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1982-83 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Dundee United

56 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Kilmarnock

17 pts

Greenock Morton · 20 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Dundee United

8.48 points above expected

56 points · 47.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Greenock Morton

5.74 points below expected

20 points · 25.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dundee United Champion 36 24 8 4 56 90 35 +55 47.52 +8.48
2 Celtic 36 25 5 6 55 90 36 +54 51.72 +3.28
3 Aberdeen 36 25 5 6 55 76 24 +52 53.15 +1.85
4 Rangers 36 13 12 11 38 52 41 +11 40.86 -2.86
5 St. Mirren 36 11 12 13 34 47 51 -4 34.71 -0.71
6 Dundee 36 9 11 16 29 42 53 -11 30.75 -1.75
7 Hibernian 36 7 15 14 29 35 51 -16 32.21 -3.21
8 Motherwell 36 11 5 20 27 39 73 -34 22.17 +4.83
9 Greenock Morton Relegated 36 6 8 22 20 30 74 -44 25.74 -5.74
10 Kilmarnock Relegated 36 3 11 22 17 28 91 -63 21.17 -4.17

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 56 47.52 +8.48
2 Motherwell 27 22.17 +4.83
3 Celtic 55 51.72 +3.28
4 Aberdeen 55 53.15 +1.85
5 St. Mirren 34 34.71 -0.71

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Greenock Morton 20 25.74 -5.74
2 Kilmarnock 17 21.17 -4.17
3 Hibernian 29 32.21 -3.21
4 Rangers 38 40.86 -2.86
5 Dundee 29 30.75 -1.75

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Celtic 11 Oct 16 – Jan 1 1 in 408
2 Dundee United 7 Nov 13 – Jan 1 1 in 35
3 Motherwell 2 Jan 1 – Jan 3 1 in 24
4 Rangers 3 Apr 9 – Apr 30 1 in 13
5 Aberdeen 5 Dec 18 – Jan 8 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aberdeen 2 Apr 2 – Apr 9 1 in 78
2 Kilmarnock 6 Dec 11 – Jan 8 1 in 47
3 Greenock Morton 6 Apr 9 – May 14 1 in 23
4 Hibernian 3 Sep 25 – Oct 9 1 in 18
5 Rangers 2 Jan 1 – Jan 3 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 8 Sep 4 – Oct 23 1 in 13
2 Dundee United 10 Jan 15 – Apr 4 1 in 10
3 Celtic 13 Oct 16 – Jan 8 1 in 10
4 Dundee 5 Sep 11 – Oct 9 1 in 9
5 Kilmarnock 3 Nov 6 – Nov 20 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 6 Dec 27 – Feb 5 1 in 49
2 Celtic 3 Mar 19 – Mar 26 1 in 25
3 Greenock Morton 11 Oct 9 – Dec 27 1 in 19
4 Hibernian 8 Oct 23 – Dec 11 1 in 16
5 Kilmarnock 11 Nov 13 – Jan 15 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dundee United 1985 56 +11 8 7.7 +0.3
Aberdeen 2050 55 +18 9 8.1 +0.9
Celtic 2019 55 +4 6 6.7 -0.7
Rangers 1847 38 +16 6 5.3 +0.7
St. Mirren 1782 34 +9 7 6.2 +0.8
Dundee 1675 29 -2 3 3.0 +0.0
Hibernian 1704 29 -29 2 4.1 -2.1
Motherwell 1643 27 -9 3 3.2 -0.2
Greenock Morton 1555 20 -33 0 2.6 -2.6
Kilmarnock 1540 17 -13 2 2.4 -0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DUN DU GM HIB KIL MOT RAN SM
Aberdeen —
3-0-1
5.61
4-0-0
9.02
2-0-2
6.66
3-1-0
9.59
2-2-0
8.91
4-0-0
9.75
4-0-0
9.56
2-0-2
7.77
1-2-1
8.51
Celtic
1-0-3
5.31
—
2-1-1
8.83
1-2-1
6.38
4-0-0
9.33
4-0-0
8.66
4-0-0
9.63
3-0-1
9.47
3-1-0
7.55
3-1-0
8.25
Dundee
0-0-4
2.07
1-1-2
2.24
—
0-0-4
2.48
2-1-1
6.23
1-2-1
5.19
1-2-1
7.04
2-1-1
6.68
2-2-0
3.54
0-2-2
4.87
Dundee United
2-0-2
4.28
1-2-1
4.55
4-0-0
8.55
—
3-1-0
9.01
1-3-0
7.86
3-1-0
9.12
4-0-0
9.09
2-1-1
6.73
4-0-0
7.62
Greenock Morton
0-1-3
1.57
0-0-4
1.82
1-1-2
4.69
0-1-3
2.07
—
1-1-2
4.27
1-1-2
6.40
1-0-3
5.96
0-2-2
3.13
2-1-1
3.64
Hibernian
0-2-2
2.18
0-0-4
2.38
1-2-1
5.73
0-3-1
3.14
2-1-1
6.66
—
2-2-0
7.14
2-1-1
6.97
0-2-2
3.84
0-2-2
5.18
Kilmarnock
0-0-4
1.47
0-0-4
1.55
1-2-1
3.90
0-1-3
2.00
2-1-1
4.53
0-2-2
3.82
—
0-1-3
5.06
0-2-2
2.65
0-2-2
3.35
Motherwell
0-0-4
1.61
1-0-3
1.68
1-1-2
4.26
0-0-4
2.02
3-0-1
4.98
1-1-2
3.97
3-1-0
5.87
—
1-1-2
2.65
1-1-2
3.61
Rangers
2-0-2
3.21
0-1-3
3.42
0-2-2
7.42
1-1-2
4.22
2-2-0
7.87
2-2-0
7.11
2-2-0
8.37
2-1-1
8.37
—
2-1-1
6.74
St. Mirren
1-2-1
2.53
0-1-3
2.76
2-2-0
6.06
0-0-4
3.35
1-1-2
7.32
2-2-0
5.74
2-2-0
7.62
2-1-1
7.35
1-1-2
4.20
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.95 +6.0
Allowed 0.82 -6.4
Differential 0.98 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%5.00%7.50%3.33%2.78%3.06%30.56%
15.00%11.67%6.39%3.06%1.39%1.11%28.61%
27.50%6.39%3.89%2.22%0.56%0.56%21.11%
33.33%3.06%2.22%1.11%—0.28%10.00%
42.78%1.39%0.56%———4.72%
5+3.06%1.11%0.56%0.28%——5.00%
Total30.56%28.61%21.11%10.00%4.72%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.47 2.33
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
18.33%11.11%11.11%———30.56%
222.22%8.33%————30.56%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%————11.11%
Total47.22%38.89%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 0.67 +1.44
SD 1.43 0.72 1.76
CV 0.68 1.08 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%————5.56%
12.78%5.56%5.56%5.56%——19.44%
211.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
38.33%2.78%8.33%———19.44%
45.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
5+8.33%2.78%————11.11%
Total38.89%30.56%22.22%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.00 +1.50
SD 1.52 0.99 2.05
CV 0.61 0.99 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%13.89%———38.89%
12.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
22.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%—2.78%22.22%
3—5.56%—2.78%—2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total16.67%44.44%25.00%8.33%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.47 -0.31
SD 1.23 1.21 1.39
CV 1.05 0.82 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%—2.78%2.78%——13.89%
12.78%8.33%2.78%——2.78%16.67%
211.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
35.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
48.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
5+11.11%——2.78%——13.89%
Total47.22%25.00%16.67%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.97 +1.53
SD 1.78 1.21 2.34
CV 0.71 1.24 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%16.67%2.78%5.56%5.56%44.44%
12.78%11.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%38.89%
22.78%2.78%————5.56%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%22.22%30.56%11.11%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 2.06 -1.22
SD 0.97 1.57 2.00
CV 1.17 0.76 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%—8.33%11.11%—2.78%41.67%
111.11%16.67%8.33%—2.78%—38.89%
25.56%—2.78%5.56%——13.89%
3———2.78%——2.78%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total36.11%19.44%19.44%19.44%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.42 -0.44
SD 1.44 1.38 2.01
CV 1.49 0.97 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%13.89%2.78%8.33%13.89%52.78%
1—11.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%25.00%
22.78%—8.33%2.78%—2.78%16.67%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%16.67%27.78%8.33%11.11%19.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 2.53 -1.75
SD 1.02 2.04 2.48
CV 1.31 0.81 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%8.33%8.33%5.56%38.89%
15.56%8.33%2.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%33.33%
28.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%30.56%11.11%19.44%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 2.03 -0.94
SD 1.18 1.73 2.51
CV 1.09 0.85 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
18.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
22.78%11.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%—27.78%
3——2.78%———2.78%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total36.11%33.33%16.67%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.14 +0.31
SD 1.38 1.17 1.86
CV 0.96 1.03 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%33.33%
15.56%16.67%5.56%———27.78%
25.56%2.78%8.33%5.56%——22.22%
38.33%—2.78%———11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total30.56%25.00%27.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.42 -0.11
SD 1.28 1.32 2.05
CV 0.98 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aberdeen 2050 55 53.15 +1.85 74.0% 43 47 50 53 56 59 61
Celtic 2019 55 51.72 +3.28 84.0% 41 44 49 52 54 58 60
Dundee United 1985 56 47.52 +8.48 98.0% 37 39 44 48 50 56 60
Rangers 1847 38 40.86 -2.86 29.0% 30 33 38 40 44 48 51
St. Mirren 1782 34 34.71 -0.71 48.0% 21 26 32 35 38 42 45
Hibernian 1704 29 32.21 -3.21 30.0% 20 23 28 33 35 41 46
Dundee 1675 29 30.75 -1.75 36.0% 20 21 27 31 34 37 42
Motherwell 1643 27 22.17 +4.83 91.0% 12 15 19 22 24 30 36
Greenock Morton 1555 20 25.74 -5.74 12.0% 14 17 23 26 29 33 38
Kilmarnock 1540 17 21.17 -4.17 24.0% 12 14 18 21 24 28 35

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 24.5% * Strong Edge: 24.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.78%
Slight Edge
46.11%25.56%28.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
154 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
062.43400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.41+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
12%
Dundee United, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.65 * Some Luck: 3.65 to 5.47 * Lucky: 5.47 to 7.3 * Wild Swing: 7.3 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.63 * Close: 0.63 to 0.95 * Off: 0.95 to 1.26 * Way Off: 1.26 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.26 points
Some Luck
04.5611
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Close
00.792
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
98.00%
Dundee United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
12.00%
Greenock Morton
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
Several Surprises
00.42

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.19 * Lopsided: 0.19 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 73% * Wide Edge: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 61% * Very Frequent: 61% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17.5% * Occasional: 17.5% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 188.61
2.83
Wide Separation
11.852.12.353
Interquartile Edge
85%
Wide Edge
50%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Some Drama
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.43 * Notable Separation: 0.43 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.55 * Some Carryover: 0.55 to 0.66 * Strong Carryover: 0.66 to 0.78 * Near-Lock: 0.78 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20% * As Expected: 20% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Lopsided
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.86
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.92
Near-Lock
00.550.781
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.57
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.048
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Dundee United12.00%19.00%49.00%16.00%4.00%—————
Celtic35.00%48.00%15.00%2.00%——————
Aberdeen52.00%31.00%15.00%2.00%——————
Rangers1.00%2.00%16.00%59.00%17.00%4.00%1.00%———
St. Mirren——3.00%12.00%38.00%27.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%—
Dundee——1.00%1.00%17.00%31.00%25.00%15.00%9.00%1.00%
Hibernian——1.00%8.00%22.00%25.00%27.00%15.00%1.00%1.00%
Motherwell—————4.00%7.00%12.00%48.00%29.00%
Greenock Morton————2.00%6.00%25.00%37.00%13.00%17.00%
Kilmarnock—————3.00%3.00%16.00%26.00%52.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aberdeen 100% —
Celtic 100% —
Dundee United 100% —
Rangers 100% —
Hibernian 98.00% 2.00%
St. Mirren 97.00% 3.00%
Dundee 90.00% 10.00%
Greenock Morton 70.00% 30.00%
Motherwell 23.00% 77.00%
Kilmarnock 22.00% 78.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1982-09-04 Dundee W 2-050.0 1948 1701 69.65% 22.95% 7.40%+2.01 +4.0 2
1982-09-04 @ Celtic L 0-250.0 1701 1948 7.40% 22.95% 69.65%-2.01 -4.0 0
1982-09-04 Aberdeen W 2-060.9 1861 1975 33.57% 26.97% 39.46%-0.34 +17.3 2
1982-09-04 @ Dundee United L 0-260.9 1975 1861 39.46% 26.97% 33.57%+0.34 -17.3 0
1982-09-04 Kilmarnock D 0-066.2 1689 1648 53.36% 26.59% 20.05%+0.67 -1.8 1
1982-09-04 @ Greenock Morton D 0-066.2 1648 1689 20.05% 26.59% 53.36%-0.67 +1.8 1
1982-09-04 St. Mirren D 0-067.1 1752 1789 44.29% 27.07% 28.64%+0.17 -0.8 1
1982-09-04 @ Hibernian D 0-067.1 1789 1752 28.64% 27.07% 44.29%-0.17 +0.8 1
1982-09-04 Rangers D 2-276.9 1594 1841 18.74% 25.52% 55.74%-1.20 +1.4 1
1982-09-04 @ Motherwell D 2-276.9 1841 1594 55.74% 25.52% 18.74%+1.20 -1.4 1
1982-09-11 Greenock Morton W 4-152.9 1958 1688 71.05% 22.36% 6.59%+2.17 +4.4 2
1982-09-11 @ Aberdeen L 1-452.9 1688 1958 6.59% 22.36% 71.05%-2.17 -4.4 1
1982-09-11 Motherwell W 3-156.7 1697 1595 59.23% 25.83% 14.94%+1.07 +6.9 2
1982-09-11 @ Dundee L 1-356.7 1595 1697 14.94% 25.83% 59.23%-1.07 -6.9 1
1982-09-11 Hibernian D 1-170.8 1650 1752 35.37% 27.03% 37.60%-0.25 +0.1 2
1982-09-11 @ Kilmarnock D 1-170.8 1752 1650 37.60% 27.03% 35.37%+0.25 -0.1 2
1982-09-11 Dundee United D 0-067.4 1839 1878 43.95% 27.08% 28.98%+0.15 -0.8 2
1982-09-11 @ Rangers D 0-067.4 1878 1839 28.98% 27.08% 43.95%-0.15 +0.8 3
1982-09-11 Celtic L 1-264.6 1790 1952 27.45% 26.62% 45.93%-0.65 -6.6 1
1982-09-11 @ St. Mirren W 2-164.6 1952 1790 45.93% 26.62% 27.45%+0.65 +6.6 4
1982-09-18 Greenock Morton W 2-054.6 1704 1683 51.20% 26.77% 22.04%+0.54 +11.1 4
1982-09-18 @ Dundee L 0-254.6 1683 1704 22.04% 26.77% 51.20%-0.54 -11.1 1
1982-09-18 Dundee United D 0-067.4 1752 1879 31.84% 26.90% 41.26%-0.42 +0.5 3
1982-09-18 @ Hibernian D 0-067.4 1879 1752 41.26% 26.90% 31.84%+0.42 -0.5 4
1982-09-18 Celtic L 0-748.9 1588 1958 10.47% 22.98% 66.54%-2.00 -17.8 1
1982-09-18 @ Motherwell W 7-048.9 1958 1588 66.54% 22.98% 10.47%+2.00 +17.8 6
1982-09-18 Kilmarnock W 5-048.3 1838 1650 65.93% 24.26% 9.81%+1.63 +12.6 4
1982-09-18 @ Rangers L 0-548.3 1650 1838 9.81% 24.26% 65.93%-1.63 -12.6 2
1982-09-18 Aberdeen D 1-171.8 1783 1962 25.45% 26.45% 48.10%-0.76 +1.1 2
1982-09-18 @ St. Mirren D 1-171.8 1962 1783 48.10% 26.45% 25.45%+0.76 -1.1 3
1982-09-25 Rangers L 1-274.1 1961 1851 59.96% 25.70% 14.34%+1.12 -12.5 3
1982-09-25 @ Aberdeen W 2-174.1 1851 1961 14.34% 25.70% 59.96%-1.12 +12.5 6
1982-09-25 Hibernian W 2-050.5 1976 1752 68.29% 23.47% 8.24%+1.86 +4.5 8
1982-09-25 @ Celtic L 0-250.5 1752 1976 8.24% 23.47% 68.29%-1.86 -4.5 3
1982-09-25 St. Mirren W 3-051.7 1878 1784 58.56% 25.94% 15.50%+1.02 +12.0 6
1982-09-25 @ Dundee United L 0-351.7 1784 1878 15.50% 25.94% 58.56%-1.02 -12.0 2
1982-09-25 Motherwell W 3-156.0 1672 1571 59.18% 25.84% 14.98%+1.07 +6.9 3
1982-09-25 @ Greenock Morton L 1-356.0 1571 1672 14.98% 25.84% 59.18%-1.07 -6.9 1
1982-09-25 Dundee D 0-066.2 1638 1715 38.72% 27.09% 34.19%-0.10 -0.2 3
1982-09-25 @ Kilmarnock D 0-066.2 1715 1638 34.19% 27.09% 38.72%+0.10 +0.2 5
1982-10-02 Motherwell W 2-155.0 1949 1564 76.89% 19.30% 3.81%+2.91 +1.0 5
1982-10-02 @ Aberdeen L 1-255.0 1564 1949 3.81% 19.30% 76.89%-2.91 -1.0 1
1982-10-02 Celtic D 2-277.1 1890 1981 36.96% 27.06% 35.97%-0.18 -0.0 7
1982-10-02 @ Dundee United D 2-277.1 1981 1890 35.97% 27.06% 36.96%+0.18 +0.0 9
1982-10-02 Greenock Morton L 1-272.4 1747 1679 56.14% 26.29% 17.57%+0.85 -11.7 3
1982-10-02 @ Hibernian W 2-172.4 1679 1747 17.57% 26.29% 56.14%-0.85 +11.7 5
1982-10-02 Dundee D 1-172.0 1863 1716 63.00% 25.06% 11.94%+1.37 -2.7 7
1982-10-02 @ Rangers D 1-172.0 1716 1863 11.94% 25.06% 63.00%-1.37 +2.7 6
1982-10-02 Kilmarnock W 3-264.0 1772 1637 61.96% 25.30% 12.74%+1.28 +3.3 4
1982-10-02 @ St. Mirren L 2-364.0 1637 1772 12.74% 25.30% 61.96%-1.28 -3.3 3
1982-10-09 Aberdeen L 1-370.2 1981 1950 52.26% 26.68% 21.05%+0.61 -19.0 9
1982-10-09 @ Celtic W 3-170.2 1950 1981 21.05% 26.68% 52.26%-0.61 +19.0 7
1982-10-09 Hibernian W 2-163.8 1718 1736 46.66% 27.00% 26.34%+0.29 +6.4 8
1982-10-09 @ Dundee L 1-263.8 1736 1718 26.34% 27.00% 46.66%-0.29 -6.4 3
1982-10-09 Rangers D 0-067.3 1691 1861 26.52% 26.55% 46.93%-0.70 +1.1 6
1982-10-09 @ Greenock Morton D 0-067.3 1861 1691 46.93% 26.55% 26.52%+0.70 -1.1 8
1982-10-09 Dundee United D 1-171.8 1634 1890 17.92% 25.36% 56.73%-1.26 +1.9 4
1982-10-09 @ Kilmarnock D 1-171.8 1890 1634 56.73% 25.36% 17.92%+1.26 -1.9 8
1982-10-09 St. Mirren W 2-063.0 1563 1775 21.93% 26.04% 52.04%-0.98 +21.7 3
1982-10-09 @ Motherwell L 0-263.0 1775 1563 52.04% 26.04% 21.93%+0.98 -21.7 4
1982-10-16 Dundee W 1-052.4 1969 1725 69.52% 23.00% 7.48%+1.99 +2.2 9
1982-10-16 @ Aberdeen L 0-152.4 1725 1969 7.48% 23.00% 69.52%-1.99 -2.2 8
1982-10-16 Kilmarnock W 2-156.0 1962 1636 74.01% 20.93% 5.06%+2.52 +1.3 11
1982-10-16 @ Celtic L 1-256.0 1636 1962 5.06% 20.93% 74.01%-2.52 -1.3 4
1982-10-16 Greenock Morton W 6-048.6 1888 1692 66.50% 24.08% 9.41%+1.69 +14.3 10
1982-10-16 @ Dundee United L 0-648.6 1692 1888 9.41% 24.08% 66.50%-1.69 -14.3 6
1982-10-16 Motherwell W 1-052.8 1729 1584 62.77% 25.12% 12.11%+1.35 +3.5 5
1982-10-16 @ Hibernian L 0-152.8 1584 1729 12.11% 25.12% 62.77%-1.35 -3.5 3
1982-10-16 Rangers D 2-277.0 1754 1860 34.73% 27.01% 38.26%-0.28 +0.1 5
1982-10-16 @ St. Mirren D 2-277.0 1860 1754 38.26% 27.01% 34.73%+0.28 -0.1 9
1982-10-23 St. Mirren D 1-171.1 1723 1754 44.93% 27.05% 28.01%+0.20 -0.8 9
1982-10-23 @ Dundee D 1-171.1 1754 1723 28.01% 27.05% 44.93%-0.20 +0.8 6
1982-10-23 Celtic L 1-260.4 1677 1963 15.61% 24.82% 59.57%-1.45 -4.1 6
1982-10-23 @ Greenock Morton W 2-160.4 1963 1677 59.57% 24.82% 15.61%+1.45 +4.1 13
1982-10-23 Aberdeen L 0-251.6 1635 1971 12.28% 23.76% 63.95%-1.78 -6.5 4
1982-10-23 @ Kilmarnock W 2-051.6 1971 1635 63.95% 23.76% 12.28%+1.78 +6.5 11
1982-10-23 Dundee United L 0-251.7 1581 1903 13.15% 24.08% 62.77%-1.69 -6.9 3
1982-10-23 @ Motherwell W 2-051.7 1903 1581 62.77% 24.08% 13.15%+1.69 +6.9 12
1982-10-23 Hibernian W 3-264.9 1860 1733 61.33% 25.44% 13.24%+1.23 +3.4 11
1982-10-23 @ Rangers L 2-364.9 1733 1860 13.24% 25.44% 61.33%-1.23 -3.4 5
1982-10-30 Rangers W 3-265.6 1967 1863 59.42% 25.80% 14.78%+1.08 +3.8 15
1982-10-30 @ Celtic L 2-365.6 1863 1967 14.78% 25.80% 59.42%-1.08 -3.8 11
1982-10-30 Dundee W 1-053.4 1910 1722 65.91% 24.27% 9.82%+1.63 +2.9 14
1982-10-30 @ Dundee United L 0-153.4 1722 1910 9.82% 24.27% 65.91%-1.63 -2.9 9
1982-10-30 Aberdeen D 1-172.1 1729 1977 18.62% 25.50% 55.89%-1.21 +1.9 6
1982-10-30 @ Hibernian D 1-172.1 1977 1729 55.89% 25.50% 18.62%+1.21 -1.9 12
1982-10-30 Kilmarnock W 4-158.2 1574 1628 41.93% 27.10% 30.97%+0.05 +17.7 5
1982-10-30 @ Motherwell L 1-458.2 1628 1574 30.97% 27.10% 41.93%-0.05 -17.7 4
1982-10-30 Greenock Morton D 1-171.2 1755 1673 57.35% 26.12% 16.53%+0.93 -2.1 7
1982-10-30 @ St. Mirren D 1-171.2 1673 1755 16.53% 26.12% 57.35%-0.93 +2.1 7
1982-11-06 Dundee United W 5-156.0 1976 1912 55.61% 26.35% 18.04%+0.82 +14.9 14
1982-11-06 @ Aberdeen L 1-556.0 1912 1976 18.04% 26.35% 55.61%-0.82 -14.9 14
1982-11-06 Celtic L 2-366.5 1719 1971 18.28% 25.43% 56.29%-1.23 -4.4 9
1982-11-06 @ Dundee W 3-266.5 1971 1719 56.29% 25.43% 18.28%+1.23 +4.4 17
1982-11-06 Greenock Morton W 3-162.3 1611 1675 40.49% 27.10% 32.41%-0.02 +13.0 6
1982-11-06 @ Kilmarnock L 1-362.3 1675 1611 32.41% 27.10% 40.49%+0.02 -13.0 7
1982-11-06 Motherwell W 4-046.7 1859 1592 70.88% 22.43% 6.69%+2.15 +6.9 13
1982-11-06 @ Rangers L 0-446.7 1592 1859 6.69% 22.43% 70.88%-2.15 -6.9 5
1982-11-06 Hibernian W 3-053.5 1752 1731 51.20% 26.77% 22.04%+0.54 +16.1 9
1982-11-06 @ St. Mirren L 0-353.5 1731 1752 22.04% 26.77% 51.20%-0.54 -16.1 6
1982-11-13 St. Mirren W 5-048.3 1975 1769 67.17% 23.87% 8.97%+1.75 +11.5 19
1982-11-13 @ Celtic L 0-548.3 1769 1975 8.97% 23.87% 67.17%-1.75 -11.5 9
1982-11-13 Rangers W 4-264.8 1898 1866 52.34% 26.68% 20.98%+0.61 +8.3 16
1982-11-13 @ Dundee United L 2-464.8 1866 1898 20.98% 26.68% 52.34%-0.61 -8.3 13
1982-11-13 Kilmarnock D 2-276.0 1715 1624 58.31% 25.98% 15.71%+1.00 -1.6 7
1982-11-13 @ Hibernian D 2-276.0 1624 1715 15.71% 25.98% 58.31%-1.00 +1.6 7
1982-11-13 Dundee W 1-061.9 1585 1714 31.55% 26.88% 41.56%-0.44 +9.5 7
1982-11-13 @ Motherwell L 0-161.9 1714 1585 41.56% 26.88% 31.55%+0.44 -9.5 9
1982-11-20 St. Mirren W 4-047.9 1990 1757 68.86% 23.26% 7.88%+1.92 +8.2 16
1982-11-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-447.9 1757 1990 7.88% 23.26% 68.86%-1.92 -8.2 9
1982-11-20 Motherwell W 3-153.1 1987 1594 77.22% 19.10% 3.68%+2.96 +1.6 21
1982-11-20 @ Celtic L 1-353.1 1594 1987 3.68% 19.10% 77.22%-2.96 -1.6 7
1982-11-20 Hibernian W 3-049.3 1906 1714 66.21% 24.18% 9.61%+1.66 +7.7 18
1982-11-20 @ Dundee United L 0-349.3 1714 1906 9.61% 24.18% 66.21%-1.66 -7.6 7
1982-11-20 Dundee L 1-268.4 1662 1705 43.49% 27.08% 29.43%+0.13 -9.3 7
1982-11-20 @ Greenock Morton W 2-168.4 1705 1662 29.43% 27.08% 43.49%-0.13 +9.3 11
1982-11-20 Rangers D 0-067.4 1625 1858 19.99% 25.74% 54.27%-1.11 +1.9 8
1982-11-20 @ Kilmarnock D 0-067.4 1858 1625 54.27% 25.74% 19.99%+1.11 -1.9 14
1982-11-27 Kilmarnock W 5-258.5 1714 1627 57.91% 26.04% 16.05%+0.97 +9.0 13
1982-11-27 @ Dundee L 2-558.5 1627 1714 16.05% 26.04% 57.91%-0.97 -9.0 8
1982-11-27 Celtic L 2-365.6 1706 1988 15.84% 24.88% 59.28%-1.43 -3.9 7
1982-11-27 @ Hibernian W 3-265.6 1988 1706 59.28% 24.88% 15.84%+1.43 +3.9 23
1982-11-27 Greenock Morton W 3-161.4 1593 1653 41.11% 27.10% 31.79%+0.01 +12.8 9
1982-11-27 @ Motherwell L 1-361.4 1653 1593 31.79% 27.10% 41.11%-0.01 -12.8 7
1982-11-27 Aberdeen L 0-160.3 1856 1999 29.86% 26.79% 43.35%-0.52 -7.4 14
1982-11-27 @ Rangers W 1-060.3 1999 1856 43.35% 26.79% 29.86%+0.52 +7.4 18
1982-11-27 Dundee United L 0-257.0 1749 1914 27.17% 26.60% 46.23%-0.66 -13.0 9
1982-11-27 @ St. Mirren W 2-057.0 1914 1749 46.23% 26.60% 27.17%+0.66 +13.0 20
1982-12-04 Hibernian D 0-066.1 1640 1702 40.92% 27.10% 31.97%+0.01 -0.5 8
1982-12-04 @ Greenock Morton D 0-066.1 1702 1640 31.97% 27.10% 40.92%-0.01 +0.5 8
1982-12-04 St. Mirren D 2-275.9 1618 1736 33.11% 26.95% 39.94%-0.36 +0.2 9
1982-12-04 @ Kilmarnock D 2-275.9 1736 1618 39.94% 26.95% 33.11%+0.36 -0.2 10
1982-12-04 Aberdeen L 0-250.2 1606 2006 9.06% 22.23% 68.71%-2.20 -4.8 9
1982-12-04 @ Motherwell W 2-050.2 2006 1606 68.71% 22.23% 9.06%+2.20 +4.8 20
1982-12-11 Celtic L 1-271.8 2011 1992 50.91% 26.79% 22.30%+0.53 -10.7 20
1982-12-11 @ Aberdeen W 2-171.8 1992 2011 22.30% 26.79% 50.91%-0.53 +10.7 25
1982-12-11 Kilmarnock W 7-046.9 1927 1618 73.12% 21.38% 5.50%+2.41 +9.4 22
1982-12-11 @ Dundee United L 0-746.9 1618 1927 5.50% 21.38% 73.12%-2.41 -9.4 9
1982-12-11 Dundee D 1-170.9 1702 1723 46.25% 27.02% 26.73%+0.27 -0.9 9
1982-12-11 @ Hibernian D 1-170.9 1723 1702 26.73% 27.02% 46.25%-0.27 +0.9 14
1982-12-11 Greenock Morton D 1-172.2 1848 1640 67.29% 23.82% 8.88%+1.76 -3.1 15
1982-12-11 @ Rangers D 1-172.2 1640 1848 8.88% 23.82% 67.29%-1.76 +3.1 9
1982-12-11 Motherwell W 3-049.3 1736 1601 61.98% 25.30% 12.72%+1.28 +10.0 12
1982-12-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-349.3 1601 1736 12.72% 25.30% 61.98%-1.28 -10.0 9
1982-12-18 Aberdeen L 0-253.3 1724 2000 16.33% 25.00% 58.67%-1.39 -8.5 14
1982-12-18 @ Dundee W 2-053.3 2000 1724 58.67% 25.00% 16.33%+1.39 +8.5 22
1982-12-18 Dundee United L 1-260.1 1643 1936 15.07% 24.67% 60.25%-1.50 -3.9 9
1982-12-18 @ Greenock Morton W 2-160.1 1936 1643 60.25% 24.67% 15.07%+1.50 +3.9 24
1982-12-18 Celtic L 0-447.9 1609 2003 9.34% 22.39% 68.28%-2.16 -9.3 9
1982-12-18 @ Kilmarnock W 4-047.9 2003 1609 68.28% 22.39% 9.34%+2.16 +9.3 27
1982-12-18 Hibernian L 0-159.6 1591 1702 34.08% 26.99% 38.93%-0.31 -8.2 9
1982-12-18 @ Motherwell W 1-059.6 1702 1591 38.93% 26.99% 34.08%+0.31 +8.2 11
1982-12-18 St. Mirren W 1-055.4 1845 1746 59.03% 25.86% 15.11%+1.05 +4.3 17
1982-12-18 @ Rangers L 0-155.4 1746 1845 15.11% 25.86% 59.03%-1.05 -4.3 12
1982-12-27 Kilmarnock W 2-047.4 2009 1600 77.97% 18.63% 3.39%+3.07 +1.7 24
1982-12-27 @ Aberdeen L 0-247.4 1600 2009 3.39% 18.63% 77.97%-3.07 -1.7 9
1982-12-27 Greenock Morton W 5-149.6 2012 1639 76.34% 19.63% 4.03%+2.83 +3.3 29
1982-12-27 @ Celtic L 1-549.6 1639 2012 4.03% 19.63% 76.34%-2.83 -3.3 9
1982-12-27 Motherwell W 5-045.5 1940 1583 75.59% 20.07% 4.35%+2.73 +5.3 26
1982-12-27 @ Dundee United L 0-545.5 1583 1940 4.35% 20.07% 75.59%-2.73 -5.3 9
1982-12-27 Rangers D 0-067.3 1710 1850 30.22% 26.81% 42.97%-0.50 +0.7 12
1982-12-27 @ Hibernian D 0-067.3 1850 1710 42.97% 26.81% 30.22%+0.50 -0.7 18
1982-12-27 Dundee D 0-067.0 1741 1716 51.70% 26.73% 21.57%+0.57 -1.7 13
1982-12-27 @ St. Mirren D 0-067.0 1716 1741 21.57% 26.73% 51.70%-0.57 +1.7 15
1983-01-01 Hibernian W 2-049.1 2010 1710 72.67% 21.61% 5.72%+2.36 +3.1 26
1983-01-01 @ Aberdeen L 0-249.1 1710 2010 5.72% 21.61% 72.67%-2.36 -3.1 12
1983-01-01 Dundee United L 0-254.8 1717 1945 20.44% 25.81% 53.75%-1.08 -10.3 15
1983-01-01 @ Dundee W 2-054.8 1945 1717 53.75% 25.81% 20.44%+1.08 +10.3 28
1983-01-01 St. Mirren W 2-059.4 1636 1740 35.02% 27.02% 37.96%-0.27 +16.8 11
1983-01-01 @ Greenock Morton L 0-259.4 1740 1636 37.96% 27.02% 35.02%+0.27 -16.8 13
1983-01-01 Motherwell L 0-260.2 1598 1577 51.13% 26.77% 22.10%+0.54 -21.5 9
1983-01-01 @ Kilmarnock W 2-060.2 1577 1598 22.10% 26.77% 51.13%-0.54 +21.5 11
1983-01-01 Celtic L 1-264.5 1849 2016 26.94% 26.58% 46.48%-0.68 -6.5 18
1983-01-01 @ Rangers W 2-164.5 2016 1849 46.48% 26.58% 26.94%+0.68 +6.5 31
1983-01-03 Dundee D 2-278.8 2022 1707 73.47% 21.21% 5.33%+2.45 -2.8 32
1983-01-03 @ Celtic D 2-278.8 1707 2022 5.33% 21.21% 73.47%-2.45 +2.8 16
1983-01-03 Aberdeen L 0-359.9 1956 2013 41.44% 27.10% 31.46%+0.03 -26.1 28
1983-01-03 @ Dundee United W 3-059.9 2013 1956 31.46% 27.10% 41.44%-0.03 +26.1 28
1983-01-03 Kilmarnock W 3-049.2 1653 1576 56.89% 26.19% 16.92%+0.90 +12.9 13
1983-01-03 @ Greenock Morton L 0-349.2 1576 1653 16.92% 26.19% 56.89%-0.90 -12.9 9
1983-01-03 St. Mirren D 1-170.9 1707 1723 46.89% 27.00% 26.12%+0.30 -1.0 13
1983-01-03 @ Hibernian D 1-170.9 1723 1707 26.12% 27.00% 46.89%-0.30 +1.0 14
1983-01-03 Rangers W 3-063.0 1599 1843 18.99% 25.57% 55.45%-1.18 +33.3 13
1983-01-03 @ Motherwell L 0-363.0 1843 1599 55.45% 25.57% 18.99%+1.18 -33.3 18
1983-01-08 Greenock Morton W 2-048.0 2039 1666 76.37% 19.61% 4.02%+2.84 +2.1 30
1983-01-08 @ Aberdeen L 0-248.0 1666 2039 4.02% 19.61% 76.37%-2.84 -2.1 13
1983-01-08 Motherwell W 3-158.0 1710 1632 57.03% 26.17% 16.80%+0.91 +7.7 18
1983-01-08 @ Dundee L 1-358.0 1632 1710 16.80% 26.17% 57.03%-0.91 -7.7 13
1983-01-08 Hibernian L 0-255.7 1563 1706 29.82% 26.79% 43.39%-0.52 -14.0 9
1983-01-08 @ Kilmarnock W 2-055.7 1706 1563 43.39% 26.79% 29.82%+0.52 +14.0 15
1983-01-08 Celtic L 0-155.1 1724 2019 14.91% 24.63% 60.47%-1.51 -4.1 14
1983-01-08 @ St. Mirren W 1-055.1 2019 1724 60.47% 24.63% 14.91%+1.51 +4.1 34
1983-01-15 Greenock Morton D 3-380.3 1718 1663 54.70% 26.45% 18.84%+0.76 -1.1 19
1983-01-15 @ Dundee D 3-380.3 1663 1718 18.84% 26.45% 54.70%-0.76 +1.1 14
1983-01-15 Dundee United D 0-067.6 1720 1929 22.28% 26.08% 51.64%-0.95 +1.6 16
1983-01-15 @ Hibernian D 0-067.6 1929 1720 51.64% 26.08% 22.28%+0.95 -1.6 29
1983-01-15 Celtic W 2-175.6 1624 2023 9.12% 22.27% 68.61%-2.19 +13.9 15
1983-01-15 @ Motherwell L 1-275.6 2023 1624 68.61% 22.27% 9.12%+2.19 -13.9 34
1983-01-15 Kilmarnock D 1-171.7 1809 1549 70.44% 22.62% 6.94%+2.10 -3.4 19
1983-01-15 @ Rangers D 1-171.7 1549 1809 6.94% 22.62% 70.44%-2.10 +3.4 10
1983-01-15 Aberdeen D 1-172.5 1720 2042 13.16% 24.08% 62.76%-1.69 +2.6 15
1983-01-15 @ St. Mirren D 1-172.5 2042 1720 62.76% 24.08% 13.16%+1.69 -2.6 31
1983-01-22 Rangers W 2-050.3 2039 1806 68.85% 23.26% 7.88%+1.92 +4.3 33
1983-01-22 @ Aberdeen L 0-250.3 1806 2039 7.88% 23.26% 68.85%-1.92 -4.3 19
1983-01-22 Hibernian W 4-152.7 2009 1722 72.00% 21.92% 6.07%+2.28 +4.0 36
1983-01-22 @ Celtic L 1-452.7 1722 2009 6.07% 21.92% 72.00%-2.28 -4.0 16
1983-01-22 St. Mirren W 3-263.2 1928 1722 67.09% 23.89% 9.02%+1.74 +2.3 31
1983-01-22 @ Dundee United L 2-363.2 1722 1928 9.02% 23.89% 67.09%-1.74 -2.3 15
1983-01-22 Motherwell L 0-165.0 1665 1638 51.77% 26.72% 21.51%+0.58 -11.5 14
1983-01-22 @ Greenock Morton W 1-065.0 1638 1665 21.51% 26.72% 51.77%-0.58 +11.5 17
1983-01-22 Dundee W 2-060.5 1553 1716 27.29% 26.61% 46.10%-0.66 +19.5 12
1983-01-22 @ Kilmarnock L 0-260.5 1716 1553 46.10% 26.61% 27.29%+0.66 -19.5 19
1983-02-05 Celtic D 1-171.7 1930 2013 37.93% 27.08% 34.99%-0.14 -0.1 32
1983-02-05 @ Dundee United D 1-171.7 2013 1930 34.99% 27.08% 37.93%+0.14 +0.1 37
1983-02-05 Greenock Morton W 2-053.1 1718 1653 55.79% 26.33% 17.88%+0.83 +9.3 18
1983-02-05 @ Hibernian L 0-253.1 1653 1718 17.88% 26.33% 55.79%-0.83 -9.3 14
1983-02-05 Dundee D 1-171.6 1801 1697 59.46% 25.79% 14.75%+1.09 -2.3 20
1983-02-05 @ Rangers D 1-171.6 1697 1801 14.75% 25.79% 59.46%-1.09 +2.3 20
1983-02-05 Kilmarnock W 2-050.1 1720 1572 62.99% 25.06% 11.95%+1.37 +6.5 17
1983-02-05 @ St. Mirren L 0-250.1 1572 1720 11.95% 25.06% 62.99%-1.37 -6.5 12
1983-02-08 Motherwell W 5-149.4 2043 1650 77.27% 19.07% 3.66%+2.97 +2.9 35
1983-02-08 @ Aberdeen L 1-549.4 1650 2043 3.66% 19.07% 77.27%-2.97 -2.9 17
1983-02-12 Aberdeen L 1-368.0 2014 2046 44.76% 27.06% 28.18%+0.19 -16.6 37
1983-02-12 @ Celtic W 3-168.0 2046 2014 28.18% 27.06% 44.76%-0.19 +16.6 37
1983-02-12 Rangers L 0-554.3 1644 1799 28.27% 26.69% 45.04%-0.60 -31.4 14
1983-02-12 @ Greenock Morton W 5-054.3 1799 1644 45.04% 26.69% 28.27%+0.60 +31.4 22
1983-02-12 Dundee United L 0-548.2 1566 1930 10.76% 23.12% 66.12%-1.96 -13.3 12
1983-02-12 @ Kilmarnock W 5-048.2 1930 1566 66.12% 23.12% 10.76%+1.96 +13.3 34
1983-02-22 Hibernian L 0-164.3 1699 1727 45.32% 27.05% 27.63%+0.22 -10.2 20
1983-02-22 @ Dundee W 1-064.3 1727 1699 27.63% 27.05% 45.32%-0.22 +10.2 20
1983-02-25 Dundee W 3-153.5 2063 1689 76.37% 19.61% 4.02%+2.84 +1.8 39
1983-02-25 @ Aberdeen L 1-353.5 1689 2063 4.02% 19.61% 76.37%-2.84 -1.8 20
1983-02-26 Kilmarnock W 4-044.4 1997 1553 79.49% 17.64% 2.86%+3.30 +2.7 39
1983-02-26 @ Celtic L 0-444.4 1553 1997 2.86% 17.64% 79.49%-3.30 -2.7 12
1983-02-26 Greenock Morton D 1-173.3 1943 1612 74.29% 20.78% 4.93%+2.56 -3.8 35
1983-02-26 @ Dundee United D 1-173.3 1612 1943 4.93% 20.78% 74.29%-2.56 +3.8 15
1983-02-26 Motherwell D 1-170.9 1738 1647 58.23% 25.99% 15.78%+1.00 -2.2 21
1983-02-26 @ Hibernian D 1-170.9 1647 1738 15.78% 25.99% 58.23%-1.00 +2.2 18
1983-02-26 Rangers W 1-062.5 1727 1831 35.01% 27.02% 37.97%-0.27 +8.9 19
1983-02-26 @ St. Mirren L 0-162.5 1831 1727 37.97% 27.02% 35.01%+0.27 -8.9 22
1983-03-01 St. Mirren D 0-066.4 1649 1735 37.50% 27.07% 35.43%-0.16 -0.1 19
1983-03-01 @ Motherwell D 0-066.4 1735 1649 35.43% 27.07% 37.50%+0.16 +0.1 20
1983-03-02 Rangers W 1-063.6 1687 1822 30.90% 26.85% 42.25%-0.47 +9.7 22
1983-03-02 @ Dundee L 0-163.6 1822 1687 42.25% 26.85% 30.90%+0.47 -9.7 22
1983-03-05 St. Mirren L 2-567.9 1697 1736 43.96% 27.07% 28.97%+0.15 -20.0 22
1983-03-05 @ Dundee W 5-267.9 1736 1697 28.97% 27.07% 43.96%-0.15 +20.0 22
1983-03-05 Celtic L 0-348.9 1616 2000 9.81% 22.65% 67.54%-2.09 -7.5 15
1983-03-05 @ Greenock Morton W 3-048.9 2000 1616 67.54% 22.65% 9.81%+2.09 +7.5 41
1983-03-05 Aberdeen L 1-255.6 1550 2065 5.27% 19.17% 75.56%-2.94 -1.3 12
1983-03-05 @ Kilmarnock W 2-155.6 2065 1550 75.56% 19.17% 5.27%+2.94 +1.3 41
1983-03-05 Dundee United L 1-456.1 1649 1940 15.24% 24.72% 60.04%-1.48 -9.7 19
1983-03-05 @ Motherwell W 4-156.1 1940 1649 60.04% 24.72% 15.24%+1.48 +9.7 37
1983-03-05 Hibernian D 1-171.6 1812 1735 56.92% 26.18% 16.90%+0.90 -2.0 23
1983-03-05 @ Rangers D 1-171.6 1735 1812 16.90% 26.18% 56.92%-0.90 +2.0 22
1983-03-12 Dundee W 5-361.0 1949 1677 71.17% 22.31% 6.53%+2.18 +2.6 39
1983-03-12 @ Dundee United L 3-561.0 1677 1949 6.53% 22.31% 71.17%-2.18 -2.6 22
1983-03-12 Kilmarnock W 3-155.1 1639 1549 58.22% 25.99% 15.78%+1.00 +7.3 21
1983-03-12 @ Motherwell L 1-355.1 1549 1639 15.78% 25.99% 58.22%-1.00 -7.3 12
1983-03-13 Aberdeen D 1-173.5 1609 2066 6.92% 20.74% 72.34%-2.57 +3.5 16
1983-03-13 @ Greenock Morton D 1-173.5 2066 1609 72.34% 20.74% 6.92%+2.57 -3.5 42
1983-03-16 Greenock Morton L 2-378.6 1756 1612 62.67% 25.14% 12.19%+1.34 -12.3 22
1983-03-16 @ St. Mirren W 3-278.6 1612 1756 12.19% 25.14% 62.67%-1.34 +12.3 18
1983-03-19 Dundee United L 1-274.2 2062 1952 59.98% 25.70% 14.32%+1.13 -12.5 42
1983-03-19 @ Aberdeen W 2-174.2 1952 2062 14.32% 25.70% 59.98%-1.13 +12.5 41
1983-03-19 Celtic W 2-174.6 1674 2007 12.47% 23.83% 63.70%-1.76 +13.0 24
1983-03-19 @ Dundee L 1-274.6 2007 1674 63.70% 23.83% 12.47%+1.76 -13.0 41
1983-03-19 Greenock Morton W 4-052.7 1541 1624 37.97% 27.08% 34.95%-0.13 +30.0 14
1983-03-19 @ Kilmarnock L 0-452.7 1624 1541 34.95% 27.08% 37.97%+0.13 -30.0 18
1983-03-19 Motherwell W 1-053.4 1810 1646 64.17% 24.77% 11.06%+1.47 +3.2 25
1983-03-19 @ Rangers L 0-153.4 1646 1810 11.06% 24.77% 64.17%-1.47 -3.2 21
1983-03-19 Hibernian W 3-054.0 1743 1737 49.45% 26.88% 23.67%+0.44 +17.1 24
1983-03-19 @ St. Mirren L 0-354.0 1737 1743 23.67% 26.88% 49.45%-0.44 -17.1 22
1983-03-23 Rangers D 0-068.2 1994 1813 65.43% 24.41% 10.15%+1.58 -3.3 42
1983-03-23 @ Celtic D 0-068.2 1813 1994 10.15% 24.41% 65.43%-1.58 +3.3 26
1983-03-26 St. Mirren D 1-172.7 1991 1760 68.69% 23.32% 7.98%+1.91 -3.3 43
1983-03-26 @ Celtic D 1-172.7 1760 1991 7.98% 23.32% 68.69%-1.91 +3.3 25
1983-03-26 Hibernian D 3-382.3 1964 1720 69.51% 23.01% 7.49%+1.99 -2.1 42
1983-03-26 @ Dundee United D 3-382.3 1720 1964 7.49% 23.01% 69.51%-1.99 +2.1 23
1983-03-26 Aberdeen L 1-256.6 1594 2050 6.98% 20.79% 72.23%-2.56 -1.8 18
1983-03-26 @ Greenock Morton W 2-156.6 2050 1594 72.23% 20.79% 6.98%+2.56 +1.8 44
1983-03-26 Rangers L 0-155.6 1571 1816 18.86% 25.54% 55.60%-1.19 -5.1 14
1983-03-26 @ Kilmarnock W 1-055.6 1816 1571 55.60% 25.54% 18.86%+1.19 +5.1 28
1983-03-26 Dundee D 1-170.1 1643 1687 43.29% 27.09% 29.62%+0.12 -0.6 22
1983-03-26 @ Motherwell D 1-170.1 1687 1643 29.62% 27.09% 43.29%-0.12 +0.6 25
1983-04-02 St. Mirren L 0-171.5 2052 1764 72.04% 21.91% 6.05%+2.28 -15.6 44
1983-04-02 @ Aberdeen W 1-071.5 1764 2052 6.05% 21.91% 72.04%-2.28 +15.6 27
1983-04-02 Motherwell W 3-046.7 1988 1643 74.99% 20.40% 4.61%+2.65 +3.5 45
1983-04-02 @ Celtic L 0-346.7 1643 1988 4.61% 20.40% 74.99%-2.65 -3.5 22
1983-04-02 Kilmarnock W 8-149.2 1722 1566 63.64% 24.90% 11.46%+1.42 +16.5 25
1983-04-02 @ Hibernian L 1-849.2 1566 1722 11.46% 24.90% 63.64%-1.42 -16.5 14
1983-04-04 Rangers W 3-157.7 1962 1822 62.44% 25.19% 12.36%+1.32 +5.8 44
1983-04-04 @ Dundee United L 1-357.7 1822 1962 12.36% 25.19% 62.44%-1.32 -5.8 28
1983-04-06 Dundee United W 2-055.6 1991 1968 51.42% 26.75% 21.83%+0.56 +11.0 47
1983-04-06 @ Celtic L 0-255.6 1968 1991 21.83% 26.75% 51.42%-0.56 -11.0 44
1983-04-07 Dundee W 1-060.3 1593 1688 36.24% 27.05% 36.71%-0.21 +8.7 20
1983-04-07 @ Greenock Morton L 0-160.3 1688 1593 36.71% 27.05% 36.24%+0.21 -8.7 25
1983-04-09 Kilmarnock D 0-064.9 1679 1550 61.55% 25.39% 13.06%+1.25 -2.8 26
1983-04-09 @ Dundee D 0-064.9 1550 1679 13.06% 25.39% 61.55%-1.25 +2.8 15
1983-04-09 Celtic L 0-352.1 1739 2002 17.34% 25.23% 57.43%-1.31 -13.0 25
1983-04-09 @ Hibernian W 3-052.1 2002 1739 57.43% 25.23% 17.34%+1.31 +13.0 49
1983-04-09 Greenock Morton W 4-155.7 1639 1601 53.03% 26.62% 20.36%+0.65 +12.8 24
1983-04-09 @ Motherwell L 1-455.7 1601 1639 20.36% 26.62% 53.03%-0.65 -12.8 20
1983-04-09 Aberdeen W 2-172.1 1816 2036 21.14% 25.92% 52.93%-1.03 +11.0 30
1983-04-09 @ Rangers L 1-272.1 2036 1816 52.93% 25.92% 21.14%+1.03 -11.0 44
1983-04-09 Dundee United L 1-264.0 1779 1957 25.63% 26.46% 47.91%-0.75 -6.2 27
1983-04-09 @ St. Mirren W 2-164.0 1957 1779 47.91% 26.46% 25.63%+0.75 +6.2 46
1983-04-16 Hibernian L 0-158.8 1588 1726 30.52% 26.83% 42.65%-0.49 -7.6 20
1983-04-16 @ Greenock Morton W 1-058.8 1726 1588 42.65% 26.83% 30.52%+0.49 +7.6 27
1983-04-20 Dundee United L 2-377.8 2015 1963 54.49% 26.48% 19.04%+0.74 -10.8 49
1983-04-20 @ Celtic W 3-277.8 1963 2015 19.04% 26.48% 54.49%-0.74 +10.8 48
1983-04-23 Celtic W 1-058.0 2025 2004 51.17% 26.77% 22.06%+0.54 +5.9 46
1983-04-23 @ Aberdeen L 0-158.0 2004 2025 22.06% 26.77% 51.17%-0.54 -5.9 49
1983-04-23 Kilmarnock W 4-044.7 1974 1552 78.52% 18.28% 3.20%+3.15 +3.0 50
1983-04-23 @ Dundee United L 0-444.7 1552 1974 3.20% 18.28% 78.52%-3.15 -3.0 15
1983-04-23 Dundee D 0-066.8 1734 1676 55.03% 26.42% 18.55%+0.78 -2.0 28
1983-04-23 @ Hibernian D 0-066.8 1676 1734 18.55% 26.42% 55.03%-0.78 +2.0 27
1983-04-23 Greenock Morton W 2-049.3 1827 1581 69.62% 22.96% 7.42%+2.00 +4.0 32
1983-04-23 @ Rangers L 0-249.3 1581 1827 7.42% 22.96% 69.62%-2.00 -4.0 20
1983-04-23 Motherwell W 4-049.5 1773 1652 60.86% 25.53% 13.61%+1.19 +13.9 29
1983-04-23 @ St. Mirren L 0-449.5 1652 1773 13.61% 25.53% 60.86%-1.19 -13.9 24
1983-04-27 St. Mirren D 2-276.1 1549 1787 19.55% 25.67% 54.78%-1.14 +1.3 16
1983-04-27 @ Kilmarnock D 2-276.1 1787 1549 54.78% 25.67% 19.55%+1.14 -1.3 30
1983-04-27 Aberdeen L 0-348.8 1638 2031 9.38% 22.41% 68.21%-2.15 -7.2 24
1983-04-27 @ Motherwell W 3-048.8 2031 1638 68.21% 22.41% 9.38%+2.15 +7.2 48
1983-04-30 Aberdeen L 0-251.2 1678 2038 10.98% 23.22% 65.80%-1.93 -5.8 27
1983-04-30 @ Dundee W 2-051.2 2038 1678 65.80% 23.22% 10.98%+1.93 +5.8 50
1983-04-30 Dundee United L 0-447.7 1577 1977 9.07% 22.23% 68.69%-2.20 -9.1 20
1983-04-30 @ Greenock Morton W 4-047.7 1977 1577 68.69% 22.23% 9.07%+2.20 +9.0 52
1983-04-30 Celtic L 0-546.7 1551 1998 7.24% 21.00% 71.76%-2.51 -8.8 16
1983-04-30 @ Kilmarnock W 5-046.7 1998 1551 71.76% 21.00% 7.24%+2.51 +8.8 51
1983-04-30 Hibernian W 2-059.2 1631 1732 35.47% 27.03% 37.50%-0.25 +16.6 26
1983-04-30 @ Motherwell L 0-259.2 1732 1631 37.50% 27.03% 35.47%+0.25 -16.6 28
1983-04-30 St. Mirren W 4-052.3 1831 1786 53.80% 26.55% 19.66%+0.70 +19.2 34
1983-04-30 @ Rangers L 0-452.3 1786 1831 19.66% 26.55% 53.80%-0.70 -19.2 30
1983-05-02 Aberdeen D 0-068.4 1715 2044 12.70% 23.92% 63.38%-1.73 +2.9 29
1983-05-02 @ Hibernian D 0-068.4 2044 1715 63.38% 23.92% 12.70%+1.73 -3.0 51
1983-05-03 Rangers W 2-170.4 1673 1850 25.68% 26.47% 47.85%-0.75 +10.1 29
1983-05-03 @ Dundee L 1-270.4 1850 1673 47.85% 26.47% 25.68%+0.75 -10.1 34
1983-05-04 Kilmarnock W 5-043.8 2041 1542 81.68% 16.13% 2.19%+3.65 +2.4 53
1983-05-04 @ Aberdeen L 0-543.8 1542 2041 2.19% 16.13% 81.68%-3.65 -2.4 16
1983-05-07 Greenock Morton W 2-047.0 2007 1568 79.28% 17.79% 2.93%+3.26 +1.5 53
1983-05-07 @ Celtic L 0-247.0 1568 2007 2.93% 17.79% 79.28%-3.26 -1.4 20
1983-05-07 Motherwell W 4-046.0 1986 1647 74.67% 20.57% 4.75%+2.61 +4.7 54
1983-05-07 @ Dundee United L 0-446.0 1647 1986 4.75% 20.57% 74.67%-2.61 -4.8 26
1983-05-07 Rangers L 1-266.0 1718 1840 32.55% 26.93% 40.52%-0.39 -7.5 29
1983-05-07 @ Hibernian W 2-166.0 1840 1718 40.52% 26.93% 32.55%+0.39 +7.5 36
1983-05-09 Dundee W 2-160.5 1766 1683 57.59% 26.09% 16.32%+0.95 +4.3 32
1983-05-09 @ St. Mirren L 1-260.5 1683 1766 16.32% 26.09% 57.59%-0.95 -4.3 29
1983-05-14 Hibernian W 5-046.2 2044 1710 74.40% 20.72% 4.88%+2.57 +6.0 55
1983-05-14 @ Aberdeen L 0-546.2 1710 2044 4.88% 20.72% 74.40%-2.57 -6.0 29
1983-05-14 Dundee United L 1-259.7 1678 1991 13.74% 24.28% 61.98%-1.63 -3.6 29
1983-05-14 @ Dundee W 2-159.7 1991 1678 61.98% 24.28% 13.74%+1.63 +3.6 56
1983-05-14 St. Mirren L 0-254.2 1566 1771 22.76% 26.15% 51.09%-0.92 -11.3 20
1983-05-14 @ Greenock Morton W 2-054.2 1771 1566 51.09% 26.15% 22.76%+0.92 +11.3 34
1983-05-14 Motherwell D 1-167.6 1540 1643 35.13% 27.02% 37.85%-0.26 +0.1 17
1983-05-14 @ Kilmarnock D 1-167.6 1643 1540 37.85% 27.02% 35.13%+0.26 -0.1 27
1983-05-14 Celtic L 2-466.8 1847 2009 27.56% 26.63% 45.80%-0.64 -10.2 36
1983-05-14 @ Rangers W 4-266.8 2009 1847 45.80% 26.63% 27.56%+0.64 +10.2 55
1983-05-14 Dundee United W 2-170.0 1837 1994 28.05% 26.67% 45.28%-0.62 +9.6 38
1983-05-14 @ Rangers L 1-270.0 1994 1837 45.28% 26.67% 28.05%+0.62 -9.6 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1983-04-02 6.05% St. Mirren 1764 1 @ Aberdeen 2052 0
2 1983-01-15 9.12% @ Motherwell 1624 2 Celtic 2023 1
3 1983-03-16 12.19% Greenock Morton 1612 3 @ St. Mirren 1756 2
4 1983-03-19 12.47% @ Dundee 1674 2 Celtic 2007 1
5 1983-03-19 14.32% Dundee United 1952 2 @ Aberdeen 2062 1
6 1982-09-25 14.34% Rangers 1851 2 @ Aberdeen 1961 1
7 1982-10-02 17.57% Greenock Morton 1679 2 @ Hibernian 1747 1
8 1983-01-03 18.99% @ Motherwell 1599 3 Rangers 1843 0
9 1983-04-20 19.04% Dundee United 1963 3 @ Celtic 2015 2
10 1982-10-09 21.05% Aberdeen 1950 3 @ Celtic 1981 1
11 1983-04-09 21.14% @ Rangers 1816 2 Aberdeen 2036 1
12 1983-01-22 21.51% Motherwell 1638 1 @ Greenock Morton 1665 0
13 1982-10-09 21.93% @ Motherwell 1563 2 St. Mirren 1775 0
14 1983-01-01 22.10% Motherwell 1577 2 @ Kilmarnock 1598 0
15 1982-12-11 22.30% Celtic 1992 2 @ Aberdeen 2011 1
16 1983-05-03 25.68% @ Dundee 1673 2 Rangers 1850 1
17 1983-01-22 27.29% @ Kilmarnock 1553 2 Dundee 1716 0
18 1983-02-22 27.63% Hibernian 1727 1 @ Dundee 1699 0
19 1983-05-14 28.05% @ Rangers 1837 2 Dundee United 1994 1
20 1983-02-12 28.18% Aberdeen 2046 3 @ Celtic 2014 1
21 1983-03-05 28.97% St. Mirren 1736 5 @ Dundee 1697 2
22 1982-11-20 29.43% Dundee 1705 2 @ Greenock Morton 1662 1
23 1983-03-02 30.90% @ Dundee 1687 1 Rangers 1822 0
24 1983-01-03 31.46% Aberdeen 2013 3 @ Dundee United 1956 0
25 1982-11-13 31.55% @ Motherwell 1585 1 Dundee 1714 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-01-03 33.32 @ Motherwell 3 1599 18.99% Rangers 0 1843 55.45% 25.57%
2 1983-02-12 31.42 Rangers 5 1799 45.04% @ Greenock Morton 0 1644 28.27% 26.69%
3 1983-03-19 30.00 @ Kilmarnock 4 1541 37.97% Greenock Morton 0 1624 34.95% 27.08%
4 1983-01-03 26.12 Aberdeen 3 2013 31.46% @ Dundee United 0 1956 41.44% 27.10%
5 1982-10-09 21.68 @ Motherwell 2 1563 21.93% St. Mirren 0 1775 52.04% 26.04%
6 1983-01-01 21.47 Motherwell 2 1577 22.10% @ Kilmarnock 0 1598 51.13% 26.77%
7 1983-03-05 20.00 St. Mirren 5 1736 28.97% @ Dundee 2 1697 43.96% 27.07%
8 1983-01-22 19.55 @ Kilmarnock 2 1553 27.29% Dundee 0 1716 46.10% 26.61%
9 1983-04-30 19.19 @ Rangers 4 1831 53.80% St. Mirren 0 1786 19.66% 26.55%
10 1982-10-09 18.98 Aberdeen 3 1950 21.05% @ Celtic 1 1981 52.26% 26.68%
11 1982-09-18 17.76 Celtic 7 1958 66.54% @ Motherwell 0 1588 10.47% 22.98%
12 1982-10-30 17.71 @ Motherwell 4 1574 41.93% Kilmarnock 1 1628 30.97% 27.10%
13 1982-09-04 17.28 @ Dundee United 2 1861 33.57% Aberdeen 0 1975 39.46% 26.97%
14 1983-03-19 17.08 @ St. Mirren 3 1743 49.45% Hibernian 0 1737 23.67% 26.88%
15 1983-01-01 16.79 @ Greenock Morton 2 1636 35.02% St. Mirren 0 1740 37.96% 27.02%
16 1983-04-30 16.64 @ Motherwell 2 1631 35.47% Hibernian 0 1732 37.50% 27.03%
17 1983-02-12 16.58 Aberdeen 3 2046 28.18% @ Celtic 1 2014 44.76% 27.06%
18 1983-04-02 16.55 @ Hibernian 8 1722 63.64% Kilmarnock 1 1566 11.46% 24.90%
19 1982-11-06 16.13 @ St. Mirren 3 1752 51.20% Hibernian 0 1731 22.04% 26.77%
20 1983-04-02 15.57 St. Mirren 1 1764 6.05% @ Aberdeen 0 2052 72.04% 21.91%
21 1982-11-06 14.88 @ Aberdeen 5 1976 55.61% Dundee United 1 1912 18.04% 26.35%
22 1982-10-16 14.34 @ Dundee United 6 1888 66.50% Greenock Morton 0 1692 9.41% 24.08%
23 1983-01-08 14.00 Hibernian 2 1706 43.39% @ Kilmarnock 0 1563 29.82% 26.79%
24 1983-04-23 13.93 @ St. Mirren 4 1773 60.86% Motherwell 0 1652 13.61% 25.53%
25 1983-01-15 13.91 @ Motherwell 2 1624 9.12% Celtic 1 2023 68.61% 22.27%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-03-26 82.3 @ Dundee United 3 1964 69.51% Hibernian 3 1720 7.49% 23.01%
2 1983-01-15 80.3 @ Dundee 3 1718 54.70% Greenock Morton 3 1663 18.84% 26.45%
3 1983-01-03 78.8 @ Celtic 2 2022 73.47% Dundee 2 1707 5.33% 21.21%
4 1983-03-16 78.6 Greenock Morton 3 1612 12.19% @ St. Mirren 2 1756 62.67% 25.14%
5 1983-04-20 77.8 Dundee United 3 1963 19.04% @ Celtic 2 2015 54.49% 26.48%
6 1982-10-02 77.1 @ Dundee United 2 1890 36.96% Celtic 2 1981 35.97% 27.06%
7 1982-10-16 77.0 @ St. Mirren 2 1754 34.73% Rangers 2 1860 38.26% 27.01%
8 1982-09-04 76.9 @ Motherwell 2 1594 18.74% Rangers 2 1841 55.74% 25.52%
9 1983-04-27 76.1 @ Kilmarnock 2 1549 19.55% St. Mirren 2 1787 54.78% 25.67%
10 1982-11-13 76.0 @ Hibernian 2 1715 58.31% Kilmarnock 2 1624 15.71% 25.98%
11 1982-12-04 75.9 @ Kilmarnock 2 1618 33.11% St. Mirren 2 1736 39.94% 26.95%
12 1983-01-15 75.6 @ Motherwell 2 1624 9.12% Celtic 1 2023 68.61% 22.27%
13 1983-03-19 74.6 @ Dundee 2 1674 12.47% Celtic 1 2007 63.70% 23.83%
14 1983-03-19 74.2 Dundee United 2 1952 14.32% @ Aberdeen 1 2062 59.98% 25.70%
15 1982-09-25 74.1 Rangers 2 1851 14.34% @ Aberdeen 1 1961 59.96% 25.70%
16 1983-03-13 73.5 @ Greenock Morton 1 1609 6.92% Aberdeen 1 2066 72.34% 20.74%
17 1983-02-26 73.3 @ Dundee United 1 1943 74.29% Greenock Morton 1 1612 4.93% 20.78%
18 1983-03-26 72.7 @ Celtic 1 1991 68.69% St. Mirren 1 1760 7.98% 23.32%
19 1983-01-15 72.5 @ St. Mirren 1 1720 13.16% Aberdeen 1 2042 62.76% 24.08%
20 1982-10-02 72.4 Greenock Morton 2 1679 17.57% @ Hibernian 1 1747 56.14% 26.29%
21 1982-12-11 72.2 @ Rangers 1 1848 67.29% Greenock Morton 1 1640 8.88% 23.82%
22 1982-10-30 72.1 @ Hibernian 1 1729 18.62% Aberdeen 1 1977 55.89% 25.50%
23 1983-04-09 72.1 @ Rangers 2 1816 21.14% Aberdeen 1 2036 52.93% 25.92%
24 1982-10-02 72.0 @ Rangers 1 1863 63.00% Dundee 1 1716 11.94% 25.06%
25 1982-09-18 71.8 @ St. Mirren 1 1783 25.45% Aberdeen 1 1962 48.10% 26.45%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-05-04 43.8 @ Aberdeen 5 2041 81.68% Kilmarnock 0 1542 2.19% 16.13%
2 1983-02-26 44.4 @ Celtic 4 1997 79.49% Kilmarnock 0 1553 2.86% 17.64%
3 1983-04-23 44.7 @ Dundee United 4 1974 78.52% Kilmarnock 0 1552 3.20% 18.28%
4 1982-12-27 45.5 @ Dundee United 5 1940 75.59% Motherwell 0 1583 4.35% 20.07%
5 1983-05-07 46.0 @ Dundee United 4 1986 74.67% Motherwell 0 1647 4.75% 20.57%
6 1983-05-14 46.2 @ Aberdeen 5 2044 74.40% Hibernian 0 1710 4.88% 20.72%
7 1982-11-06 46.7 @ Rangers 4 1859 70.88% Motherwell 0 1592 6.69% 22.43%
8 1983-04-02 46.7 @ Celtic 3 1988 74.99% Motherwell 0 1643 4.61% 20.40%
9 1983-04-30 46.7 Celtic 5 1998 71.76% @ Kilmarnock 0 1551 7.24% 21.00%
10 1982-12-11 46.9 @ Dundee United 7 1927 73.12% Kilmarnock 0 1618 5.50% 21.38%
11 1983-05-07 47.0 @ Celtic 2 2007 79.28% Greenock Morton 0 1568 2.93% 17.79%
12 1982-12-27 47.4 @ Aberdeen 2 2009 77.97% Kilmarnock 0 1600 3.39% 18.63%
13 1983-04-30 47.7 Dundee United 4 1977 68.69% @ Greenock Morton 0 1577 9.07% 22.23%
14 1982-11-20 47.9 @ Aberdeen 4 1990 68.86% St. Mirren 0 1757 7.88% 23.26%
15 1982-12-18 47.9 Celtic 4 2003 68.28% @ Kilmarnock 0 1609 9.34% 22.39%
16 1983-01-08 48.0 @ Aberdeen 2 2039 76.37% Greenock Morton 0 1666 4.02% 19.61%
17 1983-02-12 48.2 Dundee United 5 1930 66.12% @ Kilmarnock 0 1566 10.76% 23.12%
18 1982-09-18 48.3 @ Rangers 5 1838 65.93% Kilmarnock 0 1650 9.81% 24.26%
19 1982-11-13 48.3 @ Celtic 5 1975 67.17% St. Mirren 0 1769 8.97% 23.87%
20 1982-10-16 48.6 @ Dundee United 6 1888 66.50% Greenock Morton 0 1692 9.41% 24.08%
21 1983-04-27 48.8 Aberdeen 3 2031 68.21% @ Motherwell 0 1638 9.38% 22.41%
22 1982-09-18 48.9 Celtic 7 1958 66.54% @ Motherwell 0 1588 10.47% 22.98%
23 1983-03-05 48.9 Celtic 3 2000 67.54% @ Greenock Morton 0 1616 9.81% 22.65%
24 1983-01-01 49.1 @ Aberdeen 2 2010 72.67% Hibernian 0 1710 5.72% 21.61%
25 1983-01-03 49.2 @ Greenock Morton 3 1653 56.89% Kilmarnock 0 1576 16.92% 26.19%