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1939-40 Divizia A Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Venus Bucuresti

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sportul Studentesc

5.35 points above expected

27 points · 21.65 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Victoria Cluj

8.15 points below expected

12 points · 20.15 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Venus Bucuresti 22 14 3 5 31 59 19 +40 28.98 +2.02
2 Rapid Bucuresti 22 11 7 4 29 64 31 +33 26.63 +2.37
3 Sportul Studentesc 22 8 11 3 27 42 31 +11 21.65 +5.35
4 CSM Resita 22 8 9 5 25 43 42 +1 22.14 +2.86
5 CAM Timisoara 22 9 5 8 23 37 49 -12 20.37 +2.63
6 Carpati Baia Mare 22 9 4 9 22 41 41 0 20.80 +1.20
7 Ripensia Timisoara 22 8 6 8 22 36 37 -1 23.83 -1.83
8 AMEF Arad 22 10 1 11 21 37 39 -2 22.45 -1.45
9 Unirea Tricolor 22 8 5 9 21 36 40 -4 17.67 +3.33
10 Gloria CFR Galati 22 8 1 13 17 27 59 -32 19.70 -2.70
11 Juventus Bucuresti 22 4 6 12 14 36 48 -12 19.63 -5.63
12 Victoria Cluj 22 4 4 14 12 18 40 -22 20.15 -8.15

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sportul Studentesc 27 21.65 +5.35
2 Unirea Tricolor 21 17.67 +3.33
3 CSM Resita 25 22.14 +2.86
4 CAM Timisoara 23 20.37 +2.63
5 Rapid Bucuresti 29 26.63 +2.37

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Victoria Cluj 12 20.15 -8.15
2 Juventus Bucuresti 14 19.63 -5.63
3 Gloria CFR Galati 17 19.70 -2.70
4 Ripensia Timisoara 22 23.83 -1.83
5 AMEF Arad 21 22.45 -1.45

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sportul Studentesc 4 Nov 5 – Feb 25 1 in 161
2 Unirea Tricolor 2 Oct 25 – Oct 29 1 in 41
3 Carpati Baia Mare 4 Aug 27 – Oct 1 1 in 28
4 CAM Timisoara 3 Sep 24 – Oct 8 1 in 22
5 Venus Bucuresti 5 Feb 25 – Apr 7 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Victoria Cluj 5 Dec 3 – Mar 24 1 in 166
2 AMEF Arad 4 Aug 27 – Oct 1 1 in 72
3 Ripensia Timisoara 3 Feb 25 – Mar 10 1 in 38
4 Venus Bucuresti 2 Nov 26 – Dec 3 1 in 26
5 Juventus Bucuresti 4 May 26 – Jun 9 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sportul Studentesc 15 Oct 1 – May 10 1 in 3,256
2 CSM Resita 12 Oct 25 – May 5 1 in 932
3 Rapid Bucuresti 13 Oct 8 – Apr 23 1 in 120
4 Unirea Tricolor 4 Oct 25 – Nov 26 1 in 20
5 CAM Timisoara 5 Sep 24 – Oct 25 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Victoria Cluj 7 Nov 5 – Mar 24 1 in 30
2 Juventus Bucuresti 8 Sep 30 – Dec 3 1 in 23
3 CSM Resita 5 Oct 1 – Oct 29 1 in 14
4 Sportul Studentesc 4 Aug 27 – Oct 1 1 in 13
5 Venus Bucuresti 3 Nov 4 – Dec 3 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Venus Bucuresti 1507 31 +22 7 6.5 +0.5
Rapid Bucuresti 1428 29 -17 5 6.5 -1.5
Sportul Studentesc 1354 27 +5 6 4.5 +1.5
CSM Resita 1305 25 -13 6 6.3 -0.3
CAM Timisoara 1242 23 +2 4 3.7 +0.3
Carpati Baia Mare 1283 22 +9 6 5.2 +0.8
Ripensia Timisoara 1328 22 +13 5 4.7 +0.3
AMEF Arad 1331 21 +33 7 4.5 +2.5
Unirea Tricolor 1235 21 +1 5 4.4 +0.6
Gloria CFR Galati 1189 17 -10 4 4.8 -0.8
Juventus Bucuresti 1226 14 -18 2 4.4 -2.4
Victoria Cluj 1190 12 -27 3 4.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AA CT CR CBM GCG JB RB RT SS UT VB VC
AMEF Arad —
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.98
0-0-2
2.98
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.75
2-0-0
3.20
0-0-2
2.23
2-0-0
3.17
CAM Timisoara
1-0-1
2.44
—
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.77
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
1.63
0-2-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
3.05
0-0-2
1.57
2-0-0
2.60
CSM Resita
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.94
—
0-1-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.20
1-1-0
2.49
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
3.34
0-1-1
1.85
1-1-0
3.01
Carpati Baia Mare
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.58
—
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.66
1-0-1
3.08
0-0-2
1.80
2-0-0
2.63
Gloria CFR Galati
2-0-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.48
—
2-0-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
1.47
0-0-2
2.81
Juventus Bucuresti
2-0-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.82
1-1-0
2.43
0-0-2
2.63
0-0-2
2.90
—
0-1-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.20
0-2-0
2.60
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-2
1.70
0-1-1
2.80
Rapid Bucuresti
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
3.90
0-1-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.70
—
1-1-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.74
0-2-0
2.31
2-0-0
3.63
Ripensia Timisoara
1-0-1
2.96
0-2-0
3.32
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
2.38
—
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.57
1-0-1
1.96
2-0-0
3.31
Sportul Studentesc
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.98
0-2-0
2.78
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.90
0-2-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.24
1-1-0
2.58
—
1-1-0
3.30
2-0-0
1.75
1-1-0
3.15
Unirea Tricolor
0-0-2
2.32
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
1.78
1-0-1
1.95
0-1-1
2.22
—
1-0-1
1.29
1-1-0
2.29
Venus Bucuresti
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.96
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
3.83
0-2-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.57
0-0-2
3.78
1-0-1
4.27
—
1-0-1
3.64
Victoria Cluj
0-0-2
2.34
0-0-2
2.91
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.88
2-0-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
1.90
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +4.1
Allowed 0.48 -3.9
Differential 0.76 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%4.55%4.92%5.68%2.65%1.14%26.52%
14.55%6.06%4.55%3.41%1.14%1.89%21.59%
24.92%4.55%7.58%3.03%0.76%2.27%23.11%
35.68%3.41%3.03%0.76%0.76%1.14%14.77%
42.65%1.14%0.76%0.76%1.52%0.38%7.20%
5+1.14%1.89%2.27%1.14%0.38%—6.82%
Total26.52%21.59%23.11%14.77%7.20%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.80 +0.00
SD 1.65 1.65 2.38
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
14.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
24.55%4.55%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
318.18%9.09%————27.27%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%13.64%9.09%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.77 -0.09
SD 1.52 1.88 2.81
CV 0.91 1.06 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——9.09%4.55%—18.18%
19.09%9.09%—9.09%—4.55%31.82%
2—4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
34.55%—13.64%———18.18%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%18.18%22.73%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.23 -0.55
SD 1.25 1.74 2.24
CV 0.74 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—9.09%4.55%——27.27%
1—4.55%————4.55%
29.09%4.55%18.18%——4.55%36.36%
39.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
Total31.82%9.09%36.36%4.55%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.91 +0.05
SD 1.56 2.00 2.06
CV 0.80 1.05 —
Max 5 8 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%—36.36%
14.55%4.55%————9.09%
29.09%—9.09%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%————4.55%13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
Total27.27%18.18%22.73%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.86 +0.00
SD 1.88 1.75 2.41
CV 1.01 0.94 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%—4.55%9.09%27.27%
122.73%——4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%9.09%22.73%9.09%13.64%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.68 -1.45
SD 1.02 2.19 2.48
CV 0.83 0.82 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
3———4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total9.09%22.73%27.27%27.27%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.18 -0.55
SD 1.62 1.30 1.84
CV 0.99 0.59 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
1—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%—9.09%———13.64%
3——9.09%———9.09%
413.64%4.55%——4.55%—22.73%
5+4.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.91 1.41 +1.50
SD 2.18 1.26 2.60
CV 0.75 0.89 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
29.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.68 -0.05
SD 1.33 1.32 1.89
CV 0.81 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%—————18.18%
1—13.64%———4.55%18.18%
29.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%——36.36%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
44.55%———4.55%—9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%27.27%13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.41 +0.50
SD 1.38 1.59 1.92
CV 0.72 1.13 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%40.91%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%——18.18%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total27.27%27.27%4.55%27.27%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.82 -0.18
SD 2.04 1.65 2.40
CV 1.24 0.91 —
Max 8 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
1—4.55%18.18%———22.73%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
322.73%4.55%————27.27%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total50.00%18.18%27.27%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 0.86 +1.82
SD 1.73 0.99 2.17
CV 0.64 1.15 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%18.18%13.64%4.55%—54.55%
14.55%—13.64%4.55%——22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%13.64%36.36%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.82 -1.00
SD 1.14 1.37 1.90
CV 1.39 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Venus Bucuresti 1507 31 28.98 +2.02 81.0% 20 22 27 29 31 34 36
Rapid Bucuresti 1428 29 26.63 +2.37 81.0% 18 21 24 27 29 33 37
Sportul Studentesc 1354 27 21.65 +5.35 92.0% 11 13 18 22 25 28 32
AMEF Arad 1331 21 22.45 -1.45 39.0% 13 16 19 23 25 28 31
Ripensia Timisoara 1328 22 23.83 -1.83 42.0% 14 18 22 24 26 30 32
CSM Resita 1305 25 22.14 +2.86 82.0% 13 16 19 22 25 28 30
Carpati Baia Mare 1283 22 20.80 +1.20 68.0% 12 14 19 21 24 27 30
CAM Timisoara 1242 23 20.37 +2.63 83.0% 9 13 18 20 23 27 29
Unirea Tricolor 1235 21 17.67 +3.33 86.0% 9 10 15 18 20 23 26
Juventus Bucuresti 1226 14 19.63 -5.63 12.0% 10 13 17 20 22 26 29
Victoria Cluj 1190 12 20.15 -8.15 0.0% 13 14 18 20 22 25 28
Gloria CFR Galati 1189 17 19.70 -2.70 24.0% 10 13 18 19 22 25 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 34.5% * Clear Edge: 34.5% to 50.5% * Strong Edge: 50.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.00%
Slight Edge
50.76%23.48%25.76%
Elo Value
Home Edge
127 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
088.74400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.67 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.70+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.18 * Runaway: 0.18 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Venus Bucuresti, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3 * Some Luck: 3 to 4.5 * Lucky: 4.5 to 6 * Wild Swing: 6 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.92 * Close: 1.92 to 2.88 * Off: 2.88 to 3.84 * Way Off: 3.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.84 points
Some Luck
03.759
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Pinpoint
02.405
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
92.00%
Sportul Studentesc
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Victoria Cluj
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.4 * Strong Separation: 1.4 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 66% * Very Frequent: 66% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Top-Heavy
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 96.12
1.39
Moderate Separation
0.751.151.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%61%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Clear Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Few
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
31%
Very Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.5 * Notable Separation: 0.5 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.51 * Strong Carryover: 0.51 to 0.66 * Near-Lock: 0.66 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 17% * Shaky Favorites: 17% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.28
Weak Carryover
00.370.510.661
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.89
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.74
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.044
Well Within Noise
00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Venus Bucuresti59.00%16.00%11.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%3.00%—————
Rapid Bucuresti24.00%25.00%16.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%1.00%3.00%——1.00%—
Sportul Studentesc3.00%10.00%9.00%14.00%6.00%10.00%13.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%
CSM Resita3.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%19.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%
CAM Timisoara1.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%18.00%9.00%9.00%
Carpati Baia Mare—4.00%8.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%13.00%17.00%12.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%
Ripensia Timisoara3.00%17.00%16.00%17.00%7.00%11.00%5.00%11.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
AMEF Arad5.00%5.00%11.00%15.00%13.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%
Unirea Tricolor—1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%28.00%
Gloria CFR Galati—4.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%11.00%9.00%17.00%17.00%
Juventus Bucuresti—2.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%
Victoria Cluj2.00%—5.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%13.00%9.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Venus Bucuresti 100% —
Rapid Bucuresti 99.00% 1.00%
Ripensia Timisoara 97.00% 3.00%
CSM Resita 90.00% 10.00%
AMEF Arad 89.00% 11.00%
Carpati Baia Mare 85.00% 15.00%
CAM Timisoara 82.00% 18.00%
Sportul Studentesc 82.00% 18.00%
Victoria Cluj 78.00% 22.00%
Juventus Bucuresti 77.00% 23.00%
Gloria CFR Galati 66.00% 34.00%
Unirea Tricolor 55.00% 45.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1939-08-27 Victoria Cluj D 0-049.4 1228 1305 45.89% 24.89% 29.22%+0.09 -0.7 1
1939-08-27 @ Unirea Tricolor D 0-049.4 1305 1228 29.22% 24.89% 45.89%-0.09 +0.7 1
1939-08-27 CSM Resita W 2-036.1 1267 1301 51.15% 24.75% 24.10%+0.43 +9.5 2
1939-08-27 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 0-236.1 1301 1267 24.10% 24.75% 51.15%-0.43 -9.5 0
1939-08-27 Gloria CFR Galati W 6-031.3 1340 1327 56.24% 24.41% 19.36%+0.80 +22.1 2
1939-08-27 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 0-631.3 1327 1340 19.36% 24.41% 56.24%-0.80 -22.1 0
1939-08-27 Juventus Bucuresti W 3-030.7 1343 1273 61.55% 23.74% 14.71%+1.25 +9.1 2
1939-08-27 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 0-330.7 1273 1343 14.71% 23.74% 61.55%-1.25 -9.1 0
1939-08-27 CAM Timisoara L 2-357.1 1276 1242 58.27% 24.19% 17.53%+0.97 -9.3 0
1939-08-27 @ Sportul Studentesc W 3-257.1 1242 1276 17.53% 24.19% 58.27%-0.97 +9.3 2
1939-08-27 Venus Bucuresti L 0-341.8 1324 1392 47.03% 24.88% 28.09%+0.16 -23.4 0
1939-08-27 @ AMEF Arad W 3-041.8 1392 1324 28.09% 24.88% 47.03%-0.16 +23.5 2
1939-09-10 Juventus Bucuresti D 3-360.9 1266 1264 55.12% 24.50% 20.38%+0.72 -0.9 1
1939-09-10 @ Sportul Studentesc D 3-360.9 1264 1266 20.38% 24.50% 55.12%-0.72 +0.9 1
1939-09-16 Unirea Tricolor W 3-242.7 1362 1227 66.60% 22.69% 10.71%+1.77 +2.2 4
1939-09-16 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 2-342.7 1227 1362 10.71% 22.69% 66.60%-1.77 -2.2 1
1939-09-16 Gloria CFR Galati L 2-355.1 1265 1305 50.50% 24.78% 24.72%+0.39 -8.2 1
1939-09-16 @ Sportul Studentesc W 3-255.1 1305 1265 24.72% 24.78% 50.50%-0.39 +8.1 2
1939-09-17 Victoria Cluj W 2-036.0 1276 1306 51.69% 24.72% 23.58%+0.47 +9.4 4
1939-09-17 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 0-236.0 1306 1276 23.58% 24.72% 51.69%-0.47 -9.4 1
1939-09-17 CSM Resita D 4-464.5 1352 1291 60.78% 23.86% 15.36%+1.18 -1.0 3
1939-09-17 @ Ripensia Timisoara D 4-464.5 1291 1352 15.36% 23.86% 60.78%-1.18 +1.0 1
1939-09-17 Juventus Bucuresti L 1-253.0 1301 1265 58.44% 24.17% 17.38%+0.98 -9.8 0
1939-09-17 @ AMEF Arad W 2-153.0 1265 1301 17.38% 24.17% 58.44%-0.98 +9.8 3
1939-09-17 CAM Timisoara W 3-029.1 1416 1251 68.60% 22.12% 9.28%+2.00 +5.8 4
1939-09-17 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-329.1 1251 1416 9.28% 22.12% 68.60%-2.00 -5.8 2
1939-09-24 AMEF Arad W 3-033.8 1246 1291 49.85% 24.80% 25.35%+0.34 +14.4 4
1939-09-24 @ CAM Timisoara L 0-333.8 1291 1246 25.35% 24.80% 49.85%-0.34 -14.4 0
1939-09-24 Rapid Bucuresti W 2-144.9 1292 1364 46.58% 24.88% 28.54%+0.13 +5.5 3
1939-09-24 @ CSM Resita L 1-244.9 1364 1292 28.54% 24.88% 46.58%-0.13 -5.5 4
1939-09-24 Carpati Baia Mare L 0-340.5 1225 1286 47.95% 24.86% 27.19%+0.22 -23.8 1
1939-09-24 @ Unirea Tricolor W 3-040.5 1286 1225 27.19% 24.86% 47.95%-0.22 +23.8 6
1939-09-24 Ripensia Timisoara L 0-244.8 1313 1351 50.69% 24.77% 24.54%+0.40 -17.2 2
1939-09-24 @ Gloria CFR Galati W 2-044.8 1351 1313 24.54% 24.77% 50.69%-0.40 +17.2 5
1939-09-24 Venus Bucuresti W 2-147.8 1296 1422 39.45% 24.85% 35.70%-0.29 +6.5 3
1939-09-24 @ Victoria Cluj L 1-247.8 1422 1296 35.70% 24.85% 39.45%+0.29 -6.5 4
1939-09-30 Juventus Bucuresti W 3-029.8 1415 1275 66.95% 22.59% 10.46%+1.81 +6.5 6
1939-09-30 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-329.8 1275 1415 10.46% 22.59% 66.95%-1.81 -6.6 3
1939-10-01 Sportul Studentesc D 0-049.8 1298 1257 58.93% 24.11% 16.95%+1.02 -2.0 4
1939-10-01 @ CSM Resita D 0-049.8 1257 1298 16.95% 24.11% 58.93%-1.02 +2.0 2
1939-10-01 Ripensia Timisoara W 1-044.3 1201 1369 33.58% 24.65% 41.78%-0.62 +7.7 3
1939-10-01 @ Unirea Tricolor L 0-144.3 1369 1201 41.78% 24.65% 33.58%+0.62 -7.7 5
1939-10-01 AMEF Arad W 1-037.4 1296 1276 56.92% 24.34% 18.74%+0.86 +4.1 4
1939-10-01 @ Gloria CFR Galati L 0-137.4 1276 1296 18.74% 24.34% 56.92%-0.86 -4.1 0
1939-10-01 Rapid Bucuresti W 1-040.4 1310 1359 49.37% 24.82% 25.81%+0.31 +5.3 8
1939-10-01 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 0-140.4 1359 1310 25.81% 24.82% 49.37%-0.31 -5.3 4
1939-10-01 CAM Timisoara L 0-149.4 1303 1260 59.15% 24.09% 16.77%+1.04 -10.6 3
1939-10-01 @ Victoria Cluj W 1-049.4 1260 1303 16.77% 24.09% 59.15%-1.04 +10.6 6
1939-10-07 Unirea Tricolor W 4-029.1 1259 1209 59.84% 23.99% 16.16%+1.10 +12.9 4
1939-10-07 @ Sportul Studentesc L 0-429.1 1209 1259 16.16% 23.99% 59.84%-1.10 -12.9 3
1939-10-08 Juventus Bucuresti W 3-245.9 1271 1269 55.12% 24.50% 20.38%+0.72 +3.9 8
1939-10-08 @ CAM Timisoara L 2-345.9 1269 1271 20.38% 24.50% 55.12%-0.72 -3.9 3
1939-10-08 Victoria Cluj W 2-033.7 1353 1292 60.79% 23.86% 15.35%+1.18 +6.5 6
1939-10-08 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 0-233.7 1292 1353 15.35% 23.86% 60.79%-1.18 -6.5 3
1939-10-08 Carpati Baia Mare W 1-037.4 1361 1315 59.43% 24.05% 16.52%+1.06 +3.7 7
1939-10-08 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 0-137.4 1315 1361 16.52% 24.05% 59.43%-1.06 -3.7 8
1939-10-08 CSM Resita W 2-035.7 1272 1296 52.34% 24.69% 22.97%+0.51 +9.2 2
1939-10-08 @ AMEF Arad L 0-235.7 1296 1272 22.97% 24.69% 52.34%-0.51 -9.2 4
1939-10-08 Gloria CFR Galati W 6-235.8 1422 1300 65.63% 22.93% 11.44%+1.66 +6.6 8
1939-10-08 @ Venus Bucuresti L 2-635.8 1300 1422 11.44% 22.93% 65.63%-1.66 -6.6 4
1939-10-15 Venus Bucuresti L 0-338.8 1287 1428 37.16% 24.79% 38.05%-0.42 -19.4 4
1939-10-15 @ CSM Resita W 3-038.8 1428 1287 38.05% 24.79% 37.16%+0.42 +19.4 10
1939-10-15 AMEF Arad L 0-339.4 1196 1281 44.82% 24.90% 30.28%+0.03 -22.5 3
1939-10-15 @ Unirea Tricolor W 3-039.4 1281 1196 30.28% 24.90% 44.82%-0.03 +22.5 4
1939-10-15 CAM Timisoara D 2-257.2 1294 1274 56.86% 24.35% 18.80%+0.85 -1.2 5
1939-10-15 @ Gloria CFR Galati D 2-257.2 1274 1294 18.80% 24.35% 56.86%-0.85 +1.2 9
1939-10-15 Sportul Studentesc D 1-153.1 1311 1272 58.80% 24.13% 17.07%+1.01 -1.7 9
1939-10-15 @ Carpati Baia Mare D 1-153.1 1272 1311 17.07% 24.13% 58.80%-1.01 +1.7 5
1939-10-15 Ripensia Timisoara W 3-247.7 1360 1365 54.43% 24.55% 21.02%+0.66 +4.0 8
1939-10-15 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 2-347.7 1365 1360 21.02% 24.55% 54.43%-0.66 -4.0 7
1939-10-15 Juventus Bucuresti D 0-049.7 1286 1265 57.07% 24.32% 18.60%+0.87 -1.8 4
1939-10-15 @ Victoria Cluj D 0-049.7 1265 1286 18.60% 24.32% 57.07%-0.87 +1.8 4
1939-10-25 CSM Resita D 0-049.6 1276 1267 55.77% 24.45% 19.78%+0.77 -1.6 10
1939-10-25 @ CAM Timisoara D 0-049.6 1267 1276 19.78% 24.45% 55.77%-0.77 +1.6 5
1939-10-25 Gloria CFR Galati L 1-251.2 1266 1292 52.08% 24.70% 23.21%+0.50 -8.8 4
1939-10-25 @ Juventus Bucuresti W 2-151.2 1292 1266 23.21% 24.70% 52.08%-0.50 +8.8 7
1939-10-25 Victoria Cluj W 2-140.2 1360 1284 62.10% 23.65% 14.25%+1.30 +3.0 9
1939-10-25 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 1-240.2 1284 1360 14.25% 23.65% 62.10%-1.30 -3.0 4
1939-10-25 Rapid Bucuresti D 4-464.1 1274 1364 44.22% 24.90% 30.88%-0.01 -0.3 6
1939-10-25 @ Sportul Studentesc D 4-464.1 1364 1274 30.88% 24.90% 44.22%+0.01 +0.3 9
1939-10-25 Carpati Baia Mare W 3-032.9 1304 1310 54.32% 24.56% 21.12%+0.66 +12.4 6
1939-10-25 @ AMEF Arad L 0-332.9 1310 1304 21.12% 24.56% 54.32%-0.66 -12.4 9
1939-10-25 Unirea Tricolor L 1-257.0 1448 1173 74.90% 19.65% 5.45%+2.87 -12.3 10
1939-10-25 @ Venus Bucuresti W 2-157.0 1173 1448 5.45% 19.65% 74.90%-2.87 +12.3 5
1939-10-29 Juventus Bucuresti D 2-257.0 1269 1258 56.10% 24.42% 19.48%+0.79 -1.1 6
1939-10-29 @ CSM Resita D 2-257.0 1258 1269 19.48% 24.42% 56.10%-0.79 +1.1 5
1939-10-29 CAM Timisoara W 4-245.9 1186 1274 44.45% 24.90% 30.64%+0.00 +8.9 7
1939-10-29 @ Unirea Tricolor L 2-445.9 1274 1186 30.64% 24.90% 44.45%+0.00 -8.9 10
1939-10-29 Venus Bucuresti L 0-437.8 1297 1435 37.62% 24.81% 37.57%-0.39 -25.6 9
1939-10-29 @ Carpati Baia Mare W 4-037.8 1435 1297 37.57% 24.81% 37.62%+0.39 +25.6 12
1939-10-29 AMEF Arad W 4-030.5 1364 1316 59.61% 24.03% 16.36%+1.08 +13.0 11
1939-10-29 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 0-430.5 1316 1364 16.36% 24.03% 59.61%-1.08 -13.0 6
1939-10-29 Sportul Studentesc D 2-258.0 1364 1274 63.21% 23.45% 13.35%+1.41 -1.6 10
1939-10-29 @ Ripensia Timisoara D 2-258.0 1274 1364 13.35% 23.45% 63.21%-1.41 +1.6 7
1939-10-29 Gloria CFR Galati W 4-031.7 1281 1301 52.73% 24.67% 22.60%+0.54 +17.2 6
1939-10-29 @ Victoria Cluj L 0-431.7 1301 1281 22.60% 24.67% 52.73%-0.54 -17.2 7
1939-11-04 Rapid Bucuresti D 2-261.3 1461 1377 62.70% 23.54% 13.76%+1.36 -1.5 13
1939-11-04 @ Venus Bucuresti D 2-261.3 1377 1461 13.76% 23.54% 62.70%-1.36 +1.5 12
1939-11-05 Carpati Baia Mare W 3-246.1 1265 1272 54.23% 24.57% 21.20%+0.65 +4.1 12
1939-11-05 @ CAM Timisoara L 2-346.1 1272 1265 21.20% 24.57% 54.23%-0.65 -4.1 9
1939-11-05 CSM Resita L 0-245.6 1284 1268 56.57% 24.37% 19.06%+0.83 -19.1 7
1939-11-05 @ Gloria CFR Galati W 2-045.6 1268 1284 19.06% 24.37% 56.57%-0.83 +19.1 8
1939-11-05 Unirea Tricolor D 0-049.5 1259 1195 61.05% 23.82% 15.14%+1.21 -2.2 6
1939-11-05 @ Juventus Bucuresti D 0-049.5 1195 1259 15.14% 23.82% 61.05%-1.21 +2.2 8
1939-11-05 Victoria Cluj W 2-035.7 1275 1298 52.41% 24.68% 22.90%+0.52 +9.1 9
1939-11-05 @ Sportul Studentesc L 0-235.7 1298 1275 22.90% 24.68% 52.41%-0.52 -9.1 6
1939-11-05 Ripensia Timisoara W 3-035.2 1303 1362 48.23% 24.85% 26.92%+0.24 +15.1 8
1939-11-05 @ AMEF Arad L 0-335.2 1362 1303 26.92% 24.85% 48.23%-0.24 -15.1 10
1939-11-26 Gloria CFR Galati W 4-138.6 1197 1265 47.05% 24.88% 28.08%+0.16 +13.2 10
1939-11-26 @ Unirea Tricolor L 1-438.6 1265 1197 28.08% 24.88% 47.05%-0.16 -13.2 7
1939-11-26 Juventus Bucuresti W 5-345.2 1267 1257 56.05% 24.42% 19.53%+0.79 +5.9 11
1939-11-26 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 3-545.2 1257 1267 19.53% 24.42% 56.05%-0.79 -5.9 6
1939-11-26 CAM Timisoara W 4-028.6 1379 1269 64.75% 23.13% 12.12%+1.57 +9.9 14
1939-11-26 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 0-428.6 1269 1379 12.12% 23.13% 64.75%-1.57 -9.9 12
1939-11-26 Venus Bucuresti W 2-148.9 1347 1459 41.20% 24.88% 33.91%-0.19 +6.2 12
1939-11-26 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 1-248.9 1459 1347 33.91% 24.88% 41.20%+0.19 -6.2 13
1939-11-26 AMEF Arad W 2-143.1 1284 1318 51.15% 24.75% 24.10%+0.43 +4.8 11
1939-11-26 @ Sportul Studentesc L 1-243.1 1318 1284 24.10% 24.75% 51.15%-0.43 -4.8 8
1939-11-26 CSM Resita D 2-257.2 1289 1287 55.13% 24.50% 20.37%+0.72 -1.1 7
1939-11-26 @ Victoria Cluj D 2-257.2 1287 1289 20.37% 24.50% 55.13%-0.72 +1.0 9
1939-12-03 Ripensia Timisoara D 1-153.1 1259 1353 43.74% 24.90% 31.36%-0.04 -0.5 13
1939-12-03 @ CAM Timisoara D 1-153.1 1353 1259 31.36% 24.90% 43.74%+0.04 +0.5 13
1939-12-03 Unirea Tricolor W 5-448.9 1288 1210 62.24% 23.62% 14.14%+1.32 +2.8 11
1939-12-03 @ CSM Resita L 4-548.9 1210 1288 14.14% 23.62% 62.24%-1.32 -2.7 10
1939-12-03 Carpati Baia Mare W 1-038.4 1252 1273 52.57% 24.68% 22.75%+0.53 +4.8 9
1939-12-03 @ Gloria CFR Galati L 0-138.4 1273 1252 22.75% 24.68% 52.57%-0.53 -4.8 11
1939-12-03 Rapid Bucuresti D 2-257.6 1251 1389 37.65% 24.81% 37.54%-0.39 +0.0 7
1939-12-03 @ Juventus Bucuresti D 2-257.6 1389 1251 37.54% 24.81% 37.65%+0.39 +0.0 15
1939-12-03 Victoria Cluj W 2-141.2 1314 1288 57.52% 24.28% 18.20%+0.90 +3.8 10
1939-12-03 @ AMEF Arad L 1-241.2 1288 1314 18.20% 24.28% 57.52%-0.90 -3.8 7
1939-12-03 Sportul Studentesc L 2-361.5 1453 1289 68.57% 22.13% 9.30%+2.00 -10.9 13
1939-12-03 @ Venus Bucuresti W 3-261.5 1289 1453 9.30% 22.13% 68.57%-2.00 +10.9 13
1940-02-25 Sportul Studentesc L 1-348.1 1259 1300 50.33% 24.78% 24.89%+0.38 -14.8 13
1940-02-25 @ CAM Timisoara W 3-148.1 1300 1259 24.89% 24.78% 50.33%-0.38 +14.8 15
1940-02-25 Carpati Baia Mare D 2-257.2 1291 1269 57.18% 24.31% 18.51%+0.88 -1.2 12
1940-02-25 @ CSM Resita D 2-257.2 1269 1291 18.51% 24.31% 57.18%-0.88 +1.2 12
1940-02-25 Rapid Bucuresti L 1-739.6 1257 1389 38.48% 24.83% 36.69%-0.34 -31.4 9
1940-02-25 @ Gloria CFR Galati W 7-139.6 1389 1257 36.69% 24.83% 38.48%+0.34 +31.4 17
1940-02-25 Ripensia Timisoara W 5-138.8 1251 1354 42.52% 24.90% 32.58%-0.11 +19.1 9
1940-02-25 @ Juventus Bucuresti L 1-538.8 1354 1251 32.58% 24.90% 42.52%+0.11 -19.1 13
1940-02-25 AMEF Arad W 7-132.4 1442 1317 65.87% 22.87% 11.26%+1.69 +11.1 15
1940-02-25 @ Venus Bucuresti L 1-732.4 1317 1442 11.26% 22.87% 65.87%-1.69 -11.1 10
1940-02-25 Unirea Tricolor L 1-351.1 1284 1207 62.14% 23.64% 14.22%+1.31 -18.1 7
1940-02-25 @ Victoria Cluj W 3-151.1 1207 1284 14.22% 23.64% 62.14%-1.31 +18.1 12
1940-03-02 CSM Resita D 1-154.7 1420 1290 66.28% 22.77% 10.95%+1.73 -2.4 18
1940-03-02 @ Rapid Bucuresti D 1-154.7 1290 1420 10.95% 22.77% 66.28%-1.73 +2.4 13
1940-03-03 Sportul Studentesc D 1-152.9 1270 1315 49.87% 24.80% 25.33%+0.35 -1.0 10
1940-03-03 @ Juventus Bucuresti D 1-152.9 1315 1270 25.33% 24.80% 49.87%-0.35 +1.0 16
1940-03-03 Unirea Tricolor L 0-246.1 1270 1225 59.29% 24.07% 16.65%+1.05 -20.0 12
1940-03-03 @ Carpati Baia Mare W 2-046.1 1225 1270 16.65% 24.07% 59.29%-1.05 +20.0 14
1940-03-03 Gloria CFR Galati L 0-150.7 1334 1225 64.71% 23.14% 12.15%+1.56 -11.5 13
1940-03-03 @ Ripensia Timisoara W 1-050.7 1225 1334 12.15% 23.14% 64.71%-1.56 +11.5 11
1940-03-03 Victoria Cluj W 3-029.3 1453 1266 70.04% 21.65% 8.31%+2.18 +5.2 17
1940-03-03 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-329.3 1266 1453 8.31% 21.65% 70.04%-2.18 -5.2 7
1940-03-09 Rapid Bucuresti D 0-050.4 1245 1418 32.93% 24.61% 42.46%-0.66 +0.4 15
1940-03-09 @ Unirea Tricolor D 0-050.4 1418 1245 42.46% 24.61% 32.93%+0.66 -0.4 19
1940-03-10 Venus Bucuresti L 1-342.4 1244 1459 27.65% 24.23% 48.11%-0.99 -9.1 13
1940-03-10 @ CAM Timisoara W 3-142.4 1459 1244 48.11% 24.23% 27.65%+0.99 +9.1 19
1940-03-10 Ripensia Timisoara W 3-033.7 1292 1323 51.52% 24.73% 23.75%+0.46 +13.7 15
1940-03-10 @ CSM Resita L 0-333.7 1323 1292 23.75% 24.73% 51.52%-0.46 -13.7 13
1940-03-10 Sportul Studentesc L 0-538.1 1237 1316 45.65% 24.89% 29.46%+0.08 -36.8 11
1940-03-10 @ Gloria CFR Galati W 5-038.1 1316 1237 29.46% 24.89% 45.65%-0.08 +36.8 18
1940-03-10 AMEF Arad W 4-244.4 1269 1306 50.75% 24.77% 24.48%+0.40 +7.5 12
1940-03-10 @ Juventus Bucuresti L 2-444.4 1306 1269 24.48% 24.77% 50.75%-0.40 -7.5 10
1940-03-10 Carpati Baia Mare L 0-342.8 1261 1250 56.07% 24.42% 19.51%+0.79 -27.5 7
1940-03-10 @ Victoria Cluj W 3-042.8 1250 1261 19.51% 24.42% 56.07%-0.79 +27.5 14
1940-03-17 CAM Timisoara W 6-131.9 1299 1235 61.05% 23.82% 15.13%+1.21 +12.4 12
1940-03-17 @ AMEF Arad L 1-631.9 1235 1299 15.13% 23.82% 61.05%-1.21 -12.4 13
1940-03-23 Venus Bucuresti L 0-239.7 1276 1468 30.48% 24.46% 45.06%-0.81 -11.4 12
1940-03-23 @ Juventus Bucuresti W 2-039.7 1468 1276 45.06% 24.46% 30.48%+0.81 +11.4 21
1940-03-24 Victoria Cluj W 2-141.7 1222 1233 53.74% 24.60% 21.66%+0.61 +4.4 15
1940-03-24 @ CAM Timisoara L 1-241.7 1233 1222 21.66% 24.60% 53.74%-0.61 -4.4 7
1940-03-24 Carpati Baia Mare W 7-336.4 1417 1277 66.96% 22.59% 10.45%+1.81 +5.5 21
1940-03-24 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 3-736.4 1277 1417 10.45% 22.59% 66.96%-1.81 -5.5 14
1940-03-24 Unirea Tricolor W 3-137.3 1309 1246 61.00% 23.83% 15.18%+1.20 +5.6 15
1940-03-24 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 1-337.3 1246 1309 15.18% 23.83% 61.00%-1.20 -5.5 15
1940-03-24 CSM Resita D 2-258.0 1353 1306 59.52% 24.04% 16.44%+1.07 -1.3 19
1940-03-24 @ Sportul Studentesc D 2-258.0 1306 1353 16.44% 24.04% 59.52%-1.07 +1.3 16
1940-03-24 Gloria CFR Galati L 0-150.6 1311 1200 64.88% 23.10% 12.02%+1.58 -11.5 12
1940-03-24 @ AMEF Arad W 1-050.6 1200 1311 12.02% 23.10% 64.88%-1.58 +11.6 13
1940-04-06 Sportul Studentesc D 0-049.7 1240 1351 41.40% 24.89% 33.71%-0.18 -0.3 16
1940-04-06 @ Unirea Tricolor D 0-049.7 1351 1240 33.71% 24.89% 41.40%+0.18 +0.3 20
1940-04-07 AMEF Arad W 2-035.0 1307 1300 55.67% 24.46% 19.87%+0.76 +8.1 18
1940-04-07 @ CSM Resita L 0-235.0 1300 1307 19.87% 24.46% 55.67%-0.76 -8.1 12
1940-04-07 Venus Bucuresti L 0-236.1 1211 1479 21.92% 23.55% 54.53%-1.41 -8.7 13
1940-04-07 @ Gloria CFR Galati W 2-036.1 1479 1211 54.53% 23.55% 21.92%+1.41 +8.7 23
1940-04-07 Ripensia Timisoara D 2-257.2 1272 1315 50.11% 24.79% 25.10%+0.36 -0.7 15
1940-04-07 @ Carpati Baia Mare D 2-257.2 1315 1272 25.10% 24.79% 50.11%-0.36 +0.7 16
1940-04-20 Victoria Cluj L 0-148.9 1265 1229 58.48% 24.17% 17.35%+0.98 -10.4 12
1940-04-20 @ Juventus Bucuresti W 1-048.9 1229 1265 17.35% 24.17% 58.48%-0.98 +10.5 9
1940-04-21 Gloria CFR Galati W 4-348.2 1227 1203 57.36% 24.29% 18.35%+0.89 +3.5 17
1940-04-21 @ CAM Timisoara L 3-448.2 1203 1227 18.35% 24.29% 57.36%-0.89 -3.5 13
1940-04-21 Rapid Bucuresti D 1-154.5 1315 1423 41.91% 24.89% 33.20%-0.15 -0.3 17
1940-04-21 @ Ripensia Timisoara D 1-154.5 1423 1315 33.20% 24.89% 41.91%+0.15 +0.3 22
1940-04-21 Carpati Baia Mare D 0-050.3 1352 1271 62.45% 23.59% 13.97%+1.34 -2.3 21
1940-04-21 @ Sportul Studentesc D 0-050.3 1271 1352 13.97% 23.59% 62.45%-1.34 +2.3 16
1940-04-21 Unirea Tricolor W 3-137.5 1292 1240 59.96% 23.98% 16.06%+1.11 +5.9 14
1940-04-21 @ AMEF Arad L 1-337.5 1240 1292 16.06% 23.98% 59.96%-1.11 -5.8 16
1940-04-21 CSM Resita D 0-053.4 1488 1315 69.13% 21.95% 8.92%+2.06 -2.9 24
1940-04-21 @ Venus Bucuresti D 0-053.4 1315 1488 8.92% 21.95% 69.13%-2.06 +2.9 19
1940-04-23 CAM Timisoara L 0-148.6 1254 1230 57.36% 24.29% 18.35%+0.89 -10.2 12
1940-04-23 @ Juventus Bucuresti W 1-048.6 1230 1254 18.35% 24.29% 57.36%-0.89 +10.2 19
1940-04-23 Rapid Bucuresti L 0-434.9 1240 1423 31.47% 24.53% 44.01%-0.75 -22.2 9
1940-04-23 @ Victoria Cluj W 4-034.9 1423 1240 44.01% 24.53% 31.47%+0.75 +22.2 24
1940-05-05 CAM Timisoara W 3-030.2 1318 1241 62.19% 23.63% 14.18%+1.31 +8.8 21
1940-05-05 @ CSM Resita L 0-330.2 1241 1318 14.18% 23.63% 62.19%-1.31 -8.8 19
1940-05-05 AMEF Arad L 0-147.5 1273 1297 52.28% 24.69% 23.02%+0.51 -9.4 16
1940-05-05 @ Carpati Baia Mare W 1-047.5 1297 1273 23.02% 24.69% 52.28%-0.51 +9.4 16
1940-05-05 Ripensia Timisoara L 0-241.7 1217 1315 43.19% 24.90% 31.91%-0.07 -15.0 9
1940-05-05 @ Victoria Cluj W 2-041.7 1315 1217 31.91% 24.90% 43.19%+0.07 +15.0 19
1940-05-10 Unirea Tricolor D 1-152.5 1232 1234 54.69% 24.54% 20.78%+0.68 -1.4 20
1940-05-10 @ CAM Timisoara D 1-152.5 1234 1232 20.78% 24.54% 54.69%-0.68 +1.4 17
1940-05-10 Victoria Cluj L 1-348.9 1199 1202 54.59% 24.54% 20.87%+0.68 -16.0 13
1940-05-10 @ Gloria CFR Galati W 3-148.9 1202 1199 20.87% 24.54% 54.59%-0.68 +16.0 11
1940-05-10 CSM Resita W 5-243.0 1244 1327 45.19% 24.90% 29.91%+0.05 +12.0 14
1940-05-10 @ Juventus Bucuresti L 2-543.0 1327 1244 29.91% 24.90% 45.19%-0.05 -12.0 21
1940-05-10 Ripensia Timisoara W 2-035.3 1349 1330 56.87% 24.34% 18.79%+0.85 +7.8 23
1940-05-10 @ Sportul Studentesc L 0-235.3 1330 1349 18.79% 24.34% 56.87%-0.85 -7.8 19
1940-05-10 Rapid Bucuresti W 3-146.3 1307 1445 37.58% 24.81% 37.62%-0.39 +11.7 18
1940-05-10 @ AMEF Arad L 1-346.3 1445 1307 37.62% 24.81% 37.58%+0.39 -11.7 24
1940-05-10 Carpati Baia Mare W 4-027.7 1485 1264 72.04% 20.91% 7.05%+2.45 +5.7 26
1940-05-10 @ Venus Bucuresti L 0-427.7 1264 1485 7.05% 20.91% 72.04%-2.45 -5.7 16
1940-05-23 Venus Bucuresti L 0-532.6 1235 1491 23.17% 23.73% 53.10%-1.32 -21.3 17
1940-05-23 @ Unirea Tricolor W 5-032.6 1491 1235 53.10% 23.73% 23.17%+1.32 +21.3 28
1940-05-23 Sportul Studentesc W 6-134.5 1434 1357 62.13% 23.64% 14.23%+1.31 +11.7 26
1940-05-23 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 1-634.5 1357 1434 14.23% 23.64% 62.13%-1.31 -11.7 23
1940-05-26 Gloria CFR Galati W 3-242.3 1315 1183 66.36% 22.75% 10.89%+1.74 +2.2 23
1940-05-26 @ CSM Resita L 2-342.3 1183 1315 10.89% 22.75% 66.36%-1.74 -2.2 13
1940-05-26 Juventus Bucuresti W 3-140.2 1214 1256 50.22% 24.79% 24.99%+0.37 +8.5 19
1940-05-26 @ Unirea Tricolor L 1-340.2 1256 1214 24.99% 24.79% 50.22%-0.37 -8.5 14
1940-05-26 CAM Timisoara W 6-236.4 1258 1230 57.71% 24.26% 18.03%+0.92 +10.0 18
1940-05-26 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 2-636.4 1230 1258 18.03% 24.26% 57.71%-0.92 -10.0 20
1940-05-26 Venus Bucuresti D 1-160.5 1445 1512 47.26% 24.87% 27.87%+0.18 -0.8 27
1940-05-26 @ Rapid Bucuresti D 1-160.5 1512 1445 27.87% 24.87% 47.26%-0.18 +0.8 29
1940-05-26 AMEF Arad W 5-240.4 1322 1319 55.32% 24.49% 20.19%+0.73 +8.7 21
1940-05-26 @ Ripensia Timisoara L 2-540.4 1319 1322 20.19% 24.49% 55.32%-0.73 -8.7 18
1940-05-26 Sportul Studentesc D 0-049.6 1218 1345 39.20% 24.85% 35.96%-0.30 -0.1 12
1940-05-26 @ Victoria Cluj D 0-049.6 1345 1218 35.96% 24.85% 39.20%+0.30 +0.1 24
1940-05-30 Juventus Bucuresti W 3-141.0 1181 1248 47.23% 24.87% 27.90%+0.17 +9.3 15
1940-05-30 @ Gloria CFR Galati L 1-341.0 1248 1181 27.90% 24.87% 47.23%-0.17 -9.3 14
1940-06-02 Rapid Bucuresti W 4-146.0 1220 1445 26.53% 24.12% 49.35%-1.07 +20.5 22
1940-06-02 @ CAM Timisoara L 1-446.0 1445 1220 49.35% 24.12% 26.53%+1.07 -20.5 27
1940-06-02 Victoria Cluj W 5-237.2 1317 1218 63.92% 23.30% 12.77%+1.48 +5.8 25
1940-06-02 @ CSM Resita L 2-537.2 1218 1317 12.77% 23.30% 63.92%-1.48 -5.8 12
1940-06-02 Unirea Tricolor W 1-038.5 1190 1223 51.36% 24.74% 23.90%+0.45 +5.0 17
1940-06-02 @ Gloria CFR Galati L 0-138.5 1223 1190 23.90% 24.74% 51.36%-0.45 -5.0 19
1940-06-02 Carpati Baia Mare L 3-458.5 1238 1268 51.65% 24.73% 23.63%+0.47 -8.1 14
1940-06-02 @ Juventus Bucuresti W 4-358.5 1268 1238 23.63% 24.73% 51.65%-0.47 +8.1 20
1940-06-02 Sportul Studentesc D 1-153.5 1310 1345 50.97% 24.76% 24.27%+0.42 -1.1 19
1940-06-02 @ AMEF Arad D 1-153.5 1345 1310 24.27% 24.76% 50.97%-0.42 +1.1 25
1940-06-02 Ripensia Timisoara W 2-141.3 1513 1331 69.69% 21.77% 8.54%+2.13 +1.8 31
1940-06-02 @ Venus Bucuresti L 1-241.3 1331 1513 8.54% 21.77% 69.69%-2.13 -1.9 21
1940-06-09 CSM Resita W 8-340.6 1218 1323 42.19% 24.89% 32.92%-0.13 +17.8 21
1940-06-09 @ Unirea Tricolor L 3-840.6 1323 1218 32.92% 24.89% 42.19%+0.13 -17.8 25
1940-06-09 Gloria CFR Galati W 5-237.4 1276 1195 62.48% 23.58% 13.94%+1.34 +6.3 22
1940-06-09 @ Carpati Baia Mare L 2-537.4 1195 1276 13.94% 23.58% 62.48%-1.34 -6.3 17
1940-06-09 Juventus Bucuresti W 4-132.7 1424 1230 70.45% 21.51% 8.04%+2.23 +4.2 29
1940-06-09 @ Rapid Bucuresti L 1-432.7 1230 1424 8.04% 21.51% 70.45%-2.23 -4.2 14
1940-06-09 CAM Timisoara D 2-257.5 1329 1241 63.09% 23.47% 13.44%+1.40 -1.6 22
1940-06-09 @ Ripensia Timisoara D 2-257.5 1241 1329 13.44% 23.47% 63.09%-1.40 +1.6 23
1940-06-09 Venus Bucuresti W 2-152.7 1346 1514 33.52% 24.64% 41.84%-0.63 +7.3 27
1940-06-09 @ Sportul Studentesc L 1-252.7 1514 1346 41.84% 24.64% 33.52%+0.63 -7.3 31
1940-06-09 AMEF Arad L 0-339.1 1212 1309 43.38% 24.90% 31.71%-0.06 -21.9 12
1940-06-09 @ Victoria Cluj W 3-039.1 1309 1212 31.71% 24.90% 43.38%+0.06 +21.9 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1939-10-25 5.45% Unirea Tricolor 1173 2 @ Venus Bucuresti 1448 1
2 1939-12-03 9.30% Sportul Studentesc 1289 3 @ Venus Bucuresti 1453 2
3 1940-03-24 12.02% Gloria CFR Galati 1200 1 @ AMEF Arad 1311 0
4 1940-03-03 12.15% Gloria CFR Galati 1225 1 @ Ripensia Timisoara 1334 0
5 1940-02-25 14.22% Unirea Tricolor 1207 3 @ Victoria Cluj 1284 1
6 1940-03-03 16.65% Unirea Tricolor 1225 2 @ Carpati Baia Mare 1270 0
7 1939-10-01 16.77% CAM Timisoara 1260 1 @ Victoria Cluj 1303 0
8 1940-04-20 17.35% Victoria Cluj 1229 1 @ Juventus Bucuresti 1265 0
9 1939-09-17 17.38% Juventus Bucuresti 1265 2 @ AMEF Arad 1301 1
10 1939-08-27 17.53% CAM Timisoara 1242 3 @ Sportul Studentesc 1276 2
11 1940-04-23 18.35% CAM Timisoara 1230 1 @ Juventus Bucuresti 1254 0
12 1939-11-05 19.06% CSM Resita 1268 2 @ Gloria CFR Galati 1284 0
13 1940-03-10 19.51% Carpati Baia Mare 1250 3 @ Victoria Cluj 1261 0
14 1940-05-10 20.87% Victoria Cluj 1202 3 @ Gloria CFR Galati 1199 1
15 1940-05-05 23.02% AMEF Arad 1297 1 @ Carpati Baia Mare 1273 0
16 1939-10-25 23.21% Gloria CFR Galati 1292 2 @ Juventus Bucuresti 1266 1
17 1940-06-02 23.63% Carpati Baia Mare 1268 4 @ Juventus Bucuresti 1238 3
18 1939-09-24 24.54% Ripensia Timisoara 1351 2 @ Gloria CFR Galati 1313 0
19 1939-09-16 24.72% Gloria CFR Galati 1305 3 @ Sportul Studentesc 1265 2
20 1940-02-25 24.89% Sportul Studentesc 1300 3 @ CAM Timisoara 1259 1
21 1940-06-02 26.53% @ CAM Timisoara 1220 4 Rapid Bucuresti 1445 1
22 1939-09-24 27.19% Carpati Baia Mare 1286 3 @ Unirea Tricolor 1225 0
23 1939-08-27 28.09% Venus Bucuresti 1392 3 @ AMEF Arad 1324 0
24 1940-03-10 29.46% Sportul Studentesc 1316 5 @ Gloria CFR Galati 1237 0
25 1939-10-15 30.28% AMEF Arad 1281 3 @ Unirea Tricolor 1196 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-03-10 36.81 Sportul Studentesc 5 1316 29.46% @ Gloria CFR Galati 0 1237 45.65% 24.89%
2 1940-02-25 31.41 Rapid Bucuresti 7 1389 36.69% @ Gloria CFR Galati 1 1257 38.48% 24.83%
3 1940-03-10 27.49 Carpati Baia Mare 3 1250 19.51% @ Victoria Cluj 0 1261 56.07% 24.42%
4 1939-10-29 25.56 Venus Bucuresti 4 1435 37.57% @ Carpati Baia Mare 0 1297 37.62% 24.81%
5 1939-09-24 23.85 Carpati Baia Mare 3 1286 27.19% @ Unirea Tricolor 0 1225 47.95% 24.86%
6 1939-08-27 23.45 Venus Bucuresti 3 1392 28.09% @ AMEF Arad 0 1324 47.03% 24.88%
7 1939-10-15 22.51 AMEF Arad 3 1281 30.28% @ Unirea Tricolor 0 1196 44.82% 24.90%
8 1940-04-23 22.24 Rapid Bucuresti 4 1423 44.01% @ Victoria Cluj 0 1240 31.47% 24.53%
9 1939-08-27 22.07 @ Rapid Bucuresti 6 1340 56.24% Gloria CFR Galati 0 1327 19.36% 24.41%
10 1940-06-09 21.91 AMEF Arad 3 1309 31.71% @ Victoria Cluj 0 1212 43.38% 24.90%
11 1940-05-23 21.28 Venus Bucuresti 5 1491 53.10% @ Unirea Tricolor 0 1235 23.17% 23.73%
12 1940-06-02 20.49 @ CAM Timisoara 4 1220 26.53% Rapid Bucuresti 1 1445 49.35% 24.12%
13 1940-03-03 19.96 Unirea Tricolor 2 1225 16.65% @ Carpati Baia Mare 0 1270 59.29% 24.07%
14 1939-10-15 19.38 Venus Bucuresti 3 1428 38.05% @ CSM Resita 0 1287 37.16% 24.79%
15 1940-02-25 19.12 @ Juventus Bucuresti 5 1251 42.52% Ripensia Timisoara 1 1354 32.58% 24.90%
16 1939-11-05 19.09 CSM Resita 2 1268 19.06% @ Gloria CFR Galati 0 1284 56.57% 24.37%
17 1940-02-25 18.08 Unirea Tricolor 3 1207 14.22% @ Victoria Cluj 1 1284 62.14% 23.64%
18 1940-06-09 17.84 @ Unirea Tricolor 8 1218 42.19% CSM Resita 3 1323 32.92% 24.89%
19 1939-09-24 17.25 Ripensia Timisoara 2 1351 24.54% @ Gloria CFR Galati 0 1313 50.69% 24.77%
20 1939-10-29 17.17 @ Victoria Cluj 4 1281 52.73% Gloria CFR Galati 0 1301 22.60% 24.67%
21 1940-05-10 15.99 Victoria Cluj 3 1202 20.87% @ Gloria CFR Galati 1 1199 54.59% 24.54%
22 1939-11-05 15.14 @ AMEF Arad 3 1303 48.23% Ripensia Timisoara 0 1362 26.92% 24.85%
23 1940-05-05 15.03 Ripensia Timisoara 2 1315 31.91% @ Victoria Cluj 0 1217 43.19% 24.90%
24 1940-02-25 14.84 Sportul Studentesc 3 1300 24.89% @ CAM Timisoara 1 1259 50.33% 24.78%
25 1939-09-24 14.43 @ CAM Timisoara 3 1246 49.85% AMEF Arad 0 1291 25.35% 24.80%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1939-09-17 64.5 @ Ripensia Timisoara 4 1352 60.78% CSM Resita 4 1291 15.36% 23.86%
2 1939-10-25 64.1 @ Sportul Studentesc 4 1274 44.22% Rapid Bucuresti 4 1364 30.88% 24.90%
3 1939-12-03 61.5 Sportul Studentesc 3 1289 9.30% @ Venus Bucuresti 2 1453 68.57% 22.13%
4 1939-11-04 61.3 @ Venus Bucuresti 2 1461 62.70% Rapid Bucuresti 2 1377 13.76% 23.54%
5 1939-09-10 60.9 @ Sportul Studentesc 3 1266 55.12% Juventus Bucuresti 3 1264 20.38% 24.50%
6 1940-05-26 60.5 @ Rapid Bucuresti 1 1445 47.26% Venus Bucuresti 1 1512 27.87% 24.87%
7 1940-06-02 58.5 Carpati Baia Mare 4 1268 23.63% @ Juventus Bucuresti 3 1238 51.65% 24.73%
8 1939-10-29 58.0 @ Ripensia Timisoara 2 1364 63.21% Sportul Studentesc 2 1274 13.35% 23.45%
9 1940-03-24 58.0 @ Sportul Studentesc 2 1353 59.52% CSM Resita 2 1306 16.44% 24.04%
10 1939-12-03 57.6 @ Juventus Bucuresti 2 1251 37.65% Rapid Bucuresti 2 1389 37.54% 24.81%
11 1940-06-09 57.5 @ Ripensia Timisoara 2 1329 63.09% CAM Timisoara 2 1241 13.44% 23.47%
12 1939-10-15 57.2 @ Gloria CFR Galati 2 1294 56.86% CAM Timisoara 2 1274 18.80% 24.35%
13 1939-11-26 57.2 @ Victoria Cluj 2 1289 55.13% CSM Resita 2 1287 20.37% 24.50%
14 1940-02-25 57.2 @ CSM Resita 2 1291 57.18% Carpati Baia Mare 2 1269 18.51% 24.31%
15 1940-04-07 57.2 @ Carpati Baia Mare 2 1272 50.11% Ripensia Timisoara 2 1315 25.10% 24.79%
16 1939-08-27 57.1 CAM Timisoara 3 1242 17.53% @ Sportul Studentesc 2 1276 58.27% 24.19%
17 1939-10-25 57.0 Unirea Tricolor 2 1173 5.45% @ Venus Bucuresti 1 1448 74.90% 19.65%
18 1939-10-29 57.0 @ CSM Resita 2 1269 56.10% Juventus Bucuresti 2 1258 19.48% 24.42%
19 1939-09-16 55.1 Gloria CFR Galati 3 1305 24.72% @ Sportul Studentesc 2 1265 50.50% 24.78%
20 1940-03-02 54.7 @ Rapid Bucuresti 1 1420 66.28% CSM Resita 1 1290 10.95% 22.77%
21 1940-04-21 54.5 @ Ripensia Timisoara 1 1315 41.91% Rapid Bucuresti 1 1423 33.20% 24.89%
22 1940-06-02 53.5 @ AMEF Arad 1 1310 50.97% Sportul Studentesc 1 1345 24.27% 24.76%
23 1940-04-21 53.4 @ Venus Bucuresti 0 1488 69.13% CSM Resita 0 1315 8.92% 21.95%
24 1939-10-15 53.1 @ Carpati Baia Mare 1 1311 58.80% Sportul Studentesc 1 1272 17.07% 24.13%
25 1939-12-03 53.1 @ CAM Timisoara 1 1259 43.74% Ripensia Timisoara 1 1353 31.36% 24.90%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-05-10 27.7 @ Venus Bucuresti 4 1485 72.04% Carpati Baia Mare 0 1264 7.05% 20.91%
2 1939-11-26 28.6 @ Rapid Bucuresti 4 1379 64.75% CAM Timisoara 0 1269 12.12% 23.13%
3 1939-09-17 29.1 @ Venus Bucuresti 3 1416 68.60% CAM Timisoara 0 1251 9.28% 22.12%
4 1939-10-07 29.1 @ Sportul Studentesc 4 1259 59.84% Unirea Tricolor 0 1209 16.16% 23.99%
5 1940-03-03 29.3 @ Venus Bucuresti 3 1453 70.04% Victoria Cluj 0 1266 8.31% 21.65%
6 1939-09-30 29.8 @ Venus Bucuresti 3 1415 66.95% Juventus Bucuresti 0 1275 10.46% 22.59%
7 1940-05-05 30.2 @ CSM Resita 3 1318 62.19% CAM Timisoara 0 1241 14.18% 23.63%
8 1939-10-29 30.5 @ Rapid Bucuresti 4 1364 59.61% AMEF Arad 0 1316 16.36% 24.03%
9 1939-08-27 30.7 @ Ripensia Timisoara 3 1343 61.55% Juventus Bucuresti 0 1273 14.71% 23.74%
10 1939-08-27 31.3 @ Rapid Bucuresti 6 1340 56.24% Gloria CFR Galati 0 1327 19.36% 24.41%
11 1939-10-29 31.7 @ Victoria Cluj 4 1281 52.73% Gloria CFR Galati 0 1301 22.60% 24.67%
12 1940-03-17 31.9 @ AMEF Arad 6 1299 61.05% CAM Timisoara 1 1235 15.13% 23.82%
13 1940-02-25 32.4 @ Venus Bucuresti 7 1442 65.87% AMEF Arad 1 1317 11.26% 22.87%
14 1940-05-23 32.6 Venus Bucuresti 5 1491 53.10% @ Unirea Tricolor 0 1235 23.17% 23.73%
15 1940-06-09 32.7 @ Rapid Bucuresti 4 1424 70.45% Juventus Bucuresti 1 1230 8.04% 21.51%
16 1939-10-25 32.9 @ AMEF Arad 3 1304 54.32% Carpati Baia Mare 0 1310 21.12% 24.56%
17 1939-10-08 33.7 @ Rapid Bucuresti 2 1353 60.79% Victoria Cluj 0 1292 15.35% 23.86%
18 1940-03-10 33.7 @ CSM Resita 3 1292 51.52% Ripensia Timisoara 0 1323 23.75% 24.73%
19 1939-09-24 33.8 @ CAM Timisoara 3 1246 49.85% AMEF Arad 0 1291 25.35% 24.80%
20 1940-05-23 34.5 @ Rapid Bucuresti 6 1434 62.13% Sportul Studentesc 1 1357 14.23% 23.64%
21 1940-04-23 34.9 Rapid Bucuresti 4 1423 44.01% @ Victoria Cluj 0 1240 31.47% 24.53%
22 1940-04-07 35.0 @ CSM Resita 2 1307 55.67% AMEF Arad 0 1300 19.87% 24.46%
23 1939-11-05 35.2 @ AMEF Arad 3 1303 48.23% Ripensia Timisoara 0 1362 26.92% 24.85%
24 1940-05-10 35.3 @ Sportul Studentesc 2 1349 56.87% Ripensia Timisoara 0 1330 18.79% 24.34%
25 1939-10-08 35.7 @ AMEF Arad 2 1272 52.34% CSM Resita 0 1296 22.97% 24.69%