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1950 Divizia A Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Flamura Rosie Arad

28 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Stiinta Timisoara

4.63 points above expected

25 points · 20.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Partizanul Bucuresti

5.08 points below expected

26 points · 31.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Flamura Rosie Arad 22 11 6 5 28 43 27 +16 25.52 +2.48
2 Locomotiva Bucuresti 22 11 6 5 28 43 33 +10 23.61 +4.39
3 Partizanul Bucuresti 33 8 10 15 26 56 76 -20 31.08 -5.08
4 Stiinta Timisoara 22 9 7 6 25 30 37 -7 20.37 +4.63
5 Locomotiva Timisoara 22 11 2 9 24 40 28 +12 23.55 +0.45
6 CSCA Bucuresti 22 8 8 6 24 37 26 +11 22.95 +1.05
7 IC Oradea 22 8 6 8 22 32 34 -2 24.32 -2.32
8 Dynamo Bucuresti 22 9 3 10 21 40 45 -5 22.57 -1.57
9 Locomotiva Targu Mures 22 6 6 10 18 32 38 -6 22.85 -4.85
10 Metalul Resita 22 6 6 10 18 38 48 -10 18.12 -0.12
11 Locomotiva Sibiu 22 4 8 10 16 28 38 -10 17.37 -1.37
12 Flacra Petrosani 11 4 6 1 14 22 11 +11 11.69 +2.31

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stiinta Timisoara 25 20.37 +4.63
2 Locomotiva Bucuresti 28 23.61 +4.39
3 Flamura Rosie Arad 28 25.52 +2.48
4 Flacra Petrosani 14 11.69 +2.31
5 CSCA Bucuresti 24 22.95 +1.05

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Partizanul Bucuresti 26 31.08 -5.08
2 Locomotiva Targu Mures 18 22.85 -4.85
3 IC Oradea 22 24.32 -2.32
4 Dynamo Bucuresti 21 22.57 -1.57
5 Locomotiva Sibiu 16 17.37 -1.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stiinta Timisoara 5 Oct 24 – Nov 18 1 in 2,226
2 Dynamo Bucuresti 3 May 28 – Jun 10 1 in 46
3 Locomotiva Bucuresti 3 Nov 5 – Nov 19 1 in 35
4 Flamura Rosie Arad 3 Apr 10 – Apr 23 1 in 30
5 IC Oradea 4 Apr 2 – Apr 23 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dynamo Bucuresti 3 Oct 17 – Oct 29 1 in 73
2 Locomotiva Sibiu 4 Oct 29 – Nov 19 1 in 42
3 Partizanul Bucuresti 3 Apr 10 – Apr 16 1 in 29
4 Locomotiva Timisoara 3 Apr 2 – Apr 16 1 in 20
5 IC Oradea 3 Aug 27 – Oct 1 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Flamura Rosie Arad 14 Apr 10 – Oct 15 1 in 92
2 Locomotiva Sibiu 6 Jun 18 – Sep 3 1 in 50
3 Flacra Petrosani 9 Aug 27 – Nov 19 1 in 37
4 Stiinta Timisoara 6 Oct 15 – Nov 18 1 in 35
5 Metalul Resita 6 Jun 4 – Aug 20 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 CSCA Bucuresti 7 Jun 11 – Sep 3 1 in 71
2 Dynamo Bucuresti 6 Sep 2 – Nov 4 1 in 35
3 Stiinta Timisoara 7 Jun 25 – Oct 15 1 in 33
4 IC Oradea 6 May 28 – Aug 13 1 in 31
5 Partizanul Bucuresti 7 Mar 26 – Apr 16 1 in 24

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Locomotiva Bucuresti 1389 28 +15 8 5.4 +2.6
Flamura Rosie Arad 1386 28 -19 4 5.5 -1.5
Partizanul Bucuresti 1259 26 -2 4 4.1 -0.1
Stiinta Timisoara 1296 25 +34 10 4.1 +5.9
Locomotiva Timisoara 1362 24 +10 6 5.8 +0.2
CSCA Bucuresti 1346 24 +8 5 4.8 +0.2
IC Oradea 1329 22 -13 4 6.0 -2.0
Dynamo Bucuresti 1292 21 -11 5 6.5 -1.5
Locomotiva Targu Mures 1299 18 -19 2 4.5 -2.5
Metalul Resita 1222 18 -8 2 3.5 -1.5
Locomotiva Sibiu 1193 16 -16 2 4.0 -2.0
Flacra Petrosani 1347 14 +21 8 5.9 +2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CB DB FP FRA IO LB LS LTM LT MR PB ST
CSCA Bucuresti —
0-1-1
2.79
0-1-0
0.81
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
2.54
1-0-1
3.44
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.72
1-1-0
3.29
0-2-1
5.06
2-0-0
2.98
Dynamo Bucuresti
1-1-0
2.65
 —
0-1-0
0.77
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.56
1-0-1
3.22
2-1-0
4.90
1-0-1
2.88
Flacra Petrosani
0-1-0
1.90
0-1-0
1.95
 —
0-1-0
0.63
0-1-0
0.78
0-1-0
0.68
1-0-0
1.28
1-0-0
1.90
0-0-1
1.89
1-0-0
2.18
1-0-0
2.08
0-1-0
0.98
Flamura Rosie Arad
1-1-0
2.92
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-0
2.09
 —
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.11
0-1-1
2.98
1-1-0
3.67
1-1-1
4.16
1-0-1
3.35
IC Oradea
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
2.87
0-1-0
1.94
1-0-1
2.64
 —
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
3.69
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
3.49
0-2-1
4.36
0-1-1
3.08
Locomotiva Bucuresti
0-0-2
2.90
2-0-0
2.92
0-1-0
2.04
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.82
 —
2-0-0
3.66
0-2-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
3.55
1-1-1
4.24
1-1-0
3.12
Locomotiva Sibiu
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-1
1.42
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
1.77
0-0-2
1.81
 —
0-2-0
2.09
0-0-2
1.93
1-1-0
2.59
0-3-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.31
Locomotiva Targu Mures
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-1
0.81
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
2.51
0-2-0
2.49
0-2-0
3.36
 —
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
3.32
2-0-1
4.93
1-0-1
2.93
Locomotiva Timisoara
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-2
2.87
1-0-0
0.83
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
2.77
 —
1-0-1
3.41
2-0-1
4.92
0-0-2
3.10
Metalul Resita
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-1
0.56
0-1-1
1.81
1-1-0
1.96
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.03
 —
2-0-1
4.09
0-2-0
2.39
Partizanul Bucuresti
1-2-0
3.12
0-1-2
3.24
0-0-1
0.65
1-1-1
3.97
1-2-0
3.78
1-1-1
3.90
0-3-0
5.32
1-0-2
3.21
1-0-2
3.23
1-0-2
4.06
 —
0-0-3
4.60
Stiinta Timisoara
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-0
1.72
1-0-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.35
0-1-1
2.31
0-2-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
2.34
0-2-0
3.04
3-0-0
3.55
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.50 +3.7
Allowed 0.05 +0.7
Differential 0.06 +1.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%5.68%4.92%1.89%0.76%0.38%19.70%
15.68%10.61%6.44%4.17%1.52%1.14%29.55%
24.92%6.44%11.36%4.17%1.52%0.38%28.79%
31.89%4.17%4.17%—1.52%1.52%13.26%
40.76%1.52%1.52%1.52%——5.30%
5+0.38%1.14%0.38%1.52%——3.41%
Total19.70%29.55%28.79%13.26%5.30%3.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.67 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 1.77
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%18.18%9.09%———31.82%
29.09%—13.64%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%31.82%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.18 +0.50
SD 1.32 0.85 1.54
CV 0.79 0.72 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%18.18%———27.27%
14.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
2—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%18.18%45.45%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.05 -0.23
SD 1.50 1.17 1.51
CV 0.83 0.57 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
19.09%27.27%————36.36%
2——18.18%9.09%——27.27%
318.18%—————18.18%
4———————
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total36.36%36.36%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.00 +1.00
SD 1.61 1.00 1.84
CV 0.81 1.00 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
29.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total31.82%31.82%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.23 +0.73
SD 1.68 1.15 2.05
CV 0.86 0.94 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
19.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
24.55%13.64%18.18%4.55%——40.91%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%36.36%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.55 -0.09
SD 1.01 1.01 1.54
CV 0.69 0.65 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%————18.18%
19.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
24.55%—9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
4——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%27.27%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.50 +0.45
SD 1.50 1.10 1.18
CV 0.77 0.73 —
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%18.18%9.09%—4.55%—36.36%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3————4.55%4.55%9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%27.27%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.73 -0.45
SD 1.12 1.39 1.34
CV 0.88 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
1—4.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
29.09%—13.64%4.55%——27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%31.82%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.73 -0.27
SD 1.26 1.58 2.16
CV 0.87 0.91 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total31.82%31.82%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.27 +0.55
SD 1.82 1.20 1.99
CV 1.00 0.94 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
1—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
24.55%13.64%18.18%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
3—9.09%——9.09%—18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%31.82%9.09%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.18 -0.45
SD 0.88 1.50 1.71
CV 0.51 0.69 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%3.12%3.12%6.25%—3.12%18.75%
13.12%15.62%6.25%3.12%3.12%—31.25%
2—6.25%12.50%6.25%——25.00%
3—3.12%3.12%—3.12%6.25%15.62%
4—3.12%—3.12%——6.25%
5+——3.12%———3.12%
Total6.25%31.25%28.12%18.75%6.25%9.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 2.22 -0.53
SD 1.31 1.54 1.83
CV 0.77 0.69 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%———9.09%—18.18%
113.64%13.64%—9.09%—4.55%40.91%
24.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
3——13.64%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%22.73%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.68 -0.32
SD 0.95 1.49 1.78
CV 0.70 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Locomotiva Bucuresti 1389 28 23.61 +4.39 95.0% 15 18 22 24 26 28 32
Flamura Rosie Arad 1386 28 25.52 +2.48 80.0% 14 19 23 26 28 32 35
Locomotiva Timisoara 1362 24 23.55 +0.45 61.0% 15 17 21 24 26 30 31
Flacra Petrosani 1347 14 11.69 +2.31 91.0% 7 8 10 12 13 15 16
CSCA Bucuresti 1346 24 22.95 +1.05 67.0% 15 18 20 23 25 30 32
IC Oradea 1329 22 24.32 -2.32 32.0% 16 19 22 24 26 30 34
Locomotiva Targu Mures 1299 18 22.85 -4.85 9.0% 15 17 21 22 25 29 30
Stiinta Timisoara 1296 25 20.37 +4.63 94.0% 11 15 18 20 22 26 31
Dynamo Bucuresti 1292 21 22.57 -1.57 39.0% 14 16 20 23 25 28 31
Partizanul Bucuresti 1259 26 31.08 -5.08 15.0% 20 24 28 30 35 39 41
Metalul Resita 1222 18 18.12 -0.12 52.0% 10 12 15 18 21 24 28
Locomotiva Sibiu 1193 16 17.37 -1.37 40.0% 9 12 15 17 19 22 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 34.5% * Clear Edge: 34.5% to 50.5% * Strong Edge: 50.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+29.55%
Slight Edge
50.76%28.03%21.21%
Elo Value
Home Edge
177 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0105.81500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.60+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.18 * Runaway: 0.18 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
13%
Flamura Rosie Arad, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.84 * Some Luck: 2.84 to 4.26 * Lucky: 4.26 to 5.67 * Wild Swing: 5.67 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.5 * Close: 1.5 to 2.25 * Off: 2.25 to 3 * Way Off: 3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.06 points
Some Luck
03.559
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
01.874
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Locomotiva Bucuresti
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Locomotiva Targu Mures
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.4 * Strong Separation: 1.4 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 66% * Very Frequent: 66% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Even
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 62.12
1.17
Moderate Separation
0.751.151.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%61%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
76%
Even
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.5 * Notable Separation: 0.5 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.51 * Strong Carryover: 0.51 to 0.66 * Near-Lock: 0.66 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 17% * Shaky Favorites: 17% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.81
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.370.510.661
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.83
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.79
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Flamura Rosie Arad13.00%23.00%17.00%14.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Locomotiva Bucuresti2.00%16.00%12.00%18.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%—
Partizanul Bucuresti61.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%———
Stiinta Timisoara1.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%8.00%9.00%14.00%16.00%12.00%25.00%5.00%3.00%
Locomotiva Timisoara4.00%13.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%12.00%6.00%1.00%—
CSCA Bucuresti4.00%12.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%6.00%3.00%—
IC Oradea7.00%8.00%17.00%16.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%—
Dynamo Bucuresti3.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%15.00%9.00%11.00%15.00%8.00%11.00%2.00%—
Locomotiva Targu Mures5.00%5.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%17.00%12.00%14.00%9.00%7.00%1.00%—
Metalul Resita—2.00%—2.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%15.00%18.00%30.00%7.00%
Locomotiva Sibiu—1.00%———2.00%8.00%8.00%15.00%19.00%37.00%10.00%
Flacra Petrosani————————1.00%2.00%18.00%79.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Partizanul Bucuresti 100% —
IC Oradea 99.00% 1.00%
Locomotiva Bucuresti 99.00% 1.00%
Locomotiva Targu Mures 99.00% 1.00%
Locomotiva Timisoara 99.00% 1.00%
Dynamo Bucuresti 98.00% 2.00%
Flamura Rosie Arad 98.00% 2.00%
CSCA Bucuresti 97.00% 3.00%
Stiinta Timisoara 92.00% 8.00%
Metalul Resita 63.00% 37.00%
Locomotiva Sibiu 53.00% 47.00%
Flacra Petrosani 3.00% 97.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1950-03-19 Locomotiva Sibiu W 4-130.5 1359 1212 66.93% 24.53% 8.54%+1.43 +4.1 2
1950-03-19 @ IC Oradea L 1-430.5 1212 1359 8.54% 24.53% 66.93%-1.43 -4.1 0
1950-03-19 Locomotiva Timisoara W 2-032.7 1327 1331 53.99% 28.79% 17.22%+0.58 +6.6 2
1950-03-19 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-232.7 1331 1327 17.22% 28.79% 53.99%-0.58 -6.6 0
1950-03-19 CSCA Bucuresti D 2-256.7 1318 1320 54.22% 28.75% 17.03%+0.59 -1.0 1
1950-03-19 @ Dynamo Bucuresti D 2-256.7 1320 1318 17.03% 28.75% 54.22%-0.59 +1.0 1
1950-03-19 Metalul Resita W 4-345.8 1318 1221 63.14% 26.20% 10.66%+1.15 +1.9 2
1950-03-19 @ Partizanul Bucuresti L 3-445.8 1221 1318 10.66% 26.20% 63.14%-1.15 -1.9 0
1950-03-19 Flamura Rosie Arad W 4-135.8 1320 1348 51.52% 29.17% 19.31%+0.44 +8.9 4
1950-03-19 @ Partizanul Bucuresti L 1-435.8 1348 1320 19.31% 29.17% 51.52%-0.44 -8.9 0
1950-03-19 Locomotiva Bucuresti D 0-048.0 1285 1361 46.05% 29.65% 24.30%+0.17 -0.8 1
1950-03-19 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 0-048.0 1361 1285 24.30% 29.65% 46.05%-0.17 +0.8 1
1950-03-26 Partizanul Bucuresti W 5-030.5 1324 1329 53.89% 28.81% 17.30%+0.57 +15.5 2
1950-03-26 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-530.5 1329 1324 17.30% 28.81% 53.89%-0.57 -15.5 4
1950-03-26 Stiinta Timisoara D 1-150.8 1219 1284 47.32% 29.58% 23.11%+0.23 -0.8 1
1950-03-26 @ Metalul Resita D 1-150.8 1284 1219 23.11% 29.58% 47.32%-0.23 +0.8 2
1950-03-26 IC Oradea W 3-139.1 1321 1363 49.94% 29.36% 20.71%+0.36 +6.6 3
1950-03-26 @ CSCA Bucuresti L 1-339.1 1363 1321 20.71% 29.36% 49.94%-0.36 -6.6 2
1950-03-26 Partizanul Bucuresti D 1-150.8 1208 1314 42.38% 29.73% 27.89%+0.00 -0.5 1
1950-03-26 @ Locomotiva Sibiu D 1-150.8 1314 1208 27.89% 29.73% 42.38%+0.00 +0.5 5
1950-03-26 Locomotiva Targu Mures D 2-257.4 1362 1333 57.12% 28.13% 14.76%+0.76 -1.1 2
1950-03-26 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 2-257.4 1333 1362 14.76% 28.13% 57.12%-0.76 +1.1 3
1950-03-26 Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-031.9 1339 1317 56.54% 28.27% 15.20%+0.72 +5.9 2
1950-03-26 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-231.9 1317 1339 15.20% 28.27% 56.54%-0.72 -5.9 1
1950-04-02 Flamura Rosie Arad W 2-141.3 1357 1345 55.52% 28.49% 15.99%+0.66 +3.1 4
1950-04-02 @ IC Oradea L 1-241.3 1345 1357 15.99% 28.49% 55.52%-0.66 -3.1 2
1950-04-02 Locomotiva Sibiu D 2-255.7 1218 1208 55.39% 28.52% 16.09%+0.66 -1.0 2
1950-04-02 @ Metalul Resita D 2-255.7 1208 1218 16.09% 28.52% 55.39%-0.66 +1.0 2
1950-04-02 Locomotiva Timisoara W 4-242.5 1311 1340 51.46% 29.18% 19.36%+0.44 +5.6 3
1950-04-02 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-442.5 1340 1311 19.36% 29.18% 51.46%-0.44 -5.6 2
1950-04-02 CSCA Bucuresti D 2-256.6 1314 1328 53.04% 28.95% 18.01%+0.52 -0.9 6
1950-04-02 @ Partizanul Bucuresti D 2-256.6 1328 1314 18.01% 28.95% 53.04%-0.52 +0.9 4
1950-04-02 Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-151.9 1313 1360 49.40% 29.41% 21.19%+0.33 -1.0 7
1950-04-02 @ Partizanul Bucuresti D 1-151.9 1360 1313 21.19% 29.41% 49.40%-0.33 +1.0 3
1950-04-02 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 1-037.9 1285 1334 49.12% 29.44% 21.45%+0.32 +4.2 4
1950-04-02 @ Stiinta Timisoara L 0-137.9 1334 1285 21.45% 29.44% 49.12%-0.32 -4.2 3
1950-04-09 Metalul Resita W 2-028.8 1328 1217 64.24% 25.75% 10.01%+1.23 +3.9 6
1950-04-09 @ CSCA Bucuresti L 0-228.8 1217 1328 10.01% 25.75% 64.24%-1.23 -3.9 2
1950-04-10 IC Oradea L 0-147.7 1334 1360 51.75% 29.14% 19.11%+0.45 -8.2 2
1950-04-10 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-047.7 1360 1334 19.11% 29.14% 51.75%-0.45 +8.2 6
1950-04-10 Partizanul Bucuresti W 3-245.2 1330 1312 56.14% 28.36% 15.50%+0.70 +2.9 5
1950-04-10 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 2-345.2 1312 1330 15.50% 28.36% 56.14%-0.70 -2.8 7
1950-04-10 Stiinta Timisoara D 0-047.1 1209 1289 45.55% 29.67% 24.79%+0.15 -0.8 3
1950-04-10 @ Locomotiva Sibiu D 0-047.1 1289 1209 24.79% 29.67% 45.55%-0.15 +0.8 5
1950-04-10 Dynamo Bucuresti W 4-240.6 1361 1317 58.60% 27.73% 13.66%+0.85 +4.1 5
1950-04-10 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti L 2-440.6 1317 1361 13.66% 27.73% 58.60%-0.85 -4.2 3
1950-04-10 Partizanul Bucuresti W 3-029.1 1342 1310 57.52% 28.02% 14.45%+0.78 +8.2 4
1950-04-10 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-329.1 1310 1342 14.45% 28.02% 57.52%-0.78 -8.2 7
1950-04-16 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 2-142.0 1368 1366 54.62% 28.67% 16.70%+0.61 +3.2 8
1950-04-16 @ IC Oradea L 1-242.0 1366 1368 16.70% 28.67% 54.62%-0.61 -3.2 5
1950-04-16 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-144.5 1213 1333 40.47% 29.71% 29.82%-0.08 +5.0 4
1950-04-16 @ Metalul Resita L 1-244.5 1333 1213 29.82% 29.71% 40.47%+0.08 -5.0 5
1950-04-16 Partizanul Bucuresti W 5-343.3 1313 1301 55.52% 28.49% 15.99%+0.66 +4.5 5
1950-04-16 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 3-543.3 1301 1313 15.99% 28.49% 55.52%-0.66 -4.5 7
1950-04-16 Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-142.4 1208 1350 37.52% 29.60% 32.87%-0.21 -6.3 3
1950-04-16 @ Locomotiva Sibiu W 1-042.4 1350 1208 32.87% 29.60% 37.52%+0.21 +6.3 6
1950-04-16 Locomotiva Timisoara W 3-246.5 1297 1326 51.38% 29.19% 19.43%+0.43 +3.5 9
1950-04-16 @ Partizanul Bucuresti L 2-346.5 1326 1297 19.43% 29.19% 51.38%-0.43 -3.4 2
1950-04-16 CSCA Bucuresti L 1-347.2 1290 1332 49.90% 29.36% 20.74%+0.36 -13.0 5
1950-04-16 @ Stiinta Timisoara W 3-147.2 1332 1290 20.74% 29.36% 49.90%-0.36 +12.9 8
1950-04-23 Dynamo Bucuresti W 1-035.5 1371 1317 59.43% 27.49% 13.08%+0.90 +2.7 10
1950-04-23 @ IC Oradea L 0-135.5 1317 1371 13.08% 27.49% 59.43%-0.90 -2.7 5
1950-04-23 Metalul Resita W 4-131.3 1322 1218 63.68% 25.99% 10.34%+1.19 +5.0 4
1950-04-23 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 1-431.3 1218 1322 10.34% 25.99% 63.68%-1.19 -5.0 4
1950-04-23 Locomotiva Sibiu D 2-257.0 1328 1202 65.38% 25.25% 9.36%+1.32 -1.6 6
1950-04-23 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures D 2-257.0 1202 1328 9.36% 25.25% 65.38%-1.32 +1.6 4
1950-04-23 Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-244.1 1345 1357 53.25% 28.92% 17.83%+0.54 -15.8 8
1950-04-23 @ CSCA Bucuresti W 2-044.1 1357 1345 17.83% 28.92% 53.25%-0.54 +15.9 8
1950-04-23 Stiinta Timisoara L 0-243.7 1300 1277 56.67% 28.23% 15.10%+0.73 -16.8 9
1950-04-23 @ Partizanul Bucuresti W 2-043.7 1277 1300 15.10% 28.23% 56.67%-0.73 +16.8 7
1950-04-23 Partizanul Bucuresti W 1-034.4 1362 1283 61.58% 26.78% 11.63%+1.05 +2.4 7
1950-04-23 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti L 0-134.4 1283 1362 11.63% 26.78% 61.58%-1.05 -2.4 9
1950-05-28 IC Oradea D 0-048.6 1327 1374 49.39% 29.41% 21.20%+0.33 -1.1 7
1950-05-28 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures D 0-048.6 1374 1327 21.20% 29.41% 49.39%-0.33 +1.1 11
1950-05-28 CSCA Bucuresti L 0-336.4 1203 1329 39.69% 29.69% 30.62%-0.12 -18.0 4
1950-05-28 @ Locomotiva Sibiu W 3-036.4 1329 1203 30.62% 29.69% 39.69%+0.12 +18.0 10
1950-05-28 Partizanul Bucuresti W 5-237.5 1281 1281 54.39% 28.72% 16.89%+0.60 +0.0 11
1950-05-28 @ Partizanul Bucuresti L 2-537.5 1281 1281 16.89% 28.72% 54.39%-0.60 +0.0 11
1950-05-28 Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-356.2 1294 1315 52.24% 29.07% 18.69%+0.48 -7.4 7
1950-05-28 @ Stiinta Timisoara W 3-256.2 1315 1294 18.69% 29.07% 52.24%-0.48 +7.4 7
1950-05-28 Metalul Resita W 4-344.7 1365 1213 67.30% 24.34% 8.35%+1.46 +1.5 9
1950-05-28 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti L 3-444.7 1213 1365 8.35% 24.34% 67.30%-1.46 -1.5 4
1950-05-28 Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-049.1 1372 1327 58.65% 27.72% 13.63%+0.85 -1.8 9
1950-05-28 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 0-049.1 1327 1372 13.63% 27.72% 58.65%-0.85 +1.8 5
1950-06-03 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 1-037.9 1347 1366 52.47% 29.04% 18.49%+0.49 +3.7 12
1950-06-03 @ CSCA Bucuresti L 0-137.9 1366 1347 18.49% 29.04% 52.47%-0.49 -3.7 9
1950-06-04 Partizanul Bucuresti D 2-257.5 1375 1281 62.82% 26.33% 10.86%+1.13 -1.4 12
1950-06-04 @ IC Oradea D 2-257.5 1281 1375 10.86% 26.33% 62.82%-1.13 +1.4 12
1950-06-04 Locomotiva Sibiu W 2-136.5 1329 1185 66.71% 24.63% 8.66%+1.41 +1.7 7
1950-06-04 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 1-236.5 1185 1329 8.66% 24.63% 66.71%-1.41 -1.7 4
1950-06-04 Partizanul Bucuresti W 3-138.8 1211 1282 46.64% 29.62% 23.75%+0.20 +7.4 6
1950-06-04 @ Metalul Resita L 1-338.8 1282 1211 23.75% 29.62% 46.64%-0.20 -7.4 12
1950-06-04 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-245.9 1322 1325 54.04% 28.78% 17.18%+0.58 +3.1 9
1950-06-04 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-345.9 1325 1322 17.18% 28.78% 54.04%-0.58 -3.1 7
1950-06-04 Stiinta Timisoara W 4-027.3 1371 1286 62.05% 26.62% 11.34%+1.08 +8.5 11
1950-06-04 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-427.3 1286 1371 11.34% 26.62% 62.05%-1.08 -8.5 7
1950-06-10 Dynamo Bucuresti L 3-458.6 1275 1325 49.08% 29.44% 21.48%+0.32 -6.8 12
1950-06-10 @ Partizanul Bucuresti W 4-358.6 1325 1275 21.48% 29.44% 49.08%-0.32 +6.8 11
1950-06-11 CSCA Bucuresti D 0-048.4 1322 1351 51.41% 29.19% 19.40%+0.44 -1.2 8
1950-06-11 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures D 0-048.4 1351 1322 19.40% 29.19% 51.41%-0.44 +1.2 13
1950-06-11 Flamura Rosie Arad D 0-047.7 1219 1379 35.04% 29.45% 35.51%-0.31 +0.0 7
1950-06-11 @ Metalul Resita D 0-047.7 1379 1219 35.51% 29.45% 35.04%+0.31 -0.0 12
1950-06-11 IC Oradea W 2-144.5 1268 1373 42.43% 29.73% 27.84%+0.00 +4.8 14
1950-06-11 @ Partizanul Bucuresti L 1-244.5 1373 1268 27.84% 29.73% 42.43%+0.00 -4.8 12
1950-06-11 Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-038.0 1278 1331 48.71% 29.47% 21.82%+0.30 +4.2 9
1950-06-11 @ Stiinta Timisoara L 0-138.0 1331 1278 21.82% 29.47% 48.71%-0.30 -4.2 7
1950-06-11 Locomotiva Sibiu W 4-343.9 1363 1184 69.26% 23.33% 7.41%+1.61 +1.3 11
1950-06-11 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti L 3-443.9 1184 1363 7.41% 23.33% 69.26%-1.61 -1.3 4
1950-06-17 Stiinta Timisoara L 2-356.2 1273 1282 53.50% 28.87% 17.62%+0.55 -7.5 14
1950-06-17 @ Partizanul Bucuresti W 3-256.2 1282 1273 17.62% 28.87% 53.50%-0.55 +7.5 11
1950-06-18 Metalul Resita D 2-257.6 1369 1219 67.16% 24.42% 8.43%+1.45 -1.6 13
1950-06-18 @ IC Oradea D 2-257.6 1219 1369 8.43% 24.42% 67.16%-1.45 +1.6 8
1950-06-18 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 1-038.2 1327 1364 50.50% 29.30% 20.20%+0.39 +4.0 9
1950-06-18 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-138.2 1364 1327 20.20% 29.30% 50.50%-0.39 -4.0 11
1950-06-18 Partizanul Bucuresti L 1-253.7 1352 1266 62.25% 26.54% 11.21%+1.09 -9.1 13
1950-06-18 @ CSCA Bucuresti W 2-153.7 1266 1352 11.21% 26.54% 62.25%-1.09 +9.1 16
1950-06-18 Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-145.5 1182 1332 36.53% 29.55% 33.92%-0.25 +5.5 6
1950-06-18 @ Locomotiva Sibiu L 1-245.5 1332 1182 33.92% 29.55% 36.53%+0.25 -5.5 11
1950-06-18 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 7-132.8 1379 1321 59.80% 27.38% 12.82%+0.93 +11.6 14
1950-06-18 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-732.8 1321 1379 12.82% 27.38% 59.80%-0.93 -11.6 8
1950-06-25 Partizanul Bucuresti W 4-133.3 1310 1275 57.74% 27.97% 14.29%+0.80 +6.9 10
1950-06-25 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 1-433.3 1275 1310 14.29% 27.97% 57.74%-0.80 -6.8 16
1950-06-25 Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-035.4 1220 1326 42.33% 29.73% 27.94%+0.00 +9.6 10
1950-06-25 @ Metalul Resita L 0-235.4 1326 1220 27.94% 29.73% 42.33%+0.00 -9.6 11
1950-06-25 Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-152.2 1343 1331 55.63% 28.47% 15.90%+0.67 -1.4 14
1950-06-25 @ CSCA Bucuresti D 1-152.2 1331 1343 15.90% 28.47% 55.63%-0.67 +1.4 10
1950-06-25 Locomotiva Sibiu D 0-047.9 1268 1188 61.67% 26.75% 11.57%+1.05 -2.1 17
1950-06-25 @ Partizanul Bucuresti D 0-047.9 1188 1268 11.57% 26.75% 61.67%-1.05 +2.1 7
1950-06-25 IC Oradea D 2-256.6 1289 1367 45.86% 29.65% 24.49%+0.16 -0.5 12
1950-06-25 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 2-256.6 1367 1289 24.49% 29.65% 45.86%-0.16 +0.5 14
1950-06-25 Flamura Rosie Arad D 1-153.1 1360 1391 51.21% 29.21% 19.58%+0.43 -1.1 12
1950-06-25 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-153.1 1391 1360 19.58% 29.21% 51.21%-0.43 +1.1 15
1950-08-13 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 1-036.1 1332 1316 55.93% 28.40% 15.67%+0.69 +3.2 12
1950-08-13 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-136.1 1316 1332 15.67% 28.40% 55.93%-0.69 -3.2 10
1950-08-13 Partizanul Bucuresti W 2-141.2 1230 1266 50.67% 29.28% 20.05%+0.40 +3.7 12
1950-08-13 @ Metalul Resita L 1-241.2 1266 1230 20.05% 29.28% 50.67%-0.40 -3.7 17
1950-08-13 Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-148.5 1342 1317 56.82% 28.20% 14.98%+0.74 -8.9 14
1950-08-13 @ CSCA Bucuresti W 1-048.5 1317 1342 14.98% 28.20% 56.82%-0.74 +8.9 13
1950-08-13 IC Oradea W 2-038.4 1190 1368 32.69% 29.25% 38.06%-0.41 +11.9 9
1950-08-13 @ Locomotiva Sibiu L 0-238.4 1368 1190 38.06% 29.25% 32.69%+0.41 -11.9 14
1950-08-13 Stiinta Timisoara W 3-135.4 1359 1289 60.83% 27.05% 12.13%+1.00 +4.1 14
1950-08-13 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti L 1-335.4 1289 1359 12.13% 27.05% 60.83%-1.00 -4.2 12
1950-08-13 Flacra Petrosani D 2-258.0 1392 1322 60.80% 27.05% 12.14%+0.99 -1.3 16
1950-08-13 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 2-258.0 1322 1392 12.14% 27.05% 60.80%-0.99 +1.3 1
1950-08-20 CSCA Bucuresti W 2-140.8 1356 1333 56.59% 28.25% 15.15%+0.73 +2.9 16
1950-08-20 @ IC Oradea L 1-240.8 1333 1356 15.15% 28.25% 56.59%-0.73 -3.0 14
1950-08-20 Locomotiva Bucuresti D 2-256.8 1313 1363 49.10% 29.44% 21.46%+0.32 -0.7 11
1950-08-20 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures D 2-256.8 1363 1313 21.46% 29.44% 49.10%-0.32 +0.7 15
1950-08-20 Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-347.6 1326 1390 47.39% 29.57% 23.04%+0.23 -12.4 13
1950-08-20 @ Dynamo Bucuresti W 3-147.6 1390 1326 23.04% 29.57% 47.39%-0.23 +12.4 18
1950-08-20 Locomotiva Timisoara L 2-356.8 1323 1335 53.19% 28.93% 17.88%+0.53 -7.5 1
1950-08-20 @ Flacra Petrosani W 3-256.8 1335 1323 17.88% 28.93% 53.19%-0.53 +7.5 14
1950-08-20 Locomotiva Sibiu D 1-151.3 1262 1202 59.99% 27.32% 12.69%+0.94 -1.7 18
1950-08-20 @ Partizanul Bucuresti D 1-151.3 1202 1262 12.69% 27.32% 59.99%-0.94 +1.7 10
1950-08-20 Metalul Resita D 2-256.3 1285 1234 59.18% 27.57% 13.25%+0.89 -1.2 13
1950-08-20 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 2-256.3 1234 1285 13.25% 27.57% 59.18%-0.89 +1.2 13
1950-08-26 Partizanul Bucuresti D 1-151.9 1330 1260 60.82% 27.05% 12.13%+0.99 -1.8 15
1950-08-26 @ CSCA Bucuresti D 1-151.9 1260 1330 12.13% 27.05% 60.82%-0.99 +1.8 19
1950-08-27 Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-349.4 1343 1313 57.23% 28.10% 14.67%+0.77 -14.6 14
1950-08-27 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 3-149.4 1313 1343 14.67% 28.10% 57.23%-0.77 +14.6 15
1950-08-27 Stiinta Timisoara W 4-028.2 1312 1284 57.18% 28.11% 14.71%+0.76 +10.9 13
1950-08-27 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-428.2 1284 1312 14.71% 28.11% 57.18%-0.76 -10.9 13
1950-08-27 Metalul Resita W 4-241.5 1204 1235 51.13% 29.22% 19.65%+0.42 +5.7 12
1950-08-27 @ Locomotiva Sibiu L 2-441.5 1235 1204 19.65% 29.22% 51.13%-0.42 -5.7 13
1950-08-27 Flacra Petrosani D 1-152.5 1364 1316 58.89% 27.65% 13.45%+0.87 -1.7 16
1950-08-27 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-152.5 1316 1364 13.45% 27.65% 58.89%-0.87 +1.6 2
1950-08-27 IC Oradea W 2-141.3 1403 1359 58.58% 27.74% 13.68%+0.85 +2.7 20
1950-08-27 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-241.3 1359 1403 13.68% 27.74% 58.58%-0.85 -2.7 16
1950-09-02 Locomotiva Bucuresti L 3-554.8 1328 1362 50.84% 29.26% 19.90%+0.41 -11.1 15
1950-09-02 @ Dynamo Bucuresti W 5-354.8 1362 1328 19.90% 29.26% 50.84%-0.41 +11.1 18
1950-09-03 Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-342.2 1356 1328 57.07% 28.14% 14.79%+0.76 -24.5 16
1950-09-03 @ IC Oradea W 3-042.2 1328 1356 14.79% 28.14% 57.07%-0.76 +24.5 16
1950-09-03 CSCA Bucuresti D 2-255.8 1229 1328 43.23% 29.72% 27.05%+0.04 -0.4 14
1950-09-03 @ Metalul Resita D 2-255.8 1328 1229 27.05% 29.72% 43.23%-0.04 +0.4 16
1950-09-03 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-030.1 1318 1323 53.81% 28.82% 17.37%+0.57 +9.6 4
1950-09-03 @ Flacra Petrosani L 0-330.1 1323 1318 17.37% 28.82% 53.81%-0.57 -9.6 13
1950-09-03 Flamura Rosie Arad D 2-256.7 1262 1406 37.37% 29.60% 33.04%-0.21 -0.1 20
1950-09-03 @ Partizanul Bucuresti D 2-256.7 1406 1262 33.04% 29.60% 37.37%+0.21 +0.1 21
1950-09-03 Locomotiva Sibiu D 1-151.4 1273 1209 60.27% 27.23% 12.50%+0.96 -1.7 14
1950-09-03 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 1-151.4 1209 1273 12.50% 27.23% 60.27%-0.96 +1.8 13
1950-10-01 Partizanul Bucuresti W 7-334.4 1353 1262 62.56% 26.42% 11.01%+1.11 +5.3 18
1950-10-01 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 3-734.4 1262 1353 11.01% 26.42% 62.56%-1.11 -5.3 20
1950-10-01 Metalul Resita W 3-134.4 1314 1229 62.08% 26.61% 11.32%+1.08 +3.9 15
1950-10-01 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 1-334.4 1229 1314 11.32% 26.61% 62.08%-1.08 -3.9 14
1950-10-01 Stiinta Timisoara W 5-131.7 1329 1271 59.78% 27.39% 12.84%+0.93 +8.0 18
1950-10-01 @ CSCA Bucuresti L 1-531.7 1271 1329 12.84% 27.39% 59.78%-0.93 -8.0 14
1950-10-01 Dynamo Bucuresti D 0-048.3 1327 1317 55.42% 28.51% 16.07%+0.66 -1.6 5
1950-10-01 @ Flacra Petrosani D 0-048.3 1317 1327 16.07% 28.51% 55.42%-0.66 +1.6 16
1950-10-01 IC Oradea W 2-031.9 1373 1331 58.36% 27.80% 13.84%+0.84 +5.4 20
1950-10-01 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti L 0-231.9 1331 1373 13.84% 27.80% 58.36%-0.84 -5.4 16
1950-10-01 Locomotiva Sibiu W 5-338.9 1406 1211 70.35% 22.73% 6.92%+1.70 +1.9 23
1950-10-01 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 3-538.9 1211 1406 6.92% 22.73% 70.35%-1.70 -1.9 13
1950-10-14 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 1-040.7 1257 1379 40.25% 29.70% 30.05%-0.09 +5.4 22
1950-10-14 @ Partizanul Bucuresti L 0-140.7 1379 1257 30.05% 29.70% 40.25%+0.09 -5.4 20
1950-10-15 Locomotiva Timisoara W 2-145.2 1225 1358 38.79% 29.66% 31.55%-0.15 +5.2 16
1950-10-15 @ Metalul Resita L 1-245.2 1358 1225 31.55% 29.66% 38.79%+0.15 -5.2 18
1950-10-15 Locomotiva Targu Mures D 1-150.8 1209 1318 42.00% 29.73% 28.27%-0.02 -0.4 14
1950-10-15 @ Locomotiva Sibiu D 1-150.8 1318 1209 28.27% 29.73% 42.00%+0.02 +0.4 16
1950-10-15 Flacra Petrosani D 1-151.2 1263 1326 47.62% 29.56% 22.83%+0.24 -0.8 15
1950-10-15 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 1-151.2 1326 1263 22.83% 29.56% 47.62%-0.24 +0.8 6
1950-10-15 CSCA Bucuresti D 1-153.6 1408 1337 60.91% 27.02% 12.07%+1.00 -1.8 24
1950-10-15 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 1-153.6 1337 1408 12.07% 27.02% 60.91%-1.00 +1.8 19
1950-10-17 IC Oradea L 0-243.5 1318 1326 53.63% 28.85% 17.52%+0.56 -16.0 16
1950-10-17 @ Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-043.5 1326 1318 17.52% 28.85% 53.63%-0.56 +16.0 18
1950-10-19 Locomotiva Sibiu L 0-149.4 1338 1209 65.65% 25.13% 9.22%+1.33 -10.1 19
1950-10-19 @ CSCA Bucuresti W 1-049.4 1209 1338 9.22% 25.13% 65.65%-1.33 +10.1 16
1950-10-22 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-136.8 1342 1318 56.71% 28.23% 15.07%+0.73 +5.1 20
1950-10-22 @ IC Oradea L 1-336.8 1318 1342 15.07% 28.23% 56.71%-0.73 -5.1 16
1950-10-22 Flamura Rosie Arad W 2-035.7 1353 1406 48.74% 29.47% 21.78%+0.30 +8.0 20
1950-10-22 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-235.7 1406 1353 21.78% 29.47% 48.74%-0.30 -8.0 24
1950-10-22 Locomotiva Bucuresti L 2-351.9 1230 1373 37.44% 29.60% 32.96%-0.21 -5.6 16
1950-10-22 @ Metalul Resita W 3-251.9 1373 1230 32.96% 29.60% 37.44%+0.21 +5.6 22
1950-10-22 Partizanul Bucuresti W 3-027.7 1326 1262 60.37% 27.20% 12.44%+0.96 +7.1 8
1950-10-22 @ Flacra Petrosani L 0-327.7 1262 1326 12.44% 27.20% 60.37%-0.96 -7.1 22
1950-10-24 Stiinta Timisoara L 2-357.3 1302 1262 58.23% 27.84% 13.93%+0.83 -8.2 16
1950-10-24 @ Dynamo Bucuresti W 3-257.3 1262 1302 13.93% 27.84% 58.23%-0.83 +8.1 17
1950-10-28 CSCA Bucuresti L 2-454.6 1379 1328 59.14% 27.58% 13.28%+0.89 -13.5 22
1950-10-28 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti W 4-254.6 1328 1379 13.28% 27.58% 59.14%-0.89 +13.5 21
1950-10-29 Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-031.6 1313 1294 56.21% 28.34% 15.45%+0.71 +6.0 18
1950-10-29 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-231.6 1294 1313 15.45% 28.34% 56.21%-0.71 -6.0 16
1950-10-29 Metalul Resita W 6-130.0 1334 1225 64.03% 25.84% 10.13%+1.22 +7.7 10
1950-10-29 @ Flacra Petrosani L 1-630.0 1225 1334 10.13% 25.84% 64.03%-1.22 -7.7 16
1950-10-29 Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-238.4 1219 1361 37.56% 29.61% 32.83%-0.21 -11.9 16
1950-10-29 @ Locomotiva Sibiu W 2-038.4 1361 1219 32.83% 29.61% 37.56%+0.21 +11.9 22
1950-10-29 IC Oradea D 1-151.2 1255 1347 44.08% 29.71% 26.21%+0.08 -0.6 23
1950-10-29 @ Partizanul Bucuresti D 1-151.2 1347 1255 26.21% 29.71% 44.08%-0.08 +0.6 21
1950-10-29 Flamura Rosie Arad W 2-145.7 1270 1398 39.51% 29.68% 30.80%-0.12 +5.2 19
1950-10-29 @ Stiinta Timisoara L 1-245.7 1398 1270 30.80% 29.68% 39.51%+0.12 -5.2 24
1950-11-04 Stiinta Timisoara L 0-149.7 1373 1275 63.09% 26.22% 10.69%+1.15 -9.8 22
1950-11-04 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-049.7 1275 1373 10.69% 26.22% 63.09%-1.15 +9.8 21
1950-11-04 Partizanul Bucuresti D 2-256.3 1288 1254 57.65% 27.99% 14.36%+0.79 -1.2 17
1950-11-04 @ Dynamo Bucuresti D 2-256.3 1254 1288 14.36% 27.99% 57.65%-0.79 +1.2 24
1950-11-05 Flacra Petrosani D 2-257.2 1348 1341 55.01% 28.60% 16.39%+0.63 -1.0 22
1950-11-05 @ IC Oradea D 2-257.2 1341 1348 16.39% 28.60% 55.01%-0.63 +1.0 11
1950-11-05 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-031.9 1342 1319 56.61% 28.25% 15.14%+0.73 +5.9 23
1950-11-05 @ CSCA Bucuresti L 0-231.9 1319 1342 15.14% 28.25% 56.61%-0.73 -5.9 18
1950-11-05 Locomotiva Bucuresti L 2-351.0 1207 1365 35.30% 29.47% 35.23%-0.30 -5.4 16
1950-11-05 @ Locomotiva Sibiu W 3-251.0 1365 1207 35.23% 29.47% 35.30%+0.30 +5.4 24
1950-11-05 Metalul Resita W 2-136.3 1393 1217 69.02% 23.46% 7.52%+1.59 +1.5 26
1950-11-05 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-236.3 1217 1393 7.52% 23.46% 69.02%-1.59 -1.4 16
1950-11-12 Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-250.5 1313 1394 45.45% 29.67% 24.88%+0.14 -6.9 18
1950-11-12 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-150.5 1394 1313 24.88% 29.67% 45.45%-0.14 +6.9 28
1950-11-12 IC Oradea W 3-141.4 1216 1347 39.04% 29.67% 31.29%-0.14 +9.0 18
1950-11-12 @ Metalul Resita L 1-341.4 1347 1216 31.29% 29.67% 39.04%+0.14 -9.0 22
1950-11-12 Locomotiva Sibiu W 2-137.8 1287 1201 62.14% 26.58% 11.27%+1.08 +2.2 19
1950-11-12 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-237.8 1201 1287 11.27% 26.58% 62.14%-1.08 -2.2 16
1950-11-12 CSCA Bucuresti D 1-152.3 1342 1348 53.86% 28.81% 17.33%+0.57 -1.3 12
1950-11-12 @ Flacra Petrosani D 1-152.3 1348 1342 17.33% 28.81% 53.86%-0.57 +1.3 24
1950-11-12 Partizanul Bucuresti W 2-139.4 1285 1255 57.25% 28.09% 14.66%+0.77 +2.9 23
1950-11-12 @ Stiinta Timisoara L 1-239.4 1255 1285 14.66% 28.09% 57.25%-0.77 -2.9 24
1950-11-12 Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-037.4 1371 1363 55.17% 28.56% 16.26%+0.64 +3.3 26
1950-11-12 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti L 0-137.4 1363 1371 16.26% 28.56% 55.17%-0.64 -3.3 22
1950-11-18 Stiinta Timisoara L 2-357.9 1338 1288 59.06% 27.60% 13.34%+0.88 -8.2 22
1950-11-18 @ IC Oradea W 3-257.9 1288 1338 13.34% 27.60% 59.06%-0.88 +8.2 25
1950-11-19 CSCA Bucuresti W 3-246.2 1359 1349 55.43% 28.51% 16.06%+0.66 +3.0 24
1950-11-19 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 2-346.2 1349 1359 16.06% 28.51% 55.43%-0.66 -2.9 24
1950-11-19 Metalul Resita W 2-138.4 1289 1225 60.39% 27.19% 12.42%+0.97 +2.5 21
1950-11-19 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-238.4 1225 1289 12.42% 27.19% 60.39%-0.97 -2.5 18
1950-11-19 Flacra Petrosani L 0-142.3 1199 1341 37.59% 29.61% 32.80%-0.20 -6.3 16
1950-11-19 @ Locomotiva Sibiu W 1-042.3 1341 1199 32.80% 29.61% 37.59%+0.20 +6.3 14
1950-11-19 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-138.5 1253 1306 48.67% 29.48% 21.85%+0.30 +6.9 26
1950-11-19 @ Partizanul Bucuresti L 1-338.5 1306 1253 21.85% 29.48% 48.67%-0.30 -6.9 18
1950-11-19 Locomotiva Bucuresti L 1-351.0 1401 1374 56.99% 28.16% 14.85%+0.75 -14.6 28
1950-11-19 @ Flamura Rosie Arad W 3-151.0 1374 1401 14.85% 28.16% 56.99%-0.75 +14.6 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1950-10-19 9.22% Locomotiva Sibiu 1209 1 @ CSCA Bucuresti 1338 0
2 1950-11-04 10.69% Stiinta Timisoara 1275 1 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1373 0
3 1950-06-18 11.21% Partizanul Bucuresti 1266 2 @ CSCA Bucuresti 1352 1
4 1950-10-28 13.28% CSCA Bucuresti 1328 4 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 1379 2
5 1950-11-18 13.34% Stiinta Timisoara 1288 3 @ IC Oradea 1338 2
6 1950-10-24 13.93% Stiinta Timisoara 1262 3 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1302 2
7 1950-08-27 14.67% Dynamo Bucuresti 1313 3 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1343 1
8 1950-09-03 14.79% Locomotiva Timisoara 1328 3 @ IC Oradea 1356 0
9 1950-11-19 14.85% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1374 3 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1401 1
10 1950-08-13 14.98% Dynamo Bucuresti 1317 1 @ CSCA Bucuresti 1342 0
11 1950-04-23 15.10% Stiinta Timisoara 1277 2 @ Partizanul Bucuresti 1300 0
12 1950-10-17 17.52% IC Oradea 1326 2 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1318 0
13 1950-06-17 17.62% Stiinta Timisoara 1282 3 @ Partizanul Bucuresti 1273 2
14 1950-04-23 17.83% Flamura Rosie Arad 1357 2 @ CSCA Bucuresti 1345 0
15 1950-08-20 17.88% Locomotiva Timisoara 1335 3 @ Flacra Petrosani 1323 2
16 1950-05-28 18.69% Dynamo Bucuresti 1315 3 @ Stiinta Timisoara 1294 2
17 1950-04-10 19.11% IC Oradea 1360 1 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1334 0
18 1950-09-02 19.90% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1362 5 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1328 3
19 1950-04-16 20.74% CSCA Bucuresti 1332 3 @ Stiinta Timisoara 1290 1
20 1950-06-10 21.48% Dynamo Bucuresti 1325 4 @ Partizanul Bucuresti 1275 3
21 1950-08-20 23.04% Flamura Rosie Arad 1390 3 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1326 1
22 1950-11-12 24.88% Flamura Rosie Arad 1394 2 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1313 1
23 1950-05-28 30.62% CSCA Bucuresti 1329 3 @ Locomotiva Sibiu 1203 0
24 1950-08-13 32.69% @ Locomotiva Sibiu 1190 2 IC Oradea 1368 0
25 1950-11-19 32.80% Flacra Petrosani 1341 1 @ Locomotiva Sibiu 1199 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-09-03 24.50 Locomotiva Timisoara 3 1328 14.79% @ IC Oradea 0 1356 57.07% 28.14%
2 1950-05-28 17.97 CSCA Bucuresti 3 1329 30.62% @ Locomotiva Sibiu 0 1203 39.69% 29.69%
3 1950-04-23 16.76 Stiinta Timisoara 2 1277 15.10% @ Partizanul Bucuresti 0 1300 56.67% 28.23%
4 1950-10-17 15.95 IC Oradea 2 1326 17.52% @ Dynamo Bucuresti 0 1318 53.63% 28.85%
5 1950-04-23 15.85 Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1357 17.83% @ CSCA Bucuresti 0 1345 53.25% 28.92%
6 1950-03-26 15.47 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 5 1324 53.89% Partizanul Bucuresti 0 1329 17.30% 28.81%
7 1950-08-27 14.64 Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1313 14.67% @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1 1343 57.23% 28.10%
8 1950-11-19 14.59 Locomotiva Bucuresti 3 1374 14.85% @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1401 56.99% 28.16%
9 1950-10-28 13.49 CSCA Bucuresti 4 1328 13.28% @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1379 59.14% 27.58%
10 1950-04-16 12.96 CSCA Bucuresti 3 1332 20.74% @ Stiinta Timisoara 1 1290 49.90% 29.36%
11 1950-08-20 12.39 Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1390 23.04% @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1326 47.39% 29.57%
12 1950-08-13 11.93 @ Locomotiva Sibiu 2 1190 32.69% IC Oradea 0 1368 38.06% 29.25%
13 1950-10-29 11.86 Locomotiva Timisoara 2 1361 32.83% @ Locomotiva Sibiu 0 1219 37.56% 29.61%
14 1950-06-18 11.57 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 7 1379 59.80% Locomotiva Targu Mures 1 1321 12.82% 27.38%
15 1950-09-02 11.13 Locomotiva Bucuresti 5 1362 19.90% @ Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1328 50.84% 29.26%
16 1950-08-27 10.89 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 4 1312 57.18% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1284 14.71% 28.11%
17 1950-10-19 10.09 Locomotiva Sibiu 1 1209 9.22% @ CSCA Bucuresti 0 1338 65.65% 25.13%
18 1950-11-04 9.76 Stiinta Timisoara 1 1275 10.69% @ Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1373 63.09% 26.22%
19 1950-09-03 9.64 @ Flacra Petrosani 3 1318 53.81% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1323 17.37% 28.82%
20 1950-06-25 9.61 @ Metalul Resita 2 1220 42.33% Dynamo Bucuresti 0 1326 27.94% 29.73%
21 1950-06-18 9.11 Partizanul Bucuresti 2 1266 11.21% @ CSCA Bucuresti 1 1352 62.25% 26.54%
22 1950-11-12 9.02 @ Metalul Resita 3 1216 39.04% IC Oradea 1 1347 31.29% 29.67%
23 1950-08-13 8.91 Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1317 14.98% @ CSCA Bucuresti 0 1342 56.82% 28.20%
24 1950-03-19 8.87 @ Partizanul Bucuresti 4 1320 51.52% Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1348 19.31% 29.17%
25 1950-06-04 8.50 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 4 1371 62.05% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1286 11.34% 26.62%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-06-10 58.6 Dynamo Bucuresti 4 1325 21.48% @ Partizanul Bucuresti 3 1275 49.08% 29.44%
2 1950-08-13 58.0 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1392 60.80% Flacra Petrosani 2 1322 12.14% 27.05%
3 1950-11-18 57.9 Stiinta Timisoara 3 1288 13.34% @ IC Oradea 2 1338 59.06% 27.60%
4 1950-06-18 57.6 @ IC Oradea 2 1369 67.16% Metalul Resita 2 1219 8.43% 24.42%
5 1950-06-04 57.5 @ IC Oradea 2 1375 62.82% Partizanul Bucuresti 2 1281 10.86% 26.33%
6 1950-03-26 57.4 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1362 57.12% Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1333 14.76% 28.13%
7 1950-10-24 57.3 Stiinta Timisoara 3 1262 13.93% @ Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1302 58.23% 27.84%
8 1950-11-05 57.2 @ IC Oradea 2 1348 55.01% Flacra Petrosani 2 1341 16.39% 28.60%
9 1950-04-23 57.0 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1328 65.38% Locomotiva Sibiu 2 1202 9.36% 25.25%
10 1950-08-20 56.8 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1313 49.10% Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1363 21.46% 29.44%
11 1950-08-20 56.8 Locomotiva Timisoara 3 1335 17.88% @ Flacra Petrosani 2 1323 53.19% 28.93%
12 1950-03-19 56.7 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1318 54.22% CSCA Bucuresti 2 1320 17.03% 28.75%
13 1950-09-03 56.7 @ Partizanul Bucuresti 2 1262 37.37% Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1406 33.04% 29.60%
14 1950-04-02 56.6 @ Partizanul Bucuresti 2 1314 53.04% CSCA Bucuresti 2 1328 18.01% 28.95%
15 1950-06-25 56.6 @ Stiinta Timisoara 2 1289 45.86% IC Oradea 2 1367 24.49% 29.65%
16 1950-08-20 56.3 @ Stiinta Timisoara 2 1285 59.18% Metalul Resita 2 1234 13.25% 27.57%
17 1950-11-04 56.3 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1288 57.65% Partizanul Bucuresti 2 1254 14.36% 27.99%
18 1950-05-28 56.2 Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1315 18.69% @ Stiinta Timisoara 2 1294 52.24% 29.07%
19 1950-06-17 56.2 Stiinta Timisoara 3 1282 17.62% @ Partizanul Bucuresti 2 1273 53.50% 28.87%
20 1950-09-03 55.8 @ Metalul Resita 2 1229 43.23% CSCA Bucuresti 2 1328 27.05% 29.72%
21 1950-04-02 55.7 @ Metalul Resita 2 1218 55.39% Locomotiva Sibiu 2 1208 16.09% 28.52%
22 1950-09-02 54.8 Locomotiva Bucuresti 5 1362 19.90% @ Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1328 50.84% 29.26%
23 1950-10-28 54.6 CSCA Bucuresti 4 1328 13.28% @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1379 59.14% 27.58%
24 1950-06-18 53.7 Partizanul Bucuresti 2 1266 11.21% @ CSCA Bucuresti 1 1352 62.25% 26.54%
25 1950-10-15 53.6 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1408 60.91% CSCA Bucuresti 1 1337 12.07% 27.02%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-06-04 27.3 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 4 1371 62.05% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1286 11.34% 26.62%
2 1950-10-22 27.7 @ Flacra Petrosani 3 1326 60.37% Partizanul Bucuresti 0 1262 12.44% 27.20%
3 1950-08-27 28.2 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 4 1312 57.18% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1284 14.71% 28.11%
4 1950-04-09 28.8 @ CSCA Bucuresti 2 1328 64.24% Metalul Resita 0 1217 10.01% 25.75%
5 1950-04-10 29.1 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1342 57.52% Partizanul Bucuresti 0 1310 14.45% 28.02%
6 1950-10-29 30.0 @ Flacra Petrosani 6 1334 64.03% Metalul Resita 1 1225 10.13% 25.84%
7 1950-09-03 30.1 @ Flacra Petrosani 3 1318 53.81% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1323 17.37% 28.82%
8 1950-03-19 30.5 @ IC Oradea 4 1359 66.93% Locomotiva Sibiu 1 1212 8.54% 24.53%
9 1950-03-26 30.5 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 5 1324 53.89% Partizanul Bucuresti 0 1329 17.30% 28.81%
10 1950-04-23 31.3 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 4 1322 63.68% Metalul Resita 1 1218 10.34% 25.99%
11 1950-10-29 31.6 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1313 56.21% Dynamo Bucuresti 0 1294 15.45% 28.34%
12 1950-10-01 31.7 @ CSCA Bucuresti 5 1329 59.78% Stiinta Timisoara 1 1271 12.84% 27.39%
13 1950-03-26 31.9 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1339 56.54% Dynamo Bucuresti 0 1317 15.20% 28.27%
14 1950-10-01 31.9 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1373 58.36% IC Oradea 0 1331 13.84% 27.80%
15 1950-11-05 31.9 @ CSCA Bucuresti 2 1342 56.61% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1319 15.14% 28.25%
16 1950-03-19 32.7 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1327 53.99% Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1331 17.22% 28.79%
17 1950-06-18 32.8 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 7 1379 59.80% Locomotiva Targu Mures 1 1321 12.82% 27.38%
18 1950-06-25 33.3 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 4 1310 57.74% Partizanul Bucuresti 1 1275 14.29% 27.97%
19 1950-04-23 34.4 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 1 1362 61.58% Partizanul Bucuresti 0 1283 11.63% 26.78%
20 1950-10-01 34.4 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 7 1353 62.56% Partizanul Bucuresti 3 1262 11.01% 26.42%
21 1950-10-01 34.4 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1314 62.08% Metalul Resita 1 1229 11.32% 26.61%
22 1950-06-25 35.4 @ Metalul Resita 2 1220 42.33% Dynamo Bucuresti 0 1326 27.94% 29.73%
23 1950-08-13 35.4 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 3 1359 60.83% Stiinta Timisoara 1 1289 12.13% 27.05%
24 1950-04-23 35.5 @ IC Oradea 1 1371 59.43% Dynamo Bucuresti 0 1317 13.08% 27.49%
25 1950-10-22 35.7 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 2 1353 48.74% Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1406 21.78% 29.47%