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1970-71 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Benfica

41 points · 18th Title

Last Title: 1968-69

Relegated

Varzim

18 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Porto

8.39 points above expected

37 points · 28.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vitoria Guimaraes

6.25 points below expected

19 points · 25.25 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Benfica Champion 26 18 5 3 41 62 17 +45 35.67 +5.33
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 16 6 4 38 45 14 +31 36.00 +2.00
3 Porto 26 16 5 5 37 44 21 +23 28.61 +8.39
4 Vitoria Setubal 26 15 4 7 34 51 16 +35 35.29 -1.29
5 Academica de Coimbra 26 13 7 6 33 38 24 +14 28.59 +4.41
6 Boavista 26 9 4 13 22 18 38 -20 20.74 +1.26
7 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 7 8 11 22 20 27 -7 21.71 +0.29
8 Fabril 26 8 5 13 21 28 37 -9 22.14 -1.14
9 Tirsense 26 6 8 12 20 24 45 -21 20.96 -0.96
10 Barreirense 26 5 10 11 20 21 31 -10 22.24 -2.24
11 Farense 26 7 6 13 20 15 33 -18 23.06 -3.06
12 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 4 11 11 19 15 27 -12 25.25 -6.25
13 Leixoes 26 7 5 14 19 22 44 -22 21.00 -2.00
14 Varzim Relegated 26 7 4 15 18 23 52 -29 22.74 -4.74

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Porto 37 28.61 +8.39
2 Benfica 41 35.67 +5.33
3 Academica de Coimbra 33 28.59 +4.41
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 38 36.00 +2.00
5 Boavista 22 20.74 +1.26

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vitoria Guimaraes 19 25.25 -6.25
2 Varzim 18 22.74 -4.74
3 Farense 20 23.06 -3.06
4 Barreirense 20 22.24 -2.24
5 Leixoes 19 21.00 -2.00

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Porto 8 Dec 20 – Feb 28 1 in 795
2 Barreirense 2 Dec 20 – Dec 27 1 in 121
3 Academica de Coimbra 5 Nov 1 – Nov 29 1 in 99
4 Boavista 2 Jan 10 – Jan 31 1 in 52
5 Farense 4 Nov 15 – Dec 6 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 Dec 20 – Dec 27 1 in 127
2 Vitoria Guimaraes 3 Feb 28 – Mar 28 1 in 22
3 Barreirense 4 Nov 8 – Nov 29 1 in 14
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 3 Nov 15 – Nov 29 1 in 10
5 Boavista 2 Nov 15 – Nov 22 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Barreirense 5 Dec 6 – Jan 3 1 in 80
2 Porto 11 Dec 6 – Mar 21 1 in 53
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Feb 21 – Apr 4 1 in 24
4 Boavista 3 Feb 28 – Mar 28 1 in 15
5 Academica de Coimbra 8 Nov 1 – Dec 20 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vitoria Guimaraes 12 Nov 8 – Feb 7 1 in 696
2 Farense 14 Dec 13 – May 2 1 in 193
3 Barreirense 13 Sep 13 – Dec 13 1 in 109
4 Tirsense 8 Nov 15 – Jan 3 1 in 18
5 Vitoria Setubal 3 Feb 21 – Mar 21 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Benfica 1969 41 +57 10 7.8 +2.2
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1899 38 -30 5 6.9 -1.9
Porto 1846 37 -10 6 6.9 -0.9
Vitoria Setubal 1888 34 -8 6 6.7 -0.7
Academica de Coimbra 1744 33 -21 4 5.2 -1.2
Os Belenenses (1st) 1555 22 +0 5 5.0 -0.0
Boavista 1589 22 +30 5 3.1 +1.9
Fabril 1568 21 +40 6 4.0 +2.0
Barreirense 1573 20 +38 5 5.0 +0.0
Tirsense 1529 20 +4 4 3.1 +0.9
Farense 1543 20 -22 2 3.5 -1.5
Vitoria Guimaraes 1575 19 -34 5 5.1 -0.1
Leixoes 1541 19 +31 5 4.2 +0.8
Varzim 1460 18 -75 2 3.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC BAR BEN BOA FAB FAR LEI OB( POR SCDP TIR VAR VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
1-1-0
3.84
0-1-1
2.17
2-0-0
3.55
1-0-1
3.53
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.46
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
3.88
1-0-1
3.03
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
1.86
Barreirense
0-1-1
1.68
—
0-0-2
1.51
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.50
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.90
0-2-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
1.85
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.59
0-2-0
2.53
0-0-2
1.41
Benfica
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
4.03
—
2-0-0
4.41
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-1
4.18
2-0-0
4.50
1-1-0
4.09
0-1-1
3.67
1-1-0
2.58
2-0-0
4.28
2-0-0
4.50
1-1-0
3.71
1-0-1
2.76
Boavista
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
1.13
—
2-0-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.76
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
1.09
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
1.08
Fabril
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
2.94
—
1-1-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-2
1.34
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
1.25
Farense
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
1.36
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.81
—
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
1.19
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
1.24
Leixoes
0-1-1
2.36
1-1-0
2.60
0-0-2
1.04
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.47
—
1-0-1
2.59
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
1.23
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.74
0-2-0
2.24
1-0-1
1.08
Os Belenenses (1st)
0-1-1
2.06
0-2-0
2.69
0-1-1
1.45
0-1-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.91
—
0-0-2
2.37
0-1-1
0.95
0-1-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
2.25
1-1-0
1.35
Porto
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
1.85
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
3.76
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
3.89
2-0-0
3.13
—
1-0-1
2.21
2-0-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.78
0-2-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.22
Sporting Clube de Portugal
1-1-0
3.59
1-0-1
3.70
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-1
4.46
2-0-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.31
1-1-0
4.60
1-0-1
3.32
—
1-1-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.12
1-1-0
4.13
1-1-0
2.81
Tirsense
1-0-1
1.63
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
1.06
—
0-1-1
2.69
0-2-0
2.39
0-1-1
1.15
Varzim
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
1.04
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
1.41
1-1-0
2.81
—
0-0-2
2.65
0-0-2
1.44
Vitoria Guimaraes
0-0-2
2.56
0-2-0
2.97
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
3.12
0-1-1
3.09
1-0-1
2.81
0-2-0
3.26
0-0-2
3.25
0-2-0
2.37
0-1-1
1.41
0-2-0
3.12
2-0-0
2.85
—
0-0-2
1.90
Vitoria Setubal
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
4.45
2-0-0
4.27
1-1-0
4.29
1-0-1
4.47
0-1-1
4.19
1-0-1
3.29
0-1-1
2.70
1-1-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
3.63
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +5.3
Allowed 0.68 -6.0
Differential 0.93 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.84%11.54%7.42%3.30%2.20%1.37%40.66%
111.54%7.14%4.67%2.75%0.55%2.20%28.85%
27.42%4.67%2.20%1.37%0.55%—16.21%
33.30%2.75%1.37%———7.42%
42.20%0.55%0.55%———3.30%
5+1.37%2.20%————3.57%
Total40.66%28.85%16.21%7.42%3.30%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.14
CV 1.20 1.20 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%7.69%————30.77%
111.54%—7.69%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
27.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
3—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total46.15%30.77%15.38%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.92 +0.54
SD 1.39 1.20 1.73
CV 0.95 1.30 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%11.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%—53.85%
17.69%15.38%————23.08%
2—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%30.77%19.23%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.19 -0.38
SD 1.10 1.17 1.68
CV 1.36 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
115.38%7.69%————23.08%
27.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
47.69%—3.85%———11.54%
5+11.54%7.69%————19.23%
Total57.69%26.92%11.54%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 0.65 +1.73
SD 1.98 0.98 2.41
CV 0.83 1.49 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%46.15%
123.08%7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%42.31%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%34.62%11.54%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 1.46 -0.77
SD 0.79 1.88 2.16
CV 1.14 1.29 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%11.54%11.54%——42.31%
13.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
215.38%7.69%—3.85%——26.92%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%34.62%15.38%19.23%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.42 -0.35
SD 1.47 1.30 2.15
CV 1.36 0.91 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%23.08%7.69%3.85%—3.85%50.00%
123.08%7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%42.31%
23.85%—3.85%———7.69%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%30.77%15.38%7.69%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 1.27 -0.69
SD 0.64 1.56 1.74
CV 1.12 1.23 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%42.31%
111.54%3.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%42.31%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
3———————
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total38.46%15.38%15.38%15.38%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.69 -0.85
SD 1.08 1.87 2.36
CV 1.28 1.11 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%7.69%19.23%———46.15%
115.38%11.54%7.69%7.69%——42.31%
2———————
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%26.92%26.92%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.04 -0.27
SD 0.95 1.00 1.43
CV 1.24 0.96 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
111.54%—3.85%———15.38%
211.54%19.23%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
37.69%—————7.69%
43.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
5+———————
Total46.15%30.77%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.81 +0.88
SD 1.26 0.90 1.48
CV 0.74 1.11 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%7.69%————26.92%
115.38%3.85%3.85%——3.85%26.92%
215.38%11.54%————26.92%
33.85%—————3.85%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total65.38%26.92%3.85%——3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.54 +1.19
SD 1.87 1.07 2.25
CV 1.08 1.98 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%42.31%
17.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
23.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%23.08%23.08%7.69%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.73 -0.81
SD 1.02 1.87 2.10
CV 1.10 1.08 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%11.54%11.54%11.54%3.85%53.85%
13.85%11.54%———3.85%19.23%
27.69%3.85%——3.85%—15.38%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%15.38%11.54%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 2.00 -1.12
SD 1.18 1.57 2.25
CV 1.33 0.79 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.77%11.54%15.38%—3.85%—61.54%
17.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%19.23%23.08%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.58 1.04 -0.46
SD 0.86 1.18 1.42
CV 1.48 1.14 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%————30.77%
13.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
215.38%—————15.38%
315.38%3.85%3.85%———23.08%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—11.54%————11.54%
Total50.00%38.46%11.54%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 0.62 +1.35
SD 1.87 0.70 2.00
CV 0.95 1.13 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Benfica 1969 41 35.67 +5.33 94.0% 26 30 33 36 38 42 45
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1899 38 36.00 +2.00 76.0% 28 30 34 36 38 42 45
Vitoria Setubal 1888 34 35.29 -1.29 39.0% 25 29 32 35 38 41 43
Porto 1846 37 28.61 +8.39 99.0% 20 23 26 29 31 34 38
Academica de Coimbra 1744 33 28.59 +4.41 90.0% 19 22 26 28 31 34 38
Boavista 1589 22 20.74 +1.26 69.0% 11 14 18 20 24 28 31
Vitoria Guimaraes 1575 19 25.25 -6.25 6.0% 10 18 23 25 27 31 37
Barreirense 1573 20 22.24 -2.24 30.0% 13 16 20 22 25 27 30
Fabril 1568 21 22.14 -1.14 41.0% 16 17 20 22 24 28 32
Os Belenenses (1st) 1555 22 21.71 +0.29 58.0% 12 15 19 22 24 28 30
Farense 1543 20 23.06 -3.06 23.0% 14 16 21 23 25 29 33
Leixoes 1541 19 21.00 -2.00 34.0% 12 15 18 21 24 27 29
Tirsense 1529 20 20.96 -0.96 43.0% 12 14 18 21 24 26 30
Varzim 1460 18 22.74 -4.74 13.0% 16 18 20 23 25 29 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21% * Slight Edge: 21% to 28% * Clear Edge: 28% to 34.5% * Strong Edge: 34.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+40.66%
Strong Edge
58.24%24.18%17.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
180 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0149.93500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.96 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.83+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
33%
Benfica, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.42 * Lucky: 4.42 to 5.89 * Wild Swing: 5.89 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.67 * Close: 1.67 to 2.51 * Off: 2.51 to 3.35 * Way Off: 3.35 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.78 * A Surprise: 0.78 to 1.25 * Several Surprises: 1.25 to 1.72 * Many Surprises: 1.72 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.85 points
Some Luck
03.689
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.86
Off
02.095
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.00%
Porto
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
6.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
A Surprise
00.81

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.95 * Moderate Separation: 1.95 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 67.5% * Slight Edge: 67.5% to 73% * Clear Edge: 73% to 82% * Wide Edge: 82% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93.5% * Clear Edge: 93.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 97% * Dominant: 97% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50% * Some Drama: 50% to 61% * Frequent: 61% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 30% * Very Frequent: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 168.74
1.90
Coin-Flip Parity
11.952.252.75
Interquartile Edge
83%
Wide Edge
50%67.5%82%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Some Drama
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.53 * Notable Separation: 0.53 to 0.59 * Lopsided: 0.59 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Strong Carryover: 0.7 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 17% * Upset-Prone: 17% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.62
Lopsided
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.35
Weak Carryover
00.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Chalky
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.89
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1000.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Benfica33.00%29.00%33.00%3.00%—2.00%————————
Sporting Clube de Portugal33.00%28.00%30.00%8.00%1.00%—————————
Porto1.00%4.00%10.00%28.00%19.00%21.00%10.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%————
Vitoria Setubal32.00%33.00%19.00%7.00%7.00%—2.00%———————
Academica de Coimbra1.00%5.00%5.00%30.00%22.00%14.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
Boavista————7.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%18.00%22.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)———3.00%3.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%13.00%7.00%14.00%11.00%11.00%
Fabril———3.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%17.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%7.00%
Tirsense———1.00%4.00%3.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%6.00%14.00%10.00%13.00%20.00%
Barreirense———1.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%6.00%
Farense——1.00%5.00%3.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%12.00%16.00%6.00%7.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes—1.00%2.00%7.00%11.00%20.00%18.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%
Leixoes———1.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%10.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%18.00%16.00%
Varzim———3.00%4.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%8.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Academica de Coimbra 100% —
Benfica 100% —
Porto 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Vitoria Setubal 100% —
Vitoria Guimaraes 97.00% 3.00%
Barreirense 94.00% 6.00%
Fabril 93.00% 7.00%
Farense 93.00% 7.00%
Varzim 92.00% 8.00%
Os Belenenses (1st) 89.00% 11.00%
Leixoes 84.00% 16.00%
Tirsense 80.00% 20.00%
Boavista 78.00% 22.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1970-09-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-360.8 1675 1840 45.33% 25.63% 29.04%-0.08 -52.9 0
1970-09-13 @ Barreirense W 3-060.8 1840 1675 29.04% 25.63% 45.33%+0.08 +52.9 2
1970-09-13 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-159.3 1573 1692 50.89% 25.62% 23.49%+0.17 +19.0 2
1970-09-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-359.3 1692 1573 23.49% 25.62% 50.89%-0.17 -19.0 0
1970-09-13 Fabril W 1-051.5 1839 1604 73.50% 22.69% 3.81%+2.14 +2.2 2
1970-09-13 @ Benfica L 0-151.5 1604 1839 3.81% 22.69% 73.50%-2.14 -2.2 0
1970-09-13 Porto W 1-052.8 1605 1618 60.85% 25.24% 13.91%+0.76 +7.5 2
1970-09-13 @ Farense L 0-152.8 1618 1605 13.91% 25.24% 60.85%-0.76 -7.5 0
1970-09-13 Academica de Coimbra D 0-065.8 1589 1635 58.14% 25.41% 16.45%+0.58 -4.5 1
1970-09-13 @ Leixoes D 0-065.8 1635 1589 16.45% 25.41% 58.14%-0.58 +4.5 1
1970-09-13 Boavista W 1-050.4 1559 1570 60.97% 25.23% 13.80%+0.77 +7.5 2
1970-09-13 @ Tirsense L 0-150.4 1570 1559 13.80% 25.23% 60.97%-0.77 -7.5 0
1970-09-13 Varzim W 3-047.7 1840 1640 72.26% 23.17% 4.57%+1.94 +7.2 2
1970-09-13 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-347.7 1640 1840 4.57% 23.17% 72.26%-1.94 -7.2 0
1970-09-20 Vitoria Setubal W 1-061.8 1640 1847 39.72% 25.57% 34.72%-0.32 +15.7 3
1970-09-20 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-161.8 1847 1640 34.72% 25.57% 39.72%+0.32 -15.7 2
1970-09-20 Barreirense W 1-053.2 1563 1622 56.93% 25.46% 17.61%+0.50 +9.2 2
1970-09-20 @ Boavista L 0-153.2 1622 1563 17.61% 25.46% 56.93%-0.50 -9.2 0
1970-09-20 Leixoes W 7-147.7 1602 1585 63.03% 25.05% 11.92%+0.93 +28.4 2
1970-09-20 @ Fabril L 1-747.7 1585 1602 11.92% 25.05% 63.03%-0.93 -28.4 1
1970-09-20 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-051.7 1611 1592 63.15% 25.04% 11.82%+0.94 +6.5 2
1970-09-20 @ Porto L 0-151.7 1592 1611 11.82% 25.04% 63.15%-0.94 -6.5 2
1970-09-20 Benfica D 1-173.8 1893 1841 65.29% 24.78% 9.93%+1.12 -5.7 3
1970-09-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-173.8 1841 1893 9.93% 24.78% 65.29%-1.12 +5.6 3
1970-09-20 Farense W 1-052.5 1633 1613 63.23% 25.03% 11.74%+0.94 +6.5 2
1970-09-20 @ Varzim L 0-152.5 1613 1633 11.74% 25.03% 63.23%-0.94 -6.5 2
1970-09-20 Tirsense D 0-066.4 1673 1566 68.26% 24.27% 7.46%+1.42 -7.1 1
1970-09-20 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-066.4 1566 1673 7.46% 24.27% 68.26%-1.42 +7.1 3
1970-09-27 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-171.5 1613 1666 57.54% 25.44% 17.03%+0.54 -3.9 1
1970-09-27 @ Barreirense D 1-171.5 1666 1613 17.03% 25.44% 57.54%-0.54 +3.9 2
1970-09-27 Boavista W 4-045.8 1847 1572 74.79% 22.11% 3.10%+2.36 +6.3 5
1970-09-27 @ Benfica L 0-445.8 1572 1847 3.10% 22.11% 74.79%-2.36 -6.3 2
1970-09-27 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-051.4 1606 1585 63.29% 25.02% 11.68%+0.95 +6.5 4
1970-09-27 @ Farense L 0-151.4 1585 1606 11.68% 25.02% 63.29%-0.95 -6.5 2
1970-09-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-255.7 1556 1887 23.80% 24.94% 51.25%-1.01 -21.9 1
1970-09-27 @ Leixoes W 2-055.7 1887 1556 51.25% 24.94% 23.80%+1.01 +21.9 5
1970-09-27 Porto L 1-270.8 1573 1617 58.33% 25.40% 16.27%+0.59 -23.0 3
1970-09-27 @ Tirsense W 2-170.8 1617 1573 16.27% 25.40% 58.33%-0.59 +23.0 4
1970-09-27 Academica de Coimbra W 2-159.4 1639 1655 60.58% 25.26% 14.16%+0.74 +7.2 4
1970-09-27 @ Varzim L 1-259.4 1655 1639 14.16% 25.26% 60.58%-0.74 -7.2 3
1970-09-27 Fabril W 3-047.6 1831 1630 72.30% 23.16% 4.54%+1.95 +7.2 4
1970-09-27 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-347.6 1630 1831 4.54% 23.16% 72.30%-1.95 -7.2 2
1970-10-04 Farense W 3-155.2 1648 1613 64.27% 24.91% 10.82%+1.03 +9.8 5
1970-10-04 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-355.2 1613 1648 10.82% 24.91% 64.27%-1.03 -9.9 4
1970-10-04 Tirsense D 0-063.6 1579 1550 63.82% 24.96% 11.21%+0.99 -5.9 3
1970-10-04 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-063.6 1550 1579 11.21% 24.96% 63.82%-0.99 +5.9 4
1970-10-04 Leixoes D 1-167.4 1566 1535 63.98% 24.95% 11.07%+1.00 -5.3 3
1970-10-04 @ Boavista D 1-167.4 1535 1566 11.07% 24.95% 63.98%-1.00 +5.3 2
1970-10-04 Varzim W 2-051.4 1623 1646 60.04% 25.30% 14.67%+0.70 +14.9 4
1970-10-04 @ Fabril L 0-251.4 1646 1623 14.67% 25.30% 60.04%-0.70 -14.9 4
1970-10-04 Barreirense D 2-276.4 1640 1609 63.98% 24.95% 11.07%+1.00 -4.0 5
1970-10-04 @ Porto D 2-276.4 1609 1640 11.07% 24.95% 63.98%-1.00 +4.0 2
1970-10-04 Vitoria Setubal W 1-054.2 1909 1839 66.39% 24.62% 8.99%+1.23 +5.1 7
1970-10-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-154.2 1839 1909 8.99% 24.62% 66.39%-1.23 -5.1 4
1970-10-04 Benfica D 0-068.5 1670 1853 42.94% 25.61% 31.44%-0.19 -1.1 3
1970-10-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-068.5 1853 1670 31.44% 25.61% 42.94%+0.19 +1.1 6
1970-10-18 Fabril W 5-151.5 1658 1638 63.26% 25.02% 11.72%+0.94 +19.3 7
1970-10-18 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-551.5 1638 1658 11.72% 25.02% 63.26%-0.94 -19.3 4
1970-10-18 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-169.9 1613 1573 64.55% 24.88% 10.57%+1.05 -5.5 3
1970-10-18 @ Barreirense D 1-169.9 1573 1613 10.57% 24.88% 64.55%-1.05 +5.5 4
1970-10-18 Porto D 2-279.2 1854 1636 72.91% 22.93% 4.16%+2.04 -5.4 7
1970-10-18 @ Benfica D 2-279.2 1636 1854 4.16% 22.93% 72.91%-2.04 +5.4 6
1970-10-18 Tirsense W 1-050.1 1603 1556 64.96% 24.82% 10.21%+1.09 +5.7 6
1970-10-18 @ Farense L 0-150.1 1556 1603 10.21% 24.82% 64.96%-1.09 -5.7 4
1970-10-18 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-065.4 1540 1668 49.76% 25.63% 24.61%+0.12 -2.6 3
1970-10-18 @ Leixoes D 0-065.4 1668 1540 24.61% 25.63% 49.76%-0.12 +2.6 4
1970-10-18 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-160.3 1631 1914 29.42% 25.26% 45.32%-0.74 -13.8 4
1970-10-18 @ Varzim W 1-060.3 1914 1631 45.32% 25.26% 29.42%+0.74 +13.8 9
1970-10-18 Boavista W 5-149.0 1833 1560 74.74% 22.14% 3.13%+2.35 +5.3 6
1970-10-18 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-549.0 1560 1833 3.13% 22.14% 74.74%-2.35 -5.3 3
1970-10-25 Benfica D 1-172.9 1579 1849 31.06% 25.33% 43.61%-0.67 +1.1 5
1970-10-25 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-172.9 1849 1579 43.61% 25.33% 31.06%+0.67 -1.1 8
1970-10-25 Varzim D 1-169.4 1555 1618 56.63% 25.48% 17.89%+0.48 -3.7 4
1970-10-25 @ Boavista D 1-169.4 1618 1555 17.89% 25.48% 56.63%-0.48 +3.7 5
1970-10-25 Farense W 2-049.9 1619 1609 62.54% 25.10% 12.36%+0.89 +12.8 6
1970-10-25 @ Fabril L 0-249.9 1609 1619 12.36% 25.10% 62.54%-0.89 -12.8 6
1970-10-25 Leixoes W 4-149.8 1642 1537 68.16% 24.30% 7.55%+1.41 +10.0 8
1970-10-25 @ Porto L 1-449.8 1537 1642 7.55% 24.30% 68.16%-1.41 -10.0 3
1970-10-25 Academica de Coimbra W 1-051.8 1928 1677 74.02% 22.47% 3.51%+2.22 +2.0 11
1970-10-25 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-151.8 1677 1928 3.51% 22.47% 74.02%-2.22 -2.0 7
1970-10-25 Barreirense W 3-262.2 1551 1608 57.15% 25.45% 17.39%+0.52 +8.2 6
1970-10-25 @ Tirsense L 2-362.2 1608 1551 17.39% 25.45% 57.15%-0.52 -8.1 3
1970-10-25 Vitoria Setubal L 2-374.8 1671 1839 45.00% 25.63% 29.37%-0.10 -17.2 4
1970-10-25 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-274.8 1839 1671 29.37% 25.63% 45.00%+0.10 +17.2 8
1970-11-01 Boavista W 3-153.2 1675 1551 69.11% 24.09% 6.80%+1.52 +6.4 9
1970-11-01 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-353.2 1551 1675 6.80% 24.09% 69.11%-1.52 -6.4 4
1970-11-01 Tirsense W 7-045.8 1848 1559 75.22% 21.90% 2.88%+2.44 +9.9 10
1970-11-01 @ Benfica L 0-745.8 1559 1848 2.88% 21.90% 75.22%-2.44 -9.9 6
1970-11-01 Barreirense D 1-170.0 1596 1599 61.56% 25.18% 13.26%+0.81 -4.8 7
1970-11-01 @ Farense D 1-170.0 1599 1596 13.26% 25.18% 61.56%-0.81 +4.8 4
1970-11-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-257.3 1631 1930 27.47% 25.17% 47.36%-0.83 -24.6 6
1970-11-01 @ Fabril W 2-057.3 1930 1631 47.36% 25.17% 27.47%+0.83 +24.6 13
1970-11-01 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-048.3 1527 1580 57.57% 25.43% 16.99%+0.54 +16.8 5
1970-11-01 @ Leixoes L 0-248.3 1580 1527 16.99% 25.43% 57.57%-0.54 -16.8 5
1970-11-01 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-264.9 1621 1654 59.28% 25.34% 15.37%+0.65 -46.8 5
1970-11-01 @ Varzim W 2-064.9 1654 1621 15.37% 25.34% 59.28%-0.65 +46.8 6
1970-11-01 Porto W 2-049.6 1856 1652 72.42% 23.11% 4.47%+1.97 +4.9 10
1970-11-01 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-249.6 1652 1856 4.47% 23.11% 72.42%-1.97 -4.8 8
1970-11-08 Benfica L 0-258.8 1604 1858 33.29% 25.41% 41.30%-0.57 -28.6 4
1970-11-08 @ Barreirense W 2-058.8 1858 1604 41.30% 25.41% 33.29%+0.57 +28.6 12
1970-11-08 Vitoria Setubal W 1-065.2 1563 1861 27.59% 25.17% 47.23%-0.82 +19.9 7
1970-11-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-165.2 1861 1563 47.23% 25.17% 27.59%+0.82 -19.9 10
1970-11-08 Fabril W 3-262.2 1545 1607 56.71% 25.47% 17.82%+0.49 +8.3 6
1970-11-08 @ Boavista L 2-362.2 1607 1545 17.82% 25.47% 56.71%-0.49 -8.3 6
1970-11-08 Varzim W 4-257.2 1647 1575 66.46% 24.60% 8.93%+1.23 +7.4 10
1970-11-08 @ Porto L 2-457.2 1575 1647 8.93% 24.60% 66.46%-1.23 -7.4 5
1970-11-08 Farense W 1-050.7 1955 1591 77.35% 20.70% 1.96%+2.85 +1.1 15
1970-11-08 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-150.7 1591 1955 1.96% 20.70% 77.35%-2.85 -1.1 7
1970-11-08 Leixoes W 3-151.7 1549 1544 62.17% 25.13% 12.70%+0.86 +11.4 8
1970-11-08 @ Tirsense L 1-351.7 1544 1549 12.70% 25.13% 62.17%-0.86 -11.4 5
1970-11-08 Academica de Coimbra L 1-275.0 1701 1682 63.17% 25.03% 11.80%+0.94 -25.0 6
1970-11-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-175.0 1682 1701 11.80% 25.03% 63.17%-0.94 +25.0 11
1970-11-15 Porto W 3-263.2 1707 1654 65.33% 24.77% 9.89%+1.12 +5.0 13
1970-11-15 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-363.2 1654 1707 9.89% 24.77% 65.33%-1.12 -5.0 10
1970-11-15 Benfica W 1-065.3 1590 1886 27.80% 25.18% 47.02%-0.81 +19.9 9
1970-11-15 @ Farense L 0-165.3 1886 1590 47.02% 25.18% 27.80%+0.81 -19.9 12
1970-11-15 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-066.6 1598 1676 55.24% 25.53% 19.24%+0.40 -3.8 7
1970-11-15 @ Fabril D 0-066.6 1676 1598 19.24% 25.53% 55.24%-0.40 +3.8 7
1970-11-15 Barreirense W 1-050.6 1533 1576 58.41% 25.39% 16.20%+0.59 +8.6 7
1970-11-15 @ Leixoes L 0-150.6 1576 1533 16.20% 25.39% 58.41%-0.59 -8.6 4
1970-11-15 Boavista W 8-045.6 1956 1553 78.36% 20.04% 1.60%+3.07 +6.0 17
1970-11-15 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-845.6 1553 1956 1.60% 20.04% 78.36%-3.07 -6.0 6
1970-11-15 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-048.7 1567 1583 60.64% 25.25% 14.10%+0.75 +14.4 7
1970-11-15 @ Varzim L 0-248.7 1583 1567 14.10% 25.25% 60.64%-0.75 -14.4 7
1970-11-15 Tirsense W 6-147.8 1841 1560 74.97% 22.03% 3.01%+2.39 +6.2 12
1970-11-15 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-647.8 1560 1841 3.01% 22.03% 74.97%-2.39 -6.2 8
1970-11-22 Vitoria Setubal L 0-454.7 1567 1847 29.80% 25.28% 44.92%-0.72 -49.8 4
1970-11-22 @ Barreirense W 4-054.7 1847 1567 44.92% 25.28% 29.80%+0.72 +49.8 14
1970-11-22 Academica de Coimbra L 0-261.7 1568 1712 48.03% 25.64% 26.34%+0.04 -38.3 7
1970-11-22 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-061.7 1712 1568 26.34% 25.64% 48.03%-0.04 +38.3 15
1970-11-22 Leixoes W 5-045.1 1866 1541 76.27% 21.33% 2.39%+2.64 +5.9 14
1970-11-22 @ Benfica L 0-545.1 1541 1866 2.39% 21.33% 76.27%-2.64 -5.9 7
1970-11-22 Farense L 0-164.2 1547 1610 56.64% 25.48% 17.88%+0.49 -23.7 6
1970-11-22 @ Boavista W 1-064.2 1610 1547 17.88% 25.48% 56.64%-0.49 +23.7 11
1970-11-22 Fabril W 2-049.4 1649 1595 65.44% 24.76% 9.80%+1.14 +10.4 12
1970-11-22 @ Porto L 0-249.4 1595 1649 9.80% 24.76% 65.44%-1.14 -10.4 7
1970-11-22 Varzim D 1-168.4 1554 1581 59.69% 25.32% 14.99%+0.68 -4.4 9
1970-11-22 @ Tirsense D 1-168.4 1581 1554 14.99% 25.32% 59.69%-0.68 +4.4 8
1970-11-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-068.8 1680 1962 29.50% 25.26% 45.23%-0.74 +1.6 8
1970-11-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-068.8 1962 1680 45.23% 25.26% 29.50%+0.74 -1.6 18
1970-11-29 Tirsense W 3-153.4 1750 1550 72.27% 23.17% 4.56%+1.95 +4.3 17
1970-11-29 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-353.4 1550 1750 4.56% 23.17% 72.27%-1.95 -4.3 9
1970-11-29 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-054.3 1523 1681 46.28% 25.64% 28.08%-0.04 +25.2 8
1970-11-29 @ Boavista L 0-254.3 1681 1523 28.08% 25.64% 46.28%+0.04 -25.2 8
1970-11-29 Leixoes W 1-049.5 1633 1535 67.84% 24.36% 7.80%+1.38 +4.5 13
1970-11-29 @ Farense L 0-149.5 1535 1633 7.80% 24.36% 67.84%-1.38 -4.5 7
1970-11-29 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-046.2 1584 1530 65.42% 24.76% 9.82%+1.13 +10.4 9
1970-11-29 @ Fabril L 0-246.2 1530 1584 9.82% 24.76% 65.42%-1.13 -10.4 7
1970-11-29 Porto W 2-156.7 1960 1660 75.58% 21.72% 2.71%+2.50 +1.4 20
1970-11-29 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-256.7 1660 1960 2.71% 21.72% 75.58%-2.50 -1.4 12
1970-11-29 Barreirense W 3-257.8 1586 1517 66.26% 24.64% 9.10%+1.21 +4.6 10
1970-11-29 @ Varzim L 2-357.8 1517 1586 9.10% 24.64% 66.26%-1.21 -4.6 4
1970-11-29 Benfica W 2-052.6 1897 1872 63.56% 24.99% 11.45%+0.97 +12.0 16
1970-11-29 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-252.6 1872 1897 11.45% 24.99% 63.56%-0.97 -12.0 14
1970-12-06 Academica de Coimbra D 0-066.5 1513 1754 34.88% 25.46% 39.66%-0.51 +0.5 5
1970-12-06 @ Barreirense D 0-066.5 1754 1513 39.66% 25.46% 34.88%+0.51 -0.5 18
1970-12-06 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-068.9 1520 1962 13.99% 23.88% 62.12%-1.62 +5.3 8
1970-12-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-068.9 1962 1520 62.12% 23.88% 13.99%+1.62 -5.3 21
1970-12-06 Varzim W 3-046.9 1860 1590 74.63% 22.19% 3.18%+2.33 +5.0 16
1970-12-06 @ Benfica L 0-346.9 1590 1860 3.18% 22.19% 74.63%-2.33 -5.0 10
1970-12-06 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-051.6 1638 1656 60.46% 25.27% 14.27%+0.73 +14.5 15
1970-12-06 @ Farense L 0-251.6 1656 1638 14.27% 25.27% 60.46%-0.73 -14.5 8
1970-12-06 Vitoria Setubal W 2-173.1 1531 1909 19.14% 24.55% 56.31%-1.27 +22.0 9
1970-12-06 @ Leixoes L 1-273.1 1909 1531 56.31% 24.55% 19.14%+1.27 -22.0 16
1970-12-06 Boavista W 1-050.2 1658 1549 68.41% 24.24% 7.35%+1.44 +4.2 14
1970-12-06 @ Porto L 0-150.2 1549 1658 7.35% 24.24% 68.41%-1.44 -4.2 8
1970-12-06 Fabril D 1-168.5 1545 1595 57.84% 25.42% 16.74%+0.56 -4.0 10
1970-12-06 @ Tirsense D 1-168.5 1595 1545 16.74% 25.42% 57.84%-0.56 +4.0 10
1970-12-13 Benfica D 0-068.7 1754 1865 51.71% 25.61% 22.68%+0.21 -3.0 19
1970-12-13 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-068.7 1865 1754 22.68% 25.61% 51.71%-0.21 +3.0 17
1970-12-13 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-061.6 1544 1525 63.21% 25.03% 11.76%+0.94 -5.8 9
1970-12-13 @ Boavista D 0-061.6 1525 1544 11.76% 25.03% 63.21%-0.94 +5.8 9
1970-12-13 Barreirense D 0-063.2 1599 1513 67.19% 24.48% 8.33%+1.31 -6.8 11
1970-12-13 @ Fabril D 0-063.2 1513 1599 8.33% 24.48% 67.19%-1.31 +6.8 6
1970-12-13 Tirsense W 2-047.7 1956 1541 78.67% 19.82% 1.50%+3.14 +1.5 23
1970-12-13 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-247.7 1541 1956 1.50% 19.82% 78.67%-3.14 -1.5 10
1970-12-13 Leixoes W 3-152.6 1586 1553 64.07% 24.94% 10.99%+1.01 +10.0 12
1970-12-13 @ Varzim L 1-352.6 1553 1586 10.99% 24.94% 64.07%-1.01 -10.0 9
1970-12-13 Porto D 0-067.1 1641 1662 60.23% 25.28% 14.49%+0.72 -5.0 9
1970-12-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-067.1 1662 1641 14.49% 25.28% 60.23%-0.72 +5.0 15
1970-12-13 Farense W 6-148.8 1887 1652 73.47% 22.70% 3.82%+2.13 +8.0 18
1970-12-13 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-648.8 1652 1887 3.82% 22.70% 73.47%-2.13 -8.0 15
1970-12-20 Leixoes W 2-155.8 1751 1543 72.54% 23.07% 4.39%+1.99 +2.4 21
1970-12-20 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-255.8 1543 1751 4.39% 23.07% 72.54%-1.99 -2.4 9
1970-12-20 Tirsense W 1-048.6 1539 1540 61.75% 25.17% 13.09%+0.83 +7.1 11
1970-12-20 @ Boavista L 0-148.6 1540 1539 13.09% 25.17% 61.75%-0.83 -7.1 10
1970-12-20 Benfica L 0-257.8 1592 1868 30.26% 25.30% 44.44%-0.70 -26.5 11
1970-12-20 @ Fabril W 2-057.8 1868 1592 44.44% 25.30% 30.26%+0.70 +26.6 19
1970-12-20 Farense W 3-049.1 1667 1644 63.44% 25.01% 11.56%+0.96 +17.5 17
1970-12-20 @ Porto L 0-349.1 1644 1667 11.56% 25.01% 63.44%-0.96 -17.5 15
1970-12-20 Barreirense L 0-173.3 1958 1520 79.24% 19.43% 1.33%+3.26 -32.3 23
1970-12-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-073.3 1520 1958 1.33% 19.43% 79.24%-3.26 +32.3 8
1970-12-20 Vitoria Setubal L 0-159.5 1596 1895 27.43% 25.16% 47.41%-0.83 -13.0 12
1970-12-20 @ Varzim W 1-059.5 1895 1596 47.41% 25.16% 27.43%+0.83 +13.0 20
1970-12-20 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-167.5 1636 1531 68.22% 24.28% 7.50%+1.42 -28.7 9
1970-12-20 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-067.5 1531 1636 7.50% 24.28% 68.22%-1.42 +28.7 11
1970-12-27 Boavista W 2-154.4 1552 1546 62.29% 25.12% 12.59%+0.87 +6.5 10
1970-12-27 @ Barreirense L 1-254.4 1546 1552 12.59% 25.12% 62.29%-0.87 -6.5 11
1970-12-27 Porto L 1-269.6 1559 1685 50.14% 25.63% 24.24%+0.14 -19.9 11
1970-12-27 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-169.6 1685 1559 24.24% 25.63% 50.14%-0.14 +19.9 19
1970-12-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 5-154.5 1895 1926 59.41% 25.34% 15.25%+0.66 +24.3 21
1970-12-27 @ Benfica L 1-554.5 1926 1895 15.25% 25.34% 59.41%-0.66 -24.3 23
1970-12-27 Varzim D 0-065.7 1627 1582 64.83% 24.84% 10.33%+1.08 -6.2 16
1970-12-27 @ Farense D 0-065.7 1582 1627 10.33% 24.84% 64.83%-1.08 +6.2 13
1970-12-27 Fabril W 1-050.0 1541 1565 59.93% 25.30% 14.76%+0.70 +7.9 11
1970-12-27 @ Leixoes L 0-150.0 1565 1541 14.76% 25.30% 59.93%-0.70 -7.9 11
1970-12-27 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-273.7 1533 1608 55.46% 25.52% 19.02%+0.42 -2.6 11
1970-12-27 @ Tirsense D 2-273.7 1608 1533 19.02% 25.52% 55.46%-0.42 +2.6 10
1970-12-27 Academica de Coimbra W 3-155.7 1908 1753 70.46% 23.74% 5.80%+1.69 +5.5 22
1970-12-27 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-355.7 1753 1908 5.80% 23.74% 70.46%-1.69 -5.5 21
1971-01-03 Varzim W 4-046.4 1748 1589 70.65% 23.69% 5.66%+1.72 +11.7 23
1971-01-03 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-446.4 1589 1748 5.66% 23.69% 70.65%-1.72 -11.7 13
1971-01-03 Farense W 1-053.2 1540 1621 54.85% 25.54% 19.61%+0.38 +10.0 13
1971-01-03 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-153.2 1621 1540 19.61% 25.54% 54.85%-0.38 -10.0 16
1971-01-03 Benfica L 0-352.4 1539 1919 18.96% 24.53% 56.50%-1.28 -26.3 11
1971-01-03 @ Boavista W 3-052.4 1919 1539 56.50% 24.53% 18.96%+1.28 +26.3 23
1971-01-03 Vitoria Setubal L 0-353.2 1557 1913 21.21% 24.75% 54.04%-1.14 -28.9 11
1971-01-03 @ Fabril W 3-053.2 1913 1557 54.04% 24.75% 21.21%+1.14 +28.9 24
1971-01-03 Tirsense W 3-045.6 1705 1530 71.28% 23.50% 5.22%+1.80 +8.2 21
1971-01-03 @ Porto L 0-345.6 1530 1705 5.22% 23.50% 71.28%-1.80 -8.2 11
1971-01-03 Leixoes W 4-045.3 1901 1549 77.05% 20.88% 2.07%+2.79 +4.1 25
1971-01-03 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-445.3 1549 1901 2.07% 20.88% 77.05%-2.79 -4.1 11
1971-01-03 Barreirense D 1-169.5 1610 1559 65.26% 24.78% 9.96%+1.12 -5.7 11
1971-01-03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-169.5 1559 1610 9.96% 24.78% 65.26%-1.12 +5.6 11
1971-01-10 Porto L 0-261.5 1564 1713 47.39% 25.64% 26.98%+0.01 -37.9 11
1971-01-10 @ Barreirense W 2-061.5 1713 1564 26.98% 25.64% 47.39%-0.01 +37.9 23
1971-01-10 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-050.9 1945 1605 76.72% 21.08% 2.20%+2.72 +1.2 25
1971-01-10 @ Benfica L 0-150.9 1605 1945 2.20% 21.08% 76.72%-2.72 -1.2 11
1971-01-10 Academica de Coimbra D 2-277.7 1611 1759 47.36% 25.64% 27.00%+0.01 -1.4 17
1971-01-10 @ Farense D 2-277.7 1759 1611 27.00% 25.64% 47.36%-0.01 +1.4 24
1971-01-10 Boavista L 0-163.0 1544 1513 64.01% 24.94% 11.05%+1.01 -26.9 11
1971-01-10 @ Leixoes W 1-063.0 1513 1544 11.05% 24.94% 64.01%-1.01 +26.9 13
1971-01-10 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-151.7 1522 1550 59.67% 25.32% 15.01%+0.68 +13.1 13
1971-01-10 @ Tirsense L 1-351.7 1550 1522 15.01% 25.32% 59.67%-0.68 -13.1 13
1971-01-10 Fabril D 1-167.6 1577 1528 65.09% 24.81% 10.11%+1.10 -5.6 14
1971-01-10 @ Varzim D 1-167.6 1528 1577 10.11% 24.81% 65.09%-1.10 +5.6 12
1971-01-10 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-069.1 1942 1906 64.34% 24.90% 10.75%+1.04 -6.1 25
1971-01-10 @ Vitoria Setubal D 0-069.1 1906 1942 10.75% 24.90% 64.34%-1.04 +6.1 26
1971-01-31 Barreirense D 0-061.4 1536 1526 62.55% 25.10% 12.36%+0.89 -5.6 14
1971-01-31 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-061.4 1526 1536 12.36% 25.10% 62.55%-0.89 +5.6 12
1971-01-31 Vitoria Setubal W 1-068.4 1540 1936 17.52% 24.37% 58.11%-1.37 +24.1 15
1971-01-31 @ Boavista L 0-168.4 1936 1540 58.11% 24.37% 17.52%+1.37 -24.1 25
1971-01-31 Academica de Coimbra W 2-166.5 1534 1761 36.96% 25.51% 37.53%-0.43 +15.7 14
1971-01-31 @ Fabril L 1-266.5 1761 1534 37.53% 25.51% 36.96%+0.43 -15.7 24
1971-01-31 Benfica W 4-056.5 1751 1947 41.30% 25.59% 33.10%-0.25 +54.1 25
1971-01-31 @ Porto L 0-456.5 1947 1751 33.10% 25.59% 41.30%+0.25 -54.1 25
1971-01-31 Varzim W 5-148.9 1912 1571 76.70% 21.09% 2.21%+2.72 +3.7 28
1971-01-31 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-548.9 1571 1912 2.21% 21.09% 76.70%-2.72 -3.7 14
1971-01-31 Farense W 2-050.1 1535 1609 55.52% 25.52% 18.97%+0.42 +18.4 15
1971-01-31 @ Tirsense L 0-250.1 1609 1535 18.97% 25.52% 55.52%-0.42 -18.4 17
1971-01-31 Leixoes D 0-063.5 1603 1518 67.20% 24.48% 8.32%+1.31 -6.8 12
1971-01-31 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-063.5 1518 1603 8.32% 24.48% 67.20%-1.31 +6.8 12
1971-02-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-068.7 1745 1915 44.70% 25.63% 29.67%-0.11 -1.5 25
1971-02-07 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-068.7 1915 1745 29.67% 25.63% 44.70%+0.11 +1.5 29
1971-02-07 Tirsense D 0-062.1 1532 1553 60.20% 25.29% 14.51%+0.71 -5.0 13
1971-02-07 @ Barreirense D 0-062.1 1553 1532 14.51% 25.29% 60.20%-0.71 +5.0 16
1971-02-07 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-153.0 1892 1531 77.28% 20.74% 1.98%+2.84 +1.8 27
1971-02-07 @ Benfica L 1-353.0 1531 1892 1.98% 20.74% 77.28%-2.84 -1.8 14
1971-02-07 Fabril D 1-168.7 1591 1550 64.63% 24.87% 10.50%+1.06 -5.5 18
1971-02-07 @ Farense D 1-168.7 1550 1591 10.50% 24.87% 64.63%-1.06 +5.5 15
1971-02-07 Porto L 1-264.5 1524 1805 29.73% 25.27% 44.99%-0.73 -13.1 12
1971-02-07 @ Leixoes W 2-164.5 1805 1524 44.99% 25.27% 29.73%+0.73 +13.1 27
1971-02-07 Boavista W 2-047.7 1568 1564 62.10% 25.14% 12.76%+0.85 +13.2 16
1971-02-07 @ Varzim L 0-247.7 1564 1568 12.76% 25.14% 62.10%-0.85 -13.2 15
1971-02-07 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-048.5 1912 1597 76.01% 21.48% 2.51%+2.58 +2.7 27
1971-02-07 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-248.5 1597 1912 2.51% 21.48% 76.01%-2.58 -2.7 12
1971-02-21 Farense W 1-051.1 1527 1585 57.03% 25.46% 17.51%+0.51 +9.2 15
1971-02-21 @ Barreirense L 0-151.1 1585 1527 17.51% 25.46% 57.03%-0.51 -9.1 18
1971-02-21 Leixoes W 3-042.5 1529 1511 63.09% 25.04% 11.87%+0.93 +17.9 16
1971-02-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-342.5 1511 1529 11.87% 25.04% 63.09%-0.93 -17.9 12
1971-02-21 Academica de Coimbra L 0-162.4 1551 1744 41.68% 25.60% 32.72%-0.24 -18.0 15
1971-02-21 @ Boavista W 1-062.4 1744 1551 32.72% 25.60% 41.68%+0.24 +18.0 27
1971-02-21 Vitoria Setubal W 2-163.5 1818 1915 53.28% 25.58% 21.15%+0.30 +10.1 29
1971-02-21 @ Porto L 1-263.5 1915 1818 21.15% 25.58% 53.28%-0.30 -10.1 27
1971-02-21 Fabril W 2-155.8 1917 1555 77.29% 20.74% 1.98%+2.84 +1.0 31
1971-02-21 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-255.8 1555 1917 1.98% 20.74% 77.29%-2.84 -1.0 15
1971-02-21 Benfica L 2-464.2 1558 1894 23.29% 24.91% 51.80%-1.03 -16.7 16
1971-02-21 @ Tirsense W 4-264.2 1894 1558 51.80% 24.91% 23.29%+1.03 +16.7 29
1971-02-21 Varzim W 3-046.9 1594 1581 62.76% 25.08% 12.17%+0.90 +18.3 14
1971-02-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-346.9 1581 1594 12.17% 25.08% 62.76%-0.90 -18.3 16
1971-02-28 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-052.0 1762 1612 70.25% 23.80% 5.95%+1.66 +3.4 29
1971-02-28 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-152.0 1612 1762 5.95% 23.80% 70.25%-1.66 -3.4 14
1971-02-28 Barreirense W 1-050.3 1911 1536 77.63% 20.52% 1.85%+2.91 +1.0 31
1971-02-28 @ Benfica L 0-150.3 1536 1911 1.85% 20.52% 77.63%-2.91 -1.0 15
1971-02-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-263.4 1576 1918 22.68% 24.86% 52.45%-1.06 -10.5 18
1971-02-28 @ Farense W 2-163.4 1918 1576 52.45% 24.86% 22.68%+1.06 +10.5 33
1971-02-28 Boavista L 0-163.9 1554 1533 63.33% 25.02% 11.65%+0.95 -26.6 15
1971-02-28 @ Fabril W 1-063.9 1533 1554 11.65% 25.02% 63.33%-0.95 +26.6 17
1971-02-28 Tirsense W 2-045.7 1493 1542 57.93% 25.42% 16.66%+0.56 +16.6 14
1971-02-28 @ Leixoes L 0-245.7 1542 1493 16.66% 25.42% 57.93%-0.56 -16.5 16
1971-02-28 Porto L 0-257.9 1563 1828 31.66% 25.35% 42.98%-0.64 -27.5 16
1971-02-28 @ Varzim W 2-057.9 1828 1563 42.98% 25.35% 31.66%+0.64 +27.5 31
1971-02-28 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-174.4 1905 1547 77.18% 20.80% 2.02%+2.82 -8.0 28
1971-02-28 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-174.4 1547 1905 2.02% 20.80% 77.18%-2.82 +8.0 17
1971-03-21 Leixoes D 0-060.7 1535 1510 63.60% 24.99% 11.41%+0.97 -5.9 16
1971-03-21 @ Barreirense D 0-060.7 1510 1535 11.41% 24.99% 63.60%-0.97 +5.9 15
1971-03-21 Varzim W 1-048.5 1555 1535 63.24% 25.03% 11.74%+0.94 +6.5 19
1971-03-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-148.5 1535 1555 11.74% 25.03% 63.24%-0.94 -6.5 16
1971-03-21 Farense W 5-045.3 1912 1566 76.87% 20.99% 2.14%+2.75 +5.2 33
1971-03-21 @ Benfica L 0-545.3 1566 1912 2.14% 20.99% 76.87%-2.75 -5.2 18
1971-03-21 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-067.7 1559 1928 19.96% 24.63% 55.41%-1.22 +23.0 19
1971-03-21 @ Boavista L 0-167.7 1928 1559 55.41% 24.63% 19.96%+1.22 -23.0 33
1971-03-21 Academica de Coimbra D 0-069.0 1856 1765 67.45% 24.43% 8.11%+1.33 -6.9 32
1971-03-21 @ Porto D 0-069.0 1765 1856 8.11% 24.43% 67.45%-1.33 +6.9 30
1971-03-21 Vitoria Setubal D 0-068.4 1525 1897 19.71% 24.61% 55.68%-1.23 +3.8 17
1971-03-21 @ Tirsense D 0-068.4 1897 1525 55.68% 24.61% 19.71%+1.23 -3.8 29
1971-03-21 Fabril L 0-263.9 1609 1528 66.96% 24.52% 8.52%+1.28 -53.2 14
1971-03-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-063.9 1528 1609 8.52% 24.52% 66.96%-1.28 +53.2 17
1971-03-28 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-068.1 1772 1561 72.64% 23.03% 4.33%+2.00 -8.1 31
1971-03-28 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-068.1 1561 1772 4.33% 23.03% 72.64%-2.00 +8.1 20
1971-03-28 Boavista D 0-063.9 1560 1582 60.15% 25.29% 14.56%+0.71 -5.0 19
1971-03-28 @ Farense D 0-063.9 1582 1560 14.56% 25.29% 60.15%-0.71 +5.0 20
1971-03-28 Porto W 1-064.1 1581 1849 31.33% 25.34% 43.33%-0.66 +18.6 19
1971-03-28 @ Fabril L 0-164.1 1849 1581 43.33% 25.34% 31.33%+0.66 -18.6 32
1971-03-28 Benfica L 1-261.3 1516 1917 17.09% 24.32% 58.59%-1.40 -8.3 15
1971-03-28 @ Leixoes W 2-161.3 1917 1516 58.59% 24.32% 17.09%+1.40 +8.3 35
1971-03-28 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-045.3 1905 1556 76.96% 20.93% 2.10%+2.77 +4.2 35
1971-03-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-445.3 1556 1905 2.10% 20.93% 76.96%-2.77 -4.2 14
1971-03-28 Tirsense W 4-148.0 1529 1529 61.80% 25.16% 13.04%+0.83 +16.4 18
1971-03-28 @ Varzim L 1-448.0 1529 1529 13.04% 25.16% 61.80%-0.83 -16.4 17
1971-03-28 Barreirense W 2-047.8 1893 1529 77.34% 20.70% 1.96%+2.85 +2.0 31
1971-03-28 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-247.8 1529 1893 1.96% 20.70% 77.34%-2.85 -2.0 16
1971-04-04 Varzim W 4-043.5 1527 1545 60.48% 25.27% 14.25%+0.73 +27.5 18
1971-04-04 @ Barreirense L 0-443.5 1545 1527 14.25% 25.27% 60.48%-0.73 -27.5 18
1971-04-04 Fabril W 3-154.7 1570 1599 59.52% 25.33% 15.15%+0.67 +13.2 22
1971-04-04 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-354.7 1599 1570 15.15% 25.33% 59.52%-0.67 -13.2 19
1971-04-04 Vitoria Setubal W 1-055.0 1925 1895 63.94% 24.95% 11.11%+1.00 +6.2 37
1971-04-04 @ Benfica L 0-155.0 1895 1925 11.11% 24.95% 63.94%-1.00 -6.2 31
1971-04-04 Farense W 1-049.2 1508 1555 57.96% 25.42% 16.62%+0.57 +8.8 17
1971-04-04 @ Leixoes L 0-149.2 1555 1508 16.62% 25.42% 57.96%-0.57 -8.8 19
1971-04-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-163.0 1830 1909 55.04% 25.53% 19.42%+0.39 +9.4 34
1971-04-04 @ Porto L 1-263.0 1909 1830 19.42% 25.53% 55.04%-0.39 -9.4 35
1971-04-04 Academica de Coimbra W 1-061.9 1513 1764 33.56% 25.42% 41.02%-0.56 +17.8 19
1971-04-04 @ Tirsense L 0-161.9 1764 1513 41.02% 25.42% 33.56%+0.56 -17.8 31
1971-04-04 Boavista W 1-051.3 1551 1587 59.00% 25.36% 15.64%+0.63 +8.3 16
1971-04-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-151.3 1587 1551 15.64% 25.36% 59.00%-0.63 -8.3 20
1971-04-25 Barreirense W 2-048.3 1746 1555 71.93% 23.28% 4.78%+1.89 +5.2 33
1971-04-25 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-248.3 1555 1746 4.78% 23.28% 71.93%-1.89 -5.2 18
1971-04-25 Porto L 0-160.7 1579 1840 32.32% 25.38% 42.30%-0.61 -14.8 20
1971-04-25 @ Boavista W 1-060.7 1840 1579 42.30% 25.38% 32.32%+0.61 +14.8 36
1971-04-25 Tirsense W 2-154.0 1586 1530 65.51% 24.75% 9.74%+1.14 +5.2 21
1971-04-25 @ Fabril L 1-254.0 1530 1586 9.74% 24.75% 65.51%-1.14 -5.2 19
1971-04-25 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-048.4 1900 1583 76.06% 21.46% 2.49%+2.59 +2.6 37
1971-04-25 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-248.4 1583 1900 2.49% 21.46% 76.06%-2.59 -2.6 22
1971-04-25 Benfica L 0-450.4 1517 1932 16.06% 24.19% 59.75%-1.47 -29.8 18
1971-04-25 @ Varzim W 4-050.4 1932 1517 59.75% 24.19% 16.06%+1.47 +29.8 39
1971-04-25 Farense W 1-049.2 1560 1547 62.77% 25.07% 12.16%+0.90 +6.7 18
1971-04-25 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-149.2 1547 1560 12.16% 25.07% 62.77%-0.90 -6.7 19
1971-04-25 Leixoes W 3-045.7 1889 1516 77.58% 20.55% 1.87%+2.90 +2.8 33
1971-04-25 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-345.7 1516 1889 1.87% 20.55% 77.58%-2.90 -2.8 17
1971-05-02 Fabril W 3-047.2 1550 1591 58.52% 25.39% 16.09%+0.60 +23.4 20
1971-05-02 @ Barreirense L 0-347.2 1591 1550 16.09% 25.39% 58.52%-0.60 -23.4 21
1971-05-02 Boavista L 1-270.9 1580 1564 62.96% 25.06% 11.98%+0.92 -24.9 22
1971-05-02 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-170.9 1564 1580 11.98% 25.06% 62.96%-0.92 +24.9 22
1971-05-02 Academica de Coimbra W 5-150.5 1961 1751 72.62% 23.04% 4.34%+2.00 +7.4 41
1971-05-02 @ Benfica L 1-550.5 1751 1961 4.34% 23.04% 72.62%-2.00 -7.4 33
1971-05-02 Vitoria Setubal D 0-068.4 1540 1892 21.65% 24.78% 53.57%-1.12 +3.3 20
1971-05-02 @ Farense D 0-068.4 1892 1540 53.57% 24.78% 21.65%+1.12 -3.3 34
1971-05-02 Varzim W 5-039.8 1513 1488 63.63% 24.99% 11.39%+0.98 +27.8 19
1971-05-02 @ Leixoes L 0-539.8 1488 1513 11.39% 24.99% 63.63%-0.98 -27.8 18
1971-05-02 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-069.2 1854 1566 75.19% 21.91% 2.89%+2.43 -8.6 37
1971-05-02 @ Porto D 0-069.2 1566 1854 2.89% 21.91% 75.19%-2.43 +8.6 19
1971-05-02 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-068.4 1525 1903 19.16% 24.55% 56.29%-1.26 +3.9 20
1971-05-02 @ Tirsense D 0-068.4 1903 1525 56.29% 24.55% 19.16%+1.26 -3.9 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1970-12-20 1.33% Barreirense 1520 1 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1958 0
2 1970-12-20 7.50% Os Belenenses (1st) 1531 1 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1636 0
3 1971-03-21 8.52% Fabril 1528 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1609 0
4 1971-01-10 11.05% Boavista 1513 1 @ Leixoes 1544 0
5 1971-02-28 11.65% Boavista 1533 1 @ Fabril 1554 0
6 1970-11-08 11.80% Academica de Coimbra 1682 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1701 1
7 1971-05-02 11.98% Boavista 1564 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1580 1
8 1970-11-01 15.37% Vitoria Guimaraes 1654 2 @ Varzim 1621 0
9 1970-09-27 16.27% Porto 1617 2 @ Tirsense 1573 1
10 1971-01-31 17.52% @ Boavista 1540 1 Vitoria Setubal 1936 0
11 1970-11-22 17.88% Farense 1610 1 @ Boavista 1547 0
12 1970-12-06 19.14% @ Leixoes 1531 2 Vitoria Setubal 1909 1
13 1971-03-21 19.96% @ Boavista 1559 1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1928 0
14 1970-12-27 24.24% Porto 1685 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1559 1
15 1970-11-22 26.34% Academica de Coimbra 1712 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1568 0
16 1971-01-10 26.98% Porto 1713 2 @ Barreirense 1564 0
17 1970-11-08 27.59% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1563 1 Vitoria Setubal 1861 0
18 1970-11-15 27.80% @ Farense 1590 1 Benfica 1886 0
19 1970-09-13 29.04% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1840 3 @ Barreirense 1675 0
20 1970-10-25 29.37% Vitoria Setubal 1839 3 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1671 2
21 1971-03-28 31.33% @ Fabril 1581 1 Porto 1849 0
22 1971-02-21 32.72% Academica de Coimbra 1744 1 @ Boavista 1551 0
23 1971-04-04 33.56% @ Tirsense 1513 1 Academica de Coimbra 1764 0
24 1971-01-31 36.96% @ Fabril 1534 2 Academica de Coimbra 1761 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-01-31 54.14 @ Porto 4 1751 41.30% Benfica 0 1947 33.10% 25.59%
2 1971-03-21 53.16 Fabril 2 1528 8.52% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1609 66.96% 24.52%
3 1970-09-13 52.93 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1840 29.04% @ Barreirense 0 1675 45.33% 25.63%
4 1970-11-22 49.78 Vitoria Setubal 4 1847 44.92% @ Barreirense 0 1567 29.80% 25.28%
5 1970-11-01 46.82 Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1654 15.37% @ Varzim 0 1621 59.28% 25.34%
6 1970-11-22 38.32 Academica de Coimbra 2 1712 26.34% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1568 48.03% 25.64%
7 1971-01-10 37.87 Porto 2 1713 26.98% @ Barreirense 0 1564 47.39% 25.64%
8 1970-12-20 32.32 Barreirense 1 1520 1.33% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1958 79.24% 19.43%
9 1971-04-25 29.76 Benfica 4 1932 59.75% @ Varzim 0 1517 16.06% 24.19%
10 1971-01-03 28.93 Vitoria Setubal 3 1913 54.04% @ Fabril 0 1557 21.21% 24.75%
11 1970-12-20 28.74 Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1531 7.50% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1636 68.22% 24.28%
12 1970-11-08 28.60 Benfica 2 1858 41.30% @ Barreirense 0 1604 33.29% 25.41%
13 1970-09-20 28.42 @ Fabril 7 1602 63.03% Leixoes 1 1585 11.92% 25.05%
14 1971-05-02 27.84 @ Leixoes 5 1513 63.63% Varzim 0 1488 11.39% 24.99%
15 1971-02-28 27.51 Porto 2 1828 42.98% @ Varzim 0 1563 31.66% 25.35%
16 1971-04-04 27.51 @ Barreirense 4 1527 60.48% Varzim 0 1545 14.25% 25.27%
17 1971-01-10 26.88 Boavista 1 1513 11.05% @ Leixoes 0 1544 64.01% 24.94%
18 1971-02-28 26.59 Boavista 1 1533 11.65% @ Fabril 0 1554 63.33% 25.02%
19 1970-12-20 26.56 Benfica 2 1868 44.44% @ Fabril 0 1592 30.26% 25.30%
20 1971-01-03 26.31 Benfica 3 1919 56.50% @ Boavista 0 1539 18.96% 24.53%
21 1970-11-29 25.19 @ Boavista 2 1523 46.28% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1681 28.08% 25.64%
22 1970-11-08 25.00 Academica de Coimbra 2 1682 11.80% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1701 63.17% 25.03%
23 1971-05-02 24.92 Boavista 2 1564 11.98% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1580 62.96% 25.06%
24 1970-11-01 24.60 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1930 47.36% @ Fabril 0 1631 27.47% 25.17%
25 1970-12-27 24.30 @ Benfica 5 1895 59.41% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1926 15.25% 25.34%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-10-18 79.2 @ Benfica 2 1854 72.91% Porto 2 1636 4.16% 22.93%
2 1971-01-10 77.7 @ Farense 2 1611 47.36% Academica de Coimbra 2 1759 27.00% 25.64%
3 1970-10-04 76.4 @ Porto 2 1640 63.98% Barreirense 2 1609 11.07% 24.95%
4 1970-11-08 75.0 Academica de Coimbra 2 1682 11.80% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1701 63.17% 25.03%
5 1970-10-25 74.8 Vitoria Setubal 3 1839 29.37% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1671 45.00% 25.63%
6 1971-02-28 74.4 @ Vitoria Setubal 1 1905 77.18% Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1547 2.02% 20.80%
7 1970-09-20 73.8 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1893 65.29% Benfica 1 1841 9.93% 24.78%
8 1970-12-27 73.7 @ Tirsense 2 1533 55.46% Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1608 19.02% 25.52%
9 1970-12-20 73.3 Barreirense 1 1520 1.33% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1958 79.24% 19.43%
10 1970-12-06 73.1 @ Leixoes 2 1531 19.14% Vitoria Setubal 1 1909 56.31% 24.55%
11 1970-10-25 72.9 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1579 31.06% Benfica 1 1849 43.61% 25.33%
12 1970-09-27 71.5 @ Barreirense 1 1613 57.54% Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1666 17.03% 25.44%
13 1971-05-02 70.9 Boavista 2 1564 11.98% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1580 62.96% 25.06%
14 1970-09-27 70.8 Porto 2 1617 16.27% @ Tirsense 1 1573 58.33% 25.40%
15 1970-11-01 70.0 @ Farense 1 1596 61.56% Barreirense 1 1599 13.26% 25.18%
16 1970-10-18 69.9 @ Barreirense 1 1613 64.55% Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1573 10.57% 24.88%
17 1970-12-27 69.6 Porto 2 1685 24.24% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1559 50.14% 25.63%
18 1971-01-03 69.5 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1610 65.26% Barreirense 1 1559 9.96% 24.78%
19 1970-10-25 69.4 @ Boavista 1 1555 56.63% Varzim 1 1618 17.89% 25.48%
20 1971-05-02 69.2 @ Porto 0 1854 75.19% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1566 2.89% 21.91%
21 1971-01-10 69.1 @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1942 64.34% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1906 10.75% 24.90%
22 1971-03-21 69.0 @ Porto 0 1856 67.45% Academica de Coimbra 0 1765 8.11% 24.43%
23 1970-12-06 68.9 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1520 13.99% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1962 62.12% 23.88%
24 1970-11-22 68.8 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1680 29.50% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1962 45.23% 25.26%
25 1970-12-13 68.7 @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1754 51.71% Benfica 0 1865 22.68% 25.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-05-02 39.8 @ Leixoes 5 1513 63.63% Varzim 0 1488 11.39% 24.99%
2 1971-02-21 42.5 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 3 1529 63.09% Leixoes 0 1511 11.87% 25.04%
3 1971-04-04 43.5 @ Barreirense 4 1527 60.48% Varzim 0 1545 14.25% 25.27%
4 1970-11-22 45.1 @ Benfica 5 1866 76.27% Leixoes 0 1541 2.39% 21.33%
5 1971-01-03 45.3 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1901 77.05% Leixoes 0 1549 2.07% 20.88%
6 1971-03-21 45.3 @ Benfica 5 1912 76.87% Farense 0 1566 2.14% 20.99%
7 1971-03-28 45.3 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1905 76.96% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1556 2.10% 20.93%
8 1970-11-15 45.6 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 1956 78.36% Boavista 0 1553 1.60% 20.04%
9 1971-01-03 45.6 @ Porto 3 1705 71.28% Tirsense 0 1530 5.22% 23.50%
10 1971-02-28 45.7 @ Leixoes 2 1493 57.93% Tirsense 0 1542 16.66% 25.42%
11 1971-04-25 45.7 @ Vitoria Setubal 3 1889 77.58% Leixoes 0 1516 1.87% 20.55%
12 1970-09-27 45.8 @ Benfica 4 1847 74.79% Boavista 0 1572 3.10% 22.11%
13 1970-11-01 45.8 @ Benfica 7 1848 75.22% Tirsense 0 1559 2.88% 21.90%
14 1970-11-29 46.2 @ Fabril 2 1584 65.42% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1530 9.82% 24.76%
15 1971-01-03 46.4 @ Academica de Coimbra 4 1748 70.65% Varzim 0 1589 5.66% 23.69%
16 1970-12-06 46.9 @ Benfica 3 1860 74.63% Varzim 0 1590 3.18% 22.19%
17 1971-02-21 46.9 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 3 1594 62.76% Varzim 0 1581 12.17% 25.08%
18 1971-05-02 47.2 @ Barreirense 3 1550 58.52% Fabril 0 1591 16.09% 25.39%
19 1970-09-27 47.6 @ Vitoria Setubal 3 1831 72.30% Fabril 0 1630 4.54% 23.16%
20 1970-09-13 47.7 @ Vitoria Setubal 3 1840 72.26% Varzim 0 1640 4.57% 23.17%
21 1970-09-20 47.7 @ Fabril 7 1602 63.03% Leixoes 1 1585 11.92% 25.05%
22 1970-12-13 47.7 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1956 78.67% Tirsense 0 1541 1.50% 19.82%
23 1971-02-07 47.7 @ Varzim 2 1568 62.10% Boavista 0 1564 12.76% 25.14%
24 1970-11-15 47.8 @ Vitoria Setubal 6 1841 74.97% Tirsense 1 1560 3.01% 22.03%
25 1971-03-28 47.8 @ Vitoria Setubal 2 1893 77.34% Barreirense 0 1529 1.96% 20.70%