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2000-01 Campionato Sammarinese Season

154 games · 6 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Virtus

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tre Penne

9.93 points above expected

35 points · 25.07 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tre Fiori

13.98 points below expected

10 points · 23.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Virtus 20 12 6 2 42 45 23 +22 35.31 +6.69
2 Cosmos 21 12 4 5 40 38 18 +20 39.28 +0.72
3 Faetano 21 10 6 5 36 38 26 +12 34.00 +2.00
4 Tre Penne 21 10 5 6 35 36 27 +9 25.07 +9.93
5 Murata 20 10 5 5 35 25 22 +3 29.94 +5.06
6 Folgore Falciano 20 9 6 5 33 34 19 +15 39.03 -6.03
7 Domagnano 21 8 8 5 32 36 27 +9 36.20 -4.20
8 Pennarossa 20 9 4 7 31 39 30 +9 28.06 +2.94
9 San Giovanni 20 7 7 6 28 27 32 -5 18.77 +9.23
10 Cailungo 21 7 5 9 26 34 27 +7 34.33 -8.33
11 Libertas 21 7 5 9 26 46 47 -1 27.24 -1.24
12 Montevito 21 7 5 9 26 21 38 -17 17.80 +8.20
13 La Fiorita 21 2 6 13 12 24 51 -27 16.32 -4.32
14 Tre Fiori 20 2 4 14 10 25 50 -25 23.98 -13.98
15 Juvenes Dogana 20 2 4 14 10 15 46 -31 20.69 -10.69

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tre Penne 35 25.07 +9.93
2 San Giovanni 28 18.77 +9.23
3 Montevito 26 17.80 +8.20
4 Virtus 42 35.31 +6.69
5 Murata 35 29.94 +5.06

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tre Fiori 10 23.98 -13.98
2 Juvenes Dogana 10 20.69 -10.69
3 Cailungo 26 34.33 -8.33
4 Folgore Falciano 33 39.03 -6.03
5 La Fiorita 12 16.32 -4.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tre Penne 4 Nov 26 – Feb 18 1 in 202
2 Montevito 3 Mar 17 – Mar 25 1 in 189
3 San Giovanni 3 Sep 24 – Oct 17 1 in 136
4 Virtus 5 Feb 17 – Mar 24 1 in 16
5 Cailungo 3 Dec 2 – Dec 16 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tre Fiori 7 Dec 9 – Mar 17 1 in 118
2 La Fiorita 7 Dec 16 – Mar 20 1 in 35
3 Folgore Falciano 2 Oct 17 – Oct 21 1 in 25
4 Montevito 4 Sep 9 – Sep 30 1 in 21
5 Cailungo 2 Oct 28 – Nov 1 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tre Penne 10 Nov 26 – Mar 24 1 in 302
2 Montevito 4 Oct 18 – Oct 31 1 in 91
3 San Giovanni 6 Sep 24 – Nov 1 1 in 60
4 Virtus 10 Sep 9 – Nov 19 1 in 27
5 Libertas 5 Nov 18 – Feb 17 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cailungo 8 Feb 18 – Apr 4 1 in 186
2 Juvenes Dogana 13 Sep 30 – Mar 11 1 in 57
3 La Fiorita 16 Oct 21 – Apr 4 1 in 27
4 Tre Fiori 9 Nov 18 – Mar 17 1 in 22
5 Libertas 6 Oct 28 – Dec 2 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Virtus 1122 42 +3 12 9.7 +2.3
Cosmos 1126 40 +11 8 10.0 -2.0
Faetano 1064 36 -11 7 8.2 -1.2
Tre Penne 1002 35 +30 10 7.2 +2.8
Murata 998 35 +16 10 7.2 +2.8
Folgore Falciano 1130 33 +5 8 9.4 -1.4
Domagnano 1065 32 -26 5 9.1 -4.1
Pennarossa 1014 31 +42 12 7.8 +4.2
San Giovanni 890 28 +7 5 5.0 +0.0
Montevito 848 26 +18 10 4.2 +5.8
Libertas 951 26 -13 7 5.9 +1.1
Cailungo 1027 26 -34 2 8.0 -6.0
La Fiorita 770 12 -24 2 3.6 -1.6
Juvenes Dogana 805 10 -24 3 4.7 -1.7
Tre Fiori 860 10 -20 3 4.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CAI COS DOM FAE FF JD LF LIB MON MUR PEN SG TF TP VIR
Cailungo —
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.47
0-0-2
2.89
0-1-0
1.04
1-0-0
1.86
1-1-0
4.26
1-1-0
3.35
0-0-2
4.45
0-0-1
1.54
1-0-0
1.61
0-0-1
2.04
1-0-0
1.96
0-1-1
3.73
1-0-0
1.16
Cosmos
1-0-1
3.23
—
2-0-0
2.81
1-1-0
3.24
0-0-1
1.43
1-0-0
2.25
1-1-0
4.59
1-0-1
3.88
0-1-1
4.64
1-0-0
1.81
1-0-0
1.82
1-0-0
2.11
1-0-0
2.19
1-1-0
3.92
0-0-1
1.63
Domagnano
1-1-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.68
—
0-2-0
2.92
1-0-0
1.12
1-0-0
2.01
2-0-0
4.41
2-0-0
3.55
0-2-0
4.40
0-0-1
1.71
0-1-0
1.76
0-1-0
2.09
0-1-0
1.97
1-0-1
3.74
0-0-1
1.42
Faetano
2-0-0
2.60
0-1-1
2.25
0-2-0
2.57
—
0-0-1
1.03
0-0-1
2.20
2-0-0
4.26
1-0-1
3.43
2-0-0
4.04
1-0-0
1.48
1-0-0
1.43
0-1-0
2.03
0-1-0
1.88
1-0-1
3.47
0-1-0
1.17
Folgore Falciano
0-1-0
1.71
1-0-0
1.31
0-0-1
1.62
1-0-0
1.71
—
1-1-0
4.10
0-1-0
2.28
1-0-0
1.91
0-1-0
2.30
2-0-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.76
0-1-1
4.39
2-0-0
4.15
0-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
2.91
Juvenes Dogana
0-0-1
0.89
0-0-1
0.55
0-0-1
0.75
1-0-0
0.59
0-1-1
1.45
—
0-1-0
1.40
0-1-0
1.05
0-0-1
1.49
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-1
1.24
0-0-2
1.60
La Fiorita
0-1-1
1.30
0-1-1
1.03
0-0-2
1.17
0-0-2
1.30
0-1-0
0.52
0-1-0
1.34
—
0-0-2
1.71
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-0
0.78
0-0-1
0.74
0-1-0
1.19
0-0-1
1.07
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-1
0.57
Libertas
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
1.64
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-1
0.84
0-1-0
1.69
2-0-0
3.81
—
1-0-1
3.57
0-1-0
1.11
0-0-1
1.19
0-1-0
1.53
1-0-0
1.37
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-0
0.82
Montevito
2-0-0
1.13
1-1-0
0.97
0-2-0
1.18
0-0-2
1.50
0-1-0
0.50
1-0-0
1.25
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
1.94
—
0-0-1
0.77
0-1-0
0.69
0-0-1
1.12
1-0-0
0.81
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-1
0.57
Murata
1-0-0
1.21
0-0-1
0.94
1-0-0
1.03
0-0-1
1.27
0-0-2
1.73
2-0-0
3.51
0-1-0
1.98
0-1-0
1.63
1-0-0
2.00
—
2-0-0
2.56
1-1-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.05
0-1-0
1.36
0-1-1
1.95
Pennarossa
0-0-1
1.14
0-0-1
0.93
0-1-0
0.99
0-0-1
1.32
0-1-1
1.75
2-0-0
3.23
1-0-0
2.03
1-0-0
1.55
0-1-0
2.08
0-0-2
2.92
—
1-0-1
3.52
2-0-0
2.63
1-0-0
1.76
1-1-0
1.93
San Giovanni
1-0-0
0.73
0-0-1
0.67
0-1-0
0.68
0-1-0
0.74
1-1-0
1.19
1-1-0
2.96
0-1-0
1.55
0-1-0
1.21
1-0-0
1.62
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
1.98
—
2-0-0
2.36
0-0-1
1.28
0-0-2
1.36
Tre Fiori
0-0-1
0.80
0-0-1
0.60
0-1-0
0.79
0-1-0
0.87
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-0
1.68
0-0-1
1.37
0-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.44
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
3.13
—
0-1-0
1.53
0-1-1
1.48
Tre Penne
1-1-0
1.79
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-0
0.66
1-0-0
1.50
1-0-1
3.79
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
3.63
0-1-0
1.38
0-0-1
0.99
1-0-0
1.47
0-1-0
1.21
—
0-1-0
0.74
Virtus
0-0-1
1.59
1-0-0
1.11
1-0-0
1.32
0-1-0
1.57
2-0-0
2.58
2-0-0
3.95
1-0-0
2.22
0-1-0
1.94
1-0-0
2.22
1-1-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.57
2-0-0
4.19
1-1-0
4.06
0-1-0
2.03
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.47 +7.8
Allowed 0.80 -8.0
Differential 0.88 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.84%5.52%5.52%2.92%0.65%2.27%22.73%
15.52%11.04%9.09%4.87%0.32%0.97%31.82%
25.52%9.09%7.14%2.60%0.65%1.30%26.30%
32.92%4.87%2.60%1.95%0.32%—12.66%
40.65%0.32%0.65%0.32%——1.95%
5+2.27%0.97%1.30%———4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%26.30%12.66%1.95%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.57 +0.00
SD 1.40 1.40 2.15
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 154

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%19.05%4.76%———28.57%
1—9.52%14.29%———23.81%
214.29%—9.52%—4.76%—28.57%
3—4.76%4.76%———9.52%
4——4.76%———4.76%
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total23.81%33.33%38.10%—4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.29 +0.33
SD 1.69 1.01 2.03
CV 1.04 0.78 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%14.29%9.52%———33.33%
1—4.76%————4.76%
24.76%19.05%4.76%———28.57%
314.29%9.52%4.76%———28.57%
4———————
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total33.33%47.62%19.05%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 0.86 +0.95
SD 1.72 0.73 2.06
CV 0.95 0.85 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%——9.52%——19.05%
14.76%19.05%9.52%4.76%——38.10%
24.76%4.76%4.76%———14.29%
3—14.29%—4.76%——19.05%
44.76%—————4.76%
5+—4.76%————4.76%
Total23.81%42.86%14.29%19.05%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.29 +0.43
SD 1.52 1.06 1.99
CV 0.89 0.82 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%————9.52%
19.52%19.05%14.29%———42.86%
24.76%—4.76%——4.76%14.29%
39.52%9.52%4.76%———23.81%
4—4.76%—4.76%——9.52%
5+———————
Total28.57%38.10%23.81%4.76%—4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.24 +0.57
SD 1.21 1.22 1.57
CV 0.67 0.99 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%————20.00%
15.00%15.00%10.00%5.00%——35.00%
215.00%5.00%5.00%———25.00%
35.00%—5.00%———10.00%
4———————
5+5.00%—5.00%———10.00%
Total40.00%30.00%25.00%5.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.95 +0.75
SD 1.59 0.94 1.80
CV 0.94 0.99 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%10.00%20.00%——10.00%45.00%
15.00%5.00%15.00%15.00%——40.00%
2—5.00%5.00%———10.00%
3———5.00%——5.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%20.00%40.00%20.00%—10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 2.30 -1.55
SD 0.85 1.84 2.11
CV 1.13 0.80 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.52%4.76%9.52%—4.76%28.57%
1—19.05%4.76%4.76%4.76%4.76%38.10%
24.76%—4.76%9.52%—4.76%23.81%
34.76%——4.76%——9.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.52%28.57%14.29%28.57%4.76%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.43 -1.29
SD 0.96 1.78 2.15
CV 0.84 0.73 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%—4.76%——4.76%14.29%
14.76%4.76%14.29%——4.76%28.57%
2——9.52%4.76%4.76%—19.05%
3——14.29%4.76%4.76%—23.81%
4———————
5+4.76%4.76%4.76%———14.29%
Total14.29%9.52%47.62%9.52%9.52%9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 2.24 -0.05
SD 1.81 1.55 2.65
CV 0.82 0.69 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%4.76%4.76%4.76%4.76%4.76%33.33%
114.29%4.76%—19.05%——38.10%
2—14.29%9.52%———23.81%
3—4.76%————4.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.81%28.57%14.29%23.81%4.76%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.81 -0.81
SD 0.89 1.72 2.14
CV 0.89 0.95 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—10.00%5.00%——25.00%
110.00%15.00%—5.00%——30.00%
210.00%25.00%—5.00%——40.00%
3—5.00%————5.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%45.00%10.00%15.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.10 +0.15
SD 0.91 1.02 1.46
CV 0.73 0.93 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%5.00%—5.00%——15.00%
1—5.00%15.00%5.00%——25.00%
25.00%20.00%10.00%——5.00%40.00%
35.00%—5.00%———10.00%
4———————
5+10.00%—————10.00%
Total25.00%30.00%30.00%10.00%—5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.50 +0.45
SD 1.67 1.43 2.52
CV 0.86 0.96 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%5.00%5.00%——5.00%20.00%
110.00%20.00%5.00%5.00%——40.00%
25.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%——30.00%
3———5.00%——5.00%
4——5.00%———5.00%
5+———————
Total20.00%40.00%20.00%15.00%—5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.60 -0.25
SD 1.04 1.60 1.94
CV 0.77 1.00 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——15.00%5.00%—5.00%25.00%
1—5.00%25.00%10.00%—5.00%45.00%
2—5.00%10.00%——5.00%20.00%
3———5.00%——5.00%
4———————
5+—5.00%————5.00%
Total—15.00%50.00%20.00%—15.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 2.50 -1.25
SD 1.21 1.24 1.92
CV 0.97 0.49 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%——4.76%4.76%—19.05%
19.52%4.76%9.52%———23.81%
29.52%9.52%9.52%9.52%——38.10%
34.76%4.76%————9.52%
44.76%—————4.76%
5+——4.76%———4.76%
Total38.10%19.05%23.81%14.29%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.29 +0.43
SD 1.31 1.27 1.94
CV 0.76 0.99 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——5.00%———5.00%
110.00%15.00%————25.00%
25.00%15.00%15.00%5.00%——40.00%
3—20.00%————20.00%
4———————
5+5.00%—5.00%———10.00%
Total20.00%50.00%25.00%5.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.25 1.15 +1.10
SD 1.55 0.81 1.83
CV 0.69 0.71 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cosmos 1178 40 39.28 +0.72 60.0% 27 29 35 39 43 48 51
Folgore Falciano 1143 33 39.03 -6.03 19.0% 23 29 35 39 44 47 52
Virtus 1100 42 35.31 +6.69 94.0% 22 26 31 35 39 43 52
Domagnano 1065 32 36.20 -4.20 28.0% 22 26 32 37 40 45 50
Faetano 1035 36 34.00 +2.00 62.0% 21 23 29 34 39 43 49
Cailungo 1027 26 34.33 -8.33 13.0% 19 25 30 35 39 44 47
Murata 1018 35 29.94 +5.06 83.0% 18 22 26 30 33 39 44
Pennarossa 1014 31 28.06 +2.94 70.0% 15 18 24 28 32 38 43
Tre Penne 968 35 25.07 +9.93 95.0% 11 15 22 25 28 34 38
Libertas 951 26 27.24 -1.24 47.0% 13 17 23 27 32 36 39
San Giovanni 890 28 18.77 +9.23 100.0% 6 11 16 19 22 26 28
Tre Fiori 860 10 23.98 -13.98 1.0% 8 16 19 24 28 33 39
Montevito 848 26 17.80 +8.20 97.0% 6 10 15 18 20 25 31
Juvenes Dogana 805 10 20.69 -10.69 2.0% 7 12 17 21 23 29 34
La Fiorita 770 12 16.32 -4.32 24.0% 4 8 13 16 19 24 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-1.30%
Slight Edge
36.36%25.97%37.66%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -4.51 Elo pts.
207 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.03 goals
Neutral
-2-0.02+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.1
Open
145610
Champion Preseason Odds
25%
Virtus, 3rd of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.41 * Some Luck: 4.41 to 6.61 * Lucky: 6.61 to 8.81 * Wild Swing: 8.81 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 * Close: 1.6 to 2.4 * Off: 2.4 to 3.2 * Way Off: 3.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.24 points
Lucky
05.5114
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.93
Off
02.004
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
100.00%
San Giovanni
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
1.00%
Tre Fiori
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Balanced
00.20.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 118.84
1.71
Moderate Separation
11.71.92.23
Interquartile Edge
75%
Slight Edge
50%74%84.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Even
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Slight Separation
00.370.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.91
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.41
Some Carryover
00.360.520.691
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.78
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

First Round

Folgore Falciano 2
Faetano 1
Murata 3
Tre Penne 0

Second Round

Folgore Falciano 2
Virtus 1
Murata 1
Cosmos 0

Third Round

Cosmos 3
Faetano 0
Tre Penne 1
Virtus 0

Quarterfinals

Folgore Falciano 2
Murata 0
Cosmos 4
Tre Penne 0

Semifinals

Cosmos 1
Murata 0

Sim: 2.0%

Finals

Cosmos 3
Folgore Falciano 1

Sim: 6.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Virtus25.00%42.00%23.00%8.00%2.00%———
Cosmos46.00%18.00%19.00%13.00%3.00%1.00%——
Faetano15.00%23.00%21.00%16.00%14.00%9.00%2.00%—
Tre Penne1.00%3.00%2.00%17.00%28.00%37.00%7.00%5.00%
Murata6.00%20.00%23.00%34.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%—
Folgore Falciano63.00%18.00%15.00%3.00%1.00%———
Domagnano24.00%30.00%16.00%19.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%—
Pennarossa6.00%14.00%26.00%18.00%20.00%13.00%3.00%—
San Giovanni———9.00%17.00%21.00%53.00%—
Cailungo14.00%19.00%30.00%17.00%13.00%5.00%2.00%—
Libertas—7.00%11.00%16.00%27.00%27.00%10.00%2.00%
Montevito——1.00%2.00%6.00%8.00%43.00%40.00%
La Fiorita————2.00%10.00%35.00%53.00%
Tre Fiori—6.00%9.00%17.00%28.00%23.00%17.00%—
Juvenes Dogana——4.00%11.00%22.00%38.00%25.00%—

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Cailungo 37.00%
Cosmos 17.00%
Domagnano 30.00%
Faetano 41.00%
Folgore Falciano 4.00%
Juvenes Dogana 96.00%
La Fiorita 100%
Libertas 82.00%
Montevito 99.00%
Murata 51.00%
Pennarossa 54.00%
San Giovanni 100%
Tre Fiori 85.00%
Tre Penne 94.00%
Virtus 10.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
CailungoCosmosDomagnanoFaetanoFolgore FalcianoJuvenes DoganaLibertasMontevitoMurataPennarossaSan GiovanniTre FioriTre PenneVirtus
Cailungo16.7%12.00%100.0%2.00%55.6%9.00%45.5%11.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%12.00%
Cosmos57.1%7.00%100.0%1.00%75.0%8.00%50.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%6.00%
Domagnano36.4%11.00%100.0%3.00%77.8%9.00%37.5%8.00%100.0%1.00%87.5%8.00%22.2%18.00%
Faetano50.0%12.00%100.0%2.00%61.5%13.00%50.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%80.0%5.00%30.0%10.00%
Folgore Falciano83.3%12.00%42.9%7.00%63.6%11.00%50.0%12.00%100.0%1.00%
Juvenes Dogana0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Libertas100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Montevito0.0%1.00%
Murata44.4%9.00%25.0%8.00%22.2%9.00%38.5%13.00%100.0%1.00%
Pennarossa54.5%11.00%50.0%6.00%62.5%8.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
San Giovanni0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%12.5%8.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%
Tre Penne0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%
Virtus33.3%12.00%66.7%6.00%77.8%18.00%70.0%10.00%66.7%3.00%66.7%3.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
CailungoCosmosDomagnanoFaetanoFolgore FalcianoLibertasMurataPennarossaSan GiovanniTre FioriTre PenneVirtus
Cailungo27.3%11.00%66.7%6.00%16.7%6.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%10.00%
Cosmos72.7%11.00%44.4%9.00%71.4%7.00%33.3%21.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%12.00%
Domagnano33.3%6.00%55.6%9.00%50.0%4.00%38.5%13.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%46.7%15.00%
Faetano83.3%6.00%28.6%7.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%8.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%22.2%9.00%
Folgore Falciano50.0%4.00%66.7%21.00%61.5%13.00%50.0%8.00%100.0%2.00%85.7%7.00%100.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%5.00%58.3%12.00%
Libertas0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Murata0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%14.3%7.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%
Pennarossa50.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%33.3%9.00%
San Giovanni0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%
Tre Penne100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Virtus50.0%10.00%66.7%12.00%53.3%15.00%77.8%9.00%41.7%12.00%60.0%5.00%66.7%9.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
CailungoCosmosDomagnanoFaetanoFolgore FalcianoLibertasMurataPennarossaSan GiovanniTre FioriTre PenneVirtus
Cailungo100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%44.4%9.00%33.3%3.00%
Cosmos0.0%1.00%66.7%9.00%0.0%1.00%54.5%11.00%0.0%1.00%58.3%12.00%
Domagnano0.0%2.00%33.3%9.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Faetano100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%60.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%8.00%
Folgore Falciano55.6%9.00%45.5%11.00%60.0%5.00%40.0%5.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%18.00%
Libertas
Murata100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Pennarossa100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%
San Giovanni
Tre Fiori0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Tre Penne0.0%1.00%
Virtus66.7%3.00%41.7%12.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%8.00%66.7%18.00%100.0%1.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2000-09-09 Cailungo D 1-151.4 922 1039 22.70% 24.72% 52.58%-0.59 +1.6 1
2000-09-09 @ Tre Penne D 1-151.4 1039 922 52.58% 24.72% 22.70%+0.59 -1.6 1
2000-09-09 Cosmos L 2-345.5 932 1076 20.11% 24.15% 55.75%-0.72 -5.2 0
2000-09-09 @ Libertas W 3-245.5 1076 932 55.75% 24.15% 20.11%+0.72 +5.2 3
2000-09-09 Montevito W 3-138.7 1010 879 54.23% 24.44% 21.33%+0.61 +9.9 3
2000-09-09 @ Faetano L 1-338.7 879 1010 21.33% 24.44% 54.23%-0.61 -9.9 0
2000-09-09 Folgore Falciano L 0-233.7 988 1106 22.61% 24.70% 52.69%-0.59 -12.1 0
2000-09-09 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-033.7 1106 988 52.69% 24.70% 22.61%+0.59 +12.1 3
2000-09-09 Virtus L 0-134.0 857 1045 16.63% 23.06% 60.31%-0.93 -4.8 0
2000-09-09 @ San Giovanni W 1-034.0 1045 857 60.31% 23.06% 16.63%+0.93 +4.8 3
2000-09-10 La Fiorita W 2-137.6 1068 834 64.81% 21.66% 13.53%+1.11 +3.7 3
2000-09-10 @ Domagnano L 1-237.6 834 1068 13.53% 21.66% 64.81%-1.11 -3.7 0
2000-09-10 Tre Fiori W 5-040.9 915 1039 22.07% 24.60% 53.33%-0.62 +56.3 3
2000-09-10 @ Pennarossa L 0-540.9 1039 915 53.33% 24.60% 22.07%+0.62 -56.3 0
2000-09-16 Domagnano L 0-139.5 1037 1072 32.26% 25.77% 41.97%-0.19 -8.6 1
2000-09-16 @ Cailungo W 1-039.5 1072 1037 41.97% 25.77% 32.26%+0.19 +8.6 6
2000-09-16 Faetano L 0-134.0 830 1020 16.50% 23.01% 60.50%-0.94 -4.8 0
2000-09-16 @ La Fiorita W 1-034.0 1020 830 60.50% 23.01% 16.50%+0.94 +4.8 6
2000-09-16 Murata L 0-239.2 982 964 39.67% 25.84% 34.48%+0.07 -18.9 0
2000-09-16 @ Tre Fiori W 2-039.2 964 982 34.48% 25.84% 39.67%-0.07 +18.9 3
2000-09-16 Pennarossa D 0-047.6 1118 971 55.94% 24.11% 19.96%+0.69 -2.2 4
2000-09-16 @ Folgore Falciano D 0-047.6 971 1118 19.96% 24.11% 55.94%-0.69 +2.2 4
2000-09-16 Tre Penne W 2-139.9 1081 923 57.22% 23.83% 18.95%+0.74 +5.1 6
2000-09-16 @ Cosmos L 1-239.9 923 1081 18.95% 23.83% 57.22%-0.74 -5.2 1
2000-09-17 Juvenes Dogana W 3-140.8 1050 976 47.22% 25.41% 27.37%+0.34 +12.3 6
2000-09-17 @ Virtus L 1-340.8 976 1050 27.37% 25.41% 47.22%-0.34 -12.3 0
2000-09-17 Libertas L 0-735.2 869 926 29.33% 25.59% 45.09%-0.30 -48.2 0
2000-09-17 @ Montevito W 7-035.2 926 869 45.09% 25.59% 29.33%+0.30 +48.2 3
2000-09-23 Cailungo L 2-445.8 975 1029 29.77% 25.62% 44.61%-0.28 -11.8 3
2000-09-23 @ Libertas W 4-245.8 1029 975 44.61% 25.62% 29.77%+0.28 +11.8 4
2000-09-23 Cosmos L 0-336.5 1081 1087 36.22% 25.87% 37.91%-0.05 -25.6 6
2000-09-23 @ Domagnano W 3-036.5 1087 1081 37.91% 25.87% 36.22%+0.05 +25.6 9
2000-09-23 Montevito W 2-038.2 826 820 37.81% 25.87% 36.32%+0.00 +17.7 3
2000-09-23 @ La Fiorita L 0-238.2 820 826 36.32% 25.87% 37.81%+0.00 -17.7 0
2000-09-23 Tre Fiori W 2-145.9 963 963 37.05% 25.87% 37.08%-0.02 +9.0 3
2000-09-23 @ Juvenes Dogana L 1-245.9 963 963 37.08% 25.87% 37.05%+0.02 -9.0 0
2000-09-23 Virtus D 1-151.2 983 1062 26.80% 25.34% 47.86%-0.40 +1.1 4
2000-09-23 @ Murata D 1-151.2 1062 983 47.86% 25.34% 26.80%+0.40 -1.1 7
2000-09-24 San Giovanni L 1-250.4 974 852 53.07% 24.64% 22.29%+0.56 -12.0 4
2000-09-24 @ Pennarossa W 2-150.4 852 974 22.29% 24.64% 53.07%-0.56 +12.0 3
2000-09-24 Tre Penne W 3-246.8 1025 918 51.30% 24.92% 23.79%+0.49 +6.0 9
2000-09-24 @ Faetano L 2-346.8 918 1025 23.79% 24.92% 51.30%-0.49 -6.0 1
2000-09-30 Faetano D 1-151.0 1055 1031 40.53% 25.82% 33.65%+0.10 -0.3 7
2000-09-30 @ Domagnano D 1-151.0 1031 1055 33.65% 25.82% 40.53%-0.10 +0.3 10
2000-09-30 La Fiorita W 3-246.3 963 843 52.86% 24.68% 22.46%+0.56 +5.7 6
2000-09-30 @ Libertas L 2-346.3 843 963 22.46% 24.68% 52.86%-0.56 -5.7 3
2000-09-30 Pennarossa L 0-738.0 972 962 38.59% 25.86% 35.55%+0.03 -59.5 3
2000-09-30 @ Juvenes Dogana W 7-038.0 962 972 35.55% 25.86% 38.59%-0.03 +59.5 7
2000-09-30 San Giovanni L 1-249.4 954 864 49.28% 25.18% 25.54%+0.41 -11.2 0
2000-09-30 @ Tre Fiori W 2-149.4 864 954 25.54% 25.18% 49.28%-0.41 +11.2 6
2000-09-30 Tre Penne L 0-332.3 803 912 23.48% 24.86% 51.66%-0.55 -18.1 0
2000-09-30 @ Montevito W 3-032.3 912 803 51.66% 24.86% 23.48%+0.55 +18.1 4
2000-10-01 Cosmos W 2-041.3 1041 1112 27.64% 25.43% 46.93%-0.37 +21.6 7
2000-10-01 @ Cailungo L 0-241.3 1112 1041 46.93% 25.43% 27.64%+0.37 -21.6 9
2000-10-01 Murata W 3-245.9 1116 984 54.27% 24.43% 21.30%+0.61 +5.4 7
2000-10-01 @ Folgore Falciano L 2-345.9 984 1116 21.30% 24.43% 54.27%-0.61 -5.4 4
2000-10-17 Domagnano L 0-234.9 969 1055 25.98% 25.24% 48.78%-0.44 -13.6 6
2000-10-17 @ Libertas W 2-034.9 1055 969 48.78% 25.24% 25.98%+0.44 +13.6 10
2000-10-17 Faetano W 2-143.5 1091 1031 45.34% 25.57% 29.09%+0.27 +7.5 12
2000-10-17 @ Cosmos L 1-243.5 1031 1091 29.09% 25.57% 45.34%-0.27 -7.5 10
2000-10-17 Folgore Falciano W 1-048.3 876 1121 12.87% 21.29% 65.83%-1.21 +15.3 9
2000-10-17 @ San Giovanni L 0-148.3 1121 876 65.83% 21.29% 12.87%+1.21 -15.3 7
2000-10-17 Tre Fiori D 2-256.8 1061 943 52.63% 24.71% 22.66%+0.55 -1.2 8
2000-10-17 @ Virtus D 2-256.8 943 1061 22.66% 24.71% 52.63%-0.55 +1.2 1
2000-10-18 Montevito L 0-148.8 1062 785 68.61% 20.22% 11.18%+1.32 -15.8 7
2000-10-18 @ Cailungo W 1-048.8 785 1062 11.18% 20.22% 68.61%-1.32 +15.8 3
2000-10-18 Juvenes Dogana W 1-038.3 979 913 46.16% 25.50% 28.34%+0.30 +7.7 7
2000-10-18 @ Murata L 0-138.3 913 979 28.34% 25.50% 46.16%-0.30 -7.7 3
2000-10-18 Tre Penne W 3-040.2 838 930 25.25% 25.14% 49.60%-0.47 +32.9 6
2000-10-18 @ La Fiorita L 0-340.2 930 838 49.60% 25.14% 25.25%+0.47 -32.9 4
2000-10-21 Cailungo L 0-231.8 871 1046 17.52% 23.38% 59.10%-0.87 -9.6 6
2000-10-21 @ La Fiorita W 2-031.8 1046 871 59.10% 23.38% 17.52%+0.87 +9.6 10
2000-10-21 Cosmos D 0-049.0 801 1098 10.23% 19.51% 70.26%-1.46 +3.8 4
2000-10-21 @ Montevito D 0-049.0 1098 801 70.26% 19.51% 10.23%+1.46 -3.8 13
2000-10-21 Libertas L 2-547.7 1024 955 46.52% 25.47% 28.01%+0.31 -22.8 10
2000-10-21 @ Faetano W 5-247.7 955 1024 28.01% 25.47% 46.52%-0.31 +22.8 9
2000-10-21 Murata L 0-142.4 1021 986 41.98% 25.77% 32.25%+0.15 -10.5 7
2000-10-21 @ Pennarossa W 1-042.4 986 1021 32.25% 25.77% 41.98%-0.15 +10.5 10
2000-10-21 Virtus L 1-247.9 1106 1060 43.54% 25.69% 30.77%+0.20 -10.2 7
2000-10-21 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-147.9 1060 1106 30.77% 25.69% 43.54%-0.20 +10.2 11
2000-10-22 Domagnano L 0-429.7 897 1068 17.91% 23.51% 58.58%-0.85 -18.6 4
2000-10-22 @ Tre Penne W 4-029.7 1068 897 58.58% 23.51% 17.91%+0.85 +18.6 13
2000-10-22 Juvenes Dogana D 1-151.0 891 905 35.06% 25.85% 39.08%-0.09 +0.2 10
2000-10-22 @ San Giovanni D 1-151.0 905 891 39.08% 25.85% 35.06%+0.09 -0.2 4
2000-10-28 Faetano L 0-240.6 1056 1001 44.74% 25.61% 29.65%+0.24 -20.8 10
2000-10-28 @ Cailungo W 2-040.6 1001 1056 29.65% 25.61% 44.74%-0.24 +20.8 13
2000-10-28 Montevito D 0-048.8 1087 804 69.03% 20.04% 10.93%+1.34 -3.7 14
2000-10-28 @ Domagnano D 0-048.8 804 1087 10.93% 20.04% 69.03%-1.34 +3.7 5
2000-10-28 Libertas W 2-149.7 879 978 24.59% 25.05% 50.37%-0.50 +11.5 7
2000-10-28 @ Tre Penne L 1-249.7 978 879 50.37% 25.05% 24.59%+0.50 -11.5 9
2000-10-28 Pennarossa D 2-256.5 1070 1011 45.27% 25.57% 29.16%+0.26 -0.6 12
2000-10-28 @ Virtus D 2-256.5 1011 1070 29.16% 25.57% 45.27%-0.26 +0.6 8
2000-10-28 San Giovanni D 1-151.3 997 891 51.20% 24.93% 23.86%+0.49 -1.4 11
2000-10-28 @ Murata D 1-151.3 891 997 23.86% 24.93% 51.20%-0.49 +1.4 11
2000-10-29 Folgore Falciano L 0-330.9 944 1096 19.54% 23.99% 56.47%-0.75 -15.4 1
2000-10-29 @ Tre Fiori W 3-030.9 1096 944 56.47% 23.99% 19.54%+0.75 +15.4 10
2000-10-29 La Fiorita W 3-028.4 1094 861 64.72% 21.69% 13.59%+1.10 +10.8 16
2000-10-29 @ Cosmos L 0-328.4 861 1094 13.59% 21.69% 64.72%-1.10 -10.8 6
2000-10-31 Faetano D 1-151.1 1069 1022 43.72% 25.68% 30.60%+0.21 -0.7 13
2000-10-31 @ Virtus D 1-151.1 1022 1069 30.60% 25.68% 43.72%-0.21 +0.7 14
2000-10-31 Montevito D 2-257.4 1011 808 61.88% 22.61% 15.51%+0.96 -1.9 9
2000-10-31 @ Pennarossa D 2-257.4 808 1011 15.51% 22.61% 61.88%-0.96 +1.9 6
2000-11-01 Cailungo W 2-147.6 995 1035 31.60% 25.74% 42.66%-0.21 +10.0 14
2000-11-01 @ Murata L 1-247.6 1035 995 42.66% 25.74% 31.60%+0.21 -10.0 10
2000-11-01 Domagnano L 1-337.1 905 1083 17.33% 23.31% 59.37%-0.88 -8.2 4
2000-11-01 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-137.1 1083 905 59.37% 23.31% 17.33%+0.88 +8.2 17
2000-11-01 Libertas W 5-030.8 1111 966 55.75% 24.14% 20.11%+0.68 +25.5 13
2000-11-01 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-530.8 966 1111 20.11% 24.14% 55.75%-0.68 -25.4 9
2000-11-01 San Giovanni D 2-256.5 850 893 31.26% 25.72% 43.02%-0.23 +0.5 7
2000-11-01 @ La Fiorita D 2-256.5 893 850 43.02% 25.72% 31.26%+0.23 -0.4 12
2000-11-01 Tre Fiori D 2-256.4 890 929 31.76% 25.74% 42.50%-0.21 +0.4 8
2000-11-01 @ Tre Penne D 2-256.4 929 890 42.50% 25.74% 31.76%+0.21 -0.4 2
2000-11-04 Cosmos L 0-729.9 892 1105 14.86% 22.32% 62.82%-1.05 -26.2 12
2000-11-04 @ San Giovanni W 7-029.9 1105 892 62.82% 22.32% 14.86%+1.05 +26.2 19
2000-11-04 Domagnano D 3-361.3 929 1091 18.56% 23.71% 57.73%-0.81 +1.3 3
2000-11-04 @ Tre Fiori D 3-361.3 1091 929 57.73% 23.71% 18.56%+0.81 -1.3 18
2000-11-04 Folgore Falciano D 1-152.8 851 1136 10.77% 19.93% 69.30%-1.40 +3.3 8
2000-11-04 @ La Fiorita D 1-152.8 1136 851 69.30% 19.93% 10.77%+1.40 -3.3 14
2000-11-04 Juvenes Dogana W 7-032.5 1025 897 53.91% 24.50% 21.60%+0.60 +37.3 13
2000-11-04 @ Cailungo L 0-732.5 897 1025 21.60% 24.50% 53.91%-0.60 -37.3 4
2000-11-04 Pennarossa W 3-036.1 1022 1009 38.91% 25.86% 35.23%+0.04 +25.1 17
2000-11-04 @ Faetano L 0-336.1 1009 1022 35.23% 25.86% 38.91%-0.04 -25.1 9
2000-11-05 Murata D 0-047.2 941 1005 28.49% 25.52% 45.99%-0.33 +1.0 10
2000-11-05 @ Libertas D 0-047.2 1005 941 45.99% 25.52% 28.49%+0.33 -1.0 15
2000-11-05 Virtus L 1-334.8 810 1068 12.16% 20.86% 66.98%-1.27 -5.7 6
2000-11-05 @ Montevito W 3-134.8 1068 810 66.98% 20.86% 12.16%+1.27 +5.7 16
2000-11-11 Juvenes Dogana W 3-134.5 1131 859 68.14% 20.41% 11.45%+1.29 +5.4 22
2000-11-11 @ Cosmos L 1-334.5 859 1131 11.45% 20.41% 68.14%-1.29 -5.4 4
2000-11-11 Murata L 1-249.3 1090 1004 48.73% 25.25% 26.03%+0.39 -11.2 18
2000-11-11 @ Domagnano W 2-149.3 1004 1090 26.03% 25.25% 48.73%-0.39 +11.1 18
2000-11-11 Pennarossa L 1-244.2 942 984 31.26% 25.72% 43.02%-0.23 -7.9 10
2000-11-11 @ Libertas W 2-144.2 984 942 43.02% 25.72% 31.26%+0.23 +7.9 12
2000-11-11 San Giovanni L 0-138.4 804 866 28.84% 25.55% 45.62%-0.32 -7.9 6
2000-11-11 @ Montevito W 1-038.4 866 804 45.62% 25.55% 28.84%+0.32 +7.9 15
2000-11-11 Tre Penne D 2-257.2 1074 891 59.88% 23.17% 16.94%+0.86 -1.8 17
2000-11-11 @ Virtus D 2-257.2 891 1074 16.94% 23.17% 59.88%-0.86 +1.8 9
2000-11-12 Faetano W 2-142.5 1133 1047 48.73% 25.25% 26.02%+0.39 +6.8 17
2000-11-12 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-242.5 1047 1133 26.02% 25.25% 48.73%-0.39 -6.8 17
2000-11-12 La Fiorita W 5-137.3 930 854 47.48% 25.38% 27.14%+0.35 +22.3 6
2000-11-12 @ Tre Fiori L 1-537.3 854 930 27.14% 25.38% 47.48%-0.35 -22.3 8
2000-11-18 Montevito L 1-349.2 952 796 56.98% 23.88% 19.14%+0.73 -22.1 6
2000-11-18 @ Tre Fiori W 3-149.2 796 952 19.14% 23.88% 56.98%-0.73 +22.1 9
2000-11-18 Folgore Falciano W 3-146.3 1079 1140 28.92% 25.55% 45.53%-0.32 +18.2 21
2000-11-18 @ Domagnano L 1-346.3 1140 1079 45.53% 25.55% 28.92%+0.32 -18.2 17
2000-11-18 Libertas D 2-256.6 854 934 26.67% 25.33% 48.00%-0.41 +0.8 5
2000-11-18 @ Juvenes Dogana D 2-256.6 934 854 48.00% 25.33% 26.67%+0.41 -0.8 11
2000-11-18 Murata W 3-035.6 1041 1015 40.62% 25.82% 33.56%+0.10 +24.2 20
2000-11-18 @ Faetano L 0-335.6 1015 1041 33.56% 25.82% 40.62%-0.10 -24.2 18
2000-11-18 Pennarossa L 1-241.9 893 992 24.51% 25.03% 50.45%-0.50 -6.5 9
2000-11-18 @ Tre Penne W 2-141.9 992 893 50.45% 25.03% 24.51%+0.50 +6.5 15
2000-11-19 Cailungo W 4-254.2 874 1062 16.55% 23.03% 60.42%-0.93 +20.8 18
2000-11-19 @ San Giovanni L 2-454.2 1062 874 60.42% 23.03% 16.55%+0.93 -20.8 13
2000-11-19 Virtus L 0-241.0 1137 1072 45.96% 25.52% 28.53%+0.29 -21.2 22
2000-11-19 @ Cosmos W 2-041.0 1072 1137 28.53% 25.52% 45.96%-0.29 +21.2 20
2000-11-26 Domagnano D 1-151.3 999 1097 24.62% 25.05% 50.33%-0.50 +1.4 16
2000-11-26 @ Pennarossa D 1-151.3 1097 999 50.33% 25.05% 24.62%+0.50 -1.4 22
2000-11-26 Juvenes Dogana W 2-037.1 886 855 41.50% 25.79% 32.72%+0.13 +16.3 12
2000-11-26 @ Tre Penne L 0-237.1 855 886 32.72% 25.79% 41.50%-0.13 -16.3 5
2000-12-02 Juvenes Dogana D 3-360.7 832 838 36.10% 25.87% 38.03%-0.05 +0.1 9
2000-12-02 @ La Fiorita D 3-360.7 838 832 38.03% 25.87% 36.10%+0.05 -0.1 6
2000-12-02 Libertas D 3-360.7 895 933 31.76% 25.74% 42.50%-0.21 +0.3 19
2000-12-02 @ San Giovanni D 3-360.7 933 895 42.50% 25.74% 31.76%+0.21 -0.3 12
2000-12-02 Pennarossa W 2-141.4 1115 1000 52.38% 24.75% 22.87%+0.54 +6.1 25
2000-12-02 @ Cosmos L 1-241.4 1000 1115 22.87% 24.75% 52.38%-0.54 -6.1 16
2000-12-02 Tre Penne L 0-147.8 1122 902 63.41% 22.13% 14.46%+1.04 -14.8 17
2000-12-02 @ Folgore Falciano W 1-047.8 902 1122 14.46% 22.13% 63.41%-1.04 +14.8 15
2000-12-02 Virtus W 3-253.2 1042 1094 30.04% 25.64% 44.32%-0.27 +9.8 16
2000-12-02 @ Cailungo L 2-353.2 1094 1042 44.32% 25.64% 30.04%+0.27 -9.8 20
2000-12-03 Faetano D 1-151.5 930 1065 21.02% 24.37% 54.62%-0.67 +1.8 7
2000-12-03 @ Tre Fiori D 1-151.5 1065 930 54.62% 24.37% 21.02%+0.67 -1.8 21
2000-12-03 Murata L 1-337.3 818 991 17.75% 23.45% 58.79%-0.86 -8.4 9
2000-12-03 @ Montevito W 3-137.3 991 818 58.79% 23.45% 17.75%+0.86 +8.4 21
2000-12-09 Domagnano W 2-146.5 1084 1096 35.37% 25.86% 38.77%-0.08 +9.3 23
2000-12-09 @ Virtus L 1-246.5 1096 1084 38.77% 25.86% 35.37%+0.08 -9.3 22
2000-12-09 Montevito L 1-247.1 838 810 41.08% 25.80% 33.12%+0.11 -9.7 6
2000-12-09 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-147.1 810 838 33.12% 25.80% 41.08%-0.11 +9.7 12
2000-12-09 La Fiorita D 1-151.7 1000 832 58.28% 23.58% 18.14%+0.79 -2.2 22
2000-12-09 @ Murata D 1-151.7 832 1000 18.14% 23.58% 58.28%-0.79 +2.2 10
2000-12-09 Tre Fiori W 5-140.4 933 932 37.19% 25.87% 36.94%-0.02 +28.3 15
2000-12-09 @ Libertas L 1-540.4 932 933 36.94% 25.87% 37.19%+0.02 -28.3 7
2000-12-09 Tre Penne L 0-237.4 895 917 33.92% 25.83% 40.25%-0.13 -16.8 19
2000-12-09 @ San Giovanni W 2-037.4 917 895 40.25% 25.83% 33.92%+0.13 +16.8 18
2000-12-10 Cailungo L 1-341.4 994 1051 29.34% 25.59% 45.07%-0.30 -13.0 16
2000-12-10 @ Pennarossa W 3-141.4 1051 994 45.07% 25.59% 29.34%+0.30 +13.0 19
2000-12-10 Folgore Falciano L 0-141.7 1121 1107 39.16% 25.85% 34.98%+0.05 -9.9 25
2000-12-10 @ Cosmos W 1-041.7 1107 1121 34.98% 25.85% 39.16%-0.05 +9.9 20
2000-12-16 Cosmos L 0-233.9 997 1112 23.00% 24.78% 52.22%-0.57 -12.3 22
2000-12-16 @ Murata W 2-033.9 1112 997 52.22% 24.78% 23.00%+0.57 +12.3 28
2000-12-16 Folgore Falciano D 1-152.9 820 1117 10.26% 19.53% 70.21%-1.46 +3.4 13
2000-12-16 @ Montevito D 1-152.9 1117 820 70.21% 19.53% 10.26%+1.46 -3.4 21
2000-12-16 La Fiorita W 7-028.6 1093 834 67.04% 20.84% 12.12%+1.23 +21.2 26
2000-12-16 @ Virtus L 0-728.6 834 1093 12.12% 20.84% 67.04%-1.23 -21.2 10
2000-12-16 San Giovanni D 0-047.9 1063 878 60.04% 23.13% 16.83%+0.87 -2.7 22
2000-12-16 @ Faetano D 0-047.9 878 1063 16.83% 23.13% 60.04%-0.87 +2.7 20
2000-12-16 Tre Fiori W 2-032.3 1064 904 57.52% 23.76% 18.72%+0.75 +10.2 22
2000-12-16 @ Cailungo L 0-232.3 904 1064 18.72% 23.76% 57.52%-0.75 -10.2 7
2001-02-11 Virtus D 1-151.6 961 1114 19.36% 23.95% 56.69%-0.76 +2.0 16
2001-02-11 @ Libertas D 1-151.6 1114 961 56.69% 23.95% 19.36%+0.76 -2.0 27
2001-02-17 Domagnano L 1-334.4 813 1086 11.36% 20.34% 68.29%-1.34 -5.3 10
2001-02-17 @ La Fiorita W 3-134.4 1086 813 68.29% 20.34% 11.36%+1.34 +5.3 25
2001-02-17 Faetano L 1-335.4 823 1060 13.36% 21.57% 65.07%-1.17 -6.3 13
2001-02-17 @ Montevito W 3-135.4 1060 823 65.07% 21.57% 13.36%+1.17 +6.3 25
2001-02-17 Libertas L 0-146.5 1124 963 57.50% 23.76% 18.73%+0.75 -13.6 28
2001-02-17 @ Cosmos W 1-046.5 963 1124 18.73% 23.76% 57.50%-0.75 +13.6 19
2001-02-17 Pennarossa L 1-242.4 893 981 25.83% 25.22% 48.95%-0.44 -6.8 7
2001-02-17 @ Tre Fiori W 2-142.4 981 893 48.95% 25.22% 25.83%+0.44 +6.8 19
2001-02-17 San Giovanni W 3-135.6 1112 881 64.56% 21.74% 13.69%+1.10 +6.5 30
2001-02-17 @ Virtus L 1-335.6 881 1112 13.69% 21.74% 64.56%-1.10 -6.5 20
2001-02-18 Juvenes Dogana D 0-048.8 1113 829 69.20% 19.97% 10.83%+1.35 -3.7 22
2001-02-18 @ Folgore Falciano D 0-048.8 829 1113 10.83% 19.97% 69.20%-1.35 +3.7 7
2001-02-18 Tre Penne L 0-146.0 1075 934 55.28% 24.24% 20.48%+0.66 -13.2 22
2001-02-18 @ Cailungo W 1-046.0 934 1075 20.48% 24.24% 55.28%-0.66 +13.2 21
2001-02-24 Cailungo D 0-047.1 1092 1061 41.37% 25.79% 32.84%+0.13 -0.5 26
2001-02-24 @ Domagnano D 0-047.1 1061 1092 32.84% 25.79% 41.37%-0.13 +0.5 23
2001-02-24 Cosmos D 0-047.7 947 1110 18.55% 23.71% 57.74%-0.81 +2.4 22
2001-02-24 @ Tre Penne D 0-047.7 1110 947 57.74% 23.71% 18.55%+0.81 -2.4 29
2001-02-24 Montevito L 1-251.4 977 817 57.42% 23.78% 18.80%+0.75 -12.8 19
2001-02-24 @ Libertas W 2-151.4 817 977 18.80% 23.78% 57.42%-0.75 +12.9 16
2001-02-24 Folgore Falciano L 2-637.7 988 1110 22.22% 24.63% 53.15%-0.61 -16.0 19
2001-02-24 @ Pennarossa W 6-237.7 1110 988 53.15% 24.63% 22.22%+0.61 +16.0 25
2001-02-24 Virtus L 0-131.3 832 1119 10.75% 19.91% 69.35%-1.41 -3.1 7
2001-02-24 @ Juvenes Dogana W 1-031.3 1119 832 69.35% 19.91% 10.75%+1.41 +3.1 33
2001-02-25 La Fiorita W 4-132.8 1067 807 67.04% 20.84% 12.12%+1.23 +8.1 28
2001-02-25 @ Faetano L 1-432.8 807 1067 12.12% 20.84% 67.04%-1.23 -8.1 10
2001-02-25 Tre Fiori W 2-142.0 985 887 50.34% 25.05% 24.61%+0.45 +6.5 25
2001-02-25 @ Murata L 1-242.0 887 985 24.61% 25.05% 50.34%-0.45 -6.5 7
2001-03-04 Libertas D 2-256.7 1062 964 50.26% 25.06% 24.68%+0.45 -1.0 24
2001-03-04 @ Cailungo D 2-256.7 964 1062 24.68% 25.06% 50.26%-0.45 +1.0 20
2001-03-04 Murata W 3-138.7 1122 992 54.10% 24.46% 21.44%+0.61 +10.0 36
2001-03-04 @ Virtus L 1-338.7 992 1122 21.44% 24.46% 54.10%-0.61 -10.0 25
2001-03-10 Cailungo W 2-144.0 1108 1061 43.64% 25.68% 30.68%+0.20 +7.8 32
2001-03-10 @ Cosmos L 1-244.0 1061 1108 30.68% 25.68% 43.64%-0.20 -7.8 24
2001-03-10 Domagnano D 1-151.0 1075 1091 34.71% 25.85% 39.45%-0.10 +0.2 29
2001-03-10 @ Faetano D 1-151.0 1091 1075 39.45% 25.85% 34.71%+0.10 -0.2 27
2001-03-10 Folgore Falciano L 0-232.8 982 1126 20.18% 24.16% 55.66%-0.72 -10.9 25
2001-03-10 @ Murata W 2-032.8 1126 982 55.66% 24.16% 20.18%+0.72 +10.9 28
2001-03-10 Libertas L 2-344.8 799 965 18.33% 23.64% 58.03%-0.82 -4.7 10
2001-03-10 @ La Fiorita W 3-244.8 965 799 58.03% 23.64% 18.33%+0.82 +4.7 23
2001-03-10 Tre Fiori W 2-146.2 874 880 36.23% 25.87% 37.90%-0.05 +9.1 23
2001-03-10 @ San Giovanni L 1-246.2 880 874 37.90% 25.87% 36.23%+0.05 -9.1 7
2001-03-11 Montevito W 4-031.4 950 830 52.91% 24.67% 22.42%+0.56 +22.8 25
2001-03-11 @ Tre Penne L 0-431.4 830 950 22.42% 24.67% 52.91%-0.56 -22.8 16
2001-03-11 Juvenes Dogana W 2-140.4 972 829 55.49% 24.20% 20.32%+0.67 +5.5 22
2001-03-11 @ Pennarossa L 1-240.4 829 972 20.32% 24.20% 55.49%-0.67 -5.5 7
2001-03-13 Cailungo D 2-256.6 1136 1053 48.43% 25.28% 26.29%+0.38 -0.9 29
2001-03-13 @ Folgore Falciano D 2-256.6 1053 1136 26.29% 25.28% 48.43%-0.38 +0.9 25
2001-03-13 Cosmos L 1-335.2 871 1116 12.92% 21.32% 65.75%-1.20 -6.1 7
2001-03-13 @ Tre Fiori W 3-135.2 1116 871 65.75% 21.32% 12.92%+1.20 +6.1 35
2001-03-13 San Giovanni D 1-152.0 1091 883 62.31% 22.48% 15.21%+0.98 -2.6 28
2001-03-13 @ Domagnano D 1-152.0 883 1091 15.21% 22.48% 62.31%-0.98 +2.6 24
2001-03-14 Juvenes Dogana L 0-148.3 1075 824 66.33% 21.11% 12.56%+1.19 -15.4 29
2001-03-14 @ Faetano W 1-048.3 824 1075 12.56% 21.11% 66.33%-1.19 +15.4 10
2001-03-14 La Fiorita W 3-029.9 977 795 59.80% 23.19% 17.00%+0.86 +13.5 25
2001-03-14 @ Pennarossa L 0-329.9 795 977 17.00% 23.19% 59.80%-0.86 -13.5 10
2001-03-14 Tre Penne D 0-047.0 971 972 36.83% 25.87% 37.30%-0.03 +0.0 26
2001-03-14 @ Murata D 0-047.0 972 971 37.30% 25.87% 36.83%+0.03 -0.0 26
2001-03-17 Cailungo W 2-153.2 807 1054 12.78% 21.24% 65.97%-1.22 +14.5 19
2001-03-17 @ Montevito L 1-253.2 1054 807 65.97% 21.24% 12.78%+1.22 -14.5 25
2001-03-17 Cosmos D 2-256.5 1059 1122 28.78% 25.54% 45.68%-0.32 +0.6 30
2001-03-17 @ Faetano D 2-256.5 1122 1059 45.68% 25.54% 28.78%+0.32 -0.7 36
2001-03-17 La Fiorita W 5-237.9 972 781 60.69% 22.95% 16.36%+0.90 +9.5 29
2001-03-17 @ Tre Penne L 2-537.9 781 972 16.36% 22.95% 60.69%-0.90 -9.5 10
2001-03-17 Murata L 0-233.2 839 971 21.30% 24.43% 54.27%-0.66 -11.5 10
2001-03-17 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-033.2 971 839 54.27% 24.43% 21.30%+0.66 +11.5 29
2001-03-17 Virtus L 2-535.8 865 1132 11.71% 20.58% 67.72%-1.31 -6.7 7
2001-03-17 @ Tre Fiori W 5-235.8 1132 865 67.72% 20.58% 11.71%+1.31 +6.7 39
2001-03-18 Libertas W 6-134.9 1088 970 52.77% 24.69% 22.54%+0.55 +23.3 31
2001-03-18 @ Domagnano L 1-634.9 970 1088 22.54% 24.69% 52.77%-0.55 -23.3 23
2001-03-18 San Giovanni D 1-152.4 1136 886 66.20% 21.16% 12.64%+1.18 -3.0 30
2001-03-18 @ Folgore Falciano D 1-152.4 886 1136 12.64% 21.16% 66.20%-1.18 +3.0 25
2001-03-20 Domagnano W 3-036.4 1121 1112 38.38% 25.86% 35.75%+0.02 +25.4 39
2001-03-20 @ Cosmos L 0-336.4 1112 1121 35.75% 25.86% 38.38%-0.02 -25.4 31
2001-03-20 Faetano W 2-149.0 982 1060 26.88% 25.35% 47.77%-0.40 +11.0 32
2001-03-20 @ Tre Penne L 1-249.0 1060 982 47.77% 25.35% 26.88%+0.40 -11.0 30
2001-03-20 La Fiorita W 1-038.9 821 772 44.03% 25.66% 30.31%+0.22 +8.2 22
2001-03-20 @ Montevito L 0-138.9 772 821 30.31% 25.66% 44.03%-0.22 -8.2 10
2001-03-21 Juvenes Dogana W 2-144.6 858 828 41.37% 25.79% 32.84%+0.12 +8.2 10
2001-03-21 @ Tre Fiori L 1-244.6 828 858 32.84% 25.79% 41.37%-0.12 -8.2 10
2001-03-24 Faetano L 3-450.1 946 1049 24.17% 24.98% 50.85%-0.52 -5.9 23
2001-03-24 @ Libertas W 4-350.1 1049 946 50.85% 24.98% 24.17%+0.52 +5.9 33
2001-03-24 Folgore Falciano W 2-145.8 1139 1133 37.92% 25.87% 36.21%+0.01 +8.8 42
2001-03-24 @ Virtus L 1-245.8 1133 1139 36.21% 25.87% 37.92%-0.01 -8.8 30
2001-03-24 La Fiorita D 1-152.7 1039 763 68.49% 20.26% 11.24%+1.31 -3.2 26
2001-03-24 @ Cailungo D 1-152.7 763 1039 11.24% 20.26% 68.49%-1.31 +3.2 11
2001-03-24 San Giovanni L 0-235.5 820 889 27.90% 25.46% 46.65%-0.36 -14.4 10
2001-03-24 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-035.5 889 820 46.65% 25.46% 27.90%+0.36 +14.4 28
2001-03-24 Tre Penne L 1-347.4 1086 993 49.71% 25.13% 25.16%+0.43 -19.6 31
2001-03-24 @ Domagnano W 3-147.4 993 1086 25.16% 25.13% 49.71%-0.43 +19.6 35
2001-03-25 Montevito L 0-149.3 1146 830 71.78% 18.83% 9.39%+1.51 -16.4 39
2001-03-25 @ Cosmos W 1-049.3 830 1146 9.39% 18.83% 71.78%-1.51 +16.4 25
2001-03-25 Pennarossa W 2-146.3 982 991 35.87% 25.87% 38.26%-0.06 +9.2 32
2001-03-25 @ Murata L 1-246.3 991 982 38.26% 25.87% 35.87%+0.06 -9.2 25
2001-04-01 Pennarossa L 2-347.9 903 981 26.91% 25.35% 47.74%-0.40 -6.6 28
2001-04-01 @ San Giovanni W 3-247.9 981 903 47.74% 25.35% 26.91%+0.40 +6.6 28
2001-04-03 Murata L 1-242.1 897 991 25.04% 25.11% 49.85%-0.48 -6.6 28
2001-04-03 @ San Giovanni W 2-142.1 991 897 49.85% 25.11% 25.04%+0.48 +6.6 35
2001-04-03 Tre Fiori W 2-029.5 1124 866 66.89% 20.90% 12.21%+1.22 +6.7 33
2001-04-03 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-229.5 866 1124 12.21% 20.90% 66.89%-1.22 -6.6 10
2001-04-03 Virtus W 2-043.9 988 1147 18.85% 23.80% 57.35%-0.79 +25.7 31
2001-04-03 @ Pennarossa L 0-243.9 1147 988 57.35% 23.80% 18.85%+0.79 -25.7 42
2001-04-04 Cailungo W 1-040.2 1055 1036 39.75% 25.84% 34.41%+0.07 +9.0 36
2001-04-04 @ Faetano L 0-140.2 1036 1055 34.41% 25.84% 39.75%-0.07 -9.0 26
2001-04-04 Cosmos D 1-153.6 767 1130 7.64% 17.14% 75.22%-1.78 +3.8 12
2001-04-04 @ La Fiorita D 1-153.6 1130 767 75.22% 17.14% 7.64%+1.78 -3.8 40
2001-04-04 Domagnano D 2-257.5 846 1067 14.36% 22.08% 63.57%-1.09 +2.1 26
2001-04-04 @ Montevito D 2-257.5 1067 846 63.57% 22.08% 14.36%+1.09 -2.1 32
2001-04-04 Tre Penne W 3-253.9 940 1012 27.59% 25.43% 46.98%-0.37 +10.3 26
2001-04-04 @ Libertas L 2-353.9 1012 940 46.98% 25.43% 27.59%+0.37 -10.3 35

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2001-04-07 Faetano W 2-143.2 1130 1064 46.23% 25.50% 28.28%+0.30 +7.3 1-0
2001-04-07 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-243.2 1064 1130 28.28% 25.50% 46.23%-0.30 -7.3 0-1
2001-04-07 Tre Penne W 3-036.9 998 1002 36.47% 25.87% 37.66%-0.04 +26.4 1-0
2001-04-07 @ Murata L 0-336.9 1002 998 37.66% 25.87% 36.47%+0.04 -26.4 0-1
2001-04-11 Folgore Falciano L 1-245.3 1122 1138 34.81% 25.85% 39.34%-0.10 -8.6 0-1
2001-04-11 @ Virtus W 2-145.3 1138 1122 39.34% 25.85% 34.81%+0.10 +8.6 2-0
2001-04-11 Murata L 0-144.9 1126 1024 50.72% 25.00% 24.28%+0.47 -12.2 0-1
2001-04-11 @ Cosmos W 1-044.9 1024 1126 24.28% 25.00% 50.72%-0.47 +12.2 2-0
2001-04-17 Cosmos L 0-334.3 1057 1114 29.40% 25.59% 45.01%-0.30 -21.8 0-2
2001-04-17 @ Faetano W 3-034.3 1114 1057 45.01% 25.59% 29.40%+0.30 +21.8 1-1
2001-04-17 Virtus W 1-045.9 976 1113 20.77% 24.31% 54.92%-0.69 +13.1 1-1
2001-04-17 @ Tre Penne L 0-145.9 1113 976 54.92% 24.31% 20.77%+0.69 -13.1 0-2
2001-04-18 Murata W 2-034.1 1146 1037 51.67% 24.86% 23.46%+0.51 +12.5 3-0
2001-04-18 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-234.1 1037 1146 23.46% 24.86% 51.67%-0.51 -12.5 2-1
2001-04-22 Cosmos L 0-430.5 989 1136 19.92% 24.10% 55.99%-0.73 -20.5 1-2
2001-04-22 @ Tre Penne W 4-030.5 1136 989 55.99% 24.10% 19.92%+0.73 +20.5 2-1
2001-04-28 Cosmos L 0-135.9 1024 1156 21.26% 24.42% 54.31%-0.66 -6.1 2-2
2001-04-28 @ Murata W 1-035.9 1156 1024 54.31% 24.42% 21.26%+0.66 +6.1 3-1
2001-05-04 Cosmos L 1-343.8 1159 1162 36.55% 25.87% 37.58%-0.04 -15.4 3-1
2001-05-04 @ Folgore Falciano W 3-143.8 1162 1159 37.58% 25.87% 36.55%+0.04 +15.4 4-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2001-03-25 9.39% Montevito 830 1 @ Cosmos 1146 0
2 2000-10-18 11.18% Montevito 785 1 @ Cailungo 1062 0
3 2001-03-14 12.56% Juvenes Dogana 824 1 @ Faetano 1075 0
4 2001-03-17 12.78% @ Montevito 807 2 Cailungo 1054 1
5 2000-10-17 12.87% @ San Giovanni 876 1 Folgore Falciano 1121 0
6 2000-12-02 14.46% Tre Penne 902 1 @ Folgore Falciano 1122 0
7 2000-11-19 16.55% @ San Giovanni 874 4 Cailungo 1062 2
8 2001-02-17 18.73% Libertas 963 1 @ Cosmos 1124 0
9 2001-02-24 18.80% Montevito 817 2 @ Libertas 977 1
10 2001-04-03 18.85% @ Pennarossa 988 2 Virtus 1147 0
11 2000-11-18 19.14% Montevito 796 3 @ Tre Fiori 952 1
12 2001-02-18 20.48% Tre Penne 934 1 @ Cailungo 1075 0
13 2001-04-17 * 20.77% @ Tre Penne 976 1 Virtus 1113 0
14 2000-09-10 22.07% @ Pennarossa 915 5 Tre Fiori 1039 0
15 2000-09-24 22.29% San Giovanni 852 2 @ Pennarossa 974 1
16 2001-04-11 * 24.28% Murata 1024 1 @ Cosmos 1126 0
17 2000-10-28 24.59% @ Tre Penne 879 2 Libertas 978 1
18 2001-03-24 25.16% Tre Penne 993 3 @ Domagnano 1086 1
19 2000-10-18 25.25% @ La Fiorita 838 3 Tre Penne 930 0
20 2000-09-30 25.54% San Giovanni 864 2 @ Tre Fiori 954 1
21 2000-11-11 26.03% Murata 1004 2 @ Domagnano 1090 1
22 2001-03-20 26.88% @ Tre Penne 982 2 Faetano 1060 1
23 2001-04-04 27.59% @ Libertas 940 3 Tre Penne 1012 2
24 2000-10-01 27.64% @ Cailungo 1041 2 Cosmos 1112 0
25 2000-10-21 28.01% Libertas 955 5 @ Faetano 1024 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-09-30 59.50 Pennarossa 7 962 35.55% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 972 38.59% 25.86%
2 2000-09-10 56.33 @ Pennarossa 5 915 22.07% Tre Fiori 0 1039 53.33% 24.60%
3 2000-09-17 48.23 Libertas 7 926 45.09% @ Montevito 0 869 29.33% 25.59%
4 2000-11-04 37.31 @ Cailungo 7 1025 53.91% Juvenes Dogana 0 897 21.60% 24.50%
5 2000-10-18 32.87 @ La Fiorita 3 838 25.25% Tre Penne 0 930 49.60% 25.14%
6 2000-12-09 28.32 @ Libertas 5 933 37.19% Tre Fiori 1 932 36.94% 25.87%
7 2001-04-07 * 26.39 @ Murata 3 998 36.47% Tre Penne 0 1002 37.66% 25.87%
8 2000-11-04 26.20 Cosmos 7 1105 62.82% @ San Giovanni 0 892 14.86% 22.32%
9 2001-04-03 25.66 @ Pennarossa 2 988 18.85% Virtus 0 1147 57.35% 23.80%
10 2000-09-23 25.64 Cosmos 3 1087 37.91% @ Domagnano 0 1081 36.22% 25.87%
11 2000-11-01 25.45 @ Folgore Falciano 5 1111 55.75% Libertas 0 966 20.11% 24.14%
12 2001-03-20 25.39 @ Cosmos 3 1121 38.38% Domagnano 0 1112 35.75% 25.86%
13 2000-11-04 25.11 @ Faetano 3 1022 38.91% Pennarossa 0 1009 35.23% 25.86%
14 2000-11-18 24.20 @ Faetano 3 1041 40.62% Murata 0 1015 33.56% 25.82%
15 2001-03-18 23.32 @ Domagnano 6 1088 52.77% Libertas 1 970 22.54% 24.69%
16 2001-03-11 22.76 @ Tre Penne 4 950 52.91% Montevito 0 830 22.42% 24.67%
17 2000-10-21 22.75 Libertas 5 955 28.01% @ Faetano 2 1024 46.52% 25.47%
18 2000-11-12 22.29 @ Tre Fiori 5 930 47.48% La Fiorita 1 854 27.14% 25.38%
19 2000-11-18 22.09 Montevito 3 796 19.14% @ Tre Fiori 1 952 56.98% 23.88%
20 2001-04-17 * 21.83 Cosmos 3 1114 45.01% @ Faetano 0 1057 29.40% 25.59%
21 2000-10-01 21.61 @ Cailungo 2 1041 27.64% Cosmos 0 1112 46.93% 25.43%
22 2000-11-19 21.24 Virtus 2 1072 28.53% @ Cosmos 0 1137 45.96% 25.52%
23 2000-12-16 21.20 @ Virtus 7 1093 67.04% La Fiorita 0 834 12.12% 20.84%
24 2000-11-19 20.80 @ San Giovanni 4 874 16.55% Cailungo 2 1062 60.42% 23.03%
25 2000-10-28 20.78 Faetano 2 1001 29.65% @ Cailungo 0 1056 44.74% 25.61%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-11-04 61.3 @ Tre Fiori 3 929 18.56% Domagnano 3 1091 57.73% 23.71%
2 2000-12-02 60.7 @ La Fiorita 3 832 36.10% Juvenes Dogana 3 838 38.03% 25.87%
3 2000-12-02 60.7 @ San Giovanni 3 895 31.76% Libertas 3 933 42.50% 25.74%
4 2001-04-04 57.5 @ Montevito 2 846 14.36% Domagnano 2 1067 63.57% 22.08%
5 2000-10-31 57.4 @ Pennarossa 2 1011 61.88% Montevito 2 808 15.51% 22.61%
6 2000-11-11 57.2 @ Virtus 2 1074 59.88% Tre Penne 2 891 16.94% 23.17%
7 2000-10-17 56.8 @ Virtus 2 1061 52.63% Tre Fiori 2 943 22.66% 24.71%
8 2001-03-04 56.7 @ Cailungo 2 1062 50.26% Libertas 2 964 24.68% 25.06%
9 2000-11-18 56.6 @ Juvenes Dogana 2 854 26.67% Libertas 2 934 48.00% 25.33%
10 2001-03-13 56.6 @ Folgore Falciano 2 1136 48.43% Cailungo 2 1053 26.29% 25.28%
11 2000-10-28 56.5 @ Virtus 2 1070 45.27% Pennarossa 2 1011 29.16% 25.57%
12 2000-11-01 56.5 @ La Fiorita 2 850 31.26% San Giovanni 2 893 43.02% 25.72%
13 2001-03-17 56.5 @ Faetano 2 1059 28.78% Cosmos 2 1122 45.68% 25.54%
14 2000-11-01 56.4 @ Tre Penne 2 890 31.76% Tre Fiori 2 929 42.50% 25.74%
15 2000-11-19 54.2 @ San Giovanni 4 874 16.55% Cailungo 2 1062 60.42% 23.03%
16 2001-04-04 53.9 @ Libertas 3 940 27.59% Tre Penne 2 1012 46.98% 25.43%
17 2001-04-04 53.6 @ La Fiorita 1 767 7.64% Cosmos 1 1130 75.22% 17.14%
18 2000-12-02 53.2 @ Cailungo 3 1042 30.04% Virtus 2 1094 44.32% 25.64%
19 2001-03-17 53.2 @ Montevito 2 807 12.78% Cailungo 1 1054 65.97% 21.24%
20 2000-12-16 52.9 @ Montevito 1 820 10.26% Folgore Falciano 1 1117 70.21% 19.53%
21 2000-11-04 52.8 @ La Fiorita 1 851 10.77% Folgore Falciano 1 1136 69.30% 19.93%
22 2001-03-24 52.7 @ Cailungo 1 1039 68.49% La Fiorita 1 763 11.24% 20.26%
23 2001-03-18 52.4 @ Folgore Falciano 1 1136 66.20% San Giovanni 1 886 12.64% 21.16%
24 2001-03-13 52.0 @ Domagnano 1 1091 62.31% San Giovanni 1 883 15.21% 22.48%
25 2000-12-09 51.7 @ Murata 1 1000 58.28% La Fiorita 1 832 18.14% 23.58%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-10-29 28.4 @ Cosmos 3 1094 64.72% La Fiorita 0 861 13.59% 21.69%
2 2000-12-16 28.6 @ Virtus 7 1093 67.04% La Fiorita 0 834 12.12% 20.84%
3 2001-04-03 29.5 @ Folgore Falciano 2 1124 66.89% Tre Fiori 0 866 12.21% 20.90%
4 2000-10-22 29.7 Domagnano 4 1068 58.58% @ Tre Penne 0 897 17.91% 23.51%
5 2000-11-04 29.9 Cosmos 7 1105 62.82% @ San Giovanni 0 892 14.86% 22.32%
6 2001-03-14 29.9 @ Pennarossa 3 977 59.80% La Fiorita 0 795 17.00% 23.19%
7 2001-04-22 * 30.5 Cosmos 4 1136 55.99% @ Tre Penne 0 989 19.92% 24.10%
8 2000-11-01 30.8 @ Folgore Falciano 5 1111 55.75% Libertas 0 966 20.11% 24.14%
9 2000-10-29 30.9 Folgore Falciano 3 1096 56.47% @ Tre Fiori 0 944 19.54% 23.99%
10 2001-02-24 31.3 Virtus 1 1119 69.35% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 832 10.75% 19.91%
11 2001-03-11 31.4 @ Tre Penne 4 950 52.91% Montevito 0 830 22.42% 24.67%
12 2000-10-21 31.8 Cailungo 2 1046 59.10% @ La Fiorita 0 871 17.52% 23.38%
13 2000-09-30 32.3 Tre Penne 3 912 51.66% @ Montevito 0 803 23.48% 24.86%
14 2000-12-16 32.3 @ Cailungo 2 1064 57.52% Tre Fiori 0 904 18.72% 23.76%
15 2000-11-04 32.5 @ Cailungo 7 1025 53.91% Juvenes Dogana 0 897 21.60% 24.50%
16 2001-02-25 32.8 @ Faetano 4 1067 67.04% La Fiorita 1 807 12.12% 20.84%
17 2001-03-10 32.8 Folgore Falciano 2 1126 55.66% @ Murata 0 982 20.18% 24.16%
18 2001-03-17 33.2 Murata 2 971 54.27% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 839 21.30% 24.43%
19 2000-09-09 33.7 Folgore Falciano 2 1106 52.69% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 988 22.61% 24.70%
20 2000-12-16 33.9 Cosmos 2 1112 52.22% @ Murata 0 997 23.00% 24.78%
21 2000-09-09 34.0 Virtus 1 1045 60.31% @ San Giovanni 0 857 16.63% 23.06%
22 2000-09-16 34.0 Faetano 1 1020 60.50% @ La Fiorita 0 830 16.50% 23.01%
23 2001-04-18 * 34.1 @ Folgore Falciano 2 1146 51.67% Murata 0 1037 23.46% 24.86%
24 2001-04-17 * 34.3 Cosmos 3 1114 45.01% @ Faetano 0 1057 29.40% 25.59%
25 2001-02-17 34.4 Domagnano 3 1086 68.29% @ La Fiorita 1 813 11.36% 20.34%