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1951 Divizia A Season

132 games

Final

Champion

CCA Bucuresti

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dynamo Bucuresti

7.52 points above expected

32 points · 24.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Locomotiva Targu Mures

4.60 points below expected

16 points · 20.60 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 CCA Bucuresti 22 13 6 3 32 43 19 +24 26.77 +5.23
2 Dynamo Bucuresti 22 14 4 4 32 52 29 +23 24.48 +7.52
3 Progresul Oradea 22 11 4 7 26 46 36 +10 23.38 +2.62
4 Flamura Rosie Arad 22 8 8 6 24 37 31 +6 23.26 +0.74
5 Flacra Bucuresti 22 8 6 8 22 36 40 -4 21.22 +0.78
6 Stiinta Cluj 22 8 5 9 21 32 36 -4 19.00 +2.00
7 Flacra Petrosani 22 6 8 8 20 23 24 -1 22.08 -2.08
8 Locomotiva Timisoara 22 6 8 8 20 28 37 -9 21.73 -1.73
9 Dynamo Brasov 22 6 7 9 19 27 37 -10 21.99 -2.99
10 Locomotiva Targu Mures 22 7 2 13 16 26 36 -10 20.60 -4.60
11 Locomotiva Bucuresti 22 4 8 10 16 24 35 -11 20.02 -4.02
12 Stiinta Timisoara 22 5 6 11 16 20 34 -14 19.47 -3.47

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dynamo Bucuresti 32 24.48 +7.52
2 CCA Bucuresti 32 26.77 +5.23
3 Progresul Oradea 26 23.38 +2.62
4 Stiinta Cluj 21 19.00 +2.00
5 Flacra Bucuresti 22 21.22 +0.78

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Locomotiva Targu Mures 16 20.60 -4.60
2 Locomotiva Bucuresti 16 20.02 -4.02
3 Stiinta Timisoara 16 19.47 -3.47
4 Dynamo Brasov 19 21.99 -2.99
5 Flacra Petrosani 20 22.08 -2.08

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 CCA Bucuresti 7 Mar 25 – May 27 1 in 399
2 Dynamo Bucuresti 3 Mar 25 – Apr 8 1 in 40
3 Progresul Oradea 4 Jun 17 – Sep 2 1 in 32
4 Flacra Petrosani 4 Apr 8 – Apr 29 1 in 25
5 Stiinta Cluj 2 Aug 26 – Sep 2 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Locomotiva Bucuresti 5 Mar 25 – Apr 22 1 in 335
2 Locomotiva Targu Mures 5 Jun 10 – Sep 2 1 in 267
3 Stiinta Timisoara 5 Apr 1 – Apr 29 1 in 76
4 CCA Bucuresti 2 Sep 30 – Oct 7 1 in 19
5 Dynamo Brasov 2 Aug 25 – Sep 2 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Locomotiva Bucuresti 9 Sep 9 – Nov 4 1 in 95
2 CCA Bucuresti 11 Mar 25 – Jun 24 1 in 35
3 Flamura Rosie Arad 7 May 6 – Aug 26 1 in 19
4 Locomotiva Timisoara 5 Sep 9 – Oct 7 1 in 14
5 Dynamo Brasov 6 May 6 – Jun 24 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Flacra Petrosani 14 May 27 – Oct 21 1 in 504
2 Locomotiva Timisoara 9 May 27 – Sep 16 1 in 35
3 Dynamo Brasov 7 Sep 23 – Nov 4 1 in 18
4 Flamura Rosie Arad 5 Apr 15 – Jun 3 1 in 16
5 Stiinta Timisoara 8 Mar 25 – Jun 3 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dynamo Bucuresti 1515 32 -5 7 6.0 +1.0
CCA Bucuresti 1555 32 +35 6 6.5 -0.5
Progresul Oradea 1467 26 +27 6 5.0 +1.0
Flamura Rosie Arad 1479 24 -3 5 6.1 -1.1
Flacra Bucuresti 1369 22 -34 6 5.0 +1.0
Stiinta Cluj 1366 21 -17 4 4.7 -0.7
Locomotiva Timisoara 1387 20 -7 5 5.2 -0.2
Flacra Petrosani 1397 20 +0 5 4.5 +0.5
Dynamo Brasov 1369 19 -27 2 4.5 -2.5
Locomotiva Bucuresti 1397 16 +13 6 4.6 +1.4
Locomotiva Targu Mures 1359 16 +1 4 4.3 -0.3
Stiinta Timisoara 1359 16 +16 4 3.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CB DB DB FB FP FRA LB LTM LT PO SC ST
CCA Bucuresti —
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.56
0-2-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.74
2-0-0
3.56
Dynamo Brasov
0-1-1
2.06
 —
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
2.77
0-2-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.78
2-0-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.45
0-0-2
3.10
1-0-1
3.00
Dynamo Bucuresti
1-0-1
2.44
2-0-0
2.80
 —
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
3.01
0-0-2
3.04
1-1-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.38
Flacra Bucuresti
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.33
 —
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.60
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
3.16
Flacra Petrosani
0-2-0
1.89
0-2-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.86
 —
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.96
0-0-2
3.06
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
3.20
Flamura Rosie Arad
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
3.03
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.04
 —
0-2-0
3.02
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.92
0-0-2
2.87
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.20
Locomotiva Bucuresti
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.44
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.47
0-2-0
2.41
 —
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.95
Locomotiva Targu Mures
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
2.64
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-2
2.83
2-0-0
2.36
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
2.68
 —
0-1-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.28
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.90
Locomotiva Timisoara
0-1-1
2.01
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.43
0-2-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
2.86
 —
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.02
Progresul Oradea
0-1-1
2.35
0-2-0
2.98
2-0-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
2.55
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.01
 —
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.44
Stiinta Cluj
1-0-1
1.70
2-0-0
2.32
0-1-1
1.83
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.16
1-1-0
2.38
0-0-2
2.46
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.08
 —
0-2-0
2.86
Stiinta Timisoara
0-0-2
1.90
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.00
0-2-0
2.57
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +5.1
Allowed 0.32 -5.2
Differential 0.95 +4.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.85%9.09%3.79%2.65%1.14%1.14%27.65%
19.09%9.85%6.06%2.27%1.14%1.14%29.55%
23.79%6.06%6.06%4.17%2.27%0.76%23.11%
32.65%2.27%4.17%1.52%——10.61%
41.14%1.14%2.27%——0.76%5.30%
5+1.14%1.14%0.76%—0.76%—3.79%
Total27.65%29.55%23.11%10.61%5.30%3.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.49 1.49 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.39 1.87
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
113.64%18.18%—4.55%——36.36%
29.09%13.64%———4.55%27.27%
39.09%—————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total50.00%36.36%4.55%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 0.86 +1.09
SD 1.79 1.39 2.35
CV 0.91 1.61 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
19.09%18.18%9.09%———36.36%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3——13.64%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%36.36%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.68 -0.45
SD 1.02 1.17 1.34
CV 0.83 0.70 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——4.55%——13.64%
113.64%—9.09%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total31.82%18.18%36.36%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.32 +1.05
SD 1.76 1.09 1.89
CV 0.74 0.82 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
1—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
2—18.18%—9.09%4.55%—31.82%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total18.18%36.36%18.18%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.82 -0.18
SD 1.36 1.62 2.15
CV 0.83 0.89 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%9.09%—4.55%—45.45%
19.09%22.73%4.55%———36.36%
2———————
3——9.09%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%45.45%22.73%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.09 -0.05
SD 1.43 0.97 1.79
CV 1.37 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
19.09%———4.55%—13.64%
24.55%4.55%27.27%4.55%——40.91%
313.64%4.55%————18.18%
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%13.64%36.36%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.41 +0.27
SD 1.17 1.40 1.64
CV 0.70 1.00 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%————27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%—9.09%36.36%
29.09%4.55%9.09%13.64%——36.36%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%22.73%18.18%18.18%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.59 -0.50
SD 0.81 1.56 1.50
CV 0.74 0.98 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
118.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
2———13.64%4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%18.18%13.64%27.27%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.64 -0.45
SD 1.14 1.43 1.97
CV 0.96 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%———4.55%36.36%
113.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
2—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.68 -0.41
SD 1.32 1.81 1.79
CV 1.03 1.08 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
14.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+—4.55%——9.09%—13.64%
Total18.18%31.82%31.82%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.64 +0.45
SD 1.72 1.26 1.65
CV 0.82 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
14.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
24.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%40.91%22.73%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.64 -0.18
SD 1.01 1.18 1.50
CV 0.69 0.72 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%45.45%
19.09%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—31.82%
29.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%27.27%18.18%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.55 -0.64
SD 1.19 1.57 2.06
CV 1.31 1.01 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
CCA Bucuresti 1555 32 26.77 +5.23 88.0% 16 19 24 27 30 34 35
Dynamo Bucuresti 1515 32 24.48 +7.52 99.0% 16 17 22 24 27 31 33
Flamura Rosie Arad 1479 24 23.26 +0.74 59.0% 14 17 21 23 26 28 33
Progresul Oradea 1467 26 23.38 +2.62 81.0% 17 18 20 23 26 29 32
Flacra Petrosani 1397 20 22.08 -2.08 37.0% 14 17 19 22 24 28 29
Locomotiva Bucuresti 1397 16 20.02 -4.02 13.0% 10 14 18 20 22 25 33
Locomotiva Timisoara 1387 20 21.73 -1.73 42.0% 12 15 19 22 25 27 31
Dynamo Brasov 1369 19 21.99 -2.99 23.0% 13 17 20 22 24 27 30
Flacra Bucuresti 1369 22 21.22 +0.78 63.0% 14 15 18 21 23 28 32
Stiinta Cluj 1366 21 19.00 +2.00 78.0% 10 13 17 19 21 25 30
Stiinta Timisoara 1359 16 19.47 -3.47 22.0% 12 13 17 20 22 24 27
Locomotiva Targu Mures 1359 16 20.60 -4.60 14.0% 10 15 19 21 23 25 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 34.5% * Clear Edge: 34.5% to 50.5% * Strong Edge: 50.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.18%
No Edge
45.45%27.27%27.27%
Elo Value
Home Edge
153 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
063.88400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.18 * Runaway: 0.18 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.0
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
CCA Bucuresti, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.41 * Lucky: 4.41 to 5.88 * Wild Swing: 5.88 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.17 * Close: 2.17 to 3.26 * Off: 3.26 to 4.35 * Way Off: 4.35 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.67 points
Some Luck
03.679
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.726
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Dynamo Bucuresti
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
13.00%
Locomotiva Bucuresti
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.4 * Strong Separation: 1.4 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 66% * Very Frequent: 66% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Top-Heavy
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 68.01
1.40
Strong Separation
0.751.151.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%61%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
76%
Even
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.5 * Notable Separation: 0.5 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.51 * Strong Carryover: 0.51 to 0.66 * Near-Lock: 0.66 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 17% * Shaky Favorites: 17% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.98
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
-0.06
Weak Carryover
00.370.510.661
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.76
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.098
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
CCA Bucuresti44.00%18.00%7.00%15.00%2.00%9.00%———2.00%2.00%1.00%
Dynamo Bucuresti17.00%18.00%13.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Progresul Oradea11.00%11.00%16.00%17.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%9.00%2.00%1.00%
Flamura Rosie Arad6.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%13.00%5.00%13.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%1.00%
Flacra Bucuresti4.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%14.00%8.00%8.00%16.00%6.00%
Stiinta Cluj3.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%8.00%14.00%19.00%19.00%
Flacra Petrosani6.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%
Locomotiva Timisoara4.00%9.00%13.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%5.00%9.00%
Dynamo Brasov4.00%3.00%10.00%14.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%15.00%3.00%10.00%4.00%
Locomotiva Targu Mures—3.00%9.00%4.00%15.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%9.00%14.00%
Locomotiva Bucuresti1.00%5.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%9.00%15.00%13.00%11.00%16.00%
Stiinta Timisoara—1.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%24.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
CCA Bucuresti 97.00% 3.00%
Dynamo Bucuresti 97.00% 3.00%
Progresul Oradea 97.00% 3.00%
Flamura Rosie Arad 92.00% 8.00%
Flacra Petrosani 88.00% 12.00%
Dynamo Brasov 86.00% 14.00%
Locomotiva Timisoara 86.00% 14.00%
Flacra Bucuresti 78.00% 22.00%
Locomotiva Targu Mures 77.00% 23.00%
Locomotiva Bucuresti 73.00% 27.00%
Stiinta Timisoara 67.00% 33.00%
Stiinta Cluj 62.00% 38.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1951-03-25 Flacra Bucuresti D 1-155.8 1436 1403 52.30% 28.35% 19.35%+0.64 -1.7 1
1951-03-25 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-155.8 1403 1436 19.35% 28.35% 52.30%-0.64 +1.7 1
1951-03-25 Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-150.5 1425 1411 50.22% 28.55% 21.23%+0.51 -11.6 0
1951-03-25 @ Dynamo Brasov W 1-050.5 1411 1425 21.23% 28.55% 50.22%-0.51 +11.6 2
1951-03-25 Stiinta Cluj W 2-143.0 1431 1348 57.19% 27.65% 15.16%+0.96 +4.3 2
1951-03-25 @ CCA Bucuresti L 1-243.0 1348 1431 15.16% 27.65% 57.19%-0.96 -4.3 0
1951-03-25 Progresul Oradea W 3-251.6 1431 1424 49.51% 28.61% 21.88%+0.47 +5.5 2
1951-03-25 @ Flacra Petrosani L 2-351.6 1424 1431 21.88% 28.61% 49.51%-0.47 -5.5 0
1951-03-25 Locomotiva Targu Mures L 1-352.9 1443 1417 51.53% 28.43% 20.04%+0.59 -19.4 0
1951-03-25 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti W 3-152.9 1417 1443 20.04% 28.43% 51.53%-0.59 +19.4 2
1951-03-25 Stiinta Timisoara D 2-260.8 1443 1406 52.71% 28.31% 18.99%+0.66 -1.3 1
1951-03-25 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 2-260.8 1406 1443 18.99% 28.31% 52.71%-0.66 +1.3 1
1951-03-31 Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-359.5 1424 1423 48.73% 28.66% 22.60%+0.42 -10.1 0
1951-03-31 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti W 3-259.5 1423 1424 22.60% 28.66% 48.73%-0.42 +10.1 4
1951-04-01 Flamura Rosie Arad W 2-040.3 1418 1442 45.80% 28.82% 25.38%+0.26 +13.0 2
1951-04-01 @ Progresul Oradea L 0-240.3 1442 1418 25.38% 28.82% 45.80%-0.26 -13.0 1
1951-04-01 CCA Bucuresti L 0-345.4 1436 1436 48.71% 28.66% 22.62%+0.42 -30.9 2
1951-04-01 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-045.4 1436 1436 22.62% 28.66% 48.71%-0.42 +31.0 4
1951-04-01 Flacra Petrosani W 2-148.2 1405 1437 44.79% 28.86% 26.36%+0.21 +6.7 3
1951-04-01 @ Flacra Bucuresti L 1-248.2 1437 1405 26.36% 28.86% 44.79%-0.21 -6.7 2
1951-04-01 Dynamo Brasov L 1-254.0 1407 1414 47.85% 28.72% 23.43%+0.37 -10.5 1
1951-04-01 @ Stiinta Timisoara W 2-154.0 1414 1407 23.43% 28.72% 47.85%-0.37 +10.5 2
1951-04-01 Locomotiva Timisoara L 1-249.9 1344 1435 36.90% 28.90% 34.21%-0.18 -8.5 0
1951-04-01 @ Stiinta Cluj W 2-149.9 1435 1344 34.21% 28.90% 36.90%+0.18 +8.5 3
1951-04-08 Locomotiva Targu Mures D 1-155.7 1431 1405 51.47% 28.44% 20.09%+0.59 -1.6 3
1951-04-08 @ Progresul Oradea D 1-155.7 1405 1431 20.09% 28.44% 51.47%-0.59 +1.6 3
1951-04-08 Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-151.6 1443 1429 50.27% 28.55% 21.18%+0.51 -11.6 3
1951-04-08 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-051.6 1429 1443 21.18% 28.55% 50.27%-0.51 +11.6 3
1951-04-08 Stiinta Timisoara W 4-139.7 1433 1396 52.61% 28.32% 19.08%+0.66 +12.7 6
1951-04-08 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-439.7 1396 1433 19.08% 28.32% 52.61%-0.66 -12.7 1
1951-04-08 Dynamo Brasov W 3-036.8 1466 1424 53.23% 28.24% 18.53%+0.69 +14.7 6
1951-04-08 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-336.8 1424 1466 18.53% 28.24% 53.23%-0.69 -14.7 2
1951-04-08 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 1-042.0 1430 1414 50.48% 28.53% 20.99%+0.53 +5.9 4
1951-04-08 @ Flacra Petrosani L 0-142.0 1414 1430 20.99% 28.53% 50.48%-0.53 -5.9 0
1951-04-08 Flacra Bucuresti W 2-147.8 1335 1411 38.95% 28.92% 32.12%-0.08 +7.7 2
1951-04-08 @ Stiinta Cluj L 1-247.8 1411 1335 32.12% 28.92% 38.95%+0.08 -7.7 3
1951-04-15 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-250.8 1409 1407 48.91% 28.65% 22.44%+0.43 +5.6 4
1951-04-15 @ Dynamo Brasov L 2-350.8 1407 1409 22.44% 28.65% 48.91%-0.43 -5.6 3
1951-04-15 Stiinta Cluj W 4-136.9 1436 1343 58.06% 27.49% 14.45%+1.03 +10.0 6
1951-04-15 @ Flacra Petrosani L 1-436.9 1343 1436 14.45% 27.49% 58.06%-1.03 -10.0 2
1951-04-15 Progresul Oradea W 2-147.7 1404 1429 45.57% 28.83% 25.60%+0.25 +6.5 5
1951-04-15 @ Flacra Bucuresti L 1-247.7 1429 1404 25.60% 28.83% 45.57%-0.25 -6.5 3
1951-04-15 CCA Bucuresti L 0-147.2 1384 1481 36.04% 28.88% 35.09%-0.22 -8.9 1
1951-04-15 @ Stiinta Timisoara W 1-047.2 1481 1384 35.09% 28.88% 36.04%+0.22 +8.9 8
1951-04-15 Locomotiva Timisoara L 2-358.5 1408 1432 45.76% 28.82% 25.42%+0.26 -9.6 0
1951-04-15 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti W 3-258.5 1432 1408 25.42% 28.82% 45.76%-0.26 +9.6 5
1951-04-15 Dynamo Bucuresti D 2-261.8 1440 1446 48.02% 28.71% 23.27%+0.38 -0.9 4
1951-04-15 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 2-261.8 1446 1440 23.27% 28.71% 48.02%-0.38 +0.9 7
1951-04-22 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 5-138.5 1423 1398 51.39% 28.44% 20.17%+0.58 +17.2 5
1951-04-22 @ Progresul Oradea L 1-538.5 1398 1423 20.17% 28.44% 51.39%-0.58 -17.1 0
1951-04-22 Flacra Petrosani L 0-151.4 1441 1446 48.07% 28.70% 23.22%+0.39 -11.2 5
1951-04-22 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-051.4 1446 1441 23.22% 28.70% 48.07%-0.39 +11.2 8
1951-04-22 Stiinta Timisoara W 4-033.6 1401 1375 51.56% 28.43% 20.01%+0.59 +20.5 5
1951-04-22 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-433.6 1375 1401 20.01% 28.43% 51.56%-0.59 -20.5 1
1951-04-22 Flacra Bucuresti W 1-041.7 1446 1410 52.59% 28.32% 19.09%+0.65 +5.5 9
1951-04-22 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-141.7 1410 1446 19.09% 28.32% 52.59%-0.65 -5.5 5
1951-04-22 Flamura Rosie Arad W 2-040.1 1490 1439 54.06% 28.14% 17.80%+0.75 +9.8 10
1951-04-22 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-240.1 1439 1490 17.80% 28.14% 54.06%-0.75 -9.8 4
1951-04-22 Dynamo Brasov W 3-252.6 1333 1415 38.14% 28.92% 32.94%-0.12 +7.5 4
1951-04-22 @ Stiinta Cluj L 2-352.6 1415 1333 32.94% 28.92% 38.14%+0.12 -7.5 4
1951-04-29 Stiinta Timisoara W 5-032.6 1457 1354 58.89% 27.32% 13.80%+1.09 +18.4 10
1951-04-29 @ Flacra Petrosani L 0-532.6 1354 1457 13.80% 27.32% 58.89%-1.09 -18.4 1
1951-05-06 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 4-247.6 1430 1422 49.57% 28.60% 21.83%+0.47 +8.9 7
1951-05-06 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 2-447.6 1422 1430 21.83% 28.60% 49.57%-0.47 -9.0 5
1951-05-06 Progresul Oradea D 2-260.6 1408 1440 44.73% 28.86% 26.41%+0.21 -0.7 5
1951-05-06 @ Dynamo Brasov D 2-260.6 1440 1408 26.41% 28.86% 44.73%-0.21 +0.7 6
1951-05-06 Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-149.0 1500 1452 53.79% 28.17% 18.03%+0.73 +5.0 12
1951-05-06 @ CCA Bucuresti L 1-249.0 1452 1500 18.03% 28.17% 53.79%-0.73 -5.0 9
1951-05-06 Locomotiva Bucuresti L 0-246.2 1405 1381 51.28% 28.45% 20.26%+0.57 -22.3 5
1951-05-06 @ Flacra Bucuresti W 2-046.2 1381 1405 20.26% 28.45% 51.28%-0.57 +22.3 2
1951-05-06 Stiinta Cluj D 2-259.2 1430 1340 57.73% 27.55% 14.72%+1.00 -1.7 5
1951-05-06 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 2-259.2 1340 1430 14.72% 27.55% 57.73%-1.00 +1.7 5
1951-05-27 Flacra Petrosani W 1-046.2 1413 1476 40.81% 28.93% 30.26%+0.01 +7.8 7
1951-05-27 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-146.2 1476 1413 30.26% 28.93% 40.81%-0.01 -7.8 10
1951-05-27 Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-043.7 1407 1439 44.76% 28.86% 26.38%+0.21 +7.1 7
1951-05-27 @ Dynamo Brasov L 0-143.7 1439 1407 26.38% 28.86% 44.76%-0.21 -7.1 7
1951-05-27 Progresul Oradea L 1-256.3 1447 1441 49.35% 28.62% 22.03%+0.46 -10.8 9
1951-05-27 @ Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-156.3 1441 1447 22.03% 28.62% 49.35%-0.46 +10.8 8
1951-05-27 Stiinta Cluj D 0-048.8 1336 1342 47.96% 28.71% 23.33%+0.38 -1.4 2
1951-05-27 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 0-048.8 1342 1336 23.33% 28.71% 47.96%-0.38 +1.4 6
1951-05-27 CCA Bucuresti L 1-252.9 1403 1505 35.44% 28.86% 35.70%-0.25 -8.3 2
1951-05-27 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti W 2-152.9 1505 1403 35.70% 28.86% 35.44%+0.25 +8.3 14
1951-05-27 Flacra Bucuresti D 0-051.2 1428 1382 53.55% 28.21% 18.25%+0.72 -2.0 6
1951-05-27 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 0-051.2 1382 1428 18.25% 28.21% 53.55%-0.72 +2.0 6
1951-06-03 CCA Bucuresti D 1-159.7 1451 1513 40.95% 28.93% 30.12%+0.01 -0.5 9
1951-06-03 @ Progresul Oradea D 1-159.7 1513 1451 30.12% 28.93% 40.95%-0.01 +0.5 15
1951-06-03 Dynamo Bucuresti D 0-052.6 1432 1436 48.13% 28.70% 23.17%+0.39 -1.4 8
1951-06-03 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-052.6 1436 1432 23.17% 28.70% 48.13%-0.39 +1.4 10
1951-06-03 Dynamo Brasov D 1-157.1 1468 1414 54.37% 28.10% 17.53%+0.77 -1.9 11
1951-06-03 @ Flacra Petrosani D 1-157.1 1414 1468 17.53% 28.10% 54.37%-0.77 +1.9 8
1951-06-03 Stiinta Timisoara W 2-142.9 1384 1335 53.98% 28.15% 17.87%+0.74 +4.9 8
1951-06-03 @ Flacra Bucuresti L 1-242.9 1335 1384 17.87% 28.15% 53.98%-0.74 -4.9 2
1951-06-03 Flamura Rosie Arad D 0-051.3 1395 1426 44.90% 28.85% 26.24%+0.21 -1.0 3
1951-06-03 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 0-051.3 1426 1395 26.24% 28.85% 44.90%-0.21 +1.0 7
1951-06-03 Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-145.6 1343 1421 38.81% 28.92% 32.27%-0.09 -9.4 6
1951-06-03 @ Stiinta Cluj W 1-045.6 1421 1343 32.27% 28.92% 38.81%+0.09 +9.4 9
1951-06-10 Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-255.3 1430 1427 48.98% 28.64% 22.37%+0.44 -10.7 9
1951-06-10 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-155.3 1427 1430 22.37% 28.64% 48.98%-0.44 +10.7 9
1951-06-10 Flacra Bucuresti W 3-249.8 1416 1389 51.57% 28.43% 20.00%+0.59 +5.1 10
1951-06-10 @ Dynamo Brasov L 2-349.8 1389 1416 20.00% 28.43% 51.57%-0.59 -5.1 8
1951-06-10 Flacra Petrosani W 4-038.9 1438 1466 45.25% 28.84% 25.91%+0.23 +25.0 12
1951-06-10 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-438.9 1466 1438 25.91% 28.84% 45.25%-0.23 -25.0 11
1951-06-10 Locomotiva Timisoara W 7-038.7 1514 1431 57.14% 27.66% 15.20%+0.96 +27.5 17
1951-06-10 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-738.7 1431 1514 15.20% 27.66% 57.14%-0.96 -27.5 8
1951-06-10 Progresul Oradea W 2-042.3 1330 1451 32.73% 28.76% 38.50%-0.37 +17.6 4
1951-06-10 @ Stiinta Timisoara L 0-242.3 1451 1330 38.50% 28.76% 32.73%+0.37 -17.6 9
1951-06-10 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 2-146.9 1334 1394 41.16% 28.93% 29.92%+0.02 +7.3 8
1951-06-10 @ Stiinta Cluj L 1-246.9 1394 1334 29.92% 28.93% 41.16%-0.02 -7.3 3
1951-06-16 Flacra Bucuresti D 0-055.2 1541 1384 63.19% 26.20% 10.60%+1.44 -3.2 18
1951-06-16 @ CCA Bucuresti D 0-055.2 1384 1541 10.60% 26.20% 63.19%-1.44 +3.2 9
1951-06-17 Stiinta Cluj W 3-139.4 1433 1341 57.97% 27.50% 14.53%+1.02 +7.1 11
1951-06-17 @ Progresul Oradea L 1-339.4 1341 1433 14.53% 27.50% 57.97%-1.02 -7.1 8
1951-06-17 Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-359.0 1419 1463 43.36% 28.90% 27.74%+0.14 -9.2 9
1951-06-17 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-259.0 1463 1419 27.74% 28.90% 43.36%-0.14 +9.2 14
1951-06-17 Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-049.8 1347 1403 41.74% 28.92% 29.34%+0.05 -0.7 5
1951-06-17 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 0-049.8 1403 1347 29.34% 28.92% 41.74%-0.05 +0.7 9
1951-06-17 Dynamo Brasov L 2-357.3 1387 1421 44.48% 28.87% 26.65%+0.19 -9.3 3
1951-06-17 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti W 3-257.3 1421 1387 26.65% 28.87% 44.48%-0.19 +9.4 12
1951-06-17 Flacra Petrosani W 2-040.2 1438 1441 48.26% 28.69% 23.05%+0.40 +12.0 11
1951-06-17 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-240.2 1441 1438 23.05% 28.69% 48.26%-0.40 -12.0 11
1951-06-24 Locomotiva Timisoara W 5-454.8 1440 1404 52.65% 28.31% 19.04%+0.66 +4.7 13
1951-06-24 @ Progresul Oradea L 4-554.8 1404 1440 19.04% 28.31% 52.65%-0.66 -4.7 9
1951-06-24 Flamura Rosie Arad D 2-261.6 1430 1450 46.34% 28.80% 24.87%+0.29 -0.8 13
1951-06-24 @ Dynamo Brasov D 2-261.6 1450 1430 24.87% 28.80% 46.34%-0.29 +0.8 12
1951-06-24 Stiinta Cluj D 3-364.1 1472 1334 61.75% 26.62% 11.63%+1.32 -1.7 15
1951-06-24 @ Dynamo Bucuresti D 3-364.1 1334 1472 11.63% 26.62% 61.75%-1.32 +1.7 9
1951-06-24 CCA Bucuresti D 1-159.8 1429 1538 34.38% 28.83% 36.79%-0.30 +0.1 12
1951-06-24 @ Flacra Petrosani D 1-159.8 1538 1429 36.79% 28.83% 34.38%+0.30 -0.1 19
1951-06-24 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 4-035.7 1388 1410 45.93% 28.82% 25.26%+0.27 +24.5 11
1951-06-24 @ Flacra Bucuresti L 0-435.7 1410 1388 25.26% 28.82% 45.93%-0.27 -24.5 9
1951-06-24 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 1-041.1 1347 1377 44.97% 28.85% 26.18%+0.22 +7.0 7
1951-06-24 @ Stiinta Timisoara L 0-141.1 1377 1347 26.18% 28.85% 44.97%-0.22 -7.0 3
1951-08-25 Dynamo Brasov W 5-244.6 1470 1430 53.04% 28.27% 18.70%+0.68 +10.8 17
1951-08-25 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-544.6 1430 1470 18.70% 28.27% 53.04%-0.68 -10.8 13
1951-08-26 Flacra Petrosani W 1-042.8 1445 1429 50.46% 28.53% 21.01%+0.52 +6.0 15
1951-08-26 @ Progresul Oradea L 0-142.8 1429 1445 21.01% 28.53% 50.46%-0.52 -5.9 12
1951-08-26 Locomotiva Bucuresti L 1-253.4 1386 1370 50.37% 28.54% 21.09%+0.52 -11.0 9
1951-08-26 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-153.4 1370 1386 21.09% 28.54% 50.37%-0.52 +11.0 5
1951-08-26 Locomotiva Timisoara D 3-363.6 1412 1399 50.10% 28.56% 21.34%+0.50 -0.9 12
1951-08-26 @ Flacra Bucuresti D 3-363.6 1399 1412 21.34% 28.56% 50.10%-0.50 +0.9 10
1951-08-26 Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-339.9 1354 1451 36.13% 28.88% 34.99%-0.21 -24.4 7
1951-08-26 @ Stiinta Timisoara W 3-039.9 1451 1354 34.99% 28.88% 36.13%+0.21 +24.4 14
1951-08-26 CCA Bucuresti W 3-152.4 1336 1538 22.98% 27.90% 49.12%-0.90 +18.5 11
1951-08-26 @ Stiinta Cluj L 1-352.4 1538 1336 49.12% 27.90% 22.98%+0.90 -18.4 19
1951-09-01 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 5-137.4 1481 1381 58.63% 27.37% 14.00%+1.07 +12.6 19
1951-09-01 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-537.4 1381 1481 14.00% 27.37% 58.63%-1.07 -12.6 5
1951-09-02 Stiinta Cluj L 1-351.0 1400 1354 53.57% 28.20% 18.22%+0.72 -20.1 10
1951-09-02 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 3-151.0 1354 1400 18.22% 28.20% 53.57%-0.72 +20.1 13
1951-09-02 Stiinta Timisoara L 0-247.1 1419 1329 57.72% 27.55% 14.73%+1.00 -24.9 13
1951-09-02 @ Dynamo Brasov W 2-047.1 1329 1419 14.73% 27.55% 57.72%-1.00 +24.9 9
1951-09-02 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-036.4 1519 1375 62.28% 26.47% 11.25%+1.36 +6.5 21
1951-09-02 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-236.4 1375 1519 11.25% 26.47% 62.28%-1.36 -6.5 9
1951-09-02 Flacra Bucuresti D 1-155.6 1423 1411 49.96% 28.57% 21.47%+0.50 -1.4 13
1951-09-02 @ Flacra Petrosani D 1-155.6 1411 1423 21.47% 28.57% 49.96%-0.50 +1.4 13
1951-09-02 Progresul Oradea L 4-567.1 1475 1451 51.27% 28.46% 20.27%+0.57 -10.2 14
1951-09-02 @ Flamura Rosie Arad W 5-467.1 1451 1475 20.27% 28.46% 51.27%-0.57 +10.2 17
1951-09-09 Progresul Oradea W 1-045.7 1368 1461 36.64% 28.89% 34.47%-0.19 +8.6 11
1951-09-09 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-145.7 1461 1368 34.47% 28.89% 36.64%+0.19 -8.6 17
1951-09-09 CCA Bucuresti D 1-158.1 1394 1526 31.29% 28.69% 40.02%-0.45 +0.4 14
1951-09-09 @ Dynamo Brasov D 1-158.1 1526 1394 40.02% 28.69% 31.29%+0.45 -0.4 22
1951-09-09 Stiinta Cluj W 4-245.1 1413 1374 52.81% 28.29% 18.90%+0.67 +8.0 15
1951-09-09 @ Flacra Bucuresti L 2-445.1 1374 1413 18.90% 28.29% 52.81%-0.67 -8.0 13
1951-09-09 Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-241.4 1354 1494 30.34% 28.63% 41.03%-0.49 -14.8 9
1951-09-09 @ Stiinta Timisoara W 2-041.4 1494 1354 41.03% 28.63% 30.34%+0.49 +14.8 21
1951-09-09 Flacra Petrosani D 0-050.5 1369 1422 42.10% 28.92% 28.98%+0.07 -0.7 6
1951-09-09 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 0-050.5 1422 1369 28.98% 28.92% 42.10%-0.07 +0.7 14
1951-09-09 Locomotiva Timisoara D 2-260.9 1465 1380 57.31% 27.63% 15.06%+0.97 -1.7 15
1951-09-09 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 2-260.9 1380 1465 15.06% 27.63% 57.31%-0.97 +1.7 11
1951-09-16 Flacra Bucuresti W 3-251.4 1453 1421 52.17% 28.36% 19.46%+0.63 +5.0 19
1951-09-16 @ Progresul Oradea L 2-351.4 1421 1453 19.46% 28.36% 52.17%-0.63 -5.0 15
1951-09-16 Locomotiva Bucuresti D 2-258.5 1382 1368 50.16% 28.55% 21.28%+0.51 -1.1 12
1951-09-16 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 2-258.5 1368 1382 21.28% 28.55% 50.16%-0.51 +1.1 7
1951-09-16 Dynamo Brasov L 0-148.0 1377 1394 46.56% 28.79% 24.65%+0.30 -10.9 11
1951-09-16 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 1-048.0 1394 1377 24.65% 28.79% 46.56%-0.30 +10.9 16
1951-09-16 Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-357.2 1508 1463 53.52% 28.21% 18.27%+0.71 -20.1 21
1951-09-16 @ Dynamo Bucuresti W 3-157.2 1463 1508 18.27% 28.21% 53.52%-0.71 +20.1 17
1951-09-16 Stiinta Timisoara W 1-038.1 1525 1340 65.28% 25.51% 9.22%+1.63 +2.8 24
1951-09-16 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-138.1 1340 1525 9.22% 25.51% 65.28%-1.63 -2.8 9
1951-09-16 Flacra Petrosani W 2-039.8 1366 1422 41.71% 28.92% 29.37%+0.05 +14.5 15
1951-09-16 @ Stiinta Cluj L 0-239.8 1422 1366 29.37% 28.92% 41.71%-0.05 -14.5 14
1951-09-20 Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-454.6 1416 1488 39.47% 28.93% 31.60%-0.06 -13.9 15
1951-09-20 @ Flacra Bucuresti W 4-254.6 1488 1416 31.60% 28.93% 39.47%+0.06 +13.9 23
1951-09-22 Progresul Oradea W 2-042.0 1369 1458 37.25% 28.90% 33.85%-0.16 +16.0 9
1951-09-22 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti L 0-242.0 1458 1369 33.85% 28.90% 37.25%+0.16 -16.0 19
1951-09-23 Stiinta Cluj L 1-254.2 1405 1381 51.35% 28.45% 20.20%+0.58 -11.2 16
1951-09-23 @ Dynamo Brasov W 2-154.2 1381 1405 20.20% 28.45% 51.35%-0.58 +11.2 17
1951-09-23 Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-149.8 1408 1380 51.66% 28.42% 19.92%+0.60 -11.9 14
1951-09-23 @ Flacra Petrosani W 1-049.8 1380 1408 19.92% 28.42% 51.66%-0.60 +11.9 14
1951-09-23 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 1-040.8 1337 1366 45.12% 28.85% 26.03%+0.23 +7.0 11
1951-09-23 @ Stiinta Timisoara L 0-140.8 1366 1337 26.03% 28.85% 45.12%-0.23 -7.0 11
1951-09-23 CCA Bucuresti L 0-154.4 1483 1528 43.11% 28.90% 27.99%+0.12 -10.2 17
1951-09-23 @ Flamura Rosie Arad W 1-054.4 1528 1483 27.99% 28.90% 43.11%-0.12 +10.2 26
1951-09-30 Dynamo Brasov D 0-051.9 1442 1394 53.77% 28.18% 18.06%+0.73 -2.0 20
1951-09-30 @ Progresul Oradea D 0-051.9 1394 1442 18.06% 28.18% 53.77%-0.73 +2.0 17
1951-09-30 Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-049.8 1359 1392 44.61% 28.86% 26.53%+0.20 -1.0 12
1951-09-30 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures D 0-049.8 1392 1359 26.53% 28.86% 44.61%-0.20 +1.0 15
1951-09-30 CCA Bucuresti W 6-250.1 1502 1538 44.23% 28.88% 26.90%+0.18 +18.2 25
1951-09-30 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-650.1 1538 1502 26.90% 28.88% 44.23%-0.18 -18.2 26
1951-09-30 Flacra Petrosani D 1-153.5 1344 1396 42.20% 28.92% 28.88%+0.08 -0.6 12
1951-09-30 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 1-153.5 1396 1344 28.88% 28.92% 42.20%-0.08 +0.6 15
1951-09-30 Flacra Bucuresti D 0-050.5 1385 1402 46.66% 28.78% 24.55%+0.31 -1.2 10
1951-09-30 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 0-050.5 1402 1385 24.55% 28.78% 46.66%-0.31 +1.2 16
1951-09-30 Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-147.9 1392 1473 38.32% 28.92% 32.76%-0.11 -9.3 17
1951-09-30 @ Stiinta Cluj W 1-047.9 1473 1392 32.76% 28.92% 38.32%+0.11 +9.3 19
1951-10-07 Dynamo Bucuresti W 3-043.6 1440 1520 38.38% 28.92% 32.70%-0.11 +22.7 22
1951-10-07 @ Progresul Oradea L 0-343.6 1520 1440 32.70% 28.92% 38.38%+0.11 -22.7 25
1951-10-07 Dynamo Brasov W 1-041.3 1393 1396 48.30% 28.69% 23.01%+0.40 +6.4 17
1951-10-07 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-141.3 1396 1393 23.01% 28.69% 48.30%-0.40 -6.4 17
1951-10-07 Locomotiva Bucuresti L 0-155.4 1520 1384 61.65% 26.65% 11.70%+1.31 -14.0 26
1951-10-07 @ CCA Bucuresti W 1-055.4 1384 1520 11.70% 26.65% 61.65%-1.31 +14.0 12
1951-10-07 Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-149.5 1396 1358 52.83% 28.29% 18.88%+0.67 -12.2 15
1951-10-07 @ Flacra Petrosani W 1-049.5 1358 1396 18.88% 28.29% 52.83%-0.67 +12.2 14
1951-10-07 Flamura Rosie Arad W 4-145.5 1403 1482 38.55% 28.92% 32.53%-0.10 +19.1 18
1951-10-07 @ Flacra Bucuresti L 1-445.5 1482 1403 32.53% 28.92% 38.55%+0.10 -19.1 19
1951-10-07 Stiinta Timisoara D 1-153.4 1383 1343 52.94% 28.28% 18.78%+0.68 -1.7 18
1951-10-07 @ Stiinta Cluj D 1-153.4 1343 1383 18.78% 28.28% 52.94%-0.68 +1.7 13
1951-10-13 Progresul Oradea W 4-250.4 1506 1462 53.38% 28.23% 18.39%+0.71 +7.8 28
1951-10-13 @ CCA Bucuresti L 2-450.4 1462 1506 18.39% 28.23% 53.38%-0.71 -7.8 22
1951-10-14 Stiinta Cluj W 3-035.1 1370 1381 47.37% 28.75% 23.89%+0.35 +18.0 16
1951-10-14 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-335.1 1381 1370 23.89% 28.75% 47.37%-0.35 -18.0 18
1951-10-14 Flacra Petrosani D 1-154.2 1390 1384 49.24% 28.63% 22.14%+0.45 -1.3 18
1951-10-14 @ Dynamo Brasov D 1-154.2 1384 1390 22.14% 28.63% 49.24%-0.45 +1.4 16
1951-10-14 Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-041.2 1498 1400 58.47% 27.40% 14.13%+1.06 +4.2 27
1951-10-14 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-141.2 1400 1498 14.13% 27.40% 58.47%-1.06 -4.2 17
1951-10-14 Flacra Bucuresti W 5-141.1 1345 1422 38.86% 28.92% 32.22%-0.09 +24.5 15
1951-10-14 @ Stiinta Timisoara L 1-541.1 1422 1345 32.22% 28.92% 38.86%+0.09 -24.5 18
1951-10-14 Locomotiva Bucuresti D 2-261.3 1463 1398 55.50% 27.93% 16.57%+0.85 -1.5 20
1951-10-14 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 2-261.3 1398 1463 16.57% 27.93% 55.50%-0.85 +1.5 13
1951-10-21 Stiinta Timisoara W 4-244.6 1455 1369 57.35% 27.62% 15.02%+0.98 +6.6 24
1951-10-21 @ Progresul Oradea L 2-444.6 1369 1455 15.02% 27.62% 57.35%-0.98 -6.6 15
1951-10-21 CCA Bucuresti D 1-157.8 1395 1514 33.07% 28.78% 38.15%-0.36 +0.2 18
1951-10-21 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-157.8 1514 1395 38.15% 28.78% 33.07%+0.36 -0.2 29
1951-10-21 Dynamo Bucuresti D 0-053.2 1386 1502 33.41% 28.79% 37.80%-0.34 +0.2 17
1951-10-21 @ Flacra Petrosani D 0-053.2 1502 1386 37.80% 28.79% 33.41%+0.34 -0.2 28
1951-10-21 Dynamo Brasov W 2-145.4 1397 1388 49.66% 28.59% 21.74%+0.48 +5.8 20
1951-10-21 @ Flacra Bucuresti L 1-245.4 1388 1397 21.74% 28.59% 49.66%-0.48 -5.8 18
1951-10-21 Stiinta Cluj D 1-154.0 1399 1363 52.62% 28.32% 19.07%+0.66 -1.7 14
1951-10-21 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-154.0 1363 1399 19.07% 28.32% 52.62%-0.66 +1.7 19
1951-10-21 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-034.6 1462 1388 56.27% 27.81% 15.92%+0.90 +12.9 22
1951-10-21 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-334.6 1388 1462 15.92% 27.81% 56.27%-0.90 -12.9 16
1951-10-28 Stiinta Timisoara W 1-039.5 1396 1363 52.25% 28.36% 19.39%+0.63 +5.6 20
1951-10-28 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-139.5 1363 1396 19.39% 28.36% 52.25%-0.63 -5.6 15
1951-10-28 Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-154.3 1383 1398 46.86% 28.77% 24.37%+0.32 -1.1 19
1951-10-28 @ Dynamo Brasov D 1-154.3 1398 1383 24.37% 28.77% 46.86%-0.32 +1.1 15
1951-10-28 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-141.1 1502 1375 60.85% 26.86% 12.29%+1.24 +6.1 30
1951-10-28 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-341.1 1375 1502 12.29% 26.86% 60.85%-1.24 -6.1 16
1951-10-28 Flamura Rosie Arad W 3-255.5 1386 1475 37.26% 28.90% 33.84%-0.16 +7.6 19
1951-10-28 @ Flacra Petrosani L 2-355.5 1475 1386 33.84% 28.90% 37.26%+0.16 -7.6 22
1951-10-28 CCA Bucuresti L 0-643.0 1403 1514 34.18% 28.82% 37.00%-0.31 -44.8 20
1951-10-28 @ Flacra Bucuresti W 6-043.0 1514 1403 37.00% 28.82% 34.18%+0.31 +44.8 31
1951-10-28 Progresul Oradea W 1-045.8 1365 1461 36.15% 28.88% 34.97%-0.21 +8.7 21
1951-10-28 @ Stiinta Cluj L 0-145.8 1461 1365 34.97% 28.88% 36.15%+0.21 -8.7 24
1951-11-04 Progresul Oradea L 2-453.9 1401 1452 42.33% 28.92% 28.76%+0.08 -14.7 20
1951-11-04 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 4-253.9 1452 1401 28.76% 28.92% 42.33%-0.08 +14.7 26
1951-11-04 Flacra Bucuresti L 2-357.3 1369 1358 49.83% 28.58% 21.59%+0.49 -10.3 16
1951-11-04 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-257.3 1358 1369 21.59% 28.58% 49.83%-0.49 +10.3 22
1951-11-04 Flacra Petrosani D 0-056.2 1559 1394 63.80% 26.01% 10.19%+1.50 -3.3 32
1951-11-04 @ CCA Bucuresti D 0-056.2 1394 1559 10.19% 26.01% 63.80%-1.50 +3.3 20
1951-11-04 Stiinta Timisoara D 0-050.1 1399 1357 53.15% 28.25% 18.60%+0.69 -2.0 16
1951-11-04 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 0-050.1 1357 1399 18.60% 28.25% 53.15%-0.69 +2.0 16
1951-11-04 Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-250.6 1373 1508 30.96% 28.67% 40.37%-0.46 -7.5 21
1951-11-04 @ Stiinta Cluj W 2-150.6 1508 1373 40.37% 28.67% 30.96%+0.46 +7.5 32
1951-11-04 Dynamo Brasov W 3-034.3 1467 1382 57.37% 27.62% 15.01%+0.98 +12.3 24
1951-11-04 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-334.3 1382 1467 15.01% 27.62% 57.37%-0.98 -12.3 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1951-10-07 11.70% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1384 1 @ CCA Bucuresti 1520 0
2 1951-09-02 14.73% Stiinta Timisoara 1329 2 @ Dynamo Brasov 1419 0
3 1951-09-02 18.22% Stiinta Cluj 1354 3 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1400 1
4 1951-09-16 18.27% Flamura Rosie Arad 1463 3 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1508 1
5 1951-10-07 18.88% Locomotiva Targu Mures 1358 1 @ Flacra Petrosani 1396 0
6 1951-09-23 19.92% Locomotiva Timisoara 1380 1 @ Flacra Petrosani 1408 0
7 1951-03-25 20.04% Locomotiva Targu Mures 1417 3 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 1443 1
8 1951-09-23 20.20% Stiinta Cluj 1381 2 @ Dynamo Brasov 1405 1
9 1951-05-06 20.26% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1381 2 @ Flacra Bucuresti 1405 0
10 1951-09-02 20.27% Progresul Oradea 1451 5 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1475 4
11 1951-08-26 21.09% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1370 2 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1386 1
12 1951-04-08 21.18% Flamura Rosie Arad 1429 1 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1443 0
13 1951-03-25 21.23% Dynamo Bucuresti 1411 1 @ Dynamo Brasov 1425 0
14 1951-11-04 21.59% Flacra Bucuresti 1358 3 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1369 2
15 1951-05-27 22.03% Progresul Oradea 1441 2 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1447 1
16 1951-06-10 22.37% Flamura Rosie Arad 1427 2 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1430 1
17 1951-03-31 22.60% Dynamo Bucuresti 1423 3 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 1424 2
18 1951-04-01 22.62% CCA Bucuresti 1436 3 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1436 0
19 1951-08-26 22.98% @ Stiinta Cluj 1336 3 CCA Bucuresti 1538 1
20 1951-04-22 23.22% Flacra Petrosani 1446 1 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1441 0
21 1951-04-01 23.43% Dynamo Brasov 1414 2 @ Stiinta Timisoara 1407 1
22 1951-09-16 24.65% Dynamo Brasov 1394 1 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1377 0
23 1951-04-15 25.42% Locomotiva Timisoara 1432 3 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 1408 2
24 1951-06-17 26.65% Dynamo Brasov 1421 3 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 1387 2
25 1951-06-17 27.74% Dynamo Bucuresti 1463 3 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1419 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-10-28 44.77 CCA Bucuresti 6 1514 37.00% @ Flacra Bucuresti 0 1403 34.18% 28.82%
2 1951-04-01 30.95 CCA Bucuresti 3 1436 22.62% @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1436 48.71% 28.66%
3 1951-06-10 27.51 @ CCA Bucuresti 7 1514 57.14% Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1431 15.20% 27.66%
4 1951-06-10 25.01 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 4 1438 45.25% Flacra Petrosani 0 1466 25.91% 28.84%
5 1951-09-02 24.86 Stiinta Timisoara 2 1329 14.73% @ Dynamo Brasov 0 1419 57.72% 27.55%
6 1951-06-24 24.54 @ Flacra Bucuresti 4 1388 45.93% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1410 25.26% 28.82%
7 1951-10-14 24.46 @ Stiinta Timisoara 5 1345 38.86% Flacra Bucuresti 1 1422 32.22% 28.92%
8 1951-08-26 24.38 Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1451 34.99% @ Stiinta Timisoara 0 1354 36.13% 28.88%
9 1951-10-07 22.71 @ Progresul Oradea 3 1440 38.38% Dynamo Bucuresti 0 1520 32.70% 28.92%
10 1951-05-06 22.30 Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1381 20.26% @ Flacra Bucuresti 0 1405 51.28% 28.45%
11 1951-04-22 20.45 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 4 1401 51.56% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1375 20.01% 28.43%
12 1951-09-02 20.09 Stiinta Cluj 3 1354 18.22% @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1 1400 53.57% 28.20%
13 1951-09-16 20.08 Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1463 18.27% @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1508 53.52% 28.21%
14 1951-03-25 19.40 Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1417 20.04% @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 1 1443 51.53% 28.43%
15 1951-10-07 19.08 @ Flacra Bucuresti 4 1403 38.55% Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1482 32.53% 28.92%
16 1951-08-26 18.45 @ Stiinta Cluj 3 1336 22.98% CCA Bucuresti 1 1538 49.12% 27.90%
17 1951-04-29 18.37 @ Flacra Petrosani 5 1457 58.89% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1354 13.80% 27.32%
18 1951-09-30 18.19 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 6 1502 44.23% CCA Bucuresti 2 1538 26.90% 28.88%
19 1951-10-14 17.99 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1370 47.37% Stiinta Cluj 0 1381 23.89% 28.75%
20 1951-06-10 17.56 @ Stiinta Timisoara 2 1330 32.73% Progresul Oradea 0 1451 38.50% 28.76%
21 1951-04-22 17.15 @ Progresul Oradea 5 1423 51.39% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1 1398 20.17% 28.44%
22 1951-09-22 16.02 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1369 37.25% Progresul Oradea 0 1458 33.85% 28.90%
23 1951-09-09 14.76 Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1494 41.03% @ Stiinta Timisoara 0 1354 30.34% 28.63%
24 1951-04-08 14.70 @ CCA Bucuresti 3 1466 53.23% Dynamo Brasov 0 1424 18.53% 28.24%
25 1951-11-04 14.67 Progresul Oradea 4 1452 28.76% @ Locomotiva Timisoara 2 1401 42.33% 28.92%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-09-02 67.1 Progresul Oradea 5 1451 20.27% @ Flamura Rosie Arad 4 1475 51.27% 28.46%
2 1951-06-24 64.1 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1472 61.75% Stiinta Cluj 3 1334 11.63% 26.62%
3 1951-08-26 63.6 @ Flacra Bucuresti 3 1412 50.10% Locomotiva Timisoara 3 1399 21.34% 28.56%
4 1951-04-15 61.8 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1440 48.02% Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1446 23.27% 28.71%
5 1951-06-24 61.6 @ Dynamo Brasov 2 1430 46.34% Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1450 24.87% 28.80%
6 1951-10-14 61.3 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1463 55.50% Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1398 16.57% 27.93%
7 1951-09-09 60.9 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1465 57.31% Locomotiva Timisoara 2 1380 15.06% 27.63%
8 1951-03-25 60.8 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1443 52.71% Stiinta Timisoara 2 1406 18.99% 28.31%
9 1951-05-06 60.6 @ Dynamo Brasov 2 1408 44.73% Progresul Oradea 2 1440 26.41% 28.86%
10 1951-06-24 59.8 @ Flacra Petrosani 1 1429 34.38% CCA Bucuresti 1 1538 36.79% 28.83%
11 1951-06-03 59.7 @ Progresul Oradea 1 1451 40.95% CCA Bucuresti 1 1513 30.12% 28.93%
12 1951-03-31 59.5 Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1423 22.60% @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1424 48.73% 28.66%
13 1951-05-06 59.2 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1430 57.73% Stiinta Cluj 2 1340 14.72% 27.55%
14 1951-06-17 59.0 Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1463 27.74% @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1419 43.36% 28.90%
15 1951-04-15 58.5 Locomotiva Timisoara 3 1432 25.42% @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1408 45.76% 28.82%
16 1951-09-16 58.5 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 2 1382 50.16% Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1368 21.28% 28.55%
17 1951-09-09 58.1 @ Dynamo Brasov 1 1394 31.29% CCA Bucuresti 1 1526 40.02% 28.69%
18 1951-10-21 57.8 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1 1395 33.07% CCA Bucuresti 1 1514 38.15% 28.78%
19 1951-06-17 57.3 Dynamo Brasov 3 1421 26.65% @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1387 44.48% 28.87%
20 1951-11-04 57.3 Flacra Bucuresti 3 1358 21.59% @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1369 49.83% 28.58%
21 1951-09-16 57.2 Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1463 18.27% @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1508 53.52% 28.21%
22 1951-06-03 57.1 @ Flacra Petrosani 1 1468 54.37% Dynamo Brasov 1 1414 17.53% 28.10%
23 1951-05-27 56.3 Progresul Oradea 2 1441 22.03% @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1447 49.35% 28.62%
24 1951-11-04 56.2 @ CCA Bucuresti 0 1559 63.80% Flacra Petrosani 0 1394 10.19% 26.01%
25 1951-03-25 55.8 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1 1436 52.30% Flacra Bucuresti 1 1403 19.35% 28.35%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-04-29 32.6 @ Flacra Petrosani 5 1457 58.89% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1354 13.80% 27.32%
2 1951-04-22 33.6 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 4 1401 51.56% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1375 20.01% 28.43%
3 1951-11-04 34.3 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1467 57.37% Dynamo Brasov 0 1382 15.01% 27.62%
4 1951-10-21 34.6 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1462 56.27% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1388 15.92% 27.81%
5 1951-10-14 35.1 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1370 47.37% Stiinta Cluj 0 1381 23.89% 28.75%
6 1951-06-24 35.7 @ Flacra Bucuresti 4 1388 45.93% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1410 25.26% 28.82%
7 1951-09-02 36.4 @ CCA Bucuresti 2 1519 62.28% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1375 11.25% 26.47%
8 1951-04-08 36.8 @ CCA Bucuresti 3 1466 53.23% Dynamo Brasov 0 1424 18.53% 28.24%
9 1951-04-15 36.9 @ Flacra Petrosani 4 1436 58.06% Stiinta Cluj 1 1343 14.45% 27.49%
10 1951-09-01 37.4 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 5 1481 58.63% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1 1381 14.00% 27.37%
11 1951-09-16 38.1 @ CCA Bucuresti 1 1525 65.28% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1340 9.22% 25.51%
12 1951-04-22 38.5 @ Progresul Oradea 5 1423 51.39% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1 1398 20.17% 28.44%
13 1951-06-10 38.7 @ CCA Bucuresti 7 1514 57.14% Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1431 15.20% 27.66%
14 1951-06-10 38.9 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 4 1438 45.25% Flacra Petrosani 0 1466 25.91% 28.84%
15 1951-06-17 39.4 @ Progresul Oradea 3 1433 57.97% Stiinta Cluj 1 1341 14.53% 27.50%
16 1951-10-28 39.5 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1 1396 52.25% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1363 19.39% 28.36%
17 1951-04-08 39.7 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 4 1433 52.61% Stiinta Timisoara 1 1396 19.08% 28.32%
18 1951-09-16 39.8 @ Stiinta Cluj 2 1366 41.71% Flacra Petrosani 0 1422 29.37% 28.92%
19 1951-08-26 39.9 Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1451 34.99% @ Stiinta Timisoara 0 1354 36.13% 28.88%
20 1951-04-22 40.1 @ CCA Bucuresti 2 1490 54.06% Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1439 17.80% 28.14%
21 1951-06-17 40.2 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1438 48.26% Flacra Petrosani 0 1441 23.05% 28.69%
22 1951-04-01 40.3 @ Progresul Oradea 2 1418 45.80% Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1442 25.38% 28.82%
23 1951-09-23 40.8 @ Stiinta Timisoara 1 1337 45.12% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1366 26.03% 28.85%
24 1951-06-24 41.1 @ Stiinta Timisoara 1 1347 44.97% Locomotiva Bucuresti 0 1377 26.18% 28.85%
25 1951-10-14 41.1 @ Stiinta Timisoara 5 1345 38.86% Flacra Bucuresti 1 1422 32.22% 28.92%