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1977-78 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

55 points · 37th Title

Last Title: 1975-76

Relegated

Clydebank (old)

19 pts

Ayr United · 24 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Aberdeen

8.63 points above expected

53 points · 44.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Clydebank (old)

6.87 points below expected

19 points · 25.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers Champion 36 24 7 5 55 76 39 +37 47.76 +7.24
2 Aberdeen 36 22 9 5 53 68 29 +39 44.37 +8.63
3 Dundee United 36 16 8 12 40 42 32 +10 39.47 +0.53
4 Hibernian 36 15 7 14 37 51 43 +8 34.86 +2.14
5 Celtic 36 15 6 15 36 63 54 +9 42.06 -6.06
6 Motherwell 36 13 7 16 33 45 52 -7 32.50 +0.50
7 Partick Thistle 36 14 5 17 33 52 64 -12 32.39 +0.61
8 St. Mirren 36 11 8 17 30 52 63 -11 35.18 -5.18
9 Ayr United Relegated 36 9 6 21 24 36 68 -32 25.54 -1.54
10 Clydebank (old) Relegated 36 6 7 23 19 23 64 -41 25.87 -6.87

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aberdeen 53 44.37 +8.63
2 Rangers 55 47.76 +7.24
3 Hibernian 37 34.86 +2.14
4 Partick Thistle 33 32.39 +0.61
5 Dundee United 40 39.47 +0.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Clydebank (old) 19 25.87 -6.87
2 Celtic 36 42.06 -6.06
3 St. Mirren 30 35.18 -5.18
4 Ayr United 24 25.54 -1.54
5 Motherwell 33 32.50 +0.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 6 Sep 24 – Oct 29 1 in 66
2 Motherwell 4 Dec 31 – Jan 14 1 in 53
3 Hibernian 5 Mar 11 – Mar 25 1 in 36
4 Partick Thistle 4 Oct 8 – Oct 29 1 in 28
5 Dundee United 4 Sep 10 – Oct 1 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 5 Dec 31 – Feb 25 1 in 424
2 Clydebank (old) 7 Nov 12 – Jan 2 1 in 75
3 Motherwell 4 Apr 8 – Apr 29 1 in 61
4 Ayr United 7 Mar 11 – Apr 8 1 in 60
5 St. Mirren 4 Dec 31 – Jan 14 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aberdeen 18 Dec 24 – Apr 29 1 in 174
2 Rangers 15 Aug 27 – Dec 17 1 in 133
3 Partick Thistle 8 Oct 8 – Nov 26 1 in 65
4 Dundee United 7 Aug 13 – Oct 1 1 in 44
5 Celtic 8 Oct 22 – Dec 24 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ayr United 13 Jan 7 – Apr 15 1 in 44
2 Celtic 5 Aug 13 – Sep 17 1 in 24
3 Partick Thistle 7 Mar 18 – Apr 8 1 in 17
4 Hibernian 6 Oct 22 – Nov 26 1 in 15
5 St. Mirren 5 Dec 31 – Feb 4 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rangers 1724 55 +34 9 7.3 +1.7
Aberdeen 1759 53 +28 9 7.7 +1.3
Dundee United 1564 40 -38 4 6.0 -2.0
Hibernian 1555 37 -16 4 5.4 -1.4
Celtic 1602 36 -33 5 6.6 -1.6
Partick Thistle 1474 33 +45 6 4.0 +2.0
Motherwell 1499 33 -42 2 4.7 -2.7
St. Mirren 1482 30 -4 4 4.0 +0.0
Ayr United 1397 24 +51 5 2.4 +2.6
Clydebank (old) 1368 19 +18 5 3.3 +1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE AU CEL C( DU HIB MOT PT RAN SM
Aberdeen —
2-2-0
8.11
2-1-1
6.26
3-1-0
7.59
2-2-0
6.56
1-1-2
7.71
2-2-0
7.26
3-0-1
7.81
3-0-1
4.47
4-0-0
7.38
Ayr United
0-2-2
3.11
—
2-0-2
3.24
3-1-0
5.43
0-0-4
3.26
2-0-2
3.54
0-1-3
4.31
0-1-3
4.46
0-1-3
2.32
2-0-2
4.23
Celtic
1-1-2
4.92
2-0-2
7.96
—
2-1-1
8.62
3-1-0
5.85
2-1-1
6.30
1-0-3
6.76
3-0-1
7.00
1-1-2
4.42
0-1-3
6.99
Clydebank (old)
0-1-3
3.63
0-1-3
5.75
1-1-2
2.59
—
1-0-3
3.54
1-0-3
4.33
2-0-2
4.20
1-1-2
4.69
0-0-4
2.21
0-3-1
4.50
Dundee United
0-2-2
4.62
4-0-0
7.95
0-1-3
5.34
3-0-1
7.66
—
1-2-1
5.96
2-2-0
6.45
2-1-1
6.60
0-0-4
4.47
4-0-0
6.07
Hibernian
2-1-1
3.49
2-0-2
7.66
1-1-2
4.88
3-0-1
6.85
1-2-1
5.22
—
2-1-1
5.86
1-0-3
6.62
1-2-1
3.94
2-0-2
5.73
Motherwell
0-2-2
3.93
3-1-0
6.88
3-0-1
4.42
2-0-2
6.99
0-2-2
4.73
1-1-2
5.32
—
3-0-1
5.24
0-0-4
3.22
1-1-2
5.56
Partick Thistle
1-0-3
3.40
3-1-0
6.73
1-0-3
4.18
2-1-1
6.50
1-1-2
4.58
3-0-1
4.56
1-0-3
5.94
—
0-1-3
3.75
2-1-1
4.84
Rangers
1-0-3
6.71
3-1-0
8.91
2-1-1
6.76
4-0-0
9.02
4-0-0
6.71
1-2-1
7.25
4-0-0
7.99
3-1-0
7.45
—
2-2-0
7.35
St. Mirren
0-0-4
3.82
2-0-2
6.96
3-1-0
4.19
1-3-0
6.69
0-0-4
5.11
2-0-2
5.45
2-1-1
5.62
1-1-2
6.34
0-2-2
3.85
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +6.4
Allowed 0.71 -6.7
Differential 0.97 +4.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.11%8.61%7.22%3.61%1.67%1.11%28.33%
18.61%8.89%7.78%3.33%1.67%0.28%30.56%
27.22%7.78%2.78%2.78%0.83%1.11%22.50%
33.61%3.33%2.78%1.67%—0.28%11.67%
41.67%1.67%0.83%———4.17%
5+1.11%0.28%1.11%0.28%——2.78%
Total28.33%30.56%22.50%11.67%4.17%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.91
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
111.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
25.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
45.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total41.67%41.67%11.11%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 0.81 +1.08
SD 1.39 0.86 1.65
CV 0.74 1.06 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%8.33%5.56%—5.56%41.67%
1—8.33%2.78%5.56%5.56%—22.22%
211.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%30.56%
3——5.56%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%33.33%19.44%13.89%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.89 -0.89
SD 0.99 1.51 1.85
CV 0.99 0.80 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%————11.11%
18.33%8.33%19.44%5.56%2.78%—44.44%
22.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
35.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total22.22%25.00%36.11%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.50 +0.25
SD 1.30 1.08 1.65
CV 0.74 0.72 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%25.00%8.33%5.56%—58.33%
15.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
25.56%2.78%5.56%——2.78%16.67%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%36.11%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.78 -1.14
SD 0.87 1.27 1.59
CV 1.36 0.71 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%16.67%5.56%2.78%——38.89%
113.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
28.33%8.33%2.78%———19.44%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total41.67%33.33%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.89 +0.28
SD 1.28 0.92 1.56
CV 1.09 1.03 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%8.33%——33.33%
12.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%——25.00%
213.89%5.56%—2.78%——22.22%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4—2.78%5.56%———8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total27.78%38.89%19.44%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.19 +0.22
SD 1.40 1.01 1.84
CV 0.99 0.84 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
113.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%—38.89%
25.56%5.56%—5.56%2.78%—19.44%
35.56%—2.78%——2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%27.78%11.11%11.11%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.44 -0.19
SD 1.16 1.56 1.95
CV 0.92 1.08 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—11.11%5.56%5.56%—25.00%
113.89%2.78%13.89%2.78%——33.33%
2—11.11%5.56%2.78%—5.56%25.00%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%19.44%33.33%13.89%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.78 -0.33
SD 1.27 1.40 2.10
CV 0.88 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—5.56%2.78%2.78%—13.89%
111.11%11.11%—2.78%——25.00%
213.89%8.33%————22.22%
35.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%——22.22%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+2.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
Total38.89%33.33%11.11%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.08 +1.03
SD 1.47 1.16 1.92
CV 0.70 1.07 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%5.56%—2.78%2.78%16.67%
15.56%11.11%16.67%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
25.56%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
38.33%2.78%—5.56%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%27.78%27.78%13.89%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.75 -0.31
SD 0.97 1.38 1.88
CV 0.67 0.79 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aberdeen 1759 53 44.37 +8.63 96.0% 29 35 41 44 47 51 58
Rangers 1724 55 47.76 +7.24 93.0% 37 41 45 48 50 56 58
Celtic 1602 36 42.06 -6.06 13.0% 28 33 38 42 46 49 54
Dundee United 1564 40 39.47 +0.53 57.0% 27 30 35 40 43 47 50
Hibernian 1555 37 34.86 +2.14 70.0% 18 25 31 35 38 44 48
Motherwell 1499 33 32.50 +0.50 59.0% 16 24 29 32 36 40 46
St. Mirren 1482 30 35.18 -5.18 13.0% 17 28 32 35 39 43 46
Partick Thistle 1474 33 32.39 +0.61 51.0% 13 24 29 33 36 40 45
Ayr United 1397 24 25.54 -1.54 40.0% 11 17 22 26 29 33 35
Clydebank (old) 1368 19 25.87 -6.87 4.0% 16 20 23 26 29 32 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.56%
Clear Edge
50.56%19.44%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
200 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
072.45600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
52%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.01 * Some Luck: 4.01 to 6.02 * Lucky: 6.02 to 8.03 * Wild Swing: 8.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.02 * Close: 1.02 to 1.54 * Off: 1.54 to 2.05 * Way Off: 2.05 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.95 points
Some Luck
05.0213
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Close
01.283
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
Aberdeen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
4.00%
Clydebank (old)
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.52

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 127.27
2.10
Strong Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Even
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Occasional
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.09
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.25
Weak Carryover
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.54
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.90
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.062
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers52.00%28.00%16.00%4.00%——————
Aberdeen27.00%30.00%22.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%—1.00%1.00%—
Dundee United4.00%13.00%25.00%23.00%11.00%13.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%—
Hibernian3.00%2.00%5.00%17.00%17.00%18.00%20.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%
Celtic14.00%22.00%22.00%18.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%——
Motherwell—1.00%1.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%20.00%32.00%5.00%6.00%
Partick Thistle——1.00%6.00%18.00%26.00%16.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%
St. Mirren—4.00%8.00%13.00%19.00%18.00%19.00%13.00%4.00%2.00%
Ayr United————1.00%3.00%8.00%14.00%35.00%39.00%
Clydebank (old)————2.00%2.00%6.00%14.00%37.00%39.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Celtic 100% —
Rangers 100% —
Aberdeen 99.00% 1.00%
Dundee United 97.00% 3.00%
St. Mirren 94.00% 6.00%
Hibernian 90.00% 10.00%
Motherwell 89.00% 11.00%
Partick Thistle 81.00% 19.00%
Ayr United 26.00% 74.00%
Clydebank (old) 24.00% 76.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1977-08-13 Rangers W 3-157.2 1538 1615 44.13% 20.63% 35.24%-0.02 +16.2 2
1977-08-13 @ Aberdeen L 1-357.2 1615 1538 35.24% 20.63% 44.13%+0.02 -16.2 0
1977-08-13 Dundee United D 0-065.5 1623 1523 63.92% 20.13% 15.95%+0.86 -3.4 1
1977-08-13 @ Celtic D 0-065.5 1523 1623 15.95% 20.13% 63.92%-0.86 +3.4 1
1977-08-13 Motherwell D 0-061.0 1506 1509 53.51% 20.55% 25.94%+0.34 -1.9 1
1977-08-13 @ Hibernian D 0-061.0 1509 1506 25.94% 20.55% 53.51%-0.34 +1.8 1
1977-08-13 Ayr United D 2-269.1 1500 1457 58.61% 20.40% 20.99%+0.58 -1.7 1
1977-08-13 @ Partick Thistle D 2-269.1 1457 1500 20.99% 20.40% 58.61%-0.58 +1.7 1
1977-08-13 Clydebank (old) D 1-170.1 1553 1601 48.09% 20.62% 31.29%+0.12 -1.0 1
1977-08-13 @ St. Mirren D 1-170.1 1601 1553 31.29% 20.62% 48.09%-0.12 +1.0 1
1977-08-20 Aberdeen L 1-364.3 1602 1554 59.09% 20.38% 20.53%+0.60 -25.4 1
1977-08-20 @ Clydebank (old) W 3-164.3 1554 1602 20.53% 20.38% 59.09%-0.60 +25.3 4
1977-08-20 Celtic W 2-161.8 1459 1620 32.50% 20.50% 47.00%-0.44 +11.8 3
1977-08-20 @ Ayr United L 1-261.8 1620 1459 47.00% 20.50% 32.50%+0.44 -11.8 1
1977-08-20 St. Mirren W 2-156.3 1526 1552 50.80% 20.59% 28.61%+0.23 +7.9 3
1977-08-20 @ Dundee United L 1-256.3 1552 1526 28.61% 20.59% 50.80%-0.23 -7.9 1
1977-08-20 Partick Thistle W 3-040.8 1511 1498 55.40% 20.50% 24.09%+0.43 +19.8 3
1977-08-20 @ Motherwell L 0-340.8 1498 1511 24.09% 20.50% 55.40%-0.43 -19.9 1
1977-08-20 Hibernian L 0-258.3 1599 1504 63.49% 20.16% 16.35%+0.84 -31.5 0
1977-08-20 @ Rangers W 2-058.3 1504 1599 16.35% 20.16% 63.49%-0.84 +31.5 3
1977-08-27 Dundee United D 0-064.5 1580 1534 58.86% 20.39% 20.74%+0.59 -2.6 5
1977-08-27 @ Aberdeen D 0-064.5 1534 1580 20.74% 20.39% 58.86%-0.59 +2.6 4
1977-08-27 Motherwell L 0-162.6 1608 1531 61.89% 20.25% 17.86%+0.75 -16.2 1
1977-08-27 @ Celtic W 1-062.6 1531 1608 17.86% 20.25% 61.89%-0.75 +16.3 5
1977-08-27 Clydebank (old) W 2-048.8 1535 1577 48.89% 20.61% 30.50%+0.16 +16.7 5
1977-08-27 @ Hibernian L 0-248.8 1577 1535 30.50% 20.61% 48.89%-0.16 -16.6 1
1977-08-27 Rangers L 0-447.2 1478 1568 42.46% 20.62% 36.91%-0.08 -41.3 1
1977-08-27 @ Partick Thistle W 4-047.2 1568 1478 36.91% 20.62% 42.46%+0.08 +41.3 2
1977-08-27 Ayr United W 2-041.6 1545 1471 61.62% 20.27% 18.11%+0.73 +10.7 3
1977-08-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-241.6 1471 1545 18.11% 20.27% 61.62%-0.73 -10.7 3
1977-09-10 Partick Thistle L 0-452.2 1560 1437 65.74% 19.99% 14.27%+0.98 -61.8 1
1977-09-10 @ Clydebank (old) W 4-052.2 1437 1560 14.27% 19.99% 65.74%-0.98 +61.8 3
1977-09-10 Aberdeen L 0-152.3 1460 1577 38.50% 20.59% 40.91%-0.22 -10.7 3
1977-09-10 @ Ayr United W 1-052.3 1577 1460 40.91% 20.59% 38.50%+0.22 +10.7 7
1977-09-10 Hibernian W 2-047.0 1537 1552 52.16% 20.57% 27.27%+0.29 +15.2 6
1977-09-10 @ Dundee United L 0-247.0 1552 1537 27.27% 20.57% 52.16%-0.29 -15.2 5
1977-09-10 St. Mirren L 0-352.8 1547 1555 53.00% 20.56% 26.44%+0.32 -38.3 5
1977-09-10 @ Motherwell W 3-052.8 1555 1547 26.44% 20.56% 53.00%-0.32 +38.3 5
1977-09-10 Celtic W 3-263.4 1609 1592 55.87% 20.49% 23.64%+0.45 +6.4 4
1977-09-10 @ Rangers L 2-363.4 1592 1609 23.64% 20.49% 55.87%-0.45 -6.4 1
1977-09-17 Celtic W 2-158.1 1588 1585 54.21% 20.53% 25.26%+0.37 +7.1 9
1977-09-17 @ Aberdeen L 1-258.1 1585 1588 25.26% 20.53% 54.21%-0.37 -7.1 1
1977-09-17 Dundee United L 0-349.3 1498 1552 47.26% 20.62% 32.12%+0.09 -34.6 1
1977-09-17 @ Clydebank (old) W 3-049.3 1552 1498 32.12% 20.62% 47.26%-0.09 +34.6 8
1977-09-17 Ayr United W 5-037.5 1509 1449 60.27% 20.33% 19.40%+0.66 +26.5 7
1977-09-17 @ Motherwell L 0-537.5 1449 1509 19.40% 20.33% 60.27%-0.66 -26.5 3
1977-09-17 Hibernian W 1-049.7 1499 1537 49.34% 20.61% 30.05%+0.17 +8.7 5
1977-09-17 @ Partick Thistle L 0-149.7 1537 1499 30.05% 20.61% 49.34%-0.17 -8.7 5
1977-09-17 Rangers D 3-381.1 1594 1615 51.37% 20.58% 28.05%+0.25 -0.8 6
1977-09-17 @ St. Mirren D 3-381.1 1615 1594 28.05% 20.58% 51.37%-0.25 +0.9 5
1977-09-24 Partick Thistle W 2-153.5 1595 1508 62.80% 20.20% 17.00%+0.80 +5.0 11
1977-09-24 @ Aberdeen L 1-253.5 1508 1595 17.00% 20.20% 62.80%-0.80 -5.0 5
1977-09-24 Clydebank (old) W 1-045.2 1578 1464 65.10% 20.04% 14.86%+0.93 +4.7 3
1977-09-24 @ Celtic L 0-145.2 1464 1578 14.86% 20.04% 65.10%-0.93 -4.7 1
1977-09-24 Motherwell W 3-260.3 1587 1535 59.44% 20.37% 20.19%+0.62 +5.6 10
1977-09-24 @ Dundee United L 2-360.3 1535 1587 20.19% 20.37% 59.44%-0.62 -5.6 7
1977-09-24 St. Mirren W 2-050.0 1528 1593 45.81% 20.63% 33.56%+0.04 +18.0 7
1977-09-24 @ Hibernian L 0-250.0 1593 1528 33.56% 20.63% 45.81%-0.04 -18.0 6
1977-09-24 Ayr United W 2-039.8 1616 1423 70.52% 19.47% 10.00%+1.33 +6.2 7
1977-09-24 @ Rangers L 0-239.8 1423 1616 10.00% 19.47% 70.52%-1.33 -6.2 3
1977-10-01 Dundee United L 0-245.1 1417 1592 30.64% 20.45% 48.91%-0.51 -16.7 3
1977-10-01 @ Ayr United W 2-045.1 1592 1417 48.91% 20.45% 30.64%+0.51 +16.7 12
1977-10-01 Hibernian W 3-152.3 1583 1546 57.99% 20.43% 21.58%+0.55 +10.8 5
1977-10-01 @ Celtic L 1-352.3 1546 1583 21.58% 20.43% 57.99%-0.55 -10.8 7
1977-10-01 Aberdeen D 1-169.4 1530 1600 45.10% 20.63% 34.27%+0.01 -0.6 8
1977-10-01 @ Motherwell D 1-169.4 1600 1530 34.27% 20.63% 45.10%-0.01 +0.6 12
1977-10-01 Clydebank (old) W 4-144.6 1622 1459 68.64% 19.71% 11.64%+1.18 +8.7 9
1977-10-01 @ Rangers L 1-444.6 1459 1622 11.64% 19.71% 68.64%-1.18 -8.7 1
1977-10-01 Partick Thistle W 2-153.0 1575 1503 61.44% 20.28% 18.28%+0.72 +5.4 8
1977-10-01 @ St. Mirren L 1-253.0 1503 1575 18.28% 20.28% 61.44%-0.72 -5.4 5
1977-10-08 Motherwell W 2-154.7 1450 1529 43.86% 20.63% 35.52%-0.03 +9.4 3
1977-10-08 @ Clydebank (old) L 1-254.7 1529 1450 35.52% 20.63% 43.86%+0.03 -9.4 8
1977-10-08 Rangers L 0-161.9 1609 1631 51.30% 20.58% 28.11%+0.25 -13.6 12
1977-10-08 @ Dundee United W 1-061.9 1631 1609 28.11% 20.58% 51.30%-0.25 +13.6 11
1977-10-08 Ayr United L 1-262.2 1535 1400 66.68% 19.91% 13.41%+1.04 -16.5 7
1977-10-08 @ Hibernian W 2-162.2 1400 1535 13.41% 19.91% 66.68%-1.04 +16.5 5
1977-10-08 Celtic W 1-054.1 1497 1594 41.44% 20.62% 37.94%-0.12 +10.5 7
1977-10-08 @ Partick Thistle L 0-154.1 1594 1497 37.94% 20.62% 41.44%+0.12 -10.5 5
1977-10-08 Aberdeen L 0-454.1 1580 1600 51.52% 20.58% 27.90%+0.26 -48.8 8
1977-10-08 @ St. Mirren W 4-054.1 1600 1580 27.90% 20.58% 51.52%-0.26 +48.8 14
1977-10-15 Hibernian L 1-270.1 1649 1519 66.32% 19.94% 13.73%+1.01 -16.4 14
1977-10-15 @ Aberdeen W 2-170.1 1519 1649 13.73% 19.94% 66.32%-1.01 +16.4 9
1977-10-15 Clydebank (old) W 2-040.5 1416 1460 48.67% 20.61% 30.72%+0.15 +16.8 7
1977-10-15 @ Ayr United L 0-240.5 1460 1416 30.72% 20.61% 48.67%-0.15 -16.8 3
1977-10-15 St. Mirren L 1-266.7 1583 1531 59.50% 20.37% 20.13%+0.62 -14.7 5
1977-10-15 @ Celtic W 2-166.7 1531 1583 20.13% 20.37% 59.50%-0.62 +14.7 10
1977-10-15 Rangers L 1-455.1 1520 1644 37.43% 20.58% 41.99%-0.26 -24.1 8
1977-10-15 @ Motherwell W 4-155.1 1644 1520 41.99% 20.58% 37.43%+0.26 +24.0 13
1977-10-15 Dundee United W 2-159.5 1508 1595 42.70% 20.62% 36.67%-0.07 +9.7 9
1977-10-15 @ Partick Thistle L 1-259.5 1595 1508 36.67% 20.62% 42.70%+0.07 -9.7 12
1977-10-22 St. Mirren D 2-270.2 1443 1546 40.47% 20.61% 38.92%-0.15 -0.1 4
1977-10-22 @ Clydebank (old) D 2-270.2 1546 1443 38.92% 20.61% 40.47%+0.15 +0.1 11
1977-10-22 Partick Thistle L 1-256.0 1433 1517 43.15% 20.63% 36.23%-0.06 -11.0 7
1977-10-22 @ Ayr United W 2-156.0 1517 1433 36.23% 20.63% 43.15%+0.06 +11.0 11
1977-10-22 Celtic L 1-266.8 1586 1568 55.87% 20.49% 23.63%+0.45 -13.9 12
1977-10-22 @ Dundee United W 2-166.8 1568 1586 23.63% 20.49% 55.87%-0.45 +13.9 7
1977-10-22 Hibernian W 1-049.6 1496 1535 49.13% 20.61% 30.26%+0.17 +8.8 10
1977-10-22 @ Motherwell L 0-149.6 1535 1496 30.26% 20.61% 49.13%-0.17 -8.8 9
1977-10-22 Aberdeen W 3-156.0 1669 1633 57.87% 20.43% 21.70%+0.54 +10.8 15
1977-10-22 @ Rangers L 1-356.0 1633 1669 21.70% 20.43% 57.87%-0.54 -10.8 14
1977-10-29 Clydebank (old) D 1-167.5 1622 1443 69.67% 19.59% 10.74%+1.26 -3.8 15
1977-10-29 @ Aberdeen D 1-167.5 1443 1622 10.74% 19.59% 69.67%-1.26 +3.8 5
1977-10-29 Ayr United W 3-253.4 1582 1422 68.42% 19.74% 11.84%+1.16 +3.4 9
1977-10-29 @ Celtic L 2-353.4 1422 1582 11.84% 19.74% 68.42%-1.16 -3.4 7
1977-10-29 Rangers L 0-155.9 1526 1679 33.56% 20.52% 45.92%-0.40 -9.5 9
1977-10-29 @ Hibernian W 1-055.9 1679 1526 45.92% 20.52% 33.56%+0.40 +9.5 17
1977-10-29 Motherwell W 1-047.4 1528 1504 56.62% 20.47% 22.91%+0.48 +6.9 13
1977-10-29 @ Partick Thistle L 0-147.4 1504 1528 22.91% 20.47% 56.62%-0.48 -6.9 10
1977-10-29 Dundee United L 0-158.8 1546 1572 50.87% 20.59% 28.54%+0.23 -13.5 11
1977-10-29 @ St. Mirren W 1-058.8 1572 1546 28.54% 20.59% 50.87%-0.23 +13.5 14
1977-11-05 Hibernian W 1-048.3 1447 1517 45.06% 20.63% 34.31%+0.01 +9.7 7
1977-11-05 @ Clydebank (old) L 0-148.3 1517 1447 34.31% 20.63% 45.06%-0.01 -9.7 9
1977-11-05 St. Mirren W 3-260.3 1419 1533 38.96% 20.60% 40.44%-0.21 +9.9 9
1977-11-05 @ Ayr United L 2-360.3 1533 1419 40.44% 20.60% 38.96%+0.21 -9.9 11
1977-11-05 Aberdeen L 0-160.8 1585 1618 49.95% 20.60% 29.45%+0.20 -13.3 14
1977-11-05 @ Dundee United W 1-060.8 1618 1585 29.45% 20.60% 49.95%-0.20 +13.3 17
1977-11-05 Celtic L 2-365.8 1498 1586 42.60% 20.62% 36.77%-0.08 -10.3 10
1977-11-05 @ Motherwell W 3-265.8 1586 1498 36.77% 20.62% 42.60%+0.08 +10.3 11
1977-11-05 Partick Thistle D 3-381.7 1689 1535 67.97% 19.79% 12.24%+1.13 -2.2 18
1977-11-05 @ Rangers D 3-381.7 1535 1689 12.24% 19.79% 67.97%-1.13 +2.2 14
1977-11-12 Ayr United D 0-063.0 1631 1429 71.08% 19.39% 9.53%+1.37 -4.5 18
1977-11-12 @ Aberdeen D 0-063.0 1429 1631 9.53% 19.39% 71.08%-1.37 +4.5 10
1977-11-12 Rangers D 1-172.7 1596 1687 42.26% 20.62% 37.12%-0.09 -0.3 12
1977-11-12 @ Celtic D 1-172.7 1687 1596 37.12% 20.62% 42.26%+0.09 +0.3 19
1977-11-12 Dundee United D 0-063.3 1507 1572 45.80% 20.63% 33.57%+0.04 -0.8 10
1977-11-12 @ Hibernian D 0-063.3 1572 1507 33.57% 20.63% 45.80%-0.04 +0.8 15
1977-11-12 Clydebank (old) W 1-044.3 1538 1456 62.29% 20.23% 17.48%+0.77 +5.5 16
1977-11-12 @ Partick Thistle L 0-144.3 1456 1538 17.48% 20.23% 62.29%-0.77 -5.5 7
1977-11-12 Motherwell W 1-046.2 1523 1487 57.84% 20.43% 21.72%+0.54 +6.6 13
1977-11-12 @ St. Mirren L 0-146.2 1487 1523 21.72% 20.43% 57.84%-0.54 -6.6 10
1977-11-19 Motherwell D 1-161.7 1433 1481 48.11% 20.62% 31.28%+0.13 -1.0 11
1977-11-19 @ Ayr United D 1-161.7 1481 1433 31.28% 20.62% 48.11%-0.13 +1.0 11
1977-11-19 Aberdeen W 3-265.6 1596 1627 50.18% 20.60% 29.22%+0.21 +7.6 14
1977-11-19 @ Celtic L 2-365.6 1627 1596 29.22% 20.60% 50.18%-0.21 -7.6 18
1977-11-19 Clydebank (old) W 4-037.7 1573 1451 65.67% 20.00% 14.33%+0.97 +16.4 17
1977-11-19 @ Dundee United L 0-437.7 1451 1573 14.33% 20.00% 65.67%-0.97 -16.4 7
1977-11-19 Partick Thistle L 2-366.7 1506 1543 49.47% 20.61% 29.93%+0.18 -11.8 10
1977-11-19 @ Hibernian W 3-266.7 1543 1506 29.93% 20.61% 49.47%-0.18 +11.8 18
1977-11-19 St. Mirren W 2-154.9 1687 1529 68.26% 19.76% 11.99%+1.15 +3.7 21
1977-11-19 @ Rangers L 1-254.9 1529 1687 11.99% 19.76% 68.26%-1.15 -3.7 13
1977-11-26 Rangers L 0-543.9 1432 1691 21.32% 20.05% 58.63%-0.93 -28.6 11
1977-11-26 @ Ayr United W 5-043.9 1691 1432 58.63% 20.05% 21.32%+0.93 +28.6 23
1977-11-26 Dundee United D 0-063.0 1482 1589 39.86% 20.61% 39.53%-0.18 -0.0 12
1977-11-26 @ Motherwell D 0-063.0 1589 1482 39.53% 20.61% 39.86%+0.18 +0.0 18
1977-11-26 Aberdeen W 1-055.2 1555 1619 45.86% 20.63% 33.51%+0.04 +9.5 20
1977-11-26 @ Partick Thistle L 0-155.2 1619 1555 33.51% 20.63% 45.86%-0.04 -9.5 18
1977-11-26 Hibernian W 3-040.6 1526 1495 57.38% 20.45% 22.17%+0.52 +18.5 15
1977-11-26 @ St. Mirren L 0-340.6 1495 1526 22.17% 20.45% 57.38%-0.52 -18.5 10
1977-12-03 Motherwell W 4-145.7 1610 1482 66.15% 19.96% 13.89%+1.00 +10.3 20
1977-12-03 @ Aberdeen L 1-445.7 1482 1610 13.89% 19.96% 66.15%-1.00 -10.3 12
1977-12-10 St. Mirren W 3-152.2 1620 1544 61.79% 20.26% 17.96%+0.74 +9.2 22
1977-12-10 @ Aberdeen L 1-352.2 1544 1620 17.96% 20.26% 61.79%-0.74 -9.2 15
1977-12-10 Hibernian L 0-148.6 1404 1476 44.77% 20.63% 34.61%+0.00 -12.0 11
1977-12-10 @ Ayr United W 1-048.6 1476 1404 34.61% 20.63% 44.77%+0.00 +12.0 12
1977-12-10 Partick Thistle W 3-045.2 1603 1564 58.20% 20.42% 21.38%+0.56 +17.9 16
1977-12-10 @ Celtic L 0-345.2 1564 1603 21.38% 20.42% 58.20%-0.56 -17.9 20
1977-12-10 Clydebank (old) W 2-147.9 1471 1434 57.99% 20.43% 21.59%+0.55 +6.2 14
1977-12-10 @ Motherwell L 1-247.9 1434 1471 21.59% 20.43% 57.99%-0.55 -6.2 7
1977-12-10 Dundee United W 2-047.8 1719 1589 66.29% 19.95% 13.76%+1.01 +8.3 25
1977-12-10 @ Rangers L 0-247.8 1589 1719 13.76% 19.95% 66.29%-1.01 -8.3 18
1977-12-17 Ayr United L 0-247.1 1428 1392 57.96% 20.43% 21.61%+0.54 -28.7 7
1977-12-17 @ Clydebank (old) W 2-047.1 1392 1428 21.61% 20.43% 57.96%-0.54 +28.7 13
1977-12-17 Partick Thistle D 2-275.1 1581 1546 57.72% 20.44% 21.85%+0.53 -1.6 19
1977-12-17 @ Dundee United D 2-275.1 1546 1581 21.85% 20.44% 57.72%-0.53 +1.6 21
1977-12-17 Aberdeen W 2-053.1 1488 1629 35.17% 20.55% 44.28%-0.34 +22.5 14
1977-12-17 @ Hibernian L 0-253.1 1629 1488 44.28% 20.55% 35.17%+0.34 -22.5 22
1977-12-17 Motherwell W 3-149.6 1727 1477 73.57% 18.96% 7.47%+1.61 +4.0 27
1977-12-17 @ Rangers L 1-349.6 1477 1727 7.47% 18.96% 73.57%-1.61 -4.0 14
1977-12-17 Celtic D 3-379.9 1535 1621 42.86% 20.62% 36.51%-0.07 -0.2 16
1977-12-17 @ St. Mirren D 3-379.9 1621 1535 36.51% 20.62% 42.86%+0.07 +0.2 17
1977-12-24 Rangers W 4-053.9 1607 1732 37.41% 20.58% 42.01%-0.26 +40.9 24
1977-12-24 @ Aberdeen L 0-453.9 1732 1607 42.01% 20.58% 37.41%+0.26 -40.9 27
1977-12-24 Dundee United W 1-052.0 1622 1579 58.55% 20.41% 21.04%+0.57 +6.5 19
1977-12-24 @ Celtic L 0-152.0 1579 1622 21.04% 20.41% 58.55%-0.57 -6.5 19
1977-12-24 Motherwell W 2-150.7 1511 1473 58.02% 20.43% 21.56%+0.55 +6.2 16
1977-12-24 @ Hibernian L 1-250.7 1473 1511 21.56% 20.43% 58.02%-0.55 -6.2 14
1977-12-24 Ayr United W 4-141.2 1548 1420 66.12% 19.96% 13.92%+1.00 +10.3 23
1977-12-24 @ Partick Thistle L 1-441.2 1420 1548 13.92% 19.96% 66.12%-1.00 -10.3 13
1977-12-24 Clydebank (old) W 2-037.1 1535 1399 66.68% 19.91% 13.41%+1.04 +8.1 18
1977-12-24 @ St. Mirren L 0-237.1 1399 1535 13.41% 19.91% 66.68%-1.04 -8.1 7
1977-12-31 Aberdeen L 0-147.1 1391 1648 21.54% 20.07% 58.40%-0.92 -6.5 7
1977-12-31 @ Clydebank (old) W 1-047.1 1648 1391 58.40% 20.07% 21.54%+0.92 +6.5 26
1977-12-31 Celtic W 2-162.4 1410 1628 25.57% 20.27% 54.15%-0.73 +13.4 15
1977-12-31 @ Ayr United L 1-262.4 1628 1410 54.15% 20.27% 25.57%+0.73 -13.4 19
1977-12-31 St. Mirren W 2-155.6 1573 1543 57.24% 20.45% 22.31%+0.51 +6.4 21
1977-12-31 @ Dundee United L 1-255.6 1543 1573 22.31% 20.45% 57.24%-0.51 -6.4 18
1977-12-31 Partick Thistle W 2-047.8 1467 1558 42.18% 20.62% 37.20%-0.09 +19.5 16
1977-12-31 @ Motherwell L 0-247.8 1558 1467 37.20% 20.62% 42.18%+0.09 -19.6 23
1977-12-31 Hibernian D 0-067.2 1691 1517 69.32% 19.63% 11.04%+1.23 -4.2 28
1977-12-31 @ Rangers D 0-067.2 1517 1691 11.04% 19.63% 69.32%-1.23 +4.2 17
1978-01-02 Dundee United W 1-051.7 1654 1579 61.71% 20.26% 18.03%+0.74 +5.6 28
1978-01-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-151.7 1579 1654 18.03% 20.26% 61.71%-0.74 -5.6 21
1978-01-02 Motherwell L 0-162.7 1615 1487 66.11% 19.96% 13.93%+1.00 -17.4 19
1978-01-02 @ Celtic W 1-062.7 1487 1615 13.93% 19.96% 66.11%-1.00 +17.4 18
1978-01-02 Clydebank (old) W 2-036.1 1521 1385 66.75% 19.91% 13.34%+1.04 +8.1 19
1978-01-02 @ Hibernian L 0-236.1 1385 1521 13.34% 19.91% 66.75%-1.04 -8.1 7
1978-01-02 Rangers L 1-262.0 1539 1686 34.29% 20.53% 45.18%-0.38 -9.1 23
1978-01-02 @ Partick Thistle W 2-162.0 1686 1539 45.18% 20.53% 34.29%+0.38 +9.1 30
1978-01-02 Ayr United L 2-367.8 1536 1423 64.97% 20.05% 14.97%+0.93 -15.3 18
1978-01-02 @ St. Mirren W 3-267.8 1423 1536 14.97% 20.05% 64.97%-0.93 +15.3 17
1978-01-07 Partick Thistle W 2-046.0 1377 1530 33.56% 20.52% 45.92%-0.40 +23.2 9
1978-01-07 @ Clydebank (old) L 0-246.0 1530 1377 45.92% 20.52% 33.56%+0.40 -23.2 23
1978-01-07 Aberdeen D 1-168.5 1439 1660 25.23% 20.26% 54.51%-0.74 +1.8 18
1978-01-07 @ Ayr United D 1-168.5 1660 1439 54.51% 20.26% 25.23%+0.74 -1.8 29
1978-01-07 Hibernian D 1-168.6 1573 1529 58.75% 20.40% 20.85%+0.58 -2.3 22
1978-01-07 @ Dundee United D 1-168.6 1529 1573 20.85% 20.40% 58.75%-0.58 +2.3 20
1978-01-07 St. Mirren W 1-048.6 1504 1521 51.92% 20.58% 27.51%+0.28 +8.1 20
1978-01-07 @ Motherwell L 0-148.6 1521 1504 27.51% 20.58% 51.92%-0.28 -8.1 18
1978-01-07 Celtic W 3-154.1 1696 1597 63.77% 20.14% 16.09%+0.85 +8.3 32
1978-01-07 @ Rangers L 1-354.1 1597 1696 16.09% 20.14% 63.77%-0.85 -8.3 19
1978-01-14 Celtic W 2-157.6 1658 1589 61.16% 20.29% 18.54%+0.71 +5.4 31
1978-01-14 @ Aberdeen L 1-257.6 1589 1658 18.54% 20.29% 61.16%-0.71 -5.4 19
1978-01-14 Ayr United W 3-036.9 1512 1440 61.42% 20.28% 18.30%+0.72 +15.6 22
1978-01-14 @ Motherwell L 0-336.9 1440 1512 18.30% 20.28% 61.42%-0.72 -15.6 18
1978-01-14 Rangers L 0-250.9 1513 1704 28.76% 20.39% 50.85%-0.59 -15.8 18
1978-01-14 @ St. Mirren W 2-050.9 1704 1513 50.85% 20.39% 28.76%+0.59 +15.8 34
1978-02-04 Dundee United L 0-149.6 1425 1571 34.46% 20.54% 45.01%-0.37 -9.7 18
1978-02-04 @ Ayr United W 1-049.6 1571 1425 45.01% 20.54% 34.46%+0.37 +9.7 24
1978-02-04 Aberdeen D 0-066.6 1528 1663 35.93% 20.56% 43.51%-0.31 +0.5 23
1978-02-04 @ Motherwell D 0-066.6 1663 1528 43.51% 20.56% 35.93%+0.31 -0.5 32
1978-02-04 Clydebank (old) W 1-044.4 1720 1400 76.58% 18.22% 5.20%+1.96 +1.7 36
1978-02-04 @ Rangers L 0-144.4 1400 1720 5.20% 18.22% 76.58%-1.96 -1.7 9
1978-02-04 Partick Thistle D 1-165.0 1497 1507 52.86% 20.56% 26.58%+0.32 -1.6 19
1978-02-04 @ St. Mirren D 1-165.0 1507 1497 26.58% 20.56% 52.86%-0.32 +1.6 24
1978-02-19 Rangers L 0-341.9 1398 1721 15.69% 19.60% 64.71%-1.25 -13.5 9
1978-02-19 @ Clydebank (old) W 3-041.9 1721 1398 64.71% 19.60% 15.69%+1.25 +13.5 38
1978-02-25 Hibernian W 3-043.4 1663 1531 66.39% 19.94% 13.67%+1.02 +12.0 34
1978-02-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-343.4 1531 1663 13.67% 19.94% 66.39%-1.02 -12.0 20
1978-02-25 Clydebank (old) D 0-054.1 1415 1385 57.30% 20.45% 22.25%+0.51 -2.4 19
1978-02-25 @ Ayr United D 0-054.1 1385 1415 22.25% 20.45% 57.30%-0.51 +2.4 10
1978-02-25 St. Mirren L 1-266.4 1583 1496 62.84% 20.20% 16.96%+0.80 -15.6 19
1978-02-25 @ Celtic W 2-166.4 1496 1583 16.96% 20.20% 62.84%-0.80 +15.6 21
1978-02-25 Rangers L 3-562.7 1528 1735 26.89% 20.33% 52.78%-0.67 -10.9 23
1978-02-25 @ Motherwell W 5-362.7 1735 1528 52.78% 20.33% 26.89%+0.67 +10.9 40
1978-02-25 Dundee United L 0-252.3 1508 1581 44.72% 20.63% 34.65%+0.00 -22.7 24
1978-02-25 @ Partick Thistle W 2-052.3 1581 1508 34.65% 20.63% 44.72%+0.00 +22.7 26
1978-03-04 St. Mirren D 2-267.0 1387 1511 37.50% 20.58% 41.92%-0.26 +0.2 11
1978-03-04 @ Clydebank (old) D 2-267.0 1511 1387 41.92% 20.58% 37.50%+0.26 -0.2 22
1978-03-04 Celtic L 0-162.4 1604 1568 57.87% 20.43% 21.70%+0.54 -15.2 26
1978-03-04 @ Dundee United W 1-062.4 1568 1604 21.70% 20.43% 57.87%-0.54 +15.2 21
1978-03-04 Aberdeen L 0-360.8 1746 1675 61.33% 20.28% 18.39%+0.72 -44.1 40
1978-03-04 @ Rangers W 3-060.8 1675 1746 18.39% 20.28% 61.33%-0.72 +44.1 36
1978-03-11 Motherwell L 0-243.2 1387 1517 36.67% 20.57% 42.76%-0.29 -19.3 11
1978-03-11 @ Clydebank (old) W 2-043.2 1517 1387 42.76% 20.57% 36.67%+0.29 +19.3 25
1978-03-11 Ayr United W 3-036.2 1583 1413 69.10% 19.66% 11.24%+1.21 +10.0 23
1978-03-11 @ Celtic L 0-336.2 1413 1583 11.24% 19.66% 69.10%-1.21 -10.0 19
1978-03-11 St. Mirren W 5-145.3 1519 1511 54.89% 20.52% 24.59%+0.40 +22.0 22
1978-03-11 @ Hibernian L 1-545.3 1511 1519 24.59% 20.52% 54.89%-0.40 -22.0 22
1978-03-15 Partick Thistle L 1-350.4 1403 1485 43.36% 20.63% 36.01%-0.05 -19.2 19
1978-03-15 @ Ayr United W 3-150.4 1485 1403 36.01% 20.63% 43.36%+0.05 +19.2 26
1978-03-15 Hibernian L 2-464.3 1537 1541 53.39% 20.55% 26.06%+0.34 -20.6 25
1978-03-15 @ Motherwell W 4-264.3 1541 1537 26.06% 20.55% 53.39%-0.34 +20.6 24
1978-03-15 Dundee United L 1-260.0 1489 1588 41.04% 20.62% 38.34%-0.13 -10.6 22
1978-03-15 @ St. Mirren W 2-160.0 1588 1489 38.34% 20.62% 41.04%+0.13 +10.6 28
1978-03-18 Hibernian L 0-339.2 1368 1562 28.36% 20.38% 51.26%-0.61 -22.7 11
1978-03-18 @ Clydebank (old) W 3-039.2 1562 1368 51.26% 20.38% 28.36%+0.61 +22.7 26
1978-03-18 St. Mirren L 0-147.1 1384 1479 41.64% 20.62% 37.74%-0.11 -11.3 19
1978-03-18 @ Ayr United W 1-047.1 1479 1384 37.74% 20.62% 41.64%+0.11 +11.4 24
1978-03-18 Aberdeen D 0-068.7 1599 1719 38.07% 20.59% 41.34%-0.24 +0.2 29
1978-03-18 @ Dundee United D 0-068.7 1719 1599 41.34% 20.59% 38.07%+0.24 -0.2 37
1978-03-18 Motherwell L 2-366.5 1505 1516 52.56% 20.57% 26.87%+0.30 -12.4 26
1978-03-18 @ Partick Thistle W 3-266.5 1516 1505 26.87% 20.57% 52.56%-0.30 +12.4 27
1978-03-21 Clydebank (old) W 2-038.3 1719 1345 78.49% 17.59% 3.92%+2.23 +2.4 39
1978-03-21 @ Aberdeen L 0-238.3 1345 1719 3.92% 17.59% 78.49%-2.23 -2.4 11
1978-03-21 Partick Thistle W 2-153.4 1702 1492 71.46% 19.33% 9.20%+1.41 +2.8 42
1978-03-21 @ Rangers L 1-253.4 1492 1702 9.20% 19.33% 71.46%-1.41 -2.8 26
1978-03-22 Ayr United W 4-246.1 1585 1372 71.63% 19.31% 9.06%+1.42 +4.3 28
1978-03-22 @ Hibernian L 2-446.1 1372 1585 9.06% 19.31% 71.63%-1.42 -4.3 19
1978-03-22 Celtic W 2-159.2 1529 1593 45.86% 20.63% 33.52%+0.04 +9.0 29
1978-03-22 @ Motherwell L 1-259.2 1593 1529 33.52% 20.63% 45.86%-0.04 -9.0 23
1978-03-25 Ayr United W 4-142.1 1721 1368 77.81% 17.83% 4.36%+2.13 +3.3 41
1978-03-25 @ Aberdeen L 1-442.1 1368 1721 4.36% 17.83% 77.81%-2.13 -3.3 19
1978-03-25 Rangers W 2-056.0 1584 1705 38.02% 20.59% 41.39%-0.24 +21.3 25
1978-03-25 @ Celtic L 0-256.0 1705 1584 41.39% 20.59% 38.02%+0.24 -21.3 42
1978-03-25 Dundee United W 3-155.5 1589 1599 52.76% 20.56% 26.68%+0.31 +12.9 30
1978-03-25 @ Hibernian L 1-355.5 1599 1589 26.68% 20.56% 52.76%-0.31 -12.9 29
1978-03-25 Clydebank (old) D 0-055.1 1489 1343 67.48% 19.84% 12.68%+1.09 -3.9 27
1978-03-25 @ Partick Thistle D 0-055.1 1343 1489 12.68% 19.84% 67.48%-1.09 +3.9 12
1978-03-25 Motherwell D 1-165.9 1490 1538 48.06% 20.62% 31.32%+0.12 -1.0 25
1978-03-25 @ St. Mirren D 1-165.9 1538 1490 31.32% 20.62% 48.06%-0.12 +1.0 30
1978-03-29 Motherwell D 1-169.3 1586 1539 59.09% 20.38% 20.53%+0.60 -2.4 30
1978-03-29 @ Dundee United D 1-169.3 1539 1586 20.53% 20.38% 59.09%-0.60 +2.4 31
1978-03-29 Rangers D 1-172.7 1602 1683 43.56% 20.63% 35.81%-0.04 -0.4 31
1978-03-29 @ Hibernian D 1-172.7 1683 1602 35.81% 20.63% 43.56%+0.04 +0.4 43
1978-03-29 Celtic L 0-447.5 1485 1605 38.09% 20.59% 41.32%-0.24 -37.8 27
1978-03-29 @ Partick Thistle W 4-047.5 1605 1485 41.32% 20.59% 38.09%+0.24 +37.8 27
1978-03-29 Aberdeen L 1-258.4 1489 1725 23.65% 20.18% 56.17%-0.82 -6.7 25
1978-03-29 @ St. Mirren W 2-158.4 1725 1489 56.17% 20.18% 23.65%+0.82 +6.7 43
1978-04-01 Motherwell L 0-145.1 1365 1541 30.53% 20.45% 49.03%-0.52 -8.8 19
1978-04-01 @ Ayr United W 1-045.1 1541 1365 49.03% 20.45% 30.53%+0.52 +8.8 33
1978-04-01 Aberdeen D 2-279.4 1643 1731 42.61% 20.62% 36.77%-0.08 -0.2 28
1978-04-01 @ Celtic D 2-279.4 1731 1643 36.77% 20.62% 42.61%+0.08 +0.2 44
1978-04-01 Partick Thistle W 3-146.6 1602 1448 68.01% 19.78% 12.21%+1.13 +6.4 33
1978-04-01 @ Hibernian L 1-346.6 1448 1602 12.21% 19.78% 68.01%-1.13 -6.4 27
1978-04-01 St. Mirren D 1-170.7 1684 1482 71.00% 19.41% 9.59%+1.37 -4.0 44
1978-04-01 @ Rangers D 1-170.7 1482 1684 9.59% 19.41% 71.00%-1.37 +4.0 26
1978-04-04 Partick Thistle W 2-151.7 1731 1441 75.40% 18.55% 6.06%+1.81 +1.9 46
1978-04-04 @ Aberdeen L 1-251.7 1441 1731 6.06% 18.55% 75.40%-1.81 -1.9 27
1978-04-05 Hibernian W 2-158.7 1643 1608 57.78% 20.43% 21.79%+0.54 +6.3 30
1978-04-05 @ Celtic L 1-258.7 1608 1643 21.79% 20.43% 57.78%-0.54 -6.3 33
1978-04-08 Celtic W 3-268.4 1347 1649 17.35% 19.76% 62.89%-1.15 +14.7 14
1978-04-08 @ Clydebank (old) L 2-368.4 1649 1347 62.89% 19.76% 17.35%+1.15 -14.7 30
1978-04-08 Rangers L 2-546.9 1356 1680 15.64% 19.59% 64.77%-1.26 -9.8 19
1978-04-08 @ Ayr United W 5-246.9 1680 1356 64.77% 19.59% 15.64%+1.26 +9.8 46
1978-04-08 Dundee United L 0-159.0 1550 1584 49.81% 20.60% 29.58%+0.19 -13.2 33
1978-04-08 @ Motherwell W 1-059.0 1584 1550 29.58% 20.60% 49.81%-0.19 +13.2 32
1978-04-08 Aberdeen L 0-246.5 1439 1733 18.04% 19.82% 62.14%-1.11 -10.5 27
1978-04-08 @ Partick Thistle W 2-046.5 1733 1439 62.14% 19.82% 18.04%+1.11 +10.5 48
1978-04-08 Hibernian W 3-048.7 1486 1602 38.73% 20.60% 40.68%-0.21 +30.5 28
1978-04-08 @ St. Mirren L 0-348.7 1602 1486 40.68% 20.60% 38.73%+0.21 -30.5 33
1978-04-12 Clydebank (old) W 1-039.8 1597 1362 72.85% 19.10% 8.05%+1.54 +2.7 34
1978-04-12 @ Dundee United L 0-139.8 1362 1597 8.05% 19.10% 72.85%-1.54 -2.6 14
1978-04-12 Celtic D 1-171.3 1571 1634 46.02% 20.63% 33.36%+0.05 -0.7 34
1978-04-12 @ Hibernian D 1-171.3 1634 1571 33.36% 20.63% 46.02%-0.05 +0.7 31
1978-04-12 Ayr United D 1-167.0 1689 1346 77.46% 17.95% 4.59%+2.08 -4.9 47
1978-04-12 @ Rangers D 1-167.0 1346 1689 4.59% 17.95% 77.46%-2.08 +4.9 20
1978-04-15 Motherwell W 5-043.6 1744 1537 71.34% 19.35% 9.31%+1.40 +13.4 50
1978-04-15 @ Aberdeen L 0-543.6 1537 1744 9.31% 19.35% 71.34%-1.40 -13.4 33
1978-04-15 Rangers L 0-241.6 1359 1685 15.50% 19.58% 64.92%-1.27 -9.2 14
1978-04-15 @ Clydebank (old) W 2-041.6 1685 1359 64.92% 19.58% 15.50%+1.27 +9.2 49
1978-04-15 Ayr United W 1-039.3 1600 1351 73.52% 18.97% 7.51%+1.61 +2.5 36
1978-04-15 @ Dundee United L 0-139.3 1351 1600 7.51% 18.97% 73.52%-1.61 -2.5 20
1978-04-15 Celtic W 4-155.0 1570 1635 45.82% 20.63% 33.55%+0.04 +22.0 36
1978-04-15 @ Hibernian L 1-455.0 1635 1570 33.55% 20.63% 45.82%-0.04 -22.0 31
1978-04-15 St. Mirren W 2-153.8 1429 1517 42.62% 20.62% 36.76%-0.08 +9.7 29
1978-04-15 @ Partick Thistle L 1-253.8 1517 1429 36.76% 20.62% 42.62%+0.08 -9.7 28
1978-04-17 Clydebank (old) W 5-241.4 1613 1350 74.21% 18.83% 6.97%+1.68 +4.6 33
1978-04-17 @ Celtic L 2-541.4 1350 1613 6.97% 18.83% 74.21%-1.68 -4.6 14
1978-04-19 Rangers L 0-160.1 1602 1694 42.12% 20.62% 37.26%-0.10 -11.5 36
1978-04-19 @ Dundee United W 1-060.1 1694 1602 37.26% 20.62% 42.12%+0.10 +11.5 51
1978-04-19 Hibernian W 2-159.8 1438 1593 33.41% 20.51% 46.08%-0.41 +11.6 31
1978-04-19 @ Partick Thistle L 1-259.8 1593 1438 46.08% 20.51% 33.41%+0.41 -11.6 36
1978-04-22 St. Mirren W 4-254.7 1757 1507 73.58% 18.96% 7.46%+1.61 +3.6 52
1978-04-22 @ Aberdeen L 2-454.7 1507 1757 7.46% 18.96% 73.58%-1.61 -3.6 28
1978-04-22 Hibernian W 2-049.7 1348 1581 23.97% 20.20% 55.83%-0.80 +27.6 22
1978-04-22 @ Ayr United L 0-249.7 1581 1348 55.83% 20.20% 23.97%+0.80 -27.6 36
1978-04-22 Partick Thistle W 5-246.8 1618 1450 68.93% 19.68% 11.39%+1.20 +7.4 35
1978-04-22 @ Celtic L 2-546.8 1450 1618 11.39% 19.68% 68.93%-1.20 -7.4 31
1978-04-22 Clydebank (old) L 0-155.4 1523 1345 69.59% 19.60% 10.81%+1.25 -18.3 33
1978-04-22 @ Motherwell W 1-055.4 1345 1523 10.81% 19.60% 69.59%-1.25 +18.3 16
1978-04-22 Dundee United W 3-045.6 1705 1591 65.08% 20.05% 14.87%+0.93 +13.0 53
1978-04-22 @ Rangers L 0-345.6 1591 1705 14.87% 20.05% 65.08%-0.93 -13.0 36
1978-04-26 Celtic D 1-164.6 1363 1625 21.00% 20.03% 58.96%-0.95 +2.3 17
1978-04-26 @ Clydebank (old) D 1-164.6 1625 1363 58.96% 20.03% 21.00%+0.95 -2.3 36
1978-04-26 Ayr United W 3-142.2 1578 1376 71.03% 19.40% 9.57%+1.37 +5.1 38
1978-04-26 @ Dundee United L 1-342.2 1376 1578 9.57% 19.40% 71.03%-1.37 -5.1 22
1978-04-26 St. Mirren W 5-041.3 1443 1503 46.33% 20.63% 33.04%+0.06 +41.6 33
1978-04-26 @ Partick Thistle L 0-541.3 1503 1443 33.04% 20.63% 46.33%-0.06 -41.6 28
1978-04-29 Ayr United L 0-244.1 1366 1371 53.35% 20.55% 26.10%+0.34 -26.5 17
1978-04-29 @ Clydebank (old) W 2-044.1 1371 1366 26.10% 20.55% 53.35%-0.34 +26.6 24
1978-04-29 Partick Thistle W 5-248.3 1583 1484 63.79% 20.14% 16.07%+0.86 +10.2 40
1978-04-29 @ Dundee United L 2-548.3 1484 1583 16.07% 20.14% 63.79%-0.86 -10.2 33
1978-04-29 Aberdeen D 1-173.2 1553 1761 26.75% 20.32% 52.93%-0.68 +1.6 37
1978-04-29 @ Hibernian D 1-173.2 1761 1553 52.93% 20.32% 26.75%+0.68 -1.6 53
1978-04-29 Motherwell W 2-044.8 1718 1505 71.68% 19.30% 9.02%+1.43 +5.6 55
1978-04-29 @ Rangers L 0-244.8 1505 1718 9.02% 19.30% 71.68%-1.43 -5.6 33
1978-04-29 Celtic W 3-158.5 1462 1623 32.52% 20.50% 46.98%-0.44 +20.5 30
1978-04-29 @ St. Mirren L 1-358.5 1623 1462 46.98% 20.50% 32.52%+0.44 -20.5 36
1978-05-02 Dundee United W 2-050.5 1339 1593 21.77% 20.08% 58.15%-0.91 +28.7 19
1978-05-02 @ Clydebank (old) L 0-250.5 1593 1339 58.15% 20.08% 21.77%+0.91 -28.7 40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-04-22 10.81% Clydebank (old) 1345 1 @ Motherwell 1523 0
2 1977-10-08 13.41% Ayr United 1400 2 @ Hibernian 1535 1
3 1977-10-15 13.73% Hibernian 1519 2 @ Aberdeen 1649 1
4 1978-01-02 13.93% Motherwell 1487 1 @ Celtic 1615 0
5 1977-09-10 14.27% Partick Thistle 1437 4 @ Clydebank (old) 1560 0
6 1978-01-02 14.97% Ayr United 1423 3 @ St. Mirren 1536 2
7 1977-08-20 16.35% Hibernian 1504 2 @ Rangers 1599 0
8 1978-02-25 16.96% St. Mirren 1496 2 @ Celtic 1583 1
9 1978-04-08 17.35% @ Clydebank (old) 1347 3 Celtic 1649 2
10 1977-08-27 17.86% Motherwell 1531 1 @ Celtic 1608 0
11 1978-03-04 18.39% Aberdeen 1675 3 @ Rangers 1746 0
12 1977-10-15 20.13% St. Mirren 1531 2 @ Celtic 1583 1
13 1977-08-20 20.53% Aberdeen 1554 3 @ Clydebank (old) 1602 1
14 1977-12-17 21.61% Ayr United 1392 2 @ Clydebank (old) 1428 0
15 1978-03-04 21.70% Celtic 1568 1 @ Dundee United 1604 0
16 1978-05-02 21.77% @ Clydebank (old) 1339 2 Dundee United 1593 0
17 1977-10-22 23.63% Celtic 1568 2 @ Dundee United 1586 1
18 1978-04-22 23.97% @ Ayr United 1348 2 Hibernian 1581 0
19 1977-12-31 25.57% @ Ayr United 1410 2 Celtic 1628 1
20 1978-03-15 26.06% Hibernian 1541 4 @ Motherwell 1537 2
21 1978-04-29 26.10% Ayr United 1371 2 @ Clydebank (old) 1366 0
22 1977-09-10 26.44% St. Mirren 1555 3 @ Motherwell 1547 0
23 1978-03-18 26.87% Motherwell 1516 3 @ Partick Thistle 1505 2
24 1977-10-08 27.90% Aberdeen 1600 4 @ St. Mirren 1580 0
25 1977-10-08 28.11% Rangers 1631 1 @ Dundee United 1609 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-09-10 61.82 Partick Thistle 4 1437 14.27% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1560 65.74% 19.99%
2 1977-10-08 48.78 Aberdeen 4 1600 27.90% @ St. Mirren 0 1580 51.52% 20.58%
3 1978-03-04 44.12 Aberdeen 3 1675 18.39% @ Rangers 0 1746 61.33% 20.28%
4 1978-04-26 41.56 @ Partick Thistle 5 1443 46.33% St. Mirren 0 1503 33.04% 20.63%
5 1977-08-27 41.26 Rangers 4 1568 36.91% @ Partick Thistle 0 1478 42.46% 20.62%
6 1977-12-24 40.89 @ Aberdeen 4 1607 37.41% Rangers 0 1732 42.01% 20.58%
7 1977-09-10 38.33 St. Mirren 3 1555 26.44% @ Motherwell 0 1547 53.00% 20.56%
8 1978-03-29 37.79 Celtic 4 1605 41.32% @ Partick Thistle 0 1485 38.09% 20.59%
9 1977-09-17 34.58 Dundee United 3 1552 32.12% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1498 47.26% 20.62%
10 1977-08-20 31.45 Hibernian 2 1504 16.35% @ Rangers 0 1599 63.49% 20.16%
11 1978-04-08 30.49 @ St. Mirren 3 1486 38.73% Hibernian 0 1602 40.68% 20.60%
12 1977-12-17 28.73 Ayr United 2 1392 21.61% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1428 57.96% 20.43%
13 1978-05-02 28.72 @ Clydebank (old) 2 1339 21.77% Dundee United 0 1593 58.15% 20.08%
14 1977-11-26 28.60 Rangers 5 1691 58.63% @ Ayr United 0 1432 21.32% 20.05%
15 1978-04-22 27.64 @ Ayr United 2 1348 23.97% Hibernian 0 1581 55.83% 20.20%
16 1978-04-29 26.55 Ayr United 2 1371 26.10% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1366 53.35% 20.55%
17 1977-09-17 26.49 @ Motherwell 5 1509 60.27% Ayr United 0 1449 19.40% 20.33%
18 1977-08-20 25.35 Aberdeen 3 1554 20.53% @ Clydebank (old) 1 1602 59.09% 20.38%
19 1977-10-15 24.06 Rangers 4 1644 41.99% @ Motherwell 1 1520 37.43% 20.58%
20 1978-01-07 23.20 @ Clydebank (old) 2 1377 33.56% Partick Thistle 0 1530 45.92% 20.52%
21 1978-02-25 22.71 Dundee United 2 1581 34.65% @ Partick Thistle 0 1508 44.72% 20.63%
22 1978-03-18 22.70 Hibernian 3 1562 51.26% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1368 28.36% 20.38%
23 1977-12-17 22.51 @ Hibernian 2 1488 35.17% Aberdeen 0 1629 44.28% 20.55%
24 1978-04-15 22.04 @ Hibernian 4 1570 45.82% Celtic 1 1635 33.55% 20.63%
25 1978-03-11 21.99 @ Hibernian 5 1519 54.89% St. Mirren 1 1511 24.59% 20.52%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1977-11-05 81.7 @ Rangers 3 1689 67.97% Partick Thistle 3 1535 12.24% 19.79%
2 1977-09-17 81.1 @ St. Mirren 3 1594 51.37% Rangers 3 1615 28.05% 20.58%
3 1977-12-17 79.9 @ St. Mirren 3 1535 42.86% Celtic 3 1621 36.51% 20.62%
4 1978-04-01 79.4 @ Celtic 2 1643 42.61% Aberdeen 2 1731 36.77% 20.62%
5 1977-12-17 75.1 @ Dundee United 2 1581 57.72% Partick Thistle 2 1546 21.85% 20.44%
6 1978-04-29 73.2 @ Hibernian 1 1553 26.75% Aberdeen 1 1761 52.93% 20.32%
7 1977-11-12 72.7 @ Celtic 1 1596 42.26% Rangers 1 1687 37.12% 20.62%
8 1978-03-29 72.7 @ Hibernian 1 1602 43.56% Rangers 1 1683 35.81% 20.63%
9 1978-04-12 71.3 @ Hibernian 1 1571 46.02% Celtic 1 1634 33.36% 20.63%
10 1978-04-01 70.7 @ Rangers 1 1684 71.00% St. Mirren 1 1482 9.59% 19.41%
11 1977-10-22 70.2 @ Clydebank (old) 2 1443 40.47% St. Mirren 2 1546 38.92% 20.61%
12 1977-08-13 70.1 @ St. Mirren 1 1553 48.09% Clydebank (old) 1 1601 31.29% 20.62%
13 1977-10-15 70.1 Hibernian 2 1519 13.73% @ Aberdeen 1 1649 66.32% 19.94%
14 1977-10-01 69.4 @ Motherwell 1 1530 45.10% Aberdeen 1 1600 34.27% 20.63%
15 1978-03-29 69.3 @ Dundee United 1 1586 59.09% Motherwell 1 1539 20.53% 20.38%
16 1977-08-13 69.1 @ Partick Thistle 2 1500 58.61% Ayr United 2 1457 20.99% 20.40%
17 1978-03-18 68.7 @ Dundee United 0 1599 38.07% Aberdeen 0 1719 41.34% 20.59%
18 1978-01-07 68.6 @ Dundee United 1 1573 58.75% Hibernian 1 1529 20.85% 20.40%
19 1978-01-07 68.5 @ Ayr United 1 1439 25.23% Aberdeen 1 1660 54.51% 20.26%
20 1978-04-08 68.4 @ Clydebank (old) 3 1347 17.35% Celtic 2 1649 62.89% 19.76%
21 1978-01-02 67.8 Ayr United 3 1423 14.97% @ St. Mirren 2 1536 64.97% 20.05%
22 1977-10-29 67.5 @ Aberdeen 1 1622 69.67% Clydebank (old) 1 1443 10.74% 19.59%
23 1977-12-31 67.2 @ Rangers 0 1691 69.32% Hibernian 0 1517 11.04% 19.63%
24 1978-03-04 67.0 @ Clydebank (old) 2 1387 37.50% St. Mirren 2 1511 41.92% 20.58%
25 1978-04-12 67.0 @ Rangers 1 1689 77.46% Ayr United 1 1346 4.59% 17.95%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-01-02 36.1 @ Hibernian 2 1521 66.75% Clydebank (old) 0 1385 13.34% 19.91%
2 1978-03-11 36.2 @ Celtic 3 1583 69.10% Ayr United 0 1413 11.24% 19.66%
3 1978-01-14 36.9 @ Motherwell 3 1512 61.42% Ayr United 0 1440 18.30% 20.28%
4 1977-12-24 37.1 @ St. Mirren 2 1535 66.68% Clydebank (old) 0 1399 13.41% 19.91%
5 1977-09-17 37.5 @ Motherwell 5 1509 60.27% Ayr United 0 1449 19.40% 20.33%
6 1977-11-19 37.7 @ Dundee United 4 1573 65.67% Clydebank (old) 0 1451 14.33% 20.00%
7 1978-03-21 38.3 @ Aberdeen 2 1719 78.49% Clydebank (old) 0 1345 3.92% 17.59%
8 1978-03-18 39.2 Hibernian 3 1562 51.26% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1368 28.36% 20.38%
9 1978-04-15 39.3 @ Dundee United 1 1600 73.52% Ayr United 0 1351 7.51% 18.97%
10 1977-09-24 39.8 @ Rangers 2 1616 70.52% Ayr United 0 1423 10.00% 19.47%
11 1978-04-12 39.8 @ Dundee United 1 1597 72.85% Clydebank (old) 0 1362 8.05% 19.10%
12 1977-10-15 40.5 @ Ayr United 2 1416 48.67% Clydebank (old) 0 1460 30.72% 20.61%
13 1977-11-26 40.6 @ St. Mirren 3 1526 57.38% Hibernian 0 1495 22.17% 20.45%
14 1977-08-20 40.8 @ Motherwell 3 1511 55.40% Partick Thistle 0 1498 24.09% 20.50%
15 1977-12-24 41.2 @ Partick Thistle 4 1548 66.12% Ayr United 1 1420 13.92% 19.96%
16 1978-04-26 41.3 @ Partick Thistle 5 1443 46.33% St. Mirren 0 1503 33.04% 20.63%
17 1978-04-17 41.4 @ Celtic 5 1613 74.21% Clydebank (old) 2 1350 6.97% 18.83%
18 1977-08-27 41.6 @ St. Mirren 2 1545 61.62% Ayr United 0 1471 18.11% 20.27%
19 1978-04-15 41.6 Rangers 2 1685 64.92% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1359 15.50% 19.58%
20 1978-02-19 41.9 Rangers 3 1721 64.71% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1398 15.69% 19.60%
21 1978-03-25 42.1 @ Aberdeen 4 1721 77.81% Ayr United 1 1368 4.36% 17.83%
22 1978-04-26 42.2 @ Dundee United 3 1578 71.03% Ayr United 1 1376 9.57% 19.40%
23 1978-03-11 43.2 Motherwell 2 1517 42.76% @ Clydebank (old) 0 1387 36.67% 20.57%
24 1978-02-25 43.4 @ Aberdeen 3 1663 66.39% Hibernian 0 1531 13.67% 19.94%
25 1978-04-15 43.6 @ Aberdeen 5 1744 71.34% Motherwell 0 1537 9.31% 19.35%