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1975-76 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

54 points · 36th Title

Last Title: 1974-75

Relegated

St. Johnstone

11 pts

Dunde · 32 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Rangers

8.00 points above expected

54 points · 46.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

St. Johnstone

12.19 points below expected

11 points · 23.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers Champion 36 23 8 5 54 60 24 +36 46.00 +8.00
2 Celtic 36 21 6 9 48 71 42 +29 45.23 +2.77
3 Hibernian 36 18 7 11 43 55 43 +12 41.04 +1.96
4 Motherwell 36 16 8 12 40 57 49 +8 36.18 +3.82
5 Heart of Midlothian 36 13 9 14 35 39 45 -6 33.05 +1.95
6 Ayr United 36 14 5 17 33 46 59 -13 31.17 +1.83
7 Aberdeen 36 11 10 15 32 49 50 -1 36.85 -4.85
8 Dundee United 36 12 8 16 32 46 48 -2 34.08 -2.08
9 Dundee 36 11 10 15 32 49 62 -13 33.21 -1.21
10 St. Johnstone Relegated 36 3 5 28 11 29 79 -50 23.19 -12.19

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 54 46.00 +8.00
2 Motherwell 40 36.18 +3.82
3 Celtic 48 45.23 +2.77
4 Hibernian 43 41.04 +1.96
5 Heart of Midlothian 35 33.05 +1.95

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Johnstone 11 23.19 -12.19
2 Aberdeen 32 36.85 -4.85
3 Dundee United 32 34.08 -2.08
4 Dundee 32 33.21 -1.21
5 Ayr United 33 31.17 +1.83

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 5 Feb 21 – Mar 27 1 in 245
2 Celtic 9 Jan 10 – Apr 3 1 in 200
3 Rangers 7 Feb 7 – Apr 10 1 in 81
4 Ayr United 3 Mar 20 – Apr 3 1 in 38
5 Motherwell 3 Oct 11 – Oct 25 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 10 Oct 11 – Dec 13 1 in 1,141
2 Aberdeen 5 Mar 13 – Apr 7 1 in 248
3 Dundee United 4 Nov 12 – Nov 29 1 in 40
4 Celtic 2 Apr 21 – Apr 24 1 in 36
5 Dundee 4 Mar 20 – Apr 10 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 21 Dec 13 – May 4 1 in 313
2 Heart of Midlothian 8 Oct 11 – Nov 29 1 in 70
3 Aberdeen 9 Dec 6 – Jan 31 1 in 57
4 Motherwell 5 Aug 30 – Sep 27 1 in 18
5 Dundee United 6 Feb 21 – Mar 31 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 27 Oct 11 – Apr 17 1 in 720
2 Dundee United 13 Nov 8 – Jan 31 1 in 183
3 Celtic 5 Apr 10 – Apr 26 1 in 79
4 Aberdeen 9 Mar 13 – Apr 21 1 in 61
5 Motherwell 6 Aug 30 – Oct 4 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rangers 1834 54 +9 8 6.9 +1.1
Celtic 1768 48 -36 3 6.1 -3.1
Hibernian 1655 43 -10 5 5.0 -0.0
Motherwell 1645 40 -36 1 4.4 -3.4
Heart of Midlothian 1610 35 +15 7 5.0 +2.0
Ayr United 1571 33 -2 4 3.9 +0.1
Dundee 1567 32 +19 7 4.9 +2.1
Aberdeen 1602 32 +9 5 4.1 +0.9
Dundee United 1628 32 +14 5 4.6 +0.4
St. Johnstone 1393 11 +20 4 3.1 +0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE AU CEL DUN DU HOM HIB MOT RAN SJ
Aberdeen —
2-1-1
6.16
1-1-2
4.07
2-0-2
6.15
2-0-2
5.82
0-3-1
6.29
1-1-2
4.83
0-2-2
5.74
1-1-2
3.79
2-1-1
7.89
Ayr United
1-1-2
4.95
 —
1-0-3
3.58
3-1-0
5.29
1-1-2
5.04
0-1-3
5.48
1-0-3
4.15
2-1-1
4.88
1-0-3
3.37
4-0-0
6.62
Celtic
2-1-1
7.06
3-0-1
7.57
 —
2-1-1
7.55
3-0-1
7.41
3-0-1
7.58
2-1-1
6.50
2-1-1
6.91
0-2-2
5.48
4-0-0
8.46
Dundee
2-0-2
4.96
0-1-3
5.82
1-1-2
3.58
 —
2-1-1
5.28
1-1-2
5.73
1-2-1
4.18
1-1-2
4.80
0-2-2
3.52
3-1-0
7.18
Dundee United
2-0-2
5.30
2-1-1
6.08
1-0-3
3.73
1-1-2
5.84
 —
2-0-2
5.90
3-1-0
4.86
0-1-3
5.29
0-2-2
3.65
1-2-1
7.10
Heart of Midlothian
1-3-0
4.82
3-1-0
5.63
1-0-3
3.56
2-1-1
5.38
2-0-2
5.21
 —
0-1-3
4.37
0-2-2
4.86
1-0-3
3.83
3-1-0
7.32
Hibernian
2-1-1
6.29
3-0-1
6.97
1-1-2
4.62
1-2-1
6.94
0-1-3
6.26
3-1-0
6.75
 —
3-0-1
5.93
1-1-2
4.69
4-0-0
8.19
Motherwell
2-2-0
5.38
1-1-2
6.23
1-1-2
4.22
2-1-1
6.32
3-1-0
5.83
2-2-0
6.26
1-0-3
5.18
 —
1-0-3
4.27
3-0-1
7.66
Rangers
2-1-1
7.34
3-0-1
7.78
2-2-0
5.63
2-2-0
7.62
2-2-0
7.49
3-0-1
7.31
2-1-1
6.42
3-0-1
6.85
 —
4-0-0
8.57
St. Johnstone
1-1-2
3.26
0-0-4
4.50
0-0-4
2.74
0-1-3
3.95
1-2-1
4.04
0-1-3
3.83
0-0-4
2.96
1-0-3
3.50
0-0-4
2.61
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +8.8
Allowed 0.86 -7.4
Differential 0.96 +4.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%10.00%5.83%3.61%1.39%0.56%26.39%
110.00%11.67%8.06%4.17%0.83%0.28%35.00%
25.83%8.06%2.78%2.50%0.28%0.28%19.72%
33.61%4.17%2.50%1.67%0.83%0.83%13.61%
41.39%0.83%0.28%0.83%——3.33%
5+0.56%0.28%0.28%0.83%——1.94%
Total26.39%35.00%19.72%13.61%3.33%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.76
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%5.56%——30.56%
12.78%8.33%8.33%5.56%——25.00%
28.33%5.56%8.33%5.56%——27.78%
35.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
4———————
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total25.00%33.33%19.44%22.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.39 -0.03
SD 1.22 1.10 1.56
CV 0.90 0.79 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.89%—5.56%—2.78%22.22%
111.11%8.33%8.33%8.33%——36.11%
28.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
32.78%2.78%———2.78%8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%38.89%13.89%16.67%—8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.64 -0.36
SD 0.91 1.61 1.87
CV 0.72 0.98 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%8.33%———19.44%
111.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
22.78%11.11%—2.78%——16.67%
3—13.89%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
48.33%——2.78%——11.11%
5+——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
Total25.00%44.44%19.44%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.17 +0.81
SD 1.65 0.94 1.74
CV 0.84 0.81 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%5.56%5.56%—25.00%
18.33%16.67%8.33%5.56%——38.89%
22.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%13.89%
4—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%33.33%16.67%22.22%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.72 -0.36
SD 1.17 1.41 1.74
CV 0.86 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%————22.22%
113.89%11.11%16.67%2.78%5.56%—50.00%
25.56%—2.78%2.78%——11.11%
3—5.56%5.56%——2.78%13.89%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total30.56%30.56%25.00%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.33 -0.06
SD 1.14 1.29 1.57
CV 0.89 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
119.44%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%—44.44%
22.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
35.56%—2.78%5.56%——13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%27.78%22.22%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.25 -0.17
SD 1.00 1.16 1.50
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
113.89%16.67%2.78%2.78%——36.11%
28.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%30.56%22.22%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.19 +0.33
SD 1.38 1.12 2.03
CV 0.91 0.93 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%5.56%—2.78%—22.22%
12.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
28.33%16.67%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
32.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total16.67%47.22%22.22%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.36 +0.22
SD 1.32 0.99 1.57
CV 0.83 0.73 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%—2.78%——19.44%
113.89%8.33%8.33%———30.56%
28.33%16.67%————25.00%
311.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total50.00%36.11%11.11%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.67 +1.00
SD 1.29 0.79 1.53
CV 0.77 1.19 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%47.22%
12.78%11.11%8.33%8.33%—2.78%33.33%
22.78%2.78%—2.78%2.78%—11.11%
3————8.33%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%27.78%25.00%19.44%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 2.19 -1.39
SD 0.95 1.37 1.44
CV 1.18 0.62 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1834 54 46.00 +8.00 96.0% 32 39 43 46 49 54 59
Celtic 1768 48 45.23 +2.77 78.0% 33 37 42 46 48 52 57
Hibernian 1655 43 41.04 +1.96 68.0% 29 33 38 41 44 48 53
Motherwell 1645 40 36.18 +3.82 82.0% 26 27 32 37 39 45 48
Dundee United 1628 32 34.08 -2.08 39.0% 25 26 31 34 37 41 44
Heart of Midlothian 1610 35 33.05 +1.95 65.0% 19 25 29 33 37 40 43
Aberdeen 1602 32 36.85 -4.85 16.0% 24 30 34 37 40 44 47
Ayr United 1571 33 31.17 +1.83 70.0% 17 24 28 31 34 39 44
Dundee 1567 32 33.21 -1.21 47.0% 22 25 29 33 36 40 45
St. Johnstone 1393 11 23.19 -12.19 1.0% 10 15 21 23 26 29 39

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.56%
Strong Edge
52.22%21.11%26.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
190 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
090.80500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.48+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Comfortable
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.77 * Some Luck: 3.77 to 5.66 * Lucky: 5.66 to 7.54 * Wild Swing: 7.54 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.09 * Close: 1.09 to 1.64 * Off: 1.64 to 2.19 * Way Off: 2.19 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.68 * A Surprise: 0.68 to 1.09 * Several Surprises: 1.09 to 1.5 * Many Surprises: 1.5 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.25 points
Some Luck
04.7212
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Close
01.373
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
Rangers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
St. Johnstone
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.72

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 118.55
2.18
Strong Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
93%
Clear Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Notable Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.29
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Some Carryover
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.17
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.057
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers49.00%32.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%———
Celtic35.00%37.00%16.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Hibernian11.00%16.00%32.00%13.00%15.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—
Motherwell2.00%8.00%7.00%25.00%15.00%11.00%16.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%
Heart of Midlothian1.00%—5.00%11.00%12.00%17.00%14.00%19.00%18.00%3.00%
Ayr United———4.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%26.00%33.00%3.00%
Aberdeen2.00%4.00%19.00%12.00%21.00%19.00%12.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%
Dundee United—1.00%7.00%10.00%16.00%19.00%16.00%15.00%12.00%4.00%
Dundee—2.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%25.00%19.00%16.00%4.00%
St. Johnstone———1.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%13.00%83.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Celtic 100% —
Rangers 100% —
Hibernian 99.00% 1.00%
Aberdeen 98.00% 2.00%
Motherwell 92.00% 8.00%
Dundee United 84.00% 16.00%
Dundee 80.00% 20.00%
Heart of Midlothian 79.00% 21.00%
Ayr United 64.00% 36.00%
St. Johnstone 4.00% 96.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1975-08-30 Aberdeen W 3-265.0 1614 1649 52.04% 22.32% 25.65%+0.29 +6.4 2
1975-08-30 @ Dundee L 2-365.0 1649 1614 25.65% 22.32% 52.04%-0.29 -6.4 0
1975-08-30 Heart of Midlothian W 1-050.8 1661 1579 63.63% 21.69% 14.68%+0.91 +4.4 2
1975-08-30 @ Hibernian L 0-150.8 1579 1661 14.68% 21.69% 63.63%-0.91 -4.4 0
1975-08-30 Ayr United D 1-169.8 1585 1578 56.70% 22.16% 21.14%+0.51 -2.0 1
1975-08-30 @ Motherwell D 1-169.8 1578 1585 21.14% 22.16% 56.70%-0.51 +2.0 1
1975-08-30 Celtic W 2-160.0 1705 1696 56.87% 22.16% 20.98%+0.52 +5.7 2
1975-08-30 @ Rangers L 1-260.0 1696 1705 20.98% 22.16% 56.87%-0.52 -5.7 0
1975-08-30 Dundee United W 1-055.0 1566 1640 47.31% 22.38% 30.31%+0.09 +8.2 2
1975-08-30 @ St. Johnstone L 0-155.0 1640 1566 30.31% 22.38% 47.31%-0.09 -8.2 0
1975-09-06 Motherwell D 2-276.8 1643 1583 61.80% 21.85% 16.35%+0.79 -2.0 1
1975-09-06 @ Aberdeen D 2-276.8 1583 1643 16.35% 21.85% 61.80%-0.79 +2.0 2
1975-09-06 St. Johnstone W 1-051.0 1580 1574 56.65% 22.17% 21.18%+0.51 +6.1 3
1975-09-06 @ Ayr United L 0-151.0 1574 1580 21.18% 22.17% 56.65%-0.51 -6.1 2
1975-09-06 Dundee W 4-045.3 1691 1620 62.68% 21.78% 15.54%+0.85 +16.6 2
1975-09-06 @ Celtic L 0-445.3 1620 1691 15.54% 21.78% 62.68%-0.85 -16.6 2
1975-09-06 Hibernian W 1-055.1 1632 1665 52.31% 22.31% 25.39%+0.30 +7.1 2
1975-09-06 @ Dundee United L 0-155.1 1665 1632 25.39% 22.31% 52.31%-0.30 -7.1 2
1975-09-06 Rangers L 0-254.9 1574 1710 38.90% 22.34% 38.76%-0.24 -18.8 0
1975-09-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-054.9 1710 1574 38.76% 22.34% 38.90%+0.24 +18.8 4
1975-09-13 Dundee United L 1-365.5 1641 1639 56.23% 22.18% 21.59%+0.49 -22.4 1
1975-09-13 @ Aberdeen W 3-165.5 1639 1641 21.59% 22.18% 56.23%-0.49 +22.4 4
1975-09-13 Heart of Midlothian L 2-373.1 1604 1556 60.72% 21.94% 17.35%+0.73 -13.2 2
1975-09-13 @ Dundee W 3-273.1 1556 1604 17.35% 21.94% 60.72%-0.73 +13.2 2
1975-09-13 Ayr United W 1-051.1 1658 1586 62.79% 21.77% 15.44%+0.86 +4.6 4
1975-09-13 @ Hibernian L 0-151.1 1586 1658 15.44% 21.77% 62.79%-0.86 -4.6 3
1975-09-13 Celtic D 1-172.3 1585 1707 40.79% 22.36% 36.85%-0.17 -0.2 3
1975-09-13 @ Motherwell D 1-172.3 1707 1585 36.85% 22.36% 40.79%+0.17 +0.2 3
1975-09-13 St. Johnstone W 2-045.9 1729 1568 69.17% 20.95% 9.89%+1.32 +5.8 6
1975-09-13 @ Rangers L 0-245.9 1568 1729 9.89% 20.95% 69.17%-1.32 -5.8 2
1975-09-20 Dundee W 2-157.2 1582 1590 55.10% 22.23% 22.67%+0.43 +6.1 5
1975-09-20 @ Ayr United L 1-257.2 1590 1582 22.67% 22.23% 55.10%-0.43 -6.1 2
1975-09-20 Motherwell D 1-171.7 1661 1585 63.20% 21.73% 15.06%+0.88 -2.8 5
1975-09-20 @ Dundee United D 1-171.7 1585 1661 15.06% 21.73% 63.20%-0.88 +2.8 4
1975-09-20 Aberdeen D 2-275.9 1569 1619 50.35% 22.35% 27.31%+0.22 -0.9 3
1975-09-20 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-275.9 1619 1569 27.31% 22.35% 50.35%-0.22 +0.9 2
1975-09-20 Hibernian D 1-173.5 1735 1663 62.80% 21.77% 15.43%+0.86 -2.8 7
1975-09-20 @ Rangers D 1-173.5 1663 1735 15.43% 21.77% 62.80%-0.86 +2.8 5
1975-09-20 Celtic L 1-263.7 1562 1707 37.58% 22.32% 40.10%-0.29 -9.2 2
1975-09-20 @ St. Johnstone W 2-163.7 1707 1562 40.10% 22.32% 37.58%+0.29 +9.2 5
1975-09-27 Ayr United W 3-152.9 1620 1588 59.20% 22.03% 18.76%+0.64 +9.0 4
1975-09-27 @ Aberdeen L 1-352.9 1588 1620 18.76% 22.03% 59.20%-0.64 -9.0 5
1975-09-27 Dundee United W 2-158.4 1717 1659 61.61% 21.87% 16.52%+0.78 +4.6 7
1975-09-27 @ Celtic L 1-258.4 1659 1717 16.52% 21.87% 61.61%-0.78 -4.6 5
1975-09-27 Rangers D 0-068.2 1584 1732 37.20% 22.31% 40.49%-0.30 +0.2 3
1975-09-27 @ Dundee D 0-068.2 1732 1584 40.49% 22.31% 37.20%+0.30 -0.2 8
1975-09-27 St. Johnstone W 4-255.0 1666 1553 65.94% 21.43% 12.63%+1.07 +5.6 7
1975-09-27 @ Hibernian L 2-455.0 1553 1666 12.63% 21.43% 65.94%-1.07 -5.6 2
1975-09-27 Heart of Midlothian D 1-169.6 1587 1568 58.02% 22.10% 19.88%+0.58 -2.2 5
1975-09-27 @ Motherwell D 1-169.6 1568 1587 19.88% 22.10% 58.02%-0.58 +2.2 4
1975-10-04 Heart of Midlothian W 3-151.6 1721 1570 68.57% 21.05% 10.38%+1.27 +5.2 9
1975-10-04 @ Celtic L 1-351.6 1570 1721 10.38% 21.05% 68.57%-1.27 -5.2 4
1975-10-04 Ayr United W 3-261.1 1654 1579 63.06% 21.75% 15.19%+0.87 +4.1 7
1975-10-04 @ Dundee United L 2-361.1 1579 1654 15.19% 21.75% 63.06%-0.87 -4.1 5
1975-10-04 Dundee D 1-171.9 1671 1584 64.01% 21.65% 14.34%+0.93 -2.9 8
1975-10-04 @ Hibernian D 1-171.9 1584 1671 14.34% 21.65% 64.01%-0.93 +2.9 4
1975-10-04 Aberdeen W 1-051.9 1732 1629 65.27% 21.52% 13.21%+1.02 +4.0 10
1975-10-04 @ Rangers L 0-151.9 1629 1732 13.21% 21.52% 65.27%-1.02 -4.0 4
1975-10-04 Motherwell W 2-157.1 1548 1585 51.80% 22.32% 25.87%+0.28 +6.8 4
1975-10-04 @ St. Johnstone L 1-257.1 1585 1548 25.87% 22.32% 51.80%-0.28 -6.8 5
1975-10-11 Celtic L 1-266.5 1625 1726 43.62% 22.38% 33.99%-0.06 -10.3 4
1975-10-11 @ Aberdeen W 2-166.5 1726 1625 33.99% 22.38% 43.62%+0.06 +10.3 11
1975-10-11 Rangers W 3-053.8 1575 1736 35.37% 22.27% 42.36%-0.37 +29.2 7
1975-10-11 @ Ayr United L 0-353.8 1736 1575 42.36% 22.27% 35.37%+0.37 -29.2 10
1975-10-11 St. Johnstone W 4-362.8 1587 1554 59.32% 22.03% 18.65%+0.65 +4.8 6
1975-10-11 @ Dundee L 3-462.8 1554 1587 18.65% 22.03% 59.32%-0.65 -4.8 4
1975-10-11 Dundee United W 1-056.1 1565 1658 44.79% 22.39% 32.82%-0.01 +8.7 6
1975-10-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-156.1 1658 1565 32.82% 22.39% 44.79%+0.01 -8.7 7
1975-10-11 Hibernian W 2-161.7 1579 1668 45.25% 22.39% 32.36%+0.01 +8.1 7
1975-10-11 @ Motherwell L 1-261.7 1668 1579 32.36% 22.39% 45.25%-0.01 -8.1 8
1975-10-18 St. Johnstone W 2-045.4 1614 1550 62.18% 21.82% 16.00%+0.82 +9.0 6
1975-10-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-245.4 1550 1614 16.00% 21.82% 62.18%-0.82 -9.0 4
1975-10-18 Dundee L 1-270.2 1649 1592 61.54% 21.87% 16.58%+0.78 -14.1 7
1975-10-18 @ Dundee United W 2-170.2 1592 1649 16.58% 21.87% 61.54%-0.78 +14.1 8
1975-10-18 Ayr United W 2-158.1 1574 1604 52.64% 22.30% 25.06%+0.32 +6.6 8
1975-10-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-258.1 1604 1574 25.06% 22.30% 52.64%-0.32 -6.6 7
1975-10-18 Rangers W 2-163.7 1587 1707 41.13% 22.37% 36.50%-0.15 +9.0 9
1975-10-18 @ Motherwell L 1-263.7 1707 1587 36.50% 22.37% 41.13%+0.15 -8.9 10
1975-10-25 Motherwell L 3-665.2 1606 1596 57.12% 22.14% 20.73%+0.53 -25.8 8
1975-10-25 @ Dundee W 6-365.2 1596 1606 20.73% 22.14% 57.12%-0.53 +25.8 11
1975-10-25 Aberdeen W 3-154.1 1660 1623 59.70% 22.00% 18.30%+0.67 +8.8 10
1975-10-25 @ Hibernian L 1-354.1 1623 1660 18.30% 22.00% 59.70%-0.67 -8.8 6
1975-10-25 Heart of Midlothian L 0-159.1 1541 1580 51.58% 22.32% 26.09%+0.27 -12.7 4
1975-10-25 @ St. Johnstone W 1-059.1 1580 1541 26.09% 22.32% 51.58%-0.27 +12.7 10
1975-11-01 Dundee W 2-047.0 1614 1580 59.43% 22.02% 18.55%+0.66 +10.2 8
1975-11-01 @ Aberdeen L 0-247.0 1580 1614 18.55% 22.02% 59.43%-0.66 -10.2 8
1975-11-01 Motherwell W 2-049.4 1598 1621 53.39% 22.28% 24.33%+0.35 +12.9 9
1975-11-01 @ Ayr United L 0-249.4 1621 1598 24.33% 22.28% 53.39%-0.35 -12.9 11
1975-11-01 Rangers D 1-173.6 1737 1698 59.91% 21.99% 18.10%+0.68 -2.4 12
1975-11-01 @ Celtic D 1-173.6 1698 1737 18.10% 21.99% 59.91%-0.68 +2.4 11
1975-11-01 St. Johnstone W 3-149.9 1635 1528 65.57% 21.48% 12.95%+1.04 +6.4 9
1975-11-01 @ Dundee United L 1-349.9 1528 1635 12.95% 21.48% 65.57%-1.04 -6.4 4
1975-11-01 Hibernian D 1-171.8 1593 1669 47.05% 22.38% 30.56%+0.08 -0.9 11
1975-11-01 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-171.8 1669 1593 30.56% 22.38% 47.05%-0.08 +0.9 11
1975-11-08 Celtic W 1-060.4 1570 1734 34.93% 22.26% 42.81%-0.39 +10.8 10
1975-11-08 @ Dundee L 0-160.4 1734 1570 42.81% 22.26% 34.93%+0.39 -10.8 12
1975-11-08 Dundee United D 1-172.6 1670 1642 58.86% 22.05% 19.08%+0.63 -2.3 12
1975-11-08 @ Hibernian D 1-172.6 1642 1670 19.08% 22.05% 58.86%-0.63 +2.3 10
1975-11-08 Aberdeen W 3-047.0 1609 1625 54.25% 22.26% 23.49%+0.39 +18.2 13
1975-11-08 @ Motherwell L 0-347.0 1625 1609 23.49% 22.26% 54.25%-0.39 -18.2 8
1975-11-08 Heart of Midlothian L 1-272.1 1700 1592 65.63% 21.47% 12.90%+1.05 -15.1 11
1975-11-08 @ Rangers W 2-172.1 1592 1700 12.90% 21.47% 65.63%-1.05 +15.1 13
1975-11-08 Ayr United L 0-157.6 1522 1610 45.38% 22.39% 32.23%+0.01 -11.3 4
1975-11-08 @ St. Johnstone W 1-057.6 1610 1522 32.23% 22.39% 45.38%-0.01 +11.3 11
1975-11-12 Celtic L 2-758.9 1622 1724 43.62% 22.38% 34.00%-0.06 -33.4 11
1975-11-12 @ Ayr United W 7-258.9 1724 1622 34.00% 22.38% 43.62%+0.06 +33.4 14
1975-11-12 Dundee United W 4-151.6 1685 1644 60.08% 21.98% 17.94%+0.69 +12.2 13
1975-11-12 @ Rangers L 1-451.6 1644 1685 17.94% 21.98% 60.08%-0.69 -12.2 10
1975-11-15 Hibernian L 1-362.3 1588 1668 46.64% 22.38% 30.98%+0.06 -18.9 11
1975-11-15 @ Ayr United W 3-162.3 1668 1588 30.98% 22.38% 46.64%-0.06 +18.9 14
1975-11-15 Motherwell L 0-264.1 1757 1627 67.20% 21.26% 11.53%+1.16 -30.9 14
1975-11-15 @ Celtic W 2-064.1 1627 1757 11.53% 21.26% 67.20%-1.16 +30.9 15
1975-11-15 Aberdeen L 1-269.4 1632 1607 58.58% 22.07% 19.35%+0.61 -13.5 10
1975-11-15 @ Dundee United W 2-169.4 1607 1632 19.35% 22.07% 58.58%-0.61 +13.5 10
1975-11-15 Dundee D 1-170.4 1607 1581 58.67% 22.07% 19.27%+0.62 -2.2 14
1975-11-15 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.4 1581 1607 19.27% 22.07% 58.67%-0.62 +2.2 11
1975-11-15 Rangers L 1-552.6 1510 1697 31.91% 22.17% 45.92%-0.51 -25.4 4
1975-11-15 @ St. Johnstone W 5-152.6 1697 1510 45.92% 22.17% 31.91%+0.51 +25.4 15
1975-11-22 Heart of Midlothian D 0-066.8 1620 1605 57.58% 22.12% 20.30%+0.56 -2.3 11
1975-11-22 @ Aberdeen D 0-066.8 1605 1620 20.30% 22.12% 57.58%-0.56 +2.4 15
1975-11-22 St. Johnstone W 3-257.5 1726 1485 73.48% 19.96% 6.56%+1.75 +1.8 16
1975-11-22 @ Celtic L 2-357.5 1485 1726 6.56% 19.96% 73.48%-1.75 -1.8 4
1975-11-22 Ayr United D 2-275.0 1583 1569 57.45% 22.13% 20.42%+0.55 -1.6 12
1975-11-22 @ Dundee D 2-275.0 1569 1583 20.42% 22.13% 57.45%-0.55 +1.6 12
1975-11-22 Rangers W 2-161.5 1686 1723 51.98% 22.32% 25.70%+0.29 +6.8 16
1975-11-22 @ Hibernian L 1-261.5 1723 1686 25.70% 22.32% 51.98%-0.29 -6.8 15
1975-11-22 Dundee United W 2-157.8 1658 1618 59.92% 21.99% 18.09%+0.68 +5.0 17
1975-11-22 @ Motherwell L 1-257.8 1618 1658 18.09% 21.99% 59.92%-0.68 -5.0 10
1975-11-29 Aberdeen W 1-053.6 1571 1618 50.73% 22.34% 26.93%+0.23 +7.5 14
1975-11-29 @ Ayr United L 0-153.6 1618 1571 26.93% 22.34% 50.73%-0.23 -7.5 11
1975-11-29 Celtic L 1-362.0 1613 1728 41.86% 22.37% 35.77%-0.13 -17.3 10
1975-11-29 @ Dundee United W 3-162.0 1728 1613 35.77% 22.37% 41.86%+0.13 +17.3 18
1975-11-29 Motherwell D 3-381.4 1607 1663 49.66% 22.36% 27.98%+0.19 -0.7 16
1975-11-29 @ Heart of Midlothian D 3-381.4 1663 1607 27.98% 22.36% 49.66%-0.19 +0.7 18
1975-11-29 Dundee W 2-155.8 1716 1582 67.46% 21.23% 11.31%+1.18 +3.3 17
1975-11-29 @ Rangers L 1-255.8 1582 1716 11.31% 21.23% 67.46%-1.18 -3.3 12
1975-11-29 Hibernian L 3-466.9 1483 1693 28.98% 22.05% 48.97%-0.63 -6.9 4
1975-11-29 @ St. Johnstone W 4-366.9 1693 1483 48.97% 22.05% 28.98%+0.63 +6.9 18
1975-12-06 Rangers W 1-058.4 1610 1719 42.67% 22.38% 34.96%-0.10 +9.2 13
1975-12-06 @ Aberdeen L 0-158.4 1719 1610 34.96% 22.38% 42.67%+0.10 -9.2 17
1975-12-06 Dundee United D 2-275.6 1578 1596 54.10% 22.26% 23.64%+0.39 -1.3 15
1975-12-06 @ Ayr United D 2-275.6 1596 1578 23.64% 22.26% 54.10%-0.39 +1.3 11
1975-12-06 Hibernian W 2-054.1 1578 1700 40.89% 22.36% 36.75%-0.16 +18.0 14
1975-12-06 @ Dundee L 0-254.1 1700 1578 36.75% 22.36% 40.89%+0.16 -18.0 18
1975-12-06 Celtic L 0-159.6 1606 1745 38.47% 22.33% 39.20%-0.25 -9.9 16
1975-12-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-059.6 1745 1606 39.20% 22.33% 38.47%+0.25 +9.9 20
1975-12-06 St. Johnstone W 2-151.6 1663 1476 70.70% 20.65% 8.65%+1.46 +2.5 20
1975-12-06 @ Motherwell L 1-251.6 1476 1663 8.65% 20.65% 70.70%-1.46 -2.5 4
1975-12-10 Hibernian D 1-173.7 1755 1682 62.89% 21.76% 15.34%+0.86 -2.8 21
1975-12-10 @ Celtic D 1-173.7 1682 1755 15.34% 21.76% 62.89%-0.86 +2.8 19
1975-12-13 Aberdeen L 0-264.0 1752 1619 67.38% 21.24% 11.38%+1.18 -31.0 21
1975-12-13 @ Celtic W 2-064.0 1619 1752 11.38% 21.24% 67.38%-1.18 +31.0 15
1975-12-13 Heart of Midlothian L 0-162.4 1597 1597 56.08% 22.19% 21.73%+0.48 -13.7 11
1975-12-13 @ Dundee United W 1-062.4 1597 1597 21.73% 22.19% 56.08%-0.48 +13.7 18
1975-12-13 Motherwell W 1-054.0 1685 1666 57.96% 22.10% 19.93%+0.58 +5.8 21
1975-12-13 @ Hibernian L 0-154.0 1666 1685 19.93% 22.10% 57.96%-0.58 -5.8 20
1975-12-13 Ayr United W 3-043.9 1710 1577 67.37% 21.24% 11.39%+1.18 +9.6 19
1975-12-13 @ Rangers L 0-343.9 1577 1710 11.39% 21.24% 67.37%-1.18 -9.6 15
1975-12-13 Dundee L 1-355.7 1474 1596 40.75% 22.36% 36.89%-0.17 -16.9 4
1975-12-13 @ St. Johnstone W 3-155.7 1596 1474 36.89% 22.36% 40.75%+0.17 +16.9 16
1975-12-20 Heart of Midlothian D 1-170.1 1568 1610 51.20% 22.33% 26.47%+0.25 -1.4 16
1975-12-20 @ Ayr United D 1-170.1 1610 1568 26.47% 22.33% 51.20%-0.25 +1.4 19
1975-12-20 Dundee United D 0-066.2 1613 1584 59.01% 22.05% 18.94%+0.63 -2.5 17
1975-12-20 @ Dundee D 0-066.2 1584 1613 18.94% 22.05% 59.01%-0.63 +2.6 12
1975-12-20 Celtic L 1-365.8 1691 1721 52.61% 22.30% 25.09%+0.32 -21.1 21
1975-12-20 @ Hibernian W 3-165.8 1721 1691 25.09% 22.30% 52.61%-0.32 +21.0 23
1975-12-20 Motherwell W 3-263.4 1719 1660 61.73% 21.86% 16.41%+0.79 +4.4 21
1975-12-20 @ Rangers L 2-363.4 1660 1719 16.41% 21.86% 61.73%-0.79 -4.4 20
1975-12-20 Aberdeen D 1-168.1 1457 1650 31.05% 22.14% 46.81%-0.54 +0.8 5
1975-12-20 @ St. Johnstone D 1-168.1 1650 1457 46.81% 22.14% 31.05%+0.54 -0.8 16
1975-12-27 Hibernian D 2-278.1 1650 1670 53.82% 22.27% 23.91%+0.37 -1.2 17
1975-12-27 @ Aberdeen D 2-278.1 1670 1650 23.91% 22.27% 53.82%-0.37 +1.2 22
1975-12-27 Ayr United W 3-151.3 1742 1566 70.08% 20.77% 9.14%+1.41 +4.6 25
1975-12-27 @ Celtic L 1-351.3 1566 1742 9.14% 20.77% 70.08%-1.41 -4.6 16
1975-12-27 Rangers D 0-068.1 1586 1724 38.62% 22.34% 39.05%-0.25 +0.0 13
1975-12-27 @ Dundee United D 0-068.1 1724 1586 39.05% 22.34% 38.62%+0.25 -0.0 22
1975-12-27 St. Johnstone W 2-040.5 1612 1458 68.75% 21.02% 10.23%+1.29 +5.9 21
1975-12-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-240.5 1458 1612 10.23% 21.02% 68.75%-1.29 -5.9 5
1975-12-27 Dundee W 3-262.5 1656 1611 60.45% 21.95% 17.60%+0.71 +4.6 22
1975-12-27 @ Motherwell L 2-362.5 1611 1656 17.60% 21.95% 60.45%-0.71 -4.6 17
1976-01-01 Aberdeen L 1-363.6 1606 1648 51.27% 22.33% 26.40%+0.26 -20.6 17
1976-01-01 @ Dundee W 3-163.6 1648 1606 26.40% 22.33% 51.27%-0.26 +20.6 19
1976-01-01 Heart of Midlothian W 3-045.8 1671 1618 61.19% 21.90% 16.91%+0.76 +13.7 24
1976-01-01 @ Hibernian L 0-345.8 1618 1671 16.91% 21.90% 61.19%-0.76 -13.7 21
1976-01-01 Ayr United W 1-050.1 1660 1562 64.94% 21.55% 13.51%+1.00 +4.1 24
1976-01-01 @ Motherwell L 0-150.1 1562 1660 13.51% 21.55% 64.94%-1.00 -4.1 16
1976-01-01 Celtic W 1-056.1 1724 1747 53.47% 22.28% 24.25%+0.36 +6.8 24
1976-01-01 @ Rangers L 0-156.1 1747 1724 24.25% 22.28% 53.47%-0.36 -6.8 25
1976-01-01 Dundee United D 1-165.7 1452 1586 39.08% 22.34% 38.58%-0.23 -0.0 6
1976-01-01 @ St. Johnstone D 1-165.7 1586 1452 38.58% 22.34% 39.08%+0.23 +0.0 14
1976-01-03 Motherwell D 0-068.4 1669 1664 56.47% 22.17% 21.35%+0.50 -2.2 20
1976-01-03 @ Aberdeen D 0-068.4 1664 1669 21.35% 22.17% 56.47%-0.50 +2.2 25
1976-01-03 St. Johnstone W 2-039.3 1558 1452 65.47% 21.49% 13.04%+1.04 +7.5 18
1976-01-03 @ Ayr United L 0-239.3 1452 1558 13.04% 21.49% 65.47%-1.04 -7.5 6
1976-01-03 Dundee D 3-382.5 1740 1586 68.79% 21.01% 10.20%+1.29 -2.2 26
1976-01-03 @ Celtic D 3-382.5 1586 1740 10.20% 21.01% 68.79%-1.29 +2.2 18
1976-01-03 Rangers L 1-265.3 1604 1731 40.17% 22.36% 37.47%-0.19 -9.7 21
1976-01-03 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-165.3 1731 1604 37.47% 22.36% 40.17%+0.19 +9.6 26
1976-01-10 Dundee United W 5-358.2 1667 1586 63.50% 21.70% 14.80%+0.90 +6.1 22
1976-01-10 @ Aberdeen L 3-558.2 1586 1667 14.80% 21.70% 63.50%-0.90 -6.1 14
1976-01-10 Heart of Midlothian W 4-150.5 1588 1594 55.32% 22.22% 22.46%+0.44 +14.8 20
1976-01-10 @ Dundee L 1-450.5 1594 1588 22.46% 22.22% 55.32%-0.44 -14.8 21
1976-01-10 Ayr United W 3-043.6 1685 1565 66.46% 21.37% 12.17%+1.11 +10.2 26
1976-01-10 @ Hibernian L 0-343.6 1565 1685 12.17% 21.37% 66.46%-1.11 -10.2 18
1976-01-10 Celtic L 1-364.2 1667 1738 47.65% 22.38% 29.97%+0.10 -19.3 25
1976-01-10 @ Motherwell W 3-164.2 1738 1667 29.97% 22.38% 47.65%-0.10 +19.3 28
1976-01-10 St. Johnstone W 4-039.1 1740 1444 75.87% 19.17% 4.95%+2.04 +5.5 28
1976-01-10 @ Rangers L 0-439.1 1444 1740 4.95% 19.17% 75.87%-2.04 -5.5 6
1976-01-17 Dundee W 3-154.3 1555 1603 50.60% 22.34% 27.06%+0.23 +12.2 20
1976-01-17 @ Ayr United L 1-354.3 1603 1555 27.06% 22.34% 50.60%-0.23 -12.2 20
1976-01-17 Motherwell L 1-459.3 1580 1647 48.16% 22.37% 29.46%+0.12 -27.5 14
1976-01-17 @ Dundee United W 4-159.3 1647 1580 29.46% 22.37% 48.16%-0.12 +27.5 27
1976-01-17 Aberdeen D 3-381.1 1579 1673 44.78% 22.39% 32.83%-0.01 -0.4 22
1976-01-17 @ Heart of Midlothian D 3-381.1 1673 1579 32.83% 22.39% 44.78%+0.01 +0.4 23
1976-01-17 Hibernian W 2-049.6 1746 1695 60.99% 21.92% 17.09%+0.75 +9.5 30
1976-01-17 @ Rangers L 0-249.6 1695 1746 17.09% 21.92% 60.99%-0.75 -9.5 26
1976-01-17 Celtic L 3-463.7 1439 1757 17.79% 21.20% 61.01%-1.20 -4.5 6
1976-01-17 @ St. Johnstone W 4-363.7 1757 1439 61.01% 21.20% 17.79%+1.20 +4.5 30
1976-01-31 Ayr United W 2-155.5 1673 1567 65.49% 21.49% 13.02%+1.04 +3.7 25
1976-01-31 @ Aberdeen L 1-255.5 1567 1673 13.02% 21.49% 65.49%-1.04 -3.7 20
1976-01-31 Dundee United W 2-154.7 1762 1553 71.90% 20.38% 7.73%+1.58 +2.3 32
1976-01-31 @ Celtic L 1-254.7 1553 1762 7.73% 20.38% 71.90%-1.58 -2.3 14
1976-01-31 Rangers D 1-172.9 1590 1755 34.82% 22.26% 42.92%-0.39 +0.4 21
1976-01-31 @ Dundee D 1-172.9 1755 1590 42.92% 22.26% 34.82%+0.39 -0.4 31
1976-01-31 St. Johnstone W 5-038.7 1685 1434 73.93% 19.82% 6.24%+1.80 +8.5 28
1976-01-31 @ Hibernian L 0-538.7 1434 1685 6.24% 19.82% 73.93%-1.80 -8.5 6
1976-01-31 Heart of Midlothian W 2-046.6 1675 1579 64.72% 21.58% 13.71%+0.98 +7.8 29
1976-01-31 @ Motherwell L 0-246.6 1579 1675 13.71% 21.58% 64.72%-0.98 -7.8 22
1976-02-07 Heart of Midlothian W 2-045.8 1764 1571 71.02% 20.58% 8.40%+1.49 +4.9 34
1976-02-07 @ Celtic L 0-245.8 1571 1764 8.40% 20.58% 71.02%-1.49 -4.9 22
1976-02-07 Dundee W 4-044.2 1694 1591 65.26% 21.52% 13.23%+1.02 +14.4 30
1976-02-07 @ Hibernian L 0-444.2 1591 1694 13.23% 21.52% 65.26%-1.02 -14.3 21
1976-02-07 Aberdeen W 2-158.3 1755 1677 63.30% 21.72% 14.98%+0.89 +4.2 33
1976-02-07 @ Rangers L 1-258.3 1677 1755 14.98% 21.72% 63.30%-0.89 -4.2 25
1976-02-07 Motherwell L 1-351.6 1426 1683 23.63% 21.74% 54.63%-0.87 -10.8 6
1976-02-07 @ St. Johnstone W 3-151.6 1683 1426 54.63% 21.74% 23.63%+0.87 +10.8 31
1976-02-21 Celtic L 0-162.1 1673 1769 44.37% 22.39% 33.24%-0.03 -11.1 25
1976-02-21 @ Aberdeen W 1-062.1 1769 1673 33.24% 22.39% 44.37%+0.03 +11.1 36
1976-02-21 Rangers L 0-157.0 1563 1759 30.76% 22.13% 47.11%-0.55 -8.3 20
1976-02-21 @ Ayr United W 1-057.0 1759 1563 47.11% 22.13% 30.76%+0.55 +8.3 35
1976-02-21 St. Johnstone W 3-035.1 1576 1415 69.21% 20.94% 9.85%+1.33 +8.3 23
1976-02-21 @ Dundee L 0-335.1 1415 1576 9.85% 20.94% 69.21%-1.33 -8.3 6
1976-02-21 Dundee United L 0-160.8 1566 1550 57.67% 22.12% 20.21%+0.56 -14.1 22
1976-02-21 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-060.8 1550 1566 20.21% 22.12% 57.67%-0.56 +14.1 16
1976-02-21 Hibernian L 0-164.8 1694 1708 54.44% 22.25% 23.31%+0.40 -13.3 31
1976-02-21 @ Motherwell W 1-064.8 1708 1694 23.31% 22.25% 54.44%-0.40 +13.3 32
1976-02-28 St. Johnstone W 3-036.5 1662 1407 74.12% 19.77% 6.11%+1.82 +5.2 27
1976-02-28 @ Aberdeen L 0-336.5 1407 1662 6.11% 19.77% 74.12%-1.82 -5.2 6
1976-02-28 Hibernian W 4-046.9 1780 1721 61.67% 21.86% 16.46%+0.79 +17.5 38
1976-02-28 @ Celtic L 0-446.9 1721 1780 16.46% 21.86% 61.67%-0.79 -17.5 32
1976-02-28 Dundee W 1-051.7 1564 1585 53.79% 22.27% 23.94%+0.37 +6.8 18
1976-02-28 @ Dundee United L 0-151.7 1585 1564 23.94% 22.27% 53.79%-0.37 -6.8 23
1976-02-28 Ayr United W 1-049.8 1552 1555 55.72% 22.20% 22.08%+0.46 +6.3 24
1976-02-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-149.8 1555 1552 22.08% 22.20% 55.72%-0.46 -6.3 20
1976-02-28 Rangers L 0-162.4 1680 1767 45.60% 22.39% 32.01%+0.02 -11.3 31
1976-02-28 @ Motherwell W 1-062.4 1767 1680 32.01% 22.39% 45.60%-0.02 +11.4 37
1976-03-03 Ayr United W 5-043.4 1571 1549 58.30% 22.09% 19.61%+0.60 +25.2 20
1976-03-03 @ Dundee United L 0-543.4 1549 1571 19.61% 22.09% 58.30%-0.60 -25.1 20
1976-03-13 Dundee L 0-165.7 1667 1578 64.17% 21.64% 14.20%+0.95 -15.6 27
1976-03-13 @ Aberdeen W 1-065.7 1578 1667 14.20% 21.64% 64.17%-0.95 +15.6 25
1976-03-13 Hibernian L 0-158.2 1559 1704 37.54% 22.32% 40.15%-0.29 -9.7 24
1976-03-13 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-058.2 1704 1559 40.15% 22.32% 37.54%+0.29 +9.7 34
1976-03-20 Celtic L 0-157.3 1594 1798 29.73% 22.09% 48.18%-0.60 -8.0 25
1976-03-20 @ Dundee W 1-057.3 1798 1594 48.18% 22.09% 29.73%+0.60 +8.0 40
1976-03-20 Dundee United L 0-167.2 1714 1596 66.30% 21.39% 12.31%+1.10 -16.2 34
1976-03-20 @ Hibernian W 1-067.2 1596 1714 12.31% 21.39% 66.30%-1.10 +16.2 22
1976-03-20 Aberdeen W 2-159.0 1669 1651 57.84% 22.11% 20.05%+0.57 +5.5 33
1976-03-20 @ Motherwell L 1-259.0 1651 1669 20.05% 22.11% 57.84%-0.57 -5.5 27
1976-03-20 Heart of Midlothian W 3-150.7 1779 1549 72.94% 20.11% 6.95%+1.69 +3.5 39
1976-03-20 @ Rangers L 1-350.7 1549 1779 6.95% 20.11% 72.94%-1.69 -3.5 24
1976-03-20 Ayr United L 1-254.2 1401 1524 40.82% 22.36% 36.82%-0.17 -9.8 6
1976-03-20 @ St. Johnstone W 2-154.2 1524 1401 36.82% 22.36% 40.82%+0.17 +9.8 22
1976-03-27 Hibernian W 2-055.1 1533 1697 34.94% 22.26% 42.80%-0.39 +20.3 24
1976-03-27 @ Ayr United L 0-255.1 1697 1533 42.80% 22.26% 34.94%+0.39 -20.3 34
1976-03-27 Motherwell W 4-045.2 1806 1674 67.27% 21.25% 11.48%+1.17 +12.6 42
1976-03-27 @ Celtic L 0-445.2 1674 1806 11.48% 21.25% 67.27%-1.17 -12.6 33
1976-03-27 Aberdeen W 1-054.5 1612 1646 52.32% 22.31% 25.37%+0.30 +7.1 24
1976-03-27 @ Dundee United L 0-154.5 1646 1612 25.37% 22.31% 52.32%-0.30 -7.1 27
1976-03-27 Dundee W 3-045.3 1545 1586 51.50% 22.33% 26.17%+0.27 +19.9 26
1976-03-27 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-345.3 1586 1545 26.17% 22.33% 51.50%-0.27 -19.9 25
1976-03-27 Rangers L 0-341.8 1392 1782 12.56% 20.38% 67.06%-1.58 -10.2 6
1976-03-27 @ St. Johnstone W 3-041.8 1782 1392 67.06% 20.38% 12.56%+1.58 +10.2 41
1976-03-31 St. Johnstone D 1-165.0 1620 1381 73.34% 20.00% 6.66%+1.73 -4.1 25
1976-03-31 @ Dundee United D 1-165.0 1381 1620 6.66% 20.00% 73.34%-1.73 +4.1 7
1976-03-31 Aberdeen W 3-263.3 1677 1639 59.86% 21.99% 18.15%+0.68 +4.8 36
1976-03-31 @ Hibernian L 2-363.3 1639 1677 18.15% 21.99% 59.86%-0.68 -4.8 27
1976-04-03 St. Johnstone W 1-045.0 1818 1385 80.60% 16.95% 2.45%+2.76 +0.7 44
1976-04-03 @ Celtic L 0-145.0 1385 1818 2.45% 16.95% 80.60%-2.76 -0.7 7
1976-04-03 Ayr United L 1-266.0 1566 1554 57.26% 22.14% 20.60%+0.54 -13.2 25
1976-04-03 @ Dundee W 2-166.0 1554 1566 20.60% 22.14% 57.26%-0.54 +13.2 26
1976-04-03 Rangers L 0-355.1 1682 1792 42.43% 22.38% 35.19%-0.10 -29.3 36
1976-04-03 @ Hibernian W 3-055.1 1792 1682 35.19% 22.38% 42.43%+0.10 +29.3 43
1976-04-03 Dundee United W 3-262.6 1662 1615 60.57% 21.95% 17.48%+0.72 +4.6 35
1976-04-03 @ Motherwell L 2-362.6 1615 1662 17.48% 21.95% 60.57%-0.72 -4.6 25
1976-04-07 Heart of Midlothian L 0-357.8 1634 1565 62.51% 21.79% 15.69%+0.84 -41.7 27
1976-04-07 @ Aberdeen W 3-057.8 1565 1634 15.69% 21.79% 62.51%-0.84 +41.7 28
1976-04-10 Aberdeen D 1-169.6 1567 1592 53.24% 22.29% 24.48%+0.34 -1.6 27
1976-04-10 @ Ayr United D 1-169.6 1592 1567 24.48% 22.29% 53.24%-0.34 +1.6 28
1976-04-10 Celtic W 3-273.5 1611 1819 29.23% 22.06% 48.71%-0.62 +10.7 27
1976-04-10 @ Dundee United L 2-373.5 1819 1611 48.71% 22.06% 29.23%+0.62 -10.7 44
1976-04-10 Motherwell L 1-267.2 1607 1666 49.16% 22.36% 28.47%+0.17 -11.4 28
1976-04-10 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-167.2 1666 1607 28.47% 22.36% 49.16%-0.17 +11.4 37
1976-04-10 Dundee W 3-042.7 1822 1552 74.75% 19.57% 5.68%+1.90 +4.8 45
1976-04-10 @ Rangers L 0-342.7 1552 1822 5.68% 19.57% 74.75%-1.90 -4.8 25
1976-04-10 Hibernian L 0-243.3 1385 1653 22.49% 21.66% 55.85%-0.93 -12.0 7
1976-04-10 @ St. Johnstone W 2-043.3 1653 1385 55.85% 21.66% 22.49%+0.93 +12.0 38
1976-04-14 Rangers D 0-069.2 1594 1827 26.28% 21.91% 51.81%-0.75 +1.6 29
1976-04-14 @ Aberdeen D 0-069.2 1827 1594 51.81% 21.91% 26.28%+0.75 -1.6 46
1976-04-14 Dundee United W 1-053.9 1565 1622 49.54% 22.36% 28.10%+0.18 +7.7 29
1976-04-14 @ Ayr United L 0-153.9 1622 1565 28.10% 22.36% 49.54%-0.18 -7.7 27
1976-04-14 Hibernian D 1-170.9 1548 1665 41.54% 22.37% 36.08%-0.14 -0.3 26
1976-04-14 @ Dundee D 1-170.9 1665 1548 36.08% 22.37% 41.54%+0.14 +0.3 39
1976-04-14 St. Johnstone W 2-037.6 1678 1373 76.23% 19.04% 4.73%+2.08 +2.8 39
1976-04-14 @ Motherwell L 0-237.6 1373 1678 4.73% 19.04% 76.23%-2.08 -2.7 7
1976-04-17 Aberdeen D 1-173.9 1808 1595 72.09% 20.33% 7.58%+1.60 -3.9 45
1976-04-17 @ Celtic D 1-173.9 1595 1808 7.58% 20.33% 72.09%-1.60 +3.9 30
1976-04-17 Heart of Midlothian W 2-047.8 1614 1596 57.90% 22.11% 20.00%+0.57 +10.9 29
1976-04-17 @ Dundee United L 0-247.8 1596 1614 20.00% 22.11% 57.90%-0.57 -10.9 28
1976-04-17 Motherwell W 2-050.9 1665 1681 54.32% 22.25% 23.43%+0.40 +12.5 41
1976-04-17 @ Hibernian L 0-250.9 1681 1665 23.43% 22.25% 54.32%-0.40 -12.5 39
1976-04-17 Ayr United W 2-154.9 1825 1573 73.99% 19.81% 6.20%+1.81 +1.8 48
1976-04-17 @ Rangers L 1-254.9 1573 1825 6.20% 19.81% 73.99%-1.81 -1.8 29
1976-04-17 Dundee D 1-161.3 1370 1547 33.15% 22.21% 44.64%-0.46 +0.6 8
1976-04-17 @ St. Johnstone D 1-161.3 1547 1370 44.64% 22.21% 33.15%+0.46 -0.6 27
1976-04-21 Heart of Midlothian L 0-161.0 1571 1585 54.55% 22.25% 23.20%+0.41 -13.3 29
1976-04-21 @ Ayr United W 1-061.0 1585 1571 23.20% 22.25% 54.55%-0.41 +13.3 30
1976-04-21 Dundee United W 2-159.7 1547 1625 46.79% 22.38% 30.82%+0.07 +7.8 29
1976-04-21 @ Dundee L 1-259.7 1625 1547 30.82% 22.38% 46.79%-0.07 -7.8 29
1976-04-21 Celtic W 2-056.0 1677 1804 40.16% 22.36% 37.49%-0.19 +18.3 43
1976-04-21 @ Hibernian L 0-256.0 1804 1677 37.49% 22.36% 40.16%+0.19 -18.3 45
1976-04-21 Motherwell W 2-156.8 1827 1668 69.04% 20.97% 9.99%+1.31 +2.9 50
1976-04-21 @ Rangers L 1-256.8 1668 1827 9.99% 20.97% 69.04%-1.31 -2.9 39
1976-04-21 Aberdeen W 2-049.5 1371 1599 26.79% 21.94% 51.27%-0.73 +23.7 10
1976-04-21 @ St. Johnstone L 0-249.5 1599 1371 51.27% 21.94% 26.79%+0.73 -23.7 30
1976-04-24 Hibernian W 3-051.6 1575 1696 41.09% 22.37% 36.54%-0.15 +26.0 32
1976-04-24 @ Aberdeen L 0-351.6 1696 1575 36.54% 22.37% 41.09%+0.15 -26.0 43
1976-04-24 Ayr United L 1-274.5 1786 1558 72.86% 20.13% 7.01%+1.68 -16.7 45
1976-04-24 @ Celtic W 2-174.5 1558 1786 7.01% 20.13% 72.86%-1.68 +16.7 31
1976-04-24 Rangers L 0-157.3 1617 1830 28.65% 22.04% 49.31%-0.64 -7.8 29
1976-04-24 @ Dundee United W 1-057.3 1830 1617 49.31% 22.04% 28.65%+0.64 +7.8 52
1976-04-24 St. Johnstone W 1-041.0 1598 1394 71.61% 20.44% 7.95%+1.55 +2.5 32
1976-04-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-141.0 1394 1598 7.95% 20.44% 71.61%-1.55 -2.5 10
1976-04-24 Dundee D 1-171.3 1665 1555 65.82% 21.45% 12.73%+1.06 -3.1 40
1976-04-24 @ Motherwell D 1-171.3 1555 1665 12.73% 21.45% 65.82%-1.06 +3.1 30
1976-04-26 Rangers D 0-069.6 1769 1838 48.05% 22.38% 29.57%+0.12 -1.1 46
1976-04-26 @ Celtic D 0-069.6 1838 1769 29.57% 22.38% 48.05%-0.12 +1.1 53
1976-04-26 Heart of Midlothian D 0-059.7 1392 1600 29.16% 22.06% 48.78%-0.62 +1.2 11
1976-04-26 @ St. Johnstone D 0-059.7 1600 1392 48.78% 22.06% 29.16%+0.62 -1.2 33
1976-04-28 Hibernian W 2-051.7 1609 1670 49.03% 22.37% 28.61%+0.16 +14.8 31
1976-04-28 @ Dundee United L 0-251.7 1670 1609 28.61% 22.37% 49.03%-0.16 -14.8 43
1976-05-01 Celtic L 3-564.4 1574 1768 31.03% 22.14% 46.83%-0.54 -11.5 31
1976-05-01 @ Ayr United W 5-364.4 1768 1574 46.83% 22.14% 31.03%+0.54 +11.5 48
1976-05-01 Motherwell W 1-056.5 1558 1662 43.29% 22.38% 34.32%-0.07 +9.0 32
1976-05-01 @ Dundee L 0-156.5 1662 1558 34.32% 22.38% 43.29%+0.07 -9.0 40
1976-05-03 Motherwell W 2-161.2 1563 1653 45.22% 22.39% 32.39%+0.00 +8.2 33
1976-05-03 @ Ayr United L 1-261.2 1653 1563 32.39% 22.39% 45.22%+0.00 -8.1 40
1976-05-03 Celtic W 1-061.8 1599 1780 32.75% 22.20% 45.05%-0.47 +11.2 35
1976-05-03 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-161.8 1780 1599 45.05% 22.20% 32.75%+0.47 -11.2 48
1976-05-04 Dundee United D 0-069.9 1839 1624 72.18% 20.31% 7.51%+1.61 -4.4 54
1976-05-04 @ Rangers D 0-069.9 1624 1839 7.51% 20.31% 72.18%-1.61 +4.4 32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1976-04-24 7.01% Ayr United 1558 2 @ Celtic 1786 1
2 1975-12-13 11.38% Aberdeen 1619 2 @ Celtic 1752 0
3 1975-11-15 11.53% Motherwell 1627 2 @ Celtic 1757 0
4 1976-03-20 12.31% Dundee United 1596 1 @ Hibernian 1714 0
5 1975-11-08 12.90% Heart of Midlothian 1592 2 @ Rangers 1700 1
6 1976-03-13 14.20% Dundee 1578 1 @ Aberdeen 1667 0
7 1976-04-07 15.69% Heart of Midlothian 1565 3 @ Aberdeen 1634 0
8 1975-10-18 16.58% Dundee 1592 2 @ Dundee United 1649 1
9 1975-09-13 17.35% Heart of Midlothian 1556 3 @ Dundee 1604 2
10 1975-11-15 19.35% Aberdeen 1607 2 @ Dundee United 1632 1
11 1976-02-21 20.21% Dundee United 1550 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1566 0
12 1976-04-03 20.60% Ayr United 1554 2 @ Dundee 1566 1
13 1975-10-25 20.73% Motherwell 1596 6 @ Dundee 1606 3
14 1975-09-13 21.59% Dundee United 1639 3 @ Aberdeen 1641 1
15 1975-12-13 21.73% Heart of Midlothian 1597 1 @ Dundee United 1597 0
16 1976-04-21 23.20% Heart of Midlothian 1585 1 @ Ayr United 1571 0
17 1976-02-21 23.31% Hibernian 1708 1 @ Motherwell 1694 0
18 1975-12-20 25.09% Celtic 1721 3 @ Hibernian 1691 1
19 1975-10-25 26.09% Heart of Midlothian 1580 1 @ St. Johnstone 1541 0
20 1976-01-01 26.40% Aberdeen 1648 3 @ Dundee 1606 1
21 1976-04-21 26.79% @ St. Johnstone 1371 2 Aberdeen 1599 0
22 1976-04-10 28.47% Motherwell 1666 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1607 1
23 1976-04-10 29.23% @ Dundee United 1611 3 Celtic 1819 2
24 1976-01-17 29.46% Motherwell 1647 4 @ Dundee United 1580 1
25 1976-01-10 29.97% Celtic 1738 3 @ Motherwell 1667 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-04-07 41.70 Heart of Midlothian 3 1565 15.69% @ Aberdeen 0 1634 62.51% 21.79%
2 1975-11-12 33.42 Celtic 7 1724 34.00% @ Ayr United 2 1622 43.62% 22.38%
3 1975-12-13 30.97 Aberdeen 2 1619 11.38% @ Celtic 0 1752 67.38% 21.24%
4 1975-11-15 30.89 Motherwell 2 1627 11.53% @ Celtic 0 1757 67.20% 21.26%
5 1976-04-03 29.28 Rangers 3 1792 35.19% @ Hibernian 0 1682 42.43% 22.38%
6 1975-10-11 29.20 @ Ayr United 3 1575 35.37% Rangers 0 1736 42.36% 22.27%
7 1976-01-17 27.49 Motherwell 4 1647 29.46% @ Dundee United 1 1580 48.16% 22.37%
8 1976-04-24 26.02 @ Aberdeen 3 1575 41.09% Hibernian 0 1696 36.54% 22.37%
9 1975-10-25 25.80 Motherwell 6 1596 20.73% @ Dundee 3 1606 57.12% 22.14%
10 1975-11-15 25.39 Rangers 5 1697 45.92% @ St. Johnstone 1 1510 31.91% 22.17%
11 1976-03-03 25.15 @ Dundee United 5 1571 58.30% Ayr United 0 1549 19.61% 22.09%
12 1976-04-21 23.65 @ St. Johnstone 2 1371 26.79% Aberdeen 0 1599 51.27% 21.94%
13 1975-09-13 22.41 Dundee United 3 1639 21.59% @ Aberdeen 1 1641 56.23% 22.18%
14 1975-12-20 21.05 Celtic 3 1721 25.09% @ Hibernian 1 1691 52.61% 22.30%
15 1976-01-01 20.56 Aberdeen 3 1648 26.40% @ Dundee 1 1606 51.27% 22.33%
16 1976-03-27 20.28 @ Ayr United 2 1533 34.94% Hibernian 0 1697 42.80% 22.26%
17 1976-03-27 19.92 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1545 51.50% Dundee 0 1586 26.17% 22.33%
18 1976-01-10 19.26 Celtic 3 1738 29.97% @ Motherwell 1 1667 47.65% 22.38%
19 1975-11-15 18.90 Hibernian 3 1668 30.98% @ Ayr United 1 1588 46.64% 22.38%
20 1975-09-06 18.80 Rangers 2 1710 38.76% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1574 38.90% 22.34%
21 1976-04-21 18.27 @ Hibernian 2 1677 40.16% Celtic 0 1804 37.49% 22.36%
22 1975-11-08 18.21 @ Motherwell 3 1609 54.25% Aberdeen 0 1625 23.49% 22.26%
23 1975-12-06 17.99 @ Dundee 2 1578 40.89% Hibernian 0 1700 36.75% 22.36%
24 1976-02-28 17.50 @ Celtic 4 1780 61.67% Hibernian 0 1721 16.46% 21.86%
25 1975-11-29 17.27 Celtic 3 1728 35.77% @ Dundee United 1 1613 41.86% 22.37%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-01-03 82.5 @ Celtic 3 1740 68.79% Dundee 3 1586 10.20% 21.01%
2 1975-11-29 81.4 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1607 49.66% Motherwell 3 1663 27.98% 22.36%
3 1976-01-17 81.1 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1579 44.78% Aberdeen 3 1673 32.83% 22.39%
4 1975-12-27 78.1 @ Aberdeen 2 1650 53.82% Hibernian 2 1670 23.91% 22.27%
5 1975-09-06 76.8 @ Aberdeen 2 1643 61.80% Motherwell 2 1583 16.35% 21.85%
6 1975-09-20 75.9 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1569 50.35% Aberdeen 2 1619 27.31% 22.35%
7 1975-12-06 75.6 @ Ayr United 2 1578 54.10% Dundee United 2 1596 23.64% 22.26%
8 1975-11-22 75.0 @ Dundee 2 1583 57.45% Ayr United 2 1569 20.42% 22.13%
9 1976-04-24 74.5 Ayr United 2 1558 7.01% @ Celtic 1 1786 72.86% 20.13%
10 1976-04-17 73.9 @ Celtic 1 1808 72.09% Aberdeen 1 1595 7.58% 20.33%
11 1975-12-10 73.7 @ Celtic 1 1755 62.89% Hibernian 1 1682 15.34% 21.76%
12 1975-11-01 73.6 @ Celtic 1 1737 59.91% Rangers 1 1698 18.10% 21.99%
13 1975-09-20 73.5 @ Rangers 1 1735 62.80% Hibernian 1 1663 15.43% 21.77%
14 1976-04-10 73.5 @ Dundee United 3 1611 29.23% Celtic 2 1819 48.71% 22.06%
15 1975-09-13 73.1 Heart of Midlothian 3 1556 17.35% @ Dundee 2 1604 60.72% 21.94%
16 1976-01-31 72.9 @ Dundee 1 1590 34.82% Rangers 1 1755 42.92% 22.26%
17 1975-11-08 72.6 @ Hibernian 1 1670 58.86% Dundee United 1 1642 19.08% 22.05%
18 1975-09-13 72.3 @ Motherwell 1 1585 40.79% Celtic 1 1707 36.85% 22.36%
19 1975-11-08 72.1 Heart of Midlothian 2 1592 12.90% @ Rangers 1 1700 65.63% 21.47%
20 1975-10-04 71.9 @ Hibernian 1 1671 64.01% Dundee 1 1584 14.34% 21.65%
21 1975-11-01 71.8 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1593 47.05% Hibernian 1 1669 30.56% 22.38%
22 1975-09-20 71.7 @ Dundee United 1 1661 63.20% Motherwell 1 1585 15.06% 21.73%
23 1976-04-24 71.3 @ Motherwell 1 1665 65.82% Dundee 1 1555 12.73% 21.45%
24 1976-04-14 70.9 @ Dundee 1 1548 41.54% Hibernian 1 1665 36.08% 22.37%
25 1975-11-15 70.4 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1607 58.67% Dundee 1 1581 19.27% 22.07%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-02-21 35.1 @ Dundee 3 1576 69.21% St. Johnstone 0 1415 9.85% 20.94%
2 1976-02-28 36.5 @ Aberdeen 3 1662 74.12% St. Johnstone 0 1407 6.11% 19.77%
3 1976-04-14 37.6 @ Motherwell 2 1678 76.23% St. Johnstone 0 1373 4.73% 19.04%
4 1976-01-31 38.7 @ Hibernian 5 1685 73.93% St. Johnstone 0 1434 6.24% 19.82%
5 1976-01-10 39.1 @ Rangers 4 1740 75.87% St. Johnstone 0 1444 4.95% 19.17%
6 1976-01-03 39.3 @ Ayr United 2 1558 65.47% St. Johnstone 0 1452 13.04% 21.49%
7 1975-12-27 40.5 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1612 68.75% St. Johnstone 0 1458 10.23% 21.02%
8 1976-04-24 41.0 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1598 71.61% St. Johnstone 0 1394 7.95% 20.44%
9 1976-03-27 41.8 Rangers 3 1782 67.06% @ St. Johnstone 0 1392 12.56% 20.38%
10 1976-04-10 42.7 @ Rangers 3 1822 74.75% Dundee 0 1552 5.68% 19.57%
11 1976-04-10 43.3 Hibernian 2 1653 55.85% @ St. Johnstone 0 1385 22.49% 21.66%
12 1976-03-03 43.4 @ Dundee United 5 1571 58.30% Ayr United 0 1549 19.61% 22.09%
13 1976-01-10 43.6 @ Hibernian 3 1685 66.46% Ayr United 0 1565 12.17% 21.37%
14 1975-12-13 43.9 @ Rangers 3 1710 67.37% Ayr United 0 1577 11.39% 21.24%
15 1976-02-07 44.2 @ Hibernian 4 1694 65.26% Dundee 0 1591 13.23% 21.52%
16 1976-04-03 45.0 @ Celtic 1 1818 80.60% St. Johnstone 0 1385 2.45% 16.95%
17 1976-03-27 45.2 @ Celtic 4 1806 67.27% Motherwell 0 1674 11.48% 21.25%
18 1975-09-06 45.3 @ Celtic 4 1691 62.68% Dundee 0 1620 15.54% 21.78%
19 1976-03-27 45.3 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1545 51.50% Dundee 0 1586 26.17% 22.33%
20 1975-10-18 45.4 @ Aberdeen 2 1614 62.18% St. Johnstone 0 1550 16.00% 21.82%
21 1976-01-01 45.8 @ Hibernian 3 1671 61.19% Heart of Midlothian 0 1618 16.91% 21.90%
22 1976-02-07 45.8 @ Celtic 2 1764 71.02% Heart of Midlothian 0 1571 8.40% 20.58%
23 1975-09-13 45.9 @ Rangers 2 1729 69.17% St. Johnstone 0 1568 9.89% 20.95%
24 1976-01-31 46.6 @ Motherwell 2 1675 64.72% Heart of Midlothian 0 1579 13.71% 21.58%
25 1976-02-28 46.9 @ Celtic 4 1780 61.67% Hibernian 0 1721 16.46% 21.86%