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2001-02 Campionato Sammarinese Season

154 games · 6 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Cosmos

49 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Pennarossa

10.31 points above expected

46 points · 35.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tre Penne

10.69 points below expected

10 points · 20.69 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Cosmos 20 15 4 1 49 46 16 +30 41.04 +7.96
2 Pennarossa 20 14 4 2 46 41 19 +22 35.69 +10.31
3 Libertas 20 13 3 4 42 38 18 +20 32.50 +9.50
4 Cailungo 21 11 7 3 40 31 18 +13 36.94 +3.06
5 Domagnano 21 10 6 5 36 36 27 +9 35.13 +0.87
6 Virtus 21 10 5 6 35 40 24 +16 37.77 -2.77
7 Faetano 21 10 5 6 35 27 22 +5 31.06 +3.94
8 Murata 20 10 3 7 33 40 27 +13 31.17 +1.83
9 Folgore Falciano 21 8 4 9 28 37 37 0 34.58 -6.58
10 San Giovanni 21 6 6 9 24 27 35 -8 22.50 +1.50
11 Tre Fiori 20 5 3 12 18 21 30 -9 21.82 -3.82
12 Montevito 20 4 6 10 18 27 38 -11 18.21 -0.21
13 Tre Penne 20 1 7 12 10 16 40 -24 20.69 -10.69
14 La Fiorita 21 1 6 14 9 12 42 -30 15.33 -6.33
15 Juvenes Dogana 21 0 3 18 3 13 59 -46 13.34 -10.34

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pennarossa 46 35.69 +10.31
2 Libertas 42 32.50 +9.50
3 Cosmos 49 41.04 +7.96
4 Faetano 35 31.06 +3.94
5 Cailungo 40 36.94 +3.06

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tre Penne 10 20.69 -10.69
2 Juvenes Dogana 3 13.34 -10.34
3 Folgore Falciano 28 34.58 -6.58
4 La Fiorita 9 15.33 -6.33
5 Tre Fiori 18 21.82 -3.82

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Murata 8 Nov 11 – Feb 23 1 in 749
2 Cailungo 7 Sep 15 – Oct 27 1 in 138
3 San Giovanni 4 Oct 13 – Nov 3 1 in 111
4 Faetano 4 Nov 18 – Feb 9 1 in 33
5 Pennarossa 5 Dec 2 – Mar 3 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juvenes Dogana 13 Oct 6 – Mar 2 1 in 215
2 Tre Fiori 6 Dec 1 – Mar 2 1 in 37
3 Murata 3 Oct 20 – Nov 3 1 in 22
4 La Fiorita 7 Oct 13 – Nov 25 1 in 21
5 Cailungo 2 Nov 11 – Nov 18 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Montevito 6 Dec 1 – Mar 9 1 in 77
2 Cosmos 19 Sep 23 – Apr 6 1 in 38
3 Pennarossa 9 Sep 15 – Nov 17 1 in 23
4 Murata 8 Nov 11 – Feb 23 1 in 23
5 Libertas 7 Feb 16 – Apr 6 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tre Penne 13 Sep 16 – Feb 10 1 in 109
2 La Fiorita 19 Sep 29 – Apr 7 1 in 43
3 Juvenes Dogana 21 Sep 15 – Apr 7 1 in 26
4 Cailungo 3 Nov 3 – Nov 18 1 in 14
5 Tre Fiori 9 Dec 1 – Mar 23 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Cosmos 1174 49 +34 13 10.3 +2.7
Pennarossa 1098 46 +3 8 9.7 -1.7
Libertas 1053 42 +68 11 7.8 +3.2
Cailungo 974 40 +4 7 8.9 -1.9
Domagnano 934 36 +8 8 8.4 -0.4
Faetano 971 35 +24 11 9.6 +1.4
Virtus 1023 35 +21 11 9.9 +1.1
Murata 985 33 -63 4 7.9 -3.9
Folgore Falciano 878 28 -27 5 7.5 -2.5
San Giovanni 770 24 -8 4 5.4 -1.4
Tre Fiori 791 18 -14 4 4.7 -0.7
Montevito 755 18 -35 2 3.6 -1.6
Tre Penne 697 10 -31 1 3.4 -2.4
La Fiorita 580 9 -10 2 3.1 -1.1
Juvenes Dogana 553 3 -12 2 3.0 -1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CAI COS DOM FAE FF JD LF LIB MON MUR PEN SG TF TP VIR
Cailungo —
0-0-1
1.08
2-0-0
3.01
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
2.86
2-0-0
4.59
1-1-0
4.84
0-0-1
1.56
0-1-0
2.20
0-0-1
2.06
1-0-0
1.13
1-1-0
4.07
1-0-0
1.80
0-1-0
2.20
1-1-0
2.91
Cosmos
1-0-0
1.69
 —
0-1-0
1.96
1-0-0
2.07
1-0-0
2.04
1-0-0
2.44
1-0-0
2.44
0-2-0
3.73
2-0-0
4.52
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-0
2.26
2-0-0
4.50
2-0-0
4.61
1-0-0
1.52
Domagnano
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-0
0.82
 —
0-2-0
3.04
2-0-0
2.42
2-0-0
4.67
1-1-0
4.44
1-0-0
1.34
1-0-0
2.20
0-0-1
1.73
0-0-1
1.26
1-1-0
4.04
1-0-0
1.77
1-0-0
2.09
0-1-1
2.85
Faetano
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-1
0.71
0-2-0
2.50
 —
1-0-1
2.15
2-0-0
4.40
1-1-0
4.21
1-0-0
0.87
1-0-0
1.88
0-0-1
1.05
0-0-1
0.97
1-0-1
3.78
1-0-0
1.69
1-0-0
1.77
1-1-0
2.09
Folgore Falciano
0-1-1
2.68
0-0-1
0.74
0-0-2
3.12
1-0-1
3.40
 —
2-0-0
4.56
2-0-0
4.53
1-0-0
0.98
0-1-0
2.18
1-0-0
1.62
0-0-1
1.22
0-1-1
4.05
1-0-0
1.75
0-1-0
2.05
0-0-2
2.45
Juvenes Dogana
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-1
0.37
0-0-2
0.93
0-0-2
1.20
0-0-2
1.03
 —
0-2-0
2.51
0-0-1
0.38
0-0-1
1.00
0-0-1
0.36
0-0-1
0.38
0-1-1
1.49
0-0-1
0.61
0-0-1
0.83
0-0-2
0.98
La Fiorita
0-1-1
0.78
0-0-1
0.37
0-1-1
1.14
0-1-1
1.37
0-0-2
1.06
0-2-0
3.03
 —
0-0-1
0.53
0-0-1
1.12
0-0-1
0.63
0-0-1
0.40
1-0-1
1.87
0-0-1
1.08
0-1-0
1.01
0-0-2
1.05
Libertas
1-0-0
1.21
0-2-0
1.82
0-0-1
1.43
0-0-1
1.90
0-0-1
1.80
1-0-0
2.43
1-0-0
2.27
 —
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-0
2.01
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-0
0.93
Montevito
0-1-0
0.59
0-0-2
1.07
0-0-1
0.59
0-0-1
0.89
0-1-0
0.61
1-0-0
1.77
1-0-0
1.64
0-0-2
1.44
 —
1-1-0
1.38
0-1-1
1.31
0-0-1
1.07
0-1-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-1
0.47
Murata
1-0-0
0.72
0-0-2
1.74
1-0-0
1.04
1-0-0
1.72
0-0-1
1.15
1-0-0
2.46
1-0-0
2.15
0-0-2
3.03
0-1-1
4.18
 —
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-0
1.98
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.78
1-0-0
1.16
Pennarossa
0-0-1
1.64
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-0
1.50
1-0-0
1.80
1-0-0
1.55
1-0-0
2.43
1-0-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
4.26
1-1-0
3.01
 —
1-0-0
2.20
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
4.43
1-0-0
1.58
San Giovanni
0-1-1
1.48
0-1-0
0.53
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
1.77
1-1-0
1.51
1-1-0
4.07
1-0-1
3.67
0-0-1
0.77
1-0-0
1.70
0-0-1
0.80
0-0-1
0.58
 —
0-0-1
1.68
1-0-0
1.43
0-1-1
1.50
Tre Fiori
0-0-1
0.97
0-0-2
1.09
0-0-1
1.00
0-0-1
1.08
0-0-1
1.02
1-0-0
2.17
1-0-0
1.69
0-0-2
1.93
1-1-0
2.87
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-0
1.09
 —
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-0
0.77
Tre Penne
0-1-0
0.59
0-0-2
1.00
0-0-1
0.70
0-0-1
1.00
0-1-0
0.73
1-0-0
1.94
0-1-0
1.76
0-0-2
1.55
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
1.78
0-1-1
1.15
0-0-1
1.33
0-1-1
2.85
 —
0-0-1
0.74
Virtus
0-1-1
2.63
0-0-1
1.25
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
3.45
2-0-0
3.09
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.55
0-0-1
1.84
1-0-0
2.32
0-0-1
1.61
0-0-1
1.19
1-1-0
4.06
0-1-0
2.00
1-0-0
2.04
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +11.9
Allowed 0.86 -11.2
Differential 0.96 +6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.44%7.47%5.19%3.25%2.27%0.65%27.27%
17.47%12.34%6.17%4.87%2.27%0.65%33.77%
25.19%6.17%2.60%2.27%1.30%0.32%17.86%
33.25%4.87%2.27%—0.32%0.97%11.69%
42.27%2.27%1.30%0.32%—0.32%6.49%
5+0.65%0.65%0.32%0.97%0.32%—2.92%
Total27.27%33.77%17.86%11.69%6.49%2.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.39 1.99
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 154

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%——9.52%——23.81%
114.29%19.05%—4.76%——38.10%
29.52%4.76%————14.29%
34.76%9.52%————14.29%
4—9.52%————9.52%
5+———————
Total42.86%42.86%—14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 0.86 +0.62
SD 1.29 1.01 1.75
CV 0.87 1.18 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.00%5.00%————20.00%
110.00%5.00%————15.00%
210.00%15.00%————25.00%
310.00%5.00%10.00%———25.00%
4——5.00%———5.00%
5+—5.00%—5.00%——10.00%
Total45.00%35.00%15.00%5.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.30 0.80 +1.50
SD 2.03 0.89 1.70
CV 0.88 1.12 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%4.76%—4.76%——23.81%
19.52%14.29%4.76%———28.57%
2—9.52%——9.52%—19.05%
3—9.52%9.52%———19.05%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+—4.76%————4.76%
Total23.81%47.62%14.29%4.76%9.52%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.29 +0.43
SD 1.55 1.19 1.78
CV 0.91 0.92 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%9.52%——4.76%—28.57%
119.05%9.52%9.52%—4.76%—42.86%
24.76%4.76%————9.52%
34.76%9.52%————14.29%
4———————
5+———4.76%——4.76%
Total42.86%33.33%9.52%4.76%9.52%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.05 +0.24
SD 1.31 1.28 1.70
CV 1.02 1.23 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%—9.52%—4.76%—19.05%
14.76%4.76%4.76%9.52%——23.81%
2—19.05%9.52%9.52%——38.10%
3—————4.76%4.76%
44.76%4.76%————9.52%
5+4.76%—————4.76%
Total19.05%28.57%23.81%19.05%4.76%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.76 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 2.17
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%14.29%—14.29%—4.76%42.86%
1—4.76%14.29%19.05%4.76%9.52%52.38%
2—————4.76%4.76%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total9.52%19.05%14.29%33.33%4.76%19.05%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 2.81 -2.19
SD 0.59 1.99 1.81
CV 0.95 0.71 —
Max 2 8 +0
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%14.29%4.76%4.76%4.76%47.62%
14.76%19.05%9.52%9.52%4.76%—47.62%
2————4.76%—4.76%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%28.57%23.81%14.29%14.29%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.57 2.00 -1.43
SD 0.60 1.45 1.50
CV 1.05 0.72 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—5.00%———15.00%
110.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%——30.00%
220.00%5.00%————25.00%
35.00%—5.00%———10.00%
45.00%10.00%—5.00%——20.00%
5+———————
Total50.00%20.00%20.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 0.90 +1.00
SD 1.37 1.07 1.69
CV 0.72 1.19 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.00%15.00%—5.00%—25.00%
1—25.00%5.00%10.00%——40.00%
2—10.00%5.00%5.00%——20.00%
3——5.00%———5.00%
45.00%————5.00%10.00%
5+———————
Total5.00%40.00%30.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.90 -0.55
SD 1.23 1.21 1.67
CV 0.91 0.64 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%10.00%————15.00%
15.00%10.00%5.00%—5.00%—25.00%
210.00%——5.00%5.00%—20.00%
35.00%15.00%——5.00%—25.00%
45.00%5.00%5.00%———15.00%
5+———————
Total30.00%40.00%10.00%5.00%15.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.35 +0.65
SD 1.34 1.39 1.90
CV 0.67 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%————10.00%
115.00%15.00%————30.00%
210.00%10.00%5.00%———25.00%
315.00%—5.00%———20.00%
4——10.00%———10.00%
5+————5.00%—5.00%
Total40.00%35.00%20.00%—5.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 0.95 +1.10
SD 1.36 1.05 1.21
CV 0.66 1.11 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%4.76%—4.76%—28.57%
14.76%9.52%4.76%9.52%4.76%—33.33%
29.52%9.52%9.52%———28.57%
3—————4.76%4.76%
4———————
5+——4.76%———4.76%
Total23.81%28.57%23.81%9.52%9.52%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.67 -0.38
SD 1.23 1.46 1.75
CV 0.96 0.88 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%15.00%15.00%5.00%——40.00%
15.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%—35.00%
25.00%——5.00%——10.00%
3—10.00%————10.00%
45.00%—————5.00%
5+———————
Total20.00%35.00%25.00%15.00%5.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.50 -0.45
SD 1.19 1.15 1.85
CV 1.13 0.76 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%—40.00%
15.00%25.00%10.00%—5.00%—45.00%
2——5.00%5.00%——10.00%
3—————5.00%5.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%40.00%20.00%10.00%15.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 2.00 -1.20
SD 0.83 1.56 1.47
CV 1.04 0.78 —
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%4.76%9.52%4.76%——28.57%
14.76%9.52%4.76%———19.05%
2—4.76%4.76%4.76%——14.29%
34.76%14.29%————19.05%
49.52%—————9.52%
5+4.76%——4.76%——9.52%
Total33.33%33.33%19.05%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 1.14 +0.76
SD 1.70 1.06 2.14
CV 0.89 0.93 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 21

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cosmos 1134 49 41.04 +7.96 96.0% 24 31 37 41 45 49 53
Domagnano 1058 36 35.13 +0.87 61.0% 23 26 32 35 38 43 53
Pennarossa 1053 46 35.69 +10.31 99.0% 23 25 32 36 40 43 47
Cailungo 1030 40 36.94 +3.06 71.0% 25 27 34 38 41 46 47
Virtus 1023 35 37.77 -2.77 35.0% 17 27 34 38 42 47 50
Libertas 1000 42 32.50 +9.50 96.0% 20 23 28 32 37 41 49
Murata 985 33 31.17 +1.83 68.0% 17 23 28 32 35 38 45
Faetano 930 35 31.06 +3.94 79.0% 16 22 28 31 35 39 43
Folgore Falciano 878 28 34.58 -6.58 16.0% 18 25 31 33 40 44 49
Tre Fiori 791 18 21.82 -3.82 28.0% 10 12 18 22 26 30 34
San Giovanni 770 24 22.50 +1.50 68.0% 10 14 19 22 26 31 37
Montevito 755 18 18.21 -0.21 56.0% 7 8 15 18 22 28 32
Tre Penne 697 10 20.69 -10.69 3.0% 10 12 16 19 25 30 34
La Fiorita 580 9 15.33 -6.33 14.0% 5 8 11 15 19 24 31
Juvenes Dogana 553 3 13.34 -10.34 1.0% 3 5 10 13 16 21 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-6.49%
No Edge
35.06%23.38%41.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -22.59 Elo pts.
172 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.09 goals
Neutral
-2-0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.1
Open
145610
Champion Preseason Odds
68%
Cosmos, 1st of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Comfortable
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.4 * Some Luck: 4.4 to 6.61 * Lucky: 6.61 to 8.81 * Wild Swing: 8.81 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.52 * Close: 1.52 to 2.28 * Off: 2.28 to 3.04 * Way Off: 3.04 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.42 points
Some Luck
05.5114
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
01.904
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
99.00%
Pennarossa
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
1.00%
Juvenes Dogana
050
Season Outliers
Expected
5 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Lopsided
00.20.260.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 185.51
2.33
Wide Separation
11.71.92.23
Interquartile Edge
80%
Clear Edge
50%74%84.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
97%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Some Drama
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Occasional
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Notable Separation
00.370.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.42
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.71
Near-Lock
00.360.520.691
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.31
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.52
Very Underconfident
0.3207241.001.67928
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.098
Well Within Noise
00.1330.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

First Round

Faetano 2
Pennarossa 1
Domagnano 4
Libertas 2

Second Round

Cosmos 1
Domagnano 0
Cailungo 3
Faetano 0

Third Round

Libertas 2
Faetano 1
Domagnano 1
Pennarossa 0

Quarterfinals

Cailungo 2
Cosmos 1

Sim: 4.0%

Domagnano 3
Libertas 1

Sim: 3.0%

Semifinals

Domagnano 1
Cosmos 0

Finals

Domagnano 1
Cailungo 0

Sim: 2.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Cosmos68.00%22.00%8.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Pennarossa18.00%40.00%25.00%14.00%3.00%———
Libertas12.00%22.00%21.00%29.00%12.00%4.00%——
Cailungo25.00%31.00%19.00%16.00%8.00%1.00%——
Domagnano12.00%26.00%28.00%16.00%13.00%5.00%——
Virtus40.00%22.00%14.00%13.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%—
Faetano2.00%10.00%19.00%20.00%33.00%15.00%1.00%—
Murata2.00%15.00%38.00%30.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%—
Folgore Falciano21.00%10.00%19.00%26.00%20.00%3.00%1.00%—
San Giovanni—1.00%1.00%8.00%15.00%51.00%21.00%3.00%
Tre Fiori—1.00%3.00%9.00%35.00%29.00%23.00%—
Montevito———9.00%17.00%30.00%44.00%—
Tre Penne——5.00%8.00%22.00%33.00%32.00%—
La Fiorita———1.00%3.00%15.00%44.00%37.00%
Juvenes Dogana—————8.00%32.00%60.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level
Cailungo 25.00%
Cosmos 2.00%
Domagnano 34.00%
Faetano 69.00%
Folgore Falciano 50.00%
Juvenes Dogana 100%
La Fiorita 100%
Libertas 45.00%
Montevito 100%
Murata 45.00%
Pennarossa 17.00%
San Giovanni 98.00%
Tre Fiori 96.00%
Tre Penne 95.00%
Virtus 24.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
CailungoCosmosDomagnanoFaetanoFolgore FalcianoLibertasMurataPennarossaTre FioriVirtus
Cailungo40.0%10.00%33.3%15.00%64.3%14.00%36.4%11.00%33.3%3.00%
Cosmos60.0%10.00%60.0%5.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%7.00%55.6%9.00%
Domagnano40.0%5.00%23.1%13.00%33.3%9.00%50.0%10.00%
Faetano80.0%5.00%37.5%8.00%62.5%8.00%25.0%8.00%
Folgore Falciano0.0%7.00%54.5%11.00%50.0%6.00%10.0%10.00%
Libertas66.7%15.00%76.9%13.00%62.5%8.00%45.5%11.00%53.8%13.00%
Murata35.7%14.00%66.7%9.00%37.5%8.00%50.0%6.00%50.0%12.00%
Pennarossa63.6%11.00%50.0%10.00%75.0%8.00%90.0%10.00%45.5%11.00%
Tre Fiori66.7%3.00%0.0%2.00%
Virtus44.4%9.00%46.2%13.00%50.0%12.00%54.5%11.00%100.0%2.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
CailungoCosmosDomagnanoFaetanoFolgore FalcianoLibertasMurataPennarossaTre FioriVirtus
Cailungo38.5%13.00%63.6%11.00%75.0%4.00%50.0%4.00%75.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%9.00%16.7%6.00%
Cosmos61.5%13.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%55.6%9.00%60.0%20.00%92.3%13.00%50.0%12.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%7.00%
Domagnano36.4%11.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%55.6%9.00%
Faetano25.0%4.00%50.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%
Folgore Falciano50.0%4.00%44.4%9.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%25.0%4.00%
Libertas25.0%4.00%40.0%20.00%75.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%7.00%87.5%8.00%
Murata66.7%3.00%7.7%13.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Pennarossa66.7%9.00%50.0%12.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%80.0%5.00%100.0%7.00%60.0%5.00%71.4%14.00%
Tre Fiori100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Virtus83.3%6.00%0.0%7.00%44.4%9.00%100.0%3.00%75.0%4.00%12.5%8.00%0.0%1.00%28.6%14.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
CailungoCosmosDomagnanoFaetanoFolgore FalcianoLibertasMurataPennarossaTre FioriVirtus
Cailungo33.3%6.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%33.3%3.00%20.0%5.00%
Cosmos66.7%6.00%75.0%8.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%4.00%66.7%6.00%33.3%3.00%45.0%20.00%66.7%6.00%
Domagnano100.0%2.00%25.0%8.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Faetano100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%
Folgore Falciano0.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Libertas50.0%6.00%33.3%6.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Murata66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Pennarossa66.7%3.00%55.0%20.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%80.0%5.00%
Tre Fiori100.0%1.00%
Virtus80.0%5.00%33.3%6.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2001-09-15 Domagnano L 0-134.6 741 945 15.72% 21.92% 62.36%-1.32 -8.2 0
2001-09-15 @ La Fiorita W 1-034.6 945 741 62.36% 21.92% 15.72%+1.32 +8.2 3
2001-09-15 Faetano W 4-140.6 921 921 38.35% 23.29% 38.36%-0.13 +40.3 3
2001-09-15 @ Cailungo L 1-440.6 921 921 38.36% 23.29% 38.35%+0.13 -40.3 0
2001-09-15 Juvenes Dogana W 5-027.2 1001 761 65.36% 21.42% 13.22%+1.26 +30.9 3
2001-09-15 @ Folgore Falciano L 0-527.2 761 1001 13.22% 21.42% 65.36%-1.26 -30.9 0
2001-09-15 Pennarossa L 0-146.3 1026 907 53.87% 22.81% 23.32%+0.56 -23.2 0
2001-09-15 @ Cosmos W 1-046.3 907 1026 23.32% 22.81% 53.87%-0.56 +23.2 3
2001-09-15 Tre Fiori W 2-035.6 863 799 47.15% 23.15% 29.70%+0.24 +26.9 3
2001-09-15 @ Libertas L 0-235.6 799 863 29.70% 23.15% 47.15%-0.24 -26.9 0
2001-09-16 San Giovanni D 2-258.8 965 818 56.90% 22.56% 20.54%+0.72 -2.7 1
2001-09-16 @ Virtus D 2-258.8 818 965 20.54% 22.56% 56.90%-0.72 +2.7 1
2001-09-16 Tre Penne D 0-049.5 905 872 42.95% 23.25% 33.80%+0.06 -0.9 1
2001-09-16 @ Murata D 0-049.5 872 905 33.80% 23.25% 42.95%-0.06 +0.9 1
2001-09-22 Montevito D 1-153.6 873 788 49.84% 23.04% 27.12%+0.36 -2.2 2
2001-09-22 @ Tre Penne D 1-153.6 788 873 27.12% 23.04% 49.84%-0.36 +2.2 1
2001-09-22 Folgore Falciano L 0-429.3 881 1032 20.17% 22.52% 57.31%-1.01 -36.9 0
2001-09-22 @ Faetano W 4-029.3 1032 881 57.31% 22.52% 20.17%+1.01 +36.9 6
2001-09-22 La Fiorita L 0-145.2 821 733 50.12% 23.03% 26.86%+0.38 -21.7 1
2001-09-22 @ San Giovanni W 1-045.2 733 821 26.86% 23.03% 50.12%-0.38 +21.7 3
2001-09-22 Murata D 1-153.5 930 904 42.13% 23.26% 34.60%+0.02 -0.7 4
2001-09-22 @ Pennarossa D 1-153.5 904 930 34.60% 23.26% 42.13%-0.02 +0.7 2
2001-09-22 Virtus D 1-153.5 953 962 37.08% 23.29% 39.64%-0.18 +0.2 4
2001-09-22 @ Domagnano D 1-153.5 962 953 39.64% 23.29% 37.08%+0.18 -0.2 2
2001-09-23 Cailungo L 1-335.5 730 962 13.79% 21.54% 64.67%-1.48 -11.9 0
2001-09-23 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-135.5 962 730 64.67% 21.54% 13.79%+1.48 +11.9 6
2001-09-23 Cosmos L 1-238.7 772 1003 13.76% 21.54% 64.70%-1.48 -6.9 0
2001-09-23 @ Tre Fiori W 2-138.7 1003 772 64.70% 21.54% 13.76%+1.48 +6.9 3
2001-09-29 Cailungo L 1-434.2 799 973 18.07% 22.27% 59.66%-1.15 -21.6 1
2001-09-29 @ San Giovanni W 4-134.2 973 799 59.66% 22.27% 18.07%+1.15 +21.6 9
2001-09-29 Faetano L 1-251.0 962 844 53.72% 22.82% 23.46%+0.56 -21.8 2
2001-09-29 @ Virtus W 2-151.0 844 962 23.46% 22.82% 53.72%-0.56 +21.8 3
2001-09-29 Juvenes Dogana D 1-153.5 755 719 43.47% 23.24% 33.29%+0.08 -0.9 4
2001-09-29 @ La Fiorita D 1-153.5 719 755 33.29% 23.24% 43.47%-0.08 +0.9 1
2001-09-29 Libertas L 3-454.9 904 889 40.47% 23.28% 36.25%-0.05 -15.9 2
2001-09-29 @ Murata W 4-354.9 889 904 36.25% 23.28% 40.47%+0.05 +15.9 6
2001-09-29 Tre Fiori L 0-242.4 871 765 52.32% 22.91% 24.77%+0.48 -42.6 2
2001-09-29 @ Tre Penne W 2-042.4 765 871 24.77% 22.91% 52.32%-0.48 +42.6 3
2001-09-30 Domagnano L 2-355.7 1069 954 53.41% 22.84% 23.75%+0.54 -20.6 6
2001-09-30 @ Folgore Falciano W 3-255.7 954 1069 23.75% 22.84% 53.41%-0.54 +20.6 7
2001-10-06 Cosmos L 0-230.7 790 1010 14.53% 21.70% 63.78%-1.41 -14.4 1
2001-10-06 @ Montevito W 2-030.7 1010 790 63.78% 21.70% 14.53%+1.41 +14.4 6
2001-10-06 Folgore Falciano W 3-145.5 995 1048 31.07% 23.19% 45.74%-0.44 +32.8 12
2001-10-06 @ Cailungo L 1-345.5 1048 995 45.74% 23.19% 31.07%+0.44 -32.8 6
2001-10-06 San Giovanni W 3-136.3 974 777 61.75% 22.00% 16.25%+1.01 +13.9 10
2001-10-06 @ Domagnano L 1-336.3 777 974 16.25% 22.00% 61.75%-1.01 -13.9 1
2001-10-06 Tre Fiori W 3-246.5 930 807 54.20% 22.78% 23.02%+0.58 +10.3 7
2001-10-06 @ Pennarossa L 2-346.5 807 930 23.02% 22.78% 54.20%-0.58 -10.3 3
2001-10-06 Virtus L 1-335.7 719 940 14.48% 21.69% 63.83%-1.42 -12.5 1
2001-10-06 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-135.7 940 719 63.83% 21.69% 14.48%+1.42 +12.5 5
2001-10-07 La Fiorita D 0-049.6 866 754 53.04% 22.86% 24.10%+0.52 -3.1 4
2001-10-07 @ Faetano D 0-049.6 754 866 24.10% 22.86% 53.04%-0.52 +3.1 5
2001-10-07 Tre Penne W 3-248.1 905 828 48.84% 23.08% 28.07%+0.32 +12.2 9
2001-10-07 @ Libertas L 2-348.1 828 905 28.07% 23.08% 48.84%-0.32 -12.2 2
2001-10-10 Pennarossa L 4-549.5 775 940 18.93% 22.38% 58.69%-1.09 -8.4 1
2001-10-10 @ Montevito W 5-449.5 940 775 58.69% 22.38% 18.93%+1.09 +8.4 10
2001-10-13 Cosmos L 1-239.2 816 1024 15.37% 21.85% 62.78%-1.35 -7.6 2
2001-10-13 @ Tre Penne W 2-139.2 1024 816 62.78% 21.85% 15.37%+1.35 +7.6 9
2001-10-13 Faetano W 2-150.4 763 863 25.49% 22.95% 51.55%-0.71 +21.0 4
2001-10-13 @ San Giovanni L 1-250.4 863 763 51.55% 22.95% 25.49%+0.71 -21.0 4
2001-10-13 Folgore Falciano L 1-432.0 757 1015 12.08% 21.13% 66.79%-1.64 -14.9 5
2001-10-13 @ La Fiorita W 4-132.0 1015 757 66.79% 21.13% 12.08%+1.64 +14.8 9
2001-10-13 Juvenes Dogana W 3-134.3 988 707 68.42% 20.77% 10.81%+1.50 +9.4 13
2001-10-13 @ Domagnano L 1-334.3 707 988 10.81% 20.77% 68.42%-1.50 -9.4 1
2001-10-13 Libertas L 0-429.3 767 918 20.21% 22.53% 57.27%-1.01 -36.9 1
2001-10-13 @ Montevito W 4-029.3 918 767 57.27% 22.53% 20.21%+1.01 +36.9 12
2001-10-14 Cailungo L 0-138.7 953 1028 28.34% 23.10% 48.56%-0.57 -13.7 5
2001-10-14 @ Virtus W 1-038.7 1028 953 48.56% 23.10% 28.34%+0.57 +13.7 15
2001-10-14 Murata L 0-234.6 797 888 26.41% 23.00% 50.58%-0.66 -24.4 3
2001-10-14 @ Tre Fiori W 2-034.6 888 797 50.58% 23.00% 26.41%+0.66 +24.4 5
2001-10-20 Domagnano W 2-144.7 1042 998 44.51% 23.22% 32.27%+0.12 +14.4 18
2001-10-20 @ Cailungo L 1-244.7 998 1042 32.27% 23.22% 44.51%-0.12 -14.4 13
2001-10-20 Faetano L 0-330.4 698 842 20.81% 22.59% 56.61%-0.97 -29.0 1
2001-10-20 @ Juvenes Dogana W 3-030.4 842 698 56.61% 22.59% 20.81%+0.97 +29.0 7
2001-10-20 Montevito D 1-153.5 773 730 44.32% 23.23% 32.45%+0.12 -1.1 4
2001-10-20 @ Tre Fiori D 1-153.5 730 773 32.45% 23.23% 44.32%-0.12 +1.1 2
2001-10-20 Murata W 2-141.9 1032 913 53.87% 22.81% 23.33%+0.56 +11.0 12
2001-10-20 @ Cosmos L 1-241.9 913 1032 23.33% 22.81% 53.87%-0.56 -11.0 5
2001-10-20 Virtus L 0-528.2 742 939 16.25% 22.01% 61.74%-1.28 -37.5 5
2001-10-20 @ La Fiorita W 5-028.2 939 742 61.74% 22.01% 16.25%+1.28 +37.5 8
2001-10-21 Pennarossa L 0-238.6 954 948 39.24% 23.29% 37.48%-0.10 -33.5 12
2001-10-21 @ Libertas W 2-038.6 948 954 37.48% 23.29% 39.24%+0.10 +33.4 13
2001-10-21 San Giovanni L 1-254.2 1030 785 65.84% 21.33% 12.84%+1.30 -26.4 9
2001-10-21 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-154.2 785 1030 12.84% 21.33% 65.84%-1.30 +26.5 7
2001-10-27 Folgore Falciano W 4-036.1 977 1004 34.51% 23.26% 42.22%-0.29 +67.3 11
2001-10-27 @ Virtus L 0-436.1 1004 977 42.22% 23.26% 34.51%+0.29 -67.3 9
2001-10-27 La Fiorita W 2-027.9 1056 705 72.82% 19.51% 7.67%+1.91 +7.7 21
2001-10-27 @ Cailungo L 0-227.9 705 1056 7.67% 19.51% 72.82%-1.91 -7.7 5
2001-10-27 Libertas D 0-049.6 1043 921 54.19% 22.78% 23.03%+0.58 -3.4 13
2001-10-27 @ Cosmos D 0-049.6 921 1043 23.03% 22.78% 54.19%-0.58 +3.4 13
2001-10-27 San Giovanni L 2-538.1 669 811 20.99% 22.61% 56.41%-0.96 -21.3 1
2001-10-27 @ Juvenes Dogana W 5-238.1 811 669 56.41% 22.61% 20.99%+0.96 +21.3 10
2001-10-27 Tre Penne D 2-258.9 982 808 59.56% 22.28% 18.16%+0.88 -3.1 14
2001-10-27 @ Pennarossa D 2-258.9 808 982 18.16% 22.28% 59.56%-0.88 +3.1 3
2001-10-28 Domagnano D 1-153.7 871 983 24.06% 22.86% 53.08%-0.79 +2.8 8
2001-10-28 @ Faetano D 1-153.7 983 871 53.08% 22.86% 24.06%+0.79 -2.8 14
2001-10-28 Montevito L 2-357.3 902 731 59.29% 22.31% 18.39%+0.86 -22.7 5
2001-10-28 @ Murata W 3-257.3 731 902 18.39% 22.31% 59.29%-0.86 +22.7 5
2001-11-03 Cailungo D 1-154.1 811 1064 12.45% 21.23% 66.32%-1.60 +5.6 4
2001-11-03 @ Tre Penne D 1-154.1 1064 811 66.32% 21.23% 12.45%+1.60 -5.6 22
2001-11-03 Faetano W 2-142.4 979 874 52.23% 22.91% 24.86%+0.48 +11.6 17
2001-11-03 @ Pennarossa L 1-242.4 874 979 24.86% 22.91% 52.23%-0.48 -11.6 8
2001-11-03 Folgore Falciano L 0-139.4 879 937 30.53% 23.18% 46.29%-0.47 -14.6 5
2001-11-03 @ Murata W 1-039.4 937 879 46.29% 23.18% 30.53%+0.47 +14.6 12
2001-11-03 San Giovanni L 0-235.1 754 832 27.93% 23.08% 48.99%-0.59 -25.6 5
2001-11-03 @ Montevito W 2-035.1 832 754 48.99% 23.08% 27.93%+0.59 +25.6 13
2001-11-03 Virtus W 2-042.8 924 1044 23.31% 22.81% 53.89%-0.83 +43.8 16
2001-11-03 @ Libertas L 0-242.8 1044 924 53.89% 22.81% 23.31%+0.83 -43.8 11
2001-11-04 Juvenes Dogana W 8-127.1 1040 647 75.04% 18.70% 6.26%+2.15 +16.5 16
2001-11-04 @ Cosmos L 1-827.1 647 1040 6.26% 18.70% 75.04%-2.15 -16.4 1
2001-11-04 La Fiorita W 1-038.7 772 697 48.49% 23.10% 28.41%+0.30 +13.8 7
2001-11-04 @ Tre Fiori L 0-138.7 697 772 28.41% 23.10% 48.49%-0.30 -13.8 5
2001-11-10 Cosmos L 0-134.8 862 1056 16.46% 22.04% 61.50%-1.26 -8.6 8
2001-11-10 @ Faetano W 1-034.8 1056 862 61.50% 22.04% 16.46%+1.26 +8.6 19
2001-11-10 Montevito W 2-138.2 980 728 66.31% 21.23% 12.45%+1.34 +6.2 17
2001-11-10 @ Domagnano L 1-238.2 728 980 12.45% 21.23% 66.31%-1.34 -6.2 5
2001-11-10 Libertas L 1-237.5 683 968 10.62% 20.71% 68.67%-1.79 -5.3 5
2001-11-10 @ La Fiorita W 2-137.5 968 683 68.67% 20.71% 10.62%+1.79 +5.3 19
2001-11-10 Pennarossa L 0-236.6 951 990 32.92% 23.24% 43.84%-0.36 -29.2 12
2001-11-10 @ Folgore Falciano W 2-036.6 990 951 43.84% 23.24% 32.92%+0.36 +29.2 20
2001-11-10 Tre Fiori L 0-437.9 858 785 48.24% 23.11% 28.65%+0.29 -75.2 13
2001-11-10 @ San Giovanni W 4-037.9 785 858 28.65% 23.11% 48.24%-0.29 +75.2 10
2001-11-11 Murata L 1-349.9 1058 865 61.44% 22.05% 16.51%+0.99 -42.9 22
2001-11-11 @ Cailungo W 3-149.9 865 1058 16.51% 22.05% 61.44%-0.99 +42.9 8
2001-11-11 Tre Penne W 4-028.3 1000 817 60.48% 22.17% 17.35%+0.93 +32.2 14
2001-11-11 @ Virtus L 0-428.3 817 1000 17.35% 22.17% 60.48%-0.93 -32.2 4
2001-11-17 Cosmos D 1-154.3 783 1065 10.76% 20.75% 68.49%-1.77 +6.0 14
2001-11-17 @ San Giovanni D 1-154.3 1065 783 68.49% 20.75% 10.76%+1.77 -6.0 20
2001-11-17 Domagnano L 1-433.4 785 987 15.87% 21.94% 62.19%-1.31 -19.2 4
2001-11-17 @ Tre Penne W 4-133.4 987 785 62.19% 21.94% 15.87%+1.31 +19.2 20
2001-11-17 Murata L 1-335.5 678 907 13.90% 21.57% 64.53%-1.47 -12.0 5
2001-11-17 @ La Fiorita W 3-135.5 907 678 64.53% 21.57% 13.90%+1.47 +12.0 11
2001-11-17 Pennarossa L 0-130.8 631 1019 6.37% 18.78% 74.85%-2.39 -3.4 1
2001-11-17 @ Juvenes Dogana W 1-030.8 1019 631 74.85% 18.78% 6.37%+2.39 +3.4 23
2001-11-17 Virtus D 0-049.8 861 1032 18.30% 22.30% 59.40%-1.13 +4.6 11
2001-11-17 @ Tre Fiori D 0-049.8 1032 861 59.40% 22.30% 18.30%+1.13 -4.6 15
2001-11-18 Cailungo W 3-037.6 973 1015 32.58% 23.23% 44.19%-0.37 +53.4 22
2001-11-18 @ Libertas L 0-337.6 1015 973 44.19% 23.23% 32.58%+0.37 -53.4 22
2001-11-18 Faetano L 0-136.7 722 853 22.07% 22.70% 55.22%-0.90 -11.1 5
2001-11-18 @ Montevito W 1-036.7 853 722 55.22% 22.70% 22.07%+0.90 +11.1 11
2001-11-23 Domagnano W 4-250.7 919 1006 26.99% 23.03% 49.98%-0.63 +31.7 14
2001-11-23 @ Murata L 2-450.7 1006 919 49.98% 23.03% 26.99%+0.63 -31.7 20
2001-11-24 Montevito W 3-133.6 1028 711 70.77% 20.15% 9.08%+1.71 +7.9 18
2001-11-24 @ Virtus L 1-333.6 711 1028 9.08% 20.15% 70.77%-1.71 -7.9 5
2001-11-24 Libertas W 2-150.6 922 1027 24.87% 22.91% 52.22%-0.74 +21.3 15
2001-11-24 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-250.6 1027 922 52.22% 22.91% 24.87%+0.74 -21.3 22
2001-11-24 Pennarossa W 1-044.3 962 1023 30.06% 23.16% 46.78%-0.49 +20.5 25
2001-11-24 @ Cailungo L 0-144.3 1023 962 46.78% 23.16% 30.06%+0.49 -20.5 23
2001-11-24 Tre Penne W 1-037.8 865 766 51.51% 22.96% 25.53%+0.44 +12.6 14
2001-11-24 @ Faetano L 0-137.8 766 865 25.53% 22.96% 51.51%-0.44 -12.6 4
2001-11-25 Juvenes Dogana W 3-135.3 865 627 65.20% 21.45% 13.35%+1.25 +11.6 14
2001-11-25 @ Tre Fiori L 1-335.3 627 865 13.35% 21.45% 65.20%-1.25 -11.6 1
2001-11-25 La Fiorita W 3-024.8 1059 666 75.06% 18.70% 6.25%+2.15 +9.0 23
2001-11-25 @ Cosmos L 0-324.8 666 1059 6.25% 18.70% 75.06%-2.15 -9.0 5
2001-12-01 Cailungo L 0-234.1 877 982 24.81% 22.91% 52.28%-0.75 -23.2 14
2001-12-01 @ Tre Fiori W 2-034.1 982 877 52.28% 22.91% 24.81%+0.75 +23.2 28
2001-12-01 Folgore Falciano D 2-259.1 703 943 13.19% 21.41% 65.40%-1.53 +4.0 6
2001-12-01 @ Montevito D 2-259.1 943 703 65.40% 21.41% 13.19%+1.53 -4.0 16
2001-12-01 Juvenes Dogana W 4-129.6 1006 616 74.91% 18.75% 6.34%+2.14 +7.7 25
2001-12-01 @ Libertas L 1-429.6 616 1006 6.34% 18.75% 74.91%-2.14 -7.7 1
2001-12-01 La Fiorita D 1-153.6 753 657 51.15% 22.98% 25.88%+0.43 -2.4 5
2001-12-01 @ Tre Penne D 1-153.6 657 753 25.88% 22.98% 51.15%-0.43 +2.4 6
2001-12-01 Virtus W 3-250.0 1068 1036 42.88% 23.25% 33.87%+0.06 +14.1 26
2001-12-01 @ Cosmos L 2-350.0 1036 1068 33.87% 23.25% 42.88%-0.06 -14.1 18
2001-12-02 Domagnano W 4-246.1 1002 974 42.35% 23.26% 34.39%+0.03 +23.4 26
2001-12-02 @ Pennarossa L 2-446.1 974 1002 34.39% 23.26% 42.35%-0.03 -23.4 20
2001-12-02 San Giovanni W 3-137.3 951 789 58.47% 22.40% 19.12%+0.81 +16.0 17
2001-12-02 @ Murata L 1-337.3 789 951 19.12% 22.40% 58.47%-0.81 -16.1 14
2001-12-08 Cosmos L 0-332.7 1005 1082 28.16% 23.09% 48.75%-0.58 -37.4 28
2001-12-08 @ Cailungo W 3-032.7 1082 1005 48.75% 23.09% 28.16%+0.58 +37.4 29
2001-12-08 Murata L 0-240.5 1021 967 45.88% 23.19% 30.93%+0.18 -38.0 18
2001-12-08 @ Virtus W 2-040.5 967 1021 30.93% 23.19% 45.88%-0.18 +38.0 20
2001-12-08 Pennarossa L 1-238.2 773 1026 12.39% 21.22% 66.39%-1.60 -6.2 14
2001-12-08 @ San Giovanni W 2-138.2 1026 773 66.39% 21.22% 12.39%+1.60 +6.2 29
2001-12-08 Tre Fiori W 1-037.9 951 854 51.30% 22.97% 25.74%+0.43 +12.7 23
2001-12-08 @ Domagnano L 0-137.9 854 951 25.74% 22.97% 51.30%-0.43 -12.7 14
2001-12-08 Tre Penne D 1-153.9 939 751 61.00% 22.11% 16.89%+0.97 -4.5 17
2001-12-08 @ Folgore Falciano D 1-153.9 751 939 16.89% 22.11% 61.00%-0.97 +4.5 6
2001-12-09 Faetano L 1-348.4 1013 877 55.75% 22.66% 21.59%+0.66 -39.1 25
2001-12-09 @ Libertas W 3-148.4 877 1013 21.59% 22.66% 55.75%-0.66 +39.1 17
2001-12-09 Montevito L 1-242.6 608 707 25.55% 22.96% 51.49%-0.71 -11.9 1
2001-12-09 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-142.6 707 608 51.49% 22.96% 25.55%+0.71 +11.9 9
2002-02-09 Cailungo D 1-154.1 719 968 12.63% 21.28% 66.09%-1.58 +5.5 10
2002-02-09 @ Montevito D 1-154.1 968 719 66.09% 21.28% 12.63%+1.58 -5.5 29
2002-02-09 Juvenes Dogana W 3-024.6 1005 596 75.87% 18.37% 5.77%+2.25 +8.3 23
2002-02-09 @ Murata L 0-324.6 596 1005 5.77% 18.37% 75.87%-2.25 -8.3 1
2002-02-09 La Fiorita W 4-236.6 1032 659 74.00% 19.10% 6.90%+2.04 +5.3 32
2002-02-09 @ Pennarossa L 2-436.6 659 1032 6.90% 19.10% 74.00%-2.04 -5.3 6
2002-02-09 Libertas W 2-147.0 963 974 36.80% 23.29% 39.92%-0.19 +17.0 26
2002-02-09 @ Domagnano L 1-247.0 974 963 39.92% 23.29% 36.80%+0.19 -16.9 25
2002-02-09 Tre Fiori W 1-038.7 916 841 48.61% 23.09% 28.29%+0.31 +13.7 20
2002-02-09 @ Faetano L 0-138.7 841 916 28.29% 23.09% 48.61%-0.31 -13.7 14
2002-02-10 Folgore Falciano W 2-031.6 1119 935 60.61% 22.16% 17.23%+0.94 +16.9 32
2002-02-10 @ Cosmos L 0-231.6 935 1119 17.23% 22.16% 60.61%-0.94 -16.9 17
2002-02-10 San Giovanni L 0-141.3 755 766 36.73% 23.28% 39.99%-0.20 -16.9 6
2002-02-10 @ Tre Penne W 1-041.3 766 755 39.99% 23.28% 36.73%+0.20 +16.9 17
2002-02-15 Tre Fiori W 2-142.9 918 827 50.52% 23.01% 26.48%+0.40 +12.2 20
2002-02-15 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-242.9 827 918 26.48% 23.01% 50.52%-0.40 -12.2 14
2002-02-16 Cosmos D 0-049.8 980 1136 19.72% 22.47% 57.81%-1.04 +4.2 27
2002-02-16 @ Domagnano D 0-049.8 1136 980 57.81% 22.47% 19.72%+1.04 -4.2 33
2002-02-16 Libertas L 0-231.9 783 957 18.10% 22.28% 59.62%-1.14 -17.7 17
2002-02-16 @ San Giovanni W 2-031.9 957 783 59.62% 22.28% 18.10%+1.14 +17.7 28
2002-02-16 Murata L 0-138.4 930 1013 27.33% 23.05% 49.62%-0.62 -13.3 20
2002-02-16 @ Faetano W 1-038.4 1013 930 49.62% 23.05% 27.33%+0.62 +13.3 26
2002-02-16 Tre Penne L 0-136.1 588 738 20.25% 22.53% 57.22%-1.01 -10.3 1
2002-02-16 @ Juvenes Dogana W 1-036.1 738 588 57.22% 22.53% 20.25%+1.01 +10.3 9
2002-02-23 Folgore Falciano L 1-236.2 578 930 7.62% 19.49% 72.89%-2.18 -3.8 1
2002-02-23 @ Juvenes Dogana W 2-136.2 930 578 72.89% 19.49% 7.62%+2.18 +3.8 23
2002-02-23 La Fiorita D 1-154.5 985 654 71.61% 19.90% 8.49%+1.79 -6.7 28
2002-02-23 @ Domagnano D 1-154.5 654 985 8.49% 19.90% 71.61%-1.79 +6.7 7
2002-02-23 Murata L 0-426.0 748 1027 10.96% 20.82% 68.22%-1.75 -20.9 9
2002-02-23 @ Tre Penne W 4-026.0 1027 748 68.22% 20.82% 10.96%+1.75 +20.9 29
2002-02-23 Virtus L 0-134.2 766 983 14.69% 21.73% 63.58%-1.40 -7.7 17
2002-02-23 @ San Giovanni W 1-034.2 983 766 63.58% 21.73% 14.69%+1.40 +7.7 21
2002-02-24 Cailungo D 0-049.5 917 962 32.04% 23.22% 44.75%-0.40 +1.3 21
2002-02-24 @ Faetano D 0-049.5 962 917 44.75% 23.22% 32.04%+0.40 -1.3 30
2002-02-24 Libertas L 0-135.8 815 975 19.33% 22.43% 58.24%-1.06 -9.9 14
2002-02-24 @ Tre Fiori W 1-035.8 975 815 58.24% 22.43% 19.33%+1.06 +9.9 31
2002-02-25 Montevito L 0-432.4 661 724 29.75% 23.15% 47.10%-0.50 -51.1 7
2002-02-25 @ La Fiorita W 4-032.4 724 661 47.10% 23.15% 29.75%+0.50 +51.1 13
2002-02-25 Virtus W 3-033.9 1037 991 44.78% 23.22% 32.00%+0.14 +41.5 35
2002-02-25 @ Pennarossa L 0-333.9 991 1037 32.00% 23.22% 44.78%-0.14 -41.5 21
2002-03-01 Tre Penne W 2-144.6 775 728 45.03% 23.21% 31.76%+0.15 +14.2 16
2002-03-01 @ Montevito L 1-244.6 728 775 31.76% 23.21% 45.03%-0.15 -14.2 9
2002-03-02 Faetano L 1-344.0 934 918 40.63% 23.28% 36.09%-0.04 -29.8 23
2002-03-02 @ Folgore Falciano W 3-144.0 918 934 36.09% 23.28% 40.63%+0.04 +29.8 24
2002-03-02 Juvenes Dogana W 3-024.9 961 574 74.78% 18.80% 6.42%+2.12 +9.3 33
2002-03-02 @ Cailungo L 0-324.9 574 961 6.42% 18.80% 74.78%-2.12 -9.3 1
2002-03-02 San Giovanni L 0-232.7 610 758 20.43% 22.55% 57.02%-0.99 -19.7 7
2002-03-02 @ La Fiorita W 2-032.7 758 610 57.02% 22.55% 20.43%+0.99 +19.6 20
2002-03-02 Tre Fiori W 3-133.4 1132 805 71.40% 19.97% 8.64%+1.77 +7.5 36
2002-03-02 @ Cosmos L 1-333.4 805 1132 8.64% 19.97% 71.40%-1.77 -7.5 14
2002-03-03 Domagnano W 3-037.0 950 978 34.40% 23.26% 42.33%-0.30 +51.6 24
2002-03-03 @ Virtus L 0-337.0 978 950 42.33% 23.26% 34.40%+0.30 -51.6 28
2002-03-03 Pennarossa L 0-140.5 1048 1079 34.00% 23.26% 42.74%-0.31 -15.9 29
2002-03-03 @ Murata W 1-040.5 1079 1048 42.74% 23.26% 34.00%+0.31 +15.9 38
2002-03-06 Cosmos L 0-140.0 1095 1139 32.17% 23.22% 44.61%-0.39 -15.2 38
2002-03-06 @ Pennarossa W 1-040.0 1139 1095 44.61% 23.22% 32.17%+0.39 +15.2 39
2002-03-09 Montevito D 1-154.3 1079 790 69.02% 20.62% 10.36%+1.56 -6.2 39
2002-03-09 @ Pennarossa D 1-154.3 790 1079 10.36% 20.62% 69.02%-1.56 +6.2 17
2002-03-10 Folgore Falciano W 3-250.3 926 904 41.50% 23.27% 35.23%+0.00 +14.6 31
2002-03-10 @ Domagnano L 2-350.3 904 926 35.23% 23.27% 41.50%+0.00 -14.6 23
2002-03-10 La Fiorita D 0-049.5 565 590 34.77% 23.27% 41.96%-0.28 +0.7 2
2002-03-10 @ Juvenes Dogana D 0-049.5 590 565 41.96% 23.27% 34.77%+0.28 -0.7 8
2002-03-10 Murata W 4-142.5 985 1032 31.90% 23.21% 44.89%-0.40 +45.7 34
2002-03-10 @ Libertas L 1-442.5 1032 985 44.89% 23.21% 31.90%+0.40 -45.6 29
2002-03-10 San Giovanni D 1-153.9 970 778 61.38% 22.05% 16.56%+0.99 -4.5 34
2002-03-10 @ Cailungo D 1-153.9 778 970 16.56% 22.05% 61.38%-0.99 +4.5 21
2002-03-10 Tre Penne D 1-153.6 797 713 49.70% 23.05% 27.26%+0.36 -2.1 15
2002-03-10 @ Tre Fiori D 1-153.6 713 797 27.26% 23.05% 49.70%-0.36 +2.1 10
2002-03-10 Virtus D 1-153.6 948 1001 31.02% 23.19% 45.79%-0.44 +1.4 25
2002-03-10 @ Faetano D 1-153.6 1001 948 45.79% 23.19% 31.02%+0.44 -1.4 25
2002-03-16 Domagnano D 0-049.7 782 941 19.44% 22.44% 58.11%-1.06 +4.3 22
2002-03-16 @ San Giovanni D 0-049.7 941 782 58.11% 22.44% 19.44%+1.06 -4.3 32
2002-03-16 Faetano L 0-227.8 589 949 7.35% 19.35% 73.31%-2.23 -7.4 8
2002-03-16 @ La Fiorita W 2-027.8 949 589 73.31% 19.35% 7.35%+2.23 +7.4 28
2002-03-16 Juvenes Dogana W 2-134.9 1000 565 77.10% 17.83% 5.07%+2.40 +2.5 28
2002-03-16 @ Virtus L 1-234.9 565 1000 5.07% 17.83% 77.10%-2.40 -2.5 2
2002-03-16 Libertas L 0-132.1 716 1031 9.15% 20.18% 70.67%-1.97 -4.9 10
2002-03-16 @ Tre Penne W 1-032.1 1031 716 70.67% 20.18% 9.15%+1.97 +4.9 37
2002-03-16 Pennarossa L 0-326.9 795 1073 10.98% 20.82% 68.20%-1.75 -16.0 15
2002-03-16 @ Tre Fiori W 3-026.9 1073 795 68.20% 20.82% 10.98%+1.75 +16.0 42
2002-03-17 Cailungo D 0-049.6 890 966 28.19% 23.09% 48.72%-0.58 +2.2 24
2002-03-17 @ Folgore Falciano D 0-049.6 966 890 48.72% 23.09% 28.19%+0.58 -2.2 35
2002-03-17 Montevito W 3-240.8 1155 796 73.25% 19.36% 7.38%+1.96 +3.5 42
2002-03-17 @ Cosmos L 2-340.8 796 1155 7.38% 19.36% 73.25%-1.96 -3.5 17
2002-03-23 Montevito W 2-030.1 1035 792 65.63% 21.37% 13.00%+1.28 +13.0 40
2002-03-23 @ Libertas L 0-230.1 792 1035 13.00% 21.37% 65.63%-1.28 -13.0 17
2002-03-23 La Fiorita W 2-137.0 892 582 70.33% 20.28% 9.39%+1.67 +4.7 27
2002-03-23 @ Folgore Falciano L 1-237.0 582 892 9.39% 20.28% 70.33%-1.67 -4.7 8
2002-03-23 San Giovanni W 5-343.0 956 786 59.23% 22.32% 18.45%+0.86 +13.1 31
2002-03-23 @ Faetano L 3-543.0 786 956 18.45% 22.32% 59.23%-0.86 -13.1 22
2002-03-23 Tre Fiori W 4-133.3 986 779 62.63% 21.88% 15.49%+1.07 +18.8 32
2002-03-23 @ Murata L 1-433.3 779 986 15.49% 21.88% 62.63%-1.07 -18.8 15
2002-03-23 Virtus D 0-049.5 964 1002 32.96% 23.24% 43.80%-0.36 +1.1 36
2002-03-23 @ Cailungo D 0-049.5 1002 964 43.80% 23.24% 32.96%+0.36 -1.1 29
2002-03-24 Domagnano L 1-627.5 563 937 6.86% 19.07% 74.07%-2.31 -13.3 2
2002-03-24 @ Juvenes Dogana W 6-127.5 937 563 74.07% 19.07% 6.86%+2.31 +13.3 35
2002-03-24 Tre Penne W 6-333.0 1158 711 77.68% 17.56% 4.76%+2.47 +4.6 45
2002-03-24 @ Cosmos L 3-633.0 711 1158 4.76% 17.56% 77.68%-2.47 -4.6 10
2002-04-02 Juvenes Dogana W 1-030.4 970 550 76.41% 18.13% 5.46%+2.31 +2.9 34
2002-04-02 @ Faetano L 0-130.4 550 970 5.46% 18.13% 76.41%-2.31 -2.8 2
2002-04-02 La Fiorita W 3-131.9 1001 577 76.60% 18.05% 5.35%+2.34 +4.6 32
2002-04-02 @ Virtus L 1-331.9 577 1001 5.35% 18.05% 76.60%-2.34 -4.6 8
2002-04-02 Tre Fiori L 1-344.1 779 760 41.03% 23.28% 35.69%-0.02 -30.0 17
2002-04-02 @ Montevito W 3-144.1 760 779 35.69% 23.28% 41.03%+0.02 +30.0 18
2002-04-03 Cailungo L 0-141.1 950 965 36.23% 23.28% 40.48%-0.22 -16.7 35
2002-04-03 @ Domagnano W 1-041.1 965 950 40.48% 23.28% 36.23%+0.22 +16.7 39
2002-04-03 Cosmos L 2-441.4 1005 1163 19.54% 22.45% 58.01%-1.05 -14.6 32
2002-04-03 @ Murata W 4-241.4 1163 1005 58.01% 22.45% 19.54%+1.05 +14.6 48
2002-04-03 Folgore Falciano D 2-258.7 773 896 22.91% 22.77% 54.32%-0.85 +2.3 23
2002-04-03 @ San Giovanni D 2-258.7 896 773 54.32% 22.77% 22.91%+0.85 -2.3 28
2002-04-03 Libertas D 1-153.6 1089 1048 44.08% 23.23% 32.69%+0.11 -1.1 43
2002-04-03 @ Pennarossa D 1-153.6 1048 1089 32.69% 23.23% 44.08%-0.11 +1.0 41
2002-04-06 Cosmos D 0-049.7 1050 1177 22.44% 22.74% 54.83%-0.88 +3.5 42
2002-04-06 @ Libertas D 0-049.7 1177 1050 54.83% 22.74% 22.44%+0.88 -3.5 49
2002-04-06 Murata D 1-154.1 749 990 13.14% 21.40% 65.46%-1.53 +5.4 18
2002-04-06 @ Montevito D 1-154.1 990 749 65.46% 21.40% 13.14%+1.53 -5.4 33
2002-04-06 Pennarossa L 0-325.0 706 1088 6.58% 18.91% 74.52%-2.36 -9.5 10
2002-04-06 @ Tre Penne W 3-025.0 1088 706 74.52% 18.91% 6.58%+2.36 +9.5 46
2002-04-07 Cailungo D 1-155.0 573 981 5.77% 18.37% 75.87%-2.51 +7.4 9
2002-04-07 @ La Fiorita D 1-155.0 981 573 75.87% 18.37% 5.77%+2.51 -7.5 40
2002-04-07 Faetano D 0-049.5 933 972 32.90% 23.24% 43.86%-0.36 +1.1 36
2002-04-07 @ Domagnano D 0-049.5 972 933 43.86% 23.24% 32.90%+0.36 -1.1 35
2002-04-07 Juvenes Dogana D 0-050.0 776 547 64.49% 21.58% 13.94%+1.20 -5.8 24
2002-04-07 @ San Giovanni D 0-050.0 547 776 13.94% 21.58% 64.49%-1.20 +5.8 3
2002-04-07 Virtus L 3-544.9 894 1006 24.12% 22.86% 53.01%-0.78 -16.6 28
2002-04-07 @ Folgore Falciano W 5-344.9 1006 894 53.01% 22.86% 24.12%+0.78 +16.6 35

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2002-04-13 Faetano L 1-251.3 1098 971 54.68% 22.75% 22.57%+0.60 -22.2 0-1
2002-04-13 @ Pennarossa W 2-151.3 971 1098 22.57% 22.75% 54.68%-0.60 +22.2 1-0
2002-04-13 Libertas W 4-251.8 934 1053 23.37% 22.81% 53.82%-0.82 +33.8 1-0
2002-04-13 @ Domagnano L 2-451.8 1053 934 53.82% 22.81% 23.37%+0.82 -33.8 0-1
2002-04-17 Domagnano W 1-034.6 1174 968 62.53% 21.89% 15.58%+1.07 +8.2 1-0
2002-04-17 @ Cosmos L 0-134.6 968 1174 15.58% 21.89% 62.53%-1.07 -8.2 1-1
2002-04-17 Faetano W 3-036.7 974 994 35.60% 23.28% 41.12%-0.24 +50.4 1-0
2002-04-17 @ Cailungo L 0-336.7 994 974 41.12% 23.28% 35.60%+0.24 -50.4 1-1
2002-04-20 Libertas L 1-243.5 943 1019 28.20% 23.09% 48.70%-0.57 -12.9 1-2
2002-04-20 @ Faetano W 2-143.5 1019 943 48.70% 23.09% 28.20%+0.57 +12.9 1-1
2002-04-20 Pennarossa W 1-046.2 960 1076 23.71% 22.83% 53.46%-0.80 +23.0 2-1
2002-04-20 @ Domagnano L 0-146.2 1076 960 53.46% 22.83% 23.71%+0.80 -23.0 0-2
2002-04-22 Cosmos W 2-152.3 1024 1182 19.56% 22.46% 57.98%-1.05 +23.4 2-0
2002-04-22 @ Cailungo L 1-252.3 1182 1024 57.98% 22.46% 19.56%+1.05 -23.4 1-1
2002-04-25 Domagnano L 1-345.4 1032 983 45.19% 23.21% 31.60%+0.15 -32.5 1-2
2002-04-25 @ Libertas W 3-145.4 983 1032 31.60% 23.21% 45.19%-0.15 +32.5 3-1
2002-04-29 Domagnano L 0-147.0 1159 1015 56.48% 22.60% 20.92%+0.70 -24.2 1-2
2002-04-29 @ Cosmos W 1-047.0 1015 1159 20.92% 22.60% 56.48%-0.70 +24.2 4-1
2002-05-03 Domagnano L 0-142.1 1048 1040 39.52% 23.29% 37.19%-0.08 -17.8 2-1
2002-05-03 @ Cailungo W 1-042.1 1040 1048 37.19% 23.29% 39.52%+0.08 +17.8 5-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2001-10-21 12.84% San Giovanni 785 2 @ Folgore Falciano 1030 1
2 2001-11-11 16.51% Murata 865 3 @ Cailungo 1058 1
3 2001-10-28 18.39% Montevito 731 3 @ Murata 902 2
4 2002-04-22 * 19.56% @ Cailungo 1024 2 Cosmos 1182 1
5 2002-04-29 * 20.92% Domagnano 1015 1 @ Cosmos 1159 0
6 2001-12-09 21.59% Faetano 877 3 @ Libertas 1013 1
7 2002-04-13 * 22.57% Faetano 971 2 @ Pennarossa 1098 1
8 2001-11-03 23.31% @ Libertas 924 2 Virtus 1044 0
9 2001-09-15 23.32% Pennarossa 907 1 @ Cosmos 1026 0
10 2002-04-13 * 23.37% @ Domagnano 934 4 Libertas 1053 2
11 2001-09-29 23.46% Faetano 844 2 @ Virtus 962 1
12 2002-04-20 * 23.71% @ Domagnano 960 1 Pennarossa 1076 0
13 2001-09-30 23.75% Domagnano 954 3 @ Folgore Falciano 1069 2
14 2001-09-29 24.77% Tre Fiori 765 2 @ Tre Penne 871 0
15 2001-11-24 24.87% @ Folgore Falciano 922 2 Libertas 1027 1
16 2001-10-13 25.49% @ San Giovanni 763 2 Faetano 863 1
17 2001-09-22 26.86% La Fiorita 733 1 @ San Giovanni 821 0
18 2001-11-23 26.99% @ Murata 919 4 Domagnano 1006 2
19 2001-11-10 28.65% Tre Fiori 785 4 @ San Giovanni 858 0
20 2001-11-24 30.06% @ Cailungo 962 1 Pennarossa 1023 0
21 2001-12-08 30.93% Murata 967 2 @ Virtus 1021 0
22 2001-10-06 31.07% @ Cailungo 995 3 Folgore Falciano 1048 1
23 2002-04-25 * 31.60% Domagnano 983 3 @ Libertas 1032 1
24 2002-03-10 31.90% @ Libertas 985 4 Murata 1032 1
25 2001-11-18 32.58% @ Libertas 973 3 Cailungo 1015 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-11-10 75.20 Tre Fiori 4 785 28.65% @ San Giovanni 0 858 48.24% 23.11%
2 2001-10-27 67.28 @ Virtus 4 977 34.51% Folgore Falciano 0 1004 42.22% 23.26%
3 2001-11-18 53.45 @ Libertas 3 973 32.58% Cailungo 0 1015 44.19% 23.23%
4 2002-03-03 51.61 @ Virtus 3 950 34.40% Domagnano 0 978 42.33% 23.26%
5 2002-02-25 51.07 Montevito 4 724 47.10% @ La Fiorita 0 661 29.75% 23.15%
6 2002-04-17 * 50.42 @ Cailungo 3 974 35.60% Faetano 0 994 41.12% 23.28%
7 2002-03-10 45.66 @ Libertas 4 985 31.90% Murata 1 1032 44.89% 23.21%
8 2001-11-03 43.75 @ Libertas 2 924 23.31% Virtus 0 1044 53.89% 22.81%
9 2001-11-11 42.87 Murata 3 865 16.51% @ Cailungo 1 1058 61.44% 22.05%
10 2001-09-29 42.60 Tre Fiori 2 765 24.77% @ Tre Penne 0 871 52.32% 22.91%
11 2002-02-25 41.45 @ Pennarossa 3 1037 44.78% Virtus 0 991 32.00% 23.22%
12 2001-09-15 40.27 @ Cailungo 4 921 38.35% Faetano 1 921 38.36% 23.29%
13 2001-12-09 39.10 Faetano 3 877 21.59% @ Libertas 1 1013 55.75% 22.66%
14 2001-12-08 37.97 Murata 2 967 30.93% @ Virtus 0 1021 45.88% 23.19%
15 2001-10-20 37.46 Virtus 5 939 61.74% @ La Fiorita 0 742 16.25% 22.01%
16 2001-12-08 37.40 Cosmos 3 1082 48.75% @ Cailungo 0 1005 28.16% 23.09%
17 2001-10-13 36.92 Libertas 4 918 57.27% @ Montevito 0 767 20.21% 22.53%
18 2001-09-22 36.86 Folgore Falciano 4 1032 57.31% @ Faetano 0 881 20.17% 22.52%
19 2002-04-13 * 33.85 @ Domagnano 4 934 23.37% Libertas 2 1053 53.82% 22.81%
20 2001-10-21 33.45 Pennarossa 2 948 37.48% @ Libertas 0 954 39.24% 23.29%
21 2001-10-06 32.80 @ Cailungo 3 995 31.07% Folgore Falciano 1 1048 45.74% 23.19%
22 2002-04-25 * 32.47 Domagnano 3 983 31.60% @ Libertas 1 1032 45.19% 23.21%
23 2001-11-11 32.25 @ Virtus 4 1000 60.48% Tre Penne 0 817 17.35% 22.17%
24 2001-11-23 31.67 @ Murata 4 919 26.99% Domagnano 2 1006 49.98% 23.03%
25 2001-09-15 30.90 @ Folgore Falciano 5 1001 65.36% Juvenes Dogana 0 761 13.22% 21.42%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-12-01 59.1 @ Montevito 2 703 13.19% Folgore Falciano 2 943 65.40% 21.41%
2 2001-10-27 58.9 @ Pennarossa 2 982 59.56% Tre Penne 2 808 18.16% 22.28%
3 2001-09-16 58.8 @ Virtus 2 965 56.90% San Giovanni 2 818 20.54% 22.56%
4 2002-04-03 58.7 @ San Giovanni 2 773 22.91% Folgore Falciano 2 896 54.32% 22.77%
5 2001-10-28 57.3 Montevito 3 731 18.39% @ Murata 2 902 59.29% 22.31%
6 2001-09-30 55.7 Domagnano 3 954 23.75% @ Folgore Falciano 2 1069 53.41% 22.84%
7 2002-04-07 55.0 @ La Fiorita 1 573 5.77% Cailungo 1 981 75.87% 18.37%
8 2001-09-29 54.9 Libertas 4 889 36.25% @ Murata 3 904 40.47% 23.28%
9 2002-02-23 54.5 @ Domagnano 1 985 71.61% La Fiorita 1 654 8.49% 19.90%
10 2001-11-17 54.3 @ San Giovanni 1 783 10.76% Cosmos 1 1065 68.49% 20.75%
11 2002-03-09 54.3 @ Pennarossa 1 1079 69.02% Montevito 1 790 10.36% 20.62%
12 2001-10-21 54.2 San Giovanni 2 785 12.84% @ Folgore Falciano 1 1030 65.84% 21.33%
13 2001-11-03 54.1 @ Tre Penne 1 811 12.45% Cailungo 1 1064 66.32% 21.23%
14 2002-02-09 54.1 @ Montevito 1 719 12.63% Cailungo 1 968 66.09% 21.28%
15 2002-04-06 54.1 @ Montevito 1 749 13.14% Murata 1 990 65.46% 21.40%
16 2001-12-08 53.9 @ Folgore Falciano 1 939 61.00% Tre Penne 1 751 16.89% 22.11%
17 2002-03-10 53.9 @ Cailungo 1 970 61.38% San Giovanni 1 778 16.56% 22.05%
18 2001-10-28 53.7 @ Faetano 1 871 24.06% Domagnano 1 983 53.08% 22.86%
19 2001-09-22 53.6 @ Tre Penne 1 873 49.84% Montevito 1 788 27.12% 23.04%
20 2001-12-01 53.6 @ Tre Penne 1 753 51.15% La Fiorita 1 657 25.88% 22.98%
21 2002-03-10 53.6 @ Tre Fiori 1 797 49.70% Tre Penne 1 713 27.26% 23.05%
22 2002-03-10 53.6 @ Faetano 1 948 31.02% Virtus 1 1001 45.79% 23.19%
23 2002-04-03 53.6 @ Pennarossa 1 1089 44.08% Libertas 1 1048 32.69% 23.23%
24 2001-09-22 53.5 @ Pennarossa 1 930 42.13% Murata 1 904 34.60% 23.26%
25 2001-09-22 53.5 @ Domagnano 1 953 37.08% Virtus 1 962 39.64% 23.29%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-02-09 24.6 @ Murata 3 1005 75.87% Juvenes Dogana 0 596 5.77% 18.37%
2 2001-11-25 24.8 @ Cosmos 3 1059 75.06% La Fiorita 0 666 6.25% 18.70%
3 2002-03-02 24.9 @ Cailungo 3 961 74.78% Juvenes Dogana 0 574 6.42% 18.80%
4 2002-04-06 25.0 Pennarossa 3 1088 74.52% @ Tre Penne 0 706 6.58% 18.91%
5 2002-02-23 26.0 Murata 4 1027 68.22% @ Tre Penne 0 748 10.96% 20.82%
6 2002-03-16 26.9 Pennarossa 3 1073 68.20% @ Tre Fiori 0 795 10.98% 20.82%
7 2001-11-04 27.1 @ Cosmos 8 1040 75.04% Juvenes Dogana 1 647 6.26% 18.70%
8 2001-09-15 27.2 @ Folgore Falciano 5 1001 65.36% Juvenes Dogana 0 761 13.22% 21.42%
9 2002-03-24 27.5 Domagnano 6 937 74.07% @ Juvenes Dogana 1 563 6.86% 19.07%
10 2002-03-16 27.8 Faetano 2 949 73.31% @ La Fiorita 0 589 7.35% 19.35%
11 2001-10-27 27.9 @ Cailungo 2 1056 72.82% La Fiorita 0 705 7.67% 19.51%
12 2001-10-20 28.2 Virtus 5 939 61.74% @ La Fiorita 0 742 16.25% 22.01%
13 2001-11-11 28.3 @ Virtus 4 1000 60.48% Tre Penne 0 817 17.35% 22.17%
14 2001-09-22 29.3 Folgore Falciano 4 1032 57.31% @ Faetano 0 881 20.17% 22.52%
15 2001-10-13 29.3 Libertas 4 918 57.27% @ Montevito 0 767 20.21% 22.53%
16 2001-12-01 29.6 @ Libertas 4 1006 74.91% Juvenes Dogana 1 616 6.34% 18.75%
17 2002-03-23 30.1 @ Libertas 2 1035 65.63% Montevito 0 792 13.00% 21.37%
18 2001-10-20 30.4 Faetano 3 842 56.61% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 698 20.81% 22.59%
19 2002-04-02 30.4 @ Faetano 1 970 76.41% Juvenes Dogana 0 550 5.46% 18.13%
20 2001-10-06 30.7 Cosmos 2 1010 63.78% @ Montevito 0 790 14.53% 21.70%
21 2001-11-17 30.8 Pennarossa 1 1019 74.85% @ Juvenes Dogana 0 631 6.37% 18.78%
22 2002-02-10 31.6 @ Cosmos 2 1119 60.61% Folgore Falciano 0 935 17.23% 22.16%
23 2002-02-16 31.9 Libertas 2 957 59.62% @ San Giovanni 0 783 18.10% 22.28%
24 2002-04-02 31.9 @ Virtus 3 1001 76.60% La Fiorita 1 577 5.35% 18.05%
25 2001-10-13 32.0 Folgore Falciano 4 1015 66.79% @ La Fiorita 1 757 12.08% 21.13%