2011-12 Campionato Sammarinese Season

154 games · 6 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Tre Fiori

49 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tre Fiori

9.02 points above expected

49 points · 39.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Juvenes Dogana

8.76 points below expected

18 points · 26.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Tre Fiori	20	15	4	1	49	44	14	+30	39.98	+9.02
2	La Fiorita	20	12	5	3	41	42	20	+22	35.43	+5.57
3	Libertas	21	10	9	2	39	37	24	+13	34.22	+4.78
4	Tre Penne	20	11	3	6	36	37	24	+13	36.41	-0.41
5	Cosmos	21	10	5	6	35	29	23	+6	31.88	+3.12
6	Faetano	21	10	3	8	33	32	34	-2	29.64	+3.36
7	Virtus	20	9	3	8	30	25	25	0	27.57	+2.43
8	Murata	21	9	3	9	30	30	32	-2	36.28	-6.28
9	Pennarossa	21	9	3	9	30	25	28	-3	29.37	+0.63
10	Fiorentino	20	8	3	9	27	30	33	-3	22.37	+4.63
11	San Giovanni	21	5	7	9	22	32	29	+3	26.87	-4.87
12	Cailungo	21	4	7	10	19	21	29	-8	18.73	+0.27
13	Juvenes Dogana	20	3	9	8	18	23	31	-8	26.76	-8.76
14	Folgore Falciano	20	2	3	15	9	14	41	-27	16.65	-7.65
15	Domagnano	21	2	3	16	9	11	45	-34	17.38	-8.38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Tre Fiori	49	39.98	+9.02
2	La Fiorita	41	35.43	+5.57
3	Libertas	39	34.22	+4.78
4	Fiorentino	27	22.37	+4.63
5	Faetano	33	29.64	+3.36

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Juvenes Dogana	18	26.76	-8.76
2	Domagnano	9	17.38	-8.38
3	Folgore Falciano	9	16.65	-7.65
4	Murata	30	36.28	-6.28
5	San Giovanni	22	26.87	-4.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fiorentino	5	Nov 27 – Mar 10	1 in 558
2	Faetano	4	Mar 31 – Apr 15	1 in 54
3	Tre Fiori	7	Sep 18 – Nov 19	1 in 50
4	La Fiorita	5	Sep 24 – Nov 5	1 in 46
5	Virtus	3	Mar 4 – Mar 13	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Domagnano	11	Oct 30 – Mar 24	1 in 217
2	Folgore Falciano	6	Sep 17 – Nov 6	1 in 29
3	Murata	2	Oct 15 – Oct 23	1 in 25
4	Virtus	4	Oct 22 – Nov 26	1 in 21
5	Juvenes Dogana	3	Sep 17 – Oct 1	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Libertas	13	Sep 18 – Mar 11	1 in 175
2	Fiorentino	7	Nov 27 – Mar 17	1 in 71
3	Tre Fiori	15	Sep 18 – Mar 24	1 in 35
4	La Fiorita	10	Sep 24 – Feb 26	1 in 26
5	Virtus	6	Mar 4 – Apr 1	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Juvenes Dogana	9	Mar 3 – Apr 20	1 in 101
2	Domagnano	15	Oct 1 – Mar 24	1 in 38
3	Murata	4	Nov 5 – Dec 3	1 in 21
4	La Fiorita	3	Apr 1 – Apr 10	1 in 14
5	San Giovanni	5	Dec 11 – Mar 14	1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Tre Fiori	1137	49	+0	10	10.6	-0.6
La Fiorita	1060	41	-13	6	9.6	-3.6
Libertas	1002	39	+26	11	7.8	+3.2
Tre Penne	1063	36	-2	9	8.7	+0.3
Cosmos	978	35	+29	11	8.2	+2.8
Faetano	931	33	+20	12	7.7	+4.3
Murata	959	30	+14	12	9.2	+2.8
Virtus	942	30	-6	6	6.7	-0.7
Pennarossa	938	30	-11	4	6.5	-2.5
Fiorentino	888	27	-17	4	5.6	-1.6
San Giovanni	886	22	-21	2	5.7	-3.7
Cailungo	791	19	+8	6	4.3	+1.7
Juvenes Dogana	913	18	-15	4	7.4	-3.4
Domagnano	712	9	+16	5	3.2	+1.8
Folgore Falciano	736	9	-31	1	3.7	-2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CAI	COS	DOM	FAE	FIO	FF	JD	LF	LIB	MUR	PEN	SG	TF	TP	VIR
Cailungo	—	0-0-2 1.60	0-1-1 3.14	1-1-0 1.51	0-1-0 0.92	1-0-0 1.42	0-1-0 0.83	0-1-0 0.60	0-0-2 1.41	1-0-1 1.39	0-0-2 1.60	0-2-0 2.08	0-0-1 0.48	0-0-1 0.52	1-0-0 0.69
Cosmos	2-0-0 3.99	—	1-1-0 4.39	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-0 1.57	0-1-0 2.07	0-0-1 1.57	0-0-1 1.18	0-2-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.59	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 3.49	0-1-0 0.93	0-0-1 1.05	1-0-0 1.42
Domagnano	1-1-0 2.41	0-1-1 1.23	—	0-0-2 1.72	0-0-1 0.85	0-0-1 1.35	0-1-0 0.70	0-0-1 0.56	0-0-2 1.39	0-0-2 1.26	1-0-1 1.56	0-0-2 2.04	0-0-1 0.33	0-0-1 0.50	0-0-1 0.66
Faetano	0-1-1 4.09	0-0-2 2.74	2-0-0 3.86	—	0-0-1 1.92	1-0-0 2.02	0-0-1 1.53	1-0-0 0.83	1-1-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.28	2-0-0 2.64	2-0-0 3.08	0-0-1 0.73	0-0-1 0.82	1-0-0 1.52
Fiorentino	0-1-0 1.86	0-0-1 1.21	1-0-0 1.94	1-0-0 0.87	—	2-0-0 3.24	2-0-0 2.13	0-1-1 1.55	0-0-1 1.04	1-0-0 0.63	1-0-0 1.10	0-0-1 1.07	0-0-2 1.25	0-0-2 1.25	0-1-1 2.17
Folgore Falciano	0-0-1 1.35	0-1-0 0.73	1-0-0 1.42	0-0-1 0.77	0-0-2 2.32	—	0-1-1 1.75	0-0-2 1.35	0-1-0 0.69	0-0-1 0.77	0-0-1 0.78	1-0-0 0.92	0-0-2 0.90	0-0-2 1.04	0-0-2 1.80
Juvenes Dogana	0-1-0 1.96	1-0-0 1.21	0-1-0 2.10	1-0-0 1.25	0-0-2 3.43	1-1-0 3.83	—	0-1-1 1.89	0-1-0 1.20	0-0-1 1.24	0-1-0 1.22	0-1-0 1.60	0-0-2 1.62	0-1-1 1.90	0-1-1 2.61
La Fiorita	0-1-0 2.21	1-0-0 1.59	1-0-0 2.25	0-0-1 1.96	1-1-0 4.04	2-0-0 4.26	1-1-0 3.68	—	0-1-0 1.57	1-0-0 1.80	1-0-0 1.71	0-1-0 1.96	0-0-2 2.26	2-0-0 2.33	2-0-0 3.48
Libertas	2-0-0 4.19	0-2-0 2.86	2-0-0 4.22	0-1-1 3.03	1-0-0 1.74	0-1-0 2.12	0-1-0 1.58	0-1-0 1.21	—	1-1-0 2.60	2-0-0 3.04	1-1-0 3.52	0-1-0 0.83	0-0-1 1.20	1-0-0 1.62
Murata	1-0-1 4.22	2-0-0 2.96	2-0-0 4.36	1-1-0 3.27	0-0-1 2.18	1-0-0 2.03	1-0-0 1.53	0-0-1 0.98	0-1-1 2.95	—	0-0-2 3.01	1-0-1 3.61	0-0-1 0.90	0-1-0 1.19	0-0-1 1.66
Pennarossa	2-0-0 3.99	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 4.03	0-0-2 2.91	0-0-1 1.67	1-0-0 2.02	0-1-0 1.55	0-0-1 1.06	0-0-2 2.51	2-0-0 2.53	—	1-1-0 3.29	0-1-0 0.75	0-0-1 0.99	1-0-0 1.46
San Giovanni	0-2-0 3.48	0-0-2 2.06	2-0-0 3.53	0-0-2 2.47	1-0-0 1.71	0-0-1 1.86	0-1-0 1.18	0-1-0 0.83	0-1-1 2.04	1-0-1 1.96	0-1-1 2.26	—	0-1-0 0.65	1-0-0 0.72	0-0-1 1.31
Tre Fiori	1-0-0 2.36	0-1-0 1.85	1-0-0 2.54	1-0-0 2.07	2-0-0 4.37	2-0-0 4.78	2-0-0 3.96	2-0-0 3.29	0-1-0 1.96	1-0-0 1.88	0-1-0 2.05	0-1-0 2.16	—	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.90
Tre Penne	1-0-0 2.31	1-0-0 1.73	1-0-0 2.33	1-0-0 1.97	2-0-0 4.37	2-0-0 4.61	1-1-0 3.66	0-0-2 3.22	1-0-0 1.58	0-1-0 1.59	1-0-0 1.79	0-0-1 2.08	0-0-2 2.50	—	0-1-1 3.78
Virtus	0-0-1 2.11	0-0-1 1.36	1-0-0 2.15	0-0-1 1.25	1-1-0 3.39	2-0-0 3.77	1-1-0 2.94	0-0-2 2.08	0-0-1 1.16	1-0-0 1.11	0-0-1 1.31	1-0-0 1.47	1-0-1 1.68	1-1-0 1.79	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.86	+11.3
Allowed	0.78	-12.8
Differential	0.89	+6.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.90%	9.09%	6.17%	2.60%	1.95%	1.62%	25.32%
1	9.09%	10.39%	9.42%	3.90%	0.65%	—	33.44%
2	6.17%	9.42%	7.79%	1.95%	0.65%	0.65%	26.62%
3	2.60%	3.90%	1.95%	0.65%	—	—	9.09%
4	1.95%	0.65%	0.65%	—	—	—	3.25%
5+	1.62%	—	0.65%	—	—	—	2.27%
Total	25.32%	33.44%	26.62%	9.09%	3.25%	2.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.40	1.40	+0.00
SD	1.25	1.25	1.96
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 154

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	19.05%	9.52%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	—	23.81%	14.29%	—	—	—	38.10%
2	4.76%	9.52%	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	23.81%
3	—	—	4.76%	—	—	—	4.76%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.52%	52.38%	33.33%	—	4.76%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.38	-0.38
SD	0.89	0.86	1.07
CV	0.89	0.63	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	—	9.52%
1	23.81%	14.29%	9.52%	9.52%	—	—	57.14%
2	—	14.29%	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	23.81%
3	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
4	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.10%	33.33%	14.29%	9.52%	4.76%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.10	+0.29
SD	0.92	1.18	1.52
CV	0.67	1.08	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	23.81%	14.29%	9.52%	—	14.29%	61.90%
1	—	9.52%	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	23.81%
2	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.76%	38.10%	28.57%	14.29%	—	14.29%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.52	2.14	-1.62
SD	0.75	1.56	1.96
CV	1.43	0.73	—
Max	2	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.76%	9.52%	—	4.76%	4.76%	23.81%
1	—	4.76%	9.52%	—	4.76%	—	19.05%
2	23.81%	14.29%	9.52%	—	—	—	47.62%
3	—	—	4.76%	—	—	—	4.76%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
Total	28.57%	23.81%	33.33%	—	9.52%	4.76%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.62	-0.10
SD	1.21	1.72	2.59
CV	0.79	1.06	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.00%	—	5.00%	10.00%	—	5.00%	25.00%
1	20.00%	10.00%	15.00%	—	—	—	45.00%
2	—	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	5.00%	15.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	40.00%	15.00%	20.00%	15.00%	—	10.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.65	-0.15
SD	1.73	2.01	3.05
CV	1.15	1.22	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.00%	20.00%	25.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	60.00%
1	—	5.00%	—	10.00%	5.00%	—	20.00%
2	—	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.00%	30.00%	30.00%	25.00%	10.00%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.70	2.05	-1.35
SD	1.03	1.10	1.31
CV	1.47	0.54	—
Max	3	4	+1
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	15.00%	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	35.00%
1	—	15.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	25.00%
2	5.00%	5.00%	20.00%	5.00%	—	—	35.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	5.00%	—	—	—	5.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.00%	35.00%	35.00%	10.00%	5.00%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.15	1.55	-0.40
SD	1.09	1.05	1.35
CV	0.95	0.68	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.00%	—	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	15.00%
1	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	5.00%	15.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	5.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	15.00%
4	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
5+	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	35.00%	35.00%	25.00%	5.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.10	1.00	+1.10
SD	1.74	0.92	2.17
CV	0.83	0.92	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	—	—	4.76%	—	—	9.52%
1	14.29%	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	—	28.57%
2	4.76%	9.52%	23.81%	—	—	—	38.10%
3	9.52%	9.52%	—	4.76%	—	—	23.81%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	28.57%	28.57%	9.52%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.14	+0.62
SD	0.94	1.01	1.36
CV	0.54	0.89	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.52%	—	4.76%	9.52%	—	23.81%
1	14.29%	9.52%	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	42.86%
2	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	9.52%
3	—	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	—	19.05%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
Total	19.05%	38.10%	23.81%	9.52%	9.52%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.43	1.52	-0.10
SD	1.33	1.21	2.14
CV	0.93	0.79	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.52%	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	19.05%
1	23.81%	14.29%	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	57.14%
2	—	9.52%	—	4.76%	—	—	14.29%
3	—	4.76%	—	—	—	—	4.76%
4	—	—	4.76%	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.81%	38.10%	23.81%	9.52%	4.76%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.33	-0.14
SD	0.98	1.11	1.49
CV	0.82	0.83	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.76%	9.52%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
1	—	14.29%	23.81%	4.76%	—	—	42.86%
2	4.76%	9.52%	14.29%	4.76%	—	—	33.33%
3	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
Total	19.05%	33.33%	38.10%	9.52%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.38	+0.14
SD	1.29	0.92	1.77
CV	0.85	0.67	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.00%	—	—	—	—	—	5.00%
1	5.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	15.00%
2	20.00%	15.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	45.00%
3	10.00%	15.00%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
4	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.00%	45.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.20	0.70	+1.50
SD	1.01	0.80	1.28
CV	0.46	1.14	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	15.00%
1	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	15.00%	—	—	35.00%
2	10.00%	10.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	5.00%	—	5.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	5.00%	—	—	—	5.00%
Total	35.00%	25.00%	25.00%	15.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.85	1.20	+0.65
SD	1.53	1.11	1.95
CV	0.83	0.92	—
Max	6	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.00%	15.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	15.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	5.00%	35.00%
3	—	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	30.00%	35.00%	—	—	5.00%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.25	+0.00
SD	1.02	1.21	1.45
CV	0.82	0.97	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Tre Fiori	1124	49	39.98	+9.02	95.0%	26	32	36	40	44	49	52
Tre Penne	1087	36	36.41	-0.41	50.0%	23	26	33	36	40	46	50
La Fiorita	1036	41	35.43	+5.57	87.0%	25	27	32	35	38	44	50
Libertas	1013	39	34.22	+4.78	82.0%	20	24	31	34	38	43	47
Cosmos	976	35	31.88	+3.12	72.0%	18	23	28	31	36	40	43
Murata	959	30	36.28	-6.28	17.0%	18	24	33	37	40	46	52
Virtus	942	30	27.57	+2.43	72.0%	16	19	23	28	31	36	43
Pennarossa	938	30	29.37	+0.63	59.0%	14	21	26	29	33	38	44
Faetano	935	33	29.64	+3.36	71.0%	18	19	25	30	34	38	41
Juvenes Dogana	913	18	26.76	-8.76	8.0%	13	16	23	26	30	36	41
Fiorentino	888	27	22.37	+4.63	84.0%	5	13	18	22	26	31	37
San Giovanni	886	22	26.87	-4.87	24.0%	11	17	23	26	31	36	39
Cailungo	791	19	18.73	+0.27	63.0%	8	10	15	18	23	29	35
Folgore Falciano	736	9	16.65	-7.65	5.0%	6	9	12	17	20	24	32
Domagnano	712	9	17.38	-8.38	5.0%	6	9	13	17	21	27	33

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -4.5% * Slight Edge: -4.5% to 0.5% * Clear Edge: 0.5% to 5% * Strong Edge: 5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-4.55%

No Edge

36.36%22.73%40.91%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -15.80 Elo pts.

182 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.10 goals

Neutral

-2-0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.5

Open

145610

Champion Preseason Odds

60%

Tre Fiori, 1st of 15

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.38/gm

Runaway

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.43 * Some Luck: 4.43 to 6.65 * Lucky: 6.65 to 8.87 * Wild Swing: 8.87 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.71 * Close: 1.71 to 2.56 * Off: 2.56 to 3.42 * Way Off: 3.42 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.49 points

Some Luck

05.5414

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.60

Pinpoint

02.135

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.67%

95.00%

Tre Fiori

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.33%

5.00%

Folgore Falciano

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 15

Minimal Outliers

01.57

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Strong Separation: 1.9 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 74% * Slight Edge: 74% to 79.5% * Clear Edge: 79.5% to 84.5% * Wide Edge: 84.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 65.5% * Very Frequent: 65.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Even

00.20.260.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 117.80

1.86

Moderate Separation

11.71.92.23

Interquartile Edge

64%

Even

50%74%84.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

92%

Clear Edge

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

64%

Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

15%

Rare

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.52 * Strong Carryover: 0.52 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 17.5% * Shaky Favorites: 17.5% to 20.5% * Very Shaky: 20.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Very Even

00.370.430.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.00

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.71

Near-Lock

00.360.520.691

Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Chalky

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.68

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.22

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.102

Well Within Noise

00.1330.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

First Round

Faetano 4

La Fiorita 2

Tre Penne 4

Cosmos 1

Second Round

Tre Penne 2

Faetano 1

Cosmos 1

La Fiorita 0

Third Round

Libertas 5

Tre Fiori 4

Cosmos 2

Faetano 1

Quarterfinals

Libertas 3

Tre Penne 2

Sim: 5.0%

Tre Fiori 6

Cosmos 5

Sim: 5.0%

Semifinals

Tre Penne 2

Tre Fiori 1

Sim: 3.0%

Finals

Tre Penne 1

Libertas 0

Sim: 2.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Tre Fiori	60.00%	22.00%	14.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—
La Fiorita	14.00%	33.00%	37.00%	11.00%	5.00%	—	—	—
Libertas	26.00%	26.00%	22.00%	10.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—
Tre Penne	24.00%	37.00%	20.00%	13.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—
Cosmos	14.00%	13.00%	27.00%	20.00%	14.00%	7.00%	5.00%	—
Faetano	5.00%	14.00%	20.00%	22.00%	14.00%	14.00%	9.00%	2.00%
Virtus	1.00%	4.00%	13.00%	32.00%	34.00%	13.00%	3.00%	—
Murata	44.00%	25.00%	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—
Pennarossa	8.00%	12.00%	11.00%	13.00%	25.00%	25.00%	2.00%	4.00%
Fiorentino	—	1.00%	1.00%	13.00%	20.00%	46.00%	19.00%	—
San Giovanni	3.00%	8.00%	8.00%	22.00%	19.00%	23.00%	13.00%	4.00%
Cailungo	—	2.00%	—	2.00%	10.00%	11.00%	36.00%	39.00%
Juvenes Dogana	1.00%	3.00%	15.00%	25.00%	30.00%	18.00%	8.00%	—
Folgore Falciano	—	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	22.00%	70.00%	—
Domagnano	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	11.00%	31.00%	51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level
Cailungo	98.00%
Cosmos	—
Domagnano	99.00%
Faetano	—
Fiorentino	98.00%
Folgore Falciano	100%
Juvenes Dogana	81.00%
La Fiorita	—
Libertas	—
Murata	20.00%
Pennarossa	69.00%
San Giovanni	81.00%
Tre Fiori	—
Tre Penne	—
Virtus	82.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Domagnano	Faetano	Fiorentino	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Murata	Pennarossa	San Giovanni	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos					0.0%1.00%	35.7%14.00%					16.7%6.00%	28.6%7.00%	0.0%2.00%
Domagnano												100.0%2.00%
Faetano				100.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%	16.7%12.00%					42.9%7.00%	66.7%12.00%	66.7%3.00%
Fiorentino			0.0%1.00%				100.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%
Juvenes Dogana	100.0%1.00%		66.7%3.00%				40.0%5.00%	100.0%2.00%	0.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%
La Fiorita	64.3%14.00%		83.3%12.00%				63.6%11.00%	46.7%15.00%	42.9%7.00%	60.0%5.00%
Libertas				0.0%1.00%	60.0%5.00%	36.4%11.00%					42.9%7.00%	71.4%7.00%	100.0%2.00%
Murata				66.7%3.00%	0.0%2.00%	53.3%15.00%					23.1%13.00%	38.5%13.00%	33.3%3.00%
Pennarossa					100.0%2.00%	57.1%7.00%					30.0%10.00%	41.7%12.00%	100.0%4.00%
San Giovanni					0.0%1.00%	40.0%5.00%					50.0%2.00%	0.0%4.00%	0.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori	83.3%6.00%		57.1%7.00%				57.1%7.00%	76.9%13.00%	70.0%10.00%	50.0%2.00%
Tre Penne	71.4%7.00%	0.0%2.00%	33.3%12.00%				28.6%7.00%	61.5%13.00%	58.3%12.00%	100.0%4.00%
Virtus	100.0%2.00%		33.3%3.00%				0.0%2.00%	66.7%3.00%	0.0%4.00%	100.0%1.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Domagnano	Faetano	Fiorentino	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Murata	Pennarossa	San Giovanni	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos			33.3%3.00%			0.0%2.00%	22.2%9.00%	100.0%2.00%	0.0%2.00%		66.7%3.00%	75.0%4.00%
Domagnano						0.0%1.00%					0.0%1.00%
Faetano	66.7%3.00%				100.0%2.00%	0.0%2.00%	60.0%5.00%	50.0%2.00%	50.0%2.00%		50.0%2.00%	25.0%4.00%
Fiorentino											50.0%2.00%
Juvenes Dogana			0.0%2.00%			0.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%				50.0%4.00%	0.0%3.00%
La Fiorita	100.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%	100.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%		44.4%9.00%	62.5%8.00%	50.0%4.00%	100.0%1.00%	56.2%16.00%	40.0%15.00%	100.0%2.00%
Libertas	77.8%9.00%		40.0%5.00%		0.0%1.00%	55.6%9.00%		33.3%6.00%	100.0%2.00%		27.3%11.00%	16.7%6.00%
Murata	0.0%2.00%		50.0%2.00%			37.5%8.00%	66.7%6.00%		66.7%6.00%	66.7%3.00%	25.0%12.00%	12.5%8.00%
Pennarossa	100.0%2.00%		50.0%2.00%			50.0%4.00%	0.0%2.00%	33.3%6.00%			7.7%13.00%	25.0%4.00%	0.0%1.00%
San Giovanni						0.0%1.00%		33.3%3.00%			0.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori	33.3%3.00%	100.0%1.00%	50.0%2.00%	50.0%2.00%	50.0%4.00%	43.8%16.00%	72.7%11.00%	75.0%12.00%	92.3%13.00%	100.0%1.00%		75.0%12.00%	100.0%2.00%
Tre Penne	25.0%4.00%		75.0%4.00%		100.0%3.00%	60.0%15.00%	83.3%6.00%	87.5%8.00%	75.0%4.00%		25.0%12.00%		0.0%1.00%
Virtus						0.0%2.00%			100.0%1.00%		0.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Faetano	Fiorentino	Juvenes Dogana	La Fiorita	Libertas	Murata	Pennarossa	San Giovanni	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne	Virtus
Cosmos						0.0%2.00%		100.0%2.00%	100.0%1.00%	50.0%4.00%	0.0%1.00%
Domagnano
Faetano					25.0%4.00%		66.7%3.00%			50.0%2.00%	50.0%2.00%
Fiorentino					0.0%1.00%
Juvenes Dogana					0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%					0.0%1.00%
La Fiorita		75.0%4.00%	100.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%		60.0%5.00%	50.0%4.00%	100.0%1.00%		46.2%13.00%	16.7%6.00%
Libertas	100.0%2.00%			100.0%1.00%	40.0%5.00%			0.0%1.00%		62.5%8.00%	60.0%5.00%
Murata		33.3%3.00%			50.0%4.00%					28.6%7.00%	50.0%4.00%
Pennarossa	0.0%2.00%				0.0%1.00%	100.0%1.00%				0.0%4.00%	0.0%1.00%
San Giovanni	0.0%1.00%
Tre Fiori	50.0%4.00%	50.0%2.00%			53.8%13.00%	37.5%8.00%	71.4%7.00%	100.0%4.00%			35.7%14.00%	50.0%2.00%
Tre Penne	100.0%1.00%	50.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%	83.3%6.00%	40.0%5.00%	50.0%4.00%	100.0%1.00%		64.3%14.00%
Virtus										50.0%2.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Quarterfinals	Semifinals	Finals
Tre Fiori	100%	100%	38.39%
La Fiorita	84.42%	38.98%	19.78%
Tre Penne	79.05%	36.75%	17.43%
Libertas	85.05%	40.49%	12.80%
Cosmos	49.49%	18.03%	6.98%
Faetano	44.11%	13.44%	4.61%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Faetano	La Fiorita	Libertas	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne
Cosmos						38.5%128.53%
Faetano			34.3%128.53%
La Fiorita		65.7%128.53%
Libertas					33.1%257.07%
Tre Fiori				66.9%257.07%
Tre Penne	61.5%128.53%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Faetano	La Fiorita	Libertas	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne
Cosmos				47.0%16.04%	31.4%33.44%
Faetano				38.0%14.41%	26.8%29.70%
La Fiorita				57.3%28.24%	40.6%56.18%
Libertas	53.0%16.04%	62.0%14.41%	42.7%28.24%			41.7%26.36%
Tre Fiori	68.6%33.44%	73.2%29.70%	59.4%56.18%			59.4%52.69%
Tre Penne				58.3%26.36%	40.6%52.69%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cosmos	Faetano	La Fiorita	Libertas	Tre Fiori	Tre Penne
Cosmos		54.5%1.70%	39.8%5.98%	47.2%2.72%	31.3%7.63%
Faetano	45.5%1.70%			39.9%2.10%	28.3%5.76%	35.3%3.89%
La Fiorita	60.2%5.98%			59.9%5.77%	41.9%15.57%	53.1%11.67%
Libertas	52.8%2.72%	60.1%2.10%	40.1%5.77%		31.8%16.03%	43.6%6.16%
Tre Fiori	68.7%7.63%	71.7%5.76%	58.1%15.57%	68.2%16.03%		60.3%15.03%
Tre Penne		64.7%3.89%	46.9%11.67%	56.4%6.16%	39.7%15.03%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2011-09-17	Murata	L 1-2	44.2	968	1020	31.61%	22.44%	45.95%	-0.37	-5.9	0
2011-09-17	@ Faetano	W 2-1	44.2	1020	968	45.95%	22.44%	31.61%	+0.37	+5.9	3
2011-09-17	Pennarossa	W 2-1	51.9	814	971	20.20%	20.88%	58.92%	-0.95	+9.9	3
2011-09-17	@ Domagnano	L 1-2	51.9	971	814	58.92%	20.88%	20.20%	+0.95	-9.9	0
2011-09-17	Tre Penne	L 0-4	31.6	958	1066	25.12%	21.80%	53.08%	-0.67	-18.5	0
2011-09-17	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 4-0	31.6	1066	958	53.08%	21.80%	25.12%	+0.67	+18.4	3
2011-09-17	Virtus	L 0-1	35.8	816	934	23.97%	21.63%	54.40%	-0.73	-5.0	0
2011-09-17	@ Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	35.8	934	816	54.40%	21.63%	23.97%	+0.73	+5.0	3
2011-09-18	Cosmos	L 1-2	40.3	786	945	20.08%	20.85%	59.07%	-0.96	-4.0	0
2011-09-18	@ Cailungo	W 2-1	40.3	945	786	59.07%	20.85%	20.08%	+0.96	+4.0	3
2011-09-18	La Fiorita	W 3-0	33.7	1044	985	46.87%	22.38%	30.75%	+0.24	+16.8	3
2011-09-18	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-3	33.7	985	1044	30.75%	22.38%	46.87%	-0.24	-16.8	0
2011-09-18	San Giovanni	W 2-1	43.0	949	866	50.06%	22.13%	27.81%	+0.37	+5.3	3
2011-09-18	@ Libertas	L 1-2	43.0	866	949	27.81%	22.13%	50.06%	-0.37	-5.3	0
2011-09-24	Cailungo	D 1-1	53.1	860	782	49.42%	22.19%	28.39%	+0.34	-0.8	1
2011-09-24	@ San Giovanni	D 1-1	53.1	782	860	28.39%	22.19%	49.42%	-0.34	+0.8	1
2011-09-24	Folgore Falciano	W 3-1	37.9	968	811	58.83%	20.89%	20.27%	+0.77	+6.9	3
2011-09-24	@ La Fiorita	L 1-3	37.9	811	968	20.27%	20.89%	58.83%	-0.77	-6.9	0
2011-09-24	Libertas	D 2-2	59.3	1026	954	48.62%	22.26%	29.12%	+0.31	-0.6	4
2011-09-24	@ Murata	D 2-2	59.3	954	1026	29.12%	22.26%	48.62%	-0.31	+0.6	4
2011-09-24	Pennarossa	W 2-1	46.9	949	962	36.94%	22.63%	40.43%	-0.15	+7.2	6
2011-09-24	@ Cosmos	L 1-2	46.9	962	949	40.43%	22.63%	36.94%	+0.15	-7.2	0
2011-09-25	Juvenes Dogana	W 1-0	45.2	813	940	23.08%	21.48%	55.44%	-0.78	+9.9	3
2011-09-25	@ Fiorentino	L 0-1	45.2	940	813	55.44%	21.48%	23.08%	+0.78	-9.9	0
2011-10-01	Faetano	D 2-2	59.2	955	962	37.58%	22.64%	39.78%	-0.13	+0.1	5
2011-10-01	@ Libertas	D 2-2	59.2	962	955	39.78%	22.64%	37.58%	+0.13	-0.1	1
2011-10-01	Fiorentino	W 2-1	41.8	939	823	54.19%	21.66%	24.15%	+0.55	+4.7	6
2011-10-01	@ Virtus	L 1-2	41.8	823	939	24.15%	21.66%	54.19%	-0.55	-4.7	3
2011-10-01	San Giovanni	L 0-3	34.6	824	860	33.69%	22.54%	43.77%	-0.28	-18.1	3
2011-10-01	@ Domagnano	W 3-0	34.6	860	824	43.77%	22.54%	33.69%	+0.28	+18.1	4
2011-10-01	Tre Fiori	L 0-1	35.4	930	1060	22.74%	21.41%	55.85%	-0.80	-4.7	0
2011-10-01	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 1-0	35.4	1060	930	55.85%	21.41%	22.74%	+0.80	+4.7	6
2011-10-02	Cailungo	W 4-2	41.5	954	783	60.38%	20.58%	19.04%	+0.85	+5.8	3
2011-10-02	@ Pennarossa	L 2-4	41.5	783	954	19.04%	20.58%	60.38%	-0.85	-5.8	1
2011-10-02	Murata	L 1-3	41.0	956	1026	29.46%	22.29%	48.25%	-0.47	-9.6	6
2011-10-02	@ Cosmos	W 3-1	41.0	1026	956	48.25%	22.29%	29.46%	+0.47	+9.7	7
2011-10-02	Tre Penne	L 1-4	32.0	804	1084	11.76%	17.66%	70.58%	-1.62	-5.7	0
2011-10-02	@ Folgore Falciano	W 4-1	32.0	1084	804	70.58%	17.66%	11.76%	+1.62	+5.7	6
2011-10-14	Cosmos	L 0-4	36.6	962	947	40.91%	22.62%	36.46%	+0.00	-27.5	1
2011-10-14	@ Faetano	W 4-0	36.6	947	962	36.46%	22.62%	40.91%	+0.00	+27.5	9
2011-10-15	Cailungo	L 1-2	54.1	1035	777	68.73%	18.31%	12.96%	+1.33	-11.3	7
2011-10-15	@ Murata	W 2-1	54.1	777	1035	12.96%	18.31%	68.73%	-1.33	+11.3	4
2011-10-15	La Fiorita	L 1-3	48.2	1090	975	53.98%	21.68%	24.34%	+0.54	-15.8	6
2011-10-15	@ Tre Penne	W 3-1	48.2	975	1090	24.34%	21.68%	53.98%	-0.54	+15.8	6
2011-10-15	Libertas	L 0-3	30.3	806	955	20.95%	21.05%	58.00%	-0.91	-12.0	3
2011-10-15	@ Domagnano	W 3-0	30.3	955	806	58.00%	21.05%	20.95%	+0.91	+12.0	8
2011-10-16	Fiorentino	W 2-1	37.7	1065	818	67.76%	18.62%	13.61%	+1.27	+2.7	9
2011-10-16	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-2	37.7	818	1065	13.61%	18.62%	67.76%	-1.27	-2.7	3
2011-10-16	Pennarossa	L 1-2	43.0	878	960	27.88%	22.14%	49.98%	-0.54	-5.3	4
2011-10-16	@ San Giovanni	W 2-1	43.0	960	878	49.98%	22.14%	27.88%	+0.54	+5.3	6
2011-10-16	Virtus	D 2-2	59.2	925	944	36.03%	22.62%	41.35%	-0.19	+0.1	1
2011-10-16	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 2-2	59.2	944	925	41.35%	22.62%	36.03%	+0.19	-0.1	7
2011-10-19	Domagnano	W 2-0	32.2	935	794	57.10%	21.21%	21.69%	+0.69	+8.5	4
2011-10-19	@ Faetano	L 0-2	32.2	794	935	21.69%	21.21%	57.10%	-0.69	-8.5	3
2011-10-19	Virtus	D 2-2	59.6	1074	944	55.79%	21.42%	22.78%	+0.63	-1.0	7
2011-10-19	@ Tre Penne	D 2-2	59.6	944	1074	22.78%	21.42%	55.79%	-0.63	+1.0	8
2011-10-21	La Fiorita	L 0-7	30.9	816	991	18.69%	20.49%	60.82%	-1.05	-23.8	3
2011-10-21	@ Fiorentino	W 7-0	30.9	991	816	60.82%	20.49%	18.69%	+1.05	+23.8	9
2011-10-22	Domagnano	D 1-1	53.0	789	785	39.19%	22.64%	38.16%	-0.07	-0.0	5
2011-10-22	@ Cailungo	D 1-1	53.0	785	789	38.16%	22.64%	39.19%	+0.07	+0.0	4
2011-10-22	Libertas	D 1-1	53.0	974	967	39.75%	22.64%	37.62%	-0.05	-0.1	10
2011-10-22	@ Cosmos	D 1-1	53.0	967	974	37.62%	22.64%	39.75%	+0.05	+0.1	9
2011-10-22	Tre Fiori	L 0-2	32.8	945	1068	23.48%	21.55%	54.97%	-0.76	-9.1	8
2011-10-22	@ Virtus	W 2-0	32.8	1068	945	54.97%	21.55%	23.48%	+0.76	+9.1	12
2011-10-23	Faetano	L 1-2	43.5	872	943	29.23%	22.27%	48.50%	-0.48	-5.5	4
2011-10-23	@ San Giovanni	W 2-1	43.5	943	872	48.50%	22.27%	29.23%	+0.48	+5.5	7
2011-10-23	Juvenes Dogana	L 0-2	32.7	799	926	23.10%	21.48%	55.42%	-0.78	-9.0	0
2011-10-23	@ Folgore Falciano	W 2-0	32.7	926	799	55.42%	21.48%	23.10%	+0.78	+9.0	4
2011-10-23	Murata	W 1-0	42.9	965	1024	30.78%	22.39%	46.83%	-0.41	+8.6	9
2011-10-23	@ Pennarossa	L 0-1	42.9	1024	965	46.83%	22.39%	30.78%	+0.41	-8.6	7
2011-10-29	Fiorentino	W 6-2	31.9	1073	792	70.70%	17.62%	11.68%	+1.45	+6.2	10
2011-10-29	@ Tre Penne	L 2-6	31.9	792	1073	11.68%	17.62%	70.70%	-1.45	-6.1	3
2011-10-29	Pennarossa	W 2-0	38.8	949	974	35.15%	22.59%	42.25%	-0.22	+14.9	10
2011-10-29	@ Faetano	L 0-2	38.8	974	949	42.25%	22.59%	35.15%	+0.22	-14.9	9
2011-10-29	San Giovanni	W 1-0	36.2	974	867	53.10%	21.80%	25.10%	+0.50	+5.1	13
2011-10-29	@ Cosmos	L 0-1	36.2	867	974	25.10%	21.80%	53.10%	-0.50	-5.2	4
2011-10-29	Tre Fiori	L 0-3	26.3	790	1077	11.36%	17.43%	71.21%	-1.66	-6.5	0
2011-10-29	@ Folgore Falciano	W 3-0	26.3	1077	790	71.21%	17.43%	11.36%	+1.66	+6.5	15
2011-10-30	Cailungo	W 2-1	39.7	967	789	61.13%	20.42%	18.45%	+0.89	+3.6	12
2011-10-30	@ Libertas	L 1-2	39.7	789	967	18.45%	20.42%	61.13%	-0.89	-3.7	5
2011-10-30	Murata	L 0-5	28.1	785	1015	14.66%	19.09%	66.25%	-1.35	-13.6	4
2011-10-30	@ Domagnano	W 5-0	28.1	1015	785	66.25%	19.09%	14.66%	+1.35	+13.6	10
2011-10-30	Virtus	W 2-1	43.2	1015	936	49.53%	22.18%	28.29%	+0.35	+5.4	12
2011-10-30	@ La Fiorita	L 1-2	43.2	936	1015	28.29%	22.18%	49.53%	-0.35	-5.4	8
2011-11-04	Libertas	L 1-3	43.4	959	971	37.06%	22.63%	40.31%	-0.15	-11.6	9
2011-11-04	@ Pennarossa	W 3-1	43.4	971	959	40.31%	22.63%	37.06%	+0.15	+11.6	15
2011-11-05	Faetano	D 2-2	59.9	785	964	18.40%	20.40%	61.19%	-1.07	+1.3	6
2011-11-05	@ Cailungo	D 2-2	59.9	964	785	61.19%	20.40%	18.40%	+1.07	-1.3	11
2011-11-05	La Fiorita	L 1-2	42.9	935	1020	27.52%	22.10%	50.38%	-0.56	-5.3	4
2011-11-05	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 2-1	42.9	1020	935	50.38%	22.10%	27.52%	+0.56	+5.3	15
2011-11-05	San Giovanni	L 1-2	52.2	1029	862	59.97%	20.67%	19.36%	+0.83	-10.0	10
2011-11-05	@ Murata	W 2-1	52.2	862	1029	19.36%	20.67%	59.97%	-0.83	+10.0	7
2011-11-06	Cosmos	L 0-1	32.9	772	979	16.19%	19.69%	64.12%	-1.23	-3.4	4
2011-11-06	@ Domagnano	W 1-0	32.9	979	772	64.12%	19.69%	16.19%	+1.23	+3.4	16
2011-11-06	Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	40.5	786	783	39.02%	22.64%	38.34%	-0.07	+7.3	6
2011-11-06	@ Fiorentino	L 0-1	40.5	783	786	38.34%	22.64%	39.02%	+0.07	-7.3	0
2011-11-06	Tre Penne	W 3-1	43.7	1084	1079	39.32%	22.64%	38.04%	-0.06	+11.9	18
2011-11-06	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-3	43.7	1079	1084	38.04%	22.64%	39.32%	+0.06	-11.9	10
2011-11-19	Fiorentino	W 2-1	43.2	872	793	49.50%	22.18%	28.32%	+0.35	+5.4	10
2011-11-19	@ San Giovanni	L 1-2	43.2	793	872	28.32%	22.18%	49.50%	-0.35	-5.4	6
2011-11-19	Folgore Falciano	L 1-2	46.1	768	776	37.54%	22.64%	39.82%	-0.13	-6.8	4
2011-11-19	@ Domagnano	W 2-1	46.1	776	768	39.82%	22.64%	37.54%	+0.13	+6.8	3
2011-11-19	Murata	D 1-1	53.1	1067	1019	45.45%	22.47%	32.08%	+0.18	-0.5	11
2011-11-19	@ Tre Penne	D 1-1	53.1	1019	1067	32.08%	22.47%	45.45%	-0.18	+0.5	11
2011-11-19	Tre Fiori	L 0-2	27.4	786	1095	10.30%	16.76%	72.94%	-1.78	-4.0	6
2011-11-19	@ Cailungo	W 2-0	27.4	1095	786	72.94%	16.76%	10.30%	+1.78	+4.0	21
2011-11-20	Juvenes Dogana	L 1-2	47.8	962	929	43.38%	22.56%	34.06%	+0.10	-7.6	11
2011-11-20	@ Faetano	W 2-1	47.8	929	962	34.06%	22.56%	43.38%	-0.10	+7.6	7
2011-11-20	Libertas	D 0-0	48.4	1025	982	44.77%	22.50%	32.73%	+0.15	-0.5	16
2011-11-20	@ La Fiorita	D 0-0	48.4	982	1025	32.73%	22.50%	44.77%	-0.15	+0.5	16
2011-11-20	Pennarossa	L 0-1	39.8	930	948	36.26%	22.62%	41.12%	-0.18	-7.0	8
2011-11-20	@ Virtus	W 1-0	39.8	948	930	41.12%	22.62%	36.26%	+0.18	+7.0	12
2011-11-25	Cailungo	D 1-1	54.2	1025	782	67.38%	18.74%	13.87%	+1.24	-2.3	17
2011-11-25	@ La Fiorita	D 1-1	54.2	782	1025	13.87%	18.74%	67.38%	-1.24	+2.3	7
2011-11-26	Faetano	L 0-2	36.4	923	955	34.30%	22.57%	43.13%	-0.26	-12.6	8
2011-11-26	@ Virtus	W 2-0	36.4	955	923	43.13%	22.57%	34.30%	+0.26	+12.6	14
2011-11-26	Juvenes Dogana	D 2-2	59.2	983	937	45.12%	22.48%	32.40%	+0.16	-0.4	17
2011-11-26	@ Libertas	D 2-2	59.2	937	983	32.40%	22.48%	45.12%	-0.16	+0.4	8
2011-11-26	Pennarossa	L 1-3	37.4	783	955	18.99%	20.57%	60.45%	-1.03	-6.5	3
2011-11-26	@ Folgore Falciano	W 3-1	37.4	955	783	60.45%	20.57%	18.99%	+1.03	+6.5	15
2011-11-27	Murata	W 4-0	43.1	788	1019	14.55%	19.05%	66.40%	-1.36	+41.7	9
2011-11-27	@ Fiorentino	L 0-4	43.1	1019	788	66.40%	19.05%	14.55%	+1.36	-41.7	11
2011-11-27	San Giovanni	D 0-0	49.4	1099	877	65.51%	19.31%	15.19%	+1.13	-2.4	22
2011-11-27	@ Tre Fiori	D 0-0	49.4	877	1099	15.19%	19.31%	65.51%	-1.13	+2.4	11
2011-11-27	Tre Penne	L 1-2	43.0	983	1067	27.71%	22.12%	50.17%	-0.55	-5.3	16
2011-11-27	@ Cosmos	W 2-1	43.0	1067	983	50.17%	22.12%	27.71%	+0.55	+5.3	14
2011-12-03	Faetano	W 7-0	42.6	829	968	21.98%	21.27%	56.75%	-0.84	+61.5	12
2011-12-03	@ Fiorentino	L 0-7	42.6	968	829	56.75%	21.27%	21.98%	+0.84	-61.5	14
2011-12-03	Tre Fiori	D 1-1	53.3	977	1097	23.83%	21.60%	54.57%	-0.74	+1.3	17
2011-12-03	@ Cosmos	D 1-1	53.3	1097	977	54.57%	21.60%	23.83%	+0.74	-1.3	23
2011-12-03	Tre Penne	W 2-0	44.1	880	1072	17.33%	20.08%	62.59%	-1.14	+20.9	14
2011-12-03	@ San Giovanni	L 0-2	44.1	1072	880	62.59%	20.08%	17.33%	+1.14	-20.8	14
2011-12-03	Virtus	L 1-2	49.1	978	911	47.96%	22.31%	29.73%	+0.28	-8.2	11
2011-12-03	@ Murata	W 2-1	49.1	911	978	29.73%	22.31%	47.96%	-0.28	+8.3	11
2011-12-04	Cailungo	D 0-0	48.9	937	785	58.38%	20.98%	20.64%	+0.75	-1.8	9
2011-12-04	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 0-0	48.9	785	937	20.64%	20.98%	58.38%	-0.75	+1.8	8
2011-12-04	La Fiorita	L 0-2	28.6	761	1023	12.76%	18.21%	69.03%	-1.52	-5.1	4
2011-12-04	@ Domagnano	W 2-0	28.6	1023	761	69.03%	18.21%	12.76%	+1.52	+5.0	20
2011-12-04	Libertas	D 3-3	64.1	776	982	16.32%	19.74%	63.94%	-1.22	+1.2	4
2011-12-04	@ Folgore Falciano	D 3-3	64.1	982	776	63.94%	19.74%	16.32%	+1.22	-1.3	18
2011-12-10	Domagnano	W 2-1	36.5	1051	756	71.82%	17.20%	10.98%	+1.53	+2.1	17
2011-12-10	@ Tre Penne	L 1-2	36.5	756	1051	10.98%	17.20%	71.82%	-1.53	-2.1	4
2011-12-10	Folgore Falciano	W 3-2	51.5	786	778	39.94%	22.64%	37.42%	-0.04	+6.4	11
2011-12-10	@ Cailungo	L 2-3	51.5	778	786	37.42%	22.64%	39.94%	+0.04	-6.4	4
2011-12-10	Juvenes Dogana	W 3-2	50.4	970	936	43.50%	22.55%	33.95%	+0.10	+5.9	14
2011-12-10	@ Murata	L 2-3	50.4	936	970	33.95%	22.55%	43.50%	-0.10	-5.9	9
2011-12-10	La Fiorita	L 1-2	44.4	979	1028	31.99%	22.46%	45.55%	-0.36	-6.0	17
2011-12-10	@ Cosmos	W 2-1	44.4	1028	979	45.55%	22.46%	31.99%	+0.36	+6.0	23
2011-12-11	Faetano	W 4-1	34.5	1096	906	62.31%	20.14%	17.55%	+0.95	+8.5	26
2011-12-11	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-4	34.5	906	1096	17.55%	20.14%	62.31%	-0.95	-8.5	14
2011-12-11	Fiorentino	L 1-2	49.2	961	891	48.41%	22.27%	29.32%	+0.30	-8.3	15
2011-12-11	@ Pennarossa	W 2-1	49.2	891	961	29.32%	22.27%	48.41%	-0.30	+8.3	15
2011-12-11	Virtus	L 0-1	39.8	900	919	36.03%	22.62%	41.36%	-0.19	-7.0	14
2011-12-11	@ San Giovanni	W 1-0	39.8	919	900	41.36%	22.62%	36.03%	+0.19	+6.9	14
2012-02-25	Faetano	W 2-0	31.7	1053	898	58.72%	20.92%	20.37%	+0.77	+8.0	20
2012-02-25	@ Tre Penne	L 0-2	31.7	898	1053	20.37%	20.92%	58.72%	-0.77	-8.0	14
2012-02-25	Fiorentino	L 0-1	34.9	754	899	21.35%	21.14%	57.51%	-0.88	-4.5	4
2012-02-25	@ Domagnano	W 1-0	34.9	899	754	57.51%	21.14%	21.35%	+0.88	+4.5	18
2012-02-25	Tre Fiori	L 0-4	30.8	976	1104	22.90%	21.44%	55.66%	-0.79	-17.0	14
2012-02-25	@ Murata	W 4-0	30.8	1104	976	55.66%	21.44%	22.90%	+0.79	+17.0	29
2012-02-25	Virtus	W 1-0	38.3	981	926	46.37%	22.42%	31.22%	+0.22	+6.2	21
2012-02-25	@ Libertas	L 0-1	38.3	926	981	31.22%	22.42%	46.37%	-0.22	-6.2	14
2012-02-26	Folgore Falciano	L 2-3	56.4	893	771	54.89%	21.56%	23.55%	+0.58	-8.8	14
2012-02-26	@ San Giovanni	W 3-2	56.4	771	893	23.55%	21.56%	54.89%	-0.58	+8.8	7
2012-02-26	Juvenes Dogana	L 2-4	49.7	973	930	44.76%	22.50%	32.74%	+0.15	-12.1	17
2012-02-26	@ Cosmos	W 4-2	49.7	930	973	32.74%	22.50%	44.76%	-0.15	+12.1	12
2012-02-26	Pennarossa	W 4-0	32.6	1034	953	49.77%	22.16%	28.07%	+0.36	+20.3	26
2012-02-26	@ La Fiorita	L 0-4	32.6	953	1034	28.07%	22.16%	49.77%	-0.36	-20.3	15
2012-03-03	Cailungo	W 1-0	34.2	961	793	60.04%	20.65%	19.31%	+0.83	+4.0	20
2012-03-03	@ Cosmos	L 0-1	34.2	793	961	19.31%	20.65%	60.04%	-0.83	-4.0	11
2012-03-03	Juvenes Dogana	D 0-0	48.7	1061	942	54.58%	21.60%	23.82%	+0.57	-1.4	21
2012-03-03	@ Tre Penne	D 0-0	48.7	942	1061	23.82%	21.60%	54.58%	-0.57	+1.4	13
2012-03-03	Libertas	D 2-2	59.4	885	987	25.61%	21.87%	52.53%	-0.65	+0.8	15
2012-03-03	@ San Giovanni	D 2-2	59.4	987	885	52.53%	21.87%	25.61%	+0.65	-0.8	22
2012-03-03	Tre Fiori	L 1-2	43.6	1054	1121	29.69%	22.30%	48.01%	-0.46	-5.6	26
2012-03-03	@ La Fiorita	W 2-1	43.6	1121	1054	48.01%	22.30%	29.69%	+0.46	+5.6	32
2012-03-04	Domagnano	W 1-0	33.7	932	750	61.60%	20.31%	18.09%	+0.92	+3.8	18
2012-03-04	@ Pennarossa	L 0-1	33.7	750	932	18.09%	20.31%	61.60%	-0.92	-3.8	4
2012-03-04	Faetano	D 1-1	53.1	959	889	48.23%	22.29%	29.48%	+0.29	-0.7	15
2012-03-04	@ Murata	D 1-1	53.1	889	959	29.48%	22.29%	48.23%	-0.29	+0.8	15
2012-03-04	Folgore Falciano	W 2-0	32.2	920	780	56.95%	21.23%	21.82%	+0.68	+8.6	17
2012-03-04	@ Virtus	L 0-2	32.2	780	920	21.82%	21.23%	56.95%	-0.68	-8.6	7
2012-03-10	Faetano	L 0-5	30.8	746	890	21.40%	21.15%	57.45%	-0.88	-19.7	4
2012-03-10	@ Domagnano	W 5-0	30.8	890	746	57.45%	21.15%	21.40%	+0.88	+19.7	18
2012-03-10	Fiorentino	L 0-1	42.2	943	903	44.27%	22.52%	33.21%	+0.13	-8.2	13
2012-03-10	@ Juvenes Dogana	W 1-0	42.2	903	943	33.21%	22.52%	44.27%	-0.13	+8.2	21
2012-03-10	La Fiorita	L 0-1	31.1	771	1048	11.90%	17.74%	70.36%	-1.61	-2.5	7
2012-03-10	@ Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	31.1	1048	771	70.36%	17.74%	11.90%	+1.61	+2.5	29
2012-03-10	Tre Penne	W 3-1	48.7	928	1060	22.63%	21.39%	55.97%	-0.81	+16.4	20
2012-03-10	@ Virtus	L 1-3	48.7	1060	928	55.97%	21.39%	22.63%	+0.81	-16.4	21
2012-03-11	Cosmos	W 1-0	41.8	936	965	34.70%	22.58%	42.72%	-0.24	+8.0	21
2012-03-11	@ Pennarossa	L 0-1	41.8	965	936	42.72%	22.58%	34.70%	+0.24	-8.0	20
2012-03-11	Murata	W 3-1	42.7	986	958	42.75%	22.58%	34.67%	+0.07	+11.0	25
2012-03-11	@ Libertas	L 1-3	42.7	958	986	34.67%	22.58%	42.75%	-0.07	-11.0	15
2012-03-11	San Giovanni	D 1-1	53.2	789	885	26.26%	21.95%	51.78%	-0.62	+1.0	12
2012-03-11	@ Cailungo	D 1-1	53.2	885	789	51.78%	21.95%	26.26%	+0.62	-1.0	16
2012-03-13	Domagnano	W 1-0	32.6	945	726	65.16%	19.41%	15.44%	+1.11	+3.3	23
2012-03-13	@ Virtus	L 0-1	32.6	726	945	15.44%	19.41%	65.16%	-1.11	-3.3	4
2012-03-14	Cailungo	D 1-1	53.3	912	790	54.85%	21.56%	23.58%	+0.58	-1.3	22
2012-03-14	@ Fiorentino	D 1-1	53.3	790	912	23.58%	21.56%	54.85%	-0.58	+1.3	13
2012-03-14	Cosmos	D 0-0	49.1	769	957	17.69%	20.19%	62.13%	-1.12	+2.1	8
2012-03-14	@ Folgore Falciano	D 0-0	49.1	957	769	62.13%	20.19%	17.69%	+1.12	-2.1	21
2012-03-14	Murata	W 3-0	31.9	1051	947	52.69%	21.85%	25.46%	+0.48	+14.3	32
2012-03-14	@ La Fiorita	L 0-3	31.9	947	1051	25.46%	21.85%	52.69%	-0.48	-14.3	15
2012-03-14	Pennarossa	D 1-1	53.7	1127	944	61.59%	20.31%	18.10%	+0.91	-1.8	33
2012-03-14	@ Tre Fiori	D 1-1	53.7	944	1127	18.10%	20.31%	61.59%	-0.91	+1.8	22
2012-03-14	San Giovanni	D 2-2	59.2	935	884	45.76%	22.45%	31.79%	+0.19	-0.4	14
2012-03-14	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 2-2	59.2	884	935	31.79%	22.45%	45.76%	-0.19	+0.4	17
2012-03-14	Tre Penne	L 0-3	34.2	997	1044	32.36%	22.48%	45.16%	-0.34	-17.5	25
2012-03-14	@ Libertas	W 3-0	34.2	1044	997	45.16%	22.48%	32.36%	+0.34	+17.5	24
2012-03-17	Cosmos	W 3-1	44.8	932	955	35.55%	22.60%	41.85%	-0.21	+12.8	18
2012-03-17	@ Murata	L 1-3	44.8	955	932	41.85%	22.60%	35.55%	+0.21	-12.8	21
2012-03-17	Folgore Falciano	W 2-0	27.9	1061	771	71.44%	17.34%	11.22%	+1.50	+4.4	27
2012-03-17	@ Tre Penne	L 0-2	27.9	771	1061	11.22%	17.34%	71.44%	-1.50	-4.4	8
2012-03-17	Pennarossa	L 1-2	40.4	791	946	20.43%	20.93%	58.64%	-0.94	-4.0	13
2012-03-17	@ Cailungo	W 2-1	40.4	946	791	58.64%	20.93%	20.43%	+0.94	+4.0	25
2012-03-17	Virtus	D 0-0	48.4	910	948	33.47%	22.54%	44.00%	-0.29	+0.5	23
2012-03-17	@ Fiorentino	D 0-0	48.4	948	910	44.00%	22.54%	33.47%	+0.29	-0.5	24
2012-03-18	Domagnano	W 6-0	30.9	885	723	59.38%	20.79%	19.83%	+0.80	+21.8	20
2012-03-18	@ San Giovanni	L 0-6	30.9	723	885	19.83%	20.79%	59.38%	-0.80	-21.8	4
2012-03-18	Juvenes Dogana	W 3-1	36.8	1125	934	62.40%	20.12%	17.48%	+0.96	+6.0	36
2012-03-18	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-3	36.8	934	1125	17.48%	20.12%	62.40%	-0.96	-6.0	14
2012-03-18	Libertas	W 2-1	49.2	910	980	29.35%	22.28%	48.37%	-0.47	+8.3	21
2012-03-18	@ Faetano	L 1-2	49.2	980	910	48.37%	22.28%	29.35%	+0.47	-8.3	25
2012-03-24	Domagnano	W 2-0	28.4	972	701	69.82%	17.93%	12.25%	+1.40	+4.8	28
2012-03-24	@ Libertas	L 0-2	28.4	701	972	12.25%	17.93%	69.82%	-1.40	-4.8	4
2012-03-24	Juvenes Dogana	W 2-0	36.9	948	928	41.41%	22.61%	35.98%	+0.02	+13.1	27
2012-03-24	@ Virtus	L 0-2	36.9	928	948	35.98%	22.61%	41.41%	-0.02	-13.1	14
2012-03-24	San Giovanni	D 1-1	53.1	950	907	44.81%	22.50%	32.69%	+0.15	-0.5	26
2012-03-24	@ Pennarossa	D 1-1	53.1	907	950	32.69%	22.50%	44.81%	-0.15	+0.5	21
2012-03-24	Tre Fiori	L 0-2	29.7	911	1131	15.33%	19.36%	65.31%	-1.29	-6.1	23
2012-03-24	@ Fiorentino	W 2-0	29.7	1131	911	65.31%	19.36%	15.33%	+1.29	+6.1	39
2012-03-25	Faetano	W 1-0	39.6	942	918	42.05%	22.60%	35.35%	+0.04	+6.9	24
2012-03-25	@ Cosmos	L 0-1	39.6	918	942	35.35%	22.60%	42.05%	-0.04	-6.9	21
2012-03-25	Murata	L 0-1	34.5	787	945	20.15%	20.86%	58.99%	-0.95	-4.2	13
2012-03-25	@ Cailungo	W 1-0	34.5	945	787	58.99%	20.86%	20.15%	+0.95	+4.2	21
2012-03-25	Tre Penne	W 1-0	40.6	1065	1065	38.63%	22.64%	38.73%	-0.09	+7.4	35
2012-03-25	@ La Fiorita	L 0-1	40.6	1065	1065	38.73%	22.64%	38.63%	+0.09	-7.4	27
2012-03-31	Cosmos	D 1-1	53.0	977	949	42.62%	22.58%	34.79%	+0.07	-0.3	29
2012-03-31	@ Libertas	D 1-1	53.0	949	977	34.79%	22.58%	42.62%	-0.07	+0.3	25
2012-03-31	Folgore Falciano	D 1-1	53.5	915	767	57.94%	21.06%	21.00%	+0.73	-1.5	15
2012-03-31	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 1-1	53.5	767	915	21.00%	21.06%	57.94%	-0.73	+1.5	9
2012-03-31	Pennarossa	L 0-1	40.6	949	950	38.66%	22.64%	38.70%	-0.09	-7.4	21
2012-03-31	@ Murata	W 1-0	40.6	950	949	38.70%	22.64%	38.66%	+0.09	+7.4	29
2012-03-31	San Giovanni	W 2-1	46.2	911	907	39.30%	22.64%	38.06%	-0.06	+6.8	24
2012-03-31	@ Faetano	L 1-2	46.2	907	911	38.06%	22.64%	39.30%	+0.06	-6.9	21
2012-04-01	Domagnano	L 0-2	41.1	783	696	50.49%	22.09%	27.42%	+0.39	-17.2	13
2012-04-01	@ Cailungo	W 2-0	41.1	696	783	27.42%	22.09%	50.49%	-0.39	+17.2	7
2012-04-01	Fiorentino	D 1-1	53.6	1072	905	60.01%	20.66%	19.33%	+0.83	-1.7	36
2012-04-01	@ La Fiorita	D 1-1	53.6	905	1072	19.33%	20.66%	60.01%	-0.83	+1.7	24
2012-04-01	Virtus	L 2-3	57.9	1137	961	60.94%	20.46%	18.60%	+0.88	-9.7	39
2012-04-01	@ Tre Fiori	W 3-2	57.9	961	1137	18.60%	20.46%	60.94%	-0.88	+9.7	30
2012-04-05	Fiorentino	W 3-0	34.3	949	906	44.68%	22.51%	32.81%	+0.15	+17.7	28
2012-04-05	@ Cosmos	L 0-3	34.3	906	949	32.81%	22.51%	44.68%	-0.15	-17.7	24
2012-04-05	Folgore Falciano	W 1-0	34.0	942	768	60.68%	20.52%	18.80%	+0.87	+3.9	24
2012-04-05	@ Murata	L 0-1	34.0	768	942	18.80%	20.52%	60.68%	-0.87	-4.0	9
2012-04-05	Tre Fiori	D 2-2	59.7	976	1127	20.77%	21.01%	58.22%	-0.92	+1.2	30
2012-04-05	@ Libertas	D 2-2	59.7	1127	976	58.22%	21.01%	20.77%	+0.92	-1.2	40
2012-04-05	Tre Penne	L 0-1	36.5	957	1058	25.78%	21.89%	52.33%	-0.64	-5.3	29
2012-04-05	@ Pennarossa	W 1-0	36.5	1058	957	52.33%	21.89%	25.78%	+0.64	+5.3	30
2012-04-06	Juvenes Dogana	D 1-1	53.8	714	914	16.75%	19.88%	63.37%	-1.18	+2.0	8
2012-04-06	@ Domagnano	D 1-1	53.8	914	714	63.37%	19.88%	16.75%	+1.18	-2.0	16
2012-04-06	La Fiorita	W 2-0	43.1	918	1071	20.66%	20.98%	58.36%	-0.92	+19.6	27
2012-04-06	@ Faetano	L 0-2	43.1	1071	918	58.36%	20.98%	20.66%	+0.92	-19.6	36
2012-04-06	Virtus	W 2-1	53.1	766	970	16.41%	19.77%	63.82%	-1.21	+10.6	16
2012-04-06	@ Cailungo	L 1-2	53.1	970	766	63.82%	19.77%	16.41%	+1.21	-10.6	30
2012-04-10	Faetano	L 0-2	31.1	764	938	18.83%	20.52%	60.65%	-1.04	-7.5	9
2012-04-10	@ Folgore Falciano	W 2-0	31.1	938	764	60.65%	20.52%	18.83%	+1.04	+7.5	30
2012-04-10	Pennarossa	D 1-1	53.0	912	952	33.18%	22.52%	44.30%	-0.31	+0.4	17
2012-04-10	@ Juvenes Dogana	D 1-1	53.0	952	912	44.30%	22.52%	33.18%	+0.31	-0.4	30
2012-04-10	San Giovanni	D 2-2	59.7	1051	900	58.19%	21.02%	20.80%	+0.74	-1.2	37
2012-04-10	@ La Fiorita	D 2-2	59.7	900	1051	20.80%	21.02%	58.19%	-0.74	+1.2	22
2012-04-10	Virtus	W 1-0	40.3	967	960	39.69%	22.64%	37.68%	-0.05	+7.2	31
2012-04-10	@ Cosmos	L 0-1	40.3	960	967	37.68%	22.64%	39.69%	+0.05	-7.2	30
2012-04-11	Domagnano	W 3-1	31.5	1126	716	79.99%	13.55%	6.46%	+2.17	+2.1	43
2012-04-11	@ Tre Fiori	L 1-3	31.5	716	1126	6.46%	13.55%	79.99%	-2.17	-2.1	8
2012-04-11	Libertas	L 0-3	32.5	889	977	27.17%	22.06%	50.76%	-0.57	-15.1	24
2012-04-11	@ Fiorentino	W 3-0	32.5	977	889	50.76%	22.06%	27.17%	+0.57	+15.1	33
2012-04-11	Tre Penne	L 0-1	30.8	776	1063	11.36%	17.43%	71.21%	-1.66	-2.4	16
2012-04-11	@ Cailungo	W 1-0	30.8	1063	776	71.21%	17.43%	11.36%	+1.66	+2.4	33
2012-04-14	Cosmos	L 1-2	43.4	901	974	29.05%	22.25%	48.70%	-0.48	-5.5	22
2012-04-14	@ San Giovanni	W 2-1	43.4	974	901	48.70%	22.25%	29.05%	+0.48	+5.5	34
2012-04-14	Domagnano	W 1-0	32.2	946	714	66.46%	19.03%	14.51%	+1.19	+3.1	27
2012-04-14	@ Murata	L 0-1	32.2	714	946	14.51%	19.03%	66.46%	-1.19	-3.1	8
2012-04-14	La Fiorita	L 2-5	40.3	953	1050	26.18%	21.94%	51.88%	-0.62	-10.7	30
2012-04-14	@ Virtus	W 5-2	40.3	1050	953	51.88%	21.94%	26.18%	+0.62	+10.7	40
2012-04-14	Libertas	L 0-1	32.6	774	992	15.43%	19.40%	65.17%	-1.29	-3.2	16
2012-04-14	@ Cailungo	W 1-0	32.6	992	774	65.17%	19.40%	15.43%	+1.29	+3.2	36
2012-04-15	Faetano	L 2-3	52.1	951	945	39.54%	22.64%	37.82%	-0.05	-6.7	30
2012-04-15	@ Pennarossa	W 3-2	52.1	945	951	37.82%	22.64%	39.54%	+0.05	+6.7	33
2012-04-15	Folgore Falciano	W 2-0	26.1	1128	757	77.47%	14.78%	7.75%	+1.95	+2.9	46
2012-04-15	@ Tre Fiori	L 0-2	26.1	757	1128	7.75%	14.78%	77.47%	-1.95	-2.9	9
2012-04-15	Tre Penne	L 2-3	44.7	874	1066	17.36%	20.09%	62.55%	-1.14	-3.3	24
2012-04-15	@ Fiorentino	W 3-2	44.7	1066	874	62.55%	20.09%	17.36%	+1.14	+3.3	36
2012-04-19	Cailungo	L 0-2	43.9	952	771	61.46%	20.34%	18.19%	+0.91	-20.5	33
2012-04-19	@ Faetano	W 2-0	43.9	771	952	18.19%	20.34%	61.46%	-0.91	+20.5	19
2012-04-19	Domagnano	D 2-2	60.6	979	710	69.69%	17.98%	12.33%	+1.39	-1.8	35
2012-04-19	@ Cosmos	D 2-2	60.6	710	979	12.33%	17.98%	69.69%	-1.39	+1.8	9
2012-04-19	Murata	L 1-3	41.7	896	949	31.44%	22.43%	46.13%	-0.38	-10.2	22
2012-04-19	@ San Giovanni	W 3-1	41.7	949	896	46.13%	22.43%	31.44%	+0.38	+10.2	30
2012-04-19	Pennarossa	W 1-0	38.4	996	945	45.85%	22.45%	31.71%	+0.19	+6.3	39
2012-04-19	@ Libertas	L 0-1	38.4	945	996	31.71%	22.45%	45.85%	-0.19	-6.3	30
2012-04-20	Fiorentino	L 0-4	31.2	754	870	24.13%	21.65%	54.22%	-0.73	-17.8	9
2012-04-20	@ Folgore Falciano	W 4-0	31.2	870	754	54.22%	21.65%	24.13%	+0.73	+17.8	27
2012-04-20	Juvenes Dogana	D 2-2	59.7	1061	912	57.90%	21.07%	21.03%	+0.73	-1.1	41
2012-04-20	@ La Fiorita	D 2-2	59.7	912	1061	21.03%	21.07%	57.90%	-0.73	+1.1	18
2012-04-20	Tre Fiori	L 1-2	43.9	1069	1131	30.30%	22.35%	47.35%	-0.43	-5.7	36
2012-04-20	@ Tre Penne	W 2-1	43.9	1131	1069	47.35%	22.35%	30.30%	+0.43	+5.7	49

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2012-05-05	Faetano	L 2-4	52.7	1060	931	55.58%	21.45%	22.97%	+0.70	-14.5	0-1
2012-05-05	@ La Fiorita	W 4-2	52.7	931	1060	22.97%	21.45%	55.58%	-0.70	+14.5	1-0
2012-05-05	Tre Penne	L 1-4	38.0	978	1063	27.51%	22.10%	50.39%	-0.47	-12.9	0-1
2012-05-05	@ Cosmos	W 4-1	38.0	1063	978	50.39%	22.10%	27.51%	+0.47	+12.9	1-0
2012-05-09	La Fiorita	W 1-0	43.7	965	1045	28.14%	22.17%	49.70%	-0.44	+9.0	1-1
2012-05-09	@ Cosmos	L 0-1	43.7	1045	965	49.70%	22.17%	28.14%	+0.44	-9.0	0-2
2012-05-10	Faetano	W 2-1	41.3	1076	946	55.82%	21.42%	22.76%	+0.71	+4.4	2-0
2012-05-10	@ Tre Penne	L 1-2	41.3	946	1076	22.76%	21.42%	55.82%	-0.71	-4.5	1-1
2012-05-11	Tre Fiori	W 5-4	60.4	1002	1137	22.29%	21.33%	56.38%	-0.74	+8.7	1-0
2012-05-11	@ Libertas	L 4-5	60.4	1137	1002	56.38%	21.33%	22.29%	+0.74	-8.7	0-1
2012-05-14	Faetano	W 2-1	45.0	974	942	43.25%	22.56%	34.19%	+0.18	+6.3	2-1
2012-05-14	@ Cosmos	L 1-2	45.0	942	974	34.19%	22.56%	43.25%	-0.18	-6.3	1-2
2012-05-16	Tre Penne	W 3-2	54.7	1011	1081	29.37%	22.28%	48.35%	-0.38	+7.9	2-0
2012-05-16	@ Libertas	L 2-3	54.7	1081	1011	48.35%	22.28%	29.37%	+0.38	-7.9	2-1
2012-05-18	Tre Fiori	L 5-6	49.9	980	1128	21.04%	21.07%	57.89%	-0.81	-3.7	2-2
2012-05-18	@ Cosmos	W 6-5	49.9	1128	980	57.89%	21.07%	21.04%	+0.81	+3.8	1-1
2012-05-23	Tre Penne	L 1-2	48.9	1132	1073	46.95%	22.38%	30.67%	+0.33	-8.1	1-2
2012-05-23	@ Tre Fiori	W 2-1	48.9	1073	1132	30.67%	22.38%	46.95%	-0.33	+8.1	3-1
2012-05-29	Tre Penne	L 0-1	38.0	1019	1081	30.31%	22.35%	47.34%	-0.34	-6.1	2-1
2012-05-29	@ Libertas	W 1-0	38.0	1081	1019	47.34%	22.35%	30.31%	+0.34	+6.1	4-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2011-10-15	12.96%	Cailungo	777	2	@ Murata	1035	1
2	2011-11-27	14.55%	@ Fiorentino	788	4	Murata	1019	0
3	2012-04-06	16.41%	@ Cailungo	766	2	Virtus	970	1
4	2011-12-03	17.33%	@ San Giovanni	880	2	Tre Penne	1072	0
5	2012-04-19	18.19%	Cailungo	771	2	@ Faetano	952	0
6	2012-04-01	18.60%	Virtus	961	3	@ Tre Fiori	1137	2
7	2011-11-05	19.36%	San Giovanni	862	2	@ Murata	1029	1
8	2011-09-17	20.20%	@ Domagnano	814	2	Pennarossa	971	1
9	2012-04-06	20.66%	@ Faetano	918	2	La Fiorita	1071	0
10	2011-12-03	21.98%	@ Fiorentino	829	7	Faetano	968	0
11	2012-05-11 *	22.29%	@ Libertas	1002	5	Tre Fiori	1137	4
12	2012-03-10	22.63%	@ Virtus	928	3	Tre Penne	1060	1
13	2012-05-05 *	22.97%	Faetano	931	4	@ La Fiorita	1060	2
14	2011-09-25	23.08%	@ Fiorentino	813	1	Juvenes Dogana	940	0
15	2012-02-26	23.55%	Folgore Falciano	771	3	@ San Giovanni	893	2
16	2011-10-15	24.34%	La Fiorita	975	3	@ Tre Penne	1090	1
17	2012-04-01	27.42%	Domagnano	696	2	@ Cailungo	783	0
18	2012-05-09 *	28.14%	@ Cosmos	965	1	La Fiorita	1045	0
19	2011-12-11	29.32%	Fiorentino	891	2	@ Pennarossa	961	1
20	2012-03-18	29.35%	@ Faetano	910	2	Libertas	980	1
21	2012-05-16 *	29.37%	@ Libertas	1011	3	Tre Penne	1081	2
22	2011-12-03	29.73%	Virtus	911	2	@ Murata	978	1
23	2012-05-23 *	30.67%	Tre Penne	1073	2	@ Tre Fiori	1132	1
24	2011-10-23	30.78%	@ Pennarossa	965	1	Murata	1024	0
25	2012-02-26	32.74%	Juvenes Dogana	930	4	@ Cosmos	973	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-12-03	61.45	@ Fiorentino	7	829	21.98%	Faetano	0	968	56.75%	21.27%
2	2011-11-27	41.66	@ Fiorentino	4	788	14.55%	Murata	0	1019	66.40%	19.05%
3	2011-10-14	27.50	Cosmos	4	947	36.46%	@ Faetano	0	962	40.91%	22.62%
4	2011-10-21	23.82	La Fiorita	7	991	60.82%	@ Fiorentino	0	816	18.69%	20.49%
5	2012-03-18	21.77	@ San Giovanni	6	885	59.38%	Domagnano	0	723	19.83%	20.79%
6	2011-12-03	20.85	@ San Giovanni	2	880	17.33%	Tre Penne	0	1072	62.59%	20.08%
7	2012-04-19	20.52	Cailungo	2	771	18.19%	@ Faetano	0	952	61.46%	20.34%
8	2012-02-26	20.30	@ La Fiorita	4	1034	49.77%	Pennarossa	0	953	28.07%	22.16%
9	2012-03-10	19.68	Faetano	5	890	57.45%	@ Domagnano	0	746	21.40%	21.15%
10	2012-04-06	19.60	@ Faetano	2	918	20.66%	La Fiorita	0	1071	58.36%	20.98%
11	2011-09-17	18.45	Tre Penne	4	1066	53.08%	@ Juvenes Dogana	0	958	25.12%	21.80%
12	2011-10-01	18.07	San Giovanni	3	860	43.77%	@ Domagnano	0	824	33.69%	22.54%
13	2012-04-20	17.80	Fiorentino	4	870	54.22%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	754	24.13%	21.65%
14	2012-04-05	17.69	@ Cosmos	3	949	44.68%	Fiorentino	0	906	32.81%	22.51%
15	2012-03-14	17.49	Tre Penne	3	1044	45.16%	@ Libertas	0	997	32.36%	22.48%
16	2012-04-01	17.24	Domagnano	2	696	27.42%	@ Cailungo	0	783	50.49%	22.09%
17	2012-02-25	16.99	Tre Fiori	4	1104	55.66%	@ Murata	0	976	22.90%	21.44%
18	2011-09-18	16.77	@ Tre Fiori	3	1044	46.87%	La Fiorita	0	985	30.75%	22.38%
19	2012-03-10	16.35	@ Virtus	3	928	22.63%	Tre Penne	1	1060	55.97%	21.39%
20	2011-10-15	15.84	La Fiorita	3	975	24.34%	@ Tre Penne	1	1090	53.98%	21.68%
21	2012-04-11	15.12	Libertas	3	977	50.76%	@ Fiorentino	0	889	27.17%	22.06%
22	2011-10-29	14.87	@ Faetano	2	949	35.15%	Pennarossa	0	974	42.25%	22.59%
23	2012-05-05 *	14.53	Faetano	4	931	22.97%	@ La Fiorita	2	1060	55.58%	21.45%
24	2012-03-14	14.29	@ La Fiorita	3	1051	52.69%	Murata	0	947	25.46%	21.85%
25	2011-10-30	13.62	Murata	5	1015	66.25%	@ Domagnano	0	785	14.66%	19.09%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2011-12-04	64.1	@ Folgore Falciano	3	776	16.32%	Libertas	3	982	63.94%	19.74%
2	2012-04-19	60.6	@ Cosmos	2	979	69.69%	Domagnano	2	710	12.33%	17.98%
3	2012-05-11 *	60.4	@ Libertas	5	1002	22.29%	Tre Fiori	4	1137	56.38%	21.33%
4	2011-11-05	59.9	@ Cailungo	2	785	18.40%	Faetano	2	964	61.19%	20.40%
5	2012-04-05	59.7	@ Libertas	2	976	20.77%	Tre Fiori	2	1127	58.22%	21.01%
6	2012-04-10	59.7	@ La Fiorita	2	1051	58.19%	San Giovanni	2	900	20.80%	21.02%
7	2012-04-20	59.7	@ La Fiorita	2	1061	57.90%	Juvenes Dogana	2	912	21.03%	21.07%
8	2011-10-19	59.6	@ Tre Penne	2	1074	55.79%	Virtus	2	944	22.78%	21.42%
9	2012-03-03	59.4	@ San Giovanni	2	885	25.61%	Libertas	2	987	52.53%	21.87%
10	2011-09-24	59.3	@ Murata	2	1026	48.62%	Libertas	2	954	29.12%	22.26%
11	2011-10-01	59.2	@ Libertas	2	955	37.58%	Faetano	2	962	39.78%	22.64%
12	2011-10-16	59.2	@ Juvenes Dogana	2	925	36.03%	Virtus	2	944	41.35%	22.62%
13	2011-11-26	59.2	@ Libertas	2	983	45.12%	Juvenes Dogana	2	937	32.40%	22.48%
14	2012-03-14	59.2	@ Juvenes Dogana	2	935	45.76%	San Giovanni	2	884	31.79%	22.45%
15	2012-04-01	57.9	Virtus	3	961	18.60%	@ Tre Fiori	2	1137	60.94%	20.46%
16	2012-02-26	56.4	Folgore Falciano	3	771	23.55%	@ San Giovanni	2	893	54.89%	21.56%
17	2012-05-16 *	54.7	@ Libertas	3	1011	29.37%	Tre Penne	2	1081	48.35%	22.28%
18	2011-11-25	54.2	@ La Fiorita	1	1025	67.38%	Cailungo	1	782	13.87%	18.74%
19	2011-10-15	54.1	Cailungo	2	777	12.96%	@ Murata	1	1035	68.73%	18.31%
20	2012-04-06	53.8	@ Domagnano	1	714	16.75%	Juvenes Dogana	1	914	63.37%	19.88%
21	2012-03-14	53.7	@ Tre Fiori	1	1127	61.59%	Pennarossa	1	944	18.10%	20.31%
22	2012-04-01	53.6	@ La Fiorita	1	1072	60.01%	Fiorentino	1	905	19.33%	20.66%
23	2012-03-31	53.5	@ Juvenes Dogana	1	915	57.94%	Folgore Falciano	1	767	21.00%	21.06%
24	2011-12-03	53.3	@ Cosmos	1	977	23.83%	Tre Fiori	1	1097	54.57%	21.60%
25	2012-03-14	53.3	@ Fiorentino	1	912	54.85%	Cailungo	1	790	23.58%	21.56%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-04-15	26.1	@ Tre Fiori	2	1128	77.47%	Folgore Falciano	0	757	7.75%	14.78%
2	2011-10-29	26.3	Tre Fiori	3	1077	71.21%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	790	11.36%	17.43%
3	2011-11-19	27.4	Tre Fiori	2	1095	72.94%	@ Cailungo	0	786	10.30%	16.76%
4	2012-03-17	27.9	@ Tre Penne	2	1061	71.44%	Folgore Falciano	0	771	11.22%	17.34%
5	2011-10-30	28.1	Murata	5	1015	66.25%	@ Domagnano	0	785	14.66%	19.09%
6	2012-03-24	28.4	@ Libertas	2	972	69.82%	Domagnano	0	701	12.25%	17.93%
7	2011-12-04	28.6	La Fiorita	2	1023	69.03%	@ Domagnano	0	761	12.76%	18.21%
8	2012-03-24	29.7	Tre Fiori	2	1131	65.31%	@ Fiorentino	0	911	15.33%	19.36%
9	2011-10-15	30.3	Libertas	3	955	58.00%	@ Domagnano	0	806	20.95%	21.05%
10	2012-02-25	30.8	Tre Fiori	4	1104	55.66%	@ Murata	0	976	22.90%	21.44%
11	2012-03-10	30.8	Faetano	5	890	57.45%	@ Domagnano	0	746	21.40%	21.15%
12	2012-04-11	30.8	Tre Penne	1	1063	71.21%	@ Cailungo	0	776	11.36%	17.43%
13	2011-10-21	30.9	La Fiorita	7	991	60.82%	@ Fiorentino	0	816	18.69%	20.49%
14	2012-03-18	30.9	@ San Giovanni	6	885	59.38%	Domagnano	0	723	19.83%	20.79%
15	2012-03-10	31.1	La Fiorita	1	1048	70.36%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	771	11.90%	17.74%
16	2012-04-10	31.1	Faetano	2	938	60.65%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	764	18.83%	20.52%
17	2012-04-20	31.2	Fiorentino	4	870	54.22%	@ Folgore Falciano	0	754	24.13%	21.65%
18	2012-04-11	31.5	@ Tre Fiori	3	1126	79.99%	Domagnano	1	716	6.46%	13.55%
19	2011-09-17	31.6	Tre Penne	4	1066	53.08%	@ Juvenes Dogana	0	958	25.12%	21.80%
20	2012-02-25	31.7	@ Tre Penne	2	1053	58.72%	Faetano	0	898	20.37%	20.92%
21	2011-10-29	31.9	@ Tre Penne	6	1073	70.70%	Fiorentino	2	792	11.68%	17.62%
22	2012-03-14	31.9	@ La Fiorita	3	1051	52.69%	Murata	0	947	25.46%	21.85%
23	2011-10-02	32.0	Tre Penne	4	1084	70.58%	@ Folgore Falciano	1	804	11.76%	17.66%
24	2011-10-19	32.2	@ Faetano	2	935	57.10%	Domagnano	0	794	21.69%	21.21%
25	2012-03-04	32.2	@ Virtus	2	920	56.95%	Folgore Falciano	0	780	21.82%	21.23%