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1978-79 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celtic

48 points · 31st Title

Last Title: 1976-77

Relegated

Motherwell

17 pts

Heart of Midlothian · 23 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Celtic

6.98 points above expected

48 points · 41.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Motherwell

8.32 points below expected

17 points · 25.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celtic Champion 36 21 6 9 48 61 37 +24 41.02 +6.98
2 Rangers 36 18 9 9 45 52 35 +17 42.31 +2.69
3 Dundee United 36 18 8 10 44 56 37 +19 39.60 +4.40
4 Aberdeen 36 13 14 9 40 59 36 +23 45.15 -5.15
5 Hibernian 36 12 13 11 37 44 48 -4 35.74 +1.26
6 St. Mirren 36 15 6 15 36 45 41 +4 34.58 +1.42
7 Greenock Morton 36 12 12 12 36 52 53 -1 34.42 +1.58
8 Partick Thistle 36 13 8 15 34 42 39 +3 33.53 +0.47
9 Heart of Midlothian Relegated 36 8 7 21 23 39 71 -32 28.33 -5.33
10 Motherwell Relegated 36 5 7 24 17 33 86 -53 25.32 -8.32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Celtic 48 41.02 +6.98
2 Dundee United 44 39.60 +4.40
3 Rangers 45 42.31 +2.69
4 Greenock Morton 36 34.42 +1.58
5 St. Mirren 36 34.58 +1.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Motherwell 17 25.32 -8.32
2 Heart of Midlothian 23 28.33 -5.33
3 Aberdeen 40 45.15 -5.15
4 Partick Thistle 34 33.53 +0.47
5 Hibernian 37 35.74 +1.26

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 3 Oct 21 – Nov 4 1 in 238
2 Celtic 4 Aug 12 – Sep 9 1 in 36
3 Hibernian 3 Sep 9 – Sep 23 1 in 35
4 Dundee United 4 Mar 7 – Mar 17 1 in 32
5 Partick Thistle 3 Nov 4 – Nov 18 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 10 Apr 11 – May 14 1 in 586
2 Aberdeen 3 Oct 14 – Oct 28 1 in 152
3 Motherwell 9 Mar 7 – Apr 10 1 in 83
4 St. Mirren 3 Mar 24 – Mar 31 1 in 38
5 Greenock Morton 3 Aug 12 – Aug 26 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 8 Aug 12 – Oct 7 1 in 49
2 Dundee United 7 Sep 16 – Oct 28 1 in 31
3 Heart of Midlothian 5 Oct 7 – Nov 4 1 in 29
4 Greenock Morton 5 Sep 9 – Oct 7 1 in 21
5 Celtic 6 Apr 14 – May 2 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 11 Oct 14 – Jan 20 1 in 259
2 Aberdeen 6 Dec 9 – Feb 24 1 in 51
3 Celtic 7 Oct 7 – Nov 18 1 in 35
4 Rangers 6 Aug 12 – Sep 23 1 in 35
5 Partick Thistle 8 Dec 16 – Mar 28 1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Celtic 1694 48 +31 8 5.5 +2.5
Rangers 1670 45 +2 6 5.9 +0.1
Dundee United 1652 44 +5 5 6.1 -1.1
Aberdeen 1659 40 -4 5 5.4 -0.4
Hibernian 1548 37 -6 6 5.0 +1.0
Greenock Morton 1553 36 +20 6 5.4 +0.6
St. Mirren 1553 36 -7 5 5.0 +0.0
Partick Thistle 1540 34 -13 3 4.8 -1.8
Heart of Midlothian 1401 23 -34 0 2.5 -2.5
Motherwell 1349 17 +16 4 2.9 +1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU GM HOM HIB MOT PT RAN SM
Aberdeen —
1-2-1
6.22
1-2-1
6.27
2-0-2
7.30
2-1-1
7.84
1-2-1
6.97
2-2-0
8.44
3-1-0
7.00
1-2-1
5.87
0-2-2
7.17
Celtic
1-2-1
4.73
 —
1-1-2
5.51
2-1-1
6.33
3-0-1
7.48
1-1-2
6.22
3-0-1
7.66
4-0-0
6.64
2-1-1
5.39
4-0-0
6.54
Dundee United
1-2-1
4.68
2-1-1
5.44
 —
1-0-3
6.63
3-0-1
7.57
1-2-1
5.82
4-0-0
7.27
3-1-0
6.51
1-1-2
5.10
2-1-1
6.09
Greenock Morton
2-0-2
3.69
1-1-2
4.63
3-0-1
4.33
 —
2-2-0
6.40
1-3-0
4.91
1-2-1
7.06
1-1-2
5.48
0-2-2
4.21
1-1-2
5.17
Heart of Midlothian
1-1-2
3.18
1-0-3
3.53
1-0-3
3.43
0-2-2
4.55
 —
1-2-1
4.42
3-0-1
6.10
0-0-4
4.94
1-1-2
3.40
0-1-3
4.71
Hibernian
1-2-1
4.00
2-1-1
4.75
1-2-1
5.13
0-3-1
6.05
1-2-1
6.55
 —
3-1-0
6.97
1-1-2
5.78
1-1-2
4.32
2-0-2
5.67
Motherwell
0-2-2
2.60
1-0-3
3.35
0-0-4
3.75
1-2-1
3.91
1-0-3
4.87
0-1-3
4.01
 —
0-2-2
4.71
1-0-3
2.25
1-0-3
4.23
Partick Thistle
0-1-3
3.98
0-0-4
4.32
0-1-3
4.45
2-1-1
5.47
4-0-0
6.03
2-1-1
5.16
2-2-0
6.25
 —
1-1-2
3.99
2-1-1
5.20
Rangers
1-2-1
5.09
1-1-2
5.57
2-1-1
5.86
2-2-0
6.76
2-1-1
7.60
2-1-1
6.64
3-0-1
8.83
2-1-1
6.98
 —
3-0-1
6.67
St. Mirren
2-2-0
3.81
0-0-4
4.43
1-1-2
4.86
2-1-1
5.79
3-1-0
6.25
2-0-2
5.29
3-0-1
6.74
1-1-2
5.75
1-0-3
4.30
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +9.4
Allowed 0.86 -5.2
Differential 0.93 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%8.89%4.17%2.78%1.67%0.83%25.00%
18.89%13.33%11.39%2.78%1.39%0.56%38.33%
24.17%11.39%4.44%2.22%0.28%—22.50%
32.78%2.78%2.22%0.56%0.28%0.28%8.89%
41.67%1.39%0.28%0.28%——3.61%
5+0.83%0.56%—0.28%——1.67%
Total25.00%38.33%22.50%8.89%3.61%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.81
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%5.56%———19.44%
18.33%22.22%16.67%———47.22%
2—8.33%5.56%———13.89%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%8.33%————11.11%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total27.78%44.44%27.78%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.00 +0.64
SD 1.71 0.76 2.02
CV 1.04 0.76 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
111.11%8.33%8.33%—2.78%—30.56%
25.56%16.67%2.78%———25.00%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%44.44%19.44%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.03 +0.67
SD 1.33 0.94 1.57
CV 0.78 0.92 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
15.56%16.67%11.11%5.56%——38.89%
28.33%19.44%2.78%———30.56%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total25.00%52.78%16.67%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.03 +0.53
SD 1.05 0.81 1.52
CV 0.68 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
111.11%13.89%11.11%8.33%2.78%—47.22%
2—8.33%11.11%———19.44%
32.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%30.56%27.78%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.47 -0.03
SD 1.21 1.11 1.76
CV 0.83 0.75 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%5.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%36.11%
12.78%11.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
25.56%5.56%2.78%8.33%——22.22%
32.78%—5.56%——2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%25.00%16.67%11.11%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.97 -0.89
SD 1.02 1.44 1.85
CV 0.95 0.73 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
111.11%16.67%11.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%47.22%
2—11.11%8.33%———19.44%
32.78%—5.56%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%27.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.33 -0.11
SD 0.99 1.29 1.62
CV 0.81 0.97 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%2.78%11.11%8.33%5.56%41.67%
12.78%11.11%13.89%—2.78%2.78%33.33%
22.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
3——2.78%2.78%2.78%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%27.78%22.22%19.44%13.89%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 2.39 -1.47
SD 0.97 1.73 2.10
CV 1.06 0.72 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%8.33%———33.33%
18.33%11.11%13.89%———33.33%
28.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total25.00%44.44%27.78%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.08 +0.08
SD 1.23 0.81 1.44
CV 1.05 0.74 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
116.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%——36.11%
28.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
35.56%—————5.56%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total44.44%30.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.97 +0.47
SD 1.23 1.13 1.58
CV 0.85 1.17 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%5.56%———25.00%
111.11%11.11%11.11%5.56%——38.89%
22.78%16.67%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%50.00%19.44%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.14 +0.11
SD 1.02 0.87 1.45
CV 0.82 0.76 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Celtic 1694 48 41.02 +6.98 94.0% 31 33 37 41 44 49 52
Rangers 1670 45 42.31 +2.69 76.0% 32 34 40 42 45 50 53
Aberdeen 1659 40 45.15 -5.15 17.0% 34 37 42 46 48 53 56
Dundee United 1652 44 39.60 +4.40 85.0% 31 33 36 39 43 47 52
St. Mirren 1553 36 34.58 +1.42 68.0% 23 25 31 34 37 43 53
Greenock Morton 1553 36 34.42 +1.58 65.0% 21 27 31 34 37 41 46
Hibernian 1548 37 35.74 +1.26 64.0% 24 27 32 36 39 42 50
Partick Thistle 1540 34 33.53 +0.47 55.0% 23 25 29 34 37 41 44
Heart of Midlothian 1401 23 28.33 -5.33 15.0% 17 21 25 28 31 35 39
Motherwell 1349 17 25.32 -8.32 4.0% 14 18 22 25 29 34 37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.67%
Clear Edge
48.33%25.00%26.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
161 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
076.49500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.48+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
18%
Celtic, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.78 * Some Luck: 3.78 to 5.68 * Lucky: 5.68 to 7.57 * Wild Swing: 7.57 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.13 * Close: 1.13 to 1.7 * Off: 1.7 to 2.27 * Way Off: 2.27 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.58 * A Surprise: 0.58 to 0.93 * Several Surprises: 0.93 to 1.28 * Many Surprises: 1.28 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.54 points
Some Luck
04.7312
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
01.423
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
Celtic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
4.00%
Motherwell
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.62

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 114.90
1.86
Moderate Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Even
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Slight Separation
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.95
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.82
Near-Lock
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.13
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.97
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Celtic18.00%17.00%21.00%12.00%15.00%9.00%5.00%3.00%——
Rangers21.00%21.00%26.00%16.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—
Dundee United10.00%20.00%14.00%18.00%15.00%16.00%4.00%3.00%——
Aberdeen48.00%23.00%16.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%————
Hibernian1.00%9.00%7.00%12.00%19.00%16.00%16.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%
St. Mirren1.00%5.00%4.00%12.00%8.00%21.00%22.00%11.00%11.00%5.00%
Greenock Morton1.00%2.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%14.00%20.00%20.00%8.00%2.00%
Partick Thistle—3.00%4.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%19.00%17.00%17.00%4.00%
Heart of Midlothian———2.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%26.00%33.00%24.00%
Motherwell————2.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%24.00%61.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aberdeen 100% —
Celtic 100% —
Dundee United 100% —
Rangers 99.00% 1.00%
Greenock Morton 90.00% 10.00%
Hibernian 90.00% 10.00%
St. Mirren 84.00% 16.00%
Partick Thistle 79.00% 21.00%
Heart of Midlothian 43.00% 57.00%
Motherwell 15.00% 85.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1978-08-12 Hibernian D 0-061.5 1561 1556 52.46% 26.19% 21.34%+0.51 -1.8 1
1978-08-12 @ Dundee United D 0-061.5 1556 1561 21.34% 26.19% 52.46%-0.51 +1.8 1
1978-08-12 Celtic L 1-264.0 1539 1584 46.64% 26.46% 26.91%+0.20 -10.1 0
1978-08-12 @ Greenock Morton W 2-164.0 1584 1539 26.91% 26.46% 46.64%-0.20 +10.1 2
1978-08-12 Aberdeen L 1-455.5 1511 1672 31.01% 26.21% 42.77%-0.52 -18.0 0
1978-08-12 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-155.5 1672 1511 42.77% 26.21% 31.01%+0.52 +18.0 2
1978-08-12 Partick Thistle L 0-157.0 1524 1509 53.51% 26.12% 20.37%+0.57 -12.1 0
1978-08-12 @ Motherwell W 1-057.0 1509 1524 20.37% 26.12% 53.51%-0.57 +12.1 2
1978-08-12 St. Mirren L 0-163.8 1646 1516 63.68% 24.67% 11.65%+1.28 -14.3 0
1978-08-12 @ Rangers W 1-063.8 1516 1646 11.65% 24.67% 63.68%-1.28 +14.3 2
1978-08-19 Greenock Morton W 3-151.8 1689 1529 65.88% 24.12% 10.00%+1.47 +4.8 4
1978-08-19 @ Aberdeen L 1-351.8 1529 1689 10.00% 24.12% 65.88%-1.47 -4.8 0
1978-08-19 Heart of Midlothian W 4-041.7 1594 1493 61.49% 25.12% 13.39%+1.10 +14.0 4
1978-08-19 @ Celtic L 0-441.7 1493 1594 13.39% 25.12% 61.49%-1.10 -13.9 0
1978-08-19 Rangers D 0-063.4 1558 1631 42.98% 26.51% 30.52%+0.02 -0.7 2
1978-08-19 @ Hibernian D 0-063.4 1631 1558 30.52% 26.51% 42.98%-0.02 +0.7 1
1978-08-19 Dundee United D 1-165.0 1521 1560 47.45% 26.43% 26.12%+0.24 -1.0 3
1978-08-19 @ Partick Thistle D 1-165.0 1560 1521 26.12% 26.43% 47.45%-0.24 +1.0 2
1978-08-19 Motherwell L 0-157.5 1530 1512 53.81% 26.10% 20.09%+0.59 -12.2 2
1978-08-19 @ St. Mirren W 1-057.5 1512 1530 20.09% 26.10% 53.81%-0.59 +12.2 2
1978-08-26 Aberdeen D 1-169.5 1561 1694 34.66% 26.38% 38.96%-0.35 +0.2 3
1978-08-26 @ Dundee United D 1-169.5 1694 1561 38.96% 26.38% 34.66%+0.35 -0.2 5
1978-08-26 St. Mirren L 1-360.0 1524 1518 52.54% 26.19% 21.27%+0.51 -19.4 0
1978-08-26 @ Greenock Morton W 3-160.0 1518 1524 21.27% 26.19% 52.54%-0.51 +19.4 4
1978-08-26 Hibernian D 1-163.4 1479 1557 42.30% 26.51% 31.20%-0.01 -0.5 1
1978-08-26 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-163.4 1557 1479 31.20% 26.51% 42.30%+0.01 +0.5 3
1978-08-26 Celtic L 1-556.0 1525 1608 41.65% 26.51% 31.85%-0.04 -29.1 2
1978-08-26 @ Motherwell W 5-156.0 1608 1525 31.85% 26.51% 41.65%+0.04 +29.1 6
1978-08-26 Partick Thistle D 0-062.9 1632 1520 62.31% 24.96% 12.73%+1.17 -3.0 2
1978-08-26 @ Rangers D 0-062.9 1520 1632 12.73% 24.96% 62.31%-1.17 +3.0 4
1978-09-09 Motherwell W 4-042.7 1694 1495 68.34% 23.36% 8.30%+1.71 +8.8 7
1978-09-09 @ Aberdeen L 0-442.7 1495 1694 8.30% 23.36% 68.34%-1.71 -8.8 2
1978-09-09 Rangers W 3-156.6 1637 1629 52.76% 26.17% 21.07%+0.52 +9.4 8
1978-09-09 @ Celtic L 1-356.6 1629 1637 21.07% 26.17% 52.76%-0.52 -9.4 2
1978-09-09 Greenock Morton L 1-265.1 1561 1505 57.59% 25.71% 16.70%+0.82 -12.2 3
1978-09-09 @ Dundee United W 2-165.1 1505 1561 16.70% 25.71% 57.59%-0.82 +12.2 2
1978-09-09 St. Mirren W 1-049.1 1558 1538 54.04% 26.08% 19.88%+0.60 +5.5 5
1978-09-09 @ Hibernian L 0-149.1 1538 1558 19.88% 26.08% 54.04%-0.60 -5.5 4
1978-09-09 Heart of Midlothian W 3-256.1 1523 1478 56.54% 25.83% 17.62%+0.76 +4.5 6
1978-09-09 @ Partick Thistle L 2-356.1 1478 1523 17.62% 25.83% 56.54%-0.76 -4.4 1
1978-09-16 Hibernian L 0-164.1 1646 1563 59.98% 25.37% 14.64%+0.99 -13.5 8
1978-09-16 @ Celtic W 1-064.1 1563 1646 14.64% 25.37% 59.98%-0.99 +13.5 7
1978-09-16 Greenock Morton D 1-161.7 1474 1517 46.84% 26.45% 26.71%+0.21 -1.0 2
1978-09-16 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-161.7 1517 1474 26.71% 26.45% 46.84%-0.21 +1.0 3
1978-09-16 Dundee United L 0-154.5 1487 1549 44.46% 26.50% 29.05%+0.09 -10.3 2
1978-09-16 @ Motherwell W 1-054.5 1549 1487 29.05% 26.50% 44.46%-0.09 +10.3 5
1978-09-16 Aberdeen D 1-170.4 1620 1703 41.65% 26.51% 31.85%-0.04 -0.5 3
1978-09-16 @ Rangers D 1-170.4 1703 1620 31.85% 26.51% 41.65%+0.04 +0.5 8
1978-09-16 Partick Thistle W 1-048.4 1532 1528 52.35% 26.20% 21.45%+0.50 +5.9 6
1978-09-16 @ St. Mirren L 0-148.4 1528 1532 21.45% 26.20% 52.35%-0.50 -5.9 6
1978-09-23 Rangers D 2-272.8 1518 1619 39.21% 26.49% 34.31%-0.15 -0.2 4
1978-09-23 @ Greenock Morton D 2-272.8 1619 1518 34.31% 26.49% 39.21%+0.15 +0.2 4
1978-09-23 Aberdeen W 2-164.9 1577 1703 35.63% 26.41% 37.96%-0.31 +8.5 9
1978-09-23 @ Hibernian L 1-264.9 1703 1577 37.96% 26.41% 35.63%+0.31 -8.5 8
1978-09-23 Heart of Midlothian L 0-153.6 1476 1473 52.28% 26.21% 21.51%+0.50 -11.9 2
1978-09-23 @ Motherwell W 1-053.6 1473 1476 21.51% 26.21% 52.28%-0.50 +11.8 4
1978-09-23 Celtic L 2-367.5 1522 1633 37.85% 26.46% 35.69%-0.21 -8.1 6
1978-09-23 @ Partick Thistle W 3-267.5 1633 1522 35.69% 26.46% 37.85%+0.21 +8.1 10
1978-09-23 Dundee United L 1-361.1 1538 1559 49.50% 26.36% 24.14%+0.34 -18.4 6
1978-09-23 @ St. Mirren W 3-161.1 1559 1538 24.14% 26.36% 49.50%-0.34 +18.4 7
1978-09-30 Partick Thistle D 1-169.4 1695 1514 67.23% 23.72% 9.05%+1.60 -3.2 9
1978-09-30 @ Aberdeen D 1-169.4 1514 1695 9.05% 23.72% 67.23%-1.60 +3.2 7
1978-09-30 St. Mirren W 2-154.2 1641 1520 63.08% 24.80% 12.12%+1.23 +3.4 12
1978-09-30 @ Celtic L 1-254.2 1520 1641 12.12% 24.80% 63.08%-1.23 -3.3 6
1978-09-30 Heart of Midlothian W 3-148.9 1577 1485 60.80% 25.24% 13.96%+1.05 +6.6 9
1978-09-30 @ Dundee United L 1-348.9 1485 1577 13.96% 25.24% 60.80%-1.05 -6.6 4
1978-09-30 Greenock Morton D 1-166.0 1585 1518 58.62% 25.58% 15.80%+0.89 -2.2 10
1978-09-30 @ Hibernian D 1-166.0 1518 1585 15.80% 25.58% 58.62%-0.89 +2.2 5
1978-09-30 Motherwell W 4-145.8 1619 1465 65.48% 24.22% 10.29%+1.44 +7.0 6
1978-09-30 @ Rangers L 1-445.8 1465 1619 10.29% 24.22% 65.48%-1.44 -7.0 2
1978-10-07 Celtic W 4-153.9 1692 1644 56.75% 25.81% 17.44%+0.77 +11.4 11
1978-10-07 @ Aberdeen L 1-453.9 1644 1692 17.44% 25.81% 56.75%-0.77 -11.4 12
1978-10-07 Partick Thistle W 1-047.6 1520 1517 52.20% 26.21% 21.59%+0.49 +5.9 7
1978-10-07 @ Greenock Morton L 0-147.6 1517 1520 21.59% 26.21% 52.20%-0.49 -5.9 7
1978-10-07 St. Mirren D 1-161.8 1478 1516 47.46% 26.43% 26.11%+0.24 -1.0 5
1978-10-07 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-161.8 1516 1478 26.11% 26.43% 47.46%-0.24 +1.0 7
1978-10-07 Hibernian L 2-363.1 1458 1583 35.78% 26.41% 37.81%-0.30 -7.8 2
1978-10-07 @ Motherwell W 3-263.1 1583 1458 37.81% 26.41% 35.78%+0.30 +7.8 12
1978-10-07 Dundee United D 1-168.8 1626 1584 56.26% 25.87% 17.87%+0.74 -2.0 7
1978-10-07 @ Rangers D 1-168.8 1584 1626 17.87% 25.87% 56.26%-0.74 +2.0 10
1978-10-14 Celtic W 1-054.7 1586 1633 46.37% 26.46% 27.17%+0.18 +7.1 12
1978-10-14 @ Dundee United L 0-154.7 1633 1586 27.17% 26.46% 46.37%-0.18 -7.1 12
1978-10-14 Motherwell L 1-262.3 1526 1450 59.38% 25.47% 15.16%+0.95 -12.6 7
1978-10-14 @ Greenock Morton W 2-162.3 1450 1526 15.16% 25.47% 59.38%-0.95 +12.6 4
1978-10-14 Rangers D 0-061.0 1477 1624 32.79% 26.30% 40.90%-0.44 +0.4 6
1978-10-14 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-061.0 1624 1477 40.90% 26.30% 32.79%+0.44 -0.4 8
1978-10-14 Hibernian W 2-158.7 1511 1591 42.15% 26.51% 31.34%-0.02 +7.4 9
1978-10-14 @ Partick Thistle L 1-258.7 1591 1511 31.34% 26.51% 42.15%+0.02 -7.4 12
1978-10-14 Aberdeen W 2-166.1 1517 1703 27.90% 26.01% 46.09%-0.68 +9.9 9
1978-10-14 @ St. Mirren L 1-266.1 1703 1517 46.09% 26.01% 27.90%+0.68 -10.0 11
1978-10-21 Heart of Midlothian L 1-271.1 1693 1477 69.37% 23.00% 7.63%+1.81 -14.6 11
1978-10-21 @ Aberdeen W 2-171.1 1477 1693 7.63% 23.00% 69.37%-1.81 +14.6 8
1978-10-21 Greenock Morton D 0-062.5 1626 1513 62.40% 24.94% 12.66%+1.17 -3.0 13
1978-10-21 @ Celtic D 0-062.5 1513 1626 12.66% 24.94% 62.40%-1.17 +3.0 8
1978-10-21 Dundee United D 1-167.9 1583 1593 50.81% 26.30% 22.90%+0.42 -1.4 13
1978-10-21 @ Hibernian D 1-167.9 1593 1583 22.90% 26.30% 50.81%-0.42 +1.4 13
1978-10-21 Motherwell W 2-040.8 1519 1462 57.59% 25.71% 16.70%+0.82 +8.9 11
1978-10-21 @ Partick Thistle L 0-240.8 1462 1519 16.70% 25.71% 57.59%-0.82 -8.9 4
1978-10-21 Rangers L 0-156.9 1527 1624 39.82% 26.49% 33.68%-0.13 -9.4 9
1978-10-21 @ St. Mirren W 1-056.9 1624 1527 33.68% 26.49% 39.82%+0.13 +9.4 10
1978-10-28 Partick Thistle W 2-045.5 1594 1528 58.56% 25.59% 15.85%+0.89 +8.5 15
1978-10-28 @ Dundee United L 0-245.5 1528 1594 15.85% 25.59% 58.56%-0.89 -8.5 11
1978-10-28 Aberdeen W 2-164.7 1516 1678 30.83% 26.20% 42.96%-0.53 +9.4 10
1978-10-28 @ Greenock Morton L 1-264.7 1678 1516 42.96% 26.20% 30.83%+0.53 -9.4 11
1978-10-28 Celtic W 2-052.3 1492 1623 35.02% 26.39% 38.59%-0.34 +17.3 10
1978-10-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-252.3 1623 1492 38.59% 26.39% 35.02%+0.34 -17.3 13
1978-10-28 St. Mirren L 1-257.9 1453 1518 44.16% 26.50% 29.34%+0.08 -9.6 4
1978-10-28 @ Motherwell W 2-157.9 1518 1453 29.34% 26.50% 44.16%-0.08 +9.6 11
1978-10-28 Hibernian W 2-157.3 1633 1582 57.12% 25.77% 17.11%+0.79 +4.6 12
1978-10-28 @ Rangers L 1-257.3 1582 1633 17.11% 25.77% 57.12%-0.79 -4.6 13
1978-11-04 Dundee United W 1-052.0 1669 1603 58.49% 25.59% 15.91%+0.89 +4.6 13
1978-11-04 @ Aberdeen L 0-152.0 1603 1669 15.91% 25.59% 58.49%-0.89 -4.5 15
1978-11-04 Motherwell L 1-266.6 1606 1444 65.97% 24.09% 9.94%+1.48 -13.9 13
1978-11-04 @ Celtic W 2-166.6 1444 1606 9.94% 24.09% 65.97%-1.48 +13.9 6
1978-11-04 Heart of Midlothian L 1-266.2 1577 1509 58.68% 25.57% 15.75%+0.90 -12.4 13
1978-11-04 @ Hibernian W 2-166.2 1509 1577 15.75% 25.57% 58.68%-0.90 +12.4 12
1978-11-04 Rangers W 1-056.2 1519 1638 36.72% 26.44% 36.84%-0.26 +8.9 13
1978-11-04 @ Partick Thistle L 0-156.2 1638 1519 36.84% 26.44% 36.72%+0.26 -8.9 12
1978-11-04 Greenock Morton D 0-059.3 1527 1526 52.08% 26.22% 21.70%+0.49 -1.7 12
1978-11-04 @ St. Mirren D 0-059.3 1526 1527 21.70% 26.22% 52.08%-0.49 +1.7 11
1978-11-11 Dundee United W 3-156.2 1527 1598 43.28% 26.51% 30.22%+0.03 +12.5 13
1978-11-11 @ Greenock Morton L 1-356.2 1598 1527 30.22% 26.51% 43.28%-0.03 -12.5 15
1978-11-11 Partick Thistle L 0-157.0 1522 1528 51.20% 26.27% 22.52%+0.44 -11.6 12
1978-11-11 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-057.0 1528 1522 22.52% 26.27% 51.20%-0.44 +11.6 15
1978-11-11 Aberdeen D 1-166.8 1458 1674 24.44% 25.69% 49.87%-0.87 +1.2 7
1978-11-11 @ Motherwell D 1-166.8 1674 1458 49.87% 25.69% 24.44%+0.87 -1.2 14
1978-11-11 Celtic D 1-169.0 1629 1592 55.77% 25.92% 18.31%+0.71 -1.9 13
1978-11-11 @ Rangers D 1-169.0 1592 1629 18.31% 25.92% 55.77%-0.71 +1.9 14
1978-11-11 Hibernian W 1-051.0 1526 1565 47.31% 26.44% 26.25%+0.23 +6.9 14
1978-11-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-151.0 1565 1526 26.25% 26.44% 47.31%-0.23 -6.9 13
1978-11-18 Rangers D 0-065.6 1672 1627 56.56% 25.83% 17.61%+0.76 -2.2 15
1978-11-18 @ Aberdeen D 0-065.6 1627 1672 17.61% 25.83% 56.56%-0.76 +2.2 14
1978-11-18 Motherwell W 2-150.4 1586 1459 63.49% 24.71% 11.80%+1.26 +3.3 17
1978-11-18 @ Dundee United L 1-250.4 1459 1586 11.80% 24.71% 63.49%-1.26 -3.3 7
1978-11-18 Heart of Midlothian W 3-258.3 1540 1510 55.02% 25.99% 18.99%+0.66 +4.7 15
1978-11-18 @ Greenock Morton L 2-358.3 1510 1540 18.99% 25.99% 55.02%-0.66 -4.7 12
1978-11-18 Celtic D 2-273.2 1558 1594 47.78% 26.42% 25.80%+0.25 -0.8 14
1978-11-18 @ Hibernian D 2-273.2 1594 1558 25.80% 26.42% 47.78%-0.25 +0.8 15
1978-11-18 St. Mirren W 2-154.6 1539 1533 52.64% 26.18% 21.17%+0.52 +5.5 17
1978-11-18 @ Partick Thistle L 1-254.6 1533 1539 21.17% 26.18% 52.64%-0.52 -5.5 14
1978-11-25 Hibernian W 4-150.6 1670 1557 62.41% 24.94% 12.65%+1.18 +8.5 17
1978-11-25 @ Aberdeen L 1-450.6 1557 1670 12.65% 24.94% 62.41%-1.18 -8.5 14
1978-11-25 Partick Thistle W 1-049.6 1594 1545 56.95% 25.79% 17.26%+0.78 +4.9 17
1978-11-25 @ Celtic L 0-149.6 1545 1594 17.26% 25.79% 56.95%-0.78 -4.9 17
1978-11-25 St. Mirren D 1-166.4 1589 1527 58.13% 25.64% 16.23%+0.86 -2.2 18
1978-11-25 @ Dundee United D 1-166.4 1527 1589 16.23% 25.64% 58.13%-0.86 +2.2 15
1978-11-25 Motherwell W 3-254.4 1505 1456 56.97% 25.79% 17.24%+0.78 +4.4 14
1978-11-25 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-354.4 1456 1505 17.24% 25.79% 56.97%-0.78 -4.4 7
1978-11-25 Greenock Morton W 3-044.8 1629 1545 60.12% 25.35% 14.52%+1.00 +11.5 16
1978-11-25 @ Rangers L 0-344.8 1545 1629 14.52% 25.35% 60.12%-1.00 -11.5 15
1978-12-09 Aberdeen D 0-065.1 1599 1679 42.18% 26.51% 31.31%-0.02 -0.6 18
1978-12-09 @ Celtic D 0-065.1 1679 1599 31.31% 26.51% 42.18%+0.02 +0.6 18
1978-12-09 Rangers W 3-050.4 1587 1641 45.51% 26.48% 28.01%+0.14 +19.8 20
1978-12-09 @ Dundee United L 0-350.4 1641 1587 28.01% 26.48% 45.51%-0.14 -19.8 16
1978-12-09 Motherwell D 2-268.5 1549 1451 61.18% 25.17% 13.64%+1.08 -1.9 15
1978-12-09 @ Hibernian D 2-268.5 1451 1549 13.64% 25.17% 61.18%-1.08 +1.9 8
1978-12-09 Greenock Morton W 2-154.6 1540 1533 52.65% 26.18% 21.17%+0.52 +5.5 19
1978-12-09 @ Partick Thistle L 1-254.6 1533 1540 21.17% 26.18% 52.65%-0.52 -5.5 15
1978-12-09 Heart of Midlothian W 4-042.3 1529 1510 53.98% 26.08% 19.94%+0.60 +19.7 17
1978-12-09 @ St. Mirren L 0-442.3 1510 1529 19.94% 26.08% 53.98%-0.60 -19.7 14
1978-12-16 St. Mirren D 1-169.5 1679 1549 63.74% 24.65% 11.61%+1.28 -2.8 19
1978-12-16 @ Aberdeen D 1-169.5 1549 1679 11.61% 24.65% 63.74%-1.28 +2.8 18
1978-12-16 Dundee United D 1-168.6 1599 1607 50.99% 26.29% 22.73%+0.42 -1.4 19
1978-12-16 @ Celtic D 1-168.6 1607 1599 22.73% 26.29% 50.99%-0.42 +1.4 21
1978-12-16 Partick Thistle D 0-060.7 1547 1546 52.04% 26.22% 21.74%+0.48 -1.7 16
1978-12-16 @ Hibernian D 0-060.7 1546 1547 21.74% 26.22% 52.04%-0.48 +1.7 20
1978-12-16 Greenock Morton D 1-161.3 1453 1528 42.84% 26.51% 30.65%+0.01 -0.6 9
1978-12-16 @ Motherwell D 1-161.3 1528 1453 30.65% 26.51% 42.84%-0.01 +0.6 16
1978-12-16 Heart of Midlothian W 5-355.0 1621 1490 63.79% 24.64% 11.57%+1.29 +4.7 18
1978-12-16 @ Rangers L 3-555.0 1490 1621 11.57% 24.64% 63.79%-1.29 -4.7 14
1978-12-23 Hibernian W 2-155.5 1608 1545 58.21% 25.63% 16.16%+0.87 +4.3 23
1978-12-23 @ Dundee United L 1-255.5 1545 1608 16.16% 25.63% 58.21%-0.87 -4.3 16
1978-12-23 Celtic W 1-053.2 1528 1597 43.53% 26.50% 29.96%+0.05 +7.6 18
1978-12-23 @ Greenock Morton L 0-153.2 1597 1528 29.96% 26.50% 43.53%-0.05 -7.6 19
1978-12-23 Aberdeen D 0-062.8 1485 1676 27.26% 25.96% 46.78%-0.71 +1.1 15
1978-12-23 @ Heart of Midlothian D 0-062.8 1676 1485 46.78% 25.96% 27.26%+0.71 -1.0 20
1978-12-23 Partick Thistle D 1-162.0 1453 1547 40.12% 26.50% 33.39%-0.11 -0.3 10
1978-12-23 @ Motherwell D 1-162.0 1547 1453 33.39% 26.50% 40.12%+0.11 +0.3 21
1978-12-23 St. Mirren W 1-050.0 1626 1552 59.19% 25.50% 15.32%+0.93 +4.4 20
1978-12-23 @ Rangers L 0-150.0 1552 1626 15.32% 25.50% 59.19%-0.93 -4.4 18
1978-12-30 Greenock Morton L 1-271.0 1675 1536 64.42% 24.49% 11.09%+1.34 -13.6 20
1978-12-30 @ Aberdeen W 2-171.0 1536 1675 11.09% 24.49% 64.42%-1.34 +13.6 20
1979-01-20 Rangers L 0-255.2 1549 1630 42.00% 26.51% 31.49%-0.03 -18.5 20
1979-01-20 @ Greenock Morton W 2-055.2 1630 1549 31.49% 26.51% 42.00%+0.03 +18.5 22
1979-01-20 Aberdeen D 1-168.5 1541 1662 36.43% 26.43% 37.14%-0.28 +0.0 17
1979-01-20 @ Hibernian D 1-168.5 1662 1541 37.14% 26.43% 36.43%+0.28 -0.0 21
1979-01-20 Heart of Midlothian W 3-256.3 1452 1486 47.95% 26.42% 25.63%+0.26 +6.0 12
1979-01-20 @ Motherwell L 2-356.3 1486 1452 25.63% 26.42% 47.95%-0.26 -6.0 15
1979-01-20 Dundee United W 2-159.9 1547 1613 44.05% 26.50% 29.45%+0.07 +7.1 20
1979-01-20 @ St. Mirren L 1-259.9 1613 1547 29.45% 26.50% 44.05%-0.07 -7.1 23
1979-02-10 St. Mirren L 1-259.8 1480 1554 42.87% 26.51% 30.62%+0.01 -9.4 15
1979-02-10 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-159.8 1554 1480 30.62% 26.51% 42.87%-0.01 +9.4 22
1979-02-10 Hibernian L 0-347.6 1458 1541 41.76% 26.51% 31.74%-0.04 -26.8 12
1979-02-10 @ Motherwell W 3-047.6 1541 1458 31.74% 26.51% 41.76%+0.04 +26.8 19
1979-02-10 Dundee United W 1-052.4 1649 1605 56.35% 25.86% 17.80%+0.74 +5.0 24
1979-02-10 @ Rangers L 0-152.4 1605 1649 17.80% 25.86% 56.35%-0.74 -5.0 23
1979-02-17 Partick Thistle D 2-271.0 1531 1548 50.01% 26.34% 23.65%+0.37 -1.0 21
1979-02-17 @ Greenock Morton D 2-271.0 1548 1531 23.65% 26.34% 50.01%-0.37 +1.0 22
1979-02-17 Motherwell W 1-042.6 1564 1432 63.89% 24.62% 11.49%+1.30 +3.4 24
1979-02-17 @ St. Mirren L 0-142.6 1432 1564 11.49% 24.62% 63.89%-1.30 -3.4 12
1979-02-24 Rangers W 3-268.8 1471 1654 28.28% 26.04% 45.69%-0.66 +9.4 17
1979-02-24 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-368.8 1654 1471 45.69% 26.04% 28.28%+0.66 -9.4 24
1979-02-24 Greenock Morton D 1-165.7 1568 1530 55.82% 25.91% 18.27%+0.71 -1.9 20
1979-02-24 @ Hibernian D 1-165.7 1530 1568 18.27% 25.91% 55.82%-0.71 +1.9 22
1979-02-24 Aberdeen D 2-275.0 1567 1662 40.13% 26.50% 33.37%-0.11 -0.2 25
1979-02-24 @ St. Mirren D 2-275.0 1662 1567 33.37% 26.50% 40.13%+0.11 +0.2 22
1979-02-28 Partick Thistle W 2-155.6 1662 1548 62.46% 24.93% 12.61%+1.18 +3.5 24
1979-02-28 @ Aberdeen L 1-255.6 1548 1662 12.61% 24.93% 62.46%-1.18 -3.5 22
1979-03-03 Aberdeen W 1-056.5 1590 1665 42.66% 26.51% 30.83%+0.00 +7.8 21
1979-03-03 @ Celtic L 0-156.5 1665 1590 30.83% 26.51% 42.66%+0.00 -7.8 24
1979-03-03 Dundee United W 1-053.1 1566 1600 47.87% 26.42% 25.71%+0.26 +6.8 22
1979-03-03 @ Hibernian L 0-153.1 1600 1566 25.71% 26.42% 47.87%-0.26 -6.8 23
1979-03-03 Motherwell D 0-056.8 1545 1428 62.72% 24.88% 12.40%+1.20 -3.0 23
1979-03-03 @ Partick Thistle D 0-056.8 1428 1545 12.40% 24.88% 62.72%-1.20 +3.0 13
1979-03-07 Dundee United L 0-445.1 1431 1594 30.81% 26.20% 42.99%-0.53 -27.7 13
1979-03-07 @ Motherwell W 4-045.1 1594 1431 42.99% 26.20% 30.81%+0.53 +27.7 25
1979-03-10 Greenock Morton W 4-149.4 1621 1532 60.53% 25.29% 14.19%+1.03 +9.5 27
1979-03-10 @ Dundee United L 1-449.4 1532 1621 14.19% 25.29% 60.53%-1.03 -9.5 22
1979-03-10 St. Mirren L 0-343.1 1404 1567 30.68% 26.19% 43.13%-0.54 -21.1 13
1979-03-10 @ Motherwell W 3-043.1 1567 1404 43.13% 26.19% 30.68%+0.54 +21.1 27
1979-03-14 Partick Thistle W 2-155.3 1631 1542 60.47% 25.30% 14.23%+1.03 +3.9 29
1979-03-14 @ Dundee United L 1-255.3 1542 1631 14.23% 25.30% 60.47%-1.03 -3.9 23
1979-03-14 Motherwell W 6-035.7 1522 1382 64.44% 24.49% 11.07%+1.34 +17.1 24
1979-03-14 @ Greenock Morton L 0-635.7 1382 1522 11.07% 24.49% 64.44%-1.34 -17.1 13
1979-03-14 Hibernian W 1-050.9 1644 1572 59.00% 25.52% 15.48%+0.92 +4.4 26
1979-03-14 @ Rangers L 0-150.9 1572 1644 15.48% 25.52% 59.00%-0.92 -4.4 22
1979-03-17 Dundee United L 0-260.9 1658 1635 54.33% 26.05% 19.62%+0.62 -23.1 24
1979-03-17 @ Aberdeen W 2-060.9 1635 1658 19.62% 26.05% 54.33%-0.62 +23.1 31
1979-03-17 Motherwell W 2-145.3 1597 1365 70.32% 22.63% 7.04%+1.92 +2.0 23
1979-03-17 @ Celtic L 1-245.3 1365 1597 7.04% 22.63% 70.32%-1.92 -2.0 13
1979-03-17 Heart of Midlothian D 1-164.2 1568 1480 60.38% 25.31% 14.31%+1.02 -2.4 23
1979-03-17 @ Hibernian D 1-164.2 1480 1568 14.31% 25.31% 60.38%-1.02 +2.4 18
1979-03-17 Rangers L 0-254.1 1538 1649 37.90% 26.46% 35.64%-0.21 -17.1 23
1979-03-17 @ Partick Thistle W 2-054.1 1649 1538 35.64% 26.46% 37.90%+0.21 +17.1 28
1979-03-17 Greenock Morton W 3-152.2 1588 1539 56.88% 25.80% 17.32%+0.78 +8.0 29
1979-03-17 @ St. Mirren L 1-352.2 1539 1588 17.32% 25.80% 56.88%-0.78 -8.0 24
1979-03-24 Dundee United W 3-160.2 1531 1658 35.65% 26.41% 37.94%-0.31 +14.8 26
1979-03-24 @ Greenock Morton L 1-360.2 1658 1531 37.94% 26.41% 35.65%+0.31 -14.8 31
1979-03-24 Hibernian L 2-372.7 1596 1566 55.10% 25.98% 18.91%+0.66 -11.1 29
1979-03-24 @ St. Mirren W 3-272.7 1566 1596 18.91% 25.98% 55.10%-0.66 +11.1 25
1979-03-26 Motherwell W 8-037.7 1635 1363 72.44% 21.73% 5.83%+2.16 +11.7 26
1979-03-26 @ Aberdeen L 0-837.7 1363 1635 5.83% 21.73% 72.44%-2.16 -11.7 13
1979-03-27 Rangers L 1-265.6 1585 1666 42.00% 26.51% 31.49%-0.03 -9.2 29
1979-03-27 @ St. Mirren W 2-165.6 1666 1585 31.49% 26.51% 42.00%+0.03 +9.2 30
1979-03-28 Greenock Morton W 3-044.9 1599 1546 57.30% 25.75% 16.95%+0.81 +13.2 25
1979-03-28 @ Celtic L 0-344.9 1546 1599 16.95% 25.75% 57.30%-0.81 -13.2 26
1979-03-28 Hibernian L 1-259.9 1483 1577 40.20% 26.50% 33.30%-0.11 -8.9 18
1979-03-28 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-159.9 1577 1483 33.30% 26.50% 40.20%+0.11 +8.9 27
1979-03-28 Dundee United L 1-262.0 1521 1643 36.27% 26.43% 37.30%-0.28 -8.3 23
1979-03-28 @ Partick Thistle W 2-162.0 1643 1521 37.30% 26.43% 36.27%+0.28 +8.3 33
1979-03-31 Motherwell W 2-145.7 1651 1352 73.89% 21.04% 5.07%+2.34 +1.4 35
1979-03-31 @ Dundee United L 1-245.7 1352 1651 5.07% 21.04% 73.89%-2.34 -1.4 13
1979-03-31 Heart of Midlothian D 2-268.6 1533 1474 57.87% 25.68% 16.45%+0.84 -1.6 27
1979-03-31 @ Greenock Morton D 2-268.6 1474 1533 16.45% 25.68% 57.87%-0.84 +1.6 19
1979-03-31 Celtic W 2-159.4 1586 1613 48.80% 26.39% 24.81%+0.31 +6.2 29
1979-03-31 @ Hibernian L 1-259.4 1613 1586 24.81% 26.39% 48.80%-0.31 -6.2 25
1979-03-31 St. Mirren W 3-154.7 1513 1576 44.34% 26.50% 29.17%+0.08 +12.2 25
1979-03-31 @ Partick Thistle L 1-354.7 1576 1513 29.17% 26.50% 44.34%-0.08 -12.2 29
1979-04-04 Aberdeen L 0-156.9 1531 1646 37.30% 26.45% 36.24%-0.24 -9.0 27
1979-04-04 @ Greenock Morton W 1-056.9 1646 1531 36.24% 26.45% 37.30%+0.24 +9.0 28
1979-04-04 Dundee United W 2-054.6 1475 1653 28.93% 26.08% 44.99%-0.63 +19.5 21
1979-04-04 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-254.6 1653 1475 44.99% 26.08% 28.93%+0.63 -19.5 35
1979-04-04 St. Mirren L 0-258.3 1592 1564 54.87% 26.00% 19.13%+0.65 -23.4 29
1979-04-04 @ Hibernian W 2-058.3 1564 1592 19.13% 26.00% 54.87%-0.65 +23.4 31
1979-04-04 Celtic L 3-457.6 1350 1606 20.37% 25.16% 54.47%-1.12 -4.8 13
1979-04-04 @ Motherwell W 4-357.6 1606 1350 54.47% 25.16% 20.37%+1.12 +4.8 27
1979-04-07 Hibernian D 0-064.5 1655 1568 60.29% 25.33% 14.38%+1.01 -2.7 29
1979-04-07 @ Aberdeen D 0-064.5 1568 1655 14.38% 25.33% 60.29%-1.01 +2.7 30
1979-04-07 Partick Thistle W 2-045.4 1611 1525 60.25% 25.33% 14.42%+1.01 +7.9 29
1979-04-07 @ Celtic L 0-245.4 1525 1611 14.42% 25.33% 60.25%-1.01 -7.9 25
1979-04-07 St. Mirren W 2-048.6 1633 1587 56.65% 25.82% 17.53%+0.76 +9.3 37
1979-04-07 @ Dundee United L 0-248.6 1587 1633 17.53% 25.82% 56.65%-0.76 -9.3 31
1979-04-07 Motherwell W 3-032.2 1495 1345 65.12% 24.32% 10.56%+1.40 +8.5 23
1979-04-07 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-332.2 1345 1495 10.56% 24.32% 65.12%-1.40 -8.5 13
1979-04-07 Greenock Morton D 1-169.0 1675 1523 65.33% 24.26% 10.41%+1.42 -3.0 31
1979-04-07 @ Rangers D 1-169.0 1523 1675 10.41% 24.26% 65.33%-1.42 +3.0 28
1979-04-10 Motherwell W 3-034.8 1672 1337 75.58% 20.15% 4.27%+2.56 +3.3 33
1979-04-10 @ Rangers L 0-334.8 1337 1672 4.27% 20.15% 75.58%-2.56 -3.3 13
1979-04-11 Celtic W 2-159.0 1643 1619 54.39% 26.05% 19.57%+0.62 +5.1 39
1979-04-11 @ Dundee United L 1-259.0 1619 1643 19.57% 26.05% 54.39%-0.62 -5.1 29
1979-04-11 St. Mirren W 1-051.9 1526 1578 45.72% 26.48% 27.80%+0.15 +7.2 30
1979-04-11 @ Greenock Morton L 0-151.9 1578 1526 27.80% 26.48% 45.72%-0.15 -7.2 31
1979-04-11 Partick Thistle L 0-252.6 1503 1517 50.35% 26.32% 23.33%+0.39 -21.6 23
1979-04-11 @ Heart of Midlothian W 2-052.6 1517 1503 23.33% 26.32% 50.35%-0.39 +21.6 27
1979-04-14 Hibernian D 2-271.8 1533 1571 47.42% 26.44% 26.15%+0.24 -0.8 31
1979-04-14 @ Greenock Morton D 2-271.8 1571 1533 26.15% 26.44% 47.42%-0.24 +0.8 31
1979-04-14 Dundee United L 0-348.6 1482 1648 30.38% 26.18% 43.45%-0.55 -21.0 23
1979-04-14 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-048.6 1648 1482 43.45% 26.18% 30.38%+0.55 +21.0 41
1979-04-14 Rangers W 2-055.0 1334 1675 13.63% 23.66% 62.71%-1.65 +26.2 15
1979-04-14 @ Motherwell L 0-255.0 1675 1334 62.71% 23.66% 13.63%+1.65 -26.2 33
1979-04-14 Aberdeen L 0-157.2 1539 1652 37.44% 26.45% 36.11%-0.23 -9.0 27
1979-04-14 @ Partick Thistle W 1-057.2 1652 1539 36.11% 26.45% 37.44%+0.23 +9.0 31
1979-04-14 Celtic L 0-159.9 1570 1614 46.80% 26.45% 26.75%+0.20 -10.7 31
1979-04-14 @ St. Mirren W 1-059.9 1614 1570 26.75% 26.45% 46.80%-0.20 +10.7 31
1979-04-18 Hibernian W 3-046.7 1532 1572 47.23% 26.44% 26.33%+0.23 +18.9 33
1979-04-18 @ Greenock Morton L 0-346.7 1572 1532 26.33% 26.44% 47.23%-0.23 -18.9 31
1979-04-18 Celtic L 0-347.3 1461 1625 30.63% 26.19% 43.17%-0.54 -21.1 23
1979-04-18 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-047.3 1625 1461 43.17% 26.19% 30.63%+0.54 +21.1 33
1979-04-18 Aberdeen D 1-163.4 1360 1661 16.47% 24.42% 59.11%-1.40 +2.2 16
1979-04-18 @ Motherwell D 1-163.4 1661 1360 59.11% 24.42% 16.47%+1.40 -2.2 32
1979-04-21 Celtic D 1-170.3 1659 1646 53.34% 26.13% 20.53%+0.56 -1.7 33
1979-04-21 @ Aberdeen D 1-170.3 1646 1659 20.53% 26.13% 53.34%-0.56 +1.7 34
1979-04-21 Rangers L 1-270.1 1669 1649 53.97% 26.08% 19.95%+0.60 -11.5 41
1979-04-21 @ Dundee United W 2-170.1 1649 1669 19.95% 26.08% 53.97%-0.60 +11.5 35
1979-04-21 Motherwell W 4-033.6 1553 1362 67.88% 23.51% 8.61%+1.66 +9.1 33
1979-04-21 @ Hibernian L 0-433.6 1362 1553 8.61% 23.51% 67.88%-1.66 -9.1 16
1979-04-21 Greenock Morton W 2-155.8 1530 1551 49.49% 26.36% 24.15%+0.34 +6.1 29
1979-04-21 @ Partick Thistle L 1-255.8 1551 1530 24.15% 26.36% 49.49%-0.34 -6.1 33
1979-04-21 Heart of Midlothian W 2-148.8 1560 1440 62.96% 24.83% 12.21%+1.22 +3.4 33
1979-04-21 @ St. Mirren L 1-248.8 1440 1560 12.21% 24.83% 62.96%-1.22 -3.4 23
1979-04-25 Rangers W 2-160.6 1658 1661 51.54% 26.25% 22.20%+0.46 +5.7 35
1979-04-25 @ Aberdeen L 1-260.6 1661 1658 22.20% 26.25% 51.54%-0.46 -5.7 35
1979-04-25 St. Mirren W 2-156.3 1647 1563 60.09% 25.36% 14.55%+1.00 +4.0 36
1979-04-25 @ Celtic L 1-256.3 1563 1647 14.55% 25.36% 60.09%-1.00 -4.0 33
1979-04-25 Heart of Midlothian W 2-150.2 1657 1436 69.67% 22.89% 7.45%+1.85 +2.1 43
1979-04-25 @ Dundee United L 1-250.2 1436 1657 7.45% 22.89% 69.67%-1.85 -2.1 23
1979-04-25 Hibernian W 6-149.1 1536 1562 48.86% 26.39% 24.75%+0.31 +24.0 31
1979-04-25 @ Partick Thistle L 1-649.1 1562 1536 24.75% 26.39% 48.86%-0.31 -24.0 33
1979-04-28 St. Mirren L 1-270.6 1663 1559 61.72% 25.07% 13.20%+1.12 -13.1 35
1979-04-28 @ Aberdeen W 2-170.6 1559 1663 13.20% 25.07% 61.72%-1.12 +13.1 35
1979-04-28 Dundee United W 2-160.7 1651 1659 51.02% 26.28% 22.70%+0.43 +5.8 38
1979-04-28 @ Celtic L 1-260.7 1659 1651 22.70% 26.28% 51.02%-0.43 -5.8 43
1979-04-28 Partick Thistle W 1-050.6 1538 1560 49.45% 26.36% 24.19%+0.34 +6.4 35
1979-04-28 @ Hibernian L 0-150.6 1560 1538 24.19% 26.36% 49.45%-0.34 -6.5 31
1979-04-28 Greenock Morton D 3-368.4 1353 1545 27.17% 25.95% 46.88%-0.72 +0.6 17
1979-04-28 @ Motherwell D 3-368.4 1545 1353 46.88% 25.95% 27.17%+0.72 -0.6 34
1979-04-28 Heart of Midlothian W 4-039.4 1655 1434 69.66% 22.89% 7.45%+1.85 +7.9 37
1979-04-28 @ Rangers L 0-439.4 1434 1655 7.45% 22.89% 69.66%-1.85 -7.9 23
1979-05-02 Heart of Midlothian W 5-039.6 1650 1426 69.84% 22.82% 7.34%+1.86 +9.6 37
1979-05-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-539.6 1426 1650 7.34% 22.82% 69.84%-1.86 -9.6 23
1979-05-02 Hibernian W 3-152.5 1657 1545 62.39% 24.94% 12.67%+1.17 +6.0 40
1979-05-02 @ Celtic L 1-352.5 1545 1657 12.67% 24.94% 62.39%-1.17 -6.0 35
1979-05-02 Rangers L 1-250.4 1353 1663 15.88% 24.28% 59.84%-1.45 -4.2 17
1979-05-02 @ Motherwell W 2-150.4 1663 1353 59.84% 24.28% 15.88%+1.45 +4.2 39
1979-05-02 Partick Thistle D 1-166.5 1572 1553 53.91% 26.09% 20.00%+0.59 -1.7 36
1979-05-02 @ St. Mirren D 1-166.5 1553 1572 20.00% 26.09% 53.91%-0.59 +1.7 32
1979-05-05 Aberdeen D 2-276.4 1653 1660 51.18% 26.27% 22.54%+0.44 -1.1 44
1979-05-05 @ Dundee United D 2-276.4 1660 1653 22.54% 26.27% 51.18%-0.44 +1.1 38
1979-05-05 Heart of Midlothian W 2-038.4 1555 1417 64.31% 24.52% 11.17%+1.33 +6.2 34
1979-05-05 @ Partick Thistle L 0-238.4 1417 1555 11.17% 24.52% 64.31%-1.33 -6.2 23
1979-05-05 Celtic W 1-054.7 1667 1663 52.30% 26.21% 21.49%+0.50 +5.9 41
1979-05-05 @ Rangers L 0-154.7 1663 1667 21.49% 26.21% 52.30%-0.50 -5.9 40
1979-05-07 Greenock Morton L 0-148.5 1411 1544 34.68% 26.38% 38.94%-0.35 -8.5 23
1979-05-07 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-048.5 1544 1411 38.94% 26.38% 34.68%+0.35 +8.5 36
1979-05-07 Celtic L 1-264.4 1561 1657 39.90% 26.49% 33.60%-0.12 -8.9 34
1979-05-07 @ Partick Thistle W 2-164.4 1657 1561 33.60% 26.49% 39.90%+0.12 +8.9 42
1979-05-07 Aberdeen W 2-051.3 1673 1661 53.20% 26.14% 20.66%+0.55 +10.7 43
1979-05-07 @ Rangers L 0-251.3 1661 1673 20.66% 26.14% 53.20%-0.55 -10.7 38
1979-05-11 Aberdeen L 1-264.0 1552 1650 39.68% 26.49% 33.83%-0.13 -8.8 34
1979-05-11 @ Partick Thistle W 2-164.0 1650 1552 33.83% 26.49% 39.68%+0.13 +8.9 40
1979-05-11 Celtic L 0-255.8 1570 1666 39.95% 26.50% 33.55%-0.12 -17.8 36
1979-05-11 @ St. Mirren W 2-055.8 1666 1570 33.55% 26.50% 39.95%+0.12 +17.8 44
1979-05-14 Heart of Midlothian W 1-043.1 1684 1402 72.99% 21.47% 5.53%+2.23 +1.6 46
1979-05-14 @ Celtic L 0-143.1 1402 1684 5.53% 21.47% 72.99%-2.23 -1.6 23
1979-05-21 Rangers W 4-261.9 1686 1684 52.11% 26.22% 21.67%+0.49 +8.6 48
1979-05-21 @ Celtic L 2-461.9 1684 1686 21.67% 26.22% 52.11%-0.49 -8.6 43
1979-05-23 Partick Thistle W 1-049.5 1675 1543 63.83% 24.63% 11.54%+1.29 +3.4 45
1979-05-23 @ Rangers L 0-149.5 1543 1675 11.54% 24.63% 63.83%-1.29 -3.4 34
1979-05-31 Rangers W 2-164.3 1539 1678 33.82% 26.34% 39.84%-0.39 +8.9 37
1979-05-31 @ Hibernian L 1-264.3 1678 1539 39.84% 26.34% 33.82%+0.39 -8.9 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-10-21 7.63% Heart of Midlothian 1477 2 @ Aberdeen 1693 1
2 1978-11-04 9.94% Motherwell 1444 2 @ Celtic 1606 1
3 1978-12-30 11.09% Greenock Morton 1536 2 @ Aberdeen 1675 1
4 1978-08-12 11.65% St. Mirren 1516 1 @ Rangers 1646 0
5 1979-04-28 13.20% St. Mirren 1559 2 @ Aberdeen 1663 1
6 1979-04-14 13.63% @ Motherwell 1334 2 Rangers 1675 0
7 1978-09-16 14.64% Hibernian 1563 1 @ Celtic 1646 0
8 1978-10-14 15.16% Motherwell 1450 2 @ Greenock Morton 1526 1
9 1978-11-04 15.75% Heart of Midlothian 1509 2 @ Hibernian 1577 1
10 1978-09-09 16.70% Greenock Morton 1505 2 @ Dundee United 1561 1
11 1979-03-24 18.91% Hibernian 1566 3 @ St. Mirren 1596 2
12 1979-04-04 19.13% St. Mirren 1564 2 @ Hibernian 1592 0
13 1979-03-17 19.62% Dundee United 1635 2 @ Aberdeen 1658 0
14 1979-04-21 19.95% Rangers 1649 2 @ Dundee United 1669 1
15 1978-08-19 20.09% Motherwell 1512 1 @ St. Mirren 1530 0
16 1978-08-12 20.37% Partick Thistle 1509 1 @ Motherwell 1524 0
17 1978-08-26 21.27% St. Mirren 1518 3 @ Greenock Morton 1524 1
18 1978-09-23 21.51% Heart of Midlothian 1473 1 @ Motherwell 1476 0
19 1978-11-11 22.52% Partick Thistle 1528 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1522 0
20 1979-04-11 23.33% Partick Thistle 1517 2 @ Heart of Midlothian 1503 0
21 1978-09-23 24.14% Dundee United 1559 3 @ St. Mirren 1538 1
22 1979-04-14 26.75% Celtic 1614 1 @ St. Mirren 1570 0
23 1978-08-12 26.91% Celtic 1584 2 @ Greenock Morton 1539 1
24 1978-10-14 27.90% @ St. Mirren 1517 2 Aberdeen 1703 1
25 1979-02-24 28.28% @ Heart of Midlothian 1471 3 Rangers 1654 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-08-26 29.06 Celtic 5 1608 31.85% @ Motherwell 1 1525 41.65% 26.51%
2 1979-03-07 27.69 Dundee United 4 1594 42.99% @ Motherwell 0 1431 30.81% 26.20%
3 1979-02-10 26.75 Hibernian 3 1541 31.74% @ Motherwell 0 1458 41.76% 26.51%
4 1979-04-14 26.16 @ Motherwell 2 1334 13.63% Rangers 0 1675 62.71% 23.66%
5 1979-04-25 23.97 @ Partick Thistle 6 1536 48.86% Hibernian 1 1562 24.75% 26.39%
6 1979-04-04 23.36 St. Mirren 2 1564 19.13% @ Hibernian 0 1592 54.87% 26.00%
7 1979-03-17 23.14 Dundee United 2 1635 19.62% @ Aberdeen 0 1658 54.33% 26.05%
8 1979-04-11 21.59 Partick Thistle 2 1517 23.33% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1503 50.35% 26.32%
9 1979-03-10 21.13 St. Mirren 3 1567 43.13% @ Motherwell 0 1404 30.68% 26.19%
10 1979-04-18 21.10 Celtic 3 1625 43.17% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1461 30.63% 26.19%
11 1979-04-14 20.96 Dundee United 3 1648 43.45% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1482 30.38% 26.18%
12 1978-12-09 19.79 @ Dundee United 3 1587 45.51% Rangers 0 1641 28.01% 26.48%
13 1978-12-09 19.72 @ St. Mirren 4 1529 53.98% Heart of Midlothian 0 1510 19.94% 26.08%
14 1979-04-04 19.50 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1475 28.93% Dundee United 0 1653 44.99% 26.08%
15 1978-08-26 19.43 St. Mirren 3 1518 21.27% @ Greenock Morton 1 1524 52.54% 26.19%
16 1979-04-18 18.87 @ Greenock Morton 3 1532 47.23% Hibernian 0 1572 26.33% 26.44%
17 1979-01-20 18.50 Rangers 2 1630 31.49% @ Greenock Morton 0 1549 42.00% 26.51%
18 1978-09-23 18.41 Dundee United 3 1559 24.14% @ St. Mirren 1 1538 49.50% 26.36%
19 1978-08-12 17.97 Aberdeen 4 1672 42.77% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1511 31.01% 26.21%
20 1979-05-11 17.79 Celtic 2 1666 33.55% @ St. Mirren 0 1570 39.95% 26.50%
21 1978-10-28 17.30 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1492 35.02% Celtic 0 1623 38.59% 26.39%
22 1979-03-14 17.09 @ Greenock Morton 6 1522 64.44% Motherwell 0 1382 11.07% 24.49%
23 1979-03-17 17.08 Rangers 2 1649 35.64% @ Partick Thistle 0 1538 37.90% 26.46%
24 1979-03-24 14.80 @ Greenock Morton 3 1531 35.65% Dundee United 1 1658 37.94% 26.41%
25 1978-10-21 14.57 Heart of Midlothian 2 1477 7.63% @ Aberdeen 1 1693 69.37% 23.00%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-05-05 76.4 @ Dundee United 2 1653 51.18% Aberdeen 2 1660 22.54% 26.27%
2 1979-02-24 75.0 @ St. Mirren 2 1567 40.13% Aberdeen 2 1662 33.37% 26.50%
3 1978-11-18 73.2 @ Hibernian 2 1558 47.78% Celtic 2 1594 25.80% 26.42%
4 1978-09-23 72.8 @ Greenock Morton 2 1518 39.21% Rangers 2 1619 34.31% 26.49%
5 1979-03-24 72.7 Hibernian 3 1566 18.91% @ St. Mirren 2 1596 55.10% 25.98%
6 1979-04-14 71.8 @ Greenock Morton 2 1533 47.42% Hibernian 2 1571 26.15% 26.44%
7 1978-10-21 71.1 Heart of Midlothian 2 1477 7.63% @ Aberdeen 1 1693 69.37% 23.00%
8 1978-12-30 71.0 Greenock Morton 2 1536 11.09% @ Aberdeen 1 1675 64.42% 24.49%
9 1979-02-17 71.0 @ Greenock Morton 2 1531 50.01% Partick Thistle 2 1548 23.65% 26.34%
10 1979-04-28 70.6 St. Mirren 2 1559 13.20% @ Aberdeen 1 1663 61.72% 25.07%
11 1978-09-16 70.4 @ Rangers 1 1620 41.65% Aberdeen 1 1703 31.85% 26.51%
12 1979-04-21 70.3 @ Aberdeen 1 1659 53.34% Celtic 1 1646 20.53% 26.13%
13 1979-04-21 70.1 Rangers 2 1649 19.95% @ Dundee United 1 1669 53.97% 26.08%
14 1978-08-26 69.5 @ Dundee United 1 1561 34.66% Aberdeen 1 1694 38.96% 26.38%
15 1978-12-16 69.5 @ Aberdeen 1 1679 63.74% St. Mirren 1 1549 11.61% 24.65%
16 1978-09-30 69.4 @ Aberdeen 1 1695 67.23% Partick Thistle 1 1514 9.05% 23.72%
17 1978-11-11 69.0 @ Rangers 1 1629 55.77% Celtic 1 1592 18.31% 25.92%
18 1979-04-07 69.0 @ Rangers 1 1675 65.33% Greenock Morton 1 1523 10.41% 24.26%
19 1978-10-07 68.8 @ Rangers 1 1626 56.26% Dundee United 1 1584 17.87% 25.87%
20 1979-02-24 68.8 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1471 28.28% Rangers 2 1654 45.69% 26.04%
21 1978-12-16 68.6 @ Celtic 1 1599 50.99% Dundee United 1 1607 22.73% 26.29%
22 1979-03-31 68.6 @ Greenock Morton 2 1533 57.87% Heart of Midlothian 2 1474 16.45% 25.68%
23 1978-12-09 68.5 @ Hibernian 2 1549 61.18% Motherwell 2 1451 13.64% 25.17%
24 1979-01-20 68.5 @ Hibernian 1 1541 36.43% Aberdeen 1 1662 37.14% 26.43%
25 1979-04-28 68.4 @ Motherwell 3 1353 27.17% Greenock Morton 3 1545 46.88% 25.95%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-04-07 32.2 @ Heart of Midlothian 3 1495 65.12% Motherwell 0 1345 10.56% 24.32%
2 1979-04-21 33.6 @ Hibernian 4 1553 67.88% Motherwell 0 1362 8.61% 23.51%
3 1979-04-10 34.8 @ Rangers 3 1672 75.58% Motherwell 0 1337 4.27% 20.15%
4 1979-03-14 35.7 @ Greenock Morton 6 1522 64.44% Motherwell 0 1382 11.07% 24.49%
5 1979-03-26 37.7 @ Aberdeen 8 1635 72.44% Motherwell 0 1363 5.83% 21.73%
6 1979-05-05 38.4 @ Partick Thistle 2 1555 64.31% Heart of Midlothian 0 1417 11.17% 24.52%
7 1979-04-28 39.4 @ Rangers 4 1655 69.66% Heart of Midlothian 0 1434 7.45% 22.89%
8 1979-05-02 39.6 @ Aberdeen 5 1650 69.84% Heart of Midlothian 0 1426 7.34% 22.82%
9 1978-10-21 40.8 @ Partick Thistle 2 1519 57.59% Motherwell 0 1462 16.70% 25.71%
10 1978-08-19 41.7 @ Celtic 4 1594 61.49% Heart of Midlothian 0 1493 13.39% 25.12%
11 1978-12-09 42.3 @ St. Mirren 4 1529 53.98% Heart of Midlothian 0 1510 19.94% 26.08%
12 1979-02-17 42.6 @ St. Mirren 1 1564 63.89% Motherwell 0 1432 11.49% 24.62%
13 1978-09-09 42.7 @ Aberdeen 4 1694 68.34% Motherwell 0 1495 8.30% 23.36%
14 1979-03-10 43.1 St. Mirren 3 1567 43.13% @ Motherwell 0 1404 30.68% 26.19%
15 1979-05-14 43.1 @ Celtic 1 1684 72.99% Heart of Midlothian 0 1402 5.53% 21.47%
16 1978-11-25 44.8 @ Rangers 3 1629 60.12% Greenock Morton 0 1545 14.52% 25.35%
17 1979-03-28 44.9 @ Celtic 3 1599 57.30% Greenock Morton 0 1546 16.95% 25.75%
18 1979-03-07 45.1 Dundee United 4 1594 42.99% @ Motherwell 0 1431 30.81% 26.20%
19 1979-03-17 45.3 @ Celtic 2 1597 70.32% Motherwell 1 1365 7.04% 22.63%
20 1979-04-07 45.4 @ Celtic 2 1611 60.25% Partick Thistle 0 1525 14.42% 25.33%
21 1978-10-28 45.5 @ Dundee United 2 1594 58.56% Partick Thistle 0 1528 15.85% 25.59%
22 1979-03-31 45.7 @ Dundee United 2 1651 73.89% Motherwell 1 1352 5.07% 21.04%
23 1978-09-30 45.8 @ Rangers 4 1619 65.48% Motherwell 1 1465 10.29% 24.22%
24 1979-04-18 46.7 @ Greenock Morton 3 1532 47.23% Hibernian 0 1572 26.33% 26.44%
25 1979-04-18 47.3 Celtic 3 1625 43.17% @ Heart of Midlothian 0 1461 30.63% 26.19%