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1976-77 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

55 points · 30th Title

Last Title: 1973-74

Relegated

Kilmarnock

17 pts

Heart of Midlothian · 27 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

7.31 points above expected

55 points · 47.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kilmarnock

8.74 points below expected

17 points · 25.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic Champion 36 23 9 4 55 79 39 +40 47.69 +7.31
2 Rangers 36 18 10 8 46 62 37 +25 45.89 +0.11
3 Aberdeen 36 16 11 9 43 56 42 +14 39.23 +3.77
4 Dundee United 36 16 9 11 41 54 45 +9 39.67 +1.33
5 Partick Thistle 36 11 13 12 35 40 44 -4 30.79 +4.21
6 Hibernian 36 8 18 10 34 34 35 -1 35.94 -1.94
7 Motherwell 36 10 12 14 32 57 60 -3 35.43 -3.43
8 Ayr United 36 11 8 17 30 44 68 -24 27.75 +2.25
9 Heart of Midlothian Relegated 36 7 13 16 27 49 66 -17 31.87 -4.87
10 Kilmarnock Relegated 36 4 9 23 17 32 71 -39 25.74 -8.74

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 55 47.69 +7.31
2 Partick Thistle 35 30.79 +4.21
3 Aberdeen 43 39.23 +3.77
4 Ayr United 30 27.75 +2.25
5 Dundee United 41 39.67 +1.33

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kilmarnock 17 25.74 -8.74
2 Heart of Midlothian 27 31.87 -4.87
3 Motherwell 32 35.43 -3.43
4 Hibernian 34 35.94 -1.94
5 Rangers 46 45.89 +0.11

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ayr United 4 Mar 26 – Apr 9 1 in 1,239
2 Dundee United 5 Sep 4 – Oct 2 1 in 164
3 Celtic 8 Jan 8 – Feb 22 1 in 132
4 Rangers 6 Apr 2 – Apr 23 1 in 35
5 Motherwell 3 Nov 6 – Nov 24 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 4 Apr 13 – Apr 23 1 in 313
2 Heart of Midlothian 5 Mar 23 – Apr 9 1 in 71
3 Ayr United 3 Sep 11 – Sep 25 1 in 27
4 Kilmarnock 5 Nov 3 – Nov 27 1 in 25
5 Partick Thistle 3 Nov 6 – Nov 27 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ayr United 8 Mar 12 – Apr 13 1 in 143
2 Hibernian 8 Sep 11 – Oct 30 1 in 30
3 Dundee United 10 Feb 7 – Mar 19 1 in 24
4 Partick Thistle 6 Mar 15 – Apr 9 1 in 20
5 Heart of Midlothian 5 Apr 13 – Apr 30 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee United 7 Mar 26 – Apr 23 1 in 46
2 Rangers 5 Mar 8 – Mar 26 1 in 44
3 Heart of Midlothian 12 Feb 7 – Apr 16 1 in 39
4 Motherwell 7 Nov 27 – Feb 16 1 in 20
5 Aberdeen 5 Jan 8 – Feb 5 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Celtic 1734 55 +16 8 6.8 +1.2
Rangers 1712 46 +17 8 6.8 +1.2
Aberdeen 1595 43 +5 6 4.3 +1.7
Dundee United 1572 41 -39 3 5.3 -2.3
Partick Thistle 1536 35 +41 7 4.0 +3.0
Hibernian 1545 34 -7 4 5.5 -1.5
Motherwell 1550 32 -33 2 4.8 -2.8
Ayr United 1472 30 -24 2 4.2 -2.2
Heart of Midlothian 1471 27 +21 7 4.2 +2.8
Kilmarnock 1363 17 -12 3 3.7 -0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE AU CEL DU HOM HIB KIL MOT PT RAN
Aberdeen —
2-1-1
6.95
2-1-1
3.82
2-0-2
5.18
1-2-1
6.30
1-3-0
6.09
4-0-0
7.40
3-1-0
5.92
0-2-2
6.90
1-1-2
4.04
Ayr United
1-1-2
3.84
 —
0-0-4
2.55
1-1-2
3.67
1-2-1
4.99
0-0-4
4.05
2-1-1
5.66
3-0-1
4.08
3-1-0
4.63
0-2-2
2.64
Celtic
1-1-2
6.92
4-0-0
8.34
 —
3-0-1
6.45
3-1-0
7.64
2-2-0
7.45
4-0-0
8.21
1-2-1
7.75
3-1-0
8.30
2-2-0
5.26
Dundee United
2-0-2
5.52
2-1-1
7.10
1-0-3
4.26
 —
1-2-1
6.64
3-1-0
5.90
3-0-1
7.59
1-2-1
6.00
2-2-0
6.84
1-1-2
4.04
Heart of Midlothian
1-2-1
4.40
1-2-1
5.71
0-1-3
3.15
1-2-1
4.10
 —
0-2-2
4.61
1-2-1
6.49
2-1-1
4.73
1-1-2
5.78
0-0-4
3.12
Hibernian
0-3-1
4.62
4-0-0
6.67
0-2-2
3.32
0-1-3
4.81
2-2-0
6.10
 —
2-2-0
7.14
0-2-2
5.41
0-3-1
6.00
0-3-1
3.60
Kilmarnock
0-0-4
3.37
1-1-2
5.06
0-0-4
2.71
1-0-3
3.20
1-2-1
4.23
0-2-2
3.65
 —
0-2-2
4.20
0-1-3
4.41
1-1-2
2.56
Motherwell
0-1-3
4.80
1-0-3
6.65
1-2-1
3.05
1-2-1
4.71
1-1-2
5.96
2-2-0
5.29
2-2-0
6.54
 —
1-2-1
5.95
1-0-3
3.48
Partick Thistle
2-2-0
3.85
0-1-3
6.07
0-1-3
2.59
0-2-2
3.90
2-1-1
4.92
1-3-0
4.71
3-1-0
6.30
1-2-1
4.75
 —
2-0-2
2.94
Rangers
2-1-1
6.69
2-2-0
8.23
0-2-2
5.43
2-1-1
6.68
4-0-0
7.68
1-3-0
7.16
2-1-1
8.32
3-0-1
7.28
2-0-2
7.89
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +6.3
Allowed 0.64 -6.1
Differential 0.96 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%7.22%5.56%1.94%1.39%0.28%24.72%
17.22%13.89%7.78%2.50%1.94%1.39%34.72%
25.56%7.78%8.33%2.22%1.39%—25.28%
31.94%2.50%2.22%0.56%0.56%—7.78%
41.39%1.94%1.39%0.56%—0.28%5.56%
5+0.28%1.39%——0.28%—1.94%
Total24.72%34.72%25.28%7.78%5.56%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.70
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%5.56%———25.00%
15.56%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—22.22%
28.33%13.89%8.33%2.78%——33.33%
3—5.56%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%38.89%25.00%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.17 +0.39
SD 1.25 1.00 1.52
CV 0.81 0.86 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%11.11%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
18.33%13.89%2.78%—8.33%5.56%38.89%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%25.00%5.56%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.89 -0.67
SD 1.10 1.58 2.01
CV 0.90 0.84 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
111.11%8.33%2.78%———22.22%
213.89%8.33%16.67%———38.89%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
42.78%2.78%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total33.33%30.56%30.56%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 1.08 +1.11
SD 1.35 0.94 1.60
CV 0.61 0.87 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
18.33%11.11%5.56%——2.78%27.78%
22.78%13.89%2.78%5.56%——25.00%
32.78%—5.56%———8.33%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total27.78%41.67%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.25 +0.25
SD 1.36 1.20 1.87
CV 0.91 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
15.56%16.67%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%47.22%
2—8.33%16.67%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
3——2.78%—2.78%—5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total11.11%30.56%36.11%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.83 -0.47
SD 0.90 1.21 1.44
CV 0.66 0.66 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%11.11%2.78%———33.33%
18.33%25.00%11.11%———44.44%
25.56%2.78%5.56%—2.78%—16.67%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%41.67%22.22%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 0.97 -0.03
SD 0.86 0.91 0.97
CV 0.91 0.94 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%11.11%5.56%11.11%—44.44%
15.56%8.33%13.89%11.11%——38.89%
2—2.78%8.33%———11.11%
3———————
4—————2.78%2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total13.89%22.22%33.33%16.67%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.97 -1.08
SD 1.24 1.30 1.76
CV 1.39 0.66 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%11.11%———16.67%
1—19.44%5.56%5.56%5.56%—36.11%
25.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+————2.78%—2.78%
Total16.67%33.33%27.78%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.67 -0.08
SD 1.20 1.22 1.76
CV 0.76 0.73 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
12.78%16.67%11.11%——2.78%33.33%
28.33%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—25.00%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%41.67%19.44%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.22 -0.11
SD 1.04 1.17 1.41
CV 0.93 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%————16.67%
116.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%——36.11%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
35.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%—16.67%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total38.89%33.33%16.67%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.03 +0.69
SD 1.32 1.08 1.49
CV 0.77 1.05 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1734 55 47.69 +7.31 97.0% 37 41 43 48 51 55 58
Rangers 1712 46 45.89 +0.11 58.0% 33 38 43 46 49 53 55
Aberdeen 1595 43 39.23 +3.77 81.0% 27 31 36 39 43 46 49
Dundee United 1572 41 39.67 +1.33 65.0% 28 30 36 39 44 49 53
Motherwell 1550 32 35.43 -3.43 27.0% 22 27 32 36 39 43 44
Hibernian 1545 34 35.94 -1.94 39.0% 23 26 32 36 40 43 51
Partick Thistle 1536 35 30.79 +4.21 86.0% 19 23 27 31 34 37 40
Ayr United 1472 30 27.75 +2.25 77.0% 19 20 25 28 30 35 42
Heart of Midlothian 1471 27 31.87 -4.87 21.0% 22 24 28 31 35 41 46
Kilmarnock 1363 17 25.74 -8.74 2.0% 17 18 22 25 29 33 37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.78%
Slight Edge
43.33%31.11%25.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge
196 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
062.43500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
58%
Celtic, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.25/gm
Runaway
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.83 * Some Luck: 3.83 to 5.74 * Lucky: 5.74 to 7.65 * Wild Swing: 7.65 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.99 * Close: 0.99 to 1.49 * Off: 1.49 to 1.98 * Way Off: 1.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.65 * A Surprise: 0.65 to 1.04 * Several Surprises: 1.04 to 1.43 * Many Surprises: 1.43 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.56 points
Some Luck
04.7812
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.242.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.00%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.00%
Kilmarnock
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.62

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 110.59
2.15
Strong Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
64%
Even
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Even
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.95
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Strong Carryover
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.80
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.98
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.076
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Celtic58.00%20.00%13.00%7.00%2.00%—————
Rangers31.00%45.00%15.00%6.00%2.00%—1.00%———
Aberdeen2.00%14.00%22.00%20.00%22.00%12.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%—
Dundee United7.00%16.00%21.00%19.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%—
Partick Thistle——1.00%3.00%11.00%14.00%22.00%27.00%12.00%10.00%
Hibernian2.00%2.00%12.00%24.00%17.00%14.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%
Motherwell—3.00%11.00%12.00%18.00%24.00%16.00%8.00%3.00%5.00%
Ayr United——2.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%9.00%18.00%37.00%26.00%
Heart of Midlothian——3.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%19.00%20.00%17.00%8.00%
Kilmarnock————2.00%4.00%9.00%13.00%22.00%50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Celtic 100% —
Rangers 100% —
Dundee United 99.00% 1.00%
Aberdeen 98.00% 2.00%
Hibernian 93.00% 7.00%
Motherwell 92.00% 8.00%
Partick Thistle 78.00% 22.00%
Heart of Midlothian 75.00% 25.00%
Ayr United 37.00% 63.00%
Kilmarnock 28.00% 72.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1976-09-04 Heart of Midlothian D 2-267.8 1527 1531 45.68% 32.66% 21.66%+0.30 -0.8 1
1976-09-04 @ Aberdeen D 2-267.8 1531 1527 21.66% 32.66% 45.68%-0.30 +0.8 1
1976-09-04 Rangers D 2-273.8 1635 1681 40.49% 32.97% 26.54%+0.08 -0.5 1
1976-09-04 @ Celtic D 2-273.8 1681 1635 26.54% 32.97% 40.49%-0.08 +0.5 1
1976-09-04 Dundee United L 1-264.8 1560 1545 47.82% 32.42% 19.76%+0.39 -10.2 0
1976-09-04 @ Hibernian W 2-164.8 1545 1560 19.76% 32.42% 47.82%-0.39 +10.3 2
1976-09-04 Motherwell D 1-162.0 1501 1554 39.60% 32.98% 27.42%+0.05 -0.5 1
1976-09-04 @ Kilmarnock D 1-162.0 1554 1501 27.42% 32.98% 39.60%-0.05 +0.6 1
1976-09-04 Ayr United L 0-252.4 1511 1506 46.71% 32.55% 20.73%+0.34 -20.1 0
1976-09-04 @ Partick Thistle W 2-052.4 1506 1511 20.73% 32.55% 46.71%-0.34 +20.1 2
1976-09-11 Aberdeen L 0-552.3 1526 1526 46.09% 32.62% 21.29%+0.32 -46.5 2
1976-09-11 @ Ayr United W 5-052.3 1526 1526 21.29% 32.62% 46.09%-0.32 +46.5 3
1976-09-11 Celtic W 1-056.9 1555 1634 36.07% 32.98% 30.95%-0.08 +7.9 4
1976-09-11 @ Dundee United L 0-156.9 1634 1555 30.95% 32.98% 36.07%+0.08 -7.9 1
1976-09-11 Partick Thistle D 0-056.7 1532 1491 50.57% 32.00% 17.42%+0.52 -1.8 2
1976-09-11 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-056.7 1491 1532 17.42% 32.00% 50.57%-0.52 +1.8 1
1976-09-11 Hibernian D 2-269.4 1554 1550 46.66% 32.56% 20.78%+0.34 -0.9 2
1976-09-11 @ Motherwell D 2-269.4 1550 1554 20.78% 32.56% 46.66%-0.34 +0.9 1
1976-09-11 Kilmarnock D 0-063.0 1681 1501 62.98% 28.05% 8.97%+1.24 -3.2 2
1976-09-11 @ Rangers D 0-063.0 1501 1681 8.97% 28.05% 62.98%-1.24 +3.2 2
1976-09-18 Kilmarnock W 2-044.7 1573 1504 53.44% 31.41% 15.15%+0.67 +8.7 5
1976-09-18 @ Aberdeen L 0-244.7 1504 1573 15.15% 31.41% 53.44%-0.67 -8.7 2
1976-09-18 Dundee United L 1-453.1 1480 1563 35.47% 32.97% 31.56%-0.11 -19.9 2
1976-09-18 @ Ayr United W 4-153.1 1563 1480 31.56% 32.97% 35.47%+0.11 +19.9 6
1976-09-18 Heart of Midlothian D 2-271.5 1626 1530 56.01% 30.73% 13.27%+0.81 -1.6 2
1976-09-18 @ Celtic D 2-271.5 1530 1626 13.27% 30.73% 56.01%-0.81 +1.6 3
1976-09-18 Rangers D 1-167.0 1551 1678 29.48% 32.64% 37.88%-0.33 +0.4 2
1976-09-18 @ Hibernian D 1-167.0 1678 1551 37.88% 32.64% 29.48%+0.33 -0.4 3
1976-09-18 Motherwell W 2-048.1 1493 1554 38.56% 33.00% 28.44%+0.01 +14.0 3
1976-09-18 @ Partick Thistle L 0-248.1 1554 1493 28.44% 33.00% 38.56%-0.01 -14.0 2
1976-09-25 Partick Thistle W 2-154.0 1583 1507 54.10% 31.25% 14.65%+0.71 +4.2 8
1976-09-25 @ Dundee United L 1-254.0 1507 1583 14.65% 31.25% 54.10%-0.71 -4.2 3
1976-09-25 Aberdeen D 0-060.2 1551 1581 42.44% 32.89% 24.67%+0.16 -0.9 3
1976-09-25 @ Hibernian D 0-060.2 1581 1551 24.67% 32.89% 42.44%-0.16 +0.9 6
1976-09-25 Celtic L 0-448.6 1495 1625 29.17% 32.62% 38.22%-0.34 -26.9 2
1976-09-25 @ Kilmarnock W 4-048.6 1625 1495 38.22% 32.62% 29.17%+0.34 +26.9 4
1976-09-25 Ayr United W 4-144.6 1540 1460 54.47% 31.16% 14.38%+0.72 +10.2 4
1976-09-25 @ Motherwell L 1-444.6 1460 1540 14.38% 31.16% 54.47%-0.72 -10.2 2
1976-09-25 Heart of Midlothian W 4-256.0 1677 1531 60.25% 29.24% 10.50%+1.06 +4.8 5
1976-09-25 @ Rangers L 2-456.0 1531 1677 10.50% 29.24% 60.25%-1.06 -4.8 3
1976-10-02 Rangers D 1-165.3 1450 1682 18.26% 30.55% 51.20%-0.87 +1.6 3
1976-10-02 @ Ayr United D 1-165.3 1682 1450 51.20% 30.55% 18.26%+0.87 -1.6 6
1976-10-02 Hibernian D 1-167.1 1652 1550 56.47% 30.59% 12.94%+0.84 -2.2 5
1976-10-02 @ Celtic D 1-167.1 1550 1652 12.94% 30.59% 56.47%-0.84 +2.2 4
1976-10-02 Motherwell W 2-047.6 1587 1550 50.24% 32.06% 17.70%+0.51 +9.9 10
1976-10-02 @ Dundee United L 0-247.6 1550 1587 17.70% 32.06% 50.24%-0.51 -9.9 4
1976-10-02 Kilmarnock D 2-265.8 1527 1468 52.40% 31.64% 15.95%+0.62 -1.3 4
1976-10-02 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-265.8 1468 1527 15.95% 31.64% 52.40%-0.62 +1.3 3
1976-10-02 Aberdeen D 2-268.6 1503 1582 35.98% 32.98% 31.04%-0.09 -0.2 4
1976-10-02 @ Partick Thistle D 2-268.6 1582 1503 31.04% 32.98% 35.98%+0.09 +0.2 7
1976-10-09 Ayr United D 2-265.2 1525 1451 53.93% 31.29% 14.77%+0.70 -1.5 5
1976-10-09 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-265.2 1451 1525 14.77% 31.29% 53.93%-0.70 +1.5 4
1976-10-16 Celtic L 0-247.5 1453 1649 21.54% 31.45% 47.01%-0.68 -11.3 4
1976-10-16 @ Ayr United W 2-047.5 1649 1453 47.01% 31.45% 21.54%+0.68 +11.3 7
1976-10-16 Partick Thistle D 0-058.0 1552 1502 51.52% 31.83% 16.66%+0.57 -1.9 5
1976-10-16 @ Hibernian D 0-058.0 1502 1552 16.66% 31.83% 51.52%-0.57 +1.9 5
1976-10-16 Heart of Midlothian D 1-162.5 1540 1524 47.92% 32.41% 19.67%+0.40 -1.3 5
1976-10-16 @ Motherwell D 1-162.5 1524 1540 19.67% 32.41% 47.92%-0.40 +1.3 6
1976-10-16 Aberdeen W 1-052.4 1681 1583 56.15% 30.68% 13.16%+0.82 +4.1 8
1976-10-16 @ Rangers L 0-152.4 1583 1681 13.16% 30.68% 56.15%-0.82 -4.1 7
1976-10-20 Dundee United W 5-151.4 1661 1597 52.91% 31.53% 15.55%+0.64 +14.0 9
1976-10-20 @ Celtic L 1-551.4 1597 1661 15.55% 31.53% 52.91%-0.64 -14.0 10
1976-10-23 Celtic W 2-164.3 1578 1675 33.68% 32.91% 33.41%-0.17 +7.8 9
1976-10-23 @ Aberdeen L 1-264.3 1675 1578 33.41% 32.91% 33.68%+0.17 -7.8 9
1976-10-23 Hibernian L 2-361.1 1441 1550 31.91% 32.82% 35.28%-0.24 -7.2 4
1976-10-23 @ Ayr United W 3-261.1 1550 1441 35.28% 32.82% 31.91%+0.24 +7.2 7
1976-10-23 Dundee United L 1-262.4 1525 1583 38.95% 32.99% 28.06%+0.02 -8.7 6
1976-10-23 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-162.4 1583 1525 28.06% 32.99% 38.95%-0.02 +8.7 12
1976-10-23 Rangers W 3-162.2 1538 1685 27.10% 32.40% 40.50%-0.43 +15.4 7
1976-10-23 @ Motherwell L 1-362.2 1685 1538 40.50% 32.40% 27.10%+0.43 -15.4 8
1976-10-23 Kilmarnock W 2-151.0 1504 1469 49.98% 32.10% 17.91%+0.50 +5.0 7
1976-10-23 @ Partick Thistle L 1-251.0 1469 1504 17.91% 32.10% 49.98%-0.50 -5.0 3
1976-10-26 Hibernian D 1-160.8 1464 1557 34.14% 32.93% 32.93%-0.16 -0.0 4
1976-10-26 @ Kilmarnock D 1-160.8 1557 1464 32.93% 32.93% 34.14%+0.16 +0.1 8
1976-10-30 Dundee United W 3-264.2 1586 1592 45.48% 32.68% 21.84%+0.29 +5.5 11
1976-10-30 @ Aberdeen L 2-364.2 1592 1586 21.84% 32.68% 45.48%-0.29 -5.5 12
1976-10-30 Motherwell W 2-047.5 1667 1554 57.47% 30.27% 12.26%+0.89 +7.2 11
1976-10-30 @ Celtic L 0-247.5 1554 1667 12.26% 30.27% 57.47%-0.89 -7.2 7
1976-10-30 Heart of Midlothian D 1-163.0 1558 1517 50.62% 31.99% 17.39%+0.53 -1.6 9
1976-10-30 @ Hibernian D 1-163.0 1517 1558 17.39% 31.99% 50.62%-0.53 +1.6 7
1976-10-30 Ayr United W 6-141.0 1464 1434 49.49% 32.18% 18.33%+0.47 +19.6 6
1976-10-30 @ Kilmarnock L 1-641.0 1434 1464 18.33% 32.18% 49.49%-0.47 -19.6 4
1976-10-30 Rangers W 2-165.2 1509 1669 25.49% 32.18% 42.32%-0.50 +9.2 9
1976-10-30 @ Partick Thistle L 1-265.2 1669 1509 42.32% 32.18% 25.49%+0.50 -9.2 8
1976-11-02 Motherwell W 3-153.0 1592 1547 51.04% 31.92% 17.05%+0.55 +8.3 13
1976-11-02 @ Aberdeen L 1-353.0 1547 1592 17.05% 31.92% 51.04%-0.55 -8.3 7
1976-11-03 Kilmarnock W 3-041.6 1586 1484 56.51% 30.58% 12.92%+0.84 +10.9 14
1976-11-03 @ Dundee United L 0-341.6 1484 1586 12.92% 30.58% 56.51%-0.84 -10.9 6
1976-11-06 Partick Thistle W 2-154.7 1414 1519 32.58% 32.86% 34.56%-0.21 +8.0 6
1976-11-06 @ Ayr United L 1-254.7 1519 1414 34.56% 32.86% 32.58%+0.21 -8.0 9
1976-11-06 Hibernian W 2-157.0 1597 1556 50.64% 31.99% 17.37%+0.53 +4.9 16
1976-11-06 @ Dundee United L 1-257.0 1556 1597 17.37% 31.99% 50.64%-0.53 -4.9 9
1976-11-06 Kilmarnock W 5-460.4 1538 1473 53.07% 31.50% 15.43%+0.65 +4.0 9
1976-11-06 @ Motherwell L 4-560.4 1473 1538 15.43% 31.50% 53.07%-0.65 -4.0 6
1976-11-09 Dundee United W 3-047.8 1660 1602 52.36% 31.65% 15.98%+0.61 +13.2 10
1976-11-09 @ Rangers L 0-347.8 1602 1660 15.98% 31.65% 52.36%-0.61 -13.2 16
1976-11-10 Aberdeen W 2-160.4 1518 1600 35.68% 32.97% 31.35%-0.10 +7.5 9
1976-11-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-260.4 1600 1518 31.35% 32.97% 35.68%+0.10 -7.5 13
1976-11-13 Rangers L 0-446.4 1469 1673 20.83% 31.28% 47.89%-0.72 -20.8 6
1976-11-13 @ Kilmarnock W 4-046.4 1673 1469 47.89% 31.28% 20.83%+0.72 +20.8 12
1976-11-20 Ayr United D 2-267.3 1589 1422 61.88% 28.56% 9.57%+1.17 -2.0 17
1976-11-20 @ Dundee United D 2-267.3 1422 1589 9.57% 28.56% 61.88%-1.17 +2.0 7
1976-11-20 Celtic L 3-468.9 1526 1674 26.84% 32.37% 40.80%-0.44 -6.2 9
1976-11-20 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-368.9 1674 1526 40.80% 32.37% 26.84%+0.44 +6.2 13
1976-11-20 Aberdeen L 1-256.4 1448 1593 27.35% 32.43% 40.23%-0.42 -6.8 6
1976-11-20 @ Kilmarnock W 2-156.4 1593 1448 40.23% 32.43% 27.35%+0.42 +6.8 15
1976-11-20 Partick Thistle W 3-043.0 1542 1511 49.65% 32.16% 18.19%+0.48 +14.6 11
1976-11-20 @ Motherwell L 0-343.0 1511 1542 18.19% 32.16% 49.65%-0.48 -14.6 9
1976-11-20 Hibernian D 1-168.3 1694 1551 60.01% 29.34% 10.65%+1.05 -2.6 13
1976-11-20 @ Rangers D 1-168.3 1551 1694 10.65% 29.34% 60.01%-1.05 +2.6 10
1976-11-24 Ayr United W 1-043.8 1599 1424 62.54% 28.26% 9.20%+1.21 +2.9 17
1976-11-24 @ Aberdeen L 0-143.8 1424 1599 9.20% 28.26% 62.54%-1.21 -2.9 7
1976-11-24 Motherwell L 0-255.4 1554 1557 45.71% 32.66% 21.64%+0.30 -19.8 10
1976-11-24 @ Hibernian W 2-055.4 1557 1554 21.64% 32.66% 45.71%-0.30 +19.8 13
1976-11-24 Celtic L 0-164.5 1692 1680 47.39% 32.47% 20.13%+0.38 -10.8 13
1976-11-24 @ Rangers W 1-064.5 1680 1692 20.13% 32.47% 47.39%-0.38 +10.8 15
1976-11-27 Hibernian W 1-050.3 1602 1534 53.37% 31.43% 15.21%+0.67 +4.6 19
1976-11-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-150.3 1534 1602 15.21% 31.43% 53.37%-0.67 -4.6 10
1976-11-27 Motherwell W 4-153.1 1422 1577 26.04% 32.26% 41.70%-0.47 +22.3 9
1976-11-27 @ Ayr United L 1-453.1 1577 1422 41.70% 32.26% 26.04%+0.47 -22.3 13
1976-11-27 Kilmarnock W 2-151.2 1691 1442 68.00% 25.39% 6.62%+1.59 +1.9 17
1976-11-27 @ Celtic L 1-251.2 1442 1691 6.62% 25.39% 68.00%-1.59 -1.9 6
1976-11-27 Rangers L 0-155.3 1519 1681 25.33% 32.16% 42.51%-0.50 -6.8 9
1976-11-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-055.3 1681 1519 42.51% 32.16% 25.33%+0.50 +6.8 15
1976-11-27 Dundee United L 1-553.1 1496 1587 34.46% 32.94% 32.61%-0.14 -25.2 9
1976-11-27 @ Partick Thistle W 5-153.1 1587 1496 32.61% 32.94% 34.46%+0.14 +25.2 19
1976-11-30 Heart of Midlothian W 2-154.1 1471 1513 41.01% 32.95% 26.04%+0.10 +6.6 11
1976-11-30 @ Partick Thistle L 1-254.1 1513 1471 26.04% 32.95% 41.01%-0.10 -6.6 9
1976-12-11 Heart of Midlothian L 0-151.2 1444 1506 38.36% 33.00% 28.64%+0.00 -9.1 9
1976-12-11 @ Ayr United W 1-051.2 1506 1444 28.64% 33.00% 38.36%+0.00 +9.1 11
1976-12-18 Ayr United W 3-039.9 1693 1435 68.59% 25.04% 6.38%+1.63 +5.2 19
1976-12-18 @ Celtic L 0-339.9 1435 1693 6.38% 25.04% 68.59%-1.63 -5.2 9
1976-12-18 Motherwell W 2-157.1 1515 1555 41.33% 32.94% 25.73%+0.12 +6.5 13
1976-12-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-257.1 1555 1515 25.73% 32.94% 41.33%-0.12 -6.5 13
1976-12-18 Dundee United W 1-056.3 1440 1612 24.11% 31.96% 43.93%-0.56 +10.0 8
1976-12-18 @ Kilmarnock L 0-156.3 1612 1440 43.93% 31.96% 24.11%+0.56 -10.1 19
1976-12-18 Hibernian D 1-160.2 1477 1529 39.72% 32.98% 27.30%+0.05 -0.6 12
1976-12-18 @ Partick Thistle D 1-160.2 1529 1477 27.30% 32.98% 39.72%-0.05 +0.5 11
1976-12-24 Ayr United W 1-043.2 1530 1430 56.34% 30.63% 13.03%+0.83 +4.0 13
1976-12-24 @ Hibernian L 0-143.2 1430 1530 13.03% 30.63% 56.34%-0.83 -4.0 9
1976-12-26 Aberdeen D 2-274.4 1698 1607 55.53% 30.86% 13.60%+0.78 -1.6 20
1976-12-26 @ Celtic D 2-274.4 1607 1698 13.60% 30.86% 55.53%-0.78 +1.6 20
1976-12-26 Motherwell W 1-050.8 1687 1548 59.72% 29.46% 10.82%+1.03 +3.4 17
1976-12-26 @ Rangers L 0-150.8 1548 1687 10.82% 29.46% 59.72%-1.03 -3.4 13
1976-12-27 Heart of Midlothian D 1-164.9 1602 1522 54.49% 31.15% 14.36%+0.73 -2.0 20
1976-12-27 @ Dundee United D 1-164.9 1522 1602 14.36% 31.15% 54.49%-0.73 +2.0 14
1976-12-27 Partick Thistle D 0-052.9 1450 1477 42.86% 32.87% 24.27%+0.18 -1.0 9
1976-12-27 @ Kilmarnock D 0-052.9 1477 1450 24.27% 32.87% 42.86%-0.18 +1.0 13
1977-01-01 Kilmarnock W 3-146.1 1426 1449 43.35% 32.84% 23.81%+0.20 +10.7 11
1977-01-01 @ Ayr United L 1-346.1 1449 1426 23.81% 32.84% 43.35%-0.20 -10.7 9
1977-01-01 Partick Thistle W 1-047.6 1691 1478 65.41% 26.83% 7.76%+1.40 +2.4 19
1977-01-01 @ Rangers L 0-147.6 1478 1691 7.76% 26.83% 65.41%-1.40 -2.4 13
1977-01-03 Heart of Midlothian W 4-149.1 1608 1524 54.92% 31.04% 14.05%+0.75 +9.9 22
1977-01-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-449.1 1524 1608 14.05% 31.04% 54.92%-0.75 -10.0 14
1977-01-03 Motherwell D 2-265.0 1438 1545 32.25% 32.84% 34.92%-0.22 +0.1 10
1977-01-03 @ Kilmarnock D 2-265.0 1545 1438 34.92% 32.84% 32.25%+0.22 -0.1 14
1977-01-05 Dundee United D 0-060.2 1534 1600 37.85% 33.00% 29.16%-0.02 -0.4 14
1977-01-05 @ Hibernian D 0-060.2 1600 1534 29.16% 33.00% 37.85%+0.02 +0.4 21
1977-01-08 Aberdeen D 0-058.0 1436 1618 23.05% 31.77% 45.18%-0.61 +1.2 12
1977-01-08 @ Ayr United D 0-058.0 1618 1436 45.18% 31.77% 23.05%+0.61 -1.1 23
1977-01-08 Celtic L 1-265.0 1600 1697 33.67% 32.91% 33.42%-0.17 -7.8 21
1977-01-08 @ Dundee United W 2-165.0 1697 1600 33.42% 32.91% 33.67%+0.17 +7.8 22
1977-01-08 Partick Thistle W 1-046.1 1514 1475 50.34% 32.04% 17.61%+0.51 +5.2 16
1977-01-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-146.1 1475 1514 17.61% 32.04% 50.34%-0.51 -5.2 13
1977-01-08 Hibernian D 1-163.0 1545 1533 47.38% 32.48% 20.14%+0.37 -1.3 15
1977-01-08 @ Motherwell D 1-163.0 1533 1545 20.14% 32.48% 47.38%-0.37 +1.3 15
1977-01-08 Kilmarnock W 3-040.0 1693 1438 68.38% 25.16% 6.46%+1.62 +5.3 21
1977-01-08 @ Rangers L 0-340.0 1438 1693 6.46% 25.16% 68.38%-1.62 -5.3 10
1977-01-11 Rangers W 1-056.7 1704 1699 46.79% 32.55% 20.67%+0.35 +5.9 24
1977-01-11 @ Celtic L 0-156.7 1699 1704 20.67% 32.55% 46.79%-0.35 -5.9 21
1977-01-12 Partick Thistle D 1-164.3 1617 1470 60.34% 29.21% 10.45%+1.07 -2.6 24
1977-01-12 @ Aberdeen D 1-164.3 1470 1617 10.45% 29.21% 60.34%-1.07 +2.6 14
1977-01-19 Rangers D 3-377.7 1615 1693 36.21% 32.98% 30.81%-0.08 -0.1 25
1977-01-19 @ Aberdeen D 3-377.7 1693 1615 30.81% 32.98% 36.21%+0.08 +0.1 22
1977-01-22 Aberdeen D 0-060.7 1535 1614 35.97% 32.98% 31.05%-0.09 -0.2 16
1977-01-22 @ Hibernian D 0-060.7 1614 1535 31.05% 32.98% 35.97%+0.09 +0.2 26
1977-01-22 Celtic L 1-351.7 1433 1710 14.89% 29.18% 55.93%-1.10 -7.1 10
1977-01-22 @ Kilmarnock W 3-151.7 1710 1433 55.93% 29.18% 14.89%+1.10 +7.1 26
1977-01-22 Ayr United L 2-463.0 1543 1437 56.84% 30.47% 12.69%+0.86 -18.5 15
1977-01-22 @ Motherwell W 4-263.0 1437 1543 12.69% 30.47% 56.84%-0.86 +18.5 14
1977-01-22 Heart of Midlothian W 3-259.9 1693 1519 62.46% 28.29% 9.25%+1.20 +2.6 24
1977-01-22 @ Rangers L 2-359.9 1519 1693 9.25% 28.29% 62.46%-1.20 -2.6 16
1977-01-26 Hibernian L 0-156.6 1516 1534 43.98% 32.80% 23.23%+0.23 -10.2 16
1977-01-26 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-056.6 1534 1516 23.23% 32.80% 43.98%-0.23 +10.1 18
1977-02-05 Rangers L 0-247.5 1456 1695 17.71% 30.36% 51.94%-0.90 -9.6 14
1977-02-05 @ Ayr United W 2-047.5 1695 1456 51.94% 30.36% 17.71%+0.90 +9.6 26
1977-02-05 Hibernian W 4-256.3 1717 1545 62.38% 28.33% 9.29%+1.20 +4.2 28
1977-02-05 @ Celtic L 2-456.3 1545 1717 9.29% 28.33% 62.38%-1.20 -4.2 18
1977-02-05 Kilmarnock W 4-037.0 1506 1426 54.53% 31.14% 14.33%+0.73 +15.7 18
1977-02-05 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-437.0 1426 1506 14.33% 31.14% 54.53%-0.73 -15.7 10
1977-02-05 Aberdeen W 2-161.8 1473 1615 27.64% 32.46% 39.91%-0.40 +8.8 16
1977-02-05 @ Partick Thistle L 1-261.8 1615 1473 39.91% 32.46% 27.64%+0.40 -8.8 26
1977-02-07 Kilmarnock W 2-039.3 1606 1410 64.13% 27.49% 8.38%+1.32 +4.9 28
1977-02-07 @ Aberdeen L 0-239.3 1410 1606 8.38% 27.49% 64.13%-1.32 -4.9 10
1977-02-07 Dundee United L 1-450.3 1446 1592 27.13% 32.40% 40.47%-0.43 -16.5 14
1977-02-07 @ Ayr United W 4-150.3 1592 1446 40.47% 32.40% 27.13%+0.43 +16.5 23
1977-02-07 Heart of Midlothian W 5-147.7 1722 1522 64.42% 27.34% 8.23%+1.34 +7.6 30
1977-02-07 @ Celtic L 1-547.7 1522 1722 8.23% 27.34% 64.42%-1.34 -7.6 18
1977-02-12 Partick Thistle W 2-044.2 1729 1482 67.86% 25.46% 6.67%+1.58 +3.8 32
1977-02-12 @ Celtic L 0-244.2 1482 1729 6.67% 25.46% 67.86%-1.58 -3.8 16
1977-02-12 Hibernian L 0-147.9 1405 1540 28.47% 32.55% 38.98%-0.37 -7.4 10
1977-02-12 @ Kilmarnock W 1-047.9 1540 1405 38.98% 32.55% 28.47%+0.37 +7.4 20
1977-02-12 Dundee United L 2-376.3 1705 1609 55.96% 30.74% 13.30%+0.81 -11.2 26
1977-02-12 @ Rangers W 3-276.3 1609 1705 13.30% 30.74% 55.96%-0.81 +11.2 25
1977-02-15 Heart of Midlothian W 2-154.5 1398 1514 30.89% 32.75% 36.36%-0.28 +8.3 12
1977-02-15 @ Kilmarnock L 1-254.5 1514 1398 36.36% 32.75% 30.89%+0.28 -8.2 18
1977-02-16 Motherwell D 1-165.6 1620 1525 55.90% 30.76% 13.34%+0.80 -2.1 26
1977-02-16 @ Dundee United D 1-165.6 1525 1620 13.34% 30.76% 55.90%-0.80 +2.2 16
1977-02-16 Rangers D 0-063.0 1548 1694 27.14% 32.40% 40.46%-0.43 +0.7 21
1977-02-16 @ Hibernian D 0-063.0 1694 1548 40.46% 32.40% 27.14%+0.43 -0.7 27
1977-02-16 Ayr United L 0-153.3 1478 1430 51.34% 31.86% 16.80%+0.56 -11.6 16
1977-02-16 @ Partick Thistle W 1-053.3 1430 1478 16.80% 31.86% 51.34%-0.56 +11.6 16
1977-02-19 Celtic L 2-456.0 1441 1733 13.97% 28.71% 57.32%-1.17 -6.0 16
1977-02-19 @ Ayr United W 4-256.0 1733 1441 57.32% 28.71% 13.97%+1.17 +6.0 34
1977-02-19 Kilmarnock W 4-037.2 1618 1406 65.32% 26.88% 7.80%+1.40 +8.6 28
1977-02-19 @ Dundee United L 0-437.2 1406 1618 7.80% 26.88% 65.32%-1.40 -8.6 12
1977-02-19 Partick Thistle D 1-161.1 1548 1466 54.68% 31.10% 14.22%+0.74 -2.0 22
1977-02-19 @ Hibernian D 1-161.1 1466 1548 14.22% 31.10% 54.68%-0.74 +2.0 17
1977-02-19 Heart of Midlothian W 2-153.7 1527 1506 48.45% 32.34% 19.21%+0.42 +5.3 18
1977-02-19 @ Motherwell L 1-253.7 1506 1527 19.21% 32.34% 48.45%-0.42 -5.3 18
1977-02-19 Aberdeen W 1-053.4 1693 1611 54.70% 31.09% 14.21%+0.74 +4.4 29
1977-02-19 @ Rangers L 0-153.4 1611 1693 14.21% 31.09% 54.70%-0.74 -4.3 28
1977-02-22 Celtic L 2-457.4 1468 1739 15.35% 29.41% 55.24%-1.06 -6.5 17
1977-02-22 @ Partick Thistle W 4-257.4 1739 1468 55.24% 29.41% 15.35%+1.06 +6.5 36
1977-03-01 Partick Thistle D 0-060.1 1626 1462 61.75% 28.61% 9.64%+1.16 -3.0 29
1977-03-01 @ Dundee United D 0-060.1 1462 1626 9.64% 28.61% 61.75%-1.16 +3.0 18
1977-03-05 Celtic W 2-058.2 1606 1745 27.99% 32.50% 39.51%-0.39 +17.5 30
1977-03-05 @ Aberdeen L 0-258.2 1745 1606 39.51% 32.50% 27.99%+0.39 -17.5 36
1977-03-05 Hibernian L 1-255.6 1435 1546 31.65% 32.80% 35.55%-0.25 -7.5 16
1977-03-05 @ Ayr United W 2-155.6 1546 1435 35.55% 32.80% 31.65%+0.25 +7.5 24
1977-03-05 Dundee United D 1-164.4 1501 1623 30.10% 32.69% 37.21%-0.31 +0.3 19
1977-03-05 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-164.4 1623 1501 37.21% 32.69% 30.10%+0.31 -0.3 30
1977-03-05 Rangers L 0-252.0 1532 1697 24.88% 32.09% 43.03%-0.52 -12.6 18
1977-03-05 @ Motherwell W 2-052.0 1697 1532 43.03% 32.09% 24.88%+0.52 +12.6 31
1977-03-05 Kilmarnock W 3-142.8 1465 1398 53.27% 31.45% 15.28%+0.66 +7.6 20
1977-03-05 @ Partick Thistle L 1-342.8 1398 1465 15.28% 31.45% 53.27%-0.66 -7.6 12
1977-03-08 Rangers D 0-064.1 1623 1710 34.98% 32.95% 32.07%-0.12 -0.1 31
1977-03-08 @ Dundee United D 0-064.1 1710 1623 32.07% 32.95% 34.98%+0.12 +0.1 32
1977-03-09 Partick Thistle W 2-152.8 1728 1472 68.41% 25.14% 6.45%+1.62 +1.8 38
1977-03-09 @ Celtic L 1-252.8 1472 1728 6.45% 25.14% 68.41%-1.62 -1.8 20
1977-03-09 Kilmarnock W 2-037.4 1554 1390 61.69% 28.64% 9.67%+1.15 +5.7 26
1977-03-09 @ Hibernian L 0-237.4 1390 1554 9.67% 28.64% 61.69%-1.15 -5.7 12
1977-03-12 Dundee United L 0-162.6 1624 1623 46.22% 32.61% 21.17%+0.32 -10.6 30
1977-03-12 @ Aberdeen W 1-062.6 1623 1624 21.17% 32.61% 46.22%-0.32 +10.6 33
1977-03-12 Ayr United L 0-147.7 1384 1428 40.77% 32.96% 26.27%+0.10 -9.6 12
1977-03-12 @ Kilmarnock W 1-047.7 1428 1384 26.27% 32.96% 40.77%-0.10 +9.6 18
1977-03-15 Rangers W 4-375.4 1471 1710 17.69% 30.35% 51.96%-0.90 +10.1 22
1977-03-15 @ Partick Thistle L 3-475.4 1710 1471 51.96% 30.35% 17.69%+0.90 -10.0 32
1977-03-16 Motherwell D 2-274.7 1730 1520 65.20% 26.94% 7.86%+1.39 -2.3 39
1977-03-16 @ Celtic D 2-274.7 1520 1730 7.86% 26.94% 65.20%-1.39 +2.3 19
1977-03-16 Aberdeen W 3-264.8 1634 1613 48.39% 32.35% 19.26%+0.42 +5.0 35
1977-03-16 @ Dundee United L 2-364.8 1613 1634 19.26% 32.35% 48.39%-0.42 -5.0 30
1977-03-19 Partick Thistle D 1-157.0 1438 1481 40.85% 32.95% 26.20%+0.10 -0.7 19
1977-03-19 @ Ayr United D 1-157.0 1481 1438 26.20% 32.95% 40.85%-0.10 +0.7 23
1977-03-19 Hibernian W 1-051.6 1639 1560 54.38% 31.18% 14.44%+0.72 +4.4 37
1977-03-19 @ Dundee United L 0-151.6 1560 1639 14.44% 31.18% 54.38%-0.72 -4.4 26
1977-03-19 Aberdeen D 1-163.9 1501 1608 32.16% 32.83% 35.01%-0.23 +0.1 20
1977-03-19 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-163.9 1608 1501 35.01% 32.83% 32.16%+0.23 -0.1 31
1977-03-19 Kilmarnock W 2-036.1 1522 1375 60.35% 29.21% 10.45%+1.07 +6.2 21
1977-03-19 @ Motherwell L 0-236.1 1375 1522 10.45% 29.21% 60.35%-1.07 -6.2 12
1977-03-19 Celtic D 2-274.8 1700 1728 42.84% 32.87% 24.29%+0.18 -0.6 33
1977-03-19 @ Rangers D 2-274.8 1728 1700 24.29% 32.87% 42.84%-0.18 +0.6 40
1977-03-23 Motherwell W 2-155.3 1608 1528 54.50% 31.15% 14.35%+0.73 +4.1 33
1977-03-23 @ Aberdeen L 1-255.3 1528 1608 14.35% 31.15% 54.50%-0.73 -4.1 21
1977-03-23 Heart of Midlothian W 3-150.0 1555 1501 51.94% 31.74% 16.32%+0.59 +8.0 28
1977-03-23 @ Hibernian L 1-350.0 1501 1555 16.32% 31.74% 51.94%-0.59 -8.0 20
1977-03-23 Ayr United D 1-167.1 1700 1437 68.90% 24.85% 6.25%+1.66 -3.3 34
1977-03-23 @ Rangers D 1-167.1 1437 1700 6.25% 24.85% 68.90%-1.66 +3.3 20
1977-03-26 Ayr United L 0-257.1 1612 1440 62.34% 28.35% 9.31%+1.20 -25.8 33
1977-03-26 @ Aberdeen W 2-057.1 1440 1612 9.31% 28.35% 62.34%-1.20 +25.8 22
1977-03-26 Dundee United W 2-050.3 1728 1643 54.97% 31.02% 14.01%+0.75 +8.1 42
1977-03-26 @ Celtic L 0-250.3 1643 1728 14.01% 31.02% 54.97%-0.75 -8.1 37
1977-03-26 Motherwell L 1-264.9 1563 1524 50.44% 32.03% 17.53%+0.52 -10.7 28
1977-03-26 @ Hibernian W 2-164.9 1524 1563 17.53% 32.03% 50.44%-0.52 +10.7 23
1977-03-26 Rangers W 1-060.5 1369 1696 11.89% 27.40% 60.71%-1.35 +13.1 14
1977-03-26 @ Kilmarnock L 0-160.5 1696 1369 60.71% 27.40% 11.89%+1.35 -13.1 34
1977-03-26 Heart of Midlothian W 2-043.6 1481 1493 44.70% 32.74% 22.56%+0.26 +11.9 25
1977-03-26 @ Partick Thistle L 0-243.6 1493 1481 22.56% 32.74% 44.70%-0.26 -11.9 20
1977-03-30 Celtic D 1-168.3 1552 1736 22.87% 31.74% 45.40%-0.62 +1.0 29
1977-03-30 @ Hibernian D 1-168.3 1736 1552 45.40% 31.74% 22.87%+0.62 -1.0 43
1977-03-30 Motherwell D 0-056.6 1493 1535 41.07% 32.95% 25.99%+0.11 -0.8 26
1977-03-30 @ Partick Thistle D 0-056.6 1535 1493 25.99% 32.95% 41.07%-0.11 +0.8 24
1977-04-02 Ayr United L 0-162.4 1635 1466 62.08% 28.47% 9.46%+1.18 -13.6 37
1977-04-02 @ Dundee United W 1-062.4 1466 1635 9.46% 28.47% 62.08%-1.18 +13.6 24
1977-04-02 Celtic L 0-346.6 1481 1735 16.58% 29.93% 53.48%-0.97 -13.1 20
1977-04-02 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-046.6 1735 1481 53.48% 29.93% 16.58%+0.97 +13.1 45
1977-04-02 Aberdeen L 1-251.4 1382 1587 20.75% 31.26% 47.98%-0.73 -5.5 14
1977-04-02 @ Kilmarnock W 2-151.4 1587 1382 47.98% 31.26% 20.75%+0.73 +5.5 35
1977-04-02 Partick Thistle D 1-161.3 1535 1492 50.82% 31.96% 17.22%+0.54 -1.6 25
1977-04-02 @ Motherwell D 1-161.3 1492 1535 17.22% 31.96% 50.82%-0.54 +1.6 27
1977-04-02 Hibernian W 2-156.4 1683 1553 58.90% 29.77% 11.34%+0.98 +3.3 36
1977-04-02 @ Rangers L 1-256.4 1553 1683 11.34% 29.77% 58.90%-0.98 -3.3 29
1977-04-05 Aberdeen D 1-164.4 1534 1592 38.87% 32.99% 28.14%+0.02 -0.5 26
1977-04-05 @ Motherwell D 1-164.4 1592 1534 28.14% 32.99% 38.87%-0.02 +0.5 36
1977-04-06 Ayr United L 1-258.3 1468 1480 44.78% 32.74% 22.48%+0.26 -9.7 20
1977-04-06 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-158.3 1480 1468 22.48% 32.74% 44.78%-0.26 +9.7 26
1977-04-09 Hibernian D 0-060.8 1593 1550 50.76% 31.97% 17.27%+0.53 -1.8 37
1977-04-09 @ Aberdeen D 0-060.8 1550 1593 17.27% 31.97% 50.76%-0.53 +1.8 30
1977-04-09 Motherwell W 3-260.6 1489 1533 40.75% 32.96% 26.29%+0.09 +6.3 28
1977-04-09 @ Ayr United L 2-360.6 1533 1489 26.29% 32.96% 40.75%-0.09 -6.3 26
1977-04-09 Kilmarnock W 1-043.3 1748 1376 75.85% 20.25% 3.90%+2.21 +1.0 47
1977-04-09 @ Celtic L 0-143.3 1376 1748 3.90% 20.25% 75.85%-2.21 -1.0 14
1977-04-09 Rangers L 1-353.3 1459 1686 18.68% 30.68% 50.64%-0.84 -8.7 20
1977-04-09 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-153.3 1686 1459 50.64% 30.68% 18.68%+0.84 +8.7 38
1977-04-09 Dundee United D 0-059.8 1494 1621 29.49% 32.64% 37.86%-0.33 +0.4 28
1977-04-09 @ Partick Thistle D 0-059.8 1621 1494 37.86% 32.64% 29.49%+0.33 -0.4 38
1977-04-13 Kilmarnock D 1-156.4 1496 1375 58.12% 30.05% 11.83%+0.93 -2.4 29
1977-04-13 @ Ayr United D 1-156.4 1375 1496 11.83% 30.05% 58.12%-0.93 +2.4 15
1977-04-13 Aberdeen L 2-373.1 1621 1591 49.47% 32.19% 18.35%+0.47 -10.0 38
1977-04-13 @ Dundee United W 3-273.1 1591 1621 18.35% 32.19% 49.47%-0.47 +10.0 39
1977-04-13 Hibernian D 2-265.7 1450 1552 32.87% 32.87% 34.26%-0.20 +0.0 21
1977-04-13 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-265.7 1552 1450 34.26% 32.87% 32.87%+0.20 -0.0 31
1977-04-13 Celtic W 3-058.0 1527 1749 19.15% 30.83% 50.03%-0.82 +30.6 28
1977-04-13 @ Motherwell L 0-358.0 1749 1527 50.03% 30.83% 19.15%+0.82 -30.5 47
1977-04-13 Partick Thistle W 2-153.7 1695 1494 64.50% 27.31% 8.20%+1.34 +2.4 40
1977-04-13 @ Rangers L 1-253.7 1494 1695 8.20% 27.31% 64.50%-1.34 -2.4 28
1977-04-16 Partick Thistle L 0-257.5 1601 1492 57.09% 30.39% 12.52%+0.87 -24.0 39
1977-04-16 @ Aberdeen W 2-057.5 1492 1601 12.52% 30.39% 57.09%-0.87 +24.0 30
1977-04-16 Celtic L 0-156.4 1552 1719 24.70% 32.06% 43.24%-0.53 -6.7 31
1977-04-16 @ Hibernian W 1-056.4 1719 1552 43.24% 32.06% 24.70%+0.53 +6.7 49
1977-04-16 Heart of Midlothian D 2-259.9 1378 1450 36.97% 32.99% 30.04%-0.05 -0.2 16
1977-04-16 @ Kilmarnock D 2-259.9 1450 1378 30.04% 32.99% 36.97%+0.05 +0.2 22
1977-04-16 Ayr United W 5-146.5 1697 1493 64.76% 27.17% 8.07%+1.36 +7.4 42
1977-04-16 @ Rangers L 1-546.5 1493 1697 8.07% 27.17% 64.76%-1.36 -7.4 29
1977-04-17 Dundee United W 4-049.6 1558 1611 39.53% 32.99% 27.48%+0.05 +25.9 30
1977-04-17 @ Motherwell L 0-449.6 1611 1558 27.48% 32.99% 39.53%-0.05 -25.9 38
1977-04-20 Aberdeen W 4-151.0 1725 1577 60.47% 29.16% 10.37%+1.08 +7.5 51
1977-04-20 @ Celtic L 1-451.0 1577 1725 10.37% 29.16% 60.47%-1.08 -7.5 39
1977-04-20 Heart of Midlothian L 1-265.0 1585 1450 59.32% 29.61% 11.07%+1.00 -12.4 38
1977-04-20 @ Dundee United W 2-165.0 1450 1585 11.07% 29.61% 59.32%-1.00 +12.4 24
1977-04-20 Ayr United W 2-043.4 1545 1486 52.49% 31.62% 15.88%+0.62 +9.0 33
1977-04-20 @ Hibernian L 0-243.4 1486 1545 15.88% 31.62% 52.49%-0.62 -9.0 29
1977-04-20 Partick Thistle L 1-347.9 1377 1516 28.03% 32.50% 39.47%-0.39 -11.9 16
1977-04-20 @ Kilmarnock W 3-147.9 1516 1377 39.47% 32.50% 28.03%+0.39 +11.9 32
1977-04-20 Motherwell W 4-151.5 1705 1583 58.20% 30.02% 11.78%+0.94 +8.5 44
1977-04-20 @ Rangers L 1-451.5 1583 1705 11.78% 30.02% 58.20%-0.94 -8.5 30
1977-04-23 Heart of Midlothian D 1-157.9 1477 1463 47.73% 32.43% 19.84%+0.39 -1.3 30
1977-04-23 @ Ayr United D 1-157.9 1463 1477 19.84% 32.43% 47.73%-0.39 +1.3 25
1977-04-23 Rangers L 0-157.6 1572 1713 27.76% 32.47% 39.77%-0.40 -7.2 38
1977-04-23 @ Dundee United W 1-057.6 1713 1572 39.77% 32.47% 27.76%+0.40 +7.2 46
1977-04-23 Kilmarnock D 0-054.2 1554 1365 63.62% 27.74% 8.64%+1.28 -3.2 34
1977-04-23 @ Hibernian D 0-054.2 1365 1554 8.64% 27.74% 63.62%-1.28 +3.2 17
1977-04-23 Aberdeen L 1-362.3 1575 1569 46.77% 32.55% 20.69%+0.35 -17.4 30
1977-04-23 @ Motherwell W 3-162.3 1569 1575 20.69% 32.55% 46.77%-0.35 +17.4 41
1977-04-23 Celtic D 1-168.0 1528 1733 20.75% 31.26% 47.99%-0.73 +1.3 33
1977-04-23 @ Partick Thistle D 1-168.0 1733 1528 47.99% 31.26% 20.75%+0.73 -1.3 52
1977-04-30 Rangers W 2-166.6 1587 1721 28.63% 32.56% 38.80%-0.36 +8.6 43
1977-04-30 @ Aberdeen L 1-266.6 1721 1587 38.80% 32.56% 28.63%+0.36 -8.6 46
1977-04-30 Ayr United W 2-043.9 1732 1475 68.46% 25.12% 6.43%+1.62 +3.6 54
1977-04-30 @ Celtic L 0-243.9 1475 1732 6.43% 25.12% 68.46%-1.62 -3.6 30
1977-04-30 Motherwell W 3-262.6 1464 1558 34.05% 32.92% 33.03%-0.16 +7.3 27
1977-04-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-362.6 1558 1464 33.03% 32.92% 34.05%+0.16 -7.3 30
1977-04-30 Dundee United L 1-250.4 1369 1565 21.56% 31.46% 46.98%-0.68 -5.6 17
1977-04-30 @ Kilmarnock W 2-150.4 1565 1369 46.98% 31.46% 21.56%+0.68 +5.6 40
1977-04-30 Hibernian W 1-051.5 1529 1551 43.51% 32.83% 23.66%+0.21 +6.5 35
1977-04-30 @ Partick Thistle L 0-151.5 1551 1529 23.66% 32.83% 43.51%-0.21 -6.5 34
1977-05-04 Dundee United D 1-164.3 1550 1571 43.66% 32.82% 23.52%+0.21 -0.9 31
1977-05-04 @ Motherwell D 1-164.3 1571 1550 23.52% 32.82% 43.66%-0.21 +0.9 41
1977-05-10 Celtic D 2-273.8 1549 1735 22.64% 31.69% 45.67%-0.63 +0.8 32
1977-05-10 @ Motherwell D 2-273.8 1735 1549 45.67% 31.69% 22.64%+0.63 -0.8 55

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1977-03-26 9.31% Ayr United 1440 2 @ Aberdeen 1612 0
2 1977-04-02 9.46% Ayr United 1466 1 @ Dundee United 1635 0
3 1977-04-20 11.07% Heart of Midlothian 1450 2 @ Dundee United 1585 1
4 1977-03-26 11.89% @ Kilmarnock 1369 1 Rangers 1696 0
5 1977-04-16 12.52% Partick Thistle 1492 2 @ Aberdeen 1601 0
6 1977-01-22 12.69% Ayr United 1437 4 @ Motherwell 1543 2
7 1977-02-12 13.30% Dundee United 1609 3 @ Rangers 1705 2
8 1977-02-16 16.80% Ayr United 1430 1 @ Partick Thistle 1478 0
9 1977-03-26 17.53% Motherwell 1524 2 @ Hibernian 1563 1
10 1977-03-15 17.69% @ Partick Thistle 1471 4 Rangers 1710 3
11 1977-04-13 18.35% Aberdeen 1591 3 @ Dundee United 1621 2
12 1977-04-13 19.15% @ Motherwell 1527 3 Celtic 1749 0
13 1976-09-04 19.76% Dundee United 1545 2 @ Hibernian 1560 1
14 1976-11-24 20.13% Celtic 1680 1 @ Rangers 1692 0
15 1977-04-23 20.69% Aberdeen 1569 3 @ Motherwell 1575 1
16 1976-09-04 20.73% Ayr United 1506 2 @ Partick Thistle 1511 0
17 1977-03-12 21.17% Dundee United 1623 1 @ Aberdeen 1624 0
18 1976-09-11 21.29% Aberdeen 1526 5 @ Ayr United 1526 0
19 1976-11-24 21.64% Motherwell 1557 2 @ Hibernian 1554 0
20 1977-04-06 22.48% Ayr United 1480 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1468 1
21 1977-01-26 23.23% Hibernian 1534 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1516 0
22 1976-12-18 24.11% @ Kilmarnock 1440 1 Dundee United 1612 0
23 1976-10-30 25.49% @ Partick Thistle 1509 2 Rangers 1669 1
24 1976-11-27 26.04% @ Ayr United 1422 4 Motherwell 1577 1
25 1977-03-12 26.27% Ayr United 1428 1 @ Kilmarnock 1384 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1976-09-11 46.52 Aberdeen 5 1526 21.29% @ Ayr United 0 1526 46.09% 32.62%
2 1977-04-13 30.56 @ Motherwell 3 1527 19.15% Celtic 0 1749 50.03% 30.83%
3 1976-09-25 26.90 Celtic 4 1625 38.22% @ Kilmarnock 0 1495 29.17% 32.62%
4 1977-04-17 25.93 @ Motherwell 4 1558 39.53% Dundee United 0 1611 27.48% 32.99%
5 1977-03-26 25.80 Ayr United 2 1440 9.31% @ Aberdeen 0 1612 62.34% 28.35%
6 1976-11-27 25.18 Dundee United 5 1587 32.61% @ Partick Thistle 1 1496 34.46% 32.94%
7 1977-04-16 23.95 Partick Thistle 2 1492 12.52% @ Aberdeen 0 1601 57.09% 30.39%
8 1976-11-27 22.32 @ Ayr United 4 1422 26.04% Motherwell 1 1577 41.70% 32.26%
9 1976-11-13 20.81 Rangers 4 1673 47.89% @ Kilmarnock 0 1469 20.83% 31.28%
10 1976-09-04 20.11 Ayr United 2 1506 20.73% @ Partick Thistle 0 1511 46.71% 32.55%
11 1976-09-18 19.90 Dundee United 4 1563 31.56% @ Ayr United 1 1480 35.47% 32.97%
12 1976-11-24 19.75 Motherwell 2 1557 21.64% @ Hibernian 0 1554 45.71% 32.66%
13 1976-10-30 19.64 @ Kilmarnock 6 1464 49.49% Ayr United 1 1434 18.33% 32.18%
14 1977-01-22 18.48 Ayr United 4 1437 12.69% @ Motherwell 2 1543 56.84% 30.47%
15 1977-03-05 17.51 @ Aberdeen 2 1606 27.99% Celtic 0 1745 39.51% 32.50%
16 1977-04-23 17.44 Aberdeen 3 1569 20.69% @ Motherwell 1 1575 46.77% 32.55%
17 1977-02-07 16.47 Dundee United 4 1592 40.47% @ Ayr United 1 1446 27.13% 32.40%
18 1977-02-05 15.69 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1506 54.53% Kilmarnock 0 1426 14.33% 31.14%
19 1976-10-23 15.44 @ Motherwell 3 1538 27.10% Rangers 1 1685 40.50% 32.40%
20 1976-11-20 14.65 @ Motherwell 3 1542 49.65% Partick Thistle 0 1511 18.19% 32.16%
21 1976-10-20 14.03 @ Celtic 5 1661 52.91% Dundee United 1 1597 15.55% 31.53%
22 1976-09-18 14.00 @ Partick Thistle 2 1493 38.56% Motherwell 0 1554 28.44% 33.00%
23 1977-04-02 13.64 Ayr United 1 1466 9.46% @ Dundee United 0 1635 62.08% 28.47%
24 1976-11-09 13.18 @ Rangers 3 1660 52.36% Dundee United 0 1602 15.98% 31.65%
25 1977-04-02 13.11 Celtic 3 1735 53.48% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1481 16.58% 29.93%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-01-19 77.7 @ Aberdeen 3 1615 36.21% Rangers 3 1693 30.81% 32.98%
2 1977-02-12 76.3 Dundee United 3 1609 13.30% @ Rangers 2 1705 55.96% 30.74%
3 1977-03-15 75.4 @ Partick Thistle 4 1471 17.69% Rangers 3 1710 51.96% 30.35%
4 1977-03-19 74.8 @ Rangers 2 1700 42.84% Celtic 2 1728 24.29% 32.87%
5 1977-03-16 74.7 @ Celtic 2 1730 65.20% Motherwell 2 1520 7.86% 26.94%
6 1976-12-26 74.4 @ Celtic 2 1698 55.53% Aberdeen 2 1607 13.60% 30.86%
7 1976-09-04 73.8 @ Celtic 2 1635 40.49% Rangers 2 1681 26.54% 32.97%
8 1977-05-10 73.8 @ Motherwell 2 1549 22.64% Celtic 2 1735 45.67% 31.69%
9 1977-04-13 73.1 Aberdeen 3 1591 18.35% @ Dundee United 2 1621 49.47% 32.19%
10 1976-09-18 71.5 @ Celtic 2 1626 56.01% Heart of Midlothian 2 1530 13.27% 30.73%
11 1976-09-11 69.4 @ Motherwell 2 1554 46.66% Hibernian 2 1550 20.78% 32.56%
12 1976-11-20 68.9 Celtic 4 1674 40.80% @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1526 26.84% 32.37%
13 1976-10-02 68.6 @ Partick Thistle 2 1503 35.98% Aberdeen 2 1582 31.04% 32.98%
14 1976-11-20 68.3 @ Rangers 1 1694 60.01% Hibernian 1 1551 10.65% 29.34%
15 1977-03-30 68.3 @ Hibernian 1 1552 22.87% Celtic 1 1736 45.40% 31.74%
16 1977-04-23 68.0 @ Partick Thistle 1 1528 20.75% Celtic 1 1733 47.99% 31.26%
17 1976-09-04 67.8 @ Aberdeen 2 1527 45.68% Heart of Midlothian 2 1531 21.66% 32.66%
18 1976-11-20 67.3 @ Dundee United 2 1589 61.88% Ayr United 2 1422 9.57% 28.56%
19 1976-10-02 67.1 @ Celtic 1 1652 56.47% Hibernian 1 1550 12.94% 30.59%
20 1977-03-23 67.1 @ Rangers 1 1700 68.90% Ayr United 1 1437 6.25% 24.85%
21 1976-09-18 67.0 @ Hibernian 1 1551 29.48% Rangers 1 1678 37.88% 32.64%
22 1977-04-30 66.6 @ Aberdeen 2 1587 28.63% Rangers 1 1721 38.80% 32.56%
23 1976-10-02 65.8 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1527 52.40% Kilmarnock 2 1468 15.95% 31.64%
24 1977-04-13 65.7 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1450 32.87% Hibernian 2 1552 34.26% 32.87%
25 1977-02-16 65.6 @ Dundee United 1 1620 55.90% Motherwell 1 1525 13.34% 30.76%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-03-19 36.1 @ Motherwell 2 1522 60.35% Kilmarnock 0 1375 10.45% 29.21%
2 1977-02-05 37.0 @ Heart of Midlothian 4 1506 54.53% Kilmarnock 0 1426 14.33% 31.14%
3 1977-02-19 37.2 @ Dundee United 4 1618 65.32% Kilmarnock 0 1406 7.80% 26.88%
4 1977-03-09 37.4 @ Hibernian 2 1554 61.69% Kilmarnock 0 1390 9.67% 28.64%
5 1977-02-07 39.3 @ Aberdeen 2 1606 64.13% Kilmarnock 0 1410 8.38% 27.49%
6 1976-12-18 39.9 @ Celtic 3 1693 68.59% Ayr United 0 1435 6.38% 25.04%
7 1977-01-08 40.0 @ Rangers 3 1693 68.38% Kilmarnock 0 1438 6.46% 25.16%
8 1976-10-30 41.0 @ Kilmarnock 6 1464 49.49% Ayr United 1 1434 18.33% 32.18%
9 1976-11-03 41.6 @ Dundee United 3 1586 56.51% Kilmarnock 0 1484 12.92% 30.58%
10 1977-03-05 42.8 @ Partick Thistle 3 1465 53.27% Kilmarnock 1 1398 15.28% 31.45%
11 1976-11-20 43.0 @ Motherwell 3 1542 49.65% Partick Thistle 0 1511 18.19% 32.16%
12 1976-12-24 43.2 @ Hibernian 1 1530 56.34% Ayr United 0 1430 13.03% 30.63%
13 1977-04-09 43.3 @ Celtic 1 1748 75.85% Kilmarnock 0 1376 3.90% 20.25%
14 1977-04-20 43.4 @ Hibernian 2 1545 52.49% Ayr United 0 1486 15.88% 31.62%
15 1977-03-26 43.6 @ Partick Thistle 2 1481 44.70% Heart of Midlothian 0 1493 22.56% 32.74%
16 1976-11-24 43.8 @ Aberdeen 1 1599 62.54% Ayr United 0 1424 9.20% 28.26%
17 1977-04-30 43.9 @ Celtic 2 1732 68.46% Ayr United 0 1475 6.43% 25.12%
18 1977-02-12 44.2 @ Celtic 2 1729 67.86% Partick Thistle 0 1482 6.67% 25.46%
19 1976-09-25 44.6 @ Motherwell 4 1540 54.47% Ayr United 1 1460 14.38% 31.16%
20 1976-09-18 44.7 @ Aberdeen 2 1573 53.44% Kilmarnock 0 1504 15.15% 31.41%
21 1977-01-01 46.1 @ Ayr United 3 1426 43.35% Kilmarnock 1 1449 23.81% 32.84%
22 1977-01-08 46.1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1514 50.34% Partick Thistle 0 1475 17.61% 32.04%
23 1976-11-13 46.4 Rangers 4 1673 47.89% @ Kilmarnock 0 1469 20.83% 31.28%
24 1977-04-16 46.5 @ Rangers 5 1697 64.76% Ayr United 1 1493 8.07% 27.17%
25 1977-04-02 46.6 Celtic 3 1735 53.48% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1481 16.58% 29.93%