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1938-39 Divizia A Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Venus Bucuresti

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Venus Bucuresti

6.56 points above expected

35 points · 28.44 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rapid Bucuresti

4.14 points below expected

21 points · 25.14 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Venus Bucuresti 22 14 7 1 35 51 20 +31 28.44 +6.56
2 Ripensia Timisoara 22 11 4 7 26 53 39 +14 26.15 -0.15
3 AMEF Arad 22 10 5 7 25 40 35 +5 22.81 +2.19
4 CSM Resita 22 9 5 8 23 30 33 -3 22.15 +0.85
5 Rapid Bucuresti 22 8 5 9 21 40 33 +7 25.14 -4.14
6 Victoria Cluj 22 9 3 10 21 38 38 0 22.41 -1.41
7 Carpati Baia Mare 22 8 5 9 21 25 35 -10 19.53 +1.47
8 Juventus Bucuresti 22 8 4 10 20 37 37 0 19.17 +0.83
9 Sportul Studentesc 22 7 5 10 19 31 36 -5 19.06 -0.06
10 Chinezul Timisoara 22 6 7 9 19 48 56 -8 20.49 -1.49
11 Tricolor Ploiesti 22 7 3 12 17 23 38 -15 18.05 -1.05
12 AFC Gloria Arad 22 5 7 10 17 27 43 -16 20.60 -3.60

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Venus Bucuresti 35 28.44 +6.56
2 AMEF Arad 25 22.81 +2.19
3 Carpati Baia Mare 21 19.53 +1.47
4 CSM Resita 23 22.15 +0.85
5 Juventus Bucuresti 20 19.17 +0.83

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rapid Bucuresti 21 25.14 -4.14
2 AFC Gloria Arad 17 20.60 -3.60
3 Chinezul Timisoara 19 20.49 -1.49
4 Victoria Cluj 21 22.41 -1.41
5 Tricolor Ploiesti 17 18.05 -1.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 CSM Resita 5 Apr 30 – Jun 4 1 in 159
2 Tricolor Ploiesti 2 Oct 2 – Oct 9 1 in 22
3 Juventus Bucuresti 2 Sep 18 – Oct 2 1 in 17
4 Ripensia Timisoara 4 Mar 11 – Apr 22 1 in 16
5 AMEF Arad 3 Oct 16 – Oct 30 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ripensia Timisoara 3 May 10 – May 28 1 in 179
2 CSM Resita 4 Oct 23 – Nov 20 1 in 46
3 Victoria Cluj 2 Oct 2 – Oct 9 1 in 14
4 Rapid Bucuresti 2 Oct 29 – Nov 6 1 in 14
5 Carpati Baia Mare 3 Apr 30 – May 14 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Venus Bucuresti 21 Aug 28 – May 28 1 in 317
2 Ripensia Timisoara 6 Oct 2 – Nov 6 1 in 14
3 CSM Resita 5 Sep 11 – Oct 16 1 in 10
4 Chinezul Timisoara 4 Apr 23 – May 14 1 in 8
5 Tricolor Ploiesti 4 Apr 9 – Apr 30 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Bucuresti 6 Oct 2 – Nov 6 1 in 55
2 CSM Resita 8 Sep 18 – Nov 20 1 in 47
3 Ripensia Timisoara 4 Apr 30 – May 28 1 in 28
4 Sportul Studentesc 7 Feb 25 – Apr 30 1 in 23
5 Chinezul Timisoara 6 Sep 11 – Oct 23 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Venus Bucuresti 1381 35 +5 6 6.1 -0.1
Ripensia Timisoara 1290 26 -24 3 6.8 -3.8
AMEF Arad 1257 25 +11 8 6.0 +2.0
CSM Resita 1218 23 +29 10 5.4 +4.6
Rapid Bucuresti 1283 21 +10 6 5.8 +0.2
Victoria Cluj 1220 21 -13 4 5.4 -1.4
Carpati Baia Mare 1163 21 -21 2 4.5 -2.5
Juventus Bucuresti 1160 20 -11 4 3.6 +0.4
Chinezul Timisoara 1182 19 +4 5 3.5 +1.5
Sportul Studentesc 1166 19 +0 4 4.6 -0.6
AFC Gloria Arad 1180 17 +8 5 4.4 +0.6
Tricolor Ploiesti 1138 17 +2 3 4.0 -1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AGA AA CR CBM CT JB RB RT SS TP VB VC
AFC Gloria Arad —
0-2-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.62
0-2-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.08
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
2.59
AMEF Arad
0-2-0
3.17
—
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
3.38
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
2.90
CSM Resita
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.61
—
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.31
1-1-0
2.17
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
2.65
Carpati Baia Mare
0-2-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.55
—
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
1.97
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
3.02
0-0-2
1.71
1-0-1
2.46
Chinezul Timisoara
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.84
—
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.53
Juventus Bucuresti
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
2.75
—
1-0-1
2.07
2-0-0
1.87
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
1.68
1-1-0
2.36
Rapid Bucuresti
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
3.44
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.48
—
0-0-2
2.55
0-1-1
3.50
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
2.15
1-0-1
3.06
Ripensia Timisoara
1-0-1
3.58
2-0-0
3.11
0-1-1
3.38
1-0-1
3.58
1-1-0
3.52
0-0-2
3.69
2-0-0
2.99
—
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
3.83
0-2-0
2.47
2-0-0
3.28
Sportul Studentesc
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.05
1-0-1
1.92
—
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
1.62
0-0-2
2.49
Tricolor Ploiesti
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
1.84
1-0-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.59
—
0-1-1
1.46
1-0-1
2.21
Venus Bucuresti
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.81
1-1-0
3.90
0-1-1
3.38
0-2-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.96
1-1-0
4.13
—
2-0-0
3.65
Victoria Cluj
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.26
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.33
0-0-2
1.90
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.43 +3.2
Allowed 0.48 -4.2
Differential 0.87 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%6.44%5.30%1.52%2.27%1.89%22.73%
16.44%8.33%7.58%4.17%3.41%1.52%31.44%
25.30%7.58%8.33%1.14%0.38%1.14%23.86%
31.52%4.17%1.14%0.76%0.76%1.14%9.47%
42.27%3.41%0.38%0.76%——6.82%
5+1.89%1.52%1.14%1.14%——5.68%
Total22.73%31.44%23.86%9.47%6.82%5.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.68 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.53 2.30
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
14.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%—4.55%45.45%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%40.91%27.27%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.95 -0.73
SD 1.02 1.62 2.12
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—13.64%———22.73%
19.09%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total31.82%27.27%18.18%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.59 +0.23
SD 1.53 1.79 2.45
CV 0.84 1.13 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%—9.09%—31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
213.64%13.64%9.09%———36.36%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%18.18%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.50 -0.14
SD 1.18 1.37 1.96
CV 0.86 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%40.91%
19.09%9.09%——9.09%—27.27%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%13.64%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.59 -0.45
SD 1.28 1.50 2.24
CV 1.13 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%——4.55%18.18%
14.55%4.55%——9.09%—18.18%
2—4.55%18.18%4.55%——27.27%
3——4.55%4.55%—13.64%22.73%
4———————
5+—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
Total9.09%18.18%36.36%9.09%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 2.55 -0.36
SD 1.76 1.79 2.52
CV 0.81 0.70 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%——4.55%—18.18%
19.09%9.09%13.64%9.09%—4.55%45.45%
24.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.68 +0.00
SD 1.73 1.32 2.20
CV 1.03 0.79 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
14.55%9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.50 +0.32
SD 1.44 1.30 2.10
CV 0.79 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
1—13.64%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
5+9.09%——4.55%——13.64%
Total13.64%40.91%18.18%22.73%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 1.77 +0.64
SD 2.04 1.54 2.77
CV 0.85 0.87 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
19.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.64 -0.23
SD 1.62 1.68 2.51
CV 1.15 1.03 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%50.00%
14.55%—4.55%———9.09%
24.55%13.64%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%27.27%4.55%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.73 -0.68
SD 1.21 1.58 2.19
CV 1.16 0.91 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
113.64%13.64%——4.55%—31.82%
218.18%—13.64%———31.82%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total45.45%27.27%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 0.91 +1.41
SD 1.64 1.06 1.94
CV 0.71 1.17 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
19.09%—18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%45.45%
29.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
3—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%18.18%31.82%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.73 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.58 2.14
CV 0.72 0.91 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Venus Bucuresti 1381 35 28.44 +6.56 98.0% 22 23 26 28 30 34 39
Ripensia Timisoara 1290 26 26.15 -0.15 51.0% 18 20 23 26 29 32 33
Rapid Bucuresti 1283 21 25.14 -4.14 16.0% 15 18 23 25 27 31 32
AMEF Arad 1257 25 22.81 +2.19 77.0% 15 16 20 23 25 29 31
Victoria Cluj 1220 21 22.41 -1.41 40.0% 12 15 20 22 25 29 31
CSM Resita 1218 23 22.15 +0.85 67.0% 14 16 19 22 24 28 30
Chinezul Timisoara 1182 19 20.49 -1.49 42.0% 10 15 18 20 23 28 30
AFC Gloria Arad 1180 17 20.60 -3.60 24.0% 12 14 18 20 23 27 31
Sportul Studentesc 1166 19 19.06 -0.06 58.0% 9 12 17 19 22 25 27
Carpati Baia Mare 1163 21 19.53 +1.47 73.0% 10 13 17 19 22 26 27
Juventus Bucuresti 1160 20 19.17 +0.83 63.0% 11 13 16 19 21 26 28
Tricolor Ploiesti 1138 17 18.05 -1.05 47.0% 12 13 15 18 20 24 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 34.5% * Clear Edge: 34.5% to 50.5% * Strong Edge: 50.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.24%
Slight Edge
50.76%22.73%26.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge
145 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
085.94400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.67 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.59+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.18 * Runaway: 0.18 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
51%
Venus Bucuresti, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.41/gm
Runaway
00.120.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.98 * Some Luck: 2.98 to 4.47 * Lucky: 4.47 to 5.96 * Wild Swing: 5.96 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.85 * Close: 1.85 to 2.78 * Off: 2.78 to 3.71 * Way Off: 3.71 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.69 points
As Expected
03.739
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Pinpoint
02.325
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Venus Bucuresti
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
16.00%
Rapid Bucuresti
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.4 * Strong Separation: 1.4 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 66% * Very Frequent: 66% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 71.24
1.20
Moderate Separation
0.751.151.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%61%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Few
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Very Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.5 * Notable Separation: 0.5 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.51 * Strong Carryover: 0.51 to 0.66 * Near-Lock: 0.66 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 17% * Shaky Favorites: 17% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.59
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.82
Near-Lock
00.370.510.661
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.45
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Venus Bucuresti51.00%18.00%19.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%——————
Ripensia Timisoara22.00%19.00%19.00%15.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%—
AMEF Arad6.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%18.00%7.00%11.00%9.00%4.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%
CSM Resita2.00%10.00%4.00%13.00%5.00%18.00%16.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%
Rapid Bucuresti10.00%18.00%22.00%14.00%14.00%5.00%7.00%1.00%5.00%3.00%—1.00%
Victoria Cluj6.00%8.00%7.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%
Carpati Baia Mare1.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%15.00%15.00%14.00%
Juventus Bucuresti—2.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%17.00%
Sportul Studentesc1.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%14.00%17.00%13.00%16.00%12.00%
Chinezul Timisoara1.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%13.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%
Tricolor Ploiesti—1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%25.00%23.00%
AFC Gloria Arad—5.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Venus Bucuresti 100% —
Ripensia Timisoara 97.00% 3.00%
Rapid Bucuresti 96.00% 4.00%
Victoria Cluj 86.00% 14.00%
AMEF Arad 85.00% 15.00%
CSM Resita 84.00% 16.00%
Chinezul Timisoara 69.00% 31.00%
AFC Gloria Arad 68.00% 32.00%
Sportul Studentesc 59.00% 41.00%
Juventus Bucuresti 58.00% 42.00%
Carpati Baia Mare 56.00% 44.00%
Tricolor Ploiesti 42.00% 58.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1938-08-27 Juventus Bucuresti L 0-149.8 1283 1154 66.95% 20.88% 12.17%+1.48 -6.3 0
1938-08-27 @ Rapid Bucuresti W 1-049.8 1154 1283 12.17% 20.88% 66.95%-1.48 +6.3 2
1938-08-28 Victoria Cluj L 1-251.2 1220 1222 54.31% 23.57% 22.12%+0.58 -4.9 0
1938-08-28 @ AFC Gloria Arad W 2-151.2 1222 1220 22.12% 23.57% 54.31%-0.58 +4.9 2
1938-08-28 Tricolor Ploiesti W 6-236.3 1190 1153 58.39% 22.99% 18.61%+0.84 +5.5 2
1938-08-28 @ Chinezul Timisoara L 2-636.3 1153 1190 18.61% 22.99% 58.39%-0.84 -5.4 0
1938-08-28 CSM Resita W 4-138.8 1166 1223 47.63% 24.04% 28.32%+0.20 +7.1 2
1938-08-28 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 1-438.8 1223 1166 28.32% 24.04% 47.63%-0.20 -7.1 0
1938-08-28 AMEF Arad W 7-136.9 1161 1245 44.08% 24.11% 31.81%+0.01 +14.6 2
1938-08-28 @ Sportul Studentesc L 1-736.9 1245 1161 31.81% 24.11% 44.08%-0.01 -14.6 0
1938-08-28 Ripensia Timisoara D 1-153.5 1323 1299 57.14% 23.20% 19.66%+0.76 -0.8 1
1938-08-28 @ Venus Bucuresti D 1-153.5 1299 1323 19.66% 23.20% 57.14%-0.76 +0.8 1
1938-09-11 Victoria Cluj W 2-141.8 1216 1227 53.28% 23.68% 23.04%+0.52 +2.5 2
1938-09-11 @ CSM Resita L 1-241.8 1227 1216 23.04% 23.68% 53.28%-0.52 -2.5 2
1938-09-11 AFC Gloria Arad D 1-152.4 1173 1215 49.51% 23.96% 26.53%+0.30 -0.5 3
1938-09-11 @ Carpati Baia Mare D 1-152.4 1215 1173 26.53% 23.96% 49.51%-0.30 +0.5 1
1938-09-11 Chinezul Timisoara W 5-028.5 1277 1195 62.82% 22.07% 15.11%+1.16 +7.8 2
1938-09-11 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 0-528.5 1195 1277 15.11% 22.07% 62.82%-1.16 -7.8 2
1938-09-11 Tricolor Ploiesti W 5-026.7 1300 1148 68.76% 20.25% 10.98%+1.64 +5.7 3
1938-09-11 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 0-526.7 1148 1300 10.98% 20.25% 68.76%-1.64 -5.7 0
1938-09-11 Juventus Bucuresti W 1-036.5 1175 1160 56.11% 23.35% 20.54%+0.69 +2.3 4
1938-09-11 @ Sportul Studentesc L 0-136.5 1160 1175 20.54% 23.35% 56.11%-0.69 -2.3 2
1938-09-11 Venus Bucuresti L 2-547.0 1231 1322 43.18% 24.10% 32.72%-0.04 -8.5 0
1938-09-11 @ AMEF Arad W 5-247.0 1322 1231 32.72% 24.10% 43.18%+0.04 +8.5 3
1938-09-18 Rapid Bucuresti L 0-241.9 1216 1285 46.12% 24.08% 29.80%+0.12 -8.5 1
1938-09-18 @ AFC Gloria Arad W 2-041.9 1285 1216 29.80% 24.08% 46.12%-0.12 +8.5 4
1938-09-18 Venus Bucuresti D 2-257.5 1187 1331 36.00% 23.85% 40.14%-0.40 +0.1 3
1938-09-18 @ Chinezul Timisoara D 2-257.5 1331 1187 40.14% 23.85% 36.00%+0.40 -0.1 4
1938-09-18 AMEF Arad L 0-437.9 1142 1222 44.70% 24.10% 31.19%+0.04 -15.8 0
1938-09-18 @ Tricolor Ploiesti W 4-037.9 1222 1142 31.19% 24.10% 44.70%-0.04 +15.8 2
1938-09-18 Ripensia Timisoara W 7-241.7 1158 1305 35.51% 23.82% 40.67%-0.42 +12.4 4
1938-09-18 @ Juventus Bucuresti L 2-741.7 1305 1158 40.67% 23.82% 35.51%+0.42 -12.4 3
1938-09-18 CSM Resita D 0-048.8 1178 1218 49.70% 23.95% 26.35%+0.31 -0.6 5
1938-09-18 @ Sportul Studentesc D 0-048.8 1218 1178 26.35% 23.95% 49.70%-0.31 +0.5 3
1938-09-18 Carpati Baia Mare W 5-029.2 1224 1172 59.95% 22.71% 17.34%+0.95 +8.9 4
1938-09-18 @ Victoria Cluj L 0-529.2 1172 1224 17.34% 22.71% 59.95%-0.95 -8.9 3
1938-10-02 CSM Resita D 0-048.8 1187 1219 50.82% 23.88% 25.29%+0.38 -0.6 4
1938-10-02 @ Chinezul Timisoara D 0-048.8 1219 1187 25.29% 23.88% 50.82%-0.38 +0.6 4
1938-10-02 Sportul Studentesc D 1-152.4 1163 1177 52.94% 23.71% 23.35%+0.50 -0.6 4
1938-10-02 @ Carpati Baia Mare D 1-152.4 1177 1163 23.35% 23.71% 52.94%-0.50 +0.6 6
1938-10-02 Tricolor Ploiesti L 0-247.5 1293 1126 69.95% 19.80% 10.24%+1.74 -12.3 4
1938-10-02 @ Rapid Bucuresti W 2-047.5 1126 1293 10.24% 19.80% 69.95%-1.74 +12.3 2
1938-10-02 Ripensia Timisoara L 1-347.3 1238 1293 47.96% 24.03% 28.00%+0.22 -7.6 2
1938-10-02 @ AMEF Arad W 3-147.3 1293 1238 28.00% 24.03% 47.96%-0.22 +7.6 5
1938-10-02 AFC Gloria Arad W 6-028.1 1331 1207 66.48% 21.03% 12.48%+1.45 +7.7 6
1938-10-02 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-628.1 1207 1331 12.48% 21.03% 66.48%-1.45 -7.7 1
1938-10-02 Juventus Bucuresti L 1-350.4 1233 1171 60.99% 22.49% 16.51%+1.02 -9.5 4
1938-10-02 @ Victoria Cluj W 3-150.4 1171 1233 16.51% 22.49% 60.99%-1.02 +9.5 6
1938-10-08 Venus Bucuresti L 1-343.0 1180 1338 33.99% 23.71% 42.30%-0.50 -5.8 6
1938-10-08 @ Juventus Bucuresti W 3-143.0 1338 1180 42.30% 23.71% 33.99%+0.50 +5.8 8
1938-10-09 Sportul Studentesc W 4-136.0 1200 1178 56.87% 23.24% 19.90%+0.74 +5.3 3
1938-10-09 @ AFC Gloria Arad L 1-436.0 1178 1200 19.90% 23.24% 56.87%-0.74 -5.3 6
1938-10-09 Carpati Baia Mare L 1-447.1 1187 1163 57.10% 23.20% 19.70%+0.76 -12.6 4
1938-10-09 @ Chinezul Timisoara W 4-147.1 1163 1187 19.70% 23.20% 57.10%-0.76 +12.6 6
1938-10-09 Ripensia Timisoara D 2-257.4 1220 1300 44.60% 24.10% 31.30%+0.04 -0.2 5
1938-10-09 @ CSM Resita D 2-257.4 1300 1220 31.30% 24.10% 44.60%-0.04 +0.2 6
1938-10-09 Victoria Cluj W 2-144.5 1139 1224 44.07% 24.11% 31.83%+0.01 +3.2 4
1938-10-09 @ Tricolor Ploiesti L 1-244.5 1224 1139 31.83% 24.11% 44.07%-0.01 -3.2 4
1938-10-09 AMEF Arad D 1-153.0 1281 1230 59.84% 22.73% 17.43%+0.94 -0.9 5
1938-10-09 @ Rapid Bucuresti D 1-153.0 1230 1281 17.43% 22.73% 59.84%-0.94 +1.0 3
1938-10-16 Ripensia Timisoara D 1-152.5 1174 1301 38.37% 23.98% 37.65%-0.28 -0.0 5
1938-10-16 @ Chinezul Timisoara D 1-152.5 1301 1174 37.65% 23.98% 38.37%+0.28 +0.0 7
1938-10-16 AFC Gloria Arad D 1-152.6 1219 1205 56.10% 23.35% 20.56%+0.69 -0.8 6
1938-10-16 @ CSM Resita D 1-152.6 1205 1219 20.56% 23.35% 56.10%-0.69 +0.8 4
1938-10-16 Tricolor Ploiesti W 1-035.8 1175 1142 58.09% 23.05% 18.86%+0.82 +2.2 8
1938-10-16 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 0-135.8 1142 1175 18.86% 23.05% 58.09%-0.82 -2.2 4
1938-10-16 Juventus Bucuresti W 3-137.2 1231 1174 60.46% 22.61% 16.93%+0.99 +3.2 5
1938-10-16 @ AMEF Arad L 1-337.2 1174 1231 16.93% 22.61% 60.46%-0.99 -3.2 6
1938-10-16 Rapid Bucuresti D 0-050.2 1344 1280 61.14% 22.46% 16.40%+1.03 -1.1 9
1938-10-16 @ Venus Bucuresti D 0-050.2 1280 1344 16.40% 22.46% 61.14%-1.03 +1.1 6
1938-10-16 Sportul Studentesc W 3-137.5 1220 1172 59.57% 22.78% 17.65%+0.92 +3.3 6
1938-10-16 @ Victoria Cluj L 1-337.5 1172 1220 17.65% 22.78% 59.57%-0.92 -3.3 6
1938-10-23 CSM Resita W 2-144.2 1140 1219 44.86% 24.10% 31.04%+0.05 +3.1 6
1938-10-23 @ Tricolor Ploiesti L 1-244.2 1219 1140 31.04% 24.10% 44.86%-0.05 -3.1 6
1938-10-23 AFC Gloria Arad W 4-032.1 1171 1206 50.47% 23.90% 25.63%+0.35 +10.2 8
1938-10-23 @ Juventus Bucuresti L 0-432.1 1206 1171 25.63% 23.90% 50.47%-0.35 -10.2 4
1938-10-23 Rapid Bucuresti D 2-257.3 1178 1281 41.52% 24.08% 34.40%-0.12 -0.1 9
1938-10-23 @ Carpati Baia Mare D 2-257.3 1281 1178 34.40% 24.08% 41.52%+0.12 +0.1 7
1938-10-23 Sportul Studentesc W 7-028.3 1301 1169 67.14% 20.82% 12.04%+1.50 +8.5 9
1938-10-23 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 0-728.3 1169 1301 12.04% 20.82% 67.14%-1.50 -8.5 6
1938-10-23 Chinezul Timisoara W 5-343.7 1235 1174 60.78% 22.54% 16.68%+1.01 +2.7 7
1938-10-23 @ AMEF Arad L 3-543.7 1174 1235 16.68% 22.54% 60.78%-1.01 -2.7 5
1938-10-23 Victoria Cluj W 3-136.0 1343 1224 66.12% 21.15% 12.73%+1.42 +2.4 11
1938-10-23 @ Venus Bucuresti L 1-336.0 1224 1343 12.73% 21.15% 66.12%-1.42 -2.4 6
1938-10-29 Sportul Studentesc L 1-254.0 1281 1161 66.25% 21.11% 12.64%+1.43 -5.9 7
1938-10-29 @ Rapid Bucuresti W 2-154.0 1161 1281 12.64% 21.11% 66.25%-1.43 +5.9 8
1938-10-30 Tricolor Ploiesti W 1-035.3 1195 1143 60.01% 22.70% 17.29%+0.95 +2.0 6
1938-10-30 @ AFC Gloria Arad L 0-135.3 1143 1195 17.29% 22.70% 60.01%-0.95 -2.0 6
1938-10-30 Juventus Bucuresti W 5-135.4 1172 1181 53.39% 23.67% 22.94%+0.53 +7.7 7
1938-10-30 @ Chinezul Timisoara L 1-535.4 1181 1172 22.94% 23.67% 53.39%-0.53 -7.7 8
1938-10-30 AMEF Arad L 1-348.2 1216 1237 51.99% 23.79% 24.21%+0.44 -8.2 6
1938-10-30 @ CSM Resita W 3-148.2 1237 1216 24.21% 23.79% 51.99%-0.44 +8.2 9
1938-10-30 Carpati Baia Mare W 1-032.7 1346 1178 70.03% 19.77% 10.19%+1.75 +1.2 13
1938-10-30 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-132.7 1178 1346 10.19% 19.77% 70.03%-1.75 -1.2 9
1938-10-30 Ripensia Timisoara L 3-456.4 1221 1309 43.66% 24.11% 32.23%-0.01 -3.8 6
1938-10-30 @ Victoria Cluj W 4-356.4 1309 1221 32.23% 24.11% 43.66%+0.01 +3.8 11
1938-11-06 Chinezul Timisoara L 1-644.4 1197 1179 56.48% 23.29% 20.23%+0.72 -19.8 6
1938-11-06 @ AFC Gloria Arad W 6-144.4 1179 1197 20.23% 23.29% 56.48%-0.72 +19.8 9
1938-11-06 Sportul Studentesc L 0-145.9 1141 1166 51.55% 23.83% 24.63%+0.42 -5.0 6
1938-11-06 @ Tricolor Ploiesti W 1-045.9 1166 1141 24.63% 23.83% 51.55%-0.42 +5.0 10
1938-11-06 Carpati Baia Mare L 1-251.0 1173 1176 54.17% 23.58% 22.25%+0.57 -4.9 8
1938-11-06 @ Juventus Bucuresti W 2-151.0 1176 1173 22.25% 23.58% 54.17%-0.57 +4.9 11
1938-11-06 Rapid Bucuresti W 2-140.8 1313 1276 58.50% 22.98% 18.53%+0.85 +2.0 13
1938-11-06 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 1-240.8 1276 1313 18.53% 22.98% 58.50%-0.85 -2.0 7
1938-11-06 CSM Resita W 2-030.7 1347 1207 67.78% 20.60% 11.62%+1.55 +2.6 15
1938-11-06 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-230.7 1207 1347 11.62% 20.60% 67.78%-1.55 -2.6 6
1938-11-06 AMEF Arad W 2-035.3 1218 1245 51.27% 23.85% 24.88%+0.40 +5.2 8
1938-11-06 @ Victoria Cluj L 0-235.3 1245 1218 24.88% 23.85% 51.27%-0.40 -5.2 9
1938-11-19 Sportul Studentesc W 1-032.5 1349 1171 70.78% 19.48% 9.75%+1.82 +1.1 17
1938-11-19 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-132.5 1171 1349 9.75% 19.48% 70.78%-1.82 -1.1 10
1938-11-20 AMEF Arad D 2-257.2 1178 1240 46.98% 24.06% 28.96%+0.16 -0.3 7
1938-11-20 @ AFC Gloria Arad D 2-257.2 1240 1178 28.96% 24.06% 46.98%-0.16 +0.3 10
1938-11-20 Victoria Cluj L 0-243.3 1199 1223 51.75% 23.81% 24.44%+0.43 -9.4 9
1938-11-20 @ Chinezul Timisoara W 2-043.3 1223 1199 24.44% 23.81% 51.75%-0.43 +9.4 10
1938-11-20 Rapid Bucuresti L 0-144.6 1205 1273 46.18% 24.08% 29.74%+0.12 -4.5 6
1938-11-20 @ CSM Resita W 1-044.6 1273 1205 29.74% 24.08% 46.18%-0.12 +4.5 9
1938-11-20 Tricolor Ploiesti W 2-033.0 1169 1136 58.00% 23.06% 18.94%+0.82 +4.1 10
1938-11-20 @ Juventus Bucuresti L 0-233.0 1136 1169 18.94% 23.06% 58.00%-0.82 -4.1 6
1938-11-20 Ripensia Timisoara W 3-037.4 1181 1315 37.34% 23.93% 38.73%-0.33 +10.7 13
1938-11-20 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 0-337.4 1315 1181 38.73% 23.93% 37.34%+0.33 -10.7 13
1938-11-27 Juventus Bucuresti W 2-140.4 1200 1173 57.47% 23.15% 19.38%+0.78 +2.1 8
1938-11-27 @ CSM Resita L 1-240.4 1173 1200 19.38% 23.15% 57.47%-0.78 -2.1 10
1938-11-27 Venus Bucuresti D 2-257.7 1132 1350 26.69% 22.81% 50.50%-0.92 +0.4 7
1938-11-27 @ Tricolor Ploiesti D 2-257.7 1350 1132 50.50% 22.81% 26.69%+0.92 -0.4 18
1938-11-27 Victoria Cluj W 2-140.2 1278 1232 59.34% 22.82% 17.83%+0.91 +2.0 11
1938-11-27 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 1-240.2 1232 1278 17.83% 22.82% 59.34%-0.91 -2.0 10
1938-11-27 AFC Gloria Arad W 3-242.6 1304 1177 66.75% 20.95% 12.30%+1.47 +1.3 15
1938-11-27 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 2-342.6 1177 1304 12.30% 20.95% 66.75%-1.47 -1.3 7
1938-11-27 Chinezul Timisoara W 4-137.3 1170 1190 52.28% 23.77% 23.95%+0.46 +6.2 12
1938-11-27 @ Sportul Studentesc L 1-437.3 1190 1170 23.95% 23.77% 52.28%-0.46 -6.2 9
1938-11-27 Carpati Baia Mare W 3-030.5 1240 1192 59.62% 22.77% 17.61%+0.93 +5.6 12
1938-11-27 @ AMEF Arad L 0-330.5 1192 1240 17.61% 22.77% 59.62%-0.93 -5.6 13
1939-02-25 Sportul Studentesc W 2-141.5 1171 1176 53.82% 23.62% 22.55%+0.55 +2.4 12
1939-02-25 @ Juventus Bucuresti L 1-241.5 1176 1171 22.55% 23.62% 53.82%-0.55 -2.4 12
1939-02-26 Carpati Baia Mare D 0-048.8 1176 1186 53.32% 23.67% 23.00%+0.52 -0.7 8
1939-02-26 @ AFC Gloria Arad D 0-048.8 1186 1176 23.00% 23.67% 53.32%-0.52 +0.7 14
1939-02-26 Rapid Bucuresti D 3-361.4 1183 1280 42.48% 24.10% 33.42%-0.07 -0.1 10
1939-02-26 @ Chinezul Timisoara D 3-361.4 1280 1183 33.42% 24.10% 42.48%+0.07 +0.1 12
1939-02-26 Ripensia Timisoara W 2-148.2 1132 1306 32.06% 23.53% 44.41%-0.60 +4.1 9
1939-02-26 @ Tricolor Ploiesti L 1-248.2 1306 1132 44.41% 23.53% 32.06%+0.60 -4.1 15
1939-02-26 AMEF Arad W 2-031.8 1350 1246 64.80% 21.54% 13.66%+1.31 +3.0 20
1939-02-26 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-231.8 1246 1350 13.66% 21.54% 64.80%-1.31 -3.0 12
1939-02-26 CSM Resita W 1-036.2 1230 1202 57.51% 23.14% 19.35%+0.79 +2.2 12
1939-02-26 @ Victoria Cluj L 0-136.2 1202 1230 19.35% 23.14% 57.51%-0.79 -2.2 8
1939-03-05 Ripensia Timisoara W 2-146.4 1175 1301 38.42% 23.98% 37.60%-0.28 +3.6 10
1939-03-05 @ AFC Gloria Arad L 1-246.4 1301 1175 37.60% 23.98% 38.42%+0.28 -3.6 15
1939-03-05 Sportul Studentesc W 2-141.0 1183 1174 55.51% 23.43% 21.07%+0.66 +2.3 12
1939-03-05 @ Chinezul Timisoara L 1-241.0 1174 1183 21.07% 23.43% 55.51%-0.66 -2.3 12
1939-03-05 CSM Resita D 2-257.2 1173 1200 51.36% 23.84% 24.80%+0.41 -0.4 13
1939-03-05 @ Juventus Bucuresti D 2-257.2 1200 1173 24.80% 23.84% 51.36%-0.41 +0.4 9
1939-03-05 AMEF Arad D 0-048.8 1187 1243 47.81% 24.04% 28.15%+0.21 -0.5 15
1939-03-05 @ Carpati Baia Mare D 0-048.8 1243 1187 28.15% 24.04% 47.81%-0.21 +0.5 13
1939-03-05 Tricolor Ploiesti W 2-028.7 1353 1136 73.58% 18.26% 8.16%+2.09 +1.8 22
1939-03-05 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-228.7 1136 1353 8.16% 18.26% 73.58%-2.09 -1.8 9
1939-03-05 Rapid Bucuresti W 3-141.0 1232 1280 48.86% 23.99% 27.14%+0.26 +4.9 14
1939-03-05 @ Victoria Cluj L 1-341.0 1280 1232 27.14% 23.99% 48.86%-0.26 -4.9 12
1939-03-11 Venus Bucuresti L 0-140.3 1179 1355 31.75% 23.50% 44.75%-0.62 -3.3 10
1939-03-11 @ AFC Gloria Arad W 1-040.3 1355 1179 44.75% 23.50% 31.75%+0.62 +3.4 24
1939-03-11 Chinezul Timisoara W 2-033.7 1201 1186 56.14% 23.34% 20.52%+0.70 +4.4 11
1939-03-11 @ CSM Resita L 0-233.7 1186 1201 20.52% 23.34% 56.14%-0.70 -4.4 12
1939-03-11 Rapid Bucuresti L 0-238.7 1135 1275 36.38% 23.88% 39.74%-0.38 -7.0 9
1939-03-11 @ Tricolor Ploiesti W 2-038.7 1275 1135 39.74% 23.88% 36.38%+0.38 +7.0 14
1939-03-11 Victoria Cluj D 2-257.1 1173 1237 46.69% 24.07% 29.24%+0.15 -0.3 14
1939-03-11 @ Juventus Bucuresti D 2-257.1 1237 1173 29.24% 24.07% 46.69%-0.15 +0.3 15
1939-03-11 AMEF Arad W 2-032.9 1298 1244 60.19% 22.66% 17.15%+0.97 +3.8 17
1939-03-11 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 0-232.9 1244 1298 17.15% 22.66% 60.19%-0.97 -3.8 13
1939-03-11 Carpati Baia Mare L 1-250.6 1172 1187 52.80% 23.72% 23.48%+0.49 -4.8 12
1939-03-11 @ Sportul Studentesc W 2-150.6 1187 1172 23.48% 23.72% 52.80%-0.49 +4.8 17
1939-04-09 Juventus Bucuresti W 1-038.5 1128 1172 49.21% 23.98% 26.81%+0.28 +2.9 11
1939-04-09 @ Tricolor Ploiesti L 0-138.5 1172 1128 26.81% 23.98% 49.21%-0.28 -2.9 14
1939-04-09 CSM Resita L 3-461.3 1282 1205 62.39% 22.18% 15.43%+1.13 -5.2 14
1939-04-09 @ Rapid Bucuresti W 4-361.3 1205 1282 15.43% 22.18% 62.39%-1.13 +5.2 13
1939-04-09 Carpati Baia Mare W 4-133.7 1302 1191 65.33% 21.39% 13.28%+1.35 +3.6 19
1939-04-09 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 1-433.7 1191 1302 13.28% 21.39% 65.33%-1.35 -3.6 17
1939-04-09 Venus Bucuresti D 2-257.7 1167 1358 29.86% 23.28% 46.86%-0.73 +0.3 13
1939-04-09 @ Sportul Studentesc D 2-257.7 1358 1167 46.86% 23.28% 29.86%+0.73 -0.3 25
1939-04-09 AFC Gloria Arad D 1-152.8 1240 1176 61.14% 22.46% 16.40%+1.04 -1.0 14
1939-04-09 @ AMEF Arad D 1-152.8 1176 1240 16.40% 22.46% 61.14%-1.04 +1.0 11
1939-04-09 Chinezul Timisoara D 2-257.6 1238 1181 60.41% 22.62% 16.97%+0.98 -0.7 16
1939-04-09 @ Victoria Cluj D 2-257.6 1181 1238 16.97% 22.62% 60.41%-0.98 +0.7 13
1939-04-15 Rapid Bucuresti D 1-152.4 1167 1277 40.68% 24.06% 35.26%-0.16 -0.1 14
1939-04-15 @ Sportul Studentesc D 1-152.4 1277 1167 35.26% 24.06% 40.68%+0.16 +0.1 15
1939-04-16 AFC Gloria Arad W 3-140.5 1130 1177 49.04% 23.98% 26.98%+0.27 +4.8 13
1939-04-16 @ Tricolor Ploiesti L 1-340.5 1177 1130 26.98% 23.98% 49.04%-0.27 -4.8 11
1939-04-16 Chinezul Timisoara W 5-345.9 1169 1182 53.07% 23.70% 23.23%+0.51 +3.6 16
1939-04-16 @ Juventus Bucuresti L 3-545.9 1182 1169 23.23% 23.70% 53.07%-0.51 -3.6 13
1939-04-16 Venus Bucuresti L 0-237.8 1188 1358 32.48% 23.57% 43.94%-0.58 -6.4 17
1939-04-16 @ Carpati Baia Mare W 2-037.8 1358 1188 43.94% 23.57% 32.48%+0.58 +6.4 27
1939-04-16 Victoria Cluj W 4-135.0 1305 1237 61.54% 22.37% 16.09%+1.06 +4.3 21
1939-04-16 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 1-435.0 1237 1305 16.09% 22.37% 61.54%-1.06 -4.3 16
1939-04-16 CSM Resita W 4-030.1 1239 1210 57.59% 23.13% 19.29%+0.79 +8.0 16
1939-04-16 @ AMEF Arad L 0-430.1 1210 1239 19.29% 23.13% 57.59%-0.79 -7.9 13
1939-04-22 Ripensia Timisoara L 1-250.8 1277 1310 50.73% 23.89% 25.38%+0.37 -4.6 15
1939-04-22 @ Rapid Bucuresti W 2-150.8 1310 1277 25.38% 23.89% 50.73%-0.37 +4.6 23
1939-04-23 AFC Gloria Arad D 2-257.2 1178 1172 55.20% 23.46% 21.34%+0.64 -0.5 14
1939-04-23 @ Chinezul Timisoara D 2-257.2 1172 1178 21.34% 23.46% 55.20%-0.64 +0.5 12
1939-04-23 Venus Bucuresti L 0-435.0 1202 1364 33.50% 23.67% 42.83%-0.53 -12.5 13
1939-04-23 @ CSM Resita W 4-035.0 1364 1202 42.83% 23.67% 33.50%+0.53 +12.5 29
1939-04-23 Juventus Bucuresti W 2-141.0 1181 1173 55.42% 23.44% 21.14%+0.65 +2.3 19
1939-04-23 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 1-241.0 1173 1181 21.14% 23.44% 55.42%-0.65 -2.3 16
1939-04-23 Tricolor Ploiesti D 0-049.0 1167 1135 57.92% 23.07% 19.00%+0.81 -1.0 15
1939-04-23 @ Sportul Studentesc D 0-049.0 1135 1167 19.00% 23.07% 57.92%-0.81 +1.0 14
1939-04-23 Victoria Cluj D 0-049.2 1247 1233 56.04% 23.35% 20.60%+0.69 -0.9 17
1939-04-23 @ AMEF Arad D 0-049.2 1233 1247 20.60% 23.35% 56.04%-0.69 +0.9 17
1939-04-30 Carpati Baia Mare W 2-034.0 1190 1184 55.15% 23.47% 21.38%+0.63 +4.6 15
1939-04-30 @ CSM Resita L 0-234.0 1184 1190 21.38% 23.47% 55.15%-0.63 -4.6 19
1939-04-30 Chinezul Timisoara D 2-257.1 1136 1178 49.63% 23.95% 26.42%+0.31 -0.4 15
1939-04-30 @ Tricolor Ploiesti D 2-257.1 1178 1136 26.42% 23.95% 49.63%-0.31 +0.4 15
1939-04-30 Rapid Bucuresti L 0-437.1 1171 1273 41.77% 24.09% 34.15%-0.11 -14.9 16
1939-04-30 @ Juventus Bucuresti W 4-037.1 1273 1171 34.15% 24.09% 41.77%+0.11 +14.9 17
1939-04-30 Venus Bucuresti D 1-153.9 1314 1377 46.96% 24.06% 28.98%+0.16 -0.4 24
1939-04-30 @ Ripensia Timisoara D 1-153.9 1377 1314 28.98% 24.06% 46.96%-0.16 +0.4 30
1939-04-30 Sportul Studentesc W 1-034.6 1246 1166 62.61% 22.12% 15.27%+1.14 +1.8 19
1939-04-30 @ AMEF Arad L 0-134.6 1166 1246 15.27% 22.12% 62.61%-1.14 -1.8 15
1939-04-30 AFC Gloria Arad L 1-252.7 1233 1172 60.85% 22.52% 16.63%+1.01 -5.5 17
1939-04-30 @ Victoria Cluj W 2-152.7 1172 1233 16.63% 22.52% 60.85%-1.01 +5.5 14
1939-05-10 Chinezul Timisoara L 0-146.8 1179 1178 54.61% 23.54% 21.86%+0.60 -5.2 19
1939-05-10 @ Carpati Baia Mare W 1-046.8 1178 1179 21.86% 23.54% 54.61%-0.60 +5.2 17
1939-05-10 CSM Resita L 1-351.8 1314 1194 66.14% 21.14% 12.72%+1.42 -10.2 24
1939-05-10 @ Ripensia Timisoara W 3-151.8 1194 1314 12.72% 21.14% 66.14%-1.42 +10.2 17
1939-05-10 AFC Gloria Arad W 2-141.8 1164 1178 52.96% 23.71% 23.33%+0.50 +2.5 17
1939-05-10 @ Sportul Studentesc L 1-241.8 1178 1164 23.33% 23.71% 52.96%-0.50 -2.5 14
1939-05-10 Rapid Bucuresti W 4-138.5 1248 1287 49.82% 23.94% 26.24%+0.32 +6.7 21
1939-05-10 @ AMEF Arad L 1-438.5 1287 1248 26.24% 23.94% 49.82%-0.32 -6.7 17
1939-05-10 Juventus Bucuresti D 1-154.5 1377 1156 73.90% 18.11% 7.99%+2.12 -1.5 31
1939-05-10 @ Venus Bucuresti D 1-154.5 1156 1377 7.99% 18.11% 73.90%-2.12 +1.5 17
1939-05-10 Tricolor Ploiesti W 1-034.2 1228 1136 63.75% 21.83% 14.42%+1.23 +1.7 19
1939-05-10 @ Victoria Cluj L 0-134.2 1136 1228 14.42% 21.83% 63.75%-1.23 -1.7 15
1939-05-14 Juventus Bucuresti D 1-152.5 1175 1157 56.46% 23.30% 20.24%+0.72 -0.8 15
1939-05-14 @ AFC Gloria Arad D 1-152.5 1157 1175 20.24% 23.30% 56.46%-0.72 +0.8 18
1939-05-14 AMEF Arad W 3-248.7 1183 1254 45.88% 24.09% 30.03%+0.10 +2.9 19
1939-05-14 @ Chinezul Timisoara L 2-348.7 1254 1183 30.03% 24.09% 45.88%-0.10 -2.9 21
1939-05-14 Tricolor Ploiesti W 3-029.8 1204 1134 61.73% 22.33% 15.94%+1.08 +5.1 19
1939-05-14 @ CSM Resita L 0-329.8 1134 1204 15.94% 22.33% 61.73%-1.08 -5.1 15
1939-05-14 Carpati Baia Mare W 4-133.7 1281 1174 65.06% 21.47% 13.47%+1.33 +3.7 19
1939-05-14 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 1-433.7 1174 1281 13.47% 21.47% 65.06%-1.33 -3.6 19
1939-05-14 Ripensia Timisoara W 3-037.4 1167 1304 36.93% 23.91% 39.16%-0.35 +10.8 19
1939-05-14 @ Sportul Studentesc L 0-337.4 1304 1167 39.16% 23.91% 36.93%+0.35 -10.8 24
1939-05-14 Venus Bucuresti L 1-639.1 1230 1376 35.65% 23.83% 40.51%-0.41 -13.4 19
1939-05-14 @ Victoria Cluj W 6-139.1 1376 1230 40.51% 23.83% 35.65%+0.41 +13.4 33
1939-05-28 Sportul Studentesc W 2-033.2 1210 1178 57.92% 23.07% 19.00%+0.81 +4.1 21
1939-05-28 @ CSM Resita L 0-233.2 1178 1210 19.00% 23.07% 57.92%-0.81 -4.1 19
1939-05-28 Victoria Cluj W 1-038.6 1170 1216 49.05% 23.98% 26.96%+0.28 +3.0 21
1939-05-28 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 0-138.6 1216 1170 26.96% 23.98% 49.05%-0.28 -3.0 19
1939-05-28 AFC Gloria Arad L 1-351.5 1284 1175 65.31% 21.39% 13.29%+1.35 -10.1 19
1939-05-28 @ Rapid Bucuresti W 3-151.5 1175 1284 13.29% 21.39% 65.31%-1.35 +10.1 17
1939-05-28 Juventus Bucuresti L 0-149.9 1293 1158 67.40% 20.73% 11.87%+1.52 -6.3 24
1939-05-28 @ Ripensia Timisoara W 1-049.9 1158 1293 11.87% 20.73% 67.40%-1.52 +6.3 20
1939-05-28 Tricolor Ploiesti W 2-137.8 1251 1129 66.37% 21.07% 12.56%+1.44 +1.4 23
1939-05-28 @ AMEF Arad L 1-237.8 1129 1251 12.56% 21.07% 66.37%-1.44 -1.4 15
1939-05-28 Chinezul Timisoara W 3-241.2 1389 1186 72.61% 18.70% 8.69%+1.99 +0.9 35
1939-05-28 @ Venus Bucuresti L 2-341.2 1186 1389 8.69% 18.70% 72.61%-1.99 -0.9 19
1939-06-03 Venus Bucuresti W 4-142.4 1274 1390 39.88% 24.04% 36.09%-0.20 +8.6 21
1939-06-03 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 1-442.4 1390 1274 36.09% 24.04% 39.88%+0.20 -8.6 35
1939-06-04 CSM Resita L 1-250.2 1185 1214 51.12% 23.86% 25.02%+0.39 -4.7 17
1939-06-04 @ AFC Gloria Arad W 2-150.2 1214 1185 25.02% 23.86% 51.12%-0.39 +4.7 23
1939-06-04 Carpati Baia Mare W 4-032.4 1128 1173 49.13% 23.98% 26.89%+0.28 +10.6 17
1939-06-04 @ Tricolor Ploiesti L 0-432.4 1173 1128 26.89% 23.98% 49.13%-0.28 -10.6 21
1939-06-04 AMEF Arad L 0-143.7 1164 1253 43.59% 24.10% 32.30%-0.02 -4.3 20
1939-06-04 @ Juventus Bucuresti W 1-043.7 1253 1164 32.30% 24.10% 43.59%+0.02 +4.3 25
1939-06-04 Chinezul Timisoara W 7-335.8 1286 1185 64.55% 21.61% 13.84%+1.29 +3.8 26
1939-06-04 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 3-735.8 1185 1286 13.84% 21.61% 64.55%-1.29 -3.8 19
1939-06-04 Victoria Cluj L 2-451.6 1174 1213 49.83% 23.94% 26.23%+0.32 -7.1 19
1939-06-04 @ Sportul Studentesc W 4-251.6 1213 1174 26.23% 23.94% 49.83%-0.32 +7.1 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1938-10-02 10.24% Tricolor Ploiesti 1126 2 @ Rapid Bucuresti 1293 0
2 1939-05-28 11.87% Juventus Bucuresti 1158 1 @ Ripensia Timisoara 1293 0
3 1938-08-27 12.17% Juventus Bucuresti 1154 1 @ Rapid Bucuresti 1283 0
4 1938-10-29 12.64% Sportul Studentesc 1161 2 @ Rapid Bucuresti 1281 1
5 1939-05-10 12.72% CSM Resita 1194 3 @ Ripensia Timisoara 1314 1
6 1939-05-28 13.29% AFC Gloria Arad 1175 3 @ Rapid Bucuresti 1284 1
7 1939-04-09 15.43% CSM Resita 1205 4 @ Rapid Bucuresti 1282 3
8 1938-10-02 16.51% Juventus Bucuresti 1171 3 @ Victoria Cluj 1233 1
9 1939-04-30 16.63% AFC Gloria Arad 1172 2 @ Victoria Cluj 1233 1
10 1938-10-09 19.70% Carpati Baia Mare 1163 4 @ Chinezul Timisoara 1187 1
11 1938-11-06 20.23% Chinezul Timisoara 1179 6 @ AFC Gloria Arad 1197 1
12 1939-05-10 21.86% Chinezul Timisoara 1178 1 @ Carpati Baia Mare 1179 0
13 1938-08-28 22.12% Victoria Cluj 1222 2 @ AFC Gloria Arad 1220 1
14 1938-11-06 22.25% Carpati Baia Mare 1176 2 @ Juventus Bucuresti 1173 1
15 1939-03-11 23.48% Carpati Baia Mare 1187 2 @ Sportul Studentesc 1172 1
16 1938-10-30 24.21% AMEF Arad 1237 3 @ CSM Resita 1216 1
17 1938-11-20 24.44% Victoria Cluj 1223 2 @ Chinezul Timisoara 1199 0
18 1938-11-06 24.63% Sportul Studentesc 1166 1 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 1141 0
19 1939-06-04 25.02% CSM Resita 1214 2 @ AFC Gloria Arad 1185 1
20 1939-04-22 25.38% Ripensia Timisoara 1310 2 @ Rapid Bucuresti 1277 1
21 1939-06-04 26.23% Victoria Cluj 1213 4 @ Sportul Studentesc 1174 2
22 1938-10-02 28.00% Ripensia Timisoara 1293 3 @ AMEF Arad 1238 1
23 1938-11-20 29.74% Rapid Bucuresti 1273 1 @ CSM Resita 1205 0
24 1938-09-18 29.80% Rapid Bucuresti 1285 2 @ AFC Gloria Arad 1216 0
25 1938-09-18 31.19% AMEF Arad 1222 4 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 1142 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1938-11-06 19.75 Chinezul Timisoara 6 1179 20.23% @ AFC Gloria Arad 1 1197 56.48% 23.29%
2 1938-09-18 15.76 AMEF Arad 4 1222 31.19% @ Tricolor Ploiesti 0 1142 44.70% 24.10%
3 1939-04-30 14.90 Rapid Bucuresti 4 1273 34.15% @ Juventus Bucuresti 0 1171 41.77% 24.09%
4 1938-08-28 14.59 @ Sportul Studentesc 7 1161 44.08% AMEF Arad 1 1245 31.81% 24.11%
5 1939-05-14 13.41 Venus Bucuresti 6 1376 40.51% @ Victoria Cluj 1 1230 35.65% 23.83%
6 1938-10-09 12.62 Carpati Baia Mare 4 1163 19.70% @ Chinezul Timisoara 1 1187 57.10% 23.20%
7 1939-04-23 12.51 Venus Bucuresti 4 1364 42.83% @ CSM Resita 0 1202 33.50% 23.67%
8 1938-09-18 12.42 @ Juventus Bucuresti 7 1158 35.51% Ripensia Timisoara 2 1305 40.67% 23.82%
9 1938-10-02 12.33 Tricolor Ploiesti 2 1126 10.24% @ Rapid Bucuresti 0 1293 69.95% 19.80%
10 1939-05-14 10.82 @ Sportul Studentesc 3 1167 36.93% Ripensia Timisoara 0 1304 39.16% 23.91%
11 1938-11-20 10.73 @ Carpati Baia Mare 3 1181 37.34% Ripensia Timisoara 0 1315 38.73% 23.93%
12 1939-06-04 10.57 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 4 1128 49.13% Carpati Baia Mare 0 1173 26.89% 23.98%
13 1939-05-10 10.18 CSM Resita 3 1194 12.72% @ Ripensia Timisoara 1 1314 66.14% 21.14%
14 1938-10-23 10.16 @ Juventus Bucuresti 4 1171 50.47% AFC Gloria Arad 0 1206 25.63% 23.90%
15 1939-05-28 10.08 AFC Gloria Arad 3 1175 13.29% @ Rapid Bucuresti 1 1284 65.31% 21.39%
16 1938-10-02 9.48 Juventus Bucuresti 3 1171 16.51% @ Victoria Cluj 1 1233 60.99% 22.49%
17 1938-11-20 9.43 Victoria Cluj 2 1223 24.44% @ Chinezul Timisoara 0 1199 51.75% 23.81%
18 1938-09-18 8.90 @ Victoria Cluj 5 1224 59.95% Carpati Baia Mare 0 1172 17.34% 22.71%
19 1939-06-03 8.59 @ Rapid Bucuresti 4 1274 39.88% Venus Bucuresti 1 1390 36.09% 24.04%
20 1938-09-11 8.55 Venus Bucuresti 5 1322 32.72% @ AMEF Arad 2 1231 43.18% 24.10%
21 1938-10-23 8.55 @ Ripensia Timisoara 7 1301 67.14% Sportul Studentesc 0 1169 12.04% 20.82%
22 1938-09-18 8.53 Rapid Bucuresti 2 1285 29.80% @ AFC Gloria Arad 0 1216 46.12% 24.08%
23 1938-10-30 8.20 AMEF Arad 3 1237 24.21% @ CSM Resita 1 1216 51.99% 23.79%
24 1939-04-16 7.95 @ AMEF Arad 4 1239 57.59% CSM Resita 0 1210 19.29% 23.13%
25 1938-09-11 7.81 @ Rapid Bucuresti 5 1277 62.82% Chinezul Timisoara 0 1195 15.11% 22.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1939-02-26 61.4 @ Chinezul Timisoara 3 1183 42.48% Rapid Bucuresti 3 1280 33.42% 24.10%
2 1939-04-09 61.3 CSM Resita 4 1205 15.43% @ Rapid Bucuresti 3 1282 62.39% 22.18%
3 1938-11-27 57.7 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 2 1132 26.69% Venus Bucuresti 2 1350 50.50% 22.81%
4 1939-04-09 57.7 @ Sportul Studentesc 2 1167 29.86% Venus Bucuresti 2 1358 46.86% 23.28%
5 1939-04-09 57.6 @ Victoria Cluj 2 1238 60.41% Chinezul Timisoara 2 1181 16.97% 22.62%
6 1938-09-18 57.5 @ Chinezul Timisoara 2 1187 36.00% Venus Bucuresti 2 1331 40.14% 23.85%
7 1938-10-09 57.4 @ CSM Resita 2 1220 44.60% Ripensia Timisoara 2 1300 31.30% 24.10%
8 1938-10-23 57.3 @ Carpati Baia Mare 2 1178 41.52% Rapid Bucuresti 2 1281 34.40% 24.08%
9 1938-11-20 57.2 @ AFC Gloria Arad 2 1178 46.98% AMEF Arad 2 1240 28.96% 24.06%
10 1939-03-05 57.2 @ Juventus Bucuresti 2 1173 51.36% CSM Resita 2 1200 24.80% 23.84%
11 1939-04-23 57.2 @ Chinezul Timisoara 2 1178 55.20% AFC Gloria Arad 2 1172 21.34% 23.46%
12 1939-03-11 57.1 @ Juventus Bucuresti 2 1173 46.69% Victoria Cluj 2 1237 29.24% 24.07%
13 1939-04-30 57.1 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 2 1136 49.63% Chinezul Timisoara 2 1178 26.42% 23.95%
14 1938-10-30 56.4 Ripensia Timisoara 4 1309 32.23% @ Victoria Cluj 3 1221 43.66% 24.11%
15 1939-05-10 54.5 @ Venus Bucuresti 1 1377 73.90% Juventus Bucuresti 1 1156 7.99% 18.11%
16 1938-10-29 54.0 Sportul Studentesc 2 1161 12.64% @ Rapid Bucuresti 1 1281 66.25% 21.11%
17 1939-04-30 53.9 @ Ripensia Timisoara 1 1314 46.96% Venus Bucuresti 1 1377 28.98% 24.06%
18 1938-08-28 53.5 @ Venus Bucuresti 1 1323 57.14% Ripensia Timisoara 1 1299 19.66% 23.20%
19 1938-10-09 53.0 @ Rapid Bucuresti 1 1281 59.84% AMEF Arad 1 1230 17.43% 22.73%
20 1939-04-09 52.8 @ AMEF Arad 1 1240 61.14% AFC Gloria Arad 1 1176 16.40% 22.46%
21 1939-04-30 52.7 AFC Gloria Arad 2 1172 16.63% @ Victoria Cluj 1 1233 60.85% 22.52%
22 1938-10-16 52.6 @ CSM Resita 1 1219 56.10% AFC Gloria Arad 1 1205 20.56% 23.35%
23 1938-10-16 52.5 @ Chinezul Timisoara 1 1174 38.37% Ripensia Timisoara 1 1301 37.65% 23.98%
24 1939-05-14 52.5 @ AFC Gloria Arad 1 1175 56.46% Juventus Bucuresti 1 1157 20.24% 23.30%
25 1938-09-11 52.4 @ Carpati Baia Mare 1 1173 49.51% AFC Gloria Arad 1 1215 26.53% 23.96%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1938-09-11 26.7 @ Ripensia Timisoara 5 1300 68.76% Tricolor Ploiesti 0 1148 10.98% 20.25%
2 1938-10-02 28.1 @ Venus Bucuresti 6 1331 66.48% AFC Gloria Arad 0 1207 12.48% 21.03%
3 1938-10-23 28.3 @ Ripensia Timisoara 7 1301 67.14% Sportul Studentesc 0 1169 12.04% 20.82%
4 1938-09-11 28.5 @ Rapid Bucuresti 5 1277 62.82% Chinezul Timisoara 0 1195 15.11% 22.07%
5 1939-03-05 28.7 @ Venus Bucuresti 2 1353 73.58% Tricolor Ploiesti 0 1136 8.16% 18.26%
6 1938-09-18 29.2 @ Victoria Cluj 5 1224 59.95% Carpati Baia Mare 0 1172 17.34% 22.71%
7 1939-05-14 29.8 @ CSM Resita 3 1204 61.73% Tricolor Ploiesti 0 1134 15.94% 22.33%
8 1939-04-16 30.1 @ AMEF Arad 4 1239 57.59% CSM Resita 0 1210 19.29% 23.13%
9 1938-11-27 30.5 @ AMEF Arad 3 1240 59.62% Carpati Baia Mare 0 1192 17.61% 22.77%
10 1938-11-06 30.7 @ Venus Bucuresti 2 1347 67.78% CSM Resita 0 1207 11.62% 20.60%
11 1939-02-26 31.8 @ Venus Bucuresti 2 1350 64.80% AMEF Arad 0 1246 13.66% 21.54%
12 1938-10-23 32.1 @ Juventus Bucuresti 4 1171 50.47% AFC Gloria Arad 0 1206 25.63% 23.90%
13 1939-06-04 32.4 @ Tricolor Ploiesti 4 1128 49.13% Carpati Baia Mare 0 1173 26.89% 23.98%
14 1938-11-19 32.5 @ Venus Bucuresti 1 1349 70.78% Sportul Studentesc 0 1171 9.75% 19.48%
15 1938-10-30 32.7 @ Venus Bucuresti 1 1346 70.03% Carpati Baia Mare 0 1178 10.19% 19.77%
16 1939-03-11 32.9 @ Ripensia Timisoara 2 1298 60.19% AMEF Arad 0 1244 17.15% 22.66%
17 1938-11-20 33.0 @ Juventus Bucuresti 2 1169 58.00% Tricolor Ploiesti 0 1136 18.94% 23.06%
18 1939-05-28 33.2 @ CSM Resita 2 1210 57.92% Sportul Studentesc 0 1178 19.00% 23.07%
19 1939-03-11 33.7 @ CSM Resita 2 1201 56.14% Chinezul Timisoara 0 1186 20.52% 23.34%
20 1939-04-09 33.7 @ Ripensia Timisoara 4 1302 65.33% Carpati Baia Mare 1 1191 13.28% 21.39%
21 1939-05-14 33.7 @ Rapid Bucuresti 4 1281 65.06% Carpati Baia Mare 1 1174 13.47% 21.47%
22 1939-04-30 34.0 @ CSM Resita 2 1190 55.15% Carpati Baia Mare 0 1184 21.38% 23.47%
23 1939-05-10 34.2 @ Victoria Cluj 1 1228 63.75% Tricolor Ploiesti 0 1136 14.42% 21.83%
24 1939-04-30 34.6 @ AMEF Arad 1 1246 62.61% Sportul Studentesc 0 1166 15.27% 22.12%
25 1939-04-16 35.0 @ Ripensia Timisoara 4 1305 61.54% Victoria Cluj 1 1237 16.09% 22.37%