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2026-27 Championship Season

42 games played · 10 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Top Promotion Contender

Stenhousemuir

89% promotion probability

Biggest Overachiever

Stenhousemuir

7.60 points above expected

22 points · 14.40 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Greenock Morton

7.84 points below expected

1 points · 8.84 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Stenhousemuir 8 7 1 0 22 12 2 +10 14.40 +7.60
2 Raith Rovers 9 5 2 2 17 13 6 +7 13.72 +3.28
3 Partick Thistle 8 4 3 1 15 8 2 +6 13.42 +1.58
4 Livingston 9 4 1 4 13 13 9 +4 12.91 +0.09
5 Dunfermline Athletic 7 3 3 1 12 6 4 +2 10.35 +1.65
6 Ayr United 9 3 2 4 11 9 10 -1 10.64 +0.36
7 Arbroath 9 3 2 4 11 6 13 -7 10.55 +0.45
8 Inverness CT 8 2 4 2 10 9 9 0 11.14 -1.14
9 Queens Park 8 1 1 6 4 4 13 -9 8.47 -4.47
10 Greenock Morton 9 0 1 8 1 5 17 -12 8.84 -7.84

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stenhousemuir 22 14.40 +7.60
2 Raith Rovers 17 13.72 +3.28
3 Dunfermline Athletic 12 10.35 +1.65
4 Partick Thistle 15 13.42 +1.58
5 Arbroath 11 10.55 +0.45

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Greenock Morton 1 8.84 -7.84
2 Queens Park 4 8.47 -4.47
3 Inverness CT 10 11.14 -1.14
4 Livingston 13 12.91 +0.09
5 Ayr United 11 10.64 +0.36

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stenhousemuir 7 Aug 8 – Sep 25 1 in 90
2 Arbroath 2 Aug 22 – Aug 29 1 in 9
3 Raith Rovers 2 Aug 8 – Aug 22 1 in 6
4 Partick Thistle 2 Aug 1 – Aug 7 1 in 5
5 Dunfermline Athletic 2 Sep 12 – Sep 19 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Greenock Morton 5 Sep 5 – Oct 3 1 in 30
2 Queens Park 3 Aug 1 – Aug 22 1 in 11
3 Livingston 2 Aug 29 – Sep 4 1 in 7
4 Inverness CT 2 Aug 29 – Sep 5 1 in 6
5 Ayr United 2 Sep 5 – Sep 12 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stenhousemuir 8 Aug 1 – Sep 25 1 in 7
2 Arbroath 4 Aug 8 – Sep 5 1 in 6
3 Queens Park 2 Aug 29 – Sep 5 1 in 4
4 Dunfermline Athletic 4 Aug 28 – Sep 19 1 in 4
5 Livingston 3 Sep 11 – Sep 25 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Greenock Morton 9 Aug 1 – Oct 3 1 in 12
2 Inverness CT 5 Aug 1 – Sep 5 1 in 10
3 Ayr United 5 Aug 8 – Sep 12 1 in 8
4 Partick Thistle 2 Aug 21 – Aug 29 1 in 4
5 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Aug 1 – Aug 22 1 in 4

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Partick Thistle +24.50 1498
2 Livingston +21.05 1442
3 Inverness CT +14.60 1411
4 Ayr United +14.08 1366
5 Stenhousemuir +11.34 1558

Biggest Elo Losers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Raith Rovers -37.25 1456
2 Greenock Morton -23.80 1205
3 Arbroath -14.05 1314
4 Queens Park -10.45 1233
5 Dunfermline Athletic +0.00 1432

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Stenhousemuir 1558 22 +65 15 9.2 +5.8
Raith Rovers 1456 17 +44 10 8.0 +2.0
Partick Thistle 1498 15 +13 8 8.7 -0.7
Livingston 1442 13 +40 7 7.3 -0.3
Dunfermline Athletic 1432 12 +20 10 7.6 +2.4
Ayr United 1366 11 +8 6 5.1 +0.9
Arbroath 1314 11 -62 4 5.5 -1.5
Inverness CT 1411 10 -8 7 6.7 +0.3
Queens Park 1233 4 -45 4 5.2 -1.2
Greenock Morton 1205 1 -86 0 4.6 -4.6

Upcoming Matches

The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date Favored By Home Win% – Draw% – Win% Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-10-10 0.61 Arbroath 11 pts·1314 56% – 27% – 17% Greenock Morton 1 pts·1205 33.2
2026-10-10 Ayr United 11 pts·1366 35% – 28% – 37% Dunfermline Athletic 12 pts·1432 0.1048.8
2026-10-10 Inverness CT 10 pts·1411 24% – 28% – 48% Stenhousemuir 22 pts·1558 0.4351.1
2026-10-10 Livingston 13 pts·1442 36% – 28% – 35% Partick Thistle 15 pts·1498 0.0659.8
2026-10-10 1.07 Raith Rovers 17 pts·1456 66% – 24% – 10% Queens Park 4 pts·1233 28.7
2026-10-13 Queens Park 4 pts·1233 21% – 28% – 51% Inverness CT 10 pts·1411 0.5631.3
2026-10-17 Ayr United 11 pts·1366 26% – 28% – 46% Partick Thistle 15 pts·1498 0.3743.7
2026-10-17 0.12 Dunfermline Athletic 12 pts·1432 43% – 28% – 29% Livingston 13 pts·1442 60.8
2026-10-17 0.05 Greenock Morton 1 pts·1205 40% – 28% – 32% Queens Park 4 pts·1233 43.8
2026-10-17 0.56 Inverness CT 10 pts·1411 55% – 27% – 18% Arbroath 11 pts·1314 40.8
2026-10-17 0.58 Stenhousemuir 22 pts·1558 56% – 27% – 17% Raith Rovers 17 pts·1456 58.0

Recent Matches

The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date Favored By Home Score Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-10-03 Greenock Morton 1 pts·1215·-9.21 1 – 2 Raith Rovers 17 pts·1447·+9.21 0.7845.4
2026-10-03 0.68 Livingston 13 pts·1467·-25.41 1 – 2 Ayr United 11 pts·1340·+25.42 60.2
2026-10-03 0.72 Partick Thistle 15 pts·1473·+24.50 3 – 0 Arbroath 11 pts·1338·-24.50 34.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARB AU DA GM IC LIV PT QP RR STE
Arbroath —
0-0-1
1.16
0-1-0
1.51
1-0-0
1.25
0-1-0
1.26
1-0-0
1.34
0-0-1
0.71
1-0-0
1.88
0-0-1
0.87
0-0-1
0.56
Ayr United
1-0-0
1.56
 —
0-1-0
1.02
0-1-0
1.85
0-0-1
1.55
1-0-0
0.73
0-0-1
0.75
1-0-0
1.26
0-0-1
1.07
0-0-1
0.86
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1-0
1.21
0-1-0
1.70
 —
1-0-0
1.81
0-1-0
1.08
0-0-1
1.21
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.93
1-0-0
1.40
0-0-0
0.00
Greenock Morton
0-0-1
1.47
0-1-0
0.87
0-0-1
0.91
 —
0-0-1
0.64
0-0-1
1.15
0-0-1
1.17
0-0-1
1.14
0-0-1
0.76
0-0-1
0.73
Inverness CT
0-1-0
1.45
1-0-0
1.17
0-1-0
1.63
1-0-0
2.11
 —
0-1-0
1.02
0-1-0
1.33
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.55
0-0-1
0.87
Livingston
0-0-1
1.38
0-0-1
2.01
1-0-0
1.51
1-0-0
1.57
0-1-0
1.70
 —
0-0-1
0.96
1-0-0
1.77
1-0-0
0.88
0-0-1
1.15
Partick Thistle
1-0-0
2.03
1-0-0
1.99
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.55
0-1-0
1.39
1-0-0
1.77
 —
0-1-0
2.19
0-1-0
1.53
0-0-1
0.98
Queens Park
0-0-1
0.84
0-0-1
1.46
0-0-1
0.80
1-0-0
1.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.96
0-1-0
0.57
 —
0-0-1
1.32
0-0-1
0.95
Raith Rovers
1-0-0
1.86
1-0-0
1.65
0-0-1
1.31
1-0-0
1.97
1-0-0
1.16
0-0-1
1.85
0-1-0
1.19
1-0-0
1.39
 —
0-1-0
1.32
Stenhousemuir
1-0-0
2.19
1-0-0
1.87
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.01
1-0-0
1.86
1-0-0
1.57
1-0-0
1.74
1-0-0
1.78
0-1-0
1.39
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +13.8
Allowed 0.74 -10.3
Differential 0.87 +7.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%10.71%14.29%1.19%1.19%—36.90%
110.71%11.90%7.14%2.38%1.19%—33.33%
214.29%7.14%2.38%———23.81%
31.19%2.38%————3.57%
41.19%1.19%————2.38%
5+———————
Total36.90%33.33%23.81%3.57%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.01 1.01 +0.00
SD 0.99 0.99 1.59
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%11.11%11.11%—55.56%
111.11%11.11%————22.22%
2—22.22%————22.22%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%44.44%11.11%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.44 -0.78
SD 0.87 1.33 1.86
CV 1.30 0.92 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.22%11.11%———33.33%
1—22.22%—11.11%——33.33%
222.22%11.11%————33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%55.56%11.11%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.11 -0.11
SD 0.87 0.93 1.54
CV 0.87 0.84 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—14.29%———28.57%
128.57%28.57%————57.14%
214.29%—————14.29%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total57.14%28.57%14.29%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 0.57 +0.29
SD 0.69 0.79 1.25
CV 0.81 1.38 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.22%22.22%———44.44%
1—11.11%33.33%—11.11%—55.56%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—33.33%55.56%—11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.56 1.89 -1.33
SD 0.53 0.93 0.87
CV 0.95 0.49 —
Max 1 4 +0
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—12.50%———37.50%
1—12.50%—12.50%——25.00%
212.50%—12.50%———25.00%
3—12.50%————12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total37.50%25.00%25.00%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.12 +0.00
SD 1.13 1.13 1.51
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.22%11.11%———33.33%
1——11.11%———11.11%
233.33%—11.11%———44.44%
3———————
4—11.11%————11.11%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%33.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.00 +0.44
SD 1.33 0.87 1.81
CV 0.92 0.87 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%12.50%————37.50%
125.00%12.50%————37.50%
212.50%—————12.50%
312.50%—————12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total75.00%25.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.25 +0.75
SD 1.07 0.46 1.28
CV 1.07 1.85 —
Max 3 1 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%—50.00%———62.50%
1——25.00%———25.00%
2—12.50%————12.50%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%12.50%75.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 1.62 -1.12
SD 0.76 0.74 1.13
CV 1.51 0.46 —
Max 2 2 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%———33.33%
1—11.11%————11.11%
222.22%22.22%————44.44%
3———————
411.11%—————11.11%
5+———————
Total44.44%44.44%11.11%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.67 +0.78
SD 1.33 0.71 1.79
CV 0.92 1.06 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
150.00%12.50%————62.50%
225.00%—————25.00%
3—12.50%————12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total75.00%25.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.25 +1.25
SD 0.76 0.46 0.71
CV 0.50 1.85 —
Max 3 1 +2
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 8

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Exp. Pts. Rem. Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Stenhousemuir 1558 22 76.57 54.57 54 66 72 77 81 87 97
Partick Thistle 1498 15 63.42 48.42 39 53 59 64 68 74 88
Raith Rovers 1456 17 60.23 43.23 37 50 56 60 65 71 85
Livingston 1442 13 54.53 41.53 33 44 50 54 59 65 77
Dunfermline Athletic 1432 12 55.03 43.03 30 44 51 55 59 66 80
Inverness CT 1411 10 50.68 40.68 26 40 46 51 55 61 75
Ayr United 1366 11 45.26 34.26 24 35 41 45 49 56 67
Arbroath 1314 11 40.01 29.01 20 30 36 40 44 50 65
Queens Park 1233 4 26.63 22.63 8 18 23 26 30 36 49
Greenock Morton 1205 1 20.69 19.69 5 12 17 20 24 30 44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Stenhousemuir88.55%9.35%1.68%0.33%0.09%—————
Raith Rovers3.02%27.91%30.73%19.85%11.51%5.10%1.53%0.35%——
Partick Thistle6.98%44.23%26.32%12.56%6.41%2.54%0.89%0.07%——
Livingston0.46%7.39%16.08%23.87%24.01%17.82%8.21%2.12%0.04%—
Dunfermline Athletic0.82%8.33%16.59%24.04%23.98%16.69%7.65%1.85%0.05%—
Ayr United0.01%0.46%1.76%4.24%9.43%20.12%40.47%22.17%1.31%0.03%
Arbroath—0.05%0.15%0.92%2.70%8.03%21.96%59.85%5.95%0.39%
Inverness CT0.16%2.28%6.69%14.19%21.86%29.58%18.36%6.63%0.25%—
Queens Park————0.01%0.12%0.84%5.99%71.32%21.72%
Greenock Morton——————0.09%0.97%21.08%77.86%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Stenhousemuir 88.55% 11.36% 0.09% —
Partick Thistle 6.98% 83.11% 9.91% —
Raith Rovers 3.02% 78.49% 18.49% —
Dunfermline Athletic 0.82% 48.96% 50.22% —
Livingston 0.46% 47.34% 52.20% —
Inverness CT 0.16% 23.16% 76.68% —
Ayr United 0.01% 6.46% 93.50% 0.03%
Arbroath — 1.12% 98.49% 0.39%
Queens Park — — 78.28% 21.72%
Greenock Morton — — 22.14% 77.86%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-08-01 Arbroath W 2-038.9 1357 1368 42.44% 28.24% 29.32%+0.12 +29.5 3
2026-08-01 @ Ayr United L 0-238.9 1368 1357 29.32% 28.24% 42.44%-0.12 -29.5 0
2026-08-01 Partick Thistle L 0-143.5 1340 1445 29.47% 28.24% 42.29%-0.26 -15.7 0
2026-08-01 @ Greenock Morton W 1-043.5 1445 1340 42.29% 28.24% 29.47%+0.26 +15.7 3
2026-08-01 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-052.7 1422 1412 45.11% 28.10% 26.79%+0.20 -2.0 1
2026-08-01 @ Inverness CT D 0-052.7 1412 1422 26.79% 28.10% 45.11%-0.20 +2.0 1
2026-08-01 Queens Park W 2-036.9 1390 1343 49.63% 27.72% 22.65%+0.36 +24.1 3
2026-08-01 @ Livingston L 0-236.9 1343 1390 22.65% 27.72% 49.63%-0.36 -24.1 0
2026-08-01 Stenhousemuir D 1-159.7 1386 1452 34.70% 28.37% 36.93%-0.10 +0.2 1
2026-08-01 @ Raith Rovers D 1-159.7 1452 1386 36.93% 28.37% 34.70%+0.10 -0.2 1
2026-08-07 Livingston W 2-040.1 1461 1414 49.66% 27.72% 22.62%+0.36 +24.1 6
2026-08-07 @ Partick Thistle L 0-240.1 1414 1461 22.62% 27.72% 49.66%-0.36 -24.1 3
2026-08-08 Inverness CT D 0-051.0 1339 1420 32.66% 28.34% 39.00%-0.16 +0.7 1
2026-08-08 @ Arbroath D 0-051.0 1420 1339 39.00% 28.34% 32.66%+0.16 -0.7 2
2026-08-08 Ayr United D 1-158.9 1414 1387 47.41% 27.93% 24.66%+0.28 -2.3 2
2026-08-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-158.9 1387 1414 24.66% 27.93% 47.41%-0.28 +2.3 4
2026-08-08 Raith Rovers L 1-251.9 1319 1386 34.68% 28.37% 36.95%-0.11 -16.7 0
2026-08-08 @ Queens Park W 2-151.9 1386 1319 36.95% 28.37% 34.68%+0.11 +16.7 4
2026-08-08 Greenock Morton W 2-035.0 1452 1324 58.18% 26.38% 15.44%+0.69 +17.4 4
2026-08-08 @ Stenhousemuir L 0-235.0 1324 1452 15.44% 26.38% 58.18%-0.69 -17.4 0
2026-08-21 Partick Thistle D 1-161.6 1419 1485 34.82% 28.37% 36.81%-0.10 +0.2 3
2026-08-21 @ Inverness CT D 1-161.6 1485 1419 36.81% 28.37% 34.82%+0.10 -0.2 7
2026-08-22 Arbroath L 1-252.7 1307 1339 39.50% 28.33% 32.17%+0.03 -18.4 0
2026-08-22 @ Greenock Morton W 2-152.7 1339 1307 32.17% 28.33% 39.50%-0.03 +18.4 4
2026-08-22 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-040.8 1390 1412 40.93% 28.29% 30.78%+0.08 +30.6 6
2026-08-22 @ Livingston L 0-240.8 1412 1390 30.78% 28.29% 40.93%-0.08 -30.6 2
2026-08-22 Stenhousemuir L 0-237.4 1303 1469 22.34% 27.69% 49.97%-0.51 -23.9 0
2026-08-22 @ Queens Park W 2-037.4 1469 1303 49.97% 27.69% 22.34%+0.51 +23.9 7
2026-08-22 Ayr United W 2-039.1 1403 1389 45.66% 28.06% 26.28%+0.22 +27.1 7
2026-08-22 @ Raith Rovers L 0-239.1 1389 1403 26.28% 28.06% 45.66%-0.22 -27.1 4
2026-08-28 Raith Rovers W 1-045.6 1381 1430 37.31% 28.37% 34.32%-0.03 +17.6 5
2026-08-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-145.6 1430 1381 34.32% 28.37% 37.31%+0.03 -17.6 7
2026-08-29 Livingston W 1-045.5 1358 1420 35.22% 28.37% 36.41%-0.09 +18.3 7
2026-08-29 @ Arbroath L 0-145.5 1420 1358 36.41% 28.37% 35.22%+0.09 -18.3 6
2026-08-29 Greenock Morton D 1-156.7 1362 1288 52.67% 27.35% 19.97%+0.47 -3.4 5
2026-08-29 @ Ayr United D 1-156.7 1288 1362 19.97% 27.35% 52.67%-0.47 +3.4 1
2026-08-29 Queens Park D 0-052.2 1485 1279 64.75% 24.56% 10.68%+1.00 -6.7 8
2026-08-29 @ Partick Thistle D 0-052.2 1279 1485 10.68% 24.56% 64.75%-1.00 +6.7 1
2026-08-29 Inverness CT W 3-147.4 1493 1419 52.73% 27.35% 19.93%+0.47 +18.8 10
2026-08-29 @ Stenhousemuir L 1-347.4 1419 1493 19.93% 27.35% 52.73%-0.47 -18.8 3
2026-09-04 Stenhousemuir L 0-146.9 1402 1512 28.88% 28.22% 42.91%-0.28 -15.5 6
2026-09-04 @ Livingston W 1-046.9 1512 1402 42.91% 28.22% 28.88%+0.28 +15.5 13
2026-09-05 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-158.2 1376 1399 40.80% 28.30% 30.90%+0.07 -1.0 8
2026-09-05 @ Arbroath D 1-158.2 1399 1376 30.90% 28.30% 40.80%-0.07 +1.0 6
2026-09-05 Raith Rovers L 0-244.5 1400 1412 42.35% 28.24% 29.41%+0.12 -38.8 3
2026-09-05 @ Inverness CT W 2-044.5 1412 1400 29.41% 28.24% 42.35%-0.12 +38.8 10
2026-09-05 Ayr United W 1-040.2 1478 1358 57.38% 26.55% 16.07%+0.65 +9.6 11
2026-09-05 @ Partick Thistle L 0-140.2 1358 1478 16.07% 26.55% 57.38%-0.65 -9.6 5
2026-09-05 Greenock Morton W 2-148.9 1285 1292 43.08% 28.21% 28.71%+0.14 +14.5 4
2026-09-05 @ Queens Park L 1-248.9 1292 1285 28.71% 28.21% 43.08%-0.14 -14.5 1
2026-09-11 Livingston L 1-441.4 1277 1387 28.93% 28.22% 42.85%-0.28 -35.8 1
2026-09-11 @ Greenock Morton W 4-141.4 1387 1277 42.85% 28.22% 28.93%+0.28 +35.8 9
2026-09-12 Inverness CT L 1-349.5 1349 1362 42.18% 28.25% 29.57%+0.11 -33.5 5
2026-09-12 @ Ayr United W 3-149.5 1362 1349 29.57% 28.25% 42.18%-0.11 +33.5 6
2026-09-12 Queens Park W 2-034.6 1400 1300 55.46% 26.92% 17.62%+0.57 +19.5 9
2026-09-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-234.6 1300 1400 17.62% 26.92% 55.46%-0.57 -19.5 4
2026-09-12 Arbroath W 4-036.9 1451 1375 52.94% 27.32% 19.74%+0.48 +40.9 13
2026-09-12 @ Raith Rovers L 0-436.9 1375 1451 19.74% 27.32% 52.94%-0.48 -40.9 8
2026-09-15 Partick Thistle W 1-048.8 1527 1487 48.88% 27.80% 23.32%+0.33 +13.1 16
2026-09-15 @ Stenhousemuir L 0-148.8 1487 1527 23.32% 27.80% 48.88%-0.33 -13.1 11
2026-09-18 Ayr United L 0-240.5 1280 1315 39.19% 28.34% 32.47%+0.02 -36.5 4
2026-09-18 @ Queens Park W 2-040.5 1315 1280 32.47% 28.34% 39.19%-0.02 +36.5 8
2026-09-19 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-139.0 1241 1420 21.19% 27.54% 51.27%-0.56 -12.1 1
2026-09-19 @ Greenock Morton W 1-039.0 1420 1241 51.27% 27.54% 21.19%+0.56 +12.1 12
2026-09-19 Inverness CT D 2-266.3 1422 1395 47.33% 27.94% 24.73%+0.28 -1.7 10
2026-09-19 @ Livingston D 2-266.3 1395 1422 24.73% 27.94% 47.33%-0.28 +1.7 7
2026-09-19 Raith Rovers D 0-056.9 1474 1492 41.57% 28.27% 30.16%+0.09 -1.2 12
2026-09-19 @ Partick Thistle D 0-056.9 1492 1474 30.16% 28.27% 41.57%-0.09 +1.2 14
2026-09-19 Arbroath W 1-039.1 1541 1334 64.80% 24.55% 10.65%+1.01 +6.5 19
2026-09-19 @ Stenhousemuir L 0-139.1 1334 1541 10.65% 24.55% 64.80%-1.01 -6.5 8
2026-09-25 Queens Park W 2-145.7 1328 1244 53.77% 27.19% 19.03%+0.51 +10.5 11
2026-09-25 @ Arbroath L 1-245.7 1244 1328 19.03% 27.19% 53.77%-0.51 -10.5 4
2026-09-25 Stenhousemuir L 0-143.3 1352 1547 19.57% 27.29% 53.15%-0.63 -11.3 8
2026-09-25 @ Ayr United W 1-043.3 1547 1352 53.15% 27.29% 19.57%+0.63 +11.3 22
2026-09-25 Greenock Morton W 2-032.0 1397 1229 61.69% 25.51% 12.79%+0.85 +14.6 10
2026-09-25 @ Inverness CT L 0-232.0 1229 1397 12.79% 25.51% 61.69%-0.85 -14.6 1
2026-09-25 Livingston L 0-250.2 1493 1421 52.55% 27.37% 20.08%+0.46 -46.5 14
2026-09-25 @ Raith Rovers W 2-050.2 1421 1493 20.08% 27.37% 52.55%-0.46 +46.5 13
2026-10-03 Raith Rovers L 1-245.4 1215 1447 16.46% 26.65% 56.89%-0.78 -9.2 1
2026-10-03 @ Greenock Morton W 2-145.4 1447 1215 56.89% 26.65% 16.46%+0.78 +9.2 17
2026-10-03 Ayr United L 1-260.2 1467 1340 58.06% 26.41% 15.53%+0.68 -25.4 13
2026-10-03 @ Livingston W 2-160.2 1340 1467 15.53% 26.41% 58.06%-0.68 +25.4 11
2026-10-03 Arbroath W 3-034.4 1473 1338 58.83% 26.24% 14.93%+0.72 +24.5 15
2026-10-03 @ Partick Thistle L 0-334.4 1338 1473 14.93% 26.24% 58.83%-0.72 -24.5 11

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. MarginExcitement
2026-10-10 Greenock Morton 1314 1205 56.27% 26.77% 16.96%+0.6133.2
2026-10-10 @ Arbroath 1205 1314 16.96% 26.77% 56.27%-0.6133.2
2026-10-10 Dunfermline Athletic 1366 1432 34.80% 28.37% 36.83%-0.1048.8
2026-10-10 @ Ayr United 1432 1366 36.83% 28.37% 34.80%+0.1048.8
2026-10-10 Stenhousemuir 1411 1558 24.47% 27.91% 47.61%-0.4351.1
2026-10-10 @ Inverness CT 1558 1411 47.61% 27.91% 24.47%+0.4351.1
2026-10-10 Partick Thistle 1442 1498 36.23% 28.37% 35.40%-0.0659.8
2026-10-10 @ Livingston 1498 1442 35.40% 28.37% 36.23%+0.0659.8
2026-10-10 Queens Park 1456 1233 65.99% 24.12% 9.89%+1.0728.7
2026-10-10 @ Raith Rovers 1233 1456 9.89% 24.12% 65.99%-1.0728.7
2026-10-13 Inverness CT 1233 1411 21.21% 27.54% 51.25%-0.5631.3
2026-10-13 @ Queens Park 1411 1233 51.25% 27.54% 21.21%+0.5631.3
2026-10-17 Partick Thistle 1366 1498 26.22% 28.06% 45.72%-0.3743.7
2026-10-17 @ Ayr United 1498 1366 45.72% 28.06% 26.22%+0.3743.7
2026-10-17 Livingston 1432 1442 42.57% 28.23% 29.20%+0.1260.8
2026-10-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1442 1432 29.20% 28.23% 42.57%-0.1260.8
2026-10-17 Queens Park 1205 1233 40.14% 28.32% 31.55%+0.0543.8
2026-10-17 @ Greenock Morton 1233 1205 31.55% 28.32% 40.14%-0.0543.8
2026-10-17 Arbroath 1411 1314 55.24% 26.95% 17.80%+0.5640.8
2026-10-17 @ Inverness CT 1314 1411 17.80% 26.95% 55.24%-0.5640.8
2026-10-17 Raith Rovers 1558 1456 55.72% 26.87% 17.41%+0.5858.0
2026-10-17 @ Stenhousemuir 1456 1558 17.41% 26.87% 55.72%-0.5858.0
2026-10-20 Partick Thistle 1432 1498 34.79% 28.37% 36.84%-0.1052.6
2026-10-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1498 1432 36.84% 28.37% 34.79%+0.1052.6
2026-10-24 Ayr United 1205 1366 23.01% 27.76% 49.23%-0.4931.8
2026-10-24 @ Greenock Morton 1366 1205 49.23% 27.76% 23.01%+0.4931.8
2026-10-24 Arbroath 1442 1314 58.19% 26.38% 15.42%+0.6940.3
2026-10-24 @ Livingston 1314 1442 15.42% 26.38% 58.19%-0.6940.3
2026-10-24 Stenhousemuir 1498 1558 35.51% 28.37% 36.12%-0.0864.0
2026-10-24 @ Partick Thistle 1558 1498 36.12% 28.37% 35.51%+0.0864.0
2026-10-24 Dunfermline Athletic 1233 1432 19.30% 27.24% 53.47%-0.6427.7
2026-10-24 @ Queens Park 1432 1233 53.47% 27.24% 19.30%+0.6427.7
2026-10-24 Inverness CT 1456 1411 49.38% 27.75% 22.87%+0.3558.7
2026-10-24 @ Raith Rovers 1411 1456 22.87% 27.75% 49.38%-0.3558.7
2026-10-27 Dunfermline Athletic 1558 1432 58.06% 26.41% 15.53%+0.6849.8
2026-10-27 @ Stenhousemuir 1432 1558 15.53% 26.41% 58.06%-0.6849.8
2026-10-31 Raith Rovers 1314 1456 25.01% 27.96% 47.03%-0.4141.3
2026-10-31 @ Arbroath 1456 1314 47.03% 27.96% 25.01%+0.4141.3
2026-10-31 Queens Park 1366 1233 58.59% 26.29% 15.12%+0.7132.3
2026-10-31 @ Ayr United 1233 1366 15.12% 26.29% 58.59%-0.7132.3
2026-10-31 Inverness CT 1432 1411 46.47% 28.00% 25.53%+0.2555.5
2026-10-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1411 1432 25.53% 28.00% 46.47%-0.2555.5
2026-10-31 Greenock Morton 1498 1205 70.75% 22.11% 7.14%+1.3621.9
2026-10-31 @ Partick Thistle 1205 1498 7.14% 22.11% 70.75%-1.3621.9
2026-10-31 Livingston 1558 1442 57.10% 26.61% 16.29%+0.6455.5
2026-10-31 @ Stenhousemuir 1442 1558 16.29% 26.61% 57.10%-0.6455.5
2026-11-07 Ayr United 1314 1366 36.73% 28.37% 34.89%-0.0546.7
2026-11-07 @ Arbroath 1366 1314 34.89% 28.37% 36.73%+0.0546.7
2026-11-07 Stenhousemuir 1205 1558 9.29% 23.76% 66.95%-1.2728.2
2026-11-07 @ Greenock Morton 1558 1205 66.95% 23.76% 9.29%+1.2728.2
2026-11-07 Livingston 1411 1442 39.82% 28.33% 31.85%+0.0460.7
2026-11-07 @ Inverness CT 1442 1411 31.85% 28.33% 39.82%-0.0460.7
2026-11-07 Partick Thistle 1233 1498 14.13% 25.99% 59.88%-0.9125.7
2026-11-07 @ Queens Park 1498 1233 59.88% 25.99% 14.13%+0.9125.7
2026-11-07 Dunfermline Athletic 1456 1432 46.95% 27.97% 25.09%+0.2659.5
2026-11-07 @ Raith Rovers 1432 1456 25.09% 27.97% 46.95%-0.2659.5
2026-11-14 Raith Rovers 1366 1456 31.48% 28.32% 40.21%-0.2052.0
2026-11-14 @ Ayr United 1456 1366 40.21% 28.32% 31.48%+0.2052.0
2026-11-14 Arbroath 1432 1314 57.24% 26.58% 16.18%+0.6536.0
2026-11-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1314 1432 16.18% 26.58% 57.24%-0.6536.0
2026-11-14 Greenock Morton 1442 1205 67.00% 23.74% 9.26%+1.1328.0
2026-11-14 @ Livingston 1205 1442 9.26% 23.74% 67.00%-1.1328.0
2026-11-14 Inverness CT 1498 1411 54.03% 27.15% 18.82%+0.5250.2
2026-11-14 @ Partick Thistle 1411 1498 18.82% 27.15% 54.03%-0.5250.2
2026-11-14 Queens Park 1558 1233 72.76% 21.11% 6.13%+1.4926.5
2026-11-14 @ Stenhousemuir 1233 1558 6.13% 21.11% 72.76%-1.4926.5
2026-11-21 Stenhousemuir 1314 1558 15.48% 26.40% 58.12%-0.8336.1
2026-11-21 @ Arbroath 1558 1314 58.12% 26.40% 15.48%+0.8336.1
2026-11-21 Greenock Morton 1432 1205 66.28% 24.02% 9.71%+1.0923.2
2026-11-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1205 1432 9.71% 24.02% 66.28%-1.0923.2
2026-11-21 Ayr United 1411 1366 49.53% 27.73% 22.74%+0.3552.3
2026-11-21 @ Inverness CT 1366 1411 22.74% 27.73% 49.53%-0.3552.3
2026-11-21 Livingston 1233 1442 18.40% 27.07% 54.52%-0.6832.2
2026-11-21 @ Queens Park 1442 1233 54.52% 27.07% 18.40%+0.6832.2
2026-11-21 Partick Thistle 1456 1498 38.22% 28.36% 33.42%+0.0061.9
2026-11-21 @ Raith Rovers 1498 1456 33.42% 28.36% 38.22%+0.0061.9
2026-12-05 Inverness CT 1205 1411 18.60% 27.11% 54.29%-0.6729.2
2026-12-05 @ Greenock Morton 1411 1205 54.29% 27.11% 18.60%+0.6729.2
2026-12-05 Raith Rovers 1442 1456 42.04% 28.25% 29.71%+0.1165.5
2026-12-05 @ Livingston 1456 1442 29.71% 28.25% 42.04%-0.1165.5
2026-12-05 Dunfermline Athletic 1498 1432 51.84% 27.46% 20.69%+0.4351.1
2026-12-05 @ Partick Thistle 1432 1498 20.69% 27.46% 51.84%-0.4351.1
2026-12-05 Arbroath 1233 1314 32.80% 28.35% 38.85%-0.1638.8
2026-12-05 @ Queens Park 1314 1233 38.85% 28.35% 32.80%+0.1638.8
2026-12-05 Ayr United 1558 1366 63.72% 24.91% 11.37%+0.9541.6
2026-12-05 @ Stenhousemuir 1366 1558 11.37% 24.91% 63.72%-0.9541.6
2026-12-12 Partick Thistle 1314 1498 20.63% 27.45% 51.92%-0.5833.7
2026-12-12 @ Arbroath 1498 1314 51.92% 27.45% 20.63%+0.5833.7
2026-12-12 Livingston 1366 1442 33.39% 28.36% 38.26%-0.1453.4
2026-12-12 @ Ayr United 1442 1366 38.26% 28.36% 33.39%+0.1453.4
2026-12-12 Stenhousemuir 1432 1558 26.81% 28.10% 45.09%-0.3552.1
2026-12-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1558 1432 45.09% 28.10% 26.81%+0.3552.1
2026-12-12 Queens Park 1411 1233 62.55% 25.27% 12.18%+0.8928.7
2026-12-12 @ Inverness CT 1233 1411 12.18% 25.27% 62.55%-0.8928.7
2026-12-12 Greenock Morton 1456 1205 67.98% 23.34% 8.67%+1.1927.4
2026-12-12 @ Raith Rovers 1205 1456 8.67% 23.34% 67.98%-1.1927.4
2026-12-19 Arbroath 1205 1314 29.10% 28.23% 42.67%-0.2735.4
2026-12-19 @ Greenock Morton 1314 1205 42.67% 28.23% 29.10%+0.2735.4
2026-12-19 Dunfermline Athletic 1442 1432 45.19% 28.09% 26.72%+0.2160.6
2026-12-19 @ Livingston 1432 1442 26.72% 28.09% 45.19%-0.2160.6
2026-12-19 Ayr United 1498 1366 58.52% 26.31% 15.17%+0.7041.3
2026-12-19 @ Partick Thistle 1366 1498 15.17% 26.31% 58.52%-0.7041.3
2026-12-19 Raith Rovers 1233 1456 17.22% 26.83% 55.95%-0.7431.4
2026-12-19 @ Queens Park 1456 1233 55.95% 26.83% 17.22%+0.7431.4
2026-12-19 Inverness CT 1558 1411 59.90% 25.98% 14.11%+0.7648.7
2026-12-19 @ Stenhousemuir 1411 1558 14.11% 25.98% 59.90%-0.7648.7
2026-12-26 Inverness CT 1314 1411 30.42% 28.28% 41.29%-0.2342.8
2026-12-26 @ Arbroath 1411 1314 41.29% 28.28% 30.42%+0.2342.8
2026-12-26 Greenock Morton 1366 1205 61.08% 25.68% 13.24%+0.8229.3
2026-12-26 @ Ayr United 1205 1366 13.24% 25.68% 61.08%-0.8229.3
2026-12-26 Raith Rovers 1432 1456 40.68% 28.30% 31.02%+0.0760.1
2026-12-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1456 1432 31.02% 28.30% 40.68%-0.0760.1
2026-12-26 Stenhousemuir 1442 1558 28.04% 28.17% 43.79%-0.3157.7
2026-12-26 @ Livingston 1558 1442 43.79% 28.17% 28.04%+0.3157.7
2026-12-26 Queens Park 1498 1233 68.92% 22.94% 8.13%+1.2423.0
2026-12-26 @ Partick Thistle 1233 1498 8.13% 22.94% 68.92%-1.2423.0
2027-01-02 Livingston 1205 1442 16.12% 26.57% 57.32%-0.8030.7
2027-01-02 @ Greenock Morton 1442 1205 57.32% 26.57% 16.12%+0.8030.7
2027-01-02 Dunfermline Athletic 1411 1432 41.20% 28.29% 30.52%+0.0856.0
2027-01-02 @ Inverness CT 1432 1411 30.52% 28.29% 41.20%-0.0856.0
2027-01-02 Ayr United 1233 1366 26.14% 28.05% 45.81%-0.3734.6
2027-01-02 @ Queens Park 1366 1233 45.81% 28.05% 26.14%+0.3734.6
2027-01-02 Arbroath 1456 1314 59.48% 26.09% 14.43%+0.7538.9
2027-01-02 @ Raith Rovers 1314 1456 14.43% 26.09% 59.48%-0.7538.9
2027-01-02 Partick Thistle 1558 1498 51.28% 27.54% 21.19%+0.4162.6
2027-01-02 @ Stenhousemuir 1498 1558 21.19% 27.54% 51.28%-0.4162.6
2027-01-09 Arbroath 1366 1314 50.31% 27.65% 22.04%+0.3845.5
2027-01-09 @ Ayr United 1314 1366 22.04% 27.65% 50.31%-0.3845.5
2027-01-09 Queens Park 1432 1233 64.17% 24.76% 11.07%+0.9725.1
2027-01-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1233 1432 11.07% 24.76% 64.17%-0.9725.1
2027-01-09 Raith Rovers 1411 1456 37.86% 28.36% 33.77%-0.0159.7
2027-01-09 @ Inverness CT 1456 1411 33.77% 28.36% 37.86%+0.0159.7
2027-01-09 Livingston 1498 1442 50.71% 27.60% 21.69%+0.3958.5
2027-01-09 @ Partick Thistle 1442 1498 21.69% 27.60% 50.71%-0.3958.5
2027-01-09 Greenock Morton 1558 1205 74.38% 20.23% 5.39%+1.6025.7
2027-01-09 @ Stenhousemuir 1205 1558 5.39% 20.23% 74.38%-1.6025.7
2027-01-23 Dunfermline Athletic 1314 1432 27.85% 28.16% 43.98%-0.3238.2
2027-01-23 @ Arbroath 1432 1314 43.98% 28.16% 27.85%+0.3238.2
2027-01-23 Partick Thistle 1205 1498 12.37% 25.35% 62.28%-1.0224.5
2027-01-23 @ Greenock Morton 1498 1205 62.28% 25.35% 12.37%+1.0224.5
2027-01-23 Inverness CT 1442 1411 47.71% 27.90% 24.39%+0.2960.0
2027-01-23 @ Livingston 1411 1442 24.39% 27.90% 47.71%-0.2960.0
2027-01-23 Stenhousemuir 1233 1558 10.60% 24.52% 64.88%-1.1629.1
2027-01-23 @ Queens Park 1558 1233 64.88% 24.52% 10.60%+1.1629.1
2027-01-23 Ayr United 1456 1366 54.42% 27.09% 18.49%+0.5350.1
2027-01-23 @ Raith Rovers 1366 1456 18.49% 27.09% 54.42%-0.5350.1
2027-01-30 Livingston 1314 1442 26.64% 28.09% 45.28%-0.3642.7
2027-01-30 @ Arbroath 1442 1314 45.28% 28.09% 26.64%+0.3642.7
2027-01-30 Ayr United 1432 1366 51.84% 27.47% 20.70%+0.4347.3
2027-01-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1366 1432 20.70% 27.47% 51.84%-0.4347.3
2027-01-30 Partick Thistle 1411 1498 31.99% 28.33% 39.68%-0.1852.1
2027-01-30 @ Inverness CT 1498 1411 39.68% 28.33% 31.99%+0.1852.1
2027-01-30 Greenock Morton 1233 1205 47.43% 27.93% 24.64%+0.2843.1
2027-01-30 @ Queens Park 1205 1233 24.64% 27.93% 47.43%-0.2843.1
2027-01-30 Stenhousemuir 1456 1558 29.81% 28.26% 41.93%-0.2560.0
2027-01-30 @ Raith Rovers 1558 1456 41.93% 28.26% 29.81%+0.2560.0
2027-02-13 Inverness CT 1366 1411 37.68% 28.36% 33.95%-0.0253.4
2027-02-13 @ Ayr United 1411 1366 33.95% 28.36% 37.68%+0.0253.4
2027-02-13 Dunfermline Athletic 1205 1432 16.91% 26.76% 56.34%-0.7625.9
2027-02-13 @ Greenock Morton 1432 1205 56.34% 26.76% 16.91%+0.7625.9
2027-02-13 Queens Park 1442 1233 64.94% 24.50% 10.56%+1.0129.5
2027-02-13 @ Livingston 1233 1442 10.56% 24.50% 64.94%-1.0129.5
2027-02-13 Raith Rovers 1498 1456 49.08% 27.78% 23.14%+0.3460.9
2027-02-13 @ Partick Thistle 1456 1498 23.14% 27.78% 49.08%-0.3460.9
2027-02-13 Arbroath 1558 1314 67.60% 23.50% 8.90%+1.1633.4
2027-02-13 @ Stenhousemuir 1314 1558 8.90% 23.50% 67.60%-1.1633.4
2027-02-20 Queens Park 1314 1233 53.39% 27.25% 19.36%+0.4937.0
2027-02-20 @ Arbroath 1233 1314 19.36% 27.25% 53.39%-0.4937.0
2027-02-20 Stenhousemuir 1366 1558 19.82% 27.33% 52.85%-0.6244.2
2027-02-20 @ Ayr United 1558 1366 52.85% 27.33% 19.82%+0.6244.2
2027-02-20 Partick Thistle 1432 1498 34.79% 28.37% 36.84%-0.1052.6
2027-02-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1498 1432 36.84% 28.37% 34.79%+0.1052.6
2027-02-20 Greenock Morton 1411 1205 64.77% 24.56% 10.67%+1.0126.6
2027-02-20 @ Inverness CT 1205 1411 10.67% 24.56% 64.77%-1.0126.6
2027-02-20 Livingston 1456 1442 45.69% 28.06% 26.25%+0.2265.2
2027-02-20 @ Raith Rovers 1442 1456 26.25% 28.06% 45.69%-0.2265.2
2027-02-27 Raith Rovers 1205 1456 15.08% 26.28% 58.63%-0.8530.0
2027-02-27 @ Greenock Morton 1456 1205 58.63% 26.28% 15.08%+0.8530.0
2027-02-27 Ayr United 1442 1366 52.94% 27.32% 19.75%+0.4851.8
2027-02-27 @ Livingston 1366 1442 19.75% 27.32% 52.94%-0.4851.8
2027-02-27 Arbroath 1498 1314 63.04% 25.12% 11.84%+0.9231.1
2027-02-27 @ Partick Thistle 1314 1498 11.84% 25.12% 63.04%-0.9231.1
2027-02-27 Inverness CT 1233 1411 21.21% 27.54% 51.25%-0.5631.3
2027-02-27 @ Queens Park 1411 1233 51.25% 27.54% 21.21%+0.5631.3
2027-02-27 Dunfermline Athletic 1558 1432 58.06% 26.41% 15.53%+0.6849.8
2027-02-27 @ Stenhousemuir 1432 1558 15.53% 26.41% 58.06%-0.6849.8
2027-03-06 Greenock Morton 1314 1205 56.27% 26.77% 16.96%+0.6133.2
2027-03-06 @ Arbroath 1205 1314 16.96% 26.77% 56.27%-0.6133.2
2027-03-06 Partick Thistle 1366 1498 26.22% 28.06% 45.72%-0.3743.7
2027-03-06 @ Ayr United 1498 1366 45.72% 28.06% 26.22%+0.3743.7
2027-03-06 Livingston 1432 1442 42.57% 28.23% 29.20%+0.1260.8
2027-03-06 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1442 1432 29.20% 28.23% 42.57%-0.1260.8
2027-03-06 Stenhousemuir 1411 1558 24.47% 27.91% 47.61%-0.4351.1
2027-03-06 @ Inverness CT 1558 1411 47.61% 27.91% 24.47%+0.4351.1
2027-03-06 Queens Park 1456 1233 65.99% 24.12% 9.89%+1.0728.7
2027-03-06 @ Raith Rovers 1233 1456 9.89% 24.12% 65.99%-1.0728.7
2027-03-13 Raith Rovers 1314 1456 25.01% 27.96% 47.03%-0.4141.3
2027-03-13 @ Arbroath 1456 1314 47.03% 27.96% 25.01%+0.4141.3
2027-03-13 Inverness CT 1432 1411 46.47% 28.00% 25.53%+0.2555.5
2027-03-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1411 1432 25.53% 28.00% 46.47%-0.2555.5
2027-03-13 Ayr United 1205 1366 23.01% 27.76% 49.23%-0.4931.8
2027-03-13 @ Greenock Morton 1366 1205 49.23% 27.76% 23.01%+0.4931.8
2027-03-13 Partick Thistle 1233 1498 14.13% 25.99% 59.88%-0.9125.7
2027-03-13 @ Queens Park 1498 1233 59.88% 25.99% 14.13%+0.9125.7
2027-03-13 Livingston 1558 1442 57.10% 26.61% 16.29%+0.6455.5
2027-03-13 @ Stenhousemuir 1442 1558 16.29% 26.61% 57.10%-0.6455.5
2027-03-20 Queens Park 1366 1233 58.59% 26.29% 15.12%+0.7132.3
2027-03-20 @ Ayr United 1233 1366 15.12% 26.29% 58.59%-0.7132.3
2027-03-20 Arbroath 1411 1314 55.24% 26.95% 17.80%+0.5640.8
2027-03-20 @ Inverness CT 1314 1411 17.80% 26.95% 55.24%-0.5640.8
2027-03-20 Greenock Morton 1442 1205 67.00% 23.74% 9.26%+1.1328.0
2027-03-20 @ Livingston 1205 1442 9.26% 23.74% 67.00%-1.1328.0
2027-03-20 Stenhousemuir 1498 1558 35.51% 28.37% 36.12%-0.0864.0
2027-03-20 @ Partick Thistle 1558 1498 36.12% 28.37% 35.51%+0.0864.0
2027-03-20 Dunfermline Athletic 1456 1432 46.95% 27.97% 25.09%+0.2659.5
2027-03-20 @ Raith Rovers 1432 1456 25.09% 27.97% 46.95%-0.2659.5
2027-03-27 Ayr United 1314 1366 36.73% 28.37% 34.89%-0.0546.7
2027-03-27 @ Arbroath 1366 1314 34.89% 28.37% 36.73%+0.0546.7
2027-03-27 Stenhousemuir 1205 1558 9.29% 23.76% 66.95%-1.2728.2
2027-03-27 @ Greenock Morton 1558 1205 66.95% 23.76% 9.29%+1.2728.2
2027-03-27 Livingston 1411 1442 39.82% 28.33% 31.85%+0.0460.7
2027-03-27 @ Inverness CT 1442 1411 31.85% 28.33% 39.82%-0.0460.7
2027-03-27 Dunfermline Athletic 1233 1432 19.30% 27.24% 53.47%-0.6427.7
2027-03-27 @ Queens Park 1432 1233 53.47% 27.24% 19.30%+0.6427.7
2027-03-27 Partick Thistle 1456 1498 38.22% 28.36% 33.42%+0.0061.9
2027-03-27 @ Raith Rovers 1498 1456 33.42% 28.36% 38.22%+0.0061.9
2027-04-03 Raith Rovers 1366 1456 31.48% 28.32% 40.21%-0.2052.0
2027-04-03 @ Ayr United 1456 1366 40.21% 28.32% 31.48%+0.2052.0
2027-04-03 Greenock Morton 1432 1205 66.28% 24.02% 9.71%+1.0923.2
2027-04-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1205 1432 9.71% 24.02% 66.28%-1.0923.2
2027-04-03 Arbroath 1442 1314 58.19% 26.38% 15.42%+0.6940.3
2027-04-03 @ Livingston 1314 1442 15.42% 26.38% 58.19%-0.6940.3
2027-04-03 Inverness CT 1498 1411 54.03% 27.15% 18.82%+0.5250.2
2027-04-03 @ Partick Thistle 1411 1498 18.82% 27.15% 54.03%-0.5250.2
2027-04-03 Queens Park 1558 1233 72.76% 21.11% 6.13%+1.4926.5
2027-04-03 @ Stenhousemuir 1233 1558 6.13% 21.11% 72.76%-1.4926.5
2027-04-10 Stenhousemuir 1314 1558 15.48% 26.40% 58.12%-0.8336.1
2027-04-10 @ Arbroath 1558 1314 58.12% 26.40% 15.48%+0.8336.1
2027-04-10 Dunfermline Athletic 1366 1432 34.80% 28.37% 36.83%-0.1048.8
2027-04-10 @ Ayr United 1432 1366 36.83% 28.37% 34.80%+0.1048.8
2027-04-10 Greenock Morton 1498 1205 70.75% 22.11% 7.14%+1.3621.9
2027-04-10 @ Partick Thistle 1205 1498 7.14% 22.11% 70.75%-1.3621.9
2027-04-10 Livingston 1233 1442 18.40% 27.07% 54.52%-0.6832.2
2027-04-10 @ Queens Park 1442 1233 54.52% 27.07% 18.40%+0.6832.2
2027-04-10 Inverness CT 1456 1411 49.38% 27.75% 22.87%+0.3558.7
2027-04-10 @ Raith Rovers 1411 1456 22.87% 27.75% 49.38%-0.3558.7
2027-04-17 Arbroath 1432 1314 57.24% 26.58% 16.18%+0.6536.0
2027-04-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1314 1432 16.18% 26.58% 57.24%-0.6536.0
2027-04-17 Queens Park 1205 1233 40.14% 28.32% 31.55%+0.0543.8
2027-04-17 @ Greenock Morton 1233 1205 31.55% 28.32% 40.14%-0.0543.8
2027-04-17 Ayr United 1411 1366 49.53% 27.73% 22.74%+0.3552.3
2027-04-17 @ Inverness CT 1366 1411 22.74% 27.73% 49.53%-0.3552.3
2027-04-17 Partick Thistle 1442 1498 36.23% 28.37% 35.40%-0.0659.8
2027-04-17 @ Livingston 1498 1442 35.40% 28.37% 36.23%+0.0659.8
2027-04-17 Raith Rovers 1558 1456 55.72% 26.87% 17.41%+0.5858.0
2027-04-17 @ Stenhousemuir 1456 1558 17.41% 26.87% 55.72%-0.5858.0
2027-04-24 Inverness CT 1205 1411 18.60% 27.11% 54.29%-0.6729.2
2027-04-24 @ Greenock Morton 1411 1205 54.29% 27.11% 18.60%+0.6729.2
2027-04-24 Raith Rovers 1442 1456 42.04% 28.25% 29.71%+0.1165.5
2027-04-24 @ Livingston 1456 1442 29.71% 28.25% 42.04%-0.1165.5
2027-04-24 Dunfermline Athletic 1498 1432 51.84% 27.46% 20.69%+0.4351.1
2027-04-24 @ Partick Thistle 1432 1498 20.69% 27.46% 51.84%-0.4351.1
2027-04-24 Arbroath 1233 1314 32.80% 28.35% 38.85%-0.1638.8
2027-04-24 @ Queens Park 1314 1233 38.85% 28.35% 32.80%+0.1638.8
2027-04-24 Ayr United 1558 1366 63.72% 24.91% 11.37%+0.9541.6
2027-04-24 @ Stenhousemuir 1366 1558 11.37% 24.91% 63.72%-0.9541.6
2027-04-30 Partick Thistle 1314 1498 20.63% 27.45% 51.92%-0.5833.7
2027-04-30 @ Arbroath 1498 1314 51.92% 27.45% 20.63%+0.5833.7
2027-04-30 Livingston 1366 1442 33.39% 28.36% 38.26%-0.1453.4
2027-04-30 @ Ayr United 1442 1366 38.26% 28.36% 33.39%+0.1453.4
2027-04-30 Stenhousemuir 1432 1558 26.81% 28.10% 45.09%-0.3552.1
2027-04-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1558 1432 45.09% 28.10% 26.81%+0.3552.1
2027-04-30 Queens Park 1411 1233 62.55% 25.27% 12.18%+0.8928.7
2027-04-30 @ Inverness CT 1233 1411 12.18% 25.27% 62.55%-0.8928.7
2027-04-30 Greenock Morton 1456 1205 67.98% 23.34% 8.67%+1.1927.4
2027-04-30 @ Raith Rovers 1205 1456 8.67% 23.34% 67.98%-1.1927.4

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-10-03 15.53% Ayr United 1340 2 @ Livingston 1467 1
2 2026-09-25 20.08% Livingston 1421 2 @ Raith Rovers 1493 0
3 2026-09-05 29.41% Raith Rovers 1412 2 @ Inverness CT 1400 0
4 2026-09-12 29.57% Inverness CT 1362 3 @ Ayr United 1349 1
5 2026-08-22 32.17% Arbroath 1339 2 @ Greenock Morton 1307 1
6 2026-09-18 32.47% Ayr United 1315 2 @ Queens Park 1280 0
7 2026-08-29 35.22% @ Arbroath 1358 1 Livingston 1420 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-25 46.46 Livingston 2 1421 20.08% @ Raith Rovers 0 1493 52.55% 27.37%
2 2026-09-12 40.88 @ Raith Rovers 4 1451 52.94% Arbroath 0 1375 19.74% 27.32%
3 2026-09-05 38.75 Raith Rovers 2 1412 29.41% @ Inverness CT 0 1400 42.35% 28.24%
4 2026-09-18 36.49 Ayr United 2 1315 32.47% @ Queens Park 0 1280 39.19% 28.34%
5 2026-09-11 35.76 Livingston 4 1387 42.85% @ Greenock Morton 1 1277 28.93% 28.22%
6 2026-09-12 33.45 Inverness CT 3 1362 29.57% @ Ayr United 1 1349 42.18% 28.25%
7 2026-08-22 30.59 @ Livingston 2 1390 40.93% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1412 30.78% 28.29%
8 2026-08-01 29.49 @ Ayr United 2 1357 42.44% Arbroath 0 1368 29.32% 28.24%
9 2026-08-22 27.13 @ Raith Rovers 2 1403 45.66% Ayr United 0 1389 26.28% 28.06%
10 2026-10-03 25.42 Ayr United 2 1340 15.53% @ Livingston 1 1467 58.06% 26.41%
11 2026-10-03 24.50 @ Partick Thistle 3 1473 58.83% Arbroath 0 1338 14.93% 26.24%
12 2026-08-01 24.12 @ Livingston 2 1390 49.63% Queens Park 0 1343 22.65% 27.72%
13 2026-08-07 24.10 @ Partick Thistle 2 1461 49.66% Livingston 0 1414 22.62% 27.72%
14 2026-08-22 23.86 Stenhousemuir 2 1469 49.97% @ Queens Park 0 1303 22.34% 27.69%
15 2026-09-12 19.55 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1400 55.46% Queens Park 0 1300 17.62% 26.92%
16 2026-08-29 18.80 @ Stenhousemuir 3 1493 52.73% Inverness CT 1 1419 19.93% 27.35%
17 2026-08-22 18.36 Arbroath 2 1339 32.17% @ Greenock Morton 1 1307 39.50% 28.33%
18 2026-08-29 18.33 @ Arbroath 1 1358 35.22% Livingston 0 1420 36.41% 28.37%
19 2026-08-28 17.57 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1381 37.31% Raith Rovers 0 1430 34.32% 28.37%
20 2026-08-08 17.39 @ Stenhousemuir 2 1452 58.18% Greenock Morton 0 1324 15.44% 26.38%
21 2026-08-08 16.69 Raith Rovers 2 1386 36.95% @ Queens Park 1 1319 34.68% 28.37%
22 2026-08-01 15.70 Partick Thistle 1 1445 42.29% @ Greenock Morton 0 1340 29.47% 28.24%
23 2026-09-04 15.47 Stenhousemuir 1 1512 42.91% @ Livingston 0 1402 28.88% 28.22%
24 2026-09-25 14.60 @ Inverness CT 2 1397 61.69% Greenock Morton 0 1229 12.79% 25.51%
25 2026-09-05 14.52 @ Queens Park 2 1285 43.08% Greenock Morton 1 1292 28.71% 28.21%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-19 66.3 @ Livingston 2 1422 47.33% Inverness CT 2 1395 24.73% 27.94%
2 2026-08-21 61.6 @ Inverness CT 1 1419 34.82% Partick Thistle 1 1485 36.81% 28.37%
3 2026-10-03 60.2 Ayr United 2 1340 15.53% @ Livingston 1 1467 58.06% 26.41%
4 2026-08-01 59.7 @ Raith Rovers 1 1386 34.70% Stenhousemuir 1 1452 36.93% 28.37%
5 2026-08-08 58.9 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1414 47.41% Ayr United 1 1387 24.66% 27.93%
6 2026-09-05 58.2 @ Arbroath 1 1376 40.80% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1399 30.90% 28.30%
7 2026-09-19 56.9 @ Partick Thistle 0 1474 41.57% Raith Rovers 0 1492 30.16% 28.27%
8 2026-08-29 56.7 @ Ayr United 1 1362 52.67% Greenock Morton 1 1288 19.97% 27.35%
9 2026-08-01 52.7 @ Inverness CT 0 1422 45.11% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1412 26.79% 28.10%
10 2026-08-22 52.7 Arbroath 2 1339 32.17% @ Greenock Morton 1 1307 39.50% 28.33%
11 2026-08-29 52.2 @ Partick Thistle 0 1485 64.75% Queens Park 0 1279 10.68% 24.56%
12 2026-08-08 51.9 Raith Rovers 2 1386 36.95% @ Queens Park 1 1319 34.68% 28.37%
13 2026-08-08 51.0 @ Arbroath 0 1339 32.66% Inverness CT 0 1420 39.00% 28.34%
14 2026-09-25 50.2 Livingston 2 1421 20.08% @ Raith Rovers 0 1493 52.55% 27.37%
15 2026-09-12 49.5 Inverness CT 3 1362 29.57% @ Ayr United 1 1349 42.18% 28.25%
16 2026-09-05 48.9 @ Queens Park 2 1285 43.08% Greenock Morton 1 1292 28.71% 28.21%
17 2026-09-15 48.8 @ Stenhousemuir 1 1527 48.88% Partick Thistle 0 1487 23.32% 27.80%
18 2026-08-29 47.4 @ Stenhousemuir 3 1493 52.73% Inverness CT 1 1419 19.93% 27.35%
19 2026-09-04 46.9 Stenhousemuir 1 1512 42.91% @ Livingston 0 1402 28.88% 28.22%
20 2026-09-25 45.7 @ Arbroath 2 1328 53.77% Queens Park 1 1244 19.03% 27.19%
21 2026-08-28 45.6 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1381 37.31% Raith Rovers 0 1430 34.32% 28.37%
22 2026-08-29 45.5 @ Arbroath 1 1358 35.22% Livingston 0 1420 36.41% 28.37%
23 2026-10-03 45.4 Raith Rovers 2 1447 56.89% @ Greenock Morton 1 1215 16.46% 26.65%
24 2026-09-05 44.5 Raith Rovers 2 1412 29.41% @ Inverness CT 0 1400 42.35% 28.24%
25 2026-08-01 43.5 Partick Thistle 1 1445 42.29% @ Greenock Morton 0 1340 29.47% 28.24%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-25 32.0 @ Inverness CT 2 1397 61.69% Greenock Morton 0 1229 12.79% 25.51%
2 2026-10-03 34.4 @ Partick Thistle 3 1473 58.83% Arbroath 0 1338 14.93% 26.24%
3 2026-09-12 34.6 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1400 55.46% Queens Park 0 1300 17.62% 26.92%
4 2026-08-08 35.0 @ Stenhousemuir 2 1452 58.18% Greenock Morton 0 1324 15.44% 26.38%
5 2026-08-01 36.9 @ Livingston 2 1390 49.63% Queens Park 0 1343 22.65% 27.72%
6 2026-09-12 36.9 @ Raith Rovers 4 1451 52.94% Arbroath 0 1375 19.74% 27.32%
7 2026-08-22 37.4 Stenhousemuir 2 1469 49.97% @ Queens Park 0 1303 22.34% 27.69%
8 2026-08-01 38.9 @ Ayr United 2 1357 42.44% Arbroath 0 1368 29.32% 28.24%
9 2026-09-19 39.0 Dunfermline Athletic 1 1420 51.27% @ Greenock Morton 0 1241 21.19% 27.54%
10 2026-08-22 39.1 @ Raith Rovers 2 1403 45.66% Ayr United 0 1389 26.28% 28.06%
11 2026-09-19 39.1 @ Stenhousemuir 1 1541 64.80% Arbroath 0 1334 10.65% 24.55%
12 2026-08-07 40.1 @ Partick Thistle 2 1461 49.66% Livingston 0 1414 22.62% 27.72%
13 2026-09-05 40.2 @ Partick Thistle 1 1478 57.38% Ayr United 0 1358 16.07% 26.55%
14 2026-09-18 40.5 Ayr United 2 1315 32.47% @ Queens Park 0 1280 39.19% 28.34%
15 2026-08-22 40.8 @ Livingston 2 1390 40.93% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1412 30.78% 28.29%
16 2026-09-11 41.4 Livingston 4 1387 42.85% @ Greenock Morton 1 1277 28.93% 28.22%
17 2026-09-25 43.3 Stenhousemuir 1 1547 53.15% @ Ayr United 0 1352 19.57% 27.29%
18 2026-08-01 43.5 Partick Thistle 1 1445 42.29% @ Greenock Morton 0 1340 29.47% 28.24%
19 2026-09-05 44.5 Raith Rovers 2 1412 29.41% @ Inverness CT 0 1400 42.35% 28.24%
20 2026-10-03 45.4 Raith Rovers 2 1447 56.89% @ Greenock Morton 1 1215 16.46% 26.65%
21 2026-08-29 45.5 @ Arbroath 1 1358 35.22% Livingston 0 1420 36.41% 28.37%
22 2026-08-28 45.6 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1381 37.31% Raith Rovers 0 1430 34.32% 28.37%
23 2026-09-25 45.7 @ Arbroath 2 1328 53.77% Queens Park 1 1244 19.03% 27.19%
24 2026-09-04 46.9 Stenhousemuir 1 1512 42.91% @ Livingston 0 1402 28.88% 28.22%
25 2026-08-29 47.4 @ Stenhousemuir 3 1493 52.73% Inverness CT 1 1419 19.93% 27.35%