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1952 Divizia A Season

131 games

Final

Champion

CCA Bucuresti

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

CCA Bucuresti

6.74 points above expected

36 points · 29.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Metalul Campia Turzii

5.48 points below expected

13 points · 18.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 CCA Bucuresti 22 15 6 1 36 46 16 +30 29.26 +6.74
2 Dynamo Bucuresti 22 14 6 2 34 51 23 +28 28.01 +5.99
3 Campulung Moldovenesc 21 10 4 7 24 36 25 +11 21.94 +2.06
4 Locomotiva Targu Mures 22 9 5 8 23 37 35 +2 20.33 +2.67
5 Stiinta Cluj 22 7 7 8 21 24 23 +1 19.43 +1.57
6 Progresul Oradea 22 7 7 8 21 35 36 -1 23.04 -2.04
7 Locomotiva Timisoara 22 7 7 8 21 20 31 -11 20.10 +0.90
8 Flamura Rosie Arad 22 7 6 9 20 32 34 -2 22.54 -2.54
9 Flacra Petrosani 22 5 8 9 18 24 38 -14 19.91 -1.91
10 Dynamo Brasov 21 4 8 9 16 31 39 -8 20.53 -4.53
11 Flacara Ploiesti 22 6 3 13 15 35 44 -9 18.43 -3.43
12 Metalul Campia Turzii 22 3 7 12 13 23 50 -27 18.48 -5.48

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 CCA Bucuresti 36 29.26 +6.74
2 Dynamo Bucuresti 34 28.01 +5.99
3 Locomotiva Targu Mures 23 20.33 +2.67
4 Campulung Moldovenesc 24 21.94 +2.06
5 Stiinta Cluj 21 19.43 +1.57

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Metalul Campia Turzii 13 18.48 -5.48
2 Dynamo Brasov 16 20.53 -4.53
3 Flacara Ploiesti 15 18.43 -3.43
4 Flamura Rosie Arad 20 22.54 -2.54
5 Progresul Oradea 21 23.04 -2.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Campulung Moldovenesc 5 Oct 19 – Nov 27 1 in 56
2 CCA Bucuresti 6 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 43
3 Flacara Ploiesti 2 Apr 13 – Apr 20 1 in 20
4 Progresul Oradea 3 Mar 16 – Mar 30 1 in 17
5 Stiinta Cluj 2 Apr 6 – Apr 13 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Flacara Ploiesti 5 Aug 17 – Sep 14 1 in 106
2 Campulung Moldovenesc 3 Mar 30 – Apr 13 1 in 31
3 Locomotiva Timisoara 4 Oct 5 – Nov 2 1 in 24
4 Flamura Rosie Arad 2 Apr 13 – Apr 20 1 in 16
5 Metalul Campia Turzii 3 Mar 16 – Mar 30 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 CCA Bucuresti 17 Mar 16 – Oct 19 1 in 47
2 Dynamo Brasov 7 Apr 20 – Sep 14 1 in 30
3 Progresul Oradea 6 Aug 24 – Sep 21 1 in 16
4 Locomotiva Targu Mures 6 Sep 21 – Nov 2 1 in 14
5 Metalul Campia Turzii 4 Sep 21 – Oct 12 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Metalul Campia Turzii 13 Mar 16 – Sep 21 1 in 92
2 Dynamo Brasov 10 Sep 14 – Nov 27 1 in 63
3 Progresul Oradea 8 Sep 7 – Nov 2 1 in 34
4 Flacra Petrosani 8 Mar 30 – Sep 3 1 in 18
5 Locomotiva Timisoara 6 Sep 28 – Nov 9 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
CCA Bucuresti 1826 36 +16 7 6.6 +0.4
Dynamo Bucuresti 1780 34 +35 9 6.6 +2.4
Campulung Moldovenesc 1708 24 +82 10 6.1 +3.9
Locomotiva Targu Mures 1613 23 -10 4 5.0 -1.0
Locomotiva Timisoara 1547 21 +13 5 4.0 +1.0
Stiinta Cluj 1588 21 -11 4 4.2 -0.2
Progresul Oradea 1608 21 -28 3 5.1 -2.1
Flamura Rosie Arad 1624 20 +17 6 5.0 +1.0
Flacra Petrosani 1556 18 -39 3 4.7 -1.7
Dynamo Brasov 1557 16 -43 2 4.7 -2.7
Flacara Ploiesti 1573 15 +8 2 3.7 -1.7
Metalul Campia Turzii 1504 13 -14 4 3.7 +0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CB CM DB DB FP FP FRA LTM LT MCT PO SC
CCA Bucuresti —
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
3.67
0-1-1
3.09
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.45
2-0-0
3.69
1-1-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.85
0-2-0
3.81
1-1-0
3.92
Campulung Moldovenesc
0-0-2
2.05
—
0-0-1
1.93
0-2-0
2.23
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-2
3.03
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
3.05
Dynamo Brasov
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-0
0.78
—
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
3.06
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.89
0-2-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.40
0-2-0
2.72
Dynamo Bucuresti
1-1-0
2.32
0-2-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.55
—
2-0-0
3.73
2-0-0
3.76
0-2-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.81
1-0-1
3.55
2-0-0
4.03
1-1-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.63
Flacara Ploiesti
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
1.99
2-0-0
2.35
0-0-2
1.71
—
1-1-0
2.29
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
2.72
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.59
Flacra Petrosani
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
1.67
0-1-1
3.12
—
0-1-1
2.47
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.68
0-2-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.74
Flamura Rosie Arad
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
3.15
0-2-0
1.99
2-0-0
3.01
1-1-0
2.94
—
1-0-1
3.14
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.40
2-0-0
2.50
0-1-1
3.04
Locomotiva Targu Mures
0-0-2
1.74
2-0-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
1.62
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.27
—
1-1-0
2.53
1-1-0
3.21
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.84
Locomotiva Timisoara
0-1-1
1.51
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
1.88
2-0-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.88
—
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.61
Metalul Campia Turzii
0-0-2
1.58
0-1-1
2.31
0-2-0
2.53
0-0-2
1.44
0-0-2
2.69
0-2-0
2.29
1-0-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.47
—
1-0-1
1.96
1-0-1
2.46
Progresul Oradea
0-2-0
1.62
0-0-2
2.69
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.03
0-0-2
2.91
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.46
—
1-0-1
3.29
Stiinta Cluj
0-1-1
1.53
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
2.69
0-0-2
1.79
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.13
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +5.8
Allowed 0.76 -6.3
Differential 0.91 +4.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.40%5.34%4.58%3.82%1.91%1.15%25.19%
15.34%15.27%6.11%4.58%2.29%1.53%35.11%
24.58%6.11%4.58%2.29%1.15%—18.70%
33.82%4.58%2.29%—0.38%0.38%11.45%
41.91%2.29%1.15%0.38%—0.38%6.11%
5+1.15%1.53%—0.38%0.38%—3.44%
Total25.19%35.11%18.70%11.45%6.11%3.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.07
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 131

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
19.09%13.64%————22.73%
24.55%13.64%9.09%———27.27%
313.64%18.18%————31.82%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%54.55%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 0.73 +1.36
SD 1.15 0.63 1.33
CV 0.55 0.87 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%4.76%————14.29%
14.76%9.52%9.52%14.29%——38.10%
2—19.05%—4.76%——23.81%
39.52%4.76%————14.29%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total28.57%42.86%9.52%19.05%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.19 +0.52
SD 1.31 1.08 1.89
CV 0.76 0.91 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%4.76%4.76%9.52%—28.57%
1—23.81%4.76%—4.76%—33.33%
24.76%—9.52%4.76%4.76%—23.81%
34.76%—4.76%———9.52%
4———————
5+—4.76%————4.76%
Total14.29%33.33%23.81%9.52%19.05%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.86 -0.38
SD 1.78 1.35 2.46
CV 1.20 0.73 —
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
19.09%13.64%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
213.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
Total40.91%31.82%18.18%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.05 +1.27
SD 1.78 1.25 1.96
CV 0.77 1.20 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%9.09%9.09%—9.09%4.55%36.36%
2——4.55%9.09%4.55%—18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
49.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%27.27%13.64%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.00 -0.41
SD 1.40 1.41 2.20
CV 0.88 0.71 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
14.55%27.27%4.55%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
29.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
34.55%————4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%13.64%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.73 -0.64
SD 0.92 1.80 1.92
CV 0.84 1.04 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%——9.09%——22.73%
14.55%9.09%13.64%13.64%——40.91%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
34.55%13.64%——4.55%—22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%22.73%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.55 -0.09
SD 1.22 1.26 1.74
CV 0.84 0.82 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%—9.09%4.55%—36.36%
14.55%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%——4.55%——9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total27.27%40.91%4.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.59 +0.09
SD 1.84 1.87 2.88
CV 1.09 1.17 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
113.64%18.18%—4.55%9.09%—45.45%
24.55%13.64%—4.55%——22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%36.36%9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.41 -0.50
SD 0.75 1.50 1.71
CV 0.83 1.07 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%36.36%
1—27.27%4.55%4.55%—4.55%40.91%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total4.55%40.91%13.64%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.27 -1.23
SD 1.21 1.55 2.05
CV 1.16 0.68 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%13.64%13.64%9.09%——40.91%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
3——9.09%———9.09%
44.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%36.36%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.64 -0.05
SD 1.30 1.22 1.62
CV 0.82 0.74 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%18.18%———45.45%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%36.36%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.05 +0.05
SD 1.27 0.84 1.53
CV 1.16 0.81 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
CCA Bucuresti 1826 36 29.26 +6.74 98.0% 19 23 27 29 32 35 37
Dynamo Bucuresti 1780 34 28.01 +5.99 99.0% 20 22 26 28 30 33 37
Campulung Moldovenesc 1708 24 22.94 +1.06 70.0% 13 17 21 23 25 29 32
Flamura Rosie Arad 1624 20 22.54 -2.54 26.0% 13 15 20 23 25 29 32
Locomotiva Targu Mures 1613 23 20.33 +2.67 80.0% 11 15 18 20 23 26 31
Progresul Oradea 1608 21 23.04 -2.04 36.0% 13 16 20 23 26 29 35
Stiinta Cluj 1588 21 19.43 +1.57 72.0% 9 14 17 19 22 25 29
Flacara Ploiesti 1573 15 18.43 -3.43 18.0% 9 13 16 19 20 24 27
Dynamo Brasov 1557 16 21.53 -5.53 11.0% 12 15 19 22 25 27 30
Flacra Petrosani 1556 18 19.91 -1.91 34.0% 11 13 17 20 22 26 30
Locomotiva Timisoara 1547 21 20.10 +0.90 59.0% 12 13 17 20 23 26 30
Metalul Campia Turzii 1504 13 18.48 -5.48 7.0% 10 13 16 18 21 24 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 34.5% * Clear Edge: 34.5% to 50.5% * Strong Edge: 50.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.85%
No Edge
45.80%28.24%25.95%
Elo Value
Home Edge
130 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
069.88400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.64 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.54+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.18 * Runaway: 0.18 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
52%
CCA Bucuresti, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.95 * Some Luck: 2.95 to 4.42 * Lucky: 4.42 to 5.89 * Wild Swing: 5.89 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.84 * Close: 1.84 to 2.76 * Off: 2.76 to 3.68 * Way Off: 3.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.86 points
Some Luck
03.689
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Pinpoint
02.305
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Dynamo Bucuresti
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Metalul Campia Turzii
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.4 * Strong Separation: 1.4 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 66% * Very Frequent: 66% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Lopsided
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 98.12
1.75
Strong Separation
0.751.151.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%61%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Clear Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Very Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.5 * Notable Separation: 0.5 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.51 * Strong Carryover: 0.51 to 0.66 * Near-Lock: 0.66 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 17% * Shaky Favorites: 17% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.23
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Strong Carryover
00.370.510.661
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.83
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.34
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
CCA Bucuresti52.00%24.00%9.00%9.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—2.00%———
Dynamo Bucuresti35.00%38.00%12.00%10.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%—————
Campulung Moldovenesc2.00%8.00%15.00%14.00%13.00%11.00%14.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%
Locomotiva Targu Mures1.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%16.00%12.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%
Stiinta Cluj——6.00%8.00%11.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%
Progresul Oradea4.00%11.00%22.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%
Locomotiva Timisoara1.00%1.00%4.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%13.00%10.00%13.00%
Flamura Rosie Arad3.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%19.00%13.00%11.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%11.00%3.00%
Flacra Petrosani1.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%11.00%10.00%15.00%9.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%15.00%
Dynamo Brasov1.00%3.00%12.00%15.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%
Flacara Ploiesti——3.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%14.00%20.00%16.00%11.00%20.00%
Metalul Campia Turzii——2.00%2.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
CCA Bucuresti 100% —
Dynamo Bucuresti 100% —
Campulung Moldovenesc 96.00% 4.00%
Progresul Oradea 94.00% 6.00%
Flamura Rosie Arad 86.00% 14.00%
Dynamo Brasov 84.00% 16.00%
Locomotiva Targu Mures 83.00% 17.00%
Locomotiva Timisoara 77.00% 23.00%
Flacra Petrosani 76.00% 24.00%
Stiinta Cluj 73.00% 27.00%
Flacara Ploiesti 69.00% 31.00%
Metalul Campia Turzii 62.00% 38.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1952-03-16 Dynamo Brasov W 4-047.3 1649 1581 55.56% 28.83% 15.61%+1.06 +18.2 2
1952-03-16 @ Progresul Oradea L 0-447.3 1581 1649 15.61% 28.83% 55.56%-1.06 -18.2 0
1952-03-16 Dynamo Bucuresti D 0-065.0 1634 1680 43.01% 29.92% 27.08%+0.18 -0.9 1
1952-03-16 @ Campulung Moldovenesc D 0-065.0 1680 1634 27.08% 29.92% 43.01%-0.18 +0.9 1
1952-03-16 Flacara Ploiesti W 1-053.5 1591 1580 49.79% 29.56% 20.66%+0.62 +6.4 2
1952-03-16 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-153.5 1580 1591 20.66% 29.56% 49.79%-0.62 -6.4 0
1952-03-16 Flamura Rosie Arad W 4-371.1 1582 1659 38.95% 29.95% 31.10%-0.05 +7.6 2
1952-03-16 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 3-471.1 1659 1582 31.10% 29.95% 38.95%+0.05 -7.6 0
1952-03-16 Metalul Campia Turzii W 3-049.4 1709 1634 56.26% 28.71% 15.03%+1.12 +13.5 2
1952-03-16 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-349.4 1634 1709 15.03% 28.71% 56.26%-1.12 -13.5 0
1952-03-16 Flacra Petrosani W 4-155.0 1580 1607 45.46% 29.84% 24.70%+0.34 +16.9 2
1952-03-16 @ Stiinta Cluj L 1-455.0 1607 1580 24.70% 29.84% 45.46%-0.34 -16.9 0
1952-03-23 Campulung Moldovenesc L 0-358.1 1620 1633 47.10% 29.75% 23.15%+0.44 -32.5 0
1952-03-23 @ Metalul Campia Turzii W 3-058.1 1633 1620 23.15% 29.75% 47.10%-0.44 +32.5 3
1952-03-23 CCA Bucuresti D 2-274.0 1563 1723 27.71% 29.46% 42.83%-0.70 +0.6 1
1952-03-23 @ Dynamo Brasov D 2-274.0 1723 1563 42.83% 29.46% 27.71%+0.70 -0.6 3
1952-03-23 Stiinta Cluj W 2-050.5 1680 1597 56.91% 28.58% 14.51%+1.18 +9.0 3
1952-03-23 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-250.5 1597 1680 14.51% 28.58% 56.91%-1.18 -9.0 2
1952-03-23 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-049.0 1590 1590 48.54% 29.66% 21.80%+0.54 +18.2 2
1952-03-23 @ Flacra Petrosani L 0-349.0 1590 1590 21.80% 29.66% 48.54%-0.54 -18.2 2
1952-03-23 Progresul Oradea L 2-369.7 1574 1667 36.65% 29.92% 33.43%-0.18 -8.7 0
1952-03-23 @ Flacara Ploiesti W 3-269.7 1667 1574 33.43% 29.92% 36.65%+0.18 +8.7 4
1952-03-23 Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-064.3 1651 1598 54.19% 29.05% 16.76%+0.95 -2.3 1
1952-03-23 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 0-064.3 1598 1651 16.76% 29.05% 54.19%-0.95 +2.3 3
1952-03-30 Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-054.9 1571 1600 45.20% 29.85% 24.95%+0.32 +7.4 4
1952-03-30 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-154.9 1600 1571 24.95% 29.85% 45.20%-0.32 -7.4 3
1952-03-30 Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-465.0 1563 1689 32.08% 29.76% 38.16%-0.43 -12.9 1
1952-03-30 @ Dynamo Brasov W 4-265.0 1689 1563 38.16% 29.76% 32.08%+0.43 +12.9 5
1952-03-30 Campulung Moldovenesc W 3-157.6 1722 1665 54.52% 29.00% 16.48%+0.98 +8.7 5
1952-03-30 @ CCA Bucuresti L 1-357.6 1665 1722 16.48% 29.00% 54.52%-0.98 -8.7 3
1952-03-30 Flacara Ploiesti D 1-166.7 1608 1565 53.13% 29.20% 17.68%+0.87 -2.0 3
1952-03-30 @ Flacra Petrosani D 1-166.7 1565 1608 17.68% 29.20% 53.13%-0.87 +2.0 1
1952-03-30 Progresul Oradea L 1-265.5 1588 1676 37.48% 29.93% 32.59%-0.14 -9.3 2
1952-03-30 @ Stiinta Cluj W 2-165.5 1676 1588 32.59% 29.93% 37.48%+0.14 +9.3 6
1952-03-30 Metalul Campia Turzii W 3-155.6 1649 1588 54.93% 28.93% 16.14%+1.01 +8.5 3
1952-03-30 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-355.6 1588 1649 16.14% 28.93% 54.93%-1.01 -8.5 0
1952-04-06 Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-367.9 1685 1658 51.55% 29.39% 19.07%+0.75 -21.0 6
1952-04-06 @ Progresul Oradea W 3-167.9 1658 1685 19.07% 29.39% 51.55%-0.75 +21.0 5
1952-04-06 Dynamo Brasov D 2-270.6 1579 1550 51.68% 29.37% 18.95%+0.76 -1.3 1
1952-04-06 @ Metalul Campia Turzii D 2-270.6 1550 1579 18.95% 29.37% 51.68%-0.76 +1.3 2
1952-04-06 Stiinta Cluj L 0-165.4 1656 1579 56.40% 28.68% 14.92%+1.13 -14.0 3
1952-04-06 @ Campulung Moldovenesc W 1-065.4 1579 1656 14.92% 28.68% 56.40%-1.13 +14.0 4
1952-04-06 Flacra Petrosani D 1-167.1 1593 1606 46.98% 29.76% 23.26%+0.43 -1.2 4
1952-04-06 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-167.1 1606 1593 23.26% 29.76% 46.98%-0.43 +1.2 4
1952-04-06 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 1-052.6 1702 1579 60.30% 27.81% 11.89%+1.49 +4.0 7
1952-04-06 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-152.6 1579 1702 11.89% 27.81% 60.30%-1.49 -4.0 4
1952-04-06 CCA Bucuresti L 1-262.7 1567 1731 27.26% 29.42% 43.32%-0.72 -7.4 1
1952-04-06 @ Flacara Ploiesti W 2-162.7 1731 1567 43.32% 29.42% 27.26%+0.72 +7.4 7
1952-04-13 Flacra Petrosani W 2-159.0 1664 1607 54.49% 29.00% 16.51%+0.97 +5.0 8
1952-04-13 @ Progresul Oradea L 1-259.0 1607 1664 16.51% 29.00% 54.49%-0.97 -5.0 4
1952-04-13 Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-165.7 1591 1706 33.63% 29.83% 36.55%-0.35 +9.1 6
1952-04-13 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 1-265.7 1706 1591 36.55% 29.83% 33.63%+0.35 -9.1 7
1952-04-13 Campulung Moldovenesc W 3-159.7 1575 1642 40.19% 29.95% 29.86%+0.02 +13.7 6
1952-04-13 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 1-359.7 1642 1575 29.86% 29.95% 40.19%-0.02 -13.7 3
1952-04-13 Flacara Ploiesti L 2-369.7 1552 1560 47.63% 29.72% 22.65%+0.48 -10.7 2
1952-04-13 @ Dynamo Brasov W 3-269.7 1560 1552 22.65% 29.72% 47.63%-0.48 +10.7 3
1952-04-13 Flamura Rosie Arad W 2-160.4 1738 1679 54.77% 28.96% 16.27%+1.00 +5.0 9
1952-04-13 @ CCA Bucuresti L 1-260.4 1679 1738 16.27% 28.96% 54.77%-1.00 -5.0 5
1952-04-13 Metalul Campia Turzii W 2-050.4 1593 1578 50.23% 29.52% 20.25%+0.65 +11.8 6
1952-04-13 @ Stiinta Cluj L 0-250.4 1578 1593 20.25% 29.52% 50.23%-0.65 -11.9 1
1952-04-20 Flacara Ploiesti L 0-160.8 1566 1570 48.04% 29.69% 22.26%+0.50 -12.1 1
1952-04-20 @ Metalul Campia Turzii W 1-060.8 1570 1566 22.26% 29.69% 48.04%-0.50 +12.1 5
1952-04-20 Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-063.9 1629 1600 51.62% 29.38% 19.00%+0.75 -2.0 4
1952-04-20 @ Campulung Moldovenesc D 0-063.9 1600 1629 19.00% 29.38% 51.62%-0.75 +2.0 7
1952-04-20 Progresul Oradea W 3-158.3 1697 1669 51.58% 29.38% 19.03%+0.75 +9.8 9
1952-04-20 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-358.3 1669 1697 19.03% 29.38% 51.58%-0.75 -9.8 8
1952-04-20 CCA Bucuresti L 1-361.5 1602 1743 30.13% 29.65% 40.22%-0.55 -13.8 4
1952-04-20 @ Flacra Petrosani W 3-161.5 1743 1602 40.22% 29.65% 30.13%+0.55 +13.8 11
1952-04-20 Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-260.0 1605 1589 50.34% 29.51% 20.15%+0.66 -23.7 6
1952-04-20 @ Stiinta Cluj W 2-060.0 1589 1605 20.15% 29.51% 50.34%-0.66 +23.7 8
1952-04-20 Dynamo Brasov L 0-361.0 1674 1541 61.03% 27.61% 11.36%+1.56 -41.1 5
1952-04-20 @ Flamura Rosie Arad W 3-061.0 1541 1674 11.36% 27.61% 61.03%-1.56 +41.1 4
1952-08-17 Campulung Moldovenesc L 1-270.0 1659 1627 52.08% 29.33% 18.59%+0.79 -12.2 8
1952-08-17 @ Progresul Oradea W 2-170.0 1627 1659 18.59% 29.33% 52.08%-0.79 +12.2 6
1952-08-17 Locomotiva Targu Mures D 1-166.3 1554 1612 41.39% 29.94% 28.67%+0.09 -0.6 2
1952-08-17 @ Metalul Campia Turzii D 1-166.3 1612 1554 28.67% 29.94% 41.39%-0.09 +0.7 9
1952-08-17 Stiinta Cluj D 0-062.8 1602 1581 50.88% 29.46% 19.66%+0.70 -1.9 8
1952-08-17 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-062.8 1581 1602 19.66% 29.46% 50.88%-0.70 +1.9 7
1952-08-17 Flacra Petrosani D 1-166.5 1582 1588 47.79% 29.71% 22.50%+0.49 -1.3 5
1952-08-17 @ Dynamo Brasov D 1-166.5 1588 1582 22.50% 29.71% 47.79%-0.49 +1.3 5
1952-08-17 Dynamo Bucuresti D 1-170.4 1757 1707 53.84% 29.10% 17.07%+0.92 -2.0 12
1952-08-17 @ CCA Bucuresti D 1-170.4 1707 1757 17.07% 29.10% 53.84%-0.92 +2.0 10
1952-08-17 Flamura Rosie Arad L 2-467.4 1582 1633 42.47% 29.93% 27.60%+0.15 -15.9 5
1952-08-17 @ Flacara Ploiesti W 4-267.4 1633 1582 27.60% 29.93% 42.47%-0.15 +15.9 7
1952-08-24 Dynamo Brasov L 2-374.4 1639 1581 54.63% 28.98% 16.39%+0.99 -12.1 6
1952-08-24 @ Campulung Moldovenesc W 3-274.4 1581 1639 16.39% 28.98% 54.63%-0.99 +12.1 7
1952-08-24 Metalul Campia Turzii W 1-051.9 1601 1553 53.56% 29.14% 17.30%+0.90 +5.5 10
1952-08-24 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-151.9 1553 1601 17.30% 29.14% 53.56%-0.90 -5.5 2
1952-08-24 Progresul Oradea D 2-273.5 1613 1647 44.48% 29.87% 25.65%+0.27 -0.7 10
1952-08-24 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures D 2-273.5 1647 1613 25.65% 29.87% 44.48%-0.27 +0.7 9
1952-08-24 Stiinta Cluj D 1-170.3 1755 1583 63.92% 26.68% 9.39%+1.86 -3.2 13
1952-08-24 @ CCA Bucuresti D 1-170.3 1583 1755 9.39% 26.68% 63.92%-1.86 +3.2 8
1952-08-24 Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-255.4 1566 1709 29.94% 29.63% 40.42%-0.56 -15.8 5
1952-08-24 @ Flacara Ploiesti W 2-055.4 1709 1566 40.42% 29.63% 29.94%+0.56 +15.8 12
1952-08-24 Flacra Petrosani D 0-064.2 1648 1590 54.65% 28.98% 16.37%+0.99 -2.4 8
1952-08-24 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 0-064.2 1590 1648 16.37% 28.98% 54.65%-0.99 +2.4 6
1952-08-31 Locomotiva Timisoara W 4-154.1 1648 1606 53.02% 29.21% 17.77%+0.86 +13.1 11
1952-08-31 @ Progresul Oradea L 1-454.1 1606 1648 17.77% 29.21% 53.02%-0.86 -13.1 10
1952-08-31 Flacara Ploiesti W 4-151.5 1627 1551 56.29% 28.70% 15.00%+1.12 +11.3 8
1952-08-31 @ Campulung Moldovenesc L 1-451.5 1551 1627 15.00% 28.70% 56.29%-1.12 -11.3 5
1952-08-31 CCA Bucuresti L 0-159.6 1612 1752 30.32% 29.66% 40.02%-0.54 -8.5 10
1952-08-31 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 1-059.6 1752 1612 40.02% 29.66% 30.32%+0.54 +8.5 15
1952-08-31 Flamura Rosie Arad D 2-275.2 1725 1646 56.52% 28.66% 14.82%+1.14 -1.8 13
1952-08-31 @ Dynamo Bucuresti D 2-275.2 1646 1725 14.82% 28.66% 56.52%-1.14 +1.8 9
1952-08-31 Metalul Campia Turzii D 1-165.8 1592 1548 53.28% 29.18% 17.54%+0.88 -2.0 7
1952-08-31 @ Flacra Petrosani D 1-165.8 1548 1592 17.54% 29.18% 53.28%-0.88 +2.0 3
1952-08-31 Dynamo Brasov D 1-166.7 1586 1593 47.80% 29.71% 22.49%+0.49 -1.3 9
1952-08-31 @ Stiinta Cluj D 1-166.7 1593 1586 22.49% 29.71% 47.80%-0.49 +1.3 8
1952-09-03 Progresul Oradea L 2-368.3 1550 1661 34.13% 29.85% 36.03%-0.32 -8.3 3
1952-09-03 @ Metalul Campia Turzii W 3-268.3 1661 1550 36.03% 29.85% 34.13%+0.32 +8.3 13
1952-09-03 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 8-151.9 1594 1604 47.43% 29.73% 22.84%+0.46 +34.4 10
1952-09-03 @ Dynamo Brasov L 1-851.9 1604 1594 22.84% 29.73% 47.43%-0.46 -34.4 10
1952-09-03 Flacra Petrosani W 7-353.8 1723 1590 61.03% 27.61% 11.36%+1.56 +8.8 15
1952-09-03 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 3-753.8 1590 1723 11.36% 27.61% 61.03%-1.56 -8.8 7
1952-09-04 CCA Bucuresti D 1-169.6 1593 1760 26.86% 29.39% 43.75%-0.75 +0.9 11
1952-09-04 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-169.6 1760 1593 43.75% 29.39% 26.86%+0.75 -0.9 16
1952-09-04 Campulung Moldovenesc L 1-269.3 1648 1638 49.61% 29.57% 20.81%+0.61 -11.7 9
1952-09-04 @ Flamura Rosie Arad W 2-169.3 1638 1648 20.81% 29.57% 49.61%-0.61 +11.7 10
1952-09-07 Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-550.9 1541 1732 24.21% 29.09% 46.70%-0.93 -31.5 3
1952-09-07 @ Metalul Campia Turzii W 5-050.9 1732 1541 46.70% 29.09% 24.21%+0.93 +31.5 17
1952-09-07 Flacara Ploiesti W 5-149.3 1569 1539 51.81% 29.36% 18.84%+0.77 +17.7 12
1952-09-07 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 1-549.3 1539 1569 18.84% 29.36% 51.81%-0.77 -17.7 5
1952-09-07 Locomotiva Timisoara W 2-050.9 1628 1594 52.28% 29.30% 18.42%+0.80 +11.0 12
1952-09-07 @ Dynamo Brasov L 0-250.9 1594 1628 18.42% 29.30% 52.28%-0.80 -11.0 11
1952-09-07 Progresul Oradea D 2-275.6 1760 1669 57.53% 28.46% 14.01%+1.23 -1.8 17
1952-09-07 @ CCA Bucuresti D 2-275.6 1669 1760 14.01% 28.46% 57.53%-1.23 +1.8 14
1952-09-07 Campulung Moldovenesc W 2-162.7 1581 1650 40.07% 29.95% 29.98%+0.01 +7.9 9
1952-09-07 @ Flacra Petrosani L 1-262.7 1650 1581 29.98% 29.95% 40.07%-0.01 -8.0 10
1952-09-14 CCA Bucuresti L 1-259.3 1510 1758 18.58% 28.12% 53.29%-1.37 -5.4 3
1952-09-14 @ Metalul Campia Turzii W 2-159.3 1758 1510 53.29% 28.12% 18.58%+1.37 +5.4 19
1952-09-14 Progresul Oradea D 1-169.0 1639 1671 44.80% 29.86% 25.34%+0.29 -1.0 13
1952-09-14 @ Dynamo Brasov D 1-169.0 1671 1639 25.34% 29.86% 44.80%-0.29 +1.0 15
1952-09-14 Campulung Moldovenesc D 1-170.5 1763 1642 60.14% 27.85% 12.01%+1.47 -2.8 18
1952-09-14 @ Dynamo Bucuresti D 1-170.5 1642 1763 12.01% 27.85% 60.14%-1.47 +2.8 11
1952-09-14 Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-157.8 1522 1583 41.02% 29.95% 29.03%+0.07 -10.6 5
1952-09-14 @ Flacara Ploiesti W 1-057.8 1583 1522 29.03% 29.95% 41.02%-0.07 +10.6 13
1952-09-14 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-155.7 1636 1587 53.73% 29.11% 17.16%+0.91 +9.0 11
1952-09-14 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-355.7 1587 1636 17.16% 29.11% 53.73%-0.91 -9.0 12
1952-09-20 Dynamo Brasov W 1-053.8 1763 1638 60.39% 27.78% 11.83%+1.49 +4.0 21
1952-09-20 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-153.8 1638 1763 11.83% 27.78% 60.39%-1.49 -4.0 13
1952-09-21 Flacara Ploiesti D 1-167.6 1672 1511 63.15% 26.95% 9.90%+1.78 -3.1 16
1952-09-21 @ Progresul Oradea D 1-167.6 1511 1672 9.90% 26.95% 63.15%-1.78 +3.1 6
1952-09-21 Metalul Campia Turzii D 1-166.6 1645 1504 61.60% 27.44% 10.96%+1.62 -3.0 12
1952-09-21 @ Campulung Moldovenesc D 1-166.6 1504 1645 10.96% 27.44% 61.60%-1.62 +3.0 4
1952-09-21 Flamura Rosie Arad W 2-162.1 1593 1645 42.29% 29.93% 27.78%+0.14 +7.5 15
1952-09-21 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 1-262.1 1645 1593 27.78% 29.93% 42.29%-0.14 -7.5 11
1952-09-21 Flacra Petrosani D 0-062.4 1578 1589 47.24% 29.75% 23.01%+0.45 -1.4 13
1952-09-21 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures D 0-062.4 1589 1578 23.01% 29.75% 47.24%-0.45 +1.4 10
1952-09-21 Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-262.8 1585 1761 25.89% 29.29% 44.83%-0.81 -7.1 9
1952-09-21 @ Stiinta Cluj W 2-162.8 1761 1585 44.83% 29.29% 25.89%+0.81 +7.1 20
1952-09-28 Stiinta Cluj L 1-270.8 1669 1578 57.62% 28.44% 13.94%+1.24 -13.4 16
1952-09-28 @ Progresul Oradea W 2-170.8 1578 1669 13.94% 28.44% 57.62%-1.24 +13.4 11
1952-09-28 Flamura Rosie Arad W 3-160.5 1507 1638 31.57% 29.73% 38.70%-0.46 +16.5 6
1952-09-28 @ Metalul Campia Turzii L 1-360.5 1638 1507 38.70% 29.73% 31.57%+0.46 -16.5 11
1952-09-28 CCA Bucuresti L 1-362.7 1642 1767 32.23% 29.77% 38.01%-0.43 -14.5 12
1952-09-28 @ Campulung Moldovenesc W 3-162.7 1767 1642 38.01% 29.77% 32.23%+0.43 +14.5 23
1952-09-28 Locomotiva Targu Mures D 1-166.7 1601 1577 51.21% 29.42% 19.37%+0.72 -1.7 16
1952-09-28 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-166.7 1577 1601 19.37% 29.42% 51.21%-0.72 +1.7 14
1952-09-28 Dynamo Brasov W 3-048.5 1768 1634 61.06% 27.60% 11.34%+1.56 +10.5 22
1952-09-28 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-348.5 1634 1768 11.34% 27.60% 61.06%-1.56 -10.5 13
1952-09-28 Flacra Petrosani W 4-261.1 1514 1591 38.97% 29.95% 31.09%-0.05 +12.6 8
1952-09-28 @ Flacara Ploiesti L 2-461.1 1591 1514 31.09% 29.95% 38.97%+0.05 -12.6 10
1952-10-05 Dynamo Bucuresti W 5-162.7 1578 1778 23.21% 28.96% 47.83%-1.00 +35.6 16
1952-10-05 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 1-562.7 1778 1578 47.83% 28.96% 23.21%+1.00 -35.6 22
1952-10-05 Metalul Campia Turzii D 1-166.3 1624 1524 58.39% 28.27% 13.34%+1.31 -2.6 14
1952-10-05 @ Dynamo Brasov D 1-166.3 1524 1624 13.34% 28.27% 58.39%-1.31 +2.6 7
1952-10-05 Flacara Ploiesti W 3-045.1 1782 1527 69.25% 24.40% 6.35%+2.50 +5.8 25
1952-10-05 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-345.1 1527 1782 6.35% 24.40% 69.25%-2.50 -5.8 8
1952-10-05 Locomotiva Timisoara W 2-051.8 1578 1599 46.08% 29.81% 24.11%+0.37 +13.6 12
1952-10-05 @ Flacra Petrosani L 0-251.8 1599 1578 24.11% 29.81% 46.08%-0.37 -13.6 16
1952-10-05 Campulung Moldovenesc L 0-161.8 1591 1627 44.26% 29.88% 25.86%+0.26 -11.3 11
1952-10-05 @ Stiinta Cluj W 1-061.8 1627 1591 25.86% 29.88% 44.26%-0.26 +11.3 14
1952-10-05 Progresul Oradea W 3-052.1 1621 1656 44.44% 29.88% 25.68%+0.27 +20.7 13
1952-10-05 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-352.1 1656 1621 25.68% 29.88% 44.44%-0.27 -20.6 16
1952-10-12 Stiinta Cluj W 2-051.0 1526 1580 42.04% 29.93% 28.02%+0.13 +15.2 9
1952-10-12 @ Metalul Campia Turzii L 0-251.0 1580 1526 28.02% 29.93% 42.04%-0.13 -15.2 11
1952-10-12 Locomotiva Targu Mures L 1-269.3 1639 1614 51.24% 29.42% 19.34%+0.73 -12.0 14
1952-10-12 @ Campulung Moldovenesc W 2-169.3 1614 1639 19.34% 29.42% 51.24%-0.73 +12.0 18
1952-10-12 Locomotiva Timisoara W 3-262.1 1743 1586 62.84% 27.06% 10.11%+1.74 +3.1 24
1952-10-12 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-362.1 1586 1743 10.11% 27.06% 62.84%-1.74 -3.1 16
1952-10-12 Progresul Oradea D 1-167.7 1592 1635 43.35% 29.91% 26.74%+0.20 -0.9 13
1952-10-12 @ Flacra Petrosani D 1-167.7 1635 1592 26.74% 29.91% 43.35%-0.20 +0.8 17
1952-10-12 Dynamo Brasov W 4-156.8 1521 1621 35.67% 29.89% 34.44%-0.24 +21.5 10
1952-10-12 @ Flacara Ploiesti L 1-456.8 1621 1521 34.44% 29.89% 35.67%+0.24 -21.5 14
1952-10-12 CCA Bucuresti L 1-362.0 1642 1787 29.55% 29.61% 40.84%-0.58 -13.6 13
1952-10-12 @ Flamura Rosie Arad W 3-162.0 1787 1642 40.84% 29.61% 29.55%+0.58 +13.6 27
1952-10-19 Dynamo Bucuresti D 0-065.7 1636 1746 34.36% 29.85% 35.79%-0.31 +0.1 18
1952-10-19 @ Progresul Oradea D 0-065.7 1746 1636 35.79% 29.85% 34.36%+0.31 -0.1 25
1952-10-19 Campulung Moldovenesc L 0-555.7 1583 1627 43.28% 29.91% 26.81%+0.20 -48.7 16
1952-10-19 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 5-055.7 1627 1583 26.81% 29.91% 43.28%-0.20 +48.7 16
1952-10-19 Stiinta Cluj D 0-063.2 1626 1565 54.89% 28.94% 16.17%+1.01 -2.4 19
1952-10-19 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures D 0-063.2 1565 1626 16.17% 28.94% 54.89%-1.01 +2.4 12
1952-10-19 Flamura Rosie Arad D 1-167.7 1600 1628 45.24% 29.85% 24.92%+0.32 -1.1 15
1952-10-19 @ Dynamo Brasov D 1-167.7 1628 1600 24.92% 29.85% 45.24%-0.32 +1.1 14
1952-10-19 Flacra Petrosani W 4-046.0 1801 1591 66.48% 25.69% 7.84%+2.15 +9.4 29
1952-10-19 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-446.0 1591 1801 7.84% 25.69% 66.48%-2.15 -9.4 13
1952-10-19 Metalul Campia Turzii W 4-045.4 1542 1542 48.64% 29.65% 21.71%+0.54 +23.8 12
1952-10-19 @ Flacara Ploiesti L 0-445.4 1542 1542 21.71% 29.65% 48.64%-0.54 -23.8 9
1952-10-26 Stiinta Cluj D 2-270.7 1566 1567 48.42% 29.67% 21.91%+0.53 -1.0 13
1952-10-26 @ Flacara Ploiesti D 2-270.7 1567 1566 21.91% 29.67% 48.42%-0.53 +1.0 13
1952-10-30 Flamura Rosie Arad W 3-051.7 1568 1629 41.08% 29.95% 28.97%+0.07 +22.5 15
1952-10-30 @ Stiinta Cluj L 0-351.7 1629 1568 28.97% 29.95% 41.08%-0.07 -22.5 14
1952-11-02 Progresul Oradea W 2-160.1 1675 1636 52.76% 29.24% 18.00%+0.84 +5.4 18
1952-11-02 @ Campulung Moldovenesc L 1-260.1 1636 1675 18.00% 29.24% 52.76%-0.84 -5.4 18
1952-11-02 Metalul Campia Turzii W 5-044.4 1624 1518 58.85% 28.17% 12.98%+1.35 +19.0 21
1952-11-02 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-544.4 1518 1624 12.98% 28.17% 58.85%-1.35 -19.0 9
1952-11-02 CCA Bucuresti W 1-060.3 1746 1810 40.56% 29.95% 29.49%+0.04 +8.3 27
1952-11-02 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-160.3 1810 1746 29.49% 29.95% 40.56%-0.04 -8.3 29
1952-11-02 Dynamo Brasov W 2-051.7 1581 1599 46.51% 29.79% 23.71%+0.40 +13.4 15
1952-11-02 @ Flacra Petrosani L 0-251.7 1599 1581 23.71% 29.79% 46.51%-0.40 -13.4 15
1952-11-02 Locomotiva Timisoara W 3-153.0 1591 1534 54.49% 29.00% 16.51%+0.97 +8.7 17
1952-11-02 @ Stiinta Cluj L 1-353.0 1534 1591 16.51% 29.00% 54.49%-0.97 -8.7 16
1952-11-02 Flacara Ploiesti W 1-052.6 1607 1565 52.97% 29.22% 17.81%+0.86 +5.7 16
1952-11-02 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-152.6 1565 1607 17.81% 29.22% 52.97%-0.86 -5.7 13
1952-11-09 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 1-056.4 1631 1643 47.15% 29.75% 23.10%+0.44 +7.0 20
1952-11-09 @ Progresul Oradea L 0-156.4 1643 1631 23.10% 29.75% 47.15%-0.44 -7.0 21
1952-11-09 Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-161.7 1499 1525 45.45% 29.84% 24.72%+0.33 -1.1 10
1952-11-09 @ Metalul Campia Turzii D 1-161.7 1525 1499 24.72% 29.84% 45.45%-0.33 +1.1 17
1952-11-09 Flacara Ploiesti W 4-151.2 1754 1559 65.45% 26.11% 8.44%+2.03 +6.6 29
1952-11-09 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-451.2 1559 1754 8.44% 26.11% 65.45%-2.03 -6.6 13
1952-11-09 Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-259.2 1595 1612 46.51% 29.79% 23.70%+0.40 -22.1 15
1952-11-09 @ Flacra Petrosani W 2-059.2 1612 1595 23.70% 29.79% 46.51%-0.40 +22.1 18
1952-11-09 CCA Bucuresti L 0-254.4 1600 1802 22.93% 28.92% 48.15%-1.02 -12.9 17
1952-11-09 @ Stiinta Cluj W 2-054.4 1802 1600 48.15% 28.92% 22.93%+1.02 +12.9 31
1952-11-16 Flacra Petrosani D 1-163.3 1498 1573 39.21% 29.95% 30.85%-0.04 -0.4 11
1952-11-16 @ Metalul Campia Turzii D 1-163.3 1573 1498 30.85% 29.95% 39.21%+0.04 +0.4 16
1952-11-16 Progresul Oradea W 2-055.0 1526 1637 34.16% 29.85% 35.99%-0.32 +18.1 19
1952-11-16 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-255.0 1637 1526 35.99% 29.85% 34.16%+0.32 -18.1 20
1952-11-16 Stiinta Cluj D 0-062.5 1586 1587 48.42% 29.67% 21.91%+0.53 -1.6 16
1952-11-16 @ Dynamo Brasov D 0-062.5 1587 1586 21.91% 29.67% 48.42%-0.53 +1.6 18
1952-11-16 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-047.7 1815 1636 64.42% 26.50% 9.07%+1.92 +8.4 33
1952-11-16 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-347.7 1636 1815 9.07% 26.50% 64.42%-1.92 -8.4 21
1952-11-16 Campulung Moldovenesc L 1-263.2 1553 1681 31.89% 29.75% 38.36%-0.44 -8.3 13
1952-11-16 @ Flacara Ploiesti W 2-163.2 1681 1553 38.36% 29.75% 31.89%+0.44 +8.3 20
1952-11-16 Dynamo Bucuresti D 1-169.8 1634 1760 32.12% 29.76% 38.12%-0.43 +0.3 19
1952-11-16 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 1-169.8 1760 1634 38.12% 29.76% 32.12%+0.43 -0.3 30
1952-11-20 Stiinta Cluj W 1-054.2 1573 1588 46.79% 29.77% 23.44%+0.42 +7.0 18
1952-11-20 @ Flacra Petrosani L 0-154.2 1588 1573 23.44% 29.77% 46.79%-0.42 -7.0 18
1952-11-23 Metalul Campia Turzii L 4-577.4 1619 1497 60.19% 27.84% 11.98%+1.48 -12.8 20
1952-11-23 @ Progresul Oradea W 5-477.4 1497 1619 11.98% 27.84% 60.19%-1.48 +12.8 13
1952-11-23 Flamura Rosie Arad W 3-157.1 1689 1635 54.23% 29.04% 16.73%+0.95 +8.8 22
1952-11-23 @ Campulung Moldovenesc L 1-357.1 1635 1689 16.73% 29.04% 54.23%-0.95 -8.8 19
1952-11-23 Dynamo Brasov W 4-047.6 1627 1584 53.15% 29.19% 17.66%+0.87 +20.1 23
1952-11-23 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-447.6 1584 1627 17.66% 29.19% 53.15%-0.87 -20.2 16
1952-11-23 Locomotiva Timisoara W 4-150.2 1823 1544 70.66% 23.67% 5.67%+2.68 +4.3 35
1952-11-23 @ CCA Bucuresti L 1-450.2 1544 1823 5.67% 23.67% 70.66%-2.68 -4.3 19
1952-11-23 Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-254.7 1580 1760 25.38% 29.23% 45.38%-0.85 -14.0 18
1952-11-23 @ Flacra Petrosani W 2-054.7 1760 1580 45.38% 29.23% 25.38%+0.85 +14.0 32
1952-11-23 Flacara Ploiesti W 3-261.2 1581 1545 52.48% 29.28% 18.25%+0.82 +5.2 20
1952-11-23 @ Stiinta Cluj L 2-361.2 1545 1581 18.25% 29.28% 52.48%-0.82 -5.2 13
1952-11-27 CCA Bucuresti D 0-066.4 1607 1828 21.06% 28.62% 50.33%-1.16 +1.8 21
1952-11-27 @ Progresul Oradea D 0-066.4 1828 1607 50.33% 28.62% 21.06%+1.16 -1.8 36
1952-11-27 Flacra Petrosani W 3-047.0 1698 1566 60.93% 27.63% 11.43%+1.55 +10.5 24
1952-11-27 @ Campulung Moldovenesc L 0-347.0 1566 1698 11.43% 27.63% 60.93%-1.55 -10.5 18
1952-11-27 Dynamo Brasov W 2-157.7 1540 1564 45.76% 29.82% 24.41%+0.35 +6.9 21
1952-11-27 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 1-257.7 1564 1540 24.41% 29.82% 45.76%-0.35 -6.8 16
1952-11-27 Metalul Campia Turzii W 5-147.9 1774 1510 69.80% 24.12% 6.08%+2.57 +6.0 34
1952-11-27 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-547.9 1510 1774 6.08% 24.12% 69.80%-2.57 -6.0 13
1952-11-27 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 4-052.6 1539 1647 34.62% 29.86% 35.52%-0.29 +34.0 15
1952-11-27 @ Flacara Ploiesti L 0-452.6 1647 1539 35.52% 29.86% 34.62%+0.29 -34.0 23
1952-11-27 Stiinta Cluj D 0-063.6 1626 1586 52.78% 29.24% 17.98%+0.84 -2.1 20
1952-11-27 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 0-063.6 1586 1626 17.98% 29.24% 52.78%-0.84 +2.1 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1952-04-20 11.36% Dynamo Brasov 1541 3 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1674 0
2 1952-11-23 11.98% Metalul Campia Turzii 1497 5 @ Progresul Oradea 1619 4
3 1952-09-28 13.94% Stiinta Cluj 1578 2 @ Progresul Oradea 1669 1
4 1952-04-06 14.92% Stiinta Cluj 1579 1 @ Campulung Moldovenesc 1656 0
5 1952-08-24 16.39% Dynamo Brasov 1581 3 @ Campulung Moldovenesc 1639 2
6 1952-08-17 18.59% Campulung Moldovenesc 1627 2 @ Progresul Oradea 1659 1
7 1952-04-06 19.07% Flamura Rosie Arad 1658 3 @ Progresul Oradea 1685 1
8 1952-10-12 19.34% Locomotiva Targu Mures 1614 2 @ Campulung Moldovenesc 1639 1
9 1952-04-20 20.15% Locomotiva Targu Mures 1589 2 @ Stiinta Cluj 1605 0
10 1952-09-04 20.81% Campulung Moldovenesc 1638 2 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1648 1
11 1952-04-20 22.26% Flacara Ploiesti 1570 1 @ Metalul Campia Turzii 1566 0
12 1952-04-13 22.65% Flacara Ploiesti 1560 3 @ Dynamo Brasov 1552 2
13 1952-03-23 23.15% Campulung Moldovenesc 1633 3 @ Metalul Campia Turzii 1620 0
14 1952-10-05 23.21% @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1578 5 Dynamo Bucuresti 1778 1
15 1952-11-09 23.70% Flamura Rosie Arad 1612 2 @ Flacra Petrosani 1595 0
16 1952-10-05 25.86% Campulung Moldovenesc 1627 1 @ Stiinta Cluj 1591 0
17 1952-10-19 26.81% Campulung Moldovenesc 1627 5 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1583 0
18 1952-08-17 27.60% Flamura Rosie Arad 1633 4 @ Flacara Ploiesti 1582 2
19 1952-09-14 29.03% Locomotiva Timisoara 1583 1 @ Flacara Ploiesti 1522 0
20 1952-09-28 31.57% @ Metalul Campia Turzii 1507 3 Flamura Rosie Arad 1638 1
21 1952-03-30 32.59% Progresul Oradea 1676 2 @ Stiinta Cluj 1588 1
22 1952-03-23 33.43% Progresul Oradea 1667 3 @ Flacara Ploiesti 1574 2
23 1952-04-13 33.63% @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1591 2 Dynamo Bucuresti 1706 1
24 1952-11-16 34.16% @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1526 2 Progresul Oradea 1637 0
25 1952-11-27 34.62% @ Flacara Ploiesti 1539 4 Locomotiva Targu Mures 1647 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-10-19 48.74 Campulung Moldovenesc 5 1627 26.81% @ Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1583 43.28% 29.91%
2 1952-04-20 41.12 Dynamo Brasov 3 1541 11.36% @ Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1674 61.03% 27.61%
3 1952-10-05 35.57 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 5 1578 23.21% Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1778 47.83% 28.96%
4 1952-09-03 34.43 @ Dynamo Brasov 8 1594 47.43% Locomotiva Targu Mures 1 1604 22.84% 29.73%
5 1952-11-27 34.00 @ Flacara Ploiesti 4 1539 34.62% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1647 35.52% 29.86%
6 1952-03-23 32.48 Campulung Moldovenesc 3 1633 23.15% @ Metalul Campia Turzii 0 1620 47.10% 29.75%
7 1952-09-07 31.48 Dynamo Bucuresti 5 1732 46.70% @ Metalul Campia Turzii 0 1541 24.21% 29.09%
8 1952-10-19 23.76 @ Flacara Ploiesti 4 1542 48.64% Metalul Campia Turzii 0 1542 21.71% 29.65%
9 1952-04-20 23.71 Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1589 20.15% @ Stiinta Cluj 0 1605 50.34% 29.51%
10 1952-10-30 22.55 @ Stiinta Cluj 3 1568 41.08% Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1629 28.97% 29.95%
11 1952-11-09 22.14 Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1612 23.70% @ Flacra Petrosani 0 1595 46.51% 29.79%
12 1952-10-12 21.48 @ Flacara Ploiesti 4 1521 35.67% Dynamo Brasov 1 1621 34.44% 29.89%
13 1952-04-06 20.97 Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1658 19.07% @ Progresul Oradea 1 1685 51.55% 29.39%
14 1952-10-05 20.65 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1621 44.44% Progresul Oradea 0 1656 25.68% 29.88%
15 1952-11-23 20.15 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 4 1627 53.15% Dynamo Brasov 0 1584 17.66% 29.19%
16 1952-11-02 19.05 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 5 1624 58.85% Metalul Campia Turzii 0 1518 12.98% 28.17%
17 1952-03-23 18.24 @ Flacra Petrosani 3 1590 48.54% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1590 21.80% 29.66%
18 1952-03-16 18.17 @ Progresul Oradea 4 1649 55.56% Dynamo Brasov 0 1581 15.61% 28.83%
19 1952-11-16 18.09 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 2 1526 34.16% Progresul Oradea 0 1637 35.99% 29.85%
20 1952-09-07 17.70 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 5 1569 51.81% Flacara Ploiesti 1 1539 18.84% 29.36%
21 1952-03-16 16.91 @ Stiinta Cluj 4 1580 45.46% Flacra Petrosani 1 1607 24.70% 29.84%
22 1952-09-28 16.50 @ Metalul Campia Turzii 3 1507 31.57% Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1638 38.70% 29.73%
23 1952-08-17 15.90 Flamura Rosie Arad 4 1633 27.60% @ Flacara Ploiesti 2 1582 42.47% 29.93%
24 1952-08-24 15.84 Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1709 40.42% @ Flacara Ploiesti 0 1566 29.94% 29.63%
25 1952-10-12 15.16 @ Metalul Campia Turzii 2 1526 42.04% Stiinta Cluj 0 1580 28.02% 29.93%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-11-23 77.4 Metalul Campia Turzii 5 1497 11.98% @ Progresul Oradea 4 1619 60.19% 27.84%
2 1952-09-07 75.6 @ CCA Bucuresti 2 1760 57.53% Progresul Oradea 2 1669 14.01% 28.46%
3 1952-08-31 75.2 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1725 56.52% Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1646 14.82% 28.66%
4 1952-08-24 74.4 Dynamo Brasov 3 1581 16.39% @ Campulung Moldovenesc 2 1639 54.63% 28.98%
5 1952-03-23 74.0 @ Dynamo Brasov 2 1563 27.71% CCA Bucuresti 2 1723 42.83% 29.46%
6 1952-08-24 73.5 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1613 44.48% Progresul Oradea 2 1647 25.65% 29.87%
7 1952-03-16 71.1 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 4 1582 38.95% Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1659 31.10% 29.95%
8 1952-09-28 70.8 Stiinta Cluj 2 1578 13.94% @ Progresul Oradea 1 1669 57.62% 28.44%
9 1952-10-26 70.7 @ Flacara Ploiesti 2 1566 48.42% Stiinta Cluj 2 1567 21.91% 29.67%
10 1952-04-06 70.6 @ Metalul Campia Turzii 2 1579 51.68% Dynamo Brasov 2 1550 18.95% 29.37%
11 1952-09-14 70.5 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1763 60.14% Campulung Moldovenesc 1 1642 12.01% 27.85%
12 1952-08-17 70.4 @ CCA Bucuresti 1 1757 53.84% Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1707 17.07% 29.10%
13 1952-08-24 70.3 @ CCA Bucuresti 1 1755 63.92% Stiinta Cluj 1 1583 9.39% 26.68%
14 1952-08-17 70.0 Campulung Moldovenesc 2 1627 18.59% @ Progresul Oradea 1 1659 52.08% 29.33%
15 1952-11-16 69.8 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1634 32.12% Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1760 38.12% 29.76%
16 1952-03-23 69.7 Progresul Oradea 3 1667 33.43% @ Flacara Ploiesti 2 1574 36.65% 29.92%
17 1952-04-13 69.7 Flacara Ploiesti 3 1560 22.65% @ Dynamo Brasov 2 1552 47.63% 29.72%
18 1952-09-04 69.6 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1 1593 26.86% CCA Bucuresti 1 1760 43.75% 29.39%
19 1952-09-04 69.3 Campulung Moldovenesc 2 1638 20.81% @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1648 49.61% 29.57%
20 1952-10-12 69.3 Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1614 19.34% @ Campulung Moldovenesc 1 1639 51.24% 29.42%
21 1952-09-14 69.0 @ Dynamo Brasov 1 1639 44.80% Progresul Oradea 1 1671 25.34% 29.86%
22 1952-09-03 68.3 Progresul Oradea 3 1661 36.03% @ Metalul Campia Turzii 2 1550 34.13% 29.85%
23 1952-04-06 67.9 Flamura Rosie Arad 3 1658 19.07% @ Progresul Oradea 1 1685 51.55% 29.39%
24 1952-10-12 67.7 @ Flacra Petrosani 1 1592 43.35% Progresul Oradea 1 1635 26.74% 29.91%
25 1952-10-19 67.7 @ Dynamo Brasov 1 1600 45.24% Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1628 24.92% 29.85%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-11-02 44.4 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 5 1624 58.85% Metalul Campia Turzii 0 1518 12.98% 28.17%
2 1952-10-05 45.1 @ CCA Bucuresti 3 1782 69.25% Flacara Ploiesti 0 1527 6.35% 24.40%
3 1952-10-19 45.4 @ Flacara Ploiesti 4 1542 48.64% Metalul Campia Turzii 0 1542 21.71% 29.65%
4 1952-10-19 46.0 @ CCA Bucuresti 4 1801 66.48% Flacra Petrosani 0 1591 7.84% 25.69%
5 1952-11-27 47.0 @ Campulung Moldovenesc 3 1698 60.93% Flacra Petrosani 0 1566 11.43% 27.63%
6 1952-03-16 47.3 @ Progresul Oradea 4 1649 55.56% Dynamo Brasov 0 1581 15.61% 28.83%
7 1952-11-23 47.6 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 4 1627 53.15% Dynamo Brasov 0 1584 17.66% 29.19%
8 1952-11-16 47.7 @ CCA Bucuresti 3 1815 64.42% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1636 9.07% 26.50%
9 1952-11-27 47.9 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 5 1774 69.80% Metalul Campia Turzii 1 1510 6.08% 24.12%
10 1952-09-28 48.5 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1768 61.06% Dynamo Brasov 0 1634 11.34% 27.60%
11 1952-03-23 49.0 @ Flacra Petrosani 3 1590 48.54% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1590 21.80% 29.66%
12 1952-09-07 49.3 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 5 1569 51.81% Flacara Ploiesti 1 1539 18.84% 29.36%
13 1952-03-16 49.4 @ CCA Bucuresti 3 1709 56.26% Metalul Campia Turzii 0 1634 15.03% 28.71%
14 1952-11-23 50.2 @ CCA Bucuresti 4 1823 70.66% Locomotiva Timisoara 1 1544 5.67% 23.67%
15 1952-04-13 50.4 @ Stiinta Cluj 2 1593 50.23% Metalul Campia Turzii 0 1578 20.25% 29.52%
16 1952-03-23 50.5 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1680 56.91% Stiinta Cluj 0 1597 14.51% 28.58%
17 1952-09-07 50.9 Dynamo Bucuresti 5 1732 46.70% @ Metalul Campia Turzii 0 1541 24.21% 29.09%
18 1952-09-07 50.9 @ Dynamo Brasov 2 1628 52.28% Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1594 18.42% 29.30%
19 1952-10-12 51.0 @ Metalul Campia Turzii 2 1526 42.04% Stiinta Cluj 0 1580 28.02% 29.93%
20 1952-11-09 51.2 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 4 1754 65.45% Flacara Ploiesti 1 1559 8.44% 26.11%
21 1952-08-31 51.5 @ Campulung Moldovenesc 4 1627 56.29% Flacara Ploiesti 1 1551 15.00% 28.70%
22 1952-10-30 51.7 @ Stiinta Cluj 3 1568 41.08% Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1629 28.97% 29.95%
23 1952-11-02 51.7 @ Flacra Petrosani 2 1581 46.51% Dynamo Brasov 0 1599 23.71% 29.79%
24 1952-10-05 51.8 @ Flacra Petrosani 2 1578 46.08% Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1599 24.11% 29.81%
25 1952-08-24 51.9 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1 1601 53.56% Metalul Campia Turzii 0 1553 17.30% 29.14%