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1953 Divizia A Season

121 games

Final

Champion

CCA Bucuresti

28 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Stiinta Timisoara

5.36 points above expected

20 points · 14.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Progresul Oradea

5.60 points below expected

15 points · 20.60 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 CCA Bucuresti 21 11 6 4 28 27 14 +13 28.37 -0.37
2 Dynamo Bucuresti 21 10 5 6 25 37 29 +8 27.00 -2.00
3 Flamura Rosie Arad 21 9 6 6 24 31 24 +7 22.26 +1.74
4 Dynamo Brasov 21 7 9 5 23 35 27 +8 20.07 +2.93
5 Locomotiva Bucuresti 21 5 11 5 21 23 22 +1 16.28 +4.72
6 Stiinta Timisoara 21 6 8 7 20 19 22 -3 14.64 +5.36
7 Locomotiva Targu Mures 21 7 4 10 18 28 35 -7 21.04 -3.04
8 Stiinta Cluj 21 7 4 10 18 24 31 -7 18.60 -0.60
9 Minerul Petrosani 21 6 6 9 18 23 32 -9 19.07 -1.07
10 Locomotiva Timisoara 21 4 9 8 17 14 23 -9 18.40 -1.40
11 Campulung Moldovenesc 11 5 5 1 15 14 6 +8 15.67 -0.67
12 Progresul Oradea 21 5 5 11 15 19 29 -10 20.60 -5.60

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stiinta Timisoara 20 14.64 +5.36
2 Locomotiva Bucuresti 21 16.28 +4.72
3 Dynamo Brasov 23 20.07 +2.93
4 Flamura Rosie Arad 24 22.26 +1.74
5 CCA Bucuresti 28 28.37 -0.37

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Progresul Oradea 15 20.60 -5.60
2 Locomotiva Targu Mures 18 21.04 -3.04
3 Dynamo Bucuresti 25 27.00 -2.00
4 Locomotiva Timisoara 17 18.40 -1.40
5 Minerul Petrosani 18 19.07 -1.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 CCA Bucuresti 6 May 3 – Aug 30 1 in 42
2 Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 May 8 – May 12 1 in 21
3 Dynamo Bucuresti 4 May 3 – May 17 1 in 14
4 Minerul Petrosani 2 Mar 15 – Mar 22 1 in 13
5 Flamura Rosie Arad 3 Oct 18 – Nov 8 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stiinta Cluj 4 Mar 22 – Apr 12 1 in 220
2 Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 May 3 – May 12 1 in 72
3 Minerul Petrosani 3 May 17 – Sep 6 1 in 30
4 Flamura Rosie Arad 2 May 8 – May 12 1 in 14
5 Dynamo Bucuresti 2 Apr 5 – Apr 12 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dynamo Brasov 11 May 17 – Nov 8 1 in 113
2 Locomotiva Bucuresti 7 Mar 15 – Apr 26 1 in 70
3 Locomotiva Timisoara 5 Sep 6 – Oct 11 1 in 16
4 Campulung Moldovenesc 10 Mar 15 – May 12 1 in 15
5 Stiinta Timisoara 4 Apr 12 – May 3 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dynamo Bucuresti 5 Oct 11 – Nov 15 1 in 55
2 CCA Bucuresti 5 Sep 27 – Oct 25 1 in 46
3 Minerul Petrosani 7 Apr 26 – Sep 6 1 in 13
4 Locomotiva Timisoara 7 Apr 19 – Aug 30 1 in 11
5 Progresul Oradea 5 Oct 4 – Nov 8 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
CCA Bucuresti 1658 28 +2 7 7.2 -0.2
Dynamo Bucuresti 1618 25 -21 3 6.9 -3.9
Flamura Rosie Arad 1549 24 +8 8 6.2 +1.8
Dynamo Brasov 1525 23 +23 8 5.1 +2.9
Locomotiva Bucuresti 1433 21 -6 4 3.9 +0.1
Stiinta Timisoara 1412 20 -1 4 3.9 +0.1
Stiinta Cluj 1487 18 +26 7 4.8 +2.2
Locomotiva Targu Mures 1493 18 -9 5 4.5 +0.5
Minerul Petrosani 1457 18 +3 4 4.7 -0.7
Locomotiva Timisoara 1464 17 -2 4 3.9 +0.1
Campulung Moldovenesc 1612 15 +21 7 6.0 +1.0
Progresul Oradea 1475 15 -17 2 5.0 -3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CB CM DB DB FRA LB LTM LT MP PO SC ST
CCA Bucuresti —
0-0-1
1.27
1-1-0
4.12
0-0-2
2.97
0-2-0
3.50
1-1-0
4.05
2-0-0
3.64
2-0-0
3.89
0-1-1
3.90
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
4.18
Campulung Moldovenesc
1-0-0
1.39
 —
0-1-0
1.96
1-0-0
1.57
1-0-0
1.82
0-1-0
1.73
0-0-1
1.49
0-1-0
1.98
0-1-0
1.33
1-0-0
1.33
1-0-0
1.50
0-1-0
1.79
Dynamo Brasov
0-1-1
1.27
0-1-0
0.73
 —
1-0-1
1.77
1-1-0
2.33
0-2-0
3.17
2-0-0
2.64
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.76
0-2-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.40
Dynamo Bucuresti
2-0-0
2.36
0-0-1
1.09
1-0-1
3.59
 —
0-1-1
3.28
1-0-1
3.99
1-0-1
3.57
0-2-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.68
1-1-0
4.39
Flamura Rosie Arad
0-2-0
1.85
0-0-1
0.85
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.06
 —
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
3.01
2-0-0
3.07
2-0-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.94
1-1-0
3.63
Locomotiva Bucuresti
0-1-1
1.36
0-1-0
0.94
0-2-0
2.16
1-0-1
1.41
1-0-1
2.02
 —
0-2-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.38
2-0-0
2.26
1-1-0
2.11
0-1-1
2.41
0-2-0
2.86
Locomotiva Targu Mures
0-0-2
1.72
1-0-0
1.17
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
1.79
2-0-0
2.32
0-2-0
3.29
 —
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.96
0-1-1
3.37
Locomotiva Timisoara
0-0-2
1.50
0-1-0
0.71
0-1-1
2.51
0-2-0
1.72
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.35
 —
0-2-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
2.53
0-1-1
3.24
Minerul Petrosani
1-1-0
1.48
0-1-0
1.33
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
1.84
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
3.07
1-0-1
2.46
0-2-0
2.70
 —
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
3.27
Progresul Oradea
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-1
1.33
0-2-0
2.54
0-0-2
1.99
1-1-0
2.51
0-1-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.89
 —
0-1-1
2.79
1-0-1
3.43
Stiinta Cluj
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-1
1.16
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
1.68
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
2.92
2-0-0
2.37
0-0-2
2.80
0-1-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.53
 —
1-0-1
3.27
Stiinta Timisoara
0-1-1
1.25
0-1-0
0.89
1-0-1
1.95
0-1-1
1.06
0-1-1
1.73
0-2-0
2.46
1-1-0
1.98
1-1-0
2.09
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
1.92
1-0-1
2.08
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.54 +4.0
Allowed 0.01 -0.5
Differential 0.54 +3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.40%9.50%6.61%3.31%0.83%0.41%33.06%
19.50%14.05%5.79%2.89%1.24%—33.47%
26.61%5.79%4.13%0.83%0.83%1.24%19.42%
33.31%2.89%0.83%1.65%—0.41%9.09%
40.83%1.24%0.83%———2.89%
5+0.41%—1.24%0.41%——2.07%
Total33.06%33.47%19.42%9.09%2.89%2.07%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.64
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 121

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%4.76%————19.05%
123.81%14.29%9.52%4.76%——52.38%
24.76%9.52%————14.29%
34.76%4.76%————9.52%
44.76%—————4.76%
5+———————
Total52.38%33.33%9.52%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 0.67 +0.62
SD 1.06 0.86 1.40
CV 0.82 1.28 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%————27.27%
19.09%27.27%————36.36%
2—18.18%————18.18%
318.18%—————18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%54.55%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.55 +0.73
SD 1.10 0.52 1.27
CV 0.87 0.96 —
Max 3 1 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%14.29%————23.81%
1—14.29%—4.76%——19.05%
24.76%9.52%19.05%4.76%——38.10%
34.76%4.76%————9.52%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+———4.76%——4.76%
Total19.05%47.62%19.05%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.29 +0.38
SD 1.35 0.96 1.36
CV 0.81 0.74 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%—4.76%———14.29%
14.76%9.52%9.52%4.76%——28.57%
214.29%9.52%—4.76%4.76%—33.33%
3—4.76%4.76%4.76%——14.29%
4—4.76%4.76%———9.52%
5+———————
Total28.57%28.57%23.81%14.29%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.38 +0.38
SD 1.18 1.20 1.50
CV 0.67 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%9.52%—9.52%——33.33%
14.76%9.52%9.52%———23.81%
29.52%9.52%4.76%———23.81%
3—9.52%————9.52%
4———————
5+——9.52%———9.52%
Total28.57%38.10%23.81%9.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.14 +0.33
SD 1.54 0.96 1.68
CV 1.04 0.84 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%4.76%————19.05%
114.29%28.57%9.52%9.52%——61.90%
24.76%—9.52%———14.29%
3———————
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+———————
Total33.33%38.10%19.05%9.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.05 +0.05
SD 0.89 0.97 1.16
CV 0.81 0.93 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.52%14.29%4.76%—4.76%33.33%
19.52%14.29%9.52%———33.33%
2—4.76%4.76%———9.52%
39.52%—4.76%——4.76%19.05%
4———————
5+——4.76%———4.76%
Total19.05%28.57%38.10%4.76%—9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.67 -0.33
SD 1.39 1.39 2.03
CV 1.04 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.81%9.52%4.76%4.76%4.76%—47.62%
14.76%19.05%9.52%4.76%——38.10%
29.52%4.76%————14.29%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total38.10%33.33%14.29%9.52%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.10 -0.43
SD 0.73 1.18 1.47
CV 1.10 1.08 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%14.29%9.52%4.76%——33.33%
114.29%14.29%——9.52%—38.10%
29.52%————4.76%14.29%
34.76%——9.52%——14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%28.57%9.52%14.29%9.52%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.52 -0.43
SD 1.04 1.57 1.78
CV 0.95 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%23.81%4.76%—4.76%—42.86%
14.76%9.52%4.76%4.76%4.76%—28.57%
214.29%—4.76%——4.76%23.81%
34.76%—————4.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%14.29%4.76%9.52%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.38 -0.48
SD 0.94 1.50 1.81
CV 1.04 1.09 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%23.81%9.52%——52.38%
114.29%—————14.29%
24.76%—4.76%——4.76%14.29%
3—4.76%—4.76%——9.52%
4——4.76%———4.76%
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total33.33%14.29%33.33%14.29%—4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.48 -0.33
SD 1.53 1.36 2.08
CV 1.34 0.92 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.81%4.76%14.29%4.76%——47.62%
19.52%14.29%4.76%———28.57%
2—9.52%——4.76%—14.29%
3—4.76%————4.76%
44.76%—————4.76%
5+———————
Total38.10%33.33%19.05%4.76%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.05 -0.14
SD 1.14 1.12 1.59
CV 1.26 1.07 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
CCA Bucuresti 1658 28 29.37 -1.37 38.0% 19 23 27 30 32 35 39
Dynamo Bucuresti 1618 25 28.00 -3.00 22.0% 18 21 26 28 31 33 34
Campulung Moldovenesc 1612 15 26.67 -11.67 0.0% 17 20 24 27 30 33 34
Flamura Rosie Arad 1549 24 23.26 +0.74 62.0% 17 18 21 23 26 29 31
Dynamo Brasov 1525 23 21.07 +1.93 73.0% 13 15 18 21 24 27 29
Locomotiva Targu Mures 1493 18 22.04 -4.04 15.0% 14 17 20 22 24 27 30
Stiinta Cluj 1487 18 19.60 -1.60 35.0% 10 14 18 19 22 26 30
Progresul Oradea 1475 15 21.60 -6.60 8.0% 11 15 20 22 24 27 29
Locomotiva Timisoara 1464 17 19.40 -2.40 29.0% 11 14 17 20 22 25 27
Minerul Petrosani 1457 18 20.07 -2.07 32.0% 12 14 17 20 23 26 28
Locomotiva Bucuresti 1433 21 17.28 +3.72 87.0% 8 10 15 17 21 22 25
Stiinta Timisoara 1412 20 15.64 +4.36 91.0% 8 9 14 15 18 22 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20% * Slight Edge: 20% to 34.5% * Clear Edge: 34.5% to 50.5% * Strong Edge: 50.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.88%
No Edge
41.32%32.23%26.45%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 52.07 Elo pts.
306 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.18 * Runaway: 0.18 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
CCA Bucuresti, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.76 * Some Luck: 2.76 to 4.14 * Lucky: 4.14 to 5.52 * Wild Swing: 5.52 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.01 * Close: 2.01 to 3.02 * Off: 3.02 to 4.03 * Way Off: 4.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.00 points
Some Luck
03.459
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.83
Close
02.526
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.60%
Stiinta Timisoara
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.46%
Progresul Oradea
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.11 * Even: 0.11 to 0.13 * Top-Heavy: 0.13 to 0.16 * Lopsided: 0.16 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.15 * Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.4 * Strong Separation: 1.4 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 65% * Clear Edge: 65% to 69.5% * Wide Edge: 69.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 89.5% * Strong Edge: 89.5% to 94% * Dominant: 94% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55% * Some Drama: 55% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 66% * Very Frequent: 66% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14% * Occasional: 14% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21.5% * Very Frequent: 21.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.110.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 78.42
1.12
Coin-Flip Parity
0.751.151.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%61%69.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Even
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Occasional
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.5 * Notable Separation: 0.5 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.51 * Strong Carryover: 0.51 to 0.66 * Near-Lock: 0.66 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 17% * Shaky Favorites: 17% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.66
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.76
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.29
Weak Carryover
00.370.510.661
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.31 * Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.
Probability calibration
0.57
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.54
Overconfident
0.4000521.001.59995
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.089
Well Within Noise
00.1540.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
CCA Bucuresti50.00%20.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%———
Dynamo Bucuresti27.00%32.00%19.00%12.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%———
Flamura Rosie Arad2.00%10.00%13.00%19.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
Dynamo Brasov1.00%2.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%16.00%5.00%10.00%3.00%
Locomotiva Bucuresti———2.00%4.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%23.00%22.00%
Stiinta Timisoara———1.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%20.00%30.00%35.00%
Locomotiva Targu Mures—4.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%15.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%
Stiinta Cluj1.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%17.00%17.00%19.00%7.00%11.00%
Minerul Petrosani—2.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%16.00%11.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%
Locomotiva Timisoara—1.00%1.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%14.00%16.00%6.00%13.00%
Campulung Moldovenesc19.00%25.00%18.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%——
Progresul Oradea—2.00%13.00%7.00%13.00%14.00%13.00%12.00%4.00%11.00%8.00%3.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
CCA Bucuresti 100% —
Campulung Moldovenesc 100% —
Dynamo Bucuresti 100% —
Flamura Rosie Arad 99.00% 1.00%
Locomotiva Targu Mures 98.00% 2.00%
Dynamo Brasov 97.00% 3.00%
Progresul Oradea 97.00% 3.00%
Minerul Petrosani 90.00% 10.00%
Stiinta Cluj 89.00% 11.00%
Locomotiva Timisoara 87.00% 13.00%
Locomotiva Bucuresti 78.00% 22.00%
Stiinta Timisoara 65.00% 35.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1953-03-14 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-156.8 1645 1524 56.21% 31.06% 12.73%+0.57 +2.5 2
1953-03-14 @ CCA Bucuresti L 1-256.8 1524 1645 12.73% 31.06% 56.21%-0.57 -2.5 0
1953-03-15 Stiinta Cluj L 0-155.1 1492 1511 40.91% 34.06% 25.03%+0.11 -6.6 0
1953-03-15 @ Dynamo Brasov W 1-055.1 1511 1492 25.03% 34.06% 40.91%-0.11 +6.6 2
1953-03-15 Progresul Oradea W 1-051.2 1489 1522 39.10% 34.14% 26.75%+0.06 +4.9 2
1953-03-15 @ Minerul Petrosani L 0-151.2 1522 1489 26.75% 34.14% 39.10%-0.06 -4.9 0
1953-03-15 Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-156.3 1381 1483 29.68% 33.91% 36.41%-0.16 +0.2 1
1953-03-15 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 1-156.3 1483 1381 36.41% 33.91% 29.68%+0.16 -0.2 1
1953-03-15 Campulung Moldovenesc D 1-161.0 1402 1584 20.65% 32.38% 46.98%-0.43 +0.8 1
1953-03-15 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-161.0 1584 1402 46.98% 32.38% 20.65%+0.43 -0.9 1
1953-03-15 Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-163.5 1532 1617 31.95% 34.06% 33.99%-0.11 +5.4 2
1953-03-15 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-263.5 1617 1532 33.99% 34.06% 31.95%+0.11 -5.4 0
1953-03-22 Flamura Rosie Arad W 1-052.3 1517 1537 40.75% 34.07% 25.18%+0.10 +4.7 2
1953-03-22 @ Progresul Oradea L 0-152.3 1537 1517 25.18% 34.07% 40.75%-0.10 -4.7 2
1953-03-22 CCA Bucuresti W 2-164.6 1584 1648 34.87% 34.17% 30.96%-0.04 +5.1 3
1953-03-22 @ Campulung Moldovenesc L 1-264.6 1648 1584 30.96% 34.17% 34.87%+0.04 -5.1 2
1953-03-22 Locomotiva Bucuresti D 0-052.7 1483 1403 52.18% 32.33% 15.49%+0.43 -1.4 2
1953-03-22 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-052.7 1403 1483 15.49% 32.33% 52.18%-0.43 +1.4 2
1953-03-22 Minerul Petrosani L 0-253.2 1521 1494 46.55% 33.49% 19.96%+0.26 -13.7 0
1953-03-22 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-053.2 1494 1521 19.96% 33.49% 46.55%-0.26 +13.7 4
1953-03-22 Dynamo Brasov W 3-259.1 1612 1485 56.70% 30.88% 12.43%+0.58 +2.4 2
1953-03-22 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-359.1 1485 1612 12.43% 30.88% 56.70%-0.58 -2.4 0
1953-03-22 Stiinta Timisoara L 0-155.3 1517 1381 57.57% 30.54% 11.89%+0.62 -8.7 2
1953-03-22 @ Stiinta Cluj W 1-055.3 1381 1517 11.89% 30.54% 57.57%-0.62 +8.7 3
1953-03-29 Locomotiva Bucuresti D 2-264.0 1508 1404 54.51% 31.64% 13.85%+0.51 -1.0 1
1953-03-29 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures D 2-264.0 1404 1508 13.85% 31.64% 54.51%-0.51 +1.0 3
1953-03-29 Locomotiva Timisoara W 3-042.2 1483 1482 43.45% 33.87% 22.68%+0.17 +11.9 2
1953-03-29 @ Dynamo Brasov L 0-342.2 1482 1483 22.68% 33.87% 43.45%-0.17 -11.9 2
1953-03-29 Minerul Petrosani D 1-167.1 1643 1508 57.48% 30.57% 11.95%+0.61 -1.6 3
1953-03-29 @ CCA Bucuresti D 1-167.1 1508 1643 11.95% 30.57% 57.48%-0.61 +1.6 5
1953-03-29 Campulung Moldovenesc D 0-056.0 1390 1589 19.13% 31.91% 48.96%-0.48 +1.1 4
1953-03-29 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 0-056.0 1589 1390 48.96% 31.91% 19.13%+0.48 -1.1 4
1953-03-29 Stiinta Cluj W 5-251.3 1533 1509 46.14% 33.55% 20.31%+0.25 +8.0 4
1953-03-29 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 2-551.3 1509 1533 20.31% 33.55% 46.14%-0.25 -8.0 2
1953-03-30 Progresul Oradea W 4-149.9 1614 1522 53.44% 31.97% 14.58%+0.47 +7.1 4
1953-03-30 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-449.9 1522 1614 14.58% 31.97% 53.44%-0.47 -7.1 2
1953-04-05 Stiinta Timisoara W 3-036.3 1515 1391 56.44% 30.97% 12.59%+0.57 +7.3 4
1953-04-05 @ Progresul Oradea L 0-336.3 1391 1515 12.59% 30.97% 56.44%-0.57 -7.3 4
1953-04-05 Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-153.4 1470 1507 38.55% 34.16% 27.29%+0.05 -6.3 2
1953-04-05 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-053.4 1507 1470 27.29% 34.16% 38.55%-0.05 +6.3 3
1953-04-05 Campulung Moldovenesc D 1-164.4 1509 1588 32.92% 34.11% 32.97%-0.09 +0.0 6
1953-04-05 @ Minerul Petrosani D 1-164.4 1588 1509 32.97% 34.11% 32.92%+0.09 -0.0 5
1953-04-05 Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-054.3 1406 1621 17.71% 31.38% 50.91%-0.53 +14.6 5
1953-04-05 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti L 0-254.3 1621 1406 50.91% 31.38% 17.71%+0.53 -14.6 4
1953-04-05 CCA Bucuresti L 0-251.0 1501 1641 24.97% 33.33% 41.69%-0.29 -8.7 2
1953-04-05 @ Stiinta Cluj W 2-051.0 1641 1501 41.69% 33.33% 24.97%+0.29 +8.7 5
1953-04-05 Dynamo Brasov D 2-268.0 1541 1495 48.61% 33.14% 18.25%+0.32 -0.7 5
1953-04-05 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 2-268.0 1495 1541 18.25% 33.14% 48.61%-0.32 +0.7 3
1953-04-12 Dynamo Bucuresti W 2-162.0 1588 1607 40.89% 34.07% 25.04%+0.11 +4.4 7
1953-04-12 @ Campulung Moldovenesc L 1-262.0 1607 1588 25.04% 34.07% 40.89%-0.11 -4.4 4
1953-04-12 Progresul Oradea W 5-252.3 1513 1522 42.16% 33.98% 23.86%+0.14 +9.0 5
1953-04-12 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 2-552.3 1522 1513 23.86% 33.98% 42.16%-0.14 -9.0 4
1953-04-12 Locomotiva Bucuresti D 2-263.8 1496 1420 51.74% 32.44% 15.81%+0.42 -0.9 4
1953-04-12 @ Dynamo Brasov D 2-263.8 1420 1496 15.81% 32.44% 51.74%-0.42 +0.9 6
1953-04-12 Flamura Rosie Arad D 0-063.1 1650 1540 55.15% 31.43% 13.42%+0.53 -1.6 6
1953-04-12 @ CCA Bucuresti D 0-063.1 1540 1650 13.42% 31.43% 55.15%-0.53 +1.6 6
1953-04-12 Minerul Petrosani W 1-050.7 1384 1509 26.73% 33.59% 39.68%-0.24 +6.4 6
1953-04-12 @ Stiinta Timisoara L 0-150.7 1509 1384 39.68% 33.59% 26.73%+0.24 -6.4 6
1953-04-12 Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-251.0 1492 1463 46.67% 33.47% 19.85%+0.26 -13.8 2
1953-04-12 @ Stiinta Cluj W 2-051.0 1463 1492 19.85% 33.47% 46.67%-0.26 +13.7 4
1953-04-19 Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-059.5 1592 1477 55.61% 31.27% 13.12%+0.55 -1.6 8
1953-04-19 @ Campulung Moldovenesc D 0-059.5 1477 1592 13.12% 31.27% 55.61%-0.55 +1.6 5
1953-04-19 Stiinta Cluj L 0-157.0 1522 1478 48.38% 33.18% 18.43%+0.31 -7.5 5
1953-04-19 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 1-057.0 1478 1522 18.43% 33.18% 48.38%-0.31 +7.5 4
1953-04-19 Dynamo Brasov W 1-049.1 1503 1495 44.28% 33.79% 21.94%+0.20 +4.2 8
1953-04-19 @ Minerul Petrosani L 0-149.1 1495 1503 21.94% 33.79% 44.28%-0.20 -4.2 4
1953-04-19 Flamura Rosie Arad D 0-054.0 1390 1542 23.75% 33.11% 43.14%-0.33 +0.7 7
1953-04-19 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 0-054.0 1542 1390 43.14% 33.11% 23.75%+0.33 -0.7 7
1953-04-19 Progresul Oradea D 1-158.6 1421 1513 31.02% 34.01% 34.97%-0.13 +0.1 7
1953-04-19 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-158.6 1513 1421 34.97% 34.01% 31.02%+0.13 -0.1 5
1953-04-22 CCA Bucuresti W 2-164.1 1602 1648 37.37% 34.18% 28.45%+0.02 +4.8 6
1953-04-22 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-264.1 1648 1602 28.45% 34.18% 37.37%-0.02 -4.8 6
1953-04-26 Campulung Moldovenesc L 0-156.3 1513 1590 33.05% 34.11% 32.84%-0.08 -5.6 5
1953-04-26 @ Progresul Oradea W 1-056.3 1590 1513 32.84% 34.11% 33.05%+0.08 +5.6 10
1953-04-26 Dynamo Bucuresti D 0-059.4 1479 1607 26.39% 33.55% 40.06%-0.25 +0.5 6
1953-04-26 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-059.4 1607 1479 40.06% 33.55% 26.39%+0.25 -0.5 7
1953-04-26 Stiinta Timisoara D 1-155.1 1421 1391 46.88% 33.44% 19.68%+0.27 -0.9 8
1953-04-26 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-155.1 1391 1421 19.68% 33.44% 46.88%-0.27 +0.9 8
1953-04-26 Minerul Petrosani D 3-369.6 1486 1507 40.60% 34.08% 25.32%+0.10 -0.3 5
1953-04-26 @ Stiinta Cluj D 3-369.6 1507 1486 25.32% 34.08% 40.60%-0.10 +0.3 9
1953-04-26 Locomotiva Targu Mures L 1-264.0 1541 1515 46.41% 33.51% 20.07%+0.26 -6.8 7
1953-04-26 @ Flamura Rosie Arad W 2-164.0 1515 1541 20.07% 33.51% 46.41%-0.26 +6.8 7
1953-05-03 Dynamo Brasov D 1-164.9 1596 1490 54.73% 31.57% 13.70%+0.52 -1.4 11
1953-05-03 @ Campulung Moldovenesc D 1-164.9 1490 1596 13.70% 31.57% 54.73%-0.52 +1.4 5
1953-05-03 Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-259.6 1479 1534 36.17% 34.18% 29.65%-0.01 -5.6 6
1953-05-03 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 2-159.6 1534 1479 29.65% 34.18% 36.17%+0.01 +5.7 9
1953-05-03 Stiinta Timisoara L 1-261.2 1521 1392 56.99% 30.76% 12.24%+0.59 -8.1 7
1953-05-03 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-161.2 1392 1521 12.24% 30.76% 56.99%-0.59 +8.1 10
1953-05-03 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 1-045.4 1643 1420 64.90% 26.98% 8.12%+0.90 +1.7 8
1953-05-03 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-145.4 1420 1643 8.12% 26.98% 64.90%-0.90 -1.7 8
1953-05-03 Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-251.9 1507 1607 30.06% 33.94% 36.00%-0.15 -10.0 9
1953-05-03 @ Minerul Petrosani W 2-051.9 1607 1507 36.00% 33.94% 30.06%+0.15 +10.0 9
1953-05-03 Progresul Oradea W 1-050.1 1485 1507 40.54% 34.08% 25.37%+0.10 +4.7 7
1953-05-03 @ Stiinta Cluj L 0-150.1 1507 1485 25.37% 34.08% 40.54%-0.10 -4.7 5
1953-05-06 Dynamo Brasov W 1-049.5 1645 1492 59.10% 29.90% 11.00%+0.67 +2.3 10
1953-05-06 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-149.5 1492 1645 11.00% 29.90% 59.10%-0.67 -2.3 5
1953-05-08 Locomotiva Timisoara W 2-043.7 1503 1474 46.72% 33.47% 19.81%+0.27 +7.4 7
1953-05-08 @ Progresul Oradea L 0-243.7 1474 1503 19.81% 33.47% 46.72%-0.27 -7.4 6
1953-05-08 Flamura Rosie Arad W 3-046.4 1595 1540 49.58% 32.95% 17.47%+0.35 +9.8 13
1953-05-08 @ Campulung Moldovenesc L 0-346.4 1540 1595 17.47% 32.95% 49.58%-0.35 -9.8 9
1953-05-08 Dynamo Brasov L 3-563.1 1513 1489 46.11% 33.56% 20.33%+0.25 -10.0 7
1953-05-08 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 5-363.1 1489 1513 20.33% 33.56% 46.11%-0.25 +10.0 7
1953-05-08 Stiinta Cluj W 2-045.4 1617 1490 56.68% 30.88% 12.43%+0.58 +5.0 11
1953-05-08 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-245.4 1490 1617 12.43% 30.88% 56.68%-0.58 -5.0 7
1953-05-08 Minerul Petrosani W 4-148.4 1419 1497 32.83% 34.11% 33.06%-0.09 +13.0 10
1953-05-08 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti L 1-448.4 1497 1419 33.06% 34.11% 32.83%+0.09 -13.0 9
1953-05-09 CCA Bucuresti L 0-147.9 1400 1648 15.33% 30.26% 54.41%-0.64 -3.1 10
1953-05-09 @ Stiinta Timisoara W 1-047.9 1648 1400 54.41% 30.26% 15.33%+0.64 +3.1 12
1953-05-12 Minerul Petrosani D 0-054.3 1466 1484 40.99% 34.06% 24.95%+0.11 -0.5 7
1953-05-12 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-054.3 1484 1466 24.95% 34.06% 40.99%-0.11 +0.5 10
1953-05-12 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 1-050.1 1622 1503 55.93% 31.16% 12.91%+0.56 +2.7 13
1953-05-12 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-150.1 1503 1622 12.91% 31.16% 55.93%-0.56 -2.7 7
1953-05-12 Campulung Moldovenesc L 0-348.2 1485 1604 27.51% 33.69% 38.80%-0.22 -13.6 7
1953-05-12 @ Stiinta Cluj W 3-048.2 1604 1485 38.80% 33.69% 27.51%+0.22 +13.6 15
1953-05-12 Locomotiva Bucuresti L 0-156.8 1530 1432 54.03% 31.79% 14.17%+0.49 -8.2 9
1953-05-12 @ Flamura Rosie Arad W 1-056.8 1432 1530 14.17% 31.79% 54.03%-0.49 +8.2 12
1953-05-13 CCA Bucuresti L 1-260.9 1510 1651 24.97% 33.33% 41.70%-0.29 -4.3 7
1953-05-13 @ Progresul Oradea W 2-160.9 1651 1510 41.70% 33.33% 24.97%+0.29 +4.4 14
1953-05-13 Stiinta Timisoara L 1-356.2 1499 1397 54.46% 31.66% 13.88%+0.51 -13.6 7
1953-05-13 @ Dynamo Brasov W 3-156.2 1397 1499 13.88% 31.66% 54.46%-0.51 +13.6 12
1953-05-17 Campulung Moldovenesc W 1-058.4 1501 1618 27.73% 33.72% 38.55%-0.21 +6.2 9
1953-05-17 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-158.4 1618 1501 38.55% 33.72% 27.73%+0.21 -6.2 15
1953-05-17 Progresul Oradea D 2-266.1 1486 1506 40.81% 34.07% 25.12%+0.11 -0.3 8
1953-05-17 @ Dynamo Brasov D 2-266.1 1506 1486 25.12% 34.07% 40.81%-0.11 +0.4 8
1953-05-17 Stiinta Timisoara W 4-249.6 1624 1410 64.17% 27.39% 8.44%+0.87 +2.6 15
1953-05-17 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 2-449.6 1410 1624 8.44% 27.39% 64.17%-0.87 -2.6 12
1953-05-17 Locomotiva Timisoara W 4-042.1 1655 1466 62.17% 28.45% 9.38%+0.79 +7.1 16
1953-05-17 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-442.1 1466 1655 9.38% 28.45% 62.17%-0.79 -7.1 7
1953-05-17 Flamura Rosie Arad L 2-555.7 1485 1522 38.61% 34.16% 27.23%+0.05 -12.6 10
1953-05-17 @ Minerul Petrosani W 5-255.7 1522 1485 27.23% 34.16% 38.61%-0.05 +12.6 11
1953-05-17 Stiinta Cluj D 0-052.9 1440 1472 39.26% 34.14% 26.60%+0.07 -0.4 13
1953-05-17 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 0-052.9 1472 1440 26.60% 34.14% 39.26%-0.07 +0.4 8
1953-08-27 Flamura Rosie Arad D 1-167.0 1627 1534 53.47% 31.96% 14.57%+0.47 -1.3 16
1953-08-27 @ Dynamo Bucuresti D 1-167.0 1534 1627 14.57% 31.96% 53.47%-0.47 +1.3 12
1953-08-30 Minerul Petrosani W 2-043.7 1506 1472 47.23% 33.38% 19.38%+0.28 +7.3 10
1953-08-30 @ Progresul Oradea L 0-243.7 1472 1506 19.38% 33.38% 47.23%-0.28 -7.3 10
1953-08-30 Stiinta Timisoara L 1-258.0 1458 1408 49.14% 33.04% 17.82%+0.34 -7.2 7
1953-08-30 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 2-158.0 1408 1458 17.82% 33.04% 49.14%-0.34 +7.2 14
1953-08-30 CCA Bucuresti L 0-349.1 1507 1662 23.35% 33.03% 43.62%-0.34 -12.0 9
1953-08-30 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures W 3-049.1 1662 1507 43.62% 33.03% 23.35%+0.34 +12.0 18
1953-08-30 Dynamo Brasov D 2-264.9 1472 1486 41.61% 34.02% 24.37%+0.13 -0.4 9
1953-08-30 @ Stiinta Cluj D 2-264.9 1486 1472 24.37% 34.02% 41.61%-0.13 +0.4 9
1953-09-06 Dynamo Bucuresti W 3-160.5 1486 1626 25.08% 33.35% 41.57%-0.29 +10.8 11
1953-09-06 @ Dynamo Brasov L 1-360.5 1626 1486 41.57% 33.35% 25.08%+0.29 -10.8 16
1953-09-06 Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-347.2 1465 1495 39.54% 34.13% 26.33%+0.07 -17.5 10
1953-09-06 @ Minerul Petrosani W 3-047.2 1495 1465 26.33% 34.13% 39.54%-0.07 +17.5 11
1953-09-06 Stiinta Cluj L 0-245.6 1415 1472 35.91% 34.18% 29.91%-0.02 -11.2 14
1953-09-06 @ Stiinta Timisoara W 2-045.6 1472 1415 29.91% 34.18% 35.91%+0.02 +11.2 11
1953-09-06 Locomotiva Timisoara L 1-256.9 1439 1451 41.81% 34.01% 24.18%+0.13 -6.3 13
1953-09-06 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti W 2-156.9 1451 1439 24.18% 34.01% 41.81%-0.13 +6.3 9
1953-09-06 Progresul Oradea D 0-058.1 1536 1513 45.94% 33.58% 20.48%+0.24 -0.9 13
1953-09-06 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 0-058.1 1513 1536 20.48% 33.58% 45.94%-0.24 +0.9 11
1953-09-13 Dynamo Bucuresti L 0-252.3 1514 1615 29.88% 33.93% 36.19%-0.16 -9.9 11
1953-09-13 @ Progresul Oradea W 2-052.3 1615 1514 36.19% 33.93% 29.88%+0.16 +9.9 18
1953-09-13 Dynamo Brasov D 0-054.4 1458 1497 38.29% 34.17% 27.54%+0.04 -0.4 10
1953-09-13 @ Locomotiva Timisoara D 0-054.4 1497 1458 27.54% 34.17% 38.29%-0.04 +0.4 12
1953-09-13 CCA Bucuresti W 1-061.7 1448 1674 16.87% 31.02% 52.11%-0.57 +7.9 12
1953-09-13 @ Minerul Petrosani L 0-161.7 1674 1448 52.11% 31.02% 16.87%+0.57 -7.9 18
1953-09-13 Locomotiva Targu Mures D 1-158.9 1433 1512 32.79% 34.10% 33.10%-0.09 +0.0 14
1953-09-13 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-158.9 1512 1433 33.10% 34.10% 32.79%+0.09 -0.0 12
1953-09-13 Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-250.5 1483 1535 36.59% 34.19% 29.23%+0.00 -11.4 11
1953-09-13 @ Stiinta Cluj W 2-050.5 1535 1483 29.23% 34.19% 36.59%+0.00 +11.4 15
1953-09-20 Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-160.2 1512 1457 49.60% 32.94% 17.45%+0.35 -1.1 13
1953-09-20 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures D 1-160.2 1457 1512 17.45% 32.94% 49.60%-0.35 +1.1 11
1953-09-20 Flamura Rosie Arad W 2-158.5 1497 1546 36.97% 34.18% 28.85%+0.01 +4.9 14
1953-09-20 @ Dynamo Brasov L 1-258.5 1546 1497 28.85% 34.18% 36.97%-0.01 -4.8 15
1953-09-20 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 2-151.4 1625 1433 62.34% 28.36% 9.30%+0.80 +1.8 20
1953-09-20 @ Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-251.4 1433 1625 9.30% 28.36% 62.34%-0.80 -1.8 14
1953-09-20 Stiinta Cluj W 1-048.5 1666 1471 62.60% 28.23% 9.17%+0.81 +1.9 20
1953-09-20 @ CCA Bucuresti L 0-148.5 1471 1666 9.17% 28.23% 62.60%-0.81 -1.9 11
1953-09-20 Progresul Oradea W 4-044.2 1404 1504 29.86% 33.92% 36.22%-0.16 +21.4 16
1953-09-20 @ Stiinta Timisoara L 0-444.2 1504 1404 36.22% 33.92% 29.86%+0.16 -21.4 11
1953-09-27 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-046.5 1483 1511 39.71% 34.12% 26.16%+0.08 +9.1 13
1953-09-27 @ Progresul Oradea L 0-246.5 1511 1483 26.16% 34.12% 39.71%-0.08 -9.1 13
1953-09-27 Stiinta Cluj W 2-043.4 1458 1470 41.89% 34.00% 24.11%+0.13 +8.6 13
1953-09-27 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-243.4 1470 1458 24.11% 34.00% 41.89%-0.13 -8.6 11
1953-09-27 Stiinta Timisoara W 2-040.4 1456 1425 46.89% 33.44% 19.67%+0.27 +7.4 14
1953-09-27 @ Minerul Petrosani L 0-240.4 1425 1456 19.67% 33.44% 46.89%-0.27 -7.4 16
1953-09-27 Dynamo Brasov D 1-158.5 1431 1502 33.99% 34.15% 31.86%-0.06 -0.1 15
1953-09-27 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-158.5 1502 1431 31.86% 34.15% 33.99%+0.06 +0.1 15
1953-09-27 CCA Bucuresti D 1-167.7 1541 1668 26.56% 33.57% 39.87%-0.24 +0.4 16
1953-09-27 @ Flamura Rosie Arad D 1-167.7 1668 1541 39.87% 33.57% 26.56%+0.24 -0.4 21
1953-10-04 Locomotiva Bucuresti L 0-154.6 1492 1431 50.22% 32.81% 16.97%+0.37 -7.7 13
1953-10-04 @ Progresul Oradea W 1-054.6 1431 1492 16.97% 32.81% 50.22%-0.37 +7.8 17
1953-10-04 Minerul Petrosani W 4-145.6 1502 1463 47.85% 33.28% 18.87%+0.30 +8.8 17
1953-10-04 @ Dynamo Brasov L 1-445.6 1463 1502 18.87% 33.28% 47.85%-0.30 -8.8 14
1953-10-04 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 5-044.5 1461 1502 38.02% 34.17% 27.81%+0.04 +22.1 13
1953-10-04 @ Stiinta Cluj L 0-544.5 1502 1461 27.81% 34.17% 38.02%-0.04 -22.1 13
1953-10-04 Stiinta Timisoara W 2-040.2 1542 1418 56.46% 30.96% 12.57%+0.58 +5.0 18
1953-10-04 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-240.2 1418 1542 12.57% 30.96% 56.46%-0.58 -5.0 16
1953-10-06 Dynamo Bucuresti L 1-366.5 1668 1626 48.09% 33.24% 18.67%+0.30 -12.2 21
1953-10-06 @ CCA Bucuresti W 3-166.5 1626 1668 18.67% 33.24% 48.09%-0.30 +12.2 22
1953-10-11 Flamura Rosie Arad W 3-047.2 1480 1547 34.55% 34.16% 31.29%-0.05 +14.9 15
1953-10-11 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 0-347.2 1547 1480 31.29% 34.16% 34.55%+0.05 -14.9 18
1953-10-11 Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-166.2 1639 1467 60.70% 29.17% 10.13%+0.73 -1.8 23
1953-10-11 @ Dynamo Bucuresti D 1-166.2 1467 1639 10.13% 29.17% 60.70%-0.73 +1.8 14
1953-10-11 Dynamo Brasov D 0-062.9 1655 1511 58.35% 30.22% 11.43%+0.64 -1.8 22
1953-10-11 @ CCA Bucuresti D 0-062.9 1511 1655 11.43% 30.22% 58.35%-0.64 +1.8 18
1953-10-11 Stiinta Cluj W 3-042.4 1454 1483 39.63% 34.13% 26.25%+0.08 +13.2 16
1953-10-11 @ Minerul Petrosani L 0-342.4 1483 1454 26.25% 34.13% 39.63%-0.08 -13.2 13
1953-10-11 Locomotiva Bucuresti D 0-051.1 1413 1439 39.96% 34.11% 25.93%+0.08 -0.5 17
1953-10-11 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 0-051.1 1439 1413 25.93% 34.11% 39.96%-0.08 +0.5 18
1953-10-17 CCA Bucuresti D 1-165.1 1439 1654 17.83% 31.42% 50.75%-0.53 +1.1 19
1953-10-17 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti D 1-165.1 1654 1439 50.75% 31.42% 17.83%+0.53 -1.1 23
1953-10-18 Stiinta Cluj D 0-054.6 1484 1470 45.01% 33.70% 21.29%+0.22 -0.8 14
1953-10-18 @ Progresul Oradea D 0-054.6 1470 1484 21.29% 33.70% 45.01%-0.22 +0.8 14
1953-10-18 Minerul Petrosani D 3-375.1 1637 1467 60.50% 29.27% 10.23%+0.72 -1.1 24
1953-10-18 @ Dynamo Bucuresti D 3-375.1 1467 1637 10.23% 29.27% 60.50%-0.72 +1.1 17
1953-10-18 Locomotiva Targu Mures D 1-157.6 1412 1495 32.29% 34.08% 33.63%-0.10 +0.0 18
1953-10-18 @ Stiinta Timisoara D 1-157.6 1495 1412 33.63% 34.08% 32.29%+0.10 -0.0 16
1953-10-18 Locomotiva Timisoara W 3-149.0 1532 1469 50.47% 32.75% 16.78%+0.38 +5.6 20
1953-10-18 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-349.0 1469 1532 16.78% 32.75% 50.47%-0.38 -5.6 14
1953-10-25 Progresul Oradea W 1-048.3 1463 1483 40.73% 34.07% 25.20%+0.10 +4.7 16
1953-10-25 @ Locomotiva Timisoara L 0-148.3 1483 1463 25.20% 34.07% 40.73%-0.10 -4.7 14
1953-10-25 Locomotiva Targu Mures W 2-045.3 1513 1495 45.41% 33.65% 20.94%+0.23 +7.7 20
1953-10-25 @ Dynamo Brasov L 0-245.3 1495 1513 20.94% 33.65% 45.41%-0.23 -7.7 16
1953-10-25 Stiinta Timisoara D 0-060.9 1653 1412 66.24% 26.21% 7.55%+0.96 -2.3 24
1953-10-25 @ CCA Bucuresti D 0-060.9 1412 1653 7.55% 26.21% 66.24%-0.96 +2.4 19
1953-10-25 Locomotiva Bucuresti L 0-153.2 1468 1440 46.60% 33.48% 19.92%+0.26 -7.3 17
1953-10-25 @ Minerul Petrosani W 1-053.2 1440 1468 19.92% 33.48% 46.60%-0.26 +7.3 21
1953-10-25 Dynamo Bucuresti W 4-264.7 1471 1636 22.32% 32.81% 44.87%-0.37 +10.2 16
1953-10-25 @ Stiinta Cluj L 2-464.7 1636 1471 44.87% 32.81% 22.32%+0.37 -10.2 24
1953-11-01 Dynamo Bucuresti W 3-269.1 1487 1626 25.20% 33.37% 41.43%-0.28 +5.9 18
1953-11-01 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures L 2-369.1 1626 1487 41.43% 33.37% 25.20%+0.28 -5.9 24
1953-11-01 Progresul Oradea W 3-150.4 1650 1479 60.67% 29.19% 10.15%+0.73 +3.5 26
1953-11-01 @ CCA Bucuresti L 1-350.4 1479 1650 10.15% 29.19% 60.67%-0.73 -3.5 14
1953-11-01 Locomotiva Timisoara D 1-158.4 1461 1468 42.48% 33.96% 23.56%+0.15 -0.6 18
1953-11-01 @ Minerul Petrosani D 1-158.4 1468 1461 23.56% 33.96% 42.48%-0.15 +0.6 17
1953-11-01 Dynamo Brasov L 1-254.5 1414 1520 29.19% 33.87% 36.94%-0.18 -4.9 19
1953-11-01 @ Stiinta Timisoara W 2-154.5 1520 1414 36.94% 33.87% 29.19%+0.18 +4.9 22
1953-11-01 Flamura Rosie Arad L 1-353.1 1448 1537 31.35% 34.03% 34.62%-0.12 -8.9 21
1953-11-01 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti W 3-153.1 1537 1448 34.62% 34.03% 31.35%+0.12 +8.9 22
1953-11-08 Dynamo Brasov D 1-161.0 1475 1525 36.84% 34.18% 28.98%+0.01 -0.2 15
1953-11-08 @ Progresul Oradea D 1-161.0 1525 1475 28.98% 34.18% 36.84%-0.01 +0.2 23
1953-11-08 CCA Bucuresti L 0-152.6 1468 1654 20.33% 32.28% 47.39%-0.44 -3.9 17
1953-11-08 @ Locomotiva Timisoara W 1-052.6 1654 1468 47.39% 32.28% 20.33%+0.44 +3.9 28
1953-11-08 Locomotiva Bucuresti W 3-146.7 1481 1439 48.18% 33.22% 18.60%+0.31 +6.1 18
1953-11-08 @ Stiinta Cluj L 1-346.7 1439 1481 18.60% 33.22% 48.18%-0.31 -6.1 21
1953-11-08 Minerul Petrosani W 1-046.9 1546 1461 52.78% 32.16% 15.06%+0.45 +3.2 24
1953-11-08 @ Flamura Rosie Arad L 0-146.9 1461 1546 15.06% 32.16% 52.78%-0.45 -3.1 18
1953-11-15 Stiinta Timisoara D 0-059.2 1620 1410 63.85% 27.56% 8.58%+0.86 -2.2 25
1953-11-15 @ Dynamo Bucuresti D 0-059.2 1410 1620 8.58% 27.56% 63.85%-0.86 +2.2 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1953-03-22 11.89% Stiinta Timisoara 1381 1 @ Stiinta Cluj 1517 0
2 1953-05-03 12.24% Stiinta Timisoara 1392 2 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1521 1
3 1953-05-13 13.88% Stiinta Timisoara 1397 3 @ Dynamo Brasov 1499 1
4 1953-05-12 14.17% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1432 1 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1530 0
5 1953-09-13 16.87% @ Minerul Petrosani 1448 1 CCA Bucuresti 1674 0
6 1953-10-04 16.97% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1431 1 @ Progresul Oradea 1492 0
7 1953-04-05 17.71% @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 1406 2 Dynamo Bucuresti 1621 0
8 1953-08-30 17.82% Stiinta Timisoara 1408 2 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1458 1
9 1953-04-19 18.43% Stiinta Cluj 1478 1 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1522 0
10 1953-10-06 18.67% Dynamo Bucuresti 1626 3 @ CCA Bucuresti 1668 1
11 1953-04-12 19.85% Locomotiva Timisoara 1463 2 @ Stiinta Cluj 1492 0
12 1953-10-25 19.92% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1440 1 @ Minerul Petrosani 1468 0
13 1953-03-22 19.96% Minerul Petrosani 1494 2 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1521 0
14 1953-04-26 20.07% Locomotiva Targu Mures 1515 2 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1541 1
15 1953-05-08 20.33% Dynamo Brasov 1489 5 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1513 3
16 1953-10-25 22.32% @ Stiinta Cluj 1471 4 Dynamo Bucuresti 1636 2
17 1953-09-06 24.18% Locomotiva Timisoara 1451 2 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 1439 1
18 1953-03-15 25.03% Stiinta Cluj 1511 1 @ Dynamo Brasov 1492 0
19 1953-09-06 25.08% @ Dynamo Brasov 1486 3 Dynamo Bucuresti 1626 1
20 1953-11-01 25.20% @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1487 3 Dynamo Bucuresti 1626 2
21 1953-09-06 26.33% Locomotiva Targu Mures 1495 3 @ Minerul Petrosani 1465 0
22 1953-04-12 26.73% @ Stiinta Timisoara 1384 1 Minerul Petrosani 1509 0
23 1953-05-17 27.23% Flamura Rosie Arad 1522 5 @ Minerul Petrosani 1485 2
24 1953-04-05 27.29% Locomotiva Targu Mures 1507 1 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1470 0
25 1953-05-17 27.73% @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 1501 1 Campulung Moldovenesc 1618 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-10-04 22.14 @ Stiinta Cluj 5 1461 38.02% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1502 27.81% 34.17%
2 1953-09-20 21.40 @ Stiinta Timisoara 4 1404 29.86% Progresul Oradea 0 1504 36.22% 33.92%
3 1953-09-06 17.51 Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1495 26.33% @ Minerul Petrosani 0 1465 39.54% 34.13%
4 1953-10-11 14.87 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1480 34.55% Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1547 31.29% 34.16%
5 1953-04-05 14.57 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1406 17.71% Dynamo Bucuresti 0 1621 50.91% 31.38%
6 1953-04-12 13.75 Locomotiva Timisoara 2 1463 19.85% @ Stiinta Cluj 0 1492 46.67% 33.47%
7 1953-03-22 13.71 Minerul Petrosani 2 1494 19.96% @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1521 46.55% 33.49%
8 1953-05-12 13.57 Campulung Moldovenesc 3 1604 38.80% @ Stiinta Cluj 0 1485 27.51% 33.69%
9 1953-05-13 13.56 Stiinta Timisoara 3 1397 13.88% @ Dynamo Brasov 1 1499 54.46% 31.66%
10 1953-10-11 13.22 @ Minerul Petrosani 3 1454 39.63% Stiinta Cluj 0 1483 26.25% 34.13%
11 1953-05-08 13.00 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 4 1419 32.83% Minerul Petrosani 1 1497 33.06% 34.11%
12 1953-05-17 12.56 Flamura Rosie Arad 5 1522 27.23% @ Minerul Petrosani 2 1485 38.61% 34.16%
13 1953-10-06 12.20 Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1626 18.67% @ CCA Bucuresti 1 1668 48.09% 33.24%
14 1953-08-30 12.02 CCA Bucuresti 3 1662 43.62% @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1507 23.35% 33.03%
15 1953-03-29 11.92 @ Dynamo Brasov 3 1483 43.45% Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1482 22.68% 33.87%
16 1953-09-13 11.39 Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1535 29.23% @ Stiinta Cluj 0 1483 36.59% 34.19%
17 1953-09-06 11.24 Stiinta Cluj 2 1472 29.91% @ Stiinta Timisoara 0 1415 35.91% 34.18%
18 1953-09-06 10.78 @ Dynamo Brasov 3 1486 25.08% Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1626 41.57% 33.35%
19 1953-10-25 10.22 @ Stiinta Cluj 4 1471 22.32% Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1636 44.87% 32.81%
20 1953-05-08 9.96 Dynamo Brasov 5 1489 20.33% @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1513 46.11% 33.56%
21 1953-05-03 9.95 Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1607 36.00% @ Minerul Petrosani 0 1507 30.06% 33.94%
22 1953-09-13 9.91 Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1615 36.19% @ Progresul Oradea 0 1514 29.88% 33.93%
23 1953-05-08 9.77 @ Campulung Moldovenesc 3 1595 49.58% Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1540 17.47% 32.95%
24 1953-09-27 9.08 @ Progresul Oradea 2 1483 39.71% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1511 26.16% 34.12%
25 1953-04-12 9.03 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 5 1513 42.16% Progresul Oradea 2 1522 23.86% 33.98%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-10-18 75.1 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1637 60.50% Minerul Petrosani 3 1467 10.23% 29.27%
2 1953-04-26 69.6 @ Stiinta Cluj 3 1486 40.60% Minerul Petrosani 3 1507 25.32% 34.08%
3 1953-11-01 69.1 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1487 25.20% Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1626 41.43% 33.37%
4 1953-04-05 68.0 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1541 48.61% Dynamo Brasov 2 1495 18.25% 33.14%
5 1953-09-27 67.7 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1541 26.56% CCA Bucuresti 1 1668 39.87% 33.57%
6 1953-03-29 67.1 @ CCA Bucuresti 1 1643 57.48% Minerul Petrosani 1 1508 11.95% 30.57%
7 1953-08-27 67.0 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1627 53.47% Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1534 14.57% 31.96%
8 1953-10-06 66.5 Dynamo Bucuresti 3 1626 18.67% @ CCA Bucuresti 1 1668 48.09% 33.24%
9 1953-10-11 66.2 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1639 60.70% Locomotiva Timisoara 1 1467 10.13% 29.17%
10 1953-05-17 66.1 @ Dynamo Brasov 2 1486 40.81% Progresul Oradea 2 1506 25.12% 34.07%
11 1953-10-17 65.1 @ Locomotiva Bucuresti 1 1439 17.83% CCA Bucuresti 1 1654 50.75% 31.42%
12 1953-05-03 64.9 @ Campulung Moldovenesc 1 1596 54.73% Dynamo Brasov 1 1490 13.70% 31.57%
13 1953-08-30 64.9 @ Stiinta Cluj 2 1472 41.61% Dynamo Brasov 2 1486 24.37% 34.02%
14 1953-10-25 64.7 @ Stiinta Cluj 4 1471 22.32% Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1636 44.87% 32.81%
15 1953-03-22 64.6 @ Campulung Moldovenesc 2 1584 34.87% CCA Bucuresti 1 1648 30.96% 34.17%
16 1953-04-05 64.4 @ Minerul Petrosani 1 1509 32.92% Campulung Moldovenesc 1 1588 32.97% 34.11%
17 1953-04-22 64.1 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1602 37.37% CCA Bucuresti 1 1648 28.45% 34.18%
18 1953-03-29 64.0 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1508 54.51% Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1404 13.85% 31.64%
19 1953-04-26 64.0 Locomotiva Targu Mures 2 1515 20.07% @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1541 46.41% 33.51%
20 1953-04-12 63.8 @ Dynamo Brasov 2 1496 51.74% Locomotiva Bucuresti 2 1420 15.81% 32.44%
21 1953-03-15 63.5 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1532 31.95% Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1617 33.99% 34.06%
22 1953-04-12 63.1 @ CCA Bucuresti 0 1650 55.15% Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1540 13.42% 31.43%
23 1953-05-08 63.1 Dynamo Brasov 5 1489 20.33% @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1513 46.11% 33.56%
24 1953-10-11 62.9 @ CCA Bucuresti 0 1655 58.35% Dynamo Brasov 0 1511 11.43% 30.22%
25 1953-04-12 62.0 @ Campulung Moldovenesc 2 1588 40.89% Dynamo Bucuresti 1 1607 25.04% 34.07%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-04-05 36.3 @ Progresul Oradea 3 1515 56.44% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1391 12.59% 30.97%
2 1953-10-04 40.2 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 2 1542 56.46% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1418 12.57% 30.96%
3 1953-09-27 40.4 @ Minerul Petrosani 2 1456 46.89% Stiinta Timisoara 0 1425 19.67% 33.44%
4 1953-05-17 42.1 @ CCA Bucuresti 4 1655 62.17% Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1466 9.38% 28.45%
5 1953-03-29 42.2 @ Dynamo Brasov 3 1483 43.45% Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1482 22.68% 33.87%
6 1953-10-11 42.4 @ Minerul Petrosani 3 1454 39.63% Stiinta Cluj 0 1483 26.25% 34.13%
7 1953-09-27 43.4 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 2 1458 41.89% Stiinta Cluj 0 1470 24.11% 34.00%
8 1953-05-08 43.7 @ Progresul Oradea 2 1503 46.72% Locomotiva Timisoara 0 1474 19.81% 33.47%
9 1953-08-30 43.7 @ Progresul Oradea 2 1506 47.23% Minerul Petrosani 0 1472 19.38% 33.38%
10 1953-09-20 44.2 @ Stiinta Timisoara 4 1404 29.86% Progresul Oradea 0 1504 36.22% 33.92%
11 1953-10-04 44.5 @ Stiinta Cluj 5 1461 38.02% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1502 27.81% 34.17%
12 1953-10-25 45.3 @ Dynamo Brasov 2 1513 45.41% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1495 20.94% 33.65%
13 1953-05-03 45.4 @ CCA Bucuresti 1 1643 64.90% Locomotiva Bucuresti 0 1420 8.12% 26.98%
14 1953-05-08 45.4 @ Dynamo Bucuresti 2 1617 56.68% Stiinta Cluj 0 1490 12.43% 30.88%
15 1953-09-06 45.6 Stiinta Cluj 2 1472 29.91% @ Stiinta Timisoara 0 1415 35.91% 34.18%
16 1953-10-04 45.6 @ Dynamo Brasov 4 1502 47.85% Minerul Petrosani 1 1463 18.87% 33.28%
17 1953-05-08 46.4 @ Campulung Moldovenesc 3 1595 49.58% Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1540 17.47% 32.95%
18 1953-09-27 46.5 @ Progresul Oradea 2 1483 39.71% Locomotiva Targu Mures 0 1511 26.16% 34.12%
19 1953-11-08 46.7 @ Stiinta Cluj 3 1481 48.18% Locomotiva Bucuresti 1 1439 18.60% 33.22%
20 1953-11-08 46.9 @ Flamura Rosie Arad 1 1546 52.78% Minerul Petrosani 0 1461 15.06% 32.16%
21 1953-09-06 47.2 Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1495 26.33% @ Minerul Petrosani 0 1465 39.54% 34.13%
22 1953-10-11 47.2 @ Locomotiva Targu Mures 3 1480 34.55% Flamura Rosie Arad 0 1547 31.29% 34.16%
23 1953-05-09 47.9 CCA Bucuresti 1 1648 54.41% @ Stiinta Timisoara 0 1400 15.33% 30.26%
24 1953-05-12 48.2 Campulung Moldovenesc 3 1604 38.80% @ Stiinta Cluj 0 1485 27.51% 33.69%
25 1953-10-25 48.3 @ Locomotiva Timisoara 1 1463 40.73% Progresul Oradea 0 1483 25.20% 34.07%