev allowed	1.88
Mean total goals/game	2.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.170
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	42.31%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	34.62%	15.38%	19.23%	—	3.85%	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.206
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	50.00%
1	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	42.31%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	30.77%	15.38%	7.69%	—	7.69%	100%

Farense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.58
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	0.64
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	1.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.081
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	42.31%
1	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	42.31%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	38.46%	15.38%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.85
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.87
Mean total goals/game	2.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.221
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.23%	7.69%	19.23%	—	—	—	46.15%
1	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	42.31%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	26.92%	26.92%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	1.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.074
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
1	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
2	11.54%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	42.31%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.15%	30.77%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	0.81
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	0.90
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.087
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	26.92%
1	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	65.38%	26.92%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	0.54
StdDev scored	1.87
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.105
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	42.31%
1	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Tirsense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.92
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.87
Mean total goals/game	2.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.031
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	53.85%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	34.62%	15.38%	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.88
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.57
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.324
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.77%	11.54%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	61.54%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	46.15%	19.23%	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.58
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.18
Mean total goals/game	1.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.056
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	19.23%	—	—	—	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
2	15.38%	—	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	50.00%	38.46%	11.54%	—	—	—	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	0.62
StdDev scored	1.87
StdDev allowed	0.70
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.012
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Porto	37	28.6	+8.44
2	Benfica	41	35.7	+5.34
3	Academica de Coimbra	33	28.6	+4.42
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	38	35.5	+2.48
5	Boavista	22	20.5	+1.48

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vitoria Guimaraes	19	25.4	-6.38
2	Varzim	18	23.3	-5.30
3	Farense	20	23.1	-3.06
4	Leixoes	19	21.2	-2.22
5	Barreirense	20	22.0	-2.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	8	Dec 20 – Feb 28	1 in 578
2	Barreirense	2	Dec 20 – Dec 27	1 in 83
3	Academica de Coimbra	5	Nov 1 – Nov 29	1 in 80
4	Boavista	2	Jan 10 – Jan 31	1 in 38
5	Farense	4	Nov 15 – Dec 6	1 in 34

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	Dec 20 – Dec 27	1 in 85
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	Feb 28 – Mar 28	1 in 18
3	Barreirense	4	Nov 8 – Nov 29	1 in 12
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Nov 15 – Nov 29	1 in 9
5	Fabril	3	Dec 20 – Jan 3	1 in 7

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barreirense	5	Dec 6 – Jan 3	1 in 127
2	Porto	11	Dec 6 – Mar 21	1 in 83
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	Feb 21 – Apr 4	1 in 33
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	13	Sep 13 – Dec 13	1 in 20
5	Academica de Coimbra	8	Nov 1 – Dec 20	1 in 19

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Guimaraes	12	Nov 8 – Feb 7	1 in 1,459
2	Farense	14	Dec 13 – May 2	1 in 359
3	Barreirense	13	Sep 13 – Dec 13	1 in 163
4	Tirsense	8	Nov 15 – Jan 3	1 in 21
5	Vitoria Setubal	3	Feb 21 – Mar 21	1 in 15

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	35.00%	30.00%	28.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	33.00%	28.00%	26.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	1.00%	4.00%	11.00%	28.00%	25.00%	14.00%	8.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Vitoria Setubal	28.00%	33.00%	19.00%	14.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Academica de Coimbra	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	20.00%	30.00%	13.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	9.00%	8.00%	14.00%	12.00%	10.00%	14.00%	7.00%	8.00%	11.00%
Boavista	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	11.00%	8.00%	10.00%	24.00%	20.00%
Fabril	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	9.00%	11.00%	11.00%	14.00%	16.00%	13.00%	11.00%	4.00%
Barreirense	—	—	—	—	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	17.00%	11.00%	9.00%	18.00%	10.00%	5.00%
Farense	—	—	—	5.00%	3.00%	13.00%	6.00%	12.00%	11.00%	9.00%	12.00%	15.00%	7.00%	7.00%
Tirsense	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	3.00%	11.00%	11.00%	12.00%	13.00%	14.00%	21.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	5.00%	18.00%	20.00%	15.00%	5.00%	11.00%	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Leixoes	—	—	—	—	6.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	13.00%	12.00%	10.00%	10.00%	11.00%	20.00%
Varzim	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	9.00%	14.00%	9.00%	11.00%	9.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Academica de Coimbra	100%	—
Benfica	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Vitoria Setubal	100%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	97.0%	3.0%
Fabril	96.0%	4.0%
Barreirense	95.0%	5.0%
Farense	93.0%	7.0%
Varzim	91.0%	9.0%
Os Belenenses (1st)	89.0%	11.0%
Boavista	80.0%	20.0%
Leixoes	80.0%	20.0%
Tirsense	79.0%	21.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1970-09-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1653	1811	48.6%	21.0%	30.4%	-45.3	0
1970-09-13	@ Barreirense	W 3-0	1811	1653	30.4%	21.0%	48.6%	+45.3	3
1970-09-13	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1594	1687	56.3%	20.9%	22.8%	+14.5	3
1970-09-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1687	1594	22.8%	20.9%	56.3%	-14.5	0
1970-09-13	Fabril	W 1-0	1817	1603	76.9%	18.2%	4.9%	+2.1	3
1970-09-13	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1603	1817	4.9%	18.2%	76.9%	-2.1	0
1970-09-13	Porto	W 1-0	1603	1633	62.4%	20.7%	16.9%	+6.8	3
1970-09-13	@ Farense	L 0-1	1633	1603	16.9%	20.7%	62.4%	-6.8	0
1970-09-13	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1594	1638	61.2%	20.8%	18.1%	-3.8	1
1970-09-13	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1638	1594	18.1%	20.8%	61.2%	+3.8	1
1970-09-13	Boavista	W 1-0	1553	1565	63.9%	20.6%	15.5%	+6.3	3
1970-09-13	@ Tirsense	L 0-1	1565	1553	15.5%	20.6%	63.9%	-6.3	0
1970-09-13	Varzim	W 3-0	1809	1640	75.0%	18.8%	6.2%	+7.2	3
1970-09-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1640	1809	6.2%	18.8%	75.0%	-7.2	0
1970-09-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1642	1816	46.5%	21.0%	32.5%	+11.9	4
1970-09-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1816	1642	32.5%	21.0%	46.5%	-11.9	3
1970-09-20	Barreirense	W 1-0	1559	1608	60.7%	20.8%	18.5%	+7.4	3
1970-09-20	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1608	1559	18.5%	20.8%	60.7%	-7.4	0
1970-09-20	Leixoes	W 7-1	1601	1590	65.8%	20.4%	13.8%	+24.5	3
1970-09-20	@ Fabril	L 1-7	1590	1601	13.8%	20.4%	65.8%	-24.5	1
1970-09-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1626	1609	66.3%	20.4%	13.4%	+5.5	3
1970-09-20	@ Porto	L 0-1	1609	1626	13.4%	20.4%	66.3%	-5.5	3
1970-09-20	Benfica	D 1-1	1857	1819	67.7%	20.2%	12.1%	-4.6	4
1970-09-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1819	1857	12.1%	20.2%	67.7%	+4.6	4
1970-09-20	Farense	W 1-0	1633	1610	66.7%	20.3%	13.0%	+5.4	3
1970-09-20	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1610	1633	13.0%	20.3%	66.7%	-5.4	3
1970-09-20	Tirsense	D 0-0	1673	1559	72.3%	19.5%	8.2%	-6.0	1
1970-09-20	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1559	1673	8.2%	19.5%	72.3%	+6.0	4
1970-09-27	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1600	1667	59.0%	20.8%	20.1%	-3.1	1
1970-09-27	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1667	1600	20.1%	20.8%	59.0%	+3.1	2
1970-09-27	Boavista	W 4-0	1824	1566	78.5%	17.5%	3.9%	+5.8	7
1970-09-27	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1566	1824	3.9%	17.5%	78.5%	-5.8	3
1970-09-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1605	1603	65.0%	20.5%	14.5%	+5.9	6
1970-09-27	@ Farense	L 0-1	1603	1605	14.5%	20.5%	65.0%	-5.9	3
1970-09-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1565	1852	31.2%	20.6%	48.2%	-21.6	1
1970-09-27	@ Leixoes	W 2-0	1852	1565	48.2%	20.6%	31.2%	+21.6	7
1970-09-27	Porto	L 1-2	1565	1632	59.0%	20.8%	20.2%	-18.7	4
1970-09-27	@ Tirsense	W 2-1	1632	1565	20.2%	20.8%	59.0%	+18.7	6
1970-09-27	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1638	1653	63.7%	20.6%	15.7%	+6.0	6
1970-09-27	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1653	1638	15.7%	20.6%	63.7%	-6.0	4
1970-09-27	Fabril	W 3-0	1804	1626	75.4%	18.7%	5.9%	+6.8	6
1970-09-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1626	1804	5.9%	18.7%	75.4%	-6.8	3
1970-10-04	Farense	W 3-1	1647	1611	67.6%	20.2%	12.1%	+8.2	7
1970-10-04	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1611	1647	12.1%	20.2%	67.6%	-8.2	6
1970-10-04	Tirsense	D 0-0	1597	1546	68.6%	20.1%	11.3%	-5.3	4
1970-10-04	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1546	1597	11.3%	20.1%	68.6%	+5.3	5
1970-10-04	Leixoes	D 1-1	1560	1544	66.2%	20.4%	13.4%	-4.3	4
1970-10-04	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1544	1560	13.4%	20.4%	66.2%	+4.3	2
1970-10-04	Varzim	W 2-0	1619	1644	62.8%	20.7%	16.5%	+12.6	6
1970-10-04	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1644	1619	16.5%	20.7%	62.8%	-12.6	6
1970-10-04	Barreirense	D 2-2	1650	1597	68.7%	20.1%	11.2%	-3.6	7
1970-10-04	@ Porto	D 2-2	1597	1650	11.2%	20.1%	68.7%	+3.6	2
1970-10-04	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1874	1811	69.4%	20.0%	10.6%	+4.5	10
1970-10-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1811	1874	10.6%	20.0%	69.4%	-4.5	6
1970-10-04	Benfica	D 0-0	1670	1829	48.4%	21.0%	30.6%	-1.5	3
1970-10-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1829	1670	30.6%	21.0%	48.4%	+1.5	8
1970-10-18	Fabril	W 5-1	1656	1632	66.7%	20.3%	12.9%	+16.0	10
1970-10-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1632	1656	12.9%	20.3%	66.7%	-16.0	6
1970-10-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1601	1592	65.6%	20.4%	13.9%	-4.2	3
1970-10-18	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1592	1601	13.9%	20.4%	65.6%	+4.2	5
1970-10-18	Porto	D 2-2	1831	1647	75.7%	18.6%	5.7%	-4.4	9
1970-10-18	@ Benfica	D 2-2	1647	1831	5.7%	18.6%	75.7%	+4.4	8
1970-10-18	Tirsense	W 1-0	1602	1552	68.6%	20.1%	11.3%	+4.7	9
1970-10-18	@ Farense	L 0-1	1552	1602	11.3%	20.1%	68.6%	-4.7	5
1970-10-18	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1548	1668	53.2%	21.0%	25.8%	-2.4	3
1970-10-18	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1668	1548	25.8%	21.0%	53.2%	+2.4	4
1970-10-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1632	1878	36.5%	20.8%	42.6%	-13.0	6
1970-10-18	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1878	1632	42.6%	20.8%	36.5%	+13.0	13
1970-10-18	Boavista	W 5-1	1806	1556	78.3%	17.6%	4.1%	+5.0	9
1970-10-18	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-5	1556	1806	4.1%	17.6%	78.3%	-5.0	4
1970-10-25	Benfica	D 1-1	1596	1826	38.8%	20.9%	40.4%	+0.1	6
1970-10-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1826	1596	40.4%	20.9%	38.8%	-0.1	10
1970-10-25	Varzim	D 1-1	1551	1619	58.9%	20.9%	20.3%	-3.0	5
1970-10-25	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1619	1551	20.3%	20.9%	58.9%	+3.0	7
1970-10-25	Farense	W 2-0	1616	1607	65.6%	20.4%	14.0%	+10.8	9
1970-10-25	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1607	1616	14.0%	20.4%	65.6%	-10.8	9
1970-10-25	Leixoes	W 4-1	1651	1546	71.9%	19.6%	8.6%	+8.3	11
1970-10-25	@ Porto	L 1-4	1546	1651	8.6%	19.6%	71.9%	-8.3	3
1970-10-25	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1891	1672	77.1%	18.1%	4.8%	+2.0	16
1970-10-25	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1672	1891	4.8%	18.1%	77.1%	-2.0	10
1970-10-25	Barreirense	W 3-2	1547	1597	60.6%	20.8%	18.6%	+6.6	8
1970-10-25	@ Tirsense	L 2-3	1597	1547	18.6%	20.8%	60.6%	-6.7	3
1970-10-25	Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1671	1811	50.8%	21.0%	28.2%	-15.4	4
1970-10-25	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1811	1671	28.2%	21.0%	50.8%	+15.4	12
1970-11-01	Boavista	W 3-1	1670	1548	72.7%	19.4%	7.9%	+5.4	13
1970-11-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1548	1670	7.9%	19.4%	72.7%	-5.4	5
1970-11-01	Tirsense	W 7-0	1826	1554	79.1%	17.3%	3.6%	+9.1	13
1970-11-01	@ Benfica	L 0-7	1554	1826	3.6%	17.3%	79.1%	-9.1	8
1970-11-01	Barreirense	D 1-1	1596	1590	65.4%	20.5%	14.1%	-4.2	10
1970-11-01	@ Farense	D 1-1	1590	1596	14.1%	20.5%	65.4%	+4.2	4
1970-11-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1627	1893	33.8%	20.7%	45.5%	-23.1	9
1970-11-01	@ Fabril	W 2-0	1893	1627	45.5%	20.7%	33.8%	+23.1	19
1970-11-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1537	1596	59.8%	20.8%	19.4%	+14.5	6
1970-11-01	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1596	1537	19.4%	20.8%	59.8%	-14.6	6
1970-11-01	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1622	1655	62.1%	20.7%	17.2%	-39.4	7
1970-11-01	@ Varzim	W 2-0	1655	1622	17.2%	20.7%	62.1%	+39.4	7
1970-11-01	Porto	W 2-0	1827	1660	74.9%	18.8%	6.2%	+5.0	15
1970-11-01	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1660	1827	6.2%	18.8%	74.9%	-5.0	11
1970-11-08	Benfica	L 0-2	1594	1835	37.3%	20.8%	41.9%	-25.0	4
1970-11-08	@ Barreirense	W 2-0	1835	1594	41.9%	20.8%	37.3%	+25.0	16
1970-11-08	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1582	1832	36.0%	20.8%	43.2%	+14.9	9
1970-11-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1832	1582	43.2%	20.8%	36.0%	-14.9	15
1970-11-08	Fabril	W 3-2	1542	1603	59.6%	20.8%	19.6%	+7.0	8
1970-11-08	@ Boavista	L 2-3	1603	1542	19.6%	20.8%	59.6%	-7.0	9
1970-11-08	Varzim	W 4-2	1655	1582	69.9%	19.9%	10.2%	+6.2	14
1970-11-08	@ Porto	L 2-4	1582	1655	10.2%	19.9%	69.9%	-6.2	7
1970-11-08	Farense	W 1-0	1916	1592	80.8%	16.5%	2.8%	+1.1	22
1970-11-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1592	1916	2.8%	16.5%	80.8%	-1.1	10
1970-11-08	Leixoes	W 3-1	1544	1552	64.3%	20.5%	15.1%	+10.1	11
1970-11-08	@ Tirsense	L 1-3	1552	1544	15.1%	20.5%	64.3%	-10.1	6
1970-11-08	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1695	1675	66.4%	20.4%	13.2%	-21.1	7
1970-11-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1675	1695	13.2%	20.4%	66.4%	+21.1	16
1970-11-15	Porto	W 3-2	1696	1661	67.5%	20.2%	12.2%	+4.5	19
1970-11-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1661	1696	12.2%	20.2%	67.5%	-4.5	14
1970-11-15	Benfica	W 1-0	1591	1860	33.4%	20.7%	45.9%	+15.7	13
1970-11-15	@ Farense	L 0-1	1860	1591	45.9%	20.7%	33.4%	-15.7	16
1970-11-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1596	1674	58.0%	20.9%	21.2%	-3.2	10
1970-11-15	@ Fabril	D 0-0	1674	1596	21.2%	20.9%	58.0%	+3.2	8
1970-11-15	Barreirense	W 1-0	1542	1569	62.6%	20.7%	16.7%	+6.8	9
1970-11-15	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1569	1542	16.7%	20.7%	62.6%	-6.8	4
1970-11-15	Boavista	W 8-0	1918	1549	82.1%	15.7%	2.2%	+6.1	25
1970-11-15	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-8	1549	1918	2.2%	15.7%	82.1%	-6.1	8
1970-11-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1576	1596	63.3%	20.6%	16.1%	+12.3	10
1970-11-15	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1596	1576	16.1%	20.6%	63.3%	-12.3	9
1970-11-15	Tirsense	W 6-1	1817	1555	78.7%	17.5%	3.8%	+5.8	18
1970-11-15	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-6	1555	1817	3.8%	17.5%	78.7%	-5.8	11
1970-11-22	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-4	1562	1823	34.7%	20.7%	44.6%	-44.7	4
1970-11-22	@ Barreirense	W 4-0	1823	1562	44.6%	20.7%	34.7%	+44.7	21
1970-11-22	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1584	1701	53.7%	21.0%	25.4%	-34.2	9
1970-11-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1701	1584	25.4%	21.0%	53.7%	+34.1	22
1970-11-22	Leixoes	W 5-0	1845	1549	79.9%	16.9%	3.2%	+5.8	19
1970-11-22	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1549	1845	3.2%	16.9%	79.9%	-5.8	9
1970-11-22	Farense	L 0-1	1543	1607	59.3%	20.8%	19.8%	-19.9	8
1970-11-22	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1607	1543	19.8%	20.8%	59.3%	+20.0	16
1970-11-22	Fabril	W 2-0	1656	1593	69.4%	20.0%	10.6%	+8.4	17
1970-11-22	@ Porto	L 0-2	1593	1656	10.6%	20.0%	69.4%	-8.4	10
1970-11-22	Varzim	D 1-1	1549	1589	61.5%	20.7%	17.7%	-3.5	12
1970-11-22	@ Tirsense	D 1-1	1589	1549	17.7%	20.7%	61.5%	+3.5	11
1970-11-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1677	1924	36.5%	20.8%	42.7%	+0.5	9
1970-11-22	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1924	1677	42.7%	20.8%	36.5%	-0.5	26
1970-11-29	Tirsense	W 3-1	1735	1545	75.9%	18.5%	5.6%	+3.8	25
1970-11-29	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1545	1735	5.6%	18.5%	75.9%	-3.8	12
1970-11-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1523	1677	49.1%	21.0%	29.8%	+20.9	11
1970-11-29	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1677	1523	29.8%	21.0%	49.1%	-20.9	9
1970-11-29	Leixoes	W 1-0	1627	1543	70.6%	19.8%	9.6%	+4.0	19
1970-11-29	@ Farense	L 0-1	1543	1627	9.6%	19.8%	70.6%	-4.0	9
1970-11-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1585	1550	67.5%	20.2%	12.3%	+9.6	13
1970-11-29	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1550	1585	12.3%	20.2%	67.5%	-9.6	9
1970-11-29	Porto	W 2-1	1923	1665	78.6%	17.5%	3.9%	+1.5	29
1970-11-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1665	1923	3.9%	17.5%	78.6%	-1.5	17
1970-11-29	Barreirense	W 3-2	1592	1518	70.1%	19.9%	10.0%	+3.8	14
1970-11-29	@ Varzim	L 2-3	1518	1592	10.0%	19.9%	70.1%	-3.8	4
1970-11-29	Benfica	W 2-0	1867	1851	66.2%	20.4%	13.4%	+10.4	24
1970-11-29	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1851	1867	13.4%	20.4%	66.2%	-10.4	19
1970-12-06	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1514	1739	39.6%	20.9%	39.5%	-0.0	5
1970-12-06	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1739	1514	39.5%	20.9%	39.6%	+0.0	26
1970-12-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1540	1925	20.5%	19.8%	59.7%	+3.4	10
1970-12-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1925	1540	59.7%	19.8%	20.5%	-3.4	30
1970-12-06	Varzim	W 3-0	1840	1596	78.0%	17.8%	4.2%	+4.8	22
1970-12-06	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1596	1840	4.2%	17.8%	78.0%	-4.8	14
1970-12-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1631	1656	62.8%	20.7%	16.6%	+12.7	22
1970-12-06	@ Farense	L 0-2	1656	1631	16.6%	20.7%	62.8%	-12.6	9
1970-12-06	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1539	1878	25.1%	20.2%	54.7%	+17.3	12
1970-12-06	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1878	1539	54.7%	20.2%	25.1%	-17.3	24
1970-12-06	Boavista	W 1-0	1663	1544	72.6%	19.4%	8.0%	+3.4	20
1970-12-06	@ Porto	L 0-1	1544	1663	8.0%	19.4%	72.6%	-3.4	11
1970-12-06	Fabril	D 1-1	1541	1594	60.3%	20.8%	18.9%	-3.3	13
1970-12-06	@ Tirsense	D 1-1	1594	1541	18.9%	20.8%	60.3%	+3.3	14
1970-12-13	Benfica	D 0-0	1739	1845	54.8%	21.0%	24.2%	-2.6	27
1970-12-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1845	1739	24.2%	21.0%	54.8%	+2.6	23
1970-12-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1541	1544	64.7%	20.5%	14.8%	-4.5	12
1970-12-13	@ Boavista	D 0-0	1544	1541	14.8%	20.5%	64.7%	+4.5	11
1970-12-13	Barreirense	D 0-0	1598	1514	70.6%	19.8%	9.6%	-5.7	15
1970-12-13	@ Fabril	D 0-0	1514	1598	9.6%	19.8%	70.6%	+5.7	6
1970-12-13	Tirsense	W 2-0	1921	1538	82.5%	15.4%	2.1%	+1.5	33
1970-12-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1538	1921	2.1%	15.4%	82.5%	-1.5	13
1970-12-13	Leixoes	W 3-1	1591	1556	67.5%	20.2%	12.2%	+8.3	17
1970-12-13	@ Varzim	L 1-3	1556	1591	12.2%	20.2%	67.5%	-8.3	12
1970-12-13	Porto	D 0-0	1644	1667	63.0%	20.6%	16.3%	-4.2	10
1970-12-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1667	1644	16.3%	20.6%	63.0%	+4.2	21
1970-12-13	Farense	W 6-1	1861	1643	77.0%	18.1%	4.8%	+7.4	27
1970-12-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-6	1643	1861	4.8%	18.1%	77.0%	-7.4	22
1970-12-20	Leixoes	W 2-1	1736	1548	75.8%	18.6%	5.6%	+2.2	30
1970-12-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1548	1736	5.6%	18.6%	75.8%	-2.2	12
1970-12-20	Tirsense	W 1-0	1536	1537	64.9%	20.5%	14.6%	+6.0	15
1970-12-20	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1537	1536	14.6%	20.5%	64.9%	-6.0	13
1970-12-20	Benfica	L 0-2	1592	1848	35.3%	20.8%	43.9%	-23.9	15
1970-12-20	@ Fabril	W 2-0	1848	1592	43.9%	20.8%	35.3%	+23.9	26
1970-12-20	Farense	W 3-0	1671	1636	67.5%	20.2%	12.2%	+14.0	24
1970-12-20	@ Porto	L 0-3	1636	1671	12.2%	20.2%	67.5%	-13.9	22
1970-12-20	Barreirense	L 0-1	1923	1520	83.1%	15.1%	1.8%	-27.1	33
1970-12-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1520	1923	1.8%	15.1%	83.1%	+27.1	9
1970-12-20	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1599	1868	33.6%	20.7%	45.8%	-12.2	17
1970-12-20	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1868	1599	45.8%	20.7%	33.6%	+12.2	30
1970-12-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1640	1548	71.1%	19.7%	9.2%	-23.9	10
1970-12-20	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1548	1640	9.2%	19.7%	71.1%	+23.9	14
1970-12-27	Boavista	W 2-1	1547	1542	65.3%	20.5%	14.3%	+5.5	12
1970-12-27	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1542	1547	14.3%	20.5%	65.3%	-5.5	15
1970-12-27	Porto	L 1-2	1572	1685	54.1%	21.0%	24.9%	-17.2	14
1970-12-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1685	1572	24.9%	21.0%	54.1%	+17.2	27
1970-12-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 5-1	1871	1896	62.9%	20.6%	16.4%	+19.9	29
1970-12-27	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1896	1871	16.4%	20.6%	62.9%	-19.9	33
1970-12-27	Varzim	D 0-0	1622	1587	67.5%	20.2%	12.3%	-5.1	23
1970-12-27	@ Farense	D 0-0	1587	1622	12.3%	20.2%	67.5%	+5.1	18
1970-12-27	Fabril	W 1-0	1546	1568	63.1%	20.6%	16.3%	+6.6	15
1970-12-27	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1568	1546	16.3%	20.6%	63.1%	-6.6	15
1970-12-27	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1531	1616	57.1%	20.9%	22.0%	-2.0	14
1970-12-27	@ Tirsense	D 2-2	1616	1531	22.0%	20.9%	57.1%	+2.0	11
1970-12-27	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1880	1738	73.7%	19.1%	7.1%	+4.9	33
1970-12-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1738	1880	7.1%	19.1%	73.7%	-4.9	30
1971-01-03	Varzim	W 4-0	1733	1592	73.7%	19.2%	7.1%	+10.8	33
1971-01-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-4	1592	1733	7.1%	19.2%	73.7%	-10.8	18
1971-01-03	Farense	W 1-0	1555	1617	59.5%	20.8%	19.7%	+7.8	17
1971-01-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1617	1555	19.7%	20.8%	59.5%	-7.8	23
1971-01-03	Benfica	L 0-3	1537	1891	23.4%	20.1%	56.5%	-24.5	15
1971-01-03	@ Boavista	W 3-0	1891	1537	56.5%	20.1%	23.4%	+24.5	32
1971-01-03	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1562	1885	26.8%	20.3%	52.9%	-27.6	15
1971-01-03	@ Fabril	W 3-0	1885	1562	52.9%	20.3%	26.8%	+27.5	36
1971-01-03	Tirsense	W 3-0	1702	1529	75.2%	18.8%	6.0%	+7.0	30
1971-01-03	@ Porto	L 0-3	1529	1702	6.0%	18.8%	75.2%	-7.0	14
1971-01-03	Leixoes	W 4-0	1876	1552	80.7%	16.5%	2.8%	+4.1	36
1971-01-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1552	1876	2.8%	16.5%	80.7%	-4.1	15
1971-01-03	Barreirense	D 1-1	1618	1552	69.5%	20.0%	10.5%	-4.9	12
1971-01-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1552	1618	10.5%	20.0%	69.5%	+4.9	13
1971-01-10	Porto	L 0-2	1557	1709	49.4%	21.0%	29.6%	-31.7	13
1971-01-10	@ Barreirense	W 2-0	1709	1557	29.6%	21.0%	49.4%	+31.7	33
1971-01-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1916	1613	80.1%	16.8%	3.1%	+1.3	35
1971-01-10	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1613	1916	3.1%	16.8%	80.1%	-1.3	12
1971-01-10	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1609	1744	51.5%	21.0%	27.5%	-1.3	24
1971-01-10	@ Farense	D 2-2	1744	1609	27.5%	21.0%	51.5%	+1.3	34
1971-01-10	Boavista	L 0-1	1548	1512	67.6%	20.2%	12.2%	-22.7	15
1971-01-10	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1512	1548	12.2%	20.2%	67.6%	+22.7	18
1971-01-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1522	1563	61.4%	20.7%	17.8%	+11.7	17
1971-01-10	@ Tirsense	L 1-3	1563	1522	17.8%	20.7%	61.4%	-11.7	17
1971-01-10	Fabril	D 1-1	1582	1534	68.4%	20.1%	11.5%	-4.7	19
1971-01-10	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1534	1582	11.5%	20.1%	68.4%	+4.7	16
1971-01-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1913	1880	67.3%	20.3%	12.4%	-5.1	37
1971-01-10	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1880	1913	12.4%	20.3%	67.3%	+5.1	37
1971-01-31	Barreirense	D 0-0	1551	1526	66.8%	20.3%	12.8%	-5.0	18
1971-01-31	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1526	1551	12.8%	20.3%	66.8%	+5.0	14
1971-01-31	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1535	1908	21.6%	19.9%	58.5%	+19.5	21
1971-01-31	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1908	1535	58.5%	19.9%	21.6%	-19.5	37
1971-01-31	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1539	1745	42.1%	20.9%	37.0%	+12.4	19
1971-01-31	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1745	1539	37.0%	20.9%	42.1%	-12.4	34
1971-01-31	Benfica	W 4-0	1741	1917	46.2%	21.0%	32.8%	+42.9	36
1971-01-31	@ Porto	L 0-4	1917	1741	32.8%	21.0%	46.2%	-42.9	35
1971-01-31	Varzim	W 5-1	1885	1577	80.2%	16.7%	3.0%	+3.7	40
1971-01-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1577	1885	3.0%	16.7%	80.2%	-3.7	19
1971-01-31	Farense	W 2-0	1533	1608	58.2%	20.9%	20.9%	+15.5	20
1971-01-31	@ Tirsense	L 0-2	1608	1533	20.9%	20.9%	58.2%	-15.5	24
1971-01-31	Leixoes	D 0-0	1611	1525	70.8%	19.8%	9.5%	-5.7	13
1971-01-31	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1525	1611	9.5%	19.8%	70.8%	+5.7	16
1971-02-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1733	1889	48.9%	21.0%	30.0%	-1.6	35
1971-02-07	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1889	1733	30.0%	21.0%	48.9%	+1.6	41
1971-02-07	Tirsense	D 0-0	1530	1549	63.4%	20.6%	16.0%	-4.3	15
1971-02-07	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1549	1530	16.0%	20.6%	63.4%	+4.3	21
1971-02-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1874	1546	80.9%	16.4%	2.7%	+1.8	38
1971-02-07	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1546	1874	2.7%	16.4%	80.9%	-1.8	18
1971-02-07	Fabril	D 1-1	1592	1551	67.9%	20.2%	11.9%	-4.6	25
1971-02-07	@ Farense	D 1-1	1551	1592	11.9%	20.2%	67.9%	+4.6	20
1971-02-07	Porto	L 1-2	1531	1783	35.7%	20.8%	43.5%	-12.1	16
1971-02-07	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1783	1531	43.5%	20.8%	35.7%	+12.1	39
1971-02-07	Boavista	W 2-0	1573	1555	66.3%	20.4%	13.3%	+10.4	22
1971-02-07	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1555	1573	13.3%	20.4%	66.3%	-10.4	21
1971-02-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1888	1606	79.4%	17.2%	3.5%	+2.7	40
1971-02-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1606	1888	3.5%	17.2%	79.4%	-2.7	13
1971-02-21	Farense	W 1-0	1526	1588	59.5%	20.8%	19.6%	+7.8	18
1971-02-21	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1588	1526	19.6%	20.8%	59.5%	-7.8	25
1971-02-21	Leixoes	W 3-0	1544	1519	66.8%	20.3%	12.8%	+14.6	21
1971-02-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1519	1544	12.8%	20.3%	66.8%	-14.6	16
1971-02-21	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1544	1731	44.8%	21.0%	34.2%	-15.4	21
1971-02-21	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1731	1544	34.2%	21.0%	44.8%	+15.4	38
1971-02-21	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1796	1891	56.0%	20.9%	23.0%	+8.4	42
1971-02-21	@ Porto	L 1-2	1891	1796	23.0%	20.9%	56.0%	-8.4	40
1971-02-21	Fabril	W 2-1	1890	1556	81.1%	16.3%	2.6%	+1.0	44
1971-02-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1556	1890	2.6%	16.3%	81.1%	-1.0	20
1971-02-21	Benfica	L 2-4	1553	1876	26.9%	20.3%	52.8%	-14.7	21
1971-02-21	@ Tirsense	W 4-2	1876	1553	52.8%	20.3%	26.9%	+14.7	41
1971-02-21	Varzim	W 3-0	1603	1583	66.4%	20.4%	13.2%	+15.0	16
1971-02-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1583	1603	13.2%	20.4%	66.4%	-15.0	22
1971-02-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1747	1618	73.1%	19.3%	7.6%	+3.2	41
1971-02-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1618	1747	7.6%	19.3%	73.1%	-3.2	16
1971-02-28	Barreirense	W 1-0	1891	1534	81.8%	15.9%	2.4%	+1.0	44
1971-02-28	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1534	1891	2.4%	15.9%	81.8%	-0.9	18
1971-02-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1580	1891	28.2%	20.4%	51.4%	-9.9	25
1971-02-28	@ Farense	W 2-1	1891	1580	51.4%	20.4%	28.2%	+9.9	47
1971-02-28	Boavista	L 0-1	1555	1529	66.9%	20.3%	12.8%	-22.5	20
1971-02-28	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1529	1555	12.8%	20.3%	66.9%	+22.5	24
1971-02-28	Tirsense	W 2-0	1504	1538	62.1%	20.7%	17.2%	+13.1	19
1971-02-28	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1538	1504	17.2%	20.7%	62.1%	-13.1	21
1971-02-28	Porto	L 0-2	1568	1804	38.1%	20.8%	41.1%	-25.4	22
1971-02-28	@ Varzim	W 2-0	1804	1568	41.1%	20.8%	38.1%	+25.4	45
1971-02-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1882	1559	80.7%	16.5%	2.8%	-6.6	41
1971-02-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1559	1882	2.8%	16.5%	80.7%	+6.6	22
1971-03-21	Leixoes	D 0-0	1533	1518	66.1%	20.4%	13.5%	-4.8	19
1971-03-21	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1518	1533	13.5%	20.4%	66.1%	+4.8	20
1971-03-21	Varzim	W 1-0	1566	1543	66.6%	20.3%	13.0%	+5.4	25
1971-03-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1543	1566	13.0%	20.3%	66.6%	-5.4	22
1971-03-21	Farense	W 5-0	1892	1570	80.7%	16.5%	2.8%	+5.0	47
1971-03-21	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1570	1892	2.8%	16.5%	80.7%	-5.0	25
1971-03-21	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1551	1901	23.9%	20.1%	56.0%	+18.7	27
1971-03-21	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1901	1551	56.0%	20.1%	23.9%	-18.7	47
1971-03-21	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1829	1750	70.4%	19.8%	9.8%	-5.7	46
1971-03-21	@ Porto	D 0-0	1750	1829	9.8%	19.8%	70.4%	+5.7	42
1971-03-21	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1525	1876	23.8%	20.1%	56.1%	+2.8	22
1971-03-21	@ Tirsense	D 0-0	1876	1525	56.1%	20.1%	23.8%	-2.8	42
1971-03-21	Fabril	L 0-2	1615	1532	70.6%	19.8%	9.6%	-44.8	16
1971-03-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1532	1615	9.6%	19.8%	70.6%	+44.8	23
1971-03-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1756	1571	75.7%	18.6%	5.7%	-6.7	43
1971-03-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1571	1756	5.7%	18.6%	75.7%	+6.7	26
1971-03-28	Boavista	D 0-0	1565	1570	64.5%	20.5%	15.0%	-4.5	26
1971-03-28	@ Farense	D 0-0	1570	1565	15.0%	20.5%	64.5%	+4.5	28
1971-03-28	Porto	W 1-0	1577	1824	36.5%	20.8%	42.7%	+14.8	26
1971-03-28	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1824	1577	42.7%	20.8%	36.5%	-14.8	46
1971-03-28	Benfica	L 1-2	1522	1897	21.4%	19.9%	58.7%	-7.8	20
1971-03-28	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1897	1522	58.7%	19.9%	21.4%	+7.8	50
1971-03-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-0	1882	1570	80.4%	16.7%	3.0%	+4.3	50
1971-03-28	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1570	1882	3.0%	16.7%	80.4%	-4.3	16
1971-03-28	Tirsense	W 4-1	1538	1528	65.7%	20.4%	13.9%	+13.2	25
1971-03-28	@ Varzim	L 1-4	1528	1538	13.9%	20.4%	65.7%	-13.2	22
1971-03-28	Barreirense	W 2-0	1873	1528	81.4%	16.1%	2.5%	+1.9	45
1971-03-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1528	1873	2.5%	16.1%	81.4%	-1.9	19
1971-04-04	Varzim	W 4-0	1526	1551	62.9%	20.6%	16.5%	+23.9	22
1971-04-04	@ Barreirense	L 0-4	1551	1526	16.5%	20.6%	62.9%	-23.9	25
1971-04-04	Fabril	W 3-1	1578	1592	63.8%	20.6%	15.6%	+10.4	29
1971-04-04	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1592	1578	15.6%	20.6%	63.8%	-10.4	26
1971-04-04	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1905	1875	67.1%	20.3%	12.6%	+5.2	53
1971-04-04	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1875	1905	12.6%	20.3%	67.1%	-5.2	45
1971-04-04	Farense	W 1-0	1515	1560	61.0%	20.8%	18.2%	+7.3	23
1971-04-04	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1560	1515	18.2%	20.8%	61.0%	-7.3	26
1971-04-04	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1809	1887	57.9%	20.9%	21.2%	+7.9	49
1971-04-04	@ Porto	L 1-2	1887	1809	21.2%	20.9%	57.9%	-7.9	50
1971-04-04	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1515	1749	38.2%	20.8%	40.9%	+14.3	25
1971-04-04	@ Tirsense	L 0-1	1749	1515	40.9%	20.8%	38.2%	-14.3	43
1971-04-04	Boavista	W 1-0	1566	1575	64.2%	20.6%	15.2%	+6.2	19
1971-04-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1575	1566	15.2%	20.6%	64.2%	-6.2	28
1971-04-25	Barreirense	W 2-0	1735	1550	75.7%	18.6%	5.7%	+4.5	46
1971-04-25	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1550	1735	5.7%	18.6%	75.7%	-4.5	22
1971-04-25	Porto	L 0-1	1568	1817	36.3%	20.8%	43.0%	-13.0	28
1971-04-25	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1817	1568	43.0%	20.8%	36.3%	+13.0	52
1971-04-25	Tirsense	W 2-1	1581	1529	68.7%	20.1%	11.2%	+4.4	29
1971-04-25	@ Fabril	L 1-2	1529	1581	11.2%	20.1%	68.7%	-4.4	25
1971-04-25	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1879	1588	79.7%	17.0%	3.3%	+2.6	53
1971-04-25	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1588	1879	3.3%	17.0%	79.7%	-2.6	29
1971-04-25	Benfica	L 0-4	1527	1910	20.6%	19.8%	59.6%	-28.6	25
1971-04-25	@ Varzim	W 4-0	1910	1527	59.6%	19.8%	20.6%	+28.6	56
1971-04-25	Farense	W 1-0	1572	1553	66.4%	20.4%	13.3%	+5.5	22
1971-04-25	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1553	1572	13.3%	20.4%	66.4%	-5.5	26
1971-04-25	Leixoes	W 3-0	1870	1522	81.5%	16.1%	2.5%	+2.7	48
1971-04-25	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-3	1522	1870	2.5%	16.1%	81.5%	-2.7	23
1971-05-02	Fabril	W 3-0	1546	1586	61.5%	20.7%	17.8%	+19.5	25
1971-05-02	@ Barreirense	L 0-3	1586	1546	17.8%	20.7%	61.5%	-19.5	29
1971-05-02	Boavista	L 1-2	1585	1555	67.2%	20.3%	12.6%	-21.3	29
1971-05-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1555	1585	12.6%	20.3%	67.2%	+21.3	31
1971-05-02	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1938	1739	76.3%	18.4%	5.3%	+6.7	59
1971-05-02	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1739	1938	5.3%	18.4%	76.3%	-6.6	46
1971-05-02	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1547	1872	26.6%	20.3%	53.0%	+2.2	27
1971-05-02	@ Farense	D 0-0	1872	1547	53.0%	20.3%	26.6%	-2.2	49
1971-05-02	Varzim	W 5-0	1519	1498	66.5%	20.3%	13.2%	+24.0	26
1971-05-02	@ Leixoes	L 0-5	1498	1519	13.2%	20.3%	66.5%	-24.0	25
1971-05-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1830	1577	78.3%	17.6%	4.0%	-7.1	53
1971-05-02	@ Porto	D 0-0	1577	1830	4.0%	17.6%	78.3%	+7.1	23
1971-05-02	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1525	1881	23.2%	20.1%	56.8%	+2.9	26
1971-05-02	@ Tirsense	D 0-0	1881	1525	56.8%	20.1%	23.2%	-2.9	54

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1970-12-20	1.85%	Barreirense	1520	1	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1923	0
2	1970-12-20	9.22%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1548	1	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1640	0
3	1971-03-21	9.63%	Fabril	1532	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1615	0
4	1971-01-10	12.20%	Boavista	1512	1	@ Leixoes	1548	0
5	1971-05-02	12.55%	Boavista	1555	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1585	1
6	1971-02-28	12.82%	Boavista	1529	1	@ Fabril	1555	0
7	1970-11-08	13.23%	Academica de Coimbra	1675	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1695	1
8	1970-11-01	17.18%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1655	2	@ Varzim	1622	0
9	1970-11-22	19.83%	Farense	1607	1	@ Boavista	1543	0
10	1970-09-27	20.16%	Porto	1632	2	@ Tirsense	1565	1
11	1971-01-31	21.60%	@ Boavista	1535	1	Vitoria Setubal	1908	0
12	1971-03-21	23.90%	@ Boavista	1551	1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1901	0
13	1970-12-27	24.90%	Porto	1685	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1572	1
14	1970-12-06	25.05%	@ Leixoes	1539	2	Vitoria Setubal	1878	1
15	1970-11-22	25.36%	Academica de Coimbra	1701	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1584	0
16	1970-10-25	28.22%	Vitoria Setubal	1811	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1671	2
17	1971-01-10	29.57%	Porto	1709	2	@ Barreirense	1557	0
18	1970-09-13	30.41%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1811	3	@ Barreirense	1653	0
19	1970-11-15	33.44%	@ Farense	1591	1	Benfica	1860	0
20	1971-02-21	34.24%	Academica de Coimbra	1731	1	@ Boavista	1544	0
21	1970-11-08	36.02%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1582	1	Vitoria Setubal	1832	0
22	1971-03-28	36.51%	@ Fabril	1577	1	Porto	1824	0
23	1971-04-04	38.23%	@ Tirsense	1515	1	Academica de Coimbra	1749	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1970-09-13	45.30	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1811	30.41%	@ Barreirense	0	1653	48.58%
2	1971-03-21	44.82	Fabril	2	1532	9.63%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1615	70.56%
3	1970-11-22	44.71	Vitoria Setubal	4	1823	44.60%	@ Barreirense	0	1562	34.67%
4	1971-01-31	42.87	@ Porto	4	1741	46.22%	Benfica	0	1917	32.79%
5	1970-11-01	39.37	Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1655	17.18%	@ Varzim	0	1622	62.12%
6	1970-11-22	34.15	Academica de Coimbra	2	1701	25.36%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1584	53.66%
7	1971-01-10	31.67	Porto	2	1709	29.57%	@ Barreirense	0	1557	49.42%
8	1971-04-25	28.58	Benfica	4	1910	59.58%	@ Varzim	0	1527	20.62%
9	1971-01-03	27.56	Vitoria Setubal	3	1885	52.88%	@ Fabril	0	1562	26.79%
10	1970-12-20	27.09	Barreirense	1	1520	1.85%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1923	83.07%
11	1971-02-28	25.42	Porto	2	1804	41.09%	@ Varzim	0	1568	38.07%
12	1970-11-08	24.99	Benfica	2	1835	41.91%	@ Barreirense	0	1594	37.27%
13	1970-09-20	24.55	@ Fabril	7	1601	65.79%	Leixoes	1	1590	13.79%
14	1971-01-03	24.51	Benfica	3	1891	56.51%	@ Boavista	0	1537	23.41%
15	1971-05-02	24.00	@ Leixoes	5	1519	66.49%	Varzim	0	1498	13.16%
16	1970-12-20	23.93	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1548	9.22%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1640	71.06%
17	1970-12-20	23.92	Benfica	2	1848	43.94%	@ Fabril	0	1592	35.31%
18	1971-04-04	23.87	@ Barreirense	4	1526	62.89%	Varzim	0	1551	16.46%
19	1970-11-01	23.08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1893	45.50%	@ Fabril	0	1627	33.80%
20	1971-01-10	22.74	Boavista	1	1512	12.20%	@ Leixoes	0	1548	67.56%
21	1971-02-28	22.51	Boavista	1	1529	12.82%	@ Fabril	0	1555	66.87%
22	1970-09-27	21.61	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1852	48.20%	@ Leixoes	0	1565	31.22%
23	1971-05-02	21.32	Boavista	2	1555	12.55%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1585	67.17%
24	1970-11-08	21.07	Academica de Coimbra	2	1675	13.23%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1695	66.40%
25	1970-11-29	20.94	@ Boavista	2	1523	49.15%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1677	29.85%